Jennifer Hutchings, Petra Heil and Andrew Roberts
Transcription
Jennifer Hutchings, Petra Heil and Andrew Roberts
Scaling properties of sea ice deformation during winter and summer Jennifer Hutchings, Petra Heil and Andrew Roberts Time series and spectral analysis of divergence and shear for sub-arrays within the ISPOL and SEDNA arrays revealed that deformation did not vary smoothly over length scales of 10 to 40 km. This indicates variability of internal ice stress on the scale of 10 km. Across the ISPOL array divergence varied, and did not show a distinct coherence length scale. The SEDNA array displayed low values for coherence between divergence at 20 and 140 km scales, with the coherence reducing as the season progressed towards summer. The ISPOL and SEDNA arrays were split into sets of sub-arrays with varying length scales. We find that variance of divergence decreases as the length scale increases. The mean divergence for each length scale set follows a log-linear scaling relationship with length scale. This is an independent verification of a previous result of Marsan et al. (2004) (referred to as M04 from here on). This scaling is indicative of a fractal process. Deformation occurs at linear features (cracks, leads and ridges) in the ice pack, that are distributed with scales that range from meter to hundreds of kilometers in length. The magnitude of deformation at these linear features varies by two orders of magnitude across scales. We demonstrate that the deformation at all these scales is important in the mass balance of sea ice. Which has important implications for the design of sea ice deformation monitoring systems. Figure 9: Time series of divergence (top) and maximum shear strain rate (bottom) for the 20 km hexagon (green) and 140 km hexagon (black) buoy arrays shown in figure 2. We consider the time period March 24 to April 14 2007, when all the GPS stations illustrated in figure 2 were reporting. This is late winter, when the ice pack is close to it’s maximum volume and we expect ice pack deformation to be correlated over larger distances than a looser late summer ice pack. 290˚ 300˚ 310˚ 320 ˚ 33 0˚ 0˚ 27 0˚ 6 − 34 0˚ 0˚ 35 ˚ 0˚ −60˚ 0 −7 B A 0 −7 ˚ ˚ 0 −8 0 −8 ˚ C Figure 12: Time series of divergence (top), lead area (estimated from divergence), volume of lead ice grown, volume of new ice ridge and total volume of ice grown in leads (ridged plus level, bottom), for 140 km hexagon buoy array shown in figure 2. Ice growth rates are taken from Maykut & Unterstiener (1971). Two ways of looking at spatial scaling Figure 4: There were two distinct regions in the ISPOL array. Region B (see figure 1c) was dominated by shear along the continental shelf break. The rest of the array diverged in concert with the tides. See Hutchings et al. (2009) for more details. Can small scale deformation be predicted given larger scale measurements? Three ways of looking at spatial scaling Is there a decorrelation length scale? Figure 5: Net divergence of the ISPOL array was highly heterogeneous on the 10km scale, with no discernible pattern. Net shear, on the other hand, decreased uniformally across the continental shelf break. ISPOL: Austral Summer, Weddell Sea Figure 1: The ISPOL array was deployed in a region of over 90% ice cover, straddling the continental shelf and slope. The array contained a shear zone (region A) as well as on the shelf that were predominantly tidally driven (B and C). The equilateral triangle design can be split into sets of strain arrays of varying length scale from 50 km (yellow) to 10 km (blue). Buoy array divergence was used to force a model of lead ice growth and ridging. This provides an estimate of the impact of leads within the buoy array on ice mass balance. An example of the estimate of ice grown in leads is show in figure ?? for the largest SEDNA hexagon. During the study period, basal ice growth is estimated to be about 7.5 cm. Lead ice growth as a fraction of the total buoy array area varied across the SEDNA region. Figure 3: Divergence and Maximum Shear Strain rate estimated from drift of buoys around ISPOL array perimeter. We investigate sea ice deformation observed with ice drifting buoy arrays during two field campaigns. Ice Station POLarstern [ISPOL], deployed in the western Weddell Sea during November 2004 to January 2005, included a study of small-scale (sub-synoptic) variability in sea ice velocity and deformation using an array of 24 buoys. Upon deployment the ISPOL buoy array measured 70 km in both zonal and meridional extent, and consisted of sub-arrays that resolved sea ice deformation on scales from 10 to 70 km. The Sea Ice Experiment: Dynamic Nature of the Arctic (SEDNA) used two nested arrays of six buoys each as a backbone for the experiment, that were deployed in late March 2007. The two arrays were circular with diameter 140 km and 20 km. ISPOL and SEDNA provide insight into the scaling properties of sea ice deformation over scales of 10 to 200 km during early astral summer and late boreal winter. ˚ 280 Beaufort Sea Weddell Sea Abstract Case Study of lead impact on ice mass balance We consider the correlation of divergence time-series between a large buoy arrays and smaller arrays embedded inside the larger array. The full range of buoy