Monthly balance and water discharge of an inter
Transcription
Monthly balance and water discharge of an inter
J ournal of Glaciology, Vol. 41, No . 137, 1995 Monthly balance and water discharge of an inter-tropical glacier: Zongo Glacier, Cordillera Real, Bolivia, 16° S BERNARD FRAf\C O U, PI ERRE RIBSTEI N, L' Institut FranJais de Recherche Scientifiqlle pour le D eveloppement en Cooperation, CP 9214, La Pa;:., Bolivia RONALD S ARA VIA, Compania Boliviana de Energia E lectrica , CP 353, La Pa;:., Bolivia ERI C TIRI AU L' lnstitut FranJais de Recherche Scientifique pour le Developpement en Cooperation, CP 9214, La Pa;:., Bolivia ABSTRACT . M eas urem ents of m ass bala nce we re performed eve ry m o nth on Zongo Gl acier, Bolivia. Simulta neously, wa ter-discha rge, tempera ture a nd precipitation d a ta we re obtained. The first yea r of the survey, 199 1- 92, was m a rked by a n ENSO (El Nifio- So uth e rn O scill a ti o n ) eve nt with hig h tempera tu re a nd low precipitation , whilst th e following yea r, 1992- 93, was n o rm a l. R es ults p o int to the earl y a nd la te we t seaso n (O ctober- D ecember and M a rch- M ay) as pl aying a criti cal role in the d etermin a tio n of the annu al m ass balance . Th e we t seaso n is th e wa rmes t period of the year a nd co nsequ entl y th e dura ti on orth e we t seaso n is a highl y rel eva nt va ri a bl e in d etermining m ass balance . Bo th g laeiologica l a nd h ydrological m eth ods for th e d etermin a tion of the m ass balance p rovid e simil ar r es ults. Our stud y co nfirms th a t ENSO events have a m aj o r inOuence o n th e ra pid glacie r retreat currentl y a ffec ting this pa rt of the And es. INTRODU CTION Very few studies h a ve b een perform ed on th e m ass bala nce of glaciers situ a ted between the tropics . The only studi es so fa r published a re of Lewis Glacier in K en ya (Hastenra th , 1984, 1989 ) a nd of two g laciers in the Curdill er a Bla nca, Peru (Ames, 1985; K ase r a nd others, 1990) . Th ese studies wer e co nducted b y collecting d ata on a yea rl y basis and wer e not coupled with systema ti c runoff m eas urements. H owever, th e coincid en ce at low la titud es between the wet seaso n, favo ura bl e to acc umul a tio n , a nd the wa rm period , wh en a bla tion is m aximum , m a k es it difficult to acquire kn owledge of glacier mass ba la n ce fr om simple annu a l d a ta . Furth ermore , th e precipita ti o n distribution is fairl y va ri a ble from yea r to yea r a nd th e dura ti on of the rain y sea o n is ye t more unpredi cta ble. The glacier may be ex p ected to react sig nifi ca ntl y to thi s va ri a bility. Thu s, if we want to und ersta nd th e processes th a t co ntro l g lacier mass b a la n ce in th e e regions, it is necessa ry to conduct m ea surement on a m onthl y bas is a nd fo ll ow up th e survey over a peri od o f seve ral yea rs. With su ch a n approach , it is possible to a tta in a greater und ersta nding of the main factors that control th e rapid glacie r retreat prese ntly occ urring in thi ' p art of th e And es (Lli bo u try a nd others, 1977 ; Ames , 1985; ] ord a n, 1991 ) , as well as in o th er low-I a ti tud e mo un ta in s (Hastenra th a nd Kruss, 1992 ). Anoth er qu es ti on needing to be addressed is the consequ en ce or an Er SO (El Niiio So uth ern O scill a ti on) event fo r th e glacier m ass b a la nce . Acco rding to th e stud y a t th e Qu elccaya I ce C a p , Peru (Th om pson a nd others, 1984 ) , E N SO even ts co uld a ffect mass ba la n ce b y d ecreasing sn ow acc umula tio n a t high a ltitud e in th e And es. Neverthel e s, the ma rked reduction in precipita ti on d uring th ese e pisodes