Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015
Transcription
Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015
Investor Presentation – Full Year Results 2015 23-24 March 2016 1 Disclaimer Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company´s forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company´s press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company´s analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice. 2 Opening remarks 3 Our deliverables We made very good progress and delivered what we promised Our industry The market is tough, but there are some encouraging signs Our position Hapag-Lloyd is well positioned to be successful in the future Our track record Hapag-Lloyd achieved its ambitious earnings targets in 2015 Our objectives Hapag-Lloyd will remain a strong Top 5 player in the future Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Hapag-Lloyd look back on 2015 Our objectives $ 2015 2016 June 2015 Structural improvements announced March 2015 New CFO (Nicolás Burr) 4 July 2015 7 x 9,300 TEU ships delivered New cooperation in Latin America 16 „Old Ladies“ retired August 2015 April 2015 6,000 reefer 5 x 10.500 TEU containers ships ordered acquired October 2015 New CCO (Thorsten Haeser) Debt repricing (interest reduced) September 2015 Integration of CSAV completed B2/positive outlook from Moody‘s B+/stable outlook from S&P December 2015 OCTAVE 2 launched USD 125 m early bond redemption November 2015 Successful IPO (USD 300 m primary) March 2016 Inclusion in SDAX February 2016 2 x wide-beam ships acquired January 2016 Compete to Win roll-out Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Strategic highlights: We have achieved a lot in 2015… Our objectives CUATRO OCTAVE CLOSE THE COST GAP COMPETE TO WIN IPO 1) CSAV container shipping activities (CCS) 5 Integration of CSAV1) completed in Q3 2015 USD 400 m net synergies (run-rate) OCTAVE with USD 200 m result improvements OCTAVE 2 launched in Q4 2015 Increase in ship fleet efficiency and container ownership – 5 x 10.5k ships ordered and 42% container ownership Increase in revenue quality and better utilization of stronger market presence – rollout started in January 2016 Successful initial public offering on 6 November 2015 – USD 300 m primary proceeds to increase fleet efficiency Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Financial highlights: …and delivered as promised Our objectives 6 Transport volume Freight rate Revenue 7.4 TEU m 1,225 USD/TEU USD 9,814 m 2014: 5.9 TEU m 2014: 1,427 USD/TEU 2014: USD 9,046 m +25.3% -14.2% +8.5% Transport expenses EBITDA Group profit 1,089 USD/TEU USD 922 m USD 126 m 2014: 1,363 USD/TEU 2014: USD 131 m 2014: USD -802 m -20.1% +602% Earnings turnaround Equity Liquidity reserve Financial debt USD 5.5 bn USD 1.0 bn USD 4.3 bn 2014: USD 5.1 bn 2014: USD 1.1 bn 2014: USD 4.5 bn Enhanced equity Adequate liquidity Reduced debt Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Tough market – Q4 results unsustainable Freight rates expected to recover in 2016 Our objectives CCFI composite index Carriers‘ operating margins Average carrier operating margins 1,300 1,250 1,200 1,150 1,100 1,050 1,000 950 900 850 800 750 700 650 600 Hapag-Lloyd EBIT margin 5% 3.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0% -3.6%1) -5% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 0.8% 0.6% -2.3% 50 0 -4.2% -5.1% -5.1% -5.4% -7.7% Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr 2013 2014 2015 HapagLloyd CMA CGM 1) Includes financial statements of Hapag-Lloyd, CMA CGM, Maersk, Hanjin, MOL, APL, NYK and K-Line 7 7.6% Source: Company information, Alphaliner, SSE Maersk NYK APL K-Line MOL Hanjin Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record M&A and new alliances create more stability, but it will take some time before things