May 12, 2012
Transcription
May 12, 2012
RENAULT GROUP INVESTOR DAY, TANGIERS May 22nd, 2012 22/05/2012 DISCLAIMER Information contained within this document may contain forward looking statements. Although the Company considers that such information and statements are based on reasonable assumptions taken on the date of this report, due to their nature, they can be risky and uncertain (as described in the Renault documentation registered within the French financial markets regulation authorities) and can lead to a difference between the exact figures and those given or deduced from said information and statements. Renault does not undertake to provide updates or revisions, should any new statements and information be available, should any new specific events occur or for any other reason. Renault makes no representation, declaration or warranty as regards the accuracy, sufficiency, adequacy, effectiveness and genuineness of any statements and information contained in this report. Further information on Renault can be found on Renault’s web site (www. Renault.com), in the section Finance / Regulated Information. 22/05/2012 2 Entry Program ENTRY PROGRAM, A COMPETITIVE ASSET Carlos TAVARES, COO 22/05/2012 ENTRY PROGRAM What are the roots of the success ? What is the secret recipe for worldwide success ? Where do we stand today ? Is this success sustainable ? 22/05/2012 4 ENTRY PROGRAM ROOTS: BACK IN 1999 22/05/2012 5 ENTRY PROGRAM ROOTS: CONFIRMED VISION BUT DIFFERENT IMPLEMENTATION PLAN IN 2000 Modern Dacia 1 Modern & robust brand derivative €5k entry-level price >700ku per year from 2010 Excl. Western European markets Pitesti 2011 RESULTS PLAN IN 2006 production base 22/05/2012 & robust Dacia & Renault brands 6 derivatives €7k to €8€ entry-level price >700ku per year by 2009 Worldwide commercialization Worldwide production base Modern & robust Dacia & Renault brands 7 derivatives €7k to €8k entry-level price up to €20k >800ku in 2011 Worldwide commercialization Worldwide base 6 production ENTRY PROGRAM ROOTS: TWO BRANDS 57% of 2011 Entry sales on the Renault Brand A regional brand in Europe + Euromed 22/05/2012 A new Renault car is affordable, safe, respectful of the environment and of perfect quality. Plus it’s an ingenious product that democratises new innovative technology. All passengers enjoy its convivial spaciousness and well-being. A Dacia car is a very affordable car to get and to use. It's 100% useful and generous with a unique level of roominess in its price range. It gives peace of mind by its simplicity to use and to maintain added to a high level of sturdiness and of unbeatable reliability. 7 ENTRY PROGRAM RECIPE FOR SUCCESS: PRODUCT The “right” level of vehicle content High carry-over to minimize investment Design to Cost Manufacturing to localization 22/05/2012 8 ENTRY PROGRAM RECIPE FOR SUCCESS: LOCALIZATION IN 2011 2011 Capacity 5000h Labor cost RUSSIA 160ku 2.3 (base 1 = Morocco) MOROCCO 75ku 1 ROMANIA 320ku 2 INDIA 65ku 1 COLOMBIA 71ku 3 BRAZIL 225ku 5 22/05/2012 S. AFRICA 50ku 1.5 9 ENTRY PROGRAM RECIPE FOR SUCCESS: BUSINESS MODEL DACIA BRAND = Smart-buy = 22/05/2012 • Low dealer margin • Low fixed marketing expenses (FME) • No variable marketing expenses (VME) 10 ENTRY PROGRAM RECIPE FOR SUCCESS: BUSINESS MODEL RENAULT BRAND OUTSIDE EUROPE: MID-RANGE PRICE POSITIONNING Q1 2012 700k RBL 22/05/2012 11 SANDERO GOL PALIO 25k BRL FIESTA SANDERO Retail Price POLO GRANTA RIO LOGAN AVEO NEXIA 200k RBL PRIORA LOGAN Retail Price 49k BRL ENTRY PROGRAM SITUATION: TOP 15 COUNTRIES (2011) Brazil Russia France Iran Argentina Germany Columbia Romania Italy Morocco Turkey Algeria Spain Belgium Ukraine 0 20 40 60 80 100 K Units 22/05/2012 12 120 140 ENTRY PROGRAM SITUATION: VOLUMES PER MODEL (2011) Duster 180ku Sandero 192ku 24% 22% Stepway 90ku 11% Logan 295ku 36% Van 11ku 1% MCV 39ku 