FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC: Current Status and Future Outlook
Transcription
FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC: Current Status and Future Outlook
The Fourth FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Data Users Workshop, 27-29 Oct. 2009, Boulder, Colorado, US FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC: Current Status and Future Outlook Nick Yen NSPO 10-27-2009 This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Co-Authors Vicky Chu National Space Organization Chen-Joe Fong National Space Organization Tie Yu National Space Organization Eddy Yang National Space Organization This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Severe Tropical Storm KALMAEGI (2008) 2008.7.18 Flood in Taichung This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Typhoon MORACOT (2009.8.8) debris flow Landslide flood This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Land Slide and cause Village “Little Forest” was devastated Current FORMSAT-3 / COSMIC Constellation FM6 800 km (10/27/2009) 1,165 Global Data User 50 Countries FM2 800 km FM3 711km FM4 800 km FM5 800 km FM1 800 km This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Spacecraft State of Health (as is 10/27/2009) 福衛三號衛星健康現況 (04/21/2009 當日) Spacecraft2 Operational Mode SC State ACS Mode EPS Mode C&DH Mode GOX TIP TBB FM1 Normal Normal FixedYaw Normal High Rate Operating Operating Operating FM2 Normal Power Anomaly FixedYaw Normal High Rate 80 % Off1 Off1 FM3 Normal SAD Anomaly FixedYaw Normal High Rate 60~70% Off1 Off1 FM4 Normal Normal FixedYaw Normal High Rate Operating Operating Operating FM5 Normal Normal FixedYaw Normal High Rate Operating Operating Operating FM6 Normal Normal FixedYaw Normal High Rate Operating Operating Operating Note 1: Secondary Payloads are power-off due to power shortage Note 2: No significant degradations This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Global FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Data Users USA 406 Philippine 11 Belgium 1 Taiwan 161 Argentina 9 Bulgaria 1 India 101 Spain 9 Costa Rica 1 China 81 New Zealand 6 Czech 1 1165 users Japan 48 South Africa 6 Bangladesh 1 50 Countries Germany 30 Nigeria 5 Egypt 1 Korea 30 Switzerland 5 Iran 1 UK 28 Chile 4 Ireland 1 Brazil 26 Denmark 4 Israel 1 Canada 26 Turkey 4 Norway 1 Russia 25 Nether lands 3 Pakistan 1 Indonesia 23 Ukraine 3 Peru 1 Italy 21 Finland 2 Poland 1 Australia 19 Portugal 2 Senegal 1 France 18 Puerto Rico 2 Singapore 1 Vietnam 15 Thailand 2 Sweden 1 Austria 12 United Arabe Emirates 2 10/13/2009 This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Atmospheric Radio Occultation Profiles (as is of 10-17-2009) FM6 OCC Points Trending FM5 FM4 FM3 FM2 FM1 This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Atmospheric Radio Occultation Profiles (as is of 10-17-2009) Total 1,867,341 since launch This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Ionospheric Radio Occultation Profiles (as is of 10-17-2009) FM6 FM5 FM4 FM3 FM2 FM1 This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Ionospheric Radio Occultation Profiles (as is of 10-17-2009) Total 2,047,956 since launch This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Global distribution of FS3/COSMIC Data users 1165 users of 50 countries (2006.04-2009.9) Australia:19 Others:30 Korea:30 brasil:25 Taiwan:161 others:17 Vietnam:15 C anada:26 Indonesia:23 Japan:48 India:101 China:81 TOP 10 Canada:26 Korea:30 Russia:25 Taiwan:161 America 474 users 41% Asia 508 users 43% Brasil:25 Japan :48 U.K. :28 Germany:30 India :101 U .S.A.:406 Europe& Africa 183users 16% Germany:30 Others:40 U.K.:28 Spain:9 Austria:12 China:81 U.S.A.:406 France:18 Russia:25 Italy:21 Courtesy from TACC This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Statistics of FS3 / COSMIC registers & download ~1400GB/month (2006.07-2009.09) avnPrf Application domain Graduate 346 30% 1969268 ( 5G) atmphs 2105109 (2041GB) ionPhs 2421690 (155GB) scnLv1 2780917 (65GB) podTec Hydrology 134 12% Gravity 143 12% atmPrf Climate 436 37% wetPrf Space Weather 458 39% Weather 539 46% 3853050 (337GB) 9995606 (105GB) ionPrf 10258018 (3778GB) 39424075 (545GB) 993876(149GB) ionPhs ecmPrf 822 71% Post-Process 39 M files 47 TB 1507318(3.6GB) ncrPrf Non real time Real-time data 73 M files 7.5 TB 1507403(4GB) podObs 1516613 (44159GB) podTec 1963610 (99GB) ionPrf 5375104 (60GB) atmPrf 6624901 (2020GB) 7728474 (281GB) scnLv1 ~ 28 new users per monthwetPrf 8 6 19 .0 09 20 20 09 .0 09 20 24 .0 4 2 .0 20 09 .1 08 20 08 .1 2 0 8 08 20 20 08 .0 .0 6 4 .0 08 20 08 20 22 21 16 14 This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Courtesy from TACC 38 34 23 27 22 17 14 (2009) 222 36 27 20 23 21 19 .0 2 .1 07 .1 20 07 37 31 2 15 0 8 20 20 07 .0 26 24 21 22 .0 6 4 .0 07 20 23 24 21 21 20 .0 07 20 .1 06 289 (2008) 289 33 2 2 0 8 20 20 06 .0 06 20 35 21 .0 6 4 .0 06 20 30 (2007)280 07 31 27 .1 38 280 48 49 44 20 374 06 45 62 20 (2006) 11076776 (141GB) Orbit Debris Space Threat to FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC • More than 18,000 tracked Objects (> 10 cm) travelling around the earth now, only 900 of them are active satellites • 2007 January, the China FY-1C polar orbit satellite of 865 kilometres, with a mass of 750 kg was destroyed deliberately. – It generate more debris than any other breakup and cause total orbit debris number increased by 20% • 2008 February collision of the Iridium 33 and Cosmos 2251 satellites – debris are concentrated near 800 km altitude where a large number of spacecraft perform communications and Earth observation missions. (FS3 are exact 800 km altitude) – 1500 Large (>10 cm) Debris has been identified by US Space Surveillance Network. Only half of them has chances to fall back to Earth in 5 years. This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Recent Major Breakups (25 June 2009 catalog data) Event Event Time Cause Total Cataloged Fragments Number of Catalogued Fragments with RCS Data Number of Catalogued Fragments Remaining In Orbit 2680 2680 2630 Fengyun-1C Jan 2007 Collision (Deliberate) Bri-M Feb 2007 Explosion 69 69 67 Cosmos 2421 Mar 2008 Unknown 506 506 40 Iridium 33 Feb 2009 Collision (accidental) 349 349 335 Cosmos 2251 Feb 2009 Collision (accidental) 809 809 785 Typically, satellites cannot afford to maneuver unnecessarily or low probability conjunctions. This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Current Debris Environment in Low Earth Orbit This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Collision Warning Alert to FORMOSAT-3 / COSMIC Date FORMOSAT-3/ Debris COSMIC Close Collision Distance ( <0.5 km) Probability 3/5 FM1 COSMOS 0.416 8.5*10 -6 3/24 FM2 SCOUT X-4 0.401 9.2*10 -6 4/6 FM4 COSMOS 2251 0.054 4.9*10 -4 4/15 FM5 FENGYUN 1C 0.489 6.2*10 -6 4/17 FM5 FENGYUN 1C 0.285 1.81*10 -5 4/3 0 FM1 FENGYUN 1C 0.219 3.1*10 -5 5/18 FM1 COSMOS 2251 0.455 7.1*10 -6 5/27 FM1 UNISAT 3 0.403 9.1*10 -6 6/8 FM3 FENGYUN 1C 0.159 1.6*10 -4 6/23 FM5 SCOUT G-1 0.168 1.1*10 -4 6/28 FM2 CBERS 1 0.415 2.5*10 -5 7/15 FM1 FENGYUN 1C 0.157 9.3*10 -5 7/20 FS-2 FENGYUN 1C 0.077 7.3*10 -4 7/26 FM1 COSMOS 2251 0.366 3.0*10 -5 8/5 FM5 ORBCOMM FM28 0.411 5.8*10 -5 8/6 FM5 COSMOS 2251 0.173 9.1*10 -5 8/18 FM1 CZ-4 0.191 1.0*10 -4 8/21 FM3 CZ-4B 0.099 2.0*10 -4 8/30 FM3 SL-8 0.294 4.6*10 -5 9/12 FM6 IRIDIUM 33 0.361 3.3*10 -5 10/6 FM1 OV1-21 0.477 1.9*10 -5 10/9 FM4 COSMOS 2251 0.451 2.1*10 -5 • Since Sep 2009,There are 6 warning alerts issued by JSpOC to NSPO SOCC. • Once higher probability is identified, it is possibly to perform orbit transfer to avoid the Debris threat. This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Data Distribution of FORMOSAT-3 vs. Follow-on Mission Data Required to Perform Regional CWB Weather Forecast Current FORMOSAT‐3 24 h FORMOSAT‐3 Follow‐On 24 h This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO. Closing Remarks Global warning has become an international attention RO technique has shown a NSPO has exhibited the first successful operational RO positive impact to the constellation and ready for weather forecast system Taiwan is willing to continue to contribute to the RO weather monitoring system to raise the awareness of global warming with reliable accurate weather data FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC FollowOn NSPO is willing to continue It is anticipated that the Follow-on mission to be the space mission for the executed by the joint efforts of remarkable constellation NSPO and NOAA will continue RO weather system beyond 2014. This document contains proprietary and controlled information of National Space Organization (NSPO) of Taiwan and shall not be duplicated in whole or in part for any purpose without permission from NSPO.