settle down Our objectives Recent M&A activities Changing landscape in a fragmented market… …including alliance dynamics 2M + G6 2,880 CKHYE 2,677 5,557 Ocean Three 2,362 Contribution in kind vs. new shares Non-alliance carriers 3,533 3,390 3,042 G6 Alliance CKYHE Alliance Ocean 3 Alliance 544 Integration completed in H2 2015 1,575 + 715 2M Alliance 966 958 1,818 COSCO charter/operate CSCL fleet 1) Pro-forma combined fleets assuming successful closing 8 Source: MDS Transmodal January 2016, Hapag-Lloyd data, only vessels >399TEU 397 357 349 203 Wan Hai NYK UASC 402 PIL 493 ZIM 532 509 Yang Ming OOCL MOL Hamburg Süd Hanjin Evergreen Hapag-Lloyd COSCO / CSCL1) MSC Maersk CMA CGM / APL1) Merger of two state conglomerates 558 860 Closing expected by mid 2016 + 618 575 Hyundai All-cash acquisition (0.96x P/B) K-Line 637 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Supply demand gap expected to decrease in 2016 Our objectives Supply / demand development 18 Net capacity growth Demand 16.2% Net capacity growth Supply 16 Postponements Scrapping 0.8 2012 14 12 9.3% 10 8 6.1% 8.3% 6.7% 6 4.8% 5.2% 4 5.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2 0.9 2013 8.5% 1.4% 3.5% 4.9% 4.4% 2.3% 0 2015 1.0% 1.0 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 -2 -4 2016e 1.0 2017e 1.0 0.2 0.3 1.4 0.3 1.4 -6 -8 -10.0% -10 2009 9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e Source: IHS Global Insight, Transmodal, Drewry , Clarksons 0.2 1.6 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Vessel sizes are reaching their economic maximum, which will help reduce the orderbook going forward Our objectives Declining benefits of ever larger vessels Comments Economies of scale slow down with increasing vessel size Cost 19,000 TEU ships still offer cost advantages compared to the first 15,000 TEU ships because of new vessel designs and operational concepts Approximately half of total savings are attributable to slow steaming The “true economies of scale” of ULC’s are only revealed in a comparison with modern 14,000 TEU units The rapid technologic advance came from the increasing bunker price Vessel size Total cost for transport chain Vessel cost per TEU Handling costs per TEU Container ship size close to maximum, as potential cost advantages by further increased sizes might be outpaced by increased handling costs OECD study: Estimated total cost savings per TEU1) 80 Decreasing cost savings of bigger vessels1)2) $ ,450 $ ,400 Old tech units at 22 kn $ ,350 Modern tech units at 22 kn ~15,000 TEU vessel vs. ~8,500 TEU $ ,300 Old tech units at 16 kn ~19,000 TEU vessel vs. ~15,000 TEU $ ,250 Modern tech units at 16 kn 40 20 0 16 knots USD / TEU USD / TEU 60 $ ,200 18 knots 20 knots 22 knots 24 knots $ ,150 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 Vessel size (TEU) 18,000 20,000 1) Based on bunker price of 350 USD/t aligned from liner assumption of 600 USD/t and on presumed round voyage of 21,000 nautical miles, comparing units of the latest 3 generations at 85% utilization 2) Starting point are 8,500 TEU vessels, build around 2003 10 Source: OECD study on the impact of mega ships, based on Dynamar 2015 Our deliverables Capacity measures being taken on multiple trades, as response to supply demand imbalances Our industry Our position Our track record Our objectives Asia – Europe [weekly capacity] 420 2014 TTEU Asia – North America [weekly capacity] 2015 -9.0% TTEU 460 400 440 380 420 2014 2015 +4.9% 400 360 -4.5% 340 380 320 Jan 360 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Asia – Latin America Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Idle fleet soars to new record high No. of services Asia-West Coast South America (Alphaliner) Share of world fleet -18% 11 Removal of about 14,000 TEU weekly or 18% of total capacity on this trade Q4 2015 1,200 1,000 