Markets
Transcription
Markets
“Sustainability… and the Global Lubricants Industry” Apu Gosalia Head of Global Strategic Marketing & Chief Sustainability Officer The 16th ICIS World Base Oils & Lubricants Conference London, 23rd February 2012 Markets 2 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Markets Development Global Lubricants Market 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 36.4 35.6 35.7 35.4 36.1 36.5 36.9 37.1 36.0 32.2 34.5 35.1 -2.2 0.5 -0.8 1.9 1.0 1.2 0.5 -3.0 -10.6 7.0 1.9 Demand in mn t*: Variance in %: *without marine oils 3 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Markets Regional Development Global Lubricants Market 2011 : 2010 Variance (%) North America 1.0 Latin America 3.3 Western Europe 4 FUCHS PETROLUB AG -0.3 Central / Eastern Europe 1.4 Middle East 1.0 Africa 1.0 Asia-Pacific 3.0 World 1.9 Markets Regional Breakdown Global Lubricants Market Volume* 36.4 Latin America 8% 35.1 Western Europe 11% (million tons) 27% 20% Central / Eastern Europe 9% 28% 34% 52% 39% North America 20% 00 0 2 Asia-Pacific & Rest of World Africa 5% Middle East 6% 2011 Asia-Pacific 41% 11 0 2 Americas Europe *without marine oils 5 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 6 FUCHS PETROLUB AG C en t ra l Eu e t ro p Ea s ci W or ld a fic Af ric As ia -P a Am er ic a er n tin as t La /E dl e e a ro p er ic Eu Am n M id te r or th W es N Markets Regional Per-Capita Consumption 2011 kg 20 15 10 5 0 7 FUCHS PETROLUB AG ia n n da U an a Ir a ia ai n st ra l Sp Au an ly rk ey iw Tu Ta Ita K M ex ic o Fr an c In do e ne s Th ia ai la nd C a Br az G i er l m an y Ko re a us si In d Ja pa R a SA hi n U C Markets Ranking Top 20 Lubricant Countries 2011 6,000 K tons 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Markets Product Group Breakdown Global Lubricants Market Process Oils 10% Greases 3% MWF/CP 5% 2011 Industrial Oils 26% 8 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Automotive Oils 56% Manufacturers & Mergers 9 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Manufacturers & Mergers Structure Global Lubricants Industry 1,500 1,200 "Independents" "Majors" 590 200 mid-90s 10 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 180 2000 130 2005 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2005 • FUCHS PETROLUB acquired OVOLINE LUBRICANTS • TOTAL bought African lubricants business of EXXON MOBIL 20 • KKR Investment bought FL SELENIA 18 • ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS bought METAL MATES 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 11 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2006 • JASON acquired Lippert-Unipol from FUCHS PETROLUB • AXEL CHRISTIERNSSON acquired SHELL’s Christol Grease 20 • SHELL acquired 75% of BEIJING TONGYI in China 18 • CHEMTURA acquired HATCO & ANDEROL from Kaufman 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 12 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2007 • FUCHS PETROLUB acquired IGUCIMA’s forging lube business • FUCHS PETROLUB acquired TRIBOTECNICA’s greases 20 • CONDAT purchased HENKEL’s wire drawing lube business 18 • PETRONAS acquired FL SELENIA from KKR Investment 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 13 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2008 • FUCHS PETROLUB acquired MS FLUID TECHNOLOGIES • HOUGHTON acquired D.A. STUART 20 • MILLER INDUSTRIAL FLUIDS acquired CRESCENT OIL 18 • TOTAL Lubricants North America acquired LUBRICANTS USA 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 14 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2009 • FUCHS PETROLUB acquired DYLON INDUSTRIES • PRISTA OIL bought 92% of BOGDANY PETROL 20 • SHELL sold Greek downstream business to MOTOR OIL 18 • TOTAL Lubricants Canada acquired ULTRAMAR’s lube business 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 15 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2010 • FUCHS acquired SHELL’s global food-grade lube business • HOUGHTON acquires Shell’s metalworking oil business 20 • MILACRON acquired STARCHEM metalworking fluids business 18 • QUAKER acquires grease manufacturer SUMMIT LUBRICANTS 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 16 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers M&A Activity Lubricants Sector - Deals 2011 • CEPSA buys CHEVRON’s Spanish lube business • AXEL CHRISTIERNSSON acquires JESCO Resources 20 • QUAKER