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Current status, future trends, market opportunities and characterization of LEDs for SSL Applications Khoo Lean Huat, Douglas Sr Sales Manager of ASEAN & ANZ Agenda • Where we now and when will LEDs overtake Conventional lights? • What is the SSL Market? • What are the market opportunities and trend of this market? • How could we accelerate the adoption of SSL? Philips Lumileds 2011 2 The Philips Lumileds’ Vision Never Before Possible Lighting Products Through… • Deep segment insight • Fast product development cycles • Customer Intimacy with the market leaders • Broad customer reach in lighting through FLS Enabled By Illumination Grade LEDs That Bring… • Superior lm/$ AND lm/W performance • Performance guaranteed at real world use conditions • Customer freedom from white color binning • Best-in-class lumen and color stability over time • High color quality at all key CCTs Philips Lumileds 2011 3 Lumileds - A Rich History of Leadership 2006 – Today 2011 – World’s first ”Illumination Grade” LED: hot tested, free of color bins 2010 – World’s first to ship 1 Billion Power LED’s 2008 – World’s first LED for backlight desktop display (LUXEON Rebel) 2007 – World’s first use of LED in Times Square New Year’s ball drop 2007 – World’s first full function LED car headlamp (Audi R8) 2007 – World’s smallest lowest cost power introduced (LUXEON Rebel) 1999 - 2006 2004 – World’s first TV backlit with LED’s (Sony Qualia 005) 2004 – World’s first LED for functional camera flash (Sony Ericsson) 2003 – World’s first 3 Watt Power LED family introduced (LUXEON III) 2002 – World’s first 5 Watt Power LED family introduced (LUXEON V) 2001 – World’s first white Power LED introduced to the (LUXEON I) 1967-1999 1998 – World’s first LUXEON 1W Power LED used for traffic lights 1996 – World’s first use of LED for full automotive rear lamp (Cadillac) 1988 – World’s first use of LED in automotive exterior (Ford LTD appliqué) 1972 – World’s first LED used in a consumer product (HP 35C) 1967 – World’s first commercial LED introduced Philips Lumileds 2011 4 Global Market Value Roadmap Presented by Philips, September 24, 2009, at Lighting Analyst’s Day 80B€ Conventional Light Sources LED Philips Lumileds 2011 5 Market Segment in Solid State Lighting Philips Lumileds 2011 6 Within Illumination, these are the major segments and applications Examples Retrofits A19 Office & Industry MR16 PAR38 Shops & Hospitality Track, Spot Tube Troffer High/Low Bay Outdoor Downlight Architectural Philips Lumileds 2011 Street 7 Retrofit Bulb: LED Penetrating All Types Market opportunity • 2010 penetration was < 1% • 20B sockets world wide • World-wide banning of incandescent • Professional market exceeding 75% penetration in 2015 • Consumer market achieving 25% penetration in 2015 Trends • Professional market focused on Quality of Light and TCO • Consumer market adopting based on initial costs vs performance • Utilities accelerating adopting through rebates Philips Lumileds 2011 8 Office Lighting: Limited Penetration but Large Potential Market opportunity • Penetration of LED troffers below 1% • More than 1B troffers installed • 30-35% of commercial buildings electric bill is lighting • T-LED market penetration below 5% (annual sales) through 2013 Trends • LED lm/W >100 at 4000K/80CRI • New office fixture designs • Building energy standards focusing on lighting • NA pushing low ambient light with task lighting • T-LEDs adoption driven by green customers Philips Lumileds 2011 9 Outdoor Area: Occurring Now in All Regions Market opportunity • 2010 Penetration 10% • More than 500M area lighting fixtures • US: 131M street and area lights • World wide more than 370K petrol stations • 25% of cities electric bill is lighting Trends • Continued system efficiency improvements in China • CRI application and regional dependent • Warmer CCTs, 3000-3500K, for city centers • Paybacks for 10,000 lumen luminaires improving to < 3 years Philips Lumileds 2011 10 Shops and Hospitality: Spot Lights Driving Adoption Market opportunity • 2010 Penetration <5% • World wide1B down lights installed • Over 10M retails shops world wide • 50% of electric bill is for lighting Trends • LED Quality of light to replace CDM • Efficiency improvements at 80/90CRI for 2700-5000K CCT • Market demanding color point matching from luminaire to luminaire • Increase use of spot lights to create effect and drive demand Philips Lumileds 2011 11 SHOW CASE Philips Lumileds 2011 12 Outdoor SSL Applications Pearl River lit up for 2011 Asia Games Guangzhou, China Philips Lumileds 2011 13 Outdoor SSL Applications Dongjiang Main Road, Dongguan City, China Philips Lumileds 2011 A44 Highway, Netherlands 14 Shops and Hospitality SSL Applications Crowne Plaza Dublin, Ireland Starbucks Manila, Philippines Philips Lumileds 2011 15 Office SSL Applications Audi