The Belgian Retail Market
Transcription
The Belgian Retail Market
The Belgian Retail Market Pulse Spring 2015 Quarterly Market Update Photography Marc O’Polo • Take-up volume in Q1 was 72,650 sq.m., up 54% on 70% of the transaction volume was registered in the the same quarter last year, and resulted in a rise of Big Six (Brussels, Antwerp, Ghent, Liège, Brugge the take-up of the last 12 months to 365,000 sq.m., a and Hasselt), above the 5-y average of 60%. 7% rise year-on-year. • • • Prime rents remained stable at €1,850/sq.m. p.a. High transaction volumes were registered in high on the prime high streets in Antwerp and Brussels, streets (+83% yoy) and in retail warehousing units with downward pressure in secondary locations. (+76% yoy), whilst shopping centres declined (-63% yoy). • Prime yields for high streets stand at 4.00% with a number of exceptional transactions below this mark, reflecting a buoyant market. 2 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | www.jll.be SPRING 2015 MARKET OVERVIEW The Belgian retail property market can be divided into 3 segments : high streets, shopping centres and retail warehousing. An overview of the volumes registered on both the occupier and investment markets is detailed further in this publication. The prime Belgian retail streets are the main shopping streets in the Big Six : Brussels, Antwerp, Bruges, Ghent, Liège and Hasselt. E-commerce is a growth market in Belgium, and shops are adapting their formats to the evolving retail landscape. Looking forward, new large shopping centre projects are foreseen for delivery from 2016 onwards. Rental levels are stable in prime locations and under downward pressure in secondary locations. Vacancy in prime shopping centres and high streets remains low. Summary Statistics Q1 15 Change Q-o-Q Y-o-Y CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (NBB/ BNB) MARCH 2015 -6 +6 +2 RETAIL SALES VOL. INDEX* - FEB 2015 (EUROSTAT) 102.94 -71 bps 44 bps TAKE-UP - CURRENT QTR (SQM) 72,650 -43% 54% TAKE-UP - LTM** CUMULATIVE (SQM) 365,250 8% 7% COMPLETIONS - LTM** CUMULATIVE (SQM) 188,970 -5% 64% 1,850 0% 0% PRIME RENT € / SQ.M. PA Investment Market >2.5MEUR PRIME YIELD % Q1 15 4.00 Change* Q-o-Q Y-o-Y 0 bps 12 Month outlook 12 Month outlook 0 bps *DEFLATED AND DESEASONALISED **LTM : LAST TWELVE MONTHS °YTD : YEAR-TO-DATE Source all charts : JLL Research | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | SPRING 2015 www.jll.be CONSUMER CONFIDENCE GDP is projected to grow 1.2% in 2015, according to the Country Economic Forecast from Oxford Economics as at end April 2015. Although recovery will remain relatively modest, all indicators are moving upward. Private consumption is expected to grow 1.6%, providing the main spur to faster GDP growth, and government consumption 0.6%, both indicators improving on 2014. GDP growth will also be underpinned by a broadly balanced net trade and more sustainable growth in business investment spending. Throughout 2015, the pace of household spending is expected to pick up gradually, the current account is forecast to remain in surplus, and business investment will continue to recover on a quarterly basis, although the annual growth rate will be slower than in 2014. High labour costs and a limited Eurozone recovery remain risks for the medium term, together with the public debt in excess of 100% and the need for structural economic reform. The consumer confidence indicator published by the National Bank move upward from -12 end December 2014 to -6 in March 2015. The indicator was influenced positively by positive prospects for the general economy, for private savings capacity and households’ financial prospects, whilst the unemployment factor first increased and then decreased again at the end of the quarter. About 8.5% of the working population is currently unemployed. This percentage is expected to edge downward gradually to an estimated 7.5% towards the end of the decade. Deseasonalised and deflated retail sales figures show an index of 102.94 for