Aircrew and Spacecrew Radiation Exposure
Transcription
Aircrew and Spacecrew Radiation Exposure
Aircrew and Spacecrew Radiation Exposure “The Dangers of Getting High” B.J. Lewis Royal Military College of Canada Ottawa Chapter, Canadian Nuclear Society Ottawa, Ontario April 16, 2009 Outline z Aircrew Radiation Exposure Assessment z Measurements and Computer Code Development z Space Radiation Monitoring Typical Annual Radiation Exposure Total Average Annual Exposure 3.6 mSv Impetus • ICRP-60 (1990) and ICRP-103 (2007): – Reduce radiation exposure limits: • Nuclear Energy Worker (NEW): 50 to 20 mSv/year • Public: 5 to 1 mSv/year – Recognize occupational exposure of aircrew to radiation Aircrew Radiation Regulation • European Union (Basic Safety Standard Directive, May 2000) • Canada (Transport Canada, Commercial and Business Aviation Advisory Circular, April 2001) – Account for exposure for >1 mSv/y (> 8 km) • • • • Assess exposure Adjust working schedules (> 6 mSv action level) Inform workers Control doses during pregnancy (<1 mSv) Epidemiological Studies • P. Band et al., B.C. Cancer Foundation (Cdn/AC Pilots, 1950-1992) – • J. Grayson et al., Brooks AFB (USAF Pilots, 1975-1989) – • Excess female breast and bone cancer European Study of Cancer Among flying PErsonnel (ESCAPE) (9 countries) (1960-1997) – – • • Excess cancer in all sites, testis & urinary bladder E. Pukkala et al, Finnish Cancer Registry (FAs, 1967-1992) – • Excess AML and prostatic cancer Scarce evidence for specific occupational cancer risk Revised interest with ESCAPE II (or COSMIC) study to include US PAN AM cohort D. Irvine, British Airways Pilots, 1998 B. Grajewski, NIOSH Studies (FA (1998-2000), Pilots (2001)) – – FAs reproductive health effects Biomarker study of pilots Radiation Exposure to Aircrew Complex mixed-radiation field Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) Solar Particle Events (SPE) Galactic Cosmic Ray (GCR) Exposure Conditions • Relatively constant field dependent upon: • Solar Activity • Latitude • Altitude • Complicated field • Many particle types, large energy range • Greater uncertainty in biological risk Solar Magnetic Field Shielding (When) GCR intensity anticoincident with solar cycle 4500 400 4000 300 3500 250 3000 200 150 2500 100 50 0 1953 2000 19 1958 20 1963 1968 21 1973 1978 1983 Year 23 22 1988 1993 1998 2003 1500 2008 C lim a x H o u rly C o u n t R a t e /1 0 0 350 Su n sp o t N u m b er • Earth Magnetic Field Shielding (Where) • Greater shielding at equator than geomagnetic poles (factor of ~3) Atmospheric Shielding (How High) Satellite 40 km Balloon 20 km 10 km 1 km Supersonic Subsonic High Peaks Atmospheric Nucleus Equipment Suite Development Detector NIMs, Computers, UPS Anthropomorphic Phantom with TLDs and BDs MNS BGO Scintillators LET Chamber NE213 Scintillator LLRM Commercial Aircraft Measurement Eberline NRD SWENDI Ionization Chamber TEPC SWENDI Aircrew Radiation Studies Experimentation • ~250 Flights (Portable Instruments) • • • • Ionization Counter/Al2O3 TLDs (low-LET) SWENDI Remmeter/Bubble Detectors (high-LET) Liulin-4N