15 - MS Consultores
Transcription
15 - MS Consultores
The UK’s only Latin America-focused investment magazine Q1 2016 Profits Ahoy! Investors rediscover the Dominican Republic INSIDE: A detailed report on the DR’s dynamic economy Javier Córdova, Ecuador’s Minister of Mining, in our Sector Special ALSO INSIDE The investment impact of the Zika outbreak Aberdeen Asset Management’s Peter Taylor reveals where he’s putting his money Analysis from Control Risks and Markit 1 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR 2 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR EDITOR’S LETTER Bargain hunting Dear reader, Of course not everything is going well in the Most Latin American countries will be glad region. We have in-depth political analysis on to see the back of 2015. It was a year when page 46, where Canning House looks at how the region’s economic growth dropped Brazil’s corruption scandal is impacting Latin and financial markets tanked. But while the America’s biggest economy. Brazil’s clearly in a headlines might have looked scary there mess but not all investors are discouraged by were also lots of positives. the tough macroeconomic situation. On page 44 we speak to Peter Taylor, manager of the Editor’s Letter 3 Stories Behind the News 4 6 Briefing8 Sector Special - Ecuadorian Mining Aberdeen Global Latin American Equity Fund, sell-off in the financial markets as a great who explains how his bottom-up approach is buying opportunity. Indeed there is also a helping him find good opportunities in Brazil feeling among investors that – if you have despite – or perhaps even because of – the cash – now is a great time to be making deals problems. We also have our regular analysis in Latin America. from Markit and Control Risks, while if you go right to the back of the magazine you’ll see Contents Market Analysis Many LatAm INVESTOR readers will see the 10 Market-Moving Events 14 Dominican Republic Report 15 Portfolio Manager Interview 44 Canning House 46 Country Analysis 48 Investment Contacts Directory 51 One area that looks particularly attractive that this issue’s LatAm INVESTOR Map, charts is the Ecuadorian mining sector. Ecuador is corruption across the region. surrounded by mining powerhouses, like Peru and Colombia, yet despite having similar I’m sure that all of that will keep you busy mineral wealth it has never fostered a large- for a while but don’t forget that you can scale mining industry. The government of also keep up-to-date with breaking Latin Rafael Correa has worked to change that American investment stories on our website by creating a dedicated Ministry of Mining www.latam-investor.com or follow us on and reforming the mining code. The early LinkedIn, Facebook or Twitter. We got plenty response from investors has been positive, of feedback and story ideas in 2015 so please with a string of multi-billion dollar mining keep those suggestions coming this year. projects announced in the last few months. However, there is potential for plenty more development so in our Sector Special (page Property52 10) we interview Ecuador’s Minister of Mining, 54 Upcoming Deals 56 LatAm INVESTOR Map 58 In the middle of the magazine, you’ll find our latest country report – the Dominican Republic. Most readers probably just see the Caribbean island as a tourist destination but LatAm INVESTOR it also offers a lot for investors. Indeed it’s one Editorial Managing Director - James McKeigue Latin America Editorial Director - Carla Fierro Finance Editor - Daniel Mullarkey Advisor to the Editor - Edward Longhurst-Pierce Senior Writer - Sam Joll Senior Writer - Alisdair Jones Senior Markets Analyst - Cris Heaton Central America Correspondent - Louisa Reynolds Peru Correspondent - Darwin Cruz America, with a range of emerging sectors. The DR’s agricultural exports to the UK are at record levels as British consumers get a taste for Dominican quality. Another exciting area is logistics, with the Dominican Republic holding ambitious plans to become a vital Printed in the UK by The Magazine Printing Company using only paper from FSC/PEFC suppliers www.magprint.co.uk James McKeigue Javier Córdova, and discuss the opportunities. of the fastest-growing economies in Latin Latin America in the UK Until next time, part of the global trade network. We also investigate the energy, finance and tourist sectors, which hold promise for investors. 3 | Q1 2016 Production and Commercial Art Director - Tania Schoeman Advertising Sales - Terri Haddon Head of Digital - Ian Gibson Editorial queries: [email protected] Marketing queries: [email protected] Subscriptions: [email protected] Tel: 0207 097 5121 www.latam-investor.com LatAm INVESTOR STORIES BEHIND THE NEWS Macri’s Momentum W institutions within the country. access to international debt markets. Yet there is plenty of work left to New In short, the task facing Macri is a do. Spring brings negotiations with Argentine President Mauricio daunting one. In just a few months Macri the trade unions and some sort of Macri has made an impressive has managed to tackle several of the most compromise is necessary if Argentina start to his term, dismantling several of pressing distortions. He has eliminated is to break out of the wage-price spiral. the economic distortions created by his the tax on beef, wheat and corn exports Meanwhile some necessary moves, predecessor and raising hope among and reduced the tariff on soy. That was such as cutting energy and transport investors. followed by a devaluation of the peso, subsidies, can be expected to prove to put it more inline with market rates, unpopular with much of the electorate. How will it affect investors? On coming and the lifting of capital controls so that Moreover to power on December 10, Macri took businesses can buy and sell dollars more command a majority in Congress, control of a country that had experienced easily. This has eased pressure on the meaning that he may not be able to a decade of unorthodox macroeconomic central bank, which had been using up deliver on all of his promises. management. The rule of first Nestor, reserves to keep the peso at an artificial then Cristina Kirchner, had created a rate. hat’s happened: Macri’s coalition doesn’t But when it comes to attracting international investment, style can be number of distortions in the Argentine when There are signs of more changes in more important than substance and so commodity prices were high but when the pipeline. Macri has promised to far Macri’s message seems to be getting the price of Argentina’s main exports work with the IMF and introduce more through. The reaction of the financial fell, the economic strain began to tell. reliable economic statistics. He has also markets has been positive with bullish But unorthodox policies weren’t the only outlined plans for the central bank to sentiment already driving up Argentine problem. Investors were also rattled by return to inflation targeting – a necessity equities and bonds. While Coca Cola the anti-business rhetoric of the Kirchner in a country where annual inflation is and Renault have shown early faith in government, dispute running at 30%. Finally, he has signalled the new regime by announcing billion- with international organisations such a willingness to resolve the ‘hold-out’ dollar investment deals. Macri will hope as the IMF and political manipulation of dispute, which has limited Argentina’s that he can keep the up the momentum. economy. This its didn’t matter high-profile Currency Watch Macri’s decision to allow the Argentine peso to depreciate made it the biggest faller over the period. Currency Last quarter Current rate to GBP* Argentine peso (ARS) 14.3 19.84 -38.84 Brazilian real (BRL) 4.9 5.7 3.72 Chilean peso (CLP) 1035.25 1021.26 1.35 Colombian peso (COP) 4505.82 4714.50 -4.6 Peruvian nuevo sol (PEN) 4.87 4.96 -1.85 Mexican peso (MXN) 25.33 26.03 -2.76 LatAm INVESTOR 4 | Q1 2016 % Change from last quarter Venezuela Nears Endgame that the public is disillusioned with the Chavista regime and surely sounds the death knell for President Nicolás Maduro. But while the Congress has the power What’s happened: Venezuela’s long- to veto any government measure, it is suffering economy is deteriorating rapidly unable to tackle the economic crisis on while political instability increases. its own. The central bank governor and the finance minister are government How will it affect investors? Aside from appointees, meaning that it still controls some sovereign bonds few international economic policy. That looks likely to lead investors now have direct exposure to to a gridlock until presidential elections Venezuela. Yet as Latin America’s fifth- in 2019. The end of Chavismo biggest economy, and home of the world’s largest oil reserves, its plight But given the scale of the economic crisis Venezuelan government can no longer remains important for investors. Many will it seems likely that the public won’t wait afford such largesse, meaning its support be hoping to catch the bottom and while that long. The Venezuelan economy is is gradually ebbing away. ‘catching a falling knife’ is a dangerous contracting by about 10% per year, while game for investors, there’s no doubt that annual inflation stands at 720%. People in In theory the opposition could use its Venezuela’s descent is accelerating. the poor neighbourhoods of Venezuela, two-thirds super majority to demand a that have traditionally provided the recall referendum that would give the First, the good news: the victory of the support base for the Chavista regime, electorate the chance to oust Maduro. opposition coalition in the December may not know all of the latest economic Another option would be to take to the elections for Congress, gives them control indicators but they’re acutely aware of the streets and rock the government with of the country’s legislature. Moreover it major shortage of basic foodstuffs and large-scale protests, like those we saw in showed that despite Venezuela’s poor daily necessities. Their support was won 2014. Maduro’s government is unlikely to human rights record the country still by generous welfare schemes during the leave power without putting up a fight. respects elections. It also demonstrated era of high oil prices. At $30 a barrel the Things might get worse, before they get better. Market Watch Argentina’s Merval was the best-performing Latin American equity market over the period with Macri’s election victory and subsequent early policies encouraging investors. 150 140 130 120 110 100 Last Price Brazil Colombia Mexico Argentina 95 88.24 93.46 102.19 117.76 90 5 | Q1 2016 n’ 16 Ja 29 n’ 16 Ja 15 5 c’1 De 31 15 De c’1 5 5 30 No v ’1 5 15 No v ’1 5 t’1 Oc 30 15 Oc t’1 5 85 LatAm INVESTOR MARKET ANALYSIS It’s been another lively quarter for Latin American markets. Markit Analyst, Simon Colvin, explains how it impacts investors... It was a painful end to 2015 for LatAm sovereign credit as CDS from the fall in global commodity prices led Fitch to become the spreads widened significantly across the board. Lingering global 2nd rating agency to downgrade the nation’s debt to ‘junk’ status. growth concerns coupled with a fresh downturn in commodity Elsewhere, the oil price rout sent Venezuela’s 5-yr CDS near new prices saw heightened risk aversion among market participants. record highs, implying a 96% chance that the oil dependent nation Brazil’s 5-yr CDS spread surpassed 500bps again for the first will default on its government debt over the next five years. Soaring time since the end of Q3, having tightened to under 400bps in inflation, further oil weakness and deep recession has called for the November. Ongoing political turmoil and the economic suffering government to declare a state of emergency. Markit LatAm Sovereign 5-Year CDS BRAZIL MEXICO PERU CHILE COLOMBIA VENZEZUELA 7000 6000 5000 4000 600 5Y Conventional Spread 500 400 300 200 100 LatAm INVESTOR 6 | Q1 2016 an ‘16 18 J an ‘15 4J 21 De c‘1 5 ‘15 ec 7D 23 No v‘ 15 15 9N ov ‘ 5 26 Oc t ‘1 t ‘1 5 13 Oc 15 29 Se p‘ 15 p‘ Se 15 1S ep ‘15 ‘15 18 Au g ‘15 5A ug 23 Ju l‘1 5 0 in association with Brazil and Mexico Manufacturing PMI MEXICO MARKIT PMI BRAZIL MARKIT PMI 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 15 c‘ De ‘15 Au g 5 Ap r ‘1 14 De Au g Ap De c‘ ‘14 4 r ‘1 13 c‘ ‘13 Au g r ‘1 Ap Ja n‘ 13 3 44 The ongoing uncertainty seen in the credit world also reflects somewhat from the lows seen in November. Mexico’s PMI survey the slowing economic situation as tracked by Markit’s PMI survey showed that the country managed to grow its output over the of manufacturing activity. Brazil’s survey indicated that overall quarter although the pace of growth had slowed markedly from the manufacturing activity in the country fell for the 11th month pace seen at the start of the year. Manufacturing accounts for 18% of running although the pace of economic deterioration did improve Mexian GDP and has been a bright spot in the economy. Markit iBoxx USD Emerging Markets Sovereigns Latin America Index The quarter was also very volatile for the 122 region’s dollar denominated corporate bonds. The iBoxx benchmark index for 120 dollar denominated bonds issued by Latin American firms was up by as much as 4% 118 at the start of November, but the surging credit risk, falling commodities prices and US rate rise saw the index give up the lion’s 116 share of that gain to deliver only 39bps of total returns for the quarter. The index is 114 also off to a poor start for the year as the ‘15 ct O 26 t ‘1 5 Oc 15 1O ct ‘15 continuing economic deterioration has 112 2 5 v‘1 No 16 15 v‘ No 30 15 v‘ No c 18 De ‘15 7 | Q1 2016 4 Ja 16 n‘ 15 Ja 16 n‘ seen the index fall by 2.5% in the first two weeks of 2016. LatAm INVESTOR BRIEFING Latin America’s Mosquito Problem W hat is happening? mosquito spreads to new areas. The El because if one country in Latin America Latin American is being Niño weather phenomena may also be falls short in its response to the virus, it’s attacked playing a role. more likely to spread across the entire mosquito-borne viruses and its health systems are region. Unlike in the EU, where standards struggling to cope. Some, like dengue, Can Latin America cope? can be enforced across jurisdictions, Latin have been in the region for hundreds of More than you might think. A 2015 America’s heterogeneity is a weakness in years, while others, like Chikungunya and World Bank report that analysed nine its fight against health threats. Zika only reached the Americas in 2013 Latin and 2014 respectively. Of the three, the regional giants Mexico and Brazil, found The timing of these latest outbreaks Zika virus is the most alarming because that since the early 2000s 46 million is also unfortunate. According to IMF it is spreading rapidly and so little is more people have access to affordable forecasts, known about it. Zika is not dangerous healthcare. Strong economic growth Caribbean region’s GDP will shrink by in itself but can lead to microcephaly coupled with left-leaning governments 0.3% in 2016. Tighter budgets are bound (brain if vastly improved the public services on to impact on health spending. In light of contracted by pregnant women. There offer. Moreover, nineteen of the region’s the difficulties ahead, this could prove to is also a suspected link to Guillain-Barré thirty-three constitutions declare health be a real problem for Latin America. syndrome, which causes paralysis. The provision a right by law. deformities) in children American countries, including the Latin American and What needs to be done? Brazilian Ministry of Health has confirmed 4000 cases of microcephaly so far and US Yet while improvements have been The rapid spread of these viruses in the scientists writing in the Journal of the made the recent Zika and Chikungunya Americas shows that they are incredibly American Medical Association say it has outbreaks also show the weaknesses. difficult to contain. Long-term the only “explosive pandemic potential.” There are vast inequalities between real solution can come through an the health systems within the region. international effort to create a vaccine. Why is this happening? So while Costa Rica can competently Given the scale of Zika, a response The sudden rise of Chikungunya and Zika deal with the threats posed by chronic should be quick. But the task won’t be is linked to the figurative ‘shrinking’ of the diseases and mosquito-borne viruses, easy – scientists at the University of planet. Both viruses originated in Africa Brazil invests far less into its health system Texas say that a working vaccine could but in this age of constant travel and and subsequently has less capacity to be ten years away. In the meantime the migration diseases travel freely across counter health problems. This matters current medical advice for women of borders and oceans. The problem is Latin America’s Different Health Systems amplified because these viruses are often new to the Americas, meaning that there is less natural resistance to the disease 35 and that governments and individuals 30 and average temperatures increase the Brazil Columbia 13 20 12 20 11 20 10 20 09 20 now it is. As climate patterns change 20 0 08 Dengue was not a problem in Argentina, 20 5 07 regions. For example, 20 years ago 20 10 01 of mosquito which is present in topical 20 06 15 05 and Zika are born by the Aedes species 20 20 Chikungunya 25 04 Dengue, global 20 changing 03 temperatures. is 20 factor 02 Another 20 are often slow to react to the symptoms. Public health expenditure as % of GDP Costa Rica Source: World Development Indicators: www.databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=worlddevelopment-indicators# LatAm INVESTOR 8 | Q1 2016 childbearing age is to avoid countries Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in have already sparked an angry response where the virus is present – currently 22 the US. from tourist ministers in Latin America. and rising (see map) – or, if they have Zika, to avoid childbirth for two years. Stark choices if you’re a Latin American woman. Tourism is a high-growth industry in the Will they succeed? region and Zika could pose a threat to At the moment there are mixed signals. tourist numbers. That is especially the If we analyse Brazil, which with its case for Brazil, which hosts the 2016 large population and topical climate is Olympic Games this summer. But while a cure may not be available, an epicentre for the mosquito-borne prevention is possible. From keeping diseases, there are positive and negative Like any challenge, the mosquito-borne mosquitoes repellent signs. So far its response to Dengue has disease crisis also presents opportunities. and nets, to reducing their numbers not been very successful. Last year it Latin America’s new middle classes are through fumigation and eradicating registered more than 1.6 million cases of increasingly ‘buying out of the social stagnant water, there is plenty to be Dengue, with almost 900 casualties. That contract’. That’s to say, they do not trust done. And, in the short term, that will be breeds little hope that it will fare better governments with Chikungunya and Zika. public services and so turn to the private away through the real question asked of Latin America’s healthcare systems: can it distribute to provide acceptable sector. Spending on private healthcare enough of the necessary materials and But there are signs that Latin America has therefore rocketed. Consequently, information to make a difference? Some fighting back. Mexico, for example, is there hope comes from mainland USA, which working on a dengue fever vaccine that healthcare providers or insurers. has managed to avoid mass outbreaks is already nearing completion. Colombia of mosquito-borne viruses that have is also looking for a scientific solution by For affected the rest of the Americas. “Better releasing swarms of mosquitoes treated company GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) already housing construction, regular use of air with bacteria that limit their ability to has a large presence in Latin America conditioning, use of window screens spread the disease. Meanwhile Brazil and the Caribbean and its regional and door screens and state and local has mobilised 200,000 troops to destroy headquarters