Market Retail Study, Fall 2011 update

Transcription

Barrhaven BIA – Commercial Market Analysis Update
D R A F T
R E P O R T
V 1
COMMERCIAL MARKET ANALYSIS:
BARRHAVEN COMMUNITY,
CITY OF OTTAWA
UPDATE TO 2007 STUDY
(CRG File No. 08-303)
June 8, 2009
Prepared for:
Submitted by:
CRG CONSULTING
325-301 Moodie Drive
Ottawa, ON K2H 9C4
Tel.: 613-596-2910
Fax: 613 820-4718
www.thecrg.com
Commercial Market Analysis, Barrhaven Community (Update)
Table of Contents
1.0
Introduction .....................................................................................................................1
1.1
1.2
2.0
Study Context and Objectives .............................................................................................1
Methodology ........................................................................................................................1
Summary of Findings......................................................................................................3
2.1
Market Demand ...................................................................................................................3
2.1.1
2.1.2
2.1.3
2.1.4
2.2
2.3
Commercial Space Inventory ..............................................................................................8
Key Conclusions - Supportable Additional Space...............................................................8
2.3.1
2.3.2
2.3.3
2.4
Current Additional Warrant.................................................................................................. 9
2014 Additional Warrant...................................................................................................... 9
2019 Additional Warrant...................................................................................................... 9
Conclusions and Recommendations.................................................................................10
2.4.1
2.4.2
3.0
Population ........................................................................................................................... 3
Demographic Characteristics .............................................................................................. 4
Size of Barrhaven Market.................................................................................................... 5
Spending Potential .............................................................................................................. 5
Conclusions ...................................................................................................................... 10
Recommendations ............................................................................................................ 11
Study Area .....................................................................................................................13
3.1
3.2
Study Area Delineation......................................................................................................13
Demographic Characteristics ............................................................................................16
4.0
Commercial Overview...................................................................................................19
5.0
Future Commercial Space ............................................................................................24
5.1
The Expenditure Approach................................................................................................24
5.1.1
5.2
Expenditure Analysis......................................................................................................... 28
The Per Capita Level of Provision Approach ....................................................................28
Exhibit 1 – Barrhaven Customer Spotting ..............................................................................30
Exhibit 2 – Barrhaven Study Area Context .............................................................................32
Exhibit 3 – Demographic Characteristics ...............................................................................34
Exhibit 4 – Barrhaven Neighbourhood....................................................................................36
Appendix I – Summary Tables and Calculations ......................................................................I
Appendix II – Business Inventory by Type of Store or Service ..............................................II
Appendix III – Business Listing by Commercial Area ............................................................III
CRG Consulting (www.thecrg.com)
CRG File No. 08-303 (Draft Report V1)
1.0
Introduction
1.1
Study Context and Objectives
The Barrhaven BIA (BBIA) commissioned CRG Consulting (CRG) to update the report entitled
“Commercial Market Analysis: Barrhaven Community, City of Ottawa”, prepared by CRG for the
BBIA, dated February 16, 2007. The purpose of that report was to investigate the retail
commercial real estate market in the Barrhaven community.
The primary objectives of this study are to provide current insight into the level of demand for
different commercial facilities, to give retailers and service providers insight into market
gaps/opportunities and tools to assist them take advantage of market conditions, and to
formulate appropriate recommendations.
In meeting this study’s primary objectives, it was necessary to gain a current understanding of:
•
The components and issues associated with market demand; and,
•
How the existing retail and service commercial infrastructure in Barrhaven is catering to
this demand.
This report relies on research undertaken for the 2007 report to address issues relating to
consumer shopping patterns and perceptions regarding Barrhaven, and those concerning the
business community and other stakeholders.
1.2
Methodology
The work plan designed to fulfil the mandate of this study included the following specific tasks:
•
A review of retail market potential. To determine market potential (meaning the dollar
value of the retail market), the study area delineated for the 2007 study was retained to
facilitate comparative analyses. An updated demographic profile of the study area
residents was compiled, as were estimates of retail spending potentials.
•
An examination of the retail market supply. CRG prepared an updated inventory of
all retail uses in Barrhaven, including outlet name, type and size. The outlets were
classified and summarized according to standard retail classifications.
•
A license plate survey. CRG captured up-to-date information regarding consumers
shopping patterns and the place of residence of shoppers by capturing data via license
plates within the parking lots of selected Barrhaven retail facilities. This data assisted in
the delineation of the trade areas.
The telephone consumer survey and consultations with business and community members
were not undertaken as part of the report update.
Our report and associated findings are presented herein, according to the following main
sections:

Section 1.0 – Introduction;

Section 2.0 – Summary of Findings;

Section 3.0 – Study Area;

Section 4.0 – Commercial Overview; and,

Section 5.0 – Future Commercial Space.
-1-
The analysis is supplemented by four Exhibits, which are appended to the report.
Following the Exhibits are three appendices. Appendix I contains the research and calculation
tables on which the report relies. The Barrhaven business inventory by type of store or service
is provided in Appendix II, and the same listing compiled by commercial area is provided in
Appendix III.
In reviewing the accompanying report and its findings, it should be recognized that it has been
prepared solely on the basis of the information and assumptions as set forth in the
accompanying text. CRG Consulting has attempted to verify this information wherever possible,
using a combination of field checks and interviews with various officials. However, it is not
possible to fully document all factors or to account for all of the changes that might occur in the
future. If, for any reason, major changes occur that influence the information and assumptions
set forth in this report, the findings should be reviewed in the light of these changed
circumstances and revised, if necessary.
-2-
2.0
Summary of Findings
This study has been conducted to provide an updated review of retail business conditions in
Barrhaven. The following summarizes the study findings, with more detailed analyses provided
in subsequent sections.
2.1
Market Demand
2.1.1
Population
•
Barrhaven represents a large and growing retail market. The study area defined for
purposes of this analysis (Exhibit 1, Page 29) has a population currently (2009)
estimated at 131,800. The area includes Barrhaven/South Nepean, extends northerly to
Baseline Road, where it is bounded to the east by Merivale Road and the Rideau River.
A southern and western area is delimited, south to Cambrian Road to Century Road
east, including Manotick, and west to Eagleson Road, but excluding Richmond.
A fourth and future trade zone was also delimited, Zone 4, east of the Rideau River. This
trade zone, consisting of the Riverside South community, will influence shopping patters
to Barrhaven if/when the future bridge linking Strandherd Drive to Earl Armstrong Road
is built. While not currently relevant (only 2.0% of the collected licence plates came from
this zone), due to its proximity and changing accessibility, Zone 4 is likely to become an
important tributary area to Barrhaven commerce in the near future.
•
The study area population is rapidly growing. From 1996 to 2001, it increased from
88,698 to 99,707, representing a gain of approximately 11,000 persons, or 12.4%
(Figure 2.1). Since then, it has increased by an additional 32,000 persons, or 32%.
•
Population growth in the study area is anticipated to continue at a rapid rate. Over
the next decade, the total is projected to reach 181,000, an increase of 49,200 persons
(Figure 2.1).
Figure 2.1 - Study Area Population
200,000
181,000
Population
154,100
150,000
131,800
117,558
100,000
88,698
99,707
50,000
1996
2001
2006
2009 (Est.) 2014 (Proj.) 2019 (Proj.)
Year
•
The study area includes communities with stable populations, along with others that are
rapidly growing. To assess these trends, the study area was subdivided into four
sectors (Exhibit 1, Page 29), with population trends for each sector presented in Figure
2.2. The figure suggests that the Barrhaven’s population has more than doubled over
the last decade, and continued strong population growth is anticipated (some 48% or
-3-
30,600 persons) over the next 10 years. Zone 2 could reach a population plateau as is
common with most inner city neighbourhoods. Zone 3 is expected to grow modestly.
However, population growth rates in this sector may become more favourable,
influenced by new development south of the Jock River, as well as the expansion of
Manotick Village.
•
Zone 4 will also receive a major increment of some 17,700 new residents, an increase of
170% over current levels. While commercial districts are planned for this sector, its
nearness to the developed retailing of Barrhaven is anticipated to divert significant
market shares to South Nepean commerce, once the bridge across the Rideau River is
completed. Whereas the Barrhaven/South Nepean commerce directly addresses a
market of some 121,400 people in Zones 1, 2 and 3, within a decade with the bridge, the
commerce will be serving almost 200,000 persons, mostly with a relatively high income
level. Indeed, today Barrhaven addresses a market similar in population to Kanata, and
in the near future, the Barrhaven market (with the bridge over the Rideau River in place)
will be significantly larger than that addressed by Kanata commerce.
Figure 2.2 - Study Area Population by Market Zone
Population
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1996
2001
2006
2009 (Est.)
2014 (Proj.)
2019 (Proj.)
Zone 1
29,835
37,932
55,558
64,200
79,500
94,800
Zone 2
52,891
52,882
50,301
51,300
51,000
51,000
Zone 3
5,308
5,206
5,540
5,900
6,500
7,100
Zone 4
664
3,687
6,159
10,400
17,100
28,100
The size of the existing market, combined with population increases that are anticipated to be
significant, provide excellent opportunities for existing and future retail outlets in Barrhaven.
Virtually any common commercial facility is supportable.
2.1.2
Demographic Characteristics
The study area population has high income levels and large household sizes. The PTA
(Zone 1) and TTA/STA E (Zone 4), the significant growth areas, tend to have younger families.
Zone 1 has the highest average number of occupants per household, and Zone 4, the highest
average household incomes. Households in Zones 2 and 3 tend to be occupied by older
occupants.
The mix of demographic characteristics continues to offer opportunities for Barrhaven
businesses such as:
•
Catering to a wide variety of market segments;
•
Carving out and catering to a specific market niche;
•
Creating and building customer loyalty among the newer residents before their shopping
becomes entrenched elsewhere;
-4-
•
Continuing to augment service offerings;
•
Offering products and services that cater to the more affluent markets; and
•
Understanding and servicing the needs of seniors, a growing market segment in all
major urban areas. This group can be wealthier than their income levels suggest.
2.1.3
Size of Barrhaven Market
•
Retail outlets in Barrhaven continue to
align sales from a large geographic
area. The community attracts just under
one-third (33.7%) of its trade from sectors
beyond the delineated study area. More
than one-fifth of its business comes from
other sectors within the City of Ottawa
boundaries and more than 12% from areas
beyond.
TABLE 2.1
SUMMARY OF LICENCE PLATE COLLECTIONS,
VARIOUS BARRHAVEN LOCATIONS
ZONE
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Sub-total, Study Area
Urban Ottawa West
Urban Ottawa East
Rural Ottawa
Sub-total, Other Ottawa
Sub-total, City of Ottawa
Other
TOTAL
No.
346
28
22
12
408
57
25
50
132
540
75
615
Pct
56.3
4.6
3.6
2.0
66.3
9.3
4.1
8.1
21.5
87.8
12.2
100.0
•
License plates were collected at five
locations in the Barrhaven community.
Home Depot has the greatest regional
attraction, with 42.6% of its customers
living in areas outside the delineated study
area. Your Independent Grocer, Wal-Mart, Source: CRG Consulting
Metro (formerly Loeb), Food Basics and Canadian Tire each attract approximately onethird of their customers from elsewhere, with the figure for Loblaws and Sobeys being
near 25%.
•
Overall, the existing supermarkets in Barrhaven attract nearly 33% of their business from
outside the community.
•
Barrhaven businesses now attract a
higher proportion of customers from
greater distances than in 2006 (Table
2.2). The license plate collection in
2006 suggested that 7.2% of
customers lived outside the City of
Ottawa. This proportion has risen to
12.2%.
TABLE 2.2
COMPARISON OF LICENCE PLATE COLLECTION:
2006 vs. 2009
ZONE
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Urban Ottawa West
Urban Ottawa East
Rural Ottawa
Other
TOTAL
2006
57.8
6.7
3.9
0.4
68.7
9.7
5.6
8.8
24.1
92.8
7.2
100.0
2009
56.3
4.6
3.6
2.0
66.3
9.3
4.1
8.1
21.5
87.8
12.2
100.0
Variation
-1.6
-2.1
-0.3
1.6
-2.4
-0.4
-1.6
-0.7
-2.6
-5.0
5.0
--
•
Penetration is now beginning in Zone
4 (Riverside South), which now
accounts for 2.0% of customers
(compared to 0.4% in 2006).
2.1.4
Spending Potential
•
The total market spending potential provided by the permanent residents of the
study area is presently estimated at $1.2 billion. In 2014 (with the Rideau River
bridge in place), it could exceed $1.6 billion, and by 2019, be greater than $2.2 billion
(real 2008 dollars, Table 3.3, next page).
Source: CRG Consulting
-5-
TABLE 3.3
SUMMARY OF SPENDING POTENTIAL ($M)
Zone Description
2009
2014
2019
Supermarket & Grocery Stores
1
Barrhaven/South Nepean
$112.039
$142.214
$178.229
2
North of Barrhaven
$89.185
$90.892
$95.543
3
South and West of Barrhaven
$10.778
$12.177
$13.982
4
East of Rideau River
$0.000
$31.629
$54.618
Total
$212.002
$276.912
$342.372
Pharmacy Stores
1
$61.632
$84.270
$122.292
2
North of Barrhaven
$48.786
$53.550
$65.127
3
$6.225
$7.573
$10.061
4
$0.000
$19.409
$38.806
Total
$116.643
$164.801
$236.286
Beer, Wine, Liquor Stores
1
$34.440
$47.939
$63.137
2
North of Barrhaven
$31.583
$30.345
$33.507
3
$3.796
$4.550
$5.488
4
$0.000
$11.525
$20.906
Total
$69.819
$94.359
$123.039
Department Stores
1
$57.900
$84.270
$106.176
2
North of Barrhaven
$52.787
$53.550
$55.947
3
$6.686
$8.015
$9.663
4
$0.000
$20.041
$36.361
Total
$117.373
$165.876
$208.148
Home and Auto Supply Stores
1
$18.180
$25.281
$33.275
2
North of Barrhaven
$16.517
$15.861
$17.493
3
$2.160
$2.587
$3.117
4
$0.000
$6.122
$11.662
Total
$36.857
$49.851
$65.546
GAFO (General Merchandise, Apparel, Furniture/Furnishing & Other Stores)
1
$154.200
$214.730
$282.694
2
North of Barrhaven
$140.616
$135.099
$149.175
3
$17.915
$21.470
$25.894
4
$0.000
$53.609
$97.254
Total
$312.731
$424.907
$555.016
Home Improvement Stores
1
$43.800
$60.977
$80.296
2
North of Barrhaven
$39.841
$38.250
$42.228
3
$5.198
$6.234
$7.519
4
$0.000
$15.476
$28.072
Total
$88.840
$120.936
$158.114
Restaurants
1
$65.760
$91.584
$120.586
2
North of Barrhaven
$60.599
$58.191
$64.260
3
$6.869
$8.229
$9.926
4
$0.000
$21.101
$38.272
Total
$133.227
$179.105
$233.044
Personal Services
1
$38.760
$91.584
$120.586
2
North of Barrhaven
$35.600
$58.191
$64.260
3
$4.195
$8.229
$9.926
4
$0.000
$21.101
$38.272
Total
$78.556
$179.105
$233.044
TOTAL
1
$586.711
$842.847
$1,107.269
2
North of Barrhaven
$515.514
$533.929
$587.540
3
$63.823
$79.062
$95.576
4
$0.000
$200.013
$364.224
Total
$1,166.047
$1,655.851
$2,154.608
East of Rideau River Pct
0.0%
12.1%
16.9%
-6-
•
The construction of the bridge will be an increasingly significant contributor to the
spending potential in the Barrhaven market. The direct link to the Riverside South
community is anticipated to provide close to 12% of the spending potential to this market
in 2014, and 17% in 2019.
•
Not all of the retail expenditure potential is captured by the study area establishments.
Indeed, as shown in Table 3.4, expenditure patterns derived from the telephone survey
undertaken for the 2007 study results suggest that nearly two-thirds (62.4%) of the
expenditures among Barrhaven residents are done elsewhere, with the most
notable being in GAFO (General Merchandise, Apparel, Furniture/Furnishing and Other)
stores (80.5%), department stores (79.3%) and personal services (69.7%). These store
types present the most favourable opportunities for the realignment of dollars spent
elsewhere.
TABLE 3.4
SUMMARY OF EXPENDITURE PATTERNS 2009 ($M)
Estimated
Expenditure
Location of Spending
Percent
Supermarket & Grocery Stores
Barrhaven
$128.322
60.5%
Elsewhere
$83.680
39.5%
Total
$212.002
100.0%
Pharmacy Stores
Barrhaven
$61.747
52.9%
Elsewhere
$54.896
47.1%
Total
$116.643
100.0%
Beer, Wine, Liquor Stores
Barrhaven
$36.184
51.8%
Elsewhere
$33.632
48.2%
Total
$69.816
100.0%
Department Stores
Barrhaven
$24.279
20.7%
Elsewhere
$93.124
79.3%
Total
$117.404
100.0%
Barrhaven
$19.864
53.9%
Elsewhere
$17.010
46.1%
Total
$36.874
100.0%
GAFO (General Merchandise, Apparel, Furniture/Furnishing &
Other Stores)
Barrhaven
$60.872
19.5%
Elsewhere
$251.942
80.5%
Total
$312.814
100.0%
Home Improvement Stores
Barrhaven
$33.607
37.8%
Elsewhere
$55.268
62.2%
Total
$88.875
100.0%
Restaurants
Barrhaven
$50.246
37.7%
Elsewhere
$82.938
62.3%
Total
$133.185
100.0%
Personal Services
Barrhaven
$23.768
30.3%
Elsewhere
$54.777
69.7%
Total
$78.545
100.0%
TOTAL
Barrhaven
$438.889
37.6%
Elsewhere
$727.267
62.4%
Total
$1,166.156
100.0%
-7-
2.2
Commercial Space Inventory
•
Barrhaven has 1.500 million square feet of commercial space in 295 outlets. Of
this space, 67.1% or 1.01 million square feet is retail space, 27.5% or 412,600 is service
space and the vacancy rate is currently estimated at 5.4% (±81,000 square feet).
Approximately one-third of the vacancy consists of a former supermarket.
•
Since 2006, the commercial inventory has increased by 69,610 square feet, or 5%.
There are now 23 additional outlets (Table 3.5). All of the growth has been in services
(73,660 square feet) as retail space has declined slightly (by 4,900 square feet).
Rectifying the deficit of services was noted as among the most significant opportunities
in the 2007 report. While trending in the right direction, there is continued additional
potential for the provision of services.
•
Vacant space has increased by 11,260 square feet since 2006. However, the current
vacancy rate of 5.4% is only 0.5 percentage point higher than it was in 2006. The
vacancy rates observed in 2006 and currently are viewed as being “normal” as it is not
uncommon to have a 5% annual turnover in retail establishments in typical markets.
•
Overall Barrhaven retailers continue to experience high sales productivities.
•
Despite the extent of new retail development over the last decade, major gaps and
opportunities continue to exist in the Barrhaven commercial market. This suggests
(even in the absence of population growth) further expansion opportunities. There are
sectors and store types, however, that are at or near their short term saturation.
TABLE 3.5
GROWTH OF THE COMMERCIAL SPACE INVENTORY, BARRHAVEN, 2006-2009
2006
2009
Store Count
Total Space
Store Count
Total Space
Outlet Type
No.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
No.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
Food Stores
21
7.7
334,770 23.4
14
4.7 322,570 21.5
Pharmacies and Personal Care Stores
8
2.9
63,380
4.4
8
2.7
60,300
4.0
Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores
2
0.7
16,200
1.1
2
0.7
16,200
1.1
GAFO: General Merchandise Stores
5
1.8
218,000 15.2
5
1.7 219,200 14.6
GAFO: Apparel and Accessories Stores
11
4.0
78,460
5.5
12
4.1
79,960
5.3
GAFO: Furniture, Home Furnishings and Electronics Stores
11
4.0
23,320
1.6
8
2.7
16,000
1.1
GAFO: Other Retailers
26
9.6
129,850
9.1
28
9.5 129,570
8.6
Sub-Total GAFO
53 19.5
449,630 31.4
53 18.0 444,730 29.6
Building and Outdoor Home Supplies Stores
3
1.1
137,000
9.6
3
1.0 137,000
9.1
Automotive
8
2.9
20,730
1.4
8
2.7
25,600
1.7
Sub-Total Retail
95 34.9 1,021,710 71.4
88 29.8 1,006,400 67.1
Food Services (Restaurants)
49 18.0
101,340
7.1
54 18.3 114,100
7.6
All Other Services
112 41.2
237,620 16.6
130 44.1 298,520 19.9
Sub-Total Services
161 59.2
338,960 23.7
184 62.4 412,620 27.5
Sub-Total Occupied
256 94.1 1,360,670 95.1
272 92.2 1,419,020 94.6
Vacant
16
5.9
70,110
4.9
23
7.8
81,370
5.4
TOTAL
272 100.0 1,430,780 100.0
295 100.0 1,500,390 100.0
Variation,
2006-2009
No.
Sq. Ft.
