Investment Map for Iraq - Private Sector Development Center in Iraq
Transcription
Investment Map for Iraq - Private Sector Development Center in Iraq
Private Sector Development Programme for Iraq (PSDP-I) Investment Map for Iraq Project BF/IRQ/08/007 September 2011 Prepared by EnterIraq Overview of the Investment Map ................................................................................................ 4 Chapter 1. Promoting Iraq ................................................................................................................ 4 1.1. Why Iraq ......................................................................................................................................... 4 1.2. Invest in Iraq .............................................................................................................................. 5 1.3. Economic Fundamentals ..................................................................................................... 7 1.3.1 Economic Prospects ........................................................................................................ 8 1.3.2. The Drivers of Growth................................................................................................. 9 1.3.3. Macro Stability ................................................................................................................ 11 1.3.4 Consumption Trends ................................................................................................ 14 1.3.5 Sources of Competitiveness ................................................................................... 15 1.3.6 The Potential for Private Investment .............................................................. 16 1.4. Private Investment trends .............................................................................................. 18 1.4.1 Growth of Foreign Commercial Activity ......................................................... 18 1.4.2 Industries Attracting Foreign Interest ............................................................ 19 1.4.3 Sources of Investment, Location and Deal Size ..................................... 21 1.4.4 Domestic Private Investment ................................................................................ 22 Chapter 2. Sector overviews ......................................................................................................... 24 2.1. Infrastructure ............................................................................................................................ 26 Sector Overview – Transport & Logistics ................................................................... 26 Sector Overview - Telecommunications ...................................................................... 28 Sector Overview - Electricity ............................................................................................... 29 Sector Overview- Housing ..................................................................................................... 31 2.2. Manufacturing ........................................................................................................................... 32 Sector Overview - Cement .................................................................................................... 32 Sector Overview – Construction Materials ................................................................ 33 Sector Overview – Glass & Ceramics ............................................................................ 34 Sector Overview - Petrochemicals ................................................................................... 35 Sector Overview –Fertilisers ................................................................................................ 37 2.3. Food and Food Production ............................................................................................... 39 Sector Overview – Beverages ............................................................................................. 39 Sector Overview - Dairy .......................................................................................................... 40 Sector Overview – Date Palm ............................................................................................. 41 Sector Overview - Fisheries.................................................................................................. 42 Sector Overview – Food Processing ............................................................................... 44 Sector Overview – Meat .......................................................................................................... 45 Sector Overview - Poultry ...................................................................................................... 47 2.4. Ancillary Services ................................................................................................................... 48 Sector Overview – Electrical Services........................................................................... 48 Sector Overview – Financial Services ........................................................................... 49 Sector Overview – Oil & Gas Services .......................................................................... 51 Sector Overview - Tourism ................................................................................................... 52 Chapter 3. Provincial Profiles ........................................................................................................ 53 Provincial Profile: Al Anbar......................................................................................................... 53 Provincial Profile: Al Najaf .......................................................................................................... 82 Provincial Profile: Basra ............................................................................................................ 104 Provincial Profile: Baghdad ..................................................................................................... 134 Provincial Profile: Irbil ................................................................................................................ 167 Annex A – Sector and Investment Profiles ...................................................................... 179 Annex B - How to use the Investment Map .................................................................... 573 Overview of the Investment Map The Investment Map is designed to minimize the effort that the NIC and selected PICs would need to make to incorporate its materials on to their websites or to create new communication materials. It is therefore organized as follows: Chapter 1: Promoting Iraq adds to the information currently available on the NIC website in its Why Iraq and Invest in Iraq sections. Chapter 2: Sector Overviews summarises the opportunities to invest in each of the 20 sectors. On the websites, these Sector Overviews will have a link at the end that would take the investor to the detailed sector and project profiles. In this report, these are presented in the Annex. Chapter 3: Provincial Profiles sets out the profiles and investment opportunities in the 5 provinces. Annex A: Sector and Project profiles presents the 20 detailed sector profiles along with project profiles (28) which set out specific investment opportunities in that sector. Annex B: How to use the Investment Map Chapter 1. Promoting Iraq The NIC has recognised that the process of attracting foreign investment starts with presenting to investors the fundamentals that make it possible to earn attractive returns to investment in Iraq. Investors aim to maximise the risk adjusted rate of return to investment after tax. Therefore, it is important to point out why it is possible to earn high rates of return, why risks of investing are low and then to showcase the low rates of tax that will actually be applied as a result of tax incentives. Currently, there are two sections of the NIC website that address the attractiveness of investing in Iraq: Why Iraq which presents the top 10 reasons for investing in Iraq. Invest in Iraq which presents an overview of Iraq and provides guidance to investors on the processes of investing including the services of the one stop shop. The way that these sections may be strengthened is set out below. 1.1. Why Iraq This is a well thought out section, brief and yet presenting the main attractiveness of investing in Iraq. There are, however, two strong points of Iraq that need to be added: Strong economic fundamentals that promise high returns to investment with a minimum of risk. As recognized by the IMF, the country has strong economic fundamentals: macro stability is ensured by an independent central bank that has reduced inflation and interest rates to single digits; the government deficit is under control and is expected to move into surplus; the Iraqi Dinar is stable and foreign reserves are at $ 50 billion and increasing. With GDP projected to grow at over 12%, p.a., per capita incomes will rise rapidly offering attractive returns to investors with minimal economic risk. Falling security concerns and political stability mean that first mover advantage will accrue to those who invest now. Now that security is improving and the events of last year have proven the stability of Iraq’s democracy, interest in investing in Iraq is growing rapidly. Dunia Frontier Consultants report foreign commercial activity rising 47% in 2010 with investors from 34 countries reporting deals. For those who wish to enjoy the advantage of the high returns available from getting in at the bottom of what will be a steep curve of growth and development, the time to invest is now. These points will help to allay, in part, the high risk perceived by investors in investing in Iraq and to highlight the country’s huge economic potential. To incorporate these statements into the section, the NIC has two options: 1. Change the heading of the section to Top Dozen Reasons to Invest in Iraq. 2. Merge four of the existing top 10 reasons. For instance, it should be relatively easy to merge the sections on Unmet needs of a diverse domestic market and Increasing middle class creating demand for new products and services as they are making related points: there are strong market opportunities because demand is growing rapidly as incomes rise and domestic supply is limited. In addition, the sections on Strong investment incentives, tax exemptions and guarantees offered and Low corporate tax rates may be merged as they make the same point. By merging these sections, the two new points can be accommodated in the top 10. 1.2. Invest in Iraq The NIC has a section entitled “Invest in Iraq” which provides a drop down menu that provides access to sections on: “Iraq Overview” which provides brief overview of the country’s geographical characteristics, population and economy; “Visiting Iraq” which provides information on how to get to Iraq. “Investor Guide” which sets out the basic information on the investment regime1; “Investment Opportunities” which contains information on the investment approval process and sets out basic information on provinces and sectors in power point format paralleling the information in the separate drop down called “Provinces and Sectors”. “Local Partnerships” which highlights the potential to enter into partnership with Iraqi firms and provides a form for requesting assistance from the NIC to find partners. “One stop Shop” which describes the functions and objectives of the one-stop- shop and its goals and includes an Investor Application form. Housing Program” describes the huge opportunity for investors to participate in the housing program that NIC is promoting on behalf of the Government. All the information presented is useful. However, there is very little information on Iraq’s economy, the drivers of growth and investment, the strong socio-economic fundamentals or natural resource base that suggest attractive returns to investment and minimize the risk of investment. This is vital information for mobilizing investor interest. Moreover, there is limited information on investment trends in the section on Iraq Overview that does not convey the strong interest that is beginning to be generated in investing in Iraq. Investors do tend to follow each other into countries so informing them of what their competitors are doing can help to galvanize them to take a look at Iraq. Informing them that there is a narrow window of time before they might lose first mover advantages of getting into the market at the bottom and picking the best deals on offer can sharpen their interest further. What we suggest is that NIC add to the drop downs under “Invest In Iraq” two new section called Economic Fundamentals and Investment Trends. Hence, the new drop down menu would comprise: Iraq Overview Economic Fundamentals Private Investment Trends Visiting Iraq Investor Guide Investment Opportunities 1We Information of the new section that will appear when Economic Fundamentals is selected on left-hand side panel: Prospects for the Economy The Drivers of Growth Macro stability note that under “Investor Guide”, the link to “Local Partnerships” does not provide the same information as under “Local Partnerships”. We suggest that this page is updated so it takes investors to the same link. Local Partnerships One Stop Shop Housing Program Consumer Trends The Sources of Competitiveness The Potential for Private Investment Information of the new section that will appear when Private Investment Trends is selected on left-hand side panel: Foreign Commercial Activity Industries Attracting Foreign Investment Sources of Investment, Location & Deal Size Domestic Private Investment 1.3. Economic Fundamentals The IMF reports strong economic fundamentals that will drive rapid growth and minimize economic risk 1. IMF projects economic growth to accelerate to over 12%. 2. Growth will be led by oil but the non-oil economy will also grow at a robust pace reaching 14% p.a.by 2014. Non-oil growth is being driven by public investment in housing, electricity, transportation and water. Private consumption is also growing fast. 3. Macro stability is assured by the independent Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) which has brought inflation down from over 30% p.a. to 6%7%. Interest rates are also in single digits, just above inflation. 4. The budget deficit is under control coming in lower than expected in 2010. The fiscal balance is expected to become positive by 2013 as a result of higher oil revenues. Public finances are sound. 5. The current account balance is manageable and expected to be in surplus by 2013. 6. The country’s foreign exchange reserves have increased to $50 billion and are expected to rise to $75 billion by 2015. The country is easily able to service its external debt. 7. The Iraqi dinar has stabilised against the US dollar. 8. Iraq’s markets are large, catering for a population of 30 million. Most are growing at double digit rates driven along by higher incomes and one of the youngest populations in the world that will demand greater variety of goods and services. 9. The country’s competitive advantage derives from its outstanding natural resources for downstream petrochemicals, all three types of fertiliser, cement, glass and ceramics, iron and food products such as dates. 10. Currently, private investment is low but there are major opportunities to invest. Foreign direct investment is projected to increase 5 fold between 2009 and 2015. 1.3.1 Economic Prospects Iraq’s economy has had a roller coaster ride since 2003. Whist the economy declined in 2004, the following year witnessed a post war boom with GDP rising by over 50%. Since then, GDP has grown rapidly punctuated by security concerns and fluctuations in the price of oil which have left growth volatile. Looking ahead, however, the economy is set for much faster and steadier growth. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its latest assessment of the economy, projects growth as shown in the table below. Growth is expected to pick up to over 12% p.a. and over the 2010-2015 period average 10% p.a. making Iraq one of the fastest growing economies in the world. 2008 2009 Est Real GDP (percentage change) 9.5 4.2 GDP per capita (US$) 2845 2087 Source: IMF, 2011 2010 Proj 0.8 2564 2011 Proj 12.2 2983 2012 Proj 11.1 3400 2013 Proj 10.1 4460 2014 Proj 9.3 5190 2015 Proj 8.8 5763 These high rates of growth will propel per capita incomes so that the country establishes itself firmly as an upper middle income country. 1.3.2. The Drivers of Growth Oil: As the country which contains the world’s second largest reserves of oil, estimated at between 115 and 143 billion barrels, it is not surprising that Iraq’s economy is dominate by oil. Figure 1 shows that in 2008, 56% of GDP came from oil. The Structure of the Iraqi Economy, 2008. Wholesale and Retail Trade & Hotel, 6.4% Building & Construction, 3.8% Agriculture, Forestry, 3.5% Electricity & Water, 0.8% Ownership of Dwelling, 7.0% Banking & Insurance, 0.7% Transport, Communications & Services, 7.7% Social & Personal Services, 12.4% Manufacturing & Industry, 1.5% Oil & Gas, 56.2% Source: COSIT, 2008 In fact, the country has only recently started to put in place the investment needed to realise its potential as an oil exporter. The IMF estimates that, even under conservative assumptions, oil output is set to more than double from the 2008 levels of 2.29 million barrels per day (mbpd) to 5.39 mbpd. Under best case assumptions, oil output could rise 5 fold to 1.2 mbpd (see figure). Oil plays a pivotal role in the economy, not only contributing the majority of GDP and hence determining growth, but it also accounts for nearly 90% of government revenue and nearly all its exports. So, the growth in oil output, combined with high oil prices, enables the Government of Iraq to increase its investment in the reconstruction and modernisation of the country. They also help to sustain the balance of payments paying for the imports that country needs for reconstruction and to meet the consumption needs of its people. Oil will be a major driver of the economy. Non-oil Growth: Iraq’s economy cannot rely on oil for growth. The non-oil economy is also projected to sustain substantial rates of growth in the near term and to accelerate after that. By 2013, non-oil growth should outpace oil growth and will become the main driver of the economy. 200 8 Real GDP (percentage change) 9.5 Non-oil real GDP (percentage 5.4 change) Source: IMF, 2011 200 9 Est 4.2 4 201 0 Proj 0.8 4.5 201 1 Proj 12.2 5 201 2 Proj 11.1 5.5 201 3 Proj 10.1 5.8 201 4 Proj 9.3 13.0 201 5 Proj 8.8 10.6 Public Investment: The Iraqi economy is in a phase of reconstructing damaged infrastructure and providing the basic social services that its citizens need. Enabled by the growth of oil revenues, public investment is booming, accounting for nearly 30% of GDP. Government is prioritising housing, electricity, water and sanitation and transport infrastructure. It is also playing a lead role in investing in the country’s oil industry repairing damaged facilities and investing in new capacity. Projected GDP and Levels of Public Investment, 2008-2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 Est Proj Proj Real GDP (percentage change) 9.5 4.2 0.8 12.2 Non-oil real GDP (percentage 5.4 4 4.5 5 change) GDP per capita (US$) 2845 2087 2564 2983 GDP (in US$ billion) 86.5 65.2 82.2 98 Gross domestic investment Of which: public Source: IMF, 2011. 28.4 26.4 25.7 21.9 24.4 20.3 33.5 28.7 2012 Proj 11.1 5.5 3400 114.4 32.4 27.3 Government investment will provide major opportunities for foreign and domestic investors. They are competing for government contracts and will be able to supply electricity and housing on a build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) basis under public private partnership arrangements. In addition, there are good opportunities for suppliers of goods and services to these industries to invest in Iraq. Investment in State Owned Enterprises: With government revenues now in much better shape, the Ministry of Finance is providing finance to the state owned enterprises (SOEs) to invest in capital equipment and services needed to rehabilitate and/or restructure their operations. The tendering for contracts to supply goods and services to the SOEs will provide major opportunities for foreign and domestic investors. In addition, ministers such as the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) are inviting investors to express interest in taking on the rehabilitation and restructuring of SOEs, through production sharing agreements or other arrangements. Private Consumption: In recent years, there has been a huge increase in private consumption expenditure in Iraq. This has been made possible by a rise in capita incomes generally and an increase in household incomes caused by a rise in public sector salaries, remittances from abroad and an increase in economic activity generally. Private consumption expenditure increased from $5.9 billion in 2005 to $26.6 billion in 2008 providing the demand for the growth of non-oil industries. This growth in consumption is driving the growth of markets for all types of consumer goods in Iraq. Because domestic agriculture and industry are yet to recover, this is causing a huge increase in imports. There is plenty of scope for investors to establish local industries to meet local demand. As shown below, there are several factors that suggest that local production will have a significant competitive advantage over imports. 1.3.3. Macro Stability In its latest assessment, the IMF has praised the Iraqi authorities for the progress achieved on macro stability under difficult conditions. The Government’s determination to ensure macro stability is evidenced by the establishment of an independent Central Bank of Iraq and to keep the budget deficit in check despite the huge calls to increase expenditure on reconstruction. The country’s achievement can be seen from progress on the key indicators of stability below. Inflation which was running at over 30% in 2007 fell to just 2.7% p.a. by mid2010. The increase in food and commodity prices that have pushed up inflation worldwide have caused the rate of inflation to rise to over 5% this year. However, the Central Bank of Iraq’s mission is the control of inflation. A combination of reserve requirements on the commercial banks and positive real interest rates is keeping inflation in check. Interest rates: Successfully controlling inflation has paid the dividend of allowing the Central Bank to reduce interest rates without the fear of stoking inflation. Interest rates, which were as high as 23% a few years ago, have fallen to just 7% this year making it much more attractive for investors to borrow locally. Whilst the Central Bank’s primary role is to ensure macro stability, the CBI has cut interest rates as inflation has declined with the aim of encouraging the private sector to invest. The Fiscal deficit & Public Debt: For a country that is rebuilding after years of economic sanctions and war, Iraq has maintained admirable control over public finances. Strong oil revenues have played their role but the restraint shown last year, when there was political uncertainty, has been commended by many observers, including the IMF which noted that, in 2010, the deficit was well below the original forecast despite difficult conditions. With oil revenues set to double, the fiscal deficit should turn into a fiscal surplus. The public debt is manageable not imposing a high burden on public finances. Unlike many countries of the world, Iraq’s public finances are sound. Trade Balance & Current Account: Despite a boom in imports to fund reconstruction and cater for growing consumption, because of oil, Iraq runs a positive trade balance representing 6.7% of GDP in 2010. The current account deficit is manageable, projected at 6% of GDP in 2010 and expected to stay at that level over the next two years. The IMF projects the surplus on trade to increase to 19% of GDP by 2015 and the current account to become positive, amounting to over 6% of GDP. Foreign Reserves & External Debt: Iraq’s foreign exchange reserves rose from $44 billion in 2009 to $50 billion in 2010. Reserves represent a healthy 8 months of import cover. They are projected to rise to over $75 billion in 2015. The country’s external debt has been high at 106% of GDP in 2010. However, the country is making progress in negotiations with its Paris Club creditors and the IMF projects external debt to fall to a very creditable 32% of GDP by 2012. Foreign Exchange Rate: Having depreciated until mid-2008, the Iraqi Dinar has remained stable against the US dollar since then. With growing foreign exchange reserves, the Iraqi Dinar is not likely to depreciate and may well appreciate. 1.3.4 Consumption Trends Iraq is poised for a consumer boom driven by a combination of economic and demographic factors: Economic Prosperity: Rising per capita incomes will drive prosperity enabling consumers to continue to spend more. Crucially, as per capita incomes rise above the $3,000 per capita mark in the next two years, consumers should have incomes sufficient to widen the range of goods and services they buy beyond the necessities. Consumer markets will therefore not only grow but diversify. Demographic Trends: Iraq’s sizable population of 30 million the basis of large markets. The population is growing at 2.5% p.a. driving the growth of markets. It is also amongst the youngest populations in the world with 40% of the population under 15. As the young enter the workforce, their purchasing power will add to the rapid growth of the market. Most markets in Iraq are growing above double digit rates. Over the past 3 years, despite difficult economic conditions, imports have been averaging growth between 10%-15%. With the economy set for faster growth, most markets should be able to maintain their very fast rate of expansion. As prosperity increases, so should discretionary expenditure. Although markets for food have been growing very rapidly, consumers are demanding a greater variety of goods and services. Already, consumers are spending more on consumer goods, housing, water, diesel, electricity and transportation. Although the proportion consumers spend on food and non-alcoholic beverages has fallen, because households have to pay more for the utilities, housing and transport, there is still considerable increase in demand for these items. Food, clothing, accessories and toys have been experiencing particularly strong demand. And it is noticeable that spending on consumer durables such as air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machine and televisions has been so high that the country has been unable to meet the growth in demand for electricity. This is why Government has substantially increased its investment in infrastructure and is looking to the private sector to invest alongside it. 1.3.5 Sources of Competitiveness Iraqi businesses have three sources of competitiveness: The Country’s Outstanding Natural Resource Base: This goes well beyond oil and gas to other minerals such as limestone, gypsum, silica, clay phosphates, sulphur, iron, barites. In addition, the country’s agriculture benefits from substantial arable and grazing land and water. Abundant, Inexpensive, and Trainable Labour: Because of the past, there is still significant unemployment in the country (15%). Labour costs are far lower than regional neighbours and European competitors. Unskilled labour is available, for instance, at a cost of around US$500- $600 month. Given the strong tradition of education and technical training in particular, over 20% of the work force has attended higher education. Iraq once led the region in industry and there is a strong engineering tradition in the country. Though not up to date with modern technology, the workforce is eminently trainable. An open economy but domestic industry has major advantages: Iraq is a modern, open economy with low tariff barriers allowing investors to import at very low levels of duty. But domestic industry has major advantages. Road transport from neighbouring countries has become very expensive with a truck travelling from Amman in Jordan costing $1,500 per trip. Whilst Iraqi port facilities are being expanded, there are delays in importing goods that combine with the cost of road transport from Basra to Baghdad to offer a substantial cost advantage to domestic industry. Iraq has barely started to develop industries based on its natural resources. Downstream processing of oil into exports is limited to small amounts of alkyl benzenes. The processing of gas into ethylene and downstream plastics is only just recommencing. There has been substantial investment of late in the cement industry. Were it not for the country’s own demand for cement rising rapidly, as a result of reconstruction, the country could develop into a major regional exporter. Glass and ceramic production is limited to one SOE and is yet to recommence. Phosphorus and sulphur are being utilised by two SOEs but production is low in comparison with the strong natural resource base. Once a major agricultural producer, the country’s agriculture has suffered years of under investment. The country continues to export modest amounts of food but has become a net food importer. Dates used to be a major Iraqi export but they now account for less than 1% of total export. Iraq used to be the world’s largest date exporter, accounting for nearly 77% of world date exports in 1980. It is now the sixth largest exporter in the world accounting for no more than 5% of world exports in 2005. It is notable that, of late, foreign investors are beginning to show interest in investing in Iraqi agriculture and manufacturing to supply the domestic market. This is happening in brown field sites in partnership with domestic SOEs or in green field sites. Examples of these are given under Investment Trends. 1.3.6 The Potential for Private Investment The Government of Iraq via the National Development Plan 2010-2014 (NDP) has stressed the importance to diversify the economy into non-oil sectors. The NDP sets out three broad themes for the economy: i) diversifying the economy and exports away from the current heavy dependence on oil; ii) completing the transition to a private sector led, market economy by strengthening the private sector; iii) creating 3-4 million jobs to reduce employment, especially the very high rates of unemployment amongst the young. The NDP stresses the importance of private investment. However, at present, the dominance of public investment, noted, above means that private investment in Iraq, at around 4% of GDP, is much lower than in comparable countries (20% of GDP or more). There are several reasons for this; chief amongst them is the weakness of Iraq’s private sector. Iraq was a state dominated economy in the past and the private sector was hit hard during the period of sanctions in the 1990s. The private sector only accounts for 30% of GDP. After the war, the private sector has not been able to take advantage of the reforms. Most private firms are small scale firms operating in the import and trading of goods. Almost 5 million people work in the private sector, among 622,000 SMEs, 719,200 self-employed businesses, and about 1 million informal businesses. While private sector involvement is currently low, there is an enthusiasm for investing in more substantial, manufacturing businesses. With growing demand for food, consumer goods, household appliances, and demand for supporting services to public companies, the private sector has a large potential role in Iraq. This will call for large scale investments and know-how of modern technology and business models that the domestic private sector lacks. The domestic private sector is therefore keen to partner with foreign investors. Up to now, foreign direct investment in Iraq has been relatively modest given the vast potential of the country. Concerns over security, political instability, corruption and the investment climate have dampened appetite. But that is already changing as security concerns are falling and the country showed last year that it is becoming a stable democracy. The violence that remerged last year was due to political uncertainty. Now that the political impasse has been resolved, it has died down again. FDI is projected to rise 5 fold between 2009 and 2015. 2008 Foreign Direct Investment (million US$) Source: IMF, 2011. 1822 200 9 Est 152 6 201 0 Proj 194 8 201 1 Proj 391 7 201 2 Proj 510 8 201 3 Proj 588 2 201 4 Proj 679 9 201 5 Proj 780 6 To date, foreign investment has been attracted mainly to a few Iraqi markets such as housing and real estate, transportation, electricity, oil and gas, water and sanitation and health. This is now changing with foreign investment being attracted to agriculture and a wide range of manufacturing industry as set out under Investment Trends. Present, private investment In Iraq is roughly evenly split between foreign and domestic investment. Trends in both are set out below. 1.4. Private Investment trends 1. Foreign commercial activity increased by nearly 50% in 2010. The trend of rapid growth has continued from 2007. 2. Deals reported in 2010 amounted to US$42.7 billion. 3. Investment was focused on housing, transportation, electricity, industry and oil and gas and real estate. Together these 5 sectors accounted for 90% of foreign deals reported. 4. The oil and gas was in fourth place in deal flow reflecting the priorities for public investment and the fact that investors are increasingly aware of the diversity of investment opportunities that Iraq offers. 5. The sources of investment are changing with the Gulf countries no longer dominant. Turkish, Italian and French investors are increasing their share of investment. 6. Investors from 34 countries announced deals in Iraq in 2010. 7. Foreign investment continues to be centred on Baghdad, Basra and the KRG but far more governorates are attracting investment than in the past. 8. Deal size is falling as more investors find a greater variety of opportunity in Iraq. 9. Domestic investment has kept pace with the growth of foreign investment and is expected to do so in future. 10. The major sectors for domestic investment are housing and real estate, manufacturing and tourism, especially in the religious tourism sites in Kerbala and Najaf that draw over 8 million visitors to Iraq. At 1.4.1 Growth of Foreign Commercial Activity The most informed survey of foreign commercial activity in Iraq is prepared annually by Dunia Frontier Consultants (DFC) the latest of which was published earlier this year2. In recognition of the fact that the overwhelming proportion of investment in Iraq is by the public sector, instead of tracking FDI, Dunia now tracks foreign commercial activity 2 Foreign Commercial Activity in Iraq, 2010 Year In Review, Dunia Frontier Consultants, 2011. which includes both FDI as well as public sector funded contracts undertaken by foreign firms3. According to DFC, despite the uncertainly that ensued as a result of the failure to form a new government following parliamentary elections in 2010, the level of foreign commercial activity continued to increaser. In fact, levels of foreign commercial activity were 48.7% higher in 2010 compared to 2009, continuing the sharp upward trend that started from 2007. Trends in Foreign Commercial Activity in Iraq, Source: DFC, 2011. Deals reported by foreign companies reached US$42.7 billion in 2010. This is the aggregate value of deals not actual investment. In 2010, total private investment in Iraq was around US$5 billion of which roughly half was foreign. Nevertheless, the figures above show a growing appetite amongst foreigners for investing in or undertaking contracts in Iraq. Decreasing concerns over security and strong macro fundamentals are the main drivers of growth. 1.4.2 Industries Attracting Foreign Interest Surprisingly, despite the country opening up its huge oil and gas reserves for development to international oil companies (IOCs), Dunia reports that the highest level of foreign commercial activity is in the residential real estate industry followed by transport infrastructure, electricity and water and sanitation. Oil and gas comes fourth as shown in the table below. This reflects both the nature of public investment and the fact that foreign investors are realising the potential of Iraqi industry. The top 5 sectors accounted for 90% of the total deals reported. Foreign Commercial Activity in Iraq 2010 by Sector Source: DFC, 20100 Residential real estate investment reflects the huge housing deficit in the country and the general need to re-build community infrastructure, as documented in the section Provinces and Sectors (see sector profiles below). Much of the investment is public sector with Government asking firms to compete for contracts to build housing and social infrastructure. Deals for such investment can be huge. For example, the contract to rebuild Sadr City, a suburb of Baghdad, was worth US$11.3 billion. Late in 2010, the NIC issued a call for investors to express interest in building 3.5 million housing units by 2020, a deal worth US$25 billion. The reported deals in transport infrastructure covered ports, airports, road and rail. The decision to award a contract to build and operate a major new port at al-Faw near Basra was a major cause of this sector gaining such prominence. The pressing need to increase the generation of electricity is documented in the section Provinces and Sectors (see sector profiles below). The Ministry of Electricity and the National Investment Commission have awarded huge contracts to supply turbines and other equipment and for investors to bid for contracts to rehabilitate existing plants and/or build new ones. Several deals have been concluded to build, own, operate and transfer new power plants under IPP arrangements, especially in KRG, even though the national policy framework for such contracts is not, as yet, in place. Projects to rehabilitate the country’s water and sanitation infrastructure, damaged during the war, are being awarded by various government agencies. Thus, what is driving foreign commercial activity is the need to rebuild Iraq’s housing and infrastructure damaged during the war. Despite the difficulties caused by the decline in government revenues, caused by the global slowdown in 2009 and the resultant collapse in oil prices, Government has been able to maintain a high level of public investment in infrastructure and housing. With the recovery of oil prices and increasing oil output, these sectors are likely to continue to attract large levels of foreign commercial activity for some time to come. Oil and gas is an industry that is likely also to continue to attract sizable levels of foreign commercial activity for the foreseeable future. As set out in the IM, Iraq still has large untapped hydrocarbon reserves that will require major investment to develop. The country is also starting to see sizable investment flows to develop industries that use oil and gas. The generation of power using hydrocarbons is an obvious example. In addition, investors have shown interest in petrochemicals, as described in the profile on that industry in the section on Provinces and Sectors (see sector profiles below). The huge construction activity that is resulting from the high levels of investment in residential and commercial real estate and the rebuilding of infrastructure is causing the demand for construction materials to boom. Where the country has the natural resources to manufacture construction materials competitively, substantial levels of investment are taking place. A prime example is the manufacture of cement using locally available limestone and gypsum. The entry into Iraq of Lafarge, the world’s largest cement producer, is testimony to the huge demand for cement in Iraq and the ready availability of raw materials. Several Chinese companies have now followed Lafarge into Iraq. The sizable level of foreign commercial activity reported by Dunia in the industrial sector reflects interest in using natural resources such as hydrocarbons and limestone. In addition, guided by the NDP, the Ministry of Finance has started to make available sizable sums to state owned enterprises (SOEs) to enable them to rehabilitate their plant and equipment as it was neglected during the period of economic sanctions and/or damaged during the war. There is some evidence that suggests that the MIM’s policy of attracting investment to rehabilitate SOEs may, in one or two areas, prove attractive to investors, provided agreement can be reached on labour use and other contingent liabilities. The deal signed with Lafarge is a prime example. 1.4.3 Sources of Investment, Location and Deal Size The pattern of foreign commercial activity also reveals three other significant trends that should prove the basis for many more investors to be attracted to Iraq: I. The country of origin of investors is changing and becoming more diverse. In earlier years, FDI in Iraq was dominated by countries of the Middle East with UAE, Lebanon and Jordan contributing the lions share. In 2010, firms from 34 countries announced that they were undertaking commercial activities in Iraq. This is an encouraging sign showing that firms from more and more countries now find it attractive to invest and work in Iraq. However, activity is still dominated by firms from Turkey, Italy, France, Korea and USA who together accounted for over 70% of the activity announced in 2010. Figure 5: Sources of Foreign Commercial Activity, 2010 Source: DFC, 2011 II. Foreign firms are being attracted to a wider range of governorates than in the past. Much of the foreign activity reported in 2010 was concentrated in Baghdad, where government sponsored housing led the way, and around Basra where hydrocarbon and infrastructure investment were the drivers. As in the past, the KRG, with its relatively better security and pro-private sector policies, continued to attract the attention of foreign firms. What has been most encouraging, however, is the emergence of governorates such as Karbala, Maysan, Wassit and Najaf as centres of foreign commercial activity. This reflects the spread of security in Iraq, the opening up of the oil and gas sector and a greater appreciation amongst investors of the economic strength of governorates such as Karbala and Najaf with their large religious tourism driven economies. III. Deals are becoming more numerous and their average value is falling. In the past, foreign activity in Iraq owed much to a small number of mega real estate projects valued at over US$1 billion. The numbers of projects has increased and the average size has fallen from US$683 million in 2009 to US$320 million in 2010. This is a reflection of foreign firms becoming aware of a greater variety of opportunities and appreciating that the risk of investing and working in Iraq has fallen resulting in an acceptable trade off of reward to risk even if the reward from smaller projects is lower than from the large. 1.4.4 Domestic Private Investment Though domestic investment mostly goes unnoticed in Iraq, it has kept pace with foreign investment. The private sector is weak but it has been able to spot the opportunities for supplying a greater quantity and variety of food and beverages, consumer goods and industrial raw materials such as bricks. Like most countries, official data does not disaggregate domestic private investment. Some indication of the breakdown of investment may be obtained from reviewing the pattern of investment licenses, as shown in the figure below. 1% 5% 1% 18% Tourism Housing Agriculture Manufacturing 39% Services 35% 1% Transportation Retail What is notable is the investment in tourism. This reflects the countries rich cultural assets that have made it a major destination for tourism in the Middle East drawing over 8 million visitors to the Shia holy sites in Najaf and Kerbala. This is mainly religious tourism at present but the country could attract cultural visitors to its word heritage sites in future. Chapter 2. Sector overviews We present a selection of non-oil industries with high growth potential across the economy. The industry profiles offer a snapshot of the industry, including an overall market analysis, legal framework and recent pertinent developments. The profiles also offer brief investment opportunities that might be of interest to investors. The selection of industries for review was guided by two main criteria: i) industries that benefit from consumption and investment trends and offer the most attractive opportunities for private investment); and ii) industries that are prioritised in among national development objectives thus will benefit from investment incentives and ease of entry. For further inquiries, please contact the National Investment Commission (Note: the profiles will be presented in a similar format as the Iraq by Sector page currently on the NIC website: http://www.investpromo.gov.iq/index.php?id=11. By clicking on each link below, investors will see an overview of the sector, to be followed by another link for full profile presented in PDF format. Therefore all the information will appear on one screen, and interested investors can read the full profile by opening another window.) Transport Telecommunication Electricity Housing Cement Construction materials Glass & Ceramics Petrochemical Fertilisers Beverages Dairy Date Palm Fisheries Food Processing Meat Poultry Electricity services Financial services Oil& Gas Services Tourism The sector overview will appear here when a link is selected on the left-hand side panel. Sector Overview – Transport & Logistics 2.1. Infrastructure Sector Overview – Transport & Logistics Overview Iraq’s transport and logistics sectors have great potential and are already attracting domestic and international investors to rehabilitate and expand transport infrastructure. The economic reconstruction of the country depends on a reliable transport network. Iraq’s strategic location between Asia and Europe gives it a competitive advantage over neighbouring countries in terms of trade, and navigation links, and has strong potential for development as both a freight and passenger transport hub. According to the National Investment Commission (NIC) and the Ministry of Transport (MoT), $60bn to $100bn in investment is required over the next few years to develop an integrated transport network. There are also opportunities to address the ever increasing needs of several sub-sectors, namely storage, road transport haulage, railways, and the maritime and aviation industries. Cold Storage Investment is currently being sought to rehabilitate the 125,000m² al-Hillah Commercial Cold Storage Facility in the province of Babel. Future expected increases in agricultural production presents a real investment opportunity for investors in cold storage facilities. Road Freight and Passenger Rail The dependence on road freight supply during and between the first and second Gulf wars has led to a booming domestic freight cargo and logistics industry. Investment is needed to rehabilitate the road network. Passenger rail transport has been identified as an effective way of alleviating some pressure from the road and international firms have secured government contracts to build the Baghdad Metro and City of Najaf monorail network. Rail Network - Freight Well positioned to serve as an international rail cross point, Iraq has an international rail system that currently connects the country easily to Western and Central Europe as well as the Gulf. The ambitious National Development Plan seeks to rehabilitate and expand the antiquated system to serve as a new Euro-Gulf rail route. This route is expected to be price competitive and quicker than shipping freight through the Suez Sector Overview – Transport & Logistics Canal. Serving as a dry land conduit, shipments into Basra port would easily link into surrounding gulf countries, Turkey and Europe, making it one of the world’s strategic global routes. The MoT has prioritised six major routes for foreign investment that will cover 1,243km when completed. Maritime Transport Maritime Transport is a vital arterial route for the export of Iraqi oil and is, thereby, high on the Government’s agenda for rehabilitation and expansion. The General Company for Ports of Iraq, which manages and supervises all of the country’s five service ports and 48 commercial berths, plans to expand capacity from 15.9 million tonnes per year to 53 million by 2018. Additionally, 13 new commercial berths will need to be constructed during the next two years, which can then be leased to investors upon completion. Civil Aviation Baghdad International Airport, the country’s largest airport, currently handles 7.5 million passengers a year. There are plans to significantly expand the number of terminals to cater for increased demand in the future, expected to be around 15 million by 2014. Several international airlines have recently added direct flights between Iraq and neighbouring Gulf States, as well as Europe. Additionally, the recent sale of serviceable fleets of the largest passenger airline, Iraqi Airways, to repay war damages has left a gap in the commercial passenger market. Several secondary cities in the provinces are also seeking to expand their civil aviation capacity and are currently tendering for companies to undertake such expansions. It is estimated that up to $150 billion of investment is currently being considered in the sector, with bidders and interested parties from around the world. Sector Overview - Telecommunications Sector Overview - Telecommunications Overview In recent years, Iraq’s telecommunications sector has seen significant growth in foreign direct investment, particularly in mobile and internet technologies; this is largely due to the existence of an independent regulator and renewed openness to foreign companies. The development of telecommunications technologies means that the limited fix-lined penetration in the country is not a hurdle to connecting households to telecommunications networks. By using Wireless Local Loop networks (WLL) the sector is quickly being transformed, providing both broadband internet, as well as fixed line services, without high infrastructure costs. Since 2006, the Iraqi government has contracted various private sector companies to introduce WLL technology for both voice and data services. The National Development Plan 2010-2014 (NDP) indicates that there were more than 15 million mobile phone users in 2008. The wide use of mobile technology has made voice services affordable for many households, with the government planning 100% coverage by 2014. Currently, whereas fixed-line penetration stands at around 4.9%, mobile phone penetration is around 69% and continues to grow. Additionally, the market has remained open to foreign companies to increase domestic competition and price competitiveness; two of the three main mobile companies operating in the country are foreign operators. Most Iraqi households do not own a home computer and internet cafes are the primary source of access to the internet. The CMC is seeking to exponentially expand household internet access in the next few years and has set ambitious goals of providing 92% of households with comprehensive broadband internet service, with access to voice services, and affordable advanced third-generation (3G) telecommunications services as early as this year. International investors have demonstrated a keen interest in meeting this target. Three national and three local Wireless Local Loop (WLL) licences have been awarded and operators have launched services using Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA) networks. But these have not, as yet, made much impact as most people access the internet from internet cafés which use satellite connections. Additionally, the high price of internet subscriptions, contribute to the lack of general public subscribers. More investment in the physical infrastructure is needed to bring services to the people and bring prices down. The telecoms sector is one of the big success stories of post-war Iraq. With a more settled security situation, better regulation, and a fully liberalised market, the conditions are right to attract further investment from both Iraqi and foreign investors. Sector Overview - Electricity Sector Overview - Electricity Overview Iraq’s electricity sector offers attractive investment opportunities for domestic and foreign investors. The Government of Iraq (GoI) has ambitious plans to increase the capacity of the sector through incentivising Independent Power Providers (IPPs) to Build, Own and Operate (BOO) gas and thermal plants. The incentive regime includes a power purchase agreement, a long term fuel supply agreement, government backed payment and other guarantees and the assurance of continuity of terms after the plant is built. Though power from the grid is currently supplied at a subsidized price to households, government is in the process of adjusting tariffs so that they offer an attractive return to IPP without the subsidy. GoI realises that it must harness the ability of the private sector to finance and build quickly and efficiently the additional generation capacity that the country needs. Domestic demand has grown exponentially in recent years due mainly to increased demand from households, the main consumers of electricity in Iraq at present. A substantial proportion of household demand is currently unmet from the grid forcing households to pay a huge premium for self-generated electricity or sourced from private suppliers who serve particular communities (known as Khutoots in Arabic). It recognises also that, at present, lack of power is the binding constraint to profitable investment in other sectors of the economy, especially manufacturing. Hence, increasing the generation of electricity is fundamental to the country’s economic diversification away from the oil and gas industry. Demand is estimated to increase dramatically from 10,000 MW in 2008 to 21,00025,000 MW in 2015. In 2008, the country’s Electricity Master Plan estimated investment needs to be $27 billion to raise generating capacity to 21,000 MW. Following the successful completion of IPP projects by the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG), through the National Investment Commission (NIC), GoI has asked international investors to submit proposals to set up gas or oil-fuelled energy plants under BOO contracts. At least 43 international investors, some in partnership with Iraqi companies, have submitted proposals to the NIC. Although the response to the development and rehabilitation of the sector has already generated significant international enthusiasm, there are still plenty of opportunities for international investors to submit proposals. The KRG is looking for additional investors to build plants to generate an additional 1,700 MW of capacity. The NIC has asked for proposals to build: Sector Overview - Electricity 1. 5 new gas fired plants each with a capacity of 500 MW 2. 12 new thermal plants each with a capacity of 300 MW Details of these opportunities are set out in the full profile. Sector Overview - Housing Sector Overview- Housing Overview The housing sector is one of Iraq’s most vibrant industries thanks to post-war housing deficit and a growing population. Survey data shows that 1 in 10 Iraqi citizens want to move out of their current dwellings and with population growth on the increase this trend is only expected to grow in the medium term. The Ministry of Construction and Housing (MoCH) estimates that 2 million housing units will be required over the next six years, meaning 200,000 units have to be added every year in both urban and rural areas4. National reconstruction efforts also present huge opportunities to private and foreign investors. A public housing programme launched by the National Investment Commission (NIC) presents opportunities for different types of housing. The NIC plans to allocate land for building multipurpose housing complexes either free of charge or at 7% of potential revenue. Amendments to the 2006 Iraqi Investment Law allow foreign investors to participate in the housing market. About 85% of new housing developments are expected from the private sector. 300 international companies had been in talks with the government about participating in the housing programme.5 4Iraq 5Iraq National Housing Policy, Ministry of Construction and Housing, 2010. Business News, 13 September 2010. 31 Sector Overview - Cement 2.2. Manufacturing Sector Overview - Cement Overview There is a big demand for cement in Iraq as the country is undergoing large reconstruction efforts and economic recovery. The cement industry was identified in the National Development Plan (2010-2014) as having a comparative advantage and likely to be fuelled by massive demand from the construction industry in coming years. Current consumption per capita was estimated at 165kg, below that of neighbouring countries, which suggest that consumption demand will grow rapidly in the near future. Although the main domestic players are large State Owned Enterprises (SOEs), the cement industry in Iraq is currently dependent on import. The vast reserves of natural resources suggest huge potential for domestic production of cement but this potential is currently undermined. There are a number of investment opportunities in both the rehabilitation of cement SOEs and green field investment. The cement and brick sector are among the sectors targeted by the Government in its plan to rehabilitate the industrial sector. The government has passed legislation to revamp its regulatory framework to facilitate investment, including incentives for foreign companies. A two-pronged approach has been taken through rehabilitation of existing plants and Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) for new plants. While there are some serious challenges to be encountered, most significantly the limited and unreliable power supply available for plants, there is enormous potential in the sector, especially as demand for reconstruction materials will continue to grow. Iraq is well positioned to capitalise on this as it possesses all of the natural minerals required for cement production. 32 Sector Overview – Construction Materials Sector Overview – Construction Materials Overview Construction materials is a fast and growing industry in Iraq given on-going reconstruction and development efforts. Demand for improved infrastructure is growing. Years of war, sanctions and underinvestment have left Iraq’s infrastructure dilapidated. Both urban and rural areas in all regions of the country are to benefit from reconstruction. Poverty reduction, job-creation and industrial development alike are contingent on the construction and regeneration of schools, roads, railways, bridges, ports, healthcare centres and industrial plants. Massive projects have been proposed for industrial and commercial construction, but the growth of the Iraqi population alone is a driver of demand for pent up housing.6 Construction demand spreads across economic, social, educational aspects, particularly in the building and rehabilitating of roads, schools, hospitals, and housing. The NDP 2010-14 has committed government resources to the development of the construction sector. The GOI and other international donor agencies have committed substantial resources to the sector since 2003, and confidence is growing in the sector’s boom. Governorates and regional authorities are involved in construction and maintenance and are actively seeking to attract investors to participate in projects. The sector has been dominated by state-owned enterprises, but the Government of Iraq is encouraging partnerships between private companies and state-owned construction firms, to which it has enacted laws to facilitate. Foreign companies have been present and operational across Iraq for some time, especially companies from Turkey, which are operating predominantly in the North. The construction materials sector has attracted interest from many foreign investment companies, and several massive developments are underway. Investment in this sector has been made more attractive through opportunities and incentives such as property development, land ownership, zero-rate corporate tax for ten years and the ability to repatriate capital and profits. Growth in the construction industry has also rejuvenated the construction materials market, particularly the cement industry. It is also driving a growing demand for construction expertise, contractors/developers, and suppliers of construction inputs. Opportunities exist in a range of different developments (civil engineering works, heavy industry, non-residential and residential buildings) and in different proposals that aim to strengthen the capacities and competitiveness of stateowned construction firms. 6Iraq Competitiveness Report, USAID 2006. 33 Sector Overview – Glass & Ceramics Sector Overview – Glass & Ceramics Overview The Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM), and the State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI), are looking to attract investment into the glass and ceramics industry given the high local demand for the sector’s products. As a result of high levels of investment in the construction industry, the glass and ceramic sector, as a subsidiary industry of the construction sector, is projected to experience high levels of growth. The rehabilitation of these factories would also benefit the country’s raw materials industry, as most of the raw materials are available locally to where the factories are situated. The revitalization of this industry is strategic for the government of Iraq because it conforms to its goals of diversifying and developing the economy outside urban centres. Investors will find that the Ministry of Industry and Minerals and SCGCI’s willingness to invest in the sector is also supported by a policy climate conducive to investment, which offers investors many privileges and benefits. Additionally, investor’s confidence is growing given the World Bank Group’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) commitment to supporting investment into Iraq. 34 Sector Overview - Petrochemicals Sector Overview - Petrochemicals Overview Iraq’s large gas and oil reserves have made the petrochemical industry an important sector in its economy. The industry has potential advantages over competitors in the petrochemical sector. With Iraq’s growing construction and increased agricultural activities, petrochemical products have an extensive domestic market to tap into. On the other hand, international markets are also experiencing rising demand led by China, which imports 40-50% of its petrochemical requirements. Iraq’s abundance of natural resources gives it a comparative advantage over its East Asian and European competitors. The sector’s estimated revenue was $50 million in 20027 but contributed only 1% of GDP in 2008. The contribution to fixed capital formation capital was 0.4 % in 2004 at 1988 prices.8 Basic infrastructure exists in Iraq’s petrochemical sector, but requires rehabilitation and expansion in order to meet growing demand. The Iraqi petrochemical industry consists of three operational state-owned enterprises (SOEs), which are in need of rehabilitation and modernisation after years of sanctions and conflict. Iraq established its first completely integrated petrochemical complex at Khor Al-Zubair (PC-I) near Basra in 1977. The other two petrochemical facilities exclusively produce fertiliser. They are the State Company for Fertilizers Southern Region, operating out of Basra, and the Northern State Company for Fertilizers Industry in Baiji. Both facilities are heavily subsidised.9. The state-owned SCPI complex in Basra and two other state-owned facilities producing petrochemical products have been identified for foreign investment. Regulatory Regime The Government of Iraq’s (GOI) vision is to: 1) increase petrochemical production capacity and 2) restructure and rehabilitate the facilities to WTO specifications. With investment, Iraq’s position as a global producer and exporter of petrochemicals will improve. The objective of increasing large refineries’ current refining capacity from 0.580 million barrels/day to approximately 1.450m barrels/day by 2016 will require the establishment of new refineries. The Ministry of Minerals and Industry’s (MIM) Private Investment Program (2005) seeks to attract foreign investment through a profit sharing scheme for investors that rehabilitate state owned enterprises. At least US$100m of this is needed to transform 7USAID Iraq Competitiveness Report, 2006. 2010-2014. 9 Ministry of Industry and Minerals' Petrochemical Plant Investment Profile, 2008. 8NDP 35 Sector Overview - Petrochemicals the State Company for Petrochemical Industry (SPCI), Khor Al-Zubair complex in Basra into a state-of-the-art facility capable of world-class exports of high-quality products. 36 Sector Overview - Fertilisers Sector Overview –Fertilisers Overview Iraq has significant potential to be a net exporter of fertiliser. Following the oil boom in the 1970s, the Government of Iraq invested heavily in fertiliser production and was subsequently in the 1980s an exporter of nitrogenous and phosphoric fertiliser. Significant investment was made in the sector in the 1970s and 1980s, and the country benefited from a natural endowment of abundant supplies of hydrocarbon, sulphur and phosphate, which enabled it to become regionally competitive. Much of the fertiliser industry’s production capacity was destroyed during the conflicts over the past two decades, but Iraq’s natural abundance of raw materials to produce mineral fertiliser remains the underlying strength of the reconstruction of the sector, along with a growing domestic demand and a regional export market. Iraq’s fertiliser industry can return to its net exporter status if the industry is rehabilitated to its full potential. Demand for Fertiliser Through its rehabilitation Iraq’s fertiliser industry could respond to a growing domestic demand for fertiliser, particularly with the National Development Plan’s (2011-4) (NDP) emphasis on agriculture. The date palm industry identified in the NDP as a prime area of growth will likely further increase domestic demand for fertiliser. Fertiliser use per hectare in Iraq is also increasing as agriculture increases after decades of reliance on imports. In addition to a growing domestic demand, high consumption rates in neighbouring countries Turkey, Jordan and Saudi Arabia provide a potential market for exporting fertiliser. Other potential markets include Syria, Europe, the Far East and India, where fertiliser use is increasing. Inputs The raw material needed for the production of fertiliser – natural gas, sulphur and phosphates - is readily and abundantly available locally. The plants and mines have a history of production and a trained labour force, although investors can employ foreign specialists and experts under the conditions of the agreement. Key Challenges Key challenges to the investment opportunity include weak environmental regulations, a weak regulatory framework to attract investment (although steps are being taken to improve the investment climate), a lack of inter-ministerial cohesion, and a lack of infrastructure and adequate transport links. 37 Sector Overview - Fertilisers Investment Opportunities Under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) investment scheme, investors are invited to rehabilitate and modernise existing plants in exchange for a share of production over a negotiated period of time. This form of partnership offers a fast return on investment and favourable terms of agreement. Three of the state-owned enterprises targeted by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals are the State Company for Fertilisers (Abu Khasib and Baiji fertiliser complexes), Mishraq Sulphur State Company (Nineveh province) and the State Company for Phosphate mine and chemical plants (Al Anbar governorate). 38 Sector Overview - Beverages 2.3. Food and Food Production Sector Overview – Beverages Overview Iraq’s beverage market presents attractive investment opportunities. Demand is rising very rapidly in the short term because the public water supply needs major investment. It will continue to increase rapidly in the longer term due to changing consumer patterns, increased purchasing power and the demographic strength of a young and rapidly growing population. Consumption has been constrained by poor supply: demand has always outstripped supply. Per capita consumption levels for carbonated soft drinks and bottled water are roughly half those of neighbouring countries suggesting that the market will continue to experience very rapid growth for the foreseeable future. The market is undersupplied with imports dominating all product markets. Import penetration is about 70% in carbonated soft drinks and bottled water. Many of the state owned companies cannot increase output rapidly, suffering from old and out-dated equipment. Only a few major multinationals have established a strong market presence in Iraq. Imports are becoming more expensive because of rising transport costs. There are many un-exploited sources of good quality ground water in the country especially in the Sulaymaniyah, Erbil and Dohuk governorates in the North of the country. 39 Sector Overview - Dairy Sector Overview - Dairy Overview Demand for dairy products is rising as more and more young people in Iraq choose to consume ice cream, yoghurt and cheese. 30% of Iraq’s population is under the age of 14. The country is expected to reach 40 million people by 2025, and surpass 56 million by 2050. Therefore Iraq is guaranteed to experience high demand in dairy products in the future. Of Iraq’s food industry, dairy has the best prospects for establishing a food-processing sector, as its products have a sufficient critical mass and volumes are attractive for investors.10 The dairy sector consists of fresh locally produced milk, reconstituted milk from powder, and imported milk products. The total milk market in Iraq has a value of approximately $700 to $800 million at wholesale level, and an annual turnover estimated 1.5 billion litres,11 excluding 0.5 billion litres of self-consumed milk in rural areas. In 2009, dairy product consumption in Iraq reached 2.14 million tonnes and is expected to rise in the coming years. At the moment, imports dominate the dairy market. Milk is a staple food, and is therefore not subjected to customs duties. Milk is also part of the PDS, the food basket distributed to the population. Powdered milk, which is central to Iraq’s dairy consumption, is all imported. The government is aiming to attract investment to revamp domestic dairy industry. It plans to change its policies on the distribution of milk through the Public Distribution System. Investment opportunities are therefore very promising. 10 USAID Izdihar, 2006 Izdihar, 2006. 11USAID 40 Sector Overview – Date Palm Sector Overview – Date Palm Overview Iraq provides an ideal climate for production of nearly 700 different types of highquality dates. Dates are marketed across the world as a high-value item and are a staple of the Iraqi diet with domestic consumption estimated at 350,000 tonnes per year. Furthermore, domestic and world date consumption is increasing rapidly, with preferences in a variety of date products. The world date market, currently totalling about 7 million tonnes a year, is expected to increase by 5% annually. 12Iraq has still retained its rank as the sixth highest global producer of dates13 despite the country’s date palm industry declining as a result of sanctions and war. During the 1980’s, Iraq was one of the major date producers in the world. The date palm industry constituted 20% of national income.14 Major opportunities in processing dates into higher value products, and creating a new brand for Iraqi products, means that investment in the date palm industry is particularly attractive. The investment opportunities include: the construction of the Muthana Date Packing Facility in Muthana towards the north of Samawa and the modernisation and rehabilitation of the Shalchia date processing plant in Baghdad, one of the major branches of the Iraqi Dates Processing and Marketing Company (DSPMC). Each project can be divided into further opportunities in (1) processing, packaging and marketing; (2) high-end food markets; (3) industrial grade dates and (4) bio-fuel production. FAO, 2005 (website) International Development, 2008. 14Coffey International Development, 2008. 12 13Coffey 41 Sector Overview - Fisheries Sector Overview - Fisheries Overview Iraq’s fisheries sector has intrinsic advantages15 that allow it to compete in the open market. Market demand for fish exceeds supply already, and demand is rising. Iraq’s population is expected to reach 40 million people by 2025, with current estimates indicating that it will pass 56 million by 2050. As the country stabilises and the population’s purchasing power increases, consumption levels of fish are expected to increase significantly. This trend is evident when one considers that river fish production more than doubled in one year in 2005 to 30,000 tons16; by 2006 and 2007 production was close to the 57,000 ton-mark. The Iraqi Government has identified fish production as a key component to revitalising the agricultural sector, improving food security, and creating sustainable livelihoods in rural areas. Initiatives in past years have considerably changed the prospects for fisheries significantly contributing to the Iraqi economy. Iraq’s large freshwater resources make fish production highly competitive. The country has approximately 3,500 km2 of inland resources, and 50km of marine coastline. Furthermore, it has also committed itself to rehabilitating the marshlands, which are particularly suitable to aquaculture development with minimal investment. The main water bodies in which fish production takes place are the Tigris and Euphrates rivers and the country’s tributaries (3.7%), marshes (44%), dams and reservoirs (13.3%) and natural lakes (39%). There is also limited marine fishing in the Persian Gulf. Marine fish production remains limited because it relies on low-tech fishing techniques. Current efforts to increase fish production include capacity building, rehabilitating infrastructure, enhancing fingerling quality through cross-breeding, and improving fish feed production. Since 2003, various pilot projects, capacity building activities and research have been undertaken to boost the sector, and are yielding results. Productivity is on the rise and Iraq has made important progress in revitalising the industry. For instance, the Government of Iraq has embarked on pilot projects to test cage culture in inland water bodies. It has also established closed recirculation systems and modern hatcheries to enhance fish stocks, and is engaged in research activities. The USAID-Funded Inma Agribusiness programme has been successful in supporting increased fish production the number of fish available to consumers doubled between 2007 and 2008. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) has been instrumental in the development of the fisheries industry in recent years, most notably through the Iraq Trust Fund. Fund projects have aimed to restore, modernise and create sustainable fish production in 15 Identified in the USAID’s competitiveness analysis puts production from fisheries, rivers and the sea in 2005 at 25,000 tons. 16NDP 42 Sector Overview - Fisheries Iraq’s inland fisheries. A proposed project for the coming years will utilise the country’s saline water bodies for fish production. Investing in the production of fisheries in Iraq is particularly attractive presently as the Government is committed to increasing food security throughout the country, whilst decreasing its current reliance on imports. This includes securing a source for protein that can be produced locally and at a lower cost than poultry and beef. It is estimated that fish is 15% cheaper than poultry making it an ideal alternative. With demand increasing rapidly, and with Government attention focused on local production of fish, the climate is ripe with investment opportunities. 43 Sector Overview – Food Processing Sector Overview – Food Processing Overview The food production and processing sector in Iraq is growing as a consequence of the Government of Iraq’s move to make the country more self-reliant and increase food security. The opportunity for investment in this sector is significant. Three powerful factors need to be taken into account in order to gauge the prospects for growth of the sector: firstly, Iraq’s growing population. With a population projected to almost double over the next two decades, demand will grow spectacularly for food. Secondly, as the country stabilizes and prospers, the average disposable income of the population will rise significantly. The protein content in the diet will also rise, and demand for processed foods with a longer shelf-life and quality standards is also likely increase. Thirdly, early entrants in the packaged food sector will gain quick consumer acceptance. The demand for processed food products is high and growing (edible oils, tomato paste, milk products, poultry), but the market is currently dominated by imports. The production of food has experienced decades of reliance on imports and a dilapidated factory base. Iraq is also very vulnerable to climate conditions for its crop yield. Its animal production fell dramatically for many years. Moreover, the production of milk per cow, for example, is very low in comparison to high-yielding dairy plants in Saudi Arabia. The Public Distribution System purchases food for distribution to the Iraqi population, and it can play a major role in the development of the sector. Investments in food production to increase supply of domestic products will be welcome. Although Iraqi food processing facilities are few, low in productivity, and are concentrated in certain sectors (dairy plants, tomato paste, poultry), Iraq is attracting investment for the rehabilitation of many existing facilities. Investors are protected by a favourable investment law. The Ministry of Agriculture is also pursuing a mid-term strategic plan, which will inject resources, provide expertise and target key sectors for development in the coming years. The development of these key sectors benefits the development of the overall food processing sector. In addition to dairy and poultry, processed food products with the highest potential include: dates and date syrup; biscuits, snack and confectionary; vegetable oils and fats, and tomato paste. 44 Sector Overview - Meat Sector Overview – Meat Overview Iraq’s agricultural sector is the second largest contributor to Iraqi GDP after oil revenues. The strengths of this investment opportunity into the meat sector lie in the availability of resources, the presence of high quality red meat, an unmet and growing domestic demand for local produce, the possibility of exporting sheep to the Gulf region (where demand is also on the rise), and significant scope for development in the sector with high margins for newcomers and investors. The government has set in motion a plan with ambitious targets for livestock wealth to be achieved by 2014. In the National Development Plan 2010-2014, and various other national policies and laws, the government outlines the important role the private sector will have in transforming the meat sector. Other donor and government initiatives aim to generate confidence and incentivise farmers and investors to engage in the development of meat production and feedlots. Cows, buffalo, sheep and goats play an important role in the country. In addition to food, these animals provide hides, skins and wool. As part of its plan to reform the sector, the government envisions larger-scale commercial farming with better quality input and technology. Growth in this sector will stabilise the rural labour force and create productive employment opportunities. Additionally, the meat industry has great potential to address rural poverty issues: increasing nutritional levels of rural families and furthering rural development (where poverty is concentrated). Despite its importance in the Iraqi economy, animal production has not developed at the same rate as the growing population. Before 1991 consumption in Iraq was 11kg/person.17Iraq is now primarily reliant on imports, even for these reduced consumption levels. USAID reports that the current per capita rate is 4.5kg/person. It is expected that as security and stability return to the country, economic activity will pick up and the population’s higher purchasing power will result in a higher demand for red meat and, thus, for the associated products needed for raising and maintaining livestock. With improved production and marketing processes, red meat will have a competitive capability. As demand picks up, there is a strong opportunity for private businesses to establish larger scale, organised, feedlot management, slaughterhouses, and refrigeration and cold chain management services. The number of livestock is higher today than it was a decade ago, especially of sheep and goats. Iraq's variety of sheep, the ‘fat-tail’ Awassi sheep, is preferred over the Australian and New Zealand imports in the Middle East. The growth of livestock will 17Iraq Private Sector Growth and Employment Generation, USAID, 2006. 45 Sector Overview - Meat depend on different factors, such as ensuring the availability of fodder and making veterinary services available. Opportunities for investment in meat production include: the construction of organised slaughterhouses adapted to an economy of scale, the need for refrigeration and cold-chain management services as meat production rates and the packaged meat industry grow; the creation of sheep clusters in richer resource areas with higher rainfall and more natural, good quality pasture (‘little New Zealand in Iraq’), which could provide the leap in productivity in sheep raising to make it a strategic industry; the creation of integrated production lines removing intermediary costs; and the production of machinery for slaughterhouses, feedlots and refrigeration units that will be needed for the conversion of the industry. 46 Sector Overview - Poultry Sector Overview - Poultry Overview Over the past few years, there has been considerable growth in the number of poultry farms and poultry processing plants in Iraq. In 1998, the Iraqi government encouraged the rapid revival of the industry through subsidizing hatching eggs, feed, vaccines and electricity to farmers and processing plants in the country. The US Army has also been active in enhancing the poultry industry in the country. For instance, in 2009, the US Army deployed its agriculture and engineering expertise in rehabilitating, and bringing into operation, a chicken processing plant near Mahmudiyah, Baghdad. The plant, which has a capacity of 10,000 chickens a month18 created a market for fresh chicken allowing farmers to sell their chickens. The US Grain Council in collaboration with the Iraq Poultry Fund has over the last two years worked together to rebuild the poultry industry, particularly in the Babylon Province. The province is one of Iraq’s largest poultry producing areas with a monthly output of 1,500 tons of poultry meat.19 The outcome is to reduce the difficulties in accessing feed grains, which forms a substantial part of the production cost. The US Grain Council has also initiated a program where local participating banks will be able to benefit from the credit guarantee program offered by the Council, which will allow them to offer credit facilities to poultry farmers and processors in the country. There has also been increased foreign interest in the Iraqi poultry industry. A Turkish company recently announced interest in rehabilitating the Babel poultry company in Khayri, south of Diwaniya. The investment is expected to cost about $100 million or 117 billion ID.20 Iraq aims to increase production through putting to use all its poultry farms and processing plants. This will require investment in technology, machinery, energy and feed. There is also the need to establish an integrated poultry farming system. This will have the benefit of significantly reducing the cost of production by approximately 28% and, therefore, will ensure the sector is highly competitive. America's North Shore Journal, 09 Nov 2009. Worldpoultry.net: Rebuilding Iraq’s poultry industry, January 06, 2009. 20 Aswat al-Iraq News Agency, 06 October 2010. 18 19 47 Sector Overview – Electrical Services 2.4. Ancillary Services Sector Overview – Electrical Services Overview Demand for electricity sector is rising rapidly as all other industries depend on electricity to operate. The demand for electricity is projected to increase from 10,000MW in 2008 to 25,000MW by 2015 while supply is projected to catch up with demand in mid-2012 at just over 20,000MW. As the Government plans to increase electricity supply, companies providing services and spare parts for the electricityproducing sector find promising investment opportunities. The National Development Plan 2010-2014 estimates a large increase in both provision and demand in the coming years, particularly with the large-scale oil and gas extraction agreements in recent months and years. In addition to the more recent National Development Plan 20102014 objectives, a new Master Plan for the Electricity Sector has been completed spanning two decades (2010-2030). The Plan will be presented in 2011. Opportunities for investment in the area of service provision to the electricity sector in Iraq offer great prospects for growth and profitability. The provision of electricity across Iraq’s provinces depends heavily on the supply of equipment, machinery, inputs and technical services to generate and distribute electricity. Rising demand for electricity leads to an upsurge in demand for services. Investment opportunities include the rehabilitation of electric appliances factories, technical services to rehabilitate power plants, and to upgrade the national grid. Private and foreign investors are encouraged by the government to invest in the industries. Recently, a number of contracts were signed between the Government and large multinationals providing electricity services. 48 Sector Overview – Financial Services Sector Overview – Financial Services Overview The banking sector in Iraq has, over the years, been dominated by state-owned banks. Although non-bank financial institutions are operating at a low level, there is great potential for increased activities. Private involvement in the banking system has grown since 2003 with 35 private banks now in operation but they remain small in total assets and market share. In comparison with other banking and financial industries in the Middle East, the Iraqi financial sector leaves much room for expansion. After 2003, the lack of basic infrastructure leads to the absence of an interlinked system for making, clearing and settling payments, electronic transfers and online banking, few automated teller machines (ATMs), and the lack of a broader safety net of insurance and capital reserves to safeguard against failures.21 The Iraqi economy has been growing rapidly for the last several years. At the same time the private sector is fast expanding in the country and still has a great potential for high growth. According to James Hogan, chief executive of HSBC Iraq, “with a population of 30 million and increasing projected GDP per capita growth over the coming three to five years, the Iraqi banking sector offers attractive mid to long term prospects”.22This is echoed by the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) governor, Dr. Sinan Al-Shabibi, stating that the prospects in the country’s financial sector are good for both foreign and local investors.23 Investment in the banking and financial sector therefore offers huge future rewards for investors. With its booming oil sector and the development of non-oil sectors, such as services and real estate, the country offers banks opportunities to get financing deals and to assist foreign companies in establishing themselves in Iraq. Iraq has also signed or about to sign contracts for big infrastructure projects in order to rebuild the economy, and for this there is an urgent need for project finance development which will have to be developed with support from regional and international financial institutions. This growing demand to fund products provides a rare chance for banks to cash in on this opportunity. As a natural resource-endowed country, Iraq has signed multi‐billion dollar oil contracts and has plans for huge infrastructure projects, which require investments through international financial institutions. 21Ayaz R. Shaikh (2003) Iraq: Banking and Trade Finance, Financial Sector Reform, Association of Corporate Counsel.of America, Tuesday, December 9, 2003. 22Iraq-businessnews.com Foreign Firms Keen to Invest in Iraq Banks, 17 August 2010. 23 Iraq-businessnews.com: Lending still anaemic at foreign-invested banks, 07 September 2010. 49 Sector Overview – Financial Services Plenty of opportunities are found in investment in domestic private banks, microfinance and insurance companies, and other financial services. Large international financial providers are encouraged to set up business in Iraq. The Kurdistan region is a strategic entry point for multinational companies to start operation before branching out to other provinces. 50 Sector Overview – Oil & Gas Services Sector Overview – Oil & Gas Services Overview Iraq’s vast oil and gas wealth has long been known to the world. The National Development Plan projects massive expansion that will bring lucrative contracts to oil companies and spillover effects to firms providing oil and gas services. While some projections are more optimistic than others, the margins of profit for oil and gas services firms will be significant. Before Iraq’s oil sector was nationalized in 1972, Exxon Mobil, Shell, Total and BP were partners of the Iraq Petroleum Company. These four giants, along with Chevron and a number of other oil companies have returned to Iraq as a result of the significant expansion of the country’s oil and gas sector over the past decade. Iraq is one of the world’s leading oil and gas producing countries. In 2009, Iraq was the world’s 12th largest oil producer and has the fourth largest proved petroleum reserves in the world, after Saudi Arabia, Canada and Iran. Iraq’s oil reserves are about 12 per cent of global oil reserves.24Iraq also has massive gas reserves estimated to be the tenth largest in the world. According to the Oil and Gas Journal, Iraq has proven natural gas reserves of 112 trillion cubic feet. About 70% of these gas reserves are in Basra. Over the past few years, the Government of Iraq (GOI) has been actively involved in implementing its ambitious oil and gas development program, which aims to increase production of crude oil from 2.285 million barrels/day in 2008 to 4.1 million barrels/day in 2014.25In the long run, the country hopes to initiate various oil expansion programs to increase production to 12 million barrels/day 26. This will require developing several new oil fields, and the participation of foreign companies. In the past two years, major agreements have been reached for the extraction of oil and gas resources. This highlights numerous opportunities for oil and gas services firms in the short and medium term. Oil services and drilling companies are often the first on the scene when companies enter extraction agreements, and Iraq is in a period of concluding important oil and gas deals, as the country’s economy grows. The oil and gas conferences in Basra, Istanbul and London, with a very large presence of oil and gas service firms, suggest that the oil and gas services sector has a promising and very profitable outlook in Iraq in the coming years. 24National Development Plan for the Years 2010-2014. 25National 26Natural Development Plan for the Years 2010-2014. Gas Week: Oil & Money 2010: Business VOLUME 26, NUMBER 35 AUGUST 30, 2010. 51 Sector Overview - Tourism Sector Overview - Tourism Overview Iraq’s rich cultural, religious and natural environment has always attracted international and domestic visitors. As security improves, more and more visitors are coming to Iraq from neighbouring countries. As one of the largest religious tourism destinations in the Gulf, Iraq is experiencing a rising number of national and regional tourists to its natural, cultural, and religious heritage sites. The country’s attractions, which include the ruins of ancient civilisations, world heritage sites, holy sites for Jewish, Muslim, and Christian religions, and natural landscape, are being visited by millions of visitors annually. The government’s plan to improve and expand transport infrastructure will enable even more tourists to come visit the sites. Recent economic growth also brings a surge in international business tourism. There are investment opportunities to build fortified accommodation and attractions for foreign contractors and workers in Iraq. This also extends to the development of luxury accommodation and private jet facilities for the high-end market. Investment in the tourism sector in Iraq offers great potential in this untapped market. For a country rich in cultural heritage, investment opportunities range from services to domestic tourists, to regional visitors, and international luxury visitors. 52 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Chapter 3. Provincial Profiles Provincial Profile: Al Anbar Executive Summary Despite the underdevelopment and deterioration of its infrastructure since 2003, the unique investment opportunities lying within Anbar demonstrate great potential and are already attracting domestic and international investors. There are a number of untapped opportunities for investors in the province. The province led by Al Anbar Investment Commission is undertaking a number of investment initiatives, and recently announced plans to hold its first investment conference to introduce international companies to the province and to highlight some of the investment opportunities that the province offers. State Companies Al Anbar province has some of the country’s largest State Owned Companies (SOEs), which have been operating for many decades. Companies such as Al Ikaa State Company for Metal Fabrication, Al Shaeed State Company for copper and brass, and the State Company for Refractory Industry offer investors opportunities to rehabilitate and upgrade production capacity of their industrial plants. Industrial Sector Al Anbar possesses some of the world’s largest volumes of phosphate rock, silica sand and natural gas reserves. The province has a substantial amount of untapped natural resources, yet there are currently no adequate plants to process the raw materials from these resources. This offers a great opportunity for investors to establish a processing plant for these resources to meet both local demand and the export market. Current projects being promoted include the production of float glass plates, clear glass and transparent glass. Tourism A number of tourist related investment projects have been proposed for development in Anbar, which lies on Lake Habaniya, Lake Thar Thar and the Euphrates River. Projects include the development of the Al Haditha Lake, the construction of a number of hotels and entertainment parks, and the opportunity to invest in the establishment of a medical spa to make use of Anbar’s medical mineral water. Agriculture Agriculture remains an integral part of Anbar’s economy, and the province has a vast area of uncultivated fertile agricultural land and a large pool of skilled agricultural 53 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar labour. Current proposals for investment include: the production of grain and cattle feed, cereal crops, olive oil production, as well as red meat, poultry and egg production. The dairy industry also offers an attractive investment venture, with a $6 million investment required to produce 3,000 tons of milk per year for local consumption. Housing Rapid population growth is a common phenomenon in the province meaning that there is high demand for housing units. Much of the housing needs are for reconstruction and repair due to war damage and lack of maintenance, with 71 per cent of households reporting that their homes are in disrepair. Housing projects in the province in need of investors include Al Surouh residential complex, which intends to build 520 housing units ($36 million), and another project to build three high-rise apartments. Cement and Construction The construction industry is embarking on a period of rapid growth, but domestic construction materials suppliers have yet to tap into the lucrative business opportunities due to lack of access to finance. Many of the companies specialising in construction materials in Anbar are currently operating at 20% of their production capacities, which means there are significant opportunities for production gains in such projects. Energy, Oil and Gas Al Anbar hosts a largely undeveloped gas reserve, considered to be one of the largest natural gas fields in the world. Its development could provide essential and reliable energy inputs to the province’s industrial potential, particularly for the cement, fertiliser and phosphate, glass and ceramic industries, where significant competitive advantages exist. Clearly visible are inter-sectoral synergies between al Akkaz gas field, power production and industrial development. This will contribute to turning al Ramadi, the capital city of the province into an industrial hub in the region whilst strengthening its associated services, marketing and production oriented clusters. Commercial and Business Services The chairman of Anbar council highlighted the province’s willingness and support to any company wishing to invest in commercial and business services in the province. There are already a few projects for investment, such as the development of affordable internet services. Both the French and UAE ambassadors to Iraq recently visited Anbar and announced plans to open consulates in the province and encourage the development of commercial and business partnerships in the region. 1. Infrastructure As the largest province in the country, Anbar’s western desert is rich in minerals, gas and oil deposits. Being surrounded by five Iraqi provinces and sharing borders with 54 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Saudi Arabia, Syria and Jordan, it is strategically located to become a central driver of the Iraqi economy. 1.1 Education Educational infrastructure is one of the major challenges that confront Al Anbar. As the largest province in Iraq, in terms of area mass, and with a population of about 1,490,000, there is only one state university in the province. The University of Al Anbar situated in its provincial capital Ramadi has 15,000 students, including 1,888 students at its technical institution, which focuses on vocational and engineering related studies. The University of Al Anbar offer degree programmes in different specializations including education, sciences, dentistry, engineering, agriculture, administration, economics, computer science, art and law. There are also 16 professional (both industrial and commercial) schools as well as 4 institutes for teacher training. The province has 955 primary schools and 414 secondary schools in the province.27 Despite being one of the country’s more literate populations, residents in al Anbar suffered significant setbacks since anti-Government forces largely controlled the province between 2006 and 2007. These lost years kept most educational institutions closed. However, since late 2007, normalcy has returned to the province and now most children under 16 years who could not go to school are now attending school.28 1.2 Income and Employment Unemployment rates are generally high in Al Anbar, particularly among the young. It is estimated that the population above 14 years in the province is about 1,042,000 persons and about half of the working age group in the province are not economically active. Whilst this puts the unemployment situation in the province as serious, it means that there is a significant pull of cheap labour that can be utilised in diverse economic activities. In terms of the general income levels, there are some variations. For those in government employment, low skilled labour salaries are about $200 and more experienced labour are able to receive $600 to $1,100 per month. In the private sector, salaries range between $700 and $2,200 for skilled employees. For unskilled labourers in the private sector, salaries are on average $600 per month. 1.3 Housing There is shortage of housing throughout Al Anbar. There are approximately 176,000 households in the province, with on average eight persons per household. Due to 27 28 COSIT, 2009 Rand, 2008. 55 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar prolonged periods of conflict in the province, many homes have suffered extensive damage and require urgent rehabilitation. In cities such as al Haditha and al Fallujah, the majority of households have witnessed some form of severe damage. 14% of households are headed by women. According to the Ministry of Planning, 10% of households in the province are affected by overcrowding, which is defined as three or more people living per room. 29 The 2008 Rand report points out that 30% of the households rent out rooms for income, which on average amounts to $192 on a monthly basis or $2,300 per year. The Government’s plan to build social housing in the country incorporates urbanised areas in the province, which will help reduce the housing shortage currently experienced. Due to significant overcrowding and housing shortages in the province, approximately 200,000 additional housing units have to be built over the next few years.30 1.4 Free and Industrial Zones The province is home to two free zones and two industrial zones. The two free zones are located in al Qaim, near the Syrian border, and Trebil, near the Jordanian border. Their development could strengthen trade and industrial development between the province and its neighbouring countries, which currently only encompasses logistics, particularly in the form of cross-border freight transport. The industrial zones are situated close to al Ramadi and in al Fallujah. Like the free zones their economic potential has not been fully exploited. A redevelopment plan for these industrial zones could promote the activities of small and medium size enterprises and other industrial projects in the province. In addition to the free zones, a significant redevelopment on all the four zones will significantly enhance their capability and efficiency in providing various services including infrastructural services to the private sector of the province and beyond. 1.5 Transportation and Logistics Al Anbar is country’s main entry point to Jordan and Syria. It has highways that connect Al Anbar and Baghdad and passes through Fallujah, Ramadi, and Rutba to Tenef on the Iraqi Syrian borders. The highway also links Iraq to the Jordanian borders through Trebeel. An expressway of about 160 km has also been developed towards Ar’ar which links the Iraqi and Saudian borders. In addition, a new railway has been developed connecting Al Anbar to other provinces in the country. As part of the ‘dry-canal’ mega project being proposed and developed by the Government of Iraq, which would link cargo freight via the ports in al Basra and Europe, al Anbar would form a critical component of these plans. Goods coming in from al Basra, Ministry of Planning, 2008. Al Anbar Provincial Investment Commission, 2010. 29 30 56 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar or through Europe to the Gulf and onwards to Asia, could be transported using Syrian ports and roads and railway connections in al Anbar. The Anbar Provincial Investment Commission recently launched a project to upgrade the province’s three border crossings in order to raise additional revenue through the development of toll-roads. The project which will be implemented in all the three border crossings of Arar on the border with Saudi Arabia, Tarbiel on the border with Jordan and al-Tanf on the border with Syria will also involve building several garages for vehicles and at least one hotel. The head of the council’s investment committee has said that the revenues from increased traffic through these border posts will be used to finance projects throughout Anbar. The airport in al Ramadi is currently being refurbished and is open to private sector development and investment. It is currently non-operational, and residents and investors in the province have to travel to Baghdad International Airport for international travel. 1.6 Health This is a major area where the province lacks adequate infrastructure. Health services in Anbar are provided by both the public and the private sectors. Major hospitals and clinics are government-owned, government-operated, and financed by the central government. The province has about eleven (11) hospitals, thirteen (13) health centres, and seventynine (79) medical branches. There are only 1,388 beds in the province’s hospitals. There are 547 doctors, 140 dentists, 160 pharmacists, 2000 nurses, 560 dental nurses, and some 595 other health professional in the province. Some of these health centres lack some of the basic inputs and equipment to perform their duties. 1.7 Agriculture Al Anbar has substantial arable lands for the cultivation of various crops. The province also has a well-developed irrigation system that provides water for its farmers. There are also commercial farms in the province. A major improvement in the agriculture sector is the development of greenhouses in the province. Since mid-2009, PRT Anbar, in cooperation with some local partners financed and installed nearly 500 hoop houses throughout the province. At a cost of $3,200 a piece, the “hoops” measure 52 meters long, 9 meters wide and 3.5 meters tall. In addition to their aluminium frame and plastic covering, each hoop house has a drip irrigation and fertilizer delivery system. The farmers use the hoop houses to grow strawberries, tomatoes, zucchinis, squash, beans and peas, which are taken directly to market. 