October2012
Transcription
October2012
Inside This Issue 1 Financial Results for the 9 Months Ended 30 September 2012 2 Subsidiaries & Associates of QNB Group 2 QNB Market Share 3Performance 4 QNB Share Price 5 Qatar Exchange Trading Activities 6 Net Profit as at 30 June 2012 for Qatar Exchange Listed Companies 7 Top Five MENA Companies 7 Top Ten Ranking Qatari Companies 8 Qatar Exchange Main Financial Indicators 9 GCC Stock Markets and Global Financial Markets 10 Al Watani Fund 1 Performance 11 Al Watani Fund 2 Performance 12 Business Update 13 Corporate Update 14Community QNB Investor is a publication of QNB. It is authored by the Economics, Financial Analysis & Research Department. with that of any other party, and such opinions may not be attributed to All the information in this review has been carefully collated and verified. any other party. However, QNB accepts no liability whatsoever, for any direct or QNB Investor is distributed on a complimentary basis to QNB’s shareholders consequential losses arising from its use. and valued business partners. It may not be reproduced in whole or in part Where an opinion is expressed, unless otherwise cited, it is that of the without permission. authors which does not coincide For your comments: Abdulla Al Sada Economics, Financial Analysis & Research Tel. : (+974) 4453 4641 E-mail: [email protected] To receive your electronic version of QNB Investor on a quarterly basis, kindly go to www.qnb.com.qa to complete your registration. QNB INVESTOR GCEO’s Message Dear Investors, QNB Group has continued its deep commitment to implement ambitious expansion and growth plans throughout all its operations to further maintain its leading position in the financial sector in the Middle East and North Africa region. Financial results for the nine months ended 30 September 2012, demonstrated this commitment with a record net profit of QR6.2 billion, up by 15.0% compared to the same period last year. The Group also recorded strong growth in other indicators with total assets increasing by 25.3% since 30 September 2011 to reach QR351.0 billion, the highest ever achieved. The loan book increased by 41.9% to reach QR238.6 billion, while customer deposits recorded solid growth of 37.4% to QR268.5 billion. Shareholders’ equity increased by 13.1% since 30 September 2011 to reach QR46.2 billion as QNB Group maintained a strong capitalisation in order to support future strategic plans. These results demonstrate QNB›s success in implementing its fiveyear strategic plan aiming at expanding its operations to become an icon in the Middle East and Africa. These results also encourage us to exert more efforts to achieve further expansions and open new markets to realise QNB Group’s goals and targets. Ali Shareef Al-Emadi Group Chief Executive Officer Financial Results for the Nine Months Ended 30 September 2012 QNB Group Financial Highlights • Net Profit up by 15.0% to QR6.2 billion • Total Assets up by QR70.9 billion (25.3%) since September 2011 to QR351.0 billion • Total Loans and advances up by QR70.4 billion (41.9%) since September 2011 to QR238.6 billion • Total Customer Deposits up by QR73.1 billion (37.4%) since September 2011 to QR268.5 billion • Earnings per share increased to QR8.9 compared to QR8.3 in September 2011 • Total Equity up by QR5.4 billion (13.1%) since September 2011 to QR46.2 billion 6.5 5.2 9.00 6.75 3.9 4.50 2.6 1.3 2.25 0.0 0.00 400 250 320 200 240 150 160 100 80 50 0 0 QNB Group Key Performance Indicators September 2012 September 2011 Net Profit QR6.2 billion QR5.4 billion Total Assets QR351 billion QR280 billion 25.3% Loans and Advances QR239 billion QR168 billion 41.9% Customer Deposits QR268 billion QR195 billion 37.4% Total Equity QR46 billion QR41 billion Earnings per Share QR8.9 QR8.3 300 225 150 75 0 Growth 15.0% 13.1% 1 QNB INVESTOR Subsidiaries & Associates of QNB Group QNB Group Country % Ownership QNB Capital Qatar 100% Switzerland 100% Qatar 100% Indonesia 70% QNB Syria Syria 51% Mansour Bank Iraq 51% Tunisia 50% Bank of Commerce & Development Libya 49% Commercial Bank International UAE 40% Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Jordan 35% Al Jazeera Finance Company Qatar 20% QNB Switzerland QNB Financial Services QNB Kesawan Tunisian Qatari Bank QNB Market Share QNB market share as at June 2012 Net Profit Loans and Advances 43.7% 49.4% 50.6% 56.3% Assets Customers’ Deposits 51.0% 44.7% 49.0% Source: QE and Published Financial Statements. 