Current Landscape and Future State of UCaaS Clark Peterson

Transcription

Current Landscape and Future State of UCaaS Clark Peterson
Current Landscape and Future State of UCaaS
Clark Peterson
President, Business Solutions Group
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What is UCaaS?
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Unified Communications & Collaboration
Traditional UC
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Collaboration
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The UCaaS Market is Large and Growing Quickly
Cloud PBX Replacement Spend
$14B
$3B
2015
< 100 seats
29%
CAGR
2021
> 100 seats
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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Current Market Share
Hosted IP telephony and UCC services will
grow from 8% of total business telephony users in 2015 to 28% by 2021
8%
28%
2015
Potential Users
Hosted
28%
2021
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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Consistent and Strong Growth Projections for Both UCaaS and UCaaS/Access
Revenue without Access
$14B
Installed base and revenues will grow at a
steady pace throughout the forecast period,
with no major inflection points.
$3B
Revenue with Access
Installed Users
42M
$21B
$5B
11M
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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Market Overview – Segmentation by Type of Access
Approximately 1/3 of all installed
users receive services over the top
Managed Bandwith
Over the Top/BYOB
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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Market Overview – Segmentation by Customer Size
About 80% of installed users are in
businesses of up to 500 employees
Businesses with up to 50 users
Businesses between 50 and 500 users
Businesses with more than 500 users
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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Hosted vs. On-Premise Growth/Decline
Total Cloud-Based Telephony Spend
CAGR 2014-2019
SoHo
Small Business
Total Premise-Based Telephony
CAGR 2014-2019
Midsize Enterprise
Larger Enterprise
40.0%
34.8%
30.0%
20.9%
20.0%
12.8%
10.0%
4.0%
0.0%
-3.5%
-6.6%
-10.0%
-10.7%
-14.3%
-20.0%
Source: Gartner Inc.
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Growth by UCaaS Products
70
% of Adoption
60
50
IP Telephony
Video Conferencing
Web Conferencing
IM
Email/Calendar
40
30
20
10
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
Source : Nemertes 2015
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UCaaS Concerns and Barriers to Growth
67%
55%
Maintain Full Control
Security Risk
49%
46%
Tighter Integration
Higher Total Cost
of Ownership
Source: Frost and Sullivan
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UCaaS - Who Are the Players?
2014 Proforma for Acquisitions
2013
Total Revenue: $2.39B
Total Revenue: $1.59B
Vonage 6.6%
Public UCC Co 7.0%
7.6%
Public UCC Co 5.4%
Others 51.8%
6.8%
Public Tel Co 4.6%
4.6%
Public UC Co 3.3%
4.1%
Public UCC Co 3.3%
3.9%
62.8%
3.9%
Private UCC Co 2.8%
Private UC Co 2.5%
3.3%
3.0%
Private UCC Co 2.1%
Private UCC Co 2.0%
Public Cable Co 1.8%
Private UCC Co 1.5%
Source: Frost and Sullivan; represents total Hosted IP Telephony and UCC
Services market % revenue breakdown for North America (without access)
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Private UCC Co 1.6%
Private UCC Co 1.8%
Private UCC Co 1.8%
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The Future of UCaaS
•
What’s Hype?
•
What’s Real?
•
What are the Key Drivers of the Future of UCaaS?
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The Future – Gartner’s “Hype” Cycle
Source: Gartner Inc.
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The Future of UCaaS
Key Drivers of the Future of UCaaS
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Content Becomes Centralized – The Cloud
Mobile First
BYOD movement
Big Broadband with QoS everywhere
Internet of Things
Voice Integration with Cloud SaaS
WebRTC
Vonage as a key leader defining the future of UCaaS
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Millennials are Now the Largest, Most Diverse Generation in the U.S.