57 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar 2. Legal, Regulatory and Policy Environment 2.1 Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) The Anbar Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) is tasked with fostering and promoting all investment related activities in the province. The PIC was established slightly later than most other PICs in the country due to the province’s weak security in 2007 and 2008. The main aims31 of the Commission are: To enhance confidence in the economic environment, identify investment opportunities, stimulate and promote investment in the province Streamline the procedure for registration and certification of existing projects and ensure their early completion whilst ensuring that investor requests are answered including obtaining the necessary approvals for investors Provide advice, information and data to investors Develop and implement programs attract investors into the province Facilitate the allocation of land required by investors to build and lease projects in consultation with other relevant authorities Establish an enabling investment climate Encourage local investment by Iraqis through the provision of soft loans and other financial facilities The Commission commenced its work on 1 February 2009 and has to date issued 37 investment licenses, out of which only eight are currently in the process of being developed as real projects. This includes: five in the housing sector, one in commerce, one in industrial development and one in the construction of an amusement park. Compared to other PICs in the country, this is a relatively small number but, as security continues to improve and investors’ perception of the province continues to change, these numbers are expected to increase. Dormant licenses may also see some activity as the province’s security situation improves. Another significant development worth pointing out is that out of the total of 28 investment licenses, only 3 have been secured by non-Iraqis, with the rest being secured by Iraqi investors. This shows the growing confidence of Iraqis in the investment climate of the province and a positive signal to potential foreign investors that the business environment is improving visibly. Table 1: Management & Details Anbar Provincial Investment Commission PIC information Head of the PIC Governor of province: Deputy head: 31 Details Dr Ammer F. Aawad [email protected] 07704438221 Eng. Qasim M. Abid Eng Qais F. Abdulmalik Anbar Provincial Investment Commission, 2010. 58 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar [email protected], [email protected] 07704438220 Head of external relations: Mr. Ibrahim H. Jawad [email protected] Head of media relations Mr. Qasim R. Faraj Head of economic assessment Mr. Adnan H. Shamhood unit: [email protected] Head of one-stop shop at PIC: Mr. Ahmed S. Esmaael Website: www.anbarinvest.com Email: [email protected] Telephone: 07800390060 Address: Al Ramadi, Close to Anbar health department Source: PIC, 2010. 2.2 PIC Sector Prioritisation Investment licenses in Al Anbar include social housing, tourism and agriculture and are listed in Annex 1. The most outstanding is however the development of the province’s natural resources. This includes the development of the Akkaz natural gas field, considered one of the largest in the world, the production of glass related products from abundant supplies of raw silica sand inputs, increasing production of various types of cement and the production of fertilizer from phosphate rock. In addition, the PIC is promoting investors to develop the following mineral resources: Table 2: Location of mineral deposits in al Anbar Type of Mineral Location Cement Calcite Stones White Valley First Ghadaf Valley Second Ghadaf Valley Sawad Valley Hafyfa 3 (H3) Faag Valley Zarga Valley Ghadaf Valley Gabha Makker Dhyab Cement Mud 59 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Kaolin Mud Preliminary Gypsum Dolomite Stones Phosphates Glass Silica Sands Glass and thermostone sands Jayef Valley Bohayra Zangoora North East of Husaniyat Samahat Malsey Nogayley West Hussainyat Ameg Doreklea Afaiyaef Tayara Hussainyat North East of Hussainiyat Milan Valley Haditha Rutba Hussaniyat Soub Valley West of Tayara Valley South of Soufi Valley North of Tayara Valley Oberan Ameg Valley Kilo 160 East of Rutba Kilo 180 Source: PIC, 2010. Akkaz is currently being considered as an integral component of a gas-licensing round. The Ministry of Oil took initial bids for the development of the field, which is 50km long, and 18km wide and lies close to al Qaim, near the Syrian border. It has an estimated 5.6 tcf or 156 billion cubic metres (bcm) in reserves. In October 2010, Akkaz was leased to a joint South Korean-Kazakh bid from the Korean Gas Corporation (Kogas) and Kazakhstan company KazMunaiGas. They planned to produce 400 million standard cubic feet of gas a day at a price of $5.50 per barrel of oil equivalent 32. The signing of the agreement was initially delayed because of minor disputes with the authorities in Anbar province. As of May 2011, KazMunaiGas has pulled out altogether from the consortium due to misgivings over the licensing round stemming from the Anbar authorities in recent months. A new ‘Gas City’ is being proposed which will see the development of associated petrochemical industries and ensure a reliable supply of gas. As the gas field lies close to the 32http://www.iraq-businessnews.com/2010/10/20/winners-of-gas-field-contracts-announced-full- details/. 60 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Syrian border, it is expected that al Akkaz will also export gas to neighbouring countries as well as to Europe. A pipeline serving Syria’s energy needs could be developed, which could be extended to the country’s Mediterranean coast to meet Europe’s growing gas demand. 3. State Companies Based in Al Anbar Al Anbar province has some of the country’s largest State Owned Companies (SOEs) which have been operating for many decades. These offer an opportunity for investors to rehabilitate and upgrade production capacity. The major ones are outlined here. 3.1 Al Ikaa State Company for Metal Fabrication The Al Ikaa State Company for Metal Fabrication is one of the country’s largest heavy industrial state companies. It has about 3,043 production workers and 1,014 management staff. Established in 1984, the state company based in the city of al Fallujah, has four functional plants all of which are currently working far below their production capacity. In 2008, the company recorded annual revenue of 16 billion ID. Table 3 provides more details about the four production plants. Table 3: Al Ikaa State Company Production Plants Plant Al Shuhada plant Ibn al Haitham plant Al Ameen plant Al Amer plant Operational Activities Heavy and medium manufacturing, including milling, grinding and milling operations Surface and heat treatment processes Manufacturer of metal and rubber conveyor systems Manufacturer of steel for towers and roofed structures Precision mechanical manufacturing, including turning, precision milling and drilling Manufacturer of optical equipment, including microscopes, lenses, prisms, light filters Manufacturer of metal plates and processing Heavy mechanical manufacturing, including milling, turning, drilling, structure welding Rotating furnace parts for cement and fertilizer plants Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. At its current state, the company requires significant restructuring to improve its operational efficiency. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, about $30 million is required for an initial rehabilitation phase of the company including the establishment of a new plant for the production of gas cylinders and valves as well as a repair unit. The Ministry estimate that production level could increase with this 61 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar investment to 800,000 units per year of gas cylinders and associated valves. Additional investment funds are also urgently required to improve antiquated equipment still in operation. 3.2 Al Shaeed State Company Established in 1980, the Al Shaeed State Company is the only State Company producing copper and brass products in the country. Its three plants in al Anbar have a plate capacity of 7000 tons per year. The company manufactures a variety of metal products including thin brass strips, copper bars and wire. Below are details of its plants operational activities. Table 4: Al Shaeed State Company’s Production Plant Plant Al Quds Plant Al Tahadi Plant Al Sumood Plant Operational Activities Treatment of brass scrap through purifying processes Produces ingots of rectangular and round shapes through smelting and casting operations Manufacturer of plates, strips, bars and tubes Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2009. The Al Shaeed State Company plans a massive investment to increase its current operational capacity and to establish a new production line for the manufacture of a large array of metal products. This is envisaged to incorporate the use of copper alloy scrap metals to produce copper cathodes. It also intends to market the use of zinc oxide as a by-product in the process. The company also plans to manufacture copper pipes of about 1,500 tonnes per year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, investors will see payback in less than two years by investing $10 million to rehabilitate various production lines to meet a plate capacity of 80%. 3.3 State Company for Refractory Industry Established in al Fallujah in 1994, the State Company for Refractory Industry manufactures bricks and thermal materials for the construction industry in the country. The Fallujah Factory for Bricks has a capacity of 10,500 tons of bricks per year as well as 6,000 tons of thermal construction materials. About 779 employees work in the company, of these, 548 are associated with production and 231 as part of the administration and management tiers. Given significant deposits of bauxite, flint clay, kaolin and sand glass within the province, design capability of the plant can be expanded to produce red roof tiles and a variety of bricks currently not in production. A total of $21 million is required to rehabilitate the plant and establish a new production line to produce high alumina 62 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar bricks of about 7,500 tons per year and to expand existing production facilities to reach 15,000 tonnes of bricks. 3.4 State Company for Glass and Ceramics As the only state company in the country with a monopoly over the production of glass, investors could potentially enjoy first-mover benefits associated with this Ramadi based company. The Ministry of Industry has allocated 20 billion ID for the rehabilitation of Glass and Ceramics Plants in the province. The State Company for Glass and Ceramics was established in 1970, specializing in both glass and ceramic products. It produces various glass products such as bottles and jar glass, tableware glass, window sheet glass and sodium silicate glass. In terms of ceramics, its products portfolio includes ceramic floor tile, ceramic wall tile and ceramic sanitary ware. The total area of the plant includes the new ceramic floor tile factory, the old ceramic floor tile factory, the sanitary ware factory, the glass sheets factory and the pharmaceutical bottle plant. Since its establishment, the company has undergone a lot of modifications. In the period ranging from 1978 – 1979, the company added two furnaces equipped with four production machines to produce diverse kinds of table wares. In 1986 the company was modernized, particularly the production lines, which involved building a furnace with a capacity of 50 tons/day equipped with two bottle making machines An agreement between the state company and the Japanese company Mitsue in 1982 led to the building of two furnaces equipped with five production machines. The bottle and jar plant was established in 1984 in a contract with the US company Maul Bros company. Since then there have been other attempts at improving the production capacity and efficiency, but most have not been completed. The company’s old ceramic factory has also been under rehabilitation process since 2002 in a contract with the Italian company SACMI. The project is about 60% complete for the civil works, 60% complete for the erection works and 40% completion of the overall plant. In 2002, a new ceramic floor tile factory was also started to produce floor tiles of different sizes and colours but production stopped due to the security situation. The company is looking for private sector investment to help restart its operations, which have been dormant for the past two years. Because of the old technology used, the production capacity has decreased over time but with new technology and investment introduced, quality and capacity should be improved. New roller kilns and new lines for glazing and screen-printing are needed, as is a general modernization of production processes from the current set-up used. The sanitary ware factory is now ready to restart after very little maintenance; however the tunnel furnace and the firing zone need repair. The pharmaceutical bottle plant is brand new and the production lines have not been completed or erected because it needs further inspection and evaluation by investors. 63 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar The State Company for Glass and Ceramic Industries through its numerous factories dominate the production and sale of glass and ceramics in the country. The total production capacity is estimated at 120,000 tonnes per year, with a target capacity of 29,000 tonnes of sheet glass per year, 29,000 tonnes of bottles and jars per year, and 11,000 tonnes of table ware per year. The company has a total workforce of 3,190 employees. Out of the total employees, 2,162 are associated with the production process and 225 are employed as administrators and managers. Total salary is estimated at $1.440 million/year. Annuals profits are estimated to be $2.6 million/year. All qualified work force are available in the plant, however training in the use of the new technology adapted for the plant may be needed. Raw materials for the production of glass and ceramics including silica sand, soda ash, limestone, dolomite stone, Kaolin, fritz, china clay, feldspar, ball clay, easy cast, and china clay are available in good quality in abundance, and very close to the Glass Factory Plant in Ramadi, with only a small percentage coming from imports. Nearly 80% of the raw materials are locally produced. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals works closely with the State Company for Glass and Ceramic to maintain quality control and standards, particularly over future production. Over the last decade, there has been persistent shortage of ceramic and glass products in the country because supply is far lesser than what is actually demanded in the market. Products like wall tile, floor tile, washing and toilet sink is scarcely available. The capacity of the existing plant represents about 25 per cent of local demand. The expansion of the construction industry following the reconstruction efforts after the 2003 conflicts has also put pressure on the supply of these products. The expected buoyant building materials market in the country should provide close and reliable markets for the sale of the company’s products. The plant is connected to the highway road, with fuel and gas pipelines available in the site. The available data on the production of glass in Iraq from the Glass Factory Plant in Ramadi shows that the company achieved its highest production in the late 1990s recording as high as 7024 tonnes of sheet glass, 4457 tonnes of bottle glass and 2188 tonnes of table ware. The low production capacity in the glass and ceramic industry in Iraq coupled with increasing demand for various products has necessitated the creating of investment opportunities in the industry. The investment department of the Ministry of industry and Minerals in collaboration with the State Company for Glass and Ceramic is inviting international expert companies and individual investors to invest in the glass and ceramic sector. Prospective investors are expected to employ state of the art technology, prudent management and operational efficiency in order to increase productivity with the potential of exporting some to regional markets. 64 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar There are three major investment opportunities in the industry centred on the Old Ceramic Factory, the New Ceramic Tile Plant and the Glass Factory. Details of these are elaborated below. Investment opportunity in the Old Ceramic Factory This opportunity is open to all specialized international companies and private investors to rehabilitate of the old ceramic plant. It also includes the operation and management of the factory using latest technologies by the investor in exchange for a share of the production. Some rehabilitation activities started in the beginning in 2002 but it is estimated that only 55% is completed. When completed, it is expected that the factory will have a design capacity of 1.5 million M2 per annum and targeted production of 1.250 million M2 per annum. Due to shortages in the market and growing local demand, a key product the factory produces – that is wall tile will cover about 25% of the local demand in five years when completed. Investment Opportunity for the Restarting of New Ceramic Tile Factory This opportunity is available through the Ministry of Industry and Minerals’ Investment Department and particularly open to foreign companies with the expertise to resume production activities for the factory. It will also involve the application of the latest technology to operate and manage the plant as part of a deal that will see the investor taking a share in the company. The New Ceramic Floor Tile Factory located in Al- Anbar Governorate was commissioned in 2002 as part of the State Company for Glass & Ceramic Industry to produce floor tile with different sizes and colours. All its machines were made by different Italian companies and supplied by a company called SITTEL. However, the factory had to stop production due to bad security situation. It is currently ready to start operation with some maintenance works. The design capacity of the factory when completed will be 1,000,000M2 per year and the target production capacity will also be 1,000,000M2 per annum. It is estimated that the rehabilitation process will take up to six months to complete. Investment Opportunity for the Rehabilitation of Glass Factory The Ministry of industry and Minerals is also inviting investors and companies to rehabilitate the glass factory plant at Al-Anbar. The investor will typically finance and implement the activities leading to the rehabilitation of the plant based on modern technology in the glass industry. The opportunity will also entail operating and managing the factory at the investors' expenses in exchange for a share in the company. 65 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar The design capacity of 29000 tons a year comprising different kinds of pharmaceutical bottles will be expected but the target capacity will be 27000 tons a year. The investor is however free to propose higher capacity. Recent study shows that the local demand is around 150,000 tons per annum. In addition, demand for glass products is growing rapidly and so the increase in the production level of the plant will only cover a share of the local demand. Raw materials are also available locally in good quality near the plant site. Investment Opportunity for the Rehabilitation of the Sanitary Ware Plant The Ministry of Industry and Minerals is also inviting investors and companies to rehabilitate and restart the sanitary ware plant at Al-Anbar. The investor will typically finance and implement the activities leading to the rehabilitation and restarting of the plant based on modern technology, manage and operate the plants. Different Italian companies with contracts with Sittel Engineering Italy supply all the equipment in the factory. All the machines are brand new and don’t need any maintenance, with the exception of the tunnel furnace, which needs some repair. The design capacity is 5,000 ton a year comprising different kinds of sanitary ware will be expected but the target capacity will be 4,500 ton a year. There are 400 employees currently at the plant with an expected salary of $120,000 per month. 3.5 State Company for Phosphate Al Anbar is considered to be well endowed with some of the world’s largest and richest deposits of phosphate rock. The State Company for Phosphate therefore has a monopoly over the production of fertiliser in the province, with the Ministry of Agriculture currently purchasing all of its production for redistribution to farmers. The company was established in 1976 with full operations beginning in 1983. The State Company for Phosphate chemical complex comprises many plants which are working as one conglomerate. It is currently responsible for both the mining of phosphate rock and processing and treatment in al Qaim where it produces phosphate fertiliser. The plant area is 220,000 square Kilometres. The total number of staff in the chemical complex is 3,747 of which 773 are technical staff. The mine complex has 266 employees of which 221 are technical staff. The total monthly salary for the staff in the chemical complex and the mine is estimated at about $774,256 and $49,642 respectively. A 150kilometer rail line runs southwest of Al Qa’im junction to the mining town of Akashat, where the open-pit phosphate mine is located. The mine consists of five main quarries of calcium phosphate deposit spread over an area of 50 square kilometres, with about 500,000,000 tonne reserves. 66 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar During its production peak in the early 1980’s, the Al Qa’im phosphate plant produced a variety of fertilizers that were exported world-wide. Peak production during this time resulted in the manufacture of 1 million tonnes of annual finished product. The plant currently operates at 10% of its design capacity due to a multitude of reasons, including a lack of spare parts and poor maintenance. The most debilitating reason is the continuous electrical power shortages: the plant requires a minimum of 35-MW of power but is currently allocated 8-MW. Investment in the plant would involve comprehensive rehabilitations to the whole plant, including factories and utilities. The objective of the first stage of rehabilitation is to reach the following production capacity: Production item NP (40% of design capacity) TSP (70% of design capacity) Phosphate rock Quantity 480,000 tonnes 240,000 tonnes 1,700,000 tonnes The cost of rehabilitating and implementing the expansion activities for the chemical complex to achieve the production target is $320 million. The rehabilitation of the Akashat Mine will also cost $20 million. These expenditures however exclude the cost of acquiring new electric generators, which will be required to enhance efficiency in production. It will take about 24 months each to complete the project. Feasibilities on the financial performance show that the chemical complex will have an annual profit of $60 million and a payback period of 3 and half years. The current design capacity of the Akashat mine operations is 3.4 million tonnes of phosphate rock of concentration 22% P205. Once mined, the rock is treated and turned into phosphate rock from 22% to 30% P205. Further production plants in al Qaim produce sulphuric and phosphoric-based fertilisers. Potential development of the phosphate and the associated fertiliser industry is significant in al Anbar, given that it has access to large reserves of phosphate rock and natural gas. The Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture, which is a major consumer of fertilizer in the country, estimated recently that the growth in the consumption of fertilizer was leading to shortages in the country. With major agricultural projects on-going over the past few years, in addition to the growth of commercial farming, the demand level is expected to increase considerably. The development of a ‘Gas City’ on the Akkaz gas field will also ensure that the fertiliser sector in the province is significantly strengthened through local supplies of natural gas. This would mean replacing gas sourced from Kirkuk, which will help save costs. The combination of existing production of fertiliser, a large domestic and international 67 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar market for it, the abundance of natural resources and the institutional level of knowledge in the province of the sector, should see the phosphate and fertiliser industry develop quickly and provide significant benefits to the country. The investor can sell his share of the fertilizers in the local market through its local offices at any price. All assets imported into the country as part of the rehabilitation project will be exempted from the import duties. The World Bank’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency will also fully insure and guarantee participating investors. 4. Current Investment Activity and Investment Opportunities 4.1 Industrial Sector Currently, the Provincial Investment Commission is promoting a project for the production of float glass plates, clear glass and transparent glass with a production capacity of 120,000 tons per year. Investors could partner with the State Company for Glass and Ceramics to implement the project. The project is located 20 km from Ramadi city centre near the highways. It has sufficient water sources, electricity network and technical expertise in its laboratory. The project offers investors a 10 year tax exemption. The project is opened to all prospective investors both local and foreign. 68 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Table 5: List of Proposed Investment Projects Plant or Product GLASS PRODUCTION CRYSTAL GLASS Project Details Build a flat glass factory with annual capacity of 120,000 tons at a cost of $130 million. Production of pure transparent glass between 0.5 and 16mm thick for local reconstruction market. The site is situated on land owned by the General Company for Glass and Ceramics, 20km from the provincial capital of al Ramadi. Glass bottles plant of 1,000 tonnes per year Production of crystal glass, particularly for local demand for chandeliers and other lighting products. Target production capacity is 1,000 tonnes. A large proportion will be for the production of vases and bowls. The estimated cost is $10 million. An area of 2,200 square metres has been designated for this project, which is located 100km west of Baghdad, near al Ramadi. Numerous building materials, including bricks and blocks plants. CERAMIC TILES Construct a one to two million square metre annual production plant to produce ceramic tiles, using the significant reserves of red Kaolin deposits exist. The proposed location is close to al Fallujah situated on land belonging to the General Company of Thermal Industries. The estimated cost is $10 million. PHOSPHATE ROCK Extract natural phosphate rock factory in Akashat PRODUCTION AND mines to produce 300,000 tons of phosphoric and PROCESSING sulphuric acid at a cost of $80 million. Natural sulphur deposits found in neighbouring Nineveh Province, via the state company for sulphur, al Mishraq. Proposed site for development is in al Akashat, in al Anbar. Construct an associated phosphate fertilizer plants in al Qaim with a production capacity of 400k tonnes per year. NITROGEN FERTILIZERS Production of nitrogen fertilisers using gas reserves. Projected to be in the region of one million tonnes per year. INDUSTRIAL CHEMICAL Production of chemicals using abundant natural gas resources, including sulphuric acid, ethanol, PRODUCTION methanol, detergents and ammonium. GYPSUM Production of gypsum 10km North-east of Rawa city, with a production capacity of 150,000 tons per year. The estimated cost is about $35 million and it will be situated in an area between al QaimBaghdad and Rawa-Mosul. A 2MW electricity 69 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar generator using heavy fuel oil is required. A second plant is also proposed for the development of the 35km North East of Haditha city, also at a cost of $35 million to produce 150,000 tons annually. The site is situated on a road linking Haditha, Beiji and Kirkuk. AKKAZ NATURAL GAS Develop the proposed Al Anbar Gas City, in close FIELD proximity to Akkaz giant gas field. SOLAR PRODUCTION PANEL Establish a new solar cell panel factory using abundant silica sand reserves. BENTONITE PLANT Construction of a bentonite factory near Akashat or Rutba to produce 100,000 tons per year at an estimated cost of $18 million. The site is located close to the borders with Jordan and Saudi Arabia, close to the main Rutba-Baghdad road. 4.2 Tourism The province has its tourist city on Lake Habaniya, 25 km west of Fallujah and 60 km west of the capital Baghdad. Aside this, there are large bodies of water such as Lake Habbaniyah, Lake Thar Thar and Haditha Dam as well as Euphrates river which can be developed into a modern tourist destinations. A number of tourist related investment projects have been proposed for development in al Anbar. The Anbar Investment Commission has commenced a new investment initiative opened to foreign and local investors, and has recently granted seven investment licenses specifically designated for the tourism and recreation sector. All participating investors will benefit from a 10 year tax free period. Some of the key ones are listed below. Al Habbaniya Lake – Considered one of the country’s most treasured lakes, a tourist resort is proposed for development on al Habbaniya Lake at an estimated cost of $100 million. Built in 1979 on the shores of Lake Habbaniyah near Fallujah, the area used to be a top wedding and honeymoon destination in the Middle East, and in the 1980s it won an award for best Middle Eastern tourist resort. Hotels, chalets, villas, hostels and an entertainment park is proposed on the site as part of an integrated and comprehensive set of services for Iraqi and foreign tourists. The proposed two year project should ensure that al Habbaniya is developed as a top attraction destination for visitors from the province and neighbouring cities. Ramadi Warwar Dam Lake – A similar project at a cost of $15 million near the Warwar dam lake in al Ramadi has also been proposed, which could see the development of a leisure park, hotels, and restaurants on the flat area on the banks of the river. There is good access to electricity, water and road services 70 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar and a ready availability of skilled labour. There is also a high local demand for such a project given the lack of alternatives or competitive projects in the area. The expected project implementation timeframe is estimated to be around 12 months. Al Haditha Lake – Additionally, a site has been allocated for private sector investment at an estimated cost of $100 million on al Haditha Lake. A number of attractions, including hotels, chalets and leisure parks could be developed under this project. The expected project implementation timeframe is estimated to be around 12 months. Hotels – As the province suffers from the dearth of adequate and quality hotel accommodation, a number of hotels have been proposed for investment. This includes a 5-star development on the banks of the Euphrates at an estimated cost of $100 million. A similar hotel is also proposed for development in al Fallujah. Medical Spa – A possible investment in the establishment of medical tourism facilities such as a tourism spa of medical mineral water is proposed. This would make use of the abundance of mineral water in the province. The proposed 12month project is estimated to cost $10 million. Entertainment Park – Two opportunities for investment in entertainment parks in or around Fallujah, between Tharthar Street and the railways. The project is for the construction of a leisure park for local and neighbouring cities in a location spanning 300,000 square meters, estimated to cost $5 million. Additional potential investment projects include leisure parks in Ramadi (Thawra Garden), Heet (Middle Euphrates Island, opposite Swayb Area), at a cost of $2 million and $5 million respectively. 4.3 Agriculture Agriculture is an essential and integral part of Anbar’s economy, and as the security situation has improved many farmers have returned to production in the last year. The province has a vast area of uncultivated fertile agricultural land, and the fertile floodplain along the Euphrates river produces a variety of fruits and vegetables including melons, corn, wheat, potatoes, and forage for livestock. These resources can be exploited to create commercial farming and processing of agriculture produce for the local, regional and global markets. The Provincial Investment Commission in al Ramadi has proposed a number of investment projects to develop the agricultural sector. However, at the moment the sector is currently dependent on the availability of electricity, and years of underinvestment in the irrigation system. The Ministry of Agriculture has successfully procured and implemented the installation of multiple 71 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar pivot irrigation equipment systems in 2008-2009. Since mid-2009, Provincial Reconstruction Teams in Anbar, in cooperation with local partners, has financed and installed nearly 500 hoop houses throughout the province33. Costing $3,200 a piece, the ‘hoops’ measure 52 meters long, 8 meters wide and 3.5 meters tall. In addition to their aluminium frame and plastic covering, each hoop house is equipped with a drip irrigation and fertilizer delivery system. Local farmers use the hoop houses to grow strawberries, tomatoes, zucchinis, squash, beans and peas. These are sold in local markets, where locally grown produce has become more widely available and economically competitive. Additionally, the drip irrigation system has also provided an eco-friendly alternative to traditional methods of irrigation by economising the amount of water used on crops and reducing wastage from evaporation. The Anbar Greenhouse Initiative, a project carried out with the Director General of Agriculture in Anbar, entailed an investment of approximately $1.5 million but has since become self-sustaining as Anbari farmers pay for half of the equipment and installation fees. 4.3.1 Grain Production A target annual production of 50,000 tons of grain has been proposed for development near al Haditha. The site benefits from ample water resources from the al Qadissiya Lake, which collects floodwater from the river Euphrates. The estimated project value of $4 million is expected to lead to the cultivation of various agricultural produce including a variety of good grains, oils and industrial grains. The total land available for this project is 78,500 donums, or 196.25 million square metres. According to the local branch of the Ministry of Agriculture, soil samples have shown a low sulphur and saline content. To serve the province’s demand for cattle feed, an agricultural site has also been allocated for the production of hay. The site north of al Nakhib, alongside a 160km highway, requires $4 million in investment funds to produce high protein cattle feed of about 42,000 tonnes annually. The size of the plot of land is 21,000 donums, or 52.5 million square metres. Investors would be able to export surplus production to rising demand in neighbouring Jordan and Saudi Arabia. According to the Ramadi PIC, the site would benefit from deep well irrigation. An additional site has been allocated to grain and date palm production in al Fallujah, Rahaliya and al Ekhaither, on a plot of land of about 16,000 donums, or 40 million square metres. The estimated size of investment required is $10 million. 33 http://iraq-prt.usembassy.gov/prt-anbargreen-052510.html. 72 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar 4.3.2 Cereal Crops Production In the agricultural sector, the Anbar Investment Commission has initiated the Bayadir planting investment project to produce wheat, barley and feed by using modern irrigation methods. The project which is located in the district of Heat / Al Doulaab / Bayadir, provides a fertile land suitable of approximately 2,500 donum for agriculture. It is very close to the Euphrates River and gives all participating investors a tax exemption for a period of 10 years. The estimated cost of the project is $5 million over a one year period. It is also within easy access to academic and food sciences support in Anbar. Also an estimated $16 million in investment funds is required to produce 10,000 tonnes annual of barley and wheat, in al Rutbaa. The total size of land allocated to this project is 35,000 donums, or 87.5 million square metres. Key advantages include proximity to markets in Syria, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. Expected project implementation timeframe for this is 12 months. Additionally, an investment of $84 million is required to produce 35,000 tonnes of barley per year on an allocated pasture area south of al Nakhiba city. The total fertile land allocated to this project is 150,000 donums, or 375 million square metres. The area benefits from proximity to Saudi Arabia markets, as well as rich irrigation and ground water supplies. Given the province’s large stock of cattle, an annual target production of 20,000 tons of wheat and barley is proposed for investment, at a cost of $35 million. The intention is to meet the demands of the local domestic market, with the intention of exporting the surplus. The open fertile agricultural site located in al Haditha is approximately 14,000 donums, or 35 million square metres, with close access to irrigation. The estimated timeframe for this project is 12 months, and is estimated to cost $35 million. 4.3.3 Olive Oil Production An investment of $57 million is required to produce 25,000 tonnes of olive oil, in an area 3km south of Haditha, and 90km west of the city. It is located between Horan valley to the North and Amij valley to the south. The site is approximately 10,000 donums, or 25 million square metres, and benefits from low salinity. It is expected that investor returns will accrue after six years. 4.3.4 Poultry and Egg Production There is an [estimated] total of 650,793 poultry in Anbar alone. Poultry is less expensive than beef or lamb with consumer demand estimated at 200,000 MT annually, of which only 30% is met. However, the poultry industry faces some challenges. The loss of a reliable and constant electrical power supply, subsidized feed imports, and elimination 73 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar of tariff protection led to the closure of up to 70% of the operations in the country. Cheaper imported frozen chicken currently dominates sales, but the Iraqi poultry industry is gradually increasing to production of boiler chicken for the national market as the supply of reliable electricity improves. Additionally the increased local production of maize and other poultry feed will greatly facilitate poultry projects in the province. The availability of Ramadi-grown feed strengthens the poultry value chain in the province. An open green field site of 150,000 donums, or 375 million square metres has been allocated North of Saklawiya city to produce 10 million eggs per year at a cost of $35 million. Since 70% of the country’s demand for eggs is served by imports, production can serve the Iraq market. Major markets in al Ramadi and Baghdad should suffice to provide sufficient demand for the investment project’s chicken production plant, which could be implemented within three years. A similar project, to produce eggs for the domestic and export market at a cost of $35 million has been allocated adjacent to Tharthar Lake in Al Fallujah. An open green field site of 2,000 donums, or five million square metres, has been identified for potential investors, where production can be up to 10 million egg-laying hens per year. In addition, a site near Tharthar Lake in al Fallujah has been identified for investors to produce 17,000 tonnes of chicken meat per year. This project will see the implementation of poultry incubators, rearing and slaughterhouse facilities. The total cost of the investment project will be in the region of $45 million on a site of about 400 donums, or one million square metres. 4.3.5 Dairy Cattle The dairy industry is one of the most attractive investment ventures in the country. With a population of 26 million and a birth rate of 4.2 children per family, the country has outstanding potential for growth in the production, processing and marketing of dairy products, and the existing dairy production plants in the province are small in size and are not able to meet local demand. An investment of $6 million is required to produce 3,000 tons of milk per year, on an open green field site of 1,050 donums, or 2.62 million square metres. The site is located 10km east of Anah city, or 3km from the Euphrates River. A dairy plan feasibility study was recently developed by USAID, under the Inma Agribusiness Program. The potential growth is great because of a growing population, the increase in the proportion of young people who naturally eat more dairy products, the demand for protein rich foods, and the potential of the land with improving irrigation systems to produce an abundance of quality animal feeds. 74 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar 4.3.6 Red Meat Production The current local demand for quality lamb and beef exceeds the supply. Cattle and sheep populations have declined since the 1990s, however the increased focus on local forage supply for cattle will facilitate the development of red meat production in Anbar. In Anbar province alone there are an estimated total of 122,308 cows and buffaloes, 1,331,025 sheep and 285,066 goats. On a site 30km east of al Ramadi, a Greenfield site has been identified for investing in a beef cattle production farm. Investment funds required are in the region $3 million on a site of approximately 500 donums, or 1.25 million square metres. Total annual production is expected to reach 192,000kg of red meat per year. 4.4 Housing Rapid population growth is a common phenomenon in the province meaning that there is a heavy demand for housing units but the supply of residential accommodation has over the years been insufficient. This led to a great need for residential units horizontally and vertically to cover the high demand. Providing housing is a national priority, but it requires private investment to flourish. As a result, the Anbar council continues to grant investment licences to investors. While housing needs in Anbar are not as severe as in other provinces, houses remain crowded with two or three people per room, and many of the housing needs reconstruction and repair. Damage caused by the war in 2003 was the source of some of these problems, but a failure to take care of dwellings for financial or other reasons was also a cause. According to a 2008 RAND report, most of al-Anbar’s households (71 per cent) reported that their homes are in disrepair. Of those with serious damage, roughly a third are currently making repairs, a third intend to make repairs, and a third have no plans to make repairs soon. Importantly, this repair activity is reflected in the resurgence of construction in Al-Anbar. One of the housing projects currently looking for investors is the Al Surouh residential complex for Dhilal Al Rawasi Company in the district of Heat / Kubaisa. The project will consist of 520 housing units for Dhilal Al Rawasi Company at a cost of $36,440,840. The project will extend to districts such as M'amoora and Groora. Another investment opportunity involves a project to build high-rise apartments and independent housing accommodation in Ramadi in order to meet market needs for residential accommodation. The project will consist of 750 high-rise and independent residential units in an open brown-field site of 117 donum, or 292,500 square meters, with an estimated cost of $75 million. 75 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar The Emirates International Investment Company (EIIC) is set to launch three major real estate projects across Iraq, but has yet to release details of its plans and is awaiting the results of feasibility studies. Local manpower and a significant availability of raw materials such as stones, plaster, sand, Alhso and cement, provide investors with additional benefits to investing in Anbar. 4.5 Cement and Construction Materials The construction industry is embarking on a period of rapid growth, but domestic construction materials suppliers have yet to tap into the lucrative business opportunities because of a lack of credit access, skills and technologies. The construction materials sector, especially the cement industry, therefore represents a priority in the rehabilitation plan, because it currently has a competitive advantage given high demand and the availability of raw materials locally. With investment in resources and training Anbar could be set to capitalise on the construction boom in the country. Private investors have already undertaken the rehabilitation and management of the Al Qa’im Cement Factory (see box) as well as other cement plants in the province. The Iraqi government has made it a priority to privatise construction sector activity, which means that many of the state-owned enterprises in the country are to take on new private sector partners. In December 2010, the Anbar council granted 3 investment licenses for cement factories in the province. Many of the companies specialising in construction materials are currently operating at 20% of their production capacities. As a result, there are significant opportunities for productivity gains, given the right levels of investment in capital equipment and transfers of skills and technologies. A delegation of Chinese companies specialising in cement production recently visited the province to discuss investment projects in the region and ways of increasing productivity at Anbar’s Qa’im cement plant. Anbar was chosen by the Chinese delegation after it had conducted geological studies in the area, as the production of cement depends on the presence of certain rocks close to the earth’s surface, and a variety of other minerals. Qa’im was selected because it is a huge plant that can satisfy the needs of the province and other provinces outside Iraq. Strengthening the local production of building materials would greatly benefit existing housing construction projects in the province34. The potential upside for investors choosing to invest in the construction sector is compelling. In cement there is currently no competition from the private sector, and so investors will not face real competition from the domestic market and international producers can’t compete because of high international transport costs. There is also high local demand due to the increase in reconstruction activities in the past few years, with projects ranging from refurbishing and building oil installations, electricity, water 34http://www.iraq-businessnews.com/2011/01/05/china-considers-cement-plant-in-anbar/. 76 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar and sewage treatment plants, to upgrading the national network of ports, roads, airports, public works, bridges, highways, hospitals and schools. This massive demand offers huge opportunities for construction sector investors. Additionally, six small damns with a storage capacity of 95 million cubic meters are being built in Anbar, which will provide another local market for cement and other construction materials. This provides an ideal opportunity for investors to invest in this sector. Box 1: Case Study: The Al Qa’im Cement Factory The opportunity for investment in Al Qa’im Cement Factory was purchased in August 2009 by the Jordanian firm, Al Maysarah General Co. Ltd, a consortium of Jordanian investors. It produces 2,000 tons of finished cement product per day, and was able to produce 197,854 tons of cement through the first half of 2009. Production is currently at 60% of total capacity, largely due to the disrupted electrical power resources. To work around this, Al Maysarah plans to install sufficient generator capacity to furnish its needs and agreements with the Ministry of Oil will supply the necessary fuel for the organic power generation. Plant management has determined that with unabated electrical power, the plant stands ready to produce 3,200 tons of finished cement product per day. The plant’s finished products are provided to wholesalers and retailers as far east as Baghdad and as far north as Mosul. The investors have undertaken to supply the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) with its share as a percentage of production offered by the investor. The other cement plants, in Kubaisa and Al Fallujah, are also under investment now. The Kubaisa Cement Plant, located 210 km west of Baghdad, operates 2 kilns, and the Fallujah Cement Plant, located 65 km west of Baghdad, operates 3 kilns with an annual production capacity of 290,000 tons of white cement. 4.6 Energy: Oil and Gas Resources As the largest province in the country, local market demand for oil products as well as its strategic importance in the country makes it an ideal place for the expansion of its oil refinery. The province has the Haditha oil refinery and a strategic oil pipeline that passes through the province. According to the Anbar deputy provincial governor, Hikmat Jassim, the Ministry of Oil has agreed to expand the Haditha refinery to allow investors to explore some of the benefits resulting from economics of scale. The expansion project when completed will mean that the refinery can produce about 120 thousand bpd to meet the local market needs and export the surplus to neighbouring countries.35 35Iraq Business News, 30 March 2010. 77 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar In January 2011, the Chairman of Anbar Province’s Council has called on the Iraqi government to invest in al-Risha oil field, shared between Iraq and Jordan, and has begun to lay down clear steps to exploit the field. It is considered one of the country’s most important oil fields. Iraq’s share in the joint al-Risha oil field is estimated at 80%, and Iraq has the right to exploit it through cooperation with the Jordanian government, to be achieved after the approval of the Central Government in Baghdad. The Akkaz gas field in the western area in Al Qa’im is another strategic asset that has not been fully tapped yet. Discovered in 1998, the Akkaz gas field holds 5.6 trillion cubic feet of gas and currently has six wells. This huge presence of a gas field offers potential investors substantial investment opportunities. These resources can also be explored in order to develop and run power plants to meet the huge electricity deficit in the province. There are opportunities to construct various electric transformer plants and other stations to generate electric power to supply the province and beyond. Two UAE firms Dana Gas (DANA.AD) and Crescent Oil announced they plan to build a gas city in Anbar province worth $60 billion in investment. The gas is expected to come from the province's Akkas gas field which Dana and Crescent are also keen to develop with the central Oil Ministry.36 An investment delegation from the Korean company Hyundai, specializing in establishing and equipping oil-fired power plants, recently visited Anbar to discuss proposals for investment, including ways of operating oil-fuelled plants and the setting up of several power stations. The Korean company has proposed to set up three large electricity stations and linking them to a central power plant. This would eliminate the electricity problem that has hindered much of the province’s economic potential in the past. The new plants would satisfy the power supply needs of the province, particularly during the summer when extra electricity is needed to power air-conditioner units and water coolers. Finally, Syria and Iraq have recently reached a final agreement to build two oil pipelines and a gas pipeline between their two countries, and tender invitations are to be issued soon. 4.7 Commercial and Business Services While the province has established both government and private enterprises both, there continues to be a lack of commercial services for these enterprises. This is a great investment opportunity for business advisory and other commercial services firms to establish their full operations in the province. The chairman of Anbar council 36Reuters, ISTANBUL/DUBAI, October 14 2010. 78 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar announced that the council would be supportive to companies investing such commercial and business services in the province. There are already a few specific projects in need of investment. One such project is the need for the establishment of affordable internet services in the province. In early November 2010, the Anbar Investment Commission contracted Smart Link Company a Jordan company and an Iraqi company called Shadow Company to implement an Internet facility project in the province. According to Arkan Khalaf al-Tarmouz, the chairman of the committee, the investment project will provide high-speed Internet service at a cost of $70 per month (82,000 ID), eventually falling to $8.5 (10,000 ID) per month.37 In addition, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) and the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) agreed to set up a project to support local private and semi-private Business Development Service (BDS) providers in the province. The full implementation of the project will ensure the development of a sustainable business model for businesses and engage a range of beneficiaries, including current owners and managers of small businesses as well as potential entrepreneurs in various business advisory services. The French Ambassador to Baghdad recently visited Anbar and announced plans to open a consulate in the province, and discussed ways of enhancing trade and investment between France and Anbar, particularly given the province’s abundance of natural resources. The U.A.E. has also announced it is exploring the possibility of opening up a consulate in Anbar. The UAE ambassador to Iraq recently reviewed economic conditions and investment and trade opportunities in Anbar with local officials as a means to further relations between officials in Anbar and Abu Dhabi. Finally, an investment licence has been granted to Al Multaqa company in order to build a commercial and medical complex in Ramadi, worth US$ 39,960,000. 37 AKnews, 09 November 2010. 79 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar Annex 1: List of Investment Licences Issued as at September 2010 Name and type of project Locatio n Develope r Sector Value of project in $ Value of project in ID Completio n as of % 1 Shopping centre Al Fallujah Commerce $9,000,000 - Yet to start 2 Mineral water bottles plant Metal Smelting and forging plant Housing complex - Industrial $2,531,392 - Yet to start Industrial $122,317,00 0 - Yet to start Housing $106,470,00 0 - Yet to start 5 Natural oils mixing plant - Industrial $177,558,84 0 - Yet to start 6 Housing complex Al Ramadi Housing $57,750,000 - Yet to start 7 Amusement park - Tourism $4,000,000 - Yet to start 8 Tower blocks Car showroom Housing complex Al Ramadi Housing $75,000,000 - 12% Commercial - 1800,000,000 Housing $45,000,000 11 Housing complex - Housing - 36,000,000,000,00 0 4% 12 Commercial tower block Al Fallujah Commercial - 1,200,000,000 Yet to start 13 Plastic pipes plant Industrial $715,000 - completed 14 Tourism and commercial complex Medical and commercial complex Tower for wireless communicat ions Date palm processing plant Amusement park Housing complex Housing Complex Al Rutba Mehdi, Radi and Yasser Muhammed Ali Internationa l construction company Internationa l construction company Al Rafaideen and Al Ijdan company Internationa l construction company Janin for general trading and construction Badr al Deen Yousif Ismael Saat company Abbas Company Qima al Awasim company Emaar al Wasat for trading and construction Talib Khamis Mu’salat San’an Abid al Wahab Mansour Majid al Sa’oud company Tourism/commerci al $1,600,000 - Yet to start Al Ramadi Al Multaqa company Commercial $36,960,000 - 1% - Al Bar company Communications $35,000,000 - Yet to start Al Ramadi Agro-industry $500,000 - Yet to start Tourism $750,000 - 60% Housing $10,000,000 - Yet to start Housing $36,440,000 - 0.47% Gypsum - Anwar al Kubaisa company Al Zakhar Company Al Rayan Company Dhalal al Rawasi company Al Qasas Industrial $5,000,000 - Yet to start 3 4 9 10 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 - Al Ramadi Al Fallujah - Al Ramadi Al Heet 4% 80 Provincial Profile – Al Anbar 22 23 24 processing plant Feedlot processing plant Gypsum processing plant Amusement park company - Al Rawa al Furat Industrial - 2,374,000,000 10% - Uruk company Industrial $850,000 - Yet to start Al Fallujah Nafaa Anad Ja’ad and Khalid Ibrahim Allawi Engineering for construction Group of companies Barakat al Taseem company Al Gaith for construction and general trading Alaa Ma’loki Ali Fa’yadh al Amu Al Hadara al Arabiya Asoul al Jouda company Al Dhar for general trading and construction Al Barakah for agricultural production and animal husbandry Al Jazeera al Ah’laam company Dhaf al Rafaideen company Al Ijdan for engineering and general trading Hameed Ahmed Muhmeed Tourism - 527,325,000 5% Housing $70,000,000 - 8% Tourism $2,500,000 - 0.5% Industrial $100,000,00 0 - Yet to start Commercial - 300,000,000 Yet to start Housing $44,000,000 - Yet to start Housing - Yet to start Industrial $242,959,30 0 $1,000,000 - Yet to start Housing $18,576,800 - Yet to start Agro-industrial - 4,148,000,000 Yet to start Tourism $29,488,695 Tourism - 10,832,039,000 Yet to start Housing $71,469,320 - Yet to start Agriculture - 1,240,000,000 Yet to start 25 Housing complex Al Ramadi 26 Amusement park Al Heet 27 Resistant materials plant - 28 Shopping market Housing complex Housing complex Insulation panels plant Al Kubaisa 32 Housing Complex - 33 Concentrate d Feedlot production plant - 34 5 star hotel Al Ramadi 35 Tourism complex - 36 Housing complex Anaa 37 Cattle fattening plant Al Karma 29 30 31 - Yet to start Source: Al Anbar PIC, 2010. 81 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Provincial Profile: Al Najaf Executive Summary Najaf Al-Ashraf is located on Iraq’s southern border with the Saudi Arabia and is surrounded by the governorates of Karbala and Babel. It covers an area of 27845 km2, which is approximately 6.6% of Iraq's total. The Governorate is divided into three districts: Najaf, Kufa and Al-Munadhera. The former two consist of four communes, while the latter consists of three. The administrative capital is Najaf City, located in the district of Najaf. 60% of the population of the province live in Najaf city. During the reign of Saddam Hussein, Najaf was characterised by the social exclusion of the predominant Shi'a population by a Sunni led regime. Since 2003, however, the region has experienced a revival in industrial and commercial activity. With improving levels of security in recent years, there have been a number of positive signs for international private sector investment. As living standards, wages and communications improve, an increasing number of investment opportunities for the private sector have arisen. The most prominent of all has been the tourism sector, where a number of projects have been licensed to meet the rising demand of millions of Najaf's millions of annual visitors. The sectors which dominate Najaf's economic landscape are tourism, trade, agriculture and industry. Tourism is by far the largest, as thousands of religious tourists flock to the governorate to visit the holy shrine of Imam Ali and the mosques of Kufa and Sahla. Najaf also has abundant gypsum and limestone for the production of cement. Handicrafts from Najaf are well-known and are sold in a number of commercial centres. The establishment of the Najaf Provincial Investment Commission in 2008 has led to a remarkable improvement in business environment, and it has paved the way for local and international investors looking to invest in the province. State Companies Several State-owned enterprises are currently looking for investors to rehabilitate and modernise production processes to bring production capacity levels up. These include the State Company for Tires and Rubber, the Southern Cement State Company, the Ready Made Wear Company and the State Company for Leather Goods. Tourism Tourism employs approximately 25% of the workforce in Najaf. The province is wellknown among the Shi’a population for the shrine of Imam Ali Ibn Abi Talib and the 82 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf remains of Muslim Ibn Aqil. Najaf will be the capital of Islamic culture in 2012, and the Iraqi government has allocated almost $460 million for the preparation of the city’s infrastructure to mark the occasion. Several investment licenses have already been awarded to international private sector investors seeking to build hotels and leisure centres. There is a strong demand for better quality hotels and amenities for the millions of religious tourists who visit the province each year. The National Investment Commission is seeking investor interest in developing a number of three to four-star and two five-star hotels, all above 100 rooms. Transportation The most significant investment in Najaf’s transportation infrastructure came in 2009 when a $600 million contract was awarded to the Canadian consortium TransGlobim International to build Iraq’s first monorail, which will significantly reduce congestion in the province’s road networks. Congestion in times of religious pilgrimage visits to Najaf requires further investment to strengthen the transport sector, and opportunities in this area remain strong. Industrial Najaf's main factories specialise in the production of construction materials, such as cement, sand and glass products. In February 2010 the investment commission in Najaf signed a memorandum of understanding with a group of Korean and Iraqi companies to extract oil and conduct infrastructure projects worth over $22 billion in the province. Lucrative investment opportunities are found in the rehabilitation of Najaf’s factories, where the province maintains a competitive advantage due to its wealth in natural minerals. An $80 million investment in a new glass factory is required, as well as a $90 million investment in tile and ceramic factory, $250 million in cement factory (with an expected production of 1 million tons of cement per year), and $25 million in the bricks factory (minimum of 500 million bricks per day expected production) Housing There are a total of 89,966 housing units in the province, however this figure falls far short of the requirements for Najaf’s 1,200,000 population. To meet this growing need, a number of residential projects have been licensed and are currently being implemented. Commercial and Business The business culture in Najaf reflects its tourist base and has a high degree of international visibility. A number of investment licences have been issued to investors 83 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf seeking to build shopping malls, car parks and entertainment parks to meet the requirements of the growing tourism industry. Agriculture Given the abundance of fertile land and water resources, the province is known for its rich production of wheat, rice, dates and vegetables, and much of Najaf’s workforce still engage in agriculture. Date palms production in Najaf provides opportunities for potentially lucrative investments; in neighbouring Kerbala, the Government of Iraq put forward the Karbala Dates and Sugar Project for private sector bidding, which involves the construction of a plant with a capacity of 150,000 metric tons a year. 1. Regulatory Environment Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) Najaf's Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) was established on 3 November 2008 to oversee and facilitate private sector development. The PIC contains a one-stop shop which receives investment applications and seeks approval from relevant departments regarding investment projects. Other local bodies working closely with the PICs include the Provincial Council, the civil administration, together with relevant departments in central government. Investment proposals are assessed by the PIC, and then submitted to a vote by the local civil administration. The PIC is also authorised to provide investors with primary and secondary data from the Economic Department in order to complete feasibility studies. Table 1: Key PIC Contacts Name Dr. Fadhl A. AlFadhl Wafe Al-Bohash Mohammed Naser Najah Karim Position Head of PIC Contact [email protected] Deputy head of PIC External relations [email protected] [email protected] Samer Nemaa Head of one-stop shop Head of Economic Department [email protected] and Feasibility studies [email protected] Source: Najaf Socio-economic survey, 2010. 84 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Since the PIC's inception, only 20 licences have been issued that have started work, while 45 issued licences are yet to begin implementation. To date, 45 licences have been issued to Iraqi investors; while 20 have been issued to non-Iraqis (see section on investment activity for an outline of many of these projects). The PIC contains a onestop shop which receives investment applications and seeks approval from relevant departments regarding investment projects. Other local bodies working closely with the PICs include the Provincial Council, the civil administration, together with relevant departments in central government. Investment proposals are assessed by the PIC, and then submitted to a vote by the local civil administration. The PIC is also authorised to provide investors with primary and secondary data from the Economic Department in order to complete feasibility studies. It takes on average 45 days to obtain an investment licence, according to regulation 13 of Iraq's investment laws. Once the licence has been obtained, it takes an additional 60 days to receive a building permit, following submission of construction designs and site preparation. State Companies Several State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) operate in Najaf, particularly in its industrial sector. While there are currently no plans to privatise and dismantle Iraq's SOEs, private sector investment is often sought for them. As they are run by the Iraqi Ministry of Industries and Minerals, tenders for private sector investment are issued by the companies themselves, rather than the PICs. These state owned enterprises are the State Company for Tires and Rubber, the Southern Cement State Company, the Ready Made Wear Company and the State Company for Leather Goods. 2. Infrastructure Tourism Tourism in Najaf is only second to Baghdad in terms of contribution to total [tourism] revenue. It is also by far the largest contributor to the province’s economy. Approximately 25% of Najaf’s workforce is employed in the tourism sector, which includes hotels and restaurants. Al Najaf Investment Development Centre offers business management and computer training for local businesses, many of whom are in the tourism centre. Table 2: Sector Breakdown Sector Tourism Contribution to GDP ($) 18,000,000 Percentage 30 85 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Trade Agriculture Industry Others 10,000,000 9,000,000 8,400,000 12,600,000 20 15 14 21 Source: Najaf provincial Council, 2008. The cities of Najaf and Kufa attract millions of Shia pilgrims a year from all over the world to visit the shrine of Imam Ali Ibn Abi Talib and the remains of Muslim Ibn Aqil. There are 40 religious occasions a year, which attract pilgrimage to the governorate all year round, with an average of three million religious pilgrims a year. Najaf is thought to be the third-most-popular destination for Muslim pilgrims after the Saudi Arabian cities of Mecca and Medina. Since 2006, there has been an average of 10 million people visiting Najaf, with 32% of them entering through travel companies. Six million of these are from Iran, a country with the highest proportion of Shia Muslims in the world. Since the completion of the Najaf International Airport (situated 8 Km from the province capital) in 2008, however, there has been a sharp rise in the number of foreign visitors, particularly from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Bahrain. There are a total of 188 hotels in the whole of the province. Two are rated five stars, 67 four stars, 62 three stars and 57 two stars. Table 3: Hotel Capacity Hotel No. Rating Hotels No. Rooms No. Beds 5 Star 2 212 560 4 Star 67 4,090 9,448 3 Star 62 2,208 5,089 2 Star 57 1,338 3,306 7,847 18,403 TOTAL 188 Table 4: Top Six Hotels in Najaf Hotel Rating Hotel Name 5 Star Zamzam Complex 5 Star Najaf Global Hotel 4 Star Al-Dir Hotel 4 Star Al-Najem Hotel 4 Star Al-Ghofran Hotel 4 Star Bahr Al-Najaf Hotal Source: Socio-economic survey, 2010. 86 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Given the recent increase in religious tourism, especially after the opening of the Najaf International Airport in 2008, there has been an increased demand for more four to five star hotels and higher quality restaurants. The Munadhera district is home to the town of Al-Hira, the ancient Arab capital of the Lakhmid kingdom. While Al-Kurnq and Al-Sadeer are currently being excavated, these sites have not been used as potential sightseeing locations. Similarly unexploited is the abundant greenery on the banks of the Euphrates River in Kufa, which provides an ideal location for a tourist resort. In the 2008 gathering of the Islamic world’s culture ministers in Azerbaijan, it was agreed that Najaf would be named the capital of Islamic culture in 2012. The Iraqi government has allocated almost $460 million for the preparation of the city’s infrastructure to mark the occasion. Transportation The Najaf Governorate is planning to upgrade its road network and to construct highways link Najaf to other provinces. There is already a major artery that links Najaf City to Kerbala in the south and Baghdad in the north. A $7 million by-pass highway is planned for Najaf in order to alleviate traffic during the peaks of religious tourist season. Plans are also in place to build an inter-provincial railway that will connect Najaf to Musaib, Karbala and Samawahl; and a monorail to Najaf's holy sites (see section on investment activity for more details on current projects). Najaf International Airport, formerly a military airbase, was completed in 2008 and is located eight kilometres from the provincial capital. It currently hosts flights by nine airlines, which fly mainly to middle-eastern destinations, such as Damascus, Beirut, the Gulf States and Iran. Table 5: Paved Roads in Najaf Area Najaf Kufa Haidariya Abbasiya Hurriya Munadhera Hira Mishkhab Km of Paved Roads 14,700 55,550 33,825 16,200 43,900 47,120 28,600 25,050 87 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Qadisiya 39,610 Source: Socio-Economic Survey: Najaf, 2010. Current Land Use Land is distributed by sector according to the following table: Table 6: Area and Percentage of Land Usage Use Residential land Commercial land Industry Storage Transportation and communication Education Health Culture Religious Green spaces Public parks and sports facilities Industrial protection areas Private farms Travel sites Administrative buildings Other public services Infrastructure technical services Empty areas (nonallocated) General cemetery Military areas Total Area (dunums) 13,000 850 2,000 450 5,000 Percentage 39.4 2.6 6.1 1.4 15.2 1,000 80 80 70 1,500 475 3.03 0.2 0.2 0.2 4.54 1.44 780 1,000 460 200 500 130 2.4 3.03 1.4 0.61 1.51 0.4 1,080 3.3 4,000 345 33,000 12.12 1.05 100% Source: Najaf Provincial Council, 2010. Industrial and Capacity Najaf's main factories specialise in the production of construction material, such as cement, sand and glass products. Manufacturing is an integral to generating 88 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf employment in Najaf; however, these industries have traditionally been reliant on heavy government subsidies, especially during Ba'athist rule, and struggle to compete with foreign markets due to low capacity and outdated technology. Tires and rubber: There are two factories belonging to and run by the State Company for Tires and Rubber in Najaf City, one specialising in tires, the other in hoses. Both factories need comprehensive rehabilitation. Cement: There are two cement factories belonging to the Southern Cement State Company in the districts of Najaf and Kufa. Production in the cement factory is on the decline due to technical and financial problems; in the last few years, it has produced only 1.7 million tons annually – a quarter of its capacity.The company has recently received $200 million private sector investment (see section on investment activity below). Textiles: One textile factory under the Ready Made Wear Company is located in Najaf city. Due to lack of spare parts, poor maintenance and shortage of electricity, the plant is operating at low capacity and is in need of rehabilitation. Leather: There are two factories belonging to the State Company for Leather Industries, one in the district of Najaf, and the other in the district of Kufa. As with Najaf's other factories, there is an urgent need for rehabilitation and modernization. Table 7: Design Capacity of Factories State Companies for Tires & Rubber Product Name Measurement V-Belts Unit Tires Unit Rubber Products Unit Reclaim Unit Polyethylene Tubes 30 M Hoses Unit Car Tubes Unit Bicycle Tires Unit State Company for Ready Made Wear Industries Product Name Measurement Jackets for men Pieces Trousers for men Pieces Jacket for men Pieces Southern Cement State Company Capacity 2,000,000 576,000 166,725 750 38,475 1,500,000 630,000 170,998 Capacity 538,000 167,000 21,000 89 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Product Name Measurement Lime stone % / ton Clay % / ton Gypsum % / ton State Company for Leather Industries Product Name Measurement Sport Shoes Pair School Bags Piece Leather Shoes Pair Leather Garments Piece Capacity 70-75 25-30 3-4 Capacity 531,000 492,000 2,022,000 37,000 Source: Iraq NIC, 2010. Housing There are a total of 89,966 housing units (89,730 houses and 236 apartments) in the whole of the province of Najaf. This figure falls far below the level of housing required for Najaf's population of 1,200,000 (210,661 households with an average number of seven persons in each). It is estimated that 200,000 additional housing units are urgently required. The housing deficit in Najaf can be broken down as follows: Table 8: Summary of Estimated Housing Needs for Najaf City Response to new households Reduction in overcrowding Obsolescence of Existing Housing Stock Replacement of Non-Upgradeable Units Total New Units Units to be upgraded 23339 1569 11100 319 3627 5823 Source: Ministry of Construction and Housing, 2006. The provincial authorities is allocating land for private sector housing investment, with an emphasis on providing social housing, especially for Najaf's renting population, which currently stands at 18.9%. Industrial Zones The main industrial areas in Najaf comprise of: 90 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf One area located on the Najaf-Kufa border and specialised in manufacturing and storage on a 52 acres area of land. A 56 acres space by the residential area of Kufa city, consisting of printing presses, textile factories, food processing and construction plants. An An industrial storage site on the west side of the Najaf-Karbala border on an 172 acres piece of land. area including the government tire plant and textile mills. Commercial Zones The business culture in Najaf reflects its tourist base and high degree of international visibility. It has far more registered businesses than average, and a far higher value of business assets on average, especially vested in bricks and mortar. There are currently 7,468 commercial businesses in Najaf City. A large portion of them are concentrated in the old town’s market, which covers a total area of 11.3 acres. The commercial areas in Najaf City are as follows: The Central commercial area comprises of units run by merchants, industrial facilities and other services. These include the Grand Market, Zine al-Abidine and Sadeq streets and the areas surrounding the Mosque of Imam Ali. Roads running through residential areas contain many markets, such as in alHawish, Barrak and Mishrak stores located on Rassoul, al-Toussi, Khournaq and Sadir streets. Additionally, there are alleyways linked to Sadeq and Zine alAbidine streets with many businesses. Wholesale businesses occupy a narrow site between Sadeq Street and the Grand Mosque, in addition to several other commercial areas such as the City Park and the Hanoon and al-Jadida quarters. There are also around 16 markets scattered throughout the residential neighbourhoods on an area of land totalling 4000 square metres. Several small businesses located along the routes connecting Najaf and Karbala. Handicrafts are mostly sold in the central commercial area of Najaf City, with buildings overlapping with other commercial spaces, such as the Grand Market. Professions in the handicraft industry include cobbling, tailoring, pastries, traditional robe sewing, jewellery, watch making, and electric appliances 91 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Najaf contains higher percentages of micro, large and especially medium size businesses than Iraq as a whole. Compared to the rest of Iraq, businesses in Najaf tend more towards partnerships than sole proprietorships. They feature a high degree of administrative and management personnel, and tend to be more established and run by entrepreneurs who have been around longer. In 2008, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates pledged large investments to create a “New Najaf City” to take advantage of Najaf’s location and to help it develop as a regional economic centre. The project covers 21 million square metres and is valued at around $38 billion, more than half of Iraq’s entire budget for the year 2009. The modern integrated city will be built in the Najaf Sea area (four kilometres west of the Imam Ali Shrine) and will take the shape of a lake with an island at its centre resembling the Imam Ali Thu al-Fiqar sword. The city will contain housing complexes, shopping centres, five-star hotels and service and educational facilities to cater for Najaf’s religious tourists. Agriculture Due to the abundance of fertile land and water resources, the province is known for its rich production of wheat, rice, dates, and vegetables. The agricultural area in Najaf occupies 28,824 square metres, excluding the desert area, which comprises an area measuring approximately 1,296,600 dunams. Much of Najaf's workforce of over 570,000 is still engaged in agriculture, but agriculture takes up less and less importance in the economy. While agriculture is still important, the rice, date, wheat and barley industries are yielding to tourism as an economic driver, as security issues have receded. Table 9: Agricultural Output 2007-2010 Indicator Crop Qnty (Kg / dunum) Wheat 599 Barley 352 Rice 812.68 Maize 749 Palms 50 National Criterion % Qnty 23.96 377.6 14.08 224 32.5 720.8 29.96 577.6 2 55.6 Indicator Value 2010 % Qnty 15.18 716.24 8.96 404.66 28.83 928.39 23.10 889 2.2 110 Source: Najaf Provincial Council, 2008. Electricity 92 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf There are currently two power stations in operation in Najaf: the Najaf Gas Station (1,232mw) and the Najaf power station (551mw). Like much of Iraq, much of Najaf's population do not have access to 24-hour electricity. This problem is currently being addressed by the planned construction of an additional power station in Haidariya and Najaf City. Education There are 500 primary schools and 250 secondary schools throughout the province. Primary school enrolment is 75% for boys and 67% for girls in rural areas, and 75% for boys and 90% for girls in urban areas; while secondary school enrolment (aged 12-16) is 42% for boys and 33% for girls, with an enrolment rate of 84.5% in urban areas and 77.7% in rural areas. Poor education infrastructure remains a major issue in Najaf; the rate of illiteracy from the ages of 15-24 is 20.9% (101,313 males and 123,828 females). The University of Kufa, founded 1987, offers a comprehensive range of courses and specialisations, including business and hospital administration, medicine and engineering. Healthcare The Health Directorate in Najaf Al-Ashraf provides its services through 11 hospitals located throughout the province, seven of which are government-owned and five of which are privately run. They provide the following services: Consultancy clinics (day and night) Emergency branches Clinical branches for in-patients All types of surgeries Supplementary services (lab tests, x-rays, sonar, ECG, etc.) Dentistry services Table 10: Hospital Capacity (no. of beds) Government-owned Name Al-Sadr Teaching Hospital Zahra Natal Hospital Al-Hakim Hospital Al-Furat Hospital Al-Munadhera Hospital Al-Sajad Hospital Al-Haidariya Capacity (no. of beds) 522 337 238 107 50 50 93 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Privately run Name Al-Amir Hospital Al-Aghadeer Hospital Nuri Bilal Hospital Imam Ali Hospital Iranian Hospital - = info could not be obtained Capacity (no. of beds) - Source: Socio-Economic Survey: Najaf, 2010. There are also a number of specialist clinics in the governorate, which include the Consultancy Clinic for Chest and Respiratory Diseases, the Specialised Dentistry Centre, the Middle Euphrates Centre for Cerebral and Neurological Diseases, a prosthetics centre, a sports medicine centre, a renal disease centre, a public health laboratory, a blood bank unit, and the al-Adl Medical Centre. 3. Investment Challenges Power shortages: The lack of 24-hour electricity and the overreliance on generators is an obstacle to providing the infrastructure needed for private sector investment. Weak enterprises: Almost half of the population (45%) work in the informal economy. Financial constraints are one of the most significant issues facing enterprises in Najaf. There is also limited managerial capacity due to minimal investment in skills upgrading and a lack of exposure to recommended practices. Poor industrial infrastructure: Many of Najaf's heavy industries are remnants from the Ba'athist regime, when the sector was heavily subsidised and poorly maintained due to sanctions. 4. Investment Strengths Tourism: Najaf has a wealth of tourist attractions, which have enjoyed more visits following the opening of Najaf International airport. Their religious significance to millions of Shia Muslims around the world will ensure large volumes of visits to the province, therefore providing numerous opportunities for the hotel, hospitality and leisure industries. 94 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Abundance of natural resources: The province's most significant competitive advantage (aside from tourism) is the fact that it is rich in such natural minerals as feldspar, which is central to the manufacture of cement. This provides numerous opportunities for private investors who seek to develop Iraq's potential in this area. Provincial Investment Commission (PIC): The establishment of Najaf's PIC in 2008 has led to a remarkable improvement in business environment for private sector. The PIC has been providing support to investors via of one-stop-shops and feasibility studies, while giving a more structured framework for planning and communications with other official bodies. 5. Licensed Investment Activity Tourism Investor Origin Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Kuwait Iraq Iraq Lebanon Iraq Iraq Project 6 hotels 5-star hotel 5-star hotel 8-storey 5 star hotel Hotel Hotel complex Hotel complex Recreational park Amusement park Tourist hotel Investment amount $200,000,000 $25,188,000 $31,000,000 $100,000,000 ID 3,587,000,000 ID 4,200,000,000 $218,346,000 $13,000,000 $2,000,000 With greater accessibility to the province due to the opening of Najaf International Airport, there has been a considerable rise in demand for more hotels, especially higher end hotels that can cater for tourists from the Gulf states and Saudi Arabia. Several licenses have been awarded by the PIC to private sector investors seeking to build five star hotels. At the end of 2008 a Lebanese company signed a deal to build six hotels in Najaf and Karbala. Reports have said this would be completed by 2012. Gulf International, a Bahraini company is currently investing $200,000,000 over 24 months to build a five star hotel in Najaf City on a site measuring 18,000 square metres, with a capacity of 85 rooms and 14 conference rooms. $25,188,000 is also being invested to build a five star hotel by al-Furat, an Iraqi investment group, in the al-Salam area of Najaf City. Upon completion, the hotel will stand at 14 stories and have a capacity of 468 beds, three conference rooms, a gym, swimming pool and shopping area. Also in alSalam, a $31,000,000 project was implemented in 2009 to build an eight-storey 5-star 95 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf hotel with a revolving restaurant on its top floor, on an area of land measuring 63,000 square metres. Three Kuwaiti real estate groups, working with Iraqi investors, reportedly plan to invest $100 million to build a hotel in Najaf. As well as hotels for higher income tourists, there are also licensed projects for two to three star hotels currently being implemented. Iraqi investor Musa al-Musawi is currently investing ID 3,587,000,000 into a multi-storey hotel complex behind the Mosque of Imam Ali, with a capacity of 94 beds. Another Iraqi investor, Muhammad Hussein, is overseeing the construction of a five-storey hotel, with 170 rooms and a shopping area, on an area on a plot of land measuring 1,500 square metres in the alSalam district of Najaf City. This project is worth ID 4,200,000,000 and is being invested over a period of 24 months. Noor International Holdings, a Lebanese investment group, are currently constructing a family park and recreational space for religious tourists with an artificial lake in the shape of the sword of Imam Ali, on an area of land measuring 630,630 square metres. The project is worth $218,346,000. In November 2010 the Najaf Investment Commission granted an investment licence to build an amusement park worth $13.8 million, and another to construct a tourist hotel worth $2 million, were both awarded to Iraqi firms. Commercial Investment Investor Origin Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Project 5-storey car park 6-storey shopping mall 2-storey entertainment park and casino Entertainment park and casino 2 storey shopping mall Investment amount ID 937,000,000 ID 2,516,000,000 ID 3,000,000,000 ID 1,241,258,000 $6,088,000 As greater numbers of tourists fly into Najaf, more commercial spaces have been required in recent years to meet a growing demand for shopping and leisure. A number of investment licenses have been issued by the PIC to investors seeking to build shopping malls, car parks and entertainment parks on land allocated for commercial development. An investment license worth ID 937,000,000 to build a five-storey car park is currently being implemented in Kufa. A project worth ID 2,516,000,000 overseen by Iraqi investors will build a six-storey shopping mall in an area measure 1,700 square metres, built over a period of 25 months. Similarly, the Najaf City Mall project is currently being implemented to build a twostorey shopping complex over a period of 18 months by Iraqi investor Wathiq Musa. 96 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Kais Hikmat Kubba, another Iraqi investor, is heading the construction of a two-storey entertainment park and casino in Kufa with a project value of ID 3,000,000,000. A similar project in Kufa is being implemented by Iraqi investor Salim Kazim, worth ID 1,241,258,000, while $6,088,000 is being invested in a project to build another mall with two stories. Housing To meet the province’s housing demands, a number of residential projects have been licensed by Najaf's PIC and are currently being implemented. The most significant housing project presently in operation will see 5,336 apartments built on three allocated sites in Najaf City. Units will be of 160 or 120 square metres. The project's capital value is $234,400,000. In November 2010, the Najaf Investment Commission granted an investment licence to a Turkish company for another housing project worth $218 million. Transportation The most significant investment in Najaf's transportation infrastructure came in 2009 when a $600 million contract was awarded to the Canadian consortium TransGlobim International to build Iraq's first monorail, which will significantly reduce congestion in the province's road networks. 37km of monorail will link the three major mosques in Najaf: Imam Ali, Kufa, and Sahla. The next phase will link the monorail to the new Najaf International Airport. The Project entails finance, survey, design, e, and operation of the line, with 30 years concession period. Initially, there will be five to six minute headway between trains, moving to two to three minutes in heavy usage periods. The train capacity will be 400 to 420 people per train, travelling 35 to 80 km/hr depending on the station's distance. Construction of the monorail is expected to start in 2011, and is expected to be completed by 2014. The total estimated project time is 30 to 36 months. Oil & Gas In February 2010 the investment commission in Najaf signed a memorandum of understanding with a group of Korean and Iraqi companies to extract oil and conduct infrastructure projects worth over $22 billion. The project is expected to produce 400,000 barrels of oil per day and will provide the province with $400 million a year. 97 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Electricity Najaf’s provincial council confirmed in December 2010 that it has been given final approval to get a loan worth $40 million for the province to buy new electricity generators to be run by Najaf’s citizens. Additionally, French engineering group Alstom signed a €20 million contract to rehabilitate a unit at the gas-fired power station in Najaf. The unit, which has been out of operation for five years, is expected to be reconnected to the province’s electricity grid by mid-2011. Plans are also underway to build two power plants in Nasiriyah and Haidariya in the central region of Najaf. In 2009, a site in Haidariya was allocated to an Iranian investor to build a gas powered power station with a capacity of 500mw. The total project value is $500 million. The Swedish ambassador in Baghdad recently discussed with Najaf officials possible investment projects Sweden is seeking to implement in the province. Projects will centre on electricity and water sewage fields. 6. Dormant Licences Tourism A license has been granted to a Lebanese investment group for a 6,860,000,000 project to build a four-storey hotel with a 212 bed capacity, but no land has of yet been allocated. Similarly plans to build a tourist complex consisting of two five star hotels have been approved by the PIC, but the project is yet to receive an allocation of land. Other licenses awaiting implementation include an ID 3,311,000,000 project to build a 99-bed capacity hotel; an ID 24,320,940,000 project to build a nine-story, 556 capacity hotel; and an ID 1,785,340,000 six story car park with total area 1,935m x 95m. All three investors are Iraqi. Commercial Investments earmarked for commercial development but are yet to be implemented include the following Iraqi investments: A ID 3,002,100,000 project to build a two-storey mall over 12 months; A ID 12,561,000,000 project to build a six-storey mall and a 709 capacity car park, with dimensions of 109 m × 55 m; 98 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf A ID 2,060,000,000 project to build a leisure centre with a two storey restaurant, internet café; A ID 1,343,488,000 entertainment park which requires an area of land measuring 8,000 square metres; A ID 3,938,000,000 project to build a shopping mall in the al-Zahra district of Najaf City over a period of 12 months; A ID 1,395,575,000 project to build an leisure park requiring 12,800 square metres of land, with dimensions of 160m × 80m,. Housing Projects earmarked for development in the housing sector but are yet to be implemented include the following investments (which are by Iraqis unless stated otherwise): A $141,500,000 residential complex consisting of 1,800 housing units. Land has yet to be allocated. An ID 5,400,000,000 residential complex consisting of 84 housing units on 250 square metres, surrounded by 12,000 square metres of green space. A location is yet to be set. An ID 4,721,500,000 residential complex to be built by Hassan Ali Ahmed, a Lebanese investor, consisting of four eight-storey buildings surrounded by green space. A $189,760,000 residential complex consisting of 3,200 housing units. A location is yet to be set. A ID 3,300,000,000 residential complex consisting of 17 buildings and 272 housing units, requiring 25,000 square metres of land. An ID 8,473,800,000 residential complex consisting of 88 housing units, each unit 259 square metres. A $248,000,000 residential complex consisting of 3000 units, each unit 180 square metres. 99 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Industry A license has been approved for the building of a $3,937,000 storage facility of construction materials, although no land has been allocated. The project requires an allocation of land measuring 3,000 square metres. Meanwhile, Lebanese investors Pierre and Musa Fattoush recently secured a $4,250,000 bid to build a mineral water plant on 1,000 acres of land, over a period of 16 months. A local workforce of 122 employees will be required; however, an appropriate site is yet to be allocated. In January 2011, a delegation from the Guinean Republic have looked into the possibility of establishing glass factories, sugar cane plantations, fishponds and flower nurseries in Najaf, and were particularly keen to secure a license to establish glass factories in Najaf because of good sand quality in the region’s desert. Agriculture A $6 million project to build a date palm and olive farm has secured a license, but is awaiting land allocation. The farm will also deal in animal husbandry and seasonal crops, such as wheat and barley. An ID 665,000,000 project to build an ostrich farm is also awaiting site allocation. Industry In April 2010, the French consortium Lafarge, signed a contract with the Southern Cement State Company to invest in Karbala and Najaf's manufacturing products industry. The project is intended to modify and rehabilitate the sector and raise productivity from 300,000 tons a year to 2,800,000 tons. The project value is $200 million and includes the construction and operation stage for a period of 15 years. 7. Investment Opportunities Tourism The most lucrative opportunities in Najaf lie in the tourism and commercial sector. There is a strong demand for better quality hotels and amenities for the millions of religious tourists who visit the province each year. Ancillary services such as waste management, recycling, furniture and interior design, as well as restaurants, will also benefit from the surge of visitors. At the moment it is estimated that Najaf only has 4,000 hotel beds to cater to these millions of tourists. The National Investment 100 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf Commission is seeking investor interest in developing a number of three to four-star and two five-star hotels, all well in excess of 100 rooms. Transportation Tourism has also brought benefits to other sectors; transportation, for example, has received investments in order to service the tourism sector. This is evidenced by plans to build Iraq's first monorail system, as well as the earlier construction of Najaf international Airport. Congestion in times of pilgrimage visits to Najaf requires further investment to strengthen the transport sector. Opportunities in this area remain strong, especially as access to the province continues to improve. Commercial Sector The commercial sector has also benefited from Najaf's tourism boom. More importantly, however, it has also responded to higher wages and living standards among Iraq's domestic population. Pre-existing commercial zones provide ideal sites for private sector development, and the PIC has taken an active role in allocating additional land for this purpose. Industry The province has a competitive advantage in natural minerals, particularly feldspar, essential for the manufacture of cement. Feldspar mining and processing may prove very lucrative to private sector investors, as much of this mineral lies unexploited in the sands of the Najaf desert. It is estimated that Iraq currently consumes about 16 million tons of cement per year, and this figure is expected to rise significantly in the coming years, with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals conservatively estimating that domestic demand could reach as high as 30 million tons by 2014. The availability of cheap and significant reserves of natural resources such as silica sand and feldspar provides additional investment opportunities in the production of glass, tiles and ceramics, cement and bricks. Rehabilitation projects of these factories are currently available for private investors. An $80 million investment in a new glass factory is requested, as well as a $90 million investment in tile and ceramic factory, $250 million in cement factory (with an expected production of 1 million tons of cement per year), and $25 million in the bricks factory (minimum of 500 million bricks per day expected production). The manufacturing industry has suffered much from low capacity, poor infrastructure and deprivation over the decades. However, as the example of the Southern Cement 101 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf State Company (see above) illustrates, there is considerable scope for private investors to bid for the rehabilitation and operation of many of Najaf's factories. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals is also seeking investors to invest in the modification and rehabilitation of the Najaf Cement Factory from wet process to the dry process and to increase its design production capacity from 700 to 2,000 tons of clinker per day. The dry process method is more widely used to produce cement and is also found to be more economical and efficient. The rehabilitation is estimated to take between 12 and 18 months. The estimated cost of rehabilitation is around $632 million, with an annual expected profit of 12.5 million. An opportunity exists for investors to invest in the State Company for Tires. Established in 1994, the design capacity includes tires, inner tubes, reclaimed rubber and hoses. The company has 2,822 employees, with a design capacity approximately 2,000,000 pieces of radial car tires and radial light truck tires and 870,000 pieces of steel radial truck and rear tractor tires. An estimated investment of $305 million is required to rehabilitate the plant with new technology and to operate and manage it, at the investor’s expenses, against a share of the product for a certain period to be agreed upon with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. This would involve replacing machinery and improving technology to reach an expected production capacity of 1 million inner tubes, 1.5 million rubber hoses, 750 tons of reclaimed rubber and 3.3 million tires. The estimated cost of rehabilitation is approximately $269 million, with an expected annual profit of $58 million. Another investment opportunity is the rehabilitation of the Sport Shoes Factory in the State Company for Leather. The plant is situated at Najaf al Kufa. The design capacity if 566,000 shoes per year, with a process mainly involving cutting, sewing, injection and pulling. The factory has 804 employees. Minimum target production capacity after rehabilitation is 90% of design capacity. The aim is to rehabilitate the plant with new technology and to operate and manage it, at the investor’s expense, against a share of production to be agreed with the MIM. Estimated cost of the rehabilitation is $1.29 million, with potential annual profit of $820,000. Agriculture Many highly strategic crops are grown in Najaf's farms, including wheat and barley, which can be exported on the world market. Date palms production in Najaf also provides opportunities for investments. In neighbouring Kerbala, the Government of Iraq put forward the Karbala Dates and Sugar Project for private sector bidding, which involves the construction of a plant with a capacity of 150,000 metric tons a year. Najaf's abundance of palm dates could potentially see a similar project take route as well as the cultivation of Anbar rice. 102 Provincial Profile – Al Najaf 103 Provincial Profile – Basra Provincial Profile: Basra 1. Overview Basra has traditionally been an important place not only in Iraq but also in the Gulf region. Before the Iran-Iraq War, Basra was a major commercial hub linking the East and the West. Home to Iraq’s only deep water shipping port, about 70% of Iraq’s oil reserves and some of the nation’s top universities, Basra presents a unique opportunity for investors looking to capitalise on Iraq’s reconstruction and economic development. Basra is the only outlet for Iraq to the Arabian Gulf, and it has been prioritised for investment as its development will be the foundation for reconstruction efforts in the rest of the country. Basra is located in southern Iraq and borders Iran, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, in the lagoons that form the biggest water surface in the Middle East. Basra city, the capital of Basra province, is the second largest city in the country with Iraq's main port lying at the mouth of the Shatt al-Arab River. Basra province is comprised of seven jurisdictions and eight regions and spans an area of almost 20,000 km2. Economic activity in Basra is reliant on the oil, gas, shipping and agricultural industries. Large oil and gas reserves and its strategic location on several oil export routes make Basra a strategic location, an attractive logistical port for international companies and a prime destination for investment in the oil sector in Iraq. In addition to possessing a large proportion of Iraq’s oil reserves, Basra has some advantages that set it apart from other locations. The province also has a major oil refinery and export facilities. Its oil fields are connected to strategic pipelines, which transport oil to Mediterranean seaports and Turkey. Some of Iraq's largest oil fields are located in Basra, estimated at 34 billion barrels. The large oil reserves of Al Zubair, Al Rumailah, and Nehran Omar fields are currently being extracted, while the west Qurnah fields and Majnoon fields are yet to be tapped. It is estimated that 80% of oil reserves in Basra remain unexplored. 2 million barrels are extracted a day, of which 1.65 million barrels are exported via ports in the Arabian Gulf/Persian Gulf. Basra has abundant reserves of various mineral resources such as sand (34 million tons available), limestone (30 million tons available), and clay (4.8 million tons available). This makes it attractive for the development of the petrochemical industry and construction materials sector. Much of Iraq's most fertile land is in Basra province, which makes the area important for agricultural development. It also has an emerging food industry sector, including strong industrial activity in the production of tomato paste, dates, fishing and fisheries. 104 Provincial Profile – Basra Demand levels for foods, electronics and other consumer goods in Basra are high thanks to a vast local market and a population of 3 million people, most of them between the age of 14 and 30. Basra is also a gateway to all of Iraq, and it continues to provide goods and services through its growing market. Basra City, the ‘Venice of the East’ has important heritage buildings which can potentially draw many tourists, so the tourism industry has substantial growth potential. Basra’s ports have undergone massive redevelopment in recent years to respond to the country’s needs. Given its geographically prominent position, Basra has an international airport linking it with different cities around the world. The strategic and economic importance of Basra to Iraq's future development makes investment in the region a rare opportunity for both local and foreign investors. 2. Infrastructure Much of Al Basra’s infrastructure is yet to recover from the effects of war, sanctions and general underinvestment. According to the Basra Investment Commission (BIC), there are 440,906 households with total population of 3 million people. Similarly to other patriarchal societies, 93% of families are supported by men and 7% are supported by women. The province’s immense natural resources and wealth has yet to reduce significant unemployment rates, which stands at 35%, many of whom are between 20 and 24 years of age. This is higher than the national average amongst this age group, which is 33%. The mean age in the province is 19.8 years and population growth is one of the highest in the region (3%). The working population, between 15 and 63 years of age, makes up 52.8% of the population of the province. Young people between the ages of 1 and 15 years form approximately 43.6% of population. Basra Investment commission estimates that 71% are under the age of 30. Similar to its Gulf neighbours, Basra has one of the highest rates of people working for the public sector - 38% of the total workforce. This proportion is significantly higher than the rest of the country, where public sector employment accounts for 26% of the total workforce. 