The 2-Day On-Site
Transcription
The 2-Day On-Site
2 The 2-Day On-Site Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any statements regarding income, whether expressed or implied, do NOT represent a guarantee. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in this e-mail or promotional material is provided as general market commentary, for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any Forex contract or securities of any type. MTI will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. THESE RESULTS ARE BASED ON SIMULATED OR HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS THAT HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE THE RESULTS SHOWN IN AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, THESE RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, BECAUSE THESE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THESE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR OVERCOMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED OR HYPOTHETICAL TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THESE BEING SHOWN. The information as presented is based on simulated trading using systems and education developed exclusively by MTI. Please note that simulated trading results may or may not have been back-tested for accuracy and that spreads/commissions are not taken into account when preparing hypothetical results. Pips captured represent net or overall pips for the trading period indicated. All results are based on simulated trading and are not live trading accounts. Please read the General Disclaimer and the Risk Disclaimer located on MTI’s website at http://www.markettraders.com/about-fx-company/general-disclaimer/ and at http:// www.markettraders.com/forex-risk-disclaimer for more information. The 2-Day On-Site FOREX DISCLAIMER 3 The 2-Day On-Site The Ultimate Traders Package on Demand: The 2-Day On-Site Class Technical Skills Taught in the UTP • • • • • • • • • • • • 4 Trendlines Trendline breaks Counter trendline breaks Reversals – The King’s Crown Support and resistance (score a point, pull back) Past support can become future resistance Past resistance can become future support The A,B,C,D’s and its boundaries Fibonacci retracements and extensions Candlestick formations Trading ranges Technical indicators, etc. 1. Trading trendline breaks created either by using the automated trendline from the FXTURBO or hand drawing trendlines. 2. Trading candlestick formations in the direction of the trend with a counter trendline break using the FXTURBO. 3. Trading the Velocity Fuel Gauge Buy and Sell zones in the direction of the trend with the FXTURBO. 4. Trading the BUY-BUY STOP and the SELL-SELL STOP. The 2-Day On-Site The MTI UTP Strategies How the Uptrend Price Swing and the Extension Form • It starts with an A low that moves to a B high then retraces inside an A-B boundary creating a C low. It then begins to rally above the B high and ends by forming a new high at the D extension. D B A-B Boundary C A 5 The 2-Day On-Site The Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions in an Uptrend The Fibonacci Retracements in an Uptrend 6 RESISTANCE RESISTANCE RESISTANCE The 2-Day On-Site The Lines of Resistance The Fibonacci Extensions in an Uptrend 7 The 2-Day On-Site It is my experience that Fundamental Announcements exist to fulfill the Fibonacci sequence more quickly. The Fibonacci numbers and sequence do not exist to fulfill the Fundamental Announcements. Let us review: Find the correct up A,B,C,D’s. The down trendline breaks and starts a new uptrend. 8 The 2-Day On-Site It starts with an A low that moves to a B high. A B High is 2 candles lower to the left and 2 to the right of the B high. It then retraces inside an A-B boundary which creates a C low. Then, it begins to rally above the B high and ends by forming a new D high. The D is when it stops moving, leaving 2 candles to the left and 2 to the right, both of which are lower than the D High at or above the corresponding D extension. After you adjust your A,B,C,D’s, your A’s and B’s will never be readjusted. Only C’s and D’s can be readjusted. 9 The 2-Day On-Site Once the D is confirmed, you can now move your A,B,C,D’s. A moves to C. B moves to D and you will never move A and B again. C goes inside the A-B boundary and can be adjusted. D goes to the corresponding D extension and can be adjusted. The D ends where it makes a high of 2 to the left and 2 to the right (at the D or beyond the D, but not before the D). Once the D is fulfilled, you can then readjust all of your A,B,C,D’s all over again. 10 The 2-Day On-Site Once the D is fulfilled, you can then readjust all of your A,B,C,D’s all over again. How the Downtrend Price Swing and the Extension Form • It starts with an A high that moves to a B low. It then retraces inside an A-B boundary, creating a C high. Then, it begins to dip below the B low and ends by forming a new low at the D extension. The D extension will be at the corresponding Fibonacci extension number. A-B Boundary Dip Retracement 11 The 2-Day On-Site Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions in a Downtrend SUPPORT SUPPORT SUPPORT 12 d d b b c c a a The 2-Day On-Site Fibonacci Retracements in a Downtrend Fibonacci Extensions in a Downtrend 13 The 2-Day On-Site When the uptrend line breaks, it takes out the line of support and then creates a new downtrend. Sell 14 It starts with an A high that moves to a B low. The B low is the first 2 candles to the left and right that are above the B low. Then, it retraces back inside an A-B boundary creating a C high. It begins to dip below the B low and ends by forming a new D low. There are 2 candles to the left and 2 to the right at or below the corresponding D extension, but not before. Only C’s and D’s can be readjusted. The 2-Day On-Site After you adjust your A,B,C,D’s, the A’s and B’s will never be readjusted. Once the D is confirmed, you can move your A,B,C,D’s. A moves to C. B moves to D. You will never move A and B again. C goes inside the A-B boundary and can be adjusted. D goes to the corresponding D extension and can be adjusted, but it ends where it finally makes a low 2 to the left and 2 to the right of the corresponding D extension or beyond the D, but not before the corresponding D extension. 