-7
-12,200
--3,080
---1,200
1
1,500
-3
-7,320
2
-280
--4,900
---4,870
-7
-15,310
5
12,760
18
60,900
23
73,660
16
58,350
7
11,260
23
69,610
•
Automotive sales and service continue to be absent from the Barrhaven inventory.
There is only 25,600 square feet of automotive retailing in Barrhaven. Most of the
automotive sales and service occurs elsewhere.
2.3
Key Conclusions - Supportable Additional Space
The southern Nepean community of Barrhaven south of Fallowfield Road and the Greenbelt has
become a regional centre of commerce. With a fast-growing local population of 64,200 people,
it has reached a market threshold where a considerable amount of retailing is supportable.
-8-
2.3.1
Current Additional Warrant
Our analysis and associated assumptions suggest that the Barrhaven market can currently
(2009) support additional retail commercial space consisting of:

2.3.2
Supermarkets (28,000 square feet);
Pharmacies (50,000 square feet);
Home and Auto Supply (18,000 square feet);
Personal services (2,700 square feet);
Automobile sales and services (167,000 square feet), and
Office services of all types (74,000 square feet).
2014 Additional Warrant
By 2014, the local Barrhaven population is projected to increase to 79,500 people. The
planned/potential arrival of the rapid transit and the Strandherd-Earl Armstrong connection
should open the population immediately to the east of the Rideau River to Barrhaven
commerce. This nearby population should total some 17,000 people by 2014.
According to our analysis (and the associated assumptions, described herein), the Barrhaven
market by 2014 could therefore support additional retail commercial space of all types:
•
Supermarkets: another 106,000 square feet should be supportable.
•
General retail: another 425,000 square feet of all types of retail, particularly in the
categories of furniture, furnishings, appliances and electronics, which are not wellrepresented in the community.
•
Restaurants: another 41,000 square feet.
•
Personal Services: another 31,000 square feet.
•
Automotive sales and service, which is a current gap in the market, could represent
another 213,000 square feet.
•
Office services of all types, another current gap in the market, could represent another
151,000 square feet by 2014. The type of space envisioned are professional offices,
either in a low-rise format or with retail at the ground level with offices above, designed
to accommodate the need for services in this market.
2.3.3
2019 Additional Warrant
By 2019, Barrhaven is expected to likely have close to 95,000 in population.
population east of the Rideau River should total some 28,000 people.
The nearby
The Barrhaven market, according to our analysis and assumptions, can support additional retail
commercial space of all types:
•
Supermarkets: by 2019, another 196,000 square feet should be supportable.
•
General retail: by 2019, another 700,000 square feet of all types of retail, particularly in
the categories of furniture, furnishings, appliances and electronics, which are not wellrepresented in the community.
•
Restaurants: by 2019, another 77,000 square feet.
•
Personal Services: by 2019, another 67,000 square feet.
-9-
•
Automotive sales and service, which is a current gap in the market, could represent
another 448,000 square feet.
•
Office services of all types, another current gap in the market, could represent another
700,000 square feet by 2019.
•
The market opportunity is very high due to:

The very rapid future population growth;

The opening of areas to the east of the Rideau River:

Rapid transit (bus and/or train);

The regional draw of existing commerce; and

The fact that most segments (in our calculations) are operating at above “industry
average” productivity, which represents an opportunity for more of most types of
commercial activity.
Importantly, the relatively recent growth of “big box” stores and malls has left a gap in the
market in terms of typical generic commercial space occupied by services and local offices.
There is also a significant gap in the market in terms of services, which could be filled by new
office construction adjacent to the planned Barrhaven transit stations. Unlike the current public
transit access in the Greenbelt, the vicinity of the rapid transit stations are viewed as suitable to
stimulate a more rounded commercial variety of stores and services.
2.4
Conclusions and Recommendations
2.4.1
Conclusions
•
Barrhaven has emerged as one of the largest concentrations of commercial space in the
City of Ottawa. With more than 1.5 million square feet, it rivals Merivale Road and has
more space than the Rideau Centre. As one of the City’s three major suburbs, and with
ample developable land remaining, the community is poised to continue growing at a
rapid pace and has the ingredients for continued retail success.
•
The market population, currently estimated at 121,400, is anticipated to reach near
180,000 in the next decade, assuming that the bridge across the Rideau River linking
Strandherd Drive to Earl Armstrong Road is built. The City of Ottawa website suggests
the completion date for this bridge as being in 2012. On Friday, June 5, 2009, the
provincial, federal and municipal governments announced a funding agreement,
suggesting that the timetable for completion is quite likely to be realized.
•
There is just under $1.2 billion of disposable dollars within a short distance, and
Barrhaven is well poised to continue attracting a reasonable share of them. Among the
commercial tenants are some of the best brand names in the business (Loblaws, WalMart, Cineplex Odeon, Indigo, Sport Check, Home Depot, Staples, etc.). The
purchasing potential is anticipated to nearly double over the next decade, attributable
primarily to population growth (and the bridge across the Rideau River).
•
Barrhaven is more “regional” in character than it was in 2006. Customers are drawn
from all areas of the City of Ottawa and areas beyond. Barrhaven has a significant net
inflow of sales.
•
Consumer and stakeholder research undertaken for the 2007 report suggested that on
average, business volume is growing, and that residents and businesses generally have
- 10 -
a positive outlook on the community. We expect that this continues to be the case.
However, there continues to be a gap/need for more local employment opportunities and
more services. A benefit of service industries is that they are often more labour
intensive than retail, resulting in an increase in local employment.
•
1.3 million square feet was added to the Barrhaven commercial inventory over the past
13 years. If the Rideau River bridge is built and appropriate space for auto and office
uses are made available, then another 1.1 million square feet could be added within the
next five years. The ideal location is along the linear axis, Strandherd Road near
Greenbank south, within close proximity to rapid transit.
•
The increase in commercial space over the past three years of some 70,000 square feet
suggests much slower growth than in the previous decade. The existing retail landscape
is becoming entrenched and consolidated. Similar patterns have been noted in Kanata
and Orléans, which have both witnessed a surge in box store development, followed by
slower rates of growth.
•
In addition to additional personal services, there is an apparent need for more
restaurants, apparel stores, department store space, electronics stores and enclosed
retail facilities. Although not a preferred retail format among developers, enclosed retail
facilities would provide a much more comfortable shopping environment.
•
The retail vacancy rate has increased slightly since late 2006 (from 4.9% to 5.4%).
Excluding the former supermarket in Barrhaven Crossing reduces the vacancy rate to
2.8% in 2006 and 3.4% currently. These are “healthy” vacancy rates.
•
The inventory of supermarkets has remained steady at 302,000 square feet since
November 2006. In aggregate, they attract close to 30% of their trade from outside the
delineated study area. All of the existing stores are aligned along key arterials
(Strandherd Road, Woodroffe Avenue and Greenbank Road). We anticipate that
Loblaws might be contemplating the expansion of their store to a Superstore format, as
Barrhaven is the only suburban Ottawa market where this banner is not present.
•
Barrhaven does not have a significant employment base. Thus, a significant portion of
its population leaves the area for employment. This “gravity” of employment towards the
more inner areas of the region creates the opportunity for convenient retail spending in
these sectors. It is expected that Barrhaven will be characterized as having a net
outflow of sales for some time. However, this is changing now that RCMP’s relocation to
Barrhaven is underway, which when complete, is anticipated to bring in excess of 3,300
full-time professional jobs to the area.
•
The economic recession has impacted retail sales growth and many retailers are
revisiting expansion plans. However, Ottawa’s local economy remains relatively robust,
due to the dominance of federal government employment, the limited presence of the
manufacturing and automobile sectors and the large number of major construction
projects underway or proposed (such as office buildings, transit, condominiums, and the
Strandherd-Armstrong crossing which could start on early 2010).
2.4.2
Recommendations
In recognition of and building upon the ongoing efforts and strategies of the Barrhaven BIA, we
offer the following retail related promotional strategies:
•
The dissemination of this report. Existing and future members need to know the vitality
of the Barrhaven market in general. Key in this regard is that Barrhaven is a $1.3 B
market, soon to be a $2.6 B spending market. As was the case for the 2007 report,
- 11 -
posting a synopsis of this report on the BBIA website is suggested. However,
consideration might be given to improving the synopsis with maps and graphics.
•
Recognizing that the size of the catchment area is growing. We continue to recommend
that promotion be to the entire market, not just Barrhaven. Retailers need to
communicate to their market that Barrhaven more than ever, can service their every
need. We suggest that Riverside South, Manotick and Bridlewood be key targets in this
regard.
•
A continued co-operative effort to ensure effectiveness. Retailers need to be proactive
to combat vulnerability from growing competition inside the community and elsewhere.
•
Continue to ensure that every customer knows “what else” can be found in Barrhaven.
A promotional piece listing Barrhaven businesses and mapping their locations might be
considered. It should be available at all the retail and service outlets, and to businesses.
The priority could first be given to local residents, followed by those living in the greater
market area. Emphasis should also be given to the new population entering the market.
•
Continued ongoing efforts to promote service and office based market opportunities.
While service offerings have improved since 2006, there remains considerable potential
in this regard.
- 12 -
3.0
Study Area
3.1
Study Area Delineation
The study area for the 2007 report was delineated by randomly selecting licence plates from
commercial parking lots throughout Barrhaven. At that time, 569 usable plates were selected in
five locations (the parking lots of Your Independent Grocer/Home Depot, Loeb, Loblaws/WalMart, Food Basics, and Sobeys/Canadian Tire), in order to illustrate the shopping behaviour
among a range of shopping opportunities. Virtually all the plates came from the City of Ottawa
(92.8%, Table 3.1). The addresses of the registered owners are mapped on Exhibit 1 (next
page and appended on Page 29).
TABLE 3.1
LICENCE PLATES BY BARRHAVEN COMMERCIAL LOCATION, COLLECTED APRIL 2009
TOTAL
YIG/Home Depot
YIG
Home Depot
TOTAL
ZONE
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
Zone 1
346
56.3
34
54.8
28
45.9
62
50.4
Zone 2
28
4.6
2
3.2
0
0.0
2
1.6
Zone 3
22
3.6
3
4.8
5
8.2
8
6.5
Zone 4
12
2.0
1
1.6
2
3.3
3
2.4
408
66.3
40
64.5
35
57.4
75
61.0
Urban Ottawa West
57
9.3
5
8.1
6
9.8
11
8.9
Urban Ottawa East
25
4.1
3
4.8
0
0.0
3
2.4
Rural Ottawa
50
8.1
9
14.5
8
13.1
17
13.8
132
21.5
17
27.4
14
23.0
31
25.2
540
87.8
57
91.9
49
80.3
106
86.2
Other
75
12.2
5
8.1
12
19.7
17
13.8
TOTAL
615
100.0
62
100.0
61
100.0
123
100.0
Loeb (now Metro)
Loblaws/Wal-Mart
Loblaws
Wal-Mart
TOTAL
ZONE
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
Zone 1
52
56.5
60
64.5
45
51.1
105
58.0
Zone 2
5
5.4
5
5.4
5
5.7
10
5.5
Zone 3
1
1.1
3
3.2
4
4.5
7
3.9
Zone 4
1
1.1
2
2.2
3
3.4
5
2.8
59
64.1
70
75.3
57
64.8
127
70.2
Urban Ottawa West
11
12.0
8
8.6
10
11.4
18
9.9
Urban Ottawa East
4
4.3
3
3.2
2
2.3
5
2.8
Rural Ottawa
5
5.4
3
3.2
9
10.2
12
6.6
20
21.7
14
15.1
21
23.9
35
19.3
79
85.9
84
90.3
78
88.6
162
89.5
Other
13
14.1
9
9.7
10
11.4
19
10.5
TOTAL
92
100.0
93
100.0
88
100.0
181
100.0
Food Basics
Sobeys/Canadian Tire
Sobeys
Canadian Tire
TOTAL
ZONE
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
No.
Pct
Zone 1
47
51.6
40
63.5
40
61.5
80
62.5
Zone 2
5
5.5
4
6.3
2
3.1
6
4.7
Zone 3
4
4.4
1
1.6
1
1.5
2
1.6
Zone 4
1
1.1
1
1.6
1
1.5
2
1.6
57
62.6
46
73.0
44
67.7
90
70.3
Urban Ottawa West
9
9.9
3
4.8
5
7.7
8
6.3
Urban Ottawa East
5
5.5
1
1.6
7
10.8
8
6.3
Rural Ottawa
9
9.9
7
11.1
0
0.0
7
5.5
23
25.3
11
17.5
12
18.5
23
18.0
80
87.9
57
90.5
56
86.2
113
88.3
Other
11
12.1
6
9.5
9
13.8
15
11.7
TOTAL
91
100.0
63
100.0
65
100.0
128
100.0
- 13 -
License Plate Trends:
We compared the results of the licence plate collection in April 2009 to those obtained in
November 2006. The results are shown in Table 3.2 (next page), with the cells highlighted in
yellow suggesting a reduction and those in green, an increase.
The following observations are noted:
•
Barrhaven businesses now attract a higher proportion of customers from greater
distances than in 2006.
•
In addition to growth in the proportion of customers coming from the greater distances
(“Other”), penetration is beginning in Zone 4 (Riverside South).
•
Metro (formerly Loeb)/Strandherd Plaza recorded the largest increase in customers
coming from “Other” areas.
•
Food Basics/Barrhaven Mall is now attracting a greater proportion of customers from
sectors of Ottawa outside the study area, as well as from more distant areas. A similar
pattern is noted for Your Independent Grocer/Home Depot.
•
Loblaws/Wal-Mart is the only location where the share of customers coming locally (i.e.,
from the Study Area) has increased. The opening of the Loblaws Superstore in southern
Kanata in September 2006 is viewed as contributing to the change in shopping patterns
to the Loblaws. The current economic recession has increased the popularity of
shopping in stores with a strong discount image.
- 14 -
•
In comparison to the other retail locations where plates were collected,
Sobeys/Canadian Tire continue to capture the highest share of customers from the
Study Area.
TABLE 3.2
COMPARISON OF LICENCE PLATES COLLECTED BY BARRHAVEN COMMERCIAL LOCATION, NOVEMBER 2006 & ARPIL 2009
TOTAL
YIG/Home Depot
YIG
Home Depot
TOTAL
ZONE
2006
2009
Variation
Variation
Variation
2006
2009
2006
2009
2006
2009
Zone 1
57.8
56.3
-1.6
68.5
54.8
-13.7
56.1
45.9
-10.2
62.3
50.4
Zone 2
6.7
4.6
-2.1
3.7
3.2
-0.5
3.5
--3.5
3.6
1.6
Zone 3
3.9
3.6
-0.3
1.9
4.8
3.0
5.3
8.2
2.9
3.6
6.5
Zone 4
0.4
2.0
1.6
-1.6
1.6
1.8
3.3
1.5
0.9
2.4
68.7
66.3
-2.4
74.1
64.5
-9.6
66.7
57.4
-9.3
70.4
61.0
Urban Ottawa West
9.7
9.3
-0.4
13.0
8.1
-4.9
3.5
9.8
6.3
8.2
8.9
Urban Ottawa East
5.6
4.1
-1.6
5.6
4.8
-0.7
3.5
--3.5
4.5
2.4
Rural Ottawa
8.8
8.1
-0.7
3.7
14.5
10.8
15.8
13.1
-2.7
9.7
13.8
24.1
21.5
-2.6
22.2
27.4
5.2
22.8
23.0
0.1
22.5
25.2
92.8
87.8
-5.0
96.3
91.9
-4.4
89.5
80.3
-9.1
92.9
86.2
Other
7.2
12.2
5.0
3.7
8.1
4.4
10.5
19.7
9.1
7.1
13.8
TOTAL
100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
Loeb (now Metro)
Loblaws/Wal-Mart
Loblaws
Wal-Mart
TOTAL
ZONE
2006
2009
Variation
Variation
Variation
2006
2009
2006
2009
2006
2009
Zone 1
50.0
56.5
6.5
56.8
64.5
7.7
45.9
51.1
5.3
51.4
58.0
Zone 2
6.8
5.4
-1.4
9.1
5.4
-3.7
10.6
5.7
-4.9
9.8
5.5
Zone 3
9.1
1.1
-8.0
2.3
3.2
1.0
-4.5
4.5
1.1
3.9
Zone 4
-1.1
1.1
-2.2
2.2
1.2
3.4
2.2
0.6
2.8
65.9
64.1
-1.8
68.2
75.3
7.1
57.6
64.8
7.1
62.9
70.2
Urban Ottawa West
18.2
12.0
-6.2
5.7
8.6
2.9
12.9
11.4
-1.6
9.3
9.9
Urban Ottawa East
4.5
4.3
-0.2
3.4
3.2
-0.2
10.6
2.3
-8.3
7.0
2.8
Rural Ottawa
5.7
5.4
-0.2
15.9
3.2
-12.7
9.4
10.2
0.8
12.7
6.6
28.4
21.7
-6.7
25.0
15.1
-9.9
32.9
23.9
-9.1
29.0
19.3
94.3
85.9
-8.4
93.2
90.3
-2.9
90.6
88.6
-2.0
91.9
89.5
Other
5.7
14.1
8.4
6.8
9.7
2.9
9.4
11.4
2.0
8.1
10.5
TOTAL
100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
Food Basics
Sobeys/Canadian Tire
Sobeys
Canadian Tire
TOTAL
ZONE
2006
2009
Variation
Variation
Variation
2006
2009
2006
2009
2006
2009
Zone 1
62.5
51.6
-10.9
78.0
63.5
-14.5
55.9
61.5
5.6
67.0
62.5
Zone 2
8.0
5.5
-2.5
4.0
6.3
2.3
3.4
3.1
-0.3
3.7
4.7
Zone 3
2.3
4.4
2.1
-1.6
1.6
10.2
1.5
-8.6
5.1
1.6
Zone 4
-1.1
1.1
-1.6
1.6
-1.5
1.5
-1.6
72.7
62.6
-10.1
82.0
73.0
-9.0
69.5
67.7
-1.8
75.7
70.3
Urban Ottawa West
12.5
9.9
-2.6
4.0
4.8
0.8
1.7
7.7
6.0
2.8
6.3
Urban Ottawa East
6.8
5.5
-1.3
6.0
1.6
-4.4
3.4
10.8
7.4
4.7
6.3
Rural Ottawa
3.4
9.9
6.5
2.0
11.1
9.1
13.6
--13.6
7.8
5.5
22.7
25.3
2.5
12.0
17.5
5.5
18.6
18.5
-0.2
15.3
18.0
95.5
87.9
-7.5
94.0
90.5
-3.5
88.1
86.2
-2.0
91.1
88.3
Other
4.5
12.1
7.5
6.0
9.5
3.5
11.9
13.8
2.0
8.9
11.7
TOTAL
100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
-100.0
100.0
Variation
-11.9
-2.0
2.9
1.6
-9.4
0.7
-2.1
4.1
2.7
-6.7
6.7
--
Variation
6.7
-4.3
2.7
2.2
7.3
0.6
-4.2
-6.0
-9.6
-2.4
2.4
--
Variation
-4.5
1.0
-3.5
1.6
-5.4
3.4
1.6
-2.3
2.6
-2.8
2.8
--
From this licence plate information, the same three contemporary trade areas defined for the
2007 report are deemed to remain appropriate, based on retail penetration:
•
The Primary Trade Area (PTA), Zone 1, Barrhaven/South Nepean, south of Fallowfield;
•
Secondary Trade Area North, Zone 2, where there is less commercial penetration from
the Barrhaven stores, Fallowfield north to Baseline, Merivale in the east to Bells Corners
in the west. Several competing commercial opportunities here limit the market share of
Barrhaven stores and services; and,
- 15 -
•
Secondary Trade Area South and West, Zone 3, south of Cambrian Road to Century
Road East, including Manotick, and west to Eagleson Road, and not including
Richmond.
A fourth and future trade zone was also delimited, Zone 4, east of the Rideau River. This trade
zone, consisting of the Riverside South community, will influence shopping patters to Barrhaven
when the future bridge linking Strandherd Drive to Earl Armstrong Road is built. While not
relevant to the contemporary 2009 commercial scene (only 2.0% of the collected licence plates
came from this zone), due to its proximity and changing accessibility, Zone 4 is likely to become
an important tributary area to Barrhaven commerce in the near future. Indeed, a small increase
in the proportion of plates from 0.4% in 2006 suggests movement in this direction. In the
calculations in a subsequent section, Zone 4 is treated as a Tertiary Trade Area and considered
“inflow” to the 2009 calculations. However, for the 2014 and 2019 time horizons, the Rideau
River is assumed to be bridged and Zone 4 becomes an integral part of the Barrhaven
commerce as a Secondary Trade Area (STA East). For purposes of this study, the nearby
Zone 4 (today TTA, future STA East) is delimited by the river, Leitrim Road, Bowesville Road
and Rideau Road.
3.2
Demographic Characteristics
a)
The estimated 2009 population of the delineated study area is 131,800. The PTA
population is estimated at 64,200 persons. The population of Zones 2 (to the north) and
3 (to the south and west) total another 57,200 persons (Table 3.3).
