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S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue Peace - Dream or Vision: A Decade Since the Assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin The S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue, operating out of the Netanya Academic College, is a unique institution dedicated to stabilizing regional and global conflicts by combining academic pursuits with on-the-ground efforts. The Center represents a multi-faceted approach to the growing threat of regional and global disputes, by offering solutiondriven initiatives based on practical experience and realistic goals. The Center provides a combination of political, security, academic and economic solutions to conflicts by assembling teams of former politicians, community leaders, security experts, distinguished academics and prominent international business leaders, each of whom offer the expertise in their respective fields. International Management Mikhail Gorbachev, former President of the USSR Co-Chairman Prince Hassan Bin Talal of Jordan Co-Chairman Steering Committee Mr. Trevor Spiro, Co-Chairman Professor Zvi Arad, Founder and President of Netanya Academic College Dr. David Altman, Senior Vice President, Netanya Academic College Deputy Chairman of the Center Professor Joseph Ginat, Vice President of International Relations and Research, Netanya Academic College, Director of the Center Att. Zaki Kamal, Senior Advisor Professor Moshe Maoz, Deputy Director Dr. Reuven Pedatzur, Academic Director Brig.-Gen. (ret.) Baruch Spiegel, Advisor to the Directory Board Ms. Aviva Palter, Head of International Activities & Conference Director Ambassador Yitzchak Mayer, Senior Advisor Mr. Dov Ben Meir, European Affairs Advisor Ambassador Alon Pinkas, North American Advisor Mr. Elie Friedman, Coordinator Conference Book Editor: Aviva Palter Editing of Lectures: Howard Epstein, Elie Friedman Graphic Design: Studio David Harel/Liat Harel Printd In Israel © Copyright–SDC 2007 Board of Governors Frederick W. De Klerk, former President of South Africa Abdurrahman Wahid, former President of Indonesia Mr. Berndt Schmidtbauer, former German Minister of State Mr. James Woolsey, former Central Intelligence Agency Director Mr. Louis Freeh, former FBI Director Mr. Ya’akov Perry, former Head of General Security Service Ambassador Edwin Corr, Director, International Programs Center, University of Oklahoma Dr. Shmuel Bar, Islamic radicalism expert Mr. Ram Caspi, LLB, Caspi and Co Mr. Yehuda Raveh, LLB, Yehuda Raveh & Co. Mr. Yossi Sadeh, advocate Cmdr. (ret.) Arieh Amit, former Jerusalem Police Chief Cmdr .(ret.) Gabi Last, chairman of Delek Group Commissioner (ret.) Assaf Hefetz, former Israel Police Commissioner Mr. Larry King, journalist, CNN Dr. Giora Eliraz, The Harry S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace, Hebrew University, Jerusalem Gen. Mansour Abu-Rashid, Chairman, Amman Center for Peace and Development Maj. Gen. (ret.) David Ivri, National Security Adviser, former Israeli Ambassador to Washington, former Director-General of Israel’s Defense Ministry, former IAF Commander Maj. Gen. (ret.) Yomtov Samya, former General of the Southern Command Maj. Gen. (ret.) Ya’akov Amidror, Vice President of the Ladner Institute Mr. Moshe Ortass, entrepreneur Ambassador Dr Edward J. Perkins, Chair and Executive Director of the International Programs Center, The University of Oklahoma Dr. Lawrence Kennedy, President, Church on the Rock International Prof. Bernard Pinchuk, Vice President and Rector, Netanya Academic College Prof. Gabi Ben-Dor, Director, International Security Research Center, Haifa Prof. Sinai Deutsch, Senior Vice President, Dean of the Law School, Netanya Academic College Prof. Theodor Postol, MIT, USA Dr. Barry A. Feinstein, Senior Lecturer in International Law, School of Law, Netanya Academic College Mr. Shmuel Dankner, Dankner Investments Mr. Yitzhak Teshuva, Delek Co. Mr. Jerry Feldman and Mr. Michael Feldman, GP Strategies, USA. Mr. Paul Ahlstrom, VSpring Capital Mr. R. Cameron Walker, Vice President, Bank of America Investments Mr. Elisha Yanai, President, Motorola Pastor Dr. Gerald Mann, Riverbend Baptist Church in Austin, Texas Mrs. Tovah Felds, award-winning Broadway actress A decade marking the murder of Yitzhak Rabin is one of the most significant times in the life of a nation. Beyond the terrible pain and shock that accompanied the heinous murder, ten years is a space of time to provide a perspective for a nation engaged in a process of profound soul-searching of itself and its surroundings and preoccupied with learning the lessons of this period. When the senior advisor to the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue, Ambassador Yitzhak Mayer came to see me, proposing that we hold a memorial conference to mark this decade, I welcomed his suggestion warmly, and I personally accompanied the preparations for this conference. I considered it a mission which an academic institution in Zion needs to shoulder. I am pleased to have the opportunity to express my pride in the fact that the Netanya Academic College chose to lead the events relating to Rabin’s memorial at an academic, widely-participated conference, attended by former world leaders side by side with senior ministers from Asia, Europe, Africa and the United States – all of them coming here to pay tribute to the late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and express their solidarity with the State of Israel that is struggling against terror from within as well as from the outside. This occurrence was also a salute to all those who genuinely seek to obtain peace in the Middle East – to all those who are not prepared to stand idly by the expectation of a better tomorrow, to all those who are the doers and who take action. Since that conference, the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue has promoted a number of initiatives and ventures prompted by the search for peace, security, and understanding between the peoples of the region. I deem it only right to note the very special part played by the Chairman of the Center at the time, M.K. Danny Yatom, who contributed most generously to the success of the conference, and may blessings and rewards come to all those who were engaged in this work. Prof. Zvi Arad President Netanya Academic College Peace - Dream or Vision: A Decade Since the Assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin The purpose of the conference “Peace – Dream or Vision: A Decade Since the Assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin”, was not to recall the heinous event in which our beloved Prime Minister was murdered by an evildoer; it was rather to engage in serious, incisive soul-searching, to look deep inside ourselves and at the world, and to face the fact that our leader was taken from us – a man with the strength and ability to bring about a historical change in our region. At the conference, participants discussed the void that has been left by Yitzhak Rabin’s absence, as well as possibilities for individuals, groups, and nations to continue along the path he blazed. At the conference, we attempted to understand how a society reacts to such a traumatic event, an earthquake that shattered an entire society. The conference examined several issues, including the world’s attitude towards the peace process as well as its duties towards this process, the question of whether peace is contingent on events or on leaders, and the current direction of the Middle East conflict. On several levels, the conference fulfilled our expectations. The participation of a great number of statesmen and former ministers from the region and from distant locations illustrated how deeply Rabin’s murder affected people all around the world, and how the trauma caused by this horrid event is shared so universally. Despite the widespread identification with Rabin’s path and message, our region has still yet to undergo the creative breakthrough that would make his dream a reality. Instead the situation in our region continues to tragically and rapidly deteriorate. Conference participants analyzed various historical events that bore the stamp of Prime Minister Rabin. Speakers emphasized that an opening had emerged for genuine dialogue between Israel and the Palestinian Authority which, at that time, was ruled by Fatah. Conference participants did not envision the political turnabout that took place in the Palestinian Authority, through which Hamas rose to power. Such developments have proven some of the recommendations offered by conference participants to be mistaken. Above all, the conference was meant to serve as a global dialogue of meditation, analysis, brainstorming and constructive thinking to enable positive developments for the future of our region. Conference participants came to the conclusion that there is a great need for a range of multi-faceted frameworks for maintaining fruitful dialogue, in which the various issues can be discussed openly and freely. As the conference was attended by statesmen from various countries in addition to researchers and academics, conference participants concluded that long-range plans for the region must primarily be entrusted to academics, rather than to governments. Democratically elected officials often refrain from long-term planning and difficult decision-making, due to both practical constraints and the preoccupation with current and pressing issues. Only research institutions can engage in the kind of far-reaching vision that can enlighten governmental decision-makers to confront long-term issues. Academic research must operate in conjunction with past, current and future decision makers and statesmen to ensure that solutions presented have a broad historical perspective and a long-term effect. The academic world refrains from utilizing the slippery language of politics often used by decisionmakers. The innovative and creative thinking of research institutes can significantly contribute to political decision-makers, by providing thorough analysis of various situations. Research institutes have the ability to base their conclusions on a sober and objective investigation of the possibilities of a given situation, always thinking of ways in which conclusions can be implemented realistically through stages. The conference was a type of salute to a unique political figure of valor and vision. Representatives of the various countries who participated in the conference engaged in solemn soul-searching regarding their previous approaches to the conflict, and provided concrete suggestions regarding steps that need to be taken by all sides, including steps required by countries who have attempted to mediate the conflict. The conference proved that in our region there is not enough constructive dialogue, nor enough original thinking free from prejudices and emotions, in attempting to deal with the Middle East conflict. The conference’s concluding discussions presented a certain historic window of opportunity – however, the circumstances at the time were quite different than those confronting us today. The obvious conclusion is that political and social processes are highly dynamic, and that we must always be keenly attuned to these constant changes. Dr. David Altman Senior Vice President Netanya Academic College Prof. Joseph Ginat Vice President of International Relations and Research Director, S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue Netanya Academic College Opening Session Opening Greetings By: Prof. Joseph Ginat Director of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue, Vice President for International Relations and Research, Netanya Academic College Good morning and welcome. In the name of Netanya Academic College and the Strategic Dialogue Center, I am honored to start the conference 'Peace – Dream or Vision: A decade since the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin.' There are so many victims of terror in Israel. There are many victims of terror in Netanya, the city in which we are gathered now. There are victims of terror in the United States, in Europe – Spain, England, France – Egypt and Sinai. There are recent victims of terror in Jordan. We stand together with you, with our neighbors. 6 Pearl is here, whose son was kidnapped, tortured, killed and buried in Pakistan. And another name I have to add is Ohav Sharif, who was a good friend of many of us. At the beginning of the conference, I’d like to send, in the name of all of us, a special greeting for a fast recovery to our beloved President of the College Professor Tzvi Arad. He recently underwent surgery and is now recovering. He sends his greetings to you. He is a great president, a wonderful person, and a world-famous mathematician. The Honorable Mayor of Netanya, Miriam Fierberg-Ikar; Professor Sinai Deutch, Acting President; Dr. Bernard Pinchuk, Rector; Dr. David Altman, Vice President; Member of Knesset Danny Yatom, the director of the Strategic Dialogue Center; Vice President of the Strategic Dialogue Center, Mr. Trevor Spiro; Vice President of the Republic of Congo, Dr. Arthur Z. Ngoma; Prime Minister of Jordan Dr. Abd Al Slalam Al Majali. In the memory of the late Yizhak Rabin and of the victims of terror, I am asking you to rise for a moment of silence. I would like to ask of Dr. Majali and General Mansour to send our greetings to King Abdullah. Thank you. In addition to the victims of terror, I have to add that Judiah I want to thank ministers of various countries, vice-ministers, members of Knesset, members of Parliaments, the members of the board of Netanya Academic College, representatives of the European Union, lecturers, and many other guests. I want to thank all of those who have helped enormous in organizing this conference. In this conference, we have representatives from four different continents – Asia, Africa, Europe, and North America. We thank you all for traveling distances to attend. Today, we have changed the name of our center. From today forward, our center will be known as the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue. Unfortunately, Daniel Abraham could not attend due to a last minute problem, so I am asking Ambassador Dan Kurtzer to say a few words in his name. Greetings from Dan Abraham Greetings from the City of Netanya By: Ambassador Dan Kurtzer, Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel and Egypt By: Miriam Fierberg-Ikar Mayor of Netanya I want to thank Professor Ginat for giving me the opportunity to bring greetings on behalf of Dan Abraham, known to many of you as not only a great friend of Israel and a great friend of peace, but as one who has dedicated so many resources to developing the possibility of dialogue and reconciliation between peoples. It is therefore very appropriate that this center at the Netanya Academic College will now bear his name. I am proud to announce my own close association with this, because just the other day Princeton University appointed me as a professor of contemporary Middle East policy studies. Thus, the natural connection between myself and this institution, and between myself and Israel has been renewed. I would like to begin by welcoming all of those who came from close by and from far way, world leaders and policy makers from Israel and from the world at large. Good morning to all of you. I want to welcome you on behalf of the 190,000 residents of Netanya, the city that has absorbed in the last decade over 63,000 immigrants from the former Soviet Union, Ethiopia, France, and many other countries. Netanya is a successful and vibrant city, which was given the prize this year of being “Israel’s most beautiful city”. Netanya has one of the more beautiful beachfront promenades in the world, and 13 kilometers of golden beaches. I am happy to host you in our city, which has been given several academic prizes, and contains within its jurisdiction four colleges. As one of the initiators of the founding of Netanya Academic College, I am proud of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue – the framework organization of this conference – and proud to open the conference entitled 'Peace: Dream or Vision', intended to commemorate a decade since the assassination of Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, may he rest in peace. Through dialogue, it is essential to remember that we all must live together here, within a complex and fragile mix consisting of differences of opinion. However, the feelings of shock, disgust, and contempt with respect to Rabin’s assassination are common in all of us. Eitan Haber, Rabin's bureau chief, expressed our common feeling clearly during the commemoration at Rabin square, when he said, 'The mourning and pain as a result of the assassination do not belong to a particular political camp. The tears do not have a political coloring and are bitter to all of us.' Netanya: continuing Rabin’s legacy In Netanya, we have chosen to call the developing Eastern part of our city, where we are currently meeting, ‘Rabin Village’, and only meters from here is the elementary school also named after Yitzhak Rabin. The choice to create a center that deals with strategic dialogue towards peace is anchored in the current 7 situation of our city. Netanya, due to its exposed location, reflects in the bitterness of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Only a small strip of land, approximately the length of Broadway Avenue in Manhattan sits between Israeli Netanya and Palestinian Tulkarem. During the Six Day War, the border between the two cities fell. Citizens of Tulkarem, Nablus, and Samaria in general were welcomed by us with good neighborliness. We opened the gates of our city and the gates of our hearts to them but were later struck by horrible terror attacks. A terror stricken city Seven years ago, I was chosen as the first female mayor in Israel. Then, I did not know that I would have to deal with five straight years of terror attacks. Fourteen terror attacks have taken place in Netanya amounting to 62 deaths, among them babies, children on their way to buy candies, entire families sitting at the Passover festive meal. 622 residents of Netanya were injured and will be handicapped for the rest of their lives. In the tormented and wounded city of Netanya, we buried our dead and continued to build the city. We have 8 wept and lamented our loved ones and continued to build bridges and pave roads. We offered consolation to the bereaved families and we established new child care centers and schools. During the city’s most difficult hours, I would encourage residents of the city by telling them that nobody could succeed in silencing the beautiful tune of the city. And despite all of my frustration and pain resulting from the terror attacks, I answered the request of the local government authorities to become an active member of the negotiations committee with the Palestinians and took part in the talks that took place in Greece, as the representative of all mayors in Israel alongside Palestinian mayors. Believing in dialogue I want to believe in dialogue. I want to believe that our dream and vision will become true peace as a result of dialogue. Maybe the doctrine of peace will spring forth from Netanya, and our prayers will be answered and our great desire for peace will be shared by us and our neighbors! The late Yizhak Rabin said in one of his speeches at the White House, 'We all love the same children, shed the same tears, hate the same enemies, and we all pray for reconciliation. Peace has no barriers. 'And this is why, despite all of the tragedy, we will not ask ourselves if the dream will be realized, but when the dream will be realized. The term 'peace' has been flown as a banner for many years. We are constantly pursuing peace, and sometimes it seems like it is truly within reach. However, that real peace, between two nations who have been hostile to one another for generations, slips away time and time again. Peace requires vision. Its realization requires a courageous heart. This type of courage, we have shown of late by conceding parts of our land. This concession was heartwrenching, as difficult as handing over parts of one’s own body. Such a step is worthy of appreciation and demands parallel actions from the other side which have not yet occurred. As the late King Hussein said, 'The children of Abraham from the three great religions must make peace.' Realizing the dream We must pray that the God of our common forefather will give the two nations the required wisdom to overcome the obstacles and difficulties so that we can achieve peace. May the prophesies of the prophets Isaiah and Micah come true: 'And they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruning hooks. Nation shall not lift up sword against nation; neither shall they learn war any more.' I will conclude with a personal note. My son was born at the beginning of the 1970s. The statement, 'When you grow up, there will be no need for you to serve in the army' was very prevalent at the time. And now as my grandson is on his way to kindergarten, he will soon become acquainted with the following words of the great songwriter, Uzi Hitman, who passed away a year ago: 'I was born for peace, may it arrive. I was born for peace, may it come. I was born for peace, may it appear. I want, I want to be part of it already.' I pray with him and with all of us. May we have a very fruitful dialogue, and welcome to all of you. Greetings from the Rabin Family By: Dalia Rabin Chair, Yitzhak Rabin Center I would like to congratulate the Netanya Academic College and the Rabin Center for this mutual project. We have decided to hold this conference to commemorate ten years since my father’s assassination. We will hear, during the two days of this conference, about the relationship between Israel and its neighbors, about the peace process, and about our position ten years ago, versus our position today. Allow me to hand over the podium to my brother. By: Yuval Rabin I would like to relate to two separate incidents. Each one of us has moments that are somehow burned into our memories. The first incident is as follows: It was early 1975, and I had just graduated an army officer’s course as a tank officer. Very late at night, when I’m positioned in Danny Yatom’s battalion, I arrive for my first interview with Danny who is my commander. I knew about Danny’s past at this point and admired and revered him greatly. I distinctly remember the words he told me about the expectations of the young officers who had just come on board, and I still remember clearly the “dos” and “don’ts” that he pointed out. Those were times, just after the 1973 war, of rebuilding Israel’s deterrent power, while at the same time negotiating the first interim agreement with Egypt, the first steps towards the Camp David Accord. 'We will get the credit for dismantling settlements' The second incident I want to speak of is related to the topic of this conference. I think Dalia and I have made it clear that we rarely had long discussions with our father. It was most always a one way lecture even within the privacy of our home – he spoke and we listened and from time to time asked a question. I remember asking my father a question about the upcoming vote on the Camp David Accords and receiving a short and crisp answer. At the time there was a proposal to separate the vote on the accords into two elements: the first regarding the accord itself and second about the idea of pulling out of settlements as a concept. You can imagine who was 9 in favor of separating it into two votes (the Likud party) and who was against (the Labor party). I asked my father, 'Why are you against separating the votes?' His answer was clear: 'They (the Likud party) will receive credit for bringing the peace process, and we (the Labor party) will get the credit for dismantling settlements.' I don’t think it’s a secret that my father was no great fan of the Camp David Accords. He viewed the Accords as a departure from what he envisioned as the way to peace and the road that he had embarked upon during his first term as Prime Minister. I think it’s very relevant to what we’ve seen within the context of Oslo, which, in my opinion – and this in no way is meant to diminish its value - an implementation plan for the Camp David Accords. It was an implementation plan, which, unlike the Camp David Accords, was agreed to by the actual partners who were meant to implement it. Oslo has not been judged fairly I think that Oslo, within the context of an academic discussion, has not been judged and evaluated fairly and in many ways has been labeled a failure for reasons that have not been proven or evaluated 10 correctly. Specifically, I’m referring to the fact that the horrific wave of terror that we’ve experienced from 1994 onwards, with a few lulls, is a direct result of the Oslo Accords. I think that connection requires better clarification, and I do not believe that, had Oslo not been signed, the status quo would have been frozen as it was in the early 1990s, and that we would continue to only experience terror at the pre-Oslo levels. At the same time, we can achieve an accurate comparison of the different levels of opposition to the Oslo Accords versus the opposition to the Disengagement plan that occurred last summer. I believe that the differences are related to the different levels of benefit that the opposition leadership could achieve by opposing the plan, in each instance. To sum up, is peace only a dream? I honestly believe that peace is feasible and with the right leadership on both sides we can achieve it, not within decades, but within the near future. Peace: The Only Utopia on Earth By: Dr. Arthur Z. Ngoma, Vice President of Congo When I speak in front of this distinguished audience, I feel deep inside me the great sense of hope that I have spoken about on many occasions – the hope that we will be able to establish on earth the kingdom of peace. We hope for cooperation between people with morals and values that will replace cooperation between evil forces, which would give people the power to overcome obstacles in unity. We live in a world in which our destiny has become global – we share the same destiny, the same fate. It is time to cultivate the relationship between various peoples and to engage in cooperation that characterized by justice and mutual respect. It is time to understand that the culture of war, hatred, and mistrust causes poverty, fear, and death. It is time to create relationships between peoples through a culture of moral solidarity, cooperation, and peace. It is time to dismantle the true arms – the arms that lie within the human spirit. Military disarmament is what follows spiritual disarmament. Global cooperation as a must We must find a basis for global cooperation according to the mutual interests of the community of nations according to the principles of human rights, first and foremost – the right to live. The time has come to regard differently the lives of the people in the world’s ‘periphery’, in which people seek freedom. These are all ideas that resonate with the context of this conference, which is intended to commemorate 10 years since the assassination of Prime Minister Rabin, who was murdered because he believed that war causes unlimited hatred of the other and that it must be abolished by the hope for peace – a hope that lies inside each and every one of us. Thanks to people like Yitzhak Rabin, humanity has passed through a necessary preliminary stage on the way to peace. The downfall of tyrannies, and the inculcation of human rights and democracy in areas where they were previously foreign, will help us reach a utopia of peace. This is the struggle of people like Yitzhak Rabin. I would like to see my invitation to this wonderful conference as a chance to celebrate the friendship that exists between Israel and my country – the Democratic Republic of Congo. The Challenges of Congo I would like to speak to you about aspects of the crisis that my country faces in its quest for peace. It is difficult to understand the crisis in Congo by analyzing ethnic or tribal issues, but must be understood in political terms. Regarding foreign relations, we have progressed greatly in negotiating with our neighbors, thanks, in no small part, to international assistance. We are striving for a situation in which militias will no longer be able to harm civilians. The loss of the legitimacy of democratic rule is expressed twofold: the problem of the legitimacy of rule and that of conflicts between neighboring countries in which certain countries attempted to strip Congo of its resources or rule over parts of its territory. Today we understand the importance of peace, that all is lost through war, and gained through peace. We are currently negotiating with our neighbors to bring about peace – the only utopia we strive for. We believe that no country in our region could prosper in a state of war. In order to develop our region, we must first establish a foundation of peace. When we see examples of bravery, such as that of Yitzhak Rabin, we can draw certain conclusions, which have also been arrived at by many scholars. For example, just as we are against theft, we must be against war. We must not hate one another. We must not be torn apart by violence and must establish the divine goodness on earth that was awarded to us. Regarding our problems of the internal legitimacy of rule, we are currently engaged in projects meant to rebuild the legitimate rule of democracy. We are approaching elections, which for us is a type of miracle. We are currently in a stage of political transition, and hope that elections will take place at the beginning of the next year. 11 Israeli-Palestinian Peace: A Human Security Approach Rooted in Civil Society By: Michelin Calmy-Rey Foreign Minister of Switzerland An incredible amount of human energy, goodwill and ingenuity has been devoted to the resolution of the Near East conflict, and still there is no end in sight, despite the fact that a settlement would free the world from the burden of the conflict and would infuse the region with positive momentum. I am speaking on behalf of a neutral country, a country with a long tradition of direct democracy through federalism system and of humanitarian causes. Switzerland is the cradle of the Geneva Conventions and of the International Red Cross movement. Its independence and prosperity have always been predicated on its ability to engage in peacemaking, on its ability to settle conflicts, and on respect for the law. Switzerland is a country that places human beings at the centre of its interests and of its politics. We must ask ourselves: How can Switzerland make a contribution to the search for a solution to this 12 almost sixty year-old conflict? Europe, in general, and Switzerland, in particular, have been involved with the Middle-East conflict from the beginning at a higher level any other part of the world. As Europeans, we share a responsibility for this conflict. It concerns our values and our convictions. We know that we will lose our right to advocate these values and convictions elsewhere if we fail to ensure that they are respected here. Peace: accepting the previously unacceptable Making peace means flying in the face of one's convictions, accepting that which was previously unacceptable, and trusting that the enemy's wish for peace is as great as one's own. This is extremely difficult, making 'well-meaning' pressure from third parties necessary. The realization for the need to take a chance on peace comes against a background of death, devastation and great suffering. Often peace becomes a possibility only when the costs of war are horrible enough to make the price of peace appear bearable. Yitzhak Rabin was familiar with the human costs of war and violence. He passed through the necessary phases to be ready for peace and he was prepared to face the challenge when the opportunity arose. For this he will always deserve our admiration. Today, we know the parameters for the vision of a just and lasting peace: • Israel has an inalienable right to exist within secure borders – as it defines itself. • The Palestinian people has the right to self-determination and therefore to a viable state. • The land-for-peace principle and the two-state solution are the basis for a solution. • The wish for two states also implies that there are clear limits to the right of return. • The settlements in occupied territory are contrary to international law. Thus, they must be dissolved. Where this is not possible, the loss must be compensated by an equivalent land swap. Peace as the mission of each nation’s citizens As fundamental as they are, these elements look rather abstract, unless one constantly bears in mind the fate of the citizen populations on both sides. Any proposal for a settlement to the conflict can only have a chance of success if the above principals enjoy significant popular support. Each side's population will only commit itself to a peace proposal if peace provides a horizon for a lasting improvement to its security, economic, and welfare situation. Peace can only be sought on behalf of each nation's citizens, and cannot be achieved without them. Yitzhak Rabin's name is inseparable from that of the Oslo Process. He displayed great courage in taking this risk, and paid for his courage with his life. The credit that he deserves for this is enormous, and we owe him lasting gratitude and respect. Thanks to the Oslo process, the very idea of peace has become conceivable. Thanks to Oslo, the Palestinian people saw the emergence of a hope that they would one day be able to satisfy their national aspirations. Thanks to Oslo, Palestinian recognition of the State of Israel became possible. Nevertheless, today, it appears that the Oslo process has failed. Why has it failed? The Failure of the Oslo process I see two reasons for this. The first is that the process operated by trial and error, without the formulation of a clear final goal. Perhaps at the initial stages of the process, hearts and minds were not yet ready for a clearly defined final goal; perhaps it was necessary to keep all the options open. The result of this vagueness is the second reason for Oslo's failure: it was not possible to obtain the indispensable pressure from citizens on each side, which could have forced political authorities on each side to continue the process, even if they were hesitant, or even opposed to pursuing the path initiated by Yitzhak Rabin, his friends and his partners. This failure convinced me that an historical conflict, such as the Israeli-Palestinian one, can only be settled if public opinion on both sides is prepared for the inevitable concessions by means of a democratic debate, and only if the decision-makers, thanks to such a public discussion, know how far they can go. This conviction was one of the factors which prompted me in the spring of 2003 to give my staff the go-ahead to provide logistical support for the civil society project that later became known as the Geneva Initiative. Like Prime Minister Rabin, the general public has to go through a process; it has to prepare itself for peace. Successful negotiations presuppose an atmosphere of hope and of growing trust. This means that the public needs to be able to form a picture of the result towards which the process is heading – one of the reasons that Geneva Initiative has been so essential. The role of civil society I strongly believe in the role of civil society in such processes, both in the solution-finding and implementation phases. Civil society almost by definition pursues a bottom-up approach - it springs from the people and has an awareness of the real fears and worries of the general population. The vision of two states living sideby-side in peace will only be realized when decision-makers recognize that peace cannot be the perpetuation of the defeat of one of the parties. Peace must be the starting point for justice and reconciliation – and this can ultimately be achieved only through negotiations. In the search for peace, the end cannot be separated from the means. From our viewpoint, the persistence of violence on the ground, which is sometimes overt and sometimes contained, is one of the main obstacles to the resumption of a dialogue capable of leading to real negotiations. The main focus of our concerns must be the everyday living situation of the population, that is, their human security. 13 The human security approach The human security approach – which has gained increasing attention since the mid-1990s as a framework for understanding the broader factors that contribute to peace and security – addresses non-traditional threats to people’s security related to economic, food, health, and environmental factors, as well as issues such as terrorism, organized crime and gender-based violence. Human security is about recognizing the importance of the security needs of citizens, in addition to those of states; it means reducing human vulnerabilities and taking corrective action when preventive measures fail. The human security approach focuses on individuals' security needs and aims at developing integrated approaches to address them. As the depositary state of the Geneva Convention, Switzerland has developed particular skills in promoting human security. In the case of the quest for peace in the Near East, this approach involves full respect for international humanitarian law. We consider this the first indispensable step towards the resumption of a constructive dialogue. 14 It is essential that habituation to the violence prevalent on the ground ends. Switzerland is continuing its initiatives that have taken different forms over the years to ensure that, in its work to protect the interests of the civilian population, the law should prevail. Any progress in this area will be an appropriate means of re-establishing trust. at the civil society level that could be used for a model for the political level. As part of the search for popular support and for the participation of civil society in the battle for peace, I would like to mention another principle that is no less essential: every step towards the final goal should mean a step forward in terms of the daily life of the populations. The importance of confidencebuilding measures The implications of the Gaza withdrawal The recent diplomatic conference convened by Switzerland, which discussed the recognition of an additional emblem – the Magen David - to the Geneva Convention is an example of the kind of confidencebuilding measures that will help reestablish trust. Israel's withdrawal from Gaza was a unilateral act. Provided that it proves successful in the long term, and provided that it is regarded as a stage and not as an end in itself, it could lead to the resumption of the peace process. However, the human security challenges that result from the disengagement are colossal. The social and economic situation in the Gaza Strip today is catastrophic. We could even go as far as to claim that it is on the brink of social collapse. According to the World Bank, unemployment exceeds 46%, and the poverty level has risen to 68%. The number of persons living below the poverty line has more than doubled over the past four years. 25% of Gazans live in deep or 'absolute' poverty and are unable to feed themselves adequately, even with food aid. Our objective not only corresponds to the legitimate interests of Magen David Adom, but also to the interests of the entire international community in maintaining the unity and the universality of the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement. At the same time, our efforts to help achieve a cooperative agreement between the Israeli and the Palestinian emergency aid societies have helped bring the two sides together in a joint enterprise, setting an example of rapprochement Currently, more than 1.3 million individuals live in the 365 squarekilometre Gaza Strip. And while projections estimate that the population will reach almost 1.5 million by 2010, no particular plans have been made to respond to the educational, health and employment needs of the population. Such an increase would require, only to maintain the current low levels, the establishment of an additional 730 classrooms and 130 primary health centres by the year 2010. Given the wide discrepancy observed today between supply and demand for social, educational, health and employment provision, these figures are bound to increase. Thus, ensuring that the disengagement from Gaza will have a positive outcome is a tremendous humanitarian and social challenge. A very significant amount of humanitarian assistance will have to be provided to ensure the viability of the Gaza Strip before economic activity and growth can translate into tangible benefits for the population. The hope that the Gaza withdrawal will create the potential for positive developments in the area is still intact. However, if the negative tendency of recent weeks continues, there is a danger that the positive impetus will evaporate and the potential will not be reached. Conditions for progress President Abbas has spoken in favour of non-violence and was elected on the basis of this message. His approach needs to bear fruit quickly. The international community is willing to play its part; however, these efforts will lead nowhere unless the parties make all efforts to maintain the necessary setting for progress. Terror attacks are disastrous for such efforts. Regarding the expansion of West Bank settlements – this process does not instil a sense of readiness for peace. live here. As I said, I am convinced that citizens of both nations must be involved in the debate regarding a just solution. It is equally important, however, to ensure that people can live in dignity. Otherwise, they will not be able to see the purpose of peace. Switzerland has set itself the task of raising international awareness of the security needs of residents of the Gaza Strip. Before and during the withdrawal, Switzerland insisted on the need to address the issue of humanitarian aid reaching the Gaza Strip. Switzerland is also dedicated to the promotion of human security in the Gaza Strip.I believe that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict can be solved. Israel exists and so do the Palestinians. Neither will disappear from this area. As long as there is no peace, the alternative is only violence and destruction. We cannot allow this to happen to the people who 15 The Required Vision for 'Making Peace' support. We must show the same courage as Rabin displayed. By: Laila Freivalds Minister of Foreign Affairs, Denmark The Road Map – today’s only framework Yitzhak Rabin was a man with a military past, a warrior schooled in battle. But we remember him as statesman and peacemaker. Rabin demonstrated political courage when he engaged with the Palestinians in the quest for peace. He knew that he would face criticism. He knew that peace would not be achieved overnight. First he had to convince skeptics that peace was possible and thereafter try to make it happen. Almost 15 years later, we recognize that the recent Israeli disengagement from Gaza was a bold and courageous move. I realize that the implementation of the Disengagement Plan was difficult for the Government and painful for Israeli society. But the withdrawal creates a solid basis for future efforts. We are obliged to move towards lasting peace – if we are to honor Yitzhak Rabin’s legacy. This requires further bold moves from the parties, and collective, international 16 Today, the central framework for progress is the Road Map, a document with many similarities with the Oslo accords. It is a document with built-in phases. And like the accords, the Roadmap is based solidly on International Law. The principle of land for peace is another basic element of the Roadmap. Although its original timeline has passed, its vision and substance remains indisputable. The Road Map was designed as a performance-based document. The parties are expected to perform their obligations in parallel. This principle is important from a confidence building perspective. In reality, we have seen few examples of parallel performance. Here, there is certainly room for improvement. Unilateral moves are difficult in a complex political situation. The parallel approach of the Roadmap is more attractive and takes care of this difficulty. To demand that the other party acts first is unlikely to lead to progress. Some actions prescribed by the Roadmap have been implemented. A fair number could be implemented in the near future, given a political will to do so. We need to keep working on all tracks: building security as well as confidence, and finding just and viable solutions for the two societies. There is a huge need for political courage and statesmanship. Sweden stands ready to assist. Israel’s security – a central aspect of Rabin’s efforts The security of Israel and its citizens was central to Rabin’s peace efforts. The same goes for the Government of Israel today. It is any government’s duty to protect its citizens. Israel has experienced numerous terrorist attacks and direct threats to its existence. Barely two weeks ago, we were all outraged by the remarks by the President of Iran. Let me be clear on the point of security. The Swedish government supports security measures undertaken by Israel. But they have to be in accordance with international law; they must not obstruct or threaten peace efforts. We know that only when international law and peace efforts are respected, will sustained security be obtained for all. The Settlements – obstacles to peace Now allow me a few words on the settlements. Their construction contravenes International Law. They are situated on occupied land, they cannot be justified from the point of view of military security and they, of course, don’t contribute to the interests of the local population, the Palestinians. And there are other dimensions to the settlements. One regards the security of the settlers themselves. They are exposed to unnecessary dangers and their personal security is threatened by the sheer fact that their houses are built on land that is occupied. International Law does not allow security measures to protect civilian constructions of this kind on occupied territory. In addition to this, the withdrawal from Gaza has shown us the personal tragedies connected with dismantlement of these structures. People have lived their lives believing that they and their children can plan for the future in their communities. They had forgotten that their houses were built on land that belongs to someone else. All this makes it even more difficult to take the steps that are unavoidable if peace is to be reached, that is, to give up the settlements on occupied territories. This is another reason why no measures that risk prejudging a final status agreement should be taken on the ground. In this context, we are particularly worried by developments in and around Jerusalem. The obligations of the Palestinian Authority The Palestinian Authority must act forcefully and with determination to establish control in Gaza, particularly in the domain of security. The Palestinian Authority must create law and order for its population. It will need the support of the international community to accomplish this. Sweden and the EU provide substantial assistance through the EU COPPS, and through contributions to projects and other efforts initiated by Quartet Special Envoy, Mr Wolfensohn. Equally important is that Israel supports the Palestinian Authority by making social and economic progress possible. Improved living conditions in Gaza and the West Bank will also benefit the political environment. It will encourage and strengthen those who seek cooperation and dialogue rather than violence and confrontation. A vision of peace The long cherished dream of a vast majority of Israelis and Palestinians is to live a normal life in peace and security. For Sweden, a peaceful solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has long been a central foreign policy priority. Our engagement springs from the firm conviction that only a negotiated two-state solution, based on International Law, will be lasting. Only such a solution will destroy the breeding ground for terrorists and create long-term security, for Palestinians and Israelis alike. In an address to the Knesset in 1992, Prime Minister Rabin argued that the time had come to do away with the concept of a 'peace process'. From now on, he said, we must speak not of a 'process' but of 'making peace'. Thirteen years later, making peace is long overdue. Making peace requires the concerted efforts of all of us, Palestinians and Israelis, the international community. Yitzhak Rabin knew that making peace is possible. 17 Turkey’s Ability to Assist Regional Water Development By: Dr. Mehmed Himi-Blair, Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, Turkey On behalf of my government and people, I would like to pay tribute to the great Israeli statesman, Yitzhak Rabin, for whom this conference is being held. It is my honor to commemorate assassination of the great Rabin, who was murdered by the enemies of peace. Prime Minister Rabin played the historic role of rendering the dream of peace an objective goal in the Middle East. He demonstrated, through his courage, that peace is really within reach if one wants it enough. In the ten years that have passed since we lost Rabin, we have witnessed ups and downs in the peace process. Unfortunately, ultimate peace has evaded us. However, we have not lost hope. The Israeli disengagement from Gaza has provided a new window of opportunity for the revitalization of the peace process within the framework of the Road Map. It is our hope that the two sides will take the road towards peace, no matter what obstacles stand in their way. This is 18 what the legacy of Rabin demands from us. Water: essential for regional stability I would like to talk about the issue of water in the Middle East, as it relates to peace efforts. Recently, water resource issues have occupied international and regional organizations more than ever. The reason is well known: water is essential to socio-economic development and to life itself. Hundreds of millions of people do not have access to safe drinking water and sanitation. Throughout most of human history, fresh water resources have been adequate to serve human needs, while maintaining the integrity and biological diversity of the earth’s ecosystems. As a result of population growth, rapid urbanization, and industrialization, water has become less available where it is most needed. Turkey’s water resources and projects Let me elaborate on Turkey’s water resources. Turkey is not a waterrich country. It contains almost 200 billion cubic meters of fresh water per year, out of which 110 billion cubic meters is available for human consumption. Furthermore, most of Turkey’s territory is situation in a semi-arid region. Precipitation is limited to 5 or 6 months per year. The need to store water during the wet season for use throughout the year is obvious. We have focused our activities on building several reservoirs over the last number of years, not only for hydro-powered energy use, but also for irrigation, drinking, and household use. Another particularity of Turkey is its wealth of trans-boundary rivers, which constitute 40% of Turkey’s water potential. The Tigris and Euphrates rivers, the largest of Turkey’s rivers, form a single basin as they feed the Persian Gulf. Turkey has many other transboundary rivers, a Turkey’s transboundary water policy is aimed to efficiently utilize and share the benefits of trans-boundary water resources, and create conditions for cooperation with other states. Contrary to certain perceptions that present trans-boundary water as a source of conflict, we have always utilized trans-boundary water as a source of cooperation with our neighbors. Turkey expects the same approach from her neighbors, since it is clear. Turkey is keen to use its transboundary waters in an equitable, effective and optimal manner. In order to achieve this, neighboring states ought to adopt a comprehensive method to water utilization. Such an approach requires full participation of neighboring states in discussions on trans-border water allocation. Efficient water allocation required a detailed exchanged of information between states. Allow me to say a few words about CAP (Ceyhan Aslantas Project). Turkey has developed one of the world’s largest sustainable development projects, CAP, at the basin of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers. This project allows us to utilize the water resources of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers and the land resources of South-Eastern Turkey. CAP includes 22 high dams and 19 hydro-powered plants. These, when completed, will generate 27 billion kilo-watts of electricity per annum and irrigate 1.7 million hectares of farm land. The integrated program covers all the development related sectors including agriculture, industry, transportation, health care, infrastructure, education, tourism and environment, coming to a total cost of $32 billion, $17 billion of which has already been invested. The scarcity of water in the Middle East Having briefly summarized Turkey’s water policy and projects, let me return to the issues of water in the Middle East. The Middle East is historically a water suppressed region. It has been reported that, together with central Asia, China and parts of central Africa, it will face a serious water shortage in the decades to come. The Jordan River basin is likely to suffer, with a host of social, political and economic implications. Yitzhak Rabin said, “If we solve every problem in the Middle East, but we don’t satisfactorily solve the water problem, our region will explode. Peace will not be possible.” I agree that the issue of water in the region is complex, political, and therefore will remain with us for years. However, despite the complex nature of the problem and conflicting interests, I do believe that the countries in the region will, in the end, opt to use water as a tool for cooperation, rather than as a source of conflict. The states of the region will hopefully come to understand that cooperation is imperative for the improvement of the quality of life of their people, the social economic development, and above all, much needed regional stability. The Israeli-Palestinian Second International Water Conference was held in Anatalya, Turkey, last October. During the conference, which I had the pleasure of attending, it was generally agreed that the problem of water resources in Jordan River basin cannot be resolved without water transfer from neighboring regions. In other words, desolation of local resources without water transfer was not seen as a sustainable solution. In terms of water transfer solutions, Turkey seems to be the only regional country in which fresh water is available and can be transported either by pipelines or sea. Turkey is planning to transport water to the region by using the unusable waters of its rivers that feed into the Mediterranean. Water transport projects One of the projects that Turkey is operating to supply fresh water is the Manavgat water supply project. Turkey has built a water treatment plant and a loading facility. These facilities are capable of exporting 180 cubic meters of water per annum. An inter-governmental agreement between Turkey and Israel was signed on March 4, 2004 concerning Israel’s purchase of treated water for a period of 12 years. The water will be shipped to Israel by tankers. A 19 provision of 50 million cubic meters of water for Israel per annum and the potential to transfer more will hopefully ease the pressure on the limited resources of the Jordan River basin. I would like to point out that through this project, we can supply water to other Middle Eastern countries, if they so desire. Another Turkish project is the Peace pipeline project, which seeks to transport water by pipeline to the Middle East from the Seyhan and the Jeyhan Rivers. According to projections, an annual amount of 2.2 billion cubic meters of fresh water will be transferred to the region. Another project that has been discussed recently is the idea of building a pipeline in the sea itself to provide water for Israeli coastal cities. In short, we believe that Turkey has the capacity to contribute to an environment that would promote social and economic development of the people of the Middle East, through joint water projects. We are also of the opinion that water supply issues could create interdependency between the countries of the region that would eventually enhance economic and commercial relations that are in the interest of all. 20 To conclude, it is my hope that the countries of the region with show the political will to engage in cooperation and utilize effectively and share the benefits of water resources that are in the interest of their people’s socioeconomic development, peace and regional stability. Turkey will contribute her part to this vital cause. The Road Map as the Continuation of Rabin's Vision By: Dr. Per Stig Moeller Minister of Foreign Affairs, Denmark Ten years after the horrific act, the assassination of the late Prime Minister of Israel Yitzhak Rabin, we are gathered in his memory. He was one of the greatest leaders of Israel – ever. For my generation, Rabin will always be remembered as an outstanding personality of great political stature, a true statesman. The transformation from being a soldier of war, to becoming a statesman of peace demands courage, commitment and ambition. Rabin made a strong commitment to peace and made difficult and courageous decisions in this search for peace – decisions that no other Israeli Prime Minister before him dared to make. For that he received a Nobel Peace Prize and for that he paid with his life. 