Source: US Census Bureau
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Millennials as the Workforce
• Currently make up almost 40% of the workforce; that will increase to 75% by 2025
• 56% won’t work for a company that bans social media access
• 65% say losing their phone or PC would impact their lives more than losing their car
• 69% believe office attendance on a regular basis is unnecessary
• Average job tenure of 2 years vs. 5 years for Gen X and 7 years for Baby Boomers
• 46% want to start a business in the next 5 years
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Technology is Driving Business Transformation
Globalization
Data Explosion
Rise of Mobility
Internet saturation
growing at 8%
annually
4300% data
generation
increase by 2020
Smartphone
Shipments to top
1B annually by 2016
Social is
Business
Modernize to
Survive
13+ million
business
pages on Facebook
Productivity costs
Up 70-75% w/
legacy within
7years
Source: United Nations/International Telecommunications Union, internetworldstats.com, IDC/EMC 2011 Digital Universe Study,
2010 Digital Universe Decade Study, Data revolution Sept 2011, CSC’s Leading Edge Forum Portio Research Mobile Facebook 2012
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How the Times Have Changed
IT TOOK TELECOM
75 Years
IT TOOK CANDY CRUSH
1 Year
TO REACH
TO REACH
100M
100M
USERS
USERS
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Content Becomes Centralized – The Cloud
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Investment in the Cloud
45 Price Cuts
in 6 Years
Free Storage
with O365
Photos
Free
Spending
1.1 Billion
on Data
Centers
Spending
up 24% to
Run Cloud
Spent $2.35B
on
Infrastructure
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The Race to Zero
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Mobile First
• 2014 Inflexion Point –
At the end of 2014 the number of mobile-connected
Devices exceeded the world’s population
Devices/Humans
• Mobile-only offices
• UCaaS over VoLTE IP data world
• Tech leaders MVNO’s about data
• Integration of millions of Wi-Fi
hotspots and cell networks
Source: GSMA Intelligence/gizmodo.com
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BYOD
Percentage of businesses
• Only 5% Not planning for BYOD, this
ship has sailed
6%
5%
13%
• Enterprise Mobility Management
growth driven by a BYOD business
ecosystem
76%
Currently Support
• Collaboration between all apps on that
Planning to Support, Next 12 Months
mobile device becomes an opportunity
Considering, But No Specific Timeframe
Not Planning to Support
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Bridging Work and Home - BYOD
We All Have Digital Lifestyles Today
At Home
At Work On the Go
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Enterprises are “Consumerizing” Their Business
UC
Corporate
Productivity
mBank
Customer
Engagement
BYOD
mAuto
SaaS
mHealth
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Bandwidth is the new oil. But what does it fuel?
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“Ports” Have Changed
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Big Broadband with QoS Everywhere
• Bandwidth needs are going UP, shared broadband costs are coming down
• Private circuits and core NNIs still provide best quality and privacy guarantees and may
remain the first choice for mid and larger enterprises
• Technology to leverage two broadband connections to deliver true QoS
• Integration of millions of Wi-Fi hotspots with cellular, LTE, FMC - Wireless ubiquity
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Internet of Things
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It’s Not Just About People | Intelligent Device Interaction
New revenue opportunities and new
channels of interactions with
customers
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Global Internet Device Installed Base Forecast
• Widely-deployed WiFi, LTE, Big
Broadband connectivity enables
IoT growth
• Connected devices will grow
from $6B to $41B in 2020
• Gartner predicts incremental IoT
revenues of $300B in 2020
• How many newly-connected
devices will also need a voice?
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WebRTC
WebRTC on >6B Devices by 2019
• Look Ma, No App!
Million WebRTC devices, year-end
• The ability for any IP-connected device
with a browser to have a voice
• Operational readiness and support still
have work to be done
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Voice Integration with Cloud
• APIs, APIs, APIs…
• Make it simple to use the UCaaS applications by living in the customer’s ecosystem
• Extends the reach of the service provider into the desktop – opportunity to manage the LAN
• Vonage acquisition of GUnify
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UCaaS is a Space Looking For a Leader
Vonage
Visionary
2015 Gartner Magic Quadrant
• 36% 3Q 2015 organic revenue growth
• 514,000 business seats
• Over 30% of Vonage Business
revenue are customers over 50 seats
• Leading sales distribution platform
over multiple channles
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#1 BroadSoft-based
service provider
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Vonage Business Go-to-Market Strategy
Channel
Telesales
Product
&
Platform
Online
Indirect Channel
Vonage Essentials
Proprietary call processing platform
purpose built for SMBs
Enterprise Direct
Vonage Premier
BroadSoft-based enterprise-grade call
processing platform tailor made for midmarket and enterprise
The right platform and products to
serve customers from SMB to midmarket to enterprise
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Conclusion
• UCaaS will experience dramatic growth over next 6 years
• Millennials will be a driving force in the acceleration of UCaaS growth over decades
• Content will continue to centralize in the Cloud as data storage costs fall and wireline and
wireless access become larger and ubiquitous
• Collaboration between devices, apps, IoT, CRM’s create powerful new solutions
• Mobility and BYOD will change the game and bridge the business and personal spheres
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“The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be”
–Yogi Berra
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