Barbados`s Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment January 2002
Transcription
Barbados`s Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment January 2002
FINAL DRAFT DO NOT QUOTE OR DISTRIBUTE Caribbean Planning for Adaptation to Global Climate Change Project C6: Component 6 Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment (Barbados, Grenada and Guyana) Barbados’s Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment January 2002 Technical Report 5C/CPACC-02-01-2 Copyright © 2014 by Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre Published by Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre, Belmopan, Belize Digital Edition (January 2014) No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever. It may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or nonprofit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. The Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC) would appreciate a copy of any publication that uses this report as a source. Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre, Ring Road, P.O. Box 563, Belmopan, Belize Visit our website at http://www.caribbeanclimate.bz Caribbean Planning for Adaptation to Global Climate Change Project C6: Component 6 Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment (Barbados, Grenada and Guyana) Barbados’s Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Assessment Editor: Rawleston Moore With Contributions from: Ken Atherley Alex Ifill Derrick Oderson Antonio Rowe ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS To the contributors and all of those who assisted in the compilation of this document we express our gratitude for the work you have done. 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Erosion Flooding Salinization Others? 7KH VFUHHQLQJ DVVHVVPHQW LGHQWLILHG WKDW WKH WRXULVP VHFWRU ZDV RI NH\ FRQFHUQ IRU %DUEDGRV ZLWK WKH SULQFLSDO LPSDFWV H[SHFWHG IURP VHD OHYHO ULVH H[SHFWHG WR EH FRDVWDO HURVLRQ LQXQGDWLRQ DQG VDOWZDWHU LQWUXVLRQ LQWR IUHVKZDWHU DTXLIHUV %HORZ LV WKH FRPSOHWHG VFUHHQLQJ DVVHVVPHQW PDWUL[ IRU %DUEDGRV 7DEOH 6FUHHQLQJ $VVHVVPHQW 0DWUL[ GHPRQVWUDWLQJ UDQNLQJ RI HURVLRQ LQXQGDWLRQ DQG VDOLQL]DWLRQ VHDOHYHO ULVH LQGXFHG LPSDFWV E\ VHFWRU IURP D QDWLRQDO SHUVSHFWLYH.( Chakallal et al 1999) Socio-economic Impacts Biophysical Impact Tourism Human Settlement Agriculture Water Supply Fisheries Financial Services Human Health Erosion 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 Inundation 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 Salinization 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 1 = Major Impact; 2 = Significant Impact; 3 = Minor Impact with 1>2>3 7KH SLORW VLWHV VHOHFWHG IRU %DUEDGRV IRFXVHG PDLQO\ RQ WKH VRXWK DQG ZHVW FRDVW ZKHUH WKH PDLQ WRXULVP IDFLOLWLHV DUH ORFDWHG )URP WKH VFUHHQLQJ DVVHVVPHQW WRXULVP ZDV LGHQWLILHG WR EH D 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Disadvantages Comments Common Methodology VA Framework Logical prescribed structure Lends itself to producing consistent results -- useful for global aggregation Widely used Inflexible, stressing susceptibility, not vulnerability assessment VA tools not discussed Adaptation options insufficiently developed. Superseded by the UNEP Handbook VA Framework US Country Studies Methodology Muddled Some VA tools described. Workbook approach Confuses VA Framework and Tools Only addresses Land Loss impacts Stresses susceptibility, not vulnerability assessment Not recommended, except the Workbook approach UNEP Handbook Methodology VA Framework with guidance on VA Tools Good conceptual basis. All impacts considered. Guidance on possible VA tools Remains to be widely tested. 20 provided South Pacific Islands Methodology VA Framework with qualitative VA Tools Useful in areas with limited data Conceptualizes vulnerability into measurable elements 1. Results are qualitative to semiquantitative Caribbean Disaster Mitigation Project RIKS Decision Support Methodology VA Tool Not applicable Not applicable Integrated Model The complete coastal system is considered, and interactions can be specified as desired. The approach can be become black box i.e. does not suit the capacity building aims of CPACC. The availability of appropriate data In the Caribbean, more data exists than in the South Pacific Islands. Useful within a VA Framework Too complex for CPACC’s aim of capacity building Autonomous Adaptation Susceptibility Resilience/ Resistance Planned Adaptation Natural Vulnerability Other Climatic and Non-Climatic Stresses Biogeophysical Effects Natural System Autonomous Adaptation Accelerated Sea-Level Rise Impact Potential Ability to Prevent or Cope Planned Adaptation Socio-Economic Vulnerability Residual Impacts Socio-Economic System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able 3.2 Screening Assessment Matrix (Nicholls 1999) Biophysical Impact of Sea-Level Rise Inundation Socio-Economic Impacts Tourism Human Settlements Agriculture Water Supply Fisheries Financial Services Human Health Erosion Flooding Salinization Others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thers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he best topographic data, including regular contours; Evidence for subsidence/uplift, including the methods used to determine; Bathymetric charts and maps, particularly for shallow water areas (<10-m depth); Coastal geomorphology (i.e., hard unerodible cliffs, erodible cliffs, beaches, wetlands, etc.) to select appropriate impact models; Wave data, or wave hindcasts to define the wave climate; Tide gauge data to define tidal