Analyst Presentation 2005
Transcription
Analyst Presentation 2005
Welcome ! May 2005 Meeting Outline • Business Update • Financial Overview • Questions & Answers Team - Graeme Dalziel - Moses Elias - Management CP India – Management Team Graeme Dalziel VP South Asia & MD Moses A. Elias Exec V P & CFO Deepak Chhibba Exec V P – Mfg. & Prod.Supp.Chn Arun Pande VP – Info Tech Vinay Hegde Exec V P Marketing K V Vaidyanathan Vice President – Legal & Co. Sec Debashish Roy Vice President - HR Vinod Nambir Vice President – Sales Dr S P Manek V P – Res.& Tech Centre Results Overview • Strategies are working –Acceleration of volume growth –Strong market shares • Marked recovery in Toothpaste Market • Record Earnings Strategic Strength Category Value SOM % Toothpaste 47.3 Toothpowder 48.4 Toothbrush 27.8 Shower Gel* 47.6 Liquid Handwash* 8.4 Shaving Cream (exc 12.9 Gel,Foam) Cold Creams 4.1 *urban only Market Position 1 1 1 1 3 Relative Share 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.2 1 4 1.1 0.1 Market Size & Growth Trend (Volume) Toothpaste (Tons) % Chg vs PY Toothpowder (Tons) % Chg vs PY Toothbrush (MM Pcs) % Chg vs PY 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTD 86320 83213 89012 23580 -5.3 -3.6 +7.0 +10.2 27295 26866 24785 6013 -3.3 -1.6 -7.7 -4.9 351.1 359.9 357.6 88.4 -2.6 +2.5 -0.6 -2.9 Toothpaste market strongly back on growth track Toothpaste Market Growth by Quarter Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 19780 20320 20729 21657 21793 % Chg vs PY +1.1 +6.1 +8.3 +12.5 +10.2 Value (LC MM) 4712 4772 4786 4960 4992 % Chg vs PY -8.1 -3.0 +1.4 +7.5 +6.0 Volume (Tons) Recovery in market value also from Q3 04 – volume growth more than offsetting 2003 price reduction Toothpaste – LPP Segment Trend % Volume Shares 2002 2003 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Cibaca 5.0 5.4 5.6 7.7 9.3 9.5 9.6 Anchor 6.4 6.5 5.1 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.8 Ajanta - 2.6 6.9 6.3 5.7 5.2 4.3 Babool 3.8 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.4 Others 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 Total LPP Segment 16.9 21.1 23.9 24.8 25.2 24.8 24.1 LPP segment showing signs of plateauing Cibaca to Colgate Cibaca Rebranding Till August ’03 Till March ‘04 60:40 Transition effective April’04 Toothpowder Category Trend Q2 03 * Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Category Vol (Tons) 7066 6554 6258 6322 6196 6107 6161 6013 % Chg vs. Year Ago +3.6 -2.1 -10.2 -9.5 -12.3 -6.8 -1.6 -4.9 % Chg vs. Prior Qtr +1.1 -7.3 -4.5 +1.0 -2.0 -1.4 +0.9 -2.4 Signs of category volume stabilizing in H2 2004 * Toothpaste SPD in this Quarter Strategic Priorities • Driving Growth • Funding Growth • Become The Best Place To Work Driving Growth Priorities • • • • • Grow Oral Care Market Shares Reignite toothpaste market growth Launch innovative new products Compete aggressively in LPP segment Strategic consumption & penetration building activities • Build strong presence in emerging Personal Care categories TOTAL COMPANY -DOMESTIC (EXCL SOAPS) Total Revenue 6,000 3 per. Mov. Avg. (Revenue) 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Funding Growth Priorities • Scale up of new incremental capacity manufacturing facility in Himachal Pradesh • Exit from unprofitable manufacturing operations • Upgrade existing manufacturing operations to support product innovations • Selling price increases • Reducing business complexity • Aggressively seeking out savings opportunities across the business • Continuous improvement gains from supplier partnerships for strategic materials Baddi Plant CONTINUED ABSOLUTE FOCUS ON: • Strategic Prioritization • Strict Financial Discipline • “As Perfect as Possible” Execution • “Go to Market” Excellence • Motivational, Values Driven Culture • Constant and Clear Communications Renewed Focus on Innovation • Category Innovation Centre • Full pipeline of new products • Innovation across the organization Battery Toothbrushes Colgate Motion Rs. 395 /- Manual Toothbrushes Colgate Massager Rs. 50 /- Colgate ZigZag Plus Rs. 26 /- Colgate Designer Rs. 15 /- Colgate ZigZag Jr Rs. 12 /- Colgate Classic Rs. 6 /- Manual Toothbrushes Colgate Super Flexible – Relaunch with ‘Tongue-Cleaning’ feature Rs. 13 /- CP Market Share Trend (Volume) 2003 2004 YTD 04 YTD 05 +/- YA Latest 3 Periods Jan05 Feb 05 Mar 05 Toothpaste 47.6 47.7 45.8 49.2 é 48.6 48.5 50.4* Toothpowder 46.8 49.9 48.6 48.9 é 50.3 48.3 48.0 Toothbrush 31.0 31.0 29.5 30.2 é 30.3 30.2 30.1 * Highest monthly share since June 2002 CP Market Share Trend (Value) 2003 2004 YTD 04 YTD 05 +/- YA Latest 3 Periods Jan 05 Feb 05 Mar 05 Toothpaste 47.7 46.6 46.4 47.3 é 46.8 46.8 48.3 Toothpowder 47.1 48.5 48.2 48.4 é 49.0 47.9 48.3 Toothbrush 28.4 28.6 27.0 27.8 é 27.8 27.6 27.8 Market vs. CP Growth YTD Mar 05 vs. YTD Mar 04 Value Growth % Volume Growth % Market CP Market CP Toothpaste +5.9 +7.9 +10.2 +18.2 Toothpowder -4.6 -4.2 -4.9 -4.2 Toothbrushes +0.8 +3.7 -2.9 -0.7 Note : Growth in Market & CP offtake as per Nielsen Meeting Outline • Business Update • Financial Overview • Questions & Answers - Graeme Dalziel - Moses Elias - Management Team SIMPLE FINANCIAL STRATEGY Reduce Costs Reduce Overheads Invest in Brand Building / New Products Grow NPAT 2004-05 Highlights • Real volume growth with VFM pricing • Continued Cost and Expense reductions • Rationalization of Assets • Stronger Balance Sheet • Record Earnings • Higher Dividend Sales 1,100 1,050 1,073 1,057 (Rs. Crores) 1,042 1,000 950 964 947 939 +2.7% +2.7% 900 850 2002-03 2003-04 Gross Sales Net Sales 2004-05 Costs (Excl. Advt.) 665 660 660 655 +2.3% (Rs. Crores) 650 645 645 640 635 A’bad VRS = 6.4 Idle Assets = 6.2 630 625 632 620 615 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Advertising 190 19.5% 20% 19% 180 170 185 17% 160 (Rs. Crores) 18% 15.7% 16% 150 14.2% 140 148 15% 14% 130 137 120 -7.4% 13% 12% 110 11% 100 10% 2002-03 2003-04 Advertising 2004-05 % Sales EBITDA 180 17.4% 170 (Rs. Crores) 160 15.6% 19% 17% 167 +14.4% 13.8% 15% 150 13% 146 140 11% 130 120 130 9% 110 7% 100 5% 2002-03 2003-04 EBITDA % Sales 2004-05 EBIT 150 16% 15.0% 140 145 (Rs. Crores) 14% +18.9% 130 120 15% 13.0% 11.7% 13% 12% 122 11% 110 111 10% 100 9% 90 8% 2002-03 2003-04 EBIT % Sales 2004-05 Profit Before Tax 185 19% 18.5% 175 178 18% +17.9% (Rs.Crores) 165 17% 16.1% 155 15.5% 16% 151 145 15% 147 135 14% 125 13% 2002-03 2003-04 PBT % Sales 2004-05 Income Tax 80 45% 70 60 39% 70 68 40% 36% (Rs. Crores) 50 30% 29% 40 35% 59 25% 30 20% 20 15% 10 0 -5 -10 5% -15 -10 10% -20 0% 2002-03 2003-04 Curr Tax Def Tax 2004-05 Tax Rate Profit After Tax 120 12% 11.7% 115 11.5% 113 110 (Rs. Crores) 105 108 +4.6% 11% 100 95 90 85 80 10% 89 9.4% 75 9% 2002-03 2003-04 PAT % Sales 2004-05 EPS, DPS & Payout 9.0 100% 95% 8.0 7.9 7.0 90% 8.3 85% 85% (Rs.) 7.0 6.0 5.0 6.5 6.0 80% 75% 70% 69% 65% 4.0 3.0 95% 60% 4.3 55% 2.0 50% 2002-03 2003-04 EPS DPS 2004-05 Payout Yield 5.0% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 2.5% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 PE 21.0 20.5 20.7 20.0 19.5 19.0 18.5 18.3 18.0 17.8 17.5 17.0 16.5 16.0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Net Working Capital (Rs. Crores) 0 0.0% -20 -2.0% -40 -4.0% -60 -6.0% -80 -8.0% -123 -100 -133 -120 -140 -153 -16.0% -16.1% 2002-03 -12.0% -14.0% -14.2% -160 -180 -12.8% -10.0% -18.0% 2003-04 NWC % Sales 2004-05 Cash Gen. from Operations 200 180 160 176 (Rs. Crores) 140 120 116 100 80 60 75 40 20 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Cash + Bank + Investments 330 310 315 290 299 (Rs. Crores) 270 250 260 230 210 New Plant = 70 190 170 150 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Return on Capital & Equity Thank You
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