2011 Lake Almanor Review - Upper Feather River Watershed
Transcription
2011 Lake Almanor Review - Upper Feather River Watershed
2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Prepared by: Kyle Rodgers and Emily Creely March 2012 Table of Contents Introduction Page 1 Importance of Lake Almanor and Monitoring Section One Page 2 Creating a Water Quality Database Section Two Page 3 Current State and Trends in Water Quality Section Three Page 8 Recommendations for Future Monitoring Literature Review Page 10 Appendix A Minor Elements Review Acknowlegements: This report was made possible through the support of the Sierra Institute for Community and Environment’s Special Project Fund and The California Department of Conservation. 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Introduction: A Importance of Lake Almanor and Monitoring t the head of the North Fork of the Feather River sits Lake Almanor. Its idyllic mountain setting has made Lake Almanor a major draw. With almost 32,000 acres of water surface to play on, the lake is a major attraction for watersports enthusiasts and is home to one of California’s top trophy trout fisheries. In addition to forming the basis of the local economy, Lake Almanor is the beginning of a system that provides water to millions of Southern Californians and hydropower for Pacific Gas & Electric customers. Ensuring proper protection of this headwaters lake is vital to both residents and downstream users. Safeguarding this valuable asset will require a strong foundation of scientific knowledge. The Sierra Institute for Community and Environment began its work in the Almanor watershed in 2003 after two years of seeking stakeholder interest. Working with the Plumas County Board of Supervisors the Almanor Basin Watershed Advisory Committee (ABWAC) was formed; and Sierra Institute has worked with the ABWAC since its inception to provide stewardship of the Lake Almanor basin. Since 2009, the ABWAC has overseen water quality monitoring efforts at Lake Almanor and Sierra Institute was charged with providing this data to the public in a useable format. Prior to 2009, water quality data was collected by various groups and agencies (primarily California Department of Water Resources and Pacific Gas & Electric) with varied mandates over the years. As a result, no comprehensive dataset of water quality data existed. Therefore, Sierra Institute undertook an effort to: (1) develop a database of baseline water quality data using historic and current data; (2) examine trends to understand the general health of the lake; and (3) create recommendations for further monitoring and stewardship. 1 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Section One: Creating a Water Quality Database Water quality monitoring at Lake Almanor dates back to the 1960s. Despite this fact, inconsistencies in the data collection have limited its use for analysis. The first task Sierra Institute completed was to create a unified database. Such a database allows future monitoring to build upon past efforts so future changes in lake water quality can be identified with clarity and confidence. To create this database, historical data from 56 separate files were reconciled for comparison. These files contained monitoring data that had been collected at different depths, during different seasons, and using different protocols. The database was reviewed and analyzed to identify comparable data. This analysis was conducted for temperature, dissolved oxygen, nutrients, bacteria, and minor elements. The resulting excel database is available for download from the Sierra Institute’s website. The map below illustrates the locations of historical monitoring sites. 2 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Section Two: Current State and Trends in Water Quality In general, lake health is good to excellent. This analysis of historic and recent lake monitoring data shows that Lake Almanor provides generally high water quality conditions for both recreational use and good habitat for biological organisms. The lake has benefited from its location in multiple respects. Protected from overwhelming mass tourism due to its relative remoteness, the introduction of invasive species has been limited. Furthermore, the relatively cool climate, short growing season, and cold water temperature could be expected to limit the growth of some aquatic species that do arrive. However, this review highlighted a number of changes in the lake’s water quality that may affect future lake health, including the trends in temperature, dissolved oxygen, and nutrients discussed below. Temperature and Dissolved Oxygen Water temperature has been one of the most consistently monitored parameters with comparable monitoring data available for the past 20 years. When the average yearly water temperatures were calculated for the period from 1990-2010, an obvious upward trend appears. Average yearly water temperature increased over this period from 50.38 °F in 1990 to 56.95 °F in 2010. Yearly Average Temperature 59 Average Water Temperature (Farenheight) 58 57 56 Temperature (°F) 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year To find the “yearly average temperature” for the lake, available data from all sites was averaged. 