2014 marbella economic situation

Transcription

2014
MARBELLA
ECONOMIC
SITUATION
BIANNUAL NEWSLETTER
Nº 2
INDEX
1.
ECONOMY SEGMENT ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
1.1.
Monthly evolution of electricity consumption. Years 2013-2014 ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 3
1.2.
Quarterly evolution of building permits requested. Years 2011-2014 .................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
1.3.
Quarterly evolution of opening licenses granted. Years 2013-2014 ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 5
1.4.
Biannual evolution of Capital Gains Tax Assessment (Plusvalia). Years 2009-20141 ............................................................................................................................................................... 5
1.5.
Monthly evolution of the total population of Marbella and by administrative districts. Years 2012-20142 ........................................................................................................................... 6
2.
INSTITUTIONAL SEGMENT ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 8
2.1.
Biannual evolution of municipal debt (private, with public entities and total Marbella Town Hall debt. Years 2012-2014 ................................................................................................... 8
2.2.
Average period of payments to suppliers of the Marbella Town Hall. December 2014 .......................................................................................................................................................... 8
2.3.
Monthly evolution of urban waste. Years 2012-2014.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
3.
LABOUR MARKET SEGMENT .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
3.1.
Evolution of monthly registered unemployment by gender. Months 2012-2014 ................................................................................................................................................................ 10
3.2
Monthly evolution of contracts signed, by gender and contract type. Years 2005-2014 ..................................................................................................................................................... 11
4.
HOUSING SEGMENT....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
4.1.
Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing and number of appraisals. Quarters 2012-2014 .......................................................................................................................... 12
4.2.
Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of housing. Quarters 2012-2014 ................................................................................................................................................... 12
4.3.
National ranking of absolute real estate transactions and per 1,000 inhabitants. Comparison of twelve main Spanish cities. Third quarter of 2014 ...................................................... 13
5.
TOURISM SEGMENT....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14
5.1
Monthly evolution of overnight stays. Years 2013-2014 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14
5.2.
Monthly evolution of travellers. Years 2013-2014................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15
5.3.
Monthly evolution of average stay, occupancy rate and personnel employed. Years 2013-2014 ....................................................................................................................................... 16
Marbella Town Hall |
ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
95.000
Evolution of monthly electricity consumption
Years 2013-2014
(MWH).
Monthly
electricity
consumption
(MWH)
85.000
75.000
65.000
Lineal
(Monthly
electricity
consumption
(MWH))
55.000
nov-14
sep-14
jul-14
may-14
mar-14
35.000
Jan-14
45.000
nov-13
jan-13
jan-14
mar-13
apr-13
may-13
jun-13
jul-13
ago-13
sep-13
oct-13
nov-13
dec-14
Jan-14
feb-14
mar-14
apr-14
may-14
jun-14
jul-14
aug-14
sep-14
oct-14
nov-14
dec-14
Monthly electricity
consumption
(MWH)
62.433
64.436
55.605
62.770
60.722
63.982
63.176
83.957
78.087
74.969
61.879
61.887
62.727
66.878
57.466
62.773
58.821
65.548
65.407
81.482
80.445
79.181
62.031
66.260
sep-13
2014
2013
Month
jul-13
Monthly evolution of electricity consumption. Years 20132014
may-13
1.1.
mar-13
ECONOMY SEGMENT
jan-13
1.
Prepared in house.. Source: Endesa
Quarterly evolution of building permits requested. Years
2011-2014
Affidavit
Building
Licences minor
works
800
700
Actions
Reported
600
Building
licence mayor
works
500
400
1st occupancy
licences
300
Affidavit
200
100
T14-4
T14-3
T14-2
T14-1
T13-4
T13-3
T13-2
T13-1
T12-4
T12-3
T12-2
T12-1
0
T11-4
5
6
8
15
15
17
16
12
T11-3
T11-1
T11-2
T11-3
T11-4
T12-1
T12-2
T12-3
T12-4
T13-1
T13-2
T13-3
T13-4
T14-1
T14-2
T14-3
T14-4
Quarterly evolution of building licences. Years 2011-2014
T11-2
2014
2013
2012
2011
Quarter
Building
Building
1st occupancy
Licences
Columna1 licence mayor
licences
minor
works
212
588
41
27
258
545
57
28
245
518
49
29
238
519
42
10
273
647
35
17
283
583
40
20
239
466
53
20
265
507
49
12
315
599
48
29
290
712
66
25
303
544
61
25
312
680
63
19
375
692
68
27
355
748
58
24
307
509
98
30
298
434
90
21
Prepared in house.. Source: Delegación de Urbanismo
T11-1
1.2.