'Peace will triumph over all of its enemies because the eternity is greater for us all.' With these words, Rabin reminded us of the eternal truth of this conflict. Unfortunately, the enemies have overtaken the dreamer in the last decade. Ladies and gentlemen, a decade has passed since the assassination of Rabin. We have seen the Olso process collapse, and we have seen the outbreak of a second Intifada. We have seen hope be replaced by anger and mistrust. We have witnessed more violence, more terror and more suffering of innocent Israelis and Palestinians. Upon this bleak background, I nevertheless allow myself to be hopeful and cautiously optimistic. Brave decisions have been taken by both sides of the conflict. Now we are at a crossroads, and the momentum has emerged that will eventually lead to peace if there is the necessary will and courage on both sides. Reasons for optimism I base my optimism on the following observations: Never before has a solution to the conflict been clearer, more recognized, and more widely accepted than today: two independent democratic states living side by side in peace and security and within internationally recognized borders. That is the language of the Road Map for Peace, signed by both parties and endorsed by the Security Council. Rabin never spoke directly in favor of a Palestinian state. Today the Israeli government recognizes the goal of a Palestinian state. Because now there is a Palestinian partner with whom to talk - a Palestinian President devoted to peace, who has renounced the use of violence. President Abbas is faced with huge challenges: governing the Palestinian Authority, enforcing law and order, and combating terror. When I met President Abbas last Saturday, he confirmed that he would stand up to these challenges, that he would confront the terrorist infrastructure. To my mind, there is no doubt that President Abbas deserves all the support that the international community and Israel can give. Abbas is the best Palestinian partner that Israel has ever had, and perhaps the best that Israel will ever get. Last but certainly not least, the courageous step by your Prime Minister Sharon to withdraw all settlements from Gaza and all settlements from the West Bank has set a new agenda on the road to peace. It was a bold and significant step. I dare say that this step was in the spirit of the late Prime Minister Rabin. The withdrawal shows that the way forward is not more settlements, but less. It gives the Palestinians hope that one day the 21 occupation will end, a pre-requisite for the two-state solution. It gives the Palestinians the responsibility of how to make Gaza a success. The Road Map – a light at the end of the tunnel Ladies and Gentlemen, the window of opportunity that was created is still open, but time is running out. It is urgent to ensure a political process based on the Road Map to Peace the only plan accepted by both parties and with strong international backing. When we drafted the Road Map to Peace plan, we tried to avoid some of the mistakes made in the Oslo Agreement. Oslo provided the parties with a process, a tunnel, but, alas, a tunnel without a light at the end. The Road Map is, as in the words of former Prime Minister Shimon Peres, “a light,” a light, maybe, at the end of the tunnel. It is a plan with a specific set of steps that the parties would have to take to move forward. I call on both sides – lasting progress on the way to peace can only be achieved within the framework of the Road Map. In the short term, the focus should be on meeting the parallel obligations of the first phase of the Road Map. 22 It means that the Palestinians must focus on security and disarming terror capabilities and infrastructure. Simultaneously, the Israelis must take all steps to normalize Palestinian life, freeze all settlement activities including natural growth, and dismantle illegal outposts. The Road Map is an ambitious plan, and the parties have to take greater steps to implement it. I’m aware that these are difficult steps. I’m convinced that the vast majority of Israelis seek peace with the Palestinians, and that the vast majority of Palestinians do not seek the destruction of Israel, only the end of the occupation. The dreams of both sides can be reconciled with the dreams of the other. But peace can only be achieved if we can prevent extremists from setting the agenda. Extremists should not be allowed to hold the peoples hostage or be allowed to provoke a cycle of violence and war. Terrorists must not be allowed to de-rail the peace train on the way through its tunnel because that is exactly what they want to achieve. Prime Minister Rabin articulated this precisely, when he said, 'We will work for peace as if there is no terrorism, and we will fight terrorism as if there is no peace.' Opening Comments on Rabin's Legacy By: Maj. Gen. (ret.) Danny Yatom, Member of Knesset Chairman of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue I would like first to express my deep to the President of Netanya Academic College, Professor Arad, and to wish him a quick recovery. Ten years have gone by since Rabin, the man, the statesman, and the leader, was with us. Today we feel that his legacy lives on and is of greater relevance than ever to our lives in Israel and to the Middle East as a whole. Ten years have elapsed since those three pistol shots were fired into his back to wipe out his vision of peace, and since then, those shots have resounded over and over again. A second Intifada, terror attacks, targeted killing, booby-trapped routes, human fatalities, wounded, an ocean of pain, and rivers of blood – ours and the Palestinians as well – have replaced the reality of peace that could have prevailed. This would have been a reality of cooperation, development, prosperity, and a life our tranquility for us and for them. Ten years of grief and victims have had to pass in order that the leaders of this region have come to realize that power, violence, and war will never succeed in reaching what Rabin wanted to achieve on the road of peace. I had the great privilege of standing next to Yitzhak Rabin during those decisive emotional moments. Rabin underwent a process, in which he, the military man, Mr. Security, the general, whose life, since his youth, had been one long preparation for the battlefield, realized that the bloody conflict could not be ended through force. The courage displayed by him in the battlefield would finally make way for the bravery to make changes and choose a new way. Rabin: the ultimate patriot 'I fought so long as there was no other way,' Rabin said. He explained that once he reached the conclusion that we had partners for dialogue, the way of negotiations and peace became far more preferable than the way of war. I would like to warn us all against becoming confused here. Not for a single moment did Rabin stop being an Israeli patriot filled with faith and belief in the importance of the existence, security, and endurance of the state of Israel. And as a true leader, he saw peace as a strategic objective that would strengthen the county’s security. Rabin was sure that a strong and powerful army was a primary condition for Israel’s existence in the Middle East. On the other hand, he also realized that an eager and vital county that exists in the second millennium cannot be satisfied with its existence based mainly on its military might. Changing national priorities He said, 'let’s give a chance to peace' and took calculated risks. He perceived Israel’s human resources and its ability to develop and prosper as the future of this country. He knew that our human resources could not fulfill their potential in a region swept by war and disasters. When Rabin spoke of changing the national priorities, he was referring to the transfer of budgets for education, infrastructure, research and development. Indeed, as was his way, he did not merely speak – he acted. Instead of establishing settlements in distant areas, he invested a network of roads that would shorten the way from the periphery to central Israel. He provided a computer for every child in the development towns. 23 He added hundreds of study hours and quality teachers, to raise the level of education to a level previously unheard of previously or since.He reduced the divide between Jews and Arabs. He created job opportunities, reduced unemployment, build housing development, absorbed the continuous stream of immigrants who desired to come and live in Israel. Rabin transformed Israel into an esteemed and respected country to which investors, statesmen, and men of vision from all over the world wanted to make their mark. Rabin did all this by staying faithful to the concept that peace must be made, that all terror must cease, and that terror must be fought as though no peace process existed. Rabin never abandoned the people’s security at the expense of efforts towards peace. It was Rabin’s wish to bring a better future for Israelis, Jordanians, Syrians, Palestinians, and all inhabitants of the region who have never lived a year of tranquility in their lives. But to our regret, it has taken the leaders of this region 10 years of bloodshed and pain to understand these things, and to begin doing exactly what Rabin had spoken of. It took the Israeli government 10 years to decide to leave the territory of Gaza. It took 10 years for the Palestinian 24 leadership to understand that terror does not serve the Palestinian cause, but the opposite, and that no goal justifies terror. Peace as a gift to our children Rabin was not just a dream cherished by the Israeli people. General Rabin understood what Rabin the civilian understood full well – peace is a closing of gaps by investing in education and economy. Peace means living as other countries live in a world that has become a global village. Peace is a solution to issues of water and environment. Peace is open borders and diplomatic ties. Peace is commerce without boycotts and blossoming tourism. The most important aspect of peace is that a mother raises their children with a smile instead of burying them long before their time. Rabin never lost sight of the next generation. 'What will I leave my children?' he asked, when he addressed the U.S. congress in Washington, in July 1994. And he answered, 'I have no property, no assets. I have only dreams to bequeath the generation that comes after me - a better world that is more at peace, a world where life is good. That is not too much to ask,' he said. This was and remains Yizhak Rabin’s legacy. Rabin was a leader, a symbol and a friend in our common path. I too was shaped from the battlefield in my youth. And in time, I exchanged my duties for duties of sitting around a negotiating table with Jordanians, Palestinians, and Syrians. I have fought in both sectors and I can tell you that the negotiating table is far more preferable to the battlefield. The peace agenda must replace the agenda of war. One entails prosperity and welfare and the other entails nothing but pain and despair. Both we and our neighbors have paid the price of war. Now the time has come for the fruits of peace. Rabin taught me that peace is no mere dream or vision. It is reality. Many of us today are in our fifties or sixties. It is our duty to turn this dream into a reality for the generations to come, and not make due with a vision only. Like Rabin, we must fight for it. You only need one for war, but you need two for peace. In war you lose, even when you triumph. In peace there are only winners. Paving The Way: Yitzhak Rabin and the Palestinian Issue The transition from the Jordanian to the Palestinian option Privatizing Peace: Turning Aid into Investment By: Shimon Peres Vice Prime Minister and Former Prime Minister With elections approaching both for the Israeli and Palestinian people, I was to make a prediction about our near future: Israeli elections will take place in April, and it will take approximately 3-4 months to put together a coalition. I can assure you that no single party will win a majority of the Knesset seats. There will either be a majority that will be left-leaning or right leaning, or alternatively, a national unity government. Until these elections, politicians will not make any major decisions, but instead make major speeches. The Palestinians will undergo similar processes with respect to their elections. Important steps during the election period I will start by saying that I'm very glad that an agreement was reached regarding the Gaza crossings. The crossings agreement is an essential aspect of us being able to claim that we are truly out of Gaza. Gaza should 26 not and cannot become a prison or a soup kitchen for the impoverished. A successful economy must enjoy the free flow of goods and people. It is essential to understand that an improvement of the quality of life in Gaza will translate into improved possibilities for peace. Therefore, it is in Israel's interest to enable Gaza to flourish rather than stumble. I would like to see a few things take place until the election period on each side is complete. The first is the major economic aid that the Palestinians must receive from the G8. Mr. Wolfensohn presented a plan for $3 billion per year for the next three years. The Palestinians cannot build the infrastructure required for true statehood without receiving a massive contribution by the G8. In the next 6 months, there is a vital need that this aid is received to ensure this contribution to address immediate Palestinian needs. The second is that Israel keep its promises regarding dismantling the illegal settlement outposts in the West Bank and refraining from building new settlements or building additional neighborhoods in existing settlements. We made these promises – we must keep them. The third development I'd like to see is that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and President Abu Mazen renew talks. Even if they can't come to any agreements, it is important that they meet and negotiate. The Israeli policy must be to both fight terror and negotiate peace simultaneously. These two elements do not contradict one another – they complement one another. The nature of the conflict: modernity versus radical Islam During our election period, a period of diplomatic inactivity, there is one thing that the international community can do – recognize the nature of the present conflict. The conflict is no longer a conflict that exists between Israelis and Palestinians on a broad level. The conflict has broken down into a conflict between terror and anti-terror – or even more specifically, a conflict between elements of the Muslim world that refuse to enter the modern age and fear modernity as the enemy of Islam, and the Western world itself. The most extreme current example is Iran, whose regime perceives all that is modern as a threat. On the other hand, Turkey has shown that there is no necessary contradiction between faith and modernity. Dependence on global understandings I want to address an important issue. Middle East peace is in many ways dependent on understandings being reached by the four members of the Quartet; regional conflict cannot be solved if global conflict exists. On the other hand, agreement between these parties on significant issues can help us face certain dangers that are ahead of us. I don't see a solution to the Iran issue without the major players in the international arena coming to joint understandings on how to deal with the threat. The international community must take into account that if the Iranians are allowed to develop a nuclear bomb, other Middle Eastern countries will follow. Then we will have a region fraught with nuclear problems, in addition to our conventional problems. When it comes to grand schemes for regional peace, Europe, the U.S., Russia, and the UN must all take leading roles. Peace must become global, just as the economy has become global. The global economy as a solution In my opinion, this problem must be confronted economically rather than politically. You cannot convince societies to enter the modern age by speeches or by preaching – you have to change the structure of the society. Economic solutions are boundless because economics exists beyond the borders between states – the economy is global. Unless we allow the global, modern economy to enter the Middle East, we will be a bitter, belligerent, hopeless region. I believe that the international community should strive to provide for us, the Palestinians, and the region as a whole, the following: 1. Help us enter the modern economy and compete within it. 2. Provide us with security guarantees. 3. Enable the conflict bypass arcane structures by including us in a global community. I believe that Europe is the key to helping us enter this economy, in part, due to its geographic proximity to the Middle East. Europe displayed a key role in helping pass the agreement on the Gaza crossings, and I think it must have a broader role in other economic projects such as the Gaza seaport, airport, environmental projects and others. Privatizing peace In a sense, we have to privatize peace in which private, global businesses take leading roles in advancing peace. When it comes to international aid, governments have budgets, which include a number of long processes and red tape, while businesses have money. In addition, nowadays, international businesses are more concerned with global political situations than are national governments. Companies with branches all over the world have a vested interest in establishing peace in growing markets. The Arab world is a very large, growing market. If global companies enter the Arab world, the Arab standard of living will develop and the market will become more valuable. The question of how global businesses should enter the Arab world is an essential issue. For a starter, companies must build industrial areas. The first of these attempts was the QIZ (Qualified Industrial Zone) initiative in Irbid, Jordan, which has been highly successful. It began 6 years ago with $25 billion in exports to America. This year they exported $60 billion, and employ 60,000 people. These zones involve the joint participation of the U.S. and Israel. The project's 27 success has resulted in Egypt signing on for 3 new similar zones. We have to initiate similar projects in Gaza and the West Bank. Another issue, regarding international aid, is to give funds to business leaders, as opposed to governments, while establishing the following conditions for such funding: 1. The amount of money invested by a business leader will be matched by international aid. This will double the amount invested. 2. The international aid will be an investment, not a donation. 3. Some of the money must be used as a loan guarantee against unforeseen occurrences. Rabin's legacy and hopes for the future Rabin's legacy includes helping the entire region enter the global economy, by attempting, successfully or not, to make peace with the Jordanians, Palestinians, and Syrians, and to build on the established peace with Egypt. For peace and regional cooperation, he was willing to pay the highest price. People look at the peace treaty with Jordan as a simple, non-painful peace agreement. This 28 is not the case. In this peace treaty, we gave back every peace of captured land – a land mass that is larger than the size of the Gaza Strip 430 km2. To Egypt, we gave back, along with Sinai, Taba, which was a serious point of contention. In addition, Rabin offered Syria farreaching concessions from an Israeli standpoint. We must be prepared for other painful concessions for peace. I think that their will be some positive by-products of the Iraq War. As soon as Hezbollah ceases to act as an army within an army, a state within a state, Lebanon will be free and will establish peaceful relations with its neighbors. The same thing goes for Syria – they cannot continue playing both cards. They must choose between the dictatorial terrorist path and the democratic peaceful path. To conclude, I believe that Oslo was an opening point that still has not been exploited. I have been asked repeatedly about Arafat's role; I answer that without him, the process would never have begun, but with him, it could never come to a peaceful conclusion. The process has begun – we must bring it to a conclusion. Part of the process is behind us, much of it still ahead of us. When I look at Yitzhak's legacy, I view him as a man who had the courage to make the toughest decisions, not just as a man of noble character. Whoever wants to continue in Yitzhak's path must have the bravery to negotiate the most difficult issues that he did not live to solve and continue to make tough decisions – not just cherish his memory. Bilateral Negotiations: The Only Hope for a Dignified Peace By: Mahmoud Abbas, President of the Palestinian Authority (speech delivered by Saeb Erekat) Today we mark a solemn occasion – ten years have passed since the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin. Last Friday we commemorated the first anniversary of the death of President Yasser Arafat. Ten years have passed since the man who committed Israel to seeking a negotiated peace was himself taken by an enemy of peace. Ten years have passed since all of us witnessed not just a crime against a man, but a vicious assault against the very foundations that must form the basis of our future. Every lasting vision of peace and prosperity for both Israelis and Palestinians alike ultimately depends on the freedom, security, and independence of both peoples. That vision can only be realized through the dedicated collective work of both peoples. During the past decade, we have seen moments of unparalleled hope, often replaced by despair. We have witnessed attempts at achieving peace destroyed by extremism, ambivalence, and greed. We have all suffered too much. In these ten years, we have written a new chapter in our histories. History books on this period will be kind to none of us. Regardless of where the blame lies, we broke a pledge not just to our peoples but to each other – the pledge to bring a free, safe, and prosperous future to both Palestinians and Israelis. This pledge was a vision of two states, Palestine and Israel, living side by side in mutual peace, security, and prosperity – a vision that should be a reality today. Opportunity and hope However, our history need not be our destiny. We need not condemn ourselves to repeating the mistakes of the past. I am addressing you today with an offering for peace and a way to progress forward. I believe that today we have the greatest opportunity to finally move forward so that the tragedies of yesterday can be eclipsed by the coexistence of tomorrow. This opportunity, though great, is fragile. It is fragile because we are again descending into the same patterns that defined the last ten years. To break from the past, we must learn from it. I am not here to blame or provoke you, but to seek an understanding to ensure that we refrain from repeating the mistakes of the past. On the eve of Mr. Rabin's assassination, we were full of hope. We believed that we were finally on a path towards freedom and statehood. We had an authority that acted as an autonomous force over our major cities, while remaining subjects of a military occupation. We believed that we would truly be given the opportunity to shape our own future. But soon thereafter, we witnessed the massive expansion of settlements. We witnessed the construction of the wall, built not on Israel's border, but deep inside our territory. We saw the construction of the settler-only highway networks, built throughout the West Bank. Despite all of this, we are committing ourselves to peace, not because we wake up with an aching conscience regarding the plight of Israelis, but because we need peace. Peace for us means a viable future here in 22% of our historic homeland along with a fair and adequate resolution for Palestinian refugees. The Palestinians made a historic compromise by accepting that our state would only exist within the 29 1967 borders with Jerusalem as its capital. We recognized Israel's right to exist in peace and security on 78% of British Mandate Palestine. Just as it was difficult for you to come to the negotiating table, it was particularly difficult for us – even though we realized that only through negotiations would reach the future that both of our peoples desire. I know that many in Israel saw the disengagement from Gaza as a painful step forward for Israel. Make no mistake – removing the settlements from the Gaza Strip was a historic step and a positive move in the right direction. We coordinated with Israel on the disengagement right up to about an hour ago, when we concluded an agreement on the Rafah crossing. I would like to express my deepest appreciation to Mr. James Wolfensohn – he and his wonderful team made this agreement possible. I would also like to thank Dr. Condoleezza Rice for her efforts throughout last night. Unilateralism as dictation We hope that the day after the Gaza disengagement is a 'soft landing', not just with respect to the Rafah crossing agreement, but with respect to the real, more difficult issues. We currently see that the push towards 30 negotiations and bilateralism is being repressed by Israel's unilateralism. To us, as Palestinians, unilateralism means dictation. We are a people with no army, navy, air force, or economy. Our economy in 2004 stood at 1/34 of Israel's. Yet our deficit to you stands at $1.3 billion. Unilateralism will not bring you peace, an end to the conflict, or an end of claims because it does not allow both peoples to shape their respective futures. Prime Minister Rabin realized this before many other Israeli leaders. This should be remembered as part of his legacy. There are many lessons from Rabin's assassination that Israeli society is eager to remember. But there is an additional lesson that must be recalled: the late Prime Minister realized that it would be a mistake for Israel to rely on the use of force to bring security and peace and that there would never be a military solution to the Palestinian problem. Mr. Rabin traveled major distances from being a soldier in the army to being a soldier of peace. I believe that we now have a window opportunity to realize the peace for which Rabin gave his life. We must not destroy this opportunity by restoring the old methods of force and unilateralism. We long for the day when the language of bullets and bombs will be replaced by the language of dialogue, co-existence, and neighborly relations. It is time that the Palestinian people be given the chance to regain their dignity, freedom, and independence. And it is time for Israelis to live in personal security without the heavy burden of occupation. It is time that our people live in peace and be given the opportunity to lead normal lives under the rule of law, with one government and authority, political pluralism, and one legal weapon. We are committed to peaceful negotiations, the only way to achieve our interests. The importance of dignified elections We are offering this vision to the Palestinian electorate to the forthcoming elections in January, 2006. And we urge you Israelis – don't poke your noses into our internal affairs. Leave us alone. Let the natural growth of Palestinian democracy take its proper course. For our people to adopt the alternative we're offering, they must believe that it is viable, they must be allowed to vote. We must be allowed to conduct elections in accordance with the 1996 agreements. Preempting final status negotiations through the massive construction of settlements, suffocating the Gaza Strip, and isolating East Jerusalem will prevent the peaceful alternative we're offering the Palestinian people from being viable. We must end unilateralism now! Our vision of peace is reasonable, simple, and outlined in the Road Map, which was agreed to by the current Israeli government. Israel's turn to recognize Palestinian rights We want to achieve a bright future. We recognize that the potential for this future depends on your future, just as our histories are deeply intertwined. We have made our historic compromise – we recognize your right to exist with secure and recognized borders. Now it is your turn to recognize ours! We can make peace today. Today, we must turn our backs on the past, once and for all. Let the last decade be the last chapter of misery in our region. Today let us join together to perform our collective duty and reach our collective future. Some say that one man can change history. Yitzhak Rabin's killer, for example, killed peace. I believe that it is probable that we would have achieved peace long ago, had Rabin not been assassinated. But Rabin's assassin is not the reason that our project has not borne fruit – it was the choices that we made afterwards that killed the project. Let us stop the finger-pointing. We made mistakes, you made mistakes. Let's learn from these mistakes because this is the only way to save Israeli and Palestinian lives. There was a failure to implement Rabin's view after his death – he knew that no society can indefinitely rule over another, that no amount of force can deliver peace, and that negotiations are the only road to peace. The need for a commitment to peace You may not agree with my analysis or perspective, but I ask you to agree to my commitment. We are prepared to enter a final status peace agreement with you. Today, we have the will to end the conflict, normalize relations, and bring security and dignity to both Israelis and Palestinians. speaking in slogans, but am speaking from the experience accumulated from sitting in negotiations over the past number of years. We, as you, are going through labor pains. We must control these labor pains and come to grips with them. Maybe the Westerners here do not understand the complexity of the issues of Jerusalem, borders, refugees and settlements, for Israelis and Palestinians; these are the issues that we breathe. This is not a normal land conflict – it is a multi-faceted psychological and religious conflict as well. Join me in working through our differences peacefully. Join me at this precious moment to ensure that we write a new history that will make generations of Israelis and Palestinians proud. All issues reserved for final status negotiations – Jerusalem, settlements, borders, refugees, water, and other issues – are solvable. If an Israeli partner willing to engage in negotiations takes the lead, mark my words, we do not need more that 6 months to conclude a historic permanent status treaty. I am not 31 The Transformation from the Jordanian Option every effort you have made and hope you continue with these efforts. You Israelis have three options for the future: By: Saeb Erekat Head of the PLO's Negotiations Affairs Department We are facing new realities in the Middle East. The U.S., which once bordered Canada and Mexico, now borders Turkey, Iran, Syria, the Gulf States, and many other states, both geographically and conceptually. Geography and politics have changed. The functional role of nations has changed. Today, the Middle East region is going through a major battle. If the forces of extremism prevail, the lights will be turned off, and we won't know when they'll be turned on again. 1. A two state solution based on the 1967 borders, with accommodations for border adjustments if necessary. 2. If you don't want to divide the land, we are willing to go with the one-state solution. However, this solution has been called evil by Israelis because it undermines the Jewish nature of Israel. 3. The third option is continuing the occupation. Israelis, of all people, should not perpetuate this situation. A situation in which there are roads that I cannot use because I'm a Palestinian must be morally unacceptable to the Jewish people. As a young man I heard that Jordan is Palestine, and Palestine is Jordan. Jordan is sovereign country that has a peace agreement with Israel. Jordan is Jordan – and there is no other country that is more supportive of a Palestinian state than Jordan today. Why do we keep hearing of the Jordanian option, unilateralism, the no-partner broken record, and all of these similar slogans? If you want to continue ignoring the existence of the Palestinian people, let me inform you are simply denying facts. We do exist as Palestinians. Israel's acceptance of the will of the Palestinians and their aspirations is a key to the solution. Shimon [Peres], your title is unimportant to me – you are a man of peace, and we are with you in this endeavor. I do not differentiate between 'pro-Palestinian' and 'proIsraeli', rather between those who are for peace and those who are against peace. You, Shimon, are with those who are for peace, and we appreciate 32 The West and the Middle East have gone through three major historical processes: 1. The West created Middle East autocracies to further their interests. 2. The West created Middle East theocracies to further their interests. 3. Today, both the West and forces in the Middle East want democracy in the Middle East. Anyone who says that Arabs are not ready for democracy is racist. Democracy is an essential element towards peace and stability in the region. The best solution is obvious to me. We must seize our current opportunity – we don't need to reinvent the wheel. Peace: a Possibility resulting from Direct Contact By: Lt. Gen. (ret.) Amnon Lipkin-Shahak Former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces The title of this conference is 'Peace: Dream or Vision.' Yitzhak Rabin was a man of dreams and a man of vision – but more than this, he was a man of action. Yithak Rabin did not interpret reality through his dream or vision, but instead mapped his path through his vision, and implemented it through realistic actions that could make his vision into a reality. Therefore, to my mind, the title of the conference has a phrase missing. Peace is not just a dream, because a dream remains a dream after the dreamer wakes up. Peace is not just a vision because implies an ever-distant future that is never actualized. A vision has no schedule or plan. Peace must be a plan of action. Peace is a possible goal that is meant to serve specific purposes for living people and nations. Therefore, I would have named this conference 'Peace: Dream, Vision, and Possibility'. A very different reality – just 12 years ago I want to take you back to a period that today seems pre-historic – the reality in the region 12 years ago. If I take you back to 1993, there was no fence surrounding the Gaza Strip, there is no fence around Judea and Samaria, there was no public debate about the status of Jerusalem. Approximately 100,000 Palestinians worked in Israel, entering almost freely into Israel proper without having to pass road blocks. There were no suicide bombings within Israel. Some people would say that this was a dream situation. However, at the same time, the IDF was dispersed throughout every refugee camp and city in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza. The IDF were in charge of the daily lives of the Palestinians in every city in the territories, including their education and health care. There was no Palestinian Authority; there was only Fatah, sitting in Tunisia. There were 12,000 Palestinian prisoners in Israeli prisons. Also, there was a significant Israeli public that believed that the dream or vision or possibility of Greater Israel could be actualized. They believed that Israel could have sovereignty over all the land stretching from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean, and that there is no room for a second national entity in the area. Rabin's earthquake This was the reality that Yitzhak Rabin shook up with what was, at the time, the political earthquake that changed the face of the entire region, up until today. What we are seeing today are the aftershocks of the earthquake that Rabin initiated then. And the earth has been shaking constantly since that time period. Rabin's revolution was a brave, difficult political move that was made democratically, but in the end, resulted in Rabin's assassination. The IDF was not an active participant in the Oslo Accords. Rabin determined that Oslo was a policy that was political in nature, and therefore did not include the IDF in his decision to sign the accords. Once the accords were signed, and the security arrangements became essential to the agreement's implementation, Rabin included the IDF in the decision-making process. The reality of bilateral negotiations Rabin appointed me to preside over the Israeli delegation for determining the Gaza-Jericho negotiations – a 33 delegation that was comprised of representatives from all relevant government bodies in order to reach solutions for all aspects of this important first step. While Oslo was a framework agreement, the GazaJericho agreement was a practical step to allow the Palestinian Authority to move from Tunisia and establish their presence in the West Bank and Gaza and assume responsibility over sections of the territory. This first step was subjected to a heated debate within Israel. When we arrived at the negotiating table, we knew most the Palestinian representatives by face and name only – we had never actually met them. Meetings with many of these representatives, such as Muhammad Dahlan, had been disallowed by the Shin Bet on grounds that they were involved in terrorist activities. Each side entered these talks extremely suspicious of the other. Each side was concerned that he would be portrayed among his own people to be the one giving in to the demands of the other. There was a fear of setting precedents in this first step, because it was clear to both sides that the process of handing over territory would not end with Gaza and Jericho, and that every move would influence the way future moves were carried out. 34 This phase of negotiations took place primarily in Egypt. There were several breakdowns in negotiations, one of the most difficult being the Baruch Goldstein Massacre in the Cave of the Patriarchs in Hebron. However, it is important to note that at that time, we did not require third party mediators to bring us back to negotiations, when negotiations broke down. It was clear to all of us, despite all the difficulties, which were no less complex than today's, that we would not achieve anything without talking to the other side. Although the international community accompanied the negotiations, there was no need for their actual involvement. When negotiations broke down, Shimon Peres and Abu Ala or Abu Mazen would be sent to help us find solutions. Yitzhak Rabin oversaw the entire negotiation process by setting the agenda. Rabin would conduct presentations to the negotiating staff, give directives, and approve or reject suggested moves. Varying levels of trust During this phase of negotiations, a level of mutual trust was developed between the two negotiating teams, which did not necessarily reflect the level of trust between the leaders. I don't think that Rabin actually believed in Arafat. His trust of Arafat was shaken during situations such as the closing ceremony of the GazaJericho agreements in Cairo, in which Arafat, while on stage, refused to sign on the maps presented to him. This image, which was broadcast on television worldwide, dimmed the possibility of trust being established between the leaders. Although Rabin saw Arafat as the legitimate representative of the Palestinian people, he never fully trusted him. There was always a level of suspicion between them. The invention of Palestinian suicide bombing With the signing of the Gaza-Jericho understandings, the Palestinian Authority arrived in the territories, and almost immediately afterwards, Palestinian suicide bombing in Israeli cities began. Suicide terror was a new phenomenon for us that shook up our trust of the Palestinian side. All of these terror attacks were conducted by the Hamas and Islamic Jihad; Fatah was, at this stage, not involved in terror. However, the Palestinian Authority was not doing anything to prevent terror. Until Rabin's assassination, there was no serious, systematic Palestinian Authority activity intended to prevent terror attacks or fight terrorist organizations. When Rabin was assassinated, Shimon Peres attempted to continue in his path, though the suicide attacks became more frequent and vicious. As a response to the Hamas-led terror campaign of the winter of 1996, for the first time and only time since, the Palestinian Authority led a systematic campaign against terror, primarily in Gaza. This campaign damaged Hamas' strength significantly, without any Israeli involvement. This intense terror campaign, which occurred on the eve of Israeli elections, caused the Israeli public to lose its faith in the diplomatic process. Netanyahu and the Likud party were victorious in the elections, and a new reality was created in which Oslo was no longer at the forefront of the Israeli government's diplomatic interests. The new slogan was, "If they give, they'll receive. If they don't give, they won't receive." At this point we entered a diplomatic freeze that lasted, for all intents and purposes, until we left Gaza last summer. Today's reality Palestinian internal security Today we live in a different reality. We are more experienced, more hesitant to believe words and promises, and now wait to see actions and results. The leaders on both sides know each other on a deeper level. There is a plan that has been accepted by both sides – the Road Map – which has been stalled at a crossroads for a long time. There are disagreements regarding the first stage of the Road Map, including its order of operations, dependencies, and timetables. There has been no progress since the Road Map was agreed to, aside from the significant move of Israel pulling out of Gaza and northern Samaria. Israel has certain expectations of the Palestinians' rule in Gaza. The first is the implementation of law and order. I am currently more concerned about the Palestinians implementing law and order in Gaza, than guaranteeing Israel's security. Internal security is a mounting problem for the Palestinians today. Musa Arafat, for example, was assassinated in Gaza, at a distance of 100 meters from Abu Mazen and 150 meters from Abu Ala. The shootout in the area lasted for a number of minutes despite calls to the Palestinian police. Musa Arafat's assassination and the kidnap of his son were not prevented, and those responsible for the attack have still not been arrested. Although this is an internal Palestinian matter, we must remember – he who cannot ensure security in his own house will not be able to guarantee our security. I want to discuss the Rafiah crossing as an example of how things could be different. Israel ended its presence in Gaza over two months ago, and only today was an agreement reached on the Rafiah crossing. The question is: why wasn't an agreement made earlier, if we knew we were leaving? I have no good answer for this. I believe that over a year ago, we could have reached much better security agreements with the relevant international representatives, Egyptians and Palestinians than those that we agreed to today. In addition to the Musa Afarat incident, there have been a number of other incidents: shots were fired at Abu Mazen's headquarters in Ramallah; the chairman of the Interior Ministry was kidnapped. These incidents are very worrying. Israel has a vested interest in helping Abu Mazen successfully bring law and order to Palestinian society. The alternative to Abu Mazen 35 and the Fatah is Hamas and the Islamic Jihad, which are not real alternatives for Israel. We must help the Palestinian leadership, but there are certain things that we cannot get involved with: we cannot create order within Fatah, solve their internal generational disputes, or determine their party list in the upcoming elections. However, these issues will all influence our ability to return to what given up on with the Palestinians years ago – direct contacts and bilateral negotiations. Rabin's Pragmatic Shift to the Palestinian Option By: Aaron Miller President, Seeds of Peace 'By being a cautious engineer and a precise navigator,' Amos Oz wrote in the wake of Rabin’s assassination, 'Rabin embodied the spirit of a new Israel, one that seeks not salvation, but solutions.' Rabin the pragmatist As an American, I don’t know much about the idea of a new Israel (it sounds rather grandiose to me). But having known and worked with Rabin for more than twenty years, I can say without hesitation that he was a seeker of solutions. A consummate pragmatist, he hated windy rhetoric, big complex theories, particularly when they resulted in what he saw as bad analysis. I remember in April 1974 at a Passover Seder at his home in Tel Aviv laying out my academic theories on Middle Eastern politics only to be told with a dismissive wave of his hand that the world didn’t work that way. Twenty years later, I got the same reaction in Washington when I tried to explain to him my view of Arafat’s behavior. Rabin didn’t like big theories or anyone who promoted them seriously. He steered clear of 'isms' 36 and ideological rigidity of a secular or religious character. He was not cynical and had core beliefs. At the same time, he was a tester, cautious and slow to change but open to it. Indeed, this willingness to test and adjust to change if it made sense to him was not easy nor all that common, particularly late in life. And yet, Rabin had this capacity: to believe in and accommodate change – even in his enemies. Nowhere was Rabin - the seeker of solutions, the pragmatist - more apparent than in his relationship to the Palestinian issue and the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace. No question was more central to his life and career or to the future of his nation: how does a tiny state living in an exceedingly dangerous neighborhood without strategic depth, abundant natural resources, or reliable allies (save one) survive and maneuver in a world quick to judge and quicker to condemn? With his election in June, 1992, Rabin set out with a renewed determination to find answers to that question and to create national priorities dedicated to testing the possibilities for agreements with his Arab neighbors. After four difficult years, there was an expectation for real change; much like there was in 1999 following another transition from a Likud to Labor government. But unlike the later transition, Rabin had no set plan, no defined blueprint. He was serious - focused but cautious. He tested the Syrians with hypotheticals and found them wanting, and envisioned a limited agreement with the Palestinians on autonomy. And yet it was his careful, deliberate style – his weighing of options - that paradoxically would bring him to a dramatically changed conception of how to address Israel’s relations with the Palestinians. In a sense, Rabin came to this radical (for him) realization by default. He was no visionary looking to embrace the future by talking to the organizational embodiment of Palestinian nationalism, the PLO, or to its leader Yasser Arafat. There was no moral imperative driving him to break taboos and reach for uncharted horizons. Instead, Rabin was reacting as he had done all his life to a changing environment – a strategic response nonetheless. Strategic Response to a changing environment What changed Rabin’s mind and his approach was the first Palestinian Intifada. It introduced two critically important new realities which made possible a third. First, Palestinians in the territories had put themselves on the map and forced Rabin to take them seriously – something he had never been willing to do before. Second, he came to the realization that Israel’s response – a military reaction to what was essentially a political problem was not sustainable, not if Israel wanted to maintain itself as a Jewish, democratic state and preserve the character of the Israel Defense Forces, the institution Rabin cared most about. Indeed, the limitations of the use of military force had always been one of Rabin’s cardinal principles. 'If you were to attempt to learn from the two wars (Sinai, Lebanon), they had farreaching political objectives that were not attained,' Yoram Peri quoted Rabin as saying. 'Was this a coincidence? Was it an accident? The answer is no. There is a fundamental error in the approach that uses military might to achieve the total imposition of our political will over an Arab state or group of Arab states.' These new realities which Rabin was prescient enough to see served to bring this deliberate incrementalist to a stunningly new analysis and policy. Quite simply, none of the options for dealing with the issue of whom or what would represent the Palestinians was working. The 'ifs' abounded. If the Jordanian option (one of the grander illusions of Israel and American policy) had been a real option, it wasn’t. If the American sponsored Washington talks had not run their course, they had; if West Bankers and Gazans had the authority to negotiate independently of the PLO, they didn’t. If, anyone of these “ifs” had been available, then things might have been different. They weren’t. And Rabin was confronted by a set of circumstances that the analyst in him simply couldn’t deny. During his first visit to Washington as prime minister in March 1993, the Israeli and American teams gathered for a meeting – an analytical free-for-all would have been a better description. What was so striking to me was not that Rabin was arguing for dealing with PLO, but that the Prime Minister was laying the predicate by discrediting every other option in his characteristically abrupt and dismissive manner. 37 Rabin's grudging partnership with Arafat The fact is – and we all know it – Rabin did not go looking for negotiations with the PLO, let alone for a partner in Mr. Arafat. Having assessed accurately, by the summer of 1993 that Assad (the Frank Sinatra of the peace process so determined to 'do it his own way' that he priced himself out of the market) Rabin turned to the other option (prepared for him by Shimon and others) and to a leader, Mr. Arafat, who might be a partner. And Rabin (with Shimon at his side) gave the Palestinian track the legitimacy and credibility on the Israeli side that it needed. That Oslo failed was not a result of Rabin’s analysis, judgment, or policies. The Palestinian option was the right course. Oslo’s failure lay in the ambiguities in its structure, its failure to alter the situation on the ground (we forget that 300 Israelis died between 1993-96 as compared with 172 during the 1987-93 period; and the number of settlers increased by tens of thousands), and a breakdown of Israeli-Palestinian partnership in wake of Rabin’s murder. Much has been made of Rabin’s personal relationship with Arafat. I suspect a bit too much. Rabin had a tougher and more realistic view of the Palestinian leader than many on 38 our side. Nonetheless, from a kind of loathing for Arafat, he eventually moved to a grudging respect for the tough decisions Arafat had made and because he sensed that the success of Oslo was rooted in their capacity to work together. Quoting my father about Arafat, Rabin once said to me, “The only problem about dancing with a bear is that you can never let go”. This strange partnership sustained much of the Oslo process during 1994 and 1995. And it was painfully obvious in the year following Rabin’s assassination, that the absence of that partnership made an excruciatingly difficult process impossible to sustain. Life has no rewind buttons and speculation on the “might have beens” is a frustrating game. At the same time, it is hard for me to believe that with Rabin’s strategic pragmatism on peace, his regard for the US, and his demonstrated capacity to understand and work with Arafat that the mess we confront now wouldn’t have been mitigated substantially had Rabin lived. What then is the significance of Yitzhak Rabin’s contribution to IsraeliPalestinian? Carlyle was more right than wrong. History – certainly in the Israeli-Palestinian arena – is indeed the biography of great men and women. And Rabin’s greatness was his capacity to divine what changed about the Israeli-Palestinian equation, to figure out what Israel needed to do about it, and then to lend his legitimacy, credibility, and authenticity to actually doing it. While much of Oslo lies broken or bloodied in the streets, its real contribution was mutual recognition; and Israel’s recognition that if peace were to come, it could only come about in recognizing the legitimacy of Palestinian nationalism and through a historic repartition. No one played a more central role in this process. And it is that legacy of Yitzhak Rabin that we mark here today, and that Israelis and Palestinians as they search for a better future will honor for years to come. A Critical Look at the Oslo Process would bring security -- was exploited by Arafat consistently. By: Ze’ev Boim, Deputy Defense Minister, Israel It was not surprising that in September, 1996, in what became known as the Western Wall Tunnel incidents, Arafat commanded his Fatah security personnel to open fire, resulting in the death of 15 soldiers and many other injuries. Following these incidents, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu refused to continue with the diplomatic process, claiming that the Palestinians were not upholding their obligations. Netanyahu had the 'gall' to demand reciprocity from the Palestinians in adhering to agreements. The Western Wall Tunnels incidents were only the ‘promo’ of the full out terror assault that was to be led by murderous organizations that the ‘Rais’ either led directly or allowed to exist. I want to make a few observations regarding the Oslo process. There were three signatories to the agreements: Simon Peres, Yasser Arafat, and Yitzhak Rabin. Signing the Declaration of Principles (also known as 'Oslo I') resulted in each of the three signatories receiving a Nobel Peace Prize. Unfortunately, giving the prize to Yasser Arafat was a mistake – he will be remembered as the destroyer of Oslo and of the peace process. The Chairman of Palestinian Authority, who throughout his entire adult life was involved in terror activities, was cunning enough to trick his Israeli partners into believing that he was interested in peace. In truth, Arafat never stopped using terror to achieve his political goals. Throughout the entire process, he tricked and lied to all of his partners. He smuggled and stored weapons and doubled and tripled the number of security forces at his disposal – all of this in opposition to the agreements that he signed. The concept that guided the Israeli side of the Oslo Accords -- that peace The Second Intifada: a premeditated terror assault Three months before the Camp David meetings, whose purpose was to achieve a final status peace agreement, Arafat was already planning to launch the second Intifada – the armed Intifada. Ariel Sharon’s visit to the Temple Mount soon after the breakdown of Camp David was a mere excuse, a convenient trigger for deciding on a start date for a pre-planned strategy. In fact, Palestinian Communication Minister Imad Al-Faluji has attested to the pre-planned nature of the Intifada. The Palestinian terror assault that infiltrated Israeli cities showed no mercy for innocent citizens riding buses, sitting in cafes, or shopping in markets and malls. These terror attacks soaked the Oslo Accords in blood and forced Israel into a defensive war. Even believers in the Oslo process and promoters of peace felt betrayed by Yasser Afarat. By failing to adhere to the basic precept of Oslo – that all disagreements would be solved at the negotiating table and not through violence – Arafat succeeded in bringing Ariel Sharon to the helm as Prime Minister of Israel, and in doing so, ended his political relevance. This five year terror war, led by Arafat, the father of the Palestinian nation, has led to enormous suffering and damage. Thousands of Palestinians have been killed and injured. Over 1,000 Israelis lost their lives. Arafat ended his life under siege in the Muqata’a, declared irrelevant and unfit to be a partner for the resumption of the peace process, even by those who had viewed him as a serious partner for peace in the past. 39 Rabin's true view of Oslo To the best of my knowledge, Yitzhak Rabin, from the start, did not like Oslo. The plan was developed behind his back by Shimon Peres, Yossi Beilin, and others. Rabin was willing to give the plan a chance for the sake of peace, despite its dangers, and despite the fact that the accords opposed his basic world view. It was not easy for him to overcome his suspicions of Arafat's intentions, based on bitter experiences of dealing with the man in the past. We all remember how difficult it was for Rabin to shake Afarat’s hand, and his request that Bill Clinton ensure that there be no hugs and kisses during the signing ceremony on the White House lawn. Rabin was the type of person who, once he decided to give the process a chance, he persisted to advance it. However, if Rabin was with us today, I believe that he would proceed the way that Ariel Sharon is proceeding. He would have never forgiven Arafat for forsaking the peace process and would conduct an unending war on terror. At the same time, he would always keep his hand outstretched and eyes open in search of a diplomatic solution to our conflict. I can’t say whether Rabin would initiate a plan such as Sharon’s 40 disengagement plan, but I’m sure that he would have looked upon it as a productive attempt to kick-start the diplomatic process. We are inclined to think that children often take after their fathers. In this spirit, I read an interview of Yuval Rabin in which he attested to supporting Ariel Sharon, calling him ‘the right man in the right job.’ an opportunity to miss an opportunity’ have not changed. After 10 years our eyes have been opened and we have stopped fantasizing that the day is upon us when we eat hummus together with our friends in Gaza and Damascus. At present, there is no infrastructure for peace, there is only an infrastructure for terror that none of Palestinian leaders are prepared to dismantle. The illusion of the 'New Middle East' Disengagement as a general policy There were three signatories of Oslo: Rabin was murdered on the altar of Oslo; Arafat murdered on the altar of Oslo; Shimon Peres, the only survivor, still believes that Oslo was the correct path, and that Israel’s current diplomatic strategy is an extension of the Oslo process. Is his view a critical analysis of past events that presents future goals that are actually attainable? Or is he really simply afraid to take responsibility for choosing a mistaken path that had disastrous implication because he cannot admit that he developed an illusory vision of the region based on the deceit and lies of his Palestinian partner? According to Peres, the ‘New Middle East’ is already a reality. Most Israelis are aware of the fact that there is no ‘New Middle East’ and that the Palestinians who ‘have never missed Though this sounds like a cynical forecast, I am prepared to suggest something positive for the future: instead of talking about a 'New Middle East', I suggest that we discuss disengagement, not just in terms of Gaza, but as a general policy. Instead of deluding ourselves with fantasies of cooperation, we need to speak of disengagement between the two nations, in every sense of the word. This disengagement would be based on reaching a diplomatic agreement between the nations that would define a border, upon which an ‘iron wall’ would be built that would divide between two sovereign states. Each state would form allegiances with its natural partners – the Palestinian state would form partnerships with the increasingly extreme Islamic and authoritarian states such as Syria and Iran, while Israel would partner with Western countries. We would continue to develop a Jewish democratic state based on the enlightened principles of freedom, progress and pluralism. Until we can reach a diplomatic agreement, the obligation to act falls primarily on the shoulders on the Palestinians. The ball is in the Palestinians’ court, primarily in the Gaza Strip, where the Palestinians have been given a test case for running an independent entity. The Palestinians’ ability to establish law and order, end the chaos, and dismantle terror networks will have a major influence on the Road Map’s progress. Today, the eyes of the world are on Gaza, attempting to determine whether the Palestinians will be able to govern, checking whether we will be able to continue on the path of the Road Map towards a diplomatic agreement. Although I do believe that an agreement between us and the Palestinians is possible, I am sure that the dream of true and complete peace will continue to exist only in the ‘end of days’ visions of Israel’s biblical prophets. After all, we must leave something for future generations. 