15 The 2-Day On-Site A,B,C,D’s on larger time frames control the A,B,C,D’s on smaller time frames. • • • D Larger time frames control the price movements of smaller time frames. Smaller time frames respond to the A,B,C,D,’s of the larger time frames. Expect u-turns or trend reversals on the smaller time frames when C’s and D’s are reached. B D B C A A 16 C B D C B • • C D B A C These are the A, B, C, D’s from the larger time frame. The A,B,C,D waves from the current time frame respond to the A,B,C,D’s of the larger time frame. The 2-Day On-Site D A A 17 The 2-Day On-Site DRAWING UPTREND LINES Drawing Uptrend Lines • • 18 There are primarily 3 uptrend lines formed in an uptrend: - An inner trendline - An outer trendline - A long-term trendline Draw the uptrend lines across the lows of support, connecting A’s with C’s after new highs have been formed. The 2-Day On-Site Drawing Uptrend Lines • • • • An inner trendline is drawn connecting the most recent A and C. An outer trendline is drawn connecting the first A with C’s. The long-term trendline is drawn after compressing the chart and connecting the first A with C’s. Draw the uptrend lines across the lows of support, connecting A’s with C’s after a new high has been reached. d b c a C A A /C 19 The 2-Day On-Site In an uptrend, trendlines are future locations the market may hit and then bounce up from in the future. They are future potential levels of support. The market is currently making lower lows and lower highs. The uptrend line needs to go beneath the low and through the candles at the top. The uptrend line has been broken. 20 Correct: The line must be drawn across the wick lows as long as the market is making higher highs. C The 2-Day On-Site C A 21 The 2-Day On-Site DRAWING DOWNTREND LINES Drawing Downtrend Lines The Long-Term Outer • • 22 There are primarily 3 downtrend lines formed in a downtrend: - An inner trendline - An outer trendline - A long-term trendline Draw the downtrend lines across the highs of resistance, connecting A’s with C’s after a new low has been made. Inner The Long-Term Outer • • • • An inner trendline is drawn connecting the most recent A with C’s. An outer trendline is drawn connecting the first A with C’s. The long-term trendline is drawn after compressing the chart and connecting the first A with C’s. Draw the downtrend lines across the highs of resistance, connecting A’s with C’s after a new low has been made. A C Inner The 2-Day On-Site Drawing Downtrend Lines Draw downtrend lines connecting the A’s and C’s, or across the highs of resistance. B Sub-C D a c b dD 23 The 2-Day On-Site In a downtrend, trendlines are future locations where the market may bounce back down. They are future potential levels of resistance. • Why is this incorrect? You cannot draw a trendline through the candles. 42 24 Correct: Downtrend lines must go across the wick highs of resistance and extend outward. The 2-Day On-Site Sub-C 25 The 2-Day On-Site DRAWING COUNTER UPTREND LINES When drawing counter upward trendlines, go across the highs of the retracement with a 45-degree trendline. The rule: There needs to be a minimum of 3 bearish candles of retracement for a counter uptrend line to be effective. 26 BUY The 2-Day On-Site Buy at the break of the counter uptrend line. You should have 75% of a closed bullish candle on the north side of the 45-degree counter trendline. Once again, you need a minimum of 3 bearish candles of retracement to trade a counter trendline. BUY 27 The 2-Day On-Site DRAWING COUNTER DOWNTREND LINES When drawing counter downward trendlines, go across the lows of the retracement with a 45-degree trendline. The rule: There needs to be a minimum of 3 bullish candles of retracement for a counter downtrend line to be effective. 28 SELL SELL The 2-Day On-Site Sell at the break of the counter downtrend line. You need 75% of a closed Bearish candle to the south of the counter trendline. Once again, you need a minimum of 3 bullish candles of retracement to trade a counter trendline. Learning the skill of drawing 30-degree extension trendlines and 45degree counter trendlines 29 The 2-Day On-Site Trader’s Tips • Keep up with your A,B,C,D’s and sub-a,b,c,d’s. • Keep in mind that the market moves at different speeds and creates aggressive trendlines as well as subtle trendlines between 20 and 80 degrees. • On retracements, use a 45-degree counter trendline and use a 30-degree trendline on extensions. • From experience, when the market breaks the 30-degree trendline, it has a 90% chance of going the other way during the active zone. • When you enter into buying or selling the C, keep up with the aggressive trendline and immediately draw a 30degree extension trendline. Selling Tweezer Tops after a retracement The market needs to go your way or you need to get out. When 30-degree extension trendlines are broken, you need to think of reversing your position or getting out because you can get in trouble in a real hurry if you stay in. 30 Extension Draw 30-degree trendlines on extensions. Draw 45-degree trendlines on retracements. The rule: There needs to be a minimum of 3 bearish candles of retracement in an uptrend for a counter uptrend line to be effective. Retracement Retracement Retracement Retracement Extension Extension Extension The 2-Day On-Site Extension Extension Draw 30-degree trendlines on extensions. Draw 45-degree trendlines on retracements. The rule: There needs to be a minimum of 3 bullish candles of retracement in a down trend for a counter downtrend line to be effective. Extension Retracement Retracement Extension Retracement 31 The 2-Day On-Site The King’s Crown Or The Reversal . The King’s Crown Or The Reversal D/A B C D A B C C A B B C D D/A . 