TABLE 3.3
ESTIMATED STUDY AREA
POPULATION, 2009
Market Zones
Population
Zone 1 (PTA)
64,200
Zone 2 (STA N)
51,300
Zone 3 (STA S & W)
5,900
Zone 4 (TTA)
10,400
TOTAL
131,800
b)
Exhibit 2 (next page and appended on Page 31) shows the study area context and the
commercial zones. Of particular importance is the pink shading, showing the zoned and
designated lands where the future residential subdivisions will be located. Strong
population growth can be expected in Zone 1 (PTA), Zone 4 (STA East) and to some
lesser extent in Zone 3 (STA South).
- 16 -
c)
Over the 2001 to 2006 Census period, population growth was strong in the PTA,
Barrhaven/South Nepean, and in the TTA Zone 4 (Table 3.4).
TABLE 3.4
STUDY AREA POPULATION, 2001 and 2006
Population
Variation
Market Zones
2001
2006
No.
Pct
Zone 1 (PTA)
37,932
55,558
17,626
46.5%
Zone 2 (STA N)
52,882
50,301
-2,581
-4.9%
Zone 3 (STA S & W)
5,206
5,540
334
6.4%
Zone 4 (TTA)
3,687
6,159
2,472
67.0%
TOTAL
99,707 117,558
17,851
17.9%
d)
The entire study area population is currently estimated at 131,800, with the PTA
population currently estimated at 64,200 (Table 3.5, next page). Since 1996, population
has more than doubled in the Barrhaven PTA, creating a threshold for new regionallyoriented retailing.
e)
Over the next decade, 2009 to 2019, very strong population growth is anticipated in the
PTA, of near 50%, or 30,600 persons. Zone 2 could reach a population plateau as is
common with inner city zones. Zone 3 is expected to grow modestly. Zone 4 could
receive a major increment of some 17,700 new residents, an increase of 170% over
current levels.
- 17 -
While commercial districts are planned for Zone 4, its nearness to the developed
retailing of Barrhaven will divert significant market shares to South Nepean commerce,
once the bridge across the Rideau is completed. Whereas the Barrhaven/South Nepean
commerce directly addresses a market of some 121,400 people in Zones 1, 2 and 3,
within a decade with the bridge, the commerce will be serving almost 200,000 persons,
mostly with a relatively high income level. With a local market of this size, virtually any
common commercial facility is supportable. Indeed, today Barrhaven addresses a
market similar in population to Kanata, and in the near future, the Barrhaven market
(with the bridge over the Rideau River in place) will be significantly larger than that
addressed by Kanata commerce.
TABLE 3.5
STUDY AREA POPULATION PROJECTIONS
2009 to 2019
EstiProjected
mated
Market Zones
2014
2019
2009
Zone 1 (PTA)
64,200
79,500
94,800
Zone 2 (STA N)
51,300
51,000
51,000
Zone 3 (STA S & W)
5,900
6,500
7,100
Zone 4 (TTA/STA E)
10,400
17,100
28,100
TOTAL
131,800
154,100
181,000
f)
The study area residents are similar in age to the Ottawa Census Metropolitan Area
(CMA) as a whole (the key 20 to 44 year old demographic, 36.9% in Zones 1 through 4,
compared to 36.5% for the CMA as a whole). Characteristic of suburban residential
areas, there is a slightly higher proportion of younger people in the demographic mix
(27.6% compared to 24.7%) and slightly fewer seniors (Exhibit 3, appended on Page
33).
g)
Typical of a suburban market, the average household size is larger than the CMA as a
whole, 2.9 compared to the urban average of 2.5 persons per household. The largest
household sizes of 3.1 persons per household register in the PTA (Exhibit 3, appended
on Page 33).
h)
The study area is characterized by low-rise housing (93.5% of the mix) compared to the
overall CMA average of 67.6%. The highest proportion of low-rise housing currently
occurs in Zone 4 (100%) closely followed by Zone 1 (PTA) at 97.7%, Zone 3 (STA S and
E) at 98.5% and then Zone 2 (STA N) at 88.1% (Exhibit 3, appended on Page 33).
i)
Most importantly, the study area market is typified by relatively affluent households,
registering a per capita income 16% higher than the Provincial average. This income
level varies, with the average for Zone 1 (PTA) being 15% above the Provincial figure, in
Zone 2 (STA N) 12% above, in Zone 3 (STA S & W) 49% above, and in the newer
subdivisions in Zone 4 (future STA E), 39% above. All four zones are above the City of
Ottawa average income level. We expect that the overall income levels have increased
over the 2006 Census data, however, the relative differences among the zones are likely
unchanged.
- 18 -
4.0
Commercial Overview
The commercial structure of Barrhaven has been revolutionized over the past decade. In the
early years of the community’s development, commercial was focussed along Fallowfield and
northern Greenbank. For example, Barrhaven Mall opened in 1978 as the sole enclosed mall in
the community. It was anchored by a 26,000 square foot Loblaws. In 2006, 28 years later, it
was “de-malled”. Now, the centre of commerce is found along the southerly arterial, Strandherd
Road. Abutting Strandherd today is three-quarters (77%) of the Barrhaven commercial space,
while the Fallowfield/Greenbank North has a minor 13% (Table 4.1)
TABLE 4.1
COMMERCIAL INVENTORY, BARRHAVEN, 2009: BY COMMERCIAL AREA
Establishments
Node
Total Space
Ref.
Commercial Area Description
Count
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
1 Cedarview
31
10.5
57,670
3.8
2 Greenbank/Fallowfield
39
13.2
113,550
7.6
3 Barrhaven Town Centre/Jockvale
35
11.9
274,960
18.3
4 Rio Can Marketplace
69
23.4
593,180
39.5
5 Greenbank/Strandherd
19
6.4
138,230
9.2
6 Barrhaven Crossing
15
5.1
60,050
4.0
7 Woodroffe/Fallowfield
14
4.7
27,460
1.8
8 Woodroffe/Longfields
16
5.4
26,590
1.8
9 Other Woodroffe
13
4.4
58,800
3.9
10 Strandherd Crossing
28
9.5
120,940
8.1
11 Strandherd Plaza
16
5.4
28,960
1.9
Total
295 100.0 1,500,390 100.0
Two-fifths of the contemporary inventory (39.5%) is located in Rio Can Marketplace, anchored
by Loblaws 139,000 square feet, Wal-Mart 129,500 square feet, Cineplex Odeon 26,900 square
feet, Winners 26,200 square feet, Staples/Business Depot 25,900 square feet, Chapters/Indigo
19,700 square feet and Sport Chek 15,000 square feet.
A commercial inventory of all stores and services in Barrhaven compiled for the purposes of this
report suggests that there is a total of 1.5 million square feet of commercial space in 295 outlets
in Zone 1, the PTA (Tables 4.1 and 4.2). Of this space, 67.1% or 1.01 million square feet is
retail space (a relatively high proportion, largely due to the relatively recent arrival of new “big
box” stores and malls into the community), 27.5% or 412,600 square feet is service space and
the vacancy rate is currently estimated at 5.4% (±81,000 square feet). Approximately one-third
(30,500 square feet) of the vacancy consists of a former supermarket.
Exhibit 4 (next page and appended on Page 35) shows a magnified view of the Barrhaven
Community and references to the commercial zones.
- 19 -
TABLE 4.2
COMMERCIAL INVENTORY, BARRHAVEN, 2009: BY OUTLET TYPE
Establishments
Space
Outlet Type
Count
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
Food Stores
14
4.7
322,570
21.5
8
2.7
60,300
4.0
2
0.7
16,200
1.1
5
1.7
219,200
14.6
12
4.1
79,960
5.3
8
2.7
16,000
1.1
28
9.5
129,570
8.6
Sub-Total GAFO
53
18.0
444,730
29.6
3
1.0
137,000
9.1
Automotive
8
2.7
25,600
1.7
Sub-Total Retail
88
29.8
1,006,400
67.1
54
18.3
114,100
7.6
All Other Services
130
44.1
298,520
19.9
Sub-Total Services
184
62.4
412,620
27.5
Sub-Total Occupied
272
92.2
1,419,020
94.6
Vacant
23
7.8
81,370
5.4
TOTAL
295
100.0
1,500,390
100.0
Since 2006, the commercial inventory has increased by 69,610 square feet, or 5%. There
are now 23 additional outlets (Table 4.3). All of the growth has been in services (73,660
square feet) as retail space has declined slightly (by 4,900 square feet). Vacant space is up
- 20 -
by 11,260 square feet. However, the current vacancy rate of 5.4% is only 0.5 percentage
point higher than it was in 2006.
TABLE 4.3
2006
2009
Store Count
Total Space
Store Count
Total Space
Outlet Type
No.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
No.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
Food Stores
21
7.7
334,770 23.4
14
4.7 322,570 21.5
8
2.9
63,380
4.4
8
2.7
60,300
4.0
2
0.7
16,200
1.1
2
0.7
16,200
1.1
5
1.8
218,000 15.2
5
1.7 219,200 14.6
11
4.0
78,460
5.5
12
4.1
79,960
5.3
11
4.0
23,320
1.6
8
2.7
16,000
1.1
26
9.6
129,850
9.1
28
9.5 129,570
8.6
Sub-Total GAFO
53 19.5
449,630 31.4
53 18.0 444,730 29.6
3
1.1
137,000
9.6
3
1.0 137,000
9.1
Automotive
8
2.9
20,730
1.4
8
2.7
25,600
1.7
Sub-Total Retail
95 34.9 1,021,710 71.4
88 29.8 1,006,400 67.1
49 18.0
101,340
7.1
54 18.3 114,100
7.6
All Other Services
112 41.2
237,620 16.6
130 44.1 298,520 19.9
Sub-Total Services
161 59.2
338,960 23.7
184 62.4 412,620 27.5
Sub-Total Occupied
256 94.1 1,360,670 95.1
272 92.2 1,419,020 94.6
Vacant
16
5.9
70,110
4.9
23
7.8
81,370
5.4
TOTAL
272 100.0 1,430,780 100.0
295 100.0 1,500,390 100.0
Variation,
2006-2009
No.
Sq. Ft.
-7
-12,200
--3,080
---1,200
1
1,500
-3
-7,320
2
-280
--4,900
---4,870
-7
-15,310
5
12,760
18
60,900
23
73,660
16
58,350
7
11,260
23
69,610
In 1996, Barrhaven had 244,500 square feet of commercial space whereas today it has 1.5
million square feet (Table 4.4), an increase of about 1.3 million square feet (an average addition
of 97,000 square feet per year). High productivities and major gaps in the full array of stores
and services, however, characterize the current Barrhaven commercial profile, which indicates
(even in the absence of population growth) further expansion potentials.
TABLE 4.4
Outlet Type
Food Stores
Sub-Total GAFO
Automotive
Sub-Total Retail
All Other Services
Sub-Total Services
Sub-Total Occupied
Vacant
TOTAL
Variation,
1996
2006
2009
1996-2006
Sq. Ft. Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
Sq. Ft.
Pct
131,600 53.8 334,770 23.4 322,570 21.5 203,170
154.4
12,300
5.0
63,380
4.4
60,300
4.0
51,080
415.3
6,600
2.7
16,200
1.1
16,200
1.1
9,600
145.5
-- - 218,000 15.2 219,200 14.6 218,000
-600
0.2
78,460
5.5
79,960
5.3
77,860 12,976.7
2,600
1.1
23,320
1.6
16,000
1.1
20,720
796.9
19,100
7.8 129,850
9.1 129,570
8.6 110,750
579.8
22,300
9.1 449,630 31.4 444,730 29.6 427,330
1,916.3
-- - 137,000
9.6 137,000
9.1 137,000
-1,900
0.8
20,730
1.4
25,600
1.7
18,830
991.1
174,700 71.5 1,021,710 71.4 1,006,400 67.1 847,010
484.8
22,000
9.0 101,340
7.1 114,100
7.6
79,340
360.6
41,100 16.8 237,620 16.6 298,520 19.9 196,520
478.2
63,100 25.8 338,960 23.7 412,620 27.5 275,860
437.2
237,800 97.3 1,360,670 95.1 1,419,020 94.6 1,122,870
472.2
6,700
2.7
70,110
4.9
81,370
5.4
63,410
946.4
244,500 100.0 1,430,780 100.0 1,500,390 100.0 1,186,280
485.2
Variation,
2006-2009
Sq. Ft. Pct
-12,200 -3.6
-3,080 -4.9
--1,200
0.6
1,500
1.9
-7,320 -31.4
-280 -0.2
-4,900 -1.1
--4,870 23.5
-15,310 -1.5
12,760 12.6
60,900 25.6
73,660 21.7
58,350
4.3
11,260 16.1
69,610
4.9
A brief explanation of the Retail Sector categories is warranted:
•
Food stores include supermarkets, jug milk stores and specialty food stores (the NAICS
codes of the inventory are shown in Appendix I, Table I.2). Supermarkets in Barrhaven
total 302,000 square feet. The detailed inventory is included in Appendix II.
- 21 -
•
Pharmacies and Personal Care Stores include all drug stores and personal care stores
such as opticians and health supplements.
•
Beer, wine and liquor stores include government and private outlets.
•
GAFO, an acronym for General Merchandise, Apparel stores, Furniture/Furnishings
stores and Other stores, is a retail grouping that is rapidly replacing the historic grouping
of DSTM, Department Store Type Merchandise (DSTM is essentially GAFO plus
Pharmacies less Hardware). In the General Merchandise category, the stores include
department stores, home and auto supply stores (Canadian Tire), membership
warehouse clubs (Costco and Sam’s Club), which comprise the three major categories,
along with smaller establishments such as dollar stores. A full listing of the store types
in each category is included in Appendix I, Table I.2.
•
Building and Outdoor Home Supplies stores, include home improvement centres like
Home Depot, as well as hardware stores, such as Home Hardware.
•
Services can broadly be described as establishments providing personal, professional,
financial, legal, real estate, management, health care and administrative services. In the
text, we separate restaurants for particular attention.
•
Vacant refers to unoccupied space that could be suitable for a wide range of retail or
service establishments.
The following additional commentary is offered in relation to the changes in the commercial
retail structure in Barrhaven since the 2007 report:
a)
It was stated in the 2007 report that Barrhaven possesses a diversified local commercial
base. However, due to the recent arrival of big box stores at that time, it had, compared
to other municipalities, a deficit of services. The ratio of occupied retail to services was
75:25, while in an affluent (and larger) municipality such as Markham the ratio was
60:40. As described earlier, there has been an increase in the number of service outlets
in Barrhaven. This has improved the ratio of retail to service outlets to 71:29 (Table 4.5).
TABLE 4.5
PER CAPITA SPACE PROVISION, BARRHAVEN: 2006 and 2009
Description
2006
2009
Difference
DSTM (GAFO + Pharmacies)
8.6
7.9
-0.7
Food Stores
5.6
5.0
-0.6
Building and Home Supplies
2.3
2.1
-0.1
Automotive
0.3
0.4
0.1
All Other Retail (includes Liquor)
0.3
0.9
0.7
Retail Space
17.0
16.4
-0.7
Restaurants
1.7
1.8
0.1
All Other Services
4.0
4.6
0.7
Service Space
5.6
6.4
0.8
Occupied Commercial Space
22.7
22.1
-0.6
Ratio of Retail to Service Outlets
75:25
71:29
b)
There continues to be an absence of automotive sales and service. There remains only
25,600 square feet of automotive retailing in Barrhaven, a marginal increase of 4,900
square feet over the 2006 amount of 20,700 square feet. Most of the automotive sales
and service continues to occur elsewhere.
- 22 -
c)
The commercial inventory of April, 2009 counted 295 commercial establishments in
Barrhaven (Table 4.2), of which 23 were vacant. The largest number of establishments
were sit-down and fast food restaurants (54), followed by those selling GAFO (53), and
food stores (14). The GAFO stores account for 445,000 square feet of commercial
space (due to the large component of big boxes), the restaurants comprise 114,000
square feet and the food stores 323,000 square feet.
In total, retail space represents 1.01 million square feet of commercial space. The
remainder is services (413,000 square feet) and vacancy (81,400 square feet).
d)
The significant majority of commercial space is on the major arterials, Strandherd (77%)
followed by Greenbank, Woodroffe and Fallowfield. These arterials provide good access
and good visibility to the stores and services.
e)
The planned arrival of the Bus Rapid Transit project will construct two Park and Ride
Stations along Greenbank Road (at Strandherd Drive and Jockvale Road) and another
at Woodroffe Avenue near Strandherd Plaza. The construction of this transitway may
encourage a slight increase of public transit customers (a minor benefit for some
retailers, but not for supermarkets, for few people carry heavy food purchases on public
transit). However, the new road link to Zone 4 across the Rideau River will provide easy
access for these consumers to all types of stores and services in Barrhaven. The
transitway may also spur the construction of needed office and service space to serve
Barrhaven and surrounding areas.
Previous proposals for the South Nepean Activity Urban Centre stressed the need for a greatly
increased office space component. The downtown proposal by Chapman Mills Developments,
for instance, showed a detailed grid of small blocks, many of which had high-density offices.
However, the popularity of big box retail centres has not encouraged or facilitated the provision
of the needed office and service component in Barrhaven. The arrival of rapid transit may be
the catalyst for an expanded office segment, for which there continues to be a clear need
(deficit).
- 23 -
5.0
Future Commercial Space
Two methods have been used to update the estimates of future space requirements in
Barrhaven for the next decade: the expenditure approach, when market shares, per capita
expenditures and inflow data are available (that is, for the majority of the commercial segments);
and the per capita support approach, when the data is more sketchy and where analogies from
other markets provide ample support for projecting in terms of local Barrhaven needs.
5.1
The Expenditure Approach
Total retail sales for Ontario for 2008 based on Statistics Canada’s Retail Trade publication are
estimated at approximately $151 billion (Table 5.1). Using a July 1, 2008 population estimate
for the Province of Ontario of 12.929 million, the resulting per capita expenditure for all the trade
groups reported is $11,688.
TABLE 5.1
ONTARIO RETAIL SALES BY TRADE GROUP, 2008
Store Category
$ Millions
New car dealers
$25,244
Used and recreational motor vehicle and parts dealers
$6,369
Gasoline stations
$18,008
Furniture stores
$3,606
Home furnishings stores
$2,301
Computer and software stores
$436
Home electronics and appliance stores
$4,786
Home centres and hardware stores
$6,996
Specialized building materials and garden stores
$1,763
Supermarkets
$23,143
Convenience and specialty food stores
$3,318
Beer, wine and liquor stores
$6,853
Pharmacies and personal care stores
$11,690
Clothing stores
$7,243
Shoe, clothing accessories and jewellery stores
$2,277
General merchandise stores
$19,514
Sporting goods, hobby, music and book stores
$3,687
Miscellaneous store retailers
$4,142
TOTAL, ALL STORES
$151,376
Per Capita
$1,952
$493
$1,393
$279
$178
$34
$370
$541
$136
$1,790
$257
$530
$904
$560
$176
$1,509
$285
$320
$11,823
Source: Statistics Canada, Retail Trade (63-005-XIE).
Each trade zone has a different income level (Exhibit 4). A calculation of the elasticity of
expenditure by retail category has been made (based on the Statistics Canada Family
Expenditure Survey). The elasticity equations are shown in Table 5.2. For each trade zone,
therefore, the per capita expenditures differ among the categories.
- 24 -
TABLE 5.2
ESTIMATE OF PER CAPITA SPENDING BY COMMODITY AND BY MARKET ZONE, 2005-2019
SUPERMARKET
HOME AND AUTO SUPPLY
Elasticity Equation 86.2+0.1390 times income index
Inflation Factor
0.5% per annum to 2014
Inflation Factor
1% per annum to 2014
1% per annum 2015-19
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 Zone 4
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
139.2
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
Elasticity factor
102.1
101.7
106.9
105.5
Elasticity factor
108.6
106.2
135.8
2008 $1,790
2008 $279
2009 $1,799 $1,837 $1,830 $1,923 $1,899
2009 $282
$303
$296
$379
2014
$1,883 $1,876 $1,972 $1,947
2014
$318
$311
$398
2019
$1,979 $1,972 $2,073 $2,046
2019
$351
$343
$439
DEPARTMENT STORE
HOME IMPROVEMENT STORE
Elasticity Equation 32.7 + 0.6703 times income index
Inflation Factor
Inflation Factor
0% 2008-09
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
139.2
Ratio Ont
114.6
111.6
148.7
Elasticity factor
119.8
117.5
145.8
138.5
Elasticity factor
107.8
105.4
134.7
2008
$797
2008 $677
2009
$805
$965
$946 $1,173 $1,115
2009 $677
$730
$714
$912
2014
$1,014
$994 $1,233 $1,172
2014
$767
$750
$959
2019
$1,120 $1,097 $1,361 $1,294
2019
$847
$828 $1,059
SPECIALTY GAFO
LIQUOR, BEER AND WINE STORES
Inflation Factor
0% 2008-09
Inflation Factor 0.5% 2008-09
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
139.2
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
Elasticity factor
110.5
108.3
135.1
128.3
Elasticity factor
107.8
106.2
125.1
2008 $2,326
2008 $530
2009 $2,326 $2,570 $2,520 $3,143 $2,983
2009 $533
$574
$566
$666
2014
$2,701 $2,649 $3,303 $3,135
2014
$603
$595
$700
2019
$2,982 $2,925 $3,647 $3,461
2019
$666
$657
$773
PHARMACIES
PERSONAL SERVICES
Inflation Factor
Inflation Factor
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
139.2
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
Elasticity factor
104.1
103.2
114.4
111.5
Elasticity factor
104.3
103.0
118.7
2008
$904
2005 $584
2009
$922
$960
$951 $1,055 $1,028
2009 $620
$646
$638
$736
2014
$1,060 $1,050 $1,165 $1,135
2014
$679
$671
$774
2019
$1,290 $1,277 $1,417 $1,381
2019
$750
$741
$855
RESTAURANT
Inflation Factor
Ratio Ontario
114.6
111.6
148.7
139.2
Elasticity factor
104.1
103.2
114.4
111.5
2006 $1,022
2009 $1,053 $1,096 $1,086 $1,205 $1,174
2014
$1,152 $1,141 $1,266 $1,234
2019
$1,272 $1,260 $1,398 $1,362
Sources: Family Expenditure Survey, Table A.5 and CRG Consulting.