acquires G.W. Smith & Sons 18 • LUBRIZOL acquires CHEMTOOL 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2005 17 2006 FUCHS PETROLUB AG 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 18 FUCHS PETROLUB AG IN D IA N TA M O IL A AS IN O N NE IL O IL O LI PE TR PE R N LU KO IP PO VA LV N O PE HI NA L N C EM IT SU FU C HS SI N O C ID RO BP TO TA HE V PE TR C SH EL L EX XO N ID LU KO L IL TO TA ZO N PC BP RO N HE V C/ CN PE N C PC R EP S O L AG IP IL EM IT SU N IP PO N O VA IL LV O LI NE FU C HS IN D IA N O IL C L N SH EL EX XO Manufacturers & Mergers Ranking Top 15 Lubricants Manufacturers 2000 2011 Manufacturers & Mergers Demergers & Spin-offs Marathon Oil (upstream) Spin-off in 2 independent energy companies MARATHON Marathon Petroleum Corp. (energy) Exploration & Production (upstream) Separation in 2 stand-alone corporations CONOCO PHILLIPS Refining & Marketing (downstream) Refining & Chemicals Creation of 2 new divisions TOTAL Supply & Marketing 19 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Manufacturers & Mergers Consolidations & Acquisitions Refining CHEVRON Merger of 2 units Petrochemicals ExxonMobil Fuels Marketing Company Consolidation of 2 businesses ExxonMobil Lubricants & Petroleum Specialties Company EXXON MOBIL Fuels, Lubricants & Specialties Marketing Company TruSouth Oil CALUMET Hercules 20 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Acquisition of 2 companies Sustainability 21 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Sustainability Terminology Origin: Kursächsische Forstordnung, 1560 Hans Carl von Carlowitz, 1713 Hermann Friedrich von Göchhausen, 1732 Georg Ludwig Hartig, 1795 "Sustainability is the way of cultivation of a forest, in which only as much wood is removed, so that the forest is never cut down entirely, and can regenerate itself again" 22 Root: term derived from the Latin word sustinere (tenere = “to hold” / sus = “up”) main meanings in dictionaries refer to “maintain", "support“ or "endure” Definition: “Sustainable development meets present needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs“ FUCHS PETROLUB AG Sustainability Code of Responsible Conduct for Business social ecological 23 FUCHS PETROLUB AG economic Sustainability Drivers Internal Drivers 24 External Drivers Mission Statement Economy Competitiveness Stakeholders / Financial Market Credibility Customers Employee Loyalty Suppliers Efficiency Enhancement Society / Community Capital Access Politics / NGOs Employer Branding Media Quality Improvement Future Generations FUCHS PETROLUB AG Sustainability Triple-Bottom-Line Sustainability Economic Raw materials / Procurement / Production / Inventory 25 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Social Ecological Finished Products Internal: Employees External: Community Sustainability Approach Source: Graduate School Rhein-Neckar 26 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Outlook 27 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Markets Outlook Global lubricant demand in 2011 was promising in the 1st half, but tightened in the 2nd half, i.e. we had a moderate market increase in 2011 and will see a volatile year 2012 Regional lube market dynamics of the past ten years in terms of quantity and quality will continue in the future Changing raw material input split of base oils and additives as well as their qualities will influence lubricants manufactured and consumed and vice-versa Europe & Americas Mature markets with growth in quality and emerging markets with growth in quantity Asia-Pacific and Rest of World Mature & Emerging / Quantity & Quality / Sustainability? 28 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Manufacturers & Mergers Outlook M&A activity could increase, because … -> after recession greater availability of investment capital available M&A activity could increase, because … -> deals on hold in recession move forward as economy improves M&A activity could increase, because … -> niche players who suffered in recession become attractive targets M&A activity could increase, because … -> smaller players have no resources to bear costs of REACH, etc. M&A activity could increase, because … -> of the recent demergers, spin-offs, separations of Majors 29 FUCHS PETROLUB AG Sustainability Outlook “We do not inherit the earth from our parents, we borrow it from our children” Antoine de Saint Exupéry 30 FUCHS PETROLUB AG