41 A Survey of Israeli Public Opinion Regarding the Oslo Process By: Prof. Tamar Hermann The Open University of Israel The Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research, Tel Aviv University We at the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research at Tel Aviv University have been studying Israeli public opinion since June 1994, a few days before the first visit of Chairperson Arafat to Gaza and Jericho. I will present a set of results regarding various public opinion surveys visà-vis issues related to Oslo. In the following graph, there are three lines. The upper line represents the Israeli-Jewish public's support for the Oslo process from 1994 to the present. The lower line represents the Israeli-Jewish public's opinion's belief that the Oslo Process will bring peace to fruition. We have averaged these two components into the 'Oslo Index', which is the line represented in the middle. Oslo – support, belief, index (1994-2005) As you can see, perhaps paradoxically, the highest levels of support were displayed during Netanyahu's tenure as Prime Minister. During Netanyahu's reign, support for and belief in the process were higher than during the Rabin-Peres era, and considerably higher than during the Barak or Sharon eras. The lowest levels of support and belief during Sharon's first reign represent the most difficult days of the Intifada and terrorism. Recently, there has been an upturn in support. What has been the main factor that influences Israeli public opinion of the Oslo process? We found that the level of religious observance, as defined by those questioned, has had the most direct level of influence on results. In the following graph, you will see the differing levels of support based on this factor. The upper line represents secular Jews' level of support; the middle line represents traditional Jews' level of support; while the lower line represents orthodox and ultra-orthodox Jews' level of support. This connection is far from trivial, as it shows the direct connection between level of religiosity and political affiliation. In addition, with changing demographic trends in Israel with respect to population expansion within the orthodox and ultra-orthodox communities, the future is not very rosy in terms of Israeli public opinion supporting peace. 100 Rabin-Peres Netanyahu Barak Sharon I Support Belief Index 80 60 40 20 0 42 Sharon II Olso Support – by level of religiosity 100 80 In our most recent poll, in October, 2005, we asked the public if they believed that Rabin's decision to initiate the Oslo process was correct or mistaken. We found that a plurality (though not a majority) of those questioned (49%) believed that Rabin's decision was either 'surely right' or 'probably right'. However, it is important to note that a higher percentage believed that the decision was 'probably right' rather than 'surely right'. 39% believed that Rabin's decision was mistaken, of which 24% believed that it was 'probably wrong'. These numbers also tend to correlate to the level of religious observance of the respondent. 60 40 20 0 Secular Orthodox & Ultra Orthodox Traditional 12 20 49 In retrospect, was Rabin’s decision to opt for the Oslo process right or wrong? (October 2005) Surely right Probably right 24 We found the expected connection between the answers given in the above survey, and political affiliation by party of the person questioned, as displayed in the following graph. Amongst Meretz and Labor voters, there is a huge majority that believes that Rabin's decision to initiate Oslo Probably wrong Surely wrong Don’t know 39 29 15 43 was correct, while amongst Likud, Shas, and NRP (National Religious Party) voters, a significant majority believed that Rabin's decision was mistaken. We see that Likud voters are more moderate than Shas or NRP voters, which correlates to the religiosity issue, as Shas and NRP voters are generally orthodox or ultra-orthodox, while Likud voters are generally traditional or secular. Survey by party voting in 2003 100% 5 9.5 11 20 10 80% 51 73 60% In addition, we found the expected connection between the answers given in the above survey, and religiosity of the person questioned, as displayed in the following graph: 60 40% 30.5 Don’t know Wrong 35 Right 20% 38 27 20 0% Meretz Labor Likud Shas NRP Survey by level of religiosity 100% 12 8.5 26 40.5 44 11 14 80% Don’t know 60% 71 76 40% 51 18 O rth od ox Tr ad iti on al 0% 10 U ltr ao rth od ox 20% Wrong Right 62 Se cu la r We also surveyed the public's opinion of the influence of Rabin's assassination on the peace process. We asked, in October, 2005: Had Rabin not been assassinated, do you think that a peace agreement with the Palestinians would have been reached? In this survey, the plurality is on the negative side, as 49% gave negative answers. Had Rabin not been assassinated, do you think that by today a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians would already have been reached? (October 2005) 10 11.5 39.5 26 When mapping this survey upon the party voting patterns of respondents, we received the expected results. While a majority of Meretz and Labor voters believed that peace would have been reached, a majority of Likud, Shas, and NRP voters did not, as displayed below: Surely yes Probably yes Probably no 29.5 Surely no Don’t know 49 23 Survey by party voting 2003 100% When viewing this question in terms of religiosity, there are significant differences between the various levels of religious affiliation as would be expected: 10 10.5 18 19 80% 14 40 25 60 60% 40% Don’t know 40 67 73 No Yes 65 20% 29.5 20 9 0% Meretz Labor Likud Shas NRP 45 Survey by level of religiosity 100% 8.5 12 80% 26 46 14 40.5 Don’t know 71 76 40% No Yes 62 51 20% 18 10 U ltr ao rth od ox O rth od ox Tr ad iti on al 0% Do you or don’t you agree that the Oslo principle of territorial compromise is today already part of the Israeli national consensus? (October 2005) This question broke down according to party lines, as would be expected, as a vast majority of Meretz and Labor voters believed that territorial compromise has become part of the national consensus, while the majority of other parties did not: 11 60% Se cu la r In our surveys, we also asked the following question in October, 2005: do you agree that the Oslo principle of territorial compromise is today already part of the Israeli national consensus? We were surprised to find that a plurality, 49%, believed the Oslo principle of territorial compromise has, in fact, become part of the Israeli national consensus, as displayed below: 9 48 21 Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know 26 28 16 Survey by party voting 2003 On this issue, too, we see that level of religiosity is most conclusively connected to survey results, as displayed in the below graph: 100% 10 10.5 18 19 80% 14 40 25 60% Don’t know 60 78 40% 40 67 No Yes 65 20% 29.5 20 4 0% Meretz Labor Likud Shas NRP Survey by level of religiosity We asked a very important question that ought to be taken account when attempting to advance the peace process in the future. We asked how people felt that Israel's ending the occupation beyond the green line would influence the level of Palestinian terrorism. The question and the results were as follows: 100% 80% 10 31 14.5 13.5 14 14 19.5 14 37 60% 61 61 40% 59 67 67 Don’t know No Yes 67 48.5 20% 25.5 19.5 0% Secular Traditional Orthodox Ultra Orthodox 47 Some argue that as long as Israel occupies territories beyond the Green Line, Palestinian terror will continue. Others maintain that even if Israel withdraws from all the territories, Palestinian terror will not stop and will probably even increase. With which of the two arguments do you agree more? (October 2005) We were surprised to see that 74% of respondents believed that a withdrawal from occupied territories will not end Palestinian terror, and will probably cause it to increase. This very grim result must be taken into account by anyone who is planning to resume the peace process, with the hopes that leaving occupied territory will end terrorism. 48 With the first argument 19% With the second argument 74% Don’t know 7% Would Rabin Have Been Able to Reach a Permanent Settlement with the Palestinians? By: Prof. Yaakov Bar-Simantov Hebrew University Head of the Applied Research Institute of Jerusalem The collapse of the Oslo process and the outbreak of the Al Aqsa Intifada spurred both political leaders and academic scholars (including myself) to analyze the reasons for its failure. Proposed explanations consider the nature of the conflict, the ripeness of the sides for an agreement, the conducting of the negotiations, the implementation failures, the psychological and cultural barriers, the lack of domestic legitimacy, and the role of the mediator. Some of the negotiators on both sides believe that, had Rabin not been assassinated, the Oslo process would have reached a positive conclusion, or in other words, a permanent settlement acceptable to both sides. This belief is based on the following assumptions: (1) Rabin’s commitment to the process he created; (2) his interest in concluding a permanent settlement as the greatest achievement of his life’s work; and (3) his ability to manage with Arafat. Commitment to the process Rabin was committed to the Oslo process, although he did not initiate it, and was skeptical about reaching an agreement with Arafat and the PLO. Indeed, without the initiative of Yair Hirshfeld and Ron Pundak and the encouragement of Yossi Beilin and Shimon Peres, it is doubtful if Rabin would have pushed forward the Oslo process. He did not like Arafat, nor did he trust him. He had to overcome severe cognitive dissonance to negotiate with Arafat, sign an agreement with him, and even shake hands with him. However, once he was convinced that an agreement was possible he became totally committed to it. Rabin was ripe for an agreement with Palestinians even before Oslo. The Intifada as and the Gulf War of 1991 had significant impacts on his willingness to attempt a peace agreement with the Palestinians. Until the Intifada, the Palestinian issue was not a major concern of Rabin's. The Intifada was a learning process for him, which forced him to change his attitudes and beliefs regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As a Minister of Defense, during the first years of the Intifada, Rabin came to realize that there was no military solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and that it was impossible to break the will of a people struggling for their independence. He perceived the Intifada as a war of liberation, although he refused to refer to it as such publicly. He understood that Israel could not continue its control of the Palestinians and therefore, had to be separated from them by a peaceful agreement. If not, Rabin feared that Israel would endanger its status as a Jewish state. The demographic factor was very important in this regard. In his speech to the Knesset, on October 5th 1995 (a month before his assassination) when he introduced the Oslo II agreement, he said: 'We preferred a Jewish state, even if not on every part of the Land of Israel, to a binational state…We chose a Jewish state because we are convinced that a bi-national state with millions of Palestinian Arabs will not be able to fulfill the Jewish role of the State of Israel, which is the state of the Jews.' The Gulf War, whose missile attacks caused thousands of Israelis to pack their bags and leave the Tel Aviv area, was another significant factor that influenced Rabin's change in attitude. He had deep concerns about the willingness of Israelis to continue paying the costs of a protracted 49 conflict. Rabin recognized the 'limits of military force' on one side, and the painful costs of a permanent conflict on the other, and therefore, was determined 'to expend all the energy, to take any path, to do everything necessary, possible, and more, for the sake of national and personal security, to achieve peace, and prevent war'. bring peace to Israeli people. He also believed that the Palestinians were also ripe for an agreement and the process would succeed in building trust between the two sides. Rabin realized that the agreement's implementation would take time and that final status would only be reached during his second term as prime minister. The collapse of the Soviet Union, the defeat of Saddam Hussein, and the U.S. hegemony as the only superpower, were encouraging developments. Rabin saw these developments as opening a 'window of opportunity that Israel should not miss'. The assassination of Rabin brought to power two prime ministers, Netanyahu and Barak, who did not have the same commitment to the Oslo process as that of Rabin. Netanyahu opposed the Oslo process and saw it as a dangerous and risky one, and therefore acted to delay its implementation. Barak who was skeptical from the beginning as to the logic of the Oslo process, in which Israel made territorial concessions without receiving a concrete Palestinian return, preferred to jump quickly to a final status agreement to check the real intentions of the Palestinians. With all of his doubts, Rabin saw the Oslo Accord as a great opportunity. He recognized that the accord was not a perfect one, and there were holes in it, as Ehud Bark maintained. However, he believed that he could control the process in a way that it would not endanger Israel. He believed that the gradualism inherent in the process was the way to deal with potential risks. Rabin approached Oslo, as his advisers maintained, with eyes wide open. He perceived the Oslo Accord as his own achievement. He felt that his historical mission was to 50 Rabin's permanent agreement vision While Rabin was ripe for coming to an end of conflict, to a final status agreement with the Palestinians, he had no any vision or any concrete plan of what the permanent settlement would look like. From the little we have in writing about Rabin’s view of a permanent settlement, and from conversations with various individuals who knew him well and who participated in the Oslo process, it seems doubtful that Rabin would have been willing to offer the Palestinians what was offered by Ehud Barak, and rejected; nor does it seem, would he have accepted the Clinton outline, the Taba understandings, or the Geneva Accord, all of which exceeded Barak’s concessions at Camp David. Throughout the Oslo process, from the time he was let in on the secret meetings in February 1993 until the interim agreement with the Palestinians was presented to the Knesset in October 1995, Rabin did not have a clear and well-formulated plan for a permanent settlement. He strongly refused to talk about the meaning and elements of a permanent settlement or to hold internal discussions on the issue. He kept his thoughts on this subject to himself; he did not share them even with his closest advisors. He refused to give the Palestinians during negotiations even a clue about the final agreement, and he never mentioned the possibility of a Palestinian state. Although he refused to use the term “state”, he realized that the outcome of the negotiations would lead to a separation from the Palestinian independent entity. Although it is not clear what motivated Rabin from refraining to pursue a permanent settlement, the following explanations are possible: • He viewed the Oslo process as the fulfillment of the autonomy agreement reached by Menachem Begin at Camp David in 1978 – or even as a continuation of the Madrid process - and no more than that, at the interim-agreement stage. Thus, he desired to make few territorial concessions during the five year period of the interim agreement. He strongly refused to freeze settlement building or even dismantle a single isolated settlement in the Gaza Strip or Tel-Rumeida in Hebron. He was afraid of a second Altalena. • Before moving ahead, he wanted to examine the implementation of the interim agreement. • He believed it was impossible to reach a permanent settlement due to the deep differences between the sides on the question of Jerusalem and the issue of Palestinian refugees and believed that the chances of resolving these issues was remote. ·• He was cautious about prematurely revealing positions that could harm Israel’s negotiating stance in talks with the Palestinians on a permanent settlement. • He was concerned about intensifying internal opposition to the Oslo process as long as it was uncertain whether negotiations could in fact lead to a permanent settlement. • He had not developed a final status program because he never used prior planning or thinking as a method for decision-making. For him, all possibilities were open for future developments and changes, and therefore, he preferred not to commit himself to any prior plan or a program. Nevertheless, Rabin understood that Israel would have to make very painful concessions in a permanent settlement with the Palestinians. Rabin first offered his view of a permanent settlement in public on October 5, 1995 (when he presented the Israeli-Palestinian interim agreement to the Knesset). In his speech, Rabin mentioned his wish to reach a 'permanent solution' to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The main first and the foremost [principle] in the framework of the permanent solution was keeping the 'State of Israel as a Jewish state, at least 80% of whose citizens will be, and are, Jews.' However, this wish was not reflected in his territorial terms of the agreement. Rabin would like to include in Israel: 'most of the area of the Land of Israel as it was under the rule of the British Mandate, and alongside it a Palestinian entity which will be at a home to most of the Palestinians residents living in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. We would like this to be an entity which is less than a state, and which will be independently run the lives of the Palestinians under its authority. The borders of the State of Israel, during the permanent solution, will be beyond the lines which existed before the Six Day War. We will not return to the to the 4 June lines.' Rabin referred to 'the main changes, not all of them', which Israel 'envision and want in the permanent solution': A. First and foremost, a united Jerusalem, which will include both Ma'aleh Adumim and Givat Ze'ev - as the capital of Israel, under Israeli sovereignty, while preserving the rights of the members of the other faiths, Christianity and Islam, to freedom of access and freedom of worship in their holy places, according to the customs of their faiths. B. The security border of the State of Israel will be located in the Jordan Valley, in the broadest meaning of that term. C. Changes to the border which will include the addition of Gush Etzion, Efrat, Beitar and other communities, 51 most of which are in the area east of what was the 'Green Line' prior to the Six Day War. D. The establishment of blocs of settlements in Judea and Samaria, like the one in Gush Katif.1 In Rabin’s eyes, the most important element in the permanent settlement was an expanded and united Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, under Jewish sovereignty, with free access to the holy places and freedom of ritual for the other religions (essentially the status quo before the permanent settlement). In many of his speeches since the signing of the Oslo Accord, Rabin insisted that Jerusalem is not a subject for negotiation or bargaining. Nevertheless, Rabin never mentioned what this united Jerusalem includes, and whether it includes the 200,000 Palestinian residents. Rabin differentiated between territorial borders and security borders. In his view, the territorial borders of the State of Israel, though not clearly defined, would exceed the lines of June 4, 1967. The security border would be located in the Jordan Rift, but the area would not necessarily be included within the state’s territorial borders. Rabin differentiated between types of settlements (some of which are cited by name) that should be included within the territory of the State of Israel, and blocs of Jewish 52 settlements, whose status he did not clarify precisely. The status of the Palestinian entity would be inferior to that of a state; it would be home to most of the Palestinian residents living in the Gaza Strip and West Bank and would be able independently to govern the lives of the Palestinians under its authority. Rabin did not relate to the Palestinian refugees in his speech. In the estimation of his closest advisors, Rabin would at most have been willing to give the entire Gaza Strip to the Palestinians, but no more than 70 percent of Judea and Samaria. He strongly opposed any concession on Jerusalem or on the Right of Return. There is no clear answer as to whether Rabin thought the Palestinians would accept this approach to the permanent settlement or view it as an opening for negotiations. Even his closest advisors did not know his true position. This concept of a permanent settlement entails fewer concessions than those proposed by Barak at Camp David. It is therefore doubtful whether the Palestinians would have been willing to accept it, although it could be claimed that Rabin’s approach to the permanent settlement was an optimal program, subject to modifications and negotiations. In the final analysis, it is hard to assume that a permanent settlement could have been attained on the basis of Rabin’s conditions. Nevertheless, some do assume that due to the difficulties of reaching a permanent settlement, Rabin would have changed course and worked instead for a long-term interim agreement that would have satisfied the Palestinians, or alternatively reached an accord on some of the disputed issues, with others deferred to the long term. Dealing with Arafat More than any Israeli prime minister who followed, Rabin earned the Palestinians’ trust as a man who honors his commitments. This belief - itself an improvable assumption ignores our uncertainty about Rabin’s vision of a permanent settlement or if his approach would have achieved a permanent settlement satisfactory to the Palestinians.The hypothesis states that thanks to his personality and the bonds of trust he had with Arafat, Rabin would have succeeded in gaining the Palestinians’ agreement to a negotiated settlement, thus preventing the violent confrontation. Although this hypothesis is interesting and of course impossible to confirm or refute, it is doubtful that Rabin could have reached a permanent agreement with the Palestinians based on the program that he introduced on October 5th 1995. Rabin: the Broad Vision of a Soldier-Statesman By: Ambassador Chinmaya R. Gharekhan, India's Special Envoy for West Asia and Middle East Peace Process As the Special Envoy of the Prime Minister of India, Dr. Manmohan Singh, it is my privilege to participate in this commemorative conference to honor the late Yitzhak Rabin who sacrificed his life in the service of his country and in the cause of peace. Rabin became the Prime Minister of Israel shortly after India, which had accorded recognition to the new State soon after it was established, decided to establish full diplomatic relations with the State of Israel in January 1992. Mr. Rabin was an enthusiastic supporter of rapidly expanding bilateral relations with India. I am confident that he would be more than satisfied at the growth in Indo-Israel relations within a short span of a dozen years. Rabin's transparent forthrightness I had the privilege of meeting Prime Minister Rabin for the first time in January 1993. As this distinguished audience is no doubt aware, the United Nations Security Council adopted a resolution in December 1992, with the unanimous support of all 15 members, on the deportation of over 400 Palestinians from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. The Security Council had requested the Secretary General of the United Nations to take up the matter with the Government of Israel. I had just joined the United Nations as Under-Secretary General in charge of the multilateral track of the Madrid peace process. I was deputed by the Secretary General as his Special Emissary to negotiate with the Government of Israel the modalities of implementing the Security Council resolution. During my stay in Israel, which lasted several days, I met with the government leaders including the then Foreign Minister, Mr. Shimon Peres, Deputy Foreign Minister Yossi Beilin, as well as the Director General of the Foreign Ministry Uri Savir, who went on to play a key role in the negotiations leading to the Oslo Accord. My principal negotiations were, however, with Prime Minister Rabin. Besides being the Prime Minister, he also was in charge of the Defence Ministry. I had, of course, heard about Mr. Rabin, about his “iron fist” policy and about his gruff and even abrasive manner. I was, therefore, not particularly looking forward to my meeting with him. I met him three times in his Defence Ministry office in Tel Aviv. I still have vivid recollection of those meetings. I was immediately and pleasantly surprised by the man I met. The one quality, which struck me most, was his transparent forthrightness, his honesty. Here was a man, I thought, who did not waste time in diplomatic niceties but who, once he agreed to something, could be depended upon to honor his word. He offered no excuses or apologies for the deportations, nor did he demonstrate any hostility towards the United Nations. He encouraged me to spell out my proposals to which he promised to give careful consideration. I, of course, had no illusions. I did not expect Israel to easily agree with Security Council’s demand to revoke the deportations. Nevertheless, I was impressed that Mr. Rabin not only did not reject the resolution but, in fact, showed full willingness to negotiate a phased withdrawal. I will not go into all the details, but towards the end of my mission, which was not successful, as I would have wished, I suggested to Mr. Rabin that he ought to arrive at the same kind of deal I had suggested to the United States rather than that suggested to the United Nations. He smiled and disarmingly agreed with me. 53 Rabin: UN conferred legitimacy on the State of Israel The last time I personally met Mr. Rabin was in October 1995, in New York. He had come to participate in the 50th anniversary celebrations of the United Nations. At a gathering of Jewish leaders at which I was present, Mr. Rabin told his audience, in unambiguous terms, that while Israel had legitimate grievances against the United Nations, the Israelis and the Jewish community everywhere must never forget that it was the United Nations which had conferred legitimacy on the State of Israel. I know that the relations between Israel and United Nations have improved significantly in recent years, but in 1995 it was a very significant statement on the part of Mr. Rabin. Many people have claimed to have authored of the Oslo Accords, but it had only one parent on the Israeli side - namely, Mr. Rabin. It was he who had to take the political decision and assume responsibility for signing the accords. He put his political career and, as subsequent events were so tragically to demonstrate, his life on the line for the sake of peace. He did not act out of fear of the Intifada but through careful calculation of Israel’s interests and through a broad vision 54 of the direction in which he saw the Israelis and the Palestinians moving in the years ahead. Of course, he would never dilute Israel’s military and security capability, but at the same time, he had the courage to come to terms with the forces of history and the realities on the ground. There can be no definite answer to the question whether the peace process would be at a different stage today had Rabin lived longer. Mr. Aaron Miller, who knew Mr. Rabin as well as anybody else, believes that, Rabin could have overcome the deep distrust of Israeli politics and worked with the Palestinian partner. Most people in this conference would probably agree with Mr. Miller’s. An overwhelming majority on both sides crave for peace The situation today, as I see it, has not changed in any fundamental sense over the past few years. An overwhelming majority of people on both sides continue to crave for peace. The Oslo Accords have been overtaken by the Roadmap. The leadership on both sides has accepted the Roadmap and continues to pledge their respective commitment to implement it. The decision of Prime Minister Sharon to withdraw from the Gaza Strip was warmly welcomed by India and the international community and, most significantly, by the President of the Palestinian Authority, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas. It required political courage on the part of the Prime Minister to make the decision and implemented it. A few months ago, Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh stated that Middle East, or West Asia, to give the region its proper geographical description, had become a region of major concern to India. Therefore, India's Prime Minister decided to appoint a Special Envoy to the region, the first time that a government in India has taken such a step. Today, as we pay tribute to the memory of Yitzhak Rabin, the soldier turned statesman, it would be beneficial to all of us in the international community, including in particular the Israeli and Palestinian people and their leaders to reaffirm their commitment to find solutions, however difficult, to the undoubtedly complex and emotional issues facing them. Rabin’s words are as relevant today as when he said them more than 10 years ago: 'We shall negotiate as if there is no terror and we shall deal with terror as if there are no negotiations.' Prime Minister Blair's Message in Memorial of Yitzhak Rabin By: Lord Michael Levy Personal Envoy of Prime Minister Tony Blair and Special Advisor on the Middle East I have been asked to deliver the following speech on behalf of my Prime Minister Tony Blair. On this day of commemoration and reflection, I would like to express my gratitude for Yitzhak Rabin's commitment and sacrifice. The loss of Yitzhak Rabin was a tragedy not only for his family, but also for the whole Israeli people. I became leader of my own country’s Labor party only shortly before Yitzhak Rabin’s death. I went to his funeral determined to express my own personal solidarity with his vision, and with the people of Israel. That occasion was my first personal encounter with the profound and impressive sense of determination in adversity that has marked Israel’s national life at difficult moments. Throughout his long and distinguished career, Yitzhak Rabin’s life was devoted to the State of Israel. He worked unstintingly for his country's best interests. The combination of integrity, courage, judgment and pragmatism, so central to the way Yitzhak Rabin worked, is an example to us all. Speaking before the US Congress on the eve of the signing of the Oslo Accords, Prime Minister Rabin declared: “I was a military man for 27 years. I waged war as long as there was no chance for peace. I believe there is now a chance for peace, a great chance, and we must take advantage of it.” Yitzhak Rabin did not make the move from being a man of war to a man of peace because the courage of his military career had deserted him, rather the opposite. The courageous thing to do then was to search for peace. He knew that achieving peace required difficult decisions for the sake of a greater good, but was undeterred. Yitzhak Rabin set in train a dialogue which, despite serious setbacks, continues today. Now there is renewed opportunity. The disengagement from Gaza gives us all a chance to rebuild the momentum. And the Roadmap shows us the way ahead to end the terrible conflict in this region. We must never underestimate the challenges. We are not complacent about progress. And we will not trivialize the decisions which remain to be taken. But there remains a determination to find new solutions to longstanding and difficult problems. The goal of an Israeli state and a Palestinian state living side by side in peace requires great courage, effort and sacrifice. But it is a worthy goal. And it is a crucial obligation we all share. But just as Yitzhak Rabin’s legacy has survived the terror which took his life, so those who search for peace can and will overcome those who use violence for destructive ends. Those who demonstrate the bravery to search for peace, despite obstacles and opposition, are heirs to Yitzhak Rabin’s vision. It has often been said that the best memorial to Yitzhak Rabin’s life would be a just and lasting peace. As we remember Yitzhak Rabin today, let us all redouble our efforts, strengthen our resolve and extend our compassion to all those who have suffered from this conflict, so that together we may be worthy of his legacy. (Footnotes) 1. Pursuing Peace: The Peace Speeches of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, Tel Aviv 1995, pp. 149-150 (my emphases) 55 His Vision - Our Reality: Yitzhak Rabin and Egypt From War to Peace Yitzhak Rabin… A Fighter for Peace By: Dr. Osama El Baz, chair of panel, Political Advisor to the President of Egypt In the history of nations, certain individuals endowed with wisdom, vision and courage emerge in the midst of despair in order to pave the road to a better future for their people. There is no doubt whatsoever that the late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin was one of these leaders. In an address from the podium of the Knesset in July 1992, he urged his colleagues and his people at large to think of engaging in peace making rather than in a peace process. He believed that it was absurd to waste any opportunity for making peace and ending war, violence, bloodshed and hatred. To Rabin, the sad events and images of the past should never block the vision of real leaders and their supporters from taking calculated risks along the road to peace. Throughout the history of our region, the Middle East, we see shining examples of leaders endowed with courage and commitment. With their sense of mission and hope, they were able to defeat the voices of doom and gloom of their adversaries and take 56 gigantic steps forward. This is how history is written and how peace is made. Without any doubt, Yitzhak Rabin was one of these courageous leaders who is committed to a better future for his own people and for his adversaries. He recognized the right of the Palestinian people to live in peace and dignity like his own people. He realized the fact that making peace, however difficult and risky it may appear, should be given top priority and be approached with full commitment. Those who become discouraged by obstacles, sharp differences or illusions of destined conflicts and irreconcilable interests must not be allowed to block the road to the future. The future is made by great individuals whose moral commitment to peace precede their suspicions and fears. In Egypt, we came to know the late Yitzhak Rabin over a number of years through various circumstances. We knew him first as an adversary, but later we knew him as an interlocutor for peace, and ultimately as a full partner in peace, a true peacemaker. Rabin has often puzzled commentators who were astounded that a tough soldier came to be regarded as a man of peace; they argued that this transition could only have occurred late in his career. Yet this transition from soldier to man of peace did not arise from a vacuum. Rabin showed signs of aspiring for peace earlier in his career as well. Rabin's development into a peacemaker Prime Minister Rabin, during his first period term as Prime Minister in the 1970s, negotiated with Egypt towards an interim agreement. Faithful to his very nature, Rabin was sensitive to security issues. However, more significantly, he sought a political agreement, not a military one. For Rabin, what was important was the extent to which this interim agreement would end the state of war, and bring peace a step closer. That initial step was a clear sign of the peacemaker which he was to become, and his acceptance of the “land for peace” formula. Addressing the Knesset on the agreement, Prime Minister Rabin stated: 'I assume that if it is achieved, it will be demonstrated in the future - whatever the criticism that is being leveled at it today - this was a serious attempt, on Israel's initiative, to make a breakthrough on the road towards peace.'1 After the interim agreement was initialed on 1st September 1975, the late President Sadat, a hero of peace himself, acknowledged that a new period had begun that represented a turning point in the Arab-Israeli conflict. The road towards peace had been established, and it was soon thereafter that President Sadat took the first bold step on this road, albeit with the new Prime Minister of Israel, Menachem Begin. During Sadat’s historic visit to the Knesset, Yitzhak Rabin as a member of Knesset, approached the President and told him: 'your courageous and bold arrival here hopefully created a new era.' Yitzhak Rabin undoubtedly had his share in initiating this very first blossom of peace in our region. Yitzhak Rabin would return more than a decade later, and for a second time become Prime Minister of Israel. During the interim, he remained close attuned to the realities of the ArabIsraeli conflict. Moreover, as Minister of Defense during the national unity government, he witnessed first-hand the aspirations of the Palestinian people expressed during the Intifada in their quest for self-determination, and their refusal to continue living under Israeli occupation. Undoubtedly this experience influenced Rabin's outlook when he returned to the premiership. Egypt recognized early on that the new Israeli Prime Minister meant business regarding the peace process. Likewise, Rabin knew that Egypt was a key player in the future of peace in the region. During his address presenting his government to the Knesset on 13 July 1992, Rabin specifically mentioned Egypt in his plans to pursue peace, when he stated, 'In peace-making, we wish to call upon the aid of Egypt, whose late leader, President Anwar Sadat, exhibited such courage and was able to bequeath to his people – and to us – the first peace agreement.' Rabin recognized that Egypt would be a key resource in the pursuit of peace, and therefore ensured that his first foreign diplomatic visit as Premier, coming a few days after this Knesset address, was to Egypt. This was also the first such visit by an Israeli Prime Minister to Egypt since 1986. Throughout the course of his three and a half years as Prime Minister, Rabin was to visit Egypt on no less than seven occasions to confer with President Mubarak. President Mubarak, in eulogizing the late Yitzhak Rabin, said that Rabin was 'a courageous leader and a recognized statesman….He defied the prejudices of the past to tackle the most complicated of problems, namely the Palestinian problem, in a forthright manner.' Egypt recognized Yitzhak Rabin as a partner for peace, a true peacemaker. It has always been our conviction that the quest for peace, in addition to true leadership, encompasses three attributes: a vision for peace among equals; a pragmatic approach; and a belief in partnership. Allow me to share with you what we believed to be the manner in which Yitzhak Rabin possessed these three attributes, and how he employed them in the quest for peace. The need for a vision for peace Rabin was an attuned observer of the realities and imperatives of his time. In presenting his government to the Knesset in July 1992, Rabin stated: “no longer are we necessarily ‘a people that dwells alone,’ and no longer is it true that ‘the whole world is against us.’ We must overcome the sense of isolation that had held us in its thrall for almost half a century. We must join the international movement towards peace, reconciliation and cooperation that is spreading over the entire globe these days – lest we be the last to remain, all alone, in the station.” In 1992, Rabin was a believer in the imperative for peace and the possibilities afforded to achieve it. He set about to resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict, not to manage it. Unfortunately today, certain voices are ignoring such lofty principles and 57 operating on the assumption of the continuation of violence and of subjugation. Rabin possessed a vision of how to achieve peace, which he outlined to the Knesset as a priority. “The new Government has made it a central goal to promote peace-making and to take vigorous steps that will lead to the end of the Arab-Israeli conflict”. he declared. Regarding the Palestinian question, he would later elaborate by referring to the plan stipulated by the Camp David accords of applying selfgovernment in Gaza and the West Bank for an interim period of five years. No later than three years after the period of autonomy was to take hold, permanent status negotiations would begin. On the Palestinian track, a major component of Rabin’s vision as it was to unfold was his acceptance of the inevitability that Israel would have to sit down with the Palestinians as partners for peace. In terms of his vision on the withdrawal from the Occupied Territories, Rabin was wise enough to declare as early as 1979 in his memoirs and earlier, that territorial compromise was not anathema, and 'that it may well be the only truly feasible solution precisely because it is the most just''2. Rabin saw beyond the emotional and religious attachment 58 to the Territories that was common among his political colleagues. This, in addition to Rabin's pragmatism, enabled his vision for peace to bear fruit. The need for pragmatism Yitzhak Rabin was personally wellsuited to the need for pragmatism that would arise in the quest for peace. He had been described by a keen observer to exhibit pragmatism but not cynicism, and was thus “motivated by a belief in life’s possibilities.”3 He looked forward to a future that would offer better possibilities for both peoples. Rabin was far from being an ideologue and did not care for dogma. His adaptability was always evident and his capacity to change and to reform his views was a major credit to peace. It was out of these personal convictions that Rabin recognized the dangers and the lost opportunities that would result from a lack of pragmatism. In early September 1992, Rabin cautioned that 'it is time to give up the religion of Greater Israel,' a reference to his willingness for territorial concessions.4 He acknowledged that the previous sterile formula of ‘peace for peace’ was going nowhere. On the Palestinian track, Rabin’s pragmatism recognized the need for a change in his relations with the PLO, and with Yasser Arafat. Rabin’s pragmatism was soon to carry the day, and in a little bit over a year from assuming office, he would officially recognize the PLO, sign agreements with Arafat and in an inspiring twist of fate, share the Nobel Peace Prize with Arafat. Today we are encouraged by further pragmatic steps taken along the road to peace. The Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and a few settlements in the northern part of the West Bank is a step in the right direction. We call upon the Israeli Government to continue the withdrawal of its troops from all the Palestinian territories, and to implement all of its commitments in this respect in accordance with the Road Map peace initiative. In a pragmatic reversal of policy on the Syrian track, Rabin declared in September 1992 that his government would adopt the ‘territory for peace’ concept, acknowledging that UNSC resolutions 242 and 338 applied to the Golan.5 We urge Israel and Syria to engage constructively on the road to peace guided by this principle acknowledged by Rabin, with its roots contained in the Camp David Accords. The Need for Partnership A solid path towards peace requires the presence of trustworthy partners. Rabin was lucky to have partnerships that enabled him and each member of the partnership to move forward towards peace. Yitzhak Rabin also found a profound and strong partner in Shimon Peres, his Nobel co-laureate. Despite their differences over the years, both men had the moral courage and responsibility toward their people to partner for this noble cause. In his search for a partner on the Palestinian side, Rabin was to discover that the PLO and Arafat in particular who were the real interlocutors. Ultimately, on 10th September 1993, Israel and the PLO were to sign letters recognizing each other. Within a matter of months, Rabin was to conquer his lingering apprehensions about the PLO and Arafat, and was to come to recognize Arafat’s honoring of his commitments. Trust began to replace suspicion, and respect ensued.6 To some extent, the memory of Yitzhak Rabin as a staunch fighter for peace and coexistence coincided with a turnabout in the Palestinian attitude, championed by Chairman Yasser Arafat. Arafat led the way to a new chapter in the region’s history when he courageously advocated the cause of peace on the basis of “land for peace” and the coexistence of two states living side by side in harmony and dignity. He entered negotiations with Israel on this basis, hence departing from the traditional Palestinian and Arab position that considered the establishment of a Jewish State in part of Palestine be an unthinkable anathema. Having taken a courageous departure from long-held Palestinian and Arab views, Arafat was attacked by both sides equally. It is a strange coincidence that the memorials of these two historic leaders are taking place at the same time, more or less. We hope that the vast majority of these two peoples will honor the two great leaders by heeding their historic transformation and pursue peaceful coexistence relentlessly. I am not unaware of the obstacles and difficulties. However, saving the lives of both peoples is a historic mission that none of us can ignore. May we be inspired by the memory of Yitzhak Rabin in order to revive the essence of peace and coexistence. Today, we are reassured that President Mahmoud Abbas is maintaining this partnership. On the Syrian track, actual achievements have been unfortunately limited. However, it would be a mistake to attribute this fact to the lack of a partnership between Rabin and the late President Assad. Indeed, while the two men never met, and while negotiations between both countries were limited, Rabin was reported to have felt that he could trust Assad, considered him a ‘man of his word,’ and that he would honor any accord that they might reach.7 A more prosperous partnership for peace for Rabin was undoubtedly with the late King Hussein of Jordan. The nature of the issues to be resolved by both countries were not as complex as on the other tracks and were quickly resolved, culminating in the October 26th 1994 signing of the peace treaty between Jordan and Israel. President Mubarak was undoubtedly considered by Rabin to be a partner for peace, as discussed earlier. Equally, the United States, which has historically taken an essential role in the search for Middle East peace, has been an important partner. The EU, Russia and the international community have also played vital roles in establishing peace. As early as 1979, Rabin alluded to the important role that the international community could play in cementing peace through their support and financing of economic and social development.8 59 The late Yitzhak Rabin had a vision for peace, he had the pragmatism to carry it out, and he had the willing partners. Throughout his quest for peace, he was constantly conscious of the imperative of security for his citizens, and the need to promote it. Fortunately, Rabin was a believer that peace and security must proceed in tandem if either of them is to be achieved. He realized that it would never be possible to rely solely on military force to serve as an instrument of stability and for achieving security for Israel.9 He was to express his conviction about the simultaneous necessity of peace and security soon after taking office as Prime Minister in 1992, where he stated: 'In my opinion, peace constitutes a very important component as a factor to guarantee the security of the State of Israel, [since] peace without security is meaningless to me. However, a true peace increases the security of the State of Israel.'10 While the late Prime Minister Rabin was progressing with his partners towards peace, as he had cautioned his fellow countrymen and women, a price was being paid by both Israelis and Palestinians. Violence and terrorism raged then, as they raged before the peace process, as they are raging today. Violence and terrorism are the common enemies 60 of both sides. Rabin was determined that radical elements on both sides would not prevail. In his final speech to the Israeli public, at a massive propeace and anti-violence rally, Yitzhak Rabin said, minutes before his death, “I have always believed most of the nation wants peace and is prepared to take risks for peace. And you here, who have come to take a stand for peace, as well as many others who are not here, are proof that the nation truly wants peace and rejects violence. Violence is undermining the foundations of Israeli democracy. It must be rejected and condemned and it must be contained. It is not the way of the State of Israel. Democracy is our way... Peace is not just a prayer. It is at first a prayer, but it is also the realistic aspiration of the Jewish people. But peace has its enemies, who are trying to harm us, to torpedo peace.” We all miss the late Yitzhak Rabin and his vision and convictions, his leadership and his partnership. During the period from September 2000 to September 2005, more than 3,300 Palestinians and almost 1,000 Israelis lost their lives in indiscriminate acts of violence.11 We Arabs, Israelis and, indeed, the international community must continue fighting for peace. Together, we must face the painful challenges from radicals, terrorists and blind unchecked authoritative power. Our only hope is through the true pursuit of peace that focuses on the return of the Occupied Territories. Yitzhak Rabin and Egypt: From War to Peace By: Ambassador Dan Kurtzer, Former U.S. Ambassador to Egypt and Israel I want to thank the Rabin Center and the Strategic Dialogue Center of the Netanya Academic College for the invitation to join you and the opportunity to address this conference. It is not my first time at this College, and I want again to congratulate Danny Yatom and the administration, faculty, students and supporters of this institution for creating a center of excellence here in Netanya. The theme of this conference – being held in remembrance of and in tribute of the late Yitzhak Rabin – is probably loftier than Prime Minister Rabin would have been comfortable with. The late Prime Minister Rabin exuded Israeli realism and pragmatism. His thinking was rooted in the here-and-now, far less in the visionary thoughts of the future. He seemed to conduct his affairs as though saying: “The world has dealt Israel and the Jewish people cards that need to be played. Some might pray for a better hand; others might lament the cards not received .” Yitzhak Rabin, however, would work to maximize the benefits to be derived from the existing cards and develop strategies and tactics for changing the rules of the game to suit the hand that he was holding. So, my remarks today will be less romantic or visionary than the occasion might call for, although no less respectful of the extraordinary personality that Yitzhak Rabin exemplified throughout his life and through his professional achievements. He was a member of Israel’s founding generation, but also a part of the generation of transition. He was a fighter, as brave and as brilliant as any warrior ever produced by the people of Israel; but he was also a man of peace, unafraid to take the risks associated with peace. He was a man of vision but not really a visionary, for he never lost sight of the firm ground on which visions of peace and reconciliation needed to be planted. In a eulogy I delivered in Maryland the week after the assassination, I compared Prime Minister Rabin with the forefather Yitzhak – two historical giants, both with substantial individual achievements but both also noteworthy for carrying and building on what the previous generation had created. The healthy and vibrant Israel of 2005 owes much to the dual roles of founding father and transitional generation continuity that Yitzhak Rabin played. The Nobel Prize which Rabin shared in 1994 was awarded specifically for the breakthrough achieved in the Oslo Accords and the transformation which he and Shimon Peres effected in Israel’s relations with the Palestinians. The Prize also reflected Rabin’s leadership which, together with the heroic efforts of the late King Hussein, resulted in a Treaty of Peace between Israel and Jordan. I would maintain, however, that the underlying strategic significance of Rabin’s concept of war, peace and Israel’s place among the nations of the Middle East was in his longstanding record of interaction with the United States and with Egypt, both when he had to fight on the battlefield and when he represented Israel at the summits of diplomacy. I want to explore this thesis today from the perspective of the United States and U.S. interests in the Middle East in the three decades following the 1967 war. Rabin's interaction with the United States and Egypt The ascendancy and dominance of the United States in world affairs – in particular, in Middle East affairs – expanded consistently from the late 1960’s onward. Although the 61 Vietnam War drained much of the military will of the United States to intervene militarily, and although the rivalry with the former Soviet Union for regional dominance challenged the United States consistently throughout this period, the growing U.S. economic and political strength became a force to be reckoned with in international affairs. During this period, Israel enjoyed a positive relationship with the United States, but not without problems. For several decades, the U.S. had been balancing its commitment to Israel’s survival with the pursuit of other national interests that appeared to contradict that commitment – specifically, the U.S. interest in developing strong ties with moderate Arab states; U.S. interest in assuring access to Middle East energy resources; and the U.S. interest in keeping the Middle East safe from external and internal threats to stability. Rabin’s tenure at the pinnacle of Israel’s military and his ascent to the pinnacle of Israeli politics bridged and were shaped by this period. While it is hard to pinpoint a single event or set of circumstances that led to the coalescing of the strategic outlook that Rabin was to maintain for the rest of his life, by the time of the 1973 war, two things seemed to dominate his thinking: 62 • Israel must ensure strong strategic ties with the United States, i.e., relations that would persist even in times of bilateral or regional crisis, and relations that would be concretized in bilateral agreements and understandings. Rabin understood that a superpower and a regional power would never be able to bring their interests or policies fully into concert. But he also understood that Israel should not pursue policies that were antithetical to the vital interests of the U.S., and conversely that strategic understandings between the two countries were possible. We shall see later how Rabin managed this strategic imperative in relations with the United States. • Second, Rabin believed that Israel must find a way to regularize its relations with Egypt, the only Arab power able to challenge Israel’s military supremacy and to impact its political weight. In some respects, as we shall see, Rabin applied the same tactics to managing relations with Egypt as he did with the United States. The results in both cases were substantial, positive and very similar. 