AVIATION SERVICES
Transcription
AVIATION SERVICES
Third quarter results Presentation for analysts 25 September 2006 Content 1 Financial Overview – Birgir Haraldsson, Director Audit 2 Aviation Services – Hafþór Hafsteinsson, CEO 3 Shipping & Logistics – Baldur Guðnason, CEO 4 Charter & Leisure – Magnus Stephensen, CEO 5 Summary – Magnús Þorsteinsson, Chairman Financial overview Birgir Haraldsson, Director Audit Financial overview • All companies started using the accounting year 1.11-31.10 at beginning of November 2005. • The comparative figures in the financial statement are for the 10 month period 1 January – 31 October 2005 • Operating revenues $ 1,400 million • Operating expenses $ 1,424 million • Loss before tax $ 83 million • Net loss $ 69 million 4 Financial overview • • • Total block hours flown decreased by 43% to 71,000 in Aviation Services Number of passengers increased by 14% to 2,933 in Charter & Leisure Total tonnes transported increased by 16% to 1,677 in Shipping & Logistics • • • • EBITDA: $ 34 million EBITDA / revenues: 2,5% EBIT: $- 24 million EBIT / revenues: -1,7% • • Total assets: $ 2,129 million Total equity: $ 523 million • • Equity ratio: 25% Current ratio: 0.98 5 1 Financial Overview 2 Income Statement & Cash flow 3 Balance Sheet 6 Income Statement for 3Q 2006 All amounts in $ ,000 2005/6 1.11-31.7 2006 3Q 2005 1.1-31.10 Net sales ............................................................................... Other income ........................................................................ Total operating revenue 1.374.319 25.335 1.399.654 668.778 7.653 676.431 1.379.537 21.954 1.401.491 Aviation Services .................................................................. Charter & Leisure ................................................................. Shipping and Logistics ......................................................... Total operating expenses (316.531) (744.514) (362.605) (1.423.650) (94.829) (428.181) (133.837) (656.847) (367.017) (797.999) (189.793) (1.354.809) Operating result.............................................................. (23.996) 19.584 46.682 Effects of associated companies ........................................... Financial income (expenses) ................................................. Net financial income (expenses) (1.713) (57.242) (58.955) (2.074) (8.702) (10.776) (203) (1.965) (2.168) Result before taxes........................................................ (82.951) 8.808 44.514 Income tax ............................................................................ 14.086 (5.973) (12.116) Net result for the period................................................. (68.865) 2.835 32.398 7 Cash Flow for the 2006 All amounts in $ ,000 2005/6 1.11-31.7 2005 1.1-31.10 Net earnings (loss) ................................................................. (68.865) 32.398 Net cash (to) from operating activities ...................................... Net cash used in investing activities ......................................... Net cash provided by financing activities .................................. (41.638) (100.646) 272.452 1.093 (209.614) 305.563 Net change in cash and cash equivalents ........................... Effects of foreign exchange adjustments ............................ Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year ................ 130.169 2.813 150.346 97.042 (5.557) 58.861 Cash and cash equivalents at end of period ....................... 283.328 150.346 8 Financial ratios and key figures All amounts in $ ,000 9m 2006 10m 2005 Equity ratio ...................................................................... Current ratio .................................................................... Return on equity .............................................................. Working capital provided by operating activit. ................ EBIT ................................................................................. EBITDA .......................................................................... EBIT / revenue ................................................................. EBITDA / revenue ........................................................... 24,6% 0,98 -14,2% (7.501) (23.996) 34.410 -1,7% 2,5% 29,9% 0,71 13,7% 71.535 46.682 100.524 3,3% 7,2% Total block hours flown .................................................. Number of passangers (thousands) .................................. Total ocean freight transported (tonn) .............................. 71.236 2.933 1.676.961 133.053 3.066 9 1 Financial Overview 2 Income Statement & Cash flow 3 Balance Sheet 10 Balance Sheet 31 July 2006 All amounts in $ ,000 31.7.2006 31.10.2005 Goodwill ...................................................................... Other intangible assets ................................................ Property, aircraft, vessels and equipment ..................... Investment in associated companies ............................ Other investment .......................................................... Guarantee deposits ....................................................... Deferred tax assets ....................................................... Total non-current assets 558.928 36.718 516.705 26.305 106.862 26.868 31.449 1.303.835 501.226 30.566 449.490 839 40.050 18.309 12.864 1.053.344 Inventories ................................................................... Trade receivables ......................................................... Other receivables ......................................................... Cash and cash equivalents ............................................ Assets classified as held for sale .................................. Total current assets 21.688 251.080 249.076 283.328 20.367 825.539 16.105 184.422 91.020 150.346 9.775 451.668 Total assets 2.129.374 1.505.012 11 Balance Sheet 31 July 2006 Equity All amounts in $ ,000 31.7.2006 31.10.2005 Issued capital ........................................... Share premium .......................................... Reserves .................................................... Retained earnings ..................................... Stockholders' equity 26.346 516.053 (30.204) (15.802) 496.393 22.013 365.393 10.030 51.637 449.073 Minority interest ....................................... Total equity 26.709 523.102 1.495 450.568 12 Balance Sheet 31 July 2006 Liabilities All amounts in $ ,000 31.7.2006 31.10.2005 Non-current liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings ................... Guarantee deposits ................................................. Employee benefits ................................................. Provisions .............................................................. Deferred tax liabilities ........................................... Total non-current liabilities 656.649 3.375 313 94.455 6.685 761.477 410.132 1.697 1.073 0 7.934 420.836 Current liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings ................... Trade payables ....................................................... Other payables ....................................................... Total current liabilities 137.370 163.095 544.330 844.795 222.177 152.476 258.955 633.608 Total liabilities 1.606.272 1.054.444 Total equity and liabilities 2.129.374 1.505.012 13 Aviation Services Division Hafþór Hafsteinsson – CEO Aviation Services Aviation Services Division • • The main focus of Aviation Services Division is the International Wet Lease Operation of Air Atlanta Icelandic , and aircraft trading activities of the newly formed Avion Aircraft Trading. Supporting activities are Maintenance & Engineering Services provided by Avia Technical Services (ATS), airport handling provided by Southair. Air Atlanta Icelandic provides ACMI services to the air passenger and cargo markets worldwide. Air Atlanta Icelandic operates a fleet of approximately 40 aircraft . Air Atlanta Icelandic has approximately 1,500 employees and contractors at peak times. Avion Aircraft Trading is a newly established company handling the Group's aircraft dealing. The company is part of Aviation Services. Avion Aircraft Trading recently concluded the purchase of eight Boeing 777-200 cargo aircraft. Avia Technical Services in a maintenance, repair and overhaul company that performs maintenance services on Avion Group’s aircraft and third party aircraft. ATS has approximately 300 employees. SouthAir Iceland is a leading ground handling company which has been at Keflavik International Airport for over six years. SouthAir employs has approximately 20 employees. 15 AVIATION SERVICES 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 16 AVIATION SERVICES – Financial overview 9 months • Operating Revenues $361 million 3rd Quarter • Operating Revenues $102 million • Operating Expenses $383 million • Operating Expenses $115 million • • EBITDA was $ 11 million EBITDA 3% • • EBITDA was $3.6 million EBITDA 4% • • EBIT was $-22 million EBIT -6% • • EBIT was $-13 million EBIT -13% 17 AVIATION SERVICES 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 18 In transition after 16 years continues growth period Continued growth Transition Growth – Merger - Transition 700 In 2006, AAI has undergone transition period as a result of strategic change to simplify fleet and focus more on cargo Merger period 500 400 1991 – 2004 revenue CAGR 33% 300 200 100 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* 2006B 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E