5% Pick-up 5ku 1% 22/05/2012 13 ENTRY PROGRAM SALES EVOLUTION – GROWING TO 1M UNITS IN 2012 IN K UNITS ~1,000 814 687 510 535 2008 2009 367 248 145 23 2004 2005 2006 22/05/2012 2007 2010 14 2011 2012e ENTRY PROGRAM SITUATION: SOLID PROFITABILITY IN 2011 2011 18% unit sales growth achieved in 2011 Entry range achieving > 6% full cost COP in 2011 Good spread of profit by source by region & body style 2012 Capacity at the upper limit (Euromed-Africa, Eurasia and Americas) Regional roll out of Duster (Eurasia, Americas, Asia Pacific) Tangiers 170ku new capacity & 3 new body styles 2013 >+20% unit sales growth expected All new models replacing current line up (Sandero, Logan, Logan MCV) New capacity in Eurasia (AVTOVAZ) & Americas (Brazil) Continued growth 22/05/2012 15 SUSTAINABLE ENTRY PROGRAM : A NEED FOR CLEARER DIFFERENTIATION CLIO 3 SANDERO 22/05/2012 16 SUSTAINABLE ENTRY PROGRAM : THE NEXT PHASE OF R2016 DRIVE THE CHANGE Entry program outlook A “limited range” Further geographical extension Strict application of the Dacia business model rules Entry = >75% of units sales growth for the Renault Group 2010 – 2013 22/05/2012 17 ENTRY PROGRAM : DOESN’T ANSWER A-ENTRY FOR EMERGING MARKETS INDIAN MARKET MIX BY PRICE SEGMENT (TIV 2011: 2.4 m units) 30% of the Indian market under the Renault Entry range price capability RENAULT ENTRY RANGE Volume in ku 900 A ENTRY B HATCH B SEDAN 800 RENAULT C SEGMENT RENAULT D SEG KOLEOS FLUENCE DUSTER 700 LODGY 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 <2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16-18 18-20 Price in Lakhs 22/05/2012 18 20-22 22-24 >24 NEXT STEPS FOR THE ENTRY RANGE ARNAUD DEBOEUF, MO PROGRAM DIRECTOR 22/05/2012 2 CARS FOR 3 DIFFERENT TYPES OF CUSTOMERS Lodgy Entry ticket 3 variants = €0.5bn Full cost COP = Entry average Life cycle volumes = 1 m units o/w Lodgy 50% An affordable & roomy MPV for families Dokker An affordable and efficient combi 22/05/2012 Dokker van An affordable and efficient minivan 20 01 LODGY 22/05/2012 21 LODGY TARGET CUSTOMER PROFILE – EUROPE A “pragmatic and rational family” looking for a “responsible family tool” Family with 2 or more children living in a small city in house Often mono-motorized Average income Rejecting over consumption and trends Car is a necessity, a means of transport (price driven) Looking for having good time in family during long trips (holidays) Looking for space and comfort, roominess and storage 22/05/2012 22 LODGY USP AND PRODUCT PROOF USP 1 2 3 Product proof C-Segment size MPV for the price of a B-segment MPV Dacia entry price < 10 000 € Unique price/size ratio Interior design : modern, perceived quality improved, new Modern MPV with superior roominess and attractive interior design dashboard Roominess : best in class (3rd row) Boot Capacity : best in class Versatility simple and efficient 2/5/7 seats configuration Storages optimization Comfort for all : affordable technology ( touch-screen 7” Easy to use and comfort for the price GPS), NVH, park assist, speed limiter,… • Reliability • Sturdiness • Durability Dacia Fundamentals 22/05/2012 23 LODGY MARKET COVERAGE Lodgy an international project Tangier plant (Morocco) covering many destinations Volumes Volumes (Tangier (Tangier plant) plant) >> 80.000 80.000 veh. veh. in in 2013 2013 Europe: Europe: 92% 92% of of sales sales Morocco (Tangier) plant SOS Apr’12 _________________________ Dacia badging for Europe & Euromed + Africa markets with Renault badging America under study Asia under study ____________________ ___________________ Renault badging Brazil Argentina Renault badging India Indonesia 22/05/2012 24 DOKKER - TARGET CUSTOMER PROFILE - EUROMED « THE SMALL COMPANY OWNER WITH A MIXED USAGE » (work and family) • Craftsmen, storekeepers, small business owners • Not very faithful, buy more than average second-hand vehicle • Small fleet (2-3) • Urban, Intensive, frequent mixed usage • Buy the cheapest that satisfies needs: load dimensions, payload, accessibility, sturdiness & versatility (work & family) • Choice criteria: Load dimensions, Price/tax system, Consumption, Reliability/durability 22/05/2012 25 DOKKER - USP AND PRODUCT PROOF Product proof USP - Boot capacity : 800 L - best capacity on the market - up to 3 m3 - Boot Load length : 1.160 mm (BIC) - Sliding doors opening width: 703 mm-BIC - Versatility : pocket folding seats + flat floor Load dimensions (mixed usage) - The less expensive 3 m3 combi =>Entry price < 10.000€ - A 3m3 combi at the same price as 2,5 m3 Price Basics - K9K 75 hp and 90 hp: 118 g CO2 - H5Ft 145 g CO2 – Gazoline BIC Consumption - Renault LCV requirements for Body and Underbody (300.000 km) Reliability 22/05/2012 26 DOKKER VAN - TARGET CUSTOMER PROFILE – EUROPE / EUROMED « THE CONSTRAINED CRAFTSMAN » looking for a practical and affordable tool • Craftsmen, storekeepers, small business owners • Not very faithful, buy more than average second-hand vehicle • Small fleet (1 to 4 LCV) with intensive usage • Buy the cheapest that satisfies needs: load dimensions, payload, accessibility, sturdiness & road-handling • Choice criteria: Load dimensions, Price, Consumption, Reliability/durability 22/05/2012 27 DOKKER VAN - USP AND PRODUCT PROOF Product proof USP - 3.3 m3 up to 3.9 m3 - BIC - Load length 1900 mm up to 3050 mm Sliding doors opening width: 703 mm - BIC - Payload 750kg - BIC with New Doblo Load dimensions - The less expensive “3 m3” => Entry price < 8.000€ - 3m3 at the price of 2.5 m3 Price Basics - K9K 75 hp and 90 hp: 118 g - H5Ft 145 g Consumption - Renault LCV requirements for Body and Underbody (300.000 km) Reliability 22/05/2012 28 02 LOGAN & SANDERO RENEWAL 22/05/2012 29 X52 IS LIKE LOGAN… Low cost Same cost but with new regulations (ESP, Euro 5, EuroNCAP new rating ...), design improvement and basic feature increase (CO2, NVH ...) Roomy 3 adults at the rear with their luggage: large rear bench, rear knee radius and rear height under roof + 510 l boot. Reliable and robust « robust » styling, high ground clearance, warranty Entry ticket management X52 = new Logan B = hatch L = sedan R = estate -40% L/B/R52 vs. L/B/R90 in Romania 22/05/2012 30 … BUT X52 IS MORE THAN LOGAN FOR THE SAME PRICE Global design from the beginning to adapt to local requests: RHD, gradewalk (chrome, colour ...), feature offer (speed limiter, Medianav ..) is increased to fit to customer request. Enhanced exterior styling “My car indicates my social status. Other people don’t know anything about me, but my car can help them to create an image of me” Robust and roomy + Modern and statutory Enhanced interior styling Instrument panel, trims, colours for modernity Improved Total Cost of Ownership Up to date engines, maintenance plan and resale value. Improved NVH 22/05/2012 31 MANUFACTURING COST LOGAN Enrichment Purchasing negotiation Added value Regulatory cost Design to cost Raw materials CURRENT LOGAN NEW LOGAN 22/05/2012 32 03 KNOW-HOW 22/05/2012 33 RIGHT SIZING Product definition 3 principles: Price is set upstream as a « must be » whatever the product planning demands FEW clear and focused USP + Brand basics, that’s all ! Every feature costs lower than its value. Keeping in mind International before Europe (Local usage, regulations ...) 