occ urs during the wa rm sea on , so th e effects o n th e mass bala nce co uld a lso be associated with a strong a bl a ti on (Fra nco u, 1992 ) . Our in vestiga ti on has co n ce ntra ted on two glaciers in th e Cordill era R eal, Bolivia : Z o ngo Gl acier a nd Ch acaltaya Gl acier. This p a per presents the da ta collected on Zongo Gl acier during th e first two hydrological yea rs of th e stud y, fro m September 199 1 to Au g ust 1993 . It repre ents a first a ttempt to prese nt a monthl y pattern of glacier m ass b a la nce in th e trop ics a nd to a n a lyse the effect of a n E N SO event. AREA DESCRIPTION AND D ATA-GATHERING METHODS Th e glacier l S situ a ted in th e Hu ayn a P o toS! massif (6088 m), a t 16° S, in th e Am azo n basin. Thi s vall ey-type glacier is 3 km long and h as a surface a rea of 2.1 km 2 (Fig. I). Th e upper rea ches a re ex posed to the so uth wh ereas the lo wer secti on faces ea t. Th e m axim um a nd minimum eleva tions are 6000 a nd 489 0 m a .s.!. , resp ec61 Journal of Glaciology • Huayna Potosi 6088m " @- Huayna Potosi 165 ~Cha~~ya Lapaz~ 6B W 1 • 3 o 1000 m 2 = = =--- D. 4 5 T 7 +6 R 8 ** Fig. 1. Huayna Potos!' and ,(ongo Glacier with the survey system in 1993. I, Princij)(il peaks; 2, Limits of basin; 3, Stakes; 4, Pits and crevasses; 5, Water-level recorder; 6, Rain-gauges; 7, Thermograph; 8, PyrarlOmeter. tively. The accumul ation zo ne a mo unts to 60% of th e tota l a rea under stead y-state co nditio ns (a nnua l mass balance ap proaching ze ro), at a n eq uilibrium-lin e altitud e (ELA ) of 5 100 m. U nd er similar co nditio ns, avc rage precipitation a t the ELA totals 1.0 m a- I and th e average tempera ture is - 2°C. Thus, it can be dedu ced that this glacier is mainly temperate with a limited cold surface nea r the summit. A 15 stake network was pl aced in the a blation zon e in order to determine the mass bala nce a nd the surface velocity, a ugmented by a further three stakes and several pits in the accu mul a tion zone fro m 5500 to 5800 m (Fig. I). The 15 stakes in the abla tion zo ne were surveyed ever y month a nd th e surface density of the snow a nd ice was m eas ured in order to obtain th e a mount of acc umula ti on and a bl ation in water equivalent. The acc umula tion in the upper reach es of the glacier was reco rd ed immediately before and after the wet seaso n , in September and April. Annu al net balance was evalu a ted between the beginning a nd end of the h ydro logical year, September- August. For the ice falls not surveyed by the stake network (th e 5050--4950 a nd 5500- 5300 m altitude ranges), net balance was estim ated by linear interpolation. Mass balance was a lso computed independ ently by means of a hydrological meth od (Ribstein a nd others, in press), whereby we have the possibili ty of verifying the m ass -b alance valu es obtain ed by the glaciologica l me thod . In ord er for this to be done, a water-level recorder was set at 4830 m (150 m below the glacier terminus ), providin g continuous runoff meas urements. Five storage rain-gauges, surveyed monthly, were p laced near the glacier at 5200 and 4900--4850 m . These raingauges, with a cross-section of 2000 cm 2 , have proved to 62 be suita ble for meas uring snow precipitation a nd have shown an increase of 20% over the precipitation levels indicated by the lone classica l 3 14 cm 2 rain-gauge in place since 1970 on Plataform a Zongo (4770 m ) . In ord er to obtain estim ates of th e parameters co ntrolling glacier ablatio n, thermographs with radiation shields were pl aced at 5200, 4830 and 4770 m. M ore recen tly, in 1993 , pyra nometers capa ble of meas urin g global radiation were sited at 