32 D/A 4C 3 B 1 C 5 The 2-Day On-Site The 1,2,3,4,5 steps of forming the King's Crown 2B A D 59 59 D/A 3 B 4 C 1 C A 5 2 B 1. Market breaks the uptrend line. 2. Market returns to support. 3. Find the B of the up A, B, C, D, which is the right tip of the potential crown. 4. Draw a horizontal line from 3 - B to the projected new down C at a .618 or Fibonacci number. Enter selling 4 - C and project D. Exit 10 pips before D the market hits D for profit. 5. After C forms, connect A and C for the new downtrend line. 33 The 2-Day On-Site The King’s Crown The King’s Crown 34 With the completion of steps 1 - 5, the center tip of the crown should be the high of the new downtrend. The crown formation entry teaches you how to get in at the first C or the first wave of the new downtrend. The 2-Day On-Site The Value of Learning the Crown Formation Becoming A Good Chart Reader Requires Spatial Intelligence When the market makes an upside down or inverted crown, all of the steps are the same, but upside down and in the opposite direction. 35 The 2-Day On-Site The 1,2,3,4,5 steps of the Downtrend King's Crown D Sell Exit A 2B C 5 1 3B 4 C Buy Entry D/A 1. Market breaks the downtrend line. 2. Market returns to resistance. 3. Find the B of the down A, B, C, D, which is the right tip of the potential crown. 4. Draw a horizontal line from B - 3 to the projected new C at a .618 or Fibonacci number. Enter buying 4 - C and project D. Exit 10 pips before the market hits D for profit. 5. After C forms, connect A and C for the new uptrend line. D Sell Exit A C 2B 1 3B 5 4 C Buy Entry D/A Copyright 2003 by Market Traders Institute, Inc. 36 The 2-Day On-Site The Downtrend King's Crown 37 The 2-Day On-Site 10 Candlestick Formations • Rules for Trading Candlestick Formations Trading Candlestick Formations • • • • • 38 I have identified 5 bullish and 5 bearish patterns you need to learn. Even though these patterns offer great trading signals, it is very important to note that should you trade these signals on their own merit, they may not be as strong and you’ll have more of a chance of success if you trade the bearish formations in a downtrend and bullish formations in an uptrend with the market bouncing at trendlines. Fibonacci’s past support becomes future resistance or past resistance becoming future support. The candlestick formations you want to trade are when the market is retracing to a deep C. Trading is a game of probabilities and in order to put the percentages of success in your favor, you should compile more than one piece of evidence (probability) that the market will potentially move in the opposite direction inside the A-B boundary and move in the extension direction right after at the price level you enter. In other words, success is increased if you have more than one educated reason to enter the market. When you have more than one good reason, it is what we call a convergence. Examples of convergence are on the following slides. • Rules for Trading Bullish Candlestick Formations The 2-Day On-Site 5 Bullish Patterns Important Rules: Candlestick Formations • • • • • Wait until the candle of certainty closes before you enter the market. Enter at the opening of the next candle if your rules of equity management allow it. If scalping, place your protective stop loss 10 pips beyond the formation. Figure out the total risk of the trade and place your limit exit orders for profit on a one-to-one risk-reward ratio for scalping. If you are trading a C – D extension of the latest A,B,C,D swing, place your protective stop loss order 10 pips beyond the A of the A-B swing and your limit 10 pips in front of the corresponding D extension. 39 The 2-Day On-Site Important Rules • • • • • • • Once again, it’s imperative to wait until the candle that forms the candlestick formation has closed before you enter at the opening of the next candle. It is important to note that all candlestick formations will be tested over 50% of the time. In other words, on bullish candlestick formations, the bears will attempt to drive prices lower to see if there is any interest in more sellers coming into the market. In bearish candlestick formations, the bulls will attempt to drive prices higher to see if there is any interest in more buyers coming into the market. Both the bulls and the bears put up one last fight to try and overrule the new pattern. The strength of the pattern will depend on this test and it will normally be clear after 2 or 3 periods whether the test will hold or fail. You should always be risk-orientated. Before you enter the market at the opening of the next candle, look at your risk factor to see if it is in line with your equity management rules. If your protective stop loss order needs to be too far away from your entry, you can wait for the potential test of the candlestick pattern and enter the market when prices are closer to the low or high of the candlestick formation during the test. Once again, your protective stops when scalping will be 10 pips beyond the candlestick formation, which