The growth slowed down during the merger period 2004 and 2005 600 Revenue (USDm ) AAI has shown exceptional revenue growth between 1991 and 2004 at a CAGR of 33% Air Atlanta Íslandsflug Business plan forecasts * 2005 figures represent 10 months from Jan- October due to changes of the financial year to November through October The Transition Period started in October 2005 The Board of Avion Group approved a restructuring plan in October 2005 Main focus of The Restructuring Plan Increase emphasis on higher margin/longer contract cargo projects and reduce the risk of lower margin/seasonal pax projects Simplify the fleet to increase operational efficiency; retire old and inefficient aircraft Cut out projects with negative contribution; improve project control to ensure higher margins Transfer the Boeing 757, 767 and the Air Atlanta Europe operation to Excel Airways Group The rationale for increased emphasise on Cargo Projects Share of freight carried by pure cargo aircraft expected to increase Growth in World Air Cargo Currently, 41% of all cargo volumes is carried within passenger aircraft bellyholds However, growth in cargo traffic is forecast to outstrip growth in passenger aircraft capacity This will lead to an increase in demand for cargo-only aircraft, resulting in a larger share in air freight carried World air cargo traffic is expected to expand at an average annual rate of 6.2% according to Boeing and 5.9% according to Airbus in the next two decades FTKs (Billions) 800 Forecast 600 6.2% CAGR 500 200 100 0 0 56% 20% 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2023 66% 141.1 59% Standard-body (<50 tons) 34% 31% 41% 2003 1993 2003 442.7 300 200 Freighter fleet size globally will grow from 1,766 in 2003 to 3,456 in 2023 according to Boeing Medium wide-body and large cargo aircraft are expected to lead fleet additions, growing from an estimated overall share of 44% to 60% 24% FTKs (billions) 400 400 Wide-body fleet additions are expected to significantly outgrow smaller aircraft Belly holds +4.8% p.a. 2023 Medium wide-body (40-65 tons) 40% 29% Dedicated freighters +6.5% p.a. Large (>65 tons) The Fleet Restructuring in 2006 A comprehensive fleet restructuring program was carried out during the 9 months in order to increase operational efficiency and complete the merger process of Íslandsflug into Air Atlanta The Fleet Restructuring 20 aircraft will be transferred out of Air Atlanta’s fleet during the financial year Nov 2005 - Oct 2006 Airbus A-310 Boeing 737-400 PAX Boeing 747-200 Boeing 747-300 Boeing 767-200 xx xxx x xx Boeing 737-300 xxxx Boeing 747-400 Boeing 757-200 FLEET CARGO x x x xx x xx Airbus A-300 Airbus A-310 Boeing 747-200 Boeing 747-400 Restructuring cost The fleet restructuring has lead to short-term downsizing, and has incurred more cost than expected that will temporarily impact the financial results of Air Atlanta Icelandic in 2006. Number of aircraft not being utilized during maintenance checks required prior to returning aircraft Redelivery cost (painting, interior, etc.) Extra scrap and depreciation of spare parts due to elimination of aircraft types Extra administrative costs (employee, legal, travel, etc.) required for the fleet restructuring Air Atlanta’s future market position 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 25 20 15Peer group by 747-400F aircraft type 10 5 Current China Airlines Cargolux SIA Korean Air AAI Nippon Cargo Cathay UPS Atlas Air Polar Air Asiana Airlines Emirates EVA Air Global Supply Air China China Southern Japan Airlines Malaysia Airlines Dragonair Great Wall Airlines 0 Atlas Air Nippon Cargolux AAI Cathay China Korean Air Kalitta Air SIA EVA Air Air France Japan Evergreen Air HK Martinair Emirates Etihad Air China MK Asiana Fleet size Peer group cargo carriers* 747-400F fleet AAI will become a substantial operator in the cargo market Current Orders Orders Compared to the range of existing airlines which operate in the cargo market (excluding integrators), AAI is expected to become the 4th largest wide-body cargo operator by 2010 Its position as a major B747-400F operator will be secured by deliveries and conversions AAI will be a strong platform/player to benefit from continued freight market growth Source: Air Transport Intelligence/ACAS fleet data *AAI’s future orders equal net increase in cargo carriers by 2010. For all other peer airlines, orders exclude replacements New Organizational Chart • Air Atlanta Icelandic made organizational changes in 3rd quarter Board of Directors Hafthor Hafsteinsson - Chairman CEO Hannes Hilmarsson Accountable Manager Director IT Helgi Bjorgvinsson Director Quality Adalsteinn Einarsson Director Flight Safety Bjarni Gudmundsson VP Finance Geir Valur Agustsson VP HR & Admin Stefan Eyjolfsson VP Sales & Marketing Johann Karason VP Maintenance Thorir Kristinsson VP Flight Operations Einar Björnsson Hafthor Hafsteinsson became Chariman of the Board of Air Atlanta Icelandic. Hafthor will continue to be CEO Aviation Serverces Hannes Hilmarsson replaced Hafthor as Chief Executive Officer Jóhann Kárason became VP Sales & Marketing Geir Valur Ágústsson became VP Finance Stefán Eyjólfsson became VP Human Resources 24 Main activities during the 9 months and to date are: • 4 Boeing 777-200 Long Range Freighters purchased from Boeing in December, in addition to 4 previously purchased. 