22/05/2012 34 FULL BUSINESS MODEL: ALL COSTS UNDER PRESSURE 100%Average Project Commercial expenses Powertrain depreciation 75% Other Entry ticket depreciation 50% Warranty Transportation 25% Production costs Outsourced parts & powertrain 0% CURRENT LOGAN 22/05/2012 CLIO 2 35 CARRY-OVER MPV: lateral doors, tailgate, longer, lower Hatch Legend: Lodgy specific Dokker specific Common parts Combi: sliding door, rear doors, higher, shorter Asymmetrical doors 1,814 m 1,682 m 13,2 cm Sliding doors (without roof rail) (5 seats, without roof rail) 4,363 m 4,498 m 13,5 cm 22/05/2012 36 CARRY OVER: REAR AND FRONT AXLE Strong front and rear axles for all uses: Rear axle from Kangoo Advantages: comfort, robustness, improved load width Front axle from current Logan MCV Advantages: costs, robustness, implementing the Logan know-how 22/05/2012 37 DESIGN TO COST carry-over new parts NEW LOGAN LOGAN 22/05/2012 38 EUROMED-AFRICA REGION JEAN-CHRISTOPHE KUGLER, CHAIRMAN EUROMED-AFRICA REGION 22/05/2012 EUROMED-AFRICA IN 2011 : A VERY SPECIFIC REGION… TIV : 2.3 m (3.1% global TIV in 2011) SALES : 346 ku (12.7% Group sales) MANUFACTURING : 698 ku (26% of the Group total) EMPLOYEES : 28.5 k (22% of the Group total) MAIN MARKETS : Tier 1 : Turkey, Algeria, Morocco, Romania, Tier 2 : Overseas French departments, South Africa, Tunisia, Egypt Tier 3 : Bulgaria, Libya, Nigeria, other African countries 22/05/2012 40 2011 SALES 346 ku sold in 2011 (+12.5% vs +7.5% for TIV) Group M/S: 14.8% 245k 71% 101 k 29% Top 5 selling models in the region K units in 2011 Symbol (sedan) 74 Logan (sedan) 65 Fluence (sedan) 36 Kangoo (PC+LCV) 36 Duster (SUV) 29 22/05/2012 41 RENAULT BRAND IS LEADER IN THE REGION SALES PER BRAND IN THE REGION Brand Units in 2011 * Renault 211 Ford 157 Fiat 142 VW 122 Hyundai 108 Dacia 97 Peugeot 90 Toyota 74 Opel 63 Chevrolet 55 * Euromed excl. Africa 22/05/2012 42 EUROMED-AFRICA REGION : LEADING COMMERCIAL POSITIONS ROMANIA 39,600 37.3% Country Unit sales in 2011 M/S % in 2011 2 1 BULGARIA 3,100 14.0% 3 2 1 3 MOROCCO TURKEY 41,500 37.0% 2 1 141,000 16.3% 3 2 1 3 ALGERIA 75,000 25.3% 2 1 S. AFRICA 10,500 2.3% 3 22/05/2012 43 EUROMED-AFRICA : A CENTRAL KEY POSITION FOR THE GROUP A complex flow management (plants, suppliers, markets, Alliance) 70% of the production exported Sales: 83% “made in the region” EUROPE EURASIA 15% 1% 61% 70% 83% 83% 30% EUROMEDEUROMED AFRICA 8% ASIA-AFRICA ASIA-PACIFIC ASIA-AFRICA 2% AMERICAS ASIA-AFRICA Production (CBU) % (from Euromed to ) Sales % in Euromed (from ) CKD main flows from Euromed to 22/05/2012 44 INDUSTRIAL / MANUFACTURING Models manufactured : 3 « blockbusters » Pitesti DUSTER 168 ku CLIO III 95 ku Bursa SYMBOL 83 ku Tangier Casablanca 2002 – 2011 : manufacturing volumes in ku 686 516 563 698 615 439 362 Rosslyn 292 158 2002 205 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 22/05/2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 45 Pitesti INDUSTRIAL / MANUFACTURING Bursa Vehicles (Bursa, Casablanca, Pitesti) : Tangier Casablanca 698 ku new cars (without Tangier) + Rosslyn Nissan plant Parts : 512 ku engines 868 ku gearboxes + miscellaneous (engine subframes…) Rosslyn 2014 manufacturing capacity over 1.1 Million (harbour base) 22/05/2012 46 ENGINEERING & DESIGN – 2,500 EMPLOYEES Renault Technological Romania Renault Design Central Europe Titu prototype track (Romania) 22/05/2012 47 COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES Ro ma ni a M or oc co ey Tu rk Ru ss ia Po rtu ga l Sl ov en ia az il Br Sp ain Ko re a S. Fr an ce Labour cost Local supplier integration (53% -> 70%) Region’s master engineering center localized in Romania Strong relationships with local authorities 83% of Euromed sales manufactured in Euromed-Africa factories 22/05/2012 48 Renault Group in Morocco Tangiers Project MICHEL FAIVRE-DUBOZ RENAULT MOROCCO DIRECTOR 22/05/2012 01 RENAULT GROUP IN MOROCCO 22/05/2012 50 MOROCCO: KEY FIGURES Population: 33 million inhabitants, 55% urban GDP: $92bn (Algeria: $159bn, Egypt: $217bn, Turkey: $729bn) Growth Rate average: + 6.5% (2011: 4.5%) Unemployment Rate: 9.1% overall, 14% in urban areas Minimum Wage: 10,64 MAD/h ~ 1€ (10% increase as per July 2011) Average Moroccan salary: 4000 MAD/month (~ 360 €/month) Illiteracy: 7% in urban areas, > 30% in rural areas Currency exchange rate : 11.2 MAD for 