programme armado - International Actuarial Association
Transcription
programme armado - International Actuarial Association
• Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • WELCOME MESSAGE D ear Colleagues and Friends, I would like to welcome you to Mexico, to Cancun and to this main event that comprises four outstanding meetings: The 27 th International Congress of Actuaries, the 33 rd International ASTIN Colloquium, the 12th International AFIR Colloquium and the 1 st International Health Seminar. On June 1992, the International Actuarial Association entrusted the Mexican actuaries with the organization of its 27th Congress. Fully aware of the significant responsibility we had acquired, planning activities got immediately underway. They gradually turned into the enthusiastic organization which today allows us to welcome you with open arms and offer you a wideranging and varied scientific program, as well as an appealing and fun social agenda. We are proud to receive over 1,200 delegates from 57 countries from the 5 continents. We are also honored to have with us close to 600 companions who have come to join us for the unparalleled celebration of the first actuarial congress of the third millennium. The actuarial profession must face major challenges as a result of the globalized world in which we live. Furthermore, the interaction between the various professions and between the public and private sectors constitutes a reality which demands greater responsibility, outstanding professionalism, higher standards and better education. We sincerely hope that the lessons learned during this Congress shall make a significant contribution to the future development of our profession throughout the world. We also hope that you all take back with you an unforgettable image of our country, our people and our culture. Thank you all for coming. Thank you for having believed in us, and thank you for sharing these wonderful days with the Mexican actuaries. Once again, welcome to Cancun! Luis R. Huerta Congress President 1 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • HOSTING TEAM U, Jorge Vergara, Jorge Pedroza, Rafael TravaU Mario Beltrán, Jose Luis Lobera, Kurt Vogt, Juan Carlos Padilla, Sofia Romano, Luis Huerta, Oliva Sánchez, José de Caso. 2 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • INDEX I. SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME ......................................................................................... 4 1.1 PROGRAMME SUMMARY .................................................................................... 5 1.2 SESSIONS DESCRIPTION .................................................................................... 8 1.3 GENERAL INFORMATION ................................................................................. 36 II. TOURS ................................................................................................................................ 37 2.1 OPTIONAL TOURS .............................................................................................. 37 2.2 WEDNESDAY DAY OUT - CHICHEN ITZA .................................................. 38 2.3 TOURS FOR COMPANIONS .............................................................................. 38 III. REGISTRATION AND INFORMATION ............................................................... 39 IV. DINING ............................................................................................................................ 40 V. IMPORTANT INFORMATION .................................................................................... 40 VI. A THANK YOU TO OUR SUPPORTERS ............................................................ 43 VII. CONGRESS OFFICERS AND ORGANIZERS ................................................... 43 This Programme is published in English only, following a detailed analysis of the language skills noted in the Registration Forms. The Congress Committee wishes to avoid any discourtesy to those participants whose mother tongue is not English and kindly requests that any queries or concerns be addressed to the General Information Desk, where they may be answered in any of the Official Congress languages. El programa se presenta solamente en inglés a raíz de un detallado análisis de las dotes lingüísticas que se anotaron en los formatos de inscripción. El Comité del Congreso no quisiera de ningún modo pecar de descortesía ante los asistentes cuyo idioma nativo no es el inglés y ruega encarecidamente que se dirijan a la mesa de Información General, para cualquier pregunta que deseen formular o preocupación que quieran expresar, donde se les atenderá en cualesquiera de los idiomas oficiales del Congreso. Das Kongressprogramm wird nach einer detallierten Analyse der auf den Anmeldeformularen angegebenen Sprachkenntnisse nur auf Englisch erstellt. Das Kongress Komitee ist sehr darauf bedacht, Unannehmlichkeiten für jene eilnehmer zu vermeiden, deren Muttersprache nicht English ist. Diese können sich mit Anfragen und sonstigen Anliegen herzlich gern in einer der offiziellen Kongresssprachen an die Mitarbeiter des Informationsschalters wenden. Sur la foi d’une analyse détaillée des compétences linguistiques figurant sur les inscriptions, ce programme est publié uniquement en anglais. Par souci de courtoisie à l’égard des participants dont la langue maternelle n’est pas l’anglais, le comité du Congrès vous serait reconnaissant d’adresser toute demande ou préoccupation au bureau d’information générale, qui vous répondra dans l’une ou l’autre des langues officielles du Congrès. 3 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • I. SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME We are proud to present the Scientific Programme for the 27th International Congress of Actuaries which includes several innovations. It is the product of an ongoing and relentless effort —which we have carried out over several years—, and which allowed us to combine the work of Mexican actuaries with the support and cooperation of many actuaries from other parts of the world. In the previous Congress in Birmingham, the Organizing Committee proposed that the themes be broad-based instead of dealing with four or five broadly defined themes. We chose to stick to this line of reasoning so that the Congress would appeal to a larger number of actuaries around the world. The plenary sessions will take us from the Ancient Mesoamerican Culture to the current vision of the actuary from the point of view of some of the top leaders of the largest actuarial employers; the current advances and new paradigms in genetics and the opportunities to further the role of actuaries in wider fields. There will be 83 papers presented in 26 sessions during the Congress. To enrich the programme, besides these valuable paper presentations, we also decided to invite the different Committees of the International Actuarial Association as well as the regional Actuarial Associations to organize specific sessions relevant to the profession. We will have 37 such sessions with a very wide range of themes. Some of these sessions will be repeated during both parts of the Congress so that all participants can benefit from them. In the first part of the Congress, the sessions will focus on three main areas: Social Security, General Insurance and Health, while in the second part, the sessions will focus on Life, Pensions and Financial Risk. For the first time ever we will also be hosting the 12th AFIR Colloquium, the 33rd ASTIN Colloquium and the 1st International Health Seminar, featuring several interesting sessions. You are more than welcome to participate in any of the sessions regardless of the event you have signed up for. A Poster Exhibit, presenting the highlights of the Association Reports, some research papers and posters on the Education Systems in different countries will be displayed in the Convention Center Hall. We sincerely hope you will find the Scientific Programme as appealing and enjoyable as your visit to Cancun. Oliva Sánchez Scientific Committee Chairman 4 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • 1.1 PROGRAMME SUMMARY Monday, March 18 Time Sess Event Format 8:45 - 10:00 10:00 - 10:45 11:00 - 12:15 13:45 - 15:15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ICA/AFIR/IHS ICA/AFIR/IHS ICA/AFIR/IHS ICA ICA ICA ICA AFIR IHS L PD PD D PP PP L L 15:30 - 17:00 10 11 12 ICA ICA ICA PD PD PD 13 14 15 ICA AFIR IHS PP PP PD 16 IHS PD 17 18 IHS IHS PD PP Tuesday, March 19 8:30 - 10:00 19 ICA PD 20 ICA PD 21 ICA PD 22 ICA PD 23 24 25 26 27 28 ICA ICA AFIR IHS IHS IHS PP PP PP PD PD PD 29 30 IHS ICA PP PD 31 32 33 ICA ICA ICA PD PD PD 10:15 - 11:45 Title Opening Ceremony An Overview of Mesoamerican Mathematics Vision of the Actuary Towards a New Global Education System (Part I) The Future of Social Security Financing Papers on General Insurance Papers on General Reinsurance Capital Adequacy and Credit Risk in Bank Loan Portfolios Opening Plenary Session: Health-Care Reform Using a Public-Private Partnership Towards a New Global Education System (Part II) Rating Agencies - General Insurance Social Security Reform in Developing Countries the Evolution of Defined Contribution Solutions Papers on General Insurance Papers on Financial Planning Critical Issues in Managing Long Term Care Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Income Replacement Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Critical Illness Insurance Integration of Public and Private Sectors Innovative Solutions to Social Security Funding Problems in Developed Countries International Accounting Standards - Property & Casualty Finite and Alternative Risk Transfer Approaches in the International Arena Non-U.S. Liability Insurance: Pricing and Reserving Challenges Papers on General Insurance Papers on Health Papers on Options in Life Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Income Replacement Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Critical Illness Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Supplemental Private Medical Indemnity Insurance Health Risk Adjustment Impact of Globalization in the Actuarial Profession Property & Casualty Rating Agencies - General Insurance Catastrophe Models in Practice Latent Exposures Room Galactic Galactic Galactic Star 2 Galactic 1 Star 7 & 8 Galactic 8 Galactic 7 Galactic 2 Star 2 Galactic 2 Galactic 1 Star 7 & 8 Galactic 7 Jupiter 1 & 2 Jupiter 3 & 4 Jupiter 5 & 6 Star 1 Galactic 1 Galactic 2 Jupiter 1 & 2 Jupiter 3 & 4 Star 2 Marte Galactic 7 Star 8 Star 7 Jupiter 5 & 6 Star 1 Galactic 1 Galactic 2 Jupiter 1 & 2 Jupiter 3 & 4 5 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • Tuesday, March 19 Time Sess 10:15 - 11:45 12:00 - 13:30 13:30 - 15:00 15:00 - 16:30 Event Format 34 35 36 37 38 ICA ICA AFIR IHS IHS PP PP PP PD PD 39 IHS PD 40 41 42 IHS ICA ICA PP PD PD 43 ICA PD 44 45 46 47 48 49 ICA ICA ICA AFIR IHS IHS PD PP PP PP IS PD 50 IHS PD 51 IHS PD 52 53 54 55 56 AFIR