Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the
Transcription
Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Thesis: Master of Science Accounting & Control Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Author: Frederica Sophia van Os Student number: 1755226 Email: [email protected] Supervisor: Drs. D.R. Boterenbrood RA ‘Is betere controle op goede doelen nodig?’ NRC 03/05/2009 ‘Veel ergernis over goede doelen’ De Telegraaf 08/01/2010 ‘Unicef beloont directeur ook met variabele bonussen’ De Volkskrant 30/06/2008 ‘Zes ton voor vertrek bij Hartstichting’ NRC 02/12/2009 'Pink Ribbon geeft maar fractie van opgehaalde miljoenen uit aan onderzoek' De Volkskrant 16/11/2011 ‘Geld tsunami -fonds naar walvisjagers’ De Volkskrant 08/12/2011 ‘Goede doelen zetten zelf alle salarissen van directie online’ Het Parool 16/09/2011 ‘Goede doelen, dubieuze beleggingen’ NRC 29/11/2011 ‘Salaris directeur Rode Kruis onder dwang naar beneden’ Trouw 05/07/2010 ‘Hulporganisatie SNV weigert salaris te verlagen’ Trouw 05/07/2010 ‘Tonnen Nederlands hulpgeld zoek in Zuid-Afrika’ NU.nl 07/07/2011 2 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Abstract Earnings management is an excessively investigated subject in the profit sector. In this thesis earnings management is examined at Dutch fundraising institutions. An important incentive for fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management and to manage earnings towards zero or a small positive result is to show that all funds are required to fulfill the social tasks and to attract funds in the future. The distribution approach was executed and results indicate that the distribution of the earnings are discontinue around zero. Discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) are used in this thesis as measures of earnings management. Based on chi-squared tests it can be concluded that there is a relation between groups and discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses: managers of fundraising institutions use discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses in order to come close to zero or a small positive result. Regressions results indicate a negative relationship between the CEO tenure and discretionary accruals. Evidence suggests a positive relationship between the number of supervisory board meetings and discretionary accruals. A positive relationship is found between the existence of an audit committee and abnormal management and administration expenses. Financial expertise of an audit committee is negatively related to abnormal management and administration expenses. Key words: fundraising institutions, (real) earnings management, discretionary accruals, abnormal expenses, supervisory board and audit committee. 3 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Preface This thesis is the final product in the fulfillment of the requirements of the degree Master of Science in Accounting and Control at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. I have chosen to write my master thesis about earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions and its relation with characteristics of the supervisory board and the audit committee. This topic seemed to me very interesting and challenging. Especially because this topic is an unexposed subject in the literature. I worked on the thesis with a lot of pleasure and there are many people to thank for their considerable support I received during the project. First of all, I would like to thank my supervisor at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Rob Boterenbrood, for his guidance, critical comments and good advice throughout the process. I have written this thesis as an intern at PwC The Hague and I would like to thank them for the facilities they offered while I was writing my thesis. I would like to express my gratitude to my coach at PwC, Maartje Verhoeven for her guidance and advice. Especially a word of thanks to my parents; they always have supported me in everything. Voorburg, July 2012 Frederica Sophia van Os 4 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Table of contents Abstract 3 Preface 4 Chapter 1 – Introduction 8 1.1 Introduction and Purpose 8 1.2 Research Question and Sub Questions 8 1.3 Contribution to the Literature 9 1.4 Structure of the Thesis 11 Chapter 2 – Fundraising Institutions in the Netherlands 12 2.1 Introduction 12 2.2 Defining Fundraising Institutions and the Fundraising Sector in the Netherlands 12 2.3 The Central Bureau Fundraising 14 2.4 The Association of Fundraising Institutions 15 2.5 Dutch Accounting Standards for Fundraising Institutions (RJ 650) 16 2.6 Stakeholders of Fundraising Institutions 17 Chapter 3 – Earnings Management 18 3.1 Introduction 18 3.2 Information Asymmetry at Fundraising Institutions 18 3.3 Positive Accounting Theory 19 3.4 Defining Earnings Management 20 3.5 Incentives to Engage in Earnings Management 21 3.6 Earnings Management Trough Accruals 22 3.7 Earnings management Through Real Activities 26 Chapter 4 – Earnings Management at Non-profit Institutions 28 4.1 Introduction 28 4.2 Research related to Earnings Management at Non-profit Institutions 28 4.3 Incentives to Engage in Earnings Management at Fundraising Institutions 30 4.4 Expectations of Earnings Management at Non-profit Institutions 31 5 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 5 – Corporate Governance at Fundraising Intuitions 34 5.1 Introduction 34 5.2 Corporate Governance at Non-profit Firms 35 5.3 Governance structures at Dutch Fundraising Institutions 35 Chapter 6 – Hypotheses Development 37 6.1 Introduction 37 6.2 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions 37 6.3 Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee on Earnings Management 38 6.3.1 Size of Supervisory Board and the Existence of an Audit Committee 38 6.3.2 Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Meetings Diligence 40 6.3.3 Tenure of the CEO and the Audit Committee Members 42 6.3.4 Financial Expertise of the Audit Committee 43 Chapter 7 – Research Methodology 45 7.1 Introduction 45 7.2 Sample Selection 45 7.3 Research Designs 46 7.3.1 Income Distribution 46 7.3.2 Models to Detect Earnings Management Through Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses 47 7.3.3 Groups and the Direction of Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses 49 7.3.4 Supervisory Board &Audit Committee Characteristics on Earnings Management 51 Chapter 8 – Results 53 8.1 Introduction 53 8.2 Income Distribution 53 8.3 Models to Detect Earnings Management Through Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses 56 8.4 Groups and Direction Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses 57 8.5 Supervisory Board an Audit Committee Characteristics on Earnings Management 60 6 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 9 – Conclusion, Limitations and Implications for Future Research 65 References 70 Appendix A – Model for the Balance sheet and the Profit and Loss statement 76 Appendix B – Translation of Governance Bodies 78 Appendix C – Literature Overview 79 Appendix D – Explanation Normal Discretionary Expenses Model of Roychowdhury (2006) 85 Appendix E – Earnings Distribution 86 Appendix F – Assumptions of the (Modified) Jones Model and Normal Expenses Models 87 Appendix G – Significance of the (Modified) Jones Model and Normal Expenses Models 94 Appendix H – Chi-square test to Compare Groups 100 Appendix I – Regressions Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses, All dependent Variables Included 102 7 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 1 – Introduction 1.1 Introduction and Purpose Publicly available financial reports play an important role by mitigating the inherent principal-agent conflict within institutions. One would expect that the bottom line for non-profit institutions is less important compared to profit-making companies, since non-profit institutions have no investors who expect a certain return on investments. In addition, in the profit literature one can find that earnings are important since they are used as a summary measure of firm performance by a wide range of users (Bissessur, 2008). However, reported earnings of non-profit institutions serve a number of important purposes. Yetman and Yetman (2011); Leone and Van Horn (2005) investigated non-profit institutions in the United States and they concluded that stakeholders use the reported earnings for credit evaluation, managerial assessments and donation decisions. Furthermore, accounting information can assist stakeholders in monitoring a non-profit institution and evaluating whether resources are being used in the most efficient and effective manner (Krishnan and Yetman, 2011). One can argue that managers of fundraising institutions manage earnings to report results that are close to zero and nonnegative. Managers with small losses will manage earnings upwards so that earnings are not negative to avoid violating zero profit constraint. Managers of fundraising institutions can exploit the agency problem by managing earnings (through accruals or real variables). Stakeholders make their decisions based on the result of the institutions, however due to the actions of the management donors are not able to make good decisions. 1.2 Research Question and Sub Questions This thesis is focussed on whether earnings management is applied at fundraising institutions: earnings management through accruals and real variables will be investigated. Furthermore, characteristics of the supervisory board and the audit committee and the relation with (real) earnings management will be subject of this thesis. The following question will be the research question in the thesis: “What is the effect of supervisory board & audit committee characteristics on earnings management through discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses at Dutch fundraising institutions?” The following sub-questions will be answered in the thesis: 1. How are Dutch fundraising institutions organized and who are stakeholders? 2. What is earnings management, what are incentives to engage in earnings management for managers and how can earnings be managed? 8 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 3. What are motives for managers at non-profit institutions and specifically fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management? 4. Why is corporate governance needed at non-profit institutions and how is corporate governance organized at Dutch fundraising institutions? 5. What are the conclusions of prior research concerning the supervisory board and the audit committee characteristics and their effect on earnings management? 6. What is the impact of the size of supervisory board and the existence of the audit committee on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? 7. What is the impact of the frequency of the supervisory board and audit committee meetings on earnings management Dutch fundraising institutions? 8. What is the impact of the tenure of the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) (In Dutch: voorzitter Raad van Bestuur) and the audit committee members on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? 9. What is the impact of financial expertise of the audit committee members on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? 1.3 Contribution to the Literature Throughout the years extensive research has been conducted with respect to earnings management. These studies focus on finding evidence about the existence of earnings management and the incentives to engage in earnings management. These studies are mostly conducted in the profit sector, the non-profit sector is less investigated by researchers. Although earnings management research in non-profit institutions is rather scarce in comparison to for-profit institutions, researchers have found its existence. Research related to earnings management in non-profit institutions is done in different sectors, e.g. health care (Leone and Van Horn, 2005; Eldenburg, Gunny, Hee and Soderstorm, 2011) and municipalities (Vinnari and Näsi, 2008). Differences between the incentives to engage in earnings management at non-profit institutions and profit institutions are found in prior literature. For example, managers of profit-institutions have incentives to report a pattern of continuous increases in earnings and engage in income smoothing to show constant growth. However, managers of non-profit institutions have incentives to manage earnings around a fixed point above zero. Furthermore, nonprofit institutions have no incentive to avoid reporting earnings decreases as long as current period earnings are above zero. This is in contrast with profit firms, they are motivated by the equity markets to avoid small losses (Leone and Van Horn, 2005) . Despite research conducted at some non-profit sectors, there is a very small base of literature on earnings management at fundraising institutions. Prior research at fundraising institutions is related to discretionary accounting methods to maximize the program expense ratios and efficiency ratios (e.g. 9 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Trussel, 2003; Baber, Roberts and Visvanathan, 2001, Jones and Roberts, 2006). Nevertheless, earnings management through discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses (which are the main methods used to measure earnings management), is not investigated at fundraising institutions. Although earnings management at some non-profit sectors is investigated, the fundraising sector is a different part of the non-profit sector: fundraising institutions have to comply with other financial reporting standards, have other stakeholders, and receive income in another way compared to other non-profit institutions (e.g. hospitals). Because fundraising institutions are another type of non-profit institutions within the non-profit sector, investigating this institutions can help in getting a more complete insight into non-profit institutions. For example, maybe managers of fundraising institutions have other incentives to manage earnings compared to other non-profit institutions. So, investigating earnings management at fundraising institutions can give another insight into non-profit institutions: differences could exist between the (non-)profit sector and fundraising institutions. In addition, research has been done with respect to earnings management and corporate governance aspects. These studies focus on finding a relation between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management in the profit sector outside the Netherlands (e.g. Xie, Davidson, DaDalt, 2003, Lin, Li and Yang, 2006; Vafeas, 2005; Klein, 2002, Machuga and Teitel, 2009). Although a substantial body of accounting literature examines the relationship between governance and reporting quality in the for-profit setting, there is little evidence on the effects of governance on non-profit reporting (Yetman and Yetman, 2011). Earnings management and the impact of supervisory and audit committee characteristics on earnings management in the non-profit sector, and more specifically at fundraising institutions in the Netherlands, remains an unanswered question. This study will examine whether the characteristics related to the supervisory board and the audit committee, are associated with earnings management in the fundraising sector. Furthermore, why choose the Netherlands as a research field? The headlines of the articles on page 2 were published in several newspapers in recent years. Salaries, bonuses and inappropriate spending of raised money by Dutch fundraising institutions became subject of public debate. It appears from the headlines that the public is interested in Dutch fundraising institutions. Another interesting aspect of the fundraising sector is the size of the sector. 831 fundraising institutions are registered with the Central Bureau Fundraising (In Dutch: Centraal Bureau Fondsenwerving) (hereafter: CBF) and they raised 3.7 billion EUR in 2010 (CBF, 2011). 10 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 1.4 Structure of the Thesis The thesis will be divided into literature study and empirical research. Chapter 2 will provide some background of fundraising institutions. The definition of financial institutions will be given and important bodies in the sector and their main tasks will be described. Subsequently, the financial reporting standards are described and the stakeholders of fundraising institutions will be described. Chapter 3 will be focussed on earnings management. The definition of earnings management as used throughout this thesis will be given and incentives to engage in earnings management are discussed. Furthermore, the chapter will be focussed on the detection of earnings management. Chapter 4 will discuss earnings management at non-profit institutions and specifically at fundraising institutions. Corporate governance structures and the need for governance at non-profit institutions and Dutch fundraising institutions will be subject of chapter 5. In chapter 6 hypotheses are composed. Furthermore, this chapter will consist of the theory and the relevant prior research related to the characteristics of the supervisory board and the audit committee which can be related to earnings management. Chapter 7 described the research methodology. In chapter 8, the results of the analyses will be described and discussed. Finally in the last chapter a conclusion will be drawn up, limitations of the research will be described ,and recommendations for further research will be given. 11 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 2 – Fundraising institutions in the Netherlands 2.1 Introduction This thesis will be focussed on Dutch fundraising institutions. For that reason it is important to understand the fundraising sector in the Netherlands. The purpose of this chapter is to set out some background on the Dutch fundraising sector. An answer on sub question 1 will be given: How are Dutch fundraising institutions organized and who are stakeholders? At first, definitions of fundraising institutions will be given. Subsequently, different bodies which have an influence on Dutch fundraising institutions will be pointed out. Furthermore, the Dutch Accounting Standards for Fundraising Institutions will be part of this chapter. Finally, the stakeholders of fundraising institutions will be described. 2.2 Defining Fundraising Institutions and the Fundraising Sector in the Netherlands There is not one clear definition of what a fundraising institution is. The Dutch Accounting Standard Board, Donor Association and the CBF give the following definitions of fundraising institutions: “A fundraising institution is a private organization that is not profit oriented and that makes appeal to public generosity to realize its goals. The raised money is voluntary donated , there is no or not a proportional consideration for the donated goods or services and no rights for care or aid can be obtained” (RJ, Richtlijn 650.110). “A fundraising institution is a charity that tries to realize its goals by approaching individuals, companies or funds to donate money or goods. The institution makes an appeal to the willingness of public donations” (Website: Donor Association). “A fundraising institution is an association or foundation established under Dutch law, with full legal capacity for realization of charitable, cultural, scientific or other general benefit objectives, by making appeal to public generosity. Fundraising means that the received funds are donated voluntary and there is no or no proportional consideration for the donated goods or services and no rights for care or aid can be obtained”(Website: CBF). All the definitions above have in common that fundraising institutions make an appeal to the public generosity in order to achieve their objectives and that raised money is voluntary donated without a reciprocal transfer. However, Karman and Swachten in Hoogendoorn, Klaassen and Krens (2004) added a component; they emphasize that the goals of the institutions are focused on fostering social utility. 12 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Throughout this thesis the definition of the CBF, with the added component by Karman and Swachten will be used. The reason for choosing that definition is that the definition is the most complete one. The following main points are included in that definition: the forms of the institutions, the objectives, public generosity and no reciprocal transfer. The core activity of fundraising institutions is providing goods and/or services for social goals. Social goals of fundraising institutions can be divided into four categories with subgroups (Website CBF): Health: Public health, Disability care, Help for blind/visually handicapped/deaf people International Aid: Development aid, Refugee aid and Aid to victims Nature and Environment: Animal interests, Environmental, Conservation of the nature Well-being: Civil & social goals, Human rights, Arts & culture, Sports & recreation, Education & research and Church & religion. To get an indication of the size of fundraising sector and the different categories in the Netherlands, the following figures are added in this thesis. Figure 2.1 shows the total income over 2006 till 2010 per category. The category international aid is the largest one with approximately 1.200.000.000 euro income per year. The smallest is the health category, they received an income of approximately 500.000.000 euro per year. In figure 2.1 is an histogram of the total amount spent on objectives per subgroup over 2006 till 2010. The category international aid spent the most of the four categories, namely approximately 1.200.000.000 euro per year. Figure 2.1 – Total income for each sector over 2006 till 2010. Source: website CBF 13 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Figure 2.2 – Total spending on goals for each sector over 2006 till 2010. Source: website CBF. 2.3 The Central Bureau Fundraising The CBF is an independent foundation which has been monitoring fundraising by fundraising institutions since 1925. 831 institutions are registered at the CBF. The following tasks of the CBF can be distinguished: conducting assessments for the CBF-seal (In Dutch: CBF-Keur) and the CBFCertificate for small fundraising institutions (In Dutch: CBF-Certificaat voor kleine goede doelen), monitoring of responsible fundraising and spending and providing information and advice. An accreditation system is designed to promote trustworthy fundraising and expenditure by reviewing fundraising institutions and giving information and advice to government institutions and the public. A tool used by CBF is a seal, which can be awarded if a fundraising institution exists for at least three years, has a total income of 500.000 euro or higher and complies with the criteria set by the CBF (CBF, 2011). The criteria for the seal are related to the following subjects: management, policy, fundraising, education & communication, spending of funds and accountability. An important criterion is that the costs for fundraising of the institution, expressed as a percentage of the revenues from its own fundraising in any year, may not amount more than 25% of the revenues from its own fundraising. Furthermore, the board must consist of independent members. In addition, for a clear insight into the financial records every financial report must be drawn up according to the same principles (www.cbf.nl). Compliance to the Dutch Accounting Standards for fundraising institutions (RJ Richtlijn 650) is an important requirement for obtaining and keeping the CBF-seal. CBF also awarded the CBF-Certificate for small charities and CBF-Certificate of no objection (In Dutch: Verklaring van geen bezwaar). The CBF-Certificate for small charities is for fundraising 14 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os institutions that act in the fundraising sector for more than three years, but have a total income of less than 500.000 euro. The criteria consist of the following subjects: management, policy, fundraising and reporting. Compliance with RJ 650 is also a requirement the award and keep the certificate (CBF, 2011). The CBF-Certificate of no objection is for new fundraising institutions in the Netherlands which act in the sector for less than three years, irrespective to their income. The criteria for this certificate are the same as for the CBF-seal; however they are not as extensive as the criteria for the CBF-seal (CBF, 2011). When a fundraising institution has a CBF-Seal or CBF-Certificate of no objection, the public can trust that the institution has been reviewed on management, policy, spending, fundraising and reporting. (CBF, 2011). Because participation in the system is voluntary, accredited philanthropic institutions stand out as more trustworthy to the public than non-accredited institutions. Accreditation gives fundraising institutions the right to use an accreditation seal to signal their trustworthiness to the public. From the perspective of donors, relying on the accreditation seal can be viewed theoretically as a strategy to cut down on the transaction costs of a donation: instead of deciding on the accountability of the charity themselves, donors take the seal as a signal of trustworthiness (Bekkers, 2003). 