Manpower employment Outlook Survey Canada

Transcription

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Canada
2015
Q2
Canadian
Employment
Outlook
The Manpower Employment
Outlook Survey for the
second quarter 2015 was
conducted by interviewing
a representative sample
of over 1,900 employers
in Canada.
All survey participants
were asked, “How do you
anticipate total employment
at your location to change
in the three months to the
end of June 2015
as compared to the
current quarter?”
Contents
Canadian Employment Outlook
1
Organization-Size Comparisons
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook
13
International Comparisons – Americas
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific
International Comparisons – EMEA
About the Survey
29
About ManpowerGroupTM
30
Canadian Employment Outlook
2nd Quarter 2015
1st Quarter 2015
4th Quarter 2014
3rd Quarter 2014
2nd Quarter 2014
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
18
11
12
20
16
%
5
7
7
4
4
%
75
79
79
74
78
%
2
3
2
2
2
%
13
4
5
16
12
%
10
10
8
10
9
Net Employment Outlook
Seasonally Adjusted Outlook
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
Canadian employers report respectable hiring
intentions for the April-June time frame. With 18%
of employers expecting to grow staffing levels, 5%
anticipating a decrease and 75% forecasting no
change, the resulting Net Employment Outlook
stands at +13%.
Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal
variation, the Outlook stands at +10%. Hiring
prospects are unchanged when compared with
the previous quarter and remain relatively stable
year-over-year.
Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the
percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage
expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the
Net Employment Outlook.
From this point forward, all data discussed in the commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated otherwise.
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 1
Organization-Size Comparisons
Participating employers are categorized into one of four
organization sizes: Micro businesses have less than
10 employees; Small businesses have 10-49 employees;
Medium businesses have 50-249 employees; and
Large businesses have 250 or more employees.
Staffing levels are expected to grow in all four
organization-size categories during the coming
quarter. The most upbeat Net Employment Outlook
of +18% is reported by Medium employers, while
Outlooks stand at +14% and +10% for the Large- and
Small-size categories, respectively. Micro employers
report an Outlook of +4%.
Organization-Size
Medium-size employers report an improvement of three
percentage points when compared with Quarter 2
2014, but the Outlook for Large firms is two percentage
points weaker. Elsewhere, hiring plans are unchanged.
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
%
%
%
%
%
9
17
28
24
2
5
6
8
88
76
63
64
1
2
3
4
7
12
22
16
4
10
18
14
Micro-Size less than 10
Small-Size 10-49
Medium-Size 50-249
Large-Size 250 or more
50
Quarter-over-quarter, the Outlook for Medium
employers is two percentage points stronger, but
hiring prospects are two percentage points weaker in
the Large-size category. Elsewhere, Micro employers
report no change and the Outlook for Small
employers remains relatively stable.
Micro-Size less than 10
Small-Size 10-49
Medium-Size 50-249
Large-Size 250 or more
40
30
20
10
0
-10
2008
2009
2010
Graph displays Seasonally Adjusted Data
2 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Regional Comparisons
+18 (+13)%
Atlantic Canada
Employers expect the steady hiring pace to continue in Quarter 2 2015, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%.
Hiring intentions remain relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter and improve by three percentage points
year-over-year.
Job seekers in eight of the 10 industry sectors can expect to benefit from an increase in staffing levels during the coming
quarter, according to employers. The strongest Net Employment Outlooks of +20% are reported in three sectors – the
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, the Services sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector. Steady hiring
activity is anticipated in the Public Administration sector, with an Outlook of +14%, and in the Mining sector, where the
Outlook stands at +13%. Elsewhere, Wholesale & Retail Trade sector employers forecast respectable job gains with an
Outlook of +11% while the Outlook for the Manufacturing − Durables sector stands at +8%. However, employers in two
sectors expect payrolls to decline, most notably in the Education sector where the Outlook is -6%.
Quarter-over-quarter, hiring plans weaken in six of the 10 industry sectors, including the Construction sector with a steep
decline of 36 percentage points. Noteworthy declines of 20 and 11 percentage points are also reported for the Manufacturing −
Non-Durables sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks strengthen in
four sectors. Increases of six percentage points are reported in both the Transportation & Public Utilities sector and the
Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, while an improvement of five percentage points is reported by Mining sector employers.
When compared with Quarter 2 2014, Outlooks strengthen in five of the 10 industry sectors. Transportation & Public Utilities
sector employers report a sharp improvement of 24 percentage points. Elsewhere, the Services sector Outlook is 11
percentage points stronger and increases of six and five percentage points are reported in the Finance, Insurance & Real
Estate sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, respectively. However, hiring prospects also decline in five sectors.
Mining sector employers report a decrease of 13 percentage points and Outlooks are 11 percentage points weaker in both
the Construction sector and the Education sector.
Employers in all seven areas expect to increase payrolls during Quarter 2 2015. The strongest hiring plans are reported
in Charlottetown, with an Outlook of +23%, and Halifax, where the Outlook stands at +22%. Upbeat hiring activity is also
expected in Cape Breton Area and St. John’s, with Outlooks of +20% and +17%, respectively. The weakest of the seven
area Outlooks is reported by employers in Saint John, standing at +5%.