2 55.3% QNB Group Other Qatari Banks Performance First Qatari Bank Established in Qatar • Stable Shareholders’ Structure since inception, with a 50% stake owned by the Qatar Investment Authority • Sustained Growth in Profitability with diversified income sources • Best Bank in Qatar Award from The Banker, Euromoney, emeafinance, Global Finance & Asian Banker • • First Qatari Bank to launch Local Equity Funds • Largest Financial Institution in the MENA region with Total Assets of QR351 billion in September 2012 • Largest International Network covering 24 countries in the MENA region, Europe, and Asia Capital Adequacy Ratio • Strong of 19.3% in September 2012 compared with 8% for Basel II and 10% for Qatar Central Bank Comprehensive Banking Activities Retail, Corporate, Treasury, Asset & Wealth Management, Brokerage, Financial Advisory & Custody Asset Quality with a NPL • High ratio of 1.2% with a coverage ratio of 116%. Among the Highest Rated Banks in the Region Fitch Capital Intelligence Standard & Poor’s Moody’s A+ AA- A+ Aa3 QNB’s Key Achievements During the First Nine Months of 2012 • QNB established a dedicated Mortgage Loan Centre providing comprehensive mortgage products and services. • QNB launched the first Mobile Near Field Communication (NFC) Payments Program in Qatar in collaboration with to the latest update published by Global Finance in April 2012. • QNB increased its stake in the UAE-based Commercial Bank International to 40% Qtel, Obethur and MasterCard. • QNB successfully closed a syndicated facility amounting • QNB Group was ranked as the most valuable brand in the to US$1.8 billion MENA region, with a world ranking of 114 from 189 in 2011 by Global Finance. • QNB Group was appointed as official dividend distribution agent for various listed companies including Industries • QNB launched depository services in Qatar Exchange • The bank increased its stake in Mansour Bank in Iraq to 51% Qatar, Al Meera, Nakilat, Qtel, Barwa and GIS. • QNB acquired a 49% stake in Bank of Commerce & • QNB Group was named one of the World’s 50 Safest Banks and one of the Safest Banks in the Middle East, according Development in Libya 3 QNB INVESTOR QNB Share Price QNB Group Share Price 16,000 140 14,000 138 12,000 136 10,000 134 8,000 132 6,000 130 4,000 128 2,000 126 0 124 9/30/11 12/30/11 3/30/12 31/06/2012 9/30/12 Note: Starting from April 2012, a new banking sector index was introduced by Qatar Exchange. NoSource: QNB Group and QE. In the Third Quarter of 2012, QNB Share Price increased by 3.1% while the Qatar Exchange Index increased by 4.8% and the Banking Index increased by 3.7% in the Third Quarter of 2012. QNB’s Earning Per Share (EPS) increased to QR8.9 in the Third Quarter of 2012, which is the highest in the Banking Sector. QNB Group Share Price Movements Vs QE Index 900 140 138 880 136 860 134 840 132 820 130 128 800 126 780 124 760 122 Source: QNB Group and QE. 4 Qatar Exchange Trading Activities Value of Shares Traded by Sector 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0 Banking & Consumer Goods Financial Services & Services Industrials Insurance Real Estate Telecom Transport Source: QNB Group and QE. Trading Activities QNB Group Trading Data No. of Shares Traded Qatar Exchange Q2 2012 Q3 2012 6,156,634 6,024,940 Trading Data No. of Shares Traded Value of Shares Traded (QR Million) 823.2 806.2 Value of Shares Traded (QR Million) No. of Contracts 7,444 6,841 No. of Contracts Executed Q2 2012 Q3 2012 94,533 95,023 699,729,438 699,729,438 Market Capitalisation (QR Million) No. of Subscribed Shares Market Capitalisation (QR Million) Index Q2 2012 Q3 2012 749,843,459 943,575,023 19,397 23,854 303,549 192,573 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 446,101 468,216 8,123.0 8,510.2 Source: QNB Group and QE. • The number of QNB Shares traded during the Third Quarter of 2012 declined to 6.0 million Shares compared to 6.1 million Shares during the Second Quarter of 2012. • The QE Index increased by 4.8% to reach 8,510.2 points during the Third Quarter of 2012 compared to 8,123.0 points in the Second Quarter of 2012. • The value of QNB Shares traded declined by 2.1% to reach 806 million in the Third Quarter of 2012. • QE Market Capitalisation increased by 5.0% during the Third Quarter of 2012, to reach QR 468.2 billion compared to QR 446.1 billion in Second Quarter 2012. • During the Third Quarter of 2012 the number of QNB contracts declined by 8.1% compared to decline by 36.6% in the QE contracts. Source: QNB Group and QE. 5 QNB INVESTOR Net Profit as of June 2012 for QE Listed Companies Net Profit (QR million) QNB Qatar Islamic Bank Commercialbank Doha Bank ahlibank International Islamic Al Rayan Bank al khaliji National Leasing Dlala Qatar Oman Co Islamic Holding Banks & Financial Services Sector Zad Co Qatar-German Medical Co Salam International Investment Medicare Group Qatar Cinema & Film Distribution Co WOQOD Meat & Livestock Al Meera Consumer Goods & Services Sector Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Co Qatar National Cement Co Industries Qatar Investors Group Qatar Electricity & Water Co Mannai Aamal Gulf International Services Industrial Sector Qatar Insurance Co Doha Insurance Co General Insurance & Reinsurance Co Al-Khaleej Insurance Co Qatar Islamic Insurance Co Insurance Sector United Development Co Barwa Ezdan Real Estate Co. Mazaya Real Estate Sector Qatar Telecom Vodafone Qatar Telecom Sector Qatar Navigation Co Warehousing Nakilat Transport Sector Total Market 30/12/2011 30/6/2011 