arrays we can use to calculate divergence are illustrated in figure 2, coloured blue, green, yellow and white. There are 6, non-overlapping, 10 km scale triangles (blue) , contained by a 20 km hexagon (green). These are contained within a 140 km hexagon (white). The 140 km hexagon also contains 6 70 km triangles (yellow). Table 1 contains the mean and standard deviation of correlation between time series of total deformation for combinations of small arrays embedded in a larger array. Table 2: Note the correlation between large arrays (70 or 140 km) and the small arrays (10 km) they contain is low. Is there a relationship between spatial scale and deformation magnitude? The figures showing relationship between deformation rate (divergence plus maximum shear strain rate) and length scale for SEDNA and ISPOL where created using the same methodology as M04. M04 used RGPS ice deformation data, covering the western Arctic, and have recently extended their analysis to 7 winters (Stern & Lindsay 2009, SL09). Our analysis differs in that we consider a time series of deformation rather than a spatial series. Figure 6: We calculate the correlation coefficient between time series of total deformation (divergence + maximum shear strain rate) for pairs of buoys sub arrays shown in figure 2B. This is plotted above against the distance between sub-array centroids in each pair. All possible permutations of sub-array pairs are plotted. Figure 13: Basal plus total lead ice growth (per m2 ) within each buoy array identified in figure 2, plotted against mean length scale of the buoy array. Note that ice growth is higher and shows more variability for the smallest set of arrays (blue). This is consistent with localisation of ice deformation at the lead scale (< 10 km). A log-linear relationship between ice growth and length scale has H=-2.2. Figure 10: Divergence demonstrates a log-linear scaling relationship with exponent H=-0.26. The relationship for maximum shear strain rate is close to zero. Note the large variance in correlation coefficient that appears to increase as distance decreases. We did not find any changes in these coherence results when we considered cross-correlations between triangles only within or only across the shear zone in the ISPOL array. Summary and Initial Conclusions Can small scale deformation be predicted given larger scale measurements? In our investigations of correlation between divergence of smaller buoy arrays contained in larger arrays we found no obvious trends with array size or ratio of array sizes. What is apparent, however is that correlation between the smallest arrays (10 − 20 km) and a larger (40 − 140 km) array containing the smaller array is consistently below 0.5. This suggests low predictability of deformation at 10 − 20 km scales given a large scale measurement. We have not identified the reason behind this, however expect that it may be related to the fact that lead systems (where the deformation occurs) have widths of up to 10 km. A small 10 − 20 km array may or may not contain deforming leads that reside within the larger array. This has important implications for processes that are affected by the local ice thickness distribution and the presence of leads. Localised measurements of such processes should include observations of ice deformation 10 − 20 km around the measurement site. Is there a decorrelation length scale for deformation? We consider the correlation of divergence time-series between a large triangle and smaller triangle embedded inside the larger triangle. The full range of triangles we can use to calculate divergence are illustrated in figure 1, coloured blue, green, red, orange and yellow. There are 4, non-overlapping, 30km scale triangles, each containing 6 20km triangles. The 40km triangle contains 11 20km triangles and 1 30km triangle ... and so on. Table 1 contains the mean and standard deviation of correlation between time series of total deformation for all possible combinations of small triangles embedded in a larger triangle. Table 1: Note there is a sweet spot in the ratio between large and small triangles at which point there is maximum correlation between deformation time series. Figure 2: APLIS 2007 was deployed on a multi-year ice floe within a pack of mixed ice age. Two hexagons of GPS ice drifters defined a set of nested strain arrays with approximate length scale 140 km (white), 70 km (yellow), 20 km (green) and 10 km (blue). Black vectors are ice velocity and red lines are discontinuities in the velocity field, estimated as Thomas (2008). 1 0.25 0.5 0.8 1 2 0.4 8 Is there a relationship between spatial scale and deformation magnitude? The ISPOL buoy array was a collaborative effort between IARC, AAD, AWI and FIMR. Many thanks to Christian Haas and Jouko Launiainen who contributed buoys. Many thanks also to the captain and crew of the RV Polarstern, Adrienne Tivy, Tony Worby, Sasha Willmes, and Carl Hoffman who ensured the field campaign was a success. The IARC ISPOL buoy deployments were funded by JAMSTEC. The AAD component was funded by Australian Antarctic Science grants #742, #2559 and #2678; and supported by the Australian Government’s Cooperative Research Centre Program through the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre. Jun 0 2007 Wavelet software was provided by C. Torrence and G. Compo, and is available at URL: http://paos.colorado.edu/research/wavelets/. ESA is thanked for c providing Envisat ASAR data (!ESA (2004)). RADARSat imagery was provided by the Canadian Space Agency, and analysis performed by M. Thomas, C. Khambhatmettu and C. Geiger.