Neckarsulm, Germany Nomura Bank London, United Kingdom Philips Lumileds 2011 16 How to accelerate the adoption of SSL? Philips Lumileds 2011 17 How can adoption be further accelerated? Drivers of LED Adoption Application Performance Application Cost Quality of Light What They Mean • System lumens per watt • Performance at real operating conditions (esp. temperature) • Performance over useful lifetime • System lumens per $ • Right CCT/CRI combination • Color over time and temperature • Color uniformity (color over angle) • Color from LED to LED Philips Lumileds 2011 18 A Broad Portfolio for a Range of Applications Outdoor 60+ CRI 70+ CRI Outdoor Roadway Parking Path 85+ CRI 6500K Hospitality Home, Retrofit Indoor Professional & Consumer Shops Hospitality Office Home Retrofit Bulb 80+ CRI CCT Shop Office 5700K 5000K 4100K Philips Lumileds 2011 3500K 3000K 2700K 19 Hot Testing and Color Binning Simplify solution design – Enable Freedom From Binning Testing and binning at operating conditions eliminates unknowns, simplifies the design process, lowers costs, and raises confidence • • • • • Eliminate light output calculations from 25C to 85C Eliminate efficacy calculations at operating conditions Eliminate need to work from derating data Reduce time to develop system Reduce finished design testing ANSI 2700K ANSI 3000K Philips Lumileds 2011 20 LUXEON Rebel Color portfolio Most comprehensive color portfolio – Highest lm/W and lm/$ Color Performance 2011 Performance 2011/2012 ! Philips Lumileds 2011 21 LUXEON Rebel ES Royal Blue High efficiency white light with remote phosphor Color Performance 2011 Performance 2011/2012 ! Philips Lumileds 2011 22 LUXEON Rebel ES Royal Blue High efficiency white light with remote phosphor • Best in industry wall plug efficiency ~ 55% • 1050 mW with leading hot/cold factor and in application performance • Flexible designs • Multiple CCT/CRI combinations possible • Cost effective downlight, spot, and retrofit bulbs • Competitive lm/W and lm/$ at an application level • Example: 3000K, 80CRI downlight design • Collaboration with established phosphor suppliers • 90+ lm/W (Intematix reference design) Philips Lumileds 2011 23 LUXEON Rebel ES Royal Blue Enabling Best-in-Class LED products 1st A19 60W replacement LED bulb has been awarded the BRIGHT TOMORROW LIGHTING (L prize) by the US Department of Energy. • Saves US$142.50 in energy costs, representing 80% savings* • Dimmable • Lasts 15 years (25 times the lifetime of incandescent bulb being replaced) * Assuming US$0.12/kW, 4 hours/day, 7 days/week Philips Lumileds 2011 24 LUXEON Rebel ES White Maximum Design Flexibility – Highest Lm/$ – Shortest Payback • Broad portfolio for all Indoor and Outdoor Markets and applications • All combinations of CCT and Quality-of-Light (CRI) • Highest lumens, lm/W and lm/$ • Lowest forward voltage • Industry Standard ANSI color binning • Superior >125lm/W efficacy enables efficient and sustainable applications • Industry leading lumen maintenance Confidential Philips Lumileds 2011 25 LUXEON H – High Voltage LED Simplified Design for Space Constrained Applications • Minimize space requirements • No DC driver required, accepts rectified AC • 50 V, 1 Watt LED flexibly supports both 110V and 230V solutions • Exceptional color stability over temperature and current • • 2700K, 83 CRI typ., 84 lm 3000K, 83 CRI typ., 90 lm • Superior in application performance • 0.93 hot/cold factor • proven reliability and lumen maintenance • LUXEON Rebel form factor and package architecture Confidential Philips Lumileds 2011 26 LUXEON A Design speed & simplification • Freedom From Binning • Within 3 step MacAdam Ellipse • Hot Tested and Color Binned • 2700K / 3000K, 80 min CRI • Planned proliferation W2 • Highest efficacy at 350mA, 100 lm/W • 167 lm and 172 lm @ 700mA for 2700K and 3000K respectively • Maximum light output and lowest cost of light at 1000mA • Superior Quality of Light Confidential Philips Lumileds 2011 27 LUXEON S Freedom From Binning – Highest Quality of Light • 1300 Lumens Hot Tested – 3000K CCT / 85 CRI • Within a single 3-step MacAdam Ellipse • Highest Flux Density • Tight Sharp Beams with Crisp Shadow • Superior Quality of Light • Outperforms Halogen and CDM Philips Lumileds 2011 28 Conclusion 1. Market for SSL applications is accelerating • Particularly in outdoor, retrofit bulbs & tubes, indoor commercial 2. LEDs play a crucial role in this ramp-up, through • Continuing efficiency improvements • Increasing Lm/$ • Improving Quality of Light 3. Lumileds contribution • General – lumens & color stability, guaranteed performance under real operating conditions • Outdoor – highest lumens/$ and lumens/W • Retail & Hospitality – Freedom from Binning, Tight Sharp Beams • Retrofits – Freedom from Binning, Simplified Driver designs, Energy Star compliance Philips Lumileds 2011 29 Q&A Philips Lumileds 2011 30