30/6/2012 % Change 7,509.0 1,365.1 1,884.0 1,241.2 442.2 653.0 1,408.4 487.0 215.4 22.6 14.8 4.6 15,247.4 85.0 0.4 158.9 39.1 13.4 1,154.6 64.3 77.3 1,593.0 206.3 444.7 7,930.8 74.0 1,299.7 279.2 533.7 293.9 11,062.1 591.8 65.8 170.1 63.5 45.0 936.2 3,746.6 1,252.4 345.4 48.8 5,393.2 2,605.6 3,516.1 703.3 955.6 702.3 237.9 322.3 691.4 249.1 96.6 16.8 12.8 3.1 7,507.5 51.1 -2.1 81.2 24.2 4.2 599.5 18.5 34.9 811.5 97.4 214.3 4,170.6 32.5 668.8 140.5 103.3 140.7 5,568.0 341.9 37.5 76.2 57.0 33.4 546.0 346.8 752.5 103.7 7.0 1,210.0 1,533.1 -122.3 1,410.8 418.0 30.5 381.2 829.8 17,883.5 4,116.1 736.9 1,016.9 739.9 241.0 340.1 725.2 261.9 106.7 30.3 12.7 4.2 8,332.0 63.8 -3.4 38.2 30.7 8.0 561.0 41.7 46.8 786.8 119.0 225.3 4,036.3 64.2 638.8 168.6 102.8 196.5 5,551.5 302.8 41.4 67.6 59.0 34.8 505.6 298.7 593.7 198.0 6.7 1,097.1 1,352.1 -118.3 1,233.8 440.9 40.5 380.7 862.1 18,369.0 17.1% 4.8% 6.4% 5.4% 1.3% 5.5% 4.9% 5.1% 10.5% 80.7% -0.8% 33.5% 11.0% 24.8% 62.3% -52.9% 26.8% 88.4% -6.4% 125.3% 34.0% -3.0% 22.2% 5.2% -3.2% 97.9% -4.5% 19.9% -0.5% 39.7% -0.3% -11.4% 10.5% -11.3% 3.5% 4.4% -7.4% -13.9% -21.1% 91.0% -4.1% -9.3% -11.8% -3.3% -12.5% 5.5% 32.5% -0.1% 3.9% 2.7% 2,605.6 711.0 61.7 832.6 1,605.3 38,442.8 Source: QNB Group and QE. The Banking &Financial Services Sector generated the highest profit among the different sectors on the Qatar Exchange for the First Half of 2012, increasing by 11.0% to reach QR8,332 million, compared to QR7,507 million during the same period in 2011. The Industrial Sector followed with a marginal decline by 0.35% to QR5,551 million compared to QR5,568 million during the same period in 2011.The Telecoms Sector ranked third at Source: QNB and QE. 6 QR1,234 million, compared to QR1,411 million, Real Estate Sector at QR1,097 million, Transportation Sector at QR862 million, Consumer Goods & Services Sector QR787 million and finally the Insurance Sector at QR506 million. Total profit of QE listed companies increased by 2.7% during the first half of 2012 to reach QR18,369 million, compared to QR17,883 million for the First Half of 2011. Top 5 MENA Companies by Market Capitalisation Sep 2012 Company Sector Saudi Arabia Basic Industries Co.(Sabic) Market Value ($bn) Chemicals 72.8 Al Rajhi Bank Banks 28.5 QNB Group Banks 26.1 General Industries 21.3 Telecommunications 21.2 Industries Qatar Saudi Telecom Sabic had the Highest Market Value US$72.8 billion, in the MENA region at the end of September 2012. Al Rajhi Bank came second with a Market Value of US$28.5 billion followed by QNB Group, which came third with a Market Value of US$26.1 billion. Industries Qatar came forth with Market Value of US$21.3 billion and in the fifth place came Saudi Telecom with a Market Value of US$ 21.2 BILLION. Top Ten Ranking Qatari Companies by Market Capitalisation Company Market Capitalisation (QR million) Percentage of Total Market QNB 95,023 20.3% Industries Qatar 77,385 16.5% Ezdan Real Estate Co. 52,254 11.2% Qatar Telecom 33,794 7.2% Al Rayan Bank 20,288 4.3% Commercialbank 18,435 3.9% Qatar Islamic Bank 18,195 3.9% WOQOD 14,865 3.2% Qatar Electricity & Water Co 13,350 2.9% Barwa 11,479 2.5% The Banks and Financial Services Sector had the highest Consumer Goods and Services Sector with 4.6%, the Market Capitalisation as at 30th September 2012 and held a Transport Sector with 3.7% and Insurance Sector with 2.4%. 40.1% Share of the Total Market, followed by the Industrial QNB’s Market Capitalisation was the highest Sector which accounted for 25.1%. The Real Estate Sector among the 42 companies on the Qatar Exchange. ranked third at 15.2%, the Telecome Sector with 8.9%, The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Banks and Financial Services Sector: QNB The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Consumer Goods and Services Sector: WOQOD The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Industrial Sector: Industries Qatar The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Insurance Sector: Qatar Insurance Co. The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Real Estate Sector: Ezdan Real Estate Co. The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Telecom Sector: Qatar Telecom The company with the Highest Market Capitalisation in the Transport Sector: Nakilat Source: QNB Group and QE. 7 QNB INVESTOR Qatar Exchange Main Financial Indicators (30 September 2012) Dividend Yield (%) 0.00 P/B.V Ratio (Times) 2.70 P/E Ratio (Times) 16.85 EPS (QR) 3.97 Comm. Bank of Qatar 8.05 Dlala 2.38 1.33 9.48 7.86 56.22 74.50 3.63 23.26 1.81 11.58 Doha Bank 42.05 8.23 1.63 8.84 6.19 33.64 54.70 Islamic Holding 2.62 3.57 26.85 1.42 10.70 38.20 Al khalij Commercial Bank 5.81 1.17 12.40 1.39 14.77 17.22 Rayan 4.07 2.29 14.04 1.92 11.80 27.00 National Leasing 4.91 1.91 10.42 4.56 24.86 47.50 Qatar Islamic Bank 5.82 1.67 13.06 5.92 46.26 77.30 Intl. Islamic Bank 6.70 1.68 11.78 4.43 31.03 52.20 QNB 2.68 2.20 11.69 11.59 61.64 135.50 Qatar Oman 4.20 1.20 25.56 0.47 9.95 11.91 Banks & Financial