Lineal
(Building
Licences minor
works)
Lineal (Actions
Reported)
Quarterly evolution of opening licenses granted. Years
2013-2014
Quarter
2013
T13-1
T13-2
T13-3
T13-4
T14-1
T14-2
T14-3
T14-4
2014
1.4.
Biannual evolution of Capital Gains Tax Assessment
(Plusvalia). Years 2009-20141
Opening licences issued
Nueva
San
Marbella Las Chapas
Total
Andalucía Pedro
81
13
16
45
155
102
28
40
73
243
139
11
41
50
241
119
16
41
66
242
101
21
46
57
225
93
22
41
58
214
134
14
102
40
290
102
11
28
67
208
Prepared in house. Source: Patronato de Recaudación
Prepared in house. Source: Delegación de Industria
Quarterly evolution of opening licences issued by areas. Years 2013-2014
350
Marbella
300
Las Chapas
250
Nueva Andalucía
San Pedro
200
Total
150
Lineal (Marbella)
Lineal (Las Chapas)
100
Lineal (Nueva Andalucía)
Lineal (San Pedro)
50
Lineal (Total)
T14-4
T14-3
T14-2
T14-1
T13-4
T13-2
T13-1
-
T13-3
1.3.
1
The data of the last half of 2014 are still been settled even in 2015thus they are
provisional data, even the rest of semesters. The data indicate the date of the accrual of
the transmission regardless of when the capital gain tax is settled.
1.5.
Monthly evolution of the total population of Marbella and
by administrative districts. Years 2012-20142
Prepared in house.. Source: Padrón Municipal
2
Population spikes respond to the lack of administrative renewal from both EU and non EU citizens.
Evolución anual de la población de Marbella. Años 2000-2013
150000
140000
130000
120000
Población
110000
100000
90000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
INSTITUTIONAL. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
2. INSTITUTIONAL SEGMENT
2.1.
Biannual evolution of municipal debt (private, with public
entities and total Marbella Town Hall debt. Years 20122014
Semester
Private financial
debt
2012 2S
2013 1S
2013 2S
2014 1S
2014 2S
57.329.541,30
55.869.764,75
53.150.548,74
51.615.852,38
52.991.702,60
Debt with public
administrations
363.074.379,68
358.076.736,25
355.467.411,19
349.709.830,85
335.137.634,56
Total debt
Variation
420.403.920,98
413.946.501,00
408.617.959,93
401.325.683,23
388.129.337,16
Prepared in house. Source: Área de Hacienda y Administración Pública
6.457.419,98
5.328.541,07
7.292.276,70
- 13.196.346,07
2.2.
Average period of payments to suppliers of the Marbella
Town Hall. December 2014
AVERAGE PERIOD PAYMENT TO SUPPLIERS OF THE TOWN COUNCIL OF MARBELLA
(In accordance with methodology R.D. 635/2014)
Average period payment to suppliers December 2014 32,55 days
Prepared in house.. Source: Department of finance and public administration
Semestral evolución of municipal indebtedness. Years 2012-2014
450.000.000,00
400.000.000,00
350.000.000,00
300.000.000,00
Total indebtedness
250.000.000,00
Private financial indebtedness
200.000.000,00
Indebtedness with public
administrations
150.000.000,00
100.000.000,00
50.000.000,00
-
2012 2S 2013 1S 2013 2S 2014 1S 2014 2S
INSTITUTIONAL. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
Monthly evolution of urban waste. Years 2012-2014
Monthly
tonnes of
recicling
jan-12
6.429
526
feb-12
6.305
492
mar-12
7.064
525
apr-12
7.641
577
may-12
8.184
680
jun-12
8.675
670
jul-12
10.090
769
ago-12
11.161
897
sep-12
7.838
626
oct-12
7.410
631
nov-12
7.036
590
dec-12
6.289
539
jan-13
6.359
564
feb-13
5.734
442
mar-13
6.943
583
apr-13
7.453
596
may-13
7.990
664
jun-13
7.855
570
jul-13
10.231
732
ago-13
11.157
716
sep-13
8.090
623
oct-13
7.771
576
nov-13
6.313
489
dec-14
6.221
497
Jan-14
6.580
540
feb-14
5.746
487
mar-14
6.738
526
apr-14
7.734
590
may-14
8.066
624
jun-14
8.435
683
jul-14
10.234
716
aug-14
11.443
761
sep-14
8.743
679
oct-14
7.727
646
nov-14
6.903
558
dec-14
6.840
555
Prepared in house.. Source: Delegación de Limpieza (RSU)
Monthly tonnes of
solid waste
Monthly evolution of solid waste (Tonnes). Years 2012-2014
14.000
12.000
Monthly
tonnes of
solid waste
10.000
8.000
Monthly
tonnes of
recicling
6.000
4.000
Lineal
(Monthly
tonnes of
solid waste)
nov-14
jul-14
sep-14
may-14
Jan-14
mar-14
sep-13
nov-13
jul-13
mar-13
may-13
jan-13
nov-12
jul-12
sep-12
may-12
0
jan-12
2.000
mar-12
2013
2012
Month
2014
2.3.