800 600 Source: Alphaliner weekly and monthly newsletter 4Q08 838 830 779 356 4Q09 7.8% 1,570 1,420 1,480 400 200 0 Q3 2015 11 1,600 1,400 9 Dec 4Q10 212 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Step-change in results underlines our improved competitiveness Our objectives Company H1 2015 EBIT [USD m] Maersk 1,266 CMA CGM 715 Company 10.1% CMA CGM 9.0% Maersk HapagLloyd 299 5.7% HapagLloyd COSCO 262 7.0% OOCL OOCL 222 7.3% NYK Hanjin 206 6.0% K-Line H2 2015 EBIT [USD m] 180 165 108 72 -26 -68 2.4% Maersk 1.5% CMA CGM 2.3% HapagLloyd 2.5% OOCL (0.9)% Hanjin (2.7)% NYK (3.0)% K-Line (4.8)% APL (4.1)% MOL FY 2015 EBIT [USD m] 1,431 894 407 6.0% 5.8% 4.1% 294 5.0% 119 1.9% 38 0.6% Wan Hai 119 11.0% Hanjin ZIM 81 5.2% APL Evergreen 70 3.1% MOL NYK 64 2.1% COSCO NA COSCO NA K-Line 54 1.9% CSCL NA CSCL NA APL 37 1.3% Evergreen NA Evergreen NA CSCL 35 1.3% Hyundai NA Hyundai NA Yang Ming 16 0.8% Wan Hai NA Wan Hai NA (1.3)% Yang Ming NA Yang Ming NA (2.8)% ZIM NA ZIM NA Hyundai MOL -27 -92 -86 Company -120 -131 -15 (0.3)% -83 (1.5)% -223 (3.4)% Note: For selected peers including terminals and other business if no liner figure available 12 Source: Company reports x% EBIT margin Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Well-balanced exposure to global trade with strong position in attractive markets and niche businesses Our objectives Well-balanced global exposure Transpacific Atlantic Attractive market presence Atlantic Far East Reefer Services Other 22% 28% Latin America EMAO 5% Intra Asia 8% Intra Asia 7% Maersk 18% Latin America 30% Historical stronghold Consolidated and resilient Balanced leg profile Latin America LatAM – NA Transpacific 19% Far East 17% 13 MSC 24% EMAO 5% Atlantic 21% North South Trades 43% 1 CMA-CGM 8% East West Trades 57% Other 35% 1 HapagLloyd 19% MSC 19% Maersk Hamburg 9% Süd 18% Source: Alphaliner September 2015, CTS FY 2014, Dynamar LatAM – Far East Other 48% Maersk 20% Strong niche businesses 4 Globally Special Cargo Strong presence Dangerous Cargo Historical stronghold US Flag 1 of 3 certified carriers Cabotage Flag-protected LatAM – Europe Other 22% MSC 25% Hapag4 Lloyd 13% Hapag Maersk MSC -Lloyd Hamburg 19% 10% 16% Hamburg Süd Süd 9% 18% 2 niche market Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record The right assets – We have a competitive fleet and the means to further invest where needed Our objectives Vessel fleet as of 31 December 2015 Owned1) Capacity [TEU] >10,000 TEU 8,000 – 10,000 TEU Current fleet Current orderbook 131,674 131,674 52,945 10 10 5 Vessels Capacity [TEU] 243,614 38 49,743 44,983 94,726 7 7 14 68,154 209,069 277,223 15 44 59 26,784 74,418 101,202 7,0166) 9 26 35 2 Vessels Vessels Capacity [TEU] 2,300 – 4,000 TEU Vessels Capacity [TEU] <2,300 TEU Average age 7.1 years5) MODERN 66% 45% 34% 10-20 years Owned 54% Average vessel size [TEU] 32,261 2 19 21 523,8872) 442,2293) 966,116 59,961 71 106 177 7 Source: MDS Transmodal January 2016 >20 years Chartered 46% +440 +2,177 5,458 5,018 HL Top 20 3,281 World Fleet Total container fleet 1.6m TEU Owned 42% 1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 3 chartered-out 3) Incl. 1 chartered-out 4) Includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters 5) Weighted average age by capacity 6) 2x 3,508 TEU vessels built 2015 acquired by HLAG from NileDutch in February / April 2016 14 0% 55% Fleet ownership [%] 28,343 Vessels Fleet age [% of total capacity] ≤10 years 3,918 Vessels Capacity [TEU] Total 329,030 10 Capacity [TEU] 4,000 – 6,000 TEU 85,416 28 Vessels Capacity [TEU] 6,000 – 8,000 TEU Chartered4) Leased 58% Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Our Way Forward – Further improvements expected from our existing initiatives Our objectives Strategic projects to enhance profitable growth Tangible results in 2015 and further upside