characteristics and flood elevations (Note that 50 years of data is required to confidently extract long-term sea-level trends (Douglas, 1991; Nicholls and Leatherman, 1996) so this is unlikely); Estimates of flood return periods, from tide gauges and/or hindcasts; Historical storm and flood damage from major storms, including physical changes and socio-economic costs; Present status of coastal ecosystems, particularly coral reefs and wetlands. How much degradation and destruction has occurred, and what is the prognosis for the future without climate change? Scientific research on ecosystem response to climate change, particularly examples in the Caribbean. Present coastal problems, including (1) beach erosion, (2) cliff erosion, (3) coastal flooding by storm surge, (4) coastal flooding by run-off, (5) saltwater intrusion, (6) others? Information should be as quantitative as possible and put as much emphasis on the long-term rather than the short-term; Any response to these problems, including both hard and soft engineering (seawalls, nourishment, etc.) and institutional changes (building setbacks, coastal zone management programs, etc.); Human influence on sediment availability at the coast. List areas where dams have been built on rivers, coastal erosion has been stopped, and littoral drift has been impeded; Coastal land use and historical changes in coastal land use; Plans for major future infrastructure development such as ports, airports, etc. which will be close to present sea levels; Development of coastal tourism, if appropriate and plans for future development; Coastal population distribution and historical changes in coastal population distribution; Forecasts of coastal population distribution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6HD /HYHO 5LVH RQ WKH &RDVWOLQH RI %DUEDGRV &DULEEHDQ 3ODQQLQJ IRU $GDSWDWLRQ WR &OLPDWH &KDQJH 6HQQ $ *HRORJLFDO ,QYHVWLJDWLRQV RI WKH %DUEDGRV %ULWLVK 8QLRQ 2LO &RPSDQ\ *URXQGZDWHU 5HVRXUFHV RI <DPDGD . 1XQQ 3 ' 0LPXUD 1 0DFKLGD 6 DQG <DPDPRWR 0HWKRGRORJ\ IRU WKH $VVHVVPHQW RI WKH 9XOQHUDELOLW\ RI 6RXWK 3DFLILF LVODQG FRXQWULHV WR VHD OHYHO ULVH DQG FOLPDWH FKDQJH (QJLQHHULQJ 92 -RXUQDO RI *OREDO (QYLURQPHQW $33(1',; INUNDATION LEVELS FOR THREE SEA LEVEL SCENARIOS 0.2 m Sea Level Rise A B C D E F G H I J K L M South Point 5.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.55 1.57 3.12 1.11 4.23 0.5 3.62 2.38 Cotton Bay (S) 5.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.68 1.57 3.25 1.89 5.14 0.5 3.75 2.25 Cotton Bay (N) 5.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.66 1.57 3.23 2.1 5.33 0.5 3.73 2.27 Enterprise (E) 5.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.68 1.57 3.25 2.17 5.42 0.5 3.75 2.25 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.65 1.57 3.22 0.69 3.91 0.5 3.72 Enterprise Beach Comment -1.22 Innudation expected Oistins E 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.63 1.57 3.2 1.27 4.47 0.5 3.7 Oistins Central 1.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.68 1.57 3.25 0.5 3.75 0.5 3.75 -1.75 Innudation expected 0.3 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Oistins Fish Complex 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.58 1.57 3.15 0.73 3.88 0.5 4.38 -1.15 Innudation expected Welches 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.62 1.57 3.19 0.75 3.94 0.5 3.69 -1.19 Innudation expected Cachel 4 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.61 1.57 3.18 1.13 4.31 0.5 3.68 Maxwell-Mistral 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.65 1.57 3.22 0.68 3.9 0.5 3.72 -1.22 Innudation expected Maxwell 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.77 1.57 3.34 0.72 4.06 0.5 3.84 -1.34 Innudation expected Casuarina (E) 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.81 1.57 3.38 0.91 4.29 0.5 3.88 -1.38 Innudation expected 0.82 Casurina (W) 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.95 1.57 3.52 0.41 3.93 0.5 4.02 -1.52 Innudation expected Sand Acres 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.85 1.57 3.42 1.11 4.53 0.5 5.03 -1.42 Innudation expected White Sands 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.84 1.57 3.41 1.08 4.49 0.5 3.91 -1.41 Innudation expected Dover East 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.06 1.57 3.63 0.52 4.15 0.5 4.65 -1.63 Innudation expected Dover 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.87 1.57 3.44 0.65 4.09 0.5 3.94 -1.44 Innudation expected St. Lawrence (E) 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.86 1.57 3.43 1.6 5.03 0.5 3.93 -0.43 Innudation expected 4.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.25 1.57 3.82 0.67 4.49 0.5 4.32 4 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.02 1.57 3.59 0.25 3.84 0.5 4.34 Little Bay (E) 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.96 1.57 3.53 0.2 3.73 0.5 4.03 -1.03 Innudation expected Graeme Hall 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.08 1.57 3.65 0.77 4.42 0.5 4.92 -0.65 Innudation expected Graeme Hall (W) 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.8 1.57 3.37 0.78 4.15 0.5 3.87 -1.37 Innudation expected St. Lawrence St. Lawrence (W) 93 0.68 0.41 Worthing 1.5 0.51 Rendezvous 2 0.51 Cacrabank 3 0.51 1.5 0.51 Rockley Hastings (E) Hastings (W) Sierra 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.78 1.57 3.35 0.57 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.63 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.55 0.33 0.73 0.84 3.92 0.5 1.57 3.2 1.57 3.12 1.79 1.57 3.36 4.42 -1.85 Innudation expected 0.7 3.9 0.5 3.7 -1.2 Innudation expected 1.4 4.52 0.5 3.62 -0.12 Innudation expected 0.37 3.73 0.5 3.86 -1.86 Innudation expected -1.49 Innudation expected 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.92 1.57 3.49 0.9 4.39 0.5 4.89 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.69 1.57 4.26 1.01 5.27 0.5 4.76 -1.76 Innudation expected 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.36 1.57 3.93 1.61 5.54 0.5 6.04 -1.93 Innudation expected Coconut Court 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.93 1.57 3.5 1.64 5.14 0.5 4 -1.5 Innudation expected Golden Beach 1.