When compared with the previous quarter, hiring intentions weaken in four of the seven areas, most notably by seven and
three percentage points in Halifax and Fredericton, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks improve in three areas. Cape Breton
Area employers report an increase of six percentage points while the Outlook for St. John’s is five percentage points stronger.
Year-over-year, Outlooks strengthen in six of the seven areas. A steep improvement of 28 percentage points is reported in
Charlottetown while the Halifax Outlook is 14 percentage points stronger. Hiring plans increase by six percentage points in
both Cape Breton Area and Saint John. However, Moncton employers report a considerable decline of nine percentage points.
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
%
%
%
%
%
All Industries
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing – Durables
Manufacturing – Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
22
21
7
27
21
13
20
8
4
7
13
7
7
7
0
0
73
71
80
66
71
80
80
92
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
18
14
-6
20
14
6
20
8
13
1
-6
20
8
-1
13
14
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
28
21
28
2
0
3
69
79
67
1
0
2
26
21
25
20
20
11
+14 (+9)%
Ontario
A cautiously optimistic hiring climate is forecast for the next three months, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook
of +9%. Hiring plans remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and improve by two percentage points year-over-year.
Employers in nine of the 10 industry sectors expect to grow payrolls during Quarter 2 2015. The most upbeat labour market
is forecast by employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector with an Outlook of +16% − the strongest for the sector
since Quarter 3 2011. Steady hiring activity is also expected in the Manufacturing − Durables sector and the Transportation &
Public Utilities sector, where Outlooks stand at +15% and +13%, respectively. Construction sector employers report respectable
hiring plans with an Outlook of +12%, while Outlooks of +9% are reported in three sectors – the Mining sector, the Services
sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector. However, with a Net Employment Outlook of -2%, employers in the Public
Administration sector report the weakest – and first negative − hiring intentions since the sector analysis was first carried
out in Quarter 1 2004.
When compared with Quarter 1 2015, hiring prospects improve in seven of the 10 industry sectors. An increase of five
percentage points is reported in the Manufacturing – Durables sector, while employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
sector and the Mining sector report increases of four and three percentage points, respectively. Elsewhere, Outlooks decline
in three sectors, most notably by 15 percentage points in the Public Administration sector and by three percentage points in
the Transportation & Public Utilities sector.
Year-over-year, employers report stronger hiring intentions in six of the 10 industry sectors. Mining sector employers report
a considerable improvement of 12 percentage points, while increases of seven and five percentage points are reported in the
Construction sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks decline in four sectors,
including the Public Administration sector, where employers report a sharp decrease of 26 percentage points.
Employers in 23 of the 24 areas expect to grow staffing levels in the next three months. The most hopeful Outlooks of +19%
are reported in Peterborough and Kitchener/Cambridge Area. Upbeat hiring plans are also reported in London, with an
Outlook of +17%, and in three areas with Outlooks of +15% − Brockville, Thunder Bay and Welland/Port Colborne. Meanwhile,
York Region employers forecast flat hiring activity with an Outlook of 0%, and job gains are expected to be limited in Toronto
and Windsor, with Outlooks of +3% and +2%, respectively.
When compared with the previous quarter, employers in 13 areas report improved hiring intentions. The most notable
increases of 20 and 18 percentage points are reported in Barrie and Fort Erie, respectively, while the Outlook for London is
17 percentage points stronger. However, hiring prospects weaken in 10 areas. The Windsor Outlook declines by a considerable
margin of 11 percentage points and decreases of seven percentage points are reported in both York Region and Thunder Bay.
Year-over-year, Outlooks strengthen in 15 areas. Increases of 14 percentage points are reported in London and Peterborough
with improvements of 13 percentage points in both Belleville and Niagara Falls. Elsewhere, hiring prospects weaken in eight
areas, most notably by 10 and seven percentage points in York Region and St. Catharines, respectively.
All Industries
Construction
Education
Mining
Services
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
%
%
%
%
%
18
23
13
18
21
16
20
16
15
20
20
4
2
6
0
4
11
8
9
2
2
2
76
74
78
82
72
68
68
70
82
78
74
2
1
3
0
3
5
4
5
1
0
4
14
21
7
18
17
5
12
7
13
18
18
9
12
8
16
15
4
9
-2
9
13
9
+15 (+11)%
Quebec
With a Net Employment Outlook of +11%, employers forecast respectable payroll gains during the coming quarter. Hiring
intentions are the strongest since Quarter 4 2012, improving by three and five percentage points quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year, respectively.
Staffing levels are expected to increase in nine of the 10 industry sectors during the April-June time frame. Finance, Insurance
& Real Estate sector employers report the most optimistic Outlook of +28% which is also the strongest for the sector since
Quarter 1 2007, while Construction sector employers report the healthiest hiring intentions since Quarter 3 2007 with an
Outlook of +26%. Elsewhere, solid job gains are forecast in the Education sector and the Manufacturing − Durables sector,
with Outlooks of +23%. Noteworthy Outlooks of +11% and +10% are also reported in the Public Administration sector and
the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, respectively. Elsewhere, Mining sector employers anticipate a flat labour market with an
Outlook of 0%.