ICA ICA ICA ICA L RP PD PD PD 57 58 59 60 61 ICA ICA ICA AFIR IHS PP PP PP ASTIN ICA ICA L PD PD ICA ICA ICA ICA ICA ICA PD PD PP PD PP PP Thursday, March 21 8:45 - 10:30 62 9:00 - 10:30 63 64 10:45 - 12:15 6 65 66 67 68 69 70 Title Room Papers on Social Security Papers on Professionalism Some Useful Theory Critical Issues in Managing Long Term Care Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Full Coverage Medical Indemnity and Managed Care International Issues in Private Sector Health Insurance Supervision Health-Care Financing Systems Mutual Recognition Challenges and Opportunities for our Profession in Actuarially Developing Countries Finite and Alternative Risk Transfer Approaches in the International Arena Latent Exposures Papers on Social Security Papers on Education Papers on Interest Rate Modeling and Portfolio Selection State-of - the-Art Modeling Techniques Critical Issues in Managing Supplemental Private Medical Indemnity Insurance Critical Issues in Managing Full Coverage Medical Indemnity and Managed Care International Issues in Private Sector Health Insurance Supervision Lunch with Keynote Speaker Professionalism Insurance Regulation of General Insurance Companies Catastrophe Models in Practice Non-U.S. Liability Insurance: Pricing and Reserving Challenges Papers on Social Security Papers on Social Security Papers on Social Security General Assembly Closing Ceremony Star 2 Star 7 Galactic 7 Star 1 Opening Ceremony and Keynote Speaker Towards a New Global Education System (Part I) The Actuarial Role and the Organizational and Operational Paradigm in an Insurance Company Differences in Employee Benefits Accounting Principles Towards a New Global Education System (Part II) Bancassurance ( Part I) Project Management for International Consulting Papers on Life Papers on Mortality Jupiter 5 & 6 Marte Star 8 Galactic 1 Galactic 2 Star 1 Star 2 Jupiter 1 & 2 Jupiter 3 & 4 Star 7 Galactic 7 Star 8 Jupiter 5& 6 Marte Galactic 8 Galactic 1 Galactic 7 Star 1 Star 2 Jupiter 1 & 2 Jupiter 3 & 4 Jupiter 5 & 6 Star 7 Galactic 2 Galactic 2 Galactic 7 Galactic 1 Galactic 8 Galactic 1 Galactic 8 Star 2 Galactic 7 Jupiter • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • Thursday, March 21 Time Sess 10:45 - 12:15 71 72 13:45 - 15:15 15:30 - 17:00 Event ICA ASTIN Format PP PP 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 ICA ICA ICA ICA ICA ASTIN ICA ICA ICA RP WS PP PP PP PP PD PD L 82 83 84 85 ICA ICA ICA ASTIN PP PP PP PP ICA ICA ICA ICA ASTIN ICA ICA ICA ICA ICA ASTIN ICA/ASTIN ICA/ASTIN ICA/ASTIN PD PD PP PP PP PD PD PD PP PP PP PD PD Friday, March 22 9:00 - 10:30 86 87 88 89 90 10:45 - 12:15 91 92 93 94 95 96 14:00 - 15:00 97 15:15 - 16:30 98 16:30 - 17:40 99 Title Papers on Credit Risk Dynamic Financial Analisys of the effect of growth on Property Liability Insurers Professionalism Bancassurance (Part II) Papers on Life Papers on Mortality Papers on Pensions Papers Presentation International Accounting Standards – Life Life reinsurance Impact of Global Demographic Changes in Retirement Systems Papers on Life Papers on Pensions Papers on Financial Risk Papers Presentation and ASTIN General Assembly Impact of Globalization in the Actuarial Profession Current Developments in Life Insurance Papers on Pensions Papers on Life Papers Presentation Mutual Recognition Retirement Trends Insurance Regulation of Life Insurance Companies Papers on Life Papers on Pensions Other Topics and Speakers´ Corner Genetics Wider Fields Closing Ceremony Room Star 1 Galactic 2 Jupiter 1 & 2 Galactic 8 Galactic 1 Star 1 Galactic 7 Galactic 2 Galactic 7 Galactic 1 Galactic 8 Star 7 Star 1 Star 2 Galactic 2 Galactic 7 Galactic 1 Galactic 8 Star 1 Galactic 2 Star 1 Galactic 7 & 8 Star 2 Galactic 1 Star 7 Galactic 2 Galactic Galactic Galactic SESSIONS FORMATS D Debate is a discussion between two individuals or teams taking opposing sides of a clearly specified issue. IS Instruction Session consists of one expert with a how-to approach to the stated subject matter. L Lecture is a formal presentation on a subject given before audience. PD Panel Discussion consists of experts presenting specific topics with limited audience participation. PP Paper Presentation is a formal presentation and discussion of a research paper. RP Role Play is an interactive format that uses dramatization to explain human behavior or problems in a non-threatening way. WS Workshop is an informal, detailed discussion of a topic structured for a small group of participants. 7 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • 1.2 SESSIONS DESCRIPTION MONDAY, MARCH 18 8:45-10:00 1 ICA/AFIR/IHS Galactic ICA/AFIR/IHS Galactic Opening Ceremony 10:00-10:45 2 L An Overview of Mesoamerican Mathematics Speaker: Dr. Pablo Noriega B.V. (México), Researcher and Past President of “Colegio Nacional de Actuarios” Popular views of Mesoamerican Mathematics tend to be based on three assertions: • Mesoamerican people “counted in twenties”. • The Maya discovered the zero before the Hindus or Arabs. • The Maya had a remarkable calendar. Unfortunately, many of the more professional views of the field convey little else, mostly because some mathematical training is needed to say anything significant. In his talk, Dr. Noriega will attempt to go beyond those blunt assertions by exploring some of the uses of Mathematics in Ancient Mexico and Central America. In particular, he will discuss Mayan numerical notation and calendrics and will argue in favor of whatever algebraic sophistication these cultural developments entail. He will also look into land tenure documents from Central Mexico and discuss some of their demographic, economic and geometrical content. In this manner he intends to draw a broad picture of the field while still pointing out some technically interesting details. The intent is not to compress a senior Anthropology course in a one hour lecture, but rather to give attendants the elements for an educated acquaintance with Mesoamerican Mathematics that would allow for a more enjoyable appreciation of Mayan ruins and profitable further reading. 11:00-12:15 3 PD ICA/AFIR/IHS Galactic Vision of the Actuary Chairman: Morris Chambers (Canada) Panelists: • Clemente Cabello (Mexico), CEO, Grupo Nacional Provincial • Dale Gifford (USA), CEO, Hewitt Associates • Patricia Guinn (USA), Managing Director of Tillinghast - Towers Perrin and Towers Perrin Reinsurance. • Timothy Lynch (USA), Vice Chairman of William M. Mercer Companies The members of the panel for this session are top leaders of some of the largest actuarial employers. They will discuss their views of the future applications of actuarial skills and how actuarial training might need to adapt itself to the professional challenges of the future. 13:45- 15:15 4 PD Towards a New Global Education System (Part I) Organized by the IAA´s Education Committee Chairman: Cecil Bykerk (USA) Panelists: • Clare Bellis (Australia) 8 ICA Star 2 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • MONDAY, MARCH 18 • Jan Dhaene (Belgium) • Ma. Angeles Felipe (Spain) • Harry Panjer (Canada) The IAA’s Education Committee will begin this session by reviewing the historical development of the steps towards actuarial education within the IAA and the Groupe Consultatif. Current systems in place around the world will be examined, including recent projects between the U.S. and the United Kingdom. The session will conclude with a debate on possible future developments. The panelists will discuss: • The use of the Actuarial Control Cycle in developing key actuarial application concepts and its delivery internationally. • The links between a possible QRA qualification and foundation actuarial skills. • The role of the national association particularly in university based systems. • The role of CPD in extending the skills of an actuary on qualification. The role of practical work experience will also be covered here. This session will also be held on Thursday, March 21, 9:00 - 10:30 13:45-15:15 5 D ICA Galactic 1 The Future of Social Security Financing Organized by the IAA´s Social Security Committee Chairman: Robert Brown (Canada) Speakers: • Robert Holzmann (Austria) • Michael Cichon (ILO) This session will take the format of a point-counter point discussion on the future of social security financing. The two speakers will compare and contrast the strengths and weaknesses of the defined benefit and the defined contribution approaches to social security funding. Robert Holzmann will speak on behalf of the multiple pillar approach, and Michael Cichon will take the side of the defined benefit approach. Robert Brown will provide a comparison of the two approaches from an actuarial perspective. 13:45-15:15 6 PP ICA Star 7 & 8 Papers on General Insurance Chairman: David Kingston (U.K.) Speakers: • Tony Jeffery (Ireland), “Generalised Solvency Principles” • Lasse Koskinen, Tarmo Pukkila (Finland), “Risk Caused by the Catastrophic Downturns of the National Economy” • Franz Günter Liebmann (Austria), “Risk Willingness of Insurance Companies” 13:45-15:15 7 PP ICA Galactic 8 Papers on General Reinsurance Chairman: Gail M. Ross (USA) Speakers: • Bruno Gmür, Philipp L. Keller (Bermuda), “Reinsurance Bermudan Style” 9 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • MONDAY, MARCH 18 • James Shah (USA), “Medical Stop Loss; Present Practices and Issues” • Jean-François Walhin, M. Denuit (Belgium),“On the Pricing of Top and Drop Excess of Loss Covers” 13:45-15:15 8 L AFIR Galactic 7 Capital Adequacy Risk in Bank Loan Portfolios Speaker: Javier Márquez Diez-Canedo (Mexico) A default model that relates capital adequacy to credit risk, measures concentration risk, and obtains single obligor limits. 13:45-15:15 9 L IHS Galactic 2 Opening Plenary Session : Health-Care Reform Using a Public-Private Partnership Chairman: Howard Bolnick (USA) Welcome and Introductory Remarks: Edward J. Levay (U.K.) Keynote Speaker: Julio Frenk Mora (Mexico), Health Minister Responders: • Alvaro Castro Gutiérrez (ILO) • John Bertko (USA) • Ibrahim Muhanna (Lebanon and Cyprus) 15:30-17:00 10 PD ICA Star 2 Towards a New Global Education System (Part II) Organized by the IAA´s Education Committee Chairman: Cecil Bykerk (USA) Panelists: • Robert Brown (Canada) • Jeremy Goford (U.K.) • Herbert Lüthy (Switzerland) The IAA’s Education Committee will begin this session by reviewing the historical development of the steps towards actuarial education within the IAA and the Groupe Consultatif. Current systems in place around the world will be examined, including recent projects between the U.S. and the United Kingdom. A panel representing the three different types of education system will present their systems and discuss them in the context of the paper presented in Session Part One. This session will also be held on Thursday, March 21, 10:45 - 12:15 15:30-17:00 11 Rating Agencies - General Insurance Chairman: David G. Hartman (USA) 10 PD ICA Galactic 2 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • Monday, March 18 18 MONDAY, MARCH Panelists: • Karen L. Davies (USA) • Matthew C. Mosher (USA) The panelists will discuss the role of rating agencies around the world and how Moody’s and A.M. Best rate insurance companies (a combination of objective and subjective considerations). They will also address issues faced by rated Companies, as well as issues faced by the rating agencies themselves. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15 - 11:45 15:30-17:00 12 PD ICA Galactic 1 Social Security Reform in Developing Countries - the Evolution of Defined Contribution Solutions Organized by the IAA´s Committee on Social Security Chairman: Michael Sze (USA) Panelists: • Joshua Bank (USA) • Rosa Maria Farell (Mexico) • Alejandro Ferreiro (Chile) • Yves Guérard (Canada) • Stuart Leckie (Hong Kong) • Juan Carlos Padilla (Mexico) This session will start with Alejandro Ferreiro providing a critical assessment of how the defined contribution approach has worked in Chile. This is followed by critiques of the DB/DC approaches using some developing countries as examples. The speakers will provide insight on the reasons for the choice of the funding mechanism in their countries and the consequence of the choice. The emphasis is on innovative approaches used, and the problems encountered. Juan Carlos Padilla and Rosa Maria Farell will focus on the Mexican solution. Yves Guérard and Stuart Leckie will provide insight into the Chinese approach. Joshua Bank will assess South America reforms. Michael Sze will analyze the pension reforms in the former Soviet countries, with special focus on Kazakhstan. 15:30-17:00 13 PP ICA Star 7 & 8 Papers on General Insurance Chairman: Peter Clark (U.K.) Speakers: • Cristina Mano, Elena Rasa (Brazil), “A discussion of modelling techniques for personal lines pricing” • Werner Hürlimann (Switzerland), “Fitting bivariate cumulative returns with copulas” • Vsevolod K. Malinovskii (Russia), “On risk reserve conditioned by ruin” 15:30-17:00 14 PP AFIR Galactic 7 Papers on Financial Planning Chairman: Motoyuki Terasaka (Japan) Speakers: • P.R. Archer-Loch, A.J. Czernoszewicz, N.R. Gillott, P.H. Hinton, D. Ibeson, S.A. Malde, D.Paul, J.P. Ryan, N. Shah (U.K.), “Financial Condition Assessment” • Harry Panjer (Canada), “Measurement of Risk, Solvency Requirements and Allocation of Capital within Financial Conglomerates” • Shaun S. Wang (USA), “A Risk Measure that goes Beyond Coherence” 11 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • MONDAY, MARCH 18 15:30-17:00 15 PD IHS Jupiter 1 & 2 Critical Issues in Managing Long Term Care Insurance Chairman: Ermanno Pitacco (Italy) Panelists: • Enne Osinga (The Netherlands) • Ermanno Pitacco (Italy) • Helga Riedel (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15 - 11:45 15:30-17:00 16 PD IHS Jupiter 3 & 4 Critical Issues in Managing Income Replacement Insurance Chairman: Jeroen Breen (The Netherlands) Panelists: • Jeroen Breen (The Netherlands) • Mike Lombardi (Canada) • Hélène Pouliot (Canada) • Erich Schneider (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 8:30 - 10:00 15:30-17:00 17 PD IHS Jupiter 5 & 6 Critical Issues in Managing Critical lllness Insurance Chairman: Darrell Spell Panelists: • Darrell Spell • Peter Temple (South Africa) • Peter Turvey (U.K.) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 8:30 - 10:00 12 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 MONDAY, MARCH 18 15:30-17:00 18 PP IHS Star 1 Integration of Public and Private Sectors Chairman: Giovanna Ferrara (Italy) Speakers: • Howard Bolnick (USA), “Designing a World-Class Health Care Financing System” • Alvaro Castro Gutiérrez (ILO), “Funding Health Care” • Edward Reiche (Singapore), “Social Security and Private Health Insurance in Tandem in Singapore” TUESDAY, MARCH 19 8:30-10:00 19 PD ICA Galactic 1 Innovative Solutions to Social Security Funding Problems in Developed Countries Organized by the IAA´s Committee on Social Security Chairman: Hillevi Mannonen (Finland) Panelists: • Bengt von Bahr (Scandinavia) • Chris Daykin (U. K.) • Ron Gebhardtsbauer (USA) • Helen Martin (Australia) This session concentrates on innovative approaches to social security reforms using efforts in four developed countries as examples. Each speaker will also discuss how actuaries have contributed to the process. Chris Daykin will discuss the partnership of public and private pensions developed in the United Kingdom. Bengt von Bahr will explain the innovations in the Swedish approach. Helen Martin will report on how actuaries have participated in the pension reform in Australia. Ron Gebhardtsbauer will provide a critical assessment of the recent social security studies in the United States, and how actuaries participate in the process. 8:30-10:00 20 PD ICA Galactic 2 International Accounting Standards - Property & Casualty Organized by the IAA´s Committee on International Accounting Standards Chairman: Sam Gutterman (USA) Panelists: • Ralph Blanchard (USA) • Francis Ruygt (The Netherlands) Extensive discussion is now underway in the development of international accounting standards for insurance contracts through the International Accounting Standards Board. This session will explore these developments from the perspecitive of a property & casualty insurer. In addition, current efforts in the IAA’s development of actuarial standards with respect to accounting for insurers will be covered. A similar session focused on Life will be held on Thursday, March 21, 15:30 - 17:00 13 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 8:30-10:00 21 PD ICA Jupiter 1 & 2 Finite and Alternative Risk Transfer Approaches in the International Arena Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Abbe Sohne Bensimon (USA) Panelists: • Tobias Povel (Germany) • Milan Vukelic (U.K.) Increasingly popular are sophisticated risk management techniques that allow ceding corporations to retain more risk than can be achieved through conventional insurance contracts, while efficiently protecting the earnings statement and balance sheet. Two key areas covered in this session will be finite risk reinsurance and contingent capital solutions. One panelist will provide an international overview on finite risk reinsurance, discussing: (1) the basic structures being employed, (2) finite’s cross border opportunities and applications (including accounting arbitrage, tax implications, political risk, and benefits for multinational corporations), and (3) the regulations and accounting rules which may come into play. The other panelist will present an example of how a corporation can be indemnified for loss, not through insurance, but rather a contingent capital arrangement. He will use a real-life example to demonstrate how a loss-triggering event can inject new capital funding into a corporation, what considerations affect its pricing, what impact it has on a corporation’s financials, and what advantages and disadvantages there are relative to insurance. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00-13:30 8:30-10:00 22 PD ICA Jupiter 3 & 4 Non-U.S. Liability Insurance: Pricing and Reserving Challenges Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Michael E. Angelina (USA) Panelists: • Michael Bayard Smith (USA) • James Maher (USA) As more insurers and reinsurers enter into the reinsurance of international exposures, U.S. actuaries are beginning to address the many pricing and reserving challenges of overseas countries. There are differences in the available data, benchmarks, and current nonactuarial practices in various regions of the globe. This session will focus on pricing international exposures, reserving issues in other countries, as well as the difficulties faced securing reinsurance for non-U.S. exposures. Also covered will be an approach to estimating size of loss distributions for non-U.S. risk. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19 , 15:00 - 16:30 8:30-10:00 23 PP ICA Papers on General Insurance Chairman: Jean-Louis Massé (Canada) Speakers: • Enrique de Alba, Roberto Bonilla (Mexico), “A Model for the Case When Negative Values are Present in the Development Triangle Used for Estimation of Claims Reserves (IBNR)” • Louis G. Doray (Canada), “Number of IBNR Claims and Multivariate Compound Poisson Distribution” • Svetlana Dudkina (Estonia), “Policy-based IBNR Calculation Method” 14 Star 2 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 8:30-10:00 24 PP ICA Marte Papers on Health Chairman: Robert Brown (Canada) Speakers: • Doug Andrews (Canada), “Mitigating the Impact of Raising Health Care Costs in Canada: A Discussion of Partial Prefunding Alternatives” • Erling Falk, Reidunn Falk (Norway), “Some Considerations on Health Insurance Premium Rates” • Maria Cristina Gutierrez Delgado (U.K.), “Financial Impact on Premiums in the Individual Income Protection Insurance when Adjusted by Initial Selection” • Tatjana Racic - Zlibar (Croatia), “Modeling Expenditures for Private Health Insurance in Croatia” • Galina V. Tchernova, A. Kudryavtsev (Russia), “Risk Process Construction for Health Insurance” 8:30-10:00 25 PP AFIR Galactic 7 Papers on Options in Life Insurance Chairman: Martin Balleer (Germany) Speakers: • Ana Rita Bacinello (Italy), “Fair valuation of the Surrender Option Embeded in a Guaranteed Life Insurance Participating Policy” • Thomas Moller (Denmark), “On Valuation and Risk Management at the Interface of Insurance and Finance” • Mogens Steffensen (Denmark), “Control by Interventions in Life and Pension Insurance” • Wojciech Szatzschneider (Mexico), “Environment and Finance ” 8:30-10:00 26 PD IHS Star 8 Critical Issues in Managing Income Replacement Insurance Chairman: Jeroen Breen (The Netherlands) Speakers: • Jeroen Breen (The Netherlands) • Mike Lombardi (Canada) • Hélène Pouliot (Canada) • Erich Schneider (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 15:30 - 17:00 8:30-10:00 27 PD IHS Star 7 Critical Issues in Managing Critical Illness Insurance Chairman: Darrell Spell Panelists: • Darrell Spell • Peter Temple (South Africa) • Peter Turvey (U.K.) 15 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 15:30 - 17:00 8:30-10:00 28 PD IHS Jupiter 5 & 6 Critical Issues in Managing Supplemental Private Medical Indemnity Insurance Chairman: Rainer Fürhaupter (Germany) Panelists: • Ricardo Casares (Mexico) • Rainer Fürhaupter (Germany) • Aisling Kennedy (Ireland/U.K.) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00 - 13:30 8:30-10:00 29 PP IHS Star 1 Health Risk Adjustment Chairman: Ibrahim Muhanna (Lebanon and Cyprus) Speakers: • John Bertko (USA), “Health Systems in the U.S.” • Enne Osinga (The Netherlands), “How Insurers are Compensated by Government and/or Insurance Premiums for Extra Health Risks in the Netherlands” • Brent Walker (Australia), “Health Systems in Australia” 10:15-11:45 30 PD ICA Galactic 1 Impact of Globalization in the Actuarial Profession - Property & Casualty Organized by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries Chairman: David Oakden (Canada) Panelists: • Manuel Aguilera (Mexico) • David Oakden (Canada) • John Ryan (Canada) Manuel Aguilera will cover the impacts of globalization from regulator´s point of view, John Ryan will provide the consultant and broker perspective and David Oakden will discuss the impact of globalization on the Canadian P&C Insurance market. A similar session focused on Life will be held on Friday, March 22, 9:00 - 10:30 16 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 10:15-11:45 31 PD ICA Galactic 2 Rating Agencies - General Insurance Chairman: David G. Hartman (USA) Panelists: • Karen L. Davies (USA) • Matthew C. Mosher (USA) The panelists will discuss the role of rating agencies around the world and how Moody’s and A.M. Best rate insurance companies (a combination of objective and subjective considerations). They will also address issues faced by rated Companies, as well as issues faced by the rating agencies themselves. This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 15:30 - 17:00 10:15-11:45 32 PD ICA Jupiter 1 & 2 Catastrophe Models in Practice Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Timothy P. Aman (USA) Panelists: • Robert Porter (U.K.) • Mark Cravens (U.K.) • Fernando Otero (Dominican Republic) This session will feature panelists who deal with the practical applications of catastrophe models and their implications on a daily basis. The panelists will take a pragmatic view emphasizing data requirements and international market standards, risk management and reinsurance buying practices, and reinsurance pricing. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19 , 15:00 - 16:30 10:15-11:45 33 PD ICA Jupiter 3 & 4 Latent Exposures Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Jennifer L. Biggs (USA) Panelists: • Raja R. Bhagavatula (USA) • Bruce D. Fell (USA) A significant portion of the session will be devoted to asbestos litigation, which has been described by the U.S. Supreme Court as an “elephantine mass.” The panelists will discuss the recent increases in personal injury claim filings and awards, defendant bankruptcies, and the spread of the litigation to peripheral defendants. The panelists will provide an update on pollution liabilities (whose estimated ultimate costs have now been surpassed by asbestos liabilities) and provide information regarding newly emerging torts such as lead, tobacco, and mold. Finally, the panelists will offer insights regarding the potential effects of liabilities from latent exposures on the balance sheet and value of insurers and reinsurers. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00 - 13:30 17 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 10:15-11:45 34 PP ICA Star 2 Papers on Social Security Chairman: TBD (Denmark) Speakers: • Robert L. Brown (Canada), “Security for Social Security: Is Pre-Funding the Answer?” • Barry Kozak (USA), “Social Security Privatization: Using a target benefit approach for Individual accounts” • Luis Alberto Martínez Martínez (Panama), “Capitalized Saving Accounts for the Retirement vs. Social Security Pension Systems” 10:15-11:45 35 PP ICA Star 7 Papers on Professionalism Chairman: Tor Eivind Hoyland (Norway) Speakers: • Alan Fishman (U.K.), “The UK Profession´s Social Policy Board. A Unique Step into the New Millennium” • David Martin (U.K.), “Compliance Review” • Takayuki Nagasawa , Ryo Matsubara (Japan), “The roles and responsibilities of the Certified Pension Actuaries in Japanese Corporate Pension Schemes. Legal and Practical Viewpoints” 10:15-11:45 36 PP AFIR Galactic 7 Some Useful Theory Chairman: Tony Coleman (Australia) Speakers: • R.S. Clarkson (U.K.), “A Fractal Probability Distribution for Financial Risk Applications” • Mahmoud Hamada, Michael Sherris (Australia), “Contingent Claim Pricing using Probability Distortion Operators” • Hidetoshi Nakagawa (Japan), “A Case Study of Operational Risk Measurement based on Loss Distribution Approach” • Shaun S. Wang (USA), “Equilibrium Pricing Transforms: New Results of Buhlmann`s 1980 Economic Model ” 10:15-11:45 37 PD IHS Star 1 Critical Issues in Managing Long Term Care Insurance Chairman: Ermanno Pitacco (Italy) Panelists: • Enne Osinga (The Netherlands) • Ermanno Pitacco (Italy) • Helga Riedel (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 15:30 - 17:00 18 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 10:15-11:45 38 PD IHS Jupiter 5 &6 Critical Issues in Managing Full Coverage Medical Indemnity and Managed Care Chairman: Jay Boekhoff (USA) Panelists: • David Axene (USA) • Shaun Matisonn (South Africa) • Michel Sudbrack (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00 - 13:30 10:15-11:45 39 PD IHS Marte International Issues in Private Sector Health Insurance Supervision Chairman: Robert Wilcox (USA) Panelists: • Norma Alicia Rosas (Mexico) • Brent Walker (Australia) • Robert Wilcox (USA) This session will cover the main issues involved in the Health Business Supervision from the Mexican, North American and Australian perspectives. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00-13:30 10:15-11:45 40 PP IHS Star 8 Health-Care Financing Systems Chairman: Yair Babad (Israel) Panelists: • Yair Babad, Tuvia Horev (Israel), “The Israeli Health Care System - From Health Funds to a National Health Insurance Law” • Rainer Fürhaupter (Germany), “Adjustment in a Fully-Funded System” • Erich Schneider (Germany), “The Main Features of the German Private Health Insurance” 12:00-13:30 41 PD ICA Galactic 1 Mutual Recognition Organized by the North American Council of Presidents and the IAA´s Committee on Professionalism Chairman: Jean-Louis Massé (Canada) Panelists: • Ma. Angeles Felipe (Spain) • Fraser Low (U.K.) • Dan McCarthy (USA) 19 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 Fraser Low will talk about the European experience of mutual recognition agreements. Dan McCarthy will address the same issues from a North American point of view. Ma. Angeles Felipe will address the issues from the point of view of a country subject to a Napoleonic Code. This session will also be held on Friday, March 22, 10:45 - 12:15 12:00-13:30 42 PD ICA Galactic 2 Challenges and Opportunities for our Profession in Actuarially Developing Countries Organized by the IAA Committee on Advice and Assistance Chairman: Robert Collet (USA) Panelists: • Tom Karp (Australia) • Ibrahim Muhanna (Lebanon and Cyprus) • Gail Ross (USA) This session is aimed at attendees from actuarially developing nations (and to a lesser extent, outsiders who may practice there), who for the most part will be very bright, but not necessarily very sophisticated in their actuarial knowledge. Also, the environment, both consumer and regulatory, may be immature (or maybe not) or in a state of flux. Attendees will benefit from comments on special problems faced by such countries, innate challenges in general insurance, reinsurance issues (including post-September 11), global trends, etc. 12:00- 13:30 43 PD ICA Star 1 Finite and Alternative Risk Transfer Approaches in the International Arena Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Abbe Sohne Bensimon (USA) Panelists: • Tobias Povel (Germany) • Milan Vukelic (U.K.) Increasingly popular are sophisticated risk management techniques that allow ceding corporations to retain more risk than can be achieved through conventional insurance contracts, while efficiently protecting the earnings statement and balance sheet. Two key areas covered in this session will be finite risk reinsurance and contingent capital solutions. One panelist will provide an international overview on finite risk reinsurance, discussing: (1) the basic structures being employed, (2) finite’s cross border opportunities and applications (including accounting arbitrage, tax implications, political risk, and benefits for multinational corporations), and (3) the regulations and accounting rules which may come into play. The other panelist will present an example of how a corporation can be indemnified for loss, not through insurance, but rather a contingent capital arrangement. He will use a real-life example to demonstrate how a loss-triggering event can inject new capital funding into a corporation, what considerations affect its pricing, what impact it has on a corporation’s financials, and what advantages and disadvantages there are Relative to insurance. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19 , 8:30 - 10:00 20 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 12:00-13:30 44 PD ICA Star 2 Latent Exposures Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Jennifer L. Biggs (USA) Panelists: • Raja R. Bhagavatula (USA) • Bruce D. Fell (USA) A significant portion of the session will be devoted to asbestos litigation, which has been described by the U.S. Supreme Court as an “elephantine mass”. The panelists will discuss the recent increases in personal injury claim filings and awards, defendant bankruptcies, and the spread of the litigation to peripheral defendants. The panelists will provide an update on pollution liabilities (whose estimated ultimate costs have now been surpassed by asbestos liabilities) and provide information regarding newly emerging torts such as lead, tobacco, and mold. Finally, the panellists will offer insights regarding the potential effects of liabilities from latent exposures on the balance sheet and value of insurers and reinsurers. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19 , 10:15 - 11:45 12:00-13:30 45 PP ICA Jupiter 1 & 2 Papers on Social Security Chairman: Jukka Rantala (Finland) Speakers: • Claudia Feria Cuevas (Mexico), “Globalization and the Pension Systems: The case of U.K.” • Carlos Pereira da Silva, Joaquim Cadete, Joao Pedro Nunes (Portugal), “The immunization of a workers’ compensation fund” • Motohiko Sugiyama, Mitsunori Ide, Akira Konishi (Japan), “The Status Quo and the Future of the Public Pension System in Japan” 12:00-13:30 46 PP ICA Jupiter 3 & 4 Papers on Education Chairman: Rosa Maria Farell (Mexico) Speakers: • S.N. Bhattacharya (India), “Actuarial Profession - its Risks and Re-Orientation” • C. D. Lyn, M.T. Palandra, C.D. Daykin (Canada, U.K.), “Actuarial Education - The Business Element” • Ermanno Pitacco (Italy), “Actuarial Education” 12:00-13:30 47 PP AFIR Star 7 Papers on Interest Rate Modeling and Portfolio Selection Chairman: Joubert Ferreira (South Africa) Speakers: • Gyöngyi Bugár, Raimond Maurer (Hungary, Germany), “International Equity Portfolios and Currency Hedging: The Perspective of German and Hungarian Investors” 21 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 • Werner Hürlimann (Switzerland), “An Alternative Approach to Portfolio Selection” • Jacques Janssen, Raimondo Manca, Ernesto Volpe di Prignano (Belgium, Italy), “Non Homogeneous Interest Rate Structure in a Semi-Markov Framework” • Wojciech Szatzschneider (Mexico), “Comments about CIR model as a part of a financial market ” 12:00-13:30 48 IS IHS Galactic 7 PD IHS Star 8 State-of-the-Art Modeling Techniques Chairman: TBD Speaker : • Dr. Steven Habermann (U.K.) 12:00-13:30 49 Critical Issues in Managing Supplemental Private Medical Indemnity Insurance Chairman: Rainer Fürhaupter (Germany) Speakers : • Ricardo Casares (Mexico) • Rainer Fürhaupter (Germany) • Aisling Kennedy (Ireland/U.K.) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what it takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 8:30 - 10:00 12:00-13:30 50 PD IHS Jupiter 5 & 6 Critical Issues in Managing Full Coverage Medical Indemnity and Managed Care Chairman: Jay Boekhoff (USA) Panelists: • David Axene (USA) • Shaun Matisonn (South Africa) • Michel Sudbrack (Germany) Will focus on products with the goal of providing actuaries with practical information on what i t takes to make the product a business success (growth, market share, profits). This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15-11:45 12:00-13:30 51 PD International Issues in Private Sector Health Insurance Supervision Chairman: Robert Wilcox (USA) Speakers: • Norma Alicia Rosas (Mexico) 22 IHS Marte • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 • Brent Walker (Australia) • Robert Wilcox (USA) This session will cover the main issues involved in the Health Business Supervision from the Mexican, North American and Australian perspectives. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15 - 11:45 13:30-15:00 52 L AFIR Galactic 8 Lunch with Keynote Speaker Risk Management in Insurance Keynote Speaker: Manuel Aguilera (Mexico), President of the International Association of Insurance Supervisors and President of the Mexican Insurance Commission. 15:00-16:30 53 RP ICA Galactic 1 Professionalism Organized by the American Academy of Actuaries Actuarial professionalism rests on three pillars: qualifications to provide professional services, adherence to the profession’s standards of practice and compliance with ethical standards. We will explore these fundamental concepts through a mock counseling and disciplinary hearing involving pensions with an international twist. This session will also be held on Thursday, March 21, 13:45 – 15:15 15:00-16:30 54 PD ICA Galactic 7 Insurance Regulation of General Insurance Companies Chairman: David G. Hartman (USA) Panelists: • Manuel Aguilera (Mexico) • Jukka Rantala (Finland) • Harry Panjer (Canada) • A representative of the IAA Subcommittee on Developing Actuarial Standards for the proposed IASB Insurance Accounting Standard This session will: • Present the perspective of the IAIS on the role of the actuary in prudential supervision of general insurance companies. • Present the IAA paper on the role of the actuary in prudential supervision from a general insurance perspective. • Present the key findings of the IAA Working Party´s paper on the solvency assessment of insurers, which will be available on the IAA website in February, as well as the development of an international risk-based capital framework. • Update on the development of international actuarial standards. 23 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • TUESDAY, MARCH 19 15:00-16:30 55 PD ICA Star 1 Catastrophe Models in Practice Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Timothy P. Aman (USA) Panelists: • Mark Cravens (U.K.) • Robert Porter (U.K.) • Fernando Otero (Dominican Republic) This session will feature panelists who deal with the practical applications of catastrophe models and their implications on a daily basis. The panelists will take a pragmatic view emphasizing data requirements and international market standards, risk management and reinsurance buying practices, and reinsurance pricing. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15 - 11:45 15:00-16:30 56 PD ICA Star 2 Non-U.S. Liability Insurance: Pricing and Reserving Challenges Organized by the Casualty Actuarial Society Chairman: Michael E. Angelina (USA) Panelists: • Michel Bayard Smith (USA) • James Maher (USA) As more insurers and reinsurers enter into the reinsurance of international exposures, U.S. actuaries are beginning to address the many pricing and reserving challenges of overseas countries. There are differences in the available data, benchmarks, and current nonactuarial practices in various regions of the globe. This session will focus on pricing international exposures, reserving issues in other countries, as well as the difficulties faced securing reinsurance for non-U.S. exposures. Also covered will be an approach to estimating size of loss distributions for non-U.S. risk. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19 , 8:30 - 10:00 15:00-16:30 57 PP ICA Jupiter 1 & 2 Papers on Social Security Chairman: Marie-Louise Wenander (Sweden) Speakers: • Robert L. Brown (Canada), “Impacts on Economic Security Programs of Rapidly shifting Demographics” • Chiu-Cheng Chang (Taiwan), “A Dynamic Social Security System in Unison with Demographic and Lifestyle Changes” • Timo Korpela, Antero Ranne (Finland), “Measuring the Average Retirement Age” • Ana Vicente Merino, Irene Albarrán Lozano (Spain), “The Flexibility of the Retirement Age in the Social Security System through Actuarial Coefficients” 24 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 TUESDAY, MARCH 19 15:00-16:30 58 PP ICA Jupiter 3 & 4 Papers on Social Security Chairman: TBD (Switzerland) Speakers: • Abraham Hernández (Mexico), “The Dutch-Cappuccino Model as a fortifying scheme to the Pension system in Mexico” • Emma Margarita Izquierdo, Ma. Del Carmen Fernández Reyes (Mexico), “Analisys of the Life, Disability and Worker`s Compensation Insurance in the New Social Security Law” • Pierre Plamondon, Denis Latulippe, Réjane Monette (Canada), “Un défi pour les régimes publics de pension: s’adapter au changement” 15:00-16:30 59 PP ICA Jupiter 5 & 6 Papers on Social Security Chairman: Simon van Vuure (The Netherlands) Speakers: • Francisco Miguel Aguirre Farías (Mexico), “Optimal Cash-Flow Premiums” • Massimo Angrisiani (Italy), “Equilibrium in a Pay-As-You-Go System and with Contributory Pension” • Elizabeth Calleja Rosas, Carmen Rábago Martínez, José Muriel Delsordo, Alfredo Villas Cabró (Mexico), “Demographic and Actuarial Forecast Method with Changes in Population over time, a Matritial Approach” 15:00-16:30 60 AFIR 61 IHS Star 7 General Assembly 15:00-16:30 Galactic 2 Closing Ceremony Concurrent Session Reports and Discussion: Seminar Co-Chairmen Howard Bolnick (USA), Ibrahim Muhanna (Lebanon and Cyprus) and Edward J. Levay (U.K.). • Chairmen provide short reports on their concurrent sessions. • A summary of National Reports will be prepared and presented. • Discussion of future plans for international health actuarial activities. • The Seminar Co-Chairmen will make their closing remarks. THURSDAY, MARCH 21 8:45-10:30 62 L ASTIN Galactic 2 Opening Ceremony and Keynote Speaker Property and Casualty Insurance in the 21 st Century Keynote Speaker: Nikolaus von Bomhard (Germany), Member of the Board of Munich Reinsurance Company 25 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 9:00-10:30 63 PD ICA Galactic 7 Towards a New Global Education System (Part I) Organized by the IAA’s Education Committee Chairman: Cecil Bykerk (USA) Panelists: • Clare Bellis (Australia) • Jan Dhaene (Belgium) • Ma. Angeles Felipe (Spain) • Harry Panjer (Canada) The IAA’s Education Committee will begin this session by reviewing the historical development of the steps towards actuarial education within the IAA and the Groupe Consultatif. Current systems in place around the world will be examined, including recent projects between the U.S. and the United Kingdom. The session will conclude with a debate on possible future developments. The panelists will discuss: • The use of the Actuarial Control Cycle in developing key actuarial application concepts and its delivery internationally. • The links between a possible QRA qualification and foundation actuarial skills. • The role of the national association particularly in university based systems. • The role of CPD in extending the skills of an actuary on qualification. The role of practical work experience might also be covered here. This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 13:45 - 15:15 9:00-10:30 64 PD ICA Galactic 1 The Actuarial Role and the Organizational and Operational Paradigm in an Insurance Company Speakers: • Jordi Ballesteros (Spain) • Pedro Olmos (Spain) To show the evolution of the actuarial function from a traditional approach (based on product differentiation) to an approach based on the actuarial function shared by all the technical areas of the insurance company. 9:00-10:30 65 PD ICA Galactic 8 Differences in Employee Benefits Accounting Principles Organized by the IAA´s Committee on Accounting Standards for Employee Benefits and IACA Chairman: Paul Thornton (U.K.) Panelists: • John Beaton • Mike Codron (Sudafrica) • David Coronel • David Cule • Marcela Flores (Mexico) • Helen Martin (Australia) • Ryo Matsubara (Japan) This will give us a good worldwide perspective. Paul Thornton is planning to make a distinction between the presentations of major accounting standards, and observations from others as to how these apply in their territories. 26 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 10:45-12:15 66 PD ICA Galactic 1 Towards a New Global Education System (Part II) Organized by the IAA´s Education Committee Chairman: Cecil Bykerk (USA) Panelists: • Robert Brown (Canada) • Jeremy Goford (U.K.) • Oliva Sánchez (Mexico) The IAA’s Education Committee will begin this session by reviewing the historical development of the steps towards actuarial education within the IAA and the Groupe Consultatif. Current systems in place around the world will be examined, including recent projects between the U.S. and the United Kingdom. A panel representing the three different types of education system will present their systems and discuss them in the context of the paper presented in Session Part One. This session will also be held on Monday, March 18, 15:30 - 17:00 10:45-12:15 67 PP ICA Galactic 8 Bancassurance (Part I) Organized by the Society of Actuaries Chairman: Jim Toole (USA) Panelists: • Pierre Arnal (France) • Kin Chung Chan (Hong Kong) • Maria Thompson (USA) • Fernando Ulloa (Chile) Organized by the Society of Actuaries (SOA), this session will focus on the international experience with respect to relations between banks and insurance companies. The discussions and presentations will highlight the most successful products, distribution strategies, and potential drawbacks of selling insurance through the bank channel. 10:45-12:15 68 PD ICA Star 2 Project Management for International Consulting Organized by IACA Chairman: Werner Gassner (Germany) Panelists: • Ron Akhurst (U.K.) • Paule Desaulniers (Canada) • Johan Heymans ( Belgium) • Tony Mason (U.K.) • Aisling Kennedy (Ireland) Four of the panelists will talk about different aspects of project management and the particular challenges when the project covers several countries and cultures, and the last one will summarise and talk about changes that are happening or that need to happen. 