mosquito control efforts helped to habitats where mosquitoes breed and announced that it is looking into using eliminate widespread transmission of handout its vaccine technology to find a cure for mosquito-borne infections like malaria citizens. prevention information to are opportunities example British in for private pharmaceutical Brazil. It recently Zika. Another beneficiary could be Bupa, the UK-based private health insurer that and dengue from the mainland,” says Lyle Petersen, director of the division of Investment impact has made huge inroads into the Latin vector-borne diseases for the Centers for The dire travel warnings from the CDC American market. Countries with evidence of Zika virus transmission Locally acquired cases Serosurvey data only Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 9 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR SECTOR SPECIAL Interview with Javier Córdova, Ecuador’s Minister of Mining LatAm INVESTOR: Ecuador is a country with immense mineral wealth but no largescale modern mining sector; why is that? This government has long recognised Minister Córdova: The simple answer is oil. Ecuador is an oil country with more than 40 years producing it. The focus on oil made us forget the mineral wealth that we have. So this is why the government last year decided to create the Ministry of Mining, which we had never had before. Previously mining was controlled by the Ministry of Energy and Mines, but the problem was that the ministers were always oil specialists, which naturally caused those ministries to focus more on oil than on mining. As a result we had small mining developments but never really created the conditions to cultivate large-scale mining projects. offer from a mining company. the problem. First it tried to split the ministries into renewable and non- We realised we had to make a tougher renewable resources but that didn’t work mining code. either. After all, mining and oil both may the 2009 code was too closed, too be non-renewable resources but there complicated and ultimately didn’t achieve are still lots of differences between the the goal of attracting new investment industries and business models. So then which was always our goal. Probably the in February last year the government nadir of this period was when Canadian decided to create the Ministry of Mining. miner Kinross left Fruta del Norte. However, in hindsight We’ve just celebrated our first-year anniversary and we’ve achieved a lot in the first 12 months. Now we are ready to take advantage of this country’s great LAI: What changes did you make to boost investment in mining? mining potential. LAI: There have been lots of ‘false dawns’ in the Ecuadorian mining industry; why should LatAm INVESTOR readers believe it will be different this time? MC: After Kinross the government decided to think about what we were doing wrong. It didn’t make sense that we weren’t attracting investment because we have great conditions for mining. Of course the most important factor to mining success is geology, and we have great deposits, comparable to MC: There is no denying – indeed mining neighbours such as Colombia and President Correa has stated this publicly Peru. But there are lots of other crucial – that we made some policy errors. Albeit factors that also work in our favour. For that those errors were made in good example, we have abundant supplies faith. For example in 2009 we brought in of cheap electricity, which is crucial for a new mining code that was very tough the development of an energy-intensive on mining companies. In reality a change industry like mining. This government was needed because the previous code invested $9billion in developing nine was too open. It let anyone get a mining new hydroelectric plants, which come concession online this year. and created too much speculation. The cost of electricity here is one-third Ecuador’s Minister of Mining, Javier Córdova LatAm INVESTOR Of course we realise that speculation is less than Peru and just half the cost in part and parcel of the mining industry but Chile. We also have lots of water, which the problem was that when junior miners again is vital for mining. In Chile, for came to us with interest in an area they example, BHP is spending $3.6billion on a couldn’t get it because the concession desalination plant, so it can really impact had already been granted. And often the the economics of a project. Another concession holder wasn’t working the advantage is our infrastructure. We have mine; they were just waiting for a big a first-rate road system and five sea ports 10 | Q1 2016 that miners can use for exports and we are a small country, all of which reduces the transport costs. Given all of those advantages we realised that there must be a problem with our mining code, so we commissioned Wood Mackenzie to evaluate our system. They identified that our tax structure was much higher than other mining countries in the region. For comparable projects we had a tax burden of 35% compared to an average of 26%. So this encouraged the president to develop some tax incentives to make us more competitive. We realised that our windfall tax was a disincentive in the existing form so we established a formula that based the tax on a ten-year average price, giving investors more certainty. We also made a change that allows companies to recover all investment before it is subject to the windfall tax. MC : Yes and no. Essentially I say no because it’s not like the mining development is happening now just because the country is in a difficult economic position. The government use the great mineral resources that it has ignored for so long. LAI: In recent years investors have seen bad community relations in Latin America destroy large mining projects; what is Ecuador doing to manage this? understands – indeed we’ve made this very clear to the public – that mining is MC: You have hit the nail on the head – a long-term industry. It’s not a quick fix to the social element is our main challenge. problems that we have now. All the other factors, the taxes etc, can always be adjusted to make a project Moreover the decision to develop this work but you can’t get a social license industry was taken years earlier. Of course unless you have good relations with the we made some mistakes, which we have community, so it’s complicated. We’ve now corrected, but this is a decision with seen painful examples around the region a long-term trajectory. The majority of where billion-dollar projects have been the projects which are being developed suspended because of community issues, will only begin production after this so it’s something that we’ve ffocused on government term in 2018 so it’s not like and made a priority. we’re doing this for instant benefit. Our solution is that we don’t let the We realised investors want visibility so we now implement tax stability contracts that guarantee tax levels for up to 30 years. We also have tax breaks for investment in capital goods and even some VAT discounts. Now our tax burden comes in at 26%, on par with the rest of the region. It’s true that mining will deliver a large companies handle the relations with the investment boost in 2016 and 2017 but communities on their own. Of course with this president we are working for the each company will have their community next generations not the next elections. strategy but we are also an active partner We have established that 2025 will be in this. We send specialist teams that the year of peak production, by which explain to the communities what a time we will be long gone. We estimate project will entail and how it can benefit that $8billion dollars of investment will them. be needed between now and 2025 The new tax regime, coupled with our additional advantages, make Ecuador one of the world’s most attractive destinations for mining investment. It’s also an exciting play for exploration because less than 10% of the country has been properly explored for mining. We are now in a very attractive position, so now we need to let people know that we are open for business. Mining investors coming here should know that they now have a dedicated minister taking care of the sector and the support of the president. LAI: Does government mining stem from the economic difficulties created by the collapse in oil prices? the current support for to develop these projects that will, If you look at the oil industry in by then, be generating $4billion per Ecuador it had problems where areas year in exports, making it the second- such as the Amazon were generating largest export after oil, and bringing in the wealth but didn’t see any of the $800million in tax benefits. benefits. People in these places never received roads, schools, hospitals or But if my answer at the beginning drinking water systems and were left sounded ambiguous it’s because clearly with the contamination and disruption. we are an oil country so we’re being Unsurprisingly hit hard by low oil prices. The low price members began to oppose projects. It is cost the state around $8billion in 2015. vital to show a local community that the The strong dollar also hurts because it benefits of mining are real. The mining makes us more expensive while other law establishes that 60% of the royalty commodity Norway must be invested in areas surrounding a to Peru have all seen their currencies project. We manage that fund to ensure depreciate. This situation has served as that it happens, through a programme a strong reminder that Ecuador should called Strategic Ecuador. producers from 11 | Q1 2016 many community LatAm INVESTOR SECTOR SPECIAL Ecuador, Latin America’s Newest Mining Destination T WHY INVEST IN ECUADOR? he eyes of the world are now on 12 P OW ER GE NE Ecuador, which is determined to show itself as the latest investment The country is found on the west coast of mountain range. These are precisely the Operating across the whole country 5 geographic and geologic conditions that become competitive advantages, along with the diversity and abundance of 8,300 MW ADVANTAGES • Projects with high mineral ore grades • Access to water resources • Currency stability In the last decade the South American $ 8.2 B country has experienced a sustained rise, not just in its economic indicators and IN the national TM S of mining industry has the full support of EN PLACE IN ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE IN LATIN AMERICA 89% VE development IN its citizens, especially the most vulnerable. 1 ST ON the improvement of living standards for OF CLEAN, LOW-COST ENERGY APPROVED INCENTIVES • Tax stability • Accelerated Depreciation I LL I GDP, but also in social development, with From 2016 will provide PORTS Key for international mining production natural resources. CTS OJE PR AIRPORTS South America and crossed by the Andes The Hydroelectric plants N TIO RA 9 15 destination on the region’s mining map. T of the country's roads repaired and improved • Standardized windfall tax • Tax credit for repatriating profits • Use of NPV to calculate sovereign adjustment the national government. The political decision in 2015 to create a ministry specifically dedicated to the mining The sector reflects the will to advance along government to investors came about the right path. Moreover, key reforms through the legal and tax reforms to were made to the mining regulation encourage the arrival of fresh capital for Of course there is no doubt that the and incentives were created to attract the development of the industry. For development of the mining industry is investment through the Law of Public example, the government introduced linked to the operating costs and access Private Partnerships, which guarantees the return of VAT on exportations and to resources. In this sense Ecuador has not only an agile institutional structure the signing of tax contracts for 15 years an electricity price that’s lower than the but also to serves businesspeople and (renewable). Moreover the strong public regional average. Indeed the country has citizens. investment infrastructure 12 electricity generation projects, nine commitment made of in the national have a high ore grade, which makes the investment even more attractive. (roads, ports, airports) in recent years has of which are hydroelectric and provide In this context Ecuador counts with at least transformed the country into a leader in 8,300 MW of clean energy. So this means three fundamental pillars, which position Latin America, according to the World there is an abundant supply of water, it as the new destination for the mining Economic Forum. which you can even find in the areas of industry in the region. 1) The commitment the mining projects. to the sector and the political stability of Another factor is that Ecuador has the national government, 2) The great unbeatable geological conditions for the At present Ecuador has five strategic mining exploration potential, and, 3) The current and future development of large- mining projects: Mirador, Fruta del Norte, competitive advantages that investment scale mining projects. Especially when San Carlos Panantza, Río Blanco y Loma in the sector offers. This has generated you take into account that only 5% of Larga, which have a projected total a climate of confidence for national and the country’s territory has been explored. investment of approximately $8billion international investment. Additionally, the current mining projects between LatAm INVESTOR 12 | Q1 2016 now and 2023. Thereby in association with strengthening the security environment for investors, who, in the words of Ron Hochstein (CEO of Lundin Gold) see in Ecuador, “a land of opportunities for mining.” Mirador Launches LargeScale Mining The Mirador copper project is a concession of the company EcuaCorriente SA (ECSA) that signed its first contract of mineral exploitation and investment with the Ecuadorian state in 2012, with an investment of approximately $1.5billion. The deposit is located in the parish of Tundayme, in the canton El Pangui, in the province of Zamora Chinchipe. The deposit has 6.5 billion pounds of copper, 26,000 ounces of silver and 3.2 million ounces of gold. The mine will process 60,000 tonnes per day with an active life of 30 years. Mirador constitutes Ecuador’s first largescale, opencast, industrialised metals mining project. It will generate more than 3,000 direct jobs between the construction and operation of the mine, and more than 1,000 indirect jobs or productive enterprises throughout all of the development phases. Through the concept of advance royalties this project agreed to pay the Ecuadorian state $100million, of which $70million has already been delivered and invested Signing of the agreement for the development of Fruta del Norte. From left to right: Ron Hochstein (Executive President and General Manager of Lundin Gold), Rafael Poveda (Co-ordinating Minister of Strategic Sectors), Marianick Tremblay (Ambassador of Canada to Ecuador), Jorge Glas (Vice President of Ecuador), Lukas Lundin (President of the Board of Lundin Gold), Javier Córdova (Minister of Mining). in education, health, road transport the Fruta del Norte Project, signed and more works around the project an agreement with the Ecuadorian in the province of Zamora Chinchipe. government in which it promised to In invest approximately $850 million until December 2015, ECSA, officially inaugurated the exploitation stage. Fruta del Norte, the biggest undeveloped gold deposit in the region 2018 for the development of the deposit. This confirms the growing confidence among foreign investors in the Latin American nation. At present 200 people work in the project, which will generate approximately 3000 new jobs in mine Fruta del Norte is the biggest construction undeveloped gold project in Ecuador and benefiting in the Latin American region. It is located project. and those operation, living directly around the in the parish of Los Encuentros, in the Canton of Yantzaza, in Zamora Chinchipe Fruta del Norte will become an example province, in the Ecuadorian Amazon. It of reponsible mining now that the has estimated reserves of 9.8 million company has effectively linked various ounces of gold and 15 million ounces of segments of the local population in the silver. development of the project, whether Lundin Gold, the company that operates it’s through job offer or the provision of services. And at the same time it has started community projects with the people of Los Encuentros in an intensive inclusion process. This will satisfy the local residents, who, thanks to the public investment stemming from the project’s royalties, receive a boost from the generation of direct employment and also have transparent access to information about the project development. All of which minimises the possibility of social conflict against the mining projects. Mirador mining project, Zamora Chinchipe, Ecuador 13 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR MARKET-MOVING EVENTS CALENDAR January February March Monday 1st Wednesday 2nd 5:00 PM - Brazil - Balance of Trade 8:00 PM - Brazil - Balance of Trade Wednesday 6th Tuesday 2nd Thursday 3rd 1:00 AM - Colombia - Inflation Rate YoY 11:00 AM - Brazil - Industrial Production YoY 9:00 PM - Colombia - Exports YoY Thursday 4th Friday 4th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Business Confidence 3:00 PM - Mexico - Interest Rate Decision 9:00 PM - Colombia - Exports YoY 11:05 PM - Brazil - Interest Rate Decision Friday 5th 11:30 AM - Chile - Balance of Trade 11:30 AM - Chile - IMACEC Economic Activity YoY 12:00 PM - Brazil - Inflation Rate YoY Monday 4th 5:00 PM - Brazil - Balance of Trade 9:00 pm - Colombia - Exports YoY Thursday 7 th 11:00 AM - Brazil - Industrial Production YoY 11:00 AM - Chile - Balance of Trade 2:00 PM - Mexico - Inflation Rate YoY 11:00 AM - Brazil - Inflation Rate YoY 11:30 AM - Chile - IMACEC Economic Activity YoY Friday 8th Tuesday 8th 11:00 AM - Brazil - Inflation Rate YoY 11:00 AM - Chile - Inflation Rate YoY Saturday 6th Monday 11 11:00 AM - Colombia - Inflation Rate YoY 2:00 PM - Mexico - Industrial Production YoY Monday 8th Wednesday 13 11:00 AM - Chile - inflation Rate YoY 11:30 AM - Chile - Balance of Trade th th 11:00 AM - Brazil - Retail Sale YoY Thursday 14 th 11:00 AM - Chile - Inflation Rate YoY Wednesday 9th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Inflation Rate YoY 7:00 PM - Colombia - Industrial Production YoY 7:00 PM - Colombia - Retail Sales YoY Tuesday 19th 9:00 PM - Colombia - Balance of Trade Wednesday 20th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Industrial Production YoY 2:00 PM - Mexico - Inflation Rate YoY Monday 14th Thursday 11th 12:00 PM - Brazil - Retail Sales YoY 9:00 PM - Colombia - Retail Sales YoY 9:00 PM - Industrial Production YoY 2:00 PM - Mexico - Industrial Production YoY 7:00 PM - Argentina - Economic Activity YoY 7:00 PM - Argentina - Balance of Trade 7:00 PM - Argentina - Current Account 7:00 PM - Argentina - GDP Growth Rate YoY 7:00 PM - Argentina - Industrial Production YoY 9:00 PM - Chile -Interest Rate Decision Tuesday 16th 3:00 PM - Colombia - Consumer Confidence 10:30 PM - Brazil - Interest Rate Decision Monday 25th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Economic Activity YoY Wednesday 17th 9:00 PM - Colombia - Retail Sales YoY 9:00 PM - Colombia - Industrial Production YoY 2:00 PM - Mexico - Unemployment Rate Tuesday 26 th Thursday 18th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Retail Sales YoY Wednesday 27th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Balance of Trade Thursday 28th 11:00 AM - Brazil - Unemployment Rate Friday 29th 12:00 PM - Chile - Copper Production YoY 12:00 PM - Chile - Industrial Production YoY LatAm INVESTOR Tuesday 15th 3:00 PM - Colombia - Consumer Confidence Thursday 17th 4:30 PM - Colombia - GDP Growth Rate YoY 9:00 PM - Colombia - Balance of Trade 9:00 PM - Colombia - Imports YoY 9:50 PM - Chile - Interest Rate Decision Friday 18th 11:45 AM - Chile - GDP Growth Rate YoY 12:30 PM - Chile - Current Account 2:00 PM - Mexico - Private Spending YoY 7:00 PM Mexico - Interest Rate Decision 7:00 PM - Argentina - Unemployment Rate Q4 Monday 21st 12:30 PM - Brazil - Current Account 12:30 PM - Brazil - Foreign Direct Investment