Marketing/Current State of Loyalty
Transcription
Marketing/Current State of Loyalty
Marketing/Current State of Loyalty April 11, 2013 Agenda • The Speakers • Loyalty and Loyalty Programs • Loyalty Programs in Other Categories – Learnings/Best Practices – – – – Grocery Restaurant Retail Other? • Loyalty in Convenience and Fuel Retail – Who’s doing it and how – How is it impacting consumer behavior – Planning model review – how do you know if a loyalty program is right for you? • Technology and Process Considerations • Discussion/Q&A THE SPEAKERS Why Us? • John Keenan Managing Partner, Anthem Marketing Solutions – Over fifteen years experience in data-driven marketing, with specific expertise in retail, grocery, consumer packaged goods, and home services – Loyalty program experience includes: Marlboro Miles, My Coke Rewards, Tropicana Juicy Rewards, Sainsbury’s Rewards, Red Robin Royalty, My Sheetz Rewards, Finish Line Winner’s Circle • Patrick Raycroft Managing Partner, W. Capra Consulting Group – Over twenty years experience with the selection and implementation of retail technology, specifically for payment and loyalty programs in the retail petroleum and c-store industry – Participated on the Petroleum Convenience Alliance for Technology Standards (PCATS) committee on loyalty standards. – Worked with several large chains in designing and implementing loyalty programs including grocer (earn) – fuel (redeem) and general coalition programs. LOYALTY AND LOYALTY PROGRAMS Setting the Foundation • Loyalty not a new topic for NACS – numerous presentations over the years – That said, we’ll try to provide some perspective based on work in other categories and crossing over into convenience and fuel retail • Loyalty is an emotion; frequency is a behavior – Not my line, but clears up confusion • Who believes they get 100% of spend from their most loyal customers? • Easier to motivate a behavior than create an emotion share of wallet is what really matters… So… Why Aren’t Consumers Loyal? They Make Purchase Decisions Based On: And Marketers Offer: Price/Value • Price competition Features/Quality • Minimal product/service differentiation Brand Engagement • No relevance • Few incentives to deepen category involvement • What are we really trying to do? – Increase frequency of visits • Light users • Moderate/heavy users • More items • Higher-margin items • Day parts • Different needs, e.g. coffee – Increase spend per visit – Expand usage Do Loyalty Programs Work? • “Loyalty” program tries to get consumers to select you when there is a choice – • How does a loyalty program do this? – • Not by creating an emotion, but by creating an incentive – establishing switching costs, generally through preferential pricing or rewards/give-back This can help win the battle for share of mind, but need to be realistic about what it can deliver overall – – – • Top of the “brand ladder” Double-digit sales growth? Rarely… But it can hold the line in a tough economy, and make marketing spend more efficient Collecting identified transaction data is a major benefit, and should figure in ROI calculation However, where there’s no cost, consumers will join programs for any category they touch, and all category entrants – – How many belong to 2+ grocery programs, 2+ drugstore programs, 2+ airline programs, etc.? How do you differentiate from competitors? Six or Seven Years Ago… • Challenge in achieving loyalty “share of mind” – Average US household belongs to 12 programs – Less than 40% of memberships “active” • Must be a continually-reinforced value proposition – Enrollment – Activation – Ongoing participation Stat Value Loyalty Membership 1.3B Memberships per HH 12 Active Memberships 4.7 (40%) Restaurants with Programs 5% of top 130 chains Trends • Regional coalitions • Two-tiered pricing in grocery Source: “Sizing Up the US Loyalty Marketing Industry” Colloquy, April 2007 Today, the More Things Change… • Challenge in achieving loyalty “share of mind” expands – • Harder to continually reinforce value proposition – • No commitment or cost of entry: average US household now belongs to 18 programs; now more than 45% of memberships “active” Consumers determine which messages to view – and where SoLoMo revolution driving consumers to expect more – Insider information, special privileges, and more discounts and rewards Successful loyalty programs will be those that widen their focus from offering the “perfect reward” to providing valueadded benefits to their relationships. • • Basic points programs are in many cases cost of entry Technology has changed everything ‒ ‒ ‒ ‒ ‒ • Cost structures Communications capabilities Geo-location Consumer control WOM and social sharing Cross-retailer platforms, and coalition programs and integrated payment systems vying for consumer – and merchant – attention Stat Value Loyalty Memberships 2.1B Memberships per HH 18 Active Memberships 8.4 (46%) Restaurants with Programs 16% of top 250 chains Trends • Targeted