Hiring prospects improve in seven of the 10 industry sectors when compared with Quarter 1 2015. The most notable increases
of 18 and 16 percentage points are reported in the Education sector and the Construction sector, respectively. Hiring plans are
nine percentage points stronger in both the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables
sector, while an increase of six percentage points is reported by Manufacturing − Durables sector employers. Meanwhile,
hiring plans weaken in three sectors, including the Services sector and the Mining sector, with declines of seven and five
percentage points, respectively.
Year-over-year, Outlooks improve in eight of the 10 industry sectors. Hiring intentions are 20 percentage points stronger in two
sectors – the Construction sector and the Manufacturing − Durables sector, while the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector
Outlook is 19 percentage points stronger. Manufacturing − Non-Durables sector employers report an improvement of 16
percentage points and the Public Administration sector Outlook is 14 percentage points stronger. Elsewhere, hiring prospects
decline by 13 and five percentage points in the Services sector and the Mining sector, respectively.
Seasonally adjusted data is available for four of the five areas in Quebec, but figures for Laval (*) are not seasonally adjusted.
Staffing levels are expected to grow in all five areas during Quarter 2 2015. The most active hiring intentions are reported in
Quebec City, with an Outlook of +29%. Monteregie (formerly Granby) employers anticipate an upbeat hiring pace with an
Outlook of +19%, while Laval* employers expect some job gains, reporting an Outlook of +7%.
When compared with the previous quarter, Outlooks improve in three areas. Sharp increases of 22 percentage points are
reported in both Monteregie (formerly Granby) and Quebec City, while the Outlook for Laval* is 11 percentage points stronger.
Meanwhile, hiring prospects decline by 11 and three percentage points in Montreal and Eastern Townships (formerly
Sherbrooke), respectively.
Employers report stronger hiring prospects in three areas year-over-year. The most notable increase of 31 percentage points
is reported in Monteregie (formerly Granby) and the Quebec City Outlook improves by 17 percentage points. Meanwhile,
Montreal employers report a decline of six percentage points.
All Industries
Construction
Education
Mining
Services
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
%
%
%
%
%
21
36
29
35
22
21
14
21
15
19
18
6
0
5
0
0
7
9
7
9
6
8
70
64
66
65
78
68
73
71
65
75
74
3
0
0
0
0
4
4
1
11
0
0
15
36
24
35
22
14
5
14
6
13
10
11
26
23
28
23
9
0
11
2
9
10
+10 (+9)%
Western Canada
Employers expect a fair hiring climate in the forthcoming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%. Hiring prospects
remain relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter but decline by five percentage points year-over-year.
Payrolls are forecast to grow in nine of the 10 industry sectors during the next three months. The most respectable labour
markets are reported in two sectors with Outlooks of +19% − the Public Administration sector, where hiring plans are the
strongest since Quarter 4 2008, and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector. Transportation & Public Utilities sector
employers report an Outlook of +15% while Outlooks stand at +13% in both the Construction sector and the Wholesale &
Retail Trade sector. Encouraging signs for job seekers are also reported in the Education sector and the Services sector, with
Outlooks of +9% and +8%, respectively. However, Mining sector employers report the weakest – and first negative − hiring
intentions since the sector analysis was first carried out in Quarter 1 2004, with an Outlook of -5%.
When compared with the previous quarter, employers report stronger hiring prospects in eight of the 10 industry sectors.
The most noteworthy improvements of five and four percentage points are reported in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
sector and the Services sector, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks weaken in two sectors, declining by 14 percentage points
in the Mining sector and by four percentage points in the Manufacturing − Durables sector.
Year-over-year, hiring plans weaken in seven of the 10 industry sectors. The Mining sector Outlook decreases by a steep
margin of 24 percentage points while Manufacturing − Durables sector employers report a decrease of 13 percentage points.
Elsewhere, Outlooks are nine and eight percentage points weaker in the Education sector and the Construction sector,
respectively. However, hiring intentions strengthen in two sectors. The Public Administration sector Outlook improves by nine
percentage points while an increase of seven percentage points is reported by employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real
Estate sector.
Employers in 10 of the 11 areas expect to grow payrolls during the upcoming quarter. The most optimistic labour market is
anticipated in Surrey where the Outlook stands at +27%. Employers report upbeat hiring plans in Burnaby-Coquitlam and
Richmond-Delta, with Outlooks of +17% and +15%, respectively, while the Outlook for Regina stands at +12%. Meanwhile,
Red Deer employers forecast a flat labour market, reporting an Outlook of 0%.
Quarter-over-quarter, hiring prospects improve in six areas, most notably by 15 percentage points in Burnaby-Coquitlam and
by 13 percentage points in Surrey. Elsewhere, Outlooks are six and five percentage points stronger in Regina and Winnipeg,
respectively. However, hiring intentions weaken in four areas including Calgary and Victoria & Capital Regional District, where
Outlooks decline by 11 and nine percentage points, respectively.