5200 and 4830 m, with a radiometer placed a t 5200 m so as to record the net allwave r adiation. Every year sin ce 1991 , a topographic survey has been condu cted in August o n the 15 ablation stakes and on the terminus contour to give estim ates of the surface velocity and of th e terminus flu c tu ation. During the first year of the stud y, the measured glacier retrea t was 10- 20 m , whereas during the second year the glacier terminu s was stationary . The easy accessibility of the glacier all the year round makes it possible to cl aim high levels of acc uracy for d ata co llected during the 2 years. But the progressive adj ustment of th e survey network during this time does not all ow us to use all the collec ted data in this paper. MONTHLY NET BALANCE IN THE ABLATION ZONE, 1991-93 Th e climates of 1991 - 92 and 1992- 93 present very different p a tterns. The first year was marked by maturephase ENSO conditi on s (Kousky, 1993 ) . V a lu es of the so uth-oscill ation ind ex (the differe nce betw ee n the standardised sea-level pressure anomali es at T a hiti a nd Francolt and others: M onthly balance and water discharge D a rwin ) were strongly nega ti ve, with a minimum - 2.2 sta nd a rdised valu e fo r th e 5 month running mean. This is the lo wes t monthly valu e sin ce th e 1982- 83 episod e, whi ch h as been d esc ribed as a ve ry strong event. Su ch a situ a ti on in th e Pacifl c is associa ted with low precipita tion levels in th e central And es . This o bservation was flrst pointed o ut in the Quelccaya I ce Ca p b y Thompson a nd oth ers ( 1984 ), and a n a lysed furth er b y Franco u a nd Pizarro ( 1985) and T a pley and W aylen (1990), using d a ta co llec ted fro m m eteorological statio ns. Th e second yea r was quite norma l. T emperatures reco rd ed O\'e r a period of 30 a a t the Chacaltaya sta tio n (523 0 m ) , 10 km south of Zongo Gl acier , a nd precipita tion co llee ted over a 20 a period a t Pla taform a Zongo (4 770 m ) ena ble us to calibra te each m o nth during both obser ved years (Fig. 2) . Thus, a clear positive devia tion of th e m aximum temper a ture co uld be o bse rved fro m J a nu a r y to \-l ay during the first yea r , linked with a high er ra dia ti on input a nd a defl cit o f ra infa ll. Durin g a norma l hydrological yea r, 7 months h ave more th a n 50 mm of precipita ti o n , whereas in 199 1- 92 onl y 4 exceed ed this tota l. of Z ongo Glacier with April a nd M ay sh o wing limited abla tion. Th e vari ation in the balance from 5200 m to the terminus for every m o nth of th e flrst year of the stud y is presented in Figure 4a. Imm edia tely b efore and a fter th e J a nuaryMarch period th e major pa rt of the glacier exp eri enced a strong a bl a tio n regim e, even right up to hig h eleva tions. On the oth er h a nd , during a normal year such as 1992- 93 (Fig.4b ), the monthl y ba la nce switched r a pidl y to a positive valu e. Whi lst awaiting d ata ove r a lo nger period of time, we can alread y stress that O cto ber- D ecember and M ar ch M ay a re decisive in the determina ti on of th e annu al m ass b ala nee. I n th e ce ntral And es , th ese are th e months when va ri ability o f clim a te is a t a m aximum. H oweve r, it is o bvious th a t th e co ld , dr y m o nth s of JuneAugust d o h ave a limited influ ence at yea r scale, since the mass bala n ce during th ese m onth s approac h es ze ro. ANNUAL NET BALANCE AND WATER DISCHARGE For each year , th e net ba la n ce f3n has bee n calcula ted by integra ting th e mass bala nce over the to tal surface area S, acco rding to Eq ua tion ( I ). 