2.4 The Association of Fundraising Institutions The Association of Fundraising Institutions (In Dutch: Vereniging Fondsenwervende Instellingen), (hereafter: VFI) is an association for the fundraising sector, founded in 1994, with more than 120 members. Fundraising institutions can become member if they raise funds and are located in the Netherlands, and have a CBF-Seal or a CBF-Certificate of no objection. The main tasks of VFI are promoting the interests of charities, self-regulation, and providing services to charities. The goal of providing services is to increase professionalism and efficiency in the sector. Moreover, the VFI works closely together with the government to improve transparency of the social contribution of charities and to increase public trust. VFI drafted a code during the summer of 2004 named, the code for good governance for charities (In Dutch: Code goed bestuur goede doelen. The reason for designing the code was improving the transparency of the institution and reducing the vulnerability of fundraising institutions. The code must be applied by members of the VFI. The members may diverge from individual principles in the code, but must motivate their decision to do so. This is possible according to the VFI because it says that final responsibility lies with the supervisory board (Website VFI). 15 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 2.5 Dutch Accounting Standards for Fundraising Institutions (RJ 650) Section 9, Book 2 of the Dutch Civil Code (In Dutch:Titel 9 Burgerlijk wetboek) consists of directives for annual reporting. Fundraising institutions are mostly associations or foundations, therefore Section 9 of the Dutch Civil Code is not applicable for them, only large foundations and associations have to apply with Section 9, Book 2 of the Netherlands Civil Code, as a consequence of Section 2:360 (3) BW (RJ 650. 101). The Dutch Accounting Standard Board (In Dutch: Raad voor de Jaarverslaggeving) was founded in 1981 and has the objective to foster quality in external reporting of non listed companies in the Netherlands. The RJ is responsible for preparing and publishing of directives (In Dutch: Richtlijnen), and giving advice to the government and other stakeholders. The Dutch Accounting Standards Board has designed special standards for fundraising institutions, namely RJ 650 ’Verslaggeving fondsenwervende instellingen, to address the public’s desire to be informed about the extent to which fundraising institutions fulfil their missions. Consequently, the Dutch Accounting Standards Board asks charities to publish a transparent overview of their fundraising income and activity services (RJ 650.102). With respect to fundraising institutions information requirements of users of financial reporting are related to the understanding of the following items (RJ 650.104): objective, strategy and policy of the institution; the design and functioning of the institution, administration and supervision; communication with donors, volunteers and other stakeholders; whether or not achieving the objectives and performance; financial management and accountability, and; the plans for the future. The guidelines of Richtlijn 650 Fondsenwervende instellingen describes that the financial reporting should at least consist of the annual report, the financial statements (consisting of the balance sheet, the statement of income and expenditures and the notes) and other information. The income of fundraising institutions is dependent on different sources. See Appendix A for a standard model of the balance sheet and profit and loss statement, which is given in RJ 650. It is recommended to also report a cash flow statement (RJ650.103). The annual report should contain information about five components (RJ650.202): General information about the fundraising institution; Information about the activities and the financial position; Information about the board of directors, the committee and the supervisory board; 16 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os The report of the supervisory board (if there is a supervisory board) and; A paragraph about the future (specification and explanation of expected future income and expenses). Four other important facts that have to be mentioned in the annual report are: description of job operating procedures, policy of executive compensation and the practices of the policy in the financial year, the procedure for hiring new executives or members of the supervisory board and their contract time, and other relevant work positions (RJ 650.208). Although compliance with RJ 650 is not required by law it is increasingly applied, because fundraising institutions are recognizing the need of reliable and transparent financial reports. In addition, compliance with RJ 650 is one of requirements to receive a CBF-seal or the CBF Certificate of no objection. 2.6 Stakeholders of Fundraising Institutions Herremans, Mentink, Hartman and Hoogendoorn (1993); Aukes (1997) distinguish the following stakeholders of fundraising institutions: Donors Subsidizers Board of directors Management Public (donors, volunteers) Members Government Consumer organizations Creditors Lenders Fundraising institutions have different stakeholders compared to profit-institutions; they have no shareholders and are largely dependent on donations of the government and public. The main objective of non-profit institutions is not making profit but is mainly focused on fostering social utility. In the case of the annual reports of fundraising institutions, users of the financial reports are primarily interested in which part of the benefit is spent to the charity (RJ 650.105). Based on these information needs, the Dutch Accounting Standard Boards, as described in the previous paragraph, sets guidelines for the financial reporting of fundraising institutions. 17 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 3 – Earnings management 3.1 Introduction The purpose of this chapter is to set out some theoretical background on earnings management. The following sub question will be answered: What is earnings management, what are incentives to engage in earnings management for managers and how can earnings be managed? At first, the concept of information asymmetry (at fundraising institutions) will be described and Positive Accounting Theory will be explained. Furthermore, it will introduce the phenomenon earnings management and incentives to engage in earnings management. Subsequently, earnings management through accruals and real variables will be highlighted. 3.2 Information Asymmetry at Fundraising Institutions Information asymmetry means that one party has an information advantage over another party. Due to information asymmetry management of fundraising institutions has an information advantage over important stakeholders (e.g. donors and government). An effect of information asymmetry is that managers of fundraising institution can manage earnings, because stakeholders have little information to assess whether the financial statements are reliable. Two types of information asymmetry could be distinguished according to Scott (2009): adverse selection and moral hazard. The two types of information asymmetry will be shortly pointed out based on the definitions given by Scott (2009). Adverse selection is a type of information asymmetry whereby one or more parties to a business transaction, or potential transaction, have an information advantage over other parties (Scott, 2009, p.13). The management of a fundraising institution has more information about the future situation of the institution and the financial statements than the stakeholders. The stakeholders are not certain whether the financial statements represent the real situation of the institution. They could only determine the reliability of the financial statements on available outside information. Moral hazard is a type of information asymmetry whereby one or more parties to a business transaction, or potential transaction, can observe their actions in fulfilment of the transactions but other parties cannot (Scott, 2009, p.14). The moral hazard problem is approached by Scott (2009) from a situation where ownership and control are separated. However, despite there is no separation of ownership and control in the fundraising institutions, because there are no shareholders, a moral hazard problem exists. A distinction could be made between the management and the stakeholders (e.g. donors, government, society) of the institution. Moral hazard problems can arise because 18 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os stakeholders are not able to monitor the performance of managers continuously. Due to that, managers could act in their own interest and not in the best interest of the stakeholders. 3.3 Positive Accounting Theory Accounting research theory can be divided into two main parts: normative and positive. Normative theories attempt to tell individuals or constituencies what they should do. Positive accounting theory (hereafter: PAT) is concerned with predicting such actions as the choices of accounting policies by firm managers and how managers will respond to proposed new accounting standards (Scott, 2009). The predictions made by PAT are organised around three hypotheses, which are formulated by Watts and Zimmerman (1986). The three hypotheses will be shortly mentioned. The bonus plan Hypothesis Given that all other things being equal, managers of firms with bonus plans are more likely to choose accounting policies that shift reported earnings from future periods to the current period. Managers like a high remuneration, so if their remuneration (partly) depends on a bonus related to reported net income, then they may be able to increase their current bonus by reporting the highest possible income. One way to do that is to choose accounting policies that increase current period earnings. The debt covenant hypothesis All other things equal, the closer a firm is to violation of accounting-based debt covenants, the more likely that firm manager is to select accounting procedures that shift reported earnings from future periods to the current period. The reason is that increasing reported net income will reduce the probability of technical default. Most debt agreements contain covenants that the borrower has to meet during the agreement term. If the covenants are violated the debt covenant may impose penalties. To prevent or postpone such violation the management may adopt accounting policies to raise current earnings. According to the debt covenant hypothesis the management is more likely to do this if the firm approaches default or is actually in default. The political cost hypothesis All other things being equal, the greater the political costs faced by a firm, the more likely the manager is to choose accounting procedures that defer reported earnings from current to future periods. The political cost hypothesis introduces a political dimension into accounting policy choice. For example, political costs can be imposed by high profitability which may attract media attention and consumer attention. Such attention can result in political heat on the firm and politicians may respond with new regulations. 19 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 3.4 Defining Earnings Management In the literature several definitions of earnings managements are used. Healy and Wahlen (1999) give the following definition: ‘Earnings management occurs when managers use judgment in financial reporting and in structuring transactions to alter financial reports either to mislead some stakeholders about the underlying economic performance of the company or to influence contractual outcomes that depend on reported accounting numbers.’ However, Vander Blauwhede (2003) argued that earnings management can also be used by managers to communicate inside information related to the future performance of the institution to the public. Scott (2009) formulated earnings management more negatively: ‘Earnings management is the choice by a manager of accounting policies as at to achieve some specific objective’ The objectives to engage in earnings management are not clear in the definition of Scott. Schipper (1989) formulated these objectives in his definition: ‘Earnings management is disclosure management in the sense of a purposeful intervention in the external financial reporting process, with the extent of obtaining some private gain, as opposed to merely facilitating the neutral operation of the process.’ A more negative definition of earnings management stated that stakeholders are misled and a more neutral definition does not directly assume misleading stakeholders. In both types of definitions earnings management occurs due to an incomplete and imperfect market. Managers aim to reach certain goals by structuring accruals and make certain decisions to manipulate surpluses and cost allocations. A minor extension to the definition would encompass real earnings management, accomplished by timing investments or financing decisions to alter reported earnings or some subset of it (Bissessur, 2008). The definition of Roychowdhury (2006) is frequently used in empirical studies of earnings management. He define real earnings management as: ‘Real activities manipulation is defined as departures from normal operational practices, motivated by managers’ desire to mislead at least some stakeholders into believing certain financial reporting goals have been met in the normal course of operations.’ 20 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Within the framework of this thesis the following definition of earnings management, which is based on Scott’s definition, will be used: ‘Earnings management is the choice by a manager of accounting policies, or actions affecting earnings, so as to achieve some specific objective’ Earnings management and earnings quality are closely related. Beaver (2002) suggests that earnings management can improve or impair the quality of earnings through the exercise of discretion over accounting numbers. Discretionary behaviour includes voluntary earnings forecasting, voluntary disclosure, choice of accounting methods, and estimation of accruals. Watts and Zimmerman (1986) distinguishes four different strategies for earnings management intended by managers based on the positive accounting theory of Scott. The strategies are: Big Bath Accounting. When institutions could not prevent reporting loss, they rather report a large loss since they have nothing to lose at this point. Income minimization. Earnings are managed downward to minimize profit. Income maximization. Earnings are managed upward to maximize the profit level. Income smoothing. Earnings are managed in order or provide a stable flow of earnings without large increases or decreases. 3.5 Incentives to Engage in Earnings Management Positive Accounting Theory, which is described in paragraph 3, has generated a large amount of empirical research. Much of this research has been done related to the implications of the three hypotheses. Healy and Wahlen (1999) structured the reasons why managers engage in earnings management into three incentives for earnings management: capital market expectations and valuation, contract written in terms of accounting numbers and anti-trust or other government regulation. Contract written in terms of accounting numbers The contracting motives are largely based on PAT. An institution can be seen as a group of different contracts: the firm has contracts with employees, lenders, management and suppliers. Contracts are used as a solution of the agency problem to align interests between managers and stakeholders (compensation contracts) and managers and lenders (lending contracts). One of the objectives of the institution is to minimize the various contracting costs. In this theory accounting data is used to monitor and regulate the contractual regulations between management and different stakeholders. 21 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Capital market expectations and valuation Investors and analysts value stocks by discounting future cash flows of firms. Accounting information, including financial statements and quarterly figures, is used to determine the stock price. This creates an incentive for management to manipulate earnings, when trying to influence the short-time stock price performance. The incentives in this group are related to management buyouts, initial public offers, meeting or exceeding financial analysts’ forecasts and type of investors and research and development expenditures. Anti-trust or other government regulation Another incentive, which is based on the political cost hypothesis, involves the phenomenon of the social relevance of firms and that these firms can be subject of the political agenda. Institutions may have an interest to influence the results in order to be more or less visible in politics and media. 3.6 Earnings Management through Accruals There are many ways to apply earnings management. Earnings can be management by manipulation of accruals with no direct cash flow consequences. This paragraph will have a look at this method. Accruals arise when an institution records revenue or expense on its books prior to (or after) the related cash flow occurs (Scott, 2009). According to Ball and Shivakumar (2005) there is sufficient flexibility in the application of accounting standards to allow the supply of financial reporting quality to respond to demand. It is well known that accruals present flexibility in financial reporting, because accruals by definition are not observable cash outcomes at the time of reporting and require estimates of future cash outcomes. However, estimation errors and their subsequent corrections are noise that reduces the beneficial role of accruals. Accruals consist of two components: non-discretionary accruals and discretionary accruals. The discretionary accruals identify management choices and the nondiscretionary part reflects business conditions. Accruals can be of poor quality for two reasons; (1) management intentionally bias accruals through earnings management and (2) unintentional errors in accrual estimation could occur because it is difficult to predict an uncertain future, or because there are insufficient controls in place to catch errors (Doyle and Ge, 2007). Discretionary accruals allow managers to exercise their discretion over accounting choices and estimates, and the literature documents that firms use discretionary accruals to practice earnings management (e.g. Jones, 1991; Healy, 1985; Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney, 1995). The accrual-based method requires a separation of accruals into discretionary and non-discretionary components in order to use the discretionary accruals as a proxy for earnings management. One major limitation of this method is the difficulty of identifying and separating total accruals into its unmanaged and managed components. 22 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os One can distinguish several accrual models to measure earnings management; Healy model (1985), DeAngelo model (1986); Jones model (1991); Modified Jones model (Dechow et al., 1995). Healy (1985) and DeAngelo (1986) were the first to use total accruals and the change in total accruals, respectively, as measures of managers’ discretion over earnings (McNichols 2000). Jones (1991) introduced a regression approach to control for non-discretionary factors influencing accruals, specifying a linear relation between total accruals and change in sales and property, plant and equipment. These approaches are typically called aggregate accruals studies. The change-in-accruals measures (Healy model and DeAngelo model) assume that the unified determinants of un-manipulated accruals are constant over time. In contrast, the direct estimation (Jones model) identifies accounting fundamentals as the determinates of unmanipulated earnings (Schipper and Vincent, 2003). This thesis will be focussed on the (Modified) Jones model; the models will be used in the empirical research; the reason for that choice will be explained in the empirical part of this thesis. Jones model (1991) Jones (1991) investigated whether institutions that benefit from import relief tend to minimize their surplus during import relief investigations among these institutions by the United States International Trade Commission (ITC). A smaller surplus increases the chance that measures will be taken that are positive for the institution, as the ITC will protect the institution with respect to foreign competitors. Regulatory and political motives are reasons for institutions to manage their earnings. The Jones model describes the effect of changes in firm’s economic circumstances on nondiscretionary accruals. The simplest and most frequently used way to calculate these accruals is taking the difference between operational cash flows and net income. However, Jones defines accruals as: (Δ current assets – Δ cash) + (Δ current liabilities – Δ current maturities of long term debt) – Δ income taxes payable – depreciation and amortization expenses. The total accruals must be split in a discretionary and non-discretionary part. The following equitation is the Jones model (1991): With: = Total accruals in year t for institution i; = Total assets for institution i in year t-1; = Revenues for institution i in year t less revenues of institution i in year t-1; = Property plant and equipment for institution i in year t and; = residual term that captures all impacts on other than those from and . 