Moody`s Statistical Handbook
Transcription
Moody`s Statistical Handbook
Moody’s Statistical Handbook Country Credit May 2013 Moody’s Statistical Handbook Country Credit May 2013 Project Coordinators Rebecca Karnovitz Renzo Merino Contributors Mathias Angonin Petar Atanasov Cyril Audrin Maria Paula Carvajal David Erickson Polina Gotmann Cynthia Mar Daniel Marty Michail Michailopoulos Aukse Montvilaite Kristina Neidnig Ariane Ortiz Marrufo Pamela Reyes Herrera Andrew Schneider Stefan Triendl Production Associates Cassina Brooks Judy Yuen Pub ID #153213 © 2013 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved. CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. 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Worldwide Governance Research Indicators Dataset © by The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank • ii • Table of Contents Page Sources of Updated Ratings and Information ........................................................................................... vii Sources and Uses of Statistical Data in Moody’s Sovereign Credit Analysis ............................................... ix Exchange Rate Regimes ......................................................................................................................... xix Ratings List ............................................................................................................................................ xxi Statistics (As of May 10, 2013) I. Economic Structure and Performance ................................................................................................... 1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) .............................................................................................................................. 2 Population (Mil.) ........................................................................................................................................ 7 GDP per capita (US$) ............................................................................................................................... 12 GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) .............................................................................. 17 Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) ................................................................................................. 22 Real GDP (% change) .............................................................................................................................. 27 Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) ........................................................................................................... 32 Unemployment Rate (%) .......................................................................................................................... 37 Gross Investment/GDP............................................................................................................................. 38 Gross Domestic Saving/GDP.................................................................................................................... 43 Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) ............................................................... 48 Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis)................................................................ 53 Real Exports of Goods and Services (% change) ...................................................................................... 58 Real Imports of Goods and Services (% change)....................................................................................... 59 Net Exports of Goods and Services/GDP .................................................................................................. 60 Openness of the Economy ....................................................................................................................... 61 Government Effectiveness ....................................................................................................................... 66 II. Government Finance ........................................................................................................................... 71 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. General Government Revenue/GDP .......................................................................................................... 72 General Government Expenditure/GDP..................................................................................................... 77 General Government Financial Balance/GDP............................................................................................ 82 General Government Primary Balance/GDP .............................................................................................. 87 General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) ........................................................................................................ 92 General Government Debt/GDP................................................................................................................ 97 General Government Debt/General Government Revenue ...................................................................... 102 General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue .................................................... 107 General Government Foreign Currency & FC-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt ............................ 112 III. External Payments and Debt ........................................................................................................... 117 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec)........................................................................... 118 Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) .............................................................................................. 123 Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) ................................................................................................. 128 Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) ........................................................................................................ 129 Current Account Balance/GDP ............................................................................................................... 134 External Debt (US$ Bil.) ......................................................................................................................... 139 Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt ..................................................................................... 143 Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt ......................................................................................... 147 External Debt/GDP................................................................................................................................. 151 External Debt/Current Account Receipts ................................................................................................ 155 Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) ................................................................................................ 159 Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) ......................................................................................... 163 Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP ........................................................................................................ 167 Net International Investment Position/GDP ............................................................................................. 172 Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.)........................................................................................ 177 Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) ................................................................................... 182 • iii • Table of Contents Page IV. Monetary, External Vulnerability and Liquidity Indicators................................................................... 187 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. 53. 54. M2 (% change, Dec/Dec) ....................................................................................................................... 188 Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31)........................................................................................ 192 Domestic Credit (% change, Dec/Dec) ................................................................................................... 196 Domestic Credit/GDP............................................................................................................................. 200 M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) ............................................................................................ 204 Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves ......................................................................... 208 Debt Service Ratio ................................................................................................................................. 212 External Vulnerability Indicator .............................................................................................................. 216 Liquidity Ratio ....................................................................................................................................... 220 Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks ............................................................... 224 "Dollarization" Ratio .............................................................................................................................. 228 "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator .................................................................................................... 231 V. Country Statistics.............................................................................................................................. 233 Albania ............................................................................................................................................................................ 234 Angola ............................................................................................................................................................................. 236 Argentina ..........................................................................................................................................................................238 Armenia ............................................................................................................................................................................240 Australia ...........................................................................................................................................................................242 Austria ..............................................................................................................................................................................243 Azerbaijan ........................................................................................................................................................................244 Bahamas ..........................................................................................................................................................................246 Bahrain..............................................................................................................................................................................248 Bangladesh ......................................................................................................................................................................250 Barbados ..........................................................................................................................................................................252 Belarus .............................................................................................................................................................................254 Belgium ............................................................................................................................................................................256 Belize ...............................................................................................................................................................................257 Bermuda ..........................................................................................................................................................................259 Bolivia ..............................................................................................................................................................................261 Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................................................................................................................................................263 Botswana .........................................................................................................................................................................265 Brazil ................................................................................................................................................................................267 Bulgaria ............................................................................................................................................................................269 Cambodia .........................................................................................................................................................................271 Canada .............................................................................................................................................................................273 Cayman Islands ................................................................................................................................................................274 Chile .................................................................................................................................................................................276 China ................................................................................................................................................................................278 Colombia ..........................................................................................................................................................................280 Costa Rica ........................................................................................................................................................................282 Croatia ..............................................................................................................................................................................284 Cuba .................................................................................................................................................................................286 Cyprus ..............................................................................................................................................................................288 Czech Republic .................................................................................................................................................................289 Denmark ..........................................................................................................................................................................291 Dominican Republic ..........................................................................................................................................................292 Ecuador ............................................................................................................................................................................294 Egypt ................................................................................................................................................................................296 El Salvador .......................................................................................................................................................................298 Estonia .............................................................................................................................................................................300 Fiji ....................................................................................................................................................................................301 Finland .............................................................................................................................................................................303 France ..............................................................................................................................................................................304 Georgia .............................................................................................................................................................................305 Germany ...........................................................................................................................................................................307 Ghana ...............................................................................................................................................................................308 Greece ..............................................................................................................................................................................310 Guatemala ........................................................................................................................................................................311 Honduras ..........................................................................................................................................................................313 Hong Kong ........................................................................................................................................................................315 Hungary ............................................................................................................................................................................316 Iceland .............................................................................................................................................................................318 India .................................................................................................................................................................................320 Indonesia ..........................................................................................................................................................................322 Ireland ..............................................................................................................................................................................324 Israel ................................................................................................................................................................................325 • iv • Table of Contents Page Italy ..................................................................................................................................................................................327 Jamaica ...........................................................................................................................................................................328 Japan ...............................................................................................................................................................................330 Jordan ..............................................................................................................................................................................331 Kazakhstan........................................................................................................................................................................333 Kenya ...............................................................................................................................................................................335 Korea ................................................................................................................................................................................337 Kuwait ...............................................................................................................................................................................339 Latvia ...............................................................................................................................................................................341 Lebanon ...........................................................................................................................................................................343 Lithuania ..........................................................................................................................................................................345 Luxembourg .....................................................................................................................................................................347 Macao ..............................................................................................................................................................................348 Malaysia ...........................................................................................................................................................................350 Malta ................................................................................................................................................................................352 Mauritius ..........................................................................................................................................................................353 Mexico .............................................................................................................................................................................355 Moldova ...........................................................................................................................................................................357 Mongolia ..........................................................................................................................................................................359 Montenegro ......................................................................................................................................................................361 Morocco ...........................................................................................................................................................................363 Namibia ............................................................................................................................................................................365 Netherlands ......................................................................................................................................................................367 New Zealand ....................................................................................................................................................................368 Nicaragua .........................................................................................................................................................................369 Nigeria ..............................................................................................................................................................................371 Norway .............................................................................................................................................................................373 Oman ...............................................................................................................................................................................374 Pakistan ...........................................................................................................................................................................376 Panama ............................................................................................................................................................................378 Papua New Guinea ...........................................................................................................................................................380 Paraguay ..........................................................................................................................................................................382 Peru .................................................................................................................................................................................384 Philippines ........................................................................................................................................................................386 Poland ..............................................................................................................................................................................388 Portugal ............................................................................................................................................................................390 Qatar ...............................................................................................................................................................................391 Romania ...........................................................................................................................................................................393 Russia ..............................................................................................................................................................................395 Saudi Arabia .....................................................................................................................................................................397 Senegal ............................................................................................................................................................................399 Singapore .........................................................................................................................................................................401 Slovakia ............................................................................................................................................................................402 Slovenia ...........................................................................................................................................................................403 South Africa ......................................................................................................................................................................404 Spain ................................................................................................................................................................................406 Sri Lanka ..........................................................................................................................................................................407 St. Maarten .......................................................................................................................................................................409 St. Vincent and the Grenadines .........................................................................................................................................411 Suriname ..........................................................................................................................................................................413 Sweden ............................................................................................................................................................................415 Switzerland ......................................................................................................................................................................416 Taiwan ..............................................................................................................................................................................417 Thailand ...........................................................................................................................................................................419 Trinidad & Tobago .............................................................................................................................................................421 Tunisia ..............................................................................................................................................................................423 Turkey ..............................................................................................................................................................................425 Ukraine .............................................................................................................................................................................427 United Arab Emirates .........................................................................................................................................................429 United Kingdom ................................................................................................................................................................431 United States of America ..................................................................................................................................................432 Uruguay ............................................................................................................................................................................433 Venezuela .........................................................................................................................................................................435 Vietnam ............................................................................................................................................................................437 Zambia .............................................................................................................................................................................439 •v• PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Sources of Updated Ratings and Information Moody’s ratings are continuously monitored and are subject to change or may be placed under review for possible upgrade or downgrade, subsequent to the publication of this issue. 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Atago Green Hills Mori Tower 20th Floor 2-5-1 Atago, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105-6220 Japan www.moodys.co.jp Moody's SF Japan K.K. (MSFJ) Atago Green Hills Mori Tower 20th Floor 2-5-1 Atago, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105-6220 Japan www.moodys.co.jp MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization(“NRSRO”) PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ● viii ● Sources and Uses of Statistical Data in Moody's Sovereign Credit Analysis Moody's Country Credit Statistical Handbook contains historical time series and two years of forecasts for many of the quantitative indicators and ratios used by Moody's sovereign risk analysts in the process of assigning and monitoring sovereign creditworthiness. It is published semi-annually in electronic format and in print. The data are drawn from a number of international sources, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), European Commission (Eurostat and Annual Macro-economic Database – AMECO), the World Bank, and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). Some indicators, particularly in the area of government and external debt, require estimation by Moody's analysts, based on data provided by national statistical sources and international sources. Where possible, we source our input data from Haver Analytics, a provider of macroeconomic and financial third-party data. Data may be missing for some countries for some indicators due to lack of data availability or problems of cross-country comparability. Countries are grouped into two broad categories, "advanced industrial" and "developing", broadly in line with IMF practices. Within the developing (emerging market) country group there is a further breakdown according to broad rating ranges, in order to facilitate comparisons among peer groups of similarly rated countries. Within each group, countries are listed alphabetically. For nominal indicators (such as the current account balance or external debt), we have converted all values to a U.S. dollar current-exchange-rate basis for purposes of cross-country comparison. The relevance of specific economic and financial variables can vary according to the broad level of development of countries. Users of this handbook will therefore notice that the data series presented are somewhat different for the two sets of countries. For example, more detail on macroeconomic indicators is provided for the more advanced countries while a larger range of indicators in the external debt and balance-of-payments areas is provided for the developing countries. Quantitative measures are only a part of the input into sovereign rating decisions. They provide useful information on an economy’s fundamental structural features and can reveal significant trends and cyclical patterns. They are, however, necessarily backward looking, while sovereign analysis requires forward-looking evaluations of the risk of default. Therefore, examination of past experience has to be supplemented by medium-term projections and the construction of a range of scenarios that stress-test the vulnerability of a country's economic, political and financial situation to shocks generated both internally and externally. The data in this handbook fall into four broad categories: 1) Economic Structure and Performance; 2) Government Finance; 3) External Payments and Debt; and 4) Monetary, External Vulnerability and Liquidity Indicators. ● ix ● I. ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PEFORMANCE 1. Nominal Gross Domestic Product (US$ Bil.) Source: IMF, Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the standard international measure of the size of an economy. It measures the total value of final goods and services at current prices from all productive activities located within the boundaries of a country over the year and is converted to U.S. dollars at current exchange rates. While criticized for not capturing the accumulation of intangible assets (such as knowledge, organizational innovation and improved product quality) or for ignoring resource depletion and environmental degradation, GDP remains the only internationally comparable economic standard. 2. Population (Mil.) Source: World Bank Country population is, in itself, not a rating factor, as is clear from the fact that a number of very small countries (such as Cayman Islands, Luxembourg and Bermuda) have very high ratings and others have very low ratings (St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Fiji and Belize). Nevertheless, it is an essential reference indicator. Demographic features of a country not captured by a static snapshot of population size are, however, relevant to sovereign credit analysis. 3. GDP per capita (Current Exchange Rates, US$) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's This is simply the ratio of GDP as measured in Table 1 to population (Table 2). Since current exchange rates are being used to convert local currency values to U.S. dollars, these values can show substantial fluctuations not connected to real changes in relative incomes. A better measure of relative incomes is provided by the next indicator. 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing-Power-Parity basis, US$) Source: World Bank, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) This measurement attempts to better capture the relative standard-of-living of a country’s population by adjusting national income by cost-of-living differences. While such calculations vary, we use the World Bank’s. As an example of how much difference this adjustment can make, China's nominal per capita GDP at the average market exchange rate for 2011 was $5,360 while the PPP calculation came to $8,400. (It should be noted that the "dollar" used here is not the actual U.S. dollar traded in the foreignexchange markets, but a hypothetical "international dollar", adjusted for the real differences between what can be purchased, on average, by one dollar in the United States and what that same dollar would buy in other countries.) 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Source: Eurostat, Official National Source, Moody's The annual percent change in nominal GDP (in local currency) which is the combination of the change in real GDP (Table 6) and the change in the broadest index of external trade and domestic price movements, the GDP deflator (not shown in this Handbook). However, a decline in nominal GDP that is caused by deflation reflects structural and monetary policy weaknesses. 6. Real GDP (% change) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's Economic growth, as measured by the annual percentage change in GDP adjusted for inflation, is a key indicator of economic performance. Strong growth provides rising living standards and shock-absorption capacity, although unsustainably rapid growth can fuel inflationary pressure and excessive external deficits. In addition to the growth rate, sovereign analysts also analyze the sectors contributing to real growth; for instance, highly indebted countries with large external financing requirements tend to need rapid growth in exports to keep pace with their external debt service burden. 7. Inflation Rate (Consumer Price Index, % change Dec/Dec) Source: Eurostat, Official National Source, Moody's The change in the level of the price index for a basket of commonly consumed items (the CPI) is one of the most widely used inflation measures. It is used by some governments to index financial instruments and often enters into the wage-setting process. Inflation can be an important indicator of excess demand pressure or of supply shocks. The CPI can be misleading if used in measures of international competitiveness because it measures prices at retail level (not production costs), is affected by import prices and the exchange rate, contains many items whose prices are regulated or administered, and includes housing costs, which are treated very inconsistently across countries. Therefore, for many purposes, analysts look at additional price indicators, such as the GDP deflator, which measures changes in the cost of domestically-generated output, as well as sectoral price indices, such as those for exports or capital goods. Under extreme conditions of monetary instability hyperinflation can occur. Hyperinflation is commonly defined when the monthly inflation exceeds 50%; it is most often caused by economic crisis, uncontrolled government spending and central bank monetization of government deficits. Zimbabwe’s is the most recent case, in which the monthly inflation rate peaked at 1 2,600%. Other cases in the 1990s include Kazakhstan and Bulgaria, with monthly inflation peaks of 57% and 243%. 1 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute 2011 Annual Report ● x● 8. Unemployment Rate (%) Source: OECD, Eurostat, AMECO, Moody's Moody's analysts look at the unemployment rate as an indicator of the size of the output gap and of the under-utilization of human resources as well as a signal of potential political pressure on governments to take action to stimulate the economy. Unemployment is measured internationally in a very inconsistent way, depending on how participation in the labor force is defined (the "discouraged worker" problem); on the treatment of part-time or casual labor; and on the size of the underground economy. Some countries include only unemployed persons who register for benefits. The OECD and Eurostat have estimated standardized unemployment rates for member countries, which are used here. In many developing countries, open unemployment is a far less sensitive indicator of inadequate labor market performance than "underemployment", the presence of reserves of low-productivity labor, data for which is extremely difficult to obtain. 9. Gross Investment/GDP (%) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's Investment, by which economists mean expenditures within a given year on housing, structures and equipment that add to the country's capital stock, is a vital contributor to the process of economic growth. Countries with a sustained high investment rate, especially in productive assets in the business sector and in infrastructure, will tend to grow faster over the long- term. However, a high volume of investment is not in itself sufficient. Also of importance is the efficiency or productivity of investment, measured by the net contribution made by a dollar of investment to the increase in output that results, sometimes called the "incremental capital-output ratio" (ICOR). 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP (%) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's The real investment undertaken within a country is necessarily equal to the sum of the domestic saving generated within its borders plus the use of foreign saving. (Here, "saving" is defined as the difference between GDP and consumption – private and public – on an annual basis, not the stock of financial "savings" of the population.) A country that needs a high investment rate in order to accelerate growth may run into a balance-of-payments constraint, i.e., have to attract an unsustainably high inflow of foreign capital, if it cannot generate a high enough saving flow out of the incomes of the domestic population. 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's 13. Real Exports of Goods and Services (% change) Source: OECD, Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source 14. Real Imports of Goods and Services (% change) Source: OECD, Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source In evaluating sovereign credit risk, the performance of an economy in international competition is a vital factor. It is primarily by selling domestically-produced goods and services to nonresidents that countries acquire the foreign currency needed to service external interest and principal payments in a timely fashion. It is important not to define "exports" and "imports" too narrowly to include only merchandise, i.e. tangible goods. Services, such as those provided by the tourism industry, cultural industries, finance and transportation, can be a key element for many countries. In these tables, the data show annual growth or decline of the aggregate export and import totals. For the advanced industrial countries (Tables 13 and 14), changes in real (price-adjusted) volumes are presented. Because of data deficiencies, particularly involving the export- and import-price indices required for consistently separating values from volumes, the data for the developing countries (Tables 11 and 12) are presented in nominal terms, converted to U.S. dollars at annual average exchange rates. All of these data come from the national accounts, not from the balance of payments, and do not include such items as workers' remittances, interest earnings/payments on assets/liabilities or dividends paid to nonresident direct investors. 15. Net Exports of Goods and Services/GDP (%) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's For developed countries where the current account can be defined, the ratio of net exports of goods and services to GDP is the best measure of the degree to which the country supplements domestic saving with foreign saving in financing capital investment. (A negative number, characteristic of the United States and the United Kingdom reveals a net capital-importing country, while positive numbers, such as for Germany and Japan, signify the net export of capital.) 16. Openness of the Economy (Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP) (%) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's Integration of a country with the world economy through trade and investment is an important channel for the transfer of technology, skills, and management, as well as a powerful force for greater competition in local markets. Many studies have shown a significant correlation between openness and above-average rates of economic growth. This indicator is one of the most ● xi ● widely used measures of openness, focusing on the trade channel. However, two important distortions qualify its use. First, the goods and services encompassed in the numerator (foreign trade) are valued at international dollar prices, while the denominator (GDP) includes the large non-tradable goods sector and domestic services. The latter may be significantly undervalued in the national accounts (as shown in the sometimes very large differences between GDP per capita on a current-exchange-rate basis and the same aggregate on a purchasing-power-parity basis). In addition, a country that has a large export sector mainly dependent on imports of materials, semi-finished products, and capital goods, will measure high on this indicator, but the value added in foreign trade may be quite small. Large continental-scale economies, such as the United States, Brazil, and India, would be expected to have a lower degree of openness, while distance from major markets and the resulting transport cost barriers could also reduce trade below what other factors might imply. 17. Government Effectiveness (Index ranging from about -2.50 to 2.50) Source: World Bank This indicator is one of six measures of governance quality compiled by the World Bank. The index of government effectiveness combines responses on the quality of public services and the bureaucracy that provides them, the competence and political independence of civil servants, and the credibility of the government's commitment to its policies. The index is a composite based on as many as 15, but a median of fewer than 10, different measures of government effectiveness drawn from polls and surveys published by a variety of official and private sources. This indicator, with higher values suggesting greater government effectiveness, provides a useful, albeit partial measure of the maturity and responsiveness of government institutions. II. GOVERNMENT FINANCE Source: IMF, OECD, Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (%) 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (%) 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP (%) 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (%) 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) 23. General Government Debt/GDP (%) 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue (%) 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (%) 26. General Government Foreign-Currency and Foreign-Currency-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt (%) The fiscal balances and debt stocks of the various levels of government are among the most important indicators examined by sovereign risk analysts. The ability of government to extract revenues from the population of taxpayers and users of services, the elasticity of revenue with respect to the growth or decline of national income, and the rigidity of the composition of government expenditures are key factors that determine the credit profile of a government. Government finance is one of the most complex areas with respect to coverage, definitions and measurement. Budgetary and accounting practices, organizational structure, degree of government ownership of commercial enterprises, and extent of government guarantees all vary quite widely across countries. One of the most widely used categorical classifications is "general government", as defined by the IMF in its Government Financial Statistics (GFS) standards. This includes the consolidated budgets of the central, state/regional and local governments, along with the social security system and other extra-budgetary funds engaged in non-commercial activities. Excluded are the lending and refinancing and the assets/liabilities of the monetary authorities and the state-owned or -guaranteed enterprises, except for any net financial transfers made as subsidies to these enterprises. This is the coverage concept underlying the fiscal and government debt tables presented in this handbook. Tables 18 and 19 present ratios of revenues and expenditures to GDP respectively. Table 20 presents the financial balance (surplus or deficit) in relation to GDP. Deficits on this balance, the difference between total revenues and total expenditures, can be met only by running down assets or from borrowing, thereby, adding to debt. Table 21 presents the ratio of the primary budget balance to GDP, which is the difference between total revenues and total expenditures excluding interest payments on debt. The primary balance plays a key role in the dynamics of debt growth or reduction. The extent of growth (or reduction) of the government’s debt burden can be determined by: 1) the initial debt stock; 2) the average real interest rate on government borrowing; 3) the real rate of growth of GDP; and 4) the primary budget balance. Achievement of a primary surplus (often a sizable one) is generally a prerequisite for stabilizing a runaway (or "debt trap") situation. ● xii ● Table 22 presents the total direct debt of the general government held by the public at year-end expressed in U.S. dollars. It includes all short- and long-term obligations regardless of the currency of denomination and the residency of the holder. The data for the developing countries are obtained primarily from official national sources and the IMF, while those for the advanced industrial countries primarily come from official national sources and the European Commission (Eurostat and AMECO). Although this table presents the only strictly consistent cross-country measure of government debt, there are several important limitations. First, it is difficult in some developing countries to separate general government cleanly from the broader public sector, which includes state-owned or supported enterprises. Second, in some countries it is more appropriate to focus on the broad public sector than the general government. The reason is that in a crisis, governments may decide to assume the debt of state companies that have served as conduits for external sovereign borrowing or that provide essential public services. Third, general government debt measurements do not reflect explicit or implicit contingent liabilities, such as guarantees, potential bailouts of financial institutions or the unfunded future liabilities of state pension and health-care systems. Finally, the comparability of general government debt across countries is affected by differences in accounting practices. The IMF's GFS system is the standard most developing countries are increasingly utilizing and the one the OECD strives to apply to its member countries. However, the European nations, including the accession states, are increasingly adopting the European Systems of Accounts (ESA95). A crucial difference between the two accounting systems is the treatment of particular debt components, especially pension liabilities which are excluded under ESA95 accounting rules. Because OECD data include the funded portion of government pension liabilities, the OECD overstates government debt for such countries compared to countries with large unfunded public pension liabilities which are excluded from the government debt figures under ESA95 accounting. Differences also arise with respect to the exclusion of certain obligations (e.g., trade credits under the Maastricht definition) and the valuation of government securities (e.g., nominal value versus market value versus issue price plus accrued interest). Moreover, implementation of ESA95 has not been consistent among the European countries. Notwithstanding these limitations, Moody's has decided to publish Eurostat government debt statistics because they are the statistical source for the European Union and the one widely watched by investors, analysts and the governments themselves. Moody's takes into account such data discrepancies when making cross-country comparisons. Moody's also uses detailed debt data available from official national sources to analyze the financial risks embedded in a government's debt profile. Table 23 shows the most commonly used measure for scaling government debt to the size of the economy, the debt/GDP ratio. As a cross-country comparative indicator, it is subject to all the limitations described above. Table 24 (General Government Debt/General Government Revenue) presents another way to view the burden of public debt. It is, arithmetically, just the ratio of Debt/GDP (Table 23) to Revenue/GDP (Table 18). The value of this indicator is that a government whose debt appears low when measured against GDP can still have a serious debt problem if it is unable to capture enough of the country's income through taxation or other types of revenue. Table 25 (General Government Interest Payments/General Government Revenue) focuses on the degree to which past debt accumulation and the interest rate paid on government debt drains revenue towards debt service and away from the provision of government services. Table 26 (General Government Foreign-Currency and Foreign-Currency-Indexed Debt/Total General Government Debt) measures the extent to which central and subnational governments in each country have recourse to issuing in currencies other than their own or to indexing domestic-currency debt to the exchange rate. These practices often reflect either a lack of a domestic currency securities market that is able or absorb government debt or a lack of investor confidence in the domestic currency resulting from expectations of a high risk of inflation. A high ratio can signal potential debt-servicing stress in the event of a major exchange-rate adjustment, even when other measures like Debt/GDP or Debt/Revenue may appear low. III. EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec.) Source: IFS, ECB, Official National Source 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) Sources: JP Morgan, Official National Source, Moody's These two indictors involve relative international price competitiveness at the country level. The real effective exchange rate (REER) and the relative growth rates of the domestic economy and major foreign markets are the main factors influencing a country's export and import volumes. The belief that a country's REER is "overvalued" or perceptions that it has been rising exceptionally quickly can lead market participants to expect a devaluation and occasionally lead to a self-fulfilling currency crisis. In addition, an over- or under-valued REER can sometimes be an indicator of a structural misalignment of resources. Measuring the REER is complex for two reasons. First, it involves weighting exchange rates by measures of the multicountry pattern of trade (utilizing export volumes, import volumes, or a combination as weights). Second, results can differ greatly depending on which price indices are used as representative of domestic costs of the goods that enter international trade (consumer prices, wholesale prices, manufactured goods prices, export prices, etc.). When consumer prices are used, for example, trends in domestic prices of nontradables, which comprise the bulk of consumer purchases, may distort measurement of the true situation facing importers and exporters of tradables. ● xiii ● REERs are available only for a subgroup of rated countries and come from two main sources, JP Morgan and the IMF. The JP Morgan REER index relies on available measures of the prices of domestically produced finished manufactured goods (excluding primary food and energy), while the IMF index is based on consumer prices. Therefore, cross-country comparisons are difficult, but changes over time for individual countries should still give a rough indication of the evolution of relative costs. 29. Relative Unit Labor Costs (Index: 2005 = 100) Source: OECD, AMECO This is an alternative indicator of country competitiveness in international trade, available for advanced industrial countries. It starts with changes in nominal domestic labor compensation (not final prices), adjusted for productivity growth, and converts these relative domestic cost movements to a common currency using market exchange rates. It has the virtue of focusing directly on tradable goods but leaves out differences in non-labor costs (such as the cost of capital) and in materials costs. It is available, however, only for the manufacturing sector. 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Source: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's The current account of the balance of payments records all cross-border non-capital transactions between residents and nonresidents, including exports and imports of goods and services, transfers (such as official grants and workers' remittances), and flows of dividend and interest payments on foreign assets and liabilities. The balance of the current account sums up all of these cross-border flows and is positive if receipts from abroad exceed payments and negative if the reverse is the case. The current account balance is measured here in U.S. dollars. Because of exchange rate changes between the dollar and the domestic currency and between the dollar and currencies of other trading partners, it should be noted when interpreting these values that they could move quite differently if measured in terms of non-dollar currencies. 31. Current Account Balance/GDP (%) Sources: Eurostat, AMECO, Official National Source, Moody's Because the nominal current account will vary with the scale of an economy, dividing it by GDP allows for cross-country comparisons. The current account (when in deficit) gives an indication of how much foreign capital a country requires in order to close the gap between domestic saving and investment. Large and persistent current-account deficits can lead to a buildup of external debt, unless the deficits are financed by inflows of direct investment or equity positions in local companies. Rapidlygrowing countries with high investment rates can sustain large deficits for many years if the investments create export capacity which can generate the flows of foreign earnings needed to service a growing debt. Large, relatively closed, countries may have misleadingly low current account deficits, when divided by GDP. In these cases, it is particularly important to relate the size of the imbalance to total current-account receipts to get a better idea of the extent to which a country should mobilize the foreign exchange necessary for debt service. 32. External Debt (US$ Bil.) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's This measures debt owed by residents of a country to non-residents (cross border) whether denominated in foreign or local currency. Historically, total foreign currency debt was often the central indicator of sovereign risk analysis. This was appropriate in a period characterized by the prevalence of fixed exchange rates, capital controls, and underdeveloped domestic debt markets. However, in a world of globalizing capital markets in which nonresident investors are increasingly willing to take positions in domestic currency debt, the withdrawal of funding by nonresidents either for domestic-currency or foreign-currency obligations can be a trigger for a currency (and perhaps banking) crisis. In particular, fear of growing fiscal and/or current-account imbalances can lead nonresident (and also resident) investors to flee from domestic-currency assets, triggering massive depreciation and asset market declines. No consistently standardized and comprehensive data source on external debt yet exists. Moody's analysts use creditorside and debtor-side information from national governments, the World Bank, OECD, and BIS to put together estimates of debt. While data are currently given here only for the developing countries, we plan to expand the coverage to developed nations in future editions. Even though external debt is the primary analytical focus, Moody's analysts take special note of those country situations where domestic residents hold a significant portion of the country's internationally-issued foreign-currency bonds, often as a hedge against currency instability. 33. Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's Sovereign ratings address the ability and willingness of the government to meet its obligations. Therefore, it is important to know how much of a country's total external debt represents the debt of public sector borrowers – as distinct from the debt of the private sector. Public sector external debt is defined as the total liabilities of the general government, the monetary authorities, and financial and non-financial corporations that are subject to control by government and monetary authorities. ● xiv ● 34. Short-Term External Debt/Total External Debt (%) Source: BIS, Official National Source, Moody's A key risk factor – beyond the sheer size of external debt – is its maturity composition. Analysts examine the full range of the amounts due to be repaid in future years. "Humps" or "bulges" in amounts due to be repaid may cause severe refinancing difficulties, rollover risk, or a sudden stops in creditor lending. A simple measure of maturity risk – useful as a starting point – is the proportion of debt that has an original maturity of one year or less. 35. External Debt/GDP (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's Because countries of different size would naturally be expected to have debt of different size, division by GDP allows for consistency in international comparisons. The ratio of external debt to GDP is one contributing factor to the future flow of interest payments that the residents of the country will have to pay over time to nonresidents, relative to the capacity of the country to generate income. (The other is the average interest rate paid on the debt.) As with the ratio of the current-account balance to GDP, the ratio of external debt/GDP can be somewhat misleading for large, relatively closed, economies. A relatively low external debt/GDP does not clearly signal a debt problem, which may arise if exports/GDP are also relatively low. 36. External Debt/Current Account Receipts (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's This is the most widely used general measure of the foreign debt burden. It is sometimes called the "debt/exports" ratio, where "exports" is shorthand for "current-account receipts", which is the sum of foreign earnings associated with transactions defined as part of the current account. Ceteris paribus, a country with a high ratio is more likely to face a disruption of its capacity to service debt when faced with adverse external or internal shocks, such as a deterioration in the terms-of-trade, a political crisis, a decline in demand in major export markets, a change in country-specific risk perception, or a rise in international interest rates. However, even a low ratio can be compatible with debt payment problems if debt costs are very high, principal repayments are bunched, or debt can't be refinanced because of a confidence shock. 37. Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's 38. Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's In addition to an analysis of the external stock of debt, both in absolute terms and in relation to GDP and external receipts (Tables 32, 35, and 36), it is also important to measure and evaluate the flows of payments due on that debt stock. Tables 37 and 38 show the interest due and amortization paid in any given year. Together they represent the resources required for full and timely debt service, whether coming from external receipts, existing reserves, or new borrowing. In the case of amortization, however, it should be noted that figures for past years show actual repayments and may, therefore, include prepayments as well as scheduled repayments. 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP (%) Source: Eurostat, Official National Source, Moody's This indicator measures the difference in the annual inflows and outflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in relation to GDP. Since inflows are recorded as positive and outflows as negative, the typical developing country shows up here as having a positive net FDI while most advanced industrial countries, except for resource-rich countries like Australia, have a negative net flow. FDI, defined as equity inflows involving control over productive assets, is generally viewed from two different perspectives. On the one hand, it is a major instrument for technology and skills transfer and for introducing greater competition into domestic markets. It also helps build up an export base by tying a country more closely into global production chains. On the other hand, FDI is important, along with more fragmented equity inflows that do not bring control, as a financing item in the balance-of-payments, allowing a country's investment to exceed its domestic saving without a corresponding buildup of external debt. FDI, however, is not an unalloyed positive. The dividends, royalties, and service fees generated by the foreign capital put in place can themselves be a major item in the current account. In addition, FDI is often accompanied by intercompany loans that add to external debt. 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP (%) Source: Official National Source, Moody's This is an estimate of the difference between the market value of a country's foreign assets and that of its liabilities, relative to GDP. (A positive number represents a net asset position). The US is a large net debtor, while Japan, China and Germany are large net creditors. ● xv ● However, the balance of payments effects may not be straightforwardly implied from the net international investment position. For the US, for example, the net flows of interest and dividends (including reinvested earnings) registered in the current account have typically shown a much lower net deficit than would be expected on the basis of the balance-sheet figures. This implies either that the value of the stock of US capital abroad is underestimated and/or that the return on US investments abroad is much greater than the return on foreign capital in the US. 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) Source: IFS, Official National Source, Moody's Foreign exchange reserves held by a country's central bank are the first line of defense against withdrawal of foreign credit. They are measured at end of year in U.S. dollars at current exchange rates. Moody's analysts do not include Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) or gold in the figures presented. It should be kept in mind that annual fluctuations in reserves are very much affected by their currency composition. With most countries still holding the bulk of their reserves in dollars and much of international trade carried out in dollars, it is appropriate to measure them in dollars. If another currency should grow over time to play a more important role in trade and in reserve holdings, some composite or basket method of common measurement might become necessary. Central bank reserves are only one component of international liquidity. It is also important to take into account the liquid high-credit-quality foreign-currency assets of the commercial banks as well as the foreign currency assets of the corporate sector. Countries with freely floating exchange rates and stable financial systems may need lower reserves than those actively managing their exchange rates or facing the risk of a banking crisis. The currency crises of 1997-1999 have led many emerging market governments and central banks to hold higher levels of reserves to protect themselves against volatility in perceptions of currency and default risk on the part of creditors. In addition, apparent reserve levels can be misleading if the central bank has sold foreign exchange forwards or has placed reserves in the foreign branches of the country's own banks. More accurate and more frequent reserve disclosure is one of the main efforts of the IMF's in improving data dissemination. 42. Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) Source: Official National Source, Moody's As mentioned above, a country's international liquidity – broadly defined – includes not only the official foreign exchange reserves but also the net foreign asset position of the country's banks. This is the difference between the claims of domestic banks on nonresidents and their liabilities to them. It can therefore be either positive – a net addition to liquidity – if assets exceed liabilities or negative, in which case the net bank position is a potential call on the official reserves. IV. MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS This section includes a number of indicators that are of use in evaluating a country's vulnerability to a currency or banking crisis (or a combination of both). They look at short-term external debt in relation to available international liquidity and at the growth of the monetary and credit aggregates that could provide the foundation for an attack on the domestic currency or a withdrawal of funding from the banking system. While we currently only present these ratios for developing countries, we will expand the coverage to all countries in future editions. 43. M2 (% change, Dec/Dec) Source: IFS, Official National Source, Moody's Rapid growth of the stock of money circulating within a country may be an indicator of future inflationary pressure that can undermine confidence in the currency and lead to a run into foreign currency assets. Or it may simply be a sign of deepening financial intermediation. The analyst needs to look at this variable in the context of a country's overall financial development. When an international equivalent of M2 (M1, that is all physical money, demand deposits, and Negotiable Order of Withdrawal Accounts, plus all time-related deposits, savings deposits, and non-institutional money-market funds) is not available, the measure used here is the sum of what the IFS labels "Money" and "Quasi-Money". The former consists of currency outside banks and demand deposits (other than those of the central government). The latter is comprised of time, savings, and foreign currency deposits of residents, again excluding central government. Their sum is generally very close to what most national monetary authorities call M2. 44. Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec. 31) Source: Official National Source Interest rates are among the most important macroeconomic variables, influencing saving, investing, lending, and borrowing decisions across the entire economy. In particular, a rapid run-up to very high interest rates – often associated with simultaneous currency depreciation – can severely stress debtors, whether government or corporate, raising the risk of bankruptcy and default. While there is a panoply of rates differentiated by maturity, credit risk, financial instrument, sector, etc. the monetary policy rate would impact all of them and is unaffected by regulatory ceilings on interest rates or other financial distortions in the banking sector. ● xvi ● We use the central bank's monetary policy target rate, the objective or reflective reference rate which guides the central bank or monetary authority in using its monetary policy instruments to change the money supply and thus influence liquidity levels in the domestic market. In cases where the central bank does not target a specific rate (such as countries in a currency union, dollarized economies and/or countries with fixed exchange rate regimes), we use other rates such as deposit rates, overnight lending rates, or other lending rates. 45. Domestic Credit (% change, Dec/Dec) Source: IFS, Official National Source, Moody's The rapid growth of domestic credit granted by the banking system – to all sectors of the economy – is either a signal of an impending credit boom or it is characteristic of a deepening of the financial intermediation. Acceleration of the growth rate of credit may therefore be a leading indicator of the emergence of high nonperforming loans in the banking system, which could lead to a loss of confidence by domestic and external depositors. 46. Domestic Credit/GDP (%) Source: IFS, Official National Source, Moody's The ratio of domestic credit to GDP is a useful indicator of the depth of financial intermediation reached in the evolution of the financial system and also of the degree to which the provision of credit is dominated by banks. A rapid increase may, like the previous indicator, signal a buildup of loan loss potential while, on the other hand, efforts to develop the institutional foundations for nonbank sources of credit (pension funds, insurance companies, asset management companies, bond markets, etc.) may slow its growth. 47. M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) Source: Official National Source, Moody's The ratio of M2 to the central bank's reserves provides an indicator of how strong the pressure could be – in a currency/banking crisis – deriving from efforts on the part of money holders to flee out of the domestic currency into foreign currency assets. Of course, "capital flight" does not have to involve broad money; it can be fueled by sales of domestic equities, bonds, and other assets. Nevertheless, M2/Reserves is a starting point for dimensioning the potential run on the most liquid assets in the financial system. 48. Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's This ratio is a rather blunt but useful measure of the burden of external debt. It parallels the debt service ratio below, but is a ratio of stocks rather than flows. 49. Debt Service Ratio (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal/Current Account Receipts) (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's The debt service ratio takes account of most of the factors mentioned above – interest cost, maturity structure, debt stock, and foreign-exchange receipts. However, it does not signal problems associated with a high level of short-term debt (debt with less than one-year maturity). In a confidence crisis, short-term debt may not be renewed and the debt service ratio may understate the degree of pressure being exerted on the country's reserve position. In addition, it should be noted that all of these debt stock or debt service indicators are geared to the current account of the balance of payments, not to the capital account. In this world of increasingly open financial markets, portfolio shifts and substitutions affecting the capital account can force or threaten default even for countries that have low debt service ratios. 50. External Vulnerability Indicator (Short-term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves) (%) Source: IMF, Official National Source, Moody's This ratio is one indicator of whether a country's immediately available foreign exchange resources are sufficient to allow it to make all external debt payments, even if there is a complete refusal of creditors to roll over debt due within a given year. Also included in the numerator are deposits in domestic banks by nonresidents with a maturity greater than one year (those below one year are already included as part of short-term debt). This is included because, in a general run on the currency, depositors may attempt to withdraw longer-term deposits even if they have to pay a penalty to do so. This ratio thus measures capacity to withstand a sudden loss of investor confidence resulting from heightened risk perception or a general liquidity squeeze in the emerging markets. A high ratio can be a signal of vulnerability, resulting either from excessive short-term debt or a serious bunching of repayments on long-term debt, possibly exacerbated by insufficient reserves. However, the detailed composition of short-term debt must also be examined, since some countries that are major commodity exporters may have a high volume of trade-related short-term debt, which is not vulnerable to withdrawal to the same degree as interbank credit lines. 51. Liquidity Ratio (Liabilities to BIS Banks Due within One Year/ Total Assets Held in BIS Banks) (%) Source: BIS This liquidity ratio makes use of information on the assets and liabilities of BIS-reporting banks vis-à-vis each country. ● xvii ● Deficiencies in international data availability mean that any such indictor has some flaws, but this is the one that Moody's analysts find useful. The numerator encompasses all short-term liabilities of domestic institutions that are claims of banks located in BIS-reporting countries. It leaves out, therefore, liabilities held by nonbank creditors in BIS countries and those held in non-BIS countries. The denominator counts foreign assets of domestic institutions placed in BIS banks (including the portion of the central bank's reserves placed as deposits in BIS banks) but leaves out the reserves held as securities and any claims on non-BIS banks. This indicator displayed very high values in 1996-97 for some of the countries that experienced a crisis, including Thailand, Korea, Russia, and Indonesia. Like all such indicators, however, it has historically yielded some false positives where it predicted a crisis that did not take place (South Africa). As mentioned earlier, a detailed examination of the confidence-sensitivity of the components of the short-term liabilities is necessary. Also, a debt crisis may result not so much from the short-term liquidity situation as from a high level of required repayments on long-term debt. Consequently, it is important to use this ratio in tandem with the conventional debt service ratio (Table 49) and the external vulnerability indicator (Table 50). 52. Total Liabilities Due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks (%) Source: BIS This ratio is an expansion of the previously defined Liquidity Ratio (Table 51) to include all liabilities of domestic banks to nonresident BIS-reporting banks – regardless of maturity. The difference between the two gives a measure of domestic bank utilization of medium- to long-term financing provided by foreign banks. To the extent that loss of confidence in the country's banking system is reflected all along the yield curve – not just through refusal to roll over short-term credit lines, this ratio will give the appropriately expanded measure of risk. 53. "Dollarization" Ratio (Total Foreign-Currency Deposits in Domestic Banks/Total Deposits in Domestic Banks) (%) Source: Official National Source, Moody's In a number of developing countries, recurrence of currency crises and lack of confidence in the ability (or willingness) of the government to maintain reasonable stability in the functioning of the domestic currency as a store of wealth have led residents to place a portion of their financial assets in foreign-currency-denominated instruments. This is sometimes called "currency substitution" or "currency co-circulation". It is colloquially called "dollarization", although the currency used may alternatively be euros, yen, U.K. pounds, or any other hard currency. The largest part of these assets is placed as deposits in domestic banks, due both to the superior liquidity of deposits and to the underdevelopment of domestic capital markets. Dollarization is therefore measured here as the percentage of total deposits in domestic banks that is denominated in foreign currency. Dollarization reflects the public's perception of the credibility of government fiscal and monetary policies and can itself be a source of additional risk. Data presented here are for developing countries rated Baa1 and lower. 54. "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator (Foreign-Currency Deposits in Domestic Banks/Official ForeignExchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) (%) Source: Official National Source, Moody's This indicator is intended to provide a measure of the additional risk of payments crisis and default deriving from the presence of a large amount of "dollarization" in the domestic banking system. The numerator is total foreign-currency deposits, which can be potentially withdrawn from the system if perception of the risk of a banking crisis rises. The denominator represents one measure of the system's capacity to withstand such a run by drawing on both the Central Bank's holdings of foreign-currency and the banking system's on-balance-sheet foreign assets, most of which are placed as liquid short-term deposits in foreign banks. ● xviii ● Exchange Rate Regimes May 2013 No separate legal tender U.S. Dollar: Ecuador, El Salvador, Panama; Euro: Montenegro Currency Board Arrangement Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Cayman Islands, Hong Kong, Lithuania (ERM2), Macao, St. Vincent & the Grenadines (ECCU) Conventional Peg Bahamas, Bahrain, Barbados, Belize, Bermuda, Cuba, Denmark (ERM2), Fiji, Jordan, Kuwait, Latvia, Morocco, Namibia, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Senegal (WAEMU), St. Maarten, United Arab Emirates, Venezuela Stabilized Arrangement Azerbaijan, Bolivia, Cambodia, Jamaica, Lebanon, Pakistan, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Ukraine, Vietnam Crawling Pegs Botswana, Honduras, Nicaragua Crawl-like Arrangement Argentina, Bangladesh, China, Croatia, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Sri Lanka Other Managed Arrangement Angola, Belarus, Costa Rica, Malaysia, Nigeria, Paraguay, Russia, Singapore Floating Albania, Armenia, Brazil, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Georgia, Ghana, Guatemala, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Israel, Kenya, Korea, Mauritius, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Romania, South Africa, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Uruguay, Zambia Free Floating Australia, Canada, Chile, Czech Republic, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States, European Monetary Union: Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain ● xix ● PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ● xx ● Ratings List ● xxi ● PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ● xxii ● Country Ceilings & Government Bond Ratings May 24, 2013 GOVERNMENT BOND RATINGS COUNTRY CEILINGS FOREIGN CURRENCY Country FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Bonds Albania B1 / STA B1 / STA - - Alderney (Channel Islands) LOCAL CURRENCY Bank Deposits Bonds Deposits Ba2 B2 Ba1 Ba1 Aaa Aaa Aaa - Andorra - - A3 A3 A3 A3 Angola Ba3 / POS Ba3 / POS Ba1 B1 Baa3 Baa3 Argentina B3 / NEG B3 / NEG B3 Caa1 Ba3 Ba3 Armenia Ba2 / NEG Ba2 / NEG Baa3 Ba3 Baa1 Baa1 Australia Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Austria Aaa / NEG Aaa / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Azerbaijan Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Bahamas Baa1 / NEG Baa1 / NEG A2 Baa1 A1 A1 - - Aa3 A2 - - Baa1 / NEG Baa1 / NEG A2 Baa1 A1 A1 Bahamas-Offshore Banks Bahrain Bahrain-Offshore Banks [1] - - A1 A1 - - Bangladesh Ba3 / STA Ba3 / STA Ba2 B1 Baa3 Baa3 Barbados Ba1 / NEG Ba1 / NEG Baa2 Ba2 Baa1 Baa1 Belarus B3 / NEG B3 / NEG B3 Caa1 Ba3 B1 Belgium Aa3 / NEG Aa3 / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Belize Caa2 / STA Caa2 / STA B2 Caa3 B2 B2 Bermuda Aa3 / NEG Aa3 / NEG Aa2 Aa3 Aa2 Aa2 Bolivia Ba3 / STA Ba3 / STA Ba2 B1 Ba1 Ba1 Bosnia and Herzegovina B3 / STA B3 / STA B3 B3 B3 B3 Botswana A2 / STA A2 / STA Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Brazil Baa2 / POS Baa2 / POS Baa1 Baa2 A1 A1 Bulgaria Baa2 / STA Baa2 / STA Aa3 Baa2 Aa3 Baa2 Cambodia B2 / STA B2 / STA B1 B3 Ba1 Ba1 Canada Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Cayman Islands Aa3 / STA - Aa2 Aa3 Aa2 Aa2 Cayman Islands-Offshore Banks - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - Chile Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa1 Aa3 Aaa Aaa China Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Colombia Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa2 Baa3 A1 A1 Costa Rica Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa2 Ba1 Aa2 Aa3 Croatia Ba1 / STA Ba1 / STA Baa1 Ba2 A3 A3 Cuba Caa1 / STA - Caa1 Caa2 Ba3 - Cyprus Caa3 / NEG Caa3 / NEG Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Czech Republic A1 / STA A1 / STA Aa3 A1 Aa3 Aa3 Denmark Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Dominican Republic B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 A1 A1 [1] Wholesale Banks ● xxiii ● May 24, 2013 GOVERNMENT BOND RATINGS COUNTRY CEILINGS FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Country FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Bonds Bank Deposits Bonds Deposits Ecuador Caa1 / STA - B3 Caa2 - - Egypt Caa1 / NEG Caa1 / NEG B3 Caa2 Ba3 Ba3 El Salvador Ba3 / STA - Ba1 Ba1 - - Estonia A1 / STA A1 / STA Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Fiji B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba3 B2 Ba2 Ba2 Finland Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa France Aa1 / NEG Aa1 / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Georgia Ba3 / STA Ba3 / STA Ba1 B1 Baa3 Baa3 Germany Aaa / NEG Aaa / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Ghana B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 Ba2 Ba2 Greece C/- C/- Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Ba1 / STA Ba1 / STA Baa3 Ba2 A3 A3 - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - B2 / NEG B2 / NEG Ba3 B3 Ba3 Ba3 Guatemala Guernsey (Channel Islands) Honduras Hong Kong Aa1 / STA Aa1 / STA Aaa Aa1 Aaa Aaa Hungary Ba1 / NEG Ba1 / NEG Baa2 Ba2 Baa2 Baa2 Iceland Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 India Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa2 Baa3 A1 A1 Indonesia Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa2 Baa3 A3 A3 Ireland Ba1 / NEG Ba1 / NEG A3 A3 A3 A3 Isle of Man Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa - Israel A1 / STA A1 / STA Aa1 A1 Aa1 Aa2 Italy Baa2 / NEG Baa2 / NEG A2 A2 A2 A2 Jamaica Caa3 / STA Caa3 / STA B3 Ca B2 B2 Japan Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - Jersey (Channel Islands) Jordan Ba2 / NEG Ba2 / NEG Baa3 Ba3 Baa1 Baa1 Kazakhstan Baa2 / STA Baa2 / STA Baa2 Ba1 A3 A3 B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 Ba1 Ba1 Kenya Korea Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa1 Aa3 Aa1 Aa1 Kuwait Aa2 / STA Aa2 / STA Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Latvia Baa2 / POS Baa2 / POS A3 Baa2 A3 A3 B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba3 B1 Ba1 Ba1 - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - Lithuania Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA Aa2 Baa1 Aa1 Aa1 Luxembourg Aaa / NEG Aaa / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Macao Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa1 Aa3 Aaa Aaa Malaysia A3 / STA A3 / STA A1 A3 A1 A1 Malta A3 / NEG A3 / NEG A1 A1 A1 A1 Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A2 Baa1 A1 A1 Lebanon Liechtenstein Mauritius [1] Wholesale Banks ● xxiv ● May 24, 2013 GOVERNMENT BOND RATINGS COUNTRY CEILINGS FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Country FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Bonds Bank Deposits Bonds Deposits Mexico Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A1 Baa1 A1 A1 Moldova B3 / STA B3 / STA B2 Caa1 Ba2 Ba2 Monaco - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - Mongolia B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 Baa1 Baa2 Montenegro Ba3 / STA - Baa1 B1 - - Morocco Ba1 / NEG Ba1 / NEG Baa2 Ba2 Baa1 Baa1 Namibia Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA A3 Baa3 A1 A1 Netherlands Aaa / NEG Aaa / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa New Zealand Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Nicaragua B3 / STA B3 / STA B2 Caa1 B2 B2 Nigeria Ba3 / STA Ba3 / STA Ba1 B1 Baa3 Baa3 Norway Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Oman A1 / STA A1 / STA Aa2 A1 Aa2 Aa2 Pakistan Caa1 / NEG Caa1 / NEG B3 Caa2 B1 B1 Panama Baa2 / STA - A3 A3 - - - - Aa2 Aa2 - - Panama-Offshore Banks Papua New Guinea B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 Ba1 Ba1 Paraguay Ba3 / STA Ba3 / STA Ba1 B1 Ba1 Ba1 Peru Baa2 / POS Baa2 / POS A3 Baa2 A2 A2 Philippines Ba1 / STA Ba1 / STA Baa2 Ba1 A2 A2 Poland A2 / STA A2 / STA Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Portugal Ba3 / NEG Ba3 / NEG Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Qatar Aa2 / STA Aa2 / STA Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Romania Baa3 / NEG Baa3 / NEG A3 Baa3 A3 A3 Russia Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A2 Baa1 A1 A1 - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - San Marino - - Aaa Aaa Aaa - Saudi Arabia Sark (Channel Islands) Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Senegal B1 / STA B1 / STA A2 A2 A2 A2 Singapore Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Slovakia A2 / NEG A2 / NEG Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Slovenia Ba1 / NEG Ba1 / NEG Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 South Africa Baa1 / NEG Baa1 / NEG A2 Baa1 A1 A1 Spain Baa3 / NEG Baa3 / NEG A3 A3 A3 A3 Sri Lanka St. Maarten B1 / POS - - - - - Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A2 Baa1 A1 A1 St. Vincent & the Grenadines B2 / STA B2 / STA Ba3 Ba3 Ba3 Ba3 Suriname Ba3 / POS Ba3 / POS Ba1 B1 Ba1 Ba1 Sweden Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Switzerland Aaa / STA Aaa / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa [1] Wholesale Banks ● xxv ● May 24, 2013 GOVERNMENT BOND RATINGS COUNTRY CEILINGS FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Country FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY Bonds Bank Deposits Bonds Deposits Taiwan Aa3 / STA Aa3 / STA Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Thailand Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A2 Baa1 Aa2 Aa2 Trinidad and Tobago Baa1 / STA Baa1 / STA A1 Baa1 A1 A1 Tunisia Ba1 / RUR- Ba1 / RUR- Baa2 Ba2 Baa2 Baa2 Turkey Baa3 / STA Baa3 / STA Baa1 Baa3 A3 A3 Ukraine B3 / NEG B3 / NEG B3 Caa1 B2 B2 United Arab Emirates Aa2 / STA Aa2 / STA Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 United Kingdom Aa1 / STA Aa1 / STA Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa United States of America Aaa / NEG Aaa / NEG Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa Uruguay Baa3 / POS Baa3 / POS Baa1 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Venezuela B2 / NEG B1 / NEG B2 B3 Ba3 Ba3 Vietnam B2 / STA B2 / STA B1 B3 Ba2 Ba2 Zambia B1 / STA B1 / STA Ba2 B2 Baa3 Baa3 [1] Wholesale Banks ● xxvi ● I. Economic Structure and Performance •1• 1. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating •2• Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand [1] Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 536.5 254.4 312.3 887.8 13.2 212.6 9.9 164.5 1,795.8 2,428.6 195.0 161.4 159.3 1,517.5 4,302.9 29.2 5.2 539.4 87.4 224.9 162.3 96.0 45.9 28.5 885.6 314.7 334.6 1,855.8 11,142.2 654.8 291.8 362.2 1,018.1 15.6 244.7 12.0 189.2 2,058.4 2,730.0 230.3 169.1 186.7 1,737.8 4,655.8 34.1 5.8 610.7 103.0 260.0 185.6 112.7 56.2 33.8 1,046.0 362.1 374.2 2,196.9 11,853.2 733.6 305.3 377.7 1,164.2 16.7 257.7 13.9 195.8 2,138.6 2,768.9 240.3 181.6 202.9 1,788.0 4,571.9 37.7 6.1 639.1 111.7 304.1 192.0 125.4 61.4 35.8 1,131.9 370.6 384.7 2,295.8 12,623.0 779.6 325.3 400.3 1,309.9 18.1 274.4 16.8 208.0 2,257.8 2,905.5 262.0 193.5 223.2 1,874.7 4,356.7 42.6 6.5 678.3 111.4 340.0 202.0 145.8 69.1 39.0 1,237.5 399.1 405.2 2,453.0 13,377.2 944.5 375.6 460.3 1,458.0 21.7 311.4 22.0 246.3 2,586.1 3,328.6 305.9 211.6 258.7 2,130.2 4,356.3 51.4 7.6 783.7 139.6 393.5 232.1 177.8 84.2 47.4 1,443.5 462.5 450.5 2,825.5 14,028.7 1,034.2 415.8 509.4 1,542.5 25.2 343.9 23.9 272.8 2,842.9 3,637.9 342.9 219.3 263.1 2,316.4 4,849.2 55.0 8.8 874.2 117.7 453.9 252.9 190.6 98.3 54.8 1,599.7 486.2 524.3 2,648.9 14,291.6 976.4 384.8 474.7 1,368.9 23.5 310.5 19.2 239.9 2,627.4 3,308.3 322.0 214.0 224.6 2,117.3 5,035.2 50.2 8.3 798.7 127.9 378.9 234.8 188.8 87.5 49.5 1,460.2 405.8 509.5 2,183.9 13,973.6 1,244.8 380.0 472.4 1,616.0 23.1 313.1 19.0 237.1 2,570.4 3,312.0 294.8 228.7 207.6 2,059.1 5,495.3 52.9 8.4 781.1 145.4 420.9 229.4 231.7 87.4 47.2 1,391.7 463.1 550.7 2,266.1 14,498.9 1,490.5 418.5 514.9 1,781.1 25.0 333.7 22.2 263.6 2,778.7 3,608.1 290.2 248.7 224.1 2,196.8 5,897.0 59.3 9.1 837.8 166.1 490.7 238.1 265.6 96.2 50.3 1,479.9 539.0 660.8 2,428.7 15,075.7 1,540.7 398.4 483.7 1,819.1 23.0 314.2 21.9 250.0 2,607.5 3,399.0 249.1 263.3 210.3 2,013.1 5,964.0 57.1 8.7 772.2 172.3 501.1 212.7 276.5 91.9 45.6 1,349.3 524.8 632.4 2,435.0 15,684.8 1,582.1 419.7 504.8 1,855.8 21.7 328.4 23.9 264.0 2,703.8 3,556.4 240.1 280.2 221.6 2,060.6 5,244.1 60.6 9.2 799.1 183.3 529.6 217.0 299.8 97.6 46.5 1,386.0 558.7 611.0 2,380.3 16,312.1 1,618.1 417.1 497.3 1,932.7 20.0 325.3 24.6 263.0 2,650.8 3,517.3 221.1 296.6 220.7 2,010.4 5,086.1 60.7 9.2 785.8 190.5 558.1 212.0 326.2 98.2 45.1 1,353.3 570.1 655.4 2,418.6 16,964.6 Median 224.9 260.0 304.1 325.3 375.6 415.8 378.9 380.0 418.5 398.4 419.7 417.1 Mean 989.8 1,096.2 1,147.5 1,203.9 1,315.4 1,389.5 1,313.9 1,367.2 1,465.2 1,459.4 1,475.8 1,494.8 Notes: [1] National account years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 1. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Median (Aaa to A3) •3• Mean (Aaa to A3) Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.2 7.5 2.3 76.1 1,650.8 95.3 118.6 643.8 47.8 7.9 113.9 21.5 216.8 23.5 221.5 310.8 124.3 4.5 9.0 2.4 99.3 1,942.8 114.0 126.4 722.0 59.4 10.3 128.2 24.7 252.8 31.7 258.7 340.0 147.8 4.9 9.9 2.8 123.1 2,283.5 130.1 133.7 844.9 80.8 11.8 143.5 30.9 303.9 44.5 328.5 364.8 180.6 5.4 10.1 2.9 154.7 2,787.2 148.4 145.1 951.8 101.6 14.6 162.7 36.8 341.6 60.9 376.9 376.3 222.0 5.9 10.9 3.2 173.1 3,494.5 180.5 166.3 1,049.2 114.7 18.1 193.6 41.9 425.1 79.7 416.0 393.1 257.9 6.1 11.1 3.2 179.6 4,532.2 225.4 201.5 931.4 147.4 20.7 231.0 60.7 529.4 115.3 519.8 400.2 314.5 5.8 10.1 3.0 172.0 5,069.7 197.2 194.8 834.1 106.0 21.3 202.3 48.2 430.9 97.8 429.1 377.5 259.7 5.8 13.7 2.9 217.6 5,951.3 198.5 218.0 1,014.9 119.9 28.4 246.8 58.8 469.8 127.3 526.8 428.2 283.9 5.6 15.3 3.0 251.2 7,204.2 216.1 243.7 1,114.5 161.0 36.8 287.9 70.0 515.8 173.3 669.5 464.0 342.0 5.6 14.4 3.1 268.3 8,227.1 195.7 241.0 1,129.6 175.5 43.6 303.5 76.8 489.6 192.4 727.3 474.0 358.9 5.6 15.3 3.2 282.7 9,324.5 196.1 267.9 1,272.5 174.1 49.4 330.3 79.3 516.8 208.9 745.6 501.7 369.4 5.8 16.4 3.3 297.6 10,622.1 187.7 280.2 1,388.5 175.2 55.4 361.6 82.2 520.5 227.7 761.5 531.0 381.6 95.3 114.0 130.1 148.4 173.1 201.5 194.8 217.6 243.7 241.0 267.9 280.2 216.9 251.4 295.4 347.0 413.2 495.9 497.6 583.1 692.6 760.4 843.7 935.2 1. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) •4• (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 7.4 6.9 9.7 552.4 20.7 94.6 17.5 11.0 617.6 234.8 30.8 11.1 18.7 5.8 700.3 4.9 12.9 61.4 59.5 430.3 168.2 0.5 142.6 11.2 303.0 12.0 8.8 7.1 11.2 663.7 25.3 117.1 18.6 13.3 721.6 256.8 43.2 13.7 22.7 6.6 759.5 6.6 14.2 69.7 75.8 590.9 219.1 0.6 161.3 13.3 392.2 13.7 13.5 7.7 13.5 882.0 28.9 146.5 20.0 16.3 834.2 285.9 57.1 15.9 26.1 6.5 848.8 7.3 15.5 79.4 99.2 764.0 247.1 0.7 176.4 15.9 483.0 17.4 21.0 8.0 15.8 1,089.3 33.2 162.8 22.5 16.7 949.1 364.6 81.0 19.9 30.2 6.7 952.2 8.0 17.1 92.3 122.7 989.9 261.0 0.7 207.1 18.4 530.9 19.6 33.0 8.3 18.5 1,366.8 42.1 207.5 26.3 20.4 1,238.7 432.2 104.8 28.7 39.3 7.8 1,035.8 8.8 19.8 107.3 170.6 1,299.7 286.2 0.7 247.0 21.6 647.1 23.4 48.9 8.2 22.1 1,653.5 51.8 244.3 29.8 16.8 1,224.1 510.2 133.4 33.5 47.5 9.6 1,094.5 8.8 23.0 126.9 204.3 1,660.8 273.1 0.8 272.6 27.9 730.3 30.4 44.3 7.7 19.3 1,620.2 48.6 233.9 29.4 12.1 1,365.4 539.6 115.3 25.9 37.0 8.8 883.6 8.9 24.1 127.0 164.3 1,222.6 284.0 0.8 263.7 19.7 614.6 30.2 52.9 7.8 21.5 2,143.1 47.7 287.0 36.3 12.6 1,710.9 709.2 146.9 24.1 36.6 9.7 1,034.1 11.0 27.1 153.9 164.8 1,524.9 363.2 0.8 318.9 20.9 731.1 38.8 66.0 7.8 25.9 2,476.7 53.5 336.4 41.0 14.1 1,872.8 846.3 183.1 28.5 42.9 11.2 1,159.1 12.5 31.3 176.7 182.6 1,899.1 401.8 0.8 345.7 23.5 774.8 46.4 68.7 8.1 27.0 2,253.1 51.0 369.6 45.1 13.7 1,857.1 878.0 200.5 28.4 42.1 11.4 1,177.2 12.8 36.3 199.5 169.4 2,029.8 384.3 0.9 365.6 23.9 788.9 49.9 74.7 8.5 29.1 2,371.7 53.7 399.0 48.7 15.1 2,030.9 944.0 220.1 30.9 45.8 12.3 1,336.0 13.2 41.5 223.1 179.6 2,208.0 392.4 0.9 412.2 25.3 856.7 57.4 81.8 8.9 30.3 2,629.7 56.3 425.8 53.3 15.3 2,336.4 1,044.1 239.6 31.5 46.9 13.0 1,521.3 13.9 46.7 245.2 197.9 2,381.2 411.6 0.9 454.1 26.4 934.1 61.4 19.7 24.0 27.5 31.7 40.7 50.3 46.4 50.3 59.7 59.9 66.0 71.6 136.4 163.3 196.5 232.3 286.3 326.4 298.1 370.6 425.4 426.6 462.7 511.8 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 1. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 14.0 2.8 51.9 3.2 8.1 34.1 15.0 4.0 21.9 83.5 10.2 1.7 49.8 78.4 6.6 83.9 1.6 27.5 19.8 3.6 56.5 3.5 8.8 41.0 15.8 5.1 24.0 101.9 11.4 2.1 56.9 87.8 8.0 91.4 1.9 31.2 30.6 4.9 60.4 3.9 9.5 44.8 17.1 6.4 27.2 110.3 12.6 2.3 59.5 112.2 8.7 103.1 2.2 32.3 45.2 6.4 62.0 4.2 11.4 49.9 18.6 7.7 30.2 112.5 15.1 2.7 65.6 145.4 10.7 122.2 2.6 34.4 60.4 9.2 68.4 4.5 13.1 59.3 20.1 10.2 34.1 136.1 17.1 3.7 75.2 166.5 13.8 149.4 2.9 38.8 84.2 11.7 79.6 4.3 16.7 69.6 21.4 12.8 39.1 154.2 22.0 4.5 88.9 208.1 18.6 174.2 3.5 44.7 75.5 8.6 89.4 4.4 17.3 62.2 20.7 10.8 37.7 126.6 23.8 4.1 90.9 169.4 16.0 168.3 3.9 43.4 82.5 9.3 100.4 4.2 19.6 58.9 21.4 11.6 41.3 128.0 26.4 4.1 90.8 196.3 20.0 199.6 4.3 44.2 104.1 10.1 111.9 4.3 23.9 61.8 23.1 14.4 47.0 138.7 28.9 4.5 99.2 244.5 26.0 224.8 4.0 45.9 118.1 10.0 115.6 4.3 26.4 56.4 23.8 15.8 50.5 125.6 31.2 4.3 96.8 258.6 26.0 250.3 4.8 45.1 129.8 10.5 128.5 4.4 28.8 58.3 25.1 16.8 54.4 126.1 34.0 4.6 103.9 311.3 31.9 284.1 5.3 47.2 143.0 10.7 147.5 4.6 31.6 58.1 26.5 18.6 58.7 119.9 36.6 4.6 107.8 345.6 36.6 318.5 5.7 49.8 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.5 17.8 22.2 24.4 27.1 30.6 30.8 33.9 37.4 38.2 40.6 43.2 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 27.7 31.7 36.0 41.5 49.1 58.8 54.1 59.1 67.6 70.2 78.1 84.7 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 •5• Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 1. Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) •6• (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana [2] Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 5.7 129.6 17.8 1.0 8.4 4.7 38.8 20.2 32.4 81.4 2.3 11.2 8.2 9.4 14.9 19.7 2.0 1.6 5.3 83.3 3.5 6.9 18.9 0.5 50.1 83.5 39.6 4.3 7.3 153.1 23.1 1.1 10.6 5.3 41.3 22.4 36.6 78.8 2.7 14.6 8.9 10.2 16.1 21.4 2.6 2.0 5.8 98.0 3.9 8.0 20.7 0.5 64.9 112.5 45.4 5.4 8.2 183.2 30.2 1.1 11.6 6.3 46.1 33.4 41.5 89.8 3.0 17.4 9.8 11.2 18.7 21.4 3.0 2.5 6.3 109.5 4.9 8.7 24.4 0.6 86.1 145.5 52.9 7.2 9.0 214.3 37.0 1.2 13.6 7.3 57.0 35.8 46.8 107.4 3.1 20.4 10.9 11.9 22.5 22.2 3.4 3.4 6.8 127.4 5.5 9.4 28.3 0.6 107.8 183.5 60.9 10.7 10.7 262.5 45.3 1.3 17.1 8.6 63.3 40.9 51.0 130.3 3.4 24.8 12.4 12.8 27.2 25.0 4.4 4.3 7.4 143.0 6.3 11.3 32.4 0.7 142.7 230.4 71.0 11.5 13.0 328.5 60.8 1.4 21.1 10.4 65.7 45.2 61.8 162.4 3.6 28.5 13.9 13.7 30.5 29.7 6.1 5.7 8.3 163.8 8.0 13.4 40.7 0.7 180.0 315.6 91.1 14.6 12.1 308.7 49.2 1.3 19.8 10.4 67.3 46.5 61.6 188.6 2.9 26.0 14.6 12.2 30.6 34.7 5.4 4.6 8.2 162.1 8.1 12.8 42.1 0.7 117.2 329.4 97.2 12.8 12.0 370.3 55.2 1.4 16.8 11.2 69.4 50.9 67.9 218.5 3.2 32.2 15.8 13.2 32.2 37.1 5.8 6.2 8.6 176.7 9.7 12.9 49.6 0.7 136.4 393.8 106.4 16.2 13.0 448.2 59.7 1.4 18.2 12.8 72.8 55.4 78.2 235.6 3.8 39.6 17.7 14.5 34.1 39.0 7.0 8.8 9.6 210.9 12.9 14.4 59.2 0.7 163.4 316.5 123.7 19.2 12.5 477.0 63.3 1.5 16.9 14.3 77.3 58.9 84.7 256.7 4.0 40.8 19.0 15.1 40.9 41.3 7.3 10.8 10.5 231.5 15.7 14.0 59.4 0.7 176.3 382.5 141.7 20.8 13.1 509.6 77.1 1.6 17.7 15.8 82.0 60.8 91.5 245.7 4.2 46.3 20.6 15.2 46.5 43.8 7.5 13.0 11.1 244.5 16.9 15.4 68.4 0.7 177.2 355.1 157.4 21.7 13.2 537.9 91.6 1.7 18.1 17.5 87.2 63.6 98.9 268.8 4.6 52.6 21.8 15.7 51.8 46.7 8.0 16.1 11.8 271.3 18.9 15.9 78.0 0.8 186.4 314.3 173.8 23.1 Median (B1 to C) 10.3 12.6 14.5 17.0 20.9 24.8 22.9 24.5 26.6 30.8 32.8 34.9 Mean (B1 to C) 25.2 29.4 35.2 41.7 50.1 62.1 60.2 68.9 74.7 82.0 85.0 89.6 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 GDP figures rebased following SNA 1993 compilation methodology 2. Population (Mil.) •7• (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America 19.9 8.1 10.4 31.7 1.0 5.4 1.4 5.2 62.2 82.5 11.0 6.7 4.0 57.6 127.7 0.5 0.4 16.2 4.0 4.6 10.4 4.1 5.4 2.0 42.0 9.0 7.3 59.6 290.1 20.1 8.2 10.4 32.0 1.0 5.4 1.3 5.2 62.7 82.5 11.1 6.8 4.1 58.2 127.8 0.5 0.4 16.3 4.1 4.6 10.5 4.2 5.4 2.0 42.7 9.0 7.4 59.9 292.8 20.4 8.2 10.5 32.3 1.0 5.4 1.3 5.2 63.2 82.5 11.1 6.8 4.2 58.6 127.8 0.5 0.4 16.3 4.1 4.6 10.5 4.3 5.4 2.0 43.4 9.0 7.4 60.2 295.5 20.7 8.3 10.5 32.6 1.0 5.4 1.3 5.3 63.6 82.4 11.1 6.9 4.3 58.9 127.8 0.5 0.4 16.3 4.2 4.7 10.6 4.4 5.4 2.0 44.1 9.1 7.5 60.6 298.4 21.0 8.3 10.6 32.9 1.1 5.5 1.3 5.3 64.0 82.3 11.2 6.9 4.4 59.4 127.8 0.5 0.4 16.4 4.2 4.7 10.6 4.6 5.4 2.0 44.9 9.1 7.6 61.0 301.2 21.4 8.3 10.7 33.3 1.1 5.5 1.3 5.3 64.4 82.1 11.2 7.0 4.4 59.8 127.7 0.5 0.4 16.4 4.3 4.8 10.6 4.8 5.4 2.0 45.6 9.2 7.6 61.4 304.1 21.8 8.4 10.8 33.7 1.1 5.5 1.3 5.3 64.7 81.9 11.3 7.0 4.5 60.2 127.6 0.5 0.4 16.5 4.3 4.8 10.6 5.0 5.4 2.0 45.9 9.3 7.7 61.8 306.8 22.1 8.4 10.9 34.1 1.1 5.5 1.3 5.4 65.1 81.8 11.3 7.1 4.5 60.5 127.5 0.5 0.4 16.6 4.4 4.9 10.6 5.1 5.4 2.0 46.1 9.4 7.8 62.3 309.3 22.3 8.4 11.0 34.5 1.1 5.6 1.3 5.4 65.4 81.8 11.3 7.1 4.6 60.7 127.8 0.5 0.4 16.7 4.4 5.0 10.6 5.2 5.4 2.0 46.2 9.4 7.9 62.7 311.6 22.6 8.4 11.0 34.9 1.1 5.6 1.3 5.4 65.8 81.7 11.3 7.1 4.6 60.9 127.9 0.5 0.4 16.8 4.4 5.0 10.5 5.3 5.4 2.0 46.2 9.5 8.0 63.2 313.9 22.9 8.5 11.1 35.2 1.1 5.6 1.3 5.4 66.2 81.6 11.3 7.2 4.6 61.1 128.2 0.5 0.4 16.8 4.5 5.1 10.6 5.4 5.4 2.0 46.1 9.6 8.1 63.8 316.1 23.1 8.5 11.2 35.6 1.1 5.6 1.3 5.5 66.5 81.6 11.3 7.3 4.7 61.4 128.4 0.5 0.4 16.8 4.5 5.1 10.6 5.5 5.4 2.1 46.0 9.6 8.2 64.3 318.4 Median Mean Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.5 30.7 30.9 31.1 31.3 31.5 31.8 31.9 32.1 32.3 32.5 32.6 32.8 2. Population (Mil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Median (Aaa to A3) •8• Mean (Aaa to A3) Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.1 1.8 0.0 15.9 1,288.4 10.2 6.7 47.9 2.5 0.5 25.1 2.5 38.2 0.7 22.3 22.6 3.6 0.1 1.9 0.0 16.1 1,296.1 10.2 6.8 48.0 2.8 0.5 25.6 2.6 38.2 0.8 23.2 22.7 3.8 0.1 1.9 0.1 16.3 1,303.7 10.2 6.9 48.1 3.0 0.5 26.1 2.6 38.2 0.9 24.0 22.8 4.1 0.1 1.9 0.1 16.4 1,311.0 10.3 7.1 48.4 3.2 0.5 26.6 2.7 38.1 1.0 24.8 22.9 4.2 0.1 1.9 0.1 16.6 1,317.9 10.3 7.2 48.6 3.4 0.5 27.1 2.7 38.1 1.2 25.5 23.0 4.5 0.1 2.0 0.1 16.8 1,324.7 10.4 7.3 49.0 3.4 0.5 27.5 2.8 38.1 1.4 26.2 23.0 4.8 0.1 2.0 0.1 16.9 1,331.3 10.5 7.5 49.2 3.5 0.5 27.9 2.9 38.2 1.6 26.8 23.1 5.1 0.1 2.0 0.1 17.1 1,337.7 10.5 7.6 49.4 3.6 0.5 28.4 2.5 38.2 1.7 27.4 23.2 5.2 0.1 2.0 0.1 17.2 1,344.1 10.5 7.8 49.8 3.7 0.6 28.9 3.0 38.5 1.8 28.1 23.2 5.4 0.1 2.1 0.1 17.4 1,350.9 10.5 7.9 50.0 3.8 0.6 29.3 3.1 38.5 1.8 28.7 23.3 5.5 0.1 2.1 0.1 17.7 1,357.6 10.6 8.1 50.3 3.9 0.6 29.8 3.2 38.5 1.9 29.4 23.4 5.7 0.1 2.1 0.1 18.1 1,364.4 10.6 8.2 50.6 4.0 0.6 30.3 3.3 38.6 2.0 30.1 23.5 5.9 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.2 87.6 88.2 88.8 89.4 89.9 90.5 91.0 91.5 92.0 92.6 93.1 93.7 Notes: [1] Population below 50,000 prior to 2004 appears as 0.0 due to rounding 2. Population (Mil.) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating •9• Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [1] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Notes: [1] Population below 50,000 appears as 0.0 due to rounding 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.2 0.3 0.8 181.6 7.8 41.7 4.2 0.3 1,105.9 221.8 14.9 2.3 3.5 1.2 103.9 2.0 3.1 26.9 21.7 144.6 46.1 0.0 65.4 1.3 66.3 3.3 8.3 0.3 0.8 183.9 7.8 42.4 4.2 0.3 1,123.0 224.6 15.0 2.3 3.4 1.2 105.2 2.0 3.2 27.2 21.7 143.8 46.7 0.0 66.1 1.3 67.2 3.3 8.4 0.3 0.9 186.0 7.7 43.0 4.3 0.3 1,140.0 227.3 15.1 2.3 3.4 1.2 106.5 2.1 3.2 27.6 21.6 143.2 47.2 0.0 66.7 1.3 68.1 3.3 8.5 0.3 1.0 188.0 7.7 43.7 4.4 0.3 1,157.0 229.9 15.3 2.3 3.4 1.3 107.8 2.1 3.3 27.9 21.6 142.5 47.7 0.0 67.3 1.3 69.1 3.3 8.6 0.3 1.0 189.8 7.7 44.4 4.5 0.3 1,174.0 232.5 15.5 2.3 3.4 1.3 109.2 2.2 3.4 28.2 21.5 142.1 48.3 0.0 67.8 1.3 70.0 3.3 8.8 0.3 1.1 191.5 7.6 45.0 4.5 0.3 1,190.9 235.0 15.7 2.3 3.4 1.3 110.6 2.2 3.4 28.5 21.5 142.0 48.8 0.0 68.3 1.3 70.9 3.3 8.9 0.3 1.2 193.2 7.6 45.7 4.6 0.3 1,207.7 237.4 16.1 2.3 3.3 1.3 112.0 2.2 3.5 28.8 21.5 141.9 49.3 0.0 68.7 1.3 71.8 3.3 9.1 0.3 1.2 194.9 7.5 46.3 4.7 0.3 1,224.6 239.9 16.3 2.2 3.3 1.3 113.4 2.3 3.5 29.1 21.4 142.4 50.0 0.0 69.1 1.3 72.8 3.4 9.2 0.3 1.2 196.7 7.3 46.9 4.7 0.3 1,241.5 242.3 16.6 2.1 3.0 1.3 114.8 2.3 3.6 29.4 21.4 143.0 50.6 0.0 69.5 1.3 73.6 3.4 9.3 0.4 1.3 198.4 7.3 47.6 4.8 0.3 1,258.6 244.8 16.7 2.0 3.0 1.3 116.2 2.4 3.7 29.7 21.4 142.5 51.2 0.0 70.0 1.3 73.7 3.4 9.5 0.4 1.3 200.1 7.2 48.2 4.9 0.3 1,275.9 247.3 16.9 2.0 3.0 1.3 117.6 2.4 3.7 30.0 21.4 142.0 51.8 0.0 70.4 1.3 74.7 3.4 9.6 0.4 1.3 201.9 7.0 48.7 5.0 0.3 1,293.5 249.8 17.1 2.0 3.0 1.3 119.0 2.5 3.8 30.3 21.4 141.5 52.4 0.0 70.9 1.3 75.7 3.4 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.3 80.0 81.0 82.0 83.0 83.9 84.9 85.9 87.0 87.9 88.9 89.9 90.9 2. Population (Mil.) • 10 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 15.4 3.1 136.5 0.3 8.8 4.4 6.0 4.3 12.1 10.1 5.2 0.6 29.8 133.1 5.7 82.3 0.5 9.8 16.0 3.1 138.6 0.3 9.0 4.4 6.0 4.3 12.4 10.1 5.4 0.6 30.1 136.4 5.8 83.9 0.5 9.9 16.5 3.1 140.6 0.3 9.1 4.4 6.1 4.4 12.7 10.1 5.5 0.6 30.4 139.8 5.9 85.5 0.5 10.0 17.0 3.1 142.4 0.3 9.3 4.4 6.1 4.4 13.0 10.1 5.6 0.6 30.7 143.3 6.0 87.1 0.5 10.1 17.5 3.1 144.0 0.3 9.5 4.4 6.1 4.4 13.4 10.1 5.7 0.6 31.0 147.0 6.1 88.7 0.5 10.2 18.0 3.1 145.5 0.3 9.6 4.4 6.1 4.4 13.7 10.0 5.8 0.6 31.3 150.7 6.2 90.2 0.5 10.3 18.6 3.1 147.0 0.3 9.8 4.4 6.2 4.4 14.0 10.0 6.0 0.6 31.6 154.5 6.3 91.7 0.5 10.4 19.1 3.1 148.7 0.3 9.9 4.4 6.2 4.5 14.4 10.0 6.1 0.6 32.0 158.4 6.5 93.3 0.5 10.5 19.6 3.1 150.5 0.3 10.1 4.4 6.2 4.5 14.8 10.0 6.3 0.6 32.3 162.5 6.6 94.9 0.5 10.7 20.3 3.1 152.0 0.3 10.2 4.4 6.3 4.5 15.1 10.0 6.4 0.6 32.6 164.8 6.7 96.5 0.5 10.8 21.0 3.2 153.7 0.3 10.4 4.4 6.3 4.5 15.5 10.0 6.5 0.6 32.9 169.3 6.8 98.1 0.6 10.9 21.7 3.2 154.7 0.3 10.6 4.4 6.3 4.5 15.9 9.9 6.7 0.6 33.3 173.9 6.9 99.8 0.6 11.0 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.4 26.0 26.5 27.0 27.4 27.9 28.4 28.9 29.4 29.9 30.3 30.8 31.4 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 2. Population (Mil.) • 11 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 3.1 38.0 9.8 0.3 3.8 13.0 11.2 9.0 12.8 67.3 0.8 20.6 6.6 2.6 33.8 3.7 3.6 2.5 5.3 153.1 5.8 10.3 19.4 0.1 47.8 25.7 80.5 10.9 3.1 38.3 9.7 0.3 3.8 13.2 11.2 9.1 13.0 68.6 0.8 21.1 6.7 2.6 34.7 3.8 3.6 2.5 5.4 155.9 5.9 10.6 19.6 0.1 47.5 26.2 81.4 11.2 3.1 38.7 9.7 0.3 3.8 13.4 11.3 9.3 13.2 70.0 0.8 21.6 6.9 2.7 35.6 3.8 3.6 2.5 5.4 158.6 6.1 10.9 19.8 0.1 47.1 26.7 82.4 11.5 3.2 39.0 9.6 0.3 3.8 13.5 11.3 9.4 13.4 71.3 0.8 22.2 7.0 2.7 36.5 3.8 3.6 2.6 5.5 161.5 6.2 11.2 20.1 0.1 46.8 27.1 83.3 11.8 3.2 39.4 9.6 0.3 3.8 13.7 11.3 9.5 13.6 73.6 0.8 22.7 7.2 2.7 37.5 3.8 3.6 2.6 5.6 164.4 6.4 11.5 20.3 0.1 46.5 27.6 84.2 12.1 3.2 39.7 9.5 0.3 3.8 13.8 11.3 9.7 14.1 75.2 0.8 23.3 7.3 2.7 38.5 3.8 3.6 2.7 5.6 167.4 6.5 11.8 20.5 0.1 46.3 28.1 85.1 12.4 3.2 40.1 9.5 0.3 3.8 14.0 11.3 9.8 14.3 76.9 0.9 23.8 7.4 2.7 39.5 3.9 3.6 2.7 5.7 170.5 6.7 12.1 20.7 0.1 46.1 28.5 86.0 12.7 3.2 40.4 9.5 0.3 3.8 14.1 11.3 9.9 14.5 78.7 0.9 24.4 7.6 2.7 40.5 3.9 3.6 2.8 5.8 173.6 6.9 12.4 20.9 0.1 45.9 29.0 86.9 12.9 3.2 40.8 9.5 0.4 3.8 14.3 11.3 10.1 14.7 80.4 0.9 25.0 7.8 2.7 41.6 4.0 3.6 2.8 5.9 176.7 7.0 12.8 21.0 0.1 45.7 29.4 87.8 13.5 3.2 41.1 9.5 0.4 3.8 14.5 11.3 10.1 14.9 82.5 0.9 25.6 7.9 2.7 42.7 4.0 3.6 2.8 6.0 179.9 7.2 13.1 21.1 0.1 45.5 29.9 88.8 13.8 3.3 41.5 9.4 0.4 3.8 14.7 11.2 10.2 15.1 84.2 0.9 26.2 8.1 2.7 43.9 4.1 3.6 2.8 6.0 183.2 7.4 13.5 21.3 0.1 45.2 30.4 89.7 14.1 3.3 42.1 9.4 0.4 3.8 14.9 11.2 10.2 15.3 85.8 0.9 26.8 8.2 2.7 45.0 4.1 3.6 2.8 6.1 186.8 7.5 13.8 21.5 0.1 45.0 30.9 90.6 14.5 Median (B1 to C) 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 Mean (B1 to C) 21.5 21.8 22.1 22.4 22.8 23.1 23.4 23.8 24.2 24.5 24.9 25.3 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 3. GDP per capita (US$) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 12 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 26,964 31,330 30,098 28,028 13,178 39,443 7,285 31,553 28,851 29,425 17,690 23,977 39,850 26,343 33,690 64,660 13,067 33,243 20,222 49,264 15,540 23,320 8,537 14,290 21,083 35,131 45,592 31,154 38,407 32,533 35,710 34,753 31,821 15,327 45,282 8,925 36,190 32,829 33,084 20,824 24,928 45,879 29,873 36,442 74,488 14,426 37,509 24,584 56,628 17,677 27,046 10,432 16,904 24,501 40,261 50,642 36,695 40,482 35,969 37,102 36,046 36,030 16,156 47,547 10,340 37,330 33,851 33,575 21,641 26,650 48,786 30,508 35,781 81,002 15,220 39,159 27,166 65,767 18,203 29,401 11,395 17,859 26,081 41,041 51,733 38,122 42,715 37,666 39,336 37,954 40,211 17,288 50,462 12,515 39,496 35,490 35,271 23,497 28,224 52,382 31,807 34,102 90,100 16,087 41,498 25,931 72,960 19,083 33,117 12,810 19,423 28,051 43,948 54,142 40,481 44,833 44,942 45,246 43,318 44,279 20,410 57,021 16,416 46,571 40,400 40,461 27,328 30,552 59,372 35,878 34,095 107,073 18,682 47,839 31,341 83,556 21,877 38,744 15,605 23,566 32,164 50,558 59,662 46,330 46,571 48,364 49,875 47,561 46,296 23,427 62,597 17,808 51,345 44,165 44,306 30,518 31,426 59,440 38,715 37,972 112,469 21,289 53,159 30,657 95,190 23,810 39,385 18,181 27,141 35,115 52,731 68,555 43,147 46,997 44,831 45,994 43,972 40,587 21,533 56,226 14,306 44,939 40,596 40,393 28,535 30,562 50,371 35,176 39,474 100,836 20,089 48,315 27,120 78,458 22,084 37,860 16,146 24,476 31,807 43,640 65,792 35,331 45,551 56,416 45,293 43,360 47,354 20,926 56,445 14,180 44,204 39,498 40,500 26,049 32,357 46,404 34,043 43,117 104,442 20,147 47,013 32,494 86,096 21,561 45,639 16,095 23,273 30,207 49,377 70,376 36,396 46,869 66,768 49,682 46,721 51,650 22,410 59,904 16,568 48,912 42,465 44,111 25,682 35,173 48,973 36,177 46,136 114,464 21,952 50,187 36,690 99,062 22,551 51,235 17,816 24,737 32,050 57,040 83,514 38,707 48,383 68,216 47,202 43,800 52,169 20,905 56,179 16,308 46,184 39,632 41,607 21,963 36,857 45,893 33,059 46,613 109,834 20,812 45,963 38,172 99,901 20,160 52,052 17,018 22,351 29,197 55,239 79,040 38,500 49,975 69,238 49,523 45,339 52,651 19,745 58,463 17,851 48,548 40,872 43,570 21,173 38,839 47,924 33,699 40,907 116,484 22,071 47,442 40,425 104,251 20,546 55,560 18,087 22,751 30,035 58,195 75,520 37,337 51,501 69,993 48,992 44,314 54,239 18,184 57,675 18,340 48,133 39,853 43,118 19,499 40,697 47,201 32,751 39,615 116,661 21,979 46,648 41,239 108,462 20,046 59,531 18,220 21,975 29,392 59,083 80,114 37,637 53,483 Median 28,851 32,829 35,781 35,490 40,461 44,165 40,393 43,117 46,136 43,800 43,570 43,118 Mean 28,318 32,299 34,213 36,488 41,719 44,884 40,517 42,073 46,197 44,648 45,812 46,106 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 3. GDP per capita (US$) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 66,453 4,104 48,237 4,783 1,281 9,336 17,728 13,451 18,787 17,252 4,546 8,529 5,675 32,777 9,916 13,748 35,017 70,848 4,836 48,780 6,172 1,499 11,157 18,566 15,029 21,586 21,821 5,011 9,601 6,620 41,700 11,146 14,986 39,305 76,543 5,295 53,600 7,565 1,752 12,707 19,293 17,550 27,015 24,497 5,499 11,806 7,963 50,146 13,662 16,023 43,989 84,863 5,327 54,420 9,412 2,126 14,449 20,574 19,677 31,907 29,537 6,119 13,784 8,956 58,428 15,198 16,450 52,486 92,110 5,675 57,536 10,428 2,652 17,464 23,167 21,589 33,733 35,701 7,155 15,369 11,152 65,018 16,310 17,122 57,468 95,170 5,685 57,991 10,715 3,421 21,625 27,573 19,028 42,824 39,986 8,399 21,808 13,886 79,606 19,865 17,372 65,992 90,161 5,100 54,190 10,158 3,808 18,803 26,019 16,959 30,410 40,125 7,236 16,734 11,295 59,669 16,006 16,329 51,270 89,739 6,850 52,674 12,727 4,449 18,869 28,601 20,540 33,481 52,166 8,691 23,351 12,304 74,901 19,193 18,488 54,411 85,891 7,531 52,695 14,563 5,360 20,585 31,375 22,388 43,723 66,215 9,977 23,380 13,384 98,032 23,841 19,979 63,626 85,971 7,003 54,329 15,418 6,090 18,568 30,436 22,592 46,354 76,718 10,351 24,871 12,705 104,623 25,317 20,328 67,008 86,562 7,333 55,566 15,970 6,868 18,561 33,153 25,299 44,750 85,041 11,085 24,883 13,407 109,247 25,370 21,452 67,008 88,653 7,753 56,666 16,443 7,785 17,732 34,026 27,463 43,818 93,364 11,941 25,005 13,494 114,461 25,328 22,638 67,009 Median (Aaa to A3) 13,451 14,986 16,023 16,450 17,464 21,625 16,959 20,540 23,380 24,871 25,299 25,328 Mean (Aaa to A3) 18,331 20,509 23,230 26,101 28,803 32,409 27,898 31,261 35,444 36,981 38,327 39,622 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 13 • 3. GDP per capita (US$) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 14 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 898 22,417 12,747 3,041 2,642 2,263 4,211 37,890 558 1,058 2,068 4,794 5,413 4,757 6,740 2,455 4,138 2,280 2,735 2,976 3,648 15,150 2,182 8,601 4,568 3,646 1,062 22,522 13,637 3,610 3,249 2,769 4,390 45,370 643 1,143 2,874 5,939 6,595 5,334 7,221 3,233 4,456 2,559 3,495 4,108 4,695 17,862 2,442 10,133 5,833 4,145 1,604 24,157 15,140 4,742 3,733 3,419 4,633 54,885 732 1,258 3,771 6,928 7,644 5,219 7,971 3,491 4,776 2,881 4,584 5,337 5,234 18,490 2,644 12,115 7,088 5,252 2,473 24,585 16,501 5,795 4,313 3,748 5,141 54,814 820 1,586 5,292 8,678 8,910 5,374 8,830 3,766 5,202 3,313 5,684 6,947 5,468 19,300 3,078 13,912 7,687 5,907 3,851 25,286 17,770 7,201 5,498 4,733 5,911 65,566 1,055 1,859 6,771 12,588 11,648 6,182 9,483 4,081 5,907 3,808 7,918 9,146 5,930 18,657 3,643 16,326 9,246 7,043 5,574 24,691 20,069 8,633 6,798 5,536 6,598 53,029 1,028 2,172 8,514 14,762 14,140 7,600 9,893 4,013 6,752 4,458 9,498 11,700 5,598 19,549 3,993 20,939 10,297 9,108 4,950 22,832 16,367 8,384 6,403 5,243 6,400 38,038 1,131 2,273 7,165 11,466 11,095 6,929 7,887 3,951 6,956 4,413 7,651 8,616 5,758 19,116 3,838 14,713 8,554 9,037 5,843 22,657 17,491 10,993 6,335 6,314 7,791 39,505 1,397 2,957 9,000 10,763 11,127 7,577 9,118 4,832 7,692 5,292 7,687 10,709 7,266 22,389 4,614 15,546 10,050 11,573 7,190 22,442 21,645 12,594 7,286 7,309 8,680 44,118 1,509 3,493 11,058 13,838 14,148 8,743 10,097 5,369 8,769 6,009 8,539 13,284 7,943 22,052 4,972 17,452 10,521 13,785 7,390 23,037 21,157 11,358 6,983 7,772 9,409 42,678 1,475 3,587 12,016 14,014 14,007 8,828 10,132 5,413 9,919 6,718 7,921 14,248 7,508 22,717 5,224 17,927 10,699 14,770 7,862 23,803 22,359 11,852 7,459 8,279 9,975 46,904 1,592 3,817 13,064 15,314 15,334 9,436 11,362 5,494 11,150 7,440 8,393 15,554 7,575 23,517 5,853 18,954 11,465 16,921 8,520 24,598 22,796 13,027 8,046 8,743 10,665 47,380 1,806 4,179 14,021 15,626 15,790 9,953 12,784 5,666 12,334 8,094 9,249 16,833 7,853 24,394 6,407 19,835 12,335 18,056 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 3,647 4,268 4,997 5,576 6,907 8,573 7,408 8,395 9,433 10,025 11,256 12,335 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 6,303 7,281 8,374 9,120 10,658 11,344 9,583 10,635 12,033 12,189 13,105 13,807 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Notes: [1] Series break in 2005 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 3. GDP per capita (US$) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 905 917 380 12,061 917 7,690 2,504 922 1,812 8,247 1,949 2,716 1,674 589 1,168 1,020 3,318 2,790 1,239 1,168 408 12,943 977 9,237 2,620 1,187 1,932 10,085 2,133 3,307 1,893 644 1,388 1,089 3,791 3,140 1,858 1,598 430 14,421 1,044 10,090 2,825 1,470 2,140 10,937 2,300 3,601 1,959 803 1,482 1,205 4,480 3,218 2,655 2,080 435 15,485 1,230 11,229 3,054 1,761 2,319 11,173 2,689 4,299 2,138 1,015 1,779 1,403 5,209 3,394 3,449 2,995 475 16,482 1,386 13,376 3,295 2,318 2,554 13,534 2,990 5,842 2,426 1,133 2,261 1,685 5,746 3,798 4,667 3,787 547 15,969 1,733 15,694 3,496 2,919 2,859 15,363 3,757 7,183 2,838 1,381 2,982 1,932 6,847 4,331 4,069 2,803 608 16,105 1,774 14,044 3,354 2,441 2,689 12,636 3,987 6,569 2,874 1,097 2,518 1,836 7,473 4,162 4,324 2,995 675 15,550 1,977 13,331 3,458 2,614 2,873 12,795 4,326 6,510 2,841 1,239 3,106 2,140 8,278 4,194 5,307 3,271 744 15,763 2,374 14,032 3,709 3,218 3,184 13,909 4,618 7,110 3,074 1,505 3,958 2,370 7,535 4,297 5,821 3,177 761 15,644 2,574 12,844 3,801 3,528 3,338 12,597 4,879 6,748 2,968 1,569 3,895 2,595 8,743 4,182 6,189 3,329 836 15,822 2,763 13,210 3,995 3,741 3,508 12,671 5,200 7,226 3,153 1,839 4,693 2,896 9,553 4,323 6,598 3,359 954 16,312 2,992 13,166 4,195 4,144 3,695 12,058 5,471 7,245 3,241 1,987 5,283 3,192 10,232 4,509 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 1,743 1,913 2,049 2,487 2,992 3,627 3,114 3,282 3,833 3,848 4,159 4,352 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 2,866 3,288 3,659 4,075 4,764 5,460 5,058 5,179 5,554 5,537 5,830 6,035 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 15 • Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 3. GDP per capita (US$) • 16 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 1,833 3,410 1,819 3,611 2,211 358 3,459 2,245 2,525 1,209 2,834 543 1,246 3,592 441 5,421 548 649 1,006 544 607 666 975 4,452 1,049 3,246 492 397 2,338 3,994 2,378 3,738 2,634 405 3,672 2,449 2,809 1,149 3,330 690 1,316 3,856 464 5,804 721 798 1,082 629 660 759 1,054 4,813 1,367 4,292 558 486 2,597 4,736 3,126 3,821 2,839 471 4,092 3,606 3,141 1,283 3,655 805 1,418 4,241 526 5,823 831 991 1,165 690 798 801 1,230 5,071 1,829 5,457 642 626 2,849 5,491 3,849 4,025 3,216 538 5,056 3,806 3,491 1,506 3,747 921 1,556 4,479 616 5,903 951 1,332 1,235 789 885 838 1,410 5,610 2,303 6,763 731 911 3,376 6,667 4,736 4,099 3,965 632 5,616 4,293 3,749 1,771 4,077 1,090 1,727 4,782 727 6,640 1,230 1,642 1,338 870 991 983 1,596 6,278 3,069 8,349 843 957 4,081 8,271 6,376 4,233 4,813 749 5,829 4,675 4,394 2,160 4,303 1,226 1,901 5,103 792 7,795 1,696 2,135 1,465 978 1,222 1,136 1,989 6,404 3,891 11,249 1,070 1,183 3,796 7,707 5,176 4,049 4,440 744 5,972 4,743 4,316 2,453 3,432 1,090 1,958 4,508 775 8,984 1,526 1,685 1,428 951 1,209 1,058 2,035 6,153 2,545 11,550 1,130 1,006 3,731 9,162 5,819 4,057 4,365 795 6,161 5,131 4,691 2,776 3,747 1,319 2,084 4,898 794 9,499 1,632 2,262 1,483 1,018 1,415 1,040 2,376 6,172 2,974 13,587 1,224 1,252 4,044 10,994 6,306 4,059 4,753 897 6,470 5,511 5,331 2,930 4,322 1,585 2,282 5,342 819 9,857 1,971 3,152 1,642 1,193 1,841 1,131 2,812 6,291 3,576 10,752 1,408 1,425 3,863 11,601 6,691 4,151 4,514 987 6,866 5,848 5,695 3,112 4,567 1,595 2,400 5,561 958 10,310 2,037 3,839 1,766 1,286 2,181 1,071 2,819 6,514 3,879 12,795 1,596 1,507 4,033 12,285 8,171 4,193 4,719 1,073 7,293 5,955 6,072 2,920 4,793 1,770 2,552 5,573 1,061 10,793 2,112 4,619 1,847 1,335 2,300 1,145 3,212 6,700 3,919 11,683 1,755 1,538 4,019 12,777 9,731 4,236 4,807 1,173 7,754 6,201 6,467 3,131 5,102 1,964 2,643 5,726 1,149 11,347 2,243 5,699 1,937 1,452 2,501 1,152 3,627 6,914 4,142 10,173 1,917 1,596 Median (B1 to C) 1,228 1,341 1,624 1,929 2,420 3,026 2,499 2,875 3,364 3,851 3,976 4,081 Mean (B1 to C) 1,835 2,080 2,368 2,672 3,075 3,611 3,444 3,767 4,025 4,286 4,479 4,699 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 17 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 29,792 31,318 30,295 31,231 21,805 30,438 13,400 27,627 27,204 28,360 22,506 29,748 34,785 27,282 27,934 60,705 19,694 31,713 23,552 38,278 19,463 37,783 13,604 20,529 24,764 30,431 34,566 29,775 38,225 31,324 32,845 31,177 32,781 23,208 32,280 14,773 29,862 28,090 29,679 23,861 32,987 36,769 27,528 29,388 64,929 19,941 33,185 24,628 42,470 19,853 41,875 14,653 22,270 25,956 32,495 35,903 31,686 40,292 32,523 33,626 32,189 35,033 24,408 33,193 16,548 30,708 29,453 31,115 24,348 36,440 38,896 28,280 30,441 68,290 21,019 35,104 25,305 47,626 21,369 45,374 16,175 23,476 27,392 32,703 36,964 32,958 42,516 34,140 36,535 34,193 36,863 26,292 35,999 19,138 33,097 31,274 33,503 26,733 40,003 42,474 30,359 31,763 78,383 22,193 38,026 27,115 53,778 22,937 49,373 18,357 25,423 30,333 35,658 40,882 35,066 44,623 36,206 38,053 35,636 38,352 28,485 37,693 21,583 36,148 33,007 35,538 27,743 43,389 45,482 32,039 33,397 84,494 23,484 40,705 28,618 55,807 24,188 53,048 20,862 27,213 32,212 38,457 44,735 35,877 46,349 37,179 39,783 37,025 38,987 31,816 39,830 22,065 38,080 34,041 37,119 29,604 44,956 42,741 33,372 33,589 84,393 25,303 42,915 29,159 61,342 24,939 52,286 23,210 29,074 33,158 39,615 47,946 36,062 46,760 40,016 38,888 36,573 37,801 31,503 38,268 19,470 35,541 33,657 35,631 29,201 44,262 40,151 32,216 31,746 79,352 25,599 40,986 29,929 54,191 24,888 50,896 22,546 26,715 32,002 37,257 46,877 34,386 45,305 39,125 40,401 37,834 39,075 31,780 40,588 20,092 36,030 34,262 37,652 27,520 47,169 40,883 32,110 33,625 84,764 26,672 41,673 30,194 56,976 25,519 57,791 23,149 26,509 31,575 39,251 48,720 35,298 46,612 41,974 42,172 38,723 40,420 32,254 40,933 21,997 37,455 35,247 39,456 25,858 50,551 40,868 32,672 33,668 88,797 27,504 42,779 31,082 60,392 25,564 60,688 24,095 26,943 32,087 41,484 51,227 35,598 48,112 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median 29,748 31,177 32,189 34,140 35,877 37,119 35,631 37,652 38,723 — — — Mean 28,855 30,575 32,189 34,983 37,200 38,495 37,098 38,374 39,676 — — — Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 10,338 — 10,955 3,199 18,765 22,261 20,180 35,632 26,668 10,470 16,895 11,987 57,932 18,610 22,769 41,398 — 11,130 — 11,817 3,599 20,063 23,571 21,624 36,008 33,999 11,257 18,143 13,009 67,767 19,378 24,942 44,089 — 11,542 — 12,802 4,115 21,264 23,340 22,783 36,956 37,236 12,011 19,548 13,784 66,510 20,406 26,657 44,477 — 12,360 — 13,681 4,760 23,231 23,957 24,246 38,548 42,926 12,852 20,879 15,053 73,881 21,065 28,880 48,522 — 13,146 — 14,580 5,564 25,415 25,705 26,101 39,363 49,279 13,816 22,458 16,748 76,204 21,502 31,384 50,130 — 13,639 — 15,298 6,202 25,885 25,600 26,689 40,729 50,766 14,561 25,427 18,019 77,591 22,327 32,204 50,832 — 12,974 — 15,194 6,827 25,645 25,933 26,680 37,704 51,067 14,297 25,591 18,795 77,446 22,100 31,840 45,914 — 13,805 — 16,084 7,554 25,358 27,048 28,613 36,291 63,835 15,183 31,341 20,033 88,313 22,747 35,595 45,759 — 14,746 — 17,270 8,400 26,332 28,809 29,834 38,332 77,079 16,051 28,148 21,085 97,987 24,268 37,720 47,729 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 18,765 20,063 21,264 23,231 25,415 25,600 25,645 27,048 28,148 — — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 21,871 24,026 24,895 26,990 28,760 29,718 29,200 31,837 34,253 — — — Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 18 • 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 19 • Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3,097 28,989 23,212 7,522 8,213 6,430 7,986 30,762 1,819 2,696 6,920 10,623 12,033 9,081 10,670 4,409 7,757 5,490 7,681 9,254 7,525 — 5,763 16,665 8,865 8,084 3,478 29,634 25,137 8,076 8,870 6,856 8,409 33,790 1,986 2,875 7,744 11,731 12,968 9,788 11,296 5,002 8,423 5,854 8,731 10,251 7,994 — 6,236 18,422 10,238 8,732 4,496 31,199 27,723 8,509 9,809 7,305 9,042 34,889 2,209 3,102 8,699 13,040 14,197 10,158 12,191 5,205 9,167 6,387 9,361 11,853 8,597 — 6,675 20,058 11,465 9,683 6,174 32,537 29,925 9,036 11,063 7,924 9,985 35,849 2,454 3,340 9,836 14,973 16,032 10,817 13,402 5,648 10,094 7,025 11,118 14,949 9,267 — 7,179 23,349 12,944 10,377 7,855 33,469 32,720 9,769 12,344 8,588 10,913 37,131 2,733 3,615 10,897 17,147 18,158 11,712 14,064 6,010 11,450 7,789 12,665 16,743 9,955 — 7,700 25,079 13,939 11,344 8,711 32,934 34,859 10,405 13,916 8,957 11,283 39,718 2,861 3,876 11,366 18,090 19,559 12,551 14,741 6,231 12,676 8,650 14,982 20,276 10,427 — 8,010 26,220 15,058 12,390 9,448 31,227 27,220 10,415 13,617 9,094 11,146 37,410 3,101 4,066 11,350 15,928 16,948 13,035 14,322 6,128 13,124 8,744 14,643 19,227 10,291 — 7,876 25,586 14,455 12,814 9,873 31,215 27,129 11,180 13,892 9,393 11,579 35,506 3,404 4,304 12,092 15,943 18,120 13,607 15,161 6,458 14,000 9,477 14,778 20,261 10,520 — 8,500 25,669 15,830 14,004 10,062 32,198 27,735 11,640 15,083 10,033 12,157 36,483 3,650 4,636 13,099 18,951 21,480 14,420 16,588 6,801 15,589 10,234 15,983 21,921 10,960 — 8,646 25,074 17,110 15,078 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7,986 8,731 9,361 10,377 11,450 12,551 13,035 13,892 15,078 — — — 10,062 10,901 11,801 13,012 14,152 15,150 14,449 14,876 15,824 — — — 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2,568 3,071 1,003 15,873 3,387 13,422 5,125 2,952 3,773 15,349 3,688 7,121 3,129 1,485 3,433 2,671 5,207 6,244 2,837 3,486 1,079 16,886 3,560 14,440 5,348 3,220 3,903 16,188 4,016 7,650 3,334 1,647 3,585 2,872 5,743 6,748 3,355 4,096 1,165 17,965 3,772 15,332 5,702 3,611 4,062 16,975 4,289 8,238 3,508 1,750 3,901 3,051 6,129 7,182 4,053 4,781 1,266 19,139 4,010 16,795 6,092 4,043 4,310 18,275 4,678 10,309 3,861 1,871 4,093 3,255 6,496 7,734 4,962 5,588 1,371 19,747 4,243 18,687 6,481 4,684 4,601 18,923 5,095 12,243 4,038 1,999 4,514 3,509 6,954 8,383 5,609 6,096 1,472 20,179 4,530 20,215 6,678 4,903 4,739 20,432 5,463 13,650 4,313 2,112 4,721 3,672 7,332 8,874 5,657 5,292 1,561 19,320 4,668 19,158 6,521 4,751 4,709 20,249 5,686 12,807 4,531 2,232 4,533 3,701 7,563 9,167 5,729 5,428 1,649 — 4,818 18,727 6,622 5,036 4,759 20,734 5,767 12,977 4,682 2,367 5,125 3,944 7,891 9,410 5,920 5,789 1,777 — 5,099 19,487 6,831 5,465 4,928 21,661 5,907 13,432 4,952 2,533 5,501 4,119 8,355 9,317 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 3,561 3,744 4,079 4,494 5,029 5,536 5,475 5,428 5,789 — — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 5,528 5,919 6,338 6,948 7,557 8,055 7,895 7,392 7,710 — — — Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 20 • 4. GDP per capita (Purchasing Power-Parity basis, US$) • 21 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 5,199 8,721 6,578 5,824 5,356 1,165 — 5,588 5,506 4,304 3,863 1,632 2,850 6,702 1,200 8,992 1,916 2,327 2,664 1,809 1,734 1,490 3,057 7,837 4,498 7,412 1,782 1,028 5,628 9,689 7,589 6,067 5,844 1,305 — 5,735 6,057 4,514 4,173 1,928 3,051 6,953 1,263 9,801 2,121 2,616 2,848 1,963 1,787 1,579 3,269 8,376 5,224 8,857 1,952 1,089 6,102 10,833 8,640 6,254 6,341 1,508 — 6,380 6,510 4,762 4,323 2,030 3,277 7,083 1,346 10,170 2,362 2,862 3,030 2,145 1,866 1,677 3,550 8,852 5,583 9,924 2,161 1,158 6,796 12,023 9,871 6,542 7,163 1,704 — 7,185 6,930 5,157 4,515 2,168 3,534 7,659 1,440 10,631 2,562 3,161 3,217 2,309 1,929 1,728 3,903 9,824 6,226 11,067 2,388 1,238 7,179 13,325 11,086 6,600 7,899 1,911 — 7,907 7,166 5,505 4,567 2,316 3,785 7,891 1,546 11,858 2,723 3,531 3,433 2,466 2,077 1,814 4,251 10,438 6,954 12,181 2,636 1,319 8,179 14,413 12,535 6,752 8,688 2,061 — 8,390 7,739 5,901 4,669 2,503 3,953 7,895 1,564 12,995 3,005 3,867 3,564 2,515 2,212 1,872 4,563 10,806 7,311 12,895 2,834 1,387 8,574 14,599 12,749 6,596 8,543 2,066 — 8,676 7,756 6,093 4,623 2,560 3,842 7,747 1,586 14,104 2,866 3,805 3,513 2,593 2,311 1,885 4,732 10,700 6,339 12,447 2,993 1,455 8,631 15,910 13,852 6,637 8,635 2,180 — 9,290 7,977 6,344 4,602 2,733 3,898 7,770 1,646 15,097 3,094 4,010 3,599 2,655 2,456 1,925 5,097 10,470 6,678 12,155 3,185 1,552 8,866 17,554 14,938 6,722 9,076 2,358 — 9,796 8,669 6,455 4,757 3,113 4,047 8,065 1,710 15,449 3,369 4,742 3,812 2,745 2,676 1,967 5,582 10,715 7,208 12,749 3,412 1,621 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 3,863 4,173 4,323 4,515 4,567 4,669 4,732 5,097 5,582 — — — Mean (B1 to C) 4,112 4,492 4,842 5,291 5,717 6,114 6,139 6,373 6,747 — — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 22 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.8 2.0 2.8 5.3 6.8 2.0 12.1 1.3 2.9 0.7 10.1 -3.1 7.6 3.1 -0.1 7.7 3.9 2.5 6.9 3.9 2.1 3.0 10.3 8.6 7.4 4.1 0.8 6.4 4.7 7.6 4.3 5.5 6.5 7.7 4.7 11.1 4.6 4.3 2.2 7.4 4.8 6.7 4.2 1.0 6.3 1.1 3.0 7.0 10.1 4.1 13.9 11.2 7.8 7.4 4.6 3.3 5.6 6.4 7.9 4.5 4.2 6.5 7.0 5.4 15.5 3.4 3.8 1.3 4.2 7.2 8.6 2.8 0.0 10.3 6.1 4.5 5.5 11.8 3.3 9.6 9.2 5.7 8.1 4.1 3.0 5.2 6.5 7.8 5.6 5.1 5.3 7.7 5.6 19.8 5.3 4.7 4.0 8.1 6.5 9.0 3.9 0.6 12.0 5.4 5.2 5.1 11.3 4.3 10.9 11.5 8.1 8.4 6.3 6.0 5.6 6.0 9.0 5.8 5.3 5.4 9.7 3.9 20.0 8.5 4.9 5.0 7.0 9.8 6.2 4.1 1.2 10.6 7.1 5.8 8.3 5.8 5.3 15.7 11.7 11.4 6.9 6.2 6.4 5.9 4.9 9.2 3.2 3.1 5.1 8.4 3.4 1.0 3.2 2.5 1.9 4.5 3.4 -5.2 1.3 -2.3 -0.3 7.0 4.0 0.8 11.0 1.6 0.6 8.8 7.7 3.3 2.5 5.0 2.0 1.9 1.5 -2.3 -1.6 -4.9 -1.8 -5.0 -15.2 -7.2 -2.5 -4.0 -0.9 -2.8 -9.9 -3.5 -6.0 -3.6 0.1 -3.6 2.2 -6.9 -2.0 1.9 -6.1 -4.5 -3.7 -3.1 -2.4 -2.7 -2.2 8.4 3.7 4.5 6.4 3.3 5.8 4.1 3.8 2.7 5.1 -3.9 7.1 -2.9 2.1 2.4 10.8 5.8 2.7 4.6 6.8 2.6 15.0 4.9 0.1 0.1 7.5 3.6 4.6 3.8 6.5 5.0 3.9 5.9 3.3 1.7 11.4 6.0 3.1 3.9 -6.1 9.0 2.9 1.7 -2.4 6.8 3.8 2.2 3.8 8.1 -1.0 5.8 4.9 1.6 1.4 4.9 2.2 3.4 4.0 3.0 3.1 1.7 3.1 -0.5 1.6 6.6 2.7 1.6 2.0 -7.1 5.5 1.6 -0.8 1.1 4.2 3.0 -0.2 2.7 6.0 -3.3 3.4 3.4 -2.0 -1.3 1.6 1.1 1.7 4.0 5.3 2.6 1.7 2.9 -8.0 1.8 6.6 2.9 1.0 1.9 -6.1 6.5 2.6 -0.3 0.0 3.3 3.6 0.8 6.7 5.4 -0.6 6.7 3.5 -0.6 0.1 3.7 1.5 2.5 3.8 5.8 3.6 2.7 4.4 -4.0 3.3 7.1 3.8 2.2 3.1 -4.0 6.0 3.8 1.7 1.5 4.4 4.1 2.5 4.6 7.2 1.8 7.0 4.9 1.0 1.8 3.6 2.4 3.4 4.6 Median 3.9 5.6 5.5 6.0 6.2 3.2 -3.1 4.1 3.8 1.7 2.6 3.6 Mean 4.5 6.0 6.0 7.1 7.5 3.4 -3.5 4.3 3.7 1.7 2.1 3.2 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand [1] Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] National account years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.3 8.0 3.7 8.9 13.4 4.7 0.9 6.5 23.1 12.9 9.4 7.5 4.3 21.5 13.8 2.7 13.2 7.1 13.1 5.3 15.0 17.7 9.0 5.0 7.8 22.8 29.4 12.5 14.5 9.7 34.8 20.6 6.3 18.9 8.6 20.7 14.3 13.8 16.4 6.4 5.9 4.6 34.7 14.8 11.6 25.3 6.4 40.3 26.8 3.3 22.2 11.2 16.5 5.4 19.1 18.8 7.6 7.8 5.0 24.9 23.4 9.8 19.1 7.8 36.7 14.7 4.3 22.9 8.9 13.6 7.7 10.3 19.6 9.2 5.7 7.3 10.6 24.5 11.5 13.9 11.0 30.9 10.4 5.4 16.2 3.6 13.0 0.8 3.8 18.5 5.1 5.8 5.3 21.6 14.6 15.7 45.0 8.4 44.6 25.0 -2.2 21.9 -5.0 -4.7 -4.9 2.8 10.0 -2.3 5.9 3.8 -23.0 2.3 -7.4 -20.6 5.4 -15.2 -17.4 -1.1 -17.4 -0.7 29.1 -2.8 15.1 16.3 0.8 6.3 10.2 12.7 33.4 11.5 21.9 5.4 30.2 22.8 8.6 9.3 -3.6 12.0 1.8 9.4 15.5 0.9 7.1 5.3 29.2 30.0 10.8 19.0 7.9 36.1 27.1 0.9 20.4 0.4 5.0 3.1 7.4 11.6 0.2 6.6 3.0 10.6 18.0 6.4 9.8 4.4 11.0 8.6 2.7 5.0 1.0 10.0 3.3 8.2 11.2 0.9 5.2 5.0 -0.9 13.3 6.7 3.2 2.5 8.6 2.5 4.8 2.9 3.6 9.8 3.0 7.9 11.3 2.4 6.0 6.0 0.1 12.3 7.5 3.7 3.9 9.0 2.1 6.0 3.3 Median (Aaa to A3) 8.0 13.1 14.3 14.7 10.6 13.0 -4.7 11.5 10.8 6.4 4.8 6.0 Mean (Aaa to A3) 9.5 14.7 16.2 15.0 12.7 14.7 -5.2 13.5 13.5 6.7 5.2 5.8 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 23 • 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 24 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.9 -0.1 14.8 15.0 7.9 11.0 15.2 3.1 12.1 10.5 22.1 11.7 9.3 11.9 8.4 5.3 5.4 6.9 29.9 22.1 8.7 — 8.6 25.6 29.8 17.5 19.4 2.1 15.3 14.2 11.2 13.0 16.6 10.5 14.2 14.0 27.3 16.5 10.1 11.5 13.5 14.4 9.6 11.5 25.3 28.9 11.2 22.2 9.7 18.3 22.9 15.6 46.8 8.6 19.8 10.6 14.2 10.5 17.1 10.3 13.9 20.8 29.3 21.3 14.9 5.8 7.9 8.2 9.1 10.0 16.8 26.9 11.0 9.1 9.3 20.0 16.1 8.2 49.7 3.4 17.8 10.4 13.8 12.9 20.7 13.9 16.3 20.4 34.6 23.6 15.0 11.5 12.2 17.0 10.8 15.5 19.3 24.6 12.5 8.3 10.6 15.5 16.9 10.9 51.3 4.4 16.5 12.3 16.2 12.3 18.1 12.0 16.1 18.3 25.8 32.3 19.2 14.3 9.1 14.9 15.5 11.0 20.7 23.5 14.1 0.0 8.7 18.1 11.2 16.6 41.5 -0.9 19.9 13.9 15.1 11.4 15.5 13.1 12.9 25.3 24.9 9.3 12.8 12.4 7.6 17.5 16.2 10.6 23.7 24.2 11.9 7.7 6.5 28.0 12.7 15.8 -11.3 -6.4 -12.9 6.8 -1.4 5.1 7.3 1.2 15.1 13.3 5.9 -18.7 -17.8 2.9 -2.0 2.9 4.7 3.0 -2.6 -6.0 6.6 0.0 -0.4 -29.1 0.2 7.2 19.3 0.7 11.4 16.4 3.2 8.0 13.3 2.5 20.3 15.0 27.3 -2.2 3.6 5.8 9.5 7.6 12.3 13.7 4.5 19.3 10.5 7.1 11.8 6.9 15.4 14.2 22.6 0.2 20.4 9.9 6.8 14.1 8.7 6.3 15.1 15.1 24.0 11.7 11.6 8.0 10.1 12.2 15.8 11.9 6.3 20.5 9.7 0.0 4.3 8.2 18.1 15.1 3.7 4.1 4.7 6.3 3.0 6.9 9.3 4.7 13.3 11.0 11.3 8.7 6.4 6.5 7.7 16.1 16.0 8.2 5.5 12.2 8.1 3.0 7.8 2.1 9.2 13.0 7.9 4.5 7.5 8.9 3.8 7.3 9.6 6.6 13.4 11.5 9.7 5.3 5.9 9.7 6.9 10.1 14.4 8.8 6.3 8.2 8.8 3.5 7.8 5.3 11.9 11.0 9.5 4.5 4.0 9.7 5.6 7.9 9.6 7.4 16.1 12.2 8.0 6.1 6.7 9.5 7.4 9.8 12.6 8.8 6.6 9.4 9.7 3.7 8.0 4.6 10.8 10.8 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 11.7 14.2 12.5 15.2 15.8 13.5 0.7 11.0 11.6 7.7 8.1 8.4 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 13.2 15.3 15.3 16.8 16.6 15.8 -1.0 10.7 11.8 8.0 8.2 8.4 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) • 25 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 109.2 19.2 10.0 4.2 9.2 9.6 5.2 14.9 7.1 9.5 6.4 11.0 7.1 42.2 17.1 8.3 30.0 7.5 58.7 17.4 10.8 7.7 12.4 8.1 5.0 14.7 9.4 10.3 11.9 10.6 5.9 15.2 13.4 12.6 21.6 9.8 61.6 17.6 11.3 11.8 10.6 7.8 8.2 18.3 9.1 6.5 10.3 8.7 4.5 26.2 12.4 10.9 19.6 7.8 35.9 18.4 12.1 7.4 19.0 9.1 8.5 18.7 10.6 7.5 19.6 18.4 9.4 27.0 11.2 10.5 18.0 9.3 27.7 18.6 13.7 6.8 12.3 9.4 8.4 23.2 13.9 5.6 13.6 24.7 6.7 11.9 15.7 9.9 11.9 8.8 36.2 13.3 15.5 -3.1 17.1 7.9 6.6 12.2 13.0 6.2 28.5 15.1 11.8 17.8 16.3 12.0 20.3 10.8 -5.2 -12.0 12.6 1.2 0.9 -4.3 -3.6 -5.7 4.1 -3.5 8.5 -3.4 6.3 2.3 -2.0 4.0 10.2 6.4 26.6 10.1 12.9 -3.4 13.2 -1.5 3.7 15.3 8.2 3.8 10.9 4.1 4.3 16.9 20.0 12.2 11.8 7.9 29.0 9.2 14.7 1.7 20.6 2.0 7.8 17.4 9.8 4.8 9.1 4.2 5.0 28.2 14.6 8.1 9.2 2.0 15.2 5.8 14.8 0.7 9.7 0.0 3.0 7.4 8.1 1.4 8.1 2.8 4.0 7.2 3.8 8.6 20.8 9.2 10.0 10.5 13.3 1.5 9.2 0.8 5.6 9.4 7.9 2.7 9.2 4.3 5.9 19.0 15.2 9.8 10.7 8.4 10.8 10.8 13.6 3.1 9.1 2.1 5.5 10.8 8.0 4.0 7.6 4.6 6.4 11.0 9.7 9.8 8.5 8.1 9.5 11.4 10.7 11.7 12.1 13.2 1.1 10.5 9.2 7.3 9.2 8.3 18.2 14.2 14.6 15.0 13.5 14.3 0.9 9.8 11.0 7.3 8.5 8.0 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 5. Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 26 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.5 20.3 39.9 6.0 4.9 10.5 6.9 33.3 13.6 10.2 9.0 29.0 10.6 15.7 9.7 3.4 22.4 18.2 8.0 9.5 7.7 7.2 11.4 4.3 18.4 24.5 14.5 25.9 8.2 19.1 36.7 6.9 15.1 15.7 6.4 47.1 12.8 16.2 7.7 35.1 13.1 14.3 12.6 8.6 16.0 28.7 14.8 15.7 0.8 6.4 14.7 8.3 29.1 58.4 16.6 26.5 8.5 18.8 30.2 5.5 9.3 20.1 11.6 12.2 13.4 11.0 7.6 20.5 13.8 12.4 11.1 0.0 17.5 27.9 14.6 15.2 19.2 8.2 17.3 5.5 27.9 43.0 17.3 23.3 8.3 23.0 21.8 8.8 16.0 15.9 23.7 16.6 12.8 14.7 5.6 18.6 12.3 12.0 14.6 3.5 18.9 33.5 12.7 17.3 11.9 6.6 19.8 10.8 23.3 29.5 16.1 20.3 9.7 24.1 22.6 5.2 15.5 17.4 11.1 14.7 9.0 20.6 2.1 23.8 13.2 12.9 13.0 12.5 19.4 24.2 15.2 13.8 11.3 10.5 21.8 12.1 32.5 25.6 17.4 19.8 12.6 27.1 33.6 6.8 15.1 19.8 3.8 15.5 21.1 20.2 5.5 30.3 12.4 12.7 14.9 18.9 17.8 31.7 16.4 18.1 14.9 10.8 23.2 2.1 31.5 37.0 29.8 18.7 5.7 10.9 5.9 -1.1 -0.8 2.6 2.4 6.5 -0.3 16.4 -1.1 21.3 5.0 7.0 12.3 16.7 -4.0 -1.1 3.7 24.2 3.4 0.9 9.6 -3.8 -3.7 4.4 11.7 17.8 7.9 25.9 19.7 3.7 -11.2 9.2 3.1 13.3 10.2 15.8 8.1 25.8 8.6 8.0 7.7 7.1 19.0 28.8 10.5 16.3 18.2 5.9 15.9 0.4 18.5 43.8 19.4 20.2 5.6 27.7 80.7 3.5 3.6 10.7 5.0 11.4 15.2 13.6 8.8 29.9 11.7 7.6 18.6 5.1 14.6 32.0 17.8 21.8 16.0 6.4 16.8 2.0 20.3 33.5 28.1 20.2 3.3 17.5 77.5 5.8 0.4 10.9 6.1 9.3 8.3 12.5 6.4 22.4 7.3 8.1 14.4 6.0 6.7 30.9 14.5 14.5 6.7 5.2 15.9 3.6 8.2 20.8 16.3 14.6 3.6 23.6 27.2 4.5 3.0 9.3 6.2 8.7 8.1 11.5 5.5 21.5 8.8 8.1 13.0 6.0 8.7 24.0 11.4 14.0 8.9 6.9 15.2 2.8 5.0 36.4 11.1 13.7 5.5 26.7 22.3 4.5 3.5 11.2 6.3 9.2 8.0 17.2 6.3 20.1 8.7 7.8 11.2 6.5 9.7 21.8 11.7 13.8 11.4 7.7 14.4 3.2 9.3 30.0 10.4 13.9 Median (B1 to C) 11.0 15.0 14.2 15.9 14.9 17.9 4.7 11.9 14.9 8.8 8.8 10.0 Mean (B1 to C) 14.5 18.3 15.8 16.0 16.1 18.7 6.2 13.6 17.4 13.4 11.7 11.9 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana [2] Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 GDP figures rebased following SNA 1993 compilation methodology 6. Real GDP (% change) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 27 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.3 0.9 0.8 2.0 1.9 0.4 7.8 2.0 0.9 -0.4 5.9 3.1 3.9 0.0 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.3 4.1 1.0 -0.9 4.6 4.8 2.9 3.1 2.3 0.0 3.8 2.5 3.8 2.6 3.3 3.2 4.2 2.3 6.3 4.1 2.5 1.2 4.4 8.7 4.4 1.7 2.4 4.4 -0.3 2.2 3.7 4.0 1.6 9.2 5.1 4.4 3.3 4.2 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.3 2.4 1.8 3.1 3.9 2.4 8.9 2.9 1.8 0.7 2.3 7.4 5.9 0.9 1.3 5.3 3.6 2.0 3.4 2.6 0.8 7.4 6.7 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.7 2.8 3.1 2.6 3.7 2.7 2.7 4.1 3.4 10.1 4.4 2.5 3.7 5.5 7.0 5.4 2.2 1.7 4.9 2.6 3.4 1.7 2.3 1.4 8.6 8.3 5.8 4.1 4.3 3.8 2.6 2.7 4.8 3.7 2.9 2.1 5.1 1.6 7.5 5.3 2.3 3.3 3.5 6.5 5.4 1.7 2.2 6.6 4.1 3.9 3.5 2.7 2.4 9.0 10.5 7.0 3.5 3.3 3.8 3.6 1.9 2.4 1.4 1.0 1.1 3.6 -0.8 -4.2 0.3 -0.1 1.1 -0.2 2.1 -2.1 -1.2 -1.0 -0.7 3.9 1.8 -1.8 0.1 0.0 1.7 5.8 3.4 0.9 -0.6 2.2 -1.0 -0.4 1.5 -3.8 -2.8 -2.8 -1.9 -5.7 -14.1 -8.5 -3.1 -5.1 -3.1 -2.5 -5.5 -5.5 -5.5 -4.1 -2.6 -3.7 1.5 -1.6 -2.9 -0.8 -4.9 -7.8 -3.7 -5.0 -1.9 -4.0 -3.2 2.6 2.1 2.4 3.2 1.3 1.6 3.3 3.3 1.7 4.2 -4.9 6.8 -0.8 1.7 4.7 2.9 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.5 1.9 14.8 4.4 1.2 -0.3 6.6 3.0 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.7 1.8 2.6 0.5 1.1 8.3 2.8 1.7 3.0 -7.1 4.9 1.4 0.4 -0.6 1.7 1.7 1.0 2.2 1.2 -1.6 5.2 3.2 0.6 0.4 3.7 1.9 1.0 1.9 3.6 0.8 -0.2 1.8 -2.4 -0.5 3.2 -0.2 0.0 0.7 -6.4 1.5 0.9 -2.4 2.0 0.3 0.8 -1.0 2.8 3.2 -3.2 1.3 2.0 -2.3 -1.4 0.8 1.0 0.3 2.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 1.6 -10.0 0.7 3.0 0.4 -0.4 0.4 -5.3 3.0 1.3 -1.8 1.0 0.7 1.4 -0.6 2.5 2.3 -2.0 3.0 0.9 -1.9 -1.4 2.2 1.1 0.5 2.1 3.0 1.8 1.0 2.6 -6.0 1.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 1.5 -3.6 4.0 2.4 0.2 1.5 1.5 2.0 0.8 2.4 3.6 0.5 3.5 2.8 -0.1 0.6 2.8 1.7 1.4 2.6 Median 2.0 3.4 3.1 3.7 3.6 0.3 -3.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.7 1.6 Mean 2.2 3.6 3.4 4.1 4.3 0.6 -3.9 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 1.5 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand [1] Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] National account years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 6. Real GDP (% change) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.5 4.6 2.0 3.8 10.0 3.8 1.5 2.8 17.3 12.6 5.8 0.4 3.9 6.3 7.9 3.7 16.4 2.3 2.7 0.9 7.0 10.1 4.7 4.9 4.6 10.8 26.9 6.8 3.4 5.3 17.7 4.7 6.2 10.1 1.7 4.6 6.5 6.2 11.3 6.8 4.9 4.0 10.1 8.6 5.0 4.0 3.6 7.5 7.3 4.7 8.6 5.5 8.0 4.6 5.7 12.7 7.0 5.8 5.2 7.5 14.4 5.6 5.5 6.2 26.2 5.6 5.4 8.8 2.7 8.7 4.3 5.2 14.2 5.7 5.9 5.1 6.0 14.3 6.3 6.7 6.8 18.0 6.0 6.0 6.6 0.8 3.9 -0.2 3.3 9.6 3.1 4.1 2.3 2.5 3.4 4.8 13.2 5.1 17.7 8.4 0.7 5.3 -5.1 -7.8 -6.3 -1.0 9.2 -4.5 1.1 0.3 -7.1 1.7 -1.5 3.3 1.6 12.0 1.8 -1.8 -4.8 -2.2 8.6 -2.9 5.8 10.4 2.5 5.0 6.3 -2.4 27.5 7.2 5.6 3.9 16.7 7.4 10.8 1.3 -2.8 6.1 0.9 5.9 9.3 1.9 4.6 3.7 6.3 21.8 5.1 4.5 4.5 13.0 8.5 4.1 5.2 -2.0 3.7 1.5 5.6 7.8 -1.3 3.2 2.0 5.1 9.9 5.6 5.0 1.9 5.2 6.8 1.3 3.9 -1.0 5.5 1.5 5.0 8.0 -0.3 3.6 2.5 1.0 8.2 5.0 4.2 1.4 5.5 4.5 3.0 3.1 1.5 5.8 1.4 4.8 7.5 1.8 3.8 3.5 2.3 7.5 5.2 3.5 2.5 5.0 4.2 4.2 3.6 Median (Aaa to A3) 3.9 5.3 6.2 5.8 6.0 3.9 -1.0 5.8 5.1 3.9 3.6 3.8 Mean (Aaa to A3) 6.2 7.6 6.2 8.2 7.6 5.2 -0.5 6.6 6.0 3.8 3.6 4.0 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 28 • 6. Real GDP (% change) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 29 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.2 -1.3 7.2 1.2 5.5 3.9 6.4 2.4 8.1 4.8 9.3 7.6 10.3 6.3 1.3 4.2 4.2 4.0 5.2 7.3 2.9 5.0 7.1 14.4 5.3 0.8 10.2 0.9 5.6 5.7 6.7 5.3 4.3 7.8 7.0 5.0 9.6 8.9 7.4 4.3 4.1 12.3 7.5 5.0 8.5 7.2 4.6 4.5 6.3 7.8 9.4 5.0 26.4 3.4 7.9 3.2 6.4 4.7 5.9 7.2 9.5 5.7 9.7 10.1 7.8 2.7 3.2 2.5 7.2 6.8 4.2 6.4 5.3 4.8 4.6 5.8 8.4 7.5 34.5 2.5 6.7 3.9 6.5 6.7 8.8 4.7 9.6 5.5 10.7 11.2 7.8 5.6 5.2 7.1 8.5 7.7 7.9 8.2 5.6 5.2 5.1 13.4 6.9 4.1 25.0 1.4 8.4 6.1 6.4 6.9 7.9 6.0 9.3 6.3 8.9 9.6 9.8 5.7 3.3 5.4 12.1 8.9 6.3 8.5 5.5 4.5 5.0 4.8 4.7 6.5 10.8 -2.3 6.3 5.2 6.2 3.5 2.7 1.2 6.7 6.0 3.2 -3.3 2.9 5.5 1.2 3.4 10.1 9.8 7.3 5.2 3.6 1.6 2.5 3.4 0.7 7.2 9.3 -4.9 3.2 -0.3 -5.5 1.7 -1.0 -6.6 8.6 4.6 1.2 -17.7 -14.8 3.1 -6.0 -1.1 3.9 0.9 -6.6 -7.8 -1.5 -0.9 -2.3 -4.4 -4.8 2.2 5.0 0.2 4.7 7.5 0.4 4.0 5.0 -4.1 9.3 6.2 7.3 -0.9 1.5 4.2 5.3 6.0 7.6 8.8 -1.1 4.5 3.1 0.0 7.8 0.2 9.0 8.9 0.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 1.8 6.6 4.4 2.9 6.2 6.5 7.5 5.5 5.9 3.5 3.9 4.9 10.6 6.9 2.2 4.3 3.5 -1.5 0.1 -2.6 8.8 6.5 2.2 1.8 3.9 0.9 0.8 4.0 5.1 1.6 5.0 6.2 5.0 5.6 3.6 3.3 3.9 5.0 10.7 6.3 0.7 3.4 2.5 0.5 6.4 0.2 2.2 3.9 2.9 2.5 5.3 3.0 1.4 4.3 4.3 2.0 5.9 6.0 5.5 3.8 3.2 3.7 3.1 4.0 9.0 6.0 1.5 2.5 2.7 1.0 5.0 1.5 3.8 3.5 4.0 2.5 3.3 3.5 2.9 4.6 4.4 2.8 6.4 6.3 5.6 4.1 3.7 4.4 3.5 4.0 7.5 6.3 2.4 3.5 3.5 1.1 5.0 1.5 3.7 3.7 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 5.3 6.5 6.1 6.8 6.4 3.6 -1.1 4.8 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.7 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 5.6 6.6 6.8 8.1 7.4 4.3 -1.8 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.7 4.0 Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [1] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 6. Real GDP (% change) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.4 14.0 5.3 2.0 2.7 5.4 2.3 11.1 2.5 3.9 4.2 2.5 6.3 10.3 4.3 5.0 6.2 5.5 11.2 10.5 6.3 1.4 4.2 4.1 1.9 5.9 3.2 4.8 8.6 4.4 4.8 10.6 4.1 6.7 7.3 6.0 20.6 13.9 6.0 4.0 4.4 4.3 3.6 9.6 3.3 4.0 8.1 4.2 3.0 5.4 2.1 4.8 4.9 4.0 18.6 13.2 6.6 5.7 4.8 4.9 3.9 9.4 5.4 3.9 8.1 8.6 7.8 6.2 4.8 5.2 5.8 5.7 23.2 13.7 6.4 1.7 4.5 5.1 3.8 12.3 6.3 0.1 8.2 10.7 2.7 7.0 5.4 6.6 5.1 6.2 13.8 6.9 6.2 0.3 6.2 2.1 1.3 2.3 3.3 0.9 7.2 6.9 5.6 6.0 6.4 4.2 4.1 4.5 2.4 -14.2 5.7 -4.1 3.4 -6.9 -3.1 -3.8 0.5 -6.8 5.5 -5.7 4.8 7.0 -4.0 1.1 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.2 6.1 0.3 4.1 -2.3 1.4 6.3 2.9 1.3 2.3 2.5 3.6 8.0 13.1 7.6 4.1 3.2 3.1 4.7 6.7 0.8 5.2 0.0 2.0 7.2 4.2 1.6 2.6 2.5 5.0 7.4 4.3 3.9 4.7 -1.9 7.4 7.2 6.3 0.0 5.2 -2.0 1.6 6.5 3.0 -1.7 2.8 0.5 2.4 6.6 -1.2 6.6 3.1 3.6 9.4 6.0 5.9 0.2 4.8 -1.2 1.7 6.3 3.4 0.2 3.2 1.5 3.5 7.0 10.0 6.0 4.5 3.7 7.2 5.5 6.1 1.1 4.9 0.3 2.0 7.0 3.3 1.0 3.5 2.1 3.8 7.3 4.6 5.8 4.5 4.5 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 4.6 5.3 4.3 5.7 6.3 5.0 0.8 3.3 4.1 3.0 4.1 4.5 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 5.4 5.9 6.1 7.1 7.2 4.9 -0.7 3.9 3.6 3.2 4.2 4.1 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 30 • Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 6. Real GDP (% change) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 31 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.8 8.8 7.0 9.3 3.9 8.5 3.8 -0.3 2.7 3.2 0.8 5.1 4.5 3.7 2.9 1.7 6.6 7.0 2.5 4.7 2.9 6.7 5.9 7.3 9.5 -8.1 7.3 5.1 5.7 9.0 11.4 4.6 6.3 10.3 5.8 1.3 8.2 4.1 5.4 5.3 6.2 1.3 5.1 7.5 7.4 10.6 5.3 7.5 2.9 5.9 5.4 4.6 12.1 18.5 7.8 5.4 5.7 9.2 9.4 3.0 3.9 13.3 11.2 9.3 5.3 4.5 -1.3 6.0 6.1 0.9 5.7 0.7 7.5 7.3 4.3 9.0 5.4 5.6 6.2 3.0 3.0 10.3 8.4 5.3 5.4 8.5 10.0 4.7 6.0 10.8 12.1 10.7 4.4 6.8 1.9 6.1 6.6 2.9 6.5 1.4 4.8 12.5 4.2 5.8 2.3 2.5 7.7 6.0 7.4 9.8 8.2 6.2 5.9 8.7 8.6 1.2 6.2 10.2 7.3 8.5 2.2 7.1 -0.9 4.5 6.2 1.4 7.0 8.4 3.0 7.0 5.0 6.8 7.1 4.9 6.8 3.0 7.6 8.8 8.5 6.2 7.5 6.8 10.2 3.8 5.7 6.7 4.1 5.3 6.4 7.2 1.0 9.3 4.2 -0.8 1.5 8.6 7.8 8.6 4.0 3.7 6.6 3.7 6.0 -0.5 2.3 5.4 6.3 5.7 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 -3.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.0 4.7 -1.3 5.8 -2.4 -3.1 2.7 9.0 -6.0 -1.3 -2.2 1.7 6.1 2.4 3.5 -2.2 -14.8 -3.0 5.3 6.4 3.8 9.2 7.7 2.7 1.4 6.0 2.4 7.8 3.3 5.1 0.1 7.9 3.7 -1.4 5.8 7.0 7.1 6.5 3.6 3.1 7.6 4.3 8.0 -2.3 4.1 -1.6 6.8 7.6 3.1 8.9 5.5 2.0 1.0 7.1 2.3 4.5 8.0 1.8 1.9 14.0 3.7 1.5 4.4 1.5 6.8 17.4 5.4 3.0 11.3 2.1 8.2 0.4 5.2 4.1 6.0 6.8 1.2 1.9 1.5 5.2 -0.5 6.5 2.9 3.9 4.6 2.2 2.5 7.2 3.3 0.1 4.2 1.5 -0.8 12.2 5.2 3.7 9.2 3.5 6.4 1.5 0.2 5.6 5.0 7.3 1.7 3.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 6.7 3.2 3.0 3.9 2.0 2.7 7.8 3.2 0.3 5.0 2.0 3.0 13.0 4.1 3.5 5.5 4.2 6.5 1.4 0.0 3.0 5.2 7.7 2.6 3.0 2.5 2.5 1.8 7.2 3.3 4.0 3.5 3.3 2.2 8.0 3.0 1.2 5.0 2.5 3.2 12.5 4.2 3.5 6.0 4.8 6.7 1.8 2.0 2.5 5.4 7.9 Median (B1 to C) 4.9 5.8 5.7 6.2 6.8 5.7 0.9 4.7 4.4 3.6 3.1 3.3 Mean (B1 to C) 4.6 6.8 6.0 6.5 6.0 5.2 0.7 4.5 5.3 3.8 3.8 4.1 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [2] Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 7. Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 32 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.4 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 2.2 1.1 3.1 -1.9 3.0 2.6 -0.4 2.1 2.4 1.7 1.5 0.6 2.3 0.7 9.4 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.5 2.9 2.3 2.1 4.2 0.9 5.0 0.1 2.1 2.2 3.1 0.3 2.4 2.0 0.2 2.2 2.8 1.1 2.7 1.1 2.4 1.3 5.8 3.3 3.2 0.3 1.3 1.6 3.3 2.8 1.6 2.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 3.6 1.1 1.5 1.4 3.6 1.3 2.0 2.0 -0.4 2.5 3.6 2.0 3.2 1.8 2.7 1.3 3.9 2.4 3.7 0.9 1.0 1.9 3.4 3.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.7 5.1 1.2 1.5 1.4 2.9 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.3 2.3 0.8 1.0 2.7 2.2 2.4 0.8 3.7 3.0 2.7 1.6 0.6 3.0 2.5 2.9 3.6 3.1 2.5 3.9 2.4 9.6 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 3.8 3.3 2.6 0.7 3.4 3.3 1.9 3.2 2.8 2.8 3.7 2.5 5.7 4.2 3.4 2.0 2.1 4.1 3.7 1.3 2.6 1.2 2.1 2.4 7.0 3.4 1.0 1.1 2.0 2.1 1.4 2.3 0.4 1.1 4.9 1.9 3.4 2.1 0.7 5.5 3.5 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.7 3.1 0.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.2 -1.7 1.8 0.9 0.7 2.6 1.5 -2.6 1.0 -1.7 1.8 -0.6 1.1 2.0 2.0 0.0 -0.5 0.0 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.3 3.1 2.4 1.6 2.8 5.7 2.8 1.8 1.3 5.2 2.9 -0.2 1.8 -0.4 2.8 3.2 1.9 4.0 2.8 2.5 4.6 1.3 2.2 3.0 2.3 0.5 3.7 1.5 3.0 3.2 3.5 2.3 3.9 2.4 3.7 2.6 2.5 2.0 2.4 5.7 1.5 3.3 -0.2 3.2 2.1 2.4 1.8 0.2 3.7 5.5 4.6 2.1 2.4 2.3 -0.7 4.2 3.0 2.2 2.8 2.3 0.9 1.1 1.9 3.5 3.5 1.3 2.1 0.8 3.8 1.7 2.3 -0.1 2.3 2.8 2.8 0.9 1.4 1.9 4.3 3.4 3.1 2.9 -0.1 -0.4 2.7 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.2 3.2 2.5 1.2 1.5 -0.6 4.2 1.6 1.4 0.5 2.0 2.3 2.0 1.3 1.8 0.9 3.7 2.0 2.1 1.2 1.7 -0.2 2.6 2.0 2.8 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.3 2.2 1.3 1.6 -0.2 3.8 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.3 3.2 2.2 1.5 1.3 2.0 0.2 2.3 2.1 Median 1.7 2.2 2.1 1.9 3.2 2.0 1.0 2.5 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.9 Mean 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.1 3.3 2.2 0.9 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.9 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark [1] Estonia Finland [1] France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland [1] Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia [1] Slovenia [1] Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) 7. Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.2 6.4 0.6 1.1 3.2 1.0 -1.9 3.4 1.0 -1.4 1.2 0.2 1.6 2.3 0.6 0.4 3.1 3.8 7.9 11.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 1.2 3.1 1.3 2.8 2.1 0.7 4.4 6.8 0.3 1.5 5.0 2.5 11.3 0.0 3.7 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.6 4.1 5.6 3.2 1.9 0.8 8.8 0.7 2.0 6.2 3.4 8.5 1.6 2.6 2.8 1.7 -0.1 2.1 3.1 4.6 3.1 3.4 1.4 11.8 2.2 1.0 9.3 3.6 8.2 1.7 7.8 6.5 5.4 3.4 3.6 5.5 7.1 2.3 5.9 4.2 13.8 4.2 3.1 11.1 4.9 13.7 3.9 7.1 1.0 3.6 3.8 4.1 10.6 6.1 4.5 12.6 3.3 15.0 9.9 1.3 12.3 1.0 5.8 -1.3 -1.5 1.9 1.0 3.9 2.7 4.0 0.7 1.0 3.5 3.8 -4.9 5.1 -0.2 1.6 2.7 7.4 0.3 3.0 4.6 2.3 2.7 3.1 4.0 3.9 2.1 3.3 2.9 -2.4 5.3 1.3 0.9 2.9 9.2 1.9 4.4 4.1 2.4 2.2 4.2 4.7 6.8 3.0 4.0 4.5 1.9 5.0 2.1 0.9 1.9 7.4 1.6 1.5 2.5 2.4 1.6 1.4 2.9 5.8 1.2 2.9 2.2 1.9 4.5 1.6 0.7 2.1 6.0 1.8 2.6 3.0 1.1 2.1 2.5 3.3 4.8 2.2 3.3 1.2 3.0 3.7 2.0 1.6 2.0 5.8 1.6 3.0 3.5 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.5 2.4 3.3 1.7 4.0 3.6 1.9 1.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 1.1 2.8 2.5 2.8 5.4 4.9 1.6 2.9 4.0 1.9 2.5 3.0 Mean (Aaa to A3) 1.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 5.7 6.9 1.7 2.8 3.8 2.6 2.7 2.9 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait [1] Macao [1] Malaysia Oman [1] Poland Qatar [1] Saudi Arabia [1] Taiwan United Arab Emirates [1] • 33 • Notes: [1] Annual average Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 7. Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 34 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.6 2.1 1.7 9.3 5.6 6.4 9.8 2.8 3.7 5.2 6.8 3.7 -1.3 3.9 4.0 2.6 0.0 2.5 14.1 12.0 -1.6 1.6 1.7 3.0 18.4 10.2 10.4 1.9 2.2 7.6 4.0 5.5 13.1 3.9 3.8 6.4 6.7 7.3 2.8 5.6 5.2 4.3 1.2 3.5 9.2 11.7 2.2 2.1 3.0 5.6 9.4 7.6 5.5 1.8 2.6 5.7 6.5 4.8 14.1 4.1 5.5 17.1 7.6 7.0 3.0 3.9 3.3 3.5 3.4 1.5 8.8 10.9 2.0 3.1 5.8 7.2 7.7 4.9 11.4 2.2 2.0 3.1 6.5 4.5 9.4 7.0 6.8 6.6 8.4 6.8 4.4 11.9 4.0 6.0 2.2 1.1 5.0 9.0 4.8 2.3 3.6 9.1 9.7 6.4 19.5 2.9 3.3 4.5 12.5 5.7 10.8 5.9 5.5 5.8 18.8 14.1 8.1 8.7 3.8 7.1 6.4 3.9 6.7 11.9 7.6 2.3 3.1 7.6 8.4 8.5 15.4 4.5 3.5 5.9 7.8 7.6 13.9 18.1 9.6 11.1 9.5 10.6 8.6 6.7 6.5 10.9 6.8 6.7 6.4 13.3 9.3 4.6 0.4 14.5 10.1 9.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.3 0.6 1.9 4.1 7.5 14.9 2.8 6.2 -1.2 0.0 1.5 3.6 7.0 1.9 0.2 4.8 8.8 6.0 0.7 3.5 1.3 6.5 5.9 7.9 1.5 2.0 5.9 4.5 3.1 5.8 2.5 9.7 7.0 7.8 2.5 5.1 6.1 4.4 3.1 4.9 2.1 8.0 8.8 3.4 3.2 3.1 13.4 6.4 6.9 5.6 3.2 -0.4 6.5 2.8 3.7 4.7 5.3 6.3 3.8 7.4 4.1 3.4 4.8 3.8 7.2 6.3 4.7 3.1 6.1 6.4 4.6 3.5 5.3 10.4 8.6 -0.3 2.3 1.2 5.8 4.2 2.4 4.5 4.2 8.0 4.3 6.0 1.6 2.9 3.2 3.6 6.3 5.7 2.6 5.0 6.6 5.7 2.5 3.6 7.2 6.2 7.5 5.0 2.0 2.6 5.9 2.8 2.9 4.8 4.1 10.8 6.0 6.6 1.9 2.5 6.0 3.8 5.8 5.0 2.2 4.2 6.4 5.8 2.5 3.0 4.0 7.0 7.5 5.5 2.0 2.1 6.2 3.4 3.2 5.0 3.9 10.2 5.8 6.6 2.2 3.0 5.1 3.9 5.4 4.8 2.0 3.5 6.0 5.8 2.6 2.4 4.0 6.4 7.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 3.7 5.3 5.2 6.2 6.9 8.9 3.1 5.0 4.8 4.3 4.5 4.4 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.9 7.8 8.9 3.8 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.7 4.5 Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Annual average Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 7. Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan [2] Montenegro [3] Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia • 35 • Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 76.6 8.6 5.0 0.3 4.0 1.7 2.5 7.1 5.9 5.7 1.6 6.7 1.8 23.8 9.3 2.5 13.1 4.4 31.0 2.0 5.6 4.3 4.7 2.7 5.4 7.5 9.2 5.5 3.4 4.3 0.5 10.0 2.7 7.1 9.1 1.2 18.5 -0.2 7.4 7.3 5.0 3.7 4.3 6.1 8.6 3.3 3.5 1.8 2.1 11.6 9.7 5.9 15.4 3.9 12.2 5.2 7.5 5.7 3.1 2.1 4.9 8.8 5.8 6.5 6.3 2.0 3.3 8.5 12.5 4.1 4.7 3.3 11.8 6.6 9.2 4.8 11.7 5.8 4.9 11.0 8.7 7.4 4.7 8.0 2.0 6.6 6.1 3.7 8.8 5.1 13.2 5.2 10.0 7.2 11.8 2.8 5.5 5.6 9.4 3.5 13.9 6.9 4.2 15.1 7.6 7.8 9.3 4.1 14.0 6.5 2.2 4.3 0.2 2.0 -0.2 3.0 -0.3 5.6 -0.7 1.5 -1.5 13.9 2.0 4.4 1.3 4.1 15.3 9.5 8.7 6.6 7.1 1.8 2.1 11.2 5.4 4.7 5.0 0.7 2.2 11.7 7.5 3.6 10.3 4.0 11.4 4.7 10.2 9.5 6.9 2.1 5.1 2.0 6.2 4.1 4.4 2.8 0.9 10.3 5.1 4.2 15.3 4.9 9.0 3.2 8.6 4.5 4.6 4.7 0.8 -1.4 3.4 5.0 4.8 5.1 2.6 12.0 5.0 2.9 4.4 5.2 8.0 4.0 7.5 4.8 4.4 3.2 3.9 3.5 4.5 3.0 5.9 2.8 2.5 9.5 5.2 3.9 4.5 5.0 8.0 4.0 7.8 5.0 4.2 2.3 3.5 4.4 4.7 3.0 3.2 2.6 2.5 7.0 5.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.4 5.0 5.4 5.4 6.6 7.4 2.1 6.0 5.0 4.6 4.5 4.0 10.0 6.5 6.5 5.9 7.0 8.0 3.5 6.5 6.1 4.7 4.8 4.4 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Annual average Total Retail Price Index (RPI) for 2003 to 2007; Total Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2008 to 2012 7. Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 36 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.3 3.7 25.5 2.3 0.6 0.5 -1.0 42.6 6.1 3.2 4.2 31.0 6.8 14.1 8.3 1.3 15.7 4.7 6.5 2.6 8.4 -1.4 7.3 2.2 8.2 27.0 3.0 17.2 2.1 6.1 14.6 3.1 0.5 5.6 3.0 28.7 1.9 8.1 3.3 16.1 9.2 13.7 16.3 1.7 12.5 10.6 9.3 7.0 2.4 1.7 12.9 1.7 12.3 19.0 9.6 17.5 2.0 12.3 8.0 4.2 4.3 6.7 3.7 7.4 3.1 8.8 2.7 13.6 7.7 12.9 7.6 -0.7 10.0 9.2 9.6 9.8 4.7 1.3 7.5 3.9 10.3 14.2 8.7 15.9 2.6 9.8 6.5 2.9 4.6 2.8 5.7 5.0 2.9 4.2 3.1 10.7 5.3 5.6 15.6 5.6 14.1 4.8 9.4 7.1 -1.0 4.0 13.5 4.8 11.6 16.8 6.6 8.2 3.0 8.5 12.0 4.1 4.9 10.8 2.8 8.9 3.3 11.0 4.3 12.8 8.9 16.8 12.0 4.1 13.1 14.1 16.9 7.4 3.2 6.1 18.7 8.3 16.6 22.4 12.6 8.9 2.2 7.2 13.4 4.4 3.8 12.5 -0.1 4.5 8.8 11.7 6.6 18.3 10.8 16.9 26.8 10.8 7.3 23.2 13.8 19.3 11.3 4.3 13.9 8.7 22.3 30.9 20.0 16.6 3.7 7.7 9.9 -0.4 0.0 5.3 -0.1 5.8 4.3 16.2 6.8 16.2 3.0 10.2 5.3 1.2 0.4 1.9 0.9 9.6 5.7 -2.8 5.0 -1.6 12.3 25.1 6.5 9.9 3.3 10.9 10.0 0.0 3.1 3.1 1.6 6.2 3.3 11.7 5.0 8.8 6.5 11.8 4.5 4.5 8.1 14.3 9.2 11.8 7.2 4.3 6.8 2.0 9.1 27.2 11.8 7.9 1.7 9.5 108.7 2.5 3.1 4.9 2.5 7.8 5.4 11.1 7.7 8.8 5.6 6.0 18.9 5.0 7.8 9.4 8.0 13.3 6.8 2.7 4.9 4.7 4.6 27.5 18.1 7.2 2.4 10.8 21.7 0.6 1.9 3.0 3.2 3.9 4.2 8.6 1.5 8.9 5.4 8.0 3.2 6.6 4.1 14.2 6.6 11.3 1.6 1.1 9.2 1.0 -0.2 20.0 6.8 7.3 2.6 11.5 20.0 2.0 1.7 3.5 3.0 5.5 4.2 8.2 4.0 8.4 5.6 7.8 7.0 6.7 4.3 10.0 7.3 9.1 4.0 1.6 7.0 2.4 2.8 29.0 4.5 6.0 2.9 10.0 16.0 2.0 2.3 4.0 3.0 5.0 4.5 13.7 4.0 8.2 5.7 6.5 5.0 2.4 5.6 8.5 7.0 10.0 4.0 1.6 6.7 2.5 4.7 27.0 5.5 6.0 Median (B1 to C) 5.4 8.7 7.7 5.6 8.9 11.5 5.3 7.0 7.0 4.8 5.6 5.2 Mean (B1 to C) 9.1 9.0 7.5 6.9 9.9 12.5 6.0 7.6 11.6 6.3 6.8 6.6 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon [3] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Official figures Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Annual average Annual average Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 8. Unemployment Rate (%) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 37 • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.9 4.3 8.2 7.6 4.1 5.4 10.0 9.0 8.9 9.8 9.8 7.9 4.6 8.4 5.3 3.8 7.7 4.1 4.8 4.2 7.1 4.0 17.7 6.7 11.4 6.6 3.7 5.0 6.0 5.4 5.0 8.3 7.2 4.6 5.5 9.6 8.8 9.3 10.5 10.5 6.8 4.5 8.0 4.7 5.0 7.2 5.1 4.0 4.3 7.5 3.4 18.4 6.3 10.9 7.4 3.9 4.7 5.5 5.1 5.2 8.4 6.8 5.4 4.8 7.9 8.4 9.3 11.3 9.9 5.6 4.4 7.7 4.4 4.6 7.3 5.3 3.8 4.5 8.6 3.1 16.4 6.5 9.2 7.6 3.8 4.8 5.1 4.8 4.7 8.2 6.3 4.5 3.9 6.0 7.7 9.2 10.2 8.9 4.8 4.5 6.8 4.1 4.6 6.9 4.3 3.8 3.4 8.6 2.6 13.5 6.0 8.5 7.0 3.3 5.4 4.6 4.4 4.4 7.5 6.0 3.9 3.8 4.7 6.9 8.4 8.7 8.3 4.0 4.7 6.1 3.8 4.2 6.5 3.6 3.7 2.5 8.9 2.1 11.2 4.8 8.3 6.1 2.8 5.3 4.6 4.3 3.8 7.1 6.1 3.7 3.4 5.6 6.4 7.8 7.5 7.7 3.5 6.4 6.8 4.0 4.8 6.0 3.1 4.2 2.6 8.5 2.2 9.6 4.4 11.4 6.2 2.6 5.6 5.8 5.6 4.8 7.8 8.3 5.4 6.0 13.8 8.2 9.5 7.8 9.5 5.2 12.0 7.8 5.1 5.2 6.9 3.7 6.2 3.2 10.6 3.0 12.1 5.9 18.0 8.3 3.7 7.6 9.3 5.2 4.4 8.2 8.0 6.3 7.4 16.9 8.4 9.7 7.1 12.6 4.3 13.9 8.4 5.0 4.6 6.9 4.5 6.6 3.6 12.0 2.2 14.5 7.3 20.1 8.6 3.5 7.8 9.6 5.1 4.2 7.2 7.4 7.9 7.6 12.5 7.8 9.6 6.0 17.7 3.4 14.7 8.4 4.6 4.8 6.5 4.4 6.5 3.3 12.9 2.0 13.6 8.2 21.7 7.8 2.8 8.0 8.9 5.2 4.4 7.6 7.2 11.8 7.5 10.2 7.7 10.2 5.5 24.3 3.3 14.7 10.6 4.4 5.1 6.4 5.3 6.9 3.2 15.9 2.0 14.0 8.9 25.0 8.0 2.9 8.0 8.1 5.3 4.7 8.1 7.2 15.2 7.5 9.7 8.2 11.0 5.5 27.0 3.4 13.7 12.0 4.3 5.6 6.4 6.9 6.3 3.3 17.9 2.0 14.4 10.0 27.4 7.9 3.0 8.1 7.7 5.5 4.7 8.1 7.0 16.5 7.4 9.0 8.1 11.2 5.5 28.0 3.3 12.8 12.5 4.3 5.7 6.3 7.2 5.9 3.2 18.2 2.0 14.1 10.3 26.9 7.7 2.9 8.0 7.2 9. Gross Investment/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 38 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 26.5 23.1 19.4 20.6 17.0 19.6 33.1 19.4 18.5 17.9 24.5 22.4 23.3 20.9 22.4 22.1 17.7 19.3 23.9 18.1 23.5 16.1 24.6 25.4 27.4 17.1 20.7 16.8 18.7 27.1 22.8 20.9 21.5 19.8 20.4 33.1 20.0 19.2 17.6 22.5 22.4 24.7 21.0 22.5 21.7 18.2 19.0 25.2 20.3 24.0 21.7 26.3 27.5 28.3 17.0 21.0 17.1 19.7 28.0 22.7 21.9 22.8 19.8 20.8 33.8 21.9 20.0 17.3 21.4 21.1 27.2 20.9 22.5 22.4 21.0 19.0 25.2 21.5 23.5 20.0 28.9 27.2 29.5 17.7 21.9 17.0 20.3 27.3 22.3 22.4 23.6 20.6 22.7 38.7 21.3 20.9 18.1 24.6 22.3 28.1 21.8 22.7 20.3 21.9 20.0 22.7 23.0 23.1 21.1 28.0 28.9 30.9 18.7 22.7 17.4 20.6 28.5 23.1 23.0 24.0 21.6 23.4 38.6 22.9 22.0 19.3 26.7 21.4 26.2 22.1 22.9 21.0 21.6 20.4 24.8 25.8 22.8 22.2 27.8 31.9 31.0 20.3 22.5 18.3 19.6 28.9 22.8 24.0 24.0 23.3 22.4 30.0 22.3 21.9 19.3 24.0 21.0 21.8 21.6 23.0 21.5 20.0 20.5 21.9 24.5 23.2 29.3 27.7 31.8 29.1 20.2 22.1 17.1 18.1 27.4 21.0 19.8 21.8 19.4 16.9 18.5 18.6 18.9 16.5 18.6 21.8 15.0 18.9 19.7 16.5 18.2 18.4 18.2 22.3 20.2 25.0 19.5 22.1 24.0 16.5 19.3 14.1 14.7 26.9 21.6 20.6 23.3 19.8 16.8 20.3 18.6 19.3 17.5 17.5 23.9 11.6 20.1 19.8 19.4 16.9 18.0 19.7 23.3 20.2 21.4 22.6 21.1 22.8 18.7 20.0 15.0 15.5 27.4 23.2 21.7 23.6 17.5 17.6 24.8 20.9 20.6 18.3 16.1 24.1 10.1 19.5 20.0 21.1 12.9 18.1 19.9 24.1 17.8 22.2 23.9 20.1 21.5 19.6 20.8 14.6 15.5 28.9 22.8 21.0 24.5 13.1 17.5 27.6 18.8 19.7 17.2 13.6 26.0 10.0 17.6 20.6 21.6 12.4 17.3 19.6 25.0 16.0 27.0 20.8 17.0 19.6 18.6 20.6 14.3 16.2 29.2 22.7 20.4 24.2 12.4 17.6 28.4 18.4 19.2 17.2 13.9 26.1 10.2 16.7 21.1 21.3 12.8 16.6 20.1 25.7 15.3 22.6 20.7 15.6 18.9 19.6 20.5 14.0 17.0 29.1 22.3 20.5 24.6 12.2 17.5 29.0 17.9 19.3 17.4 14.8 25.9 11.0 17.0 21.3 19.8 13.3 16.4 20.8 25.7 15.5 22.1 20.8 15.6 19.0 19.8 21.1 13.9 17.2 Median 20.7 21.5 21.9 22.4 22.9 22.4 18.9 19.8 20.1 19.6 19.2 19.3 Mean 21.4 22.2 22.7 23.3 24.0 23.4 19.4 19.7 19.9 19.5 19.3 19.3 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand [1] Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] National account years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 9. Gross Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 30.1 — 21.8 41.0 27.0 16.8 29.9 16.6 14.3 24.6 22.3 18.7 34.9 21.3 19.9 21.4 — 31.5 — 20.3 43.0 27.1 16.9 29.9 18.2 16.8 24.5 25.6 20.1 33.4 19.9 23.7 19.3 — 27.2 — 22.0 41.6 26.5 18.3 29.7 16.4 26.5 22.4 23.1 19.3 33.8 20.2 22.7 19.2 — 25.9 — 20.7 41.8 27.7 18.2 29.6 16.2 34.4 22.7 26.2 21.1 34.1 22.2 22.7 18.2 — 30.8 — 20.6 41.7 29.8 18.8 29.4 20.5 37.5 23.4 31.7 24.4 33.7 26.5 22.1 23.8 — 34.4 — 26.0 43.9 28.9 17.9 31.2 17.6 31.0 21.5 33.6 23.9 29.3 27.3 22.4 22.6 — 37.9 — 20.3 47.5 23.8 15.4 26.3 18.0 18.9 17.8 25.4 20.3 35.9 31.7 17.7 26.8 — 35.4 — 22.4 48.0 24.8 14.7 29.5 20.3 13.3 23.1 24.9 21.0 30.4 30.7 22.4 29.6 — 38.7 — 23.5 49.2 24.5 17.6 29.5 15.6 13.8 23.6 28.6 22.1 25.4 27.0 20.7 28.1 — 35.6 — 25.0 48.3 23.6 19.3 27.6 17.2 14.7 25.5 29.0 20.7 25.9 26.6 19.9 24.5 — 35.8 — 27.1 47.6 22.6 19.4 27.0 18.4 15.0 26.1 31.8 19.9 27.0 28.6 20.6 23.2 — 36.2 — 28.3 47.2 22.5 19.5 26.2 19.7 15.5 26.2 32.2 19.9 27.5 30.8 20.6 24.4 Median (Aaa to A3) 21.8 23.7 22.7 22.7 26.5 27.3 23.8 24.8 24.5 25.0 26.1 26.2 Mean (Aaa to A3) 24.1 24.7 24.6 25.5 27.6 27.4 25.6 26.0 25.9 25.5 26.0 26.4 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 39 • 9. Gross Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 40 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 53.2 22.1 20.9 15.8 21.2 18.7 20.6 19.8 26.2 19.5 28.9 28.4 21.4 23.7 22.9 19.4 19.0 18.4 22.0 20.9 16.7 — 25.0 25.2 17.6 15.2 58.0 21.2 24.9 17.1 22.7 19.4 23.1 23.5 32.5 22.4 26.3 32.8 22.3 24.4 24.9 19.1 18.7 17.9 23.7 20.9 18.1 — 26.8 19.9 19.4 17.5 41.5 25.3 24.5 16.2 27.6 20.2 24.3 28.2 34.3 23.6 30.1 33.6 23.6 22.7 24.4 19.7 18.4 17.9 23.3 20.1 18.0 — 31.4 30.2 20.0 17.7 29.9 30.3 24.4 16.8 32.1 22.4 26.4 35.6 35.9 24.1 33.4 39.1 26.0 26.7 26.2 22.3 19.5 20.0 26.5 21.2 19.7 — 28.3 15.6 22.1 19.5 21.5 28.2 27.0 18.3 34.1 23.0 24.7 29.0 38.0 24.9 35.5 40.0 31.2 26.9 26.5 23.7 24.1 22.8 31.0 24.2 21.2 — 26.4 12.9 21.1 19.5 18.7 24.5 33.9 20.7 37.5 23.5 27.6 24.6 35.5 27.7 27.5 31.2 27.1 27.3 26.9 25.4 27.6 26.9 31.3 25.5 22.7 — 29.1 11.1 21.8 23.2 18.9 23.9 27.3 17.8 29.4 22.4 16.3 13.9 36.3 31.1 29.4 20.5 11.4 21.3 23.8 22.3 25.6 20.7 25.4 18.9 19.5 — 21.2 15.5 14.9 19.7 18.1 21.5 31.0 20.2 22.9 22.1 20.6 12.5 37.0 32.0 25.3 19.8 17.8 23.6 23.9 21.1 24.4 25.3 25.6 22.6 19.2 — 25.9 14.7 19.5 18.8 19.1 24.0 24.7 19.7 21.9 23.7 21.6 14.3 35.4 32.0 22.8 25.3 20.5 26.0 25.1 20.0 26.2 25.5 26.9 25.5 19.5 — 26.6 15.2 23.6 19.5 22.6 26.5 26.5 17.6 23.8 23.5 21.2 14.6 35.3 33.2 23.6 25.9 17.1 24.3 24.7 21.2 28.0 26.9 27.0 26.0 19.4 — 29.8 15.3 20.3 19.8 22.4 30.0 26.0 18.1 24.0 24.5 21.3 13.4 36.3 32.0 24.4 26.7 16.9 23.3 25.5 21.7 28.0 27.0 28.5 26.6 20.4 — 30.7 15.5 20.8 19.5 22.2 30.5 26.0 19.0 23.5 25.3 21.5 14.5 36.6 32.5 25.1 27.2 16.8 24.4 26.0 22.1 27.0 27.5 30.4 27.5 20.6 — 30.9 16.0 22.7 19.4 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 20.9 22.4 23.6 26.0 24.9 26.9 21.2 22.1 23.7 23.8 24.4 25.1 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 22.5 23.9 24.7 25.8 26.2 26.4 21.9 22.6 23.4 23.8 24.1 24.6 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 9. Gross Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 13.8 24.3 23.4 18.1 13.2 27.1 17.0 31.3 20.3 23.6 20.8 15.4 27.4 8.6 17.0 23.0 26.9 23.3 9.9 24.9 24.0 18.9 11.1 26.5 16.2 31.9 20.8 25.9 27.4 16.6 29.1 7.4 16.6 21.6 15.2 23.3 8.8 30.5 24.5 19.0 14.4 27.0 16.1 33.5 19.7 24.5 34.1 17.7 28.8 5.5 17.0 21.6 17.7 21.7 15.4 35.9 24.7 19.9 14.0 29.1 16.8 30.9 20.8 24.1 30.1 25.4 29.4 8.3 17.1 18.0 9.4 23.4 13.5 37.8 24.5 20.8 15.1 29.1 16.3 32.1 20.8 22.4 30.4 33.8 32.5 9.2 15.8 17.3 11.2 23.7 16.2 40.9 24.2 17.3 17.5 30.4 15.2 26.0 16.4 23.5 25.7 40.7 38.1 8.3 16.4 19.3 15.6 25.7 15.2 34.7 24.4 15.0 16.9 24.9 13.4 13.0 13.1 18.0 24.4 27.1 35.6 12.1 13.8 16.6 21.8 24.6 12.7 32.9 24.4 14.2 17.0 20.9 13.3 21.6 13.9 18.7 23.1 22.8 35.0 13.6 16.2 20.5 19.8 26.3 11.4 27.3 25.2 14.8 19.3 20.4 14.4 26.2 14.6 19.5 24.6 19.5 36.0 15.8 16.2 21.7 21.1 23.2 11.4 23.8 25.4 15.0 18.8 19.4 14.2 29.0 14.8 17.4 25.4 18.5 37.5 19.8 14.3 19.4 20.3 23.7 13.2 22.2 25.8 15.6 19.9 19.1 14.5 27.1 15.2 16.7 27.3 20.3 35.8 23.3 14.2 20.0 18.7 24.1 14.4 22.3 26.3 16.3 19.6 19.5 14.7 26.5 15.7 15.8 27.3 19.7 34.7 24.3 13.7 20.5 16.8 24.5 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 21.9 21.2 20.6 22.1 21.6 21.4 17.4 20.1 20.0 19.4 20.0 19.6 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 20.8 20.4 21.2 21.8 22.6 23.2 20.3 20.4 20.6 20.4 20.7 20.7 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 41 • Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 9. Gross Investment/GDP (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 42 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 38.7 14.1 25.0 20.5 28.4 20.1 8.5 15.0 19.6 17.0 21.9 23.0 25.3 26.2 16.5 20.1 23.2 31.9 21.9 16.8 19.9 22.3 22.0 27.6 22.0 15.2 35.4 25.5 33.4 18.7 28.7 19.6 26.6 16.2 8.8 14.9 20.2 16.9 23.3 28.4 29.7 26.5 17.1 22.8 26.4 31.0 24.1 16.6 20.0 21.6 25.3 26.6 21.2 21.8 35.5 24.9 35.8 20.9 28.5 21.1 26.3 18.5 10.8 16.5 21.6 18.0 24.0 29.0 27.6 26.9 16.9 21.8 30.8 37.5 25.9 19.1 19.8 24.5 26.8 26.6 22.6 23.0 35.6 23.7 36.2 23.0 32.2 18.9 20.5 22.5 11.7 18.4 22.5 18.7 24.1 21.6 28.3 28.4 17.9 22.1 32.7 35.6 26.5 22.1 19.8 24.7 28.0 28.5 24.8 26.9 36.8 22.1 36.3 24.2 34.1 19.6 26.4 21.2 10.2 18.9 22.7 20.9 21.1 20.1 33.7 26.5 19.0 27.8 38.1 38.0 29.5 22.5 19.6 29.3 28.0 27.2 28.2 30.3 43.1 22.0 40.0 25.1 37.6 27.1 28.3 18.6 14.8 18.3 26.4 22.4 23.5 21.5 36.1 24.4 19.2 30.2 39.2 43.0 29.7 22.1 20.0 31.3 27.6 29.2 27.9 26.8 39.7 21.1 35.7 21.2 37.3 22.0 20.9 21.4 11.2 14.8 25.0 19.2 21.0 20.7 20.6 21.0 19.9 34.2 23.1 34.5 23.0 18.2 19.9 22.4 24.4 24.2 17.1 25.8 38.1 21.0 31.9 24.5 41.2 18.0 21.9 17.4 10.4 16.5 27.2 19.5 17.0 25.7 21.9 20.2 19.8 33.2 23.5 40.6 21.9 15.6 17.8 22.9 27.6 25.5 18.5 22.0 38.9 22.6 30.7 26.2 37.6 19.0 15.8 17.1 11.7 16.4 28.5 17.1 16.0 24.3 27.4 21.3 18.7 26.7 24.2 62.1 23.4 13.1 15.6 27.3 30.0 25.4 20.7 23.1 32.6 25.0 28.5 20.9 34.5 19.0 19.3 17.2 11.4 16.4 29.2 16.7 18.0 25.9 25.5 25.7 18.9 24.7 23.4 60.6 25.4 12.5 17.0 27.8 30.6 26.5 18.3 26.0 33.0 25.1 28.4 20.2 37.6 19.5 19.7 17.8 12.4 14.3 28.7 15.7 20.0 25.6 25.8 26.1 19.1 24.0 22.7 58.6 25.0 12.5 19.0 28.5 31.6 27.6 19.2 26.0 30.0 24.8 27.2 23.0 37.5 19.8 19.0 18.3 12.4 15.8 28.4 14.1 20.0 24.1 23.7 27.0 19.5 24.5 22.1 56.8 24.5 12.1 20.0 29.3 32.7 28.1 19.4 25.0 28.0 24.5 Median (B1 to C) 21.9 23.1 23.8 23.6 26.5 27.0 21.3 21.9 23.8 24.9 24.4 23.9 Mean (B1 to C) 22.3 23.1 24.3 24.9 26.4 27.5 23.5 23.7 24.2 24.2 24.3 24.2 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina [1] Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2004; IMF estimates prior to 2004 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 43 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 23.8 26.4 24.8 24.5 15.8 25.9 25.7 26.2 19.4 21.8 12.2 31.5 37.8 21.4 24.1 45.9 17.8 25.6 23.6 31.0 16.7 42.7 22.7 25.2 25.0 24.0 27.2 14.5 14.2 24.5 26.8 25.8 26.0 17.3 25.2 26.0 26.5 19.6 22.7 12.4 31.1 38.1 21.7 24.5 45.9 15.9 26.4 23.5 33.7 15.7 47.0 23.6 26.2 24.3 25.2 27.8 14.4 14.5 26.1 26.6 25.9 26.7 17.2 25.7 27.3 25.9 19.3 22.5 12.1 33.3 38.1 20.8 23.9 48.0 17.8 27.5 21.9 37.7 14.1 49.4 24.2 26.8 24.3 25.6 28.5 14.1 14.6 26.4 27.6 26.3 26.4 16.9 25.9 28.5 26.0 19.8 23.8 13.2 33.4 37.7 21.0 23.9 51.1 17.1 27.7 21.3 40.2 14.4 51.1 24.0 28.4 24.6 26.8 30.7 14.8 14.8 26.6 29.1 26.8 26.0 15.3 25.7 29.4 28.0 20.4 26.3 12.6 32.1 35.5 21.9 24.6 53.2 20.3 28.6 22.9 39.5 14.8 53.4 26.7 30.2 24.3 27.8 32.5 15.6 14.5 28.3 28.6 24.9 25.8 12.2 25.5 25.9 26.0 19.8 25.6 9.5 31.2 30.3 20.8 23.2 51.5 18.2 28.8 20.4 41.8 13.1 49.6 25.3 29.3 23.3 27.0 33.2 14.8 13.1 26.7 25.4 22.5 20.2 13.7 20.8 23.5 20.1 17.1 21.4 7.1 29.3 30.3 18.3 20.0 48.6 16.0 25.4 20.6 34.6 12.8 50.6 19.1 24.2 22.1 23.0 30.3 12.7 11.9 28.1 25.9 22.9 21.3 13.6 22.4 26.8 19.7 17.1 23.1 8.3 29.3 30.8 18.1 21.0 51.4 18.3 26.1 21.0 35.2 12.5 52.3 22.3 22.1 20.6 24.9 31.2 13.0 11.9 28.8 26.8 23.0 22.3 13.1 22.8 29.4 20.2 17.8 23.3 8.0 27.2 33.7 18.0 19.0 52.3 17.9 27.0 20.1 37.4 13.4 51.5 24.6 21.3 20.7 25.8 31.5 13.5 11.7 27.0 26.8 22.2 22.5 13.1 22.0 28.6 18.9 17.6 23.0 8.6 26.3 34.8 18.8 18.6 51.9 18.2 26.1 19.5 38.2 15.5 51.1 25.1 21.0 20.7 24.7 30.8 12.2 12.6 29.6 27.2 22.1 21.7 16.5 21.5 28.6 17.8 17.2 22.6 8.6 28.7 35.9 19.2 17.6 52.9 18.7 27.8 20.0 38.2 17.1 50.2 26.5 22.1 22.4 25.7 30.8 11.2 13.6 31.9 28.4 22.2 22.6 17.6 21.7 29.3 17.8 17.0 23.0 7.8 31.1 37.1 19.4 17.8 53.5 19.3 29.5 20.7 38.0 18.2 49.1 27.8 22.9 23.5 26.3 31.0 12.4 13.7 Median 24.5 25.2 25.7 26.0 26.6 25.6 21.4 22.3 22.8 22.2 22.1 22.9 Mean 24.7 25.2 25.7 26.3 27.1 25.8 23.1 23.8 24.2 24.0 24.5 25.2 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand [1] Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] National account years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 39.4 — 25.8 43.6 25.8 16.2 32.3 34.3 49.2 43.7 40.2 16.1 68.1 41.8 29.4 31.0 — 39.7 — 29.6 46.6 28.0 17.1 34.4 42.7 57.3 44.3 40.4 17.7 69.5 46.8 29.5 29.8 — 42.5 — 30.4 47.4 29.2 18.0 31.9 52.1 58.7 44.3 48.5 18.5 69.7 52.3 28.6 34.9 — 44.2 — 35.0 50.1 30.7 18.5 31.1 57.5 63.3 44.5 51.0 19.2 69.1 51.9 30.3 36.0 — 42.8 — 33.8 51.8 32.5 17.3 31.5 55.6 65.1 43.3 48.3 21.6 71.3 51.5 31.2 31.7 — 36.6 — 27.9 53.2 31.3 16.8 31.6 58.5 64.8 43.8 55.0 19.9 74.5 55.4 29.1 31.8 — 27.4 — 27.9 52.3 27.9 18.1 30.2 48.0 63.4 38.1 41.4 20.4 66.3 41.0 28.5 32.5 — 35.9 — 28.7 52.0 28.1 17.0 32.4 55.2 69.4 40.3 48.6 19.8 73.1 47.4 32.7 36.1 — 34.9 — 26.8 51.1 28.7 17.2 31.8 62.1 72.4 39.5 53.0 20.9 67.8 53.6 30.6 41.5 — 27.8 — 25.3 50.7 28.9 18.2 31.4 65.0 73.3 37.4 57.2 21.0 69.4 53.9 29.1 37.5 — 32.1 — 28.7 50.1 28.5 18.6 30.1 62.5 71.6 33.6 55.8 21.2 63.7 53.0 29.1 36.9 — 32.1 — 31.3 49.5 28.6 19.3 28.3 61.5 71.6 33.6 52.8 21.4 58.0 53.8 28.3 36.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 34.3 39.7 42.5 44.2 42.8 36.6 32.5 36.1 39.5 37.4 33.6 33.6 Mean (Aaa to A3) 35.8 38.2 40.5 42.2 41.9 42.0 37.6 41.1 42.1 41.7 41.0 40.5 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan [1] United Arab Emirates • 44 • Notes: [1] Gross National Saving Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 45 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 27.6 24.2 39.1 18.7 10.8 15.3 18.8 16.7 26.0 23.7 34.3 15.8 15.6 25.6 21.4 12.0 24.1 18.8 14.5 31.4 18.7 — 32.0 39.6 16.6 18.3 31.3 23.2 44.1 21.0 11.3 17.1 19.9 17.9 29.9 24.9 34.9 17.2 15.2 22.6 23.1 18.9 22.4 21.5 14.7 32.6 17.7 — 31.7 34.2 16.8 20.2 47.5 22.5 47.6 19.8 12.5 18.3 18.9 15.9 30.8 27.5 38.9 19.1 16.5 17.5 22.9 22.8 24.8 23.8 13.1 33.2 17.5 — 30.9 55.8 16.5 19.6 54.4 19.5 50.3 19.7 14.6 19.5 20.3 17.4 32.0 28.7 44.1 17.5 15.9 16.2 24.9 24.4 26.7 28.7 14.4 33.8 17.2 — 32.4 40.4 17.1 18.1 56.9 20.9 52.4 19.8 14.4 19.8 19.9 18.3 32.8 28.1 43.8 19.8 18.0 17.6 24.9 21.9 31.4 29.5 17.1 33.9 18.4 — 34.4 41.6 15.9 18.5 58.1 16.8 56.3 20.9 17.0 21.0 17.8 21.8 31.4 31.0 46.3 17.5 15.2 14.1 24.7 22.1 36.8 27.1 18.2 33.3 19.6 — 32.6 51.3 17.3 18.4 46.1 14.9 48.7 17.7 20.5 20.2 16.9 22.5 30.9 31.7 41.0 19.0 9.7 11.9 22.3 13.0 43.3 24.3 19.3 24.6 18.2 — 31.3 41.5 13.8 19.6 49.8 13.3 49.9 19.2 21.0 20.3 17.9 22.6 32.8 34.4 43.9 18.5 15.8 12.3 22.7 10.8 26.1 28.0 19.8 29.8 18.6 — 33.3 34.3 14.0 18.2 48.5 11.5 60.5 19.0 21.9 22.9 16.7 22.9 32.0 36.4 45.1 20.5 17.7 13.1 23.8 13.0 26.6 29.4 21.6 32.9 18.5 — 32.3 41.5 14.9 18.7 50.0 13.3 58.5 16.2 20.1 22.3 17.1 20.9 31.3 36.6 42.0 22.6 17.8 12.5 23.6 15.8 27.4 27.9 21.9 32.2 17.1 — 31.0 41.7 15.2 18.7 49.7 17.3 59.3 18.6 20.5 21.2 17.6 21.0 30.3 36.6 40.5 22.9 18.1 12.2 23.4 15.2 28.0 26.6 23.0 31.5 16.5 — 32.1 43.3 13.8 18.5 49.3 18.8 57.2 18.6 19.3 24.0 17.7 21.5 31.4 36.7 39.3 23.4 18.0 13.7 23.4 15.2 27.0 27.3 24.0 30.8 15.6 — 32.3 43.2 15.7 18.6 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 18.8 21.5 22.5 20.3 20.9 21.8 20.5 21.0 22.9 22.3 22.9 23.4 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 22.4 23.4 25.4 25.9 26.8 27.5 24.9 25.1 26.5 26.1 26.3 26.5 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 20.3 6.5 18.6 14.7 12.4 19.4 1.1 17.9 5.9 19.8 0.3 -1.0 24.5 13.0 31.3 23.3 17.0 19.9 25.9 7.4 19.5 9.8 15.9 20.3 -1.1 12.7 5.7 22.3 -2.7 0.6 24.2 19.3 29.2 23.4 7.9 20.8 38.6 14.0 20.0 9.8 17.7 20.8 -2.4 15.7 3.8 22.4 -7.4 0.2 23.2 18.0 28.3 23.5 11.3 21.3 53.1 17.7 20.2 14.9 22.9 22.4 -3.7 5.9 3.9 23.2 -5.7 -4.3 24.0 29.9 26.2 22.4 13.6 21.6 43.9 18.2 20.4 15.8 22.9 21.8 -6.1 7.4 4.1 23.3 -7.3 -8.5 23.4 12.7 25.1 22.1 17.5 21.8 41.3 18.2 20.3 9.5 24.6 22.7 -7.6 -2.7 1.7 24.0 -1.1 -13.8 24.7 23.4 20.7 21.4 25.6 22.6 14.7 6.3 20.1 11.3 19.9 21.4 -2.0 -6.1 3.9 22.9 3.1 -6.2 24.7 12.5 20.1 22.2 27.2 21.7 32.1 4.9 20.1 9.0 24.0 20.5 -3.6 4.1 3.4 25.2 1.9 -5.6 25.2 26.1 19.3 25.0 34.8 21.0 34.6 3.4 19.3 6.6 25.4 20.3 -4.1 7.8 3.9 26.2 -3.6 -6.5 23.3 33.2 16.5 24.9 27.4 15.9 31.8 -1.4 19.4 13.5 23.4 20.1 -4.2 10.1 4.1 25.2 -4.5 -4.9 22.3 27.9 18.6 22.3 25.3 14.5 31.7 -0.4 19.6 13.7 24.0 19.8 -4.3 10.9 3.4 27.1 -4.8 -2.6 23.1 30.6 18.4 22.4 22.6 15.5 31.1 2.5 19.0 13.8 23.2 20.3 -4.3 12.8 3.4 29.0 -3.6 -1.8 24.3 29.1 18.8 22.6 18.6 16.4 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 17.5 17.6 17.9 20.9 19.3 21.0 17.3 20.3 17.9 19.0 19.0 18.7 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.7 14.5 15.5 17.1 15.5 15.3 13.2 16.0 15.2 14.6 15.0 15.3 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [2] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 46 • Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Gross National Saving 10. Gross Domestic Saving/GDP • 47 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji [2] Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [3] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 13.9 25.4 21.5 7.9 -11.4 9.1 7.8 14.6 17.5 14.3 19.6 7.0 11.2 11.3 4.7 6.9 -10.3 16.5 1.7 17.4 35.3 10.2 16.0 13.4 24.6 32.3 30.6 12.4 11.0 26.1 25.7 10.9 -12.4 8.5 9.5 15.7 18.6 15.6 14.0 7.4 11.0 12.2 6.6 7.3 -4.0 21.3 3.3 17.6 33.3 9.0 16.4 9.8 28.8 38.8 33.4 22.7 11.1 26.8 27.2 13.7 -12.4 9.9 13.5 11.0 20.8 15.7 13.9 3.8 9.1 7.0 7.2 8.2 -9.9 32.7 3.0 15.2 29.6 9.1 17.9 10.2 23.5 42.2 34.5 21.6 12.6 28.6 29.3 19.8 -6.0 15.6 12.0 10.4 23.4 17.1 4.7 6.1 7.3 7.9 7.1 16.8 -13.9 41.5 3.8 14.2 36.6 7.2 17.0 9.8 21.9 41.3 36.5 30.5 9.6 28.5 29.7 17.9 -1.6 16.1 12.9 9.8 24.0 16.3 6.8 6.6 5.6 4.8 6.7 21.0 -13.5 39.4 4.9 15.4 32.4 6.9 17.6 -0.5 22.5 36.4 33.3 23.3 10.5 28.9 31.5 19.7 -0.6 14.9 11.1 4.6 26.7 16.8 5.5 3.5 3.0 -5.3 8.4 20.9 -13.6 30.0 3.8 11.0 32.7 5.0 13.9 -2.3 20.0 36.6 27.8 18.0 9.1 26.5 28.0 18.0 1.0 15.9 13.2 6.8 23.2 12.6 12.9 10.8 2.8 3.1 5.6 24.4 -13.5 27.2 7.8 10.7 20.2 5.5 17.9 -5.0 15.4 23.4 31.3 23.9 8.8 27.8 28.7 19.9 -12.5 12.4 14.8 5.3 23.3 14.3 4.1 11.8 4.0 2.0 4.6 23.6 -15.8 33.0 7.3 9.7 20.1 7.5 19.3 -5.0 15.6 32.9 34.9 34.4 7.7 28.4 38.4 19.9 -5.6 11.1 14.7 6.1 25.8 13.0 9.0 10.5 6.3 -1.6 4.5 14.1 -16.7 37.7 7.5 8.0 18.5 10.8 15.4 -3.7 14.5 33.3 32.8 34.0 7.5 22.7 38.3 18.2 -4.3 12.1 13.0 7.2 24.6 9.1 10.5 10.8 5.1 6.0 2.4 8.6 -17.2 29.6 7.8 4.4 18.4 9.8 17.0 -3.2 9.9 28.8 39.4 34.3 7.7 22.0 35.4 18.9 -4.1 11.0 14.0 7.4 24.6 8.6 10.4 11.1 4.2 6.2 3.5 7.9 -15.7 35.2 6.7 4.8 17.7 10.7 17.7 -3.2 13.3 31.3 35.5 35.0 7.9 22.1 34.2 20.2 -3.0 10.9 13.5 8.9 24.6 8.5 11.4 12.9 4.7 6.4 4.0 9.9 -14.1 39.1 6.5 4.9 16.4 11.5 17.8 -2.6 12.6 30.2 33.0 35.4 Median (B1 to C) 13.6 13.1 13.6 14.9 15.7 12.5 13.1 13.3 12.1 10.2 10.9 11.5 Mean (B1 to C) 13.6 14.9 14.9 16.4 15.5 13.7 13.5 13.8 14.1 13.2 13.5 13.8 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Gross National Saving Series break in 2006 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 48 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 10.9 21.0 18.6 8.3 18.7 17.4 30.9 15.8 16.0 20.7 25.1 10.7 14.4 18.2 14.0 25.5 17.7 20.5 19.1 14.9 22.3 16.3 40.8 27.0 23.8 23.0 15.8 14.0 3.8 22.9 22.4 19.1 16.1 20.4 15.1 29.0 18.5 15.7 21.3 31.9 16.3 17.5 18.2 20.4 29.9 10.1 19.3 21.0 19.8 16.2 24.1 20.2 27.4 16.4 21.5 17.4 16.9 13.4 19.8 9.4 8.1 12.8 7.8 13.7 22.9 8.4 4.8 8.7 8.3 12.0 6.0 5.7 6.4 12.9 4.3 9.7 7.0 23.3 2.0 16.6 11.8 13.9 7.1 7.9 8.6 10.4 10.6 14.7 11.5 8.8 8.0 7.5 13.2 13.0 15.7 8.2 15.6 8.7 10.5 7.1 11.9 7.7 23.2 26.0 11.0 0.3 15.1 17.5 18.0 24.7 16.7 12.0 13.6 12.5 15.4 12.7 15.9 20.7 17.5 7.7 20.0 13.8 20.9 19.2 13.8 18.7 20.0 10.4 18.2 18.7 9.7 25.0 21.4 17.7 19.5 12.5 19.7 13.7 25.4 27.0 19.4 17.6 18.9 6.5 13.0 26.8 11.4 13.9 6.3 10.5 15.7 14.8 13.3 10.3 11.6 13.7 6.2 5.7 7.2 11.1 10.5 14.3 14.7 9.6 22.3 9.9 14.9 12.2 12.9 9.1 8.5 16.2 3.8 11.1 -16.4 -21.8 -20.1 -26.7 -17.1 -21.4 -26.5 -29.9 -19.9 -19.9 -25.1 -10.7 -7.7 -23.7 -25.6 -17.8 -15.5 -17.9 -16.6 -28.5 -19.8 -16.6 -24.7 -21.9 -17.6 -25.2 -9.8 -20.3 -14.0 34.0 6.7 9.2 20.1 1.0 6.6 21.0 6.6 7.0 11.0 5.7 22.6 2.7 8.9 30.4 11.2 17.8 11.6 23.0 12.3 9.1 27.4 13.8 7.3 8.3 17.7 11.0 9.9 16.2 24.2 16.6 15.0 16.4 11.8 13.0 34.6 12.5 14.0 16.3 10.9 11.5 10.9 15.6 7.1 14.7 13.9 13.8 19.1 19.5 18.6 16.7 22.8 16.9 18.4 17.5 18.8 14.0 13.5 -3.4 -4.7 -5.5 0.2 -3.4 -3.9 -0.5 -7.6 -2.4 -3.2 -7.5 5.5 -1.9 -3.7 -2.3 -6.8 -3.1 -3.0 -1.3 0.4 -3.2 0.8 1.8 -6.2 -3.0 -5.0 -4.4 -2.2 4.3 1.8 5.8 4.1 1.5 -1.6 4.9 8.4 5.0 5.3 7.4 2.1 9.8 6.4 4.9 -5.1 6.7 5.0 6.2 5.7 4.3 4.5 4.4 7.6 4.5 7.3 7.8 -2.0 -4.0 5.4 3.9 1.2 0.4 7.6 -5.2 1.4 3.5 1.4 1.4 2.6 3.3 11.4 0.6 0.9 3.2 4.6 1.6 1.3 6.6 4.9 1.1 8.6 3.6 0.1 0.4 2.8 8.2 3.1 7.4 Median 18.2 19.3 8.7 12.7 18.7 11.4 -19.9 11.0 15.6 -3.1 5.0 2.8 Mean 18.8 19.9 10.4 13.1 17.3 12.0 -20.0 13.5 16.2 -2.6 4.3 3.2 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) • 49 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar [1] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates -47.0 29.3 — 18.1 32.7 24.6 10.5 19.3 46.6 14.6 7.9 8.8 27.3 24.3 27.5 9.7 27.9 10.4 21.2 — 46.4 35.7 27.5 20.4 29.6 35.7 31.3 22.1 18.2 31.2 40.2 33.3 21.1 35.1 8.4 18.3 — 25.4 27.1 16.8 9.5 12.4 52.8 1.5 12.6 42.4 18.9 42.3 42.0 9.2 29.9 32.3 0.7 — 37.0 26.9 18.6 8.6 13.8 28.8 17.6 12.6 15.4 22.3 32.0 20.3 12.2 24.9 1.7 11.0 -0.9 15.2 26.4 23.9 14.1 16.5 9.2 28.6 12.6 13.7 25.7 25.6 10.6 10.7 22.5 -8.7 -0.2 8.6 -4.7 17.8 18.0 15.1 12.2 35.3 19.2 11.8 49.8 21.9 47.2 29.5 3.1 33.3 -9.1 -36.1 -9.9 -14.3 -15.7 -20.0 -16.5 -16.0 -36.0 -0.3 -19.6 -31.2 -19.5 -28.9 -37.4 -19.2 -18.8 4.5 31.3 4.8 29.5 30.8 13.7 19.0 27.9 22.2 49.8 25.1 36.7 16.8 49.2 29.6 34.0 11.5 2.3 37.9 7.0 15.3 19.7 19.2 12.2 17.7 48.7 36.9 13.9 29.5 17.1 56.4 43.7 11.7 30.7 -3.2 -4.8 5.0 -3.8 7.7 -3.1 -0.9 2.2 13.4 14.7 0.7 10.1 -2.8 18.0 8.1 -1.1 7.3 0.0 9.6 5.0 4.0 9.5 1.1 12.6 10.5 -3.7 12.0 4.0 0.6 6.5 -2.4 -1.5 7.2 5.4 3.2 6.1 5.2 5.1 9.6 -1.6 5.3 7.1 -1.0 13.0 12.0 0.1 3.7 -0.7 1.0 7.6 4.2 Median (Aaa to A3) 21.8 30.4 18.6 19.5 14.1 17.8 -19.2 27.9 19.2 2.2 5.0 5.1 Mean (Aaa to A3) 17.6 28.7 23.1 20.2 15.7 18.2 -20.5 25.7 24.7 4.0 4.7 4.7 Notes: [1] Balance of Payments Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 50 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 14.6 -1.1 14.7 16.1 32.3 8.1 14.5 12.8 23.7 11.9 29.0 23.6 27.6 9.2 2.6 38.4 -0.6 17.7 27.1 24.7 28.2 12.1 15.0 29.3 18.8 17.8 38.6 8.9 29.5 31.7 30.9 25.2 5.2 20.0 39.4 15.6 51.8 28.5 23.3 7.7 13.8 22.9 16.6 36.7 31.3 34.1 23.4 22.3 21.7 23.3 32.6 33.0 96.9 10.2 29.6 22.4 -10.8 25.7 12.6 14.5 27.0 17.7 35.0 26.9 27.4 9.2 13.9 11.7 21.8 33.2 20.8 32.2 16.8 7.2 13.7 45.6 14.3 20.1 64.7 2.2 16.9 17.3 73.5 16.3 14.3 3.9 24.3 16.2 35.9 16.6 18.9 6.2 15.8 23.5 12.6 32.2 20.7 24.1 15.8 4.3 17.6 19.7 14.0 12.4 61.4 9.3 10.5 16.7 23.2 19.5 15.9 31.8 26.6 12.4 24.7 36.1 19.0 10.8 8.7 23.2 22.3 18.4 26.2 17.4 15.0 3.6 18.9 4.6 20.0 14.8 42.7 -2.2 22.6 23.7 20.5 26.7 5.7 5.6 14.2 19.5 47.4 18.3 33.8 13.2 6.1 5.0 21.9 10.9 24.4 32.6 8.8 -0.4 14.9 41.0 20.9 34.7 -28.8 -17.9 -26.0 -21.3 -23.5 -13.7 -8.4 -14.4 -5.2 -14.3 -36.5 -21.2 -29.1 -15.2 -20.5 -10.7 0.1 -12.0 -19.1 -34.3 -20.9 -6.7 -13.5 -50.5 -17.9 -7.0 25.6 3.6 13.9 31.0 18.7 22.0 11.5 10.6 37.1 33.7 34.2 13.6 23.7 17.9 28.5 25.4 -4.2 28.9 16.1 30.4 28.2 4.4 26.1 21.8 8.2 24.1 29.5 7.6 28.3 26.4 29.9 39.2 10.9 17.5 19.2 27.9 43.0 29.7 33.8 17.9 16.6 7.3 41.0 29.1 25.2 29.4 18.4 10.4 17.0 33.2 19.8 19.6 -6.1 6.6 -0.8 -3.9 -4.6 6.3 10.6 -2.8 0.8 -4.5 4.3 3.6 6.2 4.3 5.8 -3.3 15.4 0.2 -7.3 3.6 -7.7 3.2 3.0 0.1 12.3 3.3 2.7 5.8 7.3 8.0 6.0 10.4 10.3 11.4 7.5 2.3 3.4 9.5 10.6 4.6 6.5 3.8 16.0 5.0 6.3 0.9 2.4 2.1 11.1 3.2 -1.3 10.2 7.1 4.0 0.4 8.5 4.9 7.9 11.8 2.8 8.0 8.9 5.8 2.6 6.9 6.6 7.0 5.9 15.0 11.0 11.7 4.2 5.4 2.0 11.5 2.9 9.2 12.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 16.9 24.3 20.5 16.7 18.7 20.0 -17.9 22.8 25.8 3.1 6.1 6.9 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 18.0 25.7 22.9 20.8 19.7 19.7 -18.8 20.6 24.2 1.9 6.4 7.1 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [3] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes re-exports 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 13.8 29.4 8.7 13.8 20.8 33.9 8.0 28.0 3.4 22.2 6.3 15.3 17.2 -7.6 6.9 4.0 26.5 14.8 42.1 17.8 18.4 4.1 32.2 21.1 4.6 27.3 14.4 25.9 23.3 67.0 17.1 34.8 20.6 12.2 66.4 21.4 76.0 32.7 14.6 19.2 24.1 7.8 2.9 33.8 5.5 12.7 11.4 12.8 15.0 34.1 15.9 7.1 54.7 10.2 37.3 5.6 17.4 13.3 40.9 12.5 8.7 17.7 10.6 20.3 22.3 35.4 16.7 76.4 24.0 19.7 -0.7 9.1 34.1 18.4 15.1 5.4 14.6 17.5 9.2 24.7 15.7 26.5 14.4 22.4 19.8 -10.5 25.1 13.5 13.5 25.6 43.7 -0.7 19.6 2.3 37.1 16.7 10.7 15.4 10.9 13.8 33.8 9.6 23.9 47.8 29.3 -0.5 24.3 25.6 -35.5 -23.7 7.3 -10.9 -17.5 -22.2 -16.8 -12.6 -6.5 -22.0 -12.0 -25.5 -21.7 -37.1 -18.8 -15.6 -15.1 -21.5 24.1 44.1 6.4 4.5 30.7 2.8 15.9 27.0 17.9 13.2 15.5 7.3 15.6 71.5 34.3 28.0 37.5 10.0 32.2 24.9 38.8 4.5 30.3 11.6 16.6 28.6 19.4 13.9 4.1 26.6 17.0 34.8 15.8 0.4 16.0 2.2 6.7 3.6 12.8 3.5 26.4 -6.2 3.6 16.3 11.5 -6.1 3.2 -1.2 -1.2 6.5 -2.7 8.6 1.7 0.5 4.4 3.3 9.8 5.0 13.8 5.7 8.4 4.3 9.0 6.1 16.2 7.2 7.2 0.7 28.6 8.5 5.0 -0.2 4.3 -0.1 13.3 5.0 13.3 -0.9 7.8 7.8 9.7 0.5 6.6 5.7 4.0 5.0 9.8 7.2 1.0 5.4 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.3 21.3 14.8 17.5 16.6 18.1 -18.2 16.9 16.8 3.5 6.6 5.5 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.7 26.2 21.7 21.5 16.9 20.2 -18.2 22.6 18.7 4.9 8.0 5.9 Angola [1] Armenia Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [1] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 51 • Notes: [1] [2] Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 11. Nominal Exports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 52 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 33.1 16.0 24.5 7.5 34.6 10.9 20.1 6.7 19.5 11.4 25.8 18.1 7.5 8.4 14.6 8.8 20.4 17.9 11.9 26.2 34.3 19.9 9.6 -3.1 24.0 0.0 19.2 16.3 38.5 17.1 35.3 1.6 34.2 28.8 31.6 5.8 22.6 25.7 8.7 12.6 16.4 10.6 19.2 28.8 25.7 45.0 21.2 10.1 15.8 19.4 11.6 6.7 42.6 44.0 29.6 67.0 15.9 16.7 15.0 13.9 20.1 18.8 46.4 9.9 27.6 23.2 12.9 12.2 11.1 3.8 23.4 9.7 13.4 22.5 15.4 11.9 27.3 7.9 8.1 8.7 7.4 41.7 20.7 20.8 20.4 15.5 22.9 22.2 27.6 23.7 10.1 6.9 23.8 24.4 -3.2 31.2 6.3 20.7 16.6 2.0 1.6 36.8 19.1 12.9 27.5 2.0 8.0 5.7 13.3 16.1 22.7 66.0 34.0 21.8 24.3 2.7 26.1 13.1 20.7 9.8 14.7 18.3 6.2 18.1 8.1 6.2 19.5 20.9 31.0 24.4 18.0 4.6 11.6 19.7 10.5 0.1 27.4 7.0 21.5 14.6 26.9 24.4 34.2 10.3 20.4 20.2 4.9 -2.3 29.5 33.2 17.0 17.6 7.7 13.1 15.3 27.4 24.4 20.3 23.0 3.7 16.4 21.8 7.4 -1.0 32.0 35.6 27.7 9.6 -8.0 -18.0 -32.8 -13.7 -19.7 -8.1 -14.9 -10.2 -24.5 -13.4 -28.8 6.6 -19.1 -27.3 -12.2 -2.8 -19.7 -24.1 -3.2 -1.2 -23.3 -10.9 -11.3 -8.5 -35.6 -38.8 -9.8 -18.9 8.6 21.9 20.5 13.9 13.7 -2.5 34.0 13.6 25.4 -3.1 23.1 24.7 25.7 -0.9 21.2 15.2 14.5 47.2 25.1 15.1 15.6 3.2 23.6 -4.5 27.3 88.7 26.8 84.2 15.1 21.7 61.7 14.2 17.1 14.1 -9.5 18.2 23.7 3.0 25.6 54.1 21.9 7.9 9.3 20.9 37.9 77.2 25.1 24.2 24.6 13.0 23.0 1.5 28.4 -15.7 32.7 23.3 -8.2 -2.0 6.6 2.4 10.4 19.3 4.7 5.2 9.8 -2.1 4.7 15.3 5.3 4.0 5.2 4.5 0.2 -11.8 14.6 -3.4 -10.1 -6.1 -0.7 3.0 1.0 4.1 18.5 -11.8 7.2 8.5 2.5 -0.6 14.1 14.6 3.9 20.3 8.5 5.3 3.2 26.3 10.6 4.5 9.7 10.6 4.3 -1.0 13.0 1.3 13.7 10.1 11.8 5.2 3.2 1.5 14.2 4.8 1.3 3.4 9.8 0.3 14.5 14.7 7.0 10.0 11.3 9.6 5.8 27.7 11.1 4.9 4.0 7.2 4.8 22.5 12.0 -2.8 23.8 3.4 9.6 4.1 5.6 1.5 10.0 21.6 Median (B1 to C) 17.1 21.9 15.2 17.8 18.0 20.3 -14.3 20.9 21.8 4.0 7.9 8.4 Mean (B1 to C) 16.6 24.1 17.4 18.0 16.3 18.6 -16.2 22.2 21.9 3.0 8.3 9.2 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina [1] Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon [1] Moldova [1] Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam [1] Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 53 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 20.9 24.4 18.8 8.9 18.1 15.5 31.4 23.5 18.6 23.0 22.8 10.8 13.1 20.0 11.4 20.5 23.0 20.8 20.5 15.7 17.1 11.0 31.0 30.3 25.2 22.3 14.8 12.4 8.0 23.9 22.3 20.2 14.2 23.3 19.2 27.6 20.3 17.9 18.4 18.6 17.2 19.4 17.5 19.2 32.3 13.7 17.8 26.6 19.9 20.9 26.6 21.6 29.7 23.2 18.4 17.4 19.1 16.4 13.5 9.3 9.8 14.4 7.9 14.7 21.5 17.0 9.0 9.3 4.6 10.1 10.4 9.0 12.6 12.3 5.5 8.3 13.1 14.7 5.5 15.1 14.4 12.1 11.8 10.0 10.0 10.0 12.7 10.1 9.6 9.1 11.6 10.1 18.1 19.0 15.0 9.8 15.9 16.0 11.4 9.9 15.0 10.1 20.6 27.4 13.1 -1.0 13.1 12.3 18.1 23.1 16.8 15.4 14.1 10.1 13.9 10.5 20.4 19.7 17.6 9.3 25.8 15.9 20.5 18.2 15.9 15.3 28.0 10.7 19.5 16.3 7.6 24.6 16.8 17.1 18.0 25.1 16.6 11.7 21.2 29.2 20.1 19.7 15.4 7.3 6.0 19.8 11.4 18.2 7.6 21.6 14.0 6.7 17.3 12.4 13.9 14.2 6.6 6.1 9.4 21.4 13.0 15.0 14.9 11.1 11.8 15.3 21.6 13.9 14.2 6.5 10.7 13.0 1.7 7.7 -17.4 -21.2 -22.3 -18.8 -24.0 -23.4 -36.6 -27.1 -19.9 -18.6 -25.3 -9.9 -14.8 -24.2 -26.9 -20.9 -14.9 -17.2 -25.0 -21.6 -22.6 -19.9 -26.3 -27.2 -27.2 -26.0 -11.5 -22.2 -22.7 24.5 8.2 10.3 21.8 1.9 3.2 21.5 7.9 7.7 10.7 -6.1 24.4 1.5 14.3 23.7 12.6 13.1 11.3 23.0 14.4 7.5 25.1 13.3 9.4 8.6 19.1 11.3 11.9 19.2 22.9 19.1 16.6 13.7 7.1 14.7 40.7 18.3 16.0 18.6 3.5 12.8 7.8 13.3 23.3 16.0 9.8 13.4 20.0 15.2 6.7 18.2 21.6 16.8 12.4 17.6 19.8 11.7 13.0 8.2 -5.6 -5.5 2.7 -12.3 -2.0 3.4 -7.9 -5.1 -4.3 -17.1 6.9 -3.6 -12.2 4.7 -6.9 -3.7 -2.3 3.5 -0.2 -12.6 3.5 -2.8 -9.7 -8.4 -5.2 -3.2 0.1 3.1 5.5 5.4 3.6 3.1 -10.2 6.0 8.8 4.7 5.0 8.5 -7.1 8.7 6.1 0.6 -7.7 5.8 4.6 3.1 6.2 5.5 -1.3 5.8 6.1 1.1 -0.8 7.7 -1.9 -2.4 4.3 5.1 0.4 0.4 6.0 -7.7 0.9 3.3 0.8 2.1 2.7 -5.2 10.3 0.2 1.4 0.3 4.1 1.6 0.1 6.5 6.4 -1.3 8.6 2.4 -0.8 -2.4 2.3 8.3 -1.0 7.4 Median 20.0 19.4 10.4 13.1 17.6 13.0 -22.3 11.9 16.0 -3.6 4.7 1.6 Mean 19.1 20.8 11.3 13.7 17.6 12.8 -21.9 12.9 15.9 -3.3 2.9 2.2 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.6 28.8 — 12.9 36.9 24.6 3.7 16.9 18.2 13.7 4.7 26.2 22.7 23.0 15.4 11.1 20.5 10.1 33.4 — 26.0 35.2 23.2 17.9 24.4 16.7 22.0 23.3 35.7 29.0 24.1 20.5 30.3 36.0 0.4 -4.7 — 29.4 17.3 13.4 10.1 16.5 18.7 7.5 10.2 0.3 14.1 58.8 31.2 8.0 19.7 11.3 -2.3 — 17.0 19.7 18.3 7.1 18.0 7.5 21.4 12.6 22.1 25.3 64.8 38.8 9.8 20.3 13.1 27.0 3.9 20.7 21.3 24.7 18.8 16.3 32.3 33.3 13.6 42.8 28.8 31.2 28.0 8.2 47.1 -3.5 26.5 5.4 28.4 19.2 18.2 14.2 19.0 17.7 10.3 6.7 34.6 25.2 13.3 21.6 8.1 32.3 -8.4 -11.0 -9.3 -28.3 -9.7 -22.6 -24.9 -23.9 -18.5 -19.4 -19.3 -26.0 -27.0 -12.3 -8.3 -25.4 -14.8 -1.4 20.3 -1.2 35.8 36.6 15.9 20.9 31.4 12.5 33.7 31.4 14.3 20.3 4.7 7.5 40.7 10.4 -5.2 29.2 2.0 26.2 24.8 18.3 21.0 19.3 13.1 38.6 15.2 18.5 16.8 47.4 13.6 12.7 21.8 -0.5 -5.4 5.0 4.2 6.2 -4.3 0.7 0.2 15.6 10.6 5.2 15.1 -5.9 24.9 5.2 -2.6 6.9 2.9 4.1 4.9 6.0 10.1 0.7 11.4 11.0 4.1 15.0 9.1 11.3 4.4 7.1 5.0 7.0 4.8 2.4 4.5 5.1 5.2 10.1 -1.5 3.9 6.5 5.7 15.0 14.5 7.2 3.2 10.4 5.0 6.6 6.0 Median (Aaa to A3) 17.5 24.3 13.8 18.1 24.7 18.2 -19.3 20.3 18.5 5.0 6.0 5.7 Mean (Aaa to A3) 18.0 25.5 15.7 19.5 24.2 17.5 -18.2 19.6 19.6 4.8 7.0 6.5 Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar [1] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 54 • Notes: [1] Balance of Payments Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 55 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 52.8 3.2 10.3 4.8 37.1 6.1 6.0 28.2 21.1 5.2 14.5 29.6 28.2 11.7 1.5 60.1 -0.9 10.7 33.3 21.7 33.0 21.3 15.2 5.7 32.8 11.0 32.3 9.4 31.7 24.9 31.8 18.5 8.2 28.4 46.5 30.2 42.8 34.1 25.7 15.3 14.8 7.4 19.7 15.9 35.2 27.5 36.3 15.6 26.4 23.1 41.0 37.2 11.0 22.6 25.9 22.0 0.3 23.1 17.1 36.2 31.9 20.9 34.8 21.8 25.9 14.9 12.4 5.3 17.9 22.5 26.2 25.5 17.5 26.2 24.0 18.9 19.2 23.0 14.2 19.4 12.4 22.9 62.8 21.4 15.6 17.2 25.2 9.2 28.7 32.5 24.0 14.6 14.8 13.3 11.5 20.5 26.7 26.5 23.1 -0.2 10.3 13.4 19.6 25.4 15.9 1.6 9.2 29.6 27.4 22.8 13.1 10.2 31.7 17.5 36.3 35.7 26.5 9.6 9.9 38.3 22.9 31.2 35.6 34.7 15.6 4.8 10.6 8.3 21.5 13.7 21.7 -0.8 28.9 37.6 22.4 20.6 16.9 -14.2 15.9 33.7 10.6 5.9 28.6 21.8 8.5 5.2 19.4 42.9 20.5 30.9 8.6 6.9 25.4 24.5 16.4 50.7 -10.7 -16.3 -30.2 -19.0 -32.9 -13.8 -25.6 -32.5 -1.1 -21.5 -21.3 -38.2 -38.9 -19.2 -22.5 3.0 -12.0 -24.6 -32.2 -31.6 -24.7 -10.0 -24.3 -27.0 -27.5 -21.9 6.9 5.8 15.3 41.3 3.4 19.4 21.3 8.5 29.6 41.0 10.9 12.7 23.4 20.3 26.9 22.1 21.4 35.3 12.6 28.6 25.1 -2.8 33.6 -6.9 30.4 23.5 45.2 12.9 6.0 22.6 25.8 30.6 16.9 22.5 26.3 29.9 20.6 36.9 34.7 20.5 16.6 7.4 41.9 24.8 22.2 28.4 20.0 4.2 22.9 46.6 29.3 24.5 1.5 7.3 3.1 0.8 0.6 8.2 8.6 1.4 2.2 7.4 15.3 1.0 1.7 2.2 5.1 -4.4 8.4 11.5 -7.7 8.6 0.1 3.3 8.0 -11.3 -1.6 14.1 3.4 4.6 3.6 9.5 2.6 10.2 9.4 8.9 5.1 -1.8 2.7 10.2 10.0 4.0 7.0 4.8 15.0 11.0 7.0 10.3 5.4 3.2 12.6 8.0 6.9 15.0 3.8 2.5 3.7 10.0 4.4 9.9 10.3 4.0 6.0 8.1 5.7 2.6 6.9 5.8 7.2 5.9 13.0 10.0 13.7 10.9 8.5 3.0 12.0 1.7 9.0 12.8 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 14.8 26.9 22.3 19.5 19.5 20.5 -23.4 21.3 23.7 2.6 7.0 7.0 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 19.4 26.1 21.0 20.2 20.5 19.6 -22.2 19.6 24.6 3.7 7.2 7.4 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 24.3 26.9 14.8 9.5 -2.5 31.7 10.0 28.7 6.7 26.1 9.1 4.5 20.3 0.0 14.8 1.3 26.2 14.2 20.8 15.4 13.0 14.7 8.5 17.4 8.2 33.3 14.6 25.2 35.0 50.4 24.6 -0.9 25.3 7.7 52.6 18.4 42.4 30.7 18.4 16.3 32.6 8.1 7.9 33.9 10.6 10.0 26.1 14.5 15.5 33.4 21.7 7.9 53.8 4.9 7.6 18.3 12.4 5.7 22.2 13.5 13.5 33.6 13.5 17.9 11.6 54.7 15.4 45.9 30.3 10.8 -17.0 12.6 61.5 43.8 16.8 4.0 18.7 18.9 13.4 33.5 14.0 23.6 18.7 49.2 29.6 61.4 23.5 9.6 16.8 25.2 63.9 31.5 25.2 9.8 41.9 18.0 9.7 26.8 6.8 14.4 22.5 33.6 34.0 2.2 42.8 5.9 16.3 27.7 -3.0 -21.6 3.7 -16.2 -10.5 -28.0 -25.0 -29.5 -18.9 -26.5 -14.4 -36.2 -20.2 -0.2 -22.7 -18.1 -9.6 -20.7 -15.3 12.8 5.8 5.6 18.4 -5.2 14.8 16.6 19.9 11.8 10.8 -4.2 8.3 26.1 44.4 30.1 4.8 14.6 23.9 14.4 40.9 9.2 35.2 10.5 17.2 28.7 18.5 14.0 16.8 14.7 23.6 20.3 22.1 10.8 36.8 6.2 10.7 2.1 15.4 -7.8 8.9 -7.9 3.1 15.7 10.3 -7.0 7.6 -6.5 2.5 4.2 -0.9 4.9 5.0 3.5 6.7 -0.1 9.3 6.0 20.5 2.1 9.6 -0.3 11.1 3.6 16.5 4.0 2.2 3.5 24.6 11.6 9.2 -0.8 6.5 -5.3 15.8 6.0 17.2 0.5 9.2 3.4 10.7 -1.3 5.3 -3.1 -1.0 8.5 11.2 10.3 4.2 4.7 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.5 17.9 17.3 13.5 21.2 23.8 -19.6 12.3 17.8 3.9 6.3 5.6 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.8 21.3 21.6 17.9 26.8 24.1 -17.6 12.2 20.2 3.6 7.7 5.7 Angola [1] Armenia Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [1] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 56 • Notes: [1] [2] Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 12. Nominal Imports of Goods and Services (% change, US$ basis) • 57 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina [1] Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon [1] Moldova [1] Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam [1] Zambia 30.4 39.8 25.1 5.9 26.6 12.6 10.4 -13.4 0.4 -0.3 34.1 27.8 9.4 1.9 11.7 12.1 33.1 14.5 7.7 21.0 9.8 27.8 8.4 12.4 28.7 -17.1 24.8 16.2 26.3 47.5 39.7 -5.2 17.7 21.9 19.3 3.1 19.5 17.9 21.3 24.0 21.8 8.4 23.2 21.0 22.0 29.6 15.8 6.6 21.3 20.2 18.8 12.7 31.2 54.3 25.1 21.0 19.4 25.0 3.9 12.9 11.3 21.0 33.9 32.3 23.7 31.0 10.8 23.5 10.6 17.9 26.0 3.0 29.2 14.2 16.9 49.4 35.8 15.7 10.4 7.0 20.2 38.1 17.4 21.0 12.7 17.2 33.0 7.5 3.2 20.8 24.6 14.5 16.3 26.5 9.8 25.6 11.3 16.5 22.8 1.5 15.3 13.8 12.9 38.1 17.4 9.2 15.5 11.9 22.2 36.4 21.2 22.5 34.4 29.5 28.2 4.9 29.2 13.9 6.0 14.2 13.7 19.1 0.1 21.6 19.8 8.9 20.6 27.7 38.0 35.1 18.5 3.2 17.2 33.9 9.8 23.4 35.4 42.1 37.9 40.4 24.0 27.1 37.1 20.8 23.3 11.3 43.3 14.3 33.9 37.6 22.8 25.5 16.2 24.7 23.9 33.2 32.0 53.1 20.1 28.1 14.6 30.0 22.8 7.1 37.0 14.8 26.8 20.9 -11.0 -27.2 -27.1 -17.8 -27.0 -6.6 -35.4 -20.7 -18.6 -5.2 -34.1 -13.4 -28.6 -35.3 -9.9 4.2 -30.1 -30.2 -20.5 -15.6 -8.8 -24.9 -25.4 -9.9 -43.0 1.6 -12.6 -30.8 -2.1 37.9 23.3 3.5 3.3 2.1 18.7 24.1 32.8 0.9 20.9 34.4 20.5 3.2 12.5 11.2 14.7 46.6 17.6 3.8 11.4 -1.3 30.0 0.3 30.0 2.9 19.8 49.2 15.6 28.5 31.0 16.6 18.8 14.1 -4.4 12.4 18.7 9.4 14.2 33.1 24.7 18.7 20.0 5.8 31.9 111.0 24.0 17.9 23.8 15.7 46.3 -0.7 35.3 -10.1 25.1 42.5 -13.6 -4.1 -0.7 4.1 5.3 16.4 7.2 2.1 11.4 9.0 3.0 11.1 4.8 6.0 10.1 9.5 1.3 -2.4 16.6 17.6 24.0 -1.2 -2.6 4.4 5.6 40.8 12.9 23.0 4.9 12.1 12.1 -0.9 9.0 15.5 7.3 8.7 9.5 0.6 2.0 27.2 11.6 8.0 9.0 9.1 2.3 -3.4 12.0 -0.5 10.6 9.2 13.8 6.1 0.6 -7.5 17.2 9.1 0.0 4.6 11.8 -1.5 11.8 17.9 9.1 9.2 11.0 3.4 8.8 18.2 11.9 8.3 6.5 5.2 5.8 11.8 10.0 -3.5 10.8 3.4 14.6 3.5 5.2 5.0 11.1 17.6 Median (B1 to C) 12.5 21.1 19.8 16.4 21.1 24.4 -20.6 16.1 18.8 5.8 9.0 9.0 Mean (B1 to C) 15.1 21.7 20.8 17.9 22.4 25.9 -20.1 16.9 22.8 7.9 7.7 8.3 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 13. Real Exports of Goods and Services (% change) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 58 • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -1.8 1.5 0.5 -1.7 -0.4 -1.0 7.7 -1.9 -1.3 2.5 2.9 12.8 0.7 -1.2 9.5 6.8 -2.8 1.5 2.2 -0.1 3.6 14.2 15.9 3.1 3.7 4.2 -0.9 2.8 1.6 4.1 10.1 6.1 5.5 5.5 2.8 14.5 8.2 4.8 10.7 17.3 15.4 7.6 6.3 14.0 11.1 2.5 7.9 6.1 1.0 4.1 19.1 7.4 12.4 4.2 10.8 7.9 4.8 9.5 3.1 7.4 3.8 2.2 4.9 8.0 18.6 7.0 2.9 7.7 2.5 10.6 4.4 3.4 6.2 4.4 0.7 6.0 -0.5 0.5 0.2 12.4 10.0 10.6 2.5 6.6 7.7 9.1 6.8 3.3 7.7 5.4 0.9 3.6 9.0 6.1 12.2 5.2 13.1 4.3 9.4 5.0 8.4 9.9 12.9 14.8 7.3 1.9 -0.8 11.6 10.8 21.0 12.5 6.7 9.0 10.1 12.1 9.0 3.3 8.9 5.2 1.1 6.2 2.8 3.7 8.2 2.3 8.0 7.1 8.3 8.4 6.2 8.7 9.0 3.7 6.4 4.3 1.4 7.5 9.0 14.3 13.7 6.7 5.7 9.9 -2.5 9.3 3.6 1.4 2.1 -4.5 -0.5 3.3 1.0 5.8 -0.3 2.8 1.7 2.5 -1.1 -2.8 1.4 4.4 2.1 2.0 -1.0 0.1 -0.1 5.0 3.1 4.0 -1.0 1.7 2.9 1.2 6.1 2.3 -15.6 -11.1 -12.8 -10.7 -9.5 -20.6 -21.3 -12.1 -12.8 -19.4 -10.2 -3.8 -17.5 -24.2 -10.9 -8.4 -7.7 2.3 -4.2 -10.9 -7.6 -16.3 -16.7 -10.0 -13.8 -7.7 -8.2 -9.1 5.3 8.7 9.6 6.5 3.8 3.0 22.9 7.5 9.6 13.7 5.2 16.8 6.2 11.4 24.4 7.7 18.1 11.2 3.7 0.4 10.2 18.6 16.0 10.1 11.3 11.4 7.8 6.4 11.1 -0.8 7.2 5.5 4.6 4.4 6.5 23.4 2.8 5.3 7.8 0.3 3.7 5.1 5.9 -0.4 5.5 0.8 3.9 2.7 -1.8 7.2 3.5 12.7 7.0 7.6 7.1 3.8 4.5 6.7 6.7 1.7 0.7 1.6 2.3 0.9 5.6 -1.4 2.5 3.7 -2.4 1.8 2.9 2.3 -0.3 -3.1 5.2 3.3 2.1 2.2 3.3 0.3 8.6 0.3 3.1 0.7 1.1 -0.2 3.4 5.6 1.1 0.8 2.6 -5.1 1.1 4.5 0.7 1.2 3.1 2.7 3.9 2.3 1.6 7.0 0.9 4.0 2.0 4.2 2.5 1.2 1.2 3.0 1.3 4.1 2.9 2.6 1.3 3.3 6.1 3.7 3.3 5.6 -2.2 4.0 6.0 3.8 4.8 5.4 3.5 6.5 3.5 3.8 7.0 3.5 5.6 3.9 6.2 3.8 3.9 4.5 6.2 3.2 3.8 3.2 2.6 4.0 5.2 14. Real Imports of Goods and Services (% change) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 59 • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 10.6 4.5 0.5 4.2 -0.3 -1.6 11.2 3.2 0.8 5.5 3.0 11.3 -1.2 2.1 3.9 6.9 3.9 1.8 8.2 1.2 -0.5 9.6 7.4 6.7 6.2 3.7 0.7 2.6 4.4 15.0 9.8 6.1 8.5 10.3 7.7 14.7 7.4 5.9 8.2 5.7 13.8 8.7 4.8 7.9 11.8 4.7 5.7 15.8 9.7 7.6 22.9 8.3 13.3 9.6 6.6 7.2 7.0 11.1 8.6 6.4 5.0 7.3 3.7 11.1 18.9 11.4 5.6 6.2 -1.5 8.0 8.4 3.5 4.2 4.2 2.8 5.4 5.6 7.9 2.3 11.3 12.3 6.7 7.7 7.0 6.6 6.9 6.1 7.2 5.2 5.0 5.3 6.8 13.4 13.9 7.9 5.1 11.8 11.1 9.1 6.9 7.9 4.5 12.8 16.1 8.8 -2.3 9.1 7.2 11.1 17.8 12.2 10.2 9.0 6.8 10.1 6.1 13.0 7.1 5.5 5.8 13.4 4.3 6.3 7.0 5.5 5.4 14.5 9.1 7.9 5.2 2.3 9.3 0.5 5.6 9.3 10.0 5.5 8.1 9.2 16.7 8.0 9.0 6.2 -1.7 2.4 11.2 0.0 3.5 0.8 8.5 3.3 -7.0 7.5 0.9 3.4 0.9 2.2 -3.0 -3.0 0.3 6.1 1.3 2.3 2.7 3.9 2.3 9.6 3.1 3.7 -5.2 3.5 -0.3 -1.8 -2.7 -8.9 -13.3 -10.6 -12.4 -18.6 -12.3 -32.0 -17.2 -9.6 -8.0 -20.2 -9.0 -9.7 -13.4 -15.7 -14.1 -8.2 -7.1 -14.1 -12.5 -10.0 -11.2 -18.9 -19.5 -17.2 -14.3 -5.2 -11.0 -13.5 14.4 8.8 8.9 13.6 4.8 3.2 21.0 6.9 8.9 11.1 -6.2 17.4 3.6 12.6 11.1 12.1 12.7 10.2 10.9 9.0 8.0 15.9 14.9 7.9 9.2 12.0 7.4 8.0 12.5 10.5 7.2 5.6 5.8 -0.7 5.6 25.0 6.0 4.9 7.4 -7.3 4.6 -0.3 0.5 5.9 8.6 -2.0 3.6 6.6 3.8 -5.9 3.6 10.1 5.2 -0.9 6.3 4.2 0.0 4.8 6.8 0.8 0.6 2.9 -7.2 2.5 9.1 -3.7 -0.3 1.8 -13.8 2.8 0.3 -7.7 5.3 -2.7 4.4 3.1 1.4 3.3 -6.9 3.2 2.8 -4.3 -5.0 -0.1 2.3 2.7 2.4 6.6 0.7 0.2 3.6 -15.0 2.2 5.1 0.6 0.6 4.2 -6.5 4.1 2.0 -2.2 5.5 0.9 3.1 -1.0 4.1 3.4 -3.5 1.8 3.1 -2.1 -3.4 2.7 2.7 1.3 2.3 6.6 2.9 3.3 4.7 -6.3 3.5 5.9 3.3 4.8 5.5 -5.0 4.8 3.0 3.8 5.0 4.6 4.3 2.6 6.1 4.9 2.4 4.7 5.1 2.0 1.3 3.5 2.7 2.6 5.2 15. Net Exports of Goods and Services/GDP • 60 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America -2.6 3.5 5.4 3.8 -1.2 6.3 -7.5 6.8 0.9 3.9 -12.3 9.1 16.0 0.5 1.7 23.8 0.2 6.3 1.0 12.9 -6.8 27.9 -1.9 -0.2 -2.4 6.8 6.4 -2.3 -4.5 -2.8 3.8 4.9 4.4 -2.4 4.9 -7.1 6.5 0.4 5.0 -10.1 8.7 14.9 0.7 2.0 24.2 -2.3 7.4 -0.3 13.4 -8.3 25.7 -2.8 -1.3 -4.0 8.2 6.8 -2.7 -5.2 -1.8 4.0 3.9 3.9 -2.5 4.9 -6.5 4.1 -0.6 5.2 -9.3 12.2 11.7 -0.1 1.4 25.5 -3.1 8.5 -1.9 16.2 -9.4 29.4 -4.7 -0.4 -5.3 7.8 6.6 -2.8 -5.7 -1.1 5.1 3.8 2.7 -3.7 3.2 -10.2 4.7 -1.0 5.6 -11.4 11.2 9.6 -0.8 1.3 30.8 -4.7 7.7 -1.5 17.2 -8.7 29.7 -4.0 -0.5 -6.4 8.1 8.0 -2.6 -5.8 -1.8 5.7 3.8 2.1 -6.2 2.3 -9.2 5.1 -1.5 7.0 -14.1 10.7 9.0 -0.3 1.7 32.3 -1.2 8.2 -1.1 13.7 -8.0 31.0 -1.1 -1.7 -6.7 7.5 9.9 -2.7 -5.1 -0.8 5.8 0.9 1.7 -11.1 3.2 -4.0 3.8 -2.1 6.3 -14.5 10.2 9.1 -0.8 0.2 30.0 -1.8 8.3 -1.7 17.3 -10.1 21.6 -2.4 -2.5 -5.8 6.8 11.1 -2.3 -5.0 -0.4 4.5 2.7 -1.5 -5.7 3.9 5.8 1.6 -1.8 4.9 -11.5 7.5 16.1 -0.5 0.4 32.2 -2.2 7.0 1.5 12.3 -7.4 25.2 -0.5 2.0 -1.9 6.5 11.0 -1.5 -2.8 1.1 4.2 2.3 -1.9 -6.2 5.6 6.7 1.3 -2.2 5.6 -9.3 5.4 18.8 -1.9 1.2 32.1 1.4 8.2 1.5 11.9 -7.7 29.5 -0.2 1.0 -2.2 6.2 11.2 -2.1 -3.5 1.3 3.3 1.2 -1.3 -4.3 5.2 3.9 -0.7 -2.8 5.1 -8.1 3.1 21.7 -1.5 -0.9 31.2 5.0 8.9 1.4 13.3 -4.4 27.6 0.6 1.2 -0.8 6.2 10.8 -1.6 -3.8 -1.1 3.8 1.2 -2.0 0.1 4.4 0.5 -0.6 -2.1 5.7 -5.0 0.2 24.1 1.2 -2.0 30.4 5.8 8.8 0.0 13.2 -0.5 22.2 5.0 4.0 1.0 6.2 10.3 -2.3 -3.6 -1.8 4.1 1.7 -2.5 4.2 3.9 0.1 -0.6 -2.0 5.4 -4.7 2.7 24.6 2.5 -1.7 31.6 8.4 11.4 -0.2 12.7 1.7 19.0 6.3 6.5 3.5 6.3 10.4 -2.8 -3.4 -2.1 4.5 1.7 -2.1 5.4 4.2 0.3 -0.1 -2.3 5.6 -4.6 5.2 25.3 2.4 -1.2 33.7 6.1 12.7 -0.2 12.3 2.7 19.0 7.5 7.3 4.5 6.5 10.4 -1.5 -3.5 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 16. Openness of the Economy • 61 • Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Median Mean Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 37.5 93.0 142.5 70.2 96.3 84.4 145.9 70.6 50.9 67.5 52.3 327.2 150.4 48.3 22.1 250.2 153.9 119.7 57.5 67.7 62.0 387.0 153.6 107.8 55.0 80.2 79.4 54.0 23.2 37.9 99.2 147.0 70.5 99.1 85.8 153.2 73.2 51.9 72.1 54.8 364.6 151.9 49.7 24.5 280.5 154.9 125.4 57.7 70.2 64.4 412.9 151.9 116.9 55.9 83.7 83.3 53.8 25.1 39.4 103.7 153.4 70.0 99.8 93.1 161.9 79.5 53.4 77.4 55.7 377.1 150.9 51.8 27.2 286.2 153.0 130.7 56.8 71.9 64.7 429.9 157.2 124.8 56.6 89.0 88.5 56.7 26.4 41.6 107.7 157.7 68.3 99.9 101.0 155.6 86.3 55.1 85.4 57.7 392.4 148.7 56.1 31.1 309.0 182.3 137.9 58.6 73.5 70.5 436.6 173.0 133.6 58.9 94.1 93.6 60.9 27.7 40.6 112.1 161.2 66.5 102.7 102.2 143.4 86.6 55.3 87.3 61.7 396.8 152.4 58.0 33.8 319.5 185.6 140.2 57.0 74.6 72.4 403.6 174.8 140.7 60.5 96.3 98.8 56.5 28.8 45.6 112.8 169.0 67.2 102.8 106.3 146.1 90.0 56.0 90.0 62.7 407.4 158.8 57.7 35.2 333.5 185.4 144.2 63.7 76.3 75.0 444.1 169.3 138.3 58.8 100.3 97.4 61.9 30.8 40.2 95.6 142.9 58.4 87.4 91.4 124.4 73.1 48.6 79.9 50.0 374.3 165.5 48.0 25.0 294.9 165.8 130.1 56.3 67.8 63.5 366.8 141.7 115.3 49.7 89.4 89.7 59.1 25.5 40.7 104.0 157.6 59.9 90.1 95.2 152.1 79.3 53.3 88.4 53.8 432.5 182.8 55.1 29.1 312.6 189.9 148.3 57.1 69.0 70.3 377.7 161.0 131.0 56.6 92.8 92.2 63.2 29.0 42.0 111.3 167.4 62.5 90.9 101.6 179.1 82.3 56.7 95.3 58.2 446.0 185.5 59.1 31.2 321.8 195.1 157.1 60.0 69.7 75.9 386.8 178.9 143.7 61.3 93.7 91.6 66.6 31.6 41.6 110.8 168.4 62.1 90.9 104.6 184.4 80.1 58.1 97.3 59.0 447.5 192.4 59.3 31.3 311.4 198.0 165.9 57.8 68.4 78.0 379.1 186.3 146.0 63.4 91.3 92.0 65.7 31.4 42.0 111.2 167.6 62.2 90.6 105.6 183.0 79.5 58.9 100.4 66.2 459.5 194.0 59.6 33.2 312.1 195.0 167.8 57.3 67.8 77.6 367.5 187.4 147.2 63.7 92.5 93.5 65.1 31.7 42.9 112.8 170.7 63.8 92.1 107.8 184.2 80.7 61.2 104.2 64.8 481.4 195.6 61.8 34.9 325.2 198.3 171.9 59.3 67.9 79.4 366.7 191.8 151.5 64.7 92.9 94.3 64.7 32.6 79.4 83.3 88.5 93.6 96.3 97.4 87.4 90.1 91.6 91.3 92.5 92.9 107.3 112.8 116.8 122.6 123.1 127.1 111.0 121.5 127.7 128.4 129.0 131.7 16. Openness of the Economy (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar [1] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 63.4 85.8 — 67.0 56.6 119.4 74.1 68.5 86.6 176.2 187.8 82.9 69.3 90.2 70.2 104.0 102.3 65.2 91.0 — 70.2 65.1 125.1 82.8 77.6 89.3 173.7 204.7 90.6 77.3 90.4 75.1 119.2 116.6 62.1 88.5 — 72.1 67.8 126.1 86.0 75.8 92.2 156.9 203.9 89.9 74.9 94.7 82.0 120.7 119.6 66.9 86.3 104.9 73.5 68.7 130.9 85.4 78.0 89.7 151.3 202.6 88.8 82.5 98.6 89.9 129.9 119.6 66.4 93.8 99.0 77.2 68.0 133.8 86.8 82.3 91.7 159.4 192.5 96.9 84.4 96.1 94.9 136.2 136.8 60.4 102.6 105.0 81.0 62.1 126.5 82.1 107.2 92.7 160.3 176.7 95.9 83.8 89.4 96.1 141.0 149.0 58.0 85.9 99.8 66.8 48.3 113.9 67.3 95.8 88.8 143.7 162.6 85.6 78.8 80.5 84.9 116.3 149.8 59.0 78.9 104.3 69.8 54.8 129.8 72.1 102.0 93.4 155.8 170.3 89.6 85.7 82.3 82.8 140.6 152.1 59.9 94.5 107.0 72.7 55.3 141.6 75.1 110.1 95.7 165.0 167.2 94.5 91.3 93.0 85.8 145.5 159.7 58.7 95.1 99.0 68.1 51.8 150.7 75.9 109.9 100.1 158.0 163.0 96.2 92.0 100.4 84.6 139.9 162.9 59.1 95.7 98.0 67.9 50.2 151.7 76.5 108.1 98.6 157.5 159.3 97.3 91.9 92.8 83.1 141.5 166.4 58.7 94.0 100.1 69.2 48.4 156.0 76.5 105.8 99.4 159.5 164.8 96.5 94.4 87.4 83.3 143.2 169.2 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 62 • Median (Aaa to A3) 84.4 89.8 89.2 89.7 94.9 96.1 85.9 89.6 94.5 99.0 97.3 96.5 Mean (Aaa to A3) 94.0 100.9 100.8 102.8 105.6 106.6 95.7 101.4 106.7 106.3 105.6 106.3 Notes: [1] Balance of Payments 16. Openness of the Economy • 63 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 107.6 81.4 145.5 27.1 107.4 36.5 95.2 71.6 30.1 53.6 91.5 97.1 107.7 110.1 52.2 95.9 122.1 35.3 77.0 59.1 53.4 5.2 124.6 90.1 47.0 51.8 121.5 87.1 164.7 29.0 115.3 35.9 95.7 73.8 36.9 59.8 96.4 103.7 110.8 108.5 55.0 81.9 131.5 39.3 80.7 56.6 53.1 12.4 136.5 93.9 49.7 61.5 115.8 93.2 176.0 26.6 96.2 35.6 102.5 75.7 41.3 64.0 98.3 110.8 121.8 123.2 55.6 80.8 144.5 44.3 76.3 56.7 55.2 -9.2 148.3 105.1 47.2 58.9 105.3 100.1 171.7 25.8 140.0 38.2 104.4 82.7 45.3 56.7 91.9 111.7 127.8 131.4 57.2 87.0 146.2 48.4 76.6 54.7 62.5 -3.0 143.8 107.0 50.3 62.0 96.6 100.7 162.1 25.2 138.6 36.3 102.2 80.0 44.9 54.8 92.2 105.1 121.0 125.0 57.5 102.8 155.1 51.5 72.5 51.7 65.7 -4.7 138.5 96.2 49.8 59.2 89.2 100.1 169.3 27.1 136.9 38.1 100.6 91.6 52.3 58.6 94.4 99.9 131.1 119.0 58.4 107.8 161.2 54.3 73.9 53.4 74.8 -13.7 150.3 100.7 52.2 65.2 74.7 88.8 140.3 22.1 103.8 34.3 84.0 97.1 45.5 45.5 75.9 89.3 110.2 107.3 56.7 103.4 145.4 44.4 67.2 48.4 55.5 -8.3 126.2 84.2 47.7 55.7 75.0 92.4 144.1 22.8 116.7 33.7 79.1 102.6 48.2 47.5 73.7 108.5 137.9 116.4 61.9 102.6 138.5 48.3 76.6 50.4 54.9 0.2 135.1 85.8 48.0 53.6 80.5 101.9 142.4 24.5 133.0 38.7 79.8 109.7 54.2 51.3 79.3 122.4 158.0 119.8 64.4 97.4 169.2 53.4 85.4 52.2 59.2 7.1 149.4 104.0 56.6 54.8 74.3 104.7 137.2 26.5 137.0 37.8 79.5 112.1 55.5 50.1 78.4 125.6 167.1 121.5 66.9 91.2 154.5 49.9 85.1 51.6 59.6 7.0 148.9 97.8 58.0 55.4 70.4 105.4 134.8 27.4 135.5 38.6 79.7 111.7 52.9 46.7 73.6 126.7 169.4 117.9 62.9 92.1 155.9 48.2 85.7 49.8 60.7 5.6 147.7 97.0 55.1 54.3 68.2 104.0 131.7 27.0 135.2 39.4 80.1 113.6 49.2 45.8 71.6 127.8 176.9 118.1 59.2 92.9 157.8 48.4 87.6 49.5 61.9 4.4 149.8 95.0 55.1 57.