3 .0 (1) 2 .0 c 0 '"'5'" where Se a nd Sa a re th e a reas co mputed for th e acc umula tio n a nd a bla ti o n zo nes, respec ti vely. 1.0 (I) "0 ~ !ii "0 0.0 " ;; -1.0 a -2.0 0.0 4 I O. >- ." E 0 !ii I -0. 04 -0.08 b -0. 12 S 0 N 1991 0 I J F M A M J O ND 1 J 1992 F M AMJJA 1993 Fig . 2. Standard dev iation of (a ) maximum and minimum 1991- 93 monthly temperatures from the 1953 93 mean at Chacaltaya (5230 m); ( b) monthly 1991- 93 precipitation fro m the 1972- 93 mean at Platafa nna Zongo (4 770 m) . As presented in Fi g ure 3, th e m onth ly evo luti on of glacier ba la nce in th e a bla ti on zone is m o re co mplex th a n may be inferred from th e simple we t season/dr y season a ltern a tio n typi cal of th e tropi cs . Durin g th e ENSO event of 199 1 92 a markedl y negati ve net ba la nce occ urred in O cto ber Decem ber a nd M a rch- M ay, just before and after a sh ort period of acc umu lation Ua nu a ry- Febru ary ) . Durin g th e ave rage yea r 1992- 93, nega tive mass ba la nce was limi ted to th e beginning of the h ydro logical year , O ve r th e two yea rs, th e spec ific net ba la nce (f3n ) per year was: In 199 1 92 : 1. 38 m of wa ter in 1992 93 : + 0. 02 m of wa ter. Th e ELA was situ a ted in 199 1 92 a t 53 00m a nd in 1992 93 a t 5 100 5 150 m (Fig . 5). In the sam e fi gure, we note th a t: ( 1) th e curves a re m ore-or-I ess parallel from on e yea r to th e o th er, as alread y obselTed on m a n y middlela titud e g lac iers, first by M eier a nd T ang bo rn ( 1965 ) and LJiboutr y ( 19 74); (2) durin g the ENSO eve nt of 1991 - 92 th e amount o f acc umul a ti o n a t hi gh eleva ti o n is ve ry low and this conflrms th e o bse rva ti ons of Tho mpson and oth ers (J984) in Qu elecaya . In such a case, even a glacier which lik e Z o ngo Gl acier ex tends o\-c r a g rea t altitud e range may be a lm os t completel y submitted to a n a bla tion regim e. As indica ted in Figure 6, th e ENSO eve nt 199 1- 92 was cha rac te rised by hig h run off depths from O cto ber to Dece mber , with tbe December maximum 100 mm (33% ) higher th a n during th e fo llo win g yea r. Furthermore, a seco nd run off peak occ urred in M arch 1992 , with runoff then rem a inin g high in April a nd M ay . This conflrms th a t a mark ed d efi cit in th e precipita tion la te in th e wa rm season, .r--.1a rc h Apri l 1992, a llows a rapid m elting of th e snow cove r acc umu la ted in J a nu a ry- F e bruary. Th e wa ter d isc h a rge a t the o utle t of th e 3 km :! basin was 5.38x 10 6 m 3 in the first year a nd 3.24 x 10 6 m 3 in th e seco nd. C o nsid erin g th e ave rage precipit a ti on (P ) co ll ec ted in th e rain -ga uges, th e tota l precipitation received b y th e glacier was 0. 9 16 m in 199 1 92 and 1.060 m in 1992- 93. We m a y ass um e that th e a rea outsid e th e glacier, 0.9 km 2 , has a runoff coeffi cie nt of 0.8. This coeffi cient is quite importa nt for a free g la cier ca tchment 63 Journal of Glaciology 0.2 ~--~~--,----,---,----,---,----,---,----,---,----,---. 0 . 2 I\ ,"\ 0 ~ '"~ Eo< -0 . 2 Ii< 0 :>: '"u ~ ~ f\vj\~ ~I / - 0.4 ~ - 0.6 V \~ // - 0.2 0: '"~ Eo< \/ II \V I i \/ \ "" ) , 1\ / /~ / 1\ !. - 0.4 Ii< 0 :>: ,/ - 0.6 !Xl - 0.8 - 0. 8 _ 1 ~-,~~.-+-,-~-,-+-,--~,-~-,~-,~--,-+-.-4--.-+-,-L _ 1 9 . 91 5 . 92 1. 92 11.91 3 . 92 9 . 92 7 . 92 1.93 11. 92 5 . 93 3 . 93 7 . 93 MONTH [ - STAKES 1·12 .... _.. STAKES 13-15 Fig . 3. Monthly balance from September 1991 to August 1993 in the ablation zone, calculated using two groups of stakes. Stakes 1~12 are situated near the ELA (5200~5100m) and stakes 13~ 1 5 are near the glacier terminus (4900 m ). The balance was estimated from a monthly stake reading and a density measurement of the snow /ice surface. in this Andean region (Bo urges and others, 1992 ). H ence, the water d ischarge corresponding to th is area was 0.66 x 10 6 m 3 in 199 1~92 and 0.76 x 106 m 3 in 1992~93. Th us, the amount of melted snow and ice corresponding to a 2. 