3 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Increased temperatures have been accompanied by decreasing availability of dissolved oxygen in the water column, unwelcome news for a summer-stressed trout and salmon fishery in the lake. This period of minimal habitat available for coldwater aquatic species is seen when good habitat is graphed over time, showing the annual changes, which occur in the lake. The graph below depicts the seasonal changes in habitat availability for salmonids, an important fisheries component in Lake Almanor, showing the impact of the late summer constriction in terms of habitat reduction. Salmonid Habitat 500% 450% "Good" Samples 400% 350% 2010 300% 2009 250% 2004 200% 2003 2002 150% 100% 50% 0% April July September October Month Beyond simply finding that there is less water both sufficiently cold and with ample dissolved oxygen to meet the needs of trout and salmon in the lake, it was also found that high temperatures are increasingly the cause of this limitation. Parameter of Concern 120 Responsibility (%) 100 80 Temp DO 60 40 20 19 82 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 09 20 10 0 Y ear 4 At left this graph illustrates the growing role warm temperatures are playing in the annual struggle for survival by Lake Almanor’s trophy coldwater fishery. The expanding impact of temperature on the lake’s ecology is represented by the increased proportion of the columns painted red. 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations When temperature and dissolved oxygen are examined together, the results of these changes and their potential impacts on the lake’s coldwater fishery become clearer. There has been a gradual decline in the amount of good habitat and an accompanying increase in the amount of fair habitat since the early 1980s. To integrate these two parameters, “Good” salmonid waters were considered to be those with greater than 6.5 ppm dissolved oxygen and a temperature of less than 20 ° C. “Fair” conditions were waters in which only one of these conditions was unmet and waters which met neither condition were labeled “Poor.” Nitrogen and Phosphorus Nutrient data was reviewed and trends identified for total phosphorous and dissolved ammonia as these nutrient species had the most consistent records to work with. Total phosphorus has trended gradually upwards for roughly the past 30 years. Yearly Average of Total Phosphorus 0.07 0.06 mg/L 0.05 0.04 Total P 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 1973 1976 1977 1981 1982 1990 1993 1994 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 This graph demonstrates the increase in phosphorus found in the lake between 1973 and 2009. Phosphorus is a concern due to its potential role in fostering toxic cyanobacteria blooms. 5 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Dunne and Leopold (1978) suggest that long-term eutrophication of water bodies should be avoided when total phosphorus remains below 0.5 mg/L – although the EPA water quality criteria state that total phosphorus should not exceed 0.025 mg/L in lakes and goes on to find that waters with total phosphorus of 0.03 mg/L or less are unlikely to support problematic algal blooms. In Lake Almanor, yearly total phosphorus averages have generally remained at or above the EPA proposed threshold since the mid-1990s. Phosphorus may enter the lake from a variety of sources. While the Almanor Basin remains in a state of a limited development and has retained much of its forest cover, subtle changes in the landscape may increase phosphorus inputs to the lake. Interestingly, when the average yearly dissolved ammonia levels are calculated, the trend that appears is essentially the inverse of what is seen in total phosphorus over the same period. While dissolved ammonia levels were quite high during the 1990s, reaching a height of 0.67 mg/L (yearly average) in 1993, they have fallen to levels of around 0.1 mg/L since the beginning of the 2000s (graphed below). Yearly Average of Dissolved Ammonia 0.8 0.7 0.6 mg/L 0.5 NH3 average 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 1990 1993 1994 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year While some trends in nutrient levels in Lake Almanor have been identified here, nutrients