February 2015 (index 2010 = 100) in Belgium. Figures for March are not available yet at the time of writing. In February the indicator for Belgium compared favourably with the global figures for the Eurozone, which stood at 100.12 for the same month. In comparison with adjoining countries, Germany’s retail sales indicator stood at 106.00, the indicator for France at 106.3 and Luxembourg at 186.41, the highest in the Eurozone, whilst retail sales in the Netherlands continue to lag behind at 94.75, in spite of gradual monthly increases. The retail sales indicator declined in February after the Winter Sales period in January, when it reached 103.00. Under impact from very mild weather conditions, the Winter sales period showed only marginal growth in comparison with last year’s and retail sales in January were slightly down on the retail sales at year-end 2014, which was not the case in previous years. 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -30 2012-01 2012-03 2012-05 2012-07 2012-09 2012-11 2013-01 2013-03 2013-05 2013-07 2013-09 2013-11 2014-01 2014-03 2014-05 2014-07 2014-09 2014-11 2015-01 2015-03 -25 Consumer Confidence (LHS) 105 104 103 102 101 100 99 98 97 96 95 Gross index 2010=100 BELGIAN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDICATOR VS. WHOLESALE AND RETAIL SALES VOLUME1 Consumer confidence declined to double digit negative figures Points 3 “Transactions in the prime high streets of the Big Six confirm the high demand from retailers for prime locations, while demand reduced for secondary and tertiary locations.ˮ WALTER GOOSSENS, HEAD OF RETAIL AGENCY Retail Sales * (RHS) * Deflated and deseasonalised 1 SOURCES : NBB/BNB, EUROSTAT Source all charts : JLL Research 4 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | SPRING 2015 www.jll.be TAKE-UP Take-up of retail property in Q1 2015 amounted to 72,650 sq.m. across 162 transactions. That represented a 54% rise on the first quarter of 2014, but remained 11% under the quarterly average volume transacted in the period 2010-2014. Both high street (+83% yoy) and retail warehousing (+76% yoy) deals underpinned the transaction volume, whilst take-up in shopping centres declined in comparison with the same quarter last year (-63% yoy).The number of transactions rose 15% in comparison with the first quarter last year, but remained 10% below the 5-year quarterly average. The geographical spread of take-up was dominated by the Flanders Region, where 67% of take-up was registered, followed by the Walloon Region with 22% and Brussels with 11%. In Flanders and Wallonia retail warehousing was the largest segment, representing respectively 66% and 83% of the quarterly volume, whilst in Brussels high streets attracted the largest volume, representing 55% of the total volume registered in the Region. The Big Six (Brussels, Antwerp, Ghent, Liège, Brugge and Hasselt) remain the dominant retail cities in Belgium in the high street segment, with 15,500 sq.m. taken up in the first quarter of 2015 representing 70% of the volume, in excess of the average of 60% registered in the period 2010-2014. In the Big Six, Brussels and Antwerp remain comfortably in leading position with a take-up of respectively 4,200 and 5,000 sq.m., with Hasselt following in third position with 2,000 sq.m. taken up this quarter, well behind the first two. Ghent follows just behind Hasselt, with only just less take-up volume, 1,980 sq.m. In the cities of Liège and Bruges approx. 