will be new levels of support or resistance if the pattern holds. If you are going from C to D, figure out the total risk of the trade and place your protective stops beyond the A if your equity management allows and your limit exit orders for profit 10 pips before it hits the corresponding D extension or according to the options in the Trader’s Checklist. D Scalping Candlestick Formations on a 1-to-1 risk-reward ratio. Exit with a Sell Limit Order B Buy at the opening of the next candle Protective Stop Loss Order C A Bullish Piercing Line 40 D Exit with a Sell Limit Order B Buy at the opening of the next candle Bullish Engulfing A C The 2-Day On-Site Buying candlestick formations at the C then going to the D. Protective Stop Loss Order 41 The 2-Day On-Site The Bullish Shooting Star Buy in the direction of the trend at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the bullish shooting star. D The Bullish Shooting Star B Exit with a Sell Limit Order Buy at the opening of the next candle Protective Stop Loss Order A 42 C • Buy in the direction of the trend at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the Morning Star. The 2-Day On-Site The Morning Star The Morning Stars D B Exit with a Sell Limit Order Buy at the opening of the next candle C Protective Stop Loss Order A 43 The 2-Day On-Site The Bullish Piercing Line • Buy in the direction of the trend at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the bullish piercing line. Close of the bullish candle must be beyond a 60% u-turn of the bearish candle. The Bullish Piercing Line D Exit with a Sell Limit Order B Buy at the opening of the next candle Protective Stop Loss Order A 44 C • After the bullish engulfing candle appears in the direction of the trend, buy at the market of the opening of the next candle with a protective stop loss order approximately 10 pips beyond the lows of the wicks. The 2-Day On-Site The Engulfing Bullish Candle The Engulfing Bullish Candle D B Exit with a Sell Limit Order Buy at the opening of the next candle C Protective Stop Loss Order A 45 The 2-Day On-Site The Tweezer Bottom • After 2 candles have met the criteria of a Tweezer Bottom, buy at the market at the opening of the next candle with a protective stop loss order approximately 10 pips beyond the lows of the wicks. The Tweezer Bottom B D Exit with a Sell Limit Order Buy at the opening of the next candle C A 46 Protective Stop Loss Order • Rules for Trading Bearish Candlestick Formations The 2-Day On-Site 5 Bearish Candlestick Formations 47 The 2-Day On-Site The Bearish Shooting Star • Sell in the direction of the trend at the market and at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the Bearish Shooting Star. The Bearish Shooting Star A Ca Protective Stop Loss Order c Sell at the opening of the next candle Exit with a Buy Limit Order B b dD 48 • Sell in the direction of the trend at the market and at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the Evening Star. The 2-Day On-Site The Evening Star The Evening Star A C Protective Stop Loss Order Sell at the opening of the next candle B Exit with a Buy Limit Order D 49 The 2-Day On-Site The Dark Cloud Cover • Sell in the direction of the trend at the market and at the opening of the next candle or when it meets the criteria of the Dark Cloud Cover formation. The Dark Cloud Cover A Ca c Protective Stop Loss Order Sell at the opening of the next candle B b Exit with a Buy Limit Order D d 50 • After the engulfing bearish candle appears in the direction of the trend, sell at the opening of the next candle with a protective stop loss order approximately 15 pips beyond the highs of the wicks. The 2-Day On-Site The Engulfing Bearish Candle The Engulfing Bearish Candle A C Protective Stop Loss Order Sell at the opening of the next candle Exit with a Buy Limit Order B D d 51 The 2-Day On-Site The Tweezer Top • After you have 2 candles that have met the criteria of a Tweezer Top, sell at the market at the opening of the next candle with a protective stop loss order approximately 15 pips beyond the highs of the wicks A C The Tweezer Top Protective Stop Loss Order Sell at the opening of the next candle Exit with a Buy Limit Order B D 52 • • • • • • Trade in the direction of the current trend after the market retraces back into an A-B or sub a-b boundary, forming a candlestick formation. Many times, a candlestick formation will appear at the end of a trend on a smaller time frame. This is a trendline bounce in the opposite direction on a larger time frame. Do not trade candlestick formations in consolidation. All protective stop loss orders must be 15 pips above the candlestick formation when selling due to the bid-ask spread and 10 pips below the candlestick formations when buying as most charts are bid charts. If your stop order is too far away from the entry point and does not meet your equity management requirements -- PASS ON THE TRADE! Find another trade that will meet your equity management rules. The 2-Day On-Site Trader’s Tips Trading Candlestick Formations • Trading Japanese Candlestick formations offers good risk-to-reward opportunities for traders. • Candlestick formations are potential turning points. When traded in the direction of the trend, they have a high percentage chance of paying off. • They lend themselves to what is called great equity management. • You execute a trade with what is called a tight stop. That means you are risking very little financially. • If the trade doesn’t work out, your loss is small. • Keep your losses small and let your profits run. 53 The 2-Day On-Site Trading Past Resistance to Become Future Support Trading Past Resistance to Become Future