A Specialised Tanker Company… Investor
Transcription
A Specialised Tanker Company… Investor
A Specialised Tanker Company… Investor Presentation 1 A Ship owner and operator Vessel Type Cargo intake per vessel Euronav owned TC-In World Fleet V-PLUS 3 mbls 2 0 4 VLCC 2 mbls 13 + 3 in J/V 11 (J/V) 462 Suezmax 1 mbls 9 0 331 0 650 NewBuildin 1 mbls g Suezmax Aframax 3/4 mbls 6 + 1 J/V 2 on BB charter Total = Interests in 29 VLCC, 9 Suezmax, 2 Aframax, 6 N/B DWT Euronav DWT World 134,948,722 3,935,215 2 Euronav’s Fleet is CRUDE Euronav’s Fleet is YOUNG Euronav’s Fleet is DOUBLE HULL Euronav’s Fleet is NATIONAL FLAG Euronav’s Fleet is MANAGED IN HOUSE 3 A short history MAIN EVENTS 2004 • JANUARY Purchase Savoie T/C in Shinyo Landes, C Dream, Sea Fortune • FEBRUARY T/C in Kensington, Hampstead • MARCH T/C in Hawtah, Watban • MAIN EVENTS 2005 – FEBRUARY Acquisition of N/B Suezmax in JV – Delivery 2007 Shinyo Mariner TC in for 7 years – MARCH Acquisition of 4 VLCC from Metrostar Merger with Tanklog signed: 9 Suezmax (7IC), 5 N/B delivery ’06/’07, 2 Aframax on BB Acquisition of the Bourgogne from KG – MAY Charles Eddie TC in for 3 years V.K Eddie delivered from the yard (JV 50%) – JUNE Split of JV with OSG, full ownership of TI Europe and Asia First tranche of the Tanklog transaction executed – SEPTEMBER Saverys family places 4.4M Share in Private placement APRIL Purchase 4 V-Plus (ULCC from Hellespont) in joint venture with OSG • JUNE Flandre delivered from Daewoo • NOVEMBER Euronav demerge from CMB 4 Pro Forma Consolidated Balance Sheet In thousands of USD 30.06.2005 30.06.2004 In thousands of USD 30.06.2005 30.06.2004 LIABILITIES ASSETS NON-CURRENT ASSETS 2.052.340 599.710 EQUITY 815.387 358.016 Tangible Assets 2.026.517 593.203 Capital and reserves 815.387 358.016 Intangible Assets 20.614 20 - - Financial Assets 4.583 484 1.324.916 321.124 235.019 160.378 CURRENT LIABILITIES 147.052 80.948 2.287.359 760.088 TOTAL LIABILITIES 2.287.359 760.088 CURRENT ASSETS TOTAL ASSETS Minority interests NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 5 The most important key figures are: 1H05 in thousands of USD Turnover EBITDA depreciation EBIT (operating result) financial result result before taxation current tax deferred tax Result after taxation 283,302 179,683 -46,795 132,888 -14,578 118,310 -652 574 118,232 3Q YTD 2004 110,075 56,878 -34,955 21,923 -15,672 6,251 -459 p.m 5,792 393,377 236,561 -81,750 154,811 -30,250 124,561 -1,111 p.m. 124,024 430,615 303,162 -45,737 257,425 -11,524 245,901 -330 p.m. 236,502 6 Euronav N.V. - Public Company EURONAV Stock Exchange: EURONEXT Ticker: EURN Bloomberg: EURN BB Reuters: EURN.BR Saverys – Livanos Families 57.5% Free Float 42.5% Major shareholders 7 Executive Chairman MARC SAVERYS Board of Directors EXCO Paddy Rodgers CEO Belgium EURONAV N.V. HEADQUARTER USA UK Legal, Corporate & consolidation France Corporate Headquarter Ship Management Headquarter Virginie Saverys Full management of fleet including Commercial & Operation LEGAL COUNSEL Greece Luxembourg Outsourced Marine Insurance Alex Staring: Finance, Administration, Accounting & Investor Relations Ludwig Criel: CFO COO Belgibo 23 persons Directly employed 7 persons Sea Group Euronav UK ESM SA ESM Hellas Euronav Lux. S.A. Dedicated