1,000 sq.m. of take-up was registered this quarter. The largest transactions in Q1 2015 concern retail warehousing units : Brico Belgium let 4,600 sq.m. in be-Mine retail park in Beringen, Impermo let 3,750 sq.m. on the Boomsesteenweg in Antwerp, and Lidl signed for 2,200 sq.m. in Ronse, near the French border. One newcomer signed in Brussels : French jewellery brand Arthus-Bertrand took 250 sq.m. at the Grand Sablon, the brand’s first shop in Belgium. PRIME HIGH STREETS DOMINATE The street units represented 30% of the takeup volume in retail property in Q1 2015, in line with the quarterly average of the three previous years. A total volume of just under 22,000 sq.m. was recorded in Q1, up 83% on the first quarter of 2014 and the best first quarter since 2011. Only the global quarterly average of the past 5 years was 7% higher, at 23,800 sq.m. This good start in 2015 is due to a number of transactions in the Big Six, where 63 out of a total of 91 transactions were signed. The average size of a high street transaction in Belgium this quarter was 241 sq.m., 4% below the quarterly average in the past five years. After Primark, Marks & Spencer, Ladurée and Uniqlo in 2014, a number of newcomers are expected in 2015, the first being French jeweler Arthus-Bertrand who opened its first Belgian shop in Brussels Uptown, in the Grand Sablon area. Both in number of transactions and in volume, the cities of Antwerp, the No. 1 this quarter with 5,000 sq.m. taken up across 23 transactions, and Brussels with a take-up of 4,242 sq.m. in 21 transactions, take the lead. Other cities with high take-up volumes in high streets this quarter were Hasselt and Ghent, with approx. 2,000 sq.m. each, followed by Liège, Roeselare and Bruges, with over 1,000 sq.m. each. TAKE-UP BY SEGMENT High streets and retail warehousing in the lead sq.m. 400.000 350.000 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Shopping Centres High Street Retail Warehousing 5-yr Ave 2013 2014 Q1 2015 Source all charts : JLL Research 5 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | SPRING 2015 www.jll.be TAKE-UP The largest transactions in prime high streets in the first quarter of 2015 were the 1,360 sq.m. let by La Halle on the Chaussée d’Ixelles in Brussels, and in Antwerp Fred & Ginger let 475 sq.m. on the Huidevettersstraat and JD Sports signed for 300 sq.m. on the Meir 59. In Hasselt, 800 sq.m. were let by Pull & Bear on the Hoogstraat, in Hasselt, replacing Mexx after its bankruptcy, whilst the new owner of Mexx opened a new shop on Hoogstraat 18 (600 sq.m.), and COS opened a 550 sq.m. unit in the Kapelstraat. In Roeselare, JBC signed for 780 sq.m. on the Ooststraat. In Gent there were no transactions on the Veldstraat, but Marc O’Polo opened a 200 sq.m. unit shop on the Volderstraat 19, close to the corner with the Veldstraat. Michael Kors continues its expansion strategy with a new shop on the Kustlaan in Knokke, a transaction realised by JLL, and the brand also has Antwerp on its list. TAKE-UP IN SHOPPING CENTRES SUBDUED IN Q1 Take-up in the shopping centre segment was 2,950 sq.m., the weakest quarterly take-up since 2010. Demand for shopping centre units remains stable, however, the market suffers from lack of available units. The volume taken up in shopping centres in the first quarter merely represented 4% of the total take-up of retail space, the latter remaining in line with its 5-year average. The volume registered in the first quarter was 74% below the quarterly average of the last five years. The number of transactions, 23, was also far below the 5-year quarterly average of 43 transactions, and 34% below the number registered in the first quarter of 2014, when 35 transactions were realised. The average size of transactions was 128 sq.m., only about half the 5-year quarterly average of 260 sq.m. In the last 6 months, pre-lettings in Docks Bruxsel underpinned take-up in shopping centres, with a transaction volume of 3,860 sq.m. Recent transactions in Docks Bruxsel involved international retailers such as Guess, Liu-Jo and 7 for All Mankind, Mer du Nord and Mango, the latter letting 1,400 sq.m. Transactions were also registered in Belle Ile in Liège. Other shopping centres in Brussels that attracted retailers this quarter include City 2, Cora Anderlecht, and the Woluwe and Westland Shopping centres. Shopping centres in Brussels took the largest share of the volume this quarter, with a total of 1,200 sq.m. in 11 transactions and represented 41% of the take-up in shopping centres in Belgium. The volume transacted in shopping centres in Wallonia equalled that of