Support d b Past resistance becoming future support B c Past resistance becoming future support C a A 54 Buying points D The 2-Day On-Site Trading Past Support to Become Future Resistance Past Support Becoming Future Resistance A SELLING POINTS C SELL a c B D b d 55 The 2-Day On-Site Daily Trading Ranges The Daily Trading Range • As of July 2012, the 4-week, daily trading ranges on the following currencies are: – EUR/USD: 121 – GBP/USD: 116 – USD/CHF: 88 – AUD/USD: 96 – NZD/USD: 82 – USD/CAD: 71 – USD/JPY: 48 – EUR/JPY: 126 – GBP/JPY: 125 56 78 pips Average Daily Trading Ranges 95 pips 121 pips The 2-Day On-Site 116 pips 60 pips 90 pips 57 The 2-Day On-Site Active and Dead Zones Activ e Active 60 Minute Chart Active Active Active Dead Active Dead Dead Dead Dead The active zone is between 2:00 a.m. ET and 12:00 p.m. ET (GMT-4) The dead zone is between 12:00 p.m. ET and 2:00 a.m. ET (GMT-4) 110 58 Copyright 2003 by Market Traders Institute, Inc. • • • • • • • • • It is recommended to risk no more than 2.5% of your trading account balance. A risk of 5% is considered over-trading your account. Stops and limits are based on knowing your A,B,C,D’s. Open a demo account and practice, practice, practice until you understand and feel comfortable trading the strategies. Start off with trading mini or micro lots. Build confidence in your strategies on mini or micro lots. Make your mistakes on mini and micro lots. Only risk 2.5% of your account in any given trade. Do not over-trade your account. When increasing your lot sizes, go from 1 mini lot to 2 mini lots and do not regress. Then go from 2 to 3 and never regress, etc. Do not go from 1 mini lot to 5 mini lots or 1 mini lot to 10 mini lots. That is a recipe for disaster. After you have mastered a successful technique, increase your lots per currency and never regress on your lots. The 2-Day On-Site Equity Management Managing Your Risk 100K Lots - $10.00 per pip , 1 currency $3,000 $5,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 Dollars Risked $500 $500 $500 $500 $500 % Risk to Margin 16% 10% 3% 2.5% 2% In Margin Mini lots - $1.00 per pip, 1 currency $1,000 $2,500 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 Dollars Risked $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 % Risk to Margin 5% 2% 1% .5% .3% In Margin 59 The 2-Day On-Site Trading multiple currencies at one time 100K Lots - $10.00 per pip, 6 currencies, 50 pip stops In Margin $15,000 $20,000 $30,000 $75,000 Dollars Risked 6 Lots $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 % Risk to Margin 20% 15% 10% 2.5% Mini lots - $1.00 per pip, 6 currencies, 50 pip stops $3,000 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 Dollars Risked 6 Lots $300 $300 $300 $300 % Risk to Margin 10% 6% 3% 2% In Margin Do Not Over-Trade Your Account. (Over Trading With Mini Lots) 6 Mini Lots at Once With 50 Pip Stops $2,000 $3,000 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 Risk 50 pips 6 lots $300 $300 $300 $300 $300 % Risk to Margin 15% 12% 6% 3% 2% 1 4 10 27 44 In Margin # of Losses in a Row You Can Endure with a Minimum of $300 per Lot or $2,000 in Margin 60 1. Trendline breaks created either by using the automated trendline from the FXTURBO or handdrawn trendlines. 2. Trading candlestick formations in the direction of the trend with a counter trendline break with the FXTURBO. 3. Trading the Velocity Fuel Gauge in the buy and sell zones in the direction of the trend with the FXTURBO. 4. The BUY-BUY STOP and the SELL-SELL STOP. The 2-Day On-Site MTI’s UTP Strategies Trading Tips • • • • • • Find and mark your A,B,C,D’s , sub-a,b,c,d’s and Fibonacci’s on the daily chart, 2 hour chart, 1 hour chart, and 15 minute chart and readjust them as needed. Keep in mind the daily trading ranges of each currency. When you enter the market, ask yourself, “Am I entering during the active zone or the dead zone?” The market will move faster in the active zone than in the dead zone. When you enter the market, answer the question, “Am I getting involved in an extension or a retracement?” Don’t forget that the market moves more pips in less time on an extension and fewer pips in more time on a retracement. All these strategies can be used on any time frame. Remember the larger the time frame, the larger the swings. 61 The 2-Day On-Site 62 Trader’s Tips • • • • • Keep in mind that the market moves at different speeds and creates aggressive trendlines and subtle trendlines of 20 to 80 degrees. On retracements, use a 45-degree counter trendline. On extensions, use a 30-degree trendline during the active zone. From experience, when the market breaks the 30-degree trendline during the active zone, it has a 90% chance of going the opposite direction. When you enter the market at a C or sub-c extension, draw 2 trendlines (an aggressive trendline and a 30-degree extension trendline) in the direction of the trend. When you enter the market, you will immediately be in the red due to the bid and ask spreads. The 2-Day On-Site THE FXTURBO THE FXTURBO The bulls live above the auto trendline. The bears live below the auto trendline. The red line monitors all bearish movement. Auto Trendline The green line monitors all bullish movement. The Velocity Fuel Gauge SELL ZONE BUY ZONE 63 The 2-Day On-Site Traders Checklist - Strategy #1 1. Compress the chart and see if you are in an uptrend or downtrend. 2. Find and mark your A,B,C,D’s , sub-a,b,c,d’s and Fibonacci’s on the daily chart, 2 hour chart, 1 hour chart and 15 minute chart and keep up with them when they need to be adjusted . 