A-paper, 204 ABN AMRO Group, 208 Abu Dhabi
Transcription
A-paper, 204 ABN AMRO Group, 208 Abu Dhabi
INDEX A A-paper, 204 ABN AMRO Group, 208 Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, 304 accommodating policy, 674 accountability, 390 391 accounting firms, 188 accounting net worth, 336n adaptive expectations, 147, 148 adjustable-rate mortgages, 259 advances, 316, 407, 412 413 adverse selection see also asymmetric information collateral, 176 177 credit risk management, 330 334 defined, 171 described, 32 33 financial intermediation, 175 176 financial structure, influence on, 171 177 financial supervision and, 231 free-rider problem, 173 and government regulation to increase information, 174 175 and government safety net, 228 lemons problem, 171 177 net worth, 176 177 private production, 173 sale of information, 173 tools to help solve problems, 173 177 adverse shocks, 549 Affected Trusts, 208 after-tax real interest rate, 78n Afxentiou, Panos, 400 agency problems, 205 206, 341 agency theory, 171 aggregate demand components of, 619 620 defined, 619 deriving the aggregate demand curve, 620 622 equation, 573 equilibrium, 627 633 aggregate demand curve, 613 616, 620 622 aggregate demand function, 577 aggregate demand shocks, 630 631 aggregate output aggregate demand, 573 aggregate demand function, 577 autonomous consumer expenditure, 580 581, 584 changes in equilibrium level of, 601 603 consumer expenditure, 573, 574 575 consumption function, 574 575, 575f defined, 6 determinants of, 572 586 and expansionary policy, 696 697, 701 703 expenditure multiplier, 578 581 fiscal policy, response to change in, 602 603 government, role of, 581 583 government spending, 573, 581 583, 584 585, 603 international trade, role of, 583 and ISLM model, 592 593, 592f Keynesian cross diagram, 576 578 monetary policy, response to change in, 601 602 and money supply, 602 net exports, 573, 586 in new classical macroeconomic model, 696 planned investment spending, 573, 575 576, 579, 579f, 584 and price level, 620 response of, 585t taxes, 585, 603 and unemployment, 620 aggregate price level and aggregate output, 620 defined, 7 equilibrium interest rate, changes in, 102 and exchange rates, 501 expansionary policy, response to, 701 703 expected price level, 626 fixed, 573 and the money supply, 8f unanticipated price level channel, 657 658, 662 unexpected decline, and balance sheets, 197 aggregate supply defined, 619 deriving the aggregate supply curve, 622 627 equilibrium, 627 633 aggregate supply curve, 622 627 aggregate supply shocks, 631 AIG, 209, 210, 227, 292, 375 Akerlof, George, 172n Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund, 304 Alberta Municipal Financing Corporation, 27 Alberta Treasury Branches, 277, 406n, 432n, 433n Alesina, Alberto, 401n alt-A mortgages, 204 American Express, 260 American International Group. See AIG American options, 362 American Stock Exchange (AMEX), 301 anchor country, 540 anchor currency, 524 Ando, Albert, 649n animal spirits, 581, 671n annual percentage rate (APR), 235 annuities, 290 anti-inflation policies, 704 706 anticipated policy, 694 696, 699 appreciation, 11, 495, 497 Arab countries, and sovereign wealth funds, 304 arbitrage, 153, 231, 351 Argentina Central Bank of Argentina, 545 currency, collapse of, 221 currency board, 544, 545 financial crises in, 217 222 fiscal imbalances in, 199 foreign exchange crisis, 533 534 foreign lending to, 279, 280 Arthur Andersen, 188, 191 asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) market, 207, 208 209 Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility, 459 asset demand determinants of, 83 85 expected return, 83 liquidity, 83, 84 risk, 83 84 theory of asset demand, 84, 84t wealth, 83 asset-liability management (ALM) committee, 326 asset management, 321, 325 asset market approach, 88, 88n, 503n, 510n asset market effects, and balance sheets, 197 199 asset-price bubble, 202, 481 485 asset price channels, 654 655 asset transformation, 32 assets asset price boom and bust, 202 on bank balance sheet, 317 318 on Bank of Canada s balance sheet, 406 407 as collateral, 23 defined, 3 demand for. See asset demand of financial intermediaries, 39 plain vanilla assets, 208 portfolio, 32 real assets, 91 restrictions on asset holdings, 229 230 risky assets, 229 230 write-downs, and balance sheets, 198 asymmetric information see also adverse selection; moral hazard consumer protection, 235 credit risk management, 330 334 credit view, 652 727 728 Index defined, 37, 171 described, 32 34 and financial regulation, 225 237 in Great Depression, 204n problems, and tools to solve them, 182 183, 183t at the money option, 363 ATB Financial, 208 Atta-Mensah, Joseph, 52n auditors, 188, 257 audits, 174, 188 Australia channel/corridor system, 436 indexed securities, 79 inflation targeting, 467, 471 mergers, 285 reserve requirements, 407, 436 Automated Clearing Settlement System (ACSS), 284, 433 automated teller machine (ATM), 6, 260 261, 272 autonomous consumer expenditure, 574, 580 581, 584, 597 B BAA-Treasury spread, 117 bailout package, 210 balance of payments, 522 523, 539 540 balance-of-payments crises, 532 balance sheet of all banks in Canada, 315t asset market effects, 197 199 asset write-downs, 198 assets, 317 318 bank capital, 316 317 Bank of Canada, 405 407 banker s risk, 317 borrowings, 316 cash items in process of collection, 317 chequable deposit, 315 316 currency value, unexpected decline in, 198 demand deposits, 315 316 described, 314 315 desired reserve ratio, 317 desired reserves, 317 deterioration of bank balance sheets, 216 financial institutions, 198 fixed-term deposits, 316 interbank deposits, 317 liabilities, 315 317 loans, 318 notice deposits, 315 316 reserves, 317 secondary reserves, 317 securities, holdings of, 317 318 sources of funds, 315 317 stock market decline, 197 uses of funds, 317 318 vault cash, 317 balance sheet channel, 656 657 the Bank. See Bank of Canada Bank Act, 1871, 256 Bank Act, 1936, 238t Bank Act, 1954, 238t Bank Act, 1967, 238t, 272 Bank Act, 1981, 238t, 280 Bank Act, 1992, 238 239t, 268 Bank Act, 1997, 239t Bank Act, 1881-1913, 256 257 Bank Act Reform, 239t, 282 285 bank holding companies, 282 283 Canadian Payments Act, 284 defined, 282 implications for banking industry, 285 merger review policy, 284 285 National Financial Services OmbudService (NFSO), 285 ownership rules, 283 284 permitted investments, 283 Bank Acts, 210, 275 bank-as-parent model, 282 bank audit, 257 bank balance sheet. See balance sheet bank capital, 316 317 bank credit cards, 260 bank failures, 202, 211, 226, 326 327 bank float, 317 Bank for International Settlements, 230, 341, 394, 432, 490 bank holding company, 271 272, 274, 282 283 bank lending channel, 656 bank note issue, 384 Bank of America, 209, 261, 273, 432n Bank of America National Association, 406n Bank of British Columbia, 241 Bank of Canada see also central banks; monetary policy accountability, 389, 390 391, 489 advances, 412 413, 457 approach to monetary policy, 439 443 asset-backed commercial paper, 208 asset-management services, 384 assets, 406 407 balance sheet, 405 407 bank note issue, 384 Bank of Canada watchers, 482 bank rate, 24, 324, 407 base money, 384 385 Board of Directors, 383 borrowed reserves, 407 borrowings from, 316 central banking services, 384 385 changing face of, 389 391 checklist approach, 487 communications activities, 389 390 conditional statements, 451 credibility, importance of, 688 credit easing, 451 452 debt-management services, 384 defined, 9 discretionary liquidity operations, 455 457 early years, 485 economists, largest employer of, 386 emergency lending assistance, 456 federal government s banker, 385 financial intermediaries, restrictions on entry, 39 float, 413 formal structure, 383 functions, 383 386 Governing Council, 383 government deposits, 413 government securities, 406 407 government s fiscal agent, 384 governors, 383 independence, 386 388, 389, 399 401 inflation targeting from 1989 to present, 487 489 international considerations, 490, 539 540 lender of last resort, 227 228, 257, 384, 454 455 lending, 452 459 liabilities, 405 406 liquidity provision during financial crisis, 380 low inflation goal, 385 monetary aggregates, 50 53, 51t monetary base, 408 414, 519 monetary liabilities, 405 406 monetary policy, 385 386 see also monetary policy monetary targeting from 1975 to 1981, 485 487 national payments system, 385 nonborrowed monetary base, 414 open market buyback operations, 385 open market operations, 408 411 open market purchase, 408 410 open market sale, 408, 410 411 openness, 489 operating band, 434, 437 origins of, 381 382 overnight interest rate, 24 25, 431, 433, 437 439, 445 446 policy procedures, historical perspective, 485 490 policy rate, 433 434 and political environment, 383 pre-emptive approach, 489 quantitative easing, 451 reference rate, 433 regulation of financial system, 38t required reserves, 407 research staff, role of, 386 standing lending facility, 452 453 standing liquidity facilities, 436 437 theory of bureaucratic behaviour, 398 transparency, 390 391 Bank of Canada Act, 238t, 382, 388 Bank of Credit and Commerce International, 240 Bank of England, 397, 451, 469 Index 729 Bank of Japan, 397, 451, 464 Bank of Montreal, 253 see also Big Six Bank of New Brunswick, 253, 254 Bank of Nova Scotia. See Big Six Bank of Upper Canada, 202, 255 Bank One, 262 bank panic, 198, 200, 226 227, 230, 425 427 bank panic of 1879, 202 bank rate, 24, 324, 407 Bank West, 270 banker s risk, 317 banking asset management, 321, 325 bank balance sheet, 314 318 basic banking, 318 321 capital adequacy management, 321, 326 329 collateral requirements, 333 compensating balances, 333 credit rationing, 333 334 credit risk, 322 credit risk management, 330 334 deposit outflows, 321 duration analysis, 336 338 fee income, 340 gap analysis, 334 335 general principles of bank management, 321 330 interest-rate risk, 322 interest-rate risk management, 334 339 liability management, 321, 325 326 liquidity management, 321, 322 325 loan commitments, 332 loan sale, 340 long-term customer relationships, 332 monitoring, 331 332 off-balance-sheet activities, 340 342 reserves, role of, 322 325 restrictive covenants, enforcement of, 331 332 risk-management techniques, 341 screening, 330 331 specialization in lending, 331 T-account, 318 trading activities, 341 banking crises Canada, 203, 237 241 described, 198 globally, 246 247, 247t, 248f history repeated, 246 247 banking industry see also banking; banks; chartered banks Bank Act Reform, 282 285 British-style universal banking system, 274 Canada s banking system, 212, 313 Canadian banking overseas, 279 280 convergence, 272 273 decline of traditional banking, 266 268 deposit creation, 415 418 e-finance, 6 financial consolidation, implications for, 273 financial innovation, 258 268 foreign banks in Canada, 280 281 four-pillar approach, 272 275 free banking, 254 255 historical development of Canadian banking system, 253 258, 253f international banking, 277 281 Japan, 270 large, complex banking organizations (LCBOs), 273 largest banks in the world, 281t less-developed countries (LDCs) debt, 279 280 merger review policy, 284 285 near banks, 275 277 ownership laws, 270, 283 284 preview, 252 253 separation of banking and other financial services industries, 274 275 shadow banking system, 258 268 structure of Canadian chartered banking industry, 268 270 study of, 5 6 United States, 270 272, 270t, 271t universal banking, 274 virtual bank, 261, 269 virtual banks, 262 banking system. See banking industry banknotes, 43, 254 banks see also banking; banking industry; chartered banks; financial institutions balance sheet. See balance sheet Big Six. See Big Six branches, 254, 255 capital requirements, 212, 230 231 chartering, 231 233 cooperative banks, 276 277 cost advantages of acquiring funds (liabilities), 266 decline of traditional banking, 266 268 defined, 5 depository institutions, 34 35 described, 5 6 examination, 231 233 foreign banks, 268 income advantages on uses of funds (assets), 266 267 investment bank. See investment banks money centre banks, 326 and money supply process, 404 multiple deposit creation, 414 420 near banks, 275 277 primary assets and liabilities of, 35t reserve requirements, 263 264 state banks, 254 state-owned banks, 185 universal banking, 187n virtual bank, 269 Barclays Capital, 208 Barings Bank, 233, 341, 342 Barnett, William, 54n, 569n Barro, Robert, 679, 691n, 710n barter economy, 44 base money, 384 385 Basel Accord, 230, 240 Basel Accord 2, 232 Basel Committee on Bank Supervision, 230, 232, 240 basic gap analysis, 335 basis points, 117 Baumol, William, 559, 559n Baumol-Tobin model, 559 561, 560f Bear