Zone 4
139.2
128.2
$358
$376
$415
Zone 4
139.2
127.2
$861
$905
$999
Zone 4
139.2
120.3
$641
$674
$744
Zone 4
139.2
114.7
$711
$747
$825
Retail sales continue go grow, albeit to a lesser extent recently due to the current economic
recession. An assumption has been made about the change in sales between 2008 and the
figures utilized for the contemporary 2009 market: real growth of 0.5% per year for food stores,
- 25 -
and 0% to 1% for all other commodities (except 2% for pharmacies, whose sales have been
annually growing by more favourable significant amounts).
Detailed expenditure calculations are completed in Appendix I for Supermarkets (I.3 to I.5);
Pharmacies (I.6); Beer, Wine and Liquor (I.7); Department Stores (I.8); Home and Auto Supply
(I.9); Specialty GAFO (I.10, that is, GAFO without the general merchandise, in reality “AFO”);
Home Improvement Stores (I.11); Restaurants (I.12); and Personal Services (I.13).
Pharmacy Space
An example of the methodology for calculating future space support levels is illustrated here
from the pharmacy sector. All the other commercial groupings are dealt with in a similar manner
in the appendix.
TABLE 5.3
ESTIMATED SALES, PHARMACIES, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014 and 2019
Per
Capita
Pharmacy
Stores
$960
$951
$1,055
$1,028
$966
Elsewhere
Pharmacy
Per Pharmacy
Stores
Capita
Stores
Potential
Pharmacy Potential
$ Millions 2014 Population
Stores $ Millions
$61.632 Zone 1
79,500
$1,060 $84.270
$48.786 Zone 2
51,000
$1,050 $53.550
$6.225 Zone 3
6,500
$1,165
$7.573
$10.691 Zone 4
17,100
$1,135 $19.409
$127.334
154,100
$1,069 $164.801
Total
Share
CONTEMPORARY BARRHAVEN SHARE, PERCENT
Zone 1 Barrhaven/S. Nepean
91.7%
8.3%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
7.2%
92.8%
Zone 3 S. & W. of Barrhaven
27.6%
72.4%
Zone 4 East of Rideau River
n/a
n/a
ESTIMATED FUTURE SHARE, PERCENT
100.0% Zone 1
92.0%
100.0% Zone 2
8.0%
100.0% Zone 3
30.0%
n/a Zone 4
25.0%
2009
Population
Zone 1 Barrhaven/S. Nepean
64,200
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
51,300
5,900
10,400
Total 131,800
Barrhaven
2019
Population
Zone 1
94,800
51,000
Potential Zone 2
Increase Zone 3
7,100
2009 Zone 4
28,100
29%
181,000
Pharmacy
Stores
Potential
$ Millions
$1,290 $122.292
$1,277 $65.127
$1,417 $10.061
$1,381 $38.806
$1,305 $236.286
Share
Potential
Increase
2009
86%
Zone 1
92.0%
Zone 2
8.0%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
EST. CONTEMPORARY EXPENDITURES IN BARRHAVEN
ESTIMATED FUTURE EXPENDITURES IN BARRHAVEN ESTIMATED FUTURE EXPENDITURES IN BARRHAVEN
Zone 1 Barrhaven/S. Nepean $56.517
$5.115 $61.632 Zone 1
$77.528
Zone 1
$112.509
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
$3.513 $45.274 $48.786 Zone 2
$4.284
Zone 2
$5.210
$1.718
$4.507
$6.225 Zone 3
$2.272
Share Zone 3
$3.018
Share
n/a
n/a
n/a Zone 4
$4.852
Exp. Zone 4
$9.702
Exp.
54% Total Expenditures $130.439
55%
Total Expenditures, $ M $61.747 $54.896 $116.643 Total Expenditures $88.936
Inflow, Percent
25.0%
Inflow, $ Millions $20.582
Total Estimated Sales
Square Feet
Estimated Sales Per S. F.
$82.329
52,300
$1,574
SUPPORTABLE SQUARE FOOTAGE
Productivity, psf
$750
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
108,300
109,800
111,300
$800
$850
101,600
102,900
104,300
95,600
96,900
98,200
Probable Increase from current, Square Feet
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
56,000
57,500
59,000
49,300
50,600
52,000
Productivity, psf
$800
$850
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
146,300
148,200
150,200
$900
$950
137,700 130,000 123,200
139,500 131,800 124,800
141,400 133,500 126,500
Probable Increase from 2009, Square Feet
43,300
44,600
45,900
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
94,000
95,900
97,900
Productivity, psf
$800
$850
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
214,500
217,400
220,300
$900
201,900 190,700 180,700
204,600 193,200 183,100
207,400 195,900 185,500
85,400 77,700 70,900
87,200 79,500 72,500
89,100 81,200 74,200
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
162,200
165,100
168,000
149,600 138,400 128,400
152,300 140,900 130,800
155,100 143,600 133,200
targeted
The top left box of Table 5.3 shows by Zone the population, estimated pharmacy expenditure
per capita and the product of those two columns, the pharmacy store potential expenditure in
2009 of some $127.3 million.
The centre left box indicates the market shares captured by the Barrhaven pharmacy stores
from the extensive household expenditure survey conducted for the 2007 study. From Zone 1
residents to Barrhaven pharmacies, a share of 91.7% was obtained. The shares from Zone 2
and Zone 3 were 7.2% and 27.6%, respectively. Multiplying these shares against the pharmacy
- 26 -
$950
potential expenditures results in an expenditure potential in Zone 1 for pharmacies of $61.7
million. Zone 4 is not considered a factor as the bridge across the Rideau River has not yet
been constructed.
The inflow from outside the three study area zones was shown in the licence plate data to be
approximately 25% for pharmacies. A 25% inflow on a $61.7 million expenditure results in an
inflow calculation from all other areas, including outside the City of Ottawa, of some $20.6
million, for a total estimated sales (that is, local expenditure plus inflow) in 2009 of $82.3 million.
The Barrhaven pharmacy and personal care sector was measured at 52,300 square feet in April
2009. This measurement returns a productivity of sales per square foot of some $1,574 per
square foot (i.e., estimated $82.3 million in sales divided by a measured 52,300 square feet).
This is a substantial sales productivity (similar to most of the other commercial sectors studied
for 2009, above “industry averages”).
Based on a range of assumed sales productivities per square foot and a range of inflow factors,
a range of supportable square footage is shown, from a low of 95,600 square feet to a high of
111,300 square feet (that is, from lower inflow and high productivity, to higher inflow and lower
productivity). Compared to the current provision of 52,300 square feet, these estimates
represent a current opportunity for increasing the current provision by approximately 50,000
square feet, based on a sales productivity closer to industry averages and at a consistent 25%
inflow. This “targeted” amount represents a support level for 102,900 square feet, or a net
increase of support for 50,600 square feet.
The top middle box addresses the market of 2014, five years in the future. Population has
increased significantly in most of the four zones. As well, per capita expenditures have
increased in real terms (real 2008 dollars have been used throughout this study). We have
assumed that the bridge across the Rideau River is open by 2014. This will bring Zone 4 (now
STA East) into the direct influence of Barrhaven retailing.
The potential expenditure in pharmacies and personal care stores in 2014 is calculated at
$164.8 million, a 29% increase (due to population and expenditure growth). We have assumed
relatively no share increase from Zones 1 and 2, a small increase from the additional stores
from Zone 3 and a 25% share (lower than that of Zone 3) for Zone 4, STA East.
The result of these assumptions and calculations is a potential expenditure in Barrhaven stores
from the four market components of $88.9 million, a 29% increase since 2009.
Based on a range of assumed sales productivities per square foot and a range of inflow factors,
a range of supportable square footage is shown, from a low of 123,200 square feet to a high of
150,200 square feet (that is, from lower inflow and high productivity, to higher inflow and lower
productivity). Compared to the current provision of 52,300 square feet, these estimates
represent a possible tripling of the current provision to within the next five years.
Our best judgement is a future sales productivity closer to industry averages and at a consistent
25% inflow. This “targeted” amount represents a support level for 139,500 square feet, or a net
increase of support for 87,200 square feet.
The right hand columns repeat the analysis for the 2019 market. Our best judgement is an
increase in pharmacy support of some 140,900 square feet over the 2009 to 2019 period.
- 27 -
5.1.1
Expenditure Analysis
The above detailed analysis of the pharmacy market is repeated in the Appendix for all the
identified expenditure groups, with modifications depending on the results of the household
interview survey conducted for the 2007 report (how consumers were behaving) and on the
results of the licence plate surveys in the various locations.
The analysis of Appendix I is summarized in Table 5.4.
TABLE 5.4
TARGETED FUTURE COMMERCIAL SUPPORT, SQUARE FEET
CALCULATED ON THE BASIS OF EXPENDITURES
Currently
(2009)
By 2014
By 2019
Supportable Square Footage:
Supermarkets
330,300
408,000
497,800
Pharmacies
102,900
139,500
193,200
Beer, Wine and Liquor
16,000
20,800
25,600
Department Stores
129,500
220,900
265,000
Home and Auto Supply
88,300
104,800
122,200
Specialty GAFO
224,400
392,800
534,700
Home Improvement
130,000
169,600
200,600
Restaurants
114,100
155,000
191,100
Personal Services
43,500
71,900
108,200
Sub-total, Supportable Square Footage
1,179,000
1,683,300
2,138,400
Probable Increase from current Square Feet:
Supermarkets
28,300
106,000
195,800
Pharmacies
50,600
87,200
140,900
4,600
9,400
Department Stores
91,400
135,500
18,500
35,000
52,400
Specialty GAFO
167,270
309,170
Home Improvement
39,600
70,600
Restaurants
40,900
77,000
Personal Services
2,700
31,100
67,400
Sub-total, Probable Increase
100,100
603,070
1,058,170
Sources
I.3-5
I.6, 5.3
I.7
I.8
I.9
I.10
I.11
I.12
I.13
I.3-5
I.6, 5.3
I.7
I.8
I.9
I.10
I.11
I.12
I.13
The rapid population growth and the opening of Zone 4 residents to Barrhaven stores and
services by means of the Rideau River bridge represents an increase of retail and service space
of some 600,000 square feet in the identified categories by 2014, and some 1.1 million square
feet by 2019. This compares with the growth of commercial space in Barrhaven over the past
13 years of some 1.3 million square feet.
5.2
The Per Capita Level of Provision Approach
For commodities and services where the productivity factors are not so available, a per capita
approach has been utilized. That is, given a future population in Barrhaven of 79,500 people in
2014 and some 94,800 people in 2019, what would analogous communities suggest should be
a typical level of retail or service support?
The space survey showed only 25,600 square feet of automotive space in Barrhaven (all of
which were gas stations, some with convenience components and a single automobile
dealership). The household interview survey conducted for the 2007 report indicated a very low
share of local automobile service and practically no new car sales. There is consequently a
significant deficit (and thus a significant outflow of expenditure) in the automotive sector. It is
- 28 -
not unusual to average some 7.5 square feet of auto space per capita. Barrhaven currently
registers 0.4 square feet per resident (Table 4.5).
It would not be unreasonable to target for three square feet of automotive per capita by 2014 or
for five square feet per capita within a decade. These assumptions result in the construction of
213,000 square feet of new auto-related space, including auto showrooms and a full range of
auto services by 2014, and some 448,000 new square feet by 2019 (Table 5.5).
TABLE 5.5
TARGETED FUTURE COMMERCIAL SUPPORT, SQUARE FEET
CALCULATED BY SQUARE FOOTAGE PER CAPITA
Currently
(2009)
By 2014
Supportable Square Footage:
Automotive @ 3 and then 5 sf/capita
192,600
238,500
Other Services @ 5 and then 10 sf/capita
321,000
397,500
Sub-total, Supportable Square Footage
513,600
636,000
Probable Increase from current Square Feet:
Automotive @ 3 and then 5 sf/capita
167,000
212,900
Other Services @ 5 and then 10 sf/capita
74,480
150,980
Sub-Total, Probable Increase from current Square Feet
241,480
363,880
GRAND TOTAL, SUPPORTABLE SQUARE FOOTAGE:
Calculated by Expenditures (Table 5.4) 1,179,000
1,683,300
Calculated by Per Capita (Table 5.5)
513,600
636,000
Sub-Total, Grand Total Supportable Square Footage
1,692,600
2,319,300
Effective Square Feet Per Capita
26
By 2019
474,000
948,000
1,422,000
448,400
701,480
1,149,880
2,138,400
1,422,000
3,560,400
29
38
GRAND TOTAL, PROBABLE INCREASE FROM CURRENT SQUARE FEET:
Calculated by Expenditures (Table 5.4)
100,100
603,070
Calculated by Per Capita (Table 5.5)
241,480
363,880
Sub-Total, Grand Total Probable Increase from 2009
341,580
966,950
1,058,170
1,149,880
2,208,050
In the same fashion, there is a considerable deficit of local office space and other services. If
appropriate structures were built (especially near rapid transit), Barrhaven could have an
average provision of five square feet per capita by 2014 (excluding the personal services
calculated above), and a level of ten square feet per capita by 2019.
These assumptions result in the construction of 151,000 square feet of new local office and
service space by 2014 and up to 701,000 square feet over the 2009 to 2019 decade (Table 5.5).
The type of space envisioned are professional offices, either in a low-rise format or with retail at
the ground level with offices above, designed to accommodate the need for services in this
market. Ancillary to, and as a result of the RCMP relocation to the former JDS campus, nearby
campus-style office development is anticipated. This would be additional to the space warrants
described herein.
- 29 -
Exhibit 1 – Barrhaven Customer Spotting
- 30 -
- 31 -
Exhibit 2 – Barrhaven Study Area Context
- 32 -
- 33 -
Exhibit 3 – Demographic Characteristics
- 34 -
- 35 No.
8,875
1,335
5,965
115
1,190
640
5
240
18,365
Pct.
48.3
7.3
32.5
0.6
6.5
3.5
0.0
1.3
100.0
$89,172
$32,575
Pct.
69.3
5.8
2.3
2.7
1.9
1.7
1.1
1.0
0.7
1.2
11.2
1.2
100.0
No.
33,835
2,845
1,115
1,295
920
840
530
475
330
580
5,470
565
48,800
Pct.
86.3
4.5
0.2
1.5
0.2
5.5
1.8
100.0
Pct.
27.3
25.8
18.1
16.0
12.8
100.0
No.
1,780
5
85
10
20
1,900
Pct.
93.7
0.3
4.5
0.5
1.1
100.0
$126,588
$43,415
No.
4,775
250
10
85
10
305
100
5,535
No.
1,500
1,420
995
880
705
5,500
1,900
2.9
18,375
2.7
Pct.
22.9
33.5
15.9
12.4
15.3
100.0
5,308
5,206
5,540
334
6.4%
5,900
6,500
7,100
52,891
52,882
50,301
(2,581)
(4.9%)
51,300
51,000
51,000
No.
11,430
16,670
7,910
6,180
7,640
49,830
Zone 3
Zone 2
Source: CRG Consulting (613-596-2910), based on 2006 Statistics Canada Census Data and information published by the City of Ottawa.
Demographic Variable
Zone 1
POPULATION (estimates for 2009, 2014 and 2019 include an adjustment for undercount)
Total, 1996
29,835
Total, 2001
37,932
Total, 2006
55,558
Numeric Variation, 2001 - 2006
17,626
Percent Variation, 2001 - 2006
46.5%
2009 (Estimated)
64,200
2014 (Projected)
79,500
2019 (Projected)
94,800
HOUSEHOLDS
Occupied Private Dwellings, 2006
17,990
Occupants/Household
3.1
AGE
Age Group (2006)
No.
Pct.
0 - 19
17,525
31.5
20 - 44
22,165
39.8
45 - 54
8,280
14.9
55 - 64
4,415
7.9
65 & over
3,310
5.9
Total
55,695
100.0
MOTHER TONGUE
Mother Tongue, 2006
No.
Pct.
English
37,550
69.0
French
3,080
5.7
Chinese, n.o.s.
1,515
2.8
Italian
710
1.3
Arabic
1,090
2.0
Spanish
585
1.1
Mandarin
745
1.4
Cantonese
710
1.3
Vietnamese
885
1.6
Russian
350
0.6
Other
6,325
11.6
Multiple responses
895
1.6
Total
54,440
100.0
INCOME
$103,330
Average Household, 2005
$33,459
Per Capita, 2005
TYPE OF HOUSING
Unit Type, 2006
No.
Pct.
Single detached house
10,320
57.4
Semi-detached house
1,495
8.3
Row house
5,765
32.0
Apartment, duplex
35
0.2
Apartment building, five or more storeys
Apartment building, less than five storeys
370
2.1
Other single attached house
5
0.0
Movable dwelling
Total
17,990
100.0
Pct.
70.3
10.6
2.0
1.6
1.4
1.2
0.7
0.2
1.2
9.2
1.6
100.0
Pct.
30.3
47.8
10.3
6.5
5.2
100.0
No.
1,205
260
680
2,145
Pct.
56.2
12.1
31.7
100.0
$116,442
$40,648
No.
4,260
640
120
95
85
75
45
10
75
560
95
6,060
No.
1,875
2,960
635
405
320
6,195
2,150
2.9
664
3,687
6,159
2,472
67.0%
10,400
17,100
28,100
Zone 4
40,415
2.9
88,698
99,707
117,558
17,851
17.9%
131,800
154,100
181,000
Pct.
70.0
5.9
2.4
1.9
1.8
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.1
0.9
11.0
1.4
100.0
No.
22,180
3,095
12,495
160
1,190
1,010
25
245
40,400
Pct.
54.9
7.7
30.9
0.4
2.9
2.5
0.1
0.6
100.0
$98,613
$33,902
No.
80,420
6,815
2,760
2,185
2,095
1,500
1,275
1,230
1,225
1,015
12,660
1,655
114,835
Pct.
27.6
36.9
15.2
10.1
10.2
100.0
Study Area Total
No.
32,330
43,215
17,820
11,880
11,975
117,220
EXHIBIT 3 - SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS - BARRHAVEN STUDY AREA
No.
204,435
31,500
67,830
13,700
66,865
62,695
960
1,040
449,025
$80,838
$32,101
No.
550,260
360,180
15,235
10,915
28,410
12,710
5,095
5,715
6,535
5,060
96,145
20,810
1,117,070
No.
279,630
412,640
180,870
125,230
132,395
1,130,765
449,032
2.5
998,718
1,067,801
1,130,761
62,960
5.9%
----
Pct.
45.5
7.0
15.1
3.1
14.9
14.0
0.2
0.2
100.0
Pct.
49.3
32.2
1.4
1.0
2.5
1.1
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.5
8.6
1.9
100.0
Pct.
24.7
36.5
16.0
11.1
11.7
100.0
Ottawa-Hull C.M.A.
No.
2,551,760
260,175
358,500
158,755
710,790
490,355
11,725
12,200
4,554,260
$77,967
$29,200
No.
8,230,705
488,815
215,350
282,750
114,725
160,275
75,335
181,825
67,155
78,765
1,957,850
175,330
12,028,880
No.
3,043,910
4,249,290
1,861,375
1,356,510
1,649,170
12,160,255
4,554,252
2.7
10,753,573
11,410,046
12,160,282
750,236
6.6%
----
Pct.
56.0
5.7
7.9
3.5
15.6
10.8
0.3
0.3
100.0
Pct.
68.4
4.1
1.8
2.4
1.0
1.3
0.6
1.5
0.6
0.7
16.3
1.5
100.0
Pct.