When compared with Quarter 2 2014, hiring intentions weaken in six areas. Edmonton employers report a sharp decline of
24 percentage points and Outlooks decrease by 12 percentage points in both Calgary and Winnipeg. Elsewhere, hiring plans
improve in five areas, most notably by 17 percentage points in Surrey, while an increase of seven percentage points is reported
in Burnaby-Coquitlam.
All Industries
Construction
Education
Mining
Services
Increase
Decrease
No Change
Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
%
%
%
%
%
%
16
29
12
18
11
10
5
20
15
20
19
6
4
9
0
6
5
20
0
5
2
2
77
67
79
82
80
83
69
73
80
78
78
1
0
0
0
3
2
6
7
0
0
1
10
25
3
18
5
5
-15
20
10
18
17
9
13
9
19
5
6
-5
19
8
15
13
Sector Comparisons
Employers in all 10 industry sectors expect to grow
payrolls during the April-June time frame. The most
favourable hiring prospects are reported by Finance,
Insurance & Real Estate sector employers with a Net
Employment Outlook of +19%. Steady job gains are
forecast by Transportation & Public Utilities sector
employers with an Outlook of +14%, while Outlooks
stand at +13% and +12% for the Construction sector
and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, respectively.
Manufacturing − Durables sector employers forecast
respectable workforce gains with an Outlook of +11%
and Services sector employers report a cautiously
optimistic Outlook of +9%.
Meanwhile, hiring prospects weaken in four sectors.
The Public Administration sector Outlook declines
by five percentage points while a decrease of four
percentage points is reported by Mining sector
employers.
Year-over-year, employers in six of the 10 industry
sectors report stronger hiring intentions. The most
noteworthy improvement of seven percentage points
is reported in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
sector, while increases of four and three percentage
points are reported for the Wholesale & Retail Trade
sector and the Manufacturing − Non-Durables sector,
respectively. Elsewhere, Outlooks decline in three
sectors. A decrease of nine percentage points is
reported by Mining sector employers while Outlooks
are four percentage points weaker in both the Public
Administration sector and the Education sector.
When compared with Quarter 1 2015, hiring plans
strengthen in four of the 10 industry sectors. The most
noteworthy improvements of three percentage points
are reported in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector.
Construction
23
13
6
Education
8
19
15
11
7
3
0
Mining
1
12
8
Services
13
9
18
14
Wholesale and Retail Trade
17
12
0
20
5
10
15
20
25
+23 (+13)%
Construction
Job seekers can expect a steady hiring pace in Quarter 2 2015, with employers reporting
a Net Employment Outlook of +13%. Hiring prospects remain relatively stable
quarter-over-quarter and improve by two percentage points year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+6 (+8)%
Education
The moderate hiring pace is forecast to continue in the April-June time frame, with employers
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +8% for the second consecutive quarter. However,
the Outlook declines by four percentage points year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+20 (+19)%
Employers anticipate the strongest hiring climate since Quarter 4 2010 during the upcoming
quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +19%. Hiring intentions improve by three
percentage points when compared with the previous quarter and are seven percentage
points stronger year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+15 (+11)%
Manufacturing – Durable Goods
With a Net Employment Outlook of +11%, employers forecast respectable payroll gains during
the next three months. While the Outlook is three percentage points weaker quarter-overquarter, employers report a year-over-year improvement of two percentage points.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+7 (+3)%
Manufacturing – Non-Durable Goods
A slight increase in staffing levels is likely in Quarter 2 2015, according to employers who report
a Net Employment Outlook of +3%. Hiring prospects are two percentage points weaker when
compared with the previous quarter but improve by three percentage points year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
0 (+1)%
Mining
Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +1%, employers anticipate the weakest hiring pace
since Quarter 3 2009 during the coming quarter. Hiring prospects decline by four percentage
points quarter-over-quarter and are nine percentage points weaker year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+12 (+8)%
Job seekers can expect a cautiously optimistic labour market in the next three months, with
employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +8%. However, the Outlook declines by
five and four percentage points quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, respectively.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+13 (+9)%