Friday 11th Tuesday 9th 9:00 PM - Chile - Interest Rate Decision Monday 18th Monday 7th Friday 19th 6:30 PM - Colombia - Interest Rate Decision 6:50 PM - Colombia - Inrest Rate Decision 7:00 pm - Argentina - GDP Growth Rate YoY Tuesday 23rd Friday 25th 2:00 PM - Mexico - GDP Growth Rate YoY 2:00 PM - Mexico - Economic Activity YoY 12:00 PM - Brazil - Unemployment Rate Wednesday 24th 1:30 PM - Brazil - Foreign Direct Investment 1:30 PM - Brazil - Current Account 7:00 PM - Argentina - Balance of Trade 8:30 PM - Paraguay - Interest Rate Decision 14 | Q1 2016 Monday 28th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Balance of Trade Tuesday 29th 2:00 PM - Mexico - Economic Activity YoY THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REPORT Aiming Up Economic expansion in the DR Face-to-Face: Ambassador Cuello highlights key growth areas Cultivating Profits: The Dominican Republic’s agro-export boom Location, Location, Location: Plans to create an international logistics hub 15 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN PANAMA LatAm INVESTOR 16 | Q1 2016 REPUBLIC Contents DR Overview 16 Cultivating Profits 18 Interview with Ambassador Cuello 22 Caucedo Logistics Center 24 Location, Location, Location 26 KPMG 30 Sun, Sea and Investment 32 Interview with Ambassador Campbell 34 17 | Q1 2016 Opening Up 36 Generating Growth 38 Interview with Jean Alain Rodriguez 40 Final Word 42 LatAm INVESTOR LatAm INVESTOR 18 | Q1 2016 The Dominican Republic’s Number 1 Banana Exporter Supplying the UK with premium, organic and fair-trade bananas. Supporting the Dominican Republic with a growing export industry. Hatillo Palma, Montecristi. Dominican Republic. Phones: 809-572-4211 y 809-572-4203 | Fax: 809-572-9384 | www.banamiel.com.do | [email protected] 19 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR LatAm INVESTOR 20 | Q1 2016 over the next 20 years. It’s a long-term rigorously checked”, says Cocco, “after to the UK looks set to continue. In 2015 commitment to building reservoirs and all, we specialise in premium produce an outbreak of Mediterranean fruit-fly led dams wherever possible. The size of the so it makes sense for us. However, many to the US installing a temporary import investment means that the state has to of the processes don’t seem logical. For ban. It served as a stark reminder of the be the one to make it happen.” example we have invested heavily in a dangers of the DR relying too heavily on fleet of refrigerated trucks to ensure our the North American market. But like any want produce reaches the airport in the best challenge it also brought opportunity infrastructure to be built. He believes state. Once at the airport the cargo can and that attitudes also need to be changed. be subject to all sorts of checks. That is producers to target Britain. “As soon as “We want to educate the farmer – JAD fine but the process is inefficient because the US took the decision we began to wants to work with small farmers to help they will pull out a whole load and leave work with our members to help them them change their model of agriculture. it in the heat, while they check one box.” access the UK”, says Benítez. We already But Benítez doesn’t just Unfortunately the concept of water encouraged more Dominican have strong links in the British market conservation isn’t very common. We Moreover while companies like Banamiel so it gives us something to build on. We have farmers that waste water to the and Tropifruit have cracked the British managed to help some chilli, avocado point where they damage crops. We also market, it’s clear that other Dominican and tomato producers although it’s at a need a zoning system to stop inefficient firms are still some way off the standard very early stage.” production – for example rice, which is required. “The UK is a demanding market a water-intensive crop, being grown in with various checks on quality. We’re used For British firms the opportunities are dry areas. Finally we need farmers to use to that now and it’s not a problem for us clear. One option is to bring the capital, modern, efficient systems of irrigation. but I think the Dominican government technology and know- how that the DR Clearly this costs them a lot of money could do more to help other suppliers needs to boost productivity and output. so the state should create a financing reach those standards. It would also be Or another is to look at commercialising programme that gives them sufficient a good idea to have testing laboratories some time, say a decade, to pay it back.” here that can subject fruit and vegetables excellent agricultural produce. of the Dominican Republic’s to the same tests they would get in the Another challenge is the cumbersome UK. If there is a problem it is better to As for the government, whoever wins the bureaucratic know here than find out once it’s been election in May will need to make sure sent over there.” that the DR’s buoyant agricultural export procedures that some exporters have to pass through for their produce enter new markets. “We support the notion that standards should be sector receives the support it needs to The trend of Dominican firms exporting 21 | Q1 2016 push on to the next level. LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Interview with Federico Cuello, Ambassador of the Dominican Republic to the United Kingdom LatAm INVESTOR: Can you give an overview of the relationship between the UK and the DR. Partnership Agreement with the EU. In Ambassador Cuello: record high. UK tourism to the DR is The UK was the second country to recognize our independence. Its Consul General, Sir Robert Schomburgk—one of the leading geographers of the 19th Century—drew the most accurate map of the island, including our border with Haiti which he helped us defend. But our history dates back to well before our independence. The most famous early contact was Sir Francis Drake. Here in England he is a hero, but for Dominicans he was a pirate who installed himself in our cathedral, the first of the Americas. Back then European powers fought to control our strategic location, but now we have a good relationship with all of Europe thanks to our Economic that context the relationship between the two countries is very healthy. Bilateral trade is booming and is at a recovering fast, having grown 35% in 2014. UK consumers have taken a real liking to Dominican produce. DR exports of fresh produce, for instance, grew 18% between 2011-2014. The UK recognises—and pays for—top quality produce, even if it takes years to develop. Back in 1989, Fyffes had become disappointed with Caribbean growers who could not fulfil the quotas allocated to them as traditional suppliers under the so-called Lomé Agreement. Since then we managed to become the leading supplier of bananas in Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific (the ACP group). Having met British standards we dominated the organic and fair trade niches of the market. That success is being replicated in other products such as avocados and mangoes. Our quality may be up to UK standards but it is essential to be reliable as well. Thanks to our positioning as the main tourist destination in the Caribbean, exporters can rely on our daily air connections to the UK, which allow them to ship to the UK already-ripened products ready to market. And our maritime connection time to the UK is the shortest in Latin America and the Caribbean: 9 days. Federico Cuello, Ambassador of the Dominican Republic to the United Kingdom Connectivity is an essential element of our reliability. It is thus an advantage we have over any of our neighbours LatAm INVESTOR 22 | Q1 2016 LAI: The DR’s strategic location was clear to Cristóbal Colón, who made it the centrepiece of his Viceroyalty; what are the plans to become a regional hub? AC: The example of the UK is clear: an island nation which became a key hub for global trade, thus enhancing its potential as a prime location for manufacturing and for sophisticated service industries. The DR should do no less. Of our 15 natural ports, 12 are operating, including the Port of Caucedo. IDB traffic data shows that trade between Central American countries already use Caucedo as their transhipment hub. It belongs to the same DP-World network of London Gateway. Our ten international airports are also key for our logistics potential, although interestingly the main one isn’t in the capital city but in the tourist destination of Punta Cana. It has direct connections to more than 40 cities in the world, including several in the UK. Many Latin American exporters rely on our airports to connect with Britain. So for example you get fresh-cut flowers from Ecuador or fresh asparagus from Peru. You can be sure they get here on time because of our transhipment services in Punta Cana. We have the best road and telecoms infrastructure of Central America and the Caribbean, allowing thousands of firms to produce for our domestic market— we have increasingly in the DR. And its What has been achieved is a major step bucking Latin American trends with a growth potential is enhanced by the forward. Now, regularized migrants have healthy 7% growth rate—and for our multitude of trade agreements which a legal basis to remain in the DR. They main export markets. Many of those firms gives us access to the world’s major continue to enjoy free access to public are located in export-processing zones, economies—such as DR-CAFTA with the services such as schools and hospitals which provide for tax-free manufacturing US and Central America, and our EPA with as well as non-discriminatory access to and service provision. the Caribbean and the EU—which create our courts. And, as documented workers, the right conditions for a range of sectors, they are now in stronger position to It is clear however that what we have from agriculture to manufacturing to negotiate with employers. is not enough. Our push for more will services, thus reinforcing our potential as create a logistics hub. investment opportunities for In any country, undocumented workers your readers so that we can enhance our competitiveness as a logistics hub at the very centre of the Western Hemisphere. One of these opportunities is the urgent need for an integrated rail network that would improve island-wide logistics. Such a network would help us improve connections with Haiti, which relies on the DR as their main supplier as well as their main port of entry for imported goods. Of course at the moment Panama is the main trade hub for the region. But we don’t see Panama as a competitor. The size of our populations is very different, so Panama has a different potential as a domestic market or as a source for labour. The locational attributes are also complementary rather than competitive. The expansion of the canal will create opportunities for everyone, especially for the DR. It means more trade passing through our neighbourhood, reinforcing our advantages as the country with the shortest sailing connection to Europe, our connectivity with the east coast of the US, our growing links with Latin America and of course our thriving capacity as a location of choice for export-oriented manufacturing and services. At the end of the day, the best infrastructure in the world will not have a developmental impact if it doesn’t have a real economy behind it. That is what normally suffer because of being LAI: The DR’s new rules on migration and nationality proved controversial; can you explain situation to our readers? forced to accept different employment AC: legally documented, thus benefiting The DR has done something to be proud of—it has put its house in order. For too long, our borders were lax. Immigrants could come and go without documents and work without being properly registered. This informal situation hurt everyone. political consensus around a new special naturalization law, providing up to 18 months to all irregular migrants to document their status—a period which is significantly longer than what any other country has given their population of undocumented migrants to regularize their status. benefited. peers—whether national or foreign— face unfair competition. Even critical voices in civil society would have to admit that it is better for workers to be society as a whole. Of course the situation is not perfect. The DR wants to overcome the many gaps separating both countries sharing the island of Hispaniola. For instance, business on both sides of President Danilo Medina built a wide Immigrants conditions. As a result, their documented the border have set up the Quisqueya Binational Development Council (www. cebquisqueya.org) to ensure bilateral and international investment in the key priority sectors for our deepened economic integration. The development strategy of President Danilo Medina is attacking poverty at its source by ensuring access to finance for from 74% 116 of nationalities undocumented immigrants were able to take advantage of the new rules. Unfortunately, the rest did not meet the deadline: a minority of Haitian immigrants—and the descendants they forgot to declare in Haitian consulates—did not receive the support of their own government in getting the documents required to complete the Dominican part of the process. SMEs in agriculture and industry. Now, with a fully regular labour market, plus targeted investments in the border zone should help overcome inequality both within the DR and between the DR and Haiti. This should help spread more evenly the benefits of our fast-paced growth and thus allowing us to realize the potential of our island as one economicallyintegrated market of over 20 million of consumers. 23 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN Caucedo Logistics Center is close to the Western Hemisphere’s major markets. LatAm INVESTOR 24 | Q1 2016 REPUBLIC in association with The Americas’ ideal logistics platform E fficiency has always been a key DP World, one of the largest port costs. By combining both port and factor in supply chain engineering. operators understanding warehousing operations in a single site, Companies look this current trend in global logistics has adding an adjacent proximity to a major for ways to move their products from begun to develop its newest project in international airport, the Center creates point A to point B in the shortest time the Caribbean, the first air-sea logistics an ideal logistics platform in the centre possible, using the least amount of center in the region. Located in the of the Caribbean and Central American resources, compromising Dominican Republic and in the epicenter region. The first warehouse has already quality; unceasingly looking for ways of the Americas, the Logistics Center been inaugurated and 100% leased, and to reach their markets in a much more is being developed within one of the construction of the second warehouse efficient manner, while structuring their largest and most important ports in the already on their way. supply chain so to adjust quickly to any Caribbean region, DP World Caucedo. continuously without worldwide, change in demand. The near-sourcing The concept has been a key element in The first phase of the project consists of strategic location in the hemisphere Dominican Republic, with its this restructuring, revolutionizing how 14 warehouses of approximately 10,000 and one of the strongest economies in operations are strategically located near square meters and 10 meters height, the region with a population of over 10 target markets allowing for considerable all located within the port premises million people, is undoubtedly becoming lead time reductions and enhanced and allowing for a seamless container the preferred and most efficient logistics supply chain flexibility. transportation from quay to warehouse destination in the region. and unmatched savings on transportation 25 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Location, Location, Location A vital new decree looks to unlock the Dominican Republic’s logistics potential. We investigate the DR’s bid to become a key part of the global trade network… T he first hospital in the Americas, dropped. In accordance with existing offers a guarantee of stability. It also the first school in the Americas, Dominican laws on free trade zones a reassures the large consumer goods the first paved road in the 3.5% tax is applied to the value of the companies that will now be looking at Americas, the first stone house in services rendered to goods while in the using the DR as a logistics hub. the Americas… suffice to say that centres. But crucially this just applies the Dominican Republic is home to to the value added to the good while But it’s too early to crack open the a lot of firsts. But it’s not just about being processed – not the entire value champagne just yet. The decree creates historical precedents. More than 500 of the merchandise. the legal conditions for the DR to build years since the Spanish recognised the a world-class logistics platform yet the strategic value of the island’s location “The new regulatory framework for the actual procedures and policies still have the Dominican Republic continues distribution centres is the key”, says to be implemented. At the moment to enjoy a unique position astride Alexander Schad, President of local the private sector is working with global trade routes. Now a powerful freight forwarder, Frederic Schad . “We government officials to create the most combination of policymakers and local already have firms offering ticketing, efficient processes. “We are working on and international business leaders, bundling, packaging for goods heading implementation of procedures”, explains are working to turn the Dominican to the local market, now they can Conde. “We are taking a high-level Republic into a fulcrum of the world expand and do it for goods passing minister to see the Dubai experience trade system. through to international markets.” [headquarters of DP World, one of the Late last year the Dominican Republic For Samuel Conde, Chairman and CEO efficient ports have electronic platforms announced a move that could turn the at Caucedo Development Corporation, for the port community system which country into a pre-eminent trading which includes a DP World-operated brings together all of the stakeholders hub. In September it revealed a special port that is the DR’s biggest, the recent from customs, shipping lines, terminals, regulatory framework dedicated to decree was the culmination of a long- brokers, the logistics sector. It might have held dream. “We have always believed companies, regulatory agencies, and a dry name but the Decree 262-15: the the anyone else who is involved in the Regulation for Logistics Centres and potential to become a logistics hub, passage of goods through the port. Logistics Operators could revolutionise but it’s not something that you achieve A successful example of this is Dubai the Dominican Republic. The decree overnight. Fortunately this government Trade, an organisation that maintains enables distribution has had the vision to support the sector the entire logistics ecosystem to ensure centres to receive imports, add value and create the regulatory conditions that it is as efficient for all users as to them and re-export them without that it needs to grow.” Indeed having possible.” being subject to extra taxes. Previously a specific decree doesn’t just help the goods going through that process economics of logistics projects – it Unfulfilled potential would have been subject to a 1.5% tax also sends out a strong message to In theory the size of the Dominican on their entire value, which made it the industry. For investors that want to Republic’s economy should make it the uneconomic in the face international finance the new distribution centres economic centre of Central America competition - now that tax has been that the country will need the decree and the Caribbean. It is the biggest planet’s largest port operators]. Modern Dominican LatAm INVESTOR Dominican Republic 26 | Q1 2016 has truckers, banks, insurance economy of both and has a network America and Europe. It takes container the motorway system means land travel of free trade agreements that allow for vessels just nine days sail to reach around