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.72 1.57 3.29 0.37 3.66 0.5 3.79 -1.79 Innudation expected Asta 1.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.63 1.57 3.2 0.55 3.75 0.5 3.7 -1.7 Innudation expected Drill Hall 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.68 1.57 3.25 1.1 4.35 0.5 3.75 -1.25 Innudation expected Hilton Hotel 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.72 1.57 3.29 1.04 4.33 0.5 4.83 -1.29 Innudation expected Needham's Point 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.81 1.57 3.38 1.53 4.91 0.5 5.41 -1.38 Innudation expected Pebbles 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 2.06 1.57 3.63 1.2 4.83 0.5 4.13 -1.63 Innudation expected 1.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.83 1.57 3.4 1.05 4.45 0.5 3.9 -1.9 Innudation expected 1.24 1.57 2.81 0.63 3.44 0.5 3.94 -0.31 Innudation expected 1.57 1.57 1.57 2.72 0.89 3.61 0.5 3.22 -0.22 Innudation expected Esplande Lower Bay Street 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 no data 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 Brighton (S) 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.15 Brighton (N) 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.27 1.57 2.84 0.99 3.83 0.5 3.34 -0.34 Innudation expected Spring Garden 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 0.89 3.8 0.5 3.41 -0.41 Innudation expected Paradise 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 2.2 5.11 0.5 3.41 Batts Rock 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 1.61 4.52 0.5 3.41 Batts Rock Bay 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.48 1.57 3.05 3.35 6.4 0.5 3.55 10 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.29 1.57 2.86 2.88 5.74 0.5 3.36 Bridgetown Harbour Prospect(S) 0.09 Overtopping or Flooding Expected 0.09 Overtopping or Flooding Expected -0.05 Innudation expected 7.14 Prospect 6 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.27 1.57 2.84 3.26 6.1 0.5 3.34 Prospect (N) 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 0.96 3.87 0.5 3.41 -0.91 Innudation expected Fitts Village 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.41 1.57 2.98 0.75 3.73 0.5 3.48 -0.98 Innudation expected Little Rum Shop 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.39 1.57 2.96 1.1 4.06 0.5 3.46 -0.96 Innudation expected Barbados Beach Vilage 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.39 1.57 2.96 1.29 4.25 0.5 3.46 -0.96 Innudation expected 94 3.16 Coconut Creek 6 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.41 1.57 2.98 2.24 5.22 0.5 3.48 3.02 Paynes Bay Revetment Paynes Bay Fish Market 6 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 2.11 5.02 0.5 3.41 3.09 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.39 1.57 2.96 1.12 4.08 0.5 3.46 Bucaneer Bay 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.31 1.57 2.88 1.01 3.89 0.5 3.38 -0.38 Innudation expected Paynes Bay 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.29 1.57 2.86 1.4 4.26 0.5 3.36 -0.36 Innudation expected Sandy Lane South 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.24 1.57 2.81 1.13 3.94 0.5 3.31 -0.31 Innudation expected -0.46 Innudation expected Sandy Lane Bay 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.35 1.57 2.92 1.07 3.99 0.5 3.42 Almond Beach 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.49 1.57 3.06 1.32 4.38 0.5 3.56 -1.06 Innudation expected 0.08 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Golden Palm 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.38 1.57 2.95 1.16 4.11 0.5 3.45 -0.95 Innudation expected Holetown(S) 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.44 1.57 3.01 0.9 3.91 0.5 3.51 -0.01 Innudation expected Holetown(N) 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.51 1.57 3.08 0.91 3.99 0.5 3.58 -0.08 Innudation expected Folkstone 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.35 1.57 2.92 1.06 3.98 0.5 3.42 0.08 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Heron Bay 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.49 1.57 3.06 1.04 4.1 0.5 3.56 -0.06 Innudation expected Porters 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.52 1.57 3.09 1.06 4.15 0.5 3.59 -0.09 Innudation expected Royal Pavillion 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.32 1.57 2.89 1.05 3.94 0.5 3.39 Alleynes Bay (S) 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.31 1.57 2.88 1.54 4.42 0.5 3.38 -0.88 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay 2 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.31 1.57 2.88 1.62 4.5 0.5 3.38 -0.88 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay (N) 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 1.32 4.23 0.5 3.41 -0.41 Innudation expected Mount Standfast 4.