and 4SN (Si-based) LET Spectrometers Tissue Equivalent Proportional Counter (Hawk TEPC) Model/Code Development • Predictive Code AIrcrew Radiation Exposure (PCAIRE) Ambient Dose Equivalent Distribution (μSv) 60 40 20 0 TEPC TOTAL = IC TLD IONIZING SWENDI + BD NEUTRON Quality Factor Q=20 Lung 4% Ionizing (low-LET) Q>1 Other 3% Q=1 93% Neutrons US Atomic (high -LET)Radiation Workers Q>1 Gamma 62% Q=1 1 38% X-Ray 1 Electron 1 Aircrew 20 TEPC Data from Selected Flight Routes Global Flight Group Trans-Pacific (CYVR-KIX) Trans-Atlantic (CYYZ-LHR) Trans-Canada (CYYZ-CYVR) Caribbean (BGI-CYYZ) Northwest/Yukon (CYOW-CYFB CYRB-CYSR-CYFB-CYOW) Flight Time (h) Total Dose Eq. (μSv) Q 10.2 6.5 5.0 5.7 10.2 57 ± 9 39 ± 6 35 ± 5 27 ± 4 54 ± 28 2.2 ± 0.4 2.5 ± 0.4 2.4 ± 0.4 2.2 ± 0.4 3.4 ± 0.6 Data Coverage LP PD DIAP HNL PGUA TEPC Count Rate 40000 35000 2000 30000 25000 1500 20000 Constant Latitude 1000 15000 10000 500 Heading North 5000 0 0 0:00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 Time (Z) 5:00 6:00 7:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Time (Z) 0:00 1:00 2:00 Altitude (ft) C o u n t R a te (C o u n ts/M in ) 2500 YGK-YYZ-HGK Polar Flight (2005) Toronto to Hong Kong Hong Kong to Toronto 12000 IC+SWENDI HAWK FH41B LiuLin FH41B Corrected Flight Altitude 10000 8000 1 6000 4000 2000 0.1 0 4/18/05 9:00 4/18/05 21:00 4/19/05 9:00 4/19/05 21:00 4/20/05 9:00 4/20/05 21:00 Date and Time YGK-YYZ YYZ-HGK (polar) HGK HGK-YYZ YYZ-YGK Altitude (m) Ambient Dose Equivalent Rate (uSv/h) 10 TEPC Data Analysis . Ambient Total Dose Equivalent Rate, H (μSv/h) Geomagnetic latitude calculated from geographic latitude & longitude 16 9.4 km 10.0 km (+2 μSv/h) 10.6 km (+4 μSv/h) 11.2 km (+6 μSv/h) 11.8 km (+8 μSv/h) Best Fit at 10.6 km 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 45 Geomagnetic Latitude, Bm (deg) 60 75 90 Latitude Dependence: Dose Rate Vs Cutoff Rigidity GCR ability to penetrate magnetic field Ambient Dose Equivalent Rate (μSv/h) Ambient dose equivalent rate (35000 ft) 10 North South Best Fit 8 6 Global Cutoff Rigidity Contours . 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Cutoff Rigidity, Rc (GV) 16 18 Altitude Effect (Balloon Flights) 40 km 10 Balloon 10 km Supersonic Atmospheric Nucleus 1 fAlt 20 km Balloon Data (July 14, 2001) Balloon Data (July 23, 2001) Model Satellite Subsonic 0.1 1 km High Peaks 0.01 0 200 400 600 800 Atmospheric Depth h (g / cm2) 1000 Solar Cycle Effect (10.7 km) Ambient dose equivalent rate (μSv/h) normalized to 10.6 km 8 RMC IC+SWENDI (Climax = 3744 counts/h/100, Φ = 984 MV) ACREM IC+NMX (Climax = 4277 counts/h/100, Φ = 498 MV) Best Fit ACREM IC+NMX Best Fit RMC IC+SWENDI 6 4 2 IC + SWENDI 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Vertical cutoff rigidity Rc (MV) Poles Equator PCAIRE Code Visual_PCAIRE.exe PCAIRE Code vs Concorde/ER-2 (NASA) (High-Altitude) TEPC Measured Route Dose (uSv) 160 Heliocentric Potential (FAA) Deceleration Parameter (NASA) 140 120 ER-2 North 1 ER-2 North 2 100 ER-2 East 80 60 ER-2 South 1 & 2 40 15.2 -18 km (Concorde) 15.2 - 21 km (ER-2) Concorde