1 km 2 surface area is: in 199 1 ~ 92 : 2.25 m in 1992- 93 : 1.18 m . T he specific net balance ((3n ) and the precipitation (P ) being known, the total ablation (A ) is deduced from Equation (2) : a 5200 5100 5000 A ,. ,,900 fl -.5 -1. .5 .0 = (2) P - (3n ' m In 1 99 1 ~92: tn 1 992~93 : 5600 Z{m) 2.30m 1.04 m. Area km 2 Z{m) b 6000 0 t. 5 ~~=:=::::=~~--r---'~--r--, \\ 5200 5500-1---.' 5100 5000 4900+------------,--------~--~----------~ -1. :5 .0 .5 Pn m wa t er F ig. 4. Monthly net balance ((3m in m of water) as a function of altitude ( Z ) during (a) 199 1~92, and ( b) 1992- 93. Numbers 1~ 1 2 refer to the months. Solid line: S eptember, October, November, April, May. D ashed line: Jun e, Ju ly, August. Dotted line: D ecember, January , February , March. 64 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Fig. 5. Annual net balance ((311 in m of water) as a function of the altitude Z during 1991~92 and 1992~93. It should be noted that the ELA was at 5300 m in 1991- 92 and at 5100 m in 1992~93. Francou and others: M onthly balance and water discharge of Zongo Glacier r--~============~-I'S S60 a SOD ( mm ext. terr. radia . - ra te of O. 74°C 100 m I calculated be twee n th e two th e rmogra phs a t 4 770 a nd 5200 m , this 3°C tempe r a ture is equiva lent to a positi ve temperature o ve r prac ti ca ll y a ll o f th e a bl a ti on zo n e; (3) the precipita tion coll ected a t 4770 m: P in m (T a ble I ; Fig. 6b ). mean time T> 3 C .......- 12 . N E 450 ~ c . Jl 400 '6 i!! 350 With th e specifi c net bal a nce es tima ted in th e a bla tio n zo ne of the g lacie r (f3na in m o f w a ter (T a ble I; Fig . 6 b )) , th e linear regressio n using th e m o nthl y d ata is: 300 0.' b [D rainfall - runoff S f3n a = - 0.07565(c1 T3 - 0.0032 9( H o) + 1.74P + 1.413 wit h 1'2 = 0 .84, n = 24, (3) ,j; 0. -1! wh ere 1'2 is th e co rrela tion coeffi c ie nt a nd n is th e number o f d a ta . ~ 1ii ~ 0.1 It m ay be n o ted th a t dT3 is th e b es t co rrela ted vari a bl e (r1991 1992 1993 Fig . 6. ( a) Extraterrestrial radiation and mean of hours per day with temperature above :ye, and (b) minfall and monthly runoff depth, on Zongo Glacier during the 2years of the stU{ly . Conseq ue n tl y, it should b e n oted th a t th e g laciological a nd h ydrological ba la nces give simil a r res ults. Th e loss by sublim a tion see ms to be ve r y sm a ll , lower th a n 10 % of the tOLa l a bl a ti o n . Consid e rin g th e d a ta acc uracy, th e sublim a tion cann o t b e d e termin ed by m ea ns of th e h ydrolog ic a l ba la nce . This is co nsistent w ith th e low va lu es of sublim a ti on o bta ined by H as tenra th ( 1978) a t th c summit of th c Quelccaya I cc Ca p. FACTORS CONTROLLING THE GLACIER BALANCE Whilst a w a iting th e o ppo rtunity to m od el th e glacier a bla ti on from recentl y insta ll ed tempera ture a nd radi ati on rccord s, we can make a prelimin a r y a ttempt to asce rtain whi c h va riables a r e importa nt in es tim a ting th e specific n e t-ba la nce evolution in th e abla tio n a rea of the g lacier (i.e. b etween 5200 and 4890 m ). A stepwise multiple lin ear regression was a ppli ed to a la rge numbe r of possibl e ind epend ent va ri a bl es. From a mongst a ll of th e ind e pend e nt va ria bles, th e best res ult o btain ed pinpointed the foll o win g three as b eing th e mos t criti cal: ( I) the a m ount of r a di a ti o n from th e Sun arri ving a t th e outer ed ge of th e a tmosph ere, a lso called extra -terre