Brussels with a slightly lower number of transactions (9). Take-up in shopping centres in Flanders was subdued this quarter, with only 524 sq.m. transacted in 3 transactions, in Kortrijk and in Gent. The largest transaction in a shopping centre this quarter was registered in Galeries-SaintLambert in Liège, where 461 sq.m. was let by JD Sports, Cassis signed for 220 sq.m. in Westland Shopping Centre and Abelsys, an Apple reseller let 185 sq.m. in Belle Ile in Liège. HIGH STREETS OF THE BIG SIX IN 2014 Brussels, Antwerp and Ghent in top 3 Liège 1.197 8% Ghent 1.986 13% Hasselt 2.015 13% Bruges 1.044 7% Brussels 4.242 27% Antwerp 5.006 32% Source : JLL Research TWO THIRDS OF TAKE-UP IS RETAIL WAREHOUSING The volume of take-up in retail warehousing units and parks increased 76% on the same quarter last year. With 47,750 sq.m. taken up in 48 transactions, the volume was also 3% above the 5-year quarterly average of 46,500 sq.m. Retail warehousing represented 66% of total take-up this quarter, i.e. two thirds of take-up of retail space in Belgium is retail warehousing. The average size of transaction, however, was 13% below the 5-year quarterly average of 1,150 sq.m. 67% of take-up was registered in the Flanders Region, 28% in Wallonia and the remaining 5% in the Brussels Capital Region. The largest take-up transaction this quarter was registered in be-Mine retail park in Beringen, the redevelopment of a former coal mine site, where 4,630 sq.m. was taken up by Brico DIY chain. Impermo took 3,750 sq.m. along the Boomsesteenweg in Antwerp, and Lidl let 2,200 sq.m. in Renaix/Ronse. Transactions in be-Mine retail park were the main driver behind this quarter’s take-up, with a total take-up of 10,420 sq.m. in 6 transactions. In Wallonia, 4 transactions were registered in the Hydrion retail park in Arlon for a total of 3,070 sq.m., with retailers such as Heytens Décor, Di, Action and Basic Fit, and 1,000 sq.m. was let in Les Papeteries de Genval, also in 4 transactions. In Brussels Jims Fitness let 1,350 sq.m. in Evere. Docks Bruxsel - BRUSSELS - 6 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | SPRING 2015 www.jll.be PROJECTS LARGE SHOPPING CENTRE PROJECTS ARE PROGRESSING ART & BUILD Docks Bruxsel - BRUSSELS - Europea - Mall of Europe - BRUSSELS - DOCKS BRUXSEL FIRST OF 3 LARGE SHOPPING CENTRE PROJECTS In Q1 2015 a total of 25,600 sq.m. were delivered, divided between 20,600 sq.m. unit shops and 5,000 sq.m. retail warehousing. The largest project delivered this quarter was the redevelopment on the Vrijdagmarkt and Langemunt in Ghent by MG Real Estate for a total of 11,000 sq.m. that was pre-let to H&M Group, Primark and others. Projects under construction for delivery later this year include the Leonardo site in Evere, partly prelet to Decathlon, and Le Toison d’Or in Brussels, prelet to Zara, Marks & Spencer and Apple. In total over 300,000 sq.m. are currently under construction, of which 128,000 sq.m. are scheduled for delivery later this year, the largest being a 23,700 sq.m. retail warehousing scheme in Geraardsbergen, Unal Shopping. Deliveries in 2016 will be boosted by Docks Bruxsel (49,000 sq.m.), Ikea Hasselt (39,000 sq.m.) and Ikea Mons (34,500 sq.m.). New constructions represent 83% of the projects under construction as at today, and 17% are redevelopments. Upon realisation, these three shopping centres together would add c. 200,000 sq.m. to the shopping centre stock in Brussels and its periphery, the first addition to the stock in over 20 years. Other large shopping centre projects under construction or under permit include the Crystal Park in Liège (52,000 sq.m.), the extension of l’Esplanade Shopping in Louvain-la-Neuve (20,000 sq.m.), La Strada in La Louvière (38,500 sq.m.) and Rive Gauche in Charleroi (35,000 sq.m.). Au Fil de l’Eau in Verviers (29,500 sq.m.) is under construction with delivery scheduled early 2019. In addition, Woluwe Shopping Centre has plans for an extension of 11,000 sq.m. COMPLETIONS AND FUTURE SUPPLY 303,000 sqm under construction as at end March sq.m. 350.000 Apart from Docks Bruxsel, which is well on its way to its opening date scheduled on 20th October 2016, planned large developments in the shopping centre segment include Uplace on the north-eastern Brussels periphery and the Mall of Europe in the north of Brussels. The latter is part of the Europea project, the mixed use redevelopment project of the City of Brussels for the Heysel platform. Timing of both Uplace and Mall of Europe is very uncertain due to different planning procedures, and politics. 