Services 4.19 1.91 11.72 5.60 34.30 Medicare 2.82 1.47 24.06 1.62 26.58 39.00 Al Meera 4.27 6.82 18.39 8.92 24.04 164.00 Cinema 2.19 2.72 20.77 3.00 22.95 62.30 Qatar Fuel 2.80 2.88 13.33 21.48 99.50 286.20 Qatar German Co. Med 0.00 0.83 (M) ()س (M) ()س 17.10 14.22 Qatar Meat&Livestock 4.14 5.28 14.91 4.86 13.73 72.50 Salam International 7.40 0.86 13.33 1.01 15.78 13.52 Zad Holding Company 0.00 0.59 11.85 4.88 98.16 57.80 Consumer Goods & Services 3.19 2.21 14.17 6.07 38.86 Aamal 0.00 1.41 17.65 0.90 11.29 Gulf International 4.35 1.69 11.92 2.28 16.04 27.15 Industries Qatar 5.35 2.91 9.89 14.16 48.15 140.10 The Investors 1.99 1.62 29.56 0.85 15.54 25.15 Mannai Corp. 5.56 2.05 11.03 8.98 48.40 99.00 Electricity & Water 4.91 4.39 10.44 12.70 30.15 132.50 Ind. Manf. Co. 5.27 1.81 9.89 5.76 31.43 56.90 National Cement Co. 5.71 2.31 11.31 9.28 45.43 105.00 Industrials 4.80 2.59 10.64 6.91 28.35 Al Kaleej Takaful 6.60 1.18 9.88 4.60 38.62 45.45 Doha Insurance 0.00 1.54 10.26 2.98 19.88 30.60 Qatar Insurance 5.72 1.84 11.28 6.20 38.04 69.90 General Insurance 2.12 1.10 17.02 3.22 49.77 54.80 Islamic Insurance 5.25 3.40 18.43 3.10 16.80 57.10 Insurance 4.49 1.57 12.50 4.67 37.27 Barwa 3.40 0.90 10.48 2.81 32.75 29.45 Ezdan 0.75 1.92 (H) ()م 0.17 10.38 19.97 Mazaya 0.00 1.09 24.39 0.49 10.85 11.84 United Dev. Company 0.00 0.57 1.66 10.97 32.00 18.23 Real Estate 1.10 1.38 13.59 1.52 14.99 Qatar Telecom 1.56 0.80 14.00 7.57 132.79 106.00 Vodafone Qatar 0.00 1.19 (M) ()س 7.63 9.05 Telecoms 1.27 0.85 21.42 1.67 42.03 Gulf warehousing Co 3.72 2.40 22.01 1.83 16.79 40.35 Nakilat 5.32 1.23 10.64 1.49 12.86 15.81 Qatar Navigation 5.78 0.67 9.46 6.41 90.86 60.60 Transportation 5.35 0.95 10.61 2.29 25.59 Market 3.61 1.68 12.23 3.74 27.27 Company Al Ahli Bank (M) ()س Book Value/Share (QR) 24.75 Stock Price (QR) 66.90 15.94 Note: The above mentioned indicators were calculated according to the latest reliable financial data. Definitions : Stock Price(QR) Book Value(QR) EPS(QR) = = = P/E Ratio = The latest Closing Stock Price as in the DSM Daily Bulletin. Shareholders Equity divided by No. of Subscribed Shares. Earnings (net profit) for the latest 4 Quarters divided by No. of Subscribed Shares. Stock Price divided by the EPS. P/B.V Ratio = Stock Price divided by the Book value per share. Dividend Yield(%) =Cash dividends per share divided by Stock Price. M =Minus ratio due to company losses according to latest financial data. H = The P/E ratio is one hundred times and more. NA = Not Available. DISCLAIMER: All the data appearing in the schedule of Financial Indicators are designated for investors’ perusal and do not in any way constitute an offer or recommendation to invest in any of the listed securities. The Qatar Exchange does hereby disclaim any responsibilities of any direct and indirect losses and claims resulting from using these indicators. Source: Qatar Exchange. 8 GCC Stock Markets and Global Financial Markets GGCC Stock Markets Most GCC Markets, with the exception of Saudi Arabia, made modest gains over September. They were buoyed by the positive trend in Major Global Markets and Higher Oil Prices (Brent averaged US$112/barrel in September versus US$102/barrel in August). In Qatar, the QE Index rose by 0.3%, narrowing loses in the year-to-date. Industries Qatar (IQCD) was the top contributor to the QE Index (up 1.6% MoM). The stock has bucked the trend on expectations of relatively solid Q3 2012 results and the expected upturn in earnings from the new QAFCO 5 & 6 fertilizer plants. The Kuwaiti index rallied on speculation of potential intervention by the Kuwait Investment Authority, while in Dubai, the improving real estate market is attracting investor interest in real estate stocks. In Abu Dhabi, the market expected a positive outcome from negotiations between the Emirates Banks Association and the UAE Central Bank in regards to implementation of new limits on loans to the public sector. Following a strong performance in August, the Saudi Tadawul was driven lower owing to concerns about global growth, particularly growth in the US, the main export destination for Saudi crude oil. Table 1: GCC Stock Markets Index 2011 Aug-12 Sep-12 % Change (in month) % Change ( year to date ) Bahrain (BAX) 1 ,144 1,086 1,087 0.1% -4.9% Kuwait (KSE) 5,814 5,863 5,991 2.2% 3.0% Oman (MSM) 5,695 5,480 5,534 1.0% -2.8% Qatar (QE) 8,779 8,484 8,510 0.3% -3.1% Saudi Arabia (TASI) 6,418 7,139 6,840 -4.2% 6.6% UAE (ADSM) 2,402 2,562 2,605 1.7% 8.5% UAE (DFM) 1,353 1,548 1,579 2.0% 16.7% Source: Bloomberg Global Financial Markets Most Equity Markets rose during September as Global Central Banks eased monetary policy to support growth. The Federal Reserve launched a third round of “Quantitative Easing” on the 13th of September, deciding to purchase US$40bn of Mortgage Backed Securities per month for an undefined time period. The Federal Reserve also said that it would maintain its extremely low policy rates until 2015. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank launched a potentially unlimited bond-buying program on 6th September, permitting it to purchase bonds of member countries to drive down their borrowing costs. Countries signing up for the bond-buying program would have to meet strict policy conditions. Finally, the Bank of Japan announced on 19th September that it would boost the size and duration of its bond-buying program to maintain downward pressure on interest rates and the Yen. Table 2: World’s Major Stock Markets 2011 Aug-12 Sep-12 % Change (in month) % Change ( year to date ) Dow Jones 12,218 13,091 13,437 2.6% 10.0% Nasdaq 2,605 3,067 3,116 1.6% 19.6% FTSE 100 5,572 5,711 5,742 0.5% 3.0% DAX 5,898 6,971 7,216 3.5% 22.3% CAC 40 3,160 3,413 3,355 -1.7% 6.2% Nikkei 225 8,455 8,840 8,870 0.3% 4.9% Shanghai 2,199 2,048 2,086 1.9% -5.1% Index Source: Bloomberg 9 QNB INVESTOR Al Watani Fund 1 Performance NAV QR 12.57 Al Watani Fund 1 (For Qataris) Monthly Report for September 2012 Fund’s Objective The primary aim of Al Watani Fund is to outperform the Qatar Exchange (QE) Index while seeking to reduce the risks associated with the investment. Net Asset Value of the Fund for the Month (QR) Fund Information Fund Type Currency Regulator Fund Manager Subscription/Redemption Management Fee Auditor Custodian Particulars Open-End Fund Qatari Riyal Qatar Central Bank QNB Banque Privée (Suisse) SA Monthly 1.5% p.a KPMG QNB 83,647,529 Performance Summary Since Inception (Oct 2005) Year 2009 Year 2010 Year 2011 MTD (Sept 2012) YTD (2012) Beta Standard Deviation* W1 25.70% 10.41% 27.67% 1.12% 0.08% 1.80% 0.81 26.09% QE Index -31.62% 1.06% 24.75% 0.42% 0.31% -3.06% 1.00 30.23% * Since Inception Fund Manager Comment The Qatar Exchange (QE) Index registered a 0.31% during the month completing a hat trick of gains in the past three months. The month was a tale of two views which resulted in the market gaining 2.42% in the first two weeks of the month followed by a sharp 2% decline in the second half of the month. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII’s) continued selling trend during the month, they net sold approximately QR 300 million. Our fund performance was robust during the month with the fund gaining 0.08% however due to the increased volatility in the market we witnessed a flight to quality blue chip names that included Qatar National Bank which the fund cannot invest in resulting a marginal underperformance of 0.23%. We maintained the strong year to end of September out performance of 4.86%. The QE Market was relatively volatile during the month as the market approached three month highs and was technically overbought in the short term. The market gained against the back ground of the imminent announcement of the Quantitative Easing (QE) program in the United States which was expected to lift asset prices. Market activity was robust during the month, despite of the increased volatility, investors didn’t shy away from taking positions. Traded value adjusted for one off special deals increased by 16% month on month. Foreign Institutional Investors remained net sellers of the market, they continued to pressure the banking sector coupled by selected selling in telecoms and utility stocks. The Domestic Banking Sector continued to post strong credit uptake during the month with loan growth up 1.4% month on month while year to August 2012 was 18.5%. However, customer deposit growth has remained a challenge, with month on month growth slowing by 1.6%. This has continued to put pressure on the banking cost of funds, which could impact profitability in the medium term. We anticipate portfolio rebalancing to be driven by third quarter financial results and dividend payouts expectations for the year end. Fund Management Team Sector Allocation Rue Des Alpes, 3 1201 Geneva Switzerland Contact details in Qatar: Fund Manager: Hassan Abdi CFA, FRM Tel: (+974) 44252486 QNB - Grand Hamad PO Box 1000, Doha – Qatar Disclaimer: The information herein is for illustrative purposes only and reflects current market practices and is not intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting or financial advice; investors should consult their own advisers on such matters. At all times prospective investors considering an investment in the Fund should carefully read the Articles of Association, the Prospects and the Terms & Conditions of the Fund. Investors are reminded that past performance of any investment is not a guide to future returns. 