EMPLOYMENT. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
LABOUR MARKET SEGMENT
3.1.
Evolution of monthly registered unemployment by gender.
Months 2012-2014
2014
2013
2012
3.
Month
Registered
unemployment men
Registered
unemployment
women
Registered
unemployment
total
jan-12
8.520
8.410
16.930
feb-12
8.602
8.613
17.215
mar-12
8.434
8.624
17.058
apr-12
8.105
8.433
16.538
may-12
7.854
8.206
16.060
jun-12
7.330
7.718
15.048
jul-12
6.991
7.457
14.448
aug-12
7.027
7.425
14.452
sep-12
7.292
7.760
15.052
oct-12
7.692
8.113
15.805
nov-12
8.130
8.643
16.773
dec-12
8.203
8.701
16.904
jan-13
8.241
8.235
16.476
feb-13
8.990
8.990
17.980
mar-13
7.911
8.826
16.737
apr-13
7.860
8.762
16.622
may-13
7.469
8.444
15.913
jun-13
6.888
7.947
14.835
jul-13
6.497
7.511
14.008
aug-13
6.380
7.205
13.585
sep-13
6.688
7.445
14.133
oct-13
7.132
7.869
15.001
nov-13
7.480
8.161
15.641
dec-13
7.562
8.101
15.663
jan-14
7.645
8.262
15.907
feb-14
7.929
8.525
16.454
mar-14
7.656
8.497
16.153
apr-14
7.127
7.958
15.085
may-14
6.694
7.655
14.349
jun-14
6.222
7.313
13.535
jul-14
5.932
7.015
12.947
aug-14
5.879
6.815
12.694
sep-14
6.339
7.134
13.473
oct-14
6.624
7.474
14.098
nov-14
6.880
7.882
14.762
dec-14
6.881
7.874
14.755
Monthly evolution of unemployment by gender 2012-2014
10.000
9.000
8.000
7.000
6.000
5.000
Registered
unemploy
ment men
Registered
unemploy
ment
women
Lineal
(Registered
unemploy
ment men)
Prepared in house.. Source: Observatorio Argos
EMPLOYMENT. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
Monthly evolution of contracts signed, by gender and
contract type. Years 2005-2014
2014
Temporary
registered
contracts
total
2.016
1.645
3.661
apr-12
210
193
403
2.424
1.846
4.270
may-12
223
228
451
2.621
2.020
4.641
jun-12
202
194
396
3.015
2.543
5.558
jul-12
222
183
405
2.976
2.908
5.884
aug-12
138
151
289
2.186
1.927
4.113
sep-12
163
147
310
1.954
1.991
3.945
oct-12
215
280
495
2.260
1.993
4.253
nov-12
223
257
480
1.571
1.433
3.004
dec-12
131
178
309
1.337
1.450
2.787
Monthly registered contracts by gender and type of contract
2012-2014
4.500
jan-13
192
188
380
1.603
1.416
3.019
4.000
feb-13
205
198
403
1.409
1.160
2.569
3.500
mar-13
235
222
457
1.885
1.622
3.507
3.000
apr-13
254
224
478
2.483
1.996
4.479
may-13
258
231
489
2.935
2.270
5.205
jun-13
159
186
345
2.949
2.546
5.495
jul-13
202
258
460
3.467
3.204
6.671
aug-13
157
154
311
2.322
2.061
4.383
sep-13
205
214
419
2.188
2.173
4.361
1.500
oct-13
236
244
480
2.510
2.318
4.828
nov-13
187
193
380
1.986
1.625
3.611
1.000
dec-13
176
133
309
1.607
1.664
3.271
jan-14
184
192
376
1.760
1.805
3.565
feb-14
202
200
402
1.616
1.507
3.123
mar-14
346
288
634
2.030
1.775
3.805
apr-14
418
285
703
2.729
2.522
5.251
may-14
308
245
553
3.197
2.529
5.726
jun-14
301
245
546
3.201
2.941
6.142
jul-14
292
284
576
3.903
3.510
7.413
aug-14
177
218
395
2.687
2.269
4.956
sep-14
233
245
478
2.412
2.483
4.895
oct-14
243
272
515