Stearns, 5, 209, 227, 273 bearer deposit notes, 23 behavioural finance, 159 160 Belarus, high inflation in, 9 Belgium bailouts, 211 real-time settlement systems, 432 Bent, Bruce, 264, 265 Bernanke, Ben, 204n, 440n, 467n, 475, 475n, 489n, 656n Bernanke, Ben S., 109n Big Six, 269, 273, 279t, 280, 406n, 432n, 433n, 443 Bill 198 (Ontario), 192, 234 Black Monday, 4, 158 159, 359 Blanchard, Olivier, 632n, 644n Bliss, Robert, 131n BNP Paribas, 406n, 432n Board of Directors, 383 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 391 Bolivia, hyperinflation in, 707 bond market demand, shifts in, 88 91, 89t demand curve, 85 86, 86n importance of, 3 and interest rates, 3 interest rates on selected bonds, 19772009, 4f lemons problem, 172 173 market equilibrium, 86f, 87 supply, shifts in, 92 99 supply and demand, 85 88 supply and demand analysis, 88 supply curve, 86 87 bond prices consol, 68n and interest rates, relationship between, 71 bond ratings, 115 116, 116t bonds see also bond market call, 26 Canada bonds, 116, 116f Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs), 26 Canadas, 26 consol, 67 68 730 Index convertible bonds, 26 corporate bonds, 25 26 coupon bond, 62, 66 68, 66n, 67t, 75n, 124n, 126n credit-rating agencies, 115 116 current yield, 68 default-free bonds, 114 default risk, 114 116, 115f defined, 3, 3n discount bond, 62, 68 70, 75n, 124n, 126n Eurobond, 27 28 and expected returns, 90 91 as external financing source, 168 fallen angels, 116 government agency securities, 27 Government of Canada bonds, 26 indexed bonds, 79 interest-rate risk, 74 75, 75n international bond market, 27 28 investment-grade securities, 115 116 junk bonds, 116, 261, 267 liquidity, 117 118 and liquidity, 91 long-term bonds, 74, 114f maturity of bond returns, 74 municipal government bonds, 26 perpetuity, 67 68, 69 prices. See bond prices provincial bonds, 26 rate of capital gain, 72 73 rate of return, 71 72 Real Return Bonds, 79 redemption, 26 registered bonds, 26 and risk, 91 risk premium, 114 shorter-term bonds, 74 speculative-grade bonds, 116 tax-exempt, 118 taxable, 118 volatility of bond returns, 74 and wealth, 90 yield to maturity, 63 71 zero-coupon bond, 62, 75n Bordo, Michael D., 391n borrowed reserves, 407, 420 borrowing costs, 235 borrowings, 316 Bosnia, currency board in, 544 Bouey, Gerald, 383, 464, 688 branches, 254, 255 Brazil financial crises in, 218n fiscal imbalances in, 199 foreign exchange crisis, 533 534 foreign lending to, 279, 280 Bretton Woods system, 485, 525 526, 529 British North America Act, 255 British-style universal banking system, 274 brokerage fees, 561n brokerage firms, 301 brokers, 20, 300 Brown, Gordon, 397 Brown, Henry, 264 Bryant, Ralph, 654n bubble asset-price bubble, 202, 481 485 credit-driven bubbles, 482 483 defined, 159 explanations for, 160 high-tech bubble, 4 housing price bubble, 205, 206 irrational exuberance, 483 rational bubbles, 159 tech-stock bubble, 483 bubble economy, 464 budget deficit and credibility, 708 709 defined, 10 financing a persistent deficit, 677 and inflation, 676 680 and interest rates, 679f and money creation in Canada, 678 680 and money creation in other countries, 678 as percentage of GDP, 10f and supply of bonds, 93 94 budget surplus defined, 10 as percentage of GDP, 10f and supply of bonds, 93 94 Buffett, Warren, 375 building societies, 275 Bulgaria, currency board, 544 Bundesbank, 465, 531 532 Burns, Arthur, 463 Bush, George, 393 business cycles defined, 7 electoral business cycles, 400 expansion of, and interest rate, 95 97, 96f and money, 6 7, 7f partisan business cycles, 400 past business cycle episodes, explanations for, 633 635 political business cycle, 399 real business cycle theory, 631 633, 650, 651 yield curve as forecasting tool, 132 Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC), 308 business finance companies, 299 300 buy-and-hold strategy, 158 C Caisse Centrale Desjardins du Qu bec, 406n, 432n, 433n Caisse centrale Desjarins, 276 Caisse de d p t et placement du Qu bec, 208, 297 caisses populaires, 5, 35, 35t, 276 277 see also banks call, 26 call option, 362 363, 363f call premium, 362 call reports, 233 Calomiris, Charles, 204n CAMELS rating, 231 Campbell, John Y., 131n Campbell, Nile Stephen, 310n Canada asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) market, 207, 208 209 bank failures, 202 banking crisis, 203, 237 241 banking system, 212, 253 258, 253f channel/corridor system, 436 Constitution, 255 control attestation, 192 debt deflation, 203 deposit insurance, 242 246 external funds, sources of, 167, 167f financial legislation, 238t foreign banks, 280 281 Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), 236 gold standard, 256 inflation, rise in, 1960-1980, 680 683 inflation targeting, 467, 469, 471 lawyers in, 185 monetary targeting, 463 464 Montreal Accord, 209 mortgage insurance market, 210 negative supply shocks, 634 635 past Canadian financial crises, 199 203 perfect storm of adverse shocks, 549 reserve requirements, 407, 436 savings rates, and interest rate, 98 99 subprime financial crisis in U.S., effect of, 206 207 subprime mortgages, 210 Canada bonds, 116, 116f Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation Act, 238t, 385, 385n, 454 Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC), 242 246 described, 39 Differential Premiums By-law, 242 243 evaluation of, 244 246 limits on scope of deposit insurance, 244 Modernized Standards By-law, 245 Opting-Out By-Law, 243 other provisions, 245 premium structure and rates, 243t prompt corrective action provisions, 244 245 risk-based insurance premiums, 245 as safety net, 226 Standards of Sound Business and Financial Practices, 246 subject and nature of regulations, 38t Canada Investment and Savings, 384 Canada Life, 289 Index 731 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), 25, 210, 228, 231, 308 Canada Pension Plan, 297 Canada Revenue Agency (CRA), 158n, 297 Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs), 26 Canadas, 26 Canadian Bankers Association, 242, 285 Canadian Central, 276 Canadian Commercial, 240 241, 456 Canadian Dealing Network Exchange (CDNX), 302 Canadian Derivatives Clearing Corporation (CDCC), 349, 362 Canadian dollar appreciation, 11 depreciation, 11 exchange rate, 1971-2008, 11f symbol for, 496n Canadian Life and Health Association of Canada, 285 Canadian Life and Health Insurance Compensation Corporation (CompCorp), 38t, 289 Canadian Mint, 405n, 408n Canadian Payments Act, 284 Canadian Payments Association, 284, 385, 432, 433, 454 Canadian Securities Administrators, 192 Canadian Tire, 270 Canadian Tire Bank, 270 cancellation of policies, 294 Capie, Forrest H., 382n capital account, 523 capital account balance, 523n capital adequacy management, 321, 326 329 capital buyout funds, 307 capital controls, 279, 534 535 capital gains taxes, 158n capital inflows, 534 535 capital market Canada Savings bonds, 26 consumer loans, 27 corporate bonds, 25 26 defined, 21 described, 21 22 government agency securities, 27 Government of Canada bonds, 26 instruments, 25 27, 25t internationalization, 302 mortgages, 25 municipal government bonds, 26 provincial government bonds, 26 Sarbanes-Oxley Act, effect of, 193 securities, 22 stocks, 25 in the U.S., 28 capital mobility, 527 528 Capital One Financial Corporation, 269 capital outflows, 534 capital requirements, 230 231, 249, 328 Carlino, Gerald, 659n Carney, Mark, 383 carried interest, 307 Carte Blanche, 260 cash flow channel, 657 cash flows, 59, 141 cash items in process of collection, 317 cashless society, 50 Cayman Islands, 306 CDIC. See Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) cease and desist orders, 231 Cecchetti, Stephen G., 656n central bank independence, 401 central bank money, 465 Central Bank of Argentina, 545 central banks see also Bank of Canada asset-price bubbles, response to, 481 485 Bank of England, 397 Bank of Japan, 397 defined, 9, 254 establishment of selected central banks, 382 European Central Bank, 394 396 European System of Central Banks (ESCB), 394 395 explaining central bank behaviour, 398 Federal Reserve System, 391 394, 392f goal independence, 386 independence of, 391 398 instrument independence, 386 lender of last resort, 227 228, 257 monetary policy, implementation challenges, 455 and money supply process, 404 structure of, 391 398 certificate of deposit (CD), 23 Certification Instrument, 192 ceteris paribus, 85 chaebols, 219 220 Chan, Tracy, 51n channel/corridor system, 436, 437 439, 449 450 channeling of funds, 18 19 Chant, John, 391n, 489, 489n Chartered Bank of Upper Canada, 253, 255 chartered banks see also banking; banking industry; banks balance sheet. See balance sheet Big Six. See Big Six call reports, 233 chartering, 231 233 commercial bank loans, 27 competition and technology, 269 270 consumer loans, 27 described, 5, 34 non-negotiable CDs, 23 primary assets and liabilities of, 35t relative shares, 36t Schedule I banks, 268 269 Schedule II banks, 268 269, 280 Schedule III banks, 268 269, 280 structure of Canadian chartered banking industry, 268 270 table of, 269t term deposit receipts, 23 term notes, 23 chartering, 231 233 chequable deposit, 315 316 cheques, 48 Chicago Board of Trade, 259, 353 Chicago Mercantile Exchange, 353 Chile, foreign lending to, 279 China financial development, 186 international reserves, 528 529 sovereign wealth funds, 304 China Investment Corporation, 304 Christiano, Lawrence J., 109n CIBC, 212 see also Big Six CIT Group, 270 Citicorp, 273 Citizen Bank, 269 Clarica, 289 classical economists, 555 556, 557n Clinton, Bill, 393 Clinton, Kevin, 432n closed-end fund, 303 coinsurance, 244, 295 collateral, 23, 169, 176 177, 180 181, 333 collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), 205, 208 collection of data, 13 Colosio, Luis, 220 commercial bank loans, 27 commercial paper, 23 Commercial Paper Funding Facility, 459 commercial paper market, 262 Commodity Futures Trading Commission, 362 commodity markets, 88n commodity money, 47 48 common stock see also stocks computation of price, 141 145 defined, 3 4 dividends, 141 residual claimant, 141 voting rights, 141 compensating balances, 333 compensation schemes, 249 competition, restrictions on, 235 complete crowding out, 606 607 computerized program trading, 359 conditional statements, 451 conflicts of interest, 186 192 auditing and consulting in accounting firms, 188 control attestation in Canada, 192 credit assessment and consulting in credit-rating agencies, 189 defined, 187 732 Index global legal settlement of 2002, 191 192 how conflicts of interest are produced, 187 188 mpact of, 187 policy measures, 189 192 Sarbanes-Oxley Act, 189 190 spinning, 188 underwriting and research in investment banking, 187 188 universal banking, 187n consol, 67 68, 68n constant-money-growth-rate rule, 688 Constitution, 255 consulting, 188, 189 consumer durable expenditure, 651 consumer expenditure, 573, 574 575, 574n, 619, 655 consumer finance companies, 299 consumer loans, 27 consumer price index (CPI), 79, 439, 471n, 488, 620 consumer protection, 235, 237 Consumer Reports, 175 consumption function, 574 575, 575f, 655 contagion effect, 226 Continental Bank, 241 Contingent Credit Line, 538 control attestation in Canada, 192 convergence, 272 273 convertible bonds, 26 cooperative banks, 276 277 cooperative credit associations, 36t Cooperative Credit Associations Act, 239t core CPI, 439 corporate bonds, 25 26 see also bonds cost-push inflation, 673 674, 676 costly state verification, 178 costs of borrowing, 235 opportunity cost, 100 production costs, 626 transaction costs, 31 32, 45, 169 171 welfare cost of inflation, 680, 681 counterparty, 348 coupon bond, 62, 66 68, 66n, 67t, 75n, 124n, 126n coupon rate, 62 covenants. See restrictive covenants covering the short, 160 Coyne, James, 383, 387 388 CPP Investment Board, 297 crawling target, 540 credibility, 688, 706 708 credit assessment, 189 credit boom, 200, 202 credit card debt, 169 credit cards, 260 credit channels, 659 credit default swap (CDS), 291, 292, 375 376 credit-default swaps, 250 credit derivatives credit-linked notes, 375 credit options, 374 credit swaps, 374 375 described, 374 credit-driven bubbles, 482 483 credit easing, 451 452 credit event, 291 credit insurance, 291 292 credit-linked notes, 375 credit market instruments, 62 63 credit options, 374 credit-rating agencies, 115 116, 189, 190, 250 credit rationing, 333 334 credit risk, 322 credit risk management, 330 334 credit spreads, 57, 374 credit swaps, 374 375 Credit Union Central of Canada (CUCC), 276, 406n, 432n, 433n credit unions, 5, 35, 35t, 276 277 see also banks credit view, 652, 656 659 Criminal Code of Canada, 301 Crockett, Andrew, 187n Crow, John, 383, 389, 