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.38 1.57 2.95 1.92 4.87 0.5 3.45 Reads Bay 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.44 1.57 3.01 1.7 4.71 0.5 3.51 -0.51 Innudation expected -0.47 Innudation expected 0.11 Overtopping or Flooding Expected 1.55 Tropicana 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.4 1.57 2.97 1.34 4.31 0.5 3.47 Lower Carlton (S) 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.27 1.57 2.84 1.23 4.07 0.5 3.34 0.66 Lower Carlton (N) 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.21 1.57 2.78 1.39 4.17 0.5 3.28 0.72 Greensleeves 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.3 1.57 2.87 1.07 3.94 0.5 3.37 -0.37 Innudation expected Gibbs Bay 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.27 1.57 2.84 1.16 4 0.5 3.34 -0.34 Innudation expected Gibbs Beach 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.23 1.57 2.8 1.16 3.96 0.5 3.3 -0.3 Innudation expected Mullins Bay Road View 3 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.29 1.57 2.86 1.22 4.08 0.5 3.36 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 2.45 5.36 0.5 3.41 95 0.14 Overtopping or Flooding Expected -0.41 Innudation expected Sandridge 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.42 1.57 2.99 1.15 4.14 0.5 3.49 -0.49 Innudation expected Goddings Bay 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.37 1.57 2.94 1.12 4.06 0.5 3.44 -0.44 Innudation expected Fort Denmark 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.43 1.57 3 1.57 4.57 0.5 3.5 Speightstown 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.34 1.57 2.91 1.48 4.39 0.5 3.41 Speightstown (N) 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.38 1.57 2.95 1.13 4.08 0.5 3.45 -0.45 Innudation expected Heywoods 2.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.49 1.57 3.06 1.03 4.09 0.5 4.59 -0.56 Innudation expected Little Good Harbour 3.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.55 1.57 3.12 1.29 4.41 0.5 3.62 0.5 Overtopping or Flooding Expected 0.59 0.38 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Smittons Bay 6.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.43 1.57 3 2.25 5.25 0.5 3.5 3.5 Fryer's Well Bay 6.5 0.51 0.33 0.73 0.84 1.5 1.57 3.07 1.52 4.59 0.5 3.57 3.43 KEY: A: Beach Crest Elevation B: Mean Sea Level inclusive of Sea Level Rise C: MHHW D: Inverse Barometric Rise (IB Rise) E: Mean Sea Level + Tide F: Wave Setup G: MSL + Tide + IB Rise H: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup I: Runup J: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup+Runup K: Suggested Freeboard L: Design Elevation M: Actual Freeboard 96 0.5m Sea Level Rise A B C D E F G H I J K L M South Point 5.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.55 1.87 3.42 1.11 4.53 0.5 3.92 2.08 Cotton Bay (S) 5.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.68 1.87 3.55 1.89 5.44 0.5 4.05 1.95 Cotton Bay (N) 5.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.66 1.87 3.53 2.1 5.63 0.5 4.03 1.97 Enterprise (E) 5.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.68 1.87 3.55 2.17 5.72 0.5 4.05 1.95 -1.52 Innudation expected Enterprise Beach Comment 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.65 1.87 3.52 0.69 4.21 0.5 4.02 Oistins E 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.63 1.87 3.5 1.27 4.77 0.5 4 Oistins Central 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.68 1.87 3.55 0.5 4.05 0.5 4.05 -2.05 Innudation expected 0 Inundation expected Oistins Fish Complex 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.58 1.87 3.45 0.73 4.18 0.5 4.68 -1.45 Innudation expected Welches 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.62 1.87 3.49 0.75 4.24 0.5 3.99 -1.49 Innudation expected Cachel 4 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.61 1.87 3.48 1.13 4.61 0.5 3.98 0.52 Maxwell-Mistral 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.65 1.87 3.52 0.68 4.2 0.5 4.02 -1.52 Innudation expected Maxwell 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.77 1.87 3.64 0.72 4.36 0.5 4.14 -1.64 Innudation expected Casuarina (E) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.81 1.87 3.68 0.91 4.59 0.5 4.18 -1.68 Innudation expected Casurina (W) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.95 1.87 3.82 0.41 4.23 0.5 4.32 -1.82 Innudation expected Sand Acres 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.85 1.87 3.72 1.11 4.83 0.5 5.33 -1.72 Innudation expected White Sands 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.84 1.87 3.71 1.08 4.79 0.5 4.21 -1.71 Innudation expected Dover East 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.06 1.87 3.93 0.52 4.45 0.5 4.95 -1.93 Innudation expected Dover 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.87 1.87 3.74 0.65 4.39 0.5 4.24 -1.74 Innudation expected St. Lawrence (E) 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.86 1.87 3.73 1.6 5.33 0.5 4.23 -0.73 Innudation expected 4.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.25 1.87 4.12 0.67 4.79 0.5 4.62 0.38 4 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.02 1.87 3.89 0.25 4.14 0.5 4.64 0.11 Little Bay (E) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.96 1.87 3.83 0.2 4.03 0.5 4.33 -1.33 Innudation expected Graeme Hall 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.08 1.87 3.95 0.77 4.72 0.5 5.22 -0.95 Innudation expected St. Lawrence St. Lawrence (W) 97 Graeme Hall (W) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.8 1.87 3.67 0.78 4.45 0.5 4.17 -1.67 Innudation expected 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.78 1.87 3.65 0.57 4.22 0.5 4.72 -2.15 Innudation expected Rendezvous 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.63 1.87 3.5 0.7 4.2 0.5 4 Cacrabank 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.55 1.87 3.42 1.4 