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 79.2 81.3 78.5 84.9 86.1 90.4 75.3 75.8 80.1 78.9 76.7 75.8 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 76.0 80.4 82.5 85.6 83.9 86.4 74.8 79.0 86.5 85.9 84.8 84.9 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 16. Openness of the Economy • 64 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola [1] Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [1] Tunisia 132.6 82.2 34.2 89.1 51.9 92.8 70.0 78.3 66.0 126.7 115.7 77.6 60.2 45.7 94.4 101.8 75.0 82.4 123.6 75.0 36.3 90.7 57.5 92.1 71.3 79.7 69.1 130.3 134.6 100.1 63.7 48.4 94.9 102.6 102.9 86.9 128.7 72.0 39.6 95.4 67.6 90.9 69.8 85.3 66.0 134.0 146.9 104.6 70.2 50.8 103.4 97.9 132.7 90.3 109.9 62.6 44.2 97.0 74.5 92.4 71.8 89.9 66.8 156.4 141.8 128.5 73.9 64.6 107.5 94.9 102.5 93.9 117.5 58.3 46.5 95.0 75.7 91.8 74.2 89.2 67.9 161.7 146.0 131.1 80.6 64.1 103.2 86.6 105.8 104.3 127.5 55.7 49.1 104.1 82.9 91.9 76.6 87.0 64.1 162.9 144.0 133.5 88.3 64.7 104.2 76.3 105.9 114.7 110.3 58.5 46.0 88.7 68.3 76.7 61.9 78.7 57.1 150.3 115.0 97.5 68.4 61.2 96.0 65.6 84.1 93.2 105.3 66.1 43.4 96.6 75.2 79.9 68.8 87.7 62.1 167.4 116.8 97.8 76.3 78.6 106.2 71.4 91.5 102.8 107.5 71.1 54.5 101.5 81.8 84.6 74.6 91.0 64.9 176.0 119.4 106.4 84.3 81.2 97.4 67.0 124.2 103.5 102.7 74.4 60.3 98.2 87.8 86.1 74.8 96.2 66.9 181.7 117.0 107.0 87.2 81.1 95.4 64.2 107.1 107.4 98.4 71.0 59.5 102.1 93.9 86.5 77.3 92.2 68.5 189.8 124.8 109.0 84.7 68.6 98.5 62.3 103.5 102.2 93.9 67.2 59.4 104.5 98.2 86.7 79.7 87.5 70.0 199.1 122.6 106.7 82.5 65.7 95.0 60.5 97.9 101.7 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 80.2 88.8 90.6 93.2 90.5 90.1 77.7 83.8 87.8 91.6 93.0 90.7 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 82.0 86.7 91.5 93.0 94.4 96.3 82.1 88.6 93.9 94.2 94.1 93.3 Notes: [1] Balance of Payments Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 16. Openness of the Economy • 65 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina [1] Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon [1] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam [1] Zambia 65.4 40.6 134.1 119.4 69.7 123.1 26.6 86.5 47.2 46.2 119.1 97.4 122.2 88.2 53.8 124.2 140.1 119.1 62.2 32.8 123.5 65.4 75.3 85.9 112.9 50.6 126.9 69.7 66.4 44.1 142.1 109.2 94.7 134.5 31.3 83.9 50.7 57.8 116.7 99.6 135.5 89.3 60.5 135.4 132.7 130.4 67.2 30.3 131.0 66.9 79.5 87.4 119.6 55.4 140.6 77.8 70.3 44.3 118.9 117.3 99.9 136.8 39.4 65.5 56.1 63.0 118.3 98.2 136.5 90.5 64.9 137.6 143.0 122.4 71.6 35.3 137.8 69.4 73.6 89.2 102.1 60.1 143.6 71.2 73.5 44.0 124.3 123.2 93.0 144.6 37.2 68.0 59.7 61.5 119.2 65.9 133.1 100.8 64.9 145.3 137.2 112.0 76.8 38.5 147.9 68.7 71.3 88.0 96.1 58.7 152.1 68.6 82.9 45.0 128.2 121.6 94.6 138.3 38.0 66.7 62.6 65.1 111.5 65.4 135.1 101.3 64.5 151.4 142.7 115.9 82.8 35.5 148.5 73.3 68.6 89.7 95.4 56.2 169.5 80.1 85.4 45.1 129.6 131.7 93.7 133.3 44.9 64.7 68.1 71.7 125.8 69.5 135.7 113.6 69.4 172.1 134.4 119.7 90.4 36.7 140.3 78.6 63.4 91.7 101.8 51.8 168.1 72.7 82.3 37.4 112.3 112.0 75.3 122.9 32.4 52.5 53.6 56.6 106.4 71.6 96.9 86.7 61.6 145.8 110.4 108.2 78.4 33.3 117.5 65.5 49.1 86.3 94.4 38.5 139.7 62.3 84.8 40.1 122.2 117.2 95.7 113.6 39.9 57.2 62.8 47.9 117.6 75.4 109.4 80.9 67.9 138.4 117.8 116.4 89.8 33.0 101.1 65.1 53.1 84.9 104.4 46.1 156.9 82.6 90.0 41.4 163.3 130.7 74.7 113.6 35.2 60.4 65.9 45.3 120.4 86.6 121.0 84.7 74.2 147.4 130.8 160.6 99.6 33.4 99.1 66.9 60.7 83.2 115.0 49.6 173.8 91.5 82.6 37.7 158.7 127.5 79.0 119.9 35.2 58.8 67.4 44.8 117.3 94.9 118.4 81.0 66.7 149.3 128.1 123.2 105.8 33.1 87.1 66.6 59.3 83.5 110.2 48.7 175.5 88.0 83.3 38.9 139.6 121.1 85.1 125.1 34.9 64.7 67.9 47.9 113.6 105.9 121.4 80.5 64.2 154.5 127.0 99.6 112.1 32.3 90.3 66.4 58.2 85.9 113.8 51.1 182.8 90.2 83.6 38.3 130.2 115.2 92.9 131.3 35.5 67.8 69.9 46.5 113.6 114.1 128.2 81.2 60.9 153.8 126.0 93.6 116.9 30.6 94.4 66.5 57.5 86.3 111.7 59.5 183.0 101.3 Median (B1 to C) 86.2 88.4 89.8 82.4 86.3 91.0 80.4 84.9 88.3 85.3 88.1 93.2 Mean (B1 to C) 86.7 91.8 92.0 91.9 93.9 96.6 81.8 86.5 93.5 91.0 91.4 92.5 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 17. Government Effectiveness Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F • 66 • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2014F 1.81 2.02 1.96 2.01 1.10 2.16 0.93 2.26 1.72 1.40 0.75 1.66 1.58 0.80 1.22 1.93 0.93 2.03 1.82 1.92 1.15 1.96 0.68 1.07 1.90 2.09 1.81 1.83 1.61 2.04 1.91 1.92 1.96 1.18 2.34 0.97 2.21 1.81 1.53 0.83 1.79 1.56 0.67 1.42 1.93 0.83 2.12 1.97 2.10 1.10 2.03 0.91 0.97 1.37 2.14 2.22 1.90 1.80 1.77 1.72 1.74 1.91 1.18 2.14 0.99 2.16 1.71 1.54 0.72 1.63 1.73 0.58 1.35 1.78 0.82 1.95 1.74 1.86 1.06 2.00 0.94 0.92 1.49 1.89 1.89 1.75 1.57 1.76 1.82 1.71 1.93 1.32 2.25 1.17 2.12 1.58 1.65 0.72 1.89 1.62 0.44 1.54 1.59 1.08 1.78 1.65 1.95 0.84 2.18 0.92 0.98 0.87 1.83 2.03 1.72 1.56 1.82 1.86 1.61 1.77 1.43 2.34 1.07 1.96 1.48 1.66 0.62 1.86 1.60 0.28 1.44 1.60 1.21 1.73 1.66 2.03 0.86 2.36 0.75 0.94 0.97 1.99 2.03 1.66 1.59 1.78 1.77 1.38 1.79 1.52 2.23 1.19 2.04 1.58 1.55 0.64 1.83 1.53 0.37 1.43 1.62 1.28 1.69 1.64 1.84 1.01 2.41 0.87 1.19 0.89 1.91 2.02 1.64 1.54 1.75 1.72 1.59 1.83 1.40 2.29 1.13 2.23 1.48 1.57 0.58 1.77 1.32 0.49 1.33 1.75 1.12 1.75 1.90 1.75 1.18 2.27 0.89 1.16 0.93 2.04 1.99 1.50 1.40 1.81 1.88 1.59 1.86 1.50 2.16 1.22 2.24 1.44 1.55 0.52 1.73 1.31 0.51 1.40 1.71 1.15 1.73 1.87 1.79 1.04 2.24 0.86 1.03 0.98 2.00 1.91 1.56 1.44 1.74 1.66 1.67 1.85 1.53 2.17 1.20 2.25 1.36 1.53 0.48 1.70 1.42 0.45 1.35 1.73 1.16 1.79 1.93 1.76 0.97 2.16 0.86 0.99 1.02 1.96 1.89 1.55 1.41 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median 1.81 1.81 1.72 1.65 1.61 1.58 1.57 1.56 1.55 — — — Mean 1.59 1.64 1.53 1.53 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.50 — — — 17. Government Effectiveness • 67 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 1.04 0.73 1.30 1.24 -0.04 0.89 1.25 0.93 0.06 1.30 1.17 0.47 0.55 0.47 -0.31 1.01 0.56 1.06 0.64 1.16 1.20 0.00 0.91 1.31 0.94 0.07 1.09 1.13 0.45 0.49 0.49 -0.37 1.17 0.76 0.99 0.66 1.25 1.22 -0.09 0.97 1.08 1.02 0.23 1.25 1.13 0.30 0.48 0.42 -0.39 1.01 0.75 0.99 0.51 1.25 1.13 0.12 1.06 1.27 1.08 0.23 0.99 1.19 0.27 0.43 0.55 -0.18 1.08 0.91 0.98 0.58 1.24 1.27 0.22 0.90 1.27 1.25 0.11 0.98 1.24 0.35 0.41 0.44 -0.08 1.05 0.93 1.01 0.55 1.27 1.18 0.19 1.00 1.35 1.09 0.02 1.01 1.15 0.44 0.48 0.61 -0.04 1.06 0.89 1.01 0.54 1.24 1.15 0.13 0.98 1.14 1.08 0.13 1.31 0.96 0.58 0.59 1.04 -0.17 1.19 0.89 1.00 0.52 1.23 1.18 0.12 1.00 1.24 1.19 0.10 1.32 1.10 0.59 0.70 0.94 -0.08 1.21 0.78 0.99 0.53 1.22 1.17 0.12 1.02 1.20 1.23 -0.04 1.30 1.00 0.43 0.68 0.83 -0.43 1.17 0.95 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 0.89 0.91 0.97 0.99 0.93 1.00 0.98 1.00 0.99 — — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.83 0.79 — — — Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 17. Government Effectiveness • 68 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay -0.80 1.19 0.46 0.18 0.11 -0.14 0.26 2.12 -0.07 -0.45 -0.65 0.66 0.76 0.75 0.23 0.24 -0.05 -0.42 -0.27 -0.39 0.68 — 0.38 0.48 0.04 0.50 -0.75 1.14 0.59 0.07 0.19 -0.14 0.24 2.12 -0.10 -0.38 -0.64 0.65 0.75 0.65 0.17 0.10 -0.03 -0.47 -0.17 -0.38 0.66 1.09 0.36 0.37 0.04 0.35 -0.68 1.17 0.40 -0.10 0.19 -0.16 0.15 1.99 -0.08 -0.44 -0.55 0.59 0.79 0.62 0.08 0.04 0.06 -0.60 -0.27 -0.46 0.64 0.99 0.43 0.19 0.16 0.51 -0.67 1.14 0.40 -0.16 -0.01 -0.10 0.11 1.86 -0.04 -0.33 -0.45 0.68 0.74 0.67 0.16 0.12 0.07 -0.55 -0.19 -0.49 0.52 0.73 0.39 0.15 0.16 0.39 -0.76 1.10 0.42 -0.13 0.00 -0.03 0.20 1.79 0.11 -0.27 -0.53 0.49 0.70 0.71 0.16 0.12 0.13 -0.48 -0.28 -0.42 0.51 0.72 0.36 0.22 0.29 0.50 -0.75 1.15 0.41 -0.02 -0.05 -0.01 0.27 1.82 -0.03 -0.23 -0.41 0.56 0.61 0.76 0.17 0.20 0.12 -0.33 -0.27 -0.40 0.53 0.75 0.25 0.18 0.26 0.50 -0.68 1.00 0.60 0.02 0.06 -0.02 0.33 1.65 -0.02 -0.26 -0.21 0.61 0.66 0.68 0.19 0.11 0.15 -0.41 -0.25 -0.35 0.46 0.75 0.17 0.30 0.34 0.61 -0.83 1.07 0.59 0.07 0.01 0.14 0.32 1.58 -0.01 -0.19 -0.28 0.70 0.72 0.76 0.17 0.09 0.14 -0.21 -0.15 -0.40 0.38 0.74 0.08 0.25 0.35 0.65 -0.79 0.96 0.65 -0.01 0.01 0.24 0.35 1.57 -0.03 -0.24 -0.26 0.68 0.68 0.76 0.32 0.06 0.10 -0.15 -0.22 -0.40 0.37 0.74 0.10 0.31 0.41 0.58 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 0.23 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.28 — — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 0.23 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.26 — — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 17. Government Effectiveness • 69 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia -1.14 -0.26 -0.71 1.30 -0.28 0.38 -0.34 -0.50 -0.45 0.96 0.24 — -0.10 -0.96 -0.91 -0.04 -0.20 0.55 -1.28 -0.14 -0.78 1.09 -0.55 0.47 -0.27 -0.49 -0.64 0.90 0.12 — -0.08 -0.91 -0.90 -0.20 -0.09 0.48 -1.17 -0.13 -0.86 1.26 -0.68 0.48 -0.32 -0.42 -0.70 0.80 0.07 — -0.26 -0.88 -0.79 -0.06 -0.09 0.42 -1.37 -0.21 -0.76 1.48 -0.67 0.57 -0.20 -0.18 -0.58 0.90 0.17 -0.35 -0.15 -0.96 -0.89 -0.05 -0.23 0.58 -1.24 -0.35 -0.68 1.34 -0.60 0.48 -0.19 0.10 -0.52 0.76 0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -1.03 -0.85 0.07 -0.23 0.48 -1.07 -0.16 -0.70 1.59 -0.66 0.58 -0.16 0.28 -0.53 0.76 0.22 -0.01 -0.17 -0.95 -0.87 0.02 -0.04 0.34 -0.98 0.00 -0.88 1.50 -0.53 0.61 -0.02 0.27 -0.69 0.70 0.22 -0.03 -0.21 -1.22 -0.91 -0.12 -0.05 0.35 -1.12 -0.15 -0.84 1.41 -0.45 0.62 0.01 0.29 -0.70 0.70 0.08 — -0.17 -1.18 -0.92 -0.10 -0.09 0.19 -1.15 -0.09 -0.85 1.46 -0.41 0.55 -0.11 0.55 -0.70 0.71 0.05 — -0.22 -1.12 -0.83 0.00 -0.11 0.02 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -0.26 -0.20 -0.26 -0.20 -0.18 -0.10 -0.04 -0.10 -0.11 — — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -0.14 -0.19 -0.20 -0.16 -0.14 -0.09 -0.11 -0.14 -0.13 — — — Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 17. Government Effectiveness • 70 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia -0.61 -0.01 -0.99 -0.19 -0.77 -0.88 -0.24 -0.54 -0.83 -0.30 -0.22 -0.19 -0.58 0.06 -0.61 -0.21 -0.71 -0.29 -0.72 -0.39 -0.60 -0.26 -0.20 -0.20 -0.58 -0.95 -0.43 -0.82 -0.44 -0.02 -1.08 -0.36 -0.57 -0.88 -0.44 -0.64 -0.85 -0.23 -0.43 -0.16 -0.56 0.21 -0.53 -0.29 -0.89 -0.46 -0.68 -0.45 -0.64 -0.18 -0.40 0.08 -0.54 -1.02 -0.44 -0.82 -0.63 -0.09 -1.10 -0.15 -0.72 -0.97 -0.54 -0.55 -0.92 -0.39 -0.11 -0.16 -0.64 -0.08 -0.67 -0.21 -0.73 -0.36 -0.80 -0.42 -0.88 -0.25 -0.29 0.87 -0.58 -0.90 -0.20 -0.94 -0.45 -0.03 -1.17 -0.41 -0.60 -0.96 -0.33 -0.54 -0.97 -0.55 -0.13 0.07 -0.61 0.28 -0.57 -0.39 -0.79 -0.40 -0.85 -0.36 -0.77 -0.31 -0.17 0.73 -0.57 -1.00 -0.17 -0.81 -0.38 -0.03 -1.13 -0.50 -0.80 -0.86 -0.20 -0.61 -0.84 -0.45 -0.45 0.05 -0.54 0.29 -0.48 -0.42 -0.80 -0.51 -0.90 -0.45 -0.67 -0.45 -0.09 0.66 -0.68 -1.01 -0.19 -0.71 -0.35 -0.12 -1.13 -0.53 -0.57 -0.95 -0.22 -0.56 -0.84 -0.44 -0.76 0.00 -0.61 0.28 -0.56 -0.49 -0.75 -0.51 -0.89 -0.68 -0.70 -0.15 -0.11 0.69 -0.72 -1.06 -0.17 -0.73 -0.24 -0.35 -1.15 -0.47 -0.69 -0.80 -0.25 -0.57 -0.73 -0.34 -0.92 -0.04 -0.69 0.19 -0.58 -0.58 -0.55 -0.69 -0.95 -0.78 -0.76 -0.43 -0.11 0.78 -0.82 -0.89 -0.29 -0.76 -0.27 -0.21 -1.13 -0.44 -0.73 -0.82 -0.24 -0.62 -0.67 -0.43 -0.73 -0.04 -0.67 0.18 -0.53 -0.35 -0.63 -0.61 -0.96 -0.77 -0.75 -0.49 -0.17 0.72 -0.78 -1.02 -0.31 -0.80 -0.20 -0.16 -1.09 -0.36 -0.76 -0.75 -0.26 -0.55 -0.55 -0.60 -0.71 -0.03 -0.58 0.20 -0.54 -0.33 -0.58 -0.62 -0.90 -0.82 -0.74 -0.44 -0.08 0.77 -0.83 -1.10 -0.28 -0.65 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) -0.48 -0.45 -0.55 -0.50 -0.49 -0.56 -0.58 -0.62 -0.56 — — — Mean (B1 to C) -0.47 -0.49 -0.48 -0.46 -0.47 -0.49 -0.52 -0.51 -0.48 — — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 II. Government Finance • 71 • 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 72 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 35.7 49.7 50.9 39.7 38.1 55.0 36.5 52.8 49.3 44.3 39.0 16.4 33.6 44.4 28.4 42.3 36.6 43.9 36.8 55.2 40.9 15.9 37.4 43.6 38.0 54.4 35.8 38.8 29.6 36.1 49.2 48.9 39.6 38.5 56.4 35.6 52.5 49.6 43.3 38.1 19.8 35.0 44.0 27.9 41.5 39.0 44.3 37.1 55.9 41.4 15.7 35.3 43.5 38.8 54.6 35.4 39.6 29.6 36.5 48.2 49.3 39.7 41.3 57.8 35.2 53.1 50.6 43.6 39.0 17.2 35.5 43.4 29.3 41.5 40.7 44.5 38.5 56.6 40.1 14.5 35.2 43.8 39.7 55.8 35.7 40.4 31.0 36.6 47.5 48.8 40.0 42.1 56.6 36.1 53.3 50.6 43.7 39.2 18.8 37.3 45.0 30.8 39.9 40.4 46.1 38.7 58.2 40.6 14.0 33.3 43.2 40.7 54.9 35.4 41.3 31.9 36.1 47.6 48.1 39.7 45.0 55.6 36.4 52.8 49.9 43.7 40.7 21.2 36.9 46.0 31.2 39.9 39.5 45.4 37.3 57.5 41.1 15.6 32.4 42.4 41.1 54.5 34.7 40.9 32.2 35.7 48.3 48.7 38.4 43.1 54.8 36.7 53.6 49.9 44.0 40.7 18.9 35.7 45.9 31.6 42.3 38.6 46.7 36.8 58.4 41.1 17.1 32.8 42.4 37.0 53.9 33.1 42.6 31.2 33.5 48.5 48.1 38.5 40.1 55.3 43.5 53.4 49.2 45.1 38.3 18.8 34.8 46.5 29.6 43.8 38.7 45.8 35.7 56.5 39.6 16.2 33.5 43.1 35.1 54.0 33.7 39.9 28.9 32.5 48.1 48.7 37.5 40.9 55.0 40.9 53.0 49.5 43.6 40.6 20.7 35.2 46.1 29.6 42.0 38.4 46.1 35.0 56.0 41.6 16.5 32.3 44.5 36.6 52.3 32.8 40.3 29.2 32.0 48.0 49.5 37.4 39.7 55.7 39.5 53.9 50.7 44.5 42.4 22.4 34.4 46.2 30.8 41.5 39.3 45.4 35.1 57.1 45.0 17.5 33.3 44.4 35.7 51.2 33.4 40.8 29.3 33.0 48.7 50.9 37.6 40.0 55.5 40.2 53.7 51.9 45.2 44.7 21.6 34.6 47.7 31.1 42.1 40.5 46.4 34.6 57.0 41.0 18.0 33.1 45.0 36.4 51.3 33.0 42.2 29.0 33.5 48.4 51.2 38.1 40.0 56.1 39.3 54.4 53.6 45.0 43.9 19.8 35.0 48.1 31.5 42.3 40.0 47.1 34.1 56.9 42.5 17.1 33.7 44.8 36.6 51.0 33.8 41.7 30.1 33.3 48.4 51.2 38.3 39.0 55.5 37.8 54.8 53.5 45.0 46.2 19.2 35.3 48.2 32.8 42.6 40.2 47.2 34.6 56.8 42.4 16.8 33.5 44.6 36.6 50.8 34.0 41.5 30.2 Median 39.0 39.6 40.4 40.6 40.9 41.1 39.9 40.9 40.8 41.0 41.7 41.5 Mean 40.1 40.2 40.6 40.9 40.9 40.7 40.3 40.2 40.6 40.9 41.0 41.0 Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong [2] Ireland Italy Japan [2] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore [2] Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland [3] United Kingdom United States of America [4] Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 16.9 42.1 16.9 20.1 15.9 43.3 44.0 22.4 51.4 28.9 21.4 45.8 38.5 33.0 36.4 18.2 22.2 17.4 40.8 16.6 21.2 16.4 40.4 43.0 21.6 51.9 29.0 20.4 45.4 37.2 43.3 40.4 17.0 23.8 16.5 42.5 18.4 22.9 16.9 39.8 42.7 22.1 67.2 29.9 19.6 48.1 39.4 37.1 45.9 18.9 31.0 16.3 45.0 20.4 24.5 17.4 39.6 43.6 23.1 65.6 31.9 20.7 48.9 40.2 36.0 47.7 17.8 34.7 15.8 41.3 19.5 25.6 19.3 40.3 43.3 25.0 65.6 37.0 21.0 47.5 40.3 36.5 41.2 17.4 33.8 15.6 40.9 19.6 24.2 19.5 38.9 40.5 24.4 63.9 37.4 20.8 46.2 39.5 34.9 56.5 17.7 39.1 15.8 39.0 18.7 19.0 19.8 38.9 37.6 23.5 66.9 41.1 22.3 38.1 37.2 44.2 31.7 16.9 26.8 17.2 33.1 21.0 21.5 20.6 39.1 38.8 23.1 63.8 39.0 20.1 39.3 37.6 30.9 37.5 15.6 30.0 16.5 36.0 21.8 22.7 22.3 40.0 38.8 23.7 65.8 41.7 21.0 44.6 38.4 38.7 44.5 16.9 35.4 15.6 34.2 21.7 21.9 22.6 40.3 37.6 24.5 68.9 37.2 22.2 49.8 38.4 41.6 45.7 17.7 35.4 15.5 32.4 22.3 22.5 23.1 40.3 37.7 24.7 70.9 34.2 21.2 47.9 38.8 38.3 45.0 17.5 33.5 15.4 31.0 21.9 23.1 23.8 40.2 38.9 24.7 71.1 31.8 20.6 46.4 39.0 35.4 44.6 17.6 32.7 Median (Aaa to A3) 28.9 29.0 31.0 34.7 36.5 37.4 31.7 30.9 36.0 35.4 33.5 31.8 Mean (Aaa to A3) 30.4 30.9 32.9 33.7 33.6 34.1 31.6 31.1 33.5 33.8 33.3 32.8 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait [4] Macao Malaysia [5] Oman [6] Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [7] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 73 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government Central government; Includes oil revenues transferred to the State General Reserve Fund Consolidated emirate and federal governments 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 74 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 15.0 13.2 31.3 34.5 38.7 13.1 14.1 42.8 19.8 17.0 25.4 33.3 31.8 19.8 16.9 25.3 21.6 17.7 32.0 36.4 31.7 — 17.1 25.7 31.5 19.9 17.1 13.7 30.8 35.3 40.4 13.2 13.7 44.0 19.2 17.6 24.6 34.9 31.7 19.4 16.6 26.2 20.5 17.6 32.3 36.6 33.1 — 17.1 25.9 31.2 20.9 16.4 14.2 33.0 36.6 38.3 13.6 13.9 47.1 19.5 17.9 28.1 35.4 32.7 19.4 17.1 27.2 21.3 18.4 32.4 41.0 35.1 — 17.5 30.7 32.3 20.9 20.7 15.5 30.9 35.8 36.2 14.9 14.2 48.0 20.5 19.1 27.5 37.8 33.0 19.0 16.7 31.4 24.2 20.0 33.3 39.5 35.3 — 17.7 34.7 33.2 21.6 21.2 16.7 29.3 36.5 40.4 15.3 15.5 47.7 22.4 17.9 28.8 35.6 33.6 20.3 16.7 31.9 26.1 20.8 35.3 39.9 36.0 22.0 17.1 30.4 32.2 21.0 26.8 17.6 32.4 36.7 40.1 15.9 15.9 44.1 20.1 19.8 28.3 34.9 34.0 22.1 18.4 31.9 25.0 21.3 33.6 39.2 35.8 21.2 16.5 34.3 32.1 20.6 29.0 16.7 23.8 35.6 37.1 15.4 14.0 41.0 19.2 15.1 22.1 34.0 35.5 21.4 18.4 31.4 24.3 19.0 32.1 35.0 33.3 18.9 16.4 29.0 34.2 21.2 26.9 16.7 27.2 36.8 34.3 13.8 14.3 41.5 20.7 15.4 24.1 35.3 35.2 21.9 17.6 28.0 24.6 20.2 33.3 34.6 33.7 19.8 17.3 34.1 35.1 21.5 30.1 21.4 29.2 36.1 33.6 15.2 14.6 41.7 20.0 16.3 28.2 34.9 33.3 21.4 17.9 32.1 24.3 21.0 33.8 37.4 34.4 24.5 18.0 32.6 36.1 21.2 29.5 19.2 27.9 36.4 34.9 16.1 14.4 43.1 21.0 16.2 27.3 35.2 32.9 21.5 17.6 34.3 24.0 21.6 33.5 36.9 33.6 27.8 18.3 31.2 37.2 20.5 28.9 16.4 29.3 35.9 34.8 16.4 14.5 43.0 22.0 16.1 26.6 34.8 32.7 22.1 17.7 33.3 24.3 21.7 33.5 36.4 33.8 28.2 18.3 31.8 37.0 20.6 27.4 18.4 29.6 36.1 35.2 16.6 15.1 42.5 22.7 16.1 26.4 34.7 32.4 21.2 17.7 31.6 24.7 21.6 34.0 35.2 34.0 30.0 18.6 31.8 37.0 21.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 25.3 24.6 27.2 27.5 27.5 27.6 24.0 25.7 28.7 27.8 28.5 28.5 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 25.0 25.3 26.4 27.2 27.3 27.6 25.9 26.3 27.3 27.4 27.3 27.4 Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [4] St. Maarten [7] Thailand [1] Trinidad & Tobago [8] Turkey Uruguay [1] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 37.9 21.2 11.2 28.7 23.9 39.1 16.2 16.0 12.5 42.4 34.7 — 23.0 27.6 14.3 14.1 21.0 21.6 36.9 19.1 11.4 27.4 26.3 39.0 16.3 23.1 12.3 42.6 36.6 — 24.0 35.4 16.0 13.8 21.2 21.6 40.7 20.1 11.3 27.7 30.4 38.6 16.3 24.2 12.0 42.2 33.3 — 26.3 36.3 15.6 14.3 19.8 21.3 46.4 20.1 11.4 26.6 32.7 38.6 17.5 26.8 12.7 42.7 32.4 42.4 27.4 32.3 16.0 15.5 21.9 21.4 45.8 22.2 10.9 27.6 32.8 39.8 18.2 29.3 12.8 45.6 32.3 50.0 29.9 25.0 15.7 15.2 29.4 21.8 50.9 22.5 11.9 29.9 32.8 39.2 18.7 30.7 12.0 45.5 30.1 49.1 32.5 30.4 15.8 15.2 24.3 23.9 34.6 22.7 10.8 26.4 32.8 39.0 17.3 29.3 11.1 46.9 26.5 45.8 29.3 24.8 17.6 14.0 27.6 22.8 43.5 23.2 11.4 26.9 30.8 38.2 18.5 28.3 11.2 45.4 24.9 42.2 27.5 25.7 17.1 13.4 21.8 22.8 48.8 24.0 11.9 29.2 32.8 37.3 19.1 28.2 11.8 53.8 26.4 39.7 27.8 22.4 17.5 14.0 27.1 24.5 44.7 24.1 13.0 27.5 36.0 38.1 19.8 28.8 11.6 46.5 22.8 39.0 27.9 24.9 18.3 14.4 24.4 23.7 42.5 24.8 13.7 28.5 35.7 38.0 19.9 27.8 11.7 46.6 25.6 38.2 28.2 25.0 19.0 15.0 24.3 23.5 41.5 24.4 14.0 29.0 35.0 37.7 20.0 27.6 11.8 47.0 25.8 37.2 28.2 23.2 19.1 15.2 24.2 23.3 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 21.6 23.1 24.2 26.7 28.4 30.0 26.4 25.3 26.8 24.6 25.3 25.1 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 23.8 24.9 25.3 26.9 28.0 28.6 26.6 26.3 27.6 27.0 27.1 26.9 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [3] Georgia Guatemala [4] Hungary Jordan [4] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [4] Philippines [6] Suriname [4] Tunisia [4] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 75 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government; Excludes privatization receipts 18. General Government Revenue/GDP (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 76 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 24.1 20.5 45.9 24.7 47.5 9.6 48.9 12.9 14.7 26.2 24.3 17.0 16.5 26.6 19.5 22.2 34.0 30.0 16.7 17.2 — 20.0 15.6 24.9 38.0 32.3 25.8 24.8 24.5 23.5 46.0 22.8 43.5 10.3 49.3 13.9 14.2 25.6 24.9 17.5 17.2 26.9 21.2 23.2 35.4 30.0 17.4 14.6 34.4 20.4 15.3 24.6 37.1 34.4 27.8 23.7 25.1 23.8 47.4 25.3 43.8 10.3 59.1 15.4 14.6 24.8 24.0 16.7 17.6 25.9 21.5 22.9 38.6 27.5 18.1 14.1 35.3 20.8 16.8 23.5 41.8 37.6 28.4 23.3 26.0 24.2 49.1 26.2 43.9 11.5 60.0 15.9 14.7 28.6 26.1 17.1 18.1 26.1 24.6 25.4 39.9 33.5 19.3 14.7 37.4 21.2 17.3 24.4 43.2 37.7 29.7 43.6 26.0 20.2 49.5 30.2 41.9 11.9 65.0 17.3 16.6 27.7 25.4 17.5 19.1 28.1 21.6 24.1 41.7 37.3 20.0 15.4 37.3 22.8 16.6 25.1 41.8 33.1 29.4 23.0 26.7 21.2 50.6 28.5 40.4 13.0 71.2 15.7 22.3 28.0 25.1 18.6 19.9 27.2 21.9 24.0 40.6 32.7 19.9 14.9 32.7 21.5 15.6 29.2 44.3 31.4 29.3 23.0 26.0 22.7 45.7 27.2 39.2 12.0 70.5 13.5 18.8 27.7 24.7 18.5 17.1 27.6 21.8 24.5 38.9 30.4 19.8 14.7 29.8 21.6 15.0 30.0 42.3 24.6 28.1 18.9 25.7 24.3 41.6 27.8 46.9 13.1 66.6 13.4 22.2 25.1 24.9 19.1 16.9 26.8 23.9 22.9 38.3 36.9 21.0 14.4 31.4 21.8 14.9 27.4 43.2 19.3 29.7 19.6 25.2 23.6 38.8 28.9 46.6 13.1 67.2 13.2 22.0 22.0 26.8 21.5 17.0 25.4 23.7 23.5 36.6 40.0 21.8 12.7 30.4 22.4 14.5 27.4 42.9 22.5 26.6 21.7 24.4 25.4 40.8 27.6 46.7 13.8 68.0 14.0 22.3 22.6 27.4 22.8 16.8 25.0 21.3 22.7 38.2 33.9 22.1 12.6 28.9 23.3 13.2 25.4 44.6 23.4 27.0 21.0 24.9 24.8 40.3 27.2 46.7 14.4 68.2 15.5 22.2 25.8 27.9 24.2 17.1 24.3 24.8 23.3 37.9 33.7 21.8 13.3 29.5 23.4 13.1 25.9 43.5 24.6 26.0 21.6 24.8 23.8 38.9 26.8 45.9 14.5 68.1 15.7 21.9 27.1 28.0 25.9 17.1 23.4 24.8 23.8 38.0 35.0 21.7 13.3 28.5 23.4 13.0 26.4 41.9 26.0 25.7 21.1 Median (B1 to C) 24.3 24.1 23.9 26.1 25.2 25.9 24.6 24.6 23.7 23.9 24.8 25.3 Mean (B1 to C) 25.2 25.7 26.6 28.5 28.1 28.2 26.8 27.1 27.1 27.0 27.4 27.3 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [2] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [2] Ecuador [2] Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana [4] Honduras [2] Jamaica Kenya [5] Lebanon [2] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea [2] Senegal [2] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [2] Ukraine Venezuela [2] Vietnam [6] Zambia [2] B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Central government; Series break in 2007 Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 On-budget only; Excludes "Brought forward revenue" 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 77 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 34.8 51.3 51.0 39.2 44.6 55.1 34.8 50.3 53.4 48.5 44.7 19.5 33.2 48.1 36.2 41.8 45.6 47.1 33.3 47.8 44.7 17.0 40.1 46.2 38.4 55.7 37.2 42.2 34.6 35.0 53.8 49.2 37.9 42.7 54.6 34.0 50.3 53.3 47.1 45.5 18.2 33.6 47.5 33.9 42.6 43.6 46.1 32.8 44.8 45.4 15.8 37.7 45.7 38.9 54.2 36.7 43.1 34.8 35.0 50.0 51.9 37.2 43.8 52.8 33.6 50.4 53.6 46.9 44.6 16.2 33.8 47.9 34.1 41.5 43.6 44.8 33.7 41.6 46.6 13.8 38.0 45.3 38.4 53.9 36.3 43.8 35.1 34.6 49.1 48.5 37.2 43.3 51.6 33.6 49.2 53.0 45.3 45.3 15.0 34.4 48.5 34.5 38.6 43.2 45.5 34.6 39.9 45.2 14.0 36.5 44.6 38.4 52.7 34.4 44.0 34.8 34.5 48.6 48.2 37.2 41.5 50.8 34.0 47.4 52.6 43.5 47.5 13.9 36.8 47.6 33.3 36.3 41.8 45.3 34.1 40.2 44.4 12.8 34.2 42.4 39.2 51.0 33.4 43.7 34.8 34.3 49.3 49.8 37.5 42.1 51.5 39.7 49.3 53.3 44.1 50.6 18.8 43.1 48.6 35.7 39.1 43.2 46.2 35.3 39.6 44.8 17.0 34.9 44.3 41.5 51.7 31.3 47.7 35.1 36.9 52.6 53.7 41.6 46.2 58.1 45.5 56.2 56.8 48.2 54.0 17.3 48.6 51.9 40.0 44.6 42.4 51.4 37.3 45.9 49.8 16.5 41.6 49.3 46.3 54.9 33.2 51.3 39.9 38.1 52.6 52.6 40.9 46.2 57.7 40.7 55.8 56.6 47.7 51.4 16.6 66.1 50.4 38.9 42.9 42.0 51.2 40.1 44.9 51.5 16.2 40.0 50.4 46.3 52.3 32.7 50.4 39.0 36.7 50.5 53.4 39.9 46.0 57.6 38.3 55.1 56.0 45.3 52.0 18.6 47.5 49.9 40.7 41.8 42.1 49.8 39.9 43.7 49.4 16.3 38.3 50.8 45.2 51.2 33.1 48.6 38.2 37.2 51.2 54.9 39.8 46.3 59.6 40.5 56.0 56.8 45.0 54.8 18.4 42.2 50.6 41.1 43.0 43.9 50.4 37.3 43.0 47.4 16.9 37.4 49.0 47.0 52.0 32.7 48.5 36.3 35.8 50.4 54.3 39.7 49.0 57.8 39.6 56.6 57.6 45.4 47.8 20.0 42.5 51.1 40.6 43.1 43.4 50.9 36.0 43.2 48.0 16.2 36.8 52.6 42.8 51.1 33.4 48.5 34.8 34.7 49.9 54.5 39.2 50.0 57.2 37.6 56.4 57.0 44.5 49.0 18.2 39.7 51.0 40.0 42.8 43.4 50.8 35.0 43.3 46.4 16.2 36.5 50.4 42.0 50.7 33.5 47.8 34.6 Median 44.6 43.1 43.6 43.2 41.5 43.1 46.3 46.3 45.3 45.0 43.4 43.4 Mean 41.9 41.3 41.0 40.3 39.7 41.4 45.2 45.2 44.0 44.1 43.8 43.2 Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong [2] Ireland Italy Japan [2] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore [2] Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland [3] United Kingdom United States of America [4] Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.0 42.3 15.8 20.5 18.0 50.0 50.1 21.4 36.2 24.7 26.2 39.0 44.7 27.1 31.9 20.7 20.3 18.0 39.5 18.6 19.2 17.7 43.3 47.3 20.9 32.8 21.5 24.4 39.2 42.6 28.4 29.4 19.8 17.9 17.1 33.7 18.5 18.5 18.1 43.0 45.3 21.6 27.2 22.4 23.0 35.2 43.4 28.7 28.2 19.5 15.9 17.7 32.4 17.7 17.2 18.2 42.0 44.9 22.4 34.0 23.5 23.9 34.8 43.9 28.1 27.9 18.1 15.8 18.0 35.8 20.9 17.8 18.7 41.0 43.9 21.2 28.2 16.1 24.1 35.4 42.2 26.7 29.9 17.7 17.8 19.4 47.2 25.3 20.3 19.9 41.1 43.1 22.9 48.6 18.3 25.4 29.4 43.2 24.8 26.7 18.6 22.3 20.0 51.3 26.8 23.4 22.0 44.7 43.2 25.2 35.1 20.8 28.9 38.4 44.6 31.8 37.1 21.4 39.6 21.1 39.8 24.6 22.0 22.3 43.8 42.6 21.7 43.4 16.9 25.5 34.0 45.4 28.5 33.1 18.9 32.2 20.1 36.2 25.0 21.4 23.5 43.2 42.1 22.2 41.9 15.5 25.9 38.3 43.4 30.5 32.9 19.1 32.3 19.9 33.5 24.8 21.4 24.4 44.6 42.1 23.0 39.0 16.3 26.7 46.0 42.3 33.4 32.0 20.0 26.9 21.4 31.9 23.3 22.0 25.4 43.3 42.5 23.5 42.9 20.9 25.5 42.2 42.3 27.2 35.7 20.1 28.8 20.6 30.5 22.4 23.2 26.3 43.0 42.3 23.7 46.1 21.4 24.6 43.2 42.3 26.0 35.9 19.5 29.2 Median (Aaa to A3) 26.2 24.4 23.0 23.9 24.1 25.3 31.8 28.5 30.5 26.9 27.2 26.3 Mean (Aaa to A3) 29.8 28.3 27.0 27.2 26.8 29.2 32.6 30.3 30.2 30.4 30.5 30.6 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait [4] Macao Malaysia [5] Oman [3] Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [6] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 78 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government Consolidated emirate and federal governments 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 79 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 15.4 15.8 33.3 40.2 39.1 17.2 16.5 45.6 28.1 18.7 21.4 34.9 33.0 26.0 17.9 31.7 26.2 19.3 33.5 34.9 34.3 — 16.8 24.6 39.5 24.2 17.3 16.0 30.5 38.5 38.6 16.9 16.1 44.0 26.4 18.6 22.0 35.9 33.2 23.8 17.5 28.7 24.4 18.7 33.6 31.7 35.1 — 17.1 25.7 35.6 23.3 17.1 16.4 29.6 40.0 37.3 17.8 15.8 42.2 26.0 18.4 22.1 35.8 33.2 24.3 17.8 27.4 23.5 18.9 33.6 32.8 34.8 — 18.0 28.2 33.0 22.4 20.2 17.3 28.2 39.2 34.4 17.9 15.1 41.6 25.8 20.0 19.8 38.3 33.5 23.5 18.2 27.3 23.7 17.9 35.5 31.1 34.3 — 16.3 33.1 33.4 22.6 21.4 19.0 27.5 38.5 39.2 18.0 14.9 42.3 26.4 19.2 23.7 36.0 34.6 22.4 18.3 26.8 23.3 18.1 38.2 33.1 34.5 26.2 19.1 30.2 33.8 22.6 26.6 19.2 27.4 38.6 38.4 17.7 15.7 57.7 28.4 19.9 27.1 39.1 37.2 24.4 19.8 29.9 24.5 18.9 39.3 34.3 36.5 27.2 17.6 32.5 34.6 21.7 29.7 21.2 30.5 38.8 41.4 19.2 17.4 51.0 28.6 16.7 23.5 43.7 44.9 28.0 20.4 32.5 25.4 20.5 41.1 41.4 38.2 26.1 20.5 33.9 40.1 22.8 27.7 21.8 34.2 39.6 37.4 17.3 19.5 51.6 27.5 16.2 22.6 43.4 42.4 25.1 20.1 32.6 26.4 20.3 40.1 38.0 37.8 25.8 18.1 36.3 38.5 22.7 29.6 23.5 30.9 39.0 35.6 17.2 18.7 47.3 28.1 17.4 22.3 38.4 38.9 24.7 20.2 39.2 26.6 19.2 39.4 35.8 38.6 23.7 18.3 35.4 36.8 21.8 29.2 24.8 34.9 38.6 35.7 18.0 18.8 46.5 28.3 18.0 22.7 36.5 36.2 23.3 20.0 37.1 26.6 19.7 36.4 36.5 38.5 32.0 21.9 35.6 39.2 22.5 28.7 23.4 34.9 38.6 36.0 18.2 19.4 45.6 29.2 18.4 21.8 36.0 35.6 24.3 19.7 38.8 27.3 20.5 35.3 36.7 38.3 32.6 21.0 36.6 39.0 22.3 27.4 24.3 35.2 39.0 36.0 18.3 20.2 44.1 30.2 18.0 22.0 35.6 34.8 22.8 19.8 36.3 27.7 20.6 35.5 36.2 38.0 34.5 20.5 35.8 39.0 22.4 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 26.2 25.7 26.0 25.8 26.3 27.3 29.1 27.6 28.8 30.6 30.9 32.3 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 27.5 26.8 26.7 26.7 27.2 29.0 30.7 30.1 29.5 29.9 29.9 29.8 Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [4] St. Maarten [7] Thailand [1] Trinidad & Tobago [8] Turkey Uruguay [1] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 44.3 22.4 14.6 30.9 31.7 43.8 19.9 17.8 15.1 49.7 36.8 — 27.3 30.5 14.7 18.5 19.9 26.9 35.8 20.6 14.8 29.5 32.0 42.4 18.7 23.4 13.4 49.1 37.7 — 27.7 27.2 14.7 17.5 23.2 26.8 32.2 21.8 15.0 30.0 32.7 41.4 19.3 26.8 13.7 50.1 38.8 — 32.5 23.3 15.0 17.0 20.8 26.7 35.5 21.4 14.7 29.4 29.2 41.2 20.4 30.2 14.7 52.2 36.4 41.3 29.4 23.3 15.6 16.7 20.4 26.2 34.5 23.7 14.1 30.9 30.5 41.9 20.2 34.1 14.3 50.7 37.0 43.3 30.1 25.8 14.8 16.7 25.0 26.2 56.6 23.2 17.2 35.2 32.8 40.5 21.9 36.9 13.6 49.2 34.4 47.5 31.8 31.0 13.6 16.5 22.8 26.9 44.2 30.2 14.3 34.3 34.9 43.1 23.0 38.4 14.2 51.4 35.0 49.4 31.1 28.8 17.5 17.7 26.8 24.7 38.2 28.2 14.6 35.9 30.9 43.3 22.8 34.9 14.5 49.8 30.4 45.2 31.9 29.8 15.9 16.9 24.7 24.3 38.6 26.8 16.1 33.9 33.9 42.5 23.0 31.8 14.6 49.6 33.2 45.2 34.6 25.8 16.7 16.0 27.2 28.5 36.2 26.2 17.6 34.8 34.1 42.2 23.2 31.8 14.0 48.5 31.0 43.0 35.5 27.7 20.0 16.8 28.0 29.3 40.2 27.4 18.5 35.0 34.2 43.1 23.2 30.6 14.2 49.6 30.8 41.7 34.3 26.8 20.3 17.1 27.8 29.4 37.3 26.6 18.3 34.0 34.5 43.4 23.0 29.8 14.4 50.3 31.1 40.2 33.5 24.7 20.2 17.2 27.4 28.8 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 26.9 26.8 26.7 27.7 28.1 31.4 30.6 30.1 30.2 30.1 30.0 29.3 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 27.3 26.7 26.9 27.7 28.5 30.6 31.1 29.6 29.9 30.0 30.2 29.7 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [3] Georgia Guatemala [4] Hungary Jordan [4] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [4] Philippines [6] Suriname [4] Tunisia [4] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 80 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government 19. General Government Expenditure/GDP (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 81 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 28.7 20.1 47.0 32.7 48.0 16.2 51.9 12.0 15.4 35.2 33.0 20.4 21.3 31.7 24.4 35.9 33.3 33.3 20.8 18.4 — 21.3 22.9 26.7 38.9 32.0 26.4 30.8 29.6 20.9 45.6 32.4 43.7 14.4 53.0 14.6 15.0 33.9 31.3 20.5 19.8 31.1 23.5 32.9 34.6 31.6 20.8 16.4 32.8 23.3 22.8 25.7 41.5 31.9 26.2 26.6 28.5 22.0 48.0 28.7 43.1 12.8 63.7 15.8 15.0 33.2 31.2 19.5 19.8 28.8 22.6 31.5 37.0 25.1 21.2 17.2 35.2 24.0 23.8 28.2 44.1 33.3 27.3 26.1 29.4 22.4 47.6 30.3 41.9 14.2 63.2 16.1 15.0 37.8 32.6 21.8 19.2 30.6 24.0 35.9 39.8 30.5 21.3 18.4 34.2 27.2 24.3 27.7 44.6 38.8 27.6 23.5 29.3 19.1 49.0 30.8 41.7 14.7 68.2 17.1 16.9 35.3 31.5 23.1 22.0 32.2 23.5 35.0 42.0 34.7 21.2 19.3 34.8 26.5 23.5 27.6 43.8 35.2 29.4 24.3 31.8 19.8 52.6 28.1 43.7 16.1 78.1 19.6 23.3 36.0 29.0 29.9 22.4 34.6 27.1 33.7 41.6 37.2 22.1 22.2 35.0 26.3 22.6 29.8 47.4 33.0 27.7 23.8 33.4 23.3 46.4 28.8 44.2 20.4 75.3 16.8 23.1 34.6 33.4 24.2 23.1 38.7 26.6 32.8 45.2 35.6 22.9 19.9 29.9 26.6 24.9 31.7 48.6 32.1 30.6 21.3 29.9 24.1 43.4 29.5 50.8 20.6 70.1 16.3 23.9 33.4 30.7 25.7 21.5 33.1 32.2 30.6 40.8 36.4 22.5 20.3 30.7 27.0 22.8 30.3 49.0 22.9 29.6 22.6 28.7 25.3 36.0 30.0 49.2 20.6 70.6 15.7 23.6 31.8 35.7 25.5 21.6 31.8 29.3 29.6 39.0 34.3 19.9 19.1 30.6 29.1 21.4 30.0 45.6 26.4 28.0 23.9 27.8 28.0 40.1 28.1 49.6 20.0 71.0 20.6 24.0 33.4 33.3 34.7 22.8 30.2 28.2 32.2 40.3 41.9 22.8 19.1 30.4 29.1 19.7 27.3 49.3 28.3 27.5 25.4 28.1 27.3 40.0 29.2 49.4 20.0 71.6 19.3 23.7 38.8 33.2 34.2 22.0 29.1 31.8 33.0 39.9 39.8 22.7 20.0 36.6 28.0 19.2 28.0 48.0 28.6 26.5 26.5 27.8 26.2 39.0 28.7 48.4 19.8 71.8 18.5 23.5 37.1 34.1 34.1 21.7 28.0 30.8 32.8 39.7 39.0 22.7 20.4 34.4 27.3 19.0 28.3 47.3 28.0 26.2 26.3 Median (B1 to C) 28.7 28.1 27.7 28.5 29.3 29.4 30.3 29.7 29.2 28.3 28.8 28.2 Mean (B1 to C) 28.8 28.4 28.8 30.0 30.4 31.9 31.9 31.1 30.4 31.6 31.9 31.5 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [2] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [2] Ecuador [2] Egypt [3] Fiji [4] Ghana [5] Honduras [2] Jamaica Kenya [6] Lebanon [2] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea [2] Senegal [2] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [2] Ukraine Venezuela [2] Vietnam [7] Zambia [2] B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Series break in 2007 Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Gross expenditures including amortization Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 On-budget only; Excludes "Carry forward expenditures" 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 82 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.9 -1.5 -0.2 0.5 -6.6 -0.1 1.7 2.5 -4.1 -4.2 -5.7 -3.2 0.4 -3.6 -7.8 0.5 -9.0 -3.1 3.5 7.4 -3.7 -1.1 -2.8 -2.7 -0.3 -1.3 -1.4 -3.4 -5.0 1.2 -4.4 -0.2 1.6 -4.1 1.9 1.6 2.3 -3.6 -3.8 -7.4 1.6 1.4 -3.6 -5.9 -1.1 -4.6 -1.7 4.2 11.1 -4.0 -0.1 -2.4 -2.3 -0.1 0.4 -1.3 -3.5 -5.2 1.5 -1.7 -2.6 2.5 -2.5 5.0 1.6 2.7 -3.0 -3.3 -5.6 1.0 1.7 -4.5 -4.8 0.0 -2.9 -0.3 4.8 15.0 -6.5 0.7 -2.8 -1.5 1.3 1.9 -0.6 -3.4 -4.1 2.0 -1.5 0.3 2.8 -1.2 5.0 2.5 4.1 -2.4 -1.7 -6.0 3.8 2.9 -3.4 -3.6 1.4 -2.7 0.5 4.1 18.3 -4.6 0.0 -3.2 -1.4 2.4 2.2 0.9 -2.7 -2.8 1.6 -0.9 -0.1 2.6 3.5 4.8 2.4 5.3 -2.8 0.2 -6.8 7.3 0.1 -1.6 -2.1 3.7 -2.3 0.2 3.2 17.3 -3.1 2.8 -1.8 0.0 1.9 3.6 1.3 -2.8 -2.5 1.4 -0.9 -1.1 0.9 0.9 3.3 -2.9 4.3 -3.3 -0.1 -9.9 0.1 -7.4 -2.7 -4.1 3.2 -4.6 0.5 1.5 18.8 -3.6 0.1 -2.1 -1.9 -4.5 2.2 1.8 -5.0 -3.8 -3.4 -4.1 -5.6 -3.1 -6.1 -2.8 -2.0 -2.7 -7.6 -3.1 -15.6 1.5 -13.9 -5.4 -10.4 -0.8 -3.7 -5.6 -1.5 10.5 -10.2 -0.3 -8.0 -6.2 -11.2 -1.0 0.5 -11.4 -10.9 -5.5 -4.5 -3.9 -3.3 -5.3 -2.7 0.2 -2.8 -7.1 -4.1 -10.8 4.1 -30.9 -4.3 -9.3 -0.9 -3.6 -5.1 -5.1 11.1 -9.8 0.3 -7.7 -5.9 -9.7 0.0 0.2 -10.2 -9.8 -4.7 -2.5 -3.9 -2.5 -6.3 -2.0 1.2 -1.1 -5.3 -0.8 -9.6 3.8 -13.1 -3.7 -9.9 -0.2 -2.8 -4.5 -4.9 13.4 -4.4 1.2 -5.1 -6.4 -9.4 0.0 0.3 -7.8 -8.9 -4.2 -2.5 -4.0 -2.2 -6.3 -4.1 -0.3 -2.3 -4.9 0.2 -10.0 3.1 -7.6 -2.9 -10.0 -0.8 -3.3 -4.1 -2.6 13.9 -6.4 1.1 -4.3 -4.0 -10.6 -0.7 0.3 -6.3 -7.3 -2.4 -1.9 -3.1 -1.6 -9.0 -1.7 -0.3 -2.2 -4.0 -0.4 -3.9 -0.2 -7.5 -3.0 -9.1 -0.9 -3.4 -3.8 -1.8 13.7 -5.5 0.8 -3.1 -7.8 -6.2 -0.2 0.4 -6.8 -4.7 -1.4 -1.5 -3.3 -0.9 -11.0 -1.7 0.2 -1.6 -3.5 0.5 -2.8 1.0 -4.4 -2.8 -7.2 -0.2 -3.2 -3.6 -0.5 13.5 -4.0 0.6 -3.0 -5.8 -5.4 0.1 0.5 -6.3 -4.3 Median -1.5 -1.3 -0.6 0.3 0.2 -0.9 -4.1 -4.5 -3.9 -4.0 -3.0 -2.8 Mean -1.8 -1.1 -0.4 0.6 1.2 -0.7 -5.0 -5.1 -3.4 -3.2 -2.7 -2.1 Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong [2] Ireland Italy Japan [2] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore [2] Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland [3] United Kingdom United States of America [4] Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait [4] Macao Malaysia [5] Oman [6] Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [7] Median (Aaa to A3) • 83 • Mean (Aaa to A3) Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -0.2 -0.2 1.1 -0.4 -2.1 -6.7 -6.1 1.0 15.2 4.2 -4.8 6.8 -6.2 5.9 4.5 -2.5 1.9 -0.5 1.3 -2.1 2.1 -1.3 -2.8 -4.3 0.7 19.1 7.5 -4.0 6.2 -5.4 14.9 11.0 -2.8 5.9 -0.6 8.8 -0.1 4.4 -1.2 -3.2 -2.6 0.6 40.1 7.4 -3.4 12.9 -4.1 8.4 17.7 -0.6 15.1 -1.4 12.6 2.7 7.3 -0.7 -2.4 -1.3 0.7 31.5 8.4 -3.2 14.1 -3.6 7.9 19.9 -0.3 18.9 -2.2 5.5 -1.5 7.8 0.6 -0.7 -0.6 3.8 37.5 20.9 -3.1 12.1 -1.9 9.8 11.3 -0.4 16.0 -3.8 -6.3 -5.6 3.9 -0.4 -2.2 -2.6 1.5 15.3 19.1 -4.6 16.8 -3.7 10.2 29.8 -0.9 16.8 -4.2 -12.3 -8.1 -4.4 -2.2 -5.8 -5.6 -1.7 31.8 20.2 -6.7 -0.3 -7.4 12.4 -5.4 -4.5 -12.8 -3.9 -6.7 -3.6 -0.5 -1.7 -4.8 -3.8 1.4 20.4 22.1 -5.4 5.3 -7.9 2.4 4.4 -3.3 -2.2 -3.7 -0.2 -3.2 1.3 -1.2 -3.3 -3.3 1.5 24.0 26.2 -4.8 6.3 -5.0 8.2 11.6 -2.2 3.1 -4.4 0.7 -3.1 0.6 -1.8 -4.4 -4.5 1.5 29.9 20.9 -4.5 3.8 -3.9 8.2 13.7 -2.4 8.5 -5.9 0.6 -1.0 0.5 -2.3 -3.0 -4.8 1.2 27.9 13.2 -4.3 5.7 -3.5 11.1 9.3 -2.5 4.7 -5.2 0.5 -0.5 -0.1 -2.5 -2.8 -3.4 1.0 25.0 10.4 -4.0 3.3 -3.3 9.4 8.7 -1.9 3.5 -0.2 0.7 0.6 2.7 3.8 -0.4 -4.5 -2.2 -0.2 0.6 0.5 -0.1 0.7 2.7 5.9 6.5 6.8 4.9 -1.0 0.7 3.3 3.5 2.8 2.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government Central government; Includes oil revenues transferred to the State General Reserve Fund Consolidated emirate and federal governments 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 84 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -0.4 -2.6 -2.0 -5.7 -0.4 -4.1 -2.4 -2.8 -8.3 -1.7 4.0 -1.6 -1.3 -6.2 -1.0 -6.4 -4.6 -1.6 -1.5 1.4 -2.6 — 0.4 1.1 -8.0 -4.3 -0.1 -2.3 0.3 -3.3 1.9 -3.7 -2.5 0.0 -7.2 -1.0 2.6 -1.0 -1.5 -4.4 -0.9 -2.5 -4.0 -1.2 -1.2 4.9 -2.0 — 0.1 0.3 -4.4 -2.4 -0.7 -2.2 3.5 -3.4 1.0 -4.2 -1.9 4.9 -6.5 -0.5 6.0 -0.4 -0.5 -4.9 -0.7 -0.2 -2.2 -0.6 -1.2 8.2 0.3 — -0.6 2.5 -0.7 -1.6 0.5 -1.8 2.7 -3.4 1.9 -3.1 -0.8 6.3 -5.4 -0.9 7.7 -0.5 -0.4 -4.5 -1.5 4.1 0.5 2.1 -2.2 8.3 1.0 — 1.1 1.6 -0.2 -1.0 -0.2 -2.2 1.9 -2.0 1.2 -2.8 0.6 5.4 -4.0 -1.3 5.1 -0.4 -1.0 -2.1 -1.6 5.1 2.7 2.7 -2.9 6.8 1.5 -4.2 -1.7 0.2 -1.6 -1.6 0.2 -1.6 4.9 -1.9 1.7 -1.7 0.2 -13.5 -8.3 -0.1 1.2 -4.2 -3.3 -2.2 -1.3 2.0 0.5 2.4 -5.7 4.9 -0.6 -6.0 -1.1 1.8 -2.5 -1.1 -0.7 -4.5 -6.6 -3.2 -4.3 -3.7 -3.4 -9.9 -9.4 -1.6 -1.3 -9.7 -9.4 -6.6 -1.9 -1.2 -1.1 -1.5 -9.0 -6.3 -4.8 -7.2 -4.4 -5.0 -5.9 -1.5 -0.9 -5.2 -7.0 -2.8 -3.1 -3.5 -5.2 -10.1 -6.8 -0.7 1.5 -8.1 -7.2 -3.2 -2.4 -4.6 -1.8 -0.2 -6.8 -3.4 -4.1 -6.0 -2.6 -2.2 -3.4 -1.2 0.6 -2.1 -1.7 -2.9 -2.0 -2.0 -4.1 -5.6 -8.1 -1.1 5.9 -3.6 -5.5 -3.2 -2.3 -7.2 -2.3 1.8 -5.6 1.5 -4.2 0.8 -1.3 -2.7 -0.7 -0.6 0.3 -5.6 -7.0 -2.2 -0.8 -1.9 -4.4 -3.4 -7.2 -1.8 4.6 -1.2 -3.3 -1.8 -2.4 -2.8 -2.7 1.9 -2.9 0.4 -4.9 -4.3 -4.1 -4.4 -2.0 -2.0 0.2 -7.0 -5.6 -2.7 -1.2 -1.8 -4.9 -2.5 -7.2 -2.3 4.8 -1.2 -2.9 -2.3 -2.0 -5.5 -3.0 1.2 -1.8 -0.3 -4.5 -4.3 -3.1 -4.8 -2.0 -1.7 0.0 -6.0 -5.6 -2.9 -0.8 -1.7 -5.1 -1.7 -7.5 -1.9 4.4 -0.9 -2.4 -1.7 -2.1 -4.6 -3.0 1.0 -1.5 -1.0 -4.0 -4.5 -2.3 -4.0 -2.0 -1.4 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) -2.0 -1.2 -0.6 -0.2 -0.7 -1.1 -4.5 -3.4 -2.2 -2.5 -2.4 -2.0 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) -2.5 -1.4 -0.3 0.5 0.1 -1.4 -4.8 -3.9 -2.2 -2.5 -2.6 -2.4 Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania [7] Russia South Africa [4] St. Maarten [8] Thailand [9] Trinidad & Tobago [10] Turkey Uruguay [1] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 As per ESA 95 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Differences from balance suggested by revenue and expenditure lines attributed to extrabudgetary balance Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -6.4 -1.3 -3.4 -2.2 -7.7 -4.7 -3.7 -1.8 -2.6 -7.3 -2.0 — -4.2 -2.9 -0.5 -4.4 1.1 -5.4 1.1 -1.5 -3.4 -2.1 -5.7 -3.4 -2.4 -0.3 -1.1 -6.5 -1.1 — -3.8 8.1 1.4 -3.7 -2.0 -5.2 8.5 -1.7 -3.7 -2.3 -2.3 -2.8 -3.0 -2.6 -1.7 -7.9 -5.6 — -6.2 13.0 0.7 -2.6 -0.9 -5.4 10.9 -1.3 -3.3 -2.8 3.5 -2.6 -2.9 -3.4 -1.9 -9.5 -4.0 1.1 -2.0 8.9 0.4 -1.1 1.5 -5.0 11.3 -1.5 -3.2 -3.3 2.3 -2.1 -2.0 -4.8 -1.4 -5.1 -4.7 6.7 -0.1 -0.8 0.9 -1.5 4.3 -5.1 -5.6 -0.7 -5.3 -5.3 0.0 -1.3 -3.2 -6.2 -1.6 -3.7 -4.3 1.6 0.7 -0.6 2.3 -1.3 1.5 -3.1 -9.6 -7.5 -3.6 -7.9 -2.0 -4.2 -5.7 -9.2 -3.1 -4.6 -8.5 -3.6 -1.8 -3.9 0.1 -3.7 0.8 -3.0 5.3 -5.0 -3.2 -9.0 -0.1 -5.1 -4.3 -6.6 -3.3 -4.4 -5.6 -3.0 -4.4 -4.1 1.2 -3.5 -2.9 -1.1 10.2 -2.8 -4.2 -4.7 -1.1 -5.2 -3.9 -3.6 -2.8 4.2 -6.8 -5.4 -6.8 -3.4 0.7 -2.0 -0.1 -3.9 8.5 -2.1 -4.6 -7.3 1.9 -4.1 -3.4 -3.0 -2.4 -2.0 -8.2 -4.0 -7.6 -2.9 -1.7 -2.4 -3.6 -5.6 2.3 -2.6 -4.7 -6.5 1.5 -5.1 -3.3 -2.9 -2.5 -3.0 -5.2 -3.5 -6.1 -1.8 -1.3 -2.1 -3.5 -5.9 4.2 -2.2 -4.2 -5.0 0.5 -5.8 -3.0 -2.2 -2.6 -3.3 -5.3 -3.0 -5.3 -1.4 -1.1 -2.0 -3.2 -5.5 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -3.4 -2.1 -2.6 -2.0 -1.5 -1.5 -3.8 -3.8 -3.5 -3.2 -3.2 -3.0 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -3.5 -1.8 -1.6 -0.7 -0.6 -2.0 -4.5 -3.3 -2.3 -3.0 -3.1 -2.8 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [3] Georgia Guatemala [4] Hungary Jordan [4] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [4] Philippines [6] Suriname [4] Tunisia [4] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 85 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government 20. General Government Financial Balance/GDP • 86 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [1] Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji [3] Ghana [4] Honduras [1] Jamaica Kenya [5] Lebanon [1] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [1] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam [6] Zambia [1] -4.6 0.5 -1.1 -8.0 -0.4 -6.6 -3.0 0.9 -0.7 -9.0 -5.8 -3.4 -4.7 -5.1 -4.9 -13.8 0.7 -3.3 -4.1 -1.2 — -1.3 -7.3 -1.8 -0.9 0.4 -5.4 -6.0 -5.0 2.6 0.4 -9.5 -0.2 -4.1 -3.7 -0.8 -0.9 -8.3 -3.1 -3.0 -2.6 -4.2 -2.3 -9.7 0.7 -1.7 -3.3 -1.7 1.6 -2.9 -7.5 -1.1 -4.4 2.5 -3.3 -2.9 -3.5 1.8 -0.7 -3.4 0.7 -2.5 -4.6 -0.4 -0.4 -8.4 -3.3 -2.8 -2.2 -2.9 -1.0 -8.6 1.5 2.4 -3.1 -3.1 0.1 -3.2 -7.0 -4.7 -2.3 4.4 -4.2 -2.8 -3.3 1.8 1.4 -4.1 2.0 -2.7 -3.2 -0.3 -0.2 -9.2 -2.9 -4.7 -1.1 -4.5 0.6 -10.5 0.0 3.0 -2.0 -3.7 3.2 -6.0 -7.0 -3.3 -1.4 -1.2 -0.6 20.2 -3.3 1.1 0.4 -0.6 0.2 -2.9 -3.2 0.2 -0.3 -7.5 -2.1 -5.6 -2.9 -4.1 -2.0 -10.9 -0.2 2.6 -1.2 -3.9 2.4 -3.8 -6.9 -2.5 -2.0 -2.1 -1.0 -1.3 -5.1 1.4 -2.0 0.4 -3.2 -3.1 -6.9 -4.0 -1.0 -8.0 0.5 -11.3 -2.4 -7.4 -5.2 -9.7 -1.0 -4.5 -2.2 -7.3 -2.2 -4.8 -7.0 -0.6 -3.2 -1.6 -1.9 -0.8 -7.4 -0.6 -0.7 -1.6 -5.1 -8.4 -4.8 -3.3 -4.3 -6.9 -4.1 -5.6 -6.0 -11.1 -4.8 -8.3 -6.3 -5.2 -3.1 -5.2 -0.2 -5.0 -9.9 -1.7 -6.3 -7.5 -4.8 -2.5 -4.2 0.2 -1.8 -1.7 -3.9 -7.5 -3.5 -2.9 -1.7 -8.3 -2.1 -6.5 -4.7 -6.3 -8.4 -7.7 -2.5 0.5 -1.4 -5.9 0.7 -5.2 -8.0 -2.9 -5.8 -3.6 -3.4 -3.0 -3.5 -1.7 2.8 -1.1 -2.6 -7.5 -3.4 -2.4 -1.6 -9.8 -1.4 -4.0 -4.6 -6.4 -5.6 -6.1 -2.4 5.7 1.9 -6.4 -0.2 -6.7 -6.9 -2.6 -2.8 -4.0 -4.2 -2.2 -3.4 -2.6 0.7 -0.6 -2.8 -6.2 -3.0 -6.6 -1.7 -10.7 -1.6 -11.9 -6.0 -5.3 -6.9 -9.5 -2.1 -8.0 -0.7 -6.5 -1.5 -5.9 -6.4 -1.8 -4.6 -4.8 -4.8 -4.4 -3.2 -2.5 0.2 -1.9 -2.6 -5.6 -3.4 -3.8 -1.5 -13.0 -2.9 -10.0 -4.9 -4.7 -7.0 -9.7 -2.0 -6.1 -0.9 -6.6 -7.2 -4.6 -6.2 -2.1 -4.5 -4.0 -4.5 -4.9 -3.0 -2.4 -0.1 -1.9 -2.5 -5.3 -3.7 -2.8 -1.6 -10.0 -3.1 -8.2 -4.6 -4.6 -6.0 -8.9 -1.7 -4.0 -1.0 -7.1 -5.9 -3.8 -6.0 -1.9 -5.4 -3.0 -4.0 -5.2 Median (B1 to C) -3.4 -2.9 -2.8 -1.7 -2.0 -3.1 -5.0 -3.6 -3.1 -4.7 -4.5 -3.9 Mean (B1 to C) -3.7 -2.8 -2.3 -1.4 -2.3 -3.7 -5.0 -4.0 -3.2 -4.6 -4.7 -4.2 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes amortization Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Includes "Brought forward revenue," "Carry forward expenditures," and off-budget expenditures 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 87 • Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong [2] Ireland Italy Japan [2] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore [2] Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland [3] United Kingdom United States of America [4] Median Mean Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.8 1.4 5.1 5.8 -3.0 2.8 1.9 4.4 -1.2 -1.1 -0.7 -3.2 1.7 1.5 -5.1 0.7 -5.7 -0.6 5.4 9.2 -1.0 -0.9 -0.3 -0.7 2.0 1.0 -0.3 -1.4 -2.8 2.0 -1.6 4.5 6.5 -0.8 4.5 1.9 4.0 -0.8 -0.9 -2.6 1.6 2.5 1.2 -3.4 -0.9 -1.0 0.7 6.0 12.5 -1.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.6 1.9 2.2 -0.3 -1.5 -3.1 2.2 1.2 1.7 7.0 1.1 7.1 1.8 4.4 -0.3 -0.5 -1.0 1.0 2.7 0.2 -2.4 0.2 0.7 2.1 6.5 16.2 -4.0 0.8 -1.1 0.1 3.1 3.8 0.5 -1.3 -1.8 2.7 1.2 4.3 7.0 2.1 6.8 2.6 5.6 0.2 1.2 -1.3 3.9 4.0 1.2 -1.9 1.5 0.7 2.7 5.7 19.8 -1.8 0.0 -1.7 0.0 4.0 3.9 1.9 -0.7 -0.4 2.3 1.9 3.8 6.6 6.6 6.4 2.6 6.8 0.0 3.0 -2.0 7.4 1.1 3.4 -0.2 3.9 1.0 2.4 4.6 18.6 -0.2 2.8 -0.4 1.2 3.5 5.3 2.1 -0.6 0.0 2.0 1.7 2.8 4.7 3.8 4.7 -2.7 5.8 -0.4 2.7 -4.8 0.1 -6.0 2.5 -2.1 3.5 -1.5 2.7 2.9 20.2 -0.6 0.1 -0.8 -0.8 -2.9 3.8 2.4 -2.8 -1.4 -2.7 -1.3 -1.9 0.7 -3.6 -0.9 -1.8 -1.3 -5.1 -0.4 -10.5 1.6 -11.8 -0.8 -8.4 -0.5 -0.6 -3.4 0.0 12.0 -7.3 -0.3 -6.6 -4.9 -9.4 0.2 1.1 -9.5 -8.8 -4.7 -1.8 -0.4 0.3 -3.0 -0.8 0.3 -1.4 -4.7 -1.6 -4.9 4.2 -27.7 0.1 -7.3 -0.5 -0.6 -3.1 -3.5 12.4 -7.0 0.3 -6.3 -4.3 -7.7 1.1 0.8 -7.2 -7.7 -3.7 0.2 -0.4 1.1 -3.9 -0.1 1.3 0.3 -2.7 1.8 -2.4 3.8 -9.9 1.2 -7.7 0.2 0.3 -2.4 -2.9 14.5 -0.4 1.2 -3.5 -4.4 -7.0 1.2 0.8 -4.5 -6.6 -2.9 0.1 -0.5 1.1 -3.1 -2.2 -0.1 -0.8 -2.3 2.6 -5.0 3.2 -3.9 2.5 -7.8 -0.4 -0.2 -2.2 -0.5 14.7 -2.0 1.1 -2.5 -1.9 -7.7 0.2 0.7 -3.4 -5.2 -0.9 0.7 0.2 1.6 -5.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.9 -1.5 2.0 -0.1 -0.2 -2.3 2.5 -6.9 -0.5 -0.3 -1.9 0.3 14.7 -1.1 0.8 -1.2 -5.2 -2.7 0.8 0.7 -3.8 -2.5 0.3 1.1 0.0 2.2 -6.5 0.0 0.4 -0.3 -0.9 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.6 2.6 -5.0 0.2 0.0 -1.7 1.7 14.5 0.3 0.6 -1.1 -3.1 -1.6 1.1 0.9 -3.1 -2.2 -0.3 0.1 1.0 1.9 2.6 1.7 -1.8 -1.8 -0.4 -0.8 -0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.2 1.4 -3.0 -3.0 -1.2 -1.0 -0.4 0.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.7 -1.4 -5.6 -0.2 1.9 15.8 4.2 -2.4 7.5 -3.2 8.0 8.8 -1.1 2.0 -0.3 2.0 -1.7 3.0 -0.8 -1.8 1.3 1.7 19.5 7.5 -1.7 7.0 -2.6 16.4 14.3 -1.6 6.0 -0.4 9.5 0.3 5.2 -0.8 -2.2 2.5 1.7 40.4 7.4 -1.3 13.4 -1.3 9.5 19.9 0.4 15.3 -1.1 13.0 3.1 8.0 -0.3 -1.3 3.4 2.0 32.0 8.4 -1.1 14.5 -1.0 8.8 22.0 0.8 19.4 -1.9 5.9 -1.1 8.4 1.0 0.4 4.0 5.2 37.9 20.9 -1.2 12.6 0.4 10.4 12.8 0.7 16.6 -3.5 -5.9 -5.2 4.4 0.0 -1.2 1.1 2.9 15.6 19.1 -3.0 17.1 -1.5 10.7 30.8 0.1 17.3 -3.6 -11.8 -7.3 -3.9 -1.8 -4.5 -1.9 -0.2 32.0 20.2 -4.7 -0.1 -4.8 13.4 -4.5 -3.4 -12.3 -3.0 -6.2 -2.5 0.0 -1.2 -3.4 -0.2 2.6 20.4 22.1 -3.5 5.4 -5.2 3.5 5.0 -2.5 -1.6 -2.4 0.4 -1.9 1.8 -0.6 -1.9 0.2 2.6 24.0 26.2 -2.8 6.5 -2.3 9.4 11.9 -1.3 3.7 -3.7 1.2 -2.3 1.1 -0.9 -2.9 -1.3 2.6 29.9 20.9 -2.4 3.9 -1.1 9.0 14.0 -1.5 9.1 -4.2 1.1 -0.2 1.0 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 2.3 28.0 13.2 -2.1 5.8 -0.9 12.6 9.5 -1.7 5.5 -3.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 -1.5 -1.2 0.0 2.0 25.0 10.4 -1.8 3.5 -0.6 10.8 8.9 -1.1 4.3 Median (Aaa to A3) 0.7 1.7 2.5 3.4 5.2 1.1 -3.6 -1.2 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.4 Mean (Aaa to A3) 2.1 4.0 7.0 7.7 7.8 5.8 0.1 1.8 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.4 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait [4] Macao Malaysia [5] Oman [3] Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [6] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 88 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government Consolidated emirate and federal governments 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 89 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.1 -1.2 -0.7 3.4 1.8 -0.3 1.9 -0.1 -2.0 1.5 4.8 -0.9 0.0 -2.0 1.1 -4.2 -0.9 0.5 0.1 3.0 1.1 — 1.8 5.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 -0.7 1.4 3.8 3.8 -0.2 1.6 2.5 -1.4 1.7 3.2 -0.3 -0.6 -0.6 1.1 -0.2 -0.3 0.8 0.3 6.0 1.5 — 1.6 3.2 6.0 2.4 -0.6 -0.6 4.7 3.9 2.7 -1.1 2.3 7.1 -1.0 1.8 6.4 0.1 0.3 -1.3 1.2 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.1 9.0 3.6 — 0.6 5.1 6.5 2.7 0.6 -0.3 4.0 3.9 3.2 0.5 3.0 8.5 0.0 1.5 8.1 0.0 0.3 -0.8 0.4 6.4 4.4 3.9 -1.4 8.9 3.9 — 2.3 3.8 5.9 3.2 -0.1 -0.7 2.8 4.8 2.3 0.8 3.7 8.0 1.2 0.8 5.4 0.0 -0.3 2.1 0.1 6.9 5.7 4.5 -2.2 6.8 4.2 -1.7 -0.5 2.3 4.3 2.1 0.3 0.1 5.6 4.8 2.6 1.2 2.4 -10.2 -3.3 1.7 1.6 -3.6 -2.6 1.8 0.3 3.6 3.2 4.0 -5.0 5.1 1.9 -3.6 0.1 3.6 2.9 1.8 -0.6 -2.6 -6.0 2.7 -3.6 -0.8 -1.3 -3.4 -4.5 0.1 -0.9 -8.3 -8.2 -2.8 0.0 0.4 1.3 -0.2 -7.5 -6.0 -2.3 -5.0 -3.2 -2.4 -0.2 1.3 -0.8 -2.8 -5.9 3.0 -2.4 -0.9 -3.1 -4.5 -2.4 0.6 1.9 -6.7 -5.4 0.2 -0.8 -3.5 0.6 1.0 -5.3 -3.1 -1.5 -3.7 -1.4 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.6 -0.5 3.2 -1.2 0.5 -1.9 -0.4 -3.6 0.1 6.4 -2.1 -3.7 -0.2 -0.6 -6.0 -0.2 3.0 -3.9 1.9 -1.4 1.8 0.1 -0.8 2.7 1.9 0.6 -3.3 -5.5 2.9 0.1 0.6 -2.3 1.9 -2.6 -0.6 5.0 0.1 -1.4 1.2 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 3.0 -1.1 0.8 -2.0 -3.2 -2.8 -2.2 1.7 0.4 0.5 -4.5 -4.1 2.3 -0.3 0.4 -2.3 2.8 -2.7 -1.1 5.1 0.4 -1.0 0.7 -0.3 -3.6 -1.0 2.2 -0.2 0.3 -1.6 -3.6 -1.7 -2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 -3.5 -4.0 2.1 0.0 0.2 -2.7 3.6 -3.4 -0.7 4.6 0.7 -0.7 1.4 -0.4 -2.5 -1.1 2.0 0.1 -0.4 -1.0 -3.8 -1.0 -1.4 0.9 1.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 0.5 1.4 1.8 3.2 2.2 1.7 -2.3 -1.4 -0.2 -0.6 -0.3 -0.4 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.0 2.4 0.8 -2.4 -1.7 -0.1 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [4] St. Maarten [7] Thailand [8] Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey Uruguay [1] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Differences from balance suggested by revenue and expenditure lines attributed to extrabudgetary balance Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -4.7 -0.6 -1.6 2.1 -5.1 -3.0 -1.7 0.1 -1.3 -3.2 0.3 — -0.7 -0.5 0.7 0.6 2.7 -2.8 3.4 -1.0 -1.6 1.7 -3.0 -1.6 -0.3 1.2 0.3 -2.0 0.9 — -0.3 10.1 2.4 1.4 -0.6 -2.7 10.5 -1.3 -2.0 1.5 0.4 -1.0 -0.8 -1.6 -0.3 -3.8 -3.2 — -2.9 15.6 1.7 2.7 0.6 -2.9 12.4 -1.0 -1.5 1.1 5.3 -0.8 -0.5 -2.6 -0.6 -5.5 -1.5 2.2 1.2 9.9 1.3 3.8 3.0 -2.3 12.4 -1.2 -1.3 0.5 3.5 -0.5 0.6 -4.2 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 7.7 3.0 0.8 1.6 2.4 5.5 -2.0 -3.7 -0.3 -3.1 -0.7 0.8 0.1 -0.8 -5.6 -0.3 0.5 -1.8 2.4 3.3 1.3 2.8 2.2 2.1 -0.9 -7.9 -7.0 -1.4 -2.9 -0.4 -2.5 -3.1 -8.2 -1.7 0.1 -6.2 -2.7 0.6 -2.4 0.6 -0.3 1.6 0.1 6.5 -4.1 -1.1 -3.0 1.4 -3.2 -1.9 -5.6 -1.8 -0.2 -3.5 -1.9 -2.1 -2.1 1.6 -0.2 -2.1 0.3 11.2 -1.9 -2.2 1.5 -0.2 -3.0 -1.7 -2.4 -1.3 8.4 -4.7 -4.0 -4.5 -1.4 1.0 0.8 1.0 -2.1 9.5 -1.0 -2.4 -0.8 2.8 -1.6 -1.2 -1.6 -0.9 2.3 -5.7 -2.2 -5.2 -0.9 -1.5 0.6 -2.6 -3.8 2.9 -1.4 -2.5 0.4 2.4 -2.1 -1.0 -1.6 -1.0 1.2 -2.7 -1.8 -3.5 -0.1 -1.1 0.6 -1.9 -4.1 5.5 -1.0 -2.0 2.0 1.4 -2.7 -0.7 -1.2 -1.1 0.7 -2.7 -1.4 -2.6 -0.1 -0.9 0.5 -1.6 -3.8 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -0.7 -0.3 -0.8 0.3 0.5 -0.1 -2.1 -1.9 -1.5 -1.3 -1.2 -1.0 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -1.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.4 -0.1 -2.4 -1.3 -0.3 -0.9 -1.0 -0.6 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [3] Georgia Guatemala [4] Hungary Jordan [4] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [4] Philippines [6] Suriname [4] Tunisia [4] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 90 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government 21. General Government Primary Balance/GDP (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 91 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -0.3 2.3 -0.5 -3.9 0.3 -6.4 -1.8 2.2 1.8 -3.3 -3.3 0.9 -3.9 10.5 -1.6 2.6 2.8 -2.4 -1.8 3.5 — -0.2 -0.4 0.3 0.1 5.6 -4.3 -2.1 -1.2 3.9 0.8 -1.2 0.3 -3.8 -2.4 0.6 1.4 -2.6 -0.6 -0.4 -1.7 10.4 0.2 2.7 2.6 -0.7 -1.7 2.2 4.6 -1.7 -1.8 0.8 -3.5 6.3 -2.3 0.6 -0.3 3.7 -0.3 3.5 1.2 -2.3 -2.1 0.6 1.6 -2.9 -0.9 -0.6 -1.3 9.3 1.3 2.3 2.8 3.1 -1.6 0.6 2.3 -2.4 -2.1 -2.1 -1.5 7.3 -3.4 -0.1 -0.5 3.5 1.8 2.9 2.5 -2.6 0.5 0.9 1.8 -3.5 -0.3 -2.6 -0.3 7.6 3.3 3.1 1.1 3.5 -0.6 -0.3 5.0 -5.2 -1.9 -0.7 -0.7 0.9 0.2 22.1 -0.6 3.2 0.8 3.7 0.6 -2.7 -0.6 1.8 1.5 -2.4 1.2 -3.7 -2.3 7.0 0.5 2.2 0.9 3.0 -0.1 0.3 4.4 -3.2 -1.8 0.0 -1.5 -0.5 0.1 0.4 -2.3 3.1 -1.4 4.1 -2.8 -2.9 -4.2 -2.3 0.3 -3.4 3.4 -9.0 -1.9 4.9 -2.8 1.4 0.2 -4.2 -1.3 -2.5 -0.5 -4.1 -2.2 1.9 -2.6 -0.1 -0.8 0.9 -4.3 1.5 0.1 2.0 -4.6 -8.2 -2.1 -1.5 -3.5 -2.7 -0.7 -2.8 -5.4 6.2 -2.5 2.8 -5.0 -4.8 -2.0 -0.2 1.9 -4.3 -3.4 1.1 -5.1 -6.0 -3.5 -0.9 -0.8 1.7 -1.1 1.8 -3.4 -7.2 -1.1 -0.9 -0.9 -3.1 1.4 -3.4 -3.8 4.6 -5.7 2.8 -1.7 1.0 -0.3 -1.6 2.0 -4.2 -1.7 0.0 -4.1 -2.1 -2.1 -1.3 -0.5 0.3 3.9 2.4 -2.0 -7.2 -1.2 -0.3 -0.7 -4.2 2.4 -1.3 -3.4 3.1 -2.9 3.5 -1.6 6.1 2.9 -2.5 1.1 -5.1 -1.4 -0.2 -0.8 -1.8 -2.7 -0.7 -0.3 -0.2 2.7 1.3 -2.1 -5.9 -0.7 -4.2 -0.8 -4.7 2.0 -8.6 -4.5 4.7 -4.1 -0.7 -1.3 -7.0 0.3 -2.2 -0.1 -4.3 -1.1 0.4 -2.9 -2.2 -3.6 -2.8 -0.1 -0.5 2.1 1.1 -1.9 -5.3 -1.0 -1.3 -0.6 -6.6 0.6 -6.4 -3.4 5.1 -4.1 -0.6 -1.2 -3.9 0.2 -2.7 -5.3 -3.0 -0.7 0.2 -1.8 -1.8 -3.4 -3.1 0.2 -0.4 1.9 1.1 -1.8 -5.0 -1.3 -0.4 -0.7 -3.5 0.2 -4.5 -3.1 5.2 -3.3 0.2 -1.0 -2.2 0.2 -3.1 -3.7 -2.2 -0.4 0.5 -2.3 -0.6 -2.7 -3.5 Median (B1 to C) -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 0.7 0.3 -1.7 -2.6 -1.2 -0.8 -1.7 -1.5 -1.2 Mean (B1 to C) -0.1 0.4 0.6 1.5 0.4 -1.1 -2.1 -1.3 -0.5 -1.9 -1.8 -1.3 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [1] Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji [3] Ghana [4] Honduras [1] Jamaica Kenya [5] Lebanon [1] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [1] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia [1] B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes amortization Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 92 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 65.71 185.48 343.08 643.37 10.22 110.99 0.62 81.81 1,267.23 1,747.70 190.02 0.00 54.69 1,764.88 7,296.48 2.00 3.84 313.24 23.61 105.82 107.63 38.56 21.73 8.66 482.51 183.12 239.74 794.05 5,451.95 75.38 206.86 373.05 688.18 12.21 121.02 0.66 92.06 1,466.89 1,980.65 227.73 3.21 60.28 1,974.51 8,411.08 2.37 4.43 350.88 25.68 131.73 125.92 43.82 25.51 10.12 530.05 202.50 287.80 949.57 6,700.28 80.34 185.72 329.15 720.69 11.20 92.26 0.60 77.45 1,351.17 1,798.81 243.26 3.17 52.43 1,791.44 8,523.60 2.17 3.96 313.87 23.64 127.94 123.17 48.69 19.87 9.06 463.03 175.39 255.67 918.04 7,150.01 76.75 212.55 369.30 728.10 12.44 92.44 0.78 86.52 1,514.47 2,072.72 281.52 2.79 57.64 2,091.11 8,103.38 2.98 4.28 337.04 22.78 191.19 147.10 56.88 22.12 10.81 515.02 194.17 259.60 1,132.89 7,473.79 81.78 242.93 415.29 848.26 13.70 90.62 0.87 93.07 1,783.54 2,331.31 327.99 2.57 69.69 2,362.91 7,972.54 3.68 4.98 381.25 24.01 216.36 170.45 74.93 26.79 11.75 562.79 195.98 267.11 1,251.51 7,831.86 Median 110.99 131.73 127.94 191.19 195.98 171.60 185.74 217.10 239.68 269.80 269.16 261.41 Mean 742.71 864.98 858.48 899.07 953.81 1,027.52 1,203.44 1,328.65 1,445.58 1,551.51 1,553.58 1,568.98 Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France [2] Germany Greece Hong Kong [3] Ireland [4] Italy Japan [3] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway [5] Portugal Singapore [6] Slovakia Slovenia Spain [7] Sweden Switzerland [8] United Kingdom United States of America [9] Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013F 2014F 102.81 129.03 217.21 305.41 383.37 417.60 428.05 251.17 275.25 275.37 281.91 300.07 303.48 300.68 429.98 469.69 454.65 467.97 495.29 505.18 505.01 775.26 1,023.33 1,150.40 1,206.29 1,319.75 1,317.10 1,360.53 11.67 14.21 14.26 16.53 20.25 23.20 24.20 110.72 130.47 134.12 144.66 147.10 142.29 136.71 1.03 1.43 1.28 1.29 2.27 2.40 2.34 87.70 108.04 116.21 120.14 136.07 146.41 149.36 1,835.10 2,151.37 2,131.21 2,221.48 2,419.53 2,518.23 2,557.56 2,299.45 2,548.31 2,747.35 2,698.02 2,856.97 2,819.76 2,701.84 387.18 417.54 437.20 494.30 390.72 423.82 406.90 2.14 2.93 4.98 7.82 9.83 10.44 11.72 110.79 150.61 192.63 218.96 253.93 269.16 261.41 2,325.53 2,548.79 2,473.64 2,467.97 2,623.84 2,704.30 2,662.98 9,301.27 10,586.34 11,867.15 13,579.56 14,189.44 12,866.47 12,440.57 7.51 7.96 10.25 10.10 12.18 13.71 14.08 5.06 5.71 5.69 5.96 6.43 6.70 6.81 483.65 501.74 496.78 510.05 564.06 587.38 592.02 21.62 34.98 48.55 58.64 65.51 67.93 69.25 176.41 177.36 187.99 131.43 149.17 144.74 148.18 171.60 203.20 217.10 239.68 269.80 260.93 259.76 71.21 90.25 105.65 114.38 117.99 125.89 134.04 25.92 32.17 36.08 38.70 49.14 52.59 55.20 11.38 17.93 18.36 21.94 25.32 30.62 31.23 608.15 814.06 861.44 952.92 1,166.18 1,319.17 1,346.12 159.14 185.74 196.18 195.28 208.77 207.58 203.32 269.37 267.85 298.06 305.60 317.64 278.32 290.98 1,106.53 1,539.90 1,823.51 2,002.84 2,189.37 2,245.51 2,247.98 8,648.74 10,463.64 12,007.50 13,102.06 14,303.79 15,242.92 16,151.71 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] 2012 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes SFEF Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes NAMA debt Includes liabilities associated with repurchase and re-sale agreements of securities used in the administration of Norways sovereign wealth fund, as required by ESA accounting Excludes Special Singapore Government Securities; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Debt forecasts include Moody's estimate of bank recapitalisation needs of EUR 60 billion in 2013 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Includes Debt Held by the Public (Federal government) and credit market instruments of State and Local governments; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.16 1.01 0.17 11.10 325.86 29.95 119.44 139.04 9.01 0.00 49.68 3.59 106.06 9.48 47.08 111.10 23.23 0.18 1.10 0.19 11.13 345.05 37.91 125.63 196.78 8.98 0.00 57.01 3.82 141.25 9.09 46.88 132.41 26.77 0.22 0.71 0.22 9.37 389.55 36.01 119.76 245.13 10.13 0.00 60.49 2.98 141.97 8.55 42.56 133.03 33.39 0.26 0.61 0.22 7.67 723.39 45.42 126.96 304.13 10.29 0.00 68.59 3.22 173.87 7.94 42.25 135.55 38.96 0.34 0.66 0.25 7.09 1,088.76 56.61 136.07 319.31 13.91 0.00 80.67 2.90 217.40 6.57 48.46 138.18 45.12 0.56 0.76 0.43 7.34 1,271.68 57.08 143.39 245.37 13.90 0.00 88.46 2.87 202.86 10.56 64.53 140.64 52.05 0.82 2.06 0.62 11.10 1,712.46 70.01 157.88 308.81 11.70 0.00 105.82 3.22 240.00 34.16 48.62 160.02 64.37 1.09 2.89 0.71 20.36 2,074.13 76.63 170.73 345.64 13.25 0.00 132.03 3.25 262.08 53.73 57.16 183.67 70.08 1.35 2.68 0.74 25.93 2,274.22 78.69 165.14 367.11 12.86 0.00 143.57 3.82 251.38 65.06 55.90 195.27 78.17 1.56 2.68 0.72 32.42 2,427.55 92.30 177.98 409.49 11.05 0.00 164.02 4.68 286.09 69.86 58.87 215.05 84.57 1.90 2.62 0.71 32.59 2,714.80 91.90 189.48 441.80 11.37 0.00 181.42 5.67 285.59 78.26 60.00 226.12 89.71 2.20 2.56 0.71 33.67 3,024.69 91.63 198.97 469.58 12.27 0.00 198.90 6.55 287.85 81.88 61.87 238.81 91.51 Median (Aaa to A3) 23.23 26.77 33.39 38.96 45.12 52.05 48.62 57.16 65.06 69.86 78.26 81.88 Mean (Aaa to A3) 58.00 67.30 72.59 99.37 127.20 135.44 172.45 203.97 218.93 237.58 259.64 282.57 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China [4] Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait Macao Malaysia [5] Oman Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan [6] United Arab Emirates [7] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 93 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government debt only prior to 2006, local government debt included thereafter Federal government Excludes self-redeeming debt and Non-profit Special Fund Consolidated emirate and federal governments 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 94 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.60 1.94 3.59 352.26 10.26 41.72 6.68 4.84 544.35 133.95 4.78 1.73 4.36 3.57 148.42 1.60 8.28 28.90 13.02 136.14 75.27 — 41.20 5.63 220.45 10.79 1.78 2.10 3.87 409.93 10.25 50.08 7.29 5.24 608.59 128.88 5.14 2.15 4.80 3.45 157.66 2.01 9.45 30.89 15.95 136.94 92.25 — 46.35 5.86 248.79 11.17 1.85 2.24 3.86 517.59 7.54 58.17 7.20 4.14 654.72 122.55 4.59 1.89 4.56 3.58 173.63 2.04 9.68 29.97 14.68 106.91 86.20 — 45.27 5.68 254.30 11.88 2.20 2.39 3.75 625.42 7.53 64.32 7.41 4.91 735.53 136.18 5.36 2.22 5.68 3.42 195.67 1.87 9.11 30.51 16.58 92.49 82.50 — 54.21 5.83 250.42 11.90 2.89 2.64 3.55 871.42 7.78 70.48 7.52 6.16 891.04 144.03 6.23 2.75 7.08 4.08 216.76 1.47 9.27 31.91 21.68 115.28 79.64 0.23 60.88 6.14 287.49 13.43 3.46 2.77 3.23 745.18 6.83 71.16 6.99 9.26 798.03 149.47 8.97 6.43 7.09 3.79 219.11 1.42 9.30 30.64 24.35 110.65 59.73 0.23 61.17 6.50 249.35 13.54 5.23 3.32 4.90 1,133.89 7.32 86.43 8.11 11.75 1,013.32 169.13 11.72 9.87 11.22 4.71 255.68 1.63 10.51 34.48 40.34 140.59 88.44 0.25 77.66 7.30 294.68 16.33 5.93 3.72 7.64 1,193.21 7.78 99.41 10.84 14.16 1,134.08 186.48 15.80 10.62 13.84 4.88 290.92 2.04 10.72 36.02 49.78 167.74 138.32 0.23 99.58 7.96 302.25 16.05 6.57 3.80 9.44 1,207.02 8.13 106.97 12.46 15.85 1,134.78 198.80 19.34 10.98 15.34 5.60 289.92 3.22 12.46 38.31 57.84 202.36 138.47 0.19 97.47 8.43 269.37 18.45 7.97 4.39 12.42 1,264.84 9.70 120.98 15.73 14.76 1,261.99 201.52 23.93 11.88 17.67 5.63 342.27 2.79 14.06 40.93 66.18 223.31 148.97 0.22 114.80 11.12 284.47 20.63 8.57 4.57 14.05 1,421.70 9.73 128.08 18.07 15.68 1,353.37 220.60 28.54 13.15 18.10 5.86 405.38 3.49 15.31 41.09 69.46 282.25 161.11 0.26 128.73 13.14 287.87 21.38 9.26 4.92 15.75 1,572.96 9.93 135.32 20.76 15.49 1,485.40 237.07 33.32 12.50 18.31 6.02 444.21 4.05 16.71 43.06 73.31 324.35 177.42 0.30 137.29 14.53 294.25 21.76 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 10.26 10.25 9.68 9.11 8.53 9.28 11.73 14.98 17.15 19.15 19.74 21.26 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 72.21 80.04 85.39 94.30 110.45 100.33 132.65 147.31 149.68 163.20 180.37 197.24 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland [2] India [3] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [4] Namibia [5] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [6] St. Maarten [7] Thailand [8] Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey Uruguay [1] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward; Based on IMF data but including loans from IMF and Norway Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series volatility relates to exchange rate St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government & FIDF (Financial Institution Development Fund) bonds Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) • 95 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador [4] Georgia Guatemala [1] Hungary Jordan [1] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [1] Philippines [6] Suriname [7] Tunisia [1] — 1.16 25.44 1.57 5.86 12.10 6.09 2.22 4.52 52.82 10.16 — 35.10 42.55 2.17 60.38 0.54 16.28 7.50 1.27 27.23 1.66 7.75 15.43 6.42 2.36 5.27 68.20 10.48 — 37.90 47.30 2.21 67.75 0.59 17.58 6.60 1.21 28.32 1.94 7.70 17.10 6.80 2.27 5.67 63.59 10.61 — 36.83 32.72 2.07 73.27 0.64 16.25 6.00 1.36 28.94 2.13 6.35 17.65 7.51 1.85 6.53 81.43 11.49 0.92 40.54 17.19 2.12 78.39 0.63 17.27 11.00 1.67 30.66 2.32 5.48 19.49 7.87 2.04 7.32 97.07 12.62 1.08 43.64 22.12 2.18 89.67 0.51 18.86 21.40 1.91 35.79 2.42 6.39 20.39 8.65 2.69 7.66 103.08 13.24 1.25 41.02 21.45 2.25 88.89 0.55 18.41 20.80 3.36 38.71 2.90 6.93 22.28 10.40 3.29 8.46 108.73 15.43 1.64 44.69 25.52 2.37 94.85 0.60 19.26 22.66 3.80 39.40 3.19 7.60 25.10 11.08 3.93 10.01 104.36 17.74 1.70 46.90 34.79 2.47 107.51 0.81 17.96 21.90 4.13 43.80 3.46 8.34 29.19 12.00 4.33 11.25 94.28 20.40 1.92 50.89 41.20 2.32 112.71 0.87 19.31 22.30 4.37 45.19 3.61 7.84 31.77 13.60 5.14 12.16 101.30 24.80 2.24 59.37 48.65 3.18 131.99 1.06 21.07 27.00 4.50 51.36 3.84 7.39 35.06 14.42 5.53 13.67 98.30 28.53 2.37 64.89 54.13 3.59 140.17 1.69 21.63 29.90 4.70 60.15 4.00 7.39 36.46 15.22 5.91 15.02 93.05 31.86 2.42 68.68 58.74 3.99 148.55 1.94 23.85 8.12 7.75 7.70 7.02 9.43 10.94 12.91 14.41 15.65 17.33 18.03 19.53 17.43 19.23 18.45 18.24 20.87 22.08 23.90 25.61 26.79 29.98 32.12 33.99 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Non-financial public sector Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government Central government and government-guaranteed public debt; Includes arrears 22. General Government Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 96 • Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic [3] Ecuador [1] Egypt [4] Fiji Ghana [5] Honduras [6] Jamaica [7] Kenya [8] Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua [6] Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [9] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia Median (B1 to C) Mean (B1 to C) B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.66 178.82 1.23 0.76 2.62 2.44 13.50 5.74 13.11 67.19 1.24 9.07 4.89 10.70 9.15 31.66 1.19 1.32 5.49 63.86 2.38 4.20 19.27 — 14.72 39.42 13.95 1.19 4.36 191.30 2.20 0.95 2.84 2.64 6.10 6.58 13.32 70.23 1.39 8.31 5.17 11.86 9.69 34.42 1.09 1.43 4.38 66.27 2.43 4.18 20.45 0.31 16.10 42.78 16.55 1.20 4.31 128.63 2.54 1.02 2.65 2.57 8.20 6.82 13.44 86.85 1.39 8.32 4.35 12.09 10.36 36.84 1.01 1.35 4.40 69.17 2.35 3.78 21.76 0.33 15.47 46.85 18.89 1.77 4.98 136.72 4.11 1.06 2.78 2.56 10.03 7.41 12.39 97.03 1.73 5.31 3.13 12.88 11.37 38.17 1.05 1.47 3.64 74.11 2.20 2.05 23.98 0.34 15.95 44.13 21.37 2.61 5.91 144.73 8.29 1.07 3.08 2.69 12.07 7.56 12.85 104.97 1.76 7.41 2.15 13.11 12.78 38.85 1.19 1.55 2.36 80.89 2.23 2.88 27.98 0.28 17.57 44.09 25.51 3.21 6.42 145.98 12.82 1.08 5.49 2.89 16.61 11.22 12.71 118.06 1.64 8.35 2.79 13.03 11.20 43.70 1.14 1.60 2.38 91.03 2.53 3.04 31.72 0.30 25.30 44.08 30.16 2.67 6.65 147.12 16.74 1.10 6.41 3.01 19.87 13.25 9.34 136.01 1.62 9.34 3.48 13.90 13.89 47.12 1.31 1.97 2.65 96.27 2.60 4.31 36.38 0.33 40.47 59.91 39.58 3.74 6.44 164.33 23.05 1.13 6.65 3.41 22.30 14.82 12.39 155.44 1.86 11.87 4.62 15.63 15.18 48.44 1.57 2.59 2.85 107.99 2.49 4.54 41.37 0.38 55.08 71.84 46.98 4.17 6.74 178.96 15.45 1.15 6.87 3.92 24.77 16.59 13.68 176.44 1.96 15.45 5.57 16.60 17.48 49.32 1.63 4.05 3.04 127.82 3.38 5.33 45.07 0.40 60.00 79.37 52.70 4.58 7.32 182.74 22.71 1.16 7.87 4.35 27.55 19.24 15.12 205.47 2.03 17.84 6.37 17.10 18.99 54.00 1.74 6.22 3.22 136.57 3.73 6.19 47.22 0.44 65.96 104.78 60.95 5.50 7.62 194.68 25.63 1.14 8.25 4.80 30.38 20.94 16.50 202.16 2.17 22.27 7.34 17.63 21.00 58.25 1.74 7.60 3.41 153.85 4.95 6.81 53.70 0.47 71.71 101.55 70.04 6.10 7.71 206.30 29.12 1.15 8.65 5.17 33.18 22.50 18.08 223.41 2.35 26.34 7.95 18.60 23.52 62.42 1.71 9.36 3.61 172.10 6.07 7.19 60.94 0.49 82.06 96.81 77.45 7.36 5.74 5.63 5.61 5.15 7.48 9.78 9.34 12.13 14.57 16.11 17.06 18.34 19.36 19.59 18.48 19.45 21.04 23.21 26.37 30.34 33.51 37.58 40.09 43.63 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Non-financial public sector; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Central government; Excludes government guaranteed debt Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 23. General Government Debt/GDP • 97 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France [2] Germany Greece Hong Kong [3] Ireland [4] Italy Japan [3] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway [5] Portugal Singapore [6] Slovakia Slovenia Spain [7] Sweden Switzerland [8] United Kingdom United States of America [9] 14.1 65.3 98.4 66.8 69.6 47.2 5.6 44.5 63.2 64.4 97.4 0.0 30.7 104.1 169.6 6.1 66.0 52.0 25.9 44.4 59.4 37.8 42.4 27.2 48.8 51.7 65.8 39.1 49.7 12.3 64.7 94.0 62.5 71.6 45.1 5.0 44.4 65.0 66.2 98.9 1.9 29.5 103.7 180.7 6.3 69.8 52.4 23.6 45.4 61.9 37.2 41.5 27.3 46.3 50.3 70.0 41.0 57.4 11.6 64.2 92.0 59.5 70.8 37.8 4.6 41.7 66.7 68.5 101.2 1.7 27.3 105.7 186.4 6.1 68.0 51.8 21.7 44.2 67.7 36.8 34.2 26.7 43.2 50.4 70.1 42.2 57.5 10.3 62.3 88.0 57.1 65.4 32.1 4.4 39.7 64.0 68.0 107.5 1.4 24.6 106.3 186.0 6.7 62.5 47.4 19.3 54.9 69.4 36.1 30.5 26.4 39.7 45.3 62.4 43.3 56.6 9.6 60.2 84.0 53.5 58.8 27.1 3.7 35.2 64.2 65.2 107.2 1.2 25.1 103.3 183.0 6.7 60.7 45.3 17.2 50.7 68.4 37.8 29.6 23.1 36.3 40.2 55.6 44.2 56.5 9.8 63.8 89.2 57.7 48.9 33.4 4.5 34.0 68.2 66.8 112.9 1.0 44.5 106.1 191.8 14.4 60.9 58.5 20.1 48.2 71.7 40.8 27.9 22.0 40.2 38.8 50.5 52.7 60.3 14.0 69.2 95.7 68.4 58.5 40.7 7.2 43.6 79.2 74.5 129.7 1.4 64.9 116.4 210.2 15.3 66.4 60.8 25.9 43.0 83.7 44.1 35.6 35.0 53.9 42.6 49.8 67.8 75.0 19.1 72.0 95.6 69.2 61.3 42.7 6.7 48.7 82.3 82.4 148.3 2.2 92.1 119.3 216.0 19.2 67.4 63.1 32.0 43.3 94.0 41.2 41.0 38.6 61.5 39.4 48.8 79.4 83.7 22.1 72.5 97.8 69.9 71.1 46.4 6.2 49.0 86.0 80.4 170.3 3.1 105.1 120.8 230.3 18.3 70.3 65.5 37.2 28.6 108.3 42.7 43.3 46.9 69.3 38.4 49.0 85.5 87.8 25.2 73.4 99.8 72.3 85.8 45.7 10.1 53.0 90.4 81.9 156.9 3.7 117.6 127.0 237.9 20.8 72.1 71.2 38.2 28.5 123.6 42.1 52.1 54.1 84.2 38.2 49.1 90.0 92.0 26.3 73.4 101.6 71.8 108.4 44.0 10.2 56.3 94.6 80.5 176.5 3.7 123.3 131.2 245.4 23.0 73.6 74.6 37.8 27.8 122.1 41.2 54.7 66.8 96.6 37.2 45.6 92.2 94.3 26.2 72.7 102.4 69.7 122.1 42.4 9.6 57.3 97.3 77.5 184.0 4.0 119.5 132.5 244.6 23.4 74.4 76.0 37.5 27.0 123.6 40.3 56.7 69.9 100.4 36.2 44.4 94.4 95.6 Median 49.7 50.3 50.4 47.4 45.3 48.9 58.5 61.5 69.3 72.1 73.4 72.7 Mean 53.7 54.3 53.8 52.3 50.1 53.1 61.1 65.9 69.7 73.7 77.1 78.0 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes SFEF Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes NAMA debt Includes liabilities associated with repurchase and re-sale agreements of securities used in the administration of Norways sovereign wealth fund, as required by ESA accounting Excludes Special Singapore Government Securities; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Debt forecasts include Moody's estimate of bank recapitalisation needs of EUR 60 billion in 2013 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Includes Debt Held by the Public (Federal government) and credit market instruments of State and Local governments; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 23. General Government Debt/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.8 11.7 7.5 12.6 19.7 28.6 97.0 21.6 18.6 0.0 43.6 16.7 47.1 37.1 21.3 35.3 18.7 3.9 10.6 7.8 10.3 17.8 28.9 95.5 24.6 15.1 0.0 44.5 15.5 45.7 26.0 18.1 37.2 18.1 4.6 7.4 7.8 7.0 16.8 28.4 91.9 28.7 12.5 0.0 42.1 9.6 47.1 17.6 13.0 37.2 18.5 4.7 6.0 7.3 5.0 25.4 28.3 82.9 31.1 10.1 0.0 40.6 8.7 47.7 12.1 11.2 36.1 17.6 5.9 5.7 8.0 3.9 29.9 27.9 76.6 30.7 11.7 0.0 40.1 6.9 45.0 7.4 11.7 34.7 17.5 9.2 7.6 13.4 4.9 27.6 28.7 75.4 30.1 9.7 0.0 39.8 4.7 47.1 9.5 12.4 36.6 16.6 14.2 17.9 20.3 5.8 33.8 34.2 77.8 33.8 11.0 0.0 50.8 6.7 50.9 32.5 11.3 41.1 24.8 18.9 19.3 24.1 8.6 34.1 37.9 74.4 33.4 10.8 0.0 51.2 5.5 54.8 38.7 10.8 41.2 24.7 24.3 18.8 24.5 11.1 30.8 41.0 72.4 34.2 8.1 0.0 51.8 5.5 56.2 37.0 8.3 43.3 22.9 28.1 17.0 23.3 11.9 29.4 45.9 71.6 34.5 6.3 0.0 53.5 6.1 55.6 35.5 8.1 44.6 23.6 33.7 15.5 22.3 11.5 28.7 48.4 71.7 34.1 6.5 0.0 54.4 7.1 56.4 36.6 8.0 45.4 24.3 37.7 14.4 21.5 11.3 28.2 50.5 71.0 33.2 7.0 0.0 54.6 8.0 55.9 35.0 8.1 44.7 24.0 Median (Aaa to A3) 19.7 18.1 16.8 12.1 11.7 13.4 24.8 24.7 24.5 28.1 28.7 28.2 Mean (Aaa to A3) 25.9 24.7 23.0 22.1 21.4 22.0 27.5 28.7 28.8 29.1 29.7 29.7 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China [4] Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait Macao Malaysia [5] Oman Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan [6] United Arab Emirates [7] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 98 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government debt only prior to 2006, local government debt included thereafter Federal government Excludes self-redeeming debt and Non-profit Special Fund Consolidated emirate and federal governments 23. General Government Debt/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 99 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 21.7 27.9 36.9 59.9 44.4 42.6 40.0 40.8 83.3 56.3 15.0 14.7 21.0 57.3 22.1 26.4 64.1 46.9 21.5 30.4 39.3 — 27.6 50.2 67.7 93.0 20.2 29.6 34.4 56.0 37.0 38.9 41.1 34.4 82.1 52.2 11.4 15.0 19.3 53.8 20.7 28.8 66.6 42.6 18.7 22.3 36.7 — 27.9 44.1 59.6 74.9 13.3 29.0 28.7 56.4 27.5 39.1 37.5 25.4 79.1 43.4 8.1 12.5 18.3 57.3 20.2 26.3 62.6 39.3 15.8 14.2 34.7 — 26.2 35.7 52.7 67.4 10.2 30.0 23.6 56.4 21.6 37.5 33.3 30.1 74.7 36.8 6.7 10.7 17.9 55.0 20.5 24.3 53.2 32.3 12.4 9.0 32.5 — 24.9 31.7 46.5 61.6 8.6 31.7 19.2 58.0 17.2 32.9 27.5 29.1 71.4 34.3 5.8 9.0 16.8 47.1 20.8 18.4 46.8 28.5 12.8 8.5 26.9 31.7 24.1 28.4 39.9 52.5 6.9 33.5 14.6 57.4 13.7 33.3 24.7 75.4 72.2 33.1 6.8 19.8 15.5 43.9 24.4 18.4 40.5 25.9 13.4 7.9 24.6 29.5 23.5 23.4 40.0 51.8 11.8 43.0 25.4 60.9 14.6 35.0 27.2 98.0 70.6 28.4 10.2 36.9 29.3 50.5 28.0 15.6 43.6 26.1 23.6 11.0 27.1 32.3 28.6 38.4 46.1 47.0 11.1 47.9 35.5 53.4 16.2 34.9 29.1 106.1 65.0 26.0 10.8 44.4 37.9 49.6 27.5 16.5 39.6 23.3 30.5 11.0 34.5 27.7 29.7 38.9 42.4 41.4 9.9 48.9 36.5 54.2 16.3 33.4 30.7 119.2 64.7 24.3 10.7 41.9 38.5 50.9 28.2 26.5 39.8 21.2 34.7 11.7 38.6 22.3 29.3 36.0 39.3 40.9 11.6 54.2 45.8 58.7 18.5 32.2 35.2 111.5 68.3 23.6 12.1 40.7 40.7 50.0 28.7 23.8 38.8 19.8 37.8 10.8 40.1 25.9 30.9 46.6 36.1 39.5 11.5 53.9 48.2 59.3 18.0 32.1 37.1 107.9 66.6 23.5 13.0 43.2 40.1 48.2 28.9 26.6 36.9 18.5 37.4 12.9 42.2 29.4 31.0 52.0 33.6 37.7 11.3 55.6 52.0 59.8 17.6 31.8 38.9 103.9 63.6 22.9 13.8 40.1 39.4 45.9 28.9 29.2 35.8 17.3 36.6 13.7 43.8 32.0 30.6 55.0 31.5 36.2 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 40.0 36.7 29.0 30.1 28.0 24.7 29.0 34.7 35.3 36.9 37.0 36.0 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 42.0 38.7 34.8 31.7 28.8 29.8 35.0 35.8 36.5 37.8 38.1 38.0 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia [2] Costa Rica [2] Iceland [3] India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [7] Thailand [8] Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey Uruguay [2] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government; Series break in 2005 Central government Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward; Based on IMF data but including loans from IMF and Norway Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government & FIDF (Financial Institution Development Fund) bonds Central government and guaranteed public sector debt 23. General Government Debt/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 40.3 49.0 48.5 74.0 35.4 40.5 53.8 20.9 58.6 99.6 — 64.4 57.3 32.8 73.8 33.7 55.6 37.9 32.3 48.2 47.6 89.6 37.6 40.7 43.8 21.4 59.5 91.8 — 61.7 53.6 27.5 74.4 31.4 54.3 21.5 24.2 46.9 49.5 80.4 38.2 39.8 35.1 20.8 61.7 84.3 — 64.6 28.6 23.7 68.5 28.9 52.9 13.3 18.7 46.7 50.7 55.3 35.4 40.5 23.0 21.7 65.9 76.3 32.6 59.4 11.8 19.8 61.4 23.9 49.0 18.2 16.1 44.8 51.7 40.5 32.9 39.1 19.1 21.3 67.0 73.8 27.5 54.6 12.5 15.8 53.9 17.4 46.3 25.4 16.4 45.0 55.7 37.2 29.3 40.4 23.5 20.1 73.0 60.2 29.0 48.2 11.5 12.1 54.7 15.6 43.8 27.6 40.4 43.3 66.0 40.0 35.8 50.3 30.9 22.9 79.8 64.8 38.2 48.0 15.1 14.9 54.8 15.5 43.3 27.5 39.9 39.3 75.1 38.6 42.6 51.7 33.6 24.1 81.8 67.1 40.9 51.3 17.8 12.3 52.4 18.5 40.8 21.0 42.2 39.1 80.1 34.7 47.2 52.0 29.7 24.0 81.4 70.7 46.0 54.4 17.2 8.9 50.9 22.0 44.8 18.9 44.1 39.1 83.0 29.7 56.3 57.2 32.6 24.3 79.2 79.6 51.1 60.0 18.6 12.2 51.4 22.3 46.3 20.8 42.7 40.0 86.9 25.7 60.1 57.4 32.6 25.0 79.7 83.8 52.5 62.7 17.4 11.3 48.9 32.0 47.0 20.9 43.8 40.8 87.8 23.1 62.7 57.4 33.6 25.7 78.9 87.0 53.2 64.3 17.0 10.9 46.6 33.8 48.5 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 51.4 47.6 39.8 37.9 36.0 33.3 40.2 40.3 43.5 45.2 44.9 45.2 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 52.4 50.2 45.3 39.2 36.2 35.6 40.6 42.0 42.6 44.8 45.9 46.5 Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador [4] Georgia Guatemala [1] Hungary Jordan [1] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [1] Philippines [6] Suriname [7] Tunisia [1] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 100 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Non-financial public sector Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government Central government and government-guaranteed public debt; Includes arrears 23. General Government Debt/GDP • 101 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic [3] Ecuador [1] Egypt [4] Fiji Ghana [5] Honduras [6] Jamaica [7] Kenya [8] Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [9] Nicaragua [6] Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [10] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia 56.2 138.0 7.2 77.3 28.0 52.4 34.8 28.1 40.4 97.1 48.6 82.8 60.8 119.0 61.5 160.3 56.9 83.7 103.1 75.7 63.1 54.7 102.3 — 29.4 46.9 35.6 27.0 53.8 124.9 9.5 90.2 24.4 49.5 14.8 29.1 36.4 89.6 48.2 57.4 59.7 117.1 58.8 160.5 42.5 72.6 75.7 68.3 60.0 47.5 102.3 59.3 24.7 38.6 36.5 22.0 54.8 70.2 8.4 91.5 24.1 40.9 17.8 20.2 32.4 93.2 47.7 48.2 44.7 111.2 52.9 171.8 34.4 54.3 69.7 63.5 48.1 45.8 90.6 60.3 17.7 33.1 35.8 19.4 53.2 63.8 11.1 87.4 19.5 35.1 17.6 20.6 26.5 90.4 53.5 26.2 28.7 110.1 48.6 172.0 30.4 42.1 53.6 58.6 39.5 20.9 87.9 55.4 14.8 24.1 35.2 29.8 50.6 55.1 18.3 84.0 16.8 31.2 19.1 18.3 25.2 80.2 49.9 31.0 17.4 104.2 43.7 155.7 25.2 35.9 31.7 56.4 33.6 23.7 85.0 41.5 12.3 19.1 35.9 26.7 51.8 44.4 21.7 79.0 27.5 27.9 25.3 24.5 20.6 70.2 49.9 33.6 20.1 104.8 41.3 147.2 18.8 30.6 28.8 60.7 31.3 23.9 81.4 42.5 20.5 14.0 34.5 23.5 55.3 47.7 34.9 81.6 31.2 29.0 29.5 28.4 15.2 72.9 54.8 36.2 23.9 116.3 44.5 136.0 26.7 43.3 32.4 61.6 31.4 32.5 86.1 49.0 35.4 18.2 42.8 26.9 53.9 44.4 42.0 80.7 39.3 30.3 32.2 28.7 18.3 73.2 54.7 38.0 29.2 116.0 48.1 130.5 26.5 38.5 33.2 62.3 24.9 34.8 81.9 55.9 40.5 18.3 44.9 25.8 55.2 39.9 43.4 79.2 40.4 30.5 34.0 29.3 17.5 76.6 53.0 40.1 31.5 115.5 49.2 126.4 23.1 50.6 31.5 61.0 23.6 39.7 78.4 58.5 36.8 25.1 43.3 25.1 57.2 38.3 36.9 75.6 45.3 30.4 35.7 32.9 17.9 80.5 50.5 45.8 33.5 117.9 47.2 130.6 23.8 59.2 30.6 62.6 24.0 42.9 79.1 62.1 37.4 27.4 43.0 26.4 58.7 38.2 35.2 71.0 46.6 30.4 37.0 34.5 18.0 85.2 51.0 48.1 35.7 119.0 45.1 132.9 22.8 58.7 30.6 64.0 29.2 44.8 79.0 63.8 42.2 28.6 44.5 28.1 58.8 38.4 33.4 68.8 47.6 29.5 38.0 35.4 18.3 86.8 51.1 50.1 37.5 120.0 45.4 133.7 21.1 57.3 30.5 63.6 32.1 45.5 78.0 64.9 43.9 30.8 44.6 29.7 Median (B1 to C) 56.9 55.6 47.9 37.4 32.6 31.0 35.8 39.9 40.2 43.0 44.7 45.0 Mean (B1 to C) 65.6 59.8 53.7 48.5 43.8 42.9 47.3 48.1 48.5 49.8 50.8 51.2 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Central government Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Non-financial public sector; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Central government; Excludes government guaranteed debt Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2007 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue • 102 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France [2] Germany Greece Hong Kong [3] Ireland [4] Italy Japan [3] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway [5] Portugal Singapore [3] Slovakia Slovenia Spain [6] Sweden Switzerland [7] United Kingdom United States of America [8] 39.4 131.4 193.4 168.3 182.8 85.9 15.4 84.3 128.1 145.4 249.7 0.0 91.5 234.4 551.1 14.5 180.2 118.3 70.4 80.5 145.1 237.9 113.4 62.5 128.2 95.1 184.1 100.9 167.7 34.1 131.5 192.2 158.1 185.8 80.0 14.1 84.6 131.0 152.9 259.5 9.5 84.3 235.9 623.0 15.3 178.9 118.3 63.6 81.2 149.6 236.9 117.4 62.9 119.3 92.2 197.8 103.6 194.0 31.8 133.2 186.7 149.9 171.5 65.3 13.0 78.6 131.7 157.3 259.8 10.0 76.8 243.5 681.1 14.6 167.0 116.4 56.5 78.1 168.9 254.6 97.1 61.1 108.7 90.3 196.3 104.6 185.5 28.2 131.3 180.3 142.8 155.6 56.6 12.2 74.4 126.4 155.7 273.9 7.5 66.0 236.1 616.9 16.7 154.5 102.9 49.8 94.3 171.1 258.2 91.6 61.2 97.4 82.4 176.3 104.9 177.1 26.6 126.5 174.5 134.7 130.6 48.8 10.1 66.7 128.8 149.1 263.2 5.6 67.9 224.3 567.4 16.7 153.8 99.7 46.1 88.2 166.2 241.7 91.4 54.4 88.2 73.7 160.2 108.2 175.3 27.4 132.1 183.0 150.1 113.5 60.9 12.4 63.4 136.6 151.8 277.6 5.3 124.7 231.0 532.6 34.1 157.7 125.2 54.5 82.6 174.4 238.2 84.9 51.7 108.7 72.0 152.6 123.6 193.1 41.7 142.7 199.0 177.8 145.8 73.5 16.6 81.5 160.9 165.1 338.2 7.1 186.6 250.6 699.1 35.0 171.6 132.5 72.4 76.2 211.4 271.9 106.1 81.2 153.7 78.9 147.8 170.0 259.0 58.6 149.6 196.4 184.2 150.0 77.8 16.4 91.8 166.4 189.1 365.2 10.3 261.5 259.0 676.7 45.8 175.4 136.9 91.5 77.3 225.7 249.6 126.9 86.7 167.9 75.4 148.5 197.3 286.9 69.0 150.8 197.6 186.7 179.0 83.3 15.8 90.9 169.5 180.6 401.9 13.9 305.4 261.7 728.0 44.1 178.8 144.2 106.0 50.2 240.8 243.8 130.1 105.5 194.0 75.0 146.8 209.4 299.2 76.4 150.7 196.2 192.1 214.7 82.6 25.2 98.7 174.3 181.2 350.7 17.1 340.1 266.3 765.3 49.3 177.9 153.5 110.2 50.2 301.6 233.5 157.5 120.2 231.4 74.4 148.9 213.5 317.4 78.6 151.6 198.4 188.4 271.3 78.4 26.0 103.5 176.5 178.9 411.5 18.7 352.3 272.8 778.8 54.3 184.0 158.4 110.8 48.9 286.9 241.8 162.3 149.1 263.8 72.9 134.8 221.3 313.2 78.7 150.3 200.1 181.9 313.1 76.4 25.4 104.6 181.9 172.2 430.0 20.4 338.5 274.8 745.7 55.0 185.1 161.1 108.4 47.5 291.6 239.6 169.3 156.7 273.9 71.3 130.6 227.5 316.0 Median 128.1 119.3 116.4 104.9 108.2 124.7 147.8 150.0 169.5 174.3 176.5 172.2 Mean 137.9 141.6 141.0 134.6 127.2 132.9 160.5 170.5 179.4 188.7 196.1 197.5 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes SFEF Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes NAMA debt Includes liabilities associated with repurchase and re-sale agreements of securities used in the administration of Norways sovereign wealth fund, as required by ESA accounting Debt forecasts include Moody's estimate of bank recapitalisation needs of EUR 60 billion in 2013 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Includes Debt Held by the Public (Federal government) and credit market instruments of State and Local governments; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue • 103 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China [4] Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait Macao Malaysia [5] Oman Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan [6] United Arab Emirates [7] 22.7 27.7 44.1 62.9 124.2 66.0 220.4 96.4 34.3 0.0 203.8 36.4 122.3 112.4 60.3 193.7 84.3 22.4 26.1 46.8 48.5 108.2 71.6 222.1 113.9 26.8 0.0 217.9 34.1 122.7 60.1 44.8 219.3 76.3 27.9 17.5 42.2 30.6 99.3 71.5 215.2 129.5 17.5 0.0 215.1 20.1 119.6 47.4 28.3 197.0 59.7 28.9 13.3 35.9 20.4 145.7 71.4 190.2 134.9 15.0 0.0 196.1 17.9 118.6 33.6 23.5 203.0 50.5 37.2 13.9 41.0 15.2 155.0 69.3 176.9 122.7 16.9 0.0 190.7 14.5 111.6 20.3 28.3 199.7 51.8 59.0 18.7 68.0 20.3 141.7 73.7 186.2 123.3 16.1 0.0 191.8 10.2 119.1 27.3 22.0 207.1 42.3 89.8 45.9 108.4 30.6 170.7 88.0 206.9 143.4 15.9 0.0 228.4 17.5 136.8 73.5 35.8 242.5 92.6 109.8 58.4 115.0 39.9 165.3 97.0 191.9 144.8 15.8 0.0 255.0 14.1 146.0 125.4 28.9 263.6 82.2 147.8 52.3 112.4 49.1 138.0 102.7 186.5 144.6 11.9 0.0 246.0 12.2 146.3 95.7 18.8 256.5 65.2 180.1 49.7 107.1 54.2 130.2 114.1 190.4 140.8 9.2 0.0 241.3 12.2 144.8 85.5 17.7 252.7 80.6 217.7 47.7 100.1 51.0 124.0 120.1 190.2 137.8 9.2 0.0 256.7 14.9 145.4 95.6 17.9 258.6 89.2 245.1 46.3 98.3 49.0 118.6 125.6 182.5 134.2 9.8 0.0 264.3 17.2 143.3 98.9 18.2 254.5 91.3 Median (Aaa to A3) 66.0 60.1 47.4 35.9 41.0 59.0 89.8 109.8 102.7 107.1 100.1 98.9 Mean (Aaa to A3) 88.9 86.0 78.7 76.4 74.4 78.0 101.6 109.0 105.1 106.5 110.4 111.6 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Central government debt only prior to 2006, local government debt included thereafter Federal government Excludes self-redeeming debt and Non-profit Special Fund Consolidated emirate and federal governments 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue • 104 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [6] Namibia [7] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [8] St. Maarten [9] Thailand [10] Trinidad & Tobago [11] Turkey Uruguay [1] 126.5 202.0 117.9 173.4 114.6 323.8 284.7 95.4 420.9 332.1 59.0 44.0 66.2 289.7 130.8 104.6 296.5 265.2 61.4 83.5 114.3 — 161.1 204.4 215.2 467.0 116.1 202.4 111.8 158.8 91.4 294.6 300.8 78.2 426.7 296.8 46.4 42.9 60.9 277.1 124.9 109.9 325.4 242.8 59.2 60.9 105.7 — 163.2 176.7 191.1 358.9 81.3 205.7 86.9 154.0 71.7 287.3 269.5 53.9 405.4 243.2 28.8 35.2 56.0 295.4 118.1 96.4 293.5 213.9 47.9 34.8 93.1 — 149.6 120.9 163.1 322.7 49.5 190.8 76.6 157.6 59.6 252.0 234.2 62.8 364.9 192.5 24.3 28.3 54.4 289.7 122.6 77.5 219.2 161.3 38.7 22.9 80.9 — 140.6 94.5 140.2 284.6 40.6 179.4 65.5 158.7 42.7 215.6 177.9 61.0 318.9 191.7 20.2 25.4 50.0 232.4 124.5 57.6 179.7 136.7 33.5 21.4 66.8 170.1 141.1 97.1 123.9 250.4 25.8 184.1 45.0 156.6 34.2 208.8 156.0 170.8 359.0 166.7 23.9 56.8 45.7 198.3 132.1 57.6 162.0 121.6 36.9 20.1 63.8 161.9 142.5 72.0 124.8 252.1 40.7 231.8 106.5 171.3 39.4 226.6 193.9 238.9 367.6 187.3 46.2 108.6 82.7 236.4 151.7 49.6 179.3 137.1 73.8 31.3 94.1 183.6 174.3 119.1 134.9 221.3 41.5 263.2 130.8 145.0 47.3 253.9 203.7 255.7 313.8 168.5 44.6 125.9 107.8 226.4 155.8 59.2 161.2 115.4 89.9 31.9 104.9 161.4 171.5 116.6 120.7 192.4 32.9 213.8 124.8 150.1 48.6 220.5 210.9 285.7 324.1 148.9 37.8 120.0 115.5 237.2 157.5 82.6 163.5 100.9 100.7 31.2 109.5 97.5 162.4 113.9 108.9 192.8 39.3 256.8 164.2 161.1 53.1 199.8 244.3 258.9 324.8 145.9 44.2 115.4 123.7 233.1 163.4 69.3 155.3 91.7 113.7 29.4 117.7 102.8 169.2 150.0 96.9 192.9 39.8 302.5 164.7 165.2 51.8 197.5 255.9 250.8 302.6 146.5 48.7 124.1 122.6 218.1 163.0 79.8 152.1 85.3 111.0 35.5 122.8 111.0 169.2 165.8 90.9 182.9 41.3 282.6 175.5 165.7 50.2 191.7 258.2 244.6 280.0 142.4 52.4 115.5 121.6 216.8 163.3 92.4 144.8 80.0 107.6 38.8 126.3 118.0 164.7 174.9 85.1 172.5 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 161.1 158.8 120.9 122.6 124.2 128.5 144.4 137.9 122.4 147.9 149.3 143.6 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 190.2 176.9 157.1 136.8 122.4 122.3 147.2 146.5 142.0 146.8 148.5 146.4 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Central government Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Series break in 2005 Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward; Based on IMF data but including loans from IMF and Norway Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Government debt statistics are calendar year basis except when government revenue is the denominator in which case fiscal years ending March 31 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government & FIDF (Financial Institution Development Fund) bonds Central government and guaranteed public sector debt 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue • 105 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados [3] Bolivia [4] Croatia El Salvador [5] Georgia Guatemala [6] Hungary Jordan [6] Montenegro Morocco [7] Nigeria Paraguay [6] Philippines [8] Suriname [9] Tunisia [6] — 190.2 438.7 168.8 309.3 90.6 249.8 336.9 167.0 138.2 286.9 — 279.7 207.8 220.1 524.9 160.6 257.7 102.8 169.2 421.7 173.3 340.5 96.5 249.8 43.8 173.9 139.7 250.8 — 257.2 151.7 179.3 539.7 148.2 251.7 53.0 120.8 415.5 179.1 264.4 98.9 244.2 145.0 173.1 146.3 253.3 — 245.7 78.9 150.3 477.8 145.6 248.8 28.6 93.0 410.1 190.4 168.9 91.8 231.7 86.0 170.1 154.2 236.0 76.9 217.0 36.5 114.3 395.5 109.6 228.9 39.7 72.6 410.1 187.6 123.7 82.5 215.1 65.2 166.2 147.1 228.3 55.0 182.6 49.9 97.9 354.9 59.2 211.9 49.9 72.7 378.1 186.3 113.5 74.7 215.4 76.5 167.3 160.2 200.3 59.1 148.3 37.9 86.9 360.3 64.4 183.2 79.7 178.5 402.1 249.6 121.8 91.9 290.1 105.4 207.4 170.1 244.7 83.4 163.8 61.0 78.7 391.9 56.2 189.4 63.2 171.5 344.5 279.2 125.2 111.6 278.9 118.6 214.5 180.3 270.0 97.0 186.3 69.1 69.4 390.9 84.9 178.7 43.1 175.8 327.9 273.9 105.8 126.8 272.0 105.2 203.6 151.3 267.5 115.7 195.7 76.8 54.2 364.3 81.1 182.7 42.2 183.0 299.5 302.3 82.6 147.5 288.7 112.9 209.2 170.2 348.4 131.0 215.1 75.0 65.2 356.2 91.3 195.9 49.0 172.5 290.8 304.9 72.1 158.1 288.6 117.4 213.6 171.0 327.8 137.6 222.4 69.7 56.9 326.3 131.7 199.8 50.4 179.4 290.9 302.7 66.1 166.5 287.2 121.8 218.1 167.9 337.6 143.0 228.1 73.1 57.1 308.4 139.8 207.7 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 234.9 173.9 173.1 161.6 135.4 130.9 167.0 175.1 163.5 176.6 171.8 173.6 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 251.7 217.0 202.4 168.9 152.7 146.4 175.9 179.7 173.5 184.2 183.9 185.9 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government debt Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government revenue; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government; Excludes privatization receipts Central government and government-guaranteed public debt; Includes arrears 24. General Government Debt/General Government Revenue • 106 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic [3] Ecuador [1] Egypt [4] Fiji Ghana [5] Honduras [6] Jamaica [7] Kenya [8] Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [9] Nicaragua [10] Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [11] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia 233.4 672.8 15.7 313.7 58.9 546.5 71.2 222.2 274.9 370.7 200.0 486.6 367.1 432.1 330.5 723.6 167.6 279.3 617.9 439.7 — 273.3 655.3 — 77.3 145.1 138.1 108.7 219.3 538.5 20.7 394.9 56.1 480.1 30.0 219.7 257.2 349.8 193.8 327.8 346.3 421.8 294.2 693.3 120.3 242.1 434.0 466.8 174.5 232.7 668.3 240.7 66.7 112.2 131.5 92.8 218.8 306.3 17.7 361.5 54.9 396.6 30.1 132.1 222.2 375.2 198.3 288.6 254.0 417.0 258.6 750.0 89.2 197.1 384.0 449.4 136.3 220.1 538.9 256.6 42.3 87.9 126.0 83.3 204.4 262.4 22.6 334.2 44.4 305.6 29.3 130.4 179.6 316.1 205.0 153.6 158.8 408.6 211.5 678.1 76.1 125.7 277.3 398.6 105.8 98.7 508.5 226.7 34.2 63.9 118.6 68.3 194.6 276.0 37.1 278.4 40.0 262.1 29.3 106.7 151.4 289.3 196.6 177.4 90.7 359.5 214.8 645.0 60.3 96.3 158.7 367.3 90.1 104.3 510.7 165.0 29.4 57.8 122.3 116.1 194.0 228.7 42.9 277.1 67.9 214.1 35.5 158.5 92.1 250.6 198.5 180.3 100.7 378.4 201.4 613.3 46.4 93.6 144.4 406.2 95.7 110.9 522.8 145.9 46.4 44.5 117.8 102.2 213.0 213.7 76.4 299.6 79.6 240.8 41.9 211.6 80.6 263.3 221.9 195.7 139.9 413.8 215.9 554.8 68.7 142.8 163.9 418.4 105.5 150.5 573.5 163.2 83.6 74.0 152.3 142.6 209.7 185.5 101.1 290.2 83.9 231.4 48.3 216.7 82.2 291.1 220.0 198.6 172.8 425.4 209.0 570.5 69.2 104.3 157.6 433.4 79.5 159.5 550.3 204.1 93.7 94.8 151.1 131.6 219.2 176.3 112.0 274.2 86.9 233.1 50.6 226.2 79.6 348.0 197.7 186.4 184.8 445.2 225.1 537.0 63.2 126.5 144.6 478.1 77.8 177.2 540.4 213.5 85.9 111.7 162.7 115.9 234.5 162.6 90.5 274.0 96.9 221.0 52.4 237.5 80.1 356.1 184.7 201.2 199.3 462.9 236.5 574.7 62.5 174.9 138.6 496.6 83.1 184.2 597.7 244.3 83.8 117.1 185.4 126.2 235.3 164.6 87.3 260.5 99.8 212.0 54.3 222.4 81.2 330.4 183.0 198.5 208.9 479.8 192.9 569.3 60.2 174.2 140.3 480.1 99.1 191.9 603.5 246.1 97.0 116.3 190.1 129.9 236.9 179.2 85.9 256.4 103.7 203.2 55.9 226.1 83.5 320.2 182.6 193.0 219.1 512.8 192.9 561.1 55.4 163.6 140.7 478.2 112.8 194.2 601.1 245.8 104.9 118.5 191.4 141.1 Median (B1 to C) 277.1 241.4 221.1 169.2 155.0 145.2 163.6 179.1 181.0 185.0 191.0 192.2 Mean (B1 to C) 316.2 279.5 246.2 205.3 186.7 182.5 203.6 205.9 210.0 220.0 218.2 220.0 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Central government Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Non-financial public sector debt and central government revenue; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Central government; Excludes government guaranteed debt Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2007 Central government debt; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 107 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.6 6.2 10.5 13.2 9.4 5.2 0.6 3.6 5.8 6.8 12.8 0.0 3.7 11.6 9.5 0.5 8.9 5.9 5.2 3.3 6.6 1.4 6.7 4.5 6.2 4.1 3.1 5.1 7.3 2.2 6.0 9.8 12.2 8.7 4.5 0.6 3.4 5.6 6.6 12.7 0.2 3.3 10.9 9.0 0.4 9.1 5.6 4.7 2.5 6.3 1.0 6.2 3.9 5.3 3.3 2.9 5.0 7.2 2.0 6.2 8.8 11.2 8.7 3.6 0.5 3.2 5.3 6.5 12.0 0.3 3.0 10.8 8.2 0.4 8.8 5.3 4.3 2.1 6.3 0.7 4.9 3.6 4.5 3.3 2.9 5.2 7.3 1.9 6.0 8.2 10.6 7.9 3.1 0.5 2.9 5.1 6.5 11.9 0.3 2.8 10.2 5.8 0.5 8.5 4.8 4.0 2.6 6.9 0.4 4.4 3.2 4.0 3.1 2.7 4.9 7.4 1.7 6.0 8.1 10.2 6.8 2.8 0.5 2.8 5.4 6.4 11.8 0.2 2.8 10.7 6.1 0.6 8.2 4.8 3.7 2.2 7.3 0.1 4.3 3.0 3.9 3.2 2.1 5.4 7.8 1.7 5.5 7.9 9.8 6.6 2.6 0.6 2.7 5.9 6.3 12.6 0.2 3.8 11.2 6.3 0.8 8.1 4.8 3.9 2.5 7.5 0.1 3.8 2.6 4.3 3.1 1.8 5.4 7.8 2.0 5.8 7.7 9.7 6.4 3.4 0.5 2.6 4.9 5.9 13.4 0.2 5.9 9.9 6.8 0.8 7.9 4.7 4.2 2.5 7.2 0.1 4.3 3.1 5.0 2.3 1.8 4.8 7.3 2.7 5.5 7.2 9.6 5.5 3.4 0.3 2.6 4.9 5.8 14.6 0.2 9.0 9.7 6.8 0.9 7.7 4.2 4.6 2.3 6.8 0.0 4.2 3.7 5.3 2.1 1.8 7.4 7.3 3.4 5.4 7.0 9.5 6.0 3.4 0.3 2.6 5.2 5.7 17.0 0.1 9.4 10.5 7.1 1.1 7.8 4.4 5.5 1.9 9.0 0.0 4.7 4.3 6.9 2.3 1.5 8.0 7.8 4.0 5.3 7.0 8.8 7.9 3.4 0.4 2.7 5.0 5.3 11.2 0.1 10.4 11.3 7.1 0.9 7.8 4.0 6.2 1.5 10.8 0.0 5.6 4.7 8.2 1.8 1.4 7.1 7.5 4.5 5.4 6.4 8.5 10.0 3.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 5.3 8.8 0.2 14.8 11.4 7.0 1.0 7.8 4.0 6.2 1.8 10.3 0.0 5.6 5.8 9.4 1.9 1.1 7.3 7.3 4.9 5.4 6.5 8.1 11.4 3.1 0.4 2.4 4.8 4.4 10.2 0.2 14.3 11.2 6.7 0.9 8.0 4.0 6.3 1.8 10.1 0.0 5.7 6.1 10.4 1.9 1.0 7.7 7.1 Median 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.8 4.9 5.4 5.3 5.6 5.7 Mean 5.9 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.7 Australia [1] Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong [2] Ireland Italy Japan [2] Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore [3] Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland [4] United Kingdom United States of America [5] Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Excludes Special Singapore Government Securities; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data from 2010-2011 to be estimates Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.2 1.2 1.8 5.6 4.4 2.4 13.4 3.8 1.1 0.0 11.4 1.6 7.7 6.3 11.9 7.7 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.2 4.4 2.9 2.7 13.0 4.9 0.8 0.0 11.0 1.7 7.4 3.4 8.1 6.8 0.7 1.3 1.4 2.2 3.5 2.6 2.7 11.9 5.3 0.6 0.0 10.9 1.2 7.1 2.9 4.8 5.5 0.8 1.6 0.9 1.8 2.7 2.5 2.7 10.8 5.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 0.8 6.6 2.3 4.4 6.0 1.4 1.9 0.9 1.9 2.3 2.1 2.7 10.6 5.5 0.6 0.0 9.2 1.0 5.7 1.6 3.6 5.8 1.8 1.9 0.9 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.6 9.1 5.7 0.4 0.0 8.0 0.5 5.6 1.5 1.8 5.6 1.3 3.8 1.2 4.1 2.6 2.2 3.2 9.8 6.4 0.3 0.0 9.0 0.6 7.1 2.1 2.7 6.1 2.0 5.6 1.6 5.4 2.2 2.2 3.4 9.3 4.9 0.1 0.0 9.8 0.4 7.2 3.6 1.5 5.6 2.1 7.4 1.5 6.0 2.5 2.3 3.4 9.0 4.7 0.1 0.0 9.6 0.3 7.0 3.4 0.7 5.4 1.8 4.0 1.7 3.6 2.7 3.8 3.6 8.5 4.5 0.1 0.0 9.4 0.3 7.4 3.5 0.6 5.1 2.3 11.1 1.7 3.4 2.4 3.9 3.7 9.1 4.3 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.4 6.7 3.9 0.5 4.9 2.8 11.0 1.6 3.8 2.2 4.0 4.0 8.7 4.1 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.4 6.9 4.0 0.5 4.7 2.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 3.8 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.1 1.9 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.0 Mean (Aaa to A3) 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.0 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.6 4.1 4.1 Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait [1] Macao Malaysia [4] Oman [3] Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [5] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 108 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Federal government Consolidated emirate and federal governments 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 109 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.3 11.0 4.3 26.2 5.7 28.8 30.3 6.4 31.6 19.1 3.3 2.1 3.9 21.4 12.5 8.9 17.2 12.0 5.0 4.3 11.6 — 8.2 14.9 42.3 26.3 1.3 11.8 3.5 20.0 4.7 26.7 29.9 5.5 30.3 15.5 2.4 2.1 2.9 19.1 12.3 8.7 17.9 11.5 4.6 3.1 10.6 — 8.6 11.5 33.2 22.7 0.8 11.1 3.7 20.0 4.2 22.4 29.7 4.7 28.3 13.2 1.6 1.5 2.5 18.6 10.9 8.9 18.3 10.3 3.8 2.1 9.4 — 7.2 8.6 22.2 20.2 0.3 9.6 4.0 20.4 3.7 23.9 26.7 4.5 26.3 12.4 1.5 1.2 2.2 19.6 11.1 7.2 16.1 9.2 2.5 1.4 8.4 — 6.9 6.3 18.5 19.5 0.5 9.3 3.2 18.5 2.9 23.2 19.9 5.4 23.3 11.3 1.0 1.1 2.1 20.8 10.0 5.7 11.4 8.5 2.0 0.0 7.5 11.1 7.0 6.7 18.2 18.0 0.3 9.8 2.0 18.3 2.2 18.5 13.7 7.6 25.0 9.