Answering Scientific Questions
Transcription
Answering Scientific Questions
Answering Scientific Questions Sarah Redd Scientists use inquiry in their study of nature • The word Science is derived from Latin and means “to know” • Science distinguishes itself from other ways of knowing by requiring evidence Inquiry = the process of inquiring, asking questions about the way the world works Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings What kinds of questions can science answer? • To be scientific, a question must: – Be specific and well-defined – Be testable – Be possible to control confounding factors (to some extent) and measure some kind of result Are these questions scientific? • Does alcohol consumption cause people to behave immorally? • Does bright coloration reduce predation on monarch butterflies? • Do inferior parents contribute to a lower adult job salary in their children? • Does wearing sunscreen prevent skin cancer? • Does drinking coffee make it easier to stay awake? • Should genetically modified salmon be sold in grocery stores? The Role of Hypotheses in Inquiry • A hypothesis is a tentative answer to a scientific question (like an educated guess) • A hypothesis is generally worded in the format _______________ affects _______________. • When you write the hypothesis, the verb doesn’t have to be “affects.” It could be something like increases, decreases, reduces, causes, etc. • A scientific hypothesis leads to predictions that can be tested by observation or experimentation Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Practice making hypotheses Make hypotheses based on the following questions: • Does bright coloration reduce predation on monarch butterflies? • Does wearing sunscreen prevent skin cancer? • Does drinking coffee make it easier to stay awake? • For example, – Observation: Your flashlight doesn’t work – Question: Why doesn’t your flashlight work? – Hypothesis 1: Dead batteries are preventing your flash light from working – Hypothesis 2: A burnt out bulb is preventing your flash light from working • Both these hypotheses are testable Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Fig. 1-24 Observations Question Hypothesis #1: Dead batteries Prediction: Replacing batteries will fix problem Hypothesis #2: Burnt-out bulb Prediction: Replacing bulb will fix problem Test prediction Test prediction Test falsifies hypothesis Test does not falsify hypothesis A Closer Look at Hypotheses in Scientific Inquiry • A hypothesis must be testable and falsifiable • Failure to falsify a hypothesis does not prove that hypothesis is correct – For example, you replace your flashlight bulb, and it now works; this supports the hypothesis that your bulb was burnt out, but does not prove it (perhaps the first bulb was inserted incorrectly) You can REJECT or FAIL TO REJECT a hypothesis, but never prove it is true. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings A Case Study in Scientific Inquiry: Investigating Mimicry in Snake Populations • Many poisonous species are brightly colored, which warns potential predators • Mimics are harmless species that closely resemble poisonous species • Henry Bates hypothesized that this mimicry evolved in harmless species as an evolutionary adaptation that reduces their chances of being eaten Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings • Biologists David and Karin Pfennig and William Harcombe tested this hypothesis with the poisonous eastern coral snake and its mimic the nonpoisonous scarlet kingsnake • Both species live in the Carolinas, but the kingsnake is also found in regions without poisonous coral snakes • If predators inherit an avoidance of the coral snake’s coloration, then the colorful kingsnake will be attacked less often in the regions where coral snakes are present Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Fig. 1-25 Scarlet kingsnake (nonpoisonous) Key Range of scarlet kingsnake only Overlapping ranges of scarlet kingsnake and eastern coral snake North Carolina South Carolina Eastern coral snake (poisonous) Scarlet kingsnake (nonpoisonous) Field Experiments with Artificial Snakes • To test this mimicry hypothesis, researchers made hundreds of artificial snakes: – An experimental group resembling kingsnakes – A control group resembling plain brown snakes • Equal numbers of both types were placed at field sites, including areas without poisonous coral snakes Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Fig. 1-26 (a) Artificial kingsnake (b) Brown artificial snake that has been attacked • After four weeks, the scientists retrieved the artificial snakes and counted bite or claw marks • The data fit the predictions of the mimicry hypothesis: the ringed snakes were attacked less frequently in the geographic region where coral snakes were found Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Fig. 1-27 RESULTS Percent of total attacks on artificial snakes 100 84% 83% 80 60 40 20 17% 16% 0 Coral snakes absent Coral snakes present Artificial kingsnakes Brown artificial snakes Designing Controlled Experiments • A controlled experiment compares an experimental group (like the artificial kingsnakes) with a control group (the artificial brown snakes) • Ideally, only the variable of interest (the color pattern of the artificial snakes) is different between the control and experimental groups • A controlled experiment means that control groups are used to cancel the effects of unwanted variables • A controlled experiment does not mean that all unwanted variables are kept constant Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings The Scientific Method • The scientific method is an idealized process of inquiry • Hypothesis-based science is based on the “textbook” scientific method