4.82 0.5 3.92 -0.42 Innudation expected Worthing Rockley -1.5 Innudation expected 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.79 1.87 3.66 0.37 4.03 0.5 4.16 -2.16 Innudation expected Hastings (E) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.92 1.87 3.79 0.9 4.69 0.5 5.19 -1.79 Innudation expected Hastings (W) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.69 1.87 4.56 1.01 5.57 0.5 5.06 -2.06 Innudation expected Sierra 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.36 1.87 4.23 1.61 5.84 0.5 6.34 -2.23 Innudation expected Coconut Court 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.93 1.87 3.8 1.64 5.44 0.5 4.3 -1.8 Golden Beach 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.72 1.87 3.59 0.37 3.96 0.5 4.09 -2.09 Innudation expected Asta 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.63 1.87 3.5 0.55 4.05 0.5 4 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.68 1.87 3.55 1.1 4.65 0.5 4.05 -1.55 Innudation expected -1.59 Innudation expected Drill Hall -2 Innudation expected Innudation expected Hilton Hotel 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.72 1.87 3.59 1.04 4.63 0.5 5.13 Needham's Point 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.81 1.87 3.68 1.53 5.21 0.5 5.71 -1.68 Innudation expected Pebbles 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 2.06 1.87 3.93 1.2 5.13 0.5 4.43 -1.93 Innudation expected Esplande 1.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.83 1.87 3.7 1.05 4.75 0.5 4.2 -2.2 Lower Bay Street 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.24 1.87 3.11 0.63 3.74 0.5 4.24 -0.61 Innudation expected no data 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.87 1.87 Brighton (S) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.15 1.87 3.02 0.89 3.91 0.5 3.52 -0.52 Innudation expected Brighton (N) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.27 1.87 3.14 0.99 4.13 0.5 3.64 -0.64 Innudation expected Spring Garden 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 0.89 4.1 0.5 3.71 -0.71 Innudation expected Paradise 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 2.2 5.41 0.5 3.71 -0.21 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Batts Rock 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 1.61 4.82 0.5 3.71 -0.21 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Batts Rock Bay 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.48 1.87 3.35 3.35 6.7 0.5 3.85 -0.35 Innudation expected Prospect(S) 10 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.29 1.87 3.16 2.88 6.04 0.5 3.66 6.84 Prospect 6 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.27 1.87 3.14 3.26 6.4 0.5 3.64 2.86 Prospect (N) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 0.96 4.17 0.5 3.71 -1.21 Innudation expected Fitts Village 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.41 1.87 3.28 0.75 4.03 0.5 3.78 -1.28 Innudation expected Little Rum Shop 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.39 1.87 3.26 1.1 4.36 0.5 3.76 -1.26 Innudation expected Bridgetown Harbour 98 Innudation expected Barbados Beach Vilage 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.39 1.87 3.26 1.29 4.55 0.5 3.76 -1.26 Innudation expected Coconut Creek 6 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.41 1.87 3.28 2.24 5.52 0.5 3.78 2.72 Paynes Bay Revetment 6 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 2.11 5.32 0.5 3.71 2.79 Paynes Bay Fish Market 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.39 1.87 3.26 1.12 4.38 0.5 3.76 -0.76 Innudation expected Bucaneer Bay 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.31 1.87 3.18 1.01 4.19 0.5 3.68 -0.68 Innudation expected Paynes Bay 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.29 1.87 3.16 1.4 4.56 0.5 3.66 -0.66 Innudation expected Sandy Lane South 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.24 1.87 3.11 1.13 4.24 0.5 3.61 -0.61 Innudation expected Sandy Lane Bay 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.35 1.87 3.22 1.07 4.29 0.5 3.72 -0.22 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Almond Beach 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.49 1.87 3.36 1.32 4.68 0.5 3.86 -1.36 Innudation expected Golden Palm 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.38 1.87 3.25 1.16 4.41 0.5 3.75 -1.25 Innudation expected Holetown(S) 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.44 1.87 3.31 0.9 4.21 0.5 3.81 -0.31 Innudation expected Holetown(N) 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.51 1.87 3.38 0.91 4.29 0.5 3.88 -0.38 Innudation expected Folkstone 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.35 1.87 3.22 1.06 4.28 0.5 3.72 -0.22 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Heron Bay 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.49 1.87 3.36 1.04 4.4 0.5 3.86 -0.36 Innudation expected Porters 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.52 1.87 3.39 1.06 4.45 0.5 3.89 -0.39 Innudation expected Royal Pavillion 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.32 1.87 3.19 1.05 4.24 0.5 3.69 -0.19 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Alleynes Bay (S) 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.31 1.87 3.18 1.54 4.72 0.5 3.68 -1.18 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay 2 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.31 1.87 3.18 1.62 4.8 0.5 3.68 -1.18 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay (N) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 1.32 4.53 0.5 3.71 -0.71 Innudation expected Mount Standfast 4.