offers • Pre-trip planning tools • Immediacy Source: “COLLOQUY Loyalty Census Growth and Trends in Loyalty-Program Membership and Activity” April 2011 A Rational Planning Framework • Implementing a loyalty program requires a larger commitment than a frequency-driving promotion – Level of investment, time horizon, philosophical shift • Once decision is made, category characteristics and consumer behavior in the category should drive program development 11 Loyalty Program ROI Metrics • Approach to calculating ROI should be understood prior to green-lighting • Below is an example approach to help QSR chain forecast program impact Input Parameters Average Check Visits/Month Repeat Visit Rate % of sales eligible for rewards Revenue Guest Count Daily Guest Count Unique Customers Loyalty Penetration Loyalty Members Total Spend by Loyalty Members (Baseline) Value 5.26 2.66 80% 85% $ $ 195,093 37,090 1,236 13,944 10% 1,394 19,509 $ Visit Lift (%) Visits by loyalty members (Baseline) Visits by loyalty members (w/ Visit Lift) Incremental Visits per Restaurant Sales Lift Due to Incremental Visits $ 10% 3,709 4,080 371 1,951 Spend Lift (%) Lift per Transaction Spend by loyalty members (w/ Spend Lift & Vist Lift) Lift Due to Incremental Spend $ $ $ 5.0% 0.26 22,533 1,073 Combined Program Revenue Gain Revenue Gain as a % of Loyalty Member Sales Revenue Gain as a % of Total Sales $ 3,024 15.5% 1.6% Gross Margin from Loyalty Members Incremental Gross Margin Contribution Margin from Loyalty Members Incremental Contribution Margin $ $ $ $ 16,630 2,232 11,796 1,583 $ $ 10.0% 2,253 608 2.7% Amount Available for Program Operation $ 800 Total Program Cost $ 1,408 Perceived "Give Back" (Rewards) Ratio Perceived Value of Rewards Cost to Fulfill Rewards Bucket Direct Cost of Rewards as a % of Enhanced Sales Incremental Visits from Program Breakeven Visits (On Gross Margin) Breakeven Visits (On Contribution Margin) Cash Flow Increase ROI 371 169 310 $ 175 12% LOYALTY IN OTHER CATEGORIES Loyalty Programs in Grocery • Only seven of top 25 pure-play grocery chains do NOT utilize some type of card program – Excluding Wal-Mart and Target • Continue to primarily provide two-tier pricing benefit for cardholders – Albertson’s recently launched rebate program of type more typically seen in specialty retail Loyalty Trends in Grocery • Pre-shop planning tools, digital coupons and driving relevance through personalization, based on transaction analysis, are hottest topics – Kroger’s “Customer 1st” strategy driving industryleading results – Safeway Just For U™ digital/mobile planning program credited for strong performance, suggesting may be able to eliminate print spending Loyalty Trends in Grocery (cont’d) • Grocers have historically been willing to test emerging technologies – – – – Presence tracking In-store GPS NFC/RFID Augmented Reality Grocery/Fuel Tie-Ins • Fuel discounts prominent for all big chains, often in addition to card pricing – For some chains, fuel discounts only rewards offered Loyalty Programs in Restaurants • In 2006, 7 of top 130 restaurant chains in the U.S. utilized rewards-based loyalty programs – Today, research suggests less than 25 of the top 150 have rewards programs, although almost all have e-clubs – Most continue to follow standard rebate model – give back 5-10% of spend – Newer programs include mobile hooks but little rewards innovation Loyalty in Restaurants – QSR • Loyalty programs less common in QSR space – cash payments, low ticket, franchise structures stumbling blocks # of Stores Primary States of Operation Private Label Credit Card Details Subway 38,444 Starbucks 17,244 Dunkin Donuts 10,000 Quiznos 2,795 Panera Bread 1,324 Nationwide Worldwide Worldwide IL, IN, WI, OH, CA, VA, MI Nationwide N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Receive monthly email offers and coupons Present MyPanera card each visit and be rewarded with surprises at random. The more you visit the more surprises you can get 1,028,339 367.9 23,724 8.5 1,448,519 1,094.0 86,070 65.0 Rewards Program Details Facebook Likes Likes Per Store Twitter Followers Followers per Store Earn 1 point for every Earn 1 star every time dollar spent on menu your registered Starbucks Recently announced items and redeem points card or mobile app is new program to replace for free menu items, i.e. used. As Stars accumulate DD Perks - Get 10% Back 10 points = 1 cookie, 35 you move up to bigger points = 6" sub benefits 19,641,759 33,374,559 8,319,752 510.9 1,935.4 832.0 918,974 3,305,684 194,292 23.9 191.7 19.4 Loyalty Trends in Restaurants • Mid-tier chains testing and launching me-too programs – Higher-end chains have cost-tojoin with immediate rewards • Technology innovations driving wave of start-ups trying to penetrate space – Payment and gift card integration – Pre-order to speed POS – Cross-restaurant programs/aggregators – Mobile couponing – Social media tie-ins Loyalty Programs in Retail • Rewards programs much more common among general