27 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 10:45-12:15 69 PP ICA Galactic 7 Papers on Life Chairman: TBD (India) Speakers: • Michel Abbink, Ron Akhurst, Nobushi Mitsuishi, Alan Rae (U.K., Japan), “Financial Economic Valuation and the Fair Value of Japanese Life Insurance Business” • Mary Hardy (Canada), “Investment Guarantees in Equity Linked Insurance: The Canadian Approach” • Neil Taverner (U.K.), “Mergers and Acquisitions in Life Insurance” 10:45-12:15 70 PP ICA Jupiter Papers on Mortality Chairman: Harry Panjer (Canada) Speakers: • John Armstrong, David Harney, Tony Jeffery, Aidan O´Donnell, Frank O´Neill, Duncan Walsh (Ireland), “Population Mortality and Morbidity in Ireland - A summary of the Report of the Working Party” • Peter Fledelius, Jens Perch Nielsen (Denmark), “Prediction of Mortalities: A Comparative Danish Study” • Gaida Pettere (Latvia), “Mortality Research in Latvia” 10:45-12:15 71 PP ICA Star 1 Papers on Credit Risk Chairman: Robert T. Conger (USA) Speakers: • Francisco Chong Luna (Mexico), “Financial Engineering Tools Applied to Deposit Insurance Pricing and Bank Rankings according to Credit Risk” • Javier Gutiérrez García, Jesús Alan Elizondo Flores (Mexico), “Credit Risk: The Actuarial Vision” • Rodica Simón Sauri (Mexico), “Evaluation of the risk when giving credit to the microenterprises” 10:45-12:15 72 PP ASTIN Galactic 2 A Dynamic Financial Analysis of the Effect of Growth on Property Liability Insurers Chairman: Paul Thornton (U.K.) Speaker: Stephen P. D’Arcy (USA) Dynamic Financial Analysis (DFA) represents a new area of study for insurance researchers, an area requiring new tools and new expertise. The speaker will propose to utilize the public access DFA model to analyze the effect of growth on property-liability insurers. 28 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 13:45-15:15 73 RP ICA Jupiter 1 &2 Professionalism Organized by the American Academy of Actuaries Actuarial professionalism rests on three pillars: qualifications to provide professional services, adherence to the profession’s standards of practice and compliance with ethical standards. We will explore these fundamental concepts through a mock counseling and disciplinary hearing involving pensions with an international twist. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 15:00 - 16:30 13:45-15:15 74 WS ICA Galactic 8 Bancassurance (Part II) Organized by the Society of Actuaries Chairman: Jim Toole (USA) Panelists: • Pierre Arnal (France) • Kin Chung Chan (Hong Kong) • Maria Thompson (USA) • Fernando Ulloa (Chile) This session will serve as a follow up discussion opportunity to the bancassurance session. Participants will be able to ask questions in a more informal round-table approach, of the experts from the US, Latin America, Asia and Europe. 13:45-15:15 75 PP ICA Galactic 1 Papers on Life Chairman: Masaaki Yoshimura (Japan) Speakers: • Yoshio Oomori, Yuuji Ide, Noboyuki Murai, Takafumi Matsumura (Japan), “Reducing Insolvency by Asset Mix of Life Insurance Company” • Michael Pannenberg , Volker Stieglitz (Germany), “Asset Liability Management and Product Design in German Life Assurance ” • Mike Shelley (U.K.), “Regulation of UK Life Insurers by appointed actuaries monitoring policyholder’s reasonable expectations ” 13:45-15:15 76 PP ICA Star 1 Papers on Mortality Chairman: Dave Pelletier (Canada) Speakers: • Bob Dorrington, David Schneider (South Africa),“Fitting the ASSA2000 urban-rural AIDS and Demographic model to 10 sub-Saharan countries” • Peter Fledelius, Montserrat Guillén, Jens Perch Nielsen, Michael Vogelius (Denmark, Spain), “Two-Dimensional Hazard Estimation for Longevity Analysis” • Anna Maria Olivieri, Ermanno Pitacco (Italy), “Inference About Mortality Improvements in Life Annuity Portfolios ” • S. B. Rosenberg, L. F. Johnson, D. H. Schneider and R.E. Dorrington (South Africa), “ASSA Multi-State Select Population AIDS Model” 29 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 13:45-15:15 77 PP ICA Galactic 7 Papers on Pensions Chairman: Fraser Low (U.K.) Speakers: • Leslie Gray, David Riddington (U.K.), “Extending Retirement Choices” • Kyrre Fossum Pedersen, Magne Nilsen (Norway), “Method for Calculating Disability Pension Premiums” • Martin Lunnon (U.K.), “Annuitisation and alternatives” 13:45-15:15 78 PP ASTIN Galactic 2 Papers Presentation Chairman: Kurt Wolfsdorf (Germany) Speakers: • P. Gigante, L. Picech, L. Sigalotti (Italy), “Rate making and large claims” • Jacques Janssen, Raimondo Manca (Belgium, Italy), “General Actuarial Models in a Semi - Markov Environment” • Ricardo Tagliafichi (Argentina), “Betas calculated with Garch models provides new parameters for a Portfolio selection with an Efficient Frontier” 15:30-17:00 79 PD ICA Galactic 7 International Accounting Standards - Life Organized by the International Accounting Standards Committee Chairman: Sam Gutterman (USA) Panelists: • Nigel Masters (U.K.) • Paul McCrossan (Canada) • Jose Mendez (Mexico) Extensive discussion is now underway in the development of international accounting standards for insurance contracts through the International Accounting Standards Board. This session will explore these developments from the perspecitive of a life insurer. In addition, current efforts in the IAA’s development of actuarial standards with respect to accounting for insurers will be covered. A similar session focused on Property & Casualty will be held on Tuesday, March 19, 8:30 - 10:00 15:30-17:00 80 Life Reinsurance Organized by the Society of Actuaries Chairman: Edward Robbins (USA) Panelists: • David Atkinson (USA) • Reinhard Dehlinger (Germany) • John Tiller (USA) 30 PD ICA Galactic 1 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 This panel discussion will deal with current developments in the Life Reinsurance environment that should be of interest to participants worldwide. The common form of financial reinsurance and its applications, including both retrospective and prospective forms, will be discussed. The increased potential of cross-border reinsurance will be examined in some details with some discussion of the recent reduction of regulatory barriers. Finally the use of reinsurance as a capital restructure optimization tool will be compared to debt and equity approaches. 15:30-17:00 81 L ICA Galactic 8 Impact of Global Demographic Changes in Retirement Systems Organized by the American Society of Pension Actuaries and the Conference of Consulting Actuaries Chairman: Curtis Huntington (USA) Speakers: • Curtis Huntington (USA) • John Haley (USA) There have been significant recent world-wide shifts in the shape of populations as well as over-all mortality improvements. The implications of these changes on projections of costs of retirement systems, including the integration of public and private benefit systems, and the challenges to the actuarial community of first studying and then communicating meaningful results will be explored. 15:30-17:00 82 PP ICA Star 7 Papers on Life Chairman: TBD (Denmark) Speakers: • Jan Dhaene, Henk Wolthuis, Michel Denuit, Marc Goovaerts (Belgium), “Risk and Savings Contracts” • Javier Fernando Rodríguez Corredor, Jaime Abel Huerta Campos (Colombia), “Temporary Insurance with Growing Monthly Benefits” • Mike Wadsworth, Alec Findlater (U.K.), “Reinventing Annuities” • Michal Zienkiewicz (Poland), “Methods of endowment Insurance contracts indexation in Poland coping with inflation” 15:30-17:00 83 PP ICA Star 1 Papers on Pensions Chairman: Erik Falk (Norway) Speakers: • Isabel Casares San José-Martí (Spain), “Economic Approach on Pensions Commitments Valuation” • Jan B. Kuné (The Netherlands), “An Inquiry into the Basics of Pension Finance” • Lisa A.Larsen (USA), “Designing an International Pension Program for Mobile Employees” 15:30-17:00 84 PP ICA Star 2 Papers on Financial Risk Chairman: Dan Tess (Australia) 31 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • THURSDAY, MARCH 21 FRIDAY, MARCH 22 Speakers: • Erik Bølviken (Norway), “Stochastic volatility: Modeling the latent process empirically” • David Bowie (Scotland), “Strategy, Structure and Selection” • Víctor Manuel Jiménez Escobar (Mexico), “Testing the Stability of the Components Explaining Changes of the Yield Curve in Mexico. A Principal Component Analysis Approach” • Simon Perry, Stuart Robinson, John Rowland (U.K.), “A Study of Mortgage Prepayment Risk” 15:30-17:00 85 PP ASTIN Galactic 2 Papers Presentation and ASTIN General Assambly Chairman: Mario Beltrán (Mexico) • Yury Krvavych (Ukraine), “On arbitrage opportunities on some types of financial market defined by fractional Brownian motion” FRIDAY, MARCH 22 9:00-10:30 86 PD ICA Galactic 7 Impact of Globalization in the Actuarial Profession - Life Organized by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries Chairman: Stuart Wason (Canada) Panelists: • Paul Thornton (U.K.) • Tom Karp (Australia) • Trevor Matthews (Japan) Globalization has had a profound impact on the actuarial profession. Attend this session to hear from actuaries who have been directly involved, and that will outline the challenges and opportunities for the profession. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 10:15 - 11:45 9:00-10:30 87 PD ICA Galactic 1 Current Developments in Life Insurance Organized by the IAA Committee on Services to Individual Members Chairman: Jesús Zuñiga (Mexico) Speakers: • Peter Clark (U.K.) • Harry Panjer (Canada) • Jesús Zuñiga (Mexico) Current Developments in Life Insurance like asset allocation, reserve adequacy, surplus allocation, compliance role of the appointed actuary will be discussed from European, North American and Latin American perspectives. 32 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • FRIDAY, MARCH 22 9:00-10:30 88 PP ICA Galactic 8 Papers on Pensions Chairman: Martti Pesonen (Finland) Speakers: • János Stahl (Hungary), “Mathematical Programming and Pension Funds” • Mitsuhiro Taniguchi, Tadashi Nakada (Japan), “The Soundness in the Private Pension Plans” • Leena Väänänen, Tarja Härkönen (Finland), “Investment of Statutory employment pension assets in a diversified way in private pension institutions” • Andrew Wise, Andrew Barnes, Andrew Reid (U.K.), “Risk Sharing in Employer Pension Provision” 9:00-10:30 89 PP ICA Star 1 Papers on Life Chairman: Stephen Handler (South Africa) Speakers: • Patrick Carroll (U.K.), “Pregnancy Related Risk Factors in Female Breast Cancer Incidence” • Jiri Fialka (Tcheque Rep), “Life Insurance Options; Pricing and Reserving” • Helga Kronheim (Israel), “MediRisk” • Guy Thomas (U.K.), “Genetics and Insurance, an actuarial perspective with a difference” 9:00-10:30 90 PP ASTIN Galactic 2 Papers Presentation Chairman: Harry Wide (Sweden) Speakers: • Anders Hellemann Rolfstein, Erik Bølviken (Norway), “Loss reserves and financial risk: The rich and the poor” • Jiwook Jang (Australia), “The reserving using the Gaussian aproximation to the Cox process with shot noise intensity” • Kam C. Yuen, Junyi Guo, Xueyuan Wu (Hong Kong, China), “Ruin probabilities for a correlated aggregate claims model” 10:45-12:15 91 PD ICA Star 1 Mutual Recognition Organized by the Groupe Consultatif and the North American Council of Presidents and Presidents Elect Chairman: Jean-Louis Massé (Canada) Panelists: • Fraser Low (U.K.) • Ma. Angeles Felipe (Spain) • Robert Anker (USA) Fraser Low will talk about the European experience of mutual recognition agreements. Robert Anker will address the same issues from a North American point of view. Ma. Angeles Felipe will address the issues from the point of view of a country subject to a Napoleonic Code. This session will also be held on Tuesday, March 19, 12:00 - 13:30 33 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • FRIDAY, MARCH 22 10:45-12:15 92 PD ICA Galactic 7 & 8 Retirement Trends Chairman: Charlie Habliston (USA) Panelists: • Charlie Habliston (USA) • Martin Lunnon (U.K.) • Helen Martin (Australia) • Marc-André Paquette (Mexico) Geographic specific trends and issues will be discussed about North America, U.K./Europe, Pacific Rim and Latin/ South America. 