PETS/QSDS Core Guidance
Transcription
PETS/QSDS Core Guidance
Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys (PETS) and Quantitative Service Delivery Survey (QSDS) Guidebook Bernard Gauthier and Zafar Ahmed January 2012 Table of Contents Acknowledgements ................................................................................................ 2 Preface .................................................................................................................... 3 Chapter I: Motivation and usefulness of PETS/QSDS ........................................... 5 Chapter II: Main purpose and key findings ......................................................... 14 Chapter III: Process, ownership and policy reforms ........................................... 25 Chapter IV: Step-by-step guidance ...................................................................... 29 Notes ................................................................................................................ 93 Examples ............................................................................................................. 127 Appendix ............................................................................................................. 178 PETS and QSDS indicators .................................................................................. 178 Governance and Service delivery ...................................................................... 205 References .......................................................................................................... 215 1 Acknowledgements This guidebook was developed as part of the World Bank Poverty Reduction and Economic Management (PREM) and Human Development network’s Web-based data platform for PETS (Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys) and QSDS, (Quantitative Service Delivery Survey). The goal of these methodological guidelines is to facilitate and encourage the use of these instruments. This guidebook received strategic guidance from Mrs. Ritva Reinikka (Director), Mr. Kai Kaiser (Senior Economist) and Mr. Hooman Dabidian (Private Sector Development Specialist). It benefited from comments and conversations with many colleagues in particular Waly Wane, Jose Lopez-Calix, Dena Ringold, Margaret Koziol and Gary Reed. It received financial support from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. 2 PREFACE Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys (PETS) and Quantitative Service Delivery Surveys (QSDS) have become important tools for analyzing service delivery and public expenditures. Typically, PETS seek to trace the flows and uses of resources through the various layers of government to service facilities in order to identify differences between the official and actual allocations and to determine the extent to which resources reach service providers. QSDS seek to assess quality and performance in resource usage at the frontline facility level. They have both proved to be important tools for diagnosing various efficiency, effectiveness and equity problems in public expenditures, in particular governance and incentive problems, bottlenecks, rent capture and leakage of public resources. The objective of this PETS/QSDS Guidebook is to assist practitioners in using these instruments and explaining to those who are considering undertaking PETS/QSDS why and how to use these tools. The PETS/QSDS Guidebook is intended to help improve the quality and comparability of survey results by providing guidance and recommendations for designing and implementing these micro-level surveys and providing links to related resources and reports/documents, including standardized survey instruments and indicators. Practitioners considering PETS/QSDS might include project or team leaders in development agencies, donor agencies, research institutions, sector specialists, government officials, researchers, consultants, civil society organizations, NGOs, and other stakeholders. The guidebook is structured such that the different users can find relevant information in various sections depending on their interest and role in designing and implementing these studies. Users familiar with the theory behind improving service delivery and who are especially interested in “how to do” a PETS or QSDS, are invited to go directly to Chapter IV which presents step-by-step methodological guidelines to prepare and implement at PETS/QSDS. 3 User’s Guide to the Guidebook This Guidebook is organized as follows. Guidebook The Guidebook contains four chapters, notes, examples and appendices: CHAPTER I: CHAPTER II: CHAPTER III: CHAPTER IV: NOTES EXAMPLES APPENDIX: MOTIVATION AND USEFULNESS OF PETS/QSDS MAIN PURPOSE AND KEY FINDINGS PROCESS, OWNERSHIP AND POLICY REFORMS STEP-BY-STEP GUIDANCE PETS/QSDS INDICATORS GOVERNANCE AND SERVICE DELIVERY REFERENCES Notes In many places in the Guidebook, the symbol Note # appears. These are short texts that explain further what is meant in the Guidebook. Often the notes contain references to methodological material or to other sources for further information. Examples The symbols Example # in the Guidebook text refer to excerpts of texts, tables, or figures meant to show at least one interesting case of application of the themes contained in the main text. In addition to using the varied examples, practitioners may find it useful to look at a few actual PETS/QSDS reports noted in the References. Appendix Potential PETS/QSDS indicators are presented in the appendix. These are illustrated for the case of Chad using the 2004 health sector PETS/QSDS. References Short references are found in the various chapters of the Guidebook as well as in the individual notes and examples. A full bibliography contains the various reports, papers, and articles related to these topics. Resources Various resources are available to complement the guidebook, including generic education and health survey instruments as well as various other documents such as survey manuals, TOR and concept notes which could be found on the PETS/QSDS Web Portal. 4 CHAPTER I: MOTIVATION AND USEFULNESS OF PETS/QSDS 1. Introduction Efficiency, effectiveness and equity in the use of public resources are universal prerequisites for good governance. However, in developing countries, weaknesses in expenditure systems and poor quality of service delivery are observed and are frequently associated with a lack of reliable mechanisms for tracking and monitoring resource allocation and use, and service delivery performance. Indeed, in many countries, it is often unclear whether resources in public programs are used in ways consistent with budget allocations, reach the intended beneficiaries, and allow achievement of intended results as little information is available on resource flows and use and quality of services. Improving service delivery and outcomes requires diagnostics and information that will help identify bottlenecks in the institutional and governance realm that affect service delivery, and improve the quantity, quality and efficiency in service provision. In recent years, various new tools and techniques have been developed to strengthen the relationships of accountability in service delivery by improving the quality of information of public expenditure and provider performance. The tools include the Public Expenditure Tracking Survey (PETS), and Quantitative Service Delivery Survey (QSDS) which have been developed to collect information about public expenditures and service delivery with a view to improving the quantity and quality of services. Note 1: Other micro level governance tools 2. What are PETS and QSDS? PETS are conceived to trace the flows of resources (financial, salaries, in-kind items) through the various levels of government bureaucracies down to service providers (e.g., schools, health clinics) to identify effective allocation of resources and to assess if funds are used as intended. They collect information at the central level and, on a sample basis, within the public administration and at the frontline level, to determine how much of the original allocations ultimately reach service delivery units (such as clinics and schools), a precondition for providing services and improving outcomes. By identifying differences between official and effective allocations at different administrative levels and in time, they are useful tools for understanding malfunctions in service delivery systems such as delays, leakages and capture of funds by bureaucratic and political actors, corruption, and inequity in the allocation of resources. Even if resources are available at the service provider level, their capacity to improve outcomes depends on how efficiently they are used, which is the focus of QSDS. QSDS are provider surveys that assess quality and performance in resource usage at the frontline facility level, such as schools, health clinics and hospitals. QSDS collect information on characteristics and 5 activities of service providers and on various agents in the system, on a sample basis, to examine the quality, efficiency and equity of service delivery on the frontline. They may focus on activities and services at the provider level, staff incentives and behavior, input use, pricing and quality, relationships with the demand side, or dissipation of resources. Various types of providers could be examined: public, private for-profit and private non-profit. PETS are often combined with QSDS to obtain a more complete picture of the efficiency and equity of a public allocation system, activities at the provider level, and the various agents involved in the service delivery process. These instruments have proved to be important tools for diagnosing various efficiency and equity problems in public expenditures, in particular governance and incentive problems, rent capture and leakage of public resources. 3. What are the rationales for undertaking PETS/QSDS? Several rationales could motivate the undertaking of PETS/QSDS. ■ Service delivery is at the core of government activities and is fundamental for social welfare, especially for the poor. However, in many developing countries worldwide, basic services -such as education, health and water and sanitation -- are often severely deficient. Problems include low quality of services, problems of access to services to specific groups especially the poor, low quality of infrastructure, lack of basic material, poor accountability of providers, corruption and rent seeking in the supply chain, and population dissatisfaction with the way services are delivered. In the context of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), many developing country governments and donors have increased budgetary allocations toward social sectors, especially health and education, to meet these challenges. However, governments must not only allocate resources but also spend them well and be accountable to the population for performance. ■ PETS and QSDS can expect to achieve a range of results. PETS can shed significant light on the actual functioning of public expenditure systems, in particular, evaluating financial and institutional constraints on improving services in sectors, identifying the rules and mechanisms in practice for allocating resources within sectors, planning and management capacities of ministries; delays in disbursements, leakage of resources; equity in allocation; and accountability mechanisms. By focusing on the operational impact of budgets, PETS studies can help reveal whether spending from higher levels of government meets its intended budget allocations within the government administrative system and at the point of frontline service delivery. Hence, one tangible impact of a PETS process may be to institute greater transparency as to what frontline facilities are actually entitled to in the public budget and the effective allocation, and in turn, provide an entry point for citizens and civil society to hold government to account. 6 ■ Citizens, policymakers and donors in developing countries often have limited information on actual public spending in many programs that directly affect citizens (e.g., education, health, early childhood development, water and sanitation). Budgetary information is often in a too aggregated form to provide the relevant and necessary information at the sector and program level in order to assess the allocation and use of resources. It is thus difficult to measure results, assess the performance of programs or sectors, and to identify potential inefficiencies or inequities across regions in service delivery systems. In such contexts, the detailed data provided by tracking and facility surveys could help in assessing effective allocation of resources and identifying the binding constraints that impede quality of service delivery. ■ Apart from efficiency related to funds reaching targets, efficiency could also be affected by delayed delivery of resources and services. Even if the resources reach the schools but not in time at the beginning of the school year, it diminishes the effectiveness of the resources. Similarly with salaries: if medical staff or teachers are not paid in time and face important salary delays, it affects their incentive for attendance and providing quality services. ■ Equity considerations could be a rationale for PETS/QSDS analysis. There could be important differences within a sector or program in actual resources available at the facility level across districts, provinces, or types of facilities (public versus private, etc). These differences could be due to political and historical reasons but also because of geographic factors. It might also have a political dimension where the favoring of a district or province could be driven by electoral or ethnic considerations. PETS provide information on these biases and preferences in actual allocation rules. PETS, by measuring the actual resources available through the supply chain and at the facility level, could shed light on such inequity problems. ■ In the context of budget support operations especially, donors could be required to ensure the reliability and adequacy of public administrative systems in managing and allocating donor funding. PETS/QSDS in such contexts could help to reduce fiduciary risk of donor programs by providing detailed information to monitor usage of funds and the attainment of programs objectives. ■ PETS could also be useful for evaluating specific policy reforms designed to improve service delivery performance. They can be designed to examine the impact of a specific government program or policy. PETS can also provide baseline data for impact evaluations if properly designed to be integrated as part of an intervention evaluation. Example 1: Some examples of PETS/QSDS motivations 4. What are the ultimate objectives of PETS/QSDS? The ultimate objective of these diagnostic and analytic tools is to improve the efficiency of public expenditures and quality of services, and their impact on the wellbeing of the population. The means by which the studies could lead to change include: 7 (a) Proposing plan of actions to revise budget allocations to improve efficiency, effectiveness and equity of public expenditure; (b) Improving budget execution by obtaining information on various problems in budget execution (capacity, reallocation, etc) at different stages; (c) Enhancing government systems of recording, reporting and information systems at various levels in the administrative system toward service providers (for financial and non financial resources); (d) Strengthening relationships of accountability between the government, providers and citizens by improving information on actual resource flows and quality of service delivery; (e) Modifying the relationships between the public sector and private and NGO sectors; and, (f) Strengthening domestic capacity, inside and outside government, to facilitate monitoring and evaluation activities 5. Complementarities and value-added PETS and QSDS complement other governance evaluation techniques. They have been implemented in various contexts, often in the framework of Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP) or Public Expenditure Reviews (PER) to help improve the transparency and accountability of public resources by collecting micro level information on the use of public expenditures. 1 PETS have also frequently been used to examine the quality and targeting of public expenditures in the context of Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) exercises and Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) initiatives (Gurkan et al, 2009). By focusing on quantitative information based on record review, PETS/QSDS mark a departure from other assessment tools which are often based on official central government data or on surveys of perceptions. There are considerable synergies and complementarities to be gained by undertaking PETS in conjunction with other Public Financial Management (PFM) activities, in particular Public Expenditure Reviews (PER) and sector reviews. Note 2: Public Financial Management Economic and Sector Work products See, for instance: Picazo and Zhao (2009) “Results of Public Expenditure Tracking Component of the PETS/QSDS 2005-06” in ”Zambia Health Sector Public Expenditure Review”; World Bank (2008b) “Niger Public Expenditure Tracking Survey: Education and Health”; and World Bank (2008c) Tajikistan: Second Programmatic Public Expenditure Review (In Four Volumes) Volume IV: Public Expenditure Tracking Survey (PETS) Health Sector. 1 8 Through their focus on problems with the flow of resources toward sub-administrative levels down to service providers and on the use of resources and incentives at service delivery level, PETS and QSDS could complement PERs and other central government focused tools. Note 3: PETS as one instrument within PFM toolkit Figure 1:Complementarities of PER, PETS and QSDS in the Service Delivery Chain Policy Framework Budget Allocations Budget Execution Supply chain process PER PETS Intermediate and Final Outputs Sector Outcomes Service delivery process QSDS Source: Based on DFiD, 2008. Indeed, sectoral PERs, which analyze patterns of public expenditure, budget execution, financing and the sustainability of government budgetary allocations in a sector, could be enhanced by the collection of survey data of expenditure flows in the administrative system and of facilities and clients to identify bottlenecks and inefficiencies in the service delivery system. As underlined by Amin and Chaudhury (2008), a PER can benefit by linking public expenditure and service delivery, and can hardly be complete using government data alone. It integrates micro-level data on the use and transfer of funds, and on frontline service providers, clients and households to form a more complete picture of effective allocation of resources and service delivery performance. By collecting data on flows and usage of resources through the public administration structure down to the frontline level, PETS and QSDS can serve to verify the effective use of the budget, the performance of the administrative systems and the quality of services. They allow users to move from official to effective resource allocation figures based on hard evidence at the decentralized level and fill an information gap on the supply side of service delivery. They also often allow the linking of information on the demand and supply sides of education and health services to guide policy reform. 9 A World Bank Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) review notes that PETS have proven to be a powerful addition to the Public Financial Management toolkit (World Bank, 2008a, p.50). They have been helpful in identifying problems with expenditure and financial management, including corruption. The development of this tool by the Bank has also helped to improve transparency and accountability. Furthermore, in contexts where the budget support approach has become the preferred form of donor assistance, understanding and verifying the allocation of resources at the decentralized level is important to reduce fiduciary risks. Also, the information provided by PETS/QSDS is potentially even more useful given that budget support makes conditional disbursements of aid tranches linked to certain indicators; the non-attainment of the triggered indicators because of problems in budgetary processes or other causes could have negative effects on budgets and human development. PETS can be useful instruments in middle income or high income countries too. Even if a country has very good auditing capacity, it may want to look at resource flows and identify effective use of resources and measure results. Interestingly, the implementation of a PETS has itself become part of a benchmark for achieving basic performance scores within the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) indicator concerned with frontline service delivery financing and accountability systems. Note 4. PETS and PEFA PETS and QSDS could also be seen as complementary to national government Management Information Systems (MIS). MIS typically collect, on a periodical basis, a large quantity of information on various components at the different administrative and service provision levels within ministries. However, several limitations are associated with routine MIS related to incomplete coverage, poor quality of information and potential misreporting problems. Furthermore, the reliability of national administrative records is often in doubt given that most MIS do not have dependable audit systems. 2 PETS in this context are valuable as they specifically recognize the incentives of agents to misreport resource reception and usage. They tend to deal with this issue by collecting data as close as possible from the source and by using records kept by the providers for their own use. National government administrative data usually do not capture information on the entire universe of service providers (e.g., schools, clinics) but generally only those that are administered by the state or which receive public funding, and hence not those administered by the private sector. In addition to incomplete coverage, information could be of poor quality due to missing data for many public facilities. More importantly, problems of accuracy arise with internal MIS due to important incentive for misreporting by facilities. Indeed, reporting accurate information could expose inefficiencies in the system and in the performance of the individuals who are themselves responsible for providing the information (see Amin and Chaudhury, 2008 in Amin, Das and Goldstein, eds, 2008). 2 10 Furthermore, information is triangulated using data collected from various administrative levels or providers (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004). Still, it is important that PETS/QSDS, as mainly ad-hoc tools, should not weaken governments’ own internal reporting and external verification systems. Instead, the goal of sample-based surveys should be to complement internal reporting systems on a series of other dimensions and ownerships (i.e., non-public providers). They should serve in particular to verify the MIS self-reporting data, provide feedback, and seek to improve and strengthen the routine internal system over time. They should also provide information and feedback to strengthen the country’s external verification system (i.e., General Controller office). However, PETS are not audits because they cannot reconcile the use of funds and do not try to find missing resources or identify the persons responsible. Care must hence be taken that PETS are not perceived by the government as a punitive or audit type instrument, or by one agency (e.g., finance) or government level in relation to another, but as a contribution to broader reform efforts. Finally, as another precaution, capacity constraints on the government side should be considered in undertaking multiple studies and surveys simultaneously, particularly if they stretch thin human resources. Capacity constraints on the side of the donor and/or implementing agency (e.g., World Bank) should also be considered. 6. What is the scope of PETS/QSDS The scope of PETS and QSDS can vary with the study’s objectives and characteristics of the sector under study. The focus of the PETS analysis could be placed on broad issues, such as assessing the performance of the overall sector budget, or cover a broad range of resource flows (e.g., recurrent expenditures in a sector, salaries, investments). Alternatively, it could focus on monitoring only a few specific resource flows (e.g., capitation grants), in-kind items (e.g., books) or specific programs. The focus could also be specifically on domestic public resources or could include donor funding or other private resources such as user fees. The focus could also be on specific levels, for instance the primary education or health sector or on higher levels. In Chad, for instance, the PETS/QSDS in the health sector in 2004 tracked resources down to all level of providers (health clinics, local hospitals and tertiary hospitals) and examined public, private and non profit providers. Similarly, the focus of the QSDS analysis could be placed on broad issues such as service quality or performance, or focused instead on narrower issues such as staff incentives and behavior or absenteeism, or availability of books, medication or staff. In addition, various types of providers could be examined -- public, private for-profit and private non-profit -- to identify difference in performance across ownership types, or the focus could be placed only on public 11 sector services, for example (See Gauthier (2006) for a discussion of PETS-QSDS focus in SubSaharan Africa). Example 2: What motivates religious not-for-profit health care providers in Uganda? 7. What short term and long term goals could be pursued with PETS/QSDS? PETS and QSDS could allow the pursuit of short and long term public expenditure reform goals. ■ In a short run perspective, by providing an evaluation of inefficiencies occurring in the procurement and distribution channels of various resources and provision of services, PETS facilitates the identification of measures aimed at improving the efficiency and equity in public expenditure allocation and public resource management. Note 5: Stand alone PETS? ■ In a short to medium term perspective, PETS could be used as part of a monitoring and follow-up mechanism, and could be viewed as part of a repeated process. In particular, PETS and QSDS could be part of a larger strategy that seeks to improve equity and efficiency of public management. For instance, an initial PETS could be used as a baseline to measure the allocation of resources and performance in service delivery and for paving the way for more comprehensive follow-up surveys. Hence, once mechanisms leading to shortcomings are understood and improved upon through reforms and interventions, subsequent PETS could focus on other elements of service delivery performance, for instance on service quality and population outcomes, as well as users’ satisfaction (World Bank, 2008). Repeated PETS could allow benchmarking of progress in implementation of reforms over time. Indeed, PETS/QSDS could serve as a baseline providing micro-data for impact evaluations. They can be designed to examine the impact of a specific government program or reform on service delivery in a specific sector. Example 3: Repeated PETS ■ In a long term perspective, PETS could be part of a process aimed at improvements in public expenditure efficiency and equity by focusing on capacity building. 12 8. What is the PETS/QSDS approach? While the PETS approach is relatively simple --consisting of identifying resource flows and allocation mechanisms (funds, personnel and materials) and measuring resources through various government agencies, administrative levels and frontline facilities -- in practice, a PETS is relatively complex to implement (World Bank, 2008b). The PETS methodology consists of measuring the amount of in-and-out- resource flows and delays between hierarchical levels or at each of the consecutive nodes of the resource distribution channels through sample based quantitative data collection instruments. Resources are then compared to assess leakage of resources, delays and other inefficiencies and equity issues in the resource allocation system. Furthermore, PETS could be complex to implement due to the intricacies of financial management systems, the existence of official but also effective allocation mechanisms, and the large number of financial transactions and material flows. Also, the generally low quality and variability in the availability of records within decentralized public administration levels and the large number of agents and services and administrative levels that could be involved in the allocation and usage of resources render tracking exercises complex. In contrast, QSDS takes the facility (e.g., school, health center) as the unit of analysis. It involves collecting quantitative and qualitative data at the level of the school or health establishment (public or private, for profit and non profit). Information is collected on various elements related to school and health center operations. Without underestimating the importance of qualitative information, specific emphasis is placed on quantitative information. These include information on sources of financing (public, private, NGO, donors), qualification and remuneration of personnel, infrastructure and material, incentives and supervision mechanisms. It could also be complemented by a user or household survey. The range of instruments necessary to implement a PETS/QSDS consists of a series of questionnaires addressed to the different actors on the supply side of service delivery (including at the level of the service providers, central administration, regional and district levels, etc.) and sometimes on the demand side (e.g., students, patients). Various methodological choices have to be made when designing and implementing these survey tools to increase the capacity to collect reliable information. These issues are discussed in step-by-step guidelines (Chapter IV). Before discussing methodological considerations, chapter II presents some of the main findings of these studies. Chapter III discusses potential recommendations and reforms. Potential PETS/QSDS indicators are presented in the appendix. 13 CHAPTER II: MAIN PURPOSE AND KEY FINDINGS 1. How many PETS/QSDS have been undertaken? Where? Since the mid-1990s, more than 50 PETS/QSDS have been conducted in about three dozen countries, covering more than 70 sectors. A large majority of these surveys have been conducted in Africa, which currently accounts for 66 percent of the total number of studies, PETS/QSDS (Figure 2). In terms of sectors, initially, most PETS/QSDS were conducted in the health and education sectors, but over the last decade their use has broadened to other sectors, including water and other infrastructure sectors, agriculture, justice, early childhood programs, some social protection programs and cross-cutting sectors involving more than one ministry (Figure 3). Figure 2: PETS/QSDS by Regions (1996-2009) Figure 3: PETS/QSDS by Sectors (1996-2009) Water 5% Justice 3% Others 7% Health 42% Education 43% Source: World Bank PETS/QSDS Web Platform Since the first PETS in 1996 and the first QSDS in 2000, both carried out in Uganda, there have been constant evolution and innovations in these survey instruments by the World Bank and other users. Initially, the focus was on tracking resource flows but other themes were gradually added: exit polls, testing of students, measuring health center quality (e.g., vignettes), costing, etc. Various extensions of PETS and linkages with QSDS were developed to understand better frontline service providers’ incentives, constraints and efficiency. 14 2. What were the motivations of the first PETS and QSDS PETS and QSDS were developed in the context of the World Bank supported programs in the last 15 years to collect micro-level information on service delivery systems and service provider performance. The first PETS was implemented in Uganda in the education and health sectors in 1996. The country was facing stagnant and even declining education and health outcomes despite important increases in expenditures in these sectors in the past decade. In education, despite the tripling of public expenditures, official primary school enrolment figures were stagnant (Ablo and Reinikka, 1998). A decentralization policy had recently been implemented; district authorities and urban councils were gradually delegating responsibilities of channeling funds to schools and health facilities. The central government had very little information about resource use and reasons for poor outcomes, but it was suspected that local governments might be diverting resources for other purposes. The objective of the first PETS was, therefore, to track expenditure flows in the hierarchical structure in order to identify factors explaining these poor results, and to measure potential leakages in school and health facility funding. The hypothesis for the poor results was that public resources did not reach the schools and health facilities (Ablo and Reinikka, 1998). Survey instruments were developed to compare official budget allocations with actual spending at various tiers of government, including primary schools and dispensaries. In the education sector, the tracking exercise focused on a specific fixed rule budget-- non-wage capitation expenditures to schools--which were officially based on enrolment figures at the school level. While data quality problems had hampered data collection in the health sector, the tracking survey in education was able to identify various problems in the sector, in particular large-scale resources leakage. The survey prompted the government to implement policy reforms, including an information campaign. Significant improvements in expenditure flows to schools were observed in the following impact evaluation PETS implemented in 1999 and 2001. It is also in Uganda that the first QSDS was implemented in the health sector in 2000. Health services in the country were perceived as not meeting the needs of the population (Lindelow, Reinikka and Svensson, 2003). Information about health service delivery and quality was severely lacking, in particular regarding the scope and nature of the problems in government facilities, along with the performance variance across ownership categories. As improvements in data quality at the facility level were reported (such problems had previously undermined the 1996 PETS in the health sector), a facility level survey was put forward. 15 The survey’s objectives were to: (a) assess the types and quality of services provided by different categories of providers, (b) identify problems in facility performance, including the extent of drug leakage, as well as staff performance and availability, (c) provide information on user charges and application of user fee policies, (d) measure and explain the variations in cost efficiency across health units with a focus on the flow and use of resources, and (e) examine the patterns of staff compensation, oversight and monitoring and their effect on performance. Furthermore, the survey was intended to provide baseline data for future evaluation of policy reforms in the sector (Lindelow, Reinikka and Svensson, 2003). The survey collected quantitative and expenditure data among primary health care facilities, about half of which were private for-profit and non-profit facilities. An exit poll of patients was also conducted to gather, on the demand side, information on individuals’ characteristics, behavior and perceived quality of health services. Following these groundbreaking works in Uganda, PETS and QSDS, as well as combined PETSQSDS, were launched in other developing countries. See Note 6 for an overview of the purpose, main motivation and objectives of various PETS and QSDS implemented in Sub-Saharan Africa. Note 6: Some PETS/QSDS motivations and objectives One could note that the original motivation of the Uganda 1996 PETS survey – i.e., to explain poor performance and identify leakage -- was also generally the main motivation of the following surveys. Most PETS and QSDS have been motivated by common goals of increasing information on social sector spending to understand the weak link between public expenditures and outcomes. These surveys have been implemented in a context of weak institutional settings, marked by deficient accounting, monitoring and reporting procedures. In some cases, a number of other goals were added, in particular impact evaluation of programs, such as in Ghana, Rwanda and Uganda, as well as more in-depth analysis of provider performance through QSDS. 3. What have been some of the main topics of findings? 3 PETS and QSDS have proved to be powerful instruments at identifying several bottlenecks, inefficiencies and wastages in service delivery, in particular, problems of leakages, delays, information, record keeping, ghost workers, absenteeism, equity, decentralization, user fees and efficiency. 3 See Gauthier (2006) and Gauthier and Reinikka (2007) for more detailed discussions of PETS/QSDS main findings and contributions. 16 A. Leakage One of the key finding of tracking surveys has been evidence of public resource leakage which is broadly defined as the share of resources earmarked to specific beneficiaries which fail to reach them. This phenomenon is associated with inadequate incentives and improper monitoring and enforcement within the service delivery system. Box: Definition of leakage Leakage, generally understood as the share of resources intended but not received by frontline providers, has been defined in two ways in tracking surveys. The original or “strict” definition of leakage was introduced by Ablo and Reinikka (1998) for rule-based expenditures as the share not received with respect to the expected (fixed-rule) entitlement: For non-fixed allocation rule flows (discretionary funding), Lindelöw (2006) proposed a “narrow” (or soft) leakage measure which simply consists in the share of resources sent at a certain level and not received at the other, in particular the facility level: Within multi-layers administrative systems, there could be multiple leaks along the expenditure chain toward the ultimate resource users. In presence of multiple leaks along an expenditure chain, overall leakage rate is measured as : Where n is the number of levels (links) in the chain and i is a link in the chain receiving resources from another link j in the expenditure chain. Local officials and politicians, for instance, could take advantage of the gap in information available to central governments and citizens. Specifically, they could reduce disbursement or procure fewer supplies for health centers and schools under their jurisdiction, which they know 17 would attract little attention given the weak supervision in most institutional settings in social sectors in some developing countries. Note 7: Measuring leakages; issues Note 8: Average leakage levels in various Sub-Saharan African countries As shown in the table below, several PETS have identified leakages on a large scale. Such high rates of leakage of non-wage expenditures could have dire consequences for the quality of public service delivery (Reinikka and Svensson, 2006a). When 50 percent (Ghana), 87 percent (Uganda), or 80 percent (Chad) of funds for supplies (medical and non-medical supplies, books and other schooling materials, i.e., non-wage inputs) do not reach health centers or schools, leakage prevention must become a major policy issue in these sectors. Certain patterns in resource leakage tend to emerge from the survey findings, in particular in terms of: (i) rule-based versus discretionary expenditures; (ii) wage versus non-wage expenditures; (iii) levels of government; and (iv) in-kind versus cash transfers. Table 1: Leakage by Sector and Country (%) Country Education Health Chad, 2004 80 Ghana, 1998 49 80 Kenya, 2004 38 Tanzania, 1998 57 41 Uganda, 1991-95 87 Zambia , 2001 10 (rule-based) 76 (discretionary) Source: Reinikka and Svensson (2006a); Gauthier and Wane (2005, 2008b) Rule-based versus discretionary expenditures As emphasized by Reinikka and Svensson (2001), Das et al. (2004a), and Lindelöw (2006), the level of discretion exercised in resource allocation influences leakage levels. Greater discretionary power granted to particular administrative units, combined with weak supervision and poor incentives, could lead to large fund capture. Indeed, differences in leakage levels have been observed between funds allocated through fixed-rule and those that are at the discretion of public officials or politicians. In Zambia, for instance, rule-based funding (perschool grants) presented a level of leakage of only 10 percent, versus more than 76 percent for discretionary funding. As Das et al. (2004a) demonstrate, because rule-based funding is clearly defined by a simple allocation rule, capture of funds is more difficult compared with 18 discretionary funds, which are not bound by any specific allocation rule. Generally, we observe that the greater the agent’s discretionary power, the higher the leakage. Wage versus non-wage expenditure: There are also differences in leakage levels between salary and non-salary funds. As shown in Table 1, tracking surveys, particularly in Ghana, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia, reveal that nonwage expenditures (channeled through intergovernmental transfers) suffer from more extensive leakage than do salary expenditures. In the case of non-wage expenditures, local officials and politicians can use their information advantage to reduce disbursement or provide fewer non-wage supplies to health centers or schools, knowing it would attract little attention (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004a, p.38). In contrast, failure to pay health workers or teachers would attract attention given that workers know how much they are owed. Indeed, salaries and allowances are observable and individual recipients have a greater incentive to ensure that the funds actually arrive. Note 9: Salaries Furthermore, salaries and other forms of staff compensation are generally governed by clearer fixed rules rather than non-wage expenditures, which could also contribute to reducing funds dissipation.4 Hence salaries and allowances seem to suffer from leakage to a much lesser extent than other categories of public expenditures. B. Delays PETS have also shed light on the problem of delays and bottlenecks in the allocation of resources through public administrations (e.g., salaries, allowances, financing, material, equipment, drugs and vaccines). These issues could have important effects on the quality of services, staff morale and the capacity of providers to deliver services. Note 10: Estimates of delays: examples from Africa At times, the measurement of delays proved easier to estimate than quantitative or financial data on the same flows, which would have allowed measurement of leakage levels (Gauthier, 2006). Example 4: Delays in Zambia, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Nigeria 4 In Zambia, important divergence was observed in terms of rules governing workers’ allowances, with direct impact on delays and potential leakage. 19 C. Ghost workers A few studies also quantify the share of ghosts on the payroll, that is, teachers or health workers who continue to receive a salary but who no longer are in the government service, or who have been included in the payroll without ever being in the service. 5 In Papua New Guinea, for example, a 2003 PETS showed that 15 percent of teachers on the payroll were ghosts (World Bank, 2004a). In a PETS survey in Honduras, 5 percent of teachers on the payroll were found to be ghosts, while in health care, the percentage was 8.3 for general practitioners in 2000 (World Bank, 2001). In Africa, the comparable figures are even higher: 20 percent in Uganda in 1993 (Table 2) 6. In Mozambique, Lindelöw et al (2004) noted important discrepancies between provincial, district and facility level staff records but could not confirm the presence of ghost workers. Data problems were noted, but a further problem arose from some health personnel being hired locally through community funds or user fees, which complicated the comparison between the central payroll list and facility personnel. A similar situation was observed also in Uganda (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004a). Table 2: Ghost Workers on Payroll by Sector and Country (%) Country Honduras, 2000 Papua New Guinea, 2002 Uganda, 1993 Ghosts workers Education 5.0 15.0 20.0 Health 8.3 ─ ─ Source: World Bank (2001) for Honduras; World Bank (2004) for Papua New Guinea; and Reinikka (2001) for Uganda. – Not available. D. Absenteeism Another important question studied in QSDS (or combined PETS/QSDS) is the problem of absenteeism among front-line workers (see Rodgers and Koziol, 2011 for a review). Results show absenteeism rates of between 27 and 40 percent for health care providers and between 11 and 27 percent for teachers. One of the main conclusions of these studies is that because of poor accountability relationships and weak incentives, service provider absenteeism is prevalent in developing countries, which translates into low quality of services (Gauthier and Reinikka, 2007). 7 Apart from focus groups, QSDS have been used extensively to study absenteeism among front-line workers. 5 Most public administrations in Sub-Saharan Africa use a centralized staff payroll system. Generally, teachers and health workers are paid directly by the central ministry. 6 Note that this evidence was not obtained from PETS, but rather from a payroll clean-up exercise. 7 Das et al (2005) in particular have explored the relationship between teacher absenteeism and students’ learning. 20 Table 3: Absence Rates by Country and Sector (%) Country Bangladesh Ecuador India Indonesia Papua New Guinea Peru Uganda Zambia Primary schools 16 14 25 19 15 11 27 17 Health centers 35 40 40 19 25 37 - Source: Chaudhury et al. (2006); Das et al. (2005); World Bank (2004a) - Not Available Table 3 presents the findings on absence rates from a large multi-country study (Chaudhury et al. 2006; Rogers et al. 2004; and Chaudhury and Hammer 2004). The study reports results from QSDS-type surveys in which enumerators made unannounced visits to primary schools and health clinics in Bangladesh, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Peru, and Uganda and recorded whether they found teachers and health workers in the facilities. Averaging across the countries, about 19 percent of teachers and 35 percent of health workers were absent. The survey focused on whether providers were present in their facilities, but because many providers who were at their facilities were not working, even these figures may present a too positive picture. Example 5: Teacher and Medical Workers Absenteeism in India Example 6: Teacher Absenteeism in Zambia E. Equity issues Another research question examined using service delivery surveys is equity in the allocation of resources and services by location and between income groups. In several countries, variability of health and school spending across geographical areas, regions and districts, as well as within districts, was observed. The considerable difference in resource allocation raises serious issues of equity among socio-economic and demographic groups. In Mozambique, for instance, a nine-fold variation in per capita health spending was observed at the district level ranging from 5,000 to 47,000 Meticais annually. These variations seemed to be driven mainly by staffing and infrastructure patterns across districts. In Chad, non-wage per capita public health spending showed important variations across districts (16 to 1 ratio): at the health center level, the most funded district received 38 CFAF per capita on average versus 2.3 CFAF for the least funded district (Gauthier and Wane, 2008b). In the schooling system in Zambia, the most funded district received eight times more average per-student public resources than the least funded district. This variance was due predominantly (90 percent) to 21 differences within provinces, as opposed to difference across provinces (10 percent). At the school level, differences in Zambia were even more pronounced; the most funded school received 3,000 times more funding than the least funded one. Note 11: Measuring equity F. Decentralization effects A few public expenditure tracking surveys have also examined the impact of decentralization on resource allocations in the social sectors. In the 1996 Uganda education PETS, this consideration was incorporated in the sample selection process and was studied through the flow of capitation (per student) grants to schools. Findings indicated that decentralization had not, at least in the early years, produced positive results in terms of better resource allocation to service providers. Following decentralization, which was implemented gradually starting in 1993, district authorities and district and urban councils gradually gained control of the funds allocated by the central government to primary education. Using the capitation grant as a proxy to explore the impact of decentralization on the flow of public funds to schools, Reinikka (2001) finds that decentralization was associated with a slight deterioration in the flow of funds to schools. Note 12: Measuring impact of decentralization G. Impact of user fees Another research question that service delivery surveys have explored concerns user fees. There has been much debate about the equity and efficiency effects of user fees on the demand and supply sides. For frontline providers, user fees are sometimes the only source of revenues. In several countries, as previously mentioned, providers receive only in-kind items from upper administrative levels. On the demand side, user charges create clear problems of accessibility and equity for the poor. QSDS have shown that user fees often constitute an important part of service costs for users and can have considerable negative effects on access. Example 7: User fees in Chad Note 13: Drug mark ups Example 8: User fees in education: Uganda, Zambia, Rwanda 22 H. Issues of efficiency PETS can address the question of efficiency of the budget which could have important benefits. In the Chadian health sector, Gauthier and Wane (2009) show, using a PETS/QSDS that reduction of leakage could have led to an important improvement in utilization rates of health facilities. Indeed, the negative relationship between official public resources and health output (Figure 4A) is reversed when leakage is taken into account given that effective public resources (i.e., those that reach the regions) have a strong positive impact on health output (Figure 4B). In Chad if all public resources officially budgeted for regional delegations in 2003 had reached the frontline providers, the number of patients seeking primary health care would have more than doubled during the year. Public expenditures could therefore contribute to the improvement of the population’s health, provided they reach the population. FIGURE 4: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OFFICIAL AND EFFECTIVE ALLOCATION OF PUBLIC RESOURCES TO HEALTH SERVICES IN CHAD Mayo-Kebbi Mayo-Kebbi 500 500 Initial/Effective Allocations and Performance Moyen Chari Moyen Chari Logone Occidental Logone Oriental Kanem BET guera biltine Tandjile Production par 1000 Hbts 300 400 Production par 1000 Hbts 300 400 Logone Occidental Logone Oriental Kanem biltine Tandjile Salamat Salamat Chari-Baguirmi Ouaddai Chari-Baguirmi Ouaddai batha batha Lac 200 200 Lac 500 BET guera 1000 1500 2000 Initial per capita Allocation in FCFA 100 200 300 400 500 600 Effective per capita Allocation in FCFA Source: Gauthier and Wane (2009) Also noteworthy are various productivity analysis performed using tracking survey data. For instance, Lindelow et al (2004) have examined the question of productivity of health centers using PETS/QSDS data in Mozambique. They analyze seven categories of service output and devise a composite index of output to deal with the problem of multi-output production. They observe significant urban-rural and regional differences in service output per capita. Lindelow et al (2004) also note important variations in output per health worker across districts (in an 8 to 1 ratio). 23 Example 9: Measuring efficiency I. Information problems Another fundamental problem that PETS and QSDS have been able to highlight is the problem of information asymmetry through the service providers’ supply chain, associated with budgeting, accounting, reporting systems, supervision and monitoring. In most countries examined, there is a crucial lack of information at various levels in the public organizational structure, in particular at the central level, regarding resource use and transfers through the supply chain. This problem of information associated with the agency context of service provision is evidently one of the main issues motivating most tracking surveys. Furthermore, information problems are also acute at lower levels of the hierarchy, as decentralized administrative units are generally not aware of the budgetary resources to which they are entitled.8 In such a context of data limitation, the detailed data provided by tracking and facility surveys could help assess effective allocation of resources and identify the binding constraints that impede quality of service delivery. In addition, PETS could specifically address the demand side of governance. PETS could give voice to citizens to help influence governments and providers. This requires hard information about resource use that PETS can provide. By identifying resources available at various levels of the supply chain and examining behavior and incentives of various agents within institutional arrangements, they have identified problems of governance, capture of funds, and corruption. PETS have been instrumental in bringing about effective changes in resource allocation, notably through an information campaign in the education sector in Uganda. In the Ugandan education sector, for example, Reinikka and Svensson (2004, 2005, 2006) use PETS to study leakage of funds and the impact of a public information campaign on leakage rates, enrolment levels, and learning outcomes. They find a large reduction in resource leakage, increased enrolments, and some improved test scores in response to the campaign J. Record keeping Finally, poor record keeping is one of the major challenges in public financial management that PETS/QSDS have been able to pinpoint. Indeed, poor record management and weak internal control at the various levels of the administrative system are certainly some of the major findings of tracking surveys. 8 In Tanzania, for instance, information asymmetry was associated with the use of a cash budgeting system at the central government level (REPOA/ESRF, 2001). 24 CHAPTER III: PROCESS, OWNERSHIP AND POLICY REFORMS 1. What are the impetus and sources of support for PETS/QSDS? The impetus for launching a PETS, a QSDS or a joint PETS/QSDS could come from various sources. It could be initiated by donors or NGOs (or various demand side groups) that seek to ensure efficiency or equity of public expenditure systems as part of their overall support and request greater information and increase efficiency/equity of the resource allocation system. The interest could arise especially in the framework of a PER or sector analysis. A PETS/QSDS could complement a PER by allowing collection of detailed micro level data on effective allocation of resources within the sector and assessing the concordance between sector objectives and effective allocation of resources (see section 1). The study could also arise from a joint interest of donor and domestic governments that perceive the importance of detailed data and analysis of sector expenditure as part of a social sector development strategy or a poverty reduction strategy. It could be initiated by the government that wishes to improve governance or efficiency. In some countries such as Sierra Leone and Uganda, home grown PETS have sought to fill a vacuum in information by providing diagnostic information on key poverty sectors and evaluate government programs to increase transparency. Example 10: Impetus in Uganda, Chad and Ghana 2. The importance of dialogue with partner countries Regardless of where the impetus comes from, it is fundamental to develop collaboration with key ministries and to identify key partners. Policy dialogue, country involvement and country ownership are fundamental in designing and implementing these tools. Note 14: PETS as part of country dialogue Note 15: PETS Within the programmatic AAA approach 25 Not only will this ensure access to the necessary information to conduct the study but it will also promote the use of the study results. One of the key for the efficiency of such studies is that they are used and that policy recommendations are translated into policy reforms. Indeed, once a PETS or QSDS has identified inefficiencies and accountability failures, only the government and other stakeholders can make the reforms necessary and mobilize civil society to put recommendations into practice. Only if a government is prepared to make the necessary efforts to reform the system will a PETS/QSDS survey have any real impact. Note 16: Raising the awareness of the government and potential stakeholders Various donors have strong commitments toward public services and good governance (e.g., USAID, DFID). For instance, DFID’s 2006 White Paper supports public services and good governance, and shows interest in how public expenditure systems are working in partner countries, in particular regarding state capability, responsiveness and accountability. PETS/QSDS are important tools for investigating these issues. Various donors and civil societies in partner countries share this interest. It would make sense for donors to conduct joint analysis in these areas. Ultimately, the objective would be for developing countries to undertake such analysis on their own or in collaboration with donors, and feeding key feed back into their own policies. As mentioned earlier, PETS are not audits because they cannot reconcile the use of funds. PETS do not try to find missing resources or identify the persons responsible. Care must be taken that PETS are not perceived as a punitive or audit type instrument of one agency or government level in relation to another, but rather should e viewed as a contribution to broader reform efforts. 3. How can study findings be translated into reforms? Beyond methodological issues and new applications, the biggest challenge for tracking surveys may be to translate their important findings and contributions into policy reforms and institutional changes to improve service quality and population outcomes. Indeed, tracking surveys are a means to an end. The information on incentives and deficiencies in organizational structures and rules should ultimately be used to identify policy reforms and help implement a reform agenda in client countries. Note 17: Typical policy reforms resulting from PETS/QSDS 26 Box 1: Information campaign in Uganda To date, one of the main achievements in service delivery improvements that have come out of PETS-QSDS has been observed in the education sector in Uganda. The policy reform introduced targeted information flows designed to give clients potential power over service providers. Through an information campaign in newspapers and on radio that targeted school associations, parents and the community, clients were better informed and given the ability to voice their demands. The results have been quite spectacular, in that the leakage rate was reduced dramatically. As noted by Reinikka and Svensson (2004, p.23) similar information problems exist in other countries, making the information campaign approach adopted in Uganda potentially widely applicable. Such an information campaign approach to reducing corruption has also been used in Tanzania. Following the identification in two PETS of fund diversion at the local government level, the government started publishing information in newspapers covering allocations for ministries, regions and local authorities (councils) of budget allocations for the selected propoor spending programs. Positive impacts of the campaign have been reported. While a formal impact evaluation has not been conducted, reports indicate that the information campaign has reduced leakage (World Bank, 2003, p.14). 