the island is fast and efficient. the tariff-free movement of practically Europe from the Dominican Republic. Sea ports have also been expanded, all goods within these two sub-regions. Meanwhile the USA can be reached with 12 now operating. But it’s not just Yet in practice it is less straight forward. within two days. Latin America’s two about quantity. For example, Puerto Sure, plenty of shipping lines use the largest consumer markets, Mexico Caucedo has spent hundreds of millions Dominican Republic for transhipment and Brazil, are also within short sailing of dollars over the last decade to create within the region – so boats are distance from the DR. Clearly goods a world-class port. It has a 400-metre unloaded and containers placed onto going direct from the UK to Brazil have berth, dredged to a depth of 17 metres, smaller feeder ships that visit the various no need to stop off at the Dominican that means it can take the super Post Caribbean islands. But it has not become Republic on the way. But where the Panamax vessels that are even too the distribution centre of choice for the DR becomes useful is if goods need large for the expanded Panama Canal. large multinationals operating in the to be repackaged or modified before It has also built a breakwater berth that region. Most still prefer to use Panama travelling on to diverse different boosted its capacity and cut waiting as a platform to store, handle, repackage markets. Its strategic location means times for vessels. The air transport sector and reship the goods passing through that it can receive goods from across is also in good shape, as the country the region. the Americas, add value to them and boasts 10 international airports. then send them on to their target “When it comes to using the DR as a Connectivity is another area where the markets. distribution centre, the truth is that here DR scores well. Several major shipping that business is still in its infancy”, says The factors for success lines serve the country’s ports, while a Ángel Terrero, General Manager, Yobel Strategic location is all very well network of feeder vessels connect it Logistics DR. “At the moment Panama but on its own it’s not enough to to the smaller, periphery destinations is very dominant because it has the turn a country into a major trade in the Caribbean. The air connectivity canal, a great airport and good logistics hub, explains Conde. “To be a player is even more impressive. The busiest services. However, with the new logistics in that game you have to offer airport is Punta Cana, which accounts centre at Caucedo, there is a real push to connectivity, infrastructure, expedite for 60% of Dominican air traffic and has turn the DR into a distribution centre.” procedures and a competitive cost.” direct flights to more than 40 different But the DR’s logistic ambitions are not The decree will improve procedures international destinations. just regional. Part of its appeal is that its but what about the other factors?The positioning makes it a natural fulcrum Dominican Republic scores well on The DR’s strengths in infrastructure and for trade between Latin America, North infrastructure. Heavy investment in connectivity stem from the fact that it’s a relatively large and dynamic economy. For example the excellent road system is a feat that poorer countries in Central America and the Caribbean have not been able to match. Meanwhile the impressive air traffic volume is driven by the country’s buoyant tourism industry. Tony Vasquez, President of Caribe Cargo, one of the major air freight forwarders in the DR, believes the island has already become a major cargo air hub. “Look at the amount of destinations from Punta Cana airport. All of the major European economies have direct flights, so too do North and South America. Yes they are mostly charter flights for tourism but that leaves a big space for cargo in Puerto Caucedo already plays a key role the hold. Tourists travelling back from 27 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC The DR will become a vital pivot in the global trade network their two-week dream holiday in the other Caribbean islands, such as Cuba, Panama and 4 million in Jamaica. Cuba is Dominican Republic don’t realise that Jamaica and Puerto Rico, who have all around the same size as us but they will they’re bringing home piles of fruit and announced plans to boost their port take time to develop what they need to vegetables with them.” facilities in a bid to become trading do and they are way to the north.” The amount of flights and diversity of destinations hubs. means that Europe-bound exports from The massive canal plans in Central North and South America all end up in But the mood in the DR logistics America are not causing much disquiet the Dominican Republic before being industry is one of measured confidence. either. “To be honest I don’t think that forwarded on to different European “Cuba, Jamaica and Puerto Rico all have the Grand Nicaragua Canal is going to markets. Cost is another crucial factor. their own plans to become logistics be built”, says Vasquez. Definitely not in The fact that the tourist flights have centres - and ultimately the market will the timeframe that has been announced. already been chartered brings down decide which the best is – but I think There are huge political, ecological and the cost of the cargo, explains Vasquez. the DR is in a really good position”, says financial barriers in the way of that “From Punta Cana you can send a kilo Terreno. “Of course Puerto Rico has project.” Meanwhile Vasquez sums up of asparagus to Frankfurt for 90 cents; some advantages for being so close the mood in the industry when he views if you did that normally for a nine-hour to the USA, but they have other issues the imminent Panama Canal expansion flight it would cost three times as much. such as the cost of the labour. Cuba as an opportunity. “It will mean more But ultimately the carriers prefer to do is opening up but it will be a learning traffic and larger ships heading through it for cheap than have the space remain process for the Cubans as they develop this neighbourhood. That creates an empty. If they get 10,000 kilos of that’s their regulatory framework and open opportunity $9million, so it’s a good business for up their customs processes. These are feeder ships for smaller regional markets. them too.” things that give us a lot of confidence Fending off the competition for transhipment onto to keep investing and betting on the DR Business opportunities as a hub.” It’s clear that the Dominican Republic is Of course the Dominican Republic isn’t at the cusp of a major transformation. the only Central American or Caribbean Most industry insiders also think this But LatAm INVESTOR readers will be country trying to climb up the global is a situation where size matters. “The wondering how far this story will go and logistics ladder. Panama, the undisputed advantage we have is the big local where the opportunities will arise. logistics leader in the region, is currently market”, says Schad. “Companies looking expanding its canal to increase its share for distribution centres prefer if the local In the initial stage there are two main of global trade flows. While Nicaragua market has a critical mass to bring down business opportunities, explains Schad. has launched an ambitious – some say costs. The population of the DR is 10 “The first is investment in the real estate unrealistic – plan to build a counter million, with 20 million consumers living for the distribution centres. Generally canal. Yet, the more direct competition on the island when you include Haiti. speaking the logistics operator is not to the Dominican Republic comes from That’s compared to around 3 million in the owner of the land or building – as LatAm INVESTOR 28 | Q1 2016 we prefer to invest our profits in our operations – so real estate investors could buy and develop sites to rent to the logistics firms. The second opportunity is for UK importers and exporters to take advantage of the DR and use it as a base for their international business.” One player well placed to benefit is the Caucedo “The Development logistic Corporation. component of the Caucedo enterprise was always there. In fact our official name, Zona Franca Multimodal Caucedo, shows the multimodal component has long been part of the plan. The reason for that is Samuel Conde, Chairman and CEO at the Caucedo Development Corporation that we are located back-to-back with Santo Domingo international airport so we envisaged eventually seeing joint operations between the two customs territories. Indeed for customs purposes Caucedo is a single customs territory, so that’s been part of the vision from the beginning.” Now, under the new legislation, the Caucedo Logistics Center can offer more to its clients. This should help attract more volume but also boost sales per client. “The objectives of the logistics centre is to convert part of pure transhipment – where we have no opportunity to add value because the goods go direct from ship to yard to ship – to re-export. That involves warehousing, distribution centres, inventory management and repackaging. Essentially it’s about creating efficiency for customers’ supply chains.” Of course it’s easy for insiders to talk up the prospects for their own industry but it’s notable that in the DR these business is Latin American logistics specialist, Ali in Dubai started out as a simple Yobel. “Here we are developing systems 100-hectare distribution centre. Today that we can offer to clients to manage it is practically a city, spread over 50 multinational, complicated inventories sq km. There are around 7000 entities in a sophisticated way”, explains Terrero. taking advantage of the site which has a “We have systems for eco packing, port and the world’s largest airport. I’ve labelling and manufacture, and these seen its growth over the last decade and processes are very efficient yet we keep it’s been very impressive. But it’s not just investing in the operating capacity of about size – the model itself is incredibly the company. We are also creating a extensive. There is an IT City, from legal entity that can take advantage where firms like HP, Microsoft and Dell, of the new regulatory framework and operate their regional distribution. But it function in the logistics centres.” involves more than just transport as you have to train support staff and create Changing the face of the DR specialised software. You also have the The transformation of the Dominican Media City, where the likes of CNN, NBC Republic into a world-class logistics and Al Jazeera are creating content for hub is a huge investment story. But it’s goods that are being distributed.” not just about profits. It will change the Dominican Republic forever, creating a Once you become a distribution hub, new driver for development. On a recent a diverse range of support services are visit to the Dominican Republic, HE needed. This means that the benefits Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem, Chairman of for the country are more extensive. DP World, predicted that the DR could Panama provides an inspiring model of become ‘the Dubai of the Americas”. how a simple canal can be leveraged to build a sophisticated service-based leaders are backing it up with investment too. Caucedo, for example, has invested Given that logistic-related services economy. Given the strategic location hundreds of millions of dollars in make up 25% of Dubai’s GDP it would of the Dominican Republic, and its securing land, improving berths and be a fundamental shift in the economic existing building blocks of connectivity building warehouses that will enable it makeup of the DR. and infrastructure, the new legislation should help it regain its role of global to attract leading clients. Another firm already reacting to the new legislation Conde believes it can happen. “Jebel 29 | Q1 2016 significance. LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Delio Zúñiga, Senior Partner, KPMG Dominican Republic LatAm INVESTOR: The Dominican Republic has ambitious plans to become a logistics hub for the region; do you think it will achieve it? Delio Zúñiga: Yes I think the country has some strong strategic advantages. The main one is the geographical location, after all that’s why this was the first island that Christopher Colombus arrived to from Europe. It wasn’t divine providence, it was down to the fact that it’s a great location, perfectly suited to shipping between Europe and the Americas. Another advantage is that re-export them. Our multiple trade agreements – for example we have FTAs with Central America and the Caribbean, while we have beneficial agreements with Europe and the USA – means that goods sent from the DR have preferential access to many markets. So that is a big advantage too. As a firm we are optimistic about the opportunities in the sector and are already helping some of the major players develop their plans. LAI: The DR’s agricultural exports to the UK are booming; is it a sector that our readers should get excited about? of a problem is corruption for international businesses operating here? DZ: There’s no doubt that it exists and that it can be an issue. When it comes to these international rankings I think that most of the Latin American region scores pretty badly. One point I think is worth making is that the perception of corruption can have some cultural bias. I mean there are other parts of the world that score much better in these rankings yet they still engage in some political and commercial tactics that are probably not what most people would consider honest. Certain types of dishonest compared to other islands in the region, we are relatively large and have a sizeable DZ: It’s important to put the answer practises have become legitimised as ‘a population. That means we can develop in the global context. There is rising way of doing business’ whereas others huge warehouse and logistic facilities demand across the world for foodstuffs are highlighted as cases of corruption. and have a ready supply of productive, and the Dominican Republic is well- Let me put it this way, if you created an reasonably-priced labour. placed to provide extra food. On a local ‘honesty index’ I think that the Dominican level, the traditional agriculture sector Republic would score very well as the Of course these factors have existed is not that dynamic. However, in recent business community here is, for the most for a long time but what is interesting years we have seen a trend of investors part, very sincere and serious. now is the government commitment to creating farm projects dedicated to niche help develop the Dominican Republic export crops. There has been an increase But despite that point, yes it is true that as a hub. The most important step in in the use of greenhouses and while there is corruption here. Luckily it is this process was the recent creation this makes it a more capital intensive being confronted by society. of a dedicated regulatory framework process, the recent successes show that that gives incentives to businesses that the investment pays off. In recent years receive imports, process them and the quality of Dominican agricultural produce has improved and that has made it possible for us to enter markets such as the UK and the US. In turn this has guaranteed a higher price from consumers, which has made it a much more profitable business. Delio Zúñiga, Senior Partner, KPMG Dominican Republic LatAm INVESTOR LAI: Transparency International ranks the DR 123rd globally in its Perceptions of Corruption Index; how much 30 | Q1 2016 LAI: New legislation is opening the DR’s capital markets to international investors; are you optimistic? DZ: The first thing to recognise is that at the moment our financial system is – especially when compared to somewhere like the UK – relatively conservative and closed. Government paper dominates the securities market, there are no locally-listed shares and trading options are limited. Essentially the banks provide in association with for most of the financing needs of local by the push for more modern regulation, players in the industry are negotiating companies. However there are signs that which is ensuring that local banks comply the Pacto Electrico, it is hoped that this is starting to change. with the latest international rules. this agreement will help improve the efficiency of the system. The key thing We have seen new legislation to open up the securities markets and allow for more investment instruments. Moreover there is a new securities law in congress waiting for approval. Another big push factor is coming from the new pension system, which is generating huge amounts of liquidity, which will be able to drive the market for new products when they are created. Indeed the creation of the social security system means that the development of more financial vehicles is inevitable because ultimately the pension funds need a way to be able to gain returns for the contributors. Over time, however, I see LAI: Electricity supply here is plagued with cuts; what is behind the problem and are there opportunities for UK firms that can fix it? that needs to happen is a realisation DZ: The problem at the moment is that should pay something. Without that there is a lot of disorder in the system. Creating a reliable energy supply isn’t just about putting up a turbine and generating energy, you need to create an efficient system from generation to distribution. Here the system hasn’t been planned or integrated sufficiently, which creates challenges. The main one is that more international players becoming involved in banking here, perhaps in partnership with the local players. This will be driven there is not enough control about the distribution of energy and many people don’t pay for what they use. that electricity is a service that everyone should pay for. Of course you can have a system of differentiated tariffs, with subsidies for the poor or preferential rates for strategic industries but everyone there is no incentive to use electricity carefully and prevent waste. On a technical level it would make sense for more renewable energy. At present there is a heavy reliance on fuel oil, which is a relatively dirty fuel and is subject to fluctuating oil prices. Given the DR’s reliance on tourism it makes sense to protect the natural beauty of the island by using renewable energy. Whatever the solution the country decides upon, At present the government and key we at KPMG are here to help. Innovation: the key to business Conscious of the trends that force companies to innovate, we work with our clients to grow and prepare their business for the future, developing their competitive advantages to exploit the most disruptive ideas, which generates networks of constant innovation. Audit • Tax • Advisory KPMG Dominicana Torre Acropolis Suite 1500 Av. Winston Churchill, Código Postal 1467 Santo Domingo, Republica Dominicana. Tel. 1+ (809) 566-9161 Fax. 1 + (809) 566-3468 www.kpmg.com.do 31 | Q1 2016 © 2016 KPMG Dominicana, una sociedad civil panameña y firma de la red de firmas miembro independientes de KPMG, afiliadas a KPMG International (Cooperative “KPMG International”), una entitad suiza. Derechos reservados. LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Sun, Sea and Investment White sands, turquoise seas and sunny climes it’s not hard to see why millions of tourists flock to the Dominican Republic every year. But the DR is not just a tourist magnet. The rapid growth of the industry is also attracting international investors… T he Dominican Republic first Creating destinations run international airport, schools and emerged as a tourist destination Simon president, various foundations means that they can Suarez, vice back in the 1970s. Back then it was institutional relations and projects, for literally build something out of nothing. beachside bed and breakfasts along the Punta Cana Group, a resort developer Another significant player in this market north-eastern coast. But Playa Dorada that has been one of the major engines is Central Romana Corporation, a major (Golden Beach) soon lost its lustre as a powering Dominican tourism, says his sugar