Presentation Slides
Transcription
Presentation Slides
Changing Allocation of Time Martin Brosnan David Levinson 1 Travel Behavior Over Time • Using Metropolitan Council’s TBI 1990-2010 • Studying how travel in the Twin Cities Metro is changing • Implications for engineers and planners 2 TBI 3 Filtering/Categorization Description of constraints 1990 2000 2010 Subtotal Reasons for dropping records Gender not recorded Age >65 or <18 Did not start day at home Did not end day at home Trip duration >120 Travel+activity duration >1440 24509 14671 30286 0 7513 975 385 31 63 0 6279 237 209 17 5 45 11992 700 1820 653 91 Missing 1 or more trips Work-at-home only Total dropped Net total 60 20 9047 15462 266 70 7083 7588 535 698 16534 13752 4 TBI Categories Owen, Schoner, & Levinson, 2013 5 Sample Size Distribution (Sample size in Parenthesis) 1990 (15462) 2000 (7588) 2010 (13752) 0% 25% 50% Male Worker Male Non-Worker 6 75% 100% Female Worker Female Non-Worker 5 and 15-min Bias in Data 2010 Travel Times Histogram 8000 Count 6000 4000 2000 0 0 30 60 Travel Time (min) 7 90 120 Activity Duration Calculation Person ID Origin Destination Trip departure time 1 Home Shop 8:30 8:45 15 30 45 1 Shop Work 9:15 9:30 15 360 420 1 Work Dining 15:30 15:45 15 105 540 1 Dining Shop 17:30 17:40 10 20 570 1 Shop Home 18:00 18:20 10 850 1440 2 Home Work 8:00 8:20 20 8 Trip arrival time Activity Duration Travel time (min) Total 360 Time Spent at Home 1200 Male Workers Female Workers Male Nonworkers Female Nonworkers Minutes 1050 900 Statistical Differences! None 2010 Different from 2000 2010 Different from 2000 & 2010 2000 Different from 1990 All Years 750 600 1990 2000 Year 9 Time Spent at Work 520 Male Female Minutes 505 Statistical Differences! 2010 Different from1990 2010 & 2000 Different from 1990 490 475 460 1990 2000 2010 Year 10 Time Spent Shopping 50 Male Workers Female Workers Male Nonworkers Female Nonworkers Minutes 37.5 25 12.5 0 1990 2000 2010 Year 11 Statistical Differences! 2010 Different from 2000 & 2000 Different from 1990 2010 Different from 2000 & 1990 All Years Time Spent Other 260 Male Workers Female Workers Male Nonworkers Female Nonworkers Minutes 195 130 65 0 1990 2000 2010 Year 12 Statistical Differences! 2010 Different from 2000 & 2000 Different from 1990 All Years Time Spent Traveling 100 Male Workers Female Workers Male Nonworkers Female Nonworkers Minutes 92.5 85 Statistical Differences! All Years 77.5 70 1990 2000 2010 Year 13 Travel Times to Work 40.0 Minutes 36.3 32.5 28.8 25.0 2000 2010 Year Male Female 14 Travel Distance to Work 15.0 Km 13.0 11.0 9.0 7.0 2000 2010 Year Male Female 15 Travel Times to Shopping 15.0 Minutes 11.3 7.5 3.8 0.0 2000 2010 Year Female Worker Female Nonworker Male Worker Male Nonworker 16 Travel Distances to Shopping 10.0 Minutes 8.8 7.5 6.3 5.0 2000 2010 Year Female Worker Female Nonworker Male Worker Male Nonworker 17 Travel Times to Other 40.0 Minutes 32.5 25.0 17.5 10.0 2000 2010 Year Female Worker Female Nonworker Male Worker Male Nonworker 18 Travel Distances to Other 10.0 Minutes 8.8 7.5 6.3 5.0 2000 2010 Year Female Worker Female Nonworker Male Worker Male Nonworker 19 What is Causing Changes • • • • • • Economy Employment Gas Prices Licensing is harder Culture - Millennials don’t like cars ! ! ! 20 Technology • • Work at Home • Easier to communicate not in-person More shopping done online Implications • Fewer reasons to travel = less time devoted to travel • Trip time getting smaller • Fewer VMT 21 Questions? 22