1975 Israel-Egypt interim agreement: Rabin's diplomacy of realism The 1975 negotiations on a second interim agreement between Israel and Egypt reflect Rabin’s nuanced use of diplomacy, politics, crisis management and calibrated threats to navigate toward an outcome with profound positive outcomes for all sides. Although the 1975 agreement has a modest title, the stakes in the negotiations were very high, the issues were terrifically complex, and the outcome paved the way for the Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty that was reached several years later. The United States needed a positive outcome for several reasons. On the domestic front, President Ford wanted a foreign policy success in order to demonstrate his capacity to lead and to reassure the American public – one year before a Presidential election – that he was Presidential material. The United States was in the final stage of disentangling itself from Vietnam. Diplomatic progress in the Middle East would help mute the voices of those who forecasted a decline in American international influence. The United States was also interested in improving relations with Egypt and was beginning to understand that its previous skepticism about Anwar Sadat was misplaced. Sadat’s pre1973 diplomatic and strategic moves – especially, his decision to send Soviet military advisors home and his decision to dispatch his national security advisor to meet Kissinger for secret talks – were not evaluated as seriously by either the United States or Israel as Sadat had intended. The 1973 war had been an important wake-up call, but two years had passed without the war’s having changed the strategic outlook in the region. A second interim agreement could have such an effect. The core issues in the negotiations were profound – Israeli pullback from the Suez Canal, transfer of the oil fields, reassertion of Egyptian control over the Canal for the first time since 1967, U.S. monitors and observers on the ground, and guaranteed freedom of passage for Israeli vessels. While lip service would also be sought for the Palestinian issue, the core of this agreement was bilateral, and its success would say much about the possibility of moving further toward a bilateral peace treaty between Israel and Egypt. Both Israel and Egypt needed an agreement for their own domestic, political and, especially, economic reasons. Washington’s assessment of the Israeli economy in that period was bleak, and Rabin made clear how dire the situation was, by pressing Washington for a very large assistance package. Egypt’s economic picture was even bleaker, for without an immediate injection of assistance, the Egyptian economy came ever-closer to breakdown. The upside stakes for Israel and Egypt were equally large. Rabin sought not only a large infusion of economic and military assistance, but also a new strategic understanding, covering a broad range of issues, especially U.S. relations with the Palestine Liberation Organization and an assurance on oil supplies to replace the oil fields from which Israel would withdraw in Sinai. Egypt also sought to establish a strategic relationship with the United States and was ready to take small steps, for example, purchasing nonlethal military equipment, as a means of breaking the ice that had frozen U.S.-Egyptian ties since 1967. Rabin’s diplomacy during this period was instructive of his overall approach to complex problems and his willingness to be tough when necessary. The negotiations nearly collapsed in mid-year, and Rabin’s perceived obstinacy caused the United States to announce a reassessment of its policy and to delay implementation of an arms deal. Rabin’s concerns about the possibility of enhanced U.S.-Egyptian ties probably lay at the foundation of the hesitancy which marked his approach to the negotiations. However, once agreement had been reached and once the package of public and secret understandings had been reached with the United States, Rabin described to the Knesset the underlying philosophy of his approach and his appreciation of what had been achieved. Some excerpts from his September 3, 1975 statement to the Knesset: …The agreement with Egypt which we have initialed is a very hopeful event. Its principal significance is saliently political. Its principal content is that agreement has been achieved that force and fighting will not be the characteristics of IsraelEgyptian relations, that neither side will resort to the use of force against the other…. '…I attribute great political significance to the very fact that the President of Egypt found it possible for his government to sign such an agreement with Israel – an agreement that stands on its own, without being conditional upon events on other fronts…. 63 '…The close involvement of the United States in the process by which the agreement was attained, in the agreement itself, and in its concrete results, at the bilateral level and in the global context, is also of political significance….' Rabin concluded his statement to the Knesset in what I would presume to call Rabinesque language. 'I stand at the rostrum of the Knesset not as a celebrant, or as one who takes off his armor.' And then later, 'I have no intention of making soothing statements.' What we see is a hard-headed realist, fresh from the successful pursuit of a series of complex negotiations, taking stock of what was achieved and recognizing what lay ahead. The strategic underpinning of this process is what interests me. Rabin had laid the groundwork and foundation for strategic relations with the United States and a partnership of trust and understanding with Egypt that was to last for the next twenty years. He had taken the cards that were dealt to him and played them with supreme confidence and skill. And he had changed the rules of the game, for the Israel-U.S. relationship and the Israel-Egypt relationship were 64 from that time on to move in new directions. The Rabin-Mubarak relationship during the Oslo process The second example I want to cite to underscore my core argument - that Rabin, through realism, toughness and a keen awareness of Israel’s strategic possibilities and limitations, sought and achieved enhanced strategic relationships with the United States and Egypt - is the last period of his life, when he was overseeing the Oslo process. A definitive study of this period has not yet been written. While we have seen several first person accounts of the process, we are still missing a book that puts the peace process, politics and diplomacy into perspective. Allow me a few broad comments at this time. During my tenure as the United States Ambassador to Egypt (1997-2001), President Mubarak repeatedly told me that he yearned for a relationship with an Israeli Prime Minister akin to what he had enjoyed with Yitzhak Rabin. He said Rabin visited him often, called all the time and, most important, always fulfilled his commitments. Mubarak added that Rabin also told him what he could not do, which Mubarak respected.Indeed, the first trip abroad by Rabin after becoming Prime Minister in July 1992 was to Egypt, and he was in frequent, almost constant, contact with Mubarak after that. Having revolutionized the political landscape in the Oslo Accord in 1993, Rabin understood the need for constancy and reliability in Israel’s position in the region. Egypt and the United States provided these necessary ingredients. This was never in more evidence than during the last phase of the negotiations on the first Interim Agreement, signed in Cairo on May 4, 1994. The negotiating venue was no accident. Yassar Arafat needed a place in which he felt comfortable and local hosts whom he could trust and in whom he might confide; and Rabin needed a place close to home in order to monitor the negotiations and in the presence of a host he also could trust. Who will ever forget the scene, televised internationally, during the signing ceremony when Arafat refused to sign the maps accompanying the agreement? Who will ever forget Rabin’s instruction to the Israeli delegation to prepare to depart? And who will ever forget who saved the day – Hosni Mubarak, who leaned on Arafat and secured his signature on the maps. Rabin’s long-term investment in a relationship with Mubarak paid extraordinary dividends that day. Conclusions: Rabin as realistic, credible peacemaker So, what do these brief historical snapshots tell us about Yitzhak Rabin and his relationship with the United States and Egypt? First, I believe they underscore the realpolitik that stood at the center of Rabin’s strategic makeup. He was not a romantic about peace and certainly not Pollyannaish about the readiness of the Arab world to turn a new page with Israel. This was not in the cards, as far as he could determine. But, he played his hand to the full, understanding the need for strong regional and international pillars on which Israel’s political-military strategy could rest. Having fought often against Egypt, Rabin knew Egypt would be the Arab lynchpin of peace, and he successfully developed the kind of mutual trust on which strong ties could rest. Equally, he achieved the same with the United States, not yielding to American pressure but working with it to develop mutually agreeable outcomes. A second outcome worth considering is style. A conversation with Yitzhak Rabin was not full of charm or flattery. There was no small talk. He started with business and finished with business, perhaps punctuating his comments now and then with a wry smile that elevated only one side of his mouth. And yet he was trusted in both Washington and Cairo. Policymakers in both capitals didn’t need flattery or what Rabin called “soothing statements” to recognize in Rabin a leader who could and would deliver. Diplomats who put more store in how they say things, rather than what they say, should take note. Third, I would cite Mubarak’s emphasis on credibility as an enduring legacy of Rabin’s approach to relations with the United States and Egypt. When Rabin was ready to flirt with new policies and approaches, he would do so – witness, the turnabout he achieved in Israel’s formal relations with the PLO and his willingness to deposit some ideas with the United States to try to attract Syrian interest in a peace settlement. He would say what he was trying to do and then go about trying to do it. consequences for many years. Among the highlights of my own diplomatic career were those opportunities to work with or close to Yitzhak Rabin. We met privately in the late 1980s and early 1990s in his small office on a side street in the Kirya. I sat in on meetings between him and Secretaries of State. I learned more than I can describe, and I came to admire the man, the statesman and the giant that he was. May his memory always be blessed, and may our collective memory of him draw inspiration from the successes of his historic life and career. But when he wasn’t ready to flirt with an idea, he didn’t sugarcoat his statements. His ‘no’ meant no, just as his ‘yes’ meant yes. Indeed, Rabin combined these attributes of style and substance into strategic relationships with both the United States and Egypt, which were to have profound 65 Egypt and Israel – From War to Peace By: Ambassador Moshe Sasson, Former Ambassador of Israel to Egypt I served as the second Israeli ambassador in Egypt for seven years, two months, and one day: from May 18, 1981 until the end of June, 1988. In this role, I worked closely with President Anwar al-Sadat, a true visionary, who knew how to understand events and trends occurring in his country and in the region. He was able to face difficult situations, draw the appropriate conclusions, and make the required leadership decisions. Sadat's forecast of his own death Approximately two months before his assassination, Sadat told me during one of our intimate conversations that the day on which he is to 'meet his maker' is approaching. I was shocked by his words, and started to question his meaning; however, he refused to add a word. When I asked Sadat's wife, Jehan, about her husband's words, she also found them discomforting, and added that her husband had recently been unusually inquisitive regarding his place of burial. According to Jehan, the President had requested burial in Wadi al-Rahat in 66 Sinai, and wanted a mosque and a synagogue to be erected beside the Santa-Katrina monastery. Jehan told me that she rejected her husband's idea, claiming that neither she, nor the Egyptian nation would make the arduous trek out to his grave, if he was buried in the middle of the Sinai desert. In the end, Sadat was buried neither in Wadi al-Rahat in Sinai nor in his birth-place, but was instead buried in the place that Jehan decided upon – beside the Islamic Warrior's grave, across from where he was assassinated. The meaning of 'strategic peace' Twenty-six years have passed since the historic signing of the EgyptIsrael peace accords. From the Egyptian perspective, this peace is not, and has never been based on an ideological commitment to peace, or Egyptian leaders' commitment to peace as a value or way of life. From the Egyptian perspective, this 'strategic peace' came into being due to the clear national interest to return the Sinai Peninsula to Egyptian sovereignty. Upon his death, President Nasser left the new President Sadat a country whose smaller geographical area (Sinai) was occupied by Israel, and a serious demographic population explosion problem. When the military coup d'etat took over the government in 1952, Egypt's population stood at approximately 20 million. By the time of Nasser's death, the population had grown to 32 million, and by the time of Sadat's assassination, it had grown to 42 million. Currently, the population stands at approximately 63 million, and by the middle of this century, it is expected to reach a whopping 200 million. When Sadat rose to power in 1970, he consulted with army chiefs and senior counselors regarding the chances that Egypt could recapture the Sinai Peninsula from Israel. All of those consulted claimed unanimously that the Egyptian army could not defeat the IDF and recapture the Sinai Peninsula, which resulted in Sadat attempting to return Sinai to Egyptian rule through a peace treaty with Israel. Sadat also understood the emotional state of his nation – he knew that he could not reach a peace agreement with Israel until he somehow erased the dishonor suffered by his country at the hands of Israel during the 1967 war. To this end, Sadat launched the 1973 Yom Kippur War, whose intention was not necessarily to return the Sinai to Egyptian sovereignty, but was merely to ensure that his army cross the Suez Canal and progress a number of kilometers eastward. 'Strategic Peace' is not to be confused with the traditional meaning of the word 'peace'. Neither Israel nor the Egyptians anticipated that an era of 'peace', in its traditional meaning, was upon them when signing the accords. However, before his death, Sadat signed several normalization agreements with Israel, including the birth of a bus service from Tel Aviv to Cairo and the exchange of tourists. Natural contacts between the nations had begun. Limited normalization under Mubarak's rule Despite all progress towards normalization, I never ceased asking myself, from my first day in Cairo, what would be the fate of the peace agreements if Sadat were to unexpectedly meet his end, for one reason or another. During those days, and still today, I am convinced that the peace agreement with Egypt is still undergoing a 'maturing process' and primarily dependent upon the IDF's deterrent power. Truthfully, there has not been any government-initiated border violence since the peace treaty. However, under Mubarak's rule, there has been no attempt to educate Egyptian society to accept Israel as a peaceful neighbor. Mubarak himself has repeatedly made the mistake of causing tensions in Egypt's relations with Israel and has refused to make diplomatic visits to Israel. Israel, naturally, will continue to develop and prosper even without visits from the Egyptian leader – visits which are more essential to the progress of regional peace than to Israel itself. I should clarify the following point: I give my blessing to this 'strategic peace' with Egypt, and have the utmost hopes that similar strategic peace agreements will be signed with the rest of our neighbors. Egypt's leading role in the Arab world It is no coincidence that Egypt has 'led the pack' of Arab states in progressing towards peaceful relations with Israel – Egypt was the first to sign a separation of arms agreement with Israel in 1949 and the first to sign a peace agreement with Israel. Attempts to reach peace treaties with other Arab countries (i.e. Jordan, Lebanon) before signing a peace agreement with Egypt, inevitably, failed. This lesson must be applied to the Palestinian front – without Egypt's involvement and assistance, no Palestinian leader will work for a peace treaty with uAs I understand the reasons behind Sadat's assassination, there is no basis to the claim that he was murdered because of the peace treaty he signed with Israel. There are only two leaders who were assassinated because of their attempts to achieve peace: Yitzhak Rabin and Bashir Gemayel. All other Arab leaders in our region who were assassinated – and there have been many – were murdered because of internal Arab factional conflicts. In essence, Sadat was assassinated because he rejected the demand to impose 'Sharia' Islamic Law as part of the country's constitution – the very same reason that a group of 'Muslim Brotherhood' radicals attempted to assassinate President Nasser in 1954. Lessons learned from peace negotiations UN Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338 left conquered territories in Israel's hands (unlike the UN decision of 1956), causing Israeli Prime Minister Levi Eshkol to claim, "Israel will strengthen its hold on the conquered territories, as long as we have not reached peace agreements." This left 'bargaining chips' in Israel's hands, in exchange for which Israel could negotiate peace accords. This was true for the Sinai Peninsula, the Golan Heights, the Gaza Strip, and 67 the West Bank. We learned several important lessons from the EgyptianIsraeli peace accord and from other peace negotiations, lessons that can be used during future peace negotiations in the region: • In our region, there is no such thing as "Peace in exchange for Peace". In order to achieve peace, Israel is expected to hand over at least some of its 'assets'. • Peace cannot be imposed on the other party (as former Prime Minister Barak attempted). Peace must be negotiated. • The relationship formed between the relevant figures on each side (for example, Sadat and Begin) is of the utmost importance for peace negotiations. • It is essential to not miss opportunities. As President Clinton said to Yasser Arafat after the failure of the Camp David negotiations, "You missed an opportunity in 1947, and you have repeated the same mistake today. You, Arafat, will be the reason that Temple Mount remains under Israeli sovereignty." • It is essential to both abandon the path of violence and the path of establishing 'irreversible facts on the ground' • Any peace achieved in our region must be an honorable peace. • For the purpose of achieving 68 peace, Israel's military strength and deterrence capabilities have the utmost importance. • A third party that oversees negotiations is essential. Without the Americans, peace with Egypt would not have occurred. • Fully-normalized peace, as opposed to mere 'strategic peace' is achievable with our neighbors. However, it is deeply intertwined with our ability to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians. Essential principles for reach peace with the Palestinians By taking all of these points into account, I have reached the following conclusions regarding the approach that must be taken in order to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians: 1. The approach of 'interim agreements' is unacceptable. Despite this claim, I will add, leaving the Gaza Strip as an interim step was essential, not because it presented an actual solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but because 7,500 Jews had no business living amongst 1,200,000 Arabs. 2. The claim that there is no Palestinian partner is untrue. Similarly, the claim that it is impossible to solve the most substantial issues between Israel and the Palestinians through negotiations is also untrue. We must stop trying to flee from genuinely attempting to solve the Palestinian problem by talking to the Palestinians. 3. Today, the ball is in our court, not in the Palestinians. Above all, we have the power through democratic means to determine our goals and our borders, and to stop clinging to the dream of 'Greater Israel'. The actual 'Greater Israel' described in the Bible stretches from the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers to the Nile. Thus, our borders cannot be set by making reference to the Bible. 4. If we continue to hold onto the West Bank we will become, within a small number of years, a minority in our own country. 5. We must stop fleeing from negotiating with the Palestinians by using various excuses, such as the 'no partner' excuse. Many of these oft used excuses are pure demagoguery. To sum up, I want to discuss two of the most difficult issues related to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: Jerusalem and Palestinian refugees. Jerusalem & the status of holy sites While serving as Ambassador in Egypt, I learned that for the Egyptians, and for many other Arab and Muslim nations, the importance of Jerusalem is encapsulated by the two Muslim holy sites located on the Temple Mount – the Al-Aksa Mosque and the Dome of the Rock. The city itself is of less importance. Therefore, the status of these holy sites may be the key to solving the Jerusalem issue. We can look to a historical example for assistance: A decades-long conflict arose between the Vatican and the Italian government when Italy declared Rome to be its undivided capital in 1870. The conflict over holy sites lasted for 60 years until both sides agreed that the 5 major basilicas in Rome (outside of the Vatican) would be attributed a "special and guaranteed international status." Similarly, to solve our issue of the Jerusalem Muslim holy sites, we could grant the two mosques a similar status while adding a clause that guarantees entrance to the Temple Mount to anyone independent of religion, race, or sex. This type of approach could prevent the need to split our eternal capital into two cities, while allowing Muslims to have a type of sovereignty over their holy mosques (the structures only, not the grounds underneath). The Refugee problem – creating a solution out of a problem The Palestinian refugee issue has been a huge stumbling block preventing a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians and the Arab world at large. I believe that we can, through an Israeli initiative, change the refugee burden into a revitalizing force that advances the peace process and co-existence between Israel and the Palestinians.An Arabic proverb states, "Everything that can be achieved through money – is cheap." With this in mind, we should initiate a program, created through international backing, which encourages refugee families to settle in areas of the West Bank intended for the future Palestinian state. These families will receive compensation payment on an individual basis from us, not collective compensation as proposed by previous Israeli governments. Neighborhoods, industrial zones, and agricultural areas could be erected in suburbs of Nablus and Hebron. In time, Palestinian refugees would become productive citizens of Palestine, living in peaceful and neighborly relations with Israelis, who will lend a hand to assist them is establishing a respectable standard of living. The Lessons of Camp David as a Prism for Viewing more Recent Developments By: Dr. Yoram Meital Chairman, the Chaim Herzog Center for Middle East Studies and Diplomacy, Ben-Gurion University When looking at Israel-Egypt relations, after 26 years of peace, it is important to look at the various processes that have accompanied this peace over a number of decades. It is possible that these processes can teach us something about the current state of relations between Israel and Egypt and in the region as a whole. There are three essential historical events that I want to discuss: the Camp David Peace Treaty between Israel and Egypt (1978-1979), the failed Camp David negotiations of 200, and the Israeli Disengagement from Gaza and the northern West Bank (2005). The Camp David breakthrough I want to open with a quote, which was said for the first time publicly by Dr. Osama El Baz, which summarizes 69 the incredible turnabout in Egyptian policy at the time. He made this statement, not for a foreign audience, but for an Egyptian audience, with the intention of inculcating the Egyptian public with a specific message about the meaning of peace with Israel. El Baz was quoted by the Egyptian press as saying something akin to the following – I will paraphrase: We must view the current diplomatic process with Israel as a transition from a conflict over the Israel's right to exist to a conflict over Israel's borders and the conditions under which peace will be acceptable. I believe that this statement, given the fact that it was made for local rather than foreign consumption, was extremely important and has proven to hold significant historical legitimacy and truth. This transition is one of the most important concepts of the entire Middle East diplomatic process. It was expressed through the incredible breakthrough of 1978-1979 – the Camp David Accords – and has implications not just between Egypt and Israel, but for the Middle East as a whole. Egypt, the leading Arab nation at the time, in a daring step, challenged Israel with the test of forcing Israel to 'lay its cards on the table.' The Camp David Accords raised the most difficult issues in 70 the Arab-Israeli conflict, which had far-reaching implications both for the Palestinian avenue and for the region as a whole. It is no coincidence that the 1993 Declaration of Principles was based on the concepts addressed in the Camp David Accords, and that 15 years after Camp David the same principles were used in dealing with the PLO. I also want to point out the mediation role played by the U.S.A. has not been merely essential for the Israeli-Egyptian track, but for diplomatic progress on a regional level. We must remember that in 1978 the Cold War was the guiding force of international diplomacy, which had implications for the depth of American involvement in the region. Camp David 2000: the failure of American mediation With this in mind, I must point out that there was a different level of American involvement between Camp David of 1978 and Camp David of 2000. In 1978, Jimmy Carter led negotiations intelligently and successfully by using both the 'carrot' and the 'stick'. He knew how to bring the sides to concessions that neither side was prepared for at the beginning of negotiations. I want to make the following blanket statement that I don't have time to deal with in detail: President Bill Clinton failed at Camp David 2000. He did not make use of the lessons of 1978 and the sides were not properly prepared for the required concessions. The results of these negotiations speak for themselves. The Policy of Openness The 1978 Camp David Accords and diplomatic processes thereafter began a process that I like to call 'the policy of openness'. My meaning is that peace has not existed in bubble, but has been deeply connected to internal economic and political developments, particularly in Egypt. This openness began in the late 1970s and is still developing today. I will provide an example that demonstrates this point. Today, one of the most significant topics in regional discourse, including in Egypt, is political reform. The question of whether democratization and political pluralism, even if this pluralism includes political parties who oppose peace with Israel, such as the Muslim Brotherhood, is a positive step for the region, is a question that requires serious consideration. This question has no simple unequivocal answers. Disengagement and the mentality of unilateralism I want to finish by dealing with the Israel's recent Disengagement from Gaza and the northern West Bank, and the policy of unilateralism in general. I want to take issue with the attempt to present the Disengagement, a unilateral step, as another step along the road towards peace. A unilateral approach that is based on the assumption that there is no partner on the other side will have disastrous implications. Whoever assumes that growing tensions between Israel and the Palestinians will have local implications only does not understand how the Middle East operates. Lack of dialogue with the Palestinians has an extremely negative influence on our relations with the Arab World, and in particular with Egypt. Whoever thinks that the Disengagement will create a bearable level of quiet that we can all live with is gravely mistaken. And whoever thinks that the negative implications of unilateralism can be contained to Israel and the Palestinians ought to reconsider Jordan and Egypt's fragile positions in the region. The bottom line is that today, we face a twofold challenge: 1.Twenty-five years after signing the peace agreement with Egypt, Israel must stop being suspicious of Egypt's intentions and must stop making public statements about Egypt's intention to use the Sinai Peninsula as a launching grounds for the next war or their intention to blow up the Aswan Dam. These types of comments are harmful both to the Israeli public discourse and to our relations with Egypt. 2. The greater challenge presented before us is to transform our current mentality of unilateralism into a mentality of discussion and negotiations, and to create the required mechanism for advancing negotiations. Unilateralism will not bring peace to fruition. The Forgotten Hero: Yitzhak Rabin and Israeli-Egyptian Relations By: Prof. Elie Podeh Chair, Middle East Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem “When President Sadat made his historic visit to Jerusalem… I was no longer Prime Minister. Yet that visit… could never have come about were it not for the course of my government adopted in signing the 1975 interim agreement. That our policy provoked the anger of the Likud opposition… has not prevented Mr. Begin's government from reaping the fruits of our labors… Whenever I hear talk of 'peace breaking out' any moment - as if the history of negotiations began in November 1977 - I feel obliged to set the record straight. The 1975 agreement with Egypt was never meant to be an end in itself. As its title implies, it was designed to advance the 'momentum' toward peace, and in that sense it has achieved its objective - no minor accomplishment in ME politics. I can only hope that the next achievement along the road will prove to be as durable and successful.”12 71 This passage, taken from Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin's memoirs, should be treated cautiously by the historian. Politicians, in their postfactum assessment tend to glorify their deeds. But with the wisdom of hindsight, exactly thirty years after the agreement and ten years after Rabin's assassination, it seems that Rabin's judgment was correct. The legacy of the Interim Egypt agreement 1. Rabin was the first Israeli leader to realize, following the 1973 war, that a peace agreement with Egypt was both crucial and feasible. In his opinion, the fact that the war was considered in Arab circles as an Israeli "defeat" and Arab victory paved the way, psychologically and politically, for a possible settlement. He also realized - though he was not the first Israeli leader to do so - that because of Egypt's pivotal role in regional politics, it should be the first to conclude a peace agreement. When we talk about Rabin's role in the Arab-Israeli conflict we usually talk of the Oslo Agreements and the IsraeliJordanian peace treaty. In contrast, when we talk about the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty, the immediate heroes that come to our mind are President Anwar al-Sadat and Prime Minister Menachem Begin. 2. The fact that Rabin thought of a settlement in stages (based on Henry Kissinger's step by step diplomacy) led to the signing of Sinai II in September 1975. In retrospect, this agreement paved the way, psychologically and politically, for the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty of March 1979. This is logical since these two leaders are mostly associated with the initiative, negotiations and subsequently with signing the peace agreement in March 1979. Without detracting from their role, we need to acknowledge the role of Begin's predecessors, particularly that of Prime Minister Rabin in his brief tenure between June 1974 and May 1977 in the process that eventually led to the signing of the agreement. In this article, I would like to emphasize three points: 3. Rabin was the first Israeli Prime Minister to suggest meeting any Arab leader anywhere in order to further peace talks. The fact that such a meeting did not take place during his term was connected to several developments in the Arab world, coupled with political events in Israel. In other words, had the Labor Party not suffered the price of the 1973 mishap (mehdal), and had Rabin not resigned as a result of his wife's foreign account scandal, it is 72 highly likely that he would have hosted Sadat in Jerusalem. Rabin's early view of Egyptian leaders Rabin's thinking with regard to the Egyptians changed throughout the years. A careful reading of his statements and behavior13 shows that, following the 1948 war, Rabin objected to the signing of an armistice with Egypt. Later, as a senior military officer, he held - like many other Israeli leaders - a demonic image of the Egyptian President Gamal 'Abd alNasser, whom he thought to be bent on destroying the state of Israel.14 Initially, Rabin also possessed a negative image of President Sadat. In his memoirs, he said: "Sadat's past actions did give me reason to view him as fickle."15 He then added: "Ever since the time he turned toward Nazi Germany as a young officer… Sadat's career had been marked by a succession of sharp and sudden shifts." In this regard, Rabin mentioned three "proofs": First, in 1971 he signed a friendship treaty with the Soviet Union, which was followed by the expulsion of the Soviet experts a year later. Second, he opened the 1973 war with Assad, but abandoned him by signing the cease-fire first. Finally, he was disloyal to Nasser.16 Even in 1980, after the signing of the peace agreement, Rabin wrote that the real intentions of Sadat were unknown and that one should not rule out the possibility that "he still conspires to annihilate Israel."17 Rabin's policy of gradualism Rabin - like previous and future Israeli leaders - was thinking of Israel according to the Biblical phrase: "A people that shall dwell alone, and shall not be reckoned among the nations".18 In fact, an attempt to sketch Rabin's world view - a difficult task given the paucity of sources - suggests that he believed in Jabotisnky's "Iron Wall" strategy: that peace would be achieved only from a position of strength.19 Thus, when Rabin was confronted with the question of peace negotiations with Sadat, he needed to overcome his deep suspicions. The only way for him to diminish, as far as possible, the cognitive dissonance existing between his perceptions of Sadat and the unfolding reality was to adopt a phased, gradual approach. This is why he embraced Kissinger's step-by-step diplomacy that ensured the gradualism of the peace process. Even after signing the peace treaty in 1979 he stated: "the process of transition from war to peace will be extremely lengthy."20 He did not believe in historic giant leaps, such as following Sadat's visit to Israel: "Any attempt to solve the problem by a single act," he warned, "will lead nowhere."21 The significance of the second disengagement agreement oil fields (supplying more than half of Israel's oil supply). Second, Article Eight of the agreement stipulated that it "is regarded by the Parties as a significant step towards a just and lasting peace."24 It was the first time that an Arab country was willing to commit itself to such wording. In this respect, the agreement foreshadowed the peace treaty signed less than Third, the Egyptian-Syrian alliance that initiated the 1973 war disintegrated. Indeed, Syria signed the first disengagement agreement in May 1974 but was unwilling for domestic and regional reasons to participate in the Geneva Summit or to sign a second agreement. In the years 1975-77, Sadat attempted to involve the Arab states in his peace campaign in order to secure broad Arab support for his policy. Yet, his failure to enlist the Arab states led him to take a unilateral step. The unilateral 1975 agreement, therefore, was a forerunner to the 1977 initiative to visit Jerusalem. Following the Israeli-US-Egyptian intensive negotiations, the second disengagement agreement was signed in September 1975. This agreement was highly important for several reasons. First, Israel withdrew from the strategic passes of Mitla and Gidi, as well as from the Abu Rodies Fourth, and no less important, by signing the agreement Egypt decided to further distance itself from the Soviet Union. The result was the strengthening of USEgyptian relations - a development reflected both in the political and economic realms.25 Finally, Israeli- Indeed, this was the policy of Rabin's government during the years 197477. In one of his articles, he argued that Israel, in the post-1973, period was confronted with two choices: either to progress towards peace in stages, or to opt for a full, immediate peace agreement with the Arab countries. Rabin was in favor of the first option and operated according to this policy.22 Evidently, from the start he was bent on furthering the peace process with Egypt and the only questions were what concessions he was willing to make and what price Sadat would be willing to pay. Sachar aptly summarized the position: "a piece of territory for a piece of peace."23 73 US relations were also significantly consolidated. Avi Shlaim claimed that "the agreement with America was as important to Rabin as that with Egypt."26 Ephrain Inbar went even further, in his book on Rabin and national security, he argued that in signing the agreement Rabin was primarily motivated by the desire to strengthen relations with the US. This led him to conclude that the agreement stood on its own and was not a necessary step toward peace.27 Their assessment was also based on the text of the Israeli-US memorandum attached to the agreement signed at that time of which Article 12 clearly says: "the US Government regards the [Disengagement] Agreement as standing on its own."28 The post-interim agreement impasse It is true that the agreement was not linked to further steps or committed any party to a future settlement. However, evidence from the Labor Party Archives shows that Rabin did not consider the agreement to be an isolated event. In a meeting of the Labor Party, convened a day after the signing, he expressed some doubts as to the direction which the interim agreement would take, but was convinced that in the long run 74 it would bring about the desired peace agreement. Thus, in order to overcome this uncertainty and in order to overcome his own doubts concerning the Egyptian leader, Rabin adopted the technique of a phased and gradual process, enabling the Israeli side to test the credibility of Sadat, which, at that time, was still at stake.29 Until Rabin's forced resignation in December 1976, the political climate was not conducive to peace negotiations. With the successful conclusion of the interim agreement, Rabin was compelled to pay more attention to some thorny economic and social issues. The Arab world was preoccupied with the Lebanese civil war, which broke out in April 1975. Sadat, fiercely attacked by Arab leaders (particularly by Assad who felt betrayed and isolated) for signing a separate agreement, was compelled to demonstrate his commitment to the Arab cause. This resulted in deep Egyptian involvement in Lebanon and attempts to enlist Arab partners to the peace caravan. The fact that 1976 was an election year in the US contributed to the political impasse. Nevertheless, Rabin tried to find new avenues for holding direct negotiations with Egypt. Visiting the US in early 1976, he told a joint session of the Congress that he was "ready to meet any Arab head of government at any time and in any place."30 No Arab leader heeded his request. Then, in 1976-77, there were few attempts, through Austria and Romania, to open direct dialogue with Sadat.31 Rabin also made a secret visit to Morocco, where he hoped to persuade King Hassan to arrange a meeting with Sadat with the aim of achieving peace.32 All to no avail. At the time of Rabin's attempts, Sadat was occupied with the Lebanese war. When it ended with the Cairo Arab summit in October 1976, he felt that, with the election of US President Jimmy Carter who was more sympathetic to the Arab cause, he would be able to bring other partners to the peace negotiations (even including the PLO). It should be remembered that the food riots, which broke out in January 1977 in Egypt, constituted a severe domestic challenge to Sadat.33 Therefore, he sought an Arab and US umbrella in order to safeguard his declining legitimacy, which had been at peak only four years earlier with the October 1973 "victory". It was only in the autumn of 1977, when Sadat realized that all the pressure exerted by the US and Saudi Arabia on Syria and the PLO failed to produce results, that he decided to continue on his own. By that time, however, Rabin was no longer Prime Minister. Begin had replaced him in May 1977. In his desire to break the vicious circle and punish his Arab recalcitrant partners, Sadat decided to take the risk and visit Jerusalem. No one could have expected this; in his memoirs, Rabin admitted: "I cannot say that I really expected Egypt's head of state to visit Israel, openly, and with all the pomp and formal ceremonies, at such an early date."34 From Interim Agreement to Peace Treaty In what way did Rabin and the disengagement agreement with Egypt enhance the possibility of an Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty? I would like to mention three points in this connection. First, the implementation of the first and second disengagement agreements began to create the impression in Israel that Sadat could be trusted.35 Second, these agreements psychologically prepared the Israeli public for another Israeli withdrawal from Sinai. And, though the final concession was significant - full withdrawal from Sinai - so was Sadat's move. Third, the Israeli public realized that if Rabin - who was constantly concerned with Israel's security - was willing to withdraw from the strategically important passes and oil fields, it would be possible to concede further territories for the sake of peace. Indeed, Rabin was right: signing a peace agreement cannot be done in one stroke. It is a process; and this process began following 1973 - maybe even following 1967 - with the adoption of Resolution 242 and the Rogers Plan. Yet, although Rabin himself did not succeed in reaping the fruits of his labor, we can at least acknowledge his contribution to the process, thirty years after the second disengagement agreement and ten years after his death. Rabin continued observing EgyptianIsraeli relations in the opposition and, later, as Minister of Defense in the coalition unity governments in the 1980s. Though many in Israel criticized the "cold" nature of the treaty, Rabin expressed his understanding for the Egyptian constraints; in June 1992, a short period before his election as Prime Minister to a second term, he said: I am admittedly disappointed by the lack of satisfactory progress in normalizing ties between two countries at peace; however, I am also aware that the Egyptians have difficulties in promoting normalization before the peace process gathers momentum, especially in the IsraeliPalestinian sphere.36 Rabin's Egypt policy in the 1990s Following Rabin's election, EgyptianIsrael relations improved substantially. In an attempt to demonstrate his appreciation of Egypt's leading role in Arab politics, Rabin visited Cairo a week after he entered his office - the first made by an Israeli PM in six years. The Egyptians were disappointed that Rabin did not initiate immediate concessions to the Syrians and Palestinians. Moreover, his tough policy led to the expulsion of some 400 Hamas activists to Lebanon in December 1992. In addition, tension in Egyptian-Israeli relations developed in 1994-95 over the Egyptian insistence that Israel sign the Nuclear Proliferation Treaty (NPT).37 Still, Rabin found Egypt to be an important interlocutor with regard to the Oslo agreement. The negotiations and Egyptian mediation led Rabin and Arafat to sign the Gaza and Jericho Agreement in May 1994, in Cairo. During the years 1992- 95, 75 Rabin and Mubarak developed warm working relations. As military men they spoke the same language and enjoyed a mutual trust. Whenever confronted with problems on the Palestinian issue, according to a senior Israeli diplomat, Rabin would pick up the phone to Mubarak.38 No surprise that upon hearing of Rabin's assassination, Mubarak insisted on attending Rabin's funeral. When Mubarak first met Rabin he promised to make a return visit. Unfortunately, this took place only in November 1995, at the funeral. Though private and not official, it was the first visit of an Egyptian President to Israel since Sadat's historic visit - a testimony to Rabin's standing in Egypt. In his eulogy, Mubarak depicted Rabin as "a true hero of peace."39 A few years later, the Egyptian president said that Rabin was "a man of his word." He expressed his sorrow that he did not live longer because then "we would have been able to solve the [Palestinian] problem."40 Ironically, during one of his sojourns in Cairo Rabin visited the tomb of the assassinated Sadat. Shortly after, Rabin himself was assassinated. And though Sadat and Begin are the twin leaders associated with the Egyptian-Israeli treaty, history linked Sadat and Rabin together in terms of martyrdom and symbolism: 76 both were victims of peace, killed by a religious fanatic. This analogy had not escaped Mubarak; seven years after his assassination he said in a televised broadcast: "these two great men [Sadat and Rabin] realized that despite the noble goals of peace, the process would face many difficulties and violent resistance by many forces on both sides. But they were wise enough to realize that speeding the process of a just resolution would spoil the opportunity for these forces to obstruct the process."41 After assessing Rabin's relations with Egypt, one might ask what his legacy was for Israeli-Egyptian relations in particular and Israeli-Arab relations in general. I would sum it up in three points: 1. Peace with our Arab neighbors, preferably on a gradual basis, should always be sought. The gradualism of the process is necessary to test the credibility of the other party, as well as to alleviate the anxieties of the decision- maker emanating from his own biased perceptions. 2. Egypt, because of its central position in the Arab world, should always be involved in the peace process as a key player. 3. Negative perceptions of the enemy can change, or at least be attuned to the reality. Otherwise, leaders may be captives of their own old images, which are no longer valid. In conclusion, I would like to say that this legacy is very relevant to the current peace process and recommend that Israeli decisionmakers of today wholeheartedly embrace it. Footnotes 11 BBC Statistics published 5 November 2005. 1 Interview with Prime Minister Rabin on Israel Television, 22 August 1975. 2 Yitzhak Rabin, The Rabin Memoirs, Expanded Edition (Berkeley; Los Angeles: University of California Press), p. 334. 3 Yoram Peri, “Afterword: Rabin: From Mr. Security to Nobel Peace Prize Winner,” in The Rabin Memoirs, p. 362. 12 Yitzhak Rabin, The Rabin Memoirs, Expanded Edition (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1996), p. 275. Quoted in Shalom, Friend: The Life and Legacy of Yitzhak Rabin (1996), David Horovitz, ed. (New York: New Market Press), p. 139. See, in particular, Arieh Dalal, Yitzhak Rabin's Perceptions of the Arabs and the Arab-Israeli Conflict, MA Thesis, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 2003. [Hebrew] 6 Yoram Peri, in The Rabin Memoirs, p. 364. 7 Horovitz, ed., p. 273. 8 The Rabin Memoirs, p. 330. 9 Peri in The Rabin Memoirs, pp. 352-53. 20 Inbar, Rabin and Israel's National Security, pp. 16-17. 21 Ibid., p. 17. 22 Rabin, Strategic Relations, p. 47. 23 Efraim Inbar, Rabin and Israel's National Security, Washington: The Woodrow Wilson Center Press, 1999, p. 13. 15 Rabin's Memoirs, p. 260. 16 Ibid. 5 Statement in the Knesset by Prime Minister Rabin, 14 September 1992. Avi Shlaim, The Iron Wall: Israel and the Arab World, New York: W. W. Norton, 2000, p. 504. See also Inbar, Rabin and Israel's National Security, p. 15. 13 14 4 19 Howard M. Sachar, Egypt and Israel, New York: Richard Marek Publishers, 1981, p. 236. 24 Itamar Rabinovich and Jehuda Reinharz (eds.), Israel in the Middle East: Documents and Readings on Society, Politics and Foreign Relations, 1948 - present, New York: Oxford University Press, 1984, p. 35. 17 Yitzhak Rabin, "Strategic Relations," in Hareven, Alouph, Between Risk and Chance: From Conflict to Peaceful Relations (Jerusalem: Van Leer Foundation, 1980). p. 44. [in Hebrew] By the way, we know very little on Sadat's views of Rabin. In his memoirs, Sadat mentioned most of Israeli leaders but not Rabin. 25 Yoram Meital, Egypt's Struggle for Peace: Continuity and Change Gainesville: University Press of Florida, 1997, pp. 151-52. 26 Shlaim, The Iron Wall, p. 338. 27 Inbar, Rabin and Israel's National Security, p. 21. 10 Statement in the Knesset by Prime Minister Rabin, 14 September 1992. 18 Inbar, Rabin and Israel's National Security, pp. 8-9. 28 Shlaim, The Iron Wall, p. 340. 29 Dalal, pp. 52-53. 77 30 Robert Slater, Rabin of Israel: Warrior for Peace, London: Robson Books, 1996, p. 300. Eulogy for the Late Prime Minister and Defense Yitzhak Rabin by Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, 6 November 1995. 31 Rabin, The Rabin Memoirs, pp. 301-2. 40 Interview in Al-Arabiyya channel, 15, January 2001. 32 Slater, Rabin of Israel, p. 308; Shlaim, The Iron Wall, p. 348. 33 Meital, Egypt's Struggle for Peace, p. 153. 34 Rabin, The Rabin Memoirs, p. 322. 35 Ya'akov Bar-Siman-Tov, The Transition from War to Peace: The Complexity of Decision- Making - The Israeli Case ,Tel Aviv: The Tammy Shtinmatz Center, 1996 p. 35. 36 Kenneth W. Stein, "Continuity and Change in Egyptian-Israeli relations, 1973-97," in Efraim Karsh (ed.), From Rabin to Netanyahu: Israel's Troubled Agenda, London: Frank Cass, 1997, p. 312. 37 Ibid., p. 311. 