4. Potential areas of reforms? In addition to information campaigns, several other potential reforms can be on the agenda following PETS/QSDS. The areas identified for reforms in various survey reports include: (a) Speeding up budget execution at various levels of the delivery chain; (b) Improving communication and information pass-through (dissemination of information is a general problem between the administrative levels, including with the population); (c) Increasing inspection and monitoring at all level of the service delivery system; (d) Improving internal controls, in particular accounting and reporting systems to enhance transparency and accountability (basic accounting systems are often not in place and rules not followed); (e) Improving logistic systems for managing material, supplies and various in-kinds (e.g., drugs) at the decentralized level to allow adequate reporting and controls; (f) Providing additional training for decentralized government levels and service delivery units (problems often result from a poorly trained personnel); (g) Establishing mechanisms and incentives in the system to make the service delivery system more client driven at all levels. 27 5. Obstacles to implementing reforms While it cannot be denied that many tracking surveys have been very successful at identifying weak links in the service supply chain, as well as areas where reforms should be put forward, in practice, however, few countries have effectively followed up on the diagnosis made by PETS/QSDS and implemented decisive reforms in service delivery. In several countries, lack of political will to put reforms in practice has certainly been a factor behind weak institutional change. Lack of policy dialogue, insufficient dissemination of results and discussions to ensure the transfer of information about problems identified in the service delivery system are also noteworthy. More emphasis on client outcome would certainly contribute to promoting institutional reforms in recipient countries. This would probably entail reform of incentives on the project supply side. Success in project evaluation should therefore be contingent not only on the survey implementation itself, but more importantly on the capacity to translate and bring about policy and institutional reforms in the client country. PETS and QSDS seek to improve the efficiency and equity of public service provision. As such, the success of the exercise should be measured by its capacity to bring about improvements in the quality of services at the population level, that is, in its capacity to lead to policy dialogue, policy reforms in areas of weaknesses identified and improvements in the outcome at the client/population level. Ultimately, in addition to devising robust methodologies to collect information and detect corruption in public service delivery, the real challenge and the real yardstick on which PETS/QSDS should be measured are the capacity to induce policy reforms to correct the various governance problems identified. 28 CHAPTER IV. STEP-BY-STEP GUIDANCE This chapter presents the steps involved in designing and implementing PETS/QSDS and highlights methodological issues to be encountered through the process. The steps are grouped in five parts (see Figure 5). The first part addresses the preparation of a PETS/QSDS; the second, the background and preliminary analysis including the institutional mapping report; the third, the design of the survey; the fourth, the survey implementation; and the fifth, the data analysis, report writing and the dissemination of results. Figure 5: Roadmap for designing and implementing a PETS/QSDS Preparation (Part I) Preliminary Analysis and Institutional Mapping Report (Part II) Survey Preparation (Part III) Survey Implementation (Part IV) Data Analysis, Report Writing and Results Dissemination (Part V) • • • Rationale for the study and consultation with stakeholders Resources and management structure Concept note and TOR • • • • Review of documentation Analysis of policy and institutional arrangements Choice of specific objectives, scope and tracking flows Rapid Data Assessment • • • Questionnaire development Sampling Preliminary pilot • • • • Training Full Pilot Survey Implementation Data Entry • • • Data Analysis and Report Writing Preparing Recommendations Results Dissemination, policy reforms and future research 29 Phase 1. Preparation > Step 1: Rationale for the study and consultations with stakeholders A. Exploration and potential motivations A PETS/QSDS study is concerned with identifying inefficiencies in public service delivery mechanisms and assessing the performance of services at the frontline to improve the effectiveness and accountability in the use of public resources and quality of services. Before considering a PETS/QSDS, it is important to undertake an explanatory mission to analyze the selected sector or program (in particular the resource allocation systems and service quality and accountability issues) and conduct exploratory discussions to determine if detailed evidence on expenditure allocations and diagnosis of the service delivery system could be useful. ■ Various rationales could justify PETS/QSDS studies, in particular: Assess why increased public spending in the sector does not lead to improved social indicators; Improve accountability and fill the gap in information on public expenditure and resource use at the decentralized level by tracing expenditure flows toward end users of resources; Understand the poor performance and quality of public services to improve the effectiveness of public expenditure; Assess inefficiencies in public expenditure systems and services delivered to citizens (delays, leakages, etc.); Assess equity problems in public expenditure and service delivery among regions or areas, income groups, and rural and urban locations; Assess the gap in access to and utilization of basic services by specific groups, especially the poor; 30 • Reduce the fiduciary risk of donors’ programs of budget support allocations and ensure the reliability and adequacy of public administrative systems in managing and allocating donor funding; • Monitor specific programs and expenditure allocations, such as pro-poor expenditures, by collecting quantitative information; • Provide baselines against which to monitor, through subsequent surveys, the effectiveness of policy changes in the sector on quality and quantity of service delivery. B. Consultations with key stakeholders During the initial planning phase of the study, broad-based consultations should be held with the sector or program’s main stakeholders to identify the main constraints and challenges facing the sector and perceived inefficiencies in the system. ■ Stakeholders include key government ministries (e.g., Ministry of Finance, line ministries, general controller), donors, and civil society organizations. ■ The consultations should: Identify the issues and bottlenecks within the sector or program; Convey information about the potential usefulness of the study; Develop support and cooperation for its implementation; Lead to agreement on the purpose and general objectives of the study (i.e., important efficiency and equity issues that need to be addressed). C. Identification of broad objectives During the initial phase, the broad objectives of the study should be identified and agreed upon with the main stakeholders. ■ The broad objectives that could be targeted with PETS include: Identifying the constraints in the expenditure and resource allocation system that impede the efficiency, quantity, and quality of service delivery (including budget execution and allocation, compliance with procedures, account keeping, and usage) to generate recommendations for solving them; Verifying the adequacy of the public expenditure system at allocating and monitoring resources toward service provision in a sector or specific program; 31 Tracking the flows of public resources across various administrative levels of government to identify malfunctions in service delivery systems, such as delays, leakage and capture of funds by bureaucratic and political actors, corruption, and inequity in the allocation of resources; Determining if resources effectively allocated to administrative levels and final service providers (e.g., schools, clinics) correspond to the official budget allocation and the intended usage; Assessing potential inequalities in the effective allocation of resources among regions, districts, or geographical areas such as urban and rural populations; Providing a quantitative performance assessment and a baseline in a sector or program for monitoring progress or for a potential impact evaluation of a policy intervention; Analyzing specific issues, such as recent policy reforms or the incentives of staff, or establishing links between input, output, and outcomes. ■ The following broad objectives could be targeted with QSDS: Assessing service delivery performance (quality and quantity of services, activities, and operations); Analyzing incentives and behaviour of staff (e.g., informal payments, absenteeism, quality of services); Assessing variations in service delivery across regions, districts, and types of clients; Evaluating differences in performance between types of providers (e.g., NGOs, public and private providers); Identifying client characteristics and experience with service delivery (e.g., use of services across income groups, cost incurred, satisfaction); Identifying problems in facility performance, including the extent of potential resource leakage, staff performance, and availability. Note 18: Typical PETS/QSDS objectives ■ Note that the overall objectives of the study will need to be transcribed into more specific objectives during the institutional analysis phase (see Step 4). 32 Box 2: The five main elements that PETS/QSDS try to assess Combined PETS/QSDS studies generally attempt to assess five main elements: 1. Resources (inputs) mobilized in the sector: their sources and importance; 2. Ways (process) in which these resources are mobilized: programs and allocation mechanisms used and various channels toward users; 3. Ways (process) in which these resources are used: expenditure centers and usage at central, decentralized, and service provider levels; 4. Inefficiencies and inequities in resource allocation within the sector/program 5. Results obtained by these resources: intermediate and final outputs, and outcomes/impacts. D. Choice of instruments and alternatives According to the broad objectives and issues facing the sector, a choice of instrument should be made among a PETS, a QSDS, a combined PETS/QSDS, or other public finance management instruments. ■ The overall process of a PETS/QSDS is relatively time-consuming and resource-intensive, given its survey-based approach. It should therefore be determined if, among the alternative instruments available to analyze public expenditure and service delivery, PETS/QSDS is the most appropriate given the objectives, resources, and time frame of the planned activities. ■ A PETS seeks to improve the allocation of public expenditures and their impact on the welfare of the population by providing precise and detailed information on the effective allocation of resources and on potential weaknesses in the mechanisms used to allocate resources. It collects, on a sample basis, detailed information at various levels within the supply chain, from central government or donors down to frontline providers (such as schools, health facilities, and hospitals) on the allocation of resources. PETS involve the examination of administrative records and reports of resource flows at different levels of the government system, usually from central ministries down to service providers. Most PETS surveys include interviews with staff in government offices and in front-line facilities, and the examination of physical stocks of resources at various levels. 33 ■ QSDS are provider surveys that assess the quantity and quality of services and performance in resource usage at the facility level, such as schools, health clinics, and hospitals. They examine the incentives and behavior of agents at the frontline level and gather information on the availability of materials, such as books and desks in schools, drugs and functioning equipment in clinics, or the attendance of teachers or health personnel. A QSDS generally includes interviews with facility level staff, a study of records of facility level inputs (financial, staff, in-kind material, and equipment), outputs (services delivered) and revenues (e.g., from government, donors, and user fees), and a survey of clients of the facility. Some have included the measurement of final outcomes such as pupils’ performance and have linked it with school characteristics (e.g., Zambia 2002). ■ These two survey tools are often applied jointly to present a more complete picture of the performance of service delivery systems. In some countries (e.g., Zambia), linkages have been established with household population, and household information has been collected to assess the impact of public expenditure on population outcomes. Box 3: Single vs multi-sector surveys Multi-sector surveys have been performed in various countries (e.g., Cameroon, Uganda, Niger, Senegal, Rwanda, Tanzania), generally encompassing health and education in a single project. Economies of scale, however, do not always translate into tracking survey quality. Indeed, several problems are associated with multi-sector surveys. First, there have been frequent problems of sample design, as the same enumeration areas (village, wards, etc.) were often chosen to reduce costs. However, such an approach necessarily means that some of the facility samples are biased, because the sample reflects only one of the facility populations. Second, multi-sector surveys are generally associated with much less indepth data collection in certain sectors. Typically, one or more sectors will be sacrificed due to budget or other resource constraints if, for instance, the same teams of enumerators have to visit both schools and health centers in a given area within a limited time frame. Finally, with respect to reporting, some sectors have been prioritized and were better reported in multisector surveys, while the other sectors tend to be much less thoroughly analyzed. For instance, reports for the Tanzanian water supply and rural roads are not publicly available. While one cannot categorically claim that multi-sector surveys should not be carried out, if they are put forward, extra precautions have to be taken to ensure project quality. Separate sampling designs must be chosen to ensure representative samples in every sector, interviews should probably be conducted by different teams (or if by the same team, at different times), and adequate time and resources must be allotted (see Gauthier 2006 for further details). 34 E. Government cooperation and ownership A necessary condition for the success of a PETS/QSDS is to ensure that the government and administrative units cooperate and are committed to the study and potential reforms. • Country ownership and clear commitment to reforms are key ingredients in successful sector assessments and service delivery reforms. • An essential element is to ensure collaboration through discussion and the identification of leaders and champions among key stakeholders. • Adequate cooperation of public officials at all levels is required to gain access to information, and organized data collection can be ensured only with government participation and commitment to the study. • Government ownership makes it more likely that the sector diagnosis arising from the study and policy recommendations will be translated into policy reforms. Indeed, only the government and other sector stakeholders can make the necessary reforms and mobilize civil society to put study recommendations into practice. • The likelihood that the government will make the efforts needed to reform the system following identification of inefficiencies and accountability failures by PETS is much greater if a government takes ownership of the study. F. Information and sensitization activities To help build ownership, in addition to consultation and discussions, it could be useful to organize larger-scale sensitization activities in the initial phase of the study to inform stakeholders about the usefulness of collecting information on decentralized level expenditure and service delivery performance. ■ These information and sensitization activities could take the form of seminars or workshops on the usefulness of PETS/QSDS, and other service delivery tools. During these activities, information could be presented on their methodologies, approaches, and potential findings. ■ These activities could help to: Develop country ownership and build support for conducting the study; Elicit views and identify problems in service delivery, and refine and identify specific study objectives. Example 11: PETS/QSDS workshop and seminar in Morocco and Afghanistan 35 > Step 2: Composition of the team, resources and management structure A. Composition of the team A group of core researchers with relevant qualifications and experience should be formed to conduct the study. Necessary elements for the core survey team include prior experience in similar types of surveys and substantial country and sector-specific knowledge. The size of the team will depend on the scope of the study and resources available. ■ The main skills required for a typical team to conduct PETS/QSDS studies include: Skills in public finance, public sector management, and audits; Sector-specific expertise (e.g., education, health, economics); Technical skills in sampling strategies and questionnaire design; Skills in data management and analysis, including statistical techniques, which are especially valuable in the analysis and reporting stages; Assistance in collecting relevant secondary data, documents, and information. ■ A project manager or task team leader should be appointed to undertake the day-to-day coordination and management of the study. A clear line of responsibilities should be allocated within the team to favor accountability. B. Management structure and contractual arrangements Donor agencies or policy makers can commission a PETS/QSDS using various management structures and contracting arrangements. ■ While data collection is generally delegated to a local or international survey firm, the design and day-to-day management of a PETS/QSDS study could entail various arrangements. First, the initiating agency (donor or government) could decide to manage it directly. This involves setting up a core team of researchers responsible for the overall study design and then sequentially contracting out some subcomponents (such as data collection) to external consultants. In this type of arrangement, the study manager remains in the initiating agency commissioning the PETS/QSDS. For instance in such setting, only survey implementation responsibilities could be delegated to a local or 36 international survey firm, and consultants (national or international) could be contracted out to complete the in-house PETS/QSDS core team. Second, the initiating agency may not have the capacity to design and supervise the study and could decide to contract out the entire study. It would hence prepare terms of reference specifying the study objectives, policy questions, overall methodology, budget ceilings and minimum team composition (See Step 3). The TOR would be used to launch a call for technical and financial proposals. The selected agency/consulting firm would manage the study while the initiating agency team (donor or government) provides oversight. Third, a variant to this arrangement is for the initiating agency to split the responsibilities of the study between two external groups (consulting firms or agencies) while maintaining an oversight role. In the two-firm approach, the design of the study as well as potentially data analysis and reporting, is contracted out to a core team of experts/consultants, while data collection is delegated to another local or international survey firm specialized in data collection. The two-firm approach has the advantage of potentially allowing the recruitment of the most qualified team to design the study and analyze results, as local survey firms in some countries often lack the competence for designing and analyzing data for these types of studies. The core team of experts would appoint a manager to coordinate and actively manage the study and to work effectively with the data collectors and policy makers. ■ Choices of management structure vary according to initiating agency capacity, resources and country conditions. The availability of specific survey competencies varies with the competitive environment of the country. While data collection competencies are generally less difficult to identify, design and specific competencies for survey design is generally less easily available at the country level. ■ The management structure of PETS/QSDS studies requires a balance between technical expertise and independence brought by a team of external experts, and the policy knowledge, relevance and field coordination brought by government agencies and policy makers. For a PETS/QSDS to be successful a degree of institutional separation is generally fundamental in order to ensure objectivity independence and credibility (see box 4). However, the study process requires close cooperation and coordination with policy makers and officials for ensuring adequate design of the study, implementation and policy relevance. Still, PETS/QSDS could have several goals including building internal monitoring capacity within government agencies, and in that regard, closer sensitization and involvement of program operators in the project could be chosen. 37 Box 4: Independence from government agencies In some countries, an alternative to hiring private sector experts has been to engage government officials to carry out the design work and sometimes data collection (for instance statistical agencies or line-ministry staff). However, this raises questions about the capacity and independence of the teams and the objectivity of the data collected. For instance, in the case of the PETS in Indonesia, line-ministry staff were part of the enumerator team. While useful for local capacity building, the enumerators were not necessarily well-trained to elicit correct financial information (Gurkan et al., 2009, p.11). To ensure independent results, it is generally recommended that government agencies not be directly involved in the design of the study or data collection. C. Steering committee It is important for policy makers to be involved in guiding the study and ensuring its relevance. In this regard, a small steering committee made up of representatives of the various stakeholders to work with the PETS/QSDS team could offer some benefits. ■ A steering committee could help ensure cooperation and ownership, and promote capacity building within government and civil society. It could provide guidance to the PETS/QSDS team and foster cooperation among government agencies. ■ The inter-government steering committee could include a representative from each of the line ministries involved, as well as from the Ministries of Finance and other government agencies such as national statistics. It could also be composed of representatives of the Auditor General’s office, development partners, and other stakeholders such as NGOs. D. Budget The budget necessary for conducting a PETS/QSDS depends on a number of factors, including its scope, sample size, complexity of the survey instruments, sector, geography, and labor and survey costs in the country. It also depends on the management structure chosen, in particular the extent of work done internally or contracted out to local or international consultants or survey firms. ■ Overall, the costs of a PETS generally range between US$ 75,000 and US$ 250,000 for a full scale study (for cost estimations of small scale PETS, see Koziol and Tolmie (2010). 38 ■ The budget needs to account for the costs involved in the design, implementation, data analysis, reporting, and dissemination phases. Data collection costs for a survey encompassing a standard sample size of about 150200 units (schools or health centers) in one sector range from US$ 50,000 to US$ 120,000. PETS core team costs need to be added, and depend on the composition (local or international consultants) and responsibilities (e.g., survey design, questionnaire, survey supervision, data analysis and reporting) of the team. Travel costs need to be accounted for, especially the costs of field missions at the various stages (e.g., consultations, institutional analysis and Rapid Data Assessment (RDA), training and supervision, and results presentation and dissemination). ■ Note that an overall survey supervisor independent from the local or international survey firm in charge of data collection should be present in the field for the duration of the survey and data cleaning, and the supervisor’s costs should be accounted for in the overall budget. ■ If budgetary resources are insufficient, it could be worth using resources through collaborations with other development partners or through trust funds, foundations, etc. E. Time frame Sufficient time and resources are needed to plan, design, and implement a survey, as well as for data analysis, reporting, and dissemination. ■ It normally takes about 10-12 months to complete a PETS/QSDS, and sometimes more. Sufficient time has to be allotted for conducting an in-depth institutional analysis, realize a rapid data assessment, design the survey questionnaires, and pre-testing of instruments. Adequate time should also be allotted for data cleaning, analysis, and reporting, as well as findings dissemination and policy reform discussions with the government. Sufficient time should also be allotted to draft the TOR and hire consultants. Delays could be expected when public tendering procedures are used for selecting the local survey firm to conduct data collection. o For instance, in Chad, the public tendering process to recruit a local survey firm added one year to the survey duration, which overall lasted two years. 39 F. Project timetable and survey timing ■ An initial timeline should be prepared, accounting for the various steps and timing of the different phases. It is useful to draw a list of tasks and a project timeline chart. The list of tasks and chart should realistically align the successive activities and timeframe involved to promote the efficient progress of the study. ■ An important element to consider in determining when to field the survey is the fiscal year period in use in the country. If the target is to obtain quantitative data on flows of resources over a one-year period, these clearly have to correspond to the fiscal year. The fielding of a tracking survey should hence ideally be carried out two or three months after the end of the fiscal year in order for accounting books to be closed. Example 12: List of Tasks and Project Timeline Chart > Step 3: Concept Note and TOR A. The concept note ■ During the preparation phase of the study, the project manager and core team will normally prepare a concept note detailing the context and rationale of the study, main objectives and research questions, scope, methodology, expected sampling and data collection strategy for the study. The document should present the background and context of the sector or specific programs under study, the main challenges facing service delivery, the overall objectives of the study, the main elements of the proposed activities, scope, timetable, budget, dissemination activities, etc. ■ The concept note would serve as the basis for obtaining the support of government agencies and other stakeholders and potential funders. ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for examples of Concept Notes. B. Drafting TOR and launching the process for identifying survey firm/consultants During the course of the project, various Terms of Reference (TOR) will normally be prepared for instance for the local and/or international consultants responsible for designing and/or 40 implementing the survey. Composition of the TORs will be function of the governance structure selected for the project (see Step 2B). ■ The selection of local/international consultants/survey firms could be a time-consuming and challenging process depending on the rules in place. Initiating agency or government procurement rules could entail relatively long procedures involving, for instance, public tendering rules which could takes several weeks or months. The survey calendar needs to account for these potential contingencies (see Step 2F). ■ It is crucial that the selected local consultant team implementing the survey be independent, free of conflict of interest, and of high quality. This has tremendous impact on data quality, as difficulties of implementing the survey are generally very important, and potential conflict of interest could be present (see Box 4). ■ Local survey firms are likely to be more cost-effective to conduct the PETS-QSDS data collection phase and contribute to local capacity building. ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for examples of Terms of Reference for survey firms and international consultants 41 Phase 2. Preliminary Analysis As a background phase, given that PETS/QSDS are designed to gather information on the flow and use of public resources and the performance of service providers, a review of documentation and analysis of the institutional arrangements and policy framework should be conducted. This should lead to the elaboration of an institutional mapping report and a rapid data assessment which will guide the development of the methodological strategy, in particular the identification of the specific focus of the study and, in the case of a PETS, of the tracking strategy. > Step 4: Review of documentation An initial step is to collect and review all the relevant documentation related to the sector and programs under study. The review of documents seeks to examine the main aspects of the sector and programs, the core policies and strategies, and the variety and levels of funding flows, and to identify the main challenges facing the sector. ■ The key documents to be collected from various sources, including the government, donors, NGOs, and research organizations, include: Country and sector reports and analyses (PER, sector PER, CAS, etc.) from various international agencies (e.g., World Bank, IMF, UNESCO, UNICEF, WHO); Government sector documents and program reports; Government financial and budgetary documents from the Ministry of Finance and line ministries (central government consolidated accounts, line ministry—e.g., Ministry of Education, state or provincial budgets if separate from consolidated government accounts, medium term expenditure framework documents); Sector administrative data and reports, such as routine information system data (e.g., Education or Health Management Information Systems) and annual reports; Research and publications on public expenditure and sectoral issues > Step 5: Analysis of policy and institutional arrangements Following the analysis of documents, a thorough analysis of institutional arrangements and policy frameworks should be conducted to understand the policy environment and administrative arrangements and rules governing the allocation of resources within the sector. 42 ■ Through field visits and interviews with key informants within central and sub-national services down to frontline providers, the institutional analysis seeks to: Identify the policies and programs in the sector and the sources of funding and channels of allocation of sector inputs within the administrative structure toward frontline providers; Determine how the public hierarchy is structured, and the roles and responsibilities of various administrative levels and units in the budget execution processes toward frontline providers; Identify the main issues and challenges facing the sector, which affect service quality; Identify the allocation rules or mechanisms used to allocate the resources within the programs at the various administrative levels; Assess the accountability framework and identify the information system and reporting mechanisms at each level for the different programs and delivery paths for the different sector inputs; Ensure the distinction between official and effective rules and procedures (e.g., for resource allocation, accounting, recording, or monitoring) that are observed in practice for the different flows and levels. Rules and procedures effectively used to allocate resources (or recording funding flows) could differ from official rules and may vary from one location to another (i.e., province), and should be understood and analyzed. ■ Findings should be presented in an institutional mapping report. ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for examples of institutional mapping reports. A. Identifying and assembling available data PETS/QSDS studies use two types of data: (i) secondary data arising from administrative systems or collected during previous data collection exercises, and (ii) data to be collected by the study through survey techniques. During the institutional analysis phase, it is important to identify and assemble important existing secondary data that will be useful in the diagnosis of the sector, and start identifying primary data to be collected by the study to track and monitor resources and results within the sector. 43 i) Secondary data to be assembled An early task in the preparation of the PETS is the identification and evaluation of the sources of existing/secondary data and documents on sector financing, spending, activities, and output. Copies of relevant documents and electronic records should be collected. These data are dispersed among various services and government agencies. Budget data Central government public expenditures for health or education can be obtained from central government budgetary records from the Ministry of Finance and line ministries such as education or health, and potentially from other ministries (e.g., Planning, Human Resources). Often, budgetary data available directly from finance ministries, finance commissions, and other auditing bodies are more detailed than those published in public documents. Central government budgetary figures could provide an overall view of the size and growth of the sector or program under study. They also define a context for thinking about detailed categories of spending and identifying the channels of budgetary allocation toward decentralized structures (provinces/regions, district, local governments) and ultimately frontline providers. One needs to be aware of the ways expenditures in the sector are defined in the country. In some countries, central government data include central/federal, state/provincial/regional, and local/municipal health expenditures. Are there several ministries engaged in health care or education spending, and is this spending included in the reported expenditures? Are special expenditures, such as poverty programs, included? Are external resources included? There are also differences in the level of detail available in budgetary records and the way data are aggregated. The greater the level of disaggregation by program purpose, the better. However, even within countries there could be important differences in the data availability, quality, and capacity of public administration at producing and analyzing such data across provinces or decentralized administrations. Example 13: South Africa: Western Cape vs. Limpopo Executed vs. other budget data For PETS purposes, one needs to make use of the executed budget, which presents, among the various budget laws of a country, the best information available on official resources transfers, and which reflects the variations in the levels of revenues and expenditures. 9 9 Indeed, there could be expenditure leakage between the Ministry of Finance and the line ministry. This information also allows one to determine how adjustments are made when there are positive or negative shocks (i.e. which ministry gets hit). 44 While in theory audited accounts of actual government expenditures are the most reliable and are preferable to data on unaudited spending, there is typically a 1–2 year delay between the end of the fiscal year and the availability of audited data on actual expenditures. Generally, the most practical solution is hence to use provisional (unaudited) figures on executed budgets. Note 19: Forecasts vs. effective expenditures data Routine data In addition to budgetary data, most public administrations also collect routine information on their activities. In particular, Management Information Systems (MIS) typically collect, on a periodical basis, a large quantity of information on various components at the different administrative and service provision levels within the education or health ministry. 10 If available, these routine data, sometimes compiled within education or health statistic reports (e.g., “Annuaire statistique sur l’éducation”) or available at the disaggregated level, could be of great use, especially to triangulate the survey data that will be collected by the study. International donor assistance In countries where international assistance is significant, collecting information on financial transfers could be important. In addition to official development assistance, such as bilateral aid and loan programs, one should include the activities of international non-governmental organizations (NGOs). Government records on external assistance should be collected, if available. However, while some countries require all external financing assistance to be reported to a central government agency, there is often a lack of standardized reporting systems across organizations and at the country level. The complexity of financing arrangements also complicates the development of usable data. Appropriate survey instruments could be developed in such cases. ii) Primary data to be collected During the institutional analysis phase, start identifying the primary data to be collected by the study to characterize and monitor expenditures. Indeed, given the limited existing secondary data available in the sector, the collection of such detailed quantitative information of sub-national units and frontline providers collected through survey techniques is at the core of the contribution of PETS/QSDS. ■ The choice of primary data to be assembled and collected depends on the specific focus of the study; specific constraints facing service delivery, data availability and quality; and other factors such as time and resources to be allocated for the study (see Step…. for a detailed discussion). These primary data: In Chad, for instance, primary health facilities are required to report their activities on a monthly basis to the regional administration, which itself reports annually to the central health ministry. 10 45 are generally collected from a sample of frontline providers and lower level governments and administrative services by which resources transit; typically concern various themes, some generic to most PETS, such as assessment of leakage of resources, and some more specific to some studies, such as staff absenteeism, delays in budgetary execution, procedures for allocating public markets, the use of the resources provided to frontline providers, etc.; are frequently collected from staff working in these structures and users of services (e.g., health patients, students, or households). B. Understanding administrative structure and procedures ■ The complexity of resource flows in social sectors makes any tracking survey challenging. Indeed, the resources required for public service delivery in education and health (financial resources, human resources, and in-kind transfers) originate from several sources (central government ministries, decentralized administrative levels, bilateral and multilateral donors, NGOs) and take various paths in the organizational system. In addition, these flows are generally governed by different allocation rules, administrative processes, recording and accounting procedures, etc. It is fundamental to identify the sources of funds, i.e., on-budget and off–budget, from national and foreign sources. A very thorough institutional analysis is hence required to detect these idiosyncratic elements and to be able to choose an adequate and realistic focus for the study. It is also essential to understand who is in charge of what and how the resources flow. A thorough knowledge of paths of flows, by types of expenditures (investment, salary, current) and types of programs and material, is necessary. Generic funding flow structure To illustrate funding flows, Figure 6 represents a generic administrative structure and resource flow system in the social sector. A three-tier hierarchy is represented (central, provincial/ regional, and district/ local government) through which resources flow to local service providers. In some countries (e.g., Nigeria, Uganda), the administrative structure governing providers’ resources flows comprises only two layers (e.g., central and district/local government) above frontline providers. 46 In most cases, central government ministries allocate resources (human, financial and/or inkind) to the various layers of the administrative structure. These resources pass through various channels. Financial and in-kind resources might be the responsibility of a line ministry while human resources could be the responsibility of a civil service ministry. In addition, in most developing countries, international and national donors are pivotal to the social sector allocation process, and their role and funding are important to grasp in the service provider supply chain. Some donors provide program or sector financial support to the central government, which is then responsible for administering and allocating resources to the various sectors. Donors also provide financial or in-kind support to provincial or district administrations, and sometimes even directly to service providers (e.g., school items, health care materials, drugs or equipment). Donors are also involved in capital investments such as construction of schools, clinics and hospitals. Figure 6 Funding Flows in Social Sectors Generic Case Central Government Donors Provincial Administration District Administration Local Service Providers Funds In-kind Transfers Staff Remuneration 47 The phase involves analyzing donor expenditure levels in the sector, allocation procedures, coordination mechanisms and monitoring systems in place. Interviews and review of budgetary and program documents should help understand the role and approaches chosen by donors in the sector and potentially include it in the PETS/QSDS analysis. Donors’ specific perspectives of the issues and shortcomings affecting the sector should also be understood and specific programs in place to try to address certain of these issues identified. ■ In the case of a combined PETS/QSDS, the focus of the inquiry, in addition to public providers, could also include private for-profit and non-profit providers. The relationship between public providers and private for-profit and not-for-profit providers could be important to grasp, especially with respect to the environment of the health or school systems, the kind of clinics or schools operating in the country, the nature of competition, the mixture of public, private, religious, and community facilities, etc. Box 5: Field visits and Rapid Data Assessment Field visits of sufficient duration should be organized during the institutional assessment phase to grasp the fundamental elements of the key programs in the sector, to understand the administrative system, roles, and procedures, and to understand the effective allocation rules. Core team members must spend sufficient time in the field to understand the sector and institutional arrangements under study. Visits and interviews with key informants within the various administrative levels involved in the service delivery supply chain and frontline service providers should be conducted to collect information on resource allocation systems, procedures, and potential bottlenecks within the sector. In Zambia for instance, some members of the PETS/QSDS 2002 core team spent months in the field to better understand the idiosyncrasies of education supply chain and budgeting system (Das et al, 2004). This team commitment has proved to be a crucial reason for the success of the data collection exercise and study. Example 14: Objectives of Field Visits and Contents of Rapid Data assessment ■ It is fundamental to properly understand the specificities and idiosyncrasies of the sector or program analyzed to develop an adequate methodological approach to implement tracking surveys. Example 15: Mozambique health funding flows 48 Example 16: Chad health funding flows Example 17: Zambia education Example 18: Senegal and Cameroon C. Classifying resource types and allocation mechanisms To better understand the flow of resources within the sector or program at various levels toward service providers, it is useful to classify resource flows based on the types of resources (e.g., material, salaries). ■ For instance, flows could be divided into three categories: i) Monetary (cash transfers); ii) Materials (such as textbooks, drugs, or equipment); iii) Payroll (remuneration of staff). Further subcategories, such as investment expenditures, could be introduced along functional classifications in the budget. ■ Flows could also be classified based on the level of discretion at each level to use and allocate resources, for instance between: i) Fixed (hard) allocation rule; ii) Soft (discretionary) allocation rule. ■ The Zambia 2002 PETS/QSDS in education, for instance, used such a typology to identify five types of funding and resources, which helped guide the tracking flow choices and the measurement of leakage (Das et al., 2004). Example 19: Zambia classification of funding flows E. Identifying information flows and processes In addition to allocating resources (funding, material, personnel), a sector’s institutional structure is characterized by various accountability relationships within the hierarchical structure. Mechanisms to exercise control and reduce opportunism through supervision, reporting, and enforcement of rules, particularly accounting and recording procedures carrying information 49 flows, need to be identified. Some information about budget and resource allocation flows in a top-down direction, while other information circulates in a bottom-up direction (e.g., information on reception of resources, use of inputs, activities, needs, outcomes). These supply and information flows and procedures should be identified and analyzed to understand accountability systems and potential risk areas (see item F). Example 20: Chad health PETS/QSDS D. Drawing resource flow diagrams It is useful to draw diagrams showing how expenditures flow through each administrative node within the public administration. This mapping exercise will help identify flows and procedures used for allocating various resources within the administrative system toward service providers. As mentioned earlier, it is very likely that each expenditure type is handled through different systems and with different rules and procedures at various levels. For instance, in-kind items and investment expenditures would be handled very differently by different services and agencies using different procedures. Without such flow diagrams, it is more likely that mistakes in data collection and analysis could go undetected (Ye, 2010). ■ These flow charts seek to trace the various resources and funding flows through the system from the line ministry central administration to ultimate users at the school or health provider level. ■ In particular, it is important to identify key “decision points”; that is, places where resource allocation, deployment, and procurement are made. Decision-making may be centralized at the national ministry level or be spread across different departments at different administrative levels. Such decision-making points are important: they provide opportunities for reallocation of funds, bottlenecks, leakage, etc. ■ Diagrams should reflect the current circuit and approval system for resources (i.e., effective instead of official by-the-book rules, if different), especially those that are expected to be tracked in the data collection phase. Example 21: Flow charts in Ghana education 50 F. Identifying bottlenecks and risk areas In general, in each of the branches of the supply chain system toward frontline providers, there are possibilities of bottlenecks and leakage: funding and supplies (e.g., drugs, equipment, or materials) could be delayed or captured. Similarly, salary expenditures could be delayed or leaked through the creation of fictitious (ghost) workers. However, in the specific sector or program under study, given the specific procedures to allocate resources and accountability mechanisms for monitoring their use, some expenditure flows, delivery channels, or areas will be more at risk of bottlenecks, inefficiencies, delays, and capture than others. ■ It is especially important to identify higher risk decision points and weak nodes in the supply chain that could affect the quality and availability of services within the sector to focus the analysis and data collection strategy on these risk areas and resources. Indeed, the identification of specific risk areas in a system could help determine the specific focus of the PETS/QSDS study and condition the design of the survey instrument and specific data to be collected. Decision-making areas include personnel, supplies, financing, material (textbooks, drugs), and supplies. The analysis should focus on weak nodes and links in the system, and data collection instruments should be adapted to the particular types of inefficiencies and corruption in place to thoroughly understand potential bottlenecks and inefficiencies in the system. Example 22: Bottlenecks and risk areas > Step 6. Choice of specific objectives, scope and tracking flows A. Identifying specific objectives and research questions ■ Once institutional arrangements are understood and main risk areas identified, the study’s broad objectives should be translated into specific objectives and research questions that will drive the data collection strategy. ■ Also, hypotheses should be formulated to explain the problems facing the service delivery system or program based on evidence and understanding of the system. These tentative answers to each research question will help determine the specific data required to test these hypotheses. Example 23: Examples of hypothesis 51 B. Defining the scope of the study Another important decision relates to the determination of the scope of the study; that is, the domain or coverage of the study. Given the complexity of administrative and supply chain systems and multiplicity of transactions, it is essential to weigh the scope of the study against the depth of analysis. Answers to these questions should be guided by the ultimate objectives of the study, the main findings of the institutional analysis, and the time and resource constraints of the study. (i) Levels of services A choice needs to be made about which levels of providers will be part of the analysis. Will the study be limited to the primary sector (for instance primary schools or primary health), or should it include the secondary or tertiary sectors? If only the primary sector is targeted, how will the sector’s boundaries be determined? The boundaries are relatively simple to determine in the education sector, but less so in the health sector. Indeed, which units should be included: health centers, dispensaries, hospitals, university hospitals, etc.? If, for instance, the focus is on primary health, which includes outpatient consultations, family planning, and maternal and child health services, these services are generally provided both in lower level units (health posts, dispensaries, community health centers, etc.) and hospitals. A key question is whether all levels of providers should be included, or whether it is sufficient to include levels for which provision of primary health services is the main objective. In the case of the 2010 health QSDS in Senegal and Tanzania , the approach has been to include both lower and higher level facilities until one was confident to have covered a significant majority of people’s encounters with the primary health services. Coverage of 75-percent was used as a rule of thumb. Hospitals were not covered in either country. Note 20: Choice of units in the primary sector in health and education in Senegal and Tanzania 2010 For instance, in the Chad 2004 PETS/QSDS, all levels of hospitals (primary, secondary, and tertiary) as well as health centers were included. (See Gauthier and Wane, 2005, 2008) (ii) Ownership types Which facility ownership types should be included? Will the study be limited to public facilities, or will it also examine private for-profit and not-for-profit facilities? 52 While inclusion of all the types of service providers (levels, size, ownership, etc.) presents several advantages, allowing a wider view of the supply side and in particular identifying differences in performance across ownership types, it may not be compatible with the budget or time constraints of the study or the specific questions it wants to answer. (iii) Regional coverage Will the survey have a specific geographical coverage? Will the study be representative of the whole country, or will it focus on specific regions, provinces, or urban/rural areas? See section xxx for discussion on this issue. C. Choosing tracking flows ■ A fundamental decision in a PETS, associated with the choice of scope of the study, is the choice of specific expenditure flows to track. For which funding or resource flows will financial and quantitative data (primary and secondary) be collected, and at which levels? Which types of expenditures or programs will be analyzed? Will the study be limited to the analysis of specific programs or types of expenditures, such as non-wage recurrent expenditure, or will the analysis also include salaries or investment budgets? ■ While there are possibilities of inefficiencies (e.g., delays, leakage) in each of the branches of the funding flow system, not all flows are amenable to tracking. Nonexistent records or accounts, data inconsistencies, and other problems will make certain flows untraceable, or make the data too noisy to be informative. It is thus important to restrict the domain of data collection and analysis. ■ Common trap of past PETS: too wide coverage ■ Several factors could influence the choice of resource flows to track. The choice could be derived directly from the research question or survey objectives. o For instance, if the objective of the survey is to identify the prevalence of ghost workers, then the domain of financial flows to track could be restricted to salary flows. 53 Box 6: Trade-off between wide coverage and survey feasibility Given the complexity of administrative and supply chain systems, the trade-off between wide scope and depth of the study needs to be resolved. In particular, a common trap of past surveys has been overly wide coverage, which has reduced overall study quality. Given the data limitations in most countries, gathering information on line ministries’ entire sector flow or all recurrent expenditures can be very difficult. Experience has shown that PETS/QSDS studies that have tried to track a wide spectrum of expenditures have run the risk of not being able to collect consistent, high-quality data. It is better to focus on a limited number of specific funding flows for which records or accounts of good enough quality exist on at least two levels of government. Example 24: Some features and lessons of successful PETS Example 25: Features and lessons of less successful PETS o Similarly, if the purpose of the survey is to evaluate the impact of a specific program in the education or health sector (e.g., HIV/AIDS), then the focus of the tracking exercise could naturally be limited to this specific program. If the objectives of the study are more general and seek to identify leakage or other inefficiencies in the resource allocation system, then factors related to data availability and quality have to be taken into account. D. Measurement of leakage and tracking choices The measurement of leakage is conditioned by the rules governing resource allocation, especially the presence of fixed and soft allocation rules. The selection of tracking flows should hence be done with a clear understanding of the allocation rules in place to ensure that the proper choice is made and that the relevant data required to measure leakage are available. Note 21: Hard and Soft rules governing resource flows (i) Fixed (hard) allocation rule If the tracking of resources is done on an expenditure flow for which a fixed allocation rule is in place, then leakage could be readily measured as the ratio of entitled funds that did not reach the facility during a specific period (See Boxes 7 and 8 below). 