3. Figure out if you will be entering on a retracement or extension of the recent A,B,C,D. 4. Look at the time and figure out if you are in the active zone or dead zone. You will be more effective during the active zone 5. Count the number of pips your currency has already moved for the day from low to high or high to low in its daily trading range to make sure you are not entering at the end of the daily trading range. 6. Using the FXTURBO, when the blue line crosses the aqua line from the south to the north and you have 75% of a bullish candle above the blue line, that is a buy signal. Enter the market. 7. Using the FXTURBO, when the blue line crosses the aqua line from the north to the south and you have 75% of a bearish candle below the blue line that is a sell signal. Enter the market. 8. Draw your counter trendlines on the retracements once a candlestick formation appears in the direction of the trend. If you are going long, you may want to wait until you have 75% of a bullish candle above the blue line. If you are going short you may want to wait until you have 75% of a bearish candle below the blue line and counter trendlines have been broken. 9. If you are entering on an extension, draw a 30-degree angle trendline after you’ve entered. If you are entering on a retracement, draw a 45-degree angle retracement line. 10. Place stops either beyond the candlestick formation or beyond the A on each currency. As a safeguard monitor the 30-degree trendline, the aggressive trendline and the blue and aqua lines in FXTURBO. 11. Exits can be based on several different exit strategies: 1. Exit at the D extension on the time frame you are trading. 2. Exit if you are in the black and the candles start to cross the blue line. 3. Exit if it breaks the aggressive hand-drawn trendline and you are in the black. 4. Exit if it starts to break the 30-degree trendline. 5. Exit near the end of the daily trading range. 6. Exit when the blue line crosses the aqua line again on the FXTURBO. 64 Sell when the blue line crosses the aqua line from north to south and the bearish candle is south of the blue line. Buy when the blue line crosses the aqua line from south to north and the candle is north of the blue line. SELL SELL BUY BUY The 2-Day On-Site Strategy # 1 123 65 The 2-Day On-Site Traders Checklist - Strategy #2 1. On the FXTURBO, the bears live below the aqua auto trendline and bulls live above the aqua auto trendline. 2. Compress the chart and see if you are in an uptrend or downtrend. 3. Find your current A/B boundary, your A,B,C,D’s , sub a,b,c,d’s and draw your Fibonacci’s. 4. Figure out if the market is retracing or moving toward the extension. 5. Look at the time and figure out if you are in the active zone or dead zone. 6. Count the number of pips the currency you are trading has already moved during that day from low to high or high to low in its daily trading range to avoid getting in at the end of the daily trading range. 7. On the 2 hour, 1 hour, 30 minute or 15 minute charts (and preferably during the active zone) look for bearish candlestick formations if the candles are below the aqua automated trendline and bullish candlestick formations if the candles are above the aqua automated trendline. 8. If you are entering on an extension, draw a 30-degree trendline. If you are entering on a retracement, draw a 45-degree retracement line. 9. Place stops 10 pips beyond bid-ask spreads on each currency beyond the candlestick formations for scalping and beyond the A for day trading which enables the market to wave. 10. Exits can be based on several different exit strategies: 1. Exit at the D extension on the time frame you are trading. 2. Exit if you are in the black and the candles start to cross the blue line. 3. Exit if it breaks the aggressive hand-drawn trendline and you are in the black. 4. Exit if it starts to break the 30-degree trendline. 5. Exit near the end of the daily trading range. 6. Exit when the blue line crosses the aqua line again. 66 Exit the market Buy bullish engulfing A Buy when a bullish candlestick formation appears and the market has broken the counter trendline. Place a 30-degree uptrend line and draw an aggressive uptrend line. Do your A,B,C,D’s and Fibonacci's . Exit the market at either the break of an aggressive uptrend line or the D extension. The 2-Day On-Site Strategy # 2 127 Strategy # 2 15 Minute Chart 120 Minute Chart Sell Exit Buy Entry Morning Star Buy Signal Buy signal on the 120 minute time frame. Buy crossover on 15 minute time frame. 128 67 The 2-Day On-Site Trader’s Checklist - Strategy #3 Strategy #3 can be a stand alone strategy or a combination of the previous 2 strategies. You will see as I start to explain. 1. On the 2 hour, 1 hour, 30 minute or 15 minute charts, the bears live below the aqua auto trendline and bulls live above the auto aqua trendline. 2. Compress the chart and see if you are in an uptrend or downtrend. 3. Find your current A/B boundary, your A,B,C,D’s, sub a,b,c,d’s and draw your Fibonacci’s. The 60 and 120 minute charts work best with this strategy. 4. Figure out if the market is retracing or moving on an extension. 5. Look at the time and figure out if you are in the active zone or dead zone. 6. Count the number of pips your currency has already moved for the day from low to high or high to low in its daily trading range to avoid getting in at the end of the daily trading range. 7. During the active zone, look for bearish candlestick formations if the candles are below the aqua automated trendline and bullish candlestick formations if the candles are above the aqua automated trendline. 8. Look at the velocity fuel gauge to see if it is entering or getting ready to exit either the buy or sell zones. 