2.517
2.304
4.821
nov-14
250
232
482
2.120
1.923
4.043
dec-14
163
175
338
1.840
1.776
3.616
2.500
2.000
500
nov-14
398
jul-14
189
sep-14
209
may-14
2.810
mar-12
jan-14
2.684
1.297
mar-14
1.317
1.513
nov-13
1.367
286
jul-13
293
123
sep-13
153
163
may-13
140
feb-12
jan-13
jan-12
mar-13
Temporary
registered
contracts
women
nov-12
Temporary
registered
contracts
men
jul-12
Indefinite
registered
contracts
total
sep-12
Indefinite
registered
contracts
women
may-12
Indefinite
registered
contracts
men
jan-12
2013
2012
Month
mar-12
3.2
Indefinite
registered contracts
men
Indefinite
men
Temporary
men
Temporary
women
Lineal (Temporary
men)
Lineal (Temporary
women)
Prepared in house.. Source: Observatorio Argos
HOUSING. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
4.
HOUSING SEGMENT
4.1.
Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing and
number of appraisals. Quarters 2012-2014
Quarter
T12-1
T12-2
T12-3
T12-4
T13-1
T13-2
T13-3
T13-4
T14-1
T14-2
T14-3
T14-4
Price of free market
housing (m2)
2.090,10
1.932,60
2.036,20
1.990,00
1.992,00
1.976,00
1.899,80
1.999,00
1.911,50
1.930,40
2.004,70
1.910,50
Nº of
valuations
343
364
359
378
437
619
343
585
443
526
445
525
4.2.
Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of
housing. Quarters 2012-2014
Quarters
T12-1
T12-2
T12-3
T12-4
T13-1
T13-2
T13-3
T13-4
T14-1
T14-2
T14-3
T14-4
Prepared in house.. Source: Ministry of public works
Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing (m2) and nº of
valuations Years 2012-2014
2.500,00
2.000,00
1.500,00
1.000,00
500,00
-
Price of free
market
housing (m2)
Nº of
valuations
Lineal (Price
of free
market
housing (m2))
Lineal (Nº of
valuations)
1.500
1.000
500
-
Real estate
Real estate
Real estate
Real estate
transactions
transactions
transactions
transactions
free market
subsidized
resales
new housing
housing
housing
475
7
413
69
638
5
589
54
544
6
495
55
825
19
733
111
502
1
481
22
861
2
812
51
738
5
696
47
989
8
930
67
858
5
797
66
1.137
4
1.013
128
827
3
773
57
1.193
1
1.065
129
Prepared in house.. Source: Ministry of public works
Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of
housing 2012-2014
Real estate
transactions free
market housing
Real estate
transactions
subsidized
housing
Real estate
transactions
resales
Real estate
transactions new
housing
Lineal (Real
estate
transactions free
market housing)
HOUSING. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
National ranking of absolute real estate transactions and
per 1,000 inhabitants. Comparison of twelve main Spanish
cities. Third quarter of 2014
Murcia
Malaga
Sevilla
Zaragoza
Barcelona
Valencia
Madrid
Palma
Alicante
Orihuela
20,00
Marbella
Alicante
15,00
Palma
Madrid
10,00
Valencia
5,00
0,00
Barcelona
Zaragoza
Murcia
Prepared in house. Source: Ministerio de Fomento
Malaga
Torrevieja
25,00
Malaga
Murcia
Sevilla
Nº of real estate transactions for every 1.000 inhabitants.