Services
Employers continue to report encouraging signs for job seekers with a Net Employment
Outlook of +9% for the upcoming quarter. Hiring intentions are unchanged both
quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+18 (+14)%
A favourable hiring climate is expected in the April-June time frame with employers reporting
a Net Employment Outlook of +14%. Hiring prospects are two percentage points stronger
when compared with the previous quarter and remain relatively stable year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
+17 (+12)%
Respectable hiring activity is forecast for Quarter 2 2015 with employers reporting
a Net Employment Outlook of +12%. Hiring plans are three percentage points stronger
quarter-over-quarter and improve by four percentage points year-over-year.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
Global Employment Outlook
Quarter 2 2015
Qtr on Qtr Change
Yr on Yr Change
Q1 2015 to Q2 2015 Q2 2014 to Q2 2015 Quarter 2 2015 Net Employment Outlook
%
-15 -10 -5
Americas
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
Colombia
Costa Rica
Guatemala
Mexico
Panama
Peru
United States
3 (0)1
-4 (-3)1
3 (-1)1
13 (10)1
15 (15)1
11 (10)
10 (11)1
12 (11)1
-3 (-9)1
9 (0)1
0 (-1)1
1 (2)1
1 (3)1
2 (-1)1
-15 (-15)1
1 (1)1
-4 (-2)1
-8 (-10)1
-1 (-1)1
-6 (-6)1
1
1
17 (18)
8 (8)1
18 (16)1
Asia Pacific
Australia
China
10 (8)1
-1 (-1)
-7 (-8)1
5 (0)1
1
4 (2)
-11 (-11)1
3 (3)1
9 (8)1
3 (0)1
-1 (-3)1
-1 (-1)1
-7 (-7)1
Hong Kong
15 (16)1
0 (1)1
1 (0)1
India
Japan
41 (38)1
29 (19)1
0 (-8)1
11 (-1)1
-4 (-4)1
2 (2)1
1
1
New Zealand
Singapore
Taiwan
EMEA†
Austria
Belgium
19 (17)
14 (14)1
46 (45)1
-6 (-10)
-2 (-4)1
9 (2)1
-10 (-10)
-4 (-4)1
7 (7)1
3 (1)1
2 (-4)1
-3 (-3)1
1
1
-1 (-1)
1
1
1
3 (2)
1 (0)
+45%
+38%
India
+19%
Japan
+18%
Panama
Hong Kong
+17%
+16%
Turkey
+16%
United States
+16%
New Zealand
Colombia
+15%
Singapore
+14%
South Africa
+13%
Finland
+11%*
Greece
+11%
Guatemala
+11%
Mexico
+11%
+11%
Romania
1
Canada
+10%
Costa Rica
+10%
Hungary
+10%
Israel
+10%*
Bulgaria
+9%
Australia
+8%
China
+8%
Bulgaria
14 (9)
9 (-1)
0 (0)
Peru
+8%
Czech Republic
4 (4)1
3 (0)1
5 (4)1
Poland
+8%
Finland
19
2
Slovakia
+8%*
France
11
1 (2)1
-2 (-2)1
2 (3)1
Germany
6 (5)1
4 (0)1
-2 (-2)1
Greece
14 (11)1
10 (3)1
6 (6)1
Hungary
13 (10)1
8 (3)1
5 (5)1
8 (6)1
1 (-4)1
4 (4)1
10
3
-3
-4 (-6)1
4 (4)1
3 (-1)1
8 (6)1
0 (0)1
3 (4)1
3 (3)1
9 (8)1
2 (0)1
8 (2)1
-3 (-4)1
1 (1)1
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
South Africa
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
UK
1
1
1
20 (11)
8
12 (6)1
11 (13)1
5 (4)1
19 (1)
5
7 (-1)1
-2 (3)1
5 (1)1
5 (3)
6
-1 (-1)1
11 (10)1
1 (1)1
6 (4)1
6 (4)1
2 (-2)1
9 (6)1
2 (1)1
0 (0)1
21 (16)1
6 (6)1
7 (-4)1
2 (0)1
-5 (-7)1
-1 (-1)1
1
†EMEA – Europe, Middle East and Africa.
1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the
impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available
for all countries as a minimum of 17 quarters worth of data is required. 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Taiwan
6 (3)1
1
0
Ireland
+6%
Slovenia
+6%
United Kingdom
+6%
Germany
+5%
Czech Republic
+4%
Netherlands
+4%
Spain
+4%
Sweden
+4%
+4%
Switzerland
+3%
Argentina
Norway
+3%
Belgium
+2%
France
+2%
Austria
+1%
Brazil
Italy
-1%
-6%
-15 -10 -5
0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
* Indicates unadjusted data.
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is ManpowerGroup’s
quarterly index of employer hiring confidence.
ManpowerGroup interviewed over 65,000 employers
across 42 countries and territories to forecast labour
market activity* in Quarter 2 2015. All participants
were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment
at your location to change in the three months to the
end of June 2015 as compared to the current quarter?”
The survey reveals that employers in 40 of 42 countries
and territories intend to add to their payrolls by varying
margins during the April-June time frame. Yet there
are few signs that labour markets are gaining real
momentum, and some additional signs that employer
uncertainty is spreading well beyond the eurozone’s
borders. For instance, employer confidence continues
to decline in China where the forecast remains positive
but dips to a level not reported since 2009. And for
the first time since Brazil launched the survey in
Quarter 4 2009, the country’s forecast turns negative
following considerable declines in comparison to both
the prior quarter and last year at this time.
Outlooks are mixed in comparison to the Quarter 1
2015 and Quarter 2 2014 surveys; forecasts improve
in 15 countries and decline in 18 quarter-over-quarter,
and improve in a year-over-year comparison in 18
countries while declining in 20. Second-quarter hiring
confidence is strongest in Taiwan, India, Japan and
Panama. The weakest – and only negative – forecasts
are reported in Italy and Brazil.