54 In such cases, the only data required to measure leakage are the variables of the formula to calculate transfers and data about the funding reaching schools (assuming that reliable data could be collected about the funds reaching facilities). The existence of fixed rules tends to greatly simplify the measurement of leakage because it places fewer requirements on the data to be collected. Indeed, a factor that facilitates the measurement of leakage and that drove the success of the Uganda education PETS, for instance, was the existence of a fixed allocation rule for the program tracked (capitation grant). As mentioned in example …., each school in Uganda was entitled to a specific amount of cash (or in-kind) transfers based on the number of students enrolled. This fixed allocation rule greatly simplified the leakage measure exercise because only a measure of arrival of resources at the facility level was required to be collected, and leakage was measured in a straightforward fashion, as the ratio of what a school received to what it was entitled to. ii) Discretionary (soft) allocation rule In the absence of a fixed allocation rule (i.e., where discretion is left to officials to determine the allocation to facilities according to needs or other considerations), the measurement of “narrow” leakage between specific levels should be targeted. This consists in measuring the ratio of actual resources disbursed at a higher level and the resources received at a lower administrative level or frontline facility. ■ Caution has to be exercised with respect to the interpretation of leakage levels (in particular, but not exclusively, the “narrow” measure), because reasons other than corruption might explain low arrival rates or observed differences in resources between levels (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004a; Lindelow, 2006). These include incomplete records or problematic accounting, data collection problems, and data entry error. These issues will be discussed in detail in Section 5. The normal use of resources at an administrative level also has to be accounted for in the leakage calculation. However, it is often difficult to measure input use at a certain level. For instance, in the Ghana report, an 8 percent administrative overhead cost was used to measure (narrow) leakage. ■ In the countries surveyed, it was generally observed that the greater the agent’s discretionary power, the higher the leakage observed. Note 22: Rule based versus discretionary expenditures 55 Box 7: Measuring leakage with hard allocation rule The way leakage is measured, as well as the relevant data required and the sampling strategy, is influenced by the rules governing resource allocation. While leakage could be measured in the absence of fixed allocation rules, rule-based allocation systems simplify the analysis; in that case only the effective transfer to the unit (e.g., school, health center) needs to be collected and compared to the intended transfer. In this case, “strict” leakage is measured as the ratio between how much the facility actually received in financial transfer during the period under study and the entitled funds; that is, how much it should have received during that period. For instance, in the case of an allocation to schools based on the number of enrolled students, one would need only to know the per capita transfer level, the number of students enrolled, and the value of receptions. Note 23: Measuring leakage on resources allocated with fixed/hard allocation rule Box 8: Measuring leakage with the soft allocation rule In the absence of a fixed allocation rule, the leakage rate between different levels is measured as the ratio between how much the facility actually received and how much the central level (or other hierarchical level) has sent to the facility. In the absence of fixed rule, in addition to data on resources received by a sample of frontline providers (as in the case of a fixed rule), one needs to collect data on the value of resources disbursed/sent by the upstream unit (e.g., central, regional, and district levels) toward a lower level unit. Note 24: Measurement of leakage in case of discretion/ soft allocation Given that transfers are earmarked (e.g., by student, school, or health center) and hence there is no benchmark against which to measure the expected transfer to the lower unit, narrow leakage measures instead the transfer not received; that is, the share that is used or leaked at the upstream levels. For instance, in Chad, where no fixed rules are in practice in the health sector, the narrow leakage definition was used. It was observed that overall transfer to health centers was estimated at less than 1 percent of the regional non-wage budget. 56 Recommendations The choice of resources to track has to be guided by the specific country conditions, targeting flows for which risk areas have been identified and for which quality data on at least two levels of the service delivery chain could be collected; Tracking flow selection should account for the types of rules governing resource flows because they affect the way leakage is measured and the specific data required to measure leakage; Successful past surveys (e.g., Uganda education 1996, Zambia education 2002) have restricted the tracking domain on flows for which good quality and consistent data were available; Bypassing some levels is sometimes recommended given the limited and potentially inconsistent information available at these levels (e.g., Mali, Mozambique); The sampling strategy needs to be adapted to the allocation rule governing the resource flows selected for tracking (See step….). Example 26: Recommendations of potential tracking choice strategies > Step 7: Rapid Data Assessment (RDA) Before finalizing the tracking choices, a rapid data assessment (RDA) should be performed to determine the survey’s feasibility and verify the choice of tracking flows and data availability and quality. ■ The RDA is an assessment of data availability, quality, and consistency. ■ The RDA is fundamental to ensure that the data required to test the hypothesis are available and of sufficient quality, and to avoid a costly and time-consuming exercise of gathering inconsistent data. If the specific data required are not available, the empirical strategy needs to be adapted to the available data. o It could lead to the redefinition of the survey objectives, hypothesis and choice of tracking flows. o It should lead to adequate design of survey instruments based on the available data. 57 A simple questionnaire administered at various administrative levels is usually sufficient for the purposes of the RDA. At each level of the public hierarchy, as well as facility types and various locations: o Verify the existence of records (receipts of resources sent by the government, services rendered, etc.); o Verify data availability, quality, and consistency given that there could be differences across geographical locations (e.g., rural vs. urban) or among provinces. See Example 14: Contents of Rapid Data assessment ■ See PETS/QSDS Web Portal for other RDA Instruments used in previous surveys. ■ If information is of poor quality at the local government level (region or district), for instance: This level could be bypassed and information could be collected only at the facility level (to measure resources available for service) and at the central ministry level (to know how much was officially sent). Some specific programs or budget lines could be excluded from the tracking exercise if inadequate or poor quality data are observed. ■ Some surveys have failed because this essential step was skipped, or because there was inadequate RDA. Data problems are frequent at various levels within the administrative system. Note 25: Rapid Data Assessment ■ During the rapid data assessment phase, the length of the data collection period should be determined and relatively standardized among types of data, with the objective of balancing the goal of completeness with data accuracy (see step….). Completeness and length of the data collection period (or targeted) generally detracts from accuracy, as there will typically be more missing data for a longer time period. Given that data at the facility level are generally quite disaggregated, the work of enumerators becomes very tedious, if not unfeasible, when too much data and too long a period are targeted. 58 Phase 3: Survey Preparation > Step 8. Questionnaire development The design of survey instruments depends on the study’s objectives, scope, and specific choice of tracking flows. ■ It is fundamental to identify the relevant data required at each administrative level to verify the hypothesis formulated to explain inefficiencies or iniquities in the system and to systematically measure leakage levels. ■ A set of generic questionnaires and optional modules for primary education and health are proposed: ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for Generic survey instruments in education and health ■ Questionnaires have to be customized to the country’s context and specific survey objectives, particularly to the instruments of the administrative level in line with the specific programs and decision rules in practice. In particular, quantitative data questions (e.g., financial, input and output data) should be adapted to the country’s administrative system; that is, the categories used in the administrative reporting structure. This would maximize the probability of having data reported and collected by enumerators. o Note that staff questionnaires and exit polls (e.g., patient questionnaires) generally need less customization, while input and output activities need more customization to the country context due to variability in the accounting systems and items used. ■ Generic questionnaires also include a list of basic service delivery indicators for PETS and QSDS in each sector, allowing potential benchmarking across countries measuring the evolution and monitoring of progress across time and countries. ■ Survey instruments should be circulated among stakeholders for comments and approvals. A. Survey instruments and units of analysis PETS and QSDS mainly assemble objective and quantitative information from surveys of administrative levels involved in the supply chain and service delivery units using various modules. 59 Given the complexity of the resource flows and number of actors and administrative units to consider, one of the specificities of PETS/QSDS is their wide variety of survey instruments and data collection methods. Indeed, PETS and QSDS are composed of various instruments designed to collect information at the different organizational levels and among stakeholders involved in service delivery, on both the supply and demand sides. Typically, combined PETS/QSDS studies have included specific instruments to perform data collection on the following units of analysis: the central government’s Ministry of Finance and line ministries (e.g., Health, Education), regional administration, district administration, frontline provider (i.e., unit representative, staff), and clients (i.e., patients, students). Table 5 presents the levels and main units of analysis examined in PETS and QSDS. Table 5: Units of analysis in PETS/QSDS Type of Survey PETS Levels Units of analysis Central government Ministry of Finance Line ministry (e.g. Health or Education) Regional Provincial (or regional) administration District District (or local) administration Frontline ESDS Service provider (e.g. school or health centers) Staff Clients (e.g. patients or students) QSDS Population Households Note: Combined PETS-QSDS are sometimes called Expenditure and Service Delivery Surveys (ESDS) or Expenditure Tracking and Service Delivery Surveys (ETSDS). PETS PETS focus on tracking resources through the supply chain down to the service providers and on the use of these resources among levels and service providers. PETS are composed of several modules. 60 Central government unit module At the central level, it is essential to collect information about the roles played by each ministry and administrative unit involved in the allocation of resources in the sector or program analyzed. It is particularly imperative that budgetary and administrative data be collected at the central level. These annual data, both for the entire sector under study and specific programs tracked, should be disaggregated at the provincial, district, and potentially service provider levels, if available. Such data would allow the measurement of resources officially allocated to decentralized levels. It may also make it possible to “triangulate” information provided at lower levels. (i) Ministry of Finance: The first unit of analysis in a PETS is the Ministry of Finance (MoF) at the central government level. Within the MoF, information on the budget allocated to the sector under study is collected. It is generally necessary to collect the budget law from the Ministry of Finance (MoF), which identifies the disbursements to the different line ministries and functions. It is important to collect not only forecasts but also real allocations. (See step….) (ii) Line Ministry: Data collection at the central government level also requires one to identify how much resources were received and used by the line ministry (e.g., Ministry of Health, Ministry of Education), as well as transferred to lower administrative levels (e.g., regions, provinces, districts). Resource transfers could take the form of human resources and financial transfers, but also in-kind items. If tracking of in-kind resources is part of the study, information on invoices needs to be collected. Alternatively, if in-kind tracking is done on a sampling basis, a list of the materials allocated to lower levels needs to be collected (See step sampling….). State/provincial/regional administration module For countries with a health or education sector comprising a state, provincial, or regional level of administration, a state/provincial/regional administration questionnaire is generally administered to the Directorate of Health or Education. For the state/provincial (regional) and district levels, as for the line ministry level, it is necessary to quantify how much resources were received from higher levels and sources (domestic and external), and how much was used and sent to other levels. Information on invoices and reception also needs to be collected at this level. At such levels, information should be collected about roles played in the frontline provider supply chain and the monitoring process. Quantitative annual data should also be collected for the sector under study and specific programs tracked. The data collected at that level should cover areas such as: (i) allocation and execution of budgets; (ii) distribution and management of drugs and other supplies; (iii) human resources; (iv) infrastructure and equipment; (v) monitoring and governance; and (vi) service outputs. 61 District administration module At the district or local government level, a District Administration Questionnaire is generally administered to the district director (district head doctor, etc.) Again at that level, information should be collected about roles played in the frontline provider supply chain and monitoring process. Quantitative annual data should also be collected for the sector under study and specific programs tracked. The questionnaire should cover at least four areas: (a) health or education infrastructure; (b) staff training; (c) support and supervision arrangements; and (d) sources of financing. A District Data Sheet is generally used to collect detailed quantitative information for the last completed fiscal year on: (1) staffing and salary structures; (2) basic and supplementary supplies (material, medication, vaccines, etc.); (3) services and activities (students, outpatients, inpatients, immunization, deliveries, etc.); and (4) financing (government budget, donor support, user fees). (iii) Service providers (e.g., school or health center): At the provider level, it is especially important in a PETS to quantify how much resources were received during the time period covered by the study focusing on the same resources tracked through the supply chain. Other data on characteristics, performance of providers, and quality of services are also useful. QSDS QSDS specifically seek to assess the use of the resources at the service provider level and quality of services offered to the population. A QSDS is composed of several instruments addressed to various agents active at the frontline level and could also cover the demand side by including instruments on student, patients, or households. Service provider module At the service provider level, the Facility Questionnaire seeks to collect a large spectrum of data and information on the characteristics and activities of facilities. The questionnaire is generally administered to the person in charge of the facility. In schools, this person is generally the head teacher or school director. In health centers, the person tends to be the head doctor or head nurse. The general structure of the service provider questionnaire module should include data collection in at least five areas: (1) facility characteristics; (2) financing; (3) inputs; (4) outputs; and (5) institutional support: 1) Facility characteristics/infrastructures: Location, type, level, ownership, catchment area, organization and services offered, competition in provision of services, etc. 62 2) Financing User charges, cost of services by categories, expenditures, financial and in-kind support, etc. 3) Inputs: Staff, material, and other inputs: books, supplies, drugs, vaccines, medical and non-medical consumables, infrastructure (capital inputs), etc. 4) Outputs: Sector-specific: number of students/teacher, enrolment rate, passage rate, facility utilization and referrals, etc. 5) Institutional and organizational issues: Supervision, reporting, performance assessment, auditing, rewards systems, procurement, citizens’ participation, information about services and pricing, etc. The key information that needs to be collected includes measures of access to services. These include the physical distance of the targeted population (e.g., walking distance to the health clinic or school), the variety of facilities available in the area and services offered, and the opening and closing times of facilities. Measures of affordability of services, which include direct costs (such as user fees, transport costs, bribes and other informal payments) and indirect costs (opportunity costs, such as waiting time, etc.), must also be captured. Measures of quality of services, which could be proxied by physical and human capital, consultation duration, availability of material, etc., are also essential. Measures of the accountability relationship should also be targeted. These could include proxies such as supervision, reporting, auditing, performance assessment, rewards systems, and feedback mechanisms. In addition, the Facility Questionnaire is generally supplemented by a Facility Data Sheet, which is used to collect detailed quantitative information from the school or health unit records or accounts on various themes, in particular: (1) staffing and salary structure; (2) student enrolment or patient records for the last completed fiscal year; (3) types of students or patients using the facility; (4) services offered (class levels, health services such as vaccinations); (5) supplies available and usage (books, chalk, medication, vaccines, etc.). As previously mentioned, survey instruments, in particular facility data sheets, should be adapted and customized to the standard accounting and reporting procedure in practice at the facility level in the country to facilitate enumerators’ work and increase data quality. 63 Staff module At the facility level, a Staff Questionnaire is generally administered to obtain information on the characteristics of the personnel as well as their incentive structure. The questionnaire is most often applied to a sample of teachers or health workers. It includes information related to the following areas: (1) characteristics: status, formation; (2) incentive system: salaries, allowances, supervision, performance assessment, performance-based promotions, sanction, or rewards; (3) perception of work environment. Staff questionnaire second visit It could be useful to collect information on absenteeism patterns of the staff. For that purpose, during an unannounced second visit, information is collected on staff presence in the facility and reasons for absence, if any. Client module The perspective of users (students, patients, etc.) sheds valuable light on problems of quality or efficiency in service delivery, given that users are the ultimate beneficiaries of services. Most surveys to date have included a patient exit poll or student survey. In general, at each of the school or health facilities surveyed, a number of users were interviewed. In health facilities, outpatients were surveyed after having completed a visit. If the patient was a child, the caregiver would be interviewed. Note 26: Size of user surveys The Client Questionnaire generally covers the following main areas: (1) client’s characteristics; (2) reason for visiting the facility; (3) access to the facility and other health care providers; (4) services received and medication prescribed; (5) costs of services (payments made the day of the visit and on previous occasions); (6) exemptions; (7) perception of quality: reception in clinics, consultation duration; (8) informal payments/corruption; (9) alternative sources of services (schools, health services). B. Data categories A specificity of PETS/QSDS studies is their focus on the institutional environment of service provision, particularly the incentives of the actors. It seeks to capture these features by collecting information on the production process, accountability mechanisms, financial flows, and reward structures. 64 Table 6 classifies data collected in PETS and QSDS in seven categories: (i) environment and characteristics, (ii) financing, (iii) inputs, (iv) institutional arrangements and production process, (v) intermediate outputs, (vi) final outputs, (vii) outcomes. 11 Table 6: Data categories in PETS/QSDS Data categories Description Examples of variables Environment and characteristics Environment and characteristics of the units and agents in the supply chain, including frontline providers Size of facilities, ownership structure, types, location, competition Financing Financing at the different levels and from the various sources Amounts of financing, types, sources, reliability Inputs Inputs (transfers, uses, and reception) at the different levels. Inputs could include less tangible elements such as staff quality or realized inputs such as the number of facilities. Material inputs such as staff and salaries, textbooks, equipment, medication. Institutional arrangements and production process Production process at different units through the supply chain, i.e. management structure, oversight, incentive structure Management practices, supervision, reporting, audits, record-keeping procedures. Intermediate outputs Intermediate outputs of the production process Level of absenteeism, penalties and rewards Final outputs Final outputs of the production process Outcomes Outcomes and quality. Overall measures of final outcomes within the sector. Number of patients treated, enrollment, graduation rates, class repetition rates Mortality rates, student performance, patient or student satisfaction Source: Amin and Chaudhury (2007), Gauthier (2006) Note 27: Rationale for collecting various categories of data C. Lessons and recommendations ■ Data sources: records versus recalls In order to minimize measurement errors, it is recommended to use records, accounts, or invoices to collect quantitative or financial data. 11 Amin and Chaudhury (2007) classify data collected in micro-level surveys into six categories, grouping together process and intermediate output data. 65 In exceptional cases, when no other sources of data are available and data based on recalls are collected, clear indications in that respect should be reported. It should be noted that for certain inputs, such as resources allocated directly by donors, information based on records could be very difficult to gather. Indeed, resources received from NGOs or directly from other donors at the facility or local government levels are generally not recorded using standard procedures. Enumerators then have little choice but to collect such information from the recall of the respondent in-charge. Note 28: Data sources records versus recalls ■ Length of quantitative data tracking As mentioned above, the length of the data collection period should be assessed during the rapid data assessment phase (and verified during the pilot phase) and relatively standardized among types of data to balance completeness of objectives and data accuracy. Ideally, data collection should involve annual data and cover a period of a maximum of two financial years (one financial year is probably even more than adequate) to maximize data collection quality. Note 29: Length of quantitative data tracking If monthly data are collected, seasonality issues have to be considered and a proper strategy devised and clearly explained to reduce potential biases. Note 30: Seasonality of data ■ Customization and parsimony of data As mentioned above, survey instruments, particularly facility data sheets, should be adapted and customized to the standard accounting and reporting procedures in practice at the facility level in the country in order to facilitate enumerators’ work and increase data quality. (See step….). Example 27: Chad: Health PETS: data collection In the past, surveys have collected information that is not used. 66 Parsimony of data collected is recommended to reduce costs, but also to increase the quality of data collected. The questionnaire should be focused and contain a reduced number of questions. ■ Tracking in-kind items: In many countries, a large proportion of resources transferred to frontline providers are in the form of material or other types of in-kind items (e.g., school supplies, drugs, and medical and non-medical materials). In some countries, they are even the only resources provided other than human resources (e.g., Chad health sector, Morocco health). Tracking in-kind items is hence crucial. Box 9: Tracking in-kind items To track in-kind items, when the number of items is too large, a sample approach should be used instead of a census approach. Indeed, a limited number of items should be targeted; for instance, the 10 most frequently used medications or school items. The list of items needs to be country-specific. High-frequency items should be tracked instead of high value items, and the choice of materials (or medications) should be based on their shipment frequency in the Ministry invoice list (if available). With such an approach based on frequency instead of total value, the risk inherent in choosing a rare but high-value material (e.g., a car) is not finding that material in the visited service provider simply because not all of them were able to receive it. In contrast, by choosing frequently shipped materials of small value (e.g., Windex), it is likely that a maximum number of facilities would report receiving them (Gauthier and Wane, 2005). This would give an upwardly biased percentage of facilities receiving materials from the authorities. Valuation of in-kind items should be done using a standardized price list (such as the line ministry list, if available). Resources received should be estimated relative to the share of the sample items in the global budget allocation. ■ Translation of questionnaires The translation of questionnaires into local languages could prove necessary, especially for the instruments intended for service users (e.g. patients, students, households), if applicable. To minimize the need for successive translations and divergence between the original and translated versions, translation should be realized once questionnaire testing and revisions have been completed. 67 > Step 9: Sampling Strategy The sampling strategy is a crucial methodological component of PETS/QSDS. Presented below is a brief overview of some of the main considerations to be taken into account when designing PETS/QSDS survey strategies. Detailed guidelines of sampling procedures could be found in sampling textbooks (see for instance Turner et al, 2001 and…..). Survey teams should involve early a statistical/sampling specialist to design the sampling strategy. A. General considerations ■ The objective of PETS/QSDS is to provide detailed information on the flows and arrival of resources at the frontline and of the performance of service providers and quality of services. ■ PETS/QSDS studies use a sample survey methodology. The sample generally seeks to be representative of the supply side of services within the sector or program. Representativeness could be sought at the national level and to capture differences among administrative or geographical areas (e.g., regions, provinces, urban-rural locations). However, for costs, logistics, or other criteria introduced by government or other stakeholders, representativeness could be limited to specific areas (e.g., districts or provinces). These considerations should be explicitly discussed and justified in order to facilitate interpretation of results. Example 28: Niger education PETS 2008 sampling ■ For a sampling strategy to be valid, the sample ultimately needs to be representative of the universe it aims to describe. This objective is rendered more complex in the case of PETS because there are several units to be analyzed (e.g., central government, provincial and district administrations, local service providers, staff, service users, households, etc.). B. Sampling units ■ Depending on the scope of the PETS/QSDS, one needs to distinguish between two or more types of sampling units. In a tracking survey, the first statistical unit is constituted by the administrative services involved in the planning and allocation of the budget in the sector under study. These services are, for instance, part of the Ministry of Education or the Ministry of Finance 68 (and others, such as Ministry of Planning, etc.) The sub-national levels, which could be the regional and local authorities, are also concerned. The second sampling unit (and generally the primary one in PETS/QSDS) is made up of service providers (e.g., primary schools or primary health care centers) and their staff. Depending on the scope of the study, one might also include the users of these services (e.g., patients, students, or households) as a third sampling unit. ■ For each of these units, an adequate sample choice has to be made. ■ In addition, for policy or political reasons, some sub-categories could be important (e.g., administrative units such as states or ownership types), and the survey might be expected to provide separate reliable results for them. Defining the most adequate partitions for a sample (stratification) entails establishing some priorities at the design stage, which often will be dictated by policy relevance and political or cost and time considerations. The survey design will then have to ensure a minimum sample size within each of these subgroups (called analytical domains), and the sampling procedure needs to be applied independently within each of those domains. ■ The sampling design is further complicated when PETS and QSDS are conducted jointly. Indeed, to adequately measure leakage in a PETS, it is better to sample a relatively large number of local governments (districts), which implies, with a budget constraint, reducing the number of service providers sampled in each district. However, in a QSDS, it could be preferable to interview a greater number of facilities in a smaller number of districts in order to assess differences in behavior and performance among types of facilities within districts (Reinikka and Smith, 2004). C. Sampling strategy While the sample strategy should be chosen to fit the objectives of the study, it should be designed scientifically in order for the sample estimates to provide valid inferences about the sector under study. The most commonly used sampling procedures are random sampling, stratified random sampling, and multistage stratified random sampling, with or without probability proportional to size sampling. Note 31: Problems with informal sampling 69 ■ Random Sampling: With a simple random sampling, one would draw the facilities (e.g., schools or health centers) directly from within the population (each individual element, e.g., schools or health centers, in the population thus has the same probability of being selected). In the case of PETS, one would also include the administrative levels that administer these schools/health centers. ■ Stratified Random Sample (SRS): Stratification divides the survey population into subcategories, which are then sampled independently as if they were independent populations. It is often introduced given that different administrative levels (e.g., provinces) or different types of facilities (public-private, rural-urban, etc.) may be targeted. It is also introduced for cost considerations given that the sample population is generally large. Stratification also improves the efficiency of the sample design because it reduces sample variance and ensures a sufficient number of observations for separate analysis of different sub-categories. 12 Homogeneity within strata should be sought rather than between strata to increase precision. In an SRS, one could randomly draw the schools or health centers equally among each stratum or draw the sample weighted according to size of the population. Example 29: Senegal QSDS 2010 sampling strategy in education and health ■ Multi Stage Random Sample: Multistage sampling could be used to further reduce costs. Multistage procedures have the advantages of reducing travel time and cost relative to a single stage sample because the facilities are located in a relatively specific area rather than spread out evenly over the entire country. However, multistage samplings yield larger sampling errors (called the cluster effect) because neighboring facilities tend to have relatively similar characteristics and will therefore reflect population diversity less than a simple random sample (Grosh and Munoz, 1996). In two-stage sampling, for instance, districts might first be drawn randomly (with or without probability proportional to size, size being defined as the total population or 12 The greater the homogeneity of the elements belonging to the same group increases the efficiency of the sampling design. (Grosh and Munoz, 1996, p. 99) 70 number of students for school selection). Facilities are drawn from each selected district (cluster), giving each facility in the area the same chance of being selected, and urban and rural locations. If, alternatively, sampling units in the second stage are selected with probability weighted by their size (i.e., student population or number of nurses within a clinic) and an equal number of individuals is drawn per sampling unit at the second stage, the end result is a self-weighted sample. With probability proportional to size sample, every individual in the universe described by the sample frame has the same probability of being included in the sample. The advantage of probability proportional to size is that it eliminates the need to weight the data during analysis. Box 10: Example of stratified (by region) two-stage cluster (by district) sampling Start by stratifying service providers (schools or health facilities) by regions (1 to N); In the first stage, select a simple random sample of one or more districts in the first stratum (region); Draw a simple random sample of facilities within each of the selected clusters/districts; Repeat for the other strata (region). ■ The sampling strategy needs to be adapted to the allocation rule governing the resource flows for which quantitative data tracking is sought. In particular, in the absence of a fixed (hard) rule to allocate the tracked resources, a mixed sample/census approach needs to be followed in order to measure resource leakage. (See Box 11). D. Sample weights While it is not necessary to use weights with a simple random method or with MSRS with probability proportional to size, results must be weighted when stratified random sampling is used. The weights of each sampling unit (e.g., providers, pupils) need to be constructed as the inverse of the probability of selection. These design weights must then be corrected for unit non-responses and frame problems (see…..) E. Sample size In general, PETS/QSDS samples are relatively small, ranging from 150 to 250 service providers, but some have been larger (e.g., 600 in South Africa 2010). Overall, sample size depends on the level of confidence and precision sought, population size, and the variability of the parameter to estimate. 71 Box 11: Sampling in the absence of hard allocating rules: the mixed sample/census approach In the presence of a hard allocation rule governing the resource for which tracking is realized, the various sampling strategies proposed above could allow the measurement of (“strict”) leakage (the ratio between how much the facilities receive and the entitled funds). However, in the absence of a hard allocation rule, that is, when discretion is used at certain levels in the supply chain of the resource tracked (i.e., soft allocation rule), one cannot use a standard sample approach. The problem with a (pure) sample approach is that one cannot estimate reliable leakage figures in the presence of soft allocation rules, as one would need complete data on the flows tracked. Indeed, when measuring “narrow” leakage (as the ratio between how much the facilities receive and how much another hierarchical level has sent), all resources allocated to facilities in an area have to be assessed. With only a few facilities visited per district in the pure sampling strategy, it is not possible to say anything about resource use in that specific district in terms of reception of materials, financing, drugs, user fees, etc., relative to other districts (or aggregated at the provincial level). A potentially adequate sampling strategy to use in the presence of soft allocation rule is a mixed sample/census approach. The mixed sample-census approach is a sampling design alternative to a “pure” stratified sample approach (where samples are drawn at each stratum). In such a strategy, areas (for instance, districts) could be selected in a first stage. In a second stage, a census approach could be used in which all facilities in the district are inventoried and then surveyed on a census basis. This strategy is better suited to measure leakage than the pure sample approach (in which a small number of facilities are visited in each district) in the case where no fixed-allocation rules are in practice for the tracked resource in the sector and only “narrow” leakage could be measured. This approach allows the evaluation of the use of all resources within districts, and hence measurement of leakage in the case of fixed allocation rules, and presents the further advantage of producing representative results without the need for weights. Example 30: Chad: mixed sample-census approach At least four issues have to be taken into account in the choice of a sample size (Reinikka and Smith, 2004, pp.55-56). First, the sample should be sufficiently large and diverse to represent the various types of service providers. 72 Second, some sub-categories may need to be oversampled to infer statistically significant results. Third, the adequate sample size is a trade-off between minimizing sampling and nonsampling errors. 13 Non-sampling errors, which increase with sample size, are generally more of a concern than sampling errors in tracking surveys as data are often in a highly disaggregated form and hence difficult to collect. Enumerator training and field testing are therefore critical in obtaining high-quality data (see Steps 11-12). Finally, resource and time constraints must also be taken into account in determining sample size. F. Sample frame Once these choices are made, the development of a representative sample of service providers requires information on the population under study. ■ The population of the survey is made of all the service providers offering, for instance, primary care or primary education. Developing a good sample frame is crucial, as the accuracy of any sampling procedure also rests on the accuracy of the frame. The most common problems with sample frames are incomplete or inadequate coverage, out-of-date data, or failing to include all elements of the target population. ■ While many developing countries do not have a reliable census of service providers, a list of local service providers, though imperfect, is generally available through the statistical services of the MoE or MoH or the country’s education or health Management Information Systems (MIS) (i.e., list of schools or health centers). If, in certain cases, the coverage of these MIS includes private non-profit and for-profit facilities, not all types of facilities participate in the reporting procedure. Indeed, lists of schools or health centers are often incomplete or outdated. Nonetheless, most tracking surveys tend to use this information to constitute an initial sample frame of the facility population, which needs to be verified and updated. 13 Sampling error, which decreases with the sample size, is the error inherent in making inference for a whole population while collecting information on only some of its members. Non-sampling errors, which increase with the sample size, are all other errors, mainly caused by poor survey implementation. Turner et al. (2001, p. 106) define non-sampling errors as all survey errors other than sampling errors, including response error, non-response, interviewer error, data entry and coding errors, errors of concept, and questionnaire design and wording errors. 73 G. Sampling in case of multi-sector survey In past multi-sector surveys, there have been frequent problems of sample design, as the same enumeration areas (e.g., districts) were often chosen for both sectors in order to reduce costs. However, such an approach necessarily means that some of the facility samples are biased, as the sample reflects only the facility populations of one of the sectors. If more than one sector is covered by the tracking exercise or facility survey, separate sample frames have to be constructed and separate sampling strategies have to be developed for each sector in order for the samples to be representative of the facility population of each sector. H. Some examples of sampling practices ■ These objectives and constraints have been resolved differently in past PETS/QSDS. However, a number of common characteristics emerge. As mentioned above, PETS/QSDS samples tend to be relatively small, generally from 150-300 service providers, allowing a balance between sampling and non-sampling errors. PETS/QSDS samples are generally drawn in two or three stages and stratified by subgroups, such as provinces and urban rural locations. In the first stage, districts are drawn randomly in each province. In the second stage, a certain number of facilities are selected in each selected district (cluster) and urban and rural locations. The following examples present overviews of sampling procedures in various countries. Example 31: Various sampling methods used in Africa PETS/QSDS Example 32: Sample stratification in Mali education PETS 2004 Example 33: Uganda education PETS 1996: sample strategy Example 34: Uganda 2000 health PETS: sample strategy Example 35: Mozambique PETS/QSDS: sample strategy 74 Box 12: Illustration of alternative stratified sampling strategies in Zambia In the 2002 Zambia PETS/QSDS, four alternative stratified sampling strategies were considered to assess leakage and school performance through the testing of grade V student outcomes. Scenario A: To obtain information on school performance and student outcomes representative at the national, provincial, district, and rural/urban levels, the following strategy could be followed: - Two-stage stratified sample (proportional to student population) by province, district, and urban/rural location in which sampling units are the schools and the pupils. - Schools are sampled and student outcomes are measured within all provinces (nine) and districts within the country (72). -In the first stage, schools are selected within the district (the lowest stratum) using probabilities proportional to the estimated size of grade V enrolments per school. -In the second stage, up to 20 pupils are randomly selected from each sample school. Scenario B: For costs and logistics reasons, one could choose a sampling only representative at the provincial and urban/rural location levels but not at the district level. -Provinces and urban/rural locations are the stratification (and reporting) variables, while districts become clusters in a multi-stage sampling procedure. (The sampling units are the districts, the schools, and the pupils). -In the first stage, in each province (nine), districts might be drawn using student size weighted random selection. -In the second stage, schools are randomly selected using the same approach and in a third stage, pupils. Scenario C. Alternatively, to further reduce costs, keep district as the stratification and reporting level (as well as urban/rural locations), and use provinces as a cluster in a multi stage sampling. -The primary sampling units are the provinces, then the schools, and then the pupils. -The advantage of such an approach is to cover all districts within the selected provinces, allowing for within-province district comparisons; that is, one could assess how schools or pupils are affected by differences in characteristics of district levels in terms of actions or structures. -However, in this approach, one loses somewhat in terms of sampling error for national results. Scenario D. In the Zambia 2002 PETS/QSDS, in addition to districts and urban/rural location, a further stratification variable was introduced: whether the province was part of a decentralization process (of fund disbursement and decision making). -Hence, in the first stage, instead of random samples of provinces, two provinces from each category were selected. -Schools were then drawn in all the districts proportional to size. Source: Das et al. (2002). 75 I. Linking PETS/QSDS to household surveys ■ Linking PETS/QSDS with household surveys could bring important value additions. In a linked survey, the facility survey provides information on the service supply environment to which the population included in the household survey is exposed (Turner et al., 2001). It allows investigation on how population behaviors and outcomes are affected by the presence of service providers. 14 This linkage is also fundamental for the purpose of using PETS/QSDS for specific program impact assessment. ■ Sampling methods differ when linkage is done with a household survey. In such cases, the design of the sample requires the adoption of the same sample areas as used to generate the household survey. ■ While the link with household surveys brings important added value, it also constrains the facility sample in several ways and could affect its representativeness. Indeed, there is a tradeoff in the linked survey approach as a choice has to be made regarding whether the sample is to be representative of the population of individuals or of the facility population. ■ A few tracking surveys in Africa have chosen the route of linkages. Example 36: Ghana PETS 2000 linkage method Example 37: Chad PETS/QSDS 2004 linkage with household survey Example 38: Zambia 2004 matching school and household data When a household survey is not directly incorporated in the PETS/QSDS, teams should try to establish contacts with LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Survey) teams or other household surveys in the country. If a household survey is almost completed, it could be useful to establish links with it. Whatever the route taken (stand-alone or linked surveys), the sampling strategy must again be scientifically chosen in order for the sample estimates to provide valid inferences about the sector under study. 14 Non-linked surveys could be used to conduct multivariate analysis, but in this case, the household data need to be aggregated at a given administrative or geographical level to match the outcome of interest with program data. Consequently, the unit of analysis will no longer be the individual. (Turner et al., 2001, p.25) 76 J. Summary PETS/QSDS samples are small, generally from 150-300 service providers, to balance sampling and non-sampling errors. PETS/QSDS samples are generally drawn in two or three stages (and are also generally stratified by sub groups, such as provinces and urban/rural locations). In the first stage, districts are drawn randomly in each province/region. In the second stage, a certain number of facilities are selected in each selected district (cluster) and urban/rural location. When tracking resources governed by soft (discretionary) allocation rules, one should consider using a two-stage mixed sample-census strategy, which combines a stratified sample in the first stage (to choose districts, for instance) and a census in the second stage (within districts). This allows the evaluation of the use of all resources within districts, and hence the measurement of leakage in the case of soft allocation rules, and presents the further advantage of producing representative results without the need for weights. The choice of linking facility and household surveys depends on the objective pursued. Still, there is potentially huge added value from linking supply and demand results to be able to examine the impact of service provision in terms of population outcomes. > Step 10. Preliminary pilot Once survey instruments and sampling strategy are identified, a preliminary pilot of the instrument should be conducted to test all questionnaires among a specific number of units, ownership types, or geographical regions. ■ The preliminary pilot consists in administering the questionnaires to a small number of units: frontline facilities and various administrative levels covered in the survey (including provincial/regional or district, facilities, staff, users, households, etc.) using all the instruments developed in urban and rural areas. The units visited should be selected outside the sampled providers and administrative units chosen for the full-scale survey. ■ This test of the instruments should allow the reassessment of the choice of tracking flows, as well as the quality and consistency of data. In particular, quantitative data questions, financial data, inputs, and outputs, which have been customized to the country’s administrative system, should be carefully examined. 77 ■ Wording of questions, ambiguous responses, answer codes, etc., should be revised at this stage. This exercise should also be accompanied by the verification and revision of the sampling procedure. ■ Following the preliminary pilot, instruments should be revised. ■ Revised survey questionnaires should be circulated anew among stakeholders for comments. 78 Phase 4. Implementation/Fieldwork > Step 11. Training and survey protocols and manual preparation Once the consulting firm responsible for survey implementation has been selected (see step 3B) and survey instruments have been pre-piloted, preparation for survey implementation could be put forward. A training workshop need to be held in the weeks before the planned survey fielding to enable enumerators and supervisors to familiarize themselves with the survey instruments and field work. The training workshop requires at least one week and ideally two of training, and should be completed by a field pilot of the instruments (see step 12). ■ Prior to the training, a detailed enumerator and supervisor manual, including a survey protocol describing the main procedures for survey implementation, should be prepared. The manual should discuss the questions of each survey instrument one by one, explaining the rationale of each question and potential interpretation problems. The manual should be used in the training sessions and will also support the teams’ field work. ■ The training workshop consists in extensive classroom and on-site training (see step 12) of all survey enumerators and supervisors to ensure that all questions and procedures are well understood. The classroom training should educate prospective interviewers on the role and context of the questionnaire; this is of particular importance given the sensitive nature of the subject and the need for confidentiality. As part of classroom training, prospective enumerators should then interview each other to ensure that all questions are fully understood and that questions can be raised and addressed before field deployment. Enumerators should also conduct initial interviews with respondents in “teams” or paired with a supervisor. ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for examples of survey manuals > Step 12. Full pilot phase During the training workshop, especially in the second week, a minimum of three to five days of field pilot of the questionnaire should be carried out by the enumerators and supervisors to test all questionnaires and to train enumerators and supervisors in the field. ■ Field testing of instruments is essential for increasing the likelihood of obtaining good quality survey information. 79 A test on about 5 percent of the sample, including all types of respondents and levels, should be adequate. All enumerators and supervisors should be required to perform full-length field tests of the instruments. Debriefing of teams and further in-class training should be conducted following each day of field testing to ensure that all questions and procedures are understood. Enumerators and supervisors who do not perform satisfactorily should be replaced. ■ The units visited during the full pilot should be selected outside the sampled providers and administrative units chosen for the survey. ■ Following the pilot, a final revision of instruments should be carried out. This includes revising wording of questions, ambiguous responses, format of the questionnaires, and answer codes. > Step 13. Data entry ■ Data entry programs should be written following the completion of the questionnaires and should be tested during the survey pilot phase. ■ A training workshop should be held for data entry operators and data entry supervisors to ensure proper understanding of the instruments, data entry programs, and verification mechanisms. ■ Data entry should start at the beginning of survey implementation and should be completed promptly following the end of data collection. ■ A standard state-of-the-art data management program, such as CSPRO should be used (available for free on-line). ■ Data entry programs should include a unique identification code for each questionnaire and unit interviewed in order to match responses within districts and regions. Various controls should be introduced in the data entry program in order to reduce data entry errors, as well as validation mechanisms to detect data inconsistencies. In particular, standard tests of fields and inconsistencies should be included in the programs to identify outliers for each variable. 80 ■ Inconsistencies and potential errors in data detected should be verified while the survey is still being fielded. A return to the field may be necessary if information in some questionnaires appears to be doubtful. ■ To minimize data entry errors, double-entry procedure is recommended to identify and correct errors. A special program is used for double-entry, to allow entering the data a second time, to check for discrepancies and correct data. > Step 14. Survey implementation ■ Team assembling: The survey firm needs to assemble a team of high-quality enumerators and supervisors with adequate experience in facility surveys. ■ Team composition and management structure: Survey teams should be composed of at least two enumerators per team, who will be administering the various survey modules to the facilities. In order to oversee the survey, a group of supervisors needs to be present in the field while the survey takes place. These supervisors should be responsible for managing and supervising teams of enumerators (generally two enumerators per team) who will administer the various questionnaires. ■ Survey timing: The survey should be fielded ideally two to three months after the end of the fiscal year (for accounting books to be closed), and quantitative tracking should cover the last completed fiscal year. ■ Field deployment strategy: Before survey implementation, the survey firm should submit an adequate team deployment strategy to allocate teams and supervisors in the field in order to achieve, in the most efficient manner, the service facilities and other administrative units while respecting supervision objectives and in the delays set by the time schedule. Possibilities of return visits need to be accounted for in the survey schedule. As the modules of PETS/QSDS require different types of information to be collected from different levels and individuals, the time required is estimated to be about two days per facility when a repeat visit to collect absenteeism data is applicable. ■ Replacements: Accepted sample replacement methods should be used to ensure that the sample size is kept as close as possible to that originally defined. 81 ■ Coordination with authorities: The survey firm should closely coordinate its activities with the relevant authorities (Ministry of Education, Ministry of Health, district officials, etc.) This coordination seeks to facilitate easy access and ensure effective communication and harmonious relations between the parties involved. Coordination with line ministry officials at the central level should be the responsibility of the core PETS/QSDS team to ensure that the survey firm receives adequate support in the field. In particular, prior to field work, facilities and administrative levels that are part of the sample should be informed by their administrative officials of the survey visits to ensure collaboration. Introductory letters should also be provided to enumerators and supervisors. ■ Permits and ethical clearance: Well before the survey implementation period, the survey firm should obtain all the necessary permissions from the authorities for implementing the survey. The survey firm is also responsible for adhering to local formalities and obtaining any required permits related to the logistics of the pilot implementation. In some countries, obtaining these permissions could take weeks or months, as ethics committee clearance could be required to collect information in the health or education sectors. Delays in obtaining these government permissions have led to delays in field implementation in some countries (e.g., Senegal 2010). ■ Survey supervision and quality control: In collecting the data, the survey firm must ensure close supervision and oversight, as this is a significant factor in ensuring the collection of highquality data. The fieldwork supervisors must devote time and attention to supervising the work of the enumerator teams. In addition, random visits to enumerators in the field are essential to ensure quality control and coherence in the interpretation of questionnaires. In particular, random checks of questionnaires and data quality should be done throughout the survey implementation. 82 Real-time quality control procedures should be implemented. Every day, completed questionnaires should be carefully reviewed by supervisors and the main management team for incompleteness, incoherence, etc. Feedbacks and questions should be relayed immediately to enumerators for clarifications, corrections, and potential return visits to collect missing data. A test of these verifications and quality control procedures should be held and an account of the results should be required at the pilot exercise stage. The survey firm should be required to provide a system of ex-post interview verification and/or random spot checks to ensure quality control of enumerators’ work. For instance, it could be useful to have a percentage of facilities revisited. ■ Core team supervision: The project manager and PETS/QSDS core survey team should closely supervise survey implementation in the field. Some members of the core survey team should be in the country for the whole survey implementation and data entry period. It is recommended that surprise field visits be conducted. ■ Launching of the survey: The full-scale survey could be conducted once all the previous conditions are met. ■ Completed questionnaires: Completed questionnaires should be transmitted to data entry operators weekly or bi-weekly. 