Activity 5.1.9 Workshop on improving quality of agricultural

Transcription

Activity 5.1.9 Workshop on improving quality of agricultural
TWINNING CONTRACT
Institutional Capacity Building for the Central Agency for Public
Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS) and Developing the Legal
Framework for Statistics in Egypt
EG/07/AA/F106
MISSION REPORT
on
Workshop on improving quality of agricultural production statistics
used in national account
Component no 7/5.1.9
Mission carried out by
Mads K. Dissing
Henrik Bolding Pedersen
Statistics Denmark
Cairo, 21th - 25th of February 2010
Final version
EE2010:09
Central Agency for Public
Mobilisation and Statistics
Statistics Denmark
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PHARE 2005
Author’s name, address, e-mail (keep the relevant information)
Mads K. Dissing
Sejrøgade 11
DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø
Denmark
Tel. +45 3917 3381
[email protected]
Henrik B. Pedersen
Sejrøgade 11
DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø
Denmark
Tel. +45 3917 3315
[email protected]
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Table of contents
1. General comments............................................................................................................................................... 4
2. Assessment and results........................................................................................................................................ 4
3. Conclusions and recommendations ..................................................................................................................... 5
Annex 1. Terms of Reference ................................................................................................................................. 6
Annex 2. Persons met.............................................................................................................................................. 8
Annex 3. Presentation on Agricultural Statistics in Denmark................................................................................. 9
Annex 4. Presentation of National Account in Denmark ...................................................................................... 19
Annex 5. Danish EAA .......................................................................................................................................... 28
List of Abbreviations
CAPMAS
Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics
ToR
STE
NA
EAA
EU
SNA93
Terms of Reference
Short Term Expert
National Account
Economic Account for Agriculture
European Union
Standard for National Accounts
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1. General comments
This mission report was prepared within the Egyptian-Danish Twinning Project „Institutional
capacity building for the central agency for public mobilisation and statistics”. It was the first
mission to be devoted to agricultural within Component 5 of the project. The mission was aimed
at defining a strategic plan forming the base of the further implementation of the project in this
statistical area.
The concrete objectives of the mission were:
• A workshop with experts from CAPMAS and the Egypt Ministry for Agriculture with the aim
of improving agricultural production statistics used in national accounts.
•
Proposals and recommendations for improving agricultural statistics.
The STEs would like to express their thanks to all officials and individuals met for the kind
support and valuable information which were received during the stay in Egypt, and which
highly facilitated the work of the STEs.
This views and observations stated in this report are those of the STE and do not necessarily
correspond to the views of EU, CAPMAS or Statistics Denmark.
2. Assessment and results
The mission started with presentation and discussion of Agricultural Statistics in Denmark,
including the National Accounts. This was followed by presentations by CAPMAS and the
agricultural ministry about the current state of agricultural statistics in Egypt. Agriculture in
Egypt is divided in “Old land” around the Nile and “New land” further west of the Nile.
Productivity is higher in Old land, due to better irrigation. In “Old land” there is a limit of how
much land a farmer can hold. In general there is a lot of subsistence farming, since a little less
than 50 per cent of all farms, only have an area of 1 feddan, which is equivalent to 0,42 hectare.
In the latest census in 2005 there were registered 3.9 million holdings, which actually was an
increase in number of holdings, compared to the census in 2000. The majority of the farms are
producing mainly for own consumption. There is a structural census every 10 years, while
another census based on a sample is also being conducted every 10 years. As for agricultural
statistics “Old land” and “New land” are handled separately.
The collecting of agricultural data is performed by the ministry. The responsibility of sampling,
methods and compiling of statistics is also in the Ministry. Finalized statistics are transferred on
paper to CAPMAS.
In Egypt an earlier project funded by USAid established a national account for agriculture
meeting the international SNA93 standard. The project was in the agricultural ministry and was
related to 2005-06. As part of the project detailed information about economic issues were
collected on the basis of a sample consisting of 4000 holdings. A similar survey for 2009-10 is
under preparation. As for now, there are not yet established supply and use tables, but efforts
are being made in doing so.
Finally, Egyptian statistics on fishing activities, including both fishing and aquaculture, were
presented and discussed.
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During the mission the Danish Economic Account for Agriculture was discussed. The latest EAA
was translated (Appendix 6).
3. Conclusions and recommendations
At the final day of the workshop, recommendations divided in short, medium and long term
perspective, was presented and discussed.
The recommendations are:
Short term:
•
Establish working group/committee between CAPMAS and Agricultural Ministry.
Regular meetings on data needs and surveys.
•
Sample surveys on the informal sector should be improved regarding intermediate
consumption and capital formation. It is recommended to be a survey on a continuous
basis.