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Completions Under construction Under permit 5-y Average Source all charts : JLL Research 7 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | SPRING 2015 www.jll.be RENTAL VALUES & INVESTMENT UPWARD PRESSURE ON PRIME RENTS IN PRIME LOCATIONS, DOWNWARD PRESSURE IN SECONDARY LOCATIONS High Streets In Brussels we define two main commercial areas, Downtown and Uptown. In Brussels Downtown, the rue Neuve is the prime shopping street, and in Brussels Uptown the first part of the Avenue Louise, Goulot Louise, both with prime rents at € 1,850/sq.m./year. The same prime rent applies to the Meir and the Schuttershofstraat in Antwerp. There is upward pressure on rents for the best locations on those streets, towards € 2,000/sq.m./year. Prime rents in the main retail streets in other cities of the Big Six vary between € 1,100/sq.m./year for Hasselt over € 1,200/sq.m./year in Liège and Bruges to € 1,550/sq.m./ year in Ghent. Shopping Centres Prime rents for shopping centres remained stable quarter-on-quarter at € 1,600/sq.m./year. This prime rent applies to Wijnegem shopping centre (Antwerp), currently the largest Belgian shopping centre, and to the Woluwe Shopping Centre in Brussels (44,000 sq.m.). The prime rent for other main shopping centres in Flanders varies between € 650/sq.m./year and € 1,000/sq.m./year. The prime rent for a shopping centre in Wallonia is € 1,200/sq.m./year, and applies to l’Esplanade in Louvainla-Neuve. The prime rent for shopping centres in Liège remained stable at € 950/sq.m./year. ONE OF THE BEST QUARTERS OF THE DECADE FOR RETAIL INVESTMENT Q1 2015 was one of the best quarters of the decade. With 182.5 mln invested in retail in the year so far, the volume is 78% above the 10-year average and up 184% year-on-year. The largest deal this year so far was the acquisition by Union Investment of the Feest- & Kultuurpaleis shopping gallery in Oostende for c. €40 mln. In Antwerp, Groupe Hibert acquired the Meir 23 unit shop for € 35 mln at a record-low yield of sub 3.25%. In Wallonia, B-REIT Ascensio acquired the Bellefleur retail park near Charleroi for € 28 mln. There is an important pipeline of shopping center transactions: the Galeries Saint-Lambert in Liège is for sale, and CBRE Global Investors may exit from the Wijnegem and Waasland Shopping Centers. In addition, several portfolio deals may be closed later this year, which could beat the all-time high volume of € 1.1 bn retail investment in 2001 (the year Redevco acquired the GIB Immo portfolio for nearly € 900 Mio). According to press sources, the Médiacité deal in Liège collapsed. Prime shopping center yields were unchanged at 5%, though there is clear downward pressure. Prime yields for unit shops are maintained at 4%. There are, however, examples below that level. Retail warehousing yields are maintained at 6%, also possibly edging down in Q2 2015. PRIME RENTS Prime rents remained stable Retail Warehousing Prime retail warehousing rents, those applicable on the Rue de Stalle in Drogenbos (Brussels southwestern periphery) remained stable at €175/sq.m./year, and are forecast to remain stable for the foreseeable future. Prime rent for retail warehousing units on the Bredabaan in Antwerp remained stable at € 165/sq.m./year. 2.000 200 JEAN-PHILIP VRONINKS, HEAD OF CAPITAL MARKETS 1.850 1.800 1.750 175 175 1.600 1.500 “We are foreseeing a major investment pipeline in retail for 2015, which could lead to a record-breaking year in terms of volumes and yields.