389n, 390n Crown finance companies, 308 currency see also foreign exchange market; money anchor currency, 524 appreciation, 495, 497 banknotes, 43, 254 collapse of, 217 defined, 43 depreciation, 495, 497 Eurocurrencies, 27, 278 gold standard, 256 holders of currencies, 52 holdings, changes in, 421 reserve currency, 525 speculative attack, 216, 221, 531, 532, 541 speculators, 216 unanticipated decline in value, and balance sheets, 198 currency boards, 544 currency crisis, 216 currency swaps, 370 current account, 522 current account balance, 523n current account deficit in U.S., 524 current yield, 68 Cyprus, 395 Czech Republic, and European Monetary Union, 396 D DaiIchi Kangyo Bank, 281 Daiwa Bank, 342 Daniel, Fred, 282n data lag, 685 dealers, 20, 300 debit card, 49 debit cards, 260 debt contracts see also debt instruments collateral, 169 collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), 205, 208 contracts, 169 credit card debt, 169 vs. equity, and moral hazard, 177 180 vs. equity, and tax laws, 180n incentive-compatible, 181 monitoring, 181 182 and moral hazard, 179 180 restrictive covenants, 169, 181 182 secured debt, 169 unsecured debt, 169 debt-currency swaps, 280 debt-debt swaps, 280 debt deflation, 203 debt-equity swaps, 280 debt instruments see also debt contracts advantages and disadvantages, 20 credit market instruments, 62 63 fixed-payment loan, 62, 64 65 fully amortized loan, 62 intermediate-term, 20 long-term, 20 maturity, 20 money market instruments, 22 25 short-term, 20 simple loan, 59, 62, 63 64 debt market described, 20 in Mexico, 221 moral hazard, and financial structure, 180 183 deductible, 295 default, and treasury bills, 22 default-free bonds, 114 default risk, 114 116, 348 DeFina, Robert, 659n defined-contribution plan, 296 deflation, 471 472 delayed signalling, 471 deleveraging, 200 202 Dell Financial Services, 270 demand aggregate demand. See aggregate demand asset demand, 83 84 in bond market, 85 88 excess demand, 87 exchange rate, 502 504 financial innovations as response to changes, 258 259 liquidity preference framework, 99 101 in market for money, 99 101 shifts in demand for bonds, 88 91, 89t shifts in demand for money, 101 102, 103f demand curve Index 733 aggregate demand curve, 613 616 described, 85 86, 86n domestic assets, 503, 505 507 and expected returns, 90 91 and liquidity, 91 reserves, 437 438 and risk, 91 shifts, and demand for bonds, 88 91, 89t, 90f shifts, and demand for money, 101 102, 103f and wealth, 90 demand deposits, 315 316 demand-pull inflation, 673, 674 676 demand shocks, 622 democratization of credit, 205 demutualization, 289 Denmark, European Monetary Union, 396 Department of Finance, 210, 257, 384 Department of Insurance, 280 deposit creation, 414 415 see also multiple deposit creation deposit insurance, 39, 226 227, 242 246, 247 deposit outflows, 321 deposit rate ceilings, 264 Deposit Receipts (DRs), 23 depositors, 404 depository institutions, 34 35 see also banks depreciation, 11, 495, 497 derivatives. See financial derivatives desired reserve ratio, 317, 420 421 desired reserves, 317 Desjardins, Alphonse, 276 Desjardins Credit Union, 277 Desjardins Financial Security, 276 Desjardins General Insurance, 276 Desjardins Securities and Disnat, 276 Desjardins Venture Capital, 276 Deutsche Bank, 208 devaluation, 527 Differential Premiums By-law, 242 243 Diners Club, 260 direct clearers, 433, 433n direct finance, 18, 168 dirty float, 524 disclosure requirements, 39, 234 235 discount bond, 62, 68 70, 75n, 124n, 126n discounting the future, 60 discretionary liquidity operations, 455 457 discretionary policy, 684 688 disintermediation, 264 disposable income, 574 dissaving, 574n diversification, 32 dividends constant dividend growth, 143, 144 defined, 20, 141 generalized dividend model, 142 143 Djoudad, Ramdane, 51n Dodge, David, 383 dollar. See Canadian dollar; U.S. dollar dollarization, 544 546 Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS), 115, 116t, 173 Dominion Notes Act, 255 256 Dornbusch, Rudiger, 510n double coincidence of wants, 45 Dow Jones Industrial Average, 29, 140, 359 Drexel Burnham Lambert, 261 Dual Banking System, 254 duration, 74n, 336 duration analysis, 336 338 E e-banking, 260 261 e-cash, 49 e-finance, 6 e-money, 49, 50 East Asia debt market in, 221 financial crises in, 217 222 foreign exchange crisis, 533 534 econometric models, 109, 692 economic growth and financial development, 184 185 and financial markets, 3 and inflation targeting, 472 Economic Recovery Act, 211 economics, and politics, 400 economies of scale, 31 32, 170, 273 economies of scope, 187 economists, 386 the economy, and monetary policy, 440 441 Ecuador financial crises in, 218n fiscal imbalances in, 199, 215 Edwards, Sebastian, 534n effective lower bound, 450 451 effectiveness lag, 685 efficient market hypothesis, 151 159 Black Monday, 158 159 buy-and-hold strategy, 158 defined, 150 derivation of equation, 152 development of, 151n empirical evidence, 155n and guide to investment, 155 158 and hot tips, 156 157 and investment advisers reports, 155 prescription for the investor, 158 rationale behind the theory, 153 154 stock prices, and good news, 157 stronger version, 154 Tech Crash of 2000, 158 159 Egg, 262 Eichenbaum, Martin, 109n electoral business cycles, 400 electronic banking, 260 261 electronic money, 49, 50 electronic payment, 49 Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, 210 emerging-market countries, 199, 354, 543 544 emerging-market financial crises, 212 222, 213f additional factors, 215 currency crisis, 216 deterioration of bank balance sheets, 216 financial globalization, 213 214, 219 220 foreign exchange crises, 533 534 full-fledged financial crisis, 216 217 initiation of financial crisis, 213 215 mismanagement of financial liberalization/innovation, 213 215, 219 220 powerful business interests, 214 215 recession, 215 severe fiscal imbalances, 215 specific countries, 217 222 empirical evidence early Keynesian evidence on importance of money, 642 643 early monetarist evidence on importance of money, 645 650 efficient market hypothesis, 155n evaluation framework, 639 650 historical evidence, 649 650 money demand, 567 569 objections to early Keynesian evidence, 643 645 reduced-form evidence, 639 640, 641, 650n statistical evidence, 648 649 structural model evidence, 639, 640 timing evidence, 645 648 endowment insurance, 290 Engert, Walter, 454n, 455n Enron Corporation, 174, 191 equation of exchange, 552 553 equilibrium aggregate demand shocks, 630 631 aggregate supply and demand analysis, 627 633 aggregate supply shocks, 631 exchange rate, 504, 510 512 interest rates, 88 99, 101 109 and Keynesian cross diagram, 576 578 long-run equilibrium, 628 630 market equilibrium. See market equilibrium overnight interest rate, 439 short-run equilibrium, 627 628 equilibrium price, 87 equity see also common stock advantages and disadvantages, 20 bank capital, effect of, 327 328 vs. debt, and moral hazard, 177 180 vs. debt, and tax laws, 180n defined, 20 dividends, 20 734 Index moral hazard in equity contracts, 177 178 principal-agent problem, 177 180 residual claimant, 20 safety/returns trade-off, 328 equity capital, 176 177 equity market, 20 equity multiplier (EM), 327 328 Estonia currency board, 544 European Monetary Union, 396 Estrella, Arturo, 132n, 480n the euro, 193, 495 496, 526 Eurobond, 27 28 Eurocurrencies, 27, 278 Eurocurrencies market, 278 279 Eurodollar market, 278 Eurodollars, 27 Europe bailouts, 212 bank failures, 211 European Central Bank, 206, 386, 394 396 financial system in, 193 subprime financial crisis in U.S., effect of, 206 207 European Central Bank, 206, 386, 394 396, 458, 464, 465 European Monetary System (EMS), 526, 530 531 European Monetary Union, 394, 396 European options, 362 European System of Central Banks (ESCB), 394 395 Eurosystem, 395 evidence. See empirical evidence ex ante real interest rate, 76 ex post real interest rate, 76 examination, 231 233 excess demand, 87, 628 excess supply, 87 Exchange Fund Account, 384, 447 448 exchange rate see also foreign exchange market asset market approach, 503n, 510n Canadian dollar, 1971-2008, 11f defined, 11, 494 demand curve for domestic assets, 503, 505 507 determination, 497 devaluation, 527 equilibrium exchange rate, 504, 510 512 expected future exchange rate, 506 507 explanation of changes, 504 508 factors that change the exchange rate, 508, 509f fluctuations in, 11 12 forward exchange rate, 495 importance of, 496 497 interest rates, changes in, 510 kinds of exchange rate transactions, 495 496 law of one price, 498 long run, 498 502 long run factors, 500 502, 502t money supply, changes in, 511 net exports, 654 over-shooting, 511 512 preferences for domestic vs. foreign goods, 501 productivity, 501 502 publication of, 496 quotation of, 502n quoting an exchange rate, 11 relative price levels, 501 revaluation, 527 shifts in demand, 505 507 short run, 502 504 spot exchange rate, 495 supply and demand analysis, 502 504 supply curve for domestic assets, 503 theory of purchasing power parity (PPP), 499 500 trade barriers, 501 volatility of, 513 exchange rate mechanism (ERM), 526, 541 exchange rate over-shooting, 511 512 exchange-rate peg. See exchange rate targeting exchange rate regime balance-of-payment considerations, 539 540 Bretton Woods system, 485, 525 526, 529 dirty float, 524 European Monetary System (EMS), 530 531 fixed exchange rate regime, 524, 526 529 flexible exchange rate regime, 485 floating exchange rate regime, 524 gold standard, 524 525, 530 managed float regime, 524, 530 special drawing rights (SDRs), 530 exchange rate regimes, 524 534 exchange rate targeting advantages of, 540 541 as alternative monetary policy strategy, 540 546 currency boards, 544 described, 540 disadvantages, 541 543 dollarization, 544 546 emerging-market countries, 543 544 industrialized countries, 543 exchanges, 21, 301 302 executive compensation, 249 exercise price, 361 expansionary policy, 696 697 expectations adaptive expectations, 147, 148 forecast errors of expectations, 150 151 and nondiscretionary policy, 686 687 rational expectations, 147 149 and wage-setting process, 687 expectations theory, 121 126, 128f expected future exchange rate, 506 507 expected inflation change in, 91 Fisher effect, 94 95 and supply of bonds, 93 expected-inflation effect, 105, 107 108 expected price level, 626 expected profitability of investment opportunities, 92 93 expected return and asset demand, 83 calculation, 83n defined, 83 demand for bonds, shifts in, 90 91 and higher expected interest rates, 91 expected return on goods relative to money, 565 expenditure multiplier, 578 581 explicit nominal anchor, 472 Export Development Canada (EDC), 308 external financing access to securities markets, 169 bonds, 168 direct finance, 168 financial intermediaries, 168 indirect finance, 168 marketable securities, 168 sources of, international comparison, 167, 167f stocks, 167 168, 167n F face value, 62 factoring, 299 300 fads, 160 Fair Isaac Corporation, 204 fair value, measurement of, 236 fair-value accounting, 235 fallen angels, 116, 261 Fama, Eugene, 131n Fannie Mae, 209, 249, 308, 309 310, 459 Farm Credit Canada (FCC), 308 the Fed, 391 394 Federal Advisory Council, 391 Federal Business Development Bank (FBDB), 308 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), 211 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 391, 392, 475 Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 306, 394, 459 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 650n Federal Reserve Banks, 391 Federal Reserve System, 391 394, 392f, 395 F d ration des caisses Desjardins du Qu bec, 276 fee income, 340 fiat money, 48 FICO score, 204 Index 735 Finance Act, 257 finance companies, 27, 37, 299 300 finance paper, 23 financial calculator, 60 financial consolidation, 229, 273 financial crises asset market effects on balance sheets, 197 199 asset price boom and bust, 202 balance-of-payments crises, 532 banking crises, 198, 203 causative factors, 197 199 currency crisis, 216 debt deflation, 203 defined, 5, 196 described, 5 deterioration in financial institutions balance sheets, 198 emerging-market economies, 212 222, 213f financial globalization, 213 214 foreign exchange crises, 531 534 full-fledged financial crisis, 216 217 government fiscal imbalances, 199 Great Depression. See Great Depression initiation of financial crisis, 200 202, 213 215 interest rate, increases in, 199 interest rate, spikes in, 202 mismanagement of financial liberalization/innovation, 200 202, 213 215, 219 220 monetary policy, 453 past Canadian financial crises, 199 203, 201f severe fiscal imbalances, 215 subprime financial crisis. See subprime financial crisis