Nextel - NASDAQ.com
Transcription
Nextel - NASDAQ.com
Communications Nextel Nextel makes the right Telecomms operator Nextel is focusing on high-margin business to stay ahead of the competition, president and CEO Tim Donahue tells Paul Taylor. 14 NASDAQ MAR/APR 2003 16 ▲ enables Nextel customers to use their handsets like long-range ‘walkie-talkie’ radios as well as to make regular cell phone calls. Donahue, an industry veteran who joined Nextel in 1996 and became CEO three years later, is a long-time associate of wireless pioneer Craig McCaw, who came to Nextel’s rescue with a $1.1 billion investment in 1995. Since then, Donahue has helped Nextel outshine its larger rivals. “Three years ago, we developed a strategy to stay focused on business customers,” says Donahue. “Direct Connect is the lure for these high-value customers. With it, they can communicate internally at a fraction of the cost of a phone call,” he adds. Since his arrival, Donahue has increased the sales force, to sell more phones and services to existing business customers. Today, roughly 90 percent of Nextel’s customer base are business customers. “Even in this challenging climate, we continue to see great p18 CEO Donahue: “By every industry metric, we are ahead of the competition.” Photography: Martin Simon I n the midst of the gloom of the battered U.S. telecommunications sector, one wireless telecomms network operator – Reston, Virginiabased Nextel (NASDAQ: NXTL) – stands out. By offering high-margin business customers products they can’t get anywhere else, Nextel is adding customers – and making a profit. Nextel was the fifth-largest U.S. wireless operator at the end of the third quarter of 2002 with 7.4 percent of the market, according to Merrill Lynch. It is thriving while rivals stumble, thanks to a two-pronged strategy: providing targeted products to high-value business users in sectors such as construction, financial services, retail, utilities and the emergency services. And it has developed a unique service, Direct Connect, to do this. According to Tim Donahue, president and CEO of Nextel, the Direct Connect technology gives the company a huge advantage, as none of its rivals have anything like it. Direct Connect NASDAQ MAR/APR 2003 17 Graphics: Nigel Hawtin Communications Nextel opportunity for growth in the Fortune 1000, small and mid-sized businesses, government and other vertical industries, and the high-end individual decision-maker,” says Donahue. This customer set has helped make Nextel one of the few bright spots in the telecomms sector, and one of the few companies that is gaining market share. “By every industry metric, we are ahead of the competition,” claims Donahue. While most other wireless telecomms network operators are struggling to keep existing subscribers, Nextel has steadily increased its U.S. subscriber base. It added 480,000 subscribers in the third quarter of 2002, to take the total to more than 10 million – “an important milestone”, says Donahue. “Our customer base is growing thanks to Direct Connect, as well as our ‘always-on’ packet data network. We have demonstrated four consecutive quarters of improving financial results, eliminated a sizeable portion of debt, and sustained a subscriber turnover, or ‘churn’, rate that’s among the lowest in the industry,” he adds. Nextel’s business customers are among the most loyal in an industry notable for high rates of churn – a Left: Connecting without calling – at the press of a button, Nextel’s Direct Connect technology, which is built into all of its handsets, enables subscribers to reach other Nextel users in a local Direct Connect call area. Like a walkie-talkie, the phone can be held away from the head. measure of the number of customers leaving a network. Nextel’s churn rate is 2 percent, compared with the U.S. average of 2.7 percent, says Donahue. This helps Nextel push down costs, a key element of its strategy. “Nextel is improving its back-office systems, scaling network expenditures, and keeping network quality and customer satisfaction at high levels while reducing churn,” says Donahue. Advanced technology At the heart of Nextel’s success is its technology. Not only do Nextel customers have a phone and a walkie-talkie in one, but they can use their handsets overseas on GSM (global system for mobiles) networks and plug in to 2.5G-style, higher-speed data services. These typically offer between 15,000 and 20,000 bits of information a second (BPS), compared with 9,600BPS for older-style CDMA (code division multiple access) and GSM networks. New software is planned that will double the voice capacity of Nextel’s existing network, and compression technology has afforded a lift in data rates to between 30BPS and 50BPS, both without the need for massive capital expenditure. These technical advantages have enabled Nextel to carve out a lucrative niche in the mobile voice and data market. As Donahue points out, Nextel is “by far the largest provider of data services in the U.S.”. Roughly 20 percent of its customers regularly use Nextel’s wireless network for data, and more than a third of its enterprise customers run at least one data application over the Nextel network. Customer take-up of these additional services has allowed Nextel to steadily increase its average revenue per subscriber (ARPU). Nextel collects an average of $71 a month from each of its subscribers. The figure for the U.S. wireless industry as a whole is just $50, according to Merrill Lynch. Those enterprise customers using the network’s data capabilities have an even higher ARPU ($95 each per month) and a churn rate of less than 1 percent. The lifetime value of a Nextel customer, says Donahue, is around $3,500, compared with an average $2,200 for rival U.S. wireless carriers. Donahue believes these figures reflect the company’s focus on higher margin business customers and the fact that for these customers, in particular, “Nextel is very important”. To further drive adoption among enterprise customers, Nextel is launching enhanced services such as GPS-enabled (global positioning system) handsets, designed to be used by fleet dispatchers and others in charge of mobile workforces. “Dispatchers know the location of every truck at all times,” says Donahue. “As a result, they can send the driver better information – a new bill of lading, for example, or a change