producer, whose Casa de Campo massive development on the east coast firm is investing heavily to cater for development was the country’s first of the DR heralded a new style of tourism. future demand. “We consider ourselves major tourism real estate developer. In this second wave of the DR tourism more than just a hotel or real estate It too has ambitious growth plans. boom Punta Cana’s all-inclusive model company. Essentially we see ourselves Meanwhile newer players, such as the proved a world-beater, bringing tourists as destination developers. We have Cap Cana project, are also delivering from around the globe and establishing large-scale hospitality and tourism real the DR as a premier destination. Now estate projects. Dominican tourism looks to be entering a third stage with emerging niches One would expect the imminent arrival such as eco-tourism, mountain trekking, of a glut of new supply to worry local boutique colonial experiences and luxury players, yet most are confident that it real estate. will be needed. “Really the Dominican developers are not competing against By any measure the Dominican tourist each other”, explains Suarez, “we are industry looks in strong shape. In 2014 competing as a country against other visitor numbers grew by 12%, while in global destinations.” Diego Torres, Casa 2015 they rose by 10%. It’s estimated de Campo’s general manager, shares that by 2020 annual visitor numbers just acquired a 15 million square metre Suarez’s view on local competition. will increase by 80% to 10 million. Given territory in Bani in the south of the “Actually there are some synergies and these bullish figures it is perhaps little country. Punta Arena, as the project is ways that we can work together. For surprise that developers are bringing a known, will have the same effect in the example we are working with Cap Cana number of projects online. south west that Punta Cana had on the to jointly hold the Polo World Cup. OK, east. The first phase will be 3 million there are some areas where we compete square metres of seafront. It used to be but I always think that it’s good to have a testing ground for the Dominican Navy, some competition as it drives you to so it looks pretty barren at the moment, innovate.” Torres also believes that the but when it is ready it will become a key to succeeding in this international major part of the tourist industry here.” competition is to create a world-class product that can differentiate itself. “We Simon Suarez, Grupo Punta Cana Vice-President Institutional Relations and Projects LatAm INVESTOR Major tourism players like Grupo Punta were the pioneers in Dominican tourist Cana are able to create destinations real estate and hospitality and we’ve because their size means that they made Casa de Campo one of the most can deliver all of the elements. Huge desired locations. You need to develop tranches of land, a dedicated, privately the amenities to attract people. So we 32 | Q1 2016 have stables, golf courses, a marina and forgotten origins in the country. “When There is also a shift to other types of we also have Altos de Chavón, a replica the wave of investment in the east tourism, says Suarez. “Of course sea and of a 16th century Italian village.” created the all-inclusive hotels in Punta sand will remain the bedrock of tourism Cana it hit Puerto Plata hard”, says Jean in the country but we will see growth Another factor that breeds confidence Pereyra, Managing Director of Ocean in other areas. For example, in historical is that the Dominican tourism industry World Marina in Puerto Plata. “The tourism, using the incredible assets of has shown that it’s resilient to crisis. biggest hotels in Playa Dorada had colonial Santo Domingo. There is also The US and Europe are the two largest around 400 rooms, in Punta Cana some huge scope for eco-tourism projects source markets for the DR, accounting have thousands. Hotels with two themed which have barely begun to take for almost 90% of tourists. So when the restaurants outgunned advantage of this incredible island. Finally Great Financial Crisis hit both markets by new, larger models that had 14.” As I think we will see some developments many expected the DR’s tourist industry a result Puerto Plata endured a slow in our mountain areas with all sorts of to take a battering. Yet it defied the odds decline during the 90s, while the rest of adventure and survived. Leonel Melo, founding the island’s tourist industry boomed. there.” Another trend is luxury tourism. were being partner of OMG, a legal firm and think and trekking possibilities Over the last decade the Dominican tank, believes that the DR’s excellent But a transformation in the last decade is Republic has begun to move up the infrastructure development played a key putting it at the forefront of the industry. tourist value chain, with average spend role. “The crisis hit us at a better time In 2006 Ocean World opened a huge per visitor creeping up. But there are still than other jurisdictions because we marina and entertainment complex. less than ten truly luxurious hotels in the had already built a lot of the supporting The idea was to capture both the yachts country, a figure which will grow rapidly tourist infrastructure, in terms of airports travelling the well-worn route from over the next few years. and roads. Even the basic infrastructure Florida to the British Virgin Islands and for real estate development was already also appeal to the local tourist market. there so it was not a case of hotels and You can forgive UK investors for missing out on the first two waves of developments being left half built. Sure “Our the the Dominican tourist boom. Back in tourism real estate slowed during the marvellous beaches. We have developed the 1970s it would have been hard peak of the crisis but hospitality kept entertainment attractions and also use to imagine the country’s sparse coast growing at double digits.” the culture and history of the town of becoming a tourist hotspot. But right Puerto Plata.” Melo believes that the now, the DR’s tourism sector is in a Finding the opportunities demand for attractions could reward sweet spot. Its solid track record, great LatAm be investors. “ I would say look at the infrastructure and government support wondering where the opportunities are complimentary offers to tourism, such as makes it a less risky sector to invest in. going to arise over the next few years, entertainment. It’s being demanded but While the strong projected visitor figures and perhaps one of the best indicators we lack it. The few companies that have demonstrate that there is plenty of of DR tourism’s future lies with its past. invested in that are doing well. Really potential for further growth. It would be For a long time a visit to Puerto Plata the lack of entertainment is what still harder to forgive if UK plc missed out on was a haunting reminder of the sector’s separates us from Las Vegas or Cancun.” the third DR tourism boom. INVESTOR readers will emphasis isn’t just on The Dominican Republic is home to spectacular natural beauty 33 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Interview with Chris Campbell, Ambassador of the United Kingdom to the Dominican Republic LatAm INVESTOR: Ambassador, you’re relatively new in the post, how do you plan to boost the relationship between the UK and the DR? Ambassador Campbell: My role here is challenging because we already have such a good relationship with the DR! One exciting area that we are going to work on together is the civil service. The Ministry of Public Administration of the Dominican Republic has asked the UK to Fortunately we have a UKTI team based here at the embassy that can help British companies that operate in the DR. There is also a strong chamber of British Chamber of Commerce, which has been here for 28 years. We work closely with them to help support UK firms in the DR. LAI: The DR scores poorly in international corruption rankings; how much of an impediment is it for UK firms operating here? help the DR reform its civil service. They Chris Campbell, Ambassador of the United Kingdom to the Dominican Republic want a more quality-driven civil service AC: not international firms have. Ultimately we and we have a lot of expertise that we expressed any specific concerns to me all want to make this a level playing can share with them. about corruption and they have not told field for all players in the market as that me that they have experienced it. The will benefit the Dominican Republic and We are bringing over specialists from UK has a strong Anti Bribery Act, which foreign companies alike. The DR does a the UK that will talk about the lessons means that they are duty bound to good job of promoting its investment we have learned from our civil service report corruption approaches. But that opportunities but it also needs to look reform. We’re looking at a wide range is not to say that there are no challenges after the international companies that of issues, such as digital government, in the business environment here. One are already here. I am realistic, we’re transparency and a civil service code. area is judicial security and we have a not going to solve all the problems We’re happy to partner with the DR on number of companies that have had overnight but I do believe that will this and pleased that they asked us. difficulty with that. improve. Moreover while challenges British companies have exist, it is definitely not the case that Moreover we think it will have a positive impact on the business environment in We have flagged this to the government I would tell someone not to export or general. here, as it’s a question of making these invest here. There is strong continued judicial processes more efficient for economic growth, there is money here As for the commercial side of the international companies. It’s not just and there is business to be done. What relationship, one of the first things I something that affects UK investors - British companies need to do is get in did when I arrived was meet all of the some of our international friends have touch with the UK trade team here in British companies here and find out similar difficulties. Indeed the DR’s the embassy and find respected local about their experiences in the DR. I Foreign Minister recently convened partners to do business with. And so I know that there are some challenges, a roundtable with EU ambassadors, would encourage British firms to take and I will be working with the UK firms DR government ministers and senior part in Dominican Week which is being and the government of the Dominican members of judicial system, where we celebrated in the UK from June 6th to Republic to see how we can solve them. were able to discuss the issues that 10th. LatAm INVESTOR 34 | Q1 2016 LAI: The DR’s macroeconomic figures are outstanding; where are the opportunities here for British firms? AC: There are a number of exciting areas for British firms to get involved in. Tourism is the obvious one as it’s already a successful part of the Dominican economy. Going forward there will be a demand for a more niche tourist offering than the current focus on sun and beaches. Eco tourism, along the Costa Rica model, is something with a lot of potential, while the new cruise port means that visitor numbers should continue to grow. Education is a key priority for the Dominican Government and the embassy here, and we’re working hard to develop greater education links with the DR. We have identified it as an area where the British institutions can offer a lot. We’ve been helping UK universities promote themselves here and recently held a university fair, where nine British universities came to the country. I’ve also spoken to a number of local schools that have exchange programmes with the UK that they are keen to expand. Traditionally, aspirational Dominican students have focused on the US education system, we’re working to help them understand that Britain also has a world-class offering. Another area where UK firms can excel here is through value-added technology. For example there has been a big growth in the agricultural sector. companies will also find opportunities the language. Traditionally UK firms in the medical sector here. The DR has have focused on the English-speaking become a significant producer of high- Caribbean for obvious reasons. A lot end medical equipment and devices, so of it is about promotion, making the there is scope for R&D collaborations companies aware of the opportunities that could help that industry here grow here. As an embassy that’s something we to the next level. take seriously and we work with other key stakeholders to make it happen. Of The final sector worth mentioning is the course, as the old saying goes, you can consumer opportunities that surround take a horse to water but you can’t make ‘brand UK’. It’s something that is strong it drink. Indeed the best way to convince around the world and it’s particularly companies is often for them to hear noticeable here. In the DR you will see about it from peers in the private sector. people driving British cars, wearing clothes with the Union Jack logo From my experience [Ambassador and drinking British beverages, such Campbell’s previous postings include as whiskey. Several landmark, luxury Venezuela and Nicaragua] the difficulty brands, such as Land Rover and Johnnie is getting the companies across the Walker, are doing very well here. But Atlantic. Once they are this side of the there is scope for so much more. There pond then it’s not so hard to persuade are lots of segments in the consumer them to look at opportunities in different market here where UK firms could do countries. So in the past we have worked well. For the most part it’s not a question closely with fellow UK embassies in of competing on price but capitalising Central America by sharing information on the cultural cachet of the British about the companies that come and the brand and, of course, delivering the sectors they are interested in. For many high-quality that people here expect of companies the key issue is scale, so if UK goods. they can link up an opportunity here with something else nearby, it can help LAI: The DR is full of opportunities and British firms are well-respected here; so why has UK plc been slow to take advantage of the situation? to make a project commercially viable. are more resistant to the conditions AC: tapping an integrated network with created by climate change. High-tech UK cultural barrier, which is the issue of The government is working to boost productivity, diversify output and add value by developing agro-industry. British firms have lots of expertise that can help with this, for example developing new strains for crops that I think there is 35 | Q1 2016 an obvious To that end we have been working on improving communications between embassies and trade teams throughout the region. Your readers should realise that once they contact us they are points throughout the region. LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Opening Up In 2003 a local banking crisis wreaked havoc on the Dominican Republic’s economy. More than a decade later a solid, well-regulated financial system is now fuelling economic growth in the DR. Fresh legislation, new investment vehicles and expanding capital markets all point to investment opportunities… T he problem with financial crises is terms of physical presence. If you look This was a key moment because they that they’re often caused by the at our market it is dominated by a few were physical bonds, which couldn’t elite but paid for by the poor. That local names, with a very limited foreign be split for the secondary market. The was definitely the case in 2003 when the presence. The main reason is the size of problems with that prompted a switch government’s decision to cover Banco the domestic banking market. It means to electronic bonds in 2011, from which Intercontinental‘s losses cost billions that you have an operation that offers point the size of the bond market has of dollars and tipped the country into more in terms of risk – there are a lot of grown aggressively.” recession. The crisis was a combination money laundering concerns in this part of weak regulation and corruption – of the world – than it does in reward. It’s a question of supply and demand, and its impact hurt the whole country. Local players can do it but it doesn’t explains Leonel Melo, founding partner Needless to say, finance doesn’t have make sense for a large international bank of OMG, a legal firm with an affiliated to be like that. With the right balance that would barely notice the revenue research institute. “The Capital Markets of regulation and innovation a modern from a Dominican subsidiary.” Law opened the market for products but we also needed to create liquidity. That financial system drives development by channelling funds into productive Yet there is more to this story than the DR’s happened with the Social Security Law projects that deliver economic growth solid banks. Yes they form an essential in 2001 [with later additions], which laid and employment. base for the financial sector, but some the foundations of our current pension of the most exciting developments are system.” With hindsight the painful crisis of happening in the capital markets, where 2003 may have helped the Dominican new legislation and investment vehicles The Dominican social security system, Republic avoid an even worse fate at a are creating exciting opportunities. At which is loosely based on an early version later date. That’s because, to its credit, present the DR’s capital markets would of the Chilean model, is a mandatory the country learned its lessons from the not impress a UK-based reader. There is contribution system which now has episode. A wave of tough regulation no equity market, while the bonds are around followed, which ensured that the DR’s dominated by government issues that management. It’s growing at roughly well-capitalised banking sector was able make up about 80% of the fixed income 25% a year, with around half coming from to withstand the Great Financial Crisis in market. Felipe Amador, former CEO of contributions and the rest from returns 2008/9. Avoiding the catastrophe that the Dominican Stock Exchange, believes on investment. It is large for the size of claimed much larger, and supposedly that is about to change. He says that the economy and represents a growing more sophisticated, banking systems is the gradual liberalisation of the DR’s pot of money that could play a major role no mean feat. But while the DR’s banking capital markets since the turn of the in the development of the DR’s capital sector is robust it offers scant investment century shows that change is afoot. “It’s markets. potential for LatAm INVESTOR readers, important to look at the history. We had says Alejandro Fernández, a former the Capital Markets Law in 2000, followed Unfortunately banking regulator who is now one of the up by the regulation in 2002 which led products available for the pension funds. most well-known financial commentators to a functioning market. Yes the crisis In recent years local corporations have in the Dominican Republic. “I don’t really in 2003/4 was bad but it meant that by issued some debt yet they refuse to raise think that the Dominican banking sector 2008 the government started issuing money through equity. This leads to a holds that much promise for UK firms in bonds to pay for the bankrupt banks. situation where the liquidity created by LatAm INVESTOR 36 | Q1 2016 $8.5billion there of assets are not under many the social security system is fed back equity market would work well for them.” to the state, says Melo. “The liquidity Another plus is that the era of cheap of the social security system has been global money seems to be coming to an going to the government for the last six end, which should force Dominican firms years. Actually the social security system to look for other funding options. is working well as it is accumulating money but the local capital markets Indeed don’t offer enough depth or range for companies are already preparing for this pension funds. So they end up putting step. José María Cabral, founding partner most of it into banks, which means that of Cabral y Díaz, a legal firm that advised local banks have excess liquidity and – on the biggest UK investment in the DR in the absence of projects to finance or – Edrington’s £200million purchase of market instruments to invest in – they local rum producer Brugal – believes that buy government bonds. That means the local firms are upping their corporate social security money ends up going governance standards with view to back to the government.” being acquired or issuing debt. “Large there are signs that local Enmanuel Montás, MS Consultores firms here realise that the local market is and many already have some in other Yet there are signs of a shift. “It has to limited and are keen to expand abroad. jurisdictions.” Of course a regulatory change”, says Amador.