•
Agricultural bulletins should be coordinated between the Agricultural Ministry and
CAPMAS. Compiling of statistical publications should be in CAPMAS.
•
A database for exchange and use of data between ministries of agriculture and fisheries
and CAPMAS should be established.
Medium term:
•
Regarding the large informal sector it is suggested to monitor a sample of “Model
holdings” intensely. Keep diary/logbooks of the activities, in order to get detailed
information on all economic activities, especially for subsistence farming.
•
The NA unit in CAPMAS should calculate an EAA. Economic Account for Agriculture.
•
Calculate agricultural capital, investment and depreciation on a regular basis, preferably
annual.
Long term:
•
Supply and Use table for agriculture and fishery.
•
License register in Fishery: With more information in the register the data could be used
for calculating Capital formation in fishery. Database for fisheries should be
administered by CAPMAS.
•
In a longer perspective compiling of statistics should be in CAPMAS and not in the
ministry or any other political influenced institutions. Statistics should be independent
from political decision makers.
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Terms of Reference
EG/07/AA/F106
Statistics Denmark, International Consulting
POT/-
Terms of Reference
for a short-term mission to the Central Agency for Mobilisation and
Statistics
On
Activity 5.1.9
Workshop on improving quality of agricultural production statistics used in
national accounts
Background
CAPMAS and Statistics Denmark with partners have established a fruitful
cooperation in the framework of Twinning. This twinning project is
EG/07/AA/F106.
This activity is part of component 5, Development of certain statistical areas in
the subcomponent dealing with the Development of National Accounts. The
objective for this component is development of National Accounts.
This activity will contribute to this objective and especially to the benchmark set
out in the contract: By the 18th month an action plan to improve the quality of
agricultural production statistics completed and new methodology drafted.
Purpose of the mission
The mission is a workshop where the MS and BC experts will hold a workshop
with the aim of improving agricultural production statistics used in national
accounts. The MS and BC experts will develop new methodology to be used in
practical applications.
The MS expert team will consist of NA expert and one expert on agricultural
production statistics.
Expected Results
An action plan to improve the quality of agricultural production statistics and
proposals for improvements
Activities
A tentative schedule for the mission is:
Sunday 21 February 2010
Introduction to CAPMAS and overall discussion on the activity with the RTA
Meeting with component leader and the relevant staff within CAPMAS
Determining the agenda for the mission
Presentation of Agricultural statistics in Denmark
Monday 22 February
Data sources for Agricultural statistics in Egypt
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Quality of data and validation
Tuesday 23 February
Production of agricultural statistics
Wednesday 24 February
Use of agricultural statistics in the national accounts
Thursday 25 February
Final discussions and clarifications jointly with CAPMAS and National accounts
Presentation of preliminary results and findings
Tasks to be done by CAPMAS to facilitate the mission
The beneficiary will arrange meetings with the relevant staff in CAPMAS.
Consultant and counterpart
The mission will be carried out jointly by:
Mr. Mads Kjeld Dissing, Statistics Denmark
And
Mr. Henrik Bolding Pedersen, Statistics Denmark
The beneficiary’s counterpart will be:
Ms. Awatef Hussein Emam Abou Gendy
And
Ms. Amani Khalil
Timing
The mission will be carried out during 21- 25 February 2010 in Cairo.
Report
A final report from the mission should be made available not later than two
weeks after the termination of the mission.
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Annex 2. Persons met
Activity 5.1.9
Workshop on improving quality of agricultural production statistics used in
national accounts
21-25/02/2010.
Participants from CAPMAS
1
Name
Ms. Amani Adel Khalil
Title
Senior Specialist, National accounts
2
3
Ms. Faysa Emam
Ms. Suzan Aly
Senior Specialist, National accounts
General Manager, National accounts
4
Ms. Naglaa Hassan
Third Statistician
5
Ms. Zeinab Mohamed El-Araby
Third Specialist
6
Ms. Eman Abbas
Second Specialist
7
Ms. Abdel Krim Ahmed
First Specialist
8
Ms. Sameah Fahmey
General manager of agriculture statistics
9
Ms. Omaema Omr
General department of agriculture statistics
10
Ms. Susan Fuad
General department of agriculture statistics
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12
Ms. Ms. Ghana Ibrahim
Mr. Mohamed Farid
Third specialist
Statistical Sector
Participants from outside CAPMAS
1
2
3
Name
Mr. Kamal El Araby
Mr. Qutb Salem
Ms. Amal Mahmoud
Title
U.N Advisor
U.N Advisor
Seiner specialist
Side
UN
UN
Ministry of Economic development
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Annex 3. Presentation on Agricultural Statistics in Denmark
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Annex 4. Presentation of National Account in Denmark
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Annex 5. Danish EAA
Attached separately.
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