38 See Leslie Susser, 10 June 1994, www.thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query 39 www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Archive Speeches; 78 41 Al-Ahram Weekly, No. 611, 7-13 November 2002. Two Leaders and Visionaries: Yitzhak Rabin and King Hussein - Promoting Peace The Required Conditions for Peace By: Dr. Abdel Salam Majali, chair of panel, Former Prime Minister of Jordan Today we meet to remember a remarkable man. A man who knew that peace is for the brave and the brave only. Yitzhak Rabin – a soldier turned politician, turned peace-maker. Breaking down traditional beliefs Jerome Slater, in his last book, Lost opportunities for peace: reassessing the Arab-Israeli conflict, indicated that among the most enduring and potent of the conventional beliefs about the Arab-Israeli conflict is the view that until very recently the Palestinians and most Arab states refused to recognize the existence of Israel, rejected all compromise, and sought its destruction. Israel, it was thought, has always been ready to negotiate peace. As Abba Eban's famously stated, "The Arabs have never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity!" A new wave of Israeli historical scholarship, however, has revealed that this generally-accepted narrative is seriously exaggerated. While focusing on the origins and early years of the Arab-Israeli conflict, this new Israeli historiography strongly suggests that Israel has been at least as responsible as the Arabs for the ongoing enmity from 1948 through to the present. This new scholarship has argued that the Israelis have been far less ready for genuine compromise regarding the central issues of the conflict, particularly the status of Palestinians and the final borders of Israel, than the dominant mythology has implied. The new momentum of the 1990s I say this as a prelude to the remarkable period in Middle East history that began after the first Gulf War, a period in which our late friend Yitzhak played a major rôle by partnering with former enemies to make peace. In October 1991, the George H. W. Bush administration successfully used America's newfound regional dominance to convene the Madrid Middle East Peace Conference. This conference, for the first time, launched direct contacts between Israel and all its Arab neighbors. The idea of convening the Madrid Conference was a master-stroke of international diplomacy. The proposed arrangement of the conference, carefully worked out by U.S. Secretary of State James Baker, with the help and advice of the late King Hussein, who has always been a champion of peace, satisfied the long-standing Arab demand for an international conference involving the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, and Israeli demand for bilateral negotiations with each country. King Hussein's offer to include Palestinian representatives in the Jordanian delegation succeeded in circumventing Israel's rather inflexible policy of refusing to hold talks with representatives of the Palestinian people. At the Madrid Conference, the whole world witnessed a civilized, eloquent Palestinian delegation coming to the forefront, paving the way for the subsequent signing of the Oslo Accords. In June 1992, sensing a change in the regional environment, Israelis went to the polls and gave Yitzhak Rabin a mandate to pursue peace. In the words of Asher Arian and Michal Sahmir in their book The Elections in Israel 1992: "As the momentum towards peace in the 79 Middle East surges and wanes, the intensity of politics in Israel takes on added relevance. There can be little doubt that the historic IsraelPLO peace accord could not have occurred were it not for the turnabout elections of 1992." Ending the dream of Greater Israel It was in Oslo, in 1993, that the Israeli government, under Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and his peacemaking partner Shimon Peres, first agreed to withdraw from parts of the West Bank and Gaza. With this shift in Israeli policy, Rabin ended the Israeli dream of Greater Israel. Moreover, he signaled his support for a solution to the conflict that envisioned a new state of Palestine arising alongside Israel, which would be finally recognized by Arab states. part, due to the sizeable part of Jordanian population that trace their roots to Palestine. Many Jordanians, Palestinians, and international experts have warned that Israel is simply waiting for the right historical moment to turn this wishful thinking into a reality and transfer Palestinians by force into Jordan. In face, the policy of population transfer to fulfill Zionist aspirations has, in effect, been implemented covertly and gradually over several decades. Establishing trust – a key to peace The Israeli government at the time belonged to the school that perpetrates the old doctrine that a Palestinian state exists, not within the boundaries of historical Palestine but across the Jordan River, in what has been for the last 60 years the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan. His Majesty, the late King Hussein once told me that to make peace with anybody, you have to build trust and respect for the other side, and truly understand the difficulties facing it. This is a view that I have personally held for decades. I also want to point out that negotiations take place between adversaries, and almost never between friends. However, through negotiations, you need to both trust your own judgment and your adversary's wisdom, and come to trust and respect your adversary. The idea that Jordan equals Palestine has been promoted by several Israeli political forces, in Should we be surprised at the level of mistrust between Arabs and Israelis after fighting five wars? I will 80 not answer that question; instead I'll provide an insight that sheds light on how relations have developed. On the Israeli side, there has always been this ostensible and tactical stumbling-block in the hearts and minds of her leaders to oppose negotiations with the Palestinians. This has manifested itself in a failure to act decisively or be proactive towards peace. This stance often led to aggressive acts which caused the loss of life on both sides, and in the Israeli public accepting the impossibility of achieving peace. The hostility – peace relationship In actual fact, every significant peace agreement was preceded by an apparently inexplicable action by the Israeli government that inadvertently mobilized public opinion towards a readiness for 'compromise' for the sake of peace. The person who we are honoring here today embodied this pattern. To his mind, peace justified these types of actions. For example, the deportation of Palestinian activists to Lebanon, described by the Israeli press at the time as a "draconian measure…that awarded it [Hamas] a certificate of honor which will not be easily devalued." The press called the decision "a very stupid decision… illegal and immoral." Although such actions may have been considered brutal, they laid the proper political backdrop for a significant move by Israeli leaders on the peace track. This type of pattern may have borne fruit in the past; however, to my mind, violence can only breed more violence. Israelis and Arabs have traversed a long road of mutual hostility for over a half-century to reach the negotiating table. Revival of hostility is not in the interests of either side as we have experienced enough rivers of blood that have not led to any gain by either side. The global village – an end to misconceptions Let me recall Leon Uris' novel Exodus, later made into a movie, which described Israel's founding. One of the most dangerous flaws of this account was its depiction of Arabs as a people who fear only the whip, who only understand force. As an Arab and Muslim, I must contend that this claim is altogether unfounded. Arabs are a proud and generous people who respond to gentle dialogue rather than to brute force. I fear that Israel and many other countries have yet to come to realize this simple fact. Force will only lead to more bitterness and anger, and never yield positive results. Confidence-building dialogue is the only solution. Arabs are no longer an illiterate people. Jordan and many other Arab countries boast an intelligentsia that was educated in the West. This group of people does not have negative views of Western values. Israeli and U.S. actions, within the context of the 'War on Terror', are alienating this potential pro-peace, pro-tolerance lobby. Our American friends are spending hundreds of million dollars to improve their image worldwide. However, American public image is constantly being damaged by 'stray bullets' in the form of insensitive political statements, disrespectful conduct, or blatant aggression. The technological revolution, particularly the implications of satellite media, is opening the hearts and minds of people around the world. People are more open to a variety of opinions from satellite and Internet media outlets. A one-sided film such as Exodus would no longer generate the type of sympathy for Israel as it did in 1960. There is too great a knowledge of different opinions. Peace as giving people a fair deal In the words of a current champion of peace, His Majesty King Abdullah II: "Peace in this part of world will never become a reality unless and until the majority of people become convinced that they received a fair deal." Only peace based on legitimacy and security will last. Peace based on domination and military might can never last. This was also the belief of the soldier of peace we are honoring today. Having seen the scourges of war, he became convinced that only through a genuine peace, a brave peace based on trust, could this part of the world turn a corner and witness lasting security. With the historic concessions made by the Palestinians at Oslo and by the Arab states at the Beirut Arab Summit, namely the acceptance of the state of Israel in return for withdrawal from the lands occupied in 1967, the issue of peace in the Middle East was transformed. Rather than continuing to attempt to redress history, the Arab 81 world has accepted Israel as part of the region. Israeli leaders must build on the foundations of peace thus far achieved - particularly Camp David I, the Oslo Accord, the Peace Treaty with Jordan - in order to restart the peace process with the Palestinians, and with the Syrians and Lebanese. It is all well and good to say, as do President Bush and the European Union, that the overarching objective continues to be a negotiated twostate solution agreed to by all parties, which would result in a contiguous, sovereign Palestinian state, and that the only route to this goal is via the Road Map. However, encouraging words do not suffice. Yitzhak Rabin had a dream that one day peace would prevail over our region. He created a tangible vision to realize this dream and worked endlessly to turn his dream into a reality. I genuinely believe that we all have to work to turn Rabin's dream into a reality by we ourselves becoming visionaries. We owe it to Yitzhak – he paid for his vision with his life! 82 Jordanian-Israeli Relations during Rabin's First Tenure as Prime Minister By: Mr. Amos Eran Former Director-General, Prime Minister's office Approximately an hour after the media publicized Israel's famous 'Operation Entebbe', the Prime Minister's office received a message from Jordan's King Hussein to Yitzhak Rabin. The message contained warm words of praise regarding the decisiveness, daring, and leadership displayed by Israel, which can be used as an example to the world in fighting terror. When I passed this message to Rabin, who was exhausted after a number of sleepless nights, I saw a smile of satisfaction pass over his face. A number of days later, a news agency reported the Jordanian Ambassador to the United Nations condemning Israel for its "pirate and reckless operation in Entebbe…that endangers world peace." After showing the news report to Rabin, he joked that we ought to show the Ambassador to the United Nations the message sent by the King who he represents. This example illustrates, to a large extent, the Middle Eastern reality. There were countries that were formally at a state of war with Israel, but secretly conducted warm and intimate relations with Israel. King Hussein was constantly held in the grip of serious and continuous pressures from Syria, at times from Egypt and Iraq also, and obviously from the Palestinians both within their borders and without. The state of Israel was a 'thorn in the side' of these peoples. During King Hussein's rule, there were a total of 16 attempts on his life. Throughout his lifetime, Hussein had to navigate in a strongly oppositional environment. He needed to 'hit the brakes' on several diplomatic initiatives in order to survive. Hussein's contacts with Israel were of great assistance to him, despite dangers associated with contacting Israel. At least twice, in 1958 and in 1970, King Hussein required the Israeli army's assistance to help him quash uprisings that threatened to end his rule. In addition, Hussein's contacts with Israel enabled him to strengthen his contacts with the Americans. Both Israel and Jordan had vital interests in improving their relations. I will discuss the direct and indirect relations that existed between Rabin and Hussein during Rabin's first tenure as Prime Minister from 19741977, and in the years leading up to Rabin's first premiership. Israel's military assistance in 1970 In September, 1970, Rabin, then serving as Ambassador to the U.S., flew from Washington to New York to lecture to an important JewishAmerican forum, and to meet with various figureheads. After arriving at his hotel, the White House suddenly contacted Rabin with a message that the President Nixon and Foreign Minister Kissinger request that he immediately arrive at the White House. Rabin's New York engagements were cancelled, and within two hours, he arrived at the White House and was immediately taken to the 'Situation Room' where the National Security Council was meeting, headed by President Nixon. This forum was discussing King Hussein's request for immediate military assistance, claiming that his rule was under direct threat. As a response to the Jordanian army's response to the rebellion on behalf of the PLO and other Palestinian organizations, two Syrian tank brigades had mobilized towards the Jordanian border to take vengeance in the largely Palestinian areas of Irbid and Jarash. There were 83 also signs that Iraq was preparing to join the Syrian effort. King Hussein's situation had reached a critical stage. The U.S., preferring that Israel be the one to come to Jordan's aid, asked Rabin for his opinion on the situation. Rabin, who knew the territory well from his tenure as GOC Northern Command, analyzed maps of the area and described the military situation in the area, including the various possibilities for stopping the Syrian invasion. Israel had previously declared that it would not agree to the existence of foreign armed forces in Jordan that may threaten Israel. And it was obvious that both Israel and the U.S. had common interest in this respect. When Nixon requested Israel's response to the idea of sending troops to Jordan's aid, Rabin consulted with Prime Minister Golda Meir. Golda met with the appropriate security forum, and after a series of urgent meetings, decided that the Israeli Air Force would bomb the Syrian tank units, while they were still on Syrian territory, and that Israel would mobilize tank units, in an obvious manner, from Southern Israel towards Jordan. This ‘flexing of muscles’ achieved its goal, as it prevented Syria's intervention, and allowed the Jordanian army to quash the Palestinian uprising, which 84 eventually led to the expulsion of the Palestinian terror groups from Jordan in July 1971. Israel hoped that this type of military assistance would influence Jordan's position vis-à-vis diplomatic understandings with Israel, and even a full-fledged peace agreement. Meetings between Rabin and Hussein from 1974-1977 Rabin's first tenure as Prime Minister began officially on July 3, 1974. Two weeks later, President Nixon arrived in Israel, within the framework of a Middle Eastern diplomatic visit. When meeting his old acquaintance Rabin, Nixon said to him that the U.S. gave its blessing to the separation of forces agreements with Egypt and Syria (which were only finalized at the end of 1975), but would only be satisfied when Israel signs a similar agreement with Jordan. Kissinger added, "If you do not reach an agreement with King Hussein regarding the West Bank quickly, the international community will recognize Arafat. You need to act fast." When I began serving as the Chairman of the Prime Minister's Office as Rabin's political advisor, he immediately assigned me to a 'secret file' related to Kissinger's warning. I read all the reports of meetings with Hussein dating back to 1963, and summarized all the materials that were written in preparation for meetings with King Hussein. I summarized Israel's goals in future meetings with King Hussein as the following: • Checking the possibility of achieving a separate peace agreement with Jordan, or at least an interim agreement. • Formulating coordinated positions regarding various developments in the Territories in general, and regarding the existence of terror organizations in the Territories, specifically. • Finding solutions to ad-hoc problems that tend to occur in bi-lateral relations between the countries. • Identifying areas in which agreements or understandings could be reached between the two sides. • To learned from an ‘inside source’ of developments and trends in the Arab world. Secret meetings between Rabin and King Hussein Foreign Minister Yigal Allon and Defense Minister Shimon Peres took part in all meetings. Before these meetings, the Israeli delegation met to coordinate positions in preparation. The first of these meetings took place on August 29, 1974, and was the first of eight meetings that occurred with King Hussein during Rabin's three year tenure as Prime Minister. During these meetings, King Hussein was generally accompanied by Zayyad alRafi, who served as Jordanian Prime Minister, and continued participating in these meetings even after he retired from the post. All the meetings, except for one, were held in the Arava desert valley in a caravan that was always set in a different location, and always totally covered by a mound of sand. One meeting took place in a government guest house north of Tel Aviv, as Rabin insisted that this meeting have a festive atmosphere due to King Hussein's birthday. Rabin even presented the King with a birthday gift – a "Galilee" rifle in a decorative case made of olive tree wood. The King was very moved by the meeting, and asked me, on his way back to his helicopter, to thank Rabin for the festive meeting. King Hussein always arrived at these meetings in his personal helicopter. He would always arrive at dusk, just before darkness would descend. I would generally wait at the helicopter's landing location. Once the Jordanian team landed, I would lead them to an IAF helicopter that was parked in the area, which would transport us to the meeting place. This travel time gave me the opportunity to have informal discussions with the King and to pass messages to him, as required. Conditions for peace with Jordan The meetings would generally open with a detailed and comprehensive survey of the situation by Rabin and Hussein. The King would often include his impressions from meetings with various Arab leaders including meetings with Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf States. He was often critical of President Sadat. He would often emphasize the importance of the Americans, but would complain about their lack of understanding of the dynamics in the Middle East. Regarding the possibility of a separate peace agreement with Jordan, King Hussein’s position, to summarize, was as follows: “If you want direct negotiations, you will receive them. If you want a peace agreement and normalization including and exchange of ambassadors and economic cooperation, you will receive them. I am prepared to stand in the face of enormous pressure and criticism from the Arab world, but I have one condition for this – the return of all territories captured from Jordan during the 1967 war, including East Jerusalem. If this principle is acceptable to you, I am prepared to come to understandings regarding your holy sites in the conquered territory, and for small border adjustments, for example in the area of Latrun, but on the basis of full reciprocity. If you think you can obtain a more favorable deal from the PLO, go talk??? Ministers Allon and Peres would often add their opinions to issues that related to their fields, as did Zayyad al-Rafi. Rafi would often directly criticize Israel, to which Allon and Peres would respond, while Hussein and Rabin would usually refrain from direct criticism. It was clear that Israel could not agree to the King’s terms, and from meeting to meeting, it became clearer that we could not reach a separate agreement with Jordan, although this situation did not prevent us from arriving at a series of understandings in the areas of 85 border indicators, ecology and flights. However, we were not able to make headway in certain fields, such as water allocation and elections in the West Bank. Fallout of the Rabat Commission The developments surrounding the Rabat Commission, which focused on the Palestinian issue, had a negative affect on our contacts with the Jordanians. A week before the commission, a meeting took place with King Hussein, in which we understood that the Palestinian issue would be frozen. Hussein told us during that meeting that he had fully coordinated his position with that of President Sadat, and Rabin had nothing to worry about. This position stated that Hussein would deal with issues pertaining to the Palestinians of the West Bank and that the PLO would be responsible for the Palestinian Diaspora. However, the results of the Rabat Commission are well known – the PLO was determined as the sole representative of the Palestinians. The King felt that Sadat stabbed him in the back. In the meeting that took place with the King after the commission, the King was dispirited and critical of Sadat, who he felt had broken their agreements. In addition, al-Rafi did not hide his criticism of Israel, 86 claiming that had Israel been more flexible previously regarding a pullback from Jericho and other territories, it would have been possible to prevent the developments of the commission. This led to a difficult meeting between the two sides. In summary, clearly, the main importance of the contacts between Rabin and Hussein was the fact that they took place. Even if a peace agreement at the time with Jordan was not possible, the very fact that Israel and Jordan were meeting was essential. If a peace agreement was achieved at the time, it is almost certain that the King would have paid with his life. These meetings did achieve a set of tactical understandings dealing with important issues, and a level of trust was established between the Hussein and Rabin. The two sides also came to understand the limits of the other side, and there was an unprecedented sense of acceptance of the other. There is no doubt that these talks contributed enormously to the eventual peace agreement between Israel and Jordan that was signed during Rabin’s second tenure as Prime Minister, only after the signing of the Israel-Egypt peace accords. A Review of Israel-Jordan Steps towards Peace By: Justice of the Supreme Court Elyahkim Rubenstein Former Attorney General Although ten years have passed since that fateful day of Rabin's assassination, I still have not been able to adapt to the fact that a Jew's hand was lifted to murder a Prime Minister of Israel. This act is in contradiction to everything that Judaism represents, as Judaism gave to the world, among the Ten Commandments, the commandment "Thou shall not murder." The horrid murder is also in contradiction to the values that Israel, as a Jewish and Democratic state, represents. The act is in contradiction with both Jewish and humanistic values, which respect the person, as a being created in the image of the Almighty. It is in contradiction to morality, honesty, and freedom. The act of killing the other, within the framework of a political debate, is an atrocity. This week, we will read the Bible portion from the book of Genesis known as "The Binding of Isaac (Yitzhak)". Unlike the Biblical Yitzhak, our Yitzhak was not fortunate enough to hear the commandment from above, "Do not raise your hand against the boy, or do anything to him. And the hand was lifted." I had a close personal relationship with Yitzhak Rabin, for whom I served as Cabinet Secretary and peace negotiator. I miss him deeply and am saddened by his demise – as a human being, a Jew, an Israeli, and as his associate. A personal relationship that enabled peace As you all know, there are schools dedicated to researching what exactly makes history progress: ideas or personalities. In my view, the answer is a combination of the two. I see ideas as letters that require a postman to deliver them to their correct address. The historic 'letter' of peace between Israel and Jordan was brought to its correct address: Prime Minister Rabin and King Hussein. The relationship between the two of them, which went back to the 1970s, enabled these two leaders to embark upon the historic mission of bringing peace to fruition. The relationship between these two leaders and the mutual confidence that they had in one another had a major impact on the central components of the peace treaty. The renewal of the relationship between the two leaders began during the Madrid Conference and continued up until the peace agreement. The negotiations with Jordan operated using parallel channels – they involved both official negotiating delegations and direct talks between the leaders and through messengers, such as Ephraim HaLevy and myself, which included confidential talks on water, energy, and environmental issues, which were of specific interest to Prince Hassan, the unsung hero of these negotiations. 'The Common Agenda' took the Jordanians by surprise, though they knew of efforts to reach a Declaration of Principles agreement with the Palestinians. A day after Oslo was signed, Jordan agreed to secretly sign 'The Common Agenda'. However, during the months following, negotiations with Jordan were put on hold, until a meeting was set up between King Hussein and Prime Minister Rabin, a meeting in which I took part. This meeting was essential, as it led to a renewal of negotiations, first through tri-lateral talks in Washington with American mediation, and then through bi-lateral talks in the region in the summer of 1994. During meetings in Washington, the Israeli and Jordanian delegations came to an initial agreement entitled 'The Common Agenda'. This draft was, in fact, already prepared in November 1992. However, we waited to publicize this draft or advance it into a peace agreement, because Jordan, ever cautious, did not want to pre-empt other Arab missions to Washington. Jordan's strategic decision for peace In September 1993, the Olso Declaration of Principles took many Israelis by surprise, including our negotiating delegation in Washington, which had also dealt with the Palestinian issue. Oslo also In the summer of 1994, we began a new era of Israel-Jordanian relations. These summer meetings began in a tent in Israel's Arava desert valley on July 18th. During these meeting, I recall saying to my Jordanian I believe that at some point during the spring of 1994, King Hussein made the strategic decision to make a peace agreement with Israel. Once the Palestinians had entered the Oslo process, he felt comfortable making peace with Israel – something that he had wanted to do for decades. 87 counterparts, "This tent is temporary, but peace will be permanent." The stepping stones leading up to a peace agreement A couple of days later, Foreign Minister Peres met Prime Minister Dr. Majali in Jordan near the Dead Sea. On July 25th, Prime Minister Rabin met King Hussein in the White House under the mediation of President Clinton to sign the Washington Declaration. Over the next three months, the peace treaty was born. I want to briefly address the various stages leading up to the Israel-Jordan peace treaty. In 1991, the First Gulf War created a window of opportunity in the region that President George Bush and Secretary of State James Baker successfully utilized. Secretary Baker initiated a 'Shuttle Diplomacy' that included nine visits to the region from March to October 1991, which led directly to the Madrid Conference. Jordan, at the time, was not in the most favorable position vis-à-vis the U.S.A., due to its perceived relationship with Iraq before the war. The chemistry and confidence between the two leaders, which took some time to recover after the Oslo surprise, helped bring about a number of creative solutions to significant issues. The climax of the process occurred on the night of October 16th in Amman, where the two leaders and delegations convened to finalize the peace agreement, which was officially signed on October 26. We all remember the deep emotions expressed by King Hussein for Rabin when eulogizing him at Rabin's funeral. Unfortunately, Hussein too was to depart from us soon after Rabin. Both of these leaders left an incredible legacy. 88 On the eve of the war, in December 1990, Prime Minister Shamir and King Hussein met to decide on the 'red lines' between the two countries during the war. A series of confidential meetings followed this meeting for the purpose of laying down the infrastructure of negotiations. During the Madrid Conference, Israel insisted that Jordan and the Palestinians be represented by a joint delegation, with the hopes being that a tri-lateral solution could be found between the three players. However, as we found out, this was not possible – the JordanianPalestinian partnership did not develop into a natural unit. We were forced to work on each track separately, all the time maintaining liaisons between the two fronts. In those days, though we had already signed the secret 'Common Agenda' agreement, negotiations were slow. The Jordanians were hesitant to move forwards towards a peace accord, mainly due to fear for their standing in the Arab World. Meanwhile, we started various Israeli-Jordanian action groups in Washington, whose purpose was to deal with various issues, and secret meetings between our leaders, which Prince Hassan termed the 'safety net.' Progress occurred slowly, until the breakthrough of the summer of 1994. The term 'ripeness' for peace is extremely relevant in this case. Diplomatic processes often take time, until the day comes when a strategic decision can be made. Following the Washington Declaration of 1994, we began a set of very intense negotiations in the region that covered a range of issues including security, water, and borders. The climax arrived in September 1994, when Prime Minister Rabin gave me the green light to pass a draft of the peace agreement to our Jordanian counterparts. Within just a few days, in part due to the confidence that had been built, Jordan gave its approval to the draft as a basis. A group of us spent a few sleepless weeks at Prince Hassan's home in Aqaba, where we worked through the final details of the accord. Central point in the IsraelJordan peace treaty I want to finish by pointing out some of the central points of the treaty, many of which had existed since 'The Common Agenda': 1. Termination of the state of war and belligerency. 2. Recognition, diplomatic relations, and the exchange of ambassadors. 3. Border corrections, an issue that did not receive much public attention, though I believe it was one of the most important aspects of the treaty. The border between Israel and Jordan was historically defined in 1922, but was for the most part, never demarcated. Jordan wanted to establish a border that would be based on the armistice lines of 1949. Israel wanted to keep agricultural areas that belonged to Kibbutzim and Moshavim (communal towns) in the Arava region that were located beyond the 1949 armistice lines. We succeeded in negotiating an agreement that included a territory exchange of almost 70 square kilometers. The Jordanian leadership was able to tell its people that it had obtained the armistice lines, while our government could tell the farmers in the area that they could continue farming their land under our sovereignty. 4. No international forces were delegated to the area, unlike the previous peace treaty with Egypt. 5. Cooperation on water issues. After the treaty was signed, intensive negotiations took place regarding the treaty's implementation. To sum up, the relationship between Israel and Jordan has gone through various incarnations. I am still waiting for the day when joint colleges are established in the Arava region, and when joint tourism and business ventures are promoted beyond their current levels. and nurtured; it cannot be taken for granted. The commonly-held view that negotiations between Israel and Jordan were easy is mistaken. A lot of creativity was required to make these negotiations work – and the results speak for themselves. Having taken part in peace negotiations for over 25 years, I just want to point out that, despite recent setbacks, we must not forget the negotiations that have succeeded, as these examples give us hope for the future. Let us remember the partnership between King Hussein and Prime Minister Rabin. Let us remember the great soldier and peacemaker Yitzhak Rabin. We need to ensure that such a murder never recurs by educating our public with the values of tolerance and respect for every human being. I regret that we have yet to implement the aspects of the peace treaty that speak of tolerance and understanding of the other. Advancing peace is like growing a flower – it must be cultivated 89 The Jordan-Israel Peace Accord: A Unique Type of Agreement By: Prof. Asher Susser Director of the Moshe Dayan Center, Tel Aviv University The peace between Israel and Jordan was a function of two great men who are no longer with us: Yitzhak Rabin and King Hussein. However, even now that we are without these two figures, the peace between the two states remains stable. The geo-political background to the accords In our current geo-political environment there is much talk about Israel being located between the war in Iraq and the Intifada in the Territories. In the early 1990s, the situation was in a way similar – the geo-political situation was changing because of the First Iraq War and because of the First Intifada. Israel, because of the First Intifada, was keen to negotiate with the Palestinians, while Jordan had already ‘disengaged’ from the West Bank. In addition, after the First Iraq War, Jordan felt that it was critical to reassert its relationship with the United States, which also meant 90 opening negotiations with Israel. This was the backdrop for the Madrid Conference, which, for Jordan, presented the convenient formula of a joint Jordanian-Palestinian delegation. Israel had often wanted Jordan to negotiate on behalf of the Palestinians; however, Jordan would not agree to this arrangement. Therefore, the joint delegation was a convenient formula for Jordan. The Jordanians were taken by surprise by Oslo. Just as it was for many Israelis, Oslo represented a shock to Jordanian expectations. The meeting after the initiation of Oslo between King Hussein and Yitzhak Rabin was essential for reassessing the shaken strategic understanding between Israel and Jordan regarding regional issues, and particularly regarding the Palestinian question. Rabin and Hussein had to agree upon a strategic platform of understanding before a peace treaty could be negotiated. Third-party elements of the agreement The Jordanian-Israeli peace treaty, when compared to the treaty with Egypt and the attempted treaty with Syria, was unique because third parties played central rôles in influencing the requirements of each side. For Israel, Iraq was a great concern, and for Jordan - the Palestinians. There are elements of the treaty, that, though they do not mention these parties by name, clearly represent interests that Israel or Jordan have vis-à-vis these parties. For example, there is a clause in which each side agrees not to allow potentially hostile forces to be stationed on their territory. This clause is essentially Jordan reassuring Israel that Iraqi or other forces will not be stationed in Jordan. In addition, Israel committed itself not to allow for the involuntary removal of populations from its territory – a clear guarantee that Israel will not ‘transfer’ Palestinians into Jordan. Israel’s recognition of Jordan’s boundaries essentially guaranteed to Jordan that Israel would not attempt to undermine the Hashemite Kingdom in a future peace agreement with the Palestinians. All of these clauses, in essence, made reference to third parties. Another peculiarity of the IsraeliJordanian treaty is the lack of security arrangements such as early warning arrangements, buffer zones, or multinational forces. This lack indicates the level of trust that already existed between the two states and particularly between the two leaders. After Rabin’s assassination, the relationship between the two states changed. The level of warmth and trust between Rabin and Hussein was never recreated between any of the Israel’s later Prime Ministers and Hussein or Abdullah. Currently, the relations are stable and businesslike, but the personal warmth no longer exists. However, maybe this is a normal state of relations between states that are at peace in the Middle East. 91 The Various Stages of Jordan-Israel Relations and the Rabin-Hussein Relationship By: Prof. Shimon Shamir Tel Aviv University, Former Israeli Ambassador to Egypt and Jordan As Israel’s first ambassador to Jordan, appointed by the Rabin government, I would like to make a few comments on the relationship, as it developed between Rabin and Hussein. A few days after my appointment, I was invited to Rabin’s office for a briefing, in March 1995. Rabin wanted to give me a thorough briefing of the evolution of the relations between the two states. Anyone who was subjected to a presentation of such a nature by Rabin knows that he gave very long, detailed, analytical, and systematic presentations. This presentation, which I will try to summarize for you, is of interest because it illustrates Rabin’s views of how relations developed between the two states. Rabin presented to me the evolution of the relations in five stages, starting from 1974, his first 92 contact with King Hussein as a Prime Minister. Note that these stages only cover time periods in which Rabin himself had direct relations with the Jordanians, either as Prime Minister or Defense Minister. Stage One: 1974-1977 In 1974, Rabin met with Hussein in a caravan in the Arava desert, where they discussed the separation of forces, something very important to King Hussein in order to strengthen his position ahead of the Rabat Conference. Hussein wanted Israel to withdraw approximately ten kilometers, a request that had previously been rejected by Golda Meir and Moshe Dayan. Rabin held with Golda and Dayan and did not agree to the separation of forces; however, he made a number of counter-proposals to King Hussein, including offering Jordan a port in Haifa. I’d like to point out that, in my opinion, we did not do enough to strengthen King Hussein ahead of the Rabat Conference, whose result – the recognition of the PLO as the sole representative of the Palestinians – was harmful both to us and to Hussein. Stage Two: 1984-1988 From 1984 to 1988, Rabin, as Defense Minister, worked in a dynamic way to strengthen the Jordanian presence in the West Bank and remove PLO influences from the area. Rabin described the policy at the time as ‘improving the leaving conditions’ in the West Bank, which meant investing in specific development and infrastructure plans, as well as increasing the flow of Jordanian money into the West Bank and establishing a Jordanian bank. When the King decided to disengage from the West Bank in 1988, this was a serious disappointment for Rabin, which he didn’t hesitate to indicate to Hussein. Stage Three: 1991-1992 After the Iraq War, Jordan had been weakened due to its identification with the Iraqi side. Israel was quite angry with Jordan for the stance that it took during the war. As a result, Jordan was eager to cooperate with American Secretary of State James Baker, and was very helpful in putting together the joint Jordanian-Palestinian delegation for the Madrid Conference, which made bilateral talks possible. Stage Four: 1993 King Hussein, initially, regarded the Oslo Accords as a very heavy blow to his position, and he closed the bridge crossings immediately following the Declaration of Principles. Hussein made clear to the Israelis that he felt that they had abandoned Jordan in signing the Declaration of Principles without coordinating with Jordan. Rabin, immediately after Oslo was initiated, rushed to assure the King and promise him that nothing in principle had changed in their relations. Stage Five: 1994 During this period, the peace treaty with Jordan was concluded. A series of secret meetings led to the joint declaration, in which Rabin and Hussein appeared before the U.S. congress, and officially declared an end to the state of war. At the end of the meeting with Rabin detailed above, Rabin instructed me that he wanted to keep in constant contact with the situation in Jordan, and that I could call him at any time. While my immediate superior in the Foreign Ministry often took a couple of days to return my phone calls, Rabin was always available within five minutes, at any time of day or night. After that meeting with Rabin, I continued to a meeting with Eitan Haber. Haber said to me, 'For Rabin, the peace between Israel and Jordan is the apple of his eye.' He also emphasized that all matters regarding peace with Jordan are directed from the Prime Minister’s office, while matters regarding the Palestinians are directed by the Foreign Affairs Ministry. The Rabin-Hussein Relationship By the time I was appointed, the chemistry between these two leaders was already famous. For Hussein, Rabin displayed the two most important attributes that he desired in both leaders and in anyone with whom he worked: credibility and discretion. Hussein saw Rabin as a man of his word, a man who says what he thinks, and a man who does what he says. Hussein saw Rabin as realistic and pragmatist. Both leaders had backgrounds as war heroes who had fought in crucial battles for their respective countries – Rabin in 1948 and 1967, and Hussein in 1970. Both leaders led their respective countries by always emphasizing strategic considerations. They both saw their countries as fighting for survival within a hostile environment. Rabin’s strategic thinking at the time heavily emphasized the implications of radical Islam. Rabin predicted that the Iran threat would worsen – as it has - and therefore devised the concept of a window of opportunity. He also felt that Syria needed to be neutralized. These were strategic considerations that were shared by both leaders. Neither Rabin nor Hussein were people who enjoyed making ‘small talk’. I remember at state dinners Rabin and Hussein, sitting across from each other, neither contributing much to the discussion. Peres carried the burden of the conversation, and did so brilliantly. King Hussein would listen and smile, and from time to time, encourage some of the other participants to speak. Both Rabin and Hussein were, to a certain extent, shy people. The pair developed a relationship of trust, friendship, and mutual affection. I believe that, aside from his relations with the Egyptian leadership, Hussein formed his closest bond with Rabin, of all regional leaders. If we compare the Rabin-Hussein relationship with the Begin-Sadat relationship, we see stark differences. The ice between Begin and Sadat was never broken. If I may speculate, I believe that Rabin’s understandings of Hussein’s 93 sensitivities were such, that the opening of Western Wall Tunnel (which occurred under Netanyahu’s rule), without any prior coordination with Hussein, would not have occurred under Rabin’s rule. In addition, the Khaled Mashal affair would not have happened under Rabin’s rule. A convergence of interests However, we should not get carried away stressing the chemistry between the two leaders. Chemistry, though important, was less essential than the convergence of interests between the two leaders. Rabin was able to identify early on in their relationship the central concerns of the King: reclaiming lost territory, water rights, holy sites in Jerusalem, the burden of Palestinian refugees, regional security, and economics. Rabin tried to accommodate these needs as best he could. Rabin worked hard to convince Washington to provide aid for Jordan, while also convincing Hussein to shorten his shopping list. He also recognized the special rôle on Jordan in administering the holy sites in Jerusalem, an important issue for Hussein. It is important to admit that the relationship was not free of problems. Friction did surface from time to time. For examples, shortly after my arrival 94 in Amman, the Israeli expropriation of land in East Jerusalem in April 1995 created a storm in Jordanian public opinion. Jordanian Members of Parliament wanted to recall their Ambassador from Israel, and kick me out of Jordan. King Hussein faced enormous internal and external pressure. On May 21st, King Hussein sent a secret letter to Rabin in which he explained the damage caused by this expropriation of land, claiming that it contradicted Jordan’s special rôle in Jerusalem. He asked that Rabin coordinate steps taken regarding the status of Jerusalem with Jordan. Bilateral agreements The bilateral agreements between the two states were very important for Rabin. Elyakim Rubenstien, and then myself (when he was appointed to the Supreme Court), directed the monitoring committee that was meant to conclude bilateral agreements in approximately 15 areas. Unfortunately, this monitoring committee did not always progress effectively. There were great obstacles due to security considerations, bureaucratic issues, vested interests, and smallminded pettiness. When we got stuck, we always turned to Rabin, a method I learned from Elyakim. For example, when we reached a dead end in negotiations over the aviation agreement, in part, due to El Al’s interest in limiting Jordanian fly zones, Rabin intervened and demanded that we find a compromise within one week – which we did. Let me conclude by stating that for his vision of peace, Rabin paid a terrible price. He said in the Knesset on October 25, just days before his assassination, that “the peace agreement with Jordan is not just a political agreement; it is a basic and substantial change in our existence.” Rabin was devoted to peace, with both the Palestinians and the Jordanians. The Jordanian response to the assassination On the night of Rabin’s assassination, King Hussein called me repeatedly in order to receive updated reports from the hospital. Though the Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not find it important to keep me frequently updated that night, thankfully, my daughter in Tel Aviv continually phoned me with the latest information. I could feel in the King’s voice the great shock that this horrible event elicited in him. Hundreds of people came to our Embassy in Amman to express their sympathy, including the royal family, politicians, military men, students, and ordinary people coming in their working clothes from all parts of the Kingdom. They all wrote their feelings in the condolence book that we opened for the public. At Rabin’s funeral, Hussein’s speech, which was not prepared, but instead delivered straight from the heart, succeeded in moving millions of viewers. He said to Rabin, “I am only used to standing in these types of ceremonies when you are standing near me to talk about peace, our commitment to build a better future, and future generations that will live in peace. I never thought that my first trip to Jerusalem would be under these circumstances.” Ali Shukri once told me that the King said to him during Rabin’s funeral, “I wish to end my life as Rabin has – as a martyr, and not on a sick bed.“ As we all know, this did not happen. 95 Syria and Lebanon Yitzhak Rabin and the Efforts to bring an End to the War Peace with Syria: Still a Strategic Option By: Edward P. Djerejian, chair of panel, Founding Director of the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University, Former U.S. Ambassador to Syria and Israel I would like to give a brief context to our discussion of Rabin’s attempts to reach peace with Syria and Lebanon. We have heard about how Yitzhak Rabin was a strategic thinker – a type of lawyer statesman. In dealing with Syria, he was facing another strategic thinker – Hafez al-Assad. Rabin understood the geo-political importance of Israeli-Syrian relations. He knew that comprehensive peace would not be possible without peace with Syria. He understood Syria’s regional rôle, particularly in terms of Lebanon, Iraq, and Turkey. Rabin understood that Assad had succeeded in creating a pan-Arab role for Syria, perhaps beyond its actual capacity. I think that this background is essential to understanding Rabin’s critical so-called ‘hypothetical deposit’ in 1993. When I was in Syria from 1988-1991, we, the Americans, initiated high level 96 strategic dialogue with Assad on the topics of Lebanon, U.S. hostages, building a unified front against Iraq, and even the freedom of travel for Syrian Jews. However, the essential issue, from our perspective, was convincing Assad to agree to direct face-to-face negotiations with Israel. We felt that if we could get the panArab leader, Assad, to agree to negotiations with Israel, other Arab countries would fall into place. In fact, Yitzhak Shamir, in part, agreed to attend the Madrid Conference, because of the breakthrough we had achieved in Damascus. The issues of land, peace, security, and water have all been discussed during various stages of negotiations between Israel and Syria, with U.S. mediation. The conventional wisdom is that 80% of these issues have been dealt with, meaning that when negotiations resume, we will begin at an advanced starting point. Although the Geneva summit, in which President Clinton mediated between Prime Minister Barak and Assad, failed, the ‘strategic option of peace’, as Bashar el-Assad calls it, still exists. The current American approach to Syria I want to make a few comments on the current American thinking about the state of affairs with Syria. Contrary to what is generally published in the press, for the last two years the Bush administration, aside from the 3 month period that kick-started the Iraq War, attempted to engage Bashar Assad in the kind of strategic dialogue that we developed in the 1990s with his father, particularly regarding issues concerning Iraq, Lebanon, Israel, and the Palestinian groups in Syria. Two years ago, Secretary of State Colin Powell went to Damascus to begin high level dialogue, which I took part in. At my last meeting with Bashar el-Assad last January, I realized that there was a major difference between negotiating with the father and the son. The strategic grasp of Hafez elAssad was such that, though he was the toughest negotiator in the region, once he made a decision, he could be counted on. With his son Bashar, there were too many ambiguities and not enough decision-making. The Hariri assassination, and the Mehlis report which followed, has put the whole situation on hold, until the final findings of the report are publicized in December. At that point, the international community will need to re-analyze its relations with Syria. Syria is currently at a very significant crossroads. The path that Syria chooses will have very serious implications for Lebanon, Iraq, Israel, and Turkey. In addition, the possibilities for Arab-Israeli peace could be influenced by the implications of the Mehlis Report. However, the strategic option of peace remains. The Achievements and Failures of Israel-Syria Peace Negotiations under Rabin By: Prof. Itamar Rabinovich President, Tel Aviv University and former Ambassador of Israel to the U.S. I would like to begin by discussing Rabin’s initial view of the Syrian peace track. During Rabin’s election campaign of 1992, Rabin emphasized the possibility of an interim deal with the Palestinians, but opposed the notion of an IsraeliSyrian peace deal and withdrawal from the Golan. If you visit the Golan Visitor’s Center today, you will see excerpts from Rabin’s pre-election statements, in which he spoke against withdrawing from the Golan. These statements assumed great importance when Rabin, as Prime Minister, initiated negotiations with Syria. Obviously, Rabin’s pre-election perspective changed once he was elected. The ‘hypothetical deposit’ On Secretary of State James Baker’s last visit to Jerusalem after visiting Damascus, he informed Rabin of two significant facts: 1. Hafez el-Assad was ready to make a peace agreement with Israel that was comparable in terms to the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty. 2. The Bush administration was willing to give full backing to such an agreement. At this point Rabin became more open to the idea of directly negotiating with Syria. My mandate, as chief negotiator on the Syrian track, was to explore this possibility. For the next year, the Prime Minister advanced the peace process on two parallel tracks: the Palestinian and the Syrian. After a series of negotiating efforts between Israel and Syria in Washington, in early August, 1993, Secretary of State Warren Christopher came to Israel to meet Rabin, received Rabin’s famous ‘hypothetical deposit’, and continued to Damascus. This ‘deposit’ was a hypothetical, conditional willingness to withdraw from the Golan in return for Syrian willingness to sign a peace accord modeled after the Israeli-Egyptian agreement in terms of its nature, structure, timetable, and willingness to engage in public diplomacy that would create a domestic climate enabling Rabin to withdraw from the Golan. 97 There are two issues I want to raise with respect to the ‘deposit’: 1. There was a blatant contradiction between Rabin’s pre-election statements and the new hypothetical reality. How would Rabin reconcile these, should an agreement occur? Rabin’s answer to this, which he told President Clinton, was that, should an agreement be reached, he would take the issue to a referendum. He felt that he needed to obtain legitimacy for a move that he explicitly opposed in his election campaign. 2. Given the monumental step of the ‘hypothetical deposit’, why was a peace deal not reached? First and foremost, Hafez el-Assad did not rise to the occasion. His response to Rabin’s proposal was disappointing. As a result, Rabin decided that it was not worth it to enter into a long, drawn-out set of negotiations with the Syrians, and chose to advance the Palestinian front instead, putting Syria on the backburner. In a sense the failure of the ‘hypothetical deposit’ was the turning point of the peace process in the 1990s, as it determined that the Palestinian front would be the focus of the process, as opposed to the Syrian. 98 Rabin was not the only Israeli Prime Minister willing to withdraw from the Golan Heights – Peres, Netanyahu, and Barak were all willing to withdraw from the region in exchange for peace. All four of these leaders preferred the Syrian option as a first step to the Palestinian option. The Clinton administration also preferred the Syrian option to the Palestinian option, as the first step. And yet, throughout the 1990s, there was no Syrian-Israeli deal. ambivalent about peace. Though he came to the conclusion that a peace agreement with Israel was advantageous, on another level, he was not ready to make the significant move. 2. The Soft superpower Aside from Assad’s disappointing response to Rabin’s ‘hypothetical deposit’, there were a few other significant factors that prevented an agreement on this front: The Clinton administration acted as a ‘soft’ superpower. Experience has shown that in our region we need a broker to be tough and manipulative in order to enable the parties to come to an agreement. During the Clinton years, there was a lot of time, goodwill, and creativity invested; however, the iron fist was lacking. 