45% of Basra’s employed work for the private sector. With the development of the country’s seaports, logistics and transport network, it is expected that the proportion of the workforce engaged in trade and transport will significantly increase from their current levels of 20% and 8% respectively. Figure 1: Workforce by Economic Sector in Basra 105 Provincial Profile – Basra Transport, 8%, 9% Agriculture , Workforce by economic sector, al Basra 4%, 4% Education, 7%, 8% Public Adminstration, 26%, 28% , Unspecified , 11%, 12% Trade, 20%, 21% , Industry, 17%, 18% Source: Provincial Development Strategy, 2007-2009. Education The province of al Basra is the second educational hub in the country after Baghdad. Many students from Basra and neighbouring provinces complete their higher educational courses at the state-run Basra University, the second largest in the country. In total the province has four private and public further education institutions. The largest, al Basra University, has about 29,370 students, located in two campuses in Bab al Zobeer and Barmat Ali. This figure in 2003 was 23,000. This rapid growth in student numbers has stretched the educational facilities in the province. The Technical Teaching Collage in Zubeer Street is a state-run higher education institution with a vocational focus. It is open to students wishing to complete higher education programmes. Private universities in al Basra include Shat al Arab College in al Hindiya Street and the Iraq University on al Estiqlal Street, which has a total of 536 students. The net primary school enrolment rate is about 80% for both sexes. Provincial statistics indicates that about 20% of people aged 15 and above are illiterate, lower than the national average of 25%. Water and Sanitation Drought has caused increased salinisation in Southern Iraq. In Basra, tap water is too salty for human consumption. Water supplies are also polluted by chemicals and pesticides used in fishing and agriculture.38 The population relies on bottled drinkable Relief web International p.6, “Fallen off the Agenda? More and Better Aid Needed for Iraq Recovery,” July 2010. 38 106 Provincial Profile – Basra water,39 or water bought from tankers in local markets. Tap water is considered only fit for washing and cleaning purposes.40 Figure 2: Connectivity of Water Supply Basra Source: UN OCHA (2009)41 Health Basra has 15 hospitals and 39 public medical clinics. The province has over 2500 inpatient hospital beds.42 Housing There is considerable demand for new housing units, as existing households are often dilapidated. Drainage is another issue for the population, particularly in the winter months when rainfall is at its highest levels. Approximately 72% of families are not linked to a sewage network for drainage of heavy water. Electricity Basra’s many industrial facilities need electricity supply. The national grid allocates 950MW to Basra and sometimes half this amount if there are technical failures. 42% of the population in Basra suffering frequent power outages despite the fact that 97% are linked to the electricity network. SMEs in Basra cite problems of electricity supply as the Relief web International p.6, “Fallen off the Agenda? More and Better Aid Needed for Iraq Recovery,” July 2010. 40 Migration Review Tribunal Australia p.2 “MRT Research Response,” 12 Oct 2009. 41 UN OCHA p.2 “Basra Governorate Profile,” July 2009. 42Basra Investment Commission website. 39 107 Provincial Profile – Basra number one infrastructural constraint.43 Power constraints include unavailability of 3phase supply, the unreliability of supply, high costs, poor service quality and high cost of backup supply. Figure 3: Electricity Provisioning In Basra Source: UN OCHA (2009)44 Five government-run power stations supply energy in the province, listed in Table 3. Table 1: Electricity Power Stations in Basra Station Haretha thermal power plant Nejeeba thermal power plant Khor al Zobeir gas powered plant Shoeiba gas powered plant Petrochemical complex gas powered station Available power MWH 4x200 2x100 4x64 2x24 4x20 Source: COSIT, 2006. Free and Industrial Zones The free zone established in 1998 in Khor al Zubair on an area of 1 million sqm is approximately 40km south-west of Basra and is open to investment projects through the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, which also is in charge of managing the complex. Given its close proximity to the Khor al Zubair seaport, its development could help attract investment projects in the province’s industrial development. Businesses can 43USAID Tijara p.92 “Market Assessment: Business Constraints and Opportunities at the Business Enabling Environment and Firm Levels for the Province of Basra, Iraq”. 44 UN OCHA p.2 “Basra Governorate Profile” (July 2009). 108 Provincial Profile – Basra hire land from $3 and $5 per sqm annually. Current facilities include internal customs, drinking water, an administrative office, water intensive facilities and a road surface infrastructure to support operations. Airport Basra international airport is the second largest international Airport in Iraq. Designed by Maunsell Consultants Ltd (London) and built as a joint venture by Strabag BAU AG (Germany) and Universal Osteria, the airport operated normally until the war in 2003, after which it was closed. Re-opened in 2005, the airport returned to full Iraqi civilian control on 1st January 2009. The transfer coincided with Iraq regaining sovereignty over its airspace. A memorandum of understanding between the Iraqi and the UK governments allows both Iraqi civilian and UK military flights to use the facilities.45 The current capacity for the airport is 2 million passengers a year. The airport infrastructure includes 5 air bridges, 4km x 60 meters runway, 4km x 45 meters bypass; and air traffic control, communication and air freight facilities. The airport now supports international flights to and from Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Dubai, Oman, Iran, plus domestic flights to Baghdad and Northern Iraq. International carriers currently operating in and out of the airport include Royal Jordanian Airways, Air Quarius, Norse Air, East Air, Rus Aviation, Click Airways, Ave.com, Air Cargo Integrators (ACI) and Trans Afrik. The airport handles between 80 and 130 flights, carrying around 2,000 passengers each month in 2009.46The airport also handles cargo, though this is limited at the moment. The number of carriers wanting to operate in Iraq has increased over the past two years. Austria airlines, part of the Lufthansa group, has expressed plans to extend flights currently landing in Erbil to Basra and Baghdad. Roads and Transport The province has highways connecting it to other parts of the country as well as to neighbouring countries. The road network has deteriorated over the years, however. 74% of SMEs in Basra are affected by inadequate transportation availability, which is the same as the rest of Iraq. Basra’s roads and highways, particularly the one connecting it with Baghdad, need urgent upgrading to reduce costs and delivery times of merchandise for businesses and Iraqi consumers. Sea ports and Harbour As a gateway to the Northern Gulf, al Basra has approximately 60km of shoreline to develop an integrated transport network. The province has four commercial seaports and two platforms to export oil. There are 48 commercial port docks with commercial capacity of 17.5 million tons/year, although five of these are not operational. Of the four 45 46 Ministry of Defence News, “Basra International Airport Returns to Iraqi Control,” 1st July 2009. Ministry of Defence News, “Basra International Airport Returns to Iraqi Control,” 1st July 2009. 109 Provincial Profile – Basra ports, Umm Qasr is the only major deep-sea port able to handle international cargo into the country. It has 175,000 square feet dedicated to handling logistics and another 800,000 square feet which is currently being developed. Between 292 and 434 vessels carry crude oil out of Umm Qasr deep water port and Basra’s oil port every year. During the period of sanctions, much of the machinery and equipment became obsolete. In addition to this, a number of vessels sunken during the wars led to a halt in dredging of shipping lanes. The depths of lanes have reduced as a result. Sunken ships pose severe problems to maintenance operations and the performance of docks and ports in Basra. In 2007, the General Company for Iraq’s Ports purchased dredgers to upgrade the ports and recover sunken vessels. The poor operation management, continued presence of sunken ships, limited docks ranges and shortage of port equipment and cargohandling equipment make the recovery of Basra’s ports challenging. Available overall capacity at operational docks is 15.9 million tons/year, although real traffic is 11.85 million tons. . A maritime front also allows the construction of large commercial ships with loads of up to 120,000 tons. Projected demand for future imports and exports in 2018 was 53 million tons. The port activity only generated ID 5 billion in financial surplus in 2008, compared to ID 82 billion in 2005The National Development Plan aims to double the design capacity of Iraqi port docks, construct the massive al Faw Grand Port by 2014, and remove sunken vessels from lanes and docks. Al Basra’s other sea-ports are: Abu Flous: this port is located southeast of Basra city, on the Shatt Al Arab waterway. It possesses a fertiliser loading facility and three landing stages to load construction materials for imported merchandise. Al Maqal: is currently being rehabilitated. Although not all its berths are operating, the port receives 10 ships daily. The port has received some financial assistance from international donors. The port is linked by rail to the rest of the country. Khor al Zubair: North of Umm Qasr, this seaport is largely used for oil exports and government-related cargo. The port has a total capacity of 120,000 tonnes, and a third of its berths are currently in use by the Ministry of Oil. Al Faw: This multi-billion investment opportunity will significantly expand the country’s capacity for exports, trade and industrial sectors (see Investment Opportunities). At the moment the port is only used by a small number of fishermen, as only small boats are able to access the port. Railways 110 Provincial Profile – Basra The Iraqi railroad network begins its southern route at Umm Qasr port and heads to the north linking Basra and Baghdad. The railway can transport passengers and freight, along the 340-mile journey passing about 40 stops on the way in 11 – 12 hours. Seats for the public are sold at subsidized cost of ID 4,000 each, about a quarter of the price for public minivan. As more investment enters Basra, the need for a transportation network to provide for efficient movement of essential products such as construction materials, equipment, merchandise, fuel and other supplies becomes more essential. The rail system is in need of investment. Due to long travel time, passengers tend to travel by road instead, because they get to their destination sooner. Plans are being made to upgrade the national rail network to link the ports of Basra via a regional rail network to Europe via Syria and Turkey. The Euro-Gulf rail route will put Iraq at the centre of the world’s strategic trade routes. The railways would form a ‘dry canal’, which is expected to rival the Suez Canal cutting time off transportation and making Basra a global transportation hub. With the construction of the massive al Faw Port, shipments coming in from Asia to Eastern Europe could be delivered in 14 days, compared to a month through the Suez Canal. The ‘land bridge’ or ‘dry canal’ would save transit time and $12-15 per vessel in Basra (instead of the Suez Canal). Telecommunications Most SME’s make little or no use of internet technology. According to a recent report by USAID (2010) only 9% use the internet, while 99% use mobile technology. 47Mobile phone is widely used in Basra but insufficient coverage and high rates are still common. III: Business and Regulatory Environment Small and Medium Enterprises Basra has a near 50-50 balance of established and new SMEs, with 26% in manufacturing and 23% in trading. Small businesses in Basra are engaged in agribusiness (rice, wheat, dates, maize, corn and livestock). Medium-sized businesses are engaged in transport, storage, hotels, restaurants, tourism and energy, while large business dominate the construction and manufacturing sectors. As the energy and trade industries strengthen in the province, the Basra Investment Commission has said that local companies will have better access to finance. In October 2010, the International Organisation for Migration (IOM) signed an agreement with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) to set up a project to support local private and semi-private Business Development Service USAID Tijara “Market Assessment: Business Constraints and Opportunities at the Business Enabling Environment and Firm Levels for the Province of Basra, Iraq.” 47 111 Provincial Profile – Basra providers in Basra governorate. The project, funded by UN Development Group Iraq Trust Fund, will develop sustainable models and engage a range of beneficiaries – current owners and managers of small businesses and potential entrepreneurs in socioeconomically marginalised groups. Preliminary research by the International Labour Organisation and UNOPS found that small businesses across Iraq could benefit from management training, business analysis and consulting. Al Basra Investment Commission The Basra Provincial Investment Commission was established on the 22nd of July 2008 to ease investment opportunities in Basra. The key functions of the Basra Provincial Investment Commission include the following: Granting investment licenses to prospective and existing investors Identifying and securing strategic investment opportunities for the province Promote investment, activate, and guarantee the provisions of the Investment Law The Commission works with existing and prospective investors to improve the environment for investors. It gathers and provides key information and shares handson experiences with all investors including organizing and supporting visits to Basra, introducing investors to local networks and ensuring access to local services. Along with the Governorate Council which also has investment licensing powers, the two institutions have approved investment projects across a number of sectors. Table 2: Management and Contact Details of Basra Provincial Investment Commission Name Eng. Haider Ali Eng. Jalil Nouri Position Head of PIC Deputy head of PIC Contact [email protected] [email protected] Eng. Hani Abdulkarim Eng. Ahmed Waheed Eng. Isa Ahmed Head of Public Relations [email protected] Head of media department [email protected] Head of feasibility studies [email protected] Mr Kareem A. Head of one-stop shop Jabar Website: www.investBasrah.com Source: al Basra Socio-economic Survey, 2010. [email protected] Analysis of existing investment licenses The two main sectors of significant foreign investors’ interest are transportation and oil and gas. In both cases, strategic and large-scale investment projects have been proposed 112 Provincial Profile – Basra by the Ministry of Transportation and the Ministry of Oil respectively. These projects tend to be associated with the country’s strategic plans for economic revival and are therefore not covered by the limited mandate of the Basra Investment Commission. The Ministry of Transportation, including the Ports Authority and the National Investment Commission are working closely to promote investment in the transport sector. A large number of international companies are either working closely or have proposed to work with the Ports Authority. In these cases, investors do not need to obtain an investment license from the Basra Investment Commission. This is also true of the International Oil Company contracts that have been issued after two successful oil rounds organised by the Ministry of Oil. The Commission must exchange information on investment opportunities in the oil and gas sector in the province with the GOI, since it is not authorised to grant investment licenses in this field. The Basra Investment Commission has however issued a number of investment licenses to prospective investors, the majority of which are in the tourism sector. Table 5: Investment Licenses Issued by the Provincial Investment Commission Name project of Sector or Name of industry investment company or investor Al khor Tourist Tourism Mr Jasim Jaber Park al Malaki Al Rabaee Tourism Al Faris Group Tourist Park Al Basra Tourism Al Mass Family Park Company Al Ma’qal Tourism Mr Mansour Amusement Naeem Park Trade Agencies Trade Mr Mustafa Street Abid Lefta al Musawi Extension and Health Al Musawi development private hospital of private company hospital, al Musawi Al Manawi al Tourism Mr Jabar Basha hotel Shaghet Date Palm Agricultur Mr Dawoud orchard plants e Jasim al Rubaee green house Supermarket Trade Mr Basheer al Total value of % rate project completion of $16m Yet to start $107.48m Yet to start $2.5m Completed $20.4m 85% $49.7m Yet to start $2.5m 5% of proposed expansion $15m Completed $300,000 60% $3.27m Yet to start 113 Provincial Profile – Basra Satar Trade area in Services Al Laith al $16.2m al Shalmaja Bawadi Manufacturer Industrial Mr Sa’ad $1.5m of insulation Hameed Alwan panels for construction Source: al Basra Socio-economic Survey, 2010. Yet to start Yet to start Other investment projects that have been issued investment licenses by the Basra Investment Commission are in trade, agriculture and commercial sectors. All of these have been secured by Iraqi investors. Of these, only a handful has started due to problems associated with securing land for these projects. The majority of land in the province belongs to the Ministry of Municipalities, the Ministry of Finance, the Governorate Council and private landlords. Projects and land proposed for private sector development in co-ordination with the respective Ministry would have a higher likelihood of being secured by investors. These have been the case for the majority of projects proposed for investment. Investors, however, have the option of locating Government land through their own research in the province and proposing it for development, in which case the Commission would need to open a line of communication with the relevant Ministry to obtain the proper permits. 4. Recent investment developments Over the past year, improved the security has led to encouraging developments in the investment environment in the province. The Basra Investment Commission has been actively organising conferences to highlight investment opportunities in the province. For instance, in February 2010 the Commission organized a conference for British and Iraqi companies. The event brought together a group of British and Iraqi businessmen under the sponsorship of Baroness Emma Nicholson of Winterbourne to stimulate investment ventures in the province.48 Investment Conferences An official Dutch delegation of 30 businessmen and traders also visited Basra in July 2010 to review the investment opportunities and economic capabilities in the province. This followed a conference held in Iraqi embassy in the Netherlands to attract investment to Basra. There have also been various conferences to highlight investment opportunities in the area. In December 2009, a delegation from Basra province went to 48 Iraq Business News, 14 February 2010. 114 Provincial Profile – Basra Turkey for a four-day conference organized by a number of Turkish companies interested in investment opportunities in Basra.49 Beside these investment conferences, in 2010 the province received a number of business delegations from South Korea, Lebanon, Turkey, Russia, the UAE, Sweden, and Canada who have all expressed interest in investing in the province. In August 2010, Basra’s governor, Sheltag Aboud, received a delegation from the UAE who initiated steps to invest in residential and commercial properties worth $50 million.50 Other developments In November 2010, the Basra Investment Commission granted an investment license to the American International Company "Wady Sawa" to develop a residential facility at a cost of $220 million. The project includes 150 villas, 700 houses, and 35 residential multi-storey buildings with more than 1500 apartments. The project includes social amenities such as schools, kindergartens, a health centre, a mosque and a police station. A Singaporean company has expressed interest during discussions with Basra’s governor to establish a luxury hotel in the city. The five-star hotel will be built on the current Novotel al-Marbad Hotel headquarters, which was destroyed during the war.51 In March 2010, the Basra Investment Commission awarded an investment permit to establish a shopping complex in a northern suburb of the city at a total cost of $3.27 million.52 The project is located in al-Madeena, 100 km north of Basra, and it will include clinics, stores and offices. Another major tourism and hotel investment relates to the construction of Basra Sport City Project, which will host the 21st Gulf Cup (Khaleeji 21) in December 2012. The project contains a 65,000-seat main stadium surrounded by water and accessible to patrons by bridge, and a smaller stadium with a capacity for 10,000 people, practice facilities, a training complex, a swimming centre, two 5star hotels, eight residential buildings, and shopping malls. The total area of the sport city is 585 acres and is estimated to cost $550 million (ID 644 million). The contract to build the city was won by Abdullah Al-Jaburi (Iraq) and Newport Global with 360 Architecture being the lead architect (United States). The construction had already advanced significantly by mid-2010. A number of Iraq Business News, 09 December 2009 August 2010 51Aswat al-Iraq news agency 25 January 2010. 52Iraq Business News 22 March 2010. 49 50AKnews17 115 Provincial Profile – Basra additional investment opportunities exist for the project (see Investment Opportunities). In November 2010 the Governorate announced the approval of a road linking the airport and Basra Sports City, costing ID 12 billion. 53 The largest palm plantation in Iraq is to be located in Ktebaan, Basra. The project is also the largest private sector agricultural investment in Iraq to date: 115,000 palm trees will be planted in 5,000 acres at a cost of $20 million. The farm will be the fourth largest palm plantation in the Middle East, and intended mainly for export purposes. Assets on the farm include a laboratory for textile cultivation and a dates packing factory. South Korea has been particularly active in Basra’s investment projects. In March 2010, 750 investment projects were offered including the development of a new city to a number of South Korean firms with a total value exceeding $600 billion.54 The companies included STX Heavy Industries, Korean National Oil Corp, Korea Electric Power Corp., Hyundai Heavy Industries, Korea Gas Corp (KOGAS), Doosan Heavy Industries and SK Energy. STX Heavy Industries will be constructing $3.2 billion petrochemical complex in Basra which is expected to be fully operational by 2014. The plant will produce ethylene, propylene, polyethylene and polyvinyl chloride (PVC). STX also announced a $3 billion iron and steel plant, also in Basra, with a target capacity of 3m tonnes, as well as a 500MW power plant. The Basra Steel Mill is expected to be finalised within 3.5 years. Access to a reliable energy supply has been a major challenge in the province. The urgency to resolve the power situation for the governorate explains increased investor activity in the sector. The U.S. reconstruction team in Basra in early 2010 completed an electricity project in the province at a total cost of $363,500. The project took four months to complete by a local company. It included the establishment of high and low pressure networks in al-Qibla, western Basra. In April 2010, the Basra municipal council approved the construction of 25 power projects worth $32 million aimed at improving the supply of electricity in the province. Part of this will go to boosting power generating capacity at alHartha Plant, 20km north of Basra. A Chinese company held discussions in June 2010 with the Basra Investment Commission to implement an electricity project in the province. The power plant with a production capacity of 600 MW will be used by oil companies operating in 53AkNews 54Sources: 20 November 2010. Aswat Al Iraq, Korea Herald, Korea Times, Eye Media Company 02 March 2010. 116 Provincial Profile – Basra the province. In early September 2010, the German company Siemens also held discussions with the Basra provincial council’s electricity committee to invest in an electric power sector in Basra. The power project will consist of the construction of 11/33 kilovolt stations in the province.55 In January 2011 Schneider Electric and Areva (France) signed deals worth $52 million to build fifteen power distribution stations and power plants. Officials of Basra governorate are in talks with a Saudi company for the supply of power turbines that could increase power supply by 150 MW. 56 In May 2010 the World Bank agreed to finance the rehabilitation of the main road for cargo and goods linking Umm Qasr port with Basra City. The governorate also announced the rehabilitation of Khaled Ibn al-Whaled bridge and the reconstruction of Sindbad Island for tourism. The latter includes the establishment of several malls, hotels, and entertainment centres. 57 The Maaqal Terminal Port received 288 ships in 2010, the highest number since 1980, as a result of rehabilitation efforts in the port facilities and the opening of a bridge in the Shatt al-Arab Waterway. The rise in ship arriving at the terminal coincided with a sharp rise of shipments in and out of Iraq, particularly of Iraqi palm dates. Although the Maaqal port will be dwarfed by the Grand Faw Port, it is conveniently located close to Basra International Fair. In January 2010 a new housing development was announced near Basra. A 640unit housing project will be built on an area of 56 donums in Shatt-al-Arab. The project is expected to be completed within 2.5 years. In November 2010, a US firm unveiled a $220 million contract to build 2,500 housing units in Iraq, including 12,000 housing units in Basra. Investment in the oil sector is driving investment in other sectors in the governorate. A Russian company for instance has expressed interest in the rehabilitation and reconstruction of the oil fields in Basra when they met the Basra’s Governor to discuss the new investment projects in the oil sector.58 Russian energy companies including Neftegaz Export have been keen to invest in Basra’s energy sector. In 2009 Shell and Petronas won a contract to develop Majnoon oil field through a joint venture agreement in which Shell holds a 45% share and Petronas a 30% 55Aswat al-Iraq04 September 2010 2 January 2011 57Iraq Business News 11 May 2010 58Aswat Al Iraq 04 June 2010 56Reuters 117 Provincial Profile – Basra share. The development will be implemented over a 20-year period. Majnoon is one of the richest oil fields in the world. Shell may build its own dock in Shatt alArab associated to Majnoon for the delivery of heavy equipment. The Basra Gas Company is a proposed joint venture between Shell (44%), the Mitsubishi Corporation (5%) and South Gas Company (an SOE holding a share of 51%) that will treat and process the associated gas produced from the Majnoon oil field, and will capture the gas in Basra’s oil fields that is currently being flared off. The capture of gas that is going to waste will turn the resource into value in terms of income and power generation in Basra. Basra has also started work in offshore oil facilities. Export capacity is due to more than double by mid-2012. The Director of the SOE South Oil Co. reportedly confirmed that all contracts for materials and equipment including pipelines, cables, and moorings for land and off-shore areas had been completed, and 70% of pipelines were ready for delivery.59 5. Current Investment Opportunities Depending on the nature of the investment opportunity or the project in question, investment proposals can be submitted to the Basra Investment Commission, the National Investment Commission or other relevant government ministries. For instance, any strategic project in the industrial sector will need approval from the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. Private companies are encouraged to approach local authorities and the Basra Investment Commission once they have identified opportunities and even before a formal bidding process has commenced. Strategic projects are typically announced officially, but many project proposals are considered without the official process being launched. Basra’s potential for manufacturing is immense given its strategic location and its access to energy and raw materials. Four large industrial projects have been proposed by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals in the province. Table 6: Industrial Investment Opportunities in Basra Province Name of project Period of Implementat impleme ion authority ntation Nitrogen fertilizer 1 million 4 yrs 70% foreign plant tons ownership, 30% public 59Bloomberg Capacity Nature project of Brownfield site, rehabilitation Iraq to Start Offshore Oil Works in December, 27 November 2010. 118 Provincial Profile – Basra Steel and Iron – 1.8 million 3 yrs first stage tons Longitudinal welded pipes Vegetable production 350,000 tons oil 250,000 tons 3 yrs 2 yrs sector 70% foreign ownership, 30% public sector 100% foreign ownership 100% foreign ownership Brownfield site, rehabilitation Greenfield site Greenfield site Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. Greenfield opportunities Fertilizer Industries Project: In addition to the rehabilitation of the existing state owned fertilizer plant in al Basra, it is also proposed that a Greenfield fertilizer plant be established in the province. The abundance of natural gas is the main incentive to investors. However, there is also the opportunity to export to international markets using the nearby fertilizer wharf in Khor al Zubair port. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals expects an investment of about $800 to $900 million to establish the plant with an annual production line of 1m tons. Petrochemicals industries project number 2: Interested investors in the petrochemical industry in al Basra are encouraged by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals to establish a plant to produce 1m tons of petrochemical products using locally available natural gas. The estimated cost of the project is in the region of $3 billion. Sulphur mining project: investment through partnership with the state company in mining and treatment of Al-Mishraq Sulphur Mines. Concentration of Raw Phosphate Project: Extraction of raw phosphate from existing Akashat mines, covering an area of 40km2. Longitudinal welded pipes project: According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, the proposed location for the $300m project will be Khor al Zubair industrial complex, which is some 40km south of al Basra. The main production line will produce longitudinally welded pipes using Hot Rolled Coils (HRC) and imported coating materials. The plant will sell the product to the Ministry of Oil for its New Pipeline Network. Suggested productivity is 300,000 tons/year line pipes, 50,000 tons/year casing pipes. Vegetable oil production plant: Estimated to cost $60m, a new vegetable oil plant has been proposed on the Khor al Zubair industrial complex using imported palm oil from Indonesia, Malaysia and other countries. 119 Provincial Profile – Basra Rehabilitation of Heavy Industries (SOEs) Foreign investors are encouraged to secure interest in the rehabilitation of the Ministry of Industry and Mineral’s State Owned Enterprises (SOEs), which include the State Company for Iron and Steel, the Ibn-Majid Company for Heavy Engineering and Marine Industry, the State Company for Petrochemical Industries, the State Company for Paper Industries, the State Company for Southern Fertilizer Industry and the State Company for Abu-Khasib Fertilizer. State Company for Iron and Steel The State Company was established in 1974 and began operations in 1978 in Khor al Zubair. It has a 195 MWA sub-station and access to a water treatment plant and a natural gas pipeline. The plant is not currently operational. Investment plans proposed by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals identify two phases of rehabilitation required to jump-start the iron and steel company. In the shortterm, $220m is needed to rehabilitate the rolling mill production line producing rebar products for the local market. In addition, associated repairs and new equipment purchases for a water treatment plant, power sub-stations, an oxygen plant and the main steel making production facility will also be covered under this effort. It is estimated that 500,000 tons will be produced through this rehabilitation program. In the medium term, an additional $300m is required to add a new rolling mill production line to produce another 500,000 tons of rebar products as well as manufacture 1m sponge iron products for the Iraq market. Ibn-Majid State Company for Heavy Engineering and Marine Industry Established in 1990 in al Hussein quarter of al Basra, the State Company has four plants geared to production of storage tanks, steel structures, pressure vessels and heat exchangers. Potential customers include the South Oil Company, South Refineries Company, Iraqi Drilling Company as well as the private sector. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, about $8.5 million is required to rehabilitate the factory, which would include purchasing new machines, vehicles, mending the bridge and wire cranes, access to sufficient electricity on the site and training. In the medium term, $46m is required to scale-up operations. State Company for Southern Fertilizer Industry The main urea plant in Khor al Zubair produces ammonia and urea as its main products. All of its production is purchased through an agreement with the Ministry of Agriculture. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals is currently asking for a minimum of $160m over the short term and $300 over the medium term to increase the production of urea and ammonia for local consumption. In 2008, its production reached 57% of its stated plate 120 Provincial Profile – Basra capacity of 1600 tons of each product during each day of operations. The factory’s target production capacity after rehabilitation is expected to reach 80%. State Company for Abu-Khasib Fertilizer The Abu al Khasib based factory on the Abu Flous port near the Shatt al Arab waterway is an attractive location for the production of fertilizer using natural gas from local oil fields. It has two plants working below capacity. These produce ammonia and urea for local market consumption and are purchased by the Ministry of Agriculture. The plants were built by the Mitsubishi Corporation. A minimum of $150m is required for the factory to increase production to 420,000 tons of urea. An additional $600m is required to produce an additional 1m tons of urea by setting up new facilities. A revitalised agricultural sector is expected to be the main driver for urea products as well as increased international prices. State Company for Petrochemical Industries Currently under proposal for rehabilitation, the State Company for Petrochemical Industries in Khor al Zubair has seven plants, five of which are operational but working significantly below plate capacity: Table 8: Investment Opportunities in State Company for Petrochemical Industries Name plant of Product Ethylene plant HDPE plant Ethylene gas Internation al standard Design Actual Target capacity capacity capacity 2008 after rehabilitati on – 132,000 17,646 105,000 Lummus USA HDPE pellets Philips – USA LDPE plant LDPE pellets Cauntom USI USA Chorine Liquid Hawker / plant & chlorine Zamba caustic soda caustic soda plant Poly vinyl PVC powder Stuffer – chloride USA plant Agricultural Agriculture films plant film VCM VCM liquid EVC-USA monomer and Stuffer – plant USA 30,000 2,565 25,000 60,000 7,193 50,000 42,000 84,000 749 173 40,000 80,000 60,000 - 50,000 15,000 1,427 12,500 66,000 - 55,000 121 Provincial Profile – Basra Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. Its current facilities include a 20MW substation and one 825kw generator. Its two other generators are not working. The current customers include the Ministry of Agriculture and the Ministry of Municipalities and the private sector. According to the Ministry of Minerals and Industry, some $227million is required over a period of two years to rehabilitate the factory to reach expected capacity listed in table 8 above. State Company for Paper Industries With three plants in its possession, one of which is in al Basra, the State Company for Paper Industries was established in 1971 and started production two years later in 1973. Its main product lines include cardboard, egg trays, cement sack, tissue, and writing paper. Its Basra based production lines in al Hartha requires the following investment as contained in Table 9. Table 9: Investment Opportunities in the State Company for Paper Industries Investment Required $40m Nature of Rehabilitation Target Production capacity tons / annual Renewing and automating of board 30,000 machine $40m Renewing and automating of board 30,000 machine No3 $30m Electrolytic plant to produce NaoH 9000 NaoH and chlorine 2000 CL2 $10m Power plant 15MW Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. Given abundant supplies of paper waste in the country, and no existing recycling facilities, the State Company can be positioned to produce paper for the local market. The factory will also benefit from local pulp fibre from the country’s marshland areas and date palm orchards. The total amount for investment is estimated at $161.1 million. State Company for the Extractive Industries and Waterproofing The investment opportunity in the State Company for the Extractive Industries and Waterproofing will establish the project for the production of brines and salt as well as the rehabilitation of an existing Magnesium Oxide Project. Under the investment plan, the project aims to produce Calcium Chloride for specialized industrial use such as the suppression of the oil wells and the production of table salt containing iodine. The project has an estimated total area of 4 Km² and is located in the Abu Al Kaseeb district, some 13 Km away from the city centre. When completed, the factory should be capable 122 Provincial Profile – Basra of producing approximately 2,400 tons of Calcium Chloride and Magnesium per year and 30,000 tons of Sodium Chloride per year. There is high local demand already and significant potential for export. Oil and Gas Al Basra province contains Iraq’s largest oil reserves, approximately two-thirds of total known crude oil reserves. Sites in Al-Zubair, Al-Rumayla and Ibin Omar are the main production areas, whilst Qurna and Majnon have only recently been developed but not to capacity. The location of Basra’s natural gas reserves tend to be found alongside its crude oil fields which have also not been fully developed. Investment opportunities exist in these sectors both for rehabilitating the existing fields and developing new oil and gas fields in the province. It is estimated that 80% of oil fields in Basra remain unexplored, and that most associated natural gas is flared off in oil fields due to the absence of infrastructure to capture and utilise it. Electricity Two new power stations have been proposed for development in al Rumaila and Shu’aiba, which are currently being negotiated with private sector partners. Electricity is fundamental for production, and these power stations, if completed, will have a strong impact on Basra’s capacity to achieve its ambitions (see Recent Developments). Roads and Transport Whilst Basra has some of the best highways in the country, the province lacks weight stations. The concept of providing weight stations in the province’s highways has therefore been developed by the Roads and Bridges Directorate to prevent traffic accidents and highway damages due to heavy vehicular loads. The following have been identified as the most suitable places to construct the weight stations: Table 10: Investment Opportunities for the Construction of Weight Stations Weight station place Way of Zubaire- Um Qasr at check point of um qasser Road name Zubaire- um qasser Nearby al zubaire bridge and fuel station Way of safan - Zubaire nearby fuel station of safan Way of Basra -missan nearby al hartha check point On the road parting of the port and abu-al khaseeb road Nearby the check point of regiment of emergency Zubaire- Basra Safan- Zubaire Basra-missan Road of Abu floos port Road of outlet al shalamga Source: Basra Investment Commission, 2010. 123 Provincial Profile – Basra The Ministry for Construction and Housing’s State Commission for Roads and Bridges announced an invitation for bids for the rehabilitation of road No. 26 Umm Qasr – AlZubair, which is 82 km in length. Bidding is open until December 2011, and construction is estimated to take 16 months. Railways The railway linking Basra-Amarah-Kut-Baghdad is estimated to take six years and cost $4,509 million. The GOI has prioritised a key arterial link, a 90km railway, between the proposed al Faw Grand Port and the City of Basra. This link is crucial to the country’s north-south railway link and is integral to the al Faw Grand Port and the Dry Canal Project. Other railway investment opportunities include the route connecting Basra – Shalmaja (Iraq-Iran), which will take three years to complete at a cost of $111 million, and Basra – Kuwait city, which will cost $30 million and be completed in one year. Between 35 and 60 million tons of cargo are estimated to pass through Iraqi ports annually, and this will require the construction of a double railway and a cargo railway network, especially from al Faw. A double railway is being constructed between Basra city and Baghdad.60 Roads Rehabilitating the existing highway between Basra and Baghdad is a priority for the government. It is estimated to cost $1 million/km. Although toll-road projects will be taken into consideration, the Ministry of Housing and Construction does not consider it an attractive option, because it believes that it can develop the country’s roads independently. In addition to the building of roads, there are significant opportunities in the establishment of inter- and intra-city bus and coach transportation. Harbours and Sea Freight With the aim of increasing international trade, the Ministry of Transport have been welcoming foreign investment in Sea Transport. The French shipping company, CMA, signed a joint venture agreement with the Iraqi General Company for Ports to establish a container terminal in Umm Qasr over a three year period. The total project cost has been estimated at $20 million. Modern equipment and expertise is expected to increase the traffic of cargo ships in and out of the dock. Foreign investment in ports is a key infrastructural requirement for the transport sector as Basra’s current capacity does not meet the expected volume of traffic. As a result, the 60 National Development Plan 2010-2014. 124 Provincial Profile – Basra GOI plans to build the largest harbour of the entire Gulf region in the Ras al-Bayshah area. The port will have a capacity of over 100 docks (7,000 meters) to receive container ships. The dock for general cargo will be 17 meters deep and cover 3,500 meters. The Grand Faw port will be launched in 2011, according to Minister for Transport Hadi al-Amiri. This project will rival the port of Umm Qasr and is expected to be the main gateway to the Northern Gulf once it is completed. The cost is estimated at $66 billion. The port will be constructed in two three-year stages. With the construction of Grand Faw port, goods will be loaded and transported overland to Europe quickly, through the planned new railway system. A report by Iraq’s National Media Centre estimated that transport costs for shipments between Asia and Europe would reduce considerably with the construction of the port combined with the ‘dry canal’ railway: a container from Japan to Europe through the Suez port would cost $1,770, compared to $1,300 via Faw. An Italian consortium of consultants and investors are near to finalising an agreement over the development of the port. Investment is being sought for the rehabilitation of a 180m al-Maa’mir berth in al Faw port, which has been out of service since 1980. The port is expected to reach 100,000 tons annually. Basra’s port capacity will increase by 4,250 tons/year with the construction of 13 multipurpose commercial berths in Khor al-Zubair port, which will contribute to improving liquid gas exports. The Ministry of Trade has proposed that international operators run Abu Flous and Maaqal ports with a renewable five-year lease. In addition SDV (see below), Demag Cranes (Germany) is planning to work in Basra. The company will improve operations in the port with the installation of a modern industrial crane system. It is also likely to participate in the transportation of heavy oil equipment which will be transported to the port over the next ten years. Air Transport and Airfreight Basra International Airport over the past few years has witnessed significant growth in terms of passenger traffic and the number of local and international airlines. A major challenge is the unavailability of aviation fuel for the numerous airlines. Currently, the airport gets between 200 and 500 thousand litres of fuel from Al-Dura refinery in Baghdad every month. Basra international airport is therefore proposing an investment opportunity for the constructing of a refinery for aviation fuel in the province. Air transport is growing in Iraq, and Basra airport has the potential to become a major transport hub in the Middle East, together with Baghdad airport. The first Iraq Airport Expansion, Cargo Logistics Conference and Exhibition was held in Erbil (April 2010), responding to growing investor interest in the country’s airports. MRO SDV (France) opened its office in Baghdad, with a branch in Basra in July 2010, and has confirmed a continuous 12-year commitment. Its core activities are ocean and continental airfreight. 125 Provincial Profile – Basra The Iraq Airport Expansion and Cargo Logistics (IAECL) Conference in April 2011 is expected to detail new opportunities in this sector. The investment opportunity lies in partnering with Iraqi Airways, which manages airfreight services. The Ministry of Trade estimates that in order to handle increased freight levels, an investment of $150 million is needed to enhance Basra airport’s capacity and storage space. The current capacity is 8,000 cubic meters and a refrigerated warehouse of 800 cubic meters. Basra Logistics City/Bucca Park In 2010, the Basra Investment Commission presented Basra Logistics City as a new investment opportunity in 2011. The Logistics hub is expected to become a major business area. It replaces the US-built Bucca camp. The hub will help boost Basra’s economy. The transfer of the camp to Iraq adds much-needed infrastructure to the province. Assets on the grounds have an estimated value of $40 million. The camp contains a brick factory, a water sanitation system (waste water treatment and water treatment plants, including solid waste beds that could be used for agricultural activities), and 13 security towers. The water treatment plant will provide 1.5 million gallons of water to Umm Qasr. The proposal for Basra Logistics City involves the building of warehouses, medical centres, light industry facilities and offices. The deal is open to a single investor to develop the entire parcel into an industrial/logistics hub. The proposal will provide employment, facilitate commercial investment, add to a business environment conducive for investment through a new industrial park, and support the mobilisation and operation of international oil and oil servicing companies. Table: Bucca Park/Basra Logistics City Property Characteristics Distance to key facilities Available facilities Description 500 Donum Adjacent to future Iraqi Military Base Access to major roads and rail Ready for near term occupancy SOC main office: 46 km Basra International Airport: 55km Umm Qasr Port: 2.4 km Kuwait (Sawfwan): 23km Waste treatment plant RO – water treatment plant Brick factory 126 Provincial Profile – Basra Opportunities Security Services Possibility to invest in 30MW electrical power plant 1.2. Million Square meters available for commercial development – logistical/industrial warehouses. Residential and commercial development The rate of population growth and the state of the housing sector in the province presents a great opportunity to invest in the housing sector. Property development particularly in the social housing sector has been one of the key concerns and focus areas of the Basra Investment Commission. It has identified large plots of land for private sector development of villas, apartments and houses for the local population. The districts of Abu Khaseeb, al Faw, al Qurna, al Zubair, Shatt al Arab and large parts of the city of Basra are open for development. Given its large population size and economic potential, housing developments are expected to generate employment and add significant wealth to the province. In response to a request by a number of oil and gas companies, the Basra Investment Commission has also proposed the development of a large residential city of more than 15,000 housing units in the country to accommodate the employees of these companies in an area of about (24,735 Dunums) owned by the companies. The design of the residential city will include social and public services such as schools, hospitals, shopping and entertainment grounds. Aside from this, there is also an investment opportunity to establish 4,000 residential apartments for staff of the province’s transportation sector. Basra city’s rapid growth in terms of both companies and workers is also opening opportunities up to develop a number of commercial towers in the city centre for offices. In addition to this, four commercial centres have also been proposed on an area ranging from 10 - 20 square meters in the centre of the city as well as the establishment of a multi storey car parking. Tourism and Hotel industries Basra Investment Commission recently announced to an investment opportunity to construct a hotel or guest house with leisure facilities providing housing services and food facilities for workers of the State South Oil Company working in the North of Rumaila Field. The project will be developed on an area of 10,000 square metres and will benefit workers of all the foreign companies in the locality. The General State Company of Iraqi Ports is looking to attract investment through the Basra Investment Commission in the construction of a hotel or other tourism facilities 127 Provincial Profile – Basra on the side of the existing amusement park of Aldakair, which has an area of 12000m². There is also an investment opportunity to develop the Safwan hotel and guest house located on the border centre between Iraq and Kuwait on an area of 5,000 square metres. While Basra Sports City Stadium project has been awarded to Abdullah Al-Jaburi (Iraq) and Newport Global and 360 Architecture (United States), a number of opportunities on the site exist for investors. Details of the projects are listed below in Table 11. Table 11: Investment Opportunities as part of the Basra Sports City Project No. Project 1. 5- Star Hotels Description The construction of two full-service 5-star hotels to be located on the edge of the Sports City. Each hotel will have a capacity of no less than 500 visitors, and have unique, sophisticated architecture. Approximately 10,000 square meters have been allotted for each hotel development. 2. Other Lodging Over 5,000 square meters has been allotted for the construction of lodging for VIP delegations, visiting sports teams, and student visits. 3. Commercial and A total of over 10,000 square meters has been set aside Retail Space for retail in four commercial malls along the canal between the stadium and the hotel sites. 4. Recreation and Space has also been allocated for the construction of Entertainment various entertainment services including an Projects amphitheatre for concerts and cinema, parks and playgrounds, a bowling alley, dining facilities, an internet café, a pool, and other entertainment areas. Source: Iraq Business News May 2010. Agriculture In the agricultural sector, there are various investment opportunities that prospective investors can submit their letters of interest to the Basra Investment Commission. The ‘Basra Agricultural Investment Map’ identifies numerous plots of land for project development. Investment projects include animal husbandry, fisheries, feedlots and date palm orchards. The province holds some of the country’s most fertile pastures and access to ground and fresh-water, particularly from the Shatt al Arab which is watered from the confluence of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers. The construction of the Shatt-al Arab Canal Project, estimated to cost $300 million, began in December 2010. The project will pump pure water for Basra Province and irrigation water for 250,000 donums of agricultural land. The project is part of the midterm plan to achieve self-sustainability of strategic crops. The canal will be 128 km long, 128 Provincial Profile – Basra running from northern Basra to the south of the province, and will have a discharge capacity of 30 cubic metres per second.61 The Ministry of Agriculture has also proposed the establishment of a Fish Port in Al Ma'amir area affiliated to Al Faw District on an area of 38 Dunums. There are also opportunities to invest in calves, fish and poultry on 100000 acres land available for investors and distributed throughout the city. Also, there is the presence of (100000) acres of land reserved for investment in strategic crops and vegetables. Table 8 below contains other agricultural investment opportunities in the province. Table 12: Agricultural Investment Projects in Basra Province No Location 1 Shat al-arab Available Area\Dunums 5000 Kind of Investment 2 Shat al-arab 5000 3 Shat al-arab 5000 4 5 Al-dear Al-dear 35000 10000 Strategic yields and animal raising project Strategic yields and animal raising project Strategic yields and animal raising project Strategic yields Strategic yields 6 7 8 Al-dear Al-dear Abualkhasib 10000 1000 5000 Strategic yields Comdex for feeds and animal raising Animal raising projects Source: Basra Investment Commission. Manufacturing The Basra Investment Commission proposes the Hamdan Industrial Area, in Qada Abu Khasib, as an investment opportunity. Investment in the SOE will increase production of textile goods for households, automotive industry and other markets in Iraq. The area contains the largest concentration of small and government-owned production workshops and factories serving local demand for textile products Telecommunication In the telecommunications sector, several investment opportunities have been proposed and are open for existing and prospective investors to present their interest. These have been detailed in Tables 13 to 16. 61 Aswat al-Iraq $299 million Shatt al-Arab Canal Project Underway, 11 August 2010 129 Provincial Profile – Basra Table 13: Data Application for Fibre-Optic Cables Investment Opportunities in Basra No Item 1 Project Name Data Implementation of the network of fibre-optic cables terminals 2 Project Description The delivery of fixed telephone service, Internet and fax facilities to all states in the province through optical fibre 3 Geographic Location Al-Basra 4 The aim of Project Providing Excellent and Modern Telecommunication services 5 Energy Production 1,000,000 lines 6 Product Description Fixed telephone service, fax and cable Internet or Service 7 Cost estimates $8 million 8 Participation Type Domestic and International Corporations 9 Project Justification These Services are not available. 10 The type of Land and General Company for Post & Telecommunication locations area in Basra. 11 Location Advantages 12 Available Services There is optical fibre connects between operators. 13 Available Resources There are maps and lands belong to the telecommunication company. 14 Importance of project (preference) 15 Recipient Provinces Al-Basra 16 The competitive There are no competitive projects. Projects 17 Market need 18 Supportive sides General Company for Post & Telecommunication 19 Energy Type and Independent Energy Source Source 20 Source of raw Arabic and Foreign Countries. materials 21 The expected period Between 3 to 5 years according to conditions. to complete 22 The related side with General Company for Post & Telecommunication project Source: Basra Investment Commission Table 14: Data Application for Public Phones Investment Opportunities in Basra No Items Data 1 The establishment of public phones. Project Name 130 Provincial Profile – Basra 2 Project Description 3 Geographic Location The establishment of public phones powered by smart card. Al-Basra 4 The aim of Project Providing Public phone services 5 Energy Production 1000 a thousand lines 6 7 Product Description Service Cost Estimates 8 Participation Type Domestic or International Corporations 9 Project Justification This Service is not available. 10 The type of Land and area Control site in one of Telecom locations. 11 Location Advantages 12 Available Services 13 Available Resources 14 15 Importance of project (preference) Recipient Provinces Al-Basra 16 The competitive Projects 17 Market need 18 Supportive sides General Company for Post & Telecommunication 19 Energy Type and Source Independent Energy Source 20 Source of raw materials Arabic and Foreign Countries. or Domestic and International connection service 10 billion ID There are Ioanat to connect the public operator with other operators. There are maps on the service setup service. There are no competitive projects. 21 The expected period to One year. complete. 22 The related entity with General Company for Post & Telecommunication project. Source: Basra Investment Commission. Table 15: Data Application for Public Wireless Phone Investment Opportunities in Basra No Items Data 1 Project Name The establishment of public wireless phones. 2 Project Description 3 Geographic Location The establishment of public phones powered by smart card. Al-Basra 4 The aim of Project Providing the public phone service. 131 Provincial Profile – Basra 5 Energy Production 1,000 lines 6 7 Product Description Service Cost Estimates 8 Participation Type Domestic or International Corporations 9 Project Justification This Service is not available. 10 The type of Land and area Control site in one of Telecom locations. 11 Location Advantages 12 Available Services 13 Available Resources 14 15 Importance of project (preference) Recipient Provinces Al-Basra 16 The competitive Projects 17 Market need 18 Supportive sides General Company for Post & Telecommunication 19 Energy Type and Source Solar Energy. 20 Source of raw materials Foreign Countries. or Domestic and International connection service by public phone. 8 billion ID. There are Ioanat to connect the public operator with other operators. There are maps on the service setup service. There are no competitive projects. 21 The expected period to A single year. complete. 22 The related side with General Company for Post & Telecommunication project. Source: Basra Investment Commission. Table 16: Data Application for Wireless Operator Investment Opportunities in Basra No Items Data 1 Project Name The establishment of wireless operator. 2 Project Description Covering Al-Basra with a specific frequency provide fixed wireless telephone service. 3 Geographic Location Al-Basra\centre of the city, districts and areas. 4 The aim of Project 5 Energy Production Providing fixed wireless telephone service and Fax and Internet. 2,00,000 lines 6 Product Description or Telephone with Internet. Service 132 Provincial Profile – Basra 7 Cost estimates $6 million 8 Participation Type Domestic and International Corporations 9 Project Justification Citizens need for this Service. 10 11 The type of Land and Control site in one of Telecom locations. area Location Advantages 12 Available Services 13 Available Resources 14 Importance of project (preference) Recipient Provinces Al-Basra\It is possible that other province benefit from this by extending towers to these provinces. 15 16 There are Ioanat to connect the wireless operators with the wired operators. There are maps and studies about the coverage towers locations. 17 The competitive Iraqtel and Itsaluna corporations for fixed wireless Projects services. Market need 18 Supportive sides 19 General Company for Post & Telecommunication in Basra. and Independent Energy Source Energy Type Source 20 Source of raw Outside of Iraq. materials 21 The expected period to A single year. complete. 22 The related side with General Company for Post & Telecommunication in project. Basra. Source: Basra Investment Commission. 133 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Provincial Profile: Baghdad I. Overview of Baghdad Governorate The governorate of Baghdad is the smallest of the 18 provinces of Iraq, and includes the city of Baghdad itself, the heart of Iraq, the seat of government, and the centre of manufacturing, finance and commerce. Its population is more ethnically, religiously, racially, politically and economically diverse than the rest of Iraq, and with a population exceeding 6.5m, is home to half of the entire population of the country. The majority of the population is Muslim, the two main groups being Shiite and Sunni, but there is also a substantial Christian population. Ethnic populations include Arabs, Iraqis, Iranians, Kurds, Turkish, Indian and Bangladeshi (of which there has been a sustained, and mostly undocumented influx to service the construction industry.62) The city is located on the Tigris, at the confluence of land and water transport, and is 50km from the Euphrates. Baghdad is at the centre of a regional road network, connecting the city by overland routes to Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Turkey. Baghdad is also served by a newly renovated international airport. The city itself is split into two by the Tigris River, with the Eastern part known as Risafa and the Western part known as Karkh. Most of the government and parliamentary buildings are situated in Karkh, but many of the public sector ministries that make up the vast majority of public sector employment are located in Risafa. These include the Ministries of Oil, Industry, Agriculture, Higher Education, Labour, Finance, and the Baghdad Municipality. Most contracting activity between private and public sectors passes through these ministries, requiring frequent visits63. Baghdad has come a long way from where it was in 2003, but it is still reconstructing basic infrastructure, housing and industries. Although Iraq has the fourth largest oil reserves in the world, which generate 95% of its GDP, the oil sector only employs 1% of its workforce. Unemployment in the capital is very high. Efforts are being put into diversifying the economy, creating more jobs and making Baghdad an attractive investment centre. Agriculture is considered a strategic sector that will create many jobs in rural areas, thereby easing migration to the capital. Agricultural production will also reduce import dependence. In order to build and develop a domestic manufacturing and service sector, there is an acute need for skills training in all areas, including management and financial training, as well as IT awareness. Basic improvements in infrastructure provision are essential, including the availability of cost-effective broadband, and reliable electricity (including 3 phase power provision). The tourist industry has received significant investment in the past two years, and the construction sector is booming. The projected upward trajectory for the governorate will nevertheless require a steady improvement in security and law enforcement. 62Times 63USAID of India “In Baghdad, for a Fast Buck,” April 10th 2010. p.48 “Baghdad – Tijara Market Assessment Report,” Dec 2009. 134 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Most hotels in Baghdad are in Risafa, as well as some of the most famous shopping areas, including the Karrada “In” market area between the Baghdad University and the Bab Al-Sharjy area on the Karrada peninsula and the shopping areas around Palestine Street and Zayouna, where Risafa residents go for an evening out. Risafa is also home to the famous Sadr City, boasting, according to some estimates, up to 3 million inhabitants and a vast pool of mostly unskilled labour. Many of those who have employment work across the city in low-paying jobs, while a large proportion is unemployed. Sadr City also has one of the most important wholesale markets of the entire country on its outskirts in the Jamila neighbourhood.64 It is also the site for a massive new development (see ‘Construction’) Zafraniya in southeast Baghdad is home to large state-owned industries (Cement and others) and large and smaller private industries alike, including the bottling plant that produces Pepsi Cola for all of Iraq and the industrial area of Nadhamiya, where private industrialists and state-owned enterprises (SOEs) produce vegetable oils, cigarettes, and leather goods. Northwest of Baghdad is the Famous Kadhum Mosque and Shrine in Kadhamiya, a religious site that Shia Muslims visit on pilgrimage. The mosque is a round-the-year attraction for tourists and locals alike. The Western part of the city (Karkh) is home to the shopping districts of Mansour, the restaurants of Harithiya (near Mansour) and the vast used car market of Bayaa. From the West some of the most important roads connect Baghdad to the rest of the country, including the Airport Road, and the road to Abu Ghraib, site of the Baby Milk factory, which was bombed during the war. The area is also known for its agricultural production. Roads link Baghdad to Mosul in the North and to Babil in the south. The areas around Baghdad, known as the ‘Qada’ areas are home to agricultural enterprises, within which grain is of importance. Baghdad’s most pressing issue is security. Security permeates all areas of life and economic activity in Iraq, this is especially the case in Baghdad. The security problem is fuelled by on-going sectarian tensions. A security review of 2010 showed that Baghdad was the governorate with the highest number of violent incidents (36%, compared to 32% in 2009). Although opportunities for investment and the country’s prospects for development in general will continue to improve in 2011, violence remains a concern, particularly for those looking to do business in Baghdad. II. Baghdad Governorate Structure The government of Baghdad is divided into a hierarchy of governments maintaining both governance and bottom-up representation. The city constitutes a new “capital 64USAID p.49 “Baghdad – Tijara Market Assessment Report,” Dec 2009. 135 Provincial Profile – Baghdad territory” whose structure differs from other parts of the country.65 Much of the structure predates the 2003 invasion of Iraq, but responsibilities have shifted to reflect a degree of federalism, which contrasts with high levels of centralisation in the previous regime. The province’s outlying areas are administered by the governorate instead of the Amanat. The governorate and Amanat are linked at several levels, and the Governorate Council still provides funding for many of Baghdad's projects. The outlying areas which surround the city from Taji in the north to Mahmudiyah in the south are overseen by the deputy governor for rural services. Below the Governorate are the District Councils (‘Kati’), commonly referred to as DACs (District Advisory Councils), which monitor the district’s work, prepare budgets, approve major designs, make security arrangements and monitor education within their districts. Below the District councils are the Neighbourhood Councils, which are the closest elected officials to the people. The Amanat is Baghdad’s public works department. It is responsible for improving Baghdad’s infrastructure and overseeing the city’s essential services. Money for largescale, Iraqi-funded projects typically originates at the Amanat. It has no responsibility for electricity, which is overseen by the federal government’s Ministry of Electricity. Below the Amanat are 13 beladiyas, which can be considered the administering arm of the Amanat. They maintain the city’s distribution systems and perform other administrative tasks such as governing water, sewage, roads, public lands and zoning. Beladiyas have significantly less money than the Amanat. This typically limits them to maintaining existing infrastructure and performing low-level improvements such as landscaping or street cleaning. Beladiyas must turn to the Amanat or Governorate Council for the creation of any significant new infrastructure. Beladiyas also control any money collected by the District Councils. The deputy of the beladiyas appoints a deputy mayor to head each beladiya, but most of the remaining employees are workers hired for specific jobs, such as engineers or street cleaners. One issue undermining effective implementation of new projects, which reflects a lack of coordination between governing bodies in Baghdad, is the delay between the award of contracts and the granting of licenses. Major delays due to the bottleneck and lack of expediency between different authorities created major difficulties in the implementation of projects.66 III. 65 66 Business and Regulatory Environment USAID Local Governance Program “Republic of Iraq District Governance Field Manual,” 2007. Iraq Business News, 22 July 2010 136 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Investment Framework and Environment The legal framework for investment in Baghdad, and in State-owned enterprises specifically consists of: Law No. 22/1997, which regulates partnerships with State Owned Enterprises (Article 15.3). Law 91/1988, which regulates investment in the mining and natural resources sectors. The National Investment Law 13/2006 supports the process of investment in Iraq, designing National Investment Commission and Provincial Investment Commissions as ‘one-stop-shops’. Commissions, both national and provincial, as well as the Ministry of Industry and Minerals can promote projects and negotiate agreements. In 2009, the National Investment Law was amended, in an attempt to enhance the climate for investment in the country. The amendment concerned the foreign ownership of land, and was specific to housing projects and investment partnerships with SOEs based on law 2/2010. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals has announced additional amendments to be issued in the near future: Law protecting national products through duties and taxes, increasing the price of imported products on the Market. Law for consumer protection to ensure production meets international specifications and health standards. Arbitration Law which will make investment more predictable by assigning international arbitration arrangements. Baghdad Investment Commission The Baghdad Investment Commission (BIC) was established in 2008. It reports to the governor and is monitored by the provincial council. BIC co-ordinates with the National Investment Commission (NIC), grants investment licenses, conducts investment planning, encourages investment in Baghdad and allocates lands for investment projects through co-ordination with the governorate, Baghdad municipality, the Ministry of Finance and other relevant parties. The number of companies and countries investing in the governorate are increasing, including investors from other Middle Eastern countries in particular such as Jordan, Iran and Egypt, but also European countries and China. Baghdad is an attractive governorate to invest in due to its population density and purchasing power. This governorate, however, is in urgent need of investments especially in housing, trade, industry, agriculture, and tourism. 137 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Investment Fairs The governorate has held a number of successful trade fairs and conferences in recent years encouraging investors to invest in Iraq, with growing interest. Up to 1,200 foreign firms reportedly took part in the Baghdad International Trade Fair in 2010, the largest participation since the invasion. France, Japan, Germany, India and Holland were present and Sweden and Bulgaria had agreed to be represented. In addition to this, major investment conferences have been held elsewhere in Iraq (Basra and Erbil) and in Istanbul, such as the Iraq Megaprojects 2010 and Iraq Telecoms 2010, and in London, Iraq Petroleum 2010. All of these have attracted great attention. Constraints Security - Security is by far the most important issue impeding business and hampering the development of Iraq as a country. According to an EIU survey in 2010, where 367 senior executives from 52 countries were questioned about their perceptions of investment in Iraq, 67% of respondents said security was the biggest deterrent to investment in Iraq. This was followed by corruption (44%), and the lack of infrastructure (35%).67 Nevertheless, there was optimism about the future, according to provisional results seen by AFP - 55% of respondents believed the security situation for foreign executives and employees would improve over the next two years (EIU, 2010). Infrastructure - A large impediment to investors investing in Iraq is the lack of infrastructure. Provision is seen as particularly lacking in electricity, transportation, communications and water. However, Baghdad is of course better provided for than the rest of the country in terms of transport logistics, communications technology, water and other amenities. Furthermore, the government are aware of the challenges posed by infrastructure and are committed to encouraging investment into these areas to help remedy the situation. Small and Medium Enterprises Baghdad SMEs were the subject of a USAID report from 2009 that reported the constraint imposed on business in the governorate by a lack of adequate business infrastructure, including the lack of a banking system, access to loans and other sources of capital. There is an urgent need for education and training across all sectors in the Baghdad economy, in order for businesses to function competitively. This will require capacity67France 24 “Iraq investors wary but optimistic: survey, “ 23rd Aug 2010. 138 Provincial Profile – Baghdad building in information technology and marketing opportunities and a move away from informality. Standard practices such as keeping accounting records will make businesses more financially aware, and enable them to plan and build up their businesses, as well as making their business more attractive to investors, including accessing opportunities for credit from financial institutions. Examples of such training may include the following: 68 Managerial training for SME owners, managers, and skilled employees at every level, to improve product quality and to stimulate employment for feeder industries to SOEs and the wholesale and retail trades that support hotel and restaurant related industries. Training in technologies for improving business efficiency, communications, and advertising. Building on the growing support for women owned business to create a sustaining entrepreneurial culture to take advantage of a resource that once was strong and now is significantly underutilized. Education for business owners on the importance of transitioning to more formal organization of their businesses and workforce, in order to take advantage of available banking, advisory, and associational resources. IV. State of Infrastructure and Human Development Since the 2003 invasion, most reconstruction efforts have gone into restoring and replacing of badly damaged infrastructure. In 2010, the governor allocated $1 billion to redeveloping Baghdad. $200 million of this budget was allocated to housing, and improving the sewage system and upgrading drinking water plants was also a priority. $400 million were allocated to implementing projects that had stalled in the past two years, in some cases where Iraqi contractors had failed to deliver, and where international contractors were expected to take an active part.69 An additional $85 million was released from the Baghdad Council to the Mayoralty later that year to cover projects related to public services (roads, bridges, environment, sewage and water). 70 The Swedish firm EPC won the bid for executing a new sewage system in Baghdad worth ID 66 billion71. Incoming sewage exceeds treatment capacity, resulting in the pollution of water, which has implication for health and the environment. In April 2010, 68USAID p.28, “Baghdad – Tijara Market Assessment Report” Dec 2009. 7 March 2010. 70 Aswat al-Iraq, 29 June 2010. 71 Aswat Al-Iraq, 7 June 2010. 69Azzaman, 139 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Baghdad’s Mayoralty allocated ID 6 billion to repair drinking water system for the capital,72 and $ 6 million was also allocated to clean up Baghdad in August 2010, on the occasion of the holy month of Ramadan.73 In August 2010, the Mayoralty launched an international architectural competition to develop four neighbourhoods (308, 310, 312, and 314) of al-Adhamiya City in Baghdad, close to the Shrine of Imam Abu Hanifa. 74 In August 2010, the Baghdad Mayoralty estimated that investment projects in the capital had reached $100 billion (ID 120 trillion), namely on housing, malls, theme parks and resort rectors. The mayoralty added that it needed political and executive support to attract further investment to Baghdad.75 Public Services and Human Development Healthcare Iraq was formerly a renowned centre for medicine and learning, the Baghdad College of Medicine being one of the oldest in the world. In the past, people from all over the Middle East came to Baghdad for treatment. During the sanctions of the 1990s, the healthcare system fell into decline, reaching catastrophic proportions after 2003. Efforts have gone into restoring the health sector to pre-2003 levels. International relief and development agencies spent over $40m on 128 generators, and delivered over 13,000 tons of pharmaceutical supplies. Existing medical equipment has been surveyed and repaired where possible.76There are around 208 state-owned hospitals in Iraq, which fall under the Ministry of Health.77 The private sector runs 80 hospitals, and around 2,000 popular health clinics strewn across the country. In 2009, 43 hospitals and clinics had been rehabilitated since 2003. Baghdad has 42 public hospitals, and 37 private ones, 300 medical institutions and 12 popular medical clinics. Private health clinics exist but provide a limited range of services.78 Training and education programmes are urgently required, as well as infrastructure to enable healthcare management, planning and finance. Investment opportunities Baghdad Investment Commission lists several educational institutions for construction and rehabilitation under its investment opportunities. Area Number Location Area Measure Project Details Aswat al Iraq, 29 April 2010. Aswat al Iraq, 11 August 2010. 74 Aswat al-Iraq, 7 August 2010. 75 Aswat al-Iraq, 4 August 2010. 76David Castlegrant and Associates, “MidEast / Pharmaceutical International Comprehensive Exhibition,” 2009. 77Iraqi National Investment Commission “Opportunities for Investment in the Iraqi Health Sector”. 78Iraqi National Investment Commission “Opportunities for Investment in the Iraqi Health Sector”. 72 73 140 Provincial Profile – Baghdad 1 Nhr A'oda AlHassan 30M 634/1 2 14627/1 ,14628/1 ,14629/1, 7M Alboor 3 Aal bad'a al jnobyea 30M 502/2 4 Hmdhyea 4M 622/2 5 6 7 8 Al-Zohour Municipality Al-Taji Municipality AlRashdya Municipality Al-Wihda Municipality Abu Sham 'a 36M Al-Mahmodya 4791/18 Municipality Al Hswa 14M 85/1 Al-Latefea Municipality A'badi & Hour Al Al –nasr w alsalam Basha 10M Municipality 1097/14 A'badi & Hour Al Al –nasr w alsalam Basha 10M Municipality 11852/21 23Donum 21 Schools & universities OLK & 48M2 37 Donum University 159 Donum & University 12 OLK. 18 Donum University 15 Donum University 1900 Donum University 137 Donum University & Housing complex 30 Donum Housing complex, standard houses or universities Infrastructure Transport Baghdad is an important node for road, air, and train traffic. Baghdad connects by rail with Basra and Umm Qasr in the South, Kirkuk and Erbil to the northeast, Mosul in the North and Al-Qa’im in Al Anbar, west of the capital. Baghdad is the centre of a regional road network that connects with Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Iran, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Baghdad airport lies 16 km from the city. Roads and bridges An integrated road network will help reduce bottlenecks and facilitate reconstruction, and it is expected that the rehabilitation of essential reconstruction will have a positive spill over effect in the economy through the reduction by 10% of annual costs on national reconstruction79. Various supply chain networks that support the Governorate utilise dilapidated road networks and highways. The route from Basra to Baghdad takes 1.5 days; three times longer than it would in an efficient transport system. Transport costs would also be significantly reduced with fewer delays, thus bringing down the price of products in Baghdad and elsewhere. Congestion is another problem, due to the presence of multiple checkpoints and a curfew, restricting the hours of traffic. The same 79 MoT, 2010. 141 Provincial Profile – Baghdad problem applies to roads used to import substantial amounts of products from Turkey and Syria. Baghdad has some 30 passenger buses and 14 bus connections to other provinces. The MoT plans to increase this amount to 130 internal connections within the city through the procurement of 1,500 public transport buses. In February 2010 the municipality announced ID 80 billion would be invested into paving the main streets and highways of Baghdad, changing traffic lights in central Baghdad and on continuing construction work on several bridges. Later that year, Baghdad Mayoralty announced another ID 200 billion would be spent on paving five million square meters of roads in Baghdad in 2010. In January 2010, the Mayoralty commenced building a new bridge worth ID 12 billion in the capital. Sahet Al Khulafaa Bridge will be completed in 2011. In 2010 the Narhwan Bridge was completed, linking Baghdad to southern and northern provinces. The 14km-long structure allows passengers and cargo to move between the provinces without having to pass through the capital. The project was implemented in partnership with a French company, and cost $13 million.80 Baghdad’s airport road, which extends to the green zone, had been a serious security concern in the past. The motorway is safer and heavily protected and has undergone rehabilitation for the Arab summit in March 2011. It is estimated that redevelopment for the summit will cost $425 million.81 Baghdad Railway systems Baghdad loop line railway Initial steps have been taken towards improving rail services in Baghdad, with Iraqi Republic Railway (IRR) plans to upgrade Baghdad’s transport infrastructure by facilitating the construction of a Loop Line Railway track surrounding the capital. This will be capable of moving both passengers and cargo freight quickly and efficiently throughout the city. The $3 billion project comprises two new stations, six interchanges, two bridges, signalling and almost 300 km of track in total. The project has been presented by a consortium to the client, Iraqi Republic Railways, and is under consideration. Al-Burhan Group will supply of concrete sleepers (from its own factory in Abu Ghraib), construction materials and local work as well as facilitate and represent the consortium to State representatives 80 81 Aswat al-Iraq, 6 September 2010. AFP, Iraq Business News, 16 November 2010. 142 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Balfour Beatty Rail SpA (Italy) will design and supply the M&E for the electrical substations and overhead contact line, telecommunication, auxiliary power supply, telecomm and (SCADA) and power connections to the grid Dorsch Consult Transport Infrastructure (Germany) will conduct engineering studies and update the old design of the project. Egypt’s Orascom Construction Industries is partnering with TSO (France) to carry out civil works, track laying including provision of railway materials and workshop including equipment supply Thyssen Krupp GFT Gleistechnik GmbH (Germany) will provide railway materials and project management. The partners have agreed to collaborate and bring together their various capabilities and areas of expertise to attempt to move the project from conception to completion.82 Baghdad Metro In 2008, studies were completed for the construction of the Baghdad Metro. This will connect the centre to the southern neighbourhood of Dora. The project was signed in January 2011 with Alstrom (France). 25 km of high-level track will be built, for a cost of $3 billion. A French government loan will cover 50-60% of the cost; the remaining amount is covered by a low-interest loan from a French government-run bank, to be repaid in 20 years.83 BaghdadMonorail In October 2010, a group of Russian Companies were reportedly offered a project to build an elevated monorail extending an estimated 25km between Baghdad’s two banks, Rusafa and Karkkh. More recently the project was reportedly allocated to Ahlstrom, which is also in charge of the subway project. The monorail will connect major districts on both sides of the Tigris, from Sadr City to Mansour in the West. A few months earlier a Canadian company won the contract to build a monorail in the holy city of Najaf.84 Table: Opportunities for investment in Baghdad railways include: ESTIMATED NUMBER OF ESTIMATED COST PROVINCIAL INTERCONNECTION YEARS TO (MILLION $) ROUTES COMPLETE Baghdad-Baquba-Kirkuk-Irbil5 3008.5 82Al-Burhan Group News, 24 March 2010. Reuters, 24 January 2011. 84 Aswat-al Iraq 30 October 2010. 83 143 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Mosul Baghdad-Kut-Amarah-Basra 6 4509 Source: Ministry of Transport 2010. INTERCONNECTI ON ROUTES Baghdad-Amman COUNTRY CONNECTIO NS Iraq-Jordan ESTIMATED NO. OF YEARS TO ESTIMATED COST COMPLETE (IN MILLIONS of $) 5 1916 Source: Ministry of Transport 2010 Railway lines currently operating include Baghdad-Basra, Baghdad-Samarra, and Baghdad Fallujah. Work is being done on the Baghdad-Basra and Baghdad Mosul lines. Baghdad International Airport Security at Baghdad airport has improved, the road from Baghdad to the airport, once considered the most dangerous road in the world, is now the best maintained, and arguably the safest in the city. The last major incident to happen at Baghdad airport was in 2003. In January 2010, G4S won the contract to provide security in Baghdad airport. The previous incumbent was Sabre.85 In 2009, Baghdad airport reported 89 commercial flights, daily. In April 2010, the first flight from Baghdad in 20 years landed at Gatwick Airport.86In May 2010, plans were unveiled for an expansion at Baghdad International Airport in Iraq, which will double its capacity to 15 million passengers per year by 2014. The expansion will include building three new terminals, bringing a combined total of 7.5 million visitors. Meanwhile, the existing three terminals are to be refurbished, under funding from foreign investors.87 As it stands today, 12 mostly Arab carriers connect Baghdad with the rest of the region, including Cairo, Amman, Beirut, Jeddah, Abu Dhabi, Istanbul and Dubai. A number of flights connect Baghdad with Europe, including Sweden. According to the Iraqi Civil Aviation Authorities, Baghdad International handled 165,000 passengers from October to December 2009. Based on this figure, the airport saw approximately 600,000 passengers in 2009, which is relatively small when compared to 9.1m travellers in the same year at the British city of Birmingham, which has a similar size airport. Plans are being made to build a commercial centre, or "village of businesses" next to Baghdad airport, to persuade more investors to visit Baghdad, while making it unnecessary for them to visit Baghdad itself. This is to include government branches, hotels and apartments, banks, 119 shops, a petrol station, a car rental agency and even 85Iraq Business News, 08 February 2010. News “Jet in First Flight from Baghdad to UK in 20 Years,” 21st April 2010. 87Airport Technology News, “Baghdad Airport Unveils Plans for Terminal Expansion,”21st May 2010. 86BBC 144 Provincial Profile – Baghdad duty-free shops, restaurants, internet cafes and parks. The area, scheduled for completion in 3-5 years for $250 million, will also house offices of state investment commissions and branches of most government ministries to help investors. Several plots in Baghdad airport land have been designated for investment. These include a space for an international hotel, which the MoT estimated could cost $50 million. Other plots have been designated for commercial trade opportunities. Another sector for investment is freight equipment and storage. In 2009 SDV (France) established itself in Baghdad and confirmed a continuous 12-year commitment in Iraq through engagement with ocean and airfreight. In April 2011, the Iraq Airport Expansion and Cargo Logistics (IAECL) Conference will present new opportunities in this sector. Electricity Although much has been restored, electricity outages are commonplace, as well as general unavailability of three-phase electrical supply. Foreign donors have put substantial funds into restoring electricity. The United States, for example, has put over $5bn into the reconstruction of the energy grid, raising the number of high-voltage lines from 20 to 34.88 In February 2011, the Ministry of Electricity revealed that the energy crisis in Iraq would cost an estimated $6 billion to restore. In addition to this, another $3-4 billion investment is needed annually to strengthen Iraq’s generating capacity. Official figures estimate that energy available is 9,000 MW, while demand is estimated at 14,000 MW in the summer.89 The electricity grid also has to contend with the increasing local demand. As purchasing power increases, Iraqis are buying power-hungry air conditioners, white goods and satellite televisions, almost all of which are made abroad. Power consumption has risen 128%.90 The long-term view is upbeat with the country’s plans to return to its former status as a leading regional power exporter. The electricity business is viewed as a growth industry over the long term.91 The Ministry of Electricity, in cooperation with the consulting firm Parsons Brinckerhoff, has elaborated a Long Term Master Plan (2010-2030) that was presented in Istanbul, Turkey in February 2011. In an attempt to address power shortages in Baghdad, the Iraqi authorities have decided to install 500 generators in the capital, each generating 5MW and combined, 88Economist, “Why business is still in the dumps,” 1st June 2010. AKNews, 05 February 2011. 90 Economist, “Why business is still in the dumps,” 1st June 2010. 91 US Commercial Service, “Country Commercial Guide for U.S. Companies,” p.17, 2009. 89 145 Provincial Profile – Baghdad generating 1,750 MW of electricity. It is estimated that Baghdad alone requires 3,500 MW to meet its consumption.92 The government also has a legal obligation to deliver on contracts with international companies, such as Hyundai’s installation for gas turbines in Qudus power station, a contract amounting to $219 million. These factors currently need to be taken into consideration at the project design stage. In 2008, the Ministry of Electricity, which operates the national power grid, embarked upon a massive construction and rehabilitation program, which included the purchase of nearly $3 billion of gas turbine generators and associated services from General Electric, and over $2 billion in additional capacity from Hyundai and other suppliers. These generators are supposed to double the country’s electrical capacity. They will be installed over the next five years, and power stations need to be designed and built to host these generators, in addition to a substantial upgrade of the country’s transmission network. In 2010, new contracts were awarded for the installation of 20 gas turbines purchased from General Electric (GE) in 2008. The contracts were awarded to three Turkish companies: Calik Enerjim, Enka Insaat and Eastern Lights. The contracts, combined, are worth US$900 million. V. Regional Industries Agriculture Baghdad has the third largest number of cows (135,725), and leads other countries in buffalo rearing (34,346 head). Additionally, the Iraqi Government has prioritised the development of the agricultural industry in its aim to stimulate rural development, enhance food security, and become less dependent on imports. The Ministry of Agriculture’s mid-term strategic plan, for the period 2009-2015, takes a two-pronged approach to rehabilitate essential infrastructure – specifically to reduce salinity on agricultural land through improved on-farm management of water resources and irrigation; and improved agricultural expansion and farmer outreach, resulting in both vertical and horizontal production expansion. The FAO offers a roadmap covering the period 2009-2014 for assistance in policy reforms, capacity building and investment programmes. The FAO’s program includes eight proposals: Production and Introduction of Integrated Pest Control Agents into Iraqi Agroecosystem 92 Azzaman, 06 September 2010. 146 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Rebuilding the Plant Genetic Resources in Iraq Strengthening Capacity for Quality Potato Seed Production Sustainable Saltwater Fisheries and Aquaculture Development Assessment of the Present Conditions of On-farm Water Management Micro-industries Support Programme Capacity Development in Agricultural Census Strengthen policy-oriented capacities of natural resources management Date Palm Industry The province is adopting strategies to revitalise its date palm industry, as well as the production of oranges and olives. Developing the date palm industry is one of the Ministry of Agriculture’s goals for the whole country. Iraq currently accounts for about 18% of the world’s date market. Improved export of dates could provide a major source of agricultural revenue for Iraq. In 2010, the Government of Iraq allocated $95 million to purchase dates from local growers, and purchased seven eurocopters to spray date palm trees.93 The FAO together with UNIDO also implemented a project between 2007 and 2009, to rehabilitate the date palm sector in southern and central Iraq. The palm industry included a date palm cultivation programme, the rehabilitation of storage, packing and processing units, and capacity-building of support institutions, such as the Date Palm Research and Training Centre. Poultry Industry Poultry has become a strategic industry in the development of the agricultural sector and this industry has undergone a revival since 2008. In 2007, two-thirds of Iraqi poultry production took place within a 50-mile radius of Baghdad. The active lobbying of the Iraq Poultry Producers’ Association (IPPA) has led to a supportive environment for the development of the industry in the face of cheaper imports, mainly from Brazil, the United States and Turkey. In January 2010, Al Kanz poultry processing plant reopened in Yusifiyah, near the capital, and was the first plant in Iraq able to take live chickens from local farmers and prepare, freeze and deliver them to the market. The initiative was spearheaded by the Mahmudiyah Poultry Association with the aim of re-establishing the poultry value chain. The initiative was supported by husbandry methods, resulting in the production of market-weight chickens in 35 days, as opposed to 55 or 60 days. 150 jobs were created at the plant, and hundreds of other jobs were created as a consequence at chicken farms, hatcheries, breeders and feed mills.94 The FAO also held training sessions in Baghdad with veterinarians and officials regarding poultry diseases. A 93AKnews 94US 22 December 2010; Euronews, 01 November 2010. Army News Service ‘Creating Profit Through Poultry,’ 12 January 2010. 147 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Poultry Industry Conference was held in Baghdad in 2009 which brought together the major stakeholders and suppliers of the industry. Livestock Industry USAID’s Inma agribusiness programme has also been actively supporting the livestock industry in Taji, Baghdad. In 2009, it awarded a feedlot grant to an operator in the province. Inma’s demonstration program minimises the business risk for learning new technology and its livestock unit conducted Feedlot Operations Management Training in Baghdad on animal nutrition, handling and health. Inma has also supported and partnered with veterinarians in Iraq. Additionally, the FAO is engaged in a program to rehabilitate the artificial insemination centre in Baghdad, which will provide quality semen production to farmers and improve cattle breeding.95 Fruit Trees Inma has conducted several activities to encourage commercial orchard and vineyard development with farmers from Baghdad. According to the National Development Plan 2010-2014, Baghdad province has the highest number of fruit trees in the country together with Saladin. The total number of fruit trees increased from 8.1 million in 2004 to 8.5 million in 2007. Food Technology In terms of post-harvest food technology, Inma has supported the establishment of packing houses in Iraq (Taji and Adamiyah), which will serve consolidators and farmers as a centre for the sale of the products they are marketing. Much of Iraqi farmers’ produce is lost to product damage. Inma assists farmers in the grading and selection of vegetables for differential pricing. Inma has also established greenhouses to supply year-round vegetables to markets in Baghdad. Between 2008-2010, Inma rehabilitated the Tissa Nissan Retail Market, including four generators, thirteen cold storage units and two freezers. In March 2009, Inma conducted a food consumption survey in Iraq, which estimated food consumption adjustments with increased income. It found that protein consumption was led by poultry consumption, while red meat remains very low, mainly because of pricing. Grain producer SMEs A USAID Tijara Market Assessment report for the province of Baghdad identified grain producers as one of the four major sub-sectors representing the dynamic presence of SMEs. They represent a significant stake in the overall economy relating to actual 95 FAO Medium Term Strategy for FAO Assistance to Iraq, 2008. 148 Provincial Profile – Baghdad production and job-creation. Security is a greater constraint in the city districts of Baghdad than in the Baghdad Qada areas. Construction The reconstruction and rehabilitation of Iraq has created a huge demand for construction equipment and basic building materials, finishing products, engineering skills, technology, environmental awareness, and maintenance systems.96 The construction industry is improving rapidly, but demand at present exceeds capacity, particularly in the construction materials industry, which currently supplies below a quarter of the capacity required. Many construction materials plants remain derelict. There are additional opportunities to supply high-quality construction equipment. International donors are pressing for the involvement of local companies in reconstruction projects. However, while Iraqi firms have previous experience and accumulated knowledge of the environment, they might not have knowledge of international management methods in the industry, due to years of isolation. In Iraq, the main infrastructure investments carried out are focused on water supply projects, waste water treatment plants, electricity power plants, hospitals, schools and housing construction, roads, airports, bridges and port construction.97In Baghdad, most of the construction consists of rebuilding the physical infrastructure and housing needs, as well as the manufacture of construction materials. However, there are also numerous projects aimed at revitalising other areas, such as hotel complex construction, and leisure and shopping facilities. Housing The Iraqi Investment Commission has prioritised housing development. The Iraqi government estimates a need for 3m housing units, and plans to build, country-wide, over a million housing units over the next 3 years. The National Investment Commission has put together a list of 750 projects requiring $600 billion.98 Plans such as N. Ashkouri’s Baghdad Renaissance Plan and the Sinbad Hotel and conference centre are under way. In December 2010, the construction of 75,000 housing units in Sadr City to accommodate 600,000 people in Baghdad’s slum area, was awarded to a Turkish consortium. The project costs $11.3 billion and will take four 96US Commercial Service “The Iraqi Market for Construction Equipment,” March 2005. World Bulletin “Turkey’s Construction Sector Focus on Iraq Market,” 5th July 2010. 98Iraq Business News “Iraq’s Building Boom,” 16 July 2010. 97 149 Provincial Profile – Baghdad years to complete, and will include schools and mosques as well as housing.99 In May 2010, the Iraqi Investment Commission awarded 8 investment projects. Among these was the Al Rashid residential complex project, awarded to an UAE company at a cost of more than $20 billion - one of the largest investment projects in its history (see below).100 Another project was a $238 million housing project including 1824 units at the Muthanna Airport. The total number of investment licenses issued by the Commission has reached 51 to date. Baghdad Municipality announced in September 2010, that it would build three major housing projects in the capital’s outskirts for low-income families. A UAE construction firm was awarded the first project, 65,000 housing units, located at the once sprawling al-Rashid military camp. The complex will include a medical centre and sports facilities. The plot for the second project is located close to Sadr City, and will involve 75,000 housing units. The third project, 35,000 housing units, will be located close to Ghazaliya neighbourhood. The remaining 220,000 housing units will be located in the areas outside Baghdad. The construction industry in Baghdad is expected to employ tens of thousands of people.101 Table: Main housing and hospitality projects in Baghdad today: Name of project Baghdad Gate Developer Sector Amwaj company Housing Al Rihab Iraq Kan Company Ha’fai Street housing project Rafaideen Tourist Park Baghdad Center for Modern Marketing Baghdad Land belongs to: Ministry of Finance Value Location Description $238m Al Muthanna airport Housing Ministry of Finance $229m Shamaaya and Garaa Abdullah al Jaboori company Housing Baghdad Governorate $36m Al Rafaideen Resort Company Saqr al Sharq Company Tourism Baghdad Governorate $150m Ha’fai street, central Baghdad Al Zawra Park Development of a mall, theatre, park, 25 storey 5 star hotel, sports centre, offices building, housing towers of 15, 12 and 8 floors on an area of 450,000 sum 5000 housing units, mall, 4 star hotel, sports club, 4 schools and health centre. 192 apartment units and commercial space Commerce Ministry of Tourism $21m Baghdad Media and Baghdad $128m Al Dorah, close to al Rasheed market Baghdad 5 star hotel of 26 floors and 550 rooms. Construction of a modern integrated shopping complex and warehouses 5 star hotel, and Iraq Business News, Hurriyet Daily News, Bloomberg, 13 December 2010. Arabian Business Com “Baghdad,” 8th May 2010. 101 Azzaman, 6 September 2010. 99 100 150 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Media City Al Ataata Housing project Al Musatafa Housing Project Al Rafah Housing Project media city company Iraqi Taameer House Company Al Wajih Iraqi Company Turkish Eshin Group Company hospitality Governorate studio space for media organisations 3 sets of 21 floor housing blocks Housing Private land $30m Al Waazeirya Housing Baghdad Governorate $35m Al Baladiat/ Bazaiz 420 housing units Housing Baghdad Governorate $100 Al Baldiat 740 apartment units with mall Source: Baghdad Investment Commission, 2010. The scale of development and prospects for the construction materials sector in Baghdad can be seen through the example of French company Lafarge, who bought two Iraqi cement plants. Lafarge now sells almost half its 5 million ton annual output in Iraq to construction companies in the Baghdad area alone. Lafarge estimates construction will increase by 15% in 2011, and is considering buying up derelict state-owned plants, as local construction materials production will be unable to keep pace with the demand. Construction materials In addition to the state-led, huge social housing projects, the local private sector is also growing. Whereas formerly only officials could afford to buy houses, now it is possible for normal wage-earners to buy land and build houses. A reduction in sectarian violence, and the price of oil, combined with cheap imports from Iran, Pakistan, and other countries have brought construction materials prices down. A tonne of reinforced steel that sold for $1,270 in 2008 now costs $720, a three-tonne truckload of sand priced at $508 now costs $381 and a tonne of cement has fallen from $200 to $150. There are now more goods available to Iraqis that weren’t previously available. Items such as Jacuzzis were previously unheard of, and Iraqi consumers are reportedly dazzled by the range of decorative and ceramic tiles now on offer.102 The demand for these goods reveals a huge opportunity for the construction materials sector. Current local cement supplies are not enough to cover a quarter of construction needs, and Iraq is importing cement from countries such as Pakistan and Turkey to meet demands. This applies to materials right across the sector, including steel reinforcement rods, wooden doors, tiles, bricks, stones, etc. The World Bulleting states, “Considering the rise in reconstruction, maintenance and construction projects, and [that the] amount of the required investment is estimated to be around $100 billion, the market on construction materials, mainly cement, is envisaged to be dynamic in the coming years.” 103 102Iraq 103 Business News “Iraq’s Building Boom,” 16 July 2010. World Bulletin “Turkey’s Construction Sector Focus on Iraq Market,” 5th July 2010. 