2 deliveries moved forward from 2011 to 2010 due to market demand • 5 Airbus A300-600 purchased from China Airlines; all re-sold with good profits • 7 B747-400 (thereof 5 freighters purchased from ANA and Cargolux to be used with Air Atlanta as part of the fleet restructuring program • 3 B747-400 freighters purchased from Air France and in process of being re-sold to a third party cargo carrier (4Q sale) • Change in management of AAT and new strong organization 25 Organizational Chart – Avion Aircraft Trading • Avion Aircraft Trading organizational changes in 3rd quarter: Board of Directors Hafthor Hafsteinsson - Chairman CEO David Masson VP Finance Þorsteinn Ó. Þorsteinsson VP Maintenance Valdimar Sæmundsson VP Sales & Marketing Carine Truong Technical Contractor Frank Kurhe Technical Contractor Finnbogi Óskarsson Hafthor Hafsteinsson became Chariman of the Board of Avion Aircraft Trading. Hafthor will continue to be CEO Aviation Serverces Davíð Másson replaced Hafthor as Chief Executive Officer of Avion Aircraft Trading 26 Status of sale of 51% of AAT: • Avion Group announced at the end of June its intent to sell 51% of Avion Aircraft Trading to an international investment group. During final negotiations other parties showed strong interest. • Avion Group’s Board of Directors decided not to conclude the sale at this time and continue further talks with other interested parties to maximize shareholders value. • In addition current developments of aircraft transactions are promising. 27 AVIATION SERVICES 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 28 AVIATION SERVICES Outlook 2006 • The restructuring of Air Atlanta Icelandic has lead to short-term downsizing, and has incurred more cost than expected that will temporarily impact the financial results of Air Atlanta Icelandic in 2006. • The restructuring will be finalised by October 2006, and next years outlook is positive for Air Atlanta Icelandic, with simplified Aircraft fleet and improved operational efficiency. • Further gains on asset sale to be realized with Avion Aircraft Trading. More A300-600 freighter purchases and sales on the horizon and B747-400 freighter opportunities being studied. • Aviation Services is expected to meet Budget in 2006 29 Shipping & Logistics Baldur Guðnason - CEO Eimskip Content – Shipping and Logistics 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 31 Financial overview – Shipping & Logistics 9 months 3rd Quarter • Operating Revenues where $364 million • Operating Revenues where $ 143 million • Operating Expenses were $320 million • Operating Expenses were $ 131million • • EBITDA was $47 million EBITDA 13% • • EBITDA was $20 million EBITDA 14% • • EBIT was $29 million EBIT 7,8% • • EBIT was $12 million EBIT 8% 32 Content – Shipping and Logistics 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 33 Vision and strategy • Eimskip is a unique company with three distinct future visions: – – – • • To consolidate our position as a transport market leader offering total services in the North Atlantic through a network linking key ports in Europe, on the US East Coast and in Canada. To be the leading short sea supplier in the Baltic states and Russia To be a key international player in temperaturecontrolled cargo globally Eimskip's key competence is organising and running the most cost-effective transport network available. The company has a strong market share in North Atlantic sailings, which serves as a basis for further efficiencies. On this foundation, Eimskip aims to build further growth and diversification into other areas of transport services. 34 Eimskip has engaged in the following projects in third quarter: • May: – – • June: – • acquired a 55% equity stake in Innovate Holdings acquired a 70% equity stake in Kursiu Linija • As of September, Eimskip holds 100% equity stake All Faroese operations merged under Faroe Ship August: – a bid to acquire all outstanding shares for Atlas Cold Storage Income Trust • Offer has been extended to 6th of October 35 Eimskip's operations: Current value chain • Total transport services – total solutions • More than 90 years experience in shipping in the North Atlantic • 88 operating bases in 17 countries in Europe, North - America and Asia • 35 vessels – total deadweight approx. 