Compete to Win Successful implementation Structural Improvements OCTAVE CUATRO Value-enhancing investments Performance driven culture Continuous efficiency improvements Higher returns on capital Sustainable profitable growth 2016 Qualitatively enhanced growth Improved profitability Integration of CSAV 2015 15 Close the Cost Gap Improvement of revenue quality 2017 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record OCTAVE 2 as additional optimization project – Further efficiency improvements targeted Our objectives OCTAVE 2 G6 ENHANCEMENT Explore potential further areas of cooperation with partners PROCUREMENT Reduction of expenses in key categories, e.g. inland transport, terminal 16 TRANSSHIPMENT Improvement of transshipment management SHIP SIZE Increase of operational intake of existing vessel fleet STOWAGE Further improvement of stowage and increase of process efficiency SERVICE PORTFOLIO Reduction of number of (smaller) services to reduce complexity and improve profitability WEIGHT / UTILIZATION Improvement of utilization by increased focus on lighter cargo DEMURRAGE & DETENTION Increase collection of Demurrage & Detention by aligning and improving schemes across the organization Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Hapag-Lloyd significantly increased its EBITDA to USD 922 m (margin: 9.4%) in full year 2015 Our objectives Operational KPIs Transport volume [TTEU] Freight rate [USD/TEU] Bunker price [USD/t] Comments FY 2015 FY 2014 ∆/% 7,401 5,907 +1,494 / +25.3% 1,225 1,427 -202 / -14.2% 312 575 -263 / -45.8% ■ 2015 with full reflection of CSAV transaction Revenue ■ Transport volume increase and lower freight rate influenced by CCS integration Results Exchange rate [EUR/USD] 1.11 1.33 -0.22 / -16.5% Revenue [USD m] 9,814 9,046 +768 / +8.5% EBITDA [USD m] 922 131 +791 / +602% EBIT [USD m] 407 -509 +916 / NA ■ EBITDA margin at 9.4% for full year 2015 EAT [USD m] 126 -802 +928 / NA ■ EBIT margin at 4.1% for full year 2015 Investments [USD m]1) 836 439 +397 / +91% 1) Balance sheet investments in PPE 17 ■ Step-change in FY 2015 due to significant synergies and cost savings from Project CUATRO & Project OCTAVE Our deliverables Transport volume increase due to CSAV integration – Strong pressure on freight rates esp. in H2 2015 Our industry Our position Our track record Our objectives Transport volume [TTEU] Freight rate [USD/TEU] +25.3% +7.5% 2014 2015 1,500 7,401 5,907 5,496 2013 1,600 1,400 1,300 1,200 -14.2% 1,100 Ø 1,482 Ø 1,427 Ø 1,225 1,000 2013 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 FX-rate (USD/EUR) 2013 1.40 2014 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Bunker price [USD/mt] 2015 2013 700 1.35 2014 2015 600 1.30 500 1.25 1.20 400 -16.5% 1.15 -45.8% 300 1.10 Ø 1.33 Ø 1.33 Ø 1.11 Ø 613 1.05 Q1 18 Ø 575 Ø 312 200 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Our deliverables 25.3% increase in transport volume driven by CSAV integration – Balanced exposure to global trade Our industry Our position Our track record Our objectives Transport volume [TTEU] Transport volume [TTEU] Growth YoY [%] 0.2% 2013 2014 2015 5,496 +4.6% 5,907 +7.5% 7,401 +25.3% 2.3% 8.6% 7.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 12.3% 26.8% 32.0% 26.3% 16.8% 1,861 1,822 398 368 363 347 320 307 606 550 549 1,945 1,774 408 1,326 1,390 1,392 1,389 1,399 1,474 375 367 334 332 288 290 367 357 346 345 343 347 313 330 332 334 328 248 254 265 253 278 329 1,474 1,560 365 315 325 323 333 279 542 234 252 252 259 249 259 271 112 89 120 88 116 82 113 86 106 91 125 93 131 83 129 91 130 87 150 93 140 90 153 98 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q41) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Atlantic Transpacific 1) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014 19 379 Far East Latin America Intra Asia Adjusted for pro-forma