23 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Ordinary least square regression is used to estimate the values of Total accruals are a function of the change in revenue and the level of property, plant and equipment. To control for changes in working capital accounts which are caused by changes in the level of business activity, the change in revenue is included in the model. Property, plant and equipment is included in the model to control for non-discretionary depreciation expenses. The variables are scaled by total assets for the year t-1 to reduce heteroscedasticity. The error term in the regression shows to what extent earnings are being managed: a positive error term shows motives for income maximizing and a negative error term indicates income minimizing. The discretionary accruals are the part of the total accruals which do not correlate with the change in the level of business activity. The regression residuals are considered to be managed accruals, and can be defined as: With: =Level of discretionary accruals at time t for institution i. One implicit assumption of the Jones (1991) model is that revenues are non-discretionary. The explanatory power of the Jones model is low. An interpretation of the low explanatory power is that managers have considerable discretion over the accrual process, which they use to mask financial performance (Dechow, Ge and Schrand, 2010). Dechow et al. (1995) modify the Jones model to adjust for growth in credit sales in an attempt to reduce Type II errors. Modified Jones model (Dechow et al., 1995) The modification of the Jones model is designed to eliminate the conjectured tendency of the Jones model to measure discretionary accruals with error when discretion is exercised over revenues. The only adjustment relative to the Jones model is that the change in revenues is adjusted for the change in receivables in the event period. The modified Jones model implicitly assumes that all changes in credit sales in the event period result from earnings management. This is based on the reasoning that it is easier to manage earnings via exercising discretion over the recognition of revenue on credit sales than it is to manage earnings via exercising discretion over the recognition of revenue on cash sales (Dechow et al.,1995). The modified Jones model assumes that the non-discretionary component of total accruals (NDA) is a function of the change in revenues adjusted for the change in receivables and the level of property, plant and equipment. The modified Jones model is: 24 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os With: = Net receivables for institution i in year t less net receivables for institution i in year t-1. In the modified Jones model, discretionary accruals are estimated during the event period as: Credit sales are frequently manipulated, so this modification increase the power of the Jones model to yield a residual that is uncorrelated with expected revenue accruals and better reflects revenue manipulation. However, the modified Jones model still suffers Type I errors, perhaps even more than the original Jones model. Furthermore, the modified Jones model cannot be used to identify distortions induced by long term accruals, which is an important limitation of the model. Impairments of PPE and goodwill are likely to reflect earnings management or accounting distortions (Dechow et al., 2010). It has to be noticed that some errors can exist in the accruals models: misclassification errors can include Type I errors, which classify accruals as abnormal when they are a representation of fundamental performance, and Type II errors, which classify accruals as normal when they are not (Dechow et al., 2010). In the Jones model, sales is the key non-discretionary variable driving current accruals, and capital expenditures is the key variable driving non-current accruals. Total accruals are then regressed on only the non-discretionary accruals and it is assumed that the residual is discretionary. Failure to identify fully the non-discretionary component implies the regression residual contains both discretionary and non-discretionary components, leading the research to measure the estimated discretionary and non-discretionary components with error. To interpret accruals-based tests as evidence for earnings management, one must be confident that measurement error in the discretionary accrual proxy is not correlated with an omitted variable in the estimation of the discretionary accrual (Bissesseur, 2008 and Dechow et al., 2010). 25 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 3.7 Earnings Management through Real Variables The previous paragraph was focused on earnings management through accruals. However, real activities, which affect cash-flows and earnings can also be manipulated (Roychowdhury, 2006; Vander Blauwhede, 2003). Real earnings management is achieved by changing the timing or structuring of operations and transactions to alter reported earnings in a particular direction. Real earnings management is achieved by changing the timing or structuring of operations and transactions to alter reported earnings in a particular direction. Real transactions such as advertising, R&D are strategically planned. The real activity must have two characteristics to affect accounting performance. At first, it must be in an area where accounting performance-enhancing changes can be implemented over the short term. Secondly, the impact on accounting performance must be essentially immediate (Eldenburg et al., 2011). The possibility of manipulating real activities by managers is discussed in prior literature, however these studies are mainly related to the profit-sector. Most of the research is related to real earnings management with R&D expenses (Baber, Fairfield and Haggard, 1991; Cheng, 2004). There are few studies related to how mangers use specific transactions other than R&D expenses to influence earnings. Some studies are focused on the sale of fixed assets (Herrmann, Tatsuo and Wayne, 2003; Bartov, 1993), sales price reductions (Jackson and Wilcox, 2000), non-revenue generated expenditures at non-profit institutions (Eldenburg et al., 2011), overproduction, managing sales, advertising and SG&A expenses (Roychowdhury 2006). Results of these studies will be shortly mentioned. Baber et al. (1991) investigated whether concern about reporting favorable trends in accounting net income influences decisions to invest in R&D. They used data for 438 United States industrial institutions during the years 1977-1987. Analysis indicated that relative R&D spending is significantly less when spending jeopardizes the ability to report positive or increasing income in the current period. Cheng (2004) provided evidence that compensation committees establish a greater positive association between changes in R&D spending and changes in CEOs options in order to prevent opportunistic reductions in R&D spending. Herrmann et al, (2003) examined the usage of income from the sale of fixed assets and marketable securities to manage earnings. They found a negative relation between income from asset sales and management forecast error. When current reported operating income is below (above) management's forecast of operating income, firms increase (decrease) earnings through the sale of fixed assets and marketable securities. Bartov (1993) investigated whether managers manipulate earnings through the timing of income recognition from disposal of assets and he showed that the profit from sales of assets is negatively correlated with earnings changes. It is argued that institutions facing earnings declines boost profits through increased asset sales. 26 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Jackson and Wilcox (2000) examined whether managers grant sales price reductions in the fourth quarter to accelerate customer purchases and, as a result, avoid losses and declines in earnings and sales. Consistent with expectations, the results indicated that managers grant sales price reductions in the fourth quarter to meet annual financial reporting targets. Management of sales, reduction of discretionary expenses, overproduction are examined by Roychowdhury (2006). He developed the empirical methods to detect real activities manipulation other that reduction of R&D expenses. The results suggested that drawing inferences on earnings management by analyzing only accruals may be inappropriate, because suspect firm-years manipulate real activities to avoid reporting losses. Additionally, institutions appear to be managing real activities to a greater extent if they have a higher proportion of current liabilities. Eldenburg et al. (2011) investigated whether non-profit hospital managers change real activities to manage net income toward a benchmark of zero. They used 191 Californian hospitals over the years 1997 – 2003. They found evidence that expenditures associated with non-operating and non-revenuegenerating activities are managed to achieve positive income and asset dispositions are managed to avoid large positive net incomes. 27 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 4 – Earnings Management at Non-Profit Institutions 4.1 Introduction Research related to earnings management in the non-profit sector will be discussed in this chapter to get an insight into the differences between non-profit and profit institutions and the reasons for engaging in earnings management. Incentives for managers at fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management will be described and the expectations related to earnings management by managers of fundraising institutions will be discussed. Research related to the expectations of earnings management at fundraising institutions will be based on research done at non-profit institutions because literature focused on earnings management at fundraising institutions is scare. Research done at fundraising institutions is mainly focused on managing ratios and not earnings itself (e.g. Krishnan et al., 2006; Baber et al. 2001). Sub-question 3 will be answered in this chapter; what are the motives for managers at non-profit institutions and specifically fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management? 4.2 Research related to Earnings Management at Non-profit Institutions Although earnings management research in non-profit institutions is relatively scarce in comparison to for-profit institutions, a number of authors have documented its existence. Non-profit institutions adjust accounting numbers for several reasons: improving their efficiency ratios (Jones & Roberts, 2006; Krishnan, Yetman & Yetman, 2006;), avoiding taxes (Hofmann, 2007; Omer & Yetman, 2003) and avoiding small losses and high profits (Ballantine, Forker and Greenwood, 2007; Leone & Van Horn, 2005). Non-profit institutions have other incentives to engage in earnings management than for-profit institutions. While for-profit institutions focus on meeting or beating external benchmarks to increase stock price, these objectives are irrelevant for non-profit institutions (Eldenburg et al., 2011). The priority of non-profit institutions consists in providing programs and services that are of public benefit. The definition of non-profit does not imply that the institutions do not make any profit, but rather that the residual profits of the institution need to be spent on the goal of the institution as stated in the statutes of the foundation. The realization of profit is not the main purpose of non-profit institutions (Deneffe and Masson, 2002). Non-profit institutions have incentives to engage in earnings management related to the reduction of cost of debt, ally creditor’s concerns and to maintain or increase the institution’s donation base (Leone and Van Horn, 2005; Eldenburg et al., 2011). Leone and Van Horn (2005) examined the incentives of 28 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os CEOs in non-profit institutions to engage in earnings management. The research is done at non-profit hospitals in the United States. Leone and Van Horn (2005) investigated the incentives to manage earnings to a range just above zero. Managers of hospitals can adjust discretionary spending and accounting accruals. They found that non-profit hospital managers adjust discretionary spending to manage earnings. In addition, discretionary accruals are also used to meet earnings objectives. Eldenburg et al. (2011) investigated whether non-profit hospital managers change real activities to manage their net income toward a benchmark of zero. They found evidence that expenditures associated with non-operating and non-generating activities are managed to achieve positive income and management of asset dispositions to avoid large positive incomes. Ballantine et al. (2007) investigated non-profit hospitals in England, which have the legal obligation to report financial breakeven. They showed that earnings are managed via discretionary accruals such that this happens. Leone and van Horn (2005) suggested that hospitals are expected to spent available resources to pursue the objectives while remaining financially solvent. In contrast to the investor-owned setting where earnings are used to evaluate managers’ ability to increase the value of the institution, managers of non-profit institutions are evaluated on their ability to meet a non-value maximizing objective (e.g. for fundraising institutions allocating raised money to goals and efficiency) subject to a zero-profit constraint. Leone and Van Horn (2005) describe the intuition behind the zero-profit constraint. They argue that non-profit institutions have a social objective and some amount of charity care to the indigent. The institution is expected to spend the available resources to pursue its objectives while remaining financially solvent. There are costs associated with reporting losses and costs associated with reporting profits (Eldenburg et al., 2011; Leone and Van Horn, 2005). Leone and Van Horn (2005) and Ballantine et al. (2007) suggested that profitability serves as a measure of the CEO’s ability to sustain the hospital as a going concern. Reporting any loss suggests that the hospital CEO violated the zero profit constrain, which will increase the likelihood that a CEO is terminated. If the compensation or job security of managers depends on achievement of (internal) objectives, managers will manage earnings in order to report small profits. Furthermore, Leone and van Horn (2005) suggested that managers in non-profit hospitals manage earnings to reduce the cost of debt. Cost of debt can be reduced by decreasing the variance of earnings. Since hospitals have a constraint of earnings zero long run profit, hospital CEOs have an incentive to manage earnings toward zero to minimize the earnings variance. By reducing the cost of debt through earnings management, managers can use the saved cost to increase the quality of services the hospitals provides or to increase their own perquisites. When hospital’s report excessive profits, it is argued that the philanthropic activities are exhausted, there is a delay in these activities until a future period or there is not sufficient effort extended to identify additional philanthropic projects. Frank, Salkever and Mitchell (1990) reported a negative 29 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os correlation between reported income and the level of donations. This indicates that donors take reported earnings into account when they decide to give donations and that they are less willing to donate money to profitable institutions. Donors are less likely to donate to institutions that report high profits, because donors do not view that the institution need charity. Furthermore, donors may view the presence of profits in the institution as evidence that the philanthropic goal has either been met or is not being pursued appropriately by the institution (Frank et al., 1990). Eldenburg et al. (2011) suggested that hospital mangers want to reduce scrutiny by lowering income. In addition, they argued that high profits may alienate donors and conflict with the mission of a non-profit institution. Earnings are managed towards zero or a small profit by managers of non-profit institutions, because managers will decrease the likelihood of termination, reduction of cost of debt, increase or maintain the donation base and the scrutiny will be reduced. 4.3 Incentives to Engage in Earnings Management at Fundraising Institutions In the next paragraphs the focus will be on fundraising institutions. The incentives for managers to engage in earnings management will be described and the expectations related to earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions will be set out. As mentioned before, Healy and Wahlen (1999) have structured the reasons for engaging in earnings management into three incentives. One has to be notified that the research related to incentives to engage in earnings management is mainly done in the United States. Dutch government regulation is different compared to the United States regulation. The three incentives will be described for fundraising institutions. Dutch fundraising institutions do not have a lot of debt on their balance sheet. The short term debt on their balance sheet is mainly related to project obligations of fundraising institutions. Long term debt does not exist at the most Dutch fundraising institutions. For that reason the empirical study will not be focused on earnings management in order to reduce the probability of covenant violation in debt contracts. Moreover, it is uncommon that bonuses are used for earnings management purposes at fundraising institutions. The compensation of managers at Dutch fundraising institutions is in the most cases not dependent on a performance-based measure. Furthermore, fundraising institutions are usually foundations or associations. For that reason they do not offer shares to the public are not owned by investors. The incentives tied to shares are of no consequence to managers at fundraising institutions and are not applicable to fundraising institutions. The anti-trust or other government regulation is an important incentive for managers of fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management. Fundraising institutions are visible for the society; they 30 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os are subject of the public debate and are discussed in the by politicians. High profitability can lead to discussions at the Parliament which can lead to new regulations. Based on the assumption that fundraising institutions want to minimize the political costs they face, it is expected that fundraising institutions strive towards zero or a small positive result. The different incentives to manage earnings at non-profit institutions are presented in table 4.1. Table 4.1 – Reporting Incentives by Non-Profit Institutions. Costs to report losses Costs to report profits Debt costs are higher Cost related to regulation Reputation costs for the CEO Less donations from the public Less donations from the government Based on Leone and Van Horn; Eldenburg et al., 2011; Ballantine et al. (2007) 4.4 Expectations of Earnings Management at Non-Profit Institutions In the previous paragraph research related to earnings management at non-profit institutions in the United States is described. Based on literature described in the previous paragraph the expectations related to earnings management at fundraising institutions will be described. Fundraising institutions do not strive towards profit maximization but they have social duties. They do not have to maximize incoming cash flows in order to make outgoing cash flows possible; they receive funds. Leone and Van Horn (2005), Ballantine et al. (2007) and Eldenburg et al. (2011) argued that managers of non-profit firms try to work to an outcome close to zero or a small positive result. These studies are done for other non-profit institutions (e.g. hospitals). Some incentives described in the previous paragraphs are less strong (the reduction of the cost of debt) in the Netherlands, while others are important drivers to engage in earnings management (e.g. incentives related to the donation base). The expectation is that fundraising institutions manage their result towards zero or a small positive result. Since fundraising institutions are income-spending entities, they do not try to be very profitable. Donors consider the profitability of a hospital when making donation decisions (Frank et al., 1990). Donations are important for fundraising institutions, without donations objectives cannot be accomplished. Managers of fundraising institutions will try to spend their budget in order to show that the policy of the institution is effective and efficient and in order to maintain or increase their donation base. Reporting a zero or small result indicates that all resources are used to make the fundraising institution’s goals possible. All resources acquired, due to gifts from the public and government, were required to enable the execution on the policy of the institution. Managers want to show that in the future the fundraising intuition needs these funds at least to execute the policy that was developed. Managers will manage the earnings towards zero in order to maintain or increase their donation base. 31 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os As mentioned before, fundraising institutions are visible for the society. The media is interested in the institutions and they can bring institutions in public debates. High profitability can lead to political heat and new regulations. Based on the assumption that institutions want to minimize the political costs, it is expected that fundraising institutions strive towards zero or a small positive result. In addition, managers of fundraising institutions will not show large losses because that can indicate that they are not capable to manage the institution. Profitability is used as a measure of a CEO’s ability to sustain the institution as a going concern. To reduce the likelihood that a manager is terminated, the managers will manage the earnings towards a small positive result. Reporting losses can lead to reputation damage of the CEO of the institution. However, reporting large profits by fundraising institutions may lead to: Receiving less funds from the government in the future; Receiving less funds from the public and other donors in the future; Discussions in at the Parliament (political heat), which can lead to new regulations; Discussions in the media. In conclusion, it is expected that mangers of fundraising institutions manage earnings to report profits that are close to zero and nonnegative. Managers with small losses will manage earnings upwards so that earnings are not negative to avoid violating zero profit constraint. Managers of fundraising institutions can exploit the agency problem by managing. When profits are far above (or below) a small positive result or zero, managers can make income-decreasing (incomeincreasing) accruals so that the income is close to zero or a small positive result. Due to such actions of the management, donors and other stakeholders cannot make good decisions based on the result of the fundraising institution. Managing earnings could also be accomplished by increasing or decreasing some types of expenditures, but only if income is potentially high. Managers of fundraising institutions can have an influence on the expenses for the institution. They can increase (decrease) fundraising expenses and/or management & administration expenses in order to reduce (increase) the result. If earnings are high (low), managers can increase (decrease) management & administration expenses and/or fundraising expenses during the year in order to come close to a small positive result or zero. Another possibility to influence earnings in order to come close to the result is managing the subsidy obligations. A lot of subsidy obligations are concerned for several years. There is a subsidy obligation if the board made a decision and if this decision is indicated in writing to the subsidy recipient; hereby a legal or constructive obligation arises. This obligation should be included as debt on the balance sheet (RJ 650.326). If a subsidy obligation is done, the fundraising institution added this obligation to 32 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os the costs (expenses) in the profit and loss statement under the account spending to objectives. Managers of a fundraising institution can influence these accounts in order to reduce (increase) their reported result. If the result deviates much from a small positive result or zero, they can decide to subsidize a project, as an effect the expense on the profit and loss statement increases and the surplus of the institution will be lower. So, besides managing management & administration and fundraising expenses, managers of fundraising institutions can also manage the spending on objectives which is a part of the expenses of an institution. The hypotheses related to the use of earnings management via accruals and real variables (expenses) at fundraising institutions will be composed in chapter 6. 33 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 5 – Corporate governance at Fundraising Institutions 5.1 Introduction In this chapter the focus will be on why corporate governance is needed at non-profit institutions. In addition, corporate governance structures at Dutch fundraising institutions are described. This is needed in order to understand the different governance structures at fundraising institutions and to set the hypotheses in the next chapter. After reading this chapter sub-question 4 is answered; why is corporate governance needed at non-profit institutions and how is corporate governance organized at Dutch fundraising institutions? 