Multiple Measures to Minimize Damage and Losses Caused
Transcription
Multiple Measures to Minimize Damage and Losses Caused
Vol.3 No.3 Sep. 2013 APEC Research Center for Typhoon and Society 10F, No.97, Sec.1, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei, 10093, Taiwan Tel: 886-2-3366-8975 Email: [email protected] ACTS Website: http://www.apectyphoon.org Multiple Measures to Minimize Damage and Losses Caused by Typhoons in Viet Nam Nguyen Thi Hien Thuan, Hoang Duc Cuong, Nguyen Dang Mau Viet Nam Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment Introduction Viet Nam is one of the most disaster - prone countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Its geography and topography combined make the country highly susceptible to a range of natural disasters, including mostly storms, floods, droughts, and landslides. The most damaging and frequent disasters affecting Viet Nam are tropical storms - typhoons and floods (Gov., 2007). On average 5-6 typhoons hit the Vietnamese coastline each year. They can cause great destruction and death as they move in over land. When a typhoon passes it brings strong winds, heavy rain, high water levels, and large waves. Some analysis shows that there is an increasing trend in disasters recorded over the twenty-year period of the study (1989-2010) with varied impact on human loss and damage to housing. Extreme events have occurred also in this time period (Oanh, 2011). Table 1. Top 10 Natural Disasters in Viet Nam for the period 1900 to 2013, ranked by economic damage (a) and number killed (b). (Source: "EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database, www.em-dat.net - Université Catholique de Louvain - Brussels - Belgium") From the top 10 natural disasters in Viet Nam for the period 1900 to 2013, in terms of economic damage costs, 6 events are storms, and in terms of number of casualties, even more are storms, 7 events. In recent years, typhoon seasons have ended later and the country has been affected by an increased number of higher intensity typhoons. Typhoon tracks have gradually moved southwards with some exhibiting increasingly abnormal movements (MONRE, 2003). While preventive measures are being taken, losses and damages from disasters are substantial for Viet Nam. In the past ten years, natural disasters have cost around 8,000 lives and 1.5% GDP per year. Viet Nam could experience even higher losses in the future due to an increase in concentration of assets at risk and possibly an increase in frequency and intensity of major events linked to climate change (CDRH, 2012). 17 Vol.3 No.3 Sep. 2013 APEC Research Center for Typhoon and Society 10F, No.97, Sec.1, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei, 10093, Taiwan Tel: 886-2-3366-8975 Email: [email protected] ACTS Website: http://www.apectyphoon.org Mean annual temperature in Viet Nam has increased by 0.5oC over the past 50 years, with a sea level rise of about 20 cm. The influence of El-Niño and La-Niña phenomena has increasingly expanded throughout the country. Climate change has intensified natural disasters, particularly storms, floods and droughts. The average temperature in Viet Nam is estimated to increase by 2 - 3oC and sea level rise by 60 – 75cm by the year 2100 (MONRE, 2012). Population growth, combined with rapid socio-economic development, urbanization, pressures on natural resources and climate change, have increased the exposure and vulnerability of the population to these hazards and consequent disaster risk (Oanh, 2011). Case Studies on recent destructive tropical cyclones in Viet Nam • Typhoon Xangsane (No 6, Oct 2006, landing in Central Viet Nam) Formed on September 25, 2006, in the Western Pacific near the coast of the Philippine Islands, the typhoon crossed the Philippines and the East Sea and came ashore in central Viet Nam on October 1, 2006. This category 12 - 13 typhoon is the biggest storm to hit the country in several decades with more than 70 people dead and an estimation of over 10 billion VND ~ 650 mil USD in costs. More than 10 provinces were heavily damaged in which Da Nang City was the worst affected (12,000 homes were destroyed and 113,000 were damaged). (Left) Fig. 1. Satellite image of Typhoon Xangsane hitting Central Viet Nam (Below) Fig. 2. 