1. The Ambivalence of the leaders 3. Obstacles built into the relationship It is difficult to come to an agreement when the negotiations are taking place between ambivalent partners. Both sides wanted an agreement, but both sides were ambivalent and ambiguous with respect to the required sacrifices for an agreement. Rabin, though he displayed the courage to make tough decisions, was an ambivalent man. He agonized upon these tough decisions and was ambivalent about withdrawing from the Golan – who would not have difficulty, if not the former GOC of the Northern Command? Assad was also There were certain obstacles built into the relationship that prevented progress. For instance, if Assad made a deal in 1993, he would have to explain why he had refused to make a deal during the Camp David era. The idea of making the same deal 15 years later, after wasting billions of dollars and thousands of casualties, would be difficult to explain. Therefore, Assad needed to be able to show that he had obtained more than Sadat. However, that necessity, made it difficult for any Israeli Prime Minister to make a deal. Though Assad was a great strategic thinker, he failed to understand some of the key elements of modern society such as mass-communications, public opinion, and democracy – components of modern life that Anwar Sadat understood instinctively. He refused to understand that the Israeli Prime Minster needed Assad’s public support to help convince the Israeli public of the benefits of leaving the Golan Heights. Ambassador Indik and I invested a month of work convincing Foreign Minister Farouq al-Shara to give an interview to Israeli television, hoping that this would act as an ice-breaker. A grudging alShara gave an interview in which he spoke of the ‘original sin’ of Israel’s creation – not a fantastic way to win over public opinion. of American mediation, in which fundamental issues were explored in great depth, were a new and significant phenomenon. The basic structure of an Israeli-Syrian deal was created. Bilateral relationships and the issue of Lebanon were all agreed to, pending the core issues of the actual withdrawal and normalization, which eluded us. The almost four years of negotiations under Rabin were not wasted. However, negotiations collapsed in the summer of 1995 after the second meeting between the countries’ Chiefs of Staff. When Rabin was assassinated, we were in the midst of efforts to revive negotiations. However, the assassination, which terminated so many other efforts, temporarily terminated the attempts to renew negotiations with Syria. The achievements of the Rabin years Despite the disappointments, we made significant achievements during the Rabin years on the Syrian track. Most importantly, we broke the ice. Israel and Syria began to talk to each other. Handshakes and drinking coffee together were not realities before the Rabin era. Face-to-face meetings, always under the auspices 99 A Comparison between the Syrian Strategic Environments of the 1990s and Today By: Prof. Shibley Telhami Anwar Sadat chair for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland Senior Fellow at the Saban Center at the Brookings Institute When we hold conferences on people of the stature of Rabin, it focuses our attention on the important theme of leadership. In political science, we often underestimate the role of leadership. In my field, we are trained to learn from patterns of the past, and attempt to project into the future. This is one of the reasons that we don’t generally predict dramatic change very accurately. Every juncture of change in history has had a particular leader associated with it. Since the role of leadership has not been properly studied, the major junctures of change that have occurred in this region have not been accurately predicted by academics. 100 The Strategic environment that enables negotiations At the end of the day, Rabin was a leader, and his decisions were greater than the historical forces surrounding him. Nonetheless, leaders do not operate in a vacuum – a phenomenon that political scientists can more accurately describe. While all leaders will not react similarly to strategic environments, every leader must take into account their strategic environment when making decisions. I will try to describe the strategic environment in which Rabin operated vis-à-vis Syria, and to contrast this with the strategic environment in which Israel’s leadership operates today. Henry Kissinger was quoted as saying, “When I ask Rabin after the 1973 War to compromise, he said, ‘I don’t want to compromise when I’m weak, so help me be strong.’ When I came back to him after making him strong, he answered, ‘Why do I have to compromise now that I am strong?’” This is a very powerful strategic dilemma, and is the psychological state that guides leaders’ approaches to negotiations. But Rabin did compromise in the end, with respect to his willingness to enter into negotiation with Syria. How can we explain this? To my mind, the space for negotiations is born somewhere between positions of strength and weakness. Rabin clearly believed that Israel must negotiate from a position of strength – a view shared by, I think, all Israeli Prime Ministers. One negotiates when one has the upper hand, but also when one feels the heat of an uncomfortable status quo – this is the space that creates negotiations. The Israeli-Syrian strategic environment leading to negotiations It is essential to look at the strategic environment of Israeli-Syrian relations in the 1990s to understand what brought on negotiations. Syria approached negotiations from a fairly strong strategic position, despite the fact that it had recently lost its key supporter – the Soviet Union. Syrian policy, throughout the 1980s and before, had been largely based on the relationship between Syria and the Soviet Union. However, there were two factors that gave Syria an edge following the Iraq War: 1. Syria had joined the coalition in the Iraq War and actually sent troops to Iraq. In participating, Syria legitimized the position taken by Saudi Arabia. In addition, Syria’s participation, as well as other European and Arab countries’ participation, was hinged on the U.S. promise to help create a new Middle East reality after the war. Therefore, Syria’s role in the war gave it an edge vis-à-vis the U.S. regarding the postwar environment. 2. While in the 1980s, Israel’s presence in Lebanon allowed it to apply pressure to Syria, by the 1990s, Israel’s presence in Lebanon was helping Syria apply pressure to Israel. Attacks in Lebanon became the ‘hotbutton’ that Syria could push when required. The conventional wisdom in Israel at the time was that Israel could neither unilaterally pull out of Lebanon, nor make a peace deal with Lebanon without a prior deal with Syria. Therefore, the Lebanon situation gave Syria an edge. Thus, though Israel clearly had the military upper hand, Syria had the advantage of its post-war improved diplomatic standing, and the ability to apply heat in Lebanon when necessary. Therefore, a space was created that allowed for negotiations, which did not previously exist. Syria’s current problematic strategic situation When contrasting the situation in the 1990s with the current strategic environment, we find major differences. First, Lebanon can no longer be used by Syria as a source for pressuring Israel. In fact, today the opposite is true, particularly after Syria’s recent withdrawal. Lebanon has turned into a pressure point against Syria. The U.S.A. no longer feels obligated to assist Syria with respect the Arab-Israeli conflict. Although Syria cooperated with America for a short period after 9/11, providing it with essential intelligence information, U.S. - Syrian relations changed dramatically over the issue of Iraq. Today, American foreign policy views Syria as a target, distinct from the issue of the IsraelSyria conflict. Syria is currently being heavily pressured by the U.S., without an independent source of backing. Within the Arab World, public opinion is split regarding Syria. Arab public opinion supports Syria’s relationship with Hezbollah and its position vis-à-vis Iraq, in part, due to the Arab World’s current antagonism towards America’s Iraq efforts. However, Arab public opinion has condemned Syria on the issue of Rafik Hariri’s assassination. This was not a popular assassination, particularly among the Saudis. It is essential to understand to what types of international pressure Syria actually responds. Syria’s rapid pullout from Lebanon, following international demands, did not occur primarily due to American pressure. Syria has always been able to withstand American pressure, as long as Europe and Arab public opinion were on its side. However, the pressure regarding the Lebanon pullout, which included a UN resolution and a French-American alliance, was too much for Syria. In addition, Syria failed to translate Arab anger with America into Arab public opinion support on this issue. The implications of chaos in Syria I want to conclude with a few words about America’s future Syrian foreign policy. America no longer accepts the claim that it must support rogue régimes out of fear that the only other option is an Islamic fundamentalist government. However, I believe that it would be a big mistake for America to encourage instability and anarchy in Syria, hoping that it would lead to a régime change. We have seen in the past that Syria responds to deterrence and has red lines that it fears crossing. The same is true for Hezbollah, as well. For example, Hezbollah has not carried out attacks in the heart of Israel, but in border areas only – this seems to be a red line that Syria/Hezbollah was 101 deterred from crossing. However, if chaos were to bring Al-Qaeda related groups to Syria, deterrence capabilities would be lost. Al-Qaeda does not respond to deterrence, but is restrained only by the limits of its own capabilities. Therefore, I believe that the issue of provoking régime change requires far more analysis, consideration, and reflection than we have been hearing in the public discourse. Rabin and Peace with Syria: the Transformation of a Leader By: Prof. Moshe Maoz Dean of Middle Eastern Studies Department, Netanya Academic College Nowadays, we hear many figures who have been involved in the peace process claim that, had Rabin not been assassinated, there would be peace between Israel and the Palestinians. I even heard such a claim from Arafat a few months before he died, due to the trust that Arafat felt for Rabin. Rabin’s view of the Syrian track If this is the case regarding the Palestinians, I believe it is even more certain regarding Syria. Rabin himself said in 1994 that he trusted Assad more than he trusted Arafat, and that the Syrian track was simpler than the Palestinian track. He even claimed that the Syrian régime was more stable than the Egyptian régime. Rabin did not attempt to make peace with Syria due to some kind of revelation from the Almighty, as President Bush claims to have had regarding the establishment of 102 a Palestinian state and the need to attack Iraq. He attempted to make peace due to realistic, strategic reasons, such as the changed status of the Soviet Union and the aftermath of the first Gulf War. The unpopularity of returning the Golan Essentially, Rabin was not an ideologue. He was a pragmatist who made choices due to strategic analysis. Rabin, as has been stated, was very brave in going against the Israeli consensus. At the time, 70% of the public was against giving back the Golan to Syria. The Israeli public’s position until today is that they are for peace with Syria, but against returning the Golan. Rabin was under a very vicious attack from the right wing when he hinted that he was willing to give up the Golan for peace. During fierce demonstrations against him, Rabin was labeled as a traitor who had deceived the people and was endangering Israel’s security and water resources. Even our current Prime Minister Sharon, who has been recently labeled a traitor, has accused previous prime ministers, including Rabin, of endangering Israel’s security and water resources by negotiating with Syria for the Golan Heights. Rabin was ready to withdraw to the 1967 lines on the Golan for real, normalized peace. Peres and Netanyahu were also willing to make this full withdrawal, while it is unclear how far Barak was willing to go. Rabin’s earlier view of peace with Syria The revolutionary change that Rabin went through when he became Prime Minister the second time is truly intriguing. Only a few years previously, Rabin was vociferously against returning the Golan even for peace when he was Defense Minister. As Defense Minister, he claimed that he preferred the Golan without peace with Syria, rather than peace with Syria without the Golan. In 1989, Rabin and Prime Minister Shamir presented a plan for peace with Jordan and with the Palestinians, but not with Syria. Rabin said at the time that he did not regard Assad to be a partner for peace. In 1991, just one year before he became Prime Minister, Rabin again repeated that Israel should not make peace with Syria, due to the importance of the Golan. He even went as far as threatening Syria, claiming that if Syria were to use groundto-ground missiles against Tel Aviv, Damascus would be destroyed. Just before the 1967 war, as Chief of Staff, Rabin actually threatened to topple the Syrian régime. These types of threats can be seen as one of the contributing factors leading to the deterioration of relations leading up to the Six Day War. The transformation of a leader With all of this in mind, it is amazing that Rabin underwent such a drastic transformation in his views of Syria. This transformation, I believe, displays the difference between a politician and a statesman, between a politician and a leader. A statesman is somebody who leads his people, and is not led by public sentiment. he wrote in his biography, was within reach. He withdrew from peace negotiations due to public opinion. I would like to conclude that it wasn’t just a change in the strategic circumstances that brought upon Rabin’s change in thinking regarding Syria. It was also his leadership and courage that allowed him to pursue potentially unpopular moves. As Ataturk used to say, which was repeated by Ben Gurion, ‘I do not care what the people wish for. I know what the people need.’ I want to compare Rabin’s leadership to that of the Prime Minister before him, Yitzhak Shamir. When, at the Madrid Conference in 1991, Shamir agreed to peace with Syria but refused to discuss the Golan Heights, due to public opinion concerns, Shamir claimed that UN resolution 242 spoke of ‘territories’, not ‘The Territories’, meaning that not all occupied territories would have to be returned for peace. He claimed that we had already returned the Sinai which should suffice as ‘territories’. Even Barak reneged on peace with Syria, which according to Clinton, as 103 The Problematic Approach of Bashar el-Assad By: Prof. Eyal Zisser Head of the department of Middle Eastern and African History, Tel Aviv University I would like to address the current situation between Israel and Syria and prospects for the resumption of negotiations under Ariel Sharon and Bashar el-Assad. Two major events happened in our region in the last week. The first was Bashar el-Assad’s speech at Damascus University, in which he told his audience that Israel, in collusion with an American conspiracy, is behind the assassination of Rafik Hariri. According to Assad, this is all part of a massive American-Israeli conspiracy to take over Iraq, achieve a deal with the Palestinians with heavy Palestinian concessions, bring about régime change in Lebanon, disarm Hezbollah, settle Palestinian refugees in Lebanon, and weaken Syria. It is my impression that Assad really believes that he is facing some kind of Western conspiracy or plot. We ought to assume that these are, in fact, Assad’s beliefs, when trying to understand his actions. 104 The second major event in Israel last week was the Phil Collins concert in Tel Aviv, and the fact that he came directly from Beirut, where he also gave a concert. This shows us another aspect of the changes taking place in Lebanon. We, mistakenly, tend to think of Lebanon only in terms of Hezbollah; however, there are strong Western leaning forces there, as well. It is also important to note that Bashar el-Assad did not attend the concert in Beirut, though we know from an interview in 1999, before he was president, that Assad admires Phil Collins. Perhaps his changing opinion about Phil Collins indicates the major difference between Bashar el-Assad of the 1990s, and the hopes that we pinned to him, and Bashar el-Assad of today. The disaster of Bashar’s rule When looking back at the five years of Bashar’s rule, it appears that he succeeded in destroying everything that his father created during his 30 year reign. Syria is clearly not a stable country today, as it has been witness to several incidents at the hands of extremist Islam. Bashar succeeded in destroying Syria’s special relationship with France, and with Europe in general. He damaged Syria’s relationship with Egypt and Saudi Arabia. In addition, he was forced to withdraw from Lebanon and lost the trust of the Americans of the peace camp in Israel. While in the 1990s, there were many Israelis who argued for the logic of negotiating with Syria, this pro-Syria peace camp is virtually non-existent today. In Israel, nobody listens to Bashar’s calls for the resumption of negotiations. When he came to power, there were inflated expectations that the young leader would bring about reform and change – the only question was how far these reforms would go. Regarding the Israel-Syria peace track, there was an assumption that negotiations would resume and that peace could be achieved. In the eyes of many, there was a clear difference between Bashar and his father, as he gave the impression of understanding that the status quo was not tenable. It was thought that Bashar may be willing to ‘smile’ for the sake of mobilizing Israeli public opinion, where his father could not. However, we saw no positive change or reform on the ground, but only a resumption of Hezbollah attacks with the blessing of Syria, support of terror groups, and extreme declarations by Assad denying Israel’s right to exist. Questions have been raised about whether Bashar el-Assad or the Baath régime in general will survive. Over the last year, it appears that, due to his mistakes in Lebanon and in dealing with America and Europe, he is losing the ability to rule over his own country. The impossibility of resuming negotiations Bashar el-Assad has continually, over the last five years, has continually called for a resumption of peace talks with Israel. The framework and legacy of peace talks have been handed down to us by Rabin and Hafez elAssad. However, there are currently no prospects for the resumption of such negotiations because there is no Syrian partner or Israeli partner. It is unclear how serious Assad actually is, or whether he has the required power or will to actually make peace. In addition, Israel is currently interested in issues other than negotiating with Syria. Israel no longer sees Syria as a threat or the key to the question of Hezbollah, and therefore sees no need to offer the weakened country concessions. In addition, there is no American mediating partner for such talks, a role that has always been crucial for the Israel-Syria track. It appears that Bashar’s calls for a resumption of negotiations is not meant for the purpose of achieving peace, but is for the purpose of resuming some level of dialogue with Washington. I doubt very much that he will achieve this goal. I believe that there is a certain amount of logic behind Bashar’s moves. However, his logic appears more similar to that of Saddam Hussein, than to his father’s, who knew when to refrain from taking unnecessary risks. Bashar, in confronting America, is taking a calculated risk that he may pay for, just as Saddam did. In a way, he is following what his father did in the 1980s in Lebanon, when Syrian forces clashed with American forces; however, the situation today is far different today than it was then. When speaking with my Syrian colleagues, we all agree that an opportunity was missed in the 1990s. My Syrian colleagues believe that many opportunities to improve life in Syria, beyond a peace agreement with Israel, were missed during the last ten years of Hafez el-Assad’s rule. Unfortunately, I fear that, with Bashar’s current policy, even more opportunities to improve Syria’s standing and improve the life of Syrians will be missed. 105 Building a Bridge over Troubled Water: Water in the Middle East Opening Remarks By: Michael Stark, chair of the panel, President, Veolia Water U.S. It is an honor for my company, Veolia Water and me to chair this session. The sessions yesterday and this morning set out to highlight the sincere belief of all those who live in this region of the world that peace is not simply the preferred option but also a necessity. This session, “a bridge over troubled water” is centered on life’s most basic resource. Without water we cannot sustain health, an economy, industry or life itself. Water can be either a source of fundamental divisiveness or an instrument of peace. Around the world, water transcends borders between villages, towns, cities and nations. Local and national governmental agencies routinely communicate and work together to establish institutional frameworks and agreements on the management of that precious resource. These agreements are often complex and ongoing in their development. Where water scarcity or other limitations exist, cooperation is more difficult to establish. Where political 106 tensions exist, these difficulties quite naturally escalate. This morning and early this afternoon, we will hear from a distinguished panel of public and private-sector experts who have been involved in the management of natural resources, especially the management of water. In the Middle East, as in the rest of the world, various water resources cross borders and boundaries. Jordan, Israel, the Palestinian Authority, Lebanon, Syria, Turkey, Iraq and Egypt share rivers, the Red Sea, and the vast Mediterranean Sea. Within these countries there are definable opportunities to establish regional water facilities or networks that can provide water to the areas with scarce or seasonally-impacted water resources. New technologies are being applied daily in the water industry. These technologies, when harnessed, could help foster beneficial cooperation. Yet the impacted countries have little or no international law addressing specific water and wastewater issues and conduct only limited discussions for exploring mutually beneficial cooperation. For the sake of humanity’s most basic need – which is water – there is an opportunity to set aside political differences by building water-treatment facilities, expanding and/or rerouting networks and even establishing new pipelines to transport water from one location to the next. These are the issues we shall discuss today. These represent a “bridge over troubled waters”. Joint Projects: the Only Solution to Limited Water Resources By: Binyamin Ben Eliezer Minister of National Infrastructure, Israel The issue of water is a very major component in our relationship with our neighbors. Water is one of the fundamental issues, along with security, borders, refugees, and other issues, that face all of us attempting to solve regional conflict. Today's water technology situation is far different from in the past. There are means for artificially producing potable water at reasonable costs, the most popular being desalination. With new technological capabilities, water, instead of being a source of tension, should be a source of cooperation and an impetus for advance other related issues. The last water-related agreements were signed over 10 years ago, just prior to the assassination of Rabin. Multi-lateral and bilateral agreements regarding water were agreed upon within the framework of both the Oslo II Interim Accord with the Palestinians and the permanent peace treaty signed with Jordan. Bilateral committees have been formed to implement these agreements, which have not ceased their activities since their formation. Even at the height of Intifada terrorism, joint Israeli-Palestinian teams held ongoing meetings on water issues. The Jordanian-Israeli bilateral teams have promoted joint projects beyond our original expectations, when the agreements were signed. Due to the scarcity of water in the region, all parties in the region must come to understandings that, despite political disputes, we must abstain from damaging one another's water systems. Every year, broad multi-lateral activities are gaining momentum. Countries that stand to gain from large scale water projects must encourage donor nations to participate in these efforts. Joint projects strengthen the ties between the participants and act as confidence-building measures as part of the process of normalization. Natural resources in our region are capable of supplying us with only a small quantity of water – only 40% of the lowest critical amount required for minimum human welfare, economic activity and food requirements, as determined by the UN. In another 20 years, our region's natural resources will be able to supply urban consumption requirements only. In order to initiate sustainable development of natural water resource, we will need to create desalination projects within the scope of at least 800 million cubic meters of water annually. The deteriorating quantity and quality of water Our natural water resources are decreasing both in quantity and quality. Global warming is causing a decrease in natural water resources both regionally and globally. In addition, pollution, as a result of unceasing human activity over the last century, has decreased our water quality significantly. Abuse of natural resources has resulted in salt accumulation in the western area of Israel. Climatic instability and long drought periods have hampered our abilities to exploit water resources in a sustainable manner. Despite these unfavorable circumstances, countries in the region have been able to maintain a reasonable level of human welfare and development. However, we have yet to achieve adequate water supply and sanitation levels for all in the region, particularly in the Palestinian Authority. The necessity of joint cooperative projects In our region, we cannot afford to try to divide water supplies according 107 to state, when the natural sources are shared. The geographic water situation of shared resources required joint cooperative projects. The idea of exploiting water as a means for cooperation was expressed by UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, when he said, "The water problems of the world need not be a cause of tension, they can also be a catalyst for cooperation." The spirit of the late Yitzhak Rabin is embodied in the section of the accords he signed regarding water cooperation. A water engineer by trade, Rabin understood the importance of cooperation, of creating additional water sources, of sustaining existing resources and of preventing harm to existing water systems – all features of the peace agreements that Rabin initiated. In the past few years, Israel has intensified its efforts to explore new sources, increase its water supply and to satisfy not only its own water needs, but also those of its neighbors. For example, in March, 2004, Israel and Turkey signed an agreement which will supply 50 million cubic meters annually for the next 20 years. In addition, we are currently focusing on the joint project called the 'Peace Canal', which will transport 200 billion cubic meters of water annually from 108 the Red Sea to the Dead Sea. This water will be desalinated near the Dead Sea and create 800 million cubic meters of potable water that will serve Jordan, Israel, and the Palestinian Authority. This project is the realization of a vision initiated by the late Yitzhak Rabin – the ultimate pathfinder in search for a solution to our regional conflict. May his memory be blessed and serve as a guide to us all. This plan has been on the agenda for a long time; unfortunately, from 1994 until today, no serious assessment of this project has been made. This pipeline, it is assumed can provide us with 800 million cubic meters annually. The Need for a New Water Strategy By: Prof. Avishay Braverman President, Ben Gurion University When working for the World Bank, I led a study with top players and researchers in the field of water in Israel to assess the water situation west of the Jordan River. Dr. Munther Haddadin was asked to lead a similar study in Jordan. We came to the following conclusions: • We found that the land west of the Jordan contains approximately 10 or 11 million people, while the water supply is approximately 2 billion cubic meters. • We predicted that by the year 2040, the holy land will hold approximately 20 million people. If we assume that the Palestinian consumption level should equal the Israeli level, for the point of view of equality, by 2020, we will face a shortage of approximately 2 billion cubic meters in the holy land. • Dr. Munther Haddadin found that in Jordan, they will be facing a shortage of 1.5 billion cubic meters of water by 2040. With this in mind, we needed to assess a few possibilities. We actually considered the possibility of getting rid of agriculture due to the vast water needs of agriculture. However, we declined this proposition because we learned that the waste water created by the growing urban population, which is currently destroying the aquifer of the Mediterranean, can be used constructively by purifying it for specific agricultural projects in the Negev and Galilee regions. We deduced that purifying this waste water would provide approximately 1 billion cubic meters. Beyond this, we have two options: importing water or desalinating water. Though we import a small amount of water from Turkey – 50 million cubic meters – we decided that our best bet was to advance desalination projects through canals. Water desalination possibilities There are currently a few different canal solutions. For many reasons, Shimon Peres and Prince Hassan of Jordan decided to push for the 'Peace Canal' solution, which is to run from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea. In order to implement this project, we must assess the current state of the Dead Sea and the SyrianAfrican fault line. The Dead Sea, which was once 392 meters below sea level has sunk to 416 meters, and is declining. It is essential that this type of study be conducted as soon as possible so that the canal project can be implemented. We considered the option of a Syrian Canal, which has been put on hold for obvious reasons. However, when there is peace between Israel and Syria, water need not be the dividing point. Syria has enough water sources in its north connected to a national water carrier, in addition to the water sources near the Jordan River to allow for significant water cooperation. The Middle East – the next water technology hub I have heard people quoted as saying that water is an excuse for war. As Rabin used to say: this is nonsense. Basically, there is no reason to fight over water. I believe that a major water initiative including desalination can alter this area. It has to be done by serious professionals, with minimal obstacles. Cooperation in this field between Israel, Jordan and Palestine is a must. At the height of the Intifada we built the biggest water institute in the Middle East at Sde Boker, all the time working with the Palestinian 109 and Jordanian Water Commissioners. We never violated water agreements, even during the height of violence. However, the situation in Gaza, in which waste water is destroying the aquifer, is very disturbing and must be stopped. The World Bank must take immediate action on this disaster I believe that Israel has to make a strategic decision to become a hub for water technology. We have so many young, eager engineers and water-technologists that can shape a new water situation for the region. We are starting a major fund for investment in the field of water. If the government sets long term water goals and works together with international corporations, water can become a big business for Israel and for the region. This is achievable, if we can change the political system to work for long term solutions. 110 A Brief History of Regional Water Conflict & Possible Future Cooperation By: Dr. Munther Haddadin Former Minister of Water, Jordan My speech is guided by the title of this panel 'Building a Bridge over Troubled Water'. These waters have been very troubled. These troubles started at the same time as the troubles over land resources began. Water conflict in the Ottoman and British Mandate periods Perhaps the modern history of water disputes began when the first Zionist Congress of 1897 dispatched a water engineer to survey the water resources of Palestine, and determine how best to utilize water resources for the benefit of Jewish settlement in the holy land. The engineer submitted his report to the congress. He also submitted a letter to a reverend gentleman in the Anglican Church, asking him to urge the King of England to purchase lands in the Jordan Valley at a cheap price from the Ottoman Sultan. The engineer would then implement the water projects that he had devised and England could sell the land to Jewish settlers for a higher price, enabling Great Britain to offset the expenses of the purchase and of the Boer War in South Africa. The pursuit of water resources by the Zionist enterprise continued, as in 1919, the Zionist Congress dispatched a Jewish engineer named Haiim Rotenberg to Palestine. He conducted a detailed study in which he proposed producing energy from the Yarmouk and Jordan Rivers. He obtained a license, as a private individual, from the British Mandate to advance his power generation projects on the Yarmouk, Jordan, and Yarkon Rivers, and to dry up the Hula swamps – all for the purpose to putting a foothold in these regions. During the British Mandate, Jewish water initiatives increased in scope, including the establishment of Mekorot in 1932. There was much more Jewish activity on water resources than the Arabs were aware of, until the first Palestinian Intifada of 1936. After six months of turbulence, a Royal Commission intervened, eventually recommending the partition of Palestine, and a link between the Palestinian state and Trans-Jordan. This proclamation caused the Jordanians to investigate whether the area had enough water resources to support two states. At the same time, the Jewish Agency commissioned an American engineer to investigate the same issue. At this point, both sides started competing for the same Jordan Valley water resources for their future states and future settlements. not on the political level by the Arab League or by Egypt. The U.S. supported Israel's National Water Carrier project and Jordan's canal project in Jordan Valley monetarily, on the condition that the sides agreed to only drawing the amount of water stipulated in the American envoy's plan of 1955. Water conflict after Israel was given statehood When Israel started taking large amounts of the Jordan River water supply for the National Water Carrier in the mid-1960s, President Nasser initiated an Arab Summit, where it was decided to divert waters from the Jordan River in the Jordan. It has been mistakenly proposed that the 1967 War was a war over water. This was not the case. Documents in the U.S. and Israeli archives can testify to this. However, in 1979, water issues almost led to an allout armed conflict between Israel and Jordan, in which forces were mobilized and facing each other, only divided by the Yarmouk River. The United States, with the help of your truly, helped avert a war over water. Once Israel was declared a state, Israel updated its plans and began building the National Water Carrier, which was built from the south towards the Jordan River in the north. When the water carrier approached Syrian water diversion sites, conflict ensued with the Syrians, including armed clashes. The U.S., attempting to become the superpower of the Middle East, dispatched an envoy, led by Ambassador Johnston, to create a water sharing plan between the conflicting states. The envoy arrived in the area on October 12, 1953 and proceeded to shuttle between the Arab states and Israel for a period of two years. This envoy came up with a general plan for sharing the region's water and developing the Jordan valley. This plan was accepted on the technical level by all parties, but When the Israelis came up with their MED plan to link the Dead Sea to the Mediterranean, we in Jordan, in attempting to compete with Israel over water resources, thought of the idea of connecting the Dead Sea with the Red Sea. When competition between the Israeli and Jordanian initiatives increased, the UN sent three experts who came to talk both to the Israelis and Jordanians. One of the UN representatives asked me about the damage the Israeli project would cause Jordan. I answered him that if the Dead Sea was raised back to its previous levels, as Israel had intended in their MED plan, the new water level would damage a nearby aquifer that yields approximately 15 cubic meters per year. Cooperative plans for water resources – a positive sum game Competition over control of the Dead Sea continued until February, 1994, when I had the honor of presenting to the tri-lateral committee of the Jordan-Israel peace talks an integrated development plan for the Jordan Rift Valley, which was to include the participation of Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Palestine, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia. The plan was to enable seven states, which have generally been in conflict – primarily with Israel, but also amongst each other – to cooperate in developing and preserving common water interests. Dennis Ross, highly impressed by my presentation, said, "This is the first 111 time, since I have been involved in the peace process, that I have heard something with meat on it." This marked the birth of the 'RedDead Canal', which was later included as a separate article in the JordanIsrael peace treaty. I will have to dispute Binyamin Eliezer's comment that the late Yitzhak Rabin envisioned this canal – it has and always will be a Jordanian vision. If Israel continues to monopolize water supplies in the Jordan Rift Valley and the three underground aquifers that are shared with the Palestinians, it will not have enough water to meet all of its water requirements, in terms of reaching a water supply to level to balance its food commodities imports and exports. The same concept would apply if somehow Jordan or the Palestinians would monopolize water resources. Therefore, no good can come from monopolization at the hands of a single party. However, much good can come of each party within the Jordan, Palestine, Israel triangle sharing resources equally and cooperating to produce a positive-sum game, instead of the competitive approach which produces a negative-sum game, in which the gain of one party is the loss of the other. 'Green water', the water captured by soil after rain fall through surface 112 tension (as opposed to pumped ground water), is another aspect of water supply that requires cooperation. This water supports the production of food and the rain-fed agriculture. I assessed this topic in Jordan and found that this 'green water' is in as high a quantity as the 'blue water' – the pumped ground water and underground water we all talk about. Therefore, we must cooperate to use green water resource to up with better production conditions in a variety of land areas. I would like to conclude by saying that the vision of Rabin paved the way for the understandings created between Jordan and Israel. I managed the water conflict with Israel for years, and negotiated the new phase of water cooperation, and witnessed first hand the importance of Rabin's vision. Our ability to agree on water issues came when Rabin said to King Hussein in my presence, "Your majesty, I am not interested in one square inch of your territory, nor one drop of your water." That stand, taken by Rabin paved the way for understandings on water resources and on land issues. God bless his soul, and I wish that the next government of Israel would adopt the same vision that the late Rabin had, so that the current conflicts with Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinians can be resolved. Water: A tool for Peace By: Dr. Alfred Abed Rabbo Water and Soil Environmental Research Unit (WSERU), Bethlehem University Worldwide, the availability of adequate freshwater has become a limiting factor for human development. The Middle East, as a region, is characterized by scarce water resources and rapid population growth - making it all the more essential that its nations cooperate to ensure that freshwater solutions are found for all citizens. In the more humid regions of the area, the central concern regarding water is the deterioration of its quality due to pollutants that have infected water sources. Conversely, in semi-arid and arid regions, water scarcity has always been the dominant problem. Ecosystem disruption due to overexploitation of both surface and ground waters, limited ground water renewal and surface drainage fluctuation due to changing land usage have all resulted, not only in the deterioration of the water, but also in salinity build-up in soil and water. These factors, when combined, have had drastic effects on fresh water availability in the region. With water scarcity becoming more acute, the control of water resources has become an increasingly significant feature of the Arab-Israel conflict, in general, and of the ongoing Palestinian -Israeli struggle, in particular. In fact, at the outset of the peace process initiated in the 1990s, water was recognized as one of the most significant final status issues. Guaranteeing adequate quantities and quality of water, particularly on the Palestinian side, has been one of the most sensitive items on the agenda for Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Not a scientific issue exclusively Water deprivation cannot be alleviated solely by engineering and scientific solutions – its human, political, and cultural aspects must be dealt with as well. The current water allocation policy in Israel and the Palestinian territories derives from a complex mix of sociocultural pressures. Water is viewed as a strategic, as well as economic, commodity for both nations, and has significant political ramifications. The relationship between water security and socio-economic development is vitally important, particularly for the Palestinians. The Bilateral Interim Accord signed in Washington in 1995 (popularly known as Oslo II), an attempt to push the Israel-Palestinian conflict towards a resolution, attempted to tackle water scarcity issues. Article 40 of this document deals extensively with water supply, and wastewater removal and treatment issues. Article 40 and its appendices defined water allocations between Israelis and Palestinians. In the opening paragraph of Article 40, Palestinian negotiators managed to receive a clear acknowledgement that they had rights to water. The agreement allowed the Palestinian Water Authority (PWA) to accept foreign grants for drilling and for improving their water infrastructure. For the Palestinians, regaining control or being given shared management of the aquifers under its territory was an important step in becoming a viable state. The water-related aspect of Oslo II was also essential to the development of cooperative projects between the two nations, as Israeli, Palestinian and other scientists and engineers cooperated to find ways to satisfactorily co-manage the aquifers. The acknowledgement of water rights also vital to providing Palestinians with access to workplaces within their own territory (as opposed to 113 having to work as day laborers in Israel), essential for developing an economy that would allow for stable livelihoods and food security. Lack of coherent implementation Unfortunately, actuall implementation of Palestinian water rights, in terms of a coherent policy, has been limited. In the West Bank, political maneuvering has proven to be a prime force governing water use and allocation and has had haphazard affects on patterns of groundwater degradation and resource depletion. It is essential that Palestinian access to water and waste water services translate into an improvement in the coverage and quality of water networks, especially for households that currently have no connection to water networks. Currently, approximately 88% of the Palestinian population in the West Bank is connected to the water network; however, this translates, into approximately 55% of towns and village, only. Although water security is closely related to socioeconomic development, which is highly influenced by access to workplaces, there is no necessary linkage between access to local water supplies and food security. Food security depends much more heavily 114 on access to trade avenues that allow for food import. Since the beginning of the Oslo process, Palestinian politicians have more vigorously fought for water rights and water allocation than for food security. However, it soon became apparent that there were serious problems regarding the sustainability of the West Bank aquifers. Food and water self-sufficiency In the end, Palestine will gain water self-sufficiency and food self-sufficiency only once it gains independence through a fair deal at the negotiating table. However, "selfsufficiency" is a loaded term that must be fully understood. Self-sufficiency implies that the Palestinians need to achieve a balanced water and food budget through trade. Food self-sufficiency is not directly dependent on locally available water resources, but is more closely related to Palestinian water management, raising important questions regarding the perceived relationship between agriculture, food security and water use. Therefore, the equivalence often attributed to “self sufficiency” and “water security” must be more thoroughly examined. Agricultural water strategy The purpose of raising these questions is to ignite a serious debate that will allow the Palestinians to legislate improved water policies, reforms, and priorities. Irrigation agriculture must be a key component of overall Palestinian agricultural water strategy. Overall targets, in terms of water networks' resources and costs required for water withdrawal for irrigation agriculture, must coincide with Palestinian water agricultural strategy as a whole. In addition, Palestinian policy makers must engage in a productive debate, and balance the necessary trade-off between its agriculture water strategy on the one hand and its municipal and industrial water needs on the other. Management challenges facing water policy makers in Palestine demand a pragmatic approach to policy implementation that introduces reforms and complies with them. This approach must be intricately linked with wider long-term social and economic change. Water management by regulatory bodies such as the PWA (Palestinian Water Authority) must coordinate their approach with other Palestinian ministries and NGOs. Water management reforms Prioritization of water uses is an essential aspect of Palestinian economic self-sufficiency. Palestinian policy makers must implement, in a step-by-step manner, conventional reforms tailored to both hydrogeological and socio-economic conditions. A new system that defines ground water abstraction rights is badly needed. The Palestinians must establish an approach that implements water rights and legislates water management laws. This approach would provide a constructive platform for building a consensus around water issues and raising awareness of the importance of proper water management. Finally, the Palestinians' water legislation must allocate water among agricultural, municipal and industrial sectors in way that can cope with drought situations. Sewage management presents another set of issues that must be dealt with by Palestinian policy makers. Several towns, particularly rural areas, are still not connected to public sewage networks and a general shortage of sewage plants exists. Developing waste water collection and treatment plants is essential for protecting the environment and for using recycled water for a number of uses. Other methods for water conservation and distribution include rainwater harvesting, a wider use of springs and water tankering. Treating wastewater at appropriate standards for non-domestic uses is essential for agriculture and industry. However, irrigation practices have a long way to progress - in the southern West Bank, for example, only 2% of agricultural land is irrigated. In that area, water resources are insufficient for the development of industry and agriculture, and are inadequate to supply domestic needs. Through American intervention, Israeli and Palestinian politicians eventually resolved the apparently intractable problems regarding the establishment of a wastewater treatment plant in the southern West Bank. The plant's construction was to begin in the autumn of 2000, but has unfortunately been delayed, primarily due to the volatile situation existed in the area. completely vague context. The Road Map must commit the parties involved to resolve the continuing dispute over water. Although the Road Map's supposed improvement over Oslo is the use of "performance parameters" to enable fair judgment of each side's fulfillment of obligations at various stages, there are no such parameters for measuring the fulfillment of waterrelated obligations. In spite of the hostility, lack of trust and uncompromising attitudes that developed on each side of the IsraeliPalestinian conflict, a bilateral solution to the present water crisis is possible. However, a resolution that seeks a just and equitable allocation of the scarce water resources available requires courageous political decisions that run counter to ideological currents gaining strength in each respective culture, which have in many cases been adopted by each side's politicians. The Road Map ignores the issue The most recent phase of international framework for progressing towards a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the Quartet (UN, U.S., EU and Russia) sponsored Road Map to Peace. Unfortunately, in this document, water-related issues are mentioned only once, and in a 115 Middle East regional water options: Minimizing the risks associated with water scarcity By: Saul Arlosoroff Director of the Board, National Water Corporation, Israel I had the honor of discussing water issues with the late Yitzhak Rabin from 1967 onwards. Rabin has been linked with water since his childhood, especially after finishing his studies at Kadourie Agricultural School, and throughout his military career. I first met Rabin when he was in the process of transition from being a soldier into statesman in 1967, after his famous address at Mount Scopus at the Hebrew University. Whoever listened to him at that speech realized that a new Rabin had emerged from the 1967 War. During that speech, he said, "All that I ever wanted was to be a water engineer, and I turned out to be a general." In 1976, after the first Egypt-Israel armistice agreement, I spent three days in the southern Sinai with Rabin in others as a farewell visit to a water project that we executed in the Sinai. During that trip, he gave a very touching address to oil workers in 116 the area who were preparing to leave their jobs, due to the withdrawal. I remember saying to Rabin during the trip, "I think that water will act as a bridge or window of opportunity, and not a cause of war." Rabin did not react, but simply nodded his head. A few months before he was assassinated, when we gave Rabin an honorary degree as a water engineer, I told Rabin that I believed that the water negotiations between us and the Palestinians and Jordanians are not going in the proper direction. When he asked me why, I gave him my opinion in brief. He nodded and asked that we set up a meeting to discuss this more thoroughly. Unfortunately, that meeting did not occur. Water, from my point of view, is undoubtedly a window of opportunity. Water must be a part of any political regional solution. Even without implementing multi-billion dollar projects, there are ways in which we can cooperate with our neighbors that will cease to make water of cause of disputes. I see imported water, though not on the multi-billion dollar level, as has been suggested by my colleagues, as a solution. At some point in the future, it will be economic to bring in expensive water for desalination at the Dead Sea. There is no doubt that desalinating Mediterranean Sea water is the most logical option for the short and medium term. I want to give a brief overview of what Israel is trying to achieve regarding water resource management, which can be also applied to other countries in the region. I want to deal with certain short term solutions, which to my mind are much more practical than the Red Sea–Dead Sea canal plans. These solutions will hopefully produce short water relief solutions for the region. My presentation focuses on the set of technological instruments that can be used to open a window of opportunity for a peaceful coexistence by minimizing the risks and socio-economic problems associated with regional water scarcity. The following points summarize the current water situation in the area: The levels of water uses and related scarcity , at present and especially in the future, within the three Middle East entities – Israel, Jordan and Palestine – are at approximate rates of 280,140,80 cubic meters/capita/ year (CMCY) respectively, for all uses. These rates of use represent critical levels (World Bank definition for semi arid countries—is considered critical and acute for levels below 500 CMCY). • It is assumed that by 2010, unless significant changes in supply and demand management is implemented, the water scarcity and water quality deterioration will cause severe socioeconomic damages and risks to the social life of the three regional societies. • Since the great majority of the regional conventional water resources have already been developed by the three entities, and since over-pumping from ground water storage already prevails during dry periods, there remain only three realistic options to minimize the regional social economic risks and problems associated with water scarcity: 1) More efficient management of water demands. 2) Augmenting supplies from international sources. 3) Desalinizing brackish and sea water resources. Water demand management – Israel as a case study Water demand management is a strategy aimed at minimizing water waste and increasing agricultural and industrial production per unit of water, which summarize Israel's unique and comprehensive strategy. It was designed and aimed to achieve a successful national water demand management program. It took Israel almost 40 years to legislate, research, develop the technological and agronomic means, create the financial and economic incentives and sanctions, and harvest the results. These results are shown and detailed in the slides 7, 8, 9, and 10, particularly regarding the agricultural sector, urban and industrial sub-sectors, and the nation-wide waste water re-use program. From these results, it is clear that the real agriculture production per unit of water has risen by more than 300% enabling farmers to maintain adequate production and income despite a reduction of water allocations, an increase in water pricing, and incentives and sanctions, regarding water use. Each country in the region and beyond must make a national assessment of its water supplies and figure out how to conserve water and increase the efficiency of water use. The cheapest un-utilized water resource is our ability to learn how to make the most of what exists. Drip irrigation One of Israel's major breakthroughs in the area of agriculture was the transition from gravity irrigation, to sprinkler irrigation, and finally to drip irrigation. Today, almost all irrigation in Israel is drip irrigation. Unfortunately, much of the developed world has not implemented these types of advanced irrigation systems. Their irrigation efficiency stands at only 40%, while in Israel, it is over 90%. Just by implementing drip irrigation methods, countries can conserve billions of cubic meters of water, without having to spend billions of dollars. Similar conservation programs have been implemented in selected urban centers, such as the dual volume flush toilets, flow regulators and drip irrigation in urban parks and gardens. The impact of these measures is apparent in slide 10, where it is displayed that industrial and urban water use per capita has remained almost constant, despite over 350% increase of GDP/Capita, which presumably would influence water use/capita. 