but rarely follows all the ordered steps • Discovery-based science has made important contributions with very little dependence on the scientific method Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings What is a scientific theory? • In the context of science, a theory is: – Broader in scope than a hypothesis – General, and can lead to new testable hypotheses – Supported by a large body of evidence in comparison to a hypothesis – Examples: Gravitational Theory, Evolutionary Theory, Theory of Relativity Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings Science, Technology, and Society • The goal of science is to understand natural phenomena • The goal of technology is to apply scientific knowledge for some specific purpose • Science and technology are interdependent • Biology is marked by “discoveries,” while technology is marked by “inventions” Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings • The combination of science and technology has dramatic effects on society – For example, the discovery of DNA by James Watson and Francis Crick allowed for advances in DNA technology such as testing for hereditary diseases • Ethical issues can arise from new technology, but have as much to do with politics, economics, and cultural values as with science and technology Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Pearson Benjamin Cummings An Example: • Many people in the United States take vitamin C supplements with the belief that they will prevent disease. Does supplemental vitamin C prevent illness? Forming a hypothesis A hypothesis is a factual statement that can be tested Write it in the form ____________ affects ____________. A hypothesis must be falsifiable One can reject or fail to reject a hypothesis, but never accept it as known truth Write a hypothesis about example question: Does supplemental vitamin C prevent illness? Hypothesis test: the variables • The dependent variable is what the scientist measures or observes in response to the experimental conditions. In a standard format hypothesis, this is whatever is in the second blank. • The independent variable is the experimental condition that the scientist manipulates in order to look for a response. In a standard format hypothesis, this is the thing in the second blank. • What are the variables in the Vitamin C example? Designing the procedure • Many experiments will utilize different levels of treatment for the independent variable. – So, we might give different amounts of vitamin C to our participants A control group is one of the treatment levels where everything is the same as your treatment of interest except the thing that you think causes a response. This allows a scientist to determine whether results are really due to the independent variable. A control for our Vitamin C experiment would be people who were given an unmedicated pill that looked just like the Vitamin C pills, but contained no Vitamin C. Experimental Units and Controlled Variables • Treatments are applied to experimental units. – Who/what are we giving the treatment (Vitamin C) to? They’re the experimental units. – Replication is the number of experimental units in each level of treatment. Without replication, your results could be a random fluke! • Controlled variables are things that the scientist keeps constant in all the treatment groups in order to avoid introducing error into the experiment – Having controlled variables is not the same as having a control group. One possibility… Treatment Levels Control (fake pill) 500 mg C / day 1000 mg C / day 2000 mg C / day Person 1 Person 8 Person 15 Person 22 Person 2 Person 9 Person 16 Person 23 Person 3 Person 10 Person 17 Person 24 Person 4 Person 11 Person 18 Person 25 Person 5 Person 12 Person 19 Person 26 Person 6 Person 13 Person 20 Person 27 Person 7 Person 14 Person 21 Person 28 Plan: For 6 months, have each person keep a journal of the number of days they feel sick. Define symptoms of sickness very clearly to minimize differences in individual interpretation. Making predictions • Scientists predict the results of their experiments using “if then” statements • “If the independent variable influences the dependent variable, then I expect __________________.” • Same as “If my hypothesis is true then I expect _____________ to happen in the experiment. • “If vitamin C prevents illness, then I expect people who take the most vitamin C to have the smallest number of sick days.” Interpreting results Number of sick days • Results are often subjected to statistical methods and graphed with the independent variable on the x-axis and the dependent variable on the y-axis. Prediction Amount of Vitamin C taken daily How does science research work in the “real world”? • Most research scientists work in labs at universities or companies • Labs are commonly home to graduate students, post-docs, lead researchers, lab managers, and technicians Your lab is like a team. • Usually, everyone has their own project • Most labs hold regular meetings to see how everyone is doing and give suggestions when someone runs into problems • Lab members often show each other data and practice research presentations for their lab members before presenting to a larger audience Good research is peer reviewed In order to have their work respected, research scientists try to publish their work in peerreviewed journals Before the journal accepts your paper, they send it to scientists who know about your field Those scientists evaluate whether they think your research is good enough for publication, and give recommendations to the journal The journal may accept or reject your paper, or send it back to you to fix some things or do extra experiments before reviewing it again. Some journals are more prestigious than others…