The Evolution of the `Business Park`
Transcription
The Evolution of the `Business Park`
Fountain Valley Crossings Specific Plan & EIR Fountain Valley, CA – August 26, 2015 Study Session #1: Outreach Summary & Plan Recommendations Erik Calloway Freedman Tung + Sasaki, San Francisco www.ftscities.com Project Lead: Urban Design Market Analysis Transportation Planning Environmental Planning City Staff Reviews and Guides Everything Presentation Topics 1. Objectives of the Planning Process 2. District Context, Market Conditions, & Trends 3. Broad Brush District Strategy 4. Preliminary Transportation Analysis 5. Preliminary Regulations 6. Next Steps Feedback to Date Throughout Starting Point: Fountain Valley General Plan Each city shall adopt a comprehensive, long-term general plan for the physical development of the county or city Starting Point: Fountain Valley General Plan Special Study Area Industrial Uses Commercial Uses • Special design consideration and planning • Improve appearance & character • Enhance economic base • Maximize development potential • Ensure compatibility with adjacent neighborhoods • Preserve, improve, and intensify existing commercial development • Recapture retail and service business leakage Starting Point: Fountain Valley City-Wide Strategic Plan City Weaknesses Negative Trends Positive Trends • Lack of downtown and/or city center with nightlife, movie theater • Loss of tax revenue to internet sales • Economic Growth • Lack of housing variety • Aging community’s increased need for services • I-405 congestion & increasing fuel costs • Businesses attraction: Hyundai & Yakult • Drop in foreclosures Starting Point: General Plan & City-Wide Strategic Plan Talbert Ellis Newhope Euclid Ward I-405 Community Outreach: • Stakeholder Interviews, Community Group Meetings, & Information Booths • Online Surveys, Website, & Social/Print Media • Community Workshop #1: Existing Conditions & Context • Community Workshop #2: Opportunities, Vision, & Strategic Framework • Community Workshop #3: Public Space, Streetscape, Mobility Analysis, & Preliminary Regulations • Council/Planning Commission Study Session: Outreach Summary & Plan Recommendations Project Objectives • Evaluate what’s working and what’s • Discuss how local, regional, and global trends may affect the future of the district • Identify how district transformation can respond to the community’s needs • Prepare a Vision to guide change • Develop a Plan to implement the vision Context & Trends Broader Perspective © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Source: Celebratebig.com 2007 Up to the Early 20th Century: Communities Were Small, Spread-Out, Self-Sufficient, and Primarily Agricultural 1901 Bushard Street and Talbert Road 1920 19th Century: Agricultural, craft, manual labor Early 20th Century: “Industry” Reorganized Around Assembly Lines • Synchronized • Low skill • Organized by component tasks • Mass production Economy = Making & Moving Goods: Cities re-organized using Industrial Principles Business park Shopping Center City as Machine (CIAM 1933) © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Housing Subdivision The Post WWII Advent of Suburbia: Orange County Population Growth 1912-2006 Image: LIFE Magazine Mass Produced Suburbs © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 The Experiment FIT with the industrial economy of the Era. Business park Shopping Center Housing Subdivision © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2012 Fountain Valley’s First Plan 1957 The City Incorporates and is re-named Fountain Valley 1962 The City adopts one of the first General Plans/”Master Plans” in Orange County Westward along Talbert Ave from the Santa Ana River bridge in 1962. http://ochistorical.blogspot.com/2008/06/fountain-valley-in-1960s.html Talbert Ave. Ward Ave. Ellis Ave. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Fountain Valley Population 1969-1970 Talbert Ave. Ward Ave. Ellis Ave. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Fountain Valley Population Feb. 21, 1976 Little Growth & Change in the past 40 years Talbert Ave. Ward Ave. Ellis Ave. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Fountain Valley Population 2014 Light Industrial Value = convenient location, close to lots of population, few conflicts with surrounding uses (incl auto repair and sales) Newhope Ave. Ward St. Talbert Ave. Ellis Ave. 1/2 mile ft Existing Ground Floor Land Use Showroom Wholesale/ Commercial Value = regional access, space for large-scale sales/storage: • • • • • • • • • Furniture and Home Improvement Interior Decoration Restaurant Supply Tools Hobby Shop Gun Shop Screen Printing House of Batteries Musical Instruments Online sales are natural extensions these types of industries. Concentration of Home Improvement Stores Property Owner Feedback • Most owners are satisfied with existing use. • Properties are meeting or exceeding owner’s revenue expectations. • Some property owners indicated possible interest in the opportunity to transition to a higher intensity use. Real Estate Industry: Best Bets for 2015 Value Added Investments • Improve Class C & B development Develop Industrial • Existing industrial properties currently offer a great opportunity for builders. Period of Transition • Projected industrial construction is accelerating, but demand is anticipated to decelerate Source: Urban Land Institute Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2015 Wide-spread & rapid digitalization has led to fundamental changes in how/where we live, work, & play. Less labor needed to move and make things = more time thinking, strategizing, and analyzing The Project Area was completely built out before the internet, email, smartphones, etc. Talbert Ave. Ward Ave. Ellis Ave. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Fountain Valley Population Feb. 21, 1976 20th Century CBDs and Business Parks… Low Density and Auto Oriented Landscaping but no “Public” Space No Activity Centers Inward Focus Hides Activity …no longer fit the needs of today’s economy ? How do we align cities with the 21st century economy? Workplace ? Activity Centers ? Neighborhoods © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Plan for District Transformation Over Time • Allow the district to transition over time in line with trends • Let the market guide which types of uses and which locations should be targeted for near-term and long-term development. Range of Workplace Types Upgraded Light Industrial/Flex Space Quality Medium Sized Space New or Creative rehab – lower cost spaces Established Corporate Space Current Workplace Demand Demand for industrial flex space is very strong and vacancy rates are extremely low. Shift from manufacturing/warehouse to flex/R&D (need more office space in non-traditional formats) Short-term: most likely transition is to more flex/R&D, creative office, and warehouse commercial. Support Continued Workplace Success Improve the district for existing and future flex space tenants with: • Streetscape improvements • Targeted open space • Retail/activity clusters Future Workplace Demand • Speculative office development is a longer term prospect. • Allow office where appropriate to open the door to potential future investment. Align with Workplace Trends Following the Great Recession: Cities and companies have discovered that it is possible to re-create the efficiencies and attractiveness of an urban core environment in…suburban locations. Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2015 Major Opportunity: Re-organize workplace districts around their unique pattern of retail Lunchtime Activity • Convenience (3min walk) • Variety • Small plazas and outdoor eating After Work Activity • Happy hour • Home-bound errands • Health and exercise © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Fountain Valley Crossings: Community Concerns and Aspirations Survey Launched 12/9/14 362 Total Responses https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/FountainValleyCrossings-1 Q1: Please describe yourself (select all that apply): Answered: 310 Skipped: 4 City & Community Aspirations City Council • Lack of downtown and/or city center with nightlife, movie theater • Loss of tax revenue to internet sales Community: • What would benefit residents? Landscaping Open Space Restaurants, Retail, Services Ped/Bike Improv. Transit Other • What type of retail/services? Restaurants & Entertainment Services Retail Goods Health Hotel Services Other 1966 “Master Plan” • • • 1995 General Plan Residential: More Single Family & Less Multi-Family Industrial: Some developed as housing, retail, or still vacant No City Center: Need to recapture retail leakage to nearby malls 80s/90s: Enlarged Retail Formats Replacing Strip Retail (20 malls per year - USA) © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Global Trend: Internet sales growing 3X faster than brick-and-mortar Quote source: strategic economics 2011: “For the first time since the early 1950’s, no regional malls are under construction in the United States.” © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2011 & Robert Gibbs – Retail Traffic Magazine • Suburban shopping centers must reinvent themselves. • Rethink how we deliver retail to align with transportation trends, consumer preferences, and demographic shifts. Online Community Survey: How & Where You Shop 100% 33% 39% eat hang out see a movie shop % of responses 80% 60% A few times a year 40% 20% Weekly/ monthly visits 0% 16% 11% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Distance from project area (miles) Activity centers need to serve dining, entertainment, & recreation needs with variety Survey: Activity driven by convenience or experience Well-served by surrounding traditional centers… …but limited retail offerings in Fountain Valley and underserved with experiential retail. Opportunity for Experiential Retail Characteristics of Experiential Retail Centers: • Tend to be relatively small & don’t need a large anchor tenant (100k sqft) • Many small food and boutique tenants