117 If Israel had not have embarked on nation-wide programs such as drip irrigation, it would have had to make use of an additional 150-200% of its water resources at prohibitive costs by desalting huge quantities of sea water. Re-use of waste water I believe that Israel was the first countries in the world to efficiently use treated waste water. The Israeli government has given priority to the national waste water treatment and the needed connections of treated wasted water to the farming areas. This project will free up fresh water currently allocated to agriculture to other uses. In 2003, 50% of the total water allocated for agricultural irrigation was treated waste water (see Slide no. 8). This percentage will grow over the years. The re-use of waste water is particularly pertinent regarding the waste water of Palestinians and Israeli settlers who live above the mountain aquifer, as their waste water is currently destroying the aquifer. Water transfer solutions There are several water pipeline possibilities that could bring large 118 quantities of water into the region (see slide 15). Naturally, these are dependent upon agreements between the relevant parties, and in some cases, the signing of peace treaties. Some of the options are as follows: • Desalination-West Bank pipelines: Sea water desalination is already being performed in Ashkelon, and is under consideration in Caesarea. I want to propose a pipeline which could be owned by a 3rd-party to remove suspicions on each side, such as the Americans or Europeans, which could carry desalinized water from Caesarea towards Nablus in the Palestinian territories. This type of project and another similar pipeline towards the Hebron area and in Gaza could help the Palestinians reach maintainable water levels in the West Bank. Affordability is definitely an issue for these types of pipeline projects. • Litani River water supply: The greatest and cheapest fresh water supply in our area is the Litani River in Southern Lebanon which discharges approximately 500 Million cubic meters per year into the Mediterranean. This supply is useful in that it could connect to our National Water Carrier and to the Sea of Galilee. Utilizing this essential water supply would require an agreement with Lebanon. This water source could reach southwest Syria, Jordan, and the Palestinian Territories, as well. • Nile basin water supply: Water from Nile after being used by Egyptian farmers, could be connected to a pipeline towards Northern Sinai, to the Gaza, and to southern Israel. Cooperation between the relevant Middle East countries, transfer of knowledge and experience, as well as support by donor states will prove that water issues can become a window of opportunity instead of being a cause of conflict. As water scarcity poses serious risks to socioeconomic development and regional prosperity, cooperation in this sector must be seen as a potential strategy that can be used in other sectors. The budgets proposed for such projects are well within the capacity donor states and countries in the region. Problems associated with the continuation of the water status quo will, in the end, cost more than the potential solutions discussed in this paper. Without the need for multi-billion dollar projects, we have both the water technology and water supply to reach adequate levels. Implementing proper water demand management and developing cooperative projects are essential for the water situation. A Plan of Action for Regional Water Development By: Patrice Folladosa International Executive Chairman and CEO, Veolia Water In the Jordan River region, the situation is characterized by the viscosity of scarce water resources, coupled with the fragmentation of water management among numerous states, actors and bodies. Water resources in this region cross national boundaries, and therefore require strong cooperation between neighboring countries. A geographical situation requiring cooperation Fifteen million people live in the Jordan River region. The 1.5 million cubic meters conveyed annually by the Jordan represent only 1/50 of the Nile's flow rate. With less than 500 cubic meters of fresh water available per person annually, Jordan, Israel, the West Bank and Gaza are in a permanent state of shortage. Water resources are always viewed as a geo-political subject; this region is obviously no exception. Two of the three major rivers in the region are shared by several countries, increasing the interdependence of the various states. The Jordan River, which is 360 km long, flows across five countries. Even countries with an abundance of water resources often have difficulty agreeing on how to share the resources. There is one fundamental factor that governs relations between states regarding water issues: geography. Geography determines which country is upstream, a key advantage in this field. Cooperation is all the more essential in arid areas due to the slow rate of precipitation, the slow rate of aquifer replenishment, the over-utilization of ground water, high watering levels required for agriculture and fast rate of evaporation. Urban and industrial development is increasingly competing with agriculture for water resources, though agriculture is still the regions leading consumer of water. In Israel, almost half the water demand is for agriculture, while in Jordan agricultural irrigation is consuming almost 3/4 of the water used. Politics are obviously a decisive factor in water management in the area. Technology alone cannot settle the problems here – little can be achieved without diplomatic activity. However, technology can produce a larger degree of freedom for water management and overcoming imbalances between the players. A three-point action plan Based on my experience, I would like to make three proposals that could be put into action in the region: 1. Intensify the use of thermal or membrane technologies for water desalination. Today only 1% of the world's drinking water is produced through desalination. There is a lot of room for growth, provided that the cost of energy is controlled. The new plant in Ashkelon offers a line of access to this essential technology. Assuming that 20% of the 120 cubic meters that can be produced by this plant were routed to the Gaza Strip, 100 liters of water per capita per day would be supplied to more than half a million Palestinians. 2. Intensify the transfer of expertise in order to optimize infrastructure management in all countries of the region. By transferring technological know-how to the Palestinian Authority, the Palestinians will be able to supply more water per capita without having to invest in new water resources. This will put an end to the 50% water loss that currently exists 119 in the West Bank and Gaza. 3. Develop alternative resources by intensifying waste water recycling. Israel has reached a level of recycling 95% of its renewable resource. In Israel, currently 250 million cubic meters of waste water are used for irrigation, which have been purified and treated to varying degrees. The remainder is discharged into rivers and the sea due to a lack of waste water treatment facilities. Treated waste water could be also used to restock ground waters, boosting their potential beyond natural levels. This process could prevent intrusion into ground water and the water aquifer, and can be used as a type of underground dam. Indeed, treating waste water for irrigation is essential for the future of agriculture in this region. The role of water treatment in public health Louis Pasteur said, "We drink our illnesses." Supplying clean drinking water and developing water treatment facilities are extremely effective weapons against illness. The role of water treatment in public health must not be underestimated. The public health revolution in Europe in the 19th century, which was spearheaded by the collection of waste water by sewage systems 120 and the distribution of clean drinking water, led to an increase in life expectancy of 10 years. Wherever water treatment is provided, public health is improved. Water sharing and cooperation is a solution in itself. Fresh water resources in the region are obviously inadequate to serve the needs of the 15 million inhabitants of the region, a population quickly increasing. Therefore, managing water more efficiently, transferring expertise, and creating alternative water resources must be implemented. The sharing of technology is possible, and awaits diplomatic initiatives, which can be implemented on a step-by-step level. I would like to conclude by saying that I would like to have seen this conference called: 'From Dream to Vision, and from Vision to Action.' This can be done. Water Cooperation at the American Municipal Level By: Mayor David G. Wallace Sugar Land, Texas I join you today to share my experience as an active member of the US Conference of Mayors and as the Mayor of Sugar Land, Texas. Within the US Conference of Mayors, I serve as a Trustee and am active in an Advisory Board role with over 1,200 cities in the United States that have Mayoral forms of local government. I also serve as the Co-Chairman of the US Conference of Mayors Homeland Security Task Force, and the immediate past Co-Chairman of the Urban Water Council where I continue to serve as a Task Force member. The US Conference of Mayors is the preeminent national organization in the United States serving as the public policy voice of America’s principal cities. Cities with populations of 30,000 or more turn to the Conference of Mayors for leadership in shaping federal policy that affects the vast majority of Americans. To give you some perspective on the importance of the Conference of Mayors and its longevity, I would point to its founding history and the role it plays today. The Conference was founded in 1932, when 14 million people were unemployed, lines stretched for blocks in front of soup kitchens, homeowners were unable to pay taxes, veterans were selling apples on street corners and the nation's cities were close to bankruptcy. Responding to the appeals of mayors, Congress created a $300 million federal assistance program for cities, marking the first time in the US history that federal relief was provided directly to cities. The Conference has grown both in Mayoral membership and stature. The primary roles of the Conference of Mayors are to: • Promote the development of effective national urban/suburban policy; • Strengthen federal-city relationships; • Ensure that federal policy meets urban needs; • Provide mayors with leadership and management tools and create a forum in which mayors can share ideas and information. Cities compete for water resources It is usual for American cities to compete with each other to increase their tax base and grow their local economies. These are prime indicators of standard of living and quality of life. Indeed, great attention is paid to maximizing “comparative advantage” whereby a city will advertise particular advantages that citizens and businesses would enjoy if they lived or located in a certain town or area. For example, a highly educated workforce attracts the hightech industry; while access to major transportation routes helps lower shipping costs for manufacturers. Large call centers are often located in the central states of Nebraska and New Mexico because it lowers the overall telephone costs involved with reaching the national consumer audience. The presence of water resources such as lakes, rivers or the seaside has traditionally served as a magnet to attract businesses and people. Not only does the presence of water serve the wheels of industry, but also it provides one of the preconditions necessary for large scale energy production – “once through cooling.” The presence of water also provides many cities with a basis upon which they can establish and grow a tourism industry that further enriches the local and regional economy. Above all, however, water is a natural resource that is essential to sustaining human life. Like food, energy and infrastructure, water is a basic need that no society can forego. Fresh water, the type that we call potable, or drinkable, is certainly a major limiting factor for development. Cities that are blessed with an ample supply can thrive, while cities that are “water constrained” will always struggle, unless they arrange for a transfer of water supply from a water-rich region. This is the case in the United States. The humid climate that prevails in the east is characterized by bountiful precipitation. It is an area that has full rivers, full reservoirs and plentiful ground water. The arid climates of the west, however, have lakes and rivers that are dry for a good portion of the year, and the ground water is found at great depths below the surface. We have learned over the last few decades that weather patterns change, and the once reliable distribution of fresh water can no longer be taken for granted. Drought, combined with great population growth, has imperiled the once adequate water supplies east of 121 the Mississippi River. As water levels recede in reservoirs, the water supply becomes more vulnerable to pollution and invasive species. This increases the cost to provide water for people, businesses and local government. Similarly, in the western portion of the United States, droughts have diminished water supplies. Chain reaction events are now becoming more common. As less water is available to support vegetation, it is common for trees to become stressed and experience high rates of disease. When human- or naturally-caused fires occur, there is a tendency to see catastrophic wildfires that further devastates the landscape. Then, when the land becomes denuded, the rainfall causes catastrophic flooding even when moderate rainfall events occur. Cooperation yields public benefits California, with its vast population and arid climate, is undeniably dependent on diverting water supplies from the Colorado River. But so are the states of Arizona, New Mexico and others. While competition for the limited supplies of water from the Colorado River is often contentious, the vying states negotiate an allocation scheme that seeks to satisfy all of the water 122 consumers. This approach has worked for some time, for better or worse. Allocation methods combine the consideration of basic population needs in a humanitarian fashion, along with the needs for economic growth and development. Along with transfers of water there are also transfers of payment, because while water is natural, but it is not free if you want to treat it so that it is useful and transport it to the ultimate users. It is common for these arrangements, in the United States, to be governed by state compacts or the establishment of water authorities. The water authority approach serves to institutionalize the legal, governance, political and social arrangements necessary to satisfy the often competing water users. The water authority approach is also one of the most economical ways to harness water use for competing users because it takes advantage of economies of scale that would not otherwise be attainable, and it can be governed in a way that is fair to all of the participants. A few relevant examples are drawn here from the U.S. Conference of Mayor’s Urban Water Council “Best Practices” series to illustrate how water authorities can serve to establish social stability and economic certainty. Examples of successful water cooperation: Tampa Bay, Florida Tampa Bay and St. Petersburg, Florida have populations of 285,000 and 236,000, respectively. They are situated on the Gulf Coast (west) side of Florida. Tampa Bay Water Authority (TBWA) was established as the regional water utility, and it services Tampa Bay, St. Petersburg and four other surrounding communities. In all, Tampa Bay Water has a service area population of 2 million people, but also includes businesses, retail commercial establishments, government and other public institutions. The communities are located in a warm, humid climate, and they experience plentiful precipitation each year. There is enough, so that they have relied on ground water wells for many years. But then the population exploded, due in part to the opportunity in the area for employment, and perception of it as a “great” place to live with its warm temperature and seaside recreational amenities. As the population grew, so did water consumption. The once plentiful ground water began to diminish, and the aquifer became very vulnerable to salt water intrusion. Such intrusion would further diminish the ability of the Tampa Bay Water to rely on ground water to sustain the area. There were two alternatives that the Authority could turn to, besides water conservation, to ensure an adequate and affordable water supply for the future. They were: develop a 66 million gallons per day (MGD) surface water plant; and initiate the desalination process of brackish sea water from Tampa Bay. I want to describe how Tampa Bay Water turned to a Public Private Partnership for both these initiatives because there are many parallels to the opportunities in this part of the world. Tampa Bay Water Authority decided to contract for the construction of a 66 MGD surface water plant through a Public Private Partnership which guaranteed the capital cost, the annual operating expenses, the asset life and the quality of water produced all for 20 years. After successful completion and start-up of the surface water facility, they again contracted for a 25 MGD desalination plant. The capital investment was valued at nearly $200 million (US) in 1999 dollars. Tampa Bay Water relied on its members to obtain tax-exempt financing (municipal bonds) to pay for the surface water plant and to obtain tax free private activity bonds for the desalination plant. These plants also rely on a 14 mile pipe interconnection to deliver the treated water into the existing water distribution system. Tampa Bay Water retains responsibility for customer service, including metering, billing, and collections. What makes this approach acceptable to the Tampa Bay Water Authority and its member communities of 2 million people? It really comes down to the following reasons. The Board of Directors for Tampa Bay Water is comprised of local elected officials from the participating communities as well as local opinion leaders. So, each community has a voice in the discussions and the decisions. In effect, each participating entity maintains strategic control over its own destiny and the needs of its constituents. Since the surrounding communities use their public authority to provide the financing to build the facilities, they demand that the operations of the facilities be open and transparent. So, the financials of Tampa Bay Water are open to inspection. Also, Tampa Bay Water is subject to public scrutiny via the requirement to hold open Public Hearings on all major decisions, and from time to time, concerning their record of service and budgetary proposals. Indianapolis, Indiana Another relevant example drawn from the U.S. Conference of Mayor’s Urban Water Council’s “Best Practices” series involves a PublicPrivate Partnership approach. The private water company that served Indianapolis for 130 years was put up for sale because it was purchased by an energy company that was ordered to divest its water utilities. The Indianapolis leadership was concerned over whether the sale of the water utility would result in rate hikes, limits on water supply and customer service. The water company served a 25 mile radius including Indianapolis and Marion County, along with its many communities (over 30 separate and distinct municipalities). The water company serves 279,000 customers and includes approximately 1.1 million people. While the entire City of Indianapolis is served by the water company, roughly 75 percent of the customers and 80 percent of the revenues come from approximately 30 participating communities and public entities. The water company was allowed to operate under a franchise established by the City in 1870. Thus, the City had a legal right to acquire the facility 123 at any time, but preferred to have a private company with expertise in this area run the operations rather than run it as a government bureaucracy. The decision was made by the City-County Council to purchase the water company and then seek competitive bids from private water companies to enter into a Public-Private Partnership. The Leadership appointed a bipartisan Board of Waterworks to conduct a Request for Qualifications (RFQ) and then a Request for Proposals (RFP) process to select a private operator; and the Board was designated to oversee the new operators. The Board of Waterworks selected Veolia Water North America as the private operator. The Indianapolis Mayor was quoted as saying, “The basis of the publicprivate partnership with Veolia is a unique, incentive-based contract that uses the free enterprise system to encourage improvements in our Indianapolis water system.” Under this contractual arrangement the City pays the private operator an incentive fee if performance measures such as customer service, water quality, operations and management, and community involvement are met. The net result of the partnership has been improvement in several key areas: rapid customer response, improved 124 water taste and odor, increased participation of minority and women owned businesses, and the creation of a citizen’s advisory group. The citizens of Indianapolis and central Indiana have realized significant public benefits from this partnership approach. For example, water rates have been frozen for five years; the City maintains control and ownership of the asset; and community service and involvement has increased dramatically. The Board of Waterworks meets regularly with the facility operators to review performance measurements. The private operator conducts periodic engineering assessments of the physical plant and reports to the Board on the “condition” of the plant. They also report to the Board on estimates and projections for replacements that involve capital investments. The City has, in effect, harnessed the expertise of the private sector to provide a public service in a cost-efficient manner, and has avoided the establishment of yet another government bureaucracy in an area where private sector expertise is already established. But perhaps most important was the ability to see over 30 separate municipalities, each with disparate views and opinions, and through the creation of a single water authority, facilitate the acquisition, development and operation of a life sustaining asset for the benefit of all stakeholders. Conclusion Water authorities serve a useful public purpose by rationalizing the competing interests seeking to lay claim to scarce water resources. • They are, or can be, an institution that realizes economies of scale to make water supplies both adequate and affordable to consumers. • They are, or can be, an institution that is useful for introducing new paradigms, such as public-private partnerships that can harness private sector capital and expertise to realize public benefits. • They are, or can be, an institution that provides an environment for rational decision making for scarce resource among often competing parties. • They are, or can be, an instrument to facilitate cooperation of varying interests to promote economic growth and the standard of living for a myriad of citizens and businesses. • They are, or can be, an institution that can provide certainty over one of the basic necessities of society – water resources – that has important implications for social cohesion – a basic measure of the strength of communities. In short, they are, or can be, an institution that can promote and help to facilitate a high quality of life to the water authority’s members in the region. conjunction with the “life-giving” effects of water as a resource, can be used in all parts of the world. It can yield public benefits that go far beyond cost-savings. It can provide the basis for certainty, prosperity and stability: all of which are the essential ingredients for peace among neighbors. It makes good sense to consider a next level of discussions and investigations to establish a jointly owned water authority to own, develop, efficiently operate and provide oversight for the distribution of the water related assets. The costefficiencies involved can be substantial and can yield significant public benefits as well as use water wisely. Veolia Water North America, the host of this session, is a global water company with established expertise in building, operating and maintaining water and wastewater infrastructure. And, they already maintain a significant presence in the region. Neighboring countries should take advantage of such worldwide experience in providing leadership and expertise in exploring and working with multi-governmental agencies through, public-private partnerships. The model of public private partnerships in providing water and wastewater services, in 125 United in Vision: Yitzhak Rabin and the U.S - Close Strategic Partnership Rabin: Committed to Peace and Development across Borders By: Dr. Edward J. Perkins, chair of the panel The William J. Crowe Chair Professor of Geopolitics and Executive Director of the International Programs Center, University of Oklahoma First off, I would like to extend the greetings of the President of the University of Oklahoma, David L. Boren. President Boren has had a long and enduring interest in doing whatever he can to bring about a resolution of conflicts in the world, and particularly in the Middle East. President Boren’s concerns range from political stability to provision of education, to social advancement, and economic development. He was quite pleased to know that I would be here along with my colleague, Ambassador Ed Corr, to convey his best wishes and those of the University of Oklahoma. In 1992, I was privileged to represent President George H. W. Bush as America’s Ambassador to the United Nations and Representative 126 in the Security Council. Part of the responsibility was acting as Ambassador-at-Large when it became necessary for our government to send specific messages to various players on the international scene. It was my pleasure to bring a message from President Bush to Prime Minister Rabin regarding the efficacy of using non-governmental organizations to help advance the cause of peace in the Middle East by giving more attention to the settlements. Prime Minister Rabin, never a person who appeared to be in a hurry, took the message in his office in the Knesset. He was thoroughly reflective in thought as he smoked a cigarette. Finally he turned to me and said, 'Ambassador Perkins, tell the President the answer is yes. 'The remaining conversation reflected a person committed to peace and development and cooperation across borders. I felt that I was in the presence of a giant dedicated to building bridges; one who envisioned a greater productive community amongst the peoples of the Middle East, and indeed the world. It was a sorrowful time for me when he was assassinated. But I was fortunate, as were many other people, to have been in the company of such greatness at least once in my life. It is now, more than ever, incumbent upon me and others to embrace and make operational his views of peace and continue his fight toward a greater community of nations. The view from wherever one sits is that hope is a powerful weapon. Having a conference such as this one enhances both the meaning of hope and the possibility of realizing hope. We are all here to give more strength to the vehicles that will, in the end, bring about peace and cooperation in the Middle East. I can only applaud all of you for being here and offering your vision and hope. Humbly, it is my pleasure and privilege to act as chair and moderator for this panel. Rabin: Creator of the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship throughout the Times By: Ambassador Martin Indyk Director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel I think that all of us who had the opportunity to work with the late Yitzhak Rabin were enriched by the experience of working with such an extraordinary leader. One of his greatest qualities was his ability to think strategically and to operate on the basis of a very realistic analysis of the situation. This is one of the reasons why, from the American point of view, everyone who dealt with Rabin appreciated the opportunity. Rabin would always start meetings by giving us his strategic analysis of the topic at hand. The only other leader who I knew who did that was Henry Kissinger, another great strategic thinker. It is no coincidence that the Kissinger-Rabin partnership played a key role in laying the foundation of the strategic partnership that exists between Israel and the U.S. It is easy for us to take this relationship for granted today, but when Rabin and Kissinger began working together, the strength of the Israel-U.S. relationship was far from obvious. Israel, which has no oil, inhabits an oil rich region, which is of vital importance to the U.S - a fact that pushes American strategic assets to the Arab side. Therefore, in the 1960s, Washington viewed Israel as a strategic liability rather than a strategic asset. Israel's role on the front lines of the Cold War I should like to discuss Yitzhak Rabin's contribution to this strategic shift in the American point of view. Rabin came to Washington in 1967 as Israel's ambassador to the U.S., after he, as Chief of Staff, had led the Israeli army to a major military victory. At the time, Henry Kissinger was in the White House as National Security Advisor to President Nixon. Rabin's ability to understand how Israel's strategic position had changed following the 1967 war enabled him to work with Kissinger and lay the foundations of strategic partnership. One of the major changes was that Israel's new border was the Suez Canal, a critical strategic position. A huge Soviet military presence sat opposite Israel, on the other side of the canal, that had moved in to rebuild the Egyptian army after the 1967 war and sponsor the Egyptinitiated War of Attrition. While Rabin was in Washington talking to Kissinger, the IDF was fighting Egyptians, under Soviet tutelage, across the canal. Rabin quickly grasped that Israel had made the shift from U.S. strategic liability to being on the front lines of the Cold War competition for influence in the Middle East. That understanding was the basis of a new understanding that Rabin was able to develop with Kissinger. Kissinger, of course, viewed the Middle East as a stage upon which Cold War influence would be played out, with Egypt being seen as a dangerous concentration of Soviet influence. In Rabin's first private meeting with Kissinger, the pair discussed how Israel could help the United States in the Cold War rivalry. The very idea that Israel could contribute something to the United States was both new and counter-intuitive, given the natural power imbalance. As a result of this dialogue with Kissinger, Rabin lobbied his 127 government to use its newfound capabilities – U.S. provided Phantom jets – against Soviet piloted MIGs. The IDF using American equipment to shoot down 6 Soviet-piloted MIGs was the first manifestation of the new strategic relationship. Washington was extremely happy that Israel had played the role of America's 'cat's paw', which could scratch the Soviet Union. At a time of great difficulty for America in Vietnam, this military episode went a long way to prove the role that Israel could play. This principle was reinforced 6 months later in August, 1970, when the King of Jordan found himself in great difficulties with Yasser Arafat's PLO operatives based in Jordan, who had launched a full-fledged challenge to the Hashemite Kingdom. The Syrian army was supporting the Palestinian revolt, and its tanks had started rolling towards the SyriaJordan border. Henry Kissinger and Yitzhak Rabin agreed that Israel would 'kick up some dust' on the Golan Heights, by mobilizing tank units towards the Syrian border. This troop mobilization, in conjunction with the movement of the U.S. Navy's sixth fleet towards Syria's shoreline, deterred Syria from advancing against Jordan. The result was that the Syrian troops 128 turned around towards home, the Hashemite Kingdom was saved, and again Israel had demonstrated its usefulness to the United States in its ability to help protect American moderate allies in the Arab world. The notion of Israel protecting Arab states allied with the U.S. was also a concept that was unheard of before Rabin's tenure as ambassador. Kissinger who built the strategic relationship with Israel turned on Israel and forced it to stop its efforts to destroy the Egyptian Third Army because American and Israeli strategic interests had diverged. The Soviet Union was threatening to intervene, potentially with nuclear weapons – possibilities that were against American interests. The principle of Israel helping the United States when their interests converged on a strategic level formed the basis of the strategic partnership that has existed for decades between the two countries. The principle of land for peace and compensation The shake-up of the 1973 war There was the danger of Israel getting carried away with its new role, which to an extent happened leading up to the 1973 war. In part, due to this new strategic relationship, Israel came to view itself as the superpower of the Middle East, which gave Israel the sense that it was more significant than it actually was, in terms of the international balance of power. The 1973 war was a very rude awakening for Israel. From this war, Israel learned of the limitations of its power and the true nature of the American-Israeli strategic relationship. The very same Henry Nevertheless, the 1973 war ushered in the era of an American-led peace process, causing another change in the strategic relationship, with Rabin as Prime Minister and Kissinger as Secretary of State. The critical principle of the strategic partnership became Israel's willingness to give up territories it had conquered in 1967 as part of a U.S. sponsored peace agreement. This was critical both for America's ability to widen its level of influence in the region and to help secure Israel. In the process of setting up the bargain of Israel giving up territories in exchange for peace agreements from its Arab neighbors, Rabin established another important principle, which has been developed into an art-form by subsequent Israeli Prime Ministers. This principle stated that Israel should not only receive peace agreements with Arab countries in exchange for giving up territory, but should also receive compensation from the United States. This compensation did not only include monetary assistance, but also new levels of technology transfer, and political commitments made by the United States to Israel regarding future developments of the peace process. The Sinai II disengagement agreement is the best example of the way in which Rabin, who fully understood the importance of Israel giving up territory to an Arab country in the eyes of the Americans, was able to develop the concept of American compensation within the context of an agreement. The post-Cold War era – partners in peace In the post-Cold War era of 1993, a new stage in the strategic partnership between Israel and the U.S. was forged between Rabin and Clinton. If during the Cold War, Rabin had led Israel into a role of a promoter of freedom and American interests in the Middle East to counter Soviet influence, in the postCold War era Rabin led Israel into the role of becoming America's partner in pursuing a comprehensive peace in the region. Rabin approached this new dynamic in his own way – he did not want the United States directly involved in negotiations, but preferred direct negotiations between Israel and its Arab neighbors. He viewed the United States as the supporter of but not participant in these negotiations. Rabin feared that direct U.S. involvement in negotiations would shift the U.S. from the role of Israel's supporter into the role of objective mediator. He had experience the U.S. role as mediator during Kissinger's 'shuttle diplomacy', in which he felt the intensity of Kissinger's pressure on him. He didn't want us involved; however, with the Syrians he didn't have a choice because Assad insisted that Warren Christopher shuttle between Damascus and Jerusalem. Oslo, on the other hand, was signed began behind our backs. It came as a surprise to us because Rabin had been pursuing peace with Syria through the United States, and we assumed that this was the only track being pursued at the time. Ambassador Itamar Rabinovitch argued yesterday that Rabin was disappointed by Assad's August 1993 response to his 'hypothetical deposit', in which he indicated Israel's willingness to withdraw from the Golan. That's not how I remember the events. Much to our surprise, Rabin reported to the press of the good news he'd received from Syria. He was not disappointed, though he understood that a Syrian deal was going to take time. Rabin felt that he had a bird in the hand – the Oslo deal that Shimon Peres was finishing up – and a bird in the bush – negotiations that were just beginning with Syria. He chose the bird in the hand. When Christopher had asked Rabin about the Palestinian front before he left Israel for Damascus, Rabin dismissed it with his typical wave of the hand. Rabin's misleading of us stemmed from the fact that he wanted to conduct direct negotiations with the Arabs, with little mediation or interference. He saw the U.S. role as to support the deal and compensate the deal, but not to negotiate it. This principle was not pursued by his predecessors – Netanyahu, Barak, and Sharon have all preferred to negotiate with the United States, and have the U.S. impose a deal upon the Arab partners. It's not surprising that this strategy was less successful than Rabin's direct approach. Rabin was both responsible for creating the basis of the IsraelUnited States strategic partnership and for enabling this relationship to transition from its Cold War 129 concept into its post-Cold War concept, in which Israel and the United States were partnered in their pursuit of peace. The current partnership between Israel and the United States in the war on terror, came into being after Rabin's time, but was made possible by the foundation that Rabin had laid. United in Vision, Strategic Partnership & Friendship By: Major-General (ret.) David Ivry, Former Ambassador of Israel to the U.S. Former Director-General, Ministry of Defense The strategic relationship between the United States and Israel began with President Truman's recognition of the state of Israel. The relationship between the two states exists on a number of American parliamentary levels, despite the U.S.'s presidential system. The essence and center of power of the relations between the two states has evolved between different time periods. Israel has always tried to stay active visà-vis the American government through various channels, and during various time periods. The various branches of the American government – the White House, the State Department, and the Pentagon – have competed for the task of presiding over aspects of U.S. relations with Israel. I will focus on Prime Minister Rabin's approach to relations with the U.S. both as Defense Minister and as Prime Minister. From the time that I started working as Chairman of the Defense 130 Ministry in 1986, I had no doubt of the strategic importance that Rabin attributed to Israel's relationship with the United States. At first I believe that Rabin attributed exaggerated importance to U.S. relations, but as time passed I learned to appreciate his approach. I was directly involved in three formal points of contact with the American regime – the JPMG (Joint Political Military Group), the JSAP (Joint Security Assistance Planning Group), and the ACRS (Arms Control Regional Security). JPMG: Rabin's detail-oriented approach The JPMG was a cross-ministry, bi-yearly forum, with one meeting taking place in Israel and the other in the U.S. At a certain point, there were as many as 25 participants from each county in the meeting, making it necessary to form sub-meetings in addition to the general meeting. In the U.S., the meetings were led by the Assistant Secretary of the State Department, and in Israel the meetings were led by the Chairman of the Defense Ministry. I led 24 meetings in total, 16 under the direction of Rabin. The JPMG began activities in 1983, when I was serving as Assistant to the Chief of Staff. At its outset, there was an attempt to define the delegation's working parameters. The American strategic interest in this forum was to learn from Israel's combat experience and military strategies. Therefore, the group initiated a joint military action group that planned joint military exercises and other training activities. The Israeli strategic interest in this forum was to maintain constant contact with the American government and its branches, to build trust between the two states, and to present various challenges that Israel faces. Rabin was deeply involved in preparing for these meetings and defining their goals. Our staff would prepare a presentation for his review, and he was always the decisive factor when opposing opinions arose. Rabin saw the JPMG meetings as preparations for meetings that would take place at a more senior level. During JPMG preparatory discussions, we decided on the issues that would be raised for approval at senior governmental levels. We kept to the premise of never raising issues in meetings with the Americans that had not been agreed to within the Israeli preparations. During each JPMG meeting, we tried to raise original ideas and to promote joint operations which raised the level of cooperation and understandings between the two states. being surprised with issues that they were not informed of from the outset. Rabin would often participate in the JPMG meetings in order to fully exploit the understandings of the group for future activities. He would ensure to come prepared to these meetings and always took an interest in our reactions to the American views presented. In general, Rabin took a high level of interest in the JPMG. Rabin had the advantage of a deep understanding of procedures and chain of command within the American administration, and understood with whom various issues were to be discussed. The shortcomings of other defense ministers Unfortunately, other Defense Ministers did not take such a high level of interest in the JPMG meetings. Some neglected the meetings, and viewed the trip to the U.S. as a vacation. These defense ministers barely took part in the Israeli team's preparations and focused mainly on their personal meetings with members of the American government. Generally, the accomplishments during these periods were unsatisfactory compared to those achieved when the team functioned under Rabin's guidance. The Americans could not reach understandings with us when our teams showed a lack of coordination among themselves. Also, the Americans did not appreciate Rabin's accomplishments During Rabin's tenure as Defense Minister, we advanced many issues in addition to the joint military exercises known as 'EUOCOM', such as the stationing of American artillery and other military equipment in storehouses in Israel, which allowed Israel to have instant access to weapons in emergency situations. This setup enabled us to keep our emergency storehouses less full and lowered our dependency upon the shipment of equipment in emergency situations, a hard lesson learned from the Yom Kippur War. During Rabin's tenure, we established three military hospitals that allowed for quick emergency activity. In addition, we built landing fields for American planes according to American standards at Israeli military airports. The American's attributed to Israel the stature of 'Non-NATO Major Ally' which gave us first priority to surplus 131 American military equipment. Initially, this stature was highly significant, though it became 'watered-down' when it was given to several other countries. of the problems of the project was that the frequent changes in leadership disrupted the cohesiveness of joint projects, as each new leader required a trial period to 'learn the job'. Within the framework of the JPMG, we advanced the "Draw Down" concept, in which the IDF would borrow equipment from the American army. The principle work of the JPMG was the army training exercises set up through 'EUOCOM' in Israel, whose activities corresponded to the current political environment and operational requirements of the American army. On the Israeli side, there were Defense Ministers who did not appreciate the potential of the dialogue group, which was obvious to the Americans. In addition, the Americans would generally suggest raising levels of strategic cooperation if Israel had taken significant diplomatic strides vis-à-vis the peace process. The American delegation at the JPMG Strategic cooperation between the two countries experienced both periods of growth and reduction. As someone who led Israeli efforts for over 12 years, I saw how the standing of the leader of the American team influenced our meetings and accomplishments. Generally, the American position of leadership in the JPMG was a sought-after position for which various Assistant Secretaries of the State Department competed. In Israel, the Defense Ministry led the JPMG team, while the American team was led by the State Department. One 132 Strategic Dialogue at the level above the JPMG usually took place in the form of private meetings that included politicians, which included primarily the exchange of information and opinions, rather than plans for joint activity projects. The importance of the JPMG The very existence of the JPMG was an important tool for both parties involved. For example, during the first Gulf War, although the Americans had agreed not to coordinate war plans with Israel for the sake of maintaining a coalition with Arab countries, they Americans used the JPMG framework to meet with the Israelis, calling these meetings 'mini-JPMG'. Thus, 'routine' JPMG meetings allowed the Americans and Israelis to coordinate strategies, despite American promises to the Arab allies in its coalition. Rabin understood that an institutionalized dialogue creates ties between two countries that are very difficult to undermine. The faith and goodwill that is built through such institutions stands strong in the face of small-scale disagreements and conflicts. Therefore, Rabin always made every effort to hold the JPMG meeting twice a year, even during periods of disagreement on several issues between the Israeli and American regimes. JSAP: a display of Rabin's diplomatic talents The second of the Israeli-American dialogue forums is the JSAP (Joint Security Assistance Planning Group), a yearly meeting that focuses on planning the year's security assistance. During this yearly meeting, teams would agree to the assistance that would be recommended to Capital Hill for approval. The meeting would generally occur directly after the passing of the American budget, in order to prepare for the next year's budget. Within the JSAP framework, we aspired to secure several elements of this budget, such as the budget for offshore procurement. During Rabin's tenure as Defense Minister, the preparations for the JSAP meeting were always reviewed thoroughly by Rabin before approval. The IDF generally made unrealistic demands on the Americans, and Rabin would ensure to moderate the unrealistic requests to make them presentable to the Americans. Rabin's utilized his diplomatic awareness, and refused to allow the IDF to pressure the JSAP team into making unrealistic demands of the Americans. The 'Under Secretary' of the U.S. State Department headed the American team at the JSAP annual meeting, while the Israeli team was led by the Chairman of the Defense Ministry. These meetings required critical preparatory work. When serving as Chairman of the Defense Ministry, I would meet frequently with Pentagon personnel to prepare them for what the Israeli delegation planned to bring up at the annual meeting. Usually, I was able to achieve agreement from the Pentagon to our terms in these preparatory meetings, ensuring that the State Department was well-prepared to hear our demands at the JSAP meeting. The key to these meetings' success was always preparatory deliberations and keeping consistent to these preparations during the actual annual meeting. me the feeling that he completely trusted my opinions and approach. ACRS: another example of Rabin's involvement Strategic setback in American relations We also took part in the ACRS (Arms Control Regional Security) in partnership with the American government. The ACRS was a multi-lateral regional arms control delegation that was created as a continuation of the Madrid Conference, after the first Gulf War. The ACRS created five regional action groups, one of which was led by me. One of the reasons for my appointment was that I had already formed a productive working relationship with several of the Americans, many of whom were involved in the JPMG. In our strategic relations with the Americans, there were certain setbacks that generally resulted from errors or mishaps. We recall the failed attempt to release American hostages from Iran in exchange for Israeli weapons. This bitter failure is often referred to as 'Iran-gate'. Though the U.S. and Russia were co-sponsors of the ACRS, with Russia occupied with post-'Glasnost' internal affairs, the U.S. became the dominant force in the initiative. Although, I was appointed to lead the Israeli delegation by Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, when Rabin became Prime Minister, I continued in this post. Rabin, as Prime Minister, became deeply involved in the issues raised at ACRS deliberations. Rabin supported me in this post, and gave I believe that this mishap can be attributed to our failed attempt to work with the Americans using Israeli methods of flexibility and improvisation. This simply caused a lack of trust and misunderstandings – we tried to help the Americans release hostages, and in the end, despite our good intentions, we were thought of as the party at fault. The Pollard affair is an example of a mistake at the non-governmental level, in which the governmental level was not aware of and had not approved of the activities. Despite this, the Pollard affair caused monumental damage and significant setbacks in our relationship with the Americans. In general, all setbacks in AmericanIsraeli relations were caused by errors and mistakes, and did not result from 133 any Israeli intention to damage the Israeli-American strategic relationship. Most setbacks resulted from misunderstandings or lack sensitivity to American cultural norms, which resulted in mistrust. Rabin's approach: trust and consistency of action Rabin always displayed consistent and trustworthy behavior vis-à-vis the Americans. For example, when we were accused of selling Patriot missiles to China, Rabin exceptionally approved my bringing a group of Americans to check our missile warehouses, so that any suspicion of guilt could be removed before it gained momentum. In general, Israel has a significant interest in maintaining and further developing regular strategic relations with the Americans. Israel has always made decisions keeping in mind the importance of strategic relations with the Americans, as long as the American interest did not significantly damage Israel's existential security. The Cold War as an essential influence on strategic U.S.-Israel Relations By: Prof. Galia Golan Political Science, Hebrew University Jerusalem I'd like to relate to two aspects of the Israel-U.S. strategic partnership: the strategic partnership or ‘special relationship’ between the two states, and the Cold War as a major influence on this relationship. The special relationship between Israel and the U.S., which did not always exist, began with President Kennedy, and the promises he made in 1962 and 1963. I won't go into the specifics of why Kennedy changed American policy; however, we tend to look at a number of factors that contribute to this special relationship: • Shared values between the two states including democratic governments and the JudeoChristian tradition. • The overlap of strategic interests, as discussed previously by Ambassador Indyk – that is, the Cold War as a strategic factor. 134 The Cold War: conflicting American interests I believe that the Cold War played an enormous role in the U.S. attitude towards Israel, in the U.S. attitude towards the Arab-Israeli conflict, and in Israel's attitude towards the United States. This was not a simple relationship in which the U.S. was pro-Israel, and the Soviets were pro-Arab. I would argue that during the Cold War, supporting Israel was a problem for the U.S. because of U.S. geo-strategic, political, and economic interests in the Arab world. In fact, it was the Soviet Union that sought to create an East-West dichotomous situation in this arena. The Soviet Union introduced the Cold War into the Arab-Israeli conflict, by attempting to use the Middle East as a tool against the U.S. This complicated matters for the U.S., but also created a new reality for Israel. Soviet involvement in the conflict caused the U.S. commitment to Israel's security to be of such paramount importance to Israel. I am convinced that it was only the risk of direct American confrontation that tempered Soviet Middle-East policy both in 1967, 1973, and with regard to the PLO. Although the U.S. commitment to Israel did not deter Arab attacks, it did deter Soviet behavior; thus, the U.S. position was vital to Israel during the Cold War. Rabin’s understanding of Cold War American interests However, the Cold War imperatives caused the U.S. to constantly try to improve its situation in the Arab world in order to temper Soviet influence. This interest often caused to U.S. to convey conflicting messages regarding the Arab-Israeli conflict. The U.S. often attempted to diffuse the conflict, or even end it by extracting concessions from Israel in order to gain favor with the Arab world. I believe that Rabin was extremely sensitive to the complexity of American interests both at the global and regional levels. He was keenly aware of the relationship between U.S. Cold War interests and U.S. policy regarding the Middle East conflict. As ambassador, Rabin seemed fairly sympathetic to Kissinger and Nixon's attitudes towards the conflict. Rabin shared both Kissinger's skepticism of reaching a comprehensive peace deal and the importance he attributed to Egypt. He also shared Kissinger's view that Golda Meir had not displayed enough flexibility regarding Sadat's initiatives in 1971. During the Cold War, the U.S. was interested in Middle East stability to enable it to pursue its multi-faceted interests regionally and globally. Different U.S. policies throughout the Cold War revolved around the question of the optimal way to achieve this stability. Was it best to arm Israel to prevent deter Arab attacks or pressure Israel to diffuse or end the conflict? All of these questions present a context for U.S.-Israel relations under Yitzhak Rabin, in which the 'special relationship' of shared values figure prominently. The two periods in question are Rabin as U.S. ambassador and then Prime Minister in the 1970s and as Prime Minister in the 1990s. Once Rabin was Prime Minister, however, Kissinger and Rabin had a parting of ways over just these issues. While they still agreed on the importance of Egypt and on the value of step-by-step agreements, one front at a time rather than at a comprehensive level, they disputed over the price. Rabin and Kissinger disagreed regarding the concessions that Israel would have to give up in the 1975 interim agreement with Egypt, resulting in Kissinger's famous four month 'reassessment' – a 'time-out' in negotiations of roughly four months, in which arms deliveries to Israel were delayed and recriminations were expressed by Washington. At the time, Rabin refused to agree to the proposed withdrawal lines and other elements of the deal. 1975 Interim agreement: cultivating the ‘special relationship’ In the end, a compromise was reached which took the form of a U.S. military presence in Sinai. While the 1975 interim agreement is not to be underestimated as the pre-cursor of the peace agreement, I think that its importance lay in another realm – Rabin achieved a significant step up in the special relationship between the U.S. and Israel in the form of the U.S.