trial ra di a tio n: Ho in \V m 2. This is consta nt a t year scale, a nd obvio usly h as a g rea t inf1u e nce a t hig h a ltitud es a t thi s low la titud e. Th e m onth ly radiatio n va lu es (Tab le I ; Fig. 6a ) we re ca lcula ted u sing th e equation s of Pa ltridge a nd Pl a te ( 1976 ); (2) the ave rage d a il y dura ti on of a ir te mperature g reater th a n 3°C a t Pl a ta form a Z o n go (4770 m ): dT3 in h d I (T a ble 1; Fig. 6a ). Gi ve n th e lapse = -0.72 ) . With th e run off depth Q (in m ) as th e d e p end ent va ri a ble (T a b le I ; Fig. 6b ) , th e b est regressio n was ob ta ined using th e Ho a nd dT3 va ri a bles : Q = 0.00128( Ho) + 0.023 58(c1T3) - 0.538 wi t h 1'2 = 0. 86, n = 24. Thi s tim e, t h e va ri a bl e w ith coefIi cient is Ho: l' = 0. 80. (4) th e bes t co rr e la ti o n These res u lts suggest the fo ll owin g three co mm ents: (I) T emper a ture a nd ra di a ti o n closely con tro l the a bl a ti o n in th e lower pa rt o f Lh e glacier . (2) Th e g reates t a mount of sola r ra di a ti on, leadin g to th e melting of th e grea tes t qu a ntit y of sn o w a nd ice, occ urs near th e tim e o f th e summ er sol sti ce. Th e refore, we ca n begin to unde rsta nd w h y a defi c it in p rec ipita ti o n , a nd h enee less fr eCju elll cl o ud- cove r durin g this p e ri od , leads to the m os t sig nifi ca nt m ell. Acco rdin g to th e obser va tio ns of Ribste in a nd o th e rs (in press ), th e hi g h es t disc ha rge reco rded a t t h e limnimet ri c sta tio n occ urred a fter a 10 d dr y pe ri od durin g th e wa rm season (O c to ber M a rc h ) . It is clea r th at dry pe ri od s durin g th e w a rm seaso n a re m o re frequ e nt durin g ENSO eve nts. It sho uld be noted th a t th e a bla tio n produ ced durin g th e dry seaso n (April- Septem ber ) ~\' i t h low ra di a ti o n is no t ve r y sig nifi ca nt a t yea r sca le. (3) Precipita ti o n appears to b e poo rl y correl a ted with glacie r a bl a ti on a nd run off, since in ge n e ra l th e precipita ti o n is of a solid fo rm . Acc umul a ted snow a nd h a il have a melt time va rying acco rdin g to th e clim a tic conditio n s. It might be possible a t a la te r stage to determin e these co nditi o n s. CONCLUSIONS F o r th e first tim e, the coll ec ti o n of m o nth ly d a ta on a n inte r-tropical g lacier a ll ows us to hig hlig ht the m os t importa nt fac to rs th a t co ntro l m ass ba la nce a t lo w la titud es. Th ese fac to rs a rc th e dura ti on o f th e we t season within th e wa rm peri o d , and th e tempe ra ture 65 Journal oJ Glaciology Table 1 Month September 199 1 O cto ber 1991 1 ovember 1991 D ecem ber 1991 J a nu a ry 1992 Febru ary 1992 March 1992 April 1992 May 1992 Jun e 1992 Jul y 1992 August 1992 September 1992 O ctober 1992 November 1992 D ece mber 1992 J anu a ry 1993 February 199 3 March 1993 April 1993 M ay 1993 June 1993 July 1993 August 199 3 Balance I R UIlOJJ2 Precipitation 3 dT 3 4 111 m m h Wm- 2 0.378 -0.627 -0.528 -0.576 -0. 178 -0. 13 1 - 0. 507 - 0.671 -0 .6 24 - 0.008 - 0.162 0.000 - 0.165 - 0.388 - 0.329 - 0.144 - 0.009 - 0.222 - 0.089 - 0. 149 - 0.2 52 -0.090 -0. 130 +0.077 0.076 0.205 0.237 0.305 0.171 0.154 0.217 0.168 0.160 0.045 0.025 0.029 0.059 0.136 0.202 0.179 0.102 0.092 0.104 0.058 0.058 0.036 0.026 0.028 0.025 0.042 0.090 0.081 0.164 0.129 0.032 0.015 0 .001 0.018 0.021 0.045 0.021 0.060 0.090 0.123 0.249 0 . 100 0.146 0.063 0.013 0.003 0.004 0.046 4.9 7.4 8.3 8.8 5.2 4.4 8.3 9.7 11.0 5.9 6.0 3.7 5.1 4.7 5.9 3.4 3.5 6.1 4.0 6.4 8.1 8.5 6.1 5.2 403.8 439.2 455 .9 459.8 458.3 448.5 421.5 377.5 334.0 311.6 320.9 357.9 403.8 439.2 455.9 459.8 458.3 448.5 421.5 377.5 334.0 3 11. 