uncertainty, increases in, 198 200, 202 financial derivatives credit derivatives, 374 376 described, 259 financial futures, 349 357 forward contracts, 347 348 hedging, 346 347 options, 361 370 regulation of, 250 stock index futures, 358 361 and subprime financial crisis, 375 376 swaps, 370 373 financial development China, 186 and economic growth, 184 185 financial engineering, 205 financial futures, 349 357, 354t financial futures markets, 353 357 financial futures options, 362, 365 369 financial globalization, 213 214, 219 220 financial innovation adjustable-rate mortgages, 259 automated teller machine (ATM), 260 261, 272 avoidance of existing regulations, 263 265 bank credit cards, 260 in banking industry, 258 268 changes in demand conditions, 258 259 changes in supply conditions, 259 263 commercial paper market, 262 debit cards, 260 decline of traditional banking, 266 268 electronic banking, 260 261 and financial crisis, 200 202 financial derivatives, 259 information technology, effect of, 259 263 interest rate volatility, 258 259 junk bonds, 261 money market mutual funds, 264 in mortgage markets, 204 205 securitization, 263 study of, 6 sweet accounts, 264 265 virtual banks, 262 why it occurs, 258 268 financial institutions balance sheets, 198 banks. See banks capital requirements, 230 231 chartering, 231 233 competition and technology, 269 270 deleveraging, 200 202 examination, 231 233 financial crises, 5 investment bank, 3 limit on risk taking, 250 nonbank financial institutions. See nonbank financial institutions structure of the financial system, 5 study of, 5 6 types of, 5 6 Financial Institutions and Deposit Insurance System Amendment Act, 238 financial instruments. See financial derivatives; securities financial intermediaries and adverse selection, 32 33, 175 176 asset transformation, 32 and asymmetric information, 32 34 banks. See banks contractual savings institutions, 35 36 defined, 5 deposit insurance, 39 depository institutions, 34 35 disclosure requirements, 39 diversification, 32 economies of scale, 31 32, 170 expertise, 170 171 as external financing sources, 168 financial soundness of, 38 40 free-rider problem, 182 function of, 29 34 government financial intermediation, 307 310 importance of, 5 and indirect finance, 29 34 interest-rate swaps, 373 international comparison of importance, 31 investment intermediaries, 37 limits on competition, 39 40 liquidity services, 32, 171 and moral hazard, 33 34, 179, 182 nonbank. See nonbank financial institutions primary assets and liabilities of, 35t regulation of, 38 40 restrictions on assets and activities, 39 restrictions on entry, 39 restrictive covenants, 182 risk sharing, 32 transaction costs, 31 32, 170 171 types of, 34 37 financial intermediation, 30 34 financial legislation in Canada, 238t financial liberalization, 200 202, 213 215, 219 220 financial markets asymmetric information, 32 34, 37 bond market, and interest rates, 3 Canadian-style reforms, 212 capital market, 21 22 capital market instruments, 25 27, 25t categorizations of, 20 22 commodity markets, 88n debt markets, 20 defined, 2 and economic growth, 3 equity markets, 20 exchanges, 21 financial futures markets, 353 357 financial market instruments, 22 27 function of, 18 19 globalization of, 10 see also international finance gold market, 88n internationalization, 27 29 money market, 21 22 money market instruments, 22 25 necessity of, 2 3 over-the-counter (OTC) market, 21 and poor nations, 3 primary market, 20 21 secondary market, 20 21 stable relationships, collapse of, 442 stock market, 3 5 structure of, 20 22 study of, 2 5 term interbank market, 453 transaction costs, 169 171 financial panic, 38 financial regulation and asset-driven bubbles, 484 and asymmetric information, 225 237 avoidance of existing regulations, 263 265 736 Index Bank Act Reform, 282 285 bank panics and the need for deposit insurance, 226 227 capital requirements, 230 231, 249 CDIC developments, 242 246 chartering, 231 233 compensation schemes, 249 consumer protection, 235, 237 convergence, 272 273 credit-rating agencies, 250 derivatives, 250 described, 38 40 disclosure requirements, 234 235 examination, 231 233 financial consolidation, 273 and financial innovation, 263 265 financial supervision, 231 233 of financial system, 37 40, 168 four-pillar approach, 272 275 government safety net, 226 229 historical development of Canadian banking system, 253 258, 253f insurance, 292 293 international financial regulation, 240 life insurance companies, 289 limit on risk taking, 250 loophole mining, 263 macroprudential regulation, 484 major financial legislation in Canada, 238t mortgage brokers, 249 mutual funds, 303 national regulatory system, 285 near banks, 275 277 option markets, 362 overregulation, danger of, 250 privately owned government sponsored enterprises, 249 prompt corrective action, 231 prudential supervision, 231 233 regulatory consolation, 246 regulatory forbearance, 241 restrictions on asset holdings, 229 230 restrictions on competition, 235 risk management, assessment of, 233 234 securities trading, 301 subprime financial crisis, effect of, 248 250 subprime mortgage products, 249 too-big-to-fail policy, 228 229 financial repression, 184 financial services industries, 269, 274 275 financial stability, 236 financial structure adverse selection, influence of, 171 177 asymmetric information, 171 basic facts, 166 169 complexity of, 166 169 conflicts of interest, 186 192 described, 5 lemons problem, 171 177 moral hazard, and debt markets, 180 183 transaction costs, influence of, 169 170 financial supervision, 231 233 financial system European financial system, 193 financial intermediaries, and indirect finance, 29 34 financial intermediaries, financial soundness of, 38 40 financial intermediaries, types of, 34 37 financial market instruments, 22 27 financial markets, function of, 18 19 financial markets, structure of, 20 22 flows of funds, 18, 18f information available to investors, 37 38 international financial system. See international financial system internationalization of financial markets, 27 29 principal regulatory agencies, 38t regulation, 37 40, 168 structure of. See financial structure in transition countries, 184 185 Financial Times-Stock Exchange 100Share Index, 29 financing rate, 24 Finland, inflation targeting in, 467 First-e, 262 fiscal policy aggregate output , response of, 602 603 aggregate output in long run, 612 complete crowding out, 606 607 defined, 10, 596 and inflation, 670 671 interest rate, response of, 602 603 vs. monetary policy, effectiveness of, 603 610 policy mix, 605 Fisher, Douglas, 54n, 569n Fisher, Irving, 76, 551, 552, 552n, 553, 554n Fisher effect, 94 95 Fisher equation, 76 77, 76n, 78n fit and proper person test, 283 Fitch, 206 fixed exchange rate regime, 524, 526 529 fixed investment, 575 fixed-payment loan, 62, 64 65 fixed-term deposits, 316 Fleming, Donald, 388 flexible exchange rate regime, 485 flight to quality, 117 float, 50, 413 floating exchange rate regime, 524 flows, and supply and demand analysis, 88 Ford Credit, 270 forecast error of expectations, 698n forecast errors of expectations, 150 151 forecasting interest rates, 109, 133 135 foreign banks, 268, 280 281 foreign bonds, 27 28 foreign exchange crises, 531 534 foreign exchange interventions defined, 518 and money supply, 518 520 sterilized foreign exchange intervention, 520, 522, 522n unsterilized foreign exchange intervention, 520 522, 520n foreign exchange market see also exchange rate defined, 11, 494 described, 11 equilibrium, 504, 504f forward transactions, 495 intervention in, 518 522 money supply, direct effects on, 539 speculative attack, 216, 221 spot transactions, 495 trades, 497 turmoil, 493 Wall Street Journal Currency Trading column, 514 515 foreign exchange rate. See exchange rate foreign exchange risk, 357 358 foreign financial markets, deregulation of, 27 foreign stock market indexes, 30 foreign stock markets, 28 29 Fortis, 211 forward contracts, 347 348 forward exchange rate, 357, 357n, 495 forward rate, 134, 136 forward transactions, 495 four-pillar approach, 272 275 France exchange-rate pegging, 542 real-time settlement systems, 432 fraternal benefit societies, 36t fraud prevention, 294 Fred, Daniel, 454n Freddie Mac, 209, 249, 308, 309 310, 459 free banking, 254 255 Free Banking Act, 255 free-rider problem, 173, 178 179, 182, 234 Freedman, Charles, 489n Friedman, Milton, 9n, 105, 387, 387n, 425, 472, 551, 563 567, 563n, 564n, 565n, 642, 643, 643n, 645n, 648n, 649, 667, 669, 672 Fuji Bank, 281 fully amortized loan, 62 fully funded, 296 futures contracts, 259 futures markets, 353 357 futures options, 362, 365 369 G G-7 Halifax Summit, 490 gap analysis, 334 335 GDP deflator, 620 Index 737 GE Capital Group, 270 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), 525 General Bank of Canada, 270 General Electric, 210 general insurance companies. See property and casualty (P&C) insurance companies General Motors, 260 General Motors Acceptance Corporation, 270, 299 General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (Keynes), 556, 572 generalized dividend model, 142 143 Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), 236 Genworth Mortgage Insurance Co., 210 Germany bailouts, 211 Bundesbank, 465, 531 532 external funds, sources of, 167, 167f financial regulation, 40 foreign exchange crisis, 531 532, 541 hyperinflation, 47, 667, 678 mergers, 285 monetary targeting, 464 466 policy mix, and unification, 605 real-time settlement systems, 432 universal banking, 274 Gertler, Mark, 171n, 656n, 659n Gilchrist, Simon, 659n Ginnie Mae, 308 Glass-Steagall, 273, 274 Global Crossing, 191 Global Legal Settlement of 2002, 191 192 globalization, 490 see also international finance goal independence, 386 gold market, 88n gold standard, 256, 524 525, 530 Goldman Sachs, 273 Gomes, Tamara, 304n good news, 157 goods market equilibrium, 587 590 Gordon, David B., 109n Gordon, H.S., 387n Gordon, Robert J., 710n Gordon growth model, 143, 146, 147 Governing Council, 383, 395 396 government aggregate output, role in, 581 583 bailouts, during subprime financial crisis, 211 deposit insurance, 226 227 financial intermediation, 307 310 fiscal imbalances, 199 government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), 308 310 public pension plans, 297 299 regulation. See government regulation safety net, 200, 226 229 social security, 297 299 government agency securities, 27 government budget, and supply of bonds, 93 94 government budget constraint, 676 677 government deposits, 413 Government of Canada bonds, 26 Government of Canada treasury bills, 22 Government of Singapore Investment Corporation, 304 Government Pension Fund of Norway, 304 government regulation of the financial system, 37 40, 168 to increase information, 174 175, 179 government retirement funds, 36 government savings institutions, 277 government securities, 406 407 government spending, 573, 581 583, 584 585, 598, 603, 620 government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), 308 310 Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services Modernization Act, 273, 282 graphing of data, 13 Great Depression, 57, 196, 203 204, 204n, 217, 222, 381 382, 425 427, 555, 572, 580 581, 642 Greece, guarantees by government, 211 Greenberg, Maurice, 292 Greenspan, Alan, 196, 202, 393 Greenwald, Bruce, 172n gross domestic product (GDP), 653f group life insurance, 289 Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS), 297 Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs), 23 Guaranteed Investment Receipts (GIRs), 23 Guaranteed Trust Certificates (GTCs), 23 H Hamanaka, Yasuo, 342 Harris, Trevor, 187n headline CPI, 439, 488 hedge, 259 hedge funds, 305 307 hedging described, 346 347 foreign exchange risk, 357 358 forward contracts, 357 358 futures contracts, 358 futures options, 368 369 interest-rate forward contracts, 347 348 interest-rate futures, 352 353 interest-rate swaps, 371 372 macro hedge, 353 micro hedge, 353 stock index futures, 361 Hicks, John, 572, 572n high-powered money, 408 high-tech bubble, 4 Hill, G. Christian, 356n historical development of Canadian banking system, 253 258, 253f historical evidence, 649 650 holding company regime, 282 283, 282n holding periods, 75, 75n Home Bank, 202 home banking, 261 Hong Kong currency board, 544 real-time settlement systems, 432 Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corp., 280 Hongkong Bank of Canada, 241 Hooper, Peter, 654n hot investment tips, 156 157 House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance, 284 household liquidity effects, 658 659 housing market in U.S., 1 housing price bubble, 205, 206 Howard, Donna, 432n, 435n HSBC, 208, 283n HSBC Bank