-Israel memorandum of agreement signed on September 1, 1975. This set of promises included military commitments, oil supplies, a commitment to Israel's security, and a guarantee that the U.S. would seeks to prevent any international proposals that were detrimental to Israel's interests. One of the most significant American commitments was their promise to refuse to recognize or meet the PLO, unless the PLO recognized Israel's right to exist and accepted UN resolutions 242 and 338. In general, this memorandum 135 of agreement document was the strongest commitment ever given by the United States to Israel. This commitment acted to pressure the PLO to come to the decision to recognize Israel, the impetus for the Oslo Accords and the twostate solution. Although the PLO’s recognition of Israel in 1988 was the product of years of internal PLO dispute and was influenced by a number of issues, it was highly influenced by the PLO needing to side with the United States, following the end of the Cold War. The post-Cold War order as the stage for the peace process The end of the Cold War brought on the PLO’s decision to accept resolutions 242 and 338, and also changed Rabin’s view of the conflict, thus making Oslo possible from both sides’ perspective. The end of the Cold War resulted in Rabin coming to the understanding that peace treaties with neighboring states and with the Palestinians were more necessary than ever. Rabin fully grasped the importance of the Americans emerging as the sole superpower in the post-Cold War era, and the impact of this development on the Arab world. The loss of the Soviet Union changed Arab states’ strategic 136 military position, bargaining power, and economic potential. Obviously, there were other factors that influenced Rabin’s changed thinking in the 1990s, including the possibility of a nuclear Iran, the rise of Islamic fundamentalism, the Intifada in the Occupied Territories, and Israeli war-wariness. However, I believe that the most important factor was Rabin’s view of the United States as the sole world superpower and the new world order that resulted. This caused Rabin to believe that a window of opportunity had been opened. Rabin spoke of this window remaining open for perhaps five years only, and he sought to take full advantage of this opening. Yigal Amir slammed that window shut in November, 1995. However, a crack in the window remained open which could not be shut – the mutual recognition of each nation’s national aspirations, accorded by Oslo. During the mid-1990s, I contended that the peace process was not irreversible, and that Israeli tanks could very well reenter Palestinian towns, which, as we know, has happened. However, the Palestinian recognition of Israel’s right to exist could not be reversed, nor could Israel’s recognition of the Palestinian people, and by implication, their rights. Today, in my opinion, the window of opportunity may be reopening. Let’s hope that we have the sense that Rabin had to take advantage of this opening and to return to negotiations. Notes Regarding Rabin’s Role in the Israel-U.S. Relationship Before getting into my lecture, I must take exception to one point that Galia Golan made. As I understand it, the 1975 American commitment regarding the PLO was not a promise regarding speaking to the PLO. Kissinger promised not to negotiate with the PLO until the organization recognized Israel, but did not promise not to talk to them. This promise was expanded into a promise not to negotiate inadvertently by Jimmy Carter early in his administration and ultimately written into legislation by the U.S. Congress. However, in the 1975 agreement itself, Kissinger kept the door open for dealing with the PLO, though not for negotiating with them. Kissinger, it should be noted, was very upset when Carter closed that door prematurely. Israel strategic relationship. First impressions of Israeli politics I arrived in Israel the day after Menachem Begin was elected as Prime Minister in 1977 as U.S. Ambassador. My introduction to Israeli politics occurred about a week later. Joe Cisco, who had been one of Kissinger’s associates in Middle East negotiations, was in Israel for a visit. Moshe Dayan hosted a dinner party in his garden in honor of Joe. The guests included Ezer Weizmann and his wife, Yitzhak Rabin and his wife, Yael Dayan and her husband, and us. My wife and I sat and watched Israeli politics and family politics at their most exquisite. Rabin, who was technically still Prime Minister, had recently honorably resigned from his post due to legal issues surrounding his wife’s foreign bank account, and Shimon Peres had just lost the elections to Mencahem Begin, whose campaign was led by Ezer Weizmann. Weizmann was on a high, after leading Begin’s campaign to victory. Rabin, obviously suffering due to his resignation and the election results, sat there all evening listening to Ezer throwing darts at him, taking great pleasure in Rabin’s fall. I would like to make a few personal observations about my relationship with Prime Minister Rabin and then discuss a breaking-point in the U.S.- The family relationship only made the dynamic more interesting, as Moshe Dayan and Ezer Weizmann were brothers-in-law via Dayan’s first By: Ambassador Samuel Lewis American Academy of Diplomacy, Israel Policy Forum Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel wife, who was the mother of Yael. There were a lot of familial crosscurrents between them, along with the political cross-currents which had recently intensified following Likud’s victory. All the dirty laundry was hung out for us that night, leaving my wife thinking, “Where in the world have we landed?” My impression of Rabin from that evening was that of a man of enormous self-control, dignity, a taciturn nature, and very thick skin. Through a mutual friend, I often played tennis on Saturday mornings with Yitzhak and Leah Rabin. During that period, my impressions of Yitzhak were more based on his tennis game, than on anything else. Though he lacked mobility, but he would never give up on a point. If he did miss a point, he would become incredibly determined and angry. In fact, his tenacity and determination are the two characteristics that I best remember from our tennis matches. Rabin the outsider – a frustrated patriot For the next couple of years, Rabin was a bitter outsider in Israeli politics. In those years of being out of power and outside of Israel’s strategic defense apparatus, he would spend 137 a lot of time on the tennis court. After our frequent tennis matches, Rabin would give me his strategic analysis of the situation. He was very pessimistic of Begin’s leadership, and of Peres’ attempts to rekindle the Labor party. In general, Rabin gave the impression of being a frustrated patriot, who would analyze the situation very thoroughly and accurately, with no ability to change it. Rabin was also very critical of the American administration, in terms of the way they were pushing the Camp David Accords with Egypt, and Palestinian autonomy plan, which, as you know, was still-born plan. Though he gradually came to support Camp David, he felt that the Palestinian autonomy plan was an absolute disaster. It became clear to me that Rabin missed Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon. He could not understand Jimmy Carter or Cyrus Vance, and did not hold them in high opinion. Part of my job was to keep the Labor party leaders informed regarding the Camp David negotiations, even though they weren’t directly involved. Whenever Secretary of State Vance came to Israel, I would organize a briefing between him, Rabin, and Peres. After one of these briefings, 138 in which we discussed a minor advance in the autonomy plan’s implementation, Rabin decided to fully let his opinions known. He delivered one of the most undiplomatic series of comments to an American Secretary of State in the history of the U.S.-Israel relationship. Though Vance respectfully listened to Rabin’s tirade, he later suggested to me that we refrain from holding these types of briefings during future visits. Rabin’s role in rehabilitating U.S.-Israel relations in the 1980s Following the 1984 elections, a national unity government was formed and Rabin returned to a position of power. Rabin was appointed Defense Minister for the full four year term, while Shamir and Peres were to trade between the jobs of Prime Minister and Foreign Minister after two years. Rabin was, in essence, the anchor of that coalition. I remember the transformation that Rabin underwent when he walked back into the Defense Ministry, his natural home – it was as though he had suddenly lost ten years and was fully rejuvenateRabin’s return occurred when the U.S.-Israel relationship was in pretty bad shape. Though we had developed a deep strategic relationship in the 1970s, the Lebanon War almost destroyed this relationship. Some of you may remember a famous picture in Time magazine of an American soldier pointing a firearm at an Israeli tank, attempting to stop the tank from entering Beirut. That picture was rather symbolic of our strategic relationship during the war. By the time the war ended, and Ariel Sharon was driven out of the Defense Ministry by the Kahan Commission in 1983, there was almost no defense relationship between the two states and many angry people in Washington. The first attempt to renew the relationship was initiated by Moshe Arens as Defense Minister and Yitzhak Shamir as Foreign Minister during the autumn of 1983. They came to Washington, met with Secretary of State Shultz and President Reagan, and came to understandings regarding the importance of getting over the period of difficult relations. They attempted to renew the failed document of semi-alliance that had been previously been initiated by Begin and Reagan, which was suspended when Israel decided to annex the Golan Heights in December, 1981. This time there was a much more serious effort that was initiated by Arens and continued by Rabin, when he assumed the post of Defense Minister the following year. From that point on, the strategic relationship gradually returned to its potential. It is only fair that we acknowledge that Rabin was not the one who initiated the renewal of this relationship, and that Moshe Arens receive due credit for getting the renewal process started. Reasons for problems in the strategic relationship I want to point out that most of the misunderstandings at the strategic level between Israel and the United States have resulted from Israeli leaders assuming that they know more about the United States than they in fact do, or from American leaders thinking they know more about Israel than they in fact do. The IDF and Pentagon, as well as the respective security agencies, have very close working relationships. However, the Pentagon has not always seen things the way the White House has, resulting in the Pentagon making implicit commitments that causes enormous political angst for our political leadership. These instances have occurred all too frequently, to an extent, due to different Israeli and America negotiating styles: Israelis are informal, react quickly to situations, and often negotiate orally, whereas the Americans have a more careful, formal, systematic style of negotiations. In addition, each government has a different worldview, as a function of each country’s size, role, and power. Israel has often implicitly assumed that the United States is a big, powerful country that can handle any uncomfortable situation that arises, while Israel is a small existentially unstable country surrounded by enemies. Therefore, Israeli leader have, in a way, assumed that the U.S. should be more flexible in letting Israel do what it sees fit to ensure its security. Israel in a way seems to think that America worries too much about its own interests, as affected by Israeli actions. This kind of subterranean psychology has interfered with relations from time to time, as it certainly did in the Lebanon War. In general, I believe that Yitzhak Rabin had supreme importance in developing the Israel-U.S. relationship. I, like many others, believe that if Rabin had not been prematurely taken from us, we would have reached a full-scale peace accord by this time. 139 Round Table: The Middle East Towards the Future Partnering Academic Institutions By: Ambassador Edwin Corr, co-chair of the panel Associate Director of the International Programs Center, University of Oklahoma Former Undersecretary of State I want to say a few words about Netanya Academic College. We at the University of Oklahoma feel that we have a very special relationship with this college. Professor Ginat has served as the director of our Center for Peace Studies for approximately five years. He also serves as the Vice President for International Relations and Research at Netanya Academic College, but more importantly for us is his role as the director of the Strategic Dialogue Center. Our Center for Peace Studies at the University of Oklahoma is carrying out a number of projects in the Middle East very intensely over the last number of years. We are very pleased to have Netanya Academic College as our most important partner for these projects. In addition to other projects, we have just initiated an academic exchange program between our institution, 140 whereby students and professors can attend each others’ universities and promote joint research. I could go on about the wonderful relationship between our two educational institutions, but I don’t want to take more of your time. At this point, I would like to invite Ambassador Jones, the co-chair of this session, to approach and say a few words before we move onto the speakers. The American Vision of the Region’s Future By: Ambassador Richard Jones, co-chair of the panel U.S. Ambassador to Israel Former Ambassador to Lebanon, Kazakhstan, and Kuwait Unlike most of you in this room, I did not know Mr. Rabin, but I was on the White House lawn that beautiful autumn day in September, 1993, when the dream for lasting peace became real for the first time. How appropriate it is that we hold a discussion about the future possibilities for peace, while commemorating Rabin’s legacy. I congratulate the organizers of this conference – I cannot imagine a more fitting way to continue Rabin’s legacy, or a more impressive slate of speakers. In the past few days, leaders from all over the world have joined the Rabin family and the people of Israel to commemorate and celebrate the life of Yitzhak Rabin and to ponder his legacy. On Monday evening the new Rabin Center for Israel studies was inaugurated. Its noble goals go beyond preserving Yitzhak Rabin’s memory and legacy, but attempt to prevent another political assassination in Israel by working to bridge conflicts within Israeli society. Today’s round table session will take a look at the future vision for the Middle East. Last Sunday night, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice spoke of the American vision for the Middle East. She described the Middle East as a region where “democracy flourishes and the non-negotiable demands of human dignity form the foundations for citizenship. We envision a Middle East where all men and women are secure in their persons and their property, with equal opportunities for prosperity and justice. We will continue to envision and work towards a future when all the people of the Middle East can gather not to mourn a fallen hero, but to build a common future.” Yesterday I was privileged to see Secretary Rice lay a foundation for the common future through her successful mediation of negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority on a new agreement on movement and access. As Secretary Rice noted during her press conference yesterday, “The agreement is intended to improve the daily lives of people on both sides. It will also help to safeguard security for both parties and provide concrete steps to bring President Bush’s vision of two democratic states living side by side in peace and security more sharply into focus.” I look forward to discussing this agreement and its implications with you today. I can certainly say, as one of the people involved in negotiations, we have our work cut out for us to make this agreement into a reality. The implementation of the agreement will not be easy, but we believe that it will ultimately be successful. Mr. Lionel Jospin Former Prime Minister of France Israeliens et de Palestinians et qui à etait suivi avec une attention passioné par les autres people du monde. Je n’ai pas eu le privilege de jouer au tennis avec Itzhak Rabin comme un president mais j’ai eu la chance de le rancontre a plus heures repris a travers les annes la prèmiere fois en Israel en 1980 à cote de François Miteran qui n’etait pas encore le president e la république Française. La dèrniere fois alor que le processuse de Paix etait engage. Après sa mort et j’etait la à cote de vous tous le jour, après sa mort je nué avec son epouse Lea de respect et de l’amitie à l’occasion de rencontre en France comme en Israel. I’l ya 10 ans Itzhak Rabin est tombé sur le bal de son assansain et nous n’avons pas tarde à comprendre que c’est tragedie personnel était aussi un drame politique pour Israel, pour la region et pour le monde. C’est pourqui sa mort fu pour nous aussi un d’oeil. Itzhak Rabin n’etait ni antendre’ ni un naif il avais etait longtemps un gerier, meme si curusement les images quand nous montre de nous ces dèrnieres jours pour évoquer sa memoire etait 141 plein de netrange douceur mais c’est douceur n’etait sans doute que une serenité. Il n’etais ni attend ni un naïf mais il avait compris un homme politique et un homme d’etat que l’antere fondementale d’Israel et la perenite de cette etat passé par un compromis teritoriale et ci possible par une attend avec l’autre people de cette terre les people Palestinains. Avec l’aid de Shimon Peres son minister des affairs des étrangers, avec comme interlocateur son ansiens anemie Yaser Arafat, et comme pardoner l’O.L.P il à explorer le voix de ses compromis, le processes. Ce processes voulais saver na rien nu du nodal, il fut ertée et dificille et il falut de moi de delicate des negosiation pour que les accord d’Oslo trouve l’application, c’est a dire le transfer de l’autorité politique a une autorité Palestinienne sur le grand center uraban à Gaza et au Jordani. Dans l’esprit d’Itzhak Rabin que j’ai rencontré à cette époque Oslo etait un pois de depart. Il voulait aller au bout du processes lancer, c’est a dire j’ai le crois personellement jusqua la creation negotié de l’etat Palestinian meme s’il n’a pas formalment evouquer cette idée. Il beneficiat pour cela de la double confiance du peuple 142 Israeliens et de dirigent Palestinian. Disant plus tard quand est-il de la vision de Rabin elle reste largement inlache. Certain de progress real ont etait uncompli, le plus important a mes yeux et que l’idée de deux etats Israelien et Palestinian cote a cote fasse aujourd’houi l’objet dans large consenssuses dans les deux opinions Israeliene et Palestinian, malgre les annes de preuve, de violence et de frustration de terorisme ai prouvés dans cote et on a fais l’experience tragique à Netania et de misere soubis de l’autre. Ensuit le countour possible de sinon et l’etat Palestinian ont etait pratiquement defini par les partieses elles meme, on sait bien que si la paix se fait elle se fera sur ligne de partage qui se trouve quelque part entre la ligne verte et le carte dessiné en Janvrier 2001 à Taba l’hors de la dèrniere racontre de nagotiation Israel-Palestinienne jusque ces jours. En fin, un pas positive significative vien d’etre uncomplis par le retrait de Gaza et la destruction de colonies sur le teritoire decide par le gouvernement Israelien. Cette un fete nouveau car pour la prèmiere fois depuis 1967 les autorites d’Israel ont demontoulent la totalite de colonies sur une partie de teritoire Palestinian. Pour une temps on ai loin de l’achevement de la vision d’Itzhak Rabin et Shimon Peres en 1995. Ce que nous voyons aujourdhui ce le blocage de la feuille de route et dans veritable prosessues de negotiation Isaraelien-Palestinian. C’est la pour suite des acts terrorist par de groupes Palestiniennes, c’est la continuation de la colonization notament autour de Jerusalem et la fermeture progressive d’une grande Jerusalem vis-à-vis de l’interland Palestinian, c’est la discretion du quartete et de la communite international, discretion que l’ont peut expliquer peut-etre par la lacitude mais aussi par l’emergance d’autres un jeux dans la region d’Iraq, la situation Libanaise, la Syrie, le dossier nucleare Iranien au quele les diplomacie oxidentale accord aujourd’hui un plus grand interes. Ces problems efectivement sont importents mais le staus que actuelle sur la question Palestinienne est fragile meme ci la double cheance electorale de 2006 reconduire certain a attendre, le retrait du Gaza ne doit pas etre une fin en sois, il peut-etre une etat. Ma conviction est que l’evoulution pacifique, democratique depend peut-etre du sort de l’Iraque mais certenement de la reponse apporte au conflit Iasrael- Palestinian. Car la permanence de ce conflit la situation et les conditions de vie extraordinairement dificille de Palestinians entre tien et blocage politique et psicologique chez les peoples du monde arab et muselmans il nous ris le reger de l’etat d’Israel, la conviction que le pay occidenteau pratique dans la region a deux pois un juste la dificullte de condamer clairement le terrorism. Mon sentiment et que la solution du conflit Israel-Palestinian appelle sans doute trois changements: le premier du cote Palestinian consist a renonce definitivement au terrorism. Cette renosantion proclamer et mise en air le choix exlusivement politique donnrai a mon sens au Palestinian l’instuement desizife qui lors fait aujourd’hui de faut en attendre l’objectife historique le seul qui accepté come un note international un etat souvren , viable, reconnu et respect. Cette renonsation explicite et effective considerable sur la communite international qui pourai alors un site de façon plus raconte Israel a avance et aurai eagalement et peut-ete meme sur tout un impact très important sur la secne politique Israelienne au profit de force favorable à la recherché de la paix. Le dexieme changement du cote Israelien consist sans doute a accepter de sortir de la fatalite du statu – co et de negotie malgre les acts de terror et pour le vanqure asser egart à l’esprit se que disait Itzhak Rabin j’ai la sit il faut combatrre le terrorism comme s’il n’y avait pas de negosiation et negotier comme s’il n’y avais pas de terrorism. Il est sans doute de la responsabilite de dirigent Israelien d’ofrir une perspective acceptable dans l’hypothèse que n’est pas d’ailleurs la logique de la feuill de route. Le paradox de la period dans laquelle nous sommes et on vois sans doute quele sere la solution possible, ne que la marche vert le reglement rest obscure. On peut comprendre la tentation unit la teraliste mais je ne crois pas quele puis manaer un solution veritable parceque cette solution sere accepté. Il foudra donc bien que les parties se remettre au tour de la table pour trouve de reponse equitable et realiste au grand question de la negosiation. Le troisième changement releve de la communité international et en particulier de Etat-Unis et de l’Europe. La volonté clair et traduite en act de trouver une solution veritable à la question Palestinian fera plus pour le qui libre de la region et les espoires de democracy au moyen orient que toute les denmostrations de force et l’aura un impact positive conciderable sur le monde qui vous en tout meme si elle ne peut a elle seul resolve tout les problems. Dans cette nouvelle perspective Israel pourait esperé dans cette region ou il continaura a vivre comme etat et comme nation ne plus etre seulement a bastion isolée de la democracy mais afferement un example de cette democracy pour nous tous fondemantal. J’exprime cette conviction au nom de l’amitie ansiene et fidelle que j’ai avec Israel je form avec à l’esprit la vision de paix qui etait seul d’Izhak Rabin et qu’il nous revien desormer de faire vivre. Grasse a lui le reve et devenu vision en realite. Je vous remercie. 143 Sr. Manuel Chaves Presidente De La Junta De Andalucia Quiero, en primer lugar, agradecer la amable invitación del Centro de Diálogo Estratégico, de este prestigioso Netanya College, una institución que tantas contribuciones viene haciendo a la causa de la paz y el entendimiento en esta parte del mundo. Se cumplen 10 años de la muerte de Isaac Rabin. Ante todo deseo expresar mi agradecimiento como Presidente de la Junta de Andalucía y de la Fundación Tres Culturas del Mediterráneo, por haber sido invitado a los actos conmemorativos del aniversario, así como a este Seminario organizado por el Centro de Diálogo Estratégico, de este prestigioso Netanya College, una institución que tantas contribuciones viene haciendo a la causa de la paz y el entendimiento en esta parte del mundo. Como su propio nombre indica, este seminario, “Paz – Sueño o Visión”, es una apuesta decidida por la paz y por el diálogo como única fórmula de alcanzar acuerdos duraderos sobre un conflicto tan cargado de destrucción, dramatismo y violencia como el conflicto israelo-palestino. 144 Permítanme recordar asimismo que la muerte de Rabin lo fue a manos del extremismo, del fanatismo y del fundamentalismo. Ingredientes trágicos que de uno y otro lado han sido protagonistas con demasiada frecuencia del escenario del conflicto. Ingredientes que cada vez que actúan, como ha ocurrido hace apenas una semana en Jordania, un país tan cercano en tantos sentidos, agravan el problema, encienden las pasiones, generan la represalia, instalan un círculo infernal de violencia y retrasan la solución pacífica de los contenciosos. Rabin, como militar, había defendido siempre la seguridad de su país, ganándose un alto grado de respeto en dicho terreno. Pero durante la primera Intifada comprendió que ese nuevo tipo de enfrentamiento no se podía ganar. Su compromiso con la seguridad de su pueblo le condujo hacia la negociación y la búsqueda de un acuerdo con los palestinos, y ello empezó a abrirse paso en la Conferencia de Madrid en el año 91 y en el posterior y complejo proceso que condujo a los Acuerdos de Oslo. Rabin inició una nueva senda: la del diálogo, la de la comprensión de las posiciones del otro, la de la tolerancia y el respeto a otras legitimidades, la de la aceptación del otro como interlocutor necesario. Rabin pagó con su vida su propósito, su empeño y seguramente su sueño, y su muerte precipitó una regresión en el proceso de paz con un repunte de la violencia. Hacer frente al racismo, el fundamentalismo, la xenofobia y la intolerancia es uno de los grandes desafíos en este comienzo del siglo XXI. El antisemitismo es la modalidad más antigua de esa deformación mental, ideológica y de las actitudes sociales, que tienen muchas ramificaciones. Pero el antisemitismo es la matriz, el prototipo de raíz más antigua del odio al otro. Pues en él se funden todas las variantes: la religiosa, la cultural, la intelectual, la socio-económica y finalmente, la racial. De la misma manera, en el contexto europeo, la Islamofobia se ha convertido en salida preferente a las ansiedades psicológicas y las inseguridades sociales que provocan la economía global y la intensificación de los movimientos migratorios. Todos ellos son elementos de lo irracional que dominan con frecuencia sobre las respuestas políticas, a veces tan frágiles, que se ven arrastradas por el empuje de los mitos simplificadores. También en España y en Andalucía hemos conocido una trayectoria de extrema intolerancia fanática y de extrema generosidad universalista, y los dos extremos han convivido, en cierto modo, en tensión dialéctica a lo largo de la historia. Durante años en ciudades como Sevilla, Córdoba o Toledo convivieron cristianos, judíos y musulmanes. Aquí se fundieron Sefarad – una de las grandes corrientes culturales de la historia judía -, Al-Andalus, un califato mítico para la memoria del Islam, y la influencia de la Castilla cristiana. En esta tierra andaluza, que lo fue de Séneca, Osio, Averroes y Maimónides coincidieron los impulsos de culturas diversas que permitieron elaborar una poderosa síntesis de saberes. Creo que hoy más que nunca se hace necesario reivindicar la cultura del diálogo, de la tolerancia, de la negociación, del pacto, del acuerdo. A veces el peso de la historia reciente, cargado de sangre y de sufrimiento, hace difícil remontar la mirada y buscar denodadamente el objetivo supremo de la paz. Una paz que siempre estará construida con cesiones y con renuncias. Pero en las que el premio final siempre será superior a los jirones que hayan quedado en el camino. El giro hacia la paz, primero con la Conferencia de Madrid en 1991, después con los Acuerdos de Oslo y el encuentro histórico de Washington entre Rabin y Arafat, fue posible cuando cada adversario aceptó no fundamentar más su propio derecho sobre la negación del derecho del otro, reconociendo a éste la misma legitimidad que a sí mismo, y sobre todo, porque tanto israelíes como palestinos han aceptado hacer coexistir su propio derecho con la afirmación del derecho del otro. El proceso de paz descansa sobre dos principios “dos Pueblos, dos Estados” y “Paz por territorios”, susceptibles de garantizar estos derechos y de hacerlos vivir juntos. El proceso de paz ha conocido periodos de esperanza y fases de estancamiento, de retroceso, de nuevos derramamientos de sangre y de dramáticos rebrotes de la violencia, y ello debido al resurgimiento en ambos lados de tendencias que volvían a cuestionar la coexistencia de ambos derechos. En los últimos tiempos algunos signos esperanzadores se han ido abriendo camino: elección de Abu Mazen, Cumbre de Sharm el Sheij. Retiradas del ejército israelí de ciudades palestinas, desconexión de Gaza, disminución de los actos de violencia, acuerdo de “tregua” con las principales organizaciones y milicias palestinas. Elementos que apuntaban a una reactivación de la Hoja de Ruta y que parecían situar el conflicto en una nueva dinámica de diálogo y acuerdo. Pero nuevamente la violencia ha vuelto a ensombrecer el panorama y amenaza con enterrar las esperanzas abiertas. Deseo vivamente que la tenacidad y la habilidad de los dirigentes palestinos e israelíes no se estanque en el atolladero del ciclo de violencia y reanude el diálogo que los últimos acontecimientos empezaban a alumbrar. Nuestra posición y nuestro compromiso pasa por el reconocimiento del derecho a la existencia de Israel dentro de fronteras seguras e internacionalmente reconocidas, y este compromiso transciende coyunturas políticas y tiene carácter permanente. Esta posición no es exclusiva de la social democracia europea sino que es compartida con la familia democristiana y liberal. Al mismo tiempo reiteramos nuestro compromiso con la resolución de la cuestión palestina y su derecho a la autodeterminación según las resoluciones de NN.UU. y la Hoja de Ruta, con especial mención a la solución del problema de los refugiados. El periodista Theodor Herzal públicó en 1896 el documento “El Estado 145 Judío” en el que argumentaba que “el problema judío sólo podía solucionarse creando un Estado judío”. En mi opinión, la única manera de solucionar “el problema palestino” es la constitución de un Estado palestino al lado del Estado de Israel. La construcción de una sociedad palestina estable, pacífica y democrática es el cimiento realmente básico para conseguir la paz y estabilidad en Oriente Medio y un paso importante para la lucha contra el terrorismo (Adel El Adarwy). En esta dirección, debemos ayudar a los palestinos a construir su propio Estado y se han de establecer y desarrollar programas que contribuyan a reducir de forma sensible las extremas diferencias de rentas que se producen entre Israel y los territorios palestinos. En todo caso, debemos volver a manifestar nuestro más firme rechazo a cualquier expresión de terrorismo, de violencia contra civiles como fórmula de actuación para obtención de objetivos políticos. El Premio Nobel de la Paz Elie Wiesel ha escrito, “La guerra es como la noche, lo oscurece todo”. Solo la política y el diálogo serán capaces de disipar las tinieblas en las que está inmersa esta región atormentada y bellísima y devolver a sus habitantes la luz de una vida libre, segura y llena de esperanza en el futuro. 146 Permítanme que haga una referencia al proceso de paz en el marco de un proceso más amplio, que afecta a todo el Mediterráneo, el Proceso de Barcelona. Proceso que nació en 1995 y en el que la U.E. pretendía crear un espacio de encuentro político entre las dos orillas del Mediterráneo, con una dimensión integral, que abarcara la política, el desarrollo económico, el intercambio y diálogo cultural y la seguridad. Hemos podido constatar que en los diez años de Proceso de Barcelona éste se ha contaminado por el conflicto en Oriente Medio, llegando incluso a paralizarse. En Noviembre de este año, la U.E. volverá a tener una oportunidad de contribuir desde una perspectiva global a la estabilización y desarrollo del Mediterráneo en ámbitos complementarios como son la economía, la seguridad, la política, la cultura y el medio ambiente. Próximamente, a finales de este mes de Noviembre, vamos a revisar ese compromiso en la Cumbre de Barcelona que celebrará el 10º Aniversario de su creación. Y debemos reforzar nuestro compromiso consensuando acciones concretas y poniendo todos los medios a nuestro alcance para asegurar su éxito, ya que si no se produjeran cambios en lo institucional y reformas en los ámbitos económicos, legales, sociales, educativos y políticos, el conjunto de la región tendrá que enfrentarse a constantes inestabilidades. Tenemos ante nosotros la oportunidad histórica de evitar que el Mediterráneo se convierta en el escenario de confrontación entre Oriente y Occidente. No cabe duda de que la paz en la región pasa en buena medida por la solución del conflicto palestinoisraelí. Desde hace más de 60 años, es un factor de inestabilidad política y económica, cuyo resultado más evidente es la débil integración e institucionalización regional. Acudimos a esta cita mediterránea con el factor de esperanza que supone la consagración en la última Asamblea General de Naciones Unidas de un nuevo reto: el del diálogo entre civilizaciones, la denominada “Alianza de Civilizaciones, que propugnada inicialmente por el Presidente Zapatero ha conseguido el respaldo de la comunidad internacional. Con dicho diálogo se pretende adoptar medidas y compromisos, que más allá de la retórica, profundicen en dos elementos y valores comunes a las distintas civilizaciones y culturas, y en particular la occidental y la islámica, y al mismo tiempo se adopten estrategias comunes para luchar contra los extremismos y fundamentalismos de uno y otro signo que son la verdadera amenaza que intenta arruinar el entendimiento entre culturas. No hay choque de civilizaciones, sino problemas de aceptación del otro en las diferentes culturas. Pues bien este espíritu de diálogo cobra en la cuenca mediterránea y en Oriente Medio una gran actualidad. Y debemos aprovechar el proceso de reflexión que con esta iniciativa se abre para profundizar en los dividendos de la paz. Pero en esta ocasión quiero también dirigirme a Uds. en nombre de una Fundación, que tengo el honor de presidir, la Fundación Tres Culturas del Mediterráneo. Desde la creación de la misma hemos intentado contribuir modestamente, entre muchas de sus actividades, a la causa de la paz y el diálogo entre palestinos e israelíes. Tengan Uds. la seguridad, que todas aquellas personas e instituciones que animados de un espíritu constructivo de paz y entendimiento acudan a la Fundación Tres Culturas con iniciativas e ideas para debatir, encontrarán las puertas de la Fundación abiertas. Señoras y Señores, cuenta Marek Halter que un día los judíos de Helm, un pueblo de Polonia, decidieron capturar la luna. Llenaron un cubo de agua y cuando la luna se reflejó en él lo taparon. Al alba, la luna había desaparecido, pero esto no les desalentó lo más mínimo. Al día siguiente volvieron a hacer lo mismo, y todas las demás noches. No sé si los judíos de Helm acabaron encerrando a la luna en un cubo de agua. En cambio sé que, cansados por los años de violencia, los israelíes y los palestinos quieren la paz, y a fuerza de esperarla, como a la luna, acabarán por capturarla. The Global Importance of Middle East Peace By: Miguel Angel Moratinos Minister of Foreign Affairs, Spain Yitzhak Rabin is now a part of the history of Israel, part of the history of the world. The four elements of fear, fanaticism, close-mindedness, and ignorance, though they shortened his life, could not erase his legacy. I treasure many positive experiences I had working with Yitzhak Rabin. One of these experiences occurred when Rabin came to Spain, where I, as Spain’s Director-General of Middle East policy, accompanied him on his first visit to the city of Toledo. He was struck by Toledo’s similarity to Jerusalem, with its ancient alleyways, and the showed an incredible interest in the Jewish legacy in the city. I also remember meeting Rabin in Israel, just ten days before his assassination. Javier Solona, who was at the time Spain’s Foreign Minister, asked Rabin, who was smoking a cigarette and drinking coffee, how he was feeling. Rabin answered that the doctors had told him that his health was not good since he refused give up smoking and drinking coffee, yet still playing 147 tennis every Saturday. Ten days later Rabin was brutally assassinated. The will and courage needed for peace Convening here in Netanya and commemorating the great man with figures from all over the world to pay tribute to his legacy is of supreme importance in our attempts to actualize his vision. When looking at the future of this region, we are all concerned by the monumental challenges ahead. We all feel frustrated and disappointed by the failures of peace efforts and some have come to the conclusion that peace in the region is impossible. However, I don’t follow this line of thinking. I have dedicated seven years of my life trying to help bring peace to the Palestinians and Israelis, which I still believe is possible. We need the political will and commitment towards the goal of peace. I’m sure that the Palestinian and Israeli people are thirsty for this lasting peace. Reaching peace involves many different components. One of these is strongly condemning absolute declarations made by extremist leaders such as the Iranian president. In addition, we must form a clear picture of what peace will actually look like. We must all agree that the twostate solution is the only solution and that this concept must include a stable 148 and secure Israel. We must ensure that a Palestinian state is peaceful, democratic, and pluralistic, and at the same time politically, economically, and socially viable. Many Palestinians have made the strategic mistake of believing that they will achieve their national aspirations through violence. Now is the time to turn over a new page – diplomacy must be the only legitimate tool for achieving ultimate goals. The importance of confidencebuilding measures I think that the election of President Mahmoud Abbas has empowered a reasonable, serious, peace-loving and credible leader who wants to work together with the Prime Minster of Israel. I am also convinced that the very courageous step taken by Prime Minister Sharon of leaving the Gaza Strip has given us the possibility to engage in a new dynamic of peace. In addition, today we can announce that thanks to the tireless efforts of James Wolfensohn and Javier Solana, as well as the efforts of the Israeli and Palestinian negotiating teams, the Rafah crossing agreement has been completed. This agreement is a monumental symbol of new momentum and confidence. The EU has always been a nonpartisan partner that attempts to promote peace and stability in the region. In the last seven years, I have tried to intensify the European Union’s role in this process, and to increase each side’s trust of the EU. With the signing of the Rafah agreement, the EU has been presented with an enormous challenge: ensuring security at border crossings. This illustrates a new level of trust that the sides have given to the EU. I believe that these kinds of confidence building measures are essential for creating trust on each side. However, we should not lose sight of our future broader goal of a final status settlement. I am sure that the upcoming elections in Israel and Palestine will be the basis for new opportunities that will arise. It is essential that each side acts as a legitimate partner in efforts to achieve a final peace accord. The international community’s commitment to Rabin’s legacy The Road Map agreement has been finalized in writing, but we have yet to get on this the road. I’m absolutely convinced that this road should be taken immediately after each side’s elections. I believe that each side is begging the international community to tell it that peace is possible and to become more actively engaged. The first step that must be made is to totally eradicate terrorism and violence. The Palestinians must express their clear desire for peace through their upcoming elections, rather than adopting any policy that justifies violence. At the same time the Israelis must be willing to engage in final status negotiations immediately. We all know what the final parameters of the peace deal will be and what the final map will look like. The only question is whether we have the political will to achieve it. I’m not sure that Israelis and Palestinians understand how important Middle East peace is for the international community. I can assure you that in every corner of the world there is concern about the Israeli-Palestinian peace process and there are important people trying to advance Middle East peace. The amount of people, organizations, NGOs, media, and politicians that have been involved in the peace process is astounding – and they all know what has to be done. International forums are constantly discussing peace in the Middle East as an immediate necessity. We the international community must commit to peace – the must be our commitment to Rabin’s legacy. The best gift we can give Rabin, who gave his life for peace, is to truly believe that peace is possible and to make it a reality by giving the Israeli and Palestinian leaders the required push. Without peace, we have no future. And we need to ensure a better future for all of us. The Future of the Middle East By: Spilios Spiliotopoulus Minister of National Defense, Greece It is a great privilege and pleasure to be given the opportunity to address such a distinguished audience and participate in such a major effort to promote dialogue and consolidate an atmosphere of cooperation, confidence and security. The security environment in the Middle East has become increasingly complicated during the past decades. Up to and including the 1991 Gulf War, the regional environment was largely shaped by fears of interstate aggression. Those fears certainly remain today, but they are manifesting themselves in new ways. Although the ArabIsraeli conflict has been a persistent source of tension for decades, traditional issues have been joined by several more recent problems that defy easy solutions. Weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) continue to spread throughout the region, despite international non-proliferation efforts. Terrorists recruited and trained in the Middle East are now carrying out attacks far beyond their 149 own borders, creating unified global interests to counter the roots of this phenomenon. Greece's role in peace-making Greece has traditionally maintained friendly relations with Arab and Middle East countries, due to its geographical proximity, economic cooperation and strong historical and cultural bonds, dating back to ancient times. Furthermore, Greece has been called upon to play a role in promoting peace and stability in the region, by actively participating in the elaboration and planning of the European Union Common Foreign Policy, as well as by exercising its role as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council for the period of 2005-2006. Greece has always advocated a just, comprehensive and lasting resolution to the Israeli-Arab conflict in the Middle East. Over the years and on a bilateral level, Greece has tried to offer its services in approaching all parties involved, acting as a mediator for peace. Our traditional friendly bilateral relations with all countries of the region offered us the opportunity to further the Middle East peace process during the Greek Presidency of the E.U. Council in 2003. Upon this line of policy, the Greek government hosts a special series of "Track Two" meetings on vital 150 Middle East topics. These meetings have gradually expanded to include representatives from all countries in the region, bringing together officials, academics, journalists, security experts, and people from the private sector, creating dialogue that would otherwise be impossible due to communication gaps among countries in the region. Road Map as focal point As a member of the EU and the international community, Greece considers the Road Map to Middle East Peace to be the central instrument of the Middle East peace process. To this end the active cooperation amongst the members of the Quartet is crucial. The vision of two states coexisting in peace and prosperity within internationally recognized and secure borders is one that we share and concur. Thus, we express our strong concern with regards to any action, whether governmental or extra-governmental, that contributes substantially to the vicious cycle of violence in the region and perpetuates the already aggravated humanitarian and security situation. The war against all forms of terrorism as well as compliance with international law and UN Resolutions are of paramount importance. Greece believes that all parties involved should spare no effort in effectively and lastingly dealing with this international as well as regional plague. As a basic policy guideline, my country has pursued multilateral cooperation and aims to help achieve stability in the Middle East. Our cooperation within the framework of the EU Barcelona Process has been extensive and active at economic, social and cultural levels. In this respect, coordination with key countries in the Middle East will continue. In the context of NATO’s Mediterranean Dialogue initiative, there is extended cooperation among these countries. Recently, a very successful multinational search and rescue exercise codenamed “DOLPHIN 2005” took place in the Eastern Mediterranean, with the participation of assets and personnel from Greece, Jordan, Israel, Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco. NATO’s Mediterranean Dialogue initiative constitutes an important project to promote stability and security, not only for the region but for the wider Euro-Atlantic area as well. Moreover, it is one of the few frameworks that give Israel and Arab States have the opportunity to cooperate. Therefore, we must ensure that this unique initiative always maintains its cohesive character. We saluted the successful completion of the Israeli disengagement from Gaza through fruitful coordination with the Palestinians. However, we urge all parties involved to abstain from actions that endanger the peace process, as well as the fragile truce. Here I should mention that Greece welcomes the report of the Quartet’s Special Envoy Mr. James Wolfensohn for the disengagement and reconstruction of Gaza, and supports the Quartet’s continuous engagement in the peace process. Israel should take all necessary measures to support the economic and political viability of Gaza and the West Bank, as well as secure freedom of movement between the Palestinian population areas. It is our belief that Gaza must not be economically disconnected from the West Bank. Greece is ready to take an active role in successful post-conflict reconstruction, using the experience that it has acquired in dealing with the conflict in the Balkan states. The Palestinian Authority and President Abbas should do everything in their power to advance the necessary reforms and to fight terrorism. In this context, EU’s support through the “EU Police Mission for the Palestinian Territories” program is of vital importance. The transformation of Hamas into a genuine political force, which would renounce violence and enter the political process, should be encouraged. Its participation in the parliamentary elections of January 2006 should not be viewed with fear, but rather should be seen as an encouraging sign of the organization choosing imperative political transformation. Solutions to regional conflict must be comprehensive We have to reinvigorate our efforts to promote progress on all tracks of the peace process. A lasting and sustainable peace in the Middle East will not prevail unless the solution is comprehensive. Final status issues, including border issues, have to be agreed to by the two parties. Peace, stability and prosperity in the Mediterranean region are of fundamental importance to all of us. Regarding issues related to Syria and Lebanon, we believe that only full implementation of UNSCR 1559 can guarantee a sovereign, independent and democratic Lebanon. Meanwhile, the newly unanimously adopted Security Council Resolution 1636, a great achievement of the International Community, serves the cause of regional stability and thus of international security and peace. It is our hope that Syria will cooperate fully and unconditionally with the International Investigative Commission, in order to identify and bring to justice the perpetrators of this terrorist act, thus facilitating peaceful settlement of the issue and a chance to open a new chapter in its relations with Lebanon. Proliferation of nuclear weapons is absolutely unacceptable. Any actions by states that appear to raise that prospect must be blocked at an early stage. At the same time, we strongly support the EU’s approach regarding the Iran situation, according to which negotiations are seen as the optimal method for solving the crisis. This, of course, depends on Iran’s attitude regarding finding a solution in the near future. Undoubtedly, we cannot but condemn in the strongest terms President Ahmedinejad's comments regarding the State of Israel. Continuation of the comprehensive dialogue between the EU and Iran is of paramount importance and should include all issues of mutual concern and interest such as terrorism, counternarcotics, the proliferation of WMDs, human rights, the MEPP, and regional issues. Similarly, sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity, stability and unity of Iraq are of vital importance for 151 all of us. In the on-going political process in Iraq, endorsed by UN Security Council Resolution 1546, Greece supports the principles of inclusiveness, participation, reconciliation and national unity, with the aim of a federal, democratic, pluralist and unified Iraq, with full respect for human rights. Terrorist violence, which no cause can ever justify, is unequivocally condemned. We urge Iraqis to eschew violence and participate in the political process as they set the course for Iraq’s future. Today, the developed dynamic for the settlement of disputes in the region gives hopeful signals and offers an opportunity that we cannot afford to miss. Within this positive atmosphere, the international community and Middle Eastern states must display courage and decisiveness towards a common direction of peace. The cost of failure is particularly high. Towards that goal, we should increase dialogue and cooperation, the cornerstones for implementing peace and security in the Middle East. 152 Concluding Remarks By: Maj. Gen. (ret.) Danny Yatom, Member of Knesset, Chairman of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue Over the last two days, we have experienced very emotional and interesting discussions and events. The time has come to make some concluding remarks, although there is a saying in Hebrew that is loosely translated as ‘It is finished, but not yet completed.’ This is not only the way to view this conference, but also the issue of peace. The discussions over the last two days strengthen my belief and evaluation that peace could have been achieved had Rabin still been with us. I speak from a standpoint of a broad perspective and wealth of experience in the peace process. I participated in all the negotiations, meetings, and discussions during Rabin’s tenure, as I served as his military secretary at the time. I participated with Peres during all such meetings, and with Barak in Sheppardstown and Camp David. I believe that amongst Israeli political leaders who are alive today, I have the most comprehensive level of experience regarding peace negotiations between Israel and its neighbors over the last 15 years. The ten years since Rabin’s assassination have included almost no political progress. They were, in essence, ten wasted years. Instead of just talking about the peace process, we all could have done much more to develop peace and push it forward. future where our children and grandchildren will be able to enjoy peace the way normal nations enjoy peace in many other parts of the world. The need for courageous leaders Many have asked me, ‘What is the legacy of the late Rabin?’ My answer is that his legacy is very broad and deep, and touches almost all aspects of life. His legacy includes setting an example for others, self-determination, a total obligation to country and people, courage both on the battlefield and in the struggle for peace, honesty and dedication to truth, and approaching security as something enhanced by peace. Rabin was a man of his word – his word was more solid than a rock, and could be fully depended on. Although he was not a man of small talk, he had the ability to build very unique and warm relations with many leaders in the area, especially with the late King Hussein and President Mubarak. In this region, we need courageous leaders such as the late Prime Minister Rabin, the late King Hussein, the late President Sadat, and the late Prime Minister Begin. We need leaders to lead us, pave the way, and bridge gaps, so that the people of this region can finally live in peace and tranquility. We need leaders who will be ready to overturn every stone in search of peace. We need leaders who are ready to take calculated risks and make concessions. The main difference between peace and war is that peace is a win-win situation, while war is a lose-lose situation. We need leaders who will dare to trust one another and be ready, as Rabin said, to ‘give a chance to peace’. We are dealing with issues of life and death. We must give a chance to a better future, to a calmer future, to a future void of hostilities, violence and terror. We must create a prosperous Rabin’s legacy Rabin understood that the conflict between Israel and its neighbors is, at its root, a conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. However, he really believed that it would be easier to achieve peace with Syria than with the Palestinians due to the fact that the issues between Israel and Syria are 153 much easier to solve. The Israel-Syria conflict is mainly a question of borders, while the Palestinian issue includes many other factors. Rabin had the courage to negotiate on three tracks in parallel: the Syrian, Palestinian, and Jordanian tracks. Rabin believed that he, a man with his military and political background, had the power and leadership to come to the Israeli people and with agreements that he found suitable and convince the Israeli people to approve of them and agree to very heavy compromises and concessions. The charted map for peace Rabin understood that if our neighbors are happy, we are happy. It is no mere coincidence that ten years after the assassination, we miss Rabin so much. It is no coincidence that ten years after the assassination, so many great figures from all over the world have come to Israel to participate in the commemoration of the man and his legacy. I believe in Rabin’s way. My hope is that this conference will help push the peace process forward. The geographic and demographic position of each side is well-known. If you wake me up in the middle of the night, I can tell you exactly the position of the 154 Palestinians and Syrians. They could do the same regarding Israeli positions. We know the price tag of peace. We need courageous leaders to call for a resumption of talks without any pre-conditions. Of course, we must fight terror with all of our strength. But we should not create conditions that delay the process of peace-making. By discussing peace, we will find ways to fight terror in conjunction with our Arab neighbors. I must confess that this conference has felt to me like a time-machine, as it took me back ten years ago to a time when I spent days and nights with many of the Palestinian, Egyptian, Jordanian, American, European, and Israeli figures present at this conference, in our joint struggle for peace. I want to conclude with a short touching story. Immediately after Rabin’s funeral, the late King Hussein called me and Eitan Haber to his hotel room in Jerusalem. With tears in his eyes, the King told us, ‘I know that you have just lost a leader, a father, a Prime Minister, but I, King Hussein, have lost my best friend.’ These were the depths of his feelings towards the late Rabin. I would like to take this opportunity to thank each and every one of you. First of all, I would like to thank the organizers, my team at the Strategic Dialogue Center, and all those who came to our assistance to make this conference a reality. I spent many sleepless nights worrying about this conference, and was quite nervous yesterday morning at the conference’s outset; however, when I saw the hall filling up with so many nice and familiar faces, I relaxed. I would like to thank, from the bottom of my heart, all of the speakers – the Israelis, and the good friends of ours who came from all over the world. I would like to conclude by saying to everyone goodbye, salam alekum, and shalom l’kulam. Thank you very much.