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 18.2 8.9 4.7 11.0 7.3 2.1 0.5 7.1 11.2 7.2 5.2 16.9 14.0 0.3 11.6 2.9 16.6 2.1 18.9 15.2 16.0 25.3 11.0 1.8 4.3 3.6 17.8 10.5 5.0 10.0 6.7 4.8 1.0 7.6 11.5 7.5 9.0 16.8 13.4 0.3 13.8 4.1 15.8 2.1 19.0 14.7 13.3 21.6 8.9 1.8 3.9 5.2 15.7 9.4 4.1 10.0 5.7 4.6 0.9 7.8 11.4 7.1 7.5 12.9 11.4 1.1 12.7 3.9 17.0 2.2 16.6 14.9 12.4 22.6 7.7 1.6 4.2 5.4 13.9 9.3 3.8 8.4 5.5 4.8 0.9 8.0 3.9 8.0 6.0 9.3 11.8 1.2 12.1 5.2 13.8 2.5 15.0 14.4 12.4 22.1 7.5 1.4 3.9 5.9 14.0 9.4 5.9 8.5 4.8 5.3 1.0 8.5 3.7 6.9 6.8 9.8 11.6 1.1 14.9 5.2 14.0 2.5 13.0 17.7 12.3 20.0 7.7 1.2 4.7 5.9 13.3 9.4 5.7 8.2 4.6 4.9 1.7 8.7 2.6 7.6 7.5 8.8 11.6 1.1 13.5 5.5 13.9 2.4 11.7 15.8 12.5 18.0 7.2 1.0 4.7 5.2 14.4 9.4 6.6 7.8 4.6 4.6 1.8 8.7 2.2 7.0 8.2 7.8 11.3 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 11.6 11.5 9.4 8.4 8.0 7.4 9.5 8.3 7.8 7.2 7.6 7.5 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 14.3 12.8 11.4 10.5 9.6 8.7 9.7 9.0 8.3 8.2 8.3 8.0 Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia [4] Costa Rica [4] Iceland India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [6] Namibia [7] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa [5] St. Maarten [8] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey Uruguay [4] Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Central government revenue Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 Central government Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.6 3.3 16.6 14.8 10.8 4.4 12.6 12.3 10.4 9.6 6.8 — 15.5 8.7 7.9 35.4 7.6 11.8 6.3 2.7 15.3 13.7 10.0 4.5 13.0 6.2 11.1 10.4 5.4 — 14.3 5.6 6.2 36.9 6.3 11.8 4.9 2.2 15.5 13.8 8.7 4.8 13.6 4.3 11.7 9.9 7.0 — 12.4 7.1 6.4 36.8 7.9 11.9 3.2 1.7 15.9 14.8 5.5 4.7 14.0 2.8 10.9 9.2 7.7 2.6 11.7 3.1 5.4 31.8 6.9 11.5 2.4 1.4 17.7 13.9 3.9 4.1 13.9 2.0 11.6 9.1 8.2 2.1 10.4 6.2 4.7 25.6 4.1 10.9 3.8 1.4 18.4 15.3 2.4 3.5 12.9 2.1 11.3 9.1 8.1 1.5 8.1 6.0 3.5 23.2 2.5 8.7 5.0 2.3 20.1 18.8 4.7 4.1 14.8 3.3 12.9 9.9 8.8 1.9 8.1 6.1 3.1 24.9 2.8 8.8 2.7 3.8 18.8 22.2 4.9 5.1 12.8 3.5 13.2 9.2 8.5 2.4 8.3 7.7 2.1 24.4 4.0 8.0 2.0 3.9 16.4 20.9 3.0 5.9 11.7 4.2 12.7 7.8 7.9 3.7 8.2 8.9 1.5 20.5 4.0 7.5 2.1 4.7 16.6 23.7 2.6 6.5 11.4 4.6 13.1 9.2 10.8 4.5 8.6 8.0 1.3 20.5 4.1 7.6 1.2 4.8 16.4 24.2 2.6 7.9 11.3 4.4 13.0 9.0 9.7 4.5 9.0 7.1 1.2 17.9 6.6 7.7 3.1 5.0 16.4 24.2 2.6 8.2 11.3 3.8 12.9 8.5 10.2 4.4 9.5 5.7 1.2 16.9 6.6 7.4 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 10.4 10.0 8.7 7.3 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.9 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.8 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 11.4 10.6 10.5 9.1 8.5 7.9 8.9 9.0 8.4 8.9 8.8 8.8 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador [4] Georgia Guatemala [5] Hungary Jordan [5] Montenegro Morocco [6] Nigeria Paraguay [5] Philippines [7] Suriname [5] Tunisia [5] Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 110 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government; Excludes privatization receipts 25. General Government Interest Payment/General Government Revenue (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 111 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.8 8.9 1.1 16.7 1.6 1.9 2.4 9.8 17.3 21.8 10.5 24.8 5.2 58.8 17.1 73.9 6.2 3.2 14.3 27.1 — 5.6 44.0 8.6 2.6 16.1 4.0 15.5 15.4 5.4 1.0 36.5 1.2 2.2 2.7 9.5 15.7 22.2 10.1 15.1 5.2 54.2 11.7 53.7 5.4 3.1 9.2 27.0 8.7 5.4 37.4 7.9 2.5 10.9 3.6 14.5 12.7 8.1 0.7 27.2 1.2 2.1 4.1 6.4 14.1 22.4 10.3 13.4 5.0 47.3 10.6 47.7 3.2 2.5 8.1 25.5 6.2 4.3 29.1 10.9 1.8 7.9 2.8 11.6 10.9 7.3 0.7 26.8 1.2 1.5 6.1 7.3 13.7 19.8 10.1 12.3 4.7 46.3 11.0 53.7 2.5 1.3 7.3 23.2 4.9 4.1 29.7 10.7 1.5 5.5 2.8 4.5 10.2 10.0 0.8 14.4 1.1 1.7 4.0 9.3 10.8 18.7 12.9 10.9 2.9 39.6 11.4 54.3 2.8 1.0 5.8 27.7 5.3 2.4 30.7 9.7 1.2 4.9 3.8 7.2 10.8 8.2 1.1 13.2 1.1 1.4 3.9 10.6 5.6 16.5 11.6 12.1 2.7 45.4 11.1 46.2 2.9 0.9 4.5 32.0 5.4 3.0 31.0 8.5 1.2 4.6 3.8 7.5 12.1 9.4 1.8 13.0 1.1 1.7 3.9 13.5 4.1 15.2 13.6 15.2 3.7 62.9 10.7 45.2 3.6 1.5 5.2 34.1 6.8 3.5 42.7 9.4 2.8 6.0 4.4 8.3 13.0 6.3 1.6 12.4 1.1 2.3 3.6 14.6 3.5 20.5 14.2 16.3 5.0 40.8 11.0 46.0 2.0 1.4 5.2 30.2 4.3 4.3 42.3 10.5 3.8 7.7 4.3 9.0 11.8 8.2 2.9 12.0 1.3 2.3 3.3 16.1 3.9 25.3 14.3 12.5 7.1 37.4 11.5 40.8 2.2 0.8 4.8 30.4 4.5 6.8 37.6 9.0 4.6 9.5 5.4 7.0 12.6 9.3 4.9 6.8 1.5 2.2 3.4 17.7 3.9 26.8 13.4 14.6 9.1 39.9 13.2 38.5 2.2 3.1 4.5 34.2 4.9 6.5 40.7 9.0 3.8 11.1 5.3 7.6 12.6 8.1 4.7 11.1 1.5 2.0 3.5 16.2 3.9 24.8 12.7 14.8 9.0 40.3 11.6 39.1 2.0 6.5 5.3 29.5 6.4 7.1 42.1 9.0 6.2 9.0 4.7 8.2 12.7 8.5 5.2 11.0 1.6 2.2 3.5 15.9 3.9 24.1 12.0 14.2 9.0 41.8 11.0 38.5 1.8 5.2 5.5 29.6 7.8 6.8 43.2 8.9 7.5 9.3 5.7 8.1 Median (B1 to C) 10.5 9.4 8.1 7.3 8.2 6.6 7.6 7.0 7.6 8.3 8.6 8.7 Mean (B1 to C) 16.2 14.2 12.4 11.8 11.3 10.9 12.7 12.0 11.9 12.5 12.6 12.7 Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [1] Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana [3] Honduras [4] Jamaica Kenya [5] Lebanon [1] Moldova Mongolia [6] Nicaragua [7] Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [1] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Central government Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2007 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 26. General Government Foreign Currency & FC-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt • 112 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands Chile [3] China Czech Republic Israel Korea [3] Kuwait Macao Malaysia [4] Oman Poland Qatar [2] Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates [5] 100.0 44.3 100.0 90.7 16.2 3.5 25.5 — 7.4 0.0 19.8 32.3 32.4 35.0 0.0 — 62.7 100.0 46.7 100.0 84.0 9.7 9.3 25.5 — 8.3 0.0 16.0 35.5 26.7 44.1 0.0 — 57.6 100.0 55.1 100.0 71.7 8.5 12.3 26.2 — 18.6 0.0 13.1 32.3 27.4 44.9 0.0 — 49.0 100.0 52.1 100.0 67.8 4.7 11.9 25.1 — 22.8 0.0 10.3 45.7 25.5 43.3 0.0 — 44.5 100.0 44.6 100.0 51.5 3.2 9.4 22.6 — 39.6 0.0 7.3 51.1 23.5 50.5 0.0 — 40.7 100.0 36.8 100.0 40.0 2.6 13.8 19.8 — 44.5 0.0 6.6 55.5 25.7 73.9 0.0 — 37.4 100.0 67.4 100.0 22.8 2.2 16.4 18.5 — 39.5 0.0 3.8 57.5 25.7 52.5 0.0 — 32.1 100.0 67.5 100.0 17.3 1.9 17.9 17.1 — 45.2 0.0 4.1 63.3 26.3 35.9 0.0 — 32.4 100.0 68.6 100.0 17.2 1.6 16.4 17.4 — 44.9 0.0 4.0 50.4 30.1 37.1 0.0 — 32.0 100.0 70.2 100.0 13.7 1.5 15.8 15.9 — 43.5 0.0 3.4 39.7 29.8 37.6 0.0 — 32.5 100.0 71.4 100.0 14.5 1.3 15.6 16.8 — 38.4 0.0 3.0 32.1 28.2 37.6 0.0 — 33.7 100.0 71.4 100.0 14.8 1.2 16.8 16.7 — 35.7 0.0 2.7 25.8 28.4 37.4 0.0 — 33.0 Median (Aaa to A3) 32.3 26.7 27.4 25.5 39.6 36.8 25.7 26.3 30.1 29.8 28.2 25.8 Mean (Aaa to A3) 38.0 37.6 37.3 36.9 36.3 37.1 35.9 35.3 34.6 33.6 32.8 32.3 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government Federal government Consolidated emirate and federal governments 26. General Government Foreign Currency & FC-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt • 113 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria [2] Colombia [1] Costa Rica [1] Iceland India [3] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia [1] Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [4] Namibia [5] Panama Peru [6] Romania Russia South Africa [7] St. Maarten [8] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey [10] Uruguay [1] 90.4 14.9 56.4 23.7 90.6 49.5 32.7 56.1 7.5 51.4 64.2 49.6 61.2 9.0 39.3 15.7 100.0 91.9 84.5 81.2 14.5 — 21.6 28.0 46.3 94.3 91.6 13.6 59.7 20.3 87.5 44.6 33.0 51.9 7.1 54.0 48.5 56.6 61.7 8.9 38.1 16.1 100.0 90.0 82.6 79.9 12.4 — 16.7 26.2 41.5 89.0 91.0 12.8 56.8 15.7 84.1 35.8 32.9 40.9 6.6 54.3 32.2 56.0 60.3 8.0 33.6 15.4 100.0 83.7 81.3 75.2 12.6 — 13.1 23.4 37.6 89.0 89.3 12.3 51.8 11.3 80.8 36.5 31.3 55.8 6.2 49.6 27.2 58.1 68.4 7.6 21.4 19.9 100.0 79.8 71.0 48.6 14.0 — 8.0 21.6 37.2 85.0 88.0 11.2 53.8 7.6 76.2 33.6 30.2 45.7 5.9 48.1 23.0 61.6 67.2 11.6 19.5 26.4 100.0 65.0 65.3 32.8 14.3 — 4.6 22.7 31.3 74.0 86.8 14.0 41.9 8.3 75.7 34.2 29.1 39.3 6.4 52.1 18.0 47.7 64.2 10.6 19.0 27.7 100.0 60.5 62.6 30.6 17.8 — 3.4 23.1 33.8 72.0 60.3 21.2 26.8 5.6 76.7 33.6 21.2 37.7 5.9 47.4 18.9 78.2 70.3 11.9 19.1 25.6 100.0 59.3 67.5 33.8 13.5 — 2.2 26.6 29.1 69.0 52.7 21.4 15.0 5.4 74.3 31.2 20.5 35.8 5.9 46.2 23.7 83.9 73.6 13.3 19.7 23.4 100.0 54.0 68.4 28.1 9.7 — 1.8 22.0 26.7 66.0 55.0 21.0 10.7 4.8 73.8 30.8 16.1 41.3 6.0 45.0 23.0 86.2 74.0 16.4 21.2 30.3 100.0 52.6 67.2 22.4 9.9 — 1.5 23.5 29.6 51.0 58.9 23.6 17.1 5.0 63.0 27.8 17.3 30.8 5.9 43.3 20.2 87.7 75.6 18.1 19.7 31.6 100.0 50.3 69.0 22.2 9.2 — 1.3 21.7 27.4 45.0 57.8 24.0 24.6 5.2 70.0 22.3 19.0 26.8 6.1 40.8 18.4 85.3 75.6 19.4 19.0 33.0 100.0 51.0 68.3 17.5 7.9 — 1.3 21.0 27.1 41.0 57.0 24.0 28.7 5.0 75.7 20.4 20.0 34.6 5.9 39.2 17.1 84.9 74.0 21.2 18.5 29.9 100.0 50.5 69.4 15.4 7.0 — 1.2 21.0 24.7 41.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 49.6 48.5 37.6 37.2 32.8 33.8 29.1 26.7 29.6 27.4 24.6 24.7 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 51.0 49.2 46.1 43.7 40.8 39.2 38.5 36.9 36.5 35.7 35.3 35.5 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Central government Series break in 2006 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Federal government and social security Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Public sector debt Series volatility relates to exchange rate St. Maarten became an autonomous country following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in October 2010; Data from 2011 onward reflect figures for St. Maarten only Central government and guaranteed public sector debt; Fiscal years ending September 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government debt only 26. General Government Foreign Currency & FC-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt • 114 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia [2] Croatia El Salvador [3] Georgia Guatemala [4] Hungary [4] Jordan [4] Montenegro Morocco [5] Nigeria Paraguay [4] Philippines [6] Suriname [7] Tunisia [4] — 94.4 66.7 33.1 108.6 — 100.0 — 91.6 — 76.7 — 27.2 73.6 86.6 — 71.0 64.8 92.0 92.9 66.0 31.8 72.5 — 100.0 — 85.5 25.7 72.0 — 23.9 68.8 87.7 — 65.0 63.5 81.8 90.8 65.0 31.5 70.1 — 100.0 79.2 75.5 28.2 69.2 — 21.1 61.9 87.6 — 60.6 64.2 75.0 88.4 64.5 35.6 61.2 — 100.0 78.5 67.8 28.1 65.3 — 19.7 22.3 85.8 — 62.1 60.1 51.8 86.9 62.9 33.0 53.6 — 100.0 78.1 63.3 28.7 58.7 — 20.0 16.3 83.9 — 58.4 58.6 35.0 82.7 56.7 30.4 51.1 — 100.0 85.1 60.4 37.6 38.7 — 21.0 18.2 84.0 — 57.8 61.2 39.7 88.2 53.8 31.2 44.2 — 100.0 85.0 60.1 44.7 35.3 — 22.8 16.5 80.2 — 44.6 58.7 40.6 86.9 51.7 31.6 42.9 — 100.0 85.7 58.4 44.6 36.6 — 24.0 13.5 80.5 — 41.4 60.9 44.3 86.4 49.0 29.6 44.9 — 100.0 85.6 54.5 49.5 31.0 — 22.9 14.3 83.4 — 53.0 58.3 52.0 85.6 47.9 26.8 51.0 — 100.0 85.8 57.6 40.9 28.0 — 23.4 13.8 59.7 — 53.0 60.9 65.9 87.1 53.1 29.0 51.5 — 100.0 85.3 58.5 48.0 27.1 — 24.9 14.2 60.0 — 65.9 63.0 72.6 85.0 52.1 29.5 50.0 — 100.0 83.8 58.0 49.2 26.5 — 24.7 13.6 59.8 — 64.3 64.0 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 75.1 70.4 69.2 64.5 58.6 56.7 44.7 44.6 49.5 52.0 58.5 58.0 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 74.5 67.7 65.8 60.9 57.0 54.7 53.7 53.3 53.8 52.4 55.6 55.5 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Non-financial public sector Central government Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF National government Central government and government-guaranteed public debt; Includes arrears 26. General Government Foreign Currency & FC-Indexed Debt/General Government Debt • 115 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [2] Ecuador [1] Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana [4] Honduras [5] Jamaica [6] Kenya [7] Lebanon Moldova [8] Mongolia [9] Nicaragua [5] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea [1] Senegal [10] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [1] Ukraine Venezuela [1] Vietnam Zambia [1] 28.0 75.8 28.0 92.7 98.9 73.7 — — 100.0 28.1 8.0 83.3 89.6 35.5 58.4 49.1 87.7 85.9 99.2 47.8 61.9 92.8 45.3 — 73.6 64.8 76.9 — 27.0 75.6 22.4 85.3 98.9 77.2 — — 100.0 24.7 7.3 77.8 92.3 38.7 59.1 53.4 83.7 91.5 99.4 47.0 58.1 92.5 46.6 70.7 77.6 65.6 75.8 — 26.7 51.4 23.9 86.8 98.9 82.5 — 87.2 100.0 22.1 6.8 76.1 91.5 38.3 57.9 51.9 81.2 93.7 99.1 46.3 53.1 92.5 43.0 69.6 79.7 67.7 70.4 — 25.6 52.1 14.3 85.9 98.6 88.2 — 84.4 100.0 20.4 14.6 41.8 88.5 37.9 54.7 53.3 80.4 96.3 99.3 45.7 54.2 84.5 42.7 63.0 84.4 64.7 68.4 36.9 24.5 52.8 24.6 85.0 96.7 95.9 — 83.8 100.0 19.2 14.5 48.4 84.0 39.5 49.5 54.6 79.1 98.7 98.4 45.2 49.8 75.4 43.6 54.0 78.8 69.8 67.7 34.5 29.0 52.5 28.1 84.6 54.9 96.2 — 60.4 100.0 19.0 16.5 50.5 75.7 41.8 50.5 48.5 83.9 100.0 97.2 44.7 41.7 81.8 40.4 57.8 75.4 75.3 62.7 43.4 35.7 54.1 50.0 85.5 60.2 97.6 — 56.9 100.0 19.5 16.8 54.0 65.0 39.3 50.8 45.2 84.9 92.1 93.6 47.7 39.7 82.7 42.3 54.0 67.3 66.6 60.5 32.0 40.0 58.8 43.6 83.7 64.6 98.0 — 60.0 100.0 17.6 16.2 52.7 57.1 40.2 46.1 42.5 83.4 69.0 91.5 46.4 38.0 80.4 44.1 64.3 64.4 59.3 59.6 31.4 40.6 60.1 79.9 83.4 64.2 98.0 — 62.8 100.0 16.1 23.2 50.6 54.3 38.4 48.6 42.4 90.8 48.2 90.2 42.7 29.2 75.8 45.4 62.7 61.7 61.6 60.9 30.1 41.3 60.0 55.3 83.1 61.3 98.4 — 64.3 100.0 15.1 24.4 44.7 54.7 35.4 47.4 45.2 91.4 62.7 90.3 37.3 21.8 74.0 46.1 61.1 48.1 47.9 55.0 44.9 42.3 61.0 53.0 82.8 59.8 98.4 — 68.6 100.0 15.0 23.4 46.5 55.0 39.3 49.1 45.0 88.1 59.2 90.0 37.6 26.6 75.3 46.4 63.0 34.9 56.3 50.7 45.4 43.3 62.0 50.8 81.8 58.2 98.7 — 69.2 100.0 14.9 21.9 47.2 55.1 40.5 44.8 44.7 87.4 58.7 89.6 37.9 21.7 76.1 46.2 65.0 25.5 64.2 46.5 45.1 Median (B1 to C) 73.7 75.6 70.0 63.0 54.6 54.9 54.1 58.8 60.1 54.7 53.0 50.8 Mean (B1 to C) 66.0 65.9 65.3 62.2 61.8 59.7 59.0 57.5 57.9 56.0 56.0 55.4 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Central government Non-financial public sector; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Approximated by public sector external debt Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Central government; Excludes government guaranteed debt Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Public sector debt, comprised mainly of central government direct debt and central bank borrowing from the IMF Series break in 2007 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative III. External Payments and Debt • 116 • 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 117 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.33 0.79 0.79 1.29 0.79 5.96 12.41 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 7.76 0.79 0.79 107.10 0.79 0.79 0.79 1.54 6.68 0.79 1.70 0.79 0.79 0.79 7.19 1.24 0.56 — 1.28 0.73 0.73 1.20 0.73 5.47 11.47 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 7.77 0.73 0.73 104.12 0.73 0.73 0.73 1.39 6.04 0.73 1.63 0.73 0.73 0.73 6.61 1.13 0.52 — 1.36 0.85 0.85 1.16 0.85 6.32 13.22 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 7.75 0.85 0.85 117.97 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.47 6.77 0.85 1.66 0.85 0.85 0.85 7.96 1.31 0.58 — 1.26 0.76 0.76 1.17 0.76 5.66 11.88 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 7.78 0.76 0.76 118.95 0.76 0.76 0.76 1.42 6.26 0.76 1.53 0.76 0.76 0.76 6.86 1.22 0.51 — 1.13 0.68 0.68 0.99 0.68 5.08 10.64 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 7.80 0.68 0.68 114.00 0.68 0.68 0.68 1.29 5.41 0.68 1.44 0.68 0.68 0.68 6.41 1.13 0.50 — 1.44 0.72 0.72 1.22 0.72 5.28 11.10 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 7.75 0.72 0.72 90.75 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.73 7.00 0.72 1.44 0.72 0.72 0.72 7.81 1.06 0.69 — 1.12 0.69 0.69 1.05 0.69 5.19 10.86 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 7.76 0.69 0.69 92.06 0.69 0.69 0.69 1.39 5.78 0.69 1.40 0.69 0.69 0.69 7.12 1.03 0.62 — 0.98 0.75 0.75 1.00 0.75 5.61 11.71 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 7.78 0.75 0.75 81.45 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.30 5.86 0.75 1.29 0.75 0.75 0.75 6.71 0.94 0.64 — 0.98 0.77 0.77 1.02 0.77 5.75 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 7.77 0.77 0.77 77.72 0.77 0.77 0.77 1.30 5.99 0.77 1.30 0.77 0.77 0.77 6.89 0.94 0.65 — 0.96 0.76 0.76 1.00 0.76 5.66 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 7.75 0.76 0.76 86.55 0.76 0.76 0.76 1.22 5.57 0.76 1.22 0.76 0.76 0.76 6.50 0.92 0.63 — 1.02 0.77 0.77 1.02 0.77 5.73 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 7.78 0.77 0.77 95.00 0.77 0.77 0.77 1.24 5.90 0.77 1.22 0.77 0.77 0.77 6.60 0.98 0.67 — 1.03 0.80 0.80 1.00 0.80 5.94 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 7.78 0.80 0.80 95.00 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.26 6.00 0.80 1.20 0.80 0.80 0.80 6.80 0.94 0.68 — Median 0.79 0.73 0.85 0.76 0.68 0.72 0.69 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.77 0.80 Mean 5.98 5.73 6.47 6.31 5.95 5.31 5.23 4.90 4.41 4.67 5.01 5.04 Australia Austria [1] Belgium [1] Canada Cyprus [2] Denmark Estonia [3] Finland [1] France [1] Germany [1] Greece [4] Hong Kong Ireland [1] Italy [1] Japan Luxembourg [1] Malta [2] Netherlands [1] New Zealand Norway Portugal [1] Singapore Slovakia [5] Slovenia [6] Spain [1] Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 Euro adopted on January 1, 2008 Euro adopted on January 1, 2011 Euro adopted on January 1, 2001 Euro adopted on January 1, 2009 Euro adopted on January 1, 2007 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 118 • Median (Aaa to A3) Mean (Aaa to A3) Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.00 4.44 0.83 599.42 8.28 25.65 4.38 1,192.60 0.29 8.00 3.80 0.38 3.74 3.64 3.75 33.98 3.67 1.00 4.28 0.83 559.83 8.28 22.36 4.31 1,035.10 0.29 8.01 3.80 0.38 2.99 3.64 3.75 31.92 3.67 1.00 5.51 0.83 514.21 8.07 24.59 4.60 1,011.60 0.29 7.99 3.78 0.38 3.26 3.64 3.74 32.85 3.67 1.00 6.03 0.83 534.43 7.81 20.88 4.22 929.80 0.29 8.01 3.53 0.38 2.91 3.64 3.74 32.60 3.67 1.00 6.01 0.83 495.82 7.30 18.08 3.85 936.10 0.27 8.03 3.31 0.38 2.44 3.64 3.75 32.44 3.67 1.00 7.52 0.83 629.11 6.83 19.35 3.80 1,259.50 0.28 7.98 3.46 0.38 2.96 3.64 3.75 32.86 3.67 1.00 6.67 0.83 506.43 6.83 18.37 3.78 1,164.50 0.29 7.99 3.42 0.38 2.85 3.64 3.75 32.03 3.67 1.00 6.44 0.83 468.37 6.62 18.75 3.55 1,134.80 0.28 8.02 3.08 0.38 2.96 3.64 3.75 30.37 3.67 1.00 7.53 0.83 521.46 6.30 19.94 3.82 1,151.80 0.28 8.01 3.18 0.38 3.42 3.64 3.75 30.29 3.67 1.00 7.77 0.83 478.60 6.29 19.06 3.73 1,070.60 0.28 7.98 3.06 0.38 3.10 3.64 3.75 29.14 3.67 1.00 8.00 0.83 495.00 6.10 20.35 3.70 1,030.00 0.28 8.00 3.00 0.38 3.23 3.64 3.75 29.50 3.67 1.00 8.20 0.83 510.00 6.00 21.80 3.70 1,000.00 0.28 8.00 2.95 0.38 3.30 3.64 3.75 29.20 3.67 3.80 3.80 3.78 3.74 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.67 3.75 3.73 3.70 3.70 111.64 99.67 95.88 91.99 89.82 116.88 103.91 99.80 104.08 96.64 95.32 94.51 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 119 • Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama [3] Peru Romania [4] Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [5] Uruguay Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 4,846.09 1.00 0.38 2.89 1.55 2,778.21 418.53 70.99 43.44 8,465.00 144.22 0.54 2.76 26.09 11.24 6.64 1.00 3.46 3.26 29.45 6.64 1.79 39.59 6.30 1.40 29.30 4,826.41 1.00 0.38 2.65 1.44 2,389.75 458.61 61.04 43.76 9,290.00 130.00 0.52 2.53 28.20 11.26 5.63 1.00 3.28 2.91 27.75 5.63 1.79 39.06 6.30 1.34 26.35 4,521.25 1.00 0.38 2.34 1.66 2,284.22 496.68 62.98 44.60 9,830.00 133.98 0.59 2.91 30.67 10.78 6.32 1.00 3.43 3.11 28.78 6.32 1.79 41.03 6.31 1.35 24.10 0.87 1.00 0.38 2.14 1.49 2,238.79 517.90 71.66 43.60 9,020.00 127.00 0.54 2.63 34.34 10.88 6.97 1.00 3.20 2.57 26.33 6.97 1.79 36.05 6.31 1.41 24.40 6.64 5.96 6.32 6.64 6.58 651.61 668.02 674.91 468.85 473.48 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Azerbaijan Manat was redenominated in January 2006 at a rate of AZM 5,000 = AZN 1.00 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Dollarized economy Romanian Leu was redenominated in July 2005 at a rate of ROL 10,000 = RON 1.00 Turkish Lira was redenominated in January 2005 at a rate of TL 1,000,000 = YTL 1.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.85 0.80 1.00 1.00 0.38 0.38 1.77 2.34 1.33 1.39 2,014.76 2,243.59 498.10 555.47 61.85 120.58 39.98 50.94 9,419.00 10,950.00 120.30 120.79 0.48 0.50 2.36 2.45 28.22 31.76 10.87 13.54 6.81 9.30 1.00 1.00 3.00 3.14 2.46 2.83 24.55 29.38 6.81 9.30 1.79 1.79 33.72 34.90 6.34 6.30 1.17 1.53 21.50 24.35 0.80 1.00 0.38 1.74 1.36 2,044.23 565.24 124.90 45.14 9,400.00 148.46 0.49 2.41 30.29 13.06 7.38 1.00 2.89 2.94 30.24 7.38 1.79 33.32 6.37 1.49 19.63 0.80 1.00 0.38 1.69 1.47 1,913.98 512.97 115.05 44.65 8,991.00 147.50 0.54 2.61 30.39 12.36 6.63 1.00 2.81 3.20 30.48 6.63 1.79 30.15 6.42 1.54 20.09 0.79 1.00 0.38 1.86 1.51 1,942.70 511.84 122.71 51.16 9,068.00 148.40 0.54 2.67 29.33 13.99 8.14 1.00 2.70 3.34 32.20 8.14 1.79 31.69 6.42 1.89 19.90 0.78 1.00 0.38 2.04 1.48 1,768.23 508.20 128.99 54.30 9,670.00 150.74 0.53 2.61 30.52 13.01 8.50 1.00 2.55 3.36 30.37 8.50 1.79 30.63 6.43 1.78 19.40 0.78 1.00 0.38 2.00 1.49 1,805.00 510.00 125.31 56.00 9,800.00 148.80 0.54 2.66 31.00 11.80 9.00 1.00 2.58 3.36 30.99 9.00 1.79 29.50 6.40 1.85 19.83 0.78 1.00 0.38 2.00 1.51 1,810.00 511.00 131.08 56.50 9,950.00 147.00 0.56 2.75 31.50 11.60 9.30 1.00 2.50 3.32 31.25 9.30 1.79 29.50 6.40 1.88 20.75 7.80 6.88 6.53 7.28 7.47 7.70 7.85 546.90 480.54 457.20 462.08 478.74 485.08 491.33 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [2] Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro [3] Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia • 120 • Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 79.08 566.00 57.90 2.00 7.83 6.12 1.00 2.08 8.04 207.92 0.71 0.79 8.75 136.50 6,114.96 55.57 2.62 1.21 85.99 485.84 60.43 2.00 8.05 5.64 1.00 1.82 7.75 180.29 0.71 0.73 8.22 132.35 6,250.00 56.27 2.72 1.20 80.78 450.19 63.75 2.00 8.04 6.23 1.00 1.79 7.61 213.58 0.71 0.85 9.25 129.00 6,120.00 53.07 2.74 1.36 80.26 363.50 69.67 2.00 7.98 5.58 1.00 1.71 7.62 191.62 0.71 0.76 8.46 128.27 5,190.00 49.13 2.74 1.30 75.02 304.22 68.80 2.00 7.62 4.99 1.00 1.59 7.63 172.61 0.71 0.68 7.71 117.97 4,875.00 41.40 2.74 1.22 75.17 306.73 68.52 2.00 7.02 5.16 1.00 1.67 7.77 187.91 0.71 0.72 8.10 132.56 4,945.00 47.48 2.74 1.31 89.40 377.89 69.06 2.00 7.02 5.09 1.00 1.69 8.35 188.07 0.71 0.69 7.86 149.58 4,610.00 46.36 2.74 1.32 92.64 363.44 69.45 2.00 6.99 5.57 1.00 1.77 8.02 208.65 0.71 0.75 8.36 150.66 4,573.75 43.88 2.74 1.44 95.27 385.77 74.15 2.00 6.91 5.82 1.00 1.67 7.81 240.68 0.71 0.77 8.58 158.27 4,439.90 43.93 3.30 1.50 95.83 403.58 81.82 2.00 6.91 5.73 1.00 1.66 7.89 220.93 0.71 0.76 8.43 155.27 4,238.00 41.19 3.30 1.55 95.50 419.66 79.50 2.00 6.93 5.80 1.00 1.68 7.80 235.44 0.71 0.77 8.55 155.00 3,916.00 40.50 3.30 1.66 96.00 456.01 80.00 2.00 6.79 5.86 1.00 1.80 7.90 256.07 0.71 0.80 8.82 155.00 3,893.00 40.00 3.30 1.68 7.94 7.90 7.83 7.80 7.63 7.40 7.44 7.50 7.36 7.40 7.36 7.35 403.28 405.06 397.33 339.57 316.27 322.31 309.38 307.88 304.34 293.14 276.77 278.71 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 US Dollar adopted on January 1, 2001 Euro adopted in 2002 27. Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 121 • Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela [3] Vietnam Zambia [4] Median (B1 to C) Mean (B1 to C) B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 106.58 92.64 103.58 94.14 82.89 87.91 95.81 104.00 107.54 105.85 108.15 113.15 2.90 2.96 3.01 3.04 3.13 3.43 3.78 3.96 4.28 4.90 5.60 7.00 2,156.00 2,170.00 2,152.00 2,140.00 2,150.00 2,200.00 2,863.00 3,000.00 8,350.00 8,570.00 9,200.00 9,400.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.55 1.44 1.66 1.49 1.33 1.41 1.36 1.46 1.51 1.48 1.50 1.51 3,984.00 4,027.00 4,112.00 4,057.00 3,999.00 4,077.00 4,165.00 4,051.00 4,039.00 3,995.00 4,000.00 4,020.00 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 37.25 31.11 34.88 33.52 34.07 35.78 36.38 37.93 38.79 40.36 42.50 44.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6.03 6.19 5.78 5.75 5.69 5.32 5.59 5.68 5.96 6.05 7.25 7.83 1.72 1.64 1.74 1.66 1.55 1.76 1.93 1.82 1.82 1.79 1.78 1.75 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.97 1.21 1.42 1.47 1.55 1.88 1.98 2.08 17.75 18.63 18.90 18.90 18.90 18.90 18.90 18.90 18.90 18.90 19.00 20.00 60.52 61.45 64.38 67.03 70.40 80.22 89.33 85.60 86.37 92.56 98.00 101.00 76.14 77.34 72.37 69.40 62.68 77.71 75.82 80.75 85.07 86.00 84.00 84.00 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 13.22 12.46 12.83 12.90 11.32 10.40 12.30 12.15 11.72 12.06 12.50 12.90 1,168.00 1,209.00 1,221.00 1,165.00 1,169.97 1,267.51 1,442.84 1,256.47 1,396.37 1,392.10 1,400.00 1,350.00 15.55 16.33 17.15 18.00 18.90 19.85 20.84 21.88 22.98 24.13 25.33 26.60 57.81 58.13 59.71 60.26 60.52 68.28 81.39 85.46 85.99 94.63 98.00 99.00 3.33 3.12 3.10 3.03 2.84 2.68 2.70 2.64 2.14 2.10 2.10 2.10 519.36 481.58 556.04 498.07 445.59 471.34 455.34 490.91 506.96 497.16 504.58 522.67 96.74 104.60 102.12 107.71 108.72 113.14 114.38 110.95 113.90 127.08 128.50 128.00 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 5.33 5.31 5.05 5.05 5.05 7.70 7.98 7.96 7.99 7.99 8.70 8.65 1.60 1.92 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.59 4.29 4.29 6.30 9.25 15,646.00 15,777.00 15,916.00 16,054.00 16,114.00 16,977.00 17,941.00 18,932.00 20,828.00 20,828.00 20,828.00 20,828.00 4,645.48 4,771.31 3,508.98 4,406.67 3,844.81 4,832.26 4,640.56 4,796.11 5,117.04 5,146.61 5,600.00 6,000.00 16.65 17.48 18.02 18.45 18.90 19.37 19.87 20.39 20.94 21.51 22.17 23.30 1,076.35 1,087.36 1,053.19 1,083.56 1,061.74 1,138.47 1,199.78 1,236.64 1,512.58 1,520.54 1,560.64 1,582.27 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] 2005 US Dollar adopted on January 1, 2000 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Venezuelan Bolivar was redenominated in January 2008 at a rate of Bs 1,000 = BsF 1.00 Zambian Kwacha was redenominated in January 2013 at a rate of ZMK 1,000 = ZMW 1.00 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 122 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.2 3.5 4.7 8.0 6.6 6.6 4.1 4.8 5.3 5.2 6.4 -6.4 10.1 6.2 0.0 3.6 3.8 5.9 17.0 -0.3 4.5 -0.3 8.1 0.1 4.8 4.1 0.1 -2.7 -7.6 9.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.6 0.4 2.4 0.0 1.8 1.6 2.0 -5.5 2.5 1.8 0.7 1.2 3.9 0.9 7.2 1.9 1.1 7.2 3.8 -1.6 2.1 -1.0 -1.0 5.8 -6.3 5.7 -0.5 0.3 3.4 -0.4 -2.1 1.0 -2.3 -0.6 -1.8 0.2 -3.8 0.0 -1.2 -5.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.8 5.1 6.0 -0.1 4.2 0.1 -2.2 1.0 -2.9 -1.2 -0.3 -2.8 4.2 -0.8 -0.4 3.2 -0.3 -1.9 1.6 -1.1 -0.4 -0.7 0.8 -2.6 1.9 -0.4 -8.9 0.6 0.5 -1.1 -7.8 5.0 0.5 5.0 1.1 -1.2 1.5 0.8 -2.4 1.6 -2.7 6.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 -0.4 0.0 4.2 1.7 0.7 1.7 1.6 -4.7 5.6 0.8 -6.6 0.9 1.4 0.7 7.7 7.3 1.4 6.9 8.5 2.1 1.7 3.5 -4.2 3.5 -4.7 -0.8 0.7 3.4 -8.3 5.4 0.8 6.1 2.2 1.3 0.5 2.9 -5.5 4.7 1.5 9.6 2.0 3.0 1.1 -8.0 1.6 0.8 4.6 2.9 0.2 2.8 -5.7 4.6 -12.4 -3.7 -8.3 0.8 0.2 -7.8 3.4 6.2 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 6.5 -4.7 1.2 13.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 -5.2 -3.4 -0.5 -9.2 6.8 2.9 0.2 -3.1 3.8 -12.3 10.5 12.7 -2.7 -3.2 6.9 -5.5 -4.7 -2.8 -5.4 -3.0 -4.9 -0.1 -3.8 -6.7 -3.7 0.2 -2.6 -5.1 -3.7 9.4 7.6 -2.1 2.2 -8.1 -3.3 -2.5 3.2 5.8 3.6 -5.2 6.6 0.4 1.0 -1.4 0.6 -2.4 1.3 0.0 -0.6 -0.6 0.6 -4.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 0.8 -0.1 -0.5 4.1 4.3 0.8 1.8 -4.0 -0.4 0.6 -0.2 9.7 1.4 -5.8 1.5 -1.6 -2.2 -2.3 -3.2 -1.9 -0.3 -2.9 -3.1 -3.6 -3.1 3.5 -4.7 -1.8 -1.4 -2.2 -4.0 -2.7 4.7 0.0 -1.3 3.4 -2.2 -2.3 -2.3 -1.8 -3.1 5.2 4.8 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median 4.7 1.7 -0.3 -0.3 1.4 1.5 1.0 -2.8 0.4 -2.2 — — Mean 4.1 1.7 0.0 -0.1 1.8 0.6 0.4 -1.0 0.5 -1.1 — — Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — — — -1.3 -4.9 -0.9 -2.6 -0.5 -6.5 -4.1 -2.9 — -7.5 -5.7 -7.8 -4.7 — — — — 9.1 -2.0 3.7 -2.4 2.7 -7.4 -2.9 2.2 — 2.6 -0.1 -7.3 1.3 — — — — 11.3 2.3 6.3 1.1 10.2 1.5 -0.6 2.4 — 9.0 6.9 -2.9 -2.0 — — — — 5.8 2.8 3.3 0.4 4.8 -1.0 -0.7 3.6 — 2.1 8.1 -0.9 0.1 — — — — -0.5 2.4 4.2 1.4 -1.9 -2.0 -3.5 5.4 — 3.4 5.1 -2.6 -1.3 — — — — 5.2 8.3 12.8 11.5 -15.7 4.0 -2.9 2.6 — 7.5 6.3 1.8 -4.2 — — — — 1.9 0.4 -5.0 -0.4 -12.9 -0.6 2.2 -2.4 — -13.2 -1.4 10.4 -8.9 — — — — 0.1 1.0 0.3 5.1 8.5 1.6 -0.6 10.0 — 4.4 -5.1 1.1 3.8 — — — — 1.4 2.4 3.8 0.2 2.6 -2.1 -4.9 5.2 — -0.2 — -3.1 0.3 — — — — 3.3 2.3 -3.4 -4.1 -0.6 -0.3 1.6 0.9 — -1.8 — 6.3 -2.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) -4.4 0.6 2.3 2.5 0.5 4.6 -1.0 1.3 0.3 -0.3 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) -4.1 0.0 3.8 2.4 0.9 3.1 -2.5 2.5 0.5 0.2 — — Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 123 • 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) • 124 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay -13.5 -5.1 -7.9 9.2 5.1 -11.2 -6.6 6.3 -0.7 5.5 -3.0 -5.9 1.9 — -8.8 -13.0 -3.6 -3.8 3.6 3.1 30.6 — -0.9 -1.7 9.1 -22.1 -1.3 -5.1 -8.7 7.6 2.5 7.5 -3.1 3.0 0.7 -7.9 6.0 0.1 -1.1 — -1.9 5.9 -5.2 -0.5 8.0 7.8 9.1 — -0.2 -1.3 4.8 -0.5 15.6 -2.2 -5.8 21.9 3.0 10.7 0.5 12.4 2.1 1.1 5.8 -1.4 -2.9 — 4.9 1.7 -1.1 -0.2 20.9 9.5 2.1 — 2.5 2.1 6.2 13.3 3.7 -1.5 2.2 8.8 8.1 -1.9 0.8 -7.0 -2.0 23.8 0.6 2.9 -1.8 — 2.9 -4.0 -0.5 -0.1 11.5 9.8 -3.3 — 8.5 3.9 -1.8 2.3 6.9 -3.9 -6.4 10.7 5.4 7.2 1.5 5.5 7.1 5.7 10.3 6.6 1.8 — 0.0 -3.5 -0.7 0.4 11.2 5.5 -3.8 — 4.7 2.6 4.8 1.7 28.1 -0.3 -8.2 12.6 7.4 3.9 3.9 -21.4 -6.5 8.8 12.2 9.9 4.2 — -0.1 -3.9 2.1 7.1 -5.0 6.8 -8.1 -0.3 2.4 6.6 -1.2 11.4 -5.2 7.3 4.5 -4.4 -1.9 -6.1 2.0 -19.2 -5.3 -0.1 -19.1 5.5 9.8 — -13.6 12.2 4.6 -1.3 -4.1 -6.9 4.7 1.7 -5.6 8.9 -9.0 4.4 10.6 -1.8 -2.5 15.2 2.3 15.5 12.3 5.0 6.8 12.7 7.9 -6.0 -6.0 — 8.1 16.2 0.1 4.4 0.8 9.3 13.1 1.6 9.2 5.6 2.7 13.4 5.1 -3.4 -7.0 7.3 4.9 -0.4 2.3 1.4 -2.6 -0.2 3.4 0.2 -2.1 — 2.1 1.0 -0.4 1.0 0.7 4.8 -1.8 — 2.3 -1.0 -9.4 4.1 -2.9 3.4 1.5 -8.2 0.1 2.1 5.2 -0.3 1.7 -1.3 0.1 -1.6 -2.2 — -2.3 -3.6 5.5 6.9 -5.3 1.4 -6.1 — -0.5 8.0 9.1 5.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) -2.3 0.0 2.3 1.5 4.8 3.9 -1.3 6.8 0.8 0.1 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) -1.4 1.1 5.1 2.7 3.4 2.9 -1.4 6.3 0.5 0.7 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) • 125 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 18.3 -9.7 — -4.6 -10.2 0.6 — -6.8 — 1.8 — — -1.0 -7.3 -6.7 -4.4 — -5.0 19.8 5.2 — -5.2 -6.5 1.9 — 6.6 — 3.0 — — -1.3 3.1 3.6 -6.4 — -3.6 24.6 11.7 — 1.3 -4.1 1.6 — 5.1 — 0.4 — — -2.6 14.0 -6.0 6.6 — -4.9 6.4 8.7 — 3.8 -0.5 2.1 — 5.8 — -3.0 — — 0.5 6.2 13.6 20.5 — -1.3 7.9 14.1 — -2.4 2.0 0.7 — 3.7 — 3.5 — — -0.8 -1.5 11.0 4.7 — -2.9 -10.7 8.7 — 3.9 14.0 4.6 — 14.9 — 2.2 — — 0.4 8.1 16.3 -3.3 — -0.7 -12.6 -7.5 — 2.6 10.2 1.2 — -1.4 — -2.8 — — 2.1 -3.9 -7.4 -1.6 — -1.1 5.7 1.3 — 4.6 -4.2 -2.6 — -4.6 — -0.2 — — -4.1 8.8 2.8 -8.5 — -0.5 -5.4 0.1 — — 3.0 -2.1 — 9.3 — -1.7 — — -2.3 -1.9 13.4 -6.7 — -1.8 — -3.5 — — 6.3 -1.9 — 1.7 — -3.0 — — -2.1 13.7 -0.3 1.4 — -1.8 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -4.8 2.4 1.4 4.8 2.8 4.2 -1.5 -0.3 -1.8 -1.1 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -2.9 1.7 4.0 5.2 3.3 4.9 -1.9 -0.1 0.4 1.1 — — Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 28. Real Effective Exchange Rate (% change) • 126 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia — 9.5 -2.4 -2.5 — — — -24.8 2.6 -19.6 6.8 0.3 — — — — -5.5 — -6.5 -3.1 11.2 2.5 — -7.3 -8.2 1.2 — -11.7 — -2.6 -2.9 -2.5 — — — 6.2 0.9 0.9 2.0 -1.4 — — — — 14.5 — -3.8 -0.8 2.4 0.1 — -3.6 -2.3 4.9 — 3.0 — -1.0 -0.7 -0.7 — — — 31.3 5.7 8.3 0.2 9.3 — — — — 2.4 — -0.9 3.0 0.5 -1.3 — 2.2 10.0 0.3 — 22.9 — -2.7 -3.0 0.2 — — — -5.4 7.3 3.4 -2.3 5.3 — — — — 2.8 — 0.5 2.8 -0.1 -0.2 — -1.1 5.0 8.8 — 30.7 — -1.0 -5.7 -4.9 — — — 1.5 -3.2 2.9 1.7 -0.7 — — — — 8.5 — -2.2 -1.2 -5.3 5.3 — -3.5 0.5 10.9 — -7.9 — 1.9 -1.3 -0.5 — — — 0.8 6.4 12.9 2.8 -4.8 — — — — 19.1 — 3.8 -3.8 13.7 4.4 — -0.5 9.1 16.6 — 15.2 — -3.0 -1.6 4.4 — — — -0.6 -16.6 -0.8 -11.5 -8.0 — — — — 1.9 — 9.5 0.7 8.0 -2.3 — 6.3 -16.1 36.1 — -14.2 — 0.6 -5.7 -2.8 — — — 0.0 14.5 7.7 -2.8 6.6 — — — — -6.0 — -6.6 5.1 -2.8 -6.2 — -2.0 2.6 -38.5 — 5.8 — -2.7 -13.4 -9.4 — — — 0.7 10.2 0.0 4.7 -5.0 — — — — 5.9 — -4.1 2.8 12.7 1.1 — -4.1 0.4 14.4 — -2.6 — 6.4 -3.5 2.0 — — — 0.2 0.7 4.9 4.6 -6.4 — — — — 3.9 — 3.3 1.5 16.1 — — 6.0 2.3 17.2 — 3.3 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) -2.5 0.1 2.2 0.5 -1.0 3.8 -0.8 -2.0 0.4 3.3 — — Mean (B1 to C) -3.4 0.9 5.4 3.1 -0.3 5.6 -0.4 -1.8 0.7 3.9 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 29. Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) • 127 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus [1] Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece [1] Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America 86.1 101.2 100.5 87.6 102.7 98.7 94.0 100.4 99.0 104.8 98.3 — 92.0 96.6 109.4 98.1 101.7 102.5 85.3 97.2 97.2 — 92.6 99.9 96.1 104.1 101.3 96.3 108.0 95.4 101.2 100.7 93.4 101.4 100.1 97.7 100.8 100.7 105.1 97.6 — 97.0 99.2 107.3 99.6 102.7 103.3 93.5 94.3 98.5 — 95.9 100.2 98.8 104.4 99.5 101.4 103.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.4 100.1 100.5 107.7 97.6 100.7 106.1 97.3 100.0 95.4 96.5 — 102.5 100.6 88.7 100.2 100.6 98.8 92.8 104.4 99.5 — 103.2 99.0 102.2 97.5 100.3 101.2 98.9 111.5 100.4 102.0 112.1 94.6 104.4 119.6 95.7 100.8 93.2 95.9 — 105.8 101.6 79.3 100.8 99.1 99.7 101.0 112.2 99.1 — 110.9 97.4 105.9 100.1 101.9 102.2 94.9 110.0 100.9 104.0 110.7 92.0 108.1 132.4 98.2 101.3 92.6 96.3 — 112.2 103.3 86.5 104.0 99.0 100.2 96.8 118.8 99.2 — 117.6 99.5 109.1 96.9 104.8 88.1 90.5 103.4 102.4 105.0 107.1 95.7 112.3 132.0 105.1 101.9 96.0 99.7 — 105.9 105.6 97.8 109.6 102.6 103.0 89.3 115.6 99.8 — 127.9 104.2 107.6 89.1 109.5 80.1 92.4 121.3 99.7 100.7 117.7 94.8 106.0 117.4 97.7 99.2 90.8 98.8 — 95.4 100.4 95.5 108.6 99.6 98.1 97.4 124.4 97.7 — 122.1 105.8 102.2 93.1 106.2 80.0 88.4 132.8 99.0 101.9 119.5 95.3 104.1 112.8 97.0 99.3 90.2 96.1 — 91.5 99.8 98.5 110.4 99.0 97.4 100.9 131.4 97.2 — 120.1 104.2 99.3 96.0 108.1 78.8 84.0 135.9 98.3 100.0 120.0 93.5 99.8 112.2 94.2 96.6 88.2 90.8 — 85.8 97.6 94.9 110.5 100.4 93.3 104.8 132.6 90.9 — 116.2 104.4 93.6 97.3 109.7 83.1 85.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] European Commission Annual Macro Economic Database (Ameco); Data series adjusted to base year 2005 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 128 • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Median Mean Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -28.54 4.27 10.68 10.21 -0.30 7.33 -1.11 7.95 7.93 45.83 -12.74 17.41 0.00 -11.78 136.23 2.38 -0.16 29.90 -3.10 27.70 -10.44 21.95 -1.98 -0.22 -31.07 21.82 43.24 -31.83 -519.09 -39.93 6.33 11.52 23.23 -0.78 7.38 -1.36 11.74 11.12 127.28 -13.33 16.82 -1.08 -5.78 172.06 4.04 -0.33 46.58 -5.74 33.00 -15.46 19.30 -3.31 -0.89 -54.91 24.02 48.56 -46.06 -628.52 -41.73 6.65 7.46 21.58 -0.98 11.20 -1.39 6.57 -10.37 140.15 -18.35 21.57 -7.08 -15.69 165.77 4.35 -0.52 47.30 -8.90 49.00 -19.82 26.87 -4.06 -0.62 -83.23 25.11 52.44 -46.03 -745.78 -41.32 9.11 7.44 17.93 -1.26 8.17 -2.58 8.65 -12.99 181.74 -29.82 24.56 -7.91 -28.06 171.06 4.41 -0.62 63.64 -9.02 58.16 -21.58 36.08 -4.38 -0.97 -110.89 33.36 58.16 -70.18 -800.62 -58.69 13.18 8.71 11.36 -2.56 4.23 -3.51 10.51 -25.92 247.97 -44.65 27.55 -13.88 -27.30 211.69 5.19 -0.47 52.67 -10.79 55.43 -23.44 46.35 -3.99 -2.26 -144.28 42.29 38.84 -62.88 -710.30 -45.82 20.23 -6.70 1.79 -3.94 9.91 -2.19 7.14 -49.58 225.93 -51.17 32.85 -14.95 -66.03 159.36 2.94 -0.43 37.49 -11.55 79.24 -31.96 28.84 -5.91 -3.38 -153.94 44.03 10.93 -25.18 -677.14 -42.26 10.43 -6.69 -40.59 -2.52 10.55 0.66 4.21 -35.03 197.20 -35.97 20.34 -5.24 -42.04 147.03 3.60 -0.61 41.34 -2.81 44.54 -25.64 33.48 -2.27 -0.34 -70.42 27.14 53.70 -27.23 -381.90 -36.54 12.92 9.03 -58.41 -2.27 18.43 0.56 3.55 -40.03 206.97 -29.85 14.99 2.36 -72.57 203.92 4.36 -0.40 60.67 -4.55 51.44 -24.24 62.03 -3.26 -0.28 -62.31 31.69 78.58 -57.01 -441.95 -33.43 5.68 -5.88 -52.85 -1.18 18.85 0.47 -4.03 -54.18 224.34 -28.71 11.95 2.49 -67.17 119.05 4.22 -0.01 84.88 -6.53 62.70 -16.68 65.31 -1.99 0.00 -55.37 38.43 55.42 -32.14 -465.93 -56.35 7.03 -6.69 -67.00 -1.46 17.75 -0.26 -4.63 -60.08 237.93 -7.70 3.48 10.40 -14.89 59.49 3.17 0.03 76.76 -8.52 71.16 -3.29 51.44 2.07 1.05 -14.49 37.57 85.74 -90.88 -474.98 -87.30 9.84 -3.43 -72.37 -0.32 16.09 -0.29 -4.49 -46.27 224.05 -1.54 2.70 11.08 6.56 77.74 3.76 0.06 68.72 -10.51 73.09 -0.85 46.81 2.42 1.63 18.23 41.41 76.37 -61.89 -475.66 -96.63 11.93 -4.05 -65.71 0.14 17.56 -0.33 -4.73 -49.46 214.56 -0.97 3.78 12.14 5.26 102.77 3.94 0.05 69.93 -11.16 72.56 0.12 51.18 2.68 1.71 28.33 46.84 85.20 -55.63 -514.03 2.38 4.04 -0.52 -0.62 -0.47 -2.19 -0.61 0.56 -0.01 0.03 2.42 2.68 -8.88 -8.78 -14.43 -15.85 -12.38 -16.87 -4.39 -2.49 -4.56 -5.04 -2.91 -2.48 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 0.18 0.46 — -0.83 43.05 -5.79 0.63 15.58 9.42 2.60 13.32 1.45 -5.47 5.75 28.05 29.25 7.15 0.30 0.42 — 2.60 68.94 -5.75 2.15 32.31 15.51 3.56 15.08 0.88 -13.26 7.55 49.30 18.74 10.57 0.45 1.56 — 1.89 132.38 -1.21 4.10 18.61 30.07 2.94 20.69 5.18 -7.24 7.48 89.99 17.82 24.37 1.18 1.95 -0.62 7.12 231.84 -3.13 7.00 14.08 45.31 2.44 26.18 5.66 -13.15 9.46 98.93 26.02 36.04 1.22 2.02 -0.70 7.08 353.18 -7.93 4.56 21.77 41.33 4.31 29.73 2.46 -26.50 11.46 93.33 35.42 19.64 0.91 0.87 -0.67 -5.80 420.57 -4.78 2.23 3.20 60.24 4.04 39.43 5.02 -34.96 26.59 132.32 27.41 22.28 0.61 -0.52 -0.62 3.52 243.26 -4.85 7.32 32.79 28.38 6.79 31.42 -0.60 -17.16 6.39 20.95 42.86 7.85 0.72 0.05 -0.61 3.22 237.90 -7.60 8.11 29.39 38.29 12.08 27.34 5.87 -24.03 23.80 66.75 39.89 7.24 0.60 -0.03 -0.66 -3.28 136.00 -6.11 3.38 26.07 70.76 16.97 31.73 10.26 -25.02 51.98 158.55 41.15 30.69 0.66 -0.69 -0.64 -9.50 193.10 -4.73 -0.20 43.14 79.14 17.03 19.42 11.70 -17.36 62.33 172.16 49.62 33.30 0.63 0.65 -0.50 -12.15 233.54 -4.01 2.64 39.55 71.21 20.01 14.48 7.47 -14.30 55.95 150.28 42.75 37.40 0.60 0.70 -0.53 -11.90 242.64 -4.38 4.35 29.17 68.01 22.47 16.57 5.12 -14.12 46.81 133.02 40.75 34.00 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 129 • Median (Aaa to A3) 4.17 5.55 6.33 7.12 7.08 4.04 6.79 8.11 16.97 17.03 14.48 16.57 Mean (Aaa to A3) 9.05 13.06 21.82 29.20 34.85 41.11 24.02 27.55 31.94 38.15 37.98 36.07 Notes: [1] Calculated from merchandise exports and imports, tourism receipts, and interest payments only 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) • 130 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [1] India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay -2.02 -0.47 0.20 4.18 -1.10 -0.99 -0.88 -0.52 14.08 8.10 -0.27 -0.91 -1.26 0.09 -7.83 0.30 -0.54 -0.93 -3.54 35.41 -1.67 -0.02 4.78 0.98 -7.52 -0.09 -2.59 -0.31 0.47 11.68 -1.62 -0.91 -0.79 -1.30 -2.47 1.56 0.34 -1.77 -1.73 -0.11 -5.77 0.46 -1.00 0.06 -6.39 59.51 -6.65 0.02 2.77 1.79 -14.43 0.00 0.17 -0.70 1.47 13.98 -3.36 -1.89 -0.98 -2.63 -9.90 0.28 -1.06 -2.00 -1.84 -0.32 -5.56 0.35 -1.02 1.16 -8.49 84.60 -8.57 -0.14 -6.46 3.88 -22.31 0.04 3.71 -1.40 2.19 13.64 -5.83 -2.99 -1.02 -3.97 -9.56 10.86 -2.00 -4.48 -3.20 -0.60 -6.16 1.10 -0.45 2.91 -12.86 94.69 -13.85 -0.09 3.65 7.13 -32.25 -0.39 9.02 -1.32 2.91 1.55 -10.61 -5.98 -1.65 -3.21 -15.74 10.49 -8.32 -6.42 -5.68 -0.43 -12.97 0.75 -1.41 1.52 -23.09 77.77 -19.95 -0.09 17.32 5.17 -38.43 -0.22 16.45 -1.22 2.26 -28.19 -11.97 -6.74 -2.79 -4.13 -27.92 0.12 6.33 -4.40 -6.14 -0.98 -18.73 0.27 -2.72 -5.29 -23.98 103.53 -19.59 -0.18 4.06 8.50 -41.52 -1.73 10.17 -0.81 0.56 -24.30 -4.33 -4.96 -0.58 0.83 -38.18 10.63 -4.11 2.23 1.38 -0.66 -5.77 0.01 -0.18 -0.72 -6.97 48.60 -11.45 -0.13 24.10 1.63 -13.37 -0.38 15.04 -0.81 0.77 -47.27 -0.71 -8.76 -1.28 0.91 -45.95 5.15 2.41 0.71 0.03 -0.80 -1.95 -0.19 -2.86 -3.78 -7.18 71.08 -10.24 -0.06 14.51 4.17 -46.64 -0.75 17.14 -1.09 3.25 -52.47 0.05 -9.98 -2.20 0.47 -78.15 1.68 14.11 -0.61 -1.60 -1.16 -9.67 -0.27 -3.87 -3.34 -8.35 98.83 -13.60 0.00 5.89 2.62 -77.24 -1.37 14.46 -1.45 2.17 -54.23 -0.68 -11.42 -2.34 0.50 -95.51 -24.18 7.72 -0.48 -0.22 -1.10 -9.25 -0.04 -3.27 -7.14 -6.60 74.80 -24.07 -0.06 2.73 1.30 -46.87 -2.63 12.56 -1.47 2.68 -71.15 -0.33 -11.00 -2.23 0.49 -85.46 -24.28 12.74 -0.64 -0.21 -1.10 -12.00 -0.13 -3.46 -10.26 -7.23 41.12 -23.90 -0.07 5.92 2.02 -64.08 -3.13 13.98 -1.45 1.74 -92.04 -0.59 -11.92 -2.51 0.46 -90.02 -26.00 15.28 -0.92 -0.45 -0.91 -13.76 -0.30 -3.26 -10.96 -7.74 15.38 -24.85 -0.07 6.11 2.64 -69.20 -3.07 -0.50 -0.55 -1.00 -0.81 -1.36 -2.75 -0.48 -0.73 -1.13 -1.27 -1.28 -1.18 1.45 1.19 1.10 1.49 -1.12 -2.57 -0.64 -2.48 -4.65 -7.22 -9.41 -11.71 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2009; Excludes Actavis and principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) • 131 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia -0.72 -0.19 0.18 -0.18 0.08 -2.08 -0.70 -0.39 -1.02 -6.72 1.20 -0.12 1.55 3.39 0.13 0.28 -0.16 -0.73 0.68 -0.02 0.18 -0.36 0.32 -1.78 -0.64 -0.43 -1.16 -8.81 0.04 -0.15 0.92 16.84 0.14 1.62 -0.14 -0.44 5.14 -0.05 -0.56 -0.42 0.56 -2.46 -0.62 -0.77 -1.24 -8.24 -2.27 -0.38 0.95 36.53 0.02 1.98 -0.14 -0.30 10.69 -0.12 0.82 -0.35 1.29 -3.23 -0.77 -1.26 -1.52 -8.38 -1.73 -0.85 1.32 36.52 0.13 5.34 0.11 -0.62 10.58 -0.59 0.94 -0.25 1.51 -4.33 -1.22 -2.12 -1.79 -9.96 -2.87 -1.45 -0.22 27.65 0.18 7.11 0.18 -0.92 7.19 -1.38 0.70 -0.49 1.99 -6.08 -1.53 -3.15 -1.41 -11.12 -2.05 -2.26 -5.66 29.11 -0.32 3.63 0.35 -1.71 -7.57 -1.37 2.42 -0.31 0.75 -3.06 -0.31 -1.25 0.27 -0.11 -1.24 -1.16 -5.36 13.82 0.07 9.36 0.21 -1.23 7.42 -1.37 3.20 -0.26 0.97 -0.86 -0.58 -1.33 -0.56 1.52 -1.88 -0.94 -4.21 13.26 -0.65 8.92 0.65 -2.10 13.08 -1.12 -2.23 -0.50 0.54 -0.45 -1.07 -1.80 -1.60 2.05 -3.47 -0.80 -8.34 8.69 -0.27 7.12 0.25 -3.39 10.46 -1.06 -0.57 -0.20 2.00 -0.06 -1.26 -1.95 -1.45 2.96 -5.60 -0.75 -9.56 23.40 -0.86 7.18 0.24 -3.64 9.64 -1.00 0.16 -0.24 1.38 0.23 -1.13 -1.70 -2.00 3.15 -3.34 -0.86 -8.76 17.12 -0.80 6.96 0.21 -3.31 9.20 -0.96 -1.35 -0.28 1.11 -0.17 -1.14 -1.56 -2.41 3.12 -2.84 -0.73 -6.73 15.55 -0.73 6.63 0.10 -3.16 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -0.17 -0.08 -0.34 -0.24 -0.42 -1.40 -0.31 -0.57 -0.65 -0.66 -0.52 -0.73 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -0.34 0.38 1.54 2.08 1.25 0.32 0.22 1.18 0.37 1.07 0.87 0.76 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Import numbers based on payment settlements data, except FY11 which used customs data 30. Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) • 132 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia -0.41 8.14 -0.43 -0.18 -1.63 -0.23 — 1.04 -0.39 1.94 -0.05 0.28 -0.55 -0.77 0.13 -2.61 -0.13 -0.10 -0.71 4.12 1.77 -0.44 -0.07 -0.08 2.89 11.80 -1.93 -0.66 -0.36 3.21 -1.19 -0.15 -1.64 -0.18 — 1.04 -0.48 3.42 -0.25 -0.32 -0.68 -0.50 -0.13 -3.33 -0.05 0.06 -0.69 1.81 1.92 -0.51 -0.65 -0.10 6.91 15.52 -0.96 -0.44 -0.57 5.27 0.46 -0.15 -1.84 -0.31 0.15 -0.47 0.47 2.91 -0.30 -0.77 -0.29 -1.07 -0.25 -2.93 -0.23 0.09 -0.78 -1.53 6.23 -0.68 -0.65 -0.10 2.53 25.45 -0.56 -0.60 -0.67 7.77 -1.39 -0.03 -1.00 -0.26 -0.23 -1.29 1.74 1.75 -0.60 -1.04 -0.40 -1.18 -0.51 -1.18 -0.39 0.37 -0.85 -4.99 4.14 -0.86 -1.50 -0.12 -1.62 26.46 -0.16 0.14 -1.15 7.35 -3.01 -0.05 -1.65 -0.48 0.46 -2.17 1.91 2.27 -0.48 -2.12 -1.12 -2.04 -1.03 -1.70 -0.67 0.17 -1.22 -6.88 1.63 -1.31 -1.40 -0.19 -5.27 15.98 -6.95 -0.70 -2.02 6.76 -4.96 -0.14 -2.60 -1.05 -3.10 -4.52 1.74 0.89 -0.65 -3.54 -2.13 -2.79 -1.98 -2.76 -0.97 -0.69 -1.50 -13.87 5.79 -1.88 -3.88 -0.23 -12.76 32.15 -10.82 -1.04 -1.85 11.00 -6.13 -0.08 -1.09 -0.93 0.00 -2.33 0.20 -4.42 -0.24 -1.60 -0.56 -1.13 -1.69 -3.40 -0.45 -0.34 -0.78 -9.26 -4.44 -0.85 -0.22 -0.20 -1.73 2.26 -6.61 0.54 -1.35 1.36 -8.28 -0.05 -0.95 -0.88 1.71 -4.33 -1.62 -4.32 -0.42 -2.65 -0.84 -0.93 -2.51 -3.57 -0.45 -0.89 -0.86 -3.95 -4.68 -0.58 -1.08 -0.21 -3.02 8.81 -4.28 1.14 -1.59 -1.57 -5.03 -0.03 -1.59 -1.20 0.90 -4.41 -0.24 -6.09 -0.26 -3.68 -1.50 -2.07 -3.33 -4.89 -0.79 -2.76 -1.27 0.21 -0.96 -0.91 -4.62 -0.21 -9.01 24.39 0.24 0.22 -1.31 0.48 -1.82 -0.04 -1.41 -1.28 -0.40 -4.24 -0.40 -7.93 -0.30 -5.12 -1.74 -1.78 -4.11 -6.64 -0.51 -3.33 -1.35 -4.37 -2.30 -1.41 -3.92 -0.22 -14.76 11.02 9.10 -0.31 -1.27 2.04 -3.82 -0.05 -1.18 -1.36 -0.60 -3.02 -0.74 -5.52 -0.41 -5.57 -2.27 -1.67 -4.18 -7.04 -0.59 -3.04 -1.78 -3.25 -2.35 -1.27 -3.76 -0.23 -12.27 20.39 8.66 -0.43 -1.25 1.18 -3.54 -0.06 -1.18 -1.52 -1.10 -3.25 -0.73 -4.51 -0.39 -5.90 -2.18 -1.41 -4.68 -6.83 -0.62 -2.85 -2.01 -2.40 -1.73 -1.19 -3.93 -0.23 -12.38 16.52 8.69 -0.46 -0.13 -0.25 -0.30 -0.46 -1.07 -1.93 -0.89 -0.94 -1.38 -1.41 -1.51 -1.46 0.77 0.79 1.05 0.79 -0.42 -1.16 -1.30 -1.42 -1.14 -1.80 -1.31 -1.43 Median (B1 to C) Mean (B1 to C) B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 31. Current Account Balance/GDP • 133 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America -5.3 1.7 3.4 1.1 -2.3 3.4 -11.3 4.8 0.4 1.9 -6.5 10.8 0.0 -0.8 3.2 8.1 -3.0 5.5 -3.8 12.3 -6.4 22.9 -4.3 -0.8 -3.5 6.9 12.9 -1.7 -4.7 -6.1 2.2 3.2 2.3 -5.0 3.0 -11.3 6.2 0.5 4.7 -5.8 9.9 -0.6 -0.3 3.7 11.9 -5.8 7.6 -5.7 12.7 -8.3 17.1 -5.9 -2.6 -5.2 6.6 13.0 -2.1 -5.3 -5.7 2.2 2.0 1.9 -5.9 4.3 -10.0 3.4 -0.5 5.1 -7.6 11.9 -3.5 -0.9 3.6 11.5 -8.5 7.4 -7.9 16.1 -10.3 21.4 -6.6 -1.7 -7.4 6.8 13.6 -2.0 -5.9 -5.3 2.8 1.9 1.4 -7.0 3.0 -15.3 4.2 -0.6 6.3 -11.4 12.7 -3.5 -1.5 3.9 10.4 -9.5 9.4 -8.3 17.1 -10.7 24.8 -6.3 -2.5 -9.0 8.4 14.4 -2.9 -6.0 -6.2 3.5 1.9 0.8 -11.8 1.4 -15.9 4.3 -1.0 7.4 -14.6 13.0 -5.4 -1.3 4.9 10.1 -6.2 6.7 -8.1 14.1 -10.1 26.1 -4.7 -4.8 -10.0 9.1 8.6 -2.2 -5.1 -4.4 4.9 -1.3 0.1 -15.6 2.9 -9.2 2.6 -1.7 6.2 -14.9 15.0 -5.7 -2.9 3.3 5.4 -4.9 4.3 -8.8 17.5 -12.6 15.1 -6.0 -6.2 -9.6 9.1 2.1 -1.0 -4.7 -4.3 2.7 -1.4 -3.0 -10.7 3.4 3.4 1.8 -1.3 6.0 -11.2 9.5 -2.3 -2.0 2.9 7.2 -7.4 5.2 -2.4 11.8 -10.9 17.7 -2.6 -0.7 -4.8 6.7 10.5 -1.2 -2.7 -2.9 3.4 1.9 -3.6 -9.8 5.9 2.9 1.5 -1.6 6.2 -10.1 6.6 1.1 -3.5 3.7 8.2 -4.7 7.8 -3.2 12.2 -10.6 26.8 -3.7 -0.6 -4.5 6.8 14.3 -2.5 -3.0 -2.2 1.4 -1.1 -3.0 -4.7 5.6 2.1 -1.5 -2.0 6.2 -9.9 4.8 1.1 -3.1 2.0 7.1 -0.2 10.1 -4.0 12.8 -7.0 24.6 -2.1 0.0 -3.7 7.1 8.4 -1.3 -3.1 -3.7 1.8 -1.4 -3.7 -6.3 5.6 -1.2 -1.9 -2.3 7.0 -5.3 1.3 4.9 -0.7 1.0 5.6 0.4 9.9 -5.0 14.2 -1.5 18.6 2.3 2.3 -1.1 7.2 13.6 -3.7 -3.0 -5.5 2.4 -0.7 -3.9 -1.5 4.9 -1.2 -1.7 -1.7 6.3 -2.8 1.0 5.0 0.3 1.5 6.2 0.7 8.6 -5.8 13.8 -0.4 15.6 2.6 3.5 1.3 7.4 12.5 -2.6 -2.9 -6.0 2.9 -0.8 -3.4 0.7 5.4 -1.3 -1.8 -1.9 6.1 -1.7 1.3 5.5 0.3 2.0 6.5 0.5 8.9 -6.0 13.0 0.1 15.7 2.8 3.8 2.1 8.2 13.0 -2.3 -3.0 Median 0.4 0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -1.0 -1.3 -1.2 1.1 -0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 Mean 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 -0.7 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 31. Current Account Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.3 6.2 — -1.1 2.6 -6.1 0.5 2.4 19.7 32.7 11.7 6.7 -2.5 24.4 12.7 9.4 5.8 6.7 4.7 — 2.6 3.5 -5.0 1.7 4.5 26.1 34.7 11.8 3.6 -5.2 23.8 19.1 5.5 7.2 9.3 15.7 — 1.5 5.8 -0.9 3.1 2.2 37.2 24.9 14.4 16.8 -2.4 16.8 27.4 4.9 13.5 21.8 19.2 -21.2 4.6 8.3 -2.1 4.8 1.5 44.6 16.7 16.1 15.4 -3.8 15.5 26.2 6.9 16.2 20.6 18.4 -22.0 4.1 10.1 -4.4 2.7 2.1 36.0 23.8 15.4 5.9 -6.2 14.4 22.4 9.0 7.6 14.9 7.8 -20.9 -3.2 9.3 -2.1 1.1 0.3 40.9 19.5 17.1 8.3 -6.6 23.1 25.5 6.8 7.1 10.6 -5.2 -20.3 2.0 4.8 -2.5 3.8 3.9 26.8 31.8 15.5 -1.2 -4.0 6.5 4.9 11.4 2.9 12.6 0.3 -20.5 1.5 4.0 -3.8 3.7 2.9 31.9 42.6 11.1 10.0 -5.1 18.7 12.7 9.3 2.4 10.7 -0.2 -21.8 -1.3 1.9 -2.8 1.4 2.3 44.0 46.1 11.0 14.7 -4.9 30.0 23.7 8.9 8.5 11.8 -4.8 -20.6 -3.5 2.3 -2.4 -0.1 3.8 45.1 39.1 6.4 15.2 -3.5 32.4 23.7 10.5 9.3 11.1 4.3 -15.8 -4.3 2.5 -2.0 1.0 3.1 40.9 40.5 4.4 9.4 -2.8 26.8 20.2 8.5 10.1 10.2 4.3 -16.0 -4.0 2.3 -2.3 1.6 2.1 38.8 40.6 4.6 6.2 -2.7 20.6 17.5 7.7 8.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 6.0 5.1 11.4 15.4 9.0 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.5 6.4 4.4 4.6 Mean (Aaa to A3) 8.1 9.1 11.9 11.2 9.4 8.7 5.4 7.9 10.1 9.7 9.3 8.2 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 134 • Notes: [1] Calculated from merchandise exports and imports, tourism receipts, and interest payments only 31. Current Account Balance/GDP • 135 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [2] India [3] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay -27.3 -6.8 2.1 0.8 -5.3 -1.0 -5.0 -4.8 2.3 3.5 -0.9 -8.2 -6.7 1.6 -1.1 6.1 -4.1 -1.5 -6.0 8.2 -1.0 -4.7 3.4 8.8 -2.5 -0.7 -29.3 -4.3 4.2 1.8 -6.4 -0.8 -4.3 -9.8 -0.3 0.6 0.8 -12.9 -7.6 -1.7 -0.8 7.0 -7.1 0.1 -8.4 10.1 -3.0 2.9 1.7 13.5 -3.7 0.0 1.2 -9.1 11.0 1.6 -11.6 -1.3 -4.9 -16.2 -1.2 0.1 -1.8 -12.6 -7.1 -5.0 -0.7 4.8 -6.6 1.5 -8.6 11.1 -3.5 -20.2 -3.7 24.4 -4.6 0.2 17.7 -17.6 13.8 1.3 -17.6 -1.8 -4.5 -23.8 -1.0 3.0 -2.5 -22.6 -10.6 -9.0 -0.6 13.8 -2.6 3.2 -10.5 9.6 -5.3 -12.6 1.8 38.8 -6.1 -2.0 27.3 -15.8 15.7 0.1 -25.2 -2.9 -6.3 -15.7 -1.3 2.4 -7.9 -22.4 -14.4 -5.6 -1.3 8.6 -7.1 1.4 -13.5 6.0 -7.0 -12.4 7.0 23.9 -5.9 -0.9 33.7 -14.8 10.2 -1.7 -23.1 -2.8 -9.3 -24.6 -2.3 0.0 4.7 -13.1 -12.9 -10.1 -1.7 3.1 -11.8 -4.2 -11.7 6.2 -7.2 -22.4 1.5 30.5 -5.7 -5.7 23.0 -10.5 2.9 -1.5 -8.9 -2.1 -2.0 6.9 -2.8 2.0 -3.6 8.6 3.7 -7.4 -0.7 0.1 -0.7 -0.6 -4.2 4.0 -4.0 -16.5 9.1 8.3 -2.2 -1.3 28.4 -10.5 3.6 -2.2 -1.5 -3.1 -3.5 7.2 -2.7 0.7 1.6 2.9 0.1 -8.2 -0.2 -1.7 -10.6 -2.5 -4.4 4.7 -2.8 -6.6 4.5 20.0 -6.4 -1.9 26.0 -14.0 12.6 -2.1 0.1 -3.0 -5.4 3.4 -4.2 0.2 7.7 -2.2 -3.7 -10.3 -0.8 -2.2 -12.4 -1.9 -4.6 5.2 -3.4 -0.3 1.7 11.2 -10.0 -2.9 21.0 -17.9 8.0 -2.4 -1.3 -3.1 -5.2 3.6 -5.1 -2.8 3.8 -1.7 -0.5 -9.6 -0.8 -0.3 -9.0 -3.6 -3.9 3.7 -6.3 -6.5 0.7 5.4 -5.9 -5.3 16.8 -17.4 9.2 -3.0 -0.6 -2.8 -4.6 3.3 -4.2 -2.6 5.8 -2.1 -0.9 -8.9 -0.9 -1.0 -8.3 -4.6 -4.0 1.9 -6.1 -7.5 1.4 8.0 -7.5 -5.5 17.1 -16.3 5.7 -3.5 -1.0 -2.8 -4.7 3.0 -3.9 -2.5 6.4 -2.9 -1.6 -7.0 -0.9 -2.2 -7.0 -4.5 -3.9 0.6 -6.0 -7.2 1.3 10.0 -7.4 -5.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) -1.1 -0.8 -2.7 -2.2 -4.2 -4.9 -1.0 -1.8 -2.1 -2.6 -2.7 -2.9 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) -2.0 -2.2 -2.4 -1.8 -2.8 -3.7 0.0 0.2 -0.6 -1.7 -1.8 -1.8 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Series break in 2005 Series break in 2009; Excludes Actavis and principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 31. Current Account Balance/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -5.2 -6.7 0.3 -5.5 1.0 -6.1 -4.7 -9.8 -4.7 -8.0 11.8 -6.8 3.1 4.3 2.0 0.3 -9.8 -2.7 3.4 -0.5 0.3 -10.3 3.7 -4.3 -4.1 -8.4 -4.9 -8.6 0.3 -7.2 1.6 19.2 1.8 1.8 -7.4 -1.4 16.8 -1.1 -0.9 -10.6 5.9 -5.5 -3.6 -12.0 -4.6 -7.5 -18.0 -16.7 1.6 32.5 0.2 1.9 -6.4 -0.9 23.7 -1.8 1.3 -8.4 11.3 -6.5 -4.1 -16.2 -5.0 -7.4 -11.5 -31.4 2.0 25.1 1.2 4.4 4.2 -1.8 17.5 -6.4 1.4 -5.6 11.5 -7.3 -6.1 -20.9 -5.2 -7.3 -16.8 -39.6 -0.3 16.6 1.3 4.8 6.3 -2.4 8.5 -11.9 0.9 -11.2 11.9 -8.7 -7.1 -24.6 -3.6 -7.2 -9.3 -50.0 -6.4 14.0 -1.7 2.1 10.0 -3.8 -10.0 -15.8 2.7 -7.1 4.3 -4.9 -1.5 -11.6 0.7 -0.1 -5.2 -27.9 -5.9 8.2 0.4 5.6 5.4 -2.8 9.0 -14.8 3.2 -6.1 4.9 -1.5 -2.7 -11.4 -1.4 1.2 -7.1 -22.9 -4.6 6.8 -3.3 4.5 15.0 -4.8 12.6 -11.0 -2.0 -11.5 2.2 -0.7 -4.6 -12.4 -3.4 1.5 -12.0 -17.8 -8.4 3.6 -1.0 3.2 6.3 -7.4 8.9 -10.6 -0.5 -4.7 7.6 -0.1 -5.3 -12.3 -2.9 2.4 -18.0 -17.7 -9.9 9.1 -3.3 2.9 5.1 -8.1 7.4 -9.5 0.1 -5.5 4.8 0.4 -4.5 -10.1 -3.7 2.5 -9.8 -18.7 -8.4 5.5 -2.5 2.4 3.9 -7.0 6.4 -9.0 -1.0 -6.2 3.5 -0.3 -4.3 -8.4 -4.1 2.6 -7.7 -15.8 -6.2 4.5 -2.0 2.1 1.8 -6.4 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -4.7 -1.0 -2.3 -1.8 -3.8 -5.1 -2.2 -2.1 -2.7 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -2.6 -1.4 -1.6 -1.2 -3.2 -5.5 -3.6 -2.0 -3.5 -3.2 -2.9 -2.8 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 136 • Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Import numbers based on payment settlements data, except FY11 which used customs data 31. Current Account Balance/GDP • 137 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia -7.1 6.3 -2.4 -18.7 -19.5 -5.0 — 5.1 -1.2 2.4 -2.3 2.5 -6.7 -8.2 0.9 -13.2 -6.6 -6.1 -13.3 4.9 3.9 -6.4 -0.4 -16.5 5.8 14.1 -4.9 -15.3 -4.9 2.1 -5.2 -14.7 -15.5 -3.4 — 4.7 -1.3 4.3 -9.3 -2.2 -7.6 -4.9 -0.8 -15.5 -1.8 3.1 -11.9 1.8 4.7 -6.4 -3.1 -19.7 10.6 13.8 -2.1 -8.2 -7.0 3.0 1.5 -13.6 -15.9 -4.9 0.3 -1.4 1.1 3.2 -10.1 -4.4 -3.0 -9.5 -1.3 -13.6 -7.6 3.5 -12.4 -1.4 13.3 -7.8 -2.7 -18.5 2.9 17.5 -1.1 -8.4 -7.5 3.6 -3.8 -2.1 -7.4 -3.6 -0.4 -3.6 3.7 1.6 -19.4 -5.1 -3.7 -9.9 -2.3 -5.3 -11.3 10.8 -12.5 -3.9 8.0 -9.2 -5.3 -19.5 -1.5 14.4 -0.3 1.3 -10.8 2.8 -6.7 -4.1 -9.6 -5.6 0.7 -5.3 3.7 1.7 -14.2 -8.6 -9.0 -15.9 -3.8 -6.8 -15.2 4.0 -16.4 -4.8 2.9 -11.6 -4.3 -28.0 -3.7 6.9 -9.8 -6.0 -15.5 2.2 -8.2 -10.6 -12.4 -10.2 -4.7 -10.0 2.8 0.5 -18.0 -12.4 -15.3 -20.4 -6.5 -9.3 -16.1 -12.1 -18.2 -8.5 9.9 -14.1 -9.5 -32.9 -7.1 10.2 -11.9 -7.1 -15.3 3.6 -12.5 -6.1 -5.5 -8.9 0.0 -5.0 0.3 -2.3 -8.1 -6.2 -3.8 -9.3 -5.5 -9.8 -8.2 -7.5 -9.5 -5.7 -7.2 -6.7 -0.5 -29.4 -1.5 0.7 -6.8 4.2 -11.3 0.4 -15.0 -3.3 -5.6 -7.8 2.5 -8.5 -2.4 -2.0 -12.9 -8.2 -5.3 -7.1 -7.8 -9.6 -7.7 -14.2 -10.0 -2.2 -6.5 -4.5 -2.2 -31.6 -2.2 2.2 -4.0 7.1 -12.2 -0.4 -8.4 -2.2 -8.7 -9.3 1.2 -8.0 -0.3 -2.6 -7.0 -9.3 -8.5 -14.3 -9.8 -12.5 -11.3 -31.3 -13.2 0.1 -1.3 -6.3 -7.8 -30.2 -5.5 7.7 0.2 1.1 -10.5 0.1 -2.9 -2.5 -8.3 -8.9 -0.5 -7.2 -0.5 -3.1 -7.5 -12.6 -9.2 -11.7 -10.0 -16.1 -7.0 -30.9 -12.8 -2.0 -14.7 -10.1 -6.6 -30.3 -8.4 2.9 6.4 -1.5 -9.7 0.4 -5.0 -3.0 -6.7 -8.6 -0.7 -5.0 -0.8 -2.2 -9.6 -12.0 -11.0 -11.0 -9.0 -16.1 -7.8 -23.4 -16.0 -1.3 -13.9 -8.2 -5.5 -31.7 -6.9 5.7 5.5 -2.0 -9.5 0.2 -3.9 -3.5 -6.5 -8.7 -1.3 -5.1 -0.7 -1.7 -8.6 -11.2 -10.0 -9.0 -9.0 -14.6 -7.8 -17.7 -17.0 -0.9 -9.2 -7.4 -5.0 -31.1 -6.6 5.3 5.0 -2.0 Median (B1 to C) -4.9 -3.1 -2.8 -3.7 -5.8 -10.1 -6.2 -6.1 -7.9 -7.9 -7.4 -7.0 Mean (B1 to C) -4.0 -3.5 -3.5 -3.4 -6.3 -9.5 -6.2 -6.4 -7.5 -8.1 -7.7 -7.1 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 32. External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.27 1.17 0.17 43.00 219.36 34.89 74.06 141.65 12.23 0.85 49.14 3.93 107.27 14.61 20.62 63.05 30.30 0.28 0.81 0.19 43.21 262.99 45.24 78.42 150.62 15.48 0.81 52.79 4.64 129.94 17.46 23.84 80.89 37.95 0.22 1.00 0.22 45.63 296.54 46.54 78.15 161.41 20.24 1.41 52.30 5.39 132.87 18.05 31.23 86.73 58.46 0.26 1.15 0.22 48.30 338.59 57.31 87.42 225.20 30.87 3.11 52.25 7.43 169.76 26.58 42.51 85.83 100.71 1.37 1.67 0.25 53.42 389.22 76.19 90.12 333.43 57.56 5.60 56.69 10.10 233.34 42.54 75.83 94.52 156.19 2.57 0.98 0.43 63.72 390.16 84.23 86.95 317.37 52.94 7.31 68.24 13.27 244.75 57.95 83.19 90.36 150.72 5.39 2.45 0.62 71.93 428.65 89.24 92.11 345.68 45.70 10.91 67.96 12.68 280.19 80.53 89.44 81.96 155.03 6.01 1.31 0.71 84.45 548.94 94.22 106.02 359.76 41.10 16.99 73.64 11.52 317.13 109.03 93.65 101.58 167.01 7.05 1.49 0.74 98.74 695.00 94.16 103.58 398.72 35.00 17.79 81.01 13.69 320.64 131.79 90.08 122.53 169.02 6.76 1.50 0.72 117.78 736.99 101.86 93.56 413.44 28.60 20.40 82.64 15.25 364.16 157.31 87.81 124.56 179.71 7.10 1.46 0.71 122.63 796.99 108.50 94.50 427.78 28.55 21.34 97.17 15.64 381.00 166.00 90.40 129.50 196.65 7.20 1.20 0.71 128.04 856.99 112.30 95.45 442.83 28.74 19.13 118.64 16.03 392.00 188.00 90.50 132.50 203.22 Median (Aaa to A3) 30.30 37.95 45.63 48.30 57.56 68.24 80.53 93.65 94.16 93.56 97.17 112.30 Mean (Aaa to A3) 48.03 55.62 60.97 75.15 98.71 100.89 109.44 125.48 140.06 149.00 158.00 166.67 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 138 • Notes: [1] Central government only Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 32. External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 139 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.84 0.36 5.42 235.41 13.44 38.06 5.70 16.55 112.65 136.84 22.92 9.40 8.34 1.02 162.67 — 7.53 28.57 22.53 186.00 39.31 — 51.91 4.26 144.09 13.24 3.60 0.35 7.36 220.18 17.11 39.50 5.75 27.25 134.00 140.17 32.71 13.45 10.47 0.95 166.24 — 7.68 30.12 29.29 213.50 45.01 — 58.79 3.90 161.01 14.08 4.67 0.34 8.30 187.99 18.29 38.51 6.52 46.57 139.11 134.50 43.43 15.18 12.56 0.90 173.12 1.59 8.11 28.48 36.47 257.20 48.59 — 59.30 4.06 170.57 13.72 5.75 0.33 11.75 199.37 27.25 40.10 7.03 72.46 172.36 132.63 74.01 23.77 18.96 0.76 171.42 2.01 8.94 28.39 54.26 313.20 59.40 — 69.97 6.31 208.41 12.98 7.04 0.34 29.82 240.50 42.72 44.55 8.45 120.15 224.41 141.17 96.89 38.97 30.10 0.90 196.80 2.02 8.79 33.24 86.31 463.90 75.32 0.23 74.42 6.33 250.42 14.86 9.87 0.44 36.31 262.91 51.84 46.37 9.25 122.67 224.50 155.08 107.93 42.26 32.42 0.71 205.35 1.89 9.28 35.00 100.70 480.50 72.87 0.23 76.10 6.84 281.04 15.42 9.21 0.77 34.96 277.56 54.48 53.72 8.16 28.94 260.94 172.87 112.87 41.82 32.10 1.34 194.98 2.16 11.24 35.16 116.98 467.20 78.56 0.25 75.31 6.30 269.22 17.97 11.27 0.92 37.48 351.94 49.47 64.72 8.52 28.67 305.93 202.41 118.22 39.38 30.40 1.32 247.93 3.09 11.38 43.67 123.54 488.90 104.46 0.23 100.56 9.04 291.92 18.43 11.74 1.04 36.46 404.12 46.88 75.90 10.29 29.29 345.82 224.76 125.20 38.06 31.01 1.55 282.19 4.14 12.58 47.54 127.74 538.80 113.13 0.19 104.59 7.97 304.21 18.34 12.03 1.45 39.33 440.60 49.60 78.64 14.70 23.80 381.20 251.20 137.05 39.81 32.84 1.63 348.50 3.94 12.83 58.51 130.58 631.80 137.51 0.22 133.68 8.71 336.86 21.07 12.70 1.55 40.89 465.60 49.01 73.99 15.30 24.51 421.09 265.00 144.28 41.36 32.64 1.87 398.50 4.13 14.08 64.36 134.32 663.31 147.69 0.26 138.15 9.66 393.10 22.53 13.09 1.65 42.15 490.60 49.57 71.49 15.70 23.44 463.92 277.50 145.09 39.45 32.70 2.07 448.50 4.48 15.08 66.07 138.56 708.74 165.14 0.27 146.00 10.45 435.00 23.73 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 19.54 28.27 28.48 28.39 40.84 44.31 38.49 41.53 42.47 44.70 45.18 45.86 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 52.88 57.60 58.32 68.87 86.10 91.84 90.96 103.61 113.21 128.00 137.69 147.32 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia [6] Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [7] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [8] Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Public sector only 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2003 Series break in 2009 External debt includes nonresident deposits 32. External Debt (US$ Bil.) • 140 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [4] Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria [5] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [6] Tunisia — 1.76 17.41 1.24 5.86 24.85 8.60 1.75 6.72 58.15 12.69 — 18.33 34.88 3.25 63.14 0.38 18.07 9.20 1.87 18.51 1.22 6.28 31.21 8.87 1.76 7.33 81.43 13.05 — 17.02 38.04 3.63 61.52 0.38 19.79 10.20 1.83 19.29 1.35 6.96 30.75 9.54 1.65 7.76 84.67 12.93 — 16.30 22.31 3.25 62.03 0.39 18.33 7.40 2.01 19.42 1.50 5.85 39.14 10.37 3.80 8.80 132.28 14.01 0.88 17.94 7.96 3.44 61.53 0.39 18.78 9.60 2.91 20.71 1.57 5.42 50.08 10.12 5.79 9.84 177.53 15.03 1.30 20.68 8.81 3.59 66.56 0.30 20.40 13.50 3.44 21.29 1.68 5.94 58.19 11.14 7.65 9.99 220.02 13.87 1.50 20.96 11.60 4.18 65.16 0.32 20.86 15.07 5.02 21.80 1.93 6.02 64.95 11.31 8.81 9.64 240.03 14.55 2.36 24.63 10.36 4.13 65.33 0.27 22.14 16.90 6.29 21.45 1.59 6.05 61.65 11.03 10.07 10.42 206.87 17.10 1.59 26.30 10.39 5.08 74.64 0.33 21.96 19.30 7.39 23.61 1.59 6.47 59.17 12.15 11.54 12.17 208.92 17.72 2.09 29.05 13.11 6.01 76.92 0.46 22.64 21.80 7.63 23.54 1.58 7.91 59.20 13.54 13.36 13.61 202.17 19.34 2.26 32.76 14.30 5.91 80.80 0.56 25.40 29.30 7.98 26.00 1.56 8.77 59.79 13.55 13.98 14.09 204.28 21.79 2.32 39.66 16.40 7.24 90.00 1.11 25.74 33.70 8.40 29.50 1.61 9.57 61.59 14.24 14.61 15.26 204.00 22.70 2.45 42.73 17.50 8.04 97.00 1.25 26.51 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 10.65 9.20 10.20 8.38 9.72 11.37 10.83 10.72 12.64 13.95 15.24 16.38 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 17.32 18.89 18.21 19.75 23.90 27.29 29.35 28.32 29.46 30.31 32.42 33.93 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Public sector only from 2010 onward Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors Includes arrears; Public sector only 32. External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 141 • Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana [4] Honduras [5] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [6] Nicaragua [5] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea Senegal [5] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [7] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia Median (B1 to C) Mean (B1 to C) B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.60 164.64 4.17 0.75 4.48 3.32 — 6.83 16.24 29.40 0.27 7.89 5.34 5.69 6.92 20.11 1.93 1.42 6.80 33.35 2.18 3.95 11.70 0.21 23.81 42.97 14.59 6.87 1.87 171.20 4.94 0.85 5.57 3.56 — 7.30 16.76 29.87 0.28 7.44 6.02 6.52 6.98 23.11 1.88 1.47 5.67 33.31 2.10 4.02 12.78 0.22 30.65 42.30 17.33 7.54 1.95 113.77 5.13 0.93 6.38 3.62 5.90 7.22 17.21 28.95 0.29 7.18 5.13 6.60 6.48 22.98 2.08 1.29 5.64 34.04 2.05 3.64 13.02 0.23 39.62 44.82 18.87 5.46 2.48 108.84 6.84 0.99 7.13 3.55 7.79 8.69 17.24 29.59 0.45 3.69 3.93 8.14 6.68 25.65 2.49 1.41 4.76 37.23 2.18 1.89 13.98 0.24 54.51 41.84 21.50 2.38 3.29 124.54 12.50 0.97 9.25 2.81 8.91 10.32 17.10 29.90 0.47 5.11 3.19 10.51 7.52 28.79 3.32 1.82 4.05 40.32 1.98 2.37 16.48 0.19 79.96 56.26 26.77 2.86 4.61 124.92 15.15 0.96 9.82 3.27 11.59 10.28 17.44 33.89 0.45 5.69 3.46 10.43 7.61 30.20 4.08 2.18 4.68 46.16 2.00 2.67 17.77 0.21 101.66 66.36 30.49 3.08 5.14 115.55 22.06 1.26 11.34 3.52 9.53 11.28 16.90 31.53 0.43 7.19 3.34 11.12 8.59 35.60 4.36 2.99 5.65 52.33 4.51 3.92 20.91 0.22 103.40 81.95 37.82 3.77 5.24 129.33 28.40 1.25 10.93 3.83 9.31 13.36 13.52 33.69 0.49 9.32 3.77 14.19 8.80 37.26 4.79 5.93 6.41 61.57 7.07 3.96 24.83 0.28 117.35 97.09 44.43 4.41 6.21 140.66 34.02 1.24 10.73 4.34 9.23 15.39 13.93 34.91 0.57 11.29 4.19 14.35 10.26 40.55 5.44 9.63 7.24 66.37 13.95 4.31 29.39 0.29 126.24 110.74 52.21 4.36 6.98 141.13 34.12 1.24 10.97 5.03 11.12 16.55 14.48 34.38 0.59 12.24 4.78 15.00 12.74 44.61 6.13 14.41 7.79 65.48 14.84 4.88 33.67 0.28 135.05 118.95 54.05 5.85 7.30 145.10 36.41 1.24 11.51 5.68 11.87 18.10 15.35 37.88 0.59 14.52 4.97 15.30 14.63 47.47 6.44 15.90 8.50 66.70 15.85 5.43 39.68 0.30 139.56 128.06 55.29 6.67 7.25 150.20 37.52 1.24 12.04 6.54 12.06 19.22 16.27 41.84 0.61 16.86 5.21 15.60 16.60 50.42 6.87 18.50 9.15 68.50 16.26 5.77 45.70 0.32 146.17 139.04 56.55 7.77 6.80 6.52 6.14 6.76 8.22 8.71 9.06 9.31 11.01 13.57 14.96 16.27 15.83 16.72 14.66 15.22 18.27 20.40 22.01 25.03 27.93 29.55 31.30 33.22 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Prior to 2009 public sector only Public sector only; Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) and Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) official debt relief initiatives completed in 2006 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2007 Public sector only 33. Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt • 142 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana [2] Cayman Islands [1] Chile China [3] Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland [2] Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 59.3 39.8 100.0 22.5 — 7.8 40.6 — 5.4 0.0 51.8 29.5 42.2 22.7 — 0.3 48.0 61.4 48.8 100.0 23.6 — 15.0 40.0 — 4.8 0.0 48.3 29.2 44.6 22.9 — 6.2 40.7 100.0 35.5 100.0 21.6 — 20.1 39.9 — 9.3 0.0 43.6 17.9 45.7 21.2 — 16.1 28.0 100.0 27.7 100.0 23.1 — 21.1 38.2 — 7.6 0.0 40.9 19.8 40.7 12.9 — 12.4 17.2 25.2 14.1 100.0 21.9 — 20.2 35.5 — 9.6 0.0 32.8 14.7 37.2 7.8 — 3.7 11.8 21.9 32.1 100.0 18.3 — 18.4 32.4 — 11.7 0.0 37.8 12.0 28.3 13.5 — 1.7 12.9 15.3 58.8 100.0 18.4 — 22.7 34.0 — 10.1 0.0 38.5 14.6 32.9 22.3 — 7.2 13.3 18.1 76.2 100.0 20.4 — 26.5 38.0 — 14.6 0.0 38.4 17.8 36.7 17.7 — 7.9 13.6 19.1 65.5 100.0 20.8 — 25.3 34.8 — 16.5 0.0 34.1 14.1 37.7 18.3 — 3.7 14.8 23.1 72.1 100.0 21.4 — 28.3 33.4 — 16.8 0.0 32.8 12.2 42.8 16.7 — 2.2 15.3 26.7 73.7 100.0 22.7 — 30.9 33.4 — 15.3 0.0 31.4 11.6 44.6 17.7 — 2.3 15.4 30.5 74.2 100.0 23.0 — 31.2 33.4 — 15.2 0.0 25.7 10.5 47.2 16.3 — 2.3 14.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 34.7 34.6 24.8 22.1 17.4 18.4 20.3 19.2 20.0 22.3 24.7 24.4 Mean (Aaa to A3) 33.6 34.7 35.6 33.0 23.9 24.4 27.7 30.4 28.9 29.8 30.4 30.3 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Central government only General government only Includes government guaranteed debt except that of the banking sector 33. Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt • 143 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil [2] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [3] India [4] Indonesia [5] Kazakhstan [6] Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [7] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania [5] Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [8] Uruguay 50.5 100.0 37.4 55.8 62.3 64.6 67.6 18.8 46.8 59.7 15.8 9.1 31.5 92.2 48.6 — 76.0 76.2 44.8 57.0 55.2 — 32.9 37.1 49.2 74.8 44.6 100.0 31.3 56.9 46.4 65.4 61.2 12.8 44.4 59.4 9.6 9.0 28.3 91.3 47.7 — 76.3 77.6 41.7 49.4 53.7 — 26.1 39.3 47.0 74.7 35.4 100.0 26.5 51.4 28.7 62.8 48.5 5.3 38.0 59.6 5.0 6.7 21.9 92.8 41.4 36.2 77.8 77.7 32.8 58.6 49.0 — 25.6 32.7 41.3 76.5 36.5 100.0 16.5 42.9 17.9 65.6 47.2 4.7 33.3 57.2 4.2 5.2 21.0 93.9 31.9 30.6 80.4 76.3 23.9 43.8 42.9 — 22.0 20.0 34.3 74.3 36.2 100.0 6.4 33.6 10.7 64.7 43.3 3.3 30.8 57.1 2.2 4.0 17.3 93.1 28.1 30.2 87.4 64.6 16.4 39.6 32.3 100.0 20.0 22.0 29.4 76.6 32.2 100.0 3.7 30.3 6.8 63.5 34.9 5.6 30.5 55.8 2.0 8.4 12.0 93.8 27.7 30.4 87.6 57.8 14.2 34.0 30.5 100.0 19.5 21.9 27.9 71.7 38.0 100.0 3.8 32.9 7.5 69.1 39.4 23.4 31.0 57.4 3.3 16.5 24.7 76.3 49.4 30.5 87.1 57.6 16.7 38.8 35.5 100.0 20.5 30.8 31.0 73.0 35.2 100.0 3.1 28.7 7.8 61.1 44.6 25.5 30.8 58.6 4.3 20.1 36.2 88.4 44.5 23.1 88.6 52.6 20.0 40.9 41.5 100.0 26.2 19.4 30.5 71.5 46.4 100.0 2.8 24.2 7.7 56.3 38.1 29.5 29.2 52.8 4.4 22.1 39.4 92.9 41.3 28.4 86.5 51.1 22.6 41.1 47.4 100.0 28.4 24.8 31.0 78.7 50.3 100.0 5.4 24.6 9.0 59.0 41.2 26.9 29.6 50.2 4.3 23.8 47.2 93.4 36.1 32.5 89.5 45.1 25.7 43.3 52.1 100.0 30.5 27.7 30.6 78.8 48.8 100.0 8.5 25.8 8.9 53.0 45.3 22.4 30.2 48.1 4.7 26.4 48.4 88.4 35.0 32.5 90.4 39.6 26.1 41.1 50.5 100.0 31.2 28.6 26.9 78.8 50.0 100.0 10.7 24.9 8.9 51.0 47.0 28.1 30.4 47.0 5.2 24.5 49.1 85.8 36.0 31.9 91.1 37.1 26.7 38.1 46.2 100.0 29.8 29.2 21.7 78.8 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 52.9 47.3 41.3 34.3 31.6 30.5 34.2 35.7 38.8 38.6 37.3 36.5 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 52.7 49.8 45.3 41.1 40.4 38.6 42.1 42.4 43.3 44.5 43.8 43.4 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Public sector only External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government only General government and government guaranteed debt only; Data for total public sector external debt for 2012 only available from National Bank of Kazakhstan; Share of public sector external debt in total external debt was 23% in 2012 Series break in 2009 External debt includes nonresident deposits 33. Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt • 144 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [4] Guatemala Hungary [5] Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria [6] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [7] Tunisia — 62.3 99.1 60.4 71.3 41.9 54.8 100.0 51.6 42.6 43.5 — 78.9 89.7 67.8 62.8 100.0 77.0 100.0 63.3 99.0 65.5 72.8 37.4 53.9 100.0 52.5 39.9 41.0 — 82.9 85.6 67.0 61.9 100.0 75.6 100.0 60.3 99.0 66.2 65.8 33.5 52.2 100.0 48.0 37.5 40.3 — 76.3 90.8 69.7 59.1 100.0 75.9 100.0 60.1 99.0 71.0 54.5 29.2 54.9 45.7 45.0 30.7 38.0 43.5 75.2 48.1 64.9 60.8 100.0 75.3 100.0 49.9 98.9 72.4 40.6 29.8 53.8 31.8 42.9 28.7 35.0 24.2 75.7 41.0 61.1 57.1 100.0 74.5 100.0 45.9 99.2 66.4 40.6 26.9 52.4 33.3 43.9 25.0 26.2 26.6 78.9 33.6 54.1 62.4 100.0 72.7 100.0 61.9 94.2 69.0 42.3 28.3 57.9 41.5 51.1 28.2 26.6 20.6 78.0 40.7 54.7 66.2 100.0 68.8 100.0 54.7 94.6 100.0 46.5 30.9 62.0 41.9 53.4 33.6 27.0 42.8 80.0 45.2 46.5 61.9 100.0 68.7 100.0 50.2 95.2 100.0 52.7 30.8 58.8 39.1 46.1 33.6 25.3 39.3 76.8 45.0 38.4 60.3 100.0 68.2 100.0 52.5 93.2 100.0 49.6 30.9 53.5 36.1 46.3 35.2 25.5 43.4 79.3 45.5 45.0 55.9 100.0 66.7 100.0 50.6 93.7 100.0 51.2 31.8 58.1 34.5 48.5 34.0 25.2 48.2 79.3 42.7 43.3 52.2 100.0 68.4 100.0 48.2 89.1 100.0 50.4 32.3 57.0 33.8 49.1 35.0 26.4 50.2 79.3 42.9 42.2 49.5 100.0 72.8 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 65.3 67.0 66.2 57.5 51.9 49.1 56.3 54.1 51.5 51.1 50.9 49.9 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 69.0 70.5 69.1 60.9 56.5 54.9 57.2 60.5 58.9 58.8 59.0 58.8 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Public sector only from 2010 onward Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only General government only In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors Includes arrears; Public sector only 33. Public Sector External Debt/Total External Debt • 145 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus [1] Belize [2] Bosnia and Herzegovina [3] Cambodia Cuba [4] Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [5] Fiji [1] Ghana Honduras [6] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova [7] Mongolia [8] Nicaragua [6] Pakistan [5] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [4] Ukraine [9] Venezuela Vietnam Zambia [10] 70.8 64.3 15.0 100.0 51.6 89.5 — 82.3 69.8 64.2 38.1 9.3 89.5 80.0 84.1 37.2 49.3 80.0 96.9 87.6 67.3 98.7 — 100.0 44.8 67.1 83.3 81.1 68.7 67.7 11.5 100.0 48.2 89.2 — 84.0 68.5 63.5 39.6 9.9 86.4 80.7 87.0 32.3 43.9 88.7 95.1 89.7 67.3 96.4 80.5 100.0 38.3 66.5 85.7 77.5 64.1 57.5 11.8 100.0 40.1 89.4 100.0 81.5 64.3 63.0 39.5 8.6 85.0 83.9 89.0 36.2 36.2 98.1 94.8 91.3 60.8 96.1 79.1 100.0 29.7 68.1 83.8 72.2 56.2 56.1 8.6 100.0 38.2 93.5 100.0 73.4 62.9 63.7 59.2 31.6 77.0 75.7 87.9 39.9 34.5 96.6 95.1 91.7 54.8 92.0 78.4 100.0 21.7 63.6 82.5 40.5 47.4 56.8 21.1 100.0 32.1 91.2 100.0 62.0 59.7 65.2 58.3 25.1 63.5 64.1 82.8 39.4 27.9 84.2 83.6 93.8 56.0 91.6 74.9 100.0 15.4 68.8 86.9 38.7 42.0 51.6 26.6 100.0 30.6 89.4 100.0 67.7 60.8 63.9 63.8 23.6 67.1 66.5 84.0 38.1 23.2 73.4 75.0 93.3 53.2 93.2 73.2 100.0 16.4 76.7 83.2 37.6 49.2 53.5 39.8 80.4 31.6 88.8 100.0 70.4 59.3 81.9 66.8 18.5 73.6 60.4 78.2 31.0 25.5 69.1 64.8 93.3 23.5 90.9 69.8 100.0 23.2 82.3 84.9 31.8 52.0 53.7 41.9 80.6 34.1 89.8 100.0 69.9 54.5 77.9 72.8 24.3 75.0 53.6 79.3 28.6 27.6 34.8 60.5 87.0 14.7 92.2 72.1 100.0 27.7 87.9 86.7 29.7 45.2 52.0 40.8 82.3 36.1 88.0 100.0 69.9 61.9 77.6 89.8 24.7 76.4 54.1 73.8 25.3 27.0 23.0 56.3 87.2 7.7 93.9 69.5 100.0 26.4 88.5 87.7 31.6 43.7 50.5 38.1 81.9 41.9 89.5 100.0 72.0 62.7 74.4 91.4 24.7 76.3 58.7 76.5 25.2 27.9 27.1 55.1 85.2 7.9 93.9 68.3 100.0 23.8 88.9 88.0 42.2 40.0 52.0 37.5 82.6 41.4 91.5 100.0 74.1 62.9 72.5 91.9 22.4 79.0 60.1 75.1 25.5 25.4 28.3 52.9 85.0 13.8 94.5 66.3 100.0 24.5 89.7 88.1 41.5 41.2 53.3 36.4 83.2 41.1 91.7 100.0 76.1 63.0 73.7 92.1 25.0 80.0 59.6 75.8 25.7 25.3 29.7 51.9 85.4 13.8 94.8 67.8 100.0 25.5 90.5 88.4 39.9 Median (B1 to C) 75.4 77.5 75.7 68.6 63.8 66.8 67.9 65.2 65.7 65.5 64.6 65.4 Mean (B1 to C) 69.3 69.1 68.7 67.0 63.9 63.4 62.2 61.0 60.6 61.3 61.4 61.8 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] General government only Prior to 2009 public sector only General government only for 2011 Public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative General government and monetary authorities only Series break in 2007 General government and monetary authority only Includes publicly guaranteed external debt 34. Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — — — 16.5 46.8 40.1 35.8 35.9 60.4 — 17.9 38.0 18.3 27.5 58.1 75.8 36.6 — — — 17.9 52.7 34.0 35.0 37.4 47.9 — 21.8 32.3 19.1 30.1 51.5 76.0 41.7 — — — 14.8 57.9 31.3 36.4 40.8 47.1 — 23.7 27.6 20.4 32.1 44.0 85.0 51.2 — — — 16.8 58.8 26.9 36.9 50.5 44.0 — 23.2 32.7 20.4 39.5 28.2 86.5 59.3 — — — 16.9 60.6 29.6 39.8 48.1 46.9 — 29.1 41.5 26.1 48.6 38.3 88.1 64.1 — — — 22.0 58.0 32.1 38.2 47.2 49.2 — 33.8 45.8 26.9 47.1 24.2 87.2 62.5 — — — 22.0 60.5 26.7 39.3 43.2 37.1 — 33.3 43.9 25.0 42.1 36.0 83.2 60.8 — — — 19.2 68.4 25.1 47.1 38.8 40.1 — 35.0 38.3 24.4 42.2 38.0 82.4 60.7 — — — 19.8 72.1 28.7 44.0 34.5 48.9 — 40.4 39.4 22.4 41.3 32.0 88.0 60.5 — — — 19.4 73.4 25.7 38.1 30.6 61.0 — 36.8 41.6 19.2 44.5 50.1 88.5 60.4 — — — 21.8 74.1 29.5 37.5 29.6 65.0 — 41.2 41.7 22.8 41.9 49.8 88.8 60.1 — — — 24.3 74.8 32.1 38.5 28.6 68.9 — 42.9 42.0 23.7 43.2 50.8 88.7 60.5 Median (Aaa to A3) 36.6 35.0 36.4 36.9 41.5 45.8 39.3 38.8 40.4 41.6 41.7 42.9 Mean (Aaa to A3) 39.1 38.3 39.4 40.3 44.4 44.2 42.5 43.1 44.0 45.3 46.4 47.6 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia [1] Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 146 • Notes: [1] Short-term external debt derived from BIS 34. Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 147 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.6 — 42.1 8.6 14.3 9.3 28.7 22.1 4.0 3.8 12.3 60.4 39.3 3.6 13.3 — 0.0 8.8 9.1 19.4 23.5 — 21.0 — 16.0 22.4 3.8 — 46.0 8.5 19.4 13.0 29.1 18.7 6.1 5.6 12.1 57.3 36.0 3.7 11.4 — 0.0 9.2 14.9 16.7 24.9 — 32.4 — 20.0 23.9 4.0 — 46.9 10.0 25.4 16.0 32.1 15.9 14.0 8.2 18.8 49.3 38.8 14.7 11.5 37.9 0.0 11.3 20.3 16.9 31.0 — 38.9 — 22.8 22.1 9.0 — 55.3 10.2 29.8 11.9 33.5 16.9 16.3 9.2 17.1 44.1 29.9 13.9 13.7 38.5 0.0 11.3 30.5 18.1 34.6 — 38.9 — 20.6 24.3 14.8 — 69.5 16.2 32.3 11.6 38.3 34.3 20.4 13.2 12.3 42.9 25.8 18.7 13.8 31.8 0.0 18.3 34.0 21.5 31.9 — 45.7 — 17.2 23.9 11.8 — 73.4 13.9 34.7 12.1 43.1 37.7 19.3 13.2 9.2 33.5 25.1 4.0 13.9 17.3 0.0 17.8 28.5 15.3 34.9 — 44.2 — 18.7 27.4 8.8 — 72.8 11.2 32.1 7.5 27.5 10.6 20.1 13.9 9.1 24.6 18.6 17.8 15.6 16.7 0.0 13.4 19.2 11.3 27.1 — 44.0 — 18.2 27.8 7.8 — 72.5 16.3 30.2 12.7 28.5 10.2 21.2 16.3 7.7 32.0 18.3 7.5 18.4 18.8 0.0 14.5 21.1 12.3 20.9 — 50.4 — 26.5 28.1 7.6 — 73.3 9.9 27.8 14.2 23.5 7.0 22.6 16.9 7.3 31.3 17.8 6.6 18.0 10.0 0.0 13.3 23.1 12.8 18.2 — 45.2 — 27.0 21.1 7.4 — 71.6 7.4 27.7 14.2 25.5 7.7 23.5 17.8 7.2 36.8 19.1 6.3 21.0 10.6 0.0 14.6 20.5 13.0 20.3 — 45.4 — 29.3 21.9 7.2 — 68.6 11.2 27.5 13.6 26.1 8.3 23.3 16.8 7.7 36.3 17.0 10.1 20.8 11.1 0.0 15.1 19.4 15.4 19.2 — 45.6 — 31.8 21.5 7.0 — 66.8 9.5 27.5 13.5 27.2 7.7 23.3 16.4 8.4 37.3 15.7 12.2 21.1 11.3 0.0 15.2 18.8 17.8 17.3 — 47.2 — 31.0 21.7 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 13.8 15.8 18.8 18.1 21.5 18.7 17.8 18.4 17.8 19.1 17.0 17.3 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 17.5 18.8 22.0 22.9 25.6 23.9 20.3 21.4 19.8 20.4 20.6 20.6 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [6] Mexico Namibia [7] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [8] Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Public sector only 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2009 Moody's estimate External debt includes nonresident deposits 34. Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 17.6 2.6 — 11.4 8.1 19.5 — 23.4 14.4 39.0 — 6.8 9.6 17.0 13.0 — 18.1 — 16.4 3.0 — 10.2 11.5 20.1 — 22.1 21.0 41.4 — 1.1 13.8 18.4 12.4 — 16.9 — 15.4 4.5 — 8.5 13.1 19.2 — 17.0 21.9 44.4 — 4.2 8.2 15.8 15.2 — 17.1 — 15.3 4.2 — 10.6 14.9 12.4 14.6 16.6 17.1 47.1 0.0 9.7 48.9 20.6 12.5 — 17.9 — 15.8 6.6 — 11.6 9.8 13.0 12.2 15.5 18.8 49.5 31.2 9.3 56.1 22.4 14.9 46.2 19.5 — 14.3 4.8 — 13.4 15.0 14.6 13.5 15.1 12.6 62.0 40.1 7.8 64.3 27.4 15.3 47.2 20.7 — 10.0 4.3 — 8.8 11.2 8.1 10.7 15.6 12.0 58.5 51.2 8.8 33.9 18.2 10.0 15.5 21.8 — 9.9 5.2 — 11.3 12.9 7.6 10.9 14.9 15.9 56.7 11.7 6.8 30.0 22.6 14.2 12.7 22.6 — 11.8 6.5 — 9.1 14.3 10.1 14.1 13.6 15.2 58.4 21.7 10.4 31.6 31.5 16.0 3.0 22.6 — 10.5 6.1 — 9.7 10.9 12.0 14.9 12.9 11.3 57.2 22.6 9.8 29.5 31.0 20.5 2.6 24.7 — 10.7 8.0 — 10.0 10.9 11.0 13.6 12.8 14.6 59.1 22.8 8.7 29.1 31.5 22.2 1.4 23.6 — 11.0 7.6 — 9.6 10.9 11.2 11.6 12.3 14.0 58.4 21.6 8.4 31.4 31.2 22.7 1.6 21.1 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.4 16.4 15.4 14.9 15.6 15.1 11.6 12.8 14.2 12.4 13.2 11.9 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 15.4 16.0 15.7 17.5 22.0 24.3 18.7 16.6 18.1 17.9 18.1 17.8 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia [2] Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria [3] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [4] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 148 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors Includes arrears; Public sector only 34. Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 149 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 13.1 13.5 59.2 — 2.4 6.7 — 15.1 10.9 6.3 0.1 83.8 2.8 17.4 13.1 45.3 30.8 25.1 8.8 0.6 2.4 — — — 37.9 16.4 6.4 1.3 12.8 15.5 71.0 — 5.6 7.4 — 12.5 11.1 6.6 19.0 82.5 4.2 16.8 10.5 49.6 31.1 12.8 8.8 0.1 12.4 — 16.3 — 34.1 18.5 9.1 1.8 11.5 30.6 64.3 — 15.1 7.7 15.6 12.3 10.0 6.4 0.1 84.4 5.1 9.3 7.7 47.1 37.1 2.0 9.6 0.8 5.5 — 17.9 — 27.6 22.6 10.1 4.3 20.0 26.0 64.0 — 16.4 5.9 25.0 16.1 11.6 5.5 2.6 61.5 7.4 13.6 9.0 44.3 34.2 3.4 13.0 0.5 4.8 — 18.8 — 27.9 27.5 11.8 18.7 22.7 15.5 58.9 — 18.2 8.0 22.2 24.0 10.9 4.8 4.8 69.7 12.3 14.6 12.8 44.5 33.7 4.3 19.8 0.2 22.1 — 21.9 — 25.9 32.2 17.3 20.1 24.6 16.0 49.9 — 9.2 9.9 25.5 18.9 9.6 7.4 4.3 71.8 11.4 12.1 12.0 46.7 32.7 3.4 15.4 1.6 22.6 — 23.2 — 20.0 30.0 14.0 21.9 13.2 17.2 41.1 — 14.8 7.5 20.7 12.4 8.2 6.7 16.3 70.0 5.8 6.8 11.8 52.3 31.3 9.9 12.7 1.2 9.4 — 25.6 — 18.4 21.2 13.1 12.6 10.5 10.7 41.8 — 9.5 6.8 21.5 12.9 5.9 8.8 12.6 65.7 8.0 7.7 11.4 54.2 32.3 12.8 12.8 2.2 3.0 — 24.2 — 21.8 17.3 15.6 27.0 17.6 11.9 39.5 — 12.2 9.0 22.0 13.6 5.3 7.9 10.6 65.6 6.1 7.0 15.5 57.4 34.2 17.7 10.2 1.9 7.3 — 28.3 — 25.9 17.2 19.1 7.5 21.5 11.6 35.4 — 12.3 8.0 21.4 14.0 6.5 8.4 12.8 67.6 6.7 8.7 13.5 57.6 34.0 12.9 9.7 2.5 7.5 — 29.9 — 24.6 16.3 19.0 17.8 21.3 12.9 36.3 — 12.4 6.2 21.6 14.5 5.9 9.5 8.4 68.9 7.0 9.2 14.5 57.3 34.1 11.2 9.0 2.7 7.6 — 29.0 — 23.9 16.3 16.4 17.3 21.5 13.5 35.2 — 12.4 6.1 21.7 15.0 5.9 10.0 8.2 69.7 6.6 9.0 14.0 57.2 33.5 10.0 8.4 2.8 7.8 — 26.9 — 23.8 16.3 16.0 16.4 Median (B1 to C) 13.1 12.7 10.1 16.1 19.8 16.0 13.1 12.8 13.6 13.5 14.5 14.0 Mean (B1 to C) 18.2 19.6 18.6 19.6 21.7 20.6 18.4 18.3 18.8 19.2 18.9 18.7 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina [1] Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana Honduras [4] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [5] Nicaragua [4] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Short-term external debt derived from BIS for 2011 Public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2007 35. External Debt/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.4 13.4 7.5 56.5 13.3 33.3 62.4 22.0 25.6 10.7 43.1 18.2 47.6 62.1 9.3 20.3 24.4 6.4 10.7 7.8 43.5 13.5 34.5 62.0 20.9 26.0 7.9 41.2 18.8 42.0 55.0 9.2 23.8 25.7 4.6 11.9 7.8 37.1 13.0 36.7 58.5 19.1 25.1 12.0 36.4 17.4 44.1 40.5 9.5 23.8 32.4 4.7 11.6 7.3 31.2 12.1 35.7 60.2 23.7 30.4 21.4 32.1 20.2 46.6 43.7 11.3 22.8 45.4 23.3 18.8 8.0 30.9 11.1 37.6 54.2 31.8 50.2 31.0 29.3 24.1 48.3 53.4 18.2 24.0 60.6 42.0 8.6 13.4 35.5 8.6 42.3 43.1 34.1 35.9 35.3 29.5 21.9 56.8 50.3 16.0 22.6 47.9 92.9 21.9 20.3 41.8 8.5 43.6 47.3 41.4 43.1 51.2 33.6 26.3 59.4 82.3 20.8 21.7 59.7 104.3 10.6 24.1 38.8 9.2 46.6 48.6 35.4 34.3 59.9 29.8 19.6 66.4 85.6 17.8 23.7 58.8 126.9 11.1 24.5 39.3 9.6 49.1 42.5 35.8 21.7 48.3 28.1 19.6 71.7 76.0 13.5 26.4 49.4 121.3 10.9 23.3 43.9 9.0 50.7 38.8 36.6 16.3 46.8 27.2 19.9 70.8 81.8 12.1 26.3 50.1 126.0 9.9 22.3 43.4 8.5 55.3 35.3 33.6 16.4 43.2 29.4 19.7 75.2 79.5 12.1 25.8 53.2 123.4 9.0 21.5 43.0 8.1 59.8 34.1 31.9 16.4 34.5 32.8 19.5 76.1 82.6 11.9 25.0 53.3 Median (Aaa to A3) 22.0 23.8 23.8 23.7 30.9 35.3 41.8 35.4 35.8 36.6 33.6 32.8 Mean (Aaa to A3) 28.0 26.4 25.3 27.1 32.6 32.0 42.1 42.0 40.8 40.3 40.5 40.2 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 150 • Notes: [1] Central government only Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 35. External Debt/GDP • 151 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [6] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [7] Uruguay 38.4 5.2 55.7 40.0 57.9 40.2 32.5 150.9 18.1 58.3 74.3 79.8 40.2 16.5 23.2 — 58.3 46.6 37.9 43.2 23.4 — 36.4 37.9 47.6 114.2 40.8 4.9 65.6 30.1 61.6 33.7 30.9 205.6 17.1 54.6 75.8 93.5 42.1 14.8 21.9 — 54.2 43.2 38.6 36.1 20.5 — 36.4 29.4 41.1 94.5 34.7 4.4 61.7 20.5 66.7 26.3 32.7 285.9 16.7 47.1 76.0 100.0 50.5 14.4 20.4 21.9 52.4 35.9 36.8 33.7 19.7 — 33.6 25.5 35.3 77.8 27.4 4.2 74.2 18.0 78.1 24.6 31.2 435.2 18.2 36.4 91.4 114.5 59.9 12.2 18.0 25.2 52.1 30.7 44.2 31.6 22.8 — 33.8 34.4 39.3 67.2 21.3 4.0 161.5 16.0 94.3 21.5 32.1 588.1 18.1 32.7 92.4 128.1 71.5 10.4 19.0 22.9 44.4 31.0 50.6 35.7 26.3 31.7 30.1 29.3 38.7 58.2 20.2 5.4 164.0 20.3 105.1 19.0 31.0 728.8 18.3 30.4 80.9 130.0 71.0 8.2 18.8 21.4 40.4 27.6 49.3 28.9 26.7 31.8 27.9 24.6 38.5 59.0 20.8 9.9 181.3 14.9 108.3 23.0 27.8 238.8 19.1 32.0 97.9 156.5 83.9 14.4 22.1 24.3 46.7 27.7 71.2 38.2 27.7 32.3 28.6 32.0 43.8 51.7 21.3 11.8 174.4 15.7 102.7 22.6 23.5 228.2 17.9 28.5 80.5 164.8 83.2 13.4 24.0 28.0 42.1 28.4 75.0 32.1 28.8 29.6 31.5 43.4 39.9 47.5 17.8 13.4 140.9 18.1 94.1 22.6 25.1 208.1 18.5 26.6 68.4 145.0 77.8 14.1 24.3 33.2 40.2 26.9 70.0 28.4 28.2 22.3 30.3 33.9 39.3 40.7 17.5 17.9 145.5 20.4 94.8 21.3 32.6 174.3 20.6 28.6 68.4 136.2 75.6 14.4 29.6 30.8 35.4 29.3 77.1 31.1 35.8 26.7 36.6 36.5 42.7 40.3 17.0 18.3 140.4 19.4 91.5 18.5 31.4 162.3 20.7 28.1 65.5 135.9 72.3 15.4 29.8 31.2 33.9 28.8 74.8 30.0 37.6 30.4 33.5 38.2 45.9 39.7 16.0 18.6 139.1 18.7 90.8 16.8 29.4 152.7 19.9 26.6 60.5 126.6 70.4 15.8 29.5 32.3 32.3 26.9 70.0 29.8 40.1 30.0 32.2 39.6 46.6 39.5 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 40.2 39.7 34.7 33.8 31.9 29.7 32.0 30.6 29.3 34.0 32.5 32.2 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 49.0 49.5 49.2 57.0 65.8 70.3 56.7 55.3 50.3 50.8 49.6 48.1 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Public sector only; Series break in 2005 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2009 External debt includes nonresident deposits 35. External Debt/GDP • 152 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [4] Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria [5] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [6] Tunisia 65.5 62.6 33.5 38.1 72.5 72.8 57.2 43.9 30.7 69.6 124.4 — 36.8 44.5 49.0 75.3 23.7 65.8 46.2 52.3 32.8 34.8 71.6 76.1 56.1 34.4 30.6 79.9 114.4 — 29.9 43.3 45.2 67.3 20.5 63.5 33.4 37.3 31.9 34.5 72.9 68.6 55.8 25.7 28.5 76.7 102.7 — 27.4 19.9 37.2 60.2 17.5 56.8 16.4 31.5 31.3 35.6 51.1 78.5 55.9 49.1 29.1 117.6 93.0 32.6 27.3 5.5 32.2 50.3 14.8 54.6 15.9 31.6 30.3 34.9 41.3 84.4 50.4 56.9 28.8 130.4 87.8 35.4 27.5 5.3 26.0 44.6 10.2 52.5 16.0 29.5 26.8 38.7 35.6 83.6 52.0 59.8 25.5 142.7 63.1 33.2 23.6 5.6 22.5 37.4 9.1 46.6 20.0 58.1 24.4 43.9 34.7 104.4 54.7 81.8 25.6 189.5 61.0 56.9 27.1 6.1 25.9 38.8 6.9 51.0 20.5 67.9 21.4 37.4 30.8 104.7 51.5 86.6 25.2 161.7 64.7 38.8 29.0 5.3 25.3 37.4 7.7 49.6 18.5 72.9 21.1 36.8 27.0 95.8 52.6 79.9 25.9 150.6 61.3 46.6 29.3 5.4 23.1 34.2 11.6 49.4 18.5 76.7 20.4 36.2 30.0 104.9 56.9 84.4 26.9 160.9 62.0 52.9 33.9 5.5 23.0 32.3 11.8 56.3 22.6 75.8 20.2 35.4 30.5 102.5 53.9 83.3 25.9 161.9 64.0 50.8 38.2 5.3 22.7 31.7 21.1 54.6 23.6 78.3 20.0 35.4 30.2 105.9 53.7 78.6 26.0 170.2 62.0 53.3 39.6 5.1 22.0 30.5 21.7 53.3 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 57.2 46.2 37.2 34.1 35.2 34.4 41.4 37.4 35.5 35.1 36.8 37.5 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 56.8 52.9 46.3 44.8 44.1 41.7 50.6 48.1 46.8 49.6 50.0 50.5 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Public sector only from 2010 onward Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors Includes arrears; Public sector only 35. External Debt/GDP • 153 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana [4] Honduras [5] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [6] Nicaragua [5] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea Senegal [5] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [7] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 24.4 127.0 23.4 75.9 53.6 71.2 — 33.8 50.1 36.1 11.7 70.6 64.9 60.3 46.4 100.1 97.4 88.3 127.9 39.9 62.0 57.6 62.0 43.7 47.5 51.4 36.9 158.3 23.2 111.8 21.3 80.4 52.6 66.7 — 32.7 45.8 37.9 10.3 51.1 67.9 64.1 43.3 106.1 72.4 73.4 97.8 34.0 53.3 50.0 61.8 41.9 47.2 37.6 38.2 138.6 24.8 62.1 17.0 83.7 55.0 57.5 12.8 21.6 41.5 32.2 9.5 41.2 52.6 58.7 34.6 105.1 69.5 51.2 89.2 31.1 42.1 41.8 53.3 42.0 46.0 30.8 35.7 76.1 26.4 50.8 18.5 81.2 52.6 48.8 13.7 24.3 36.8 27.6 14.7 18.1 36.0 68.2 29.7 115.6 73.0 40.9 70.1 29.2 39.4 20.2 49.4 39.8 50.6 22.8 35.3 22.2 27.9 47.5 27.6 76.0 54.1 32.6 14.1 25.2 33.5 22.9 13.8 20.7 25.8 82.2 27.6 115.3 75.4 42.2 54.3 28.2 31.3 21.0 51.0 27.7 56.0 24.4 37.7 24.8 37.5 38.0 24.9 70.2 46.6 31.6 17.7 22.8 28.2 20.9 12.4 19.9 25.0 76.1 25.0 101.7 67.4 38.3 56.7 28.2 25.0 19.9 43.7 30.0 56.5 21.0 33.5 21.0 42.5 37.4 44.8 93.7 57.2 33.9 14.2 24.3 27.5 16.7 14.7 27.7 22.9 91.5 28.1 102.7 80.1 65.4 69.2 32.3 55.6 30.6 49.7 32.0 88.2 24.9 38.9 29.5 43.8 34.9 51.4 89.7 65.2 34.1 13.4 26.2 19.9 15.4 15.1 29.0 23.8 107.3 27.3 100.4 82.4 95.1 74.6 34.9 72.8 30.6 50.1 41.2 86.0 24.7 41.7 27.2 50.6 31.4 57.0 85.8 58.8 33.8 12.7 27.8 17.8 14.8 15.1 28.5 23.7 99.3 30.1 103.9 77.6 109.1 75.1 31.6 108.0 29.8 49.7 41.9 77.2 35.0 42.2 22.7 54.5 29.6 53.9 81.2 64.8 35.1 14.4 28.1 17.1 13.4 14.6 30.0 25.2 99.2 31.1 107.9 84.5 133.8 74.1 28.4 94.7 34.8 56.7 38.8 76.6 31.1 38.2 28.1 56.2 28.5 47.2 77.6 65.0 36.0 14.5 29.8 16.8 15.4 14.0 31.3 24.1 100.4 31.4 108.3 85.7 122.4 76.3 27.3 93.6 35.2 58.0 40.9 78.7 36.1 35.1 30.7 55.4 27.9 40.9 74.3 66.6 37.4 13.8 30.2 16.5 15.6 13.4 32.0 23.9 99.2 32.1 108.0 86.0 115.2 77.2 25.2 86.2 36.2 58.6 42.3 78.4 44.2 32.5 33.6 Median (B1 to C) 57.6 51.1 42.0 36.4 29.7 29.1 35.6 38.1 38.4 36.6 36.0 39.2 Mean (B1 to C) 63.8 57.8 47.1 41.3 40.0 37.1 45.6 48.5 49.7 50.7 50.6 50.1 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Prior to 2009 public sector only Public sector only; Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) and Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) official debt relief initiatives completed in 2006 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2007 Public sector only 36. External Debt/Current Account Receipts • 154 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 12.8 21.3 — 147.2 42.2 57.4 137.5 56.7 41.7 9.7 40.3 31.1 135.4 102.3 20.2 33.3 43.6 11.7 17.7 — 101.7 37.4 54.9 125.1 46.6 38.0 7.1 35.5 31.2 124.2 89.7 17.5 35.7 40.1 8.4 17.9 — 84.8 32.8 51.2 111.8 44.9 34.8 11.8 31.1 26.4 105.4 65.9 15.8 35.4 46.3 7.0 17.3 5.3 64.7 29.5 53.2 110.4 54.0 39.9 21.4 26.3 30.1 109.3 73.2 18.0 31.1 64.2 32.9 25.9 5.1 60.9 26.5 56.7 99.6 67.7 64.7 29.8 25.1 35.4 119.8 94.6 28.7 30.7 80.1 66.4 14.1 8.5 74.9 22.3 52.3 88.1 56.6 46.9 33.8 29.3 32.7 103.6 86.6 24.2 28.2 59.7 167.5 45.3 15.1 100.2 28.9 70.0 111.7 75.3 61.1 51.5 33.5 42.4 149.0 183.4 40.3 31.5 75.6 186.2 22.4 20.2 90.2 28.4 65.3 109.8 62.2 46.9 54.8 28.9 29.3 146.6 151.2 33.4 29.6 74.2 220.4 19.9 17.7 94.3 30.4 55.4 95.7 58.6 27.8 42.1 29.8 27.4 126.3 112.1 22.7 32.0 57.4 213.6 18.9 15.4 101.3 30.0 62.5 86.9 59.2 20.0 48.1 29.1 27.1 147.9 112.8 20.3 32.8 56.8 225.4 18.1 15.3 102.2 29.9 61.7 82.0 59.2 20.7 45.3 32.7 27.7 143.0 126.6 21.0 32.4 59.0 224.8 16.9 15.2 105.8 29.5 58.4 77.7 59.2 20.8 36.1 36.1 27.9 135.6 145.7 20.4 32.1 58.5 Median (Aaa to A3) 42.0 37.7 35.1 31.1 35.4 46.9 61.1 54.8 42.1 48.1 45.3 36.1 Mean (Aaa to A3) 58.3 50.9 45.3 44.4 52.0 48.7 75.4 69.4 62.9 63.7 64.8 64.7 Notes: [1] Central government only Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 36. External Debt/Current Account Receipts • 155 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [6] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [7] Uruguay 85.2 13.9 58.7 262.2 94.1 200.7 65.5 400.5 93.2 188.7 148.1 149.4 74.9 30.3 82.6 — 86.5 231.9 96.0 112.2 78.7 — 53.5 70.1 195.4 390.5 78.9 11.3 57.2 191.1 93.8 169.1 63.0 547.7 79.6 160.7 139.9 165.1 75.2 25.8 73.4 — 77.1 182.2 93.5 97.4 73.2 — 50.1 51.6 168.9 296.0 51.0 10.4 45.1 133.0 101.7 133.3 54.3 708.3 71.4 124.3 135.6 164.5 80.7 22.2 66.9 46.2 67.6 129.3 98.5 88.5 66.6 — 43.1 36.6 154.5 236.1 38.4 10.0 50.4 118.6 113.0 118.4 50.7 914.5 70.8 107.2 168.5 195.6 91.7 16.6 57.6 45.2 62.6 95.7 110.8 84.5 69.6 — 43.0 41.3 165.6 194.3 29.1 9.4 107.7 119.7 142.6 110.0 51.7 1045.8 71.2 100.3 172.2 238.6 117.2 16.4 60.8 41.7 53.0 94.3 133.7 103.2 76.8 21.7 38.2 43.6 163.0 186.2 28.8 12.0 128.2 107.3 160.8 94.5 55.2 1384.2 62.9 93.5 133.7 241.6 106.6 11.5 59.8 36.2 50.3 88.8 130.3 80.7 69.2 21.8 34.0 34.2 150.9 149.5 37.3 23.8 201.1 143.0 199.2 123.5 53.2 425.7 75.4 121.8 218.7 279.6 133.4 26.6 71.3 40.6 56.9 100.8 195.8 120.7 94.9 25.6 38.8 60.4 177.3 190.8 36.7 27.4 193.7 143.7 159.3 127.5 51.8 404.0 68.2 109.8 171.0 257.7 107.3 22.6 71.6 49.9 54.1 100.5 184.2 99.2 99.2 22.6 41.9 72.2 179.7 162.4 29.3 28.8 122.5 130.7 127.2 109.2 56.8 331.1 65.4 97.0 128.2 210.1 89.6 22.5 70.7 61.2 47.0 86.5 154.2 84.9 90.9 16.6 37.2 37.6 160.7 135.4 36.9 36.8 132.9 147.5 125.8 107.5 79.5 271.5 71.6 113.2 135.0 191.3 81.7 22.8 82.7 57.4 41.9 105.9 170.2 96.2 118.4 19.5 44.9 41.0 157.5 152.6 45.6 37.2 130.8 144.3 120.4 101.2 79.7 263.0 73.0 115.5 137.6 185.8 81.9 25.0 88.8 58.3 39.8 110.8 163.4 101.0 133.7 22.5 41.6 44.1 184.9 142.8 41.1 38.1 134.4 140.1 120.9 97.7 80.8 248.3 74.0 111.6 130.9 172.3 81.4 25.7 93.4 61.3 37.3 102.9 156.1 103.5 149.6 22.5 40.3 46.4 186.5 130.1 93.7 86.6 80.7 84.5 97.3 84.7 110.7 99.9 88.1 101.1 101.1 100.3 135.9 125.9 114.8 121.4 128.8 135.6 124.5 116.1 97.4 101.6 102.8 101.0 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Public sector only 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2009; Excludes re-exports External debt includes nonresident deposits 36. External Debt/Current Account Receipts • 156 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [4] Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro [5] Morocco Nigeria [6] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [7] Tunisia — 133.6 160.0 72.0 230.3 144.9 133.5 104.7 83.4 106.1 147.8 — 97.3 122.0 105.5 124.6 65.7 145.9 65.9 94.3 151.1 69.0 197.4 152.6 125.8 77.0 76.7 113.7 132.9 — 77.0 93.8 94.3 109.9 37.9 129.6 41.7 73.7 136.2 63.7 171.9 141.0 124.0 58.9 72.9 104.4 128.7 — 65.4 30.8 73.2 102.6 26.2 112.4 22.1 68.7 112.1 63.2 106.7 158.9 120.8 111.8 71.5 133.8 115.9 66.1 62.1 10.1 58.1 86.8 25.9 105.4 21.2 80.5 101.9 59.9 81.2 172.4 108.3 134.0 69.7 139.5 110.9 69.6 57.3 9.9 49.0 84.0 16.7 91.6 20.8 86.3 85.8 64.7 67.7 170.8 113.8 150.2 63.9 150.8 77.9 67.9 49.1 10.4 42.9 81.7 14.7 75.4 36.2 170.4 78.6 85.6 86.2 247.9 134.1 190.5 67.1 200.5 92.1 129.3 71.2 13.1 50.6 91.7 14.4 99.7 32.7 170.9 70.7 66.1 74.6 231.0 118.7 177.7 65.0 157.0 98.0 81.8 68.8 10.2 46.6 84.4 13.4 89.1 28.2 159.9 62.6 64.1 61.3 197.2 116.2 158.1 66.7 141.7 94.2 86.9 65.5 11.0 44.7 85.3 16.2 91.0 29.9 159.1 58.0 61.7 59.3 185.0 123.9 176.6 73.5 117.1 105.2 99.0 75.9 11.6 45.2 83.2 19.4 101.7 38.5 152.7 59.8 58.3 57.7 203.9 114.4 174.9 69.8 109.3 102.1 97.0 87.5 18.2 43.0 84.7 36.4 102.3 42.4 150.1 62.5 57.2 55.6 181.1 111.5 182.6 68.9 110.0 100.0 100.0 91.3 21.3 43.5 84.2 40.4 99.6 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 123.3 94.3 73.7 79.2 80.9 71.6 89.0 78.2 76.0 79.5 86.1 87.7 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 123.6 105.8 89.9 83.3 81.0 77.5 103.3 92.0 86.1 88.1 89.5 89.0 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Public sector only from 2010 onward Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only General government and banks only In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors Includes arrears; Public sector only 36. External Debt/Current Account Receipts • 157 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba [2] Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana Honduras [4] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [5] Nicaragua [4] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea Senegal [4] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [6] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 70.1 427.8 34.8 126.6 96.8 107.0 — 57.9 176.8 132.1 17.2 176.7 98.9 108.0 152.0 118.7 111.5 140.0 349.7 161.7 78.9 142.5 147.1 104.9 75.6 142.8 56.6 496.3 62.2 383.1 30.4 139.5 95.6 91.6 — 58.6 150.5 109.2 16.2 147.9 92.2 107.6 129.9 125.0 84.7 101.2 234.3 151.3 66.0 123.4 144.8 102.0 69.1 98.2 51.5 342.4 54.6 216.5 27.5 132.8 99.7 78.0 63.5 53.8 118.9 84.4 15.3 125.0 65.9 105.5 96.3 118.7 78.7 77.4 198.4 126.0 51.2 115.7 133.5 98.4 82.1 72.9 46.7 201.0 61.1 176.5 30.0 110.4 93.2 61.9 71.1 56.9 97.2 71.4 24.7 49.6 45.4 112.3 84.8 116.7 83.1 63.3 143.3 117.2 44.3 52.7 129.1 94.4 98.9 55.3 43.3 51.1 64.8 166.9 44.3 100.3 95.9 44.2 70.4 62.7 85.4 60.4 24.7 62.5 33.6 131.8 80.3 116.7 83.8 62.9 109.9 122.1 35.2 50.6 135.4 72.6 111.4 68.3 43.1 52.5 77.5 139.3 39.8 94.5 88.3 46.0 82.6 63.4 71.2 51.4 20.7 60.7 33.9 122.5 69.9 97.8 80.2 63.8 110.3 123.9 30.1 51.3 139.4 84.5 106.8 62.7 38.9 51.7 94.5 160.4 85.4 151.5 148.6 54.4 78.8 79.0 91.0 55.1 26.5 73.5 39.4 173.9 86.7 119.5 113.3 115.6 138.2 148.0 90.1 79.5 172.9 92.9 165.9 130.9 54.0 73.7 92.5 149.7 90.7 132.1 137.2 50.4 58.0 84.1 60.5 58.2 25.2 78.5 37.6 217.0 77.2 121.3 109.6 158.8 130.4 161.4 108.1 78.9 164.6 123.9 150.4 138.7 50.5 53.8 100.4 134.5 69.3 117.2 118.4 50.9 55.0 84.4 50.2 56.3 23.0 65.4 35.0 209.4 76.9 115.5 96.8 162.2 121.2 139.1 175.4 83.6 156.7 126.6 127.4 113.7 45.5 46.0 123.6 140.1 62.5 110.9 106.1 51.1 63.3 86.8 47.5 51.9 23.1 76.3 39.0 182.9 94.0 154.7 104.7 253.1 113.9 135.7 229.3 84.2 174.7 121.3 133.6 117.0 39.6 69.7 112.5 126.1 58.8 111.6 107.8 50.5 65.0 82.1 46.4 54.8 22.7 82.2 36.6 180.0 97.1 150.1 103.9 281.6 109.9 136.4 216.1 95.3 192.2 125.7 137.7 124.1 35.5 75.8 106.1 125.2 54.0 111.2 110.4 51.5 61.8 80.1 44.2 57.6 22.2 86.8 34.5 189.1 105.3 149.5 105.6 273.3 105.7 129.7 180.8 101.7 196.8 129.4 136.5 132.8 33.1 72.6 Median (B1 to C) 118.7 102.0 90.3 71.3 69.3 70.5 92.0 100.3 98.6 105.4 105.8 105.6 Mean (B1 to C) 144.8 122.5 97.8 80.0 78.3 75.1 103.3 103.6 98.4 106.8 107.8 106.7 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Prior to 2009 public sector only Public sector only; Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2007 Public sector only 37. Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.49 5.22 1.01 2.95 3.29 0.38 — 1.78 0.09 3.60 0.33 0.33 1.20 0.36 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.43 5.22 1.10 2.88 3.35 0.46 — 1.63 0.13 4.07 0.45 0.41 0.85 0.61 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.51 3.08 1.53 3.32 4.75 0.84 — 1.93 0.26 4.25 0.85 1.19 1.88 1.81 0.01 0.01 0.01 2.00 3.10 1.57 4.30 6.69 1.54 — 2.17 0.47 5.29 1.40 2.13 3.17 4.20 0.02 0.01 0.01 2.15 4.96 2.14 4.57 7.40 4.08 — 2.03 0.63 7.17 2.16 3.72 3.77 6.75 0.02 0.01 0.01 1.86 4.15 1.56 4.01 9.98 3.14 — 1.96 0.54 10.24 2.03 2.75 2.69 4.67 0.03 0.01 0.02 1.76 3.63 2.64 3.11 3.45 1.58 — 1.85 0.27 8.38 1.47 0.80 1.01 1.71 0.06 0.02 0.03 2.22 3.01 2.36 2.65 1.65 1.79 — 1.58 0.17 9.38 1.44 0.66 0.66 0.83 0.07 0.02 0.04 2.15 2.28 3.07 2.85 1.94 1.52 — 1.69 0.21 11.67 1.81 0.72 0.87 0.85 0.04 0.02 0.04 2.15 2.29 1.12 1.90 1.98 0.86 — 1.77 0.26 9.80 2.44 0.88 1.64 1.20 0.10 0.02 0.04 2.15 2.55 3.47 1.88 2.01 0.74 — 1.73 0.23 10.25 2.59 1.08 1.94 1.45 0.10 0.02 0.04 2.15 2.82 2.70 1.86 2.05 1.03 — 2.03 0.25 11.50 3.19 1.36 2.38 2.40 Median (Aaa to A3) 0.69 0.73 1.52 2.06 2.94 2.36 1.65 1.51 1.60 1.42 1.80 2.04 Mean (Aaa to A3) 1.38 1.41 1.70 2.38 3.22 3.10 1.98 1.78 1.99 1.77 2.01 2.24 Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 158 • Notes: [1] Central government only Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 37. Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) • 159 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia [6] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 0.02 0.03 0.10 14.18 0.46 2.37 0.30 0.30 4.40 2.61 0.72 0.16 0.24 0.04 11.95 — 0.46 1.34 0.82 6.84 2.17 0.01 1.86 0.27 6.99 0.62 0.02 0.03 0.18 14.24 0.48 2.36 0.22 0.39 3.04 3.03 0.94 0.13 0.24 0.03 11.60 — 0.51 1.44 1.01 7.15 2.20 0.01 1.69 0.19 7.15 0.74 0.03 0.03 0.37 14.46 0.46 2.77 0.27 0.77 5.08 3.06 1.70 0.17 0.25 0.04 12.69 — 0.54 1.66 1.25 8.37 2.55 0.01 1.54 0.32 8.03 0.84 0.04 0.04 0.63 14.88 0.61 2.52 0.30 1.80 5.47 3.23 2.72 0.30 0.41 0.04 14.73 0.01 0.73 1.79 1.40 10.68 3.54 0.01 1.87 0.50 8.56 0.92 0.08 0.04 1.30 15.34 0.95 2.95 0.35 2.97 6.61 3.14 5.30 0.73 0.83 0.03 16.92 0.01 0.61 2.02 1.96 13.11 4.21 0.02 1.89 0.57 10.12 0.88 0.09 0.04 1.34 15.57 1.06 2.99 0.46 3.24 6.52 3.12 5.76 1.16 1.37 0.03 16.76 0.01 0.64 1.99 2.93 16.22 4.68 0.01 1.60 0.63 11.35 0.84 0.06 0.04 0.76 13.92 0.97 2.89 0.43 0.22 5.72 3.04 5.06 1.23 1.08 0.02 12.89 0.01 0.68 1.62 2.78 12.32 3.05 0.02 1.16 0.53 9.88 0.81 0.08 0.07 0.55 13.46 0.71 3.21 0.40 0.26 6.07 2.94 4.60 1.03 1.00 0.02 14.16 0.01 0.73 1.59 2.18 13.46 3.06 0.02 1.19 0.55 8.33 0.61 0.95 0.06 0.56 15.47 0.86 3.70 0.43 0.25 8.53 2.53 4.59 0.95 1.16 0.02 17.69 0.02 0.74 1.68 2.46 11.81 3.08 0.01 1.26 0.45 8.59 0.61 0.95 0.08 0.63 15.47 0.84 3.50 0.60 0.44 9.40 5.13 4.96 1.02 1.14 0.03 20.21 0.05 0.79 1.62 2.50 22.95 3.50 0.02 1.14 0.74 9.30 0.53 0.98 0.04 0.64 15.47 0.86 3.00 0.65 0.40 10.38 6.21 4.68 1.11 1.20 0.04 18.95 0.05 0.84 1.88 2.50 25.64 3.70 0.02 1.25 0.82 10.07 0.76 1.00 0.06 0.91 15.47 0.83 2.90 0.71 0.33 11.44 7.25 3.97 1.17 1.05 0.04 19.58 0.05 0.91 2.00 2.50 20.84 4.00 0.02 1.50 0.89 10.35 0.63 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 0.62 0.74 0.84 1.16 1.59 1.48 1.12 1.01 1.06 1.08 1.16 1.11 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 2.37 2.36 2.69 2.99 3.57 3.86 3.12 3.09 3.40 4.14 4.31 4.25 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Public sector only 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Moody's estimate from total external debt service 37. Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 0.02 0.17 0.06 0.13 — 0.29 0.06 0.22 1.80 0.36 — 1.24 0.43 0.11 2.52 0.01 0.60 0.44 0.02 0.19 0.06 0.14 — 0.41 0.06 0.31 2.22 0.33 — 0.51 0.57 0.17 2.37 0.01 0.65 0.34 0.02 0.20 0.08 0.18 — 0.45 0.07 0.41 2.69 0.43 — 0.50 5.01 0.14 2.72 0.01 0.62 0.91 0.04 0.20 0.08 0.22 — 0.57 0.07 0.50 3.13 0.55 0.04 0.47 0.38 0.15 3.26 0.01 0.69 0.57 0.03 0.21 0.08 0.21 — 0.54 0.20 0.58 4.45 0.60 0.08 0.56 0.34 0.17 3.56 0.02 0.73 1.27 0.09 0.23 0.10 0.19 — 0.52 0.34 0.61 6.43 0.40 0.12 0.66 0.24 0.16 3.23 0.01 0.66 0.90 0.10 0.22 0.09 0.14 1.04 0.49 0.32 0.51 5.03 0.22 0.12 0.61 0.16 0.13 2.63 0.01 0.66 0.70 0.11 0.21 0.08 0.10 1.16 0.48 0.34 0.49 4.39 0.19 0.14 0.82 0.11 0.14 2.54 0.01 0.58 0.30 0.20 0.22 0.09 0.10 1.47 0.51 0.45 0.51 5.35 0.21 0.14 0.72 0.14 0.16 3.05 0.01 0.56 0.30 0.20 0.25 0.08 0.13 1.67 0.51 0.67 0.54 4.90 0.27 0.11 1.16 0.15 0.16 3.10 0.01 0.56 0.22 0.21 0.26 0.08 0.12 1.58 0.50 0.69 0.53 4.92 0.31 0.14 1.34 0.17 0.15 3.25 0.04 0.54 0.15 0.22 0.26 0.08 0.11 1.52 0.50 0.73 0.52 4.67 0.39 0.15 1.51 0.18 0.16 3.55 0.04 0.54 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 0.22 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.33 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 0.53 0.53 0.87 0.66 0.76 0.90 0.74 0.70 0.79 0.82 0.84 0.85 Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [1] Guatemala Hungary [4] Jordan Montenegro [5] Morocco [6] Nigeria [7] Paraguay Philippines Suriname [6] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 160 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Derived from the Balance of Payments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Foreign currency debt only General government only Public sector only In 2006 granted external debt relief by the Paris Club creditors 37. Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 161 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.02 2.09 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.01 — 0.24 1.17 0.64 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.30 0.13 0.40 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.88 0.08 0.07 0.19 0.00 0.44 2.28 0.39 0.17 0.02 2.42 0.08 0.11 0.12 0.01 — 0.28 1.24 0.61 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.31 0.09 0.60 0.07 0.02 0.04 0.92 0.06 0.08 0.22 0.01 0.64 2.21 0.46 0.07 0.02 3.02 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.02 — 0.21 1.26 0.58 0.00 0.11 0.17 0.39 0.09 1.10 0.07 0.02 0.04 0.87 0.06 0.07 0.16 0.01 1.02 2.95 0.46 0.06 0.03 4.05 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.02 — 0.67 1.33 0.59 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.47 0.10 1.53 0.08 0.02 0.05 0.91 0.07 0.07 0.27 0.01 1.60 3.34 0.54 0.04 0.03 3.52 0.24 0.12 0.23 0.02 — 1.12 1.36 0.64 0.03 0.10 0.08 0.66 0.11 1.70 0.10 0.02 0.06 1.09 0.08 0.05 0.30 0.01 2.31 3.63 0.77 0.03 0.04 3.19 0.49 0.09 0.32 0.02 — 1.18 1.17 0.77 0.04 0.16 0.09 0.67 0.11 1.19 0.10 0.03 0.10 1.25 0.06 0.05 0.45 0.01 3.29 3.34 0.69 0.04 0.07 3.48 0.48 0.08 0.27 0.02 — 1.17 0.95 0.74 0.04 0.14 0.07 0.75 0.11 0.70 0.08 0.03 0.12 1.16 0.10 0.05 0.36 0.01 4.31 2.99 0.84 0.04 0.07 3.64 0.60 0.10 0.26 0.03 — 1.18 0.90 0.65 0.04 0.22 0.06 0.83 0.12 0.55 0.08 0.03 0.11 1.01 0.13 0.05 0.62 0.01 3.42 3.32 1.70 0.03 0.08 3.56 0.92 0.11 0.27 0.04 — 1.30 1.01 0.64 0.02 0.13 0.08 1.15 0.12 0.59 0.09 0.04 0.11 1.07 0.21 0.08 0.71 0.01 3.87 4.50 2.86 0.05 0.08 5.80 1.22 0.06 0.28 0.04 — 1.44 0.95 0.66 0.07 0.28 0.09 1.20 0.14 0.64 0.08 0.07 0.18 1.02 0.23 0.10 0.99 0.01 3.92 6.22 2.97 0.06 0.08 6.50 1.30 0.10 0.29 0.04 — 1.56 0.95 0.69 0.07 0.20 0.08 1.30 0.17 1.01 0.08 0.09 0.16 1.40 0.24 0.13 1.10 0.01 3.52 6.69 3.02 0.06 0.08 6.90 1.34 0.10 0.30 0.04 — 1.68 0.97 0.80 0.06 0.20 0.08 1.32 0.20 1.22 0.08 0.07 0.19 1.60 0.25 0.13 1.25 0.01 3.06 7.24 3.25 0.06 Median (B1 to C) 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.16 0.14 0.22 0.21 0.28 0.24 0.25 Mean (B1 to C) 0.37 0.40 0.49 0.61 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.73 0.87 1.07 1.14 1.20 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [2] Ecuador Egypt [3] Fiji Ghana Honduras [4] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua [4] Pakistan [3] Papua New Guinea Senegal [4] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [2] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Prior to 2010 public sector only Public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 38. Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) • 162 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands [2] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 0.00 0.01 0.15 6.54 25.39 3.55 5.57 27.46 0.83 — 5.75 0.76 16.24 2.12 1.15 2.19 3.35 0.00 0.01 0.01 8.12 22.42 5.36 3.87 29.25 0.78 — 4.91 0.75 25.67 2.28 1.54 5.07 3.65 0.08 0.01 0.01 6.06 20.75 6.60 4.17 22.41 0.30 — 6.70 0.75 29.34 2.34 2.33 9.12 4.16 0.08 0.01 0.02 12.54 17.90 7.59 4.89 22.42 0.10 — 6.27 0.77 30.04 2.56 4.07 5.83 5.14 0.00 0.01 0.02 9.74 20.27 4.02 10.60 24.52 0.11 — 5.21 0.85 43.03 2.92 6.24 3.78 6.68 0.02 0.01 0.02 14.27 23.29 4.18 4.09 30.99 1.91 — 3.78 1.01 43.96 3.72 8.41 8.78 8.17 0.00 0.01 0.03 16.38 34.19 6.22 4.66 30.22 15.80 — 10.82 1.17 46.92 5.10 7.63 2.54 9.72 0.00 0.01 0.03 12.29 27.18 5.37 5.15 35.67 11.59 — 14.62 1.33 43.38 7.13 7.74 3.17 11.20 0.20 0.01 0.16 12.85 33.16 8.60 16.23 42.74 9.87 — 24.17 1.51 42.80 9.58 8.17 6.75 12.23 0.00 0.01 0.02 18.46 38.82 5.38 9.90 43.53 8.06 — 25.44 1.71 44.50 12.20 5.84 3.39 12.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 18.93 39.21 4.25 7.59 44.28 8.05 — 29.07 1.88 46.30 14.83 6.05 2.88 13.72 0.32 0.00 0.02 19.20 41.21 6.62 7.37 45.06 8.10 — 35.59 2.00 47.80 17.24 5.93 2.95 14.50 Median (Aaa to A3) 2.77 3.76 4.16 5.02 4.61 4.14 6.92 7.44 9.72 8.98 7.82 7.73 Mean (Aaa to A3) 6.32 7.11 7.20 7.51 8.62 9.79 11.96 11.62 14.31 14.38 14.82 15.87 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] Central government only 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; 2011 reflects payment of loan facility 38. Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) • 163 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [6] Namibia [7] Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago [6] Turkey Uruguay 0.20 0.31 0.87 38.81 1.22 6.18 0.53 2.05 14.61 15.67 5.26 0.96 4.05 0.18 15.60 — 0.40 1.90 2.60 14.93 4.27 0.04 13.42 0.09 20.82 2.40 0.21 0.07 1.19 37.56 3.09 5.17 0.69 2.58 6.12 18.83 8.19 1.23 4.91 0.21 15.40 — 0.79 2.37 3.41 12.70 3.84 0.05 8.18 0.23 23.34 1.59 0.20 0.07 1.40 51.59 6.65 7.28 0.57 3.72 13.89 22.75 11.05 2.72 5.65 0.30 12.30 — 1.21 5.23 5.17 33.46 2.56 0.06 13.04 0.09 28.77 2.23 0.21 0.05 1.61 42.02 5.43 7.64 0.50 4.65 5.94 34.63 11.77 2.85 9.63 0.26 29.30 0.39 2.22 1.72 6.30 40.94 3.07 0.09 15.47 0.25 30.71 0.63 0.09 0.18 2.39 36.69 8.31 5.46 0.56 17.92 8.34 31.45 25.45 3.06 15.07 0.15 10.00 0.33 0.17 7.13 8.24 28.47 2.47 0.18 20.06 0.06 37.87 0.87 0.17 0.07 3.13 22.06 9.04 4.75 1.12 10.62 9.05 40.18 31.83 4.37 17.63 0.14 12.40 0.39 0.66 3.35 14.47 47.21 2.71 0.17 15.69 0.07 41.81 0.80 0.26 0.58 3.20 29.64 9.66 5.78 0.86 1.67 14.18 36.99 30.46 5.18 15.25 0.10 11.00 0.39 0.19 2.99 13.17 49.92 2.14 0.14 12.60 0.34 48.37 1.04 0.32 0.17 3.31 32.86 8.95 6.44 0.57 1.35 13.00 49.49 21.14 5.29 14.31 0.20 12.10 0.21 0.32 6.57 15.78 40.75 1.69 0.17 9.35 0.07 47.05 1.04 0.90 0.12 3.34 37.13 7.95 6.40 1.11 2.37 22.99 88.30 22.50 4.30 13.77 0.19 13.31 0.49 0.19 1.94 15.73 51.99 2.35 0.15 7.97 0.11 41.84 1.55 0.55 0.10 3.47 40.00 7.55 6.01 1.15 1.30 25.34 163.98 23.72 5.58 14.06 0.20 14.64 0.30 1.27 2.94 15.50 90.48 7.38 0.16 10.58 0.12 44.90 1.35 0.65 0.14 3.64 38.56 7.80 5.66 1.40 1.38 27.99 125.87 13.80 4.15 13.39 0.19 16.11 0.49 0.18 3.71 15.50 139.08 4.79 0.18 11.25 0.13 48.18 2.07 0.76 0.15 3.93 39.28 7.53 5.47 1.60 1.77 30.84 106.00 7.48 5.81 12.33 0.24 17.72 0.53 0.30 4.17 15.50 67.74 6.37 0.18 11.50 0.13 49.50 0.79 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 2.40 3.09 5.17 3.86 6.30 4.56 4.19 5.86 3.82 5.80 4.47 5.64 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 6.69 6.48 9.28 9.93 10.42 11.30 11.39 11.25 13.42 18.56 18.70 15.29 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Public sector only Moody's estimate from total external debt service 38. Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 0.10 0.45 0.03 0.28 — 0.77 0.18 0.22 5.49 1.55 — 2.53 1.22 0.24 5.43 0.04 1.16 3.17 0.11 0.42 0.04 0.36 — 0.77 0.21 0.27 7.54 1.03 — 2.09 1.16 0.31 4.85 0.03 1.57 2.48 0.10 0.47 0.05 0.32 — 0.78 0.25 0.20 8.77 0.86 — 1.88 3.86 0.33 4.91 0.03 1.38 4.03 0.08 0.50 0.05 0.21 — 2.52 0.28 0.34 7.75 0.87 0.02 1.56 6.44 0.27 4.84 0.05 2.31 3.98 0.08 0.54 0.05 0.53 — 2.04 0.34 0.36 9.30 0.90 0.12 1.86 0.92 0.26 4.13 0.13 2.00 1.56 0.08 0.59 0.05 0.77 — 2.03 0.39 0.26 15.22 3.71 0.02 1.80 0.34 0.30 4.14 0.01 1.34 2.77 0.12 0.66 0.06 0.45 14.81 2.21 0.69 0.27 21.94 0.74 0.04 1.14 0.34 0.31 4.32 0.09 1.76 1.57 0.09 0.69 0.25 0.57 17.83 1.51 0.51 0.26 20.47 0.96 0.06 1.27 0.25 0.31 4.78 0.02 1.69 1.43 0.23 0.73 0.06 0.36 21.01 1.85 0.59 0.61 25.76 1.09 0.08 1.48 0.27 0.29 4.95 0.02 1.93 2.03 0.38 0.69 0.08 0.54 17.48 1.93 0.74 0.50 21.57 1.41 0.12 1.50 0.25 0.67 3.45 0.04 2.07 1.72 0.74 0.72 0.08 0.48 10.16 1.90 0.79 0.45 15.71 1.53 0.12 1.80 0.30 0.48 4.00 0.05 1.57 1.39 1.33 0.70 0.07 0.49 9.75 1.88 0.67 0.42 18.76 1.53 0.11 2.00 0.30 0.57 4.50 0.05 1.55 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 0.45 0.60 0.63 0.50 0.54 0.59 0.67 0.63 0.67 0.72 0.76 1.01 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 1.31 1.50 1.67 1.89 1.62 1.92 2.93 2.95 3.49 3.08 2.37 2.56 Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados [3] Bolivia [4] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [1] Guatemala [3] Hungary [5] Jordan Montenegro [6] Morocco [3] Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [3] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 164 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Public sector only Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Foreign currency debt only General government only 38. Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 165 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.02 6.50 1.51 0.08 0.07 0.02 — 0.89 6.41 1.61 0.02 0.37 0.56 0.51 0.45 2.20 0.10 0.27 0.12 3.10 0.45 0.12 0.41 0.01 2.84 6.67 1.18 0.31 0.03 4.98 1.75 0.13 0.07 0.02 — 0.79 6.87 1.92 0.02 0.16 0.53 0.50 0.27 2.33 0.20 0.01 0.09 4.11 0.24 0.24 0.54 0.01 3.36 7.61 2.01 0.14 0.03 3.45 2.16 0.15 0.10 0.02 — 0.73 8.47 2.12 0.01 0.19 1.39 0.55 0.45 2.43 0.17 0.02 0.10 1.92 0.30 0.23 0.27 0.01 5.16 4.04 2.15 0.14 0.04 5.04 3.56 0.07 0.10 0.02 — 1.40 10.11 2.45 0.02 0.19 2.07 0.32 0.33 2.86 0.25 0.03 0.11 1.99 0.43 0.22 0.66 0.01 7.34 7.38 2.30 0.09 0.05 5.19 3.73 0.62 0.11 0.01 — 1.45 11.82 2.30 0.03 0.13 1.68 0.59 0.35 3.20 0.24 0.03 0.23 1.79 1.02 0.11 0.54 0.02 8.70 3.95 2.30 0.08 0.06 4.65 5.96 0.05 0.14 0.02 — 1.40 9.35 1.83 0.03 0.14 0.62 0.47 0.30 3.22 0.46 0.18 0.32 1.93 1.29 0.09 0.88 0.02 14.51 7.50 1.60 0.11 0.08 11.22 5.35 0.04 0.17 0.03 — 1.29 11.48 2.38 0.04 0.14 0.92 0.73 0.28 3.39 0.37 0.26 0.37 3.59 0.55 0.09 1.03 0.02 18.69 4.28 1.19 0.12 0.34 10.69 4.56 0.06 0.45 0.03 — 1.31 7.44 1.96 0.04 0.15 0.45 0.34 0.28 3.41 0.31 0.30 0.46 3.59 0.79 0.10 0.71 0.02 23.72 6.86 1.15 0.09 0.10 11.97 5.74 0.07 0.62 0.04 — 1.50 7.42 2.14 0.23 0.20 1.02 0.62 0.31 3.46 0.37 0.41 0.53 2.87 1.18 0.11 0.80 0.02 21.18 11.01 2.42 0.13 0.11 12.83 6.49 0.04 0.63 0.05 — 1.80 8.78 2.25 0.13 0.30 0.85 0.62 0.36 3.78 0.34 0.52 0.91 3.49 1.26 0.17 1.43 0.02 26.29 7.91 1.75 0.13 0.11 13.14 6.93 0.05 0.66 0.05 — 1.58 7.88 2.32 0.11 0.80 0.81 0.65 0.45 4.05 0.36 1.01 0.80 4.00 1.34 0.18 1.48 0.02 31.02 9.64 1.77 0.13 0.12 14.00 7.14 0.05 0.69 0.05 — 2.06 8.03 2.56 0.10 0.40 0.78 0.70 0.51 4.32 0.37 1.21 1.00 4.50 1.38 0.14 1.55 0.02 23.67 12.39 2.00 0.10 Median (B1 to C) 0.45 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.59 0.47 0.55 0.45 0.62 0.85 0.81 1.00 Mean (B1 to C) 1.36 1.44 1.36 1.83 1.86 2.12 2.52 2.58 2.83 3.08 3.38 3.33 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras [3] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [4] Nicaragua [3] Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal [3] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [5] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Prior to 2010 public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 2003 reflects settlement of debt owed to Russia Public sector only 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP • 166 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America -1.7 0.0 -1.6 -1.7 2.4 0.7 7.9 3.4 -0.6 1.1 0.5 3.6 10.8 0.5 -0.5 -36.3 8.0 -4.3 3.8 -1.1 0.3 14.5 4.2 -0.6 -0.3 -5.0 0.3 -2.1 -0.8 4.8 -1.5 2.6 -4.3 2.5 0.0 5.7 2.1 -1.2 -1.1 0.5 -8.6 -15.4 -0.1 -0.5 -15.8 6.7 -4.0 2.3 -1.0 -3.0 11.9 5.4 0.8 -3.4 -2.8 -6.8 -1.7 -1.4 0.9 -0.1 0.5 -0.2 3.7 -1.3 15.7 0.3 -1.4 -1.0 -0.3 3.9 -22.7 -1.2 -0.9 -23.0 11.4 -13.2 0.2 -5.4 0.9 5.2 3.7 -0.1 -1.5 -4.3 -13.5 4.3 0.6 0.7 -1.4 2.1 1.1 5.2 -2.1 4.1 1.4 -1.7 -2.2 0.4 -1.4 -9.4 -0.2 -1.3 32.9 27.7 -8.4 5.2 -4.0 1.9 12.4 6.0 -0.6 -5.9 0.2 -7.9 3.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 2.9 3.6 4.5 -2.8 4.4 2.1 -2.6 -2.7 -1.1 -2.7 1.4 -2.4 -1.2 -145.8 13.0 8.1 5.1 -1.6 -1.0 5.7 3.6 -0.7 -5.0 -2.2 -4.1 -4.4 -1.4 1.3 -5.5 -5.3 -1.1 -5.2 -3.3 2.6 -3.8 -3.2 -1.8 0.7 4.5 -13.5 -3.4 -2.2 -53.9 6.1 -7.3 3.6 -3.6 0.8 2.8 4.4 0.9 0.1 1.3 -5.8 -3.6 -0.1 1.1 -0.2 11.3 -1.2 13.2 -0.8 1.5 -2.1 -3.2 -1.4 0.1 -1.7 -0.4 -0.1 -1.2 -45.4 8.2 0.5 -1.6 -4.0 0.8 0.5 -1.0 -1.8 -0.2 -3.9 0.5 1.7 -1.0 0.6 -2.4 8.9 -0.3 0.4 -3.7 7.7 -1.2 -1.8 -1.9 -0.2 -6.9 9.9 -1.1 -1.1 33.5 10.7 -9.7 0.7 -0.1 4.4 12.2 0.9 1.2 0.1 -4.4 -8.5 0.5 -0.8 3.4 -3.2 4.0 -0.5 2.1 -0.2 7.7 -0.8 -1.8 -0.1 0.0 0.1 7.1 -0.9 -2.0 69.6 4.3 -2.8 4.2 -1.0 -1.6 11.2 1.7 1.8 -0.7 -3.5 -5.4 -2.3 -1.2 2.6 -2.6 -3.4 -0.5 12.1 -1.3 2.7 -2.5 0.1 -1.0 0.0 -3.6 4.9 -1.0 -2.1 35.8 2.8 0.4 1.4 -1.4 3.3 12.1 3.2 0.5 2.4 -3.8 -6.4 -0.4 -1.1 2.1 -1.5 -2.6 -0.6 -1.2 -1.8 2.7 -1.7 -1.1 -0.6 0.9 -1.7 6.0 -1.0 -2.4 43.6 5.7 0.5 2.1 -0.8 -0.3 8.4 2.0 0.9 1.4 -3.3 -6.4 -0.8 -0.9 1.8 -2.0 -1.3 -0.4 0.2 -1.4 2.7 -1.6 -0.9 -0.8 1.0 -1.5 5.5 -1.0 -2.6 62.6 6.6 0.5 2.6 -1.0 -0.6 8.6 2.3 1.4 0.5 -3.4 -5.5 -0.4 -1.0 Median 0.3 -1.0 -0.1 0.2 -1.1 -1.8 -0.4 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.6 -0.4 Mean 0.2 -0.9 -1.3 2.0 -4.4 -3.2 -1.1 1.6 3.1 1.8 1.6 2.4 Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.0 2.8 — 3.4 3.0 1.9 1.0 -0.1 10.2 6.5 1.0 -0.3 2.0 2.1 -0.3 -1.7 2.6 18.4 4.8 — 5.1 3.1 3.5 -1.3 0.5 -4.3 8.3 2.0 0.3 4.7 4.7 -0.1 -1.5 5.3 0.3 2.2 — 4.0 4.0 8.9 1.4 0.0 -6.1 14.5 0.7 4.2 2.3 5.6 3.8 -1.2 4.0 -5.9 4.3 — 3.4 3.6 2.7 -0.1 -0.8 -8.0 14.6 0.0 3.6 3.1 5.7 4.9 0.0 0.9 9.8 4.1 — 4.5 4.0 5.0 0.1 -1.7 -8.4 27.8 -1.4 8.0 4.2 5.9 5.9 -0.8 -0.1 -2.4 5.5 — 3.5 2.5 1.0 1.8 -1.8 -6.2 15.1 -3.4 3.9 2.0 3.1 6.9 -1.2 -0.7 -1.0 1.2 — 3.3 1.7 1.0 1.4 -1.8 -7.0 0.9 -3.1 2.9 2.0 5.1 8.0 -0.8 0.5 4.1 -0.1 — 2.7 3.1 2.5 -1.6 -2.2 -4.0 13.4 -1.7 0.2 1.5 -0.5 3.4 -2.1 1.2 0.0 2.8 — 1.0 3.2 1.2 3.2 -1.5 -5.2 5.6 -1.1 0.3 2.2 0.3 2.0 -3.2 1.5 6.3 2.1 — 3.4 2.3 4.7 3.0 -1.6 -4.7 4.7 -2.3 1.3 0.9 0.2 1.8 -2.1 0.8 1.2 2.2 — 2.6 1.7 3.3 3.0 -1.3 -4.1 4.6 -1.2 2.4 1.7 -0.5 1.7 -2.0 0.9 1.4 2.3 — 2.2 1.2 3.6 1.4 -1.2 -5.1 3.7 -0.7 2.9 1.5 -0.6 1.6 -1.9 1.0 Median (Aaa to A3) 1.9 3.3 3.0 2.9 4.1 1.9 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.4 Mean (Aaa to A3) 2.1 3.3 3.0 2.0 4.2 1.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.8 Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 167 • Notes: [1] Series break in 2005 and 2011 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 168 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 31.8 2.7 -2.3 1.8 6.7 0.8 3.1 -0.4 0.4 -0.2 7.2 2.3 0.8 1.2 2.5 3.2 6.3 2.1 3.6 -0.4 0.1 — 3.2 5.2 0.4 3.3 26.7 3.9 -1.5 1.3 11.1 2.5 3.9 -13.9 0.5 -0.6 12.6 3.8 2.3 -0.3 2.7 3.8 7.2 2.3 8.4 0.3 -0.3 — 3.6 7.3 0.5 2.3 3.4 7.3 -0.6 1.4 13.9 3.8 4.5 -24.6 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.6 2.6 -0.1 2.1 5.5 5.9 3.2 6.6 0.0 2.3 — 4.3 3.8 1.9 4.7 -6.1 8.9 12.2 -0.9 23.0 3.4 6.1 -10.2 0.8 0.6 8.2 7.5 5.0 1.4 1.5 5.0 14.9 3.8 8.9 0.7 -2.5 — 4.1 2.8 3.6 7.6 -15.2 8.6 0.5 2.0 28.7 3.9 6.2 -16.5 1.3 0.5 7.6 6.8 3.6 3.6 2.2 8.3 9.0 5.1 5.7 0.7 1.0 9.3 3.4 3.8 3.1 5.3 -1.1 10.4 0.8 1.5 17.5 3.4 6.9 30.5 1.8 0.7 9.8 3.0 3.4 3.4 2.4 8.1 9.5 4.9 6.7 1.2 4.4 9.0 1.6 7.5 2.3 7.0 0.3 8.6 10.6 2.2 7.2 1.7 4.6 -18.2 1.3 0.5 8.7 0.6 -0.6 2.5 0.9 5.9 5.2 4.7 3.0 -0.6 1.5 5.0 0.3 3.6 1.1 5.0 0.6 11.2 -0.8 1.7 2.7 0.1 4.0 20.7 0.5 1.6 2.0 1.5 2.2 3.1 0.6 7.1 8.7 5.3 1.8 -0.6 0.4 3.5 1.4 2.6 1.0 6.0 1.4 8.6 -0.4 2.7 3.1 1.5 5.0 7.7 1.2 1.4 4.6 4.9 3.2 1.6 0.8 6.5 8.9 4.6 1.4 -0.8 1.6 -5.9 -0.1 3.3 1.7 5.4 -1.2 5.5 -4.1 3.0 3.3 4.3 5.0 28.0 1.2 1.6 6.2 2.8 1.0 2.4 -1.1 2.8 8.3 6.2 1.4 0.0 0.1 3.0 -0.9 5.0 1.0 5.4 0.0 8.0 -3.4 2.5 3.1 3.4 4.8 2.0 1.9 2.0 6.3 3.1 3.2 2.8 1.0 5.0 8.5 5.9 1.5 0.5 0.9 5.0 -0.3 6.0 1.8 5.8 0.1 8.5 -3.3 2.1 3.3 3.3 5.0 5.0 1.9 1.9 6.4 3.2 3.4 2.8 0.9 5.0 8.0 5.8 1.5 0.7 1.2 4.0 -0.2 6.5 2.5 5.5 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 2.3 2.5 3.4 3.8 3.7 3.9 2.4 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.3 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 3.4 3.6 2.5 4.4 3.8 6.0 2.5 3.4 2.8 3.5 3.1 3.3 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2005 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 24.9 4.3 0.7 5.1 2.4 5.5 0.8 8.3 1.0 0.6 5.4 2.6 4.6 — 0.3 0.2 12.4 2.0 7.2 6.9 0.5 3.5 0.7 2.0 2.3 9.4 1.1 3.1 8.0 3.0 1.3 2.1 0.4 0.1 15.3 1.9 -3.5 4.7 1.3 5.9 -2.5 3.5 2.3 8.5 1.7 4.9 14.5 22.0 2.6 4.4 0.5 1.6 17.8 2.2 0.3 7.0 1.2 7.1 2.4 6.4 1.4 15.3 1.8 0.8 24.5 21.9 2.9 3.1 1.6 2.3 12.3 9.4 0.0 7.6 1.2 8.8 2.8 8.0 7.2 16.5 2.1 2.3 15.0 21.2 2.9 3.1 1.3 -0.4 6.1 3.9 5.0 7.9 0.9 10.8 3.1 6.8 3.8 11.1 1.9 1.2 12.8 18.9 2.4 3.4 1.5 0.7 3.5 5.8 2.9 8.4 1.1 6.9 2.4 3.4 1.8 6.3 1.5 0.6 9.8 35.9 1.6 4.1 1.4 1.0 6.2 3.5 -2.3 6.1 0.9 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.5 5.9 1.9 3.1 6.1 17.8 0.7 2.6 1.7 0.3 2.6 3.0 -1.3 4.4 0.7 6.7 3.6 2.4 1.7 5.7 2.1 0.2 5.0 12.0 2.3 3.3 1.9 0.7 3.9 0.9 -3.7 4.8 0.9 6.9 4.0 0.8 2.2 6.1 2.3 0.1 4.5 13.6 2.6 2.1 2.0 0.1 4.2 3.9 -2.6 3.4 0.9 7.4 3.6 1.8 2.3 6.1 2.4 0.1 5.8 13.0 2.8 2.6 2.1 1.1 6.6 2.5 -1.7 4.3 0.7 7.7 3.5 2.3 2.2 5.6 2.6 0.2 6.5 13.8 2.9 2.5 2.5 1.5 8.7 3.2 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 2.6 2.2 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.7 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 4.8 3.8 5.1 6.8 6.1 5.6 5.5 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 169 • Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 39. Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 170 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.1 0.7 1.0 -1.1 — 1.6 — 3.0 2.7 0.8 1.6 0.9 4.7 6.4 0.5 11.2 3.7 8.2 3.8 0.9 3.0 0.7 1.1 11.4 2.8 0.9 3.7 8.0 4.5 2.3 0.7 10.5 — 2.3 — 4.1 2.3 0.3 9.1 1.0 6.2 5.3 0.3 4.9 3.3 4.6 4.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.1 12.6 2.6 0.8 3.5 7.2 3.2 2.2 1.0 11.3 5.5 6.0 — 3.4 1.2 4.3 4.8 0.8 6.1 5.2 0.1 8.7 6.4 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 7.3 8.7 1.0 3.7 5.0 3.5 1.4 1.0 8.9 6.8 6.5 — 3.0 0.6 5.6 13.3 3.1 6.1 6.7 0.1 8.1 7.6 10.0 4.2 2.7 -0.1 2.2 1.6 17.9 5.3 -1.1 3.9 5.8 6.0 1.9 4.0 10.9 10.9 10.0 — 4.1 0.4 8.1 10.1 3.5 7.5 5.9 2.5 10.1 11.9 8.4 5.1 3.5 1.4 2.4 1.7 17.4 6.5 0.6 9.4 11.5 6.7 2.5 3.6 12.2 5.0 7.7 — 6.4 1.7 7.5 8.8 7.4 7.3 9.9 0.2 11.3 11.5 14.7 7.6 3.3 -0.4 2.0 1.7 22.8 5.5 0.0 10.2 6.4 7.9 1.1 3.6 8.0 1.2 5.0 — 4.7 0.5 3.6 1.8 6.5 3.5 3.9 0.2 10.6 2.5 12.5 5.3 2.3 5.2 1.9 0.9 15.5 4.0 -1.3 7.1 3.3 8.7 1.6 2.4 6.8 1.5 6.8 — 3.7 0.2 2.6 5.9 7.9 6.1 1.3 0.6 10.2 3.3 26.1 5.9 1.2 0.3 2.0 0.9 15.3 4.2 0.0 6.7 3.9 7.6 1.3 6.5 6.3 2.1 7.3 — 4.1 0.8 0.5 4.9 8.1 5.6 1.2 1.0 8.6 3.7 52.4 10.0 0.8 -2.4 1.9 1.5 16.0 4.3 1.6 5.2 4.3 7.8 0.3 2.1 12.0 3.5 5.8 — 6.1 0.8 0.7 4.8 9.2 5.5 1.3 1.7 7.7 1.9 35.8 7.7 0.3 -1.5 2.1 1.3 17.6 3.8 0.5 4.7 4.7 8.2 0.1 1.4 8.1 2.3 5.9 — 4.0 0.9 1.0 4.9 8.3 5.8 1.6 1.7 6.8 2.1 20.0 8.0 0.2 -0.7 2.3 1.3 18.4 4.2 -0.9 4.0 5.1 7.9 0.2 1.0 7.3 2.5 5.9 — 4.0 1.0 1.5 5.0 7.5 5.7 1.6 1.9 8.6 2.3 18.7 9.0 0.3 -0.6 2.3 2.3 18.7 4.2 0.0 3.2 5.1 Median (B1 to C) 2.8 2.9 3.8 4.2 6.0 6.7 3.6 3.7 4.3 3.8 4.0 3.2 Mean (B1 to C) 3.3 3.7 4.1 5.0 6.5 6.8 4.5 5.0 6.1 5.5 4.6 4.7 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP • 171 • (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America -51.9 -14.3 32.0 -20.6 4.3 -28.3 -65.9 -26.5 0.6 6.6 -58.9 245.6 -20.0 -13.6 37.5 — 38.7 -1.7 -68.5 44.6 -58.2 199.1 -24.5 -5.9 -45.2 -22.2 126.1 -9.6 -18.8 -53.8 -17.3 22.4 -15.4 14.1 -20.3 -86.5 -10.0 -1.0 10.7 -67.0 251.3 -17.9 -15.8 38.3 — 39.0 3.7 -73.4 48.2 -63.1 188.0 -31.0 -7.8 -51.9 -27.3 123.6 -18.1 -19.0 -54.2 -21.7 27.0 -13.3 20.3 -9.9 -85.2 -15.3 1.1 21.0 -77.3 246.1 -24.5 -16.8 33.5 121.1 36.0 -2.6 -75.2 54.5 -67.4 203.3 -38.7 -11.0 -55.6 -20.1 131.3 -21.4 -15.3 -56.2 -20.5 23.2 -8.0 21.4 -10.8 -73.9 -13.8 1.1 27.9 -85.4 273.3 -5.3 -22.2 41.5 137.9 27.4 3.2 -77.1 59.9 -78.8 220.6 -46.8 -17.1 -65.8 -13.8 125.3 -28.8 -16.4 -56.3 -18.2 21.1 -10.3 13.0 -15.8 -72.1 -27.9 -1.5 26.5 -96.1 232.5 -19.6 -24.5 50.4 102.5 19.1 -6.0 -74.4 57.5 -88.9 192.5 -46.2 -21.8 -78.1 -1.2 143.9 -23.3 -12.8 -56.8 -16.9 26.9 -4.0 -15.1 -11.1 -76.7 -7.0 -12.9 25.4 -76.8 287.0 -76.2 -24.1 51.2 114.3 6.6 4.2 -82.1 48.3 -96.1 157.9 -57.4 -35.7 -79.3 -8.8 115.6 -5.8 -22.8 -61.0 -8.0 38.8 -10.3 -30.4 -19.3 -81.9 3.4 -9.4 33.8 -89.6 343.7 -93.0 -25.3 57.4 87.8 13.4 16.7 -81.1 85.5 -110.6 210.2 -66.7 -39.6 -93.7 -13.2 141.4 -27.7 -16.6 -56.1 -6.1 48.5 -11.6 -43.2 -11.4 -72.8 17.1 -7.8 34.9 -98.4 291.0 -88.9 -23.9 56.2 96.5 9.2 24.4 -74.6 96.4 -107.2 228.7 -63.2 -42.8 -88.8 -9.9 137.2 -19.9 -17.1 -57.7 -0.5 47.2 -12.2 -71.3 -0.1 -57.8 15.7 -15.9 32.6 -86.1 285.3 -94.8 -20.7 55.2 99.6 7.5 36.2 -72.3 97.7 -104.9 262.4 -64.4 -41.2 -91.3 -7.0 140.8 -17.0 -26.7 -58.5 0.5 — — -61.9 7.1 -53.0 11.5 — 40.5 -114.1 277.9 -95.8 — — 27.6 — 50.9 -71.7 — -116.5 — — -44.6 -93.0 — 151.3 -35.3 -28.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -14.0 -15.6 -13.3 -10.8 -12.8 -11.1 -13.2 -11.4 -12.2 -35.3 — — 6.4 5.1 9.3 11.1 5.7 2.5 5.3 6.8 8.2 -10.8 — — Median Mean Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP • 172 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait [1] Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates — 70.2 — -49.7 — -21.6 -22.1 -9.9 62.1 — -32.8 — -43.3 — — 95.3 — — 70.9 — -35.2 14.2 -32.4 -18.2 -8.6 61.5 — -26.1 — -50.9 — — 100.1 — — 78.2 — -29.7 17.9 -26.2 -16.5 -17.1 60.8 — -13.8 — -42.1 — — 94.5 — — 99.3 — -14.1 23.0 -35.0 -3.5 -16.0 63.2 — -3.9 — -48.7 — — 102.4 — — 95.4 — -5.3 34.0 -43.5 -3.8 -17.5 62.4 — -2.3 — -56.8 — 90.1 119.2 — — 112.0 — -15.0 33.0 -35.4 4.3 -7.8 70.8 — 13.6 — -45.8 — 89.2 140.8 — — 95.8 — -13.1 29.4 -47.7 3.5 -12.6 102.5 — 14.8 — -64.4 — 101.3 159.3 — — 79.4 — -13.6 28.4 -49.2 8.6 -13.6 70.3 — 1.7 — -66.6 — 91.8 150.1 — 47.3 87.2 — -12.6 23.4 -42.2 14.1 -7.6 79.0 — 4.3 — -54.8 — 87.2 158.8 — 35.5 76.8 — -16.7 21.1 -51.1 20.8 -9.1 82.6 — — — -69.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -21.6 -13.4 -15.1 -3.7 -2.3 13.6 14.8 8.6 18.7 20.8 — — 5.3 7.5 10.6 16.7 24.7 32.7 33.5 26.1 32.0 10.1 — — Median (Aaa to A3) Mean (Aaa to A3) Notes: [1] Excludes KIA's assets Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 173 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F -104.8 — 53.3 -48.8 -29.1 -31.0 -29.2 -67.6 -7.6 -45.1 -47.9 -43.8 -33.1 15.1 -28.0 -1.6 -71.8 -46.1 -27.6 0.9 -6.3 — -38.3 — -34.9 -10.4 -107.2 — 53.3 -44.4 -33.0 -27.4 -16.5 -76.2 -7.5 -45.4 -36.4 -52.3 -34.4 14.0 -31.2 -7.1 -71.7 -39.2 -29.6 -1.8 -8.3 — -31.6 — -32.6 -11.2 -69.4 — 58.3 -35.5 -41.9 -24.3 -18.4 -84.5 -7.2 -43.7 -35.5 -59.6 -42.6 14.0 -34.5 8.2 -74.3 -34.1 -27.5 -4.1 -13.7 — -30.5 — -36.2 -7.5 -33.7 — 64.2 -33.5 -60.9 -24.6 -15.4 -100.7 -6.6 -37.5 -35.8 -69.9 -48.9 20.1 -36.9 16.6 -68.8 -28.7 -39.6 -3.9 -16.2 — -27.1 — -38.8 -3.6 1.9 — 71.3 -39.2 -87.1 -23.1 -17.2 -115.6 -4.1 -39.1 -42.3 -74.7 -55.8 28.7 -35.9 38.2 -68.8 -30.7 -46.8 -11.6 -23.1 — -22.3 — -48.5 -8.7 25.8 — 69.8 -16.9 -94.9 -21.8 -22.8 -504.7 -5.4 -29.0 -29.1 -79.0 -51.6 22.5 -29.7 27.7 -68.5 -25.1 -47.0 15.3 -4.0 — -4.9 — -27.4 -6.7 39.4 — 83.1 -36.8 -107.0 -25.4 -26.0 -72.9 -11.7 -39.6 -37.4 -82.7 -57.3 26.6 -36.8 61.7 -61.3 -26.5 -64.6 8.5 -11.5 — -1.8 — -45.0 -16.8 54.0 — 78.9 -41.2 -97.0 -24.1 -25.9 -74.7 -11.9 -41.0 -24.3 -80.3 -55.4 20.7 -38.2 36.3 -63.7 -27.8 -63.1 1.1 -16.9 — -13.1 — -49.5 -17.4 66.1 — 79.0 -29.8 -81.1 -23.4 -29.2 -53.1 -13.1 -37.7 -13.2 -73.3 -52.6 — -28.4 33.2 -70.1 -25.4 -59.8 7.3 — — -9.2 — -41.3 — 77.8 — — -33.0 — -24.6 — -59.1 -15.6 — -12.7 -65.1 -52.3 — — 41.7 — -23.1 -66.6 — — — — — -52.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) -31.0 -31.6 -34.1 -33.5 -30.7 -22.8 -26.5 -25.9 -28.8 -28.8 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) -29.7 -29.5 -28.0 -27.4 -28.5 -39.5 -23.5 -25.0 -22.8 -23.7 — — Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [1] India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — -56.2 — — -98.6 -39.6 -44.7 -78.2 — -84.2 -70.8 — -35.5 — -26.2 -49.6 — -107.3 — -43.7 — — -88.8 -51.1 -45.0 -68.4 — -96.0 -94.5 — -32.4 — -17.1 -44.0 — -101.2 -36.9 -30.0 — — -75.6 -53.8 -45.3 -62.8 -10.6 -88.2 -158.2 — -29.1 -19.7 -7.7 -38.7 — -90.4 -1.7 -24.2 — — -31.7 -80.4 -47.2 -66.9 -11.7 -107.4 -102.8 — -33.9 3.8 -0.7 -32.9 — -94.7 13.7 -22.7 -43.4 — -5.3 -99.7 -44.9 -69.7 -13.3 -97.4 -127.9 — -38.2 5.3 -2.0 -29.2 — -96.2 15.7 -29.7 -48.4 243.6 12.9 -70.0 -44.2 -75.1 -14.1 -96.6 -89.6 — -36.8 7.0 -3.7 -17.1 — -89.2 7.6 -47.2 -42.5 223.6 17.5 -90.6 -48.9 -99.3 -12.7 -129.0 -72.7 — -44.8 -4.7 6.7 -13.7 — -98.6 12.9 -61.3 -38.3 171.7 15.9 -95.0 -49.7 -99.9 -13.5 -110.5 -68.6 — -51.5 -6.3 7.5 -13.2 — -97.8 21.9 -64.4 -37.3 — 16.6 -84.0 -53.3 -93.0 -15.6 -86.5 -73.0 — -50.2 -5.3 6.1 -8.7 — -99.9 — -68.7 — — — -90.5 -58.0 -86.6 -18.8 — — — — — — — — -109.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) -56.2 -51.1 -42.0 -33.4 -38.2 -33.3 -43.7 -44.0 -50.2 -77.6 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) -62.8 -62.0 -53.4 -45.2 -44.7 -21.0 -28.1 -31.1 -41.8 -72.0 — — Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 174 • 40. Net International Investment Position/GDP • 175 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia — -0.6 -22.3 — — -16.6 — -44.0 -60.9 — — — — — — — -84.6 — — -31.8 — -62.8 — — -23.4 10.6 — 13.7 — 2.0 -19.2 — — -16.8 — -40.0 -53.7 — — — -62.0 — — — -60.5 — — -28.3 — -47.3 — — -18.7 15.0 — 0.6 — 11.6 -12.9 — -30.4 -17.0 — -29.4 -45.3 -26.2 — — -49.0 -96.8 — — -56.9 — -130.3 -26.6 — -41.4 — — -16.4 24.9 — -26.3 — 10.2 -15.2 — -28.6 -15.4 — -24.0 -29.0 -17.8 — — -29.2 -103.1 — — -60.0 — -113.9 -27.8 — -19.1 — — -18.5 33.1 — -25.5 -19.4 13.1 -17.5 — -33.8 -19.6 — -24.5 -23.3 -10.0 — — -24.9 -105.6 — — -61.1 — -95.6 -35.4 — -26.4 — — -18.7 39.0 — 4.7 -25.2 17.6 -22.0 — -39.1 -22.3 — -30.5 -17.1 -6.4 — — -33.4 -112.1 — — -61.3 — -96.3 -31.9 — -33.2 — — -22.3 41.8 — 5.5 -33.2 17.8 -38.3 — -50.4 -21.5 — -35.1 -15.0 -16.6 — — -37.6 -134.1 — — -74.8 — -109.3 -33.9 — -40.4 — — -34.3 40.2 — -5.5 -34.0 12.5 -46.8 — -58.0 -24.2 — -41.3 -16.3 -15.8 — — -40.6 -127.6 — — -77.9 — -110.4 -33.5 — — — — -28.4 34.7 — -7.6 — 10.9 -48.1 — -55.2 — — — — -20.2 — — -41.7 -129.9 — — -72.2 — -114.8 -29.2 — — — — -29.3 50.8 — -1.7 — — -47.8 — -60.8 — — — — -22.6 — — -48.4 — — — -75.6 — — -27.7 — — — — -33.8 38.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) -23.4 -23.7 -28.0 -24.8 -23.3 -25.2 -34.3 -33.8 -35.5 -40.8 — — Mean (B1 to C) -29.3 -27.4 -35.5 -30.2 -27.0 -28.7 -36.6 -38.5 -40.1 -34.8 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) (Advanced Industrial Countries) Country Rating • 176 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 29.97 7.14 7.65 31.54 3.15 36.00 1.37 9.54 23.12 41.10 3.84 118.36 3.42 26.06 652.79 0.09 2.62 7.34 5.41 35.89 5.25 95.47 11.68 8.34 17.51 18.02 45.56 28.64 39.72 33.90 6.76 7.72 30.17 3.83 38.20 1.79 11.43 29.08 39.90 0.74 123.54 2.32 24.01 824.26 0.14 2.62 7.21 6.44 43.08 4.63 111.84 14.42 8.66 10.48 20.64 53.63 34.08 42.72 40.97 6.30 6.82 30.66 4.16 32.51 1.94 10.08 24.00 39.76 0.31 124.24 0.51 23.53 828.81 0.17 2.47 7.08 8.69 46.38 3.17 115.71 14.90 7.99 8.59 21.38 35.42 35.85 37.84 52.82 6.57 7.62 33.20 5.62 29.16 2.78 6.13 40.29 37.72 0.41 133.17 0.49 24.41 874.94 0.16 2.86 9.33 13.92 56.18 1.84 135.81 12.65 6.98 10.09 24.07 37.36 38.89 40.94 24.24 10.26 9.30 39.31 6.10 32.03 3.26 6.69 43.59 40.77 0.52 152.64 0.59 27.32 948.36 0.09 3.66 8.75 17.12 60.29 1.04 162.52 18.03 0.94 10.79 26.38 43.87 47.50 45.80 29.87 8.24 7.77 41.54 0.59 39.82 3.96 6.49 30.38 38.56 0.16 182.47 0.61 35.31 1,003.67 0.26 0.29 9.37 10.86 50.21 1.02 173.65 17.80 0.81 11.54 25.13 44.15 41.55 49.58 33.00 4.78 7.80 42.60 0.56 71.26 3.87 7.40 27.73 36.93 0.20 255.77 0.52 34.52 996.96 0.27 0.33 8.61 13.98 45.72 0.81 186.00 0.05 0.59 12.79 38.54 91.61 38.03 50.52 32.79 6.18 7.88 44.89 0.28 70.33 2.46 4.92 36.21 37.36 0.11 268.65 0.50 35.68 1,036.26 0.27 0.34 8.90 15.13 49.74 2.01 222.69 0.05 0.51 13.31 37.92 217.35 49.34 52.08 36.00 7.07 7.99 52.81 0.16 78.11 0.10 5.31 26.15 38.08 0.03 285.26 0.03 34.16 1,221.25 0.18 0.29 9.16 15.24 45.61 0.34 234.98 0.07 0.33 25.84 38.91 271.12 56.24 51.88 37.92 7.97 8.45 55.24 0.14 82.37 0.18 5.70 30.35 37.96 0.05 317.19 0.00 34.82 1,193.58 0.15 0.41 10.80 15.78 48.00 0.56 256.47 0.02 0.27 28.21 40.29 467.93 64.95 49.92 40.49 8.50 8.68 58.00 0.13 80.00 0.09 6.00 31.23 38.31 0.05 340.00 0.01 34.91 1,220.91 0.16 0.33 11.00 16.25 48.96 0.60 263.89 0.14 0.35 28.20 40.50 449.79 73.39 50.80 42.73 9.00 8.97 62.00 0.11 78.00 0.09 6.30 29.56 38.64 0.05 365.00 0.01 34.66 1,220.73 0.16 0.32 11.00 16.75 49.50 0.60 279.87 0.18 0.48 29.40 41.10 443.17 79.00 51.04 Median 17.51 14.42 14.90 13.92 18.03 17.80 13.98 15.13 25.84 28.21 28.20 29.40 Mean 45.40 53.04 52.42 56.77 61.78 64.33 69.37 77.73 87.68 96.40 98.33 99.95 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Cyprus [1] Denmark Estonia [2] Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong Ireland Italy Japan Luxembourg Malta [1] Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Singapore Slovakia [3] Slovenia [4] Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States of America Aaa Aaa Aa3 Aaa Caa3 Aaa A1 Aaa Aa1 Aaa C Aa1 Ba1 Baa2 Aa3 Aaa A3 Aaa Aaa Aaa Ba3 Aaa A2 Ba1 Baa3 Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Series break in 2008 due to euro adoption Series break in 2011 due to euro adoption Series break in 2009 due to euro adoption Series break in 2007 due to euro adoption 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.12 5.24 0.08 15.21 403.25 26.29 25.78 154.51 6.64 4.34 40.56 3.47 31.72 2.76 17.66 206.63 14.73 0.10 5.58 0.10 15.50 609.93 27.84 26.62 198.18 7.35 5.44 61.74 3.48 34.55 3.23 23.27 241.74 18.21 0.13 6.25 0.11 16.69 818.87 29.14 27.84 209.97 8.38 6.69 66.22 4.31 40.49 4.46 152.57 253.29 20.87 0.13 7.93 0.12 19.22 1,066.34 31.05 29.01 238.39 12.18 9.13 78.36 4.97 46.11 5.31 224.48 266.15 27.51 0.14 9.72 0.13 16.70 1,528.25 34.45 28.41 261.77 16.29 13.23 94.96 9.49 62.72 9.35 304.00 270.31 77.16 0.15 9.04 0.12 22.85 1,946.03 36.47 42.32 200.48 16.61 15.93 85.67 11.54 58.93 9.55 440.13 291.71 31.56 0.15 8.54 0.12 23.85 2,399.15 39.67 59.09 265.20 17.61 18.35 86.48 11.86 73.39 17.87 396.75 348.20 25.07 0.14 7.72 0.11 26.32 2,847.34 40.34 69.26 286.93 18.62 23.73 95.86 12.67 86.32 30.11 432.09 382.00 31.75 0.15 7.91 0.11 40.12 3,181.15 37.85 73.05 298.23 22.92 34.03 120.22 13.98 89.69 15.64 525.52 385.55 36.09 0.15 7.45 0.12 42.10 3,311.59 42.41 74.04 316.90 25.96 16.60 126.42 14.01 100.32 31.96 640.98 403.17 45.83 0.15 7.50 0.12 43.15 3,356.36 44.20 80.82 332.74 26.87 23.27 145.00 14.07 109.70 34.24 744.16 408.07 48.04 0.15 7.70 0.13 43.90 3,358.68 45.30 85.31 346.05 28.57 30.76 150.00 14.13 114.10 37.80 824.71 419.22 50.92 Median (Aaa to A3) 15.21 18.21 20.87 27.51 28.41 31.56 25.07 31.75 37.85 42.41 44.20 45.30 Mean (Aaa to A3) 56.41 75.46 98.02 121.55 161.00 189.36 223.02 258.31 287.19 305.88 318.73 326.91 Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 177 • Notes: [1] Foreign assets of Bermuda Monetary Authority 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 178 • Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [1] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.78 0.48 1.43 48.84 6.17 10.19 1.81 0.76 107.45 36.25 4.24 1.43 3.37 1.52 57.74 0.33 0.99 9.78 8.04 73.17 6.16 — 40.96 2.26 33.79 2.08 1.06 0.66 1.58 52.46 8.71 12.77 1.89 1.02 135.57 36.27 8.47 1.91 3.51 1.54 62.78 0.34 0.61 12.18 14.62 120.80 12.79 — 48.50 2.99 35.48 2.51 1.16 0.58 1.88 53.22 7.99 14.21 2.28 1.01 145.11 34.72 6.08 2.23 3.72 1.29 73.02 0.31 1.19 13.60 19.87 175.69 18.26 — 50.50 4.89 50.40 3.07 2.48 0.45 2.69 85.15 10.89 14.67 3.08 2.27 191.92 42.59 17.75 4.35 5.65 1.23 75.45 0.45 1.32 16.73 28.07 295.28 22.72 — 65.15 6.53 60.71 3.08 4.26 0.45 4.11 179.43 16.42 20.10 4.08 2.55 299.23 56.92 15.78 5.55 7.56 1.74 86.31 0.90 1.92 26.85 37.19 466.38 29.23 0.22 85.11 6.66 73.16 4.11 6.47 0.56 3.81 192.84 16.76 22.81 3.77 3.49 241.43 51.64 17.87 5.03 6.28 1.69 93.99 1.29 2.40 30.26 36.75 410.70 30.24 0.27 108.32 9.38 70.23 6.35 5.13 0.82 3.53 231.89 16.12 23.16 3.83 3.64 254.68 66.10 20.18 6.44 6.20 2.00 94.10 1.85 2.74 31.00 39.34 405.82 32.43 0.29 133.60 8.65 69.18 7.64 6.17 0.86 4.78 280.57 14.43 26.35 4.39 5.56 274.33 96.21 24.69 7.07 6.12 2.25 114.88 1.49 2.43 41.65 42.30 432.95 35.42 0.30 165.66 9.07 79.05 7.17 10.04 0.89 4.24 343.38 14.26 29.88 4.52 7.71 260.07 110.12 24.65 5.85 7.70 2.38 137.49 1.78 2.02 46.10 42.35 441.16 39.85 0.33 165.20 9.82 76.66 9.77 11.04 0.83 4.90 362.10 17.38 34.92 6.62 4.04 257.37 112.78 21.60 6.95 8.01 2.63 153.47 1.74 2.00 61.17 41.01 473.11 41.18 0.34 171.11 9.20 98.28 13.06 11.29 0.85 4.90 379.12 17.50 38.10 8.10 4.54 261.47 104.06 25.00 8.95 8.35 2.73 170.00 1.87 2.00 70.00 44.06 484.18 41.30 0.35 189.26 9.50 112.00 13.97 12.36 0.89 5.10 398.07 18.20 40.20 8.30 5.00 266.30 107.06 30.00 9.95 9.12 2.83 185.00 1.87 2.00 75.00 46.98 491.36 42.12 0.36 196.97 10.00 121.00 14.81 4.24 8.47 6.08 10.89 11.67 13.07 12.38 11.75 12.15 15.22 15.74 16.51 18.40 23.24 27.45 38.43 55.24 52.87 56.55 64.85 69.16 73.72 77.44 80.80 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) • 179 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 0.63 0.48 2.47 0.73 0.66 8.19 1.76 0.19 2.82 12.03 5.19 0.06 13.63 7.13 0.81 13.52 0.09 2.91 1.37 0.54 2.70 0.57 0.82 8.76 1.72 0.38 3.42 15.33 5.26 0.08 16.11 16.95 1.00 12.98 0.12 3.90 3.20 0.66 2.93 0.60 1.28 8.80 1.69 0.48 3.66 18.30 5.25 0.20 16.01 28.28 1.14 15.80 0.12 4.41 8.60 1.06 3.48 0.63 2.56 11.49 1.78 0.93 3.91 21.32 6.72 0.43 20.18 42.30 1.53 19.89 0.20 6.74 11.20 1.65 5.08 0.83 4.50 13.67 2.07 1.35 4.13 23.77 7.54 0.68 23.98 51.33 2.38 30.07 0.36 7.82 17.87 1.40 6.15 0.73 6.87 12.96 2.40 1.47 4.46 33.62 8.56 0.42 21.98 53.00 2.77 33.05 0.55 8.81 13.24 1.88 7.47 0.77 7.31 14.42 2.61 1.89 4.69 42.48 11.46 0.52 21.92 42.38 3.63 37.50 0.46 10.65 19.34 1.83 10.75 0.74 7.87 13.67 2.32 2.04 5.37 43.58 12.83 0.51 21.76 32.34 3.93 53.99 0.47 9.00 26.08 1.88 10.91 0.72 9.64 14.02 1.90 2.59 5.57 47.72 11.24 0.34 18.80 32.64 4.75 65.70 0.58 7.00 30.60 1.77 10.36 0.73 11.39 14.34 2.55 2.69 6.06 44.03 7.61 0.41 15.81 43.80 4.35 71.66 0.75 7.90 39.10 1.69 12.40 0.74 12.81 14.80 2.68 2.49 6.13 44.80 7.97 0.41 15.81 53.50 5.14 75.00 0.92 8.27 47.60 1.75 13.21 0.70 14.20 15.00 2.87 2.30 6.38 44.26 9.63 0.63 15.81 50.00 5.34 80.00 1.10 8.77 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 2.11 2.21 3.06 3.70 4.79 6.51 7.39 8.43 8.32 7.75 8.12 9.20 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 4.07 5.11 6.27 8.54 10.69 12.06 12.52 13.46 14.56 15.38 16.93 17.75 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 41. Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (US$ Bil.) • 180 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 0.91 13.14 0.59 0.08 1.81 0.82 — 0.25 0.79 13.55 0.39 1.31 1.42 1.19 1.46 12.46 0.30 0.20 0.50 9.53 0.49 1.10 2.19 0.05 6.66 15.55 6.22 0.25 1.25 18.01 0.75 0.04 2.43 0.94 — 0.80 0.99 13.50 0.45 1.61 1.96 1.85 1.50 11.67 0.47 0.19 0.67 10.56 0.63 1.36 2.06 0.07 9.49 17.87 7.04 0.31 1.39 22.74 1.14 0.06 2.55 0.95 — 1.93 1.67 17.95 0.29 1.75 2.31 2.17 1.78 11.83 0.60 0.33 0.73 9.80 0.72 1.18 2.58 0.07 18.99 23.45 9.05 0.54 1.75 30.42 1.07 0.10 3.67 1.16 — 2.24 1.46 21.24 0.28 2.09 2.62 2.32 2.40 13.31 0.78 0.58 0.92 10.77 1.40 1.33 2.65 0.08 21.84 28.93 13.38 0.71 2.10 44.18 3.95 0.10 5.04 1.81 — 2.93 2.76 26.85 0.49 1.98 2.51 1.88 3.33 12.84 1.33 0.80 1.10 13.35 2.05 1.66 3.30 0.09 31.78 23.69 23.47 1.08 2.31 44.36 2.69 0.16 4.48 2.29 — 2.65 3.69 32.55 0.29 1.77 2.46 1.77 2.86 20.18 1.67 0.56 1.14 8.58 1.95 1.60 2.39 0.08 30.79 32.58 23.88 1.08 2.23 42.92 4.25 0.18 4.52 2.74 — 3.29 2.82 29.28 0.44 2.93 1.91 1.73 3.48 28.74 1.48 1.22 1.41 9.12 2.38 1.92 4.52 0.08 25.49 17.69 16.03 1.25 2.39 46.62 2.86 0.18 4.37 3.15 — 3.74 1.38 31.61 0.62 4.31 2.50 2.17 3.98 31.16 1.72 2.12 1.64 12.96 3.02 1.84 6.63 0.11 33.32 9.19 12.05 1.47 2.31 40.08 5.44 0.20 4.15 3.34 — 4.07 1.60 22.20 0.73 5.05 2.58 1.97 4.23 33.39 1.96 2.21 1.72 14.78 4.24 1.74 6.17 0.09 30.39 6.00 13.13 1.71 2.42 36.76 5.24 0.28 4.28 3.49 — 3.53 1.80 10.91 0.89 4.20 2.33 1.13 5.68 36.84 2.51 3.86 1.72 10.80 3.92 1.88 6.40 0.11 22.65 5.96 23.80 2.44 2.62 36.00 5.57 0.30 4.47 3.62 — 4.50 1.95 8.89 0.90 3.75 2.57 1.15 6.43 37.00 2.54 3.37 1.80 6.28 4.05 1.91 7.19 0.10 22.00 6.00 29.50 2.00 2.70 35.50 4.61 0.30 4.68 3.80 — 4.90 2.10 9.51 0.92 3.45 2.78 1.20 7.19 37.50 2.60 3.86 1.90 6.18 4.15 1.96 8.16 0.10 24.50 6.00 32.00 1.80 Median (B1 to C) 1.10 1.36 1.75 2.09 2.51 2.39 2.82 3.02 4.07 3.86 3.75 3.86 Mean (B1 to C) 3.45 4.02 5.13 6.28 8.02 8.55 7.93 8.41 7.98 7.62 7.65 7.94 B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 42. Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 181 • Median (Aaa to A3) Mean (Aaa to A3) Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 702.00 0.32 — -3.01 85.46 5.22 -3.86 -24.90 1.70 9.03 -5.22 0.11 2.28 3.97 10.94 15.68 22.17 667.00 0.30 — -2.95 108.16 10.25 0.32 -21.60 4.63 9.79 -6.16 0.92 11.23 4.95 12.55 8.92 22.87 159.00 0.28 — -3.36 159.83 14.30 4.32 -25.70 5.25 10.72 -9.72 1.76 12.86 8.10 7.02 18.26 24.46 126.00 0.18 — -1.82 205.13 15.02 10.29 -45.60 7.36 13.44 -3.15 2.50 9.85 10.57 18.82 24.87 14.77 -41.00 0.36 — 0.12 189.92 18.64 7.81 -20.40 5.16 12.19 2.87 0.59 -8.00 6.06 11.30 25.70 -33.78 -426.00 0.59 — -5.45 251.07 13.19 -0.11 -63.10 11.22 11.76 -9.29 -0.10 -38.16 1.76 10.80 42.19 -21.57 -806.00 0.37 — -7.36 172.64 12.70 -2.87 -45.70 15.45 14.54 -5.90 -0.55 -47.54 -6.76 29.63 54.34 -11.69 -167.00 0.46 — -9.51 171.31 11.49 -4.48 -40.60 15.26 16.62 3.95 0.64 -52.56 -14.18 26.21 41.14 -10.40 -384.00 0.63 — -12.34 261.01 9.51 -6.30 -45.10 17.89 17.89 0.89 1.60 -49.40 -12.42 35.41 44.13 -11.15 — 0.75 — -11.42 300.47 15.19 — -32.00 23.55 25.77 2.57 1.65 -46.10 -26.11 35.43 44.00 -2.40 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.13 6.93 7.56 10.43 4.02 0.24 -1.71 0.55 0.76 2.11 — — 51.37 51.95 24.21 25.51 11.10 -13.82 -39.67 -0.73 -8.24 23.67 — — 42. Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 182 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.11 -0.61 1.77 -20.56 0.98 -0.24 -0.54 -1.45 -13.47 5.42 -1.90 -1.27 -0.89 1.97 -19.16 -0.21 1.49 0.45 -1.14 -3.82 14.25 0.23 4.56 -0.21 -1.02 1.18 0.11 -0.54 1.38 -22.70 -0.26 -1.69 -0.36 -0.80 -17.36 0.93 -3.62 -2.28 -0.95 2.53 -15.24 -0.26 2.01 0.19 -3.18 -8.70 14.25 0.25 4.07 0.21 -0.34 1.83 0.12 -0.50 1.84 -17.15 0.05 1.63 0.25 3.21 -10.23 5.26 -6.18 -4.37 -2.52 3.42 -7.61 -0.34 1.43 0.13 -6.69 -14.23 14.11 0.28 6.59 0.20 -12.73 1.97 -0.13 -0.65 3.23 -22.12 1.32 6.60 0.13 9.08 -9.23 2.70 -15.14 -9.01 -4.40 5.67 -3.34 0.24 2.29 0.60 -14.61 -42.75 16.80 0.29 15.84 1.09 -8.71 2.16 -0.78 -0.56 5.56 -46.57 -2.96 4.84 -0.63 -24.31 -17.56 -2.14 -22.33 -14.49 -8.80 7.62 0.86 0.11 2.99 -3.24 -27.39 -74.98 14.36 0.28 19.08 0.85 -11.79 2.34 -1.34 -0.88 3.34 -46.16 -7.76 4.21 -0.76 -0.77 -10.47 3.20 -13.17 -16.06 -12.66 7.22 4.20 0.08 3.14 -3.37 -34.35 -11.23 8.93 0.33 7.44 1.10 -5.04 1.72 -0.91 -0.66 2.01 -33.03 -6.66 8.00 -0.04 -0.14 -12.42 10.02 -3.85 -12.01 -8.73 8.83 -1.02 1.73 5.01 -2.69 -28.35 30.38 9.11 0.58 1.34 1.90 -8.66 2.79 -1.07 -0.74 0.58 -58.08 -4.61 5.40 -0.17 0.72 -13.69 3.99 2.90 -9.79 -6.07 10.47 -8.88 1.74 5.44 -5.34 -28.26 22.78 10.67 0.90 -6.71 1.57 -50.06 4.91 -0.89 -3.72 0.00 -88.14 -2.26 3.39 -1.15 1.70 -15.68 -5.92 6.69 -6.83 -5.84 9.91 -7.20 1.30 4.37 -7.41 -28.23 49.34 17.13 0.67 -0.46 1.73 -59.04 4.76 -1.44 -0.62 -0.48 -101.09 -2.35 7.91 -1.87 2.02 -16.21 -9.37 11.28 -6.47 -4.73 10.15 -2.50 0.85 3.50 -11.81 -23.78 39.20 11.97 0.59 -13.60 — -72.96 3.65 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) -0.22 -0.30 0.12 0.27 -0.70 -0.77 -0.09 0.20 -0.67 -1.44 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) -1.31 -1.94 -1.62 -2.39 -7.68 -4.58 -1.44 -4.67 -5.07 -7.13 — — Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] Only "retail" (previously "onshore") banks Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 42. Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) • 183 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 1.19 0.08 0.01 0.47 0.49 -2.38 -0.60 0.02 -0.03 -6.56 1.71 0.01 0.24 3.05 0.34 2.83 0.08 -2.75 1.26 0.12 0.04 0.47 0.43 -3.20 -0.68 0.03 -0.13 -9.19 2.06 -0.02 1.00 3.49 0.33 3.36 0.09 -3.19 1.62 0.05 0.14 0.54 0.66 -5.11 -0.54 -0.15 -0.24 -12.03 2.22 0.04 1.73 3.41 0.28 4.92 0.09 -2.95 2.93 0.04 -0.04 0.46 0.73 -6.55 -0.42 -0.34 -0.18 -13.37 2.71 -0.03 2.10 4.69 0.27 6.86 0.12 -3.14 2.42 -0.24 -0.02 0.93 0.52 -3.80 0.04 -0.86 -0.35 -17.56 2.30 -0.46 2.58 5.84 0.16 7.18 0.17 -3.27 2.22 -0.57 0.02 0.45 0.46 -5.18 -0.10 -1.14 -0.33 -27.82 0.23 -1.01 1.90 9.72 0.30 7.32 0.16 -3.46 0.02 -0.40 -0.12 0.42 0.98 -6.14 0.38 -0.90 0.34 -25.55 -0.65 -0.71 2.08 7.14 0.28 9.83 0.21 -3.57 -0.40 -0.65 -0.02 0.38 1.05 -6.53 0.70 -0.71 0.43 -22.93 0.00 -0.53 0.58 7.64 0.15 4.74 0.21 -3.47 3.51 -1.15 0.37 — 0.88 -8.90 0.30 -1.47 -0.33 -18.58 -0.02 -0.35 0.20 7.41 -0.12 0.20 0.20 -3.72 1.48 -1.43 0.40 — 1.42 -6.33 -0.06 -1.70 -0.96 -14.41 -0.10 -0.16 0.32 10.63 -0.35 — 0.23 -3.91 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.08 0.11 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.07 -0.02 -0.13 — — -0.10 -0.21 -0.30 -0.17 -0.24 -0.94 -0.91 -1.08 -1.27 -0.93 — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 42. Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) • 184 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 0.58 -6.05 -0.06 0.05 -0.58 0.13 — 0.12 1.55 2.31 0.13 0.19 0.32 0.20 0.30 0.58 0.05 0.09 -0.01 1.35 0.09 0.38 0.03 0.07 -0.27 1.04 2.53 0.20 0.76 -4.43 -0.16 0.05 -0.53 0.18 — 0.77 2.04 5.71 0.07 0.26 0.29 0.16 0.47 1.46 0.03 0.10 0.01 1.22 0.09 0.41 0.18 0.08 0.06 1.57 2.48 0.29 0.70 -2.65 -0.16 0.06 -0.89 0.26 — 0.90 2.45 7.54 0.03 0.29 0.25 0.09 0.63 1.63 0.07 0.18 -0.06 2.21 0.18 0.31 0.04 0.09 -2.41 1.28 3.01 0.20 0.77 -2.16 -0.95 0.04 -1.16 0.39 — 1.13 2.66 12.53 0.01 0.32 0.11 0.06 0.79 4.23 0.10 0.34 -0.24 2.07 0.11 0.42 -0.54 0.08 -8.75 2.76 4.14 0.25 0.74 -1.15 -1.24 0.08 -1.21 0.51 — 1.26 3.52 21.68 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.15 0.80 7.07 -0.14 0.22 -0.28 3.69 0.41 0.46 -0.60 0.04 -22.55 2.80 1.51 0.31 0.06 -0.39 -1.38 0.09 -2.28 -0.13 — 0.69 3.61 23.17 0.01 0.21 0.06 -0.52 0.77 3.32 -0.30 -0.10 -0.29 3.51 0.22 0.23 -0.62 0.06 -29.37 2.29 0.10 0.17 0.31 -0.36 -2.11 0.08 -1.88 0.28 — 0.67 4.31 14.75 -0.03 0.31 0.17 -0.31 0.28 2.51 -0.01 0.00 0.00 3.32 0.51 0.29 -0.10 0.06 -18.67 1.54 0.41 0.25 0.83 -0.08 -4.25 0.10 -1.34 0.49 — 0.18 5.00 16.22 -0.02 0.15 0.06 0.03 0.22 2.74 -0.02 0.17 0.31 3.01 0.50 0.52 -1.17 0.06 -13.27 1.64 0.09 0.43 1.24 -1.07 -3.70 0.13 -0.96 0.38 — -0.11 5.22 17.84 0.02 0.53 0.06 0.35 0.43 -1.58 -0.23 0.02 0.47 2.95 0.59 0.27 -2.13 0.06 -10.58 1.74 -0.13 0.64 1.74 0.59 -4.55 0.16 -0.97 0.55 — -0.05 — 13.46 0.00 0.84 -0.26 0.35 -0.44 -3.82 -0.13 -0.39 0.28 1.91 0.70 0.21 -3.32 0.04 -5.70 1.67 — 0.24 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 0.13 0.18 0.20 0.25 0.22 0.06 0.25 0.17 0.13 0.16 — — Mean (B1 to C) 0.20 0.50 0.60 0.72 0.67 0.12 0.24 0.47 0.46 0.12 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 IV. Monetary, External Vulnerability and Liquidity Indicators • 185 • 43. M2 (% change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 10.5 17.6 — -2.6 19.2 7.2 2.0 3.0 7.8 12.3 11.1 0.7 5.7 5.5 8.5 5.7 15.5 10.1 13.9 — 18.6 14.9 4.5 5.6 6.3 12.3 8.9 25.2 4.0 7.5 20.8 17.3 7.2 23.8 -5.3 10.6 — 21.4 16.7 10.6 5.3 7.0 12.0 12.2 15.6 21.4 12.6 42.9 13.2 6.6 30.5 4.0 67.4 — 17.4 22.1 13.7 7.2 12.5 21.7 24.5 17.1 24.9 15.9 39.6 20.4 5.2 23.2 3.9 31.5 — 20.3 16.7 16.3 14.3 10.8 19.1 9.8 9.5 37.0 14.2 39.5 20.1 0.8 41.7 5.0 21.5 — 18.7 17.8 14.1 13.7 12.0 15.8 2.3 13.4 23.3 20.2 19.7 18.0 7.2 19.2 0.2 -1.3 — -5.5 28.4 0.7 13.5 9.9 13.4 11.8 9.5 4.7 8.3 16.9 10.8 5.8 9.8 -4.7 10.7 — 9.3 18.9 2.1 3.6 6.0 3.0 14.5 7.2 11.3 8.4 23.1 5.2 5.4 6.2 -3.6 4.4 — 18.5 17.3 4.1 10.5 5.5 8.2 22.6 14.7 12.2 11.5 17.1 13.3 4.8 5.0 — 9.0 — 7.6 14.4 4.6 8.2 4.8 6.5 25.7 9.7 10.7 4.2 22.9 16.5 3.5 4.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 7.5 11.2 12.4 18.9 16.5 16.8 9.7 6.7 11.0 8.2 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 8.1 12.6 14.6 21.0 19.1 15.1 8.6 8.1 10.4 10.2 — — Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 186 • 43. M2 (% change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 187 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 29.7 4.2 6.4 21.8 18.8 11.5 18.9 17.5 16.7 8.1 — 19.8 16.5 25.1 13.1 9.6 3.0 -2.1 23.3 50.5 15.9 — 6.2 6.2 33.7 15.2 47.5 10.8 4.1 17.9 23.3 19.1 17.6 14.9 12.0 8.2 67.9 34.1 31.0 18.9 9.9 16.1 8.3 1.5 39.9 35.8 11.6 — 5.8 12.1 31.2 -3.0 22.1 8.3 22.0 18.0 24.3 17.7 25.7 23.2 21.1 16.3 24.7 43.7 36.9 6.6 14.9 9.8 8.7 18.4 33.9 38.5 17.7 — 6.1 34.4 120.0 0.0 86.8 6.3 14.9 18.1 26.9 17.4 29.2 19.4 21.7 14.9 76.9 43.7 23.5 9.5 13.9 29.6 22.5 9.5 29.4 48.4 20.1 — 8.2 17.3 24.7 11.6 71.7 9.1 39.3 17.4 31.3 17.7 30.2 56.8 21.4 19.3 24.2 19.1 24.7 15.3 8.3 10.2 15.9 21.7 32.5 43.5 20.5 — 6.3 13.5 15.7 3.8 44.0 5.3 19.7 18.0 8.7 16.8 12.8 32.1 19.3 14.9 29.1 -4.6 -1.9 14.6 16.4 17.9 14.1 26.4 17.3 0.8 12.1 — 9.2 13.0 26.7 28.6 -0.3 1.3 5.8 15.6 4.3 5.8 11.1 -1.1 16.9 13.0 18.7 0.6 5.2 8.1 6.4 66.0 10.3 2.1 8.3 17.7 1.7 — 6.8 27.0 13.0 -2.6 24.3 2.9 10.5 15.6 6.4 10.2 12.3 -9.9 16.1 15.4 24.3 9.9 8.5 1.8 8.0 9.6 11.1 21.8 6.1 31.1 5.6 — 10.9 5.0 19.1 22.1 32.1 2.3 3.4 18.8 12.1 18.9 11.8 8.7 13.2 16.4 22.0 -3.8 1.0 6.6 11.9 13.8 8.4 9.0 6.3 22.3 7.2 — 15.1 13.9 14.8 18.0 20.7 -0.3 4.8 16.1 8.5 16.3 13.0 -2.7 13.3 14.9 5.2 3.8 6.9 8.0 8.3 5.3 11.2 11.7 4.6 11.9 3.9 — 10.4 10.6 10.2 9.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 16.2 16.1 21.1 20.1 19.3 16.4 6.8 10.5 12.1 9.2 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 16.2 19.9 24.5 25.8 23.6 16.4 10.5 11.9 12.2 9.0 — — Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [3] Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] 2012 as of November Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 43. M2 (% change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 66.3 15.0 15.6 4.6 17.7 11.0 0.5 30.9 47.5 13.7 16.6 18.7 10.1 15.8 29.8 4.2 3.9 6.4 37.0 32.1 13.8 11.7 26.5 9.3 2.4 40.4 11.5 9.9 10.5 22.5 9.3 23.5 24.0 10.0 27.9 11.3 60.5 18.1 16.8 16.9 47.3 10.6 2.6 33.4 14.1 13.0 21.4 83.4 12.4 22.5 16.3 9.8 13.3 11.0 57.3 24.0 19.3 5.3 50.4 18.1 11.7 61.0 13.4 11.8 12.8 119.2 16.1 40.1 15.9 22.1 22.9 11.6 38.6 33.2 17.1 20.9 69.9 18.3 17.6 49.4 8.5 8.7 12.4 98.8 17.5 78.2 39.4 10.7 25.9 12.4 66.2 7.3 17.6 1.2 35.8 4.4 0.1 13.3 8.9 9.9 21.1 -10.1 7.4 56.9 42.7 15.4 15.4 14.8 62.6 35.9 19.2 0.6 12.2 -0.6 1.2 5.8 11.4 0.9 24.3 -9.0 7.7 15.6 25.8 7.7 25.4 12.5 13.2 14.0 22.4 -0.7 25.1 4.3 4.3 36.6 9.8 -0.1 9.2 3.2 5.0 8.6 16.5 10.7 177.1 11.3 34.4 28.1 21.3 — 20.7 3.4 -2.5 17.3 7.3 7.1 2.7 1.9 7.2 13.4 17.4 6.5 21.5 9.3 10.3 23.8 17.4 — 20.2 3.3 3.2 12.3 9.3 -1.2 -1.1 7.9 4.9 18.5 12.6 10.9 21.1 7.7 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 15.3 12.8 16.5 18.7 19.6 14.0 11.8 10.2 9.3 10.3 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 18.2 18.5 23.5 29.6 32.1 18.2 14.4 20.6 12.8 10.7 — — Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan [2] Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 188 • Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 2012 as of November 43. M2 (% change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 189 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 9.2 29.6 54.3 3.5 8.4 15.4 — 64.8 18.9 16.9 24.7 18.4 12.2 3.2 13.2 12.8 30.4 49.6 12.6 18.0 -4.4 31.5 15.5 1.9 47.5 51.3 33.1 19.2 12.0 21.4 50.0 13.4 24.3 28.3 — 9.3 30.9 13.2 10.3 32.7 16.3 15.0 13.5 10.2 38.1 20.4 17.2 19.6 14.8 13.1 19.6 13.7 32.3 53.2 31.1 26.6 8.6 21.5 42.2 6.5 18.2 15.8 — 15.4 19.7 13.6 13.8 23.1 19.8 9.8 10.5 4.4 34.4 34.6 9.8 19.8 29.5 8.2 19.0 6.4 53.9 53.1 30.9 3.7 11.8 20.3 39.3 13.1 22.6 40.5 — 11.8 13.1 13.5 20.1 43.6 24.0 16.6 17.2 7.8 23.6 34.8 8.4 14.9 38.9 11.9 17.9 7.5 34.3 87.9 29.7 47.9 6.0 24.5 40.0 15.4 20.7 61.8 — 18.5 18.4 18.3 9.2 39.6 17.1 11.6 19.7 12.4 39.8 56.3 18.5 18.9 27.8 12.7 16.5 7.1 50.8 22.4 49.1 21.5 9.7 8.1 26.3 13.3 4.1 5.4 — 7.5 23.6 15.7 -5.4 42.4 2.5 4.1 18.1 14.8 15.9 -5.5 7.3 11.8 7.8 1.8 8.4 6.4 31.0 21.3 20.7 22.3 4.2 17.0 23.1 6.4 2.1 35.6 — 15.0 10.1 8.4 7.4 24.6 -0.2 2.9 17.5 19.5 3.2 26.9 14.3 9.6 21.9 11.4 18.7 1.4 -5.4 9.9 26.2 7.4 4.6 33.1 31.9 -0.1 7.2 21.3 — 13.0 18.6 10.4 4.2 29.7 13.3 6.3 22.4 12.3 13.4 62.5 21.7 13.0 10.2 13.7 15.8 2.6 23.1 7.7 29.7 31.4 7.0 26.0 121.2 5.3 5.8 3.9 — 11.6 17.4 10.0 14.8 35.5 12.6 6.4 20.0 5.5 10.6 37.0 12.6 16.8 17.3 6.8 19.1 -0.3 14.2 44.5 11.9 22.2 3.5 34.8 44.6 11.0 3.4 39.4 — 10.3 — 8.4 6.3 26.4 4.4 3.9 15.0 7.0 20.8 18.8 15.4 13.4 10.9 6.8 17.5 6.5 13.1 56.0 — 20.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 18.0 19.6 18.2 20.1 18.9 9.7 10.1 13.4 12.6 13.1 — — Mean (B1 to C) 22.7 22.2 20.2 24.9 25.0 12.6 12.6 17.5 19.1 16.7 — — Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 44. Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) • 190 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China [1] Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait [2] Macao Malaysia [3] Oman [2] Poland Qatar [4] Saudi Arabia Taiwan [5] United Arab Emirates [6] — 14.25 — 2.25 1.98 2.00 5.20 3.75 2.40 2.50 2.71 2.37 5.25 — 1.37 1.38 — — 14.25 — 2.25 2.25 2.50 3.90 3.25 2.70 3.75 2.70 2.32 6.50 2.80 1.34 1.75 — — 14.50 — 4.50 2.25 2.00 4.50 3.75 3.50 5.75 3.00 3.30 4.50 4.20 3.24 2.25 — — 15.00 — 5.25 2.52 2.50 5.00 4.50 4.90 6.75 3.50 4.00 4.00 4.40 4.58 2.75 — — 14.50 — 6.00 4.14 3.50 4.00 5.00 5.40 5.75 3.50 4.14 5.00 3.40 4.87 3.38 — — 15.00 — 8.25 2.25 2.25 2.50 3.00 4.80 0.50 3.25 4.48 5.00 4.10 2.31 2.00 — — 10.00 — 0.50 2.25 1.00 1.00 2.00 2.80 0.50 2.00 4.14 3.50 3.70 0.47 1.25 1.89 — 9.50 — 3.25 2.75 0.75 2.00 2.50 2.30 0.50 2.75 3.37 3.50 1.60 0.25 1.62 2.14 — 9.50 — 5.25 3.50 0.75 2.75 3.25 2.20 0.50 3.00 2.80 4.50 1.50 0.25 1.88 1.52 — 9.50 — 5.00 3.00 0.05 2.00 2.75 2.00 0.50 3.00 2.62 4.25 1.30 0.25 1.88 1.30 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 2.40 2.70 3.62 4.45 4.51 3.12 2.00 2.30 2.75 2.00 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 3.65 3.73 4.37 4.98 5.18 4.26 2.47 2.59 2.88 2.63 — — Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] One year deposit rate Deposit rate Overnight interbank rate prior to 2004. Deposit rate; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Discount rate 3-Month EIBOR 44. Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) • 191 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil Bulgaria [3] Colombia Costa Rica [4] Iceland India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania [6] Mauritius [7] Mexico Namibia Panama [8] Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [9] Uruguay 7.00 5.75 1.10 16.50 2.83 7.25 — 5.30 6.00 8.31 7.00 3.00 2.41 9.53 6.12 7.75 9.93 2.50 21.25 16.00 8.00 2.25 1.25 5.00 26.00 12.48 7.00 5.75 1.60 17.75 2.37 6.50 — 8.25 6.00 7.43 7.00 4.00 2.25 8.15 8.75 7.50 8.82 3.00 17.00 13.00 7.50 2.75 2.00 5.00 18.00 6.00 9.00 5.25 3.60 18.00 2.05 6.00 — 10.50 6.50 12.75 8.00 4.00 2.50 7.25 8.27 7.00 8.66 3.25 7.50 12.00 7.00 4.50 4.00 6.00 13.50 4.60 9.50 5.25 5.00 13.25 3.26 7.50 8.97 14.25 7.50 9.75 9.00 5.00 3.73 9.55 7.02 9.00 8.39 4.50 8.75 11.00 9.00 5.50 5.00 8.00 17.50 3.45 12.00 5.25 4.90 11.25 4.58 9.50 5.52 13.75 7.75 8.00 11.00 6.00 5.83 11.77 7.57 10.50 8.25 5.00 7.50 10.00 11.00 5.00 3.25 8.00 15.75 7.25 8.00 5.25 2.50 13.75 5.77 9.50 10.00 18.00 5.00 9.25 10.50 6.00 8.21 10.11 8.25 10.00 8.16 6.50 10.25 13.00 11.50 1.00 2.75 8.75 15.00 7.75 2.00 5.25 1.10 8.75 0.55 3.50 9.00 10.00 5.00 6.50 7.00 4.00 1.28 8.45 4.50 7.00 8.25 1.25 8.00 8.75 7.00 1.00 1.25 5.25 6.50 6.25 3.00 5.25 0.80 10.75 0.18 3.00 6.50 4.50 6.75 6.50 7.00 3.50 1.05 8.35 4.50 6.00 7.74 3.00 6.25 7.75 5.50 1.00 2.00 3.75 1.50 6.50 5.25 4.50 1.00 11.00 0.22 4.75 5.00 4.75 8.50 6.00 7.50 3.50 1.06 7.11 4.50 6.00 6.91 4.25 6.00 8.00 5.50 1.00 3.25 3.00 5.00 8.75 5.00 4.50 1.10 7.25 0.03 4.25 5.00 6.00 7.50 5.75 5.50 2.50 0.51 6.23 4.50 5.50 6.91 4.25 5.25 8.25 5.00 1.00 2.75 2.75 5.00 9.25 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 7.00 7.00 7.00 8.19 7.88 8.50 5.75 4.88 5.00 5.00 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 8.02 7.33 7.27 8.02 8.31 8.64 5.28 4.72 5.09 4.67 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Bank discount rate T-bill rate; 2012 as of November LEONIA rate Central Bank introduced Monetary Policy Rate in 2006 Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 1-Month VILIBOR 3-Month deposit rate Lending rate TUIBON Inter-bank rate (O/N) 44. Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador [4] Georgia [5] Guatemala Hungary Jordan [6] Montenegro [7] Morocco Nigeria [8] Paraguay [7] Philippines Suriname [7] Tunisia [9] • 192 • Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 150.00 9.00 7.40 7.50 7.50 4.50 3.37 9.94 — 12.50 3.14 4.86 3.25 15.00 15.83 6.75 8.28 5.14 95.00 3.75 5.00 7.50 6.00 4.50 3.34 6.44 — 9.50 2.49 4.82 3.25 15.00 5.11 6.75 8.34 5.00 95.00 3.50 6.70 10.00 5.25 4.50 3.44 9.30 4.25 6.00 2.91 4.99 3.25 13.00 1.66 7.50 7.27 5.00 14.00 4.75 7.40 12.00 5.25 4.50 4.39 10.14 5.00 8.00 4.62 5.40 3.25 10.00 6.72 7.50 6.63 5.07 20.00 5.75 7.60 12.00 6.50 9.00 4.71 12.03 6.50 7.50 5.45 3.35 3.25 9.50 5.00 5.25 6.42 5.24 20.00 7.25 7.71 10.00 13.00 9.00 4.21 8.00 7.25 10.00 5.46 4.10 3.50 9.75 3.08 5.50 6.34 5.21 30.00 5.00 3.04 7.00 3.00 9.00 4.48 5.00 4.50 6.30 4.94 3.86 3.25 6.00 1.46 4.00 6.38 4.30 25.00 7.25 2.52 7.00 3.00 9.00 2.87 7.50 4.50 5.80 3.53 3.26 3.25 6.25 1.21 4.00 6.17 4.43 20.00 8.00 6.75 7.00 4.00 7.00 1.76 6.75 5.50 7.00 3.40 3.25 3.25 12.00 3.83 4.50 6.39 4.03 20.00 8.00 7.75 — 4.00 7.00 2.52 5.25 5.00 5.80 4.02 3.23 3.00 12.00 3.92 3.50 6.79 3.77 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.50 5.11 5.12 6.02 6.46 7.25 4.72 4.46 5.94 5.00 — — 16.12 11.28 10.75 6.92 7.50 7.74 6.19 5.92 6.36 6.21 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Bank discount rate Discount rate Deposit rate (foreign currency) Deposit rate prior to 2008 Deposit rate; 2012 as of November Deposit rate Introduced on December 11, 2006; Minimum rediscount rate prior to 2006 Money market rate 44. Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) • 193 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina [1] Belarus Belize [2] Bosnia and Herzegovina [3] Cambodia [2] Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador [4] Egypt [5] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica [6] Kenya Lebanon [7] Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua [2] Pakistan [8] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [4] Ukraine Venezuela [4] Vietnam [9] Zambia 6.50 10.16 28.00 6.93 2.01 1.90 — — 11.67 8.50 1.19 21.50 — 25.53 4.41 7.99 14.00 10.24 4.50 7.50 14.00 4.50 7.00 6.50 7.00 28.50 7.50 14.35 5.25 2.61 17.00 7.42 2.00 1.90 — 45.00 10.23 7.70 1.75 18.50 — 12.79 11.04 7.89 14.50 15.36 4.48 7.50 7.00 4.00 7.50 6.50 9.00 28.50 7.50 16.68 5.00 3.76 11.00 7.71 1.00 2.00 — 33.00 9.96 7.60 2.25 15.50 7.00 10.96 11.07 8.68 12.50 6.13 4.44 9.00 6.00 4.00 8.75 6.50 9.50 28.50 8.25 14.81 5.50 6.42 10.00 8.15 1.00 1.90 — 18.00 9.54 5.90 4.25 12.50 6.00 9.37 10.00 8.68 14.50 6.12 5.24 9.00 6.00 4.30 10.00 6.50 8.50 28.50 8.25 8.79 6.25 7.97 10.00 8.32 1.00 1.90 — 16.00 10.72 6.10 4.25 13.50 7.50 9.04 8.75 8.68 16.00 8.40 6.55 9.50 6.00 4.30 10.50 6.50 8.00 28.50 8.25 11.73 6.25 11.05 12.00 8.46 1.00 1.90 — 16.00 9.14 6.50 4.25 17.00 7.75 10.78 8.50 8.43 14.00 9.75 6.85 12.00 8.00 4.80 10.50 6.50 12.00 33.50 8.50 14.49 5.25 11.60 13.50 8.37 0.50 1.30 — 9.50 9.19 6.50 4.25 18.00 4.50 8.79 7.00 6.42 5.00 10.00 5.64 14.00 7.00 4.30 7.50 6.50 10.25 29.50 8.00 8.39 5.00 9.17 10.50 7.76 0.26 1.20 — 9.50 8.68 6.30 2.50 13.50 4.50 5.44 6.00 5.41 7.00 11.00 2.16 12.50 7.00 4.30 7.25 6.50 7.75 29.50 9.00 7.17 4.75 10.68 45.00 6.44 0.19 1.40 — 9.00 8.17 6.60 1.00 12.50 5.50 3.59 18.00 5.41 9.50 12.25 1.49 14.00 7.75 4.30 7.00 6.50 7.75 29.50 15.00 9.71 4.00 12.02 30.00 4.41 0.01 1.30 — 7.00 8.17 7.70 1.00 15.00 7.00 4.70 11.00 5.93 4.50 13.25 0.86 12.00 6.75 4.00 7.50 6.50 7.50 29.50 9.00 9.50 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.50 7.60 8.25 8.25 8.32 8.50 7.50 7.00 7.75 7.00 — — 10.48 10.75 9.44 8.63 9.04 10.00 8.55 7.66 9.74 8.52 — — Median (B1 to C) Mean (B1 to C) B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Time deposit rate Deposit rate Renumberation rate on required reserves with CBBH Bank discount rate Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Deposit rate Money market rate T-bill rate Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Base interest rate prior to 2011, refinancing rate thereafter 45. Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 7.3 9.8 — 3.5 19.5 20.3 -0.8 9.7 15.4 -1.4 8.3 1.1 5.2 5.1 20.4 2.9 22.9 11.6 23.5 — 11.4 8.8 0.5 4.9 2.9 4.2 8.5 2.4 2.5 4.2 18.4 12.3 8.9 27.1 17.6 7.5 — 9.7 10.7 3.1 6.8 9.2 14.5 21.8 6.6 1.7 13.8 40.4 -9.4 7.8 46.2 13.1 19.5 — 12.3 16.3 20.5 5.1 14.6 35.3 13.3 6.8 18.8 23.0 33.7 -15.2 5.0 41.1 14.4 24.5 — 23.1 17.6 20.1 9.9 9.5 28.8 42.2 7.8 33.8 27.0 59.2 -16.5 2.1 42.7 11.6 26.1 — 8.3 11.7 13.9 12.3 17.0 15.4 27.4 17.6 28.5 32.6 47.0 -128.4 3.0 48.4 5.8 15.2 — -1.4 30.4 5.8 2.7 3.7 5.1 10.2 9.0 9.7 8.8 25.2 -111.8 0.9 14.4 0.3 11.9 — 8.2 18.8 4.8 8.6 3.9 -9.8 29.2 8.2 12.7 9.9 20.5 -129.3 6.3 4.2 2.9 26.4 — 17.4 17.1 9.1 7.9 4.6 1.4 28.5 11.8 6.4 11.8 35.6 4080.6 6.2 6.7 — 23.6 — 13.4 17.1 1.6 5.0 3.2 -1.0 18.2 11.1 19.1 5.1 22.7 171.3 6.1 0.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 7.8 8.6 9.5 15.4 21.6 16.2 7.3 8.2 10.5 11.1 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 9.3 9.5 13.0 16.4 21.6 12.0 2.1 0.5 267.1 21.1 — — Bermuda Botswana [1] Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao [1] Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia [2] Taiwan United Arab Emirates • 194 • Notes: [1] [2] Excludes central government Includes net claims on the government Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 45. Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) • 195 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil [2] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [3] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru [2] Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 26.1 0.1 12.0 6.6 33.9 7.5 23.2 28.2 9.5 3.8 38.1 39.7 42.4 45.4 3.8 16.2 2.8 -4.6 49.0 26.6 13.5 — 11.1 5.3 19.2 -13.0 39.4 4.8 23.2 18.5 34.2 16.9 24.6 39.3 16.9 15.0 82.1 39.6 44.9 16.7 2.3 22.0 11.5 0.0 33.0 18.7 10.1 9.5 4.5 15.8 21.6 -20.7 50.0 14.3 24.4 24.0 33.0 13.8 19.2 62.8 22.0 12.5 51.5 62.4 62.3 10.7 3.9 21.3 9.0 16.7 43.7 3.0 13.5 19.5 4.6 27.7 33.5 -18.2 75.4 14.2 11.6 29.5 15.3 20.0 20.2 43.1 20.4 8.5 76.5 53.9 30.5 9.7 15.3 10.6 11.2 5.7 38.5 28.8 21.2 19.9 1.1 8.2 14.3 -8.4 98.5 11.4 39.9 32.5 58.8 15.3 29.3 15.4 17.9 15.3 58.8 32.0 45.9 11.1 11.1 6.0 12.0 33.2 74.5 37.2 21.1 8.8 3.9 21.6 18.6 -8.0 33.7 6.6 41.3 27.6 33.0 14.0 30.6 -33.0 23.7 13.5 65.2 9.4 21.1 22.3 2.4 6.1 13.9 34.9 42.6 26.7 15.2 7.9 7.7 14.3 17.3 61.1 22.8 1.4 10.9 10.1 6.8 9.9 9.3 -0.5 20.3 9.8 6.8 -14.8 -10.5 0.4 10.2 8.9 1.9 1.4 10.6 31.4 5.4 11.1 4.7 10.9 20.1 -9.4 22.3 5.9 5.7 28.7 5.1 15.3 5.1 -6.5 20.2 14.3 6.7 -7.5 -4.6 4.4 8.0 24.0 16.5 14.1 11.5 31.9 6.1 0.9 10.0 1.5 26.6 27.7 2.3 0.5 20.4 22.9 7.4 17.5 14.0 -5.9 17.9 21.9 12.1 -1.6 -0.3 10.6 8.8 7.2 19.6 21.9 8.7 26.8 2.7 -2.4 16.0 1.7 15.7 6.2 33.4 1.7 7.0 18.4 2.6 14.8 9.4 1.5 7.4 21.5 12.4 -13.1 -3.0 14.4 4.7 14.8 14.8 12.7 0.5 20.0 10.3 -3.3 15.2 5.7 13.9 18.6 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 13.5 17.7 20.4 17.6 19.8 19.2 9.1 9.0 9.7 11.3 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 17.8 20.9 24.7 22.9 27.8 21.5 7.3 11.3 10.5 9.9 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] 2012 as of November Excludes central government Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 45. Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) • 196 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola [1] Armenia Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan [3] Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 135.0 -10.1 8.1 8.9 3.8 14.5 10.1 14.5 27.5 18.5 7.0 98.9 3.2 33.0 -26.2 5.9 21.9 5.4 66.8 41.2 14.6 15.4 2.5 14.1 4.4 8.6 8.1 11.4 20.9 41.7 5.1 -26.3 10.5 8.5 31.8 11.4 54.9 54.6 17.4 14.4 2.2 17.4 9.8 34.0 20.2 14.2 33.5 12.1 12.0 -7.2 10.8 -1.6 16.2 8.5 93.1 8.7 20.3 8.6 -6.6 23.1 5.3 31.3 27.1 18.1 18.9 142.0 17.1 -27.5 3.4 7.2 21.3 10.1 74.4 78.4 14.8 8.2 3.0 15.3 9.1 61.2 13.6 16.8 19.1 171.9 24.3 358.3 26.2 5.2 16.3 9.8 70.1 73.6 20.9 11.1 5.2 13.4 3.6 18.0 9.1 13.6 24.8 29.5 21.0 55.9 53.5 16.8 22.0 13.1 55.4 1.5 16.0 4.5 5.6 0.0 -5.6 -5.0 4.9 -3.0 2.2 -16.4 8.7 41.1 16.4 7.4 20.7 10.3 25.9 42.5 17.9 — 6.2 6.1 1.7 16.2 5.7 4.9 6.0 -7.2 9.8 14.1 31.7 8.7 15.3 16.1 28.5 42.7 27.4 — 24.2 4.9 6.3 20.7 11.9 -2.4 16.5 -5.2 11.9 33.9 22.6 14.7 5.0 14.9 24.0 28.4 19.5 — 18.5 -3.9 -2.9 10.1 13.2 -9.6 13.8 -3.7 6.4 2.6 20.9 7.8 32.1 9.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 9.5 11.4 14.3 17.6 16.5 19.5 5.3 9.8 14.9 10.1 — — 21.1 16.2 18.0 23.4 51.4 26.4 9.2 13.0 16.4 11.0 — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Excludes central and local governments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 2012 as of November 45. Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) • 197 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [2] Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 8.8 -2.3 72.2 20.4 20.7 28.8 — 46.9 0.6 10.6 26.3 5.4 23.0 28.6 9.3 5.0 24.3 77.0 7.0 10.7 -7.1 7.1 7.4 -2.5 39.6 -14.6 32.4 3.0 8.9 6.7 30.8 20.6 16.3 40.4 — 11.7 22.3 19.0 20.4 41.0 10.5 4.0 13.8 8.4 25.8 75.5 4.2 28.2 1.5 3.8 22.0 0.3 23.4 57.5 39.4 16.0 16.7 0.0 33.5 1.4 27.6 8.8 — 17.3 29.0 9.2 27.0 19.5 15.5 9.6 5.4 -0.3 15.8 26.7 8.6 25.2 8.5 17.1 18.2 10.5 34.3 71.0 34.9 -20.7 20.1 -1.6 52.2 11.3 22.3 42.2 — 41.1 12.2 6.3 21.2 31.6 24.2 7.2 12.7 10.6 30.1 -0.7 6.3 19.6 19.2 8.8 29.4 10.7 69.4 91.3 22.9 -11.1 23.0 14.3 21.3 15.6 29.5 70.9 — 19.6 23.8 4.9 -0.1 34.1 34.1 10.8 12.3 6.6 39.0 73.7 12.0 16.8 5.5 17.9 16.3 16.2 77.0 34.6 49.8 17.8 19.7 8.6 63.3 8.8 22.4 50.6 — 15.4 15.8 4.6 4.0 59.1 14.0 23.3 25.8 11.2 16.6 48.9 8.6 32.9 15.6 10.9 17.3 7.7 76.9 40.4 27.6 36.6 8.8 27.7 11.0 2.6 -3.2 21.0 — 12.4 11.7 20.0 6.5 24.7 12.4 11.2 21.0 12.6 0.0 -5.6 -0.2 15.9 36.6 9.5 1.3 1.4 3.9 34.4 45.3 14.1 5.7 31.4 59.9 -1.3 3.1 29.8 — 10.9 16.9 9.7 -1.0 24.4 6.0 -7.9 27.8 12.5 6.9 28.7 5.3 11.1 4.9 15.0 18.6 -11.7 6.3 26.3 31.9 22.9 9.3 36.7 46.5 -0.4 5.3 17.6 — 9.6 20.7 16.4 0.0 25.8 13.7 4.5 19.3 8.6 21.5 76.9 8.2 13.2 -5.2 14.9 33.2 4.1 12.3 74.6 13.9 39.6 0.6 40.1 53.0 2.8 4.1 52.5 — 14.5 — 19.0 3.1 47.6 15.0 10.5 15.9 8.8 14.2 -3.9 14.3 19.9 37.7 5.6 18.0 4.0 7.1 72.5 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 10.6 19.0 16.7 19.6 17.9 17.3 11.7 11.1 13.9 14.4 — — Mean (B1 to C) 18.1 21.2 17.4 22.6 25.8 25.4 13.2 14.6 20.0 19.9 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 due to reclassification of loans to nonresidents 46. Domestic Credit/GDP • 198 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana [1] Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao [1] Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia [2] Taiwan United Arab Emirates 61.3 21.0 — 70.9 151.0 46.6 74.3 88.7 76.7 53.2 133.6 38.4 35.0 48.6 43.3 148.9 33.4 63.9 23.0 — 68.7 139.6 43.0 74.2 84.6 65.1 44.6 121.5 34.4 33.3 42.7 40.4 152.7 35.7 69.2 20.5 — 66.2 132.7 41.7 74.8 88.3 55.3 47.3 116.2 27.9 35.6 42.7 28.8 159.3 42.7 70.4 21.0 — 62.4 129.9 46.7 73.0 96.4 59.9 43.5 113.0 27.8 40.6 41.7 21.3 160.5 49.0 73.9 23.0 — 69.7 127.8 51.3 75.9 98.4 69.8 49.7 109.3 32.7 46.4 50.7 16.1 155.4 60.2 79.6 25.7 — 72.7 120.5 55.6 80.5 109.4 66.2 55.2 111.1 29.0 56.8 51.6 -3.7 163.7 73.3 88.7 27.3 — 69.8 142.8 60.2 78.1 109.4 90.5 59.4 130.7 40.1 58.6 76.1 0.5 167.0 101.5 89.6 23.7 — 65.7 145.8 62.6 79.8 103.1 72.5 57.6 126.9 37.1 61.1 70.4 -0.1 163.4 96.8 95.7 26.7 — 70.4 147.8 67.7 80.4 102.4 56.9 56.9 128.0 33.1 63.3 70.1 -4.1 172.0 85.7 — 31.5 — 74.4 155.1 68.7 79.2 102.6 50.9 57.0 133.6 36.0 63.7 77.5 -10.3 177.8 81.7 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 57.3 54.2 51.3 54.5 65.0 69.5 77.1 71.4 70.3 74.4 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 70.3 66.7 65.6 66.1 69.4 71.7 81.3 78.5 78.3 78.6 — — Notes: [1] [2] Excludes central government Includes net claims on the government Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 46. Domestic Credit/GDP • 199 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru [3] Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 9.4 69.8 44.7 31.0 28.6 29.9 40.0 130.3 58.0 48.5 14.8 45.1 23.1 94.8 36.9 46.5 88.8 19.4 15.9 27.9 74.4 85.1 130.7 32.4 41.9 74.0 10.9 71.7 47.8 32.2 34.5 30.9 42.7 164.2 59.3 45.4 21.1 54.0 30.4 99.2 33.2 49.6 90.3 17.4 16.8 25.7 73.7 76.2 124.5 31.7 41.4 50.8 11.2 75.4 49.6 36.1 40.2 31.9 43.5 242.4 63.5 43.4 24.7 72.3 42.9 103.8 32.0 55.6 90.3 18.5 20.7 20.8 75.3 83.5 119.2 33.8 47.6 38.4 13.1 83.3 47.0 42.3 40.7 33.9 43.3 304.6 65.8 39.0 32.5 90.1 48.7 102.1 32.9 52.6 90.6 16.9 24.0 21.5 81.1 92.4 109.0 31.6 46.6 31.7 17.2 88.9 56.5 50.0 55.6 34.8 47.4 314.0 66.8 36.2 41.0 89.9 59.6 99.3 33.5 48.5 87.8 20.3 34.7 23.9 86.1 100.6 104.2 32.6 49.7 25.0 16.2 95.6 66.5 56.0 64.3 35.6 53.6 185.9 73.3 33.2 54.2 90.0 64.0 107.9 31.9 43.8 86.1 24.8 40.1 24.4 88.6 100.7 105.4 29.1 51.7 34.8 22.5 103.6 84.7 57.7 69.6 37.2 54.6 182.8 76.6 32.9 54.6 94.4 69.6 105.2 35.9 46.3 83.8 24.4 45.5 34.1 87.6 111.9 110.8 45.4 61.9 29.4 23.0 108.9 80.3 63.7 70.9 39.8 50.6 166.7 76.5 31.6 45.8 89.3 64.1 103.9 35.4 53.4 86.8 24.5 48.5 37.7 84.2 105.5 109.0 43.1 68.0 32.9 19.2 109.3 80.3 71.3 71.3 41.0 53.1 147.7 78.3 32.5 41.4 78.7 57.3 106.4 34.9 51.1 89.7 26.6 49.6 39.7 78.8 102.9 121.2 40.5 66.6 30.3 24.7 106.7 82.0 79.4 71.0 44.0 53.1 143.2 75.3 36.4 41.8 62.9 52.2 114.2 34.0 50.5 89.0 27.8 47.3 42.5 80.4 96.6 129.5 40.2 69.5 31.8 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 43.3 44.0 43.4 44.9 49.8 55.1 59.8 63.9 61.9 58.0 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 51.6 52.9 58.3 62.2 65.5 63.7 67.8 67.1 66.2 66.4 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Series break in 2005 2012 as of November Excludes central government Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 46. Domestic Credit/GDP (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.6 5.6 33.2 83.9 58.1 49.0 51.6 20.0 32.3 57.5 84.0 13.3 68.2 18.3 18.5 57.7 20.9 59.6 5.9 6.7 34.2 89.9 52.9 51.7 51.3 18.9 32.0 58.1 90.7 17.0 67.7 11.7 16.5 55.6 22.7 60.5 5.6 8.8 35.8 92.0 48.9 56.3 52.1 21.5 35.2 62.3 109.7 17.5 72.5 8.6 17.2 49.4 22.1 60.8 8.0 8.1 37.9 93.0 38.4 63.5 50.5 23.7 40.4 68.4 109.1 35.9 77.6 4.9 17.1 47.9 22.7 61.3 10.9 12.1 37.7 94.2 35.2 67.0 50.9 31.1 40.3 75.7 114.3 78.2 90.4 20.1 17.8 45.9 23.6 61.8 13.6 18.6 40.4 108.0 31.6 70.4 49.4 32.7 38.9 80.9 111.0 88.0 97.8 26.6 20.0 47.8 23.9 63.2 22.2 21.4 41.6 111.5 33.1 73.6 48.4 32.9 39.2 81.3 104.6 76.2 100.0 36.7 29.1 49.4 26.2 65.5 22.1 27.7 42.7 — 31.0 79.2 47.5 33.2 38.4 82.1 99.9 67.9 105.2 35.8 30.7 47.9 27.0 70.5 22.0 36.2 47.4 — 32.0 81.5 46.9 34.1 39.1 76.5 106.7 61.8 112.1 37.4 30.0 50.8 26.0 79.4 23.7 44.0 50.0 — 34.5 78.3 44.2 35.0 40.9 68.2 112.3 57.9 114.6 35.8 37.9 50.4 28.4 79.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 41.1 42.7 42.4 39.4 43.1 44.1 45.0 42.7 46.9 44.2 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 41.0 41.3 43.1 44.9 50.4 53.5 55.2 52.3 54.1 55.0 — — Angola [1] Armenia Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan [3] Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 200 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] Excludes central and local governments Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 2012 as of November 46. Domestic Credit/GDP • 201 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [2] Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 46.1 50.3 22.2 56.8 34.7 6.4 — 38.8 15.5 96.6 47.0 18.4 39.1 63.3 39.0 180.9 29.5 15.3 72.2 37.1 24.2 21.3 40.7 56.4 33.1 10.3 51.8 38.3 46.4 45.1 21.2 64.1 35.0 6.7 — 29.4 16.8 98.9 52.5 19.2 38.2 57.6 39.4 180.5 32.0 24.5 65.5 35.6 24.4 20.8 43.3 52.2 31.7 10.2 61.9 35.1 49.9 38.0 21.8 61.5 40.9 7.5 — 30.8 19.1 97.4 62.0 19.0 38.8 56.1 37.4 180.0 31.5 24.8 62.0 38.7 22.2 22.5 43.6 54.7 33.2 12.2 71.2 22.6 55.4 30.4 27.2 62.9 43.1 7.4 — 37.2 19.0 90.3 71.1 21.1 42.9 53.7 36.7 192.5 34.5 21.4 58.5 39.5 23.7 22.9 47.1 54.6 45.7 18.0 75.4 16.7 62.1 28.0 26.9 69.1 48.4 9.7 — 38.8 21.5 78.5 69.6 22.9 50.9 52.7 36.5 182.4 40.2 20.8 56.9 40.6 22.4 24.5 45.0 56.6 61.1 19.3 96.2 16.4 66.0 23.9 32.9 70.4 51.4 15.0 — 38.8 20.6 68.3 68.7 27.9 51.6 57.7 39.9 170.5 39.8 27.5 53.0 45.6 22.6 24.5 42.8 59.7 82.1 19.8 94.5 18.8 68.0 27.5 34.5 73.0 50.2 16.8 — 41.0 23.1 70.4 74.0 28.7 55.2 59.9 43.0 164.4 41.4 30.5 51.0 42.6 29.8 26.6 39.6 63.0 88.6 25.5 123.0 18.8 66.6 28.7 46.1 69.5 58.2 19.7 — 40.1 24.5 66.7 67.8 28.4 53.9 51.1 51.1 172.7 37.2 27.3 48.6 40.6 26.5 28.8 40.5 55.4 79.5 22.4 135.8 19.2 68.9 30.7 37.4 66.9 59.2 23.9 — 39.4 25.6 68.3 62.3 27.5 54.8 49.6 51.3 178.5 39.4 31.3 44.6 37.8 21.7 31.1 46.2 56.6 74.2 29.3 120.8 18.0 67.1 36.6 32.2 64.3 61.4 29.4 — 41.3 — 72.6 60.4 33.1 58.7 50.7 52.0 183.2 42.2 35.9 44.5 39.5 28.0 31.3 47.0 56.8 73.5 41.9 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 38.8 35.6 38.0 39.5 40.6 42.8 42.6 46.1 44.6 45.8 — — Mean (B1 to C) 43.9 44.0 44.4 46.3 48.1 49.4 52.2 52.1 51.7 53.5 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 due to reclassification of loans to nonresidents 47. M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F — 0.5 — 2.5 6.3 2.2 2.1 4.9 5.3 3.2 2.8 2.1 2.9 4.6 6.2 3.8 3.7 — 0.6 — 3.1 4.8 2.5 2.2 4.7 5.4 2.8 2.3 2.2 3.6 4.7 5.6 3.3 3.7 — 0.4 — 3.8 4.3 2.4 2.1 4.8 5.3 2.5 2.5 2.2 3.3 4.9 1.0 3.2 4.2 — 0.5 — 3.7 4.2 3.1 2.4 5.2 4.5 2.3 2.6 2.3 3.7 5.7 0.8 3.1 4.0 — 0.6 — 5.5 3.6 3.7 3.0 5.2 4.3 1.7 2.5 1.7 4.1 4.5 0.7 3.0 2.0 — 0.6 — 3.8 3.6 3.7 2.3 5.6 4.8 1.5 3.0 1.7 3.9 5.3 0.6 3.2 5.8 — 0.7 — 4.2 3.7 3.6 1.9 5.1 4.9 1.4 3.3 1.7 3.6 3.3 0.7 3.1 8.0 — 0.9 — 4.5 3.8 3.6 1.8 5.1 4.9 1.3 3.6 1.8 3.2 2.4 0.7 2.8 6.7 — 0.8 — 3.2 4.2 3.7 1.7 5.1 4.3 1.1 3.2 1.8 2.9 5.4 0.6 2.8 6.2 — 0.8 — 3.8 4.7 3.6 1.9 5.4 4.0 2.8 3.4 2.0 3.0 3.3 0.6 2.9 5.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.6 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 3.5 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.2 — — Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 • 202 • Notes: [1] Foreign assets of Bermuda Monetary Authority 47. M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 203 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.3 8.1 5.2 5.9 1.7 2.6 2.2 8.6 4.3 3.2 1.8 2.1 1.4 3.8 5.3 6.3 10.4 3.0 2.2 1.5 17.9 — 4.4 1.3 1.8 3.3 1.5 6.5 4.8 7.1 1.6 2.9 2.2 8.6 3.8 3.2 1.7 2.2 1.9 4.1 5.4 8.1 18.4 2.6 2.0 1.3 11.4 — 3.9 1.1 2.3 2.9 1.7 8.1 5.0 9.4 1.9 3.2 2.1 10.3 4.2 3.7 2.8 2.4 2.1 4.8 5.5 8.8 10.2 2.6 1.7 1.2 8.3 — 3.8 0.9 3.5 2.6 1.6 11.0 4.0 7.6 2.0 3.7 2.0 4.8 4.0 3.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 4.9 6.1 7.2 11.4 2.5 2.0 1.2 7.3 — 3.7 0.8 3.5 2.9 1.6 12.0 3.6 5.1 1.9 3.6 2.0 7.8 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.0 2.0 4.9 5.7 4.1 9.0 2.0 2.4 1.1 7.0 — 3.2 0.9 4.0 2.5 1.6 10.3 4.7 4.2 2.0 3.4 2.2 3.9 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.0 2.3 5.1 4.9 2.4 8.2 2.2 2.3 1.1 5.6 — 2.6 0.7 4.1 1.9 2.1 7.1 5.4 5.5 2.2 3.8 2.4 3.5 4.9 3.8 2.6 1.6 2.5 4.9 5.4 3.6 8.0 2.4 2.3 1.2 6.6 — 2.4 1.0 4.8 1.9 2.1 6.9 4.4 5.4 2.4 3.7 2.6 2.3 5.3 3.1 2.7 1.5 2.5 4.4 5.1 5.4 10.0 2.2 2.0 1.5 7.1 — 2.4 1.0 4.8 2.4 1.8 6.9 5.1 4.7 2.6 4.0 2.8 1.7 5.5 3.1 3.2 1.7 2.0 4.6 4.2 4.2 13.0 2.3 1.9 1.7 5.5 — 2.6 1.0 4.6 2.1 1.9 7.2 4.6 4.8 2.4 4.4 2.2 2.9 6.0 3.2 3.8 1.5 2.1 4.3 4.4 4.3 14.6 2.0 2.1 1.9 5.3 — 2.9 1.2 4.2 1.7 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 3.2 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.5 2.7 3.1 3.2 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 — — Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [3] Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] 2012 as of November Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2005 47. M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.5 0.5 7.1 4.4 1.0 2.6 3.4 1.6 3.2 3.4 2.5 3.6 2.7 1.4 1.0 2.6 2.5 5.2 2.1 0.7 7.2 6.3 1.0 2.9 3.6 1.3 3.0 3.4 2.7 3.7 2.6 0.7 1.0 2.9 2.5 4.3 1.5 0.7 6.5 7.1 0.9 2.8 3.8 1.4 3.3 2.7 3.3 2.4 2.6 0.6 1.1 2.8 2.8 3.7 0.9 0.7 5.2 7.1 0.7 2.9 4.0 1.2 3.5 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 0.5 1.1 2.9 1.9 2.9 1.0 0.7 5.0 6.5 0.7 3.2 4.0 1.4 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.9 2.9 0.8 1.0 2.5 1.4 2.9 1.1 0.9 4.8 7.5 0.7 3.4 3.5 1.4 3.5 2.3 3.1 5.2 3.2 1.1 1.2 2.3 1.0 2.8 1.9 0.8 4.0 7.1 0.7 3.1 3.2 1.1 3.5 1.8 2.9 4.0 3.6 1.5 1.3 2.2 1.6 2.6 1.5 0.9 4.7 — 0.8 3.1 3.8 1.3 3.5 1.6 2.8 4.0 3.5 2.1 1.4 1.8 4.3 3.1 1.4 1.1 5.4 — 0.8 3.0 4.5 1.3 3.7 1.3 3.3 5.8 4.3 2.2 1.4 1.6 3.5 4.2 1.3 1.3 5.2 — 0.8 3.1 3.5 1.4 3.7 1.6 4.9 5.3 5.4 2.0 1.8 1.7 3.2 3.9 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 — — Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan [2] Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 204 • Notes: [1] [2] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 2012 as of November 47. M2/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (X) (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 205 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.6 3.0 4.6 7.2 2.0 1.0 — 25.9 7.5 4.7 3.2 1.2 2.0 1.7 4.2 3.4 2.1 3.1 3.3 3.8 2.1 2.2 3.4 5.3 2.7 1.6 3.9 3.6 3.4 2.6 5.4 16.0 2.0 1.1 — 10.8 7.8 5.2 3.2 1.3 1.6 1.2 4.7 4.1 2.0 3.6 2.8 4.0 2.0 2.2 4.1 4.1 2.5 1.8 4.5 3.6 3.0 2.4 5.1 10.6 1.9 1.3 — 4.6 5.5 4.8 5.4 1.5 1.6 1.1 3.7 4.2 2.1 2.8 2.7 5.1 2.3 2.4 3.9 4.7 2.0 1.9 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.2 7.7 7.2 1.8 1.5 — 4.6 7.2 4.6 7.0 1.7 1.7 1.2 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.3 2.2 5.3 1.7 2.6 4.4 4.5 2.4 2.8 3.9 2.6 2.9 1.8 2.9 8.8 1.8 1.6 — 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.7 2.4 2.1 1.5 2.6 4.7 1.8 2.6 2.1 5.0 1.5 2.7 3.9 4.3 2.4 4.2 3.3 2.4 2.7 1.8 5.2 6.3 2.0 1.3 — 4.6 4.1 4.4 6.7 3.1 2.2 1.5 3.6 3.4 1.8 3.2 2.0 7.7 1.9 2.7 5.9 4.8 2.2 3.7 3.7 2.3 2.7 1.9 3.1 6.0 2.1 1.4 — 4.2 6.0 5.1 4.3 2.0 2.8 1.4 3.6 2.9 1.8 1.6 1.8 6.7 1.8 2.6 3.5 5.3 2.4 7.5 6.6 2.2 2.4 2.3 5.9 5.8 2.1 1.5 — 4.0 14.4 5.1 3.4 1.7 2.5 1.2 3.7 3.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 5.1 1.6 2.8 2.8 3.7 2.2 12.9 10.9 2.4 2.6 3.1 2.4 5.5 2.3 1.5 — 4.0 14.7 7.6 3.3 1.9 2.7 1.4 4.5 2.9 1.8 2.1 1.8 5.2 1.7 3.1 3.7 4.7 2.8 17.3 10.1 2.4 2.6 4.0 3.6 4.4 2.4 2.0 — 4.9 — 16.6 2.9 2.3 3.1 2.5 4.0 2.8 1.6 1.4 2.0 7.3 2.1 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.3 27.1 — 2.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 3.3 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1 — — Mean (B1 to C) 4.2 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.7 — — Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 48. Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves • 206 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands [2] Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates — 21.5 217.0 282.7 54.4 132.7 287.3 91.7 184.2 19.5 121.2 113.3 338.1 529.9 116.7 30.5 205.7 — 18.8 180.8 278.9 43.1 162.5 294.6 76.0 210.6 15.0 85.5 133.2 376.1 541.4 102.5 33.5 208.4 — 17.5 201.5 273.4 36.2 159.7 280.7 76.9 241.6 21.1 79.0 125.0 328.2 405.1 20.5 34.2 280.1 — 14.4 181.1 251.3 31.8 184.5 301.3 94.5 253.5 34.1 66.7 149.4 368.2 500.9 18.9 32.3 366.1 — 21.6 197.5 320.0 25.5 221.2 317.2 127.4 353.4 42.4 59.7 106.4 372.0 455.2 24.9 35.0 202.4 — 9.6 349.4 278.9 20.0 231.0 205.4 158.3 318.7 45.9 79.7 115.0 415.3 606.6 18.9 31.0 477.6 — 27.7 511.2 301.6 17.9 225.0 155.9 130.3 259.5 59.4 78.6 107.0 381.8 450.7 22.5 23.5 618.4 — 19.8 663.2 320.9 19.3 233.6 153.1 125.4 220.7 71.6 76.8 90.9 367.4 362.1 21.7 26.6 526.0 — 19.5 648.4 246.1 21.8 248.7 141.8 133.7 152.7 52.3 67.4 97.9 357.5 842.6 17.1 31.8 468.3 — 20.7 600.0 296.4 22.3 240.2 126.4 130.5 110.1 122.9 65.4 108.8 363.0 492.3 13.7 30.9 392.2 — 20.0 595.0 284.2 23.7 245.5 116.9 128.6 106.3 91.7 67.0 111.2 347.3 484.8 12.1 31.7 409.3 — 19.0 544.6 291.7 25.5 247.9 111.9 128.0 100.6 62.2 79.1 113.4 343.6 497.3 11.0 31.6 399.1 Median (Aaa to A3) 126.9 147.8 142.4 165.3 162.4 181.9 143.1 139.2 137.7 124.6 114.1 112.7 Mean (Aaa to A3) 171.6 172.5 161.3 178.1 180.1 210.1 210.7 206.2 221.7 196.0 192.2 187.9 Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 Notes: [1] [2] Foreign assets of Bermuda Monetary Authority Central government only 48. Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 207 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 361.9 75.4 380.0 482.0 217.6 373.6 314.8 2164.4 103.9 393.9 541.2 656.3 247.3 67.5 281.7 — 759.2 292.2 280.2 254.2 637.7 — 126.7 188.5 426.4 636.8 339.4 51.9 465.0 419.7 196.4 309.3 304.3 2678.6 98.8 403.7 386.1 703.5 298.1 61.3 264.8 — 1256.2 247.3 200.4 176.7 351.8 — 121.2 130.3 453.8 561.6 401.4 58.5 442.7 353.3 228.9 271.1 285.6 4614.8 95.9 410.4 713.9 680.1 337.6 69.9 237.1 509.4 680.0 209.5 183.5 146.4 266.1 — 117.4 83.0 338.4 447.1 231.4 73.9 436.1 234.1 250.2 273.3 228.0 3187.7 89.8 325.9 417.0 546.0 335.3 61.6 227.2 447.6 679.0 169.7 193.3 106.1 261.4 — 107.4 96.6 343.3 420.8 165.1 74.1 726.4 134.0 260.1 221.7 207.0 4713.4 75.0 258.8 614.2 701.7 398.3 51.9 228.0 225.3 458.7 123.8 232.0 99.5 257.6 105.8 87.4 95.1 342.3 361.3 152.6 79.4 953.9 136.3 309.3 203.3 245.5 3518.9 93.0 315.4 604.0 840.6 516.2 41.9 218.5 146.3 386.0 115.6 274.0 117.0 241.0 85.6 70.3 73.0 400.2 243.0 179.7 93.4 989.5 119.7 338.0 232.0 213.4 795.2 102.5 286.4 559.3 648.9 517.4 67.0 207.2 116.8 410.1 113.4 297.3 115.1 242.2 86.0 56.4 72.8 389.2 235.1 182.6 106.6 783.7 125.4 342.9 245.6 194.0 515.9 111.5 225.5 478.8 557.1 496.4 58.3 215.8 206.6 467.8 104.9 292.0 112.9 294.9 76.5 60.7 99.7 369.3 257.0 117.0 117.6 860.1 117.7 328.7 254.1 227.6 379.9 133.0 217.4 507.9 650.3 402.5 65.0 205.3 233.0 622.0 103.1 301.6 122.1 283.9 57.2 63.3 81.2 396.8 187.9 108.9 174.5 803.0 121.7 285.4 225.2 222.0 588.7 148.1 238.5 634.5 572.5 410.1 61.8 227.1 226.7 641.5 95.7 318.4 133.5 333.9 65.7 78.1 94.7 342.8 161.4 112.5 182.4 834.5 122.8 280.1 194.2 188.9 540.3 161.0 254.7 577.1 461.9 390.8 68.6 234.4 221.2 704.0 91.9 304.8 137.0 357.6 75.0 73.0 101.7 351.0 161.3 105.9 185.4 826.6 123.2 272.4 177.8 189.2 468.9 174.2 259.2 483.6 396.3 358.5 73.1 242.4 239.3 754.0 88.1 294.9 144.2 392.0 75.5 74.1 104.5 359.5 160.2 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 338.3 306.8 285.6 250.2 226.7 229.7 222.7 220.7 222.5 225.9 207.7 214.2 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 427.6 436.7 487.3 389.7 431.5 399.3 287.8 268.6 270.6 281.3 276.2 270.1 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil [3] Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius [6] Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey [7] Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] External debt data is public sector only 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt External debt includes intercompany loans Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2009 External debt includes nonresident deposits 48. Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves • 208 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados [2] Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [4] Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [5] Tunisia — 363.6 704.9 169.4 883.3 303.4 490.1 916.9 237.8 483.4 244.3 — 134.5 489.3 400.2 466.9 404.6 620.4 669.7 349.1 684.3 212.9 768.3 356.4 517.1 469.2 214.3 531.3 247.9 — 105.7 224.4 362.5 473.9 325.6 508.0 319.1 277.0 658.2 226.2 545.2 349.5 565.2 345.6 212.2 462.8 246.3 — 101.8 78.9 284.9 392.6 337.9 416.1 86.1 190.0 557.4 238.2 228.5 340.7 583.2 408.7 225.2 620.6 208.5 203.3 88.9 18.8 224.7 309.3 190.5 278.5 85.7 176.4 408.0 188.5 120.5 366.3 489.0 430.1 238.5 746.8 199.3 191.6 86.2 17.2 150.7 221.4 82.9 261.0 75.5 245.3 346.3 230.4 86.4 449.1 463.1 521.4 224.0 654.4 162.1 353.4 95.4 21.9 151.1 197.2 57.9 236.7 113.8 267.3 291.8 249.4 82.3 450.5 432.9 465.8 205.6 565.1 127.0 452.1 112.3 24.4 113.8 174.2 58.4 208.0 87.4 343.3 199.5 215.2 76.9 451.1 475.8 493.5 194.1 474.7 133.3 315.3 120.8 32.1 129.0 138.3 71.3 244.0 74.0 395.6 216.4 221.8 67.1 422.1 639.1 444.5 218.5 437.7 157.6 611.4 154.5 40.2 126.6 117.1 80.1 323.7 71.2 472.7 227.1 215.4 69.5 412.8 530.1 496.1 224.6 459.2 254.2 553.8 207.2 32.6 135.7 112.8 75.2 321.6 74.9 519.4 209.8 210.3 68.5 404.0 504.8 561.6 229.7 439.4 273.5 567.8 250.8 30.7 141.0 120.0 121.5 311.1 70.8 538.4 223.3 231.6 67.4 410.6 495.5 634.8 239.3 440.0 235.8 388.8 270.2 35.0 150.5 121.2 113.3 302.2 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 435.8 362.5 337.9 226.8 195.5 227.2 206.8 196.8 217.4 225.9 240.2 237.5 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 457.1 413.0 342.3 277.8 247.8 254.0 244.2 233.1 263.8 270.7 279.9 276.0 Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; External debt data is public sector only Public sector debt only from 2010 onward Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only Includes arrears; Public sector only 48. Total External Debt/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 209 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 175.4 1252.5 702.0 985.5 247.7 407.2 — 2700.3 2065.4 216.9 69.0 604.4 377.0 475.9 473.8 161.4 638.1 723.3 1355.5 350.0 445.9 359.5 533.5 417.8 357.4 276.4 234.5 2780.9 149.7 950.7 658.6 2170.4 229.7 377.5 — 916.6 1697.8 221.2 62.4 463.4 307.8 353.3 465.4 198.0 400.2 761.6 848.9 315.3 332.0 295.8 621.1 295.0 323.0 236.8 246.2 2415.2 140.5 500.3 451.2 1485.5 250.4 379.8 — 373.5 1031.9 161.3 98.4 410.0 221.8 304.3 364.1 194.2 347.8 388.0 775.2 347.1 285.5 307.7 504.7 336.5 208.7 191.1 208.5 1003.8 141.1 357.8 640.5 943.3 194.3 306.8 — 388.2 1183.8 139.4 162.1 176.7 150.4 351.1 278.8 192.7 321.0 241.7 516.5 345.8 155.7 141.6 527.0 312.2 249.6 144.6 160.7 336.3 156.9 281.9 316.2 985.8 183.5 155.7 — 352.3 618.4 111.3 95.1 257.8 126.9 559.8 225.6 224.1 248.8 226.7 366.8 302.2 96.5 143.2 499.9 220.0 251.6 237.5 114.1 264.5 199.9 281.6 564.2 613.4 219.2 142.6 — 388.6 473.3 104.1 156.8 321.6 140.8 588.3 266.4 149.6 244.0 389.1 410.2 538.2 102.5 166.7 742.8 252.8 330.1 203.7 127.7 283.8 230.5 269.2 518.7 720.9 250.5 128.4 — 343.0 599.4 107.7 97.9 245.4 175.2 643.1 247.0 123.8 295.2 245.2 400.8 573.9 189.5 204.8 462.6 286.4 405.6 463.3 236.0 300.9 219.5 277.4 992.0 694.8 250.4 121.7 — 357.2 977.0 106.6 79.0 216.0 151.0 653.6 221.0 119.6 278.7 279.1 391.2 475.1 234.2 214.7 374.3 250.8 352.2 1056.3 368.6 300.4 268.4 351.0 625.6 621.4 258.6 129.6 — 378.2 871.9 157.2 77.7 223.4 162.4 729.9 242.6 121.4 277.1 436.6 421.5 448.9 329.0 247.3 476.3 328.2 415.4 1846.4 397.7 255.5 288.3 383.9 650.9 443.9 256.2 144.1 — 469.0 804.7 315.2 66.0 291.1 204.9 1332.6 224.2 121.1 244.4 373.0 451.8 606.1 379.1 259.8 526.2 251.5 596.3 1994.4 227.1 240.2 278.4 416.7 654.0 414.2 257.1 157.0 — 402.3 787.3 426.1 65.9 387.5 193.5 1330.4 227.4 128.3 253.7 471.1 472.2 1061.6 391.2 284.4 552.0 300.0 634.4 2134.4 187.4 333.5 268.7 423.1 814.0 414.3 257.4 171.9 — 392.1 775.0 440.0 66.5 489.0 187.6 1300.0 230.8 134.5 264.4 478.7 481.6 1108.7 392.0 294.2 560.0 320.0 584.7 2317.3 176.7 431.7 Median (B1 to C) 445.9 353.3 347.1 278.8 237.5 266.4 269.2 278.7 329.0 315.2 391.2 414.3 Mean (B1 to C) 718.0 604.2 417.5 335.5 282.3 311.2 324.6 370.8 411.1 449.9 489.0 510.2 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras [3] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua [3] Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal [3] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [4] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Prior to 2009 public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative External debt data is public sector only 49. Debt Service Ratio (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 • 210 • 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.4 1.1 — 27.5 5.9 7.5 15.8 12.3 4.1 — 6.2 6.7 25.0 17.1 1.5 1.8 5.3 0.4 0.9 — 22.5 3.9 7.8 10.8 10.1 2.8 — 4.4 5.9 28.4 14.0 1.4 2.6 4.5 3.2 0.8 — 14.1 2.6 8.9 10.7 7.6 1.3 — 5.2 4.9 26.6 11.6 1.8 4.5 4.7 2.6 0.8 0.7 19.5 1.8 8.5 11.6 7.0 1.2 — 4.6 5.0 22.7 10.9 2.6 3.3 6.0 0.4 0.6 0.6 13.6 1.7 4.6 16.8 6.5 1.8 — 3.6 5.2 25.8 11.3 3.8 2.5 6.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 19.0 1.6 3.6 8.2 7.3 5.3 — 2.4 3.8 22.9 8.6 3.2 3.6 5.1 1.1 0.9 1.3 25.3 2.5 7.0 9.4 7.3 25.3 — 6.1 4.8 29.4 15.0 3.8 1.4 5.6 1.7 1.1 1.8 15.5 1.6 5.4 8.1 6.4 15.0 — 7.3 3.8 24.4 11.9 3.0 1.1 5.3 8.4 0.9 4.8 14.3 1.5 6.9 17.6 6.6 9.3 — 9.6 3.4 21.5 9.7 2.2 2.0 4.4 1.1 0.9 1.3 15.9 1.7 4.0 11.0 6.5 6.7 — 9.6 3.5 22.1 10.5 1.6 1.3 4.4 3.1 0.7 1.3 13.3 1.6 4.4 8.2 6.4 6.5 — 10.7 3.7 21.2 13.3 1.7 1.2 4.5 13.1 0.7 1.2 13.6 1.5 4.8 7.5 6.3 6.4 — 11.8 3.9 20.5 15.8 1.6 1.3 4.9 Median (Aaa to A3) 6.2 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.2 3.7 5.8 5.3 6.7 4.2 4.5 5.6 Mean (Aaa to A3) 9.2 8.0 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.1 9.1 7.1 7.7 6.4 6.4 7.2 Bermuda [1] Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates Notes: [1] Central government only Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 49. Debt Service Ratio (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 211 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.4 12.9 10.5 59.0 11.8 45.1 9.6 56.8 15.9 25.2 38.6 18.7 42.7 6.3 14.0 — 9.9 26.3 14.4 13.1 12.9 7.0 15.7 10.1 37.7 89.2 5.0 3.1 10.6 45.0 19.6 32.3 10.0 59.6 5.9 25.1 39.0 17.6 40.6 6.7 11.9 — 13.1 23.1 13.9 9.1 9.8 7.3 8.4 8.4 32.0 49.0 2.5 3.1 9.6 46.7 39.5 34.8 7.0 68.3 9.7 23.8 39.8 29.8 36.1 8.2 9.7 — 14.6 31.3 16.3 14.4 7.0 7.5 10.6 8.1 33.3 52.9 1.6 2.6 9.6 33.8 25.1 30.0 5.7 81.4 4.7 30.6 33.0 27.1 50.8 6.5 14.8 8.9 20.6 11.8 15.8 13.9 7.7 10.8 10.7 15.8 31.2 23.1 0.7 6.0 13.3 25.9 31.0 20.8 5.6 181.9 4.7 24.6 54.6 24.6 66.3 3.3 8.3 7.0 4.7 25.9 16.2 9.3 6.8 18.9 11.3 10.4 31.2 22.0 0.8 2.9 15.8 15.4 30.9 15.8 9.5 156.3 4.4 26.1 46.6 30.7 60.1 2.8 8.5 7.6 7.0 13.6 22.1 10.7 7.0 17.0 7.7 9.3 28.5 15.9 1.3 19.2 22.8 22.4 39.0 19.9 8.4 27.9 5.8 28.2 68.8 44.3 70.1 2.5 8.7 7.5 4.4 13.2 26.0 16.1 6.3 15.9 7.1 7.9 38.4 19.7 1.3 7.1 19.9 18.9 31.3 19.0 5.9 22.7 4.3 28.5 37.2 41.0 54.0 3.7 7.6 3.6 5.0 18.8 26.6 11.0 4.5 18.0 4.4 4.1 34.1 14.6 4.6 5.1 13.1 17.0 23.9 14.5 8.5 29.6 6.0 39.2 27.7 26.7 40.1 3.1 7.8 7.6 3.5 6.6 22.0 10.1 4.4 14.7 3.3 3.8 26.6 16.0 4.6 4.8 13.9 18.6 21.3 13.0 9.5 19.8 6.5 76.2 28.3 32.6 39.0 3.2 8.3 5.0 3.8 8.3 23.5 17.3 9.4 15.7 3.9 4.3 25.3 13.6 5.8 4.2 13.7 16.7 21.1 11.8 10.7 19.1 6.7 57.6 17.6 23.2 36.1 3.0 7.8 7.6 2.9 9.6 21.9 25.1 7.7 16.7 3.8 9.2 27.4 18.0 5.5 4.8 15.4 15.6 19.8 11.4 11.9 22.3 6.7 45.6 10.3 30.2 33.0 3.4 7.8 7.9 3.0 9.6 20.3 12.9 9.4 16.5 3.6 8.2 25.7 7.8 Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 14.4 13.1 14.6 15.3 14.8 14.5 17.7 16.3 11.6 13.3 12.8 10.9 Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 24.4 20.2 22.6 20.3 24.4 22.0 21.2 17.2 14.8 16.5 15.6 14.2 Azerbaijan Bahamas [1] Bahrain [2] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [3] India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico [5] Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [6] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago [5] Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] External debt data is public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Principal payment is public sector only St. Maarten and Curacao 49. Debt Service Ratio (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 22.7 8.9 8.5 5.5 16.3 18.5 16.4 14.6 5.5 13.3 22.3 — 20.0 5.8 11.6 15.7 8.1 14.2 25.8 6.8 8.5 5.5 15.7 19.5 16.7 11.9 6.1 13.6 13.8 — 11.8 4.3 12.4 12.9 3.5 14.5 11.5 5.1 8.0 5.8 12.1 21.8 15.9 11.6 5.7 14.1 12.9 — 9.6 12.2 10.7 12.6 2.8 12.2 14.7 3.9 8.4 5.7 7.8 32.3 35.9 10.3 6.9 11.0 11.8 4.3 7.0 8.6 7.1 11.4 3.8 16.8 10.0 3.3 7.6 5.3 11.0 30.3 27.6 12.4 6.6 10.8 11.1 11.2 6.7 1.4 5.8 9.7 8.0 12.3 4.4 4.1 7.9 5.9 10.9 25.4 26.0 14.4 5.6 14.8 23.1 6.6 5.7 0.5 4.7 9.2 0.9 7.2 8.8 7.5 6.3 6.5 8.5 40.6 32.0 21.8 5.4 22.5 6.1 8.8 5.1 0.6 5.4 9.8 5.3 10.9 4.4 5.6 5.6 13.8 8.2 36.9 21.4 15.0 4.7 18.9 6.6 10.2 5.5 0.4 4.2 8.3 1.0 9.2 2.5 9.2 4.9 6.1 4.3 32.2 22.5 14.3 6.1 21.1 6.9 9.0 5.0 0.4 3.4 8.9 1.0 10.0 3.2 12.2 6.9 6.2 5.0 77.0 22.3 18.6 5.6 15.3 9.1 7.5 6.2 0.3 6.3 6.7 1.9 10.5 2.5 18.2 6.8 5.8 3.9 52.9 20.3 18.6 4.9 11.0 8.7 8.3 6.9 0.5 3.7 6.8 2.9 8.4 2.0 27.8 6.5 5.4 3.5 42.0 18.6 17.5 4.2 12.3 8.5 8.6 7.5 0.6 3.9 7.0 3.1 7.8 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 14.2 12.4 11.6 8.5 9.9 6.9 8.0 7.4 6.5 6.8 6.9 7.2 Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 13.4 12.0 10.9 11.5 10.6 9.9 11.8 10.0 9.3 12.3 10.6 10.4 Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador Georgia [1] Guatemala Hungary [4] Jordan Montenegro [5] Morocco [6] Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname [6] Tunisia Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 • 212 • Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Debt service derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; External debt data is public sector only Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Foreign currency debt only General government only Public sector only 49. Debt Service Ratio (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 213 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.5 37.3 13.2 27.7 7.6 0.8 — 9.5 82.6 10.1 1.3 9.9 12.0 22.4 12.7 15.3 8.5 27.5 8.3 19.3 19.0 7.9 7.5 6.2 10.4 29.7 6.1 34.7 1.6 28.9 11.3 40.0 6.8 0.7 — 8.6 72.9 9.2 1.2 4.9 10.1 20.4 6.6 15.9 12.2 2.3 5.3 22.9 9.5 10.7 8.6 9.1 9.0 22.8 7.3 9.6 1.6 19.1 12.6 40.2 6.8 0.7 — 7.0 67.2 7.9 1.0 5.3 20.1 22.5 8.0 18.2 9.0 2.2 5.0 10.3 9.1 9.0 4.3 9.4 12.8 11.4 6.5 7.1 1.7 35.5 16.7 22.3 7.1 0.6 — 13.6 64.5 7.3 0.9 3.9 25.4 16.1 5.5 19.9 10.8 1.9 4.9 9.1 10.1 8.5 8.6 9.3 16.2 14.2 5.7 2.8 1.5 11.7 14.4 76.0 6.5 0.5 — 15.6 65.9 5.9 3.4 2.9 18.6 23.5 4.9 19.9 8.6 1.7 7.7 8.7 19.6 3.7 6.9 9.5 15.3 9.2 4.9 2.0 1.7 8.7 17.3 14.0 5.5 0.6 — 15.9 42.9 3.9 3.2 3.2 6.9 19.4 3.8 14.3 11.1 6.4 9.8 8.5 20.3 2.5 10.5 11.1 18.7 10.2 2.9 2.6 2.7 20.4 23.0 14.3 12.6 0.8 — 17.2 67.0 5.5 5.0 2.8 11.6 34.8 3.9 13.7 11.7 11.2 11.9 13.4 12.8 3.0 11.5 13.0 36.9 11.6 2.9 3.1 7.2 16.6 16.8 16.8 19.9 0.8 — 15.7 37.4 4.5 4.3 3.1 5.1 28.0 3.5 12.9 9.0 8.8 11.7 12.1 14.1 3.0 8.8 13.4 34.8 14.5 3.2 1.4 2.9 14.8 13.5 16.9 8.3 0.9 — 15.3 30.4 4.5 10.5 1.9 9.2 36.5 3.2 11.5 8.3 7.6 10.7 8.3 17.5 3.5 8.0 13.4 25.3 15.9 4.6 1.9 3.3 18.5 14.1 9.0 8.8 0.9 — 17.0 31.9 4.4 8.0 3.6 7.7 22.2 3.7 15.3 7.1 10.5 15.9 9.3 22.9 4.9 12.6 13.3 29.9 13.9 3.5 2.3 3.0 17.1 13.3 13.3 8.9 0.8 — 14.3 26.7 4.4 6.9 5.7 6.5 22.9 4.1 16.0 7.0 19.5 12.4 11.0 21.6 5.4 12.5 12.7 34.1 15.8 3.1 2.1 3.0 17.4 12.2 13.6 9.1 0.7 — 15.6 24.5 4.6 5.8 3.1 5.7 24.5 4.5 16.4 6.9 18.9 13.7 11.5 18.1 4.7 12.1 12.3 25.0 18.8 3.1 1.5 Median (B1 to C) 10.4 9.2 9.0 9.1 8.6 8.7 11.7 11.7 9.2 9.3 12.4 12.1 Mean (B1 to C) 16.6 13.6 12.4 12.7 13.7 10.2 14.0 12.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 11.4 Albania Argentina Belarus Belize [1] Bosnia and Herzegovina [2] Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic [3] Ecuador Egypt [4] Fiji Ghana Honduras [5] Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia [6] Nicaragua [5] Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea Senegal [5] Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines [7] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Prior to 2010 public sector only Private sector interest payments estimated by Moody's Interest payment is public sector only Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 2003 reflects settlement of debt owed to Russia External debt data is public sector only 50. External Vulnerability Indicator (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F • 214 • Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands [1] Chile China [2] Czech Republic [2] Israel Korea Kuwait [2] Macao Malaysia [2] Oman [2] Poland [2] Qatar [3] Saudi Arabia [4] Taiwan [2] United Arab Emirates [2] Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 2014F — 1.7 195.7 82.3 39.3 60.0 141.0 62.6 87.4 — 46.4 83.0 107.7 — 64.8 22.4 89.9 — 2.1 14.3 100.1 31.0 73.6 129.2 51.8 111.3 — 33.9 64.5 142.7 228.4 76.5 25.6 100.1 — 2.2 13.1 89.0 26.1 79.0 125.5 39.7 101.0 — 29.5 64.6 156.8 235.6 62.8 29.2 109.7 — 2.0 16.2 115.7 23.1 76.1 123.7 42.1 113.9 — 28.2 52.5 141.0 187.5 11.7 31.4 168.0 — 1.7 16.5 92.8 20.6 62.6 161.8 58.0 111.5 — 22.4 66.1 168.3 252.7 8.1 29.3 241.3 — 1.8 19.4 139.5 16.9 77.6 101.4 73.1 165.7 — 21.5 54.8 167.1 260.9 12.3 34.1 140.4 — 2.0 25.5 133.1 13.4 91.3 69.0 89.8 157.0 — 39.0 62.8 191.5 339.1 6.3 27.9 329.1 — 4.5 25.8 117.9 11.9 73.7 63.7 69.7 96.3 — 43.5 58.1 154.5 229.7 10.1 20.5 420.8 — 5.9 149.8 110.5 14.4 79.9 94.1 63.6 88.5 — 53.2 46.7 139.1 184.7 10.1 23.7 357.8 — 6.2 17.6 94.8 17.0 85.7 78.0 60.7 74.8 — 47.6 50.8 129.7 426.3 6.6 28.8 318.8 — 6.5 16.7 94.1 17.5 71.8 56.6 53.9 67.2 — 47.3 58.6 115.8 265.2 7.8 28.1 266.7 — 6.5 15.0 97.2 18.8 87.4 53.1 51.6 69.1 — 52.4 60.6 122.9 253.3 6.8 28.9 276.1 Median (Aaa to A3) 73.6 73.6 64.6 52.5 62.6 73.1 69.0 63.7 79.9 60.7 56.6 53.1 Mean (Aaa to A3) 77.4 79.0 77.6 75.5 87.6 85.8 105.1 93.4 94.8 96.2 78.3 80.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Central government only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; 2011 reflects payment of loan facility; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year and QIA assets Short-term external debt derived from BIS; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year 50. External Vulnerability Indicator (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating • 215 • Azerbaijan [1] Bahamas [2] Bahrain [3] Brazil Bulgaria [1] Colombia Costa Rica Iceland [4] India [5] Indonesia [1] Kazakhstan [1] Latvia Lithuania [6] Mauritius [7] Mexico [8] Namibia Panama Peru [1] Romania Russia [1] South Africa [1] St. Maarten Thailand [1] Trinidad & Tobago [9] Turkey Uruguay Median (Baa1 to Baa3) Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 38.6 83.7 219.0 167.3 52.1 96.5 138.2 1099.3 70.2 50.9 278.0 419.8 168.9 16.8 78.7 — 34.0 48.0 84.7 94.7 225.1 — 66.6 3.6 145.8 1084.4 39.4 13.7 266.1 118.2 66.2 85.7 128.5 815.1 40.3 54.2 259.7 490.5 147.1 17.2 65.8 — 79.4 50.1 95.3 66.6 211.9 — 46.6 4.0 144.8 338.6 31.8 10.7 272.5 134.1 101.7 97.1 118.6 865.3 42.6 68.6 177.0 551.2 171.9 23.0 53.5 — 197.3 65.7 81.8 57.2 107.5 — 66.2 7.6 181.2 315.1 33.7 8.6 241.9 114.3 96.8 97.3 113.6 1196.3 46.0 63.0 327.5 471.7 255.4 31.6 71.5 318.0 185.9 36.3 88.9 48.1 99.4 — 76.3 1.9 145.3 198.0 24.6 39.0 288.3 67.0 117.7 69.7 94.6 1326.0 41.8 67.6 214.7 316.9 265.8 20.5 48.8 245.9 13.0 61.9 130.8 28.8 101.4 — 72.6 3.8 140.5 216.2 28.5 15.0 758.5 34.0 118.8 49.3 106.8 2032.6 32.2 54.1 277.5 383.4 234.1 18.8 50.0 115.0 34.4 35.2 153.2 31.5 91.5 76.5 58.4 0.9 124.2 188.2 22.2 103.4 956.9 34.3 145.7 50.1 128.6 1373.1 43.7 64.4 226.3 390.6 248.3 8.4 46.4 55.1 7.9 30.5 135.8 30.1 91.3 52.2 42.7 0.7 153.7 144.2 22.0 20.8 695.3 27.5 146.2 45.1 73.6 121.6 45.9 71.1 155.6 254.7 242.4 22.3 54.4 30.8 11.7 36.4 115.9 23.0 70.9 57.7 31.8 3.9 149.0 130.5 28.8 14.2 878.6 33.7 140.9 55.4 80.6 95.4 53.4 52.1 128.0 252.5 224.5 13.7 59.1 72.0 7.6 19.8 117.2 25.9 68.2 49.9 35.4 0.8 163.0 139.7 14.4 11.9 779.7 23.3 130.3 56.3 79.0 43.5 65.3 53.6 133.5 313.1 186.2 14.1 54.4 40.2 62.9 20.1 102.4 36.1 70.1 50.4 35.0 1.1 178.8 91.1 13.9 16.3 812.5 19.6 111.5 48.3 77.7 79.4 73.2 53.1 109.9 283.3 183.4 12.1 58.3 52.4 9.1 20.0 101.7 46.7 79.3 52.4 42.0 1.3 161.8 83.9 14.9 17.6 794.1 24.1 109.6 40.8 69.1 83.9 79.7 54.9 74.5 243.1 159.3 16.7 59.2 53.1 15.0 19.8 93.1 35.1 84.1 51.4 39.4 1.4 164.6 68.7 89.7 82.5 99.4 97.3 72.6 67.4 59.7 56.0 57.3 55.4 55.7 57.1 198.5 151.9 158.3 174.7 160.7 196.3 176.4 102.3 108.1 101.8 100.1 94.