Brad Burdic, AIA Spring, 2008 - DBIA-SW
Transcription
Brad Burdic, AIA Spring, 2008 - DBIA-SW
Brad Burdic, AIA Spring, 2008 • INTRODUCTION • MARKET OVERVIEW • PROJECT CONSIDERATIONS • PROJECT SPECIFICATIONS • PROJECT EXAMPLES • SOLAR ECONOMICS • TOOLS AND RESOURCES Thank you Phoenix CSI Chapter! Is renewable energy real? New Energy Finance said Wednesday that “cleanenergy companies globally pulled in a whopping $117.3 billion in public and private funding in 2007. That's 41 percent more than the $83 billion the London-based research firm tracked in 2006. “Increased government support in clean energy around the world contributed to investors' willingness to back clean-energy companies and assets”, according to New Energy Finance. • Let’s not forget our common sense! • Only after a building is designed or retrofitted to be energy efficient, should we develop additional on-site renewable energy sources such as PV systems, which can be utilized to further reduce total annual energy requirements. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee • Growth in installations in the United States increased from 20 percent in 2005 to 31 percent in 2006, primarily driven by California and New Jersey. • The California Solar Initiative was launched in January 2006 to provide more than $3 billion in incentives for solar power. The goal is to generate 3,000 megawatts of new solar power statewide by 2017. • Q. What is a Solar Renewable Energy Certificate (SREC), and where is this used? − A. SREC stands for Solar Renewable Energy Certificate and is a type of clean energy credit that can be bought or sold. An SREC is issued once a solar facility has generated 1000kWh (1MWh). New Jersey has initiated this program to reduce dependence on rebates Information from Prometheus Institute In 2006, for the first time, more than half of polysilicon production went into PVs instead of computer chips. •The majority of systems currently installed are crystalline based solar panels •but…… Information from Prometheus Institute • For amorphous, or thin-film PV, production costs are expected to reach $1 per watt in 2010, at which point solar PV will become competitive with coal-fired electricity. Ut 2012?? Information from Prometheus Institute M y ilit od p s e c ri ul ep ri c es PV systems fall into the following three distinct categories • 1. Grid-Tie (Connected to local utility) Grid-tie PV systems are typically designed to generate power for the owner’s consumption on-site with any surplus power being sold to the local utility. • 2. Stand-Alone with On-Site Storage (Independent of local utility): These PV systems are typically installed on remote sites where a standard electrical connection to the local utility grid is not physically or financially feasible. • 3. UPS PV Systems (Uninterrupted Power Supply): These PV systems are a combination of grid-tie and on-site storage. UPS PV systems are often the most complex to design, install, and operate. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee PV Construction Process Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • • • • • • Sunlight availability Orientation Ambient Temperature Solar Module Shading Dirt and Debris Output performance Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • Sunlight availability − The level of sunlight striking a given location on the earth is ever changing. The earth’s orbit, daily rotation, and atmosphere all play roles in the local solar resource. The power output of a PV module or PV array, in turn, is directly proportional to this ever-changing natural resource. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • Orientation − horizontal). When tilted, the position of the PV array relative to “true” south (if in the northern hemisphere) is defined in terms of the azimuth angle (south = 0°, west = 90°, east = -90°, north = 180°). • Think South, generally! Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Calculator (example) Not good! GREAT!!! Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • Ambient Temperature − As temperatures rise, panel output can decrease. − Heat is the enemy!!!! Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • Solar Module Shading − As a general rule, small amounts of shading on a single module can cause dramatic reductions in energy production. − The level of power reduction is dependent on the amount of shading relative to the wiring configuration of the PV array. − As a design rule, review this possibility early and create a go/no go based on common sense. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Performance Considerations • Dirt and Debris − Less sunlight on the solar cells equate to an output power reduction, which is proportional to the amount of dust and dirt. Typical power output reduction can amount to as much as 10% depending on factors such as type of dust, thickness of dust and length of time since the last rainfall. − Dry climates such as Arizona, New Mexico or Texas could experience power output reductions of between 2% to 7% due to dust accumulation if not accounted for. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Solar Electric Components • PV modules – 2 broad types − Crystalline silicon and Amorphous or thin films. − Crystalline silicon modules represented 90% of manufactured PV modules in 2003, but as we indicated in our marketing data there is considerable research and development in the U.S. on thin film (amorphous) technologies. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Solar Electric Components Conclusion • Each project will be unique, just like roofing! • Thin film may be less expensive to buy and install; however, it requires more space and produces less output than a modular installation. On a per Watt basis, Thin film can deliver the most for the customer’s money. On a kilowatt-hour production basis, Silicon Panels deliver the most for the customer’s money. • • If a system size is the limiting factor, thin film may be the best decision. If the consumption or the size of the roof is the limiting factor Silicon Panel technology may be the best decision. Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee How do I create a robust program for my client? Project Discovery Guide! Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee How do I create a spec for systems that did not exist 2 years ago? CSI developed Project Specifications! Information from the Construction Specifications Institute Phoenix Chapter Technical Committee Project Examples Framing basics Framing basics Framing basics Project Examples Project Examples Project Examples Project Examples Project Examples Project Examples Project Examples • Solar Economics Financial Solution Example 6% Energy Inflation ROI Example 6% Energy Inflation ROI Example Solar power frequently asked finance questions Questions Purchase Lease Purchase Power Agreement-PPA What is the basic contract structure difference between the agreements? Contract will be between building owner and Ecostream. Building owner receives rebates and tax benefits. Financing will be between the building owner and the finance company. Rebates and tax benefits assignable. Lessor will be owner of the solar system. The building owner will lease the system from the lessor and pay monthly lease rates. The lessor will use the tax benefits. The rebates can be taken by the lessor or building owner. Residual buyout option at conclusion of lease term. PPA company buys the system and sells the energy for a long term fixed price to the building owner. Typical terms are 20 years. PPA company takes tax benefits and rebates. Turnover, or residual buyout option at conclusion of PPA term. Questions What is the payback timeframe? Purchase 4-8 years if rebates are available, 8-14 years without rebates. Building owner claiming tax benefits can depreciate entire system in 5 years. Lease Buy out of the system (market value) typically: 50% after 5 years 25% after 7 years 10% ater 10 years Purchase Power Agreement-PPA No payback for building owner during term of PPA. Turnover option at conclusion of PPA term. Questions Purchase Lease Purchase Power Agreement-PPA What are the Typically 20% Possible upfront capital own capital, rest Application fee. may be loan costs associated with each method? none Who owns the Building owner. Lessor Federal Tax Can be Credits? assigned. PPA company Who owns the Building owner. Building owner. PPA company (typically) energy credits Can be Can be assigned. if issued by a assigned. State? (SRECS) Questions Private vs. Public issues? Purchase Lease Purchase Power Agreement-PPA It g ets ha a l ng ittl wi e s th tic me ky !! , so Questions Which system makes the most sense if I am a private owner that will sell the real estate investment within 5 years? Purchase Lease Di sc us sio nr eq uir Purchase Power Agreement-PPA ed Questions Which system makes the most sense if I am a public owner that will hold on to the real estate investment? I cannot take advantage of the Federal Tax Credits. Purchase Lease Lease gives the best option to generate additional income after system is paid Purchase Power Agreement-PPA PPA is the safest way, no risk but also no chance to generate additional income. Questions How should I account for maintenance? How long are the typical finance options (years) Can I depreciate the cost of the roof when installing a solar electric system? Purchase Lease Di sc us sio nr eq uir Purchase Power Agreement-PPA ed Resources Resources Resources Resources Resources Thank you! Brad Burdic, AIA [email protected] 303-809-4519