25.0
34.9
15.3
11.2
13.6
100.0
Province of Ontario
Exhibit 4 – Barrhaven Neighbourhood
- 36 -
- 37 -
Appendix I – Summary Tables and Calculations
-I-
TABLE I.1
BARRHAVEN INVENTORY OF STORES AND SERVICES
Establishments
Count
Pct
Type of Store or Service
Food Stores
Supermarkets and Grocery Stores
Supermarket
Convenience and Specialty Food Stores
Convenience Store
Bulk Food
Meat
Other Specialty Food - Frozen
Sub-Total, Convenience and Specialty Food Stores
Sub-Total, Food Stores
Pharmacies
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Personal Care Stores
Optician
Health Supplements
Beauty Supplies
Sub-Total, Personal Care Stores
Sub-Total, Pharmacies and Personal Care Stores
Liquor
Beer
Sub-Total, Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores
GAFO - General Merchandise Stores
Department Stores
Discount Department Store
Other General Merchandise Stores
Dollar Store
Variety Store
Sub-Total, Other General Merchandise Stores
Sub-Total, GAFO - General Merchandise Stores
GAFO - Apparel and Accessories Stores
Clothing Stores
Family Clothing
Women's Clothing
Women's Clothing + Houseware
Maternity
Children's Clothing
Sub-Total, Clothing Stores
Shoe Stores
Children's Shoes
Family Shoes
Sub-total, Shoe Stores
Clothing Accessories and Jewellery Stores
Jewellery
Sub-Total, GAFO - Apparel and Accessories Stores
GAFO - Furniture, Home Furnishings and Electronics Stores
Home Electronics and Appliance Stores
Telephone
Consumer Electronics
Sub-Total, Home Electronics and Appliance Stores
Furniture Stores
Mattress
Home Furnishings Stores
Floor Coverings
Housewares
Sub-Total, Home Furnishings Stores
Computer and Software Stores
Computer Hardware and Software
Sub-Total, GAFO - Furniture, Home Furnishings and Electronics Stores
GAFO - Other Retailers
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Music and Book Stores
Books and News
- I.1 -
Total Space
Sq. Ft.
Pct
6
2.0
302,000
20.1
5
1
1
1
8
14
1.7
0.3
0.3
0.3
2.7
4.7
13,780
4,800
590
1,400
20,570
322,570
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.1
1.4
21.5
5
1.7
52,300
3.5
1
1
1
3
8
0.3
0.3
0.3
1.0
2.7
5,100
1,300
1,600
8,000
60,300
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.5
4.0
1
1
2
0.3
0.3
0.7
12,100
4,100
16,200
0.8
0.3
1.1
1
0.3
129,500
8.6
1
0.3
69,800
4.7
2
1
3
5
0.7
0.3
1.0
1.7
15,400
4,500
19,900
219,200
1.0
0.3
1.3
14.6
2
4
1
1
1
9
0.7
1.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
3.1
36,300
26,700
7,500
2,600
1,500
74,600
2.4
1.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5.0
1
1
2
0.3
0.3
0.7
2,500
2,000
4,500
0.2
0.1
0.3
1
12
0.3
4.1
860
79,960
0.1
5.3
3
1
4
1.0
0.3
1.4
3,200
2,200
5,400
0.2
0.1
0.4
1
0.3
5,000
0.3
1
1
2
0.3
0.3
0.7
1,800
2,100
3,900
0.1
0.1
0.3
1
8
0.3
2.7
1,700
16,000
0.1
1.1
3
1.0
22,270
1.5
TABLE I.1
Establishments
Count
Pct
Other Sporting Goods
3
1.0
Sewing, Needlework and Piece Goods
1
0.3
Fitness Equipment
1
0.3
Hobby, Toy and Game
3
1.0
Pre-Recorded Tapes, Compact Discs and Records
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Sporting Goods, Hobby, Music and Book Stores
12
4.1
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Office Supply and Stationery
2
0.7
Pet and Pet Supply
3
1.0
Gift, Novelty and Souvenir
2
0.7
Greeting Cards
1
0.3
Florist
3
1.0
Beer and Wine-Making Supply
1
0.3
Used Clothing/Consignment
4
1.4
Sub-Total, Miscellaneous Store Retailers
16
5.4
Sub-Total, GAFO - Other Retailers
28
9.5
Home Centres and Hardware Stores
Home Improvement Centre
1
0.3
Specialized Building Materials and Garden Stores
Paint and Wallpaper
2
0.7
Sub-Total, Building and Outdoor Home Supplies Stores
3
1.0
Services
Food Services
Limited-Service Eating Place
32
10.8
Full-Service Restaurant
22
7.5
Sub-total, Food Services
54
18.3
Health Care Services
Dentist
13
4.4
Other Health Practitioner - Chiropractor
7
2.4
Other Health Practitioner - Physiotherapy
3
1.0
Physician
4
1.4
Other Health Practitioner - Optometrist
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Health Care Services
28
9.5
Personal and Laundry Services
Beauty Salon
13
4.4
Unisex Hair Salon
5
1.7
Other Personal Care Service - Massage
2
0.7
Dry Cleaning
6
2.0
Photo Finishing Service
1
0.3
Ear Piercing/Tattooing/Tanning Salon
2
0.7
Unisex Hair Salon + Tanning Salon
2
0.7
Weight Loss Centre
1
0.3
Barber Shop
2
0.7
Beauty Salon - Nails
5
1.7
Sub-Total, Personal and Laundry Services
39
13.2
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Facilities
Movie Theatre/Cinema
1
0.3
Fitness and Recreational Sports Centre
2
0.7
Sub-Total, Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Facilities
3
1.0
Financial Institutions
Bank
11
3.7
Educational Services
Athletic Instruction - Martial Arts
4
1.4
Other School - Tutoring
4
1.4
Other School - Dance
1
0.3
Athletic Instruction - Yoga
1
0.3
Other School - Piano
1
0.3
Other School - Driving
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Educational Services
12
4.1
Consumer Rental Services
Video Tape and Disc Rental
4
1.4
Professional Services
Veterinarian
3
1.0
Real Estate Agent/Broker
3
1.0
- I.2 -
Total Space
Sq. Ft.
Pct
22,500
1.5
10,100
0.7
5,600
0.4
4,600
0.3
3,900
0.3
68,970
4.6
26,820
13,800
3,200
5,400
3,280
1,200
6,900
60,600
129,570
1.8
0.9
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.5
4.0
8.6
130,000
8.7
7,000
137,000
0.5
9.1
56,480
57,620
114,100
3.8
3.8
7.6
21,900
9,960
7,590
11,000
2,600
53,050
1.5
0.7
0.5
0.7
0.2
3.5
17,000
5,960
3,690
4,720
1,600
3,000
2,600
1,800
1,510
6,920
48,800
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
3.3
26,900
16,100
43,000
1.8
1.1
2.9
48,280
3.2
10,600
4,900
1,900
2,700
1,300
1,100
22,500
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.5
19,200
1.3
6,800
9,390
0.5
0.6
TABLE I.1
Establishments
Count
Pct
Insurance Agent/Broker
4
1.4
Legal
1
0.3
Investment Advice/Financial Planning
3
1.0
Tax Preparer
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Professional Services
15
5.1
Administrative Services
Travel Service
3
1.0
Business Service Centre
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Administrative Services
4
1.4
Social Services
Child Day-Care Services
7
2.4
Automotive Repair and Maintenance
Mechanical and Electrical
1
0.3
Personal Goods Repair and Maintenance
Appliance - Computer Repair
1
0.3
Other Personal and Household Goods - Tailor
1
0.3
Other Personal and Household Goods
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Personal Goods Repair and Maintenance
3
1.0
Other Lending Services
Cheque Cashing Service
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Services
182
61.7
Automotive
Vehicle Dealers
New Cars
1
0.3
Gasoline Stations
Gasoline Station with Convenience Store
3
1.0
Gasoline Station without Convenience Store
4
1.4
Sub-total, Gasoline Stations
7
2.4
Sub-Total, Automotive
8
2.7
Civic and Social Organizations
Royal Canadian Legion
1
0.3
Sub-Total, Civic and Social Organizations
1
0.3
Other Provincial and Territorial Public Administration
1
0.3
Sub-total, Other Provincial and Territorial Public Administration
1
0.3
Vacant
23
7.8
TOTAL
295
100.0
- I.3 -
Total Space
Sq. Ft.
Pct
6,300
0.4
2,900
0.2
2,670
0.2
1,400
0.1
29,460
2.0
2,670
1,800
4,470
0.2
0.1
0.3
19,200
1.3
2,200
0.1
1,200
1,300
560
3,060
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
2,100
409,420
0.1
27.3
12,000
0.8
6,300
7,300
13,600
25,600
0.4
0.5
0.9
1.7
1,800
1,800
0.1
0.1
1,400
1,400
81,370
1,500,390
0.1
0.1
5.4
100.0
TABLE I.2
DETAILED STORE CATEGORIES AND PER CAPITA SALES, 2008
Retail
Sector
FOOD STORES
Store
Category
Store
Type
NAICS
Code
Supermarket
Grocery Store
Convenience Store
Meat
Fish and Seafood
Fruits and Vegetables
Bakery
Candy and Nut
Herbs and Spices
Milk / Cheese / Ice Cream / Dairy Products
Coffee and Tea
Soft Drinks
Health Food (not supplements) (e.g. Noah's Natural Foods)
Delicatessen
Bulk Food
Other Specialty Food
PHARMACIES AND PERSONAL CARE STORES
Pharmacies
Pharmacy / Drug Store
Cosmetics / Beauty Supply / Perfume
Optician
Health Supplements (not food) (e.g. General Nutrition Centre, Nutrition House)
Medical Aids and Equipment (e.g. hearing aids, orthopaedic aids, oxygen)
BEER, WINE AND LIQUOR STORES
Beer
Wine
Liquor
$257
44512
44521
44522
44523
445291
445292
445299
445299
445299
445299
445299
445299
445299
445299
$904
44611
44612
$750
44613
446191
446199
$154
$530
44531
44531
44531
$1,509
Department Stores
Traditional Department Store
Warehouse Membership Clubs
Warehouse Membership Club - Food Component
Warehouse Membership Club - Other Merchandise, largely DSTM and Tires
Home and Auto Supply (e.g. Canadian Tire, TSC Stores)
Automotive Parts and Accessories
includes
auto add-in
$797
45211
45211
$270
$165
$105
$279
45291
45291
452991
44131
Tires
ONTARIO
Estimates
44511
44511
GAFO: GENERAL MERCHANDISE STORES
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
$2,047
$1,790
add fr
auto
$91
44132
$163
- I.4 -
TABLE I.2
Retail
Sector
Store
Category
Store
Type
Catalogue Sales Showroom (e.g. Sears Catalogue and Sears Dealer stores)
Dollar Store (e.g. Dollarama, Buck or Two)
Variety Store (e.g. Bargain Shop, Giant Tiger, Liquidation World)
General Store (e.g. Co-Op, Country Depot, "farmer's supply" stores)
GAFO: APPAREL AND ACCESSORIES STORES
Clothing Stores
Men's Clothing
Women's Clothing
Children's and Infants' Clothing
Family Clothing
Athletic Clothing (not uniforms)
Fur
Leather Apparel
Bridal
Lingerie
Maternity
Outerwear
Swimwear
Uniforms and Work Clothing
Other Clothing
Shoe Stores
Men's Shoes
Women's Shoes
Children's Shoes
Family Shoes
Athletic Shoes
Costume Jewellery
Clothing Accessories (e.g. handbags, hosiery, hats, scarves, ties, gloves, umbrellas)
Jewellery
Luggage and Leather Goods
GAFO: FURNITURE, HOME FURNISHINGS AND ELECTRONICS STORES
Furniture Stores
Household Furniture
Household Furniture and Appliance
Office Furniture (if it sells to consumers)
Outdoor Furniture
Mattress
Floor Coverings (e.g. carpet, tile, wood, linoleum)
Window Treatments (e.g. drapery, curtain, blinds)
Print and Picture Frame
Bedding / Linen / Bath
China / Glassware / Cutlery / Kitchenware
Housewares
Mirrors
- I.5 -
NAICS
Code
452999
452999
452999
452999
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
ONTARIO
Estimates
$736
$560
44811
44812
44813
44814
448199
448191
448199
448199
448199
44812
448199
448199
448199
448199
44821
44821
44821
44821
44821
$176
44815
44815
44831
44832
$861
$279
44211
44211
44211
44211
44211
$178
44221
442291
442292
442298
442298
442298
442298
TABLE I.2
Retail
Sector
Store
Category
Store
Type
Pottery
Lamps and Lighting Fixtures
Fireplace Accessories
Computer Hardware and Software (e.g. CompuSmart)
Household Appliance
Consumer Electronics (e.g. TV, radio, stereo)
Household Appliance and Electronics
Satellite Receivers
Telephone (including cellular phone)
Personal Care Appliance
Sewing Machines
Vacuum Cleaners
Room Air Conditioners
Camera and Photography Supply
GAFO: OTHER RETAILERS
Bicycles
Fitness Equipment
Bait and Tackle / Firearms
Other Sporting Goods (including uniforms)
Hobby, Toy and Game (including arts and crafts, console game stores) (e.g. EB
Games, MicroPlay)
Sewing, Needlework and Piece Goods (including yarn and fabric)
Musical Instruments and Supplies
Books and News
dstm
Art Supply
dstm
Autographs, Cards and Collectibles
dstm
dstm
Coins and Stamps
dstm
Florist
dstm
dstm
Greeting Cards
dstm
Office Supply and Stationery (including office furniture if not selling to consumers)
dstm
Other Miscellaneous Retailer (including water systems)
dstm
Party Supply
dstm
Pet and Pet Supply
dstm
Tobacco
- I.6 -
NAICS
Code
442298
442298
442298
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
ONTARIO
Estimates
$34
44312
$370
44311
44311
44311
44311
44311
44311
44311
44311
44311
44313
$566
$285
45111
45111
45111
45111
45112
45113
45114
45121
45122
$320
453999
453999
453992
453999
45311
45322
45322
45321
453999
453999
45391
453999
$240
TABLE I.2
Retail
Sector
Store
Category
Store
Type
Art Dealer
Auctioneering
Hot Tubs / Whirlpools / Swimming Pools
Other Used Merchandise (not pawnshops)
Tombstones
Used Appliances
Used Books
Used Clothing
Used Furniture / Antiques
BUILDING AND OUTDOOR HOME SUPPLIES STORES
hitm
dstm
Hardware Store
dstm
Paint and Wallpaper
hitm
Kitchen Cabinets / Doors and Windows
hitm
Electrical Supply
hitm
Plumbing
hitm
Lumber
hitm
Other Building Materials (e.g. brick and tile, fencing, glass, roofing)
hitm
Outdoor Power Equipment (e.g. lawnmowers)
hitm
Nursery / Garden Centre (including lawn ornaments)
SERVICES
Bank
Credit Union
Other Depository Institution (e.g. provincial savings and loans)
Consumer Lending (e.g. personal credit and loan companies)
Pawnbroker
Mortgage and Loan Broker
Car Rental
Electronics and Appliance Rental
Formal Wear and Costume Rental
Other Consumer Goods Rental (e.g. furniture, sports equipment, party supply)
General Rental Centre
Investment Advice / Financial Planning
Insurance Agent / Broker
Real Estate Agent / Broker
Legal (e.g. lawyer, notary, paralegal)
Accounting (e.g. accountant, tax preparer, bookkeeper, payroll service)
Photographer
- I.7 -
NAICS
Code
45392
453999
453999
45331
453999
45331
45331
45331
45331
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
ONTARIO
Estimates
$80
$677
$541
44411
44413
$487
$54
$136
44412
44419
44419
44419
44419
44419
44421
44422
$14
$122
52211
52213
52219
522291
522299
52231
52239
53211
53221
53222
53223
53229
53231
52393
52421
53121
5411
5412
54192
TABLE I.2
Retail
Sector
Store
Category
Store
Type
Veterinarian
Employment Service
Business Service Centre (e.g. photocopying service, private mail centre)
Travel Service (e.g. travel agent, tour operator, auto club, ticket agent, tourist bureau)
Business and Secretarial School
Computer Training
Athletic Instruction (e.g. gymnastics club, martial arts club)
Other School (e.g. driver training, tutoring)
Physician (including psychiatrist)
Dentist
Other Health Practitioner (e.g. chiropractor, optometrist, psychologist, other therapist)
Out-Patient Care Centre (e.g. family planning,, substance abuse, community health)
Medical and Diagnostic Laboratory
Social Services
Individual and Family Service (e.g. family counselling, big brothers and sisters)
Community Food, Housing, Emergency Relief Service (e.g. food bank, meals on
wheels)
Vocational Rehabilitation Service
Child Day-Care Service
Movie Theatre / Cinema
Live Theatre
Sports Arena / Stadium
Amusement Arcade
Casino
Lottery Ticket Vendor
Other Gambling Facility (e.g. bingo parlour, off-track betting)
Marina
Bowling Alley
Billiard Hall
Other Amusement and Recreation Facility (e.g. amusement rides, miniature golf)
Food Services
Limited-Service Eating Place (e.g. fast food, take-out, doughnut shop, cafeteria)
Drinking Places (e.g. bars, pubs, lounges, night clubs, taverns)
Mechanical and Electrical (e.g. general repair, specialty repair of muffler, brake,
transmission)
Body, Paint, Interior and Glass
Car Wash
Other Automotive Repair and Maintenance (e.g. lubrication, emission testing,
undercoating)
- I.8 -
NAICS
Code
54194
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
ONTARIO
Estimates
5613
56143
5615
$312
61141
61142
61162
61169
6211
6212
6213
6214
6215
6241
6242
6243
6244
$2,276
51213
711311
711319
71312
71321
713291
713299
71393
71394
71395
71399
71399
$1,022
7221
7222
7224
81111
81112
811192
811199
TABLE I.2
Retail
Sector
Store
Store
Category Type
Home and Garden Equipment
Appliance (including consumer electronics)
Reupholstery and Furniture Repair (including furniture refinishing)
Footwear and Leather Goods Repair
Other Personal and Household Goods (e.g. garments, bicycles, jewellery, watches,
key duplication)
Barber Shop (i.e. men only)
Beauty Salon (i.e. women only; includes nail salons, manicures, pedicures)
Unisex Hair Salon (i.e. men and women)
Weight Loss Centre (e.g. Jenny Craig, Herbal Magic)
Hair Removal / Hair Replacement
Ear Piercing / Tattooing / Tanning Salon
Other Personal Care Service (e.g. bath house, massage parlour)
Coin-Operated Laundry
Dry Cleaning
Linen and Uniform Supply
Pet Care (e.g. animal shelter, boarding kennel, pet grooming)
Photo Finishing Service (e.g. one hour photo finishing services, not camera shops)
All Other Personal Service (e.g. party planning, personal shopping, psychic, shoe
shine, escorts)
VACANT SPACE
OTHER NON-RETAIL SPACE
GENERAL OFFICE SPACE
GAFO: OTHER RETAILERS [EXCLUDED]
Miscellaneous Store Retailers [EXCLUDED]
Mobile Homes
AUTOMOTIVE [EXCLUDING AUTOMOTIVE PARTS AND ACCESSORIES STORES AND TIRE DEALERS]
Vehicle Dealers [EXCLUDING AUTOMOTIVE PARTS AND ACCESSORIES STORES AND TIRE
DEALERS]
New Cars
Used Cars
Recreational Vehicles
Motorcycles
Boats
Other Motor Vehicles (e.g. ATVs, snowmobiles, trailers, aircraft)
Gasoline Stations
NON-STORE RETAILERS
Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses
Vending Machine Operators
Fuel Dealer
Other Direct Selling Establishments
Sources: CRG Consulting and Table 5.1.
- I.9 -
NAICS
Code
ONTARIO
2008
Per
Capita
ONTARIO
Estimates
811411
811412
81142
81143
81149
$620
812114
812115
812116
81219
81219
81219
81219
81231
81232
81233
81291
81292
81299
NA
NA
NA
45393
44111
44112
44121
44122
44122
44122
$1,952
$493
$402
$1,393
44711
44719
45411
45421
45431
45439
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
TABLE I.3
ESTIMATED SALES, SUPERMARKETS, BARRHAVEN, 2009
Per Capita Supermarket
Supermarket and Grocery Supermarket Supermarket
Population and Grocery
Potential
Share
Potential
$ Millions
$ Millions
64,200
$1,837
$ 117.935
95%
$ 112.039
51,300
$1,830
$
93.879
95%
$
89.185
5,900
$1,923
$
11.346
95%
$
10.778
10,400
$1,899
$
19.750
95%
$
18.762
131,800
RioCan
Marketplace
Loblaws
Superstore
$1,843
$ 242.910
Barrhaven
Strandherd
Town Centre
Crossing
Loblaws
YIG
Loeb
Zone 1
47.9%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
4.9%
Zone 3
25.0%
Zone 4
n/a
9.5%
1.2%
10.9%
n/a
ESTIMATED CONTEMPORARY EXPENDITURES IN BARRHAVEN
Zone 1
Barrhaven/South Nepean $ 53.667 $
10.644
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven $
4.370 $
1.070
Zone 3
South and West of Barrhaven $
2.695 $
1.175
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Total Expenditures, $ Millions $
Inflow, Percent
60.731
$
24.7%
12.889
95%
$ 230.764
Barrhaven
Woodroffe
Village Sq.