83 Phase 5: Analysis, Report Writing, Recommendations and Dissemination > Step 15. Data cleaning, analysis and report writing ■ Data cleaning and analysis should be done shortly after the end of data collection. A Survey implementation report should be produced discussing the process of data collection and any problem encountered during the survey and data entry and an evaluation of the quality of the survey data. Also, an Analytical Report should be produced promptly (drafts and final versions) clearly identifying and communicating the specific findings of the study. A. Data Cleaning and Survey Implementation Report ■ Data cleaning procedures should include for instance: Questionnaires and variable coding Range checks: out of range values should be reviewed Skip patterns Consistency checks across related questions/variables Standard tests to identify outliers for each variable; ■ See the PETS/QSDS Web Portal for detailed data cleaning procedures. ■ The survey firm should provide the initiating agency with a master data set containing all survey data (raw and clean data) and secondary data with all associated documentation including a codebook and data dictionary. All of these sources should be merged using unique unit identifiers. The data set should be in a standard software format (e.g. Stata, Excel, SPSS). ■ The data cleaning procedures should be described and cleaning program codes provided as part of the survey implementation report, The data quality section should include tables of summary statistics for all variables (number of observations, mean, min, max, etc), including a short evaluation of the data quality indicating any weaknesses or other issues that will be relevant in the analysis. Indicators of data quality could include response rates for various key variables. ■ Data should be stored in a secured location and made available rapidly to other researchers. ■ The completed questionnaires in their original paper format should also be submitted by the survey firm and properly stored. 84 B. Data Analysis and Reporting ■ The research team composed of the project manager, data analysts and experts in econometrics and statistics should analyze clean primary survey and secondary data using statistical software such as Stata or SPSS and produce an Analytical report. Rigorous data analysis techniques should be used and discussed to ensure credibility of the results. ■ The main objectives of the Analytical report are to present survey results and answer the policy questions initially formulated. The analytical report is a comprehensive report summarizing all the work related with the study preparation and institutional mapping report (see Steps 4-5), survey design and implementation and includes detailed description of the data analysis, econometric specifications and presentation of the results and policy implications. The analysis report should incorporate key information of the institutional mapping report before turning to the survey implementation strategy and survey results. The data analysis should provide convincing evidence on bottlenecks in the service delivery chain, on equity issues within the sector and on the sources of these problems. ■ The structure of the report will depend on the types of programs, policy questions or sectors analyzed and the scope and research questions of the study. For instance, among other things, the study could focus on measuring leakage and delays in resource allocation at various levels, or how resource equity or service performance vary among sub regions or sub groups. ■ Good examples of Analysis reports are available, for instance (Education PETS/QSDS): Das, Dercon, Habyarimana and Krishnan (2004a) « Public and Private Funding Basic Education in Zambia: Implications of Budgetary Allocations for Service Delivery”; (Health PETS/QSDS): Picazo and Zhao (2009) ”Results of the Expenditure Tracking Components of the PETS/QSDS 2005-06” in “Zambia Health Sector Public Expenditure Review”; (Education and Health PETS): World Bank (2008) ”Niger: Public Expenditure Tracking Survey, Education and Health”; (Health QSDS): Lindelow, Reinikka and Svensson (2003) “Health Care on the Frontlines: Survey Evidence on Public and Private Providers in Uganda”. ■ Box 13 outlines the suggested content of the Analytical report. ■ Some of the main components of the Analytical report are as follows: The report should present an overview of the study objectives, scope, methodology, sampling and data collection strategy. The section on the sampling should outline the sampling strategy (including expected and final sample for each types of units) as well as power calculations and population weights. The report should also discuss data collection and any challenges faced during survey implementation. 85 The report should also include background information on the sector or program under study. It should present an overview of public expenditures, the importance of the sector or program and the resources officially mobilized. The performance and state of service delivery in the sector or program should be discussed; the structure of public hierarchy, roles and responsibilities of main levels and links in the expenditure chain toward service providers. It should discuss the budget process, timing and the roles of various actors and levels. It should describe ways in which resources are mobilized and channeled, including allocation principles and mechanisms at various levels (official and effective rules); provide descriptive and analytical information on various units analyzed in the survey work (regional, district and local governments/administrations, facilities, staff, clients, etc.), The section on study finding should examine selected tracking flows (salaries, non salaries, in-kind); it should identify funding levels from various sources disbursed through the expenditure chain, the resources received at the various levels down to frontline providers and beneficiaries (amounts and percentage), and the ways in which these resources are used at various levels. Descriptive statistics should be produced on the main components of the contents of the various primary and secondary data. The report should also provide adequate information on, among other things: o o o o o o o o Main characteristics of service providers and other units in the delivery chain; Financial resources in the sector/program and main sources; Decision making procedures at various levels; Allocation mechanisms for the main resources tracked; Main problems in budget allocation and execution; Supervision and accountability; Characteristics of personnel and personnel management; Measures of intermediate output, final output and outcomes. The report should identify variations in allocation or allocation rules for all tracked resources relative to the expected or official allocation rules. In particular, at each stages of the expenditure supply chain, leakage should be identified by comparing amount of resources disbursed by the higher level in the supply chain to the amount received by the lower level. If feasible, overall leakage should be quantified and sources of such resource dissipation analyzed. It is important to distinguish lack of quantifiable measurement of leakage associated with weak survey design or implementation, unavailability or poor quality of data, from lack of leakage associated with an efficient program expenditure system. Other inefficiencies and bottlenecks in the service delivery chain, such as delays, should be identified and analyzed; 86 Box 13: Outline of a PETS/QSDS Analytical Report Executive Summary 1. Introduction: -Motivations and objectives of the PETS/QSDS -Organization of the report 2. Methodology -Overview - Main sources of information - Sample strategy and expected versus final samples 3. Description of the sector/program - Sector/program outcomes - Objectives of the sector/program - Organizational structure of the sector/program - Budget process and allocation rules 4. Resource allocation in the sector/program (PETS) - Resource allocation flows in the sector/program from various sources - Budget allocations versus release of resources at various levels (central, district, etc.) - Overall resource availability at the various levels (District, Local, Facility) - Measurement of leakage at various levels - Delays and other inefficiencies in the service delivery chain - Equity issues across categories - Other specific themes 5. Frontline service providers and quality of services (QSDS) - Characteristics of the facilities, infrastructure and equipment - Staff characteristics - Human resource management, incentives and absenteeism - Management of in-kind inputs - Service output and quality 5. Analysis - Bottlenecks in the service delivery chain -Potential sources of inefficiencies and inequities 6. Conclusion and recommendations - Challenges in the sector/program and at the service delivery level - Recommendations ANNEX A: Survey Methodology and Implementation A. Sampling Strategy and design B. Field Work C. Data entry and coding D. Survey experience E. Lessons learned and recommendations ANNEX B: Survey Instruments REFERENCES 87 The report should also identify inequities in resource allocation (financial, human, inkind) and services among sub-regions or sub-groups examined. The report should assess information and reporting systems, and accountability mechanisms at various levels. Specific research questions and sector or program specific topics analyzed in the study such as private versus public contributions, user fees levels and management or the effect of decentralization, should be discussed. ■ Rigorous statistical and econometric techniques should be used for instance multivariate regression analysis to analyze different components of the sector/program to assess the contribution of various factors and characteristics, such as governance and accountability mechanisms, location and distance, etc. in explaining leakage and other inefficiencies such as delays and test various hypotheses. ■ The report should clearly identify and communicate the specific findings on various inefficiencies and inequity in resource allocation in the sector or program. ■ The report should also provide detailed recommendations on how to strengthen the sector or program internal information and oversight system for public expenditures and or to improve citizen/clients potential power over service providers and service quality (See Step 16). ■ The report should be peer reviewed and subject to broad consultation before a final version is finalized. In particular, the draft report should be discussed with stakeholders and adequately edited. They should also be distributed among civil society (See step 17). > Step 16. Preparing and formulating recommendations The biggest challenge for tracking surveys beyond these methodological issues and new applications is to be able to translate their findings and contributions into policy recommendations, and ultimately into policy reforms and institutional changes, in order to improve quality of services and population outcomes. Indeed, tracking surveys are a means to achieve an end. The information on incentives and deficiencies in organizational structures and rules should ultimately be used to identify policy reforms and help implement a reform agenda in client countries. ■ Some of the main recommendations that could be put forward on the supply side concern the reduction of information asymmetry and strengthening the accountability relationships, 88 which are at the root of institutional deficiencies within service delivery systems. The areas identified for reforms in various previous survey reports include: i) Speeding up budget execution at various levels of the delivery chain; ii) Improving communication and information pass-through (dissemination of information is a general problem between the administrative levels, including with the population); iii) Increasing inspection and monitoring at all levels of the service delivery system; iv) Improving internal controls, in particular accounting and reporting systems, in order to enhance transparency and accountability v) Improving logistic systems for managing materials, supplies, and in-kinds (e.g., drugs) at the decentralized level to allow adequate reporting and controls; vi) Providing additional training for decentralized government levels and service delivery units (problems often result from a poorly trained personnel); vii) Establishing mechanisms and incentives in the system to make the service delivery system more client-driven at all levels. ■ In addition, there is growing evidence that citizen participation in service delivery and better information can help improve outcomes, especially using mechanisms that enable clients to monitor and directly discipline service providers (World Bank, 2003; Banerjee et al., 2006). Various recommendations concerning improvements in governance by giving clients potential power over service providers should be proposed and implemented. The service delivery reforms that should be considered include the display of expenditure information at the facility level, following the successful use of such an approach in Uganda. For instance, information campaigns in newspapers and on radio about public transfers toward targeted facilities (as used in Uganda and Tanzania) could be recommended for patients, parents’ associations, and communities to be better informed and allowed to voice their demands. > Step 17. Results dissemination, policy reforms, and future research PETS/QSDS results should be disseminated promptly among government ministries and units, as well as NGOs and civil society organizations, following the report completion to increase impact in terms of service delivery quality and efficiency and population outcomes. A. Results dissemination ■ Dissemination strategies should be developed. These could include information activities and take the form of seminars or workshops to present the findings and implications in public gatherings and among the stakeholders. 89 During the activities, elicit views on how to promote reforms and improvements in service delivery and population outcomes. B. Policy reforms ■ Information collected should be analyzed and used for planning and reform processes. Policy reforms could be targeted to improve the efficiency of public expenditures and quality of services, and their impact on the wellbeing of the population. These include: Proposing plans of action to revise budget allocations in order to improve efficiency, effectiveness, and equity of public expenditure; Improving budget execution by obtaining information on various problems in budget execution (capacity, reallocation, etc.) at different stages; Enhancing government systems of recording, reporting, and information systems at various levels in the administrative system toward service providers (for financial and non-financial resources); Strengthening relationships of accountability between the government, providers, and citizens by improving information on actual resource flows and quality of service delivery; Strengthening domestic capacity, inside and outside government, to conduct monitoring and evaluation activities. C. Future research ■ In a multi-year program perspective, PETS could be used as part of a monitoring and followup mechanism. In particular, PETS and QSDS could be part of a larger strategy that seeks to improve equity and efficiency of public management where the initial PETS could be used as a baseline to measure the allocation of resources and performance in service delivery and for paving the way for more comprehensive follow-up surveys. Subsequent PETS focusing on other elements of service delivery performance could be proposed, for instance, on service quality, population outcomes, and user satisfaction (World Bank, 2008). Repeated PETS could allow benchmarking progress in implementation of reforms over time. In a long-term perspective, PETS could also be part of a process aimed at improving public expenditure efficiency and equity by focusing on capacity building. 90 ■ The following research questions may especially be examined: i) Benchmarking leakage of resources and better explaining capture of funds (including delays, etc.) Robust baseline surveys of the sector studied should be devised to diagnose and analyze the process by which public resources are translated into services and to identify shortcomings in the supply chain and among frontline providers, particularly leakage of resources. Factors explaining leakage that could be examined notably concern users’ bargaining power, service provider remoteness, size of facilities, access to infrastructure, incentives, etc. Developing a core set of questions for PETS to be applied across countries should be a priority. ii) Benchmarking absence rates and better explaining provider behavior Service provider absenteeism has been found to be a widespread problem in a number of countries. It is also an effective way to get policymakers’ attention to performance in service delivery. It would be worthwhile to document the extent of the problem and identify factors that are associated with worker absence. Baseline surveys could seek to measure absenteeism in various facility types, ownership categories, locations, etc., to measure time on task for different types of workers, and to better explain reasons for absence rates. For instance, in Zambia, Das et al. (2004) found that teacher absenteeism had more to do with health problems than with shirking. iii) Evaluating interventions to combat leakage, absenteeism, and other service delivery failures with a focus on human development and other sectors Impact evaluation of pilots or reform programs such as information campaigns, citizen report cards, monitoring mechanisms, and incentive schemes for service providers could be carried out. Experiments to promote local participation and collective action through advocacy could be designed and evaluations could be carried out to assess their impact on local participation, provider behavior, and final outcomes. Such an experiment could involve, for instance, the establishment of new teaching supervision programs that could be put forward in schools, while in others the program, if successful, would be phased in later. Student learning results could then be compared in the two groups of schools. Example 39: Randomized evaluations of potential experiments Experiments involving monitoring mechanisms and incentives could be implemented to reduce worker absenteeism and improve outcomes. Such actions or other mechanisms designed to monitor and provide high-powered incentives to workers could be examined with a view to improving citizens’ control over service providers. These programs could involve improving the flow of information between citizens 91 and service providers or between citizens and public officials. Alternately, they could involve the community in hiring and firing service providers. Such prospective impact evaluations help identify which community or citizen-based interventions lead to increased provider time on task, service quality, and outcomes. Experiments to test worker incentives empirically, community or external monitoring, or other actions could be carried out to determine which program leads to lower absenteeism, more time on task, and improved outcomes. Example 40: Experiments to test worker incentives iv) Explore not-for-profit providers’ motivation and behavior using these types of tools. In particular, analyze intrinsic motivation of public, NGO, and religious providers as a major factor in social service provision. v) Link demand and supply sides of service delivery to develop a better understanding of development outcomes. Future research should target linkages between facility survey data and household data in order to allow measurement of final outcomes at the household level and to link service and human development and other outcomes. PETS/QSDS, for instance, can comprise a household survey module. Alternatively, linkages with another self-standing household survey can be established. 92 NOTES Note 1: Other micro level governance tools Other micro level governance tools include, in particular, Staff Absenteeism Surveys (SAS), Citizen Report Cards (CRC), and observational studies such as health vignettes. SAS focus on the availability of teachers and health practitioners on the frontline and identify problems with their incentives (see, Rogers and Koziol 2011). CRC are instrument to promote citizen awareness and participation. They collect information from users about experiences of service quality, disseminated back to citizens/users so they have information about their community experiences of quality and efficacy of service delivery. Observational studies aim to measure the quality of services, proxied for by the level of effort exerted by service providers. Health vignettes use unblind standardized case studies involving an actor to test the level of knowledge and competence of service providers. For guidance on using PETS to monitor small scale programs by NGOs, see Koziol and Tolmie (2010). See also Amin, Das and Goldstein (2008) for an overview of a range of tools for measuring service delivery. ← Note 2: Public Financial Management Economic and Sector Work Products There are a number of diagnostic economic and sector work (ESW) products that the World Bank, the IMF, partner organizations and markets have developed in recent years that can help in assessing the effectiveness of PFM systems. Many of these have been associated with aspects of fiduciary interests or creditworthiness. These products fall essentially into two categories: Non-standardized analytical assessments of a country’s PFM system, using such diagnostic products as: • Public Expenditure Reviews (PERs), which analyze the country’s fiscal position, its expenditure policies (in particular, the extent to which they are pro-poor), and its expenditure management systems. While PERs vary considerably in coverage, they may also examine institutional arrangements for public expenditure management on national and sub-national levels, touch on the issues associated with the size of the civil service wage bill, and revenue policy and administration - aspects of direct relevance for Central Finance Authorities (CFA). • Country Financial Accountability Assessments (CFAAs), which evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of accountability arrangements for managing public resources in areas like budgeting, accounting, and audits, and also identify the risks these may pose to the 93 use of World Bank funds. CFAAs also often analyze the role of CFAs in the country’s public and private sector financial accountability framework. • Country Procurement Assessment Reviews (CPARs), which examine public procurement institutions and practices in borrower countries, which in some countries might include the CFA. • Public Investment Management Reviews (PIM Reviews), which examine the efficiency of the public investment management function. As of now, these have been applied in six countries, but they are likely to be applied more widely. • Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSCs), while templated, may not be prescriptively standardized. Fiscal ROSCs, as most pertinent for CFAs, may examine the clarity of roles and responsibilities in fiscal management, budget processes, as well as the disclosure and integrity of information. • IMF Reports, particularly ‘Red Cover’ technical assistance reports on PFM, and other reports such as safeguard assessments of central banks (to be used under confidentiality arrangements). • Client Country and Development Partner Reports, which include reports from official oversight agencies in borrowing countries (such as parliament or supreme audit institutions), as well as PFM diagnostic work undertaken by other development partners, such as the Asian Development Bank Diagnostic Study of Accounting and Auditing, European Commission ex ante assessments of country financial management, and UNDP Assessments in Accountability and Transparency (CONTACT). • Institutional Governance Assessments (IGAs) that might touch on PFM and the institutional capacity of CFAs. • Institutional and Governance Reviews (IGRs), which evaluate the quality of accountability, policymaking, and service-delivery institutions within a given country from a broad governance perspective and often deal with the CFA in diagnosing the shortcomings of formal PFM systems. • Other studies, in which finance functions are dealt with, but may not be the core of the studies, such as Governance and Anti-Corruption (GAC) diagnostics which look at aspects of governance and occasional political economy studies, and other analytical work (see for instance, cash rationing in Zambia, political economy in Uganda). Standardized assessments, with a quantitative element, of a country’s PFM system, intended to generate standardized benchmarks for comparative purposes, including: 94 • Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) indicators, a collaborative effort of seven development partners to oversee the development of a universally accepted tool to assess a country’s PFM system against 28 indicators in three areas of budget credibility, comprehensiveness, transparency, and the stages of the budget process (i.e., planning, execution, reporting and audit). • Country Policy and Institutional Assessments (CPIAs), which rate a country’s performance against 16 criteria representing different policy and institutional dimensions of a country’s poverty and growth strategy, including the quality of economic and budgetary management. ← Note 3: PETS as one instrument within PFM toolkit PETS helps focus on the links between effective Public Financial Management (PFM) and actual service delivery. Consequently, it is potentially valuable for the cross-cutting dialogue on PFM, often conducted with stakeholders in ministries of finance. It is also particularly relevant to the sectoral dialogues for counterparts in health, education, water, as well as other infrastructural and administrative service (including legal) delivery sectors. The implementation of a PETS has itself become part of a benchmark for achieving basic performance scores within the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) indicator concerned with frontline service delivery financing. More compelling and accessible information concerning budget execution for service delivery can most importantly help draw in enhanced popular demand across service delivery beneficiaries and civil society organizations (CSOs). Thus, PETS is one instrument among the overall PFM toolkit which includes PER, PEFA, CFAA, etc. ← Note 4. PEFA and PETS PEFA, which is a multi-donor program assessing the quality and efficiency of recipient country’s public finance, is composed of 32 “high level” indicators providing a panoramic view of public finances in a country. One of these indicators, PI-23 “Availability of information on resources received by service delivery units”, is essentially built on PETS contribution and activities in the country. The indicator could take four values (A to D) depending on the availability of decentralized information. A score of A is attributed to a situation where data collection systems provide reliable information on resources received by primary schools and health clinics with an annual report. A score of B is attributed to a similar situation in education or health, or when PETS have been carried out in both sectors in the last three years. C is attributed for PETS in the last three years in education or health. D is for a situation of no data collection on resource transfers to service delivery units in the last three years. ← 95 Note 5: Stand alone PETS? PETS are useful for drilling down for information on resource flows for one or two selected sectors. PETS are usually done in conjunction with other PFM diagnostic reviews and studies. However, there are pros and cons for doing a stand-alone PETS. First of all, PETS usually take longer to undertake than typical PERs, and the timing of the two needs to be sequenced and synchronized which is often not easily done. Information gathered by PETS usually feeds into the PER analysis, thus enriching it with sector and micro level details. ← Note 6: Some PETS/QSDS’ motivations and objectives 15 TABLE 1: SOME OF THE MAIN MOTIVATION AND OBJECTIVES OF PETS-QSDS Purpose Diagnostic Diagnostic Monitoring Monitoring Monitoring Evaluation Evaluation Monitoring Evaluation Evaluation 15 Objectives -To measure the difference between the intended resources and resources actually received at various tiers, including service providers -To track expenditures for social services -To identify delays and leakages -To demonstrate surveillance and control of the expenditures to the civil society and external donors. - Monitoring of pro poor expenditures in the context of a PER -To assess the efficiency of budget execution -To measure leakage -To identify bottlenecks in resource flows -Measure leakage from the two main education funding programs (one administered by the World Bank). -Evaluate the effectiveness of HIPC funds on tuitions and on enrolment -To shed light on the effectiveness of decentralization policies - To evaluate the impact of the information campaign on leakage levels -To assess leakage levels at different levels in the service provider supply chain and procurement process. -Evaluate delays in budget execution -Evaluate clients’ service satisfaction -Evaluate impacts of reform Motivation / Context • Output and outcome indicators remained stagnant despite substantial increase in public spending on basic services Examples Uganda 1996; Rwanda 2000, 2004; Sierra Leone 2000, 2001; Senegal 2002; Namibia 2003; Chad 2004; Kenya 2004 • Increase in the budgetary allocation to the social sectors, particularly health and education Rwanda 2000 • Major gaps exist in access to and utilization of basic services by the poor Ghana 2000 Tanzania 2001 • In the aftermath of political crisis, usage of HIPC funds to pay for tuition fees of primary school children to boost enrolment rates. Madagascar 2003 • Implementation of an Information campaign to provide citizens’ voice • National governance plan to fight corruption, reduce poverty and increase efficiency of public expenditures • Priority given to access to basic services Uganda 1999, 2000 • Reintroduction of user fees in education Madagascar 2005 Source: Gauthier (2006) for further details. 96 Cameroon 2003 Following are brief reviews of the motivations, objectives and means associated with some of the PETS and QSDS implemented in Sub-Saharan African countries. Tanzania: Tanzania has implemented four PETS/QSDS to date. The first, in 1999, covered the health sector and primary education, while the second, in 2001, also examined rural water and roads, judiciary, agriculture research and HIV/AIDS (REPOA/ESRF, 2001). As in Uganda, the motivation for the tracking surveys was linked to the lack of information at the central level on resource use through the various levels of the administrative apparatus. It was strongly suspected that public resources were not used for stated purposes. The first survey focused on non-wage health and education expenditures to hospitals, health centers and primary schools, through district administrations. The second survey, which was part of a Public Expenditure Review (PER), focused on pro-poor expenditures and assessed the efficiency of budget execution in key social sectors. The objectives were to review and assess government procedures and channeling of resources in social sectors, as well as administrative responsibilities and reporting mechanisms at each administrative level. Information was collected at three levels of the public hierarchy. These two tracking surveys provided information on disbursement procedures and delays for two types of funds (salaries and other charges). Leakage between administrative levels was also estimated. Ghana: The motivation for the Ghana 2000 PETS arose from Ghana‘s Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRS), which recognized that a significant gap existed in the access and utilization of basic services by the poor. The objective of the tracking survey was to improve the efficiency of public spending and improve outcomes in social sectors. As in Uganda and Tanzania, the PETS implemented in Ghana sought to estimate leakage of public funds in the transfer process from the central government to public service facilities through district authorities, in basic education and primary health care. The survey represented a pilot project to measure actual expenditures in the two social sectors. It collected information at the central level, district administrations, health clinics and primary and junior secondary schools. Sample selection was structured to allow linkages with the Ghana Living Standard Survey conducted in 1998, which in turn allows matching between households and facilities data sets. Kenya: In Kenya, significant deterioration in health outcomes were observed despite increased health spending. These results were perceived to be associated with an ineffective health system as services failed to reach targeted people due to diversion of resources, weak incentives, poor accountability mechanisms, and lack of demand attributable to low incomes in a context of increased HIV/AIDS and poverty. Furthermore, in the education sector, despite bursary funds created to support needy children, poor children had continued to drop out of secondary schools due to prohibitive school fees. Poor targeting of programs and fund capture were suspected. The government wanted to continue to shift resources toward core poverty programs such as primary health care and education. However, it was crucial to track the expenditures on some key inputs and services to determine where and how allocations were spent and whether they were benefiting the poor, as intended. A PETS was put forward in 2004. The objective was to provide information on the process of resource allocation to the 97 service providers in the heath and education sectors to improve the effectiveness of the MOE bursary program and primary health care services. Specific objectives included: (a) to determine the amount and criteria used in allocation of funds and inputs for health centers and dispensaries, (b) to assess the quality of services provided to the patients, (c) assess the extent to which the management of funds in the bursary program complied with MOE procedures; and (d) to assess the impact of the bursary scheme in terms of its contribution in improving access and completion rates in secondary schools (Republic of Kenya, 2004). Several other surveys were implemented in Africa (e.g., in Cameroon, Senegal, Namibia and Sierra Leone) and in other regions. Other surveys are ongoing, notably in Burkina Faso in the education and sector and South Africa in the health sector (see PETS/QSDS web portal). ← Note 7: Measuring leakages: issues In some tracking surveys however, no firm conclusions on leakage could be made due to several factors, related mainly to the fact that the survey instruments chosen could not specifically monitor such problems, or because of implementation problems. These relate especially to methodological issues that affected the survey’s capacity to efficiently measure diversion of funds and corruption (Gauthier and Reinikka, 2007). In general, caution has to be exercised with respect to the interpretation of leakage levels (in particular, but not exclusively, the “narrow” measure), as reasons other than corruption might explain low arrival rates or observed differences of resources between levels (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004a; Lindelow, 2006). These include incomplete records or problematic accounting, data collection problems and data entry error (Gauthier, 2006, p.32) Furthermore, the normal use of resources at an administrative level has to be accounted for in the leakage calculation. However, it is often difficult to measure input use at a certain level. For instance, in the Ghana report an 8% administrative overhead cost was used to measure (narrow) leakage. 16 ← Note 8: Average leakage levels in various Sub-Saharan African countries Table 2 below shows all surveys in SSA countries and presents the average leakage level observed in the various countries and the flows of resources on which these observations were based. ← 16 Ye and Canagarajah (2002), however, do not provide justification for their specific choice of overhead costs. 98 TABLE 2: LEAKAGE OF PUBLIC FUNDS Country Uganda Survey Year 1996 Type PETS Sector Educationa nd Health Resources tracked Education: Capitation grants Health: Non-wage expenditures Leakage Education: -87% (on average) during 1991-1995 -Leakage of salaries much smaller Health: Not defined. Observation Other comment Cause Education: -Leakage appears principally at the district level -Resources either disappeared for private gains or were used by district officials for purpose unrelated to education Education: -Large variations in leakage across schools: - Larger schools appear to receive larger share of the intended funds (per student). - Schools with children of better off parents experience lower degree of leakage - Schools with higher share of unqualified teachers experience more leakage Education: -Asymmetric information has adverse effects on the flow of funds to frontline providers and service delivery -Schools with greater capacity to influence local officials are granted higher shares -Shows the value of transparency and efficiency of mobilizing civil society against corruption -Improvements are associated with better information about school entitlements through radio and newspaper campaign -Excessive drug use in public and private health facilities. This could be associated with over-prescription or leakage. -Procurement malpractices at District level -Inadequate adherence to accountability procedures and guidelines for provision of safe and cleaned water to the community -Incompetent Contractors -Greed and Conflict of Health: Most transfers from government are in-kind. A quantitative assessment of the flow of resources to health centers or service delivered could not be achieved. -Information campaign is estimated to account for about ¾ of the improvement in leakage 1999 and 2000 PETS Education -Capitation grants -Reduction of leakage from 87% in 1991-95 to about 18% in 1999 and 2000 2000 QSDS Health - Financing - Drugs, vaccines and supplies -Some evidence of drug leakage, but average figures not provided. 2009 PETS Water - Water and sanitation funds allocation -Evidence of funds leakage but no specific estimates 99 Country Survey Year Type Sector Resources tracked Leakage Observation Other comment Cause Interest 1999 PETS Education and Health - Non wage expenditures -Leakage was estimated at 57% in education and 41% in health care 2001 PETS Education and Health - Non-wage expenditures -Average figures for leakage not provided -Difference between disbursement and receipts between Treasury and councils is estimated at 18% on average for non-wage funds for July 1999-June2000 and JulyDecember 2000. 2004 PETS Education Ghana 2000 PETS Education and Health - Non wage expenditures - Salaries Rwanda 2000 PETS Education and Health - Recurrent expenditures Tanzania The inflow of development grant at the school level is 84% of the central level disbursement. The inflow of overall capitation grant at the school level is in the range of 54%-64% of the central level disbursement. The inflow of the cash part of the capitation grant at the school level is 7686% of the central level disbursement. The inflow of books at the school level is 28% of the central level disbursement. - Leakage estimated at about 50% of non-wage education expenditures and 80% of the non-wage health expenditures - Leakage of salaries is estimated at about 20% - Some evidence of leakage between regions and districts, but no firm estimates 100 - Leakage appears at the district level - Salaries appear less prone to diversion -Decentralized funds (OC) sent to districts are essentially all consumed at the district level. -Only material sent by the center to districts is partially redistributed to facilities. -No cash funding below the sector/district level, only inkind material On average, councils only acknowledge receiving 59% of the development grant sent to the regions. -Large proportion of leakage seemed to occur between central government and district offices (instead of between district and facilities), during the procurement process when public expenditures are translated into in-kind transfers. -Except for staff salaries, recurrent expenditures in health and education do not reach schools and health -At the district level, treasury and sector heads tend to reallocate non-wage expenditures in favor of activities that benefit the council staff at the expense of facilities (e.g. traveling, vehicles, fuel versus school material and medications) The book part of the capitation grant is the main cause of the leakage in the transfer of capitation grant. - Lack of predictability of the disbursement promotes leakage especially at the subnational level. -Highly aggregated government records are reported to undermine transparency -Possibilities of leakage were found to be much greater when the value of material distributed was unknown to recipients -In-kind nature of transfers increase information asymmetry and lack of accountability in the delivery system and reduce feedback from frontline facilities -Lack of accountability in the use of public funds and other resources contributed -District offices accounts are credited at the discretion of the regional offices. Country Zambia Survey Year Type Sector Resources tracked Leakage Other comment Cause facilities. Observation by users, parents, NGOs, donors and other development agencies. -The lack of budgets and guidelines for the use of funds was cited by health officials as the source of major inefficiencies and causes of delays and potential leakages. 2004 PETS Education -Teachers’ salary - Three funding programs: i) Funds for Genocide Survivors (FARG) ii) Education support Funds for Vulnerable and Poor Children, iii) Capitation funds. - Some evidence of leakage of capitation grant at the school level in particular, but no firm estimates. - Potential leakage of the Education Support Fund program at the central level, but no estimates are provided. -There are no controls for the utilization of capitation grants by schools, as neither the MOE, province or district have control mechanisms in place. -District reports are said to be unreliable and audits of MOE does not cover all schools. -Anomalies are noted in the list of beneficiaries of the Education Support Fund program at the central level (the first names of beneficiaries are not listed, neither their exact birth dates or name of their parents), which introduces potential misreporting. 2001 PETS QDSD Education - Non-wage funding for basic education (fixedschool grant, discretionary nonwage grant program) -Leakage of 10% for fixed-rule grants -76% for discretionary nonwage expenditures -Rule-based funding reaches almost every school, while discretionary funds are mainly used at the district and province levels. About 20% of schools receive any funding from discretionary funds 2007 PETS QDSD Health Various resource flows (government budget, basket funds, vertical project funds and internally generated funds) A fifth of the health facilities received resources less than their intended allocations. Medical staff experience nonreceipt of the full amount of salaries (about 15 percent of staff); unauthorized salary deductions (15.5 percent of staff); and staff payment of “expediter’s fee” to obtain While allocation to the districts is equityenhancing, allocation to hospitals follows principles of historical budgeting that tend to perpetuate installed capacity, even if much of that existing capacity was heavily influenced by mining rather than public health -Rule based funds are progressive as greater per pupil funding is observed in poorer schools - Discretionary disbursement higher to richer schools in rural areas and wealth neutral in urban areas -Overall, public funding is regressive: almost 30% higher allocation to richer schools. The allocation rules manifest themselves clearly in the highly inequitable provincial receipt of resources, where the poorest, most remote and least urbanized provinces receive the lowest per capita MOH releases. 101 -For rule-based funds, delays in disbursement may a factor. -For discretionary funds, the few schools that received large amounts have greater bargaining power with higher administrative levels. Country Survey Year Type Sector Resources tracked Leakage Observation salaries (10 percent of staff). concerns. - Unreliable data on district budget at the district and provincial levels make it difficult to assess whether resources reach their intended beneficiaries - Evidence of capture of rent by local government officials and important problems of non payment of salaries of health workers -Decentralized local governments have different priorities than health and could use resources earmarked to health for other purposes. Mozambique 2002 PETS QSDS Health - No firm estimates of leakage - Some evidence of leakage of drugs in the transfer from provinces to districts Nigeria 2002 PETS QSDS Health - No firm estimates of leakage - But report of high degree of leakages in the more rural state (Kogi) Senegal 2002 PETS Health Decentralization fund - No firm estimates of leakage - Some evidence of leakage at regional and communal levels in non-wage expenditures from central level to providers Cameroon 2003 PETS Health - No firm estimates of leakage 2004 PETS Education - Non-wage recurrent expenditures Various resource flows 2003 PETS QSDS Health Madagascar 20062007 PETS Other comment Cause -Lack of accountability of local government leads to public resources capture by local officials. - Inconsistent data on resources sent and received between levels - No firm estimates of leakage - No firm estimates of leakage Education IPPTE CRESED - Leakage of cash funds at the lower echelon of the education sector is perceived to be low (10% and 8% for the two main sources of cash contributions to schools). - Leakage of material is more common as 28% of schools report receiving less material than stated by the district. - Leakage is associated with remoteness as 56% of schools in the Communes at far distance from the capital of the province show leakages in comparison with only 21% of the schools in the Communes close to the capital. Education and Health Education: Cash (caisse école), school kits, school equipment, Education: -The ratio of non-received funds to expected funds for the school year 2005-2006 Education: -Leakage of the “caisse école” is high for some schools: in particular 102 - Schools are uninformed about decisions taken higher up in the education sector system concerning their potential resources and possibilities. -Only 35% of schools reported knowing at the beginning of the year what they were supposed to receive from the district level (Cisco). Education: -Smaller schools, schools in poorer and less educated areas -Lack of information, dysfunctional accounting system and absence of allocation rules at the district and school level increase the incentives for leakage. Education: -Low financial capacity at the decentralized levels Country Survey Year Type Sector Resources tracked textbooks and salaries. Health: Current expenditures, non medical consumable, drugs Namibia 2003 PETS QSDS Education and Health Chad 2004 PETS QSDS Health Kenya 2004 PETS Education and Health -Non-wage recurrent expenditures Leakage Observation from the Ministry of Education to Cisco and from Cisco to school level equaled 3% and 4% respectively. -A high 40% of the schools did not receive all the equipment that they were entitled to during the last two school years. Health: Averaging across survey rounds, 73% of the commune pharmacies report leakage in the drug supply chain from district to commune levels. - No firm estimates of leakage smaller schools and schools in ethnically heterogenous areas suffered more from leakage in 2005/2006. Health: Leakages of antibiotics are especially problematic: half of the basic health centers that ordered this drugs did not receive what they were supposed to receive. seem to suffer more from leakages. Health: The likelihood of leakages in the drug supply chain increases with drug price - Incomplete records make it difficult to assess whether resources reach their intended beneficiaries - Potential leakage of medication and other material -Public resources arrival rates vary considerably among regions. -The highest rate of leakage is observed in the BET region, the most remote area of the country - A large proportion of leakage seemed to occur between central government and regional delegation during the procurement process via so called “centralized credits” Health: Leakage is more pronounced in health centers than dispensaries. Education: -The bursary program is not thoroughly audited which increases possibilities of leakage -Criteria of selection of -It was estimated that if all public resources officially budgeted for regional delegations had reached the frontline providers in 2003, the number of patients seeking primary health care in Chad would have more than doubled during the year - Only about 27% of non-wage budgetary officially allocated to regions by the MOH reaches regional health delegations -Less than 1% of non-wage budgetary officially allocated to regions reach local health centers Health: -Leakage of total funds received at the health center level is estimated at 38% - Leakage of user fees at the facility level estimated at 25% - Leakage of Community development funds at facility level is estimated at 37% Education: 103 Other comment - An audit trail of the bursary funds released was not possible because of the lack of proper accounting system Cause - Poor record keeping and few records of the delivery of material to district and school level are available and could increase the incentives for leakage. -Main factors explaining low level of resources received at the local level are:1) the very high rate of resource centralization at the MOH level, 2) the lack of supervision and control of resources, and 3) lack of planning in the allocation of resources as allocations are arbitrary at every levels. Health: -Provinces and districts are unaware of budgets and programs. -Supervisory capacity of provincial and district authorities are insufficient. -Financial and accounting systems are Survey Year Country Type Sector Mali 2005 PETS QSDS Education Niger 2008 PETS Education and Health Resources tracked Selected government expenditures in education (textbooks, notebooks and drawing books for students) and in health (food expenditure and hospital supplies, and essential medicines) Leakage Observation -More than 80% of schools did not receive their entitled amount of bursary funds -Evidence that some schools are receiving more allocation than required and that funds are diverted for personal gains -Total leakage of bursary funds estimated at 35.8% vulnerable and needy students not followed by many schools Schools received on average 40% of the total number of textbooks originally allocated to them by the MoE. The leakage rates vary considerably among CAPS and can exceed 90% as is the case for Baraouéli or Torokorobougou (in Bamako). - No firm estimates of leakage Education: -General lack of systematic information recording. -Budget increases did not always lead to spending increases. - Supplies do not arrive at facilities on a regular basis. Health: The quantity of financial resource transfers between MH and the Regional Health offices (DRSPs) are well accounted for. The regional offices are also effective in procuring materials once credit becomes available. Other comment the leakage rate increases with the allocation amount, resulting in very high leakage volumes for schools which have been allocated large numbers of textbooks Health: Other aspects of the financial management at DRSPs, however, could be improved. Record keeping could be more detailed in terms of exact dates of financial transactions, amounts and breakdown of spending. Sources: Gauthier 2006, Survey reports; Uganda, Tanzania: Reinikka and Svensson (2004a); Lindelow et al (2006), PETS 1996-2004 tables. ← 104 Cause inadequate Education: -Financial management of the school is in the hands of the head teacher with minimal influence of the PTA and BOG. -Lack of information at the school level leads to non accountability of public resources -Poor school records and lack of proper audits The absence of transparency on budget information facilitates the capture of the education budget Note 9: Salaries Salaries are also often paid directly by the central government to individual workers at the service provider level, without going through the administrative apparatus (for instance, in Rwanda, salaries are paid directly into workers’ bank accounts). Alternatively, when salaries are transferred through the administrative structure, they are generally paid by local authorities directly to workers, thus with the same incentives at the recipient level for ensuring full transfer. ← Note 10: Estimates of delays: examples from Africa Table 3 below presents estimates on delays in various SSA countries, for certain types of items and inputs. ← Country Uganda TABLE 3: DELAYS 17 Survey Year Type Sector 1996 PETS Education Health 2000 QSDS Health 1999 PETS 2001 PETS Education and Health Education and Health Ghana 2000 PETS Rwanda 2000 PETS Tanzania 17 Education and Health Education and Health Delays Observation -Anecdotal evidence that teacher’s salaries suffer from delays. -However, survey indicates that salary payments reach schools relatively well. -72% of staff faces salary delays in public facilities (compared to 28% in for profit facilities). -40% of government facilities report stock outs of supplies during the FY - Frontline workers suffer delays in pays -Delays in disbursement and significant delays in the processing of nonwage funds, ranging from 6 to 42 days at the treasury, while wage disbursements are rarely delayed. -Delays are also observed in all districts surveyed. N.A. -Evidence of delays in budget execution at the central level -Considerable delays in transfers between regions Source: Gauthier 2006, (pp. 52-55) 105 Cause -In 20% of government facilities, salary delays are reported more than 16 weeks. -Delays are reported worse for non-wage expenditures versus salaries and in rural areas -In some district, transfers were not made by councils to some sectors for the period 1999-2000 -Linked to cash budgeting system and the fact that salaries are prioritized in the budget. -This increases volatility in transfers and increase asymmetry of information N.A. Health: -Very low execution rate as 80% of non-wage expenditures are released at the end of the year -Delays were largely attributed to the application of the cash budgeting system in the MOF and cash Country Survey Year Type Sector Delays Observation and districts 2004 PETS Education Sierra Leone 2000 2001 PETS Zambia 2001 PETS QDSD Agriculture, education, health, security sector, social welfare, rural development and local development, water and sanitation. Education 2007 PETS QDSD Health 2002 PETS Health Mozambique -In particular, delays were observed in the payment of capitation grant to schools -13% of teachers do not receive their salaries regularly. -82% of teachers have salary arrears (2003) -Irregularities in the payment of the Education Support Fund program reported by 43% of students surveyed Education: Most schools in districts covered in the survey reported high percentages of teachers receiving salaries on a regular basis. - Salaries: About 5% of teachers incur delays -Hardship allowance: for almost all the provinces, about 20% of teachers incur delays -“double-class allowances (additional amount paid for overtime, etc): More than 75% of recipients of “experience at least 6 month overdue Delays in the receipt of salaries are observed (22 percent of staff). - Delays and bottlenecks 106 - Only 47% of teachers knew the amount of salary arrears. Cause constraints of the government -Salaries are directly transferred to teachers’ bank accounts. They don’t receive detailed pay slip. They lack information about their exact salary and deductions at the source. Education: Only Bonthe and Moyamba have low percentages of teachers who received their salaries on time. - Well defined allowances (hardship and responsibilities) tend to be paid on time -However, less well defined allowances suffer important delays. - Delays in the case of double class allowances and student trainees appear to be due in part to lag in payroll updating In contrast to previous years, the timing of MOH releases on district grants is predictable. However, more than a third of the DHMTs themselves admitted delays in releasing district grants to facilities, although this is difficult to understand given that most of them received these resources from MOH on time. Out of the 20 DHMTs queried, seven (or 35 percent) reported delays in releasing funds to the health centers and district hospitals under them, 50 percent did not, and 15 percent provided no categorical answer. Only two-thirds of health facilities have accurate registers. Country Survey Year Type Sector QSDS Delays in budget execution and supply management - Extensive non-payment of salaries observed in one of the two states surveyed, Kogi - Overall, 42% of staff experience salary delays, reporting not receiving salary for 6 months or more in the past year at the time of the survey. Nigeria 2002 PETS QSDS Health Senegal 2002 PETS Health - Evidence of delays in the decentralization fund (non wage) Cameroon 2003 PETS Health 2004 PETS Education 2003 PETS QSDS Education 20062007 PETS Education and Health -Delays in the notification of budgetary envelopes to decentralized units -Delays in the notification of budgetary envelopes to decentralized units are noticed. -Significant delays to get IPPTE and CRESED at the school level Education: -Significant delays in the arrival of the “caisse école”, school kits and textbooks at school level Health: -Extensive delays in the distribution of drugs from the central purchasing unit to the facility-level pharmacies. The distribution takes on average one and a half months. -There are big delays in payment of dispensers’ salaries by communes: 60% of the health centers report irregular payments. Madagascar Namibia 2003 Chad 2004 Education and Health PETS QSDS Education: - Delays in the supply of books at the school level Health: - Delays in the release of funds at the central level - 14% of the health workers face delays in receiving salaries. - In public clinics, salary 107 Observation Cause - Regression results show significant differences between Kogi and Lagos in terms of the extent of non-payment of salaries. -Non payment of salaries had impact on provision of services : the greater the extent of non payment of salaries, the higher the likelihood that facility staff behaved as private providers - Non payment of salary was related to problems of accountability at the local government level - Asymmetry of information between the local government and service providers on funds allocated -Fund managers have about 9 months to execute their budget - District is slow in budget execution Health: Health centers where payments are irregular suffer more from the leakage of antibiotics. Education: -Frequent teaching staff meetings and inspections lower leakages of the caisse école in the education supply chain Education -Mismatch between MOE textbooks catalogue and available books - Delays in salary payment are slightly higher 16 % vs 10% in urban areas - Poor infrastructure and absence of decentralized financial institutions. Workers Country Kenya Mali Survey Year Type Sector Delays Observation Cause delays affect 20% of the often have to travel long personnel distances to collect 7 % of health personnel salaries doe not receive their full salaries. 2004 PETS Health and -Delays in medical - Delays in medical education supplies delivery supplies may be -61% of health centers explained by top-down report stock outs of drugs approach in the during FY 2003-04 procurement process. 