Flights 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 PCAIRE Predicted Route Dose (μSv) 140 160 Aircrew Annual Exposure PC-AIRE Prediction of Annual Dose Equivalent (mSv) 6 5 4 3 2 ICRP 60 Public Limit 1 0 Flight Attendants Pilots Canadian Annual Occupational Exposures 99-EHD-239 A verage Exposure (m Sv/year) 6 Nuclear Fuel Handler Industrial Radiographer Uranium Miner 4 Nuclear Medicine Technologist Commercial Aircrew 2 0 Occupation Health Impact • ~25% of population will develop fatal cancer • If aircrew exposed to 6 mSv/y over 30 years, risk of developing a fatal cancer: 6 mSv/y x 30 y x 4 x10-5 cancers/mSv = 0.7% Radiation Exposure from Solar Particle Events (SPE) • Highly sporadic events associated with solar flares and coronal mass ejection – Additional exposure to aircrew Aircrew Exposure from SPEs Proton Flux (n/MeV/sr/cm2) • Propagate GCR and GOES-11 spectra (p, He) through atmosphere with Monte Carlo Code (MCNPX) SPE GCR Proton energy (MeV) Dose and NM Count Rate Prediction Dose Conversion Coefficient Dose Rate Primary GOES spectrum m n m &E, H& (Sv h −1 ) = ∑ ⎡⎢∑ ⎧⎨c ⋅ ΔE ⋅ K ⋅ P ⋅ ⎛⎜ 3600 s ⎞⎟⎫⎬Φ& prim ⎤⎥ = ∑ P (E )Φ& prim (E ) i ,i +1 j ij E ,Ω i i A i E ,Ω ⎝ h ⎠⎭ i =1 ⎣ j =1 ⎩ ⎦ i =1 m ⎡ n ⎧ ⎛ 3600s ⎞⎫ & prim ⎤ m prim −1 & C (count h ) = ∑ ⎢∑ ⎨c ⋅ ΔEi ,i +1 ⋅ R j ⋅ Pij ⋅ ⎜ ⎟⎬ΦE ,Ω i ⎥ = ∑ PNM (Ei )Φ& E ,Ω (Ei ) ⎝ h ⎠⎭ i =1 ⎣ j =1 ⎩ ⎦ i =1 NM Count Rate Energy bin width MCNPX matrix coefficients NM Response Function Noisy Sun Effects Global Cutoff Rigidity Contours Solar Storm Effects and Solar Flare Anisotropy "SOHO (ESA & NASA)" Neutron Monitor Analysis th Neutron monitor peak count rate - April 15 , 2001 1.E+04 RMC Model (3 km) Count Rate (C/s) 1.E+03 1.E+02 1.E+01 RMC Model (0 km) 1.E+00 100 1000 10000 1.E-01 Effective Cutoff Rigidity (MV) RMC Model (0 km) Cape Schmidt Irkutsk Jungfraujoch Rome South Pole Thule Lomniky Stit Alma Ata Kiel Yakutsk Oulu Magadan Apatity Newark RMC Model (3 km) SPE Aircrew Exposure (GLE 60) Prague – JFK International, NY 18 (April 2001) Ambient Dose Rate (μSv/hr) 16 14 Start of Solar Flare SPE Model 12 Measurements (MDU) 10 8 6 4 GCR (background) (PCAire v7.2) 2 0 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Universal Time (UTC) 17 18 19 20 * Spurny et al Commercial Code Development: PCAIRESys • Operational environment: – Not for Research – Monitoring system for large number of personnel and flights Airline Airline Human Human resources resources database database I n t e r f a c e Database administrator PCAIRESys Pcaire system administrator National Dose Registry Dose database •dose by flight •dose by crew Employer Employees Sources of Space Radiation (Manned Missions in Low-Earth Orbit)* INNER RADIATION BELT (Protons) SOLAR PARTICLE EVENT (Protons to Iron Nuclei) OUTER RADIATION BELT (Electrons) N OUTER RADIATION BELT (Electrons) S GALACTIC COSMIC RADIATION (GCR) (Protons to Iron Nuclei) Magnetic Axis Spin Axis SOUTH ATLANTIC ANOMALY (Protons) * Adapted from: M. Golightly, “Radiation Familiarization,” CSA Training with SRAG, NASA, JSC, January 27-31, 2003. Nominal In-flight Radiation