10 QNB is regulated by Qatar Central Bank. All performance changes figures are net of performance fees. License No. of Fund I.F/3/2005 Fund Registration No. at Ministry of Economy & Commerce: 31350 Al Watani Fund 2 Performance NAV QR 12.12 Al Watani Fund 2 (For Non-Qataris) Monthly Report for September 2012 Fund’s Objective The primary aim of Al Watani Fund is to outperform the Qatar Exchange (QE) Index while seeking to reduce the risks associated with the investment Net Asset Value of the Fund for the Month (QR) Fund Information Fund Type Currency Regulator Fund Manager Subscription/Redemption Management Fee Auditor Custodian Particulars Open-End Fund Qatari Riyal Qatar Central Bank QNB Banque Privée (Suisse) SA Monthly 1.5% p.a KPMG QNB 56,556,259 Performance Summary Since Inception (Oct'2005) Year 2009 Year 2010 Year 2011 MTD (Sept 2012) YTD (2012) Beta Standard Deviation* W2 21.20% 11.52% 27.13% 0.70% 0.17% 1.91% 0.82 26.29% QE Index -31.62% 1.06% 24.75% 0.42% 0.31% -3.06% 1.00 30.23% * Since Inception Fund Manager Comment The Qatar Exchange (QE) Index registered a 0.31% during the month completing a hat trick of gains in the past three months. The month was a tale of two views which resulted in the market gaining 2.42% in the first two weeks of the month followed by a sharp 2% decline in the second half of the month. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII’s) continued selling trend during the month, they net sold approximately QR 300 million. Our fund performance was robust during the month with the fund gaining 0.17% however due to the increased volatility in the market we witnessed a flight to quality blue chip names that included Qatar National Bank which the fund cannot invest in resulting a marginal underperformance of 0.14%. We maintained the strong year to end of September out performance of 4.97%. The QE market was relatively volatile during the month as the market approached three month highs and was technically overbought in the short term. The market gained against the background of the imminent announcement of the Quantitative Easing (QE) Program in the United States which was expected to lift asset prices. Market activity was robust during the month, despite of the increased volatility, investors didn’t shy away from taking positions. Traded value adjusted for one off special deals increased by 16% month on month. Foreign Institutional Investors remained net sellers of the market, they continued to pressure the banking sector coupled by selected selling in telecoms and utility stocks. The Domestic Banking Sector continued to post strong credit uptake during the month with loan growth up 1.4% month on month while year to August 2012 was 18.5%. However, customer deposit growth has remained a challenge, with month on month growth slowing by 1.6%. This has continued to put pressure on banking cost of funds, which could impact profitability in the medium term. We anticipate portfolio rebalancing to be driven by third quarter financial results and dividend payouts expectations for the year end. Fund Management Team Sector Allocation Rue Des Alpes, 3 1201 Geneva Switzerland Contact details in Qatar: Fund Manager: Hassan Abdi CFA, FRM Tel: (+974) 44252486 QNB - Grand Hamad, PO Box 1000, Doha – Qatar Disclaimer: The information herein is for illustrative purposes only and reflects current market practices and is not intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting or financial advice; investors should consult their own advisers on such matters. At all times prospective investors considering an investment in the Fund should carefully read the Articles of Association, the Prospects and the Terms & Conditions of the Fund. Investors are reminded that past performance of any investment is not a guide to future returns. QNB is regulated by Qatar Central Bank. All performance changes figures are net of performance fees. License No. of Fund I.F/3/2005 Fund registration No. at Ministry of Economy & Commerce: 31350 11 QNB INVESTOR Business Update QNB Sponsors the Official Olympic House, Bayt Qatar Qatar National Bank (QNB), the largest financial institution in the State of Qatar, and the MENA region, is one of the major sponsors of Bayt Qatar in Central London, the Official Olympic House for the Qatar Olympic Committee (QOC) during the forthcoming Summer Games in London. Bayt Qatar, also known as the Qatar House, acts as a symbol of Qatar and brings a little bit of the Qatari spirit to the heart of London, which is especially pertinent during the Holy Month of Ramadan. Bayt Qatar was opened from the 26th of July until the 12th of August, to welcome high profile, dignitaries, QOC Members, CEOs and Chairmen, International Sporting Athletes as well as Local, Regional and International Media. Being a key sponsor and participant in various local and international occasions, QNB is always keen to reflect the social image of Qatar, through representing Qatari traditions and heritage in the best way possible. The Bank played a lead role in the country’s actual hosting of the 2006 Asian Games, providing an army of volunteers and providing reliable and readily accessible banking services to organisers, participants and spectators of the event, which attracted more than 10,500 athletes representing 45 participating countries and regions from throughout Asia. In 2010, QNB Group’s support was instrumental in the country’s successful bid to host the FIFA World Cup in 2022. Undoubtedly, the country’s hosting of this spectacular, world-class