1€ 22/05/2012 51 RENAULT IN MOROCCO Renault’s presence dates back to 1928 head account : 5,600 in 2011 9,000 by 2014 (Tangiers growth) Somaca (1962) 1 branch, 19 Dealers M/S: 37% in 2011, 42% in April 2012 Tangiers (2012) Dacia 1st Brand, Renault: 2nd Brand 22/05/2012 52 02 TANGIERS PROJECT 22/05/2012 53 TANGIERS, A STRATEGIC CHOICE Tangiers locations in the Gibraltar straight 14 KMS 14 km from the Spainish coast 1.5 days by boat from France Tanger-Med free zone port 40 kms from Tangier, one of the most important container ports in the world Direct access from the plant by train 22/05/2012 54 A STRATEGIC SITUATION WITH STRONG ADVANTAGES Melloussa Free Zone (30 km from Tangier Parts localization / nearby suppliers Competitive wages Med port) 22/05/2012 55 Tanger Med port facilities (export) TANGIER PLANT : A GREAT PROJECT Production capacity 340 000 Veh/y Investment 1 160 M€ Employment created * Surface > 6,000 in plant + 30,000 indirectly 280 Ha New « low cost » production site creation New product launches, mainly for exportation Moroccan automotive suppliers development * Plant revenues will amount around ~ 10% of total Moroccan exports (2011) 22/05/2012 56 TANGIERS PLANT : A GREAT PROJECT First green field plant for the Renault Group since Brazil in the 90’s Manufacturing cost <400€/unit excl. depreciation 4,800 blue collar employees 1,470 white collar employees Training center inaugurated in March 2011 First automotive plant carbon free and « zero industrial water waste » Supplier base in development 3 new vehicles bodies on the Entry platform Alliance Production Way Same level of competitiveness as Pitesti (Romania) 22/05/2012 57 FINANCING SCHEME CDG Renault SAS 47.6% 52.4% RTM (Assets) Assets (capacity investments, tools, engineering) structure 22/05/2012 Rent 100% RTE (Operations) Operations structure 58 INDUSTRIAL SCHEME : A FULL VEHICLE PRODUCTION PLANT > 2,500 employees in March 2012 Stamping shop Body shop Components (internal & external) Paint shop Trim shop Coils of Steel Production capacity ≈ 30 jph in 2012/13, ≈ 60 jph end of 2013 Alliance Production Way 22/05/2012 59 ENTRY TICKET REDUCTION THROUGH CARRY OVER Carry over savings achieved mainly for the 3 lines of the stamping shop Example Line 01 from Sandouville (in activity since 1975) 22/05/2012 60 PLANT SCHEME Reserved for Nissan Phase 1 30 vh/h (2011) Phase 2 60 vh/h (2013) 22/05/2012 61 UPSTREAM FLOW Spain Italy Portugal France / Germany Great Britain Algesiras Port Romania ILN Turkey ILN West EUROPE 15 trucks / day TANGER Free Zone suppliers (30 kms) Long distance flows 13 containers/ day 52 trucks / day Tétouan (30 kms) Casablanca (400 kms) 22/05/2012 62 ILN/PCC India, China, Thaïland, South Korea DOWN STREAM FLOW Finland Port Importation center Direct distribution Norway Swed en Estoni a Lettonie Denmark Litva ZEEBRUGGE (4w) German y Tche LE HAVRE (3w) Fran ceSETE (2,2w) KOPER (6w) Poland Slovaki a HungarRomania y LIVOURNE (5w) Spain Portugal BARCELONA (1,5w) Italy Turkey GEMLICK (7,5w) train Plant Tanger Med Weekly departures 22/05/2012 63 A LOCAL SUPPLIER BASE…. Morocco Number of Suppliers Buy % 18 48% TANGIER 8 Greenfields 3 Brownfields 1 SOMACA supplier KENITRA 1 Greenfield CASABLANCA 1 Brownfield 4 SOMACA suppliers 22/05/2012 64 … THAT WILL RAMP UP Local integration = 48% at SOP, excluding powertrain and in-house manufactured parts (seats, axles and exhaust system assembly, bumpers paint etc.). 25% 18% 25% HCC LCC MOROCCO 27% 48% 2012 VISIBILITY 22/05/2012 57% 2015 OBJECTIVE 65 PROJECT PLANNING 2008 Master agreement 2009 Financial crisis First stone 22/05/2012 2010 First rod 2011 IFMIA, first car 66 2012 Inauguration Production start OVERVIEW Spain Gibraltar straight Renault Nissan Tangiers Plant 22/05/2012 67 LODGY MANUFACTURING APPROVAL January 27th 2012 22/05/2012 68 DOKKER VAN 22/05/2012 69 DOKKER 22/05/2012 70