Environment Electrons in outer radiation belt Galactic Cosmic Rays Protons in South Atlantic Anomaly Space Weather Radiation Enhancements Outer electron belt enhancement--electrons Solar particle event (SPE)--protons Additional radiation belts-- high energy electrons, protons (?) Parameters that Affect Exposure or Susceptibility • Mission Factors • • • • • • Space Weather Orbit Inclination South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA) Passage Altitude Shielding Length of Mission • Individual Factors • • • • • Sex Age Health Status Nutritional Status Ethnicity Space Radiation Monitoring EV-CPDS: ExtraVehicular Charged Particle Spectrometer EV-CPDS TEPC PRDs CPDs IV-CPDS: IntraVehicular Charged Particle Spectrometer TEPC: Tissue Equivalent Proportional Counter RAM: Radiation Area Monitors (TLDs) PRD: Passive Radiation Dosimeter (TLDs) CPD: Crew Passive Dosimeter (TLDs, PNTD) Active instrument real-time telemetry Active instrument no real-time telemetry Passive instrument IV-CPDS TEPC RAMs CPDs * Adaped from: M. Golightly, “Initial Briefing to Astronauts Radiation Exposure During Space Missions, 1998 Astronaut Candidate Class,” NASA-JSC, June 10, 1999. Space Dosimetry* Type Program Measurements Crew Personnel Dosimetry: TLD-100 TLD-300, 600, 700 CR-39 or other Nuclear plastic track detectors Fission Foils All Programs STS, and ISS Apollo, Skylab, STS, STS, Mir Apollo, STS Absorbed dose Absorbed dose STS, Mir, ISS STS, ISS Absorbed dose Absorbed dose Apollo, STS Apollo, Skylab STS, Mir, ISS Mir, STS, ISS STS, ISS STS Fluence vs. LET or Z Neutrons Absorbed dose Lineal energy, dose, dose equivalent Fluence vs. Z and E Neutrons Neutrons Area dosimetry: TLD-100 TLD-300, 600, 700 CR-39 or other Nuclear plastic track detectors Fission Foils Active Ionization Chambers TEPC Z,E Telescope Bonner Spheres Bubble detectors Fluence vs. LET or Z Neutrons *Adapted from: F. Cucinotta, “Organ Dose Estimates for Astronauts,” CSA Training with SRAG, NASA-JSC, January 27-31, 2003. Typical Exposures • Daily Exposures – 150 – 200 μGy/d (solar max) (2 x greater at solar minimum) – 25 mGy or ~ 60 mSv for 140 days (CNSC terrestrial limits are 20 mSv/y) – Dependent upon where you spend your time/sleep/timing/altitude etc. • SPE Doses (IVA) – Highly variable • Small events ~100– 200 μGy ( ~ 300 μGy @ TEPC/Lab Fwd) • Large events ~ 10 – 20+ mGy (Jul 2000 estimate ~6 mGy @ Node1) Radiation Exposure Comparisons Type of Exposure Dose Equivalent • • Limit: Annual Canadian Public Limit: Annual Canadian Radiation Worker • • • Average annual exposure to natural background Average annual occupational exposure (US) (ground) Living one year in Kerala, India 2.94 mSv/y 2.10 mSv/y 13 mSv/y • Airline Flight Crew 1-6 mSv/y • • • • • • • • • Apollo 14 Highest Skin Dose Average Shuttle Skin Dose STS 82 Highest Skin Dose STS-57 (473 km, 28.5°) STS-60 (352 km, 57°) 140 day mission on ISS (400 km, 51.56°) 1 year in deep space (5 g cm-2 Al shielding) 1 year deep space (5 g cm-2 polyethylene shielding) Mars mission BFO Dose (GCR+SPE: behind 10 g cm-2 shielding) (3-year) 1 mSv/y 