5.2 Corporate Governance at Non-profit Institutions The concept of corporate governance stems from principal-agent theory, which focuses on issues of responsibilities (Fama and Jensen, 1983). To align the interests of shareholders and managers when ownership is separated from control in an institution is the main rationale for creating strong governance structures. Fama and Jensen (1983) argue that the non-profit form serves to mitigate potential principal-agent problems between donors and residual claimants. In non-profit institutions there are no explicit residual claimants, which reduce the incentives to expropriate cash-flows from received donors. However, the lack of residual claimants does not eliminate agency problems in nonprofit institutions between donors and internal agents. Non-profit institutions suffer agency problems that are similar to for-profit institutions (Krishnan, Yetman and Yetman, 2006). Krishnan et al. (2006) argued that accounting information can assist donors and other stakeholders in monitoring their implicit contracts by providing a means for donors to evaluate whether the non-profit institution is using its donations in the most efficient and effective manner. Donors use accounting measures to monitor the efficiency of non-profit institutions to ensure stewardship of their donated resources and to assist them in making their donation allocation decisions (Baber et al. 2001; Krishnan et al., 2006; Krishnan and Yetman, 2011). O’Regan and Oster (2005) suggested that governance mechanisms should ensure the mission of the non-profit institution is preserved and that the constituents are protected. So, also non-profit institutions (like fundraising institutions) need various governance mechanisms to serve control or monitoring purpose in order to give stakeholder an accounting measure for making decisions. Improper financial accounting practices are assumed to obscure real performance and diminish investors’ ability to make informed decisions (Xie et al., 2003). On behalf of donors and other stakeholders, the supervisory board has a fiduciary duty to ensure that financial statements are free from misreporting (O’Regan and Oster, 2005). Agency theory emphasizes that the board is in place to 34 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os monitor management. The agency view of an audit committee requires the committee to reduce agency costs by monitoring financial reporting quality (Dhaliwal, Naiker and Navissi, 2010). The supervisory board and audit committee are needed to monitor financial reporting quality and thereby earnings management of an institution. Yetman and Yetman (2011) investigated the effects of corporate governance on financial reporting quality at non-profit institutions. Various stakeholders use non-profit financial information for donating, contracting and regulating decisions, and these decisions can be affected by the quality of the underlying financial information. Inaccurate reports can lead to suboptimal decisions and potential misallocation of resources. Their findings suggest that attempts to enhance the monitoring and oversight of non-profits can lead to higher quality financial reports, particularly if those efforts involve market participants such as lenders or donors. So, stakeholders at fundraising institutions need to know the earnings in order to make decisions (e.g. whether or not give a donation at the fundraising institutions. Improper financial accounting practices diminish stakeholders of non-profit-institutions to make informed decisions. The supervisory board and audit committee can reduce information asymmetry between the insiders and the outsiders by monitoring the financial reports of the institutions. 5.3 Governance Structures at Dutch Fundraising Institutions There are different governance models in the Netherlands, United States and United Kingdom, so for that reason a clear definition for each function is necessary to understand the research and conclusions of prior literature discussed in this chapter. Several models related to the structure of a fundraising institution can be distinguished; therefore it is important who is seen as the supervisory board, as the governing board and the board of directors for setting the hypotheses. In practice there is a so-called board-model (In Dutch: Bestuursmodel) and the oversight-model (In Dutch: Raad van Toezichtmodel). A graphical representation is added in this thesis to get an understanding of the different models (table 5,1 on the next page). The translation of the functions is presented in appendix B. As said in chapter 2, fundraising institutions are mostly associations or foundations. At associations there is a general assembly meeting (hereafter: GAM). The GAM has several legal responsibilities pertaining to the appointing and discharging management, establishing the annual report, and approving amendments to the articles of association. The boards or oversight boards always have to give responsibility to the GAM. 35 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Figure 5.1 – Governance Structures of Dutch Fundraising Institutions. Source: Code goed bestuur voor goede doelen At the oversight- model (model IV in previous figure), the management function is usually filled by statutory directors, but it can also be done by the governing board. The task of the oversight board is to supervise (the policy of) the board of directors and operations in general and advice the board of directors. This body is not allowed to receive compensation, but only a reimbursement of expenses. In the board model legal management is carried out by the board. In model III, the board has an oversight function and has delegated most of his tasks to management. Although the board performs an oversight function, the main difference with model IV is that the board is still legally responsible. In models I and II the board is more closely involved with operational tasks. Within the financial institution, a clear distinction should exist between the supervisory role and the managerial role or the executive role. The governing board determines policy, establishes the financial guidelines and holds the final responsibility for the daily management. The supervisory board adopts or approves plans and critically monitors the institution and its results. They monitor the governing board (Seal Regulations CBF Seal of Approval, 2010). Prior research has found that the existence of an audit committee and the composition of the audit committees and the supervisory board have an impact on earnings management (e.g. Klein, 2002; Xie et al., 2003; O’regan and Oster, 2005; Vafeas, 2005; Felo, Krishnamurthy and Solieri, 2003; Beaver, 2002). In the following chapter some characteristics of the supervisory board and the audit committee will be discussed which will have a relationship with earnings management of fundraising institutions. 36 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 6 – Hypotheses Development 6.1 Introduction In this chapter hypotheses will be formulated with respect to earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions. Subsequently, hypotheses related to characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and the relationship with earnings management will be composed. In order to get an clear overview of the discussed literature on which the hypotheses in this paragraph are based, an overview of the discussed literature is added in Appendix C. The research discussed in this paragraph is mostly related to the impact of corporate governance aspects and earnings management at profit-institutions. However, research is mostly conducted at forprofit institutions and there is a very small base of literature on earnings management at non-profit institutions and the impact of supervisory board &audit committee characteristics. The there are no reasons beforehand why characteristics of the supervisory board & the audit committee have another impact on earnings management at non-profit institutions. For that reason the hypotheses in this paragraph are based on for-profit literature. Sub question 5 will be answered in this chapter; what are the conclusions of prior research concerning the supervisory board and the audit committee characteristics and their relation with earnings management. 6.2 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions As described in chapter 4, managers of fundraising institutions will manage their result towards zero or a small positive result. Ballantine et al. (2007) and Leone and Van Horn (2005) found that reported income by hospitals in the Netherlands and United States is discontinuous around zero. The approach used by Ballantine et. al (2007) and Leone and Van Horn (2005) was derived from the study performed by Burgstahler and Dichev (1997). The expectation is that if managers manage earnings to avoid small losses, a discontinuity of income with unusually low frequencies in the interval just to the left of zero will be observed. The following hypothesis is composed: Hypothesis 1: Small losses are managed upward to small profits. As mentioned before, earnings can be managed by discretionary accruals or abnormal expenses. A relationship between group and the direction of the discretionary accruals is expected. In addition, a relation is predicted between groups and the direction of abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives). For example: managers who have negative earnings will use positive discretionary accruals and/or negative abnormal expenses to come close to 37 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os zero or a small positive result. The reverse situation is the case for managers who have a high positive result: they will use negative discretionary accruals and/or positive abnormal expenses. The following hypotheses will be tested: Hypothesis 2: Negative (Positive) discretionary accruals occur more (less) often at some earnings groups. Hypothesis 3: Negative (Positive) abnormal management & administration expenses are more (less) often used at some earnings groups. Hypothesis 4: Negative (Positive) abnormal fundraising expenses are more (less) often used at some earnings groups. Hypothesis 5: Negative (Positive) abnormal spending on objectives are more (less) often used at some earnings groups. 6.3 Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & the Audit Committee on Earnings Management In this paragraph the hypothesis related to earnings management and characteristics of the supervisory board and audit committee will be composed. 6.3.1 Size of the Supervisory Board and the Existence of an Audit Committee The size of the supervisory board and the impact on earnings management is a much discussed characteristic in the literature (e.g. Xie et al. 2003; Yang and Krishnan, 2005; Rahman and Ali, 2006; Jouber and Fakhfakh, 2010). There is no consensus in the literature about the direction of the relationship between the size and earnings management. Ex ante, adding more directors to a committee is likely to have a non-linear effect on committee performance. Initially adding more members to the committee enhances performance because there are more people on whom to drawn (Vafeas, 2005) and facilitate quality discussions among audit committee members (DeZoort and Salterio, 2001). Rahman and Ali (2006) argued that large boards with varied expertise could increase the synergetic monitoring of the board in reducing the incidence of earnings management. However, when the committee is too large, performance declines because of process losses and diffusion of responsibilities (Vafeas, 2005). Lin, Li and Yang (2006) examined the association between the characteristics of audit committees (size, independence, financial expertise, and activity and stock ownership) and earnings restatements, which is a direct measure of earnings management. They investigated 267 publicly-held corporations 38 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os in the United States that restated their reported earnings for the fiscal year 2000 and found a negative association between the size of the audit committee and occurrence of earnings restatements. Their results show that larger audit committees may provide more oversight over the financial reporting process. Earnings quality seems to improve due to such oversight by reducing the probability of restating financial statements. Xie et al. (2003) investigated the role of the board of directors and the audit committee in preventing earnings management. They choose the years 1992, 1994 and 1996 and included 282 firm-year observations from the S&P 500 index and found a negative relationship between earnings management and board size. They conclude that larger boards are associated with lower levels of discretionary accruals. An argument for that is that larger boards may bring greater number of experienced directors to the board. Peasnell, Pope and Young (2005), Rahman and Ali (2006) and Bradbury, Mak and Tan (2006) found also an association between larger boards and less earnings management. The corporate governance literature also suggests that small corporate boards are more effective monitors than large boards because they have a high degree of membership coordination, less communication difficulties and a lower incidence of severe free-rider problems (Ahmed, Hossain and Adams, 2006). Jensen (1993) suggests that agency problems increases with size; as boards increases it is generally argued that free-rider-problems increases as they do in a team setting. The responsibility of monitoring management is likely to become more diffused, when less of the burden falls on each director. So, in smaller boards each individual board member will be more likely to take responsibility for monitoring of the financial. Another argument for a smaller board is that smaller boards may be less encumbered with bureaucratic problems (Xie et al., 2003). Yermack (1996) analysed 452 boards of profit firms in the United States over the period 1984-1991 and he found that smaller boards could monitor the CEO more effectively. The CBF sets some guidelines for the supervisory board. In the case of a governing board with a supervisory board established in accordance with the articles of association the governing board consists of at least one natural person. Some researchers found a negative association between the size and earnings management, while others showed a positive association between the variables. Initially adding more members to a supervisory board enhances the performance however when too many members are added the performance will decrease due to the free riding problem and less time is spend on problems like earnings management. The following hypotheses are set: Hypothesis 6A: The size of the Supervisory Board is quadratic related to Discretionary Accruals (U-shaped relationship). 39 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Hypothesis 6B: The size of the Supervisory Board is quadratic related to Abnormal, Spending on Management & Administration, Fundraising Expenses and Objectives (U-shaped relationship). The existence of an audit committee is not mandated by law or included in the criteria for the CBFseal, and not all the fundraising institutions have an audit committee. It is interesting to investigate whether the existence of an audit committee has a relationship with earnings management at fundraising institutions. Prior research has found that the existence and composition of the audit committee has an impact on financial reporting. There are studies which found an effect between the existence of an audit committee and earnings management. Turley and Zaman (2004) emphasize the effect of audit committees on financial reporting quality. Evidence of a positive link between audit committee existence and the quality of financial reporting had been provided by analysis indicating that earnings overstatements are less likely among companies that have audit committees and that companies manipulating earnings are less likely to have audit committees. This is in line with the research of Baxter and Cotter (2009), who investigated whether audit committees are associated with improved earnings quality at listed companies on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) and found that formation of audit committees reduces intentional earnings management. Also Davidson, GoodwinStewart and Kent (2005) investigated listed companies on the ASX and found a negative relation between the existence of the audit committee and earnings management. Peasnell et al. (2005) investigated United States listed institutions and found no evidence that the presence of an audit committee directly affects the extent of income manipulations. Most studies found a negative relationship between the existence of an audit committee and earnings management which lead to the following hypotheses: Hypothesis 7A: The Existence of an Audit Committee is negatively related to Discretionary Accruals. Hypothesis 7B: The Existence of an Audit Committee is negatively related to Abnormal Spending on Management & Administration, Fundraising and Objectives Expenses. 6.3.2 Supervisory Board and the Audit Committee Diligence A proxy used to measure supervisory board and audit committee diligence is the number of meetings. The motive for that proxy is that inactive supervisory board or audit committees are unlikely to monitor effectively (Menon and Williams, 1994). The level of activity of a board or committee has 40 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os been recommended as important to enhance its effectiveness in improving earnings quality (Baxter and Cotter (2009), which is related to earnings management. Boards that meet more frequently are expected to have lower earnings management and therefore report higher quality earnings compared to boards which seldom meet because boards which meet more frequently are able to allocate more time on issues such as earnings management (Xie et al., 2003; Rahman and Ali, 2006). Xie et al. (2003) found a negative association between level of earnings management and the meeting frequency of the board. This finding is consistent with the idea that an active board may be a better monitor than an inactive board. In contrast, Vafeas (1999) showed that boards meet more often during periods of turmoil. Jensen (1993) suggested that boards should be relatively inactive and that boards are usually forced to maintain higher activity levels in the presence of problems. So, if the board or audit committee meets not very frequently can be interpreted as stable, with less earnings management. Boards that meet often can have problems (e.g. earnings management). Bedard, Chtourou and Courteau (2004) found no association between the number of meetings and annual discretionary accruals. The research is done in the United States in 1996. In addition, Lin et al. (2006) and Davidson et al. (2005) found no association between the activity of audit committee members and earnings management. There are no specific guidelines for the frequency of supervisory board and audit committee meetings in the Regelement CBF-keur. The number of supervisory board meetings and the number of times the members are presented at these supervisory board meetings have to be included in the annual report (RJ Richtlijn 650). More meetings of the supervisory board and the audit committees can lead to less earnings management because there is more time to spend on issues in the fundraising institutions (so better monitoring is possible when the frequency of meetings is higher). However, it can also be suggested that more meetings are a sign that there are problems in the institutions. More supervisory board meetings and audit committee meetings may indicate that there are problems in the institutions. Given the mixed results of prior research the following hypotheses are formed: Hypothesis 8A: The number of Supervisory Board meetings is related to Discretionary Accruals. Hypothesis 8B: The number of Supervisory Board meetings is related to Abnormal Spending on Management & Administration, Fundraising and Objectives. Hypothesis 9A: The number of Audit Committee meetings is related to Discretionary Accruals. Hypothesis 9B: The number of Audit Committee meetings is related Abnormal Spending on Management & Administration, Fundraising and Objectives. 41 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 6.3.3 Tenure of the CEO and the Audit Committee Members Two conflicting views on the impact of director tenure on board effectiveness can be indicated. One can argue that more experienced directors have greater knowledge about the firm’s operations that enable them to exercise better decision control compared to less experienced directors. Beasley (1996) argue that the likelihood of fraud decreases as the tenure of directors increases. However, if the directors severed the firm for a long time, their independence is compromised as they become more likely to befriend management and hence be less critical about the quality of financial reports (Vafeas, 2005; Yang and Krishan, 2005). A CEO who serves the board for a longer period can use his discretion to manipulate earnings. Based on prior research, which found only support for a positive relationship between earnings management and CEO tenure so, it is hypnotized that: Hypothesis 10: The tenure of the CEO is positively related to Discretionary Accruals. Rahman and Ali (2006) argued that experience of audit committee members allows members to gain a better understanding of the firm and its people, thus enabling them to develop better governance competencies. They investigated 97 institutions listed on the Main Board of Bursa Malaysian over 2002 till 2003. However, they found no association between tenure and the level of earnings management. Yang and Krishnan (2005), who investigated institutions in the United States, showed that the average tenure of the audit committee members is negatively associated with quarterly earnings management, which suggest a possible positive effect of experience with the firm and its accounting. Xie et al. (2003) found a positive relation between the tenure of outside directors and the level of discretionary current accruals. Board members with longer tenure as directors, in this case, may be less effective monitors and perhaps have been co-opted by management. The Regelement CBF-Keur gives some guidelines for the tenure of the supervisory board members. The members of the supervisory board resign periodically. Appointments and any re-appointments are tenable for a maximum period of five years. A negative relationship between the tenure of the audit committee and earnings management is expected in this thesis: Hypothesis 11A: The tenure of Audit Committee is negatively related to Discretionary Accruals Hypothesis 11B: The tenure of Audit Committee is negatively related to Abnormal Spending on Management & Administration, Fundraising and Objectives. 