‘ 0.25 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 1/2 1/4 1/8 1/16 1/32 1/64 Period (days) 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 32 May Jun As M04 we find an inverse relationship between deformation magnitude and length scale, with fractal scaling properties. The relationship we find is similar to SL09, however this is surprising. Our time step is 1 hour, and based on work by Rampal et al. (2008) we could expect such a short time step should lead to higher exponents than we observed. This needs to be investigated further, and may be due to differing error characteristics (the ISPOL and SEDNA buoys have position, velocity and deformation accuracy an order of magnitude higher than both ARGOS and RGPS) Is ice mass dependent on lead scale deformation? Yes! High spatial variability, and localisation of the deformation at leads and ridges means that for accurate estimates of new ice growth in leads, the deformation at the lead scale must be resolved. 2007 Small buoy array divergence wavelet power (s−2) 0.25 64 32 16 8 4 2 1 1/2 1/4 1/8 1/16 1/32 1/64 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 32 May Jun 2007 Figure 8: We find a loglinear scaling relationship with exponent H=-0.21, similar to M04. Our relationship for variance does not match M04’s results however. Is there a relationship between spatial scale and deformation magnitude? 0.2 May Period (days) SEDNA is funded by the National Science Foundation, ARC0612527. It is a collaborative effort between IARC, CRREL, U. Delaware and various European collaborators. The U.S. Navy’s Arctic Submarine Laboratory provided access to APLIS07, supporting camp construction. Many thanks to Fred Karig and the APL team who ran APLIS07. Many thanks to Pat McKeown, ’Andy’ Anderson and Randy Ray who deployed the SEDNA strain array. The International Arctic Buoy Program archives the SEDNA buoy data presented here. decorrelation length scale is larger than the ISPOL array. 0.6 32 The colour codes used for buoy arrays of varying size magnitudes in figures 1 and 2 is used throughout this poster to identify data from particular buoy arrays. The 4 16 Figure 7: Distribution of total strain rate for sub-arrays of length scale set ranging from 10 km (blue) to 50 km (yellow). Right panel is the cumulative probability density function. Figure 14: Least squares fit (red) indicates a decorrelation length scale of 380 km. Note the large variability in correlation between buoy arrays close to each other. This variability reduces as the arrays move further apart. Close arrays can have higher correlations, and we estimate the decorrelation length scale of the most correlated arrays to be 250 km (blue line). Coherence between large and small buoy array divergence Large buoy array divergence wavelet power (s−2) Acknowledgments The ISPOL experiment was designed to investigate this question. Is there temporal evolution in coherence between large and small arrays? Period (days) SEDNA: Boreal Winter, Beaufort Sea Can small scale deformation be predicted given larger scale measurements? SL09 indicate that we might expect higher exponent values in the southern Beaufort, where deformation rate is greater, than central Arctic. Hence our divergence estimate appears to be reasonable. Shear strain rate needs to be looked at a little more carefully. Figure 11: Wavelet spectra of divergence time series (fig. 9) for small, 20km hexagon (bottom right) and large, 140km hexagon (bottom left). The coherence between these two is shown at top. 95% significance levels are solid line, and the cone of influence is shown with bold solid line. Note reducing coherence, at longer time scales (8-32 days) with time. This is consistent with an ice pack becoming looser and less able to support large scale coherent motion during Spring. References Hutchings, J.K., P. Heil, A.Steer, W.D. Hibler III, Small-scale spatial variability of sea ice deformation in the western Weddell Sea during early summer. Submitted to J. Phys. Oceanogr. Hutchings, J. K. and I. G. Rigor (2008), Mechanisms explaining anomalous ice conditions in the Beaufort Sea during 2006 and 2007. Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Marsan, D., H. Stern, R. Lindsay and J. Weiss (2004), Scale dependence and localization of the deformation of Arctic sea ice, Phys. Rev. Lett, 93(17),178. Maykut, G. A., and N. Untersteiner (1971), Some results from a timedependent thermodynamic model of sea ice, J. Geophys. Res.. Rampal, P., J. Weiss, D. Marsan, R. Lindsay and H. Stern (2008), Scaling properties of sea ice deformation from buoy dispersion analysis, J. Geophys. Res. (113), doi:10.1029/2007JC004143. Stern, H. L. and R. W. Lindsay (2009), Spatial scaling of Arctic sea ice deformation, J. Geophys. Res. (114), doi:10.1029/2009JC005380. Thomas, M. V. (2008), Analysis of Large Magnitude Discontinuous Non-rigid Motion, Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Delaware.