20 mSv/y 14 mSv ~4.33 mSv 76.3 mSv 19.1 mSv 4 mSv ~60 mSv 1140 mSv 870 mSv 800 to 2000 mSv Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation • Ionizing radiation causes atoms and molecules to become ionized or excited: – – – – • Produce free radicals Break chemical bonds Produce new chemical bonds and cross-linkage between macromolecules Damage molecules that regulate vital cell processes (e.g. DNA, RNA, proteins). Tissues that undergo rapid cell regeneration are most sensitive to radiation (e.g., blood-forming organs, reproductive organs, and lymphatic system) U.S. Astronaut Exposure Limits Non-Stochastic (Deterministic) Effects: NCRP-98 (Sv) and NCRP-132 (Gy-Eq)* Exposure Duration Blood Forming Organs Eye Skin 30 days 0.25 1.0 1.5 Annual 0.50 2.0 3.0 National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), “Guidance on Radiation Received in Space Activities.” NCRP Report No. 98, (July 31, 1989) NCRP Report No. 132 (Dec 2000) *NCRP-132 uses relative biological effectiveness (RBE) in place of quality factor (Q) Career Limit: fatal cancer (3% for all ages and both sexes) Career Exposure Limits NCRP Report No. 98 (1989) (Sv) 10 Year Career Exposure Limits NCRP Report No. 132 (2000) (Sv) Age (yr) Male Female Male Female 25 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 35 2.5 1.75 1.0 0.6 45 3.25 2.5 1.5 0.9 55 4.0 3.0 3.0 1.7 Observed Astronaut Health Effects (Hamm & Al 2000) • Significant increase in lifelong risk of cataracts in astronauts • • • Of 48 lens opacities in 295 astronauts, 39 of those occurred after space flight 90% of those 39 cataracts occurred after lunar missions and high inclination space flights 14 cases of cancer in 312 astronauts from 1959 to present (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers) • 59% higher than the control group Interplanetary Travel • No protection from Earth’s magnetic field image from NASA/Viking Summary z Aircrew Radiation z PCAIRE Code Development (GCR and Solar Flares) z z Experimentally-based - Only one! Commercial Airline Application (spin off) (PCAIRESys) • Space Radiation Acknowledgements RMC Research Team: Prof. L. Bennett, Research Associates and Assistants (A.R. Green, A. Butler, M. Boudreau, B. Bennett), Graduate Students (Dr. P. Tume, M. McCall, B. Ellaschuck, M. Desormeaux, Dr. M. Pierre, H. Al Anid) Air Canada, Canada 3000 Airlines, Canadian Airlines International, Canadian Regional Airlines, First Air, Aerolinas Argentinas, British Airways, Air Operations at 8 Wing Trenton, 437/436/429 Squadrons J. Servant (Transport Canada),C. Thorp & S. Kupca (DGNS/DND), W. Friedberg (US Federal Aviation Administration), H. Goldberg (Air Transport Association of Canada), M. Pelliccioni & A. Zanini (INFN), E. Felsberger (U Graz), S. Roesler (CERN), A. Chee (Boeing), H.Schraube (GSF), W. Heinrich (U Siegen), K. O’Brien (Northern Arizona U), U. Schrewe (FHH), D. Bartlett (NRPB), V. Ciancio (UNP), D. Irvine (British Airways), J. Lafortune and F. Lemay (PCAIRE Inc) G. Badhwar (NASA-JSC), F. Cuccinotta (NASA-JSC) H. Ing, M. Smith, K. Garrow (Bubble Technology Industries)