Workforce gains are forecast in 23 of 24 countries in
the Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region, with
only employers in Italy anticipating payroll declines
over the next three months. Hiring plans improve
in 11 countries quarter-over-quarter and weaken in
only eight. In a year-over-year comparison, Outlooks
improve in 13 countries and decline in eight. Once
again, Turkish job seekers can expect to benefit from
the strongest employer hiring plans in the EMEA
region; this is despite the country’s employers
reporting their least optimistic forecast since the
survey started in Quarter 1 2011. In addition to
Turkey, the strongest EMEA forecasts are reported
by employers in South Africa, Finland, Greece and
Romania. The weakest second-quarter forecasts
are reported in Italy and Austria.
Payrolls are expected to increase in all eight Asia
Pacific countries and territories. However, Outlooks
are trending weaker than they have in the past and the
hiring pace is expected to slow by varying margins in
five countries and territories in both quarter-over-quarter
and year-over-year comparisons. Employers in Taiwan
report the most optimistic forecast across the globe
for the sixth time in the last three years. Meanwhile,
the region’s weakest forecasts are reported by
employers in Australia and China.
Positive Outlooks are reported in nine of the
10 countries surveyed in the Americas. Hiring
confidence strengthens in two countries, dips in
five and is unchanged in three when compared to the
first three months of 2015. Similarly, hiring activity is
expected to slow compared to last year at this time in
seven countries, and improve in only three. Employers
in Panama and the United States report the strongest
second-quarter hiring plans while those in Brazil,
Argentina and Peru expect the weakest hiring pace.
Full survey results for each of the 42 countries and
territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus
regional and global comparisons, can be found at
http://manpowergroup.com/press/meos_landing.cfm.
The next Manpower Employment Outlook Survey will
be released on 9 June 2015 and will detail expected
labour market activity for the third quarter of 2015.
* Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data where
available. Data is not seasonally adjusted for Finland, Israel
and Slovakia.
International Comparisons – Americas
Nearly 30,000 employers from 10 countries
throughout North, Central and South America were
interviewed for the Quarter 2 2015 survey. Employers
intend to add to their payrolls by varying degrees
in all countries except Brazil. However, the forecasts
are trending fractionally weaker than they have in the
past with Outlooks improving in only two countries
quarter-over-quarter and improving in only three
when compared year-over-year.
For the fourth consecutive quarter employers in
Panama report the region’s most optimistic hiring
plans with more than one in every five employers
intending to add to their payrolls in the April-June time
frame. Employer optimism is strongest in the Services
sector – where one-third of employers intend to add
to their workforce in the next three months – and the
Transport & Communications sector.
The hiring pace in all three North American labour
markets is expected to remain steady. Forecasts are
particularly upbeat in the U.S. with positive Outlooks
reported in all industry sectors and regions. Hiring
expectations improve in 12 of 13 industry sectors and
in all four regions when compared to last year at this
time. The most active U.S. labour markets are
expected in the Leisure & Hospitality and the
Wholesale & Retail Trade sectors. Employers in four
sectors – including the Professional & Business
Services and the Financial Activities sectors – report
the strongest hiring plans since Quarter 1 2009.
Meanwhile, opportunities for job seekers are expected
to remain positive in Canada where Finance,
Insurance & Real Estate sector employers report their
most optimistic hiring plans since Quarter 4 2010.
Hiring plans are similarly upbeat in Mexico where
employers in all industry sectors and all regions intend
to add to payrolls during the second quarter.
The hiring climate in Colombia remains favourable
with an aggressive nationwide roads-building program
boosting job prospects in Construction and offsetting
a steep year-over-year decline in the country’s Mining
sector. Similarly, steep quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year declines in Peru’s Mining sector are
expected to restrain labour market activity throughout
the country; forecasts weaken from year-ago levels
in all sectors except Agriculture. Job growth is also
struggling to turn the corner in Argentina as employers
attempt to counter the uncertainty associated with
high inflation and the upcoming presidential elections.
However, the region’s most notable development
may be the ongoing collapse of employer confidence
in Brazil. The country’s Outlook has declined steadily
for over three years, and for the first time since the
Brazil survey was launched in Quarter 4 2009, the
hiring forecast turns negative. Outlooks decline in both
quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year comparisons
in all regions and in every industry sector except
Agriculture. Additionally, second-quarter forecasts in
six of eight industry sectors and in all five regions are
the least optimistic since the survey was launched.
Argentina
60
+6 (+3)%
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Argentina joined the survey in Q1 2007 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
2014 2015
Brazil
+3 (-1)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Brazil joined the survey in Q4 2009
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Canada
2015
+13 (+10)%
60
2014 Seasonally Adjusted Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Colombia
2015
+15 (+15)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Colombia joined the survey in Q4 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
Costa Rica
2015
+11 (+10)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Costa Rica joined the survey in Q3 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
2014 2015
Guatemala
+10 (+11)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Guatemala joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
Mexico
2014 2015
+12 (+11)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Panama
2014 2015
+17 (+18)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Panama joined the survey in Q2 2010
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Peru
2015
+8 (+8)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Peru joined the survey in Q2 2006
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
United States of America
+18 (+16)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific
Over 15,000 employers were interviewed in the Asia
Pacific region. Employers in each of the eight countries
and territories intend to add to their workforces in the
next three months, but the hiring pace is expected to
slow by varying degrees in five countries and territories
in comparison to both Quarter 1 2015 and Quarter 2
2014. The region’s strongest hiring plans are reported
by employers in Taiwan, India and Japan, while those
in Australia and China report the weakest.