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.38 1.87 3.25 1.92 5.17 0.5 3.75 1.25 Reads Bay 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.44 1.87 3.31 1.7 5.01 0.5 3.81 -0.81 Innudation expected Tropicana 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.4 1.87 3.27 1.34 4.61 0.5 3.77 -0.77 Innudation expected Lower Carlton (S) 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.27 1.87 3.14 1.23 4.37 0.5 3.64 0.36 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Lower Carlton (N) 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.21 1.87 3.08 1.39 4.47 0.5 3.58 0.42 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Greensleeves 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.3 1.87 3.17 1.07 4.24 0.5 3.67 -0.67 Innudation expected Gibbs Bay 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.27 1.87 3.14 1.16 4.3 0.5 3.64 -0.64 Innudation expected Gibbs Beach 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.23 1.87 3.1 1.16 4.26 0.5 3.6 -0.6 Mullins Bay 3 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.29 1.87 3.16 1.22 4.38 0.5 3.66 -0.16 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Road View 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 2.45 5.66 0.5 3.71 -0.71 Innudation expected 99 Innudation expected Sandridge 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.42 1.87 3.29 1.15 4.44 0.5 3.79 -0.79 Innudation expected Goddings Bay 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.37 1.87 3.24 1.12 4.36 0.5 3.74 -0.74 Innudation expected Fort Denmark 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.43 1.87 3.3 1.57 4.87 0.5 3.8 0.2 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Speightstown 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.34 1.87 3.21 1.48 4.69 0.5 3.71 0.29 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Speightstown (N) 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.38 1.87 3.25 1.13 4.38 0.5 3.75 -0.75 Innudation expected Heywoods 2.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.49 1.87 3.36 1.03 4.39 0.5 4.89 -0.86 Innudation expected Little Good Harbour 3.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.55 1.87 3.42 1.29 4.71 0.5 3.92 0.08 Smittons Bay 6.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.43 1.87 3.3 2.25 5.55 0.5 3.8 3.2 Fryer's Well Bay 6.5 0.81 0.33 0.73 1.14 1.5 1.87 3.37 1.52 4.89 0.5 3.87 3.13 KEY: A: Beach Crest Elevation B: Mean Sea Level inclusive of Sea Level Rise C: MHHW D: Inverse Barometric Rise (IB Rise) E: Mean Sea Level + Tide F: Wave Setup G: MSL + Tide + IB Rise H: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup I: Runup J: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup+Runup K: Suggested Freeboard L: Design Elevation M: Actual Freeboard 100 Overtopping or Flooding Expected 1m Sea Level Rise A B C D E F G H I J K L M South Point 5.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.55 2.37 3.92 1.11 5.03 0.5 4.42 1.58 Cotton Bay (S) 5.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.68 2.37 4.05 1.89 5.94 0.5 4.55 1.45 Cotton Bay (N) 5.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.66 2.37 4.03 2.1 6.13 0.5 4.53 1.47 Enterprise (E) 5.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.68 2.37 4.05 2.17 6.22 0.5 4.55 1.45 -2.02 Innudation expected Enterprise Beach Comment 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.65 2.37 4.02 0.69 4.71 0.5 4.52 Oistins E 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.63 2.37 4 1.27 5.27 0.5 4.5 -0.5 Oistins Central 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.68 2.37 4.05 0.5 4.55 0.5 4.55 -2.55 Innudation expected Overtopping or Flooding Expected Oistins Fish Complex 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.58 2.37 3.95 0.73 4.68 0.5 5.18 -1.95 Innudation expected Welches 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.62 2.37 3.99 0.75 4.74 0.5 4.49 -1.99 Innudation expected Cachel 4 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.61 2.37 3.98 1.13 5.11 0.5 4.48 0.02 Maxwell-Mistral 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.65 2.37 4.02 0.68 4.7 0.5 4.52 -2.02 Innudation expected Maxwell 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.77 2.37 4.14 0.72 4.86 0.5 4.64 -2.14 Innudation expected Casuarina (E) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.81 2.37 4.18 0.91 5.09 0.5 4.68 -2.18 Innudation expected Casurina (W) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.95 2.37 4.32 0.41 4.73 0.5 4.82 -2.32 Innudation expected Sand Acres 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.85 2.37 4.22 1.11 5.33 0.5 5.83 -2.22 Innudation expected White Sands 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.84 2.37 4.21 1.08 5.29 0.5 4.71 -2.21 Innudation expected Dover East 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.06 2.37 4.43 0.52 4.95 0.5 5.45 -2.43 Innudation expected Dover 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.87 2.37 4.24 0.65 4.89 0.5 4.74 -2.24 Innudation expected St. Lawrence (E) 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.86 2.37 4.23 1.6 5.83 0.5 4.73 -1.23 Innudation expected 4.