2006 PETS Health and Doctors paid by the HIPC QSDS education fund receive salaries with up to 2 or 3 month delays. Salaries for doctors paid by the City are often delayed by 12 to 20 months. Sources: Gauthier 2006, Survey reports; Uganda, Tanzania: Reinikka and Svensson (2004a); Lindelow et al (2006); PETS 1996-2004 tables. Note; (*) Reports not available; N.A.: Not available ← Note 11: Measuring equity Das et al. (2004a) used a household survey in Zambia to develop an index of wealth, which measured the progressive nature of two types of school funding (rule-based and discretionary). In addition, their equity analysis accounted for the value of staff inputs at the school level and private contributions to education expenditures. The study found that rule-based (per-school) funding had progressive characteristics that led to greater per pupil funding for poorer and rural schools. This was mainly due to the fact that rule-based funding was a fixed amount per school, irrespective of enrolment, and enrolment was lower in poorer rural schools. However, staff expenditures per pupil were found to be regressive; they were higher in urban and richer schools. This was associated with the fact that poor and rural schools tend to have a larger share of lower paid teacher trainees on the payroll. Discretionary funding was found to be regressive in rural areas (whereas it was wealth neutral in urban areas). Overall, (accounting for all these sources of public funds) public school funding in Zambia was shown to be regressive, with richer schools receiving almost 30 percent more public resources per pupil. Furthermore, Das et al. (2004a) also showed that household spending further contributes to inequalities in education. Das (2004) examines the question of the effect of government education expenditure on equity. His model specifically accounts for the difference in the substitution effect between public and private education expenditures between the rich and the poor. He shows that the success of government education expenditures at reducing educational inequalities depends on the types of expenditures and institutional arrangements used. While cash grants were successful at targeting the poor, they were less successful at modifying overall educational expenditures given the greater crowding out effect on poorer households. Consequently, public transfers did not reduce inequality in overall educational expenditures. 108 Gauthier and Wane (2005, 2008a) investigated equity in Chad. They focus on access to public health resources at the regional level and user costs among quintiles of income. They find stark inequities in the Chadian health system. The most affluent individuals have better access, both geographical and financial, to health care and receive a higher quality of care. About 44 percent of individuals in the richest quintile have another health care provider close to their home, compared with 13 percent for the poorest quintile. For the most affluent patients, out-ofpocket medical expenses account for 2.1 percent of their monthly household incomes versus 21 percent for the poorest, which thus bear a burden that is ten times heavier ← Note 12: Measuring impact of decentralization Das et al. (2004a) incorporated the question of decentralization in the sample design in the 2002 Zambia PETS/QSDS which surveyed two centralized and two decentralized provinces. Decentralized provinces were defined as those where a district education board exists and is responsible for school funding. While the survey indicates that decentralization improved the flow of funds by decreasing spending at the provincial level, it somewhat reduced the allocation of funds to schools. Indeed, decentralized provinces presented greater levels of fund capture than centralized provinces. Overall, while only between 15 percent and 33 percent of total funding in the system (rule-based and discretionary funding) reaches schools, the record is slightly worse in decentralized provinces. Schools in centralized provinces receive around 30 percent of total funds in the system compared with about 25 percent for schools in decentralized provinces. Note that the tracking exercise in Zambia assessed the amount of resources available in the education system within the four provinces surveyed, distinguishing between rule-based and discretionary funds, and the originating level of the resources, as well as funds available at the district level. Financial resources available at the school level were tracked per pupil (Das et al, 2004a, p.36). Khemani (2006) examined decentralized delivery of primary health care in Nigeria. Her empirical study is based on the PETS/QSDS carried out in 2002 in two states (Lagos and Kogi) covering 30 local governments, 252 primary health care facilities and over 700 health care providers. The two states differ on a number of aspects that influence accountability relationships, in particular level of urbanization, availability of alternatives (such as private providers) and effectiveness in monitoring frontline providers. The study found a high degree of leakage in the more rural Kogi state. Furthermore, the author found evidence of a general problem of accountability at the local level in the use of public resources. Although the study cannot address the question of whether decentralization has a beneficial effect on allocation and use of public resources — because the two states examined did not differ significantly in the extent of decentralization of responsibility — the overall policy lesson is that strengthening local government accountability is fundamental to reducing public resources capture. ← 109 Note 13: Drug mark ups Gauthier and Wane (2008b) based on a 2004 PETS/QSDS show that that there is a negative and significant relationship between average drug mark-up and effective transfers of public resources to health centers in the health sector in Chad. Local health facilities that receive government transfers are able to charge lower mark-ups on drugs than centers that do not receive transfers. Leakage of government resources thus appears to have a significant and negative effect on user fees and thus constitutes a barrier to access to health care. They also observe that health centers located in rural areas tend to charge significantly lower mark-up than centers located in urban areas and that greater competition among health centers tends to significantly reduce average mark-up on drugs and thus be favorable to users. ← Note 14: PETS as part of country dialogue Macro perspective: PETS/QSDS can well inform the overall country dialogue on economic management, poverty reduction strategies, development strategies and plans, and public expenditure policies and implementation. Poverty dialogue: The overarching objective of many developing countries is the reduction of poverty, and one of the key strategies to reduce poverty is the use of public expenditure and related policies. Well-managed public expenditures in the social sectors have proven to be one of the most effective tools for reducing poverty and improving social sector indicators. However, while the dialogue on the allocation of public resources, such as the size of the budget or inter-sectoral allocations, is only the front-end of that discussion, what actually matters is the implementation of a given allocation strategy and policy. It is not enough to allocate: it needs to be ensured that resources are spent effectively at the facility levels. Sector dialogue: PETS/QSDS can be powerful aspects of the sector dialogue. Once the central finance authority has allocated the sector budgets and resources, it is the responsibility of the sector ministries to utilize the resources to achieve the desired outputs, outcomes, and results. PETS/QSDS are the key instruments for diagnostics that ask and answer questions such as: have the teachers been hired, are textbooks being procured and reaching the students, are drugs available to the patients, are centrally allocated resources reaching the decentralized levels and facilities? Once the sector has been allocated the resources, it is the concern of the manager to ensure that the resources are well used and that there are sector results. ← Note 15: PETS Within the programmatic AAA approach PETS/QSDS can fit in well with the programmatic approach to AAA/ESW, usually within the overall PFM umbrella. The usual multiyear perspective of programmatic AAA, which groups related AAA tasks, is particularly suitable for PETS/QSDS which can often span fiscal years to 110 plan, design, implement, disseminate, and translate into policies. A programmatic AAA also allows for the important task of prioritizing, sequencing, and linking related activities. The TTLs can decide, in close consultation with the stakeholders, what should be done first and how the synergies among the tasks can be best realized. However, the realities imposed by capacity constraints such as limited human resources in the government to do these tasks need to be factored in. Similarly, the task manager can only do a limited number of tasks at any given time. ← Note 16: Raising the awareness of the government and potential stakeholders Sensitization activities could also take place to inform and sensitize the governments and the various potential stakeholders of the usefulness of PETS and QSDS. This could take the form of workshops or other types of activities (See Example 11). These activities could help to: Develop country ownership and build support for conducting the study; Elicit views and identify problems in service delivery, and refine and identify specific study objectives. ← 111 Note 17: Typical policy reforms resulting from PETS/QSDS TABLE 4: INTERVENTIONS AND REFORMS 18 Country Uganda Year Survey Type Sectors 1996 PETS Education and Health 1999 and 2000 PETS Education 2000 1999 QSDS PETS 2001 PETS Health Education and Health Education and Health Ghana 2000 PETS Education and Health Rwanda 2000 PETS Health Tanzania 18 Interventions -Central government attempted to remedy the situation by publishing monthly intergovernmental transfers of public funds in the main newspapers and on the radio, and required schools to post information on inflow of funds. Objective Reported effects - To make information available to citizens and PTAs - To signal to local governments that the central government had resumed its oversight role - Flow of funds improved dramatically from 13% of intended capitation grants reaching schools in 1991-95 to over 80% in 1999 and 2000 - Delays in transfers are still considerable. Implications -Results suggest that efforts to increase citizens’ ability to monitor the system, and to inform them about their rights and entitlements, are important aspect in controlling corruption -Treasury initiated dissemination of itemized local government budget to members of Parliament and regular publication of budget allocation to various levels of government in newspapers -PETS opened an avenue for inter-ministerial collaboration and provided a practical approach to assess service delivery Source: Gauthier 2007, pp. 121-122 112 -Early indications are that the campaign has reduced leakage considerably -Survey results have not produced a strong response to reduce leakage and rent capture, either through innovations in transparencies or increased oversights at various government levels. Country Year Survey Type 2004 PETS Sierra Leone 2000 and 2001 PETS Zambia 2001 Mozambique 2002 Nigeria 2002 Senegal Cameroon 2002 2003 PETS QDSD PETS QSDS PETS QSDS PETS PETS Madagascar 2003 2005 Namibia 2003 Chad 2004 Kenya 2004 PETS QDSD PETS QDSD PETS QSDS PETS QSDS Sectors Education (Also realized in health, water and agriculture projects) Education, Health and various other sectors Education Interventions Objective -PETS has led to modifications in the MOF procedures, including tracking of expenditures to regional administrative levels Health Health Health Education and Health Education Health Education and Health Health Health and education Sources: Survey reports. Uganda, Tanzania: Reinikka and Svensson (2004a). ← 113 Reported effects Implications Note 18: Typical PETS objectives TABLE 5: PETS-QSDS SURVEYS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: MOTIVATION AND OBJECTIVES Country Uganda Tanzania Year Type Sectors Purpose 1996 PETS Education and Health Diagnosis 1999 and 2000* PETS Education Followup/impact evaluation 2000 QSDS Health Analytical 2004* 2009 QSDS PETS Health Water Follow-up Analytical 1999 PETS Education and Health Diagnosis 2001 PETS Education and Health Analytical 2003 2004 PETS Information on rural water supply and roads, judiciary and HIV/AIDS was also collected. Education Analytical Education Analytical Context/Motivation Objectives -To identify the reasons why despite substantial increase in public spending on basic services, output and outcome indicators remained stagnant, in particular official reports of primary enrolment. -Implementation of an Information campaign to provide citizens’ voice. -Locally implemented surveys -Health services were perceived as not meeting the needs of the population. -People preferred private non-profit and for-profit health clinics for curative care to the less expensive public health facilities -Despite increasing health budget, health indicators were declining -To measure the difference between the intended resources and resources actually received at various tiers, including service providers For the last over two decades, significant amounts of money into the sector to improve issues of access and functionality for the resource poor peoples. -Suspicion that serious problems existed in the flow of funds from the central government to frontline providers -Monitoring of pro poor expenditures in the context of a PER -Analyze the national budgeting process - Establish and track the chain flow of funds and budget support to water and sanitation sector from the centre to the end-user. - Analyze local government accountability mechanisms -To track all non-wage transfers to primary schools via local authorities. The study covered the Capitation Grant, textbooks and the Development Grant, and also considered data on enrollment and test scores. There are no references to the previous two PETS. This study was carried out in Tanzania as part of a process of enhancing accountability and to respond to To analyze the flow of resources in a stand alone development program in primary education. 114 -To collect data on access to information and capitation grant reception among the PETS 1996 school sample in order to evaluate the impact of the information campaign on leakage levels -To assess services provided by different categories of providers -To identify problems in facility performance, including the extent of drug leakage, staff performance and availability -To provide information on user charges and application of user fee policies -To measure and explain the variations in cost efficiency across health units with a focus on the flow and use of resources -To examine the patterns of staff compensation, oversight and monitoring and their effect on performance. -Tracking down government pro poor expenditures on priority sectors -To assess the efficiency of budget execution -To make recommendations for improving monitoring pro poor expenditure To establish more exact knowledge on the actual amount of resources disbursed from the central level that reach local schools. Country Year Type Sectors Purpose Ghana 2000 PETS Education and Health Analytical Rwanda 2000 PETS Education and Health Analytical 2004 PETS Education (Also realized in health, water and agriculture projects*) Analytical Sierra Leone 2000 2001 PETS Diagnosis Zambia 2001 PETS QDSD Agriculture, education, health, security sector, social welfare, rural development and local development, water and sanitation. Education 2007 PETS QDSD Health Mozambique 2002 PETS QSDS Health Pilot: Diagnosis/ Analysis Nigeria 2002 PETS QSDS Health Diagnosis/ Analysis Analysis Context/Motivation funding leakage issues. -Major gaps exist in access to and utilization of basic services by the poor -Budget shares for health and education were increased in a context of a decentralization policy Objectives -To measure leakage between different points of resources distribution. -To identify bottlenecks in resource flows -To explore ways to ensure that funds reach service delivery facilities -Increase in the budgetary allocation to the social sectors, particularly health and education -Social indicators remain stagnant -Indicators, especially in health and education, remained stagnant despite increase budgetary spending in social sectors. - In the context of conflict, the home-grown surveys sought to fill an accountability vacuum - Increased budgetary allocation to social sectors without noticeable improvement in outcomes -To track expenditures for social services -To identify delays and leakages of budget transfers in order to improve the effectiveness of budget spending. -To demonstrate surveillance and control of the expenditures to the civil society and external donors. -To analyze public funds transfer process, respect of procedures, account keeping and evaluate leakages of public funds -To formulate strategies to improve the system. -In a context of economic crisis, the government and donors seek to increase quality and equity in primary education. -Reforms in the administrative and institutional structure of the education delivery system were introduced -Need to increase per capita health spending. Health indicators remain weak, signifying possible resource allocation and/or service delivery problems. -To examine the structure of funding and implications for service delivery -To examine the relationship between expenditures and educational outcomes -To determine if the changes undertaken by the MOE had the desired impacts in terms of education outcomes -Broad public sector reform agenda designed to increase efficiency and transparency in public service de livery. -Health sector reforms, including institutional and management reforms. -In the context of decentralization of basic health services at the local government level, -To assess the functioning of the health service at the primary health care level with an emphasis on flow of resources and output. -To assess if resources allocated to primary health care reach their destination. -To provide baseline data against which progress can be assessed -To examine the flow of resources an incentives at the facility level -To examines the role of local governments and community based 115 -To provide diagnostic information on key poverty sectors -To provide evidence on leakage in the service provider supply chain -To monitor and evaluate government services in order to increase transparency -To map sources and uses of funds in the health sector -To assess the allocation, release, actual receipt and use of public expenditure down to the facility level -To analyze alternative scenarios for improving allocation of resources in the health sector and options for service delivery. Country Year Type Sectors Purpose Context/Motivation to understand how institutional arrangements work in practice and impact service delivery 2006 PETS Education and Health Diagnosis/ Analysis Senegal 2002 PETS Health (Education*) Diagnosis/ Analysis Cameroon 2003 PETS Health Diagnosis Madagascar 2004 2003 PETS PETS QSDS Education Education and Health Diagnosis Analytical and impact evaluation 20062007 PETS Education and Health Analytical 2003 PETS QSDS Education and Health Analytical Namibia -Weak correlation between budgetary allocation at the national level and outcomes motivated the tracking of resources. -Despite economic growth, poverty remains prevalent -In the framework of a national governance plan to fight corruption, reduce poverty and increase efficiency of public expenditures -Priority given to access to basic services idem -In the aftermath of the 2002 political crisis, the government used part of the HIPC funds to pay for the tuition fees of all public primary school children to boost relatively low enrolment rates. -Also expected to shed light on the effectiveness of decentralization policies -The PETS seek to evaluate the effectiveness of this measure on school enrolment Education: -To improve the enrollment and completion rates as well as the quality of education, the Government had substantially increased investments in the education sector in recent years. Health: Despite large efforts by the government and donors, little updated information was available on the effectiveness of spending in the public health sector. -Despite important budgetary allocation in social sectors, outcomes do not meet 116 Objectives organizations in the delivery of primary health care services Education: To collect information on capital expenditures for school construction. -To track flows of public funds through the various hierarchical levels to evaluate resources reaching local service providers and how long it takes -To assess the impact of leakages and delays on service provision -Evaluate delays in budget execution of non-wage expenditures toward local service providers -To assess leakage levels at different levels in the service provider supply chain and procurement process. -Evaluate clients’ service satisfaction idem Education: -The main objective of the study was to provide information on expenditure allocations and leakage in the education system, from the two main funding programs in the education system (one administered by the World Bank, the other by the MOE). Three surveys were implemented. -First survey: To evaluate the impact of the political crisis on economic activities and on social service delivery. -Second survey: to track budget at the school level. -Third survey: To collect information at the district level on budget allocation. Health: -Impact of reinstating user fees -To evaluate health facilities’ efficiency and its determinants and to measure patients’ satisfaction. Education: - To analyze flow of resources through the system and measure absenteeism, leakage and bottlenecks Health: -To study if and when budgets, material and salaries arrived at the basic facility level based on primary data collected in a nation-wide survey. -To improve their knowledge on the functioning of the sector and thus to address bottlenecks towards better service delivery. -To track public resources to local service providers at different levels in order to assess leakage Country Year Type Sectors Purpose Chad 2004 PETS QSDS Health Analytical Kenya 2004 PETS Health and education Analytical Mali Mali Niger Context/Motivation expectations -Hypothesis is that some funds do not reach destination -The government and donors wanted to ensure in the context of increasing oil revenues and public expenditures in social programs in the framework of the PPTE Initiative, that funding would contribute to poverty reduction objectives by reaching their destination. Objectives -To compare health resource access and level of services in all regional delegations. -To analyze resource allocation and their impact on performance of health care facilities -To provide data on basic characteristics of health centers -To provide information on potential factors explaining differences in performance between health facilities and types of ownership -To identify means to improve the situation. -To provide information for improving the effectiveness of public expenditures in bursary funds and in primary health care in order to determine if they benefit the poor as intended -Deterioration of health indicators despite increase in health spending. -In the education sector, important rates of dropout despite bursary programs. 2005 PETS Education Analytical With a consistently Identification and analysis of potential QSDS increasing budget, the causes of problems encountered in the Ministry of Education delivery of public resources to designated (MoE) is also recipients. progressively decentralizing the spending of a higher share of its resources to the regional level. 2006 PETS Health Analytical In the context of public - Provide a quantitative assessment of the QSDS management reforms budget execution with a focus on nonunderway to improve salary expenditures health outcomes, the - Assess the delays in receiving health Ministry of Health has services and assessment of resource developed in 2003 the losses Medium Term - Analyze the impact of constraints and Expenditure Framework anomalies in the flow spending on the (Cadre de dépenses à efficiency and performance of health moyen terme) of the facilities. health sector. 2008 PETS Health and Analytical In order to improve - To increase the government’s education development outcomes understanding of the link between public in education and health spending and service delivery at the and to ensure that facility level resources reach their - To contribute to improving the intended beneficiaries, effectiveness and accountability in the there is a need for use of public funds. increased resource allocation to also be accompanied by improvements in the efficiency of public expenditures. Sources: Survey reports; Uganda, Tanzania: Reinikka and Svensson (2004a); Lindelow et al (2006), PETS 1996-2004 tables. Note: (*) Reports not available. ← 117 Note 19: Previsions versus effective expenditures data There are generally various budget laws in a country. Indeed, in most countries, there are generally three or four budgets: (a) planned (b) revised and (c) executed (final) and (d) audited. The “Planned” budget is important in itself as it helps identify the capacity of programming of the administration, as well as for identifying incentives and real priorities of the government. However, for PETS purposes, one needs especially to make use of the executed budget, which presents among the three budgets, the best information available on official resource transfers and which reflects the variations in the levels of revenues and expenditures. Indeed, there could be expenditure leakage between the MoF and the line ministry. Also, this information allows the determination of how adjustments are made when there are (positive or negative) shocks, (i.e., which ministry gets hit?). While in theory, audited accounts of actual government expenditures are the most reliable, and are preferable to data on unaudited spending, there is typically a 1–2 year delay between the end of the fiscal year and the availability of audited data on actual expenditures. Generally, the most practical solution is hence to use provisional (unaudited) figures on executed budgets. ← Note 20: Choice of units in the primary sector in health and education in Senegal and Tanzania 2010 In Senegal and Tanzania, as reported by Bold, Gauthier, Maestad, Svensson and Wane (2011), the aim of the 2010 QSDS studies was to measure quality of primary services in health and education. The unit of observation in education was easy to determine (i.e., all schools with primary level teaching). However, in health care, the domain of coverage was more complex. Primary health includes outpatient consultations, family planning, maternal and child health services, etc. Generally, these services are provided both in lower level units (e.g., health posts, dispensaries, and community health centers, etc), as well as hospitals. A key question is whether all levels of providers should be included, or it is sufficient to include levels for which provision of primary health services is the main objective. It is more complex to include an analysis of hospitals services, except if there is a clear separation within hospitals between primary health services and other services. 118 In the case of the SDI (QSDS) surveys in Senegal and Tanzania, the approach has been to include lower level facilities and include higher levels until one was confident to have covered a significant majority of people’s encounters with the primary health services. A 75 percent coverage was used as a rule of thumb. In Tanzania, the survey included dispensaries and health centers. In Senegal, the survey included community health posts and health centers. Hospitals were not covered in either country. ← Note 21: Hard and Soft Rules governing resource flows Resource flows (financial, in kind) within public administrations could be governed by either hard or soft allocation rules. (a) Hard/fixed rules: These rules correspond to situations where a specific criteria or allocation rule is used to determine the transfer of resources toward a level, area, units, or specific population. For instance, at the central level, such rules are used when states, regions, provinces or districts are financed through a specific rule, such as a per capita basis or through a poverty formula (perequation, etc). Such formulas could also be found for allocating resources toward service providers through, for instance, transfers to schools on a per capita or per student basis (i.e., capitation grant), or by schools, by types of schools, or mediated by some poverty criterions. (b) Soft or discretionary rules: Such rules correspond to a situation where transfers are not conditional to a specific rule or criteria and the effective allocation is left to the discretion of bureaucrats or elected officials. Soft allocation rules are frequent in many developing countries. For instance, at the central line ministry level in the health or education sectors, it is frequent that allocation of some budget lines toward various decentralized administrative units are not determined by a specific (hard) rule, but left to the discretion of the officials. Similarly, at lower level of the administration, officials at the provincial, regional or district level could have the discretion to allocate resources toward the units under their jurisdiction according to their discretion. For instance, in Chad, allocation from line toward lower administrative levels is essentially entirely left to the discretion of officials. (Note that there could exist 119 a decision rule established by the officials which could be elicited by the researchers). Note that salary flows are allocated according to the contractual obligations of the ministry or administration in a specific area and could hence be considered as hard rules. ← Note 22: Rule based versus discretionary expenditures The level of discretion exercised on resource allocation tends to influence leakage levels. Greater discretionary power granted to particular administrative units, combined with weak supervision and improper incentives, could lead to large fund capture. Indeed, differences in leakage levels have been observed between funds allocated through fixed-rule and those that are at the discretion of public officials or politicians (Reinikka and Svensson, 2001, Das et al, 2004a, and Lindelow, 2006). In Zambia for instance, rule-based funding (per-school grants) presented a level of leakage of only 10 percent, versus more than 76 percent for discretionary funding. 19 As emphasized by Das et al (2004a), since rule-based funding is clearly defined by a simple allocation rule, capture of funds is more difficult compared with discretionary funds, which are not bound by any specific allocation rule. Similarly, in the health sector in Chad, where no fixed allocation rules apply for most resource allocation, it was estimated that only 1 percent of non-wage resources allocated to regional health administration in 2003 arrived at the facility level. However, this finding about rule-based versus discretionary expenditure cannot be generalized yet. Indeed, one of the highest leakage levels among surveys was observed on a rule-based funding (capitation grant) in Uganda. 20 Of course, this observation does not constitute a contradiction to the hypothesis that rule-based funding is less prone to leakage. Indeed, in the Uganda case, discretionary funding, which could have revealed even higher levels of leakage, was not tracked. Ultimately, in countries surveyed, it was generally observed that the greater the agent’s discretionary power, the higher the leakage observed. Furthermore, funds capture, in countries characterized by relatively important discretionary power and weak monitoring, has been associated with groups’ bargaining power. In Uganda, for instance, large variations were observed across schools in reception of public resources, which were explained by relative bargaining power. Reinikka and Svensson (2001, 2004b) used econometric analysis to explain these differences across schools. They showed that smaller schools and the greater presence of 19 It should be noted that Das et al (2004a, p. 25) are “agnostic” about the fact that such non-arrival rates at the school level constitute good or bad service delivery, and whether leakage is indeed taking place given that for discretionary funding, no fixed-rule governed the share of resources earmarked for service providers. Indeed, normal administrative use at the provincial and district levels should be accounted for in this figure, as well as delays in arrival, etc. 20 Average leakage level of 87 percent in Uganda during the 1991-95 period. 120 unqualified teachers were associated with less fund reception per student. However, schools in better off communities experienced less leakage of funds. In particular, they estimated that a 10 percent increase in household income increases the amount of public funding that reaches the school by 3 percentage points. Similarly, in Zambia differences in schools’ bargaining power was put forward to explain the fact that only about 20 percent of schools receive any resources from discretionary funding. Das et al (2004a, p.41) argue that the few schools that received large amounts of discretionary funds have greater bargaining power with higher administrative levels. Source: Gauthier 2006, p.33 ← Note 23: Measuring leakage on resources allocated with fixed/hard allocation rule When the resource for which leakage is to be measured is allocated through a rule-based formula (i.e., fixed or hard allocation rule) (such as in Uganda for capitation grant, i.e., specific amount per student is allocated to a school based on its enrolment), then the measurement of leakage at the facility level is done using the following standard formula: Leakage is measured as the ratio between how much the facility actually received in financial transfers during the period under study and the entitled funds, that is, how much it should have received during that period. In presence, for instance, of a capitation (i.e., per student) grant formula in education for instance, to measure leakage one needs only to compare how much the school is entitled to based on the number of students using the specific formula in place and compare it with the amount received by the school. Note that in the case of the Uganda PETS 1996, transfers to schools was measured as the sum of financial and in-kind transfers. In kind transfers were only measured in quantities and value of material was obtained through a generic price list (see Ablo and Reinikka 1998, and Reinikka and Svensson 2001). ← 121 Note 24: Measurement of leakage in case of discretion/ soft allocation In the absence of hard/fixed rule of allocation, that is if the resources are allocated through discretion of officials at the various levels, then the way leakage is measured is affected as well as the sampling strategy. In the absence of fixed-rule, leakage rate is measured as the ratio between how much the facility actually received and how much the central level (or other hierarchical level) has sent to the facility. The following “narrow” leakage formula applies: In addition to data on resources received by a sample of frontline providers (as in the case of a fixed rule), in the absence of fixed rule, one needs to carefully collect data on the resources disbursed/sent by the central, regional and district levels (Note that in a fixed rule context, the specific allocation rule provides the denominator). o Data has to be collected on the amount of financial transfers and value of all resources sent to a region during the fiscal year and ultimately what reaches facilities. For instance, this approach was followed in the PETS/QSDS in the health sector in Chad in 2004. Similarly, in the education sector in Mali, each school was assigned during the course of a year a certain number of schoolbooks by the Ministry. The 2005 survey compared the book allocation number as recorded in government documents (executed) and the number of books received by the schools as measured in the survey based on school records (See Wane … for details). ← Note 25: Rapid Data Assessment Some past surveys have failed because of skipping this essential step or inadequate RDA. Data problems are frequent at various levels within the administrative system. Realizing a rapid data assessment before designing the instruments and piloting a survey should be a norm in all surveys. Reinikka and Smith (2004, pp. 52-53) write on that respect: 122 “A rapid data assessment may be necessary to determine the availability of records at various layers of government as well as in the private sector, particularly at the school level. Some studies have failed as the availability of records in local government and schools was not adequately assessed beforehand. It is important to verify the availability of records early on, even if it means a delay and some extra up-front costs.” Indeed, records could be badly kept, incomplete, unreliable and hard to understand. It is important to know what information is recorded in official records, the quality and availability of data, the aggregation level, periods available, consistency between levels, etc. There could be widespread absence of adequate account keeping: financial data in particular could especially be incomplete and uncertain. Indeed, the most serious problem of PETS is often the nonexistence of records at the facility level but even at the central level. Record keeping practices are often very poor and often only involve storage on paper form. In some occasions, there could be electronic data, but it is not a guarantee of greater accessibility. In the Chad 2004 health PETS/QSDS, for instance, MoH personnel data was found to be managed by one person and were on a computer without back up. However to get a copy of the file was not feasible as it was found that the computer had a virus. The tracking of wage expenditure was hence not feasible. It is also not infrequent that newly appointed administrators or elected officials (e.g., health facility committee) at the local or district levels have no records of previous fiscal year activities. If information is of poor quality at the local government level (region or district) for instance, this level could be bypassed and information could be collected only at the facility level (in order to measure resources available for service) and at the central ministry level (in order to know how much was officially sent). ■ See also Example 14 for RDA Questionnaires ← Note 26: Size of user surveys The number of users interviewed per facility sampled varied somewhat from survey to survey. In the 2002 PETS/QSDS in Mozambique for instance, approximately eight outpatients were interviewed (for a total of 679 individuals). The selection procedure was sophisticated (see Lindelow et al 2004). In Uganda and Chad, exit polls were used to interview about 10 patients per facility (for a total of 1,617 individuals and 1850 respectively). ← 123 Note 27: Rationale for collecting various categories of data The rationale for potentially collecting these various categories of data is as follows. (i) Environment and characteristics: Collecting data on the characteristics of the various agents (i.e., administrative units and service providers) within the supply chain and the environment in which they evolve is important in order to identify important particularities of the sector studied. Such data include information on the location, ownership structure, size, etc. Data on the service provision environment allow the assessment of the competitive environment. These data could include information on the number and distance of other service providers, the distance from market or from the capital which could have an effect on resource reception and information, etc. (ii) Financing: Financial data are important especially for PETS in order to track resources from the central government unit through the supply chain down to the service provider. These quantitative data are taken from the central government budget and records, as well as from decentralized administrative and facility records. Financial data are also important in QSDS to assess the efficiency in the usage of the resources available to service providers and equity in the allocation of these resources. (iii) Inputs: Measurement of inputs is essential for assessing resource use, transfers and availability at the various levels. Among the main inputs that need to be collected is information on material inputs such as staff and salaries, medications, vaccines, text books, blackboards, equipments, etc. (iv) Institutional arrangements and production process: One of the distinctive particularities of PETS and QSDS, as mentioned, is their emphasis on institutional and production process data. These institutional arrangements and mechanisms determine the incentive structure of the personnel. This information allows understanding how resources are combined, utilized and transformed at every level of the supply chain and how services to the population are produced. These data include, for instance, information on management practices, supervisory and reporting activities, rewards and penalties, etc. Various proxy of accountability are also targeted, including information on supervision, reporting, auditing, performance assessment, rewards systems, etc. (v) Intermediate outputs: Intermediate outputs are outputs of the production process that are not directly associated with the services rendered but which affect quality and performance (OECD, 2000). For instance, staff absenteeism is related to the production process but does not measure a final objective of the production process. Among the key information that need to be collected are measures of access to services such as the variety of services offered, as well as opening and closing time of facilities. It could include the physical distance of the targeted population (e.g., walking distance to the health clinic or school). Some measures of quality of 124 services could also be proxied by physical and human capital, consultation duration, availability of material, etc. Also, measures of affordability of services are important elements to capture. These could for instance include direct costs (such as user fees, transport costs, informal payments, bribes, etc) and indirect costs (opportunity costs, such as waiting time, etc.) (Amin and Chaudhury, 2007). (vi) Final outputs: Information on final outputs is related with what is directly valued by clients of the service provision (e.g., patients, student). These could be for instance graduation rates or the number of patients treated. (vii) Final outcomes: Outcomes are the result of the interplay between government policies, public interventions, frontline service providers, individuals (e.g., patients and students) and communities. Final outcome indicators are overall measures of performance within the sector. These could be based on objective measures of outcomes such as mortality rates or student achievement, but could also be perception measure such as clients’ satisfaction. While as in any surveys, an objective of parsimony in data collected needs to be respected in order to minimize non-sampling errors, collecting information on these core areas could provide a certain degree of standardization in tracking surveys and allow benchmarking and cross-country comparability over time (Amin and Chaudhury, 2007). ← Note 28: Data sources records versus recalls In order to minimize measurement errors, it is recommended to use records, accounts or invoices to collect quantitative or financial data. In exceptional cases, when no other sources of data are available and data based on recalls are collected, clear indications in that respect should be reported. Still, in some past PETS/QSDS surveys, respondent recalls were used because no records were available at the facility level. Data quality is certainly in doubt in such situations. In Ghana, for instance, the information collected from schools was based on recall data rather than data obtained from school records or accounts, making the data significantly less reliable. ← Note 29: Length of quantitative data tracking Completeness of data collected (or targeted) generally detracts from accuracy, as typically, there will be more missing data for a longer time period. Given that data at the facility level generally are in quite disaggregated forms, the work of the enumerator is made very tedious, if not unfeasible, when too much data and too long a period are targeted. 125 In past surveys, there has been much variance regarding the length of data collected. In some cases, data collection covered period of five years and sometimes only one month for specific data. Such variations greatly depend, of course, on the difficulty of collection of the specific data targeted and the recording procedures. ← Note 30: Seasonality of data Short collection periods are generally associated with problems of seasonality, which could bias the data. If data are collected on a monthly basis, for instance, there is of course a need to aggregate the data on an annual basis. While in the education sector, there are few problems of seasonality (except maybe for dropout levels), in the health sector, seasonality is generally an important issue. If data are compiled on a monthly basis and only certain months are available (or collected), aggregation on an annual basis is problematic, as frequentation data and types of illnesses are potentially quite different from month to month and across regions. In general, it is better to collect annual data if they exist instead of monthly data, except if the issue of seasonality of services is specifically targeted as a management or performance issue. If only monthly data for a short time span are available, a strategy has to be devised to reduce biases introduced by seasonality. ← Note 31: Problems with informal sampling Some past PETS/QSDS samples have been chosen informally on the basis of their convenience of access or ease of interviewing, instead of through the use of random selection techniques (e.g., Tanzania and Namibia). The key problem with such informal methods is that valid inferences about the whole population of facilities (as well as clients or staff) cannot be made from the survey results, which considerably weakens its potential policy impact. ← 126 PETS/QSDS EXAMPLES Example 1: Some examples of PETS/QSDS motivations and objectives: Mozambique, Zambia, Chad, Afghanistan Mozambique 2002. A combined PETS-QSDS was implemented in the Mozambican primary health care system in 2002. The health system in the country had rapidly expanded in the last three decades. However, there was evidence of problems in service delivery, including low quality, shortage of drugs and equipment, low staff morale and informal charging. (Lindelow et al, 2004). Furthermore, the process whereby resources were allocated between line ministries to districts and facilities was not well known. A further concern, as in most other tracking surveys, was that resource allocated to the health system did not reach facilities that provided services. The objective of the tracking survey was a) to assess the functioning of primary health care services, b) to provide quantitative and factual evidence on how the financing and logistical arrangements for primary health care facilities operated in practice and to determine whether resources reached their destination, and c) to assess the impact of these arrangements on the capacity of facilities to deliver services. The survey further hoped to provide baseline data against which policy reforms and progress could be assessed. The survey collected information from public health care facilities and district administrations. A staff survey and a patient exit poll were also administered. The tracking survey focused on the allocation and execution of non-wage recurrent budgets through the administrative process, facility infrastructure, inputs, outputs, management, user fees and human resources (Lindelow et al, 2004). Zambia 2002. A combined PETS-QSDS was carried out in Zambia in 2002 in the basic education sector. Education in Zambia was recognized by the government as a key component of development in a PRS paper. In particular, the survey was intended to evaluate the impact of a specific funding program to schools supported by international donors, the “Basic Education Sub-Sector Investment Programme” launched in 1998 (Das et al, 2004a). The survey traces rule-based and discretionary expenditures flowing from the central government to schools via provincial and district administration, in order to identify leakage of funds, inefficiencies and delays. The scope of the survey was extended by adding a household survey, which allows exploration of linkages between frontline providers and users of services. Furthermore, this was the first attempt by a PETS-QSDS to measure educational outcomes, which it tries to trace back to educational expenditure. Along with the survey, pupils were tested in two consecutive years, which allowed derivation of learning achievement measures. Chad 2004. A combined PETS-QSDS was organized in the Chadian health sector in 2004. The Chad PRS paper considered the health sector a central pillar of the government’s strategy to revive growth and alleviate poverty. In a context of increasing oil revenues and public expenditures in social programs as part of the PPTE Initiative, the government of Chad and 127 international donors wanted to ensure that funding would contribute to poverty reduction objectives by reaching its destination and benefiting the population. The Chad survey focused on the health system as a whole (primary, secondary and tertiary health care providers).The objective of the survey was to compare resource access and level of services in health centers of all the country’s regional delegations. Specifically, the objectives were a) to analyze the impact of and bottlenecks and constraints in resource allocation and their impact on efficiency and performance of health care facilities; b) to provide data on basic characteristics of health centers, in particular those that significantly affect public service quality; c) provide information on potential factors explaining differences in performance between health facilities and types of ownership and identify means to improve the situation; d) analyze the impact of service quality on households’ demand for health care service (Gauthier and Wane, 2005). Afghanistan 2010. A PETS was implemented in the Afghanistan education sector in 2010. Various analysis, including a World Bank PER in 2009 and a Ministry of Finance’s review of its experience with provincial budgeting pilots, observed inequities and delays in delivering resources to provinces and local levels across sectors. The Government of Afghanistan was interested in addressing these concerns and a Result-Based Budget Approach was to be introduced to better link public expenditures and outcomes. The Ministry of Education in particular had been working with key donors at improving its internal budget formulation especially addressing issues of resource allocation across provinces. In this context, the PETS in the education sector “aimed at tracking the quantities and timing of subnational resource flows and identifying bottlenecks and leakage in the system” (World Bank, 2009). The overall objective of the study was to understand the mechanisms of resource flow in the general education sub-sector. The focus was placed on wages and non wage recurrent (Operation and Maintenance) expenditures. It seeks at identifying problems in the system which may result in delays or leakage and addressing aspects of capacity at local levels. ← Example 2: What motivates religious not-for-profit health care providers in Uganda Using a QSDS, Reinikka and Svensson (2010) explore what motivates religious not-for-profit health care providers. They use a change in financing of not-for-profit health care providers in Uganda to test two different theories of organizational behavior (profit-maker versus altruistic). They show that financial aid leads to more laboratory testing, lower user charges, and increased utilization, but to no increase in staff remuneration. The findings are consistent with the view that the not-for-profit health care providers are intrinsically motivated to serve (poor) people and that these preferences matter quantitatively. ← 128 Example 3: Repeated PETS Uganda. Repeated PETS were used in Uganda to evaluate the impact of an information campaign designed to reduce resource leakage in education identified by an initial tracking survey. (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004b). Rwanda. Two PETS were implemented in Rwanda: the first was conducted in 2000 in the health sector, while the second, in 2004, covered education, health, together with water and agricultural projects. The objective of the first survey was to identify potential leakage and sources of delays in the flows of funds from the MOF to service providers through the administrative system, and to recommend measures to improve use and flows of resources. The second PETS pursued various objectives, especially a) to assess the system of resource allocation in the social sectors, b) to analyze the degree of compliance with procedures and rules for public expenditures, c) to evaluate delays and leakage of public expenditures funds and their impact on the attainment of planned objectives, d) to analyze account keeping and reporting mechanisms, e) to evaluate the outputs and perception of the beneficiaries In practice, the Rwandan survey was essentially an impact evaluation of three funding programs (the Fund for Genocide Survivors (FARG), the Education Support Fund for Vulnerable and Poor Children, and the Capitation Fund). It also comprised a diagnostic study of salary payments to primary school teachers. Madagascar. In Madagascar, three rounds of PETS survey were put forward in the education sector starting in 2003 following the decision by the government to use part of the HIPC funds to pay for the tuition fees of all public primary school children in order to try to increase enrolment (Francken 2003). Three distinct surveys were implemented. The first was put forward to evaluate the socio-economic situation following the political crisis of 2002. Public primary schools were surveyed on financial data, especially financial contributions to the schools. The second survey was organized to track budgets at the school level to quantify the amount of funds and materials that should arrive and that actually arrive at the local facility level from the two main funding programs in the education system (one administered by the World Bank, the other by the MOE). The third survey was organized at the district level to gain insights into budget allocation (World Bank/INSTAT, 2005; World Bank, 2007). ← Example 4: Delays in Zambia, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Nigeria In Zambia, information was collected on delays (and arrival time) in the reception of salaries and four types of allowances (compensation and time overdue) at the service provider level. The four types of allowances studied were (i) Double-class allowance, paid to teachers who teach more than their contract stipulates, (ii) Hardship allowances, paid as an incentive to teach in rural areas, (iii) Student-trainee allowance, paid to teachers in their second year of training who are assigned to rural areas, (iv) other allowances, which include compensation for 129 additional responsibilities at the school (Das et al, 2004a). For the salary component, the payment system is efficient; over 95 percent of staff was paid on time and less than 3 percent reported more than six months’ overdue pay. However, allowance disbursements have worse records, depending on the type of allowance. Well-defined allowances (hardship and responsibilities) are paid on time, while delays are observed in disbursement of the other types of allowances. In particular, more than 75 percent of recipients of “double-class allowances” (additional amount paid for overtime, etc) experience at least six month’s overdue pay. According to the report, this appears to be partly due to lags in payroll updating. In Rwanda, delays were observed in the payment of capitation grant funds to schools. About 13 percent of teachers did not receive their salaries regularly. More importantly, 82 percent of teachers report salary arrears in 2003. In Tanzania, REPOA/ESRF (2001) described the disbursement procedure between the central level and facilities via district authorities. It measured the disbursement time between these levels and delays for salaries and “other charges,” as well as for certain materials (books and drug kits). Salaries appeared to be less prone to diversion than non-wage expenditures, but delays in pay for frontline staff were also observed. The most important delays are reported for non-wage resources in rural areas. The cause was linked to a cash budgeting system, which lead to volatile transfers of resources due to fluctuations in revenue. Significant delays in the allocation of non-wage funds at the central level were documented. In fact, delays were observed in all districts studied. In some districts, no transfers at all were reported in some sectors for the period under study. In Nigeria, Das Gupta et al (2003) and Khemani (2006) found evidence of long delays in the payment of salaries to health providers. In particular, extensive non-payment of salaries of public health personnel was observed in one of the two states surveyed (Kogi and Lagos) where 42 percent of staff respondents reported not receiving a salary for six months or more in the past year at the time of the survey. Results of regression analysis indicated significant differences between Kogi and the other state surveyed (Lagos) in terms of the extent of nonpayment of salaries. It was further shown that non-payment of salaries could not be explained by lack of resources available to local governments. Evidence suggested that non-payment of salary was related to problems of accountability at the local government level in the use of public resources (Khemani, 2006). Furthermore, it was observed that non-payment of salaries had an impact on provision of services as the greater the extent of non payment of salaries, the greater the likelihood that facility staff acted as private providers (more service provided outside the facility, expropriation of drugs from facility stocks, etc.). ← 130 Example 5: Teacher and Health Worker Absenteeism in India In India, one-quarter of government primary school teachers were absent from school, but only about one-half of the teachers were actually teaching when enumerators arrived at the schools (Chaudhury et al, 2006). The authors analyze the high absence rates across sectors and countries; investigate the correlates, efficiency, and political economy of teacher and health worker absence; and consider implications for policy. ← Example 6: Teacher Absenteeism in Zambia Das et al. (2005) explored the relationship between teacher absenteeism and students’ learning. Absenteeism in Zambia was shown to be associated with shocks, caused often by illness or death rather than overall lack of motivation. The authors showed that teachers work harder to compensate for such absences but that children with a frequently absent teacher may fail to improve in their test scores. The findings suggest that programs to allocate substitute teachers could significantly improve education outcomes in such an uncertain environment. ← Example 7: User fees in Chad In the Chadian health sector, contrary to the conclusions of previous studies (Ministère de la Santé publique, 2001; World Bank, 2004), the tracking survey discovered that the most important source of health center financing is user fees. As most public health expenditures in Chad are consumed by the central and regional administrations that do not provide direct services to the population, very little is left for frontline service delivery. Once labor resources are allocated, health centers are left to their own devices to finance their activities through user fees. Indeed, government transfers account for only 2 percent of health center revenues (excluding salaries) and for one quarter of their revenues, including salaries. The impact in terms of access is significant, since the health centers tend to charge higher user fees to make up for their lack of resources (Gauthier and Wane, 2008b). ← Example 8: User fees in education: Uganda, Zambia, Rwanda In the education sector in Uganda, the tracking survey found that private contributions represented more than 60 percent of education finance at the school level in the early-1990s. Subsequently, fees were abolished (although the repeat PETS showed that some fees continued to be collected) (Reinikka and Svensson, 2001). 