6 320.9 357.9 Mean net specific glacier balance in the a blation zone 5200- 49 00 m. Run off d epth related to the basin a rea of 3.0 km 2 recorded a t the limnimetric station. 3 Precipitation at Pl ataforma Z o ngo, 4770 m. 4 D ail y mean of hours with temperature> 3°C at Plataform a Z o ngo, 4770 m. 5 Extraterrestrial radiation. I 2 level during the sensitive period which preced es and follows J a nu a r y-F ebru ar y, the h eig ht of the rainy season . H ence, it can be noted that ma s-balance d etermina tion i more co mpl ex for tropical glaciers than for their cousins a t midd le latitud es , for which only the three summ er months appear to be criti ca l. Since th e climate in this part of the And es is so variable, a longer-term st ud y wi ll be necessar y to better und erstand this subj ect. Th e seco nd conclusion reached concerns the effect of the ENSO events. In compa rison with the " norm a l" 1992- 93 hydrological yea r, 199 1- 92 (a n ENSO event) w as cha rac terised by: (I ) a m a rked ly negative net ba la nce, with a wate r depletion equi valent to twice the a mount of the precipitation acc umul ated; (2) a n in crease in th e elevation of the ELA by 200 m; (3) a reduction of the AAR (acc umulation-a rea ratio ) from 86% to 58%; (4 ) a very low acc umu la tion rate a t high altitud e. The above effects a re a con seq uence of a m arked incr ease of ablation du e to a rise in the m aximum temperature during the summer p eriod , associa ted with increased radiation input, a nd also linked to the d efi cit in 66 acc umulation ansll1g from a foreshorten ed season of 2 instead of the norm a l 4 months. Thus the conclu sions reached by Th ompson a nd o th ers (1984) from the stud y of the Qu elccaya I ce Cap concerning a decrease in the acc umul ation during E:\fSO events a re confirmed . Furthermore, we can ad d that the ENSO effect modifies not only the acc umul a tion term in th e m ass-balance eq uation, but a lso the ablation term, p a rtic ula rly in the present case stud y. Th e observations made during the 199 1- 92 ENSO event a re confirmed by our analysis of water-level records from the Zongo Glacier outlet over a 20 a period (Ribstein a nd others, in press) . The records reveal that the highes t levels of runoff over this p eriod were obtain ed during the three previous ENSO events (1976- 77 , 1982- 83 a nd 1986- 87 ), with a partic ula rl y high peak during the stron g 1982- 83 eve n t. The co ntinu ation of the present stud y over a period of sever a l years would clearly be benefi cia l in furthering our und erstanding as to why tropi cal glaciers are currently experien cing such rapid retreat. Of furth er use would be a long-term stud y of m ass-balance data from variou oth er Andean glaciers. Francou and others: Monthly balance and water discharge of Zongo Glacier It is a lread y widely acknowledged that g lobal a tmospheric warming is a cause of glacier retreat. H owever, oLlr stud y sLlgges ts th a t another important factor is the occurrence of short period s or warm , dry wea ther during the rainy season, a combination that is frequ ently linked to ENSO eve nts. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The glaciological prog ra mm e was initially supported by Dr M. Servant (L' ln stitut Franc;:ais de R echerche Scientifique pour le Devcloppement en Cooperation ). For th e fi eld m eas urements, th e eflorts or F. Quispe a nd th e technicians of the Bolivian Power Company (COBEE ) are much a ppreciated. The comm ents ofDr L. R eynaud , Dr D. MacAyeal and an a nonymou s referee are also gra tefull y ac kn owledged. REFERENCES Ames. A. 1985. 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