130,000 gross tonnes • Approximately 3,000 employees, thereof 2,000 outside Iceland • Over 40 coldstores – storage capacity over 600 thousand tons Empty container Plant/warehouse Domestic transport to port Export port International transport Import port Domestic transport from port Plant/warehouse Empty container Total solution 36 Atlas offer • Eimskip has made a takeover bid to acquire all of the outstanding trust units of Atlas Cold Storage Income Trust which is listed at the Toronto Stock Exchange, the offer expires 6 October 2006 • CDN$7.00 cash is offered per Unit and the offer is fully financed • The aggregate acquisition cost, including assumed debt of the Trust, will be CDN$574 million. • The offer price represents a 10.6x EBITDA multiple based on the Trust’s results over the twelve months ended March 31, 2006 • The combined operations of Eimskip and Atlas Cold Storage Income Trust will create a network of more than 90 temperature controlled facilities around the world 37 Content – Shipping and Logistics 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 38 Outlook 2006 • Performance according to management’s expectations for the third quarter 2006, which is expected to continue in the fourth quarter • Eimskip is set on increasing it’s operations in the following markets – – – North-America Baltic states and Russia Asia the future is based on a strong platform home market future markets 39 EBITDA Budgets 2004-2006 as published July 2004 compared to the actuals 2004/2005 and budget 2006 Million ISK 2003 2004 2005 2006 Revenues 23.284 23.800 26.800 30.000 Expences 21.643 21.400 23.500 26.000 1.641 2.400 3.300 4.000 7,0% 10,1% 12,3% 13,3% EBITDA EBITDA / Revenue 5000 Million ISK 4000 3000 2000 1000 As Published before As of Today 0 2003 2004 2005 Year 2006 40 Charter & Leisure Division Magnus Stephensen – Deputy CEO Charter & Leisure Financial overview – Charter & Leisure • 9 months – Operating Revenues $ 718 million – Operating Expenses $ 744 million – Total passengers transported 2,933 – EBITDA $ -21 million – EBITDA Ratio -3% – EBIT $ -25,9 million – EBIT Ratio -4% • 3rd quarter – Operating Revenues $457 million – Operating Expenses $ 436 million – Total passengers transported 2,470 – EBITDA $ 23,8 million – EBITDA Ratio 5,2% – EBIT $ 20,5 million – EBIT Ratio 4,5% 42 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview 3 Outlook 2006 43 XL Leisure Group - Corporate Structure XLLG Board of Directors Chairman Magnus Thorsteinsson XLLG CEO Phil Wyatt Deputy CEO Magnus Stephensen CFO Halldor Sigurdarson Airways COO TBA MD Jonathan Bousfield AVION GROUP Aviation MD Neil Morris Tour Operating COO Michael Stoney MD Geoff Medhurst Charter & Leisure United Kingdom Shipping & Logistics France Germany Aviation Services USA Australia Excel Airways Star Airlines Star Europe Xtra Airways Air Atlanta Europe Advent Air Seat Brokering Counter Cyclical XL.COM Travel City Direct Freedom Flights Kosmar Excel Holidays Aspire Take Flight XL LG Ireland XL TO France 44 XLLG’s Regional Map •Excel Airways Group •Travel City Direct •Kosmar Villa Holidays •Star Airlines •Crystal •Heliades •Star Europe •* Xtra Airways operates in the US. XLLG has 19% share in the company •* Advent Air Ltd operates in Australia. XLLG has 5% share in the company 45 Star Airlines Star Airlines is the second largest charter airline in the French Market Purchase price was 14 million EUR Revenues for financial year 2005 was Euros 173 million and EBITDA Euros 1.9 900,000 passengers flown every year Star Airlines operates charter flights to over 20 destinations in the Mediterranean Area, Africa and the Middle East. In addition to operating Charter flights, they also operate scheduled services to destinations such as Lebanon, Tunisia, Maldives and Morocco. 46 Star Europe Star Europe started operating in Germany in the beginning of May 2006 Estimated Investment of Euros 10 million to establish the operation in 2006. YTD investment 2,5 MEUR or 75% under budget. Estimated turnover for FY2006 Euros 30 million Aircraft fleet 4 Airbus in Summer 2006, initial plan 2 aircraft Commercial contracted: TUI, Hapagfly, Germanwings, Edelweiss Air, Turist Prishtina, HellasJet, Volaré Plan to add aircraft for S07 47 Counter cyclical markets – Xtra Airways • • Avion has made an agreement with Xtra Airways, Nevada based airline, to lease part of Excel Airways’ fleet during the Winter schedule, which is high season for Xtra Airways. Xtra will lease three aircraft from Excel Airways over Winter 2006. Economic benefit to Excel is estimated at 6 MUSD. Avion Group has a 19% share in Xtra Airways 48 Counter cyclical