131 Similarly, in Zambia despite an official policy of abolishing Parent Teacher Association (PTA) fees in order to increase enrolment (PTA fees were abolished for primary and basic schools in April 2002, three months before the fielding of the survey (Das et al, 2004a, p. 51)), the survey estimated that private education expenditures were prominent in education costs. Das et al. (2004a) estimated that education fees and other private non-fee expenditures (textbook, uniforms, etc) represent on average between 54 percent and 67 percent of total education costs for rich and poor households, respectively. In Rwanda the ministry of education introduced a policy of “education for all” to improve access to basic education. Under this program, the ministry pays education fees for all students. Basic education has thus become free and compulsory. However, the survey report notes that the disbursement of public funds to schools is irregular and insufficient to cover school expenditures. Schools then ask parents to make additional payments, which far exceed public funding. (In the capital, these school fees ranged from 400-2000 Rwf per student per term, while in the province, they ranged between 5 and 500 Rwf (Government of Rwanda, 2004)). School authorities reportedly send home children who were unable to pay school fees (Government of Rwanda, 2004). ← Example 9: Measuring efficiency Lindelöw et al. (2004) examined the question of productivity of health centers using PETS/QSDS data in Mozambique. They analyze seven categories of service output and devise a composite index of output to deal with the problem of multi-output production. They observe significant urban-rural and regional differences in service output per capita. The authors note important variations in output per health worker across districts (8 to 1 ratio). They find that the low productivity observed in certain districts may be due to low density, and consequently, that low productivity may be a cost of extending service to sparsely populated areas in the interest of equity. Lindelöw et al. (2003) examined the question of efficiency in Ugandan health clinics using QSDS data. They make use of an output weighted index similar to the one used in Mozambique to measure health workers’ output for different categories of facilities. They note very important differences in outpatient-equivalent service units per workers across facilities in the country (in a 50 to 1 ratio). Important differences in output per worker are also observed across ownership categories, with lower levels observed among non-profit facilities. Gauthier and Wane (2005) also examined differences in productivity among health facility ownership categories in Chad using PETS/QSDS data. They observe that religious not-for-profit facilities are the most efficient providers for a variety of performance indicators (including the average number of outpatients and the number of patients per staff member). A typical religious not-for-profit facility in Chad treats 2,300 more patients annually than the average government provider of primary health care. Employees in religious not-for-profit facilities are 132 also the most productive, offering health care to over 270 patients more per year than the average health worker. This difference was 970 patients annually when the sample is restricted to qualified workers. Over et al. (2006) examine efficiency of health service delivery in six countries, focusing especially on HIV prevention. They apply a technical efficiency approach based on stochastic production frontier to estimate the determinants of relative productivity. They evaluate costeffectiveness of service delivery, controlling for quality of health care. ← Example 10: Impetus in Uganda, Ghana and Chad In Uganda, the central government had very little information about resource use and reasons for poor outcomes, but was suspecting that local governments, recently created through a decentralization policy, might be diverting resources for other purposes. The objective of the 1996 PETS was therefore to track expenditure flows in the hierarchical structure in order to identify factors explaining these poor results, and to measure potential leakages in school and health facility funding. In Ghana, the motivation of the 2000 PETS arose from Ghana‘s Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRS), which recognized that a significant gap existed in the access and utilization of basic services by the poor. Issues that were identified as crucial were quality, equity, efficiency and financing gaps (Ye and Canagarajah, 2002). With these considerations in mind, the objective of the tracking survey was to improve the efficiency of public spending and improve outcomes in social sectors. Decentralization policies had been put in place to improve the availability and access to services. The PETS was consequently intended to enhance transparency and accountability of public expenditure allocation. As in Uganda and Tanzania, the PETS implemented in Ghana sought to estimate leakage of public funds in the transfer process from the central government to public service facilities through district authorities, in basic education and primary health care. In Chad, in the context of increasing oil revenues and public expenditures in social programs as part of the PPTE Initiative, international donors wanted to ensure that increased funding would contribute to poverty reduction objectives by reaching its destination and benefiting the population. The objective of the 2004 health survey was to analyze the impact of and bottlenecks and constraints in resource allocation and their impact on efficiency and performance of health care facilities; to compare resource access and level of services in health centers of all the country’s regional delegations; and analyze the impact of service quality on households’ demand for health care service (Gauthier and Wane, 2005). ← 133 Example 11: PETS/QSDS Workshops in Afghanistan and Morocco In Afghanistan, a workshop was organized in September 2009 to discuss basic education subsector challenges in preparation of a PETS put forward in 2010. The “Workshop on Provincial Resource Allocations” sought to support the Government of Afghanistan’s budget process reforms to better connect and align the national budget to the Afghanistan National Development Strategy (World Bank, 2009:7). The overall aim of the workshop was to bring together key actors (in particular the Ministries of Finance and Education and sub national levels) to develop a common framework for addressing issues of efficiency and equity in resource allocation. More specifically, the workshop sought at identifying problems and causes of inefficient delivery of education services and infrastructure, especially at sub-national levels. (World Bank, 2009) In Morocco, a seminar was organized in Rabat in June 2010 in preparation of a PETS/QSDS in the health sector to present the various service delivery tools. It assembled people from various ministries (e.g. Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Public health) and civil society. The theme examined was “Are You Being Served?” based on the book of the same name. It helped inform and assembled a group from various ministries to discuss key challenges facing health services and examine new tools and methodologies to assess efficiency and equity in service provision. ← 134 Example 12: List of Tasks and Project Timeline Chart PETS/QSDS List of Tasks and Activities Tasks 1.Background and Institutional Mapping Report Activities Contents a. Collect relevant documentation and data Collect and review the relevant documentation related to the sector and programs under study. Documents to be collected include: Government sector documents and program reports; Government financial and budgetary documents from the Ministry of Finance and line ministries Sector administrative data and reports, such as routine information system data and annual reports; Review the main aspects of the sector/programs, the core strategies and policies, the variety and levels of funding flows, and identify the main challenges facing the sector/program. Following the review of documents, conduct a thorough analysis of institutional arrangements and policy. Through interviews with key informants within central and sub-national levels down to frontline providers and beneficiaries, and field visits, identify and describe the policy environment and administrative arrangements and rules governing the allocation of resources within the program. In particular: i. Identify resources mobilized in the sector/programs: Identify the sources of funding and importance; main components of the programs, the types of transfers and benefits, targeted beneficiaries, the types of resource transfers and benefits. ii. Ways in which these resources are mobilized and channeled; allocation mechanisms of resources in the sector/programs and various channels toward users; Describe the modes of allocation, how the public hierarchy is structured, and the roles and responsibilities of various administrative levels and units in the budget execution processes toward frontline providers and beneficiaries; criteria for allocation. Identify the allocation rules or mechanisms used to allocate the resources within the sector/programs at the various administrative levels; iii. Ways in which these sector/program funding are used at various levels: usage at central, provincial and decentralized levels (transfers to beneficiaries vs other usage of the resources (salaries, goods and services etc). For instance, flows could be divided into three categories: Monetary (cash transfers); Materials (such as textbooks, drugs, or equipment); Payroll (remuneration of staff). Further subcategories, such as investment expenditures, could be introduced along functional classifications in the budget. b. Analyze institutional arrangements and policy environment 135 Tentative timeline iv. c. Identify tracking flows d. Draw resource flow diagrams and identify risk areas e. Formulate questions and hypothesis f. Rapid Data Assessment and Assembling of existing data Results obtained by these resources: transfers and services provided (impact and outcomes if feasible). v. Accountability and information systems. Describe the information system and reporting mechanisms at each level for the sector/programs and delivery paths for the different sector inputs; and assess the accountability framework. vi. Identify the main issues and challenges facing the program, which affect service quality; During the analysis, ensure the distinction between official and effective rules and procedures (e.g., for resource allocation, accounting, recording, or monitoring) that are observed in practice for the different flows and levels. Rules and procedures effectively used to allocate resources (or recording funding flows) could differ from official rules and may vary from one location to another (i.e., district), and should be understood and analyzed. Identify cash flows (or resource flows) for monitoring/tracking. Select funding or resource flows for which financial and quantitative data (primary and secondary) will be collected and at which levels. For each resource to be tracked, draw resource flow diagrams illustrating how various resources flow within the sector/programs through each administrative node of the public administration toward service providers and beneficiaries. Identify key “decision points”, that is, places where resource allocation, deployment, and procurement are made and decision rules. Identify higher risk decision points and weak nodes in the supply chain that could affect the quality and availability of services within the program to focus the analysis and data collection strategy on these risk areas and resources. If expenditure allocation at some levels are made through centralized computer based accounting and payment systems (e.g. BAS), the budget procedures at the various levels need to be detailed in tables (including the budget and accountability procedures, specific budget lines, source of information used, actors involved and time period during the year) Once institutional arrangements understood and main risk areas identified, translate the study’s broad objectives into specific objectives and research questions that will drive the data collection strategy. Formulate hypotheses to explain the problems facing the service delivery system or program based on evidence and understanding of the system. These tentative answers to each research question will help determine the specific data required to test these hypotheses. -Identify main primary data to be collected and verify their availability. Verify the existence of records (receipts of resources sent by the government, services rendered, etc.); -Verify data availability, quality, and consistency given that there could be differences across geographical locations (e.g., rural vs. urban) 136 2.Design PETS instruments 3.Sampling strategy 4.Field deployment strategy 5. Survey manuals and protocols 6.Pre- test of instruments 7.Training 8.Finalization of instruments -Identify and evaluate the sources of existing/secondary data and documents on sector financing, spending, activities, and output. Copies of relevant documents and electronic records should be collected. These data are dispersed among various services and government agencies. If expenditure allocation at some levels are made through centralized computer based accounting and payment systems (e.g. BAS), specific budget lines have to be reviewed and detailed. Collect budgetary data as well as routine administrative data (e.g. Management Information Systems, MIS). Design PETS survey instruments to collect the relevant data required at each level to verify the hypothesis formulated to explain inefficiencies or iniquities in the system and to systematically measure leakage levels, etc. There should be a module to improve awareness of beneficiaries on the government’s assistance as well as government’s accountability/responsibility to realize this entitlement Develop a sampling strategy to obtain a representative sample of population under study; collect sample frame data: computer-based lists of various units and households, vulnerable children etc using census or statistical services within province. Develop a field deployment strategy to collect data within time and resource constraints. The deployment strategy seek to allocate teams and supervisors in the field in order to achieve, in the most efficient manner, the service facilities and other administrative units while respecting supervision objectives and in the delays set by the time schedule. Possibilities of return visits need to be accounted for in the survey schedule. Prior to the training, a detailed enumerator and supervisor manual, including a survey protocol describing the main procedures for survey implementation, should be prepared. The manual should discuss the questions of each survey instrument one by one, explaining the rationale of each question and potential interpretation problems. The manual should be used in the training sessions and will also support the teams’ field work. Pre-test all questionnaires among a small number of units (i.e. various administrative levels covered in the survey (including provincial/regional or district, facilities, staff, users, households, etc.) using all the instruments developed in urban and rural areas. Classroom and on-site training of all survey enumerators and supervisors to ensure that all questions and procedures are well understood. Training workshop includes field pre-pilot of the questionnaire to be carried out by the enumerators and supervisors to test all questionnaires and to train enumerators and supervisors in the field among a small number of units at various levels. Following the pre-pilot, a final revision of instruments should be carried out. This includes revising wording of questions, ambiguous responses, format of the questionnaires, and answer codes. 137 9.Data collection 10. Data entry 11.Data cleaning 12. Data analysis and reporting 13. Consultations 14.Disseminat ion of results The data collection/pilot could be conducted once all the previous steps are completed. The fieldwork supervisors must devote time and attention to supervising the work of the enumerator teams. Completed questionnaires should be transmitted to data entry operators weekly or bi-weekly. Data entry programs should be written following the completion of the questionnaires and should be tested during the survey pilot phase. A training workshop should be held for data entry operators and data entry supervisors to ensure proper understanding of the instruments, data entry programs, and verification mechanisms. Data entry should start at the beginning of survey implementation and should be completed promptly following the end of data collection. Data cleaning should be done shortly after the end of data collection. Data cleaning includes: Standard tests to identify outliers for each variable; A brief data cleaning report summarizing the data cleaning and including a statistical description of variables; The presentation of a table of summary statistics for all variables, including a short evaluation of the data quality indicating any weaknesses or other issues that will be relevant in the analysis. Reports should clearly identify and communicate the specific findings, in particular: Measures of leakage at each level, delays and other inefficiencies and ineffectiveness; Recommendations to be implemented; At minimum, report contents should include background information on the state of service delivery in the sector, descriptive and analytical information on various units analyzed in the survey work (local governments, facilities, staff, clients, etc.), evaluation of efficiency and equity in service delivery, funding disbursed at the central level and received at the decentralized level, etc. Consultation with different stakeholders Dissemination strategies should be developed. These could include information activities and take the form of seminars or workshops to present the findings and implications in public gatherings and among the stakeholders. During the activities, elicit views on how to promote reforms and improvements in service delivery and population outcomes. Source: Adapted from UNICEF (2011) “PETS Pilots in Dien Bien and HCMC in Vietnam” 138 Project Timeline Chart 21 Month 1 1 Week 2 3 Month 2 4 1 2 Month 3 3 4 1 2 3 4 Phase 1: Background analysis Review of documentation Analysis of the policy framework and institutional arrangements Phase 2: Preparatory stage Research questions and consultation with key stakeholders Rapid Data Assessment (RDA) Phase 3: Instrument design Design of survey instruments Preliminary pilot of instruments TOR for survey implementation Month 4 1 Week 2 Month 5 3 4 1 2 3 Month 6 4 1 2 3 Month 7 4 1 Phase 4: Fieldwork Training and field pilot of the instruments Data collection Phase 5: Analysis / report writing Data cleaning and variable construction Statistical analysis Budget data analysis Report writing Phase 6: Dissemination Publication of draft report Presentation at dissemination workshops Revisions and final report 21 Source : Adapted from ODI (2011) 139 2 Month 8 3 4 1 2 Month 9 3 4 1 2 Month 10 3 4 1 2 3 4 ← 140 Example 13: South Africa PETS/QSDS In South Africa where a PETS/QSDS on Early Childhood Development programs was put forward in 2009-10, important differences were noted regarding record keeping quality across the three provinces surveyed (Western Cape, Limpopo, and North West). In Western Cape, electronic data existed at the provincial level with disaggregation at the district level and good quality data at the facility level. In Limpopo, electronic data could not be compiled below the provincial level. In this context, following the RDA, the empirical strategy was adapted to bypass data collection from district level and only collect information from the provincial and facility, using electronic records at the provincial level and questionnaires based on facility records at the provider level ← Example 14: Objectives of field Visits and Contents of Rapid Data Assessment Objectives of Field visits part of the institutional analysis The field visits seek to gather information for the institutional mapping report and Rapid Data Assessment (RDA). Meetings should be organized with all the ministries, departments, administrative levels, districts, communes, frontline providers (e.g. schools or health centers) and other actors involved in the planning and implementation of the sector/programs. Meetings should also be held with a few beneficiaries of the programs: patients, households, community representatives, etc. The main objectives for the field visits include: a) Identifying the source of funds for the sector/programs under study; b) Developing an understanding of the responsibilities of key actors; c) Obtaining greater details on the sector/programs administrative and expenditure system and procedures; d) Exploring the types of transfers and how they're implemented in practice; e) Observations on the stated vs. actual implementation of the program in areas such as identification of beneficiaries, budget allocation and receipt etc; f) Identifying sources of secondary and primary data; g) Gathering detailed budget information for the last two complete fiscal years for the sector/programs under study; h) Undertaking a rapid data assessment to identify available data and what isn't to help refine the aim and scope of the tracking exercise. 141 Vietnam PETS pilots 2011 Potential questions for Rapid Data Assessment and Institutional Mapping visits22 District and Commune levels Target respondent: Head of the District or commune, most senior officer or officer in charge 0. name of respondent, title and phone number (in case further information is required) 1. What are your agency’s main roles and responsibilities in the planning and implementation of the programs? 2. How many communes (or boarding schools) are part of your jurisdiction? 3. Please provide a list of the personnel of your district/commune currently involved in the sector/program planning or implementation: -Category of personnel, number of staff in each category, share of their salaries paid by the programs 4. Do you keep accounting data of the programs’ resources receipts and expenditures? Are these data available for FY 2009/10 and FY2010/11? 5. What are the resources received by your district/commune part of the programs in FY 2009/10 and FY 2010/11: specify the value of the support by sources (provincial ministry, NGO etc) and categories: Budget categories Amount FY2009/2010 FY2010/11 Financial resources (non wage) Salaries and wages Goods and services Infrastructure Other (specify) Note : One table by source if applicable 6. At what frequency do you receive these resources (monthly, weekly, daily, etc)? 22 Source : Adapted from UNICEF (2011) PETS Pilots in Dien Bien and HCMC” 142 7. What are the mechanisms through which you receive resources? (Ex: electronic payment systems from provincial treasury to districts, communes accounts, central payment system, etc.). 8. What were the expenditures of the district/commune part of these programs by category (for both FY 2009/10 and FY 2010/11)? Expenditure categories Amount FY2009/2010 FY2010/11 Salaries and wages Goods and services Capital expenditures /infrastructures Transfers Other (specify) 9. Could you specify the value of the support (resource transfer) provided by your district/commune toward lower levels/service providers during FY 2009/10 and FY 2010/11 Amount of support Name of commune or school FY2009/2010 FY2010/11 10. At what frequency do you provide these supports (annually, monthly, etc)? 11. How do you provide such support/transfer of resources? (Ex: electronic payment systems from district/commune to commune/school account, etc) and how do you account for these expenditures? (Ex: electronic system, paper record, etc.) 12. What data on financial transfer, activities and services part of the programs do you keep? (For instance: financial transfers, number of beneficiaries by categories, number 143 of schools, households, grants provided, % of target population covered, graduation from program over time, etc). (Identify and collect for last two FY) 13. How are accountability and supervision exercised? Are there field supervision visits of communes or schools under your jurisdiction (if yes, purpose, intervals, etc.)? Do you verify the list of beneficiaries, if they meet requirements, etc? 14. Do you report administrative and financial data to higher level jurisdiction periodically? If yes, what is reported and at what periodicity? (take a copy of a report or information if available) 15. In your view, what are the main challenges/problems currently facing the sector/program? - Inefficiency: too high administrative costs, delays, etc; - Inequity among groups or communities, etc; -Inadequate incentives provided to schools, households, students; - Inadequate targeting of beneficiaries: target population not reached; - Other (specify). Frontline Provider: ex. Primary school Target respondent: Head of the school or most senior officer or officer in charge 0. Name of respondent, title and phone number (in case further information is required) 1. 2. Characteristics of the school(community) -Name of the school -Location: city or village name -Urban or rural area (mountainous area, etc) -Type of school (ex. primary, secondary, etc) 3. Number of students (by levels) Level Number of students 2009/2010 2010/11 1 2 3 4 5 6 144 4. Number of students benefiting from program’s support (by levels and type of support if applicable) Number of students benefiting of the program Level 2009/2010 2010/11 1 2 3 4 5 6 5. What are your school/organization’s main roles and responsibilities in the planning and implementation of the program? 6. What are the resources received by your school part of the program (for FY 2010/11 and FY 2009/10): specify the value of the support by sources (commune, district, NGO etc) and categories: Budget categories Amount FY2009/2010 FY2010/11 Financial resources (non wage) Salaries and wages Goods and services Infrastructure Other (specify) Note : One table by source if applicable 7. At what frequency do you receive these resources (annually, monthly, etc)? 8. What are the mechanisms through which you receive resources? (Ex: electronic payment systems from provincial treasury to districts, communes accounts, central payment system, etc.). 9. Type and value of support provided by your school to beneficiaries part of the program (by category of beneficiaries and type of support) Type of beneficiaries (sub program) 2009/10 Value of support Number of beneficiaries 145 Type (sub program) 2010/11 Value of support Number of beneficiaries 10. What data on financial transfer, activities and services part of the program do you keep? (For instance: financial transfers, number of beneficiaries by categories, number of schools, households, grants provided, % of target population covered, graduation from program over time, etc). (Identify and collect for last two FY) 11. How are accountability and supervision exercised? Are there school supervision visits by communes (if yes, purpose)? How many last year? 12. Do you verify the list of beneficiaries, if they meet requirements, etc? 13. Do you report administrative and financial data to higher level jurisdiction periodically? If yes, what is reported and at what periodicity? (take a copy of a report or information if available) 14. In your view, what are the main challenges/problems currently facing the program? - Inadequate targeting of beneficiaries: target population not reached; - Inefficiency: too high administrative costs, delays, etc; - Inequity among groups or communities, etc; -Inadequate incentives provided to schools, households, students; - Other (specify). ← ← Return RDA Example 15: Mozambique PETS/QSDS 2002 health funding flows In Mozambique, as reported by Lindelow et al (2004), the health sector is composed of a threetier administrative hierarchy responsible for the management of health services (Figure below). Health providers (hospitals, health centers and health posts) are under the administrative responsibility of District Directorates of Health (DDH). Their responsibilities include planning human resources and budget management, provision of medical supplies and supervision of service providers at the district level. DDH are under the responsibility of Provincial Directorates of Health (PDH), which coordinates the administration of health activities in the province. They enjoy considerable autonomy with respect to allocation of staff, medical and non-medical resources and supervision. Provincial directorates report to the Ministry of Health (MOH), which allocates their resources. Public health care providers in Mozambique, with the exception of hospitals, do not receive any financial resources from the public administrative system. The only sources of financial resources at the provider level are user fees charged for consultation services and drugs. Inkind resources (medical and non-medical materials, drugs and vaccines) are allotted to service providers through a complex administrative and logistical system. The DDH has a central role: distributing in-kind resources to health centers and paying salaries to health workers. Some of these resources are procured directly at the district level through a district logistic unit, but 146 other non-wage recurrent resources (e.g., drugs, vaccines, medical equipment) are procured directly by the provincial or central levels. Further, the investment budget is the responsibility of higher levels. FIGURE : FLOW OF RESOURCES IN THE HEALTH SECTOR IN MOZAMBIQUE Donors Central govt. Central logistics units Financial support In-kind support Salary budget Procurm. Procum. drugs, vaccines, equipment, etc. Non-slry recurr. recur. budget Provincial admin. Vaccines Med. equip. Drugs Provincial logistics units Financial support Salary budget In-kind support Procurm. equipment, material, etc. Non-slry recurr. budget District admin. Vaccines Med. equip. Drugs District logistics units Financial support Procurm. equipment, material, etc. Salary budget Health facility Source: Lindelow (2006) ← 147 Vaccines Med. equip. Drugs Example 16: Chad health funding flows In Chad, as reported by Gauthier and Wane (2005), the health system is composed of a mixture of public, private for-profit and non-profit service providers. As it is the case in most countries, the public health system is structured around four levels of responsibility (see Figure below). In some countries (such as Nigeria or Uganda), the administrative structure governing social service providers’ resources flows comprises only two layers (e.g., central and district/local government) instead of three. At the central level, the MOH is in charge of formulating health policies and allocating financial resources. At the intermediary level, 14 Regional Health Delegations (RHDs) are in charge of the implementation strategy and managing health personnel. At the decentralized level, 49 sanitary districts are in charge of implementing services within responsibility zones and overseeing health centers (Gauthier and Wane, 2005). Public health care providers in Chad (except some hospitals) do not receive any financial resources from the public administrative system, only in-kind resources. The user fee is the only source of financial resources at the local provider level. The central government ministries allocate resources (human, financial and/or in-kind) to the various layers of the administrative structure. These resources pass through various channels. Financial and in-kind resources might be the responsibility of a line ministry while human resources could be the responsibility of a civil servant ministry. Public resources arriving at decentralized levels from the Ministry of Health (MOH) are the sum of four components, namely (1) centralized credits, (2) decentralized credits, (3) ad hoc requests, and (4) medication and vaccine delivery. Centralized credits are resources purchased by the MOH (essentially materials and medications), intended for regional and district administrations and health centers. Delegated credits are budgetary resources given to regional or district administrations. Resources are also transferred through ad hoc requests; these materials are directly requested from the MOH and collected by regional health delegates and district heads in the capital. At the decentralized level, regional health delegates or district head doctors are responsible for managing these financial resources, and for redistributing purchased materials and medications to health providers under their jurisdiction. Moreover, the MOH administers a budget for medications and vaccines destined for health centers and hospitals. Medications and vaccines are formally included in the centralized credits, but follow a different path through the CPPA and PPAs (Gauthier and Wane, 2005). The budget is administered by the Central Pharmaceutical Procurement Agency (CPPA), which has a monopoly over drugs and medical products sold to the 14 Prefectoral Purchasing Pharmacies (PPP), as well as to the public and non-profit health facilities. 148 FIGURE : FUNDING FLOWS IN THE HEALTH SECTOR IN CHAD Donors MOF MOH MHR CPPA Decentralized Credit Regional Health Delegation PPA District Health Delegation Service Providers Source: Gauthier and Wane (2005) Funds In-kind Transfers Staff Compensation ← Example 17: Zambia education In Zambia, in the education sector, public resources also flow through three administrative levels before reaching primary schools (Das et al, 2004a).The administrative structure comprises the Ministry of Education (MOE), province office and district offices (Figure below). Two distinct types of provinces are observed, decentralized and centralized provinces. District education boards were created in the first type, but not in the second. Resource flows in the administrative system do not follow a simple top-down approach. At each level of the hierarchy, funds may be received directly from the central government or donors. In the case of centralized provinces, all funds are first allocated to provinces, which then determine the allocation among districts, while in the case of decentralized provinces, a portion of the discretionary funds are allocated directly from the MOE to districts, which then redistribute the funds to schools. In both centralized and decentralized provinces, donor funding administered by the MOE is partly allocated directly to districts (BESSIP program). 149 There is no movement of rule-based funding from the provinces to districts; all of these transfers are made directly from the MOE to districts. Discretionary funding (cash transfers) transit through the province in centralized provinces (including MOE and case IV donor fund), but is received directly by the districts in decentralized provinces. At the school level, tuitions and other fees are paid by households. FIGURE : FUNDING FLOWS ACROSS CENTRALIZED AND DECENTRALIZED PROVINCES IN THE EDUCATION SECTOR IN ZAMBIA Case IV donors (primarily the Program for Advancement of Girl’s Education) Ministry of Education Province (Centralized) Province (Decentralized) District (Centralized) District (Decentralized) Discretionary flows Households Schools Rule-based flows Source: Das et al (2004a) ← Example 18: Senegal and Cameroon Among the most complex administrative processes observed in tracking surveys realized to date in Sub-Saharan Africa are found in Senegal and Cameroon. The PETS reports (République du Cameroun, 2004; World Bank, 2006) describe in some detail the budgetary and administrative processes, which in Senegal involve nine procedures, including a Presidential committee for the approval of the district level budget. 150 At the other end of the spectrum, the administrative structure of the education hierarchy in Uganda examined in the first PETS was relatively simple. The structure of responsibility involved the MOE and district education boards, which are directly responsible to the MOE and supervise school facilities. As in Zambia, private funding to education was considerable at the time of the survey; parents were expected to pay for textbooks, uniforms, school supplies, PTA dues, etc. ← Example 19: Zambia classification of funding flows In Zambia, as reported by Das et al (2004), funding to schools is composed of five types of funds and resources: Cash flows: Fixed grant component The fixed-grant is a rule-based component of school funding. In Zambia, it is a per-school allocation of either $600 or $650, and no level of the administration has discretion over the amount disbursed. No information is required for the disbursement of funds as in the per-pupil allotment in Uganda, where data is required on enrollments in the school, and which may be subject to distortions at the level of the school or district. Cash flow infrastructure grant In Zambia, schools also receive money for rehabilitation of classrooms or for new construction (infrastructure). This money is disbursed through the microprojects unit of the Zambian Social Investment Fund, but the district retains considerable discretion over disbursement. Such grants are part of the discretionary component of school funding. Cash flow other grants Schools may receive additional money from the GRZ or Case IV donors (mostly funding through the Program for Advancement of Girls’ Education), and these resources are distributed entirely at the discretion of the district. Consequently, as with (2) above, these grants are classified as a discretionary component of school funding. Flows of material Schools may receive educational materials such as textbooks and chalk, again allocated at the discretion of the district, with some input from the provinces and the Ministry of Education. Although it is technically possible to track such resource flows, the procurement of educational materials had not yet been completed at the time of the survey (midway through the academic year). As a result, schools received such materials sporadically and in very small quantities. This component is excluded from the exercise. Payment of staff Staff remuneration can be thought of as arising from rule-based and discretionary components. Specifically, the salaries and allowances of teachers are paid through the centralized payroll 151 system. Neither provinces nor districts have discretion over the salary or allowances that a teacher receives, so this is identified as a rule-based component of staff payment. On the other hand, payments of one-time benefits are left to the discretion of districts and provinces, so this is identified as a discretionary component. Since most staff remuneration is a direct flow from the center to the teachers, payroll funds are omitted from the tracking exercise. ← Example 20: Chad health PETS/QSDS In Chad, for instance, the information flow system at the decentralized level is characterized by the existence of four main flows (personnel, centralized credits, decentralized credits and ad hoc deliveries). Regional health delegates (as well as regional hospital heads) are informed at the beginning of the year of their annual decentralized financial credit allocation as well as the personnel allocated to their region. In contrast, centralized funds, which are converted at the MOH level into in-kind transfers (medical material, medication, etc) are discretionary and thus not accompanied by information about their official allocation to regional levels. Note that district health delegates and facility heads do not receive any budgetary information about resource transfers except for the quantities that actually arrive at their administrative unit level. Indeed, regional delegates are thus responsible for allocating financial or in-kind resources to lower levels of the administration, but without any information flows. In-kind transfers sent from the MOH central warehouse arrive at regional warehouses. A “Bon de sortie” is used at the central level and a “Bon de livraison” is used at the regional level to confirm reception of specific quantities of materials. A copy is sent to the center, which is then dated. In addition, some information also flows bottom-up, as regional and districts heads are allowed to transmit specific resources requests to the MOH, through the ad-hoc delivery channel. As mentioned above, ad-hoc deliveries are specific supply pickups made by health officials (regional or district officers) and thus do not involve any other information. Information about services performed at the local facility level is provided monthly by facility heads through a monthly activity report (RMA) to the district official. Information compiled at that level is then sent to regional health administrations and then to the MOH. ← Example 21: Flow Charts in Ghana education The 2002 PETS education survey in Ghana was designed to capture quantitatively specific resource flows (materials or financial) at each administrative office where the public expenditures are handled toward primary and scondary schools Four expenditures were tracked: (1) Text books and Stationary (2) Capitation Grants (3) Investment Expenditures in Basic Education. (4) Service Activities (Item 3 Expenditures) 152 Note that expenditures go through different channels before reaching schools, even for the same expenditures. Ex: while the schools books are distributed by District Education Office (DEO) to basic schools, second cycle schools receive books distributed directly by the Ghana Education Service (GES) and the Ghana Education Trust Fund (GETFund) Figure A1 Tracking Text Books and Stationary Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Statutory Budget allocation Budget Allocation Procurement Ghana Education Services GES Headquarters GETFund GES Supplies and Logistics Books sent to DEO and 2nd cycle schools Books Sent Books Sent District Education Office (DEO) Books sent 2nd cycle schools receive books from the GOG Basic Schools receive books from Central Government Tracking Capitation Grants for Basic Schools and Student Subsidies for 2nd Cycle schools MOESS Capitation Grants Budget Allocation Budget Allocation Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Statutory allocation Ghana Education Services GES Headquarters GETFund Budget Allocation HIPC Fund Budget Transfer Budget transfer MOESS District Education Office (DEO) Budget Transfer GES HQ Capitation Grants Transfer Student Subsidies Transfer Basic Schools receive CG 2nd cycle schools receive Student Subsidies 153 Tracking Investment Expenditure in Basic Education Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Statutory Budget Transfer District Assembly Common Fund (DACF) Budget Transfer District Assemblies (Fixed % goes to school investment. District Education Office (DEO) Procurement Contractors Services provided Basic Schools new constructions Source: Ghana PETS 2007 ← Example 22: Bottlenecks and Risk Areas It is important to identify especially higher risk decision points and weak nodes in the supply chain that could affect the quality and availability of services within the sector. The following figure illustrates such risk areas. It shows a typical resource flow system in a social sector (health or education) between the central government and service providers through the various layers of the public administration system. In general, in each of the various branches of the supply chain system toward frontline providers, there are possibilities of bottlenecks and leakage: funding and supplies (e.g., drugs, equipment or materials) could be delayed or be captured. Similarly, salary expenditures could be delayed or leak through the creation of fictitious (ghost) workers. However, in the specific sector under study, some delivery channels, programs or areas will be more at risk of bottlenecks, inefficiencies and capture than others. It is important to identify these potential higher risk flows and programs and higher risks areas in order to focus the analysis and data collection strategy on these risk areas and resources. 154 Figure : Resource Flows with Leakage Risk Points Source: Adapted from Transparency International (2009) In the specific example presented which illustrates the case of Sub-Saharan African countries, risk areas were identified as procurement of textbooks as well as (….) In every survey, the identification of specific risk areas of a system should help in determining the specific focus of the PETS/QSDS study and condition the design of the survey instrument and specific data to be collected. Indeed, to design robust data collection instruments adapted to the particular type of inefficiencies and corruption in place in order to identify leakage and other inefficiencies, it is important to thoroughly understand potential bottlenecks in the system and the way resource capture is potentially achieved. ← Example 23: Examples of hypothesis In the 1996 Uganda PETS for instance, the hypothesis for the poor health and education outcomes observed was that public resources did not reach the schools and health facilities. 155 Survey instruments were developed to compare official budget allocations with actual spending at various tiers of government, including primary schools and dispensaries. In education, the focus was on the main non wage transfer, capitation grant. In Mali, a hypothesis put forward to explain poor education results was that books were not reaching schools. Data collection focused on tracking books and other school material. ← Example 24: Some features and lessons of successful PETS 1996 Uganda PETS in education The initial intentions in Uganda were to track all public spending in education through the entire delivery system. However, a pilot survey revealed important data availability problems: It was discovered that at both the central government and district levels, official records (for both wage and non-wage expenditures) were very poor, if not simply non-existent. Quality of information at the district level in particular, both on transfers from the MOE and disbursement to schools, was very poor. Decision was made to exclude the district level from the tracking exercise and to limit data collection to the central government and service provider levels -Furthermore, the pilot survey revealed that at the central government level, data were not available on salaries paid to primary school teachers, either by districts or schools. The only systematic information on primary education found to be available and of good quality at the central level was capitation grants for non-wage spending. Fortunately, financial records were also relatively comprehensive at the school level. The tracking exercise then ultimately focused on a single flow: capitation grant. The survey objective thus became: to determine how much of the capitation grant allocated by the MOE actually reached primary schools. Data (financial and in-kind) were collected at the school level on the reception of this single program. To estimate leakage (between the entitled budgetary allocations and actual reception at the school level), the only other information required was enrolment data at the school level, which was also available 2002 Zambia PETS/QSDS in education. Another clear success story is the Zambian PETS/QSDS in education in 2002. Through a very thorough preliminary study of the education sector and indepth analysis of the administrative process, the team was able to grasp the nature and characteristics of resource flows in the public education system. Six main flows were identified and categorized in terms of sources, types and administrative levels’ discretionary power in fund allocation (see Table below). Funds were further classified into four categories, (i) Rule-based allocation to schools consisting of a fixed-grant ($600 or $650 depending on the type of school) allocated to schools independent of enrolment; (ii) Discretionary allocation to schools by provinces or districts; (iii) Rule-based allocation to teachers: salaries and monthly allowances paid directly to teachers 156 through a centralized payroll; (iv) Discretionary allocation to teachers: Other teachers’ remunerations, such as transfer, leave or funeral benefits, pass through the province or district office, at their discretion. Once these flows were identified, the team chose to track non-wage cash flows from the MOE and donors at the provincial, district and facility levels. In-kind transfers, as well as salary transfers, were excluded from the tracking exercise. The specific objective of the tracking exercise then became to determine whether: (a) schools received the fixed-rule component of the MOH budget (lump-sum payment per school); (b) provinces and districts supported schools further through discretionary expenditures; and (c) decentralization had an effect on fund allocation behavior (Das et al, 2004a, p.29). 157 The rationale for excluding staff financial data (salary, allowances etc.) from the tracking exercise was that staff remuneration is disbursed directly from the central government payroll to individual teachers and hence does not pass through the hierarchical administrative system. Still, although it did not track salary flows, the survey analyzed staff compensation in terms of delays and overdue for various types of teacher compensation. Furthermore, financial data on staff compensation were collected at the facility level among a sample of teachers (from grades 5 and 6) in order to measure the value of staff input in each school, which was then used in an equity analysis. (These data were used to calculate the average salary of teachers interviewed in a school and to construct per pupil staff bills). The exclusion of in-kind materials and equipment from the tracking exercise was justified by the fact that the procurement of the school materials was not completed at the time of the survey, which was fielded in July in the middle of the school term (which started in January) (Das et al, 2004a, p.23). This could have introduced some biases in the data collected if provinces or district systematically provided more in-kind resources than cash transfers to certain types of schools or districts. However, as argued by Das et al (2004a, p.50) data on receipts of such materials at the school level tended to be small at the time of the survey, which reduced the potential risk of such problem. Lesson Having restricted the tracking exercise to cash flows has facilitated data collection in Zambia, as good quality financial records were available. Furthermore, the distinction introduced between rule-based and discretionary funding allowed the use of a measure of leakage comparable to the one developed by Ablo and Reinikka (1998) in the first Uganda PETS. Indeed, in the original (or “strict”) definition, leakage was defined with respect to a fixed rule. In addition, the Zambian survey examined the discretionary components of funds transferred to schools using an equity analysis. ← Example 25: Features and lessons of less successful PETS 1996 Uganda PETS in health. Contrary to the education sector where, after a pilot survey, the focus was specifically restricted to a particular program (capitation grants), in the health sector the focus remained on all public resources and administrative levels. However, lack of almost any financial information at the facility level and the heavy reliance on in-kind measures were not anticipated at design and pilot stage of the survey. Consistent quantitative data could not be collected. No systematic facility level information on financing, or inputs were found. Ultimately, survey did not produce any reliable quantitative measures of expenditure flows or leakage assessment 2002 Mozambique PETS/QSDS in health. Primary health care facilities in Mozambique are not allocated funding from higher administrative levels, but only receive in-kind transfers: complicates tracking. The survey could have focused: (i) on specific resource flow or program in 158 order to collect detailed data to permit reliable assessments of leakage; (ii) take a broader focus and attempt to measure most health expenditures, but incur the risk that the data would not allow firm conclusions on leakage. The second option was chosen: tried to track all non-wage recurrent expenditures, drugs and other supplies, and human resources, at three levels: provinces, districts and facilities. However, data quality turned out to be a serious concern at both the provincial and district levels. Large gaps in information were observed in about 75 percent of the districts between District Health Offices’ financial information records and those provided by the Provincial Health Offices. Furthermore, complete district level financial data could be collected for only about 40 percent of districts. Similar discrepancies between provincial and district records were also found in the case of medication transfers and health worker data. Mali education PETS/QSDS 2005. The PETS-QSDS in the education sector in Mali in 2005 faced a relatively similar data inconsistency problem to that encountered in Mozambique. Following data collection, it was observed that district and schools reported very different resources levels, and surprisingly schools often reported receiving more resources then reported to be sent by districts. A post-survey evaluation was realized in a certain number of schools and districts to identify the source of these inconsistencies. It was found that schools often received supplies (books and other material) not just from the district level but also from the MOE (through private suppliers). Furthermore, schools had difficulty separating supplies between the two sources and tended to incorrectly register these supplies as simply arriving from the district. Similarly, district records were inaccurate. Districts sometimes received materials from the MOE which were then sent to schools, but not properly recorded. Also, in some cases district records were based not on what had actually been sent, but on the reports of what schools reported having received. The survey team concluded that the information system was greatly deficient, and that important reforms needed to be implemented (Wane et al, 2006). Lesson As the Mali and Mozambique experiences reveal, it is important to identify and make sense of the information actually recorded in official accounts and records. Such identification would need to be accomplished during a data and institutional assessment phase or pilot phase, before the launching of the full scale survey. ← Example 26: Recommendations of potential tracking choice strategies If the entire spectrum of expenditures does not lend itself to tracking, either because of the large number of disaggregated line items and large number of programs or sources of flows, 159 poor recording procedures or data quality, or even survey time or budget constraints, at least three potential strategies for tracking selection are available: (i) Pick one or a few specific programs for which fixed allocation rules are in practice (such as per capita grants). Once the program is identified, all the items associated with the program have to be tracked on the variables used on the allocation formula and on the receiving end (on at least two levels including service provider), in order to estimate leakage. This was the approach chosen successfully by the Uganda 1996 PETS in primary education, focusing on the capitation (per student) grant program at the central government and facility levels. (ii) Track a large budget line, if transfers are essentially all in cash. Good quality financial data must be available on at least two levels of the administrative structure for the tracking period. All financial flows during a certain time period have to be tracked. This is the approach successfully chosen in Zambia in the primary and basic education sector for non-wage education financial transfers. (iii) Track a large budget line, such as non-wage recurrent expenditure, which could consist of cash and in-kind transfers. For financial data, good quality financial data must be available on at least two levels of the administrative structure for the tracking period. All financial flows during a certain time period have to be tracked. For in-kind transfers (such as drugs, medical material, books), instead of tracking all the items, adopt a sampling strategy. Especially if there is a large number of items received by the facility or if records are in a disaggregated state, as is typically the case at the facility level, this approach of sampling a few items instead of targeting wide (census type) coverage is probably indicated. The strategy entails selection of a few small items with a high frequency in the flow. While a census would involve tracking all budgets, a sample choice requires selection of a share of the (in-kind) budget to track, sufficiently large to be representative but manageable enough to be realistically surveyed. This was the approach successfully chosen in Chad and Mali. If this approach is followed, information on the share of these items, for instance medical materials, in the total budget has to be obtained in order to estimate total leakage in the budget, for instance. ← Example 27: Chad: Health PETS: data collection In Chad, for instance, health facility data sheets using the same structure as the official monthly activity reports (RMA) sent by facilities to the MOH were utilized to facilitate data collection at the facility level. Furthermore, the RMA electronic files compiled by the MOH (through district administrations reporting) were also collected at the MOH level. It was thus possible to verify (“triangulate”) the validity of information provided at the facility level. In several other countries data sheets were customized to facilities’ recording practices. ← 160 Example 28: Niger PETS 2008 Sampling education In the 2008 education PETS in Niger, for budgetary and logistic considerations, sample design was chosen to be regionally but not nationally representative. Indeed, a nationally representative sample would have required to survey sparsely populated remote regions. Gowever, given that this was the first PETS in Niger, the National Statistical Office (Institut National de la Statistique, INS) decided to limit geographical coverage. Three regions, Dosso, Tillabéri and CU Niamey were selected based on their close proximity to the capital. These account for about 38 percent of total population. Within each region, districts and service providers were randomly selected to ensure data were regionally representative. The table below presents the number of facilities surveyed by type. Although the findings of the PETS are not nationally representative, some lessons could be applicable to other regions given that expenditure distribution mechanisms are similar across regions. Still, patterns of inefficiencies could vary between regions due to various factors, such as differences in remoteness, population density and poverty levels. Source World Bank 2008, pp. 6-7 ← 161 Example 29: Senegal QSDS 2010 sampling strategy in education and health 23 In the framework of the Service Delivery Indicator Pilot project, QSDS type surveys were put forward in the education and health sector in Senegal in 2010. The sampling strategy was as follows. Education sector In the education sector, a stratified sample weighted by student population was used with stratification by regions and urban/rural locations. The country was divided into 10 regions (Ziguinchor region was excluded due to security issues). A total of 20 strata were constructed by dividing each region into an urban and a rural stratum. Within each strata health facilities and schools were selected randomly, with the number of units from each stratum defined by its size (see below). A lower bound for the number of observations by stratum was, however, imposed. Sample frame. The target population in the education sector was all children attending grade 4, therefore all schools with at least one grade 4 class formed the sample frame. The list of schools as well as the number of students enrolled in grade 4 per school was provided by the Direction de la Planification et de la Réforme de l’Education (DPRE) database of schools as of 2009. Sampling strategy. The final sample size was fixed to 151. The number of schools visited within each stratum was determined by the total enrollment of students in grade 4 in the stratum. Table 1 shows the number of schools, enrollment and sample size by stratum. Table 1: Sample Frame and Sample Size for the Education Sector Number of Schools Enrollment Sample Size Rural Urban Region Rural Urban Rural Urban 41 371 Dakar 15146 204347 2 23 345 59 Diourbel 51134 30958 6 3 644 43 Fatick 109197 16449 12 2 746 87 Kaolack 98742 49023 11 5 945 39 Kolda 147664 24942 17 3 727 49 Louga 61047 22445 7 3 353 19 Matam 50475 9423 6 1 92 Saint-Louis 523 71784 43893 8 5 802 43 Tamba 84341 22375 9 3 601 146 Thiès 120550 95819 14 11 5727 948 Total 810080 519674 92 59 Total 25 9 14 16 20 10 7 13 12 25 151 Finally, schools were randomly selected within each stratum with probability proportional to enrollment in grade 4, using the DPRE list. 23 Source: Bold et al (2011) pp. 56-58 162 Health sector Sample frame. In the health sector, the target population for primary health was the whole population. The sample frame for the health sector was all primary health care providers. There are two distinct populations of primary care providers in Senegal, the health post (poste de santé) and the health center (case de santé). It was not possible to obtain from the Ministry of Health a list of all health posts and centers in Senegal along with the population they serve. The National Service for Health Information (SNIS) provided for the year 2009 the list of health posts along with the region, district, and urban/rural location. Sampling strategy. The final sample size was fixed to 151 with 110 health posts and 41 health centers. The number of health post to be selected from each stratum was proportional to population. Population estimates per district were obtained from the latest population projections for 2010 provided by the national statistics agency (ANSD) using the latest census (2002) data. Tables 2 & 3 provides information on the sample frame and size for health centers. Table 2: Number of health posts, population size and sample per stratum Number of Health Posts Population Size Sample Region Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural 9 103 Dakar 49505 2728578 0 11 Diourbel 60 1411802 30513 14 67 2 Fatick 727052 4725 7 34 Kaolack 70 846205 200867 8 56 24 Kolda 585634 103622 5 65 13 Louga 848099 79874 8 65 7 Matam 803211 26416 8 54 38 St-Louis 501147 321364 5 67 22 Tamba 356470 64516 3 80 53 Thiès 734143 910551 7 593 307 Total 6863268 4471026 67 Urban 26 0 0 2 1 1 0 3 1 9 43 Table 3: Final sample health posts and health centers Sample of Health Centers Sample of Health Posts Region Total Rural Urban Rural Urban 0 26 26 1 2 Dakar 14 0 14 7 0 Diourbel 7 0 7 4 0 Fatick 8 2 10 5 0 Kaolack 5 1 6 3 0 Kolda 8 1 9 5 0 Louga 8 0 8 2 0 Matam 3 8 3 0 St-Louis 5 3 1 4 2 0 Tamba 7 9 16 6 1 Thiès 67 43 110 38 3 Total 163 Total 3 7 4 5 3 5 2 3 2 7 41 Total 27 14 7 10 6 9 8 8 4 16 110 Health posts were randomly selected within each stratum with probability proportional to population of the district where the health post is located. The selection of health centers was done as follows: (1) a sub-sample of 41 health posts was randomly drawn among the 110 health posts selected, (2) a list of all health centers attached to the 41 health posts was been established, (3) a random selection of 41 health centers was then done from this list. ← Example 30: Chad: mixed sample-census approach The alternative strategy of combining a stratified sample in the first stage (to choose districts, for instance) and a census in the second stage (within districts), allows evaluation of the use of all resources within districts, and hence measurement of leakage in the case of fixed allocation rules. It should be noted that this strategy presents the further advantage of allowing obtaining representative results without the need for weights (Turner et al, 2001, p. 49). This strategy was used in Chad, where a two-stage sample-census strategy was utilized. First, in each of the country’s 14 delegations, either one or two districts (depending on the number of districts in the region) were selected at random. Second, in each of the selected districts, all the health centers were identified and visited. Also, given the importance of the capital, N’Djamena, all its health centers were included in the sample. The original health center list was provided by the MOH Division of Sanitary Information and Statistics. In addition, surveyors were instructed to identify and visit all health centers not on the initial list in a selected district, especially the private clinics. The final sample included 281 health centers, of which approximately two thirds were public, 14 percent private for-profit and 19 percent private nonprofit. Recommendation: The choice between pure sampling strategies and mixed sampling-census strategies should be considered. The second strategy could be more practical in the absence of fixed allocation rules and where “narrow” leakage is measured, for which all resources in an area have to be assessed. ← 164 Example 31: Various sampling methods used TABLE 4 SAMPLE AND RESOURCES MONITORED IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA PETS/QSDS Country Uganda Year Survey Type 1996 PETS Sectors Education and Health Sample strategy Education: -Two criteria for sample selection: a) broad regional coverage b) Representative of the school population in the district. -Stratified random sample: For each of the 5 regions of the country, 2 or 3 districts were drawn with probability proportional to the number of primary schools in the district. The selection of schools in the district was based on school performance in the primary leaving examination results Health: In each district selected, 5 primarily government facilities were visited. 