that complement each other • Outdoor / communal spaces & places for people to get together • Pedestrian-friendly environment • Can easily reuse existing buildings • Can serve both workers, residents, and families Priority: Cluster Retail to Create Centers of Pedestrian Activity ~1,300 ft Castro Street, Downtown Mountain View, CA ~1,200 ft Main Street, Downtown Huntington Beach, CA Santana row San Jose, CA 1,400 ft Village of Rochester Hills Rochester MI 1,300 ft Americana at Brand Glendale, CA 1,500 ft Phillips Place Charlotte, NC 1,044 ft Mizner Park Boca Raton, FL 1,300 ft The Grove Los Angeles, CA 700ft-1,200ft The Camp & The Lab Costa Mesa, CA 270-570ft © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Cluster Retail Within The Project Area Focus on North Side of I-405 • Freeway Barrier • Separation from Sanitation District © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 • Existing Market Momentum • Greater visibility & Access + Best existing building pattern for potential re-use • • Target building re-use opportunities Build off District strengths © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Respond to Limited Opportunities Actively engage and partner with property owners • Costs of restaurant build-out can be high; incentives may be needed. • Facilitate conversations between property owners interested in forming a retail district. • Offer supportive public improvements in conjunction with property owner investments. • Assist property owners to not only identify/attract new tenants but relocate existing tenants if possible. Retail Compliments Housing Experiential retail projects are most successful when they have housing in close proximity: • Housing provides a built-in base of customers for retail/ restaurants, including nights and weekends. • Retail and amenities make housing more desirable. Trend: Aging Population 46% of Fountain Valley HH’s are over 44 © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Source: “More Than 'Millennials': Colleges Must Look Beyond Generational Stereotypes” Mano Singham, The Chronicle of Higher Education, Oct 11, 2009 Trend: Fewer Children Changing Household Composition Household Type 1970 2000 2030 HH with Children 45% 33% 27% HH without Children 55% 67% 73% © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Source: Arthure C. Nelson, Presidential Professor & director of Metropolitan Research, University of Utah Trends: City Living & Compact Development Percentage Ranking at Top (6-10) War Babies/ Silent Gen Gen Y Gen X Baby Boomers Short Distance to Work & School 82% 71% 67% 57% Walkability 76% 67% 67% 69% Distance to Shopping/ Entertainment 71% 58% 67% 69% Distance to Family/Friends 69% 57% 60% 66% Convenience of Public Transportation 57% 45% 50% 56% Attracted to a sense of activity, vibrancy, and easy access to amenities in their communities Source: ULI, America in 2013 Unmet Housing Demand in FV FV homes are primarily: Single Family (76% of homes) Owner-occupied (72% vs. 60% in Orange County) Fountain Valley currently contains some denser housing areas, but none offer an immediately adjacent and accessible place to shop, dine, and interact. Range of Housing Types A variety of unit types and sizes in townhomes and stacked flats Pedestrian Environment and Buffers from the Street Open Space and Amenity Q7: If new residential uses were added in the project area, what do you think would be the most successful (select all that apply)? Answered: 235 Skipped: 79 Small Scale Placemaking: Activity, Recreation, Relaxation © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Range of Public Spaces Central Location for Workforce Housing I-405 Mile Square Park Look for early opportunities to partner with local employers – such as hospitals, the school district, and first responders – to build subsidized workforce housing. Housing Demand Short-term: Demand for new housing will be driven by aging households looking to downsize Free up single-family homes for young families. Longer-term: Draw highly-skilled younger workers to new multi-family homes and existing housing stock. Overall Market & Trends Summary • Workplace – Existing space meets existing demand. Speculative office development is a long-term prospect. • Retail – Some barriers but industry trends, community desire, & workplace benefits point to focused opportunities. • Housing – Strong market, unmet demand, and synergy with retail. Strategy & Preliminary Land Use Framework Plan an Activity Center • Target building re-use opportunities • Build off District strengths © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Respond to Limited Opportunities • Provide options for alternative core location © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 • Support existing tenants and continued conversion to commercial & flex uses in a variety of building types © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 • • • Enable mix of housing on blocks surrounding the Activity Core Targeted/Priority Public Realm Improvements Maximize visibility