151 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Hospitality Despite continued insecurity, Iraq’s hospitality sector is regaining strength and the NIC is predicting $145bn in investment in the sector over the next 5 years 104. Baghdad is not only attractive for the estimated 3 million pilgrims each year who visit its religious such as al Kadimiyan shrine, but also for corporate businessmen.105A renewed interest in 2009 and 2010 from Gulf Investors was matched with a 58% rise in business tourism in 2009. Pilgrims and business people are attracted to Baghdad in growing numbers and Emirates Business reports, “at present [Baghdad] can barely offer 2,000 branded fourand five-star hotel rooms, which is very low supply for a city” (al Zawya website, 2010). USAID’s report on the tourism industry (2007) suggests that the improvement of hospitality infrastructure in Baghdad is an opportunity in the short-term to jumpstart the industry and to shorten the time for the country to become competitive in the region. The years 2009 and 2010 have seen great progress in the development of the tourism industry in Iraq, particularly through investment in the hospitality sector (see ‘Tourism’ below)106. An important amendment in the National Investment Law (2009) allowing foreign ownership of land, is expected to result in an increase in investment and international hospitality clientele.107 700 hotels with major brand names such as Rotana, Millennium and Copthorne are expected to open their doors by 2014. Baghdad’s tourist and commercial industry, which slowed down for a while due to security issues, is again growing in strength. In 2005, 850,301 guests stayed in 347 hotels with a mean average occupancy of 22%. Najaf and Karbala have experienced a rise in religious tourism since 2003, and Basra has received more tourism as a result of its commercial location. In 2009, the five-storey Qasr El- Kadhimia hotel opened in the holy city of al-Kadhima. International travel agencies (UAE’s Sharaf Travel and France’s Terre Entière) established themselves in Iraq in 2010, and Safir Hotels opened a 340 room hotel in Karbala. Rotana is opening a 250-room 5 star hotel inside the Green Zone in Baghdad in 2012, in partnership with Summit Hotel Ltd. The UAE-based Rotana Hotel, along with Mariott and Kempinsky are just some of the other high profile brands that have signed up or are in the process of expanding their properties into Iraq. Some of these projects are huge, an example being the ‘Baghdad Gate’ project. In 2008, officials launched an investment opportunity to develop the Jazirat A’aras island into a five-star resort, at an estimated cost of $2.5 to 4.5 billion in a private-public sector partnership agreement. The Baghdad Gate residential and commercial project, 104Emirates Business, 24 January 2010. National Investment Commission website, retrieved, 7 February 2011. 106 Emirates Business “Iraq’s Hospitality Sector Seeks $145bn Investment,” 24th July 2010. 107 Emirates Business “Iraq’s Hospitality Sector Seeks $145bn Investment,” 24th July 2010. 105 152 Provincial Profile – Baghdad announced in 2010, not only addresses the urgent need for new residential units in Baghdad but also acts as a real symbol of progress in the war torn city, and is of a scale that Baghdad has not seen in decades. The Tourism Board is seeking investors to develop a "romantic" island on the River Tigris in Baghdad that was once a popular honeymoon spot for newlywed Iraqis. The project would include a six-star hotel, spa, an 18-hole golf course and a country club. 108 The Tourist Industry The tourist industry has great potential for supporting and strengthening the national economy. UNESCO, which has assisted in the preservation of Iraq’s heritage, considers that ‘cultural and religious tourism’ could become Iraq’s second largest industry after oil. Currently, the hotels and restaurants cater mainly to the local population. However, given that religious tourism in Saudi Arabia has reached as much as 12 % of GDP and in Lebanon 10% of GDP, this industry in Iraq has great potential for making a significant contribution to GDP. The National Development Strategy 2010-2014 also emphasises the role of tourism and its impact on other tourism-related industries and services. Most of the tourism sector is in the hands of the private sector, whereas the development (planning, supervision, control and follow-up) of the sector is in the hands of the state, which is in charge, for example, of reviving heritage sites, historical and archaeological areas. There is considerable overlap between the public institutions in charge of developing the industry: the Ministry of Culture, the State Department for Tourism and Archaeological Affairs, and the Department of Tourism, in addition to the authorities of councils and provinces and the Ministry of Culture when it comes to archaeological and cultural activities.109 The National Development Strategy 2010-2014 set out a number of objectives to create a competitive tourist industry in Iraq, increasing its contribution in the GDP. The Strategy envisions a leading role by the private sector in managing and operating archaeological and cultural premises, increased allocations by the state for fundamental services, and encouraging foreign investment and partnerships between foreign and domestic private investors. Tourism in Baghdad takes place mainly at religious sites visited by Shia pilgrims in Kadhamiya, a neighbourhood in Baghdad where the toms of Imm Musa al Kadim and Imam Muhammad al Taqi are located, the seventh and ninth imams, respectively. Baghdad also has several famous tombs; the most famous being the tomb of eightcentury Sunni scholar and jurist Abu Hanifa. This is traditionally a pilgrimage site for 108 109 Baghdad Governate Website “Baghdad Investment: Creating (1824) Housing Units in Baghdad,” 2010. National Development Plan 2010-2014. 153 Provincial Profile – Baghdad people from Turkey, the Balkans, Iran, and the Indian sub-continent. The governorate of Baghdad is also well-located in terms of other tourist attractions in the country. The holy city of Samarra is located north of Baghdad, in Salahad-din governorate. Baghdad also borders Baylon, which is identified as a tourist centre, and is close to Najaf and Karbala, where there is significant potential for Muslim, Christian and Jewish pilgrimages. Tijara’s more recent market assessment report of SMEs in Baghdad (December 2009) identified tourism, hotel and restaurant businesses (TH&R) as special sub-sectors with potential to improve production and employment. To do this the Baghdad Provincial Development Strategy 2008 advised increasing financial allocation for the sector, increasing the role of service providers, promoting investment in the sector and improving the security situation. Additionally, in order to revamp the industry the BPDS proposed the establishment of tourism facilities to international standards, a comprehensive conservation plan for religious, tourist and archaeological sites, the establishment of specialised museums, and river tourism. USAID’s report on the tourism industry (2007) calls for the Tourism Board to engage in a plan to conduct effective marketing and branding of the country, as well as the creation of action plans for the Ministry of Tourism and increased cooperation with the SMEs in the sector. It also calls for securing support from UNESCO and the World Monuments Fund for preservation and conservation of the National Museum and the Dar al-Wali building in Baghdad. It also suggests tapping into the Aga Khan Foundation, the Getty Conservation Institute, and the Ford Foundation in order to secure technical expertise, management and funding of heritage, religious and archaeological sites. Recent Developments in the Tourism Industry World Travel Market and Euromonitor International released a report 2010 which put Iraq back on the tourist map. It reported that Iraq will become the new tourism hotspot in coming years. Increasing commercial airline connections with Baghdad, Basra, and Erbil and renewed interest in the hospitality sector by major investors are a clear indicator of new developments in the tourist industry. In 2009, Iraq attended the World Travel Market, which repositioned Iraq on the world tourism market. In 2009, 1.3 million tourists visited Iraq, most were pilgrims from Iran. 2010 was a turning point for Iraq’s tourism industry, as the country received 22 groups coming for historical tourism and visiting archaeological sites. These groups were from Spain, the UK and Taiwan. As a result, there has been optimism both from the public and the private regarding the revival of the tourist industry. The Iraqi Tourism Board has set out to reconstruct hotels. Anglo Arab Insurance Brokers have also launched insurance services for visitors to in preparation for the expected boom in tourism in Iraq. 154 Provincial Profile – Baghdad This renewed investment has been matched by international events – such as the Summit of Arabic Presidents (March 2011) in Baghdad. The private sector has been spearheading the revival of the industry, and has received support from the GOI. Obtaining a visa has also become considerably quicker (2 days), if it is applied through travel agencies.110 Manufacturing An article in BusinessWeek, in April 2010, illustrated both the demand for consumer goods and the fact that Iraq is importing most of these goods: “Shops on Saadoun and Karrada Streets are filled with flat-screen TVs, computers, and clothing from China, Turkey, Iran, and Korea. Pedestrians have to step around the Turkish and Iranian refrigerators and stoves piled outside.”111 It also demonstrated the great opportunities opening up for the Iraqi manufacturing sector. But in order to become competitive, argues the USAID Tijara report, Iraqi light manufacturers need to “professionalise”; that is they need to improve management skills, regulation, and accounting practices. Oil Refining and Extracting Industry Oil refining and extracting industries are highly active in Baghdad. Iraq’s largest proven oil fields lie in East Baghdad (18 billion barrels). Clustered in or near the city are many of Iraq’s industries as well as manufacturers. The Provincial Development Strategy, 2008-2012, included: establishing strategic industrial programmes, especially heavy equipment and electronic projects, according to international standards. rehabilitating plants and modernising production lines, providing reliable energy sources, facilitating investment procedures, improving marketing methods, imposing fees and taxes on imported goods, developing capabilities of the work force, enforcing quality controls, improving workers’ living condition and improving the security situation in Baghdad. Baghdad governorate has attracted much investment in industrial projects and activities. For example, in February 2011, BIC announced that two factories will be established by a Turkish company to produce gypsum and Pepsi. 64 donums will be 110 eTN ‘Iraq Tourism, Slowly but Surely,’ 16 November 2010. “Iraq's Economy Wakes Up," 22nd April 2010. 111Businessweek, 155 Provincial Profile – Baghdad used for the factory and a residential compound for the engineers who will work on the project. Below are a number of investment opportunities that have been advertised. Others are still under preparation, such as the Baghdad Factory for Furniture. Given its proximity to a large consumer market, and institutional and historical links to Iraq’s industrial development, a large portion of the country’s State Owned Enterprises are based in and close to the city of Baghdad. These include companies in the engineering, construction, chemical, food and pharmaceutical, textile and geological services sectors, all under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. VI. Rehabilitation of SOEs – Investment opportunities The Ministry of Industry and Minerals presents many opportunities for investment in SOEs. A selection of these is listed below. Al Zawraa State Company Al Zawraa was one of the largest industrial state companies in Iraq. Founded in 1988, it belonged to the Ministry of Military Industries. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, $7m, in the short term, and $20m, in the medium term, are required to rehabilitate the only State Company which produces electric panels, low and medium voltage systems, and electric units. The short-term plan includes the replacement of several machines in all of its five plants, which are located in al Zaafaraniya industrial complex in Baghdad. In the medium term, investment funds are required to comprehensively rehabilitate and upgrade the plant’s machines, including installing new production lines. Its production and capacity are tabulated below: Table: Design and Capacity of the Company’s five plants: Plant 1 Product Annual Plate Capacity (Units) Low Voltage 850 Systems 2 Medium Voltage 120 Systems 3 Power Supply and 810 Battery Chargers 4 Electronic Units 11620 5 Control System for 36 CNC machines Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. Actual Capacity 2008 (Units) 1040 Target Capacity after rehabilitation (both short and medium term) 187 220 1458 225 21302 46 33 900 - 156 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Al Tahady State Company Established in 1993, Al Tahady is a specialised State Company focused on the production of electromagnetic and high voltage systems. Its existing and expected future customers include electrical power distribution companies, large industrial complexes, including cement, refinery and power stations. Located close to the Baghdad Cement Factory in al Zaafaraniya, it has four plants. In 2008, its production lines saw 1200 voltage transformer units, 4 H.V and M.V motors, 8 electrostatic precipitants for cement plants and 5 electric lifts manufactured. Baghdad and Missan Plastic Plants The Baghdad factory is located in S’ida Village. The factories produce PVC pipes and plastic tiles. Table: Plastic Plants in Baghdad Region Established Manpower Estimated Cost of rehabilitation Payback period Annual Profit Baghdad Plant 1976 250 $2 million 8.5 months $2.5 million Missan Plant 1980 250 $2 million 1 year $2 million State Company for Electrical Industries Established in 1965, the State Company based in al Wazeria has six assembly plants producing air-conditioning units, motors, water pumps, lamps and lighting fittings. However, in comparison to international standards, its existing production capacity is minimal: Plant Number 1 2 3 Plant Name Product Motors Air cooler motor Ceiling fan Air conditioning motor Generator Water Cooler (1+3 taps) Window and split type air conditioner Package air conditioner Fluorescent luminar Air conditioning units Lighting fittings Plate design capacity (units) 250,000 95,000 250,000 20,000 KVA 2250 Capacity 2008 (units) 8855 3378 470 259 15,000 20,000 2000 1113 889 41 32,512 Distribution panel and 157 Provincial Profile – Baghdad 4 5 Water pumps High voltage motor and transformers 6 Lamps circuits Air cooler water pumps Industrial Motors High Voltage motor G.S Lamps Fluorescent Lamps Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. 37,000 3 15,000,000 1,735,000 5000 The Ministry of Industry and Minerals has a short-term plan to rehabilitate various production lines including street lighting units, single phase motors and fan units production lines. This is expected to be in the range of $10m. Further production lines are projected to assemble energy saving lamps and generator units, which is expected to be in the range of $20m. State Company for Heavy Engineering Equipment The three plants established respectively in 1963, 1978, and 2003, produce heavy industrial equipment, pressure vessels, storage tanks and steam boilers. Based in Baghdad’s al Doura Refinery Complex, a short term plan amounting to some $20m in investment funds is required to rehabilitate transportation and handling equipment, supply new machines and equipment to the Company, and increase capacity to manufacture storage tanks, and tube boilers up to 15 tons per hour. It is connected to a 3MW substation attached to the refinery complex, as well as access to 10 tons per month of Liquid Natural Gas. Markets for its products include the Ministry of Oil, Ministry of Electricity and the State Companies in the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. Al Faris State Company As one of the largest engineering companies in the country, al Faris has three plants in the Khan Dhary area of West Baghdad, which was established in 1988 to manufacture heavy equipment and water treatment units and steel structures. Table: Al Faris State Company Plant Capacity Plant Water treatment units and steel structure Product item 1) Water treatment units with different capacity International standard bearer DIN WHO CODE Plate Design Capacity (Units) 2500 2008 production (Units) Target after rehabilitation (Units) 855 2500 158 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Heavy engineering equipment 2) Steel structure 1) Vertical and horizontal tanks 2) Pressure vessels 3) Boilers 4) Heat exchangers 5) Cement furnaces - ASME CODE API CODE TEMA CODE ASTM CODE Single sheet production Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. 6000 - 1100 - 6000 - - Production plants are geared toward the manufacture of water purification units, which require both vertical and horizontal water tanks. Existing demand for its products comprise requests from Amanat Baghdad, Ministry of Housing and Construction, Ministry of Electricity and the Ministry of Municipalities. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals expects $11.5m would be sufficient to rehabilitate the plants to reach plate capacity. The production of waste treatment units is also expected to go on-line with these funds. Al Ezz State Company The relatively small State Company established in 1991 in al Taji has three plants to produce solar energy systems for street lighting, switches, surveillance systems and LCD TV units. Given the increasing interest in alternative energy, including the potential to install solar energy units within Iraqi households, the State Company could increasingly expand production with some foreign investor support. This could significantly expand production from its 2008 level, which saw 277 street lighting units produced and only 3 solar energy systems for domestic use. Nassr State Company for Mechanical Industries The four plants that make up the State Company are based in al Taji, 35km North of Baghdad. Established in 1982, three of the four plants are operating today, albeit below plate capacity. Table: Nassr Plant Capacity Plant Product Design capacity 2008 Production Target capacity after rehabilitation (annual) Investment required 159 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Central tool room plant (C.T.R.P) Moulds 538,800 Jigs and machine/ fixtures hr Spare parts Special Steel Grinding 16087 tons Foundry Liner plate Heat resistant steel casting Other castings Steel Structure Various Steel 61376 Plant structures Partitions Caravan and finishing work Towers Sandwich panels Single sheets Fluid cisterns Electrical poles Mechanical Various 250,000 Plant machine machine parts /hr Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. 239,300 500,000 $20m 153 tons 10000 tons $15m 3908 40,000 $11.5 - 150,000 machine /hr $10m The investment required over the short-term, amounts to $56.5m, which should, according to MIM, enable the State Company to reach existing design capacity. Its expected customers are expected to be MIM’s State Companies as well as the Ministry of Electricity. All its products today are sold under agreements with state Ministries. Al Sumood State Company for Steel Industries As one of the largest Ministry and Minerals engineering companies, al Sumood, located in al Taji, has six plants, four of which are operational today. The Ministry requests an investment of $75m to rehabilitate existing plants and a further $100m to improve capacity over the medium term. Its existing plants require rehabilitating the existing 150 MW power station that it has access to: Table: Al Sumood Plant Capacity Plant Product Plate Capacity/annual Heavy Casting Foundry Electrodes 8,000 tons Actual Capacity 2008 - Target capacity after rehabilitation - 160 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Free Forging Closed Die Forging Hot dip Galvanisation Bridge and Crane Forging Forging 0.5-120Kgs 9,000 tons 279,000 7,300 150,000 Galvanised Steel 336,000 M² 100,000 150,000 598.107 1000 10,000 Bridge Crane 1,000 pieces Lighting 10,000 pieces Poles Steel Structure Steel 3,528 tons Structure and Towers Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. - 989.136 tons - 6,000 tons Ibn al Waleed State Company The Company’s four plants are all operational and are located within the province of Baghdad. Its Nahda plant assembled a meagre 17 caravans in 2008, its main product. Its other plants in Al Adhemiya, al Khadra and Abu Ghareeb have performed abysmally with single or double digit production of doors, windows and fuel and water tanks. Al Mansour State Company Established in 1975, eight plants in al Taji and al Khadmiyah produce de-ionised drinking water, gas cylinders and industrial and medical gases, and distilled water. These products are sold to the Ministry of Health, Ministry of Industry and Minerals, and the private sector. In 2008, it produced 542,264 litres of 02, 486 Litres of N2, 700 litres of H2, 2159 litres of D.I water and 62,526 of litres of distilled water. The factory’s solar cell production line is non-operational and will require $10m to renew. State Company for leather The rehabilitation of the tannery, located in Baghdad’s Al Zaafarania district, will produce cow, buffalo, sheep and goat skin, as well as leather and garments. The factory was established in 1945 by a Turkish Company. Trained labour is available (1,417 workers). The plant requires rehabilitation and modernisation. Demand for the products is high in the local market, as quality is superior to other factories (Al Karada State Company in Baghdad). There are also opportunities for exporting the product. The rehabilitation is expected at $7.705 million, with a payback period of 5.8 years and a break-even point of 74%. Annual profit is estimated at $586,000. Al Fedaa State Company According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, al Fedaa is the only company producing car shock absorbers, hydraulic and pneumatic systems in the country. In 161 Provincial Profile – Baghdad 2008, its production of shock absorbers was 15,000 pieces, and hydraulic and pneumatic units respectively 45 and 38 pieces. Investment will rehabilitate the Company’s hydraulic systems’ work shop as well as replace dilapidated equipment. State Company for Mining Industries and Aquatic Insulation Established in 1992, its four plants started operations in 1994 and mainly serve the Ministry of Oil, Ministry of Housing and Construction and the private sector. Its factories include Baghdad Constructional Products, Thermal Mining factory, Thaghar factory in al Basra and al Rimah factory in al Mosul. In Baghdad’s al Taji district, it produces bitumen, primer, concrete admixture, flan coat, polymer membrane and hot mastic. Its production lines in al Basra and al Mosul were completely damaged during 2003. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals wants to reactivate its plants to install a new production line to produce asphalt, primer and polymer membrane at a cost of $2.2m. Other recommended rehabilitation programs for the Company include installing new production lines for calcium carbide, ferrosilicon, magnesium oxide, iron oxide pigment and bentonite. This is expected to cost $67m in total across all four plants. Ibn al Sina State Company As one of the largest State Companies in Baghdad, Ibn al Sina was established as a research centre in 1992. In 1997, its production capacity was installed and in 2008 it produced 300m³ of liquid nitrogen, 31 tons of phosphate salts, 10.75 tons of sulphur compounds and 4.3 tons of silicones. Its water additives plant is currently in the process of construction. Its main customers include the Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of oil, Ministry of Electricity, Fertilizer companies and the Ministry of Industry and Minerals’ State Companies. Expand production of liquid nitrogen and gas, which will see a capacity increase to 4,000 tons annually Rehabilitate other production lines to achieve plate capacity over the shortterm. Increase of o² production to 1000m³ per year Rehabilitate the plant to produce other chemicals Intravenous Project (I.V. fluids) $5m $5m $18m $3m $15m That al Sawary State Company for Chemical Industries Also based in al Taji district of Baghdad, are the five plants under the State Company for Chemical Industries which produced, in 2008, the following products: Novolac Resin and Phenol (9.175 tons), Alkyd resin (75.545 tons), Inks (3.02 tons), colour concentrations (23.771 tons) and fibre glass (27.38 tons). Existing utilities include access to natural gas (7200 M³ per year) and a 20,000 m³ water treatment plant. $10m 162 Provincial Profile – Baghdad is requested over the short term to achieve a production target of 5,000 tons of products, and $20m over the medium term to buy new machinery to increase capacity to 10,000 tons per year. State Company for Vegetable Oil Industries Since the country’s entire vegetable oil intake is imported, a significant opportunity lies for investors to either open new Greenfield plants or rehabilitate existing Government plants to cater for the market. The State Company established in 1968 saw production at its six plants start in 1970. It currently produces an array of household consumption items, including vegetable oils. Table: State Companies for Vegetable Oil Production Capacity Plant Product Al Rasheed Vegetable Fat Liquid Oil Toilet Soap Laundry Soap Detergent Powder Active Material Vegetable fat Toilet Soap Detergent powder Liquid Detergent Shampoo Tooth paste Shaving Cream Cosmetic Bleach Bay soap Toilet Soap Bleach Reem Shampoo Ballor Laundry Al Mammon Al Amen Design Capacity (tons) 65,600 2008 Production Capacity (tons) 12,000 5,500 8,500 196 166 13,000 2,376 4607.2 - - Target after rehabilitation (tons) 524,480 9,600 4,400 6,800 10,400 1.980 13,000 - 10,400 5,500 21,900 183 5,073 4,400 17,520 8,500 301 6,800 1,600 850 850 32 20.3 35.2 1,280 480 680 - 0.5 57 802.4 110 110 24 - 18 7,700 8,500 6,160 - 6,800 163 Provincial Profile – Baghdad Al Moutsam (al Missan province plant) Vegetable 31,320 Fat Bay Soap 5,500 Detergent 8,300 powder Al Faraby Printing Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2010. 2,994 25,056 196 313 4,400 6,640 365,239 - Over the short-term, The Ministry of Industry and Minerals expects to see $16m to rehabilitate Al Rashid factory, $35m for al Mammon factory, $11m for al Amen factory, $15m for al Moutasam factory and $36m for al Mansour factory to increase capacity. State Company for Dairy Products – Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant The Abu Ghraib Dairy Factory is the largest plant of four belonging to the State Company of Dairy Products. It produces about 50% of the Company's total plate capacity of 34,680 tonnes per annum. It started production in 1976. It was built by AlfaLaval (France), but was originally founded by UNICEF in 1958. Production lines include milk reception, sterilized and flavoured milk lines Butter production, yoghurt production, soft and processed cheese and cream. Table: Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant: product lines and capacity Production Line Sterilised/flavoured milk line in HDPE bottles Cream Butter Soft cheese Processed cheese Yoghurt Design Capacity Target Capacity (tonnes) 23,760 10 tonnes/hour 1,810 540 3 tonnes/hour 500kg/hour 3,000 kg/day 9,000 kg/day 3 tonnes/hour 5,860 2,710 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2008. The infrastructure of the plant is adequate for expansion, including good access to local roads leading to central Baghdad. It is also close to large agricultural areas in Abu Ghraib and neighbouring districts where raw milk is collected. The plant gets clean water from a pipe connected to the Abu Ghraib water treatment plant. The plant is 164 Provincial Profile – Baghdad powered from two sources – the national grid (2 feeders with 2MW/11kV capacity) and 3 generator units. Both sources will require rehabilitation and repair work to resume operations. The plant has two steam boilers. Investors will rehabilitate the plant to reach plate capacity by installing new machines and technology, and introducing international best practices in the production process. The investor will fund the project fully, operate and manage the plant in return for a share of the total production of the plant. Submissions for the investment opportunity are made directly to the MIM. Table: Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant Plant site Built up space Staff Total employee salary Total investment required Rehabilitation time 634,000 m2 317,000 m2 1372 people ID 3.12 billion/year $19.8 million 1.5-2 years Key investor privileges include exemption from custom duties and other taxes on imported machinery and equipment needed for the rehabilitation and development of the plant. The investment is fully insured and guaranteed under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank Group. Sources of competitive advantage: Opportunity to invest in an existing company currently producing 50% of its plate capacity. Unfulfilled and growing demand for dairy based products. Weak domestic competition Availability of local raw materials in the Abu Ghraib district and adjacent areas. Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring countries. State Company for Dairy Products - Abu Ghraib Baby Milk Plant The plant was originally designed to produce baby milk formula for infants up to six months of age, but currently it also has produced powdered milk. The Public Distribution System (PDS) will undergo significant reform over the coming years, but the GOI will continue to procure infant formula for its infant population (currently served by imported products). This implies a significant opportunity for a long-term contract to directly supply the PDS from the factor’s output. Excess output would then be sold to the private sector. 165 Provincial Profile – Baghdad The plant has been idle since 1999. Before that, annual production of powdered milk was 100 tonnes in 1998, and 360 tonnes in 1997 and 1999. It was established in 1975 with the technical assistance of Sodetag (France). It suffers from years of underinvestment, lack of modern machinery and regular maintenance of existing machinery, which is over more than 28 years old. Table: Abu Ghraib Baby Milk Plant Original design capacity Redesigned capacity Target production capacity Plant site Built up space Staff Total employee salary Total investment required Rehabilitation time Duration of agreement 12,000 tonnes/year 3,000 tonnes/year 12,000 - 15,000 tonnes/year infant and baby milk formula 60,000 m2 10,000 m2 160 people ID 420 million/year $28 million 1 year minimum Up to 15 years The same investor privileges apply as the Abu Ghraib Dairy Factory (above). The investment proposal will allow the private company to manage the plant for up to 15 years. Returns are more than likely to be profitable due to Iraq’s spectacular population growth (40 million in 2025). Sources of competitive advantage include: The opportunity to invest in an existing company currently producing 50% of its plate capacity Unfulfilled and growing demand for milk-based products Weak domestic competition Availability of local raw materials in the Abu Ghraib district and adjacent areas Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring provinces 166 Provincial Profile - Irbil Provincial Profile: Irbil Overview The area of Iraq governed by the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) comprises three northern governorates: Irbil, Duhok and Sulaimaniya. These provinces are located on 40,643 square kilometres, bordering Syria in the west, Turkey to the north and Iran to the East, where the fertile plains meet the Zagros Mountains. The rivers Tigris, Upper Zab and Lower Zab run through Irbil. Iraq’s constitution recognises the KRG, the KNA (Kurdish National Assembly) and the Peshmerga guard (The Kurdish security forces) as legitimate regional entities. The KRG consists of several political parties but is mainly a coalition of two parties, the Kurdish Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. As stipulated in Iraq’s federal constitution, the KNA has significant power to debate and legislate policies in security, environment, agriculture, trade, social services, natural resources, industry, investment, transportation and tourism. The main pieces of legislation that have boosted the economic situation in the region are the Investment Law and the Law for Hydrocarbons. These were enforced in 2006 and provide incentives for foreign investors such as the possibility to own land, up to 10-year tax holidays and repatriation of profits. In recent years, the KRG has been actively promoting investment through trade missions and organising conferences, which has been successful in creating Northern Iraq as an entry point into the country. Irbil’s international airport can handle 46 commercial flights a week with a total of 290,000 visitors yearly. The expansion of al Sulaimaniyah Airport will also bring additional visitors with direct flights from Sweden, Turkey, and the Gulf. Opportunities are found in tourism, construction and housing, and agriculture sectors. The KRG brands the region a safe gateway for business to start operation in Iraq. In fact many bilateral and international trade delegations have visited Irbil to meet with Iraqi counterparts. The surge of visitors to the KRG for business and pleasure has created demand for hotels and hospitality services. Besides hotel, the construction sector has experienced rising demand for housing from Iraqis moving to the Kurdistan region. On the other hand, the fertile agricultural land in the KRG has not seen much pesticides and chemicals, thus it is ideal for organic farming. The temperate climate combined with high demand of organic products will put the KRG in a good position for export of organic crops. 1. Demographics and land 167 Provincial Profile - Irbil Irbil’s population is about 1,344,639 people with equal distribution of gender.112 The majority of the KRG area's inhabitants are urban dwellers. There are 300,719 households with an average of five members per household.113 Of 885,633 people aged over 14 years in the Irbil Governorate, 76% of males and 16% of females are economically active. Average salary is $450 in the government sector and $400 in the private sector. The average salary of a skilled labourer is $800 in both private and government sectors, while the average for an unskilled labourer range between $250-$300. Just 6% of Irbil’s labour force works in agriculture, while unemployment in rural areas is 24%, rising to 65% among rural women. Currently, the main employers in this region are the local security forces and those employed in public administration.114 There are three different land tenures in the KRG zone: 1) private ownership, in which the landowner has the right to buy and sell; 2) land which is leased from the government on a long-term basis; and 3) inherited land - this land has passed from generation to generation but usually results in an unmanageable number of owners. 115 2. Irbil Investment Commission The Board of Investment (BoI) in Kurdistan liaises with relevant governmental bodies and other professional institutions. Their vision is to promote domestic and foreign investment in order to achieve economic growth. The board aims to create opportunities for business, trade and investment by providing transparent information and support. Its mission is to rebuild Iraq through the Kurdistan region. The supreme council includes nine members with the Prime Minister Barham Salih acting as President and Azad Barwary as Vice President. The Board of Investment operates under four different departments; Department of Legal, Administrative and Official Affairs, Department of Promotion, Assessment and Project Licensing, Department of Studies and Information, Department of Industrial Cities and Zones. The aims and objectives of the BoI are to welcome all nationalities to invest in the Kurdistan region and to be a part of its development. They promote the Region as “The Other Iraq” or as “The safer part of Iraq”. They have helped to develop investment policies and laws that are in favour of the investor as it allows foreign investors to own 100% of their investment projects and the land they are on. 112 Kurdistan Regional Government, May 2010. Strategic Plan for Development and Improvement, Irbil Province, 2010. 114Provincial Socio-economic Survey – Irbil, 2010. 115 KRG, 2009. 113 168 Provincial Profile - Irbil According to the Irbil-based commission, there has been a relatively wide interest by investors across a number of sectors. The majority of investment interest has been in the region’s booming housing market and the development of social housing projects. Table 9: Number of Projects by sector in Irbil Agricult Art ure 13 1 Banks 2 Commu Educati Housin Industr Touris Health Service Sports Trading nication on g y m 2 5 13 44 22 2 0 24 15 Source: Board of Investment, 2010. The graph presents the number of Licensed Projects by sector in Irbil (2010). The total number of projects is 143. The total number of projects for all three provinces, Duhok, Sulaimaniya, and Irbil was 258; 36.89% of these investments took place in Irbil. Compared to its two other KRG neighbours, Irbil had the largest share of investment since 2006. In 2009, it registered $2.774 billion investment, an increase from 2008 but slightly lower than 2007. Due to investor interest in the country’s southern region, investment has significantly decreased, with only $799 million being committed to Irbil in 2010. Table 10: Total investment since 2006 by KRG province 169 Provincial Profile - Irbil Source: Board of Investment, 2010. There were 259 investment projects during the past five years with a total value of $14 billion. Of this total, $4 billion was invested by non-Iraqis. 222 projects were led by Iraqis and only 20 projects were funded by foreign businesses. There were 17 joint venture projects between Iraqis and foreign investors. The largest foreign investor in joint projects with Iraqis to date has been the USA, with $300 million worth of investment projects in the KRG region. Of the total 1,217 foreign companies working in 2009 in the KRG, 60% were Turkish, who mostly work in the construction industry. 3. Business Environment The political situation in Kurdistan today is more stable than it has been for decades. This has been due to the formation of the KRG, which has effectively devolved power to the region. This has also enabled the region to have its own approach to attracting private sector investment. The region is more or less a tax free zone, as any profit generated locally can be transferred abroad. It also allows foreign investors to own land and 100% of the project capital, as stipulated in the Kurdistan Investment Law. Other main advantages of the Investment law include a 10 year tax holiday and exemption from customs and duties for a period of 5 years. Recently, there has been an influx of consulates opening branches in Irbil. There are currently 18 consulates in the region, with new additions in 2010 including Sweden, Denmark, Egypt, France, and the United Kingdom. The UK consulate plans to issue 2year visas to Kurdistan businessmen in order to facilitate business between the KRG and the UK, bearing in mind there are 22 Irbil-based British companies. 170 Provincial Profile - Irbil Germany in particular has an active presence in Irbil. The German School opened its doors in Irbil in September 2010, and in May 2010, Germany’s Deputy Minister for Trade and Investment opened Germany’s Liaison Office for Industry and Commerce in Irbil, in order to increase and ease trade between the KRG and Germany. Since 2003, Germany has spent around €400 million in Iraq, supporting political, economic and social reconstruction. Electricity is widely available in the KRG, which is another reason companies like to use the KRG as a gateway to start operation. 4. Sectors and opportunities in Erbil 4.1. Education There are a total of 1,334 primary schools and 213 secondary schools in Irbil. In the KRG, there are over 2700 primary and secondary schools. There are seven universities in the Kurdistan Region. The three largest are Salahaddin University in Irbil, the University of Sulaimaniya, and the University of Dohuk. They offer studies in various subjects that lead to specialised diplomas, bachelors, masters, and doctorates. Salahaddin University was established in 1968 in the city of Sulaimaniya, and was moved to the city of Irbil in 1981. When the Ba’ath regime withdrew its administration in the aftermath of the Gulf War, in 1992 the Kurdistan Regional Government established the University of Sulaimani and the University of Dohuk. The two more recently established institutions are the University of Koya and Hewler Medical University. The education sector is benefiting from an increasingly international outlook, as four new English-language universities have started teaching exclusively in English. Their specialised programmes prepare students for the business world, thus creating a pool of highly qualified talent ideal for private sector recruitment. These include: The University of Kurdistan, Hewler started its first academic year in September 2006. The American University of Iraq, Sulaimaniya offers an intensive English programme before entering courses such as Business Administration. The BMU Lebanese French University, Irbil (formerly the BMU Business and Management University) was established in 2007 in partnership with the University of Picardie Jules Vernes, Amiens, France. It specialised in bachelors and masters degrees in Business Administration, Tourism, Hospitality, Public Administration, Economics and Information Technology. Cihan University, Irbil: Since 2007, the Cihan University was established to train English-speaking students in economic and social sciences. 171 Provincial Profile - Irbil Table 1: Education Sector Project List Investor Nationality Project Name Project Location USA / Iraqi License No. 26 American University Group Nawzad Yahya Saaid American University of Iraq Sulaimaniya Iraqi 57 Cihan University Tepe Group Turkish 147 Talal Abu Ghazaleh University BMU Lebanese French University Jordanian 189 Sulaimaniye University Campus Talal Abu Ghzala University – Kurdistan Branch New Campus Lebanese French / 241 License Date 09/05/200 7 Capital (%) 235,000,000 Area (Donums) 677.84 Irbil 05/11/200 7 61,000,000 51.30 Irbil 40,000,000 300 Irbil 04/01/200 9 27/7/2009 28,899,745 10 Irbil 20/1/2010 7,082,207 20 Source: Irbil Investment Commission, 2010. 4.2. Health In the KRG zone, there are 22 hospitals, with 18 of these run by the state, and 4 private hospitals.116 The majority of these hospitals are in Irbil. More recently however, there has been an increase in hospital building projects. The most recent project was a US sponsored hospital in Irbil. The five storey emergency hospital has 164 beds. The hospital was initially planned to be built on a site measuring 44 thousand square meters; but currently only 24 thousand square metres have been used. The Minister of Health has stated that the investment law will allow for growth in the private sector, including private clinics and hospitals in order to offer specialized treatment that the public sector is not capable of offering. Incentives include free land among others. The Kurdistan Board of Investment has identified the following needs for health care in Irbil: Table 7: Required Hospitals Orthopaedics, Neuro surgical & Spinal surgery Irbil 400 Beds General Hospital Irbil-Hanjerok 50 Beds General Hospital Irbil-Rawanduz 50 Beds Source: Kurdistan Investment Board (KIB), 2010. 116Provincial socio-economic survey, 2010. 172 Provincial Profile - Irbil Additionally, there is a need for healthcare products, such as swabs (5 tonnes annually), needles (2,500,000) IV fluid and pharmaceuticals. There is currently only one pharmaceutical plant, Awamedica, in Irbil, and as such this opens a wide space for further developments in the industry. 4.3. Agriculture The KRG wishes to increase the role of agriculture in the regional economy and has offered a number of tax benefits to private investors, in line with the region’s own Investment Law. The KRG has encouraged people to move back to their villages and resume farming and KRG has offered bank loans with 2% interest for farmers. Table 4: Size of Agricultural Land in the KRG (acres) Areas of Arable land Forests Rain Fed Grasslands Orchards 1,227,369 62,230 Irrigated 1,368,388 167,406 1,360,379 Agriculture has the potential to regain its role as a major contributor in Iraq’s economy. By 2024, there will be almost 45 million people in Iraq, whose consumption pattern will be similar to that of the Western world. With rising purchasing power, more affluent Iraqis will begin to adopt a protein rich diet, and place more importance on fresh grown foods. Kurdistan’s fertile agricultural land is free from pesticides and chemicals, which provides opportunities for organic production of crop. Abundant fruit and vegetable is available given the temperate climate of the region. Farmers are able to grow two grain harvests of grain each year. The poultry industry is a good investment opportunity. The current climate makes it hard for small family owned businesses to compete with cheaply imported poultry from the United States and Brazil, due to high costs of electricity and technology and the general under-equipment of the farms. However, there are opportunities for integrated production systems that produce fresh poultry. Other opportunities input production of soy bean, biotechnology and food processing of locally grown vegetable and fruit. The Kurdistan Board of Investment has outlined the following needed outputs for agriculture industry: 173 Provincial Profile - Irbil Table 5: Target Agricultural Outputs (Irbil, Sulaimaniyah & Duhok) White flour 20 tons/day Dairy 400,000 tons/year Red meat 200,000 tons/year Poultry Production 98 tons/year Eggs 646,000,000 eggs/year Beekeeping 1200 ton (honey)/year Wheat harvest 500,000 tons/year Vegetable crops 6600,000 tons/year Fruit crops 250,000 tons/year All of the outputs far exceed current outputs and as such offer several openings for investment in the agro-industry. Foreign investors have started to explore opportunities in the sector. The French Minister of Foreign Trade opened the French Agriculture and Environment House in November of 2010, to introduce Iraqi products to the outside world. The United Kingdom and Denmark are also currently opening agriculture-related businesses in Irbil, in order to both import food stuffs as well as to site operations using local produce. 4.4. Construction The construction sector plays a vital role on the KRG’s economy for its size and influence on other sectors. Private sectors firms are a major driving force in the sector, which is the fastest growing in the region. Its size is estimated to be $2.8 billion, with 95% of the market controlled by Turkish companies. Housing has the highest number of investment projects in Irbil, amounting to 44 out of 143 projects in June 2010. For the past five years, the construction sector has been robust thanks to strong economic growth and rising demand for housing from thousands of Iraqi professionals and families migrating to the Kurdistan region. RTI International estimated that 15,000 families have moved to Irbil and 38,000 to Sulaymaniyah. This has contributed to a population increase of 4.5% in Irbil and 9.4% in Sulaymaniah since 2003. Consequently, there was an immediate need for housing, schools, hospitals and other infrastructure.117 117RTI International, 2009. 174 Provincial Profile - Irbil Recent investment activity in the construction sector in Kurdistan was announced by Arcelor Mittal in March 2010. The firm established a joint venture with Turkish partner Dayen to build a steel mini-mill with an electric furnace in Sulaimaniyah. Turkey is one of the main exporters of steel along with Ukraine and China to the Kurdistan Region. Arcelor Mittal stated that the mill would produce up to 250,000 tonnes of steel rods a year in its initial phase. Construction of the site was planned to start in the second quarter of 2010, and production is predicted to commence early in the fourth quarter of 2011. As a world leader in the construction industry, Arcelor Mittal’s presence will give the sector a boost by reducing costly bottlenecks. On the 18th and 26th of April, 2011, the first annual Iraq Airport Expansion Cargo and Logistics (IAECL) conference & exhibition was held in Irbil. The conference brought attention to the investment opportunities in Irbil and Iraq, since an overhaul of the aviation industry is planned: Iraq’s major airports are being re-developed, and provincial governments are upgrading existing airports as well as planning the construction of new airports. Cargo and logistic facilities, as well as air traffic control systems, baggage handling and passenger ticketing equipment are all being eyed for upgrades and re-construction. The UK Middle East Association held a trade mission in Irbil from 27th February, 2011 until 4th March, 2011, while the Irbil Building Exhibition took place between the 3rd and 6th of March, 2011. Exhibitions and conferences have proven to be successful in Irbil: by November 2010, the city had held six successful international fairs that year, of which one spawned a deal worth $250 million. Furthermore, seventeen Northern Ireland companies visited Irbil in January 2011 in a trade mission that may lead to business development between the two in the near future. Some of the companies in attendance were players in the construction industry, as well as in engineering, architecture, and contracting. Locally, an Iraqi company has embarked on a $21 million tunnel project in January 2011. The project will take about 450 days and aims to decrease congestion in the Irbil area as well as beautify the city. 4.5. Tourism Tourism is one of the region’s fastest growing industries. The tourism sector in Irbil has the second largest number of investment projects after Housing, amounting to 24 out of a total of 143 projects.118 Enjoying the benefits of security, international businessmen often travel to Irbil to do business in Iraq, and often to meet their counterparts from Baghdad. During the 4-day Eid celebrations in November of 2010, Irbil saw some 15,000 tourists visit the province. With figures like these, hotels and hospitality are receiving increasing interest for investment. To cater for this rapid growth, modern hotels have sprung up in Irbil and Sulimaniyah, with hotel rooms priced between $150 to $300 at four and five star hotels. As a result, the hospitality sector in the KRG is the 118KRG, 2010. 175 Provincial Profile - Irbil most developed in Iraq and will continue to do so as the KRG continues to prioritise its tourism sector. Irbil has more than 500 archaeological and historic sites. Some of the main attractions include its 8,000 year old citadel. The main tourist attractions in Irbil include the Irbil Civilization Museum, Sheikh Chooli Minaret, Iskat market, Mudhaffariya market, Irbil Citadel, The Great Bazaar, Jalil Khayat Mosque, St. Joseph’s Church, al-Sawwaf Mosque, Khanzad Castle, Deween Castle, and the prehistoric Shaider Cave and Bestoon Cave. Many antiquities remain unearthed and as such offer touristic investment opportunities. Irbil also has a number of resorts that have great potential to attract tourists. The Sami Rahman Park located in Irbil boasts several acres of natural beauty, including lakes, rose gardens, as well as a Martyr’s Monument. This is a prime location for setting up restaurants, shops, and other tourist activities. The park is also the location of the Irbil Freedom Day Community Run, an annual event that attracts members of the community. Irbil and neighbouring governorates Sulaimania and Dohuk are surrounded by plains, hills, and mountains, and features waterfalls, rivers, and valleys. The summers are warm and dry, while winters are cold and wet. This allows for a variety of activities to be held throughout the different seasons, making the most of the geography surrounding the area. The picturesque nature of Irbil and its varied climate are in stark contrast to many of its neighbouring countries – especially the Gulf, where temperature is high yearround and deserts make up most of the geography. This characteristic makes it a desirable tourist destination for surrounding nations. Therefore development in outdoor activities, natural attractions, and building on antiquities is recommended. Irbil has the benefit of an international airport, which has been designed to handle 46 commercial flights a week with a total of 290,000 visitors yearly. This figure is set to increase with completed expansion plans to three million visitors annually.119The expansion of al Sulaimaniyah Airport will also bring additional visitors with direct flights from Sweden, Turkey, and the Gulf. Lufthansa Airways operates four flights a week between Frankfurt and Irbil, while Air Berlin offers one non-stop flight a week between Düsseldorf and Irbil. FlyDubai offers direct flights to Irbil from both Doha and Dubai (Etihad Airways operates an Abu Dhabi-Irbil route). Greek charter carrier Viking Hellas is planning to launch flights from Manchester in the UK to Irbil and Sulaimaniya, and Nile Air is also planning a Cairo-Irbil route. Rotana has recently opened its first 5-star hotel in Irbil. Taking up 1200 m² of land, the hotel offers 201 rooms, dining venues, a ballroom, as well as fitness facilities. Other 5star hotels opening in Irbil in 2011 include Divan Irbil Park Hotel and Le Royal Park Hotel. 119RTI International, 2009. 176 Provincial Profile - Irbil Many meetings and receptions are held in hotels in Irbil. Currently, there are two luxury five star hotels in the process of opening - Divan Irbil Park Hotel and Le Royal Park Hotel. The Irbil International hotel hosted seventeen companies from Northern Ireland for a reception in January of 2011, attracting over 120 guests. With increasing numbers of large receptions and conferences, there is a shortage of hotels of all qualities and sizes. The KRG is looking to build a dedicated building for the Directorate of Irbil Tourism, which would consist of a special hall for tourism conferences and training of workers employed in hotels and restaurants. One of the main investment opportunities that benefits from the rapid growth of tourism is transport. While the airport offers international flights, there is still quite a way to go with high quality roads, railways, and waterways. Investing in transport will facilitate access for visitors and trade, increase tourism in the long term, and support the economy and employment in the region. The current needs for transportation are outlined in the Kurdistan Board of Investment. Table 6: Transport Needs Tram way Irbil 80 km length Irbil-Duhok-Zakho 330 km length Irbil-Sulaimaniyah-Penjween 320 km length Railway (Irbil-Zakho) Railway (Irbil-Penjween) 4.6. Manufacturing Irbil has very few manufacturing facilities; in fact, most materials are imported (mostly from Turkey). When the airport was built, cement and steel had to be transported into Irbil by road, complicating the process and further increasing the price of the project. Recently, firms have begun building plants in the area. The KRG has licensed a firm to build a $1.1 billion smelter and steel plant, and automobile manufacturing plants are in the works. Dr. Haider Mustafa of Kurdistan’s Regional Investment board says, “We need after this stage to strengthen the economic structure with the establishment of factories 177 Provincial Profile - Irbil and large plants… our doors are open to all investors to enter the market competition in these areas.”120 4.7. Banking Business is more likely to be done on a face-to-face basis and transactions are usually made in cash. This is the result of an underdeveloped banking industry. Trust in the Iraqi banking system is low, especially as many lost their money in banks during the wars that took place under the Ba’athist regime. Moreover, banking facilities are incredibly poor in Iraq; withdrawals, for example, can only be made from the branch where the account is held. In August 2010, it was announced however that one of Turkey’s largest banks, VakifBank, will set up shop in Irbil. Examples such as this will encourage faster dispersion of best-practices and knowledge within the KRG region thus ensuring a more efficient banking sector. Attempts to change the attitude of the local business community towards the banking system are currently being made by the KRG and Central Government. Rafadin Bank, which is state owned, has allowed salaries to be paid into accounts rather than in cash, and the withdrawal of cash can be made at multiple branches. The bank is looking to open 147 additional outlets in the coming year. In 2008, Byblos Bank of Lebanon opened a branch in Irbil, followed by Dar-es-Salaam Bank upgrading its branch in Irbil. An international bank is preparing to open a branch in Irbil, and the Commercial Bank of Kuwait plans to open a branch in Sulaimania. Since central banks in the West are lowering their interest rates, the Iraqi dinar will appreciate, thus giving banks in Irbil a higher chance of capital growth. 120 www.iraq-businessnews.com. 178 Annex A – Sector and Investment Profiles Sector Profile – Transport & Logistics ................................................................................. 180 Sector Profile - Telecommunications .................................................................................... 197 Sector Profile - Electricity ............................................................................................................. 208 Sector Profile - Housing ................................................................................................................. 224 Sector Profile - Cement .................................................................................................................. 243 Sector Profile – Construction Materials .............................................................................. 274 Sector Profile – Glass & Ceramics .......................................................................................... 318 Sector Profile - Petrochemicals................................................................................................. 330 Sector Profile - Fertilisers ............................................................................................................. 338 Sector Profile - Beverages............................................................................................................ 371 Sector Profile - Dairy ........................................................................................................................ 382 Sector Profile – Date Palm ........................................................................................................... 416 Sector Profile - Fisheries ............................................................................................................... 434 Sector Profile – Food Processing ............................................................................................. 451 Sector Profile - Meat ......................................................................................................................... 473 Sector Profile - Poultry .................................................................................................................... 496 Sector Profile – Electrical Services ........................................................................................ 505 Sector Profile – Financial Services ......................................................................................... 521 Sector Profile – Oil & Gas Services ........................................................................................ 537 Sector Profile – Tourism ................................................................................................................ 555 179 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Sector Profile – Transport & Logistics I: Regulatory Framework and Policy Environment The MoT is responsible for the policy and infrastructural development of the country’s railway, civil aviation and maritime transport networks whilst the Ministry of Construction and Housing (MoCH) is responsible for the country’s roads, highways and bridges. The State Commission for Roads and Bridges is the sole agency of the MoCH charged with upgrading the country's internal road transport network. All major assets belonging to the transport sector are currently owned by the state. The 13 State Companies in the transport sector, including the Iraqi Civil Aviation Authority, the General Company of Iraqi Ports, and the General Company of Iraqi Railways, are being considered by the Iraqi government for major foreign direct investment. The government offers ‘regulation by contract’ agreements, whereby regulation is determined on an individual, contractual basis. Transport and logistics is high on the government’s policy agenda. In 2005, the MoT completed its Iraq Transport Master Plan after two years of consultations and support from international firms, as well as the involvement of all departments involved in transportation activities in the country. The Government's policies towards transportation are governed by the 2006 Investment Law, the State Company Law No. 22 of 1997, and the Transportation Law No. 80 of 1983. In the maritime sector, the Maritime Agencies Law No. 56 of 1985 also applies. II. Market Analysis by Type of Transport Reconstruction efforts in the country’s major cities will involve the strengthening and creation of several supply lines. The continuing flow of merchandise and building materials imported through the port of Umm Qasr, as well as from Kuwait, represents a significant opportunity for transport haulage companies to strengthen these linkages. As security improves, military supply chains will be replaced with civilian-managed transportation networks that will require significant investment over the next few years. With an interconnected network of ports, railways, aviation and highways, Iraq’s geographical location would allow the country to become better integrated internationally. Investment in transport will unlock investment in all other industries that are dependent on improved infrastructure. Cold storage Iraq’s cold chain network, which includes associated warehousing and storage facilities, is open for investment by the private sector. Storage and warehousing space mostly concentrate near residential buildings in Baghdad and large cities to house imported merchandise. Demand for cold storage and warehousing is growing rapidly with the Government’s plans to rehabilitate the agriculture sector. 180 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics The 125,000m² al-Hillah Commercial Cold Storage Facility, in the province of Babel, is one of the country’s largest cold storage facilities designed to support nearby farmers to protect their produce from the country’s soaring summer temperatures and mild winters. It comprises of four large 38 x 25m chambers for refrigerated and frozen goods. These chambers have a height of 6m and an estimated size of 950m² and have a capacity of 5,700 cubic metres per chamber. According to the Ministry of Trade, which owns and manages the storage space, there are plans to upgrade the site to cater for both Government stock as well as private sector demand. This would involve fully utilizing the potential 200 metric tons of space it is capable of reaching for goods from both Babel and neighbouring provinces, as al-Hillah is about one hour away from Baghdad. As a result of the liberalisation of the industry during the 1980s, private sector activity is mostly focused on road haulage. When sanctions hit Iraq in the 1990s a significant number of haulage transport companies were set up, designed to cater for increases in cross-border imports. These were largely established by private sector entrepreneurs. This pattern has continued in recent years as roads are the only way to service American military supply chains, as well as the only means by which consumer goods and building materials can be imported. As a result, road haulage transport is heavily dominated by Iraqi businesses. Nowadays, greater economic activities are further increasing demand for road transport. Overland freight Government underinvestment in the country’s ports, railway and aviation industry during the past three decades has facilitated a vibrant private sector road haulage and freight network. Many privately owned Iraqi freights and logistics companies have sprung up to take advantage of rising market demand and have been able to cover freight across Iraq. There are over five hundred privately owned companies121with offices in the Middle East, the Far East and Europe to cater for the import of construction materials, essential food supplies and consumer goods. Contracts requiring foreign imports from countries as far as Australia and Brazil, particularly under the Public Distribution System (PDS), have relied on certified private companies to deliver goods to government warehouses, which are dotted across the country and in each province. Table: Overland road haulage rates per ton to Baghdad from neighbouring countries (private sector prices) ROUTE ORIGIN DISTANCE (KM) NUMBER OF DAYS PRICE PER TONNE ($) Basra port-Baghdad Iraq Damascus-Baghdad Syria Aqaba port-Baghdad Jordan 580 800 1600 1.5 2-3 4 26 42 50 Amman-Baghdad 700 3 40-42 121 Jordan Ministry of Transport, 2010. 181 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Istanbul -Baghdad Turkey 2000 3-4 74 Source: Ministry of Transport 2010 Opportunities exist in expanding and improving national road system, for example the Basra- Baghdad route above. As the economy opens up, more merchandise, food, building materials and consumer goods are imported. Trade activities between Turkey and Amman to Baghdad have put improvements of these routes top priorities for the government. Internal passenger transport Developing passenger transport services to reduce congestion within the country’s largest cities is also considered a Government priority. The MoT’s State Company for Passenger Transport had in its possession a total of 1,234 buses, of which only 593 are in working order today. The passenger buses serve some 30 connections in Baghdad and 9 connections in the provinces. Additionally, in 2009, it was noted that these buses served 14 connections between Baghdad and the provinces. In 2006, only 6.5 million passengers recorded in 2006 using State buses, but as the security situation improves demand for intercity and intra-city passenger buses is increasing. , and this demand will need to be met through a mixture of public and private service offerings. The Government estimates that 20,000 km of roads will have to be built to help reduce the burden experienced by urban and rural populations.122 Table: Length of road network by type of road Type Highways Sub-roads Rural roads Boundary roads Secondary roads Length in km 1,084 11,000 10,000 11,000 15,200 Source: Ministry of Transport, 2010 Over the next five years the MoT hopes to increase this by increasing the capacity of roads for heavy use by adding an additional lane to major highways, building new roads and increasing road maintenance improvements. The Government’s plan to significantly increase road length involves inviting the private sector to participate. To achieve this, new legislation is proposed to attract private sector involvement, including PublicPrivate Partnerships in toll-roads development. A tax system to discourage the use of heavy haulage transport on undesignated roads is also under consideration. In Baghdad the MoT plans to run 130 internal connections within the city by procuring a fleet of 1,500 public transport buses whilst the development of the Baghdad Metro has been offered to a group of Russian companies. The Monorail will cover 25kms and 122Ministry of Transport, 2010. 182 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics contain 16 stations, and it will have the ability to carry 10,000 passengers an hour. TransGlobim, a Canadian firm, was awarded a contract to build a $600 million monorail in the city of Najaf which would cover 37kms and cover the city’s major religious tourist sites and airport. Under NDP it is envisaged that once the private sector is strong enough the Government in the long-run will give up running internal transport services for passengers. In the meantime, the Government is open to PPP initiatives, which it is developing. Railway Iraq was the first country in the Middle East to use rail carriages pulled by horses in the 1870s, and by 1911 it had seen the construction of a railway linking Baghdad to Istanbul. With only 60km of coastline at the tip of the Northern Gulf, the development of the railway network is a great investment opportunity to link transit routes between Europe, the Gulf, and the Far East. Rehabilitating the country’s railways should help ease road congestion, reduce building materials expenses and contribute to a more efficient supply chain for reconstruction. The NDP stresses the reinvigoration of the railway network as a top priority and it is a central feature of the MoT’s Master Plan, which was completed in 2005. The proposed Euro-Gulf rail route, linking Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf countries to Iraq and Turkey, and on to Europe, would allow Iraq to enjoy the benefits of one of the world’s strategic global trade routes. According to the NIC, this 'dry channel,' or 'land-bridge', would save transit time and “approximately $12-15 million per vessel”123 if freight routes were redirected from Egypt’s Suez Canal to what could become a regional transport conduit through Basra's ports. Table: Main indicators for Iraq Railways 1979-2008 Total weight of Total revenue (1000s ID) Total length Number of goods From total Year of railway passengers transported From goods tracks (Km) (1000s) (tons) passengers shipped 1979 1645 3351 6493 2286 20609 1988 2389 3865 6109 8124 18990 2002 2272 1248 5227 1131 22687 2004 2272 63 439 57 4977 2007 2272 4 165 15 1049 2008 2295 107 257 Source: Ministry of Transport, 2010 The Government is proposing an ambitious plan to increase capacity within the country’s railway network for both passenger and cargo transport. By the end of 2014, the NDP envisages a total length of 13,000 km of railway lines. This will serve approximately 64.7 million passengers annually by the end of the programme, and will be capable of hauling 335 million tons of cargo across the country. To achieve this, the plan details a comprehensive programme of rehabilitation including new carriages, 123 National Investment Commission (NIC), 2009 183 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics train tracks, train locomotives and an adequate energy supply line. Where possible the existing lines will be expanded to include twin tracks and increase speed to 140km/hour during an initial stage and subsequently to 250km/hour. Table: Proposed development plan for the Iraq Railway network 2010-2014 Proposed total increment of interconnection tracks (km) Proposed total increment of main Total passenger Total cargo and branch train increment increment tracks (km) (millions) (million tons) Total Total Total Total Year Annually (cumulative) Annually (cumulative) Annually (cumulative) Annually (cumulative) 2009 1906 122 2915 1 4 2010 - 1906 200 3115 0.5 1.5 1 5 2011 - 1906 400 3515 1 2.5 1 6 2012 800 2706 2087 5602 4.2 6.7 38 44 2013 140 2846 1165 6767 23 29.7 58 102 2014 2157 5003 6233 13000 35 64.7 233 335 Source: National Development Plan 2010-2014 Maritime transport The General Company for Ports of Iraq manages and supervises all of the country’s five service ports and 48 commercial berths, as well as handling all major storage facilities associated with them. Currently, total port capacity stands at 15.9 million tons a year compared to a total of 30 million tons imported annually through ports and road haulage. In 2008, 11.85 million tons per year of payload was handled through the ports. Projected major increases in cargo traffic and oil production require that port facilities be expanded or built. It is estimated that by 2018, 53 million tons of goods will pass through the ports. Increasing the number of operational berths is a key target for the Government. As of 2009, there were only 43 berths operational out of a total of 48 berths: Table: Operational Berths (2009) Name of port Total Capacity (million tons) Number of berths Total depth (meters) Al Ma’qal 1.5 Existing Operational 11 6 6-8 Umm Qasr 7.5 22 22 6-10 184 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Khor al Zubair 6.4 12 12 3-8 Abu Flous 0.5 3 3 6 Total 15.9 48 43 Source: Ministry of Transport, 2009 The country’s ports serve approximately 292 to 434 oil tankers annually and between 39 million to 48 million tons of oil are shipped through the ports.124 Umm Qasr With 22 operational berths, Umm Qasr is the country’s only deep-sea port. In 2008, it saw only 8,700 passengers enter, and 6,500 exit, the country through the port. Both the north and south areas are connected internationally to most major international ports. Located south of Basra and built in 1958, it has been working at 67% of its 10 million tons a year capacity during the past three years. Current traffic includes major imports of sugar, rice and wheat by the Ministry of Trade under the Public Distribution System, in addition to goods purchased by traders from China. Unlike most international ports, Umm Qasr’s efficiency is impeded by the fact it is not operational during night hours. This would significantly help increase full capacity, particularly in relation to container berths, which currently have a stated capacity of unloading 15 containers an hour. However, the recent dredging of Umm Qasr port to a depth of 12 metres signalled the country's intentions to reduce dependency on other countries' ports in the region.125 Aside from Umm Qasr, there are serious inefficiencies associated with all of Iraq’s ports. This is partly as a result of a lack of storage facilities and the existence of numerous wrecks in un-dredged channels. The logistical set up of the ports, some of which do not use modern computerised systems, has resulted in major logistical delays and added costs for both the Government and private sector contractors. The country’s other seaports are currently being considered for investment. These include: Khor al-Zubayr Seaport: Located to the north of Umm Qasr, Khor Al-Zubayr is largely used for oil exports and government related cargo. Four of its twelve berths currently serve the Ministry of Oil operations. The port has a total capacity of 120,000 tons. Abu Flous River Port: Situated south-east of Basra on the Shatt al-Arab waterway, it currently possesses a fertiliser loading facility, as well as three landing stages to load reconstruction materials for imported merchandise. Al-Faw Seaport: Due to the existence of wreckage it is mainly used today by a small number of Iraqi fishermen as only small boats are able to access the port. The seaport is currently under consideration for private sector investment. 124 125 National Development Plan 2010-2014 National Development Plan 2010-2014 185 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Al-Ma’qal River Port: Also due to wreckage located around the Shatt al-Arab waterway, its 11 berths are not operating, however, the port still sees 10 ships arriving daily. After some financial assistance from international donors, a small number of berths have come to life. The port was originally designed by the British and is linked to the rest of the country by rail. Aviation Transport There are six operational and paved commercial airports in Iraq: Irbil, Baghdad, Mosul, Najaf, Basra and Sulaimaniyah. All cater for international traffic and connections to and from Europe and the wider region. The Iraq Civil Aviation Authority (ICAA) reported that in 2009 Baghdad had the highest number of flights, with an average 89 commercial flights per day, whilst Mosul had the lowest with only seven flights per day. The latter airport has an annual capacity of 500,000 passengers. Table: Key Iraq Civil Aviation Authority figures (all flights) Number of passengers Number of flights Number of employees Revenue (ID million) Expenditure(ID million) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 426520 22162 66898 243980 442017 461849 585967 4329 1254 436 1254 1870 1333 3686 1381 3235 1461 6389 1523 7933 1490 518 1772 544 1335 1635 5654 9583 41553 9890 42143 12949 31298 22074 21054 Source: National Development Plan, 2010-2014 Though figures are not available for 2009 and 2010 there has been a significant increase in the number of passengers passing through Iraq’s airports. As security improves, 2008 figures are projected to double within a few years. 126 The government estimates that by 2014 passenger transport will rise to 35 million departures and 25 million arrivals. To serve anticipated demand, the Government is planning to purchase of 18 passenger aircraft of differing sizes, range, and capability, and 5 long-range large-capacity cargo aircraft. Table: Key indicators for Iraqi Airways Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 126Civil Internal flights Number Number of Number of flights departures of arrivals 305 9917 10555 1782 70898 61936 3266 145323 128675 3331 116719 109314 3494 113226 120282 International flights Number Number of Number of flights departures of arrivals 826 20333 20023 1412 37473 37222 1565 57527 57010 1916 56306 57764 Aviation Authority, 2008 186 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Source: National Development Plan, 2010-2014 Although Iraqi Airways are being liquidated, the Government is looking for investors to establish a new national airline.127 Table: Ticket prices for Iraqi flights ROUTE Baghdad-Irbil Baghdad-Basra Baghdad-Dubai Baghdad-Amman Baghdad-Beirut NATURE OF FLIGHT Internal Internal International International International ONE/TWO WAY PRICE ($) One-way One-way Two-way Two-way Two-way 94 81 517 600 433 Source: Iraqi Airways 2008 The sample prices above have significantly fallen during the past two years, mainly due to improvements in airline and airports efficiency, as greater levels of security are witnessed. There are also a rising number of international charter flights that serve Baghdad International Airport, which include the following: Table: Ticket prices for international carrier flights to Iraq ROUTE Baghdad-Dubai London-Manama-Baghdad Baghdad-Istanbul Baghdad-Amman Baghdad-StockholmLondon COMPAN NAME OF Y ORIGIN CARRIER Gulf Air Bahrain Gulf Air Bahrain Turkish Airlines Turkey Royal Jordanian Jordan Sweden Viking Airlines ONE/TW O WAY PRICE ($) two-way Two-way Two-way Two-way Two-way 742 1432.89 849 800 546 Source: Ministry of Transportation 2010 Recent additions to the list of carriers serving Iraq include Etihad (Abu-Dhabi’s national airline), Qatar Airways, Air France-KLM and Lufthansa. The MoT has recently approved proposals by Al-Nasser Airlines to operate flights to London from Baghdad, whilst French private airline Aigle Azur will start operating flights between Baghdad and the French capital, Paris.128 Flydubai recently announced flights to both Erbil and Sulaimaniyah whilst German airline Air Berlin recently started regular flights linking the city of Dusseldorf in Germany with Erbil and Sulaimaniyah. Nile Air also serves both cities with flights to Cairo. Austrian Airlines, part of the Lufthansa Group, has been serving Erbil in the north of the country since 2008 and plans to extend flights to Basra and Baghdad. The low-cost Sharjah based carrier, Air Arabia, has also recently started fortnightly flights to Najaf to cater for increased tourist traffic to the province’s holy 127 128 Iraqi Airways, 2008. Ministry of Transport, 2010. 187 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics sites whilst Qatar Airways weekly flights between Doha and Baghdad and Emirates Airlines launches flights between Basra and Dubai. Flights to China have also been agreed to commence in 2011.129 As a result of an increasing number of airlines wanting to operate in Iraq, and the Government’s desire to have non-stop flight connections from Baghdad to major world hubs such as London and New York, internal security has been increased, which is managed by the British security company, G4S. This is intended to pave the way for direct flights from Baghdad to Europe and America. The Kuwait-based investment company, al-Aqeeq, currently operates the militaryturned-commercial airport in Najaf, which hosts international flights catering for religious tourism in the province and in neighbouring Karbala. Air traffic control and airport planning in Najaf has been handed over from the Iraq Civil Aviation Authority to al-Aqeeq for a period of five years. Since al-Aqeeq was handed control of operations, the airport now sees on average nine flights a day, however, due to several disagreements over the nature of the $50m investment project, it is highly expected that al-Aqeeq's contract will not be renewed.130 In addition to Najaf, there are plans for the development of several more airports in the country’s provinces. The country’s numerous military airports have often been targeted for such development. The California-based engineering consultancy Leedco Engineers Inc. is a recent example of increased Government efforts to attract investment for province-based air transport. In early 2010, the company won a $50 million contract to build a new airport capable of serving two million passengers a year. Meanwhile the Ninewa Governate has called for foreign investors to consider setting up an airline to be based at Ninewa airport. With the formation of a new government, and the release of Central Government funds to the provinces, it is expected that there will be a rise in the number contracts awarded to develop new, or rehabilitate, existing airports. The Government’s strategy to expand aviation transport is described by the plan below: Table: 2010-2014 Civil Aviation Expansion Plan Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of airplanes Departures Arrivals 7453 7453 9912 9912 13183 13183 17533 17533 23319 23319 Number of passengers Departures Arrivals 719965 679257 1072748 964928 1598395 1370198 2381609 1775468 3548597 2521165 Source: National Development Plan 2010-2014 129 130 Ministry of Transport, 2010. Civil Aviation Authority, 2010. 188 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics III: Key Investment Strengths Despite the challenges there are a number of factors which make the current climate for investment in the transportation sector ideal: Iraq’s geographical location is highly strategic: bordering Turkey (a historical gateway to Europe) and situated by the Northern Gulf, the country has a competitive advantage that far outstrips neighbouring states. Iraq's economy is recovering and diversifying. It is able to boast of a wide range of natural resources including oil and mineable minerals; an increasingly productive manufacturing industry; and several tourist destinations. Increased economic activities and oil production create a surge in demand for transport expansion. Increase in purchasing power and consumption pattern means that more people will travel domestically and internationally, driving demand for air, rail and bus transport. IV: Investment Opportunities and Recent Developments The MoT and the National Investment Commission (NIC) are currently working to promote foreign investment in a large number of ‘mega projects’ and infrastructural initiatives designed to create an integrated transport system. These projects aim to create an efficient transport sector that will serve all of Iraq’s industrial and commercial needs, as well as provide a conduit route for regional and world trade between the Gulf, Asia and Europe. Maritime Transport Opportunities The ports authority had completed reconstruction work on some docks and acquired vessels and tugs for dealing with large oil tankers. Despite the limitations, the ports authorities reported profits of 46 billion ID, an increase of 10% on the previous year, and earlier in 2010 the MoT announced that 120 companies would take part in developing and running Iraq’s ports.131 To overcome port capacity limitations, the Government is actively inviting the private sector to invest in the ports to build new berths and rehabilitate existing ones. Table: Building and Rehabilitation of Berths 2010- 2014 Total number of additional berths to existing port (2010-2014) 2014 2010 Name of Number port of berths Umm 22 Qasr 131 Annual Capacity 1000s ton 7500 19 Number of berths 41 Annual Capacity 1000s ton 14000 Ministry of Transport, 2010. 189 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Khor al Zubair Al Ma’qal Abu Flous Total 12 6400 13 25 10650 6 1500 8 14 3600 3 500 - 3 750 43 15900 40 83 29000 Source: National Development Plan 2010-2014 The significant expansion to build an additional 40 berths by 2014 will require foreign investment across all of Iraq’s four ports listed above. A total capacity of 29 million tons is expected to be reached by 2014. Umm Qasr 13 new commercial berths will need to be constructed during the next two years, which can then be leased to investors upon completion. These berths will add 3,750 tons of capacity to the Umm Qasr port. The NDP envisages a total of 19 berths to be built by 2014. Of these, four new container berths will need to be built, which will add 2,000 tons per year to capacity. The proposed berths for construction should cater for containers that reach 200m in length and 25m in width with a load capacity of 4 tons per square metre. There have been calls in the past for private sector involvement in the construction and operation of berths. In recent months, as the proposed al-Faw Grand Port concept was finalised, the MoT announced that a group of Italian firms would be providing advice services to the al-Faw Port. Any proposed project for investment in the port of Umm Qasr will involve developing the capacity of the internal port transportation system, and management of storage and warehouse facilities.132 The global shipping line services operator, Maersk Line, (based in Denmark) made moves to dedicate a feeder service in between Jebal Ali (UAE) and Umm Qasr in a bid to provide more reliable transport links between Iraq and trading partners in the Gulf. The service also includes Kuwaiti-operated terminal services dedicated to Maersk Line enabling it to consolidate all its operations to a single container yard. The first call at Umm Qasr was on 14 November 2009, and new services include reefer acceptance and inland haulage. In the same year IQ Martrade submitted various commercial and oil proposals to authorities in Iraq. The German company seeks to invest in jetties at Umm Qasr as well as an oil pipe factory near the port to address the rising need for such pipes. If approved, and implemented, the factory will export 20% of its product. The MoT recently purchased 66 ships from Swiss company, Global Refinery, which are to be used in transporting goods and imports into the country through Iraqi docks and in turn provide job opportunities for maritime workers. The deal also includes training for the workforce.133 Umm Qasr has also set the scene for military investment. In 2009, the US Army's Engineers Gulf Region Division was given approval to initiate construction of a $53 132 133 Ministry of Transport, 2010. Ministry of Transport, 2010. 190 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics million Umm Qasr Pier and Seawall Project in order to protect Iraq's oil platforms. This was the first Foreign Military Sales project (FMS) between Iraq and the US Army Corps of Engineers, with involvement from the Multi-National Security Transition Command, Iraq (MNSTC-I) and Iraq's Ministry of Defence.134 More recently in 2010, the General Company for Ports signed a joint venture contract with CMA CGM, the French shipping giant, to develop a terminal container and manage berth No.4 in the port. The three-year $20m contract for the third largest container line company is aimed at strengthening the management and operations capacity within the port which is working well below capacity. Similar deals are currently being planned for Berth No. 5 and 8.135 Al-Faw Grand Port Project Over the past five years, the MoT has been assessing the feasibility of creating one of the world’s largest deep-sea ports, which would form the first and most important section of the Euro-Gulf conduit link currently being promoted by the Iraqi government. The proposed development would see the construction of 10 or 11 modern berths by 2018 able to handle vessels above a draft of 12 meters, which Umm Qasr is not currently able to accommodate. The port is currently incapable of handling cargo ships with a depth of 17meters. 136 Table: Proposed al Faw Grand Port specifications 2018 Number of Berths – ships 10-11 Ton/yr 30,000,000 Number of Berths – containers 6-7 Tons/yr 10,000,000 2038 72 7,000,000 22 40,000,000 (Source: National Development Plan 2010-2014) With associated internal transport, housing and storage facilities, the project could cost over $6 billion to implement. The project will be split into two three-year stages and see the development of 7,000 meters of dock capable of receiving containerships, whilst another 3,500m will be dedicated to serving general cargo. Plans are also in place to ensure the capability to hold 40 million tons of containers by 2038. There have been several investor proposals to develop the port. The MoT recently rejected a $12 billion proposal by the Iraq-Bahrain based Hanna Sheikh Group, which has strong links to Abu Dhabi investors and is in partnership with the UK-based construction company, Halcrow International. A competing consortium led by the Italian consultancy, Consorzio Italiano Infrastrutture e Transporti per I’Iraq (CITTI), after preparing a feasibility study for the project, has proposed to build 15 new commercial berths over a period of two years, with subsequent expansion scheduled afterwards. During the past few months, this second and more commercially cautious proposal has attracted greater interest from the Iraqi government, which includes $4.1 Ministry of Defence, 2010. Ministry of Transport, 2010. 136 National Development Plan (2010-2014), 2010. 134 135 191 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics billion worth of funds invested during the first phase. In October 2010, CITTI won the engineering contract for the project, after asserting that the ports should also cater for oil exports. Once a new national government is formed, Iraq will undertake a comprehensive assessment, after which time a tender for construction will be issued in 2011.137 Other Opportunities for Maritime Transport and Logistics There are various other opportunities to expand capacity in maritime transport including 13 multi-purpose commercial berths in Khor al-Zubair port, which would include improving existing capacity for liquid gas exports. The additional berths should add 4,250 tons per annum to port capacity in Basra. Similarly, investment is currently sought for the 180m al-Maa'mir berth in al-Faw port, which has been out of service since 1980. Reconstruction of the berth would also involve investing in the port’s infrastructure to reach a capacity of 100,000 tons annually. Abu Flous and al-Ma’qal ports have also been proposed for foreign investment. The MoT has suggested that international operators could run both ports under lease for a number of years depending on the nature of proposals submitted. Both are proposed for investment under a renewable 5-year lease agreement with the port authorities. Investors are also keen on opportunities to invest in logistics and storage. Gulftainer, the UAE-based ports operator, recently announced a $60m investment project with the ports authorities in Basra to establish a logistics hub to service cargo traffic in Umm Qasr. This will also involve concessionary rights to manage two container and cargo terminals in the port, which will include four gantries and 550m of berths. While it is expected that more international logistics and freight companies will announce plans to enter the Iraq market, France-based SDV has committed itself to expanding its Middle East operations by establishing three logistics hubs in Baghdad, Zakho and Basra. As one of the world’s largest logistics companies specialising in intercontinental air and ocean freight, it is planning to invest in warehousing, storage, and supply chain management facilities to serve the country’s expected increase in oil exports and demand for industrial equipment needing to be imported into the country through Umm Qasr. Similarly, Demag Cranes, also one of the largest in its field, is planning to work directly with the port authorities to improve operations and install a modern industrial crane system. This German based company is also seeking to benefit from the transportation of oil related equipment that will have to be imported over the next ten years in order to develop the country’s oil fields. Investment is usually considered by the government on the basis of private sector companies approaching the authorities once having identified the opportunities. Current maritime investment opportunities are most likely to be implemented once a government is in full operation. Meanwhile, investors are encouraged to submit proposals to the relevant authorities. Shell, for example, submitted a proposal for its 137Ministry of Transport, 2010. 192 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics own dock on the Shatt Al-Arab to support its operations in Iraq and was given initial approval. Railway Transport Opportunities According to the MoT, over $60 billion is required over the next few years to rehabilitate the country’s railway network. More and more businesses prefer to transport cargo by railway rather than roads. Increased economic activities require more functional railways to be developed. Opportunities for investment in Iraq's railways PROVINCIAL INTERCONNECTION ROUTES Musaiyab-Karbala-NajafSamawah Baghdad circular rail link Baghdad-Baquba-Kirkuk-IrbilMosul Baghdad-Kut-Amarah-Basra Mosul-Dohuk-Zakho-Turkey border Basra-al Faw peninsula Kirkuk-Sulimaniyah Kerbala-Ramadi ESTIMATED NUMBER OF YEARS TO ESTIMATED COST COMPLETE (MILLION $) 4 4 905 1508.5 5 6 3008.5 4509 3 3 3 3 1806.5 573.3 529.15 1295.8 Source: Ministry of Transport 2010 Of the railway lines listed proposed for foreign investment above, the MoT has prioritised six major routes that will cover 1,243km when completed. A railway link that connects the Salahaddin province with Baghdad, Kut, alMissan and Basra. The total length of the line will be 700km and according to the MoT is expected to cost $5 billion. A new railway link between Baghdad and Mosul connecting Baquba ,the provincial capital of the Diyala region, with Kirkuk and Mosul. A railway link will connect much of the Middle Euphrates region with a 228km railway between Musaib, Karbala, Najaf, and Samawah. Potentially, this could be expanded into Saudi Arabia as the province of al Samawah borders the country. According to data from the MoT, 14 stations will have to be built in order to serve over 8 million passengers and to accommodate Samawah’s cement production. Linked to this will be a Baghdad circular railway link, for both passengers and freight– a 112 mile loop around the city which will transport 23 million passengers a year and 46 million tons of freight. 193 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Also connected to this railway link is the Karbala-Ramadi railway, a 113km link between the western region of Anbar and the Middle Euphrates area of southcentral Iraq. It is envisaged that the link between Anbar, Karbala, and Samawah will form a key industrial region where there are rich natural resources. The Ministry is prioritising a key arterial link between the proposed al-Faw Grand Port and the city of Basra. This 90km railway is central to the country’s plans for a north-south railway link, and will be an integral feature of the planned al-Faw Grand Port and the Dry Canal project. There are also regional routes that have been proposed for development, which would link Iran, Kuwait, Turkey, and Jordan with all major cities in the country. These are presented in the following table. Table: Opportunities for regional investment in railway INTERCONNECTION ROUTES COUNTRY CONNECTIONS Basra-Shalmaja KhanakinMunziriya Mosul-ZakhoTurkey Baghdad-Amman Basra-Kuwait city Iraq-Iran Iraq-Iran Iraq-Turkey Iraq-Jordan Iraq-Kuwait ESTIMATED NO. OF YEARS TO COMPLETE ESTIMATED COST (IN MILLIONS of $) 3 111 2 40.34 2 5 1 133 1916 30 Source: Ministry of Transport 2010 It is estimated that between 35 million and 60 million tons of cargo will pass through Iraqi ports, and will require the construction of a double railway and a cargo railway network, especially from major cargo-handling ports like al-Faw. Road and Surface Travel opportunities According to the NIC over $40 billion is required to rehabilitate the country’s road network ($1 million per kilometre). A number of proposals have been submitted to the Government for the development of toll-roads. Under this system, foreign investors would build and operate or rehabilitate existing highways between cities such as Basra and Baghdad. Additional investment opportunities include the establishment of bus and coach transportation within and between the country’s towns and cities. All the above opportunities are open to private sector development. As is the case for maritime transport investment opportunities all prospective investors are encouraged to come forward with proposals, if they identify suitable opportunities. Aviation Investment Opportunities 194 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics Investment in aviation and associated services has not been neglected by the Government and local media estimate that up to $150 billion of investment is being considered with bidders and interested parties from around the world. The inaugural Iraq Airports Expansion, Cargo & Logistics Conference & Exhibition takes place in Erbil in April 2011, during which Iraq will highlight to investors the opportunities in these sectors. In addition to the investment required for operating and managing the country’s airports, opportunities include an array of services to support increased air traffic to the country. Existing airports in Karbala, Babel, Anbar, and Mosul have been suggested for international operator management. Although Iraqi Airways is being liquidated, the Government is looking for investors to establish a new national airline. The table below indicates the Government’s plan to increase passenger and cargo transport with a national airlines: Table: Estimated Government figures to increase cargo and passenger transport by 2014 for an Iraq national airlines International transport (passengers) Internal transport (passengers) Incoming cargo (tons) Outgoing cargo (tons) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 367680 514752 773752 1083252 1516552 79037 39513 252 102748 133572 173643 55318 77445 108423 353 494 692 225735 151792 969 Source: National Development Plan 2010-2014 The Director General of the Iraqi Civil Aviation Authority, Adnan Blebil, recently stated that a number of calls for tenders will be prepared to expand Baghdad International Airport in order to accommodate 15 million passengers, a doubling of its current capacity. For this to happen, three new terminals would have to be built, each capable of handling 2.5 million passengers a year. Several plots of land have been designated for investment within Baghdad’s airport. These include a space for an international hotel, which the MoT has suggested could cost $50 million in total. Other plots have been designated for commercial trade opportunities. Iraq’s other operational airports include Basra, Mosul, Erbil and al Sulaimaniya. Twiceweekly connections between Basra and Mash, in Iran, have recently been started by Iraqi Airlines. In Erbil, the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) signed a $33 million, five-year contract, with Incheon International Airport Corporation to operate the airport. Erbil airport is being expanded to accommodate more than its current 15 flighta-day capacity to become a regional transport hub. Sulaimaniyah International Airport has experienced increasing traffic in 2010, where approximately 2,500 flights took place and passenger numbers exceeded 100,000. Several Provincial Investment Commissions have also proposed turning existing military airports into major commercial transport hubs, particularly to serve commercial interests in the region. Dhi Qar Governate has sought to convert part of the 195 Sector and Investment Profiles – Transport & Logistics existing Al-Imam Ali air base in Nasiriyah for civil use, subject to MoT approval which has commissioned investigations to assess its suitability. The oil rich Maysan Governorate, which borders Basra and Iran, is considering rehabilitating al-Bateera Airport. The Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) in the province’s capital Amara is currently assessing a proposal to develop and transform the military airport into a civilian one by an oil production consortium headed by CNPC, Total, and Petronas, who has submitted a $5 million proposal to invest in the project. The Governate also commissioned a group of Swiss and Russian firms to complete designs for a civil airport in Amara. The Anbar Governorate is also planning to open an airport in al-Ramadi. Similarly, Karbala is planning to open one of the region’s largest airports to serve an increasing flow of religious tourism to its holy shrines, which is estimated to accommodate some 12 million visitors annually. All these plans are still in the process of consultation. According to the NDP the priority is to build new airports in areas of tourist attractions, particularly those close to religious tourism sites and attractions. Opportunities for private and luxury airlines are to be found in the commercial flight industry in Iraq. Royal Jet – an Abu Dhabi-based high-end airline chaired by Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mubarak al-Nahyan – is currently working closely with the Iraq Civil Aviation Authorities to provide a suitable travel environment for visiting corporate executives and VIPs doing business in Iraq, with a view to improve security, service levels and discretion. The airline has recently completed a total of 100 flights to Iraq – an encouraging sign for other private and luxury airlines wishing to enter the market. Significant opportunities are also to be found in the airfreight industry at Basra and Baghdad airports, which have the potential to become major transport hubs in the Middle East. International investors can partner with Iraqi Airways which currently manages and supervises the airports’ airfreight services. It currently manages an area that has a capacity of 8,000 cubic meters and a refrigerated warehouse of 800 cubic meters. The MoT estimates that $150 million is required during the next few years to improve capacity and storage space within the airport to handle increased freight levels. 196 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications Sector Profile - Telecommunications I. Background Rebuilding and Development of Telecommunications Infrastructure War and the sanctions damaged much of the communications infrastructure, including 12 of the 38 telephone switches which connected 240,000 out of the 540,000 telephone lines in Baghdad. These switches connect the main trunk lines to individual consumer lines. In 2004, USAID worked with the Coalition Provisional Authority to repair the telephone switches and 1,200km of the fibre optic backbone, reconnecting 20 cities, and installing an international satellite gateway system for Baghdad; they also undertook the training of telecoms engineers and technicians. Globecomm installed an international gateway for long-distance voice, fax and data services via satellite and restored part of the fibre optic network spanning from north to south Iraq. 138 In March 2004, USAID handed over the operation and maintenance of all switch sites to the Iraqi Telecommunications and Post Company (ITPC).139 Since 2004, the Iraqi government has been active in promoting the improvement of the telephone infrastructure. Jordan Telecom finished a joint project with ITPC, in 2003, connecting Jordan and Iraq with fibre optic cable. In August 2007, it was reported that the Iraqi government planned to announce telecoms tenders worth US$600 million to provide 800,000 fixed-lines and to be financed by a long-term Japanese loan. It was also suggested that the country’s devastated telephone system needed an injection of US$2bn over the next three years. However the MoC also envisaged increasing the total number of fixed lines to 4 million over the next four to five years to aid it in reaching its target of 25% fixed-line penetration by 2014. In 2007, the Iraqi government reportedly awarded Sweden’s Ericsson a US$40 million deal to repair 500,000 existing fixed-lines. A further contract was understood to have been signed with Ericsson for the installation of 117,000 new lines by the end of 2007.140 One of the most important developments in Iraq’s telecoms sector has been the deployment of Wireless Local Loop (WLL) networks. WLL networks have enormous potential to transform the country’s fixed-line market, as WLL can offer both “Plain Old Telephone Services” (POTS) and broadband internet to telecoms customers without having to lay cable through urban areas. Since 2006, the Iraqi government has contracted various private sector companies to introduce WLL technologies for both ESCWA National Profile for the Information Society in Iraq (2007). Business Monitor International – IRAQ Telecommunications Report (April 2010), p.34. 