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.25 2.37 4.62 0.67 5.29 0.5 5.12 -0.12 4 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.02 2.37 4.39 0.25 4.64 0.5 5.14 -0.39 Little Bay (E) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.96 2.37 4.33 0.2 4.53 0.5 4.83 -1.83 Innudation expected Graeme Hall 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.08 2.37 4.45 0.77 5.22 0.5 5.72 -1.45 Innudation expected St. Lawrence St. Lawrence (W) 101 Graeme Hall (W) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.8 2.37 4.17 0.78 4.95 0.5 4.67 -2.17 Innudation expected 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.78 2.37 4.15 0.57 4.72 0.5 5.22 -2.65 Innudation expected Rendezvous 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.63 2.37 4 0.7 4.7 0.5 4.5 Cacrabank 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.55 2.37 3.92 1.4 5.32 0.5 4.42 -0.92 Innudation expected Worthing Rockley -2 Innudation expected 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.79 2.37 4.16 0.37 4.53 0.5 4.66 -2.66 Innudation expected Hastings (E) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.92 2.37 4.29 0.9 5.19 0.5 5.69 -2.29 Innudation expected Hastings (W) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.69 2.37 5.06 1.01 6.07 0.5 5.56 -2.56 Innudation expected Sierra 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.36 2.37 4.73 1.61 6.34 0.5 6.84 -2.73 Innudation expected Coconut Court 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.93 2.37 4.3 1.64 5.94 0.5 4.8 -2.3 Golden Beach 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.72 2.37 4.09 0.37 4.46 0.5 4.59 -2.59 Innudation expected Asta 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.63 2.37 4 0.55 4.55 0.5 4.5 -2.5 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.68 2.37 4.05 1.1 5.15 0.5 4.55 -2.05 Innudation expected -2.09 Innudation expected Drill Hall Innudation expected Innudation expected Hilton Hotel 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.72 2.37 4.09 1.04 5.13 0.5 5.63 Needham's Point 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.81 2.37 4.18 1.53 5.71 0.5 6.21 -2.18 Innudation expected Pebbles 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.06 2.37 4.43 1.2 5.63 0.5 4.93 -2.43 Innudation expected Esplande 1.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.83 2.37 4.2 1.05 5.25 0.5 4.7 -2.7 Lower Bay Street 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.24 2.37 3.61 0.63 4.24 0.5 4.74 -1.11 Innudation expected no data 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 2.37 2.37 Brighton (S) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.15 2.37 3.52 0.89 4.41 0.5 4.02 -1.02 Innudation expected Brighton (N) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.27 2.37 3.64 0.99 4.63 0.5 4.14 -1.14 Innudation expected Spring Garden 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 0.89 4.6 0.5 4.21 -1.21 Innudation expected Paradise 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 2.2 5.91 0.5 4.21 -0.71 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Batts Rock 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 1.61 5.32 0.5 4.21 -0.71 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Batts Rock Bay 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.48 2.37 3.85 3.35 7.2 0.5 4.35 -0.85 Innudation expected Prospect(S) 10 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.29 2.37 3.66 2.88 6.54 0.5 4.16 6.34 Prospect 6 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.27 2.37 3.64 3.26 6.9 0.5 4.14 2.36 Prospect (N) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 0.96 4.67 0.5 4.21 -1.71 Innudation expected Fitts Village 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.41 2.37 3.78 0.75 4.53 0.5 4.28 -1.78 Innudation expected Little Rum Shop 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.39 2.37 3.76 1.1 4.86 0.5 4.26 -1.76 Innudation expected Bridgetown Harbour 102 Innudation expected Barbados Beach Vilage 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.39 2.37 3.76 1.29 5.05 0.5 4.26 -1.76 Innudation expected Coconut Creek 6 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.41 2.37 3.78 2.24 6.02 0.5 4.28 2.22 Paynes Bay Revetment 6 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 2.11 5.82 0.5 4.21 2.29 Paynes Bay Fish Market 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.39 2.37 3.76 1.12 4.88 0.5 4.26 -1.26 Innudation expected Bucaneer Bay 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.31 2.37 3.68 1.01 4.69 0.5 4.18 -1.18 Innudation expected Paynes Bay 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.29 2.37 3.66 1.4 5.06 0.5 4.16 -1.16 Innudation expected Sandy Lane South 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.24 2.37 3.61 1.13 4.74 0.5 4.11 -1.11 Innudation expected Sandy Lane Bay 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.35 2.37 3.72 1.07 4.79 0.5 4.22 -0.72 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Almond Beach 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.49 2.37 3.86 1.32 5.18 0.5 4.36 -1.86 Innudation expected Golden Palm 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.38 2.37 3.75 1.16 4.91 0.5 4.25 -1.75 Innudation expected Holetown(S) 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.44 2.37 3.81 0.9 4.71 0.5 4.31 -0.81 Innudation expected Holetown(N) 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.51 2.37 3.88 0.91 4.79 0.5 4.38 -0.88 Innudation expected Folkstone 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.35 2.37 3.72 1.06 4.78 0.5 4.22 -0.72 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Heron Bay 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.49 2.37 3.86 1.04 4.9 0.5 4.36 -0.86 Innudation expected Porters 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.52 2.37 3.89 1.06 4.95 0.5 4.39 -0.89 Innudation expected Royal Pavillion 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.32 2.37 3.69 1.05 4.74 0.5 4.19 -0.69 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Alleynes Bay (S) 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.31 2.37 3.68 1.54 5.22 0.5 4.18 -1.68 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay 2 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.31 2.37 3.68 1.62 5.3 0.5 4.18 -1.68 Innudation expected Alleynes Bay (N) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 1.32 5.03 0.5 4.21 -1.21 Innudation expected Mount Standfast 4.