and orientation along Newhope Ave. • Review development further from the Activity Core in response to district change and market demand © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 • • District-wide pedestrian and public space improvements. Encourage small clusters of activity to support workplace uses. © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Long term • Enable speculative office that takes advantage of I-405 visibility, aligns with workplace trends, & improves district identity © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 What are your concerns about any type of potential new development or change in the project area? Traffic Analysis Overall Approach • Review existing traffic data • Identify traffic associated with incremental development • Preliminary analysis intended to identify initial issues/concerns • There will be a more comprehensive analysis for the EIR 19,000 LOS C 18,000 LOS C 28,000 LOS A 7,000 LOS A 24,000 LOS A 11,000 LOS A 19,000 LOS A 14,000 LOS A 10,000 LOS C 27,000 LOS A Existing (2012) Conditions 28,000 LOS F Ellis Avenue requires additional analysis 29,000 LOS A 8,000 LOS A 26,000 LOS A 12,000 LOS A 20,000 LOS A 15,000 LOS A 11,000 LOS C 28,000 LOS A 2035 No Project Forecasts 20,000 LOS C 22,000 LOS D 32,000 LOS F Little ambient growth in and around the study area Trip Generation Estimates for Study Area Scenario Daily Trips AM Peak Trips PM Peak Trips 2035 No Project 14,200 1,575 1,595 2035 With Project 33,900 4,110 3,865 Delta (Project Only Increase) 19,700 2,535 2,270 5% 5% 10% Preliminary Project Trip Distribution 10% 5% 5% 5% I-405 expected to carry majority of incremental traffic in project area 21,000 LOS D 23,000 LOS D 32,000 LOS A 8,000 LOS A 28,000 LOS A 14,000 LOS A 20,100 LOS A 16,000 LOS B 12,000 LOS C 30,000 LOS A 2035 Plus Project Forecasts 40,000 LOS F Ellis Avenue requires additional analysis Traffic Conclusions • Majority of study area roadways are adequately below capacity, both now and in the future • One segment on Ellis Avenue may be over capacity and could require: – More detailed analysis in the EIR – Potential mitigation measures such as intersection improvements based on the EIR analysis – Coordination with I-405 widening and SB on-ramp Transportation Trends & Management The Advent of Suburbs: Almost 100% of Fountain Valley’s population growth between 1960 - 1980 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Image: LIFE Magazine The growth is not confined to Fountain Valley, it’s regional Orange County has grown from 200,000 to over 2.8 million people since 1950 © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Common Index Population growth has been dwarfed by vehicle growth. Source – NPTS Vehicle Growth Rate = 1.5 X Population Growth Rate © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 In 1950 People Traveled Around 10 miles per day 5 miles to Westminster In 1950 People Traveled Around 10 miles per day Early 21st Century People Travel Around 40 miles per day (ave.) 5 miles to Westminster 20 miles to San Pedro So we have learned to associate growth with degraded mobility… © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 But why are we driving so much? © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Primary Reason: We Drive so much in response to our Pattern of Land Use & Development. © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 20th Century Model: Synchronized Workday, Managed from the Top-Down © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 The Traditional Metropolis: Central City Model Many residential commuter suburbs of a central City Changing Lifestyles: The Death of the 9 to 5 © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Source: Dunham-Jones, Retrofitting Suburbia The “Polycentric” Metropolis The traditional relationship between the metropolitan center and the suburbs is transforming around “a new, regionally centered entrepreneurial economy that is committed to the enhancement of local places” (building the polycentric region) Emergence of sub-regional economic units (Building the Polycentric Region) Trends: City Living & Compact Development ULI Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2010: Next-generation projects will orient to infill, urbanizing suburbs, and transit-oriented development. Smaller housing units - close to mass transit, work, and [18-hour] amenities gain favor over large houses on big lots at the suburban edge. ULI Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2013: “People want to live in areas where walking and transit is all that’s needed.” Percentage Ranking at Top (6-10) Gen Y Gen X Baby Boomers War Babies/ Silent Gen Short Distance to Work & School 82% 71% 67% 57% Walkability 76% 67% 67% 69% Distance to Shopping/ Entertainment 71% 58% 67% 69% Distance to Family/Friends 69% 57% 60% 66% Convenience of Public Transportation 57% 45% 50% 56% Source: ULI, America in 2013 Changing Lifestyles: 8 Straight Years of Declining VMT Per-capita vehicle miles traveled in the