Employers in Taiwan report the most optimistic forecast
among the 42 countries and territories that participate
in the survey. Nearly one of every two employers
indicate they will add to their payrolls in the April-June
time frame, resulting in the strongest quarterly forecast
reported since Taiwan joined the survey in Quarter 2
2005. Employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real
Estate sector expect the most dynamic second-quarter
hiring pace. Similarly, the Outlook in the Manufacturing
sector strengthens for the fourth consecutive quarter
and is now the strongest forecast reported by
employers since the survey started.
Hiring intentions in India dip when compared to
the prior three months and last year at this time, but
hiring confidence remains resilient and job seekers
are still expected to benefit from robust labour market
activity. Employer hiring plans are strongest in the
Transportation & Utilities sector. However, even in
the Services sector where employers report India’s
weakest forecast, the hiring pace is expected to
be brisk with nearly four out of 10 employers planning
to add to their payrolls in the next three months.
Despite contrasting views on the strength and
sustainability of Japan’s recovery, employer
confidence remains upbeat. Outlooks remain positive
in each of Japan’s industry sectors and regions with
approximately one out of every three employers
saying they intend to add staff in the months ahead.
Continuing efforts to replace Japan’s aging workforce
in the Construction subsector has resulted in the
strongest Mining & Construction sector Outlook
since Japan launched the survey in Quarter 3 2003.
In China, employer confidence remains cautiously
optimistic with positive Outlooks reported in each
industry sector and region. However there are
indications that the labour market is losing momentum,
and amid signs of a potential real estate crisis and
China’s ongoing shift to a services-based economy,
hiring activity is expected to be more restrained
than at any point since Quarter 3 2009.
New Zealand employers scale back hiring plans by
considerable margins in comparison to three months
ago and last year at this time. Outlooks decline both
quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year in six of seven
industry sectors, highlighted by sharp declines in the
Mining & Construction sector. Modest second-quarter
hiring activity is also expected in Australia where the
Outlook remains relatively stable in comparison to
the prior quarter and last year at this time.
Australia
60
+10 (+8)%
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
China +9 (+8)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
China joined the survey in Q2 2005
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Hong Kong
2014 2015
+15 (+16)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
India 2014 2015
+41 (+38)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
India joined the survey in Q3 2005
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Japan
2015
+29 (+19)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
New Zealand
+19 (+17)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Singapore
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
2015
+14 (+14)%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Taiwan
2014 2015
+46 (+45)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Taiwan joined the survey in Q2 2005
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
International Comparisons – EMEA
More than 20,000 employers in 24 countries in the
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region were
interviewed for the Quarter 2 2015 survey. Employers
in 23 of 24 countries plan to add to their payrolls
during the April-June time frame, with forecasts
improving in 11 countries in a quarter-over-quarter
comparison and declining in eight. Outlooks improve
in 13 countries year-over-year and decline in eight.
The region’s strongest second-quarter forecasts are
reported in Turkey, South Africa, Finland, Greece and
Romania. The weakest – and only negative – forecast
is reported by Italian employers.
The hiring pace in Turkey is expected to remain steady
throughout the April-June time frame. Opportunities
for job seekers will likely remain plentiful, with more
than a quarter of the surveyed employers expecting
to add to payrolls in all industry sectors and regions.
But employers also indicate the hiring pace will
be slower in most industry sectors and regions in
comparison to both the prior quarter and last year
at this time. As a result, the Outlook is actually the
weakest reported by Turkish employers since the
survey started in Quarter 1 2011.
Employers in the UK continue to be cautiously
optimistic in advance of the spring general elections.
Hiring expectations are for the most part little changed
in comparison to both the first-quarter and Quarter 2
2014 forecasts. Employers in all industry sectors
except Agriculture anticipate adding to payrolls in
the months ahead, including Manufacturing sector
employers who report their strongest second-quarter
hiring plans since 2007.
Meanwhile, France’s Outlook remains positive
but softens in comparison to three months ago.
Consumer confidence remains tentative as reflected
in continuing weakness in the Wholesale & Retail
Trade sector. German employers also expect
some workforce gains in the April-June time frame;
forecasts are positive in all sectors and regions,
and the hiring pace in the Transport, Storage
& Communications and the Mining & Quarrying
sectors is expected to be stronger than at any
point since Quarter 4 2012.
Employers in Hungary appear to be growing more
confident and the second-quarter forecast is the most
optimistic reported since Hungary joined the survey
in Quarter 3 2009. Hiring is expected to be particularly
active in the Construction and Manufacturing sectors.
Similarly, the Outlook in Spain climbs for the second
consecutive quarter to its most optimistic level since
Quarter 1 2008. Elsewhere, South Africa’s forecast
is the strongest reported since Quarter 4 2008 with
the upturn fueled by considerable year-over-year
gains in the Construction and Manufacturing sectors.