CCS transport volume in 2014, EMAO HLAG 2015 volume was -3.6% down year-on-year Our deliverables Freight rate dropped -202 USD/TEU to 1,225 USD/TEU – HLAG average bunker price decreased to 312 USD/t Our industry Our position Our track record Our objectives Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t] Bunker cost / TEU as share of freight rate [%] 1,600 2013 2014 2015 20.9% 19.3% 10.1% 1,100 1,546 1,499 1,476 1,500 1,409 1,422 1,448 1,426 Adjusted for pro-forma 1,000 CCS freight rate in 2014, HLAG 2015 Ø freight rate900 was -144 USD (-10.5%) down year-on-year 800 1,4123) 1,400 1,331 Freight rate 627 1,300 700 1,264 622 603 1,200 Bunker price 602 595 592 600 1,189 585 525 377 1,116 317 1,100 306 245 1,000 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 -202 (-14.2%) Bunker price2) Ø 1,482 Ø 1,4273) Ø 1,225 Ø 613 Ø 575 Ø 312 1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per year 20 400 300 200 Q1 2013 Freight rate1) 500 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per year, excl. CCS (1M) 3) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Hapag-Lloyd remains focused on unit cost reduction Our objectives Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU] 1,363 -275 (-20.1%) -146 5 Compete to Win Price Consumption 4 Close the Cost Gap -42 12 -92 3 -6 Structural Improvements 1,089 2 -128 (-12.1%)1) OCTAVE 1 CUATRO FY 2014 Expenses for raw materials and supplies Port, canal and terminal costs 1) Cost of purchased services 2014: 1,057 USD/TEU 21 Chartering, leases and container rentals Container transport costs Maintenance /repair /other FY 2015 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Optimization of capital structure and financial position with further tangible savings in 2015 Our objectives Enhanced equity base [USDm] +8.5% +26.3% 5,068 5,497 4,013 Improved leverage position [USDm] EBITDA 517 131 922 Net Debt/ EBITDA 6.6x n.m. 3.9x 3,401 3,653 3,631 84.7% Net Debt 2013 2014 2015 Gearing1) Strong liquidity reserve [USDm] 735 95 640 2013 Unused credit lines 22 1,121 256 865 2014 Cash and cash equivalents 2014 2015 1 Debt repricing Reduced interest by USD 40 m (over remaining life) 2 Bond optimization Saving of bond interest of USD 12 m p.a. 3 Rating upside Positive outlook on the back of the IPO 625 2015 66.1% Successful financial measures 1,048 423 2013 72.1% 1) Gearing defined as net debt / equity Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Hapag-Lloyd reduced its debt by USD 192 m in 2015 and maintained an adequate liquidity reserve Our objectives Cash flow 2015 [USD m] Operating cash flow Investing cash flow Financing cash flow 635 -673 -201 -287 639 922 -831 1,121 131 43 88 865 Liquidity reserve 31.12.2014 1,048 -804 256 281 -53 Net repayment = USD -192 m Free cash flow = USD -38 m EBITDA Working Investments capital and other effects Dividends received / Disinvestments Capital increase1) 1) Netted with dividends paid of USD 2.3 m and payments for capital increase of USD 5.6 m 23 423 -237 Debt intake Debt repayment 625 Interest payments Payment made from hedges Liquidity reserve 31.12.2015 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record We expect a moderate increase in EBITDA for 2016 Our objectives Hapag-Lloyd guidance for 2016 Transport volume Clearly decreasing Freight rate Moderately decreasing EBIT 24 Global economic growth +3.4% Increase in global trade +3.4% Increase in global container transport volume +3.5% Increasing slightly Bunker consumption price EBITDA Market forecasts for 2016 Increasing moderately Hapag-Lloyd sensitivities for 2016 Transport volume +/- 100 TTEU +/- USD <0.1 bn Freight rate +/- 50 USD/TEU +/- USD ~0.4 bn Bunker price +/- 100 USD/t +/- USD ~0.3 bn EUR / USD +/- 0.1 EUR/USD +/- USD <0.1 bn Clearly increasing Source: IHS Global Insight February 2016, IMF WEO January 2016 Our deliverables