Avenue
Sobeys
10.6%
1.3%
4.8%
n/a
Barrhaven
Mall
Farm Boy Food Basics
10.2%
1.6%
3.1%
n/a
10.6%
1.1%
4.6%
n/a
9.7%
4.0%
1.6%
n/a
Sub-Total
Barrhaven
Elsewhere
Total
98.5%
14.1%
50.0%
n/a
1.5%
85.9%
50.0%
n/a
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
$
$
$
11.876
1.159
0.517
n/a
$
$
$
11.428
1.427
0.334
n/a
$
$
$
11.876
0.981
0.496
n/a
$
$
$
10.868
3.567
0.172
n/a
$
$
$
110.358
12.575
5.389
n/a
$
$
$
1.681
76.610
5.389
n/a
$ 112.039
$ 89.185
$ 10.778
n/a
$
13.553
$
13.189
$
13.353
$
14.608
$
128.322
$
83.680
$ 212.002
35.5%
35.9%
27.0%
35.9%
37.4%
30.3%
Inflow, $ Millions $
19.921
$
7.094
$
7.590
$
4.878
$
7.478
$
8.727
$
55.689
Total Estimated Sales $
80.652
$
19.983
$
21.143
$
18.067
$
20.831
$
23.335
$
184.012
Square Feet
139,000
41,100
41,000
33,000
21,400
26,500
302,000
Estimated Sales Per Square Foot
$580
$486
$516
$547
$973
$881
$609
- I.10 -
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
TABLE I.3.1
ESTIMATED SUPERMARKET SUPPORT, BARRHAVEN, 2009
Estimated
2009 Supermarket and Grocery Supermarket
Potential
Share
$ Millions
64,200
$1,837
$ 117.935
95%
North of Barrhaven
51,300
$1,830
$
93.879
95%
5,900
$1,923
$
11.346
95%
10,400
$1,899
$
19.750
95%
Total
131,800
$1,843
$ 242.910
Zone 1
98.5%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
14.1%
Zone 3
50.0%
Zone 4
0.0% New Rideau Bridge not yet built
95%
Supermarket
Potential
$ Millions
$ 112.039
$
89.185
$
10.778
$
18.762
$
230.764
Zone 1
Barrhaven/South Nepean $ 110.358
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven $ 12.575
Zone 3
5.389
Zone 4
East of Rideau River $
Total $ 128.322
Productivity, psf
$475
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
Inflow, 27 percent
$500
$525
$550
360,200
365,100
370,100
342,200
346,800
351,600
325,900
330,300
334,800
311,100
315,300
319,600
58,200
63,100
68,100
40,200
44,800
49,600
23,900
28,300
32,800
9,100
13,300
17,600
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
Inflow, 27 percent
targeted
- I.11 -
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
TABLE I.4
Estimated
Potential
Share
$ Millions
79,500
$1,883
$ 149.699
95%
North of Barrhaven
51,000
$1,876
$
95.676
95%
6,500
$1,972
$
12.818
95%
17,100
$1,947
$
33.294
95%
Total
154,100
$1,892
$ 291.486
Zone 1
98.5%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
15.0%
Zone 3
55.0%
Zone 4
25.0% Assuming New Rideau Bridge
95%
Supermarket
Potential
$ Millions
$ 142.214
$
90.892
$
12.177
$
31.629
$
276.912
Zone 1
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven $ 13.634
Zone 3
6.697
Zone 4
7.907
Total $ 168.319
Productivity, psf
$500
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
$550
$600
$650
442,900
448,900
454,900
402,700
408,000
413,600
369,100
374,000
379,100
340,700
345,300
349,900
140,900
146,900
152,900
100,700
106,000
111,600
67,100
72,000
77,100
38,700
43,300
47,900
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
targeted
- I.12 -
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
TABLE I.5
Estimated
Potential
Share
$ Millions
94,800
$1,979
$ 187.609
95%
North of Barrhaven
51,000
$1,972
$ 100.572
95%
7,100
$2,073
$
14.718
95%
28,100
$2,046
$
57.493
95%
Total
181,000
$1,991
$ 360.392
Zone 1
98.5%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
15.0%
Zone 3
60.0%
Zone 4
30.0% Assuming New Rideau Bridge
95%
Supermarket
Potential
$ Millions
$ 178.229
$
95.543
$
13.982
$
54.618
$
342.372
Zone 1
Zone 2
14.332
Zone 3
8.389
Zone 4
16.385
Total, $ Millions $
Productivity, psf
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
214.662
$500
$550
$575
$600
$650
564,900
572,400
580,200
513,500
520,400
527,400
491,200
497,800
504,500
470,700
477,000
483,500
434,500
440,300
446,300
262,900
270,400
278,200
211,500
218,400
225,400
189,200
195,800
202,500
168,700
175,000
181,500
132,500
138,300
144,300
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
- I.13 -
Per Capita
Pharmacy
Population
Stores
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
64,200
51,300
5,900
10,400
Total
131,800
Barrhaven
$960
$951
$1,055
$1,028
Pharmacy
Stores
Potential
$ Millions
$ 61.632
$ 48.786
$
6.225
$ 10.691
$966
$ 127.334
Elsewhere
Total
Zone 1
91.7%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
7.2%
Zone 3
27.6%
Zone 4
n/a
8.3%
92.8%
72.4%
n/a
Zone 1
5.115 $
Zone 2
3.513 $ 45.274 $
Zone 3
1.718 $
4.507 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Inflow, Percent
Square Feet
61.747 $
25.0%
20.582
54.896
154,100
$1,069
$ 164.801
Share
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Population
94,800
51,000
7,100
28,100
181,000
$1,290
$1,277
$1,417
$1,381
Pharmacy
Stores
Potential
$ Millions
$ 122.292
$ 65.127
$ 10.061
$ 38.806
Potential
Increase 2009
$1,305
$ 236.286
Share
86%
Zone 1
92.0%
Zone 2
8.0%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
92.0%
Zone 2
8.0%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
61.632
48.786
6.225
n/a
ESTIMATED FUTURE EXPENDITURES IN BARRHAVEN
Zone 1
$ 77.528
Zone 2
$
4.284
Zone 3
$
2.272
Zone 4
$
4.852
Zone 1
$ 112.509
Zone 2
$
5.210
Zone 3
$
3.018
Zone 4
$
9.702
$ 116.643
Total Expenditures
$
88.936
Share
Expenditures
54%
Total Expenditures
$ 130.439
Productivity, psf
$800
Share
Expenditures
55%
82.329
52,300
$1,574
$750
$800
$850
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
108,300
109,800
111,300
101,600
102,900
104,300
95,600
96,900
98,200
56,000
57,500
59,000
49,300
50,600
52,000
43,300
44,600
45,900
Productivity, psf
$800
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
146,300
148,200
150,200
$850
$900
$950
137,700
139,500
141,400
130,000
131,800
133,500
123,200
124,800
126,500
77,700
79,500
81,200
70,900
72,500
74,200
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
94,000
95,900
97,900
29%
2019
Per Capita
Pharmacy
Stores
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Productivity, psf
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
TABLE I.6
ESTIMATED SALES, PHARMACIES, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita Pharmacy
Pharmacy
Stores
2014
Population
Stores
Potential
$ Millions
Zone 1
79,500
$1,060
$ 84.270
Zone 2
51,000
$1,050
$ 53.550
Zone 3
6,500
$1,165
$
7.573
Potential
Zone 4
17,100
$1,135
$ 19.409
Increase 2009
- I.14 -
85,400
87,200
89,100
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
214,500
217,400
220,300
$850
$900
$950
201,900
204,600
207,400
190,700
193,200
195,900
180,700
183,100
185,500
138,400
140,900
143,600
128,400
130,800
133,200
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
162,200
165,100
168,000
149,600
152,300
155,100
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
TABLE I.7
ESTIMATED SALES, BEER, WINE AND LIQUOR STORES, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita Beer, Wine
Population and Liquor
Potential
2014
Potential
2019
$ Millions
$ Millions
64,200
$574
$ 36.851
Zone 1
79,500
$603
$ 47.939
Zone 1
51,300
$566
$ 29.036
Zone 2
51,000
$595
$ 30.345
Zone 2
5,900
$666
$
3.929
Zone 3
6,500
$700
$
4.550
Potential
Zone 3
10,400
$641
$
6.666
Zone 4
17,100
$674
$ 11.525
Increase 2009
Zone 4
131,800
Barrhaven
76.482
Total
12.4%
89.7%
76.8%
n/a
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
90.0%
Zone 2
11.0%
Zone 3
27.5%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
90.0%
Zone 2
11.0%
Zone 3
27.5%
Zone 4
25.0%
36.851
29.036
3.929
n/a
Zone 1
$ 43.145
Zone 2
$
3.338
Zone 3
$
1.251
Zone 4
$
2.881
Zone 1
$ 56.823
Zone 2
$
3.686
Zone 3
$
1.509
Zone 4
$
5.227
69.816
Total Expenditures
Zone 1
4.569 $
Zone 2
2.991 $ 26.045 $
Zone 3
0.912 $
3.018 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Inflow, Percent
Square Feet
36.184 $
25.0%
12.061
33.632
$
$612
$
Share
$
94.359
23%
50.615
Share
Expenditures
54%
Total Expenditures
$680
$ 123.039
Share
$
61%
67.245
Share
Expenditures
55%
48.245
16,200
$2,978
Productivity, psf
$3,000
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
22,200
22,500
22,800
$3,250
$3,500
$3,750
20,500
20,800
21,000
19,000
19,300
19,500
17,800
18,000
18,200
2,800
3,100
3,300
1,600
1,800
2,000
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
6,000
6,300
6,600
181,000
Potential
Increase 2009
$580
$
Elsewhere
Zone 1
87.6%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
10.3%
Zone 3
23.2%
Zone 4
n/a
154,100
Potential
$ Millions
94,800
$666
$ 63.137
51,000
$657
$ 33.507
7,100
$773
$
5.488
28,100
$744
$ 20.906
- I.15 -
Productivity, psf
$3,000
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
29,500
29,900
30,300
$3,250
$3,500
$3,750
27,200
27,600
28,000
25,300
25,600
26,000
23,600
23,900
24,200
9,100
9,400
9,800
7,400
7,700
8,000
targeted
4,300
4,600
4,800
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
13,300
13,700
14,100
11,000
11,400
11,800
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
TABLE I.8
ESTIMATED SALES, DEPARTMENT STORE(S), BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita Department
Department
Store
Department
Store
Population
Store
Potential
2014
Population
Store
Potential
$ Millions
$ Millions
64,200
$965
$ 61.953
Zone 1
79,500
$1,060
$ 84.270
51,300
$946
$ 48.530
Zone 2
51,000
$1,050
$ 53.550
5,900
$1,173
$
6.921
Zone 3
6,500
$1,233
$
8.015
Potential
10,400
$1,115
$ 11.596
Zone 4
17,100
$1,172
$ 20.041
Increase 2009
131,800
RioCan
Marketplace
Wal-Mart
$979
$ 129.000
Elsewhere
Zone 1
30.5%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
7.4%
Zone 3
25.9%
Zone 4
n/a
24.279 $
35.2%
13.189
69.5%
92.6%
74.1%
n/a
93.124
$1,076
Total
Zone 1
Barrhaven/South Nepean $ 18.896 $ 43.057 $
Zone 2
3.591 $ 44.939 $
Zone 3
1.792 $
5.128 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Inflow, Percent
154,100
$ 165.876
29%
2019
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Department
Store
Population
Store
Potential
$ Millions
94,800
$1,120
$ 106.176
51,000
$1,097
$ 55.947
7,100
$1,361
$
9.663
28,100
$1,294
$ 36.361
181,000
$1,150
Share
Potential
Increase 2009
$ 208.148
61%
Share
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
50.0%
Zone 2
8.0%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
50.0%
Zone 2
8.0%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
61.953
48.530
6.921
n/a
Zone 1
$ 42.135
Zone 2
$
4.284
Zone 3
$
2.404
Zone 4
$
5.010
Zone 1
$ 53.088
Zone 2
$
4.476
Zone 3
$
2.899
Zone 4
$
9.090
$ 117.404
Total Expenditures
$
Share
Expenditures
53.834
32%
Total Expenditures
$
69.553
Productivity, psf
$300
Share
Expenditures
33%
Total Estimated Sales $ 37.468
Square Feet
129,500
$289
Productivity, psf
$300
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
236,100
239,300
242,500
$325
$350
$375
218,000
220,900
223,800
202,400
205,100
207,900
188,900
191,400
194,000
72,900
75,600
78,400
59,400
61,900
64,500
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
106,600
109,800
113,000
- I.16 -
88,500
91,400
94,300
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
305,100
309,100
313,300
$325
$350
$375
281,600
285,300
289,200
261,500
265,000
268,500
244,000
247,300
250,600
132,000
135,500
139,000
114,500
117,800
121,100
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
175,600
179,600
183,800
152,100
155,800
159,700
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
TABLE I.9
ESTIMATED SALES, HOME AND AUTO SUPPLY, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita
Home &
Per Capita
Home &
Home & Auto Supply
Home & Auto Supply
Population Auto Supply
Potential
2014
Potential
$ Millions
$ Millions
64,200
$303
$
19.453
Zone 1
79,500
$318
$
25.281
51,300
$296
$
15.185
Zone 2
51,000
$311
$
15.861
5,900
$379
$
2.236
Zone 3
6,500
$398
$
2.587
Potential
10,400
$358
$
3.723
Zone 4
17,100
$358
$
6.122
Increase 2009
131,800
Barrhaven
Zone 1
88.3%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
4.0%
Zone 3
93.0%
Zone 4
n/a
Inflow, Percent
Square Feet
19.864 $
32.3%
9.477
40.597
Total
11.7%
96.0%
7.0%
n/a
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
90.0%
Zone 2
5.0%
Zone 3
94.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
90.0%
Zone 2
5.0%
Zone 3
94.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
$
$
$
19.453
15.185
2.236
n/a
Zone 1
$
22.753
Zone 2
$
0.793
Zone 3
$
2.432
Zone 4
$
1.530
Zone 1
$
29.947
Zone 2
$
0.875
Zone 3
$
2.930
Zone 4
$
2.915
$
36.874
Total Expenditures
17.010
$
$250
$300
$350
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
104,500
105,900
107,400
87,100
88,300
89,500
74,700
75,700
76,700
34,700
36,100
37,600
17,300
18,500
19,700
4,900
5,900
6,900
23%
Share
Expenditures
27.508
Productivity, psf
$300
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
120,600
122,300
123,900
181,000
$362
$
Share
55%
Total Expenditures
Productivity, psf
$300
$350
$400
$450
103,400
104,800
106,200
90,500
91,700
92,900
80,400
81,500
82,600
20,700
21,900
23,100
10,600
11,700
12,800
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
50,800
52,500
54,100
49.851
$
65.546
61%
Share
Expenditures
36.667
56%
29.341
69,800
$420
Productivity, psf
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
$323
$
Share
Potential
Increase 2009
$308
$
Elsewhere
Zone 1
2.276
Zone 2
0.607 $
14.577
Zone 3
2.080 $
0.157
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
154,100
2019
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Per Capita
Home &
Home & Auto Supply
Potential
$ Millions
94,800
$351
$
33.275
51,000
$343
$
17.493
7,100
$439
$
3.117
28,100
$415
$
11.662
- I.17 -
33,600
35,000
36,400
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
160,800
163,000
165,200
$350
$400
$450
137,800
139,700
141,600
120,600
122,200
123,900
107,200
108,600
110,100
50,800
52,400
54,100
37,400
38,800
40,300
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
91,000
93,200
95,400
68,000
69,900
71,800
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Population
North of Barrhaven
64,200
51,300
5,900
10,400
Total
131,800
Barrhaven
Zone 1
31.9%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
2.5%
Zone 3
27.0%
n/a
Zone 4
Per Capita
Specialty
GAFO
$2,570
$2,520
$3,143
$2,983
Specialty
GAFO
Potential
$ Millions
$ 164.994
$ 129.276
$ 18.544
$ 31.023
$2,609
$ 343.837
Elsewhere
Total
68.1%
97.5%
73.0%
n/a
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
Barrhaven/South Nepean $ 52.633 $ 112.361 $ 164.994
Zone 2
3.232 $ 126.044 $ 129.276
Zone 3
5.007 $ 13.537 $ 18.544
n/a
n/a
n/a
Zone 4
Inflow, Percent
60.872 $ 251.942
25.0%
20.291
$ 312.814
TABLE I.10
ESTIMATED SALES, SPECIALTY GAFO, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita
Specialty
Specialty
GAFO
2014
Population
GAFO
Potential
$ Millions
Zone 1
79,500
$2,701
$ 214.730
Zone 2
51,000
$2,649
$ 135.099
Zone 3
6,500
$3,303
$ 21.470
Potential
Zone 4
17,100
$3,135
$ 53.609
Increase 2009
154,100
$2,757
$ 424.907
Share
24%
2019
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Population
94,800
51,000
7,100
28,100
181,000
Per Capita
Specialty
GAFO
$2,982
$2,925
$3,647
$3,461
Specialty
GAFO
Potential
$ Millions
$ 282.694
$ 149.175
$ 25.894
$ 97.254
Potential
Increase 2009
$3,066
$ 555.016
Share
61%
Zone 1
40.0%
Zone 2
3.5%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
40.0%
Zone 2
3.5%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
$ 85.892
Zone 2
$
4.728
Zone 3
$
6.441
Zone 4
$ 13.402
Zone 1
$ 113.077
Zone 2
$
5.221
Zone 3
$
7.768
Zone 4
$ 24.314
Total Expenditures
$ 110.463
Share
Expenditures
26%
Total Expenditures
$ 150.380
Productivity, psf
$325
Share
Expenditures
27%
Square Feet
225,530
$360
Productivity, psf
$325
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
447,200
453,200
459,300
$350
$375
$400
415,300
420,800
426,500
387,600
392,800
398,100
363,400
368,200
373,200
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
221,670
227,670
233,770
- I.18 -
189,770
195,270
200,970
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
608,800
616,900
625,300
$350
$375
$400
565,300
572,900
580,600
527,600
534,700
541,900
494,700
501,300
508,000
302,070
309,170
316,370
269,170
275,770
282,470
targeted
162,070
167,270
172,570
137,870
142,670
147,670
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
383,270
391,370
399,770
339,770
347,370
355,070
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
TABLE I.11
ESTIMATED SALES, HOME IMPROVEMENT STORES, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Per Capita
Home
Per Capita
Home
Home Impr'v'm'nt
Home Impr'v'm'nt
Population Impr'v'm'nt
Potential
2014
Potential
2019
$ Millions
$ Millions
64,200
$730
$ 46.866
Zone 1
79,500
$767
$ 60.977
Zone 1
51,300
$714
$ 36.628
Zone 2
51,000
$750
$ 38.250
Zone 2
5,900
$912
$
5.381
Zone 3
6,500
$959
$
6.234
Potential
Zone 3
10,400
$861
$
8.954
Zone 4
17,100
$905
$ 15.476
Increase 2009
Zone 4
131,800
Barrhaven
97.829
Total
40.4%
88.9%
70.1%
n/a
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
66.0%
Zone 2
12.0%
Zone 3
35.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
66.0%
Zone 2
12.0%
Zone 3
35.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
46.866
36.628
5.381
n/a
Zone 1
$ 40.244
Zone 2
$
4.590
Zone 3
$
2.182
Zone 4
$
3.869
Zone 1
$ 52.995
Zone 2
$
5.067
Zone 3
$
2.632
Zone 4
$
7.018
88.875
Total Expenditures
Zone 1
Zone 2
4.066 $ 32.562 $
Zone 3
1.609 $
3.772 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Inflow, Percent
33.607 $
42.6%
24.942
55.268
$
$785
$ 120.936
Share
$
24%
Share
Expenditures
50.885
42%
181,000
Total Expenditures
$874
$ 158.114
Share
$
62%
67.712
Share
Expenditures
43%
Home Cntr
Square Feet
130,000
$450
Productivity, psf
$350
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
191,300
193,800
196,500
$400
$450
$500
167,400
169,600
171,900
148,800
150,800
152,800
133,900
135,700
137,500
18,800
20,800
22,800
3,900
5,700
7,500
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
61,300
63,800
66,500
Potential
Increase 2009
$742
$
Elsewhere
Zone 1
59.6%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
11.1%
Zone 3
29.9%
Zone 4
n/a
154,100
Per Capita
Home
Home Impr'v'm'nt
Potential
$ Millions
94,800
$847
$ 80.296
51,000
$828
$ 42.228
7,100
$1,059
$
7.519
28,100
$999
$ 28.072
- I.19 -
37,400
39,600
41,900
Productivity, psf
$350
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
254,600
258,000
261,400
$400
$450
$500
222,700
225,700
228,800
198,000
200,600
203,300
178,200
180,600
183,000
68,000
70,600
73,300
48,200
50,600
53,000
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
124,600
128,000
131,400
92,700
95,700
98,800
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
North of Barrhaven
Total
Per Capita Restaurant
Population Restaurant
Potential
$ Millions
64,200
$1,096
$ 70.363
51,300
$1,086
$ 55.712
5,900
$1,205
$
7.110
10,400
$1,174
$ 12.210
131,800
Barrhaven
Zone 1
59.6%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
11.1%
Zone 3
29.9%
Zone 4
n/a
$1,103
$ 145.394
Elsewhere
Total
40.4%
88.9%
70.1%
n/a
Zone 1
Zone 2
6.184 $ 49.528 $
Zone 3
2.126 $
4.984 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
Inflow, Percent
50.246 $
25.0%
16.749
82.938
TABLE I.12
ESTIMATED SALES, RESTAURANTS, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
2014
Potential
$ Millions
Zone 1
79,500
$1,152
$ 91.584
Zone 2
51,000
$1,141
$ 58.191
Zone 3
6,500
$1,266
$
8.229
Potential
Zone 4
17,100
$1,234
$ 21.101
Increase 2009
154,100
$1,162
$ 179.105
Share
23%
2019
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Potential
$ Millions
94,800
$1,272
$ 120.586
51,000
$1,260
$ 64.260
7,100
$1,398
$
9.926
28,100
$1,362
$ 38.272
181,000
Potential
Increase 2009
$1,288
$ 233.044
Share
60%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Zone 1
66.0%
Zone 2
12.0%
Zone 3
35.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
66.0%
Zone 2
12.0%
Zone 3
35.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
70.363
55.712
7.110
n/a
Zone 1
$ 60.445
Zone 2
$
6.983
Zone 3
$
2.880
Zone 4
$
5.275
Zone 1
$ 79.586
Zone 2
$
7.711
Zone 3
$
3.474
Zone 4
$
9.568
$ 133.185
Total Expenditures
$
75.584
Share
Expenditures
42%
Total Expenditures
$ 100.340
Productivity, psf
$600
Share
Expenditures
43%
Square Feet
114,100
$587
Productivity, psf
$600
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
165,800
168,000
170,200
$650
$700
$750
153,000
155,000
157,100
142,100
144,000
145,900
132,600
134,400
136,200
28,000
29,900
31,800
18,500
20,300
22,100
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
51,700
53,900
56,100
- I.20 -
38,900
40,900
43,000
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
220,000
223,000
226,000
$650
$700
$750
203,100
205,800
208,600
188,600
191,100
193,700
176,000
178,400
180,800
74,500
77,000
79,600
61,900
64,300
66,700
targeted
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
105,900
108,900
111,900
89,000
91,700
94,500
2009
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Population
North of Barrhaven
64,200
51,300
5,900
10,400
Total
131,800
Barrhaven
Per Capita
Personal
Services
Zone 1
51.0%
Zone 2
North of Barrhaven
5.9%
Zone 3
15.8%
Zone 4
n/a
$646
$638
$736
$711
TABLE I.13
ESTIMATED SALES, PERSONAL SERVICES, BARRHAVEN, 2009, 2014, 2019
Personal
Per Capita
Personal
Services
Personal
Services
Potential
2014
Population
Services
Potential
$ Millions
$ Millions
$ 41.473
Zone 1
79,500
$679
$ 53.981
$ 32.729
Zone 2
51,000
$671
$ 34.221
$
4.342
Zone 3
6,500
$774
$
5.031
Potential
$
7.394
Zone 4
17,100
$747
$ 12.774
Increase 2009
Inflow, Percent
Square Feet
23.768 $
10.0%
2.641
Zone 1
60.0%
Zone 2
6.5%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