In contrast, employer confidence in Italy continues
to lag behind the other 41 countries participating in
ManpowerGroup’s research. The country’s Outlook
has now been mired in negative territory for 17
consecutive quarters. However, the percentage of
employers planning no change to their workforce
has grown from the prior quarter, suggesting
a moratorium on downsizing may be in store
for the second quarter.
Austria
+3 (+1)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
Belgium
+3 (+2)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Bulgaria
2015
+14 (+9)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Bulgaria joined the survey in Q1 2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Czech Republic
2015
+4 (+4)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
Czech Republic joined the survey in Q2 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Finland
2014 2015
+11%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Finland joined the survey in Q4 2012
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
France
+1 (+2)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Germany
2014 2015
+6 (+5)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Greece
2014 2015
+14 (+11)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Greece joined the survey in Q2 2008
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Hungary
2014 2015
+13 (+10)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
Ireland
+8 (+6)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Israel
2014 2015
+10%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Israel joined the survey in Q4 2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Italy
2015
-4 (-6)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Netherlands
60
2014 2015
+4 (+4)%
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
Norway
+3 (+3)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Poland
2014 2015
+9 (+8)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Poland joined the survey in Q2 2008
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Romania
2014 2015
+20 (+11)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Romania joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
Slovakia
2014 2015
+8%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Slovakia joined the survey in Q4 2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
Slovenia
+12 (+6)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Slovenia joined the survey in Q1 2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
South Africa
2015
+11 (+13)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
South Africa joined the survey in Q4 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
Spain
2015
+5 (+4)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Sweden
60
2014 2015
+6 (+4)%
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
Switzerland
+6 (+4)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
2013
Turkey
2014 2015
+21 (+16)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
Turkey joined the survey in Q1 2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
United Kingdom
2015
+6 (+6)%
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
About the Survey
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase
or decrease the number of employees in their
workforces during the next quarter. ManpowerGroup’s
comprehensive forecast of employer hiring plans has
been running for more than 50 years and is one of the
most trusted surveys of employment activity in the
world. Various factors underpin the success of the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity
and area of focus.
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
is the most extensive, forward-looking employment
survey in the world, asking employers to forecast
employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other
surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to
report on what occurred in the past.
Independent: The survey is conducted with a
representative sample of employers from throughout
the countries and territories in which it is conducted.
The survey participants are not derived from
ManpowerGroup’s customer base.
Robust: The survey is based on interviews with
over 65,000 public and private employers across
42 countries and territories to measure anticipated
employment trends each quarter. This sample allows
for analysis to be performed across specific sectors
and regions to provide more detailed information.
Focused: For more than five decades the survey has
derived all of its information from a single question:
Methodology
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is
conducted using a validated methodology, in
accordance with the highest standards in market
research. The survey has been structured to be
representative of each national economy. The margin
of error for all national, regional and global data is not
greater than +/- 3.9%.
The margin of error for the Canadian survey is +/- 2.2%.
Throughout this report, we use the term “Net
Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking
the percentage of employers anticipating an increase
in hiring activity and subtracting from this the
percentage of employers expecting to see a decrease
in employment at their location in the next quarter.
The result of this calculation is the Net Employment
Outlook. Net Employment Outlooks for countries and
territories that have accumulated at least 17 quarters
of data are reported in a seasonally adjusted format
unless otherwise stated.
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data
for all participating countries except Finland, Slovakia
and Israel. ManpowerGroup intends to add seasonal
adjustments to the data for these countries in the
future as more historical data is compiled. Note that
in Quarter 2 2008, ManpowerGroup adopted the
TRAMO-SEATS method of seasonal adjustment
for data.
For the Quarter 2 2015 research, all employers
participating in the survey worldwide are asked
the same question, “How do you anticipate total
employment at your location to change in the three
months to the end of June 2015 as compared to
the current quarter?”
About ManpowerGroupTM
ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN) has been the world’s
workforce expert, creating innovative workforce
solutions, for more than 65 years. As workforce
experts, we connect more than 600,000 men and
women to meaningful work across a wide range of
skills and industries every day. Through our
ManpowerGroup family of brands – Manpower®,
Experis™, Right Management® and ManpowerGroup™
Solutions – we help more than 400,000 clients in
80 countries and territories address their critical
talent needs, providing comprehensive solutions
to resource, manage and develop talent. In 2014,
ManpowerGroup was named one of the World’s
Most Ethical Companies for the fourth consecutive
year and one of Fortune’s Most Admired Companies,
confirming our position as the most trusted and
admired brand in the industry. See how
ManpowerGroup makes powering the world of work
humanly possible: www.manpowergroup.ca
About ManpowerGroup Canada
With nearly 40 offices strategically located across the
country, Manpower Canada’s staffing services include
administrative, industrial, skilled trades and contact
centre personnel as well as the assignment of contract
professionals in information technology, scientific, finance,
engineering, telecommunications and other professional
areas under the Experis brand. More information can
be found on the following websites, manpower.ca and
experis.ca
Manpower, 4950 Yonge Street, Suite 700, Toronto, Ontario, M2N 6K1
Tel: 416 225 4455
www.manpower.ca
© 2015, ManpowerGroup. All rights reserved.

Manpower employment Outlook Survey Canada

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