mexico`s natural gas infrastructure
Transcription
mexico`s natural gas infrastructure
MEXICO’S NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE Texas to Mexico Natural Gas Exports Congress Brandon Blaylock Houston, TX., October 29, 2015 Industrial Organization of Natural Gas Ministry of Energy § Issue permits for activities of natural gas processing. Energy Regulatory Commission § Issue permits for activities of: o Storage o Transport o Distribution o Liquefaction National Center of Natural Gas § Public agency responsible for managing, coordinating and controlling the network of pipelines and storage of natural gas in the country. o Regasification o Compression o Decompression o First hand sales o Commercialization Permit holders who provide transportation services and distribution through pipelines and storage of natural gas to third parties, will have the obligation to provide open access, subject to the existence of available capacity in their systems, upon payment of the fee authorized and subject to the conditions of service provision established by the CRE. With the reform, Pemex becomes a simple producer of natural gas (along with private industry). Source: XXXXXX |2 Mexico’s Midstream Natural Gas Scheme Previous to the Reform Pemex the only producer Pemex the only seller: Pemex the only importer Private Electricity Generation CFE Distributors Industry Principal Problems: Pemex manages the national gas pipeline system. There are no incentives to improve transport infrastructure. There is no effective open access. § Supply of molecule with transport (bundled). § No storage services. § Little chance to negotiate contract conditions. § Users do not own transport capacity they use. Source: XXXXXX |3 Mexico’s Midstream Natural Gas Scheme Actual Scheme Production Private Sector Transport Segregation of duties Comercialization and Imports Private Sector Independent manager of the Transport Infrastructure by CENAGAS: § Responsible for the operation (and maintenance) of the national system of gas pipelines and storage. § Manage infrastructure and service contracts that Pemex will transfer. § Provide access and reserve capacity for producers, traders and consumers. § Make tenders for strategic gas pipelines. Private Sector Final Users Private Sector Actual Natural Gas System 5,634 mi |4 Natural Gas Production and Imports Natural Gas Production + Imports mcfd Production 8,000 Natural Gas Sales (without Pemex internal consumption) mcfd Imports Industrial Distribution (domestic, small industry) CFE Private Generation 4,000 6,000 3,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Natural Gas Imports mcfd Baja California Sonora Chihuahua 0 2005 2006 2007 Baja California: 2014 - 0% Nuevo León Tamaulipas Colima Sonora: 2014 - 3% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Chihuahua: 2014 - 20% 1,357.8 1,289.7 Nuevo León: 2014 - 30% 1,089.3 Tamaulipas: 2014 - 39% 790.8 480.4 450.9 2005 2006 447.1 422.0 385.6 2007 2008 2009 535.8 2010 2011 Source: Mexico’s Energy Information System (SIE). 2012 2013 2014 Colima: 2014 - 8% (LNG) |5 New Gas Infrastructure: Already built or in construction Los Algodones Tucson Sásabe Waha San Isidro Samalayuca Pto. Libertad Ojinaga 2,560 mi El Encino Guaymas Agua Dulce El Oro Frontera La Laguna Topolobampo Los Ramones Durango Mazatlán Zacatecas Aguascalientes V. Reyes Naranjos Tamazunchale Guadalajara Apaseo el Alto Tula Tuxpan Morelos Lázaro Cárdenas Jáltipan Mayakán Salina Cruz Source: Five year Plan, 2015-2019. |6 New Gas Infrastructure: New Pipelines to be Awarded (Five Year Plan) Los Algodones Tucson Sásabe Waha San Isidro Samalayuca Pto. Libertad Ojinaga 3,216 mi El Encino Guaymas Colombia Agua Dulce El Oro Frontera La Laguna Brownsville/ Matamoros Los Ramones Topolobampo Escobedo Durango Mazatlán Altamira Zacatecas Aguascalientes V. Reyes Naranjos Tamazunchale Guadalajara Apaseo el Alto Tula Tuxpan Cempoala Morelos Lázaro Cárdenas Jáltipan Mayakán Acapulco Salina Cruz Tapachula Source: Five year Plan, 2015-2019. |7 Forecast of Natural Gas Imports Forecast of Natural Gas Imports mcfd Los Algodones Tucson Sásabe Waha San Isidro Samalayuca Pto. Libertad Ojinaga 6,000 5,800 El Encino Guaymas Colombia Agua Dulce 5,600 El Oro Frontera Brownsville/ Matamoros Los Ramones La Laguna Topolobampo 5,400 Escobedo Durango 5,200 Mazatlán Altamira Zacatecas 5,000 Aguascalientes V. Reyes Naranjos Tamazunchale 4,800 Guadalajara Apaseo el Alto 4,600 Tula Tuxpan Cempoala Morelos 4,400 Lázaro Cárdenas 4,200 Jáltipan Mayakán Acapulco Salina Cruz 4,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Tapachula § The ability to import natural gas by pipeline from the United States is saturated right now. § Imports will increase as the construction of new interconnection pipelines are complete. § The Ministry of Energy predicts an import of over 5.5 bcfd for 2027. Source: Ministry of Energy (2013). |8 Investment Opportunities The EXI Fund sees the next areas as investment opportunities in the Natural Gas market in Mexico: A. New distribution zones for homes and businesses. B. “Last mile” pipelines for the industry sector. C. “Sales and lease back” of pipelines in operation. D. Underground storage. E. Opportunities provided by the new FIBRA E instrument (MLP). |9 Contact: Brandon Blaylock, [email protected] Gerardo Colosio, [email protected] www.mexicoinfra.com
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