were one of the more irregularly monitored data points over the period of record compiled. In order to learn more about the lake’s water quality, how it is changing, and what management actions should be taken in the future, it is imperative that additional knowledge be gained on the nutrients available in the lake. 6 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Bacteria Plumas County Department of Environmental Health has been monitoring bacteria levels at popular beaches along the shores of Lake Almanor for the past several years around the Fourth of July weekend. The data from these monitoring events show that total coliform concentrations have generally increased over this period. In contrast, concentrations of E. coli at three sites (LA-12, LA-13, LA-16) have shown significant decreases. Both total coliform and E. coli concentrations are well below the Freshwater Recreation Standards as provided by the California Department of Health (DPH). Current levels suggest no immediate health concerns. During 2009 and 2010, sampling was conducted to investigate the levels of cyanobacteria in the lake. Higher numbers of phytoplankton were found in 2010, but this may have been simply a reflection of increased runoff and stream flow due to high precipitation levels. Review of Minor Elements A review of the concentrations of ten important minor elements in Lake Almanor was conducted using historical data (1986-1999, 2007). Overall, there was little or no cause for concern seen among any of the elements reviewed. Average concentrations for each element were calculated and found to be below identified water quality standards. Elements reviewed were: Arsenic, Cadmium, Chromium, Copper, Iron, Mercury, Manganese, Lead, Selenium, and Zinc. More detailed information can be found in Appendix A. 7 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Section Three: F Recommendations for Future Monitoring uture water quality monitoring in Lake Almanor should be conducted to identify longterm trends by tracking several key water quality parameters. By using a select group of parameters, future monitoring can build on existing datasets to provide the necessary background data for drawing conclusions regarding changes in lake health. It is important that we continue to monitor the lake’s water quality and incorporate the knowledge that is obtained into decision-making processes in order to ensure that Lake Almanor is a great place for people to live and vacation in future generations, just as it is today. The following parameters should be monitored in the future as they have biological significance and indicate changes in water quality in the lake: temperature; phosphorus and nitrogen; Secchi depth; and phytoplankton. - Temperature and dissolved oxygen were selected primarily for their importance as indicators of the lake’s ability to sustain a salmonid fishery, which is important for the local economy, and for their ability to indicate impacts from a changing climate. - Phosphorus and nitrogen should be monitored to assess whether changes surrounding the lake are increasing its nutrient content and stimulating cyanobacteria outbreaks. - Secchi Depth measures the lake’s water clarity, a factor often closely correlated with eutrophication and cyanobacteria issues. - Phytoplankton is the only biological parameter recommended for monitoring and should provide a strong basis for summarizing the impacts of changes in the physical and chemical parameters. Specifically, phytoplankton monitoring will provide data regarding lake mixing processes and cyanobacteria blooms. 8 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations In addition to focusing consistently on this set of six parameters in the future, it is recommended that the number of sampling locations be consolidated to permit a more frequent sampling regime that will help depict the changes in the lake with greater temporal focus. This recommendation is based on the fact that historical data has not shown major differences between stations. This report recommends monitoring at two locations, (LA-03 and LA-04). With a finer chronologic resolution and consistent monitoring of key parameters, monitoring efforts will be better equipped to identify changes in the lake over time. Recognizing that variation in development levels and potential impacts may occur between the lobes because of the lake’s shape, the decision to include one sampling location in each lobe will enable the water quality monitoring program to provide a representative picture of the lake as a whole, while focusing on identifying changes over time. The map below illustrates the locations of future sampling sites labeled “LA-02” and “LA-03”. 