Our industry Our position Our track record Our objective is to assure our strong competitive position as one of the top players in the industry Our objectives To deliver on our objectives we need to remain focused 2016 PLAN Deliver the planned benefits of the existing programs ALLIANCES Secure our position in a strong and integrated alliance WAY FORWARD CONSOLIDATION 25 Shape Hapag-Lloyd for the future to assure Top 5 position Participate in industry consolidation only if right opportunity arises Summary remarks 26 Our deliverables We made very good progress and delivered what we promised Our industry The market is tough, but there are some encouraging signs Our position Hapag-Lloyd is well positioned to be successful in the future Our track record Hapag-Lloyd achieved its ambitious earnings targets in 2015 Our objectives Hapag-Lloyd will remain a strong Top 5 player in the future Q&A 27 The industry stays highly correlated with global growth – Short term outlook at lower end of mid term 3-5% range Container shipping volume and global GDP growth 2000 = Indexed to 100 2000 – 2008 2010 – 2014 2015 – 2017e 2x 1x 1x GDP multiplier 300 +3.7% +4.9% +1.0% 250 +8.1% +3.1% 200 +3.5% +3.4% +3.6% +3.6% Transport volume +4.2% 150 Global GDP 100 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Global GDP 28 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Global container shipping volume (loaded TEU) Source: IHS Global Insight February 2016; IMF WEO January 2016/October 2015 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E Current spot rates need to go up especially on Asia-Europe Shanghai – Europe (SCFI) Shanghai – USA (SCFI) 6,000 2,500 NEurope (USD/TEU) Mediter. (USD/TEU) USWC (USD/FEU) USEC (USD/FEU) HL Transpacific* HL Far East* 5,000 2,000 4,000 1,500 3,000 1,000 2,000 500 205 195 0 Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 LatAm 1,500 1,200 900 600 332 0 Jan 14 29 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 15 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange (18 March 2016) Jan 16 761 0 Jul 14 Oct Jan Apr 14 15 15 Jul 15 Oct Jan 15 16 Comments HL Latin America* 300 1,000 Jan Apr 14 14 Jan 16 Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI) 1,800 1,659 Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) only reflects Shanghai outbound rate development Freight rates especially on Asia / Europe trade remain volatile Freight rates on Transpacific trade tend to be less volatile while freight rates on Latin America show a downward trend Hapag-Lloyd freight rates with more stable development * Hapag-Lloyd trade definition Close the Cost Gap: Investments done throughout the cycle – Further investments to come Recent projects… … with more to come 10 x 13,200 TEU Hamburg Express Class Delivered 2012 – 2014 Cost efficient growth Secure competiveness on East West and other Trades Hapag-Lloyd has purchased two 3,500 TEU vessels suited for the Latin America trade 12 ULCVs will come into service within G6 Further investment planning for the upcoming years being finalized 7 x 9,300 TEU C-Class Investments in niche markets where and when needed Delivered 2014 – 2015 1,400 reefer plugs Investment in new containers Consolidate leadership in Latin America 30 5 x 10,500 TEU (ordered) Best ship for the trade 2,100 reefer plugs Invest in container boxes Increase ownership ratio to 50%+ over time Positive earnings impact expected from purchasing rather than renting Compete to Win: Significant potential to further optimize customer profiles and cargo mix Improve profitability per customer (example) Lane 3 Keep Lane 2 Lane 1 Decrease share Contribution Contribution Increase share Bubble size represents market volume in TEU Grow Lane 5 Improve cargo mix (example) Reduce Lane 4 0 25 50 75 Milling products 100 Hapag Lloyd Share % Vehicle Machinery Beverage