U.S. © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 Total vehicle miles traveled by Americans (in millions) Source: FHWA Changing Lifestyles: Increasing Transit Use © Freedman Tung + Sasaki 2014 http://geospatial.blogs.com/geospatial/2014/04/over-1995-2013-public-transit-ridership-in-the-us-grew-372.html Support alternative modes of arrival: Bus Support alternative modes of arrival: Bus Support alternative modes of arrival & internal circulation: Bus/Pedestrian Support alternative modes of arrival & internal circulation: Bike Lack of Santa Ana River Trail Connections City Limits Slater Ave. Bridge Bike Lane Better connect Fountain Valley Crossings to the surrounding area and the Santa Ana River. Parking Retail, even smaller tenants and especially restaurants, need more parking and have higher peak demand and shorter peak hours. • Maximize existing underutilized parking supply first • Encourage shared parking & mixeduse parking • District-wide valet parking program • Support alternative modes of arrival & internal circulation: Bus, Bike, Pedestrian • Wait for the market to determine when, where, and how structured parking should be provided Conceptual Streetscape Improvements Framework Outreach & Community Feedback Community Outreach Summary • • • • • • • • • • Online Surveys Public Workshops Magazine articles Mailed and eblast Newsletters Websites Social media posts and threads Direct mail notifications and flyers handed out Public information booths at Farmer’s Markets Meetings & interviews with property owners, tenants, brokers, and representatives Community Group meetings ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ Fountain Valley Republican Assembly FV Rotary Club FV Community Foundation FV Women’s Club Two trustees of the FV Elementary School District Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors Green Valley Homeowners Association Board of Directors Community Feedback Summary Concerns • Increased traffic from high density residential • Conflicts between residential and industrial • Pushing existing businesses out Priorities • Some interest in opportunity to transition property to a more valuable use • Open to redevelopment but some hesitancy on “leading the charge”. • Excitement about the idea of a “place to go” in Fountain Valley • Be consistent with Fountain Valley character as a small town and nice place to live • Agreement that proactive planning is the right thing to do Implementation: Development Regulations Typical Zoning 1. Restrictive Use Control (Use Separation) 2. Maximum Density & FAR Control 3. Limited Building Scale, Type, Form, & Character Control Hard to envision and predict physical outcomes Zoning Height limit (max) Setbacks required (min) Front Sides Rear Floor area ratio (max FAR) Lot coverage (max) 60 ft./4 stories 20 ft. n/a 0 ft / 20 ft. adj. to a residential zone 0.6 80% Floor Area Ration (FAR) controls amount of development: It does not control building location, massing, or type FAR = 2 FAR = 2 FAR = .375 Density controls number of households: It does not control building scale. . . . . . and it does not control building character Lack of Predictability & Compatibility Alternative Approach Flexible Use; Specific Building Form Tool – “Form-Based” Regulations Regulate Desired Physical Building Characteristics • Orientation, volume, relationship to the street, articulation. Place-based, not use-based, regulations: • Ensure that buildings will be located nearby buildings of similar type. The Frontage Condition is the basis of a District’s physical form The layer from Building façade to back of sidewalk Private Frontage Physical District Characteristics Auto-Oriented Pedestrian-Oriented Physical District Characteristics Auto-Oriented Pedestrian-Oriented The layer between the curb face and the back of sidewalk Public Frontage Physical District Characteristics Auto-Oriented Pedestrian-Oriented Physical District Characteristics Auto-Oriented Pedestrian-Oriented Coordinate public right-of-way AND the enfronting development Envisioned Form Form Based Districts Preliminary Land Use Framework • Support cont. industrial/flex expansion & renovation throughout the District. • Target re-use of existing buildings for niche retail. • Limit ground floor housing to protect land for activity core. • Provide option for alt. core. • Permit small scale lunchoriented activity clusters. • Enable housing mixed with other uses on blocks surrounding core. • Consider phasing-in zoning over time in response to change and demand. • Permit long-term speculative Class A office. Preliminary Land Use Framework • 4 floors, moderate/landscaped setbacks, cont. industrial/flex expansion & renovation of existing buildings • 4 floors (taller conditional w/ amenities), wide sidewalks, shallow/pedestrian friendly setbacks, buildings face directly on sidewalks. • 4 floors, moderate/pedestrian friendly setbacks • 6 floors, deeper/landscaped setbacks Next Steps Draft Specific Plan (in collaboration with City Staff) Public Hearing Process Spring 2016 Q&A