sporting event will form a cornerstone for future CSR activities in the years ahead. QNB brings China Union Pay to Qatar Qatar National Bank (QNB), the largest financial institution in the State of Qatar and the MENA region, has started accepting China Union Pay (CUP) Cards at its Point Of Sales (POS). This follows an agreement that was recently signed with CUP, the largest Card Scheme in China and Asia. This new service enables holders of the CUP Cards visiting the country, to use their cards easily at various POS. The step will open new horizons between QNB and CUP in the future. China Union Pay is now available in 127 countries worldwide, including Qatar. This relationship will be expanded to cover other channels like QNB’s Internet payment gateway and its wide network of ATMs in Qatar. QNB is a leader in the POS and E Acquiring (Electronic payments) business in Qatar. Recently it has successfully launched the Tap and Pay contactless cards and became the first bank to enable customers to pay for purchases with their contactless cards. Additionally, QNB was the first acquirer to launch Dynamic Currency Conversion (DCC) in Qatar. DCC enables merchants to offer overseas cardholders the choice of paying for their purchases either in Qatari Riyals or in their local billing currency at the POS itself. QNB now accepts more than 25 international currencies and are MasterCard/Visa compliant. QNB Group is always looking for new ventures that expand its international reach, so the Bank positions itself as the best choice for those who look for unique banking services. QNB Rewards all QNB Qtel Nojoom Visa Card Holders with Triple Points QNB, the largest financial institution in the State of Qatar and the MENA region has rewarded Gold and Platinum QNB Qtel Nojoom Visa cardholders with three times the normal number of points they earn on their spend on the credit cards. With this QNB Qtel promotion, which began on the 20th of July 2012 and ran for two months, all customers were able to earn more points through their regular day-to-day spending. All local, international and internet purchase transactions were awarded a triple bonus Nojoom earning rate. 12 Platinum and Gold cardholders enjoyed three times the earning rate. For Platinum cardholders every QR 5 spent, they earned 3 Nojoom points, triple the normal rate. Gold cardholders also earned triple points. For every QR 10 they spend they also earned 3 Nojoom points, instead of the normal 1 Nojoom point. All primary and supplementary QNB Qtel Nojoom Visa credit cards were eligible for this offer. Moreover, all bonus points earned during this time period were credited to the cardholder’s Nojoom account two months following the promotion. Corporate Update GCC Banking Sector Shows Strong First Half Results The GCC Banking Sector continued to grow rapidly in the First Half of 2012, according to QNB Group analysis. Profits of the largest 50 banks in the region were up by 5.4%, compared to the first half of 2011, reaching US$12bn. While 76% of banks in the group were profitable, with average profit growth of 13%, only 11 out of 50 saw a decline and only one bank in the group recorded a net loss. The Banking Sector is skewed towards the very largest banks, with the top 10 representing 50% of total assets. Saudi and Emirati Banks make up the bulk of the top 50, in terms of both number - 12 and 14 respectively - and aggregate assets, 33% and 28% respectively. Qatar is in third place, and eight of its banks are included in the group, representing 13.5% of total assets. 15 of the top 50 banks are Islamic and represent 19.5% of total assets. The strongest growth in assets was achieved in Qatar and Oman, by 20.1% and 19.0% respectively. The assets growth in Qatar was driven by QNB, which is the largest bank by assets in the GCC and achieved 25.5% growth in the year to 30 June 2012. The other 7 banks also averaged a strong growth rate of 14.7%, led by Qatar Islamic Bank and Masraf Al Rayan. Qatar’s nominal GDP grew at an annualised rate of 17% in the First Quarter of the year, and booming economic activity usually contributes to strong Bank Asset Growth. Regional Assets Growth was driven by an expansion in Loan Portfolios, which grew by 13.6% during the first half of the year. Growth was particularly strong in Qatar, where loans surged by 39.7%, largely due to a 55.9% increase at QNB, which was the most rapid for any bank in the region. QNB has the largest loan book in the region. Assets of the Top 50 GCC Banks (30 June 2012) (total=US$1.28trn, number of banks shown in brackets) Source: Banks statements & QNB Group analysis Global Growth Slides While MENA Prospects Strengthen The Global Economic Outlook looks more downbeat as major world economies struggle with low Real GDP Growth. However, prospects for the MENA region have strengthened due to higher oil prices and increased government spending, according to a QNB Group review of the IMF’s October World Economic Outlook, released on the