10:45-12:15 93 PD ICA Star 2 Insurance Regulation of Life Insurance Companies Chairman: Won How Lo (Taiwan) Speakers : • Won How Lo (Taiwan) • Stuart Wason (Canada) • A representative of the IAA Subcommittee on Developing Actuarial Standards for the Proposed IASB Insurance Accounting Standard This session will : • Present the IAA paper on the role of the actuary in prudential supervision from a life perspective. • Present the key findings of the IAA Working Party´s paper on the solvency assessment of insurers, which will be available on the IAA web site in February, as well as the development of an international risk-based capital framework. • Update you on the development of international actuarial standards. 10:45-12:15 94 PP ICA Galactic 1 Papers on Life Chairman: TBD (Switzerland) Speakers: • David Heeney, Terry Probert (U.K.), “Actuaries and Product Development. A step beyond Px:n = Ax:n / äx:n” • Jorge Rendón Elizondo (Mexico), “The Solvency in the Benefits Reserve Produced by the Mortality Tables” • Heinz Schmid (Switzerland), “Deviation of the Technical basics EVK 2000” • S.Spivak, A. Klimin, G. Minullina (Russia), “Simulation of Risk Processes with Variable Premium Rate” 10:45-12:15 95 PP ICA Star 7 Papers on Pensions Chairman: TBD (The Netherlands) Speakers: • David Iglesias Nava, Ricardo Alvarado (Mexico), “Proposed Model for Assigning Turnover-effect Funds in Defined Contribution Plans” 34 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • FRIDAY, MARCH 22 • Octavio Maupomé-Carvantes (Mexico), “Application of Optimal Control Theory to actuarial gains and losses of a private retirement pension plan.” • C. A. Speed, R.J. Chapman (U.K.), “Pensions and Economic Values” 10:45-12:15 96 PP ASTIN Galactic 2 Other Topics and Speakers’ Corner Chairman: TBD (Brazil) Speakers: • Werner Hürlimann (Switzerland), “On Risk and Price: Stochastic Orderings and Measures” • Jorge Suzán (Mexico), “Intrinsical claims experience methodology from a sufficiency and solvency perspective” • José Manuel Vergara Cabrera (Mexico), “The use of Systemic Networks in the design and operation of Planning Systems” 14:00-15:00 97 PD ICA/ASTIN Galactic Genetics Chairman: Chris Daykin (U.K.) Panelists: • Alan Doble (Australia) • André Chuffart (Switzerland) • Angus S. Mc´Donald (U.K.) • Xavier Soberón (Mexico) This session will cover the following: • Current advances in genetics - Does genetic information tell us anything about our life expectancy? - Xavier Soberon. • How much do we know?- An update of the latest actuarial research into genetics and insurance - Angus McDonald. • Does genetic information spell trouble for the insurance industry? - André Chuffart . • How can the actuarial profession contribute to the public interest in the genetic debate? - Alan Doble. • Introduction and comments by Chris Daykin. 15:15-16:30 98 PD ICA/ASTIN Galactic Wider Fields Chairman: Jim MacGinnitie (USA) Panelists: • Jean Berthon (France) • Tony Coleman (Australia) • Yves Guérard (Canada) • Paul Thornton (U.K.) • Stuart Wason (Canada) One of the greatest challenges for the profession in the 21st century is, undoubtedly, diversification. The topic to be discussed during this session is: in what other areas of economy or business (aside from the traditional ones) may we further the role of actuaries. 16:30-17:40 99 ICA/ASTIN Galactic Closing Ceremony 35 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • 1.3 GENERAL INFORMATION POSTERS EXHIBIT There is an exhibit area for Posters located at the Convention Center that will be open from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. Said exhibit comprises most of the association reports, as well as some papers selected to be posted in this area by their authors. PRIZES The Actuarial Education and Research Fund and the Faculty and Institute of Actuaries will award prizes to outstanding papers, during the Closing Ceremony. CONTINUING EDUCATION The sessions at ICA 2002 may qualify for Society of Actuaries Professional Development credits. FSA candidates should retain all handouts from the sessions they attend and should in concert with their advisor, determine the suitability of individual sessions towards meeting their plan goals. For additional information, please see the SOA web page at www.soa.org/eande/proved.html. Members of the Faculty and Institute of Actuaries may find the Congress a useful contribution to their Continuing Professional Development needs. The amount of hours recorded is left to the discretion of the individual. However, a maximum of 15 hours can be counted towards formal CPD requirements. The sessions at which Papers will be presented at the ICA 2002 may qualify for Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) Professional Development (PD) credits. Candidates should retain all handouts from these sessions they attend and submit them to the CIA Committee on Continuing Education for formal approval. In addition the following sessions have been approved as CIA PD: 20, 21, 22, 32, 33, 43, 44, 55, 56, 67, 74, 79, 80, 81 and IHS sessions. Concerning other associations each delegate must abide by the rules of his/her own association. Participants requiring proof of attendance are requested to register at the table located outside each conference room. Those participants will receive a document confirming their attendance after the Congress. SIMULTANEOUS TRANSLATION MONDAY MORNING AFTERNOON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY English, Spanish, French,German, Japanese G1: English, Spanish G1: English, Spanish G2: English, Spanish, French G1: English, Spanish,German G2: English, Spanish, French G2: English, Spanish, French English, Spanish, French G1: Galactic Room 1. G2: Galactic Room 2. At the Opening and Closing Ceremonies all speeches will be in English. 36 FRIDAY • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • IHS OPENING CEREMONY IHS opening ceremony will be held on Monday, March 18th at 1:45 p.m. Dr. Julio Frenk, Health Minister of Mexico, will be our Keynote Speaker. All delegates are welcome, but the number of seats is limited. Please confirm your attendance in advance at ICA’s General Information desk. AFIR LUNCH AFIR will host a lunch, open to all delegates, on Tuesday, March 19th . Mr. Manuel Aguilera, President of the International Association of Insurance Supervisors, will be our Keynote Speaker. The number of seats is limited, so please confirm your attendance in advance at ICA’s General Information desk. ASTIN OPENING CEREMONY ASTIN’s opening ceremony will be held on Thursday, March 21st , at 8:45 a.m. Mr. Nikolaus Von Bomhard, Board Member of Munich Re, will be our Keynote Speaker. All delegates are welcome, but the number of seats is limited. Please confirm your attendance in advance at ICA’s General Information desk. TRANSACTIONS Your registration fee entitles you to receive a CD containing the Congress transactions. In order to guarantee its delivery, please fill in the card enclosed in your Welcome Kit. If you wish to receive a hard copy of the transactions, please request it at ICA’s Registration Desk. (Optional, extra) SPEAKERS’ ROOM Room Saturno 2 will be available as of Sunday 17th , so that all speakers may test their presentations. Schedule: Sunday and Wednesday from 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Monday, Tuesday and Thursday from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Friday from 8:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. II. TOURS The meeting point prior to the departure of all tours is the Lobby of the Moon Palace Hotel. Should you have any questions or wish to sign up for another tour, please contact ICA’s Tour Information Desk. 2.1 OPTIONAL TOURS The tours that you and your companion signed up for prior to the Congress are specified on your I.D. badge (see description of badge at the end of the Program.) TULUM - XEL -HA Tulum, the only Mayan city built on a cliff from where visitors may enjoy a spectacular view of the incomparable beauty of the Caribbean Sea. 37 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • Xel-Ha, a magnificent area made up of coves, lagoons, caverns and caves created by a mix of seawater, spring water, and underground rivers. Sunday 17th and Saturday 23rd from 9:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. Lunch is included. Useful Tips: Biodegradable sun-tan or sun-block lotion, comfortable clothing, bathing suit and towel. X-CARET BY NIGHT Travel back in time to get acquainted with the many traditions of the Mayan culture - its music, dance and rituals all in an incredible experience of light and sound, folkloric ballet and, of course, an exquisite dinner. Tuesday 19 th, from 5:30 p.m. to 11:00 p.m. Dinner is included. Useful Tips: Comfortable shoes, sweater or light jacket. 2.2 WEDNESDAY DAY OUT - CHICHEN ITZA In accordance with the Congress Option you have selected, this tour will be available. If this is the case, you will find the corresponding Icon on your ID badge (see description of badge at the end of the programme). Chichen-Itza is one of the most important sites in Mayan Culture, with its main structures of El Castillo and El Observatorio. At sunset, the shadow of a snake will emerge on the steps of the pyramid of Kukulkán. Important: This tour has two schedules. The color of the polo shirt you received with your Welcome Kit indicates your schedule. Red polo shirt – 9:00 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. Lunch is included. Blue polo shirt – 11:00 a.m. to 10:00 p.m. Dinner is included Useful Tips: Sun-block, comfortable clothing. 2.3 TOURS FOR COMPANIONS OPTIONAL These tours are not specified on your ID badge.The corresponding tickets will be found in the delegate Welcome Kit. Useful tips: Comfortable clothing, biodegradable sun-block, bathing suit, comfortable shoes and towel. 