Zone 1
60.0%
Zone 2
6.5%
Zone 3
30.0%
Zone 4
25.0%
41.473
32.729
4.342
n/a
Zone 1
$ 32.388
Zone 2
$
2.224
Zone 3
$
1.509
Zone 4
$
3.193
Zone 1
$42.660
Zone 2
$2.456
Zone 3
$1.821
Zone 4
$5.796
78.545
Total Expenditures
$
39.315
$600
$625
$650
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
44,000
45,300
46,600
42,300
43,500
44,700
40,600
41,800
43,000
Productivity, psf
$600
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
72,800
74,900
77,100
37%
Total Expenditures
Productivity, psf
$600
$625
$650
$675
69,900
71,900
74,000
67,200
69,100
71,200
64,700
66,600
68,500
3,200
4,500
5,800
1,500
2,700
3,900
-200
1,000
2,200
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
32,000
34,100
36,300
$763
$ 138.144
Share
61%
$52.733
Share
Expenditures
38%
26.409
40,800
$647
Productivity, psf
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
Potential
Increase 2009
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
n/a
Share
Expenditures
181,000
$750
$741
$855
$825
49.0%
94.1%
84.2%
n/a
$
23%
94,800
51,000
7,100
28,100
85.939
Total
54.777
$688
$ 106.006
Share
Zone 1
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
Population
Personal
Services
Potential
$ Millions
$ 71.100
$ 37.791
$
6.071
$ 23.183
$652
$
Elsewhere
Zone 1
Zone 2
1.931 $ 30.798 $
Zone 3
0.686 $
3.656 $
Zone 4
n/a
n/a
154,100
2016
Per Capita
Personal
Services
- I.21 -
29,100
31,100
33,200
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
115,600
117,200
118,800
$625
$650
$675
111,000
112,500
114,000
106,700
108,200
109,600
102,800
104,200
105,600
65,900
67,400
68,800
62,000
63,400
64,800
targeted
26,400
28,300
30,400
23,900
25,800
27,700
Inflow, 24 percent
Inflow, 25 percent
Inflow, 26 percent
74,800
76,400
78,000
70,200
71,700
73,200
Appendix II – Business Inventory by Type of Store or Service
- II -
APPENDIX II: BUSINESS INVENTORY BY TYPE OF STORE OR SERVICE
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Food Stores
Supermarket
Farm Boy
3033 Woodroffe Avenue
21,400
Food Basics
900 Greenbank Road
26,500
Loblaws
3201 Greenbank Road
139,000
Metro Strandherd Crossing
3201 Strandherd Drive
41,000
Sobeys
1581 Greenbank Road
33,000
Your Independent Grocer
41,100
Sub-total, Supermarket
Sub-total, Supermarkets and Grocery Stores
6 outlets
302,000
6 outlets
302,000
Convenience Store
Mac's
1 Tartan Drive
Nasa Food Centre
Quickie
1 Jockvale Road
2,800
Quickie
3023 Cedarview Road
2,700
Quickie/Tim Horton's/Esso/Pizza Boyz
1 Rideaucrest Drive
5,100
Sub-total, Convenience Store
2,200
980
5 outlets
13,780
Bulk Food
Bulk Barn
3161 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Bulk Food
4,800
1 outlet
4,800
Meat
Pete & Gus Meat Market
1 Jockvale Road
Sub-total, Meat
590
1 outlet
590
M & M Meat Shops
1581 Greenbank Road
1,400
Sub-total, Other Specialty Food - Frozen
1 outlet
1,400
Sub-total, Convenience and Specialty Food Stores
8 outlets
20,570
14 outlets
322,570
Sub-total, Food Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.1 of II.27
Printed on June 1, 2009
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Pharmacies
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Pharma Plus
900 Greenbank Road
Pharmasave
16 Green Street
2,500
Rexall Guardian
1,400
Shoppers Drug Mart
18,500
Shoppers Drug Mart
15,700
Sub-total, Pharmacy/Drug Store
Sub-total, Pharmacies
14,200
5 outlets
52,300
5 outlets
52,300
Optician
Laurier Optical
80 Marketplace Avenue
Sub-total, Optician
5,100
1 outlet
5,100
Health Supplements
General Nutrition Centre
Sub-total, Health Supplements
1,300
1 outlet
1,300
Beauty Supplies
Sally's Beauty Supply
1581 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Beauty Supplies
Sub-total, Personal Care Stores
Sub-total, Pharmacies and Personal Care Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.2 of II.27
1,600
1 outlet
1,600
3 outlets
8,000
8 outlets
60,300
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Liquor
LCBO
120 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Liquor
12,100
1 outlet
12,100
Beer
Beer Store
35 Larkin Drive
Sub-total, Beer
Sub-total, Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores
Sub-total, Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.3 of II.27
4,100
1 outlet
4,100
2 outlets
16,200
2 outlets
16,200
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
129,500
GAFO - General Merchandise Stores
Department Stores
Wal-Mart
Sub-total, Discount Department Store
Sub-total, Department Stores
1 outlet
129,500
1 outlet
129,500
Canadian Tire
2501 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Home and Auto Supply
Sub-total, Home and Auto Supply Stores
69,800
1 outlet
69,800
1 outlet
69,800
Dollar Store
Buck or Two
4,300
Dollarama
11,100
Sub-total, Dollar Store
2 outlets
15,400
Variety Store
Overstalks
900 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Variety Store
Sub-total, Other General Merchandise Stores
Sub-total, GAFO - General Merchandise Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.4 of II.27
4,500
1 outlet
4,500
3 outlets
19,900
5 outlets
219,200
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Clothing Stores
Family Clothing
Mark's Work Wearhouse
3161 Greenbank Road
10,100
Winners
26,200
Sub-total, Family Clothing
2 outlets
36,300
Women's Clothing
Liz Claiborne
3161 Greenbank Road
4,700
Nygard
3161 Greenbank Road
9,500
Pennington's
5,000
Reitman's
3161 Greenbank Road
7,500
Sub-total, Women's Clothing
4 outlets
26,700
Tweed & Hickory
3161 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Women's Clothing + Houseware
7,500
1 outlet
7,500
Maternity
Thyme Maternity
Sub-total, Maternity
2,600
1 outlet
2,600
Children's Clothing
Upper Kids Consignment
Sub-total, Children's Clothing
Sub-total, Clothing Stores
1,500
1 outlet
1,500
9 outlets
74,600
Shoe Stores
Children's Shoes
Kiddie Kobbler
Sub-total, Children's Shoes
2,500
1 outlet
2,500
Family Shoes
Payless Shoe Source
Sub-total, Family Shoes
Sub-total, Shoe Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.5 of II.27
2,000
1 outlet
2,000
2 outlets
4,500
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Jewellery
Frank Jewellery
900 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Jewellery
Sub-total, Clothing Accessories and Jewellery Stores
Sub-total, GAFO - Apparel and Accessories Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.6 of II.27
860
1 outlet
860
1 outlet
860
12 outlets
79,960
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Telephone
Bell World
Rogers Wireless
Telus
129 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Telephone
1,000
700
1,500
3 outlets
3,200
The Source
81 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Consumer Electronics
Sub-total, Home Electronics and Appliance Stores
2,200
1 outlet
2,200
4 outlets
5,400
Furniture Stores
Mattress
Sleep Country
81 RioCan Avenue
5,000
Sub-total, Mattress
1 outlet
5,000
Sub-total, Furniture Stores
1 outlet
5,000
Floor Coverings
Barrhaven Flooring
Sub-total, Floor Coverings
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
Housewares
Steel's Retailing
3780 Fallowfield Road
Sub-total, Housewares
Sub-total, Home Furnishings Stores
2,100
1 outlet
2,100
2 outlets
3,900
Over The Top Computing
Sub-total, Computer Hardware and Software
Sub-total, Computer and Software Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.7 of II.27
1,700
1 outlet
1,700
1 outlet
1,700
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Sub-total, GAFO - Furniture, Home Furnishings and Electronics Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.8 of II.27
8 outlets
16,000
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Books and News
Book Stop
1 Jockvale Road
Chapter's/Indigo
125 RioCan Avenue
Wizard's Tower
Sub-total, Books and News
770
19,700
1,800
3 outlets
22,270
Barrhaven Source for Sports
1581 Greenbank Road
4,000
Play It Again Sports
3161 Greenbank Road
3,500
Sport Chek
125 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Other Sporting Goods
15,000
3 outlets
22,500
Bouclair
Sub-total, Sewing, Needlework and Piece Goods
10,100
1 outlet
10,100
Fitness Equipment
Fitness Depot
120 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Fitness Equipment
5,600
1 outlet
5,600
Hobby, Toy and Game
A Fine Mess
1,600
EB Games
1,200
Toy's on Fire
1,800
Sub-total, Hobby, Toy and Game
3 outlets
4,600
International Musicland
Sub-total, Pre-Recorded Tapes, Compact Discs and Records
Sub-total, Sporting Goods, Hobby, Music and Book Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.9 of II.27
3,900
1 outlet
3,900
12 outlets
68,970
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Printwell
Staples Business Depot
Sub-total, Office Supply and Stationery
920
25,900
2 outlets
26,820
Pet and Pet Supply
Global Pet Food
1,800
Pet Smart
3161 Greenbank Road
10,100
Pet Valu Better Pet Nutrition
1,900
Sub-total, Pet and Pet Supply
3 outlets
13,800
Brass & Gift Shop
900 Greenbank Road
2,000
Edible Arrangements
129 RioCan Avenue
1,200
Sub-total, Gift, Novelty and Souvenir
2 outlets
3,200
Greeting Cards
Hallmark
3161 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Greeting Cards
5,400
1 outlet
5,400
Florist
Anika Arts & Flowers
1,500
Ivonne's Flowers & Gifts
1,200
Select Floral
580
Sub-total, Florist
3 outlets
3,280
Wine Craft
1 Tartan Drive
Sub-total, Beer and Wine-Making Supply
CRG Consulting
1,200
1 outlet
Page II.10 of II.27
1,200
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Act 11 Fashions
1,000
Byward Bargain Centre
1,500
Here we Grow Again
3,100
Winehaven
1,300
Sub-total, Used Clothing/Consignment
4 outlets
6,900
Sub-total, Miscellaneous Store Retailers
16 outlets
60,600
Sub-total, GAFO - Other Retailers
28 outlets
129,570
Home Depot
130,000
Sub-total, Home Improvement Centre
1 outlet
130,000
Sub-total, Home Centres and Hardware Stores
1 outlet
130,000
Paint and Wallpaper
Benjamin Moore
1581 Greenbank Road
1,400
Randall's Paints Ltd
5,600
Sub-total, Paint and Wallpaper
Sub-total, Specialized Building Materials and Garden Stores
Sub-total, Building and Outdoor Home Supplies Stores
CRG Consulting
Page II.11 of II.27
2 outlets
7,000
2 outlets
7,000
3 outlets
137,000
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Services
Food Services
1 for 1 Pizza
1,200
Booster Juice
980
Boston Pizza
1581 Greenbank Road
6,100
China Star
1,200
Dairy Queen
2,300
Dominos Pizza
1,300
Extreme Pita
1,100
Gabriel's Pizza
1,400
Guava's Shawarma
1,400
Joe's Palace
790
KFC
1,000
Little Caesars Pizza
1,200
McDonald's
2,400
McDonald's
4,400
Milano Pizzeria
Mr Mozzarella
1 Tartan Drive
1,200
Pizza Haven
3023 Cedarview Road
1,300
Pizza Pizza
2,600
Quizno's Subs
1581 Greenbank Road
1,200
Quizno's Subs
1,400
San Marino
1 Jockvale Road
Shawarma Heaven
129 RioCan Avenue
1,100
Starbucks
1,600
Starbucks
125 RioCan Avenue
Steamers Coffee House
1,100
Subway
1,800
Subway
1,400
Tim Horton's
3,200
Tim Horton's
3,100
Toppers Pizza
1,700
CRG Consulting
Page II.12 of II.27
980
590
840
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Food Services
Two Monkeys
1,400
Wendy's
3,200
Sub-total, Limited-Service Eating Place
32 outlets
56,480
Barley Mow Pub
1481 Greenbank Road
4,100
Broadway Bar & Grill
6,500
Fiamma Retaurant
2,100
Fratelli
2,700
Go 4 Greek
1,100
Greenfields Pub and Eatery
900 Greenbank Road
4,800
Joey's Only Seafood Restaurant
2,300
Johnny Canuck's
3,500
Kelsey's
5,100
La Porto A Casa
2,200
Liu's Cuisine
1,300
Lotus Chinese Food
680
Nufortune Restaurant
1,200
Pho Hoa Nam Restaurant
1,600
Pho'Thi Fusion Restaurant
129 RioCan Avenue
1,600
Pizza Hut
1581 Greenbank Road
1,200
Swiss Chalet
5,800
Taste Better Chinese Restaurant
3023 Cedarview Road
940
The Royal Oak
3,700
Vietnamese Restaurant
3,000
Wans Chinese Food
1,100
Winner House Chinese Food
1 Tartan Drive
1,100
Sub-total, Full-Service Restaurant
Sub-total, Food Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.13 of II.27
22 outlets
57,620
54 outlets
114,100
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Dentist
Barrhaven Dental Centre
1,300
Barrhaven Dentistry
129 RioCan Avenue
1,700
Barrhaven Family Dentistry
1,100
Barrhaven Square Village Dentists
1581 Greenbank Road
1,600
Captial Orthodontist-Dr. Clarke
2,500
Chapman Mills Dental-Dr. Fayad
1,500
Dental Centre
1,300
Dentistry@Cedarview (Dr. Ziereisen)
1,600
Family Dentistry
10 Green Street
1,300
Orthodontist Periodontist
2,400
Queensbury Dental Centre
1,900
Southpointe Dental In Barrhaven
1,800
Strandherd Dental Clinic
1,900
Sub-total, Dentist
13 outlets
21,900
Barrhaven Chiropractic
900 Greenbank Road
2,500
Barrhaven Village Square Family Chiropractic
1581 Greenbank Road
2,000
Chiropractic Health Centre
1,300
Greenbank Chiropractic Centre
804 Greenbank Road
Marketplace Chiropractic Centre
1,200
South Nepean Family Chiropractic Clinic
1 Tartan Drive
1,200
Strandherd Crossing Chiropractor
1,200
Sub-total, Other Health Practitioner - Chiropractor
560
7 outlets
9,960
Advanced Physiotherapy
790
Family Physio Centre
1,800
Professional Physio Plus
5,000
Sub-total, Other Health Practitioner - Physiotherapy
CRG Consulting
Page II.14 of II.27
3 outlets
7,590
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Physician
Active Care Walk In Clinic
16 Green Street
1,600
Medical Centre
3,400
Medical Clinic
900 Greenbank Road
3,100
Pinecrest Queensway Community Health Cent
2,900
Sub-total, Physician
4 outlets
11,000
Optometrist
1581 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Other Health Practitioner - Optometrist
Sub-total, Health Care Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.15 of II.27
2,600
1 outlet
2,600
28 outlets
53,050
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Beauty Salon
Angel Beauty
1,300
Barrhaven Beauty Salon
808 Greenbank Road
1,800
Cappucci Hair Studio
1,300
Herbal Magic
900 Greenbank Road
1,600
Laser Esthetique
1,300
Milly's Salon
1 Tartan Drive
1,100
Pure Hair Design
1,600
Salon Silk
1,600
Serenity Salon & Spa
1 Jockvale Road
1,200
Souls Parlour
900 Greenbank Road
Spa Haven
1,200
Tabby's Hair Studio
1581 Greenbank Road
1,100
Trade Secrets
1,200
Sub-total, Beauty Salon
700
13 outlets
17,000
Unisex Hair Salon
Family Hair Salon
860
First Choice Hair Cutters
1,000
1,400
Magicuts
1,100
Magicuts
900 Greenbank Road
1,600
Sub-total, Unisex Hair Salon
5 outlets
5,960
Advanced Massage
10 Green Street
Jockvale Massage Therapy
1581 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Other Personal Care Service - Massage
CRG Consulting
2,900
790
2 outlets
Page II.16 of II.27
3,690
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Dry Cleaning
Brown's Cleaners
580
Brown's Cleaners - Sears Catalogue Store
450
Browns Cleaning
808 Greenbank Road
1,300
Goodfellow Cleaners
960
Lyra Drycleaning
990
Star Fashion Cleaners
440
Sub-total, Dry Cleaning
6 outlets
4,720
Black's
81 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Photo Finishing Service
1,600
1 outlet
1,600
iTan Studios
1581 Greenbank Road
1,200
Palm Beach Mega Tan
1,800
Sub-total, Ear Piercing/Tattooing/Tanning Salon
2 outlets
3,000
Le Look Hair & Tanning Studio
1,400
Shear & Tan
1,200
Sub-total, Unisex Hair Salon + Tanning Salon
2 outlets
2,600
Weight Loss Centre
Weight Watchers
Sub-total, Weight Loss Centre
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
Barber Shop
Barrhaven Barber Shop
804 Greenbank Road
310
Barrhaven Barbers
1,200
Sub-total, Barber Shop
CRG Consulting
2 outlets
Page II.17 of II.27
1,510
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Lovely Nails
1,300
Lovely Nails & Spa
1,600
Nice One Nails Tanning
129 RioCan Avenue
2,700
Star Nail
580
T. Nails
900 Greenbank Road
740
Sub-total, Beauty Salon - Nails
Sub-total, Personal and Laundry Services
5 outlets
6,920
39 outlets
48,800
Cineplex Odeon
131 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Movie Theatre/Cinema
26,900
1 outlet
26,900
Curves
35 Larkin Drive
GoodLife Fitness
Sub-total, Fitness and Recreational Sports Centre
Sub-total, Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Facilities
CRG Consulting
Page II.18 of II.27
2,100
14,000
2 outlets
16,100
3 outlets
43,000
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Bank
Alterna Savings
1,200
Bank of Montreal
5,600
CIBC
3,700
Citi Financial
2,100
RBC
4,600
RBC Royal Bank
6,500
Royal Bank
1 Jockvale Road
Scotiabank
8,700
Scotiabank
3,900
TD Bank
4,800
TD Canada Trust
6,500
Sub-total, Bank
Sub-total, Financial Institutions
CRG Consulting
Page II.19 of II.27
680
11 outlets
48,280
11 outlets
48,280
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Greco Martial Arts
3023 Cedarview Road
3,600
K2 Martial Arts
3,200
Stronger You Martial Arts And Fitness
1,700
Taekwondo
2,100
Sub-total, Athletic Instruction - Martial Arts
4 outlets
10,600
Grade Expectations Learning Centre
1 Jockvale Road
1,200
Learna
1,400
Mathnasium The Math Learning Centre
1,100
Oxford Learning
1,200
Sub-total, Other School - Tutoring
4 outlets
4,900
The Canadian School of Dance
900 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Other School - Dance
1,900
1 outlet
1,900
Mountain Goat Yoga Centre
Sub-total, Athletic Instruction - Yoga
2,700
1 outlet
2,700
Ottawa School Of Piano
Sub-total, Other School - Piano
1,300
1 outlet
1,300
D T S M Driving Schools Inc
Sub-total, Other School - Driving
Sub-total, Educational Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.20 of II.27
1,100
1 outlet
1,100
12 outlets
22,500
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Blockbuster
900 Greenbank Road
7,600
Flicks & Flavours Ice Cream
2,000
Rogers Video
4,600
Rogers Video
5,000
Sub-total, Video Tape and Disc Rental
Sub-total, Consumer Rental Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.21 of II.27
4 outlets
19,200
4 outlets
19,200
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Veterinarian
Barrhaven Veterinary Hospital
1,800
Chapman Mills Animal Hospital
1,500
Greenbank Animal Hospital
3160 Greenbank Road
3,500
Sub-total, Veterinarian
3 outlets
6,800
Caldwell Banker
Remax
129 RioCan Avenue
3,400
Royal Lepage
5,200
Sub-total, Real Estate Agent/Broker
790
3 outlets
9,390
Allstate
2,400
Baizana Insurance Brokers
806 Greenbank Road
1,200
Co-Operators
1,700
The Co-Operators
1,000
Sub-total, Insurance Agent/Broker
4 outlets
6,300
Legal
Bradly, Hiscock Law Office
1581 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Legal
2,900
1 outlet
2,900
Edward Jones Investments
10 Green Street
1 Tartan Drive
Sub-total, Investment Advice/Financial Planning
630
1,200
840
3 outlets
2,670
Tax Preparer
H & R Block
Sub-total, Tax Preparer
Sub-total, Professional Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.22 of II.27
1,400
1 outlet
1,400
15 outlets
29,460
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Travel Service
Algonquin Travel
Barrhaven Travel
Cruiseship Centre
1581 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Travel Service
530
1,200
940
3 outlets
2,670
The UPS Store
900 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Business Service Centre
Sub-total, Administrative Services
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
4 outlets
4,470
Social Services
A Gym Tale
2,700
Cornerstone Montessori
1,900
Little Angels Academy Montessori
3023 Cedarview Road
2,700
Little Scholars Montessori
2,400
1,200
Montessori Daycare
2,500
Playhouse Learning Centre
5,800
Sub-total, Child Day-Care Services
Sub-total, Social Services
7 outlets
19,200
7 outlets
19,200
Certigard
890 Greenbank Road
Sub-total, Mechanical and Electrical
Sub-total, Automotive Repair and Maintenance
CRG Consulting
Page II.23 of II.27
2,200
1 outlet
2,200
1 outlet
2,200
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Services
Barrhaven Vacuum
129 RioCan Avenue
Sub-total, Appliance - Computer Repair
1,200
1 outlet
1,200
Prestige Tailors
Sub-total, Other Personal and Household Goods - Tailor
1,300
1 outlet
1,300
Overtime Sports Repair
Sub-total, Other Personal and Household Goods
Sub-total, Personal Goods Repair and Maintenance
560
1 outlet
560
3 outlets
3,060
Money Mart
Sub-total, Cheque Cashing Service
Sub-total, Other Lending Services
Sub-total, Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.24 of II.27
2,100
1 outlet
2,100
1 outlet
2,100
182 outlets
409,420
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Automotive
Vehicle Dealers
New Cars
Jack May Pontiac Buick
3788 Prince of Wales Drive
Sub-total, New Cars
Sub-total, Vehicle Dealers
12,000
1 outlet
12,000
1 outlet
12,000
Gasoline Stations
Esso on the Run
3,500
Petro Canada Gas/Convenience
1,000
Sunoco/Horizon
1,800
Sub-total, Gasoline Station with Convenience Store
3 outlets
6,300
Canadian Tire Gas Bar
2201 Greenbank Road
1,300
Petro Canada
2,400
Petro Canada
1,400
Shell
2,200
Sub-total, Gasoline Station without Convenience Store
Sub-total, Gasoline Stations
Sub-total, Automotive
4 outlets
7,300
7 outlets
13,600
8 outlets
25,600
Other Services
Civic and Social Organizations
RCL Branch 64 Legion
3023 Cedarview Road
Sub-total, Royal Canadian Legion
Sub-total, Civic and Social Organizations
Sub-total, Other Services
CRG Consulting
Page II.25 of II.27
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
1 outlet
1,800
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Public Administration
Lisa MacLeod MPP
Sub-total, Public Administration
CRG Consulting
Page II.26 of II.27
1,400
1 outlet
1,400
1 outlet
1,400
1 outlet
1,400
Business Name
Size
(sq. ft.)