42 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 6.3.4 Financial Expertise of the Audit Committee The audit committee expertise is generally considered as an important characteristic for effective operation. It has been argued that effective oversight by an audit committee requires that the members possess sufficient expertise in accounting and auditing to assess the matters that are presented to them (Beasley and Salterio, 2001; DeFond, Hann and Xu, 2005). Three financial expertises can be distinguished in the literature, namely accounting, finance and supervisory expertise. The method to measure the expertise of the audit committee is based on Dhaliwal et al. (2010). The three different expertises will be shortly explained. Assignment of accounting expertise will be done when a member of an audit committee currently has (or previously had) work experience as certified public accountants, chief financial officers, vice presidents of finance, financial controllers, or any other major accounting positions. Finance expertise is assigned to audit committee members who currently have (or have previously had) work experience as investment bankers, financial analysts, or any other financial management roles. This is because regulators also consider those individuals with experience in analyzing or evaluating financial statements as financial experts. Finally, assignment of supervisory expertise will be done to audit committee members who currently have (or previously have had) work experience as chief executive officers or company presidents. Felo et al. (2003) investigated whether audit committee financial expertise is related to financial reporting quality for two different time periods. The sample consisted of 119 firms between 1992 and 1993 and analysts’ ranking of a firm’s financial reporting quality from the Association for Investment Management and Research database as a proxy for financial reporting quality. They concluded that financial and accounting expertise of the audit committee is positively related to financial reporting quality. Dhaliwal et al. (2010) examined which type of audit committee expertise (accounting, finance or supervisory expertise) has a stronger effect on accruals quality in the presence of strong governance. The sample consisted of 770 firms in the United States. A positive relation between accounting expertise in audit committees and accruals quality is found but no significant association between accruals quality and the presence of finance or supervisory expertise in audit committees showed in their research. Rahman and Ali (2006) suggested that an audit committee that has knowledge and skills in financial reporting is more likely to uncover opportunistic earnings management. In line with Rahman and Ali (2006), Xie et al. (2003) argued that audit committee members with corporate and financial backgrounds should have experience and training to understand earnings management and therefore earnings management is less likely to occur. They found evidence that firms with audit committee members with corporate or financial backgrounds are associated with firms that have smaller discretionary current accruals. 43 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Bedard et al. (2004) investigated whether the expertise, independence and activities of an audit committee have an effect on aggressive earnings management. They found that earnings management is negatively associated with the financial and governance expertise of audit committee members. In line with that, Yang and Krishnan (2005) reported that earnings management is lower for firms whose audit committee directors have greater governance expertise. Contrasting is the research of Baxter and Cotter (2009), who investigated whether audit committees are associated with improved earnings quality (measured by Jones model and Dechow and Dichev model) and found no association between earnings management and audit committee accounting expertise. Requirements related to the financial expertise are not included in the CBF criteria for receiving the CBF-seal. Based on the fact that more researchers have found a negative relationship than no relationship between earnings management and experience of the audit committee, a negative relationship between the financial, accounting and supervisory expertise of the audit committee and earnings management in the Dutch fundraising sector is expected. The following hypothesis is set: Hypothesis 12A: Financial expertise of the Audit Committee is negatively related to Discretionary Accruals. Hypothesis 12B: Financial expertise of the Audit Committee is negatively related to Abnormal Spending on, Administration & Management, Fundraising and Objectives. Table 6.1 included an overview of the hypotheses set related to the characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management. Table 6.1 – Overview Hypotheses: Characteristics Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristic Predicted Relation on Earnings Management H 6 A/B Size of the Supervisory Board U-shaped relationship (Quadratic relationship) H 7 A/B Existence of an Audit Committee - H 8 A/B Number of Supervisory Board meetings ? H 9 A/B Number of Audit Committee meetings ? H 10 A/B Tenure of the CEO + H 11 A/B Tenure of the Audit Committee members - H 12 A/B Financial expertise of the Audit Committee members - 44 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 7 – Research Methodology 7.1 Introduction This chapter includes the research method that will be used to carry out this research. A description will be given on the sample that will be used to obtain the data, and from which sources the data will be extracted. Furthermore, the research designs to test the hypotheses depicted in chapter 6 will be described. 7.2 Sample Selection A dataset from the CBF is received and consist of 268 Dutch fundraising institutions which have a CBF-seal. 6 institutions are not usable because they have not a book year ending at December or the financial statements of the institutions could not be found. The dataset included financial data of the institutions over 2009 and 2010. However, the received dataset was incomplete and faults were found. The years (2009 and 2010) of the balance sheet accounts and profit and loss statement items were confused. Also the account fixed assets and total assets were confused. Based on a sample of 30 randomly selected institutions there is concluded that these items were incorrect and the columns are changed. For 262 institutions the current assets and current liabilities over 2009 and 2010 are manually collected. In order to test the characteristics of the supervisory board and the audit committee on discretionary accruals and abnormal spending on management & administration, fundraising and objectives, the 139 largest institutions, based on total assets over 2010 are selected. The largest fundraising institutions are chosen, because one can expect that these institutions have the most attention of the public, government and media. For these 139 institutions the supervisory board and audit committee characteristics, which are mentioned in chapter 6, are manually collected. The needed data related to the supervisory board and audit committee characteristics is found in financial statements and annual reports of the selected institutions on the website of the CBF. Some data related to these characteristics could not be found in the financial statements or annual reports. For 46 institutions all the necessary data related to the characteristic of the supervisory board and audit committee is collected. For the other 93 institutions one or more characteristics related to the supervisory board or audit committee is/are missing. An overview of the sample selection can be found in table 7.1. 45 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Table 7.1 – Sample Selection Initial data obtained 268 Unusable due to other book years or financial statements not available (11) Sample to test hypotheses 1 till 5 257 Largest institutions in the initial data obtained (based on total assets 2010) 139 Missing data points related to characteristics supervisory board and audit committee (93) Sample to test hypotheses 6 till 12 46 7.3 Research Designs In the coming paragraphs there will be a description of the approaches in order to test the hypotheses set in chapter 6. At first, the method to investigate the earnings distribution of fundraising institutions will be pointed out. Subsequently, the used models to determine discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses will be explained. Thereafter, the research design to investigate the relationship between groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses will be described. Finally, the models to examine the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and discretionary expenses/abnormal expenses are explained. 7.3.1 Income Distribution In order to test hypothesis 1 and find out whether the distribution of earnings is discontinuous around zero, earnings data will be plotted in a histogram and the normality of the distribution of earnings around zero will be examined. Visual examination of the distribution of income scaled by total income in preceding year (2009) is performed. Scaling with total income is necessary in order to control for the size of the institutions. Besides a graphical examination of the earnings distribution around zero a statistical test, which is derived from the method developed by Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) will be performed. The expected number of observations in the interval containing zero is: be: , its variance will . The test statistic Z is defined as the difference between and divided by the standard deviation, approximately follows the standard normal distribution. N is the overall number of observations, the observed probability of falling into the interval containing zero, the nearest interval with lower earnings, and the nearest interval with higher earnings. 46 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 7.3.2 Detection Earnings Management Through Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses Earnings management through accruals will be measured by the (modified) Jones models, which are explained and discussed in chapter 3. Based on the method used by Jones (1991) total accruals will be calculated. However, the change in current maturities of long term debt is not included in the calculation. This account could not be received from the CBF neither it was manually collectable. Naturally the accounts long term debt can be found in the financial statements, however the part which mature in one year cannot be found. The modified Jones model and the Jones model are used because these models are complementary. The Jones model suffers type II errors and model I suffers type I errors, so using the two models can give an insight into the different outcomes of the models. Besides investigating earnings management through accruals there will also be an examination of earnings management via real variables. As mentioned in chapter 4 the focus will be on earnings management through expenses of management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives. Measuring normal management & administration expenses, fundraising expenses and spending on objectives is based on the discretionary abnormal expenses model of Roychowdhury (2006) who built his model based on Dechow, Kothari and Watts (1999). For an explanation of the model of Roychowdhury (2006) see appendix D. The three models which will be used to measure the normal expenses are: With: = Management & Administration costs for institution i at year t; = Total assets at period t-1 for institution i; = Total income during period t for institution i, and; = Error term. With: = Fundraising costs for institution i at year t. 47 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os With: = Spending on objectives for institution i at year t. The abnormal management & administration expenses, abnormal fundraising expenses and abnormal spending on objectives are the residuals of the models. Model 4 expresses the total abnormal expenses. The model included the residuals of models 1, 2, and 3, which are the abnormal spending on management & administration, fundraising and objectives. With: = Total abnormal expenses for institution i at year t; = Total abnormal management & administration expenses for institution i at year t; = Total abnormal fundraising expenses for institution i at year t; = Total abnormal spending on objectives for institution i at year t. It has to be noticed that Roychowdhury (2006) investigated R&D expenses, SG&A expenses and marketing expenses. Furthermore, the model of Roychowdhury (2006) is used to measure normal and abnormal expenses in the profit sector. The model of Roychowdhury (2006) will be used to measure normal and abnormal expenses in the non-profit sector, nevertheless there is no indication that differences in the profit and non-profit sector for determining the normal and abnormal expenses exists. For that reason a model extracted from the profit sector will be used in this thesis to investigated the abnormal expenses in the fundraising sector. 48 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 7.3.3 Groups and the Direction of Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses In order to test hypotheses 2 till 5 different groups will be distinguished: the fundraising institutions in the sample will be divided into six different groups based on their earnings before discretionary accrual (EBDA). There will be an examination whether a relation between the groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals exists. In addition, there will be tested whether a relation between the groups and the direction of the total abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives expenses) exists. Groups are formed based on earnings before total abnormal expenses (EBTAE) to test whether this relation exists. Furthermore, groups are composed based on earnings before abnormal management & administration expenses (EBAMAE), earnings before abnormal fundraising expenses (EBAFE) and earnings before abnormal spending on objectives (EBASO). In order to determine EBDA, discretionary accruals will be calculated through the Jones model and are cleared with the earnings over 2010. The EBAMAE will be determined by clearing the earnings with the abnormal management & administration expenses. The same is done for the EBAFE and EBASO. In addition, the EBTAE will be calculated by clearing the earnings with the abnormal management & administration expenses, abnormal fundraising expenses and abnormal spending on objectives. EBDA, EBTAE, EBAMAE, EBAFE, and EBASO are scaled by total income in order to control for the size of the fundraising institutions. The following groups can be distinguished: Group 1 – This group consists of institutions with EBDA or EBTAE larger than -,5. The limit of -,5 is chosen arbitrary, because no further rules were found in prior literature. Institutions in this group have large losses and it is expected that managers of the intuitions ’take a bath’. It is expected that managers of this group use negative discretionary accruals and positive abnormal expenses in order to decrease earnings further. Group 2– The managers of this group use negative discretionary accruals and positive abnormal expenses, while they have positive EBDA and/or EBTAE. The earnings of these institutions are unexpectedly managed towards a (large) negative result, which is against the idea that managers of fundraising institutions manage their earnings towards zero or a small positive result. So, this group consists of institutions which manage earnings towards a negative result which means that they do not follow the expected pattern of managing earnings towards zero or a small positive result. Group 3 – Institutions which have negative EBDA or EBTAE will fall in this group. It is expected that managers strive towards zero or small positive result. In order to accomplish that, managers will use positive discretionary accruals and negative abnormal expenses. 49 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Group 4 –Institutions which have positive EBDA or EBTAE will be included in this group. It is expected that managers of this group would like to reduce their income in order to come close to zero earnings. This will be accomplished by using negative discretionary accruals and positive abnormal expenses. Group 5 – Fundraising institutions which have negative EBDA or EBTAE will fall in this group. Managers of this group use positive discretionary accruals and negative abnormal expenses to prevent reporting negative results. However, the reported earnings are highly positive. Managers of this group unexpectedly do not strive towards zero or a small positive result, which is not in line with the idea that managers of the institutions strive towards a small positive or zero result. Group 6 – This group consist of institutions which use positive discretionary accruals and negative abnormal expenses in order to increase their income. Managers of this group do not decrease their earnings to come to a small positive result, which would be in line with the theory. Figure 7.1 – Graphical Presentation of the Expectations for each Groups 4 1 2 3 6 5 0 EBDA/EBTAE In conclusion, managers of fundraising institutions which fall in group 3 and 4 strive towards zero or a small positive result, which can be accomplished by using discretionary accruals or abnormal expenses. It is expected, based on the theory that non-profit institutions strive towards zero or a small positive result, that the most institutions will fall into these groups. Managers of group 1 manage their earnings downwards, because it is not likely that they can use discretionary accruals and/or abnormal expenses to come close to a zero or small positive result. Groups 2, 5 and 6 consist of the institutions which unexpectedly do not strive towards zero or a small positive result. After forming groups, a chi-square test will be performed in order to test whether a relation exists between the direction of the discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses and the groups. It is expected that institutions which fall in group 4 an 1 use more often negative (positive) discretionary accruals 50 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os (abnormal expenses) than expected. Institutions which fall in group 3 use more often positive (negative) discretionary accruals (abnormal expenses) than expected and institutions of group 1 use more often negative (positive) discretionary accruals (abnormal expenses) than expected. Managers of group 2, 5 and 6 manage their earnings unexpectedly not towards zero and it is predicted that these groups will not include many fundraising institutions. 7.3.4 Supervisory Board and Audit Committee Characteristics on Earnings Management Hypotheses 6 till 12 are formulated in chapter 6. The empirical models to examine the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses will be described in this paragraph. The following model will be used to investigate the relationship between the characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management by using accruals. As mentioned before, the discretionary accruals will be calculated through the Jones model and the modified Jones model. The absolute value of the discretionary accruals will be the dependent variable in the regressions. The absolute value is chosen because the focus of this study is on the degree of earnings management and not whether the discretionary accruals increases or decreases the earnings. When using the absolute values, a relationship between the supervisory board and audit committee characteristics and earnings management is more easy to found than using the real values. The following models (model 2, 3, 4 and 5) will be used to investigate the relationship between abnormal expenses and characteristics of the supervisory board and audit committee: 51 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os The regressions as presented in the models above will be produced in the next chapter. In addition the regressions will be created with a quadratic term SBSIZE², because in chapter 6 a quadratic effect between the size and dependent variables is predicted. Table 7.2 included the descriptions of the variables of the above equations. Table 7.2 – Variable Descriptions Variables Description Dependent Variables: ABS DA Absolute value discretionary accruals ABS AMAE Absolute value abnormal management & administration ABS AFUNE Absolute value of the abnormal fundraising expenses ABS ASO Absolute value of the abnormal spending on objectives ABS TAE Absolute value of the abnormal spending on management & administration, fundraising and objectives Independent Variables: SBSIZE Number of supervisory board members SBSIZE² The squared number of supervisory board members, ACEXI Dummy variable for having an audit committee SBMEET Number of supervisory board meetings ACMEET Number of audit committee meetings CEOTEN Number of years of board service of the CEO ACTEN The average number of years of the audit committee service FINEX Dummy variable for having experience in accounting, finance and/or supervisory 52 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 8 – Results 8.1 Introduction In this chapter the results of the empirical research will be discussed. sub questions 6 till 8 will be answered: - What is the impact of the size of supervisory board and the existence of the audit committee on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? - What is the impact of the frequency of the supervisory board and audit committee meetings on earnings management Dutch fundraising institutions? - What is the impact of the tenure of the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) (In Dutch: voorzitter Raad van Bestuur) and the audit committee members on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? - What is the impact of financial expertise of the audit committee members on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions? At first, the results of the investigation of the earnings distribution of fundraising institutions will be depicted. Subsequently, the analysis of the used models to determine discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses will be discussed. Thereafter, the outcomes of the relation tests between groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses will be described. Finally, the regression results, which examine the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses, will be shown and discussed. Only the main tables an figures are included in this theses, additional analysis (tables and figures) can be found in the appendixes. 8.2 Income Distribution The results of the earnings distribution will be examined to conclude whether the distribution of earnings is discontinuous around zero. Table 8.1 present the descriptive statistics of the Earnings (t) scaled by Total Income (t-1). If an observation differs three times the standard deviation or more form the mean, the observation is declared as an outlier and is deleted. A range between -0,8423 and 0,9517 is formed to examine the normality of the distribution. Table 8.2 presents descriptive statistics without outliers. 