2nd semester of 2014
Sevilla
Malaga
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
Sevilla
0
Barcelona
Zaragoza
Barcelona
2000
Valencia
Barcelona
Valencia
4000
Madrid
Valencia
Madrid
6000
Palma
Madrid
Palma
8000
Alicante
Palma
Alicante
10000
Marbella
Alicante
Marbella
12000
Orihuela
Marbella
23,57
22,75
14,59
5,71
5,18
5,00
4,49
4,14
4,04
4,02
3,91
3,29
Orihuela
14000
Marbella
Orihuela
2155
1898
2024
1897
2069
15822
3531
6630
2694
2802
2216
1447
Torrevieja
16000
Orihuela
Torrevieja
18000
Torrevieja
Real estate
Nº of transactions
transactions
Municipality
for every 1.000
second semester
inhabitants
2014
Real estate transactions 2nd semester 2014. Comparison
with principal Spanish towns
Torrevieja
4.3.
Sevilla
Malaga
TOURISM.
Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014
5.
TOURISM SEGMENT
5.1
Monthly evolution of overnight stays. Years 2013-2014
Overnight stays
2
0
1
4
Residents
abroad
Total overnight
stays
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
sep-14
oct-14
nov-14
Dec-14
45.118
51.363
93.408
139.281
231.304
246.942
241.414
272.113
241.846
214.875
63.328
46.345
53.761
56.744
78.754
169.719
219.655
220.623
257.797
292.375
250.858
227.190
67.187
50.475
57.066
63.791
140.708
180.319
272.983
306.283
337.739
409.836
306.431
245.578
78.310
64.413
69.536
72.876
101.529
227.400
272.426
283.909
359.248
430.781
316.393
276.392
87.076
71.869
Monthly evolution of overnight stays 2013-2014
350.000
300.000
Nº de Pernoctaciones
2
0
1
3
Month
250.000
200.000
Residents
in Spain
Residents
abroad
150.000
100.000
50.000
-
Lineal
(Residents
in Spain)
Lineal
(Residents
abroad)
Prepared in house.. Source: INE
TOURISM.
5.2.
Monthly evolution of travellers. Years 2013-2014
Travellers
2
0
1
4
Residents in
Spain
Residents
abroad
Total
Travellers
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
sep-14
oct-14
nov-14
Dec-14
5.005
6.494
15.987
13.431
16.245
20.230
23.791
28.928
19.857
11.900
6.135
7.670
6.113
8.441
10.588
17.892
17.195
21.276
26.789
32.585
19.889
18.163
9.404
10.455
11.081
13.103
24.166
34.285
51.280
51.265
43.015
49.933
47.622
41.674
16.289
12.138
13.564
14.917
19.938
41.635
48.119
45.095
46.850
49.294
53.298
44.939
17.133
13.670
16.086
19.597
40.153
47.716
67.525
71.495
66.806
78.861
67.479
53.574
22.424
19.808
19.677
23.358
30.526
59.527
65.314
66.371
73.639
81.879
73.187
63.102
26.537
24.125
Monthly evolution of travellers 2013-2014
60.000
50.000
Nº de viajeros
2
0
1
3
Month
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
-
Residents
in Spain
Residents
abroad
Lineal
(Residents
in Spain)
Lineal
(Residents
abroad)
TOURISM.
Monthly evolution of average stay, occupancy rate and
personnel employed. Years 2013-2014
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
4
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
sep-14
oct-14
nov-14
Dec-14
Degree of
occupancy
by beds
Personnel
employed
25
26
37
39
56
62
67
80
64
53
27
24
28
29
31
49
63
67
68
80
62
55
28
26
1.388
1.547
2.102
2.480
2.750
3.184
3.301
3.602
3.125
2.636
1.718
1.542
1.487
1.603
1.755
2.624
3.048
3.188
3.656
3.761
3.341
2.925
1.944
1.617
Monthly evolution of degree of occupancy and average stay
2013-2014
Grado de ocupación y estancia media
Month
90,00
80,00
70,00
60,00
50,00
40,00
30,00
20,00
10,00
-
Average
stay
Degree of
occupancy
by beds
Lineal
(Degree of
occupancy
by beds)
Monthly evolution of nº of personnel employed 2013-2014
4.000
3.500
Nª de Empleados
5.3.
3.000
2.500
Personnel
employed
2.000
1.500
1.000
500
Lineal
(Personnel
employed)
-

2014 marbella economic situation

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