“A medio camino de un buen clima laboral

Transcription

“A medio camino de un buen clima laboral
Peruvian Fish meal Update
September, 2015 Quotas per year (in million MT)
Industrial landings
(leading countries)
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
2006
PERU
2007
CHILE NORTH
2008
CHILE SOUTH
Source: Holterman
2009
MENHADEN
2010
2011
ICELAND
DENMARK
2012
NORWAY
2013
FAROE ISLANDS
2014
UK
IRELAND
2015e
Peru: Quotas per year (Million Tons)
Peruvian Anchovy, a success story
Peruvian Anchovy, a success story
Effect of El Niño on Peruvian Fisheries
EN 65-66
EN 72EN 68- 73
69
EN 82-83
EN 86-87-88
EN 9192
EN 97-98
EN
Modoki
02-03
EN
Modoki
2010
A Clean and sustainable Industry Total Oil and Fat in Effluents
Environmental Investments
Peruvian Fishmeal: A Clean Industry CHIMBOTE EFFLUENT
PISCO effluent
TASA Effluents Treatment System
Domestic Wastewater Treatment
3,000 m2 of green areas in our plants incorporated
Energy consumption has decreased
*Up to July
Energy consumption has decreased 15% from 2007‐2014
Anchovy Landings (in MT and %) Period: Jan – Sep 2015
Fishmeal and Fish Oil Production (in MT) Period Jan–Sep, 2015
Peruvian Fishmeal exports:
43 countries
Usage of Fishmeal
Per Market
Source IFFO
Per specie in aquaculture
Peruvian Fishmeal Exports by destination (Tons)
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Others
2007
46,679
2008
68,452
2009
45,685
2010
39,624
2011
32,081
2012
58,384
2013
23,000
2014
44,831
Set 2015
15,661
Chile
6,473
29,315
5,525
39,953
50,250
51,098
54,108
71,936
15,689
Asia ex China 203,668
304,350
282,275
210,509
215,244
250,382
97,224
153,325
48,692
Europa
241,527
330,231
451,360
238,683
233,632
287,941
139,329
138,836
20,352
China
376,449
832,361
753,131
554,453
754,751
681,312
536,961
446,603
335,142
Peruvian Fishmeal Exports by destination ShareonPeruvianExports
5%
1%
23%
28%
43%
2007
4%
2%
19%
21%
53%
2008
3%
0%
18%
29%
4%
4%
19%
22%
2%
4%
4%
4%
17%
19%
16%
18%
22%
49%
59%
51%
2009
2010
2011
2012
Europa
Asia ex China
5%
8%
18%
4%
4%
11%
5%
16%
51%
China
3%
6%
11%
Chile
63%
2013
Otros
77%
52%
2014
Set 2015
European Market Demand / Supply Balance
Peruvian Exports to Europe (Tons)
Fishmeal
Fish Oil
2007
241,527
2008
330,231
2009
451,360
2010
238,683
2011
233,632
2012
287,941
2013
139,329
2014
138,836
2007
166,247
2008
134,690
2009
165,512
2010
104,341
2011
111,691
2012
184,285
2013
66,704
2014
80,174
Peru Exports by Country:
China
(Tons)
1,000,000
500,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set
2015
ShareonPeruvianExports
77%
43%
2007
53%
49%
51%
2008
2009
2010
59%
2011
63%
51%
2012
2013
52%
2014
Set 2015
Peru Fishmeal Exports :
Europe
(Tons)
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set
2015
ShareonPeruvianExports
29%
28%
22%
21%
18%
22%
16%
16%
5%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set 2015
Peru Fishmeal Exports:
Asia (ex China)
(Tons)
400,000
200,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set
2015
ShareonPeruvianExports
23%
19%
18%
19%
17%
19%
18%
11%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
11%
2014
Set 2015
Peru Exports by Country:
Chile
(Tons)
100,000
50,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set
2015
ShareonPeruvianExports
8%
6%
4%
4%
4%
4%
2%
1%
2007
0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set 2015
Peru Fishmeal Exports: Others
(Tons)
100,000
50,000
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Set
2015
ShareonPeruvianExports
5%
3%
2007
2008
5%
4%
4%
2009
4%
4%
2%
2010
2011
3%
2012
2013
2014
Set 2015
Peruvian Fishmeal Exports to China: Jan – August 2015 (Tons)
Total: 330,881 Tons
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
‐
JAN
FEBRUARY
MARCH
APRIL
MAY
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
China Fishmeal Import per Origin
100%
90%
80%
541,041 70%
379,528 520,548 489,400 60%
50%
40%
30%
708,702 20%
452,151 459,600 235,015 10%
0%
2012
2013
Peru
2014
Other Origins