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year External debt data is public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year and short-term external debt 2008 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year and short-term external debt Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2004; Excluded total nonresident deposits over one year in 2003 Series break in 2009; Series break in 2005; Excluded total nonresident deposits over one year in 2003 and 2004 Currently maturing long-term external debt is public sector only Excludes short-term external debt; External debt data is public sector only 50. External Vulnerability Indicator • 216 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia [1] Bangladesh [2] Barbados Bolivia [3] Croatia El Salvador [4] Georgia [1] Guatemala Hungary [5] Jordan [4] Montenegro [6] Morocco [7] Nigeria [4] Paraguay Philippines [4] Suriname [4] Tunisia — 26.0 72.5 67.7 298.2 — 151.0 — 63.5 240.2 188.2 — 42.7 47.6 149.9 101.8 37.2 174.9 541.2 87.7 53.3 66.0 154.6 — 139.4 — 65.2 269.8 123.3 — 24.6 63.3 105.9 96.6 26.7 165.6 204.2 76.4 55.5 115.0 116.8 — 149.2 — 53.1 293.5 125.9 — 12.8 53.7 99.7 96.5 24.2 126.0 142.9 54.6 72.5 93.1 62.9 — 257.9 — 45.4 283.9 132.8 — 14.0 29.3 68.6 90.4 40.4 121.0 57.9 36.9 61.9 147.8 44.8 — 187.4 96.0 46.6 310.8 117.1 13.2 17.8 11.4 63.3 59.4 61.9 77.8 25.8 32.5 61.0 90.6 31.0 — 161.6 81.6 43.2 342.5 168.1 61.5 15.5 10.3 46.1 46.7 42.3 69.4 26.5 43.4 41.4 89.0 18.2 206.9 159.4 117.5 40.0 260.5 112.5 145.8 12.6 14.7 52.6 43.3 43.6 69.1 33.2 31.6 32.6 103.9 15.0 192.4 92.7 77.1 37.7 197.7 85.9 238.1 15.7 8.9 29.3 30.2 12.7 62.8 21.9 46.3 25.3 57.2 13.2 234.1 116.0 82.5 40.2 202.0 87.6 45.9 15.1 10.5 36.6 28.7 13.5 77.5 21.8 66.9 37.2 60.7 11.7 193.8 165.6 91.2 38.7 158.8 109.7 152.2 24.1 13.4 53.9 24.0 10.2 103.6 17.7 95.7 40.0 59.4 11.0 173.1 137.9 103.1 36.3 135.6 173.7 141.9 31.8 10.3 53.1 28.7 8.6 100.7 3.6 142.3 39.4 57.7 10.7 170.1 125.6 103.3 36.2 138.2 188.8 147.0 34.4 9.5 55.5 32.7 7.2 92.5 87.1 96.6 99.7 72.5 61.9 46.7 48.1 35.5 43.0 57.3 56.2 56.6 118.7 132.2 106.8 100.6 83.1 78.2 83.2 72.1 64.1 74.3 75.5 77.5 Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Currently maturing long-term debt derived from the Balance of Payments; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; External debt data is public sector only; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Series break in 2003 Currently maturing long-term external debt is general government only; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Public sector only 50. External Vulnerability Indicator (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating • 217 • 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.6 204.7 417.5 75.6 65.1 28.4 — 621.8 1266.2 29.1 6.5 178.2 47.1 78.4 113.6 99.7 231.7 141.8 150.7 75.7 161.6 19.6 — 109.9 278.9 171.6 42.3 85.9 5.3 207.6 455.9 171.4 52.6 27.8 — 719.8 1099.6 27.9 5.3 68.1 48.0 124.9 80.7 73.2 270.4 151.6 137.3 45.1 71.7 21.7 — 119.4 185.8 71.5 47.2 93.8 4.5 166.1 535.5 378.5 54.6 28.6 — 205.9 1047.2 30.3 15.9 57.9 84.0 89.3 78.8 98.1 166.2 94.9 89.1 18.3 64.9 16.9 113.9 85.5 164.4 57.3 53.0 87.5 5.0 175.4 332.5 112.1 87.4 30.9 — 118.5 709.3 24.0 5.5 45.7 100.9 43.0 46.8 91.4 176.6 15.1 89.7 23.0 92.1 18.8 115.9 98.2 96.3 52.6 46.5 59.1 4.5 110.1 480.7 591.3 74.6 19.2 — 126.9 949.2 18.5 27.0 62.3 75.4 73.2 39.6 85.4 147.1 13.1 91.5 18.2 84.7 8.5 119.4 101.2 146.9 47.1 36.2 73.4 4.9 54.2 207.9 55.0 74.3 13.5 — 132.3 405.8 12.2 18.7 71.6 40.3 106.8 37.9 99.8 126.6 32.3 101.5 15.0 67.1 5.3 136.1 95.4 229.2 88.0 26.5 63.8 6.4 70.4 327.4 27.1 69.7 15.2 — 122.1 357.3 15.0 34.9 83.8 53.3 112.4 41.5 69.8 112.6 58.6 95.2 50.3 28.4 5.8 215.8 107.3 221.8 63.5 22.9 73.3 18.3 71.1 242.9 31.5 77.7 10.9 — 82.4 313.2 14.0 35.0 50.6 33.8 63.5 37.3 64.8 128.9 45.4 83.6 46.5 38.2 5.3 134.0 124.2 232.4 104.6 38.0 44.7 7.6 55.5 480.3 38.2 67.7 9.6 — 86.2 594.3 16.1 51.9 57.1 53.1 83.7 33.1 64.8 122.2 36.7 82.2 32.6 46.3 6.1 102.6 85.2 198.3 209.8 77.6 90.0 8.0 73.6 310.4 21.6 78.0 13.0 — 95.8 596.4 22.5 57.2 61.1 42.9 89.4 46.2 69.8 118.4 50.2 96.0 32.3 53.5 10.0 158.1 102.7 257.6 350.1 89.3 26.8 8.0 80.1 257.3 18.6 77.3 12.9 — 110.4 490.2 47.9 28.7 90.9 48.5 182.1 38.1 69.8 103.6 48.9 90.4 52.0 93.7 9.7 180.5 81.9 368.9 386.0 50.6 48.0 7.9 90.8 265.9 18.1 76.5 11.3 — 104.1 458.4 69.3 23.2 97.4 44.0 187.0 40.9 73.6 107.3 62.5 88.3 100.3 96.5 7.2 181.6 91.0 346.6 454.3 37.5 62.8 Median (B1 to C) 104.8 77.0 85.5 87.4 74.6 67.1 69.7 50.6 64.8 69.8 77.3 88.3 Mean (B1 to C) 181.0 168.6 144.0 104.2 134.3 86.0 91.2 80.5 103.3 108.6 113.9 118.7 Albania [1] Argentina Belarus Belize [2] Bosnia and Herzegovina [3] Cambodia [1] Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [4] Fiji [1] Ghana [1] Honduras [5] Jamaica [1] Kenya [1] Lebanon [1] Moldova Mongolia [6] Nicaragua [5] Pakistan [4] Papua New Guinea Senegal [7] Sri Lanka [1] St. Vincent and the Grenadines [8] Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam [1] Zambia [1] B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Prior to 2009 public sector only Short-term external debt derived from BIS for 2011 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative 2003 reflects settlement of debt owed to Russia; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative External debt data is public sector only 51. Liquidity Ratio • 218 • Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 31.1 4.8 11.7 71.9 32.1 53.7 18.8 113.7 25.7 6.2 57.5 22.3 63.4 29.2 24.8 29.3 16.5 23.8 4.0 14.4 67.5 36.1 50.2 13.9 90.7 22.0 7.0 56.1 22.7 35.4 24.3 21.8 39.6 27.3 32.0 3.6 17.1 62.1 44.3 64.0 12.8 109.1 23.1 8.0 82.4 16.5 46.7 26.9 16.8 38.8 31.5 32.0 1.6 16.7 52.3 51.9 65.3 10.0 144.5 20.2 10.0 69.5 16.7 42.9 34.0 11.3 28.2 32.6 46.1 1.2 17.1 64.5 42.7 81.2 9.4 152.7 27.2 11.3 46.1 16.5 56.5 75.4 17.7 22.5 39.9 39.9 5.9 13.1 79.2 43.1 70.9 16.9 172.8 19.3 12.9 86.9 39.3 142.9 96.6 11.1 17.5 56.5 33.7 14.2 17.1 76.5 76.2 65.3 22.2 278.4 32.2 20.0 80.5 39.3 182.0 93.4 19.0 34.3 56.1 34.4 24.4 19.2 77.3 116.2 54.1 43.0 250.0 22.4 30.9 84.8 41.8 149.2 58.5 21.2 66.9 69.6 34.0 26.8 21.2 93.4 128.4 67.5 29.1 180.1 15.0 25.2 93.2 31.1 166.3 61.2 15.3 56.6 74.0 39.5 20.7 29.5 94.7 110.7 54.1 27.1 191.1 17.2 25.4 100.6 23.1 146.1 56.3 17.7 51.8 66.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 29.2 24.3 31.5 32.0 39.9 39.9 39.3 54.1 56.6 51.8 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 36.0 32.7 37.4 37.6 42.8 54.4 67.1 68.5 65.8 63.0 — — Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 51. Liquidity Ratio • 219 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [3] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 9.7 7.5 41.7 46.4 49.7 29.7 67.5 163.8 43.1 105.9 206.9 103.1 239.6 38.0 43.6 39.9 19.1 83.3 110.9 38.8 26.3 — 45.4 47.9 89.7 16.3 9.1 6.9 37.4 42.7 53.6 33.2 57.1 95.1 53.8 153.2 141.9 66.2 140.0 25.2 35.6 31.4 20.0 72.8 157.0 32.1 23.1 — 44.2 41.8 101.6 21.5 11.3 7.7 60.1 54.0 71.5 36.9 44.3 110.8 48.0 136.2 108.3 186.9 193.4 18.2 35.9 61.5 19.0 83.7 208.0 29.7 18.1 — 37.7 29.0 100.1 17.6 29.7 8.1 50.8 66.1 85.5 35.2 42.1 74.9 58.0 172.3 190.1 378.8 194.5 22.0 39.3 47.4 19.7 42.8 609.1 23.3 28.6 — 31.5 20.1 77.9 20.5 44.7 6.0 59.2 77.9 105.7 52.7 39.5 162.4 190.0 222.8 104.4 199.5 136.0 30.8 32.6 34.5 21.1 51.0 577.5 39.6 25.1 — 21.6 10.2 90.1 19.2 107.8 5.2 56.6 74.0 170.4 36.3 51.9 233.8 136.2 198.0 48.3 319.0 251.3 36.1 34.1 83.2 18.2 132.2 960.7 59.1 27.8 — 42.7 12.7 87.4 25.0 88.4 9.5 56.0 115.8 128.4 31.9 49.9 309.7 242.0 155.9 48.5 138.6 207.2 26.6 35.1 30.2 20.4 87.4 571.9 51.4 30.4 — 61.1 12.1 83.9 26.5 59.9 10.1 41.3 118.4 104.1 65.5 57.5 151.1 302.6 255.4 35.5 88.3 155.3 55.2 38.8 14.7 25.4 98.5 647.5 60.6 30.7 — 74.1 11.3 112.1 25.9 97.0 5.9 54.4 125.2 102.3 74.4 69.9 147.9 385.0 314.0 28.4 57.7 95.5 33.9 44.1 16.4 28.7 80.9 746.5 52.9 42.1 72.6 53.8 15.6 175.0 40.6 152.1 13.0 36.9 120.4 90.7 81.2 57.4 49.0 525.7 244.9 22.0 78.9 104.4 42.2 56.8 17.7 30.6 105.5 506.8 55.2 37.2 24.1 69.8 16.7 200.3 48.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 45.4 42.7 48.0 42.8 51.0 59.1 56.0 60.6 63.8 57.1 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 68.6 59.9 69.1 94.7 94.2 128.3 104.8 105.6 113.9 107.2 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Includes wholesale and islamic banks Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 St. Maarten and Curacao 51. Liquidity Ratio • 220 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 16.7 4.0 23.8 10.5 28.0 62.1 296.7 12.2 37.1 174.2 6.2 — 19.2 10.2 66.2 85.4 7.4 21.4 17.1 5.8 30.2 9.1 33.9 63.0 299.8 22.3 39.0 172.5 4.9 — 17.3 11.2 69.4 72.5 3.6 18.8 40.7 7.6 29.1 3.2 20.6 119.2 271.7 17.6 34.5 169.3 5.3 — 16.9 10.4 70.0 76.5 2.5 18.7 25.6 8.7 32.9 8.2 4.4 104.6 52.1 19.8 49.4 193.4 4.6 61.8 15.0 11.6 48.7 48.0 1.7 18.9 24.2 14.5 25.7 3.4 5.6 121.9 43.8 21.6 55.7 235.9 5.9 54.7 16.8 14.4 51.4 42.0 2.8 12.5 13.2 41.2 27.6 5.1 5.4 167.2 47.7 28.6 60.2 252.5 10.9 344.0 19.2 34.3 69.2 36.1 2.1 21.9 22.0 36.6 39.4 4.0 20.3 213.1 73.0 39.4 32.4 177.9 10.0 547.5 27.5 18.0 45.7 53.1 0.9 20.5 15.1 51.0 39.2 6.4 5.3 179.7 80.1 64.0 38.4 161.3 9.7 170.6 27.1 14.7 57.7 72.4 1.3 16.7 9.9 65.2 66.6 8.0 16.6 267.8 73.5 17.7 52.7 149.5 11.2 314.1 56.2 22.6 101.5 60.1 0.6 28.0 9.5 101.0 79.5 3.6 5.4 253.5 77.8 33.4 51.3 223.8 12.4 169.2 58.8 32.1 94.0 59.1 0.6 18.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 21.4 22.3 20.6 22.7 22.9 31.4 34.5 38.8 54.5 55.1 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 51.8 52.4 53.7 39.4 41.8 65.9 76.7 56.2 73.4 71.3 — — Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 51. Liquidity Ratio • 221 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 31.5 46.5 30.3 89.9 4.3 15.2 209.7 65.2 18.6 17.3 28.4 47.8 37.7 45.1 13.7 12.1 9.5 54.9 70.6 11.5 21.5 13.0 29.1 24.1 28.0 10.8 47.1 11.4 54.1 31.6 41.9 89.3 9.6 21.2 182.6 46.3 22.7 13.9 21.4 46.1 34.9 34.4 11.9 14.6 2.3 35.0 54.4 7.5 19.5 8.8 22.0 24.2 24.4 10.2 85.9 12.7 64.1 30.3 49.7 49.7 27.2 18.9 163.8 45.3 19.2 13.4 49.8 53.4 31.7 20.5 8.1 11.9 3.0 13.5 52.8 7.8 31.0 11.6 37.0 19.9 34.0 6.5 76.1 19.1 62.1 36.6 71.7 28.9 27.6 12.1 78.0 23.4 38.1 14.2 5.6 68.2 13.6 38.3 8.0 11.0 33.5 14.0 30.8 11.6 15.3 9.1 50.6 15.2 48.6 7.8 60.1 31.5 67.4 37.4 37.0 33.4 29.6 12.9 74.1 34.7 40.6 22.8 11.3 86.9 17.3 47.4 10.1 13.2 13.6 11.7 49.9 11.1 15.2 21.1 65.9 19.5 78.1 10.1 77.4 40.3 199.6 39.8 60.6 18.2 52.2 29.3 38.0 33.2 30.2 33.5 9.7 104.4 18.8 48.3 10.5 9.3 22.2 118.1 25.9 15.3 1.2 13.9 175.6 13.5 65.8 5.5 138.8 60.9 250.0 36.3 58.5 21.8 91.2 17.4 28.1 30.7 23.4 35.6 34.3 114.5 11.9 32.8 11.0 7.4 17.1 88.1 19.0 16.4 4.2 13.7 102.4 17.7 54.6 5.4 134.4 31.6 156.7 38.1 135.7 21.4 84.1 31.1 15.1 30.9 23.1 42.6 29.4 106.9 13.6 47.5 11.1 8.2 35.6 54.2 21.1 16.0 12.8 13.3 68.5 19.8 35.6 5.6 155.7 69.0 169.5 51.1 46.2 18.9 92.4 42.1 21.1 37.5 20.3 36.3 63.0 126.5 21.0 45.4 15.7 8.1 31.1 132.5 14.8 20.6 4.4 16.1 128.0 17.9 35.8 6.9 232.0 32.0 108.8 39.3 45.3 15.4 80.8 110.2 25.2 37.3 27.1 28.6 7.1 67.6 32.4 37.7 17.3 9.6 15.2 194.8 23.7 49.3 17.0 29.0 137.7 16.2 39.5 7.9 266.2 50.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 28.2 23.4 28.8 28.2 31.5 31.7 29.4 31.0 33.9 34.9 — — Mean (B1 to C) 37.3 35.1 34.6 30.9 35.4 49.7 46.8 46.5 53.1 54.9 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 52. Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks • 222 • (Developing Countries Aaa to A3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Bermuda Botswana Cayman Islands Chile China Czech Republic Israel Korea Kuwait Macao Malaysia Oman Poland Qatar Saudi Arabia Taiwan United Arab Emirates 94.3 19.0 80.2 155.0 68.9 192.1 46.6 191.5 50.8 8.5 180.9 62.7 176.0 101.8 42.7 55.5 29.7 76.5 16.5 88.1 135.6 74.8 210.5 32.4 167.7 46.6 7.3 110.5 77.5 134.5 104.1 42.0 70.3 42.7 92.3 13.7 101.7 124.7 76.9 168.6 33.1 209.0 55.2 8.6 175.3 67.1 162.7 90.1 36.4 70.1 52.4 87.3 12.3 106.1 102.1 83.7 179.6 34.0 265.3 53.1 14.2 134.8 64.7 184.1 111.3 36.6 54.6 67.9 91.6 8.1 101.2 118.8 67.0 232.2 27.0 279.2 70.2 21.4 104.4 90.3 237.3 189.4 43.8 47.9 87.8 128.7 7.9 84.3 162.9 65.0 232.3 33.6 321.9 68.8 28.5 190.0 135.5 519.2 274.7 43.1 42.6 138.0 109.3 12.9 93.4 192.2 87.8 226.6 46.6 469.7 55.2 36.9 183.4 150.9 703.1 260.1 48.5 46.7 125.4 109.4 23.7 96.0 182.6 135.2 203.2 77.6 391.4 44.9 45.6 163.7 130.1 522.4 190.7 51.3 73.3 137.2 113.0 35.7 101.5 162.2 156.8 222.6 65.1 302.5 31.1 36.8 173.7 99.9 499.1 158.1 44.0 78.2 135.8 124.3 36.5 104.9 190.1 142.0 179.9 52.1 313.2 25.5 36.5 182.5 79.6 556.5 149.3 31.8 71.0 119.6 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Aaa to A3) 68.9 76.5 76.9 83.7 90.3 128.7 109.3 130.1 113.0 119.6 — — Mean (Aaa to A3) 91.5 84.6 90.5 93.6 106.9 145.7 167.6 151.7 142.1 140.9 — — Aa3 A2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 A1 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3 A3 A1 A2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa3 Aa2 52. Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks • 223 • (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil Bulgaria Colombia Costa Rica Iceland India [2] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [3] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 21.0 62.4 131.1 144.5 78.2 95.6 156.5 466.2 84.1 232.6 269.7 133.6 367.7 82.5 105.3 101.3 80.1 68.9 185.9 83.0 57.8 — 103.8 112.4 217.9 28.2 31.0 62.5 125.4 144.3 80.2 82.1 123.6 359.4 93.4 291.6 148.2 133.4 237.7 91.1 112.4 113.2 74.7 65.6 220.7 72.1 49.4 — 92.3 101.1 195.0 26.5 49.5 61.8 158.7 172.4 98.4 88.5 117.1 312.6 87.1 256.3 139.8 293.5 318.2 58.6 100.3 152.5 71.3 65.0 260.0 59.5 49.8 — 85.4 76.2 201.4 24.7 66.6 59.4 116.0 187.3 112.5 76.9 74.1 205.9 97.9 312.4 297.0 496.3 475.9 46.4 114.5 268.9 65.7 55.9 430.5 49.6 58.0 — 74.2 54.7 187.4 20.1 64.4 57.9 130.2 234.0 200.4 93.3 93.3 305.2 336.9 365.6 173.2 470.7 543.4 51.5 122.1 212.8 64.7 80.5 649.3 79.5 62.4 — 68.6 40.4 223.8 24.1 277.0 60.7 171.2 243.1 334.2 92.6 120.2 400.6 256.6 315.3 164.2 896.9 1097.6 87.3 112.5 182.3 76.7 166.0 1799.9 137.7 80.3 — 94.3 64.3 219.2 26.9 271.1 70.1 160.5 259.1 276.6 70.3 125.5 525.0 380.6 238.6 133.3 462.5 629.7 91.8 117.9 72.8 90.4 162.3 1238.4 121.0 86.3 — 142.1 80.0 223.2 27.8 166.4 103.5 110.0 289.3 251.1 109.0 143.9 231.5 436.1 363.1 97.5 284.0 522.1 100.6 119.7 58.4 111.4 139.6 1359.2 136.9 82.9 2087.5 195.2 90.3 293.0 41.9 327.3 87.8 148.0 312.6 196.5 126.7 179.3 246.5 582.5 428.9 64.9 231.6 337.0 97.4 113.8 58.4 122.1 135.4 1559.5 130.5 87.1 77.2 169.6 79.9 368.8 50.7 281.4 78.1 88.7 305.2 176.9 131.7 123.2 126.7 786.5 349.3 51.7 231.2 364.0 119.1 142.1 75.1 124.8 151.0 1091.1 117.8 94.3 21.9 199.2 70.3 413.9 48.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 103.8 101.1 98.4 97.9 122.1 166.0 142.1 141.7 141.7 129.2 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 138.8 125.1 134.3 160.2 189.9 299.1 242.3 304.8 243.1 221.7 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Includes wholesale and islamic banks Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Series break in 2011 52. Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks • 224 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh [1] Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 79.4 3.7 35.3 66.8 64.0 117.6 315.6 99.5 78.2 557.1 12.8 — 89.8 29.7 122.5 193.2 6.7 97.4 47.5 5.3 43.1 41.8 66.2 127.6 286.2 88.5 92.1 504.5 9.4 — 78.4 27.9 113.5 165.9 5.5 95.5 76.5 15.9 51.6 44.2 36.5 222.4 326.0 64.6 88.4 513.9 12.0 — 64.8 22.0 120.6 164.1 3.5 82.9 43.0 15.6 39.4 53.5 14.7 244.5 107.0 63.0 98.8 619.1 10.7 321.8 38.7 15.5 62.7 113.9 1.7 62.0 37.9 28.5 37.3 51.1 13.6 284.9 97.2 41.2 98.9 677.6 13.6 126.1 68.4 22.0 67.3 94.2 3.7 57.2 40.4 104.9 35.5 86.3 11.0 479.1 151.5 45.1 120.5 796.1 26.1 688.9 84.1 48.1 63.9 101.6 2.7 101.9 69.5 91.1 39.3 60.5 25.0 479.2 111.5 33.4 89.6 573.4 35.6 664.9 92.4 38.8 45.3 104.5 2.8 89.4 52.3 82.1 33.4 66.6 18.8 443.7 122.8 26.2 99.1 418.7 34.0 621.6 104.6 32.2 63.6 149.9 3.6 59.6 37.5 94.3 59.8 82.5 24.2 592.0 137.1 107.7 132.9 358.6 33.1 825.8 180.2 42.1 87.2 129.2 14.0 68.5 37.8 120.9 62.0 56.7 9.1 562.3 136.0 65.6 127.7 494.8 37.7 420.0 239.7 39.3 82.8 142.4 14.1 75.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 79.4 78.4 64.8 57.7 54.1 85.2 79.5 65.1 90.8 78.9 — — 115.8 105.8 112.3 107.0 101.1 166.0 147.0 135.1 167.0 151.3 — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 52. Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks • 225 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt [1] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [1] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 29.6 94.2 65.0 31.3 27.1 40.5 464.1 131.9 42.7 34.9 20.4 100.7 64.0 58.4 20.9 16.4 28.6 80.4 239.8 30.2 46.7 60.0 74.9 34.2 51.9 49.5 96.1 28.7 38.0 76.3 68.0 32.6 31.9 38.6 343.8 99.4 41.1 33.3 27.5 99.3 65.2 53.2 20.3 20.7 23.5 65.0 182.5 29.3 54.2 63.2 61.2 38.9 59.8 40.7 124.1 31.1 230.9 63.9 54.6 26.2 59.8 40.3 281.5 75.3 42.5 28.4 53.0 91.8 56.7 52.9 14.8 16.9 17.7 29.2 145.0 26.1 91.9 62.0 62.4 26.9 66.9 26.1 117.4 28.8 25.8 65.1 101.6 21.1 56.2 39.1 172.2 40.5 50.4 33.3 91.2 109.2 32.2 72.6 13.5 14.6 51.0 23.2 98.6 31.8 46.6 44.9 79.9 16.1 94.5 23.2 106.2 17.8 47.6 78.9 54.6 21.9 67.6 88.7 159.9 59.5 60.9 41.9 136.9 177.0 38.2 78.6 18.1 18.3 56.6 19.6 86.2 28.8 33.3 54.8 101.1 38.3 140.4 21.0 143.0 37.5 199.4 62.6 104.4 23.6 171.3 102.6 67.8 58.2 39.4 56.1 58.3 176.2 48.4 96.5 17.8 18.5 73.6 160.6 68.2 50.1 39.8 54.5 252.6 36.3 182.2 13.6 344.9 98.5 271.9 50.9 90.9 28.3 232.5 156.2 46.3 61.3 29.0 68.4 197.7 229.0 35.8 109.6 18.8 21.1 50.9 185.7 45.7 41.5 16.5 64.8 148.5 47.1 141.1 13.8 301.0 89.5 162.8 56.1 183.1 26.8 220.1 122.0 33.5 63.8 34.9 74.1 148.0 210.0 37.2 102.6 18.8 17.3 68.7 126.0 28.6 36.4 24.2 66.7 141.8 52.7 100.6 17.0 323.1 68.2 160.7 65.4 64.1 26.8 208.8 140.0 40.4 75.7 30.5 56.5 34.3 215.6 46.8 129.6 23.3 19.8 46.2 357.8 31.3 35.9 39.5 81.7 256.2 53.6 96.5 22.9 340.5 81.3 99.9 52.0 71.1 23.3 180.1 226.2 50.5 84.4 38.8 176.3 123.9 132.2 63.6 120.1 32.2 22.8 32.7 388.5 41.0 224.9 65.3 90.5 241.4 49.8 102.9 26.7 382.4 124.5 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 48.1 47.1 53.8 45.7 55.7 65.2 63.0 67.4 60.3 87.5 — — Mean (B1 to C) 73.7 66.5 67.5 56.1 68.2 95.6 99.8 91.6 99.3 116.7 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 53. "Dollarization" Ratio • 226 • Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil [2] Bulgaria Colombia [3] Costa Rica Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama [5] Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [6] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 81.9 3.3 37.6 0.0 48.3 0.0 46.5 — 3.2 13.1 47.1 38.6 26.6 11.2 5.6 — 100.0 73.9 42.5 35.8 2.7 15.6 0.9 20.3 48.0 91.3 79.9 2.9 40.9 0.0 43.4 0.0 53.3 — 2.9 14.5 43.2 39.2 25.7 14.2 6.6 — 100.0 70.3 41.3 46.4 2.7 15.7 1.0 27.0 43.3 90.0 80.7 4.0 38.4 0.0 44.1 0.0 52.0 — 2.8 17.2 41.9 41.7 26.9 19.5 7.2 — 100.0 68.8 34.6 41.7 2.7 17.6 1.5 22.3 35.4 86.6 61.2 4.1 41.5 0.0 45.3 0.0 49.5 — 2.5 14.8 35.2 41.5 21.4 21.1 6.6 — 100.0 64.6 32.3 22.0 3.3 19.5 1.5 25.8 36.6 84.8 47.0 4.6 44.9 0.0 47.1 0.0 43.9 — 1.8 14.6 32.0 47.6 21.5 22.1 5.8 — 100.0 60.1 32.1 33.8 3.0 16.9 1.2 25.9 33.2 79.8 55.5 4.3 46.8 0.0 48.0 0.0 49.3 — 1.8 16.6 35.4 48.3 26.4 22.7 6.2 — 100.0 58.6 34.8 43.4 3.6 19.9 1.6 29.4 32.2 81.9 53.6 4.9 36.2 0.0 51.3 0.0 50.6 — 1.4 15.7 43.7 55.9 33.0 21.3 6.2 — 100.0 56.1 38.8 36.8 2.6 18.5 1.9 31.6 31.3 78.1 44.0 4.6 32.3 0.0 49.0 0.0 46.6 — 1.3 14.6 34.9 50.3 29.4 16.9 5.7 — 100.0 49.2 36.0 32.0 2.5 20.3 2.2 26.7 27.6 75.3 43.1 4.2 36.9 0.0 45.6 0.0 44.0 — 1.3 13.6 31.4 52.4 27.6 15.7 5.5 — 100.0 49.6 33.5 29.7 2.8 19.0 2.2 24.7 30.2 72.4 39.5 4.4 37.7 0.0 41.2 0.0 40.8 — 1.3 14.4 29.8 53.1 27.7 16.7 5.8 — 100.0 43.9 36.4 28.6 3.5 17.3 1.9 24.5 28.4 72.2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 31.2 33.1 30.7 23.9 28.9 30.8 32.3 28.5 28.7 28.1 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 33.1 33.5 32.8 30.6 29.9 31.9 32.1 29.2 28.6 27.9 — — Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Retail banks only Legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits With restricted exemptions, legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Dollarized economy St. Maarten and Curacao 53. "Dollarization" Ratio • 227 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [1] Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro [2] Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 73.6 70.8 29.8 13.2 82.9 64.6 100.0 86.4 10.3 15.8 40.3 100.0 0.9 9.2 59.7 29.2 54.3 3.0 71.9 74.7 21.9 14.4 76.2 64.0 100.0 73.9 13.2 14.7 41.5 100.0 0.8 10.4 54.1 29.8 56.7 3.0 66.4 63.5 13.1 16.7 67.6 61.4 100.0 70.0 13.2 15.5 37.2 100.0 0.8 9.3 51.3 27.8 55.4 4.5 73.9 52.1 20.4 14.2 55.1 52.8 100.0 67.2 13.4 21.2 38.5 100.0 0.9 9.3 47.7 25.3 55.0 4.9 65.3 35.5 16.3 18.9 49.9 51.9 100.0 62.3 15.4 18.6 36.3 100.0 0.9 9.5 42.5 21.3 54.5 4.7 57.3 43.7 14.2 14.9 38.3 57.0 100.0 72.6 16.3 27.1 28.2 100.0 1.0 11.6 43.9 22.8 56.6 4.8 59.3 69.1 14.2 13.4 41.7 65.6 100.0 68.8 18.7 26.7 23.2 100.0 1.0 15.8 39.8 23.0 52.1 3.3 54.3 63.3 11.5 12.9 34.0 68.2 100.0 67.1 19.8 26.8 23.7 100.0 1.0 15.4 42.1 21.5 49.2 3.9 53.0 60.4 13.3 6.6 27.1 65.3 100.0 58.6 20.0 24.1 22.1 100.0 1.2 17.2 39.1 19.8 54.8 3.6 49.0 62.7 14.6 4.0 27.8 66.7 100.0 60.4 19.9 23.9 30.5 100.0 1.3 20.8 38.5 18.0 51.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 47.3 47.8 44.3 43.1 35.9 33.2 33.2 30.4 25.6 30.5 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 46.9 45.6 43.0 41.8 39.1 39.5 40.9 39.7 38.1 40.6 — — Notes: [1] [2] Dollarized economy Euroized economy Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 53. "Dollarization" Ratio • 228 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 28.3 6.8 54.4 0.0 47.9 95.4 — 28.2 100.0 26.1 — 30.8 31.1 38.1 14.5 60.9 50.1 43.8 69.7 8.0 — — 21.4 3.0 32.0 0.2 30.4 41.1 29.5 11.4 46.5 0.0 48.1 95.8 — 25.6 100.0 26.8 — 29.3 32.6 38.9 18.0 64.9 44.7 46.2 68.9 7.6 — — 23.1 4.2 37.1 0.1 29.8 47.8 33.8 10.0 38.0 0.0 47.3 95.9 — 27.8 100.0 23.6 — 29.2 30.9 39.5 17.2 68.5 41.8 45.0 68.1 7.9 — — 22.0 3.8 34.9 0.2 28.1 39.1 36.4 11.6 34.7 5.3 44.2 97.2 — 26.2 100.0 24.2 — 28.1 29.0 37.8 17.5 72.3 49.1 37.9 65.6 7.3 6.0 — 20.3 6.0 38.1 0.5 24.4 36.2 40.4 12.7 38.2 5.2 48.6 98.0 — 26.1 100.0 23.7 — 22.3 27.9 38.2 16.3 74.0 43.3 32.9 66.2 6.4 12.3 — 20.3 5.4 32.3 0.2 21.4 41.4 40.8 16.9 38.9 3.5 50.7 97.0 — 25.5 100.0 21.4 — 28.4 29.0 38.5 16.8 65.3 41.1 37.3 68.5 7.1 7.8 — 17.9 5.9 43.9 0.1 22.6 37.9 43.1 19.5 49.5 3.4 49.4 96.4 — 24.3 100.0 20.7 — 32.7 29.4 41.6 15.7 59.5 49.3 38.3 72.6 7.0 11.8 — 17.1 5.1 48.3 0.2 21.1 40.4 46.6 20.8 51.4 3.3 48.4 96.8 — 28.0 100.0 17.9 — 25.4 27.2 37.4 15.1 58.3 45.6 35.4 73.4 7.7 9.5 — 15.5 5.3 42.6 0.3 18.0 39.2 46.9 15.1 64.9 4.2 46.7 96.4 — 28.1 100.0 18.7 — 27.4 26.8 37.0 19.0 61.1 42.2 29.8 69.8 7.2 7.6 — 14.3 5.8 43.0 0.2 16.8 39.2 47.3 9.7 61.6 — 46.4 95.7 — 31.4 100.0 18.5 — 31.7 28.9 39.6 16.4 59.6 41.6 32.7 74.3 7.4 6.5 — 13.3 3.9 44.0 0.1 — 25.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 31.0 31.2 32.3 29.0 27.9 29.0 32.7 28.0 28.1 31.7 — — Mean (B1 to C) 35.9 36.5 35.5 34.2 34.2 34.5 35.9 34.8 34.7 36.3 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Dollarized economy Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 54. "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) (Developing Countries Baa1 to Baa3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F • 229 • Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain [1] Brazil [2] Bulgaria Colombia [3] Costa Rica Iceland India [4] Indonesia Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Mauritius Mexico Namibia Panama [5] Peru Romania Russia South Africa St. Maarten [6] Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Turkey Uruguay Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa3 Baa3 2014F 46.0 0.1 62.7 0.0 48.4 0.0 123.3 — 8.1 37.5 38.1 21.1 28.8 6.2 12.0 — — 82.6 70.5 24.9 12.3 — 2.2 22.6 105.8 135.7 83.1 0.1 67.5 0.0 40.0 0.0 149.2 — 6.7 34.2 34.3 21.4 31.8 8.4 13.8 — — 69.7 63.8 21.3 12.7 — 2.2 28.9 104.5 133.3 79.4 0.2 63.3 0.0 46.8 0.0 116.1 — 6.9 41.9 34.5 27.9 34.1 11.2 14.2 — — 69.8 45.6 18.8 11.7 — 3.2 19.8 80.5 118.4 52.7 0.2 47.9 0.0 47.8 0.0 101.8 — 6.1 39.4 24.8 31.5 24.7 9.2 14.0 — — 61.9 52.5 13.2 12.9 — 2.8 20.2 73.2 120.1 36.4 0.2 27.3 0.0 54.8 0.0 86.6 — 3.6 36.5 26.7 31.4 25.8 7.2 12.1 — — 48.3 60.7 28.4 10.2 39.9 1.9 22.7 76.0 110.3 37.9 0.2 31.4 0.0 58.5 0.0 115.9 — 3.7 40.7 36.8 33.7 35.0 11.0 10.3 — — 51.4 64.8 37.8 9.6 39.1 2.4 22.8 68.5 105.3 42.6 0.3 26.7 0.0 69.3 0.0 125.0 — 3.9 39.8 43.9 36.2 40.7 9.0 12.4 — — 53.3 70.0 34.7 9.1 33.5 2.6 32.5 80.8 94.7 33.6 0.3 26.1 0.0 72.7 0.0 121.8 — 3.7 32.9 38.1 30.5 39.2 6.0 10.0 — — 44.9 56.0 34.4 9.4 29.0 2.7 26.9 82.1 92.4 29.9 0.2 34.2 0.0 72.9 0.0 128.7 — 3.5 33.1 37.9 31.1 34.8 5.1 8.3 — — 46.4 52.6 35.3 8.8 33.4 2.7 25.4 82.4 85.0 27.7 0.2 35.8 0.0 61.1 0.0 100.7 — 3.3 37.2 40.9 30.3 37.3 6.3 9.6 — — 36.1 62.2 38.0 11.3 33.5 3.0 — 73.3 83.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Baa1 to Baa3) 26.9 30.4 31.0 24.7 27.3 35.0 34.7 30.5 33.1 34.7 — — Mean (Baa1 to Baa3) 40.4 42.1 38.4 34.4 32.5 35.5 37.4 34.5 34.4 33.2 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Retail banks only Legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits With restricted exemptions, legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Dollarized economy St. Maarten and Curacao 54. "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator • 230 • (Developing Countries Ba1 to Ba3) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Angola Armenia Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia Croatia El Salvador [1] Georgia Guatemala Hungary Jordan Montenegro Morocco Nigeria Paraguay Philippines Suriname Tunisia 69.1 26.5 22.0 26.7 210.6 88.9 260.6 87.9 14.9 33.2 52.2 — 1.9 8.7 74.8 56.9 157.8 12.4 59.8 36.4 16.6 36.1 172.9 87.7 262.8 69.0 19.3 31.4 57.4 — 1.7 6.3 72.5 61.1 171.9 10.8 54.7 35.7 10.3 41.9 113.2 95.5 260.0 74.7 21.2 28.0 55.3 — 1.7 4.6 66.9 51.0 188.0 15.4 42.6 30.5 14.7 34.9 97.8 84.7 289.8 66.8 25.1 36.2 54.4 — 2.0 5.0 57.9 49.2 153.3 12.9 46.4 22.4 9.1 37.2 65.5 89.6 297.9 64.3 28.6 31.5 51.5 — 2.3 6.8 53.0 38.9 122.9 11.6 41.2 32.2 7.8 32.2 47.1 99.9 262.9 66.7 31.1 38.7 45.2 — 2.9 10.8 65.0 40.5 115.1 12.7 79.5 40.5 7.7 35.1 45.5 109.8 268.3 58.0 33.6 32.6 36.5 — 3.3 19.0 52.7 40.7 129.1 8.1 58.2 44.1 5.2 — 41.4 119.3 301.2 62.6 36.6 30.1 37.2 — 3.4 24.3 63.0 34.1 131.5 12.3 52.6 50.3 7.0 — 34.9 119.2 386.2 63.0 39.6 24.3 39.5 — 4.5 28.4 65.8 28.9 132.0 15.8 49.9 64.8 8.7 — 32.6 126.0 312.1 — 39.3 29.0 67.7 — 6.2 30.9 73.3 — 118.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (Ba1 to Ba3) 52.2 57.4 51.0 42.6 38.9 40.5 40.5 39.3 39.6 49.9 — — Mean (Ba1 to Ba3) 70.9 69.0 65.8 62.2 57.6 56.0 68.8 62.8 68.3 73.7 — — Notes: [1] Dollarized economy Ba3 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba3 Ba1 Ba3 Ba1 54. "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator • 231 • (Developing Countries B1 to C) Country Rating 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Albania Argentina Belarus Belize Bosnia and Herzegovina Cambodia Cuba Dominican Republic Ecuador [1] Egypt [2] Fiji Ghana Honduras Jamaica Kenya Lebanon Moldova Mongolia Nicaragua Pakistan [2] Papua New Guinea Senegal Sri Lanka St. Vincent and the Grenadines Ukraine Venezuela Vietnam Zambia 52.6 12.2 6.9 0.0 48.1 56.4 — 202.2 — 102.5 — 35.9 51.0 58.0 39.4 113.9 52.7 64.7 199.9 19.2 — — 46.6 6.5 46.8 0.2 59.2 70.1 54.9 19.2 6.7 0.0 49.8 64.5 — 86.7 — 89.0 — 32.5 45.1 46.0 48.1 118.8 50.5 78.3 167.4 20.3 — — 53.1 7.7 50.2 0.2 68.0 78.5 63.1 16.0 5.9 0.0 51.5 67.8 — 74.2 — 70.1 — 34.8 42.7 46.9 45.7 131.9 48.8 64.8 161.1 24.1 — — 50.4 6.8 42.6 0.3 67.5 62.6 68.7 16.5 6.3 20.4 49.7 77.9 — 66.6 — 65.3 — 37.9 45.1 44.3 43.0 126.5 53.5 44.6 135.0 24.4 2.9 — 55.2 10.6 54.1 0.9 53.0 53.8 90.1 15.1 7.7 21.9 57.2 87.7 — 62.6 — 52.2 — 39.7 52.8 53.5 38.8 129.1 51.2 49.8 129.1 19.5 6.1 — 51.4 9.4 47.9 0.7 48.3 59.5 90.1 19.6 7.5 12.0 64.0 81.7 — 73.8 — 48.5 — 63.1 58.3 59.5 37.5 111.5 49.6 71.4 127.8 30.2 5.3 — 61.6 10.3 53.6 0.4 58.5 55.5 97.7 25.7 11.2 12.1 64.0 90.5 — 69.1 — 62.7 — 51.7 76.4 63.7 41.4 91.4 49.8 45.7 108.0 26.0 7.6 — 40.4 9.9 56.8 1.1 81.5 57.3 101.0 32.6 13.0 11.0 65.8 95.9 — 82.6 — 54.5 — 37.9 64.3 52.1 41.8 92.5 48.1 45.7 102.7 24.0 5.6 — 33.9 9.6 49.6 3.4 95.8 56.7 98.8 31.2 12.3 13.1 67.2 111.1 — 86.9 — 68.2 — 43.6 68.6 54.8 50.5 98.7 47.9 46.4 101.9 23.2 5.8 — 40.0 11.9 60.6 3.8 85.9 54.5 92.7 24.8 16.2 — 69.9 104.3 — 102.2 — 105.9 — 53.5 90.0 85.8 41.9 96.2 40.5 37.0 116.5 31.6 5.9 — 36.2 8.5 81.4 2.4 — 38.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Median (B1 to C) 51.0 50.2 48.8 47.4 50.5 56.9 54.2 48.9 52.5 47.7 — — Mean (B1 to C) 58.5 53.7 51.3 48.2 49.2 52.1 51.7 50.8 53.6 58.2 — — B1 B3 B3 Caa2 B3 B2 Caa1 B1 Caa1 Caa1 B1 B1 B2 Caa3 B1 B1 B3 B1 B3 Caa1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B3 B2 B2 B1 Notes: [1] [2] Dollarized economy Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK V. Country Statistics • 233 • Albania Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 E+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Ba1 B2 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.7 3.1 1,833 5,199 11.5 5.8 3.3 38.7 13.9 33.1 30.4 65.4 -0.61 7.3 3.1 2,338 5,628 8.2 5.7 2.1 33.4 11.0 38.5 26.3 66.4 -0.44 8.2 3.1 2,597 6,102 8.5 5.7 2.0 35.8 11.1 15.9 19.4 70.3 -0.63 9.0 3.2 2,849 6,796 8.3 5.4 2.6 36.2 12.6 20.4 12.7 73.5 -0.45 10.7 3.2 3,376 7,179 9.7 5.9 3.0 36.3 9.6 34.0 34.4 82.9 -0.38 13.0 3.2 4,081 8,179 12.6 7.5 2.2 40.0 10.5 26.9 24.0 85.4 -0.35 12.1 3.2 3,796 8,574 5.7 3.3 3.7 35.7 9.1 -8.0 -11.0 82.3 -0.24 12.0 3.2 3,731 8,631 7.9 3.8 3.3 31.9 8.8 8.6 -2.1 84.8 -0.27 13.0 3.2 4,044 8,866 5.6 3.1 1.7 30.7 7.7 15.1 15.6 90.0 -0.20 12.5 3.2 3,863 — 3.3 1.2 2.4 28.5 7.5 -8.2 -13.6 82.6 — 13.1 3.3 4,033 — 3.6 1.7 2.6 28.4 7.7 7.2 4.9 83.3 — 13.2 3.3 4,019 — 5.5 2.6 2.9 27.2 7.9 1.3 0.0 83.6 — 24.1 28.7 -4.6 -0.3 3.66 56.2 233.4 17.8 28.0 24.5 29.6 -5.0 -1.2 4.36 53.8 219.3 15.4 27.0 25.1 28.5 -3.5 -0.3 4.31 54.8 218.8 12.7 26.7 26.0 29.4 -3.3 -0.5 4.98 53.2 204.4 10.9 25.6 26.0 29.3 -3.3 -0.6 5.91 50.6 194.6 10.2 24.5 26.7 31.8 -5.1 -2.3 6.42 51.8 194.0 10.8 29.0 26.0 33.4 -7.4 -4.3 6.65 55.3 213.0 12.1 35.7 25.7 29.9 -4.2 -0.8 6.44 53.9 209.7 13.0 40.0 25.2 28.7 -3.5 -0.5 6.74 55.2 219.2 11.8 40.6 24.4 27.8 -3.4 -0.3 7.32 57.2 234.5 12.6 41.3 24.9 28.1 -3.2 -0.1 7.62 58.7 235.3 12.6 42.3 24.8 27.8 -3.0 0.2 7.71 58.8 236.9 12.7 43.3 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 234 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 106.58 — -0.41 -7.1 1.60 70.8 13.1 24.4 70.1 0.02 0.02 3.1 — 0.91 0.58 92.64 — -0.36 -4.9 1.87 68.7 12.8 23.2 62.2 0.02 0.03 4.5 — 1.25 0.76 103.58 — -0.57 -7.0 1.95 64.1 11.5 24.8 54.6 0.02 0.03 3.2 — 1.39 0.70 94.14 — -0.67 -7.5 2.48 56.2 20.0 26.4 61.1 0.03 0.04 3.5 — 1.75 0.77 82.89 — -1.15 -10.8 3.29 47.4 22.7 27.9 64.8 0.03 0.05 6.0 -19.4 2.10 0.74 87.91 — -2.02 -15.5 4.61 42.0 24.6 37.5 77.5 0.04 0.06 6.7 -25.2 2.31 0.06 95.81 — -1.85 -15.3 5.14 49.2 13.2 42.5 94.5 0.07 0.08 7.9 -33.2 2.23 0.31 104.00 — -1.35 -11.3 5.24 52.0 10.5 43.8 92.5 0.07 0.34 8.7 -34.0 2.39 0.83 107.54 — -1.59 -12.2 6.21 45.2 17.6 50.6 100.4 0.08 0.10 7.6 — 2.31 1.24 105.85 — -1.31 -10.5 6.98 43.7 21.5 54.5 123.6 0.08 0.11 7.8 — 2.42 1.74 108.15 — -1.27 -9.7 7.30 40.0 21.3 56.2 112.5 0.08 0.11 8.2 — 2.62 — 113.15 — -1.25 -9.5 7.25 41.2 21.5 55.4 106.1 0.08 0.12 7.9 — 2.70 — 12.0 5.25 8.9 46.4 3.4 149.7 1.6 5.3 54.1 38.0 29.5 54.9 8.6 5.00 16.7 49.9 3.0 140.5 1.6 4.5 64.1 230.9 33.8 63.1 11.8 5.50 20.1 55.4 2.9 141.1 1.7 5.0 62.1 25.8 36.4 68.7 6.0 6.25 23.0 62.1 2.9 156.9 1.5 4.5 67.4 47.6 40.4 90.1 9.7 6.25 19.7 66.0 2.7 199.9 1.7 4.9 199.6 199.4 40.8 90.1 4.2 5.25 8.8 68.0 2.7 230.5 2.7 6.4 250.0 271.9 43.1 97.7 4.6 5.00 5.7 66.6 2.4 219.5 7.2 18.3 156.7 162.8 46.6 101.0 7.0 4.75 9.3 68.9 2.6 268.4 2.9 7.6 169.5 160.7 46.9 98.8 3.5 4.00 0.6 67.1 2.6 288.3 3.3 8.0 108.8 99.9 47.3 92.7 — — — — — 278.4 3.0 8.0 — — — — — — — — — 268.7 3.0 7.9 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 235 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [4] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [8] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [9] 9.2 6.50 8.8 46.1 3.6 175.4 1.5 4.6 31.5 29.6 28.3 52.6 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Angola [1] Lead Analyst: Kilbinder Dosanjh Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba3 Ba3 No Banks Rated Other Managed Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba1 Baa3 B1 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 14.0 15.4 905 2,568 109.2 3.4 76.6 13.8 20.3 13.8 24.3 132.6 -1.14 19.8 16.0 1,239 2,837 58.7 11.2 31.0 9.9 25.9 42.1 20.8 123.6 -1.28 30.6 16.5 1,858 3,355 61.6 20.6 18.5 8.8 38.6 76.0 42.4 128.7 -1.17 45.2 17.0 2,655 4,053 35.9 18.6 12.2 15.4 53.1 37.3 7.6 109.9 -1.37 60.4 17.5 3,449 4,962 27.7 23.2 11.8 13.5 43.9 34.1 61.5 117.5 -1.24 84.2 18.0 4,667 5,609 36.2 13.8 13.2 16.2 41.3 43.7 63.9 127.5 -1.07 75.5 18.6 4,069 5,657 -5.2 2.4 14.0 15.2 14.7 -35.5 -3.0 110.3 -0.98 82.5 19.1 4,324 5,729 26.6 3.4 15.3 12.7 32.1 24.1 -15.3 105.3 -1.12 104.1 19.6 5,307 5,920 29.0 3.1 11.4 11.4 34.6 32.2 23.9 107.5 -1.15 118.1 20.3 5,821 — 15.2 7.4 9.0 11.4 31.8 6.7 10.7 102.7 — 129.8 21.0 6,189 — 10.0 9.4 8.0 13.2 31.7 4.4 6.7 98.4 — 143.0 21.7 6,598 — 10.8 7.2 8.0 14.4 31.1 4.3 6.5 93.9 — 37.9 44.3 -6.4 -4.7 — — — 4.6 — 36.9 35.8 1.1 3.4 7.50 37.9 102.8 6.3 92.0 40.7 32.2 8.5 10.5 6.60 21.5 53.0 4.9 81.8 46.4 35.5 10.9 12.4 6.00 13.3 28.6 3.2 75.0 45.8 34.5 11.3 12.4 11.00 18.2 39.7 2.4 51.8 50.9 56.6 -5.6 -3.7 21.40 25.4 49.9 3.8 35.0 34.6 44.2 -9.6 -7.9 20.80 27.6 79.7 5.0 39.7 43.5 38.2 5.3 6.5 22.66 27.5 63.2 2.7 40.6 48.8 38.6 10.2 11.2 21.90 21.0 43.1 2.0 44.3 44.7 36.2 8.5 9.5 22.30 18.9 42.2 2.1 52.0 42.5 40.2 2.3 2.9 27.00 20.8 49.0 1.2 65.9 41.5 37.3 4.2 5.5 29.90 20.9 50.4 3.1 72.6 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 236 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [2] [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 79.08 18.3 -0.72 -5.2 — — — 65.5 — — — 24.9 — 0.63 1.19 85.99 19.8 0.68 3.4 9.20 100.0 — 46.2 65.9 0.44 3.17 7.2 — 1.37 1.26 80.78 24.6 5.14 16.8 10.20 100.0 — 33.4 41.7 0.34 2.48 -3.5 -36.9 3.20 1.62 80.26 6.4 10.69 23.7 7.40 100.0 — 16.4 22.1 0.91 4.03 0.3 -1.7 8.60 2.93 75.02 7.9 10.58 17.5 9.60 100.0 — 15.9 21.2 0.57 3.98 0.0 13.7 11.20 2.42 75.17 -10.7 7.19 8.5 13.50 100.0 — 16.0 20.8 1.27 1.56 5.0 15.7 17.87 2.22 89.40 -12.6 -7.57 -10.0 15.07 100.0 — 20.0 36.2 0.90 2.77 2.9 7.6 13.24 0.02 92.64 5.7 7.42 9.0 16.90 100.0 — 20.5 32.7 0.70 1.57 -2.3 12.9 19.34 -0.40 95.27 -5.4 13.08 12.6 19.30 100.0 — 18.5 28.2 0.30 1.43 -1.3 21.9 26.08 3.51 95.83 — 10.46 8.9 21.80 100.0 — 18.5 29.9 0.30 2.03 -3.7 — 30.60 1.48 95.50 — 9.64 7.4 29.30 100.0 — 22.6 38.5 0.22 1.72 -2.6 — 39.10 — 96.00 — 9.20 6.4 33.70 100.0 — 23.6 42.4 0.15 1.39 -1.7 — 47.60 — 37.0 95.00 66.8 5.9 2.1 669.7 25.8 541.2 17.1 47.5 71.9 59.8 60.5 95.00 54.9 5.6 1.5 319.1 11.5 204.2 40.7 76.5 66.4 54.7 57.3 14.00 93.1 8.0 0.9 86.1 14.7 142.9 25.6 43.0 73.9 42.6 38.6 20.00 74.4 10.9 1.0 85.7 10.0 57.9 24.2 37.9 65.3 46.4 66.2 20.00 70.1 13.6 1.1 75.5 4.4 25.8 13.2 40.4 57.3 41.2 62.6 30.00 55.4 22.2 1.9 113.8 8.8 26.5 22.0 69.5 59.3 79.5 13.2 25.00 25.9 22.1 1.5 87.4 4.4 33.2 15.1 52.3 54.3 58.2 34.4 20.00 28.5 22.0 1.4 74.0 2.5 21.9 9.9 37.5 53.0 52.6 10.3 20.00 24.0 23.7 1.3 71.2 3.2 21.8 9.5 37.8 49.0 49.9 — — — — — 74.9 2.5 17.7 — — — — — — — — — 70.8 2.0 3.6 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 237 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [6] Domestic Credit/GDP [6] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 66.3 150.00 135.0 5.6 3.5 — 22.7 — 16.7 79.4 73.6 69.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Economic forecasts based on an assumed average price for the benchmark Brent crude oil of $106.4/b in 2013 and $104.4/b in 2014, the forward prices indicated by the futures market as of April 14, 2013. Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts Excludes central and local governments (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Argentina Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B3 B3 E+ Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 Ba3 Caa1 Ba3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 129.6 38.0 3,410 8,721 20.3 8.8 3.7 14.1 25.4 16.0 39.8 40.6 -0.01 153.1 38.3 3,994 9,689 19.1 9.0 6.1 18.7 26.1 17.1 47.5 44.1 -0.02 183.2 38.7 4,736 10,833 18.8 9.2 12.3 20.9 26.8 16.7 25.0 44.3 -0.09 214.3 39.0 5,491 12,023 23.0 8.5 9.8 23.0 28.6 15.5 17.2 44.0 -0.03 262.5 39.4 6,667 13,325 24.1 8.7 8.5 24.2 28.5 21.8 29.5 45.0 -0.03 328.5 39.7 8,271 14,413 27.1 6.8 7.2 25.1 28.9 24.4 27.1 45.1 -0.12 308.7 40.1 7,707 14,599 10.9 0.8 7.7 21.2 26.5 -18.0 -27.2 37.4 -0.35 370.3 40.4 9,162 15,910 25.9 9.2 10.9 24.5 27.8 21.9 37.9 40.1 -0.21 448.2 40.8 10,994 17,554 27.7 8.9 9.5 26.2 28.4 21.7 28.5 41.4 -0.16 477.0 41.1 11,601 — 17.5 1.9 10.8 20.9 22.7 -2.0 -4.1 37.7 — 509.6 41.5 12,285 — 23.6 3.0 11.5 20.2 22.0 8.5 12.1 38.9 — 537.9 42.1 12,777 — 26.7 3.0 10.0 23.0 22.1 3.4 4.6 38.3 — 20.5 20.1 0.5 2.3 178.82 138.0 672.8 8.9 75.8 23.5 20.9 2.6 3.9 191.30 124.9 538.5 5.4 75.6 23.8 22.0 1.8 3.7 128.63 70.2 306.3 8.1 51.4 24.2 22.4 1.8 3.5 136.72 63.8 262.4 7.3 52.1 20.2 19.1 1.1 3.2 144.73 55.1 276.0 10.0 52.8 21.2 19.8 1.4 3.1 145.98 44.4 228.7 8.2 52.5 22.7 23.3 -0.6 1.5 147.12 47.7 213.7 9.4 54.1 24.3 24.1 0.2 1.7 164.33 44.4 185.5 6.3 58.8 23.6 25.3 -1.7 0.3 178.96 39.9 176.3 8.2 60.1 25.4 28.0 -2.6 -0.2 182.74 38.3 162.6 9.3 60.0 24.8 27.3 -2.5 -0.5 194.68 38.2 164.6 8.1 61.0 23.8 26.2 -2.4 -0.4 206.30 38.4 179.2 8.5 62.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 238 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [6] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [6] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [6] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [6] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [6] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [6] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.90 9.5 8.14 6.3 164.64 64.3 13.5 127.0 427.8 2.09 6.50 0.7 -0.6 13.14 -6.05 2.96 -2.6 3.21 2.1 171.20 67.7 15.5 111.8 383.1 2.42 4.98 2.3 2.0 18.01 -4.43 3.01 -1.0 5.27 3.0 113.77 57.5 30.6 62.1 216.5 3.02 3.45 2.2 11.6 22.74 -2.65 3.04 -2.7 7.77 3.6 108.84 56.1 26.0 50.8 176.5 4.05 5.04 1.4 10.2 30.42 -2.16 3.13 -1.0 7.35 2.8 124.54 56.8 15.5 47.5 166.9 3.52 5.19 1.9 13.1 44.18 -1.15 3.43 1.9 6.76 2.2 124.92 51.6 16.0 38.0 139.3 3.19 4.65 2.5 17.6 44.36 -0.39 3.78 -3.0 11.00 3.6 115.55 53.5 17.2 37.4 160.4 3.48 11.22 1.1 17.8 42.92 -0.36 3.96 0.6 1.36 0.4 129.33 53.7 10.7 34.9 149.7 3.64 10.69 1.6 12.5 46.62 -0.08 4.28 -2.7 -1.57 -0.4 140.66 52.0 11.9 31.4 134.5 3.56 11.97 1.3 10.9 40.08 -1.07 4.90 6.4 0.48 0.1 141.13 50.5 11.6 29.6 140.1 5.80 12.83 0.3 — 36.76 0.59 5.60 — 2.04 0.4 145.10 52.0 12.9 28.5 126.1 6.50 13.14 0.1 — 36.00 — 7.00 — 1.18 0.2 150.20 53.3 13.5 27.9 125.2 6.90 14.00 0.2 — 35.50 — 21.4 2.61 6.7 45.1 2.6 950.7 28.9 207.6 31.6 76.3 11.4 19.2 21.5 3.76 0.0 38.0 2.4 500.3 19.1 166.1 30.3 63.9 10.0 16.0 20.3 6.42 -1.6 30.4 2.2 357.8 35.5 175.4 36.6 65.1 11.6 16.5 24.5 7.97 14.3 28.0 1.8 281.9 11.7 110.1 37.4 78.9 12.7 15.1 8.1 11.05 8.6 23.9 1.8 281.6 8.7 54.2 39.8 62.6 16.9 19.6 17.0 11.60 27.7 27.5 1.9 269.2 20.4 70.4 36.3 50.9 19.5 25.7 33.1 9.17 31.4 28.7 2.3 277.4 16.6 71.1 38.1 56.1 20.8 32.6 26.0 10.68 36.7 30.7 3.1 351.0 14.8 55.5 51.1 65.4 15.1 31.2 34.8 12.02 40.1 36.6 4.0 383.9 18.5 73.6 39.3 52.0 9.7 24.8 — — — — — 416.7 17.1 80.1 — — — — — — — — — 423.1 17.4 90.8 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 239 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [8] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 29.6 10.16 -2.3 50.3 3.0 1,252.5 37.3 204.7 46.5 94.2 6.8 12.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Official figures Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Series break in 2007 Central government Current Account Receipts Time deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Armenia Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba2 Ba2 E+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa3 Baa1 Ba3 Baa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.8 3.1 917 3,071 19.2 14.0 8.6 24.3 6.5 29.4 26.9 82.2 -0.26 3.6 3.1 1,168 3,486 17.4 10.5 2.0 24.9 7.4 17.8 15.4 75.0 -0.14 4.9 3.1 1,598 4,096 17.6 13.9 -0.2 30.5 14.0 32.7 30.7 72.0 -0.13 6.4 3.1 2,080 4,781 18.4 13.2 5.2 35.9 17.7 5.6 18.3 62.6 -0.21 9.2 3.1 2,995 5,588 18.6 13.7 6.6 37.8 18.2 18.4 43.8 58.3 -0.35 11.7 3.1 3,787 6,096 13.3 6.9 5.2 40.9 18.2 -0.7 31.5 55.7 -0.16 8.6 3.1 2,803 5,292 -12.0 -14.2 6.5 34.7 6.3 -23.7 -21.6 58.5 0.00 9.3 3.1 2,995 5,428 10.1 2.2 9.5 32.9 4.9 44.1 12.8 66.1 -0.15 10.1 3.1 3,271 5,789 9.2 4.7 4.7 27.3 3.4 24.9 14.4 71.1 -0.09 10.0 3.1 3,177 — 5.8 7.2 3.2 23.8 -1.4 3.6 2.1 74.4 — 10.5 3.2 3,329 — 10.5 6.0 4.0 22.2 -0.4 3.3 -0.1 71.0 — 10.7 3.2 3,359 — 10.8 5.5 4.0 22.3 2.5 -0.1 -5.3 67.2 — 21.2 22.4 -1.3 -0.6 1.16 40.3 190.2 3.3 94.4 19.1 20.6 -1.5 -1.0 1.27 32.3 169.2 2.7 92.9 20.1 21.8 -1.7 -1.3 1.21 24.2 120.8 2.2 90.8 20.1 21.4 -1.3 -1.0 1.36 18.7 93.0 1.7 88.4 22.2 23.7 -1.5 -1.2 1.67 16.1 72.6 1.4 86.9 22.5 23.2 -0.7 -0.3 1.91 16.4 72.7 1.4 82.7 22.7 30.2 -7.5 -7.0 3.36 40.4 178.5 2.3 88.2 23.2 28.2 -5.0 -4.1 3.80 39.9 171.5 3.8 86.9 24.0 26.8 -2.8 -1.9 4.13 42.2 175.8 3.9 86.4 24.1 26.2 -2.1 -1.0 4.37 44.1 183.0 4.7 85.6 24.8 27.4 -2.6 -1.4 4.50 42.7 172.5 4.8 87.1 24.4 26.6 -2.2 -1.0 4.70 43.8 179.4 5.0 85.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 240 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 566.00 -9.7 -0.19 -6.7 1.76 62.3 17.6 62.6 133.6 0.02 0.10 4.3 -56.2 0.48 0.08 485.84 5.2 -0.02 -0.5 1.87 63.3 16.4 52.3 94.3 0.02 0.11 6.9 -43.7 0.54 0.12 450.19 11.7 -0.05 -1.1 1.83 60.3 15.4 37.3 73.7 0.02 0.10 4.7 -30.0 0.66 0.05 363.50 8.7 -0.12 -1.8 2.01 60.1 15.3 31.5 68.7 0.04 0.08 7.0 -24.2 1.06 0.04 304.22 14.1 -0.59 -6.4 2.91 49.9 15.8 31.6 80.5 0.03 0.08 7.6 -22.7 1.65 -0.24 306.73 8.7 -1.38 -11.9 3.44 45.9 14.3 29.5 86.3 0.09 0.08 7.9 -29.7 1.40 -0.57 377.89 -7.5 -1.37 -15.8 5.02 61.9 10.0 58.1 170.4 0.10 0.12 8.4 -47.2 1.88 -0.40 363.44 1.3 -1.37 -14.8 6.29 54.7 9.9 67.9 170.9 0.11 0.09 6.1 -61.3 1.83 -0.65 385.77 0.1 -1.12 -11.0 7.39 50.2 11.8 72.9 159.9 0.20 0.23 4.4 -64.4 1.88 -1.15 403.58 -3.5 -1.06 -10.6 7.63 52.5 10.5 76.7 159.1 0.20 0.38 4.8 -68.7 1.77 -1.43 419.66 — -1.00 -9.5 7.98 50.6 10.7 75.8 152.7 0.21 0.74 3.4 — 1.69 — 456.01 — -0.96 -9.0 8.40 48.2 11.0 78.3 150.1 0.22 1.33 4.3 — 1.75 — 32.1 3.75 41.2 6.7 0.7 349.1 6.8 87.7 5.8 5.3 74.7 36.4 18.1 3.50 54.6 8.8 0.7 277.0 5.1 76.4 7.6 15.9 63.5 35.7 24.0 4.75 8.7 8.1 0.7 190.0 3.9 54.6 8.7 15.6 52.1 30.5 33.2 5.75 78.4 12.1 0.7 176.4 3.3 36.9 14.5 28.5 35.5 22.4 7.3 7.25 73.6 18.6 0.9 245.3 4.1 32.5 41.2 104.9 43.7 32.2 35.9 5.00 1.5 21.4 0.8 267.3 7.5 43.4 36.6 91.1 69.1 40.5 14.0 7.25 42.5 27.7 0.9 343.3 5.6 31.6 51.0 82.1 63.3 44.1 28.1 8.00 42.7 36.2 1.1 395.6 9.2 46.3 65.2 94.3 60.4 50.3 23.8 8.00 28.4 44.0 1.3 472.7 12.2 66.9 101.0 120.9 62.7 64.8 — — — — — 519.4 18.2 95.7 — — — — — — — — — 538.4 27.8 142.3 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [7] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 241 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [13] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [14] 15.0 9.00 -10.1 5.6 0.5 363.6 8.9 26.0 4.0 3.7 70.8 26.5 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Central government debt Current Account Receipts Derived from the Balance of Payments Derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts Debt service derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Currently maturing long-term debt derived from the Balance of Payments; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Australia Lead Analyst: Steven A. Hess Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa BFree Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 536.5 19.9 26,964 29,792 5.8 3.3 2.4 5.9 26.5 23.8 10.9 20.9 -1.8 10.6 -2.6 37.5 1.81 654.8 20.1 32,533 31,324 7.6 3.8 2.5 5.4 27.1 24.5 22.9 23.9 4.1 15.0 -2.8 37.9 2.04 733.6 20.4 35,969 32,523 7.9 3.3 2.8 5.1 28.0 26.1 19.8 13.5 3.1 8.6 -1.8 39.4 1.77 779.6 20.7 37,666 34,140 7.8 2.6 3.3 4.8 27.3 26.4 14.7 10.1 3.3 7.2 -1.1 41.6 1.76 944.5 21.0 44,942 36,206 9.0 4.8 2.9 4.4 28.5 26.6 15.9 20.4 3.3 13.0 -1.8 40.6 1.82 1,034.2 21.4 48,364 37,179 9.2 2.4 3.7 4.3 28.9 28.3 26.8 19.8 3.6 11.2 -0.8 45.6 1.78 976.4 21.8 44,831 40,016 1.5 1.5 2.1 5.6 27.4 26.7 -16.4 -17.4 2.3 -8.9 -0.4 40.2 1.75 1,244.8 22.1 56,416 39,125 8.4 2.6 2.8 5.2 26.9 28.1 34.0 24.5 5.3 14.4 1.1 40.7 1.81 1,490.5 22.3 66,768 41,974 6.5 2.4 3.0 5.1 27.4 28.8 24.2 22.9 -0.8 10.5 1.3 42.0 1.74 1,540.7 22.6 68,216 — 3.0 3.6 2.2 5.2 28.9 27.0 -3.4 8.2 6.7 6.8 -1.1 41.6 — 1,582.1 22.9 69,238 — 5.3 2.8 2.5 5.3 29.2 29.6 1.8 5.5 5.6 6.6 -1.8 42.0 — 1,618.1 23.1 69,993 — 5.8 3.0 2.8 5.5 29.1 31.9 3.9 5.1 6.1 6.6 -2.1 42.9 — 35.7 34.8 0.9 1.8 65.71 14.1 39.4 2.6 36.1 35.0 1.2 2.0 75.38 12.3 34.1 2.2 36.5 35.0 1.5 2.2 80.34 11.6 31.8 2.0 36.6 34.6 2.0 2.7 76.75 10.3 28.2 1.9 36.1 34.5 1.6 2.3 81.78 9.6 26.6 1.7 35.7 34.3 1.4 2.0 102.81 9.8 27.4 1.7 33.5 36.9 -3.4 -2.7 129.03 14.0 41.7 2.0 32.5 38.1 -5.5 -4.7 217.21 19.1 58.6 2.7 32.0 36.7 -4.7 -3.7 305.41 22.1 69.0 3.4 33.0 37.2 -4.2 -2.9 383.37 25.2 76.4 4.0 33.5 35.8 -2.4 -0.9 417.60 26.3 78.6 4.5 33.3 34.7 -1.4 0.3 428.05 26.2 78.7 4.9 1.33 11.2 86.1 -28.54 -5.3 -1.7 -51.9 29.97 1.28 9.1 95.4 -39.93 -6.1 4.8 -53.8 33.90 1.36 5.7 100.0 -41.73 -5.7 0.9 -54.2 40.97 1.26 4.2 101.4 -41.32 -5.3 0.7 -56.2 52.82 1.13 6.8 111.5 -58.69 -6.2 3.0 -56.3 24.24 1.44 -0.8 110.0 -45.82 -4.4 1.3 -56.8 29.87 1.12 -8.3 103.4 -42.26 -4.3 1.1 -61.0 33.00 0.98 12.7 121.3 -36.54 -2.9 0.6 -56.1 32.79 0.98 6.6 132.8 -33.43 -2.2 3.4 -57.7 36.00 0.96 1.5 135.9 -56.35 -3.7 2.6 -58.5 37.92 1.02 — — -87.30 -5.5 2.1 — 40.49 1.03 — — -96.63 -6.0 1.8 — 42.73 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 242 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Austria Lead Analyst: Kathrin Muehlbronner Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa D+ Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 254.4 8.1 31,330 31,318 2.0 0.9 1.2 4.3 23.1 26.4 21.0 24.4 1.5 4.5 3.5 93.0 2.02 291.8 8.2 35,710 32,845 4.3 2.6 2.9 5.0 22.8 26.8 22.4 22.3 10.1 9.8 3.8 99.2 1.91 305.3 8.2 37,102 33,626 4.5 2.4 1.6 5.2 22.7 26.6 9.4 9.3 7.4 6.4 4.0 103.7 1.72 325.3 8.3 39,336 36,535 5.6 3.7 1.4 4.7 22.3 27.6 11.5 9.6 7.7 5.2 5.1 107.7 1.82 375.6 8.3 45,246 38,053 5.8 3.7 3.6 4.4 23.1 29.1 20.7 19.7 8.9 7.1 5.7 112.1 1.86 415.8 8.3 49,875 39,783 3.2 1.4 1.3 3.8 22.8 28.6 11.4 11.4 1.4 0.0 5.8 112.8 1.77 384.8 8.4 45,994 38,888 -2.3 -3.8 1.0 4.8 21.0 25.4 -21.8 -21.2 -15.6 -13.3 4.5 95.6 1.72 380.0 8.4 45,293 40,401 3.7 2.1 2.3 4.4 21.6 25.9 6.7 8.2 8.7 8.8 4.2 104.0 1.88 418.5 8.4 49,682 42,172 5.0 2.7 3.2 4.2 23.2 26.8 16.6 19.1 7.2 7.2 3.3 111.3 1.66 398.4 8.4 47,202 — 3.1 0.8 2.8 4.4 22.8 26.8 -4.7 -5.6 1.7 0.8 3.8 110.8 — 419.7 8.5 49,523 — 2.6 0.6 2.1 4.7 22.7 27.2 5.8 5.4 1.1 0.7 4.1 111.2 — 417.1 8.5 48,992 — 3.6 1.8 2.0 4.7 22.3 28.4 1.2 0.4 3.7 2.9 4.5 112.8 — 49.7 51.3 -1.5 1.4 185.48 65.3 131.4 6.2 49.2 53.8 -4.4 -1.6 206.86 64.7 131.5 6.0 48.2 50.0 -1.7 1.2 185.72 64.2 133.2 6.2 47.5 49.1 -1.5 1.2 212.55 62.3 131.3 6.0 47.6 48.6 -0.9 1.9 242.93 60.2 126.5 6.0 48.3 49.3 -0.9 1.7 251.17 63.8 132.1 5.5 48.5 52.6 -4.1 -1.3 275.25 69.2 142.7 5.8 48.1 52.6 -4.5 -1.8 275.37 72.0 149.6 5.5 48.0 50.5 -2.5 0.2 281.91 72.5 150.8 5.4 48.7 51.2 -2.5 0.1 300.07 73.4 150.7 5.3 48.4 50.4 -1.9 0.7 303.48 73.4 151.6 5.4 48.4 49.9 -1.5 1.1 300.68 72.7 150.3 5.4 0.79 3.5 101.2 4.27 1.7 0.0 -14.3 7.14 0.73 1.3 101.2 6.33 2.2 -1.5 -17.3 6.76 0.85 -0.5 100.0 6.65 2.2 -0.1 -21.7 6.30 0.76 -0.8 100.1 9.11 2.8 -1.4 -20.5 6.57 0.68 0.8 100.4 13.18 3.5 -2.0 -18.2 10.26 0.72 0.7 100.9 20.23 4.9 -5.5 -16.9 8.24 0.69 0.8 102.4 10.43 2.7 -0.2 -8.0 4.78 0.75 -2.7 99.7 12.92 3.4 -2.4 -6.1 6.18 0.77 0.4 99.0 5.68 1.4 -3.2 -0.5 7.07 0.76 -1.6 98.3 7.03 1.8 -2.6 0.5 7.97 0.77 — — 9.84 2.4 -1.5 — 8.50 0.80 — — 11.93 2.9 -2.0 — 9.00 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 243 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 Azerbaijan Lead Analyst: Atsi Sheth Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 E+ Stabilized Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 7.4 8.2 898 3,097 17.9 11.2 3.6 53.2 27.6 14.6 52.8 107.6 -0.80 8.8 8.3 1,062 3,478 19.4 10.2 10.4 58.0 31.3 38.6 32.3 121.5 -0.75 13.5 8.4 1,604 4,496 46.8 26.4 5.5 41.5 47.5 96.9 11.0 115.8 -0.68 21.0 8.5 2,473 6,174 49.7 34.5 11.4 29.9 54.4 64.7 14.2 105.3 -0.67 33.0 8.6 3,851 7,855 51.3 25.0 19.5 21.5 56.9 61.4 15.9 96.6 -0.76 48.9 8.8 5,574 8,711 41.5 10.8 15.4 18.7 58.1 42.7 21.7 89.2 -0.75 44.3 8.9 4,950 9,448 -11.3 9.3 0.7 18.9 46.1 -28.8 -10.7 74.7 -0.68 52.9 9.1 5,843 9,873 19.3 5.0 7.9 18.1 49.8 25.6 6.9 75.0 -0.83 66.0 9.2 7,190 10,062 22.6 0.1 5.6 19.1 48.5 29.5 45.2 80.5 -0.79 68.7 9.3 7,390 — 3.7 2.2 -0.3 22.6 50.0 -6.1 1.5 74.3 — 74.7 9.5 7,862 — 7.9 2.9 5.0 22.4 49.7 2.7 3.4 70.4 — 81.8 9.6 8,520 — 9.5 4.0 5.5 22.2 49.3 7.1 3.8 68.2 — 15.0 15.4 -0.4 0.1 1.60 21.7 126.5 1.3 90.4 17.1 17.3 -0.1 0.0 1.78 20.2 116.1 1.3 91.6 16.4 17.1 -0.7 -0.6 1.85 13.3 81.3 0.8 91.0 20.7 20.2 0.5 0.6 2.20 10.2 49.5 0.3 89.3 21.2 21.4 -0.2 -0.1 2.89 8.6 40.6 0.5 88.0 26.8 26.6 0.2 0.3 3.46 6.9 25.8 0.3 86.8 29.0 29.7 -0.7 -0.6 5.23 11.8 40.7 0.3 60.3 26.9 27.7 -0.9 -0.8 5.93 11.1 41.5 0.3 52.7 30.1 29.6 0.6 0.9 6.57 9.9 32.9 1.1 55.0 29.5 29.2 0.3 0.6 7.97 11.6 39.3 1.2 58.9 28.9 28.7 0.2 0.5 8.57 11.5 39.8 1.1 57.8 27.4 27.4 0.0 0.3 9.26 11.3 41.3 1.1 57.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 244 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [5] 4,846.09 4,826.41 4,521.25 Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) -13.5 -1.3 15.6 Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) -2.02 -2.59 0.17 Current Account Balance/GDP -27.3 -29.3 1.2 External Debt (US$ Bil.) 2.84 3.60 4.67 Public External Debt/Total External Debt 50.5 44.6 35.4 Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt 3.6 3.8 4.0 External Debt/GDP 38.4 40.8 34.7 External Debt/CA Receipts [6] 85.2 78.9 51.0 Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) 0.02 0.02 0.03 Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) 0.20 0.21 0.20 Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP 31.8 26.7 3.4 Net International Investment Position/GDP -104.8 -107.2 -69.4 Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) 0.78 1.06 1.16 Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.87 3.7 3.71 17.7 5.75 36.5 9.0 27.4 38.4 0.04 0.21 -6.1 -33.7 2.48 -0.13 0.85 6.9 9.02 27.3 7.04 36.2 14.8 21.3 29.1 0.08 0.09 -15.2 1.9 4.26 -0.78 0.80 28.1 16.45 33.7 9.87 32.2 11.8 20.2 28.8 0.09 0.17 -1.1 25.8 6.47 -1.34 0.80 -5.2 10.17 23.0 9.21 38.0 8.8 20.8 37.3 0.06 0.26 0.3 39.4 5.13 -0.91 0.80 10.6 15.04 28.4 11.27 35.2 7.8 21.3 36.7 0.08 0.32 0.6 54.0 6.17 -1.07 0.79 5.1 17.14 26.0 11.74 46.4 7.6 17.8 29.3 0.95 0.90 1.4 66.1 10.04 -0.89 0.78 -2.9 14.46 21.0 12.03 50.3 7.4 17.5 36.9 0.95 0.55 -1.2 77.8 11.04 -1.44 0.78 — 12.56 16.8 12.70 48.8 7.2 17.0 45.6 0.98 0.65 0.0 — 11.29 — 0.78 — 13.98 17.1 13.09 50.0 7.0 16.0 41.1 1.00 0.76 0.1 — 12.36 — 86.8 9.50 75.4 13.1 1.6 231.4 1.6 33.7 29.7 66.6 61.2 52.7 71.7 12.00 98.5 17.2 1.6 165.1 0.7 24.6 44.7 64.4 47.0 36.4 44.0 8.00 33.7 16.2 1.6 152.6 0.8 28.5 107.8 277.0 55.5 37.9 -0.3 2.00 22.8 22.5 2.1 179.7 1.3 22.2 88.4 271.1 53.6 42.6 24.3 3.00 22.3 23.0 2.1 182.6 1.3 22.0 59.9 166.4 44.0 33.6 32.1 5.25 2.3 19.2 1.8 117.0 4.6 28.8 97.0 327.3 43.1 29.9 20.7 5.00 33.4 24.7 1.9 108.9 4.6 14.4 152.1 281.4 39.5 27.7 — — — — — 112.5 5.8 13.9 — — — — — — — — — 105.9 5.5 14.9 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 245 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] 29.7 7.00 26.1 9.4 1.3 361.9 6.4 38.6 9.7 21.0 81.9 46.0 47.5 7.00 39.4 10.9 1.5 339.4 5.0 39.4 9.1 31.0 79.9 83.1 22.1 9.00 50.0 11.2 1.7 401.4 2.5 31.8 11.3 49.5 80.7 79.4 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Central government revenue Azerbaijan Manat was redenominated in January 2006 at a rate of AZM 5,000 = AZN 1.00 Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bahamas Lead Analyst: Edward Al-Hussainy Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa1 Baa1 No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A2 A1 Baa1 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.9 0.3 22,417 28,989 -0.1 -1.3 2.1 22.1 24.2 -1.1 3.2 81.4 1.19 7.1 0.3 22,522 29,634 2.1 0.9 1.9 21.2 23.2 8.9 9.4 87.1 1.14 7.7 0.3 24,157 31,199 8.6 3.4 1.8 25.3 22.5 10.2 22.6 93.2 1.17 8.0 0.3 24,585 32,537 3.4 2.5 2.2 30.3 19.5 2.2 19.4 100.1 1.14 8.3 0.3 25,286 33,469 4.4 1.4 2.9 28.2 20.9 9.3 1.6 100.7 1.10 8.2 0.3 24,691 32,934 -0.9 -2.3 4.5 24.5 16.8 -2.2 -0.8 100.1 1.15 7.7 0.3 22,832 31,227 -6.4 -4.9 1.6 23.9 14.9 -17.9 -16.3 88.8 1.00 7.8 0.3 22,657 31,215 0.7 0.2 1.5 21.5 13.3 3.6 5.8 92.4 1.07 7.8 0.3 22,442 32,198 0.2 1.6 3.2 24.0 11.5 7.6 12.9 101.9 0.96 8.1 0.4 23,037 — 4.1 1.8 2.3 26.5 13.3 6.6 7.3 104.7 — 8.5 0.4 23,803 — 4.5 2.5 2.0 30.0 17.3 5.8 4.6 105.4 — 8.9 0.4 24,598 — 4.5 2.5 2.0 30.5 18.8 4.0 2.5 104.0 — 13.2 15.8 -2.6 -1.2 1.94 27.9 202.0 11.0 14.9 13.7 16.0 -2.3 -0.7 2.10 29.6 202.4 11.8 13.6 14.2 16.4 -2.2 -0.6 2.24 29.0 205.7 11.1 12.8 15.5 17.3 -1.8 -0.3 2.39 30.0 190.8 9.6 12.3 16.7 19.0 -2.2 -0.7 2.64 31.7 179.4 9.3 11.2 17.6 19.2 -1.6 0.1 2.77 33.5 184.1 9.8 14.0 16.7 21.2 -4.5 -2.6 3.32 43.0 231.8 11.6 21.2 16.7 21.8 -5.2 -2.8 3.72 47.9 263.2 13.8 21.4 21.4 23.5 -2.1 0.6 3.80 48.9 213.8 12.7 21.0 19.2 24.8 -5.6 -3.3 4.39 54.2 256.8 12.1 23.6 16.4 23.4 -7.0 -4.5 4.57 53.9 302.5 14.9 24.0 18.4 24.3 -6.0 -3.5 4.92 55.6 282.6 13.5 24.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 246 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) [1] Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) [1] GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) [1] Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP [1] Gross Domestic Saving/GDP [1] Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Openness of the Economy [1] [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [6] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [7] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [5] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.00 -5.1 -0.47 -6.8 0.36 100.0 — 5.2 13.9 0.03 0.31 2.7 — 0.48 -0.61 1.00 -5.1 -0.31 -4.3 0.35 100.0 — 4.9 11.3 0.03 0.07 3.9 — 0.66 -0.54 1.00 -2.2 -0.70 -9.1 0.34 100.0 — 4.4 10.4 0.03 0.07 7.3 — 0.58 -0.50 1.00 -1.5 -1.40 -17.6 0.33 100.0 — 4.2 10.0 0.04 0.05 8.9 — 0.45 -0.65 1.00 -3.9 -1.32 -15.8 0.34 100.0 — 4.0 9.4 0.04 0.18 8.6 — 0.45 -0.56 1.00 -0.3 -1.22 -14.8 0.44 100.0 — 5.4 12.0 0.04 0.07 10.4 — 0.56 -0.88 1.00 7.3 -0.81 -10.5 0.77 100.0 — 9.9 23.8 0.04 0.58 8.6 — 0.82 -0.66 1.00 -1.8 -0.81 -10.5 0.92 100.0 — 11.8 27.4 0.07 0.17 11.2 — 0.86 -0.74 1.00 -3.4 -1.09 -14.0 1.04 100.0 — 13.4 28.8 0.06 0.12 8.6 — 0.89 -3.72 1.00 3.4 -1.45 -17.9 1.45 100.0 — 17.9 36.8 0.08 0.10 5.5 — 0.83 -0.62 1.00 — -1.47 -17.4 1.55 100.0 — 18.3 37.2 0.04 0.14 8.0 — 0.85 — 1.00 — -1.45 -16.3 1.65 100.0 — 18.6 38.1 0.06 0.15 8.5 — 0.89 — 10.8 5.75 4.8 71.7 6.5 51.9 3.1 13.7 6.9 62.5 2.9 0.1 8.3 5.25 14.3 75.4 8.1 58.5 3.1 10.7 7.7 61.8 4.0 0.2 6.3 5.25 14.2 83.3 11.0 73.9 2.6 8.6 8.1 59.4 4.1 0.2 9.1 5.25 11.4 88.9 12.0 74.1 6.0 39.0 6.0 57.9 4.6 0.2 5.3 5.25 6.6 95.6 10.3 79.4 2.9 15.0 5.2 60.7 4.3 0.2 1.3 5.25 1.4 103.6 7.1 93.4 19.2 103.4 9.5 70.1 4.9 0.3 2.9 5.25 5.9 108.9 6.9 106.6 7.1 20.8 10.1 103.5 4.6 0.3 2.3 4.50 0.5 109.3 6.9 117.6 5.1 14.2 5.9 87.8 4.2 0.2 -0.3 4.50 1.7 106.7 7.2 174.5 4.8 11.9 13.0 78.1 4.4 0.2 — — — — — 182.4 4.2 16.3 — — — — — — — — — 185.4 4.8 17.6 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP [1] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [8] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [8] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [8] External Debt/GDP [9] External Debt/CA Receipts [8] [10] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [8] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [11] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP [1] Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 247 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [12] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP [1] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [13] Debt Service Ratio [14] [15] External Vulnerability Indicator [16] [17] Liquidity Ratio [18] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [19] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [20] 4.2 5.75 0.1 69.8 8.1 75.4 12.9 83.7 7.5 62.4 3.3 0.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] Series break in 2005 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Series break in 2005 Central government Central government; Series break in 2005 Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Public sector only Public sector only; Series break in 2005 Current Account Receipts Public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing Bank discount rate External debt data is public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts External debt data is public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves External debt data is public sector only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year and short-term external debt Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bahrain [1] Lead Analyst: Steffen Dyck Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa1 Baa1 D Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A2 A1 Baa1 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 9.7 0.8 12,747 23,212 14.8 7.2 1.7 20.9 39.1 14.7 10.3 145.5 0.46 11.2 0.8 13,637 25,137 15.3 5.6 2.2 24.9 44.1 29.5 31.7 164.7 0.59 13.5 0.9 15,140 27,723 19.8 7.9 2.6 24.5 47.6 29.6 25.9 176.0 0.40 15.8 1.0 16,501 29,925 17.8 6.7 2.0 24.4 50.3 16.9 12.4 171.7 0.40 18.5 1.0 17,770 32,720 16.5 8.4 3.3 27.0 52.4 10.5 9.2 162.1 0.42 22.1 1.1 20,069 34,859 19.9 6.3 3.5 33.9 56.3 22.6 28.9 169.3 0.41 19.3 1.2 16,367 27,220 -12.9 3.2 2.8 27.3 48.7 -26.0 -30.2 140.3 0.60 21.5 1.2 17,491 27,129 11.4 4.7 2.0 31.0 49.9 13.9 15.3 144.1 0.59 25.9 1.2 21,645 27,735 20.4 2.1 -0.4 24.7 60.5 28.3 6.0 142.4 0.65 27.0 1.3 21,157 — 4.7 3.9 1.2 26.5 58.5 -0.8 3.1 137.2 — 29.1 1.3 22,359 — 7.5 5.3 2.6 26.0 59.3 7.3 3.6 134.8 — 30.3 1.3 22,796 — 4.0 3.3 2.1 26.0 57.2 0.4 3.7 131.7 — 31.3 33.3 -2.0 -0.7 3.59 36.9 117.9 4.3 56.4 30.8 30.5 0.3 1.4 3.87 34.4 111.8 3.5 59.7 33.0 29.6 3.5 4.7 3.86 28.7 86.9 3.7 56.8 30.9 28.2 2.7 4.0 3.75 23.6 76.6 4.0 51.8 29.3 27.5 1.9 2.8 3.55 19.2 65.5 3.2 53.8 32.4 27.4 4.9 5.6 3.23 14.6 45.0 2.0 41.9 23.8 30.5 -6.6 -6.0 4.90 25.4 106.5 2.9 26.8 27.2 34.2 -7.0 -5.9 7.64 35.5 130.8 4.1 15.0 29.2 30.9 -1.7 -0.5 9.44 36.5 124.8 3.9 10.7 27.9 34.9 -7.0 -5.5 12.42 45.8 164.2 5.2 17.1 29.3 34.9 -5.6 -4.1 14.05 48.2 164.7 5.2 24.6 29.6 35.2 -5.6 -4.0 15.75 52.0 175.5 5.5 28.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 248 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [2] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.38 -7.9 0.20 2.1 5.42 37.4 42.1 55.7 58.7 0.10 0.87 -2.3 53.3 1.43 1.77 0.38 -8.7 0.47 4.2 7.36 31.3 46.0 65.6 57.2 0.18 1.19 -1.5 53.3 1.58 1.38 0.38 -5.8 1.47 11.0 8.30 26.5 46.9 61.7 45.1 0.37 1.40 -0.6 58.3 1.88 1.84 0.38 2.2 2.19 13.8 11.75 16.5 55.3 74.2 50.4 0.63 1.61 12.2 64.2 2.69 3.23 0.38 -6.4 2.91 15.7 29.82 6.4 69.5 161.5 107.7 1.30 2.39 0.5 71.3 4.11 5.56 0.38 -8.2 2.26 10.2 36.31 3.7 73.4 164.0 128.2 1.34 3.13 0.8 69.8 3.81 3.34 0.38 4.5 0.56 2.9 34.96 3.8 72.8 181.3 201.1 0.76 3.20 10.6 83.1 3.53 2.01 0.38 -2.5 0.77 3.6 37.48 3.1 72.5 174.4 193.7 0.55 3.31 -0.8 78.9 4.78 0.58 0.38 -7.0 3.25 12.6 36.46 2.8 73.3 140.9 122.5 0.56 3.34 -0.4 79.0 4.24 0.00 0.38 1.5 2.17 8.0 39.33 5.4 71.6 145.5 132.9 0.63 3.47 -4.1 — 4.90 -0.48 0.38 — 2.68 9.2 40.89 8.5 68.6 140.4 130.8 0.64 3.64 -3.4 — 4.90 — 0.38 — 1.74 5.7 42.15 10.7 66.8 139.1 134.4 0.91 3.93 -3.3 — 5.10 — 4.1 1.60 23.2 47.8 4.8 465.0 10.6 266.1 37.4 125.4 40.9 67.5 22.0 3.60 24.4 49.6 5.0 442.7 9.6 272.5 60.1 158.7 38.4 63.3 14.9 5.00 11.6 47.0 4.0 436.1 9.6 241.9 50.8 116.0 41.5 47.9 39.3 4.90 39.9 56.5 3.6 726.4 13.3 288.3 59.2 130.2 44.9 27.3 19.7 2.50 41.3 66.5 4.7 953.9 15.8 758.5 56.6 171.2 46.8 31.4 5.8 1.10 10.9 84.7 5.4 989.5 22.8 956.9 56.0 160.5 36.2 26.7 10.5 0.80 5.7 80.3 4.4 783.7 19.9 695.3 41.3 110.0 32.3 26.1 3.4 1.00 20.4 80.3 5.1 860.1 13.1 878.6 54.4 148.0 36.9 34.2 4.8 1.10 7.0 82.0 4.6 803.0 13.9 779.7 36.9 88.7 37.7 35.8 — — — — — 834.5 13.7 812.5 — — — — — — — — — 826.6 15.4 794.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [5] External Debt/GDP [5] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) [7] MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 249 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) [8] Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [9] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [8] Domestic Credit/GDP [8] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [8] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [5] Debt Service Ratio [5] [10] External Vulnerability Indicator [11] [12] Liquidity Ratio [13] [14] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks [14] "Dollarization" Ratio [15] [16] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [16] [17] 6.4 1.10 12.0 44.7 5.2 380.0 10.5 219.0 41.7 131.1 37.6 62.7 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] Economic forecasts based on an assumed average price for the benchmark Brent crude oil of $106.4/b in 2013 and $104.4/b in 2014, the forward prices indicated by the futures market as of April 14, 2013 Annual average Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions 2007 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt Current Account Receipts Only "retail" (previously "onshore") banks 2012 as of November T-bill rate; 2012 as of November (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves 2008 increase due to conversion of some "wholesale" (previously "offshore") banks to "retail" (previously "onshore") banks. As per our treatment of other offshore financial centres, only foreign liabilities of onshore banks included in external debt; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year and short-term external debt. Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Includes wholesale and islamic banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Retail banks only Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bangladesh Lead Analyst: Anushka Shah Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba3 Ba3 No Banks Rated Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Baa3 B1 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 51.9 136.5 380 1,003 10.0 5.3 5.0 23.4 18.6 8.7 14.8 34.2 -0.71 56.5 138.6 408 1,079 10.8 6.3 5.6 24.0 19.5 18.4 13.0 36.3 -0.78 60.4 140.6 430 1,165 11.3 6.0 7.4 24.5 20.0 14.6 18.4 39.6 -0.86 62.0 142.4 435 1,266 12.1 6.6 7.5 24.7 20.2 17.4 12.4 44.2 -0.76 68.4 144.0 475 1,371 13.7 6.4 9.2 24.5 20.4 15.1 16.8 46.5 -0.68 79.6 145.5 547 1,472 15.5 6.2 10.0 24.2 20.3 19.6 25.2 49.1 -0.70 89.4 147.0 608 1,561 12.6 5.7 2.2 24.4 20.1 7.3 3.7 46.0 -0.88 100.4 148.7 675 1,649 12.9 6.1 8.7 24.4 20.1 6.4 5.8 43.4 -0.84 111.9 150.5 744 1,777 14.7 6.7 10.2 25.2 19.3 38.8 40.9 54.5 -0.85 115.6 152.0 761 — 14.8 6.3 8.6 25.4 19.4 12.8 15.4 60.3 — 128.5 153.7 836 — 13.3 5.9 7.5 25.8 19.6 9.8 9.3 59.5 — 147.5 154.7 954 — 13.6 6.1 7.8 26.3 19.0 13.3 15.8 59.4 — 11.2 14.6 -3.4 -1.6 25.44 49.0 438.7 16.6 66.7 11.4 14.8 -3.4 -1.6 27.23 48.2 421.7 15.3 66.0 11.3 15.0 -3.7 -2.0 28.32 46.9 415.5 15.5 65.0 11.4 14.7 -3.3 -1.5 28.94 46.7 410.1 15.9 64.5 10.9 14.1 -3.2 -1.3 30.66 44.8 410.1 17.7 62.9 11.9 17.2 -5.3 -3.1 35.79 45.0 378.1 18.4 56.7 10.8 14.3 -3.6 -1.4 38.71 43.3 402.1 20.1 53.8 11.4 14.6 -3.2 -1.1 39.40 39.3 344.5 18.8 51.7 11.9 16.1 -4.2 -2.2 43.80 39.1 327.9 16.4 49.0 13.0 17.6 -4.6 -2.4 45.19 39.1 299.5 16.6 47.9 13.7 18.5 -4.7 -2.5 51.36 40.0 290.8 16.4 53.1 14.0 18.3 -4.2 -2.0 60.15 40.8 290.9 16.4 52.1 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 250 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) [1] Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) [1] GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) [1] Real GDP (% change) [1] Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP [1] Gross Domestic Saving/GDP [1] Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [1] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [1] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [1] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [1] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 57.90 — 0.18 0.3 17.41 99.1 2.6 33.5 160.0 0.17 0.45 0.7 — 2.47 0.01 60.43 — 0.18 0.3 18.51 99.0 3.0 32.8 151.1 0.19 0.42 0.5 — 2.70 0.04 63.75 — -0.56 -0.9 19.29 99.0 4.5 31.9 136.2 0.20 0.47 1.3 — 2.93 0.14 69.67 — 0.82 1.3 19.42 99.0 4.2 31.3 112.1 0.20 0.50 1.2 — 3.48 -0.04 68.80 — 0.94 1.4 20.71 98.9 6.6 30.3 101.9 0.21 0.54 1.2 -43.4 5.08 -0.02 68.52 — 0.70 0.9 21.29 99.2 4.8 26.8 85.8 0.23 0.59 0.9 -48.4 6.15 0.02 69.06 — 2.42 2.7 21.80 94.2 4.3 24.4 78.6 0.22 0.66 1.1 -42.5 7.47 -0.12 69.45 — 3.20 3.2 21.45 94.6 5.2 21.4 70.7 0.21 0.69 0.9 -38.3 10.75 -0.02 74.15 — -2.23 -2.0 23.61 95.2 6.5 21.1 62.6 0.22 0.73 0.7 -37.3 10.91 0.37 81.82 — -0.57 -0.5 23.54 93.2 6.1 20.4 58.0 0.25 0.69 0.9 — 10.36 0.40 79.50 — 0.16 0.1 26.00 93.7 8.0 20.2 59.8 0.26 0.72 0.9 — 12.40 — 80.00 — -1.35 -1.0 29.50 89.1 7.6 20.0 62.5 0.26 0.70 0.7 — 13.21 — 13.8 5.00 14.6 34.2 7.2 684.3 8.5 53.3 30.2 43.1 21.9 16.6 16.8 6.70 17.4 35.8 6.5 658.2 8.0 55.5 29.1 51.6 13.1 10.3 19.3 7.40 20.3 37.9 5.2 557.4 8.4 72.5 32.9 39.4 20.4 14.7 17.1 7.60 14.8 37.7 5.0 408.0 7.6 61.9 25.7 37.3 16.3 9.1 17.6 7.71 20.9 40.4 4.8 346.3 7.9 61.0 27.6 35.5 14.2 7.8 19.2 3.04 16.0 41.6 4.0 291.8 6.3 41.4 39.4 39.3 14.2 7.7 22.4 2.52 17.9 42.7 4.7 199.5 5.6 32.6 39.2 33.4 11.5 5.2 21.3 6.75 27.4 47.4 5.4 216.4 4.9 25.3 66.6 59.8 13.3 7.0 17.4 7.75 19.5 50.0 5.2 227.1 6.9 37.2 79.5 62.0 14.6 8.7 — — — — — 209.8 6.8 40.0 — — — — — — — — — 223.3 6.5 39.4 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [1] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) [4] Current Account Balance/GDP [4] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [5] External Debt/GDP [5] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP [1] Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [1] Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) [1] MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 251 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) [1] Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [1] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [1] Domestic Credit/GDP [1] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [1] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [7] Debt Service Ratio [7] [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [1] [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks [1] "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 15.6 7.40 8.1 33.2 7.1 704.9 8.5 72.5 23.8 35.3 29.8 22.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Import numbers based on payment settlements data, except FY11 which used customs data Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Public sector only Current Account Receipts Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; External debt data is public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; External debt data is public sector only; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Barbados Lead Analyst: Aaron Freedman Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 Baa1 Ba2 Baa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.2 0.3 12,061 15,873 4.2 2.0 0.3 18.1 14.7 13.8 9.5 89.1 1.30 3.5 0.3 12,943 16,886 7.7 1.4 4.3 18.9 9.8 4.1 14.7 90.7 1.09 3.9 0.3 14,421 17,965 11.8 4.0 7.3 19.0 9.8 19.2 16.3 95.4 1.26 4.2 0.3 15,485 19,139 7.4 5.7 5.7 19.9 14.9 13.3 5.7 97.0 1.48 4.5 0.3 16,482 19,747 6.8 1.7 4.8 20.8 15.8 5.4 4.0 95.0 1.34 4.3 0.3 15,969 20,179 -3.1 0.3 7.2 17.3 9.5 2.3 9.8 104.1 1.59 4.4 0.3 16,105 19,320 1.2 -4.1 4.3 15.0 11.3 -10.9 -16.2 88.7 1.50 4.2 0.3 15,550 — -3.4 0.3 6.6 14.2 9.0 4.5 5.6 96.6 1.41 4.3 0.3 15,763 — 1.7 0.8 9.5 14.8 6.6 4.5 9.2 101.5 1.46 4.3 0.3 15,644 — 0.7 0.0 4.5 15.0 13.5 3.5 -7.8 98.2 — 4.4 0.3 15,822 — 1.5 0.2 4.8 15.6 13.7 5.0 6.0 102.1 — 4.6 0.3 16,312 — 3.1 1.1 5.0 16.3 13.8 5.0 6.0 104.5 — 28.7 30.9 -2.2 2.1 1.57 48.5 168.8 14.8 33.1 27.4 29.5 -2.1 1.7 1.66 47.6 173.3 13.7 31.8 27.7 30.0 -2.3 1.5 1.94 49.5 179.1 13.8 31.5 26.6 29.4 -2.8 1.1 2.13 50.7 190.4 14.8 35.6 27.6 30.9 -3.3 0.5 2.32 51.7 187.6 13.9 33.0 29.9 35.2 -5.3 -0.7 2.42 55.7 186.3 15.3 30.4 26.4 34.3 -7.9 -2.9 2.90 66.0 249.6 18.8 31.2 26.9 35.9 -9.0 -3.0 3.19 75.1 279.2 22.2 31.6 29.2 33.9 -4.7 1.5 3.46 80.1 273.9 20.9 29.6 27.5 34.8 -7.3 -0.8 3.61 83.0 302.3 23.7 26.8 28.5 35.0 -6.5 0.4 3.84 86.9 304.9 24.2 29.0 29.0 34.0 -5.0 2.0 4.00 87.8 302.7 24.2 29.5 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 252 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.00 -4.6 -0.18 -5.5 1.24 60.4 — 38.1 72.0 0.06 0.03 5.1 — 0.73 0.47 2.00 -5.2 -0.36 -10.3 1.22 65.5 — 34.8 69.0 0.06 0.04 3.5 — 0.57 0.47 2.00 1.3 -0.42 -10.6 1.35 66.2 — 34.5 63.7 0.08 0.05 5.9 — 0.60 0.54 2.00 3.8 -0.35 -8.4 1.50 71.0 — 35.6 63.2 0.08 0.05 7.1 — 0.63 0.46 2.00 -2.4 -0.25 -5.6 1.57 72.4 — 34.9 59.9 0.08 0.05 8.8 — 0.83 0.93 2.00 3.9 -0.49 -11.2 1.68 66.4 — 38.7 64.7 0.10 0.05 10.8 243.6 0.73 0.45 2.00 2.6 -0.31 -7.1 1.93 69.0 — 43.9 85.6 0.09 0.06 6.9 223.6 0.77 0.42 2.00 4.6 -0.26 -6.1 1.59 100.0 — 37.4 66.1 0.08 0.25 8.1 171.7 0.74 0.38 2.00 — -0.50 -11.5 1.59 100.0 — 36.8 64.1 0.09 0.06 6.7 — 0.72 — 2.00 — -0.20 -4.7 1.58 100.0 — 36.2 61.7 0.08 0.08 6.9 — 0.73 — 2.00 — -0.24 -5.5 1.56 100.0 — 35.4 58.3 0.08 0.08 7.4 — 0.74 — 2.00 — -0.28 -6.2 1.61 100.0 — 35.4 57.2 0.08 0.07 7.7 — 0.70 — 11.7 7.50 15.4 89.9 6.3 212.9 5.5 66.0 9.1 41.8 14.4 36.1 16.9 10.00 14.4 92.0 7.1 226.2 5.8 115.0 3.2 44.2 16.7 41.9 5.3 12.00 8.6 93.0 7.1 238.2 5.7 93.1 8.2 53.5 14.2 34.9 20.9 12.00 8.2 94.2 6.5 188.5 5.3 147.8 3.4 51.1 18.9 37.2 1.2 10.00 11.1 108.0 7.5 230.4 5.9 90.6 5.1 86.3 14.9 32.2 0.6 7.00 4.5 111.5 7.1 249.4 6.5 89.0 4.0 60.5 13.4 35.1 -0.7 7.00 — — — 215.2 13.8 103.9 6.4 66.6 12.9 — — 7.00 — — — 221.8 6.1 57.2 8.0 82.5 6.6 — — — — — — 215.4 6.2 60.7 3.6 56.7 4.0 — — — — — — 210.3 5.8 59.4 — — — — — — — — — 231.6 5.4 57.7 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP [5] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [7] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 253 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [8] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [9] Debt Service Ratio [10] External Vulnerability Indicator [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [13] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [14] 4.6 7.50 8.9 83.9 4.4 169.4 5.5 67.7 10.5 66.8 13.2 26.7 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government revenue; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Public sector only from 2010 onward Current Account Receipts Public sector only Bank discount rate Public sector debt only from 2010 onward (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Belarus Lead Analyst: Atsi Sheth Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B3 B3 E+ Other Managed Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 Ba3 Caa1 B1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.8 9.8 1,819 6,578 39.9 7.0 25.5 25.0 21.5 24.5 25.1 134.1 -0.99 23.1 9.7 2,378 7,589 36.7 11.4 14.6 28.7 25.7 35.3 39.7 142.1 -1.08 30.2 9.7 3,126 8,640 30.2 9.4 8.0 28.5 27.2 15.0 3.9 118.9 -1.10 37.0 9.6 3,849 9,871 21.8 10.0 6.5 32.2 29.3 22.9 33.0 124.3 -1.17 45.3 9.6 4,736 11,086 22.6 8.6 12.0 34.1 29.7 24.3 28.2 128.2 -1.13 60.8 9.5 6,376 12,535 33.6 10.2 13.4 37.6 31.5 34.2 37.1 129.6 -1.13 49.2 9.5 5,176 12,749 5.9 0.2 9.9 37.3 28.0 -32.8 -27.1 112.3 -1.15 55.2 9.5 5,819 13,852 19.7 7.7 10.0 41.2 28.7 20.5 23.3 122.2 -1.13 59.7 9.5 6,306 14,938 80.7 5.5 108.7 37.6 38.4 61.7 31.0 163.3 -1.09 63.3 9.5 6,691 — 77.5 1.5 21.7 34.5 38.3 6.6 -0.7 158.7 — 77.1 9.4 8,171 — 27.2 2.0 20.0 37.6 35.4 2.5 12.1 139.6 — 91.6 9.4 9,731 — 22.3 2.5 16.0 37.5 34.2 9.8 11.8 130.2 — 45.9 47.0 -1.1 -0.5 1.23 7.2 15.7 1.1 28.0 46.0 45.6 0.4 0.8 2.20 9.5 20.7 1.0 22.4 47.4 48.0 -0.7 -0.3 2.54 8.4 17.7 0.7 23.9 49.1 47.6 1.4 1.8 4.11 11.1 22.6 0.7 14.3 49.5 49.0 0.4 0.8 8.29 18.3 37.1 0.8 24.6 50.6 52.6 -2.0 -1.4 12.82 21.7 42.9 1.1 28.1 45.7 46.4 -0.7 0.1 16.74 34.9 76.4 1.8 50.0 41.6 43.4 -1.8 -1.1 23.05 42.0 101.1 1.6 43.6 38.8 36.0 2.8 3.9 15.45 43.4 112.0 2.9 79.9 40.8 40.1 0.7 2.7 22.71 36.9 90.5 4.9 55.3 40.3 40.0 0.2 2.1 25.63 35.2 87.3 4.7 53.0 38.9 39.0 -0.1 1.9 29.12 33.4 85.9 5.2 50.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 254 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [3] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 2,156.00 2,170.00 2,152.00 2,140.00 2,150.00 2,200.00 2,863.00 3,000.00 8,350.00 8,570.00 9,200.00 9,400.00 -2.4 -2.9 -0.7 -3.0 -5.7 -1.3 -1.6 -5.7 -13.4 -3.5 — — -0.43 -1.19 0.46 -1.39 -3.01 -4.96 -6.13 -8.28 -5.03 -1.82 -3.82 -3.54 -2.4 -5.2 1.5 -3.8 -6.7 -8.2 -12.5 -15.0 -8.4 -2.9 -5.0 -3.9 4.17 4.94 5.13 6.84 12.50 15.15 22.06 28.40 34.02 34.12 36.41 37.52 15.0 11.5 11.8 8.6 21.1 26.6 39.8 41.9 40.8 38.1 37.5 36.4 59.2 71.0 64.3 64.0 58.9 49.9 41.1 41.8 39.5 35.4 36.3 35.2 23.4 21.3 17.0 18.5 27.6 24.9 44.8 51.4 57.0 53.9 47.2 40.9 34.8 30.4 27.5 30.0 44.3 39.8 85.4 90.7 69.3 62.5 58.8 54.0 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.24 0.49 0.48 0.60 0.92 1.22 1.30 1.34 1.51 1.75 2.16 3.56 3.73 5.96 5.35 4.56 5.74 6.49 6.93 7.14 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.6 3.6 2.4 6.5 2.1 1.4 1.0 -22.3 -19.2 -12.9 -15.2 -17.5 -22.0 -38.3 -46.8 -48.1 -47.8 — — 0.59 0.75 1.14 1.07 3.95 2.69 4.25 2.86 5.44 5.24 5.57 4.61 -0.06 -0.16 -0.16 -0.95 -1.24 -1.38 -2.11 -4.25 -3.70 -4.55 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 255 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [8] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [9] 54.3 28.00 72.2 22.2 4.6 702.0 13.2 417.5 30.3 65.0 54.4 6.9 50.0 17.00 30.8 21.2 5.4 658.6 11.3 455.9 41.9 68.0 46.5 6.7 42.2 11.00 33.5 21.8 5.1 451.2 12.6 535.5 49.7 54.6 38.0 5.9 39.3 10.00 52.2 27.2 7.7 640.5 16.7 332.5 71.7 101.6 34.7 6.3 40.0 10.00 21.3 26.9 2.9 316.2 14.4 480.7 37.0 54.6 38.2 7.7 26.3 12.00 63.3 32.9 5.2 564.2 17.3 207.9 60.6 104.4 38.9 7.5 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions General government only Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 23.1 13.50 11.0 34.5 3.1 518.7 23.0 327.4 58.5 90.9 49.5 11.2 31.9 10.50 59.9 46.1 5.9 992.0 16.8 242.9 135.7 183.1 51.4 13.0 121.2 45.00 46.5 37.4 2.4 625.6 13.5 480.3 46.2 64.1 64.9 12.3 44.6 30.00 53.0 32.2 3.6 650.9 14.1 310.4 45.3 71.1 61.6 16.2 — — — — — 654.0 13.3 257.3 — — — — — — — — — 814.0 12.2 265.9 — — — — Belgium Lead Analyst: Atsi Sheth Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 D+ Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 312.3 10.4 30,098 30,295 2.8 0.8 1.7 8.2 19.4 24.8 18.6 18.8 0.5 0.5 5.4 142.5 1.96 362.2 10.4 34,753 31,177 5.5 3.3 2.3 8.3 20.9 25.8 19.1 20.2 6.1 6.1 4.9 147.0 1.92 377.7 10.5 36,046 32,189 4.2 1.8 2.9 8.4 21.9 25.9 8.1 9.8 3.8 5.0 3.9 153.4 1.74 400.3 10.5 37,954 34,193 5.1 2.7 1.6 8.2 22.4 26.3 8.8 9.1 5.4 5.0 3.8 157.7 1.71 460.3 10.6 43,318 35,636 5.3 2.9 3.1 7.5 23.0 26.8 17.5 17.6 5.2 5.5 3.8 161.2 1.61 509.4 10.7 47,561 37,025 3.1 1.0 2.6 7.1 24.0 24.9 13.9 18.2 2.1 3.5 0.9 169.0 1.38 474.7 10.8 43,972 36,573 -1.6 -2.8 0.3 7.8 19.8 22.5 -20.1 -22.3 -11.1 -10.6 2.7 142.9 1.59 472.4 10.9 43,360 37,834 4.5 2.4 3.1 8.2 20.6 22.9 9.2 10.3 9.6 8.9 2.3 157.6 1.59 514.9 11.0 46,721 38,723 3.9 1.8 3.5 7.2 21.7 23.0 15.0 16.6 5.5 5.6 1.2 167.4 1.67 483.7 11.0 43,800 — 1.7 -0.2 2.3 7.6 21.0 22.2 -5.5 -5.5 0.7 0.6 1.2 168.4 — 504.8 11.1 45,339 — 1.7 0.0 1.4 8.1 20.4 22.1 4.1 3.6 0.8 0.2 1.7 167.6 — 497.3 11.2 44,314 — 2.7 1.0 1.8 8.1 20.5 22.2 0.4 0.4 3.3 3.3 1.7 170.7 — 50.9 51.0 -0.2 5.1 343.08 98.4 193.4 10.5 48.9 49.2 -0.2 4.5 373.05 94.0 192.2 9.8 49.3 51.9 -2.6 1.7 329.15 92.0 186.7 8.8 48.8 48.5 0.3 4.3 369.30 88.0 180.3 8.2 48.1 48.2 -0.1 3.8 415.29 84.0 174.5 8.1 48.7 49.8 -1.1 2.8 429.98 89.2 183.0 7.9 48.1 53.7 -5.6 -1.9 469.69 95.7 199.0 7.7 48.7 52.6 -3.9 -0.4 454.65 95.6 196.4 7.2 49.5 53.4 -3.9 -0.4 467.97 97.8 197.6 7.0 50.9 54.9 -4.0 -0.5 495.29 99.8 196.2 7.0 51.2 54.3 -3.1 0.2 505.18 101.6 198.4 6.4 51.2 54.5 -3.3 0.0 505.01 102.4 200.1 6.5 0.79 4.7 100.5 10.68 3.4 -1.6 32.0 7.65 0.73 1.7 100.7 11.52 3.2 2.6 22.4 7.72 0.85 0.3 100.0 7.46 2.0 0.5 27.0 6.82 0.76 -0.4 100.5 7.44 1.9 2.1 23.2 7.62 0.68 0.9 102.0 8.71 1.9 2.9 21.1 9.30 0.72 3.4 104.0 -6.70 -1.3 -5.3 26.9 7.77 0.69 0.2 105.0 -6.69 -1.4 11.3 38.8 7.80 0.75 -3.2 100.7 9.03 1.9 8.9 48.5 7.88 0.77 1.0 101.9 -5.88 -1.1 4.0 47.2 7.99 0.76 -2.2 100.0 -6.69 -1.4 -3.4 — 8.45 0.77 — — -3.43 -0.7 -2.6 — 8.68 0.80 — — -4.05 -0.8 -1.3 — 8.97 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 256 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 Belize Lead Analyst: Edward Al-Hussainy Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Caa2 Caa2 No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B2 B2 Caa3 B2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.0 0.3 3,611 5,824 6.0 9.3 2.3 20.5 7.9 7.5 5.9 119.4 -0.19 1.1 0.3 3,738 6,067 6.9 4.6 3.1 19.6 10.9 1.6 -5.2 109.2 -0.36 1.1 0.3 3,821 6,254 5.5 3.0 4.2 21.1 13.7 13.9 12.9 117.3 -0.15 1.2 0.3 4,025 6,542 8.8 4.7 2.9 18.9 19.8 22.2 7.5 123.2 -0.41 1.3 0.3 4,099 6,600 5.2 1.2 4.1 19.6 17.9 2.7 4.9 121.6 -0.50 1.4 0.3 4,233 6,752 6.8 3.8 4.4 27.1 19.7 10.3 20.8 131.7 -0.53 1.3 0.3 4,049 6,596 -1.1 0.0 -0.4 22.0 18.0 -13.7 -17.8 112.0 -0.47 1.4 0.3 4,057 6,637 3.7 2.7 0.0 18.0 19.9 13.9 3.5 117.2 -0.44 1.4 0.4 4,059 6,722 3.5 2.0 2.5 19.0 19.9 14.2 16.6 130.7 -0.36 1.5 0.4 4,151 — 5.8 5.2 0.6 19.0 18.2 2.4 4.1 127.5 — 1.6 0.4 4,193 — 4.5 2.5 2.0 19.5 18.9 -0.6 -0.9 121.1 — 1.7 0.4 4,236 — 4.5 2.5 2.0 19.8 20.2 0.3 -1.5 115.2 — 24.7 32.7 -8.0 -3.9 0.76 77.3 313.7 16.7 92.7 22.8 32.4 -9.5 -1.2 0.95 90.2 394.9 36.5 85.3 25.3 28.7 -3.4 3.5 1.02 91.5 361.5 27.2 86.8 26.2 30.3 -4.1 2.9 1.06 87.4 334.2 26.8 85.9 30.2 30.8 -0.6 3.7 1.07 84.0 278.4 14.4 85.0 28.5 28.1 0.4 4.1 1.08 79.0 277.1 13.2 84.6 27.2 28.8 -1.6 2.0 1.10 81.6 299.6 13.0 85.5 27.8 29.5 -1.7 1.8 1.13 80.7 290.2 12.4 83.7 28.9 30.0 -1.1 2.4 1.15 79.2 274.2 12.0 83.4 27.6 28.1 -0.6 1.3 1.16 75.6 274.0 6.8 83.1 27.2 29.2 -1.9 1.1 1.14 71.0 260.5 11.1 82.8 26.8 28.7 -1.9 1.1 1.15 68.8 256.4 11.0 81.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 257 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Belize (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.00 -2.5 -0.18 -18.7 0.75 100.0 — 75.9 126.6 0.08 0.08 -1.1 — 0.08 0.05 2.00 -2.5 -0.15 -14.7 0.85 100.0 — 80.4 139.5 0.11 0.13 10.5 — 0.04 0.05 2.00 -0.7 -0.15 -13.6 0.93 100.0 — 83.7 132.8 0.13 0.15 11.3 — 0.06 0.06 2.00 0.2 -0.03 -2.1 0.99 100.0 — 81.2 110.4 0.13 0.07 8.9 — 0.10 0.04 2.00 -4.9 -0.05 -4.1 0.97 100.0 — 76.0 100.3 0.12 0.62 10.9 — 0.10 0.08 2.00 -0.5 -0.14 -10.6 0.96 100.0 — 70.2 94.5 0.09 0.05 12.2 — 0.16 0.09 2.00 4.4 -0.08 -6.1 1.26 80.4 — 93.7 151.5 0.08 0.04 8.0 — 0.18 0.08 2.00 -2.8 -0.05 -3.3 1.25 80.6 — 89.7 132.1 0.10 0.06 6.8 — 0.18 0.10 2.00 -9.4 -0.03 -2.2 1.24 82.3 — 85.8 117.2 0.11 0.07 6.3 — 0.20 0.13 2.00 2.0 -0.04 -2.5 1.24 81.9 — 81.2 110.9 0.06 0.04 12.0 — 0.28 0.16 2.00 — -0.05 -3.0 1.24 82.6 — 77.6 111.6 0.10 0.05 8.1 — 0.30 — 2.00 — -0.06 -3.5 1.24 83.2 — 74.3 111.2 0.10 0.05 7.3 — 0.30 — 13.4 7.42 20.6 64.1 16.0 2,170.4 40.0 171.4 89.3 32.6 0.0 0.0 6.5 7.71 1.4 61.5 10.6 1,485.5 40.2 378.5 49.7 26.2 0.0 0.0 13.1 8.15 11.3 62.9 7.2 943.3 22.3 112.1 28.9 21.1 5.3 20.4 15.4 8.32 15.6 69.1 8.8 985.8 76.0 591.3 33.4 21.9 5.2 21.9 13.3 8.46 8.8 70.4 6.3 613.4 14.0 55.0 18.2 23.6 3.5 12.0 6.4 8.37 2.6 73.0 6.0 720.9 14.3 27.1 21.8 28.3 3.4 12.1 -0.1 7.76 -1.3 69.5 5.8 694.8 16.8 31.5 21.4 26.8 3.3 11.0 5.3 6.44 -0.4 66.9 5.5 621.4 16.9 38.2 18.9 26.8 4.2 13.1 11.0 4.41 2.8 64.3 4.4 443.9 9.0 21.6 15.4 23.3 — — — — — — — 414.2 13.3 18.6 — — — — — — — — — 414.3 13.6 18.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP [4] External Debt/CA Receipts [4] [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 258 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [4] Debt Service Ratio [6] [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [4] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] 3.5 6.93 20.4 56.8 7.2 985.5 27.7 75.6 89.9 31.3 0.0 0.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Prior to 2009 public sector only Current Account Receipts Prior to 2010 public sector only Deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bermuda Lead Analyst: Steven A. Hess Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 D+ Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.2 0.1 66,453 — 6.3 3.5 3.2 — — -47.0 8.6 63.4 1.04 4.5 0.1 70,848 — 7.1 2.3 3.8 — — 10.4 10.1 65.2 1.06 4.9 0.1 76,543 — 8.6 1.7 2.5 — — 8.4 0.4 62.1 0.99 5.4 0.1 84,863 — 11.2 5.5 3.4 — — 32.3 11.3 66.9 0.99 5.9 0.1 92,110 — 8.9 2.7 3.6 — — 1.7 13.1 66.4 0.98 6.1 0.1 95,170 — 3.6 0.8 4.9 — — -8.7 -3.5 60.4 1.01 5.8 0.1 90,161 — -5.0 -5.1 1.0 — — -9.1 -8.4 58.0 1.01 5.8 0.1 89,739 — -0.7 -2.2 2.7 — — 4.5 -1.4 59.0 1.00 5.6 0.1 85,891 — -3.6 -2.8 2.9 — — 2.3 -5.2 59.9 0.99 5.6 0.1 85,971 — 0.4 -2.0 1.9 — — -3.2 -0.5 58.7 — 5.6 0.1 86,562 — 1.0 -1.0 2.1 — — 0.0 2.9 59.1 — 5.8 0.1 88,653 — 3.6 1.5 2.0 — — 3.2 2.4 58.7 — 16.9 17.0 -0.2 0.0 0.16 3.8 22.7 1.2 100.0 17.4 18.0 -0.5 -0.3 0.18 3.9 22.4 1.1 100.0 16.5 17.1 -0.6 -0.4 0.22 4.6 27.9 1.3 100.0 16.3 17.7 -1.4 -1.1 0.26 4.7 28.9 1.6 100.0 15.8 18.0 -2.2 -1.9 0.34 5.9 37.2 1.9 100.0 15.6 19.4 -3.8 -3.5 0.56 9.2 59.0 1.9 100.0 15.8 20.0 -4.2 -3.6 0.82 14.2 89.8 3.8 100.0 17.2 21.1 -3.9 -3.0 1.09 18.9 109.8 5.6 100.0 16.5 20.1 -3.7 -2.4 1.35 24.3 147.8 7.4 100.0 15.6 19.9 -4.4 -3.7 1.56 28.1 180.1 4.0 100.0 15.5 21.4 -5.9 -4.2 1.90 33.7 217.7 11.1 100.0 15.4 20.6 -5.2 -3.5 2.20 37.7 245.1 11.0 100.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 259 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Openness of the Economy [1] [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [5] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [5] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [5] Bermuda (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.00 — 0.18 4.3 0.27 59.3 — 6.4 12.8 0.01 0.00 0.0 — 0.12 702.00 1.00 — 0.30 6.7 0.28 61.4 — 6.4 11.7 0.01 0.00 18.4 — 0.10 667.00 1.00 — 0.45 9.3 0.22 100.0 — 4.6 8.4 0.01 0.08 0.3 — 0.13 159.00 1.00 — 1.18 21.8 0.26 100.0 — 4.7 7.0 0.01 0.08 -5.9 — 0.13 126.00 1.00 — 1.22 20.6 1.37 25.2 — 23.3 32.9 0.02 0.00 9.8 — 0.14 -41.00 1.00 — 0.91 14.9 2.57 21.9 — 42.0 66.4 0.02 0.02 -2.4 — 0.15 -426.00 1.00 — 0.61 10.6 5.39 15.3 — 92.9 167.5 0.03 0.00 -1.0 — 0.15 -806.00 1.00 — 0.72 12.6 6.01 18.1 — 104.3 186.2 0.06 0.00 4.1 — 0.14 -167.00 1.00 — 0.60 10.7 7.05 19.1 — 126.9 220.4 0.07 0.20 0.0 47.3 0.15 -384.00 1.00 — 0.66 11.8 6.76 23.1 — 121.3 213.6 0.04 0.00 6.3 35.5 0.15 — 1.00 — 0.63 11.1 7.10 26.7 — 126.0 225.4 0.10 0.00 1.2 — 0.15 — 1.00 — 0.60 10.2 7.20 30.5 — 123.4 224.8 0.10 0.32 1.4 — 0.15 — 10.1 — 11.6 63.9 — — 0.4 — 23.8 76.5 -5.3 — 17.6 69.2 — — 3.2 — 32.0 92.3 4.0 — 13.1 70.4 — — 2.6 — 32.0 87.3 3.9 — 14.4 73.9 — — 0.4 — 46.1 91.6 5.0 — 11.6 79.6 — — 1.0 — 39.9 128.7 0.2 — 5.8 88.7 — — 1.1 — 33.7 109.3 -4.7 — 0.3 89.6 — — 1.7 — 34.4 109.4 -3.6 — 2.9 95.7 — — 8.4 — 34.0 113.0 — — — — — — 1.1 — 39.5 124.3 — — — — — — 3.1 — — — — — — — — — 13.1 — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [6] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP [8] Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [9] Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 260 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [9] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [9] Debt Service Ratio [6] [10] External Vulnerability Indicator [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 10.5 — 7.3 61.3 — — 0.4 — 31.1 94.3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; GDP calendar year Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Central government only Current Account Receipts Series break in 2005 and 2011 Foreign assets of Bermuda Monetary Authority (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Bolivia Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba3 Ba3 DStabilized Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Ba1 B1 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.1 8.8 917 3,387 9.2 2.7 4.0 13.2 12.4 20.8 -2.5 51.9 -0.28 8.8 9.0 977 3,560 12.4 4.2 4.7 11.1 15.9 32.2 8.5 57.5 -0.55 9.5 9.1 1,044 3,772 10.6 4.4 5.0 14.4 17.7 24.1 32.6 67.6 -0.68 11.4 9.3 1,230 4,010 19.0 4.8 3.1 14.0 22.9 40.9 22.2 74.5 -0.67 13.1 9.5 1,386 4,243 12.3 4.5 11.7 15.1 22.9 14.6 18.7 75.7 -0.60 16.7 9.6 1,733 4,530 17.1 6.2 11.8 17.5 24.6 37.1 41.9 82.9 -0.66 17.3 9.8 1,774 4,668 0.9 3.4 0.2 16.9 19.9 -17.5 -10.5 68.3 -0.53 19.6 9.9 1,977 4,818 13.2 4.1 7.1 17.0 24.0 30.7 18.4 75.2 -0.45 23.9 10.1 2,374 5,099 20.6 5.2 6.9 19.3 25.4 30.3 35.2 81.8 -0.41 26.4 10.2 2,574 — 9.7 5.2 4.6 18.8 23.4 26.4 8.9 87.8 — 28.8 10.4 2,763 — 9.2 4.8 4.4 19.9 24.0 13.8 20.5 93.9 — 31.6 10.6 2,992 — 9.1 4.9 4.2 19.6 23.2 13.3 17.2 98.2 — 23.9 31.7 -7.7 -5.1 5.86 74.0 309.3 10.8 108.6 26.3 32.0 -5.7 -3.0 7.75 89.6 340.5 10.0 72.5 30.4 32.7 -2.3 0.4 7.70 80.4 264.4 8.7 70.1 32.7 29.2 3.5 5.3 6.35 55.3 168.9 5.5 61.2 32.8 30.5 2.3 3.5 5.48 40.5 123.7 3.9 53.6 32.8 32.8 0.0 0.8 6.39 37.2 113.5 2.4 51.1 32.8 34.9 -2.0 -0.4 6.93 40.0 121.8 4.7 44.2 30.8 30.9 -0.1 1.4 7.60 38.6 125.2 4.9 42.9 32.8 33.9 -1.1 -0.2 8.34 34.7 105.8 3.0 44.9 36.0 34.1 1.9 2.8 7.84 29.7 82.6 2.6 51.0 35.7 34.2 1.5 2.4 7.39 25.7 72.1 2.6 51.5 35.0 34.5 0.5 1.4 7.39 23.1 66.1 2.6 50.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 261 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Bolivia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 7.83 -10.2 0.08 1.0 5.86 71.3 11.4 72.5 230.3 0.13 0.28 2.4 -98.6 0.66 0.49 8.05 -6.5 0.32 3.7 6.28 72.8 10.2 71.6 197.4 0.14 0.36 0.7 -88.8 0.82 0.43 8.04 -4.1 0.56 5.9 6.96 65.8 8.5 72.9 171.9 0.18 0.32 -2.5 -75.6 1.28 0.66 7.98 -0.5 1.29 11.3 5.85 54.5 10.6 51.1 106.7 0.22 0.21 2.4 -31.7 2.56 0.73 7.62 2.0 1.51 11.5 5.42 40.6 11.6 41.3 81.2 0.21 0.53 2.8 -5.3 4.50 0.52 7.02 14.0 1.99 11.9 5.94 40.6 13.4 35.6 67.7 0.19 0.77 3.1 12.9 6.87 0.46 7.02 10.2 0.75 4.3 6.02 42.3 8.8 34.7 86.2 0.14 0.45 2.4 17.5 7.31 0.98 6.99 -4.2 0.97 4.9 6.05 46.5 11.3 30.8 74.6 0.10 0.57 3.3 15.9 7.87 1.05 6.91 3.0 0.54 2.2 6.47 52.7 9.1 27.0 61.3 0.10 0.36 3.6 16.6 9.64 0.88 6.91 6.3 2.00 7.6 7.91 49.6 9.7 30.0 59.3 0.13 0.54 4.0 — 11.39 1.42 6.93 — 1.38 4.8 8.77 51.2 10.0 30.5 57.7 0.12 0.48 3.6 — 12.81 — 6.79 — 1.11 3.5 9.57 50.4 9.6 30.2 55.6 0.11 0.49 3.5 — 14.20 — 26.5 6.00 2.5 52.9 1.0 768.3 15.7 154.6 33.9 66.2 76.2 172.9 47.3 5.25 2.2 48.9 0.9 545.2 12.1 116.8 20.6 36.5 67.6 113.2 50.4 5.25 -6.6 38.4 0.7 228.5 7.8 62.9 4.4 14.7 55.1 97.8 69.9 6.50 3.0 35.2 0.7 120.5 11.0 44.8 5.6 13.6 49.9 65.5 35.8 13.00 5.2 31.6 0.7 86.4 10.9 31.0 5.4 11.0 38.3 47.1 12.2 3.00 5.6 33.1 0.7 82.3 8.5 18.2 20.3 25.0 41.7 45.5 25.1 3.00 6.2 31.0 0.8 76.9 8.2 15.0 5.3 18.8 34.0 41.4 20.7 4.00 24.2 32.0 0.8 67.1 4.3 13.2 16.6 24.2 27.1 34.9 20.2 4.00 18.5 34.5 0.8 69.5 5.0 11.7 5.4 9.1 27.8 32.6 — — — — — 68.5 3.9 11.0 — — — — — — — — — 67.4 3.5 10.7 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [3] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [3] External Debt/GDP [3] External Debt/CA Receipts [3] [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 262 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [5] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [3] Debt Service Ratio [3] [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [3] [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 17.7 7.50 3.8 58.1 1.0 883.3 16.3 298.2 28.0 64.0 82.9 210.6 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Current Account Receipts Discount rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bosnia and Herzegovina Lead Analyst: Kilbinder Dosanjh Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B3 B3 No Banks Rated Currency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 B3 B3 B3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.4 3.8 2,211 5,356 4.9 3.9 0.6 28.4 -11.4 34.6 26.6 69.7 -0.77 10.6 3.8 2,634 5,844 15.1 6.3 0.5 26.6 -12.4 34.2 17.7 94.7 -0.57 11.6 3.8 2,839 6,341 9.3 3.9 4.3 26.3 -12.4 20.1 11.3 99.9 -0.72 13.6 3.8 3,216 7,163 16.0 6.0 4.6 20.5 -6.0 27.6 3.2 93.0 -0.60 17.1 3.8 3,965 7,899 15.5 6.2 4.9 26.4 -1.6 26.1 29.2 94.6 -0.80 21.1 3.8 4,813 8,688 15.1 5.7 3.8 28.3 -0.6 20.4 23.3 93.7 -0.57 19.8 3.8 4,440 8,543 -0.8 -3.0 0.0 20.9 1.0 -19.7 -27.0 75.3 -0.69 16.8 3.8 4,365 8,635 -11.2 1.4 3.1 21.9 -12.5 13.7 3.3 95.7 -0.73 18.2 3.8 4,753 9,076 3.6 1.0 3.1 15.8 -5.6 17.1 18.8 74.7 -0.76 16.9 3.8 4,514 — 0.4 -0.5 1.9 19.3 -4.3 10.4 5.3 79.0 — 17.7 3.8 4,719 — 3.0 0.5 1.7 19.7 -4.1 14.1 9.0 85.1 — 18.1 3.8 4,807 — 3.5 1.8 2.3 19.0 -3.0 14.5 11.8 92.9 — 47.5 48.0 -0.4 0.3 2.62 28.0 58.9 1.6 98.9 43.5 43.7 -0.2 0.3 2.84 24.4 56.1 1.2 98.9 43.8 43.1 0.7 1.2 2.65 24.1 54.9 1.2 98.9 43.9 41.9 2.0 2.5 2.78 19.5 44.4 1.2 98.6 41.9 41.7 0.2 0.6 3.08 16.8 40.0 1.1 96.7 40.4 43.7 -3.2 -2.8 5.49 27.5 67.9 1.1 54.9 39.2 44.2 -5.1 -4.6 6.41 31.2 79.6 1.1 60.2 46.9 50.8 -3.9 -3.4 6.65 39.3 83.9 1.1 64.6 46.6 49.2 -2.6 -2.0 6.87 40.4 86.9 1.3 64.2 46.7 49.6 -2.8 -2.1 7.87 45.3 96.9 1.5 61.3 46.7 49.4 -2.6 -1.9 8.25 46.6 99.8 1.5 59.8 45.9 48.4 -2.5 -1.8 8.65 47.6 103.7 1.6 58.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 263 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP [1] Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [2] [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Bosnia and Herzegovina (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.55 — -1.63 -19.5 4.48 51.6 2.4 53.6 96.8 0.09 0.07 — — 1.81 -0.58 1.44 — -1.64 -15.5 5.57 48.2 5.6 52.6 95.6 0.12 0.07 — — 2.43 -0.53 1.66 — -1.84 -15.9 6.38 40.1 15.1 55.0 99.7 0.14 0.10 5.5 -30.4 2.55 -0.89 1.49 — -1.00 -7.4 7.13 38.2 16.4 52.6 93.2 0.17 0.10 6.8 -28.6 3.67 -1.16 1.33 — -1.65 -9.6 9.25 32.1 18.2 54.1 95.9 0.23 0.11 10.9 -33.8 5.04 -1.21 1.41 — -2.60 -12.4 9.82 30.6 9.2 46.6 88.3 0.32 0.14 5.0 -39.1 4.48 -2.28 1.36 — -1.09 -5.5 11.34 31.6 14.8 57.2 148.6 0.27 0.17 1.2 -50.4 4.52 -1.88 1.46 — -0.95 -5.6 10.93 34.1 9.5 65.2 137.2 0.26 0.45 1.5 -58.0 4.37 -1.34 1.51 — -1.59 -8.7 10.73 36.1 12.2 58.8 118.4 0.27 0.62 2.1 -55.2 4.15 -0.96 1.48 — -1.41 -8.3 10.97 41.9 12.3 64.8 106.1 0.28 0.63 3.5 -60.8 4.28 -0.97 1.50 — -1.18 -6.7 11.51 41.4 12.4 65.0 107.8 0.29 0.66 2.3 — 4.47 — 1.51 — -1.18 -6.5 12.04 41.1 12.4 66.6 110.4 0.30 0.69 2.5 — 4.68 — 24.3 2.00 16.3 35.0 2.0 229.7 6.8 52.6 9.6 31.9 48.1 49.8 18.2 1.00 27.6 40.9 1.9 250.4 6.8 54.6 27.2 59.8 47.3 51.5 22.6 1.00 22.3 43.1 1.8 194.3 7.1 87.4 27.6 56.2 44.2 49.7 20.7 1.00 29.5 48.4 1.8 183.5 6.5 74.6 29.6 67.6 48.6 57.2 4.1 1.00 22.4 51.4 2.0 219.2 5.5 74.3 52.2 171.3 50.7 64.0 2.1 0.50 -3.2 50.2 2.1 250.5 12.6 69.7 91.2 232.5 49.4 64.0 7.2 0.26 3.1 58.2 2.1 250.4 19.9 77.7 84.1 220.1 48.4 65.8 5.8 0.19 5.3 59.2 2.3 258.6 8.3 67.7 92.4 208.8 46.7 67.2 3.4 0.01 4.1 61.4 2.4 256.2 8.8 78.0 80.8 180.1 46.4 69.9 — — — — — 257.1 8.9 77.3 — — — — — — — — — 257.4 9.1 76.5 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [6] External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 264 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [8] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [9] [10] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [13] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [14] 8.4 2.01 20.7 34.7 2.0 247.7 7.6 65.1 4.3 27.1 47.9 48.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] Series break in 2004; IMF estimates prior to 2004 Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions General government only for 2011 Short-term external debt derived from BIS for 2011 Current Account Receipts Renumberation rate on required reserves with CBBH (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts Private sector interest payments estimated by Moody's (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Botswana Lead Analyst: Kilbinder Dosanjh Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A2 A2 No Banks Rated Crawling-peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa3 Aa3 A2 Aa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 7.5 1.8 4,104 10,338 8.0 4.6 6.4 30.1 39.4 29.3 28.8 85.8 0.73 9.0 1.9 4,836 11,130 13.1 2.7 7.9 31.5 39.7 21.2 33.4 91.0 0.64 9.9 1.9 5,295 11,542 20.7 4.6 11.3 27.2 42.5 18.3 -4.7 88.5 0.66 10.1 1.9 5,327 12,360 16.5 8.0 8.5 25.9 44.2 0.7 -2.3 86.3 0.51 10.9 1.9 5,675 13,146 13.6 8.7 8.2 30.8 42.8 11.0 27.0 93.8 0.58 11.1 2.0 5,685 13,639 13.0 3.9 13.7 34.4 36.6 -0.2 26.5 102.6 0.55 10.1 2.0 5,100 12,974 -4.7 -7.8 5.8 37.9 27.4 -36.1 -11.0 85.9 0.54 13.7 2.0 6,850 13,805 29.1 8.6 7.4 35.4 35.9 31.3 20.3 78.9 0.52 15.3 2.0 7,531 14,746 12.0 6.1 9.2 38.7 34.9 37.9 29.2 94.5 0.53 14.4 2.1 7,003 — 5.0 3.7 7.4 35.6 27.8 -4.8 -5.4 95.1 — 15.3 2.1 7,333 — 10.0 5.5 6.0 35.8 32.1 9.6 4.1 95.7 — 16.4 2.1 7,753 — 9.8 5.8 5.8 36.2 32.1 6.1 4.5 94.0 — 42.1 42.3 -0.2 0.3 1.01 11.7 27.7 1.2 44.3 40.8 39.5 1.3 2.0 1.10 10.6 26.1 1.8 46.7 42.5 33.7 8.8 9.5 0.71 7.4 17.5 1.4 55.1 45.0 32.4 12.6 13.0 0.61 6.0 13.3 0.9 52.1 41.3 35.8 5.5 5.9 0.66 5.7 13.9 0.9 44.6 40.9 47.2 -6.3 -5.9 0.76 7.6 18.7 0.9 36.8 39.0 51.3 -12.3 -11.8 2.06 17.9 45.9 1.2 67.4 33.1 39.8 -6.7 -6.2 2.89 19.3 58.4 1.6 67.5 36.0 36.2 -0.2 0.4 2.68 18.8 52.3 1.5 68.6 34.2 33.5 0.7 1.2 2.68 17.0 49.7 1.7 70.2 32.4 31.9 0.6 1.1 2.62 15.5 47.7 1.7 71.4 31.0 30.5 0.5 1.1 2.56 14.4 46.3 1.6 71.4 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 265 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Botswana (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.44 — 0.46 6.2 1.17 39.8 — 13.4 21.3 0.01 0.01 2.8 70.2 5.24 0.32 4.28 — 0.42 4.7 0.81 48.8 — 10.7 17.7 0.01 0.01 4.8 70.9 5.58 0.30 5.51 — 1.56 15.7 1.00 35.5 — 11.9 17.9 0.01 0.01 2.2 78.2 6.25 0.28 6.03 — 1.95 19.2 1.15 27.7 — 11.6 17.3 0.01 0.01 4.3 99.3 7.93 0.18 6.01 — 2.02 18.4 1.67 14.1 — 18.8 25.9 0.01 0.01 4.1 95.4 9.72 0.36 7.52 — 0.87 7.8 0.98 32.1 — 8.6 14.1 0.01 0.01 5.5 112.0 9.04 0.59 6.67 — -0.52 -5.2 2.45 58.8 — 21.9 45.3 0.01 0.01 1.2 95.8 8.54 0.37 6.44 — 0.05 0.3 1.31 76.2 — 10.6 22.4 0.02 0.01 -0.1 79.4 7.72 0.46 7.53 — -0.03 -0.2 1.49 65.5 — 11.1 19.9 0.02 0.01 2.8 87.2 7.91 0.63 7.77 — -0.69 -4.8 1.50 72.1 — 10.9 18.9 0.02 0.01 2.1 76.8 7.45 0.75 8.00 — 0.65 4.3 1.46 73.7 — 9.9 18.1 0.02 0.00 2.2 — 7.50 — 8.20 — 0.70 4.3 1.20 74.2 — 9.0 16.9 0.02 0.00 2.3 — 7.70 — 13.9 14.25 23.5 23.0 0.6 18.8 0.9 2.1 4.0 16.5 10.6 14.50 7.5 20.5 0.4 17.5 0.8 2.2 3.6 13.7 67.4 15.00 19.5 21.0 0.5 14.4 0.8 2.0 1.6 12.3 31.5 14.50 24.5 23.0 0.6 21.6 0.6 1.7 1.2 8.1 21.5 15.00 26.1 25.7 0.6 9.6 0.9 1.8 5.9 7.9 -1.3 10.00 15.2 27.3 0.7 27.7 0.9 2.0 14.2 12.9 10.7 9.50 11.9 23.7 0.9 19.8 1.1 4.5 24.4 23.7 4.4 9.50 26.4 26.7 0.8 19.5 0.9 5.9 26.8 35.7 9.0 9.50 23.6 31.5 0.8 20.7 0.9 6.2 20.7 36.5 — — — — — 20.0 0.7 6.5 — — — — — — — 19.0 0.7 6.5 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 266 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [6] Domestic Credit/GDP [6] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 17.6 14.25 9.8 21.0 0.5 21.5 1.1 1.7 4.8 19.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 General government only Current Account Receipts Excludes central government (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Brazil Lead Analyst: Mauro Leos Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa2 Baa2 CFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa1 A1 Baa2 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 552.4 181.6 3,041 7,522 15.0 1.2 9.3 15.8 18.7 16.1 4.8 27.1 0.18 663.7 183.9 3,610 8,076 14.2 5.7 7.6 17.1 21.0 31.7 24.9 29.0 0.07 882.0 186.0 4,742 8,509 10.6 3.2 5.7 16.2 19.8 22.4 22.0 26.6 -0.10 1,089.3 188.0 5,795 9,036 10.4 3.9 3.1 16.8 19.7 17.3 22.9 25.8 -0.16 1,366.8 189.8 7,201 9,769 12.3 6.1 4.5 18.3 19.8 16.7 29.6 25.2 -0.13 1,653.5 191.5 8,633 10,405 13.9 5.2 5.9 20.7 20.9 23.7 37.6 27.1 -0.02 1,620.2 193.2 8,384 10,415 6.8 -0.3 4.3 17.8 17.7 -21.3 -19.0 22.1 0.02 2,143.1 194.9 10,993 11,180 16.4 7.5 5.9 20.2 19.2 31.0 41.3 22.8 0.07 2,476.7 196.7 12,594 11,640 9.9 2.7 6.5 19.7 19.0 26.4 22.6 24.5 -0.01 2,253.1 198.4 11,358 — 6.3 0.9 5.8 17.6 16.2 -3.9 0.8 26.5 — 2,371.7 200.1 11,852 — 8.9 3.0 5.9 18.1 18.6 8.0 9.5 27.4 — 2,629.7 201.9 13,027 — 9.7 3.5 6.2 19.0 18.6 8.5 10.0 27.0 — 34.5 40.2 -5.7 3.4 352.26 59.9 173.4 26.2 23.7 35.3 38.5 -3.3 3.8 409.93 56.0 158.8 20.0 20.3 36.6 40.0 -3.4 3.9 517.59 56.4 154.0 20.0 15.7 35.8 39.2 -3.4 3.9 625.42 56.4 157.6 20.4 11.3 36.5 38.5 -2.0 4.8 871.42 58.0 158.7 18.5 7.6 36.7 35.6 36.8 36.1 36.4 35.9 36.1 38.6 38.8 39.6 39.0 38.6 38.6 39.0 -1.9 -3.2 -2.8 -2.9 -2.2 -2.7 -2.9 4.8 2.7 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.1 745.18 1,133.89 1,193.21 1,207.02 1,264.84 1,421.70 1,572.96 57.4 60.9 53.4 54.2 58.7 59.3 59.8 156.6 171.3 145.0 150.1 161.1 165.2 165.7 18.3 16.6 15.8 17.0 13.8 14.0 13.9 8.3 5.6 5.4 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 267 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Brazil (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.89 9.2 4.18 0.8 235.41 55.8 8.6 40.0 262.2 14.18 38.81 1.8 -48.8 48.84 -20.56 2.65 7.6 11.68 1.8 220.18 56.9 8.5 30.1 191.1 14.24 37.56 1.3 -44.4 52.46 -22.70 2.34 21.9 13.98 1.6 187.99 51.4 10.0 20.5 133.0 14.46 51.59 1.4 -35.5 53.22 -17.15 2.14 8.8 13.64 1.3 199.37 42.9 10.2 18.0 118.6 14.88 42.02 -0.9 -33.5 85.15 -22.12 1.77 10.7 1.55 0.1 240.50 33.6 16.2 16.0 119.7 15.34 36.69 2.0 -39.2 179.43 -46.57 2.34 12.6 -28.19 -1.7 262.91 30.3 13.9 20.3 107.3 15.57 22.06 1.5 -16.9 192.84 -46.16 1.74 -4.4 -24.30 -1.5 277.56 32.9 11.2 14.9 143.0 13.92 29.64 2.2 -36.8 231.89 -33.03 1.69 15.2 -47.27 -2.2 351.94 28.7 16.3 15.7 143.7 13.46 32.86 1.7 -41.2 280.57 -58.08 1.86 7.3 -52.47 -2.1 404.12 24.2 9.9 18.1 130.7 15.47 37.13 2.7 -29.8 343.38 -88.14 2.04 -8.2 -54.23 -2.4 440.60 24.6 7.4 20.4 147.5 15.47 40.00 3.0 -33.0 362.10 -101.09 2.00 — -71.15 -3.0 465.60 25.8 11.2 19.4 144.3 15.47 38.56 2.5 — 379.12 — 2.00 — -92.04 -3.5 490.60 24.9 9.5 18.7 140.1 15.47 39.28 2.1 — 398.07 — 17.9 17.75 18.5 32.2 7.1 419.7 45.0 118.2 42.7 144.3 0.0 0.0 18.0 18.00 24.0 36.1 9.4 353.3 46.7 134.1 54.0 172.4 0.0 0.0 18.1 13.25 29.5 42.3 7.6 234.1 33.8 114.3 66.1 187.3 0.0 0.0 17.4 11.25 32.5 50.0 5.1 134.0 25.9 67.0 77.9 234.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 13.75 27.6 56.0 4.2 136.3 15.4 34.0 74.0 243.1 0.0 0.0 15.6 8.75 10.1 57.7 5.5 119.7 22.4 34.3 115.8 259.1 0.0 0.0 15.6 10.75 28.7 63.7 5.4 125.4 18.9 27.5 118.4 289.3 0.0 0.0 18.8 11.00 22.9 71.3 4.7 117.7 17.0 33.7 125.2 312.6 0.0 0.0 16.1 7.25 18.4 79.4 4.8 121.7 18.6 23.3 120.4 305.2 0.0 0.0 — — — — — 122.8 16.7 19.6 — — — — — — — — — 123.2 15.6 24.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [4] External Debt/GDP [4] External Debt/CA Receipts [4] [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 268 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [6] Domestic Credit/GDP [6] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [4] Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] [12] 21.8 16.50 6.6 31.0 5.9 482.0 59.0 167.3 46.4 144.5 0.0 0.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2005 External debt includes intercompany loans Current Account Receipts Excludes central government (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Bulgaria Lead Analyst: Kilbinder Dosanjh Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa2 Baa2 DCurrency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa3 Aa3 Baa2 Baa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 20.7 7.8 2,642 8,213 7.9 5.5 5.6 21.2 10.8 32.3 37.1 107.4 0.11 25.3 7.8 3,249 8,870 11.2 6.7 4.0 22.7 11.3 30.9 31.8 115.3 0.19 28.9 7.7 3,733 9,809 14.2 6.4 6.5 27.6 12.5 -10.8 0.3 96.2 0.19 33.2 7.7 4,313 11,063 13.8 6.5 6.5 32.1 14.6 73.5 62.8 140.0 -0.01 42.1 7.7 5,498 12,344 16.2 6.4 12.5 34.1 14.4 23.2 27.4 138.6 0.00 51.8 7.6 6,798 13,916 15.1 6.2 7.8 37.5 17.0 20.5 22.4 136.9 -0.05 48.6 7.6 6,403 13,617 -1.4 -5.5 0.6 29.4 20.5 -23.5 -32.9 103.8 0.06 47.7 7.5 6,335 13,892 3.2 0.4 4.5 22.9 21.0 18.7 3.4 116.7 0.01 53.5 7.3 7,286 15,083 6.8 1.8 2.8 21.9 21.9 29.9 25.8 133.0 0.01 51.0 7.3 6,983 — 3.0 0.8 4.2 23.8 20.1 -4.6 0.6 137.0 — 53.7 7.2 7,459 — 3.8 1.4 2.8 24.0 20.5 6.0 2.6 135.5 — 56.3 7.0 8,046 — 5.6 2.9 3.4 23.5 19.3 4.9 4.4 135.2 — 38.7 39.1 -0.4 1.8 10.26 44.4 114.6 5.7 90.6 40.4 38.6 1.9 3.8 10.25 37.0 91.4 4.7 87.5 38.3 37.3 1.0 2.7 7.54 27.5 71.7 4.2 84.1 36.2 34.4 1.9 3.2 7.53 21.6 59.6 3.7 80.8 40.4 39.2 1.2 2.3 7.78 17.2 42.7 2.9 76.2 40.1 38.4 1.7 2.6 6.83 13.7 34.2 2.2 75.7 37.1 41.4 -4.3 -3.6 7.32 14.6 39.4 2.1 76.7 34.3 37.4 -3.1 -2.4 7.78 16.2 47.3 2.1 74.3 33.6 35.6 -2.0 -1.2 8.13 16.3 48.6 2.2 73.8 34.9 35.7 -0.8 0.1 9.70 18.5 53.1 2.5 63.0 34.8 36.0 -1.2 -0.3 9.73 18.0 51.8 2.5 70.0 35.2 36.0 -0.8 0.0 9.93 17.6 50.2 2.4 75.