38 A1 Jungle Tour Schedule: from 8:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. Lunch is not included A2 Wet’n wild Schedule: from 10:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. Lunch is included A3 Jeep Safari Schedule: from 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. Lunch is included • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • A4 Nautibus Schedule: from 8:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. Lunch is not included A5 Isla Mujeres Schedule: from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Continental breakfast and Lunch are included A6 Isla Mujeres (snorkeling) Schedule: from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Continental breakfast and Lunch are included A7 Isla Contoy Schedule: from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m Continental breakfast and Lunch are included A8 Cozumel Schedule: from 6:45 a.m. to 8:00 p.m Continental breakfast and Lunch are included AFIR AND ASTIN COMPANIONS’ TOUR TO TULUM This tour is specified on your I.D. badge (see description of badge at the end of the Program). Tulum, the only Mayan city built on a cliff from where visitors may enjoy a spectacular view of the incomparable beauty of the Caribbean Sea. AFIR – Tuesday 19th from 9:00 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. ASTIN – Thursday 21st from 9:00 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. Lunch is not included. Useful Tips: Comfortable clothing, sun block, comfortable shoes. III. REGISTRATION AND INFORMATION INFORMATION DESK SERVICES The following ICA desks will be located in the Lobby area of the Moon Palace Hotel so that you may obtain all the information and services you may require throughout the Congress. DESK ICA REGISTRATION ICA GENERAL INFORMATION ICA TOUR INFORMATION ICA INQUIRY PAYMENT SERVICES Congress Registration Cashier Badge Replacement Hard Copy Purchase General Information Gala Dinner Seating Reservation IHS Opening Ceremony Reservations AFIR’s Keynote Speaker Lunch Reservations ASTIN’s Opening Ceremony with Keynote Speaker Reservations Special Requirements Tour Information Tour Purchases Payment Inquiries 39 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • SURVEY It is very important for us to have your opinion regarding the 27th International Congress of Actuaries. Therefore, please complete the survey you received with your Welcome Kit and drop it in the box located at the Convention Center of the Moon Palace Hotel. You are also receiving a CD prepared by our French friends with a questionnaire that will allow them to get a feeling of what you expect from the Paris congress. Follow careful the instruction and you will have the chance to participate in a draw with very interesting gifts. IV. DINING FOOD AND BEVERAGES Even if you are not staying at the Moon Palace Hotel, food and beverages consumed within its premises by delegates and registered companions, are included. A wide variety of food (international, oriental, spanish, italian, mexican, seafood), will be available at the different restaurants (located in the hotel map). Food and beverages for all tours are specified for each of them. The Moon Palace Hotel does not provide Room Service. GALA DINNER SEATING If you wish to make sure you get a good seat next to the people you want to be with, you must reserve your table at ICA’s General Information Desk. Smoking and Non-Smoking sections are available. Keep in mind that you are not required to wear a tie at this event. V. IMPORTANT INFORMATION ORIENTATION MEETING The purpose of this meeting is to give you all the information you may need about Cancun, the Hotel, the Tours and ICA’s desks. You really shouldn’t miss it! Schedule: Sunday 17 th at 10:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. Wednesday 20th at 5:00 p.m. The meetings will be held at the Jupiter Room EXHIBIT ROOM Some Reinsurance, Consulting, Software and Recruiting firms will demonstrate their products and services at the exhibit room, located at the Star 3 and 6 Conference Rooms of the Moon Palace Hotel Convention Center. Exhibit Hours: Monday 18th , Tuesday 19th , Thursday 21st and Friday 22nd from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. 40 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • CYBER CAFE The Hotel provides Internet access from your room for a daily fee of $ 50 US. Another alternative is ICA’s Cyber Cafe, sponsored by AT&T, located in the Moon Palace Convention Center, that will be open from 8:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. HOTEL BUSINESS CENTER The Hotel has a Business Center, located next to the Convention Center. Its business hours are from 9:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. and from 4:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. on weekdays and from 9:00 to 2:00 p.m. on weekend. The following services are offered (with additional cost): • Fax reception and transmission • Internet services • Photocopies Any Faxes that the delegates may receive throughout the day will be held at the Business Center until 5:00 p.m. After this time they shall be delivered to their rooms. The Business Center’s Fax number is: (52) (998) 88 16078 TIMING OF EVENTS All events are planned to start precisely on time to allow the Congress to proceed smoothly. Please assist the organization of the Congress by arriving punctually to all events. DRESS Work Sessions and Receptions: Casual, no shorts or sneakers. Gala Dinner: No black tie or tie. Sport jacket suggested. SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS Details of any special dietary or physical disability requirements were requested on the Registration Forms. Please refer to ICA’s General Information Desk concerning any query. SMOKING POLICY Smoking is not allowed in: The Convention Center of the Moon Palace Hotel The Gala Dinner (except in the designated smoking section). Buses. Smoking is allowed in: Open-air events Smoking areas designated by the Moon Palace Hotel CURRENCIES Most currencies can be exchanged in banks, in most hotels, airports and exchange centers. Moon Palace Hotel exchanges American and Canadian dollars, British pounds and Euros. Yens can also be exchanged at the airport. Mexican banks are generally open weekdays from 9:30 a.m. to 2:30 p.m. Exchange centers are open longer hours and provide faster service. Major credit cards are accepted in stores, hotels and travel agencies. 41 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • WHEATHER For the month of March, temperature ranges from 20° C to 30°C (68°F – 86°F). TIPS Tips are included in all services within the Hotel. A 10% tip is suggested for airport porters, taxi drivers and waiters at restaurants outside the Hotel, provided tips are not explicitly included. TAXIS If you need a taxi, just ask the porters at the Lobby of the Moon Palace Hotel. CONTACT DETAILS MOON PALACE TELEPHONE : 52 (998) 881 60 00 FAX: 52 (998) 881 60 78 ADDRESS: Carretera Cancún - Chetumal Km. 340. CP 77500 CAR RENTAL: If you wish to rent a car, the car rental office is located in the Lobby of the Moon Palace Hotel. You may also dial extension 4335. TRAVEL AGENCIES: The Hotel has several Travel Agencies located in the Lobby. You may also dial extensions 4318 and 4319. AIRLINES AEROMEXICO AEROPERU AMERICAN AIRLINES AVIATECA BRITISH AIRWAYS CONTINENTAL AIRLINES DELTA AIRLINES IBERIA LACSA LANCHILE MEXICANA DE AVIACION NORTH WEST TWA U.S. AIR UNITED AIRLINES VARIG 42 01800 021 40 00 01800 706 37 00 01800 904 60 00 01800 900 50 00 01800 902 21 00 01800 700 67 00 01800 502 20 00 01800 225 25 25 01800 007 80 00 01800 007 88 00 01800 900 74 00 01 800 907 8800 886 01 61 886 01 29 884 39 38 886 05 54 886 01 69 886 01 58 887 51 01 886 03 61 886 02 20 886 00 46 886 00 43 886 04 51 886 00 25 886 00 86 • Cancun, Mexico, March 17 - 22 / 2002 • VI. A THANK YOU TO OUR SUPPORTERS ACCENTURE ALLIANZ MEXICO ASOCIACIÓN MEXICANA DE INSTITUCIONES DE SEGUROS AT&T AXA CORPORATE SOLUTIONS LATIN AMERICA CANADIAN INSTITUTE OF ACTUARIES CERVECERIA CUAUHTEMOC MOCTEZUMA • Anuario Latinoamericano de Seguros, ERNST & YOUNG LLP Reaseguros y de Fianzas GRUPO NACIONAL PROVINCIAL • Canada Life Reinsurance GUY CARPENTER MEXICO • Classic Solutions LATIN AMERICAN RE • GE ERC Life & Health MÜNCHENER RÜCK / MÜNICH RE GROUP • Find Actuaries REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA • Revista Mexicana de Seguros y Fianzas SWISS RE • Hal Actuarios (Vitalis) • NiiS /APEX Group Holdings, Inc. TILLINGHAST TOWERS PERRIN • Milliman Global TRANSAMERICA REINSURANCE • Watson Wyatt Pretium Limited VII. CONGRESS OFFICERS AND ORGANIZERS CONGRESS COMMITTEE Luis Huerta Juan Carlos Padilla Kurt Vogt Jorge Vergara Mario Beltrán Oliva Sánchez Jorge Pedroza Sofia Romano Edward J. Levay Yves Guérard James MacGinnitie President Vice President Vice President Organization Promotion Scientific Financial Coordination IAA President IAA Secretary General Chairperson, IAA Commitee on Services to Individual Members SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE FINANCIAL COMMITTEE Carlos Del Cueto Julieta Esquivel Rosa María Farell Pilar Fernández José Luis Lobera Patricia Luna Pedro Pacheco José Luis Salas Oliva Sánchez (Chairman) Guadalupe Jiménez Susana Jiménez Jorge Pedroza (Chairman) PROMOTION COMMITTEE Marcela Abraham Mario Beltrán (Chairman) Rocío Brunet Elsa González Rosa María Morales Maritza Navarro Enriqueta Quiroz Patricia Villegas 43 • 27th International Congress of Actuaries • COORDINATION COMMITTEE ASTIN SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE Rocío Lozano Sofia Romano (Chairman) Luis Huerta José Luis Lobera (Chairman) Sofia Romano Oliva Sánche AFIR SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE José de Caso (Chairman) Luis Huerta José Muriel Sofia Romano Oliva Sánchez ASTIN COLLOQUIUM COMMITTEE AFIR COLLOQUIUM COMMITTEE Mario Beltrán Luis Huerta (Chairman) Jose Luis Lobera Jorge Pedroza Sofía Romano Jorge Vergara Mario Beltrán José de Caso Luis Huerta (Chairman) Jorge Pedroza Sofia Romano Jorge Vergara HEALTH SEMINAR COMMITTEE John Armstrong Yair Babad Avi Bar Or Rejean Besner Howard J. Bolnick (Co Chairman) Joyce Brennan Alvaro Castro Giovanna Ferrara Rainer Fuerhaupter Mohamed Hassan Kamil Akira Kuriyama Gunnar Kvan Darryl Leach Edward J. Levay (Co Chairman) Wilbur Lo Shaun Matisonn László Molnar Ibrahim Muhanna (Co Chairman) Enne Osinga David Paul Bernie Rabinowitz Alejandra Ramirez Barry Swartzberg Hele-Liis Viirsalu Brent Walker Andres Webersinke Considerable assistance has been given to the AFIR and ASTIN Organizing Committees by David Wilkie Jean Lemaire The North American Actuarial organizations (AAA, ASPA, CAS, CCA, CIA, SOA) have given outstanding and invaluable help to the Congress Organizing Team through Curtis Huntington Ken Kent Stuart Wason James Toole Michael Smith David Oakden Martha Sikaras Nancy Behrens And last but not least, a very special recognition for her help, loyalty, support and commitment to Nicole Séguin. 44