and specialty retail • Historically, higher-end brands have had programs tied to house credit and lower-end brands have had open programs – More recently, higher-end brands like Bloomingdale’s and Saks have converted to open programs Loyalty Trends in Retail • Retailers hedging bets – innovation taking place alongside traditional loyalty/rewards programs – Same tactics/players as grocery • Even highly-touted loyalty programs unable to overcome inherent challenges in competitive environment Key Take-Aways • Loyalty penetration may not be as widespread as commonly believed • Giving back % of spend continues to be primary reward type • Innovation in other categories taking place primarily around identification and engagement, although personalization still a challenge – Driven by technology advances Best Practices • Whether you’re considering launching a new program, or evaluating an existing program, some considerations: – Make it simple to understand and easy to participate • Leverage technological innovations that consumers are adopting – Recognize and reward • Try to move recognition before transaction is completed • Utilize a mix of hard and soft benefits that balance attainability and aspiration • Targeted and relevant communications – Create incentives good enough to change behavior but not so generous that they erode margins • High perceived value, low cost to deliver – Continually measure and evaluate – Employee engagement at front line is critical LOYALTY IN GAS & CONVENIENCE Why Loyalty In This Category? • High levels of competition and commodity product base suggest need to differentiate – Convenience/fuel retail sales forecast to be flat over next several years • • – NACS 2012 Retail Fuels Report highlights price sensitivity • • Fewer gas visits provide fewer opportunities for inside sales Declining tobacco consumption increases pressure on other categories to replace revenue Price is dominant reason for buying gas at a particular location; even $.01 per gallon can change behavior Implication: Loyalty program may be an effective tool to create barriers to switching where natural barriers may not exist – Can’t solve category problems • • • Loyalty Program Benefits Increased retention/frequency/purchase size Competitive differentiation Individual-level/identified data capture • • • Drive efficiencies in marketing spend • • Targeted communications/offers Product planning Esp. acquisition marketing Category expansion Loyalty Penetration • Anecdotal research suggests that 16% of the top 150 chains utilize non-credit proprietary loyalty programs – 3 of the top 10, including recently announced BP program – Most continue to offer programs tied to house credit and focused on fuel purchases • Many additionally utilize email-based customer contact programs and mobile apps to connect with customers “We know that loyalty programs can generate an increase of up to 15 percent on inside sales volume and up to 10 percent in gallons at the pump“ General Manager, CITGO Light Oils Marketing “48% of consumers reported increased frequency in gas purchases at Shell stations after obtaining the Shell Saver Card“ FirstData Customer Success Story • Average transaction size grew 25% • Loyalty members purchase frequency more than doubled • Double category buyers increased by 22% Wipro Fuel Loyalty Study Loyalty Landscape – Sample Geo Focus • Where loyalty program are utilized, usually tied to pump discounts – • Additionally, almost all major grocery chains now include “fuel rewards” as part of their card program Consumers appear willing to engage through social media – if leads to benefits # of Stores Primary States of Operation Sheetz 431 PA,MD,NC,VA,WV, OH Citgo 6,102 East of Mississippi the River, TX, OK, AR, LA Speedway 1,460 Shell 43,000 Giant Eagle Get Go 229 Rutters 55 Sunoco 4,900 Turkey Hill 270 OH, WV, IN, KY, MI, MN, WI, IL Worldwide OH, PA, VA, WV, MD PA 23 states stretching from ME to FL and west to IN PA, OH, IN 40 additional speedy reward points for every $1 spent at Speedway, and 10 points for everywhere else. 5₵ off per gallon with Shell Credit Card, and cash back for travel. An additional 4₵ off per gallon, when you use a Giant Eagle Credit Card N/A 5₵ off per gallon with Sunoco Rewards Credit Card N/A Points system in which points can be redeemed for in store products and gas. 20 points per $1 in store, 10 points per gallon. 