Paper Pilots successfully completed and implementation ramping up 2015 May Sales Organisation Sales Process 31 Jun Deep Dives in Europe, Asia, North America Jul Aug Sep 2016 Oct Nov Solution development Pilots in Asia, North America, Europe Dec Jan Rollout Preparation Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Sales Organisation Sales Organisation Rollout inOrganisation 4 Regions Sales Rollout 4 Regions SalesinOrganisation Rollout in 4 Regions Rollout in 4 Regions Sales Process rollout in 3 waves Development Pilots and Deep Dives (DD) Global Roll-out Benefits from a reduced bunker price and consumption Bunker price [Rotterdam; USD/mt] 1,200 MFO 1,029 922 1,000 800 MDO 602 572 200 462 236 408 354 1 Jan 2013 1 Jan 2014 212 185 0 1 Jan 2015 340 162 MFO 97% 3% MDO ∑ = 2,924 k mt 3.39 0.52 0.49 0.45 2,860 2,924 3,351 2,770 90 2,824 100 2,934 MDO 2013 20143) 2015 417 Bunker expenses5) [USD/TEU; USD m] FY 2015 MFO -11% 3.812) MFO 1 Jan 2016 Bunker mix [MFO; MDO] FY 20143) Bunker cons. per slot1) 4.09 Bunker cons. per TEU 606 822 600 400 Bunker consumption [mt/slot; mt/TEU; k mt] Bunker expenses5) per TEU 88% 347 160 1,908 12% ∑ = 3,351 k mt 306 1,810 1,185 MDO4) 2013 1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) HLAG excluding CCS 3) HLAG + CCS as of 2nd December 2014 categorization differences may occur 5) Expenses for raw materials and supplies 32 Source: Bloomberg (10 March 2016) 2014 2015 4) Due to CCS integration slight Hapag-Lloyd with group profit of USD 126 m Income statement [USD m] FY 2015 Revenue FY 2014 Transport expenses [USD m] % change 9,814.4 9,045.8 8% 215.0 155.2 39% Transport expenses -8,056.9 -8,052.6 0% Personnel expenses -537.8 -535.9 0% Deprecation, amortization and impairment -515.7 -640.1 -19% Other operating expenses -574.6 -522.7 10% 344.4 -550.3 -163% Share of profit of equity-acc. investees 31.6 45.4 -30% Other financial result 30.7 -3.8 n.m. 406.7 -508.7 n.m. Other operating income Operating result Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) Interest result -252.3 -278.6 -9% Income taxes 28.0 14.9 88% 126.4 -802.2 n.m. Group profit/loss 33 FY 2015 FY 2014 % change Expenses for raw materials and supplies Cost of purchased services Thereof Port, canal and terminal costs Chartering, leases and container rentals Container transport costs Maintenance/repair/other 1,185.3 1,810.2 -35% 6,871.6 6,242.5 10% 3,070.5 1,242.7 2,698.0 921.5 14% 35% 2,384.7 173.7 2,446.9 176.1 -3% -1% Transport expenses 8,056.9 8,052.6 0% Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU] Expenses for raw materials and supplies Cost of purchased services Thereof Port, canal and terminal costs Chartering, leases and container rentals Container transport costs Maintenance/repair/other Transport expenses 160.2 306.4 -48% 928.5 1,056.8 -12% 414.9 167.9 456.7 156.0 -9% 8% 322.2 23.5 414.2 29.8 -22% -21% 1,088.6 1,363.2 20% Hapag-Lloyd with equity ratio of 45.5% Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m] GROUP NET ASSET POSITION GROUP NET ASSET POSITION 31.12.2015 30.09.2015 31.12.2014 Cash and cash equivalents Assets Non-current assets Of which fixed assets Current assets Of which cash and cash equivalents Total assets 542.8. 864.7. Financial debt 4,256.3 4,362.0 4,518.1 10,301.7 10,381.0 10,022.3 Net debt 3,631.3 3,819.2 3,653.4 1,704.8 1,613.0 2,179.7 423.4 486.4 255.8 625.0 542.8 864.7 Liquidity reserve 1,048.4 1,029.2 1,120.5 Equity 5,496.8 5,240.6 5,068.1 12,068.5 12,055.8 12,271.0 Gearing (net debt/equity) (%) 66.1% 72.9% 72.1% Equity ratio (%) 45.5% 43.5% 41.3% 5,240.6 5,068.1 Borrowed capital 6,571.7 6,815.2 7,202.9 Of which non-current liabilities 3,958.4 4,275.1 4,537.7 Of which current liabilities 2,613.3 2,540.1 2,665.2 Of which financial debt 4,256.3 4,362.0 4,518.1 3,591.7 3,857.7 4,022.2 664.6 504.3 495.9 12,068.5 12,055.8 12,271.0 thereof 34 625.0. 