in delivery schedules.” For this kind of application, Nextel can charge $13-16 a month per vehicle for fleets of 6,000-10,000 longhaul trucks, in addition to the voice service. Direct Connect success But while these services are popular with business customers, it is Nextel’s Direct Connect service that defines the company and sells it to customers such as the Las Vegas-based MGM/Mirage hotel group and General Motors. All Nextel handsets come with a large button on the side – press it and you can talk immediately to another Nextel user or a defined group of co-workers. No other U.S. operator at present has the technology to offer a comparable service. The cost and complexity of developing one deters potential rivals, says Donahue. Analyst Ben Abramovitz, of Jefferies & Co., agrees. “Nextel remains insulated [from competitors] as we continue to believe that a competitive, commercially viable push-to-talk [Direct Connect] product won’t be available for some time from the CDMA operators,” he says. Donahue intends to build on this advantage. “We’ll continue to lead the industry with rational pricing of our wireless service, price plan packages and equipment subsidies,” he says. “Because we deliver what no other company can, we’re able to price our service to deliver greater value, while giving our customers an obvious return on their investment through greater productivity.” The combination has worked well so far. Today Nextel and Nextel Partners (NXTP), a separate but associated company, serve 197 of the top 200 U.S. markets where approximately 240 million people live or work, the company says. Last year, U.S. revenues totaled just over $7 billion with EBITDA of $1.8 billion. In the third quarter of 2002 ending 30 September, Nextel recorded margins of 41 percent and posted EBITDA of $878 million, compared with $526 million a year earlier. For the full year, Nextel has told analysts to expect EBITDA to top $3 billion. “By all measures, 2002 was an extremely successful year for Nextel,” says Donahue. “Not only did we accomplish our goal to gain more than 1.9 million net new subscribers, but we expect to generate at least $3.1 billion in operating cash flow and also reduce capital expenditures by more than 20 percent over 2001 to under $1.9 billion.” Nextel retired $2.6 billion in debt, convertibles and preferred stocks by 30 September 2002, realizing around $235 million in annual savings from avoided interest and dividend payments. By focusing on margins, keeping a tight rein on capital spending and operating expenses, Nextel has improved its results at a time when most of its Direct Connect: reaching across the U.S. Nextel’s subscribers make more than 150 million Direct Connect calls every day using the Direct Connect button on the side of every Nextel wireless phone. Pressing the button enables subscribers to reach other Nextel customers within a local Direct Connect calling area, which can extend for hundreds of miles, in milliseconds without placing a phone call. And at a fraction of the cost of a regular cell phone call. Nextel is able to offer Direct Connect because its all-digital network was built around Motorola’s integrated Digital Enhanced Network (iDEN) wireless technology – the first to combine enhanced digital cellular, two-way radio and text/numeric paging in one phone. This packet-based technology was launched in Chicago in September 1996, a few months after Nextel placed a $100 million order with Motorola for iDEN equipment. By the end of 1996, Nextel had made available the service in Detroit, Las Vegas, Denver, Boston and Atlanta. Today Nextel and Nextel Partners serve 240 million people in 197 of the top 200 U.S. markets. Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide uses Nextel’s Direct Connect and two-way messaging services on more than 2,000 handsets for communication across North America. Nextel and Starwood are now partners in providing wireless data applications for the hospitality industry. At Nestle’s R&D facilities in Marysville, Ohio, a team developing coffee, ice cream and confections uses Direct Connect to keep in touch as it’s cheap, quick and efficient. And Tennessee’s Shelby County Sheriff’s office uses Direct Connect for its communications and Nextel’s wireless web and Java-enabled handsets to provide secure, real-time mobile access to data in state and local law enforcement databases, such as arrest records and vehicle registrations. This year, Nextel is launching Nationwide Direct Connect, which will allow customers to communicate across the country. Scheduled for completion by mid-2003, the year-long roll-out began in the fourth quarter of 2002, with phase one offered in Nextel’s New York and Boston markets. Nextel’s services provide multiple users with direct, instant and secure all-digital communication. Instead of dialing a number, the Direct Connect user simply presses a button on the side of the phone and connects to another user as if they were using a walkie-talkie radio. The Direct Connect call is processed on the Nextel network in milliseconds and sent through to one or more recipients, who can be hundreds of miles away. “We’ll continue to lead the industry with rational pricing of our wireless service, price plan packages and equipment subsidies” CEO Tim Donahue Users can use the phone like a walkie-talkie rather than a cell phone, allowing them to hold the handset away from the ear and head. rivals are struggling. The company turned earnings positive in the second quarter this year and expects to have positive free cash flow in early 2004 or sooner, say senior Nextel executives. This looks good to analysts. According to Peter Friedland of WR Hambrecht: “Nextel’s strong results provide evidence of its ability to scale to positive free cash flow, while its focus on swapping out debt and preferred stocks for common equity is resulting in a vastly improved capital structure and balance sheet.” All of this makes Donahue confident about the outlook for this year. “All our indications are pointing to achieving positive free cash flow in 2003. We’ll do this by maintaining our focus of attracting and keeping the most valuable customers in the wireless industry, while at the same time streamlining our cost structure.” N Paul Taylor is based in New York and writes regularly for the Financial Times. www.nextel.com NASDAQ MAR/APR 2003 19