Canada, 280, 406n, 432n, 433n Hubbard, R. Glenn, 656n Huizinga, John, 644n Hungary, and European Monetary Union, 396 Hunt brothers, 356 hyperinflation, 47, 667, 678, 707n Hypo Real Estate Holdings, 211 hysteresis, 631 633 I Iceland, and banking system collapse, 211 Iguchi, Toshihide, 342 illegal activity, 52 implementation lag, 685 implicit nominal anchor, 472 475 in the money option, 363 incentive-compatible, 181 income defined, 44 disposable income, 574 equilibrium interest rate, changes in, 102 fee income, 340 investment income, 523 income effect, 101, 105 income gap analysis, 334 335 income tax aggregate output, 582f, 585 and aggregate output, 603 bonds, 118 Bush tax cut in U.S., effect of, 119 capital gains taxes, 158n changes in, 599 debt vs. equity, 180n and interest income, 78n and risk structure of interest rates, 117 118 indebtedness, 280 independence 738 Index Bank of Canada, 386 388, 389, 399 401 Bank of England, 397 Bank of Japan, 397 of central banks, 398, 401 European Central Bank, 396 Federal Reserve System, 292 293 indexed bonds, 79 indirect finance importance of, 168 meaning of, 29 individual life insurance, 289 Indonesia currency, collapse of, 221 stock market declines in, 220 Industrial-Alliance, 289 Industrial Bank of Japan, 281 Industrial Development Bank (IDB), 308 industrial production, 620 industrialized countries, and exchange rate targeting, 543 inflation adaptive expectations, 147 animal spirits, 671n and budget deficits, 676 680 consumer price index (CPI), 471n cost-push inflation, 673 674, 676 credibility, 688, 706 708 currency, collapse of, 217 defined, 7 demand-pull inflation, 673, 674 676 expected inflation. See expected inflation explanations for, 8 fiscal policy, effect of, 670 671 and high unemployment targets, 673 676 hyperinflation, 47, 667, 678, 707n meaning of, 668 669 and money, 7 9, 667 668 and money growth, 669 670 negative inflation, 97 Phillips curve theory, 480 recent episodes of rapid inflation, 668 rise in Canadian inflation, 1960-1980, 680 683 supply-side phenomena, 671 672 targets, 1980-2008, 440f views of, 669 672 welfare cost of inflation, 680, 681 yield curve as forecasting tool, 132 zero inflation, 488, 488n inflation-control agreements, 488n inflation rate average, vs. average rate of money growth, 8f for Canada, 1980-2008, 440f defined, 8 NAIRU (nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment), 480 inflation targeting, 466 472 from 1989 to present, 487 489 advantages, 469 470 Australia, 471 Canada, 469, 471 delayed signalling, 471 disadvantages, 470 472 elements of, 467 low economic growth, 472 New Zealand, 467 468, 471 potential for increased output fluctuations, 471 472 rigidity, 471 Sweden, 471 United Kingdom, 469, 471 inflationary monetary policy, 673 683 budget deficits and inflation, 676 680 high employment targets and inflation, 673 676 welfare cost of inflation, 680, 681 information asymmetric information. See asymmetric information collection, in insurance industry, 293 294 government regulation to increase, 174 175, 179 problems, in mortgage market, 206 production of information, 178 179 sale of, 173 information technology, 259 263, 283 ING Canada, 211, 269 initial public offerings (IPOs), 188, 300, 307 initiation of financial crisis, 200 202 insider information, 301 Inspector General of Banks, 241, 280 institutional investors, 303 instrument independence, 386 insurance, 288 295 cancellation, 294 coinsurance, 295 credit insurance, 291 292 deductible, 295 fraud prevention, 294 information collection and screening, 293 294 legislative framework, 292 293 life insurance, 289 290 limits on amount of insurance, 295 management, 293 295 property and casualty insurance, 290 291 restrictive provisions, 294 risk-based insurance premiums, 245, 294 Insurance Bureau of Canada, 285 Insurance Companies Act, 239t insurance holding companies, 282n interbank deposits, 52, 317 interest rate after-tax real interest rate, 78n annual percentage rate (APR), 235 bank rate, 24, 324, 407 and bond market, 3 and bond prices, 71 business cycle expansion, 95 97, 96f changes, impact of, 3, 510 changes in equilibrium level of, 601 603 channel/corridor system, 436 credit market instruments, types of, 62 63 and default risk, 114 116 defined, 3 and demand for bonds, 91 and demand for money, 566, 568 deposit rate ceilings, 264 and equilibrium exchange rate, 510 equilibrium interest rates, changes in, 88 99, 101 109 ex ante real interest rate, 76 ex post real interest rate, 76 expectations theory, 121 126 and expected inflation, 94 95 and expected return, 91 financing rate, 24 fiscal policy, response to change in, 602 603 Fisher effect, 94 95 Fisher equation, 76 77, 76n, 78n forecasting interest rates, 109, 133 135 forward rate, 134, 136 government spending, 603 and higher money supply growth rate, 106 109, 107f, 108f importance of, 3 income effect, 101 increases in, and financial crises, 199 interest-rate risk, 74 75 and ISLM model, 592 593, 592f Japan, low interest rates in, 97 98 and liquidity of bonds, 117 118 London interbank offer rate (LIBOR), 24 mean-reverting, 125n measurement of interest rates, 59 71 monetary policy, response to change in, 601 602 and money, 9, 9f, 105 and money supply, 590n and net exports, 588 nominal interest rate, 76 79, 78f, 441 443, 645, 660 661 overnight interest rate, 24 25, 433, 437 439, 445 446 overnight money market rate, 24 overnight rate, 431 and planned investment spending, 587 588 policy rate, 433 434 price-level effect, 102 prime rate, 24 real interest rate, 76 79, 78f, 644n, 645 reference rate, 433 vs. returns, 71 76 risk structure of interest rates, 113 119 and savings rates, 98 99 selected bonds, 1977-2009, 4f selected U.S. interest rates, 24 simple interest rate, 59 Index 739 spikes in, and financial crises, 202 spot rates, 134 targeting, vs. money supply, 608 610 taxes, 603 term structure of interest rates, 113, 119 136 traditional interest-rate channels, 651 653 treasury bill rate, 24 volatility, 258 259 yield to maturity, 63 71 interest-rate forward contracts, 347 348 interest-rate futures contract, 349 353 interest-rate risk, 74 75, 74n, 75n, 258 259, 322 interest-rate risk management, 334 339 interest-rate swaps, 370 373 intermediate target, 476 intermediate-term debt instruments, 20 Internal Control Instrument, 192 International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), 236, 240 international banking, 277 281 Canadian banking overseas, 279 280 Eurocurrencies market, 278 279 Eurodollar market, 278 foreign banks in Canada, 280 281 largest banks in the world, 281t less-developed countries (LDCs) debt, 279 280 offshore deposits, 278 279 required reserves, 407 reserve requirements, 436 international bond market, 27 28 international finance average inflation rate vs. average rate of money growth, 8f banking, 277 281 banking crises, 246 247, 247t, 248f central banks. See central banks decline of traditional banking, 267 268 financial futures markets, globalization of, 353 354 financial intermediaries, importance of, 31 financial markets, internationalization of, 27 29 financial regulation, 40, 240 financial structure, 166 169 foreign exchange market, 11 12 foreign financial markets, deregulation of, 27 Global Legal Settlement of 2002, 191 192 government safety nets, 227 228 high inflation, 9 international bond market, 27 28 long-run monetary neutrality, 613 separation of banking and other financial services industries, 274 275 state-owned banks, 185 study of, 10 12 transition countries, 184 185 world stock markets, 28 29 international financial regulation, 240 International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), 236 international financial system balance of payments, 522 523 capital controls, 534 535 described, 12 exchange rate regimes, 524 534 exchange rate targeting, 540 546 foreign exchange interventions, 518 522 International Monetary Fund, role of, 535 538 lender of last resort, 535 536, 538 monetary policy, 490, 539 540 International Monetary Fund (IMF), 222, 385, 490, 493, 525, 535 538 international policy coordination, 490 international reserves, 518 Internet e-cash, 49 e-money, 49, 50 as information resource, 13 virtual bank, 261 intrinsic value, 363 inventory investment, 575 inverted yield curve, 120 investment, 576, 619n investment advisers, 155 156 investment bank failures, 209, 274 investment banking, 300 301 investment banks, 20, 187 188, 191 192 investment dealers, 300 Investment Dealers Association of Canada, 285, 304 Investment Funds Institute of Canada, 285, 304 investment-grade securities, 115 116 investment income, 523 investment intermediaries, 37 investment spending. See planned investment spending Ireland, guarantees by government, 211 irrational exuberance, 202, 483 IS curve defined, 587 deriving, 588, 589f equilibrium in the goods market, 587 590 factors that cause shift, 597 599, 598f, 604t, 614 615 money supply vs. interest rate target, 609 610, 610n usefulness of, 588 590 ISLM model and aggregate demand curve, 613 616 aggregate output, approach to, 592 593, 592f aggregate output equilibrium, changes in, 601 603 described, 572, 586 587 fiscal policy, response to change in, 602 603 interest rate equilibrium, changes in, 601 603 interest rates, approach to, 592 593, 592f IS curve, 587 590, 589f, 609 610, 610n IS curve, shift in, 597 599, 598f, 604t LM curve, 587, 590 592, 591f, 609 610, 610n LM curve, shifts in, 599 600, 604t long run, 611 612, 611f monetary policy, response to change in, 601 602 monetary vs. fiscal policy, effectiveness of, 603 610 money demand function, 557 558 natural rate level of output, 611 Italy, and real-time settlement systems, 432 items in transit, 317 J Japan Bank of Japan, 397, 451, 464 banking industry, 270 bubble economy, 464 deflation, 471 472 Deposit Insurance Corporation, 246 247 external funds, sources of, 167, 167f financial regulation, 40 legal separation of banking and other financial services, 274 275 lost decade, 464 low interest rates, 97 98 monetary policy, 662 663 monetary targeting, 464 negative T-bill rates, 70 real-time settlement systems, 432 recession, 97 savings in, 27 stock market in, 29 jobbers, 443 J.P. Morgan, 209, 273 junk bonds, 116, 261, 267 just do it approach, 472 475 K Kane, Edward, 263 Kerriel, Jerome, 342 Keynes, John Maynard, 99, 100n, 556, 572, 642 see also Keynesian approaches; liquidity preference framework Keynesian approaches aggregate output, determination of, 573 586 early Keynesian evidence on importance of money, 642 643 fixed price level, 573 740 Index vs. Friedman s theory, 565 567 further developments, 559 563 interest sensitivity of consumer expenditure, 587n Keynesian cross diagram, 576 578 liquidity preference theory, 556 559 precautionary demand, 561 562 speculative demand, 562 563 transactions demand, 559 561 Keynesian cross diagram, 576 578 Keynesian multiplier, 418n Keynesians, 630 King, Robert, 651n Kornblith, Edith, 649n Krugman, Paul, 503n, 522n Kuwait Investment Authority, 304 Kydland, Finn E., 683n L La Porta, Rafael, 185n labour market tightness, 625 626 lags, 472, 685 Laidler, David, 391n large, complex banking organizations (LCBOs), 273 large-denomination time deposits, 316 Large Value Transfer System (LVTS), 284, 406, 406n, 432 433, 435 Latvia, and European Monetary Union, 396 Laubach, Thomas, 440n, 467n, 475n, 489n Laurentian Bank of Canada, 406n, 432n, 433n law of one price, 498 lawyers, 185 Leeper, Eric M., 109n Leeson, Nick, 342 legislation. See financial regulation legislative lag, 685 Lehman Brothers, 209, 227, 265, 273 Leiderman, Leonardo, 467n lemons problem, 171 177 lender of last resort, 227 228, 257, 384, 454 455, 458 459, 535 536, 538 less-developed countries (LDCs) debt, 279 280 leverage ratio, 230 leveraged buyout (LBO), 307 liabilities on bank balance sheet, 315 317 on Bank of Canada s balance sheet, 405 406 defined, 18 monetary liabilities, 405 406 liability management, 321, 325 326 liar loans, 237 life insurance companies, 35 36, 36t, 289 290 Lindsey, David, 463n liquid, 21 liquidity and asset demand, 84 of bonds, 117 118 defined, 47, 83 demand for bonds, shifts in, 91 forward contracts and, 348 liquidity effect, 105, 106 107 liquidity management, 321, 322 325 liquidity preference, 590 liquidity preference framework defined, 99 demand for money, shifts in, 101 102 described, 99 101 equilibrium interest rates, changes in, 101 109 liquidity preference function, 557 liquidity preference theory, 556 559 liquidity premium theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f liquidity services, 32, 171 Lithuania currency board, 544 European Monetary Union, 396 Lloyds Bank of Canada, 241 Lloyds of London, 291 LM curve defined, 587 deriving, 590 591, 591f equilibrium in market