10,091.3 5,496.8 Total equity and liabilities 31.12.2014 10,442.8 Equity Current financial debt 30.09.2015 10,363.7 Equity and liabilities Non-current financial debt 31.12.2015 Unused credit lines Hapag-Lloyd was successfully listed on 6 Nov 2015 Hapag-Lloyd executed IPO in Q4 2015 Stock trading (since 6-Nov) Basic data Frankfurt Stock Exchange Hamburg Stock Exchange 120 Market segment Regulated market (Prime Standard) 80 ISIN DE000HLAG475 Stock exchange 100 60 40 WKN HLAG47 Ticker Symbol HLAG Primary listing 6 November 2015 Placement price EUR 20 Number of shares 118,110,917 6-Nov 6-Dec Hapag-Lloyd NOL DAX Global Shipping USD 300 m Lock-up 4 May 2016 Maersk OOCL Source: Bloomberg (18 March 2016) 6-Mar Evergreen SDAX Free float CSAV 15.5% 31.4% 12.3% 20.2% Kühne 35 6-Feb Shareholder structure TUI Primary component 6-Jan 20.6% HGV Hapag-Lloyd has issued three bonds on debt capital markets EUR Bond 2019 EUR Bond 2018 USD Bond 2017 Issuer Hapag-Lloyd AG Hapag-Lloyd AG Hapag-Lloyd AG Volume EUR 250 m EUR 400 m USD 125 m1) Minimum order 100,000 EUR 100,000 EUR 150,000 USD Issue date November 20, 2014 September 20, 2013 October 01, 2010 Maturity date October 15, 2019 October 01, 2018 October 15, 2017 Redemption prices as of Oct 15, 2016: 103.750% as of Oct 15, 2017: 101.875% as of Oct 15, 2018: 100% as of Oct 15, 2015: 102.4375% as of Oct 15, 2016: 100% Coupon 7.50% 7.75% 9.75% Coupon payment April 15 and October 15 January 15 and July 15 April 15 and October 15 ISIN XS1144214993 XS0974356262 USD33048AA36 WKN A13SNX A1X3QY A1E8QB Listing Open market of the LxSE Open market of the LxSE Open market of the LxSE Trustee Deutsche Trustee Company Limited Deutsche Trustee Company Limited Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch 1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015 36 as of Oct 01, 2015: 103.875% as of Oct 01, 2016: 101.938% as of Oct 01, 2017: 100% Hapag-Lloyd bonds continuously trade above par Hapag-Lloyd bonds 110 101.9 101.8 101.3 100 90 Jan/14 May/14 Sep/14 HL USD 9.75% 2017 Jan/15 May/15 HL EUR 7.75% 2018 Sep/15 Jan/16 HL EUR 7.50% 2019 YTW Hapag-Lloyd bonds Current Yield Current Trading 37 Source: Citi (18 March 2016) 9.75% 2017 7.75% 2018 7.50% 2019 7.4% 6.5% 6.7% 101.3% 101.8% 101.9% Imbalances: Hapag-Lloyd outperforms the market Number of full non-dominant leg containers per 10 full dominant leg containers1) Container Steering Special Know-How/ IT Dominant leg Advantageous customer portfolio Transpacific Cost-efficient management of equipment flows Transatlantic More balanced trades, reduction in empty container moves EuropeFar East 10 7 5 7 6 7 6 Hapag-Lloyd 1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded 38 Source: IHS Global Insight February 2016; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition Market Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported Highly diversified customer base1) Strong relationship with blue chip customers 100% 31% Top 50 Customers (∑ = 36%) 22% 10% 9% 9% 18% TOP 10 TOP 11-25 TOP 26-50 TOP 51-100 TOP 101-500 > 500 Total Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL’s revenue Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3) Automobile Others 4) 18% Beverages 6% 3% Chemical 13% Others 4% Textile 7% 45%39% 5% Electronic Paper & Forest 11% 15% Foodstuff 4% 10% Machinery Furniture 8% Metal 39 Direct customers 57% Diversified exposure Freight forwarders – secure volumes in both directions, optimizing trade flows Direct customers – better visibility on future volumes Freight forwarders 1) Based on FY 2015 volumes EoV 2) Based on FY 2015 volumes EoV 3) Based on FY 2015 volumes EoV 4) Others: FAK = Freight of all kinds Henrik Schilling Senior Director Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] http://ir.hapag-lloyd.com/websites/hapaglloyd/English/0/ir-home.html 40