Title of Presentation
Transcription
Title of Presentation
Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Pilot Butte Inn, corner of Wall St. and Newport Ave. Ron Ross, CCIM Minnesota Ave. circa 1982 Ron Ross, CCIM Pole Pedal Paddle team circa 1985 “Ruegg’s Zipper Rippers and Hefty Hippers” Ron Ross, CCIM “Deschutes County’s rapid growth 64th in nation” “Census shows the secret out about Central Oregon” “Home sales robust in Central Oregon” “Job growth surprisingly strong” “Things are hopping in Old Mill District” “High Desert calls to companies like ISky” “Prices rocket incomes stall” “Bend, Oregon isn’t just a city. It’s a state of mind” “Deschutes County is a hot bed for high tech growth in the last few years” “We have matured out of the boom/bust cycle” Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM BEND HOME Average Price $450,000 $426,044 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $238,186 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 Home Price Ron Ross, CCIM BEND LOT Average Price $300,000 $278,403 $275,000 $250,000 $225,000 $200,000 $175,000 $150,000 $125,000 $97,883 $100,000 $75,000 $50,000 $25,000 $0 Lot Price Ron Ross, CCIM BEND APARTMENTS Average Rent $650 $632 $615 $600 $550 $500 $450 $400 Rent for 2 Bedroom… Ron Ross, CCIM BEND SINGLE FAMILY HOME Average Rent $1,300 $1,250 $1,231 $1,200 $1,150 $1,100 $1,050 $1,012 $1,000 $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $727 $650 Rent Single Family Home Ron Ross, CCIM Year Price/Income Mortgage Payment/Income 1990 2.60 21% 2000 3.65 23% 2007 6.66 39% 2010 3.64 26% 2012 3.45 18% Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Rents Vacancy Rates Bend Office 21.6% Bend Retail 9.0% Bend Industrial 14.5% Redmond Industrial 24.2% Bend Apartments 4.1% Rents off 40-50% from peak Ron Ross, CCIM 2007 NOI = $100,000 CAP Rate = 6% Value = $1,666,667 2012 $60,000 8.5% $705,882 % Change = (-57.7%) Ron Ross, CCIM CAP Rate = Example: CAP Rate of 10% = Purchase Price Net Operating Income $1,000,000 $100,000 Ron Ross, CCIM I. Income Current rent roll (if credible, look for recent increases that maybe are not yet seasoned) II. Vacancy 5% is widely accepted III. Expenses Ratio of 35%-45% of gross operating income- could be higher in some cases a) Property taxes b) Insurance — $150 per door is average c) Utilities & garbage — $400 to $500 per unit d) Repairs and maintenance- $500 per door stabilized e) Management and Admin. — 8-12% of GOI f) Reserves — 2-3% Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Ron Ross, CCIM Long Term Investment Horizon Be Cautious with Leverage Diversify Ron Ross, CCIM Buy Low Sell High Ron Ross, CCIM Buy a Home Down payment 2007 $85,208 TODAY $46,637 Monthly payment $1,935 $910 Ron Ross, CCIM Buy a building for your business Ron Ross, CCIM Buy land Ron Ross, CCIM Empire Village Condos $5,900,000 Mill Point Building 7000 $3,876,000 Mt. Bachelor Park & Ride $2,500,000 East Empire Industrial Park $5,500,000 Dorn Property $2,600,000 Highland Marketplace $2,325,000 Deschutes Ridge $5,155,000 Tuscan Square $2,575,000 Penny Galleria $2,060,000 1567 SW Chandler Ave. $1,825,000 NewportLandingSubdivision $1,425,000 Redmond Design Center $1,400,000 High Desert Sleep Center $1,975,000 Mercato Site $1,425,000 Pioneer Park Building $1,327,000 Columbia River Bank Bldg. $1,550,000