for money, 590 592 factors that cause shift, 599 600, 604t, 615 616 money supply vs. interest rate target, 609 610, 610n usefulness of, 591 592 load funds, 303 loan commitments, 332 loan sale, 340 loan-to-value ratio (LTV), 206 loans see also debt instruments as bank assets, 318 collateral requirements, 333 commercial bank loans, 27 contractual savings institutions, 35 36 credit market instruments, 62 63 debt instruments, 59 fixed-payment loan, 62, 64 65 fully amortized loan, 62 liar loans, 237 loan contracts, 169 NINJA loan, 237 no-doc loans, 237 overdraft loans, 316 simple loan, 62, 63 64 sovereign loans, 279 specialization in lending, 331 Loblaws, 270 Loi, Jackson, 51n London interbank offer rate (LIBOR), 24 London International Financial Futures Exchange, 353 354 long in a call, 362 long in a put, 364 long position, 346, 351 long-run aggregate supply curve, 622 624, 629, 631 633 long-run equilibrium, 628 630 long-run monetary neutrality, 612, 613 long-term bonds, 74 Long-Term Capital Management, 305, 306 long-term customer relationships, 332 long-term debt instruments, 20 loophole mining, 263 Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio, 185n loss aversion, 160 Lucas, Robert E. Jr., 681, 691, 692 Lucas critique of policy evaluation, 692 693 Lundrigan, Eugene, 433n Luxembourg, and bailouts, 211 LVTS participants, 432 M M1+, 51t, 52 M1++, 51t, 52, 53f M2, 51, 51t, 53f M2+, 51t, 52 M2++, 51t, 52, 53f M3, 51 52, 51t Maastricht Treaty, 394, 396 MacKay Task Force, 246 macro hedge, 353 macroeconomic performance, 401 macroprudential regulation, 484 Majluf, N.S., 172n Malaysia currency, collapse of, 221 stock market declines, 220 Malta, 395 managed float regime, 524, 530 mandate-consistent inflation objective, 475 Mankiw, N. Gregory, 131n Mann, Catherine, 654n Manulife Financial, 289 March Terme International de France, 353, 354 margin requirement, 355 356 marginal propensity to consume, 574 mark-to-marketing accounting, 235, 236 marked to market, 355 the market. See stock market market equilibrium in bond market, 86f, 87 defined, 87 foreign exchange market, 504, 504f, 510 512 goods market, 587 590 market for money, 100 101, 100f market for money equilibrium, 100 101, 100f, 590 592 liquidity preference framework, 99 101 vs. money market, 99n supply and demand, 99 101 market for settlement balances, 437 439 market fundamentals, 154 Index 741 market-neutral strategies, 305 Market Risk Amendment, 230 Marshall, Alfred, 551 Martin, William McChesney Jr., 393n MasterCard, 260 maturity, 20 maturity bucket approach, 335 maturity buckets, 335 maturity date, 59 Mayer, Colin, 31n MBNA, 269 McCallum, Bennett, 688, 691n mean-reverting, 125n measurement of interest rates, 59 71 of money, 49 54 medium of exchange, 44 45 Meiselman, David, 648n Meltzer, Alan, 688 Mercantile Bank, 241 merger review policy, 284 285 Meriwether, John, 306 Merrill Lynch, 208, 209, 273, 283n Merrill Lynch HSBC, 283n Merton, Robert, 306 Mexico currency, collapse of, 221 debt market, 221 financial crises in, 217 222 foreign exchange crisis, 533 534 foreign lending to, 279, 280 micro hedge, 353 Microsoft Excel, 13 Mihov, Illian, 109n Milken, Michael, 261 Miller, Merton, 359 Mills, Terence C., 382n Mishkin, Frederic S., 78n, 132n, 187n, 440n, 467n, 475n, 480n, 489n, 510n, 644n, 658n, 710n mismanagement of financial liberalization/innovation, 200 202 modern quantity theory of money, 563 567 Modernized Standards By-law, 245 Modigliani, Franco, 649n, 655n Molik, Terence E., 54n monetarism, 485 monetarist evidence, 645 650 monetarists, 630 monetary aggregates, 50 53, 51t monetary base, 385, 405, 408 414, 519 monetary conditions, 440 A Monetary History of the United States (1867-1960) (Friedman and Schwartz), 425 426, 649 650 monetary liabilities, 405 406 monetary neutrality, 511 monetary policy see also Bank of Canada aggregate output, response of, 601 602 aggregate output in long run, 612 asset-price bubbles, 483 484 Bank of Canada s policy rate, 433 434 channel/corridor system, 436, 437 439, 449 450 complete crowding out, 606 607 conduct of, 9 defined, 9, 596 and differential regional effects, 659 discretionary/nondiscretionary policy debate, 684 688 economic fluctuations and, 642 and the economy, 440 441 at effective lower bound for the overnight rate, 450 451 exchange rate considerations, 540 exchange rate targeting, 540 546 vs. fiscal policy, effectiveness of, 603 610 and GDP, 653f goal of, 439 implementation framework, 432 437 with implicit nominal anchor, 472 475 inflation targeting, 466 472 inflationary monetary policy, 673 683 interest rate, response of, 601 602 international considerations, 539 540 Japan, 662 663 just do it approach, 472 475 Large Value Transfer System (LVTS), 432 433, 435 lessons for, 660 662 market for settlement balances, 437 439 monetary targeting strategy, 462 466 and nominal interest rates, 441 443, 660 661 non-LVTS (ACSS) transactions, 433 open market operations, 443 445 operating band for the overnight interest rate, 434, 437 policy instrument, choice of, 476 479 policy mix, 605 policy procedures, historical perspective, 485 490 Receiver General auctions, 446 447 settlement balances management, 445 452 settlement balances target level, 448 449 standing liquidity facilities, 436 437 and stock prices, 146 strategies, advantages and disadvantages of, 474t study of, 7, 9 10 swaps with Exchange Fund Account, 447 448 tactics, 476 481 Taylor rule, 479 481 at times of crisis, 453 transmission mechanisms. See transmission mechanisms of monetary policy unanticipated price level fluctuations, 662 uncertainty over conduct of, 398n Monetary Policy Report, 383, 389 monetary targeting, 462 466 from 1975 to 1981, 485 487 advantages and disadvantages, 466 Canada, 463 464 described, 462 Germany, 464 466 Japan, 464 United States, 463 monetary theory defined, 7, 551 Keynesian approach, 556 563 liquidity preference theory, 556 559 modern quantity theory of money, 563 567 quantity theory of money, 552 554 velocity, as constant, 555 556 monetizing the debt, 677 money base money, 384 385 and business cycles, 6 7, 7f cashless society, 50 cheques, 48 commodity money, 47 48 defined, 6, 43 44 demand for money. See money demand e-money (electronic money), 49 and economic activity, 651 electronic payment, 49 equation of exchange, 552 553 fiat money, 48 functions of money, 44 47 growth of, and inflation, 669 670 growth of, and interest rates, 106 109, 107f, 108f high-powered money, 408 importance of, 642 643, 645 650 and inflation, 7 9, 667 668 and interest rates, 9, 9f, 105 M1+, 51t, 52 M1++, 51t, 52, 53f M2, 51, 51t, 53f M2+, 51t, 52 M2++, 51t, 52, 53f M3, 51 52, 51t market for money. See market for money meaning of money, 43 44 measurement of, 49 54 as medium of exchange, 44 45 in modern prisons, 46 monetary aggregates, 50 53, 51t monetary theory. See monetary theory money market. See money market need for money, 45 payments system, evolution of, 47 49 in prison-of-war camps, 46 real money balances, 557 558 reliability of money data, 54 as store of value, 46 47 study of, 6 10 supply of money. See money supply as unit of account, 45 46 742 Index velocity of money, 552 553 as weighted aggregate, 53 54 money centre banks, 326 money demand see also monetary theory autonomous changes in, 600 empirical evidence, 567 569 income effect, 101 and interest rate, 566, 568 and interest-sensitivity, 607, 607n precautionary demand, 561 562 precautionary motive, 556 price-level effect, 102 quantity theory of money demand, 553 554 shifts in, 101 102 speculative demand, 562 563 speculative motive, 556 557 stability of, 568 569 transactions demand, 559 561 transactions motive, 556 money demand function, 563, 565, 567 568 money market certificate of deposit (CD), 23 commercial paper, 23 defined, 21 described, 21 22 Government of Canada treasury bills, 22 instruments, 22 25, 22t vs. market for money, 99n overnight funds, 23 25 repurchase agreements (repos), 23 money market mutual funds, 37, 262, 264, 265, 305 money multiplier, 422 424 money supply see also money supply process and aggregate output, 602 and aggregate price level, 8f borrowed reserves, change in, 420 changes in, and equilibrium interest rate, 103 104 changes in, and LM curve, 599 600 currency component, 406n currency holdings, changes in, 421 desired reserve ratio, change in, 420 421 and exchange rate, 511 expected-inflation effect, 105 factors that determine, 420 421 and foreign exchange interventions, 518 520 foreign exchange market, direct effects of, 539 higher growth rate, and interest rates, 106 109, 107f, 108f income effect, 105 and inflation, 8 9, 8f and interest rates, 590n liquidity effect, 105 longer-run movements, 54 nonborrowed monetary base, change in, 420 price-level effect, 105 response to changes in factors, 424 shifts in, 102 106 short-run movements, 54 targeting, vs. interest rates, 608 610 money supply process advances, 407 Bank of Canada advances, 412 413 Bank of Canada s balance sheet, 405 407 cast of players, 404 405 factors that determine the money supply, 420 421 monetary base, control of, 408 414 money multiplier, 422 424 multiple deposit creation, 414 420 open market operations, 408 411 overview, 421, 421t shifts from deposits into currency, 411 412 monitoring, 178 179, 181 182, 331 332 monoline insurance companies, 291 292 Montreal Accord, 209 Montreal Exchange (ME), 21, 302, 349, 353, 362 Moody s Investor Service, 115, 189 moral hazard see also asymmetric information collateral, 180 181 conflicts of interest, 186 192 credit rationing, 333 credit risk management, 330 334 debt contracts, 179 180 debt vs. equity, influence on choice, 177 180 defined, 171 described, 33 34 in equity contracts, 177 178 financial intermediation, 179, 182 financial supervision and, 231 free-rider problem, 178 179 government regulation to increase information, 179 and government safety net, 228 monitoring, 178 179, 181 182 and net worth, 180 181 principal-agent problem, 177 180 restrictive covenants, 181 182 Morgan Stanley, 188, 273 mortgage-backed securities, 57, 205 mortgage brokers, 249 mortgage insurance market, 210 mortgage loan companies. See trust and mortgage loan companies (TMLs) mortgage market agency problems, 205 206 and financial innovations, 204 205 information problems, 206 structure of Canadian mortgage market, 212 mortgages adjustable-rate mortgages, 259 alt-A mortgages, 204 described, 25 residential mortgage market, 25 subprime mortgages, 204 subprime mortgages in Canada, 210 underwater, 206 Mugabe, Robert, 668 Mullins, David, 306 multilateral netting, 433 multiple deposit creation, 414 420 banking system, 415 418 critique of simple model, 419 420 defined, 414 deriving the formula for, 418 419 simple deposit multiplier, 418 single bank, 414 415 municipal bonds, 26 municipals, 26 Muth, John, 148n, 151n mutual funds, 302 307 closed-end fund, 303 defined, 170, 302 described, 37 economies of scale, 170 hedge funds, 305 307 load funds, 303 money market mutual funds. See money market mutual funds no-load funds, 303 open-end fund, 303 Mutual Funds Dealers Association, 285, 304 Myers, Stewart, 172n N NAIRU (nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment), 480, 623n NASDAQ, 140, 156, 301 National Association, 432n National Bank Act, 254 National Bank of Canada, 208, 241 see also Big Six national banks, 254 National Central Banks, 394 National Financial Services OmbudService (NFSO), 285 National Housing Act, 210 national regulatory system, 285 natural disasters, 291, 291n natural rate level of output, 611 natural rate of output, 624 natural rate of unemployment, 622 623, 683, 683n near banks cooperative banks, 276 277 government savings institutions, 277 regulation, 275 277 structure, 275 277 trust companies, 275 negative inflation, 97 negative supply shocks, 634 635 negative T-bill rates, 70 negotiable CDs, 326, 326n Index 743 net exports, 573, 573n, 586, 588, 599, 620, 654 net worth, 176 177, 180 181, 336n the Netherlands bailouts, 211 mergers, 285 real-time settlement systems, 432 universal banking, 274 new classical macroeconomics, 687n, 694 698 new Keynesian assumption of sticky prices, 441 new Keynesian model, 698 700 New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), 301, 359 New Zealand channel/corridor system, 436 inflation targeting, 466, 467 469, 471 reserve requirements, 407, 436 Nexen Inc., 156 Nikkei 225, 354 Nikkei 225 Average, 29 NINJA loan, 237 no-doc loans, 237 no-load funds, 303 nominal interest rate, 76 79, 78f, 441 443, 645, 660 661 non-depository credit intermediaries, 299 non-LVTS (ACSS) transactions, 433 non-negotiable CDs, 23 nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU). See NAIRU (nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment) nonbank