Intensive
Transcription
Intensive
EX-ANTE FARM-SCALE ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACTS OF LIVESTOCK INTENSIFICATION ON GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS OF MIXED CROP-LIVESTOCK SYSTEMS IN WESTERN AFRICA J. Vayssières, C. Birnholz, N.J. Hutchings and P. Lecomte 6th GGAA, February 2016, Melbourne DEMOGRAPHIC GROWTH AND NUTRITION TRANSITION Africa’s population will represent 20% of the world population by 2050 (ONU, 2004; Delgado, 2003) HIGH IMPACT LEVEL GHG balance of livestock products in SubSaharan Africa (SSA) (Gerber et al, 2013) SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGE GHG balance of livestock systems in SSAfrica is a real scientific challenge: Limited knowledge (N/C cycles, emissions rates) (Vayssières & Rufino, 2012) (Ida et al, 2015) Complex systems (mixed systems, multiple interactions) (Audouin et al, 2015) Large diversity (from pastoral to intensive systems) Question: In which magnitude livestock intensification can mitigate the impact of SSA livestock systems on climate change? 3 OBSERVATORIES STUDY CASE The study area: 3 OBSERVATORIES The study area: 2 LIVESTOCK SYSTEMS IN THE GROUNDNUT BASIN OF SENEGAL Traditional extensive system Intensive fattening system livestock livestock manure crops feeds crops FARM SCENARIOS Traditional syst. Livestock housing Feed ration Manure management Soil-Crop fertilization Crop rotation No housing by day and picketed by night Grazing fallow/crop residues on crop fields (no concentrate feed) (no manure collection and storage) Direct deposition during grazing and, Night penning Millet-groundut-fallow (3 years) Intensive syst. Improved intensive syst. Stable (fattening) Stable (fattening) Trough/stall feeding Forage/roughage Concentrate feed Trough/stall feeding Forage/roughage Concentrate feed Manure Heap Covered manure Heap Broadcast Millet-groundnut (2 years, no fallow) Incorporated into soil (with residues) association Millet/Cowpeagroundnut (2 years) (In Bold mitigation options) (Grange et al., 2015) FARM SCENARIOS Crop-livestock systems 2TLU/ha Traditional syst. Livestock housing Feed ration Manure management Soil-Crop fertilization Crop rotation No housing by day and picketed by night Grazing fallow/crop residues on crop fields (no concentrate feed) (no manure collection and storage) Direct deposition during grazing and, Night penning Millet-groundut-fallow (3 years) Intensive syst. Improved intensive syst. Stable (fattening) Stable (fattening) Trough/stall feeding Forage/roughage Concentrate feed Trough/stall feeding Forage/roughage Concentrate feed Manure heap Covered manure heap Broadcast Millet-groundnut (2 years, no fallow) Incorporated into soil (with residues) association Millet/Cowpeagroundnut (2 years) (In Bold mitigation options) (Grange et al., 2015) FARMAC MODEL (1) FarmAC a “simple” and “generic” stock-flow model at farm scale representing the nitrogen (N) and carbon (C) cycles (Hutchings et al., 2013) FARMAC MODEL (2) Deposition Fixation Fertilizer Manure NO 33 NO NH 2 NH33,N , N20,N 2O Storage NH3, N O losses Exported NH3, N2O NH 2 NH33,N , N20,N 2O Exported NH3, N2O Runoff NO3 Exported NH3, N2O NH 2 NH33,N , N20,N 2O (Hutchings et al., 2013) FARMAC MODEL (3) Fertiliser Manure CO 23 NO Storage NH3, N O losses Exported NH3, N2O CH 4,CO 2 NH 3, N2O Exported NH3, N2O Runoff NO3 Exported NH3, N2O CH 4,CO 2 NH 3, N2O CH 4,CO 2 NH 3, N2O (Hutchings et al., 2013) NITROGEN INPUT AND OUTPUT FLUXES 200 150 kg N. ha-1 100 50 0 -50 -100 -150 Traditional Intensive Improved Intensive FULL NITROGEN BALANCE Livestock intensification Scenario N balance (kg N.ha-1) N efficiency (dmnl) Nutrient conservation Traditional Intensive Improved Intensive 3.4 16.3 38.3 0.57 0.69 +21% 0.74 +26% GHG BALANCE Traditional 4% 9% Intensive 2% -7% 10% 5% -7% 3% 47% 24% 75% Improved Intensive 47% 31% 11% 6% 6% Enteric methane emissions Manure methane emissions Manure N2O emissions Field N2O emissions Change in C stored in soil Total indirect emissions 6% GHG BALANCE Livestock intensification Nutrient conservation Intensive Improved Intensive Balance Traditional kg CO2- eq. ha-1 2900 4750 +64% 4700 -02% kg CO2- eq. kgLW-1 55.0 25.1 -36% 24.8 -01% Kg CO2- eq. kgN of edible product-1 80.6 37.0 -54% 33.2 -10% CONCLUSIONS Take into account multifunctional dimension of livestock: producing meat producing cereals ! Joint analysis of N/C cycles and GHG balance to better access the effectiveness of technical option(s) at farm level: impact allocation - 50 to 60% (N limited systems) interactions between options (multiple steps) “Livestock intensification” (yes !) but “Livestock intensification + N conservation techniques” (yes !!!) Less impact on CC (-10% more) more food (+7% more proteins) More $ Etc. MANURE IS A KEY RESOURCE !