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 269 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Bulgaria (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.55 5.1 -1.10 -5.3 13.44 62.3 14.3 57.9 94.1 0.46 1.22 6.7 -29.1 6.17 0.98 1.44 2.5 -1.62 -6.4 17.11 46.4 19.4 61.6 93.8 0.48 3.09 11.1 -33.0 8.71 -0.26 1.66 3.0 -3.36 -11.6 18.29 28.7 25.4 66.7 101.7 0.46 6.65 13.9 -41.9 7.99 0.05 1.49 8.1 -5.83 -17.6 27.25 17.9 29.8 78.1 113.0 0.61 5.43 23.0 -60.9 10.89 1.32 1.33 5.4 -10.61 -25.2 42.72 10.7 32.3 94.3 142.6 0.95 8.31 28.7 -87.1 16.42 -2.96 1.39 7.4 -11.97 -23.1 51.84 6.8 34.7 105.1 160.8 1.06 9.04 17.5 -94.9 16.76 -7.76 1.36 -1.9 -4.33 -8.9 54.48 7.5 32.1 108.3 199.2 0.97 9.66 7.2 -107.0 16.12 -6.66 1.47 2.3 -0.71 -1.5 49.47 7.8 30.2 102.7 159.3 0.71 8.95 2.7 -97.0 14.43 -4.61 1.51 4.9 0.05 0.1 46.88 7.7 27.8 94.1 127.2 0.86 7.95 3.1 -81.1 14.26 -2.26 1.48 0.1 -0.68 -1.3 49.60 9.0 27.7 94.8 125.8 0.84 7.55 3.3 — 17.38 -2.35 1.49 — -0.33 -0.6 49.01 8.9 27.5 91.5 120.4 0.86 7.80 3.1 — 17.50 — 1.51 — -0.59 -1.0 49.57 8.9 27.5 90.8 120.9 0.83 7.53 3.3 — 18.20 — 23.3 2.37 34.2 34.5 1.6 196.4 19.6 66.2 53.6 80.2 43.4 40.0 24.3 2.05 33.0 40.2 1.9 228.9 39.5 101.7 71.5 98.4 44.1 46.8 26.9 3.26 15.3 40.7 2.0 250.2 25.1 96.8 85.5 112.5 45.3 47.8 31.3 4.58 58.8 55.6 1.9 260.1 31.0 117.7 105.7 200.4 47.1 54.8 8.7 5.77 33.0 64.3 2.0 309.3 30.9 118.8 170.4 334.2 48.0 58.5 4.3 0.55 6.8 69.6 2.2 338.0 39.0 145.7 128.4 276.6 51.3 69.3 6.4 0.18 5.1 70.9 2.4 342.9 31.3 146.2 104.1 251.1 49.0 72.7 12.1 0.22 7.4 71.3 2.6 328.7 23.9 140.9 102.3 196.5 45.6 72.9 8.5 0.03 2.6 71.0 2.4 285.4 21.3 130.3 90.7 176.9 41.2 61.1 — — — — — 280.1 21.1 111.5 — — — — — — — — — 272.4 19.8 109.6 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 270 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [5] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 18.8 2.83 33.9 28.6 1.7 217.6 11.8 52.1 49.7 78.2 48.3 48.4 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2006 Current Account Receipts LEONIA rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Cambodia Lead Analyst: Anushka Shah Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B2 B2 No Banks Rated Stabilized Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B1 Ba1 B3 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.7 13.0 358 1,165 10.5 8.5 0.5 20.1 9.1 10.9 12.6 123.1 -0.88 5.3 13.2 405 1,305 15.7 10.3 5.6 16.2 8.5 28.8 21.9 134.5 -0.88 6.3 13.4 471 1,508 20.1 13.3 6.7 18.5 9.9 18.8 21.0 136.8 -0.97 7.3 13.5 538 1,704 15.9 10.8 2.8 22.5 15.6 23.7 20.8 144.6 -0.96 8.6 13.7 632 1,911 17.4 10.2 10.8 21.2 16.1 13.1 13.9 138.3 -0.86 10.4 13.8 749 2,061 19.8 6.7 12.5 18.6 14.9 20.2 11.3 133.3 -0.95 10.4 14.0 744 2,066 2.6 0.1 5.3 21.4 15.9 -8.1 -6.6 122.9 -0.80 11.2 14.1 795 2,180 9.2 6.0 3.1 17.4 12.4 -2.5 2.1 113.6 -0.82 12.8 14.3 897 2,358 10.7 7.1 4.9 17.1 11.1 14.1 14.1 113.6 -0.75 14.3 14.5 987 — 10.9 6.5 3.0 17.2 12.1 19.3 16.4 119.9 — 15.8 14.7 1,073 — 9.3 6.7 3.5 17.8 11.0 14.6 15.5 125.1 — 17.5 14.9 1,173 — 11.2 7.2 4.0 18.3 10.9 14.7 17.9 131.3 — 9.6 16.2 -6.6 -6.4 2.44 52.4 546.5 1.9 73.7 10.3 14.4 -4.1 -3.8 2.64 49.5 480.1 2.2 77.2 10.3 12.8 -2.5 -2.3 2.57 40.9 396.6 2.1 82.5 11.5 14.2 -2.7 -2.6 2.56 35.1 305.6 1.5 88.2 11.9 14.7 -2.9 -2.7 2.69 31.2 262.1 1.7 95.9 13.0 16.1 -3.1 -2.9 2.89 27.9 214.1 1.4 96.2 12.0 20.4 -8.4 -8.2 3.01 29.0 240.8 1.7 97.6 13.1 20.6 -7.5 -7.2 3.41 30.3 231.4 2.3 98.0 13.1 20.6 -7.5 -7.2 3.92 30.5 233.1 2.3 98.0 13.8 20.0 -6.2 -5.9 4.35 30.4 221.0 2.2 98.4 14.4 20.0 -5.6 -5.3 4.80 30.4 212.0 2.0 98.4 14.5 19.8 -5.3 -5.0 5.17 29.5 203.2 2.2 98.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 271 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Cambodia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 3,984.00 4,027.00 4,112.00 4,057.00 3,999.00 4,077.00 4,165.00 4,051.00 4,039.00 3,995.00 4,000.00 4,020.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.23 -0.18 -0.31 -0.26 -0.48 -1.05 -0.93 -0.88 -1.20 -1.28 -1.36 -1.52 -5.0 -3.4 -4.9 -3.6 -5.6 -10.2 -8.9 -7.8 -9.3 -8.9 -8.6 -8.7 3.32 3.56 3.62 3.55 2.81 3.27 3.52 3.83 4.34 5.03 5.68 6.54 89.5 89.2 89.4 93.5 91.2 89.4 88.8 89.8 88.0 89.5 91.5 91.7 6.7 7.4 7.7 5.9 8.0 9.9 7.5 6.8 9.0 8.0 6.2 6.1 71.2 66.7 57.5 48.8 32.6 31.6 33.9 34.1 33.8 35.1 36.0 37.4 107.0 91.6 78.0 61.9 44.2 46.0 54.4 50.4 50.9 51.1 50.5 51.5 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.6 2.3 6.0 6.5 10.0 7.7 5.0 6.8 7.3 5.8 5.9 5.9 -16.6 -16.8 -17.0 -15.4 -19.6 -22.3 -21.5 -24.2 — — — — 0.82 0.94 0.95 1.16 1.81 2.29 2.74 3.15 3.34 3.49 3.62 3.80 0.13 0.18 0.26 0.39 0.51 -0.13 0.28 0.49 0.38 0.55 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 272 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [4] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 15.4 1.90 28.8 6.4 1.0 407.2 0.8 28.4 15.2 40.5 95.4 56.4 28.3 1.90 40.4 6.7 1.1 377.5 0.7 27.8 21.2 38.6 95.8 64.5 15.8 2.00 8.8 7.5 1.3 379.8 0.7 28.6 18.9 40.3 95.9 67.8 40.5 1.90 42.2 7.4 1.5 306.8 0.6 30.9 12.1 39.1 97.2 77.9 61.8 1.90 70.9 9.7 1.6 155.7 0.5 19.2 12.9 88.7 98.0 87.7 5.4 1.90 50.6 15.0 1.3 142.6 0.6 13.5 29.3 102.6 97.0 81.7 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts Deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 35.6 1.30 21.0 16.8 1.4 128.4 0.8 15.2 17.4 156.2 96.4 90.5 21.3 1.20 29.8 19.7 1.5 121.7 0.8 10.9 31.1 122.0 96.8 95.9 3.9 1.40 17.6 23.9 1.5 129.6 0.9 9.6 42.1 140.0 96.4 111.1 39.4 1.30 52.5 29.4 2.0 144.1 0.9 13.0 110.2 226.2 95.7 104.3 — — — — — 157.0 0.8 12.9 — — — — — — — — — 171.9 0.7 11.3 — — — — Canada Lead Analyst: Steven A. Hess Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa BFree Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 887.8 31.7 28,028 31,231 5.3 2.0 2.1 7.6 20.6 24.5 8.3 8.9 -1.7 4.2 3.8 70.2 2.01 1,018.1 32.0 31,821 32,781 6.5 3.2 2.1 7.2 21.5 26.0 16.1 14.2 5.5 8.5 4.4 70.5 1.96 1,164.2 32.3 36,030 35,033 6.5 3.1 2.1 6.8 22.8 26.7 12.8 14.4 2.2 7.3 3.9 70.0 1.91 1,309.9 32.6 40,211 36,863 5.3 2.7 1.8 6.3 23.6 26.4 8.0 11.6 0.9 5.3 2.7 68.3 1.93 1,458.0 32.9 44,279 38,352 5.4 2.1 2.5 6.0 24.0 26.0 7.7 9.3 1.1 5.8 2.1 66.5 1.77 1,542.5 33.3 46,296 38,987 5.1 1.1 1.2 6.1 24.0 25.8 6.3 7.6 -4.5 0.8 1.7 67.2 1.79 1,368.9 33.7 40,587 37,801 -4.9 -2.8 1.3 8.3 21.8 20.2 -26.7 -18.8 -12.8 -12.4 -1.5 58.4 1.83 1,616.0 34.1 47,354 39,075 6.4 3.2 2.4 8.0 23.3 21.3 20.1 21.8 6.5 13.6 -1.9 59.9 1.86 1,781.1 34.5 51,650 40,420 5.9 2.6 2.3 7.4 23.6 22.3 16.4 13.7 4.6 5.8 -1.3 62.5 1.85 1,819.1 34.9 52,169 — 3.1 1.8 0.9 7.2 24.5 22.5 0.2 2.7 1.6 2.9 -2.0 62.1 — 1,855.8 35.2 52,651 — 2.9 1.6 1.6 7.2 24.2 21.7 1.5 3.1 2.6 3.6 -2.5 62.2 — 1,932.7 35.6 54,239 — 4.4 2.6 1.9 7.0 24.6 22.6 7.6 6.0 5.6 4.7 -2.1 63.8 — 39.7 39.2 0.5 5.8 643.37 66.8 168.3 13.2 39.6 37.9 1.6 6.5 688.18 62.5 158.1 12.2 39.7 37.2 2.5 7.0 720.69 59.5 149.9 11.2 40.0 37.2 2.8 7.0 728.10 57.1 142.8 10.6 39.7 37.2 2.6 6.6 848.26 53.5 134.7 10.2 38.4 38.5 37.5 37.4 37.6 38.1 38.3 37.5 41.6 40.9 39.9 39.8 39.7 39.2 0.9 -3.1 -3.3 -2.5 -2.2 -1.6 -0.9 4.7 0.7 0.3 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.2 775.26 1,023.33 1,150.40 1,206.29 1,319.75 1,317.10 1,360.53 57.7 68.4 69.2 69.9 72.3 71.8 69.7 150.1 177.8 184.2 186.7 192.1 188.4 181.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.5 8.8 8.5 8.1 1.29 8.0 87.6 10.21 1.1 -1.7 -20.6 31.54 1.20 2.0 93.4 23.23 2.3 -4.3 -15.4 30.17 1.16 3.4 100.0 21.58 1.9 -0.2 -13.3 30.66 1.17 3.2 107.7 17.93 1.4 1.1 -8.0 33.20 0.99 0.8 112.1 11.36 0.8 3.6 -10.3 39.31 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 273 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions 1.22 -8.3 110.7 1.79 0.1 -1.1 -4.0 41.54 1.05 -7.8 107.1 -40.59 -3.0 -1.2 -10.3 42.60 1.00 6.9 117.7 -58.41 -3.6 -0.3 -11.6 44.89 1.02 -1.4 119.5 -52.85 -3.0 -0.5 -12.2 52.81 1.00 -2.3 120.0 -67.00 -3.7 -0.5 — 55.24 1.02 — — -72.37 -3.9 -0.6 — 58.00 1.00 — — -65.71 -3.4 -0.4 — 62.00 Cayman Islands Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Aa3 Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime No Banks Rated Currency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa2 Aa2 Aa3 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.3 0.0 48,237 — 3.7 2.0 0.6 — — — — — 1.30 2.4 0.0 48,780 — 5.3 0.9 11.2 — — — — — 1.16 2.8 0.1 53,600 — 14.3 6.5 0.0 — — — — — 1.25 2.9 0.1 54,420 — 5.4 4.6 1.6 — — — — 104.9 1.25 3.2 0.1 57,536 — 7.7 4.3 1.7 — — -0.9 3.9 99.0 1.24 3.2 0.1 57,991 — 0.8 -0.2 3.9 — — 8.6 5.4 105.0 1.27 3.0 0.1 54,190 — -4.9 -6.3 -1.3 — — -9.9 -9.3 99.8 1.24 2.9 0.1 52,674 — -2.8 -2.9 0.3 — — 4.8 -1.2 104.3 1.23 3.0 0.1 52,695 — 1.8 0.9 1.9 — — 7.0 2.0 107.0 1.22 3.1 0.1 54,329 — 3.1 1.5 1.6 — — 5.0 5.0 99.0 — 3.2 0.1 55,566 — 3.3 1.5 1.8 — — 5.0 4.9 98.0 — 3.3 0.1 56,666 — 3.0 1.4 1.6 — — 5.2 5.1 100.1 — 16.9 15.8 1.1 1.4 0.17 7.5 44.1 1.8 100.0 16.6 18.6 -2.1 -1.7 0.19 7.8 46.8 2.2 100.0 18.4 18.5 -0.1 0.3 0.22 7.8 42.2 2.2 100.0 20.4 17.7 2.7 3.1 0.22 7.3 35.9 1.8 100.0 19.5 20.9 -1.5 -1.1 0.25 8.0 41.0 1.9 100.0 19.6 25.3 -5.6 -5.2 0.43 13.4 68.0 2.2 100.0 18.7 26.8 -8.1 -7.3 0.62 20.3 108.4 4.1 100.0 21.0 24.6 -3.6 -2.5 0.71 24.1 115.0 5.4 100.0 21.8 25.0 -3.2 -1.9 0.74 24.5 112.4 6.0 100.0 21.7 24.8 -3.1 -2.3 0.72 23.3 107.1 3.6 100.0 22.3 23.3 -1.0 -0.2 0.71 22.3 100.1 3.4 100.0 21.9 22.4 -0.5 0.3 0.71 21.5 98.3 3.8 100.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 274 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) [1] GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [2] [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.83 — — — 0.17 100.0 — 7.5 — 0.01 0.15 — — 0.08 — 0.83 — — — 0.19 100.0 — 7.8 — 0.01 0.01 — — 0.10 — 0.83 — — — 0.22 100.0 — 7.8 — 0.01 0.01 — — 0.11 — 0.83 — -0.62 -21.2 0.22 100.0 — 7.3 5.3 0.01 0.02 — — 0.12 — 0.83 — -0.70 -22.0 0.25 100.0 — 8.0 5.1 0.01 0.02 — — 0.13 — 0.83 — -0.67 -20.9 0.43 100.0 — 13.4 8.5 0.01 0.02 — — 0.12 — 0.83 — -0.62 -20.3 0.62 100.0 — 20.3 15.1 0.02 0.03 — — 0.12 — 0.83 — -0.61 -20.5 0.71 100.0 — 24.1 20.2 0.03 0.03 — — 0.11 — 0.83 — -0.66 -21.8 0.74 100.0 — 24.5 17.7 0.04 0.16 — — 0.11 — 0.83 — -0.64 -20.6 0.72 100.0 — 23.3 15.4 0.04 0.02 — — 0.12 — 0.83 — -0.50 -15.8 0.71 100.0 — 22.3 15.3 0.04 0.02 — — 0.12 — 0.83 — -0.53 -16.0 0.71 100.0 — 21.5 15.2 0.04 0.02 — — 0.13 — — — — — — 180.8 — 14.3 14.4 88.1 — — — — — 201.5 — 13.1 17.1 101.7 — — — — — 181.1 0.7 16.2 16.7 106.1 — — — — — 197.5 0.6 16.5 17.1 101.2 — — — — — 349.4 0.8 19.4 13.1 84.3 — — — — — 511.2 1.3 25.5 17.1 93.4 — — — — — 663.2 1.8 25.8 19.2 96.0 — — — — — 648.4 4.8 149.8 21.2 101.5 — — — — — 600.0 1.3 17.6 29.5 104.9 — — — — — 595.0 1.3 16.7 — — — — — — — 544.6 1.2 15.0 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) [5] Current Account Balance/GDP [5] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [6] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP [6] External Debt/CA Receipts [6] [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [8] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 275 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [6] Debt Service Ratio [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks — — — — — 217.0 — 195.7 11.7 80.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Population below 50,000 prior to 2004 appears as 0.0 due to rounding Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Calculated from merchandise exports and imports, tourism receipts, and interest payments only Central government only Current Account Receipts 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; 2011 reflects payment of loan facility (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Central government only; 2003 reflects debt prepayment and refinancing; 2011 reflects payment of loan facility; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Chile Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 C Free Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa1 Aaa Aa3 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 76.1 15.9 4,783 10,955 8.9 3.8 1.1 21.8 25.8 18.1 12.9 67.0 1.24 99.3 16.1 6,172 11,817 15.0 7.0 2.4 20.3 29.6 46.4 26.0 70.2 1.20 123.1 16.3 7,565 12,802 13.8 6.2 3.7 22.0 30.4 25.4 29.4 72.1 1.22 154.7 16.4 9,412 13,681 19.1 5.7 2.6 20.7 35.0 37.0 17.0 73.5 1.13 173.1 16.6 10,428 14,580 10.3 5.2 7.8 20.6 33.8 15.2 20.7 77.2 1.27 179.6 16.8 10,715 15,298 3.8 3.3 7.1 26.0 27.9 -4.7 28.4 81.0 1.18 172.0 16.9 10,158 15,194 2.8 -1.0 -1.5 20.3 27.9 -14.3 -28.3 66.8 1.15 217.6 17.1 12,727 16,084 15.1 5.8 3.0 22.4 28.7 29.5 35.8 69.8 1.18 251.2 17.2 14,563 17,270 9.4 5.9 4.4 23.5 26.8 15.3 26.2 72.7 1.17 268.3 17.4 15,418 — 7.4 5.6 1.5 25.0 25.3 -3.8 4.2 68.1 — 282.7 17.7 15,970 — 8.2 5.0 2.6 27.1 28.7 4.0 6.0 67.9 — 297.6 18.1 16,443 — 7.9 4.8 3.0 28.3 31.3 5.1 5.2 69.2 — 20.1 20.5 -0.4 0.7 11.10 12.6 62.9 5.6 90.7 21.2 19.2 2.1 3.0 11.13 10.3 48.5 4.4 84.0 22.9 18.5 4.4 5.2 9.37 7.0 30.6 3.5 71.7 24.5 17.2 7.3 8.0 7.67 5.0 20.4 2.7 67.8 25.6 17.8 7.8 8.4 7.09 3.9 15.2 2.3 51.5 24.2 20.3 3.9 4.4 7.34 4.9 20.3 1.9 40.0 19.0 23.4 -4.4 -3.9 11.10 5.8 30.6 2.6 22.8 21.5 22.0 -0.5 0.0 20.36 8.6 39.9 2.2 17.3 22.7 21.4 1.3 1.8 25.93 11.1 49.1 2.5 17.2 21.9 21.4 0.6 1.1 32.42 11.9 54.2 2.7 13.7 22.5 22.0 0.5 1.0 32.59 11.5 51.0 2.4 14.5 23.1 23.2 -0.1 0.4 33.67 11.3 49.0 2.2 14.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 276 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 599.42 -1.3 -0.83 -1.1 43.00 22.5 16.5 56.5 147.2 1.49 6.54 3.4 -49.7 15.21 -3.01 559.83 9.1 2.60 2.6 43.21 23.6 17.9 43.5 101.7 1.43 8.12 5.1 -35.2 15.50 -2.95 514.21 11.3 1.89 1.5 45.63 21.6 14.8 37.1 84.8 1.51 6.06 4.0 -29.7 16.69 -3.36 534.43 5.8 7.12 4.6 48.30 23.1 16.8 31.2 64.7 2.00 12.54 3.4 -14.1 19.22 -1.82 495.82 -0.5 7.08 4.1 53.42 21.9 16.9 30.9 60.9 2.15 9.74 4.5 -5.3 16.70 0.12 629.11 5.2 -5.80 -3.2 63.72 18.3 22.0 35.5 74.9 1.86 14.27 3.5 -15.0 22.85 -5.45 506.43 1.9 3.52 2.0 71.93 18.4 22.0 41.8 100.2 1.76 16.38 3.3 -13.1 23.85 -7.36 468.37 0.1 3.22 1.5 84.45 20.4 19.2 38.8 90.2 2.22 12.29 2.7 -13.6 26.32 -9.51 521.46 1.4 -3.28 -1.3 98.74 20.8 19.8 39.3 94.3 2.15 12.85 1.0 -12.6 40.12 -12.34 478.60 3.3 -9.50 -3.5 117.78 21.4 19.4 43.9 101.3 2.15 18.46 3.4 -16.7 42.10 -11.42 495.00 — -12.15 -4.3 122.63 22.7 21.8 43.4 102.2 2.15 18.93 2.6 — 43.15 — 510.00 — -11.90 -4.0 128.04 23.0 24.3 43.0 105.8 2.15 19.20 2.2 — 43.90 — 18.6 2.25 11.4 68.7 3.1 278.9 22.5 100.1 67.5 135.6 21.4 4.50 9.7 66.2 3.8 273.4 14.1 89.0 62.1 124.7 17.4 5.25 12.3 62.4 3.7 251.3 19.5 115.7 52.3 102.1 20.3 6.00 23.1 69.7 5.5 320.0 13.6 92.8 64.5 118.8 18.7 8.25 8.3 72.7 3.8 278.9 19.0 139.5 79.2 162.9 -5.5 0.50 -1.4 69.8 4.2 301.6 25.3 133.1 76.5 192.2 9.3 3.25 8.2 65.7 4.5 320.9 15.5 117.9 77.3 182.6 18.5 5.25 17.4 70.4 3.2 246.1 14.3 110.5 93.4 162.2 7.6 5.00 13.4 74.4 3.8 296.4 15.9 94.8 94.7 190.1 — — — — — 284.2 13.3 94.1 — — — — — — — 291.7 13.6 97.2 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 277 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks -2.6 2.25 3.5 70.9 2.5 282.7 27.5 82.3 71.9 155.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks China Lead Analyst: Thomas J. Byrne Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 D Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1,650.8 1,288.4 1,281 3,199 13.4 10.0 3.2 41.0 43.6 32.7 36.9 56.6 -0.04 1,942.8 1,296.1 1,499 3,599 17.7 10.1 2.4 43.0 46.6 35.7 35.2 65.1 0.00 2,283.5 1,303.7 1,752 4,115 16.4 11.3 1.6 41.6 47.4 27.1 17.3 67.8 -0.09 2,787.2 1,311.0 2,126 4,760 18.8 12.7 2.8 41.8 50.1 26.9 19.7 68.7 0.12 3,494.5 1,317.9 2,652 5,564 19.6 14.2 6.5 41.7 51.8 26.4 21.3 68.0 0.22 4,532.2 1,324.7 3,421 6,202 18.5 9.6 1.0 43.9 53.2 17.8 19.2 62.1 0.19 5,069.7 1,331.3 3,808 6,827 10.0 9.2 1.9 47.5 52.3 -15.7 -9.7 48.3 0.13 5,951.3 1,337.7 4,449 7,554 16.3 10.4 4.6 48.0 52.0 30.8 36.6 54.8 0.12 7,204.2 1,344.1 5,360 8,400 15.5 9.3 4.1 49.2 51.1 19.7 24.8 55.3 0.12 8,227.1 1,350.9 6,090 — 11.6 7.8 2.5 48.3 50.7 7.7 6.2 51.8 — 15.9 18.0 -2.1 -1.4 325.86 19.7 124.2 4.4 16.2 16.4 17.7 -1.3 -0.8 345.05 17.8 108.2 2.9 9.7 16.9 18.1 -1.2 -0.8 389.55 16.8 99.3 2.6 8.5 17.4 19.3 19.5 19.8 20.6 22.3 22.6 23.1 23.8 18.2 18.7 19.9 22.0 22.3 23.5 24.4 25.4 26.3 -0.7 0.6 -0.4 -2.2 -1.7 -1.2 -1.8 -2.3 -2.5 -0.3 1.0 0.0 -1.8 -1.2 -0.6 -0.9 -1.4 -1.5 723.39 1,088.76 1,271.68 1,712.46 2,074.13 2,274.22 2,427.55 2,714.80 3,024.69 25.4 29.9 27.6 33.8 34.1 30.8 29.4 28.7 28.2 145.7 155.0 141.7 170.7 165.3 138.0 130.2 124.0 118.6 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.7 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 278 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] 9,324.5 10,622.1 1,357.6 1,364.4 6,868 7,785 — — 11.2 11.3 8.0 7.5 3.0 3.5 47.6 47.2 50.1 49.5 9.5 9.6 10.1 10.1 50.2 48.4 — — GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 8.28 -4.9 43.05 2.6 219.36 — 46.8 13.3 42.2 5.22 25.39 3.0 — 403.25 85.46 8.28 -2.0 68.94 3.5 262.99 — 52.7 13.5 37.4 5.22 22.42 3.1 14.2 609.93 108.16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 8.07 7.81 7.30 6.83 6.83 6.62 6.30 6.29 6.10 6.00 2.3 2.8 2.4 8.3 0.4 1.0 2.4 2.3 — — 132.38 231.84 353.18 420.57 243.26 237.90 136.00 193.10 233.54 242.64 5.8 8.3 10.1 9.3 4.8 4.0 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.3 296.54 338.59 389.22 390.16 428.65 548.94 695.00 736.99 796.99 856.99 — — — — — — — — — — 57.9 58.8 60.6 58.0 60.5 68.4 72.1 73.4 74.1 74.8 13.0 12.1 11.1 8.6 8.5 9.2 9.6 9.0 8.5 8.1 32.8 29.5 26.5 22.3 28.9 28.4 30.4 30.0 29.9 29.5 3.08 3.10 4.96 4.15 3.63 3.01 2.28 2.29 2.55 2.82 20.75 17.90 20.27 23.29 34.19 27.18 33.16 38.82 39.21 41.21 4.0 3.6 4.0 2.5 1.7 3.1 3.2 2.3 1.7 1.2 17.9 23.0 34.0 33.0 29.4 28.4 23.4 21.1 — — 818.87 1,066.34 1,528.25 1,946.03 2,399.15 2,847.34 3,181.15 3,311.59 3,356.36 3,358.68 159.83 205.13 189.92 251.07 172.64 171.31 261.01 300.47 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 279 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [6] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 19.2 1.98 19.5 151.0 6.3 54.4 5.9 39.3 32.1 68.9 14.9 2.25 8.8 139.6 4.8 43.1 3.9 31.0 36.1 74.8 16.7 2.25 10.7 132.7 4.3 36.2 2.6 26.1 44.3 76.9 22.1 2.52 16.3 129.9 4.2 31.8 1.8 23.1 51.9 83.7 16.7 4.14 17.6 127.8 3.6 25.5 1.7 20.6 42.7 67.0 17.8 2.25 11.7 120.5 3.6 20.0 1.6 16.9 43.1 65.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government debt only prior to 2006, local government debt included thereafter Includes government guaranteed debt except that of the banking sector Current Account Receipts One year deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 28.4 2.25 30.4 142.8 3.7 17.9 2.5 13.4 76.2 87.8 18.9 2.75 18.8 145.8 3.8 19.3 1.6 11.9 116.2 135.2 17.3 3.50 17.1 147.8 4.2 21.8 1.5 14.4 128.4 156.8 14.4 3.00 17.1 155.1 4.7 22.3 1.7 17.0 110.7 142.0 — — — — — 23.7 1.6 17.5 — — — — — — — 25.5 1.5 18.8 — — Colombia Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 D+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 A1 Baa3 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 94.6 41.7 2,263 6,430 11.0 3.9 6.4 18.7 15.3 8.1 6.1 36.5 -0.14 117.1 42.4 2,769 6,856 13.0 5.3 5.5 19.4 17.1 25.2 18.5 35.9 -0.14 146.5 43.0 3,419 7,305 10.5 4.7 4.8 20.2 18.3 25.7 23.1 35.6 -0.16 162.8 43.7 3,748 7,924 12.9 6.7 4.5 22.4 19.5 16.3 21.4 38.2 -0.10 207.5 44.4 4,733 8,588 12.3 6.9 5.7 23.0 19.8 19.5 22.8 36.3 -0.03 244.3 45.0 5,536 8,957 11.4 3.5 7.6 23.5 21.0 26.7 20.6 38.1 -0.01 233.9 45.7 5,243 9,094 5.1 1.7 1.9 22.4 20.2 -13.7 -13.8 34.3 -0.02 287.0 46.3 6,314 9,393 8.0 4.0 3.1 22.1 20.3 22.0 19.4 33.7 0.14 336.4 46.9 7,309 10,033 14.1 6.6 3.7 23.7 22.9 39.2 30.6 38.7 0.24 369.6 47.6 7,772 — 6.9 4.0 2.4 23.5 22.3 6.3 8.2 37.8 — 399.0 48.2 8,279 — 7.3 4.3 2.9 24.5 21.2 10.4 10.2 38.6 — 425.8 48.7 8,743 — 7.9 4.6 3.2 25.3 24.0 7.9 9.9 39.4 — 13.1 17.2 -4.1 -0.3 41.72 42.6 323.8 28.8 49.5 13.2 16.9 -3.7 -0.2 50.08 38.9 294.6 26.7 44.6 13.6 17.8 -4.2 -1.1 58.17 39.1 287.3 22.4 35.8 14.9 17.9 -3.1 0.5 64.32 37.5 252.0 23.9 36.5 15.3 18.0 -2.8 0.8 70.48 32.9 215.6 23.2 33.6 15.9 17.7 -1.7 1.2 71.16 33.3 208.8 18.5 34.2 15.4 19.2 -3.7 -0.8 86.43 35.0 226.6 18.9 33.6 13.8 17.3 -3.5 -0.9 99.41 34.9 253.9 19.0 31.2 15.2 17.2 -2.0 0.5 106.97 33.4 220.5 16.6 30.8 16.1 18.0 -1.9 0.6 120.98 32.2 199.8 15.0 27.8 16.4 18.2 -1.8 0.4 128.08 32.1 197.5 13.0 22.3 16.6 18.3 -1.7 0.2 135.32 31.8 191.7 11.7 20.4 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 280 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 2,778.21 2,389.75 2,284.22 2,238.79 2,014.76 2,243.59 2,044.23 1,913.98 1,942.70 1,768.23 1,805.00 1,810.00 -11.2 7.5 10.7 -1.9 7.2 3.9 -6.1 15.5 -0.4 2.1 — — -0.99 -0.91 -1.89 -2.99 -5.98 -6.74 -4.96 -8.76 -9.98 -11.42 -11.00 -11.92 -1.0 -0.8 -1.3 -1.8 -2.9 -2.8 -2.1 -3.1 -3.0 -3.1 -2.8 -2.8 38.06 39.50 38.51 40.10 44.55 46.37 53.72 64.72 75.90 78.64 73.99 71.49 64.6 65.4 62.8 65.6 64.7 63.5 69.1 61.1 56.3 59.0 53.0 51.0 9.3 13.0 16.0 11.9 11.6 12.1 7.5 12.7 14.2 14.2 13.6 13.5 40.2 33.7 26.3 24.6 21.5 19.0 23.0 22.6 22.6 21.3 18.5 16.8 200.7 169.1 133.3 118.4 110.0 94.5 123.5 127.5 109.2 107.5 101.2 97.7 2.37 2.36 2.77 2.52 2.95 2.99 2.89 3.21 3.70 3.50 3.00 2.90 6.18 5.17 7.28 7.64 5.46 4.75 5.78 6.44 6.40 6.01 5.66 5.47 0.8 2.5 3.8 3.4 3.9 3.4 1.7 0.1 1.5 4.3 3.4 3.3 -31.0 -27.4 -24.3 -24.6 -23.1 -21.8 -25.4 -24.1 -23.4 -24.6 — — 10.19 12.77 14.21 14.67 20.10 22.81 23.16 26.35 29.88 34.92 38.10 40.20 -0.24 -1.69 1.63 6.60 4.84 4.21 8.00 5.40 3.39 7.91 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 281 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [8] [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] 11.5 7.25 7.5 29.9 2.6 373.6 45.1 96.5 29.7 95.6 0.0 0.0 19.1 6.50 16.9 30.9 2.9 309.3 32.3 85.7 33.2 82.1 0.0 0.0 17.7 6.00 13.8 31.9 3.2 271.1 34.8 97.1 36.9 88.5 0.0 0.0 17.4 7.50 20.0 33.9 3.7 273.3 30.0 97.3 35.2 76.9 0.0 0.0 17.7 9.50 15.3 34.8 3.6 221.7 20.8 69.7 52.7 93.3 0.0 0.0 16.8 9.50 14.0 35.6 3.4 203.3 15.8 49.3 36.3 92.6 0.0 0.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System With restricted exemptions, legislation prohibits foreign currency deposits Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 5.8 3.50 9.9 37.2 3.8 232.0 19.9 50.1 31.9 70.3 0.0 0.0 10.2 3.00 15.3 39.8 3.7 245.6 19.0 45.1 65.5 109.0 0.0 0.0 18.9 4.75 17.5 41.0 4.0 254.1 14.5 55.4 74.4 126.7 0.0 0.0 16.3 4.25 14.8 44.0 4.4 225.2 13.0 56.3 81.2 131.7 0.0 0.0 — — — — — 194.2 11.8 48.3 — — — — — — — — — 177.8 11.4 40.8 — — — — Costa Rica Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 No Banks Rated Other Managed Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 Aa2 Ba1 Aa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.5 4.2 4,211 7,986 15.2 6.4 9.8 20.6 18.8 14.5 6.0 95.2 0.26 18.6 4.2 4,390 8,409 16.6 4.3 13.1 23.1 19.9 5.2 8.2 95.7 0.24 20.0 4.3 4,633 9,042 17.1 5.9 14.1 24.3 18.9 12.6 17.1 102.5 0.15 22.5 4.4 5,141 9,985 20.7 8.8 9.4 26.4 20.3 14.3 15.6 104.4 0.11 26.3 4.5 5,911 10,913 18.1 7.9 10.8 24.7 19.9 15.9 13.1 102.2 0.20 29.8 4.5 6,598 11,283 15.5 2.7 13.9 27.6 17.8 5.7 16.9 100.6 0.27 29.4 4.6 6,400 11,146 7.3 -1.0 4.1 16.3 16.9 -8.4 -25.6 84.0 0.33 36.3 4.7 7,791 11,579 13.3 5.0 5.8 20.6 17.9 11.5 21.3 79.1 0.32 41.0 4.7 8,680 12,157 8.7 4.4 4.7 21.6 16.7 10.9 16.9 79.8 0.35 45.1 4.8 9,409 — 9.3 5.1 4.5 21.2 17.1 10.6 8.6 79.5 — 48.7 4.9 9,975 — 9.6 4.3 4.8 21.3 17.6 10.3 9.4 79.7 — 53.3 5.0 10,665 — 9.6 4.4 5.0 21.5 17.7 11.8 10.3 80.1 — 14.1 16.5 -2.4 1.9 6.68 40.0 284.7 30.3 32.7 13.7 16.1 -2.5 1.6 7.29 41.1 300.8 29.9 33.0 13.9 15.8 -1.9 2.3 7.20 37.5 269.5 29.7 32.9 14.2 15.1 -0.8 3.0 7.41 33.3 234.2 26.7 31.3 15.5 14.9 0.6 3.7 7.52 27.5 177.9 19.9 30.2 15.9 15.7 0.2 2.4 6.99 24.7 156.0 13.7 29.1 14.0 17.4 -3.4 -1.3 8.11 27.2 193.9 15.2 21.2 14.3 19.5 -5.2 -3.1 10.84 29.1 203.7 14.7 20.5 14.6 18.7 -4.1 -1.9 12.46 30.7 210.9 14.9 16.1 14.4 18.8 -4.4 -2.3 15.73 35.2 244.3 14.4 17.3 14.5 19.4 -4.9 -2.3 18.07 37.1 255.9 17.7 19.0 15.1 20.2 -5.1 -2.7 20.76 38.9 258.2 15.8 20.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 282 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 418.53 -6.6 -0.88 -5.0 5.70 67.6 28.7 32.5 65.5 0.30 0.53 3.1 -29.2 1.81 -0.54 458.61 -3.1 -0.79 -4.3 5.75 61.2 29.1 30.9 63.0 0.22 0.69 3.9 -16.5 1.89 -0.36 496.68 0.5 -0.98 -4.9 6.52 48.5 32.1 32.7 54.3 0.27 0.57 4.5 -18.4 2.28 0.25 517.90 0.8 -1.02 -4.5 7.03 47.2 33.5 31.2 50.7 0.30 0.50 6.1 -15.4 3.08 0.13 498.10 1.5 -1.65 -6.3 8.45 43.3 38.3 32.1 51.7 0.35 0.56 6.2 -17.2 4.08 -0.63 555.47 3.9 -2.79 -9.3 9.25 34.9 43.1 31.0 55.2 0.46 1.12 6.9 -22.8 3.77 -0.76 565.24 2.0 -0.58 -2.0 8.16 39.4 27.5 27.8 53.2 0.43 0.86 4.6 -26.0 3.83 -0.04 512.97 12.3 -1.28 -3.5 8.52 44.6 28.5 23.5 51.8 0.40 0.57 4.0 -25.9 4.39 -0.17 511.84 2.3 -2.20 -5.4 10.29 38.1 23.5 25.1 56.8 0.43 1.11 5.0 -29.2 4.52 -1.15 508.20 5.2 -2.34 -5.2 14.70 41.2 25.5 32.6 79.5 0.60 1.15 5.0 — 6.62 -1.87 510.00 — -2.23 -4.6 15.30 45.3 26.1 31.4 79.7 0.65 1.40 4.8 — 8.10 — 511.00 — -2.51 -4.7 15.70 47.0 27.2 29.4 80.8 0.71 1.60 5.0 — 8.30 — 17.6 — 24.6 42.7 2.2 304.3 10.0 128.5 57.1 123.6 53.3 149.2 25.7 — 19.2 43.5 2.1 285.6 7.0 118.6 44.3 117.1 52.0 116.1 29.2 8.97 20.2 43.3 2.0 228.0 5.7 113.6 42.1 74.1 49.5 101.8 30.2 5.52 29.3 47.4 2.0 207.0 5.6 94.6 39.5 93.3 43.9 86.6 12.8 10.00 30.6 53.6 2.2 245.5 9.5 106.8 51.9 120.2 49.3 115.9 11.1 9.00 9.3 54.6 2.4 213.4 8.4 128.6 49.9 125.5 50.6 125.0 12.3 6.50 5.1 50.6 2.6 194.0 5.9 73.6 57.5 143.9 46.6 121.8 11.8 5.00 14.0 53.1 2.8 227.6 8.5 80.6 69.9 179.3 44.0 128.7 13.0 5.00 9.4 53.1 2.2 222.0 9.5 79.0 57.4 123.2 40.8 100.7 — — — — — 188.9 10.7 77.7 — — — — — — — — — 189.2 11.9 69.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 283 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [5] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 18.9 — 23.2 40.0 2.2 314.8 9.6 138.2 67.5 156.5 46.5 123.3 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts Central Bank introduced Monetary Policy Rate in 2006 (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Croatia Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 No Banks Rated Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa1 A3 Ba2 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 34.1 4.4 7,690 13,422 9.6 5.4 1.7 27.1 19.4 33.9 31.7 92.8 0.38 41.0 4.4 9,237 14,440 8.1 4.1 2.7 26.5 20.3 21.1 17.4 92.1 0.47 44.8 4.4 10,090 15,332 7.8 4.3 3.7 27.0 20.8 7.8 8.1 90.9 0.48 49.9 4.4 11,229 16,795 9.1 4.9 2.1 29.1 22.4 12.5 13.5 92.4 0.57 59.3 4.4 13,376 18,687 9.4 5.1 5.8 29.1 21.8 17.5 18.9 91.8 0.48 69.6 4.4 15,694 20,215 7.9 2.1 2.8 30.4 22.7 16.7 18.0 91.9 0.58 62.2 4.4 14,044 19,158 -4.3 -6.9 2.0 24.9 21.4 -22.2 -28.0 76.7 0.61 58.9 4.4 13,331 18,727 -1.5 -2.3 1.8 20.9 20.5 2.8 -5.2 79.9 0.62 61.8 4.4 14,032 19,487 2.0 0.0 2.1 20.4 20.3 11.6 10.5 84.6 0.55 56.4 4.4 12,844 — 0.0 -2.0 4.7 19.4 20.1 -6.2 -7.9 86.1 — 58.3 4.4 13,210 — 0.8 -1.2 3.2 19.1 19.8 5.7 2.1 86.5 — 58.1 4.4 13,166 — 2.1 0.3 2.3 19.5 20.3 -0.9 0.5 86.7 — 39.1 43.8 -4.7 -3.0 12.10 35.4 90.6 4.4 — 39.0 42.4 -3.4 -1.6 15.43 37.6 96.5 4.5 — 38.6 41.4 -2.8 -1.0 17.10 38.2 98.9 4.8 — 38.6 41.2 -2.6 -0.8 17.65 35.4 91.8 4.7 — 39.8 41.9 -2.1 -0.5 19.49 32.9 82.5 4.1 — 39.2 40.5 -1.3 0.1 20.39 29.3 74.7 3.5 — 39.0 43.1 -4.2 -2.5 22.28 35.8 91.9 4.1 — 38.2 43.3 -5.1 -3.2 25.10 42.6 111.6 5.1 — 37.3 42.5 -5.2 -3.0 29.19 47.2 126.8 5.9 — 38.1 42.2 -4.1 -1.6 31.77 56.3 147.5 6.5 — 38.0 43.1 -5.1 -2.1 35.06 60.1 158.1 7.9 — 37.7 43.4 -5.8 -2.7 36.46 62.7 166.5 8.2 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 284 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.12 0.6 -2.08 -6.1 24.85 41.9 8.1 72.8 144.9 — — 5.5 -39.6 8.19 -2.38 5.64 1.9 -1.78 -4.3 31.21 37.4 11.5 76.1 152.6 — — 2.0 -51.1 8.76 -3.20 6.23 1.6 -2.46 -5.5 30.75 33.5 13.1 68.6 141.0 — — 3.5 -53.8 8.80 -5.11 5.58 2.1 -3.23 -6.5 39.14 29.2 14.9 78.5 158.9 — — 6.4 -80.4 11.49 -6.55 4.99 0.7 -4.33 -7.3 50.08 29.8 9.8 84.4 172.4 — — 8.0 -99.7 13.67 -3.80 5.16 4.6 -6.08 -8.7 58.19 26.9 15.0 83.6 170.8 — — 6.8 -70.0 12.96 -5.18 5.09 1.2 -3.06 -4.9 64.95 28.3 11.2 104.4 247.9 1.04 14.81 3.4 -90.6 14.42 -6.14 5.57 -2.6 -0.86 -1.5 61.65 30.9 12.9 104.7 231.0 1.16 17.83 1.0 -95.0 13.67 -6.53 5.82 -2.1 -0.45 -0.7 59.17 30.8 14.3 95.8 197.2 1.47 21.01 2.4 -84.0 14.02 -8.90 5.73 -1.9 -0.06 -0.1 59.20 30.9 10.9 104.9 185.0 1.67 17.48 0.8 -90.5 14.34 -6.33 5.80 — 0.23 0.4 59.79 31.8 10.9 102.5 203.9 1.58 10.16 1.8 — 14.80 — 5.86 — -0.17 -0.3 61.59 32.3 10.9 105.9 181.1 1.52 9.75 2.3 — 15.00 — 9.3 4.50 14.1 51.7 2.9 356.4 19.5 — 63.0 127.6 64.0 87.7 10.6 4.50 17.4 56.3 2.8 349.5 21.8 — 119.2 222.4 61.4 95.5 18.1 4.50 23.1 63.5 2.9 340.7 32.3 — 104.6 244.5 52.8 84.7 18.3 9.00 15.3 67.0 3.2 366.3 30.3 — 121.9 284.9 51.9 89.6 4.4 9.00 13.4 70.4 3.4 449.1 25.4 — 167.2 479.1 57.0 99.9 -0.6 9.00 0.0 73.6 3.1 450.5 40.6 206.9 213.1 479.2 65.6 109.8 4.3 9.00 6.1 79.2 3.1 451.1 36.9 192.4 179.7 443.7 68.2 119.3 3.4 7.00 4.9 81.5 3.0 422.1 32.2 234.1 267.8 592.0 65.3 119.2 3.3 7.00 -3.9 78.3 3.1 412.8 77.0 193.8 253.5 562.3 66.7 126.0 — — — — — 404.0 52.9 173.1 — — — — — — — — — 410.6 42.0 170.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 285 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [4] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] Liquidity Ratio [6] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [7] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [8] 11.0 4.50 14.5 49.0 2.6 303.4 18.5 — 62.1 117.6 64.6 88.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Cuba Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Caa1 Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Caa1 Ba3 Caa2 — 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 38.8 11.2 3,459 — 6.9 3.8 -1.0 8.5 7.8 20.1 10.4 26.6 -0.24 41.3 11.2 3,672 — 6.4 5.8 3.0 8.8 9.5 31.6 19.3 31.3 -0.44 46.1 11.3 4,092 — 11.6 11.2 3.7 10.8 13.5 46.4 33.9 39.4 -0.54 57.0 11.3 5,056 — 23.7 12.1 5.7 11.7 12.0 10.1 24.6 37.2 -0.33 63.3 11.3 5,616 — 11.1 7.3 2.8 10.2 12.9 20.7 6.0 38.0 -0.20 65.7 11.3 5,829 — 3.8 4.1 -0.1 14.8 11.1 4.9 43.3 44.9 -0.22 67.3 11.3 5,972 — 2.4 1.4 -0.1 11.2 13.2 -14.9 -35.4 32.4 -0.25 69.4 11.3 6,161 — 3.1 2.4 1.6 10.4 14.8 34.0 18.7 39.9 -0.24 72.8 11.3 6,470 — 5.0 2.3 2.5 11.7 14.7 -9.5 -4.4 35.2 -0.26 77.3 11.3 6,866 — 6.1 2.9 3.2 11.4 13.0 4.7 7.2 35.2 — 82.0 11.2 7,293 — 6.2 3.2 3.0 12.4 14.0 3.9 7.3 34.9 — 87.2 11.2 7,754 — 6.3 3.3 3.0 12.4 13.5 7.0 9.1 35.5 — 48.9 51.9 -3.0 -1.8 13.50 34.8 71.2 2.4 — 49.3 53.0 -3.7 -2.4 6.10 14.8 30.0 2.7 — 59.1 63.7 -4.6 -2.1 8.20 17.8 30.1 4.1 — 60.0 63.2 -3.2 0.5 10.03 17.6 29.3 6.1 — 65.0 68.2 -3.2 -0.6 12.07 19.1 29.3 4.0 — 71.2 78.1 -6.9 -4.2 16.61 25.3 35.5 3.9 — 70.5 75.3 -4.8 -2.1 19.87 29.5 41.9 3.9 — 66.6 70.1 -3.5 -1.1 22.30 32.2 48.3 3.6 — 67.2 70.6 -3.4 -1.2 24.77 34.0 50.6 3.3 — 68.0 71.0 -3.0 -0.7 27.55 35.7 52.4 3.4 — 68.2 71.6 -3.4 -1.0 30.38 37.0 54.3 3.5 — 68.1 71.8 -3.7 -1.3 33.18 38.0 55.9 3.5 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 286 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.93 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.93 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.93 — 0.15 0.3 5.90 100.0 15.6 12.8 63.5 — — — — — — 0.93 — -0.23 -0.4 7.79 100.0 25.0 13.7 71.1 — — — — — — 0.93 — 0.46 0.7 8.91 100.0 22.2 14.1 70.4 — — — — — — 0.93 — -3.10 -4.7 11.59 100.0 25.5 17.7 82.6 — — — — — — 0.93 — 0.00 0.0 9.53 100.0 20.7 14.2 78.8 — — — — — — 0.93 — 1.71 2.5 9.31 100.0 21.5 13.4 58.0 — — — — — — 0.93 — 0.90 1.2 9.23 100.0 22.0 12.7 55.0 — — — — — — 0.93 — -0.40 -0.5 11.12 100.0 21.4 14.4 63.3 — — — — — — 0.93 — -0.60 -0.7 11.87 100.0 21.6 14.5 65.0 — — — — — — 0.93 — -1.10 -1.3 12.06 100.0 21.7 13.8 61.8 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 182.6 343.8 — — — — — — — — — — 163.8 281.5 — — — — — — — — — — 78.0 172.2 — — — — — — — — — — 74.1 159.9 — — — — — — — — — — 38.0 67.8 — — — — — — — — — — 28.1 46.3 — — — — — — — — — — 15.1 33.5 — — — — — — — — — — 21.1 40.4 — — — — — — — — — — 25.2 50.5 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [5] External Debt/GDP [4] External Debt/CA Receipts [4] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 287 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] — — — — — — — — 209.7 464.1 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Public sector only; Starting 2004, debt not restructured since 1986 in the amount of US$7,591.7 million has been deemed "Immobilized Debt", of which 60.2% corresponds to Paris Club, and is not included in the total Public sector only Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Cyprus Lead Analyst: Sarah Carlson Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Caa3 Caa3 E Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 13.2 1.0 13,178 21,805 6.8 1.9 2.5 4.1 17.0 15.8 18.7 18.1 -0.4 -0.3 -1.2 96.3 1.10 15.6 1.0 15,327 23,208 7.7 4.2 4.2 4.6 19.8 17.3 20.4 23.3 5.5 10.3 -2.4 99.1 1.18 16.7 1.0 16,156 24,408 7.0 3.9 2.2 5.4 19.8 17.2 7.8 7.9 4.9 3.7 -2.5 99.8 1.18 18.1 1.0 17,288 26,292 7.7 4.1 1.6 4.5 20.6 16.9 7.5 10.1 3.6 6.8 -3.7 99.9 1.32 21.7 1.1 20,410 28,485 9.7 5.1 3.9 3.9 21.6 15.3 20.0 25.8 6.2 13.4 -6.2 102.7 1.43 25.2 1.1 23,427 31,816 8.4 3.6 2.1 3.7 23.3 12.2 10.5 21.6 -0.5 8.5 -11.1 102.8 1.52 23.5 1.1 21,533 31,503 -1.8 -1.9 2.0 5.4 19.4 13.7 -17.1 -24.0 -10.7 -18.6 -5.7 87.4 1.40 23.1 1.1 20,926 31,780 3.3 1.3 1.6 6.3 19.8 13.6 1.0 1.9 3.8 4.8 -6.2 90.1 1.50 25.0 1.1 22,410 32,254 3.3 0.5 3.9 7.9 17.5 13.1 11.8 7.1 4.4 -0.7 -4.3 90.9 1.53 23.0 1.1 20,905 — -0.5 -2.4 1.1 11.8 13.1 13.1 -3.4 -12.3 2.3 -7.2 0.1 90.9 — 21.7 1.1 19,745 — -8.0 -10.0 1.7 15.2 12.4 16.5 -1.6 -10.2 -5.1 -15.0 4.2 90.6 — 20.0 1.1 18,184 — -4.0 -6.0 1.8 16.5 12.2 17.6 -5.2 -7.7 -2.2 -6.3 5.4 92.1 — 38.1 44.6 -6.6 -3.0 10.22 69.6 182.8 9.4 38.5 42.7 -4.1 -0.8 12.21 71.6 185.8 8.7 41.3 43.8 -2.5 1.1 11.20 70.8 171.5 8.7 42.1 43.3 -1.2 2.1 12.44 65.4 155.6 7.9 45.0 41.5 3.5 6.6 13.70 58.8 130.6 6.8 43.1 42.1 0.9 3.8 11.67 48.9 113.5 6.6 40.1 46.2 -6.1 -3.6 14.21 58.5 145.8 6.4 40.9 46.2 -5.3 -3.0 14.26 61.3 150.0 5.5 39.7 46.0 -6.3 -3.9 16.53 71.1 179.0 6.0 40.0 46.3 -6.3 -3.1 20.25 85.8 214.7 7.9 40.0 49.0 -9.0 -5.0 23.20 108.4 271.3 10.0 39.0 50.0 -11.0 -6.5 24.20 122.1 313.1 11.4 0.79 6.6 102.7 -0.30 -2.3 2.4 4.3 3.15 0.73 1.6 101.4 -0.78 -5.0 2.5 14.1 3.83 0.85 -0.4 100.0 -0.98 -5.9 3.7 20.3 4.16 0.76 -0.3 97.6 -1.26 -7.0 5.2 21.4 5.62 0.68 -0.4 94.6 -2.56 -11.8 4.5 13.0 6.10 0.72 5.4 92.0 -3.94 -15.6 -5.2 -15.1 0.59 0.69 3.4 95.7 -2.52 -10.7 13.2 -30.4 0.56 0.75 -5.5 94.8 -2.27 -9.8 0.4 -43.2 0.28 0.77 0.6 95.3 -1.18 -4.7 2.1 -71.3 0.16 0.76 -3.2 93.5 -1.46 -6.3 12.1 -61.9 0.14 0.77 — — -0.32 -1.5 -1.2 — 0.13 0.80 — — 0.14 0.7 0.2 — 0.11 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 288 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) [4] Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [5] Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 2008 European Commission Annual Macro Economic Database (Ameco); Data series adjusted to base year 2005 Series break in 2008 due to euro adoption Czech Republic Lead Analyst: Jaime Reusche Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A1 A1 CFree Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa3 Aa3 A1 Aa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 95.3 10.2 9,336 18,765 4.7 3.8 1.0 27.0 25.8 24.6 24.6 119.4 0.89 114.0 10.2 11,157 20,063 9.0 4.7 2.8 27.1 28.0 27.5 23.2 125.1 0.91 130.1 10.2 12,707 21,264 6.4 6.8 2.2 26.5 29.2 16.8 13.4 126.1 0.97 148.4 10.3 14,449 23,231 7.6 7.0 1.7 27.7 30.7 18.6 18.3 130.9 1.06 180.5 10.3 17,464 25,415 9.2 5.7 5.4 29.8 32.5 23.9 24.7 133.8 0.90 225.4 10.4 21,625 25,885 5.1 3.1 3.6 28.9 31.3 18.0 18.2 126.5 1.00 197.2 10.5 18,803 25,645 -2.3 -4.5 1.0 23.8 27.9 -20.0 -22.6 113.9 0.98 198.5 10.5 18,869 25,358 0.8 2.5 2.3 24.8 28.1 13.7 15.9 129.8 1.00 216.1 10.5 20,585 26,332 0.9 1.9 2.4 24.5 28.7 19.2 18.3 141.6 1.02 195.7 10.5 18,568 — 0.2 -1.3 2.4 23.6 28.9 -3.1 -4.3 150.7 — 196.1 10.6 18,561 — 0.9 -0.3 1.1 22.6 28.5 1.1 0.7 151.7 — 187.7 10.6 17,732 — 2.4 1.8 1.5 22.5 28.6 -1.6 -1.5 156.0 — 43.3 50.0 -6.7 -5.6 29.95 28.6 66.0 2.4 3.5 40.4 43.3 -2.8 -1.8 37.91 28.9 71.6 2.7 9.3 39.8 43.0 -3.2 -2.2 36.01 28.4 71.5 2.7 12.3 39.6 42.0 -2.4 -1.3 45.42 28.3 71.4 2.7 11.9 40.3 41.0 -0.7 0.4 56.61 27.9 69.3 2.7 9.4 38.9 41.1 -2.2 -1.2 57.08 28.7 73.7 2.6 13.8 38.9 44.7 -5.8 -4.5 70.01 34.2 88.0 3.2 16.4 39.1 43.8 -4.8 -3.4 76.63 37.9 97.0 3.4 17.9 40.0 43.2 -3.3 -1.9 78.69 41.0 102.7 3.4 16.4 40.3 44.6 -4.4 -2.9 92.30 45.9 114.1 3.6 15.8 40.3 43.3 -3.0 -1.5 91.90 48.4 120.1 3.7 15.6 40.2 43.0 -2.8 -1.2 91.63 50.5 125.6 4.0 16.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 289 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Czech Republic (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 25.65 -0.9 -5.79 -6.1 34.89 7.8 40.1 33.3 57.4 1.01 3.55 1.9 -21.6 26.29 5.22 22.36 3.7 -5.75 -5.0 45.24 15.0 34.0 34.5 54.9 1.10 5.36 3.5 -32.4 27.84 10.25 24.59 6.3 -1.21 -0.9 46.54 20.1 31.3 36.7 51.2 1.53 6.60 8.9 -26.2 29.14 14.30 20.88 3.3 -3.13 -2.1 57.31 21.1 26.9 35.7 53.2 1.57 7.59 2.7 -35.0 31.05 15.02 18.08 4.2 -7.93 -4.4 76.19 20.2 29.6 37.6 56.7 2.14 4.02 5.0 -43.5 34.45 18.64 19.35 12.8 -4.78 -2.1 84.23 18.4 32.1 42.3 52.3 1.56 4.18 1.0 -35.4 36.47 13.19 18.37 -5.0 -4.85 -2.5 89.24 22.7 26.7 43.6 70.0 2.64 6.22 1.0 -47.7 39.67 12.70 18.75 0.3 -7.60 -3.8 94.22 26.5 25.1 46.6 65.3 2.36 5.37 2.5 -49.2 40.34 11.49 19.94 3.8 -6.11 -2.8 94.16 25.3 28.7 49.1 55.4 3.07 8.60 1.2 -42.2 37.85 9.51 19.06 -3.4 -4.73 -2.4 101.86 28.3 25.7 50.7 62.5 1.12 5.38 4.7 -51.1 42.41 15.19 20.35 — -4.01 -2.0 108.50 30.9 29.5 55.3 61.7 3.47 4.25 3.3 — 44.20 — 21.80 — -4.38 -2.3 112.30 31.2 32.1 59.8 58.4 2.70 6.62 3.6 — 45.30 — 4.5 2.50 0.5 43.0 2.5 162.5 7.8 73.6 50.2 210.5 10.6 2.00 3.1 41.7 2.4 159.7 8.9 79.0 64.0 168.6 13.7 2.50 20.5 46.7 3.1 184.5 8.5 76.1 65.3 179.6 16.3 3.50 20.1 51.3 3.7 221.2 4.6 62.6 81.2 232.2 14.1 2.25 13.9 55.6 3.7 231.0 3.6 77.6 70.9 232.3 0.7 1.00 5.8 60.2 3.6 225.0 7.0 91.3 65.3 226.6 2.1 0.75 4.8 62.6 3.6 233.6 5.4 73.7 54.1 203.2 4.1 0.75 9.1 67.7 3.7 248.7 6.9 79.9 67.5 222.6 4.6 0.05 1.6 68.7 3.6 240.2 4.0 85.7 54.1 179.9 — — — — — 245.5 4.4 71.8 — — — — — — — 247.9 4.8 87.4 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 290 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [4] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 7.2 2.00 20.3 46.6 2.2 132.7 7.5 60.0 53.7 192.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Denmark Lead Analyst: Kristin Lindow Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa CConventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 212.6 5.4 39,443 30,438 2.0 0.4 1.2 5.4 19.6 25.9 17.4 15.5 -1.0 -1.6 6.3 84.4 2.16 244.7 5.4 45,282 32,280 4.7 2.3 0.9 5.5 20.4 25.2 15.1 19.2 2.8 7.7 4.9 85.8 2.34 257.7 5.4 47,547 33,193 5.4 2.4 2.2 4.8 20.8 25.7 13.7 14.7 8.0 11.1 4.9 93.1 2.14 274.4 5.4 50,462 35,999 5.6 3.4 1.7 3.9 22.7 25.9 13.2 18.1 9.0 13.4 3.2 101.0 2.25 311.4 5.5 57,021 37,693 3.9 1.6 2.4 3.8 23.4 25.7 13.8 15.9 2.8 4.3 2.3 102.2 2.34 343.9 5.5 62,597 39,830 3.4 -0.8 2.4 3.4 22.4 25.5 15.7 14.0 3.3 3.3 3.2 106.3 2.23 310.5 5.5 56,226 38,268 -5.0 -5.7 1.2 6.0 16.9 20.8 -21.4 -23.4 -9.5 -12.3 3.9 91.4 2.29 313.1 5.5 56,445 40,588 5.8 1.6 2.8 7.4 16.8 22.4 6.6 3.2 3.0 3.2 5.6 95.2 2.16 333.7 5.6 59,904 40,933 1.7 1.1 2.4 7.6 17.6 22.8 13.0 14.7 6.5 5.6 5.2 101.6 2.17 314.2 5.6 56,179 — 1.6 -0.5 1.9 7.5 17.5 22.0 -3.9 -2.0 0.9 2.5 4.4 104.6 — 328.4 5.6 58,463 — 1.8 0.7 1.2 7.5 17.6 21.5 4.9 6.0 1.1 2.2 3.9 105.6 — 325.3 5.6 57,675 — 3.3 1.6 1.8 7.4 17.5 21.7 1.4 0.9 4.0 3.5 4.2 107.8 — 55.0 55.1 -0.1 2.8 110.99 47.2 85.9 5.2 56.4 54.6 1.9 4.5 121.02 45.1 80.0 4.5 57.8 52.8 5.0 7.1 92.26 37.8 65.3 3.6 56.6 51.6 5.0 6.8 92.44 32.1 56.6 3.1 55.6 50.8 4.8 6.4 90.62 27.1 48.8 2.8 54.8 51.5 3.3 4.7 110.72 33.4 60.9 2.6 55.3 58.1 -2.8 -0.9 130.47 40.7 73.5 3.4 55.0 57.7 -2.7 -0.8 134.12 42.7 77.8 3.4 55.7 57.6 -2.0 -0.1 144.66 46.4 83.3 3.4 55.5 59.6 -4.1 -2.2 147.10 45.7 82.6 3.4 56.1 57.8 -1.7 0.0 142.29 44.0 78.4 3.0 55.5 57.2 -1.7 0.0 136.71 42.4 76.4 3.1 5.96 6.6 98.7 7.33 3.4 0.7 -28.3 36.00 5.47 0.4 100.1 7.38 3.0 0.0 -20.3 38.20 6.32 -2.1 100.0 11.20 4.3 -1.3 -9.9 32.51 5.66 -1.9 100.7 8.17 3.0 -2.1 -10.8 29.16 5.08 0.0 104.4 4.23 1.4 -2.8 -15.8 32.03 5.28 0.8 108.1 9.91 2.9 -3.3 -11.1 39.82 5.19 6.2 112.3 10.55 3.4 -0.8 -19.3 71.26 5.61 -4.7 106.0 18.43 5.9 -3.7 -11.4 70.33 5.75 -2.4 104.1 18.85 5.6 -0.2 -0.1 78.11 5.66 -1.9 99.8 17.75 5.6 -1.3 7.1 82.37 5.73 — — 16.09 4.9 -1.8 — 80.00 5.94 — — 17.56 5.4 -1.4 — 78.00 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 291 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Dominican Republic Lead Analyst: Aaron Freedman Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 E+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 A1 B2 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 20.2 9.0 2,245 5,588 33.3 -0.3 42.6 15.0 14.6 6.7 -13.4 86.5 -0.54 22.4 9.1 2,449 5,735 47.1 1.3 28.7 14.9 15.7 5.8 3.1 83.9 -0.64 33.4 9.3 3,606 6,380 12.2 9.3 7.4 16.5 11.0 9.9 32.3 65.5 -0.55 35.8 9.4 3,806 7,185 16.6 10.7 5.0 18.4 10.4 6.9 14.5 68.0 -0.54 40.9 9.5 4,293 7,907 14.7 8.5 8.9 18.9 9.8 9.8 14.2 66.7 -0.61 45.2 9.7 4,675 8,390 15.5 5.3 4.5 18.3 4.6 -2.3 14.3 64.7 -0.56 46.5 9.8 4,743 8,676 6.5 3.5 5.8 14.8 6.8 -10.2 -20.7 52.5 -0.57 50.9 9.9 5,131 9,290 13.3 7.8 6.2 16.5 5.3 13.6 24.1 57.2 -0.62 55.4 10.1 5,511 9,796 11.4 4.5 7.8 16.4 6.1 18.2 12.4 60.4 -0.55 58.9 10.1 5,848 — 9.3 3.9 3.9 16.4 7.2 5.2 2.1 58.8 — 60.8 10.2 5,955 — 8.7 3.0 5.5 14.3 7.4 20.3 8.7 64.7 — 63.6 10.2 6,201 — 9.2 4.0 5.0 15.8 8.9 10.0 9.2 67.8 — 12.9 12.0 0.9 2.2 5.74 28.1 222.2 9.8 — 13.9 14.6 -0.8 0.6 6.58 29.1 219.7 9.5 — 15.4 15.8 -0.4 0.6 6.82 20.2 132.1 6.4 87.2 15.9 16.1 -0.3 0.9 7.41 20.6 130.4 7.3 84.4 17.3 17.1 0.2 1.8 7.56 18.3 106.7 9.3 83.8 15.7 19.6 -4.0 -2.3 11.22 24.5 158.5 10.6 60.4 13.5 16.8 -3.3 -1.5 13.25 28.4 211.6 13.5 56.9 13.4 16.3 -2.9 -0.9 14.82 28.7 216.7 14.6 60.0 13.2 15.7 -2.4 -0.3 16.59 29.3 226.2 16.1 62.8 14.0 20.6 -6.6 -4.2 19.24 32.9 237.5 17.7 64.3 15.5 19.3 -3.8 -1.3 20.94 34.5 222.4 16.2 68.6 15.7 18.5 -2.8 -0.4 22.50 35.4 226.1 15.9 69.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 292 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [5] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [4] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 37.25 -24.8 1.04 5.1 6.83 82.3 15.1 33.8 57.9 0.24 0.89 3.0 -44.0 0.25 0.12 31.11 6.2 1.04 4.7 7.30 84.0 12.5 32.7 58.6 0.28 0.79 4.1 -40.0 0.80 0.77 34.88 31.3 -0.47 -1.4 7.22 81.5 12.3 21.6 53.8 0.21 0.73 3.4 -29.4 1.93 0.90 33.52 -5.4 -1.29 -3.6 8.69 73.4 16.1 24.3 56.9 0.67 1.40 3.0 -24.0 2.24 1.13 34.07 1.5 -2.17 -5.3 10.32 62.0 24.0 25.2 62.7 1.12 1.45 4.1 -24.5 2.93 1.26 35.78 0.8 -4.52 -10.0 10.28 67.7 18.9 22.8 63.4 1.18 1.40 6.4 -30.5 2.65 0.69 36.38 -0.6 -2.33 -5.0 11.28 70.4 12.4 24.3 79.0 1.17 1.29 4.7 -35.1 3.29 0.67 37.93 0.0 -4.33 -8.5 13.36 69.9 12.9 26.2 84.1 1.18 1.31 3.7 -41.3 3.74 0.18 38.79 0.7 -4.41 -8.0 15.39 69.9 13.6 27.8 84.4 1.30 1.50 4.1 — 4.07 -0.11 40.36 0.2 -4.24 -7.2 16.55 72.0 14.0 28.1 86.8 1.44 1.80 6.1 — 3.53 -0.05 42.50 — -3.02 -5.0 18.10 74.1 14.5 29.8 82.1 1.56 1.58 4.0 — 4.50 — 44.00 — -3.25 -5.1 19.22 76.1 15.0 30.2 80.1 1.68 2.06 4.0 — 4.90 — 9.3 45.00 11.7 29.4 10.8 916.6 8.6 719.8 46.3 99.4 25.6 86.7 15.4 33.00 17.3 30.8 4.6 373.5 7.0 205.9 45.3 75.3 27.8 74.2 11.8 18.00 41.1 37.2 4.6 388.2 13.6 118.5 23.4 40.5 26.2 66.6 18.5 16.00 19.6 38.8 4.1 352.3 15.6 126.9 34.7 59.5 26.1 62.6 7.5 16.00 15.4 38.8 4.6 388.6 15.9 132.3 33.2 58.2 25.5 73.8 15.0 9.50 12.4 41.0 4.2 343.0 17.2 122.1 30.7 61.3 24.3 69.1 13.0 9.50 10.9 40.1 4.0 357.2 15.7 82.4 30.9 63.8 28.0 82.6 11.6 9.00 9.6 39.4 4.0 378.2 15.3 86.2 37.5 75.7 28.1 86.9 10.3 7.00 14.5 41.3 4.9 469.0 17.0 95.8 37.3 84.4 31.4 102.2 — — — — — 402.3 14.3 110.4 — — — — — — — — — 392.1 15.6 104.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [7] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 293 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 64.8 — 46.9 38.8 25.9 2,700.3 9.5 621.8 65.2 131.9 28.2 202.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Non-financial public sector; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Non-financial public sector debt and central government revenue; Series break in 2008 due to change in methodology to include recapitalization bonds issued by the government to the central bank Current Account Receipts Public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts Interest payment is public sector only (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Ecuador Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Caa1 Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime No Banks Rated No separate legal tender Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 — Caa2 — 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 32.4 12.8 2,525 5,506 13.6 2.7 6.1 19.6 17.5 19.5 0.4 47.2 -0.83 36.6 13.0 2,809 6,057 12.8 8.2 1.9 20.2 18.6 22.6 19.5 50.7 -0.85 41.5 13.2 3,141 6,510 13.4 5.3 3.1 21.6 20.8 27.6 23.7 56.1 -0.92 46.8 13.4 3,491 6,930 12.8 4.4 2.9 22.5 23.4 23.8 16.3 59.7 -0.97 51.0 13.6 3,749 7,166 9.0 2.2 3.3 22.7 24.0 14.7 13.7 62.6 -0.84 61.8 14.1 4,394 7,739 21.1 6.4 8.8 26.4 26.7 29.5 33.9 68.1 -0.84 61.6 14.3 4,316 7,756 -0.3 1.0 4.3 25.0 23.2 -24.5 -18.6 53.6 -0.73 67.9 14.5 4,691 7,977 10.2 3.3 3.3 27.2 23.3 25.4 32.8 62.8 -0.67 78.2 14.7 5,331 8,669 15.2 8.0 5.4 28.5 25.8 23.7 18.7 65.9 -0.55 84.7 14.9 5,695 — 8.3 4.6 4.2 29.2 24.6 9.8 11.4 67.4 — 91.5 15.1 6,072 — 8.1 3.9 4.2 28.7 24.6 8.5 9.5 67.9 — 98.9 15.3 6,467 — 8.0 3.5 4.5 28.4 24.6 11.3 11.0 69.9 — 14.7 15.4 -0.7 1.8 13.11 40.4 274.9 17.3 100.0 14.2 15.0 -0.9 1.4 13.32 36.4 257.2 15.7 100.0 14.6 15.0 -0.4 1.6 13.44 32.4 222.2 14.1 100.0 14.7 15.0 -0.2 1.8 12.39 26.5 179.6 13.7 100.0 16.6 16.9 -0.3 1.5 12.85 25.2 151.4 10.8 100.0 22.3 23.3 -1.0 0.3 12.71 20.6 92.1 5.6 100.0 18.8 23.1 -4.3 -3.5 9.34 15.2 80.6 4.1 100.0 22.2 23.9 -1.7 -0.9 12.39 18.3 82.2 3.5 100.0 22.0 23.6 -1.6 -0.7 13.68 17.5 79.6 3.9 100.0 22.3 24.0 -1.7 -0.8 15.12 17.9 80.1 3.9 100.0 22.2 23.7 -1.5 -0.6 16.50 18.0 81.2 3.9 100.0 21.9 23.5 -1.6 -0.7 18.08 18.3 83.5 3.9 100.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 294 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.00 2.6 -0.39 -1.2 16.24 69.8 10.9 50.1 176.8 1.17 6.41 2.7 -60.9 0.79 1.55 1.00 0.9 -0.48 -1.3 16.76 68.5 11.1 45.8 150.5 1.24 6.87 2.3 -53.7 0.99 2.04 1.00 5.7 0.47 1.1 17.21 64.3 10.0 41.5 118.9 1.26 8.47 1.2 -45.3 1.67 2.45 1.00 7.3 1.74 3.7 17.24 62.9 11.6 36.8 97.2 1.33 10.11 0.6 -29.0 1.46 2.66 1.00 -3.2 1.91 3.7 17.10 59.7 10.9 33.5 85.4 1.36 11.82 0.4 -23.3 2.76 3.52 1.00 6.4 1.74 2.8 17.44 60.8 9.6 28.2 71.2 1.17 9.35 1.7 -17.1 3.69 3.61 1.00 -16.6 0.20 0.3 16.90 59.3 8.2 27.5 91.0 0.95 11.48 0.5 -15.0 2.82 4.31 1.00 14.5 -1.62 -2.4 13.52 54.5 5.9 19.9 60.5 0.90 7.44 0.2 -16.3 1.38 5.00 1.00 10.2 -0.24 -0.3 13.93 61.9 5.3 17.8 50.2 1.01 7.42 0.8 — 1.60 5.22 1.00 0.7 -0.40 -0.5 14.48 62.7 6.5 17.1 47.5 0.95 8.78 0.8 — 1.80 — 1.00 — -0.74 -0.8 15.35 62.9 5.9 16.8 46.4 0.95 7.88 0.9 — 1.95 — 1.00 — -0.73 -0.7 16.27 63.0 5.9 16.5 44.2 0.97 8.03 1.0 — 2.10 — 30.9 10.23 22.3 16.8 7.8 1,697.8 72.9 1099.6 22.7 41.1 100.0 — 19.7 9.96 29.0 19.1 5.5 1,031.9 67.2 1047.2 19.2 42.5 100.0 — 13.1 9.54 12.2 19.0 7.2 1,183.8 64.5 709.3 38.1 50.4 100.0 — 18.4 10.72 23.8 21.5 4.5 618.4 65.9 949.2 40.6 60.9 100.0 — 23.6 9.14 15.8 20.6 4.1 473.3 42.9 405.8 30.2 39.4 100.0 — 10.1 9.19 11.7 23.1 6.0 599.4 67.0 357.3 23.4 29.0 100.0 — 18.6 8.68 16.9 24.5 14.4 977.0 37.4 313.2 23.1 34.9 100.0 — 17.4 8.17 20.7 25.6 14.7 871.9 30.4 594.3 20.3 30.5 100.0 — — 8.17 — — — 804.7 31.9 596.4 27.1 38.8 100.0 — — — — — — 787.3 26.7 490.2 — — — — — — — — — 775.0 24.5 458.4 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [4] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 295 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [6] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] [12] 18.9 11.67 0.6 15.5 7.5 2,065.4 82.6 1266.2 18.6 42.7 100.0 — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government US Dollar adopted on January 1, 2000 Current Account Receipts Bank discount rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Dollarized economy Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Egypt [1] Lead Analyst: Thomas J. Byrne Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Caa1 Caa1 E Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 Ba3 Caa2 Ba3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 81.4 67.3 1,209 4,304 10.2 3.2 3.2 17.0 14.3 11.4 -0.3 46.2 -0.30 78.8 68.6 1,149 4,514 16.2 4.1 8.1 16.9 15.6 25.7 17.9 57.8 -0.23 89.8 70.0 1,283 4,762 11.0 4.5 8.8 18.0 15.7 23.2 31.0 63.0 -0.39 107.4 71.3 1,506 5,157 14.7 6.8 4.2 18.7 17.1 24.4 26.5 61.5 -0.55 130.3 73.6 1,771 5,505 20.6 7.1 11.0 20.9 16.3 18.3 19.1 65.1 -0.45 162.4 75.2 2,160 5,901 20.2 7.2 11.7 22.4 16.8 33.2 37.6 71.7 -0.44 188.6 76.9 2,453 6,093 16.4 4.7 16.2 19.2 12.6 -13.4 -5.2 56.6 -0.34 218.5 78.7 2,776 6,344 15.8 5.1 11.7 19.5 14.3 -3.1 0.9 47.9 -0.43 235.6 80.4 2,930 6,455 13.6 1.8 11.1 17.1 13.0 3.0 9.4 45.3 -0.60 256.7 82.5 3,112 — 12.5 2.2 8.6 16.7 9.1 -2.1 9.0 44.8 — 245.7 84.2 2,920 — 11.5 2.0 8.2 15.7 8.6 5.3 0.6 47.9 — 268.8 85.8 3,131 — 17.2 3.3 13.7 14.1 8.5 9.6 3.4 46.5 — 26.2 35.2 -9.0 -3.3 67.19 97.1 370.7 21.8 28.1 25.6 33.9 -8.3 -2.6 70.23 89.6 349.8 22.2 24.7 24.8 33.2 -8.4 -2.9 86.85 93.2 375.2 22.4 22.1 28.6 37.8 -9.2 -3.5 97.03 90.4 316.1 19.8 20.4 27.7 35.3 -7.5 -2.4 104.97 80.2 289.3 18.7 19.2 28.0 36.0 -8.0 -3.4 118.06 70.2 250.6 16.5 19.0 27.7 34.6 -6.9 -2.7 136.01 72.9 263.3 15.2 19.5 25.1 33.4 -8.3 -3.1 155.44 73.2 291.1 20.5 17.6 22.0 31.8 -9.8 -4.2 176.44 76.6 348.0 25.3 16.1 22.6 33.4 -10.7 -4.7 205.47 80.5 356.1 26.8 15.1 25.8 38.8 -13.0 -6.6 202.16 85.2 330.4 24.8 15.0 27.1 37.1 -10.0 -3.5 223.41 86.8 320.2 24.1 14.9 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 296 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) [2] Population (Mil.) [2] GDP per capita (US$) [2] GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) [2] Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) [2] Real GDP (% change) [2] Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [3] Gross Investment/GDP [2] Gross Domestic Saving/GDP [2] Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [2] [4] Government Effectiveness [5] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [2] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [2] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [2] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [2] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [2] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [2] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [2] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [2] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [2] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.03 -19.6 1.94 2.4 29.40 64.2 6.3 36.1 132.1 0.64 1.61 0.8 — 13.55 2.31 6.19 0.9 3.42 4.3 29.87 63.5 6.6 37.9 109.2 0.61 1.92 0.3 — 13.50 5.71 5.78 8.3 2.91 3.2 28.95 63.0 6.4 32.2 84.4 0.58 2.12 4.3 -26.2 17.95 7.54 5.75 3.4 1.75 1.6 29.59 63.7 5.5 27.6 71.4 0.59 2.45 5.6 -17.8 21.24 12.53 5.69 2.9 2.27 1.7 29.90 65.2 4.8 22.9 60.4 0.64 2.30 8.1 -10.0 26.85 21.68 5.32 12.9 0.89 0.5 33.89 63.9 7.4 20.9 51.4 0.77 1.83 7.5 -6.4 32.55 23.17 5.59 -0.8 -4.42 -2.3 31.53 81.9 6.7 16.7 55.1 0.74 2.38 3.6 -16.6 29.28 14.75 5.68 7.7 -4.32 -2.0 33.69 77.9 8.8 15.4 58.2 0.65 1.96 2.6 -15.8 31.61 16.22 5.96 0.0 -6.09 -2.6 34.91 77.6 7.9 14.8 56.3 0.64 2.14 0.5 -20.2 22.20 17.84 6.05 4.9 -7.93 -3.1 34.38 74.4 8.4 13.4 51.9 0.66 2.25 0.7 -22.6 10.91 13.46 7.25 — -5.52 -2.2 37.88 72.5 9.5 15.4 54.8 0.69 2.32 1.0 — 8.89 — 7.83 — -4.51 -1.7 41.84 73.7 10.0 15.6 57.6 0.80 2.56 1.5 — 9.51 — 13.2 7.70 19.0 98.9 5.2 221.2 9.2 27.9 13.9 33.3 26.8 89.0 13.6 7.60 9.2 97.4 4.8 161.3 7.9 30.3 13.4 28.4 23.6 70.1 13.5 5.90 6.3 90.3 4.6 139.4 7.3 24.0 14.2 33.3 24.2 65.3 18.3 6.10 4.9 78.5 4.3 111.3 5.9 18.5 22.8 41.9 23.7 52.2 15.7 6.50 4.6 68.3 4.4 104.1 3.9 12.2 33.5 56.1 21.4 48.5 8.4 6.50 20.0 70.4 5.1 107.7 5.5 15.0 35.6 68.4 20.7 62.7 10.4 6.30 9.7 66.7 5.1 106.6 4.5 14.0 42.6 74.1 17.9 54.5 10.0 6.60 16.4 68.3 7.6 157.2 4.5 16.1 36.3 56.5 18.7 68.2 8.4 7.70 19.0 72.6 16.6 315.2 4.4 22.5 28.6 176.3 18.5 105.9 — — — — — 426.1 4.4 47.9 — — — — — — — — — 440.0 4.6 69.3 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [2] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) [2] Current Account Balance/GDP [2] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [2] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [2] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [2] External Debt/GDP [2] External Debt/CA Receipts [2] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [2] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [2] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP [2] Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [2] Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) [2] MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 297 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) [2] Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [2] Domestic Credit/GDP [2] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [2] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [2] Debt Service Ratio [2] [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [2] [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks [2] "Dollarization" Ratio [2] [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [2] [13] 16.9 8.50 10.6 96.6 4.7 216.9 10.1 29.1 17.3 34.9 26.1 102.5 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Economic forecasts based on an assumed average price for the benchmark Brent crude oil of $106.4/b in 2013 and $104.4/b in 2014, the forward prices indicated by the futures market as of April 14, 2013 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Annual average Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) El Salvador Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Ba3 Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime No Banks Rated No separate legal tender Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba1 — Ba1 — 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 15.0 6.0 2,504 5,125 5.2 2.3 2.5 17.0 1.1 8.0 10.0 70.0 -0.34 15.8 6.0 2,620 5,348 5.0 1.9 5.4 16.2 -1.1 4.6 8.2 71.3 -0.27 17.1 6.1 2,825 5,702 8.2 3.6 4.3 16.1 -2.4 2.9 7.9 69.8 -0.32 18.6 6.1 3,054 6,092 8.5 3.9 4.9 16.8 -3.7 8.7 13.5 71.8 -0.20 20.1 6.1 3,295 6,481 8.4 3.8 4.9 16.3 -6.1 9.2 13.4 74.2 -0.19 21.4 6.1 3,496 6,678 6.6 1.3 5.5 15.2 -7.6 10.7 9.7 76.6 -0.16 20.7 6.2 3,354 6,521 -3.6 -3.1 -0.2 13.4 -2.0 -16.8 -25.0 61.9 -0.02 21.4 6.2 3,458 6,622 3.7 1.4 2.1 13.3 -3.6 15.9 14.8 68.8 0.01 23.1 6.2 3,709 6,831 7.8 2.0 5.1 14.4 -4.1 16.6 17.2 74.6 -0.11 23.8 6.3 3,801 — 3.0 1.6 0.8 14.2 -4.2 3.6 3.1 74.8 — 25.1 6.3 3,995 — 5.6 1.7 3.9 14.5 -4.3 8.4 9.6 77.3 — 26.5 6.3 4,195 — 5.5 2.0 3.5 14.7 -4.3 7.8 9.2 79.7 — 16.2 19.9 -3.7 -1.7 6.09 40.5 249.8 12.6 100.0 16.3 18.7 -2.4 -0.3 6.42 40.7 249.8 13.0 100.0 16.3 19.3 -3.0 -0.8 6.80 39.8 244.2 13.6 100.0 17.5 20.4 -2.9 -0.5 7.51 40.5 231.7 14.0 100.0 18.2 20.2 -2.0 0.6 7.87 39.1 215.1 13.9 100.0 18.7 21.9 -3.2 -0.8 8.65 40.4 215.4 12.9 100.0 17.3 23.0 -5.7 -3.1 10.40 50.3 290.1 14.8 100.0 18.5 22.8 -4.3 -1.9 11.08 51.7 278.9 12.8 100.0 19.1 23.0 -3.9 -1.7 12.00 52.0 272.0 11.7 100.0 19.8 23.2 -3.4 -1.2 13.60 57.2 288.7 11.4 100.0 19.9 23.2 -3.3 -1.0 14.42 57.4 288.6 11.3 100.0 20.0 23.0 -3.0 -0.7 15.22 57.4 287.2 11.3 100.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 298 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.00 — -0.70 -4.7 8.60 54.8 19.5 57.2 133.5 0.29 0.77 0.8 -44.7 1.76 -0.60 1.00 — -0.64 -4.1 8.87 53.9 20.1 56.1 125.8 0.41 0.77 2.3 -45.0 1.72 -0.68 1.00 — -0.62 -3.6 9.54 52.2 19.2 55.8 124.0 0.45 0.78 2.3 -45.3 1.69 -0.54 1.00 — -0.77 -4.1 10.37 54.9 12.4 55.9 120.8 0.57 2.52 1.4 -47.2 1.78 -0.42 1.00 — -1.22 -6.1 10.12 53.8 13.0 50.4 108.3 0.54 2.04 7.2 -44.9 2.07 0.04 1.00 — -1.53 -7.1 11.14 52.4 14.6 52.0 113.8 0.52 2.03 3.8 -44.2 2.40 -0.10 1.00 — -0.31 -1.5 11.31 57.9 8.1 54.7 134.1 0.49 2.21 1.8 -48.9 2.61 0.38 1.00 — -0.58 -2.7 11.03 62.0 7.6 51.5 118.7 0.48 1.51 0.5 -49.7 2.32 0.70 1.00 — -1.07 -4.6 12.15 58.8 10.1 52.6 116.2 0.51 1.85 1.7 -53.3 1.90 0.30 1.00 — -1.26 -5.3 13.54 53.5 12.0 56.9 123.9 0.51 1.93 2.2 -58.0 2.55 -0.06 1.00 — -1.13 -4.5 13.55 58.1 11.0 53.9 114.4 0.50 1.90 2.3 — 2.68 — 1.00 — -1.14 -4.3 14.24 57.0 11.2 53.7 111.5 0.50 1.88 2.2 — 2.87 — 2.4 3.34 4.4 51.3 3.6 517.1 16.7 139.4 299.8 286.2 100.0 262.8 2.6 3.44 9.8 52.1 3.8 565.2 15.9 149.2 271.7 326.0 100.0 260.0 11.7 4.39 5.3 50.5 4.0 583.2 35.9 257.9 52.1 107.0 100.0 289.8 17.6 4.71 9.1 50.9 4.0 489.0 27.6 187.4 43.8 97.2 100.0 297.9 0.1 4.21 3.6 49.4 3.5 463.1 26.0 161.6 47.7 151.5 100.0 262.9 1.2 4.48 -5.6 48.4 3.2 432.9 32.0 159.4 73.0 111.5 100.0 268.3 4.3 2.87 1.7 47.5 3.8 475.8 21.4 92.7 80.1 122.8 100.0 301.2 -2.5 1.76 6.3 46.9 4.5 639.1 22.5 116.0 73.5 137.1 100.0 386.2 3.2 2.52 -2.9 44.2 3.5 530.1 22.3 165.6 77.8 136.0 100.0 312.1 — — — — — 504.8 20.3 137.9 — — — — — — — — — 495.5 18.6 125.6 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [4] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 299 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [6] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] [13] 0.5 3.37 10.1 51.6 3.4 490.1 16.4 151.0 296.7 315.6 100.0 260.6 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Non-financial public sector US Dollar adopted on January 1, 2001 Current Account Receipts Deposit rate (foreign currency) (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Dollarized economy Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Estonia Lead Analyst: Alpona Banerji Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A1 A1 No Banks Rated Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 9.9 1.4 7,285 13,400 12.1 7.8 1.1 10.0 33.1 25.7 30.9 31.4 7.7 11.2 -7.5 145.9 0.93 12.0 1.3 8,925 14,773 11.1 6.3 5.0 9.6 33.1 26.0 29.0 27.6 14.5 14.7 -7.1 153.2 0.97 13.9 1.3 10,340 16,548 15.5 8.9 3.6 7.9 33.8 27.3 22.9 21.5 18.6 18.9 -6.5 161.9 0.99 16.8 1.3 12,515 19,138 19.8 10.1 5.1 6.0 38.7 28.5 13.0 19.0 6.1 13.9 -10.2 155.6 1.17 22.0 1.3 16,416 21,583 20.0 7.5 9.6 4.7 38.6 29.4 20.9 20.5 3.7 6.3 -9.2 143.4 1.07 23.9 1.3 17,808 22,065 1.0 -4.2 7.0 5.6 30.0 25.9 14.8 6.7 1.0 -7.0 -4.0 146.1 1.19 19.2 1.3 14,306 19,470 -15.2 -14.1 -1.7 13.8 18.5 23.5 -26.5 -36.6 -20.6 -32.0 5.8 124.4 1.13 19.0 1.3 14,180 20,092 4.1 3.3 5.7 16.9 20.3 26.8 21.0 21.5 22.9 21.0 6.7 152.1 1.22 22.2 1.3 16,568 21,997 11.4 8.3 3.7 12.5 24.8 29.4 34.6 40.7 23.4 25.0 3.9 179.1 1.20 21.9 1.3 16,308 — 6.6 3.2 3.5 10.2 27.6 28.6 -0.5 3.4 5.6 9.1 0.5 184.4 — 23.9 1.3 17,851 — 6.6 3.0 3.2 9.7 28.4 28.6 8.4 8.8 4.5 5.1 0.1 183.0 — 24.6 1.3 18,340 — 7.1 4.0 3.3 9.0 29.0 29.3 3.5 3.3 6.0 5.9 0.3 184.2 — 36.5 34.8 1.7 1.9 0.62 5.6 15.4 0.6 35.6 34.0 1.6 1.9 0.66 5.0 14.1 0.6 35.2 33.6 1.6 1.8 0.60 4.6 13.0 0.5 36.1 33.6 2.5 2.6 0.78 4.4 12.2 0.5 36.4 34.0 2.4 2.6 0.87 3.7 10.1 0.5 36.7 39.7 -2.9 -2.7 1.03 4.5 12.4 0.6 43.5 45.5 -2.0 -1.8 1.43 7.2 16.6 0.5 40.9 40.7 0.2 0.3 1.28 6.7 16.4 0.3 39.5 38.3 1.2 1.3 1.29 6.2 15.8 0.3 40.2 40.5 -0.3 -0.1 2.27 10.1 25.2 0.4 39.3 39.6 -0.3 -0.1 2.40 10.2 26.0 0.4 37.8 37.6 0.2 0.4 2.34 9.6 25.4 0.4 12.41 4.1 94.0 -1.11 -11.3 7.9 -65.9 1.37 11.47 2.4 97.7 -1.36 -11.3 5.7 -86.5 1.79 13.22 1.0 100.0 -1.39 -10.0 15.7 -85.2 1.94 11.88 1.6 106.1 -2.58 -15.3 4.1 -73.9 2.78 10.64 4.2 119.6 -3.51 -15.9 4.4 -72.1 3.26 11.10 6.1 132.4 -2.19 -9.2 2.6 -76.7 3.96 10.86 1.6 132.0 0.66 3.4 1.5 -81.9 3.87 11.71 -2.8 117.4 0.56 2.9 7.7 -72.8 2.46 0.77 1.3 112.8 0.47 2.1 7.7 -57.8 0.10 0.76 -0.3 112.2 -0.26 -1.2 2.7 -53.0 0.18 0.77 — — -0.29 -1.2 2.7 — 0.09 0.80 — — -0.33 -1.3 2.7 — 0.09 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 300 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [4] Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 2011 Series break in 2011 due to euro adoption Fiji Lead Analyst: Christian de Guzman Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba3 Ba2 B2 Ba2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.3 0.8 2,834 3,863 9.0 0.8 4.2 21.9 19.6 25.8 34.1 119.1 -0.22 2.7 0.8 3,330 4,173 7.7 5.4 3.3 23.3 14.0 8.7 21.3 116.7 -0.43 3.0 0.8 3,655 4,323 7.6 -1.3 2.7 24.0 13.9 12.9 10.8 118.3 -0.11 3.1 0.8 3,747 4,515 5.6 1.9 3.1 24.1 4.7 -3.2 9.8 119.2 -0.13 3.4 0.8 4,077 4,567 2.1 -0.9 4.3 21.1 6.8 6.2 0.1 111.5 -0.45 3.6 0.8 4,303 4,669 5.5 1.0 6.6 23.5 5.5 17.0 22.8 125.8 -0.76 2.9 0.9 3,432 4,623 -1.1 -1.3 6.8 21.0 12.9 -28.8 -34.1 106.4 -0.92 3.2 0.9 3,747 4,602 8.1 0.1 5.0 17.0 4.1 23.1 20.9 117.6 -0.73 3.8 0.9 4,322 4,757 8.8 1.9 7.7 16.0 9.0 25.6 14.2 120.4 -0.71 4.0 0.9 4,567 — 6.4 2.5 1.5 18.0 10.5 4.7 3.0 117.3 — 4.2 0.9 4,793 — 5.5 2.7 4.0 20.0 10.4 3.2 2.0 113.6 — 4.6 0.9 5,102 — 6.3 2.2 4.0 20.0 11.4 5.8 8.8 113.6 — 24.3 33.0 -5.8 -3.3 1.24 48.6 200.0 10.5 8.0 24.9 31.3 -3.1 -0.6 1.39 48.2 193.8 10.1 7.3 24.0 31.2 -3.3 -0.9 1.39 47.7 198.3 10.3 6.8 26.1 32.6 -2.9 -0.3 1.73 53.5 205.0 10.1 14.6 25.4 31.5 -2.1 1.2 1.76 49.9 196.6 12.9 14.5 25.1 29.0 0.5 3.4 1.64 49.9 198.5 11.6 16.5 24.7 33.4 -4.1 -0.7 1.62 54.8 221.9 13.6 16.8 24.9 30.7 -2.1 1.4 1.86 54.7 220.0 14.2 16.2 26.8 35.7 -1.4 2.4 1.96 53.0 197.7 14.3 23.2 27.4 33.3 -1.6 2.0 2.03 50.5 184.7 13.4 24.4 27.9 33.2 -2.9 0.6 2.17 51.0 183.0 12.7 23.4 28.0 34.1 -3.1 0.2 2.35 51.1 182.6 12.0 21.9 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 301 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP [1] Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Fiji (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.72 6.8 -0.05 -2.3 0.27 38.1 0.1 11.7 17.2 0.00 0.02 1.6 — 0.39 0.13 1.64 2.0 -0.25 -9.3 0.28 39.6 19.0 10.3 16.2 0.00 0.02 9.1 — 0.45 0.07 1.74 0.2 -0.30 -10.1 0.29 39.5 0.1 9.5 15.3 0.00 0.01 4.8 — 0.29 0.03 1.66 -2.3 -0.60 -19.4 0.45 59.2 2.6 14.7 24.7 0.00 0.02 13.3 — 0.28 0.01 1.55 1.7 -0.48 -14.2 0.47 58.3 4.8 13.8 24.7 0.03 0.03 10.1 — 0.49 0.02 1.76 2.8 -0.65 -18.0 0.45 63.8 4.3 12.4 20.7 0.04 0.03 8.8 — 0.29 0.01 1.93 -11.5 -0.24 -8.1 0.43 66.8 16.3 14.7 26.5 0.04 0.04 1.8 — 0.44 -0.03 1.82 -2.8 -0.42 -12.9 0.49 72.8 12.6 15.1 25.2 0.04 0.04 5.9 — 0.62 -0.02 1.82 4.7 -0.26 -7.0 0.57 89.8 10.6 15.1 23.0 0.02 0.23 4.9 — 0.73 0.02 1.79 4.6 -0.30 -7.5 0.59 91.4 12.8 14.6 23.1 0.07 0.13 4.8 — 0.89 0.00 1.78 — -0.41 -9.6 0.59 91.9 8.4 14.0 22.7 0.07 0.11 4.9 — 0.90 — 1.75 — -0.39 -8.6 0.61 92.1 8.2 13.4 22.2 0.06 0.10 5.0 — 0.92 — 10.3 1.75 20.4 52.5 3.2 62.4 1.2 5.3 21.4 27.5 — — 13.8 2.25 27.0 62.0 5.4 98.4 1.0 15.9 49.8 53.0 — — 20.1 4.25 21.2 71.1 7.0 162.1 0.9 5.5 5.6 91.2 — — 9.2 4.25 -0.1 69.6 4.7 95.1 3.4 27.0 11.3 136.9 — — -5.4 4.25 4.0 68.7 6.7 156.8 3.2 18.7 9.7 58.3 — — 7.4 4.25 6.5 74.0 4.3 97.9 5.0 34.9 34.3 197.7 — — 4.2 2.50 -1.0 67.8 3.4 79.0 4.3 35.0 29.4 148.0 — — 14.8 1.00 0.0 62.3 3.3 77.7 10.5 51.9 63.0 34.3 — — 6.3 1.00 3.1 60.4 2.9 66.0 8.0 57.2 7.1 123.9 — — — — — — — 65.9 6.9 28.7 — — — — — — — — — 66.5 5.8 23.2 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [6] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 302 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 24.7 1.19 26.3 47.0 3.2 69.0 1.3 6.5 28.4 20.4 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Gross National Saving Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Gross expenditures including amortization Excludes amortization General government only Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Finland Lead Analyst: Kristin Lindow Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa C Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 164.5 5.2 31,553 27,627 1.3 2.0 1.2 9.0 19.4 26.2 15.8 23.5 -1.9 3.2 6.8 70.6 2.26 189.2 5.2 36,190 29,862 4.6 4.1 0.1 8.8 20.0 26.5 18.5 20.3 8.2 7.4 6.5 73.2 2.21 195.8 5.2 37,330 30,708 3.4 2.9 1.1 8.4 21.9 25.9 8.4 17.0 7.0 11.4 4.1 79.5 2.16 208.0 5.3 39,496 33,097 5.3 4.4 1.2 7.7 21.3 26.0 15.7 15.0 12.2 7.9 4.7 86.3 2.12 246.3 5.3 46,571 36,148 8.5 5.3 1.9 6.9 22.9 28.0 19.2 18.2 8.2 7.0 5.1 86.6 1.96 272.8 5.3 51,345 38,080 3.2 0.3 3.4 6.4 22.3 26.0 13.3 17.3 5.8 7.5 3.8 90.0 2.04 239.9 5.3 44,939 35,541 -7.2 -8.5 1.8 8.2 18.6 20.1 -29.9 -27.1 -21.3 -17.2 1.6 73.1 2.23 237.1 5.4 44,204 36,030 3.8 3.3 2.8 8.4 18.6 19.7 6.6 7.9 7.5 6.9 1.3 79.3 2.24 263.6 5.4 48,912 37,455 6.0 2.8 2.6 7.8 20.9 20.2 12.5 18.3 2.8 6.0 -0.7 82.3 2.25 250.0 5.4 46,184 — 2.7 -0.2 3.5 7.7 18.8 18.9 -7.6 -7.9 -1.4 -3.7 -0.6 80.1 — 264.0 5.4 48,548 — 2.9 0.4 2.5 8.2 18.4 17.8 5.0 4.7 0.7 0.6 -0.6 79.5 — 263.0 5.5 48,133 — 3.8 1.6 2.2 8.1 17.9 17.8 1.4 0.8 3.8 3.3 -0.1 80.7 — 52.8 50.3 2.5 4.4 81.81 44.5 84.3 3.6 52.5 50.3 2.3 4.0 92.06 44.4 84.6 3.4 53.1 50.4 2.7 4.4 77.45 41.7 78.6 3.2 53.3 49.2 4.1 5.6 86.52 39.7 74.4 2.9 52.8 47.4 5.3 6.8 93.07 35.2 66.7 2.8 53.6 49.3 4.3 5.8 87.70 34.0 63.4 2.7 53.4 56.2 -2.7 -1.3 108.04 43.6 81.5 2.6 53.0 55.8 -2.8 -1.4 116.21 48.7 91.8 2.6 53.9 55.1 -1.1 0.3 120.14 49.0 90.9 2.6 53.7 56.0 -2.3 -0.8 136.07 53.0 98.7 2.7 54.4 56.6 -2.2 -0.9 146.41 56.3 103.5 2.4 54.8 56.4 -1.6 -0.3 149.36 57.3 104.6 2.4 0.79 4.8 100.4 7.95 4.8 3.4 -26.5 9.54 0.73 0.0 100.8 11.74 6.2 2.1 -10.0 11.43 0.85 -2.3 100.0 6.57 3.4 0.3 -15.3 10.08 0.76 -1.1 97.3 8.65 4.2 1.4 -13.8 6.13 0.68 1.7 95.7 10.51 4.3 2.1 -27.9 6.69 0.72 2.2 98.2 7.14 2.6 -3.8 -7.0 6.49 0.69 1.1 105.1 4.21 1.8 -2.1 3.4 7.40 0.75 -5.4 97.7 3.55 1.5 -1.2 17.1 4.92 0.77 0.0 97.0 -4.03 -1.5 -0.8 15.7 5.31 0.76 -2.9 94.2 -4.63 -1.9 -2.5 11.5 5.70 0.77 — — -4.49 -1.7 -1.7 — 6.00 0.80 — — -4.73 -1.8 -1.6 — 6.30 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 303 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [4] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 France Lead Analyst: Dietmar Hornung Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa1 Aa1 D+ Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1,795.8 62.2 28,851 27,204 2.9 0.9 2.2 8.9 18.5 19.4 16.0 18.6 -1.3 0.8 0.9 50.9 1.72 2,058.4 62.7 32,829 28,090 4.3 2.5 2.1 9.3 19.2 19.6 15.7 17.9 4.8 5.9 0.4 51.9 1.81 2,138.6 63.2 33,851 29,453 3.8 1.8 1.5 9.3 20.0 19.3 4.8 9.0 2.9 5.6 -0.6 53.4 1.71 2,257.8 63.6 35,490 31,274 4.7 2.5 1.5 9.2 20.9 19.8 8.2 9.8 5.2 5.1 -1.0 55.1 1.58 2,586.1 64.0 40,400 33,007 4.9 2.3 2.6 8.4 22.0 20.4 13.8 15.9 2.3 5.5 -1.5 55.3 1.48 2,842.9 64.4 44,165 34,041 2.5 -0.1 1.0 7.8 21.9 19.8 10.3 12.4 -0.3 0.9 -2.1 56.0 1.58 2,627.4 64.7 40,596 33,657 -2.5 -3.1 0.9 9.5 18.9 17.1 -19.9 -19.9 -12.1 -9.6 -1.8 48.6 1.48 2,570.4 65.1 39,498 34,262 2.7 1.7 1.8 9.7 19.3 17.1 7.0 7.7 9.6 8.9 -2.2 53.3 1.44 2,778.7 65.4 42,465 35,247 3.1 1.7 2.5 9.6 20.6 17.8 14.0 16.0 5.3 4.9 -2.8 56.7 1.36 2,607.5 65.8 39,632 — 1.6 0.0 1.3 10.2 19.7 17.6 -2.4 -5.1 2.5 -0.3 -2.1 58.1 — 2,703.8 66.2 40,872 — 1.0 -0.4 1.2 11.0 19.2 17.2 5.3 5.0 1.2 0.6 -2.0 58.9 — 2,650.8 66.5 39,853 — 2.2 0.5 1.3 11.2 19.3 17.0 1.4 2.1 4.8 4.8 -2.3 61.2 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 304 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue 49.3 49.6 50.6 50.6 49.9 49.9 49.2 49.5 50.7 51.9 53.6 53.5 53.4 53.3 53.6 53.0 52.6 53.3 56.8 56.6 56.0 56.8 57.6 57.0 -4.1 -3.6 -3.0 -2.4 -2.8 -3.3 -7.6 -7.1 -5.3 -4.9 -4.0 -3.5 -1.2 -0.8 -0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.4 -5.1 -4.7 -2.7 -2.3 -1.5 -0.9 1,267.23 1,466.89 1,351.17 1,514.47 1,783.54 1,835.10 2,151.37 2,131.21 2,221.48 2,419.53 2,518.23 2,557.56 63.2 65.0 66.7 64.0 64.2 68.2 79.2 82.3 86.0 90.4 94.6 97.3 128.1 131.0 131.7 126.4 128.8 136.6 160.9 166.4 169.5 174.3 176.5 181.9 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.9 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.8 EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [4] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) 0.79 5.3 99.0 7.93 0.4 -0.6 0.6 23.12 0.73 1.8 100.7 11.12 0.5 -1.2 -1.0 29.08 0.85 -0.6 100.0 -10.37 -0.5 -1.4 1.1 24.00 0.76 -0.4 100.0 -12.99 -0.6 -1.7 1.1 40.29 0.68 0.7 100.8 -25.92 -1.0 -2.6 -1.5 43.59 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Excludes SFEF Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 0.72 1.3 101.3 -49.58 -1.7 -3.2 -12.9 30.38 0.69 0.2 101.9 -35.03 -1.3 -3.2 -9.4 27.73 0.75 -3.0 99.2 -40.03 -1.6 -1.8 -7.8 36.21 0.77 -0.6 99.3 -54.18 -2.0 -1.8 -15.9 26.15 0.76 -3.1 96.6 -60.08 -2.3 0.1 — 30.35 0.77 — — -46.27 -1.7 -1.1 — 31.23 0.80 — — -49.46 -1.9 -0.9 — 29.56 Georgia Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba3 Ba3 DFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba1 Baa3 B1 Baa3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.0 4.3 922 2,952 14.9 11.1 7.1 31.3 17.9 28.0 28.7 78.3 -0.50 5.1 4.3 1,187 3,220 14.7 5.9 7.5 31.9 12.7 27.3 33.3 79.7 -0.49 6.4 4.4 1,470 3,611 18.3 9.6 6.1 33.5 15.7 33.8 33.9 85.3 -0.42 7.7 4.4 1,761 4,043 18.7 9.4 8.8 30.9 5.9 17.7 33.6 89.9 -0.18 10.2 4.4 2,318 4,684 23.2 12.3 11.0 32.1 7.4 24.7 33.5 89.2 0.10 12.8 4.4 2,919 4,903 12.2 2.3 5.6 26.0 -2.7 15.4 26.8 87.0 0.28 10.8 4.4 2,441 4,751 -5.7 -3.8 3.0 13.0 -6.1 -12.6 -29.5 78.7 0.27 11.6 4.5 2,614 5,036 15.3 6.3 11.2 21.6 4.1 27.0 16.6 87.7 0.29 14.4 4.5 3,218 5,465 17.4 7.2 2.0 26.2 7.8 28.6 28.7 91.0 0.55 15.8 4.5 3,528 — 7.4 6.5 -1.4 29.0 10.1 16.3 15.7 96.2 — 16.8 4.5 3,741 — 9.4 6.3 3.5 27.1 10.9 4.3 -0.3 92.2 — 18.6 4.5 4,144 — 10.8 7.0 4.4 26.5 12.8 7.8 3.4 87.5 — 16.0 17.8 -1.8 0.1 2.22 53.8 336.9 12.3 — 23.1 23.4 -0.3 1.2 2.36 43.8 43.8 6.2 — 24.2 26.8 -2.6 -1.6 2.27 35.1 145.0 4.3 79.2 26.8 30.2 -3.4 -2.6 1.85 23.0 86.0 2.8 78.5 29.3 34.1 -4.8 -4.2 2.04 19.1 65.2 2.0 78.1 30.7 36.9 -6.2 -5.6 2.69 23.5 76.5 2.1 85.1 29.3 38.4 -9.2 -8.2 3.29 30.9 105.4 3.3 85.0 28.3 34.9 -6.6 -5.6 3.93 33.6 118.6 3.5 85.7 28.2 31.8 -3.6 -2.4 4.33 29.7 105.2 4.2 85.6 28.8 31.8 -3.0 -1.6 5.14 32.6 112.9 4.6 85.8 27.8 30.6 -2.9 -1.6 5.53 32.6 117.4 4.4 85.3 27.6 29.8 -2.2 -1.2 5.91 33.6 121.8 3.8 83.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 305 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Georgia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.08 -6.8 -0.39 -9.8 1.75 100.0 — 43.9 104.7 0.06 0.18 8.3 -78.2 0.19 0.02 1.82 6.6 -0.43 -8.4 1.76 100.0 — 34.4 77.0 0.06 0.21 9.4 -68.4 0.38 0.03 1.79 5.1 -0.77 -12.0 1.65 100.0 — 25.7 58.9 0.07 0.25 8.5 -62.8 0.48 -0.15 1.71 5.8 -1.26 -16.2 3.80 45.7 14.6 49.1 111.8 0.07 0.28 15.3 -66.9 0.93 -0.34 1.59 3.7 -2.12 -20.9 5.79 31.8 12.2 56.9 134.0 0.20 0.34 16.5 -69.7 1.35 -0.86 1.67 14.9 -3.15 -24.6 7.65 33.3 13.5 59.8 150.2 0.34 0.39 11.1 -75.1 1.47 -1.14 1.69 -1.4 -1.25 -11.6 8.81 41.5 10.7 81.8 190.5 0.32 0.69 6.3 -99.3 1.89 -0.90 1.77 -4.6 -1.33 -11.4 10.07 41.9 10.9 86.6 177.7 0.34 0.51 5.9 -99.9 2.04 -0.71 1.67 9.3 -1.80 -12.4 11.54 39.1 14.1 79.9 158.1 0.45 0.59 5.7 -93.0 2.59 -1.47 1.66 1.7 -1.95 -12.3 13.36 36.1 14.9 84.4 176.6 0.67 0.74 6.1 -86.6 2.69 -1.70 1.68 — -1.70 -10.1 13.98 34.5 13.6 83.3 174.9 0.69 0.79 6.1 — 2.49 — 1.80 — -1.56 -8.4 14.61 33.8 11.6 78.6 182.6 0.73 0.67 5.6 — 2.30 — 40.4 6.44 8.6 18.9 1.3 469.2 11.9 — 22.3 88.5 73.9 69.0 33.4 9.30 34.0 21.5 1.4 345.6 11.6 — 17.6 64.6 70.0 74.7 61.0 10.14 31.3 23.7 1.2 408.7 10.3 — 19.8 63.0 67.2 66.8 49.4 12.03 61.2 31.1 1.4 430.1 12.4 96.0 21.6 41.2 62.3 64.3 13.3 8.00 18.0 32.7 1.4 521.4 14.4 81.6 28.6 45.1 72.6 66.7 5.8 5.00 -5.0 32.9 1.1 465.8 21.8 117.5 39.4 33.4 68.8 58.0 36.6 7.50 16.2 33.2 1.3 493.5 15.0 77.1 64.0 26.2 67.1 62.6 17.3 6.75 20.7 34.1 1.3 444.5 14.3 82.5 17.7 107.7 58.6 63.0 12.3 5.25 10.1 35.0 1.4 496.1 18.6 91.2 33.4 65.6 60.4 — — — — — — 561.6 18.6 103.1 — — — — — — — — — 634.8 17.5 103.3 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [3] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP [3] External Debt/CA Receipts [3] [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 306 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [3] Debt Service Ratio [8] [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [13] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [14] 30.9 9.94 14.5 20.0 1.6 916.9 14.6 — 12.2 99.5 86.4 87.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2006, prior to 2006 public sector only Current Account Receipts Derived from the Balance of Payments Derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only Deposit rate prior to 2008 (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts Debt service derived from the Balance of Payments; Long-term amortization only (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Currently maturing long-term debt derived from the Balance of Payments; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Germany Lead Analyst: Thorsten Nestmann Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa CFree Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2,428.6 82.5 29,425 28,360 0.7 -0.4 1.1 9.8 17.9 21.8 20.7 23.0 2.5 5.5 3.9 67.5 1.40 2,730.0 82.5 33,084 29,679 2.2 1.2 2.2 10.5 17.6 22.7 21.3 18.4 10.7 8.2 5.0 72.1 1.53 2,768.9 82.5 33,575 31,115 1.3 0.7 1.4 11.3 17.3 22.5 8.7 9.3 7.7 6.2 5.2 77.4 1.54 2,905.5 82.4 35,271 33,503 4.0 3.7 1.4 10.2 18.1 23.8 15.6 15.9 13.1 11.8 5.6 85.4 1.65 3,328.6 82.3 40,461 35,538 5.0 3.3 3.2 8.7 19.3 26.3 18.7 15.3 8.0 5.4 7.0 87.3 1.66 3,637.9 82.1 44,306 37,119 1.9 1.1 1.1 7.5 19.3 25.6 11.6 13.9 2.8 3.4 6.3 90.0 1.55 3,308.3 81.9 40,393 35,631 -4.0 -5.1 0.7 7.8 16.5 21.4 -19.9 -18.6 -12.8 -8.0 4.9 79.9 1.57 3,312.0 81.8 40,500 37,652 5.1 4.2 1.3 7.1 17.5 23.1 11.0 10.7 13.7 11.1 5.6 88.4 1.55 3,608.1 81.8 44,111 39,456 3.9 3.0 2.0 6.0 18.3 23.3 16.3 18.6 7.8 7.4 5.1 95.3 1.53 3,399.0 81.7 41,607 — 2.0 0.7 2.1 5.5 17.2 23.0 -3.2 -4.3 3.7 1.8 5.7 97.3 — 3,556.4 81.6 43,570 — 1.9 0.4 1.5 5.5 17.2 22.6 7.4 8.5 3.1 4.2 5.4 100.4 — 3,517.3 81.6 43,118 — 3.1 1.5 1.6 5.5 17.4 23.0 2.6 2.7 5.4 5.5 5.6 104.2 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 307 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue 44.3 43.3 43.6 43.7 43.7 44.0 45.1 43.6 44.5 45.2 45.0 45.0 48.5 47.1 46.9 45.3 43.5 44.1 48.2 47.7 45.3 45.0 45.4 44.5 -4.2 -3.8 -3.3 -1.7 0.2 -0.1 -3.1 -4.1 -0.8 0.2 -0.4 0.5 -1.1 -0.9 -0.5 1.2 3.0 2.7 -0.4 -1.6 1.8 2.6 2.0 2.5 1,747.70 1,980.65 1,798.81 2,072.72 2,331.31 2,299.45 2,548.31 2,747.35 2,698.02 2,856.97 2,819.76 2,701.84 64.4 66.2 68.5 68.0 65.2 66.8 74.5 82.4 80.4 81.9 80.5 77.5 145.4 152.9 157.3 155.7 149.1 151.8 165.1 189.1 180.6 181.2 178.9 172.2 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.3 4.4 EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) 0.79 5.2 104.8 45.83 1.9 1.1 6.6 41.10 0.73 1.6 105.1 127.28 4.7 -1.1 10.7 39.90 0.85 -1.8 100.0 140.15 5.1 -1.0 21.0 39.76 0.76 -0.7 95.4 181.74 6.3 -2.2 27.9 37.72 0.68 1.7 93.2 247.97 7.4 -2.7 26.5 40.77 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 0.72 0.5 92.6 225.93 6.2 -1.8 25.4 38.56 0.69 0.7 96.0 197.20 6.0 -1.4 33.8 36.93 0.75 -4.9 90.8 206.97 6.2 -1.9 34.9 37.36 0.77 -0.6 90.2 224.34 6.2 -0.1 32.6 38.08 0.76 -3.6 88.2 237.93 7.0 -1.0 40.5 37.96 0.77 — — 224.05 6.3 -0.6 — 38.31 0.80 — — 214.56 6.1 -0.8 — 38.64 Ghana Lead Analyst: Edward Al-Hussainy Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 E+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Ba2 B2 Ba2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.2 20.6 543 1,632 29.0 5.1 31.0 23.0 7.0 18.1 27.8 97.4 -0.19 14.6 21.1 690 1,928 35.1 5.3 16.1 28.4 7.4 12.6 24.0 99.6 -0.16 17.4 21.6 805 2,030 20.5 6.0 13.6 29.0 3.8 12.2 23.5 98.2 -0.16 20.4 22.2 921 2,168 18.6 6.1 10.7 21.6 6.1 31.2 25.6 65.9 0.07 24.8 22.7 1,090 2,316 23.8 4.5 12.8 20.1 6.6 18.1 21.6 65.4 0.05 28.5 23.3 1,226 2,503 30.3 9.3 18.3 21.5 3.5 17.6 25.5 69.5 0.00 26.0 23.8 1,090 2,560 21.3 5.8 16.2 20.7 10.8 6.6 -13.4 71.6 -0.04 32.2 24.4 1,319 2,733 25.8 7.9 8.8 25.7 11.8 24.7 34.4 75.4 -0.04 39.6 25.0 1,585 3,113 29.9 14.0 8.8 24.3 10.5 54.1 33.1 86.6 -0.03 40.8 25.6 1,595 — 22.4 7.2 8.9 25.9 10.8 15.3 11.1 94.9 — 46.3 26.2 1,770 — 21.5 7.8 8.4 25.6 11.1 26.3 27.2 105.9 — 52.6 26.8 1,964 — 20.1 8.0 8.2 24.1 12.9 27.7 18.2 114.1 — 17.0 20.4 -3.4 0.9 9.07 82.8 486.6 24.8 83.3 17.5 20.5 -3.0 -0.4 8.31 57.4 327.8 15.1 77.8 16.7 19.5 -2.8 -0.6 8.32 48.2 288.6 13.4 76.1 17.1 21.8 -4.7 -2.6 5.31 26.2 153.6 12.3 41.8 17.5 23.1 -5.6 -3.7 7.41 31.0 177.4 10.9 48.4 18.6 29.9 -11.3 -9.0 8.35 33.6 180.3 12.1 50.5 18.5 24.2 -5.6 -2.8 9.34 36.2 195.7 15.2 54.0 19.1 25.7 -6.5 -3.4 11.87 38.0 198.6 16.3 52.7 21.5 25.5 -4.0 -1.3 15.45 40.1 186.4 12.5 50.6 22.8 34.7 -11.9 -8.6 17.84 45.8 201.2 14.6 44.7 24.2 34.2 -10.0 -6.4 22.27 48.1 198.5 14.8 46.5 25.9 34.1 -8.2 -4.5 26.34 50.1 193.0 14.2 47.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 308 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) [1] Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) [1] Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [5] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.88 0.3 0.28 2.5 7.89 9.3 83.8 70.6 176.7 0.09 0.37 0.9 — 1.31 0.19 0.90 -1.4 -0.32 -2.2 7.44 9.9 82.5 51.1 147.9 0.10 0.16 1.0 — 1.61 0.26 0.91 9.3 -0.77 -4.4 7.18 8.6 84.4 41.2 125.0 0.11 0.19 0.8 — 1.75 0.29 0.92 5.3 -1.04 -5.1 3.69 31.6 61.5 18.1 49.6 0.10 0.19 3.1 — 2.09 0.32 0.97 -0.7 -2.12 -8.6 5.11 25.1 69.7 20.7 62.5 0.10 0.13 3.5 — 1.98 0.06 1.21 -4.8 -3.54 -12.4 5.69 23.6 71.8 19.9 60.7 0.16 0.14 7.4 — 1.77 0.21 1.42 -8.0 -1.60 -6.2 7.19 18.5 70.0 27.7 73.5 0.14 0.14 6.5 — 2.93 0.31 1.47 6.6 -2.65 -8.2 9.32 24.3 65.7 29.0 78.5 0.22 0.15 7.9 — 4.31 0.15 1.55 -5.0 -3.68 -9.3 11.29 24.7 65.6 28.5 65.4 0.13 0.20 8.1 — 5.05 0.53 1.88 -6.4 -5.12 -12.6 12.24 24.7 67.6 30.0 76.3 0.28 0.30 9.2 — 4.20 0.84 1.98 — -5.57 -12.0 14.52 22.4 68.9 31.3 82.2 0.20 0.80 8.3 — 3.75 — 2.08 — -5.90 -11.2 16.86 25.0 69.7 32.0 86.8 0.20 0.40 7.5 — 3.45 — 32.7 18.50 41.0 19.2 1.3 463.4 4.9 68.1 46.1 99.3 29.3 32.5 23.1 15.50 19.5 19.0 1.5 410.0 5.3 57.9 53.4 91.8 29.2 34.8 43.6 12.50 31.6 21.1 1.7 176.7 3.9 45.7 68.2 109.2 28.1 37.9 39.6 13.50 34.1 22.9 2.4 257.8 2.9 62.3 86.9 177.0 22.3 39.7 42.4 17.00 59.1 27.9 3.1 321.6 3.2 71.6 104.4 176.2 28.4 63.1 24.6 18.00 24.7 28.7 2.0 245.4 2.8 83.8 114.5 229.0 32.7 51.7 29.7 13.50 24.4 28.4 1.7 216.0 3.1 50.6 106.9 210.0 25.4 37.9 35.5 12.50 25.8 27.5 1.9 223.4 1.9 57.1 126.5 215.6 27.4 43.6 26.4 15.00 47.6 33.1 2.3 291.1 3.6 61.1 67.6 132.2 31.7 53.5 — — — — — 387.5 5.7 90.9 — — — — — — — — — 489.0 3.1 97.4 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP [6] External Debt/CA Receipts [7] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 309 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 18.4 21.50 5.4 18.4 1.2 604.4 9.9 178.2 47.8 100.7 30.8 35.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] GDP figures rebased following SNA 1993 compilation methodology Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS 2001) methodology used by the IMF, which considers the data for 2009-2011 to be estimates Approximated by public sector external debt Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) and Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) official debt relief initiatives completed in 2006 Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Greece Lead Analyst: Alpona Banerji Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime C C E Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 Caa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 195.0 11.0 17,690 22,506 10.1 5.9 3.1 9.8 24.5 12.2 25.1 22.8 2.9 3.0 -12.3 52.3 0.75 230.3 11.1 20,824 23,861 7.4 4.4 3.1 10.5 22.5 12.4 31.9 18.6 17.3 5.7 -10.1 54.8 0.83 240.3 11.1 21,641 24,348 4.2 2.3 3.6 9.9 21.4 12.1 8.3 4.6 2.5 -1.5 -9.3 55.7 0.72 262.0 11.1 23,497 26,733 8.1 5.5 2.9 8.9 24.6 13.2 8.7 16.0 4.3 11.1 -11.4 57.7 0.72 305.9 11.2 27,328 27,743 7.0 3.5 3.9 8.3 26.7 12.6 20.0 28.0 7.1 14.5 -14.1 61.7 0.62 342.9 11.2 30,518 29,604 4.5 -0.2 2.0 7.7 24.0 9.5 13.7 14.2 1.7 0.9 -14.5 62.7 0.64 322.0 11.3 28,535 29,201 -0.9 -3.1 2.6 9.5 18.6 7.1 -25.1 -25.3 -19.4 -20.2 -11.5 50.0 0.58 294.8 11.3 26,049 27,520 -3.9 -4.9 5.2 12.6 17.5 8.3 5.7 -6.1 5.2 -6.2 -9.3 53.8 0.52 290.2 11.3 25,682 25,858 -6.1 -7.1 2.4 17.7 16.1 8.0 10.9 3.5 0.3 -7.3 -8.1 58.2 0.48 249.1 11.3 21,963 — -7.1 -6.4 0.8 24.3 13.6 8.6 -7.5 -17.1 -2.4 -13.8 -5.0 59.0 — 240.1 11.3 21,173 — -6.1 -5.3 -0.6 27.0 13.9 8.6 2.1 -7.1 2.7 -6.5 -4.7 66.2 — 221.1 11.3 19,499 — -4.0 -3.6 -0.2 28.0 14.8 7.8 3.3 -5.2 3.5 -5.0 -4.6 64.8 — 39.0 44.7 -5.7 -0.7 190.02 97.4 249.7 12.8 38.1 45.5 -7.4 -2.6 227.73 98.9 259.5 12.7 39.0 44.6 -5.6 -1.0 243.26 101.2 259.8 12.0 39.2 45.3 -6.0 -1.3 281.52 107.5 273.9 11.9 40.7 47.5 -6.8 -2.0 327.99 107.2 263.2 11.8 40.7 50.6 -9.9 -4.8 387.18 112.9 277.6 12.6 38.3 54.0 -15.6 -10.5 417.54 129.7 338.2 13.4 40.6 51.4 -10.8 -4.9 437.20 148.3 365.2 14.6 42.4 52.0 -9.6 -2.4 494.30 170.3 401.9 17.0 44.7 54.8 -10.0 -5.0 390.72 156.9 350.7 11.2 43.9 47.8 -3.9 -0.1 423.82 176.5 411.5 8.8 46.2 49.0 -2.8 1.9 406.90 184.0 430.0 10.2 0.79 6.4 98.3 -12.74 -6.5 0.5 -58.9 3.84 0.73 2.0 97.6 -13.33 -5.8 0.5 -67.0 0.74 0.85 0.2 100.0 -18.35 -7.6 -0.3 -77.3 0.31 0.76 0.8 96.5 -29.82 -11.4 0.4 -85.4 0.41 0.68 1.6 95.9 -44.65 -14.6 -1.1 -96.1 0.52 0.72 2.9 96.3 -51.17 -14.9 0.7 -76.8 0.16 0.69 1.4 99.7 -35.97 -11.2 0.1 -89.6 0.20 0.75 -0.1 98.8 -29.85 -10.1 -0.2 -98.4 0.11 0.77 0.6 96.1 -28.71 -9.9 0.0 -86.1 0.03 0.76 -3.1 90.8 -7.70 -5.3 0.0 -114.1 0.05 0.77 — — -1.54 -2.8 0.9 — 0.05 0.80 — — -0.97 -1.7 1.0 — 0.05 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 310 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) [4] Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 2001 European Commission Annual Macro Economic Database (Ameco); Data series adjusted to base year 2005 Guatemala Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 D+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa3 A3 Ba2 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 21.9 12.1 1,812 3,773 7.1 2.5 5.9 20.3 5.9 3.4 6.7 66.0 -0.45 24.0 12.4 1,932 3,903 9.4 3.2 9.2 20.8 5.7 14.4 14.6 69.1 -0.64 27.2 12.7 2,140 4,062 9.1 3.3 8.6 19.7 3.8 5.5 10.6 66.0 -0.70 30.2 13.0 2,319 4,310 10.6 5.4 5.8 20.8 3.9 10.6 13.5 66.8 -0.58 34.1 13.4 2,554 4,601 13.9 6.3 8.7 20.8 4.1 15.7 14.0 67.9 -0.52 39.1 13.7 2,859 4,739 13.0 3.3 9.4 16.4 1.7 10.9 6.8 64.1 -0.53 37.7 14.0 2,689 4,709 4.1 0.5 -0.3 13.1 3.9 -6.5 -18.9 57.1 -0.69 41.3 14.4 2,873 4,759 8.2 2.9 5.4 13.9 3.4 17.9 19.9 62.1 -0.70 47.0 14.8 3,184 4,928 9.8 4.2 6.2 14.6 3.9 19.4 18.5 64.9 -0.70 50.5 15.1 3,338 — 8.1 3.0 3.4 14.8 4.1 11.5 10.3 66.9 — 54.4 15.5 3,508 — 7.9 3.4 4.5 15.2 3.4 9.0 11.1 68.5 — 58.7 15.9 3,695 — 8.0 3.3 4.7 15.7 3.4 9.7 10.7 70.0 — 12.5 15.1 -2.6 -1.3 4.52 20.9 167.0 10.4 91.6 12.3 13.4 -1.1 0.3 5.27 21.4 173.9 11.1 85.5 12.0 13.7 -1.7 -0.3 5.67 20.8 173.1 11.7 75.5 12.7 14.7 -1.9 -0.6 6.53 21.7 170.1 10.9 67.8 12.8 14.3 -1.4 0.0 7.32 21.3 166.2 11.6 63.3 12.0 13.6 -1.6 -0.3 7.66 20.1 167.3 11.3 60.4 11.1 14.2 -3.1 -1.7 8.46 22.9 207.4 12.9 60.1 11.2 14.5 -3.3 -1.8 10.01 24.1 214.5 13.2 58.4 11.8 14.6 -2.8 -1.3 11.25 24.0 203.6 12.7 54.5 11.6 14.0 -2.4 -0.9 12.16 24.3 209.2 13.1 57.6 11.7 14.2 -2.5 -1.0 13.67 25.0 213.6 13.0 58.5 11.8 14.4 -2.6 -1.1 15.02 25.7 218.1 12.9 58.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 311 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Guatemala (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.04 — -1.02 -4.7 6.72 51.6 23.4 30.7 83.4 0.22 0.22 1.0 — 2.82 -0.03 7.75 — -1.16 -4.9 7.33 52.5 22.1 30.6 76.7 0.31 0.27 1.1 — 3.42 -0.13 7.61 — -1.24 -4.6 7.76 48.0 17.0 28.5 72.9 0.41 0.20 1.7 -10.6 3.66 -0.24 7.62 — -1.52 -5.0 8.80 45.0 16.6 29.1 71.5 0.50 0.34 1.8 -11.7 3.91 -0.18 7.63 — -1.79 -5.2 9.84 42.9 15.5 28.8 69.7 0.58 0.36 2.1 -13.3 4.13 -0.35 7.77 — -1.41 -3.6 9.99 43.9 15.1 25.5 63.9 0.61 0.26 1.9 -14.1 4.46 -0.33 8.35 — 0.27 0.7 9.64 51.1 15.6 25.6 67.1 0.51 0.27 1.5 -12.7 4.69 0.34 8.02 — -0.56 -1.4 10.42 53.4 14.9 25.2 65.0 0.49 0.26 1.9 -13.5 5.37 0.43 7.81 — -1.60 -3.4 12.17 46.1 13.6 25.9 66.7 0.51 0.61 2.1 -15.6 5.57 -0.33 7.89 — -1.45 -2.9 13.61 46.3 12.9 26.9 73.5 0.54 0.50 2.3 -18.8 6.06 -0.96 7.80 — -2.00 -3.7 14.09 48.5 12.8 25.9 69.8 0.53 0.45 2.4 — 6.13 — 7.90 — -2.41 -4.1 15.26 49.1 12.3 26.0 68.9 0.52 0.42 2.6 — 6.38 — 11.5 — 8.1 32.0 3.0 214.3 6.1 65.2 39.0 92.1 13.2 19.3 14.1 4.25 20.2 35.2 3.3 212.2 5.7 53.1 34.5 88.4 13.2 21.2 13.4 5.00 27.1 40.4 3.5 225.2 6.9 45.4 49.4 98.8 13.4 25.1 8.5 6.50 13.6 40.3 3.6 238.5 6.6 46.6 55.7 98.9 15.4 28.6 8.9 7.25 9.1 38.9 3.5 224.0 5.6 43.2 60.2 120.5 16.3 31.1 11.4 4.50 4.9 39.2 3.5 205.6 5.4 40.0 32.4 89.6 18.7 33.6 9.8 4.50 5.7 38.4 3.5 194.1 4.7 37.7 38.4 99.1 19.8 36.6 7.3 5.50 11.9 39.1 3.7 218.5 6.1 40.2 52.7 132.9 20.0 39.6 9.3 5.00 13.2 40.9 3.7 224.6 5.6 38.7 51.3 127.7 19.9 39.3 — — — — — 229.7 4.9 36.3 — — — — — — — — — 239.3 4.2 36.2 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 312 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 47.5 — 27.5 32.3 3.2 237.8 5.5 63.5 37.1 78.2 10.3 14.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts Public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Honduras Lead Analyst: Sarah Glendon Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B2 B2 No Banks Rated Crawling-peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba3 Ba3 B3 Ba3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.2 6.6 1,246 2,850 10.6 4.5 6.8 25.3 11.2 7.5 9.4 122.2 -0.58 8.9 6.7 1,316 3,051 13.1 6.2 9.2 29.7 11.0 16.4 21.8 135.5 -0.56 9.8 6.9 1,418 3,277 13.8 6.1 7.7 27.6 9.1 11.1 10.6 136.5 -0.64 10.9 7.0 1,556 3,534 12.3 6.6 5.3 28.3 7.3 6.3 11.3 133.1 -0.61 12.4 7.2 1,727 3,785 13.2 6.2 8.9 33.7 5.6 8.1 19.8 135.1 -0.54 13.9 7.3 1,901 3,953 12.4 4.2 10.8 36.1 3.0 7.7 16.2 135.7 -0.61 14.6 7.4 1,958 3,842 5.0 -2.4 3.0 20.6 2.8 -19.1 -28.6 96.9 -0.69 15.8 7.6 2,084 3,898 8.6 3.7 6.5 21.9 4.0 25.7 20.5 109.4 -0.67 17.7 7.8 2,282 4,047 11.7 3.7 5.6 27.4 6.3 21.9 24.7 121.0 -0.58 19.0 7.9 2,400 — 7.3 3.3 5.4 25.5 5.1 5.3 4.8 118.4 — 20.6 8.1 2,552 — 8.8 3.2 5.6 25.8 4.2 10.6 11.6 121.4 — 21.8 8.2 2,643 — 8.7 3.0 5.7 23.7 4.7 11.1 11.9 128.2 — 16.5 21.3 -4.7 -3.9 4.89 60.8 367.1 5.2 89.6 17.2 19.8 -2.6 -1.7 5.17 59.7 346.3 5.2 92.3 17.6 19.8 -2.2 -1.3 4.35 44.7 254.0 5.0 91.5 18.1 19.2 -1.1 -0.3 3.13 28.7 158.8 4.7 88.5 19.1 22.0 -2.9 -2.3 2.15 17.4 90.7 2.9 84.0 19.9 22.4 -2.4 -1.9 2.79 20.1 100.7 2.7 75.7 17.1 23.1 -6.0 -5.4 3.48 23.9 139.9 3.7 65.0 16.9 21.5 -4.7 -3.8 4.62 29.2 172.8 5.0 57.1 17.0 21.6 -4.6 -3.4 5.57 31.5 184.8 7.1 54.3 16.8 22.8 -6.0 -4.5 6.37 33.5 199.3 9.1 54.7 17.1 22.0 -4.9 -3.4 7.34 35.7 208.9 9.0 55.0 17.1 21.7 -4.6 -3.1 7.95 37.5 219.1 9.0 55.1 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 313 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [4] Honduras (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 17.75 — -0.55 -6.7 5.34 89.5 2.8 64.9 98.9 0.09 0.56 4.7 — 1.42 0.32 18.63 — -0.68 -7.6 6.02 86.4 4.2 67.9 92.2 0.13 0.53 6.2 -62.0 1.96 0.29 18.90 — -0.29 -3.0 5.13 85.0 5.1 52.6 65.9 0.17 1.39 6.1 -49.0 2.31 0.25 18.90 — -0.40 -3.7 3.93 77.0 7.4 36.0 45.4 0.13 2.07 6.1 -29.2 2.62 0.11 18.90 — -1.12 -9.0 3.19 63.5 12.3 25.8 33.6 0.08 1.68 7.5 -24.9 2.51 0.02 18.90 — -2.13 -15.3 3.46 67.1 11.4 25.0 33.9 0.09 0.62 7.3 -33.4 2.46 0.06 18.90 — -0.56 -3.8 3.34 73.6 5.8 22.9 39.4 0.07 0.92 3.5 -37.6 1.91 0.17 18.90 — -0.84 -5.3 3.77 75.0 8.0 23.8 37.6 0.06 0.45 6.1 -40.6 2.50 0.06 18.90 — -1.50 -8.5 4.19 76.4 6.1 23.7 35.0 0.08 1.02 5.6 -41.7 2.58 0.06 18.90 — -1.74 -9.2 4.78 76.3 6.7 25.2 39.0 0.09 0.85 5.5 -48.4 2.33 -0.26 19.00 — -2.27 -11.0 4.97 79.0 7.0 24.1 36.6 0.08 0.81 5.8 — 2.57 — 20.00 — -2.18 -10.0 5.21 80.0 6.6 23.9 34.5 0.08 0.78 5.7 — 2.78 — 16.3 — 10.5 38.2 1.6 307.8 10.1 48.0 34.9 65.2 32.6 45.1 19.8 7.00 15.5 38.8 1.6 221.8 20.1 84.0 31.7 56.7 30.9 42.7 24.0 6.00 24.2 42.9 1.7 150.4 25.4 100.9 13.6 32.2 29.0 45.1 17.1 7.50 34.1 50.9 2.1 126.9 18.6 75.4 17.3 38.2 27.9 52.8 2.5 7.75 14.0 51.6 2.2 140.8 6.9 40.3 18.8 48.4 29.0 58.3 -0.2 4.50 12.4 55.2 2.8 175.2 11.6 53.3 11.9 35.8 29.4 76.4 13.3 4.50 6.0 53.9 2.5 151.0 5.1 33.8 13.6 37.2 27.2 64.3 12.6 5.50 13.7 54.8 2.7 162.4 9.2 53.1 21.0 46.8 26.8 68.6 4.4 7.00 15.0 58.7 3.1 204.9 7.7 42.9 32.4 63.6 28.9 90.0 — — — — — 193.5 6.5 48.5 — — — — — — — — — 187.6 5.7 44.0 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [5] External Debt/GDP [5] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 314 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [5] Debt Service Ratio [5] [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] 12.2 — 23.0 39.1 2.0 377.0 12.0 47.1 37.7 64.0 31.1 51.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Central government; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year; Beneficiary of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) official debt relief initiative Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Hong Kong Lead Analyst: Steven A. Hess Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa1 Aa1 BCurrency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aa1 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 161.4 6.7 23,977 29,748 -3.1 3.1 -1.9 7.9 22.4 31.5 10.7 10.8 12.8 11.3 9.1 327.2 1.66 169.1 6.8 24,928 32,987 4.8 8.7 0.3 6.8 22.4 31.1 16.3 17.2 15.4 13.8 8.7 364.6 1.79 181.6 6.8 26,650 36,440 7.2 7.4 1.3 5.6 21.1 33.3 12.0 10.1 10.6 8.0 12.2 377.1 1.63 193.5 6.9 28,224 40,003 6.5 7.0 2.3 4.8 22.3 33.4 10.5 11.4 9.4 9.1 11.2 392.4 1.89 211.6 6.9 30,552 43,389 9.8 6.5 3.8 4.0 21.4 32.1 10.4 10.7 8.3 9.1 10.7 396.8 1.86 219.3 7.0 31,426 44,956 3.4 2.1 2.1 3.5 21.0 31.2 6.2 6.6 2.5 2.2 10.2 407.4 1.83 214.0 7.0 30,562 44,262 -2.8 -2.5 1.5 5.2 21.8 29.3 -10.7 -9.9 -10.2 -9.0 7.5 374.3 1.77 228.7 7.1 32,357 47,169 7.1 6.8 2.9 4.3 23.9 29.3 22.6 24.4 16.8 17.4 5.4 432.5 1.73 248.7 7.1 35,173 50,551 9.0 4.9 5.7 3.4 24.1 27.2 11.5 12.8 3.7 4.6 3.1 446.0 1.70 263.3 7.1 36,857 — 5.5 1.5 3.8 3.3 26.0 26.3 5.5 6.9 1.8 2.8 0.2 447.5 — 280.2 7.2 38,839 — 6.5 3.0 4.2 3.4 26.1 28.7 9.8 8.7 3.9 4.1 2.7 459.5 — 296.6 7.3 40,697 — 6.0 4.0 3.8 3.3 25.9 31.1 11.4 10.3 6.5 4.8 5.2 481.4 — 16.4 19.5 -3.2 -3.2 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.8 18.2 1.6 1.6 3.21 1.9 9.5 0.2 17.2 16.2 1.0 1.0 3.17 1.7 10.0 0.3 18.8 15.0 3.8 3.9 2.79 1.4 7.5 0.3 21.2 13.9 7.3 7.4 2.57 1.2 5.6 0.2 18.9 18.8 0.1 0.1 2.14 1.0 5.3 0.2 18.8 17.3 1.5 1.6 2.93 1.4 7.1 0.2 20.7 16.6 4.1 4.2 4.98 2.2 10.3 0.2 22.4 18.6 3.8 3.8 7.82 3.1 13.9 0.1 21.6 18.4 3.1 3.2 9.83 3.7 17.1 0.1 19.8 20.0 -0.2 -0.2 10.44 3.7 18.7 0.2 19.2 18.2 1.0 1.0 11.72 4.0 20.4 0.2 7.76 -6.4 — 17.41 10.8 3.6 245.6 118.36 7.77 -5.5 — 16.82 9.9 -8.6 251.3 123.54 7.75 -3.8 — 21.57 11.9 3.9 246.1 124.24 7.78 -2.6 — 24.56 12.7 -1.4 273.3 133.17 7.80 -4.7 — 27.55 13.0 -2.7 232.5 152.64 7.75 -5.5 — 32.85 15.0 4.5 287.0 182.47 7.76 6.5 — 20.34 9.5 -1.7 343.7 255.77 7.78 -3.8 — 14.99 6.6 -6.9 291.0 268.65 7.77 -4.2 — 11.95 4.8 0.1 285.3 285.26 7.75 3.5 — 3.48 1.3 -3.6 277.9 317.19 7.78 — — 2.70 1.0 -1.7 — 340.00 7.78 — — 3.78 1.3 -1.5 — 365.00 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 315 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Hungary Lead Analyst: Alpona Banerji Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 DFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 Baa2 Ba2 Baa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 83.5 10.1 8,247 15,349 9.5 3.9 5.7 23.6 19.8 22.2 26.1 126.7 0.96 101.9 10.1 10,085 16,188 10.3 4.8 5.5 25.9 22.3 25.9 25.2 130.3 0.90 110.3 10.1 10,937 16,975 6.5 4.0 3.3 24.5 22.4 12.7 10.0 134.0 0.80 112.5 10.1 11,173 18,275 7.5 3.9 6.5 24.1 23.2 20.3 17.9 156.4 0.90 136.1 10.1 13,534 18,923 5.6 0.1 7.4 22.4 23.3 26.5 23.6 161.7 0.76 154.2 10.0 15,363 20,432 6.2 0.9 3.5 23.5 24.0 13.8 14.4 162.9 0.76 126.6 10.0 12,636 20,249 -3.5 -6.8 5.6 18.0 22.9 -22.0 -26.5 150.3 0.70 128.0 10.0 12,795 20,734 3.8 1.3 4.7 18.7 25.2 13.2 11.8 167.4 0.70 138.7 10.0 13,909 21,661 4.8 1.6 4.1 19.5 26.2 13.9 14.0 176.0 0.71 125.6 10.0 12,597 — 1.4 -1.7 5.0 17.4 25.2 -6.1 -7.0 181.7 — 126.1 10.0 12,671 — 2.7 0.2 3.0 16.7 27.1 6.1 3.6 189.8 — 119.9 9.9 12,058 — 4.0 1.0 3.0 15.8 29.0 0.5 -1.3 199.1 — 42.4 49.7 -7.3 -3.2 52.82 58.6 138.2 9.6 — 42.6 49.1 -6.5 -2.0 68.20 59.5 139.7 10.4 25.7 42.2 50.1 -7.9 -3.8 63.59 61.7 146.3 9.9 28.2 42.7 52.2 -9.5 -5.5 81.43 65.9 154.2 9.2 28.1 45.6 50.7 -5.1 -1.0 97.07 67.0 147.1 9.1 28.7 45.5 49.2 -3.7 0.5 103.08 73.0 160.2 9.1 37.6 46.9 51.4 -4.6 0.1 108.73 79.8 170.1 9.9 44.7 45.4 49.8 -4.4 -0.2 104.36 81.8 180.3 9.2 44.6 53.8 49.6 4.2 8.4 94.28 81.4 151.3 7.8 49.5 46.5 48.5 -2.0 2.3 101.30 79.2 170.2 9.2 40.9 46.6 49.6 -3.0 1.2 98.30 79.7 171.0 9.0 48.0 47.0 50.3 -3.3 0.7 93.05 78.9 167.9 8.5 49.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 316 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 207.92 1.8 -6.72 -8.0 58.15 42.6 14.4 69.6 106.1 1.80 5.49 0.6 -84.2 12.03 -6.56 180.29 3.0 -8.81 -8.6 81.43 39.9 21.0 79.9 113.7 2.22 7.54 3.1 -96.0 15.33 -9.19 213.58 0.4 -8.24 -7.5 84.67 37.5 21.9 76.7 104.4 2.69 8.77 4.9 -88.2 18.30 -12.03 191.62 -3.0 -8.38 -7.4 132.28 30.7 17.1 117.6 133.8 3.13 7.75 0.8 -107.4 21.32 -13.37 172.61 3.5 -9.96 -7.3 177.53 28.7 18.8 130.4 139.5 4.45 9.30 2.3 -97.4 23.77 -17.56 187.91 2.2 -11.12 -7.2 220.02 25.0 12.6 142.7 150.8 6.43 15.22 1.2 -96.6 33.62 -27.82 188.07 -2.8 -0.11 -0.1 240.03 28.2 12.0 189.5 200.5 5.03 21.94 0.6 -129.0 42.48 -25.55 208.65 -0.2 1.52 1.2 206.87 33.6 15.9 161.7 157.0 4.39 20.47 3.1 -110.5 43.58 -22.93 240.68 -1.7 2.05 1.5 208.92 33.6 15.2 150.6 141.7 5.35 25.76 0.2 -86.5 47.72 -18.58 220.93 -3.0 2.96 2.4 202.17 35.2 11.3 160.9 117.1 4.90 21.57 0.1 — 44.03 -14.41 235.44 — 3.15 2.5 204.28 34.0 14.6 161.9 109.3 4.92 15.71 0.1 — 44.80 — 256.07 — 3.12 2.6 204.00 35.0 14.0 170.2 110.0 4.67 18.76 0.2 — 44.26 — 9.9 9.50 11.4 58.1 3.4 531.3 13.6 269.8 172.5 504.5 14.7 31.4 13.0 6.00 14.2 62.3 2.7 462.8 14.1 293.5 169.3 513.9 15.5 28.0 11.8 8.00 18.1 68.4 2.9 620.6 11.0 283.9 193.4 619.1 21.2 36.2 8.7 7.50 16.8 75.7 3.2 746.8 10.8 310.8 235.9 677.6 18.6 31.5 9.9 10.00 13.6 80.9 2.3 654.4 14.8 342.5 252.5 796.1 27.1 38.7 0.9 6.30 -3.0 81.3 1.8 565.1 22.5 260.5 177.9 573.4 26.7 32.6 -0.1 5.80 4.9 82.1 1.6 474.7 18.9 197.7 161.3 418.7 26.8 30.1 7.1 7.00 -2.4 76.5 1.3 437.7 21.1 202.0 149.5 358.6 24.1 24.3 -1.2 5.80 -9.6 68.2 1.6 459.2 15.3 158.8 223.8 494.8 23.9 29.0 — — — — — 439.4 11.0 135.6 — — — — — — — — — 440.0 12.3 138.2 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 317 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] 13.7 12.50 18.5 57.5 3.4 483.4 13.3 240.2 174.2 557.1 15.8 33.