commercial broker for North American business Commercial relations 6 persons 4 persons Tankers International 20 persons French flag operation, French crewing Finance Administration & Accounting Suezmax Technical & crewing Management Finance Administration & Accounting Administration, accounting and Finance for ownership of vessels operated under French flag 35 persons 2 persons8 9 persons THE VLCC MARKET SUPPLY 9 WORLD VLCC FLEET Compared with major operators # VLCC 462 (of which 161 SH) Others 113 Oil Co.’s / Traders control (62 SH) 55.2% (6 SH) of the fleet WorldWide 12 ACOL 12 East Oil Co. 141 (58 SH) West Oil Co. 55 (2 SH) (4 SH) Frontline 23 (4 SH) ME Supplier 55 (21 Traders 4 SH) (1 SH) TI 47 (3 SH) 10 2007 2004 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 1983 1980 1977 1974 1971 World VLCC Fleet Size 700 110 600 100 500 90 400 300 80 200 70 100 60 0 50 Oil Consumption (mbpd) . 800 1968 1965 World VLCC Fleet Market History 120 11 WORLD FLEET DEVELOPMENT Year: Fleet at Year Start DH SH N/B Scrap/ FPSO: Growth % 2002 427 171 256 35 40 -5 -1.2% 2003 420 206 214 38 33 +5 1.2% 2004 425 244 181 29 12 +17 4.0 % 2005 442 273 169 30 8 +20 5.0% NOW/YTD 462 301 161 28 5 (+3) +20 4.3 % 2006 464 303 161 17 0 +17 3.7 % 2007 481 320 161 36 1 +35 7.3 % 2008 516 356 160 26 1 +25 4.8 % 2009 541 382 159 9 1 +8 1.5 % 12 Sensitivity • 1 Million bpd growth in demand from…. is equivalent to…..: ¾ USA ……..7 % increase in VLCC demand ¾ China ..…..6 % increase in VLCC demand ¾ India ……..4 % increase in VLCC demand ¾ With the same pattern of trade, world oil demand would have to grow by 2.2% to increase tanker demand by 4.3% ¾ DOE forecasts oil demand to grow by 2.6% 13 93 89.4 88.2 86.1 84.3 82.6 79.6 78 World Oil Production (IEA) Required Oil Production 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 76.9 2002 83 VLCC Fleet 73 2003 77.2 2001 88 world oil production /mbpd 530 510 490 470 450 430 410 390 370 350 330 2000 Size of VLCC fleet Minimum required oil to meet future ship Supply 14 THE VLCC MARKET DEMAND: Ton Miles TI CREATION 15 VLCC TRADES 2004 16 2.0 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 6.0 Jan-02 6.5 Jul-01 7.5 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 Jan-02 Jul-01 Jan-01 8.0 Jan-01 mbpd US Crude Production mbpd Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 Jan-02 Jul-01 8.5 Jan-01 mbpd FALLING PRODUCTION UK Crude Production 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 7.0 Norway Crude Production 3.5 3.0 2.5 17 '01 Production '04 Production Iraq Production (RHS) '02 Production '05 Production Source: MEES, updated: November 2005 Jul-05 Iraq mbpd 23.5 23.5 23.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5 25.5 26.0 26.0 26.0 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.5 27.5 27.5 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 27 '03 Production Quota Jan-05 Jul-04 17 Jan-04 23.0 23 0.15 0.30 0.46 0.70 1.05 1.40 1.55 2.00 1.80 2.00 1.88 2.50 2.31 2.05 1.45 1.95 1.80 2.30 2.40 1.75 1.50 1.80 1.86 1.95 1.92 1.85 1.82 1.95 1.88 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 25 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 19 1.30 1.76 1.52 1.83 1.50 1.82 2.42 2.37 2.27 2.55 2.43 1.03 2.31 2.54 2.53 21 Jan-02 mbpd OPEC PRODUCTION