occasion of the annual IMF meeting held this year in Tokyo. Global Real GDP Growth has been revised downwards to 3.3% in 2012 and to 3.6% in 2013. The growth outlook for the global economy has deteriorated as the recovery in the 35 advanced economies has remained weaker than expected. As advanced economies account for 51.1% of Global GDP, this has caused a major drag on the World Economy. GDP Growth for the advanced economies has been cut by 0.5% to 1.5% in 2013. The main factors holding growth back in advanced economies is the implementation of austere fiscal policies to reduce deficits. The US, the World’s Largest Economy, is now forecast to a reduced growth of 2.1% in 2013 due to both external and domestic risks. External Risks are mainly posed by spillovers from the Eurozone Debt, while domestic risks emerge from a much larger fiscal contraction, as budget cuts and end of tax holidays come into play in early 2013. Meanwhile, growth prospects for the MENA region have strengthened with a forecast growth of 5.3% in 2012 and 3.6% in 2013. Growth in the MENA region is two-dimensional; with a clear distinction between oil exporters and importers. The gap in the growth outlook between them has widened. While growth prospects for oil exporters have improved to 6.6% in 2012 (up from 4.8% in the April 2012 forecast), the prospects for oil importers have substantially declined to 1.2% in 2012 (down from 2.2% in the April 2012 forecast). Higher oil prices and increased government spending have been the key differentiating factor that has brightened the growth prospects for oil exporting countries. The outlook for oil importing countries remains subdued as political turmoil and change have led to declining economic activity. MENA Real GDP Growth (2012-13) (+1.1) 5.3 MENA MENA Oil Importers (-0.2) 3.6 (-1.0) 1.2 (-0.3) 3.3 (+1.8) 6.6 MENA Oil Exporters (+0.1) 3.8 GCC Advanced Economies (-0.1) 3.3 (-0.1) 1.3 (-0.5) 1.5 Source: IMF and QNB Group analysis (+0.5) 5.2 2012 2013 (+/-) Revision from July 2012 13 QNB INVESTOR Community QNB Group, Qatar Football Association Sign Sponsorship Agreement for 3 Seasons League and Mr. Ali Shareef Al Emadi, the Chief Executive Officer of QNB Group entitles QNB to act as the strategic sponsor for the Qatar National Football Team and His Highness the Emir Cup, His Highness the Heir Apparent Cup, and the official sponsor of Sheikh Jassim Cup, and Qatar Stars League as well as the exclusive sponsor of Qatar Stars Cup. For his part, HE Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa bin Ahmed Al Thani, President of the Qatar Football Association and Qatar Stars League expressed sincere thanks to QNB Group’s CEO, for the usual outstanding commitment and support the bank dedicate to the Qatari football. QNB Group, the Leading Financial Institution in Qatar and the MENA region, signed an agreement with the Qatar Football Association to sponsor the key championships for the next three years. The agreement, signed by HE Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa bin Ahmed Al Thani, President of Qatar Football Association and Qatar Stars Mr. Ali Shareef Al Emadi, said that the sponsorship is part of the Group’s policy and commitment to support the country in all the local sports events and tournaments. QNB hopes to motivate the team to reach International levels, “We always strive to achieve Qatar’s ultimate goal through sports association”, he added. QNB, Qatar’s Ministry of Labor Sign a Memorandum of Understanding to Train Qatari Nationals QNB, the Largest Financial Institution in the State of Qatar and the MENA region, signed an agreement with the Ministry of Labor as part of their cooperation to train and develop Qatari candidates in the Bank’s training facilities. The memorandum was signed by Mr. Ali Rashid Al Mohannadi, QNB’s Executive General Manager - Chief Operation Officer and Mr. Mohamed Saad Al Miraikhi, the Director of the National Development Department at the Ministry of Labor. As per the memorandum of understanding signed, up to 3 batches of 15 candidates, with both male and female young nationals receiving training at the QNB Training and Development Centre in Doha, after being nominated by the Ministry. QNB is committed to be the leading bank in 14 encouraging and developing young Qataris, through its participation in such supportive initiatives that meet the aspirations of the youth. The bank seeks to provide a suitable environment to make the best use of their skills and talents in all fields, especially the banking sector. The training program will include an orientation session about the bank, in addition to the basics of the banking sector. The banking products and services will also be reviewed along with the various skills of sales, communication and team work. By the end of the training, QNB will provide the outstanding trainees an opportunity to join one of its departments as part of the bank’s policy in support of involving the Qatari youth in the banking sector.