financial institutions capital buyout funds, 307 finance companies, 299 300 government financial intermediation, 307 310 insurance, 288 295 mutual funds, 302 307 pension funds, 296 299 private equity funds, 307 securities market operations, 300 302 venture capital funds, 307 nonborrowed monetary base, 414, 420 nonborrowed reserves (NBR), 439 nondiscretionary policy, 684 688 Northern Rock, 207 Northland Bank, 240 241, 456 notes in circulation, 405, 406n notice deposits, 315 316 notional principal, 371 Nott, Loretta, 52n O Obstfeld, Maurice, 503n, 522n off-balance-sheet activities, 230, 340 342 Office of Federal Housing Oversight, 309 Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Act, 238 Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), 38t, 39, 210, 212, 275, 280, 285, 289, 385, 385n official reserve transactions balance, 523 offshore deposits, 278 279, 279 oil price shocks, 279 Old Age Security (OAS), 297 one-period valuation model, 141 Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement Board, 297 Ontario Municipal Improvement Corporation, 27 Ontario Securities Act, 301 Ontario Securities Commission (OSC), 37 38, 234, 301 Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board, 297 open-end fund, 303 open interest, 353 open market buyback operations, 385 open market operations, 443 445 open market purchase, 408 410 open market sale, 408, 410 411 operating band, 434, 437 operating instrument. See policy instrument opportunity cost, 100 optimal forecast, 148, 154 Opting-Out By-Law, 243 options, 361 370 American options, 362 call option, 362 363, 363f call premium, 362 credit options, 374 defined, 361 European options, 362 exercise price, 361 financial futures options, 362, 365 369 futures options, 362, 365 369 intrinsic value, 363 long in a call, 362 long in a put, 364 at the money, 363 in the money, 363 option premium prices, factors affecting, 369 370 out of the money, 363 premium, 362 put options, 363 364, 364f put premium, 364 short in a call, 362 short in a put, 364 stock options, 362 364 strike price, 361 term to expiration, 361 trading at par, 363 writer, 361 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 230 organized exchanges, 301 302 originate-to-distribute, 205 Osaka Securities Exchange, 354 other things being equal, 85 out of the money option, 363 over-the-counter (OTC) market, 21 overconfidence, 160 overdraft loans, 316 overnight funds, 23 25 overnight interest rate, 24 25, 431, 433, 437 439, 445 446 overnight money market rate, 24 overregulation, danger of, 250 ownership rules (bank), 270, 283 284 P Pagan, Adrian, 109n par value, 62 Parmalat, 174 partisan business cycles, 400 Paulin, Graydon, 390n payments system, evolution of, 47 49 payoff method, 226 P&C Insurance Compensation Corporation (PACIC), 38t peg, 540 pension funds, 296 299 defined-benefit plan, 296 defined-contribution plan, 296 described, 36 fully funded, 296 personal pension plans, 299 private pension plans, 297 privatization, 298 public pension plans, 297 299 registered pension plans (RPPs), 297 relative shares, 36f social security, 297 299 underfunded, 296 vesting, 296 297 perfect storm of adverse shocks, 549, 635 permanent life insurance, 289 perpetuity, 67 68, 69 personal pension plans, 299 Peru, foreign lending to, 280 Phelps, Edmund, 387, 387n Philippines currency, collapse of, 221 stock market declines in, 220 Phillips, A.W., 387, 387n Phillips curve theory, 480 Pigou, A.C., 551 plain vanilla assets, 208 plain vanilla swap, 371 planned investment spending, 573, 575 576, 579, 579f, 584, 587 588, 597 598, 619 Plosser, Charles, 632n, 651n Poland, European Monetary Union, 396 policy evaluation, 692 693 policy ineffectiveness proposition, 696 policy instrument choice of, 476 479 controllability, 478 criteria for choosing, 478 479 defined, 476 intermediate target, 476 measurability, 478 744 Index observability, 478 predictable effect on goals, 478 479 policy mix, 605 policy procedures, historical perspective, 485 490 policy rate, 433 434 political business cycle, 399 political environment, 383 politics, and economics, 400 Poole, William, 608n, 649n portfolio, 32 portfolio balance effect, 522n portfolio insurance, 359 Posen, Adam, 401n, 440n, 467n, 475n, 489n post hoc, ergo propter hoc, 645 646 PRAs. See Purchase and Resale Agreements (PRAs) precautionary demand, 561 562, 562n precautionary motive, 556 preferences for domestic vs. foreign goods, 501 preferred habitat theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f premium, 362 Prescott, Edward C., 683n, 691n present discounted value, 59 62 present value, 59 62 President s Choice Bank, 270 price bonds. See bond prices equilibrium price, 87 price earnings ratio (PE), 144 price earnings valuation method, 144, 145 price level. See aggregate price level price-level effect, 102, 105 Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF), 458 primary dealers, 443 primary market defined, 20 described, 20 21 prime rate, 24 principal, 59 principal-agent problem, 177 180, 341 printing money, 677 prison-of-war camps, 46 prisons, 46 private equity funds, 307 private pension plans, 297 private production, 173 privately owned government sponsored enterprises, 249 producer price index (PPi), 620 production costs, 626 productivity, and exchange rates, 501 502, 502n program trading, 359 prompt corrective action provisions, 244 245 prompt of corrective action, 231 property and casualty (P&C) insurance companies, 36, 36t, 289t, 290 291 property rights, 185 Province of Ontario Savings Office, 277 provincial bonds, 26 Provincial Notes Act, 1866, 255 provincial securities commissions, 37 38, 38t provincials, 26 Prudential, 262 prudential supervision, 231 233 Public Accounting Reform and Investor Protection Act. See Sarbanes-Oxley Act public interest impact assessment (PIIA), 284 public interest view, 398 public pension plans, 297 299 purchase and assumption method, 226 227 Purchase and Resale Agreements (PRAs), 411 The Purchasing Power of Money (Fisher), 552 purchasing power parity (PPP), 499, 500 pure arbitrage, 153 put options, 363 364, 364f put premium, 364 Q quantitative easing, 451 quantity theory of money, 552 554, 621 quantity theory of money demand, 553 554 Qu bec Deposit Insurance Board, 38t, 39, 242, 276 Quebec Pension Plan, 297 quotas, 501 Qwest, 191 R Radford, R.A., 46 random-walk behaviour, 157 Rasminsky, Louis, 383, 388 rate of capital gain, 72 73 rate of return bonds, 71 72, 74 calculation of, 72 defined, 71 rate of capital gain, 72 73 safety/returns trade-off, 328 standard deviations of returns that measure risk, 83n rational bubbles, 159 rational expectations, 147 149 rational expectations revolution anti-inflation policies, 704 706 comparison of new models with traditional model, 701 707, 701t, 702f credibility in fighting inflation, 706 708 described, 691 impact of, 709 710 Lucas critique of policy evaluation, 692 693 new classical macroeconomics, 694 698 new Keynesian model, 698 700 short-run output and price responses, 701 703 stabilization policy, 703 704 rational expectations theory Black Monday, 158 159 change in movement of variable, 150 forecast errors of expectations, 150 151 formal statement of the theory, 149 implications of the theory, 150 151 rational expectations, 147 149 rationale behind the theory, 149 150 Tech Crash of 2000, 158 159 Reagan, Ronald, 393 real assets, 91 real business cycle theory, 631 633, 650, 651 real GDP, 620 real interest rate, 76 79, 78f, 644n, 645 real money balances, 557 558 Real Return Bonds, 79 real terms, 77 Receiver General auctions, 446 447 recessions defined, 7 Japan, 97 subprime financial crisis, 660 recognition lag, 685 redemption, 26 Redish, Angela, 391n reduced-form evidence, 639 640, 641, 650n reference rate, 433 registered bonds, 26 registered pension plans (RPPs), 297 Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs), 299 regulation. See financial regulation Regulation Q, 264 regulatory arbitrage, 231 regulatory consolidation, 246 regulatory forbearance, 241 reinsurance, 291 reinvestment risk, 75n repos, 23, 443 444 repurchase agreements (repos), 23 repurchase transactions, 411 required reserves, 407 research companies, 187 188 Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act, 467 reserve currency, 525 Reserve Primary Fund, 209, 265 reserve requirements, 263 264, 407, 436, 649 reserves on Bank of Canada balance sheet, 406 borrowed reserves, 407, 420 China, and international reserves, 528 529 defined, 317 demand curve, 437 438 Index 745 desired reserves, 317 international reserves, 518 nonborrowed reserves (NBR), 439 required reserves, 407 role of, 322 325 secondary reserves, 317 residual claimant, 20, 141 restrictions on asset holdings, 229 230 branching restrictions, 255, 271 273 on competition, 235 on entry, 39 restrictive covenants, 169, 181 182, 331 332 restrictive provisions in insurance policies, 294 return. See rate of return return on assets (ROA), 327 return on equity (ROE), 327 revaluation, 527 reverse causation, 641 reverse repos, 443, 444 445 Ricardian equivalence, 679 Ricardo, David, 679 risk see also financial derivatives and asset demand, 83 84 credit risk, 322 default risk, 114 116, 348 defined, 32, 83 demand for bonds, shifts in, 91 foreign exchange risk, 357 358 interest-rate risk, 74 75, 74n, 75n, 258 259, 322 limit on risk taking, 250 reinvestment risk, 75n standard deviations of returns that measure risk, 83n stock market risk, 358 systemic risk, 432 risk-averse person, 84 risk-based insurance premiums, 245, 294 risk lover, 84 risk management assessment of, 233 234 financial futures, 349 357 forward contracts, 347 348 hedging, 346 347 options, 361 370 stock index futures, 358 361 swaps, 370 373 techniques, 341 risk of default. See default risk risk preferrer, 84 risk premium, 114 risk sharing, 32 risk structure of interest rates, 113 119 default risk, 114 116 defined, 113 income tax considerations, 117 118 liquidity of bonds, 117 118 risky assets, 229 230 Robertson, John C., 109n Romania, high inflation in, 9 Romer, Christina, 650n Romer, David, 650n Royal Bank of Canada, 261 Royal Trust, 297 rule of law, 227 Rush, Mark, 710n Russia financial crisis in, 218n financial repression, 184 fiscal imbalances, 199, 215 high inflation, 9 sovereign wealth funds, 304 S safety net, 200, 226 229 safety/returns trade-off, 328 Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs), 411, 443, 444 445 sale of information, 173 sales finance companies, 23, 299 Salomon Smith Barney, 273 Sarbanes-Oxley Act, 28, 189 190, 193 Sargent, Thomas, 691, 696n, 707n, 709n, 710n savings accounts, 316 Savings and Credit Union Act (Qu bec), 238t Schedule I banks, 268 269 Schedule II banks, 268 269, 280 Schedule III banks, 268 269, 280 Schoenholtz, Kermit L., 131n Scholes, Myron, 306 Schwartz, Anna, 425, 643, 643n, 645n, 649 screening, 293 294, 330 331 Sears Roebuck Acceptance Corporation, 299 seasoned issues, 300 secondary loan participation, 340 secondary market, 20 21 secondary reserves, 317 secured debt, 169 securities banks holdings of, 317 318 brokers, 20 dealers, 20 defined, 3 as external financing source, 168 flow of funds through financial system, 18, 18f government agency securities, 27 investment bank, 3 investment-grade securities, 115 116 regulation of securities trading, 301 underwriting, 3 securities brokers, 300 securities dealers, 300 securities market operations, 300 302 securitization, 204, 263 Security First Network Bank, 261 segmented markets theory, 126 127 seigniorage, 256, 546 self-correcting mechanisms, 630 Selody, Jack, 455n separation of banking and other financial services industries, 274 275 Serletis, Apostolos, 54n, 400, 569n, 681 service transactions, 523 settlement balances, 316, 406, 437 439 settlement balances management, 445 452 settlement balances target level, 448 449 settlement price, 356 shadow banking system, 258 268 shareholders, 141 Shefrin, Hersh, 159n Shiller, Robert J., 131n, 159n, 160n Shleifer, Andrei, 159n, 185n shocks adverse shocks, 549 aggregate demand shocks, 630 631 demand shocks, 622 negative supply shocks, 634 635 oil price shocks, 279 perfect storm of adverse shocks, 549, 635 supply shocks, 626, 634 635, 671 672, 691n short in a call, 362 short in a put, 364 short position, 346, 351 short-run aggregate supply curve, 624 626, 670n short-run equilibrium, 627 628 short sales, 160 short-term debt instruments, 20 shorter-term bonds, 74 silver crash, 356 simple deposit multiplier, 418 simple interest rate, 59 simple loan, 59, 62, 63 64 simple present value, 61 simple-sum money aggregates, 569n Slovakia, 395 Slovenia, 395 smart card, 49 smart money, 154, 159 social contagion, 160 social security, 297 299 Soci t G n rale, 342 South Korea