9 2011 Lake Almanor Review: Survey of Water Quality, Trend Analysis, and Recommendations Literature Review 1. Assessment of Biological Indicators of Lake Health in Waikato Shallow Lakes – a Pilot Study 2006/2007. Prepared by Keri Neilson, Kevin Collier and Mark Hamer. Environment Waikato. 2008. 2. A Trophic State Index for Lakes. 1977. Robert E. Carlson. Limnology and Oceanography. 22 361-369. 3. Nutrient and other environmental controls of harmful cyanobacterial blooms along the freshwater-marine continuum. Hans Paerl. University of North Carolina -Chapel Hill, Institute of Marine Sciences. 4. Kelsey, R.H. and S.L. Powell. 2011. Deep Creek Lake Baseline Assessment Report. 5. Lake Monitoring Field Manual. Meredith Becker Nevers and Richard L. Whitman. USGS Lake Michigan Ecological Research Station. 6. Prattville Intake Modification and Potential Impacts to Lake Almanor Fishery Study. Interim report. 2004. Prepared by: Tom Gast, Thomas R. Payne and Associates. 7. Influence of nitrogen to phosphorus supply ratios and physicochemical conditions on cyanobacteria and phytoplankton species composition in the Experimental Lakes Area, Canada. SN Levine and DW Schindler. 1998. 8. Sacramento River Basin Report Card: Feather River Watershed: April 2010. Sacramento River Watershed Program. 9. Water Quality Control Plan (Basin Plan) for the Sacramento River and San Joaquin River Basins. http://www.swrcb.ca.gov/rwqcb5/water_issues/basin_plans/ 10. Summer heatwaves promote blooms of harmful cyanobacteria. Klaus D. Johnk, Jef Huisman, Jonathan Sharples, Bem Sommeijer, Petra M. Visser and Jasper M. Strooms. Global Change Biology. 2008. 14, 495- 512. 11. Analysis of Water Quality in Lake Erie using GIS Methods. Mark Hover, Ohio State University. Thesis. 1997 12. The Mekong River Report Card on Water Quality. Volume 2: June 2010. Assessment of Potential Human Impacts on Mekong River Water Quality. Mekong River Commission. 13. Watershed Report Card. Essex Region Conservation Authority. 2006. 14. http://www.erca.org/downloads/watershed_report_card06.pdf 15. Increased nutrient loading and rapid changes in phytoplankton expected with climate change in stratified South European lakes: sensitivity of lakes with different trophic state and catchment properties. Nauges, P., Nauges, T., Ghiani, M., Sena, F., Fresner, R., Friedl, M., Mildner, J. Hydrobiologia. Springer Netherlands. 667, 255-270 10 Appendix A – Minor Elements Review Period of Record: 1986-1999, 2007 Arsenic: The EPA standard for beneficial use impairment limit is .01 mg/L. The California Toxics rule established a standard of 0.150 mg/L (4-day average) for protection of aquatic life. Samples showed the average arsenic level to be approximately 0.002 mg/L and the range was <0.001 to 0.006 mg/L. Cadmium: All samples for cadmium were below the detection limit at either <0.005 or <0.001 mg/L. Chromium: Data ranges from 0.006 to <0.010 mg/L. Chronic exposure water quality limits are dependent on hardness but listed as 0.011 mg/L based on a hardness level of 100 mg/L. Copper: Samples ranged from less than 0.005 to 0.02 mg/L. While the necessary parameters to calculate the BLM-based copper criterion for Lake Almanor are lacking, the levels are low, below the requirement to meet drinking water standards – 1.3 mg/L. Iron: Total iron levels ranged from as low as 0.006 mg/L to as high as 5.2 mg/L with an average of 0.31 mg/L. The EPA guidelines for ambient water quality state that levels less than 1.0 mg/L should avoid negative effects of iron on aquatic life. This was exceeded 35 times out of nearly 480 samples taken from 1986 through 1999 and 1 time out of 36 samples in 2007. Mercury: Range of 0.000002 mg/L to 0.00416 mg/L with an average concentration of 0.00013 mg/L. This is well below the standard of 0.77 mg/L for chronic exposure. Manganese: Range from 0.005 to 2.10 mg/L with an average of 0.110 mg/L from 19861999. There is not an ambient water quality standard for this pollutant. The standard for human health protection for consuming organisms from waters is 1.0 mg/L. The highest concentration found during 2004 sampling was 0.65 mg/L. Lead: Water samples during the period of record showed concentrations which range from <0.00004 to <0.005 mg/L. The chronic exposure standard for protection of aquatic life is 0.0025 mg/L for lead. Selenium: Range from 0.001 to 0.005 mg/L with an average of 0.002 mg/L from 19861999. Both the average concentration and the range fall below the national recommended water quality criterion for selenium of 0.005 mg/L. Selenium concentrations did not exceed 0.0002 mg/L during 2004 testing. Zinc: With an average concentration of 0.029 mg/L and a range of <0.005 mg/L to 0.11 mg/L. The majority of samples (all but 3) were 0.01 mg/L or less – well below the EPA water quality criterion of 0.120 mg/L.