53 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Table 8.1 - Descriptive Statistics N Earnings (t) scaled by Total Income (t-1) 263 Valid N (listwise) 263 Minimum Maximum -2,61 1,76 Mean Std. Deviation ,0547 ,29900 Table 8.2 - Descriptive Statistics, Outliers Excluded N Earnings (t) scaled by Total Income (t-1) 257 Valid N (listwise) 257 Minimum -,64 Maximum ,95 Mean Std. Deviation ,0495 ,18885 Figure 8.1 shows that the frequency of the interval of small losses between -,05 and 0,0 is less than the frequency of the interval 0,0 and 0,05. Just before the zero line there are approximately 40 observations and after the zero line almost 80. So, small losses occur less than small profits; a discontinuity can be observed around zero. However, a statistical test has to be done to conclude if the distribution is discontinuous. As mentioned in the research design the research approach of Burgsthler and Dichev is used to investigate the continuity around zero statistically. The Z-statistic for interval 0.0; 0.05 is 8.14 and for the interval -.05; .00 a Z-statistic of -7.68 is calculated. These values are significant, implying a discontinuity around zero. In appendix E a table is presented including the observed count for each interval. In addition, a histogram with the same range and interval used by Burgstahler and Dichev (1997) is produced. Figure 8.2 shows the earnings scaled by total income with an interval width of 0,005 and a range from -.25 to + .35, which is used by Burgstahler and Dichev (1997). The figure shows that the frequency of the interval of small losses between -,05 and 0,0 is less than the frequency of the interval 0,0 and 0,05. Just before the zero line there are approximately 6 observations and after the zero line 11. Small losses occur less than small profits; a discontinuity can be observed around zero. A statistical test has to be done to conclude whether the distribution is discontinue. The Z-statistic for interval 0.000; 0.005 is 1.56 and for the interval -.005; 0.00 , a Z-statistic of -3,05 is calculated. However, it cannot be concluded whether earnings are managed; it can also be the case that there was good control within the fundraising institutions 54 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Figure 8.1 - Histogram Earnings (t) scaled by Total Income (t-1); interval width 0,05 Figure 8.2 – Histogram Earnings(t) scaled by Total Income (t-1), interval width 0,005 55 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 8.3 Models to Detect Earnings Management Through Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses In this paragraph the results related to the (modified) Jones models and the normal expenses models will be described. The process of deriving the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses (management &administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) can be found in appendix G. The assumptions of the (modified) Jones model and normal expenses models are tested and can be found in appendix F. (Modified) Jones Model The descriptive statistics of the accrual and expenses models are presented in table 8.3. Table 8.3 – Descriptive Statistics Variables (Modified) Jones Model N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation 1/Total Assets (t-1) 253 3,35072E-9 ,0000147639 7,74576388E-7 ,000001515016 ∆Rev /Total Assets (t-1) 253 -5,961 1,941 ,077 ,528 ∆Rev-∆Rec / Total Assets (t-t) 262 -5,254 2,458 ,061 ,502 PPE(t)/Total Assets (t-1) 252 0E-10 100,203 ,491 6,308 Total Accruals(t) /Total Assets (t-1) 253 -1,840 1,995 -,011 ,297 Valid N (listwise) 252 The (unstandardized) residuals are used to estimate the discretionary accruals for both the Jones model and the modified Jones model. The process for getting the discretionary accruals can be found in Appendix G. The regression of the Jones model lead to the following equitation: The regression of the modified Jones model results in the following equitation: 56 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os Normal Expenses Models Table 8.4 present the descriptive statistics of the variables Normal Expenses Models. Table 8.4 – Descriptive Statistics Variables Normal Expenses Models N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation MA/Total Assets(t-1) 246 ,00 1,46 ,1 ,1 SO/Total Assets (t-1) 263 ,02 51,77 1,4 3,3 FUN/Total Assets(t-1) 238 ,00 1,17 ,1 ,2 1/Total Assets (t-1) 253 3,35072E-9 ,00001476 7,74576388E-7 ,000001515912 Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) 263 ,05 57,56 1,6 3,7 Valid N (listwise) 226 The (unstandardized) residuals of the normal expenses models, as presented in paragraph 7.3.2, are the abnormal spending on management & administration, fundraising and objectives. The residuals of the three types of expenses (management and administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) models form the total abnormal expenses. The process to determine the abnormal expenses can be found in Appendix G. The following equations are composed: 8.4 Groups and Direction of Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses As mentioned in the research design, groups are formed in order to investigate whether a relation exists between the groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals. In addition, there will be an examination whether a relation exists between the groups and the direction of abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives). In table 8.5 and 8.6 the cross tables are presented. For each cross table a chi-square test is done in order to conclude whether the observed and expected count differ significantly. Based on the chi-square tests, which can be found in appendix H, it can be concluded that there is a relation between the groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals. A relation between groups and abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) is also proved. The chi-square tests and cross tables for these relations can also be found in appendix H. 57 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os After concluding that the relations are significant (based on the chi-square tests), the cross tables have to be interpreted to determine the direction of the relation between groups and discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses. Based on table 8.5, one can conclude that group 4 uses more (less) often negative (positive) discretionary accruals than expected. In addition, group 3 uses more (less) often positive (negative) discretionary accruals than expected. Furthermore, the cross table shows that managers of group 1 use more (less) often positive (negative) discretionary accruals implying that managers increase income by using positive discretionary accruals. So managers of group 1 do not take a bath and use negative accruals in order to decrease income. Finally, institutions in groups 2, 5 and 6 do unexpectedly not strive towards zero or a small positive result as a consequence it was predicted that these groups will not include a lot of institutions. Few fundraising institutions fall within these groups, which is in line with the expectations. Table 8.5 – Cross table Direction Discretionary Accruals and Groups The cross table of the direction of the total abnormal expenses is only included in the thesis. The cross tables for each type of abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and objectives) can be found in appendix H. The individual cross tables of the 3 types abnormal expenses show the same tendency as the total abnormal expenses. The focus will be on the total abnormal expenses because the focus of this thesis is on the effect of the total abnormal expenses. Based on table 8.6, which shows the cross table for the total abnormal expenses, one could conclude that group 4 use more (less) often positive (negative) abnormal expenses than expected. Furthermore, group 3 uses more (less) often negative (positive) abnormal expenses than expected. The cross table shows that managers of group 1 are willing to increase income by using negative abnormal expenses, so they do not take a bath and use positive abnormal expenses in order to decrease their income further. 58 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os In addition, institutions in groups 2, 5 and 6 do not strive towards zero or a small positive result and it was expected that these groups do not include a lot of institutions. Some institutions fall within these groups, so this is in line with the expectations. Table 8.6 – Cross table Direction Total Abnormal Expenses The relations between the groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are tested separately: the total effect of both the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses is not investigated. Overall, it can be concluded that a relation exists between the groups and the direction of the discretionary accruals Furthermore a relation is found between groups and the direction of abnormal expenses. Managers of fundraising institutions use discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses in order to report earnings close to zero or a small positive result. Managers do not take a bath if their earnings are highly negative. If earnings are very high, managers use discretionary accruals to reduce earnings. However they do not use abnormal expenses in order to decrease earning. In this chapter the distribution of the earnings of Dutch fundraising institutions around zero are examined. In addition there is tested whether discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are used to manage earnings towards zero or a small positive result. These tests are performed in order to investigate the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management. The discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are measures for earnings management and will be the Y-variables in the regressions. The regressions will be presented and discussed in the next paragraph. It is necessary to determine whether the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are a good measures of earnings management in order to perform the regressions. Based on the distribution approach one cannot conclude that earnings are managed at Dutch fundraising institutions, because it is not possible to observe whether good control or earnings management result in more observations just after the zero line. Based on the chi-square tests and cross tables, one could conclude that managers use discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses in order to manage earnings towards zero or a small positive result. 59 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions: the Impact of Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Characteristics Frederica Sophia van Os 8.5 Supervisory Board an Audit Committee Characteristics on Earnings Management In table 8.7 the descriptive statistics of the variables related to the characteristics of the supervisory board, audit committee, discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses can be found. Table 8.7 - Descriptive Statistics Variable N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation ABS DA (Jones) 252 ,000103 1,85 ,1585 ,24284 ABS DA (Modified Jones) 252 ,000130 1,99 ,1580 ,24474 ABS AMAE 236 ,000132 ,65 ,0514 ,08505 ABS AFUNE 231 ,0016 1,02 ,0817 ,12285 ABS ASO 253 ,0008 3,05 ,2624 ,31354 ABS TAE 226 ,0025 3,72 ,3484 ,41683 Supervisory board and audit committee variables SBSIZE 129 1 40 8,73 6,714 SBSIZE² 138 1 1600 101,25 221,340 ACEXI 130 0 1 ,46 ,500 SBMEET 116 1 12 4,80 1,861 ACMEET 46 1 7 3,09 1,363 CEOTEN 117 0 25 4,77 4,656 ACTEN 46 0 11 3,54 2,610 FINEX 138 0 1 ,28 ,448 Valid N Variable definitions: ABS DA(Jones) ABS DA (Modified Jones) ABS AMAE ABS AFUNE ABS ASO ABS TAE 40 = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Jones (1991) = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Dechow et al. (1995) = the absolute value of the abnormal management & administration expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal fundraising expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal spending on objectives = the absolute value of the total abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) Supervisory board and audit committee variables: SBSIZE = the number supervisory board members SBSIZE² = the squared number supervisory board members ACEXI = a dummy variable coded 1 if an audit committee exists at a fundraising institution, and 0 otherwise. SBMEET = the number of meetings held by the supervisory board ACMEET = the number of meetings held by the audit committee. CEOTEN = tenure of the CEO ACTEN =average tenure of the audit committee members FINEX =a dummy variable coded 1 if the audit committee has at least one member with financial experience (finance, supervisory or accounting experience), and 0 otherwise. The number of observations of the variables ACMEET and ACTEN are very low (46) for that reason ACMEET and ACTEN will be excluded in the models in order to get regressions which are based on a higher number of observations. In appendix I an overview of the regression analysis which includes all the variables can be found. 60 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table 8.8 contains results of the regression models with the dependent variable ABS DA. In model 1 and 3 the linear variables SBSIZE, ACEXI, SBMEET, CEOTEN, and FINEX are tested on discretionary accruals, which are calculated via the (modified) Jones Model. In model 2 and 4 the quadratic variable SBSIZE² is added because hypothesis 6A predicted a quadratic relationship between SBSIZE and discretionary accruals. All the regression models are significant: models 1, 3, and 4 at 5% level and model 2 at 10% level, implicating that the individual coefficients can be interpreted. The models have R-squares between 10.9 % and 14,9% , which indicated that the model explains minimal 10.9%% of the variation in the discretionary accruals of the fundraising institutions in the sample. Yang and Krishnan (2005), who investigated the relationship between audit committee characteristics and quarterly earnings management in the United States based on 896 firm-year observations, reported R-squares around 3.1% and 16,2%. A negative relationship in regression 1 and 3 is found between the size of the supervisory board (SBSIZE) and discretionary accruals. A possible reason why a negative relationship is found is based on the argument that adding more members enhances the performance of the members. Larger boards allow for more specialized division of labour and increases monitoring ability of boards, resulting in less earnings management. Adding the quadratic effect in model 2 and 4 does not improve model 1 nor model 3. Meaning that there is no curvilinear (u-shaped) relationship between the size of the supervisory board and discretionary accruals: hypotheses 6A is not supported. In advance, no expectation for the direction of the variable SBMEET on discretionary accruals is formed in hypothesis 8A. Regressions 3 and 4 indicate a positive relationship between the number of supervisory meetings (SBMEET) and discretionary accruals. This result could be explained by the idea that more supervisory board meetings indicate the presence of problems in the fundraising institutions. Boards which meet not very often can be interpreted as stable, with less earnings management. Hypothesis 10A predicted that the CEO tenure is positively related to discretionary accruals. Unexpectedly, the coefficient CEOTEN is negative in all the models. Furthermore, a negative relationship between the existence of an audit committee (ACEXI) cannot be proved. In addition a negative relationship between financial experience of the audit committee members (FINEX) and discretionary accruals is not found. These two variables are not significant in any model; hypotheses 7A and 12A cannot be proved. 61 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os 8.8– Regression Discretionary Accruals Dependent variables Independent variables SBSIZE 1 ABS DA (Jones Model) 2 ABS DA (Jones Model) 3 ABS DA (Mod. Jones Model) 4 ABS DA (Mod. Jones Model) -0.002 (0.147) -0.002 (0.255) -0.001 (0.090)* -0.002 (0.190) SBSIZE ² -2.372E-005 (0.336) -1.672E-005 (0.670) ACEXI -0.023 (0.276) -0.023 (0.286) 0.001 (0.926) 0.002 (0.912) SBMEET -0.001 (0.786) -0.001 (0.732) 0.005 (0.065)* 0.005 (0.086)* CEOTEN -0.005 (0.004)*** -0.005 (0.004)*** -0.003 (0.014)** -0.003 (0.013)** FINEX 0.016 (0.491) 0.015 (0.503) 0.002 (0.891) 0.002 (0.908) Constant 0.130 (0.000)*** 0.135 (0.000)*** 0.067 (0.000)*** 0.001 (0.000)*** Significance model N R-Square (0,054)* 99 10.9% (0.088)* 99 11.0% (0,020)** 89 14.7% (0.036)** 89 14.9% Variables definitions: ABS DA(Jones) ABS DA (Modified Jones) ABS AMAE ABS AFUNE ABS ASO ABS TAE = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Jones (1991) = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Dechow et al. (1995) = the absolute value of the abnormal management & administration expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal fundraising expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal spending on objectives = the absolute value of the total abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) Supervisory board and audit committee variables: SBSIZE = the number supervisory board members SBSIZE² = the squared number supervisory board members ACEXI = a dummy variable coded 1 if an audit committee exists at a fundraising institution, and 0 otherwise. SBMEET = the number of meetings held by the supervisory board ACMEET = the number of meetings held by the audit committee. CEOTEN = tenure of the CEO ACTEN =average tenure of the audit committee members FINEX =a dummy variable coded 1 if the audit committee has at least one member with financial experience (finance, supervisory or accounting experience), and 0 otherwise. ***, **, and * denote significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10 levels, respectively. Table 8.9 contains results for the regression models with the dependent variable ABS AMAE, ABS AFUNE, ABS ASO and ABS TAE. In regressions 5, 7, 9 and 11 the linear variables SBSIZE, ACEXI, SBMEET, CEOTEN, and FINEX are tested on abnormal expenses (management & administration expenses, fundraising expenses, spending on objectives and total abnormal expenses). In regressions 6, 62 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os 8 and 10 the quadratic effect of SBSIZE² is added in order to examine whether the quadratic effect will improve the model 5, 7 and 9. When interpreting the p-values of the regressions it can be concluded that only the models 5 and 6 are significant. As a consequence only the coefficients of model 5 and 6 can be interpreted. Hypothesis 7B states that the existence of an audit committee (ACEXI) is negatively related to abnormal management & administration expenses. The result presented in table 8.9 does not support this hypotheses: a positive relationship is found between ACEXI and abnormal management & administration expenses. The existence of an audit committee lead to more abnormal management and administration expenses. Hypothesis 12B predicted that the financial experience of that audit committee is negatively related to abnormal expenses. As shown in table 8.9, this hypothesis is supported: a negative relationship between the financial experience of audit committee members (FINEX) and abnormal management & administration expenses is found. Hypotheses 6B, 8B, and 10B cannot be proved because the size of the supervisory board (SBSIZE), the number of supervisory board meetings (SBMEET) and the tenure of the CEO (CEOTEN) are not significant. 63 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table 8.9 – Regression Abnormal Expenses Dependent variables Independent variables SBSIZE 5 ABS AMAE -0.000279 (0.341) SBSIZE² 6 7 ABS AMAE ABS AFUNE -0.000306 (0.357) -0.001 (0.934) -4.971-009 (0.862) 8 9 ABS AFUNE ABS ASO -0.001 (0.341) 2.376E-005 (0.239) ACEXI 0.021 (0.001)*** 0.021 (0.001)*** 0.014 (0.077)* 0.014 (0.085)* SBMEET -0.001 (0.429) -0.001 (0.808) -0.001 (0.422) 0.001 (0.319) CEOTEN -0.000304 (0.489) -0.000292 (0.4513) -0.001 (0.319) FINEX -0.020 (0.003)*** -0.020 (0.001)*** Constant 0.014 (0.055)* Significance model N R-Square (0,011)** 97 14.0% Variable definitions: ABS DA(Jones) ABS DA (Modified Jones) ABS AMAE ABS AFUNE ABS ASO ABS TAE 0.001 (0.552) 10 11 ABS ASO ABS TAE 0.001 (0.464) 0.002 (0.392) -4.706E-008 (0.700) 0.028 (0.227) 0.028 (0.236) -0.011 (0.761) 0.008 (0.057)* 0.008 (0.081)* 0.003 (0.620) -0.000443 (0.424) 0.003 (0.106) 0.003 (0.125) 0.004 (0.160) -0.013 (0.144) -0.012 (0.156) -0.031 (0.210) -0.032 (0.210) -0.016 (0.697) 0.014) (0.061)* 0.042 (0.000)*** 0.037 (0.000)*** (0.023)** 97 14.8% (0,427) 96 5.2% ( 0.390) 96 6.7% 0.082 0.083 0.141 (0.004)*** (0.004)*** (0.003)** (0.199) 90 8.2% (0.279) 90 8.4% (0.608) 90 3.1% = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Jones (1991) = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Dechow et al. (1995) = the absolute value of the abnormal management & administration expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal fundraising expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal spending on objectives = the absolute value of the total abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) Supervisory board and audit committee variables: SBSIZE = the number supervisory board members SBSIZE² = the number supervisory board members ACEXI = a dummy variable coded 1 if an audit committee exists at a fundraising institution, and 0 otherwise. SBMEET = the number of meetings held by the supervisory board ACMEET = the number of meetings held by the audit committee. CEOTEN = tenure of the CEO ACTEN =average tenure of the audit committee members FINEX =a dummy variable coded 1 if the audit committee has at least one member with financial experience (finance, supervisory or accounting experience), and 0 otherwise. ***, **, and * denote significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10 levels, respectively. 64 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Chapter 9 – Conclusion, Limitations and Implications for Further Research This thesis focused on earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions. Throughout the years research has been conducted with respect to earnings management in the profit sector, while the nonprofit sector is getting less attention. Prior literature to earnings management in the non-profit sector mainly includes research conducted in the health care sector and municipalities. There is a very small base of literature on earnings management at fundraising institutions. Fundraising institutions and the discretionary methods to mange spending and efficiency ratios are investigated, however this thesis investigated earnings management at Dutch fundraising institutions. In addition, research has been done with respect to earnings management and corporate governance (supervisory board and audit committee characteristics) aspects in the profit sector. This thesis investigated the relationships between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management in the Dutch fundraising institutions. The following research question is composed: “What is the effect of supervisory board & audit committee characteristics on earnings management through discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses at Dutch fundraising institutions?” In order to answer the research question the concept of (real) earnings management is discussed. The definition of earnings management as noticed by Scott (2006) has been used throughout this thesis:“The choice by a manger of accounting policies, or actions affecting earnings, so as to achieve some specific objectives.” Managers of fundraising intuitions have an information advantage over stakeholders. Due to information asymmetry it is possible for managers to manage earnings, since stakeholders have little information to assess whether the disclosed financial statements are reliable. There are a number of reasons why managers engage in earnings management. Healy and Wahlen (1999) have structured these reasons into three incentives for engaging in earnings management: capital market expectations and valuation, contract written in terms of accounting numbers and antitrust or other government regulations. These incentives are related to the profit-sector. Incentives to apply earnings management in the non-profit sector differ from those in the profit sector. Prior research is mainly done at non-profit hospitals in the United Kingdom and United States. An important incentive for fundraising institutions to engage in earnings management is related to antitrust or other government regulation. Fundraising institutions are visible for the society and are subject to the political agenda. High profitability can lead to increased political heat and public debate and as a consequence a decrease of the donation base. Based on that, it is expected that fundraising institutions manage their earnings towards zero or a small positive result. 