1999 and 2000 PETS 2000 QSDS Education Health N.A. -Two-stage stratified sample Three principles: a) focus on dispensaries; b) all regions included; c) all categories (public, private for-profit and non-profit) should be surveyed. Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked Education: Education: 2 levels: -18 districts (out of 39) - Central government (enrolment) -250 public primary schools -Annual capitation (per student) grant from the central government (financial and inkind transfers) Health: -Panel data 5 years: 1991-1995 -19 districts -100 health facilities Health: non-wage expenditure - Facilities -16 districts -218 public primary schools -Data for 1999 and 2001 -10 District administrations (out of 45) Data for 1999-2000: -Medical consumable -Districts -155 (public, private for profit and non profit) health facilities -Contraceptives -Health facilities -non medical consumable -Patients -1617 patients -capital inputs -First stage: 10 districts were randomly selected. - Central government (enrolment) - Facilities -Vaccines: 6 months data: -Drugs (6) : 1 month data -From the selected districts, a sample of public and non profit facilities was randomly drawn. Private for profit facilities were identified based on information given 165 2 levels: 3 units: Country Year Survey Type Sectors Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked by public facilities. 2009 Tanzania 1999 2001 2004 Ghana 2000 PETS PETS PETS PETS PETS Water Education and Health Education and Health Education Education and Health - Water and sanitation funds allocation from Finance Planning and Economic Development to districts 5 levels: -Central level -Districts, -Sub-counties -Communities water points facilities -Water users -Selection of 8 districts from each of the 4 regions. -At least 8 facilities per district - From the selected districts, random selection2 sub – counties. -983 water users N.A. -3 districts (out of 115) -45 primary schools -36 health facilities -Non-wage education and health expenditures 2 levels: -Data for 1998 -Facilities -Choice of districts based on geographical balance (ruralurban) and whether or not a financial management system (FMS) was in place. -At the council level, 2 schools and health facilities chosen from the ward that houses the council headquarter and 2 others from a ward considered remote by the council -Three-stage s stratified sample: First stage: Selection of 7 regions according to a stratification based on the Human Development. Second stage: Selection of 3 councils according to their proximity to the regional headquarters Third stage: within each council 10 schools were sampled. -5 districts -16 primary schools - Non-wage expenditures 3 levels: - Data for FY 1999-2000 and first half 2000 - Districts -Designed with the aim of matching data with the Ghana Living Standard Survey Round 4 (GLSS4) of 1998. -10 regions -40 districts -119 primary schools -79 junior secondary schools -172 primary health clinics -Two-stage stratified sample: First stage: From each of the 10 regions, 4 districts were chosen: 2 -Data from FY 2004-2005 to FY 2008-2009 -15 health clinics - District -Central government - Health facilities and schools -7 regions - 3 councils - 210 schools 166 -Capitation grant (cash and book), development grant and capacity building grant for school communities -Data for 2002-2003 -Total recurrent expenditure (wage and non-wage) -Data for FY 1997-1998 and 1998-1999 3 levels: -Central government - Councils - Schools 3 units: - District offices (health and education) - Health facilities and schools -User perception survey was carried out Country Year Survey Type Sectors Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked depressed, 1 average and 1 better off (based on criteria of natural resources endowment, infrastructure and level of developments). Second stage: In each selected district, 3 primary and 2 junior secondary schools were selected, as well as 3 health posts, 1 clinic and 1health center. Service facilities located in the EA of the GLSS4 were automatically part of the sample as well as facilities reported used by GLSS4 household. Rwanda 2000 PETS Education and Health Education: All administrative units (provincial and district levels offices) were visited. 400 primary schools were selected using a two-stage stratified random sampling method. 43 and 357 schools were sampled in urban and rural areas respectively, with probability proportional to the number of schools in the area. For the urban area, 9 of 43 schools were sampled from Kigali. Health: Nation-wide survey of facilities and administrative units 2004 PETS Education and Health* Education: Two-stage: In a first stage, for each 12 provinces, 3 districts were selected. Second stage: primary schools were chosen in selected districts as well as 1 secondary school per district. In addition, 1 secondary school per province which was determined to be the main beneficiary of the FARG Education: - Recurrent expenditures 5 units: -12 Provincial Education Offices (out of 12) (cash, in kind contribution and equipments) -Provincial -151 District Education Offices (DEOs) (out of 154) -Data for 1998 and 1999 -Facilities -Central government -Districts -Users -390 primary schools (out of 2100) Health: -11 Regional Health Offices (out of 11) - 37 District Health Offices (out of 40) -250 health centers (out of 351) -36 districts (out of 106) - Teachers’ salary -107 primary schools - Three funding programs: -Central government (out of 2203) i) Funds for Genocide Survivors (FARG) -schools -banks -36 Banks ii) Education support Funds for Vulnerable and Poor Children -48 students iii) Capitation funds. -48 secondary schools (out of 339) -Data for FY 2003 167 4 units: -beneficiary students Country Year Survey Type Sectors Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked program was selected Sierra Leone Zambia 2000 PETS 2001 2001 PETS QDSD Agriculture , education, health, security sector, social welfare, rural developme nt and local developme nt, water and sanitation. Two-stage: In a first stage, selection of the enumeration areas for the 8 districts and 12 constituencies in the Western Areas were selected. Education -Stratified random sample from urban/rural location. The sampling frame for the Enumeration areas (EAs) was therefore made of 102 chiefdoms -Financial and material resources -Data for the second half of 2001 -176 health facilities -477 primary schools -Schools were chosen from 4 provinces (2 richest and 2 poor with enrolment rates just marginally better than the worst performer) -33 districts -182 primary schools (grades 1-9) - Non-wage funding for basic education (fixed-school grant, discretionary non-wage grant program) -Data for June 2001-June 2002 6 units: -Central level -Provinces -Districts -Schools -Households -Student achievement 2007 PETS QDSD Health 18 hospitals, 90 rural health centers, 40 urban health centers. Various resource flows (government budget, basket funds, vertical project funds and internally generated funds) FY05-06 financial data 4 units : -central government -district -health facilities -patients Mozambique 2002 PETS QSDS Health -Sample was selected in 2 stages: random selection of districts followed by random selection of facilities within districts -Sampling weights were used to provide for nationally representatives estimates - Allocation: recurrent budget panel data 2000 to 2002 5 units: -35 Districts -90 Public primary health centers - Execution of district recurrent budget 2000 and 2001 - District directorate of health -167 workers - Drugs and other supplies -679 patients - District and facility data on user fees: -11 Provinces (out of 11) - Service output: - Users and staff were also selected randomly 168 -Provincial directorate of health - Health facilities - Staff - Patient exit polls Country Nigeria Year Survey Type 2002 PETS Sectors Sample strategy Health Sample Resources monitored and years -30 local government -252 health facilities -700 staff QSDS Levels/Units tracked 3 units: - Local government - Facilities - Staff Senegal 2002 PETS Health -Stratified sampling methodology was used to be representative of urban/rural level. -10 districts -37 local governments -100 facilities -5 regions were first randomly selected. 2003 PETS Health - Investment program -Covers all 10 provincial health delegations and the two main urban areas, Douala and Yaoundé. -36 district (out of 36) -Stratified multistage. -2952 patients (in-patients and out-patients) -In a first stage, 3 departments (UP) in each province are selected. - Decentralization Fund (recurrent non-wage expenditures) - Equipment Fund -Then 2 departments from each region, and 10 health posts and 1 district within each department were selected. Cameroon - Panel data 6 years: 19972002 -143 health facilities (including 36 hospitals and 34 private facilities) -Non-wage recurrent expenditures - Provinces - Data for 2001-2002 and 20022003 (9 months) - Health facilities 12 health facilities are selected in each department including the district hospital and 1 private clinic. -User survey: 6 users are selected per “zone de dénombrement” in each district for the main urban areas and 3 in others. 2004 PETS Education -Covers all 10 provincial education delegations and the two main urban areas, Douala and Yaoundé. -Stratified multistage. -In a first stage, 3 departments (UP) in each province are selected. 720 primary schools and 432 secondary schools (of which 324 general secondary schools and 108 technical secondary schools) -12,000 households -User survey: 8 households are selected per “zone de 169 Various resource flows - Districts - Patients Country Year Survey Type Sectors Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked dénombrement” in each district for the 20main urban areas and 14 in others. Madagascar 2003 PETS Education and health Education: Education: Education: Education: First survey: stratified random sample covering 144 communes in 36 districts (out of 111) First survey: 36 districts and 326 primary schools -Two main funding programs to schools : CRESED and IPPTE 2 levels: Second survey: 185 primary schools were surveyed, about half of the schools included in the first survey. -District allocation data collected for two years, 2001-02 and 2002-03 Second survey: track budget at the school level. The purpose was to provide nationally representative figures on budget and leakages from Cisco to the school level. Third survey: budget allocation at the district level Health: First survey: selection of the public health facility the most visited in each “zone de dénombrement” Second survey: household survey to track their living conditions and their attendance to health facilities. Third survey: individual survey (user perception survey carried out) 20062007 PETS Education and Health Stratified random sample: -For each the 6 biggest regions (out of 22), 2 districts were randomly selected. -From selected districts, 3 communes were randomly selected giving greater weight to the communes with more schools. -Within each commune, 3 public primary schools were randomly selected. In the selected communes, all public health centers of -Districts school authorities (Cisco) -Schools Third survey: 24 district administrations (out of 111) Health: First survey: 53 FS (“formations sanitaires”) in urban areas and 100 in rural ones (in total, 84 public health centers and 69 private ones (of which 19 faith-based ones)). Second survey: 12 households in each UPS in urban areas and 14 in rural ones Third survey: 1350 individuals (10 individuals per FS) 229 schools 113 health centers Education: 2 units: Cash, caisse école, school kits, school equipment, textbooks and salaries. -district Health: Current expenditures, non medical consumable, drugs 170 -facility level Country Year Survey Type Sectors Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked Type II were visited. If public health centers of type I were present in the commune, one was visited based on random selection. Namibia 2003 PETS Education and Health - Convenient sample of regions (7 out of 13) - Random sample of schools and health facilities within regions Education: Education: Education: 5 units: 113 public and private primary and secondary schools Non-wage recurrent expenditures -Regions School Development Fund Health: -Schools 2002-03 9 district hospitals -School board Health: 10 health centers -Students 22 clinics Non-wage recurrent expenditures Health: 5 units: 192 patients 2002-03 -Central government -Central government -Regions -Districts -Facilities and Patients Chad Kenya 2004 2004 PETS/Q SDS PETS Primary health care Education and Health -Mixed stratified samplecensus strategy -14 Regional heath delegations -Non-wage recurrent expenditures 7 units: In the fist step, either 1 or 2 districts depending on the number of districts in the region were selected at random in each of the 14 delegations. In the second step, all health centers were identified and visited on a census basis. -13 Regional pharmacies -Data for 2003 -Regional heath delegation -21 District health delegations -8 medical material were traced -Regional pharamacies -10 drugs were traced -District health delegations -1801 Patients Facilities Education: Education Stratified sample: In each of the 8 provinces, 2 poor and 1 rich districts were selected using poverty index. Facilities were selected in each districts using systematic random sampling -26 districts and 3 divisions in Nairobi province Bursary funds -Central government 2001-02, 2002-03, 2003-04 -Districts Health -Facilities Non-wage expenditures (funds and in-kind) -Users Users: random exit interviews of non serious cases in health centers. Random selection of 2 students who had received a bursary in each class. 2 of -598 parents -281 Health Facilities (public, private for-profit and private non-profit) -Health Facilities -Staff -Patients -1274 workers -330 public secondary schools - students Health: -27 districts and 3 divisions in Nairobi province 171 -Central government 2003-04 4 units: Country Mali Year 2005 2006 Niger 2008 Survey Type Sectors PETS QSDS Education PETS QSDS Health and education PETS Education and Health Sample strategy Sample Resources monitored and years Levels/Units tracked the nearest parents in each sampled school were interviewed. -214 public health facilities A 3-stage sample strategy: selection of 3 regions (Bamako and 2 others randomly selected) -In each academy, two CPC were randomly when the academy has four or less, and three CPC were selected throughout academy with at least five. -Finally, in each CAP, thirtyfive schools have been investigated. A one-stage strategy for urban health facilities.. A two-stage strategy for rural health facilities: selection of 7 out of 35 districts and then selection of a facility within this district. Three regions, Dosso, Tillabéri and CU Niamey were selected based on their close proximity to the capital. Within each region, districts and service providers were randomly selected to ensure data were regionally representative. -3 regions -15 CAP -525 schools -1255 teachers Selected government expenditures 4 units: 7 rural community facilities, 3 urban ones and 2 benchmark facilities out of a total of 504 institutions Selected government expenditures in health (mosquito nets, medicines, medical supplies, salaries in community health facilities, operating costs) Health -772 patients -Direction d’Académie d’Enseignement -Centre d’Apprentissage Pédagogique -Schools -Teachers 3 units: -Central government - Regional - Facilities Education: Education: Education: 6 units: 3 regional education offices out of 8, 21 district education offices out of 23, 299 primary schools out of 2,736 in the 3 regions surveyed Selected government expenditures in education (textbooks, notebooks and drawing books for students) -Book suppliers -Central government -Regional -Districts -Schools Health: -Students 3 regional health offices, 14 district health offices out of 14, 11 district hospitals out of 14, 60 clinics out of 233 Health : 5 units: -Central government -Private drug suppliers central and regional -Regional -Districts -Facilities Sources: Gauthier 2006, Survey reports; Uganda, Tanzania: Reinikka and Svensson (2004a); Lindelow et al (2006). Note : N.A.: Non Available. ← 172 Example 32: Sample stratification in Mali education PETS 2004 24 In the PETS 2004 in education in Mali, two strata were used in order to specifically focus on the supply side in the capital. A first strata was constituted of the capital Bamako and the other strata contains all the other regions. The steps for drawing the sample were as follow: For the capital: (1) Choice of local administrations (CAP). Two or three CAP were randomly selected for the right and left bank. (2) Within each local administration (CAP), a choice of 35 schools were drawn. For the other stratas (1) Choice of the regions to be part of the sample. Two regions were chosen based on their characteristics (2) All the academies of a region are visited. And among each academy, a local administration (CAP) are drawn. In each region, five CAP are visited (3) 35 schools are drawn in each CAP See Wane (2005) for final sample and further details on the sampling strategy. ← Example 33: Uganda education PETS 1996: sample strategy In the 1996 Uganda education PETS, a relatively large sample was used. The sample selection of schools was governed by two criteria (a) broad regional coverage, and (b) representativeness of the population of schools in the district (Ablo and Reinikka, 1998). A stratified random sample was utilized. For each of the five regions of the country, two or three districts were drawn with probability proportional to the number of primary schools in the district. In the 18 districts selected (out of 39), the number of schools visited was based on the total number of schools in the districts. The total sample comprised 250 public primary schools. ← Example 34: Uganda 2000 health PETS: sample strategy The sample strategy for the QSDS in the health sector in Uganda in 2000 also entailed a two stage stratified sample. The design was governed by three principles: (a) for homogeneity purpose, the focus was to be placed only on dispensaries; (b) to capture 24 Source: Wane (2005) 174 regional differences and subject to security constraints, all regions should be included; (c) to capture ownership categories differences, all categories (public, private for-profit and non-profit) should be surveyed (Lindelow et al, 2003). For public and private non-profit dispensaries, the initial sample frame was based on the 1999 MOH facility registry. For private for-profit facilities, given that no census existed, the strategy retained was to ask sampled public facilities to identify the closest private for-profit facility. Data were collected at the district administration and health facility levels. In addition, a patient exit poll was carried out. ← Example 35: Mozambique PETS/QSDS: sample strategy The overall sampling strategy in the 2002 PETS-QSDS in Mozambique was quite sophisticated. Five units of observation were considered in the survey: provincial and district administrations, public primary level facilities (health posts and health centers), staff and patients. A two-stage stratified sample was used for the facility sample selection. The sample was stratified in terms of urban and rural facilities, in order to contain sufficient urban facilities to allow adequate analysis. Given that no reliable sample frame existed, an initial list of primary facilities provided by the MOH was updated by enumerators during field work (Lindelow et al, 2004, pp. 8-9). A random selection of districts was first drawn. All 15 urban districts were automatically selected, along with a sample of 20 rural districts (selected with a probability proportional to the number of first level facilities in the initial sample frame). In the second stage, two considerations were taken into account in selecting facilities, (a) in each district, several facilities needed to be selected in order to assess the extent to which facility performance could be explained by local management instead of factors at higher levels; (b) to reduce implementation costs, facilities needed to be clustered in some areas. In this second stage, three facilities were selected (with equal probability) in rural districts and two in urban districts. The choice of facilities was made by enumerators in the field using “preprinted forms with a random numbers series and clear criteria for listing facilities” to minimize the risk of manipulation (Lindelow et al, 2004, pp. 8, 11). According to the report, the sample in the rural area is approximately self-weighted, that is, all rural facilities have the same chance of being selected. Overall, sampling weights were used to ensure that estimates are nationally representative. A staff questionnaire was administered. The sample design was as follows. In each facility, up to three workers were interviewed. The head of the health center was always interviewed, while the other two workers (or less for facilities with less than three 175 employees) were selected randomly among staff responsibilities (excluding helpers, etc). members with technical Furthermore, an exit poll of patients was carried out. The selection of patients was done randomly to reduce selection biases (which could be introduced if the interviews are restricted to certain hours of the day, if discretion is left to the interviewers, facility staff or patients themselves). For patients, only those attending “normal” outpatient services were surveyed and all other types were excluded (maternal and child health consultations, family planning and similar services). To select patients randomly, numbered tokens were handed out to all outpatients who were asked to see the enumerators after the consultation. Patients were then selected randomly with intervals between the users, which were determined by estimates of the total number of users expected on a particular day (Lindelow et al, 2004). The final patient sample presents variations in terms of number of patients interviewed in each facility because of errors in predicting the number of patients and idiosyncrasies in ways the sampling process was implemented. Still, Lindelow et al (2004) notes that the resulting sample of patients is more likely to be representative than ad-hoc sampling alternatives. Recommendation: Sophisticated sampling procedures, such as the one adopted for patients in Mozambique, have to be weighted in terms of their costs and benefits compared to more simpler approaches in terms of potentially less biased samples, but also in terms of variability in number of patients by facilities and in differences in strategy implementation among enumerators. ← Example 36: Ghana PETS 2000 Linkage method Few tracking surveys in Africa have chosen the route of linkages with other surveys. The Ghana 2000 PETS is an exception. Sample selection was structured to allow linkages with the Ghana Living Standard Survey (GLSS 4) conducted in 1998, and thus the matching between households and facilities data sets. The PETS sample covered 143 of the 300 GLSS 4 enumeration areas. Schools and health facilities located in the enumeration areas of the household survey were automatically part of the sample, together with facilities used by GLSS 4 households (Ye and Canagarajah, 2002) There is a trade-off with such an approach as a choice has to be made for the sample to be representative of the population of individuals or of the facility population. In the Ghana case, the final facility sample is probably representative of the household population and not of the facility population. In such situations, care should be taken to assign the proper weights to the facility sample to avoid biases. In the Ghana case, although the report does not provide details on the question, it could be inferred that 176 the weights used were most probably based on individual population instead of facilities, which in such case would introduce a bias. ← Example 37: Chad PETS/QSDS 2004 linkage with household survey In Chad, efforts were made to ensure linkages between the tracking survey and a household survey (ECOSIT) that was about to be launched in 2004 at the time of the design of the PETS-QSDS. A health module was devised by the tracking survey team and included in the household survey. Furthermore, facility survey codes were used in the household survey in order to be able to identify the facilities used by households. However, the linkage is not perfect; given that the household survey is much broader in scope, it includes enumeration areas (EA) that were not included in the facility survey. ← Example 38: Zambia 2004 Matching school and household data The Zambian PETS/QSDS took a different path to link supply and demand. Das et al (2004) innovated in devising a household survey which was then linked with their sample schools’ students in order to assess schooling achievement. The household survey was conducted in parallel with the school survey in a sub-sample of schools in two consecutive years in four provinces. The sub-sample of schools was chosen among schools sufficiently far apart (as measured using a Geographical Information System that was used to map the location of every school). This technique allowed matching household and school data. However, their results are limited to the sub-sample of schools matched with rural households (sample size not provided), given that the method chosen disqualifies schools in urban areas which are not widely enough separated. Furthermore, it should be noted that the household stratification chosen was not based on a preexisting survey. In that respect, the household sample may not be representative of the country’s population. However, the objective in Zambia was to develop direct linkages between schools and households. Indeed, by collecting these household panel data, Das et al (2004a) were able to incorporate household assets and spending in a detailed equity analysis, which revealed important elements on public and private spending and learning achievements. ← Example 39: Potential experiments and randomized evaluations Various other experiments involving the participation of citizens could be considered. Randomized impact evaluations of such interventions could help find answers to questions, such as: How can awareness about service provision and resource allocations be raised? Are decision-making mechanisms such as school boards or health committees having an impact on service providers and outcomes? Similar to the field experiment in rural India conducted by Banerjee et al. (2006), the role and impact of the village 177 education committee on school functioning and student learning could be examined. While these authors found that members of these education committees often had little knowledge of their role and had little impact on children’s learning outcomes, experiments could be devised to make these committees more effective, apart from identifying their impacts on schools and learning in sub-Saharan Africa. ← Example 40: Experiments to test worker incentives Duflo et al. (2006) tested whether incentives linked to teacher presence in class could reduce absenteeism, and whether they promote teaching and student learning. Monitoring was introduced through the use of a camera operated by a student, who photographs the teachers as well as other students at the beginning and end of the school day. Financial incentives were given to teachers in 60 randomly selected schools out of the 120 schools surveyed. They find that the program positively affected the absence rate from 43 percent in the control group to 24 percent in the treatment schools. Furthermore, student test scores were .17 standard deviations higher in the treatment schools. Chaudhury et al. (2005) found that community-hired teachers and contract teachers have significantly higher absence rates than those of regular government teachers. Similarly, Banerjee et al. (2004) and Banerjee and Duflo (2005) found that communitybased monitoring did not reduce health worker absenteeism in rural India. In contrast, Chaudhury et al. (2005) found that teachers had a lower absence rate in more frequently inspected schools. ← 178 APPENDIX A PETS and QSDS Indicators Presented below is a list of PETS/QSDS indicators. Section 1 briefly discusses the various uses of indicators. Section 2 presents potential indicators and discusses their motivations. Section 3 illustrates these indicators using the case of the Chad 2004 health sector PETS/QSDS. 1. Uses of indicators Indicators are synthetic measures representing important components of the service delivery system and social sector under study. They play an important role in monitoring and performance measurement. They allow tracking of results and progress, which would potentially allow the holding of some parties accountable for results (World Bank, 2002). In order to measure changes, an indicator specifies what is to be measured along a scale, but in itself does not indicate the desired direction of change (Binnendijk, 2000). A choice and definition of indicators must then be associated with baseline values and potential objectives of expected results over time. 25 One can distinguish between input and output indicators as well as between process and performance indicators. Process indicators help assess whether “human and procedural interaction… lead to a defined direction” while performance indicators help assess whether the level of attainment of certain goals has improved relative to their initial point. Performance indicators measure “deliverables or substantive outcomes” (Morgan and Qualman, 1996, p.42). One can also distinguish between qualitative and quantitative indicators, the former being a subjective description of categories of satisfaction or appreciation of a subject. In contrast, quantitative indicators provide “objectively and independently verifiable number or ratios” (Binnendijk, 2000, p.28). The collection of a standardized set of PETS and QSDS indicators would allow comparability over time and countries. 25 For evaluation purposes, that is, in order to better understand why and how a program or strategy works, baseline studies need to be carried out before the implementation or during the initial phase of a reform or project. Identifying adequate indicators for observing effects and monitoring results is crucial. 179 2. Potential PETS and QSDS Indicators Table A1 presents a list of 20 potential PETS indicators with their purpose, definition, and administrative level examined. A list of 30 potential QSDS indicators is presented in Table A2. The choice of these indicators is dictated by the need to measure key elements of the service delivery system along the various objectives identified for PETS and QSDS studies, units of analysis, and categories of data. The proposed list of PETS indicators comprises four categories: (i) budget/financing, (ii) personnel, (iii) materials, and (iv) characteristics and environment. The first category measures various components linked to the line ministry budget and dissipation of resources. The second category encompasses measures related to personnel inputs, while the third category concerns materials and equipment. The fourth category pertains to the characteristics and environment of the social sector under study. Some of the indicators listed in Table A1 encompass assessment of overall resource allocation and availability. For instance, the index of per capita resources at different levels seeks to objectively reflect the level of resources present at each administrative level and frontline. Leaving aside the question of efficiency in resource usage at different levels, it indicates the level of resources available for services. 180 Table A1: Potential PETS Indicators by levels (Central, Regional and Service Provider) Indicator number and name Motivation/Purpose Central level This indicator illustrates the relative importance of the line ministry in the government priorities and its capacity to correctly plan and execute its budget This indicator measures the respective shares of capital investments, total recurrent expenditures and personnel expenditures in the ministry’s budget. Proportion of the government budget that is allocated to the line ministry: 1a) Official share 1b) Executed share 1c) Execution rate Proportion of the line ministry budget devoted to: This indicator reflects the importance of the line ministry budget relative to the size of the economy. It could allow comparisons with other countries and relative to international norms in the specific sector. This indicator illustrates importance and priority given to that sector in government budget. This indicator illustrates the importance of financial decentralization in the line ministry budget, officially and in practice, in the total budget and by types of expenditures Line ministry’s overall budget as a percentage of GDP Budget 1. Line Ministry allocation (proportion of the budget) 2. Line ministry budget by functions 3. Line ministry’s budget as a percentage of the GDP 4. Rate of growth in line ministry budget 5. Fiscal Decentralization 2a) Investments; 2b) Recurrent expenditures 2c) Personnel expenditures Growth rate of line ministry budget relative to the preceding year Proportion of the budget of the line ministry that is decentralized (or centrally executed) officially and executed: 5a) Officially (total) 181 Decentralized level (regional and district) Service provider level And decentralization by expenditure types; 5b) Investments 5c) Recurrent 5d) Personnel 6. Discretionary Budget 7. Budget Usage 8. Proportion of resources reaching decentralized levels This indicator illustrates the importance of discretion in budgetary allocation at the various levels This indicator measures the internal usage of the budget at the various levels and importance of resource transfers to lower administrative levels in the service delivery system This indicator illustrates from every dollar allocated in the budget for a specific line ministry, how much arrives at the local level and how much is used for other administrative purposes by each level, i.e. the proportion of the budget used at the central, provincial, district and provider levels. 5e)-f) Idem Executed 6a) % of line ministry budget not governed by fixed allocation rules 6b) % of regional level budget not governed by fixed allocation rules 6c) % of service provider budget not governed by fixed allocation rules Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is: Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is: Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is: 7a) Used 7b) Transferred 7c) Received 7d) Used 7e) Transferred 7f) Received at the provider level 8a) Proportion of resources in the sector at the regional and district level (Total value of resources received divided by the total budget of the Ministry). 8d) Proportion of resources in the sector reaching the provider level: (Total value of resources received divided by the total budget of the Ministry). Idem by categories: 8b) recurrent expenditures 8c) non-wage recurrent expenditures). Idem by categories: 8e) recurrent expenditures 8f) non-wage recurrent expenditures). Note that this indicator does not try to determine if there is leakage or not, as these figures are a somewhat objective portrait of the usage of resources in a specific administrative system compared to another. 182 9. Resources per capita This indicator gives an indication of the level of real public intervention in the sector. Real expenditure data as well as population in each delegations and district are required Line Ministry budget per capita (executed) 9a) Total 9b) Recurrent 9c) Non-wage recurrent Average per capita allocation received in regional delegations (and districts) 9d) Recurrent 9e) Non-wage recurrent Average per capita allocation received at the service provider level 9f) Recurrent 9g) Non-wage recurrent 10a) Central-Regional leakage: Average leakage at the regional, and district levels (proportion of resources not received from among resources sent by the central level) Average leakage at the provider levels. 10b) Regional-Provider leakage (proportion of resource not received from among resources sent by the regional level) 10c) Central-Provider leakage: (proportion of resource not received from among resources sent by central level) Coefficient of variation of the allocation of resources in per capita terms among providers 11c) Recurrent 11d) Non-wage recurrent (and by regions: urban and rural) 10. Leakage This indicator assesses the level of leakage at the various levels: between the central and regional (district) level, between the regional level and frontline providers and the overall leakage in the supply chain from the central level to the providers. 11. Equity: This indicators illustrates the level of inequity in resource allocation among regions, districts and types of providers 12. Delays in budget disbursement: This indicator illustrates the efficiency in budget management and disbursement at the various levels of the service delivery chain . Coefficient of variation in the allocation of resources in per capita terms by regions (or districts) 11a) Recurrent 11b) Non-wage recurrent 12a) Number of days between budget approval and budget disbursement (release) at the central level (MoF-Line Ministry) 183 Alternatively, it could be measured as the ratio of the most financed district over the least financed district (in per capita terms) 12b) Number of days between budget approval and budget disbursement (release) between central and regional (district) levels 12c) Number of days between budget disbursement (release) at the regional level and reception at the provider level 12d) Total number of days between budget approval at the central level and funds reception at provider level Personnel 13. Leakage of salary: This indicator assesses the overall level of leakage in salaries as well as the proportion of staff affected by the problem 13a) Proportion of frontline staff salaries not reaching destination (difference between salaries budgetized and received) 13b) % of staff that does not receive full salary 14. Ghost workers This indicator measures proportion of non-existing staff 14) % of workers on official payroll not working in facilities 14. Delays in salary This indicator assesses the delays in salary payments 15. Delays in allowances: This indicator assesses the delays in payments of allowances (weighted average by proportion of allowances) 14a) % of frontline staff receiving salary late (more than 1 month) 14b) Average delays in salary payment (number of days) 15a) % of frontline staff receiving other allowances late (> 1 month) 15b) Average delays in allowance payments (nbr of days) Material 16. Delays in material 17. Leakage of material: This indicator assesses delays in arrival of key resources (a sample of materials should be used) This indicator assesses the importance of materials leakage in the supply chain (when total value of materials cannot be tracked, a sample could be chosen, e.g. 10 materials) Delays (in days) in reception of key materials and supply (e.g. books, drugs) Proportion of materials and supplies not reaching destination (in value) 184 Environment and Characteristics 18. Public ownership This indicator illustrates the importance of public ownership in the sector as well as other categories 19. External support This indicator assesses the importance of donor support at various levels in the sector 20. Number of Donors active in the sector Number of donors supporting the line ministry Proportion of external funding in line ministry budget (By categories, official and actual) 19a) Total contribution (grants and loans) in total budget (Official) 19b) Grant contribution in total budget (Official) 19c) Total contribution in Recurrent expenditures (Official) 19d) Total contribution in investment expenditures (Official) 19e)-h) Idem Actual 185 19i). Proportion of external funding in regional level resources (By categories, actual) 18a) % of public facilities 18b) % of private for-profit facilities 18c) % of private non-profit facilities 19j). Proportion of external funding in service provider resources (By categories, actual) PETS The various purposes of the proposed PETS indicators are as follows. 1. Line ministry’s budgetary allocation. Within the financing category, this indicator illustrates the relative importance of the line ministry under study in the government priorities and its capacity to correctly plan and execute its budget. It is composed of three subcategories accounting for the official proportion of the budget and its executed share in terms of total budget. 2. Line ministry budget by function. The second indicator measures the respective shares in the ministry’s budget of capital investments and recurrent expenditures. It is composed of three subcategories, the proportion of the line ministry budget devoted to investments, recurrent expenditures and personnel expenditures. 3. Line ministry’s budget as a percentage of the GDP. This indicator reflects the importance of the line ministry budget relative to the size of the economy. It could allow comparisons with other countries and relative to international norms in the specific sector. In the health sector, for instance, the World Health Organization has set a norm of 4 percent of GDP for the health budget (World Bank’s World Development Report 1993). 4. Rate of growth in line ministry budget. This index illustrates the importance and priority given to the sector in the government’s budget. The growth rate of the line ministry official budget corresponds to the base year of data collection and the preceding year. 5. Fiscal decentralization illustrates the importance of financial decentralization in the line ministry budget overall and by types of expenditures. Given that there could be differences between official decentralization and what is done in practice, both figures are computed. There are four subcategories of official decentralization which are measured: the proportion of the line ministry total budget that is officially decentralized, as well as the officially decentralized proportion of line ministry investment, recurrent expenses and personnel budget. The equivalent four subcategories measure decentralization in practice, specifically the actual control of funds by decentralized administrations. 6. Discretionary budget. This indicator illustrates the existence of explicit rule for allocating resources and hence the importance of discretion in budgetary allocation at the various levels. Fixed allocation rules allow more transparency in budgetary decisions, and their absence has generally been associated with greater problems of leakage of resources. 7. Budget usage. This indicator assesses budget usage at the various levels within the line ministry administrative system. It measures resource use at the central level and the importance of resource transfers to lower administrative levels, in particular service providers. More specifically, it is composed of 6 subcategories: the proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is centrally used and the share transferred to lower administrative levels. 186 The same assessment is done at the regional level (share received, used and transferred to lower levels), and finally the proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is received at the provider level 8. Proportion of resources reaching decentralized levels. This indicator illustrates, from every dollar allocated in the budget for a specific line ministry, how much arrives at the local level and how much is used for other administrative purposes by each level, i.e. the proportion of the budget used at the central, provincial, district and provider levels. Note that this indicator does not try to determine if there is leakage or not, as these figures are a somewhat objective portrait of the usage of resources in a specific administrative system compared to another. It is composed of 3 subcategories at the decentralized level (proportion of resources in the sector at the regional and district level in terms of Ministry’s total budget, in terms of recurrent expenditures and non-wage expenditures. Similar indicators are constructed at the provider level. 9. Resources per capita. This indicator illustrates the level of real public intervention in the sector and resources available at various levels in the system. It could also allow direct cross country comparisons. It is composed of three sub categories at the line Ministry level, total budgetary resources per capita (executed), recurrent expenditures available per capita and non-wage recurrent expenditures. Two subcategories cover the regional and provider levels, recurrent resources and non-wage recurrent resources per capita received. 10. Leakage. This indicator assesses the level of leakage at the various levels in the supply chain. Leakage is defined as the proportion of resources intended for identified beneficiaries that does not reach them. The estimation of leakage rates then implies the ability to measure exactly how much the intended beneficiaries received versus how much they should have received as given by resources earmarked for them (that is officially planned resources). When no resources are earmarked for a level or provider, the estimation of leakage makes use of a broader definition, that of the share not reaching the specific level. Leakage is assessed in three nodes: between the central and regional (district) level, between the regional level and frontline providers and the overall leakage in the supply chain from the central level to the providers. 11. Equity. This indicator illustrates the level of inequity in resource allocation among regions, districts and types of providers. In several countries, large variability of health and school spending across regions and districts, as well as within districts, is observed. Equity is proxied by the coefficient of variation in the allocation of resources in per capita terms by regions (or districts). The indicator is composed of two sub-categories (total recurrent and non-wage recurrent expenditures) at the regional level and among providers Alternatively, it could be measured as the ratio of the most financed over the least financed district (in per capita terms). 12. Delays in budget disbursement. This indicator illustrates the efficiency in budget management and disbursement at the various levels of the service delivery chain. Delays are assessed at four nodes: the number of days between budget approval and budget 187 disbursement (release) at the central level between the Ministry of Finance and the line Ministry; between the line ministry and regional (district) levels, between the regional level and reception at the provider level, and finally the total number of days between budget approval at the central level and fund reception at provider level. 13. Leakage of salary. Within the Personnel category, this indicator assesses the overall level of leakage in salaries as measured by the proportion of frontline staff salaries not reaching destination (difference between salaries budgeted and received). It is also composed of a subcategory of the proportion of frontline staff affected by the problem, i.e., percentage of staff that does not receive full salary during the period. 14. Delays in salary. This indicator assesses the delays in salary payments. This issue could have important effects on the quality of services, staff morale and the capacity of providers to deliver services. It is composed of two subcategories, the % of frontline staff receiving salary late (i.e., more than one month) and the average delays in salary payment. 15. Delays in allowances. Similar to the previous indicator, this indicator assesses the delays in payments of allowances (weighted average by proportion of allowances) and is composed of two categories, the percentage of frontline provider staff receiving other allowances late (> 1 month) and the average delay. 16. Delays in material. This indicator assesses delays in arrival of key resources. Adequate availability of medical and educational materials is essential for service provision. Delays in reception of key materials and supplies (e.g., books, drugs) are measured in days. A sample of materials should be used to construct this indicator. 17. Leakage of material. This indicator assesses the importance of materials leakage in the supply chain. In cases where the total value of materials cannot be tracked, a sample should be chosen (e.g., 10 materials). The index is built as the proportion of materials and supplies not reaching destination (in values). 18. Public ownership. In the category Environment and Characteristics, this indicator illustrates the importance of public ownership as well as other categories in the sector. Three categories are constructed: the percentage of public facilities, private for-profit facilities, and not for-profit facilities. 19. External support. This indicator assesses the importance of donor support at various levels in the sector under study. It is defined as the proportion of donors’ contribution in line ministry’s budget. These indicators measure external donors’ budgetary involvement in the country and priority given to the specific sector under study. It is composed of four subcategories: donor community contribution to the line ministry budget as measured in the budget in terms of total contribution (grants and loans) in line ministry budget for the past year, as well as the proportion of grants, and the total contribution to recurrent and investment 188 expenditures. The equivalent four categories are assessed in terms of total contributions, including those outside of budget support, as measured by PETS data. 20. Number of donors active in the sector. Finally, an index of the number of donors supporting the line ministry in constructed. It seeks to proxy the level of fractionalization in donor support to the social sector under study. QSDS Table A2 presents a list of 30 potential QSDS indicators. This list comprises seven categories: (i) Characteristics and environment, (ii) inputs, (iii) financing, (iv) institutions, incentives and production process, (v) intermediate output, (vi) final output and (vii) outcomes. The various purposes of the proposed QSDS indicators are as follows. 1.Ownership. Within the first category of Characteristics and environment, the first indicator illustrates the ownership structure of the sector. It is composed of three subcategories accounting for the proportion of public, private for-profit and private not-for-profit ownership in the sector. 2. Access to electricity. Various indicators are defined to measures service providers’ access to basic infrastructure. The first basic infrastructure service considered is access to electricity. It is measured as the percentage of frontline service providers with electricity. 3. Access to water. Another indicator of basic infrastructure services is the access to water supply. It is measured as the percentage of frontline service providers with drinkable water 4. Access to sanitation. This other indicator of basic service is the access to modern sanitation. It is measured as the percentage of frontline service providers with sanitation 5. Access to telephone. The final indicator of basic infrastructure illustrates access to communication. It is measured as the percentage of frontline service providers with telephone. 6. Facilities per capita. This indicator seeks to measure the availability of basic facilities within the sector in the country. It is measured as the number of primary facilities per capita (health clinics or primary schools). Three subcategories are constructed, the per capita index at the national level and broken down between urban and rural areas. 7. Personnel per capita. This indicator seeks to illustrate the availability of specialized personnel at the frontline level. It is composed of various subcategories reflecting the services provided in the social sector. In the health sector, the indicator is composed of the number of doctors per capita, and the number of nurses per capita. In the education sector, it is composed of the number of qualified teachers per capita. 189 8. Absenteeism. Several recent studies have shown that counting the number of employees may not provide an accurate measure of health workers’ labor supply in the facility because of high absenteeism rates (e.g. Chaudhury et al, 2006). We therefore include the rate of absenteeism in the facility to complement personnel indicators. This indicator seeks to measure the level of staff absenteeism, which translates into low quality of services. It is measured as the % of frontline staff which is absent (not motivated). 