“ In 2023 we will That requires partners and capital so framework can only go so far, the start seeing the first major redemptions they began to improve their corporate private sector needs to commit to these from the Dominican social security governance. We have seen lots of deals opportunities for change to happen. In system. People will want their money with international players and there the case of trust funds that is happening. which means that there is pressure on have been no nasty surprises afterwards, “These vehicles are an efficient way to the pension funds to perform and get which shows that the books of the large fund real estate development, so there is returns. Ultimately that means they corporations here are in good shape.” a lot of interest there”, explains Montas. need more freedom to be able to invest in a wider range of products.” Melo also MS Consultores is also acting by creating An area of the capital markets that a spin off trust unit, but with a difference. predicts a transformation. “In the last six “Our main focus is foreign investment. months I have seen serious efforts from The vision we have is to create a trust pension fund administrators to drive the to serve as a holding vehicle for clients’ offer range in the market. We have to investments anywhere in the world.” push the private sector to activate the capital markets.” There is no doubt about it. The Dominican Republic’s capital markets Clearly there are certain factors, such are as the post-Great Financial Crisis era bonds have too large a share of the fixed of cheap money, which have worked income market, while equities remain against untouched. But beneath the service there the developments of local capital markets. “Some of the big local underdeveloped. Government are encouraging signs of development. companies, that would have been natural has already started to show growth Investment funds are being formed, constituents of a local equity market, is investment funds, with Dominican corporate governance standards are have been acquired by multinationals mutual funds, closed-end funds and trust improving and local firms are starting that have access to cheap capital. We’re funds all springing up over the last few to eye international expansion. Recent talking about LIBOR [London Inter-Bank years. One key piece of legislation on history shows that the type of sustained Overnight Rate] plus 30 basis points – this front was the 2011 Trust Law, says economic there’s no way that a local stock market Enmanuel Montás, founding partner undergoing is normally accompanied can compete with that.” But despite of MS Consultores, a Dominican trust by expansion of local capital markets. It losing those opportunities Amador is specialist. “It created the framework won’t happen overnight but investors optimistic. “There is a range of medium- for trust industry. It’s got a natural should sized Dominican companies that need market here because most Dominican analysing the opportunities now to make capital to expand internationally. A local businesspeople sure they’re well placed in the future. understand 37 | Q1 2016 trusts growth start that making the DR contacts is and LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Generating Growth The Dominican Republic’s creaking electricity system is beset with power cuts, political squabbles and financial difficulties. Fixing it would provide a massive boost to the economy… T he lights air General Manager of Ege Haina, the – perhaps involving the social security conditioning powers down and biggest power generator on the island. system – to find the money to pay the your TV screen blinks. Instinctively “The distribution companies lose around generators.” you know what’s happened… it’s just 35% of the electricity to theft so they another power cut in the Dominican mitigate the financial impact of this by The brutal combination of unofficial Republic. If you’re wealthy or work in a cutting the service to the population.” subsidies and theft put the distribution modern building then the discomfort is Electricity theft is common in many companies under enormous pressure, fleeting. Within seconds your building’s emerging markets, yet there are plenty says Amauris Vásquez Disla, founding emergency generator will have kicked of examples of developing countries that partner of local law firm De Camps, into life, turning electronic appliances have reduced it to more manageable Vásquez & Valera. “International prices straight back on again. For the poor the levels, say 10% to 15%. But most experts of fuel have dropped but this has effects are much more onerous – a long believe that the Dominican Republic’s not translated to a fall in the price wait until electricity supply is resumed. state-owned companies of Dominican electricity. The power Power cuts are all too frequent in the don’t confront theft because of the generation companies have dropped DR, a daily problem that shouldn’t occur political cost for the government. “The the price they charge to distribution in one of the region’s richer economies. government has shown it doesn’t have companies but the distribution firms Unfortunately solving the problem is the willingness to face the issue of the are not passing on the cuts, instead they more complicated than just building collection of electricity bills, certainly not are using it as a chance to repair their a power plant or two. Unlike other before the election”, says Leonel Melo, balance sheets.” countries, founding partner of OMG a law firm and where flicker, electricity the outages occur when supply can’t meet demand, distribution Aicardi believes it is fair that, after years research institute. of subsidising energy, the state-owned the Dominican Republic has an abundant distributors use the current low-price supply of installed generating capacity. Another Instead the problem lies in a tangled distribution companies is the tariff environment web of political interest and inefficient system. During the years of high fuel he believes that even the low fuel business models. prices – around 50% of the DR’s power prices can’t fix the problem. “Even with is generated from imported fuel oil – distribution companies purchasing at 10 The power system in the DR is split into the official tariff didn’t raise enough to cents per kilowatt hour and selling it at three parts: the generation companies, compensate for the increased costs. It 17 cents per kilowatt hour they still lose most of which are privately owned, the meant that in effect the government was money because of the massive losses.” transmission network, which in common subsidising electricity. financial problem for the to recover. However, Challenge or opportunity? with many parts of the world is stateowned, and the distribution companies, “That economic One of the biggest clichés in investment that an burden on whole sector”, says Melo. “The journalism is that challenge represents unsuccessful spell of private ownership. distribution companies were suffering opportunity. It’s a well-worn trope yet Most energy experts agree that the fault but they transferred it to the generators like most clichés it’s often true. For lies with the distribution companies. by delaying payments, this financial example, if the government decided to “The main problem is the lack of stress is then transferred to the banking re-privatise the distribution companies operational efficiency of the distribution community it would create a series of huge tenders. companies”, explains Marcelo Aicardi, government uses some creative means were re-nationalised LatAm INVESTOR after creates enormous before eventually 38 | Q1 2016 the “The climate for change is definitely here as there is strong public feeling regarding Zúñiga, Senior Partner, KPMG Dominican current price of electricity”, says Vásquez. Republic. “At present there is a heavy That view is share by Aicardi. “Two to reliance on fuel oil, which is a relatively three years ago the private sector just dirty fuel and is subject to fluctuating oil wanted cheap electricity. With fuel prices prices. Given the DR’s reliance on tourism what they were, the only thing industrial it makes sense to protect the natural users wanted was a lower energy cost, beauty of the island by using renewable so they were not paying attention to energy.” the government energy policy – they believed that more power generation There was the answer.” businessmen that have been unable to “But now the private sector is realising that having more capacity and more generation is not the real solution because today we have very low fuel prices and the distribution companies continue to be in negative territory and keep losing money… In this climate the likelihood that they would be privatised at some point seems more likely.” If the Dominican government does open up the distribution companies to Marcelo Aicardi, General Manager of Ege Haina Another factor may have been the strong growth of non-energy intensive sectors such as tourism and finance. However it’s clear that the DR’s fast-growing economy will need more energy in the future. The government response was to commission two huge (relatively for the size of the network) coal-fired plants, which will add 700MW of installed capacity. is also frustration among get renewable projects of the ground. “It’s almost impossible to launch a renewable project”, says Marcos Cochón, General Manager of Compañía de Electricidad de Puerto Plata (CEPP), a company that runs a fuel-oil plant on the north coast of the Dominican Republic. “I have been trying but the government doesn’t offer renewable projects the PPAs [Purchase Power Agreements] needed to get project financing, so I don’t see how they expect them to happen. ”One firm that has international capital and expertise there succeeded with renewable technology is will be a lot of interest. However, Aicardi Ege Haina, which has around 350 MW of believes that certain key criteria, such as wind farms. “The reason is that we were a more robust attitude to electricity theft able to build it on our balance sheet, and more realistic tariffs, would need to without a PPA”, explains Aicardi. “I can see be established. how someone looking to make it happen through project finance would struggle.” The carbon factor Although you wouldn’t think it from the Providing power solutions is a guaranteed power cuts, generation companies in the way for investors to gain exposure to Dominican Republic have been investing fast-growing emerging economies - and heavily in updating their plants. “Over the Like any huge project the $2.5billion there are still a lot of ways for LatAm last 15 years generators have invested plan has its defenders and detractors. INVESTOR readers to get involved. $2.5billion succeeded No-one can deny that it will provide a in improving the efficiency of the cheap source of reliable energy supply, However, generation fleet from 14,000 btu [British however, it seems an odd move to for signs that conditions in the two thermal units], to 8,500 btu, meaning the commit the DR to coal at precisely the major opportunities – distribution and country has the generation capacity that moment that the rest of the world is renewable – will improve. At time of it needs”, says Aicardi. Yet despite this making more commitment to renewable going to print, key stakeholders in the investment the country’s power demand energy technology. Combined with the industry were debating a Pacto Eléctrico. has stagnated. It consumes roughly the existing fuel oil plants it will create a very The fact that the private and public same amount of electricity today that it carbon-heavy generation system. sector decided to work together to solve dollars and most would be looking the sector’s challenges is an undoubted did in 2003, which is staggering when you consider that the economy has doubled Many feel that the money would have positive. Yet given that strong political in that time. Aicardi believes that the been better spent on incentives for the leadership will be needed to execute any main reason is the enforced rationing renewable sector. “It would make sense changes, investors will be waiting until by inefficient distribution companies. for more renewable energy”, says Delio after the elections in May. 39 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Interview with CEI-RD Executive Director, Jean Alain Rodriguez LatAm INVESTOR: What role does the Centre of Exports and Investments (CEI-RD) play in the development of the Dominican Republic’s economy? Jean Alain Rodriguez: The CEI-RD is fully committed to energising the economy, by attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) and boosting exports, with the main objective of creating more job opportunities for the Dominican people. Moreover, CEI-RD has been proactively working on the creation of the country’s “Invest in DR” campaign by organising several important investments summits that promote specific regions of the country. For instance, this year’s efforts were focused on the relaunch of the Puerto Plata province as an attractive destination for foreign investment. Initiatives like these aim to raise awareness of the country’s benefits as an investment Jean Alain Rodriguez, CEI-RD Executive Direcor destination and boost the Dominican Republic’s competitiveness. LAI: How can it help LatAm INVESTOR readers that want to trade with, or invest in, the Dominican Republic? JAR: As an agency committed to the attraction of FDI and the promotion of Dominican exports, CEI-RD offers key services that allow for well-guided and more expedite business processes. Our services include technical assistance, promotion, incentive granting, commercial information, legal consulting, training and logistic support. Furthermore, in order to make the process of investing in the Dominican Republic more efficient, CEI-RD has created the One-Stop-Shop. The objective is to facilitate The strategic location of our island in the centre of the Caribbean is now more significant than ever. the process for investors who want to develop operations in different sectors of our economy. This represents a timely and cost-effective process for investors, as it offers services related to all law-required licenses and permits in a single office. JAR: The strategic location of our island in the centre of the Caribbean LAI: The Dominican Republic has the potential to become a key trade hub for the region; how can British investors get involved in the story? is now more significant than ever, due to the expansion of the Panama Canal, scheduled for 2016. This project will generate traffic like we have never seen before, including post-panamax and super-panamax mega ships that will radically change the dynamics of shipping. In addition, opportunities for transshipment and new marine routes in our locality will definitively emerge. The Dominican Republic is ready for these new business opportunities, especially with regards to our exports. The DR has a world-class tourist industry To this effect, the CEI-RD, and the LatAm INVESTOR 40 | Q1 2016 Dominican Government as a whole, has climatic conditions and a favourable producing exports of around $660million designed a working plan to prepare and legal the in 2014. Similarly, the medical devices promote our country as the “Hub of the Dominican Corporation of State Electric industry has been growing steadily with Caribbean”. The scope of this initiative has Companies, the country’s energy matrix exports of around $670 million in 2014. created many investment opportunities, is divided as follows: 40% fuel-based This sector is a particularly interesting mainly in the infrastructure and service power generation, 31% natural gas, 14% example for your readers as it reflects sectors, that will be available to local coal, 13% hydroelectric and 2% wind the modernisation of our export basket and foreign investors. This is a unique power. and the trend towards adding value. We framework. According to will keep supporting these industries opportunity for those interested in investing in a development project that enjoys great support from the Dominican Government. LAI: The energy sector in the Dominican Republic is filled with both potential and challenges; how will the government attract more international investors to the sector? JAR: The Dominican Republic is in the process of restructuring the energy sector, in order to find a definitive solution to the challenges we currently face in terms of energy generation and distribution. The country has great potential for the development of numerous wind, solar and biomass projects, due to existing high demand for power generation, The existing potential for developing renewable energy projects is complemented by attractive incentives granted by Law No. 57-07 on “Incentive for Development of Renewable Sources of Energy and its Special Regimes”, which is administered by the National Energy Commission, which is the institution that regulates the application and the incentives offered in the energy sector, as well as concessions for the exploitation of energy projects. LAI: The Dominican Republic is already globally competitive in agro exports such as bananas, cigars and rum; in what other export industries does it have the potential to be a world leader? to ensure the Dominican people get to witness its growth and benefit from the economic impact of a thriving exports sector. LAI: How will the composition and character of the Dominican Republic’s economy change over the next decade? JAR: The Dominican Republic’s economy has experienced sustained growth and important diversification, creating unique advantages that contrast with other economies in the region. We are currently well-regarded not only for traditional sectors such as tourism, agribusiness, mining and processing zones, but also for important emerging sectors, such as the film industry, contact centres and renewable energy, which represent areas of high potential for JAR: Our textile industry is also important, foreign investments in the country. The DR’s textile industry is going strong 41 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY REPORT | DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Final Word New sectors are emerging in the Dominican Republic’s dynamic economy and it’s time that UK plc joined the party… F or investors scouring Latin America for exciting opportunities, procedures needed to aid exports. the country. “British investors have a longestablished presence in the country”, Dominican Republic immediately But perhaps the biggest fear that says José Rodriguez, President of the stands out. Its macroeconomic statistics British businesses might have about British Chamber of Commerce in the are among the best in the region, the Dominican Republic is the business Dominican Republic. “The UK was a with strong growth, low inflation and environment. major investor in our power industry controlled debt. But in this report we’ve currently ranked 103rd in Transparency with gone under the headline figures to find International’s Perceptions of Corruption exiting those investments. More recently out what investment opportunities are Index, some firms may worry about the we’ve seen a massive investment from being created by this dynamic economy. difficulty of doing clean business in the Scottish whiskey producer, Edrington, Some of the results, such as the growing DR. But this report has