42,780 29.3 0 0.0 Instant 4₵ off per Shop at participating Every $50 you spend gallon at the pump, grocers, retail stores, earns 10₵ off per accumulate cents off in restaurants and inside gallon. Every 10 gallons store, and have the shell store to pumped earns 1% monthly drawings for receive cents off per discount in store prizes gallon 2,551,540 412,752 5,372 59.3 1,802.4 97.7 79,036 8,063 1,015 1.8 35.2 18.5 Private Label Credit Card Details 5₵ off per gallon with Sheetz Credit Card. 5 points for Sheetz purchases, 1 point everywhere else. 5₵ off per gallon with Citgo Credit Card Rewards Program Details Facebook Likes Likes Per Store Twitter Followers Followers per Store 3₵ off per gallon with Sheetz Loyalty Card, and a number of loyalty deals in store Loyalty bucks announced 888,345 2,061.1 11,413 26.5 1,846 0.3 1,008 0.2 Instant 3₵ off per gallon Purchase select items to at the pump, earn points build up discounts on gas on items in store for and redeem at the pump, cents off gas i.e. 10₵ of i.e. buy large coffee and per gallon for every 100 save 5₵ per gallon points 9,469 11,510 1.9 42.6 309 8,023 0.1 29.7 28 Key Planning Considerations Convenience & Fuel Retail Characteristics Program Planning Implications Variety of ownership structures Select appropriate structure: proprietary program vs. coalition program vs. sponsored program Commodity products Focus rewards/offers around points of differentiation Abundance of choice/ degree of competition May need to factor in predetermined parameters Price sensitivity Ensure program delivers positive ROI without leaving opening for competitors Convenience Provide a compelling reason to bypass your competitor Frequency of need Target areas with room to expand consumption Card-driven outside/cash-driven inside Provide reason to identify with each inside transaction; utilize emerging technologies to ease process, recognize and reward Multiple points of purchase/interaction Integration with payments, other marketing and merchandising efforts, and relevant communications stream Align Potential Returns • Proven methodology allows alignment of expected behavioral shifts with projected program costs to ensure positive ROI TECHNOLOGY & PROCESS A few key questions and answers will help you determine implementation approach and business impact. 32 Question One: What loyalty program type is best for my business? • Business objectives will drive the type of program you ultimately select • The program will drive economic, supplier, deployment, and operational considerations What do you want to accomplish? • Automation • Frequency • Retention • Attract new customers Program types: • Frequency programs • Offer/Specials focused • Brand-based • Payment-based • Coalition o Common one in market = Grocer (earn), Fuel (redeem) o Local o National • Site based and/or e-commerce and/or mobile • Loyalty Instruments (cards, QR codes, bar codes, disposable codes) 33 Question Two: How do I implement the program within my business? Expect impact to many of your systems: Site • POS • Dispenser variations • Pinpads • Scanners • Network – bandwidth and latency • Multimedia (audio and video) HQ or External • Loyalty program • Reporting • Pricebook • Settlement applications • Financial applications • Loyalty processor • Payment processor • CRM database and application • Offer engine • Social media messaging applications and monitors • Multimedia (audio and video) 34 Assess Control and Engagement vs. Tech Impact Program design and desired customization will drive impact to infrastructure • Enable via current infrastructure and current providers • Enable via current or enhanced infrastructure with loyalty focused partners • Enable via enhanced and new infrastructure with loyalty focused partners 35 Enabled via Existing Infrastructure Considerations • • Card Processor Dedicated Retail Network • • • Forecourt Devices POS • Current infrastructure is designed for and focused on payments Loyalty offers determined in large part by the capabilities of processor, POS or the brand / brand payment processor Complex to integrate common loyalty offers across multiple brands or branded and unbranded site if applicable Expect a specific version of the brand POS application Also possible to “bolt on” some third party loyalty approaches (e.g. KickStart) Loyalty increases complexity and subsequent enhancements can require changes to many components Enabled via Existing or Enhanced Infrastructure with Loyalty-Focused Partners Loyalty Processor Payment Card Processor Dedicated Retail Network Card Appliance (Payment and Loyalty) Forecourt Devices POS Considerations • Separate Loyalty Processor • Opens up more loyalty program options • Loyalty still rides the payment infrastructure at the site • Potential for multiple payment and loyalty processors • Standards are making it easier to send loyalty and payment traffic to different processors • Card appliance allows routing of payment and loyalty transactions to different destinations • More flexibility, but requires a card appliance at the site and enhanced remote management of the card appliance • Loyalty roll out requires changes to many components Enabled via Enhanced/New Infrastructure, New Systems and Loyalty-Focused Partners Web Payments and Loyalty (PayPal, Google, 200 others) Brand Payment Processor Brand Loyalty Processor Dedicated Retail Network Card Appliance Forecourt Devices CRM Offer Engine Consumer Mobile Devices POS Leverage loyalty as ROI to invest in an infrastructure that is future aware Meet the demands to ensure