OPEC 10 and Iraq Production 29 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 18 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 Jan-02 Jul-01 Jan-01 mbpd IRAQ PRODUCTION Iraq Crude Production 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 19 RISING SEABORNE IMPORT DEMAND 3.0 Chinese Crude imports since 2002 Source: IEA 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.0 9.5 mbpd 10.0 Jul-05 1.2 Jan-05 10.5 Jul-04 1.4 Jan-04 11.0 Jul-03 1.6 Jan-03 11.5 Jul-02 1.8 Jan-02 mbpd 2.4 US Crude imports since 2002 Source: EIA 9.0 8.5 8.0 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-02 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 Jan-03 7.0 Indian Crude imports since 2002 Source: IEA Jul-02 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 Jan-02 mbpd 7.5 20 Jul-05 Jan-05 Jul-04 Jan-04 Jul-03 Jan-03 Jul-02 Jan-02 Jul-01 Jan-01 mbpd RUSSIAN CRUDE PRODUCTION 10 9 8 7 6 21 THE VLCC MARKET RATES 22 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 US$ / Day Historic Rates $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 23 TCE EARNINGS FOR VLCCs 24 What creates a Spike? mb/d 1.75 1.58 mmcf/d 10,000 Hurricane Shut-in Production Katrina Rita 9,000 Katrina, Rita, Wilma Ivan (2004) 1.40 1.23 8,000 7,000 Wilma 6,000 1.05 Oil (left scale) 0.88 5,000 4,000 0.70 3,000 0.53 Gas (right scale) 0.35 2,000 1,000 0.18 0.00 0 20 40 60 Days after Hurricane 80 0 100 25 Euronav’s Formula Mix of Spot and LT charter Fleet expansion timed with cycle Experienced team Quality of Assets In-House Management Sustainable Growth through all cycles Co-opetition Niche Business Deep customer relationships Tankers International Pool 26 Fixed Business TOTAL – 3 VLCC on TC out Floor and a Profit share VALERO – 7 Suezmax on TC out for Ice Class trade Floor and Profit Share – 2 Aframax on TC out for Caribbean trade SUN OIL COMPANY – 1 Suezmax on TC out E.N.I. – 1 Suezmax on TC out 27 Spot Business Tankers International POOL • Only operate modern quality tonnage. • Put safety and quality above all. • To change the VLCC industry from a simple transportation provider into an integrated logistics carrier for our customers. • Counter fragmentation. • Improve market knowledge and opportunity. 28 TANKERS INTERNATIONAL POOL Wah Kwong OSG Euronav Petronas Oak Oldendorff Sanko Est. 16.12.1999 – Start-up 01.02.2000 Shinyo Essar 29 THE TI FLEET vs Rest of World Single hull: 3 Rest of World Fleet 163 Double hull: 46 248 (1 on TC) Total fleet: 49 462 (4 V-Plus) % double hulled: 93.9% 60.3% Average age of fleet: 5.93 years 8.67 years 30 TOP 10 CUSTOMERS 2005 RANK: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 CUSTOMERS UNIPEC (China) CHEVRON STASCO (Shell) EXXON MOBIL ENGEN (South Africa) RILLFUNG (China) VELA TOTAL PETRONAS IRVING 31 Euronav Fleet Employment 2005 28% 35% 13% 24% VLCC owned - spot VLCC owned TC out VLCC TC in - Spot SUEZ TC out 2007 2006 32% 34% 34% 43% 12% 11% 11% 23% 32 Conclusion ¾ Experienced management team focused on both growth and dividends ¾ Low cash break even rate ¾ Full in-house technical management ¾ Only major tanker company with French, Belgium and Greek Flag Fleets ¾ Balanced growth strategy ¾ Strong balance sheet with appropriate leverage to increase Shareholder value 33 THANK YOU 34