found a different which bought Brugal, a famous local rum tourism industry, probably weren’t that picture. We’ve interviewed several UK maker.” Indeed the presence of an active much of a surprise. But the expansion businesses that are already operating in chamber, which has held regular events of the logistics, agriculture and finance the country and the feedback has been for almost 30 years, is a clear sign of the sectors is generating a new set of options positive. strong commercial links between the UK With the country for British investors. British companies successfully and the Dominican Republic. Marien Lamboglia, General Manager The most dramatic change is taking place of British health insurer Bupa in the This report has helped to outline some of in the logistics sector, where the new Dominican Republic, says that corruption the most exciting investment options in regulatory framework, paves the way isn’t a factor in day-to-day business. the Dominican Republic. Many UK firms for the Dominican Republic to convert “I can only comment on what I have are already taking advantage of the DR’s itself into a major redistribution centre experienced but it doesn’t impact our rapid growth – more should follow suit. for internationally-traded goods. The business at all.” The view is shared by If you want to investigate further then country’s geographic position gives it a Eric King, the Country Manager of UK Dominican Week, which takes place massive natural competitive advantage, pharmaceutical giant GSK, who feels in London in June 2016, is the perfect which has been increased with sustained that the private sector also has to play opportunity to meet people and make investment in transport infrastructure. its part. “As a company, we recently made contacts. It’s a good start, but the final stage will a very innovative move in the way we be creating a streamlined, 21st-century interact with the medical community. procedural persuades We’re working hard to ensure that global players to use the DR as a trading platform that those who prescribe our products have hub. the information they need to ensure patients’ interests are always put first. So Despite being part of a totally different we have phased out payments to doctors industry, the situation of the Dominican to speak on our behalf and changed Republic’s agriculture sector has some how we provide support to healthcare parallels. Again the country has natural professionals to attend conferences.” attributes – a warm climate and varied topography – that give it competitive Indeed the continued presence of UK advantages. However, challenges remain plc in the Dominican Republic should with the water infrastructure and the encourage investors looking at the LatAm INVESTOR 42 | Q1 2016 Useful contacts: Katia McKenzie Center for Exports and Investment (CEI-RD) Tel: +44 (0) 207 727 7091 [email protected] Leonora Dipp UKTI Dominican Republic Tel: +1 (809) 472 7111 ext 2054 [email protected] Francesca Ortiz Britcham DR Tel: +1 (809) 616-2335 [email protected] LatAm INVESTOR thanks all of our partners for their kind assistance. Embassy of the Dominican Republic To the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 43 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER INTERVIEW Interview with Peter Taylor, Senior Investment Manager, Aberdeen Asset Management its peers in the fashion retailing segment looked expensive before but are now in Brazil. All the retailers are in the same giving you an entry point. economic situation but because Lojas Renner has more firepower and is well In general the downturn means that managed it continues to do well in the there is a tough backdrop for most downturn. Moreover it will be placed Brazilian companies, with the exception particularly strongly when things do pick of the exporters that will benefit from up. the weak currency. Another area that looks interesting is the Brazilian financial Peter Taylor, Senior Investment Manager, Aberdeen Asset Management The other key factor for us is valuation. sector where the banks have sold off I mean if you were to simply invest on excessively. the basis of next year’s GDP forecasts have you would have most of your money in run banks trading on very attractive Mexico and the ‘Andean 3’ – not Brazil. valuations. Yes they deserved some de- But markets are forward-looking so the rating but it has been over done. LatAm INVESTOR: The economic situation in Brazil looks dire; should investors stay away? impact of the economic downturn is Peter Taylor: We are not top-down at a discount, with some individual stocks macro investors but obviously we have and sectors trading at a deep discount. to economic So the risk is leaving it too late, waiting environment. Right now the outlook for for everything to look rosy in Brazil and Brazil is very negative without signs of missing the bottom of the stock market. recognise the macro a turnaround. There is a lot of bearish sentiment so we do not see light at the end of the tunnel just yet. However, as already in the valuations. The Mexican market is, on average, trading at a premium given the stable economic output, while Brazil is trading, on average, LAI: So is now a good time to go bargain hunting in Brazil? stock pickers we are not trying to catch In Itau and Bradesco you well-managed, conservatively- LAI: The Andean 3 are pretty popular with investors; which is your favourite? PT: Chile, Colombia and Peru are all performing better than the regional average. The economic outlook for Peru is probably brightest although all three are commodity exporters so it depends on. However, Peru is a small market, the smallest of the three. Recently there was talk of the Bolsa de Valores de Lima being downgraded to frontier status. It might the bottom of the macroeconomic cycle. PT: Yes there are some interesting not happen but the fact that it is even Of course we need to analyse how the valuations in Brazil at the moment but being talked about shows how small economic cycle impacts the prospects I am wary of the term ‘bargain hunting’ that market is. It doesn’t actually affect of a particular stock but if you try to because I don’t see this as an opportunity our opinion on company fundamentals catch the bottom that you will miss the to pick up really beaten up companies at but it highlights the liquidity problem. best opportunity because the market super cheap prices. It’s more of a time In fact we only have two Peruvian stocks is forward looking. So for us, we are to get good companies, that were a at the moment, Pacasmayo and Graña keeping invested in Brazil through the bit expensive before, but now with the y Montero, which are two firms linked cycle. I guess it’s a conceptual point - it sell off look reasonably priced. In this to the construction sector with good is our investing view. We tend to invest situation, where you can’t see the light fundamentals. in companies with strong balance sheets at the end of the tunnel, you don’t want that can survive economic shocks. The to jump into a very cheap company with classic case would be Lojas Renner, a weak balance sheet. Rather you want which is doing pretty well in contrast to to move into the quality companies that LatAm INVESTOR 44 | Q1 2016 When you look at Chile, it has really suffered with the commodity crisis because it is very dependent on copper Performance (%) Fund Performance Aberdeen Global Latin American Equity thus far then these reforms are not La un ch 5Y ea rs great. None of our stock picks play 3Y ea rs on th s 1Y ea r Benchmark 6m 3m 1m on th s on th Fund benefited from entrenched monopolies directly on those reforms but they will all benefit from wider effects of positive institutional reform and direction that Mexico is taking. -2.40 -4.19 Aside from the reforms the other big -6.31 -6.15 -8.28 -11.16 -17.74 -21.36 advantages with Mexico are that it is -9.99 -12.33 closely linked to the US and slightly removed from the commodity downturn. Okay, Mexico is a net oil exporter and the government does receive revenues from -16.47 the oil sector but generally speaking Mexico -22.28 is much less commodity dependent than South America. It has a huge manufacturing base, which is closely integrated with North America so it’s avoiding some of the headaches -33.12 affecting other Latin American economies. The puzzle with Mexico is -34.54 that none of this has fed through to stellar exports. However, it has shown resilience I had to pick a favourite I would go for growth just yet, but sometimes these and demonstrated the advantages of Chile. institutional reforms take years rather than months to take effect. Of course being a well-managed economy. One of the things I like about Chile is that it’s a relatively deep market. That’s down to historic reasons where its strong pension fund system has bolstered local capital markets. You have quite a few local firms listed in Chile or with ADRs in New York. Traditionally one of the challenges with LAI: The two most exciting LatAm investment stories are the energy reform in Mexico and the election of President Macri in Argentina; are you investing in them? not everything in Mexico is perfect; it still has significant challenges in terms of rule of law and the terrible consequences of drug trafficking. Argentina presents a different practical situation for us as investors because unlike Mexico, which is a deep market Chile was that the heavy investment from local pension funds meant that it PT: The energy reform in Mexico is very with plenty of investable companies, traded at a premium to the wider region. positive for the entire Mexican economy Argentina does not offer much. That That premium has dropped now, which so you don’t need to be directly said we are looking much more closely. makes it very attractive. We have four invested. Indeed finding a direct play is We’ve been meeting with Argentine Chilean stocks in our portfolio. Fallabella difficult anyway, given the monopoly companies and examining our options. [a Chile, that has existed to date. But it’s such We’ve tended to steer clear of Argentina Andina [a Coca Cola bottler] and Parque a significant milestone that it is good because despite being stock pickers Arauco [a shopping centre operator]. for the entire economy, regardless of we are wary of investing in countries They’re well-run companies and, with sector. There are also a number of other where economic management is a big the exception of Banco Santander Chile, exciting reforms in Mexico, for example challenge. So in that sense the new they operate in neighbouring countries, in telecommunications. They might not government has changed our attitude. giving you exposure to the wider region. be as significant as energy but having However, the other key factor for us is reforms across a number of industries valuation. The Argentine market ran up definitely stirred things up. Of course a lot in the last few years so even where it’s not always positive for every stock. there are good companies we need to If you’ve invested in someone that make sure that the price is right. retailer], Banco Santander Colombia is somewhere between the two in terms of size. And it’s been hit hard recently with the fall in oil prices. If 45 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR 40 35 30 25 Corruption 20 Health 15 Education 10 Unemployment 5 0 2005-01-01 2006-01-01 LatAm INVESTOR 2007-01-01 2008-01-01 2009-01-01 2010-01-01 2011-01-01 2012-01-01 46 | Q1 2016 2013-01-01 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 in association with but it was a political struggle. your case analysed by the Supreme would be protected at some stage. So Court. far with the Lava Jato we’ve had almost Impact on Brazil 20 plea bargains because those involved Political upheaval like this is dramatic but Another institution in the spotlight realise that they can’t be saved by a in the long-term it is more important to is the Federal Police, which is very corrupt official. look at how Brazil’s institutions will cope. well-equipped, One interesting trend in this regard has independent. Some of the equipment There is also a big impact on the people been the ‘judicialisation’ of politics in and training has come from the US themselves. Traditionally crime, health, Brazil. Congress in Brazil is very slow to and Europe, who must think it’s in their education and unemployment were the deal with civil society’s issues so the interest, but the result that the very top four principal concerns of the Brazilian Brazilian Supreme Court has had to step level, the police with the technology and people. Yet if you look at the chart in and deal with those problems. So, if security clearance, can remotely access you see that corruption has suddenly we take abortion as an example, in other any suspect’s electronic communication. appeared as a major worry. It’s not that countries you’d hope that legislators The combination of equipment, training people have suddenly become aware of would pass a law but here the Supreme and them this – Brazilians always knew that their Court made a ruling to settle it. However, effective at finding those involved in the political and economic elite were corrupt. the Presidency and Congress do not corruption scandals. The difference with these scandals is highly-trained technology has made and that Brazilians have begun to associate work together, which we are seeing at the moment, then public policy This has had a profound effect because corruption with economic failure. In stalls and the Supreme Court becomes the private sector no longer believes that 2010 the economy was still growing, overworked dealing with society’s issues. the government can protect them. Brazil commodities were high and inflation At present the Supreme Court holds has always had corruption but before, was under control. Then suddenly the the key to resolve the Lava Jato scandal if you were a businessman corrupting economic news starts getting worse just but it has a heavy workload. This is also a public official, you could expect as the corruption scandals start breaking. because, unlike the US Supreme Court, some support if you were caught. But People start to feel that this is affecting Justices in Brazil can not chose which when you have a team of independent their lives. issues they want to rule over but have to investigators hunting you down with top face everything that comes through the technology, it is hard for a government My generation had a shift from seeing system to them. So, to give an extreme official to squash that. If you look at the the state as a benefactor that provides example, in Brazil if you steal an apple Mensalão vote-buying scandal, there everything, to being proud to ‘go private’. and have enough money, patience and were only two plea bargains because Maybe for this generation corruption will determination, you will end up having most of those involved thought that they be the defining issue. Become a Corporate Member of Canning House Since 1943 – the UK’s leading forum for informed comment, contacts and debate on Latin American politics, economy, and business. Where the UK meets Latin America and Iberia Find out more about how we can help you and your company through Corporate Membership: www.canninghouse.org/corporate-membership For more information contact: [email protected] | +44 (0)20 7811 5603 14/15 Belgrave Square, London, SW1X 8PS www.canninghouse.org | @canning_house 47 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR COUNTRY ANALYSIS Uncertainty Grows in Guatemalan Mining Guatemala’s struggling mining industry faces fresh challenges from new president Jimmy Morales, writes Gavin Strong, Control Risks Senior Analyst for Central America and the Guianas… New Jimmy sized enterprises (SMEs) to join the formal Morales, has pledged to review the Guatemalan president, economy by lowering interest rates for mining sector’s fiscal regime. This is a fresh business loans. blow for a sector which is struggling to fully establish itself in the country despite Another politically popular way to raise the huge mineral deposits. Local miners the tax take is to target the miners. will have paid close attention to Morales’ The support for a royalty increase was campaign trail, where he described the demonstrated in December 2014 when 1% mining royalty as ‘ridiculous’. Morales the ruling Patriotic Party (PP) and the says he will commission an ‘economic main opposition Renewed Democratic study’ before deciding whether to draft Liberty Party (LIDER) put aside previous legislation proposing an increase to the differences over tax policy to come to an royalty. agreement on the 2015 budget, including is the uncertainty increased royalty. Ultimately, Control Risks Senior Analyst, Gavin Strong bleak. The ongoing fomented regulatory by Morales’ The move needs to be put in context. however, the Constitutional Court (CC) crusade to reform the sector will only The prospective royalty increase is part in September rejected a provision in serve to exacerbate the existing chronic of Morales’ broader efforts to increase the the 2015 budget to increase the royalty inefficiencies of regulatory institutions, government’s tax take. His administration to 10% on the grounds that national such as the Ministry of Energy and Mines is likely to focus its efforts in this respect on budget legislation cannot amend the (MEM). Companies in the mining sector improving tax collection. One way it can tax regimes of sectors that are subject to have periodically called on the MEM to do this is by reforming the Tax Authority their own specific legislation. So Morales expedite the process for reviewing and (SAT ). Reforming the SAT will be a popular would need to amend the mining regime approving operating licences. According move – particularly given its central role directly. to Regina Rivera, corporate relations in the corruption scandals that plagued manager at Compañia Guatemalteca de the administration of former president However, the drafting and approval of Níquel (the Guatemalan subsidiary of Otto Pérez Molina (2012-15). Moreover, such an initiative will be protracted, Cyprus-based Solway Investment Group), at an estimated 11% of GDP, Guatemala particularly given the weak position of there is currently a backlog of at least has one of the lowest tax takes in the Morales’ National Convergence Front 100 applications, which she claims is region, giving the government significant (FCN) in the 158-member Congress tantamount to a de facto moratorium on scope to increase it through measures (unicameral legislature). The FCN has just mining activity. promoting compliance, rather than tax 11 seats. This means that any change to hikes. For example, another of Morales’ the royalties won’t happen quickly. proposed measures is to encourage informal workers and small-and-medium- LatAm INVESTOR Regulatory uncertainty is also compounded by the persistent risk of Yet it’s clear that for miners the outlook 48 | Q1 2016 contract suspension. Companies subject in association with to significant levels of community opposition will be the most vulnerable. Santa Rosa department calling for the San Rafael silver project to be suspended. For example, in November 2015 the CC Mining in Central America Right now Nicaragua’s mining sector upheld a legal complaint presented by For the companies active in Guatemalan looks the most attractive option in Central local NGO, Centre for Environmental mining the best option would appear to America for foreign investors. That’s not and Social Legal Action (CALAS), against be to work with the new administration. to say that Nicaragua is a paradise - like Guatemalan mining company Mayaníquel, The main mining companies operating any country miners there face challenges. suspending operations at its Sechol mine in the country, including Vancouver- For example its royalty rate of 3% is one of (Alta Verapaz department). According to based Tahoe Resources and Toronto- the highest in Central America, compared CALAS, the mine caused environmental headquartered Firestone Ventures, have to 1% and 2% in Guatemala and Panama. damage while its operating licence publicly expressed their willingness to There can also be problems with unions had large- work with the government to amend and anti-mining unrest. Yet community scale mining licences granted during irregularities. Meanwhile, the fiscal regime in the sector. Some are activism is less of an operational threat the administration of former president already compromising, for example, in than in Guatemala or Panama. Otto Pérez Molina (2012-15) will come addition to the 1% tax Tahoe pays a 4% under scrutiny, especially those issued voluntary royalty to communities located Another advantage is that Nicaragua’s by government officials suspected of in the vicinity of its Escobal silver mine in security environment remains benign corruption. Santa Rosa department. particularly in comparison to the Northern Triangle countries of Guatemala, The situation is tough, but not hopeless. The mining sector in Guatemala will El Salvador and Honduras. Moreover, the One silver lining is that the suspensions be beset by considerable regulatory sector in Nicaragua is not subject to a tend to be temporary. Irrevocable contract uncertainty year. blanket moratorium, as in El Salvador, an cancellations only occur in exceptional Although a rise in the mining royalty is outright ban on open-pit mining as in circumstances, where there is irrefutable unlikely in the first few months of 2016, Costa Rica or restrictions to operating on evidence of irreversible environmental companies will be under increased land allocated to indigenous communities degradation or where companies are pressure to ensure they comply with the as in Panama. deemed to have failed to fulfil their fiscal terms of their operating licences. throughout the contract obligations, such as making Indeed the mining chamber in Panama the required royalty payments. Another This will be a key component of Morales’ is advocating a one-year suspension plus is the CC, which acts as a safeguard efforts to increase the government’s tax of mining activities to allow for the against decision-making take, without implementing broader tax strengthening by both the executive and regulatory increases. Companies that are suspected framework, while in Honduras the pro- institutions, as well as unsubstantiated of avoiding making royalty payments, and mining stance of the government is claims made by community activists. those subject to high levels of community undermined by regulatory inefficiencies For example, in October the CC rejected activism, will face the persistent risk of and excessive bureaucratic red tape and a legal complaint filed by residents of having their contracts suspended. a higher royalty rate (4.5%). capricious of the regulatory The Minera Panama copper mine in Panama is one of the biggest mining projects in Central America. 