Address
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
810 Greenbank Road
3,300
Vacant
1,400
Vacant
1,500
Vacant
8,700
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
1,000
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
129 RioCan Avenue
5,400
Vacant
5,500
Vacant
800
Vacant
10 Green Street
2,700
Vacant
1,100
Vacant
1,000
Vacant
790
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
3023 Cedarview Road
2,000
Vacant
3,500
Vacant
1,600
Sub-total, Vacant
Sub-total, Vacant
Sub-total, Vacant
GRAND TOTALS
CRG Consulting
Page II.27 of II.27
980
30,500
23 outlets
81,370
23 outlets
81,370
23 outlets
81,370
295 outlets
1,500,390
Appendix III – Business Listing by Commercial Area
- III -
APPENDIX III: BUSINESS LISTING BY COMMERCIAL AREA
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 1 - Cedarview
Quickie
Pizza Haven
3023 Cedarview Road
3023 Cedarview Road
2,700
1,300
Convenience Store
Taste Better Chinese Restaurant
3023 Cedarview Road
940
Greco Martial Arts
Little Angels Academy Montessori
3023 Cedarview Road
3023 Cedarview Road
3,600
2,700
RCL Branch 64 Legion
3023 Cedarview Road
1,800
Vacant
3023 Cedarview Road
2,000
Vacant
Quickie
Pete & Gus Meat Market
1 Jockvale Road
1 Jockvale Road
2,800
590
Convenience Store
Meat
Book Stop
1 Jockvale Road
770
San Marino
Serenity Salon & Spa
1 Jockvale Road
1 Jockvale Road
590
1,200
Books and News
Royal Bank
1 Jockvale Road
680
Grade Expectations Learning Centre
1 Jockvale Road
1,200
Rexall Guardian
Two Monkeys
1,400
1,400
Pharmacy/Drug Store
The Royal Oak
Beauty Salon
Bank
3,700
Dentistry@Cedarview (Dr. Ziereisen)
Pinecrest Queensway Community Health Centre 4100 Strandherd Drive
1,600
2,900
Dentist
Physician
Salon Silk
1,600
Beauty Salon
Lovely Nails & Spa
1,600
RBC
Allstate
4,600
2,400
Bank
2,400
Vacant
Vacant
1,600
1,600
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
1,600
1,600
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
1,600
Vacant
Sub-total, Cedarview
CRG Consulting
57,670
Page III.1 of III.8
31 outlets
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 2 - Greenbank/Fallowfield
Petro Canada
Steel's Retailing
2,400
2,100
Housewares
KFC
1,000
Joe's Palace
Lotus Chinese Food
790
680
Advanced Physiotherapy
790
Vacant
1,100
Vacant
Vacant
Vacant
1,000
790
Vacant
Vacant
Family Dentistry
10 Green Street
1,300
Dentist
Advanced Massage
10 Green Street
10 Green Street
2,900
630
Vacant
10 Green Street
2,700
Vacant
Pharmasave
16 Green Street
2,500
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Active Care Walk In Clinic
Greenbank Chiropractic Centre
16 Green Street
804 Greenbank Road
1,600
560
Physician
Barrhaven Barber Shop
804 Greenbank Road
310
Baizana Insurance Brokers
Barrhaven Beauty Salon
806 Greenbank Road
808 Greenbank Road
1,200
1,800
Barber Shop
Beauty Salon
Browns Cleaning
808 Greenbank Road
1,300
Dry Cleaning
Vacant
810 Greenbank Road
3,300
Vacant
Certigard
Food Basics
890 Greenbank Road
900 Greenbank Road
2,200
26,500
Supermarket
Pharma Plus
900 Greenbank Road
14,200
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Overstalks
Frank Jewellery
900 Greenbank Road
900 Greenbank Road
4,500
860
Variety Store
Jewellery
Brass & Gift Shop
900 Greenbank Road
2,000
Greenfields Pub and Eatery
900 Greenbank Road
4,800
Barrhaven Chiropractic
Medical Clinic
900 Greenbank Road
900 Greenbank Road
2,500
3,100
Physician
Souls Parlour
900 Greenbank Road
700
Herbal Magic
Magicuts
900 Greenbank Road
900 Greenbank Road
1,600
1,600
Beauty Salon
Beauty Salon
Unisex Hair Salon
T. Nails
900 Greenbank Road
740
The Canadian School of Dance
900 Greenbank Road
1,900
Blockbuster
The UPS Store
900 Greenbank Road
900 Greenbank Road
7,600
1,800
Beer Store
35 Larkin Drive
4,100
Beer
Curves
35 Larkin Drive
2,100
Sub-total, Greenbank/Fallowfield
CRG Consulting
113,550
Page III.2 of III.8
39 outlets
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 3 - Barrhaven Town Centre/Jockvale
Greenbank Animal Hospital
McDonald's
3160 Greenbank Road
3,500
4,400
Veterinarian
Your Independent Grocer
41,100
Supermarket
Shoppers Drug Mart
Dollarama
18,500
11,100
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Dollar Store
Here we Grow Again
3,100
Home Depot
130,000
Subway
Little Caesars Pizza
1,400
1,200
Swiss Chalet
5,800
Vietnamese Restaurant
Broadway Bar & Grill
3,000
6,500
Barrhaven Family Dentistry
1,100
Dentist
Family Physio Centre
1,800
Star Fashion Cleaners
Le Look Hair & Tanning Studio
440
1,400
Dry Cleaning
CIBC
3,700
Bank
Bank of Montreal
Learna
5,600
1,400
Bank
Rogers Video
5,000
Caldwell Banker
790
Co-Operators
Algonquin Travel
1,700
530
Travel Service
Cornerstone Montessori
1,900
A Gym Tale
Sunoco/Horizon
2,700
1,800
Vacant
5,500
Vacant
Vacant
800
Vacant
Mac's
Wine Craft
1 Tartan Drive
1 Tartan Drive
2,200
1,200
Convenience Store
Mr Mozzarella
1 Tartan Drive
1,200
Winner House Chinese Food
South Nepean Family Chiropractic Clinic
1 Tartan Drive
1 Tartan Drive
1,100
1,200
Milly's Salon
1 Tartan Drive
1,100
Beauty Salon
1 Tartan Drive
1,200
Sub-total, Barrhaven Town Centre/Jockvale
CRG Consulting
274,960
Page III.3 of III.8
35 outlets
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Bulk Barn
Mark's Work Wearhouse
3161 Greenbank Road
3161 Greenbank Road
4,800
10,100
Bulk Food
Family Clothing
Liz Claiborne
3161 Greenbank Road
4,700
Women's Clothing
Reitman's
Nygard
3161 Greenbank Road
3161 Greenbank Road
7,500
9,500
Women's Clothing
Women's Clothing
Tweed & Hickory
3161 Greenbank Road
7,500
Play It Again Sports
3161 Greenbank Road
3,500
Pet Smart
Hallmark
3161 Greenbank Road
3161 Greenbank Road
10,100
5,400
Loblaws
3201 Greenbank Road
139,000
General Nutrition Centre
Buck or Two
1,300
4,300
Health Supplements
Dollar Store
Bell World
1,000
Telephone
EB Games
1,200
Hobby, Toy and Game
Pizza Pizza
Dairy Queen
2,600
2,300
Extreme Pita
1,100
Booster Juice
Joey's Only Seafood Restaurant
980
2,300
Captial Orthodontist-Dr. Clarke
2,500
Dentist
Chapman Mills Dental-Dr. Fayad
1,500
Dentist
Pure Hair Design
1,600
1,000
Beauty Salon
Unisex Hair Salon
Prestige Tailors
1,300
Bouclair
Select Floral
10,100
580
Business Name
Node 4 - Trinity Commons
Pet and Pet Supply
Greeting Cards
Supermarket
Florist
Randall's Paints Ltd
5,600
Paint and Wallpaper
Kelsey's
5,100
Palm Beach Mega Tan
Star Nail
1,800
580
Laurier Optical
5,100
Optician
Pennington's
Thyme Maternity
5,000
2,600
Women's Clothing
Maternity
Kiddie Kobbler
2,500
Children's Shoes
Payless Shoe Source
2,000
Family Shoes
Byward Bargain Centre
Marketplace Chiropractic Centre
1,500
1,200
Trade Secrets
1,200
Beauty Salon
D T S M Driving Schools Inc
Barrhaven Travel
1,100
1,200
Travel Service
Winners
26,200
Family Clothing
Staples Business Depot
25,900
Rogers Wireless
Barrhaven Flooring
700
1,800
Telephone
Floor Coverings
Toy's on Fire
1,800
Hobby, Toy and Game
Fratelli
The Source
81 RioCan Avenue
2,700
2,200
Sleep Country
81 RioCan Avenue
5,000
Mattress
Black's
81 RioCan Avenue
1,600
LCBO
Fitness Depot
120 RioCan Avenue
120 RioCan Avenue
12,100
5,600
CRG Consulting
Page III.4 of III.8
Liquor
Fitness Equipment
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
125 RioCan Avenue
125 RioCan Avenue
19,700
15,000
Books and News
Node 4 - Trinity Commons
Chapter's/Indigo
Sport Chek
Starbucks
125 RioCan Avenue
840
Telus
Edible Arrangements
129 RioCan Avenue
129 RioCan Avenue
1,500
1,200
Shawarma Heaven
129 RioCan Avenue
1,100
Pho'Thi Fusion Restaurant
129 RioCan Avenue
1,600
Barrhaven Dentistry
Nice One Nails Tanning
129 RioCan Avenue
129 RioCan Avenue
1,700
2,700
Dentist
Remax
129 RioCan Avenue
3,400
Barrhaven Vacuum
Vacant
129 RioCan Avenue
129 RioCan Avenue
1,200
5,400
Vacant
Cineplex Odeon
131 RioCan Avenue
Wal-Mart
129,500
TD Canada Trust
Wendy's
6,500
3,200
Bank
Tim Horton's
3,200
Scotiabank
8,700
Bank
Sub-total, Trinity Commons
26,900
593,180
Telephone
69 outlets
Node 5 - Greenbank/Strandherd
Barley Mow Pub
1481 Greenbank Road
4,100
Sobeys
1581 Greenbank Road
33,000
M & M Meat Shops
1581 Greenbank Road
1,400
Sally's Beauty Supply
Barrhaven Source for Sports
1581 Greenbank Road
1581 Greenbank Road
1,600
4,000
Beauty Supplies
Supermarket
Benjamin Moore
1581 Greenbank Road
1,400
Paint and Wallpaper
Quizno's Subs
Boston Pizza
1581 Greenbank Road
1581 Greenbank Road
1,200
6,100
Pizza Hut
1581 Greenbank Road
1,200
Barrhaven Square Village Dentists
1581 Greenbank Road
1,600
Dentist
Barrhaven Village Square Family Chiropractic
Optometrist
1581 Greenbank Road
1581 Greenbank Road
2,000
2,600
Tabby's Hair Studio
1581 Greenbank Road
1,100
Beauty Salon
Jockvale Massage Therapy
iTan Studios
1581 Greenbank Road
1581 Greenbank Road
790
1,200
Bradly, Hiscock Law Office
1581 Greenbank Road
2,900
Cruiseship Centre
1581 Greenbank Road
940
Canadian Tire Gas Bar
Canadian Tire
2201 Greenbank Road
2501 Greenbank Road
1,300
69,800
Sub-total, Greenbank/Strandherd
CRG Consulting
138,230
Page III.5 of III.8
Legal
Travel Service
19 outlets
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 6 - Barrhaven Crossing
Pet Valu Better Pet Nutrition
Act 11 Fashions
1,900
1,000
Pet and Pet Supply
Dominos Pizza
1,300
Wans Chinese Food
La Porto A Casa
1,100
2,200
Barrhaven Dental Centre
1,300
Dentist
1,400
Unisex Hair Salon
Brown's Cleaners - Sears Catalogue Store
Citi Financial
450
2,100
Dry Cleaning
Bank
K2 Martial Arts
3,200
Montessori Daycare
Lisa MacLeod MPP
2,500
1,400
Vacant
30,500
Vacant
Vacant
1,000
Vacant
Vacant
8,700
Vacant
Sub-total, Barrhaven Crossing
60,050
15 outlets
Node 7 - Woodroffe/Fallowfield
Petro Canada
1,400
Tim Horton's
3,100
McDonald's
Wizard's Tower
2,400
1,800
Books and News
Printwell
920
Quizno's Subs
1,400
Gabriel's Pizza
Angel Beauty
1,400
1,300
Beauty Salon
Barrhaven Barbers
1,200
Barber Shop
Mathnasium The Math Learning Centre
Mountain Goat Yoga Centre
1,100
2,700
840
Playhouse Learning Centre
5,800
Money Mart
2,100
Sub-total, Woodroffe/Fallowfield
CRG Consulting
27,460
Page III.6 of III.8
14 outlets
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 8 - Woodroffe/Longfields
Ivonne's Flowers & Gifts
1 for 1 Pizza
1,200
1,200
Florist
Nufortune Restaurant
1,200
Dental Centre
Chiropractic Health Centre
1,300
1,300
Dentist
Lyra Drycleaning
990
Shear & Tan
1,200
Alterna Savings
Flicks & Flavours Ice Cream
1,200
2,000
Bank
Dry Cleaning
Barrhaven Veterinary Hospital
1,800
Veterinarian
Royal Lepage
Vacant
5,200
1,500
Vacant
Vacant
1,400
Vacant
Weight Watchers
1,800
Weight Loss Centre
Taekwondo
2,100
1,200
Sub-total, Woodroffe/Longfields
26,590
16 outlets
12,000
New Cars
Node 9 - Other Woodroffe
Jack May Pontiac Buick
3788 Prince of Wales Drive
Quickie/Tim Horton's/Esso/Pizza Boyz
Shell
1 Rideaucrest Drive
Scotiabank
3,900
Farm Boy
21,400
Nasa Food Centre
Milano Pizzeria
980
980
Johnny Canuck's
3,500
Queensbury Dental Centre
Family Hair Salon
1,900
860
Dentist
Unisex Hair Salon
Chapman Mills Animal Hospital
1,500
Veterinarian
Vacant
980
Vacant
Vacant
3,500
Vacant
Sub-total, Other Woodroffe
CRG Consulting
5,100
2,200
58,800
Page III.7 of III.8
Convenience Store
Bank
Supermarket
Convenience Store
13 outlets
Business Name
Address
Size
(sq. ft.)
Node 10 - Strandherd Crossing
RBC Royal Bank
Subway
6,500
1,800
Bank
Starbucks
Shoppers Drug Mart
International Musicland
1,600
15,700
3,900
China Star
1,200
Guava's Shawarma
1,400
Medical Centre
Laser Esthetique
3,400
1,300
Physician
Beauty Salon
Rogers Video
4,600
Winehaven
Pho Hoa Nam Restaurant
1,300
1,600
Orthodontist Periodontist
2,400
Dentist
Strandherd Crossing Chiropractor
1,200
Spa Haven
Oxford Learning
1,200
1,200
Beauty Salon
The Co-Operators
1,000
H & R Block
GoodLife Fitness
1,400
14,000
Pharmacy/Drug Store
Tax Preparer
A Fine Mess
1,600
Hobby, Toy and Game
Global Pet Food
1,800
Pet and Pet Supply
Southpointe Dental In Barrhaven
Magicuts
1,800
1,100
Dentist
Unisex Hair Salon
Brown's Cleaners
580
TD Bank
Overtime Sports Repair
4,800
560
Metro Strandherd Crossing
41,000
Petro Canada Gas/Convenience
1,000
Sub-total, Strandherd Crossing
120,940
Dry Cleaning
Bank
Supermarket
28 outlets
Node 11 - Strandherd Plaza
Strandherd Dental Clinic
Lovely Nails
1,900
1,300
Dentist
Upper Kids Consignment
1,500
Children's Clothing
Over The Top Computing
Anika Arts & Flowers
1,700
1,500
Florist
Toppers Pizza
1,700
Steamers Coffee House
1,100
Fiamma Retaurant
Go 4 Greek
2,100
1,100
Liu's Cuisine
1,300
Professional Physio Plus
Cappucci Hair Studio
5,000
1,300
Beauty Salon
Goodfellow Cleaners
960
Stronger You Martial Arts And Fitness
1,700
Ottawa School Of Piano
Esso on the Run
1,300
3,500
Sub-total, Strandherd Plaza
GRAND TOTAL, ALL ZONES
CRG Consulting
28,960
1,500,390
Page III.8 of III.8
Dry Cleaning
16 outlets
295 outlets