140 Lynne Roberts, in Arabian Business 29th August 2007. 138 139 197 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications voice and data services. In 2006 the CMC awarded three national and three provincial licences for fixed WLL services. All three national licences will last ten years with a possible five-year renewal term whilst provincial licences will last eight years. Regulatory Environment Key Institutions MoC: The Ministry of Communications is the federal government ministry concerned with providing basic telecommunications services to the public, government and businesses. It also runs the State Company for Internet Services (SCIS) and represents Iraq at international organizations such as the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and the Universal Postal Union (IPU)141. Communications and Media Commission (CMC): CMC is the official ICT regulatory body in Iraq. Set up as an independent media regulator in 2004 to monitor medi7a and communications with the objective “to encourage investment and to discourage state interference”.142 Established by the Coalition Provisional Authority, the CMC is tasked with a comprehensive list of responsibilities in the sector. It has taken a central role in spearheading a framework for independent media and communications based on the law it was founded on, Order 65. II. Industry Overview and Analysis Fixed-Line The Iraq Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) is the state-owned company that operates and maintains the fixed-line telecommunications system in Iraq. Fixed-line telephone connections have gone up considerably since the collapse and overthrow of the Ba'athist regime in 2003. However, Fixed-lines are currently still unavailable to 76.4% of Iraq's urban population and an even higher figure of unavailability in rural areas (97.1%).143 This has resulted in a greater number of people opting to rely on mobile phone communications. Nevertheless, a series of investment projects have been designed to remedy this situation and expand use, including the repair of the fixed-line network and a commitment to ambitious targets set in the National Development Plan 2010-2014. 141U.S. Department of State: Background Information on Iraqi Ministries. ESCWA National Profile of the Information Society in Iraq (2007). 143 Ministry of Communications IT Survey, 2009. 142 198 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications Development Internet Internet use in Iraq is experiencing rapid and accelerating growth and this trend is predicted to last with continued investments and the introduction of new services. Business Monitor International estimates that there were nearly 1.4m internet users in Iraq at the end of 2009, and predicts this figure will rise to 7.3m by 2014. The Government has also sought to improve the quality and access to the internet to enable it to provide e-government services to the population.144 A visit from the Microsoft Corporation to the Kurdistan Regional Government in November 2010 assessed how the Kurdish authority would initiate and develop its e-government capabilities in light of the authority’s five-year IT strategy to increase technology use in the government. The table below gives figures for internet users and broadband subscribers: Percentage coverage Broadband subscribers 2007 2009 2014 1.1% 3.7% 21.2% 0.1% 0.3% 2.9% Source: BMI Iraq Telecommunications Report (2010) The MoC plans to install Fibre-to-the-Home (FTTH) services to 860,000 homes through Japanese funding, and there are further plans for wireless broadband, 20% of which will be Evolution Data Only (EV-DO), and broadband internet access through radio signals, which can reach download speeds of 2.4Mbps. On the national level, the MoC announced plans in 2007 to develop WiMAX, Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access, and a faster fixed and fully mobile Internet access spectrum using new technologies. WiMAX is already available in the Ministry of Interior with a wide spectrum used primarily for security purposes.145 WiMAX is already available in a number of other countries. Fanoos Telecom’s working Aptilo Networks began deployment of a WiMAX network in the Kurdish region using tower infrastructure from AsiaCell and targeting both residential and commercial customers. The key players in generating opportunities in investment in Iraq's internet services are the State Company for Internet Services (SCIS), Kalimat, IraqTel, Itisaluna, Hi Link Telecom and Kurdistan.net. The ITPC operates the legacy wired telephone system. Its sister company SCIS was created in 1999 and now offers wireless broadband, DSL and dial-up connections. It also provides email, web design and hosting services. The 144 145 National Development Plan for the Years 2010-2014, Ministry of Planning, Baghdad, 2010, p. 104 ESCWA National Profile for the Information Society in Iraq (2007). 199 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications company’s priorities are the development of intranet, VOIP and Video Conferencing services. Although initially it provided high capacity data for ministries and government departments, its services are now being rolled out more generally. Most of Iraq’s recently licensed fixed wireless operators are in the process of deploying networks that will enable them to offer both fixed voice and data services, including wireless internet access. Three major players’ internet services and connection speeds are illustrated below. Table: The connection speeds of three major internet companies operating in Iraq Network Itisaluna (1X) internet Itisaluna Super internet Kalimat Swo Kalimat Tayyara SCIS 1 SCIS 2 SCIS 3 SCIS 4 SCIS 5 Speed 150Kbps 3.1Mbps 153.6Kbps average speeds between 48 and 100Kbps 3.1Mbps average between 150 and 300Kbps 64K bps 128 Kbps 256 Kbps 512 Kbps 1 Mbps Source: Invest Iraq London “Sector Brief: Telecommunications” (2009) Key Players The Iraqi Telecommunications and Post Company (ITPC), a state-owned and operated entity responsible for providing telecommunication services in the country. In addition it also regulates and provides postal services. The controlling interest in Kalimat is owned by Trade Links Logistics, General Trading & Construction, a telecoms service provider operating in Kuwait, the UAE, and the USA. Other partners are US consultants Artel and Chinese network equipment and service provider Huawei. Itisaluna Abr Al Iraq was established in 2006 and is a national wireless fixed voice and data telecommunications company. It is a subsidiary of UAE-based VTEL Holdings Limited which includes amongst its shareholders Jordan’s Munir Sukhain Group (MSG), and several Palestinian, Jordanian and Saudi shareholders. Itisaluna’s licence was secured initially by a joint venture group comprising Jordan’s MSG, Canada’s Syntagma Network Services and the US VoEx International, which offered 33.4 per cent of gross revenues to the government as well as paying £13.5 million for the licence and a £3.4 million bond. 200 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications Iraq Telecom Consortium consists of several existing WLL operators and was licensed to focus on seven northern governorates, including the three Kurdistan governorates. Iraqtel is establishing a WLL network in the three southern governorates. It began building a WiMAX network in Basra in November 2006. Iraqtel is a subsidiary of the local Al Emaar Holding Group whose business activities span a number of sectors. Baghdad Cooperative secured a licence to build a WLL network in Baghdad, Wasit and Missan governorates. Development The CMC’s hope is that the licensees will provide a comprehensive broadband internet service providing 92 per cent of Iraqis with access to voice services and affordable advanced third-generation (3G) telecommunications services by 2011. It said that the objective of licensing provincial operators, in addition to the national ones, was “to spur the development of telecommunications operations owned directly by Iraqis to ensure aggressive, localised competition and to ensure broad network availability and a choice of service provider for Iraqi consumers.”146 Recently several commercial WLL operators, such as Kalimat Telecom and Itisaluna have launched services. In 2006, the regulator awarded a 10-year license to Kalimat Telecom for the provision of Fixed WLL services and by November 2007 it was reported that Kalimat had completed the first phase of its roll-out using WiMax technology. In November 2008, Kalimat began the launch of WiMax services in Baghdad.147 Two other operators were also awarded WLL licenses in 2006; these are ITPC and an international consortium led by MSG, which later became Itisaluna Abr Al Iraq. Both Kalimat Telecom and the MSG consortium paid a US$20m fee for their license and signed a US$5m performance bond. In July 2007, Kalimat Telecom awarded a US$27m contract to Huawei Technologies to install CDMA base stations and to create an all-IP network infrastructure, allowing Kalimat access to over 5,000 towns.148 ITPC is rolling out a national WLL network by subcontracting to independent WLL operators to work in different regions. In September 2006, ITPC issued licenses to several companies including Baghdad Cooperative, Iraq Telecom Consortium, Itisaluna Abr Al Iraq and Iraqtel. These will work in specified regions. Invest Iraq Sector Brief: Telecommunications (2009). Business Monitor International – IRAQ Telecommunications Report (April 2010), p.36. 148 Business Monitor International – IRAQ Telecommunications Report (April 2010). 146 147 201 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications In February 2008, Itisaluna Abr Al Iraq announced the launch of commercial operations in Baghdad and Basra. Itisaluna will be operating a CDMA2000 1xEV-DO network to provide fixed-wireless voice and internet services; customers will be able to subscribe to post-paid or prepaid options. The firm will offer prepaid users scratch cards in US$5, US$10, and US$20 and US$30 denominations. In July 2008, Itisaluna embarked on its second phase of expansion, which will see its fixed-wireless network rolled out to the provinces of Alfurat al-Awsat and the southern provinces of Iraq.149 In January 2007, Iraqtel signed a contract with Huawei Technologies for the construction of a 3G CDMA2000 network. In January 2010, Iraqtel issued an open invitation for international companies and financiers to “participate in building next generation telecommunications networks throughout Basrah and the south of Iraq.” Iraqtel's license includes 3.5 GHz for WiMax, the next generation high-speed data/Internet network, 800 Mhz/1900Mhz for CDMA, 3G voice and date wireless technology, and International Gateway150 In June 2010, the managing director of the Telecommunication Company of Iran in the Kurdistan province, Mohammad Saeed Ahmadi, told Fars News Agency that his company was ready to help upgrade the telecommunication infrastructure and fibre optic systems in Iraq’s northern regions and will start work “whenever the authorities of Iraq’s northern region voice their readiness.”151 Despite the numerous advances made in developing WLL networks it is still beyond the economical reach for the average consumer, or even internet café, to connect via these methods. Most internet cafés still connect to the internet by satellite. Mobile The mobile phone market is considerably larger than the internet and fixed-line subsectors of the Iraqi telecommunications industry. This is mostly due to the fact that mobile communications are slightly less affected by infrastructural flaws, such as power cuts and poor availability. Furthermore, relatively inexpensive handsets make mobile phone ownership in Iraq a considerably wide spread phenomenon: 96% of Iraq's urban population and 94% of the rural population now own and use mobile phones compared to just 23.6% of fixed-line phone users in urban areas and 2.9% in rural areas.152 This Business Monitor International – IRAQ Telecommunications Report (April 2010), p.36. Basrah Investment Commission website – investbasrah.com. 151 Iraq Business News “Iran’s TCI offers to help Iraq Telecoms Sector” (1st July 2010). 152 Ministry of Communications IT Survey, 2009. 149 150 202 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications figure has gone up immensely since 2003 as mobile phone usage was greatly restricted, and in some cases banned, during the regime of Saddam Hussein. Key Players The market is dominated by three companies: Zain, AsiaCell and Korek, which between them serve approximately 20 million customers. Both Zain and Korek have reported steady growth. Smaller GSM providers include Sanatel Communications, which has operated in Iraqi Kurdistan since 2003, with a subscriber base of approximately 300,000 customers. Company Name Zain Asiacell Korek Other Total No. of (million) 9.984 7.351 2.1 0.565 20 Subscribers Market Share (%) 49.9 36.8 10.5 2.8 100 Source: BMI Iraq Telecommunications Report (2010) Zain: Zain Group (founded as MTC in Kuwait and previously known as Iraquna in Iraq) is a Multinational Corporation specializing in Mobile Telecommunications and is partowned (24.6%) by the Kuwait Investment Authority, a sovereign wealth fund belonging to Kuwait. Its areas of operations include seven countries in the Middle East: Kuwait, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Bahrain, Sudan, and in Lebanon, as “MTC Touch”, and 14 subSaharan countries in Africa as “Celtel”. Zain is comfortably the largest mobile operator in Iraq enjoying a lead of more than 10% over its nearest competitor, Asiacell. It secured its 15-year license at a cost of more than $1 billion in 2007 and has so far invested more than $4 billion in its network. Dubai’s Etisalat is in talks with Zain about purchasing a controlling a stake. Asiacell: Asiacell is the first and oldest GSM company in Iraq. It was established in 1999 under the ‘no fly’ zone by Iraqi businessman Faruk Mustafa Rasool. Initially Asiacell’s network coverage was primarily in Sulaimaniya with only around 70,000 subscribers. Today Asiacell is a consortium composed of Asiacell Company for Telecommunication LTD (51%), Wataniya Telecom (40%) and the United Gulf Bank (9%). It is currently the second largest operator in the country in terms of market share, behind Zain and ahead of Korek. Korek Telecom: Korek Telecom is a Kurdish mobile phone operator company based in Pirmam, Erbil, in the north of Iraq in the Kurdistan region. It is a shared limited company registered in Iraq to operate and provide GSM services in the capital of Kurdistan, Erbil and the province of Duhok. In November 2000 the Ministry of Telecommunications in Kurdistan granted Korek Telecom a 5-year exclusive GSM 203 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications mobile license to operate a mobile network in the region covered by the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan (Erbil) and the province of Duhok. The region has about 2.5 million inhabitants. Korek recently commissioned Aastra to assist it in expanding its contact centres and establishing two new contact centres, in Baghdad and Sulaimaniyah, to cater for increasing customer numbers. The Financial Times reports that France Telecom is in talks with Korek to purchase a minority stake. Development All three operators use private information gateways to receive and send data and therefore do not rely on the MoC’s International Gateway system. As licensing contracts were signed with the CMC they are not legally bound by the repeated calls for them to use MoC’s International Gateway III: Key Challenges Inadequate provision of fixed-line services. The lack of fixed-line services and the cost of laying fixed telephone lines have led to the widespread use of mobile phone technology, which by far exceeds fixed-line use. Government involvement in delivering services. There is a danger that the MoC could become the fourth license holder and operator for a Government-backed national telecommunications company. All three existing operators have complained that any fourth license should be open to a public bidding round, thus ensuring a fair competitive environment for the telecommunications market in Iraq. IV: Industry Strengths Regulations on telecommunications allow 100% foreign ownership. Furthermore, foreign mobile operators are permitted to operate national networks, which stimulate competition in terms of price, service and innovation. Under the current liberal communications framework, there are no legal distinctions between local and foreign company ownership in the sector. Indeed, whilst all the regional players in the sector have local implementing partners, Gulf investors from Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE own the three major operators in the country. The existence of only three operators in a market that could potentially see over 27 million subscribers by 2013 is a clear signal to international 204 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications investors. The benefits to Iraqi consumers will accrue not only as a result of potential price competition between operators but also as a result of the introduction of improved communications technology. Indeed, in the north of the country, AsiaCell has been able to expand rapidly and become the major telecommunications company. Similarly in Baghdad and the provinces south of it, Zain dominates with penetration rates of 80% over its rival AsiaCell. Aggressive entrants could easily break the lack of competition in the market forcing the three existing operators to both invest more in their infrastructure capacity and help lower tariff rates. Telecom Sector Liberalisation in Iraq- With the CMC running licensing and regulating the market, Iraq has an independent regulator, something of a rarity in the Middle East. This, combined with rapid growth and abundant opportunities in the telecommunications sector, makes Iraq an attractive proposition for investors. V: Investment Opportunities in Telecoms Mobile In June 2009, it was announced that Iraq would tender for a fourth national mobile license. This tender would be open to both foreign and national firms. Since the cabinet’s approval for the plan for a fourth operator last July, up to 15 firms including US-based Verizon Communications, South Africa's MTN, Turkcell, and UAE's Etisalat, have expressed interest. The fourth firm, which would be selected through an open tender and operate throughout Iraq, will give 35 per cent of its operating revenue to the government as part of the deal.153 Again, as yet it is unclear whether the license will include 3G services. One interesting development has been reports in the media that the government plans to enforce a clause in the national operator licenses that require Zain and Asiacell, as well as smaller operator Korek Telecom, to float at least 25% of their capital on the Baghdad stock market by 2010. As the mobile operators’ equity is likely to be highly prized, given the strong growth in the mobile market, this may provide a boost to the overall capitalisation of the market. Internet Allroya - http://english.alrroya.com/content/iraq-tender-fourth-mobile-phone-operator-license 23 May 2010. 153 205 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications According to a report by Springboard Research, IT spending in Iraq is expected to be at US$63.2 million in 2010, up from US$55.7 million in 2009. Springboard’s latest report, “Iraq IT Opportunity 2010” attributes the growth to the relative stability and a rebound in oil prices since the onset of the financial crisis. Springboard finds the financial sector, telecommunication sector and the defence sector to be upbeat in the use of IT. Iraq’s redeveloping financial sector has recently begun to integrate a number of major IT solutions which will help transform it into a robust and globally competitive industry.154 In April 2010, FastIraq, one of Iraq's leading providers of Internet and fibre optic connectivity, received a senior debt facility from Dar Es Salaam Investment Bank (DES), a subsidiary of HSBC. This transaction will allow FastIraq to supply Internet connectivity, and dedicated data capacity, to Iraqi retail and wholesale consumers, connecting more than 100,000 homes and offices in Iraq.The loan is seen as historically significant, representing a shift in Iraqi credit culture away from asset-based lending towards a more innovative, cash-flow-based approach. Although internet access by means of fixed wireless loops is becoming more widespread, and the range of services available is increasing, Iraq ultimately needs to improve its fibre optic infrastructure and particularly with regard to allowing more bandwidth for international connections. The Maysan Communications Department, part of the Maysan Governate, has sought to develop a fibre optic network in the city of Amara. Asiacell in particular has been expressing interest in investing in improving the fibre optic infrastructure, both within Iraq and by laying a fibre-optic cable between the port of Basrah and Fujairah in the UAE. Last year, Mohammed Serieh, Asiacell's marketing manager said, "We're ready to invest in fibre, and ready to invest in infrastructure, once the government gives us the green light. We have the plans, we have the resources, we can invest in the infrastructure tomorrow. “He commented that the lack of a unified national telecommunications law and regulatory framework is hurting the industry in Iraq.155 In January 2010, Qatar-based submarine cable operator Gulf Bridge International (GBI) sealed a US$445 million agreement with the IPTC to establish a landing point for GBI's submarine fibre optic cable in Iraq.156 While the infrastructural benefits of this cable link are beyond question, it does raise questions about fairness of competition, since the IPTC is in direct competition with Asiacell, and is run by the government. Furthermore the CMC, under new leadership, did not respond to Asiacell’s request for permission for go-ahead to invest in building up Iraq’s fibre optic infrastructure, and finally awarded the licence to the IPTC in partnership with GBI. This raises even more serious questions 154Springboard Research, “Iraq IT Opportunity 2010”, 30th June 2010. Tom Gara “Iraq hopeful of high-speed internet”, The National, 1st June 2009. 156 Telegeography’s “CommsUpdate” 11th Jan 2010. 155 206 Sector and Investment Profiles – Telecommunications about the level of insulation the CMC has from government influence. It could be that Iraq’s regulatory woes are far from over. 207 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Sector Profile - Electricity I. Background Before 1990, Iraq’s state owned electricity supply system produced a modest 2,958MW of power. Nevertheless, electricity production was able to meet energy demand. However, as a result of economic sanctions, for much of the 1990s, energy production was unable to keep pace with demand. By 2003, the country was able to produce only 3,409MW of power compared to demand of 4,653MW, a 27% deficit.157. Beginning in 2003, the Ministry of Electricity (MoE) launched a major reconstruction and rehabilitation effort later reinforced by the Electricity Master Plan produced in 2006 and updated in 2008. These efforts did result in increased output. However, demand grew much faster. So, throughout the 2003-2008 period, the country experienced a serious shortage of power that led to power outages for households and business. The way that demand and supply evolved is shown in table 1 below. Table 1: Gaps between consumer demand for electricity and actual production 20032008) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Demand MW 10,000 7,839 7,250 6,355 5,442 4,653 Actual Production MW 4,526 4,093 3,933 3,644 3,828 3,409 (Source: NDP 2010-2014) As a result of this persistent shortage of power and the probable increase in demand projected in the Electricity Master Plan, GoI realised that the only way that the country’s power needs could be met quickly and efficiently was through inviting the private sector to invest alongside the state. It has therefore been working to develop a regulatory framework that would be attractive for IPP. II: Regulatory Framework and Policy Environment Pricing and Regulation Responsibility for policymaking and ensuring power supply rests with the MoE which was formed in 2003 from the then Commission of Electricity (CoE). In the Kurdistan 157 Ministry of Energy, 2010. 208 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Regional Government (KRG) in Northern Iraq, an equivalent structure is in place where a Ministry of Electricity is tasked with similar end-to-end policy development, oversight and development responsibilities. The MoE was recently re-organized with power generation, transmission and distribution operations reorganised along geographical lines into 18 directorates, which report to a Senior Deputy Minister. Power Subsidies and Tariff Alignment The provision of electricity to households is currently subsidised by the Iraqi Government. However, a gradual tariff alignment process is underway to ensure full cost–recovery as well as reasonable long-term returns for IPPs. In a conference on IPPs158, the MoE stated that subsidies will be phased out over a few years. The recent tariff revision has already led to an approximate tenfold increase for certain consumer segments reflecting the actual cost of producing electricity. In the new tariff structure, domestic, commercial and government consumers are grouped together in one category and pay a tariff ranging from 20 ID/Kwh to 135 ID/kwh, depending on the quantity consumed. Industrial and Agricultural consumers are grouped in a second category and pay a flat rate of 120 ID/Kwh, irrespective of the quantity consumed159. IPP and Private Ownership Potential IPPs in KRG: IPPs have already been successfully piloted by the MoE in the KRG region. The KRG offered specific risk mitigation measures including a 15–year Power Purchase Agreement, interest free loans and a take or pay provision. IPPs in the rest of Iraq: The federal MOE initially opted for engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contracts. When it became apparent that the country was in need of private investment, the MoE has also opted for IPP projects. The MoE, in partnership with the National Investment Commission (NIC), the national body responsible for promoting investment into the country, has invited private companies to submit investment proposals for construction and operation of power plants under a new IPP regime. It plans to increase electricity generation by 6,200MW through private investment. The contractual framework is currently being finalised and has yet to be publicly disclosed. However, to incentivise private investment, it is likely to: 158 159 IPPs in Power Generation, UNDP and MoE, Dead Sea, Jordan, November 2008 For detailed electricity tariffs, see Annex II 209 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Provide a guaranteed Power Purchase Agreement, backed by an appropriate investment law that binds GoI to the agreements, a long‐term fuel agreement, government guarantees and certainty with respect to IPP arrangements after the construction period and As set out below, MoE commissioned GE and Siemens to supply gas turbines. The turbines will be made available to IPP investors on attractive terms including a twoyear grace period on payments, a 2% fixed interest rate and the ability to pay in instalments. At least 43 international investors, some in partnership with Iraqi companies, have submitted investment proposals to the NIC and MoE. These IPP contracts will be under a BOO structure and include both gas and thermal plants. No new private sector hydropower plants have been proposed due to increasing water scarcity concerns in the country. Further details on the projects for which MoE and NIC has sought proposals are highlighted below in the Investment Opportunities section. The regulatory framework is still evolving and GoI acknowledges that it could be made clearer. In particular, GoI is working to: Provide legal backing for the policy: The serious Box I: Key players – the NIC, the MoE, the commitment given to MoO and the UNDP developing an attractive IPP The relatively recent addition of the NIC as a framework is to be found in a development partner promoting investment in the 2008 decree issued by the head electricity sector has largely been seen as a positive move towards a more investor friendly approach. Alongside the of the economic affairs NIC and MoE, the UNDP has spearheaded the agenda for committee, the then Deputy the adoption of an IPP framework and the development of Prime Minister, Barham Saleh. an investment climate that is conducive to international investment. The IPP framework has not yet, however, been ratified in It is widely noted that the tensions that were apparent in the past between the MoE and MoO have started to ease Parliament. with the involvement of the NIC. Moreover, involvement of the NIC, which answers directly to the Council of Ministers, has also sent positive signals that the Iraqi Government, led by the Council of Ministers itself (i.e. the Cabinet) is keen to implement an investment strategy that can help the country meet its power needs effectively. Indeed, the development of a participatory approach involving the NIC, the Council of Ministers, the UNDP, the MoO and the MoE represents a serious commitment towards rebuilding the sector. Combined decision making between MoE and Ministry of Oil (MoO):Though the Ministries of Electricity and Oil have been under a single Minister, ensuring that there is effective coordination between the buyers of power and the main supplier of energy needs to be formalized. GoI acknowledges that a solid, investor–friendly agreement between the MoE and the MoO on how to coordinated decision making is essential for the future. This can be achieved through an IPP framework ratified by Parliament. 210 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Further improving the investment climate: Discussions over the IPP framework are linked closely to the strategy for private sector participation in the country’s reconstruction. While the government has put in place a National Investment Law that provides effective protection for the rights of investors and incentivises large scale investment, it needs to do more to improve other aspects of the investment climate. Piloting regulatory changes: Until a legally backed IPP framework is in place, The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) is promoting a ‘regulation by contract’ system that enables great flexibility in agreeing terms with investors. Such a flexible system allows both sides to pilot changes to the regulatory regime to arrive at a system that works for both sides. This is, however, only an interim arrangement before a legally backed IPP framework can be put in place. The GoI’s efforts to promote private investment are running in tandem with its continued effort to rehabilitate and expand the state owned power generation plants. There are no plans to privatise existing state owned plants. III: Market Analysis Demand Iraq has seen a sharp increase in demand since 2003 largely due to an expansion of the number of households connected to the national grid, especially in southern Iraq, combined with an increase in the availability of relatively cheap electrical appliances. Higher public sector salaries and remittances from abroad have enabled households to afford to use more electricity. Demand is estimated to have grown at around 15% p.a. over the 2003-2008 period. The Power Balance: As noted earlier, the electricity deficit has worsened since 2003 despite an increase in quantity produced, as demand has outstripped supply. The power balance has thus worsened from a deficit of 30% in 2004 to 48% in 2007 and is estimated to have remained at this level since. MoE Projections: According to the MoE demand is expected to reach 25,000MW by 2015. By then, not only are households likely to need more energy but the revival of the country’s industrial sector should be gathering pace. The MoE expects power generation to catch up with demand in mid-2012 at just over 20,000MW. The projected figure for generation may prove optimistic given the current rate of progress in improving the capacity of existing power stations. However, the difference between supply and demand will be easier to bridge with increased private sector participation. Graph: Power Balance 211 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity 30000 25000 20000 Generation 15000 Peak Demand 10000 5000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: UNDP IPP Report Regional distribution: The province of Baghdad consumes the greatest amount of electricity largely because it holds a third of the country’s population. The three largest cities in the country, Baghdad, Basra and Mosul, together consume approximately 55%, with the remaining 45% shared by the 15 other provinces in the country. Any assessment of the country’s future power generation requirements would need to incorporate demand from servicing the three largest cities but pay far greater attention to the needs of the rest of the country as it is particularly poorly served. Consumption by segment: As of 2008, households were the largest consumers of electricity at 58%, with the government and industrial sectors at 16% and 14% respectively. Agriculture remains a small consumer at 4%. The proportion of consumption by households has increased significantly since 2003 due to two key reasons: i) households’ purchasing power has increased as a result of increased salaries for public servants and strong remittances from abroad; and ii) foreign imports of relatively inexpensive electrical appliances and air conditioning has helped to boost household demand. As the country plans to significantly restructure and strengthen its agricultural and industrial sectors during the next few years, total demand for electricity potentially could be much higher than projected. Illegal connections and a lack of metering and follow-up could also contribute to a higher than estimated rate of demand (see box IV below). Chart: Electricity Consumption by Sector 212 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Supply Iraq has primarily oil-based electricity production. In oil–fed production, key inputs are as follows: fuel oil, gas oil and crude oil, spare parts for maintenance requirements, transformer oils, water and water treatment materials all of which are available locally. According to the MoE, about 90% of installed capacity in the country represents thermal (oil) and gas fuelled power stations. There has been a significant increase since 1990 in gas operated power generation, which reflects the country’s increasing natural gas production and desire to move away from heavy oil to cleaner energy use, for example, solar energy and sustainable energy. It is interesting to note that the UN reported that investment in Iraq in various types of sustainable energy, including technologies such as solar power, continued to grow, but were not significant compared to more traditional methods of electricity production. This comes as no surprise as Iraq is a major oil producer. However, the country’s National Development Plan (NDP) mentions that solar energy is to be considered as an option for electrical power generation. The NDP also indicates that other environmentally cleaner technologies should be used in both existing and new projects in electricity generation. Table: Percentage Contribution of Different Sources of Power Plant type 1990 Installed capacity (MW) % 2000 Installed capacity (MW) % 2008 Installed capacity (MW) % 213 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Thermal 5,415 57% 5,015 54% 5,015 39% Gas 1,760 18% 1,800 19% 5,496 42% Hydro 2,347 25% 2,430 26% 2,513 19% Total 9,522 100% 9,245 100% 13,024 (Source: Ministry of Electricity 2008) 100% Oil supply, gas flaring and pipelines: The supply of oil had remained unreliable due to disrupted oil production and the lack of a coherent agreement between the MoE and MoO. There was also a mismatch between the types of fuel available and the types of fuel used by the existing power plants and so Iraq is moving away from oil and hydropower and expanding natural gas-fuelled power production. The key challenge in expanding gas-fuelled production is the lack of infrastructure needed to transport gas to the power plants. A large amount of gas is flared in the southern part of the country. The gas treatment plants, which were heavily damaged due to looting in 2003, are not yet fully operational. Some of the pipelines used to transport gas to power plants were also destroyed and are yet to be rehabilitated160. However, these issues are being addressed and this will enable a rapid increase in the production of power. GE and Siemens contracts: To achieve the significant increase in power generation the MoE signed a $3 billion contract with General Electric (GE) to procure and install 56 multi-fuel gas turbines in over ten strategic sites in the country. These turbines are expected to supply 7,000MW of additional electricity to the national grid. A similar deal with Siemens, worth $2.1 billion will supply 16 gas turbines with total capacity of 3,150MW. As of mid-2010, this has not yet made a difference to the country’s total electricity output, as delays in payments and turbine installations have persisted. Other reconstruction contracts: Several other contracts have been awarded and finalised in the past year. These include a $3 billion contract to STX Industries for the construction of a 500MW gas–fired power plant and a steel plant and contracts with SNC-Lavalin worth $170 million to construct two power stations, one in Karbala and one in Hilla. Several other contracts to build power plants, supply power transformers and install gas turbines have also been awarded. Financing from the World Bank, IMF, US Export-Import Bank and Commercial Financing were used for several of these contracts161. 160 161 Iraq Oil Report, March 2010 As reported in Iraq Infrastructure Report, Business Monitor International, Q2 2010 214 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity IPPs in the KRG: The Regional MoE has used IPPs for three power plants in Erbil, Chamchamal and Dohuk, for a total capacity of 1,650MW. The plant in Erbil, with a total capacity of 500MW, came into operation in 2009 whilst the Dohuk plant is expected to do so later this year. Iraq’s electricity imports Since 2003, Iraq has imported electricity in various quantities from Iran, Turkey and Jordan. During 2006 and 2007 Iraq imported approximately 350MW of electricity from the three countries, which increased to 1,000MW from Iran alone in 2007. Between September and December 2009, Iraq is estimated to have imported 1600MWph each day162. In July 2010, it was reported that the province of Diyala had made payments of over $300m in to Iran for electricity that was neither reliably delivered nor sufficient. The dependence on imports has been caused by the slow growth of domestic power generation. Increases in power generation since 2003 have largely come from capacity expansion and technical improvements to existing power stations in the country. In 2008 the installed capacity of the system reached over 10,000MW and electricity provided to the system reached 4,526MW which included electricity purchased from neighbouring states. System efficiency and capacity utilisation have increased since but output is still relatively low compared to plate capacity of the power stations.163 Causes of slow growth in production: Generation of power has been slow to grow in the past due to several factors: The extent of damage to facilities caused by war Looting and vandalism of production sites that occurred immediately after 2003 Deterioration of security between 2003-2008 Lack of inputs for production, including fuel and oil products Difficulty in obtaining necessary spare parts for replacements and maintenance Ageing power plants and stations leading to lower productivity Lack of specialist skills within the sector Difficulty in upgrading existing installations that have a poor environmental footprint Most of these challenges are now a thing of the past with a much improved security situation and oil and gas now more readily available. The major constraint that remains is the lack of sufficient flow of water in the main rivers to substantially increase hydro power generation. 162 Business Monitor International, Iraq Infrastructure Report, Q2, 2010. National Development Plan (2010-2014), 2010. 163 215 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Water shortage: Iraq’s increasing water shortage problems present a significant challenge to the country’s hydroelectric power stations. Upstream damming in Iran, Turkey and Syria has significantly reduced water availability in Iraq and new plans to divert significant amounts of water to irrigate agricultural land in both Turkey and Syria present a real challenge to hydro power stations. Recent diplomatic discussions on the topic have resulted in little action and as a result, the country is planning to reduce its reliance on hydropower over the coming years. Nearly all hydropower stations are located in the north of Iraq and Anbar, in the west of Iraq, and a significant shakeup of these power installations can be expected if the water crisis does not abate. While hydropower represents a small portion of total installed capacity, if Iraq’s water problems become severe, opportunities will arise for both suppliers and investors to replace these sites with fuel powered stations. At present, the proposed Greenfield sites for private sector participation do not cover this expected shortfall in electricity generation. Recent media reports have suggested that low water levels in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers could force the shutdown of thermal and hydropower plants which produce a significant portion of Iraq’s power capacity. The Ministry of Planning has also decided not to build any further thermal or hydroelectric plants but instead rely on gas turbines which use less water. IV: Development Plan Objectives and Key Reforms Electricity Master Plan In 2006the MoE launched a Master Plan for Electricity which was subsequently updated in 2008. The plan envisions investment of about $27 billion dollars over the next few years to expand electricity supplies in the country to 21,000MW by 2015. The country currently has two plants connected to the super grid by 400kv transmission lines. The Ministry plans to expand these 400kv transmission lines by 1,200km to 7,322km in length, with 34 more stations by 2015. In addition, the Ministry also plans an ambitious expansion of the high voltage 132kv transmission lines, from 215 to 362 associated stations and a network increase of 2,000km to 19,536km by 2015. The largest expansion in transmission line coverage will focus on the southern region of the country which is largely neglected and significantly under-invested. Whilst the Government has embarked on an ambitious plan to expand electricity production, it recognises that it must, in the immediate future, meet the important challenges that remain before the country can truly ramp up its production to meet demand. GoI is committed to: Inter-Ministerial cohesion: Continued Government commitment and cohesion between the different ministries and agencies, specifically the MoE, MoO and 216 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity NIC, will be essential to increasing investment certainty. GoI will ensure that the way that these key agencies work together to ensure an attractive environment for investors is backed up by legislation. Finalisation of the IPP framework: The IPP Framework still needs to be finalised and approved by Parliament. GoI is committed to achieving a balanced framework which encourages private investment by providing sufficient incentives and immunities whilst ensuring that the interests of consumers and the state are safeguarded. Legislation: The government is actively seeking investment in the sector in coordination with NICs and PICs by utilising Investment Law 2006 which safeguards the rights of investors. It is also undertaking a review of other existing legislation as it pertains to the electricity industry and proposes to develop new legislation if that is found to be necessary. Land Ownership: Currently, foreign companies are not allowed to own land which can be a considerable obstacle to their entry into the electricity industry as they can only rent or lease land. Government will therefore provide for the security of tenure under the new IPP regime. Tariff alignment: Continued commitment to align tariffs with the actual cost of production. Tariff alignment is a politically sensitive measure. Nevertheless, GoI has shown its commitment to delivering reforms that will ensure the sustainability of the electricity industry. Ensuring supply of raw materials: The supplies of water for hydro power, oil for oil-fed production and natural gas for gas-fed production have all been marked by disruptions and discontinuities in the past. The Government is therefore committed to ensuring consistent supply of such inputs in the future. Availability of finance: Strong oil revenues have enabled the Government to provide for the cost of electricity supplied under IPP contracts, to subsidise consumption until tariff alignment is complete and to pay for rehabilitation of existing plants. Prioritising Infrastructure: Rehabilitating existing power stations and building new ones whilst expanding the transmission network to meet increasing demand for electricity has been declared by GoI to be one of its main priorities. 217 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Utilities reform: The Government has expressed its commitment to the reform of the utilities and providing them with sufficient autonomy to operate and fund their future expansion. V: Key strengths of the sector as an investment opportunity The attractiveness of investing in Iraq’s electricity industry is underpinned by strong market fundamentals and by government commitment to the industry as follows: Demand and Ability to Pay: There is a large and increasing demand for electricity both from household and industrial consumers. The current prices being paid by household consumers for electricity from privately run communal khutoots and individual generators are far higher than the cost of production by IPPs. Therefore it should be possible for IPPs to get a reasonable return on their projects whilst keeping the tariff at an acceptable level. Abundant Primary Resources of Oil and Gas: Iraq’s biggest strength is the abundant availability of fuel oil and natural gas. As oil production is restored, more fuel oil should become available for electricity generation. A large amount of natural gas is being flared off. If the infrastructure to capture and treat this gas can be put in place, it could enable significant increases in electricity generation. Government Budgetary Allocation and Policy Commitment: The Iraqi Government has allocated substantial funds for capital expenditures to restore and ramp-up infrastructure. The Government has also started the process of putting in place an IPP framework and has publicly stated its commitment to ramping up the country’s electricity production hosting several conferences targeting the private sector to convey this message. Qualified Workforce and Existing Transmission Network: The existing plants still have a large proportion of their previous workforce available for when plants are rehabilitated and restored. A large transmission grid survives from before the wars and the Government plans to strengthen it further. VI: Opportunities for Investment New Sites The MoE of the KRG has made further plans for expansion. A project to build a 500MW power station in Dohuk province was announced in June 2010. The station will be 218 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity comprised of four units, each with a capacity of 125MW. The first is to be completed in September 2010 and the rest by early 2011. However this 500MW expansion falls short of Dohuk's requirement of a 1,700MW boost in capacity. With this being the case, further investments in the governorate should be anticipated, especially as the Kurdish region requires around 2,200MW of electricity. Currently, only around half of what is required is being produced. Other opportunities include those proposed by the Electricity Ministry for increased power capacity for Baghdad. Five hundred giant power generators, each capable of producing 500MW, are to be built by the government by the summer of 2011. These generators are to be operated by private investors in a move to ease power shortages for the capital city. Map: IPP projects proposed sites and capacity Source: Ministry of Electricity, 2009 Under the currently discussed IPP framework in Baghdad, the MoE, in coordination with the NIC, is promoting several new Greenfield sites for international investment. 219 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity The designated sites are located in both the Middle Euphrates region and in southern Iraq and would provide an additional 2,500MW to the national grid through gas and fuel oil operated power stations. In line with contractual agreements with international oil companies (IOCs), captured gas from oil well sites would significantly contribute to power generation use and provide a sustainable and cleaner form of energy. In addition to natural gas, the power stations will also make use of readily available and abundant supplies of fuel oil from Iraqi refineries, thereby ensuring a reliable supply of fuel to the power stations. The map below shows the location and proposed capacity of these sites: An additional 3,700MW in thermal energy production is proposed for construction under the IPP framework, on the sites shown in the map below: Map: Proposed Thermal Energy Production sites and capacity (Source: Ministry of Electricity, 2009) The need for investment in the sector and the realisation of opportunities has seen the creation of a new venture in project financing. A financial services firm has been created through a joint venture by the Baghdad-based Phoenix Capital and the Washington DCbased Taylor DeJongh, an investment banking firm. The new firm will focus on investments in the power sector as well as water and infrastructure development. However, its first deal is expected to be in the power sector. The firm has already been 220 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity mandated with advisory roles on a number of projects across different sectors. The joint venture is assessing a project to capture associated gas currently being flared which could provide an additional 4,000MW of power to the national grid. As recently as July 2010, the governor of Kirkuk, Abdulrahman Mostafa, met with a US consortium to discuss producing electricity through incineration. If talks are successful, Iraq will see its first waste-to-energy (WtE) facility. No further announcements have been made regarding this proposed project. It is nevertheless a positive sign for future investors in the renewable energy market. In the same month, the Minister of Electricity, Hussain al-Shahristani, who was also Minister of Oil, announced the building of eight new power stations with a total capacity of 5,000MW. The new plants will be located at sites across the country including Shatt al-Basra, Rumaila, Dhi Qar, Maysan, Muthanna and Diwaniya. With a required annual expenditure estimated at more than $3 billion to boost electricity capacity Iraq has ambitious plans for investors to help it meet its goals. Schneider Electric and Areva, French companies, won deals worth a combined $52 million to build 15 power stations in Basra. The Governorate has also announced that is in talks with a Saudi firm to build power turbines that would add an additional 150MW of power to the region. Iraq's Electricity Minister has recently asked investors to compete in bidding to build four new power plants in the south of the country and committed to removing all legal and governmental obstacles for firms which are successful in the bidding process. The four plants will host 22 government-owned gas fired turbines in return for building, operating and maintaining the power plants. These will add 2,750MW to the current electricity output and deadlines for submissions by investors are mid-February with contracts being awarded in May. Other examples of successful investor projects include a joint venture between Shell, Mitsubishi and the Iraqi government which will involve the capture of natural gas and a deal between KazMunaiGas, Kazakhstan's state fuel producer and Kogas, a South Korean firm, for a gas field. In Basra it was announced that a new gas-powered electricity station will be constructed in the Namibia region with a capacity of 500MW and other stations were also to be built in agreements with General Electric and Siemens. A Swiss-Russian firm recently reported that it would build two steam-operated power stations in al-Amara the south of the country with a capacity of 650MW and a gasoperated facility providing a capacity of 500MW. Table: Investment Plan Governorate Station Type Total Fuel Fuel Supply Estimated cost 221 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity Al-Nasiriya Al-Diwaniya Gas MW 500 Plan Fuel oil, n. gas Al-Muthanna Al-Samawa Gas 500 Fuel oil N. gas Al-Najaf Gas 500 Maysan Al-Najaf (AlHaidariya Site) Al-Umar Gas 250 Al-Basra Shat Al-Basra Gas 750 Fuel oil N. gas Fuel oil N. gas Fuel oil 2 units on fuel oil from Diwaniya refinery 2 units in n. gas from NGPL 2 units for fuel oil for Samawa refinery 2 units on n. gas from NGPL N. Gas from NGPL m/USD 500 Fuel oil from AlUmar refinery Fuel oil from Basra refinery N. gas from South Gas project 500 500 250 750 *All units are designed to operate with all types of fuels (i.e. natural gas, fuel oil, crude oil, gas oil)** NGPL: Natural gas pipeline Source: Ministry of Electricity, 2009 Annex I: New Electricity Tariffs New Tariff (ID) Domestic Consumption Category (kept) 20 1-1000 50 1001-2000 80 2001-3000 100 3001-4000 135 Commercial 4001-more 20 1-1000 50 1001-2000 80 2001-3000 100 3001-4000 135 4001-more Industrial 120 Governmental 20 1-1000 222 Sector and Investment Profiles – Electricity 50 1001-2000 80 2001-3000 100 3001-4000 135 4001-more Agricultural 120 Source: Ministry of Electricity, 2009 223 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Sector Profile - Housing 1. Regulatory Framework and Policy Environment Housing Investment Incentives Investment Law No. 13 (2006) was recently revised to encourage investment in affordable housing by freeing up publicly owned land. The Amendment obligates the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works, the Municipality of Baghdad, provincial municipalities and commissions, and departments not associated with a Ministry, to make available land suitable for housing investment projects. Furthermore, a package of incentives to encourage housing development is outlined in Article 5 (the full text of the Amendment is found in Appendix I). Incentives include giving land free of charge to low-income housing developers. Depending on the location, government land is to be given away for all market rate housing projects in exchange for the share of the total housing units constructed. This percentage varies between 3%15%. Agencies and Responsibilities The MoCH is responsible for the development of the country’s housing and construction policy and regulation. In conjunction with UN-HABITAT, the MoCH released in October 2010 the much awaited Iraq National Housing Policy report, which, along with country’s National Development Plan 2010-2014 (NDP) sets out an ambitious plan to develop the housing sector. While having regulatory responsibilities over the sector, the Ministry of Construction and Housing is also tasked with construction of housing units, which are often distributed to civil servants at subsidised rates. Indeed this is embedded in the Ministry’s principles to streamline roles and responsibilities over the sector, to encourage private sector investment, support decentralisation, contribute to an appropriate housing finance system and help accelerate the country’s capital stock of housing. Regulations for the land and housing sector are currently in the process of reform. Prior to 2003 the vast majority of land was managed and distributed centrally by the Government. In 2004 the Iraqi Transitional Government devolved much of responsibilities of land management to local government. The Provincial Powers Act of 2008 now stipulates that key decision-making processes reside with lower levels of government, including governorates and municipal councils. Land Use 224 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Less than 15% of Iraq's land is under private ownership with the vast majority of land still belonging to the state.164 Most of the distribution of state land assets is controlled by the State Properties Directorate, which sits in the Ministry of Finance, with the exception of the Ministry of Municipalities land, which also owns a significant amount real estate in the country. Three sources of vacant land exist in Iraq for housing developments: Infill Plots: These are sites which have existing access to infrastructure such as electricity, water and sewage facilities. Usually located in smaller plot sizes in built-up areas, they are a safer investment choice for small size real estate developers. Incomplete Peripheral Subdivisions: These areas lie on the edge of built-up areas and usually have larger plot sizes. Many have been linked to the surrounding utility infrastructure. Agricultural Land at the Urban Periphery: These plots are located outside municipal borders and require conversion from agricultural use to urban use. Although land value is substantially cheaper these developments are not attached to national grid, sewage system or other necessary infrastructure. Investment in conversion for urban use can be substantial. According to the MoCH land management policy, suitable land for housing should first be developed within infill plots, particularly on land parcels of 5,000 sq. meters and above. Subsequent development should then focus on existing subdivisions and finally, Greenfield projects built on peripheral land for urban use. There are between 1 to 1.5 million vacant plots in subdivisions in Iraqi cities. Whilst this policy will inform government policy for the next few years, since 2003, highly valuable agricultural land has been converted into new housing developments. Urban Planning Under Law No. 11 of 1996, urban planning is managed by the General Directorate for Physical Planning within the Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works. The exception is Baghdad, which operates with a greater level of independence. Iraq does have some districts which have the authority to create their own plans but in practice this is rarely exercised. In general the Directorate drafts master plans which outline infrastructure requirements, land use and other projects, but usually do not include further details on timeframes, contractors or stage planning. Once development planning has been completed by the Directorate, the responsibility of implementation is delegated to the 164Iraq Housing Market Study, UN-HABITAT Iraq, 2006. 225 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing municipality. Often individual municipalities lack the finances to complete developments, a factor that has led to disparities in urban growth between districts in Iraq. Land registration and titling in Iraq is conducted by Real Estate Registration Directorates which are a part of the Land Administration Department, Ministry of Finance. Each governorate in Iraq has at least one Registration Directorate and more densely populated areas have more. Building Standards and Quality Controls Building standards and quality control have been delegated to several agencies including: the Central Organization for Standardization and Quality Control, the MoCH, the Ministry of Defence (for fire protection and intelligent signalling), local governments, and other relevant ministries and agencies. The MoCH is currently drafting and adopting a new building code outlining construction standards for housing. Municipal governments are responsible for development control and issue building permits. Governorate or central officials will often also be involved in approving major development projects.165 2. Market Analysis Demand Demand for housing in Iraq is extremely high, with the population expected to grow at 2.7% over the next 10 years, to reach 40 million by 2020. The MoCH estimates that 2 million extra housing units will be needed by 2016. The breakdown of housing requirements of Iraqi people in six largest cities (Mosul, Sulaimaniya, Baghdad, Hilla, Najaf and Basra) is as follows: Table 1: Breakdown of Demand for Iraqi housing units 1 2 3 4 5 Requirement Reduction of overcrowding to acceptable numbers of households per dwelling unit Replacement of units in the existing housing stock that become obsolete Replacement of non-upgradable units Upgrading of those units that are considered 'upgradable' New housing formation TOTAL No. of Units 42,465 214,120 15,385 112,316 402,442 786,728 Source: Adapted from the Iraq Housing Market Study, 2006. The housing requirement is also estimated according to income group in the study: 165Iraq National Housing Policy, UN-HABITAT Iraq, 2010. 226 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Table 2: Estimated Housing Needs by Income Group for Iraq’s urban areas (%) Low Middle High Mosul 44% 46% 10% Sulimaniyah 13% 57% 30% Baghdad 24% 64% 12% Hillah 25% 55% 20% Najaf 11% 62% 27% Basra 10% 51% 40% Total 24% 59% 17% (Source: Adapted from Table 3. Iraq Housing Market Study, 2006.) The lowest income group (0-20% of income distribution), is shown as 'Low'. The middle income group (20-80% of income distribution is shown as 'Middle’ and the highest income group (80-100% of income distribution) is shown as 'High'). The survey data shows considerable regional variety with residents, for instance, in Hilla being able to afford units of 120m2, triple the size of a housing unit afforded by a Baghdad resident of the same income group. The typical size of a household in Iraq contains between 6 and 9 people.166 Housing Stock Supply of housing in Iraq has historically been dominated by the public sector. According to UN-HABITAT the housing stock is estimated to be between 2.8 and 3.6 million units. Table 3: Housing Production from Building Permit Data (1994 - 2004) Completed units % of permitted units that were completed Year BP issued 1994 18,361 1995 6,298 2,000 11% 1996 1,607 400 6% 1997 4,495 1,000 62% 1998 6,694 1,000 22% 1999 11,074 2,000 30% 2000 16,833 4,000 36% 2001 45,881 15,000 89% 2002 77,507 24,000 52% 2003 15,353 5,000 6% 2004 8,000 52% Total 204,103 62,400 31% Source: Adapted from Table 7. Iraq Housing Market Study, 2006 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 The data in the table above shows the number of building permits issued and the number of completed units for a given year. Another significant issue in the sector is the 166Strengthening the Capacity of the Housing Sector, Housing Finance International, 2006. 227 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing completion rate of permitted units. While a large number of permits were issued, the number of completed units is far from meeting housing demand. Despite the public sector's dominance in large housing and infrastructure developments the private sector has been very active particularly for smaller projects. It is estimated that between 80% and 90%167 of all new housing has been built by the private sector since 1982. The vast majority of these suppliers are small-scale contractors usually undertaking projects for individual clients, predominantly owner-builder projects. Extensive subsidised housing projects in the past have deterred private investment from committing to the larger speculative housing developments. This in turn has prevented the private sector from gaining the skills and experience of large projects in the housing sector. Furthermore, political instability and limited lending market for businesses and mortgages have prevented the sector from reaching its potential. Despite this, a handful of larger private housing developments are now emerging as the market begins to transform. These developments have largely been concentrated in the north of the country, leaving central and southern Iraq short of large-scale private developments. Land Prices Since 2003, average prices have risen by 1,000% in Baghdad and other provinces, with square metre prices averaging between $800 and $3,000 in the capital city. Near holy Shia Shrines, particularly in Baghdad’s Kathumayn district and in the provinces of Najaf and Karbala, square metre prices range between $8,000 and $10,000 as land availability is severely limited. Rural-Urban housing disparities As one of the key challenges addressed by the NDP the rural-urban divide continues to suffer from the former regime’s urban bias. In 2007 a housing deficiency of 28.7% was noted in urban Iraq. This is contrasted to a 35%-45% housing deficiency within the majority of rural areas in the country. According to the NDP the provinces of Dhi-Qar, Missan, Kerbala, Babil, Sulimaniyah and Qadisiya suffer from the highest rate of ruralurban housing disparity. On-going submittals of private sector investment proposals for housing developments have been directed by the National Investment Commission (NIC) to rural area housing opportunities to help reduce this gap. 167Iraq Housing Market Study, UN-HABITAT Iraq, 2006. 228 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing 3. Current Market Structure Housing Units Iraqi housing units vary in size from as small as 30m2 to over 1,000m2 but are typically attached to another building on at least one side.168This structure is seen in almost twothirds of Iraqi homes with the remaining portion consisting of apartment units. The average unit area is 144m2, with little variation in size across Iraq's main cities. According to the MoCH most residential plot units are between 180 to 250m2 in size of which 140 to 215m2 is used for dwelling space.169 On average each housing unit has 4 rooms. According to a household survey conducted by UN-HABITAT in 2006, 50% people purchase their property directly from private sales; 20% were given housing by the government; 10% live in self-built units. Housing Finance Housing finance is fairly restrictive in Iraq. Prior to 2003, housing finance was only available to those who possessed land which had been marked for residential development. Due to the state's highly subsidised loans, private housing finance was never really encouraged and there were only a few private finance institutions. The vast majority of housing loans would be issued by the Real Estate Bank which was treated more as a government department than an independent financial institution. A typical loan period spans between 15 to 20 years and charges a relatively low interest rate of 6% or 7%. Most people therefore relied on their own savings or borrowed money from family and friends to purchase properties. The Real Estate Bank only accounted for 6% of financing options. While commercial loans are available, these are limited in scope and are prohibitively expensive. Interest rates are commonly in the region of 14-16%. Mortgage financing in the country are largely undeveloped as only a handful of banks are in a position to lend. These are often given to well-known clients with a positive cash-flow history. One of the largest groups to first benefit from a strengthened commercial mortgage market will be skilled state employees who are paid relatively well compared to the private sector and who also enjoy a pension based on 80% of salary. 168Iraq Housing Market Study, UN-HABITAT Iraq, 2006. of Construction and Housing, 2010. 169Ministry 229 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing State housing finance institutions include the Real Estate Bank and the National Housing Fund. These are expected to play a significant role during the next few years in supporting the construction of affordable housing for low-income tiers of society. In Baghdad alone the governorate is planning to build a total of 395,000 low-cost housing units. It is not known however how these units will be allocated Real Estate Bank As one of the oldest institutions in the sector the Real Estate Bank is today highly undercapitalised due to a high loan default rate from its clients. Its 1948 mandate to provide housing finance has come into question as commercial banks assess the market for long-term housing finance. Due to a weak management structure the Real Estate Bank is currently being considered for a complete overhaul. Its scope of work will be reinvigorated as, and when, new legislation is passed by parliament stipulating the details of the comprehensive housing finance plan. National Housing Fund (NHF) In response to the inefficient Real Estate Bank, the National Housing Fund was set up in 2004 and capitalised with $200m to provide low interest loans of up to 6% to low and medium income families in the country. Typical loan size was $5,000 in the suburbs, $10,000 in provincial centres and $12,000 in Baghdad. However, only 1% of those demanding housing finance was met from the Funds’ inception in 2004 to 2008, which equalled 6,560 loans across the country. According to UN-HABITAT over 675,000 further loans are required to help clients renovate or support housing construction work. It is envisaged by the MoCH that both the NHF and the Real Estate Bank will serve as second-tier mortgage providers. Whilst in theory this could help ensure a more efficient market-oriented sector, both government providers could help fill in a housing finance deficit which cannot be met anytime soon by relatively weak and undercapitalised commercial banks. 4. Key Sector Strengths One of the key pieces of legislation required is a comprehensive ‘Housing Finance Law’ which is expected to include guidance on foreclosures, repossessions and resale of collateral.170 Once this is in place it should encourage the private sector’s renewed engagement as a primary mortgage provider. 170Ministry of Construction and Housing, National Housing Policy, 2010. 230 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Strong demand: Strong demand is the sector’s most promising strength. With population growth on the increase, improving living standards, this trend is only expected to grow in the medium term. Weak domestic competition for large-scale projects: Whilst competition for smallscale projects is strong, decades of state-domination have left competition in the largescale housing and construction sectors very weak. Only a handful of large-scale private domestic suppliers capable of handling large development projects exist. This leaves room for foreign contractors with expertise in large-scale project construction and management, including multi-storey housing championed to reduce the housing deficit. There are many opportunities for such organisations across the country. Readily available building materials. The housing sector can potentially take advantage of ancillary industries, of which inputs are abundantly found in Iraq. Direct benefits will accrue to building materials industries, including cement, bricks, gypsum, tiles and glass amongst other key construction inputs. 5. Investment Opportunities Provincial Investment Commission (PICs) Over three hundred investment licenses have been secured from provincial investment Commissions (PICs) by Iraqi investors to build social housing. These projects typically are between $5m to $25m in size but also include projects valued above $100m. While most of these have not yet been initiated it is expected that the vast majority will start by the end of 2011. Local investment in the housing market within Iraq’s provinces has topped all other sectors and industries with over 80% of all applications and licenses issued in the housing market. In most cases a mortgage system has not been set up with individual units sold separately after the completion of the project. National Investment Commission (NIC) Iraq's NIC has released details of a nationwide investment opportunity and is currently inviting bids to tender for the development. The investment opportunity is a nationwide housing program which will develop 1 million new housing units across Iraq's major cities and countryside. Indeed, to facilitate this, Investment Law 2006 was recently amended to ensure private sector engagement and ownership in social housing projects. The proposed locations of the housing units are shown below: Table 4: Proposed Housing Programme in Iraq and Kurdistan Region Province/Region No. of Housing Units 231 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Anbar 22,500 Babel 27,000 Baghdad 112,000 Basra 40,000 Diwaniyah 17,500 Diyala 21,500 Karbala 15,500 Kirkuk 20,000 Kurdistan Region 70,000 Missan 15,500 Muthana 11,000 Najaf 18,500 Ninewah 50,500 Salah Al Din 19,500 Thi Qar 29,000 Wasit 18,000 The housing unit size for this particular program has been set at between 100 and 120m2, depending on the region and city region requirements. Each unit will feature a minimum of three rooms, a living room, a bathroom and a kitchen. The NIC has proposed a target sales price of $50,000 per unit171 for the most sought after locations and slightly lower for other locations. Purchasers of these housing units would have to pay a minimum of 20% deposit under this housing program with further payments upon completion and delivery of the housing unit. Repayments are typically between 10-15 years. Under the NIC’s Housing Programme a total of 65,000 housing units will be built by large private developers in an area formerly encompassed by al-Rashid Military Camp, 75,000 units in Sadr City, the poorest and most densely populated district in Iraq, 35,000 units in al-Ghazaliya and a further 220,000 units in outlying areas of the city. Sadr City will also see a $10 billion redevelopment which is estimated to take ten years to complete. The project will modernize the area and provide decent housing for more than half a million people. 50 foreign firms sought to take part in the project but only 11 firms were selected.172 Foreign investment in the property market 171Investment Opportunity to Build Five Hundred Thousand Housing Units in Iraq, National Investment Commission of Iraq, 2009. 172Iraq Business News, 8 December 2010 232 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing In May 2010 Amwaj International, a private Iraqi Real Estate company with foreign investment, released details of 'Baghdad Gate', a large-scale Real Estate development. Baghdad Gate is planned to cover 25 hectares consisting of 3,000 residential units, an office tower, a 25 storey five-star hotel and a large shopping mall173. The UAE-based AlHamad has been awarded the contract to construct the $238 million project. The project, set in the heart of the capital, will be a local landmark and will likely set the standard for forthcoming Real Estate developments in terms of quality and specifications. In 2008, Sigma International began constructing the 'American Village', a luxury property development located in Erbil. With unit prices ranging from $250,000 for a 330m2 4 bedroom villa to $650,000 for a 880m2 7 bedroom palace, this particular development is focused on attracting wealthy Iraqis and foreign nationals. This development benefits from its location in the north of Iraq, typically being more stable and economically prosperous than other regions of Iraq. There are a number of other villages under construction in Erbil and Sulimaniyah currently in the process of being built or near to being completed. Additional foreign interest in the country’s housing market has mainly come from the UAE where al-Maabar and Bloom have shown interest in investing billions of dollars to build new cities in the country. This has included Bloom Property’s proposed investment of $30 billion in Karbala. Furthermore, a further $15 billion has been proposed to provide 30,000 housing units for low and middle income residents in six provinces. Al Maabar is also considering investing $21 billion in the country. In Baghdad an Iranian delegation offered to build 100,000 residential units for the Baghdad Investment Commission, whilst in Basrah a Romanian company was granted approval by the Basrah Investment Commission to build 6,200 housing units.174 In Karbala a German consortium was granted approval to build 1,000 low-cost housing units within a neighbourhood for a cost of $16.5 million and in Baghdad a further 2,500 housing units were to be built by the US engineering firm World Solutions International in a $220 million deal.175 South Korean firms Hyundai, SK and POSCO are part of a consortium which signed a deal worth up to $25 billion with the NIC to build 500,000 housing units across Iraq.176 173http://www.ameinfo.com/233619.html. 174Iraq Business News, 20 October 2010. Business News, 5 November 2010. 176Iraq Business News, 9 November 2010. 175Iraq 233 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Appendix: Housing Investor Incentives Amendments to the Investment Law Council of Ministers Pursuant to provisions of Item (Third) of Article (80) of the Constitution, and paragraph (A) of Items (Second) and (Fourth) of Article (10) and Article (30) of the amended Investment Law No. 13 of 2006, the following System was promulgated: System No. (7) of 2010 Selling and leasing State and public sector property for investment purposes Article 1 The provisions of this system shall apply to Iraqi and foreign investors who obtained an investment license in accordance with provisions of the amended Investment Law No. (13) of 2006; Article 2 This system shall achieve the following: First: To promote, particularly housing, investment projects Second: To reduce home ownership costs to enable the Iraqi citizen to own property and contribute to solving the housing crisis. Third: To enable investors to implement investment projects in Iraq, and especially by the construction of different types of housing units proportional to requirements and means of citizens. Fourth: To regulate the basis for assessing lease value to investors of real estate and State land and / or to project the State proceeds from investment projects built on such property. Article 3 First: To obligate the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works, the Municipality of Baghdad, provincial municipalities, and commissions and departments not associated with a Ministry to provide land and real estate suitable for the establishment of investment projects, inform the National Authority for Investment of property number, location, ownership, type, and usage. 234 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Second: In coordination with investment commissions in regions, or provinces not incorporated in regions, the National Commission for Investment shall determine real estate and land suitable for implementation of planned investment projects. Article 4 The value (of land and property belonging to government departments and public sector for the purposes of investment projects) shall be estimated by committees established as follows: A) for investment projects worth more than $250 million, committees shall be established from the National Investment Commission as follows: Chairman of the National Investment Commission - Chairman. - Chairman of the concerned provincial investment commission - Member. - Director General of Public Taxation Commission - Member. - Director General of Real Estate Registration Member.- A representative of the owner of property or land - a member of. B) for investment projects whose value is less than $250 million, committees shall be established from the National Investment Commission in coordination with the concerned regional investment commission and the investment commission in the province not incorporated in a region as the following: - Chairman of the National Investment Commission - Chairman. - A representative from the concerned province investment commission - Member.- A representative from the Public Taxation Commission - Member.- A representative from the Real Estate Registration - Member. - A representative of the owner of property or land - Member. Article 5 First: for the purposes of housing, the National Investment Commission may give ownership of the land to the investor based on the list, below, taking into consideration the location of the plot, population density, and building height: 1) Ownership of lands outside of basic city plans shall be given free of charge to investors, provided they build low income housing units (attached cities). 2) Ownership of lands located within provincial central cities (centre of a province) shall be given to investors in exchange of giving the State a (5% - 12%) share of the total housing units constructed in accordance with the investment contract. 3) ownership of lands located within district centres shall be given to investors in exchange of giving the State a (3% - 6%) share of the total housing units constructed in accordance with the investment contract. 4) ownership of lands located within sub-district centres shall be given to investors in exchange of giving the State a (1% - 3%) share of the total housing units constructed in accordance with the investment contract. 235 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing 5) Subject to provisions of paragraph (1) of Article (5) above, ownership of lands adjacent to provincial centre cities (centre of province) shall be given to investors in exchange of giving the State a (3% - 6%) share of the total housing units constructed in accordance with the investment contract. Second: Committees established based on Article (4) above shall determine designating a land for investment purposes and may hire a specialist to assist this purpose. Article 6 First: a “no action” mark shall be affixed to the concerned property title until the investor completes all his obligations with approval by the investment commission that issued the permit. Second: Iraqi or foreign investor shall commit without speculation to the same objective for which he became the owner of the land or real estate. Third: In the case of failure (of Iraqi or foreign investor who owned the land or property under this law) to fulfill obligations (within the period specified in the agreement with the investment commission that issued the permit) the Registration Directorate (at the request of the mentioned commission) shall cancel the registration of, and return, the land or property to its former owner. Fourth: The Iraqi or foreign investor shall commit to building housing units during the period specified in the agreement and to selling them to citizens in accordance with the instructions issued for this purpose by the National Investment Commission. The Iraqi or foreign investor shall operate the rest of the parts of the housing project during the period of the permit under the terms of the agreement concluded with him. 236 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Article 7 The National Investment Commission shall allocate land required for building multipurpose housing cities (apartment complex - entertainment - and others) as follows: First: lands required by the project benefiting the public (like gardens - streets - and others) shall be allocated free of cost to the investor, provided it is returned to the concerned government entity within a year from the date of completion of the project. Second: land (to construct service or business projects within a housing city) shall be allocated to investors free of charge in exchange for a share for the concerned province equal to (7%) of total revenue of mentioned projects. Housing Summary Regulations Investment Law No.13 (2006) National Housing Policy Land use law Housing Finance Law Urban planning Law No. 11 of 1996 Quality controls Challenges Public sector dominance Housing finance options Poor domestic construction materials industry Lack of skilled labour Strengths Demand - Growing population Value chain benefits Weak domestic competition for Large-scale projects Reconstruction requires foreign capital and expertise Investment Opportunity Provincial Investment Commission (PICs) Three hundred investment licenses have been secured from provincial investment Commissions (PICs) by Iraqi investors to build social housing. These projects typically are between $5m to $25m in size but also include projects valued above $100m. While most of these have not yet been initiated it is expected that the vast majority will start by the end 237 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing National Investment Commission (NIC) Foreign investment in the property market of 2011. NIC has released details of a nationwide investment opportunity which entails a housing program to develop 1 million new housing units across Iraq's major cities and countryside New regulations and strong demand have provided a key opportunity for foreign investors to engage in Iraq’s housing industry 238 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Taj al Safa Company for Construction and General Trading Social Housing Baghdad Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07901279231 1986 125,800,000 Greenfield project to build 2,000 housing units Project Summary Taj al Safa has secured an investment license from the Najaf Investment Commission to build and sell 2,000 social housing units. About $125,800,000 is required in total to complete the project, with about 15% of clients having secured their off-plan housing unit to date with a security deposit of 25% of the total sale price. Located within a prime location in al Najaf, the 577,500 sqm plot of land will see the development of three types of housing units, which vary in size and price. The buoyant market for property, particularly social housing, has seen significant business activity in al Najaf as it is one of the sought after provinces due to its proximity to the Imam al Ali Shrine, which is visited by no less than 9,000,000 domestic and international pilgrims per year. Taj al Safa, which is a property development and construction company, is seeking to open a line of communication with interested regional and international investors. In exchange for the required investment, the sponsor will split profits from the sale of the housing units, which will be sold to Iraqi Banks, local investors and citizens. The company will not operate a mortgage financing system as it expects all the units will be sold once built, though it is currently in negotiations with several Iraqi investment banks who have shown interest in purchasing a number of units, which they will then mortgage to prospective clients. Market assessment overview Domestic demand and supply According to the National Investment Commission (NIC) and the Ministry of Housing and Construction between 2 million to 3.5 million housing units need to be built in Iraq. In al Najaf alone, a minimum of 200,000 housing units are required, according to the Provincial Investment Commission. While this is significantly above NIC estimates, the Provincial Investment Commission takes into account that housing units in al Najaf will be required as an investment opportunity for both Iraqi and non-Iraqi pilgrims who visit the Holy Shrine of Imam al Ali Mosque, which sees about 9,000 visitors from Iran 239 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing per day alone. It is therefore estimated that in addition to hotel development, housing units will be constructed to rent out to visitors from Iraq and neighbouring countries. According to the Provincial Investment Commission, a total of 93,000 units require investment in the province, of which only a handful have been realized or are in the process of being constructed. Market Prices According to the project proposal, there are three social housing unit types, with prices varying from $76,000 to $116,000 per unit. Under the proposed project, buyers will be able to choose between units of 120 sqm in size to approximately 178 sqm. Key Project Advantages Affordable and highly desirable housing units to be developed under the project, thus ensuring a quick sale Highly attractive location in the province of al Najaf has been secured, with an investment license and a plot of land secured from the Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) About 15% of required buyers have put up 25% as a down payment deposit through an existing off-plan sales arrangement Proposed housing units are seen as both a national and strategic requirement by the Government of Iraq, as well as potentially a lucrative market for investors interested in providing short-term accommodation for visiting pilgrims. A strong and vibrant market therefore exists for housing units in al Najaf province. Project Details Brief history Taj al Safa was established in 1986 as a construction and general trading company in Baghdad. Since then, it has secured over $120,000,000 in various contracts from the Iraqi Government, the private sector and, after 2003, from international organizations. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources In terms of infrastructure, the proposal incorporates electricity, water, roads, recreational parks, 2 schools, a mosque and a clinic. All of these are required to be built by the developer of the project to accompany the social housing units. 240 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing A total of 577,500 sqm have been secured under the investment license in al Najaf for this project. There are no infrastructure services available within the plot of land. The plot of land is located approximately 15 minutes from the Shrine of Imam Ali and adjacent to it are roads leading to the centre of town. There is no need to pave roads or provide infrastructure support outside the construction site. Investment Output According to submitted paperwork, there are three types and sizes of social housing units expected to be built on a plot of land provided by the Provincial Investment Commission (PIC): Type Unit Size (Sqm) Total Units Unit Cost ($) Market Price ($) A B C 120 140 178 800 600 600 50,000 63,000 80,000 76,000 91,000 116,000 In total 2,000 housing units are required to be built under the investment proposal. Each housing unit will have between two and three bedrooms, a kitchen, a living room and a bathroom and space for car parking. It is estimated that unit type A will have two bedrooms and units B and C three bedrooms each of various sizes. In terms of living space, unit type A can accommodate a family of four individuals and unit B and C, 5 to 6 individuals. In total, 3,200 persons will be estimated to be living in unit type A and up to 6,000 in both unit type B and C. Once completed, the project will see 9,200 residents move into the housing units. The developer of the project will also undertake, with local partners, the construction of the housing units using modern ready-made housing solutions. Investment Requirement Total sale of the 2,000 units are listed in the table below: Type Unit Size Total Cost ($) Total Sale ($) (Sqm) Total Margin ($) A B C 20,800,000 16,800,000 21,600,000 120 140 178 40,000,000 37,800,000 48,000,000 60,800,000 54,600,000 69,600,000 A total of $125,800,000 is required in investment to complete both the construction of the listed housing units as well as associated infrastructure within the secured plot of land. 241 Sector and Investment Profiles – Housing Currently, the company has secured down payments for 15% of the total housing units of about 25% of the total sale price. The developer has a number of financing options which could be considered. Under the proposed investment plan, the developer is asking for approximately $20,000,000 in direct equity investment with the rest secured through commercial loans and buyer down payments secured through an off-plan arrangement. According to the figures above, a total of $59,200,000 will accrue to the investor and developer of the project in profit once all housing units are sold. Taj al Safa is willing to provide investors with up to 40% ownership of the total housing units in exchange for the required investment funds. 242 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Sector Profile - Cement I: Regulatory Framework Investment Framework The Government of Iraq (GOI), in a bid to attract private investment into the sector, has put in place a robust regulatory and incentive framework to encourage private investment. Major steps have been taken to attract investment over the past years, particularly from foreign companies. The government has been actively involved in a number of investment initiatives aimed at improving business environment. The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006 provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s strategy to attract foreign investment to Iraq, including guaranteeing the right to repatriate profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. Although limited, foreign ownership of land for the building of social housing has opened up construction opportunities in the country. The region of Kurdistan has a separate Investment Law. Law No. 22 of 1997 focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. The Industrial Investment Law No. 20 of 1998, Mining Investment Law No. 91 of 1998, and the Companies Law of 1998 require that Joint ventures are formed regarding green field investment. Green field licensees are not subject to MIM’s production sharing agreement. The National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs) were designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. Over the past three years, the NIC and PICs have been actively engaged in trade missions in Iraq and abroad, organized investment conferences and workshops and initiated other promotional strategies. In 2010 two major construction exhibitions were organised featuring hundreds of exhibiting companies. Ministry of Industry and Minerals Private Investment Programme for State Owned Enterprises The Ministry of Industry and Minerals promulgated an ambitious licensing program in 2005, focusing on two key initiatives: 1) the granting of licenses for 20 new plants focusing on mineral extraction and land allocation; 2) A Public Private Partnership (PPP) program to rehabilitate five major cement factories. Investors will also benefit from exemption from customs duties on imported fixed assets and spare parts, and exemption from income tax for three years. The MIM will assist in the provision of 243 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement technical assistance and necessary permissions, and provide indemnity or assistance with relevant future legislation. Green field license approval depends on considerations such as the proposed plant location with respect to quarry location, clay and gypsum deposits; the ability of the bidder to provide modern production techniques; and their ability to provide power for the plant and to meet environmental requirements. II: Market Analysis Demand Cement per capita consumption in Iraq was estimated at 165 kg in 2005, which is far below regional consumption: Kuwait (1,224kg), Libya (973kg) and Oman (929kg). Merchant Bridge, a direct-investment group focused on the Middle East estimates that Iraq demand for cement in 2010 was in the region of 14 million tonnes. According to the MIM, cement consumption will rapidly rise to 27 million metric tons annually within the next few years, thanks to the rapid growth of the construction sector. As of early September 2010, Iraqi market prices for cement were considered relatively expensive. (See table below) Table: Price comparison of imported and Iraqi cement Origin Iraq– Tasluja cement from al Sulimaniyah Pakistan Turkey Iran Price per ton $130 (ordinary) to $140 (resistant) $130 (ordinary) $120 (ordinary) $110 (ordinary or resistant) For consumers, quality cement is both expensive and sometimes unavailable due to the shortfall in domestic production and difficulties importing in bulk due to infrastructure, transport and security concerns. Supply The Iraqi cement industry was developed and expanded through 1970s and 1980s into a position as a net exporter, but within a decade the industry was effectively destroyed due to the Gulf Wars and a long period of international sanctions. 244 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Prior to the war, the country produced roughly 10 million metric tonnes of cement annually. This cement industry enjoys an abundance of easily extractable raw materials – particularly limestone – located throughout the country. Combined with Lafarge’s new Bazian plant (highlighted in subsequent sections), the entire country excluding Kurdistan produced only 6.4 million metric tonnes in 2008. Iraq’s 17 state-owned plants, which estimated to be operating at only 25% of design capacity,177 are currently producing 3 million metric tonnes per year. The rest of output is from Lafarge’s production in the North of the country. Chart: Countries Supplying Cement Imports into Iraq Source: IZDIHAR/USAID, 2007. Imports cover some of this shortfall in output. Besides the registered import figures of between five and six million tonnes annually, a significant proportion are thought to enter the country illegally. Box: Testing for quality standards of imported cement in Iraq Strict regulations under the Ministry of Planning’s (MoP) Central Agency for Standardisation and Quality Control and quality control labs within the Ministry of Housing and Construction impose chemical analysis on imported cement. The tests show these imported materials’ repeatedly failed to meet accepted quality standards. According to MoP officials, sub-standards imports commonly come from Kuwait, Iran, Pakistan and India. As a result, the MoP has prevented the import of 12 kinds of cement from these countries. 177 http://www.iraqdirectory.com/DisplayNews.aspx?id=5973 245 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement III: Key Suppliers in Iraq All cement factories in Iraq are partially or entirely owned by the state. The MIM owns three major companies, with their respective factories (See table below). Table: Cement SOEs in Iraq Iraqi State Company for Iraqi State Northern Iraqi State Southern Cement Cement Company Cement Company Kubayisah Factory Badoush Factory Najaf Factory Kirkuk Factory Hamam al-Alil Kufa Factory Factory Al-Qa’im Factory Al-Muthana Factory Sinjar Factory Fallujah Company Al-Saddah Factory (Mosul) Al-Samawah Factory Umm Qasr Factory Al-Nurah Factory Iraqi State Company for Cement Established in 1936, this SOE has manages four cement plants: Kubaisa, Kirkuk, al Qaim and Fullajah. The MIM has secured investment for three plants under a 15-year licence to increase production. It is also looking for investors for its 4th plant, the Kubaisa plant. Table: Iraqi State Company for Cement Product Year of production Production lines Supplier/manufacturer Design Capacity 2008 production Investor Kubaisa Dry process, Ordinary Portland cement 1983 2 MarubiniKawasaki 2m tons - Kirkuk Dry process, Ordinary Portland Cement 1984 2 MarubiniKawasaki 2m tons 326,472 tons Sharq al Awsat company and German partner Al Qaim Dry process, Sulphate resistant Portland 1989 1 Uzen export 0.5m tons Fallujah Dry process, White Portland cement Al Maisarah for general trading company Al Taim company Iraqi Group /international partners 1978-1985-1985 3 KRAUSS Maffi and BKMI 290,000 tons 246 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Production investment after 1.8m 1.8m 840,000 tons 261,000 tons State Company for Northern Cement Established in 1954, this SOE is responsible for three factories in the northern part of the country: Badoush, Hamam Al Alil and Sinjar have a total of ten production lines (See table below). The MIM is looking for investors to rehabilitate all three plants. A detailed investment opportunity profile for the Badoosh Cement Plant can be found here. Table: State Company for Northern Cement Badoosh Old New Design Capacity 2008 production Production after investment Year of production Supplier/ manufacturer 200,000 tons 13,310 tons 180,000 tons Production lines 720,000 tons 125,661 tons 648,000 tons 2nd Extension 1,000,000 tons 244,863 tons 900,000 tons Hamam al Alil old new Sinjar 225,000 tons 30,422 tons 202,000 tons 2,000,000 tons 177,577 tons 1,800,000 tons 450,000 tons 137,350 tons 405,000 1956, 1977 and 1978 1962 and 1979 1990 Krupp Polysius Company (West Germany) Fives Cail Babcock (France) 5 3 Uzin exportimport (Romania) 2 (clinker and portland 42.5 cement) State Company for Southern Cement This SOE consists of eight plants. Table: State Company for Southern Cement Name of plant Products Design Capacity Actual Capacity 2008 Target capacity after rehabilitation Number of production lines Najaf cement plant Ordinary Portland 148,000 tons 139,000 tons 660,000 tons 2 Year established and name of manufacturer 1973 247 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement New Kufa Cement plant Samawa cement plant Al Muthanna cement plant Sadda Cement Plant (Babylon Governorate) Umm Qasr cement plant Karbala Cement plant Al Noora Lime plant Cement Ordinary Portland Cement Ordinary and Sulphate Resistant Portland Cement Sulphate Resistant Portland Cement Ordinary and Sulphate Resistant Portland Cement Ordinary and Sulphate Resistant Portland Cement Ordinary Portland cement Lime 1,781,000 tons 470,839 tons 1,800,000 tons 4 1977, FLS (Denmark) 1,290,000 tons -195,000 tons, 450,000 tons 203,628 tons - 4 2,000,000 tons 2 1955, 1967, 1973 (all three lines: FLSmidth, Denmark) and 1979, Nknu Stroytransgas Export (Russia) 1983, KHD, (West Germany) 2,000,000 tons 198,000 tons 60,073 tons 1,000,000 tons 2 400,000 tons 87,081 tons - 1 2,000,000 tons 2 - 1 2,000,000 tons 200,000 tons 77,842 tons (2006/7) 1957, Krupp (West Germany) 1984, Krippp Bolesis (West Germany) 1985 IV: Private Sector Activity As the security situation in Iraq stabilises, there have been several large strategic investment in the Iraqi Cement Sector. A consortium headed by Orascom Construction Industries (OCI) of Egypt completed the rehabilitation of the first line of the Tasluja plant in July 2005 (2.3 million tonnes/year). The consortium included the Faruk Rasool Group and the Polysius Group. The operating capacity prior to the rehabilitation was 300,000 tonnes per year. The company was granted a 12-year operating lease in 248 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement November 2004, with first refusal on any plant privatisation. Investment was stated at $70 million.178 Further to this development, Orascom Construction Industries Cement Group (OCI) – in association with FRG, Blair and Sayed Magid – formed the United Cement Corp to plan and build a 2.9 million tonne/year capacity plant at Bazian near Haysai. Construction of this plant began in the second quarter of 2005 and the first line was completed in autumn of 2007. The plant project is estimated to have cost US$500 million with the partners taking loans of 200 million. The project also included a 73MW power unit. Lafarge entered Iraq’s cement market following the company’s acquisition of Orascom Construction Industries of Egypt in January 2008. As a result, Lafarge now holds majority ownership in two plants at Bazian and Tasluja in northern Iraq. The two plants were located within 30 kilometres of each other and had a combined annual capacity of five million metric tonnes. Lafarge produced 3.5 million metric tonnes of cement from the Bazian and the Tasluja plants in 2008. Al-Rowad, a project company owned by Lafarge and Merchant Bridge, recently signed an agreement with the MIM to rehabilitate Karbala Cement Plant. The plant, owned by the Southern Cement State Company of Iraq, comprises two production lines with a design capacity of two million tonnes per year of resistant cement. The plant was established by the German company Polysius in 1981 and started operations in 1985. Current annual production is between 200,000 and 300,000 tonnes of cement. The rehabilitation project will raise the capacity of the plant from 300,000 to 1.8 million tonnes/year, or 90% of the designed capacity, which is 19.2 million tonnes clinker and 2 million tonnes cement. Lafarge envisions that 25% of production will be used for the Iraqi market. The investment includes a plant to generate power of 45MW. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) will provide a long-term financing package and debt financing, a combination of equity and loan of $25 million in Lafarge’s operations in Iraq. The total value of the project is estimated at $200 million. A Czech consortium, Inekom Group, has also made inroads into Iraq’s cement sector by developing a cement plant in 2007. The consortium’s contract with its local Iraqi partner specifies a cement plant with production capacity of 2 million tonnes/year. The value of the contract is EUR328 million. The cement plant will be constructed in the north of Iraq. This is the biggest Czech-Iraqi contract in history. The construction project also received EUR660,000 from the Czech government, which signed an agreement in 2004 to assist 11 new Czech projects in Iraq. Furthering this trend towards the streamlined approval of joint management ventures, the MIM offered 13 opportunities for private sector investment in partnership 178IZDIHAR/USAID, 2007 249 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement arrangements in 2007, five of these in the cement sector. Approvals were granted based on criteria similar to the 2005 approval process, and included the following plants: Table: 2007 MIM cement partnership opportunities Factory Muthana Cement Factory Karbala Cement Factory Kirkuk Cement Factory Al-Qa’im Cement Factory Sinjar Cement Factory Total Design Capacity 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 8,200,000 In 2008, the GOI signed two production sharing agreements for cement factories in Kirkuk Cement Company (led by Al-Sharq al-Awsat in partnership with a Germanbacked consortium, estimated at $150 million) and Al-Qaim cement plant. In December 2010, a Turkish Company was awarded the investment for a period of 15 years in the Sinjar Cement Plant, northwest of Mosul. The investment was estimated at $100 million and would increase the production to 1,800 tonnes per year. Al Qaim Cement Rehabilitation The bid to restart the Al-Qaim cement plant was secured in 2008 by Uzen (Romania) in partnership with Iraqi company Al-Jawhara al-Khalijiyah. Al-Qaim cement plant is located in Al-Anbar Governorate lies 410 km North-west of Baghdad, near the Syrian border. It has one cement production line. The plant’s implementation contract was signed with Uzen Export–Import (Romania) and was operated by ACC 1989-1991 before being operated by Iraq State Company for Cement. In the 1990s the embargo led to the use of low-quality spare parts, and fuel shortage, which reduced productivity. The plant requires rehabilitation and upgrading in order to cope with modern cement industry technology. The plant has a production capacity of one million tonnes/year and will have a target capacity of at least 90% of its design capacity. In 15 months, production is expected to reach 62,500 tons/month and at month 24, 75,000 tons/month. The plant has been functioning well below capacity (138,000 tonnes/year in 2005). Investment was estimated at $150 million. Al Dooh cement plant CNBM International Corporation (China) announced in May 2010 that it would begin the installation of a cement plant in Al Samawa desert, 6km southwest of Al Muthanna Cement Factory, together with Iraqi investor Hatem Al Khawam. The cost is $270 million and will be completed in 3 years, with a production capacity of 1 million metric 250 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement tons initially, but will reach double this within three years and will create 700 jobs for the local population. The plant will become operational at the end of 2011. Al-Mahamed investment for Cement Plant Al- Mahamed Company (Kuwait) received the licence to construct a cement factory, in November 2010. Al-Mabrouka investment in Cement Plant In October 2010 the construction of a cement plant was announced at a cost of $200 million and with a production capacity of one million tonnes. These large strategic developments and other smaller projects in the cement sector have been made easier by the MIM’s expediency in issuing licences for the development of new plants: it issued 19 in 2005 alone (See table below). Table: MIM licences issued for cement plant development (2005) Company Name 1 Al- Rawad Company Investors Basil Mehdi Al-Rahim Capacity 1,200,000 Location Kerbala 2 Abdul - Amir Al-Rubeiee 750,000 Kerbala 3 1,500,000 Kerbala 4 Complete Development Company Mustafa Kadhim Behaia Abdul -Amir Bakir Kadhim AlRubaiee Luay Abd Mutalib Barakat Mustafa kabhin Behaiq 1,200,000 Muthana 5 Basrah Group Company Walid Abdul - Rahman Al – Oman 1,000,000 Muthana 6 Lions Ground Company Ali Fadhil Hussain shmara 2,000,000 Muthana 7 Yaunis Mohammad Ali Al-Samawi 1,400,000 Muthana 8 Younis Mohammad samawi Al- Doh Company Ali Khawam Abdul – Abbas 1,500,000 Muthana 9 Economical Group Company Mohammad Fakhri Shamshal 1,050,000 Muthana 10 Happy Dreams company Majid Dawood Salam 1,400,000 Najaf 11. Zam Zam Co. Wisam Abod Mohammad 750,000 Najaf 12 New Iraq Co. Ali Fadhil Hussain Shmara 1,200,000 Anbar 13 Al- Rafidain Co. For Cement Naji Isat Al-Jaf 1,000,000 Anbar 14. Al- Janabi Construction Group Ali Abdul - Kadir Mahmood 1,100,000 Anbar 15. Nafia Al- Hashimi Beurae Nafia Aaish Al-Hashimi 1,000,000 Anbar 16. Tigris & Youfrits Masraf Co. Abdul - Jabar Ahmad Rahim 1,750,000 Anbar Ali Al- 251 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement 17 Mohammad Fadil Al-Samerrai 1,750,000 Anbar 18 Al-Hadar Co. for Engineering Industries Hadi Shneif Mankhi Hadi Shneif Mankhi 1,000,000 Anbar 19 Al- Hadbaa Industrial Co. Tariq Abdul - Rahman Saeed 1,000,000 Anbar 20. New Iraq Co. Mohammad Abdul - Latif Bunneia 2,000,000 Ninawa Total planned capacity 25,550,000 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals (2007) As a result of the new Government in 2010, many of the licenses previously issued by the MIM will have to be withdrawn, given that only a handful have initiated construction. ] Together with smaller investments and refurbishments being undertaken throughout Iraq, the potential for private and mixed private-public sector production is significant. Combined with existing and estimated potential production, the overall sector production could reach as much as 41 million tonnes year (See table below). Table: Potential production of Iraq’s cement sector Source Refurbishment of Iraqi Plants New Licenses KRG Combined Total Estimated Production, Millions (TPA) 8.2 25.6 7.2 41 V: Sector Constraints While the potential strategic importance and current private sector activity in the cement sector clearly point to its viability as a priority sector, it faces several significant constraints and challenges. These range from basic infrastructure concerns to more complex issues regarding the relationship between government and the private sector: Power supply: Lack of consistent power and fuel supply, old technology and absence of servicing and maintenance are among the main issues concerning the cement industry in Iraq. The total design power requirement for cement factories, excluding Kurdistan region, is 394MW, with a total available power of 107MW, according to the Coalition Provisional Authority CPA figures. 252 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Cost: The high cost of setting up new plants or refurbishing old ones. According to Cembureau, the capital cost for each tonne of cement is $195. A typical plant of two million tonnes per year output would cost thus $390 million. High gestation lag: The gestation lag in cement production is high and margins are low, making it necessary to have a large size plant. VI: Sector Strengths Despite its shortcomings, the Iraqi cement industry still shows enormous potential. There are several overarching strategic advantages to this sector, as detailed below: Increasing local market demand. The MIM estimates that the domestic demand could reach 27 million tonnes per annum. There is a need to build industrial and commercial facilities as well as ports, roads, bridges, schools, hospitals and pent-up housing. The abundance of all raw materials for the production of cement: Limestone, gypsum and oil for fuel are locally available. The limestone deposits in Iraq are of a very high quality and are located close to the surface, which gives a natural cost advantage to the quarrying and concentration industry. With the latest technology, Iraq should have a comparative advantage in cement production, and it could easily meet domestic demand and export surplus. Improved business environment: Notable changes in regulations have been undertaken in recent years. The promulgation of Investment Law No (13) in 2006 and its amendments has contributed to donor confidence. In 2010 confidence grew further as the World Bank’s political risk insurance arm, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), insured an investment by a Turkish company in the petrochemical industry for $5 million in 2010. Labour availability: Availability of a skilled and semi-skilled labour force, with technical experience in the cement industry. Experience in cement industry: Iraq’s strong history in cement production places the industry in an excellent position to quickly utilise investment. The abundance of companies provides a solid foundation for redevelopment. 253 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement VII: Investment Opportunities Several large, strategic investment opportunities currently exist in the Iraqi Cement Sector. The Government of Iraq has prioritised and expressed support for these projects. Greenfield projects Al-Anbar’s Three Plant Projects The Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) for al-Anbar has developed a three-plant cement project, and has agreed to facilitate, provide the level site/land requirements and streamline approvals for the plants. The target production capacity is estimated at one million tonnes per year of Portland saline-resistant cement with the investment requirement estimated at $150 million. All the raw material required for production is available in the surrounding area, while the Government has pledged to allow duty free import of factory machinery and equipment, together with a 10-year tax exemption. Al Muthanna Greenfield Cement plant opportunities Located near limestone quarries 40km south west of al-Samawa, al-Muthana Provincial Investment Commission is marketing the strategic location and government support for several cement factories in the province. MIM Rehabilitation projects Al Sadda Cement Plant The cement plant based in the province of Babil is open to investment under MIM’s rehabilitation program. Officials expect investors to increase production by 15% to reach 250,000 metric tons annually from its current design capacity of 216,000 metric tons. It has two production lines. The factory was built in 1954 by Krupp Polysius of West Germany. Production began in 1957. According to MIM, $25m is required to reach the projected increase in capacity building to service local reconstruction needs. Al Najaf Cement Plant Investors are asked to rehabilitate the Najaf plant from its current wet process production lines to dry process operations. Between $140m and $160m is required to increase production to 660,000 metric tons of clinker per year. Investors are asked to install a 25 MW power station. During 2008, its production reached 139,000 metric tons. The plant was originally built by ACC of India in 1973. Hammam Al –Alil Cement Plant 254 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Located in the province of Ninewah, the plant was originally constructed by Fives Cail Babcock of France in 1957 with operations starting in 1962 on its first production line of 350 metric tons per day. The second line producing 400 metric tons came on-line in 1974. Further production lines were introduced in 1979 but have been offline for some time. These need to be converted to dry process operations. MIM expects an investment of $75m to reach a target capacity of 725,000 metric tons annually. Badoosh Cement Plant Also located in the province of Ninewah is al Badoosh cement plant. About $100m is required to rehabilitate the factory to reach a production target of 1,080,000 metric tons annually. The factory was established by the West German company, Polysius, in 1956. Further production lines came online in 1977 and 1978 with a daily capacity of 1500 tons per day. Umm Qasr Cement Plant The al-Basra PIC has been heavily marketing the rehabilitation of a formerly productive cement plant strategically located near the Umm Qasr port, one of Iraq’s major international transport hubs. The factory has two production lines, each with a capacity of 50 tonnes per hour. If properly staffed, managed and rehabilitated, it could produce up to 250,000 metric tonnes per annum –which potentially could be doubled or even tripled depending on the degree of investment, and whether the plant is upgraded or simply rehabilitated from its current state. In its post-war operation, the plant exported cement and was a major supplier of Iraq’s three southern most provinces. The Umm Qasr factory is currently owned by the South General Company for Cement, which is itself affiliated to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. The factory began production in 1972 with cement used for export and for supplying the southern region. It ceased operating after 2003, and production has since become erratic due to a large number of weaknesses. However, the potential for the factory to rapidly restart operations – with government support and its strategic location near raw materials and a major shipping hub – make it a considerable opportunity. 255 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement INVESTMENT PROJECT PROFILE Name of company Al Sadda Cement Plant - Southern State Company for Cement Construction Materials Al-Sadda - Babylon Governorate Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) was 1954 Industry Address or location Contact details Year company established Total investment size US$ Purpose of Investment 140,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion Project Summary As one of the few Middle Euphrates region cement plants, and the only one in the province of Babylon, al Sadda Cement Plant is being offered under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) investment rehabilitation programme to international or Iraqi investors. In return, investor parties will be responsible for the production of clinker target of 1,000,000 tons a year by transferring it into the dry process method of cement production. The investor will under a period of 15 years, see the majority of returns directly accrue to it. One further incentive is the Government’s willingness to foot 65% of the wage bill for the duration of the project. Though the exact terms of the production sharing agreement will need to be negotiated with officials within MIM, investors will be able to own the great majority of output and sell to the Iraqi or international market. Located only 56 kms to the south of Baghdad, al Sadda plant has several key assets, the first of which is proximity to an abundance of limestone, gypsum and clay resources within its neighbouring provinces. Water supply is also in abundance within the province, and major markets in Najaf, Karbala, Baghdad and al Basra are also close. Market Assessment Overview Domestic consumption Iraq’s reconstruction activities have boosted the consumption of cement in the country. It is estimated that about 15 million tons of cement is consumed annually in Iraq. But this figure could double in the next two years due to the rapid growth in the construction market. With the full implementation of the country’s national development strategies over the medium to long term, it is estimated that cement consumption could increase by more than 16 million tons on top of the current projection. Supply 256 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Domestic supply of cement largely comes from the state owned cement companies, though in recent years some international private companies have built plants and begun producing cement. However, the country’s overall capacity is low, only producing 11% out of the national cement design capacity of 19.2 million tons. As a result, Iraq imports large quantities of cement from Kuwait, Lebanon, Turkey, Japan, India and China among other countries. Competing factories include other Government state owned enterprises in the country, where capacities are low and some of which are under rehabilitation, and from Lafarge, which has existing operations in the North of the country and investments in the Government owned Karbala plant, which should see full production by 2012 or 2013. In total, however, as the country imports the majority of its cement requirement, investors over the 15 year period will be able to sell its share of output without meeting significant competition in the market, as cement demand is increasing on an annual basis. Cement Prices Cement prices have grown rapidly over the last 7 years. Within five years from 2000 to 2005, cement prices increased by about 500%. Depending on the quality, cement prices in the market range between US$140 to US$220 per ton. Factory Details Brief History Al Sadda Cement Factory is part of the Southern State Company for Cement which is owned and managed by the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals. The factory was constructed in 1954 by the Germany Company Krupp Polysius. It started production in 1957 after securing all the necessary machinery. The factory has two production lines which produce Portland cement using the wet processing technology. In total, the factory has a production capacity of 744 tons clinker per day in total. Production of cement in the factory stopped in 1986 and the factory subsequently began producing a small amount of refractory materials in 1994. However, in 1999, maintenance allowed it to restart the production of cement. As a consequence of outdated equipment, the factory was operating at a low capacity. The situation was worsened by shortage of power supply, unavailability of spare parts and lack of new mining equipment. 257 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement The plant is situated on a 701,203 sqm plot of land of which only 66,750 sqm is comprised of built up space. The plants’ key source of limestone is situated in the province of Karbala, which is about 100 km away. Infrastructure, Inputs, Organizational and Human Resources The factory’s current raw water capacity is 50 m3 per hour which is accessed through a pumping station connected to the Euphrates River. The capacity of the industrial water system is 450 m3 per hour. The water unit in the plant is connected by three pumps to a water station. Power supply is sourced from al Sadda sub-station which has a capacity of 11 kw which in turn transfers power to the factory’s 3000 KVA plus main transformer. The factory has five additional transformers. Each one of these has a capacity of 1000 KVA. An oil boiler with a capacity of 2000 L/h is used for factory heating. It also has seven compressors that have pressure generation of between 10 and 14 bars. The factory has two main workshops, mechanical and electrical. There are three laboratories. The primary laboratory helps control raw materials and finished products. The physical Laboratory controls the physical specification and quality of output, while the chemical Laboratory helps control the chemical specification of raw materials and processed cement. Typically, the raw materials required for the production of 3000 tons per day include the following: 3620 tons of calcium carbonate limestone which is attained from the mine located 100 km from the factory. Clay of about 1552 tons located about 60 km from the factory and gypsum of 120 tons which is located about 400 km from the factory. The cost of the limestone, gypsum and clay is 35,000 ID per ton. Twenty sacks are required for each ton of cement. Each sack costs approximately 300 ID. Total production of 3,000 tons of cement Input (tons) Calcium Carbonate 3,620 Clay 1,552 Gypsum 120 The factory has a total of 794 employees made up of 640 technicians and 154 administrators. The monthly salary for the workers is estimated at US$ 478,000. Annual Production The table below shows the recent production figures for the factory since 2000. Year Cement Ton/Year Clinker Ton/Year 258 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 21171 36875 40151 24490 62690 62935 63530 27367 94624 103599 34690 57169 42591 50767 Source: MIM Investment File, 2007 Key project advantages Strong and growing demand for cement to meet Iraq’s reconstruction efforts Availability of skilled and competent labour force at competitive prices. The raw materials including limestone, clay and gypsum are available in abundance The only cement plant in the province of Babylon and one of a few in the Middle Euphrates region of Iraq. The location of the plant is near to and located about 2 hours away from Baghdad. Government is willing to foot 65% of wage bill for the duration of the project Investment Output The rehabilitation and modification of the factory is expected to increase the design capacity from 200,000 - 220,000 tons to 1 million tons of cement per year. Out of this, the investor is expected to achieve a minimum target capacity of 900,000 tons clinker per annum. The rehabilitation and modification work is expected to take between 2 to 3 years to complete. The following are the key activities that need to be completed: Crusher: The operator is required to install a new crusher with a capacity of 692 tons per hour for the dry process method. Conveyer belts will be rehabilitated to facilitate the transportation of raw materials. The existing crusher will also be modified to be used as a stand-by crusher. Raw mix stores for limestone, clay and gypsum will also need to be constructed. Raw Mill: A new raw mill and all related parts are required for the dry process. Raw mix stores with capacity of 60000 tons will also be constructed for the raw dry material. In addition, a new dryer is required to dry the raw materials before the inputs enter the crusher. 259 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Rotary Kilns: The existing kilns need to be modified to be able to produce at least 1500 tons clinker per day. The current kiln uses both oil and gas and has a diameter of 3.350 m. Clinker Cooler: This unit requires a new clinker cooler to be installed, a new bucket clinker drag chain to convey the clinker to the clinker stone, and the construction of a 900000 ton clinker store. Crane Bridges: The existing crane bridges need major maintenance both mechanically and electrically. In addition, a new crane bridge will be required. Cement Mill: The cement mill will particularly require rehabilitation and the clinker and gypsum feeders will also require new parts. Air slides also need to be installed. Similarly, a new cement mill capable to using grinding aids is required. Packing Unit: The unit needs the following: installation of a new packing machine, rehabilitation of the existing one and of the cement silos. Water Treatment Station: All the existing water pumps and water basins will have to be rehabilitated as well as the water filtering unit. Power Generation Units: A new power generation unit with a capacity of about 25 MW using fuel oil is required for the factory to operate efficiently. Quality Control Laboratories: The laboratories will have to be fitted with new instruments and devices including x- ray spectrometers. Investment Requirement The estimated cost of for the rehabilitation and modification works is $140,000,000 million. In return for this investment, the developer will be able to retain the majority share of production over 15 years, which could be sold to either Government reconstruction works or the private sector. According to MIM, profit is estimated at around $35,000,000 million a year. Privileges include tax and import concessions, investors will be exempted from the payment of import duties in relation to assets that they import for the rehabilitation and modification of the factory. The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency of the World Bank Group is also able to insure the project against liabilities invested in the plant, as well as provide financing from the International Finance Corporation (IFC). 260 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement INVESTMENT PROJECT PROFILE Name of company Al Badoosh Cement Plant - Northern State Company for Cement Cement Nineveh Governorate Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) was 1954 Industry Address or location Contact details Year company established Total investment size US$ Purpose of Investment 115,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion Project Summary Located within 25kms from Iraq’s third largest city, al Mosul, al Badoosh Cement Plant is offered under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) rehabilitation programme to foreign investors interested in partnering with the state company in return for a majority share ownership for a period of 15 years. Interested investors are asked to contact MIM to agree the exact terms of the production sharing agreement, to which training and rehabilitation of up to 90% of the plant’s 2,000,000 tons a year capacity is expected. After this period, management control will transfer to MIM, as well as any installed equipment and machinery. Investors could potentially secure International Finance Corporation (IFC) funding as well as partner with notable international operators to manage the plant. All natural resource inputs are sourced from within existing quarries that the plant is situated on, which measures in total 115,000 sqm. Investors are asked to contact MIM for information on existing natural resource reserves. Market Assessment Overview Domestic consumption The country currently consumes about 15 million tons of cement annually with demand expected to rapidly increase to about 30 million tons in the next two years due to the growth in the construction sector and development of the country’s dilapidated infrastructure. 261 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Supply Local supply of cement is limited due to the low production of existing plants. Iraq produces only 11% of the total design capacity of its state owned enterprises, which have a capacity of 19.2 million tons. The country’s reconstruction works therefore depend largely on imports from countries like Kuwait, Lebanon, Turkey, India and China. Competing factories include other Government state owned enterprises in the country, where capacity is low and some of which are under rehabilitation, and from Lafarge, which has existing operations in the North of the country and investments in the Government owned Karbala plant, which should see full production by 2012 or 2013. In total, however, as the country imports the majority of its cement requirement, investors over the 15 year period will be able to sell its share of output without meeting significant competition in the market, as cement demand is increasing on an annual basis. Cement Prices The price of cement in Iraq has rocketed over the past eight years. For instance, between 2000 and 2005 cement prices increased by about 500%. Currently, the market price for cement ranges from $140 and $220 per ton depending on quality. Factory Details Brief History The Badoosh Cement Factory is operated by the Northern State Company for Cement which is owned by the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals. The factory was established in 1954 with the technical support of the German company, Krupp Polysius. It started production in 1956 using the wet process technology. It had two production lines with each having a capacity of 300 tons per day. In 1974, Polysius Company was again contracted to implement an expansion phase of the factory. This led to the development of two more production lines based on dry process technology for the production of ordinary Portland cement. The new lines started operation in 1977 and 1978. The daily capacity of the two production lines was 1,500 tons/day each. There was an additional expansion in 1981 which was built by the Japanese and French companies IHI and FCB. The new production line which started full production in 1983 262 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement effectively added a capacity of 3,200 tons per day. This meant that by 1983, the factory had a daily production capacity of 6,800 tons. In the subsequent years, however, the factory experienced various challenges such as the economic embargo which affected the import of high quality spare parts, shortage of electricity and general lack of maintenance resulting in low productivity. Annual Production The table below provides recent annual production of clinker and cement by the factory per ton from 2000 to 2006: Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Cement 186150 273863 550579 286334 369648 477622 539170 Clinker 224670 179184 370996 311713 333050 477622 539170 Total 410820 453047 921575 598047 702698 955244 1078340 Infrastructure, Inputs, Organizational and Human Resources The factory’s electric power is currently supplied through the national grid which is the major power supply. This is however insufficient and in order to meet the target production capacity, a new power source will have to be provided. The factory has water treatment facilities though they require some level of rehabilitation. There are other facilities including compressed air and fuel facilities but they also require significant maintenance. The plant has 1433 employees, made up of 935 technicians and 498 administrators. The total monthly salary is estimated at US$249,000. The plant is about 425 km North of Baghdad with total size of approximately 1,150,000 sqm . In terms of raw materials, the table below shows the required raw materials for the production of 6800 tons/day. The cost of the raw materials is 11,334 ID per ton. Twenty sacks are required for each ton of cement sold and are priced at 300 ID per sack. According to MIM, the plant is well suited to provide a reliable supply of cement to Mosul, the second largest city in Iraq and other cities in the North of the country. 263 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Cement will be transported by truck to private sector and state owned cement depots, which are located in major cities in the country. Raw Materials Limestone carbonate) Quantity/tons Location (Calcium 8600 Clay Gypsum All raw materials are extracted from the factory’s quarries which are located close to the factory. Investors are asked to contact MIM to secure further information on reserves. 2890 550 Key Project Advantages Strong local demand for cement to feed the growing construction and infrastructure needs of the country Access to an accumulated wealth of technical expertise made up of engineers, technicians and other skilled staff to help restart operations. Raw materials for the production of the cement such as limestone, clay and gypsum are locally available and within the company’s site. As one of the largest cement plants in Iraq, the investment project could potentially meet growing consumption in Mosul, the provincial capital of Ninewah and the second largest city in the country. Investment output The factory requires thorough rehabilitation and modernization work to realize its previous design capacity of 6,800 tons a day. Rehabilitation of the factory is therefore expected to lead to a new design capacity of 2,000,000 tons cement per annum. Prospective investors are expected to operate the plant to achieve a minimum target capacity of 90% of the above design capacity. 264 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement The rehabilitation is expected to take between two and three years to complete. The following are the main rehabilitation requirements, which mainly focus on the supply of new equipment and machinery for the plant: Limestone and clay crusher: The exiting limestone and clay crusher will have to be rehabilitated to ensure proper connection to achieve a better mixture before getting to the cross belt analyser. Raw mill: The current state of the raw mill requires complete replacement with a new vertical mill with a capacity of 165 tons per hour. The investor may however choose to rehabilitate the existing raw mill but that should also lead to a capacity of 165 tons per hour. Kilns and pre-heater: A new pre-heater is required and the existing kilns will have to be shortened by 4 meters each. In addition, the factory requires new precalcinations with a capacity of 1650 tons/day each and should include all feeding systems. Storage silos: The factory has three storage silos which need to be modified to allow for continuous homogenization with a view to increasing the capacity. Rotary kilns: This needs to be rehabilitated to be able to achieve a capacity of 1500 tons/day. This will in turn require increasing the hot fuel capacity to serve the kiln and pre-calcinations requirements such as installation of a thermo-oil heater with a capacity of 800,000 kcal per hour and fuel oil heat exchanger. Cooler: The supply and installation of a new grate cooler of 1500 ton/day cooling capacity. Clinker transport: The clinker transport needs rehabilitation particularly between the clinker crusher and the end of the overhead horizontal deep bucket & pan conveyers. The clinker storing area of about 7000 sq. m. will also be covered with steel structure and metallic cladding. Reclaiming and conveying: New reclaiming facilities and a conveying system will also be procured and installed to link the clinker and the cement mill inlet. This should include seven vibrating feeders. Cement mill: Needs to be rehabilitated completely and should include the supply and installation of two new trunnions and neck bearings, lubrication system and bucket elevator. A new design separator will also be required to replace the existing two dynamic separators. All the cement transport facilities will also be replaced to increase 265 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement the mill to 100 tons an hour for each line including recycle coarse materials of 300 tons per hour, replacement of the mills internals to a productivity capacity of 100 tons per hour. Control system: The procurement and installation of new PLC system and computer control based on the latest generation of 100% fully computerized covering the production. Clay crusher: This requires major rehabilitation comprising all conveying systems and the electric installation control system. Speed variation system: Needs to be procured and installed for the kiln pre heater fan 780 kw. A frequency converter will be preferred to get a speed range of between 400 to 1000 rpm. A new squirrel cage motor and all electrical control is also needed. F.L Smidth design seals: For the inlet and outlet of the kiln, two new Denmarkmanufactured F.L Smidth design seals will have to be installed. Driving control system: Apply the latest design for the modification of the existing driving control system for the kiln. Schenck systems: The schenck systems will also require modification using the latest design. Kiln roller: The plant also requires the supply and installation of 6 new kiln roller supports. Local swishes: All the plant motors will have to be installed with site local swishes. Kiln fuel system: The kiln fuel system will be rehabilitated and all missing parts replaced. Raw mill samplers: This needs to be rehabilitated with a transport system Power: A power generation units of 45 MW or higher will be needed to guarantee the full operation of the factory. Investment Requirement 266 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Training as well as equipment replacement is required under the $115,000,000 rehabilitation project. In return, the investor will share ownership of production output for a period spanning fifteen years. After this date, management will transfer to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals as well as any equipment invested in the plant. The specific production sharing agreement can be discussed with the MIM. The state company has an extensive customer base which will give the investor a ready market for its share of production, particularly with sister Government agencies, which includes the Ministry of Trade and the Ministry of Housing and Construction. Clients include the Governorate Council, the Ministry of Municipalities, the Ministry of Housing and Construction, and the Ministry of Oil. The project will also sell cement to wholesale private sector depots in the North of the country. According to MIM, an annual profit of $147,000,000 million is expected once the plant is fully rehabilitated. The investor will be exempted from the payment of duties on the importation of equipment and machinery. In addition, the investor could also register for insurance coverage with the Multilateral Investment guarantee Agency of the World Bank. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) would also be interested in receiving investor business plans and feasibility studies, where the private sector arm of the World Bank could consider providing a loan facility to the project. 267 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Najaf Cement Plant – State Company for Southern Cement Cement Al Najaf Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 1973 160,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion Project Summary Under the proposed investment project, prospective partners with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) are asked to modify and rehabilitate the factory in order to transform it from its existing wet production process to the modern dry production process. The target design capacity will be increased from the 700 tons a day it is currently capable of producing, to at least 2,000 tons of clinker a day. The investment opportunity is designed under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals rehabilitation program, which allows the investor to rehabilitate and modify the factory with modern technology, and to manage and operate the factory for a certain period of time. In return, the prospective investor will secure a share of the factory’s production over a period of 15 years or less depending on the nature of the investment proposal. Investors can draw on international financial institutions, including the World Bank’s International Finance Corporation (IFC), to support rehabilitation efforts. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption The domestic market for cement usage has grown rapidly since 2003 when major reconstruction and large scale construction efforts began. It is estimated that Iraq currently consumes about 15 million tons of cement per annum. This figure is, however, expected to significantly increase in the next few years. MIM conservatively estimates that domestic demand for cement could reach as high as 30 million tons by 2014. Domestic supply Domestic production of cement in Iraq has over the past decade not being able to meet local demand. This is primarily due to the fact that cement production companies in the country, which are mostly state owned, have been operating far lower than their design capacity. As of 2009, the combined production of all the cement operating companies in 268 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement Iraq was estimated at some 3 million tons while their actual design capacity was 19.2 million tons. Iraq only produces around 11% of its full cement capacity, according to MIM. Competing factories include other Government state owned enterprises in the country, where capacity is low and some of which are under rehabilitation, and from Lafarge, which has existing operations in the North of the country and investments in the Government owned Karbala plant, which should see full production by 2012 or 2013. In total, however, as the country imports the majority of its cement requirement, investors over the 15 year period will be able to sell its share of output without meeting significant competition in the market, as cement demand is increasing on an annual basis. Market Prices of Cement The inability of local production to meet increased demand, and the rapidly rising demand for cement, which is also used in the production of other construction materials such as bricks and blocks, has led to a significant increase in the price of cement in Iraq. Cement prices have increased by 500% from 2000 to 2005. In December 2010, depending on the quality of the cement, wholesale prices were between $140 to $220 per ton. Key Project Advantages Abundant supplies of raw materials near the plant Proximity to growing local markets, including reconstruction efforts in Baghdad, Najaf and Karbala Secure markets through Government cement procurement deals Factory details Brief history The Najaf Cement Factory is a state owned enterprise that is part of the State Company of Southern Cement. The factory was established in 1973 to produce Portland cement using the wet processing method. It is located in Kufa city/ Najaf Governorate, about 160 km South West of Baghdad. The factory currently has one production line which has an original design capacity of 700 tons of clinker a day. 269 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement The company has the following main units: a 5 ton capacity crane bridge; a cement packing unit; 5,200 ton cement capacity silos; a 50 tons/hour cement mill capacity; a water treatment unit; the main power station and a packing machine of capacity 100 tons/hour. The factory has six major departments including the raw material quarry containing limestone and clay; a crusher and its related parts, with a production capacity 60 tons/hour; raw mill and related parts with a capacity of 60 tons/hour; an 80 m3/hour clay mill; a rotary kiln and related parts, with a capacity 700 tons/day; and a rotary cooler and related parts department. Annual Production Whilst the factory has a design capacity of 700 tons clinker a day, it has been unable to reach this capacity due to a lack of spare parts, poor maintenance, and the shortage of electricity. According to MIM, 2008 saw a production jump from previous years to 139,000 tons, which is still significantly below capacity. Due to power supply shortages, the plant was operational for a limited part of the year. The table below shows the actual production of the factory from 1995 to 2006. Annual production from 1995 to 2006 in Tons: Year Clinker Cement 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 132020 149898 120586 146163 54292 110589 62061 87087 131503 160661 178680 151486 52904 109912 121896 96461 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment Department 2007 Infrastructure, Inputs and human resources The Najaf Cement Factory has access to abundant raw materials such as limestone, gypsum, clay and fuel oil which are all located very close to the factory. In terms of raw material inputs, the factory uses between 70-75% of limestone, some 25-30% of Clay and 3-4% of gypsum. Limestone, which is the most important raw material in the production of cement, is found in close proximity to the plant. The limestone is also of high quality with a high percentage of calcium carbonate, which means that more meal is produced per ton of 270 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement limestone. The factory obtains its limestone from the limestone quarry which is located about 23 km from the factory. Also, the factory gets its ordinary clay from different clay quarries, which are about 25 km from the factory. Investors are asked to enquire within MIM for information on the nature of clay and limestone reserves. The factory also has accumulated technical and managerial competence. Its workforce is made up of 575 engineers, technicians and administrative staff involved in production and maintenance. The total annual salary is estimated at $3,000,000. Current Status of the Factory The current status of the Najaf Cement Factory is described below. In general, while most of the plant’s units are in working condition, their operational efficiency is largely undermined due to the unavailability of spare parts and lack of major maintenance. Component or Unit Description Crusher and related It is currently working on a capacity that is close to its design parts capacity but some spare parts are required to improve operations. Raw mill It is in a working state at present but requires new spare parts which have been affecting its operational performance. Clay wash It is in a good working condition. Kiln and related parts It is working on a capacity close to its design capacity, but there are some problems with several related parts. Rotary clinker cooler It is working but spare parts for cooler related parts are needed. Crane bridges The crane bridges regularly experience breakdown because the spare parts currently used are either modified or locally manufactured. Requires new spare parts Cement mill and related Cement mill capacity is far higher than design capacity, parts because its spare parts are locally manufactured. Packing unit and related It is currently working on a capacity of 100 tons/hour. parts However, it requires spare parts. The agitating unit of cement silos is not working. Water treatment station This is in a good state and consists of several water pumps which pump water and supply both drinking and industrial water to the different production departments. Power station It is working presently but most of its parts are old and need to be replaced. Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment Department 2007 Investment Output 271 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement The main rehabilitation activities expected to be completed for the dry processing to begin, and to achieve the target of 2000 clinker tons/day, are detailed below. Most of these efforts involve the procurement of new machinery and spare parts. Crusher – The installation of a new crusher with a capacity of 660 tons/hour to suit the dry process method. This will also include conveyer belts for transporting raw material, raw material stores, as well as the modification of the present crusher, to be used as a spare. Raw mill – The installation of a new raw mill (vertical mill) with all of its related parts to meet the demands of the dry process. It will also include the construction of raw mix stores for raw dry material with capacity of 200,000 ton. A dryer will also be required to dry raw materials before entering the crusher. Rotary kiln – The present kiln needs to be modified and qualified to produce no less than 2000 ton clinker/day depending on the dry process method. Clinker cooler – Installation of a new clinker cooler to meet the requirements that will be stated in the technical study employed by the investor. This component will also involve the installation of a new bucket clinker drag chains conveying clinker to the clinker stone and a construction of a new clinker stone, with capacity about 60000 ton clinker. Crane bridges – An additional crane bridge with the same specification as the existing ones to suite the design of the factory after the modification process. Cement mill – The provision of spare parts for the clinker and gypsum feeders in both the mechanical and electrical sides. There will also be modifications to the old raw mill and cement mill and the installation of air slides. A new unit is also required to allow for the use of grinding aids. Packing unit – There will be an installation of a new packing machine to meet the specification of the present packing machine and the cement silos. Water treatment station – The existing pump and water basins and water filtering units also need to be improved. Power station – A new power plant will be constructed capable of using oil fuel to provide power supply for the factory. Quality control laboratories – The supply of instruments, devices and chemicals including x- ray spectrometer for cement analysis for all the laboratories. Investment Requirement 272 Sector and Investment Profiles – Cement It is expected that the investor will finance the project with $160,000,000, which is required for the factory to use the dry processing method and increase production capacity. As a state owned company, the investment will be a public private partnership. The investor will take a majority proportion of the factory’s production over 15 years or less. The structure of any production sharing agreement is open to negotiations with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals. This investment opportunity is available to both Iraqi and foreign investors. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, a profit of $12,500,000 is expected per annum meaning that the payback period for the investment opportunity will be 5 years (MIM, 2009 Investment Guide). The prospective investor is exempted from taxes and duties on imported assets and will be insured and guaranteed under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank Group. 273 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Sector Profile – Construction Materials I: Regulatory and Policy Environment Key ministries and associated agencies The Ministry of Construction and Housing (MoCH) is the primary regulatory body for the construction industry in Iraq. The MoCH operates through specialised agencies with over 24,000 permanent and contract staff actively engaged in designing plans and supervising construction activities in the country. The MoCH’s technical team gathers data on the Ministry’s and its agencies’ performance in order to suggest staff training programmes for MoCH staff. Affiliated to the MoCH is the National Centre for Constructional Laboratories and Building Research (NCCLR). This agency conducts structural assessments and quality control, provides technical consultation and research, offers facilities, laboratory training and financial aid to students and engineers in training. It tests construction materials, analyses soil content for all construction projects, and conducts geophysical tests such as seismic wave tests and soil electrical resistance tests. Established in 1969, the Building Research Centre (BRC) conducts research in buildings and structures: it conducts experiments to improve the performance of local building materials and secondary products, provides technical consultancy services to the government regarding materials and construction engineering, and issues certifications for quality assurance of local building materials. The Centre’s applied research aims at improving the performance of local building materials and their secondary products, with a view to substituting imports. The MoCH works closely with the General Office for Works and Maintenance (GOWM) in developing the policies and regulations that govern the sector. The GOWM has supervised the management and construction quality control of both private and publicbacked projects carried out by Iraqi and foreign companies for years. It has engaged with companies in different engineering fields such as multi-purpose buildings, service networks, airports, water supply, sanitation and electrical power stations. It has the capacity to design project maintenance schemes for any type of buildings and network assessment. It also engages in bid analyses, construction documents and construction supervision. The Office plays a supervisory role in the construction industry. Current investment environment in Iraq The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006 is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. Iraq’s NIL provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s greater strategy to attract 274 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials foreign investment in Iraq, including the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. The GOI also took a number of steps to further improve the investment climate in 2009, including amending the NIL 2006 to allow limited foreign ownership of land for the building of social housing, which has opened up construction opportunities in the country. The region of Kurdistan has a separate Investment Law. The government has been actively involved in a number of investment initiatives aimed at improving the policy environment for foreign and local investment. Over the past months two major construction exhibitions have been organized. The Erbil International Fair which was held (18-21 October 2010) featured exhibitors from several sectors interested in the construction sector. The Construction Fair Project Iraq (September 2010) featured some 300 exhibiting companies from 23 countries focusing on building equipment and electrical appliances for the construction industry. The NIL of 2006 established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs) designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. The NIC and PICs in Governorates across the country have been instrumental in creating a policy environment that is conducive for the construction sector in the country. Over the past three years they have been actively engaged in trade missions in Iraq and abroad, organized investment conferences and workshops and initiated other promotional strategies. All these actions are geared towards providing a policy and regulatory environment that allows for a vibrant and progressive construction industry in Iraq, particularly since the industry has been identified by NDP as vital for economic growth and for the development of the country. Law No. 22 of 1997 pertaining to the nature of SOEs focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. Together with the National Investment Law of 2006, it also protects foreign investment in the sector. In October 2010, the World Bank’s political risk insurance arm, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) announced that it would insure a Turkish company’s investment is in a polyethylene terephthalate plant, 17km south-east of Baghdad.179 The $5m guarantee is the first of its kind, and will insure against expropriation, war and civil disturbance, and currency risks. 179Stuart Matthews Construction Week, 6 November 2010 275 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials II: Iraq’s Construction Market Demand There is high demand to improve infrastructural development in Iraq, by way of reconstruction and rehabilitation activities. Since 2003, there is increasing need to invest in water supply, construction of waste water purification plants, electricity power plants, hospitals, schools, housing construction, highways, airlines, bridges and ports. But reconstruction efforts have gained particularly significant momentum during the last three years as security situation improves. Growing confidence in Iraq’s economic prospects has led to a growing demand for buildings and the acceleration of infrastructure projects across the country. There is potential for large size projects - the refurbishing and building of oil installations, electricity, water and sewage treatment plants and the upgrading of ports, roads, airport, bridges, highways, hospitals and schools. Reconstruction needs also extend to include new dams, modern office buildings, industrial parks, new universities, sports stadiums, municipal buildings and regional development hubs. Foreign capital and expertise are particularly sought as the country plans to develop its industrial base. Investment opportunities in Iraq’s construction sector in turn drive demand for construction expertise, contractors/developers, suppliers of construction inputs, and capital. The reconstruction of Iraq’s dilapidated infrastructure has rejuvenated the construction materials market, especially cement, which is expected to grow rapidly in coming years. The scale of many of the projects in the industrial and commercial sectors is massive, requiring huge investments in construction materials. As the construction sector takes off, equipment, finishing products, engineering skills, technology, environmental expertise and maintenance systems are also in high demand. Substantial opportunities exist in the construction market across Iraq. There is a need for significant reconstruction work in the five major cities where approximately twothirds of the population resides. Baghdad alone (29% of the population of Iraq) needs major restoration, rehabilitation and development, including of cultural and commercial buildings, to enable it to become a modern capital. There are great prospects for companies using new technologies in building and design to develop innovative constructions, consistent with architectural development of the Middle-East. The opportunities for the private sector in the construction market are therefore tremendous. Construction Materials and Prices The construction materials market in Iraq is made up of both locally produced products and imports. This has had a profound effect on the prices of construction materials. The 276 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials current sale price of standard perforated bricks in al Fallujah is $125 per 1000 bricks. For paving bricks, the cost is slightly higher, at $150 per 1000 bricks. The main construction materials in Iraq are blocks, stones, sand, pebbles, cement, plaster, tile, iron, doors, windows, electrical installations and sanitary installations. Suppliers of domestic materials lack the capacity, investment, skills and technology to tap into lucrative new business opportunities. SOEs producing construction materials require investment partners. In their current state, many SOEs are routinely utilising 20% or less of their production capacities. There are therefore significant opportunities to invest in existing SOEs to take advantage of the growing market. Reconstruction expenditure Since 2003, USAID has allocated about $33.8 billion for Iraq’s reconstruction. Contributions from the rest of the donor community amount to about $17.25 billion in grants or loans. This adds to the investment of the Iraqi government, itself, which has allocated billions of dollars for the country’s reconstruction. Expenditure on construction has surged as a result. A conservative estimate by USAID put the value at $150bn as of 2010 (See Table below). In 2005 the Government of Iraq allocated some $5.2bn of the national budget to reconstruction projects, which included water projects, roads, and bridges.180 In 2010, GOI allocated over $16bn to reconstruction. The government can access over $100bn in international donors funds, including the Development Fund for Iraq, US appropriations and funds pledged at the Madrid donor conference. Additionally, the provinces are increasingly financing infrastructure and other building projects through their own self-generated funds. Ambitious draft plans for infrastructure and reconstruction for Baghdad exceeded $23.85 billion in 2008 from the Development Fund for Iraq. A recent report on Iraq’s infrastructure noted that the rise in reconstruction, maintenance and construction projects would require an investment capital of an additional $100bn181. Table: Reconstruction Expenditure and Additional Investment Required Investment Expenditure $150 billion 180U.S Description Spent on reconstruction works from 2003 – 2010 Commercial Services: The Iraqi Market for Construction Equipment March, 2005. Bulletin Monday, 05 July 2010 13:23. 181World 277 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials $5.2 billion $33.8 billion $16 billion Iraqi Government construction budget for 2005 Capital allocated by US government on reconstruction since 2003 Capital contributions from other international donors in grants and loans since 2003 Iraqi Government construction budget for 2009 $ 100 billion Additional investment required for the construction sector. $11.5 billion Source: USAID, US Commercial Services, World Bulletin, 2010. Supply Construction Firms, Numbers and Types The construction market consists of 15 state-owned general construction enterprises, private Iraqi companies and international companies. Most state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are affiliated to the MoCH. Some of them have gradually developed and are continuing to enhance their capacity to handle major construction projects either on their own or in partnership with foreign construction companies. Large foreign construction companies have been instrumental in rebuilding the country’s power and water facilities, bridges, roads, schools and other infrastructure. Although domestic construction companies have engaged in construction projects only a few have the capacity to handle large scale reconstruction projects. Amongst the foreign construction companies, US firms have played a leading role in rebuilding and reconstructing the country. Eight long-term construction contracts were dominated by US firms, including capital construction, seaport administration, education, local governance, personnel support, airport administration, logistical support and public health. Only a small portion of the US$1.7bn allocated by the US for reconstruction in Iraq in the immediate aftermath of the war went to other foreign subcontractors. 800 local construction companies are operating on small scale projects as architects, quantity surveyors, engineers and building contractors. Construction materials companies The State Company for Glass and Ceramic Industries uses local sand and other materials to produce glass, bottles, ceramic wall and floor tiles and sanitary ware. The State Company for Iron and Steel produces rebars and sections for the construction sector 278 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Al-Sumood State Company for Steel Industries manufactures products for the construction sector such as girders and lighting poles. Other foreign construction companies from the Middle East, Austria, Brazil, Denmark and Russia, have engaged in one way or another in various reconstruction and new construction projects. Key players in the construction sector in Iraq include Akila Company (Kuwait), the real estate developer Al-Maabar (UAE), Karo Dis Ticaret ve Sanayi (Turkey), Orascom Construction Industries (Egypt), Caterpillar (US), Lafarge (France), Rotana and other consortia involving OCI/Faruk Rasool Group/Blair Sayed Magid. Employment in Construction Companies The table below profiles some construction companies in Iraq, mostly SOEs, and the number of employees in their workforce. Table: Employment in the construction industry in Iraq No. 1 2 3 4 Company State Company for Construction Industries State Company for Refractories Industry National Centre for Engineering and Consultancy 9 The National Centre for Construction laboratory and Research (NCCLR) Building Research Centre (BRC) The General Office for Works and Maintenance (GOWM) Engineering Construction Office Al-Mansour Contracting Company Saad Construction Company 10 Al-Fao Contracting Company 11 12 Al-Farouq Contracting Company Al-Salam State Company 13 Al-Rashed 5 6 7 8 Contracting Detailed Employment Description As of 2009 - total workforce: 8,307 employees (production staff: 6,543, administrative staff:1,764). The company has some 779 employees (production staff: 548, administrative staff:231). Total staff: 435 (41% engineers, 25% technicians 34% administrative staff). Their experience is necessary to for clients ‘consultative and design services. 991 employees (228 engineers, 274 technicians and 203 craftsmen, amongst others). 162 NCCLR branches are spread across all governorates in the north, centre and south of Iraq. 138 employees. The BRC is self-financed. It provides profitable services to external beneficiaries. 745 employees (212 engineering staff, 72 technical staff, 211 handicraft staff and about 250 administrative staff). Total staff: 2,664 (384 engineers, 438 technical staff, 1,522 craftsmen. The rest is support staff). Total staff: 1,670 (including 345 engineers and 241 technical staff). Total workforce: 518 (296 engineers, 293 technicians and 32 scientists). 3,761 employees (757 engineers, 2,604 technicians, academics and craftsmen, 399 administrative staff. 1,286 employees (233 engineers, 179 technical staff). 799 employees. 56 are chief engineers who make up the senior management of the company, and were trained in Europe, Asia and North America. 1,102 employees (including 209 engineers, 92 technicians, 474 279 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Company Al-Mutasim State Company for Construction 14 craftsmen). 1,204 employees technicians). (including 241 engineers and 237 III: Civil Engineering Construction Market The NIC and PICs have been promoting investment in civil engineering projects in urban and rural areas. Water and Sewage The reconstruction, restoration and construction of new water and sewage systems are urgent and in high demand. Little more than 6% of the population has access to water treatment plants. The majority of the population depends on the supply of water from private individuals who operate tanks and distribute water to households, often in unsanitary conditions. In rural areas where 30% of the population live, there are virtually no sewage plants. The existing sewage systems have not had any major maintenance work done, which limits their operational effectiveness.. After the war in 2003 the Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works (MMPW) together with the Water Sector of the Project and Contracting Office (PCO) propose various construction activities to improve the water situation in the country. These projects are seeking investment and technical expertise. Key water projects include: Nasiriyah Water Supply Project – The construction of a new treatment plant and a 70km pipeline worth $172m supplying water to approximately 1m people. Baghdad Wathba and Whada Water Treatment Plant Rehabilitations – The refurbishment of two existing treatment works valued at $14m to improve water quality and increase output. Basrah Sewerage - The $53m construction project involved cleaning the existing sewer, completing partly built pump stations, replacing missing pipelines, connecting three new drainage areas to the main sewer and replacing inlet works at the main treatment facility. Mosul Dam – The reconstruction of this dam is a top priority due to the potential risk of dam failure and increased erosion and seepage problems in its foundation. Basrah Sweetwater Canal – The reconstruction of the 240km long canal to enhance the carrying of raw water from Al-Gharraf River to Basrah. 280 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Other projects that have received investments include: Nasiriyah Drainage Pumping Station – This is the biggest pumping station in the Middle East, containing 12 pumps, each with a capacity of 20m3/sec. Companies from Austria, Brazil and Russia are involved in the reconstruction work. The plant pumps the drainage water underneath the Euphrates. Irrigation projects in central and southern Iraq depend on the successful completion of the project. The Kurdistan Regional Government is constructing a large dam in the village of Aqhoban in the Hiran region, in collaboration with the Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources. The Ministry allocated more than ID 6bn for the project, which is being implemented by two companies.182 The dam will collect rainwater and water from nearby springs to help irrigate arable lands, increase the groundwater level and help generate electricity. GOI and development partners are constructing smaller water plants across Iraq. In 2009 ninety-one water and sewage projects were constructed in Karbala at a total cost of ID 41bn.183 The government recently announced a $5.5bn investment for water and sewage works in different parts of Iraq.184 There are other big water and sewage infrastructure projects in the offering. The Ministry of Water Resources General Directorate for Dams and Storage Tanks recently allocated billions of Iraqi Dinars from its annual investment budget to build 13 big and small dams in northern and southern Iraq over the next years. Seven large dams with a storage capacity of 10.9 billion m3 with capacity of 27 billion m3 will be built in the northern region and the partially-built Bakhmah and Badush dams will be rebuilt. Smaller dams with a storage capacity of 95 million m3 and 11.19 million m3 are being built in Al-Anbar, Kirkuk and Diyala governorates. UAE-based Metito partnered with Al Mustakbal Al Saeed in a $28.3 million deal to increase the provision of potable water across Iraq and to design and build a water treatment facility in Karbala. Metito are also present in other areas of Iraq in partnership with local Iraqi firms.185 Road Transport 182Iraq Business News 25 October 2010. Iraq Business News, 15 January 2010. 184Stuart Matthews Construction Week, 6 November 2010. 185 Iraq Business News, 1 November 2010. 183 281 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Reconstruction of the transport network has been singled out as a top priority for the Government of Iraq,186 particularly the repair and replacement of bridges and roads. Iraq has about 30,000 miles of roads and highways most of which was constructed in the 1970s and 1980s. They have not been adequately maintained. Iraq’s cities are connected through a series of 'primary' roads with smaller secondary roads connecting towns and cities. Most of these roads require major reconstruction works and expansion. The reconstruction of Baghdad is underway with the renovation of roads in Sadr City (2.5 million people). There have also been works on the Saffi Al-Din Al-Heli Street at Zain Al-Qaws intersection and plans exist for renovation of the streets of Zayn Al-Qaws, Al-Ommal and Missan. An assessment of Iraq’s road and bridges sector showed that the sector required an investment of US$1.034bn. Major targets for development included the completion of the highway in the South, the replacement of floating bridges with permanent bridges, improvements in the linkages between major traffic routes, expansion of rural road networks and the dualisation of primary networks. The MoCH is actively involved in funding roads and bridges. Over the past few years it has initiated the following projects: Reconstruction of Dair river bridge ($16.6m) Construction of a Karbala ring road ($2m) Rehabilitation of 110km of rural roads across Iraq ($11m) Replacement of 4 floating bridges with permanent fixed bridges ($17.3m) Redevelopment of Tariq, Al-Sadr City ($2.5m) The preliminary stages have been completed for the construction of a 128km-long transportation canal that will run from northern to southern Basra. The concretelayered transportation canal worth $299m will have a discharge capacity of 30m3/second.187 The road infrastructural construction in Iraq is a huge investment as the government plans to invest some $8bn188 in the coming years to improving the country’s roads, highways and bridges. The GOI recently committed a $5m bridge linking Kirkuk to Mosul189 and a project to ease road congestion in Erbil, which involves the construction of two overpasses and underpasses, which is currently being put out to tender.190 Railway Links National Development Plan 2010-2014, Ministry of Planning, p. 88. Matthews Construction Week, 6 November 2010. 188Stuart Matthews Construction Week, 6 November 2010. 189 Iraq Business News, 27 September 2010. 190 Iraq Business News, 17 October 2010. 186 187Stuart 282 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Iraq has one of the oldest railway networks in the Middle East, linking it to Syria and Turkey, but like other transport infrastructure the railway network has not been rehabilitated for many years. Iraq has 1,525 miles of track but nearly half is in very bad condition. During the 2003 hostilities many of the country’s 107 rail stations were looted and destroyed. At present only 10 trains operate daily in Iraq. Billions of dollars will need to be invested in coming years to rehabilitate and expand the network. It is expected that a major investment in locomotive cars, trucks, and equipment will raise the amount to 30 trains/day and increase the average speed from 30 km/h to 90 km/h.191Recent reconstruction in the railway sector includes the first and second stage Hilla – Basra railways, which have been rehabilitated and opened for use. Works on the third stage are expected to be launched soon and will involve a railway linking al-Diwaniya and al-Samawa. Iraq plans to build and rehabilitate six major railway lines across the country in the next five years. When completed in 2014 the six major rail lines will form Iraq’s national railway network and will cover more than 1,243km. This investment opportunity is open to all local and foreign investors and developers, as is the bidding process. The table below lists some investment opportunities in the railway sector. Table: Railway Investment Opportunities in Iraq No. 1 Project Description The rehabilitation of the North-South line. It runs from Salahaddin province in northern Iraq through Baghdad, Kut, Aumarrah to Basra in the south. The line will be 700km in length. 2 The construction of this rail line will connect Baghdad in the centre of the country with Baquba, Kirkuk, Irbil and Mosul in the far north. 3 A new Baghdad Circular Railway worth $3bn involves building a 112km loop line around Baghdad itself. When complete, the line will be able to transport 23 million passengers a year and 46 million tonnes of goods. 4 This investment project will build a 228km line that will run from Musaib through Karbala and Najaf and on to Samawah in the south. This line will have 14 stations and will be able to carry eight million passengers a year. 5 The Karbala-Ramadi railway will run from Karbala in the south to Ramadi, west of Baghdad. This 113-kilometre railway is designed to connect the southern provinces of Karbala and Najaf with the phosphate mine in Akashat. 6 This rail project involves building a new 90km, predominantly freight line, which will connect the Grand Faw Port in Basra with the national railway network. Source: MEED April 2010 191U.S Commercial Services: The Iraqi Market for Construction Equipment March, 2005. 283 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Air Transport All Iraq’s airports have been subject to years of lack of renovation and maintenance, including the international airports in Baghdad and Basra and the major domestic airports of Mosul, Kirkuk and Erbil. Air traffic control equipment and services are especially outdated. Although some airports have been upgraded, and regional airports have been constructed, a lot of work remains to be done to reach international standards. Among the major airport construction works that have been completed in Iraq since 2003 is the Sulaimaniyah International Airport, which was completed in July 2005. The airport is one of the busiest in the country recording 2,381 flights to and from the airport between January-August 2010, with a total of 107,581 passengers.192 As Iraq opens up to the wider world, the number of passengers using air travel to and around Iraq will increase. Huge investment opportunities in the aviation sector exist to rebuild existing airports and to build new ones to serve growing demand. According to estimates, more than $150b of airport and logistics infrastructure is being considered in Iraq. Some of the interested bidders reportedly include the British Aviation Group, German Airports Group, Gulf Ground Handling Association, Middle East Aerospace Consortium and others.193 In September 2010 a group of Swiss and Russian firms completed the design for the construction of a civil airport in Amara city in Maysan province.194 The Iraqi Defense Ministry has also approved the allocation of part of Al-Imam Ali air base to build a civilian airport and a new airport to be constructed in the Dhi Qar provincial council is expected to commence soon, pending investment. In July 2010 the province of Duhok sealed a contract with the Lebanese company Dar Al Handasah to build an international airport at a cost of $5m.195 The project is expected to start next year. The NIC has also been inviting bids from prospective investors for the construction of the Al-Furat Al-Awsat airport. When completed it is expected that the new airport will cater to the 12 million pilgrims that visit the area each year. Another important airport that is currently under construction is the $37.2m airport on the south-eastern edge of Najaf. Ports and Harbours Iraq has six ports and one deep water harbour in the southeast of the country at Umm Qasr. In order to handle increasing trade activities and higher volumes these ports need to be upgraded to international standards. Ports and harbours are fundamental to the AKnews, 04 September 2010. Info FZ and GulfNews, 11 October 2010. 194Aswat al-Iraq news agency, 24 September 2010. 195Al SumariaTV, 08 July 2010. 192 193AME 284 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials expansion of Iraq’s industrial export products, which are projected to grow significantly in coming years. Plans to construct 9 new quays in Basra’s Umm Qasr harbour will increase its capacity to be able to deal with increased activity in the country. It is expected that the refurbishment will improve navigational depths to allow the smooth entry of different sized cargo ships. There are Currently 21 quays in the harbour. Dredging at the Umm Qasr port has increased the depth to 12 metres, enabling it to handle bigger ships. Gulftainer (UAE), in partnership with the Iraqi company Mas al-Basrah, will launch a new container-dock project at Basra port to increase capacity considerably to nearly 60,000 tonnes a year, with a $500m investment.196 Al Faw Sea Port will be the location for 100 berth deep Basra Grand Port. IV: Investment Opportunities Apart from opportunities listed above, the construction industry also offers a wide range of investment opportunities in building power plants, metallurgy, construction materials, and non-residential construction. Heavy Industry Power Engineering The construction of power plants is a top priority for the Iraqi government. Iraq hopes to triple its electricity capacity over the next four years from the current 9,000MW to 27,000MW. In late November 2010 the Ministry of Electricity requested bids on projects to install and run 22 gas turbines that could boost its power generating capacity by 30%. The 22 gas turbines, valued at $40 million each, will reportedly be installed in Diwaniya, Muthanna, Maysan and Basra provinces.197 The turbines will produce 125MW each, or 2,750MW in total, more than 10% of Iraq’s ultimate goal of 27,000 MW. The turbines were purchased in 2008 along with 50 more turbines from GE and Siemens,worth$5bn. The agreement envisages that the bidding companies will build the plants, install and operate the turbines and then sell the power back to GOI for up to 25 years. On-going projects in the construction of power plants include a recent agreement between Karbala’s local government and a Danish company to install five new electrical generators. Three units will have a capacity of 30MW while the other two will have a 196 Iraq Business News, 28 September 2010. Business News, 24 November 2010. 197Iraq 285 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials capacity of 20MW. The project is expected to be completed within 22 months. The province recently signed another contract with the American company Caterpillar to build a power station with a capacity of 100MW.198 In October 2010 French engineering group Alstom reportedly signed a €20m ($27.83m; ID 33bn) contract with the Government of Iraq to rehabilitate a unit at one of its power plants.199 The deal includes the rehabilitation of a unit at the gas-fired power station in Najaf. The unit has been out of operation for five years, but it is expected to function by the summer of 2011. Power plants are being constructed in many parts of the country and many are in the investment pipeline. For instance, the construction of two new power stations has been proposed in Rumaila and Shatt-al-Arab. Metallurgy Iraq is endowed with natural resources that can be extracted for the metallurgy industry. There are great opportunities for foreign producers and competent domestic producers to downstream and extract the ample deposits of iron ore, copper, gypsum, bitumen, dolomite, and marble at grades suitable for commercial use. Currently some state-owned construction supply companies dominate the sector but they typically use less than 20% of their production capacities. The State Company for Geological Survey and Mining has been active in the metallurgy industry over the years. The company recently announced an opportunity for the private sector to invest some $10m to rehabilitate and improve its surveying, mining and processing capabilities. The investment will also be used to tap into the rich store of natural resources such as glass sand, iron ore, clay materials, limestone and gravel. Industrial Construction Opportunities Iraq has initiated various industrial projects aimed at preparing the ground for the creation of an industrial hub in the region. The GOI is doing this in two ways. Firstly, it aims to consolidate its nascent industries by encouraging greater investments by way of private sector participation in SOEs. Secondly, it is seeking private investments in the development of various Greenfield industrial projects across the country. Most state-owned construction companies are required to seek partnerships with private companies as a precondition for government contracts. This is part of GOI attempts to boost private involvement in Iraq’s industrial construction sector. 198AKnews, 199Iraq 13 November 2010. Business News, 25 October 2010. 286 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials State Company for Construction Industries – proposed expansion with private sector investment. The proposed expansion programme would allow the company to rehabilitate and upgrade its plants for the production of bricks and plastic pipes. The company requires $15m (including $3m for plastic pipes in Baghdad and $2m for its plastics plant in Mesan). Part of the investment would also upgrade its buildings’ concrete structures. The rehabilitation would lead to an increase in capacity of 200m bricks for the plant. The investment would generate a turnover of $45m. The payback period for investors is expected to be 5 years. State Company for Refractories Industry – proposed expansion with private sector investment. A $21m investment is sought as part of the State Company for Refractories Industry’s expansion drive. The investment will go into the building of a new plant to produce high alumina bricks with a production capacity of 7,500 tons and the upgrade of the existing refractory plant to reach a capacity of 15,000 tons. The investment will also enhance the production of mortar production. When completed the company expects to get a turnover of $13.5m and the payback period for participating investors is 4.5 years. Cement sector The cement sector is particularly crucial to building the industrial base and the construction sector at large. Since the reconstruction began in 2003 several cement plants have been constructed to meet the growing needs of the construction industry. It is estimated that Iraq consumes 15 million tons of cement yearly, with Iraqi Ministries being the largest consumers.200The Ministry of Industry and Minerals has been at the forefront in encouraging the licensing of construction material producers in Iraq. In the cement sector it has granted licenses to producers and initiated private public partnerships to rehabilitate major state-run cement factories. For instance, Lafarge, the world leader in building material production, recently built two cement plants in Iraq whose total capacity now reaches one quarter of domestic Iraqi production. Various contracts were also recently awarded to international investors from Germany, Romania and Lebanon for the rehabilitation of three plants in the country. It is expected that the completion of the projects will increase the country’s cement production capacity from about 5m tonnes/year to 25m tonnes/year. The investors are injecting about $67.6m. The public – private consortia will manage cement plants, increase their production and receive a share of profits whilst the Iraqi government continues to retain ownership. 200Stuart Matthews Construction Week, 6 November 2010. 287 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Egypt’s Orascom Construction Industries was awarded permit to invest $300m in a new northern Iraq cement plant. The investment was part of a consortium made up of OCI/Faruk Rasool Group/Blair Sayed Magid to build the cement plant in the Bazian area in the Kurdish region of the country. The new plant has a capacity of 2.5 million tonnes of cement/year. The OCI and the Faruk Rasool Group, a prominent Kurdish industrial group, had earlier signed a 12-year lease on a cement plant at Tasluja, near Sulaimaniya, which had a capacity of 2.3 million tonnes/year in 2006. This project is now owned and operated by Lafarge. Other major industrial projects are being pursued by private foreign companies. STX Korea Heavy Industries is constructing a $3.2 billion petrochemical complex in Basra, which is expected to be fully operational by 2014. The plant will produce ethylene, propylene, polyethylene and polyvinyl chloride (PVC). STX will also construct a $3bn iron and steel plant in Basra to produce some 3million tonnes. Sinoma (Suzhou) Construction Company signed a $112.5m deal with an Iraqi investment firm to construct a cement plant in Sulaimaniyah and produce more than 5,000 tonnes/day.201 Muthanna governorate continues to attract investors wishing to develop cement factories in the region. A Kuwaiti firm, al-Mahamed, received a licence to establish a cement factory.202The Salahaddin Province to the north of Baghdad signed an agreement with Sonoro Energy Iraq and Berkeley Petroleum Mesopotamia Asphalts Limited to explore, develop and produce asphalts and related products, and to make them available for sale both locally and internationally. Investors committed to a minimum investment of $1.5 m.203 Commercial and Services Construction Opportunities The development of the commercial and services sector in Iraq will complement the country’s industrial development. There are therefore huge investment possibilities in commercial and services buildings such as multi complex shopping centres, entertainments centres, recreational facilities and other facilities for the provision of basic services in the country. As part of a $6.7bn reconstruction of Baghdad, the UAE real estate developer Al-Maabar will develop a large part of a 1,250 hectare site as entertainment centres. The Mayor of Baghdad, Dr Sabir Al-Isawi recently announced plans to build a large commercial zone in the central Sheikh Omar district. Construction in the commercial and services sectors is not limited to the capital alone. Other major investment projects are springing up across the country. In March 2010 the Basra Investment Commission gave an investment permit to establish a shopping Iraq Business News, 20 December 2010. Iraq Business News, 30 November 2010. 203 Iraq Business News, 6 October 2010. 201 202 288 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials complex at a cost of $3.27m in al-Madeena district (100 km north of Basra). The complex will include retail stores and other commercial facilities.204 Some state-owned construction companies that are engaged in the commercial and services sector have outlined investment plans as part of their capacity building and expansion drive. Investment opportunities for commercial and services construction SOEs include: Al-Mansour Contracting Company This SOE seeks to establish a unique GIS (Geographical Information Systems) system to manage, analyse and display data in an internationally accepted standard. It also plans to expand its operations by opening new branches in different parts of the country. Saad Constructing Company This SOE wants to develop its productivity and mechanical department to increase its capacity and to redevelop the company’s construction systems. As part of its expansion plans the company wants to develop contractual arrangements with specialised international companies in different fields to be able to upgrade its capacity to be competitive in order to execute high technological buildings and to obtain higher international measurements for quality control of its design. Office Construction Opportunities A notable visible legacy after the war in 2003 was the destruction of public facilities including government buildings and public offices. This destruction continues to affect the operation of government business, but has provided a huge market for the office construction sector in the country. Most SOEs have been instrumental in the reconstruction and rehabilitation of government buildings, including ministries and departments. In addition to rehabilitation projects, new mega office buildings are being constructed in all major cities across the country. The reconstruction of Baghdad involves numerous multi-story office buildings. Kuwait’s Akila Company has proposed a $20.2bn ‘New Najaf City’ project which would include Iraq’s first 100-storey skyscraper. Hotel Construction Opportunities The hotel business has in recent years witnessed unprecedented development in the country. Huge investment capital has gone into the rehabilitation and construction of 204Iraq Business News, 22 March 2010. 289 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials hotels as the tourism sector continues to grow. In July 2008 a US-based investment group laid the foundation stone for a $67.5 million luxury hotel in Baghdad. In December the same year the major hotel management company Rotana signed an agreement with Summit Hotels for a five-star property in Baghdad’s International Zone. The project, which includes 300 bedrooms, a ballroom and a conference centre, was awarded to Dewan Architects and Engineers. The 35,000m2 project is currently under construction and scheduled to be completed in 2012 and is expected to become a landmark development for the country. Recently, a Singaporean company announced plans to build a luxury hotel in Basra. The five-star hotel will be built on the current Novotel al-Marbad Hotel headquarters. A Kuwaiti company will build a $27m tourist hotel in the southern Thi-Qar province, according to the Governorate’s investment authority. The six-storey hotel established on an area of 14,000m2 is expected to be completed soon. Education and Healthcare Construction Opportunities The government has emphasised demand to upgrade and build new education and healthcare facilities. The government and international organizations have invested millions of dollars in this area. The authorities in Diwaniya in Al-Qadisiyah province have set aside 20km2 of land for the construction of a £1 billion new city to include the construction of hospitals and other facilities. Recently the private sector has become active in the construction of schools and healthcare facilities. The UAE real estate developer Al- Maabar is investing $6.7bn in a 1,250-hectare development in Baghdad for the construction of health care facilities. AlMaabar is also developing several key clusters in Baghdad including in the educational districts. Housing and Residential Opportunities The GOI recently launched the National Housing Policy, which addresses the housing needs of Iraqis. Iraq’s housing shortage is estimated to stand at two million units, affecting 300,000 families across the country.205 125 companies had submitted offers to implement Iraq’s National Housing Project which includes building 1 million homes in Iraq over a period of two years. The GOI ensured guarantees to investors by raising funds with Iraqi banks and by collecting pre-selling housing units to interested citizens who would pay 25% of the housing cost upfront. Iraq’s growing population will continue to consistently drive demand in housing in the coming years. 205 Iraq Business News, 9 October 2010. 290 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Sadr City on the outskirts of Baghdad is a poor outskirt suffering high unemployment levels. The Government recently allocated $10 billion for its reconstruction and invited international firms to participate. After more than 50 applications were received, the bid was ultimately won by a group of six Turkish firms. 206 Other examples of foreign investor participation include Turkey’s Akkon and the UAE’s East Building commitment to a $250m investment to build housing units in both the public and private sector across Iraq. $50m of the amount was committed to the Kurdistan region where Akkon has been present since 2005. In Karbala a $50bn housing project is underway with foreign and local investors.207 Kuwait’s al-Mahamed was granted a license by the authorities in Muthanna to build a residential compound containing 2,000 apartments whilst a Lebanese firm obtained licenses to construct a housing project in Amara at a total cost of nearly $70million.208 Iraq Business News, 27 September 2010 and 13 December 2010. Iraq Business News, 1 October 2010. 208 Iraq Business News, 12 October 2010. 206 207 291 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Hamid Toa’ama Factory for Gypsum Construction Materials (bricks) Basra, al Zobair, Thoirat Contact details Year company established Total investment size US$ Status of project 07801395263 1970 26,700,000 Greenfield project to produce standard perforated bricks Project Summary With a proven history of successful operations in the production of construction materials in the province of al Basra, Hamid Toa’ama is proposing to establish a 500, 000 bricks per day factory to meet domestic demand using efficient and modern plant technology. The company is looking for a financial investor who will be entitled to 49% ownership of the company. It is proposing to invest 10% of the total funding requirement, or about $2,700,000 in both liquid and physical asset contribution. The company will both operate and manage the production and marketing of bricks, in return for a majority share over the project. Its extensive experience in al Basra construction materials markets as well as strong track record in the industrial sector makes Hamid Toa’ama a strong candidate for foreign investment participation. In an industry witnessing unprecedented growth, largely as a result of a dislike of ready-made construction materials, the project will benefit from huge big ticket reconstruction projects currently proposed for rehabilitating the oil rich province. Bricks are the preferred material among the growing construction activities, thus the demand for bricks has never been higher. Market Assessment Overview Domestic Consumption The consumption of bricks in Iraq has witnessed unprecedented growth since 2003. Major reconstruction projects in the country particularly in the housing sector have led to a huge demand for bricks. Available data from the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals shows that domestic consumption of bricks in the country in 2009 was between 540 million and 700 million pieces. The current demand is about four times the available supply according to the Iraqi National Investment Commission. With an estimated 3.5 million housing units expected to be constructed to meet the housing shortages, demand for brick is projected to increase further over the coming years. 292 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Local Supply and Import Local supply of Iraq’s current bricks consumption is estimated at only between 5% and 7%. This means that at least 93% of Iraq’s brick `consumption is met through imports. Most of these imports come from Kuwait, Jordan, Iran and Turkey. Local capacity is therefore relatively small at about 37,800,000 to 49,000,000 bricks. A common problems bricks consumers identify with the imported bricks is that they are of low quality. Consumers would prefer to buy Iraqi bricks but there is a big supply shortage. The Ministry of Industry’s plans of constructing 350,000 housing units per annum obviously require a lot of bricks which is traditionally preferred and is a cost efficient mode of construction. The huge market potential for bricks in Iraq therefore provides an opportunity to invest towards the establishment of a state of the art bricks manufacturing company in the country. Prices Current prices for standard perforated bricks stand at $125 per 1000 bricks, or about 12.5 cents per brick. Although Iranian imported bricks are sold in the market for a lower price, the quality of Iraqi bricks is superior. Key project advantages The inputs required for the production of the bricks such as soil, clay and water are locally available and at low cost. The growing domestic market for bricks makes the proposed project a commercially viable one. The Iraqi National Investment Commission has vetted the project and has agreed to give favourable terms for taxation, assist in securing the land and give investors several other privileges. Project Details Hamid Toa’ama Factory for Gypsum currently employs 25 employees at its gypsum plant in al Basra. It currently produces 16,000 tons of gypsum annually for the local construction materials market. For the company, this will be their first venture in producing bricks for the local market. Their knowledge of the construction materials market as well as running a plant in al Basra will be key assets brought forward by the company to the proposed project. New land will however be required due to space limitations within their existing site. 293 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Infrastructure, Inputs and Resource Requirement The factory will require 58 technicians and engineers and an additional 4 management staff to run the factory. The factory will require floor area of approximately 30,700 sqm on a site estimated to be 40,000 sqm in total, which should be sufficient for storage and warehousing facilities. The sponsor of the project has opened a line of communication with the Basra Investment Commission to secure an appropriate plot of land to construct the plant. As an incentive to help reduce construction materials bottlenecks, the Commission could provide the land under a lease structure for a nominal fee. The establishment and efficient operation of the factory will also require the procurement of several machineries and equipment as outlined in the table below. The machinery and technical services will be provided by IA ENGINEERING based in Malaysia. IA ENGINEERING has contributed to producing cost efficient brick factories in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Middle East. No. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Required Machinery and Factory Unit Clay Preparation, Brick Shaping, Cutting & Setting Kiln Car Transport System Fired Product Dehacking System Tunnel Dryer System Tunnel Kiln System Rail Tracks for Kiln Car & Transfer Car Project Design and Engineering Fee Double Roller Crusher x 1 MTM Trapezium Mill x 6 Circular Screen Mixer x 2 Roller Mill x 2 De-airing Mixer and Extruder x 2 Apart from the listed machinery and factory units of which most will be imported from abroad, the factory will also require the building of a dryer car and kiln car steel structure, the supply of straight hot air distribution ducting and chimneys; pneumatic system and plant electrical and cables system. In order for the factory to access water supply, water storage tanks, water pipes and manual gate valves will be required. To help facilitate the smooth operations of the factory’s power supply, fuel storage tanks, fuel pipes and other valves will be built. The factory requires a total power supply of 5200/7700 KVA for the processing of the products. Full details of the machinery requirements will also be made available for prospective investors. Investment Output 294 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials The construction and installation of the machinery and equipment is expected to take between 12 to 14 months. The completion of the factory is expected to result in a projected output of 500,000 bricks per day. In communication with the technical support and manufacturer of the plant, the sponsor has asserted that due to the nature of input costs in Iraq, the 500,000 bricks per day is an optimal figure. At the departmental level, the production output is estimated in the table below. The production output of the factory for the first year, assuming that wastage is 6% and that the factory is operating at a capacity of 85%, will be as follows: Department Clay Preparation Brick Making Brick Setting Tunnel Dryer & Kiln Ton/Day 1,931 2,038 2,038 1240 Ton/Year 675,850 713,300 713,300 434,000 Investment Requirement The total cost for the construction, procurement, installation and actually putting the factory to use is estimated at $26,700,000. In terms of returns, the proposers estimated that the project will generate a minimum operating profit of $12,289,783 and investment returns of about 26% to 36% in the first year of operations. As part of the privileges available to investors, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank will insure and guarantee project against risks associated with Iraq. No. Projected Capital Cost 1. Land, Buildings & Vehicles 2. Plant, Machinery & Equipment Crusher, mixer , Shaping equipment 3. Total Cost & Cost US$ 8,200,000 5,000,000 Kiln 13,500,000 26,700,000 Hamid Toa’ama Company is proposing to invest 10% of the total funding requirement, or about $2,700,000 in both liquid and physical asset contribution. As it is proposing to operate and manage the plant, it is asking for a minimum of 51% of total project ownership, which according to the company, is negotiable and depends largely on the exact form the partnership will take. 295 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Arkan Company for Aluminium Parts Production Construction materials Sob al Sagheer, Kufa. Al Najaf Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment www.alarkan-company.com 2005 13,750,000 Expansion of production capacity Project Summary As one of the country’s first private sector companies to successfully establish an aluminium extrusion plant to produce parts and sections for the construction materials, furniture, and household products markets, al Arkan has shown it has the potential to quickly capture a market where 80% of all aluminium parts are imported into Iraq. The proposed investment project is designed to provide an international or Iraqi investor with the opportunity to enter this lucrative industry in Iraq by owning a share of the established business in return for investment funds to increase capacity to meet the growing demand for its aluminium extrusion products. In return for a total investment of $13,750,000, of which al Arkan is also a contributor to, a foreign investor will have a rare chance to partner with one of the few companies working in the industry, thus joining forces with an existing business that has extensive knowledge of the market. Mr Arkan Aziz, the sole owner of the company, is prepared to invest approximately $6,000,000 in both liquid and asset capital into the project. The total proposed output under the investment project will reach 4,000 tons annually of various extruded aluminium profiles tailored to the local market in Iraq. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Approximately 80% of all extruded aluminium products used in the furniture and household product industries in Iraq are imported. It is conservatively estimated that Iraq imports 20,000 tons of finished aluminium extruded products which, at current wholesale market rates, have a total sale price of about $66,700,000. Domestic supply 296 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Current domestic supply of extruded aluminium products is largely non-existent other than what is currently produced by the Arkan plant and other smaller workshops, each producing on average between 200 to 400 tons annually. There are no state manufacturers that produce extruded products in Iraq today. Market Prices Al Arkan sells its products for $3,335 per ton of finished extruded aluminium products. Products imported from abroad are approximately 6% more expensive than the plant’s wholesale product prices. The final users of extruded aluminium products in the country are largely small-scale furniture manufacturers located in Baghdad, Basra and other major cities. Local workshops require the products to produce office and home furniture for the Iraq market. Key Project Advantages The only Iraqi private sector company producing extruded aluminium products at the current capacity Proven track record of company success Al Arkan products are sold at lower prices than imported products. Growing demand for products, particularly for emerging light industries, workshops and factories in the country Currently 80% of all finished products are imported from outside Iraq at a higher price, leaving a significant market share to be potentially met through local manufacturers Factory details Brief history Al Arkan secured an Investment License from the Governorate Council in 2008 and realized production output in 2009. Existing machines were manufactured in 2006 and procured and imported into Iraq in 2008. The company was established in 2005 and was previously a trading company for finished aluminium products procured from outside the country to sell in Iraq. Annual Production Al Arkan produced 900 tons in 2009, and 1200 tons in 2010, of aluminium extrusion products for the Iraq market. It is estimated by al Arkan that it will reach a capacity of 2,000 tons by June 2011 with the procurement of an additional generator, which it 297 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials recently bought in Baghdad. It is therefore estimated that Arkan meets about 8% of the market, a significant but still relatively small amount compared to manufacturers in neighbouring countries. At $3,335 per ton sale price, this generated $4,002,000 in revenue for the company in 2010. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The manufacturing process relies on the company purchasing aluminium bars and alloys from outside Iraq. These are then heated, moulded and shaped by forcing it through a shaped opening in a die, with the resultant output being various profiles suited to the local market. Raw material inputs are largely aluminium cylinders and bars, which are purchased for $2,500 per ton, and powder paints, which cost $3,750 per ton. In addition, the company procures packaging materials, adhesives, and other supporting inputs from the local market. Fuel inputs to operate a generator within the site costs approximately $0.30 cents per litre of diesel. Al Arkan currently has 35 employees working full-time at the plant. A typical chemical engineer earns approximately $1,500 per month and a mechanical engineer $1,000 per month. The total monthly payroll bill amounts to $23,000. With the proposed installation of an additional production line, the total number of employees will rise to 65. Mr Aziz Arkan has indicated that the new production line could be of a different make, and any proposals to purchase the production line from an alternative source to the existing one could be considered. The company pays a negligible fee for the use of its current premises. The current site is located in al Kufa, the provincial capital of al Najaf. It has been secured from the Governorate Council through a lease for 10 years, which is renewable. The total size of the plot of land the plant is situated on is approximately 12,500 sqm on which 6,000 sqm is being used for the project. Investment Output Investing in the company will largely go to equipping the plant with a new production line to increase production output. Al Arkan’s immediate expansion plan will see the production of 4,000 tons of aluminium extrusion products in total, a doubling of existing capacity. The table below illustrates expected production output in tonnage after investment: Nature of product Single production Number or Total Output / 298 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials line output / per production annum lines Oxidized colour parts Oxidized silver parts Non-oxidized silver parts Colour parts with coating Standard aluminium parts per annum 450 350 350 2 2 2 900 700 700 350 2 700 500 2 1000 In addition to the new production line, investment funds will go into expanding the current site and purchasing raw materials for the production process. As mentioned above, by June 2011, existing production at the factory should jump to reach plate capacity of 2,000 tons per annum. Under the proposed investment plan, the factory will see an increase in production of the same products currently produced. Al Arkan estimates that annual turnover could reach $13,340,000 with the installation of an additional production line, thus ensuring greater margins, which stand currently at 35%. Investment Requirement A total of $13,750,000 is required to support the planned increased output by installing a new production line. In return, the company which is fully owned by the founder of the company, Mr Arkan Aziz, will offer equity ownership over the plant. A minimum of 51% will be retained by the owner, with the rest retained by an investor interested in realizing the potential of the industry. Mr Arkan Aziz is willing to offer $5,000,000 in capital assets into the project, which will be comprised of a combination of existing machine and equipment assets, and approximately $1,000,000 in a liquid capital offering. The prospective investment party could potentially fold existing operations into a much larger and national investment project, utilizing existing experience and knowledge of working in Iraq. Investors will be able to enjoy a ten year tax free holiday for equipment purchased as well as income generated from the project. 