49 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR “you can't see, but it exists” TECHO, a youth-led NGO, present in 19 Latin American countries, engages corporations with local communities, to overcome poverty in the region. To find out more about TECHO’s construction of housing, about our social development programmes or about how we are continuing efforts to overcome Latin American poverty from our new European office, write to our European Director Sebastian Smart ([email protected]). LatAm INVESTOR 50 | Q1 2016 INVESTMENT CONTACTS DIRECTORY Argentina Cuba Nicaragua Ignacio Pereyra Olena Navas Investment Development Officer Economic & Commercial Section Embassy of the Argentine Republic in the UK 65 Brook Street, London W1K 4AH Tel: +44 (0) 207 318 1300 / 1332 Fax: +44 (0) 207 318 1301 [email protected] [email protected] www.argentine-embassy-uk.org Economic Counsellor Cuban Economic- Commercial Office in London 167 High Holborn, London WC1 6PA Tel: +44 (0) 207 836 3606 Fax: +44 (0) 207 379 4303 [email protected] www.cubaldn.com Gabriela Urrutia Ecuador Panama Chile Francisco Mena Guarderas Ana Cecelia Alvarado Santiago Lecaros Trade and Investment Office Embassy of Chile 6th. Floor, 37-41 Old Queen Street, London SW1H 9JA Tel: +44 (0) 207 233 2500 [email protected] www.foreigninvestment.cl Brazil Daniel Costa Fernandes Head of Investment, Trade, Tourism and Olympics Embassy of Brazil 14-16 Cockspur Street, London SW1Y 5BL Tel: +44 (0)207 747 4500 [email protected] www.brazil.org.uk Costa Rica Jorge Zamora Director & Trade Commissioner. Embassy of Costa Rica, Flat 1, 14 Lancaster Gate, London W2 3LH Tel: +44 (0) 2077068844 [email protected] www.procomer.com Colombia Andres Sarmiento Investment Specialist ProColombia, London office 2 Conduit Street, London W1S 2XB Tel: +44 (0) 207 491 3535 [email protected] www.proexport.co Dominican Republic Katia McKenzie Center for Exports and Investment (CEI-RD) Embassy of the Dominican Republic 139 Inverness Terrace, London W2 6JF Tel: +44 (0) 207 727 7091 [email protected] www.investinthedr.com Head of Ecuador Trade Office PRO ECUADOR Second Floor, 67-68, Jermyn Street London, SW1Y 6NY Tel: +44 (0) 2030788040 [email protected] www.proecuador.gob.ec First Secretay / Chargé d’Affaires a.i. Embassy of Nicaragua to the United Kingdom Suite 31, Vicarage House, 58 - 60 Kensington Church Street, London W8 4DB Tel: +44 (0) 207 938 2373 [email protected] www.pronicaragua.org Commercial Attaché to the United Kingdom Embassy of Panama 40 Hertford Street, London W1J 7SH Tel: +44 (0) 207 493 4646 Fax: +44 (0) 207 493 4333 [email protected] www.proinvex.mici.gob.pa El Salvador Peru Rosella Badía de Funes Jaime Cárdenas Minister Counsellor Embassy of El Salvador 8 Dorset Square, London NW1 6PU Tel: +44 (0) 207 224 9800 [email protected] www.elsalvador.embassyhomepage.com Head of Trade & Investment Embassy of Peru in the UK 52 Sloane Street, London SW1X 9SP Tel: +44 (0) 207 235 8340 [email protected] www.peruembassy-uk.com Guatemala Bolivia Lesther Ortega Andrea Chacama Minister Counsellor Embassy of Guatemala 105a Westbourne Grove, London, W2 4UW Tel: +44 (0) 207 221 1525 Mob: +44 (0) 789 621 0203 [email protected] www.investinguatemala.org Commercial Section Bolivian Embassy 106 Eaton Square, London SW1W 9AD Tel: +44 (0) 207 235 4248 Fax: +44 (0) 207 235 1286 [email protected] www.bolivianembassy.co.uk Honduras Paraguay Andrea Argueta-Scheib Hugo Chaparro-González Minister Counsellor, Economic Affairs Embassy of Honduras 4th Floor, 136 Baker Street London W1U 6UD Tel: +44 (0) 207 486 4880 [email protected] Embassy of Paraguay Third Floor, 344 Kensington High Street London, W14 8NS Tel: +44 (0) 207 610 4180 [email protected] Uruguay Mexico Mario Alberto Gonzalez Alvarez First Secretary ProMexico, United Kingdom 8 Halkin Street, London SW1X 7DW Tel: +44 (0) 207 811 5040 [email protected] [email protected] www.promexico.gob.mx 51 | Q1 2016 Koichi Tanaka Counsellor Embassy of Uruguay 150 Brompton Road, London SW3 1HX Tel: +44 (0) 207 584 4200 [email protected] LatAm INVESTOR PROPERTY Elegance and exclusivity on the shores of the Atlantic Spacious grandeur Set in an exclusive location, surrounded by mature trees and vegetation, this villa was designed by the architect, Javier Gentile, and decorated by the interior designer, Hassen Balut. It enjoys maximum privacy in a peaceful neighbourhood just a few kilometres from the picturesque town of José Ignacio. Its rooms are bright and spacious with ocean views. The property comprises four large suites, one with two bedrooms, a large lounge, impressive dining room, well-equipped kitchen, various outdoor areas for enjoying the stunning landscape and a private interior patio with garden, BBQ and swimming pool. There is an independent staff area with caretaker’s lodge and shed. The finca is both exclusive and elegant, yet at the same time friendly and cosy. This exclusive property is currently being offered for sale through Engel and Volkers Punta del Este for $7.5million. LatAm INVESTOR 52 | Q1 2016 Live in the heart of nature This exquisite home is located in the Boyita area, one of the most popular parts of the Uruguayan coast. Because it’s built on three levels you’ll find that most rooms offer spectacular sea views, from which you can appreciate the beautiful sunsets. It consists of 5 bedrooms, 3 of which are en-suite, a modern kitchen, several terraces, a gym, a laundry, a large living room with access to the terrace for two rooms, a solarium and a deck with large pool in L from which you can enjoy direct beach access. More than just a house, it’s where nature and serenity let you get away from your daily routine to live a unique lifestyle. This exclusive property is currently being offered for sale through Engel and Volkers Punta del Este for $3.8million. For more information about these properties contact Engel & Volkers Punta del Este Ruta 10, 161 esquina Las Brisas - La Barra 20100 Phone: +59 842 771444 [email protected] 53 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR LATIN AMERICA IN THE UK A snapshot of the latest Latin American events in the UK A busy quarter for Mexico Ambassador Gomez-Pickering addresses the Transmedia Forum ‘Power to the Pixel’ ens Mexico’s ez-Pickering (L) op m Go or ad ss ba Am land, appointing e in Northern Ire at ul ns Co er ev firstul as Honorary Cons Brendan McGinn CEO of Mexican Association of Insurance Institutions, Recaredo Arias, highlighting opportunities in the Mexican insurance sector at Lloyds of London LatAm INVESTOR 54 | Q1 2016 Argentine culture on full display a display of rente put on Pa ro nd ja le A ez and ’s residence. Marianela Nuñ e Ambassador tin en rg A e llet at th tango and ba Former Argentine Ambassador, Alicia Castr o, with Argentine artists Marta Minujín and Delia Cancela, befor e their Tate Modern exhibition. Exquisite Ecuador ProEcuador UK Di rector, Francisco M ena, introducing Maria Ruth Moren Chefs o and David Reye s at L’Ateliers des UK media. Chefs to the nal aff, internatio ProEcuador St dor 2015. Exquisite Ecua e of ia at the final chefs and med 55 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR UPCOMING DEALS Peru Mexico Brazil Ecuador Jalacoa Mining Project Cuba Colombia Country: Peru Location: Apurimac region, provinces of Antabamba and Aymaraes Estimated Award Date: Invitation to tender is scheduled for Q2 2016 The Amazon Getaway - Second Call The project involves mineral exploration to identify the potential of the mining site and determine the economic viability of its future exploitation. Jalaoca is a mining prospect with potential deposits of copper, gold and molybdenum. Country: Peru Project Location: Amazon region Estimated Investment: $70million Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 The development of the Waterway River System of the Peruvian Amazon project involves establishing a system capable of developing and maintaining secure navigation allday and year-long without interruptions, in the scope of rivers that compose this system, as the Huallaga, Marañón, Ucayali and Amazon Rivers. To achieve this goal, the Concessionaire shall prepare a Final Engineering Study, an Environmental Impact Assessment and Environmental Management Strategy, which prior to the commencement of works, must be approved by the Grantor. Thereby, the concessionaire shall render the “Standard Service” that includes the following activities: Provision of a navigation channel according to the conditions established in the contract, through dredging missteps, provision of information for navigation, through digital information loadable in a GPS, provision of a navigation channel free of logs, provision of information of water levels, through a capture and recording system of water levels in a network of automatic stations installed in the rivers of the Amazon Waterway. The concession term is 20 years. Project Contact: Luis del Carpio, tel: +511 200 1200 ext 1339, e-mail: [email protected] Contact: Jose Rogger Incio Sanchez, tel: +511 200 1200, e-mail: [email protected] Tula–Villa de Reyes Pipeline Country: Mexico Location: States of Hidalgo and San Luis Potosi Estimated Investment: $948million Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 This project will be interconnected to the Tuxpan–Tula gas pipeline, currently under bidding process, and the Villa de Reyes–Aguascalientes–Guadalajara gas pipeline, which is about to start its bidding process. This system will supply natural gas to new power generation plants, as well as those currently operating with fuel oil, which will be converted to use natural gas as their base fuel. The project involves engineering and procurement, the acquisition of real estate rights, permits and governmental approvals, funding, construction, operation and maintenance of a pipeline with capacity of 886 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD). The pipeline will have a length of 455 km and a 36-inch diameter. Contact: Federal Electricity Commission, tel: +52 55522 94400 Line 4 of the Metro Network of Lima and Callao Hermosillo Gas Pipeline Branch Country: Peru Project Location: Lima Country: Mexico Estimated Investment: Unconfirmed Location: State of Sonora Estimated Award Date: Q1 2017 Estimated Investment: $68million Line 4 of the Metro of Lima will be built on the East-West corridor of the city and benefit citizens living in at least ten districts of the surrounding area. The project consists of the preparation of final engineering studies (design), financing, construction, electromechanical equipment, and procurement of rolling stock, operation and maintenance of the metro line, approximately 30 Km long. Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 The process will be officially announced following the publication of the Supreme Resolution that ratifies the agreement of the Governing Council of PROINVERSION. This project will transport natural gas from the Sásabe– Guaymas gas pipeline to the Hermosillo combined-cycle power plant, located in the state of Sonora. The project involves engineering and procurement, the acquisition of real estate rights, permits and governmental approvals, funding, construction, operation and maintenance of a pipeline with capacity of 100 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD). The pipeline will have a length of 48 km and a 16-inch diameter. Contact: Christy Garcia Godos Naveda, tel: +511 200 1200 ext 1221 Contact: Federal Electricity Commission, tel: +52 55522 94400 tel: +593 2 2260670 LatAm INVESTOR 56 | Q1 2016 Sur de Texas–Tupan (Marino) Gas Pipeline Deputado Luis Eduardo Magalhães International Airport Country: Mexico | Location: States of Tamaulipas and Veracruz Estimated Investment: $3.1billion | Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 Country: Brazil This project will be interconnected to the Nueces–Brownsville gas pipeline, which is about to start its bidding process, and the Tuxpan– Tula gas pipeline, currently under bidding process. This system will supply natural gas to new power generation plants, as well as those currently operating with fuel oil, which will be converted to use natural gas as their base fuel. The project comprises the engineering, procurement, acquisition of real estate rights, permits and governmental approvals, funding, construction, operation and maintenance of a pipeline with capacity of 2,600 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD). The pipeline will have a length of 800 kilometers (km) and a 42, 20 and 16-inch diameter. Location: Salvador - Bahia Contact: Federal Electricity Commission, tel: +52 55522 94400 Topolobampo Gas Pipeline Branch Chontal Hydroelectric Project Country: Mexico | Location: State of Sinaloa | Estimated Investment: $55million | Estimated Award Date: Q3 2016 This project will transport natural gas from the El Encino– Topolobampo gas pipeline to the Noroeste (Topolobampo II) and Topolobampo III combined cycle power plants, located in the State of Sinaloa. The project comprises engineering and procurement, the acquisition of real estate rights, permits and governmental approvals, funding, construction, operation and maintenance of a pipeline with capacity of 248 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD). The pipeline will have a length of 32 km and a 24-inch diameter. Contact: Federal Electricity Commission, tel: +52 55522 94400 Estimated Investment: R$3billion Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 Located 24 km from the capital city of the State of Bahia, it is the busiest airport in the northeast region and the 8th-busiest airport in the country. The average growth in passenger traffic is 9.27% per year, with 9.2 million passengers and 36.613 tonnes of cargo traffic in 2014. The project consists of building a new runway, the expansion of the aircraft patio area, the expansion of the passenger/cargo terminal and a new parking area. Contact: [email protected] Salgado Filho International Airport Country: Brazil Location: Porto Alegre - Rio Grande do Sul Estimated Investment: R$2.5billion Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 Located 7 km from the city of Porto Alegre it is the busiest airport in the southern region and the 9th-busiest airport in the country. The average growth in passenger traffic is 10.2% per year, with 8.4million passengers and 29,227 tonnes of cargo traffic in 2014. The project consists of building a new runway, the expansion of the aircraft patio area, the expansion of the passenger/cargo terminal and a new parking area. Contact: [email protected] Pinto Martins International Airport Generating Energy from Forestry Biomass Country: Brazil Country: Cuba | Location: Macurije, Mague Municipality, Pinar del Rio Province. | Estimated Investment: $32.3million To partner with Cuban firm, Empresas Forestales Integrales, to build and set up biomass generation plants, with a capacity 7MWh using forestry biomass obtained from agro-industrial waste associated with exploitation of forest plantations, the industrial processing of harvested wood and the shredding of the biomass from areas infested with marabu scrub. The investment involves exploiting and managing forests to guarantee stable and sustained supplies of the forestry biomass in demand by generation plants, as well as the acquisition of equipment and machinery for harvesting, shredding and transporting the wood waste. Contact: Direccion de Negocios y Desarrollo del GEAM, e-mail: [email protected], tel: +537 884 7456 Location: Fortaleza - Ceará. Estimated Investment: R$1.8billion Estimated Award Date: Q2 2016 Located 9 km from the centre of Fortaleza, it is the 3rd-busiest airport in the northeast region. The average growth in passenger traffic is 12% per year, with 6.5 million passengers and 57,083 tonnes of cargo traffic in 2014. The project consists of improving the runway and taxiway systems, aircraft patio, passenger terminal and vehicle parking. Contact: [email protected] Administrative concession of the Hotel El Prado Country: Colombia | Location: Barranquilla, Atlantico Copper Smelting and Refining Plant Estimated Investment: $20million | Estimated Award Date: Q1 2016 Country: Ecuador | Location: Posorja, Guayas | Estimated Investment: $2 billion | Estimated Award Date: TBC The construction of a plant for copper smelting and refining with a production capacity of 280 kton/year of copper cathodes using 1000 kton of imported and/or local concentrate. The focus of exports is for Asian markets, especially China. It has an ideal location to export refined copper to China and import concentrated copper from Chile and/or Peru. The hotel was built in 1932 and has a republican neoclassic architecture. The project consists of making a proposal to the property management of the National Tourism Fund (FONTUR) sponsored by the Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Tourism. In order to develop the project, the concessionaire will commit to make capital investments with the objective of rehabilitating, renovating, remodelling, equipping, operating and performing physical and architectural maintenance to the hotel. Contact: Ministry Coordinator of Strategic Sectors, e-mail: [email protected], tel: +593 22 260670 Contact: Andrés Sarmiento, tel:+44 207491 3535 ext 75704, e-mail: [email protected] 57 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR LatAm INVESTOR 58 | Q1 2016 59 | Q1 2016 LatAm INVESTOR 65 year heritage $6bn funds under management* 10 offices 40 energy assets** providing 15m people with electricity 9540 MW of electricity** *as of October 2013 | Q1 2016 **since 2002 to60 date LatAm INVESTOR