bailout plans, 211 chaebols, 219 220 currency, collapse of, 221 financial crises, 219 220 sovereign loans, 279 sovereign wealth funds, 303, 304 Soviet Union, 186 see also Russia S&P/TSX Composite, 4, 140 Spain bailout package, 211 inflation targeting, 467 special drawing rights (SDRs), 530 special Purchase and Resale Agreements (special PRAs or SPRAs), 411, 443 444 746 Index Special Purpose Vehicles, 208 specialist, 302 specialization in lending, 331 speculative attack, 216, 221, 531, 532, 541 speculative demand, 562 563 speculative-grade bonds, 116 speculative motive, 556 557 speculators, 216 spinning, 188 Spitzer, Eliot, 191 spot rates, 134 spot transactions, 495 Spouse s Allowance (SPA), 297 SPRAs. See special Purchase and Resale Agreements (special PRAs or SPRAs) SRAs. See Sale and Repurchase Agreements (SRAs) St. Louis model, 650n stabilization fund, 276 277 Stabilization Fund of the Russian Federation, 304 stabilization policy, 703 704 Standard & Poor s Corporation (S&P), 115, 116t, 173, 189, 206 standard deviations of returns that measure risk, 83n standardized gap analysis, 335 Standards of Sound Business and Financial Practices, 242 243, 246 standing lending facility, 452 453 standing liquidity facilities, 436 437 Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade, and Commerce, 284 state banks, 254 state-owned banks, 185 State Street Bank and Trust Company, 406n, 432n statistical evidence, 648 649 statistical models, 109 sterilized foreign exchange intervention, 520, 522, 522n sticky prices, 441 Stiglitz, Joseph E., 172n stock index futures, 358 361 stock market Black Monday, 4, 158 159, 359 bubble. See bubble decline of, and balance sheets, 197 described, 3 5 efficient market hypothesis, 151 159 importance of, 4 5 investment advisers reports, 155 156 lemons problem, 172 173 practical guide to investment, 155 158 setting stock prices, 145 147 and subprime financial crisis, 147 theory of rational expectations, 147 151 top ten stock exchanges, 29t volatility of stock prices, 4 world stock markets, 28 29 stock market crashes, 57 stock market risk, 358 stock options, 362 364 stock prices see also stock valuation and good news, 157 and investment spending, 655, 655n and monetary policy, 146 quotations, 156 random-walk behaviour, 157 setting stock prices, 145 147 stock market risk, 358 volatility, 4, 4f stock valuation see also stock prices computation of common stock price, 141 145 and constant growth, 143, 144 generalized dividend model, 142 143 Gordon growth model, 143, 146, 147 one-period valuation model, 141 price earnings valuation method, 144, 145 stocks see also common stock as capital market instrument, 25 defined, 18 described, 25 as external financing source, 167 168, 167n short sales, 160 supply and demand analysis, 88 store of value, 46 47 stored-value card, 49 Strauss, Kahn, Dominique, 538 stress testing, 234 strike price, 361 Strongin, Steven, 109n structural model, 639 structural model evidence, 639, 640 structured credit products, 205, 206 structured investment vehicles, 207, 249, 330, 340 subprime financial crisis, 204 212 agency problems, 205 206 asset-price bubbles, response to, 481 485 and BAA-Treasury spread, 117 bailout package, 210, 211 bailout packages, 165 causes, 1 and consumer protection regulation, 237 credit-rating agencies, 190 deterioration of banks balance sheets, 207 failure of high-profile firms, 209 financial derivatives, 375 376 financial innovations in mortgage markets, 204 205 financial regulation, effect on, 248 250 global spread of crisis, 206 207 housing price bubble, 205, 206 information problems, 206 and International Monetary Fund, 538 large, free-standing investment banks, demise of, 274 lender-of-last-resort facilities, 458 459 mark-to-market accounting, criticisms of, 236 and negative supply shocks, 635 recession, 660 recovery, 210 and stock market, 147 and the U.S. dollar, 513 514 volatility of financial markets, 57 subprime mortgage products, 249 subprime mortgages, 204 subprime mortgages in Canada, 210 Sumitomo Corporation, 342 Summers, Lawrence H., 131n, 401n, 510n, 632n, 644n Sun Life, 289 supply aggregate supply. See aggregate supply in bond market, 85 88 changes in, and financial innovation, 259 263 excess supply, 87 exchange rate, 502 504 liquidity preference framework, 99 101 in market for money, 99 101 shifts in supply of bonds, 92 99 shifts in supply of money, 102 106, 103f supply curve described, 86 87 domestic assets, 503 expected inflation, 93 expected profitability of investment opportunities, 92 93 and government budget, 93 94 settlement balances, 438 439 shifts in supply of bonds, 92 99, 92t, 93f shifts in supply of money, 102 106, 103f supply shocks, 626, 634 635, 671 672, 691n supply-side phenomena, 671 672, 672n Sutton, Willy, 215 Svensson, Lars E.O., 467n swaps credit swaps, 374 375 currency swaps, 370 defined, 370 with Exchange Fund Account, 447 448 interest-rate swaps, 370 373 notional principal, 371 plain vanilla swap, 371 Sweden bailout plans, 211 European Monetary Union, 396 indexed securities, 79 inflation targeting, 467, 471 real-time settlement systems, 432 Index 747 sweet accounts, 264 265 SWIFT telecommunications network, 432 Swiss National Bank, 458 Switzerland mergers, 285 monetary targeting, 464 real-time settlement systems, 432 reserve requirements, 407, 436 universal banking, 274 synergies, 273 systemic risk, 432 T T-account, 318, 408 tariffs, 501 tax-exempt bonds, 118 taxable bonds, 118 taxation. See income tax Taylor, John, 479, 479n, 652n, 654n, 707, 707n Taylor rule, 479 481 Tech Crash of 2000, 158 159 tech-stock bubble, 483 technical analysis, 158 Temasek Holdings, 304 temporary life insurance, 290 Term Auction Facility (TAF), 458 term deposit receipts, 23 term insurance, 290 term interbank market, 453 term notes, 23 term Purchase and Resale Agreements, 455, 456 term securities lending, 457 Term Securities Lending Facility, 458 term structure of interest rates, 119 136 defined, 113 expectations theory, 121 126, 128f forecasting interest rates, 133 135 liquidity premium theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f Lucas critique of policy evaluation, 693 predictive power of the yield curve, 131 preferred habitat theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f segmented markets theory, 126 127 yield curve, 119 121 term to expiration, 361 Texas Instruments BA-35, 60 Thailand currency, collapse of, 221 financial crises in, 220 theory of asset demand, 84, 84t, 88 theory of bureaucratic behaviour, 398 theory of efficient capital markets. See efficient market hypothesis theory of purchasing power parity (PPP), 499 500 theory of rational expectations. See rational expectations theory Thiessen, Gordon, 383, 387, 388n, 390n, 489n time deposits, 316 timing evidence, 645 648 TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protection Securities), 79 TMX Group of Companies, 302 Tobin, James, 559, 559n, 562 563, 562n, 646n, 655n Tobin s q theory, 654 655 Tokyo Stock Exchange, 302, 354 Toll, Sari, 433n too-big-to-fail policy, 228 229, 244 Toronto Dominion Bank. See Big Six Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), 20, 21, 29, 156, 301 302, 362 Towers, Graham, 383, 387 trade balance, 522 trade barriers, 501 trading at par, 363 traditional interest-rate channels, 651 653 transaction costs, 31 32, 45, 169 171 transactions demand, 559 561 transactions motive, 556 transition countries, 184 185 transmission mechanisms of monetary policy, 650 660 asset price channels, 654 655 balance sheet channel, 656 657 bank lending channel, 656 cash flow channel, 657 credit channels, 659 credit view, 656 659 defined, 639 exchange rate effects on net exports, 654 household liquidity effects, 658 659 monetary policy and GDP, 653f Tobin s q theory, 654 655 traditional interest-rate channels, 651 653 unanticipated price level channel, 657 658 wealth effects, 655 transparency, 390 391 Travelers Group, 273 Treasury Asset Relief Plan (TARP), 211 Treasury bill rate, 24, 70 Treasury bills, 22 Trust and Loan Companies Act, 239t, 275 trust and mortgage loan companies (TMLs) see also banks certificate of deposit (CD), 23 described, 5, 34 35 primary assets and liabilities of, 35t regulation and structure, 275 276 relative shares, 36t trustees, 275 trustees, 275 truth in lending, 235 TSX Venture Exchange, 20, 29, 156, 302, 362 Turkey financial crises in, 218n fiscal imbalances in, 199, 215 U unanticipated policy, 694 696, 699 unanticipated price level channel, 657 658, 662 uncertainty, 198 200, 202 underfunded, 296 underwater mortgages, 206 underwriters, 301 underwriting, 3, 187 188 unemployment and aggregate output, 620 high unemployment targets and inflation, 673 676 responses to high unemployment, 684 685 unemployment rate defined, 6 NAIRU (nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment), 480, 623n natural rate of unemployment, 622 623, 683, 683n publication of, 620 unexploited profit opportunities, 153 unilateral transfers, 523 unit of account, 45 46 United Kingdom bailout plan, 211 bank failure in, 206 207, 240 Bank of England, 397, 451, 469 British-style universal banking system, 274 building societies, 275 European Monetary Union, 396 and exchange-rate peg, 542 indexed securities, 79 inflation targeting, 467, 469, 471 mergers, 285 real-time settlement systems, 432 reserve requirements, 436 United States autonomous consumer expenditure, collapse of, 580 581 BAA-Treasury spread, 117 bailout packages, 165, 212 balance-of-payments deficits, 539 bank holding company, 271 272 banking industry, 270 272, 270t, 271t Bush tax cut, effect of, 119 capital markets, dominance of, 28 current account deficit, 524 deposit rate ceilings, 264 dollar. See U.S. dollar Dual Banking System, 254 external funds, sources of, 167, 167f Federal Reserve. See U.S. Federal Reserve Federal Reserve System, 391 394, 392f financial futures, 354t financial regulation, 40 748 Index Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), 236 government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), 308 310 Great Depression, 203 204, 217, 222 housing market, 1 implicit nominal anchor, 472 indexed securities, 79 lawyers in, 185 mergers, 285 monetary targeting, 463 money market mutual funds, 264, 305 municipal bonds, 118 option markets, 362 Regulation Q, 264 reserve requirements, 263 264, 407, 649 Sarbanes-Oxley Act, 189 190, 193 selected U.S. interest rates, 24 stock market crash, 57 subprime financial crisis. See subprime financial crisis TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protection Securities), 79 Vietnam War buildup, 633 634 universal banking, 187n, 274 unsterilized foreign exchange intervention, 520 522, 520n Update, 383, 389 U.S. dollar the euro s challenge to, 526 and subprime crisis, 513 514 symbol for, 496n U.S. Federal Reserve, 202, 206, 209, 264, 265, 273, 292, 386, 451, 458 459, 475, 537 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 190, 212, 362 U.S. Treasury, 265, 292 U.S. Treasury bill to Eurodollar rate (TED), 57, 206, 209, 210 uses of funds, 317 318 V value-at-risk (VaR) calculations, 234 Vancouver City Savings Credit Union, 269, 276 Vanguard Group, 75 vault cash, 317 velocity, as constant, 555 556 velocity of money, 552 553 Venezuela foreign lending to, 279 high inflation, 9 venture capital firm, 179 venture capital funds, 307 vesting, 296 297 Vietnam War buildup, 633 634 virtual bank, 261, 269 Visa, 260 Vishny, Robert W., 185n Volcker, Paul, 393n, 463 W wage-price stickiness, 698 wage push, 626 Wall Street Journal, 514 515 Wallace, Neil, 691n, 696n Walmart, 260 Washington Mutual, 209 wealth and asset demand, 83 defined, 44, 83 demand for bonds, shifts in, 90 effects, 655 weighted monetary aggregates, 53 54 Weiss, Andrew, 172n welfare cost of inflation, 680, 681 Wells Fargo, 261, 269 Western Financial Group, 270 Wheaton Group, 270 White, Eugene, 187n Wilkins, Carolyn, 455n Wingspan, 262 Winnipeg Commodity Exchange, 21 Wood, Geoffrey E., 382n Woodford, Michael, 436n, 439n Woodward, Bob, 393n World Bank, 184n, 227, 227n, 525 world stock markets, 28 29 World Trade Organization (WTO), 525 World War II, 485 WorldCom, 174, 191 Y Yavari, Kazem, 681 yield curve defined, 119 described, 119 121 expectations theory, 121 126, 128f as forecasting tool, 132 interpretation of, 1990-2009, 132 133, 133f inverted yield curve, 120 liquidity premium theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f predictive power of, 131 preferred habitat theory, 127 131, 128f, 130f segmented markets theory, 126 127 yield to maturity coupon bond, 66 68, 67t defined, 63 discount bond, 68 70 fixed-payment loan, 64 65 simple loan, 63 64 Z zero-coupon bond, 62, 75n zero inflation, 488, 488n Zimbabwe, hyperinflation in, 668, 678