9. If the velocity fuel gauge is either entering or exiting the sell zone, the trend should be down and the market should be retracing back up. You should be looking for the market to be forming a bearish candlestick formation and breaking the counter downward trendline when the velocity fuel gauge is leaving the sell zone. 10. If the velocity fuel gauge is either entering or exiting the buy zone, the trend should be up and the market should be retracing back down. You should be looking for the market to be forming a bullish candlestick formation and breaking the counter uptrend line when the velocity fuel gauge is leaving the buy zone. 11. Once the market begins to leave the buy or sell zone and the counter trendline begins to break, look for corresponding candlestick formations appearing to support your decision to enter the market. Enter your currency in the direction of the trend and when a candlestick gets on the north side of the blue line for buying and south of the blue line for selling. 12. You should be entering on an extension. After you enter the market, draw a 30degree trendline and keep up with an aggressive trendline. If you are entering on a retracement, draw a 45-degree retracement line. 13. Place stops 10 pips beyond bid/ask spreads on each currency beyond the candlestick formations for scalping and beyond the A if you are trading the A,B,C,D’s. 14. Exits can be based on several different exit strategies. 1. Exit at the D extension on the time frame you are trading. 2. Exit if you are in the black and the candles start to cross the blue line. 3. Exit if it breaks the aggressive hand-drawn trendline and you are in the black. 4. Exit if it starts to break the 30-degree trendline. 5. Exit near the end of the daily trading range. 6. Exit when the blue line crosses the aqua line again. 68 SELL SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL The 2-Day On-Site Strategy # 3 SELL ZONE BUY ZONE SELL EXIT Strategy # 3 Enter buying the Engulfing Bearish. Stop loss beyond A SELL ZONE BUY ZONE Enter as the market is leaving the buy zone. 69 The 2-Day On-Site Strategy # 3 When the velocity fuel gauge enters the buy zone on a larger time frame, use a 15 minute chart and buy when the candles move above the aqua trendline and the velocity fuel gauge leaves the buy zone. SELL ZONE BUY ZONE 70 120 Minute Chart 15 Minute Chart Wait for a crossover to the north before entering The BUY-BUY-STOP and The SELL-SELL-STOP On time frames of 2 hours, 1 hour, 30 minutes and 15 minutes The 2-Day On-Site Trading Strategy #4 71 The 2-Day On-Site Trading Strategy #4 The UPTREND The BUY-BUY-STOP On time frames of 2 hours, 1 hour, 30 minutes and 15 minutes You have a confirmed upswing with a high and a low High High: Two candles to the left and two to the right that are lower than the wick high. Low: Two candles to the left and two to the right that are higher than the wick low. Low 72 B The 2-Day On-Site Find the up A-B boundary. A D B C Spread the Fibs to anticipate the up A,B,C,D’s and mark the D. A 73 The 2-Day On-Site D If the uptrend stays in place, the market will make a higher low and either bounce back up at a shallow C or… B C – shallow C bounce at .382 or less A D B C A 74 …bounce back up at a deep C retracement at the .50 - .618 - .786 or .86. The trader does not know where the C retracement bounce back up is going to be. B C? The 2-Day On-Site D C? A D Place a Buy order 10 pips above the B high plus the spread. B C As the market starts to retrace back down into the A-B boundary and you have 2 candles to the left and 2 candles to the right that are lower than the old D high (now the new B), place a buy order 10 pips above the B high plus the spread before it gets to the .382 in anticipation of a shallow C retracement and .382 bounce back up followed by a rapid rally to the 1.618 D Extension. A 75 The 2-Day On-Site D Limit Order: 10 pips before the 1.618 D extension Place a buy order 10 pips above the B high plus the spread B If the market takes you in 10 pips above the B high, place your stop order 10 pips below the C bounce/ u-turn and place your limit order 10 pips before it hits the D extension at the 1.618 or before the bulls score a point. Follow your pre-trade checklist. C Stop Order: 10 pips below the u-turn bounce A Equity Management D Limit Order- 10 pips before the 1.618 D extension Reward: 52 pips 108% Return Buy Order B Risk: 48 pips 100% C 100 pip swing A 76 Stop Order: 10 pips below the u-turn bounce Limit Order: 10 pips before the corresponding extension B A Place a buy order 10 pips above the B high plus the spread If the market dips and penetrates the .382 with a closed bearish candle, cancel the buy above the B high. Then, look to buy a deep C bullish candlestick formation retracement and the breaking of the counter uptrend line with a stop order below the A, if you are going to the D Extension. If going 1 for 1 place stop C 10 pips below the candlestick Buy at market formation. Follow your pre-trade checklist for the correct extensions and limit orders. Stop Order: 10 pips below the A The 2-Day On-Site D You can trade 2 lots at a deep C exiting one lot on a 1 to 1 Risk reward and the second lot 10 pips before the corresponding D with its stop 10 pips below the A. 77 The 2-Day On-Site Stop Order: 10 pips above A A Sell at market C B If the market bounces down at the .382 then u-turns back up at or before it hits the B low and rallies to penetrate the .382, cancel the B low order and look to sell a deep C bearish candlestick formation after the retracement and the breaking of the counter down trendline with a stop order above the A. Exit 10 pips before it hits the corresponding D extension with a stop 10 pips above the A. Follow your