To July 2015
Fishmeal Aminoacid Profile per Origin
Aminoacid / Origin
Peru
USA
Chile
Vietnam
Mexico
Ecuador
Thailand
Sud Africa
Marocco
Histidina (His, H)
2.49 1.34 2.30 1.13 1.88 2.13 1.51 1.97 1.80 1.40 1.4
Valina (Val, V)
3.23 2.80 3.31 2.39 3.20 3.04 2.94 3.74 3.14 2.98 3.36
Leucina (Leu, L)
5.64 4.47 5.28 3.90 4.82 4.79 4.63 5.54 5.26 4.63 5.46
Treonina (Thr, T)
3.16 2.63 2.14 2.32 2.79 2.86 2.66 3.20 3.03 2.90 3.08
Lisina (Lys, K)
5.21 4.73 5.53 3.84 4.75 4.98 4.51 6.16 5.73 4.70 5.67
Triptófano (Trp, W)
0.60 ‐
0.71 ‐
0.52 Fenilalanina (Phe, F)
3.66 2.44 2.71 2.04 2.63 2.61 2.45 3.02 2.77 2.58 2.8
Isoleucina (Ile, I)
3.54 2.36 2.72 1.92 2.74 2.46 2.48 3.38 2.52 2.43 3.01
Arginina (Arg, R) *
5.06 3.80 5.76 3.80 3.76 4.08 3.81 4.58 4.16 4.28 4.27
Metionina (Met, M)
1.76 1.66 1.97 1.25 1.52 1.84 1.82 2.09 2.15 1.95 2.17
‐
‐
Peruvi a n Soy Protei n Super pri me Bl ood Mea l
Concentra te
Fis hmea l
Alanina
Arginina
Ácido Aspártico
Cistina
Ácido Glutámico
Glicina
Histidina
Isoleucina
Leucina
Lisina
Metionina
Fenil Alanina
Prolina
Serina
Treonina
Triptófano
Tirosina
Valina
3.59
4.38
5.28
0.82
7.72
3.34
2.46
2.97
4.70
5.13
1.65
2.71
3.54
3.11
3.25
0.66
2.40
2.60
4.60
7.10
0.60
11.40
2.40
1.50
2.90
4.70
3.80
0.90
3.20
2.90
3.10
2.40
0.80
2.40
7.69
2.35
10.84
1.40
8.79
4.40
3.05
0.80
10.30
7.00
1.00
5.10
4.62
4.56
3.80
1.00
2.34
2.65
2.80
5.20
‐
‐
Argentina Scandinavia
‐
0.77
Omega 3 (Epa+dha) content of the Fishoil
Probabilities of Niño/Niña (Source IRI y ENFEN)
Según IRI (al 20 de Agosto 2015) During late July to mid‐August 2015, the SSTs were at a level of strong El Niño event. All weather variables also showed a pattern of "El Niño", including trade winds weakened, the Southern Oscillation Index low and excess rains in the central tropical Pacific.
The consensus forecast models of El Niño conditions indicate continued strong El Niño during the season from August to October 2015, it is likely to strengthen a small drop reaching summer 2016.
There is a greater probability of 90% that the child will continue during the northern hemisphere winter, summer for us (2015‐2016) and about 85% to persist until early autumn 2016
Informe 15– 2015 ENFEN (3 de Setiembre):
The current conditions remain consistent with a warm event of strong magnitude, without the presence of heavy rains, but with temperatures in the costs above normal.
This first phase of the Child coastal continues to decline slightly, but a 95% probability that the event will extend until next summer, with 55% of that in this second phase can reach the magnitude of strong to moderate estimates. In the Central Pacific the models still indicate El Niño conditions with 75% or higher have strong magnitude in the Niño 3.4 region.
Current conditions
Peruvian Fishmeal, average price per season
Area
CN
CN
Season
Quota (Tons)
2009 II
2,000,000
2010 I
2,500,000
2010
6,031,867
CN
2010 II
2,070,000
CN
2011 I
3,675,000
2011
5,745,000
CN
2011 II
2,500,000
CN
2012 I
2,700,000
2012
5,200,000
CN
2012 II
810,000
CN
2013 I
2,050,000
2013
2,860,000
CN
2013 II
2,304,000
CN
2014 I*
1,677,867
2014
3,981,867
CN
2014 II
0
CN
2015 I
2,580,000
2014
2,580,000
(*) 2015 I: Exports to September 5, 20015
Exports (Tons)
575,360
632,614
1,482,129
267,928
971,113
1,239,040
593,908
729,786
1,323,694
191,112
560,261
751,373
541,736
380,131
921,868
57,351
378,185
435,536
FOB
776,464,388
972,343,252
2,273,395,396
391,356,452
1,310,750,761
1,702,107,213
708,855,527
1,034,921,781
1,743,777,308
346,480,998
886,298,040
1,232,779,038
751,000,494
636,096,862
1,387,097,356
116,823,987
616,581,793
733,405,780
Price per Ton
1,350
1,537
1,534
1,461
1,350
1,374
1,194
1,418
1,317
1,813
1,582
1,641
1,386
1,673
1,505
2,037
1,630
1,684
Scenarios for the next season 2015 II
QUOTA
0
Fishmeal Production (Th tons)
Exports to China (Th tons)
50
0.8
1.2
1.6
186
279
372
190
259
329
Thank you!

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