markets - Advent Air • • • • Strategic joint venture with Advent Air, an Australasian airline group, parent of Skywest. Avion’s subsidiaries, Star Airlines and Star Europe wil provide up to four Airbus A320 aircraft to Advent Air’s subsidiary, Skywest during the Winter schedule which is Skywest’s peak season This is contrary to Star AIrlines’ and Star Europe’s high season therefore, maximising utilization of existing aircraft Avion Group has purchased a 5% share in Advent Air 49 Kosmar Villa Holidays Kosmar Villa Holidays, which specializes in travel to Greece and Turkey, was acquired in 3Q Purchase price was $ 9.4 million Turnover for the financial year 2005 was 154 million USD. PBT 1 MUSD. Offers over 80 resorts in Greece and 12 resorts in Turkey Kosmar Villa Holidays is the UK No.1 Greek Specialist and was voted Best Tour Operator to Greece at the British Travel Awards Licenced to sell over 250,000 holidays, under Excel ownership Kosmar will increase capacity to 350 000 seats using direct penetration (XL.Com) 50 Crystal TO Recently Star Airlines acquired French Internet B2B Tour Operator, Crystal, which has a market leading position across the French internet market in long haul sales Purchase price for 66% share was EUR 2.0 million Turnover for the year 2005 was Euros 14 million and PBT 1 million EUR. Crystal carried 32,000 passengers in 2005, a threefold increase over the previous year Crystal’s most popular destination routes are: Dominican Republic, Mexico, French Indies, Cuba, Maldivian Republic, Brazil, Tunisia, Morocco and Croatia Largest clients are: Lastminute, Opodo, Expedia and Karavel 51 Heliades • • • • • Star Airlines has acquired a French Tour operator Heliades which specialises in travel to Greece and Cyprus Purchase price was EUR 7.7 million Turnover for the financial year 2005 was Euros 80 million and PBT Euros 3.3 million Heliades carried 120,000 passengers in 2005 On completion of the acquisition, XL Leisure Group, will be France’s fifth largest travel organization 52 Excel Airways Group – UK Market Share Excel Airways Group is the 5th largest Passenger License Holder in the UK Market after the acquisition of Travel City Direct. Position in 2006 Position in 2005 53 1 Financial Overview 2 Operational Overview - Regional update UK/ Fr/Germany 3 Outlook 2006 54 Contribution per pax Aiways Divison Sales margin on aircraft fleet on budget Tour Operating Division Sales per pax down on budget Pax flown on budget Growth in pax flown not enough to compensate for shortfall in salesmargin per pax Excess capacity in market due to difficult conditions Overall Revenue Analysis Actual revenue per pax (£) Budgeted revenue per pax (£) Pax flown Contribution per Pax (£) 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 Actual Budget Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 344 325 Dec 383 394 Jan 264 267 Feb 313 307 Mar 297 285 Apr 362 376 May 253 263 Jun 222 243 Jul 318 333 Aug 328 342 Sep 278 281 Oct 267 294 Total 19,797 31,220 19,576 25,776 38,015 50,138 118,638 161,192 225,973 252,566 252,536 192,813 1,388,241 55 Estimated results for the year • • • • • • • • Increased market share. Total number of seats sold on budget. However, Mid summer demand lower than expected because of exceptionally hot summer in UK. - Results in lower prices/contribution per seat then originally anticipated. Many flights cancelled because of Terrorist threat & UK travel security alert, additional costs related to passenger assistance and compensation Terrorist incidents such as the ones in Turkey and Jordan Main competitors have issued profit warnings, f.ex: MyTravel Group plc, Thomas Cook, UK airlines have not performed according to expectations, f.ex: easyJet, British Airways High fuel prices Forecast for 4Q indicates performance under budget 56 Summary Magnus Þorsteinsson, Chairman Summary • Two out of three division perform in line with expectations for the year 2006 • Charter & Leisure’s forecast for 4Q indicates performance below budget • Redelivery costs of aircraft more than planned in Air Atlanta Icelandic. 20 aircraft returned during FY06. • Mid summer demand lower than expected due to terrorist threat and hot summer in UK – Total number of seats sold on budget – Lower prices per seat then originally anticipated • Avion Group is a leading international transport solutions group • Operations continue to be characterised by steady growth in operating revenues 58 Results compared to forecasts for 2006 Analysts forecasts for 2006 results- in million $ Landsbanki Kaupthing Bank 2006 forecast Total operating revenues 2.044 2.010 1.926 EBITDA 162 161 165 EBITDA margin 8,0% 8,0% 8,6% EBIT 83 89 105 EBIT margin 4,0% 4,4% 5,5% Profit (loss) 54 61 Revised forecast 2.100 120 5,7% 53 2,5% 59