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government General government only Current Account Receipts Foreign currency debt only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Series break in 2003 Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Iceland Lead Analyst: Kathrin Muehlbronner Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 No Banks Rated Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa3 Baa2 Baa3 Baa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.0 0.3 37,890 30,762 3.1 2.4 2.8 19.8 16.7 12.8 28.2 71.6 2.12 13.3 0.3 45,370 33,790 10.5 7.8 3.9 23.5 17.9 20.0 28.4 73.8 2.12 16.3 0.3 54,885 34,889 10.3 7.2 4.1 28.2 15.9 14.5 36.2 75.7 1.99 16.7 0.3 54,814 35,849 13.9 4.7 7.0 35.6 17.4 3.9 17.2 82.7 1.86 20.4 0.3 65,566 37,131 12.0 6.0 5.9 29.0 18.3 31.8 10.2 80.0 1.79 16.8 0.3 53,029 39,718 13.1 1.2 18.1 24.6 21.8 5.6 -14.2 91.6 1.82 12.1 0.3 38,038 37,410 1.2 -6.6 7.5 13.9 22.5 -14.4 -32.5 97.1 1.65 12.6 0.3 39,505 35,506 2.5 -4.1 2.5 12.5 22.6 10.6 8.5 102.6 1.58 14.1 0.3 44,118 36,483 6.3 2.9 5.3 14.3 22.9 17.5 22.5 109.7 1.57 13.7 0.3 42,678 — 4.7 1.6 4.2 14.6 20.9 -2.8 1.4 112.1 — 15.1 0.3 46,904 — 6.6 2.0 4.1 13.4 21.0 11.4 8.9 111.7 — 15.3 0.3 47,380 — 7.4 2.8 3.9 14.5 21.5 2.8 4.0 113.6 — 42.8 45.6 -2.8 -0.1 4.84 40.8 95.4 6.4 56.1 44.0 44.0 0.0 2.5 5.24 34.4 78.2 5.5 51.9 47.1 42.2 4.9 7.1 4.14 25.4 53.9 4.7 40.9 48.0 41.6 6.3 8.5 4.91 30.1 62.8 4.5 55.8 47.7 42.3 5.4 8.0 6.16 29.1 61.0 5.4 45.7 44.1 57.7 -13.5 -10.2 9.26 75.4 170.8 7.6 39.3 41.0 51.0 -9.9 -3.4 11.75 98.0 238.9 16.0 37.7 41.5 51.6 -10.1 -4.5 14.16 106.1 255.7 13.3 35.8 41.7 47.3 -5.6 -0.4 15.85 119.2 285.7 12.4 41.3 43.1 46.5 -3.4 1.9 14.76 111.5 258.9 12.4 30.8 43.0 45.6 -2.5 2.8 15.68 107.9 250.8 12.3 26.8 42.5 44.1 -1.7 3.6 15.49 103.9 244.6 12.5 34.6 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 318 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 70.99 6.3 -0.52 -4.8 16.55 18.8 22.1 150.9 400.5 0.30 2.05 -0.4 -67.6 0.76 -1.45 61.04 3.0 -1.30 -9.8 27.25 12.8 18.7 205.6 547.7 0.39 2.58 -13.9 -76.2 1.02 -0.80 62.98 12.4 -2.63 -16.2 46.57 5.3 15.9 285.9 708.3 0.77 3.72 -24.6 -84.5 1.01 3.21 71.66 -7.0 -3.97 -23.8 72.46 4.7 16.9 435.2 914.5 1.80 4.65 -10.2 -100.7 2.27 9.08 61.85 5.5 -3.21 -15.7 120.15 3.3 34.3 588.1 1045.8 2.97 17.92 -16.5 -115.6 2.55 -24.31 120.58 -21.4 -4.13 -24.6 122.67 5.6 37.7 728.8 1384.2 3.24 10.62 30.5 -504.7 3.49 -0.77 124.90 -19.2 0.83 6.9 28.94 23.4 10.6 238.8 425.7 0.22 1.67 -18.2 -72.9 3.64 -0.14 115.05 5.0 0.91 7.2 28.67 25.5 10.2 228.2 404.0 0.26 1.35 20.7 -74.7 5.56 0.72 122.71 1.4 0.47 3.4 29.29 29.5 7.0 208.1 331.1 0.25 2.37 7.7 -53.1 7.71 1.70 128.99 -0.3 0.50 3.6 23.80 26.9 7.7 174.3 271.5 0.44 1.30 28.0 -59.1 4.04 2.02 125.31 — 0.49 3.3 24.51 22.4 8.3 162.3 263.0 0.40 1.38 2.0 — 4.54 — 131.08 — 0.46 3.0 23.44 28.1 7.7 152.7 248.3 0.33 1.77 5.0 — 5.00 — 14.9 8.25 39.3 164.2 8.6 2,678.6 59.6 815.1 95.1 359.4 — — 23.2 10.50 62.8 242.4 10.3 4,614.8 68.3 865.3 110.8 312.6 — — 19.4 14.25 43.1 304.6 4.8 3,187.7 81.4 1196.3 74.9 205.9 — — 56.8 13.75 15.4 314.0 7.8 4,713.4 181.9 1326.0 162.4 305.2 — — 32.1 18.00 -33.0 185.9 3.9 3,518.9 156.3 2032.6 233.8 400.6 — — -1.1 10.00 -0.5 182.8 3.5 795.2 27.9 1373.1 309.7 525.0 — — -9.9 4.50 -6.5 166.7 2.3 515.9 22.7 121.6 151.1 231.5 — — 8.7 4.75 -5.9 147.7 1.7 379.9 29.6 95.4 147.9 246.5 — — -2.7 6.00 1.5 143.2 2.9 588.7 19.8 43.5 49.0 126.7 — — — — — — — 540.3 19.1 79.4 — — — — — — — — — 468.9 22.3 83.9 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) [4] Current Account Balance/GDP [4] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [5] External Debt/GDP [5] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP [5] Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 319 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [5] Debt Service Ratio [5] [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 17.5 5.30 28.2 130.3 8.6 2,164.4 56.8 1099.3 163.8 466.2 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward; Based on IMF data but including loans from IMF and Norway Series break in 2009; Excludes Actavis and principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Series break in 2009; Excludes principal and interest transactions related to old banks obligations from 2009 onward Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) India Lead Analyst: Atsi Sheth Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 D+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 A1 Baa3 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 617.6 1,105.9 558 1,819 12.1 8.1 3.7 26.2 26.0 23.7 21.1 30.1 -0.07 721.6 1,123.0 643 1,986 14.2 7.0 3.8 32.5 29.9 39.4 46.5 36.9 -0.10 834.2 1,140.0 732 2,209 13.9 9.5 5.5 34.3 30.8 27.0 31.9 41.3 -0.08 949.1 1,157.0 820 2,454 16.3 9.6 6.8 35.9 32.0 24.3 25.2 45.3 -0.04 1,238.7 1,174.0 1,055 2,733 16.1 9.3 5.5 38.0 32.8 26.6 31.7 44.9 0.11 1,224.1 1,190.9 1,028 2,861 12.9 6.7 9.6 35.5 31.4 14.2 15.9 52.3 -0.03 1,365.4 1,207.7 1,131 3,101 15.1 8.6 14.9 36.3 30.9 -5.2 -1.1 45.5 -0.02 1,710.9 1,224.6 1,397 3,404 20.3 9.3 9.7 37.0 32.8 37.1 29.6 48.2 -0.01 1,872.8 1,241.5 1,509 3,650 15.1 6.2 6.3 35.4 32.0 19.2 26.3 54.2 -0.03 1,857.1 1,258.6 1,475 — 13.3 5.0 8.0 35.3 31.3 0.8 2.2 55.5 — 2,030.9 1,275.9 1,592 — 13.4 5.9 10.8 36.3 30.3 7.5 5.1 52.9 — 2,336.4 1,293.5 1,806 — 16.1 6.4 10.2 36.6 31.4 8.0 6.0 49.2 — 19.8 28.1 -8.3 -2.0 544.35 83.3 420.9 31.6 7.5 19.2 26.4 -7.2 -1.4 608.59 82.1 426.7 30.3 7.1 19.5 26.0 -6.5 -1.0 654.72 79.1 405.4 28.3 6.6 20.5 25.8 -5.4 0.0 735.53 74.7 364.9 26.3 6.2 22.4 26.4 -4.0 1.2 891.04 71.4 318.9 23.3 5.9 20.1 19.2 20.7 20.0 21.0 22.0 22.7 28.4 28.6 27.5 28.1 28.3 29.2 30.2 -8.3 -9.4 -6.8 -8.1 -7.2 -7.2 -7.5 -3.3 -4.5 -2.4 -3.6 -2.6 -2.7 -3.4 798.03 1,013.32 1,134.08 1,134.78 1,261.99 1,353.37 1,485.40 72.2 70.6 65.0 64.7 68.3 66.6 63.6 359.0 367.6 313.8 324.1 324.8 302.6 280.0 25.0 25.3 21.6 22.6 22.1 20.0 18.0 6.4 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.9 6.1 5.9 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 320 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) [1] Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) [1] Real GDP (% change) [1] Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP [1] Gross Domestic Saving/GDP [1] Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Openness of the Economy [1] [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [1] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [1] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [1] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [1] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [1] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 43.44 -0.7 14.08 2.3 112.65 46.8 4.0 18.1 93.2 4.40 14.61 0.4 -7.6 107.45 -13.47 43.76 0.7 -2.47 -0.3 134.00 44.4 6.1 17.1 79.6 3.04 6.12 0.5 -7.5 135.57 -17.36 44.60 2.1 -9.90 -1.2 139.11 38.0 14.0 16.7 71.4 5.08 13.89 0.4 -7.2 145.11 -10.23 43.60 -2.0 -9.56 -1.0 172.36 33.3 16.3 18.2 70.8 5.47 5.94 0.8 -6.6 191.92 -9.23 39.98 7.1 -15.74 -1.3 224.41 30.8 20.4 18.1 71.2 6.61 8.34 1.3 -4.1 299.23 -17.56 50.94 -6.5 -27.92 -2.3 224.50 30.5 19.3 18.3 62.9 6.52 9.05 1.8 -5.4 241.43 -10.47 45.14 -5.3 -38.18 -2.8 260.94 31.0 20.1 19.1 75.4 5.72 14.18 1.3 -11.7 254.68 -12.42 44.65 6.8 -45.95 -2.7 305.93 30.8 21.2 17.9 68.2 6.07 13.00 0.5 -11.9 274.33 -13.69 51.16 -2.6 -78.15 -4.2 345.82 29.2 22.6 18.5 65.4 8.53 22.99 1.2 -13.1 260.07 -15.68 54.30 1.7 -95.51 -5.1 381.20 29.6 23.5 20.6 71.6 9.40 25.34 1.2 -15.6 257.37 -16.21 56.00 — -85.46 -4.2 421.09 30.2 23.3 20.7 73.0 10.38 27.99 1.9 — 261.47 — 56.50 — -90.02 -3.9 463.92 30.4 23.3 19.9 74.0 11.44 30.84 1.9 — 266.30 — 12.0 6.00 16.9 59.3 3.8 98.8 5.9 40.3 53.8 93.4 2.9 6.7 21.1 6.50 22.0 63.5 4.2 95.9 9.7 42.6 48.0 87.1 2.8 6.9 21.7 7.50 20.4 65.8 4.0 89.8 4.7 46.0 58.0 97.9 2.5 6.1 21.4 7.75 17.9 66.8 3.4 75.0 4.7 41.8 190.0 336.9 1.8 3.6 19.3 5.00 23.7 73.3 3.9 93.0 4.4 32.2 136.2 256.6 1.8 3.7 16.9 5.00 20.3 76.6 4.9 102.5 5.8 43.7 242.0 380.6 1.4 3.9 16.1 6.75 20.2 76.5 5.3 111.5 4.3 45.9 302.6 436.1 1.3 3.7 13.2 8.50 17.9 78.3 5.5 133.0 6.0 53.4 385.0 582.5 1.3 3.5 13.3 7.50 7.4 75.3 6.0 148.1 6.5 65.3 525.7 786.5 1.3 3.3 — — — — — 161.0 6.7 73.2 — — — — — — — — — 174.2 6.7 79.7 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [1] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) [1] Current Account Balance/GDP [1] External Debt (US$ Bil.) [1] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [1] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [1] External Debt/GDP [1] External Debt/CA Receipts [1] [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [1] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [1] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP [1] Net International Investment Position/GDP [1] Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [1] Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) [1] MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 321 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) [1] Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [1] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [1] Domestic Credit/GDP [1] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [1] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [1] Debt Service Ratio [1] [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [1] [6] Liquidity Ratio [1] [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks [1] "Dollarization" Ratio [1] [8] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [1] [9] 16.7 6.00 9.5 58.0 4.3 103.9 15.9 70.2 43.1 84.1 3.2 8.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Indonesia Lead Analyst: Christian de Guzman Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 D Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 A3 Baa3 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 234.8 221.8 1,058 2,696 10.5 4.8 5.2 19.5 23.7 11.9 5.2 53.6 -0.45 256.8 224.6 1,143 2,875 14.0 5.0 6.4 22.4 24.9 15.6 30.2 59.8 -0.38 285.9 227.3 1,258 3,102 20.8 5.7 17.1 23.6 27.5 17.7 20.9 64.0 -0.44 364.6 229.9 1,586 3,340 20.4 5.5 6.6 24.1 28.7 16.2 9.2 56.7 -0.33 432.2 232.5 1,859 3,615 18.3 6.3 5.8 24.9 28.1 12.4 17.5 54.8 -0.27 510.2 235.0 2,172 3,876 25.3 6.0 11.1 27.7 31.0 19.5 33.7 58.6 -0.23 539.6 237.4 2,273 4,066 13.3 4.6 2.8 31.1 31.7 -14.3 -21.5 45.5 -0.26 709.2 239.9 2,957 4,304 15.0 6.2 7.0 32.0 34.4 33.7 41.0 47.5 -0.19 846.3 242.3 3,493 4,636 15.1 6.5 3.8 32.0 36.4 27.9 29.9 51.3 -0.24 878.0 244.8 3,587 — 11.0 6.2 4.3 33.2 36.6 -4.5 7.4 50.1 — 944.0 247.3 3,817 — 11.5 6.0 6.0 32.0 36.6 2.3 -1.8 46.7 — 1,044.1 249.8 4,179 — 12.2 6.3 5.8 32.5 36.7 8.9 8.1 45.8 — 17.0 18.7 -1.7 1.5 133.95 56.3 332.1 19.1 51.4 17.6 18.6 -1.0 1.7 128.88 52.2 296.8 15.5 54.0 17.9 18.4 -0.5 1.8 122.55 43.4 243.2 13.2 54.3 19.1 20.0 -0.9 1.5 136.18 36.8 192.5 12.4 49.6 17.9 19.2 -1.3 0.8 144.03 34.3 191.7 11.3 48.1 19.8 19.9 -0.1 1.7 149.47 33.1 166.7 9.0 52.1 15.1 16.7 -1.6 0.1 169.13 28.4 187.3 11.0 47.4 15.4 16.2 -0.7 0.6 186.48 26.0 168.5 8.9 46.2 16.3 17.4 -1.1 0.1 198.80 24.3 148.9 7.7 45.0 16.2 18.0 -1.8 -0.6 201.52 23.6 145.9 7.5 43.3 16.1 18.4 -2.3 -1.1 220.60 23.5 146.5 7.7 40.8 16.1 18.0 -1.9 -0.7 237.07 22.9 142.4 7.2 39.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 322 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 8,465.00 9,290.00 9,830.00 9,020.00 9,419.00 10,950.00 9,400.00 8,991.00 9,068.00 9,670.00 9,800.00 9,950.00 5.5 -7.9 1.1 23.8 5.7 8.8 -0.1 12.7 -0.2 -1.3 — — 8.10 1.56 0.28 10.86 10.49 0.12 10.63 5.15 1.68 -24.18 -24.28 -26.00 3.5 0.6 0.1 3.0 2.4 0.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 -2.8 -2.6 -2.5 136.84 140.17 134.50 132.63 141.17 155.08 172.87 202.41 224.76 251.20 265.00 277.50 59.7 59.4 59.6 57.2 57.1 55.8 57.4 58.6 52.8 50.2 48.1 47.0 3.8 5.6 8.2 9.2 13.2 13.2 13.9 16.3 16.9 17.8 16.8 16.4 58.3 54.6 47.1 36.4 32.7 30.4 32.0 28.5 26.6 28.6 28.1 26.6 188.7 160.7 124.3 107.2 100.3 93.5 121.8 109.8 97.0 113.2 115.5 111.6 2.61 3.03 3.06 3.23 3.14 3.12 3.04 2.94 2.53 5.13 6.21 7.25 15.67 18.83 22.75 34.63 31.45 40.18 36.99 49.49 88.30 163.98 125.87 106.00 -0.2 -0.6 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.6 1.4 1.6 2.0 1.9 -45.1 -45.4 -43.7 -37.5 -39.1 -29.0 -39.6 -41.0 -37.7 — — — 36.25 36.27 34.72 42.59 56.92 51.64 66.10 96.21 110.12 112.78 104.06 107.06 5.42 0.93 5.26 2.70 -2.14 3.20 10.02 3.99 -5.92 -9.37 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 323 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 8.1 8.31 3.8 48.5 3.2 393.9 25.2 50.9 105.9 232.6 13.1 37.5 8.2 7.43 15.0 45.4 3.2 403.7 25.1 54.2 153.2 291.6 14.5 34.2 16.3 12.75 12.5 43.4 3.7 410.4 23.8 68.6 136.2 256.3 17.2 41.9 14.9 9.75 8.5 39.0 3.8 325.9 30.6 63.0 172.3 312.4 14.8 39.4 19.3 8.00 15.3 36.2 3.2 258.8 24.6 67.6 222.8 365.6 14.6 36.5 14.9 9.25 13.5 33.2 3.5 315.4 26.1 54.1 198.0 315.3 16.6 40.7 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2003 General government only Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 13.0 6.50 9.8 32.9 3.8 286.4 28.2 64.4 155.9 238.6 15.7 39.8 15.4 6.50 14.3 31.6 3.1 225.5 28.5 71.1 255.4 363.1 14.6 32.9 16.4 6.00 21.9 32.5 3.1 217.4 39.2 52.1 314.0 428.9 13.6 33.1 14.9 5.75 21.5 36.4 3.2 238.5 76.2 53.6 244.9 349.3 14.4 37.2 — — — — — 254.7 57.6 53.1 — — — — — — — — — 259.2 45.6 54.9 — — — — Ireland Lead Analyst: Kristin Lindow Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 E+ Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A3 A3 A3 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 159.3 4.0 39,850 34,785 7.6 3.9 3.0 4.6 23.3 37.8 14.4 13.1 0.7 -1.2 16.0 150.4 1.58 186.7 4.1 45,879 36,769 6.7 4.4 2.4 4.5 24.7 38.1 17.5 19.4 7.6 8.7 14.9 151.9 1.56 202.9 4.2 48,786 38,896 8.6 5.9 2.0 4.4 27.2 38.1 6.0 10.4 4.4 8.4 11.7 150.9 1.73 223.2 4.3 52,382 42,474 9.0 5.4 3.0 4.5 28.1 37.7 7.1 9.9 5.0 6.9 9.6 148.7 1.62 258.7 4.4 59,372 45,482 6.2 5.4 3.3 4.7 26.2 35.5 18.2 19.5 8.4 7.9 9.0 152.4 1.60 263.1 4.4 59,440 42,741 -5.2 -2.1 1.4 6.4 21.8 30.3 5.7 6.1 -1.1 -3.0 9.1 158.8 1.53 224.6 4.5 50,371 40,151 -9.9 -5.5 -2.6 12.0 15.0 30.3 -7.7 -14.8 -3.8 -9.7 16.1 165.5 1.32 207.6 4.5 46,404 40,883 -2.9 -0.8 -0.2 13.9 11.6 30.8 2.7 1.5 6.2 3.6 18.8 182.8 1.31 224.1 4.6 48,973 40,868 2.9 1.4 1.5 14.7 10.1 33.7 10.9 7.8 5.1 -0.3 21.7 185.5 1.42 210.3 4.6 45,893 — 1.6 0.9 1.7 14.7 10.0 34.8 -1.9 -3.6 2.9 0.3 24.1 192.4 — 221.6 4.6 47,924 — 2.6 1.3 1.6 13.7 10.2 35.9 6.4 6.1 2.3 2.0 24.6 194.0 — 220.7 4.7 47,201 — 3.8 2.4 1.9 12.8 11.0 37.1 0.6 0.2 3.5 3.0 25.3 195.6 — 33.6 33.2 0.4 1.7 54.69 30.7 91.5 3.7 35.0 33.6 1.4 2.5 60.28 29.5 84.3 3.3 35.5 33.8 1.7 2.7 52.43 27.3 76.8 3.0 37.3 34.4 2.9 4.0 57.64 24.6 66.0 2.8 36.9 36.8 0.1 1.1 69.69 25.1 67.9 2.8 35.7 43.1 -7.4 -6.0 110.79 44.5 124.7 3.8 34.8 48.6 -13.9 -11.8 150.61 64.9 186.6 5.9 35.2 66.1 -30.9 -27.7 192.63 92.1 261.5 9.0 34.4 47.5 -13.1 -9.9 218.96 105.1 305.4 9.4 34.6 42.2 -7.6 -3.9 253.93 117.6 340.1 10.4 35.0 42.5 -7.5 -2.3 269.16 123.3 352.3 14.8 35.3 39.7 -4.4 0.6 261.41 119.5 338.5 14.3 0.79 10.1 92.0 0.00 0.0 10.8 -20.0 3.42 0.73 2.5 97.0 -1.08 -0.6 -15.4 -17.9 2.32 0.85 0.0 100.0 -7.08 -3.5 -22.7 -24.5 0.51 0.76 1.9 102.5 -7.91 -3.5 -9.4 -5.3 0.49 0.68 5.6 105.8 -13.88 -5.4 1.4 -19.6 0.59 0.72 4.7 112.2 -14.95 -5.7 -13.5 -76.2 0.61 0.69 -4.7 105.9 -5.24 -2.3 -0.4 -93.0 0.52 0.75 -6.7 95.4 2.36 1.1 9.9 -88.9 0.50 0.77 0.1 91.5 2.49 1.1 7.1 -94.8 0.03 0.76 -4.7 85.8 10.40 4.9 4.9 -95.8 0.00 0.77 — — 11.08 5.0 6.0 — 0.01 0.80 — — 12.14 5.5 5.5 — 0.01 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 324 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [5] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Excludes NAMA debt Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 Israel Lead Analyst: Kristin Lindow Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A1 A1 CFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa1 Aa1 A1 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 118.6 6.7 17,728 22,261 0.9 1.5 -1.9 16.8 16.2 10.5 3.7 74.1 1.25 126.4 6.8 18,566 23,571 5.0 4.9 1.2 16.9 17.1 20.4 17.9 82.8 1.31 133.7 6.9 19,293 23,340 5.9 4.9 2.4 18.3 18.0 9.5 10.1 86.0 1.08 145.1 7.1 20,574 23,957 7.8 5.8 -0.1 18.2 18.5 8.6 7.1 85.4 1.27 166.3 7.2 23,167 25,705 5.7 5.9 3.4 18.8 17.3 14.1 18.8 86.8 1.27 201.5 7.3 27,573 25,600 5.8 4.1 3.8 17.9 16.8 15.1 14.2 82.1 1.35 194.8 7.5 26,019 25,933 5.9 1.1 3.9 15.4 18.1 -16.5 -24.9 67.3 1.14 218.0 7.6 28,601 27,048 6.3 5.0 2.7 14.7 17.0 19.0 20.9 72.1 1.24 243.7 7.8 31,375 28,809 7.1 4.6 2.2 17.6 17.2 12.2 21.0 75.1 1.20 241.0 7.9 30,436 — 6.6 3.2 1.6 19.3 18.2 -0.9 0.7 75.9 — 267.9 8.1 33,153 — 5.2 3.6 2.1 19.4 18.6 12.6 11.4 76.5 — 280.2 8.2 34,026 — 6.0 3.8 2.3 19.5 19.3 5.3 3.9 76.5 — 44.0 50.1 -6.1 -0.2 119.44 97.0 220.4 13.4 25.5 43.0 47.3 -4.3 1.3 125.63 95.5 222.1 13.0 25.5 42.7 45.3 -2.6 2.5 119.76 91.9 215.2 11.9 26.2 43.6 44.9 -1.3 3.4 126.96 82.9 190.2 10.8 25.1 43.3 43.9 -0.6 4.0 136.07 76.6 176.9 10.6 22.6 40.5 43.1 -2.6 1.1 143.39 75.4 186.2 9.1 19.8 37.6 43.2 -5.6 -1.9 157.88 77.8 206.9 9.8 18.5 38.8 42.6 -3.8 -0.2 170.73 74.4 191.9 9.3 17.1 38.8 42.1 -3.3 0.2 165.14 72.4 186.5 9.0 17.4 37.6 42.1 -4.5 -1.3 177.98 71.6 190.4 8.5 15.9 37.7 42.5 -4.8 -1.4 189.48 71.7 190.2 9.1 16.8 38.9 42.3 -3.4 0.0 198.97 71.0 182.5 8.7 16.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 325 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Israel (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.38 -2.6 0.63 0.5 74.06 40.6 35.8 62.4 137.5 2.95 5.57 1.0 -22.1 25.78 -3.86 4.31 -2.4 2.15 1.7 78.42 40.0 35.0 62.0 125.1 2.88 3.87 -1.3 -18.2 26.62 0.32 4.60 1.1 4.10 3.1 78.15 39.9 36.4 58.5 111.8 3.32 4.17 1.4 -16.5 27.84 4.32 4.22 0.4 7.00 4.8 87.42 38.2 36.9 60.2 110.4 4.30 4.89 -0.1 -3.5 29.01 10.29 3.85 1.4 4.56 2.7 90.12 35.5 39.8 54.2 99.6 4.57 10.60 0.1 -3.8 28.41 7.81 3.80 11.5 2.23 1.1 86.95 32.4 38.2 43.1 88.1 4.01 4.09 1.8 4.3 42.32 -0.11 3.78 -0.4 7.32 3.8 92.11 34.0 39.3 47.3 111.7 3.11 4.66 1.4 3.5 59.09 -2.87 3.55 5.1 8.11 3.7 106.02 38.0 47.1 48.6 109.8 2.65 5.15 -1.6 8.6 69.26 -4.48 3.82 0.2 3.38 1.4 103.58 34.8 44.0 42.5 95.7 2.85 16.23 3.2 14.1 73.05 -6.30 3.73 -4.1 -0.20 -0.1 93.56 33.4 38.1 38.8 86.9 1.90 9.90 3.0 20.8 74.04 — 3.70 — 2.64 1.0 94.50 33.4 37.5 35.3 82.0 1.88 7.59 3.0 — 80.82 — 3.70 — 4.35 1.6 95.45 33.4 38.5 34.1 77.7 1.86 7.37 1.4 — 85.31 — 5.6 3.90 4.9 74.2 2.2 294.6 10.8 129.2 13.9 32.4 5.3 4.50 6.8 74.8 2.1 280.7 10.7 125.5 12.8 33.1 7.2 5.00 5.1 73.0 2.4 301.3 11.6 123.7 10.0 34.0 14.3 4.00 9.9 75.9 3.0 317.2 16.8 161.8 9.4 27.0 13.7 2.50 12.3 80.5 2.3 205.4 8.2 101.4 16.9 33.6 13.5 1.00 2.7 78.1 1.9 155.9 9.4 69.0 22.2 46.6 3.6 2.00 8.6 79.8 1.8 153.1 8.1 63.7 43.0 77.6 10.5 2.75 7.9 80.4 1.7 141.8 17.6 94.1 29.1 65.1 8.2 2.00 5.0 79.2 1.9 126.4 11.0 78.0 27.1 52.1 — — — — — 116.9 8.2 56.6 — — — — — — — 111.9 7.5 53.1 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 326 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [4] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] Liquidity Ratio [6] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 2.0 5.20 -0.8 74.3 2.1 287.3 15.8 141.0 18.8 46.6 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Italy Lead Analyst: Dietmar Hornung Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa2 Baa2 D+ Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A2 A2 A2 A2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1,517.5 57.6 26,343 27,282 3.1 0.0 2.6 8.4 20.9 21.4 18.2 20.0 -1.2 2.1 0.5 48.3 0.80 1,737.8 58.2 29,873 27,528 4.2 1.7 2.0 8.0 21.0 21.7 18.2 17.5 6.3 4.8 0.7 49.7 0.67 1,788.0 58.6 30,508 28,280 2.8 0.9 2.0 7.7 20.9 20.8 5.7 9.0 3.4 3.5 -0.1 51.8 0.58 1,874.7 58.9 31,807 30,359 3.9 2.2 1.9 6.8 21.8 21.0 11.9 15.0 8.4 7.9 -0.8 56.1 0.44 2,130.2 59.4 35,878 32,039 4.1 1.7 2.6 6.1 22.1 21.9 18.7 16.3 6.2 5.2 -0.3 58.0 0.28 2,316.4 59.8 38,715 33,372 1.3 -1.2 2.3 6.8 21.6 20.8 7.2 9.4 -2.8 -3.0 -0.8 57.7 0.37 2,117.3 60.2 35,176 32,216 -3.5 -5.5 1.0 7.8 18.9 18.3 -23.7 -24.2 -17.5 -13.4 -0.5 48.0 0.49 2,059.1 60.5 34,043 32,110 2.1 1.7 1.8 8.4 20.1 18.1 8.9 14.3 11.4 12.6 -1.9 55.1 0.51 2,196.8 60.7 36,177 32,672 1.7 0.4 3.3 8.4 19.5 18.0 15.6 13.3 5.9 0.5 -1.5 59.1 0.45 2,013.1 60.9 33,059 — -0.8 -2.4 2.3 10.6 17.6 18.8 -3.7 -12.2 2.3 -7.7 1.2 59.3 — 2,060.6 61.1 33,699 — -0.3 -1.8 1.4 12.0 16.7 19.2 4.9 0.6 1.6 -2.2 2.5 59.6 — 2,010.4 61.4 32,751 — 1.7 0.2 1.5 12.5 17.0 19.4 0.9 1.4 3.8 3.8 2.4 61.8 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 327 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue 44.4 44.0 43.4 45.0 46.0 45.9 46.5 46.1 46.2 47.7 48.1 48.2 48.1 47.5 47.9 48.5 47.6 48.6 51.9 50.4 49.9 50.6 51.1 51.0 -3.6 -3.6 -4.5 -3.4 -1.6 -2.7 -5.4 -4.3 -3.7 -2.9 -3.0 -2.8 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.2 3.4 2.5 -0.8 0.1 1.2 2.5 2.5 2.6 1,764.88 1,974.51 1,791.44 2,091.11 2,362.91 2,325.53 2,548.79 2,473.64 2,467.97 2,623.84 2,704.30 2,662.98 104.1 103.7 105.7 106.3 103.3 106.1 116.4 119.3 120.8 127.0 131.2 132.5 234.4 235.9 243.5 236.1 224.3 231.0 250.6 259.0 261.7 266.3 272.8 274.8 11.6 10.9 10.8 10.2 10.7 11.2 9.9 9.7 10.5 11.3 11.4 11.2 EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) 0.79 6.2 96.6 -11.78 -0.8 0.5 -13.6 26.06 0.73 1.8 99.2 -5.78 -0.3 -0.1 -15.8 24.01 0.85 -1.2 100.0 -15.69 -0.9 -1.2 -16.8 23.53 0.76 -0.4 100.6 -28.06 -1.5 -0.2 -22.2 24.41 0.68 0.8 101.6 -27.30 -1.3 -2.4 -24.5 27.32 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 0.72 1.5 103.3 -66.03 -2.9 -3.4 -24.1 35.31 0.69 1.2 105.6 -42.04 -2.0 -0.1 -25.3 34.52 0.75 -3.7 100.4 -72.57 -3.5 -1.1 -23.9 35.68 0.77 0.0 99.8 -67.17 -3.1 -0.9 -20.7 34.16 0.76 -1.8 97.6 -14.89 -0.7 -1.0 — 34.82 0.77 — — 6.56 0.3 -1.0 — 34.91 0.80 — — 5.26 0.3 -1.0 — 34.66 Jamaica Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Caa3 Caa3 No Banks Rated Stabilized Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B3 B2 Ca B2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 9.4 2.6 3,592 6,702 15.7 3.7 14.1 26.2 11.3 8.4 1.9 88.2 0.06 10.2 2.6 3,856 6,953 14.3 1.3 13.7 26.5 12.2 10.6 8.4 89.3 0.21 11.2 2.7 4,241 7,083 12.4 0.9 12.9 26.9 7.0 3.8 17.9 90.5 -0.08 11.9 2.7 4,479 7,659 12.0 2.9 5.6 28.4 7.9 20.7 16.5 100.8 0.28 12.8 2.7 4,782 7,891 12.9 1.4 16.8 26.5 4.8 6.2 8.9 101.3 0.29 13.7 2.7 5,103 7,895 12.7 -0.8 16.9 24.4 -5.3 13.1 24.7 113.6 0.28 12.2 2.7 4,508 7,747 7.0 -3.1 10.2 21.0 3.1 -27.3 -35.3 86.7 0.19 13.2 2.7 4,898 7,770 8.0 -1.4 11.8 20.2 2.0 -0.9 3.2 80.9 0.18 14.5 2.7 5,342 8,065 7.6 1.5 6.0 21.3 -1.6 7.9 18.7 84.7 0.20 15.1 2.7 5,561 — 8.1 0.1 8.0 25.7 6.0 4.0 6.0 81.0 — 15.2 2.7 5,573 — 8.1 0.3 7.8 26.1 6.2 4.5 8.0 80.5 — 15.7 2.7 5,726 — 7.8 1.2 6.5 27.0 6.4 4.9 8.3 81.2 — 26.6 31.7 -5.1 10.5 10.70 119.0 432.1 58.8 35.5 26.9 31.1 -4.2 10.4 11.86 117.1 421.8 54.2 38.7 25.9 28.8 -2.9 9.3 12.09 111.2 417.0 47.3 38.3 26.1 30.6 -4.5 7.6 12.88 110.1 408.6 46.3 37.9 28.1 32.2 -4.1 7.0 13.11 104.2 359.5 39.6 39.5 27.2 34.6 -7.4 4.9 13.03 104.8 378.4 45.4 41.8 27.6 38.7 -11.1 6.2 13.90 116.3 413.8 62.9 39.3 26.8 33.1 -6.3 4.6 15.63 116.0 425.4 40.8 40.2 25.4 31.8 -6.4 3.1 16.60 115.5 445.2 37.4 38.4 25.0 30.2 -5.3 4.7 17.10 117.9 462.9 39.9 35.4 24.3 29.1 -4.7 5.1 17.63 119.0 479.8 40.3 39.3 23.4 28.0 -4.6 5.2 18.60 120.0 512.8 41.8 40.5 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 328 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 60.52 — -0.77 -8.2 5.69 80.0 17.4 60.3 108.0 0.30 0.51 6.4 — 1.19 0.20 61.45 — -0.50 -4.9 6.52 80.7 16.8 64.1 107.6 0.31 0.50 5.3 — 1.85 0.16 64.38 — -1.07 -9.5 6.60 83.9 9.3 58.7 105.5 0.39 0.55 5.2 -96.8 2.17 0.09 67.03 — -1.18 -9.9 8.14 75.7 13.6 68.2 112.3 0.47 0.32 6.7 -103.1 2.32 0.06 70.40 — -2.04 -15.9 10.51 64.1 14.6 82.2 131.8 0.66 0.59 5.9 -105.6 1.88 0.15 80.22 — -2.79 -20.4 10.43 66.5 12.1 76.1 122.5 0.67 0.47 9.9 -112.1 1.77 -0.52 89.33 — -1.13 -9.3 11.12 60.4 6.8 91.5 173.9 0.75 0.73 3.9 -134.1 1.73 -0.31 85.60 — -0.93 -7.1 14.19 53.6 7.7 107.3 217.0 0.83 0.34 1.3 -127.6 2.17 0.03 86.37 — -2.07 -14.3 14.35 54.1 7.0 99.3 209.4 1.15 0.62 1.2 -129.9 1.97 0.35 92.56 — -1.78 -11.7 15.00 58.7 8.7 99.2 182.9 1.20 0.62 1.3 — 1.13 0.35 98.00 — -1.67 -11.0 15.30 60.1 9.2 100.4 180.0 1.30 0.65 1.6 — 1.15 — 101.00 — -1.41 -9.0 15.60 59.6 9.0 99.2 189.1 1.32 0.70 1.6 — 1.20 — 15.0 12.79 4.0 57.6 1.2 353.3 20.4 124.9 34.4 53.2 38.9 46.0 9.8 10.96 9.6 56.1 1.1 304.3 22.5 89.3 20.5 52.9 39.5 46.9 16.6 9.37 7.2 53.7 1.2 351.1 16.1 43.0 38.3 72.6 37.8 44.3 11.6 9.04 10.8 52.7 1.5 559.8 23.5 73.2 47.4 78.6 38.2 53.5 4.1 10.78 23.3 57.7 1.5 588.3 19.4 106.8 48.3 96.5 38.5 59.5 2.9 8.79 11.2 59.9 1.4 643.1 34.8 112.4 32.8 109.6 41.6 63.7 6.3 5.44 -7.9 51.1 1.2 653.6 28.0 63.5 47.5 102.6 37.4 52.1 6.4 3.59 4.5 49.6 1.4 729.9 36.5 83.7 45.4 129.6 37.0 54.8 3.9 4.70 10.5 50.7 2.5 1,332.6 22.2 89.4 37.7 120.1 39.6 85.8 — — — — — 1,330.4 22.9 182.1 — — — — — — — — — 1,300.0 24.5 187.0 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 329 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [5] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 3.2 25.53 28.6 63.3 1.7 475.9 22.4 78.4 45.1 58.4 38.1 58.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Excludes government guaranteed debt Current Account Receipts Money market rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Japan Lead Analyst: Thomas J. Byrne Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 CFree Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4,302.9 127.7 33,690 27,934 -0.1 1.7 -0.4 5.3 22.4 24.1 14.0 11.4 9.5 3.9 1.7 22.1 1.22 4,655.8 127.8 36,442 29,388 1.0 2.4 0.2 4.7 22.5 24.5 20.4 19.2 14.0 7.9 2.0 24.5 1.42 4,571.9 127.8 35,781 30,441 0.0 1.3 -0.4 4.4 22.5 23.9 6.4 12.6 6.2 4.2 1.4 27.2 1.35 4,356.7 127.8 34,102 31,763 0.6 1.7 0.3 4.1 22.7 23.9 7.7 10.1 9.9 4.5 1.3 31.1 1.54 4,356.3 127.8 34,095 33,397 1.2 2.2 0.7 3.8 22.9 24.6 9.7 7.6 8.7 2.3 1.7 33.8 1.44 4,849.2 127.7 37,972 33,589 -2.3 -1.0 0.4 4.0 23.0 23.2 11.1 21.4 1.4 0.3 0.2 35.2 1.43 5,035.2 127.6 39,474 31,746 -6.0 -5.5 -1.7 5.1 19.7 20.0 -25.6 -26.9 -24.2 -15.7 0.4 25.0 1.33 5,495.3 127.5 43,117 33,625 2.4 4.7 -0.4 5.0 19.8 21.0 30.4 23.7 24.4 11.1 1.2 29.1 1.40 5,897.0 127.8 46,136 33,668 -2.4 -0.6 -0.2 4.6 20.0 19.0 7.1 23.3 -0.4 5.9 -0.9 31.2 1.35 5,964.0 127.9 46,613 — 1.1 2.0 -0.1 4.4 20.6 18.6 -2.3 4.7 -0.3 5.3 -2.0 31.3 — 5,244.1 128.2 40,907 — 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.3 21.1 17.6 -5.1 -7.7 7.0 5.5 -1.7 33.2 — 5,086.1 128.4 39,615 — 1.5 1.5 1.5 4.3 21.3 17.8 3.2 0.3 7.0 5.0 -1.2 34.9 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 330 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] 28.4 27.9 29.3 30.8 31.2 31.6 29.6 29.6 30.8 31.1 31.5 32.8 36.2 33.9 34.1 34.5 33.3 35.7 40.0 38.9 40.7 41.1 40.6 40.0 -7.8 -5.9 -4.8 -3.6 -2.1 -4.1 -10.4 -9.3 -9.9 -10.0 -9.1 -7.2 -5.1 -3.4 -2.4 -1.9 -0.2 -2.1 -8.4 -7.3 -7.7 -7.8 -6.9 -5.0 7,296.48 8,411.08 8,523.60 8,103.38 7,972.54 9,301.27 10,586.34 11,867.15 13,579.56 14,189.44 12,866.47 12,440.57 169.6 180.7 186.4 186.0 183.0 191.8 210.2 216.0 230.3 237.9 245.4 244.6 551.1 623.0 681.1 616.9 567.4 532.6 699.1 676.7 728.0 765.3 778.8 745.7 9.5 9.0 8.2 5.8 6.1 6.3 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.7 EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) 107.10 0.0 109.4 136.23 3.2 -0.5 37.5 652.79 104.12 0.7 107.3 172.06 3.7 -0.5 38.3 824.26 117.97 -5.1 100.0 165.77 3.6 -0.9 33.5 828.81 118.95 -8.9 88.7 171.06 3.9 -1.3 41.5 874.94 114.00 90.75 -6.6 9.6 79.3 86.5 211.69 159.36 4.9 3.3 -1.2 -2.2 50.4 51.2 948.36 1,003.67 Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 92.06 81.45 77.72 86.55 95.00 95.00 13.0 0.2 2.0 -1.4 — — 97.8 95.5 98.5 94.9 — — 147.03 203.92 119.05 59.49 77.74 102.77 2.9 3.7 2.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 -1.2 -1.1 -2.0 -2.1 -2.4 -2.6 57.4 56.2 55.2 — — — 996.96 1,036.26 1,221.25 1,193.58 1,220.91 1,220.73 Jordan Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba2 Ba2 D+ Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa3 Baa1 Ba3 Baa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 10.2 5.2 1,949 3,688 6.4 4.2 1.6 20.8 0.3 6.3 9.1 115.7 0.24 11.4 5.4 2,133 4,016 11.9 8.6 3.4 27.4 -2.7 23.3 35.0 134.6 0.12 12.6 5.5 2,300 4,289 10.3 8.1 3.5 34.1 -7.4 11.4 26.1 146.9 0.07 15.1 5.6 2,689 4,678 19.6 8.1 6.3 30.1 -5.7 22.3 11.6 141.8 0.17 17.1 5.7 2,990 5,095 13.6 8.2 4.7 30.4 -7.3 14.4 18.7 146.0 0.22 22.0 5.8 3,757 5,463 28.5 7.2 13.9 25.7 -1.1 33.8 22.5 144.0 0.22 23.8 6.0 3,987 5,686 8.5 5.5 -0.7 24.4 3.1 -12.0 -14.4 115.0 0.22 26.4 6.1 4,326 5,767 10.9 2.3 5.0 23.1 1.9 15.5 10.8 116.8 0.08 28.9 6.3 4,618 5,907 9.1 2.6 4.4 24.6 -3.6 4.1 16.8 119.4 0.05 31.2 6.4 4,879 — 8.1 2.8 4.8 25.4 -4.5 3.2 7.6 117.0 — 34.0 6.5 5,200 — 9.2 3.2 5.9 27.3 -4.8 16.2 16.5 124.8 — 36.6 6.7 5,471 — 7.6 3.5 3.2 27.3 -3.6 6.6 5.3 122.6 — 34.7 36.8 -2.0 0.3 10.16 99.6 286.9 6.8 76.7 36.6 37.7 -1.1 0.9 10.48 91.8 250.8 5.4 72.0 33.3 38.8 -5.6 -3.2 10.61 84.3 253.3 7.0 69.2 32.4 36.4 -4.0 -1.5 11.49 76.3 236.0 7.7 65.3 32.3 37.0 -4.7 -2.0 12.62 73.8 228.3 8.2 58.7 30.1 34.4 -4.3 -1.8 13.24 60.2 200.3 8.1 38.7 26.5 35.0 -8.5 -6.2 15.43 64.8 244.7 8.8 35.3 24.9 30.4 -5.6 -3.5 17.74 67.1 270.0 8.5 36.6 26.4 33.2 -6.8 -4.7 20.40 70.7 267.5 7.9 31.0 22.8 31.0 -8.2 -5.7 24.80 79.6 348.4 10.8 28.0 25.6 30.8 -5.2 -2.7 28.53 83.8 327.8 9.7 27.1 25.8 31.1 -5.3 -2.7 31.86 87.0 337.6 10.2 26.5 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 331 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [4] Jordan (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.71 — 1.20 11.8 12.69 43.5 39.0 124.4 147.8 0.36 1.55 5.4 -70.8 5.19 1.71 0.71 — 0.04 0.3 13.05 41.0 41.4 114.4 132.9 0.33 1.03 8.0 -94.5 5.26 2.06 0.71 — -2.27 -18.0 12.93 40.3 44.4 102.7 128.7 0.43 0.86 14.5 -158.2 5.25 2.22 0.71 — -1.73 -11.5 14.01 38.0 47.1 93.0 115.9 0.55 0.87 24.5 -102.8 6.72 2.71 0.71 — -2.87 -16.8 15.03 35.0 49.5 87.8 110.9 0.60 0.90 15.0 -127.9 7.54 2.30 0.71 — -2.05 -9.3 13.87 26.2 62.0 63.1 77.9 0.40 3.71 12.8 -89.6 8.56 0.23 0.71 — -1.24 -5.2 14.55 26.6 58.5 61.0 92.1 0.22 0.74 9.8 -72.7 11.46 -0.65 0.71 — -1.88 -7.1 17.10 27.0 56.7 64.7 98.0 0.19 0.96 6.1 -68.6 12.83 0.00 0.71 — -3.47 -12.0 17.72 25.3 58.4 61.3 94.2 0.21 1.09 5.0 -73.0 11.24 -0.02 0.71 — -5.60 -18.0 19.34 25.5 57.2 62.0 105.2 0.27 1.41 4.5 — 7.61 -0.10 0.71 — -3.34 -9.8 21.79 25.2 59.1 64.0 102.1 0.31 1.53 5.8 — 7.97 — 0.71 — -2.84 -7.7 22.70 26.4 58.4 62.0 100.0 0.39 1.53 6.5 — 9.63 — 10.5 2.49 20.9 90.7 2.7 247.9 13.8 123.3 4.9 9.4 41.5 57.4 21.4 2.91 33.5 109.7 3.3 246.3 12.9 125.9 5.3 12.0 37.2 55.3 12.8 4.62 18.9 109.1 2.9 208.5 11.8 132.8 4.6 10.7 38.5 54.4 12.4 5.45 19.1 114.3 2.9 199.3 11.1 117.1 5.9 13.6 36.3 51.5 21.1 5.46 24.8 111.0 3.1 162.1 23.1 168.1 10.9 26.1 28.2 45.2 24.3 4.94 2.2 104.6 2.9 127.0 6.1 112.5 10.0 35.6 23.2 36.5 9.2 3.53 6.0 99.9 2.8 133.3 6.6 85.9 9.7 34.0 23.7 37.2 2.7 3.40 16.5 106.7 3.3 157.6 6.9 87.6 11.2 33.1 22.1 39.5 -1.1 4.02 13.8 112.3 4.9 254.2 9.1 109.7 12.4 37.7 30.5 67.7 — — — — — 273.5 8.7 173.7 — — — — — — — — — 235.8 8.5 188.8 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 332 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) [6] Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [6] Domestic Credit/GDP [6] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) [6] Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 16.6 3.14 7.0 84.0 2.5 244.3 22.3 188.2 6.2 12.8 40.3 52.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Annual average Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts 2012 as of November Deposit rate; 2012 as of November (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Kazakhstan [1] Lead Analyst: Thorsten Nestmann Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa2 Baa2 E+ Crawl-like Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 A3 Ba1 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 30.8 14.9 2,068 6,920 22.1 9.3 6.8 28.9 34.3 29.0 14.5 91.5 -0.65 43.2 15.0 2,874 7,744 27.3 9.6 6.7 26.3 34.9 51.8 42.8 96.4 -0.64 57.1 15.1 3,771 8,699 29.3 9.7 7.6 30.1 38.9 35.0 34.8 98.3 -0.55 81.0 15.3 5,292 9,836 34.6 10.7 8.4 33.4 44.1 35.9 28.7 91.9 -0.45 104.8 15.5 6,771 10,897 25.8 8.9 18.8 35.5 43.8 24.7 36.3 92.2 -0.53 133.4 15.7 8,514 11,366 24.9 3.2 9.5 27.5 46.3 47.4 10.6 94.4 -0.41 115.3 16.1 7,165 11,350 5.9 1.2 6.2 29.4 41.0 -36.5 -21.3 75.9 -0.21 146.9 16.3 9,000 12,092 27.3 7.3 7.8 25.3 43.9 34.2 10.9 73.7 -0.28 183.1 16.6 11,058 13,099 24.0 7.5 7.4 22.8 45.1 43.0 20.6 79.3 -0.26 200.5 16.7 12,016 — 11.3 5.0 6.0 23.6 42.0 4.3 15.3 78.4 — 220.1 16.9 13,064 — 9.7 5.5 6.6 24.4 40.5 3.4 2.7 73.6 — 239.6 17.1 14,021 — 8.0 5.6 6.6 25.1 39.3 5.8 5.7 71.6 — 25.4 21.4 4.0 4.8 4.78 15.0 59.0 3.3 64.2 24.6 22.0 2.6 3.2 5.14 11.4 46.4 2.4 48.5 28.1 22.1 6.0 6.4 4.59 8.1 28.8 1.6 32.2 27.5 19.8 7.7 8.1 5.36 6.7 24.3 1.5 27.2 28.8 23.7 5.1 5.4 6.23 5.8 20.2 1.0 23.0 28.3 27.1 1.2 1.6 8.97 6.8 23.9 1.4 18.0 22.1 23.5 -1.3 -0.9 11.72 10.2 46.2 1.8 18.9 24.1 22.6 1.5 1.9 15.80 10.8 44.6 1.8 23.7 28.2 22.3 5.9 6.4 19.34 10.7 37.8 1.6 23.0 27.3 22.7 4.6 5.0 23.93 12.1 44.2 1.4 20.2 26.6 21.8 4.8 5.1 28.54 13.0 48.7 1.2 18.4 26.4 22.0 4.4 4.6 33.32 13.8 52.4 1.0 17.1 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 333 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Kazakhstan (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 144.22 -3.0 -0.27 -0.9 22.92 15.8 12.3 74.3 148.1 0.72 5.26 7.2 -47.9 4.24 -1.90 130.00 6.0 0.34 0.8 32.71 9.6 12.1 75.8 139.9 0.94 8.19 12.6 -36.4 8.47 -3.62 133.98 5.8 -1.06 -1.8 43.43 5.0 18.8 76.0 135.6 1.70 11.05 3.7 -35.5 6.08 -6.18 127.00 0.6 -2.00 -2.5 74.01 4.2 17.1 91.4 168.5 2.72 11.77 8.2 -35.8 17.75 -15.14 120.30 10.3 -8.32 -7.9 96.89 2.2 12.3 92.4 172.2 5.30 25.45 7.6 -42.3 15.78 -22.33 120.79 12.2 6.33 4.7 107.93 2.0 9.2 80.9 133.7 5.76 31.83 9.8 -29.1 17.87 -13.17 148.46 -19.1 -4.11 -3.6 112.87 3.3 9.1 97.9 218.7 5.06 30.46 8.7 -37.4 20.18 -3.85 147.50 7.9 2.41 1.6 118.22 4.3 7.7 80.5 171.0 4.60 21.14 2.0 -24.3 24.69 2.90 148.40 3.4 14.11 7.7 125.20 4.4 7.3 68.4 128.2 4.59 22.50 4.6 -13.2 24.65 6.69 150.74 0.1 7.72 3.8 137.05 4.3 7.2 68.4 135.0 4.96 23.72 6.2 -12.7 21.60 11.28 148.80 — 12.74 5.8 144.28 4.7 7.7 65.5 137.6 4.68 13.80 6.3 — 25.00 — 147.00 — 15.28 6.4 145.09 5.2 8.4 60.5 130.9 3.97 7.48 6.4 — 30.00 — 67.9 7.00 82.1 21.1 1.7 386.1 39.0 259.7 141.9 148.2 43.2 34.3 24.7 8.00 51.5 24.7 2.8 713.9 39.8 177.0 108.3 139.8 41.9 34.5 76.9 9.00 76.5 32.5 1.8 417.0 33.0 327.5 190.1 297.0 35.2 24.8 24.2 11.00 58.8 41.0 2.7 614.2 54.6 214.7 104.4 173.2 32.0 26.7 29.1 10.50 65.2 54.2 3.0 604.0 46.6 277.5 48.3 164.2 35.4 36.8 18.7 7.00 6.8 54.6 2.6 559.3 68.8 226.3 48.5 133.3 43.7 43.9 24.3 7.00 6.7 45.8 2.7 478.8 37.2 155.6 35.5 97.5 34.9 38.1 22.0 7.50 12.1 41.4 3.2 507.9 27.7 128.0 28.4 64.9 31.4 37.9 5.2 5.50 12.4 41.8 3.8 634.5 28.3 133.5 22.0 51.7 29.8 40.9 — — — — — 577.1 17.6 109.9 — — — — — — — — — 483.6 10.3 74.5 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 334 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] — 7.00 38.1 14.8 1.8 541.2 38.6 278.0 206.9 269.7 47.1 38.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Economic forecasts based on an assumed average price for the benchmark Brent crude oil of $106.4/b in 2013 and $104.4/b in 2014, the forward prices indicated by the futures market as of April 14, 2013 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions General government and government guaranteed debt only; Data for total public sector external debt for 2012 only available from National Bank of Kazakhstan; Share of public sector external debt in total external debt was 23% in 2012 Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Kenya Lead Analyst: Edward Al-Hussainy Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 No Banks Rated Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Ba1 B2 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 14.9 33.8 441 1,200 9.7 2.9 8.3 16.5 4.7 14.6 11.7 53.8 -0.61 16.1 34.7 464 1,263 12.6 5.1 16.3 17.1 6.6 19.2 23.2 60.5 -0.53 18.7 35.6 526 1,346 11.1 5.7 7.6 16.9 7.2 23.4 26.0 64.9 -0.67 22.5 36.5 616 1,440 14.6 6.5 15.6 17.9 7.1 16.6 22.8 64.9 -0.57 27.2 37.5 727 1,546 13.0 7.0 12.0 19.0 6.7 19.5 20.6 64.5 -0.48 30.5 38.5 792 1,564 14.9 1.5 26.8 19.2 8.4 15.3 23.9 69.4 -0.56 30.6 39.5 775 1,586 12.3 2.7 5.3 19.9 5.6 -12.2 -9.9 61.6 -0.58 32.2 40.5 794 1,646 7.7 5.8 4.5 19.8 4.6 21.2 12.5 67.9 -0.53 34.1 41.6 819 1,710 18.6 4.4 18.9 18.7 4.5 9.3 20.0 74.2 -0.54 40.9 42.7 958 — 14.4 4.2 3.2 18.9 2.4 5.2 10.1 66.7 — 46.5 43.9 1,061 — 13.0 5.0 7.0 19.1 3.5 9.7 9.0 64.2 — 51.8 45.0 1,149 — 11.2 5.0 5.0 19.5 4.0 4.0 6.5 60.9 — 19.5 24.4 -4.9 -1.6 9.15 61.5 330.5 17.1 58.4 21.2 23.5 -2.3 0.2 9.69 58.8 294.2 11.7 59.1 21.5 22.6 -1.0 1.3 10.36 52.9 258.6 10.6 57.9 24.6 24.0 0.6 3.3 11.37 48.6 211.5 11.0 54.7 21.6 23.5 -2.0 0.5 12.78 43.7 214.8 11.4 49.5 21.9 27.1 -5.2 -2.8 11.20 41.3 201.4 11.1 50.5 21.8 26.6 -4.8 -2.5 13.89 44.5 215.9 10.7 50.8 23.9 32.2 -8.4 -5.7 15.18 48.1 209.0 11.0 46.1 23.7 29.3 -5.6 -2.9 17.48 49.2 225.1 11.5 48.6 21.3 28.2 -6.9 -4.1 18.99 47.2 236.5 13.2 47.4 24.8 31.8 -7.0 -4.1 21.00 45.1 192.9 11.6 49.1 24.8 30.8 -6.0 -3.3 23.52 45.4 192.9 11.0 44.8 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 335 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Kenya (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 76.14 — 0.13 0.9 6.92 84.1 13.1 46.4 152.0 0.13 0.45 0.5 — 1.46 0.30 77.34 — -0.13 -0.8 6.98 87.0 10.5 43.3 129.9 0.09 0.27 0.3 — 1.50 0.47 72.37 — -0.25 -1.3 6.48 89.0 7.7 34.6 96.3 0.09 0.45 0.1 — 1.78 0.63 69.40 — -0.51 -2.3 6.68 87.9 9.0 29.7 84.8 0.10 0.33 0.1 — 2.40 0.79 62.68 — -1.03 -3.8 7.52 82.8 12.8 27.6 80.3 0.11 0.35 2.5 — 3.33 0.80 77.71 — -1.98 -6.5 7.61 84.0 12.0 25.0 69.9 0.11 0.30 0.2 — 2.86 0.77 75.82 — -1.69 -5.5 8.59 78.2 11.8 28.1 86.7 0.11 0.28 0.2 — 3.48 0.28 80.75 — -2.51 -7.8 8.80 79.3 11.4 27.3 77.2 0.12 0.28 0.6 — 3.98 0.22 85.07 — -3.33 -9.8 10.26 73.8 15.5 30.1 76.9 0.12 0.31 1.0 — 4.23 0.43 86.00 — -4.11 -10.0 12.74 76.5 13.5 31.1 94.0 0.14 0.36 1.7 — 5.68 -0.44 84.00 — -4.18 -9.0 14.63 75.1 14.5 31.4 97.1 0.17 0.45 1.7 — 6.43 — 84.00 — -4.68 -9.0 16.60 75.8 14.0 32.1 105.3 0.20 0.51 1.9 — 7.19 — 13.5 11.04 13.8 39.4 4.7 465.4 6.6 80.7 11.9 20.3 18.0 48.1 10.5 11.07 5.4 37.4 3.7 364.1 8.0 78.8 8.1 14.8 17.2 45.7 17.2 10.00 12.7 36.7 3.0 278.8 5.5 46.8 8.0 13.5 17.5 43.0 19.7 8.75 12.3 36.5 2.6 225.6 4.9 39.6 10.1 18.1 16.3 38.8 18.1 8.50 25.8 39.9 3.6 266.4 3.8 37.9 10.5 17.8 16.8 37.5 17.5 7.00 21.0 43.0 3.6 247.0 3.9 41.5 11.0 18.8 15.7 41.4 22.4 6.00 27.8 51.1 3.7 221.0 3.5 37.3 11.1 18.8 15.1 41.8 20.0 18.00 19.3 51.3 4.5 242.6 3.2 33.1 15.7 23.3 19.0 50.5 15.0 11.00 15.9 52.0 4.0 224.2 3.7 46.2 17.3 32.2 16.4 41.9 — — — — — 227.4 4.1 38.1 — — — — — — — — — 230.8 4.5 40.9 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 336 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 13.2 4.41 9.3 39.0 4.2 473.8 12.7 113.6 13.7 20.9 14.5 39.4 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending June 30, e.g. 2006 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Korea Lead Analyst: Thomas J. Byrne Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 CFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa1 Aa1 Aa3 Aa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 643.8 47.9 13,451 20,180 6.5 2.8 3.4 29.9 32.3 19.3 16.9 68.5 0.93 722.0 48.0 15,029 21,624 7.8 4.6 3.1 29.9 34.4 29.6 24.4 77.6 0.94 844.9 48.1 17,550 22,783 4.6 4.0 2.6 29.7 31.9 12.4 16.5 75.8 1.02 951.8 48.4 19,677 24,246 5.0 5.2 2.1 29.6 31.1 13.8 18.0 78.0 1.08 1,049.2 48.6 21,589 26,101 7.3 5.1 3.6 29.4 31.5 16.5 16.3 82.3 1.25 931.4 49.0 19,028 26,689 5.3 2.3 4.1 31.2 31.6 12.2 19.0 107.2 1.09 834.1 49.2 16,959 26,680 3.8 0.3 2.7 26.3 30.2 -16.0 -23.9 95.8 1.08 1,014.9 49.4 20,540 28,613 10.2 6.3 3.1 29.5 32.4 27.9 31.4 102.0 1.19 1,114.5 49.8 22,388 29,834 5.3 3.7 4.2 29.5 31.8 17.7 19.3 110.1 1.23 1,129.6 50.0 22,592 — 3.0 2.0 1.4 27.6 31.4 2.2 0.2 109.9 — 1,272.5 50.3 25,299 — 5.0 2.5 2.5 27.0 30.1 10.5 11.0 108.1 — 1,388.5 50.6 27,463 — 6.0 3.5 3.0 26.2 28.3 7.1 6.5 105.8 — 22.4 21.4 1.0 1.9 139.04 21.6 96.4 3.8 — 21.6 20.9 0.7 1.7 196.78 24.6 113.9 4.9 — 22.1 21.6 0.6 1.7 245.13 28.7 129.5 5.3 — 23.1 22.4 0.7 2.0 304.13 31.1 134.9 5.8 — 25.0 21.2 3.8 5.2 319.31 30.7 122.7 5.5 — 24.4 22.9 1.5 2.9 245.37 30.1 123.3 5.7 — 23.5 25.2 -1.7 -0.2 308.81 33.8 143.4 6.4 — 23.1 21.7 1.4 2.6 345.64 33.4 144.8 4.9 — 23.7 22.2 1.5 2.6 367.11 34.2 144.6 4.7 — 24.5 23.0 1.5 2.6 409.49 34.5 140.8 4.5 — 24.7 23.5 1.2 2.3 441.80 34.1 137.8 4.3 — 24.7 23.7 1.0 2.0 469.58 33.2 134.2 4.1 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 337 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Korea (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 1,192.60 1,035.10 1,011.60 -0.5 2.7 10.2 15.58 32.31 18.61 2.4 4.5 2.2 141.65 150.62 161.41 — — — 35.9 37.4 40.8 22.0 20.9 19.1 56.7 46.6 44.9 3.29 3.35 4.75 27.46 29.25 22.41 -0.1 0.5 0.0 -9.9 -8.6 -17.1 154.51 198.18 209.97 -24.90 -21.60 -25.70 929.80 4.8 14.08 1.5 225.20 — 50.5 23.7 54.0 6.69 22.42 -0.8 -16.0 238.39 -45.60 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 936.10 1,259.50 1,164.50 1,134.80 1,151.80 1,070.60 1,030.00 1,000.00 -1.9 -15.7 -12.9 8.5 2.6 -0.6 — — 21.77 3.20 32.79 29.39 26.07 43.14 39.55 29.17 2.1 0.3 3.9 2.9 2.3 3.8 3.1 2.1 333.43 317.37 345.68 359.76 398.72 413.44 427.78 442.83 — — — — — — — — 48.1 47.2 43.2 38.8 34.5 30.6 29.6 28.6 31.8 34.1 41.4 35.4 35.8 36.6 33.6 31.9 67.7 56.6 75.3 62.2 58.6 59.2 59.2 59.2 7.40 9.98 3.45 1.65 1.94 1.98 2.01 2.05 24.52 30.99 30.22 35.67 42.74 43.53 44.28 45.06 -1.7 -1.8 -1.8 -2.2 -1.5 -1.6 -1.3 -1.2 -17.5 -7.8 -12.6 -13.6 -7.6 -9.1 — — 261.77 200.48 265.20 286.93 298.23 316.90 332.74 346.05 -20.40 -63.10 -45.70 -40.60 -45.10 -32.00 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 338 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 3.0 3.75 9.7 88.7 4.9 91.7 12.3 62.6 113.7 191.5 6.3 3.25 2.9 84.6 4.7 76.0 10.1 51.8 90.7 167.7 7.0 3.75 9.2 88.3 4.8 76.9 7.6 39.7 109.1 209.0 12.5 4.50 14.6 96.4 5.2 94.5 7.0 42.1 144.5 265.3 10.8 5.00 9.5 98.4 5.2 127.4 6.5 58.0 152.7 279.2 12.0 3.00 17.0 109.4 5.6 158.3 7.3 73.1 172.8 321.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 9.9 2.00 3.7 109.4 5.1 130.3 7.3 89.8 278.4 469.7 6.0 2.50 3.9 103.1 5.1 125.4 6.4 69.7 250.0 391.4 5.5 3.25 4.6 102.4 5.1 133.7 6.6 63.6 180.1 302.5 4.8 2.75 3.2 102.6 5.4 130.5 6.5 60.7 191.1 313.2 — — — — — 128.6 6.4 53.9 — — — — — — — 128.0 6.3 51.6 — — Kuwait [1] Lead Analyst: Steffen Dyck Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa2 Aa2 D+ Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 47.8 2.5 18,787 35,632 23.1 17.3 1.0 16.6 34.3 46.6 18.2 86.6 0.06 59.4 2.8 21,586 36,008 22.8 10.8 1.3 18.2 42.7 35.7 16.7 89.3 0.07 80.8 3.0 27,015 36,956 34.7 10.1 4.1 16.4 52.1 52.8 18.7 92.2 0.23 101.6 3.2 31,907 38,548 24.9 7.5 3.1 16.2 57.5 28.8 7.5 89.7 0.23 114.7 3.4 33,733 39,363 10.6 6.0 5.5 20.5 55.6 9.2 32.3 91.7 0.11 147.4 3.4 42,824 40,729 21.6 2.5 10.6 17.6 58.5 35.3 17.7 92.7 0.02 106.0 3.5 30,410 37,704 -23.0 -7.1 4.0 18.0 48.0 -36.0 -18.5 88.8 0.13 119.9 3.6 33,481 36,291 12.7 -2.4 4.0 20.3 55.2 22.2 12.5 93.4 0.10 161.0 3.7 43,723 38,332 29.2 6.3 4.7 15.6 62.1 48.7 13.1 95.7 -0.04 175.5 3.8 46,354 — 10.6 5.1 2.9 17.2 65.0 13.4 15.6 100.1 — 174.1 3.9 44,750 — -0.9 1.0 3.3 18.4 62.5 -3.7 4.1 98.6 — 175.2 4.0 43,818 — 0.1 2.3 3.8 19.7 61.5 -1.0 5.7 99.4 — 51.4 36.2 15.2 15.8 9.01 18.6 34.3 1.1 7.4 51.9 32.8 19.1 19.5 8.98 15.1 26.8 0.8 8.3 67.2 27.2 40.1 40.4 10.13 12.5 17.5 0.6 18.6 65.6 34.0 31.5 32.0 10.29 10.1 15.0 0.6 22.8 65.6 28.2 37.5 37.9 13.91 11.7 16.9 0.6 39.6 63.9 48.6 15.3 15.6 13.90 9.7 16.1 0.4 44.5 66.9 35.1 31.8 32.0 11.70 11.0 15.9 0.3 39.5 63.8 43.4 20.4 20.4 13.25 10.8 15.8 0.1 45.2 65.8 41.9 24.0 24.0 12.86 8.1 11.9 0.1 44.9 68.9 39.0 29.9 29.9 11.05 6.3 9.2 0.1 43.5 70.9 42.9 27.9 28.0 11.37 6.5 9.2 0.1 38.4 71.1 46.1 25.0 25.0 12.27 7.0 9.8 0.1 35.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 339 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [2] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [5] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Kuwait (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.29 -6.5 9.42 19.7 12.23 5.4 60.4 25.6 41.7 0.38 0.83 10.2 62.1 6.64 1.70 0.29 -7.4 15.51 26.1 15.48 4.8 47.9 26.0 38.0 0.46 0.78 -4.3 61.5 7.35 4.63 0.29 1.5 30.07 37.2 20.24 9.3 47.1 25.1 34.8 0.84 0.30 -6.1 60.8 8.38 5.25 0.29 -1.0 45.31 44.6 30.87 7.6 44.0 30.4 39.9 1.54 0.10 -8.0 63.2 12.18 7.36 0.27 -2.0 41.33 36.0 57.56 9.6 46.9 50.2 64.7 4.08 0.11 -8.4 62.4 16.29 5.16 0.28 4.0 60.24 40.9 52.94 11.7 49.2 35.9 46.9 3.14 1.91 -6.2 70.8 16.61 11.22 0.29 -0.6 28.38 26.8 45.70 10.1 37.1 43.1 61.1 1.58 15.80 -7.0 102.5 17.61 15.45 0.28 1.6 38.29 31.9 41.10 14.6 40.1 34.3 46.9 1.79 11.59 -4.0 70.3 18.62 15.26 0.28 -2.1 70.76 44.0 35.00 16.5 48.9 21.7 27.8 1.52 9.87 -5.2 79.0 22.92 17.89 0.28 -0.3 79.14 45.1 28.60 16.8 61.0 16.3 20.0 0.86 8.06 -4.7 82.6 25.96 23.55 0.28 — 71.21 40.9 28.55 15.3 65.0 16.4 20.7 0.74 8.05 -4.1 — 26.87 — 0.28 — 68.01 38.8 28.74 15.2 68.9 16.4 20.8 1.03 8.10 -5.1 — 28.57 — 12.3 2.70 4.2 65.1 5.4 210.6 2.8 111.3 22.0 46.6 12.0 3.50 14.5 55.3 5.3 241.6 1.3 101.0 23.1 55.2 21.7 4.90 35.3 59.9 4.5 253.5 1.2 113.9 20.2 53.1 19.1 5.40 28.8 69.8 4.3 353.4 1.8 111.5 27.2 70.2 15.8 4.80 15.4 66.2 4.8 318.7 5.3 165.7 19.3 68.8 13.4 2.80 5.1 90.5 4.9 259.5 25.3 157.0 32.2 55.2 3.0 2.30 -9.8 72.5 4.9 220.7 15.0 96.3 22.4 44.9 8.2 2.20 1.4 56.9 4.3 152.7 9.3 88.5 15.0 31.1 6.5 2.00 -1.0 50.9 4.0 110.1 6.7 74.8 17.2 25.5 — — — — — 106.3 6.5 67.2 — — — — — — — 100.6 6.4 69.1 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP [7] Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 340 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [8] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 7.8 2.40 15.4 76.7 5.3 184.2 4.1 87.4 25.7 50.8 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Economic forecasts based on an assumed average price for the benchmark Brent crude oil of $106.4/b in 2013 and $104.4/b in 2014, the forward prices indicated by the futures market as of April 14, 2013 Annual average Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Current Account Receipts Excludes KIA's assets Deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Latvia Lead Analyst: Alpona Banerji Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa2 Baa2 E+ Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A3 A3 Baa2 A3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.1 2.3 4,794 10,623 11.7 7.6 3.7 28.4 15.8 23.6 29.6 97.1 0.66 13.7 2.3 5,939 11,731 16.5 8.9 7.3 32.8 17.2 28.5 34.1 103.7 0.65 15.9 2.3 6,928 13,040 21.3 10.1 7.0 33.6 19.1 26.9 21.8 110.8 0.59 19.9 2.3 8,678 14,973 23.6 11.2 6.8 39.1 17.5 16.6 32.5 111.7 0.68 28.7 2.3 12,588 17,147 32.3 9.6 14.1 40.0 19.8 36.1 35.7 105.1 0.49 33.5 2.3 14,762 18,090 9.3 -3.3 10.6 31.2 17.5 18.3 5.9 99.9 0.56 25.9 2.3 11,466 15,928 -18.7 -17.7 -1.2 20.5 19.0 -21.2 -38.2 89.3 0.61 24.1 2.2 10,763 15,943 -2.2 -0.9 2.5 19.8 18.5 13.6 12.7 108.5 0.70 28.5 2.1 13,838 18,951 11.7 5.5 4.1 25.3 20.5 29.7 36.9 122.4 0.68 28.4 2.0 14,014 — 8.7 5.6 1.6 25.9 22.6 3.6 1.0 125.6 — 30.9 2.0 15,314 — 5.3 3.8 1.9 26.7 22.9 9.5 10.2 126.7 — 31.5 2.0 15,626 — 6.1 4.1 2.2 27.2 23.4 2.6 2.6 127.8 — 33.3 34.9 -1.6 -0.9 1.73 14.7 44.0 2.1 49.6 34.9 35.9 -1.0 -0.3 2.15 15.0 42.9 2.1 56.6 35.4 35.8 -0.4 0.1 1.89 12.5 35.2 1.5 56.0 37.8 38.3 -0.5 0.0 2.22 10.7 28.3 1.2 58.1 35.6 36.0 -0.4 0.0 2.75 9.0 25.4 1.1 61.6 34.9 39.1 -4.2 -3.6 6.43 19.8 56.8 1.7 47.7 34.0 43.7 -9.7 -8.3 9.87 36.9 108.6 4.3 78.2 35.3 43.4 -8.1 -6.7 10.62 44.4 125.9 3.9 83.9 34.9 38.4 -3.6 -2.1 10.98 41.9 120.0 4.2 86.2 35.2 36.5 -1.2 0.1 11.88 40.7 115.4 3.9 87.7 34.8 36.0 -1.2 0.4 13.15 43.2 124.1 4.7 85.3 34.7 35.6 -0.9 0.7 12.50 40.1 115.5 4.7 84.9 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 341 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Latvia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.54 -5.9 -0.91 -8.2 9.40 9.1 60.4 79.8 149.4 0.16 0.96 2.3 -43.8 1.43 -1.27 0.52 0.1 -1.77 -12.9 13.45 9.0 57.3 93.5 165.1 0.13 1.23 3.8 -52.3 1.91 -2.28 0.59 -1.4 -2.00 -12.6 15.18 6.7 49.3 100.0 164.5 0.17 2.72 3.6 -59.6 2.23 -4.37 0.54 2.9 -4.48 -22.6 23.77 5.2 44.1 114.5 195.6 0.30 2.85 7.5 -69.9 4.35 -9.01 0.48 6.6 -6.42 -22.4 38.97 4.0 42.9 128.1 238.6 0.73 3.06 6.8 -74.7 5.55 -14.49 0.50 9.9 -4.40 -13.1 42.26 8.4 33.5 130.0 241.6 1.16 4.37 3.0 -79.0 5.03 -16.06 0.49 5.5 2.23 8.6 41.82 16.5 24.6 156.5 279.6 1.23 5.18 0.6 -82.7 6.44 -12.01 0.54 -6.0 0.71 2.9 39.38 20.1 32.0 164.8 257.7 1.03 5.29 1.5 -80.3 7.07 -9.79 0.54 0.2 -0.61 -2.2 38.06 22.1 31.3 145.0 210.1 0.95 4.30 4.9 -73.3 5.85 -6.83 0.53 -1.6 -0.48 -1.7 39.81 23.8 36.8 136.2 191.3 1.02 5.58 2.8 -65.1 6.95 -6.47 0.54 — -0.64 -2.1 41.36 26.4 36.3 135.9 185.8 1.11 4.15 3.1 — 8.95 — 0.56 — -0.92 -2.9 39.45 24.5 37.3 126.6 172.3 1.17 5.81 3.2 — 9.95 — 34.1 4.00 39.6 54.0 2.2 703.5 17.6 490.5 66.2 133.4 39.2 21.4 43.7 4.00 62.4 72.3 2.4 680.1 29.8 551.2 186.9 293.5 41.7 27.9 43.7 5.00 53.9 90.1 1.9 546.0 27.1 471.7 378.8 496.3 41.5 31.5 19.1 6.00 32.0 89.9 2.0 701.7 24.6 316.9 199.5 470.7 47.6 31.4 -4.6 6.00 9.4 90.0 2.0 840.6 30.7 383.4 319.0 896.9 48.3 33.7 0.6 4.00 -14.8 94.4 1.6 648.9 44.3 390.6 138.6 462.5 55.9 36.2 9.9 3.50 -7.5 89.3 1.5 557.1 41.0 254.7 88.3 284.0 50.3 30.5 -3.8 3.50 -1.6 78.7 1.7 650.3 26.7 252.5 57.7 231.6 52.4 31.1 3.8 2.50 -13.1 62.9 1.5 572.5 32.6 313.1 78.9 231.2 53.1 30.3 — — — — — 461.9 23.2 283.3 — — — — — — — — — 396.3 30.2 243.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 342 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] Liquidity Ratio [7] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [8] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [9] 19.8 3.00 39.7 45.1 2.1 656.3 18.7 419.8 103.1 133.6 38.6 21.1 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Lebanon Lead Analyst: Gabriel Torres Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 E+ Stabilized Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba3 Ba1 B1 Ba1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 19.7 3.7 5,421 8,992 3.4 1.7 1.3 20.1 6.9 8.8 12.1 124.2 -0.21 21.4 3.8 5,804 9,801 8.6 7.5 1.7 22.8 7.3 28.8 21.0 135.4 -0.29 21.4 3.8 5,823 10,170 0.0 0.7 -0.7 21.8 8.2 9.7 3.0 137.6 -0.21 22.2 3.8 5,903 10,631 3.5 1.4 5.6 22.1 16.8 2.0 1.5 145.3 -0.39 25.0 3.8 6,640 11,858 12.5 8.4 4.1 27.8 21.0 20.9 27.7 151.4 -0.42 29.7 3.8 7,795 12,995 18.9 8.6 10.8 30.2 20.9 27.4 33.2 172.1 -0.49 34.7 3.9 8,984 14,104 16.7 9.0 1.2 34.2 24.4 -2.8 4.2 145.8 -0.58 37.1 3.9 9,499 15,097 7.1 7.0 4.5 33.2 23.6 15.2 11.2 138.4 -0.35 39.0 4.0 9,857 15,449 5.1 1.5 5.0 26.7 14.1 20.9 5.8 147.4 -0.33 41.3 4.0 10,310 — 6.0 1.5 6.6 24.7 8.6 4.5 9.5 149.3 — 43.8 4.1 10,793 — 6.0 2.0 6.7 24.0 7.9 10.6 9.1 154.5 — 46.7 4.1 11,347 — 6.5 2.5 2.4 24.5 9.9 7.2 5.2 153.8 — 22.2 35.9 -13.8 2.6 31.66 160.3 723.6 73.9 49.1 23.2 32.9 -9.7 2.7 34.42 160.5 693.3 53.7 53.4 22.9 31.5 -8.6 2.3 36.84 171.8 750.0 47.7 51.9 25.4 35.9 -10.5 3.1 38.17 172.0 678.1 53.7 53.3 24.1 35.0 -10.9 2.2 38.85 155.7 645.0 54.3 54.6 24.0 33.7 -9.7 1.4 43.70 147.2 613.3 46.2 48.5 24.5 32.8 -8.3 2.8 47.12 136.0 554.8 45.2 45.2 22.9 30.6 -7.7 2.8 48.44 130.5 570.5 46.0 42.5 23.5 29.6 -6.1 3.5 49.32 126.4 537.0 40.8 42.4 22.7 32.2 -9.5 -0.7 54.00 130.6 574.7 38.5 45.2 23.3 33.0 -9.7 -0.6 58.25 132.9 569.3 39.1 45.0 23.8 32.8 -8.9 0.2 62.42 133.7 561.1 38.5 44.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 343 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [2] Openness of the Economy [2] [3] Government Effectiveness [4] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [5] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [5] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Lebanon (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 1,507.50 — — — — — — — — — — — — -2.61 -3.33 -2.93 -1.18 -1.70 -2.76 -3.40 -3.57 -4.89 -6.64 -7.04 -6.83 -13.2 -15.5 -13.6 -5.3 -6.8 -9.3 -9.8 -9.6 -12.5 -16.1 -16.1 -14.6 20.11 23.11 22.98 25.65 28.79 30.20 35.60 37.26 40.55 44.61 47.47 50.42 37.2 32.3 36.2 39.9 39.4 38.1 31.0 28.6 25.3 25.2 25.5 25.7 45.3 49.6 47.1 44.3 44.5 46.7 52.3 54.2 57.4 57.6 57.3 57.2 100.1 106.1 105.1 115.6 115.3 101.7 102.7 100.4 103.9 107.9 108.3 108.0 118.7 125.0 118.7 116.7 116.7 97.8 119.5 121.3 115.5 154.7 150.1 149.5 0.40 0.60 1.10 1.53 1.70 1.19 0.70 0.55 0.59 0.64 1.01 1.22 2.20 2.33 2.43 2.86 3.20 3.22 3.39 3.41 3.46 3.78 4.05 4.32 11.2 4.9 8.7 8.1 10.1 11.3 10.6 10.2 8.6 7.7 6.8 8.6 — — — — — — — — — — — — 12.46 11.67 11.83 13.31 12.84 20.18 28.74 31.16 33.39 36.84 37.00 37.50 0.58 1.46 1.63 4.23 7.07 3.32 2.51 2.74 -1.58 -3.82 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 344 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 12.8 7.99 5.0 180.9 3.4 161.4 15.3 99.7 12.1 16.4 60.9 113.9 10.2 7.89 8.4 180.5 4.1 198.0 15.9 73.2 14.6 20.7 64.9 118.8 4.4 8.68 -0.3 180.0 4.2 194.2 18.2 98.1 11.9 16.9 68.5 131.9 7.8 8.68 10.6 192.5 4.0 192.7 19.9 91.4 11.0 14.6 72.3 126.5 12.4 8.68 6.6 182.4 4.7 224.1 19.9 85.4 13.2 18.3 74.0 129.1 14.8 8.43 11.2 170.5 3.4 149.6 14.3 99.8 9.3 18.5 65.3 111.5 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Annual average Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government Current Account Receipts T-bill rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 19.5 6.42 12.6 164.4 2.9 123.8 13.7 69.8 7.4 21.1 59.5 91.4 12.3 5.41 12.5 172.7 3.0 119.6 12.9 64.8 8.2 17.3 58.3 92.5 5.5 5.41 8.6 178.5 2.9 121.4 11.5 64.8 8.1 19.8 61.1 98.7 7.0 5.93 8.8 183.2 2.8 121.1 15.3 69.8 9.6 22.8 59.6 96.2 — — — — — 128.3 16.0 69.8 — — — — — — — — — 134.5 16.4 73.6 — — — — Lithuania Lead Analyst: Alpona Banerji Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa1 Baa1 E+ Currency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa2 Aa1 Baa1 Aa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 18.7 3.5 5,413 12,033 9.3 10.3 -1.3 21.4 15.6 27.6 28.2 107.7 0.76 22.7 3.4 6,595 12,968 10.1 7.4 2.8 22.3 15.2 23.3 25.7 110.8 0.75 26.1 3.4 7,644 14,197 14.9 7.8 3.0 23.6 16.5 27.4 25.9 121.8 0.79 30.2 3.4 8,910 16,032 15.0 7.8 4.4 26.0 15.9 18.9 24.0 127.8 0.74 39.3 3.4 11,648 18,158 19.2 9.8 8.1 31.2 18.0 19.0 26.5 121.0 0.70 47.5 3.4 14,140 19,559 12.8 2.9 8.6 27.1 15.2 33.8 28.6 131.1 0.61 37.0 3.3 11,095 16,948 -17.8 -14.8 0.0 11.4 9.7 -29.1 -38.9 110.2 0.66 36.6 3.3 11,127 18,120 3.6 1.5 5.1 17.8 15.8 23.7 23.4 137.9 0.72 42.9 3.0 14,148 21,480 11.6 5.9 3.4 20.5 17.7 33.8 34.7 158.0 0.68 42.1 3.0 14,007 — 6.4 3.6 2.9 17.1 17.8 6.2 1.7 167.1 — 45.8 3.0 15,334 — 5.9 3.2 2.5 16.9 18.1 10.6 10.0 169.4 — 46.9 3.0 15,790 — 6.7 3.7 3.0 16.8 18.0 6.9 6.9 176.9 — 31.8 33.0 -1.3 0.0 4.36 21.0 66.2 3.9 61.2 31.7 33.2 -1.5 -0.6 4.80 19.3 60.9 2.9 61.7 32.7 33.2 -0.5 0.3 4.56 18.3 56.0 2.5 60.3 33.0 33.5 -0.4 0.3 5.68 17.9 54.4 2.2 68.4 33.6 34.6 -1.0 -0.3 7.08 16.8 50.0 2.1 67.2 34.0 37.2 -3.3 -2.6 7.09 15.5 45.7 2.0 64.2 35.5 44.9 -9.4 -8.2 11.22 29.3 82.7 3.6 70.3 35.2 42.4 -7.2 -5.4 13.84 37.9 107.8 5.2 73.6 33.3 38.9 -5.5 -3.7 15.34 38.5 115.5 5.4 74.0 32.9 36.2 -3.3 -1.4 17.67 40.7 123.7 5.9 75.6 32.7 35.6 -2.9 -1.0 18.10 40.1 122.6 5.9 75.6 32.4 34.8 -2.4 -0.7 18.31 39.4 121.6 5.2 74.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 345 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Lithuania (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.76 1.9 -1.26 -6.7 8.34 31.5 39.3 40.2 74.9 0.24 4.05 0.8 -33.1 3.37 -0.89 2.53 -1.1 -1.73 -7.6 10.47 28.3 36.0 42.1 75.2 0.24 4.91 2.3 -34.4 3.51 -0.95 2.91 -2.9 -1.84 -7.1 12.56 21.9 38.8 50.5 80.7 0.25 5.65 2.6 -42.6 3.72 -2.52 2.63 -1.8 -3.20 -10.6 18.96 21.0 29.9 59.9 91.7 0.41 9.63 5.0 -48.9 5.65 -4.40 2.36 1.8 -5.68 -14.4 30.10 17.3 25.8 71.5 117.2 0.83 15.07 3.6 -55.8 7.56 -8.80 2.45 4.2 -6.14 -12.9 32.42 12.0 25.1 71.0 106.6 1.37 17.63 3.4 -51.6 6.28 -12.66 2.41 9.8 1.38 3.7 32.10 24.7 18.6 83.9 133.4 1.08 15.25 -0.6 -57.3 6.20 -8.73 2.61 -6.0 0.03 0.1 30.40 36.2 18.3 83.2 107.3 1.00 14.31 2.2 -55.4 6.12 -6.07 2.67 -2.1 -1.60 -3.7 31.01 39.4 17.8 77.8 89.6 1.16 13.77 3.2 -52.6 7.70 -5.84 2.61 -2.2 -0.22 -0.5 32.84 47.2 19.1 75.6 81.7 1.14 14.06 1.0 -52.3 8.01 -4.73 2.66 — -0.21 -0.9 32.64 48.4 17.0 72.3 81.9 1.20 13.39 3.2 — 8.35 — 2.75 — -0.45 -1.6 32.70 49.1 15.7 70.4 81.4 1.05 12.33 3.4 — 9.12 — 31.0 2.25 44.9 30.4 1.9 298.1 40.6 147.1 140.0 237.7 25.7 31.8 36.9 2.50 62.3 42.9 2.1 337.6 36.1 171.9 193.4 318.2 26.9 34.1 23.5 3.73 30.5 48.7 1.9 335.3 50.8 255.4 194.5 475.9 21.4 24.7 24.7 5.83 45.9 59.6 2.0 398.3 66.3 265.8 136.0 543.4 21.5 25.8 -1.9 8.21 21.1 64.0 2.3 516.2 60.1 234.1 251.3 1097.6 26.4 35.0 5.2 1.28 -10.5 69.6 2.5 517.4 70.1 248.3 207.2 629.7 33.0 40.7 8.5 1.05 -4.6 64.1 2.5 496.4 54.0 242.4 155.3 522.1 29.4 39.2 1.0 1.06 -0.3 57.3 2.0 402.5 40.1 224.5 95.5 337.0 27.6 34.8 6.9 0.51 -3.0 52.2 2.1 410.1 39.0 186.2 104.4 364.0 27.7 37.3 — — — — — 390.8 36.1 183.4 — — — — — — — — — 358.5 33.0 159.3 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [3] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 346 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [4] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] External Vulnerability Indicator [6] [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 16.5 2.41 42.4 23.1 1.4 247.3 42.7 168.9 239.6 367.7 26.6 28.8 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts 1-Month VILIBOR (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Series break in 2004; Excluded total nonresident deposits over one year in 2003 Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Luxembourg Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa CFree Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 29.2 0.5 64,660 60,705 7.7 1.7 2.1 3.8 22.1 45.9 25.5 20.5 6.8 6.9 23.8 250.2 1.93 34.1 0.5 74,488 64,929 6.3 4.4 2.2 5.0 21.7 45.9 29.9 32.3 11.1 11.8 24.2 280.5 1.93 37.7 0.5 81,002 68,290 10.3 5.3 2.5 4.6 22.4 48.0 12.9 12.3 4.4 4.2 25.5 286.2 1.78 42.6 0.5 90,100 78,383 12.0 4.9 2.3 4.6 20.3 51.1 23.2 20.6 12.9 12.8 30.8 309.0 1.59 51.4 0.5 107,073 84,494 10.6 6.6 3.4 4.2 21.0 53.2 25.0 24.6 9.0 9.3 32.3 319.5 1.60 55.0 0.5 112,469 84,393 -0.3 -0.7 1.1 4.8 21.5 51.5 10.5 13.0 4.4 6.1 30.0 333.5 1.62 50.2 0.5 100,836 79,352 -3.6 -4.1 1.8 5.2 16.5 48.6 -17.8 -20.9 -10.9 -14.1 32.2 294.9 1.75 52.9 0.5 104,442 84,764 10.8 2.9 2.8 4.6 19.4 51.4 11.2 12.6 7.7 12.1 32.1 312.6 1.71 59.3 0.5 114,464 88,797 6.8 1.7 3.2 4.8 21.1 52.3 14.7 16.0 5.5 8.6 31.2 321.8 1.73 57.1 0.5 109,834 — 4.2 0.3 2.3 5.1 21.6 51.9 -6.8 -6.9 -3.1 -2.7 30.4 311.4 — 60.6 0.5 116,484 — 3.3 0.7 2.0 5.6 21.3 52.9 6.7 5.8 0.9 0.9 31.6 312.1 — 60.7 0.5 116,661 — 4.4 1.5 1.9 5.7 19.8 53.5 4.6 4.1 3.5 4.6 33.7 325.2 — 42.3 41.8 0.5 0.7 2.00 6.1 14.5 0.5 41.5 42.6 -1.1 -0.9 2.37 6.3 15.3 0.4 41.5 41.5 0.0 0.2 2.17 6.1 14.6 0.4 39.9 38.6 1.4 1.5 2.98 6.7 16.7 0.5 39.9 36.3 3.7 3.9 3.68 6.7 16.7 0.6 42.3 39.1 3.2 3.5 7.51 14.4 34.1 0.8 43.8 44.6 -0.8 -0.5 7.96 15.3 35.0 0.8 42.0 42.9 -0.9 -0.5 10.25 19.2 45.8 0.9 41.5 41.8 -0.2 0.2 10.10 18.3 44.1 1.1 42.1 43.0 -0.8 -0.4 12.18 20.8 49.3 0.9 42.3 43.1 -0.9 -0.5 13.71 23.0 54.3 1.0 42.6 42.8 -0.2 0.2 14.08 23.4 55.0 0.9 0.79 3.6 98.1 2.38 8.1 -36.3 — 0.09 0.73 1.2 99.6 4.04 11.9 -15.8 — 0.14 0.85 -0.3 100.0 4.35 11.5 -23.0 121.1 0.17 0.76 0.6 100.2 4.41 10.4 32.9 137.9 0.16 0.68 0.9 100.8 5.19 10.1 -145.8 102.5 0.09 0.72 2.0 104.0 2.94 5.4 -53.9 114.3 0.26 0.69 1.0 109.6 3.60 7.2 -45.4 87.8 0.27 0.75 -2.6 108.6 4.36 8.2 33.5 96.5 0.27 0.77 0.8 110.4 4.22 7.1 69.6 99.6 0.18 0.76 -2.2 110.5 3.17 5.6 35.8 27.6 0.15 0.77 — — 3.76 6.2 43.6 — 0.16 0.80 — — 3.94 6.5 62.6 — 0.16 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 347 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Notes: [1] [2] [3] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 1999 Macao Lead Analyst: Steven A. Hess Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aa3 Aa3 D+ Currency Board Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aa1 Aaa Aa3 Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 7.9 0.5 17,252 26,668 12.9 12.6 -1.4 14.3 49.2 14.6 13.7 176.2 1.30 10.3 0.5 21,821 33,999 29.4 26.9 2.8 16.8 57.3 31.3 22.0 173.7 1.09 11.8 0.5 24,497 37,236 14.8 8.6 5.6 26.5 58.7 1.5 7.5 156.9 1.25 14.6 0.5 29,537 42,926 23.4 14.4 4.6 34.4 63.3 17.6 21.4 151.3 0.99 18.1 0.5 35,701 49,279 24.5 14.3 7.1 37.5 65.1 28.6 33.3 159.4 0.98 20.7 0.5 39,986 50,766 14.6 3.4 6.1 31.0 64.8 19.2 10.3 160.3 1.01 21.3 0.5 40,125 51,067 2.3 1.7 0.7 18.9 63.4 -0.3 -19.4 143.7 1.31 28.4 0.5 52,166 63,835 33.4 27.5 3.9 13.3 69.4 49.8 33.7 155.8 1.32 36.8 0.6 66,215 77,079 30.0 21.8 6.8 13.8 72.4 36.9 38.6 165.0 1.30 43.6 0.6 76,718 — 18.0 9.9 5.8 14.7 73.3 14.7 10.6 158.0 — 49.4 0.6 85,041 — 13.3 8.2 4.8 15.0 71.6 12.0 15.0 157.5 — 55.4 0.6 93,364 — 12.3 7.5 4.5 15.5 71.6 13.0 15.0 159.5 — 28.9 24.7 4.2 4.2 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.0 21.5 7.5 7.5 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.9 22.4 7.4 7.4 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.9 23.5 8.4 8.4 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.0 16.1 20.9 20.9 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.4 18.3 19.1 19.1 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.1 20.8 20.2 20.2 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 16.9 22.1 22.1 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.7 15.5 26.2 26.2 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.2 16.3 20.9 20.9 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.2 20.9 13.2 13.2 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.8 21.4 10.4 10.4 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 348 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.00 -4.1 2.60 32.7 0.85 0.0 — 10.7 9.7 — — 6.5 — 4.34 9.03 8.01 -2.9 3.56 34.7 0.81 0.0 — 7.9 7.1 — — 8.3 — 5.44 9.79 7.99 -0.6 2.94 24.9 1.41 0.0 — 12.0 11.8 — — 14.5 — 6.69 10.72 8.01 -0.7 2.44 16.7 3.11 0.0 — 21.4 21.4 — — 14.6 — 9.13 13.44 8.03 -3.5 4.31 23.8 5.60 0.0 — 31.0 29.8 — — 27.8 — 13.23 12.19 7.98 -2.9 4.04 19.5 7.31 0.0 — 35.3 33.8 — — 15.1 — 15.93 11.76 7.99 2.2 6.79 31.8 10.91 0.0 — 51.2 51.5 — — 0.9 — 18.35 14.54 8.02 -0.6 12.08 42.6 16.99 0.0 — 59.9 54.8 — — 13.4 — 23.73 16.62 8.01 -4.9 16.97 46.1 17.79 0.0 — 48.3 42.1 — — 5.6 — 34.03 17.89 7.98 1.6 17.03 39.1 20.40 0.0 — 46.8 48.1 — — 4.7 — 16.60 25.77 8.00 — 20.01 40.5 21.34 0.0 — 43.2 45.3 — — 4.6 — 23.27 — 8.00 — 22.47 40.6 19.13 0.0 — 34.5 36.1 — — 3.7 — 30.76 — 8.9 3.75 8.5 44.6 2.8 15.0 — — 7.0 7.3 12.2 5.75 21.8 47.3 2.5 21.1 — — 8.0 8.6 24.5 6.75 13.3 43.5 2.3 34.1 — — 10.0 14.2 9.8 5.75 42.2 49.7 1.7 42.4 — — 11.3 21.4 2.3 0.50 27.4 55.2 1.5 45.9 — — 12.9 28.5 11.8 0.50 10.2 59.4 1.4 59.4 — — 20.0 36.9 14.5 0.50 29.2 57.6 1.3 71.6 — — 30.9 45.6 22.6 0.50 28.5 56.9 1.1 52.3 — — 25.2 36.8 25.7 0.50 18.2 57.0 2.8 122.9 — — 25.4 36.5 — — — — — 91.7 — — — — — — — — — 62.2 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 349 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [5] Domestic Credit/GDP [5] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 12.3 2.50 -1.4 53.2 3.2 19.5 — — 6.2 8.5 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] Annual average Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Current Account Receipts Excludes central government (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Malaysia Lead Analyst: Christian de Guzman Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A3 A3 COther Managed Arrangement Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A1 A1 A3 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 113.9 25.1 4,546 10,470 9.4 5.8 1.2 24.6 43.7 7.9 4.7 187.8 1.17 128.2 25.6 5,011 11,257 12.5 6.8 2.1 24.5 44.3 22.1 23.3 204.7 1.13 143.5 26.1 5,499 12,011 11.6 5.0 3.2 22.4 44.3 12.6 10.2 203.9 1.13 162.7 26.6 6,119 12,852 9.8 5.6 3.1 22.7 44.5 12.6 12.6 202.6 1.19 193.6 27.1 7,155 13,816 11.5 6.3 2.3 23.4 43.3 12.6 13.6 192.5 1.24 231.0 27.5 8,399 14,561 15.7 4.8 4.5 21.5 43.8 11.8 6.7 176.7 1.15 202.3 27.9 7,236 14,297 -7.4 -1.5 1.0 17.8 38.1 -19.6 -19.3 162.6 0.96 246.8 28.4 8,691 15,183 11.5 7.2 2.1 23.1 40.3 25.1 31.4 170.3 1.10 287.9 28.9 9,977 16,051 10.8 5.1 3.0 23.6 39.5 13.9 15.2 167.2 1.00 303.5 29.3 10,351 — 6.4 5.6 1.2 25.5 37.4 0.7 5.2 163.0 — 330.3 29.8 11,085 — 6.7 5.0 2.2 26.1 33.6 4.0 9.1 159.3 — 361.6 30.3 11,941 — 7.5 5.2 2.4 26.2 33.6 12.0 14.5 164.8 — 21.4 26.2 -4.8 -2.4 49.68 43.6 203.8 11.4 19.8 20.4 24.4 -4.0 -1.7 57.01 44.5 217.9 11.0 16.0 19.6 23.0 -3.4 -1.3 60.49 42.1 215.1 10.9 13.1 20.7 23.9 -3.2 -1.1 68.59 40.6 196.1 10.1 10.3 21.0 24.1 -3.1 -1.2 80.67 40.1 190.7 9.2 7.3 20.8 25.4 -4.6 -3.0 88.46 39.8 191.8 8.0 6.6 22.3 28.9 -6.7 -4.7 105.82 50.8 228.4 9.0 3.8 20.1 25.5 -5.4 -3.5 132.03 51.2 255.0 9.8 4.1 21.0 25.9 -4.8 -2.8 143.57 51.8 246.0 9.6 4.0 22.2 26.7 -4.5 -2.4 164.02 53.5 241.3 9.4 3.4 21.2 25.5 -4.3 -2.1 181.42 54.4 256.7 10.4 3.0 20.6 24.6 -4.0 -1.8 198.90 54.6 264.3 10.8 2.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 350 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 3.80 -2.9 13.32 11.7 49.14 51.8 17.9 43.1 40.3 1.78 5.75 1.0 -32.8 40.56 -5.22 3.80 2.2 15.08 11.8 52.79 48.3 21.8 41.2 35.5 1.63 4.91 2.0 -26.1 61.74 -6.16 3.78 2.4 20.69 14.4 52.30 43.6 23.7 36.4 31.1 1.93 6.70 0.7 -13.8 66.22 -9.72 3.53 3.6 26.18 16.1 52.25 40.9 23.2 32.1 26.3 2.17 6.27 0.0 -3.9 78.36 -3.15 3.31 5.4 29.73 15.4 56.69 32.8 29.1 29.3 25.1 2.03 5.21 -1.4 -2.3 94.96 2.87 3.46 2.6 39.43 17.1 68.24 37.8 33.8 29.5 29.3 1.96 3.78 -3.4 13.6 85.67 -9.29 3.42 -2.4 31.42 15.5 67.96 38.5 33.3 33.6 33.5 1.85 10.82 -3.1 14.8 86.48 -5.90 3.08 10.0 27.34 11.1 73.64 38.4 35.0 29.8 28.9 1.58 14.62 -1.7 1.7 95.86 3.95 3.18 5.2 31.73 11.0 81.01 34.1 40.4 28.1 29.8 1.69 24.17 -1.1 4.3 120.22 0.89 3.06 0.9 19.42 6.4 82.64 32.8 36.8 27.2 29.1 1.77 25.44 -2.3 — 126.42 2.57 3.00 — 14.48 4.4 97.17 31.4 41.2 29.4 32.7 1.73 29.07 -1.2 — 145.00 — 2.95 — 16.57 4.6 118.64 25.7 42.9 32.8 36.1 2.03 35.59 -0.7 — 150.00 — 25.2 2.70 2.4 121.5 2.3 85.5 4.4 33.9 56.1 110.5 15.6 3.00 6.6 116.2 2.5 79.0 5.2 29.5 82.4 175.3 17.1 3.50 6.8 113.0 2.6 66.7 4.6 28.2 69.5 134.8 9.5 3.50 7.8 109.3 2.5 59.7 3.6 22.4 46.1 104.4 13.4 3.25 17.6 111.1 3.0 79.7 2.4 21.5 86.9 190.0 9.5 2.00 9.0 130.7 3.3 78.6 6.1 39.0 80.5 183.4 7.2 2.75 8.2 126.9 3.6 76.8 7.3 43.5 84.8 163.7 14.7 3.00 11.8 128.0 3.2 67.4 9.6 53.2 93.2 173.7 9.7 3.00 11.1 133.6 3.4 65.4 9.6 47.6 100.6 182.5 — — — — — 67.0 10.7 47.3 — — — — — — — 79.1 11.8 52.4 — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 351 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [5] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [7] [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks 11.1 2.71 8.3 133.6 2.8 121.2 6.2 46.4 57.5 180.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Federal government Current Account Receipts Overnight interbank rate prior to 2004. (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Malta Lead Analyst: Jaime Reusche Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime A3 A3 No Banks Rated Free Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A1 A1 A1 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.2 0.4 13,067 19,694 3.9 0.7 2.4 7.7 17.7 17.8 17.7 23.0 -2.8 3.9 0.2 153.9 0.93 5.8 0.4 14,426 19,941 1.1 -0.3 2.8 7.2 18.2 15.9 10.1 13.7 2.5 4.7 -2.3 154.9 0.83 6.1 0.4 15,220 21,019 6.1 3.6 3.6 7.3 21.0 17.8 4.3 5.5 0.7 2.8 -3.1 153.0 0.82 6.5 0.4 16,087 22,193 5.4 2.6 0.8 6.9 21.9 17.1 26.0 27.4 14.8 16.1 -4.7 182.3 1.08 7.6 0.4 18,682 23,484 7.1 4.1 3.3 6.5 21.6 20.3 21.4 16.8 3.7 0.5 -1.2 185.6 1.21 8.8 0.4 21,289 25,303 7.0 3.9 4.9 6.0 20.0 18.2 14.3 15.0 2.1 1.3 -1.8 185.4 1.28 8.3 0.4 20,089 25,599 0.1 -2.6 -0.6 6.9 18.2 16.0 -15.5 -14.9 -8.4 -8.2 -2.2 165.8 1.12 8.4 0.4 20,147 26,672 5.8 2.9 3.2 6.9 16.9 18.3 17.8 13.1 18.1 12.7 1.4 189.9 1.15 9.1 0.4 21,952 27,504 3.8 1.7 2.1 6.5 12.9 17.9 13.9 9.8 0.8 -2.0 5.0 195.1 1.16 8.7 0.4 20,812 — 3.0 0.8 2.8 6.4 12.4 18.2 -3.1 -3.7 5.2 4.4 5.8 198.0 — 9.2 0.4 22,071 — 3.6 1.4 2.3 6.4 12.8 18.7 5.0 4.6 4.0 3.1 8.4 195.0 — 9.2 0.4 21,979 — 4.1 2.0 2.1 6.3 13.3 19.3 1.6 1.6 5.6 4.3 6.1 198.3 — 36.6 45.6 -9.0 -5.7 3.84 66.0 180.2 8.9 39.0 43.6 -4.6 -1.0 4.43 69.8 178.9 9.1 40.7 43.6 -2.9 0.7 3.96 68.0 167.0 8.8 40.4 43.2 -2.7 0.7 4.28 62.5 154.5 8.5 39.5 41.8 -2.3 1.0 4.98 60.7 153.8 8.2 38.6 43.2 -4.6 -1.5 5.06 60.9 157.7 8.1 38.7 42.4 -3.7 -0.6 5.71 66.4 171.6 7.9 38.4 42.0 -3.6 -0.6 5.69 67.4 175.4 7.7 39.3 42.1 -2.8 0.3 5.96 70.3 178.8 7.8 40.5 43.9 -3.3 -0.2 6.43 72.1 177.9 7.8 40.0 43.4 -3.4 -0.3 6.70 73.6 184.0 7.8 40.2 43.4 -3.2 0.0 6.81 74.4 185.1 8.0 0.79 3.8 101.7 -0.16 -3.0 8.0 38.7 2.62 0.73 3.9 102.7 -0.33 -5.8 6.7 39.0 2.62 0.85 -0.1 100.0 -0.52 -8.5 11.4 36.0 2.47 0.76 0.5 100.6 -0.62 -9.5 27.7 27.4 2.86 0.68 1.4 99.1 -0.47 -6.2 13.0 19.1 3.66 0.72 3.0 99.0 -0.43 -4.9 6.1 6.6 0.29 0.69 2.0 102.6 -0.61 -7.4 8.2 13.4 0.33 0.75 -5.1 99.6 -0.40 -4.7 10.7 9.2 0.34 0.77 -0.1 99.0 -0.01 -0.2 4.3 7.5 0.29 0.76 -4.0 100.4 0.03 0.4 2.8 — 0.41 0.77 — — 0.06 0.7 5.7 — 0.33 0.80 — — 0.05 0.5 6.6 — 0.32 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 352 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net Int'l Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) [4] Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted on January 1, 2008 Series break in 2008 due to euro adoption Mauritius Lead Analyst: Lucie Villa Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa1 Baa1 D+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A2 A1 Baa1 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 5.8 1.2 4,757 9,081 11.9 6.3 3.9 23.7 25.6 9.2 11.7 110.1 0.75 6.6 1.2 5,334 9,788 11.5 4.3 5.6 24.4 22.6 7.7 15.3 108.5 0.65 6.5 1.2 5,219 10,158 5.8 2.7 3.9 22.7 17.5 9.2 14.9 123.2 0.62 6.7 1.3 5,374 10,817 11.5 5.6 11.9 26.7 16.2 6.2 14.6 131.4 0.67 7.8 1.3 6,182 11,712 14.3 5.7 8.7 26.9 17.6 10.8 9.6 125.0 0.71 9.6 1.3 7,600 12,551 12.4 5.5 6.7 27.3 14.1 13.2 21.8 119.0 0.76 8.8 1.3 6,929 13,035 2.9 3.1 1.5 21.3 11.9 -15.2 -19.2 107.3 0.68 9.7 1.3 7,577 13,607 5.8 4.2 6.1 23.6 12.3 17.9 20.3 116.4 0.76 11.2 1.3 8,743 14,420 8.0 3.5 4.8 26.0 13.1 17.9 20.5 119.8 0.76 11.4 1.3 8,828 — 6.5 3.3 3.2 24.3 12.5 4.3 2.2 121.5 — 12.3 1.3 9,436 — 9.7 3.7 6.0 23.3 12.2 4.6 4.0 117.9 — 13.0 1.3 9,953 — 9.5 4.4 5.1 24.4 13.7 6.6 5.8 118.1 — 19.8 26.0 -6.2 -2.0 3.57 57.3 289.7 21.4 9.0 19.4 23.8 -4.4 -0.6 3.45 53.8 277.1 19.1 8.9 19.4 24.3 -4.9 -1.3 3.58 57.3 295.4 18.6 8.0 19.0 23.5 -4.5 -0.8 3.42 55.0 289.7 19.6 7.6 20.3 22.4 -2.1 2.1 4.08 47.1 232.4 20.8 11.6 22.1 24.4 -2.2 1.8 3.79 43.9 198.3 18.2 10.6 21.4 28.0 -6.6 -2.8 4.71 50.5 236.4 17.8 11.9 21.9 25.1 -3.2 0.2 4.88 49.6 226.4 15.7 13.3 21.4 24.7 -3.2 -0.2 5.60 50.9 237.2 13.9 16.4 21.5 23.3 -1.8 1.2 5.63 50.0 233.1 14.0 18.1 22.1 24.3 -2.3 0.7 5.86 48.2 218.1 13.3 19.4 21.2 22.8 -1.7 1.4 6.02 45.9 216.8 14.4 21.2 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 353 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Mauritius (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 26.09 — 0.09 1.6 1.02 92.2 3.6 16.5 30.3 0.04 0.18 1.2 15.1 1.52 1.97 28.20 — -0.11 -1.7 0.95 91.3 3.7 14.8 25.8 0.03 0.21 -0.3 14.0 1.54 2.53 30.67 — -0.32 -5.0 0.90 92.8 14.7 14.4 22.2 0.04 0.30 -0.1 14.0 1.29 3.42 34.34 — -0.60 -9.0 0.76 93.9 13.9 12.2 16.6 0.04 0.26 1.4 20.1 1.23 5.67 28.22 — -0.43 -5.6 0.90 93.1 18.7 10.4 16.4 0.03 0.15 3.6 28.7 1.74 7.62 31.76 — -0.98 -10.1 0.71 93.8 4.0 8.2 11.5 0.03 0.14 3.4 22.5 1.69 7.22 30.29 — -0.66 -7.4 1.34 76.3 17.8 14.4 26.6 0.02 0.10 2.5 26.6 2.00 8.83 30.39 — -0.80 -8.2 1.32 88.4 7.5 13.4 22.6 0.02 0.20 3.1 20.7 2.25 10.47 29.33 — -1.16 -10.3 1.55 92.9 6.6 14.1 22.5 0.02 0.19 1.6 — 2.38 9.91 30.52 — -1.10 -9.6 1.63 93.4 6.3 14.4 22.8 0.03 0.20 2.4 — 2.63 10.15 31.00 — -1.10 -8.9 1.87 88.4 10.1 15.4 25.0 0.04 0.19 2.8 — 2.73 — 31.50 — -0.91 -7.0 2.07 85.8 12.2 15.8 25.7 0.04 0.24 2.8 — 2.83 — 18.9 8.15 16.7 99.2 4.1 61.3 6.7 17.2 25.2 91.1 14.2 8.4 6.6 7.25 10.7 103.8 4.8 69.9 8.2 23.0 18.2 58.6 19.5 11.2 9.5 9.55 9.7 102.1 4.9 61.6 6.5 31.6 22.0 46.4 21.1 9.2 15.3 11.77 11.1 99.3 4.9 51.9 3.3 20.5 30.8 51.5 22.1 7.2 14.6 10.11 22.3 107.9 5.1 41.9 2.8 18.8 36.1 87.3 22.7 11.0 8.1 8.45 0.4 105.2 4.9 67.0 2.5 8.4 26.6 91.8 21.3 9.0 1.8 8.35 4.4 103.9 4.4 58.3 3.7 22.3 55.2 100.6 16.9 6.0 6.6 7.11 10.6 106.4 4.6 65.0 3.1 13.7 33.9 97.4 15.7 5.1 8.0 6.23 14.4 114.2 4.3 61.8 3.2 14.1 42.2 119.1 16.7 6.3 — — — — — 68.6 3.0 12.1 — — — — — — — — — 73.1 3.4 16.7 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [4] External Debt/GDP [4] External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 354 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [7] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves [4] Debt Service Ratio [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 25.1 9.53 45.4 94.8 3.8 67.5 6.3 16.8 38.0 82.5 11.2 6.2 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Excludes re-exports Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2009 Current Account Receipts Series break in 2009; Excludes re-exports 3-Month deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Series break in 2009; Series break in 2005; Excluded total nonresident deposits over one year in 2003 and 2004 Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Mexico Lead Analyst: Mauro Leos Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa1 Baa1 CFloating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A1 A1 Baa1 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 700.3 103.9 6,740 10,670 8.4 1.3 4.0 22.9 21.4 2.6 1.5 52.2 0.23 759.5 105.2 7,221 11,296 13.5 4.1 5.2 24.9 23.1 13.8 14.8 55.0 0.17 848.8 106.5 7,971 12,191 7.9 3.2 3.3 24.4 22.9 13.9 12.4 55.6 0.08 952.2 107.8 8,830 13,402 12.2 5.2 4.0 26.2 24.9 15.8 14.8 57.2 0.16 1,035.8 109.2 9,483 14,064 9.1 3.3 3.8 26.5 24.9 8.7 9.9 57.5 0.16 1,094.5 110.6 9,893 14,741 7.6 1.2 6.5 26.9 24.7 6.1 8.5 58.4 0.17 883.6 112.0 7,887 14,322 -2.0 -6.0 3.6 23.8 22.3 -20.5 -22.5 56.7 0.19 1,034.1 113.4 9,118 15,161 9.5 5.3 4.4 23.9 22.7 28.5 26.9 61.9 0.17 1,159.1 114.8 10,097 16,588 10.1 3.9 3.8 25.1 23.8 16.6 16.6 64.4 0.32 1,177.2 116.2 10,132 — 7.7 3.9 3.6 24.7 23.6 5.8 5.1 66.9 — 1,336.0 117.6 11,362 — 6.9 3.1 3.8 25.5 23.4 6.5 7.0 62.9 — 1,521.3 119.0 12,784 — 7.4 3.5 3.9 26.0 23.4 7.0 7.2 59.2 — 16.9 17.9 -1.0 1.1 148.42 22.1 130.8 12.5 39.3 16.6 17.5 -0.9 1.1 157.66 20.7 124.9 12.3 38.1 17.1 17.8 -0.7 1.2 173.63 20.2 118.1 10.9 33.6 16.7 18.2 -1.5 0.4 195.67 20.5 122.6 11.1 21.4 16.7 18.3 -1.6 0.1 216.76 20.8 124.5 10.0 19.5 18.4 19.8 -1.3 0.3 219.11 24.4 132.1 8.9 19.0 18.4 20.4 -1.9 0.0 255.68 28.0 151.7 10.5 19.1 17.6 20.1 -2.4 -0.8 290.92 27.5 155.8 9.4 19.7 17.9 20.2 -2.3 -0.6 289.92 28.2 157.5 9.3 21.2 17.6 20.0 -2.4 -0.7 342.27 28.7 163.4 9.4 19.7 17.7 19.7 -2.0 -0.3 405.38 28.9 163.0 9.4 19.0 17.7 19.8 -2.1 -0.4 444.21 28.9 163.3 9.4 18.5 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 355 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Mexico (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 11.24 -8.8 -7.83 -1.1 162.67 48.6 13.3 23.2 82.6 11.95 15.60 2.5 -28.0 57.74 -19.16 11.26 -1.9 -5.77 -0.8 166.24 47.7 11.4 21.9 73.4 11.60 15.40 2.7 -31.2 62.78 -15.24 10.78 4.9 -5.56 -0.7 173.12 41.4 11.5 20.4 66.9 12.69 12.30 2.1 -34.5 73.02 -7.61 10.88 2.9 -6.16 -0.6 171.42 31.9 13.7 18.0 57.6 14.73 29.30 1.5 -36.9 75.45 -3.34 10.87 0.0 -12.97 -1.3 196.80 28.1 13.8 19.0 60.8 16.92 10.00 2.2 -35.9 86.31 0.86 13.54 -0.1 -18.73 -1.7 205.35 27.7 13.9 18.8 59.8 16.76 12.40 2.4 -29.7 93.99 4.20 13.06 -13.6 -5.77 -0.7 194.98 49.4 15.6 22.1 71.3 12.89 11.00 0.9 -36.8 94.10 -1.02 12.36 8.1 -1.95 -0.2 247.93 44.5 18.4 24.0 71.6 14.16 12.10 0.6 -38.2 114.88 -8.88 13.99 2.1 -9.67 -0.8 282.19 41.3 18.0 24.3 70.7 17.69 13.31 0.8 -28.4 137.49 -7.20 13.01 -2.3 -9.25 -0.8 348.50 36.1 21.0 29.6 82.7 20.21 14.64 -1.1 — 153.47 -2.50 11.80 — -12.00 -0.9 398.50 35.0 20.8 29.8 88.8 18.95 16.11 1.0 — 170.00 — 11.60 — -13.76 -0.9 448.50 36.0 21.1 29.5 93.4 19.58 17.72 0.9 — 185.00 — 9.9 8.75 2.3 33.2 5.4 264.8 11.9 65.8 35.6 112.4 6.6 13.8 14.9 8.27 3.9 32.0 5.5 237.1 9.7 53.5 35.9 100.3 7.2 14.2 13.9 7.02 15.3 32.9 6.1 227.2 14.8 71.5 39.3 114.5 6.6 14.0 8.3 7.57 11.1 33.5 5.7 228.0 8.3 48.8 32.6 122.1 5.8 12.1 16.4 8.25 2.4 31.9 4.9 218.5 8.5 50.0 34.1 112.5 6.2 10.3 6.4 4.50 10.2 35.9 5.4 207.2 8.7 46.4 35.1 117.9 6.2 12.4 8.0 4.50 8.0 35.4 5.1 215.8 7.6 54.4 38.8 119.7 5.7 10.0 11.9 4.50 8.8 34.9 4.2 205.3 7.8 59.1 44.1 113.8 5.5 8.3 8.3 4.50 4.7 34.0 4.4 227.1 8.3 54.4 56.8 142.1 5.8 9.6 — — — — — 234.4 7.8 58.3 — — — — — — — — — 242.4 7.8 59.2 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 356 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] [9] Liquidity Ratio [10] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [11] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [12] 13.1 6.12 3.8 36.9 5.3 281.7 14.0 78.7 43.6 105.3 5.6 12.0 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Federal government and social security Current Account Receipts Public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts Principal payment is public sector only (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Currently maturing long-term external debt is public sector only Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Moldova Lead Analyst: Kilbinder Dosanjh Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B3 B3 No Banks Rated Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency B2 Ba2 Caa1 Ba2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2.0 3.6 548 1,916 22.4 6.6 15.7 23.2 -10.3 20.4 33.1 140.1 -0.71 2.6 3.6 721 2,121 16.0 7.4 12.5 26.4 -4.0 25.7 22.0 132.7 -0.89 3.0 3.6 831 2,362 17.5 7.5 10.0 30.8 -9.9 13.4 29.2 143.0 -0.73 3.4 3.6 951 2,562 18.9 4.8 14.1 32.7 -13.9 1.6 15.3 137.2 -0.79 4.4 3.6 1,230 2,723 19.4 3.0 13.1 38.1 -13.5 31.0 38.0 142.7 -0.80 6.1 3.6 1,696 3,005 17.8 7.8 7.3 39.2 -13.6 24.4 32.0 134.4 -0.75 5.4 3.6 1,526 2,866 -4.0 -6.0 0.4 23.1 -13.5 -19.7 -30.1 110.4 -0.55 5.8 3.6 1,632 3,094 19.0 7.1 8.1 23.5 -15.8 14.5 14.7 117.8 -0.63 7.0 3.6 1,971 3,369 14.6 6.8 7.8 24.2 -16.7 37.9 31.9 130.8 -0.58 7.3 3.6 2,037 — 6.7 -0.8 4.1 23.4 -17.2 0.2 1.3 128.1 — 7.5 3.6 2,112 — 8.7 3.0 4.3 22.7 -15.7 4.3 2.3 127.0 — 8.0 3.6 2,243 — 9.7 3.2 5.6 22.1 -14.1 4.8 5.8 126.0 — 34.0 33.3 0.7 2.8 1.19 56.9 167.6 6.2 87.7 35.4 34.6 0.7 2.6 1.09 42.5 120.3 5.4 83.7 38.6 37.0 1.5 2.8 1.01 34.4 89.2 3.2 81.2 39.9 39.8 0.0 1.1 1.05 30.4 76.1 2.5 80.4 41.7 42.0 -0.2 0.9 1.19 25.2 60.3 2.8 79.1 40.6 41.6 -1.0 0.2 1.14 18.8 46.4 2.9 83.9 38.9 45.2 -6.3 -5.0 1.31 26.7 68.7 3.6 84.9 38.3 40.8 -2.5 -1.7 1.57 26.5 69.2 2.0 83.4 36.6 39.0 -2.4 -1.6 1.63 23.1 63.2 2.2 90.8 38.2 40.3 -2.1 -1.3 1.74 23.8 62.5 2.2 91.4 37.9 39.9 -2.0 -1.2 1.74 22.8 60.2 2.0 88.1 38.0 39.7 -1.7 -1.0 1.71 21.1 55.4 1.8 87.4 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 357 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) [1] Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [4] Moldova (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 13.22 -5.5 -0.13 -6.6 1.93 49.3 30.8 97.4 111.5 0.05 0.10 3.7 -84.6 0.30 0.05 12.46 14.5 -0.05 -1.8 1.88 43.9 31.1 72.4 84.7 0.07 0.20 3.3 -60.5 0.47 0.03 12.83 2.4 -0.23 -7.6 2.08 36.2 37.1 69.5 78.7 0.07 0.17 6.4 -56.9 0.60 0.07 12.90 2.8 -0.39 -11.3 2.49 34.5 34.2 73.0 83.1 0.08 0.25 7.6 -60.0 0.78 0.10 11.32 8.5 -0.67 -15.2 3.32 27.9 33.7 75.4 83.8 0.10 0.24 11.9 -61.1 1.33 -0.14 10.40 19.1 -0.97 -16.1 4.08 23.2 32.7 67.4 80.2 0.10 0.46 11.5 -61.3 1.67 -0.30 12.30 1.9 -0.45 -8.2 4.36 25.5 31.3 80.1 113.3 0.08 0.37 2.5 -74.8 1.48 -0.01 12.15 -6.0 -0.45 -7.7 4.79 27.6 32.3 82.4 109.6 0.08 0.31 3.3 -77.9 1.72 -0.02 11.72 5.9 -0.79 -11.3 5.44 27.0 34.2 77.6 96.8 0.09 0.37 3.7 -72.2 1.96 -0.23 12.06 3.9 -0.51 -7.0 6.13 27.9 34.0 84.5 104.7 0.08 0.34 1.9 -75.6 2.51 -0.13 12.50 — -0.59 -7.8 6.44 25.4 34.1 85.7 103.9 0.08 0.36 2.1 — 2.54 — 12.90 — -0.62 -7.8 6.87 25.3 33.5 86.0 105.6 0.08 0.37 2.3 — 2.60 — 38.1 14.50 25.8 32.0 2.0 400.2 12.2 270.4 2.3 23.5 44.7 50.5 34.4 12.50 15.8 31.5 2.1 347.8 9.0 166.2 3.0 17.7 41.8 48.8 23.6 14.50 30.1 34.5 2.0 321.0 10.8 176.6 33.5 51.0 49.1 53.5 39.8 16.00 39.0 40.2 1.8 248.8 8.6 147.1 13.6 56.6 43.3 51.2 15.9 14.00 16.6 39.8 1.8 244.0 11.1 126.6 22.2 73.6 41.1 49.6 3.2 5.00 0.0 41.4 1.8 295.2 11.7 112.6 17.1 50.9 49.3 49.8 13.4 7.00 6.9 37.2 1.8 278.7 9.0 128.9 35.6 68.7 45.6 48.1 10.6 9.50 21.5 39.4 1.8 277.1 8.3 122.2 31.1 46.2 42.2 47.9 20.8 4.50 14.2 42.2 1.6 244.4 7.1 118.4 15.2 32.7 41.6 40.5 — — — — — 253.7 7.0 103.6 — — — — — — — — — 264.4 6.9 107.3 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt [5] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 358 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 30.4 14.00 24.3 29.5 2.1 638.1 8.5 231.7 9.5 28.6 50.1 52.7 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Balance of Payments Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Public sector debt, comprised mainly of central government direct debt and central bank borrowing from the IMF General government and monetary authorities only Current Account Receipts (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Mongolia Lead Analyst: Anushka Shah Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime B1 B1 E+ Floating Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Ba2 Baa1 B2 Baa2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.6 2.5 649 2,327 18.2 7.0 4.7 31.9 16.5 17.9 14.5 119.1 -0.29 2.0 2.5 798 2,616 28.7 10.6 10.6 31.0 21.3 45.0 29.6 130.4 -0.46 2.5 2.5 991 2,862 27.9 7.3 9.2 37.5 32.7 22.5 14.2 122.4 -0.36 3.4 2.6 1,332 3,161 33.5 12.5 4.8 35.6 41.5 36.8 13.8 112.0 -0.40 4.3 2.6 1,642 3,531 24.2 7.0 14.1 38.0 39.4 24.4 35.1 115.9 -0.51 5.7 2.7 2,135 3,867 31.7 8.6 23.2 43.0 30.0 20.3 53.1 119.7 -0.51 4.6 2.7 1,685 3,805 -1.1 -1.3 1.9 34.5 27.2 -24.1 -30.2 108.2 -0.69 6.2 2.8 2,262 4,010 28.8 6.5 14.3 40.6 33.0 47.2 46.6 116.4 -0.61 8.8 2.8 3,152 4,742 32.0 17.4 9.4 62.1 37.7 77.2 111.0 160.6 -0.62 10.8 2.8 3,839 — 30.9 12.2 14.2 60.6 29.6 -11.8 -2.4 123.2 — 13.0 2.8 4,619 — 24.0 13.0 10.0 58.6 35.2 -1.0 -3.4 99.6 — 16.1 2.8 5,699 — 21.8 12.5 8.5 56.8 39.1 22.5 11.8 93.6 — 30.0 33.3 -3.3 -2.4 1.32 83.7 279.3 3.2 85.9 30.0 31.6 -1.7 -0.7 1.43 72.6 242.1 3.1 91.5 27.5 25.1 2.4 3.1 1.35 54.3 197.1 2.5 93.7 33.5 30.5 3.0 3.5 1.47 42.1 125.7 1.3 96.3 37.3 34.7 2.6 3.0 1.55 35.9 96.3 1.0 98.7 32.7 37.2 -4.5 -4.2 1.60 30.6 93.6 0.9 100.0 30.4 35.6 -5.2 -4.8 1.97 43.3 142.8 1.5 92.1 36.9 36.4 0.5 1.0 2.59 38.5 104.3 1.4 69.0 40.0 34.3 5.7 6.1 4.05 50.6 126.5 0.8 48.2 33.9 41.9 -8.0 -7.0 6.22 59.2 174.9 3.1 62.7 33.7 39.8 -6.1 -3.9 7.60 58.7 174.2 6.5 59.2 35.0 39.0 -4.0 -2.2 9.36 57.3 163.6 5.2 58.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 359 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) [1] Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [4] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [4] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [4] Mongolia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) [4] Public External Debt/Total External Debt [4] Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [4] External Debt/GDP [4] External Debt/CA Receipts [4] [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) 1,168.00 1,209.00 1,221.00 1,165.00 1,169.97 1,267.51 1,442.84 1,256.47 1,396.37 1,392.10 1,400.00 1,350.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.10 0.06 0.09 0.37 0.17 -0.69 -0.34 -0.89 -2.76 -3.33 -3.04 -2.85 -6.1 3.1 3.5 10.8 4.0 -12.1 -7.5 -14.2 -31.3 -30.9 -23.4 -17.7 1.42 1.47 1.29 1.41 1.82 2.18 2.99 5.93 9.63 14.41 15.90 18.50 80.0 88.7 98.1 96.6 84.2 73.4 69.1 34.8 23.0 27.1 28.3 29.7 25.1 12.8 2.0 3.4 4.3 3.4 9.9 12.8 17.7 12.9 11.2 10.0 88.3 73.4 51.2 40.9 42.2 38.3 65.4 95.1 109.1 133.8 122.4 115.2 140.0 101.2 77.4 63.3 62.9 63.8 115.6 158.8 162.2 253.1 281.6 273.3 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.27 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.18 0.26 0.30 0.41 0.52 1.01 1.21 8.2 4.6 7.3 10.0 8.4 14.7 12.5 26.1 52.4 35.8 20.0 18.7 — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.20 0.19 0.33 0.58 0.80 0.56 1.22 2.12 2.21 3.86 3.37 3.86 0.09 0.10 0.18 0.34 0.22 -0.10 0.00 0.17 0.02 -0.39 — — MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 360 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) [7] Domestic Credit/GDP [7] M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [6] [8] External Vulnerability Indicator [9] [10] Liquidity Ratio [11] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [12] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [13] 49.6 10.24 77.0 15.3 3.1 723.3 27.5 141.8 54.9 80.4 43.8 64.7 20.4 15.36 75.5 24.5 3.6 761.6 2.3 151.6 35.0 65.0 46.2 78.3 34.6 6.13 26.7 24.8 2.8 388.0 2.2 94.9 13.5 29.2 45.0 64.8 34.8 6.12 -0.7 21.4 2.3 241.7 1.9 15.1 14.0 23.2 37.9 44.6 56.3 8.40 73.7 20.8 2.6 226.7 1.7 13.1 11.7 19.6 32.9 49.8 -5.5 9.75 48.9 27.5 3.2 389.1 6.4 32.3 118.1 160.6 37.3 71.4 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Series break in 2005 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Series break in 2007 Current Account Receipts 2003 reflects settlement of debt owed to Russia Series break in 2005 due to reclassification of loans to nonresidents (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves 2003 reflects settlement of debt owed to Russia; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) 26.9 10.00 -5.6 30.5 1.6 245.2 11.2 58.6 88.1 185.7 38.3 45.7 62.5 11.00 28.7 27.3 1.8 279.1 8.8 45.4 54.2 126.0 35.4 45.7 37.0 12.25 76.9 31.3 2.1 436.6 7.6 36.7 132.5 357.8 29.8 46.4 18.8 13.25 -3.9 35.9 1.4 373.0 10.5 50.2 194.8 388.5 32.7 37.0 — — — — — 471.1 19.5 48.9 — — — — — — — — — 478.7 18.9 62.5 — — — — Montenegro Lead Analyst: Atsi Sheth Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Ba3 Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime E+ No separate legal tender Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa1 — B1 — 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 1.7 0.6 2,716 7,121 11.0 2.5 6.7 15.4 -1.0 15.3 4.5 77.6 — 2.1 0.6 3,307 7,650 10.6 4.4 4.3 16.6 0.6 67.0 50.4 100.1 — 2.3 0.6 3,601 8,238 8.7 4.2 1.8 17.7 0.2 12.8 14.5 104.6 — 2.7 0.6 4,299 10,309 18.4 8.6 2.0 25.4 -4.3 35.4 54.7 128.5 -0.35 3.7 0.6 5,842 12,243 24.7 10.7 8.0 33.8 -8.5 22.4 49.2 131.1 -0.16 4.5 0.6 7,183 13,650 15.1 6.9 6.9 40.7 -13.8 9.6 33.6 133.5 -0.01 4.1 0.6 6,569 12,807 -3.4 -5.7 1.5 27.1 -6.2 -25.5 -36.2 97.5 -0.03 4.1 0.6 6,510 12,977 4.1 2.5 0.7 22.8 -5.6 7.3 -4.2 97.8 — 4.5 0.6 7,110 13,432 4.2 2.5 2.8 19.5 -6.5 26.6 14.7 106.4 — 4.3 0.6 6,748 — 2.8 0.5 5.1 18.5 -4.9 -1.2 -6.5 107.0 — 4.6 0.6 7,226 — 4.3 1.5 2.8 20.3 -2.6 7.2 4.0 109.0 — 4.6 0.6 7,245 — 4.6 2.1 2.6 19.7 -1.8 5.7 -3.1 106.7 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 42.4 41.3 1.1 2.2 0.92 32.6 76.9 2.6 — 50.0 43.3 6.7 7.7 1.08 27.5 55.0 2.1 — 49.1 47.5 1.6 2.4 1.25 29.0 59.1 1.5 — 45.8 49.4 -3.6 -2.7 1.64 38.2 83.4 1.9 — 42.2 45.2 -3.0 -1.9 1.70 40.9 97.0 2.4 — 39.7 45.2 -5.4 -4.0 1.92 46.0 115.7 3.7 — 39.0 43.0 -4.0 -2.2 2.24 51.1 131.0 4.5 — 38.2 41.7 -3.5 -1.8 2.37 52.5 137.6 4.5 — 37.2 40.2 -3.0 -1.4 2.42 53.2 143.0 4.4 — ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 361 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) [1] Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [2] Government Effectiveness [3] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt Montenegro (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 0.79 — -0.12 -6.8 — — — — — — — 2.6 — 0.06 0.01 0.73 — -0.15 -7.2 — — — — — — — 3.0 — 0.08 -0.02 0.85 — -0.38 -16.7 — — — — — — — 22.0 — 0.20 0.04 0.76 — -0.85 -31.4 0.88 43.5 0.0 32.6 66.1 0.04 0.02 21.9 — 0.43 -0.03 0.68 — -1.45 -39.6 1.30 24.2 31.2 35.4 69.6 0.08 0.12 21.2 — 0.68 -0.46 0.72 — -2.26 -50.0 1.50 26.6 40.1 33.2 67.9 0.12 0.02 18.9 — 0.42 -1.01 0.69 — -1.16 -27.9 2.36 20.6 51.2 56.9 129.3 0.12 0.04 35.9 — 0.52 -0.71 0.75 — -0.94 -22.9 1.59 42.8 11.7 38.8 81.8 0.14 0.06 17.8 — 0.51 -0.53 0.77 — -0.80 -17.8 2.09 39.3 21.7 46.6 86.9 0.14 0.08 12.0 — 0.34 -0.35 0.76 — -0.75 -17.7 2.26 43.4 22.6 52.9 99.0 0.11 0.12 13.6 — 0.41 -0.16 0.77 — -0.86 -18.7 2.32 48.2 22.8 50.8 97.0 0.14 0.12 13.0 — 0.41 — 0.80 — -0.73 -15.8 2.45 50.2 21.6 53.3 100.0 0.15 0.11 13.8 — 0.63 — 22.5 4.82 41.7 17.0 3.7 — — — — — 100.0 — 83.4 4.99 12.1 17.5 2.4 — — — — — 100.0 — 119.2 5.40 142.0 35.9 2.7 203.3 4.3 — 61.8 321.8 100.0 — 98.8 3.35 171.9 78.2 3.9 191.6 11.2 13.2 54.7 126.1 100.0 — -10.1 4.10 29.5 88.0 5.2 353.4 6.6 61.5 344.0 688.9 100.0 — -9.0 3.86 -16.4 76.2 4.0 452.1 8.8 145.8 547.5 664.9 100.0 — 3.2 3.26 -7.2 67.9 4.0 315.3 10.2 238.1 170.6 621.6 100.0 — 1.9 3.25 -5.2 61.8 5.8 611.4 9.0 45.9 314.1 825.8 100.0 — 7.9 3.23 -3.7 57.9 5.3 553.8 7.5 152.2 169.2 420.0 100.0 — — — — — — 567.8 8.3 141.9 — — — — — — — — — 388.8 8.6 147.0 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [4] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] [6] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [7] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [7] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 362 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) [8] Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] [9] External Vulnerability Indicator [10] [11] Liquidity Ratio [12] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [13] [14] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [15] 18.7 4.86 98.9 13.3 3.6 — — — — — 100.0 — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] Total Retail Price Index (RPI) for 2003 to 2007; Total Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2008 to 2012 Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Euro adopted in 2002 Current Account Receipts General government and banks only General government only Deposit rate (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Currently maturing long-term external debt is general government only; Excludes total nonresident deposits over one year Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Euroized economy Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Morocco Lead Analyst: Kathrin Muehlbronner Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Ba1 Ba1 DConventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Baa2 Baa1 Ba2 Baa1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 49.8 29.8 1,674 3,129 7.1 6.3 1.8 27.4 24.5 17.2 20.3 60.2 -0.10 56.9 30.1 1,893 3,334 5.9 4.8 0.5 29.1 24.2 17.1 24.6 63.7 -0.08 59.5 30.4 1,959 3,508 4.5 3.0 2.1 28.8 23.2 15.0 15.5 70.2 -0.26 65.6 30.7 2,138 3,861 9.4 7.8 3.3 29.4 24.0 16.7 15.4 73.9 -0.15 75.2 31.0 2,426 4,038 6.7 2.7 2.0 32.5 23.4 19.8 29.6 80.6 -0.16 88.9 31.3 2,838 4,313 11.8 5.6 4.2 38.1 24.7 23.9 34.0 88.3 -0.17 90.9 31.6 2,874 4,531 6.3 4.8 -1.5 35.6 24.7 -21.7 -20.2 68.4 -0.21 90.8 32.0 2,841 4,682 4.3 3.6 2.2 35.0 25.2 15.6 8.3 76.3 -0.17 99.2 32.3 3,074 4,952 5.0 5.0 0.9 36.0 23.3 17.0 23.6 84.3 -0.22 96.8 32.6 2,968 — 4.0 2.4 2.6 37.5 22.3 -1.2 2.5 87.2 — 103.9 32.9 3,153 — 5.9 3.5 2.5 35.8 23.1 7.2 2.2 84.7 — 107.8 33.3 3,241 — 6.4 3.8 2.5 34.7 24.3 4.0 -1.0 82.5 — 23.0 27.3 -4.2 -0.7 35.10 64.4 279.7 15.5 27.2 24.0 27.7 -3.8 -0.3 37.90 61.7 257.2 14.3 23.9 26.3 32.5 -6.2 -2.9 36.83 64.6 245.7 12.4 21.1 27.4 29.4 -2.0 1.2 40.54 59.4 217.0 11.7 19.7 29.9 30.1 -0.1 3.0 43.64 54.6 182.6 10.4 20.0 32.5 31.8 0.7 3.3 41.02 48.2 148.3 8.1 21.0 29.3 31.1 -1.8 0.6 44.69 48.0 163.8 8.1 22.8 27.5 31.9 -4.4 -2.1 46.90 51.3 186.3 8.3 24.0 27.8 34.6 -6.8 -4.5 50.89 54.4 195.7 8.2 22.9 27.9 35.5 -7.6 -5.2 59.37 60.0 215.1 8.6 23.4 28.2 34.3 -6.1 -3.5 64.89 62.7 222.4 9.0 24.9 28.2 33.5 -5.3 -2.6 68.68 64.3 228.1 9.5 24.7 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 363 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Morocco (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 8.75 -1.0 1.55 3.1 18.33 78.9 6.8 36.8 97.3 1.24 2.53 4.6 -35.5 13.63 0.24 8.22 -1.3 0.92 1.6 17.02 82.9 1.1 29.9 77.0 0.51 2.09 1.3 -32.4 16.11 1.00 9.25 -2.6 0.95 1.6 16.30 76.3 4.2 27.4 65.4 0.50 1.88 2.6 -29.1 16.01 1.73 8.46 0.5 1.32 2.0 17.94 75.2 9.7 27.3 62.1 0.47 1.56 2.9 -33.9 20.18 2.10 7.71 -0.8 -0.22 -0.3 20.68 75.7 9.3 27.5 57.3 0.56 1.86 2.9 -38.2 23.98 2.58 8.10 0.4 -5.66 -6.4 20.96 78.9 7.8 23.6 49.1 0.66 1.80 2.4 -36.8 21.98 1.90 7.86 2.1 -5.36 -5.9 24.63 78.0 8.8 27.1 71.2 0.61 1.14 1.6 -44.8 21.92 2.08 8.36 -4.1 -4.21 -4.6 26.30 80.0 6.8 29.0 68.8 0.82 1.27 0.7 -51.5 21.76 0.58 8.58 -2.3 -8.34 -8.4 29.05 76.8 10.4 29.3 65.5 0.72 1.48 2.3 -50.2 18.80 0.20 8.43 -2.1 -9.56 -9.9 32.76 79.3 9.8 33.9 75.9 1.16 1.50 2.6 — 15.81 0.32 8.55 — -8.76 -8.4 39.66 79.3 8.7 38.2 87.5 1.34 1.80 2.8 — 15.81 — 8.82 — -6.73 -6.2 42.73 79.3 8.4 39.6 91.3 1.51 2.00 2.9 — 15.81 — 9.3 3.25 5.1 67.7 2.6 105.7 11.8 24.6 17.3 78.4 0.8 1.7 12.4 3.25 12.0 72.5 2.6 101.8 9.6 12.8 16.9 64.8 0.8 1.7 16.1 3.25 17.1 77.6 2.6 88.9 7.0 14.0 15.0 38.7 0.9 2.0 17.5 3.25 24.3 90.4 2.9 86.2 6.7 17.8 16.8 68.4 0.9 2.3 7.4 3.50 21.0 97.8 3.2 95.4 5.7 15.5 19.2 84.1 1.0 2.9 7.7 3.25 8.7 100.0 3.6 112.3 5.1 12.6 27.5 92.4 1.0 3.3 5.0 3.25 9.8 105.2 3.5 120.8 5.5 15.7 27.1 104.6 1.0 3.4 7.2 3.25 11.9 112.1 4.3 154.5 5.0 15.1 56.2 180.2 1.2 4.5 4.9 3.00 6.4 114.6 5.4 207.2 6.2 24.1 58.8 239.7 1.3 6.2 — — — — — 250.8 6.9 31.8 — — — — — — — — — 270.2 7.5 34.4 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [4] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [5] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 364 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [5] [6] External Vulnerability Indicator [5] [7] Liquidity Ratio [8] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [9] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [10] 10.1 3.25 3.2 68.2 2.7 134.5 20.0 42.7 19.2 89.8 0.9 1.9 Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Data follows the Government Finance Statistics (GFS) methodology used by the IMF Current Account Receipts Public sector only (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Namibia Lead Analyst: Kristin Lindow Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Baa3 Baa3 No Banks Rated Conventional Peg Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency A3 A1 Baa3 A1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 4.9 2.0 2,455 4,409 5.3 4.2 2.6 19.4 12.0 38.4 60.1 95.9 0.24 6.6 2.0 3,233 5,002 14.4 12.3 4.3 19.1 18.9 22.9 7.4 81.9 0.10 7.3 2.1 3,491 5,205 8.2 2.5 3.5 19.7 22.8 11.7 5.3 80.8 0.04 8.0 2.1 3,766 5,648 17.0 7.1 6.0 22.3 24.4 23.5 13.3 87.0 0.12 8.8 2.2 4,081 6,010 14.9 5.4 7.1 23.7 21.9 23.2 38.3 102.8 0.12 8.8 2.2 4,013 6,231 17.5 3.4 10.9 25.4 22.1 5.0 5.2 107.8 0.20 8.9 2.2 3,951 6,128 2.9 -1.1 7.0 22.3 13.0 -10.7 3.0 103.4 0.11 11.0 2.3 4,832 6,458 7.6 6.0 3.1 21.1 10.8 25.4 22.1 102.6 0.09 12.5 2.3 5,369 6,801 12.2 4.9 7.2 20.0 13.0 7.3 7.4 97.4 0.06 12.8 2.4 5,413 — 16.1 5.0 6.3 21.2 15.8 -3.3 -4.4 91.2 — 13.2 2.4 5,494 — 10.1 4.0 5.8 21.7 15.2 3.8 4.8 92.1 — 13.9 2.5 5,666 — 9.8 4.0 5.4 22.1 15.2 5.9 5.9 92.9 — 25.3 31.7 -6.4 -4.2 1.60 26.4 104.6 8.9 15.7 26.2 28.7 -2.5 -0.2 2.01 28.8 109.9 8.7 16.1 27.2 27.4 -0.2 2.2 2.04 26.3 96.4 8.9 15.4 31.4 27.3 4.1 6.4 1.87 24.3 77.5 7.2 19.9 31.9 26.8 5.1 6.9 1.47 18.4 57.6 5.7 26.4 31.9 29.9 2.0 3.6 1.42 18.4 57.6 4.7 27.7 31.4 32.5 -1.2 0.4 1.63 15.6 49.6 5.0 25.6 28.0 32.6 -4.6 -3.5 2.04 16.5 59.2 4.1 23.4 32.1 39.2 -7.2 -6.0 3.22 26.5 82.6 3.8 30.3 34.3 37.1 -2.8 -0.7 2.79 23.8 69.3 5.9 31.6 33.3 38.8 -5.5 -3.6 3.49 26.6 79.8 5.7 33.0 31.6 36.3 -4.6 -2.5 4.05 29.2 92.4 6.6 29.9 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 365 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP [3] Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue [3] Gen. Gov. FC & FC-indexed Debt/GG Debt [3] Namibia (cont’d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 6.64 -13.0 0.30 6.1 — — — — — — — 3.2 -1.6 0.33 -0.21 5.63 5.9 0.46 7.0 — — — — — — — 3.8 -7.1 0.34 -0.26 6.32 1.7 0.35 4.8 1.59 36.2 37.9 21.9 46.2 — — 5.5 8.2 0.31 -0.34 6.97 -4.0 1.10 13.8 2.01 30.6 38.5 25.2 45.2 0.01 0.39 5.0 16.6 0.45 0.24 6.81 -3.5 0.75 8.6 2.02 30.2 31.8 22.9 41.7 0.01 0.33 8.3 38.2 0.90 0.11 9.30 -3.9 0.27 3.1 1.89 30.4 17.3 21.4 36.2 0.01 0.39 8.1 27.7 1.29 0.08 7.38 12.2 0.01 0.1 2.16 30.5 16.7 24.3 40.6 0.01 0.39 5.9 61.7 1.85 1.73 6.63 16.2 -0.19 -1.7 3.09 23.1 18.8 28.0 49.9 0.01 0.21 7.1 36.3 1.49 1.74 8.14 1.0 -0.27 -2.2 4.14 28.4 10.0 33.2 61.2 0.02 0.49 6.5 33.2 1.78 1.30 8.50 -3.6 -0.04 -0.3 3.94 32.5 10.6 30.8 57.4 0.05 0.30 2.8 41.7 1.74 0.85 9.00 — -0.13 -1.0 4.13 32.5 11.1 31.2 58.3 0.05 0.49 5.0 — 1.87 — 9.30 — -0.30 -2.2 4.48 31.9 11.3 32.3 61.3 0.05 0.53 5.0 — 1.87 — 16.1 7.50 22.0 49.6 8.1 — — — 31.4 113.2 — — 9.8 7.00 21.3 55.6 8.8 509.4 — — 61.5 152.5 — — 29.6 9.00 10.6 52.6 7.2 447.6 8.9 318.0 47.4 268.9 — — 10.2 10.50 6.0 48.5 4.1 225.3 7.0 245.9 34.5 212.8 — — 17.9 10.00 6.1 43.8 2.4 146.3 7.6 115.0 83.2 182.3 — — 66.0 7.00 8.9 46.3 3.6 116.8 7.5 55.1 30.2 72.8 — — 9.6 6.00 24.0 53.4 5.4 206.6 3.6 30.8 14.7 58.4 — — 13.8 6.00 7.2 51.1 4.2 233.0 7.6 72.0 16.4 58.4 — — 5.3 5.50 14.8 50.5 4.3 226.7 5.0 40.2 17.7 75.1 — — — — — — — 221.2 7.6 52.4 — — — — — — — — — 239.3 7.9 53.1 — — — — EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Current Account Balance (US$ Bil.) Current Account Balance/GDP External Debt (US$ Bil.) Public External Debt/Total External Debt Short-term External Debt/Total External Debt [4] External Debt/GDP External Debt/CA Receipts [5] Interest Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Amortization Paid on External Debt (US$ Bil.) [6] Net Foreign Direct Investment/GDP Net International Investment Position/GDP Official Forex Reserves (US$ Bil.) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks (US$ Bil.) MONETARY, EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY AND LIQUIDITY INDICATORS • 366 • M2 (% change Dec/Dec) Monetary Policy Rate (% per annum, Dec 31) Domestic Credit (% change Dec/Dec) Domestic Credit/GDP M2/Official Forex Reserves (X) Total External Debt/Official Forex Reserves Debt Service Ratio [7] External Vulnerability Indicator [8] Liquidity Ratio [9] Total Liabilities due BIS Banks/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks "Dollarization" Ratio [10] "Dollarization" Vulnerability Indicator [11] 9.6 7.75 16.2 46.5 6.3 — — — 39.9 101.3 — — Notes: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Sum of Exports and Imports of Goods and Services/GDP Composite index with values from about -2.50 to 2.50: higher values suggest greater maturity and responsiveness of government institutions Central government; Fiscal years ending March 31, e.g. 2005 refers to fiscal year 2005/06 Moody's estimate Current Account Receipts Moody's estimate from total external debt service (Interest + Current-Year Repayment of Principal)/Current Account Receipts (Short-Term External Debt + Currently Maturing Long-Term External Debt + Total Nonresident Deposits Over One Year)/Official Foreign Exchange Reserves Liabilities to BIS Banks Falling Due Within One Year/Total Assets Held in BIS Banks Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/Total Deposits in the Domestic Banking System Total Foreign Currency Deposits in the Domestic Banking System/(Official Foreign Exchange Reserves + Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks) Netherlands Lead Analyst: Sarah Carlson Issuer Rating - Foreign Currency Issuer Rating - Local Currency Weighted Average Bank Financial Strength Rating Exchange Rate Regime Aaa Aaa CFree Floating (EMU) Bond Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bond Ceiling - Local Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Foreign Currency Bank Deposit Ceiling - Local Currency Aaa Aaa Aaa Aaa 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 539.4 16.2 33,243 31,713 2.5 0.3 1.7 4.1 19.3 25.6 20.5 20.8 1.5 1.8 6.3 119.7 2.03 610.7 16.3 37,509 33,185 3.0 2.2 1.1 5.1 19.0 26.4 19.3 17.8 7.9 5.7 7.4 125.4 2.12 639.1 16.3 39,159 35,104 4.5 2.0 2.0 5.3 19.0 27.5 9.7 8.3 6.0 5.4 8.5 130.7 1.95 678.3 16.3 41,498 38,026 5.2 3.4 1.0 4.3 20.0 27.7 11.0 13.1 7.3 8.8 7.7 137.9 1.78 783.7 16.4 47,839 40,705 5.8 3.9 1.9 3.6 20.4 28.6 17.7 17.1 6.4 5.6 8.2 140.2 1.73 874.2 16.4 53,159 42,915 4.0 1.8 1.9 3.1 20.5 28.8 14.7 14.9 2.0 2.3 8.3 144.2 1.69 798.7 16.5 48,315 40,986 -3.6 -3.7 1.1 3.7 18.4 25.4 -17.9 -17.2 -7.7 -7.1 7.0 130.1 1.75 781.1 16.6 47,013 41,673 2.7 1.6 1.9 4.5 18.0 26.1 11.6 11.3 11.2 10.2 8.2 148.3 1.73 837.8 16.7 50,187 42,779 2.2 1.0 2.4 4.4 18.1 27.0 13.8 13.4 3.9 3.6 8.9 157.1 1.79 772.2 16.8 45,963 — -0.2 -1.0 2.8 5.3 17.3 26.1 -3.0 -2.3 3.3 3.1 8.8 165.9 — 799.1 16.8 47,442 — 0.8 -0.6 2.0 6.9 16.6 27.8 6.2 3.1 2.0 -1.0 11.4 167.8 — 785.8 16.8 46,648 — 2.5 0.8 2.1 7.2 16.4 29.5 1.3 0.1 3.9 2.6 12.7 171.9 — 43.9 47.1 -3.1 -0.6 313.24 52.0 118.3 5.9 44.3 46.1 -1.7 0.7 350.88 52.4 118.3 5.6 44.5 44.8 -0.3 2.1 313.87 51.8 116.4 5.3 46.1 45.5 0.5 2.7 337.04 47.4 102.9 4.8 45.4 45.3 0.2 2.4 381.25 45.3 99.7 4.8 46.7 46.2 0.5 2.7 483.65 58.5 125.2 4.8 45.8 51.4 -5.6 -3.4 501.74 60.8 132.5 4.7 46.1 51.2 -5.1 -3.1 496.78 63.1 136.9 4.2 45.4 49.8 -4.5 -2.4 510.05 65.5 144.2 4.4 46.4 50.4 -4.1 -2.2 564.06 71.2 153.5 4.0 47.1 50.9 -3.8 -1.9 587.38 74.6 158.4 4.0 47.2 50.8 -3.6 -1.7 592.02 76.0 161.1 4.0 0.79 5.9 102.5 29.90 5.5 -4.3 -1.7 7.34 0.73 0.9 103.3 46.58 7.6 -4.0 3.7 7.21 0.85 -0.8 100.0 47.30 7.4 -13.2 -2.6 7.08 0.76 -1.1 98.8 63.64 9.4 -8.4 3.2 9.33 0.68 0.7 99.7 52.67 6.7 8.1 -6.0 8.75 0.72 1.1 100.2 37.49 4.3 -7.3 4.2 9.37 0.69 2.0 103.0 41.34 5.2 0.5 16.7 8.61 0.75 -3.7 98.1 60.67 7.8 -9.7 24.4 8.90 0.77 -0.5 97.4 84.88 10.1 -2.8 36.2 9.16 0.76 -2.7 93.3 76.76 9.9 0.4 50.9 10.80 0.77 — — 68.72 8.6 0.5 — 11.00 0.80 — — 69.93 8.9 0.5 — 11.00 ECONOMIC STRUCTURE AND PERFORMANCE • 367 • Nominal GDP (US$ Bil.) Population (Mil.) GDP per capita (US$) GDP per capita (PPP basis, US$) Nominal GDP (% change, local currency) Real GDP (% change) Inflation (CPI, % change Dec/Dec) Unemployment Rate (%) Gross Investment/GDP Gross Domestic Saving/GDP Nominal Exports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Nominal Imports of G & S (% change, US$ basis) Real Exports of G & S (% change) Real Imports of G & S (% change) Net Exports of G & S/GDP Openness of the Economy [1] Government Effectiveness [2] GOVERNMENT FINANCE Gen. Gov. Revenue/GDP Gen. Gov. Expenditures/GDP Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Primary Balance/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt (US$ Bil.) Gen. Gov. Debt/GDP Gen. Gov. Debt/Gen. Gov. Revenue Gen. Gov. Int. Pymt/Gen. Gov. Revenue EXTERNAL PAYMENTS AND DEBT Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per US$, Dec) [3] Real Eff. Exchange Rate (% change) Relative Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Current Account Bal