299 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Taheel Factory for Bricks Construction materials Al Fallujah, al Anbar Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07703450400/07903626778 1987 16,000,000 Greenfield project to set up a bricks factory Project Summary The proposed project is to produce both standard and paving bricks for Iraq’s burgeoning construction materials markets in Al Anbar and Baghdad. The proposed location, a site of 60,000 sqm, is fully owned by al Taheel Company and provides ample supply of quality clay for the production process, with other key inputs purchased from al Fallujah city, located just 10 minutes from the proposed site. The company has the right to extract rich clay deposits from the site without having to pay any royalty fees. In return for an investment of $16,000,000, the owners of the company are willing to cede up to 49% of ownership over the project to the prospective investor party. In doing so, the investor will be joining forces with one of al Anbar’s most respected trading companies and a team of experienced engineers, who are also the company’s board of directors. Once fully operational, the bricks factory will produce annually 48,000,000 pieces of standard perforated bricks and 24,000,000 pieces of paving bricks. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Available data from the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals shows that domestic consumption of bricks in the country in 2009 was between 540 million and 700 million bricks of all types. With an estimated 3.5 million housing units expected to be constructed to meet the national housing shortage, demand for bricks is projected to increase further over the coming years. 300 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Local and Import Supply Local supply of Iraq’s current bricks consumption is estimated at only between 5% and 7%. This means that at least 93% of Iraqi bricks consumption is from import supply. Most of these imports come from Kuwait, Jordan, Iran and Turkey. Local capacity is therefore very insignificant. It is estimated that Iraq produces between 37,800,000 to 49,000,000 million bricks. Existing manufacturers of bricks in the country produce on average between 10,000 bricks to 90,000 bricks per day and are located across rich clay deposits on the outskirts of Baghdad, in Nahrawan, and in the province of Wasit, Babylon, al Missan and al Anbar. Because of a general lack of drying kilns in the country and the unreliability of power supply, private sector brick manufacturers produce bricks for only 8 month of the year, which are laid out under the sun to dry. This means that manufacturers rely on selling stored bricks during winter as no production takes place. Market Prices The current sale price of standard perforated bricks in al Fallujah is $125 per 1000 bricks, or about 12.5 cents per brick. For paving bricks, the cost is slightly higher, at $150 per 1000 bricks, which equals 15 cents per brick. Key project advantages Increasing and unmet demand for bricks in Iraq Minimal cost to extract clay deposits within the plant’s site, fully owned by the three partners within the company No tax or fees associated with extracting the rich clay deposits within al Fallujah Tax exemptions for a ten year period and duty free imports of machinery and equipment for the duration of the first two years One of Iraq’s most lucrative investment opportunities thanks to preference to use bricks rather than ready-made panels in construction works Burgeoning reconstruction market in al Ramadi and Baghdad, in close proximity to the proposed site of the plant. Experience in the brick market and the offer of a partnership with one of Al Anbar most respected brick trading companies. Working with al Taheel Company is a good entry point into further market expansion in the country’s construction materials industry. 301 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials A 60,000 sqm site has already been secured and has a permit for the proposed production plant Factory details Al Taheel Company is currently working as a trading company. In 2010, its annual turnover in construction materials was about $6,000,000. The company imports bricks and other goods from Iran, Turkey, China and the wider Middle East, which it then sells to wholesale construction materials markets in Baghdad, al Ramadi and Basra city. The company is fully owned by a businessman in al Fallujah who is also a qualified industrial engineer. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The planned site of the project is wholly owned by the company’s three partners, in al Fallujah. The total size is approximately 60,000 sqm in total, and is within proximity to nearly all of the required raw materials for the plant, except gravel, which is located about 20 minutes away in the city of al Fallujah. The plant will be situated on a plot of land where rich clay deposits exist, extracting at minimal cost. Management will need to purchase gravel and cement outside the location of the plant but from within the city. The current cost of cement is $220 per ton and gravel can be secured for $160 per ton. Further inputs include the cost of purchasing fuel to operate two generators (400 Kva and 1000 Kva) that are required. Current diesel fuel prices are 0.35 cents per litre. The project will be fully managed and operated by al Taheel Company. Once fully completed, the project aims to employ about sixty skilled and unskilled workers. In the industry, a skilled civil engineer’s salary is approximately $2,000 per month in Iraq today and about five full time engineers will be required to work on the site. Engineers as well as other technical professionals are locally available from both al Fallujah and the nearby provincial capital, al Ramadi. Investment Output The bricks factory will produce both standard bricks for the Iraq construction materials market as well as paving bricks, required for roadside maintenance and repair work: Type of Bricks First year brick production Second year brick output: output: Standard bricks 24,000,000 pieces 48,000,000 pieces Paving bricks 12,000,000 pieces 24,000,000 pieces production 302 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials The duration for meeting the target output listed above for both types of bricks is two years. Once the production target is met in the second year, annual sales of standard bricks will be about $6,000,000 and paving bricks in the region of $3,600,000. The company estimates that production and other associated costs will be $1,000,000 and $1,200,000 respectively for both standard bricks and paving bricks. Investment Requirement A total of $16,000,000 million is required in total over the two year period to meet the plate capacity target. In return for this investment, al Taheel is willing to cede 49% of its company ownership to a local or international investor interested in entering the construction materials market and partnering with an experienced local operator. The investor is not expected to participate in day-to-day operations. Tax exemptions for a ten year period and duty free imports of machinery and equipment for the duration of the first two years are some of the key privileges offered to investors. 303 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Contact details Year company established Total investment size Purpose of investment Al Fiha Company For Readymade Buildings in partnership with International Hi-Tech Industries (IHI) Construction materials Basra (Safwan Road) 07901441569 1993 €40,000,000 Greenfield production plant of bespoke building panels Project Summary The IHI Panel Plant is a Greenfield investment opportunity that is being proposed by the developer of the project, al Fiha Company for Readymade Buildings. The manufacturing plant in Iraq will be built in the province of al Basra to produce and sell premanufactured, pre-engineered and customized panelised buildings for both residential and commercial markets in the south of Iraq. As the total cost of the investment project is estimated to be €40,000,000, al Fiha is prepared to contribute 10% of this amount in partnership with a foreign investor who is interested in entering Iraq’s construction materials market. In return for the investment sought, al Fiha will establish a joint-venture between itself and a foreign private equity investor, and will operate the venture on behalf of the newly founded company. As the management and operator party of the investment project, al Fiha is offering foreign investors the chance to own a majority share of the plant under the proposed project, €4,000,000 in liquid capital investment, and the opportunity to establish a longterm partnership in Iraq’s construction material industry. Al Fiha is also offering to situate the project on a plot of land measuring 60,000 sqm which could be secured from the Provincial Investment Commission in al Basra or from the Governorate Council. Market Assessment Overview The growth in the construction industry in Iraq presents a unique opportunity to introduce the IHI panels into the market, particularly as it offers greater competitive advantages over traditional building methods. Under the proposed investment opportunity, there will be significant room to expand the market for timely, and costefficient, residential and commercial construction, as well as other tailor-made construction projects in Iraq. Currently, all production within al Basra of readymade panels is of the traditional readymade concrete type and therefore is classified by Iraqi construction companies as having low quality properties. As a result, the more expensive brick foundations used in existing construction are seen as more preferable to existing readymade panels. Once showcased to Iraqi construction firms, IHI panels will prove, however, to be the exception in the readymade panels market. 304 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials The technology is being demonstrated and marketed through various "show homes" built in Canadian cities including Vancouver, BC and in Ponoka, and Alberta and other countries like Saudi Arabia and Germany. The system is also used in Luxembourg and Kuwait. Marketing approach IHI panels can compete on an equal footing with conventional housing methods. Apart from the product quality and competitive price, the distribution system will encourage traditional contractors to use the product as it helps reduce construction time and increase turnover through volume. IHI panels will also be presented as an alternative building process for regular homes, commercial, industrial and institutional buildings, instead of prefabricated pre-cast concrete construction which is considered to be of lower quality. Current market rates for such precast panels in al Basra range between $35-40 per cubic metre. The marketing approach for the panels will also focus on the appealing characteristics of the IHI building system. These include lower cost, lower capital requirements, lower exposure to weather conditions and higher quality products. These will be heavily promoted in the construction market particularly among contractors and developers. Key Project Advantages Opportunity to develop a long-term partnership with an established building panel manufacturer The technology uses automation which allows it to produce large quantities of the panels at a much lowest cost. The use of computer-assisted design and manufacturing processes allow the plant to produce high volume output within a short production time. The technology also helps to produce accurate sophisticated building materials. IHI's panels have consistently passed all kinds of fire tests under very heavy loads since 1990. It is also resistant to hurricane forces – 300 miles/hr wind. There are no height limits when used in constructing buildings; it can be used to build about 40 stories in height, if required. The panels are equipped with electrical conduits, pipe sleeves, and the concrete is already coated. It is a green technology as the buildings are produced with less energy and produce practically zero pollution. 305 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Factory Details Existing production In 2008 and 2009, al Fiha produced a combined production output of 23,163 cubic metres of ordinary readymade panels, using traditional concrete methods. It currently has 24 employees working within a site measuring 2,000 sqm in al Basra. The site is rented from the private sector. Due to size constraints, the proposed new project will be situated on a 60,000 sqm plot of land. Proposed production This is a Greenfield investment to produce IHI panels for the construction market in Iraq. The IHI panels were developed by International Hi-Tech Industries Inc, a specialized construction materials manufacturer, some 20 years ago. The panels are made utilizing state-of-the-art technology that offers superior end products at a significantly lower price than traditional building methods. The factory will produce the IHI panels using computer applications to analyse each individual project through the plant’s in house software that produces hundreds of structural iterations to bring about the optimum design of the building elements. The IHI panels can be used as foundations, external and internal walls, as well as ceilings and roofs. The sizes are largely flexible allowing it to meet any site, construction, transportation and design constraints. Typically, the weight of the panel varies from 150 kg/m2 to 250 kg/m2 or from 30 to 60 pounds/square foot approximately. The highly engineered IHI system can be used for single and multi-storey buildings in both the commercial and residential markets as well as specialized construction projects in Iraq. The primary technologies are patented worldwide. Although the plant is designed to produce panels only, the system allows for preservicing with electrical, plumbing and mechanical systems. Facilities such as kitchens and bathrooms can be pre-assembled in-house and transported to the construction site as three-dimensional modules. The panels are factory finished on the internal and external faces so that a 280 square metre house can be easily assembled in about 100 man-hours if the land is already prepared, using 2 professional steel erectors, 1 certified welders, 1 professional foreman, 1 general labour and 1 crane with a certified operator. Production Capacity When completed, the factory will produce at full capacity 15 residential units per 12 hour shift, with each having a buildable area of 100 m2 and a ratio of 2.5 m2 of panels for each square meter of buildable area. 306 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Production however can be increased. For instance, to produce 1000 units, the factory can utilize three production lines and operate at 1/9 of its full capacity using two shifts per day over 300 days a year. The table below shows an estimated production capacity for a plant with one and three production lines in a five year forecast. It shows that with three production lines, the factory will have a production capacity of 2.7 million m² of panels per year. YEAR Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Shifts per day 1 2 2 2 2 Working hours per shift Working days per year Production hours per year 8 231 2,777 8 301 4,816 8 301 4,816 8 301 4,816 8 301 4,816 Plant Availability (%) Production hours per year Square meters of panels produced per line per shift Number of lines Annual Available Plant Capacity (Square meters/year) 65% 1,805 1,487 82% 3,949 1,487 82% 3,949 1,487 82% 3,949 1,487 82% 3,949 1,487 1 3 3 3 3 171,749 1,342,761 2,014,142 2,282,694 2,685,522 Inputs, Organization and Human Resources The Land area of the plant is estimated to be approximately 60,000 Sqm in size. It will take about one year and six months to complete setting up the factory and begin commercial production. The staffing requirement for the first year will be 139 including 5 managers, 14 administrative staff, 6 sales and marketing personnel, and the rest are technicians and production staff. The table below contains the raw material requirement for the factory over a four year period: Total Input Material Per YEAR Year PER m2 Hollow Section Steel (ton) 0.0182 Expand Polystyrene Foam 0.1360 (m³) Steel Cable (3/16" 4.5000 aircraft)(m) Hardware (per set) 0.4170 Welded Wire Mesh (m²) YEAR 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 3,126 23,358 24,438 182,615 36,657 273,923 41,545 310,446 772,868 6,042,425 9,063,637 10,272,122 71,619 559,931 839,897 951,883 2.0000 343,497 2,685,522 4,028,283 4,565,387 307 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Cement (12,000 psi) (ton) 0.0245 4,208 32,898 49,346 55,926 Aggregate (ton) 0.0770 13,225 103,393 155,089 175,767 Sand (ton) 0.0630 10,820 84,593 126,890 143,809 Investment Requirement IHI estimated from its feasibility study that the most economical IHI Factory size will cost about €40,000,000 to cover building, equipment and a license fee. This also includes machinery, engineering, licenses, soft costs, shipping and initial start-up and working capital. Al Fiha is prepared to contribute approximately 10% or €4,000,000 in liquid capital to the project, in partnership with an interested private equity investor. In return, al Fiha is offering majority ownership over the project to the investor party. Participants in the project will enjoy tax concessions over a period of 10 years and the opportunity to freely repatriate profits. 308 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Kubeissy Company for Reinforced Iron Steel Iron and Steel Kubaisa – al Anbar Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07703450455 1991 65,000,000 Greenfield project to produce steel rods (rebar) Project Summary In return for an investment of $65,000,000, a foreign or local investor will get to own up to 49% of one of Iraq’s first private sector rebar plants, which will produce in its first year 250,000 tons of steel rebar for the construction sector and 500,000 tons annually once the five year gradual expansion plan is realized. Steel rebar is mainly used as an essential support input for reinforced concrete steel structures in housing and building works. Mr Raqeeb R. Hussain a Kubeissy and Partners, who fully own al Kubeissy Company for Reinforced Iron Steel, based in al Anbar, have over twenty years of experience in the steel import market and are established traders in the industry. The company is willing to contribute approximately 10%, or $6,500,000 in liquid and fixed assets, not including 60,000 sqm in land, which it owns in the proposed location of al Kubaisa, for the venture. Currently, production of steel rebar in the country is absent, outside the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) zone, where only a limited capacity of less than 10% of demand for steel rods is met. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption and supply It is estimated that a minimum of 1,500,000 tons of steel bars were imported in Iraq in 2000 (outside the KRG region). This increased significantly to 2,750,000 tons in 2010 and is expected to double by 2012, once reconstruction efforts are started across the country. There are currently no state manufacturers of steel bars in the country as the State Company for Iron and Steel is currently not operating and requires major rehabilitation work. 309 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Market Prices The current market price per ton of rebar steel is between $250 to $300, depending on the quality and origin of the steel. Most of the steel rebar products in the market are between 4mm to 5mm in diameter. The main raw material for the production plant, steel billets, cost approximately $150 per ton, which is imported from Ukraine and neighbouring Kuwait, Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Key project advantages Locally underserviced market, with near to 100% of steel rebar products imported from outside Iraq Huge investment potential as Iraq increases its rebuilding and reconstruction expenditure First private sector plant outside the KRG region Significant profit potential, including up to $60,000,000 annually once production target is reached Exemption from taxes for a ten year period and import duties Factory details Brief history Al Kubeissy Company for reinforced Iron Steel is a well-known Iraqi importer of steel products. The company currently has 8 employees working within its office in Baghdad and al Anbar province, to procure steel rods and other steel products for the country’s growing reconstruction markets. Since 1995, the company has worked in buying steel products from neighbouring countries and in 2003, expanded operations to include imports from India, Ukraine, China and other large steel producing countries. All its products are sold in wholesale markets in Basra, al Anbar and Baghdad. The company is fully owned by Mr Raqeeb R. Hussain al Kubeissy and his partners. Nearly all of the steel products in Iraq are delivered via maritime vessels through the port city of Umm Qasr. It is then either sold once unloading takes place, or taken to other cities to be sold via a network of distributors working in the construction sector. Since 2003, Syria, Turkey, Kuwait, Iran and Saudi Arabia have been involved in crossborder trade in steel products for Iraq’s reconstruction effort. 310 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Infrastructure, Inputs, organizational and Human Resources Under the investment project, the company will import iron steel billets which are 130mm x 130mm in diameter and 14 metres long to the Kubaisa plant in al Anbar. This is the key raw material the plant requires to function. Once the billets are delivered to the plant, they will be melted into various iron rods (or rebar) for the Iraq construction market, between 4mm to 5 mm in diameter. Once fully operational, the company is expected to employ about 150 skilled and unskilled workers within its plant. The current salary for an experienced technical engineer is $1,500 per month and an unskilled labourer is approximately $450 per month. Initially, four generators will be required, each one capable of generating 2 megawatts of electricity. Each generator costs about $150,000. Fuel oil prices to operate the generators are about $20 to $35 per 100 litres. The plant will be connected to the national grid but to meet the required production targets, the required generators are essential. The site of the plant will be located on privately owned premises owned by the company, which totals about 60,000 sqm in size. It has good access to the road network to the provincial capital of al Anbar, al Ramadi, as well as to the major highway linking the province with Baghdad, the country’s largest consumer of steel products. Investment Output After five years of gradual expansion, the project will reach its target capacity of 500,000 tons of rebar products per annum. During the first year, production target is 250,000 tons and in 2014, the target increases to 350,000 tons. It is hoped that the 500,000 tons per year figure is achieved in 2016. During this time, the project is expected to significantly benefit from a lowering of costs as a result of a reliable and more cost efficient supply of electricity from the national grid. Procured generators will still however be required and could be on stand-by if reliable national grid electricity is maintained. Machinery and equipment Construction of building and storage areas Civil engineering and operation costs Iron billets $3,500,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $15,000,000 311 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials According to the developer of the rebar plant which has prepared the paperwork for its design, $3,500,000 is required to purchase machinery and equipment, furnace and cranes. A further $10,000,000 will also be used construct the building and associated storage areas. The cost of civil engineering and operation costs will be in the region of $5,000,000. Imports of iron billets from Kuwait, Turkey, Ukraine and Saudi Arabia are estimated to cost about $15,000,000 annually, which will increase as production rises after the first two years of production. To meet a production target of 500,000 tons of steel rebar, the company will need to import $30,000,000 worth of steel billets from neighbouring countries. During the first year and at current rebar prices, total annual sales will be in the region of $75,000,000 (250,000 tons). By 2016 however, this will double to $150,000,000 (500,000 tons). As of early 2011, price per ton of steel rebar is $300 in Iraq. Investment Requirement Once production reaches the expected target of 500,000 tons, the total cost of the five year continuous expansion of the plant will be around $60,000,000. However, during the first year, $35,000,000 is required in investment funds to meet the initial stage of set-up, construction and operations cost. Operating costs will gradually increase over the five year expansion plan as production is doubled from 250,000 tons in 2011 to 500,000 tons in 2016. In total over the four year period, $65,000,000 will be required in investment. Profit margins are estimated to be in the region of 40% of total sales. Once the factory reaches plate capacity, an annual profit of about $60,000,000 is expected. The Kubaissy Company is willing to cede up to 49% of its ownership to a foreign investor in return for the required $60,000,000 in investment, which is required over the five year expansion plan. The company will operate and manage the plant and will therefore not require the investor to get involved in day-to-day operations. Exemption from taxes for a ten year period and import duties are some of the privileges offered to foreign and local investors in the project. 312 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Stabilized Earth Bricks (SEB) Factory Company Construction materials Baghdad, Iraq Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Steve Fitzsimons – [email protected] 2007 1,631,000 To set up a Greenfield modern bricks factory using latest energy efficient technology Project Summary Under the stewardship of Steve Fitzsimons, owner of the SEB Bricks Factory Company in Baghdad, the company is looking for an investment of $1,631,000 to construct a cost and energy efficient stabilized earth bricks factory, which uses modern technology to lower costs and key inputs traditionally used in the production of bricks. Total output from the plant is 21,000,000 bricks per year, which can be easily scaled up to supply numerous construction sites and locations in the country to help alleviate supply bottlenecks currently experienced in the construction materials markets in Iraq. The SEB Bricks Factory Company has secured a long-term partnership with Low-Cost Housing International Limited, a Canada based company providing the technology and technical support required for the project. Based on the company’s annual projections, sales are in the region of $7,350,000, total costs of goods sold are $5,002,000. Net profit is about $789,616. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption and supply As construction is a major activity in Iraq, as in other countries, there is always a strong demand for construction materials. Currently, concrete blocks (mainly hollow) are the most wanted in Iraq. Clay blocks/bricks are also used though their demand is limited due to low quality. A standard hollow concrete block has a volume of 16,000 cm3 and sells at $40.00 per m2. 313 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials From market sources it is estimated that the total market for construction blocks in Iraq is in the range of 540 to 600 million, growing at 10-15% a year. The SEB, which has a volume of 4,000 cm3, is proposed to be sold at $25 per m2. It will offer significant advantages over concrete blocks: using SEB is cheaper, as no mortar (and plastering) is required and laying is much faster. Facilities for on-site production would ensure more economy and convenience as the SEB production machines are mobile and could be moved from one production site to another without incurring significant transport or set up expenses. In view of this, it is estimated that SEB would be able to capture a significant share of the market. Cross-border trade, hitherto negligible, will also be a distinct possibility with SEB. The installed capacity of the proposed plant is only around 0.5% of the estimated current market in Iraq. Target Market Primary research on demand for SEB indicated that there is a huge demand for earth bricks due to its advantages over other building materials, such as mobility and low transport costs, cost efficiency, and the inputs reduction benefits that it offers. The designed capacity of the proposed plant is around 0.5% of the estimated market for SEB in Iraq. This means that when completed the SEB will be demanded in the country. Outside the domestic market, there is also a huge potential for cross-border trade with neighbouring countries which has hitherto being negligible. The plant aims to be the preferred supplier of SEB by providing consistent quality products, delivered on time, and at a competitive price. The key target market of the SEB will be the private sector, as the majority of construction has been done by the private sector. Targeted companies will be those that have contracts or are investing in the construction of homes or public buildings. By engaging in direct marketing to these companies and supplying them consistently and reliably, the plant will receive long term contracts and in so doing, give them direct guaranteed access to the plant’s production capacity. As the chart below shows, the main customer target will be the private construction companies which will constitute about 70%. However, depending on the preferences of the investor, this can be modified: 314 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Customer Target 10% Private 20% Public 70% Own Use SEB Customer Target Key Project Advantages The Stabilized Earth Brick has many advantages over other construction materials, such as blocks, and this makes it more appealing to the market. The SEB does not require energy for its production. It requires only a small number of cement machines to meet the expected production target which can easily be transported to construction sites. In addition, its raw materials can be acquired at a lower cost. Local labour will also be used for all manufacturing as no special skill is needed to manufacture the product. For instance, annual labour cost is estimated at only $627,600. The technology has also been tried and tested and the products are of higher strength. Low Cost Housing International Limited has facilitated SEB projects in parts of the Middle East, Latin America and Africa. The SEB also has a market advantage over competitor products. A standard hollow concrete block has a volume of 16,000 cm3 and sells at $ 40.00 per m2 in Iraq. The SEB has a volume of 4,000 cm3 and the proposed sale price will be $25 per m2. This means that the SEB will offer significant advantages over concrete blocks in terms of price. In addition, construction with SEB will also be cheaper as no plastering and painting is required, and laying of the SEB is much faster. Project details 315 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Brief history The sponsor of the project, the SEB Bricks Factory Company, is a Baghdad based and registered company under the ownership of UK citizen Steve Fitzsimons. Mr. Fitzsimons has over seven years’ experience working in the construction and building industries in post-war Iraq and has over thirty years of experience in successfully executing construction and industrial projects in the Middle East. Technical support has been secured from Canada based Low Cost Housing International Limited. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The main raw materials for the production of the Stabilized Earth Bricks are clay soil, water, cement, and limestone which are all available locally. The only component that will be imported is the Clay Brick Stabilizer which will be procured from the project’s partner, Low Cost Housing International Limited, which conducted feasibility studies with SEB Bricks Factory Company in the delivery of the project. The plant will also require an electric power of 750,000 kWh per annum and water of 32,000 m3 per annum. The estimated cost of the project is $ 1,631,000. SEB Bricks Factory Company will be providing the land and other miscellaneous items that the project requires: Item Cost ($) Percentage of total cost Civil Construction Plant & Machinery Miscellaneous Fixed Assets Preliminary & Pre-operative Expenses Contingency Working Capital (for year 1) Total Project Cost 455,000 464,000 104,000 298,000 27.97 28.59 6.35 18.36 70,000 240,000 1,631,000 4.00 14.73 100.00 Investment Output When completed the annual production capacity of the plant will not be less than 21,000,000 bricks, based on two shift operations in 330 days a year. Based on the company’s annual projects, sales are in the region of $7,350,000, total costs of goods sold are $5,002,000. Net profit is about of $789,616. 316 Sector and Investment Profiles – Construction Materials Investment Requirement The project is estimated to cost $1,631,000 and will take about six months lead time to put the factory into production. The start-up capital will comprise a loan of $615,500 and equity of $1,015,500 of which the owners will contribute $200,000 and investors will bring $815,500. The investors will have the opportunity to exit after the payback period or through an initial public offering at a later date. Low Cost Housing International Limited will provide the technical services. With a significant scope to scale up operations, the sponsor of the company is interested in securing a strategic investor interested in entering Iraq’s lucrative construction materials market. Once an investor has sought interest, negotiations over share ownership structure will be discussed. 317 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics Sector Profile – Glass & Ceramics I. Regulatory and Policy Environment The MIM is the main regulatory body that oversees the regulation of the glass and ceramic industry in the country. The MIM designs the legal framework that ensures that the production of glass and ceramic products meets local, and where applicable, regional and international standards. In the case of imports of raw materials, the Ministry of Trade applies quality control standards in collaboration with the MIM. General Investment Framework The Mineral Investment Law, Law No. 91 of 1988, and its subsequent amendments govern the mineral sector in Iraq. Law No. 22 of 1997, pertaining to the nature of StateOwned Enterprises (SOEs), focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. The MIM is seeking to rehabilitate, modernise and transform SOEs in this sector in collaboration with investors. Investors typically deal directly with the MIM, which has its own set of investment rules and regulations.209In accordance with the Ministry of Trade’s regulations and the terms of Company Law No. 21 1997, and its amendments, the Registrar of Companies must ensure that all private companies interested in investing in the Iraqi glass and ceramic industries are duly registered. Investors may establish trade representation offices and branches in Iraq. In addition to steps taken by the GOI itself, the World Bank Group’s political risk insurance arm, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), declared that it is committed to supporting investment into Iraq. The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006, is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. The region of Kurdistan has a separate Investment Law. Iraq’s NIL provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s greater strategy to attract foreign investment in Iraq, including the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. The NIL designed and established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs) to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. Investors can submit any proposal to the NIC. They can alternatively submit proposals directly to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM). All industrial investment projects proposed by investors to the NIC have to be backed by MIM, as licensing and permits need to be secured.210 209 210 www.industry.gov.iq National Investment Commission (NIC) 2010, in conversation. 318 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics MIM Private Investment Program for rehabilitation of State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) In 2005, the MIM launched an ambitious licensing program and started to promote joint ventures and production sharing agreements to encourage private investment in the mineral sector. Under MIM’s investment concept, the investor will undertake all rehabilitation, management and operation of the plant at its own expense, in return for a share of the accomplished production, for a negotiated period of time. The MIM will remain an active partner and will provide investors with available data, as well as help arrange entry visas to plant sites for technical teams. Recent developments include an assessment of proposals, to restrict the volume of imports so as to strengthen domestic production, and a comprehensive SOE reform package.211The proposed SOE reform package will further protect investor interests and help craft a sustainable investment framework for state companies. It is expected that the proposals for overhauling the industrial sector will not only result in its rehabilitation, but also in new production capacities and the strengthening of existing legal provisions.212 Environmental Regulations The operations of all companies in the sector must comply with Environment Law No.3, year 1997, and its amendments. All factory plants must contain automatic burner systems to ensure an appropriate burning of fuel-to-air ratio. Each plant’s chimneys must be greater than 65m, to ensure diffusion of gases with the air. All production plants must use good quality low sulphite fuel so as to reduce environmental hazards. The Iraqi River Protection Law No.25 of 1967 regulates the handling and treatment of liquid waste. II. Market Analysis Actors Iraq’s glass and ceramic industry is dominated by the State Company for Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI), a state owned enterprise (SOE) managed under the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM). The company was established in 1970 and its seven factories dominate the production and sale of glass and ceramic in the country. The SCGI has two compounds which are both located in the city of Ramadi in the AlAnbar province, 130km to the west from the capital. The seven factories include: the Sanitary Ware Plant, two Ceramic Tile Factories (the new and the old factory), the Panel Glass Factory, the Factory for Bottles and Jars, the Pharmaceutical Bottle Plant and the 211Ministry 212SOE of Industry and Minerals (MIM), 2010, in conversation. Roadmap, UNDP, 2010. 319 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics Factory for Sodium Silicate. The Sanitary Ware Factory and the New Ceramic Tile Factory were opened in 2002. Although glass and ceramic products are also imported from neighbouring countries, data on annual import volumes are not available. The MIM works closely with the SCGCI to ensure compliance with strict quality control regulations and meeting international standards.213 The SCGCI employs an estimated 2,670 people, training its work force in Iraq as well as abroad. All the factory units and facilities are in a need of rehabilitation. Demand Analysis The expansion of the construction industry, which is expected to boom in coming years, will drive increased demand for glass and ceramic products. Over the past decade there has been a persistent shortage of ceramic and glass products in the country. SCGCI production has specifically been well below local demand for wall tile, floor tile, washing and toilet sinks. When the SCGCI's factories are operating in their full capacity, the company estimates its production would meet 20% of the local demand for wall tiles, 30% of the demand for floor tiles and 40% of the demand for ceramic sanitary ware. Added to this is a growing confidence in Iraq’s economy. SCGCI bottles, teacups and jars are increasingly used for beverages and household goods. According to the SCGCI's estimate, even when the Bottles and Jars Factory is operating in its full capacity, it will cover only 10% of the local demand. The table below shows the SCGCI's sales in tons from the 2002-2010 period. The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): annual sales in tons Year Panel Glass Bottles and Jars Pots Silicate Wall tile Floor tiles Sanitary ware Unit 2002 6530 9407 1413 2524 762 1190 -- tons 2003 2229 3251 1144 602 1389 3028 40 tons 2004 3549 2014 62 385 -- -- --tons 2005 -- -- -- -- -- -- --tons 2006 -- -- -- -- -- -- --tons 2007 122 -- 26 12 -- -- -- tons 2008 -- -- 11 65 -- -- -- tons 2009 -- -- 4 79 38 593 66tons 2010 -- -- 2 48 35 393 21tons According to the Iraqi Standards No.1704/8, the standards applied are: absorption percentage of 15%, a crazing stress of > 80kg /cm², shrinkage of < 1% and bending of < 0.5% particularly for ceramic products. 213 320 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics Source: The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): Business Plan, 2011 The SCGCI estimates that the rehabilitation would considerably increase the sales of its products as presented in the table below. The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries’ (SCGCI's) expected sales after rehabilitation. Product Sales quantity/year Sales value/$ Panel Glass 28, 800 tons 11, 400,000 Bottles and Jars 15, 150 tons 568, 125 Silicate 13, 200 tons 11, 000,000 Wall tiles 2, 640,000 m2 1, 848, 000 Floor tiles 1, 584,000 m2 11, 088,000 Sanitary Ware 4, 224 tons 6, 758, 400 (The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): Business Plan, 2011 Supply Analysis General production levels are low in the Ramadi plants, although comprehensive data on recent production is only occasionally available. Available data shows that SCGCI factories are currently producing well below their design capacity. The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): production in tons per year for the period of 2002-2010 Year Panel Glass Bottles and Jars Pots Silicate Wall tile Floor tiles Sanitary ware 2002 6746 10449 1991 3176 1082 2952 --tons 2003 2969 1919 468 287 -- 1685 40tons 2004 2927 2097 -- 221 -- -- --tons 2005 -- -- -- -- -- -- --tons 2006 -- -- -- -- -- -- --tons 2007 -- -- -- 30 -- -- --tons 2008 -- 32 -- 25 -- -- --tons 2009 -- -- -- 60 -- 741 66tons 2010 -- -- -- 411.5/day 341.5 tons/day Unit (The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): Business Plan, 2011) Condition and capacity of glass & ceramics factories No. Factory Opening Name & Supplying Designed Obtaina Target 321 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics Name Date Specifications Of Products 1- sanitary ware factory August2002 2- New tiles factory August2002 3- old wall tiles factory under construction 4- Factory of glass panels under construction -Four types wash basins Toilet facilities Other accessories. ceramic tiles for floors and walls and in different sizes measurements of different colours and engraved plate glass masters of different sizes 5- medical bottles under construction different types of medical bottles 6- jars and bottles under rehabilitatio n a variety bottles 7- sodium silicate Rehab. The old factory Solid & liquid sodium silica of company for tools &equipmen t SITTEL ENG(ITALY) Capacity ble capacity Capacity after rehab. 5000 tons / year 4500 tons/yea r 5000 tons / year SITTEL ENG (ITALY) 3000 m 2 / day 2500 m2 / year 2850M2\da y SITTEL ENG (ITALY) with Yoni co. 1,5 million m2\year 1.250 million m2 year 1.485 m2\year German company horn + fickert German bdf Italian company and Indian company Euro company bdf Italian & Company Molbroos U.S. Local 39 600 tons / year 33,600 tons / year 28 800 tons / year 31 350 tons / year 28,215 tons / year 26 400 tons / year 19 800 tons / year 16,800 tons / year 15 150 tons / year 6600 tons / year 4950 tons year 13 200 tons / year / The table below shows SCGCI production levels, which have been far below design capacity for over than ten years. Table: Production of Glass and Ceramic in Iraq by Factories No. 1 2 3 Factory Name Design Capacity ton/year Sheet glass 21450 Employees Bottles 58447 &jars Table ware 21550 550 300 350 % Capacity Highest Type of Production utilization production Ton/year Capacity Achieved 11330 21038 ton in 1979 Window sheet glass(122x188),(95x122) 9185 34132 ton in 1989 Pepsi, 7-up, sun quick, milk bottles, and paste jars, etc... 11600 17952 ton in 1987 Tea cup, water tumbler, ash tray, fruit dished 322 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics 4 5 6 Sodium silicate Floor tile 11172 100 8000 11000 ton in 1995 Solid ,liquid silicate 1000000 m2/year 400 800000 m2/year 3061 in 1989 the Floor tile (31x31)cm type of product was wall tile in old ceramic plant Washing sink, western &eastern toilet with all accessories Sanitary 5000 450 4000 ware Source: State Company for Glass and Ceramic, 2007. Table: Annual Tonnage Production by Glass Factory Plant in Ramadi Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Sheet glass 4310 7024 8249 1545 6746 2969 2927 Bottle glass 3551 4457 4674 5979 10449 1919 2097 Table ware 1551 2188 2651 1454 1991 468 ---- Unit tons tons tons tons tons tons tons Raw Materials Raw materials for the production of glass and ceramic include silica sand, soda ash, limestone, dolomite stone, Kaolin, fritz, china clay, feldspar, ball clay, easy cast, and china clay. Most of these raw materials are abundant in Iraq. Only a small percentage of raw materials needed in the production of ceramic and glass come from imports. The market of these raw materials is rapidly growing as a result of an increased demand for glass and ceramic products in Iraq. The table below shows the main raw materials used in the industry, and available export market opportunities for these raw materials. 323 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics Table: Glass and Ceramic Raw Materials, Usage and Market Opportunities No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Factory name Sheet glass factory Bottles &jars factory Table ware factory Sodium silicate Floor &wall tile Sanitary ware factory Main raw materials Silica sand, soda ash, limestone, dolomite stone, Silica sand, soda ash Kaolin, fritz, china clay, feldspar Ball clay, easy cast, china clay, silica sand, feldspar Market opportunities Local markets all over Iraq. Possibility for exports: wall tile, floor tile, washing sink, and toilet Value added for main product Quality standard Packing, increasing raw materials and energy material prices in markets Iraqi standard The table below shows the raw material composition of the Old Ceramic Factory plant, located in the city of Ramadi in Al-Anbar Governorate (total annual design capacity: 1.5 million m2). Forty Per cent of Raw materials used in the plant are sourced locally. Table: 2008 Raw material Usage and Sources (Old Ceramic Factory Plant) Items 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Raw material Red kaolin Calcium Carbonate Quarts Grorck China clay Fr-50 Feldspar Zirconium Silicate Ball clay Fritz Sources Local Local Local Local Import Import Import Import Import Import Qty/year(tons) 1200 1800 360 180 360 100 200 200 200 1000 Local, good quality raw materials are also closely available to the Glass Factory Plant in Ramadi (Al-Anbar Province). The table below lists the annual consumption of raw materials in this factory and their sources. Nearly 80% of the raw materials used come from local sources. Table: Annual Raw material Consumption and Sources (Glass Factory Plant) No. Raw material Origin Qty(Tone) Notes 324 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics 1 Silica sand Local 50000 2 Washed sand Local 7000 3 4 5 6 Soda ash Limestone Dolomite Flint clay Sodium sulphate Imported Local Local Local 25000 10000 6000 800 300Km west of the plant An old unit inside the plant for washing raw sand is in need of rehabilitation. 160 Km west of the plant 60Km west of the plant 300Km west of the plant Imported 500 - 7 325 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics III. Investment Opportunities Recent Industry Investment and Investment Opportunities To meet growing demand for glass and ceramic products in Iraq, the SCGCI is seeking ways to enhance its present production capacity. So far it has launched a medicinal bottle plant with a production capacity of 95 tons/day. It is also building a Float Glass Plant, which targets demand generated by the construction industry. The project costs ID 149,760 million ($128 million). Construction was planned to start in January 2011, and is expected to be completed by the end of 2011. Investment funds have been secured from the Ministry of Finance under programs to help the plant become selfsustainable. Factory Rehabilitation Opportunities The combination of low production capacity and increasing demand for glass and ceramic products is leading to new investment opportunities in the industry. The MIM’s investment department and the SCGCI are launching various investment tenders for international companies and individual investors. Investors are expected to employ state of the art technology, prudent management and operational efficiency. This will lead to increased productivity to meet growing local demand, and potentially, to exporting some products to regional markets. To date about $33 million has been invested in the SCGCI's factories by the Ministry of Finance through the Ministry of Industry and Minerals rehabilitation plan. The SCGCI has also been allocated $13 million for constructing a 12mw power station, the building and installing of which is expected to take 2 years in total. The table below shows the estimated rehabilitation costs for the factories and the estimated target production after rehabilitation: No Factory name Estimated cost/$ rehabilitation Target production capacity after rehabilitation 1 Sanitary Ware 3, 230,000 5, 000 tons/year 2 New Ceramic Tiles 4, 855,000 Factory 2, 850 m2/day 3 Old Ceramic Tiles 7, 130,000 Factory 1,485,000 m2/year 4 Glass Factory 80, 288 tons/year Panels 2, 500,000 326 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics 5 Pharmaceutical Bottles plant 10, 500,000 6 Factory for Bottles 3, 083,000 and Jars 15, 015 tons/year 7 Sodium Plant 20, 013 tons/year Silicate 4, 166, 000 40, 026 tons/year (The State Company of Glass and Ceramic Industries (SCGCI): Business Plan, 2011 The major investment opportunities are detailed below. Investors must submit a proposal for all three Al-Anbar Plants: Old Ceramic Factory, New Ceramic Tile Plant and Sanitary Ware Plant. Rehabilitation of the Old Ceramic Factory Since 2002, the company’s old ceramic factory has been under rehabilitation by the Italian company SACMI. The project stands at about 60% completion for civil works, 60% completion for erection works, and 40% completion in the overall rehabilitation of the plant. In 2002, a new ceramic floor tile factory began to produce floor tiles of different sizes and colours, but production stopped as a result of the war. The factory produces a key product, wall tiles, which will meet approximately 25% of local demand in five years, once rehabilitation works are completed. The labour force and most raw materials are available in Al-Anbar. Some rehabilitation works began already in 2002. Now the works are near completion and the factory is due to open again in March 2011. Once fully operational, the factory will have a design capacity of 1.5 million m2/annum. Target production is estimated at 1.250 million m2/annum. Rehabilitation of the factory has been on-going. Since 2008, it is estimated to have cost $7.130. With an annual profit of $2.61million, the payback period for investors is 18 months. Based on this, the simple rate of return for the project is 52%., according to MIM official figures. Restarting of New Ceramic Tile Factory Located in Al- Anbar Governorate, the factory’s competitive advantage is its proximity to labour, raw materials, and to its target market. Currently there is a supply shortage of wall and floor tiles. The New Ceramic Floor Tile Factory was commissioned in 2002 to produce floor tiles in different sizes and colours. All its machines were made by different Italian companies and supplied by SITTEL. The factory had to stop its production due to the poor security situation. With some maintenance work, the factory could resume its operations quickly. 327 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics The design capacity and production target of the factory when completed will be 2,850 m2/ day. The rehabilitation will take up to six months to complete and is estimated to cost a total of $4.855 million. Annual profit is $2 million, and the payback period for the participating investor will be 15 months. Rehabilitation and Restarting of Sanitary Ware Plant This factory produces WCs and basins. Machine installation was completed in 2002, but foreign experts left the country without completing the primary acceptance test. The Iraqi staff did trial tests with good results. The production line has been stopped since 2003. The plants design capacity is 5,000 tons/year of different articles, and the target capacity would be at least 4,500 tons/year. Cost of Rehabilitation is estimated to be $3.230 million, annual profit is $13.43 million, and the payback period is of 16 months. Rehabilitation of Glass Factory (Pharmaceutical Bottle Plant) Attempts at improving the production capacity and efficiency of the factory have not reached completion: Civil Works on the construction of the production hall and batch plant buildings commenced in 1992. In 1993, the MIM began the establishment of the Pharmaceutical bottle plant. Three bottle-making machines from the Italian company BDF were procured and supplied, but were not installed. The building of a furnace chimney began in 2001. Although a complete set of refractory for the furnace was procured from the Indian company EURO in 2006, the furnace chimney has not yet been completed. According to the investment file, the local demand is around 150,000 tons per annum. Demand for glass products is growing rapidly and, so, the increase in the production level of the plant will only cover a share of the local demand. Good quality raw materials are available locally near the factory site, as is a qualified work force and fuel. Transport links are also available (roads and railways). The rehabilitation of the Pharmaceutical Bottle plant at Al-Anbar governorate is another key investment opportunity in the glass and ceramic industry promoted by the MIM. The factory’s design capacity is 29,000 tons/year of pharmaceutical bottles. The target capacity is 40,026 tons / year and the estimated cost of rehabilitation is $10.5 million. With an annual profit of $2 million, the payback period for this project is expected to be one year, three months. Rehabilitation of Glass Factory 328 Sector and Investment Profiles – Glass & Ceramics This factory produces sheet glass, bottle glass and tableware. It was built by Techno Export (USSR) in 1970. Since then it has undergone many modifications: Between 1978–1979, two furnaces were added with four production machines to produce different kinds of table ware. In 1982 it entered an agreement with Mitsue Company (Japan), equipping the factory with two new furnaces and five production machines. The bottle and jar plant was built in 1984 by Maul Bros Company (United States). The factory was last modernised in 1986, when it incorporated a furnace with a capacity of 50 tons/day, equipped with two bottle making machines which were built into the production lines. There is a shortage of all types of glass in Iraq. As the factory foresees eventually meeting the Iraqi market for all major glass products, further investment is required. There are ample opportunities for investors to approach the company and engage in investing in a joint venture. It is estimated by the company that about $66 million is required in investment to rehabilitate the plant fully. Investors have the option to invest in the particular plant they choose to suit their specific interests. 329 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals Sector Profile - Petrochemicals 1. Regulatory Framework General Investment Framework Law No. 91 of 1988 and its subsequent amendments govern the mineral sector in Iraq. The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006 is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. Iraq’s NIL provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s greater strategy to attract foreign investment in Iraq, including the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. The GOI also took a number of steps to further improve the investment climate in 2009, including amending the NIL 2006 to allow limited foreign ownership of land. The region of Kurdistan has a separate investment law. Law No. 22 of 1997 pertaining to the nature of SOEs focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. Together with the National Investment Law of 2006, it also protects foreign investment in the sector and several private companies have relied on Law No. 22 to ensure their assets are protected. The NIL of 2006 established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs) designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. Investors can submit any proposal to the NIC. They can alternatively submit proposals directly to the MIM. Investors typically deal directly with the MIM, which has its own set of investment rules and regulations.214The NIC acts as a monitor, promoter, facilitator, and policy advisor for investment in Iraq, particularly for projects that are proposed under the NIL of 2006, rather than directly to MIM. However, all industrial investment projects proposed by investors to the NIC have to be backed by MIM, as licensing and permits need to be secured.215 MIM Private Investment Program -Rehabilitation of State Owned Enterprises In 2005 the MIM launched an ambitious licensing program and started to promote joint ventures and production sharing agreements to encourage investment in the sector. Under MIM’s investment concept, the investor will undertake all rehabilitation, management and operation of the plant at its own expense in return for a share of the accomplished production, for a negotiated period of time. The MIM will remain an active partner and will provide investors with available data, as well as help arrange entry visas to plant sites for technical teams. 214 215 www.industry.gov.iq. National Investment Commission (NIC) 2010, in conversation. 330 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals Recent developments include an assessment of proposals to restrict the volume of imports so as to strengthen domestic production and a comprehensive SOE reform package.216The proposed SOE reform package will further protect investor interests and help craft a sustainable investment framework for state companies. It is expected that the proposals for overhauling the industrial sector will not only result in its rehabilitation, but also in new production capacities.217 2. Market Analysis Supply Conditions Inputs: The main input in the petrochemical industry is the abundant natural gas provided at below-market, subsidised prices. In a recent government circular, the Ministry of Oil priced the sale of natural gas to the petrochemical industry (excluding fertiliser) at half of the market price (US$ 0.04 per cubic meter, compared to the market price of 0.085 US$ /cubic meter). However, the MoO has not formally adopted a long-term price subsidy policy for sale to current operating SOEs. Additionally, projected increase projection of oil to 12 million barrels per day by 2017 will ensure that the industry has a consistent and abundant supply of inputs. Transport: The proximity to inputs and the port of Basra is a potential comparative advantage for expanding and developing existing infrastructure into a petrochemical cluster with surrounding service and construction industries. The SPCI's export processes will greatly benefit from the close proximity of the Basra port. Technology: the State Company of Fertilisers (SCF) North plant was built in 1989 by Kellogg and Brown & Root (USA), for the production of ammonia, and by Stamicarbon (Holland) for the production of urea. It was operating at 80% capacity in 2002. The SCF South plant was built in 1978 by Snamprogetti (Italy). An assessment in 2003 deemed it to be relatively well maintained but requiring more technological upgrades than the SCF North plant. With some assistance, the upgrading of facilities and technology will increase the industry’s comparative advantage in the international market’s growing demand for fertiliser. Similarly, the SPCI would benefit from technological upgrades, such as building a new chlorine and caustic soda plant. Table: Maximum production capacity and Market Price for petrochemicals produced at Khor Al-Zubair plant 216 217 Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM), 2010, in conversation. SOE Roadmap, UNDP, 2010. 331 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals ITEM Design Capacity (tones) Current Production Capacity 2002 Maximum production Market price which can be obtained of Imports YEAR after rehabilitation (US$/t) High Density 30,000 Polyethylene (HDPE) 13528 25000 650 Low Density 60,000 Polyethylene (LDPE) 34335 50000 650 PVC 60,000 266.850 50,000 700 PLASTIC SHEETS 15,000 10571 12500 750 Ethylene 132,000 60339 95000 200 Chlorine 42,000 4226 12000 350 Caustic 43,000 4200 13000 400 278 9000 100 40000 500 Hydrochloric acid Vinyl Monomer Chlorine 66000 Source: Ministry of Industry & Minerals Investment Department, 2007 Product Current capacity (2008) The average current capacity design capacity % LDPE 7193 12% HDPE 2565 8.5% Agricultural Films 1427 9.5 % Liquid Chlorine 749 2% Caustic Soda 50% 173 -- P.V.C --- -- of to Source: The State Company for Petrochemical Industries, 2008 In 2008, the SPCI exported 1100 tons of Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) and 1100 tons of High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) per year. However, when the company becomes close to reaching its design capacity it will seek to expand its export 332 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals component. The main, final products are LDPE and HDPE plastic pellets. Due to the small local market for this product, the company's main target group will be export companies and merchants. According to the SCPI's 5 year plan, drawn up in 2008, the company's production capacity would increase as follows: Product ِEthylene HDPE LDPE Agri. Film Chlorine VCM PVC Flake Caustic Soda Designed Capacity 132000 30000 60000 15000 42000 66000 60000 Liquid=56000 Flake=14000 1styear 2ndyear 3th year 4th year 5thyear 47000 12500 25000 6250 - 96000 25000 50000 12500 - 105000 25000 50000 12500 35000 55000 50000 105000 25000 50000 12500 35000 55000 50000 105000 25000 50000 12500 35000 55000 50000 - - 39200 39200 39200 Demand Conditions There is a large demand for a range of petrochemical products, both domestically and for exports. Iraq could develop a dynamic and strong downstream petrochemical industry, by virtue of its natural resource endowment and existing infrastructure. The State Company for Petrochemical Industries, Khor Al-Zubair plant, would command approximately $142.5m per annum when operating to full capacity at current market prices. The table below outlines the MIM 2007 estimates for maximum production that can be obtained after rehabilitation and market prices for petrochemicals produced at the Khor Al-Zubair plant. According to MIM, once rehabilitated, annual revenues will be in the region of $204.7m SCPI’s largest customer was the Iraqi military (for ethylene and other products), accounting for 50% of its sales. The Ministry of Agriculture purchased 90% of urea production for distribution to local farmers. Iraq exported only a small amount of fertilizer (worth $521,000 in 2004) but is projected to increase exports substantially as world demand for fertiliser is growing rapidly. In 2008 most of the SCPI's products were sold directly to the private sector. In addition, the company had contracts with other governmental sector companies, including within the Ministry of Industry and Minerals enterprises, the Ministry of Oil, and the Municipalities Ministry. The Ministry of Agriculture remained a crucial buyer, purchasing 99% of the Agricultural films produced. Table: The percentage of sales to the SCPI's four largest customers 333 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals Customers Ratio sales to annual revenues Plastic factories of the private 83.00% sector and merchants Ministry of Agriculture Ministry of Municipalities Work The rest companies of 12.00% and 2.00% governmental 3.00% Source: The State Company for Petrochemical Industries, 2008 Prospects Construction needs: The construction industry will be booming in the coming years. The Ministry for Construction and Housing has estimated that 2 million new homes are needed to meet housing demand. Additionally, the government’s plans for large infrastructure projects will result in high local demand of PVC pipes and other plastic building components. Agriculture: Local demand for fertiliser and other petrochemical products that increase crop yield, such as agricultural plastic film, is due to grow exponentially with increased use of fertiliser/ha and an expanding agricultural sector. High transportation costs give local manufacturers an advantage over imports. Global demand for fertiliser also provides opportunities for the sector’s expansion with neighbouring Syria as a potential market. Southeast Asia is an important target market that could import up to 1m tonnes. Product packaging: As demand for domestic production of foodstuffs and other products rises, plastics and other petrochemical derivatives packaging will also experience increased demand locally. Global Demand: Additionally, global demand for polyethylene is on the rise from 54m tonnes in 2002 to 87m tonnes in 2010. China currently imports 4050% of its petrochemical needs and is driving the global demand for polyethylene. Chinese demand will likely account for nearly 17% of global market by 2020. The Middle East is well positioned to meet growing Polyethylene global demand, as feedstock is 1/5 of the cost of feedstock available to Asian and European competitors.218 218Global Polyethylene Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020 - Aarkstore Enterprise http://www.prlog.org/10203442-global-polyethylene-market-analysis-and-forecasts-to-2020-aarkstoreenterprise.html. 334 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals 3. Key Challenges Poor condition of existing facilities: Power outages and voltage level fluctuations continue to negatively hinder production capacity. The SCPI will require the repair of deteriorated and damaged machines and equipment. The Baiji hub faces frequent production disruption due to deteriorated pipelines Years of underinvestment in the petrochemical industry: Despite the sector’s importance in the domestic economy, investment in the petrochemical industry overall has been very small. Since 2003, private sector involvement in this sector has diminished significantly, as a result of increased production costs, competing low-quality imported products flooding the markets, the absence of security and the targeting of businessmen and their families who emigrate. Absence of transport links in the North: Since 2003 energy projects have either been put on ice or abandoned altogether by major international energy companies such as ExxonMobil and Chevron Texaco. The UAE’s Dana Gas and Crescent Petroleum’s recent investment has led to some progress on plans for building a petrochemical industry in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) zone. However, northern Iraq lacks good transport links such as a seaport from which to export its products. The new rail link is supposed to alleviate the transport burden for the region. 4. Industry Strengths Large oil and gas reserves: Iraq has the world’s third largest proven oil and gas reserves. It has significant potential to develop a world-class dynamic petrochemical and plastics industry. These assets represent a potentially strong downstream petrochemicals and plastics sector. Port access for facilities: Basra’s location and superior access to crude oil offers significant port capacity for exports and would allow for industrial clustering, as has occurred elsewhere in the world. The large refinery in Al-Dowra also has considerable potential for the petrochemicals industry revitalisation. Strong Domestic Demand: The largely unmet need for petrochemical products exceeds the three existing complexes’ supply capacity. The construction industry is becoming increasingly active in Iraq, further creating demand for building materials. There is also an abundance of the requisite skilled labour, especially Iraqi nationals who work in foreign companies abroad and who will seek to return as stability increases. Burgeoning foreign investment community in petrochemical industry: Iran has expressed interest in supplying feedstock. Canada’s Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc., the world’s largest potash producer and second largest nitrogen producer, has expressed interest in the production of urea in Iraq. In late 2010, South 335 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals Korea’s STX Heavy Industries concluded an agreement to build a US$3bn petrochemical plastics plant in Basra, which will be run by SCPI. Production is expected to begin in 2014. STX Heavy Industries is already contracted to build a US$6.2bn power station and steel mill complex in Iraq. Model example of profit sharing in public private investment schemes: In late 2009, MIM signed an investment contract with an Iraqi investment company, supported by a foreign company, to rehabilitate and manage the State Company for Northern Fertilizers plant for 15 years on a production sharing basis. In total, a US$85 million investment is needed to rehabilitate the plant with an additional US$10 million to invest in power generation. A very attractive return of US$34 million p.a. has been estimated by the MIM. Prior to rehabilitation the plant was estimated to be operating at 50%-70% of its design capacity of 500,000 tonnes of Urea / year. p.a. and 360,000 tonnes of Ammonia p.a. 5. Opportunities Current opportunities for exploiting the industry’s target market gap are significant. The rehabilitation of the three petrochemical plants is reinforced by the development of a deep-water port; this will greatly increase access to the Gulf south of Basra, with a capacity of 100 berths. The project includes a rail link to SCPI Khor Al-Zubair in Basra, a highway and an underwater tunnel along the border with Kuwait. Most of the existing infrastructure is clustered around Basra, making it an obvious location to expand. The area has additional benefits – the port in Umm Qasr, a railway link and expressway to Baghdad, where the Al Dowra Refinery is located, and with northern Iraq. The Al Dowra Refinery in Baghdad has considerable potential in this sector. There are plans to further develop Khor Al-Zabayr and Umm Qasr ports so that they have a large enough capacity to absorb the specified quantities for export. Umm Qasr is the primary deep water port, which recently had its depth increased to 12 metres.219 In addition to Basra, and the surrounding regions in the South, oil and gas explorations are numerous and productive in Kirkuk and adjacent areas in the North. Some of Kirkuk’s oil is shipped by pipeline to Baiji, where the large fertilizer plant is capable of producing urea using natural gas as a primary input. Kirkuk and Baiji are transportation hubs for both the rest of northern Iraq and the surrounding region. Kirkuk in the North, and Basra in the South, are likely anchors for Iraq’s revitalised petrochemical industry. SCPI Khor al-Zubair Complex in Basra The SCPI operates Iraq’s largest petrochemical processing facility in Basra; built by ABB Lummus Global (USA) and Thyssen (Germany) in 1977 and costing $1.2bn. The plant consists of six major plants for both domestic consumption and export, producing propane, butane, liquefied natural gas, ethylene, high and low density polyethylene, 219 “Will Beacham, “Iraq petrochemicals industry has a bright future,” July 1, 2009. 336 Sector and Investment Profiles – Petrochemicals chlorine, PVC and hydrochloric acid. The complex’s infrastructure systems include extensive utilities systems to provide water, generate electric power and clean effluents, as well as offices and housing facilities, roads and rail systems and medical centres. It remains Iraq’s only complete petrochemical producing facility, and all plants remain operational, but investment is needed to transform it into a state-of-the-art facility. The complex produces 150,000 tonnes of petrochemical products annually, but has a design capacity of more than double this amount. For many years, maintenance needs were left unmet and the complex lacked investment, technology and spare parts. The complex’s total rehabilitation cost is estimated at $227m and will affect all production lines of the plant and facilities. Its production gaps (see Annex II) signify the large potential of returns from investment. Target capacity after rehabilitation is minimum 83% of design capacity. An independent review identified the potential for ISO 9000 quality control certification220. The table shown below describes the investment cost of product plants, which also take into consideration supportive plants and units: Product invest Cost of ethylene invest Cost utility invest Cost of workshops invest Cost of quality centre… invest Cost of quality manag. … invest Total HDPE 10 12.8 15.2 2.6 2.9 0.4 43.9 LDPE 10 25.7 27.3 3.8 4.3 0.5 71.6 Chlorine & caustic soda 40 -- 3 1.5 0.7 0.5 45.7 VCM 20 11.5 11.5 1.4 2.7 0.4 47.5 PVC 10 -- 3 0.5 1.3 0.2 15 Agricultural film 2.5 -- -- 0.2 0.6 -- 3.3 Total 92.5 50 60 10 12.5 2 227 Cost of plant 220 “Will Beacham, “Iraq petrochemicals industry has a bright future,” July 1, 2009. 337 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Sector Profile - Fertilisers I: Regulatory Framework and Policy Environment Investment Framework Law No. 91 of 1988 and its subsequent amendments govern the mineral sector in Iraq. The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006 is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. The region of Kurdistan has a separate Investment Law. Iraq’s NIL provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s strategy to attract foreign investment in Iraq. Investor privileges under this law include the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. The Government of Iraq (GOI) also took a number of steps to further improve the investment climate in 2009, including amending the NIL 2006 to allow limited foreign ownership of land. The GOI’s strategy to attract investment also includes multiple international trade and investment events, as well as potential participation in joint ventures with state-owned enterprises (SOEs). The NIL of 2006 established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs), designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. Investors can submit any proposal to the NIC. They can alternatively submit proposals directly to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM). The NIC draws up national investment plans, regulations and guidelines and monitors their implementation. The NIC is an important player in the sector as a promoter, facilitator, monitor, and policy advisor for investment into Iraq, particularly for projects that are proposed under the National Investment Law of 2006, rather than directly to MIM. However, all industrial investment projects proposed by investors to the NIC have to be backed by MIM, as licensing and permits need to be secured.221 The MIM is the primary Ministry responsible for the country’s state-owned industrial capacity. Its investment promotion strategy follows the guidelines set by the National Investment Law of 2006. The MIM manages SOEs that produce fertilisers, and is seeking to transform SOEs in collaboration with investors. The MIM has identified several projects for which it wishes to attract foreign investment. Investors typically deal directly with the MIM, which has its own set of investment rules and regulations.222 Law No. 22 of 1997 pertaining to the nature of SOEs focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. Together with the National Investment Law of 2006, it also protects foreign investment 221 222 National Investment Commission (NIC) 2010, in conversation. www.industry.gov.iq. 338 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers in the sector and several private companies have relied on Law No. 22 to ensure their assets are protected. MIM Private Investment Program (2005) - Rehabilitation of State Owned Enterprise In 2005 the MIM launched an ambitious licensing program and started to promote joint ventures and production sharing agreements to encourage investment in the sector. Under MIM’s investment concept, the investor will undertake all rehabilitation, management and operation of the plant at its own expense, in return for a share of the accomplished production during a fixed period of 15-20 years. Investors are free to propose rehabilitation of the factories by repairing existing equipment or installing new equipment. The MIM will remain an active partner and will provide investors with available data, as well as help arrange entry visas to plant sites for technical teams. Recent developments include an assessment of proposals to restrict the volume of imports so as to strengthen domestic production and ensure a comprehensive SOE reform package.223 It is expected that the proposed SOE reform package will further protect investor interests and help craft a sustainable investment framework for state companies. It is expected that the set of proposals for overhauling the fertiliser and the industrial sector will not only result in the sector’s rehabilitation, but also in new production capacities and the strengthening of existing legal provisions.224 Key Ministries The regulatory body in the fertiliser sector is the MIM, which works closely under various inter-Ministerial agreements with the Ministry of Oil (MoO) and the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA). The MoO supplies natural gas and sulphur from hydrocarbons, while the MoA is the largest buyer of state produced fertiliser. Supplies have to meet existing sales agreements with MoA before meeting export demand. At the moment, there have been no significant changes to existing agreements between the three Ministries and pre-2003 arrangements are currently in place. The MoA has entered into agreements with each of the three SOEs described in Section III. : State Company for Fertiliser (North and South region), State Company for Phosphates and the Mishraq State Company for Sulphur. 223 224 Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM), 2010, in conversation. SOE Roadmap, UNDP, 2010. 339 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers II. Market Analysis Supply Analysis Background-Domestic Supply All state factories are currently functional but are working significantly below capacity. Iraq had a robust fertiliser industry up until the Gulf War of 1990/91. Total fertiliser production dropped from a high of 870,000 metric tonnes in 1989 to 125,000 metric tonnes in 1991, when Iraqi fertiliser exports also stopped. Production averaged 325,000 tonnes through the rest of the decade.225 During the 1990s, large amounts of sulphur and phosphate raw materials were exported at heavily subsidised prices to neighbouring Jordan and Syria. In this period Iraq became a net importer of all fertilisers, including nitrogenous fertilisers. The Iraqi fertiliser industry declined further during the 1990s. This was due to rising natural gas and energy prices and a general lack of spare parts for production and maintenance of fertiliser plants. Natural Gas Endowment Iraq has a large natural gas endowment. Three of the gas fields - Akkas, Siba and Mansuriya - alone have estimated reserves of between 5.8 and 11.2 trillion cubic ft226. Iraq’s proven natural gas resources from recoverable reserves are 112 trillion cubic ft according to the Oil and Gas Journal and two thirds of these are associated with oil fields. An estimated 70% of the reserves lie in Basra Governorate. Total reserves, including currently undiscovered ones, are estimated at between 275 and 300 trillion cubic feet. A large amount of natural gas that is currently being flared off in the southern part of the country could potentially be captured and used for fertiliser production. The Ministry of Oil estimates that approximately 60% of associated natural gas production is currently flared off due to the lack of infrastructure to capture and utilize it. Phosphate Reserves Iraq’s phosphate reserves are of medium quality and need to be concentrated for industrial use. In 1987 phosphate rock deposits were estimated at 5.5 billion tonnes. Since the late 1980s there has been no thorough assessment of these deposits. This endowment is enough to meet local needs for several centuries, or can be tapped for 225 Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM), Fertiliser Investment File, 2008. 226 EIU Iraq Country Report, May 2010. 340 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers export-oriented production. Phosphate rock deposits are located mainly in the area around Akashat, in Al-Anbar governorate. Demand Analysis Domestic fertiliser use in Iraq dropped sharply in the late 1980s, declining from an estimated use of 89.5 kg/ha in 1989 to 33.8 kg/ha in 1991. During the economic sanctions of the 1990s, Iraq became reliant on the Oil-for-Food programme rather than domestic production for food. Domestic agricultural production fell sharply, further reducing domestic demand for fertiliser. Since 2003 however, fertiliser use has picked up with about 30% of total demand being met through imports. According to the World Bank, in 2007, fertiliser use was 408 kg/ ha, which is about half that of the nearest regional comparators, Syria and Iran. In 2004, 211,588 tonnes of urea was used as fertiliser in the agriculture sector and demand has significantly grown over the past few years.227 Currently, nearly all of the country’s fertiliser is purchased by the State. In 2008, State Company for Fertiliser’s gate price for urea was $184 per tonne.228 Agricultural production is projected to increase in line with the National Development Plan 2010-2014, which includes plans for a revitalised agricultural sector. Demand for fertiliser is expected to increase significantly in the coming years. By 2014, 2 million tonnes of urea will be required in the domestic market alone.229 The 2010-2014 National Development Plan also emphasises the strengthening of the date palm industry, which requires fertiliser supplies. Table 1: Amount and Type of Fertiliser Required Annually per Palm Tree Fertiliser type Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium Amount (Kgs) 1.5 to 3 0.5 2 to 3 Source: Ministry of Agriculture, 2010 In addition to an increased demand for fertilisers in Iraq, high rates of fertiliser consumption in neighbouring countries Turkey, Jordan and Saudi Arabia could provide a potential market for exports. Table 2: Fertiliser Consumption (Kilogram per Hectare of Arable Land) Country Iraq Iran 2005 317 945 2006 390 1139 2007 408 851 227 Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) Investment Department, 2009, in conversation. 228Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) http://www.industry.gov.iq/en/, 2010. 229 Ministry of Industry and Minerals, in conversation, 2010. 341 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Syria Jordan Turkey Saudi Arabia UK 849 7840 1129 939 2898 845 6935 1145 988 2565 806 10078 1000 1204 2546 Source: World Bank, 2010 In addition to the growth of domestic demand, there is a huge international market for fertiliser and international trade is growing. World demand for nitrogen fertiliser is 104 million tonnes, urea 130 million metric tonnes, phosphate fertiliser 30 million metric tonnes, potassium fertiliser of 25 million metric tonnes and 20 million tonnes for sulphur based fertiliser. Fertiliser type Price Whilst it was believed that there was plenty of 2007 2010 US$/tonne July 277 2010 450 surplus capacity in the world, as a result of new Urea 250 1.230 plants opening up in Iran, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and DAP 172 500 Egypt in particular, the revival of fertiliser Potassium consumption in 2010 as a result of higher crop prices has resulted in a tightening of the market. Over the past 18 months, fertiliser prices have risen faster than oil prices recording one of the fastest rates of increase of all commodities. It is reported that plants that were put on hold in 2009, when demand and prices were low, are now being given priority by investors. These may well be able to fill the current need for more capacity. However, with demand continuing to grow rapidly, investors are looking for competitive locations to invest more in the fertiliser industry. Iraq which has huge gas reserves that are currently not being utilised, unexploited mineral resources and its strategic location in the Middle East which is becoming a centre of world fertiliser production, is an ideal place to locate new manufacturing facilities. III: Current Market Structure The fertiliser industry in Iraq is currently dominated by large state owned factories, which undertake extraction, treatment, processing and marketing duties. The MIM has launched tenders for the rehabilitation and private operation of key companies. State Company for Phosphates The State Company of Phosphates was constructed in 1976 by Sybetra, a Belgian company. It started operating in 1985. The company owns a number of plants across the production chain from mining to fertiliser production plants and produces chemical fertilisers as its final product. The State Company mines phosphate rock from the 342 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Akashat mine, which is located in the province of al Anbar. Associated factories produce phosphoric acid, super phosphate fertiliser and sulphuric acid from al Qaim plant, which is also in Al Anbar. A railway links the mine and the plant, which are 150km apart. In 2008, the company sold 75,000 tonnes of compound fertiliser, which was mostly gathered from existing stocks in storage.230 Over the month of March 2010, the Company sold more than 15,000 tonnes of the compound fertiliser. Newly purchased equipment is expected to increase production volumes. The Company’s 2008 investment plan endeavours to rehabilitate its plants at an estimated cost of $750m. This would enable the company to reach 90% of its designed production capacity. State Company for Fertilisers Southern region (Abu Al-Khasib, Basra) The State Company for Fertilisers in Basra was established by the then Ministry of Construction and constructed by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries in 1971. The Company’s capacity was expanded twice in 1973 and 1979. The production plant is conveniently located near the Shatt al-Arab water getaway, which allows easy access to the sea and to shipping routes for export. The port of Khor al Zubair has a fertiliser terminal servicing exports. During the Iraq-Iran war of 1980-1988, the company’s two plants were heavily damaged. Rehabilitation of the plants commenced in 1993 with the Iraqi State Company for Industrial Design and Consultancy (SIDCCO) taking the lead, but stopped in 2002 due to lack of resources and the effect of international sanctions. Further rehabilitation efforts are needed to restore the company’s existing design capacity of urea production to 420,000 tonnes/year. The Company’s target is to raise the production to 1m tonnes/year. The investment required for the rehabilitation and upgrading is estimated by the MIM to be initially about $150 million and $600 million over the next few years. The MIM has launched a tender to invite bids for this work, backed up by a Japanese loan of $160 million over a number of phases.231 According to company officials, the first phase of the project is to procure spare parts and improve capacity for liquid fertiliser, as derived from urea. Table 3: Product and Design Capacity of the State Company for Fertilisers Products Total Design Capacity capacity 230Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 2009. 231 Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 2010, Investment Department. 343 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Urea 3,200 tonnes/per day Liquid ammonia 2,000 tonnes/per day Liquid nitrogen 11.5 m3/hr In 2003 the Abu Khasib complex produced 45,680 tonnes of ammonia and 53,487 of urea, far below its annual Total Design Capacity (See table 3). In 2004, ammonia production grew several fold to 208,322 tonnes, while urea production stayed constant at 54,391 tonnes. Northern region (al-Baiji) Plant The construction of the Baiji plant began in 1985 and started operating in 1990 with a design capacity of 525,000 tonnes of urea/year, and 360,000 tonnes of ammonia/year. Situated 250km North of Baghdad, al Baiji is supplied by natural gas via pipe line from oil rich Kirkuk. Its current equipment lines include feed desulphurisation, raw synthesis gas preparation, synthesis gas purification, and ammonia synthesis and refrigeration units. After the war, production resumed but output has fluctuated as a result of power outages and the poor state of plant and equipment. Output achieved is shown in table 4. Table 4: Production levels 2003-2006 Year Production (tonnes) 2003 93,000 2004 76,000 2005 58,000 2006 10,000 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2008 The plant is currently estimated to be operating at between 50% and 70% of its capacity. In order to revive production, the Government launched a tender to rehabilitate the plant to its full capacity (525,000 tonnes), at a cost of $85 million and to install a 10MW power generation plant at the cost of $10 million. In early 2009, the MIM awarded a contract for rehabilitation and upgrading of the alBaiji fertilizer plant to a domestic/foreign joint venture, Al Hijra (private sector Iraqi investor) and the Marubeni Company (Japanese). The agreement for 15 years includes the rehabilitation of the facilities to full capacity, which is scheduled to be completed within the first three years of the contract. 344 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers In addition to upgrading the facilities to allow them to operate at maximum capacity, the investor is also required to install power units and to pay the wages of employees, easing some of the government’s burden to pay the wages of employees. The plant currently has a workforce of 1,710 employees, mostly from neighbouring areas. The investors are expected to provide 38% of the realised production to the State Company for Northern Fertilisers. The refurbished plant will help meet the country’s rising demand for nitrogen fertilizers for agriculture.232 This is a model for the type of arrangement that the MIM envisages for the rehabilitation of other state owned plants that it controls. Al Mishraq Sulphur State Company Located in the province of Nineveh, the sulphur mines in al Mishraq possess some of the world’s richest deposits of natural sulphur. From 1972, the state made a significant investment in the extraction and processing of natural sulphur. It achieved a total design capacity of 820,000 tonnes by 1988. During this period, annual production of aluminium sulphate used for water treatment and sulphur powder used for agriculture reached approximately 500,000 tonnes per year. Al Mishraq extracts sulphur by pumping hot water into 200m deep deposits. This forces liquefied sulphur to rise to the surface, which is then collected. Approximately 14 cubic metres of water is used to extract one tonne of sulphur. Extraction and processing has largely stopped for a number of reasons, including an inconsistent electricity supply and a lack of modern equipment. The company has a large workforce of over 1,800 employees that needs to be slimmed down. The site requires significant investment as it underwent substantial looting in 2003. Three of the company’s main facilities have undergone significant damage and need to be rehabilitated - the sulphur powder plant, sulphur production line and the aluminium sulphate plant. Table 4: Product Name and Design Capacity of al Mishraq Sulphur Plant (tonnes) Product Name Sulphur Powder Sulphur Aluminium Source: MIM, 2003 Sulphate 232Ministry Design 26,000 Capacity 820,000 48,180 Available 20,000 Capacity 400,000 35,000 2002 8,000 Production 300,000 7,000 of Industry and Minerals, Investment Unit, 2010 345 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers In 2002, finished products of sulphur rock were sold at 30% of market price ($21/tonne) to Jordan and 50% ($29/tonne) to Syria. The legacy of selling below market rates has continued after 2003 with significant reserves being sold at $50 to $60/tonne. More recently, over the months of February and March 2010, al Mishraq State Company sold 403 tonnes of sulphur at $514 per tonne. IV: Key Challenges The fertiliser industry needs to build its capacity to comply with international environmental and health standards: Lax environmental controls have meant that this industry has operated below international standards. The existing framework to compensate affected populations for environmental damage is also weak. In June 2003 sulphur deposits were set on fire and burned for three weeks. Weak capacity to comply with environmental regulations undermines the industry’s long-term sustainability. Weak regulatory framework to attract investment: The private-public partnership framework is currently under review. The GOI has publicly stated its commitment to attracting foreign investment, including in the country’s mineral industry. It has recently taken further steps to improve the investment climate. This is expected to include legislation to protect foreign investment and strengthen enforcement of law. Weak inter-ministerial cohesion: The fertiliser sector depends on mutually beneficial partnerships with the MoO (for inputs), the MoA (main purchaser) and the Ministry of Transport (for infrastructure). Stable, long-term partnerships with these ministries are crucial for the fertiliser sector to function efficiently. The government is aware of this challenge and has set about addressing it. Lack of infrastructure and adequate transport links: Infrastructure links are currently weak. In order to transport finished fertilisers to ports for export, and in order to increase national distribution, roads and railways will have to be built and redeveloped - especially those connecting with the port and with land export routes to other Gulf countries and Europe. The government has developed plans for the rehabilitation of all three modes of transport and is encouraging private investors to undertake their rehabilitation. V: Key Strengths of the Sector as an Investment opportunity Growing domestic and international demand coupled with other positive factors makes the sector an attractive investment opportunity: Increasing domestic demand: A strong growth in the domestic consumption of fertilisers is expected as a result of Iraq’s expanding agricultural output as well as due to 346 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers an expected increase in fertiliser use per hectare. Current fertiliser use per hectare is below neighbouring countries as well as below pre-war levels. Growing international demand: The huge size of the international fertiliser market and the recent recovery of international demand which has caused world prices to increase offer good prospects for exports from Iraq. Iraq is well placed to join other Middle Eastern producers as a major exporter of fertiliser. Iraq’s strategic location should enable it to easily export fertiliser to Turkey, Syria and Jordan as well as to Europe through its Northern border. Other potential exports are India and the Far East, where fertiliser use is increasing. Turkey’s reliance on fertiliser, which it currently imports from neighbouring Iran and other countries, could provide a steady market for Iraqi exports. Availability of Raw Material: Iraq possesses all the necessary inputs for the fertiliser industry: natural gas, sulphur and phosphates. Benefits from investor partnering with state companies to either rehabilitate or expand production include: access to subsidised inputs, particularly from the Ministry of Oil. Natural gas and hydrocarbon sulphur are used as inputs in the process of manufacturing fertiliser and are currently sold at below the market rate to state companies. Potential rehabilitation of strategic transport infrastructure: Some of the production capacities are located close to the Port near Basra, which provides opportunity to increase exports. Rehabilitation of the existing Khor al Zubair port’s fertiliser terminal would enable exports. This export route has been in use for over two decades. Similarly, railway links have already been developed and only require rehabilitation, which could be completed over a short period of time. These would allow exports to Turkey and Syria with a relatively small investment. A history of production and an experienced labour force: Iraq was a strong producer and exporter of fertiliser and retains some of the institutional capacity and skills base. This includes the regulatory framework within the MoA and the MIM. It also has a trained workforce. While some workers will need re-training, many could be retrained at relatively modest costs. VI: Opportunities for Investment The key opportunities for investment in the sector lie in rehabilitating and operating SOEs, against a share of production achieved for a negotiated period of time. Since 2006, the Government has been in negotiations with Chinese, Indian, Syrian and Japanese companies who have expressed interest in the country’s fertiliser sector. No deals have 347 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers yet been concluded and the MIM is keen to hear from investors with a good track record in the fertiliser industry. State Company for Fertilisers Abu Khasib fertiliser plant Under the Ministry of Industry and Minerals 2010-2014 investment plan, private sector investment is sought for the revitalisation of the State Company for Fertilisers plant South of Basra. Details of this company are provided in Section III. The investments will follow the framework for rehabilitation of SOEs via product sharing agreements. According to MIM, implementation of the project will take four years and investors will have ownership over 70% of production. Under existing proposals, MIM is inviting interested investors to rehabilitate the Abu Khasib Fertiliser Plant to increase production to 420,000 tonnes/year of Urea (original design capacity) and add new facilities that would increase the total capacity to 1 million tonnes.233 The company’s two plants, one of which was completely destroyed in the Iran-Iraq war, will require significant re-development. The scope of investor work must take into account making the necessary modifications for the plants to work at higher efficiency, taking into account that it was built in 1976. The MIM estimates that rehabilitation could be carried out in a period of between 2 and 2.5 years. The functioning plant currently has a workforce of 3,260 employees, which negotiations with investors have centred on. The MIM recognises that the plant is over manned. Total monthly salaries, however, amount to just $2.2m, or $26.4m annually. The MIM would be willing to negotiate the level of manning with appropriate investors. According to MIM, annual profit is projected to be in the region of $100 million. The payback period is estimated at 17 months. The investment plan, presented by the MIM in September 2008, listed local demand as increasing from 1,071,000 m. tonnes/year in 2008 to a projected 1,812,000 in 2012. Additional positive factors contributing to profitable investment in Abu Khasib fertiliser plant include security, local availability of natural gas and adequate infrastructure and proximity to the port. The Ministry has suggested that a production-sharing agreement should require about $150 million investment from investors. Al Mishraq Sulphur State Company 233 Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) website, 2010. 348 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Abundant sulphur deposits should ensure a significant amount of investment in the extraction, treatment and processing of the sulphur in the province of Nineveh, where the mine is located. The MIM is currently attracting investors to the site, whereas in the past the province was left largely out of the Ministry’s investment focus due to insecurity. The MIM envisions that investors will enter a joint production agreement, through which investors will rehabilitate railway links and export facilities to export the product. The Al Mishraq Sulphur State Company produces a good quality Sulphur product (purity 99.6% minimum), and production costs are internationally competitive. The local market consumption is about 15% of annual production and the Sulphur reserves will cover over 40 years production at the targeted capacity (820,000 tonnes pure Sulphur/year), resulting in an annual profit of $143m. Rehabilitation is estimated to take 1.5 years at a cost of $125m ($110m rehabilitation and modification cost, $15m for electric generation unit of (10) MW). The location of the company has many benefits – access to water from the Tigris river, close to main roads, and linked by a sub-railway line to export facilities (to be rehabilitated), located within Um-Qasir main ports/Basrah on the North of the Arabian Gulf. Phosphate Rock Factory and Chemical Plant Investment In conjunction with the MIM, the Provincial Investment Commission (PIC) in al Anbar is promoting the establishment of a phosphate rock factory in Akashat mine which will reach an annual extraction capacity of 3.4m tonnes. The complex could potentially become one of the world’s largest phosphate mining enterprises. The deposit contains 500m tonnes of calcium phosphate. There are currently 266 employees at the mine. The rehabilitation of the plant is expected to take at least 2 years, at a cost of $320m (excluding electric generator cost). The State Company for Phosphate (SCP) chemical complex lies 420km west of Baghdad and 220km from al Ramadi/Anbar governorate. It comprises many plants that work as one conglomerate to produce the Phosphate fertilisers MAP, TSP and NPK. The workforce of the chemical complex amounts to 3,747 people. The rehabilitation of the chemical complex is expected to also take at least 2 years, at a cost of $20m (excluding electric generator cost). According to the MIM, a total of $320 million is required to rehabilitate both the mine and chemical plant. Investors would expect to see an annual profit share of $60 million and a pay-pack period of three and a half years. The rehabilitation of the SCP plant would be rolled out in two phases. Phase one of the investment is expected to result in an annual production of at least 480,000 tonnes of NP and 240,000 tonnes of TSP. This represents respectively 40% and 70% of design capacity. This means a six fold increase 349 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers in relation to the production of NP in 2005 (82,550 tonnes) and in 2006 (81,500 tonnes). A second phase of investment is expected to increase production to design capacity. As part of plans to increase fertiliser production in the Qaim industrial complex, a minimum of 300,000 tonnes of phosphoric acid and another 300,000 tonnes of sulphuric acid are expected to be produced. According to the Ramadi based investment Commission, $80m is required to set up this section of the industrial complex, which could be implemented over a period of two years. Key inputs will be purchased for the production of sulphuric acid, including sulphur from hydrocarbons in Kirkuk or from Mishraq’s raw sulphur deposits in Nineveh. As with all project proposals designed to increase production, an essential requirement is the installation of a power station. Fluctuations in the electricity supply results in the plant becoming idle and, thus, sometimes in having to reset the production process from start. 