ongoing payment relevance • Payment and Loyalty innovation driven by nontraditional players (MCX, Google, PayPal, many others) • Have to support increasingly diverse consumer demands Get to know your customers and communicate directly with them • Customer Relationship Management (CRM) systems enable the capture of individual customer info and buying patterns • Customizable offers delivered directly to mobile phones = one-to-one communication Implement EMV aware systems • NFC, QR, ??? • EMV will hit retailers hard - estimates range from $8 billion to $30 billion Opportunity to add mobile capabilities as part of EMV hardware and software upgrades New Pope Announcement at Vatican People change quickly … your programs will have to change too maintain relevance 39 Supporting Cast Loyalty strategies should include the following components to keep your brand and products top-of-mind. Although this new ecosystem offers new capabilities to attract, retain, and communicate to consumers, it will be changing rapidly. Marketing • What is the annual marketing budget and supporting plans to underpin the program launch and ongoing promotions? • What is the traditional channel mix? Payment Technology • How can payment options and technology complement the program? • What options exist to subsidize the cost of the program? • What role does mobile payments play near term / long term? Coalition CRM Social Media / Digital Strategy • What opportunities exist to partner with complementary retailers to enhance the value proposition and loyal shopping? • How will consumer and transactional data be utilized to more effectively and efficiently market to consumers? • How do we leverage digital & social media to acquire, retain, and enhance profitability from consumers in the program? 40 Key Considerations for Eco-System Decision Implementing a loyalty infrastructure Rapid evolution of loyalty offers How Retailers Need to Adapt • • • • Multiple delivery mechanisms Increasingly diverse consumer segments Minimize future regret cost • • Look to leading retailers for trends Actively engage with your technology suppliers and industry SME’s Look for opportunities to move business logic off site to the cloud Continue to support traditional at-site card-based programs Be aware and understand mobile Align with your consumer • • Flexibility is key – design for rapid adaptation Develop a multi-faceted approach for consumer engagement (payments, loyalty, social media, CRM, mobile offer delivery, …) • Look for opportunities to add capabilities as part of your EMV investment 5 Basic Steps in Implementing a Loyalty Program from Idea to Operation Business & Tech Strategy Partner & Tech Selection Detailed Program Design Develop, Integrate, Test, Pilot Deploy and Operate Activities Align with business strategy Align with technology strategy Assess competition Define, discuss, and challenge options Define loyalty-CRM strategy Design integrated solution Assess as-is capabilities Define changes to Align with as-is and organization tech plans Design support model Execute RFI/RFP process Define metrics for Select approach, tech operation and and partners economics Identify options Coordinate changes to technology Integrate solution Lab test solution Define pilot and specific goals Deploy solution Increase focus on site operations Execute operational support model Capture metrics Pilot solution and measure Audit partner operations Proven economics of program Successful loyalty program Proven integration of technology Ideas to improve and stay fresh Tested deployment processes Change management process Deliverables Documented goals Options with pros & cons Agreed program(s) and high level design Detailed design of integrated solution Selected technology and Agreed & documented partners org changes Documented issues and risks Commercial agreements Defined deployment model High level plan Detailed plan for design Draft operational Draft operational support model support model Tested operational support processes Best Practices for Delivery Once First Two Decisions Made Implement cross functional team to implement Define requirements and assumptions up front Spend time on detailing the consumer experience Don’t underestimate consumer support and understand the roles of the players • Ensure message to consumer is consistent (loyalty vs. a card message) • Data, data, data • • • • 43 W. Capra Engagement Model Loyalty is one aspect of a complex payment and marketing eco-system Consumer Experience (Card, Mobile, etc.) Terminals PEDs Points of Sale Processing Payment/Loyalty Head Office FI / CRM Consumer Engagement Marketing Programs Vendor Contracts Business Case Tech Architecture Business Strategy Technology Business Project Execution: Leadership, Delivery, Audit Sourcing: Buy vs. Build, Sourcing Strategy, Vendor Strategy Operations: Assessment, Improvement DISCUSSION John Keenan Patrick Raycroft [email protected] [email protected] 312.441.0385 46 312.498.5191