9. Ghost workers. This indicator measures the proportion of ghost workers, that is, teachers or health workers who continue to receive a salary but who no longer are in the government service, or who have been included in the payroll without ever having been in the service. It is measured as the % of workers on official payroll not working in the frontline facilities. 10. Staff education. This indicator seeks to proxy some elements of the quality of services by measuring the level of education of service providers. It is measured as the average level of education of the personnel (teaching or health providing staff). Three subcategories are constructed, the average education level at the national level and education broken down between urban and rural areas. 11. Proportion of women. This indicator assesses the proportion of women in the workforce. Preference for gender is frequently an important element for usage and client satisfaction. In particular, the presence of the female staff in sufficient numbers is an important ingredient for maternal health in general and the fight against maternal mortality. It is measured here as the % of women among the personnel. Three subcategories are constructed, the % of women at the national level and the same % broken down between urban and rural areas. 12. Proportion of qualified staff. This indicator illustrates the level of qualification among frontline personnel. It is measured as the % of qualified staff within total frontline staff (health personnel and education staff). Three subcategories are constructed, the % of qualified staff at the national level and broken down between urban and rural areas. 13. Equipment access. This indicator measures the access to some of the pieces of main equipment used for frontline service delivery. Two subcategories are constructed, the % of pieces of main equipment functioning (by categories: e.g fridges, cars), and the number of pieces of main equipment per capita. 14. Stock-outs of key materials and supplies. This indicator measures the key materials for service delivery out of stock during a certain period (last year). It is measured as the stock-outs by categories of supplies (e.g. drugs, books). Subcategories are constructed for stock-outs by categories of service providers at the national level and broken down between urban and rural areas. 15. Compensation. Various indicators reflecting the incentive structure for staff are constructed. This indicator assesses the incentive structure by measuring the level of compensation of the staff relative to the country’s level of income. It is measured at the ratio of 190 average staff compensation (salary and allowances) to GDP. Two subcategories are constructed for qualified staff and unqualified staff. 16. Salary retention. This indicator assesses the level of salary retention at the service provider level. It is measured as the % of frontline staff not receiving their total salary during the period. 17. Delays in Salary. This indicator assesses the importance of delays in salary payments at the frontline level. It is measured as the % of staff receiving their salary late (more than 1 month). 18. Supervision. This indicator illustrates the frequency of supervisory activities. It is measured as the number of supervisory visits per period (year) from the various administrative levels. 19. Supervision frequency. This indicator illustrates the coverage of the supervisory activities by the different administrative levels. It is measured as the % of service providers supervised during the period (one year). 20. Public resources’ share in revenues. This indicator assesses the level of support from the public administration by measuring the public resources available at the provider levels. It is measured as the proportion of public resources in proportion to service provider total revenues. Two subcategories are constructed: public resources in proportion to total revenues and public resources excluding wages. 21. Public resources per capita. This indicator assesses the level of support from the public administration by measuring public resources per capita. It is measured as the amount of public resources available at the provider level per capita (in $). Two subcategories are constructed: total public resources per capita and public resources per capita excluding wages. 22. External support. This indicator assesses the role of external donors in providers’ financial resources. It is measured as the % of service providers receiving direct external support from donors. 23. Donors’ contribution to revenues. This indicator measures the importance of donor’s funding in service provider’s revenues. It is measured as the proportion of donor support in service provider revenues. 24. User fees as a proportion of revenues. This indicator assesses the importance of user fees in provider’s revenues. It is measured as the amount of user fees in proportion of service provider’s total revenues during a period. 25. User fees relative to clients’ income. This indicator illustrates the problem of public access to basic services. It is constructed as the amount of user fees in proportion of clients’ average monthly income. This information could be based on exit polls. 191 26. Extra payments for services. This indicator measures the importance of informal payments in the service providers’ environment. It is measured as the % of patients reporting “extra payments” to receive services. 27. Reasons for giving extra payments. This indicator identifies the reasons given by clients for providing informal payments. It is composed of two subcategories, the % of clients reporting payments for better access (e.g. reduction in wait time) and % reporting payments to receive better services. 28. Service outputs. This indicator assesses various measures of service provider outputs in the social sector under study. Various types of output could be measured. In the education sector, indexes are built for enrolment (average primary level), dropouts (average primary level) and graduation rates (primary leaving exam). Subcategories are constructed for the national level and broken down between by gender. In the health sector in particular, there is considerable heterogeneity in terms of service output due for instance to variations in case mix across facilities (types of patients, complexity of cases, etc.) and range of services offered. Nonetheless the most frequently used indicators that measure performance of health centers include the number of consultations by specialized staff and the total number of consultation per employee. Here, service output is measured as the number of consultations per employee. It is further broken down as the number of consultations per qualified employee These indicators do not control for the quality of services offered, an important factor in explaining efficiency, but one which is even harder to measure. 29. Service outcomes This indicator seeks to provide an objective measure of outcomes. It is composed of various measures of population outcomes in the social sector under study. In primary education, it is measured as the proportion of student achievement based on test scores 30. Satisfaction. This indicator seeks to provide a subjective measure of service provision outcomes. It is composed of various measures of client satisfaction in the social sector under study, such as student or patient satisfaction. 192 Table A2: Potential QSDS Indicators Indicator number Motivation/Purpose and name Characteristics and Environment of the sector 1.Ownership This indicator illustrates the ownership structure of the sector 2. Facilities per capita This indicator illustrates the availability and potential access to basic facilities 3. Competition This indicator illustrates the level of competition in the sector Infrastructure 2. Access to electricity Service provider level 1a) % of public ownership in the sector 1b) % of private for-profit ownership in the sector 1c) % of private not for-profit ownership in the sector Number of primary health care facilities (per capita) (or primary schools) 6a) National 6b) Urban 6c) Rural 2a) Number of competitors in a radius of 2 kms National, urban, rural 2b) Proportion of facilities which are sole providers in a radius of 2 kms National, urban, rural This indicator measures facilities’ access to basic infrastructure services Idem % of frontline service providers with electricity 4. Access to sanitation Idem % of frontline service providers with sanitation 5. Access to telephone Inputs This indicator illustrates access to communication % of frontline service providers with phone 7. Personnel per capita This indicator illustrates availability of specialized personnel 7a) Number of doctors per capita 7b) Number of nurses per capita Or : 7a) Number of qualified teachers per capita This indicator measures the level of staff absenteeism % of frontline provider staff absent (nonmotivated) This indicator measures % of workers on official payroll not working 3. Access to water Personnel 8. Absenteeism : 9. Ghost workers % of frontline service providers with drinkable water 193 10. Staff education proportion of nonexisting staff This indicator illustrates the level of education of service providers 11. Proportion of women This indicator assesses the proportion of women in the workforce 12. Proportion of qualified staff This indicator illustrates the level of qualification among frontline provider personnel Equipment 13. Equipment access HIV/AIDS test Material 14 Stock-outs of key materials and supplies Incentives 15. Compensation 16. Salary retention 17. Delays in Salary 18. Supervision 19. Supervision frequency in facilities Staff average level of education (teaching staff or health providing staff) 10a) National 10b) Urban 10c) Rural % of women among the personnel 11a) National 11b) Urban 11c) Rural % of qualified staff to total frontline staff 12a) National 12b) Urban 12c) Rural This indicator measures the access to some of the pieces of main equipment for service delivery This indicator measures the access to HIV/AIDS tests 13a). % of equipment found functioning (by categories: e.g fridges, cars) 13b) # of clients per main piece of equipment This indicator measures the materials out of stock during a certain period (last 6 months) 14a) Stock-outs by categories of supplies (e.g. drugs, books) 14b) Stock-outs by categories of service providers (national, urban, rural) This indicator assesses the level of compensation of the staff relative to the country’s level of income This indicator assesses the level of salary retention This indicator assesses the importance of delays in salary payments This indicator illustrates the frequency of supervisory activities This indicator illustrates the coverage of the Ratio of average staff compensation (salary and allowances) to GDP 15a) qualified staff 15b) unqualified staff % of centers offering HIV/AIDS test % of frontline staff not receiving total salary % of staff receiving salary late (more than 1 month) Number of supervisory visits per period (year) % of providers supervised (year) 194 20. Public resources’ contribution to revenues 21. Public resources per capita External Support 22. External support 23. Donor conribution to provider revenues supervisory activities by the different administrative levels This indicator illustrates the importance of public resource support This indicator illustrates the importance of public resource support at the population level This indicator assesses the role of external donors in providers’ funding This indicator measures the importance of donors’ funding in providers’ revenues User fees 24. User fees’ proportion of revenues This indicator assesses the importance of user fees in provider’s revenues 25. User fees’ This indicator illustrates proportion of clients’ the problem of access to basic services income Informal system 26. Extra payments This indicator measures the importance of for services informal payments 27. Reasons for This indicator identifies the reasons for informal giving extra payments payments Output 28. Service outputs This indicator assesses various measures of service provider outputs: Outcomes 29. Service outcomes This indicator seeks to provide some objective Public resources as a proportion of service provider total revenues a) total revenues b) Revenues excluding wages Public resources per capita ($) a) total resources b) excluding salaries % of service providers receiving direct external support from donors Amount of donor support for service provider revenues User fees as a proportion of service provider total revenues User fees in proportion of clients’ average monthly income (based on exit polls) % of patients reporting “extra payments” to receive services 22a) Reduction in wait time (access) 22b) Better services 25a) Enrolment (average, primary) (total, boys, girls) 25b) Dropouts (average, primary) (total, boys, girls) 25c) Graduation rates (primary leaving exam) (total, boys, girls) Or: 25a) Number of consultations per employee (or per qualified employee) Measure of population outcomes 195 measure of outcomes 30. Satisfaction This indicator seeks to provide some subjective measure of outcomes -Student achievement (based on test scores) Student or patient satisfaction 196 3. Illustration of the Proposed Indicators for Chad To illustrate the potential usefulness of the proposed PETS/QSDS indicators, provided below is an illustration for the case of Chad using the data collected in the 2004 PETS/QSDS in the health sector. 26 Tables A3 and A4 illustrate the proposed indicators using the PETS/QSDS data in Chad. For each of the 20 PETS indicators and 30 QSDS indicators, the tables present the values, when possible, and contain comments about the calculation, when useful. Table A3: Illustration of the proposed PETS indicators in the case of Chad I. Budget Indicator 1. Line Ministry budgetary allocation (proportion of the budget) 2. Line ministry budget by functions Definition Score Proportion of the government budget that is allocated to the line ministry: 1a) Proportion of planned budget 1b) Proportion of executed budget 1c) Line ministry budget execution rate Share of the line ministry budget devoted to: 2a) Investments; 2b) Recurrent expenditures 2c) Personnel expenditures 8.4% 8.4% 100% Brief explanation This indicator illustrates the relative importance of the line ministry in the government priorities and its capacity to correctly plan and execute its budget. In Chad, the Ministry of Health (MoH) budget in 2003 was 33 billion CFA Francs (US$57 million). This represents 8.4% of the total government budget. The planned health budget corresponds largely to the executed budget. Line ministry official budget by functions for the past year (corresponding to data collection) 57% 43% 16% 3. Line ministry’s budget as a percentage of the GDP Line ministry’s overall budget as a percentage of GDP 4. Rate of growth in line ministry budget Growth rate of line ministry budget relative to 26 2.1% 23.6% This indicator reflects the importance of the line ministry budget relative to the size of the economy. The World Health Organization has set a norm of 4% of GDP for the health budget. In Chad, the health budget in 2003 of 33 billion CFAF (US$57 million) represents 2.1% of GDP. This indicator illustrates the importance of the sector in the government budget priorities. In See Gauthier and Wane (2005, 2008) for details of the combined PETS/QSDS survey in Chad. 197 the preceding year 5. Fiscal Decentralization 6. Discretionary budget 7. Budget usage Proportion of the budget of the line ministry that is: decentralized (or centrally executed) officially and executed: 5a) Officially (total) 24% and by expenditure types; 5b) Investments 5c) Recurrent 5d) Personnel 0% 60% 48.4% 5e)-h) Idem Executed 8.5% 7a) % of line ministry budget not governed by fixed allocation rules 7b) % of regional administration budget not governed by fixed allocation rules 7c) % of service provider budget not governed by fixed allocation rules 8a) Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget that is: 7a) Used 7b) Transferred Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget at the regional level that is: 7c) Received 7d) Used 7e) Transferred Proportion of the line ministry recurrent budget 198 0% 14.3% 48.4% 80.75 % 68.1% 100% 40.1 % 59.9% 30% 10.4% 19.6% 19% Chad, the health budget was 27 026 million CFAF in 2002 and 33 408 million CFAF in 2003, a 23.6% increase over the preceding year. These indicators illustrate the importance of financial decentralization in the line ministry budget, officially and in practice. In Chad, the proportion of the total health budget officially allocated to the 14 regional health delegations (RHD) was 8 billion CFAF, representing 24% of the budget in 2003, mainly in the form of recurrent expenditures, corresponding to about 60% of the MoH recurrent budget. However, only 14% of the regional health budget is managed at the regional level. Hence, in practice only 8.5% of the total MoH budget is decentralized, representing 14.3% of the recurrent budget. As for personnel expenditures, health personnel are paid directly by the MoH but their salaries are posted in the MoH regional budget representing 48.4% of MoH wage expenditures. This indicator illustrates the existence of explicit allocation rule for resources. In Chad, the only two items for which a form of fixed rule is in place are personnel expenditures and allocations to regional health administration, which are established in the MoH budget. Accounting for these two fixed rules, the discretionary expenditures at the central level thus represent 80.75%. At the regional level, only personnel expenditures could be seen as a fixed rule in the regional administration budget (31.9% of the official regional budget) the discretionary budget represents 68.1%. At the service provider level, all expenditures are discretionary. This indicator assesses budget usage at the various levels within the line ministry administrative system. In Chad, the proportion of total recurrent expenditures allocated to the regional level represented 59.9% of recurrent expenditures (wage and non-wage) in 2003, and the share used at the central level 40.1%. However, the share received at the regional level represents only 30% of recurrent expenditures and 19.6% at the local level. The equivalent figures for non-wage expenditures are as follows: 32.6%; 67.4%; 18%; 17.1%; 0.9%; 0.9% 8. Proportion of resources reaching decentralized levels 9. Resources per capita 10. Leakage that is: 7f) Received at the provider level 11a) Proportion of total public resources at the regional and district levels 11b) Proportion of recurrent expenditures at the regional and district levels 11c) Proportion of nonwage recurrent expenditures at the regional and district levels 11d) Proportion of total public resources reaching the provider level: 11e) Proportion of recurrent expenditures at the provider level 11f) Proportion of nonwage recurrent expenditures at the provider level Line Ministry budget per capita (executed) 9a) Total 9b) Recurrent 9c) Non-wage recurrent Average per capita allocation received in regional delegations (and districts) 9d) Recurrent 9e) Non-wage recurrent Average per capita allocation received at the service provider level 9f) Recurrent 9g) Non-wage recurrent 10a) Central-Regional leakage: (proportion of resources not received relative to resources sent by the central level) 10b) Regional-Provider leakage (proportion of resource not received relative to resources sent 199 12% 30% 10.9% 7.9% 19.6% 0.9% 7.6 $ 3.05 $ 1.84 $ This indicator illustrates, from every dollar allocated in the budget for a specific line ministry, how much arrives at the local level and how much is used for other administrative purposes by each level, i.e. the proportion of the budget used at the central, provincial, district and provider levels. To estimate the value of resources reaching health centers in Chad, the survey collected information on the financial resources received by health centers, as well as medical materials, drugs and salaries. The survey traced eight medical materials received by health centers as well as 11 drugs and medical consumables. The total value of resources reaching the health centers was calculated as the sum of the financial resources, medical materials, drugs and salaries received by health centers from the health administration accounting for the proportion of these items. This indicator measures the level of real public intervention in the sector and of resources available at various levels in the supply system. It could also allow direct cross-country comparisons. In Chad, we make use of the budget information reported above to construct these indicators of available resources per capita at the different levels. 0.91 $ 0.33 $ 0.59 $ 0.02 $ 73.3 % 95% This indicator assesses the level of leakage at the various levels. Leakage is generally defined as the proportion of resources intended for identified beneficiaries that does not reach them. In the absence of fixed allocation rules as in Chad, leakage at the facility level is estimated as the proportion of the total health budget earmarked for the regions that does not reach the primary care providers given that most of the public resources for health should end up in 11. Equity by the regional level) 10c) Central-Provider leakage: (proportion of resources not received relative to resources sent by central level) Coefficient of variation in the allocation of resources in per capita terms by regions (or districts) 11a) Total Recurrent 11b) Non-wage recurrent Idem among providers 11c) Total Recurrent 11d) Non-wage recurrent 12. Delays in budget disbursement 13. Leakage of salary 14. Delays in salary Ratio of the most financed district over the least financed district (in per capita terms) 12a) Number of days between budget approval and budget disbursement at the central level (MoFLine Ministry) 12b) Idem between central and regional (district) levels 12c) Idem between regional level and provider levels 12d) Total number of days between budget approval at the central level and fund reception at provider level 13a) Proportion of frontline staff salaries not reaching destination (difference between salaries budgeted and received) 13b)% of staff that does not receive full salary 14a)% of frontline staff receiving salary late (more than 1 month) 200 98.7% 0.30 0.25 0.59 0.36 the facility, i.e. the service delivery point. Estimations presented are for non-wage recurrent expenditures. The corresponding figures for total recurrent expenditures are as follows: 49.95; 35% and 67.2% This indicator illustrates the level of inequity in resource allocation among regions, districts and types of providers. Based on the estimates of recurrent resources reaching service providers, it is possible to evaluate the coefficient of variations (i.e. standard-deviation/mean) of the distribution in resource allocation across regions and across providers in per capita terms. In Chad, public resources available in the health sector vary considerably among regions as well as between urban and rural areas. 16 --- This indicator illustrates the efficiency of budget management and disbursement at the various levels of the service delivery chain. In Chad, these data were not collected. 6.6% This indicator assesses the overall level of leakage in salaries as well as the proportion of staff affected by the problem. In Chad, information was collected among staff on reception of salaries but tracking of salaries was not performed. 13.7% This indicator assesses the delays in payments of salaries. --- 15. Delays in allowances 16. Delays in materials 17. Leakage of material 14b) Average delays in salary payment (number of days) 5a)% of frontline provider staff receiving other allowances late (> 1 month) 15b) Average delays in allowance payments (number of days) Delays (in days) in reception of key materials and supplies (e.g. books, drugs) 17b) Leakage between regional level and providers --- 96% 17c) Leakage between central level and providers 99.3% 18a)% of public facilities 68% Proportion of external funding in line ministry budget (By categories, official and actual) 19a) Total contribution (grants and loans) to total 201 This indicator assesses the delays in payments of allowances (weighted average by proportion of allowances). This information was not collected in Chad. --- 82.2% 18b)% of private for-profit facilities 18c)% of private nonprofit facilities 19. External support --- Proportion of materials and supplies not reaching destination (in values) 17a) Leakage between central level and regions (in proportion of line ministry materials budget) 18. Public ownership --- 14% 18% 51 % This indicator assesses delays in arrival of key resources (a sample of materials should be used). In Chad, information on arrival dates of materials was not collected. To estimate the value of resources reaching health centers, the survey traced eight medical materials received by health centers. The total value of materials received by health centers was estimated at 1.75 million CFAF. Given that these eight materials make up 7.4% of the value of centralized credit deliveries, it was estimated that health centers received approximately 23 million CFAF in centralized credits or 50 million CFAF for the entire country given that the survey covers half the health centers’ population. This represents only 17.8% of the total value of materials sent to delegations. Materials leakage between regional delegations and local service providers is then 82.2%. Overall, materials leakage between the central administration and local providers is estimated as a proportion of the goods and materials budget of the MoH This indicator illustrates the importance of public ownership in the sector as well as other categories. In Chad, the survey collected information on about half of the primary health facilities among public, private forprofit and not-for-profit facilities. This indicator measures the contribution of external donors to the line ministry as well as various contributions to the sector. Donors’ official contribution to the line ministry budget, the 2003 rate is 51%, of which grants represent 27.6% of the budget (Official) 19b) Grant contribution to total budget (Official) 19c) Total contribution to recurrent expenditures (Official) 19d) Total contribution to investment expenditures (Official) 19e)-h) Idem Actual 20. Number of Donors active in the sector 19i). Proportion of external funding in regional level resources (By categories, actual) 19j). Proportion of external funding in service provider resources (By categories, actual) Number of donors supporting the line ministry Note: --- : Data non available in the Chad PETS/QSDS survey 202 27.5 % 0% 89.5% 54 % 30.6% 8% 89.5% budget. Most external contributions are intended for investment expenditures representing 89.7% of total investments. In addition to donors’ contributions to the central ministry, direct donor support to the sector is measured using PETS data. These represent about 1 billion CFAF (US$200 000) in 2003. These direct contributions are relatively small compared to the total health budget, but represent about 18% of the regions’ official budget for goods and services. --6.2 % 25 This indicator measures the degree of foreign participation. In Chad, at least 25 external donors or NGOs were active in the health sector in 2003. Table A4: Illustration of the Proposed QSDS indicators for Chad Indicator Characteristics 1.Ownership Infrastructure 2. Access to electricity 3. Access to water Definition Score Motivation/Purpose 1a)% of public ownership in the sector 1b)% of private for-profit ownership in the sector 1c)% of private non-profit ownership in the sector 68% % of frontline service providers with electricity % of frontline service providers with drinkable water 33.8% This indicator measures access to basic infrastructure services 65.1% Idem This indicator illustrates the ownership structure of the sector 14% 18% 4. Access to sanitation % of frontline service providers with sanitation 60.1% Idem 5. Access to telephone Inputs 6. Facilities per capita % of frontline service providers with phone 13.9% This indicator illustrates access to communication 7. Personnel per capita Personnel 8. Absenteeism 9. Ghost workers 10. Staff education 11. Proportion of Number of primary health care facilities (per 1000 inhabitants) 6a) National 6b) Urban 6c) Rural 7a) Number of doctors (per 1000 inhabitants) 7b) Number of nurses (per 1000 inhabitants) Or : 7a) Number of qualified teachers (per 1000 inhabitants) This indicator illustrates the availability and potential access to basic facilities 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.03 This indicator illustrates availability of specialized personnel 0.04 % of frontline provider staff absent (non-motivated) % of workers on official payroll not working in facilities Staff average level of education (teaching or health providing staff, in years) 10a) National 10b) Urban 10c) Rural % of women among the 203 21% ---- This indicator measures the level of staff absenteeism This indicator measures proportion of non-existing staff This indicator illustrates the level of education of service providers (in years) 8.6 9.1 8.2 This indicator assesses the women 12. Proportion of qualified staff Equipment 13. Equipment access Material 14 Stock-outs of key materials and supplies Incentives 15. Compensation 16. Salary retention 17. Delays in salary personnel 11a) National 11b) Urban 11c) Rural % of qualified staff to total frontline staff 12a) National 12b) Urban 12c) Rural 25.5% 38.6% 19.3% 41.8% 49.4% 38.7% 13a).% of providers with functioning equipment (by categories: e.g fridges, cars) 13b) # of clients per pieces of main equipment 14a) Stock-outs by categories of supplies (e.g. drugs, books) 14b) Stock-outs by categories of service providers (national, urban, rural) Ratio of average staff compensation (salary and allowances) to GDP per capita 15a) total 15b) qualified staff 15c) unqualified staff % of frontline staff not receiving total salary % of staff receiving salary late (more than 1 month) 77.6% (fridge) 38% (microscope) --- 15.4% (9 drugs) 19.2% (5 vaccines) 42% 54% 18.6% 6.6% This indicator assesses the level of salary retention This indicator illustrates the frequency of supervisory activities 19. Supervision frequency 20. Public resources’ share in revenues % of providers supervised (year) Public resouces as a proportion of service provider total revenues a) total revenues b) excluding wages Public resources per capita ($) a) total resources b) excluding salaries 76% 24.1 2.3% 0.66 0.02 18.9% 204 This indicator measures the materials out of stock during a certain period (last year) This indicator assesses the importance of delays in salary payments 2.3 % of service providers receiving direct external This indicator measures the access to some of the pieces of main equipment for service delivery 13.7% Number of supervisory visits per period (year) 22. External support This indicator illustrates the level of qualification among frontline provider personnel This indicator assesses the level of compensation of the staff relative to the country’s level of income 18. Supervision 21. Public resources per capita proportion of women in the workforce This indicator illustrates the importance of public resource support This indicator illustrates the importance of public resource support at the population level This indicator assesses the role of external donors in providers’ funding 23. Donor proportion of revenues User fees 24. User fees proportion of revenues support from donors Proportion of donor support in service provider revenues User fees as a proportion of service provider total revenues a) total revenues b) excluding wages 8% This indicator measures the importance of donor funding in provider revenues This indicator assesses the importance of user fees in provider revenues 69.7% 89.7% 25. User fees relative to clients’ income Informal system 26. Extra payments for services 27. Reasons for giving extra payments User fees relative to clients’ average monthly income (based on exit polls) % of patients reporting “extra payments” to receive services 22a) Reduction in wait time (access) 5.6% 4% This indicator illustrates the problem of access to basic services This indicator measures the importance of informal payments --- This indicator identifies the reasons for informal payments --- This indicator assesses various measures of service provider outputs: 22b) Better services Output 28. Service outputs Outcomes 29. Service outcomes 30. Satisfaction 25a) Enrolment (average, primary) (total, boys, girls) 25b) Dropouts (average, primary) (total, boys, girls) 25c) Graduation rates (primary leaving exam) (total, boys, girls) Or: 25a) Number of consultations per employee (or per qualified employee) Measure of population outcomes -Student achievement (based on test scores) Student or patient satisfaction Note: --- : Data non available in the Chad PETS/QSDS survey 205 85.4 cons/empl (297 cons/empl qualified) --- This indicator seeks to provide an objective measure of outcomes --- This indicator seeks to provide a subjective measure of outcomes APPENDIX B: GOVERNANCE AND SERVICE DELIVERY 27 1. Introduction Inadequate service delivery is reflected in the poor showing of social outcomes in many developing regions as improvements in education and health outcomes remain very slow. In particular, many Sub-Saharan African countries will not meet the 2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDG). For instance, with an average under-five mortality rate at 158 per 1000, the region accounts for more than half of the 10 million children around the world who die each year before their fifth birthday. Furthermore, almost 1/3 of the primary school-age population in the region does not attend school. Mathematics and reading scores for those attending school are also low. Close to 40 percent of the adult population remains illiterate, of which 62 percent are women. Also, about 44 percent of the population currently does not have access to safe drinking water, and about 37 percent has no access to sanitation facilities 28 To accelerate progress, governments, donors and NGOs have committed increasing financial resources in recent years to improve basic service delivery.29 However, in countries with weak institutions, it has been shown that budget allocations barely explain the quality and quantity of services (Filmer et al, 1999; World Bank, 2003). Two major explanations for this situation are generally put forth. First, public funds committed officially may not necessarily reach frontline providers for reasons related to capture, corruption and leakage (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004). Second, even if public resources reach frontline providers their effective use to produce services of acceptable quality is not guaranteed (World Bank, 2003). This chapter reviews institutional and governance deficiencies that impact service delivery performance and explores avenues of solutions brought about by PETS/QSDS. This chapter is inspired by Gauthier and Reinikka (2007) and Gauthier and Wane (2011) Also, in the MENA region, there remain important gaps in social outcomes as well as equity problems across income groups and between rural and urban areas. In particular, health outcomes are also a concern in several countries. In Djibouti, infant mortality remains at 84 per 1000 live births, much higher than the regional average of 32. Life expectancy is only 56 years. Maternal mortality in the country reaches 650 per 100,000 live births and is also high in Yemen, Iraq, Morocco, and Algeria with rates of 430, 300, 240 and 180, respectively. Youth and adult illiteracy also remains high in the region. On average, 28 percent of the adult population (15 years and older) in the region is illiterate; the problems is most pronounced among women. In Yemen and Djibouti, low income countries, close to half of the population is illiterate; including three quarters of women (UNESCO, 2009). Furthermore, access to water and sanitation services, an important vector of sickness, is still limited in many countries. In Morocco, and Tunisia, for example, about 20 percent of the population does not have access to clean water and one in six does not have access to improved sanitation. 29 Low-income countries saw funding from external sources rise on average from 16.5 percent of their total health expenditures in 2000 to 24.8 percent in 2007. Government commitments for health reported by bilateral donors jumped from about US$4 billion in 1995 to US$17 billion in 2007 and US$20 billion in 2008. (WHO 2011, p.31 World Health Report) 27 28 206 2. Institutional Arrangements of Service Delivery In developing countries, services such as education, health, water and sanitation are provided by a mixture of public, private for-profit and non-for-profit (non-government organizations (NGOs) and faith-based) providers. The relative importance of these various ownership types varies according to sectors and countries. In the last two decades, domestic and international NGOs have grown to occupy a greater role especially in areas neglected by public providers and not served by private providers. The importance of the private sector varies considerably across countries. Its role is especially prevalent in the health sector in urban areas. However, the public sector is still the major player in service delivery in most countries. 30 In addition to formal sector providers, many informal providers also offer traditional services, especially in the health and water sectors. 3. How do institutional arrangements affect service delivery? The institutional arrangements within which services are provided give rise to various governance and accountability problems and condition the quality and efficiency of service delivery provision. Service delivery outcomes are the result of a complex web of principal-agent relationships involving citizens, providers and governments. The structural relationship between the various groups involved in service delivery and the difficulty of control within the system, makes good governance in service delivery a challenging task. Citizens (clients) delegate responsibilities to elected officials (state) to provide public services and pay taxes to fund them. Politicians in turn delegate service delivery to provider organizations by creating incentives and appropriating budgets. This network of principal-agent relationships presents numerous incentive problems. There are two main layers of agency problems: (i) between the citizens and elected officials, and; (ii) between elected officials and service providers (See Figure A1). The role of intermediary agent played by the state in the principal-agent relationship creates a situation where it is difficult for the principal (citizens) to evaluate and control the actions of the decentralized agent (service provider) (Besley and Ghatak, 2003; World Bank, 2003). 30 For instance in Chad, the formal private for-profit sector employs less than 1 percent of the health personnel and the vast majority of formal health sector personnel are active in the public and nonprofit sectors (World Bank, 2004). 207 Figure A1: Clients-Government-Service Providers Relationship State/Policymakers Clients/Citizens Service Providers Source: World Bank (2003). In an ideal world, perfect information is shared among parties and there is a good feedback mechanism between principal and agent that would ensure accountability. However, in practice, citizens have a weak capacity to exercise control through this process because information is imperfect and asymmetric, agents’ objectives do not coincide with those of the principal (citizens), and enforcement is inadequate. Furthermore, the state has a weak capacity to supervise service providers. This leads to situations where agents put forth less effort than citizens would wish (shirking) or divert some resources to their own ends (rent extraction). The difficulty of control that exists in any principal-agent relationship is reinforced in public service delivery due especially to three aspects in which public services differ from private provision: the difficulty of measuring performance, multi-tasking considerations, and the presence of multiple principals (Dixit, 2002; Besley and Ghatak, 2003; Burgess and Rotto, 2003). Measurability and attributability: Measurability problems are associated with the complexity of service provision. Agents' activities (marginal productivities) in public organizations are generally unobservable by the principal (citizens). Typically, citizens only get to observe the aggregate output of the production process. Citizens cannot easily determine who is responsible for the situation they observe: the frontline service providers, the bureaucrats, or the politicians. They cannot observe the specific contribution that a politician makes to a program and it is also difficult for them to link this potential contribution to the program outcome and their own welfare. Further, the objectives of service providers are often imprecise. For instance, the overall objective of a school is to provide good education, which is very difficult to define. In such contexts, it is hard to identify good performance measures. Multitasking: Service providers perform a multiplicity of tasks which make evaluation of results even more difficult. For instance, health workers perform vaccination or other preventive 208 activities as well as curative activities, which generally compete with each other in terms of limited time and other resources. If, for instance, health workers are rewarded based on the performance of vaccinations exclusively, this might lead to an excessive focus on these activities at the expense of other components of good health. 31 Multi-principals: Service delivery is also characterized by the presence of multiple principals. There are several actors who are directly affected by the actions of an agent in the provision of public services. For instance, in the education sector, the parents, employers, school boards, ministry of education officials and politicians could be seen as the principals, while the agents are the teachers. These different principals might have different preferences concerning the outcome of the various tasks carried out by the agents (Besley and Ghatak, 2003). Because each principal would like to induce the agent to put more effort into activities that he cares more about, if the incentive schemes are not chosen to maximize the joint payoffs of the principals, there will be inefficiencies (Dixit, 2002). Functional interdependence: In addition to these three factors, the difficulty of controlling public service delivery is compounded by the presence of multiple agents engaged in a joint production process. While delivery of quality health care and education is contingent predominantly on what happens in consultation rooms and in classrooms, a combination of various basic elements must be present for quality services to be accessible and produced by health personnel and teachers at the frontline, which all depend on the overall service delivery system and supply chain. Adequate financing, infrastructure, human resources, material and equipment have to be available for service delivery at the frontline, as well as proper institutions and governance structures to provide adequate incentives to the service providers. The availability of these essential elements and institutions are a function of the efficiency of the entire service delivery system. Moral hazard, which arises in situations where individuals are shielded from bearing all the costs of their actions because of the difficulty of observing their private actions, is then reinforced in teams, especially in large public organizations. There is a crucial lack of information at various levels in the public organizational structure, particularly at the central level in most African countries regarding resource use and transfers through the service delivery supply chain. Furthermore, information problems are also acute at lower levels of the hierarchy, because decentralized administrative units are often unaware of the budgetary resources to which they are entitled.32 The information gap and retention of information at 31 As Holmström and Milgrom (1991) emphasize, if an employee has several tasks to carry out and some have good performance measures and others do not, then making employees’ pay sensitive to good performance measures will cause a substitution of efforts away from the other tasks and could result in loss of efficiency. This makes provision of incentives hard when workers have to perform multiple tasks. 32 Typically, the central administrative level organizes procedures governing resource flow in the supply chain, but there is little or no consultation with lower levels and scarce transmission of information. Those who receive the inputs (textbooks, medical supplies, etc) at lower levels typically do not have information on what they were entitled to receive, in terms of the type, quantity and value of supplies, or when and from whom they should receive the resources. 209 various levels within public organizations reinforces moral hazard problems and underlies the problem of inefficiencies and rent seeking. 4. What is the service delivery supply chain? Figure 5 illustrates the sequential service delivery process involving the service delivery supply chain activities at the upstream administrative level and the activities of frontline service providers at the downstream level. Outcomes are realized at the household level. Government at the upstream level sets overall policies, allocates resources and designs rules and service providers’ incentive systems; service providers’ behavior downstream is conditioned by these sets of constraints and incentives as well as rules determined locally; while citizens’ decisions are influenced by the choices offered and the characteristics of the services. Together, the choices and behavior of these various actors determine outcomes (Figure A2). Indeed, services offered at the frontline level are determined to a large extent by the rules determined by the higher administrative levels and by the efficiency of the entire supply chain. Several factors within the downstream frontline service provider environment are exogenous being determined by the upstream level decisions. In most public health clinics in Africa, for instance, the health personnel is selected and remunerated by the higher administrative levels, generally the national government. Also, the geographical distribution of health centers and clinics are determined at the central level. While personnel in frontline facilities (schools, clinics, hospitals) provide services to the population, their behavior depend to a large extent on the upstream actions taken by the higher administrative levels which provide key inputs (financing, infrastructure, personnel, material and equipment). Given the sequential nature of the service delivery process, the outputs of the first stage (upstream) service delivery supply chain are the inputs of the second stage (downstream) of the frontline service providers. The behavior and efficiency of upstream activities will determine the resources available that will reach the downstream level of the frontline providers. Services provided to the population will be a function of the overall efficiency of these joint activities. Diagnosing service provision performance requires accounting for the sequential nature of the production process and various administrative layers in the system. 210 Figure A2: Service Delivery: Sequential Delivery Process On the demand side, the quality and accessibility of basic services in social sectors are important factors as part of a complex socio economic process explaining population outcomes. The access to quality public service delivery has been recognized as fundamental for population wellbeing and economic development in developing countries, in particular in health, education, water and sanitation and other social sectors (World Bank, 2003). 5. What are the potential deficiencies in service delivery? While adequate financing, infrastructure, human resources, material and equipment have to be available for service delivery at the frontline, together with proper institutions and governance structures to provide adequate incentives to the service providers, the availability of these essential elements and institutions are often not present. Table 4 presents official public spending on education and health among African countries in proportion to GDP, as well as in terms of GDP per capita. 211 Public spending in health and education in Africa varies greatly among countries, representing between 2 percent to 22 percent of GDP, much below the levels observed in OECD countries which are about 13 percent. Spending per capita varies even more widely being as low as US$6 in Burundi to US$750 in Botswana. Official public spending figures could be deceitful for assessing countries’ actual commitment to social sectors in weak institutional environments as funding may not translate into increased available resources and improved services given leakage and inadequate incentives. Leakage, which is broadly defined as the share of resources earmarked to specific beneficiaries that fail to reach them, was found to be important in developing countries. Greater leakage has been associated with greater discretionary power granted to particular administrative units, combined with weak supervision and poor incentives, and could lead to large fund capture (Reinikka and Svensson, 2004). In the health sector in Chad for instance, where no fixed allocation rules apply for most resource allocation, only 1 percent of non-wage recurrent resources allocated to regional health administration arrived at the facility level. This represented less than US$0.02 per capita of (non-wages) annual budget available for primary health care in 2003 (Gauthier and Wane, 2009). With inadequate levels of public resources at the frontline, health and school facilities often lack the basic infrastructure (electricity, water and sanitation), and also often face important constraints of basic material and equipment. For instance, in Africa, SACMEQ II survey found that over half of grade six students in several SSA countries did not have a single book (e.g., Malawi, Mozambique, Uganda, and Zambia). Given that frontline providers are often left to their own devices to finance their activities, they rely more heavily on user fees which could thus be very substantial. In Chad, user fees represent 90 percent of health center revenues (excluding salaries) compared to 2 percent for government transfers. They represented on average a burden 10 times heavier for the poorer quintile of revenue than for the richer one (21 percent of the monthly household incomes versus 2.1 percent). Leakage has also been linked to significantly higher medication cost. In Chad in particular, primary health facilities that receive government transfers charge lower mark-ups on medication than facilities that do not. In addition to official fees, users of services in SSA also face important informal payments that increase accessibility problems, especially for the poor. In Kenya for instance, the probability of being asked to make an informal payment in the health sector was found to be 61 percent compared with 54 percent in the education sector (Transparency International, 2008) Other weaknesses in the broader institutional architecture are associated with inadequate staff incentives, which translate into shortages of skilled staff and high absenteeism, especially in poorer and rural areas. In Namibia for instance, there is an unequal allocation of teachers in the 212 education sector (number and qualifications) across regions and types of schools. Qualified teachers tend to concentrate in urban areas where 60 percent of teachers have obtained a bachelor degree or more, while 80 percent of teachers in rural areas do not have secondary education. Table A1: Official Public Spending on Education and Health in Africa (2005) Education Health Sum (% of GDP) (% of GDP) ($US per capita) Angola 2.39 1.47 67.82 Benin* 4.38 2.51 34.11 Botswana 9.74 4.45 751.77 Burkina Faso 4.25 3.99 32.20 Burundi 5.10 0.97 6.43 Cameroon 3.07 1.46 47.10 Cape Verde 6.77 4.58 229.37 Chad 1.91 1.47 19.00 Congo, Rep. 1.87 0.89 35.22 Equatorial Guinea** 0.60 1.37 119.14 Eritrea 5.29 1.66 15.57 Ghana 5.44 2.11 36.52 Guinea 1.63 0.67 6.57 Kenya 7.31 2.10 49.39 Lesotho 13.84 8.47 180.64 Madagascar 3.19 2.00 14.07 Malawi** 5.81 9.54 21.95 Mali 4.15 2.93 26.70 Mauritania 2.34 1.71 24.86 Mauritius 4.44 2.21 343.77 Mozambique 5.02 2.73 25.96 Namibia** 6.92 5.14 271.71 Niger** 2.40 1.97 9.15 Rwanda 3.76 4.10 18.53 Senegal 5.43 1.71 50.95 Seychelles* 5.42 4.74 834.38 Sierra Leone 3.79 1.91 12.30 Swaziland 6.98 4.04 266.09 Uganda* 5.24 2.23 18.30 Zambia 1.99 2.74 29.44 SSA average 4.68 2.93 119.97 OECD Average 5.44 7.07 4 582.19 Source: World Bank WDI on line. Data are for year 2005 except (*) 2004 (**) 2003 Improving outcomes would require more than an adequate level of qualified personnel; it would also require them to be present to deliver services. However, large multi-country studies show that high levels of absenteeism are prevalent in developing countries due to poor accountability and weak staff incentives (Chaudhury et al, 2006) 213 6. What are the long and short routes of accountability? The main solutions examined to improve service delivery performance and for which PETS/QSDS are instrumental have focused on reducing information asymmetry through monitoring and evaluation and strengthening the accountability relationships which are at the root of institutional deficiencies within service delivery systems. Besley and Ghatak (2003) underline that inefficiency in public production arises because service providers face limited incentives to improve quality. This is because service users (citizens) are not viewed as customers as in the private sector, where customer satisfaction is key to the provider’s survival. Also, public service providers have no incentives to reduce costs because of the use of soft budget constraints in the public sector. The authors argue that decentralized organizational arrangement is in many contexts an efficient system of public service delivery that enhances consumer empowerment. Empowering consumers means that the nature of the principal-agent relationship changes and that customer satisfaction becomes a priority of frontline providers. The World Development Report 2004 “Making Services Work for Poor People” develops a conceptual framework that focuses on the accountability relationships between principals and agents in the service delivery system and has identified two main routes within this framework to reduce information asymmetry and improve accountability: (i) the improvement of internal systems and (ii) external accountability mechanisms, also called respectively the “long” and “short” route of accountability. The internal sequential process of accountability has been referred to as the “long route” of accountability, as opposed to the “short route,” which involves direct accountability of providers to clients, a situation typically encountered in the private competitive sector. Inadequate service delivery could hence be associated with failures in one or both of the links along the “long route” of accountability, as well as with failures in the “short route” of accountability. An important way to strengthen the accountability relationships in service delivery is by reducing information asymmetry among parties in the service provision system. Collecting information on activities of agents increases the principal’s (citizens) bargaining power and control through improved monitoring and disciplining of policy-makers and providers. (i) The “long route” of accountability The accountability relationship between citizens and policymakers could be broken for several reasons. One of the accountability problems in the service delivery system relates to the relationship between policymakers and frontline providers. As previously emphasized, resources and information flows in public administrations are complex. Organizational arrangements include a large number of agents and administrative layers. 214 In many developing countries, there is a crucial lack of information at various levels in the public organizational structure, particularly at the central level, regarding resource use and transfers through the service delivery supply chain. Furthermore, information problems are also acute at lower levels of the hierarchy, in that decentralized administrative units are often unaware of the budgetary resources to which they are entitled. Typically, the central administrative level organizes procedures governing resource flow in the supply chain, but there is little or no consultation with lower levels and scarce transmission of information. Those who receive the inputs (textbooks, medical supplies, etc) at lower levels typically do not have information on what they were entitled to receive, in terms of the type, quantity and value of supplies, or when and from whom they should receive the resources. The information gap and retention of information at various levels within public organizations reinforces moral hazard problems and underlies the problem of inefficiencies and rent seeking. (ii) The “short route” of accountability Given these shortcomings in the accountability relationships between citizens and policymakers and between policymakers and providers, public service provision is adversely affected unless there is a mechanism that enables clients to monitor and directly discipline service providers-that is, through the “short route” of accountability (World Bank, 2003). Indeed, there is a growing belief that local participation by citizens in service delivery and better information can help achieve better outcomes, especially by applying mechanisms that enable clients to monitor and directly discipline service providers (World Bank, 2003; Banerjee et al., 2006). Increasing client power over service providers can increase efficiency and control in the system. Barr et al., (2006) describe an experiment in Ethiopia that studied the impact of various institutional arrangements on rent capture in service delivery. They find that closer service recipient control increases efficiency. 33 The information and analysis provided by PETS/QSDS could have a positive effect on both routes of accountability. For both internal and external approaches to accountability, PETS/QSDS could provide crucial information and recommendations for improved services. 33 In a democratic political setting, evidence suggests that accountability could be improved when voters share information about political responsibility for certain key outcomes (Ferejohn and Kuklinsky, 1990). Khemani (2004) finds evidence of the impact of information on service provision in India through election cycles. She observes that when elections are approaching, state governments in India tend to increase expenditures on public investments that are easily observable by voters and reduce them on more broad-based public services. 215 References Ablo, Emmanuel and Ritva Reinikka (1998) “Do Budgets Really Matter? Evidence from Public Spending on Education and Health in Uganda” Policy Research Working Paper 1926, The World Bank, Washington, D.C. Amin, Samia, Das Jishnu and Markus Goldstein (editors) (2008) Are you Being Served? 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