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.38 2.37 3.75 1.92 5.67 0.5 4.25 0.75 Reads Bay 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.44 2.37 3.81 1.7 5.51 0.5 4.31 -1.31 Innudation expected Tropicana 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.4 2.37 3.77 1.34 5.11 0.5 4.27 -1.27 Innudation expected Lower Carlton (S) 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.27 2.37 3.64 1.23 4.87 0.5 4.14 -0.14 Lower Carlton (N) 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.21 2.37 3.58 1.39 4.97 0.5 4.08 -0.08 Greensleeves 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.3 2.37 3.67 1.07 4.74 0.5 4.17 -1.17 Innudation expected Gibbs Bay 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.27 2.37 3.64 1.16 4.8 0.5 4.14 -1.14 Innudation expected Gibbs Beach 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.23 2.37 3.6 1.16 4.76 0.5 4.1 -1.1 Mullins Bay 3 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.29 2.37 3.66 1.22 4.88 0.5 4.16 -0.66 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Road View 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 2.45 6.16 0.5 4.21 -1.21 Innudation expected 103 Innudation expected Sandridge 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.42 2.37 3.79 1.15 4.94 0.5 4.29 -1.29 Innudation expected Goddings Bay 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.37 2.37 3.74 1.12 4.86 0.5 4.24 -1.24 Innudation expected Fort Denmark 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.43 2.37 3.8 1.57 5.37 0.5 4.3 -0.3 Speightstown 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.34 2.37 3.71 1.48 5.19 0.5 4.21 -0.21 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Speightstown (N) 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.38 2.37 3.75 1.13 4.88 0.5 4.25 -1.25 Innudation expected Heywoods 2.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.49 2.37 3.86 1.03 4.89 0.5 5.39 -1.36 Innudation expected Little Good Harbour 3.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.55 2.37 3.92 1.29 5.21 0.5 4.42 -0.42 Overtopping or Flooding Expected Smittons Bay 6.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.43 2.37 3.8 2.25 6.05 0.5 4.3 2.7 Fryer's Well Bay 6.5 1.31 0.33 0.73 1.64 1.5 2.37 3.87 1.52 5.39 0.5 4.37 2.63 KEY: A: Beach Crest Elevation B: Mean Sea Level inclusive of Sea Level Rise C: MHHW D: Inverse Barometric Rise (IB Rise) E: Mean Sea Level + Tide F: Wave Setup G: MSL + Tide + IB Rise H: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup I: Runup J: MSL + Tide + IB Rise+Setup+Runup K: Suggested Freeboard L: Design Elevation M: Actual Freeboard 104 Appendix 2 LIST OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE AFFECTED BY INUNDATION AS A RESULT OF 1:100 YEAR EVENT 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. Two major coastal Highways (Highways 1 & 7) Oistins Fishing Complex Christ Church District Hospital Oistins Bulk Terminal (Shell, Texaco) New Esso Service Station New Texaco service station Southern Plaza shopping complex Golden Sands Hotel Sea Breeze Hotel Welcome Inn Hotel Sand Acres Hotel Dover Beach Hotel Rainbow Reef Hotel Time Out Dover Playing Field Escape at the Gap Southern Palms St. Lawrence Coast Road Casuarina Hotel Turtle Beach St. Lawrence Church Worthing Police station Carib Beach Bar Greame Hall Swamp South Coast Sewage Plant Julie N Supermarket, Rendezvous Shell Service Station, Rendezvous Sugar Reef Hotel Accra Beach Hotel Quayside Center Sun Haven Beach Hotel Hastings Plaza Hastings Rock Royal Bank, Hastings Caribbee Hotel Champers Coconut Court Hotel Sierra Hotel Asta Hotel Savannah Hotel Needahm’s Point Aquatic Gap 105 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. 53. 54. 55. 56. 57. 58. 59. 60. 61. 62. 63. 64. 65. 66. 67. 68. 69. 70. 71. 72. 73. 74. 75. 76. 77. 78. 79. 80. 81. 82. 83. 84. 85. 86. 87. 88. 89. 90. 91. Grand Barbados Bay Street Government Headquarters Coastal Zone Management Unit Bayview Hospital Geriatric Hospital Barbados Port Authority General Post Office Flour Mill Esso Terminal/Service Station, Lands End Shallow Draugh Kensington Oval Bridgetown Fisheries Complex West Indian Rum Refinery, Spring Garden Barbados Light and Power, Spring Garden Texaco Terminal, Spring Garden Shell Bulk Terminal< Spring Garden Desalination Plant Batts Rock Beach Facility Fitts Village Esplanade Fathoms Beach Bar Buccaneer Bay Hotel Crystal Cove Hotel Coconut Creek Hotel Treasure Beach Hotel Tamarind Cove Hotel Smugglers Cove Beachcomber Sandy Bay House Harinetta/Sandy Lane Almond Beach Club Regent Hotel Cheffette, Holetown Inn on the Beach Government Complex, Holetown Police Station Mango Bay Hotel Alleyne House Sandpiper Inn Settlers Beach Folkestone Park Bellairs Institute Coral Reef Hotel Colony Club Hotel Heron Bay Estate Glitter Bay Royal Pavillion Weston Fire Station Weston Fish Market 106 92. 93. 94. 95. 96. 97. 98. 99. 100. 101. 102. 103. 104. 105. 106. Tropicana Hotel St. Alban’s Church Greensleeves Four Winds Easy Reach Kings Beach Hotel Sandridge Hotel Leamington Hotel Cobbler’s Cove Hotel Sanitation Department Speightstown (Offices, Banks, Stores) Speightstown Fish Market Almond Beach Village Port St. Charles Six Men’s Fishing Village 107
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