65 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os This thesis also focused on the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and (real) earnings management. Based on prior research, it is expected that the size of the supervisory board, the number of supervisory board & audit committee meetings, the tenure of the CEO & audit committee members, and the financial experience of the audit committee members have a relationship with discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses of Dutch fundraising institutions. After setting out prior research related to earnings management, hypothesis are formulated and empirical research is done. Different approaches are used to detect earnings management at Dutch fundraising intuitions. At first, the income distribution of Dutch fundraising institutions is discontinue around. However, it cannot be concluded that this is an effect of earnings management or good control within the institutions. Subsequently, groups are formed (based on EBDA) to investigate whether a relation exists between groups and the direction (positive or negative) of discretionary accruals. Furthermore, an examination of the relation between groups (based on EBAE) and the direction of the abnormal expenses (abnormal spending on management & administration, fundraising and objectives) is done. A relation between groups and discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses is found. Earnings are managed towards zero or a small positive result. Moreover, results suggested managers do not take ‘a big bath’ if their earnings are highly negative by using negative discretionary accruals and/or positive abnormal expenses. Supervisory board & audit committee characteristics and its relationship with discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses is investigated. A negative relationship between the size of the supervisory board and discretionary accruals is found. Furthermore, results show that the number of supervisory board meetings is positively related to discretionary accruals. A negative relationship between financial expertise of the audit committee members and discretionary accruals was expected. However, this relationship cannot be proved. Prior literature discussed in this thesis found evidence for a positive relationship between the tenure of the CEO and earnings management. Unexpectedly, the results show that the tenure of the CEO is negatively related to discretionary accruals. The ethical behaviour and the moral of CEOs at non-profit institutions compared to CEOs at profit institutions can be an explanation for finding a negative relationship between the tenure of the CEO and earnings management. Bower and Shrader (2000) investigated differences in moral reasoning and ethical climate between board members in profit institutions and non-profit institutions at the United States. Six profit institutions and seven non-profit corporations participated in the survey study. They argue that although CEOs who serve on for-profit and non-profit institutions are generally in the same age and have similar educational levels, the motives and expectations for serving on a non-profit board are different from those serving on a for profit board. A CEO for a non-profit institution is seeking some type of esoteric reward and is often committed to making decisions in the best interest of the 66 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os stakeholders which are served by the institution. Non-profit CEOs are not charged with the role of oversight as in for profit institutions which has CEOs chosen to protect the shareholders’ interests (Bower and Shrader, 2000). In addition, less ethical behavior of the CEOs is expected in the for profit sector because non-profit CEOs are closer and often more accountable to their constituents which may influence the ethical appearance of their decisions (Metzger and Dalton, 1996). The decisions made would generally not contribute to the personal wealth. However, for-profit CEOs often stand to benefit or suffer personal consequences for decisions (Bower and Shrader, 2000). Based on these arguments one could carefully conclude that CEOs of fundraising institutions make decisions based on the best interest of the stakeholders, and as a consequence do not manage earnings. The longer the CEO serves the board, the better the understanding of the institutions and its stakeholders. Furthermore, CEOs at fundraising institutions do not suffer personal consequences as a result of the reported earnings and are for that reason less willing to manage earnings. It has to be noticed that the results and explanations for the outcomes have to be interpreted very carefully. Further research has to be conducted on this aspect in order to generalize the results of this thesis to other non-profit institutions and to fundraising institutions in other countries. Unexpectedly, no relationship between discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses and the existence of an audit committee was found in this research. Prior studies indicated a negative relationship between the existence of an audit committee and earnings management. However, it has to be noticed that these studies were done at profit-institutions. Based on results in this thesis, one could carefully conclude that the existence of an audit committee at non-profit institutions has no relation with earnings management. In addition, it can be cautiously concluded that a difference is found in the impact of the existence of an audit committee on earnings management at non-profit institutions and profit institutions. The existence of an audit committee will lead to less earnings management at profit institutions but the existence of an audit committee will not have an impact on earnings management at non-profit institutions. If this result found in this study is confirmed in the future, it can be concluded with more certainly that the impact of the audit committee is not related to earnings management at non-profit institutions and that a difference in the existence of an audit committee at profit institutions and non-profit institutions is found. Due to the insignificance of the other regressions, only the model related to characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and abnormal management and administration can be interpreted. Consistent with previous research, a negative relationship between financial expertise and abnormal spending on management & administration is found. The size of the supervisory board, and number of board meetings are not related to abnormal management & administration expenses. As with every research there are several limitations that should be taken into account with regard to the results. At first, the selection of a small number of institutions limits the power of the statistical 67 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os tests. The power of a test decreases when fewer observations are included. Due to reasons of time and resource availability, it was not possible to investigate more institutions. Moreover, the small number of observations has an effect on the ability to generalize the results to all fundraising institutions. Another limitation is that this research is conducted on Dutch fundraising institutions. Generalizing the results of this research to other countries should be done carefully. Future research can be focused on the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management at fundraising institutions in other countries in order to generalization of outcomes possible. The research has been done by analyzing financial statements of fundraising institutions. Data is received from the CBF and some data is manually gathered. Corrections in the dataset are made, because mistakes were found. Despite these corrections, errors can exist in the dataset which could have an impact on the outcomes of the analysis. Assumptions are made about the incentives to apply earnings management. The theoretical background of this thesis is mainly built on research done at profit institutions and at non-profit institutions outside the Netherlands. Differences can exist between profit institution, non-profit institutions and countries. This can lead to other outcomes in the fundraising sector (non-profit) than in the profit sector. This has also an effect on comparability of the results. Furthermore, the estimations of the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are debatable; the independent variables are not normally distributed and could indicate that the regression analysis are impropriate to apply. Earnings management is focused on the intention of the management, the use of earnings management itself is not measured. Qualitative research methods should be performed in order to measure the use of earnings management. Internal information about specific accounts which are used to manage earnings are needed. Getting that kind of information will be hard, because it is expected that managers will not communicate whether or not earnings are managed. Due to that this research is focused on detecting the use of earnings management through the distribution approach, discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses. However, this type of research can be done in the future. An interesting point for further research is the order of application accruals or real variables to manage earnings. Managers can influence accounting income by using different methods. Some methods require real transactions while some are pure accounting decisions. Zang (2011) found that managers determine real manipulation before accrual manipulation. Moreover, Graham, Harvey and Rajgopal (2005) suggested that firms switched to managing earnings using real methods, possibly because these techniques are likely to be harder to detect. Further research can be done related to the application of (real) earnings management if an audit committee exists at fundraising institutions. It is interesting to investigate whether institutions which have an audit committee tends towards using real variables (e.g. abnormal expenses) and institutions without an audit committee are more likely to use accruals. 68 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Finally, this research focused on the relationship between characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee and earnings management at the largest (based on total assets) fundraising institutions. However, further research can be conducted to earnings management and the subgroups (health, international aid, nature & environment and well-being & social goals) in the population. 69 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os References Aukes, J. 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Centraal Bureau Fondsenwerving (2010), Financiële resultaten goededoelenorganisaties in Nederland, Referred to on January 30, 2012 via < http://www.cbf.nl//Uploaded_files/Zelf/VerslagFondsenwerving2010.pdf> en trends van Centraal Bureau Fondsenwerving (2010), Seal Regulations CBF Seal of Approval – Version 17, Viewed on February 1, 2012: < http://www.cbf.nl//Uploaded_files/Zelf/EngelsevertalingKeurmerkcriteriaversie17.pdf> Centraal Bureau Fondsenwerving (2012), Reglement en Bijlagen CBF-Keur – Version 18, Viewed on 3 February 3, 2012: <http://www.cbf.nl/Uploaded_files/Zelf/ReglementCBFKeurversie18uitgiftejan2012.pdf> Vereniging Fondsenwervede instellingen (2005), Code goed bestuur voor goede doelen, Viewed on 5 January, 2012: <http://www.vfi.nl/standpunten/toezicht> Donateursvereniging Nederland, Definitions, Viewed on 5 January, 2012: <http://www.goededoelenwereld.nl/fileadmin/donateursvereniging/index.php?id=458> 75 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix A - Model for the Balance sheet and the Profit and Loss statement Figure A.1 - Model for the Profit and Loss statement Figure A.2- Model for the Balance Sheet In order to allocate costs at the profit and loss statement, figure A.3 have to be filled in. Figure A.3 – Model for Cost Allocation. 77 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix B - Translation of governance bodies English Dutch Board of Directors Directie Governing board Bestuur Titular execution Titulaire directie Statutory board Statutaire directie Supervisory body Toezichthoudend orgaan (RvT) General assembly meeting Algemene ledenvergadering (ALV) Audit Committee Auditcommissie Based on: Seal Regulations CBF Seal of Approval (English version), 2010 78 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix C – Literature overview; Characteristics Board of Directors & Audit Committee on Earnings Management Authors Subject of study Sample Methodology Results Abbott, Parker and Peters (2000) The impact of certain audit committee characteristics identified by the Blue Ribbon Committee on improving the effectiveness of corporate audit committees on the likelihood of financial misstatement. This study tests the relation between earnings informativeness and the structure of corporate boards in New Zealand. Examination of 83 firms which misstated financial reports in the period 1991-1999, together with a matched pairs control group of similar size. Regressions They find that independence of the committee is negatively related to misstatement, but the size of the committee and the financial expertise of the audit committee members are not related Sample consists of 615 firm-year observations. Firms are listed on the NZ exchange for the years 1991 through to 1997. Regressions Smaller boards are more effective than a larger boards in monitoring the quality of earnings. Baxter and Cotter (2009) Investigation whether audit committees are associated with improved earnings quality, measured by Jones model (1991) and Dechow and Dichev model (2002). The sample consists Australian listed companies. Matched pairs t-test and regressions Beasley and Saltero (2001) This study examines the relation between board of director characteristics and the extent that audit committee composition voluntarily exceeds minimum mandated levels and includes outside directors with accounting and audit committee knowledge and experience. Sample is based on firms included in the Report on Business 1000 Canadian firms (which represent a listening of 1,000 most profitable firms) for fiscal year 1994. 627 Canadian firms are included in the sample. Regressions Intentional earnings management is reduced when an audit committee is formed. They also found differences in the associations between audit committee accounting expertise and the two earnings quality measures. The results confirm the prediction that firms with greater representation of outside directors on the board, firms that segregate the board chairperson and CEO positions, and firms with larger boards are more likely to create audit committees that voluntarily include more outsiders than Canadian corporate law requires, and those firms are more likely to voluntarily include outsiders on the audit committee with a Ahmed, Hossain and Adams (2006) 79 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Bedard, Chtourou and Couteau (2004) Investigation whether expertise, independence, and activities of the audit committee have an effect on the quality of financial information (measured by abnormal accruals) Sample is drawn from population of US firms that are included in Compustat in 1996. From that population 100 firms with the highest income decreasing abnormal accruals, 100 highest income increasing abnormal accruals, and 100 with the lowest abnormal accruals are identified. (Logit)Regressi on model Bradbury, Mak and Tan (2006) The purpose of this paper is to examine the relation between board and audit committee characteristics and accounting quality (measured by abnormal accruals). Sample comprises of 139 firms listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange and 113 firms listed on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange for the year 2000. Regressions Davidson, GoodwilStewart and Kent (2005) Research the role of the internal governance structure of a firm in constraining earnings management 434 listed Australian firms, for the financial year ending in 2000. Regressions DeFond, Hann and Xu (2005) Testing the whether the market react positively to the appointment of directors with financial expertise to the audit committee. 850 newly appointed outside board members assigns to audit committees during 1993-2002. Corporate library database is used to make a sample selection. Regressions greater breadth of financial reporting and audit committee knowledge and experience. Aggressive earnings management is negatively associated with the financial and governance expertise of the audit committee members, with indicators of independence, and the presence of a clear mandate defining responsibilities of the committee. Board size and audit committee independence are related to lower abnormal working capital accruals. Furthermore, the relation between audit committee independence and higher quality accounting exists only when the abnormal accruals are income increasing. Lower likelihood of earnings management when majority of the board and audit committee consists of non-executives. Negative association between earnings management and the existence of an audit committee. Positive CARs around the appointment of accounting financial experts to the audit committee is found, but not around the appointment of non-accounting financial experts or directors without financial expertise. 80 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os DeZoort and Salterio (2001) This study reports the investigation whether audit committee members’ corporate governance expertise and financial reporting and audit knowledge affect their judgements in auditor-corporate management conflict situations 68 Canadian audit committees members Regressions Consistent with the calls for audit committees to be made up of independent directors and who are financially literate Dhaliwal, Naiker and Navissi (2010) Investigation of the association between three types of audit committee financial expertise (accounting, financial and supervisory) and accrual quality. Final sample consists of 770 firms out of COMPUSTAT and Board Analyst databases during 2004 to 2006 Cross-sectional regressions The most positive impact on accruals quality is achieved when firms posses a combination of both accounting and finance and supervisory experts in the audit committee Felo, Krishnamurthy and Solieri (2003) The researchers examine the relationship between the composition (expertise and independence) and the size of the committee – and the quality of financial reporting. The sample consists of firms from the 1992-93 and 1995-96 AIMR Review of Corporate Reporting Practices. 119 firms are included for the period 199293, and for 1995-96 130 firms. Regressions After controlling for firm size, board composition and institutional ownership, the percentage of audit committee members having expertise in accounting or financial management is positively related to financial reporting quality. In addition some evidence is found of a positive relation between the size of the audit committee and financial reporting quality. Jouber and Fakhfakh (2010) Investigation of the relationship between board of directors’ characteristics and earnings management. 180 French and Canadian listed firms ‘data over 2006-2008 Regressions Evidence shows that CEO stock ownership, independent monitoring and institutional investor's property are strong earnings management determinants. Leadership structure and board size seem to be neutral. 81 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Lin, Li and Yang (2006) Researchers focus on the association between several characteristics of the audit committee (size, expertise, independence, activity and stock ownership) and earnings management, proxied by earnings restatements. 106 publicly held corporations in the USA, which restated their reported earnings for the fiscal year 2000 and 106 control firms. They are matched based on fourdigit SIC code and total assets. Univariate correlations and (Logistic) Regression Negative association between the size of the audit committee and the occurrence of earnings restatement is found. For the other characteristics, no relation is found Peasnell, Pope and Yang (2005) Examination whether the incentives of earnings management depends on board monitoring Tests are conducted using data from UK listed firms. Sample consists of 1,271 firm-years OLS regressions and Logistic regression Rashidah and Ali (2006) Investigation the extent of the effectiveness of monitoring functions of the board of directors and the audit committee. 97 firms listed in the Main Board of Bursa Malaysia over 20022003 Regressions Turley and Zaman (2004) Providing a synthesis and evaluation of empirical research on the governance effects associated with audit committees. Discussion of prior literature, suggests a number of general observations concerning the development of future research Literature review The likelihood of managers making income-increasing abnormal accruals to avoid reporting losses and earnings reductions is negatively related to the proportion of outsiders on the board. Little evidence found that outside directors influence income-decreasing abnormal accruals when pre-managed earnings are high. Also no evidence that they presence of an audit committee directly affects the extent of income-increasing manipulations to meet or exceed these thresholds. Neither do audit committees appear to have a direct effect on the degree of downward manipulation, when pre-managed earnings exceed thresholds by a large margin. Earnings management is positively related to the size of the board of directors. No significant relation between independence of the board and the audit committee on earnings management found. Ethnicity has no effect on mitigating earnings management. No automatic relationship between the adoption of audit committee structures or characteristics and the achievement of particular governance effects, and caution 82 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os A framework for analyzing the impact of audit committees is described, identifying potential perceived effects which may have led to their adoption and documented effects on aspects of the audit function, on financial reporting quality and on corporate performance. Vafeas (1999) Vafeas (2005) Xie, Davidson III and DaDalt (2002) may be needed over expectations that greater codification around factors such as audit committee members’ independence and expertise as the means of ‘‘correcting’’ past weaknesses in the arrangements for audit committees. The most fundamental question concerning what difference audit committees make in practice continues to be an important area for research development. Overall the results suggest that board activity is an important dimension of board operations. This study examines whether the frequency of board meetings helps in reducing the problem of limited director interaction. This research examines how the structure and activity of audit committees and the structure of corporate boards relate to the quality of earnings information produced by firms. To study the link between boards and audit committees with earnings quality, two proxies for poor earnings quality are used: small earnings increases and negative earnings avoidance. 1,382 observations for 307 firms over the period 1990 to 1994 are included in the sample. Regressions The sample compromised an panel of data over a seven-year period, ranging from 252 U.S firms in 1995 to 182 U.S firms in 2000, with a total of 1,621firmyear observations. (Logistic) Regressions and regressions of changes in audit committees and boards on the indicators of poor earnings quality. Results related to small earnings increases are consistent with prior literature. Audit committee insiders are associated with lower quality, active business executives protect management over shareholders, and audit committee meeting frequency is associated with higher earnings quality. The results on negative surprise avoidance compare modestly with prior research; equity incentives increases earnings quality and length of board tenure decreases earnings quality. Examination of the role of the board of directors, the audit committee and the executive committee in preventing earnings management. Sample is based on the first 110 (alphabetically) from the S&P 500 index as listed in the June S&P directory for each of the year’s 1992, 1994 and 1996. The final sample consists of 282 firm-year observations Regressions Earnings management is less likely to occur or occurs less often in companies whose boards include both more independent outside directors and directors with corporate experience. The composition of the audit committee is associated with the level of earnings management. The proportion of audit 83 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os committee members with financial expertise is negatively related to the level of earnings management. There is also an association between lower levels of earnings management and the meeting frequency of boards and audit committees. Yang and Krishan (2005) Testing the association between audit committee characteristics (independence, number of meetings, financial expertise, stock ownership, outside directorships, experience, tenure, number audit committee members) and measures of quarterly earnings management. 