pre-trade checklist for the correct extensions and limit orders.. Place a sell order 10 pips below the B low Limit Order: 10 pips before the extension D D Limit Order: 10 pips before the corresponding extension Place a buy order 10 pips above the B high plus the spread B C Buy at Market A 78 If the market bounces up at the .382 then does a u-turn back down at or before it hits the B high and dips and penetrates the .382, cancel the B high order and look to buy a deep C bullish candlestick formation retracement and the breaking of the counter uptrend line, with a stop order below the A. Follow your pretrade checklist for the correct extensions and limit orders. Stop Order: 10 pips below the A The Downtrend The SELL-SELL-STOP On time frames of 2 hour, 1 hour, 30 minutes and 15 minutes The 2-Day On-Site Trading Strategy 4 You have a confirmed downswing with a high and a low. High High: Two candles to the left and two to the right that are lower than the wick high. Low Low: Two candles to the left and two to the right that are higher than the wick low. 79 The 2-Day On-Site Find the down A-B boundary. A B Spread the Fibs to anticipate the down A,B,C,D’s and mark the D. A C B D 80 C : Shallow C bounce at .382 or less B If the downtrend stays in place, the market will make a lower high and either bounce back down at a shallow C or… The 2-Day On-Site A D A C …bounce back down at a deep C retracement at the .50 - .618 - .786 or .86. B D 81 The 2-Day On-Site A C? C? B The trader does not know where the C retracement bounce back down is going to be. D A C B As the market starts to retrace back up into the A-B boundary and you have a confirmed low with 2 candles to the left and 2 candles to the right at the old D (the new B low) and before it gets to the .382, place a sell order 10 pips below the B low in anticipation of a shallow C retracement - .382 bounce back down followed by a rapid dip to the 1.618 D extension. Place a sell order 10 pips below the B low. D 82 Stop Order: 10 pips above the u-turn bounce If the market takes you in 10 pips below the B low, place your stop order 10 pips above the C bounce u-turn and place your limit order 10 pips before it hits the D extension at the 1.618 or before the bears score a point. Follow your pre-trade checklist. C B Place a sell order 10 pips below the B low. The 2-Day On-Site A Limit Order: 10 pips before the extension D Equity Management A Stop Order: 10 pips above the u-turn bounce 100 pip swing C RISK 48 pips 100% B Sell Order REWARD 52 pips 108% Return D Limit Order: 10 pips before the extension 83 The 2-Day On-Site A Stop Order: 10 pips above A Sell at market C If the market rallies and penetrates the .382 with a closed bullish candle, cancel the sell order below the B. Then, look to sell a deep C bearish candlestick formation and the breaking of the counter down trendline during the retracement with a stop order above the A with your limit order 10 pips before it hits the corresponding D. If you are scalping one for one, place stop 10 pips below the candlestick formation. Follow your pre-trade checklist for the correct extensions and limit orders. B Place a sell order 10 pips below the B low Limit Order: 10 pips before the extension D Stop Order: 10 pips above A A Sell at market C B If the market bounces down at the .382 then uturns back up at or before it hits the B low and rallies to penetrate the .382, cancel the B low order and look to sell a deep C bearish candlestick formation after the retracement and the breaking of the counter down trendline with a stop order above the A. Exit 10 pips before it hits the corresponding D extension. Follow your pre-trade checklist for the correct extensions and limit orders.. Place a sell order 10 pips below the B low Limit Order: 10 pips before the extension D 84 “A Brand You Can Trust” The 2-Day On-Site Market Traders Institute It Is Not Just A Forex Education… It Is A Belief! 85 86 The 2-Day On-Site Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any statements regarding income, whether expressed or implied, do NOT represent a guarantee. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in this e-mail or promotional material is provided as general market commentary, for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any Forex contract or securities of any type. MTI will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. THESE RESULTS ARE BASED ON SIMULATED OR HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS THAT HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE THE RESULTS SHOWN IN AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, THESE RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, BECAUSE THESE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THESE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR OVERCOMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED OR HYPOTHETICAL TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THESE BEING SHOWN. The information as presented is based on simulated trading using systems and education developed exclusively by MTI. Please note that simulated trading results may or may not have been back-tested for accuracy and that spreads/commissions are not taken into account when preparing hypothetical results. Pips captured represent net or overall pips for the trading period indicated. All results are based on simulated trading and are not live trading accounts. Please read the General Disclaimer and the Risk Disclaimer located on MTI’s website at http://www.markettraders.com/about-fx-company/general-disclaimer/ and at http:// www.markettraders.com/forex-risk-disclaimer for more information. The 2-Day On-Site FOREX DISCLAIMER 87