2009 flood in Quang Nam Province following typhoon Ketsana (Photo by Tra Bang) • Typhoon Ketsana (No 9, Sep 2009, landing in Quang Ngai, South Central Viet Nam) Typhoon Ketsana struck the central coast of Viet Nam on Sep 29, 2009 and killed 163 persons in 14 provinces. More than 258,000 houses were destroyed or damaged; flooding affected nearly 295,000 others (CCFSC). Other infrastructure damage include roads, schools, health clinics, agricultural land, irrigation systems and dykes. Nonharvested crops and livestock were lost, and fruit trees and commercial forests were damaged. The typhoon was accompanied by heavy rainfall over a vast area. 3-day rainfall extremes were observed (Quang Ngai: 914 mm, Thua Thien Hue: 884 mm and in the range of 200-400mm in surrounding areas even further in land [Central Highland of Vietnam]). As a consequence, water level increased very fast and passed historical peak (by 0.7m in Tra Bong). 18 Vol.3 No.3 Sep. 2013 APEC Research Center for Typhoon and Society 10F, No.97, Sec.1, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei, 10093, Taiwan Tel: 886-2-3366-8975 Email: [email protected] ACTS Website: http://www.apectyphoon.org The number of deaths due to Ketsana, a level 13 typhoon, is also higher than during Xangsane, a level 12-13 storm. In Xangsane, people mainly died because of houses collapsing or boats sinking, while most of the victims of Ketsana were killed by floods. Damages caused by Typhoon Ketsana are estimated at nearly 12 trillion dong, nearly 800 thousand USD. • Tropical storms in 2013 In July and early August 2013, Viet Nam experienced two strong tropical storms (No. 5 - Jebi and No. 6 Mangkhut). Although prolonged and intensive rain was observed, damage, especially loss of life was much smaller compared to those in previous events. Early warning and active preparation together with preventive measures with the participation of all government levels have shown to be effective and contribute to this achievement. Interventions Viet Nam has an extensive long-standing institutional response system for natural disasters. The key coordinating body is the Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control (CCFSC); other members of CCFSC include relevant line ministries, the Department of Floods and Storm Control and Dyke Management, the Disaster Management Centre, the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE), and the Viet Nam Red Cross (VNRC). The Natural Disaster Mitigation Partnership (NDM-P) is composed of Government, NGOs and donors to promote dialogue and common ways of working, and support coordination for implementation of the National Strategy for Disaster Mitigation and Prevention. This Strategy prioritises an increase in raising awareness and participation, minimizing loss of life and assets, and stresses the importance of co-existence with floods (Gov., 2007). Other key initiatives of the National Strategy include: establishment of disaster forecast centres; construction of flood corridors and flood retention areas in southern Viet Nam; the use of advanced information and communication technology; strengthening the role of schools and the media in raising awareness. In the context of climate change, the government has adopted National Target Program to Respond to Climate Change (2008), and approved National Strategy on Climate Change (2011) and National Action Plan for Climate Change (2012). These important programs thus set goals that involve a range of inter-sectoral institutional measures and reflect the cross-cutting nature of the impacts of climate change. These include vulnerability assessments across sectoral, regional, and community levels; enhancing the role of science and technology for adaptation solutions; increasing public awareness and participation; and integrating climate change into development strategies, plans, and programs in all sectors. Despite a remarkable progress in economic and social development in recent years, additional capacity in climate risk assessment and disaster management is needed in order to address the range of data, research, and institutional gaps that still exist. Reference Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control (CCFSC) Viet Nam – Disaster Database: http://www.ccfsc.gov.vn/KW6F2B34/Disaster-Database.aspx Government of Viet Nam, 2007: National Strategy for Disaster Mitigation and Prevention toward 2020 (Gov., 2007) Center for Excellence in Disaster Management and Humanitarian Assistance, 2012: Country Disaster Response Handbook – Việt Nam (CDRH, 2012) http://www.coe-dmha.org/Publications/cdr_handbooks/Vietnam_DisasterResponse_Handbook2012.pdf Hoang D. Cuong, Nguyen T. Xuan: Overview of tropical cyclones activities in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012. MONRE, 2003: Vietnam Initial National Communication to the UNFCCC. MONRE, 2012: Climate Change, Sea Level Rise Scenarios for Viet Nam Oanh Luong Nhu, Nguyen Thi Thu Thuy, Ian Wilderspin and Miguel Coulierd, 2011: A preliminary analysis of flood and storm disaster data in Viet Nam (Oanh, 2011) 19
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