896 firm-year observations for the years 1996-2000. Regressions Yermack (1996) Finding evidence consistent with theories that small boards of directors are more effective Firms drawn from the annual Forbes magazine ranking of the 500 largest U.S public corporations. Sample of 3,438 observations of 452 U.S public companies across 1984 and 1991. Regressions Quarterly earnings management is lower for firms which audit committee directors have greater governance expertise. In addition, the extent of stock ownership of audit committee directors is positively associated with quarterly earnings management. Furthermore, the average tenure of audit committee directors is negatively associated with quarterly earnings management. An inverse association between board size and firm value is found. The association appears to have a convex shape, suggesting that the largest fraction of lost value occurs as boards grow from small to medium size. 84 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix D – Explanation Normal Discretionary Expenses Model of Roychowdhury (2006) Discretionary expenses included: R&D, advertising, and SG&A expenses. Institutions can reduce or increase reported expenses. The following model is used by Roychowdhury (2006) in order to determine normal discretionary expenses: When estimating non-discretionary accruals it is general convention in the literature in the literature to include a scaled intercept, . This avoids spurious correlation between scaled DISEX and scaled sales due to variation in the scaling variable, total assets. The unscaled intercept is included to ensure that the mean abnormal DISEX for every industry-year is zero. The variable including is used because created a problem; if managers manage sales upward to increase earnings in any year they can exhibit unusually low residuals even when they do not reduce discretionary expenses. Table D.1 shows how sales and R&D expenses are related; if sales increase the R&D expenses will be higher. The error represent the abnormal R&D expenses. Table D.1 – Graphical Presentation Abnormal Discretionary Expenses Model Discretionary expenses (like R&D) o error Abnormal Discretionary Expenses Sales Fundraising institutions do not have sales, so for that reason total income is included as a substitute for sales. 85 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix E – Earnings Distribution Table E.1 – Income smoothen, interval width 0,05 Interval Observed count Interval 0 ; 0,05 0,05 ; 0,0 N 257 257 po 34,5 48 p- 0,151 0,066 p+ 0,12 0,31 29,86 39,035 St. deviation 5,47 6,25 Z- statistic 8,14 -7,68 -,65; -,60 1 -,60; -,55 0 -,55; -,50 0 -,50 ; -,45 0 -,45; -,40 1 -,40; -,35 2 -,35; -,30 1 -,30; -,25 3 -,25; -,20 4 -,20; -,15 3 -,15; -,10 15 N -,10; -,05 17 po -,05; 0,00 39 0,00; 0,05 79 0,05; 0,10 30 Variance 0,10; 0,15 17 0,15; 0,20 11 0,20; 0,25 8 0,25; 0,30 2 0,30; 0,35 7 0,35; 0,40 2 0,40; 0,45 3 0,45; 0,50 4 0,50; 0,55 1 0,55; 0,60 2 0,60; 0,65 1 0,64; 0,70 1 0,70; 0,75 0 0,75;0,80 0 0,80 ; 0,85 1 0,85 ; 0,90 1 0,90 ; 0,95 1 Variance Interval 0 ; 0,005 -0,005 ; 0,0 230 230 7 9 p- 0,026 0,030 p+ 0,0348 0,050 6,787 8,648 St. deviation 2,60 2,94 Z statistic 1,54 -3,06 86 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix F – Assumptions of the (Modified) Jones Models and Normal Expenses Models (Modified) Jones Model Before using the (Modified) Jones Model to calculate the discretionary accruals it is necessary to test the underlying assumptions of the multiple regression model. In order to apply regression analysis the independent variables need to meet the assumption of normality. To test whether the independent variables are normally distributed the KolmogorovSmirnov test is performed (Table F.1). The following hypothesis can be formed: . . In all the cases the level of significance is less than alpha (0,05), therefore the null hypothesis is rejected. Table F.1 – Normality test for the independent variables Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test PPE (t) N Normal Parametersa,b Most Extreme Differences ∆Rev ∆Rev-∆Rec Total Assets (t-1) Total Accruals(t) 264 266 265 263 253 Mean 2378587,05 468404,56 752172,1 16991953,7 -382844,2 Std. Deviation 11123304,3 6354929,4 5274788,8 41139929,0 3001515,8 Absolute ,415 ,295 ,304 ,340 ,255 Positive ,374 ,295 ,304 ,312 ,218 Negative -,415 -,292 -,260 -,340 -,255 6,748 4,809 4,947 5,512 4,048 ,000 ,000 ,000 ,000 ,000 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated from data. Besides the normality assumption for the independent variables there are other assumptions related to the residuals which have to be met: Normality of errors; Linearity; Homoscedaticity or equal variance Independence of errors; These assumptions will be tested for both the Jones model and the Modified Jones model. 87 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Normality of errors Regression assumes that the residuals have normal distributions. To check this assumption a normal probability plot is constructed. In the plots the standardized residuals, the actual scores are ranked and sorted and an expected normal value is calculated. The plots are shown in figure F.1 and F.2. The residuals are normally distributed if the actual values will up along the diagonal. In the both plots a kind of pattern can be observed. Figure F.1 – Normal probability plot of the standardized residuals of the Jones Model Figure F.2 – Normal probability plot of the standardized residuals of the Modified Jones Model 88 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Linearity and Homoscedasticity To test linearity and equal variances the plot of standardized residuals versus predicted scored is produced (Figures F.3 and F.4). The assumption of linearity is met since the graphs below do not show some kind of patterns. The observations are distributed randomly. Equal variances require that the variation around the line of the plot must be constant at all values. The values are equally distributed around zero, which indicate homoscedasticity. Figure F.3 –Standardized residuals against predicted residuals for the Jones model Figure F.4 – Standardized residuals against predicted residuals for the Modified Jones model 89 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Independence Independence of errors requires that the residuals around the regression line must be independent for each value of X. Independence of the residuals can be tested by the Durbin Watson statistic. The Durbin Watson statistic for the Jones model is 2,215 and for the Modified Jones model is 2,197. If the variables are not correlated the statistic have to be close to zero, so it can be concluded that the residuals are independent for both the Jones model and the Modified Jones model. Normal Expense Models The same assumptions tested for (Modified) Jones Model are tested for the Normal Expenses Models. Before using the Normal Expenses Models to calculate the abnormal expenses it is necessary to test the underlying assumptions of the multiple regression model. In order to apply regression analysis the independent variables need to meet the assumption of normality. To test whether the independent variables are normally distributed the KolmogorovSmirnov test is performed. The normality of the variable total assets (t-1) is tested in table F.1, so only the variable Total Income (t-1) will be tested. The following hypothesis can be formed: . . In all the cases the level of significance is less than alpha (0,05), therefore the null hypothesis is rejected. Table F.2 – Normality test for the independent variables One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test Total Income (t-1) N 266 Normal Parametersa,b Most Extreme Differences Mean 12625425,41 Std. Deviation 29877490,59 Absolute ,337 Positive ,313 Negative -,337 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z 5,502 Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated from data. 90 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Normality of errors To check the normality of errors a normal probability plot is constructed (figures F.5,F.6 and F.7). The residuals are normally distributed if the actual values will up along the diagonal. In the plots a kind of pattern can be observed. Figure F.5 – Normal probability plot of the standardized residuals of the Normal Management & Administration Expense Model. Figure F.6 – Normal probability plot of the standardized residuals of the Normal Fundraising Expenses Model. 91 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Figure F.7 – Normal probability plot of the standardized residuals of the Normal Spending on Objective Expenses Model. Linearity and Homoscedasticity The assumption of linearity is met since the graphs below do not show some kind of patterns (figures F.8, F.9 and F.10). The observations are distributed randomly. Equal variances require that the variation around the line of the plot must be constant at all values. The values are not equally distributed around zero, which indicate no homoscedasticity. Figure F.8 –Standardized residuals against predicted residuals for the Normal Management & Administration Expenses Model. 92 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Figure F.9 –Standardized residuals against predicted residuals for the Normal Fundraising Expenses Model. Figure F.10 –Standardized residuals against predicted residuals for the Normal Spending on Objective Expenses Model. Independence The Durbin Watson statistic for the Normal Management & Administration Model is 2,239 and for the Normal Fundraising Expenses model 2,020 and for the Normal Spending on Objectives model 2,148. If the variables are not correlated the statistic have to be close to zero, so it can be concluded that the residuals are independent for both the Normal Expenses Models. 93 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix G – Significance of the (Modified) Jones models and Normal Expenses Models Jones model The Jones model used is shown below (Jones, 1991): Table G.1 indicated that at least one of the coefficients are significantly different from zero, the pstatistic is 0,018 and below the 0,05 cut-off. Table G.1 – Jones model regression significance One-way model regression significance Sum of Squares Regression df Mean Square 1,096 3 ,365 Residual 21,134 248 ,085 Total 22,231 251 F Sig. ,006b 4,289 a. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1), ∆ REV/Total Assets (t-1), PPE (t)/Total Assets (t-1) In table G.2 the individual coefficients can be found. The variables 1/Total Assets (t-1) and ), PPE (t)/Total Assets (t-1) are insignificant. Nevertheless, the variables are included in the model because prior research supports this variables as a significant component within the model. The rather small sample size could influence the outcomes of the regression statistics and the significance of the variables. Table G.2 – Jones Model coefficients Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients B (Constant) 1/Total Assets (t-1) ∆REV/Total Assets (t-1) PPE (t)/Total Assets (t-1) Std. Error -,010 ,021 -11641,625 12153,553 ,118 -,0004 t Sig. Beta -,487 ,627 -,059 -,958 ,339 ,050 ,209 2,332 ,020 ,004 -,009 -,097 ,923 a. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals (t)/Total Assets (t-1) 94 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table G.4 – Summary of the Jones Model R R Square Adjusted R Square ,222a ,049 ,038 a. Predictors: (Constant), PPE(t)/Total Assets(t-1), 1/Total Assets (t-1), ∆REV/Total Assets (t-1) b. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals(t)/Total Assets (t-1) Given the adjusted R square value shown in table G.4 the model explains 4,9% of the variation between the model and the observed values. Modified Jones Model The Modified Jones model is shown below (Dechow et at. 1995): Based on table G.5 there can be concluded that at least one of the coefficients is significantly different from zero, the p-statistic is 0.016 which is below the cut-off of 0,05. The coefficients of table G.6. can be interpreted. Table G.5 – Modified Jones model regression significance One-way model regression significance Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression ,909 3 ,303 3,523 ,016b Residual 21,322 248 ,086 Total 22,231 251 a. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1), ∆Rev-∆Rec/Total Assets(1-t), PPE (t)/Total Assets (t-1) 95 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table G.6 – Modified Jones Model Coefficients Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients B Std. Error ,013 ,022 -15231,627 12502,584 PPE(t)/Total Assets (t-1) -,012 ∆Rev-∆Rec/Total Assets (t-1) -,088 (Constant) 1/Total Assets (t-1) t Sig. Beta ,600 ,549 -,078 -1,218 ,224 ,004 -,259 -3,107 ,002 ,049 -,151 -1,791 ,075 a. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals (t)/Total Assets (t-1) When looking at the coefficients of table G.6 one can conclude that only the variable PPE (t)/Total Assets (t-1) is significant in the regression ( 0,002<0,05). Nevertheless, the insignificant variables are included in the model because prior research supports this variables as a significant component within the model. The rather small sample size could influence the outcomes of the regression statistics and the significance of the variables. Table G.8 – Summary of the revised Modified Jones model R R Square Adjusted R Square ,202a ,041 ,029 a. Predictors: (Constant),∆Rev-∆Rec/Total Assets (1-t), 1/Total Assets (t-1), PPE(t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Dependent Variable: Total Accruals (t)/Total Assets (t-1) Normal Management & Administration Expenses Model The following model will be used to measure abnormal management and administration expenses: Table G.9 indicated that at least one of the coefficients are significantly different from zero, the pstatistic is 0,000 and below the 0,05 cut-off. 96 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table G.9 – Normal M&A Expenses model regression significance Sum of Squares df Mean Square Regression 2,952 2 1,476 Residual 2,323 233 ,010 Total 5,275 235 F Sig. ,000b 148,074 a. Dependent Variable: Management & Administration Expenses (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1),Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) Table G.10 indicates that all the variables in the model are significant. Table G.10 – Normal Management & Administration Expenses Model coefficients Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients B (Constant) Std. Error -,002 1/Total Assets (t-1) Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) ,049 ,005 Sig. Beta ,009 46692,657 4577,669 t -,189 ,850 ,459 10,200 ,000 ,482 10,713 ,000 a. Dependent Variable: Management & Administration Expenses (t)/Total Assets (t-1) The model explains 56% of the variation between the model and the observed values (see table G.11). Table G.11 – Summary of the Normal Management & Administration Expenses model R R Square Adjusted R Square ,748a ,560 ,556 a. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1), Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Dependent Variable: Management & Administration Expenses (t)/Total Assets (t-1) Normal Fundraising Expenses Model The following model is formed to measure Normal fundraising expenses: Table G.12 indicated that at least one of the coefficients are significantly different from zero, the pstatistic is 0,000 and below the 0,05 cut-off. 97 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table G.12 – Normal Fundraising Expenses model regression significance One-way model regression significance Sum of Squares Regression df Mean Square ,939 2 ,470 Residual 5,014 228 ,022 Total 5,954 230 F Sig. 21,354 ,000b a. Dependent Variable: Fundraising Expenses (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Predictors: (Constant), Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets t-1, 1/Total Assets(t-1) Based on table G.13one can conclude that the variable 1/Total Assets(t-1) is significant As mentioned before, the insignificant variables are included in the model. Table G.13 – Abnormal Fundraising Expenses coefficients Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients B (Constant) 1/Total Assets(t-1) Std. Error ,047 ,014 4987,926 6861,341 ,042 ,007 Total Income(t-1)/Total Assets(t-1) t Sig. Beta 3,442 ,001 ,046 ,727 ,468 ,383 6,085 ,000 a. Dependent Variable: Fundraising Expenses (t)/Total Assets (t-1) The R square of the model is 15.8 % and can be found in Table G.15. Table G.15 – Summary of the revised Normal Fundraising Expenses model R R Square Adjusted R Square ,397 a ,158 ,150 a. Predictors: (Constant), Baten/At-1, 1/Ait-1 b. Dependent Variable: Fundrasing/At-1 Normal Spending on Objectives Model The following model is formed to measure the normal spending on objectives: 98 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table G.16 – Normal Spending on Objectives Model regression significance One-way model regression significance Sum of Squares Regression Residual Total df Mean Square F 287,195 2 143,598 42,194 250 ,169 329,389 252 Sig. ,000b 850,823 a. Dependent Variable: Spending on Objectives (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1), Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) Table G.17 presents the coefficients of the normal spending on objectives model; all the variables are significant. Table G.17 – Normal spending on Objectives coefficients Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients B (Constant) 1/Total Assets (t-1) Std. Error ,162 ,037 46657,061 17858,725 ,725 ,019 Total Income (t-1)/Total Assets (t-1) t Sig. Beta 4,419 ,000 ,062 2,613 ,010 ,914 38,615 ,000 a. Dependent Variable: Spent on Objectives (t)/Total Assets (t-1) The R square of the model is 87,2% and can be found in Table G.18. Table G.18 – Summary of the Normal Spending on Objectives model R R Square ,934a ,872 Adjusted R Square ,871 a. Predictors: (Constant), 1/Total Assets (t-1),Total Income (t)/Total Assets (t-1) b. Dependent Variable: Spending on Objectives/Total Assets (t-1) 99 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix H – Chi-square Tests for Comparing Groups In tables H.1, H.3, H.6 and H.7 the outcomes of the chi-square tests can be found. Based on these test one can conclude that a relation between the direction of the discretionary accruals & abnormal expenses and groups exist. The cross tables can be found in tables H.2, H.4and H6. Based on the tables there can be concluded that managers of group 4 use more (less) often negative (positive) abnormal expenses on management & administration, fundraising and objectives. In addition, managers of group 3 use more (less) often positive (negative) abnormal expenses on management & administration, fundraising and objectives. Groups 2, 5 and 6 (the groups which do not use abnormal spending to strive towards zero or a small positive results) are small and in some tables they do not exist at all. Table H.1 – Chi-square test Groups and Direction of Discretionary Accruals Value Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by-Linear Association N of Valid Cases df a 67,377 76,350 12,965 Asymp. Sig. (2-sided) 5 5 1 ,000 ,000 ,000 253 a. 6 cells (50,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 1,96. Table H.2 – Cross table Direction Abnormal Management and Administration Expenses Table H.3 – Chi-square test Groups and Direction Abnormal Fundraising Expenses Value Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by-Linear Association N of Valid Cases 55,155a 59,387 33,255 df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided) 4 4 1 ,000 ,000 ,000 238 a. 6 cells (60,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is ,39. 100 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table H.4 – Cross table Direction Abnormal Fundraising Expenses Table H.5 – Chi-square test Groups and Direction Abnormal Fundraising Expenses Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided) Pearson Chi-Square 47,844a 4 ,000 Likelihood Ratio 49,250 4 ,000 Linear-by-Linear Association 14,365 1 ,000 N of Valid Cases 240 a. 6 cells (60,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is ,72. Table H.6 – Cross table Direction Abnormal Spending on Objectives Table H.7 – Chi-Square Test Groups and Direction of Abnormal Spending on Objectives Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided) Pearson Chi-Square 112,848a 5 ,000 Likelihood Ratio 124,411 5 ,000 36,586 1 ,000 Linear-by-Linear Association N of Valid Cases 253 a. 4 cells (33,3%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 1,88. 101 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Appendix I – Regressions Discretionary Accruals and Abnormal Expenses, All Variables Included This appendix included regressions of all the variables on the absolute value of the discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses. Only linear variables are included in this regression because no quadratic relationships between SBSIZE and discretionary accruals and abnormal expenses are found in chapter 8. When interpreting the results it have to be noticed that the regressions are based on a very small number of observations (between 35 and 37). In the future regressions can be done with the same variables but with a larger amount of observations. Regressions 1, 2, and 4 are significant, implying that the coefficients of that models can be interpreted. SBSIZE is not significant in any regression even as ACMEET, so hypotheses 6A, 6B, 9A and 9B cannot be proved. The tenure of the CEO (CEOTEN) is significant in regressions 1 and 4, however the direction of the coefficients are different in these models. CEOTEN is negatively related to discretionary accruals and CEOTEN is positively related to abnormal fundraising expenses. In model 4 the tenure of the audit committee members (ACTEN) is positively related to abnormal fundraising expenses. This outcome is not in line with hypothesis 11. 102 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os Table I.1 – Regressions, all characteristics of the supervisory board & audit committee included Dependent variables 1 Abs DA (Jones) 2 3 Abs DA Abs AMAE (Mod. Jones) SBSIZE -0.002 (0.334) -0.002 (0.137) -0.0003 (0.584) SBMEET -0.001 (0.726) 0.002 (0.473) -4.837E-005 0.004 (0.976) (0.045)** Independent variables ACMEET 0.008 (0.270) 4 Abs AFE -0.001 (0.153) 5 Abs ASOE 6 Abs TAE -0.002 (0.414) -0.002 (0.525) 0.010 (0.089)* 0.009 (0.345) 0.002 (0.818) -0.002 (0.905) 0.007 (0.191) 0.003 (0.278) 0.001 (0.788) CEOTEN -0.005 -0.002 (0.024)* (0.141) 0.001 (0.345) 0.002 (0.020)** 0.004 (0.211) 0.011 (0.025)** ACTEN -0.001 (0.778) 0.004 (0.235) 0.001 (0.293) 0.003 (0.056)* 0.002 (0.783) 0.006 (0.463) -0.019 (0.208) -0.020 (0.005)* -0.014 (0.103) -0.034 (0.198) 0.009 (0.835) 0.018 (0.230) 0.018 (0.334) 0.104 (0.085)* 0.066 (0.491) (0.109) 36 28.5% (0.060)* 36 32.4% (0.488) 36 16.1% (0.342) 36 19.1% FINEX 0.006 (0.761) Constant 0.089 0.060 (0.043)* (0.089)* Significance model N R-Squared Variables definitions: ABS DA(Jones) ABS DA (Modified Jones) ABS AMAE ABS AFUNE ABS ASO ABS TAE (0.029)* * (0.077)* 37 35 35.6% 31.7% = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Jones (1991) = the absolute value of discretionary accruals based on Dechow et al. (1995) = the absolute value of the abnormal management & administration expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal fundraising expenses = the absolute value of the abnormal spending on objectives = the absolute value of the total abnormal expenses (management & administration, fundraising and spending on objectives) Supervisory board and audit committee variables: SBSIZE = the number supervisory board members ACEXI = a dummy variable coded 1 if an audit committee exists at a fundraising institution, and 0 otherwise. SBMEET = the number of meetings held by the supervisory board ACMEET = the number of meetings held by the audit committee. CEOTEN = tenure of the CEO ACTEN =average tenure of the audit committee members FINEX =a dummy variable coded 1 if the audit committee has at least one member with financial experience (finance, supervisory or accounting experience), and 0 otherwise. ***, **, and * denote significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10 levels, respectively. 103 Earnings Management at Dutch Fundraising Institutions; the Impact of Characteristics of the Supervisory Board & Audit Committee Frederica Sophia van Os