ˮ €/sq.m./year €/sq.m./year Q4 2010Q4 2011Q4 2012Q4 2013Q4 2014Q1 2015 Shopping Centres (LHS) Retail Warehousing (RHS) 150 High Street (LHS) PRIME YIELDS All retail yields trend downward % 7,0 6,5 6,0 5,5 5,0 4,5 4,0 3,5 6,0 5,0 4,0 Q4 2010 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Shopping Centre High Street Retail Warehousing Source all charts : JLL Research 8 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | www.jll.be SPRING 2015 Transactions LARGEST OCCUPIER MARKET TRANSACTIONS LAST 12 MONTHS High Streets Year Qtr City Address Type Sq.m. Retailer 2014 4 Hasselt Molenpoort/Demerstraat Pre-letting 5,800 Primark 2014 4 Brussels Le Toison d’Or Pre-letting 5,000 + 4,000 Marks & Spencer / Zara 2014 4 Gent Vrijdagmarkt/Langemunt Pre-letting 3,000 H&M 2014 2 Liège Rue de la Cathédrale 86 Letting 1,950 JBC 2014 4 Leuven Waterview, Vaartkom Letting 1,700 Albert Heijn 2015 1 Antwerp Abdijstraat 36 Letting 1,530 Life Furniture Shopping Centres Year Qtr City Shopping Centre Type Sq.m. Retailer 2014 3 Brussels DOCKS BRUXSEL Pre-letting 4,500 Media Markt* 2014 4 Liège Médiacité Letting 3,450 Primark (extension) 2014 2 Brussels DOCKS BRUXSEL Pre-letting 2,297 MATCH + Les Délices de mon Moulin* 2014 2 Brussels DOCKS BRUXSEL Pre-letting 2,217 H&M* 2014 2 Brussels Westland Letting 1,700 Zara 2014 4 Brussels DOCKS BRUXSEL Pre-letting 1,400 Mango* 2015 1 Liège Galeries St-Lambert Letting 461 JD Sports Retail Warehousing Year Qtr City Address Type Sq.m. Retailer 2015 1 Beringen Be-Mine Retail Park Letting 4,630 Brico 2014 2 Antwerp Boomsesteenweg 364 Sale 4,400 Colruyt Group 2014 2 Hooglede Brugsesteenweg 131 Sale 3,756 Salens Motors 2015 1 Antwerp Boomsesteenweg 763 Letting 3,750 Impermo 2014 4 Brugge Maalse Steenweg Letting 3,500 Media Markt Transactions in bold were advised by JLL - *:JLL co-agent 9 | pulse | BELGIAN RETAIL MARKET | www.jll.be SPRING 2015 LARGEST RETAIL INVESTMENT TRANSACTIONS LAST 12 MONTHS Price Yield MEUR % Year Qtr Type* City Building Seller Buyer 2014 4 SC Kortrijk Kortrijk Ring Shopping 108.2 6.1 Certificate/ Redevco Wereldhave Belgium 2014 4 RW Brussels Evere Square 65 5.25 IRET Development Axa Belgium 2015 1 SC Oostende Feest-en Kultuurpaleis 44 5.5 IVG Immobilien Union Investment 2014 4 RW Various Julianus Portfolio 35.6 9 Vastned Retail Financière Teychené 2015 1 HS Antwerp Meir 23 35.2 3.25 Irish Bank Resolution Corp Groupe Hibert 2014 4 RW Various Orchestra Premaman portfolio 33.7 6.5 OrchestraPremaman Retail Estates 2014 3 RW Various Frun Parks Wetteren & Oudenaarde 28 6.25 GLL Retail Holdings Retail Estates 2015 1 RW Charleroi Bellefleur Retail Park 28 6 Equilis Ascensio 2014 3 HS Gent Veldstraat 23-27 27.7 3.9 Anthos Asset Management VastNed 2015 1 SC Waterloo 115 Estate Waterloo 23 - Unknown Fidelity Investment 2014 2 RW Brussels Carrefour Evere 17 7.7 Redevco Belgium Wereldhave Belgium 2014 3 HS Various 7 high street shops 17 5.5 Bermaso Immorente Transactions in bold were advised by JLL *RW : retail warehousing HS : high street SC : shopping centre OFFICE - BELGIUM Avenue Marnixlaan, 23 b1 B – 1000 Bruxelles Brussel T 32 (0) 2 550 25 25 F 32 (0) 2 550 26 26 Jan Van Gentstraat 1 bus 402 B – 2000 Antwerpen T 32 (0) 3 232 39 30 F 32 (0) 3 233 76 85 www.jll.be CONTACTS V I N C E N T H . Q U E R TO N INTERNATIONAL DIRECTOR CEO BENELUX +32 (0) 2 550 25 25 [email protected] WA LT E R G O O S S E N S HEAD OF RETAIL BELGIUM +32 (0)2 550 25 47 [email protected] J E A N - P H I L I P V R O N I N K S (*) HEAD OF CAPITAL MARKETS BELUX +32 (0) 2 550 26 64 [email protected] P I E R R E - PA U L V E R E L S T HEAD OF RESEARCH BELUX +32 (0) 2 550 25 04 [email protected] (*) sprl / bvba COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2015. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of JLL. It is based on material that we believe to be reliable. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot offer any warranty that it contains no factual errors. We would like to be told of any such errors in order to correct them.