350 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers INVESTMENT PROJECT PROFILE Name of company Industry Address or location Contact details Year company was established Total investment size ($) Purpose of Investment State Company for Phosphates Fertilizer al Qaim. Al Anbar Governorate Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 1978 340,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion Project Summary With access to some of the world’s largest deposits of phosphate rock, estimated at 500,000,000 million tons, the State Company for Phosphates, in the province of al Anbar, is inviting investor proposals to develop the company’s extractive and processing operations under an investment rehabilitation program spanning 15 years or less. About 420 kms west of Baghdad, the Company for Phosphate (SCP) produces three fertilizer products, which are mainly developed through its chemical complex once phosphate rock is extracted and delivered to the site. This includes compound fertilizer (NP), triple super phosphate (TSP) and mono-ammonium phosphate (MAP). All three products are required in Iraq’s emerging agriculture sector. Once rehabilitation covers local demand, the investor will have the option to export its share of production to neighbouring countries, including to Syria, Turkey and Jordan, which heavily rely on the use of fertilizer in its agricultural industries. The company has an export license but it has experienced significant constraints in exporting its products as a result of a lack of production and a weak transport infrastructure. In return for an investment of about $340,000,000, which does not include power generation for the two main sites, investors could potentially secure over 80% of production output. Rehabilitation is split into two stages, the first of which should help revitalize operations, and the second to meet and go beyond plate production capacities. With the potential to secure exclusive rights to the country’s phosphate rock deposits, investors can draw from various financial instruments offered by the World Bank’s International Finance Corporation (IFC), which can offer a loan of up to 35% of the total investment requirement. 351 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Market Assessment Overview Domestic Consumption Fertilizer in Iraq has been one of the few commodities that have persistently commanded greater demand and consumption. The Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture, which is a major consumer of fertilizer in the country, recently noted that consumption of fertilizer was growing so fast in the country that it was leading to shortage. Estimates of the demand levels in 2007 showed that local demand for complex fertilizers is 300,000 tons per annum while annual demand for super phosphate fertilizer is 120,000 tons. With major agricultural projects initiated over the past few years in addition to growing commercial farming, the demand level is expected to increase considerably. Local Supply and Imports The State Company for Phosphate was the main local producer of fertilizers in Iraq before 2003. Almost all these locally produced fertilizers are used in the country. The country also imports fertilizers from Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Its market share is low today, as its sales are largely from stock output from previous years. Market Prices The market price of fertilizer varies depending on the type and source. In general, however, the price could range between 200,000 ID to 600,000 ID as shown in the table below. Product Type Concentrated Sulphuric acid Concentrated phosphoric acid Compound fertilizer - NP (Nitrate based mineral compound) Fertilizer - TSP (Triple Super Phosphate) Fertilizer - MAP (Mono Ammonium Phosphate) (Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment File, 2007) Local Price ID/Ton 200,000 600,000 215,000 425,000 450,000 Factory Details Brief History The State Company for Phosphate is divided into processing and extractive operations. The processing complex is located 20 km South East of al Qaim or about 420 km west of 352 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Baghdad, and was constructed by the Belgium Company SYBETRA in 1978. Full scale production started five years later in 1983. The design capacity of the complex in tons per annum is as follow: Type TSP: NP MAP Phosphate rock: Quantity/tons 600,000 655,000, 280,000 3,400,000 The chemical complex is made up of several plants and operations working together to produce the above phosphate products. This includes the beneficiation plant, phosphoric acid plant, sulphuric acid plant, ammonia plant, fertilizer plants, and raw and final products unit, handling and packing units. The total size of operations cover 3,088,260 square meters. It is estimated by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals that 500,000,000 tons of recoverable phosphate rock is located within the plant’s mining site. Mine operations are located approximately 170 km south west of al Qaim and cover 220,000 sqm of land. The plant’s potential extractive operations could potentially cover an area of 50 square kilometres. To date, only five main quarries of calcium phosphate deposits have been developed of which two have been operating in recent years and only one production line is currently operational. The production capacity of the extractive arm of the State Company is about 3,400,000 tons of phosphate rock annually, of which only 850,000 tons has been realized in any given year since it came into operation. Phosphate rock extracted in Akashat is transported by truck to the chemical complex as the existing railway connection between the two major sites is not operational. Inputs, Organizational and Human Resources The chemical complex is supplied by electric power through high tension electric power lines of 132 KV from al Qaim power station, which has a total capacity of 400kv. This is however insufficient and the company will also need spare parts for its high and low voltage substations to improve efficiency. 353 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Water, both tap and drinking, are locally available at the chemical complex. The existing water facility, however, will require some rehabilitation. There are two water tube boilers which also need repair work. Most of the raw materials required for production are available either within the province of al Anbar, or from neighbouring provinces. The key raw materials are concentrate phosphate rocks which are obtained from its Akashat mine. Phosphoric Acid, MAP, H2SO are produced in the chemical complex; ammonia and urea are acquired from the urea fertilizer plants in Bayji or Basra; and filling sacks are either made locally or imported. The total number of staff in the chemical complex is 3,747 of which 773 are technical staff. The mine complex has 266 employees of which 221 are technical staff. The monthly salary for the staff in the chemical complex and the mine is estimated at about ID 832,078,720 ($774,256) and ID 55,500,000 ($49,642) respectively. Annual Production The chemical complex has been operating below its original design capacity for many years. Additionally, the highest production of phosphate rock in Akashat was recorded as 850 000 tons/year but the average production has only been 600,000 tons per annum. The annual production of complex fertilizer and phosphate rock is presented in the table below: Year/ TSP NP MAP Product 1995 24145 276890 62645 1996 27930 227350 4854 1997 27900 288000 1998 6760 192370 1999 13030 242900 2000 51525 228220 3900 2001 73110 247830 2002 112210 343340 11595 2003 25690 81600 5860 2004 16600 2005 82550 2006 81500 (Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment File, 2007) MINE 1692168 1859223 2094780 2423550 2073550 1635283 47940 841495 124825 950235 676210 785290 354 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Key Project Advantages Potential to dominate the phosphate fertilizer market in Iraq, as the State Company effectively holds a monopoly over phosphate rock extraction Strong and increasing demand for fertilizer products in the country, particularly to meet growing demand from the agricultural sector Availability of raw materials from al Anbar and neighbouring provinces Strong institutional knowledge and experience amongst the State Company’s human resource assets Investment output Under the proposed investment plan, rehabilitation is split into two stages. The first stage largely focuses on reaching the full existing production capacity at both the extractive and chemical operations. The second stage, which should also be implemented during the lifetime of the 15 year agreement with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, will target increasing production capacities. MIM is interested in hearing from prospective investors about their own plans to increase production beyond plate capacities. The first stage should, according to MIM, take investors about two years to complete. During the initial stage, production should reach the following: Product Production target(ton) % of Designed capacity NP TSP 480000 240000 40% 70% During the second stage of rehabilitation, investors are asked to meet plate capacity as well as proposing an expansion target. To meet the targets set in the first stage of rehabilitation, the chemical complex will require a power station of 50 MWH to be able to work properly. Investors should consider rehabilitating the existing turbo generators before considering buying new ones. 355 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers In addition the investor is required to undertake a soil study in the sulphuric acid area, phosphoric acid plant, utilities unit area, fertilizer unit area and kilns area as part of this investment. These preliminary soil tests will help determine the soil’s characteristics in relation to cavities, voids and ground water. The following work will also be required: Evaluating the current state of foundations to determine compressive strength, shear strength and the solutions required to improve it. Re-levelling the foundation towers in the sulphuric acid plant and to correct the constant tilting. This needs to be done without any interruption to production or tower transfer. Restoring the structure of the phosphoric, utilities and fertilizers units. Correcting the pedestals surface using suitable acid resistant materials. At the Akashat phosphate mine rehabilitation work will involve all the five previously developed quarries of the calcium phosphate deposits. The rehabilitation is expected to lead to a design capacity of 850,000 tons per annum, of which a targeted capacity of at least 350,000 tons per year should be realized in the short term. Second stage rehabilitation efforts should see the mine reach some 3.4 million tons of phosphate rock extraction per year. Mine operations will require a new power station. The mine will also require key raw materials to operate. These are mainly civil explosives which need to be imported. The table below shows the civil explosives that need to be imported. Description Unit Quantity ANFO Explosive (ammonium Nitrate) Plastic Explosive (Gelignite) Detonating cord 10 gm/m Delay connectors 20 ms Ignition caps No.8 Safety fuse Ton 650 Ton M Pieces Pieces M 110 340 000 6000 700 1000 Investment Requirement 356 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Investors are asked to invest in both mineral extraction operations in Akashat and the chemical complex close to al Qaim. It is estimated by MIM that rehabilitation of the chemical complex alone will cost $320,000,000. In addition, rehabilitation of the Akashat Mine will also cost $20,000,000. These expenditures, however, exclude the cost of acquiring new electric generators which are essential to enhance efficiency in production. According to MIM, estimates of annual profits after three years of rehabilitation are in the region of $60,000,000. Investors are given the option of increasing the size of investment in return for a more lucrative production sharing agreement, which has to be negotiated with officials at MIM headquarters in Baghdad. While the specific details of the production sharing agreement is largely dependent on the nature of the investment proposal, MIM will offer a majority share that is significantly above 80% of production, to investors, in return for the proposed rehabilitation work. In terms of funding, the International Finance Corporation (IFC) of the World Bank could potentially provide a loan of up to 35% of the total investment required, to help encourage investors in developing the State Company’s operations in al Anbar. Previous precedents here include the IFC’s participation to a tune of a $40,000,000 loan in Lafarge’s rehabilitation of the state owned Karbala cement plant. As well as being protected through various legal mechanisms offered by MIM’s 1997 Investment law, investors can seek insurance from the World Bank’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency. Investors will also be exempt from taxes and duties and be able to repatriate profits for the first ten years of operations. 357 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Contact details Year company was established Total investment size US$ Purpose of Investment Irrigation System Plant - State Company for Mechanical Industries Agricultural equipment Iskandariyah, Babylon Governorate Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 1975 33,850,000 Rehabilitation and expansion Project Summary As the Iraqi Government increases the size of capital investment in the agriculture sector, demand for irrigation systems will soar. A key component of the Government’s strategy for the sector over the years 2010-2014 will rely on efficient management of water resources in what is a largely semi-arid country. To realize these development goals, the Government will purchase irrigation units which will be distributed at subsidized rates to farmers. The Iskandariyah Irrigation Plant is well positioned as the only Government factory designed to produce irrigation units for the country. Investors are invited to bid under the Ministry of Industry and Mineral’s rehabilitation investment program of approximately $33,850,000. In return, investors could potentially secure long-term contracts with the Ministry of Agriculture and sell a majority share of all production at market prices to the Ministry. The current state of the factory will require a comprehensive rehabilitation program, including extensive training for the existing workforce and replacement of machines and equipment. The plant could potentially compete with cheaper imports by establishing a dedicated bespoke support service to farmers, which could include the production of irrigation units tailored to customer designs, training and capacity building, maintenance and client care, and the opportunity to service the units over a period of time. While the proposed production target set by the Ministry is 2,400 sprinkler and irrigation units per annum, investors have the choice of increasing output and utilizing the plant’s vast site to raise production over the duration of 15 years or less. 358 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Market Assessment Overview The Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture is currently the main client and purchaser of the company’s irrigation systems. It is currently the only company in Iraq capable of producing irrigation units. According to the Ministry of Agriculture a minimum of 6,000 irrigation systems were imported in Iraq in 2009 from Turkey, Iran and other countries to rehabilitate the country’s agricultural sector. Most of these units were purchased by the private sector at market prices to sell on to farmers, or distributed by the Government at subsidised rates to encourage farm productivity. Farmers have to register with Ministry of Agriculture to apply for these incentives where support will largely depend on whether the farm is producing what the country identifies as strategic crops, such as rice, wheat, barley and corn. Market Prices Imported irrigation systems are sold in the Iraqi market at the prices indicated below: Irrigation System Fixed system (40X2500 m2) Market Price US$ 44,000 Mobile system (open) 11,600 Pivot system (60 X 2500 m2) 14,600 Pivot system (120 X 2500 m2) 22,000 Pivot system (180 X 2500 m2) 26,000 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals’ Investment File, 2007 Factory Details Brief History The factory was originally established in the early 1970s by the Iraqi Government to manufacture spare parts for trailers and trucks but the purpose was diverted in the 1990s after a long period of being shut down due to a weak supply of electricity, and a lack of effective management support. International companies Bauer and Irrifrance 359 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers helped develop the factory, which started producing irrigation systems in 1998 but had to stop due to the war in 2003. Currently, the factory is not producing any irrigation systems or any other output. The total area encompassed by the plant is 90,000 sqm, which includes 27,400 sqm of building. It has adequate access to major roads leading to the provincial capital, al Hilla and also Baghdad, which is approximately 50 kms north of the plant. Adjacent to the plant, about 600 meters away, is the Iskandiryah railway station which is connected to Baghdad and Basra train lines. The plant is located in proximity to large swathes of fertile agricultural land which is currently being considered by the Iraqi Government and the Babylon Governorate for the development of strategic agricultural projects, including barley, wheat and rice production. Annual Production The design capacity of the factory is 1,100 irrigation systems of various sizes per annum. Since 1998, however, the factory sold 500 irrigation systems per annum to the Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture, the company’s main client, between 1998 and 2002 at market rates. All irrigation systems were in turn sold to farmers at subsidized rates or distributed for free to raise agricultural production. Subsidized prices were about 40% less the market rate. As of 2007, the plant has only been able to produce 10% of its production capacity annually. The specifications of the irrigation systems are detailed below: Fixed system (40X2500 m2) Mobile system (open area) Pivot system (60 X 2500 m2) Pivot system (120 X 2500 m2) Pivot system (180 X 2500 m2) Investors are given the option of changing specifications as they see fit. Infrastructure, Inputs, Organization and Human Resources Power supply to the factory is currently not sufficient and less than reliable. The current power source comes from the National Grid through a main substation of five outgoing 11 Kw feeders. Any new program for the plant will require a generator of 2.5 MW. The plant also has insufficient water supply. The industrial available water is 15m3/h, while the plant requires 30m3/h; for drinking water the plant requires 27m3/h but 360 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers available capacity is just 12m3/ h. In addition, the compressed air units have a capacity of 25m3/min while the actual capacity required is 50m3/min. While there are various laboratories, all require complete maintenance and rehabilitation. The factory has total staff strength of 925 made up of technicians and administrative staff. The monthly salary for the total work force is US$172,000 and it is still being paid even when there is not production output. Key Project Advantages Insufficient local supply Strong local demand for drip irrigation systems as a result of the growing need to manage water resources more efficiently On-going revitalization of the agricultural sector under the National Development Plan 2010-2014 Availability of experienced technicians and competent labour force within the plant Opportunity to secure lucrative long-term contracts with the Ministry of Agriculture at market prices and ensure a reliable client for the duration of the project Price efficiencies can potentially be attained to compete with imported irrigation units if complete irrigation packages are provided, which could include production of bespoke units, training, installation and maintenance provided by the state company. These advantages as a set of services would help ensure greater profits as well as tailored client care, which essentially cannot be provided through imports. Investment Output The investment opportunity requires the investor to rehabilitate the factory thoroughly in order to increase operating capacity. Capacity has been below expectations due to lack of spare parts, poor maintenance and shortage of power. The rehabilitation and maintenance work is expected to increase the production capacity to 2,400 Irrigation Systems per year and the investor is free to suggest and implement a much higher production capacity. 361 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers The estimated time for the completion of the rehabilitation is approximately three years. This can be reduced significantly, however, depending on the proposed capacity of the investor. The investor will be expected to visit the plant to independently evaluate the technical requirements to rehabilitate the factory. The table below indicates the scope of work needed for the rehabilitation of the factory: No. Unit to be Rehabilitated 1. Rehabilitation of metal pipe manufacturing line used to produce metal pipes for solid and pivot systems 2. Rehabilitation of the preparations and mechanical machining unit in addition to presses, bridge cranes to manufacture the whole irrigation system parts 3. Rehabilitation of metal ball shoot blasting machine , automatic polishing line used to polish mobile systems 4. Rehabilitation of Italian dies pressure casting and plastic injection machines 5. Rehabilitation of all bridge cranes in addition to deliver bridge crane for solid system manufacturing line 6. Install a pipe production line to manufacture circular pipes and different types of irrigation system pipes 7. Rehabilitation of the galvanization line which was locally manufactured 8. Install pivot components manufacturing line, two complete galvanization lines in addition to environment protection unit, labs, sprayers manufacturing line and padded pipe production line 9. Build a packing unit 10. Install two air compressors, electric and diesel 9 bars with 25m3/m discharge 11. Upgrade the water supply and air lines and complete the factory buildings ventilation system 12. Complete the civil engineering works concerning the roofs and gases tanks for the productions lines buildings 13. Install a tower car and forklifts 14. Install a small unit to produce industrial gases 15. Install welding machines for mobile systems 16. Install 2 megawatt power generation units Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment File, 2007 Investment Requirement The cost of rehabilitating the factory is estimated at $33,850,000. When completed and operational, the plant could generate an annual profit of profit $4,800,000 according to the Ministry of Industry and Mineral’s Investment File on the project. 362 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers The investor will be expected to rehabilitate the plant using state of the art facilities and modern technology, as well as manage the plant in return for ownership of production output. As part of the investment agreement, the investor will also have tax relief for the duration of the project and will be fully insured by the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency of the World Bank Group. 363 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Mishraq Sulphur State Company (MSSC) Mineral extraction and processing Mosul, Ninewa Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) 1969 125,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion to plate capacity Project Summary The sulphur industry is potentially one of Iraq’s strongest mineral assets, with rights to over 70,000,000 tons of natural sulphur rock deposits. Interested investors are asked to submit their investment proposals to rehabilitate the Mishraq Sulphur State Company (MSSC) in the province of Ninewa in Northern Iraq. In return for the estimated $125,000,000 in investment required to reach plate capacity of 820,000 tons a year, investors are offered the opportunity to enter a production sharing agreement with the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) over a period of 15 years or less. The investment opportunity is open to debt financing from the World Bank’s International Finance Corporation (IFC), which has previously supported MIM investment opportunities in the country in partnership with international operators and investors. Market assessment overview Sulphur is one of the most heavily demanded mineral resources in Iraq due to its many uses in industry and agriculture. It is a key component in the production of fertilizer, which most Iraqi farmers depend on to grow crops. It is also used in the production of plastics and other synthetic products, papers, paints, nonferrous metals, and iron and steel. Some level of sulphur is also used in soil and water treatment, animal nutrition and highway construction. Such multiplicity of uses should ensure a steady and growing local demand for sulphur as the economy picks up. Under the Government of Iraq’s National Development Plan 2010-2014, the country is expected to heavily invest in rehabilitating the agricultural sector, which currently uses all of the factory’s output. The factory is well positioned to take advantage of an expected rise in demand to meet local farmer input requirements. Domestic consumption 364 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Iraq consumes most of the sulphur rock that it produces with annual consumption estimated at 123,000 tons per year, or 15% of the State Company’s design capacity of 820,000 tons. When it was operating, all of its products were sold to the Ministry of Agriculture, which has been the case for well over the past decade. Used as fertilizer inputs, the final products are then resold at subsidised rates to farmers. Domestic supply The country also produces about 200,000 tons of sulphur annually from its refineries, which is not part of the State Company’s 820,000 phosphate capacity. Current supply is derived from stock stored from the Mishraq State Company and sold onto the local and international market once every three months. According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, reserves are estimated conservatively at 70,000,000 metric tons. There are no other sulphur rock operations in the country. Market Prices of Sulphur rock The price of sulphur in the international market has increased over the past years due largely to increased global demand. The average selling price of sulphur on the international market is about US$400-500 per ton, which is also within the region that the State Company sells its product to the private sector. Sales to the private sector are, however, minimal. Sales of processed and rock Sulphur, however, are sold at subsidized rates of only a third of the international price to sister Government agencies. Under new regulatory proposals within the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, this practice has been proposed to be discontinued in future years. Key Project Advantages Access to raw materials where 95% of Iraq’s deposits are in proximity to the plant Proximity to growing local markets, including an emerging agricultural sector requiring increased fertilizer inputs Significant potential for exports to neighbouring countries, including a designated export wharf in al Basra in Southern Iraq Little rivalry or competition as the State Company effectively has a monopoly over extraction rights Factory details 365 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Brief history The Mishraq Sulphur State Company (MSSC) was established in 1969 and started operations in 1973. The company, which is located in the Ninewa Governorate about 400 km north of Baghdad, specializes in Sulphur exploitation using internally recognized standards. It also engages in the purification, filtration, storage, transportation, and marketing of Sulphur in both local and international markets. The Company’s Sulphur purification unit was constructed between 1988 and 1990 by the American Freeport Company which ensured that a high degree of purity was achieved. The conflict in 2003 disrupted operations and saw facilities destroyed and looted. The factory is therefore not operating now. Prospective investors will be able to take advantage of the entire existing complex in Ninewa, which measures 6,576,250 sqm in size, of which 47,828 sqm is built space. The site has 26 observer towers to ensure its protection with concrete walls 18 km across and 3 meters high. Annual Production The table below gives an idea of the actual production in tonnage of sulphur rock from 1988 to 2000. Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Product Qty. 958403 941911 854615 283371 516021 503162 350050 253462 213672 260412 217874 122600 215322 Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals Investment Department 2007 Infrastructure, inputs, organizational and Human Resources The company secures its water from the Tigris River which is chemically treated inhouse. The supply of power comes from the national grid, but it is less than the 10 MW required by the company. A main sub-station and an additional sub-station inside 366 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers the plant are required to transform the input voltage. The company had two local electric generators of 2 MW each, but both are out of use as of 2008. The company also had four steam boilers with a total capacity of at least 65 tons per hour. All six units are out of order and require rehabilitation and maintenance. There are also sixteen water boiler units with a capacity of 83.5 m3/hour each and four additional units with a capacity of 104 m3/hr each. They require rehabilitation and maintenance. The company has several laboratories with testing apparatus, equipment, chemical materials and tools for examining Sulphur, water and raw materials, all of which do not meet international ISO standards. Potential investors are therefore requested to meet ISO-14001 and ISO-9001 standards and also devise an effective waste treatment plan for the plant. In addition, the company owns Sulphur export facilities and an export wharf located within the Umm Qasr port in Basra. These export facilities, however, require rehabilitation to meet projected increases in production, which are not included in current investment cost estimates. The raw Sulphur is available in underground mines located close to the company. It is estimated that the available Sulphur reserves will cover the company’s targeted production capacity for more than 50 years. The production of one ton pure Sulphur requires 1,110 kg of raw Sulphur. The company has a work force of 1,800 made up of 1,550 technicians and 250 administrative staff. The monthly average salary of the employees is about US$620,000. Proposed rehabilitation requirements The table below details the main rehabilitation activities required at the plant in order to achieve target capacity: Industrial Area Industrial Area No.1 1 2 3 4 5 6 Details of items required Supply of vehicle for CaO Supply and rehabilitation of chemical additions unit and clarifiers basins equipment Supply of marine drilling rig Supply and installation of new intake station from the river Supply and rehabilitation of high pressure pump station Supply and rehabilitation of electricity 367 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers station Cleaning raw water pipes 7 Industrial Area No.2 1 Rehabilitation of the current industrial water station Rehabilitation of electricity station PZ4 Rehabilitation of drinking water station Rehabilitation of steam boilers Rehabilitation of main electricity station (PG) for feeding steamer, PZ4 station and the workshops Supply and erection of new compressors unit Rehabilitation of gas reduction station Rehabilitation of water boilers and the new Swedish boilers as follows: Electrical works Instruments works Mechanical works Civil services and works 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Rehabilitation of the second area workshops (mechanic, electric, minute, industrial services) Laboratories rehabilitation Fire-fighting and engineering inspection Feeding of the new boilers location with electricity (system 11000 volt) Industrial Area No.3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Supply of field surface pipes with attachments Supply of sulphur wells inner pipes Supply of different valves Supply of instruments Supply of drilling rigs and specialized equipment ( machineries) Supply and installation of production sites and control stations Construction of buildings and workshops 368 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers Industrial Area No.4 1 Construction of new sulphur purification unit and CO2 unit including civil work as follows: SCD unit SRU unit FU unit Other units Electricity stations Gas reduction stations CO2 system Raw sulphur tanks 2 Storage & Loading: Supply and installation of bucket wheel excavator Supply of pumping and liquid sulphur storage unit Supply of granular sulphur production and loading unit Rehabilitation and supply of the fourth area electricity stations Rehabilitation of the fourth area electricity two lines (C & D) Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2008 Investment Output Prospective investors are expected to apply international best practices to rehabilitate the factory. In doing so, investors will take operational and managerial control of the factory. It is expected that investors will undertake an advanced training program for current personnel in order to improve capabilities in the usage of new equipment and technology. The existing workforce is expected to stay working within the factory. If the investment proposal is an attractive one, MIM could potentially share the cost of the wage bill with the investor, as previous case-studies have shown during the past few years. The investor will bear the full cost of rehabilitation in return for a share of output over a period of 15 years or less. The exact production sharing agreement will have to be 369 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fertilisers discussed with MIM officials and will largely depend on the nature of the investment proposal. Rehabilitation and maintenance works are expected to lead to a production capacity of 820,000 tons of pure Sulphur per annum. The duration for the completion of the rehabilitation is expected to be eighteen months. All interested investors are asked to calculate in their investment proposal the payment of 10% royalty fees for extraction rights based on the international price of Sulphur. Investment Requirement According to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, a minimum of $110 million in investment funds are required to rehabilitate the plant. In addition, a 10 MW electric generation unit will be required, which is estimated to cost $15 million. As part of the privileges available, the investor will be exempted from the payment of import duties on all assets required for the rehabilitation and development the factory. The investor will be insured and guaranteed by the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank Group. The investor will also be able to sell its production share of Sulphur domestically or internationally once local demand has been satisfied. In addition, the investor will be legally protected by the Ministry of Industry and Mineral’s 1997 State Owned Companies law stating that State institutions have the right to engage with international investors. Additional protection mechanisms include the Ministry’s 1998 Law 91 which regulates investment in the mineral sector in the country 370 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages Sector Profile - Beverages I: Regulatory and Policy Environment In Iraq, the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) is the main regulatory body. The MIM sets standards for the processing of soft drinks. It is mandated to ensure the standard of the Iraqi beverage products and production process. A significant proportion of beverage products in the market are imported. Imports are approved by the Ministry of Trade (MoT). After the war in 2003, Iraq opened its market to imports. Government policy on imports has been very favourable to the beverage trade, especially as there is no tariff for imported beverages. The MoT currently has broad policy guidelines on the type and quality of beverages that may be imported into Iraq. The Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) also plays a regulatory ensuring that fruit concentrate and other fresh ingredients used in the manufacture of beverages are of a high standard. Although various policies and laws regulate beverage production, Iraq has not, as yet, promulgated its policy towards the beverage sector. Though standards exist for both domestic production and imports, they are not always enforced effectively. Producers of products of a high standard and quality are likely to find themselves in a strong market position with respect to some of the products in the market whose quality leaves something to be desired. II. Market Analysis The beverage industry in Iraq has witnessed significant changes over the past three decades. The industry, which saw substantial growth in the late 1980s, started declining in the 1990s due to the economic sanctions imposed on Iraq. The import of beverages as well as equipment, machinery and spare parts to manufacture them declined because of scarcity of foreign exchange. For several years, unavailability led to decline in the consumption of carbonated drinks, as these are mostly imported. Since 2003, the market has experienced an upsurge in demand with local consumption of tea, coffee, chocolate drinks, fruit juice, soft drinks and bottled water increasing rapidly. The beverage sector is growing strongly at present as a result of the recovery of purchasing power. It is expected to continue to grow rapidly for the foreseeable future as a result of Iraq’s demographic composition. The country’s population is almost 30 million, but is projected to boom in the coming years. By 2025, Iraq’s population will 371 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages reach 40 million people. Over a third of Iraq’s population is currently under the age of 14. Young people represent an important and growing segment of the soft drinks market, which are already very popular amongst them but will become increasingly so as their purchasing power increases and they adopt consumption patterns similar to other young people of the region. The growing consumption of beverages in Iraq has also been driven by several other factors. These include greater product availability made possible by an increased number of beverage processing and marketing companies in the country. Another factor is the improvement of the general economic situation in the country, rising income levels and changes in lifestyle patterns that has enabled the return of hotels, restaurants and cafes (the HORECA segment). Additionally, the country has a large and growing number of young people: families have 4.2 children on average. With a population of about 29 million people, almost 10.5 million are age 14 and younger.234 Consumer research shows that the beverage consumption patterns of these younger people tend to be more “westernized”, and they are also more receptive to product innovation and marketing. The young population tends to consume more soft drinks and bottled water than their older counterparts. Another important target segment is families with infants as they are regular consumers of bottled water for drinking and for the preparation of infant formula and baby foods. In terms of supply, the production, processing and distribution of beverage products in Iraq are largely done by the key companies discussed below and by the Public Distribution System (PDS) that supplies basic essentials to Iraqi households. This system distributes powdered milk to the Iraqi population, along with other basic food products. The Iraqi government intends to keep in place a modified version of the PDS to ensure that basic food items are available to the Iraqi population at affordable prices. Tea As tea is imported into Iraq, tea consumption fell as a result of the economic embargo imposed on Iraq in the 1990s. In 2005, Iraq consumed about 59 thousand tonnes of tea. There are various brands of tea in the country including Ahmed Tea, Mahmoud Tea and Lipton Tea, which is the most popular brand among consumers. The majority of Iraqis also drink loose, unbranded tea, which is distributed through the public distribution system (PDS) and purchased by MoT from Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka is a significant trade partner in terms of Iraq’s tea market. The table below shows levels of production and import of tea and milk in Iraq in terms of volume and value. 234IZDIHAR/USAID: The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq March 15, 2006 372 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages Table: Iraq’s Tea and Milk per capita Consumption, Demand, Imports and Production Markets – 2005 Item Market. 000 tons Prod. 000 tonnes Imports est. 000 tons Imports Millions $ Imports % Tea 59 0 59 99 99% Milk 1,485 485 1,000 508 67% Source: IZDIHAR/USAID: The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq, March 15, 2006. Sri Lanka supplies the bulk of tea in Iraq. Before 1990, Sri Lanka’s tea export to Iraq accounted for over 65% of the total annual Iraqi intake of tea, and about 10% of its total tea exports to the world, went to Iraq.235 India is another important supplier of tea in Iraq, although trade relations halted in the 1990s. The Indian tea industry is once again looking to increase its tea trade with the Iraqi market. Milk Milk consumption has always being a key component of the Iraqi diet. The milk market consists of locally produced fresh milk, reconstituted milk from powder and other imported milk products. All of the milk distributed through the Public Distribution System (PDS) is imported powdered milk, which is usually reconstituted with bottled water. In addition to imported milk and dairy products, such as cream and yogurt, Iraq has four dairy plants including the Abu Ghraib Diary Plant, Al-Diwaniya Factory, Mosul Factory and Baghdad’s Dairy Products Factory of the College of Agriculture that produce fresh milk and other milk products for the Iraqi market. According to the USAID/IZDIHAR 2006 report, the Iraqi dairy market has a value of between $700 and $800 million and an annual consumption of 1.5 billion litres, excluding some 0.5 billion litres of self-consumed milk in rural areas.236 The table above indicates that about 67% of Iraqi milk products are imported. Fruit Juice and Soft Drink The market for fruit juice and soft drinks is growing to meet higher demand. For many Iraqi middle class homes, soft drinks are part of the daily diet. PepsiCo's franchisee, Baghdad Soft Drinks Company, distributes Pepsi-Cola, Seven-Up and Mirinda brands. In 2003, Iraqi Pepsi was selling about 7.2 million bottles a month. However, this figure is 235Santhush Fernando Sri Lanka hopeful of becoming top Ceylon Tea supplier to Iraq, (Asiantribune.com), October 21, 2010. 236USAID/IZDIHAR: The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq, March 15, 2006. 373 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages significantly lower (60%) than pre-2003 years. The decline was related to poor power supply rather than falling consumer demand.237 With power supply levels increasing and other factors now gradually encouraging higher levels of production and consumption, production capacities are better equipped to meet growing consumer demand. The Coca Cola franchisee, Icecek (CCI), produces and markets various sparkling beverages such as Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Light, Fanta, Sprite and Canada Dry among others. Data from the Central Bank of Iraq shows that, in 2007, the value of Iraq's beverage and tobacco imports amounted to $582 million in 2006 and 2005. 238 Syria is a major supplier of Iraqi beverage products. The Syrian companies Ugarit Trading and the Al-Majd Foods together export more than 30 million cases (mainly 2.25 litre x 6 pack bottles) of soft drinks into the Iraqi market. This constitutes about 400 million litres of soft drink239 representing about 60% of total consumption. The growing presence of beverage production companies in the country over the past few years has led to increased industry output. Iraq now produces about 24 million unit cases of sparkling beverages per annum. Combined with a liberal import policy, this has enabled the per capita consumption of sparkling beverages in Iraq to increase to 22.5 litres240. A comparative analysis of consumption in the Middle East indicates that Iraq consumes less per capita than Jordan, Turkey, Kazakhstan and Syria but more than Pakistan and Turkmenistan (See table below). As income levels in Iraq rise, levels of consumption are likely to rise to, at least, those prevailing in neighbouring Jordan suggesting a more than doubling of the market. Table: Production and Per Capita Consumption of Sparkling Beverages in the Middle East No. Country 1. Turkey 2. Pakistan 3. Kazakhstan 4. Azerbaijan 5. Kyrgyzstan 6. Turkmenistan 7. Jordan 8. Iraq 9. Syria Source: EIU 2009 Production Capacity 552 million unit cases 150 million unit cases 82 million unit cases 52 million unit cases 16 million unit cases 16 million unit case 30 million unit cases 24 million unit cases N/A Per Capita Consumption 41.2 litres 13.3 litres 33.1 litres 23.2 litres 8.3 litres 19.5 litres 50.9 litres 22.5 litres 24.9 litres AFP BAGHDAD, 23 June 2003. Al-Awsat newspaper, October 20, 2007. 239CBI News: How the Iraqi soft drinks market is affected by the conflict. http://www.centralbottling.com/files/CentralBottlingI/FileCabinet/eZines_CBINews3Feature0_1363.pdf , accessed 10/2/2011 240Erste Group Research – Company Report, July 1, 2010. 237 238Al-Sharq 374 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages Bottled Water Bottled water is another important constituent of demand for beverages in Iraq. Consumption of bottled water in Iraq has grown significantly over the past decade, from 7 litres per person in the 1990s to 12 litres per capita in 2007. This is still below the level of per capita consumption in neighbouring countries such as Jordan (22 litres/capita) and very low when account is taken of the general lack of drinking water supplied through the public water system. The market may be expected to more than double over the coming years with most observers predicting double digit growth rates for demand for the foreseeable future. In recent years, the continuous breakdown of water treatment plants in the country and the general lack of adequate capacity to process water have increased demand for bottled water in Iraq. Diminished water flows from the Euphrates and Tigris Rivers and persistent droughts affect the overall supply of water. The quality of untreated groundwater is generally poor in Iraq due to high concentrations of minerals, suspended solids, and salinity. However, good quality subterranean water is available in Sulaymaniyah, Erbil and Dohuk governorates (northern Iraq). Rivers have high levels of pollutants, sewage and bacteria. The existing water treatment plants and water infrastructure in Iraq do not adequately purify and provide good quality water for the Iraqi population. Water is generally consumed in 20-litresrefilled containers.241Refill containers are mostly sold in Baghdad and Basrah, and have a market price of between ID 2,500 – 3,000 per container. The bottled water market in Iraq can be grouped into three categories: refill gallon containers, Iraqi bottled water consumers, and foreign bottled water consumers as presented in the figure below. Chart: Iraqi Demand for Bottled Water 2006 241USAID/IZDIHAR: The Bottled Water Market in Iraq, January 8, 2007. 375 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages Demand for Bottled Water Consumers of refill gallon containers Iraqi bottled water consumers Foreign bottled water consumers Source: Izdihar Investment Promotion Component, 2006. Because domestic production is constrained, 70% of the market for bottled water is supplied by imports. Imports of bottled water amount to 293 million litres, with domestic supply estimated to only account for 125 million litres. Imports come predominantly from the GCC Countries, Iran and Turkey. These imports have become more expensive of late because of increased cost of transport. For example, the cost of a truck from Amman in Jordan to Baghdad has now reached $ 1,900 and this has made Jordanian exports to Iraq very expensive. Chart: Bottled Water Supply in Iraq (< 2 litres) 376 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages Bottled Water Supply Domestic Iran Turkey GCC Source: USAID/IZDIHAR, 2006. Whilst the market has been growing rapidly mainly because of the inadequacies of the public water supply, a number of segments have contributed particularly strongly to the rapid growth of demand. One of the main drivers of growth has been the re-emergence of the hotel, restaurant, and catering (HORECA) sector. A report by USAID/IZDIHAR estimated that this sector alone would add some 100 million litres 2007 levels of demand over the next few years.242 Another important niche market for bottled water in Iraq is infant consumption. Most parents give their infants bottled water and prepare infant and baby foods using bottled water for the fear of contamination in tap water and other water sources. Moreover, powdered milk distributed through the Public Distribution System is reconstituted with bottled water. The growing presence of foreigners in the country is another factor that contributes to the high demand for bottled water in Iraq. Over 200,000 foreigners work for security forces, contractors, and international organizations. Foreigners exclusively consume bottled water and are totally reliant on its availability. III: Industry Players The beverage market in Iraq is made up of both Iraqi and multinational companies that produce and market products in the country. In the bottled water industry, a USAID report on bottled water in Iraq indicated that the country had only seven bottled water companies in early 2007, almost all of which had limited capacity and out-dated 242USAID/IZDIHAR: The Bottled Water Market in Iraq, January 8, 2007. 377 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages machinery and technology.243 Most bottled water is distributed through established soft drink companies. Local Iraqi beverage companies either operate independently or have franchises with international companies. A key player in the industry is the private Iraqi-owned Bottling and Canning Company, which was established in 1962 in Baghdad. The company engages in the production and bottling of soft drinks and aerated water. Another private sector player, The Baghdad Company for Beverages, a local company, produces and markets different kinds of beverages across the country. Coca-Cola and PepsiCo also operate in Iraq through franchisees. The Coca-Cola Bottling Company of Iraq distributes Coca-Cola products through its own fleet and through wholesalers in all of Iraq’s governorates. It has also installed coolers in its outlets. Its competitor, PepsiCo International, has a franchise agreement that allows Baghdad Soft Drinks Company to distribute its products across the central part of Iraq. A regional competitor that has successfully established itself as a leader in the beverage market is the Arabian Aerated Water Company which markets its products under the “Sinalco” brand. As a franchise of Sinalco International, the company has succeeded in developing the Sinalco brand of products during the past few years. It now sells beverages of different flavours such as cola, orange, cloudy lemon and mulberry all over Iraq.244 Two major Syrian soft drink companies have also established a strong presence in Iraq. These are the Ugarit Trading and the Al-Majd Foods, which has the R.C. Cola regional franchise. In addition to these, there are beverage companies that export beverage products to the Iraqi market. For instance, the Amman-based Middle East Can Company (MECC) exports into the Iraqi beverage market. IV. Industry Developments Prior to 2003, only a few beverage companies operated in Iraq, and these were largely dominated by Coca-Cola. The market has seen several new entrants notably Iraqi cola, which sells a bottle at about 16 cents now. These local processing plants have been established in response to the surge in demand and to offer consumers a wider choice of beverage products. Imports of beverage products have increased considerably over the past few years. More recently, other foreign beverage companies have started to establish their processing plants in the country. In November 2009, the Saudi beverage maker, Aujan Industries Company, announced the launch of a $100 million investment for the 243USAID/IZDIHAR: The Bottled Water Market in Iraq January 8, 2007. The company recently announced plans to expand its trading activities into the Syrian-Jordan free trade zone of Al Jaber. 244 378 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages production of various beverages in Iraq. At the launch of the investment project, the executive vice chairman of the company stated his belief that the Iraqi beverage market held major unrealised potential.245 The company already has three plants in Saudi Arabia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates. V: Key Industry Challenges Water levels – There is a general decline in the water levels in the country, which in turn negatively impacts the availability of water supply for processing. However, as noted earlier, there are several undeveloped sites that offer the potential for tapping good quality ground water sources. The government is investing huge sums of money to rehabilitate the country’s public water supply system. Lack of distribution networks – The lack of a well-established system of distribution is a challenge in Iraq. The country’s retail industry continues to be dominated by large numbers of small retailers though large format, modern retailing is developing. The wholesale system serving these large numbers of small retailers is fragmented. The logistics industry is under-developed though new investment is addressing this key bottleneck As a result, most major bottled water and soft drink companies have established logistic capabilities in-house. Low income – For years, the reduced purchasing power of ordinary Iraqis reduced consumption of bottled water and soft drinks. A combination of remittances from abroad and the recovery of the domestic economy is overcoming this rapidly. Iraq is already a middle income country and per capita GDP is expected to grow rapidly in the future. Outdated equipment – Local beverage processing companies lack modern processing machinery and plants are outdated, undermining production efficiency. This is why investment is needed to modernise existing plants and to establish new facilities. VI: Key Strengths Rapidly Growing Consumer demand- The rise in income levels and population growth has increased the market size for the beverage industry in Iraq in recent years. This is reflected by the growing imports despite an increase in domestic output. The huge increase in demand, for instance, the projected doubling of the 245Reuters: Saudi Beverage Maker Aujan Plans Iraq Plant, No IPO Hurry, 24 November 2009. 379 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages carbonated drinks and bottled water markets, provides attractive opportunities for investors. Strong demographics for the future - As stated above, about 1/3 of the Iraqi population is under 14 years of age. This is a desirable age group to which the introduction and marketing of new beverage products can be directed. Coupled with increasing income levels, this presents a real opportunity for investors to enter a market with strong fundamentals. The presence of a large number of children (4.2) also offers the potential for strong growth in demand in the immediate future and the longer term. An economy with strong fundamentals: Recent investment in the oil and gas industry will ensure that the country becomes a major oil exporter in the near future. That should ensure sound external debt position as well as healthy fiscal balances. The country is now beginning to invest large sums of money in infrastructure (electricity, water) that is needed to improve its investment climate. That investment will help to mobilise investment in other industries helping to diversify the economy and boost living standards. Policy environment open to international investment- The desire to improve food and beverage availability in the country is a key priority identified by in the National Development Plan 2010-2014. Additionally, since sanctions were lifted, custom tax and duties have not been applied to food and beverages. The government is keen to attract international investment. VII: Investment opportunities Tea, coffee and cocoa – At present, most of these products are imported. Demand exceeds current supply, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Investors could rely on low labour costs in establishing processing plants for tea, coffee and cocoa in the country. Soft drinks – The soft drink market is arguably the most attractive beverage investment opportunity in Iraq, signified by increased consumer demand for soft drinks particularly by the young population. More and more soft drink companies are now operating in the market. But the fact that per capita consumption is currently low by the standards of neighbouring countries and the current dependence on imports (70%) to meet consumption needs suggests that there is plenty of potential for further investment in Iraq. Bottled water – There is a huge potential for investment in the Iraqi bottled water sector. The low level of per capita consumption currently suggests that the market will 380 Sector and Investment Profiles – Beverages grow dramatically, especially when the state of the public water supply system is taken into account. The market is dominated by imports from neighbouring countries. However, the increasing cost of transport (e.g. $1,900/truck from Jordan) is making domestic supply much more competitive. There are good sources of natural spring water available especially in Sulaymaniyah, Erbil and Dohuk governorates. 381 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Sector Profile - Dairy I. Regulatory Framework The National Investment Law No. 13 of 2006 (NIL) is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. It provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s greater strategy to attract foreign investment in Iraq. Investor privileges under this law include the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. Investors that invest under this framework are exempt from custom duties and other taxes on imported machinery and equipment needed for the rehabilitation and development of the plant. The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), the political risk insurance arm of the World Bank Group, supports investment into Iraq with guarantees for companies that invest in the country. MIGA’s commitment in Iraq (the first contract guarantee was entered in October 2010) contributes to confidence building in the sustainability and viability of investing in the country’s industries. The Government of Iraq (GOI) took a number of steps to further improve the investment climate in 2009, including the amendment of the NIL 2006 to allow limited foreign ownership of land. The GOI’s strategy to attract investment also includes multiple international trade and investment events as well as potential participation in joint ventures with state-owned enterprises (SOEs). The NIL of 2006 established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs), designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. The NIC draws up national investment plans, regulations and guidelines and monitors their implementation. The NIC is an important player in the sector as a promoter, facilitator, monitor, and policy advisor for investment into Iraq, particularly for projects that are proposed under the National Investment Law of 2006, rather than directly to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM), which is the primary ministry responsible for the country’s state-owned industrial capacity. Law No. 22 of 1997 pertaining to the nature of SOEs focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. Together with the National Investment Law of 2006, it also protects foreign investment in the sector and several private companies have relied on Law No. 22 to ensure their assets are protected. The Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) developed a Mid-Term Agricultural Strategic Plan for the period 2009-15, which identifies strategic priorities of agricultural development, increased self-sufficiency and improved livelihoods and national food security. The Strategic Plan outlined a twin track approach, which for the dairy industry implies 382 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy rehabilitating essential infrastructure and improving farmer outreach. Dairy products are a ‘first priority’ for intervention under the plan. Strategies include private investment in Iraq's state owned dairy plants. The current tax regime is favourable for importers. Staple food imports are free from import tax. Other products are only taxed at 5%. As part of the investment agreements under the NIL, materials that are imported for the rehabilitation of the industries will not be taxed. II. Market Analysis Demand Iraq’s dairy market is estimated at a value of $700-800 million (wholesale prices). Iraq does not have enough milk-producing animals to meet the rapidly growing demand. The production of fresh milk is undermined by power shortages and an inadequate cold chain distribution network to ensure the shelf life of fresh dairy products. Powdered milk is an important component of the dairy industry given the lack of cold chain and weak distribution of fresh milk in Iraq. Imported Liquid 'ready to drink' milk accounts for about a third of the total consumption. The rest comes from reconstituted powdered milk. USAID estimates that Iraq consumes between 120,000–200,000 tonnes of powdered milk a year, 800,000 tonnes in the form of reconstituted liquid milk. About 500,000 tonnes is produced and consumed on farm. The monthly basket of rationed (free) goods under the Public Distribution System (PDS) includes one kilogram of powdered milk, which is often used in the manufacturing of baby formula. Government proposes to remove milk from the PDS but not baby formula.246 The average per capita consumption of milk is estimated to be 55 litres, only 5 litres of which are ‘liquid milk’. This is considerably lower than the pre-sanction rate of 60 litres, and significantly lower than the 96 litres per capita rate consumed by countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council. This suggests that future milk consumption in Iraq will have much room to grow. The potential for a rise in demand for dairy products in Iraq is considerable due to a growing young population and changing diet patterns. The table below shows the rise of per capita consumption expected by 2020. Table: Milk per Capita consumption (kg/year) (USAID 2006 Estimates) 246 Country 1977 2020 Rate of Growth % China 8 4.3 16 USAID Izdihar, 2006. 383 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy India 62 104 3.0 Latin America 112 127 0.6 Iraq 55 58.85 7 Sub Saharan Africa 30 37 1.0 Developing Countries 43 61 1.8 Advanced Countries 194 203 0.2 World 77 87 0.6 (Source: S. J. Staal, The Competitiveness of Small Holder Dairy Production, 2002) Iraq’s growing young population is also experiencing changes in consumption patterns. As the country seeks increased food security, diets are becoming increasingly rich in protein. With greater purchasing power, the demand for value-added dairy products will also be likely to increase. The table below outlines consumption per capita in 2005. Table: Iraq’s Milk per capita Consumption, Demand, Imports and Production Markets – 2005 Milk Market. 000 tons Prod. 000 tonnes Imports est. 000 tons Imports Millions $ Imports % 1,485 485 1,000 508 67% Source: IZDIHAR/USAID: The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq, March 15, 2006. From 2005 to 2008, the market increased approximately by 5 million tonnes and is expected to continue to increase. See table below. Table: Overall milk consumption 2008-2014 Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 million tonnes/year 2.00 2.14 2.29 2.45 2.63 2.82 3.02 Source: Fikiki Bureau Forecasts 384 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy It is estimated that milk consumption will increase to three million tonnes in 2014, and will continue to rise thereafter. The table below shows the prospected pattern of consumption in the dairy market by product. Table: The Prospected Pattern of Consumption Year 2014 Quantity of fluid Category milk (000) Tonnes 200 600 300 600 1300 Total: 3000 Pasteurized milk and cream Yoghurt and Butter Dry Yoghurt Processed Cheese White and other kinds of cheese - Conversion Coefficient Quantity Product Tonnes 1 200 1 6 8 600 50 75 10 130 - Total: 1055 of Final (000) Source: Projections (Fikiki Bureau) With improved cold chain distribution, there will be higher demand for processed dairy products, such as powdered and flavoured milk, triangle cheese, local Laban, and local curds and soft white cheese. It is estimated that average cheese consumption will rise to 5.86kg per person by 2014. Laban consumption is estimated at 60 litres per capita, and is an important outlet for liquid milk. Dairy processors or retailers with access to cold chain storage can expand their market to distribute fresh milk, flavoured yoghurt drinks, and ice cream. Table: Pricing of UHT, Fresh, Powdered Milk Type UHT Fresh Powdered Price (ID) 1300-1500 600-700 9000/6kgs Source: Ali Fakiki Bureau If a kilogram of powdered milk produces three to four litres of reconstituted liquid milk, the price of a litre of reconstituted milk will be around 500 ID per litre. However, given recent price rises in imported powdered milk, the price of reconstituted milk is expected to rise. 385 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Supply Sanctions have led to severe feed and vaccine shortages, resulting in a steep decline in the number of livestock in Iraq. The majority are located in Baghdad Governorate. The rest are in the Southern Governorates of Al Qadessiyah, Basra, Missan and Thi-Qar. Data collected by the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) in 2008 estimated 1,064,404 head of cattle, 146,092 head of water buffalo, 13,793,789 sheep, and 645,662 goats, which produced approximately 165,000 tonnes of fresh milk annually. Average yield is 5 litres/day each for 220 days/year.247 In comparison, modern, integrated dairy farms such as Danone-Al Safi in Saudi Arabia yield 35/litres per day and cow, for 300 days/year (Friesian and Holstein breeds). Iraq has no facilities for producing UHT milk. The average retail price of imported UHT TetraPack is between ID 1,500-1,800 a litre ($1.0 - $1.2), which is relatively high for most consumers. The majority of Iraqi produced milk comes from small dairy farms. Channels of Distribution of Local Dairy Products in Iraq vary, and follow different patterns according to the production structure: (i) The household produces milk and other milk products. In this case the household sells directly to the consumer, or to a retailer through a middleman. (ii) Micro Dairy Products processing units, where distribution channels go from the craftsman (in Arab areas) to the retailer or directly to the consumer. (iii) Modern Mechanical Processing Plants, where the mechanical plant distributes the product to wholesalers, peddlers and retailers. Because milk is collected from smallholder dairy farmers in non-refrigerated vehicles, the quality of the milk that is delivered to factories is very low. 248 Dairy plants process imported powder and Iraqi produced milk into other dairy products (yoghurt, ice cream, etc). These dairy factories are only producing at a fraction of their design capacities, particularly the two biggest state-owned factories. Their equipment has not been renewed for over two decades, power supply is unreliable, and there is not enough refrigeration to guarantee the hygienic standards of the product. Commercial dairy farms produce milk and processed dairy products. There are 42 private medium and large dairy plants, six of which were privatised by state-owned enterprises. Due to the lack of cold chain networks and inadequate milk production, there is no integrated dairy production in Iraq. Ice cream, for example, would be usually produced in small plants. Table: Dairy Products Medium and Large Scale Establishments 2008 USAID Inma Agribusiness Program ‘Iraq Dairy Industry,’ 2008. UNIDO Independent Evaluation Report ‘Pilot Project for the Rehabilitation of the Dairy Sector in Iraq’ 2010: 18. 247 248 386 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Governorate Public Mixed Cooperative Private Total Average Daily Total Daily Intake (Tonnes) Intake Erbil 0 0 0 2 2 5 10 Anbar 0 0 0 1 1 10 10 Baghdad 2 0 0 15 17 40 680 Najaf 0 0 0 0 0 0 Basra 0 0 0 2 2 20 20 Source: COSIT Agro-industries, second phase survey 2008 The State Company for Dairy Products produces pasteurised milk and milk-based products such as bottled milk, yoghurt, dry yoghurt, processed and white cheese, cream and butter. It has four factories: Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant, 20km west of Baghdad, Al Diwaniya factory, Qadissiya Governorate (180km south east of Baghdad), Al Mosul factory, and Dairy Products Factory of the College of Agriculture, Baghdad. In addition to this, a dairy cattle facility is located 30km south of Al-Kut, in Al Djayla, midway between Baghdad and Basra. Izdihar reported in 2006 that it was operating at less than one-tenth of its capacity (capacity to support 9,000 cows). This facility is 75% stateowned, 12.5% Jordanian-owned, and the remaining shares are privately owned. Total cold storage capacity is 270,000 tonnes, including 164,000 tonnes of refrigerated goods and 106,000 tonnes of frozen goods.249 Baghdad has the highest volume of cold storage, accounting for 30% of the total refrigeration capacity in Iraq. Nevertheless, total capacity remains well below domestic requirements for cold storage. Table: Refrigeration Capacity by Governorate Governorate Refrigerated (%) (Frozen %) Baghdad Basrah 30 9 45 11 Anbar Erbil 15 1 - Source: Ali Fakiki Bureau Imports The main exporting countries to Iraq are Turkey, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Austria, France, Egypt, and Lebanon. The total annual import value is estimated at $11.5 billion. The table below shows Iraq’s current import dependence by dairy product. Table: Import Dependence Powdered Milk Bottled Milk 249Ministry 100% 85-90% of Agriculture, 2003. 387 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Cheese Butter and Cream Yoghurt 65% 30% 65% Source: Ali Fakiki Bureau Current imported brands include Craft Cheese, Happy Cow, and Vonk. Although Iraq imports 100% of powdered milk, the higher value addition lies in dairy products such as yoghurt and cheese. No up-to-date market research of consumer preferences exists, but neighbouring Gulf States show a clear preference for fresh milk over reconstituted product.250 There are eight major dairy importers, all registered or located in Baghdad. Most importers have their own cold storages. For transportation, importers rely on the Jordanian port of Aqaba or the Syrian port of Tartus to import milk into the country. The cost of transporting a 20-22 ton truckload of refrigerated milk costs $900-1000. There are also refrigerated warehouses that are used as depots for dairy and other refrigerated food. Table: Profit Margin Channel Importer/wholesaler Wholesaler/retailer Retailer/consumer Margin 10% 8% 8-10% Source: Ali Fakiki Bureau The absence of a customs duty has meant that cheap products have flooded the food market, undermining the viability and incentives to develop the domestic agriculture and dairy industry. III: Opportunities for Investment With increasing demand, the dairy sector is one the most attractive sectors for investment in processed food in Iraq. There is a lot of interest in the development of dairy in several provinces of Iraq, both at factory and farm level. The most effective and rapid way of achieving this is to engage the private sector in Iraq in order to renovate the production process. State owned companies are considerably experienced in dairy production. With more investment and new technologies from the private sector, they can quickly achieve higher production levels and diversify their products. One area of potential is the upstream production of milk. Investors looking to develop supply markets will benefit from improving production quantity and quality by 250 USAID Izdihar 2006. 388 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy providing better bred cattle and better feeding practices. Any integrated dairy plant will benefit from a greater intake of milk and cold chain development. Another area of opportunity is the processing of reconstituted milk powder. A young growing population in Iraq provides opportunities for higher value-added products such as yoghurt, yoghurt drinks and flavoured yoghurt – all of which are consumed widely by the young population. The presence of multinationals specialising in this sector is currently low. Potential investors include Turkish dairy companies, who are active in the Northern region of Iraq. In addition to the targeting Turkish investors for this reason, possible dairy companies include Danone, Group Lactalis, and Arla Foods.251 Recent developments The acting director of the State Company for Dairy Products, Yousif Nuri, announced that agreements had been reached with the private sector to supply, install and operate cooling and freezing systems in Iraq’s dairy industry (Mosul and Abu Ghraib dairy plants), as well as two steam boilers and two compressors for the Dijla plant, which have a capacity of 250-300kg per hour. The State Company for Dairy Products has also procured a number of machines, including two electric generators with a 1000kW capacity, three steam boilers with a capacity of five tonnes per hour, three heat exchangers and six cooling vehicles, in addition to packing materials, from a company based in Italy. While this has helped improve production, a more comprehensive rehabilitation is required to meet local demand, including the use of modern technologies or partnerships with established dairy plants in the region. Investment opportunities State Company for Dairy Products - Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant The Abu Ghraib Dairy Factory is the largest plant of four belonging to the State Company of Dairy Products. It produces about 50% of the Company's total plate capacity of 34,680 tonnes per annum. It started production in 1976. It was built by AlfaLaval (France), but was originally founded by UNICEF in 1958. Production lines include milk reception, sterilized and flavoured milk lines, butter production, yoghurt production, soft and processed cheese and cream. 251 USAID Izdihar 2006 389 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Table: Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant: product lines and capacity Production Line Design (tonnes) Sterilised/flavoured milk line in HDPE bottles 23,760 10 tonnes/hour Cream Butter 1,810 540 3 tonnes/hour 500kg/hour Soft cheese Processed cheese Yoghurt 5,860 2,710 Capacity Target Capacity 3,000 kg/day 9,000 kg/day 3 tonnes/hour Source: MIM 2008 The infrastructure of the plant is adequate for expansion, including good access to local roads leading to central Baghdad. It is also close to large agricultural areas in Abu Ghraib and neighbouring districts where raw milk is collected. The plant gets clean water from a pipe connected to the Abu Ghraib water treatment plant. The plant is powered from two sources – the national grid (2 feeders with 2MW/11kV capacity) and 3 generator units. Both sources will require rehabilitation and repair work to resume operations. The plant has two steam boilers. Investors will rehabilitate the plant to reach plate capacity by installing new machines and technology, and introducing international best practices in the production process. The investor will fund the project fully, operate and manage the plant in return for a share of the total production of the plant. Submissions for the investment opportunity are made directly to the MIM. Table: Abu Ghraib Dairy Plant Plant site Built up space Staff Total employee salary Total investment required Rehabilitation time 634,000 m2 317,000 m2 1372 people ID 3.12 billion/year $19.8 million 1.5-2 years Key investor privileges include exemption from custom duties and other taxes on imported machinery and equipment needed for the rehabilitation and development of the plant. The investment is fully insured and guaranteed under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank Group. Sources of competitive advantage: 390 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Opportunity to invest in an existing company currently producing 50% of its plate capacity. Unfulfilled and growing demand for dairy based products. Weak domestic competition Availability of local raw materials in the Abu Ghraib district and adjacent areas. Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring countries. State Company for Dairy Products - Abu Ghraib Baby Milk Plant The plant was originally designed to produce baby milk formula for infants up to six months of age, but it also produces powdered milk. The PDS will undergo significant reform over the coming years, but the GOI will continue to procure infant formula, which is currently imported. This implies a significant opportunity for a long-term contract to directly supply the PDS from the factor’s output. Excess output would then be sold to the private sector. The plant has been idle since 1999. Before that, annual production of powdered milk was 100 tonnes in 1998, and 360 tonnes in 1997 and 1999. It was established in 1975 with the technical assistance of Sodetag (France). It has suffered from years of underinvestment, lack of modern machinery and regular maintenance of existing machinery, which is over 28 years old. Table: Abu Ghraib Baby Milk Plant Original design capacity Redesigned capacity Target production capacity Plant site Built up space Staff Total employee salary Total investment required Rehabilitation time Duration of agreement 12,000 tonnes/year 3,000 tonnes/year 12,000 - 15,000 tonnes/year infant and baby milk formula 60,000 m2 10,000 m2 160 people ID 420 million/year $28 million 1 year minimum Up to 15 years The same investor privileges apply as the Abu Ghraib Dairy Factory (above). The investment proposal will allow the private company to manage the plant for up to 15 years. Returns are more than likely to be profitable due to Iraq’s spectacular population growth (40 million in 2025). Sources of competitive advantage include: 391 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy The opportunity to invest in an existing company currently producing 50% of its plate capacity Unfulfilled and growing demand for milk-based products Weak domestic competition Availability of local raw materials in the Abu Ghraib district and adjacent areas Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring provinces Tikrit Dairy Company Ltd – Hikmet Kubba and Sons Group This plant was a former SOE, and was purchased in 1990 by one of Iraq’s most wellrecognised industrial companies. The company proposes a partnership with foreign investors to help rehabilitate the plant and expand its capacity. In the negotiated joint equity partnership, the company will continue to operate the plant, given its extensive experience in the field. The plant is located about 90 minutes north of Baghdad. Investors are to contact the company directly in Amman or Baghdad, where its offices are located. Key privileges include exemption from custom duties and other taxes on all imported assets needed for the rehabilitation and development of the factory. The proposal is managed by the provincial investment commission (PIC) in Tikrit. In addition to the protection and guarantees established by the NIL, investors are also fully insured under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) of the World Bank Group. Potential financial support is also available through the International Finance Corporation (IFC). The plant was built by Alfa Laval (Sweden) in 1976, under a government contract. The plant is located in the province of Salahaddin (Tikrit), 170km from Baghdad. Existing infrastructure is adequate for expansion, including good access to local roads leading to central Baghdad. The plant is also close to large agricultural areas where raw milk is collected nearby. Products include yoghurt, thick cream, pasteurised milk and packaging, processed cheese and white cheese. Factory production is dependent on the seasonally received quantity of raw milk from local markets. Packaging is imported from Jordan and Lebanon, except TetraPacks that are imported from Sweden. The plant stopped operations in 2010 as a result of insufficient technological improvements to its production lines. Restarting operations would be relatively easy, given that not all machines will need to be replaced. The plant is has relied on power supply from the national grid, but it is unreliable. Under the investment proposal, a 1MW generator is required. Table: Tikrit Dairy Company Ltd Current production capacity per shift (10 75 tonnes of raw milk/shift working hours) 392 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Plant site Total investment required Rehabilitation time Estimated annual profit 100,000m2 Minimum $12 million 12 months $5.4 million 393 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Raed Ismael Hindi Shalesh Company Dairy Beijy – Salahaddin Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07902221532 1997 1,139,500 Greenfield project to set up a cow milking plant Project Summary While the proposed project will initially start out with 50 milking cows, it is designed to eventually have over 200 cows after the first year, once the proposed pilot investment programme is completed. The project will produce approximately 400,000 kilograms of fresh raw milk in one milking season. Iraq’s emerging industrial dairy sector is currently relying on expensive imports of milk powder for the production of its output. Approximately $1,139,500 is required in investment funding, with an additional $500,000 afterwards to strengthen facilities to accommodate the 200 milking cows. The latter figure, however, is not taken into account at this stage. While the profile is focused on the initial pilot stage of the project of 50 milking cows, construction and civil works have been designed to accommodate 200 cows and therefore capital investment at a later stage will be much less. The sole owner of the company, Raed Ismael Hindi Shalesh, is prepared to invest about 10% of the financing requirement and retain management control responsibilities. In return for the required investment, the sponsor is willing to cede equity ownership, which can be negotiated when a serious investor has sought further information about the project. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Annual per capita consumption of milk is approximately 55 litres in Iraq today, which is largely derived from reconstituted milk powder available through the Public Distribution System (PDS). Inclusive of this, is domestic consumption of liquid milk, which is approximately 5 litres per capita, one of the region’s lowest figures. The consumption of fresh raw milk (non-pasteurized) is considered very low in Iraq, at less than one litre per capita. 394 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Domestic supply The supply of fresh raw milk, used as a key ingredient in the production of dairy products and pasteurized milk, is considered to be very low in Iraq, with the majority derived from reconstituted milk powder made available through the PDS. Market Prices Current market rates for fresh raw milk, used as a key ingredient to milk powder in the dairy industry, is approximately 0.50 cents per kilogram, though the prices can fluctuate to above $1 per kilogram depending on the milking season and its supply. Key Project Advantages The sponsor has over twenty years’ experience in the Iraqi dairy industry Currently the dairy industry is relying on expensive milk powder imports as a key ingredient for milk production, thus raw milk from the project will be quickly sold to industrial dairy companies as it is cheaper and fresh The proposed location of the project will situated amongst some of Iraq’s most fertile pastures and access to feed will be sourced from the same province Project details Brief history Raed Ismael Hindi Shalesh Company was established in 1998 and is currently operating as a trading company with its headquarters located in Baghdad. Its primary source of income has been through imports of agricultural equipment and various foodstuffs required in the Iraq markets. In 2009, it made $7,000,000 in revenue. The sole owner of the company, Raed Ismael Hindi Shalesh, currently works as its Managing Director and heads up a team of four management personnel within its Baghdad offices. The owner has over twenty years of experience in the dairy sector having worked as manager at various milking and dairy plants in the 1980s and 1990s. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The project’s management will require purchasing pregnant cows initially at a cost of $3,000 each. The estimated cost of feeding each cow before it gives birth is approximately $820. At birth, each calf will weigh about 40 kilograms, which is valued 395 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy at $5 per kilogram or $200 each calf. The total value of the calf at birth and the milking cow amounts to $4,020. During the milking season, a milking cow will produce about 8,000 kilograms of milk, which is valued at about $4,100, based on existing raw milk prices. For the production of 8,000 kilograms of milk, each cow will require 3,200 kilograms of feed for the year at a cost of $957. In addition to feed costs during the non-milking season, which amount to $410, the total feed cost for each cow is about $1,367. Cost of Cost of Value of Wholesale Cost of Value of calf Pregnant feed both calf at value of 8,000 3,200 after one year cow before birth and kilograms of kilograms (340 birth mother raw milk of feed kilograms) at cow from milking during $8 per cow milking kilogram season and non-season feed Cost 3,000 820 4,020 4,100 1,367 2,720 ($) Once the calf reaches the age of one year, it will weigh about 340 kilograms, a difference of 300 kilograms from birth. If a kilogram is valued at $8 at this stage in the life of the calf, the total value of the calf after one year is $2,720. In terms of civil construction work, facilities and management, the table below lists costs associated the project: Budget Item Cost ($) 150,000 sqm parameter fence Employees and labourers Internal site paving and road work Water Storage Storage and warehousing facilities Refrigeration and cold storage facilities Automatic milking facility and installation Veterinarian facility Cow barn facilities 80,000 40,000 23,000 12,000 59,000 45,000 220,000 60,000 400,000 Total: 939,000 396 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy The project will also require several equipment pieces, which include: Budget Item Water Tank Generators Fuel storage tank Tractor Other (miscellaneous) Cost ($) 18,000 45,000 12,000 25,000 equipment 55,000 Total 155,500 In terms of land, the sponsor has opened communications with the Salahaddin Investment Commission, which has several agricultural plots of land available to it. Approximately 100,000 sqm is required under this investment project, which the Commission has said it is happy to provide once investment funds have been secured. The Commission will charge a nominal fee for providing the company with a lease for the land. Investment Output One way to assess the project’s financial returns is to look at the production value of one milking cow. Each milking cow is estimated to produce about $4,100 worth of milk per year. Of this figure, $410 or 10% is deducted for management, medicine, veterinary services, water and electricity. Item Total per cow Total 50 cows ($) ($) Total Cost of dairy cows Value of milk production (annual) Cost of management, veterinary services and key utilities expenses (annual) Feed expenses (annual) 3,000 4,100 410 150,000 205,000 20,500 1,367 68,350 Margin 2,323 116,150 397 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy In addition to these costs, $1,367 is also subtracted to account for feed expenses. In total, after subtracting feed expenses and the 10% mentioned above for management and other services, a profit of $2,323 is made on each cow per year from its milking or in total, $116,150, for the 50 cows. Investment Requirement In total, $1,139,500 is required in investment for the duration of one year, which includes the procurement of 50 milking cows. While the project will start initially with 50 milking cows, the nature of the required equipment and other budget items are designed for 200 cows without the need to expend a significant amount of resources afterwards. Raed Ismael Hindi Shalesh Company is willing to invest 10% of the total financing requirement in a direct liquid capital arrangement whereby it retains management responsibilities. In return for the required investment, the sponsor is prepared to cede a percentage of total equity ownership. The company has indicated that this is open to negotiations once a serious investor has sought interest in entering the Iraq dairy market. 398 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Tikrit Dairy Company Ltd – Hikmet Kubba and Sons Group Dairy Tikrit, al Salahaddin province Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment http://www.kubba-group.net/ 1976 12,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion to plate capacity Project Summary As one of Iraq’s most recognized industrial companies, Hikmet Kubba and Sons Group is inviting foreign investors to partner with it to help re-establish operations at the former State Owned Enterprise, in al Tikrit, to produce dairy products for the Iraq market. A total of $12,000,000 is requested to purchase new machines and equipment to rehabilitate the plant, which has remained closed since 2010. In return for the proposed investment amount, Hikmet Kubba and Sons Group, who own both the plant and the 100,000 sqm the plant is located on, are proposing for a negotiated joint equity partnership, whereby the company, given its extensive experience in the field, continues to operate the plant. The plant is located about 90 minutes north of Baghdad. Investors will be working with one of Iraq’s eminent conglomerate Groups, which has previously secured International Finance Corporation (IFC) funding for one of two banks it founded. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Annual per capita consumption for traded dairy products is about 55 litres, of which only 5 litres are purchased in liquid form (INMA, 2008). Consumption of milk based products in Iraq is estimated at about 2.14 million tons annually. Of this figure, only a fraction is produced within the country. Imports It is estimated that 120,000 to 200,000 tons of powdered milk are imported into Iraq every year (INMA, 2008). This excludes about 800,000 tons of imported reconstituted 399 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy liquid milk and substantial amounts of UHT milk, cheeses, processed cheese, butter, yoghurt, and flavoured milk. The total annual import value of dairy products ranges between $1-1.5 billion. The countries from which these products are imported include Turkey, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Austria, France, Egypt, and Lebanon. According to the Kubba Group, by 2012, the total cost of consumption of dairy products in Iraq would have doubled as a result of increases in living standards to about $2.5 billion. Market Prices The Table below gives some price indications of dairy products in the Iraqi market. Dairy product UHT Tetrapak 1 litre whole milk UHT Tetrapak 1 litre whole milk Whole milk 1 litre Whole milk or skimmed 1 litre Whole milk or skimmed 1 litre Cheese 1/2kg. processed Processed cheese 1/4kg. Cheese 150gm. Cheese 250gm. Cheese cup 250gm. Soft cheese 1/2kg. Cream 85gm. Cream 200gm Cream 250gm. Cream in Tetrapak 200gm. Yoghurt 1 litre Yoghurt 1 litre Brand Retail Price (ID) Country Origin Safi Maraie Canon Nada KDD Ishaqi Ishaqi Canon Canon Canon Ishaqi Ishaqi Canon Ulker KDD Ishaqi Canon 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1000 1250 1750 1250 3000 350 1250 1250 750 2000 2000 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia Iraq Saudi Arabia Kuwait Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq Turkey Kuwait Iraq Iraq (Ministry of Minerals and Industry, 2010) The main competing company to the Kubba Group’s proposal is the Bunnia Group’s dairy plant, which is currently operational and produces dairy products for the Iraq market. Its brand is known in Iraq as ‘Canon’ and is listed above. Key project Advantages Opportunity to invest in an existing privately owned company 400 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Unfulfilled and growing demand for milk based products Weak domestic competition Availability of fresh milk as a key input ingredient in the Salahaddin province Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring provinces One of a few proven Iraqi operators in the dairy sector with institutional experience of over 20 years Proven track record of achievement as a Group that has a vast experience across various business interests Factory details Brief history In 1990, the Hikmat Kubba and Sons Group purchased the previously owned Government state owned enterprise, the Tikrit Dairy Company, Ltd. The plant was built in 1976 under a Government contract by the Swedish Company, Alfa Laval (www.alfalaval.com). The plant is located in the province of Salahaddin, Tikrit, which is about 170 km from Baghdad on a plot of land spanning 100,000 sqm. Existing infrastructure is adequate for expansion, including good access to local roads leading to central Baghdad, and proximity to large agricultural areas within the province of Salahaddin and neighbouring districts where raw milk is collected from nearby pick-up points. The company has a vast fleet of delivery vans which number over 130. Under a strategic marketing and distribution plan, this fleet could potentially form a key component in strengthening a nationwide distribution chain. Annual Production The company stopped operations in 2010 for want of technological improvements to its production lines. Restarting operations however should be a relatively easy process, as not all machines need to be replaced. The plant is currently able to process 75 tons of raw milk to produce in each shift (10 working hours) the following products: Item Quantity (tons/kilograms) 401 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Yoghurt Thick cream Pasteurized milk and its packing (Tetra pack) Processed cheese White cheese 6 tons 3 tons 3 tons per hour 10 tons 500 kilograms The plant has two yoghurt packing machines of French origin and two cream packing machines of Turkish origin. Additionally, packing of pasteurized milk by the UHT process using Tetra packs is made up of two production lines, with the final output being 0.5kg milk carton packs. Capacity here is 3,200 packets per hour in each line, or 6,400 packets of milk in total, sufficient for the plant’s production of pasteurised milk. Factory production is dependent on the seasonally received quantity of raw milk from local markets. Daily manufacture sees the use of approximately 50 tons of milk, or between 30 to 90 tons per day depending on the actual month of the year in the province and demand levels. Any shortfalls in raw milk collection are often sourced from neighbouring provinces, thus ensuring a reliable supply of milk all year around. Packing and packaging materials are imported from Jordan and Lebanon. Tetra packs for pasteurized milk are imported from Sweden. Inputs, Organization and Human Resources In terms of power supply, the factory is connected to national grid electricity. Due to intermittent and unreliable supply, the plant has several generators in its possession but under the proposed project, a generator of 1 MW capacity is required. The factory also has human capital made of up 8 engineers, 20 workers and 5 financial and administration staff. The plant sells its products to distributors in Salahaddin and neighbouring Baghdad, which make up over 90% of its sales market. Once an investor has sought interest in the project, the Kubba Group will be able to provide it with information on the specific nature of existing infrastructure and equipment which need to be rehabilitated. Investment Output Under the proposed rehabilitation plan, the factory will have capacity to process a minimum of 100 tons of milk per shift (10 hours). 402 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy The following are required under the rehabilitation plan: Item Packaging and packing machines for yoghurt products Packaging and packing machines for cream products Packaging and packing machines for white cheese products Packing and packing machines for processed cheese products Renew and update tetra pack lines for sterilized milk products Replacement of cooling equipment Refrigerated vehicles for transport and distribution of final goods Procurement of tankers for raw milk transport from collection points Generator (1 meg) Maintenance of buildings and facilities Maintenance of engineering services (boilers, air compressors, etc) Quality control laboratories Total Cost $1,200,000 $800,000 $700,000 $700,000 $2,000,000 $400,000 $800,000 $600,000 $600,000 $1,500,000 $1,700,000 $1,000,000 $12,000,000 A sample of expected returns can be understood by assessing the product output from 100 tons of raw milk. Item Quantity (tons) Price (ID/kg) Total sale (ID) Yoghurt 30 tons 1,000 30,000,000 Cream 10 tons 3,000 30,000,000 White cheese 6 tons 6,000 36,000,000 As raw milk is purchased at 400 ID per kilogram, a cost of 40,000,000 million ID for the purchased 100 tons of milk is subtracted, as well as about 36,000,000 million for the cost of packaging, packing, wages, and other cost items. Total expenses will therefore amount to 76,000,000 ID ($64,407). According to the Group, total sales from the three main products above amount to 96,000,000 ID or about $81,356 per one day shift: Costs and Revenue for production of 100 tons of milk / day $ Total Sales Packaging, wages and inputs Margin 81,356 64,407 16,949 A margin of $16,949 is made per working day which, given the 320 days per year the plant operates, amounts to $5,423,680 annually in profit. Investment Requirement 403 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy The factory requires a minimum of $12,000,000 in investment to reach the aforementioned capacity, which it currently is not able to do given outdated machines and an intermittent electricity supply. Prospective investors are asked to open a line of communication directly with the Hikmet Kubba and Sons Group. Negotiations over the plant can ensue either in Amman or Baghdad, where the company manages its work. Key privileges that come with this investment opportunity are exemptions from custom duties and other taxes on imported machinery for the rehabilitation and development the factory, if the project is submitted to the Provincial Investment Commission in Tikrit. This should also ensure investment protection through the National Investment Law, 2006. It is expected that the rehabilitation will take about 12 months for the factory to achieve its target production capacity. The Investor will also be fully insured and guaranteed under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) Of the World Bank Group and also have potential access to financial support through the International Finance Corporation (IFC). 404 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Baby Milk Plant - State Company for Dairy Products Dairy Abu Ghraib, Baghdad Contact details Year company established Ministry of Industry www.industry.gov.iq 1975 Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 28,000,000 Rehabilitation and expansion to plate capacity and Minerals (MIM) – Project Summary Investors are invited to bid for the Baby Milk Factory under an investment rehabilitation plan supervised by the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM). In return for an investment of $28,000,000, prospective parties will have the opportunity to own the majority of production to sell on to the Iraq market, which is largely supplied by imports from regional markets in the Middle East. Investors are asked to manage and rehabilitate the plant over a period of 15 years. A total of 15,000 tons per annum of infant formula milk for children below and above 6 months is the target capacity of the rehabilitation at the plant, which is currently not producing any output. The investment opportunity benefits from a growing population, which is expected to increase exponentially to 40 million by 2025. In addition, rehabilitation of the plant could benefit from Government measures to supply its population with free infant milk formula which it could potentially procure from the sponsor. Indeed, while the Ministry of Trade’s management of the Public Distribution System (PSD) will undergo significant reform over the next few years, it is expected that the Iraqi Government will continue to procure infant milk formula to distribute to its population under a reformed institution. A significant opportunity therefore exists for a long-term contract to directly supply the Public Distribution System from the factory’s output, with any excess output sold on to the private sector in Iraq. Market assessment overview Consumption Nearly all of Iraq’s total consumption of baby and adult milk powder is imported. In 2008, Iraq consumed some 200,000 tons of powdered milk or about 55 litres of milk per 405 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy capita, of which only 5 litres were purchased in liquid form (INMA, 2008). Due to mismanagement of the PDS in Iraq, an increasing number of households have to rely on purchasing baby milk from the private sector in Iraq. There are no official figures of total private sector consumption of baby milk formula in the country. The market for baby milk in Iraq is largely driven by natural population growth. Iraq has a population of 29 million and a current birth rate of 4.2 children per family. The population will surpass 56 million in the year 2050. Market Prices The table below shows the sale prices of imported baby milk products on the local Iraqi market. Brand Weight/grams Milk bag (Mudhish) 250 Milk bag (Mudhish) 500 Milk bag (Dilac) 250 Milk bag (Dilac) 500 Milk bag (Amwag) 500 Milk bag (Qatr Nada) 500 Milk bag (Sunny boy) 500 (Ministry of Minerals and Industry, 2008) Sale price (ID) 2250 4500 2500 4500 4250 4250 4500 Key Project Advantages Opportunity to invest in an existing company with existing assets and a qualified and competent workforce Unfulfilled and growing demand for milk based products No operating infant milk formula plants in the country 100% of baby milk products are imported Availability of local raw materials in the Abu Ghraib district and adjacent areas Proximity to main markets in Baghdad and neighbouring provinces Factory details Brief history 406 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy The Baby Milk Plant is one of four plants under the State Company of Dairy Products. The plant was established in 1975 with the technical assistance of the French company, Sodeteg. It is located on the highway between Baghdad and al Anbar province, about 25 Kms from central Baghdad in the Abu Ghraib district. The original design capacity of the plant was 12000 tons/year. It has, however, been redesigned for a lower capacity of 3000 tons/year. While the plant was initially designed to produce baby milk formula for infants up to six months old, it has largely been involved, since the early 1990s, in the production of powdered milk. The plant is located on a site measuring 60,000 sqm with total building space of about 10,000 sqm. Existing infrastructure is adequate for expansion, including good access to local roads leading to central Baghdad and proximity to large agricultural areas within Abu Ghraib and neighbouring districts, where raw milk is collected from nearby pick-up points. Annual Production In 1997, the plant produced 360 tons of powdered milk, followed by 100 tons in 1998 and 320 tons in 1999. The plant has been idle since 1999. Infrastructure, Inputs, Organization and Human Resources The Baby Milk Plant gets clean water from a 4,000 meter length pipe connected to the Abu Ghraib water treatment plant. The plant also gets its power supply from two sources. The first is supplied by the National Grid with 2 feeders with a capacity of 2MW, 11 kV. This source will need some rehabilitation to resume operations. There are also three generator units, with a capacity of 500 KVA each, which also require repair work. The plant is also in possession of two steam boilers. The first has a capacity of 10 ton/hour and 10 bar pressure and the second has a capacity of 10 ton/hour with a 15 bar pressure limit. In terms of raw materials, the production of one ton of milk formula for ages six months and over is outlined in the table below: Name of constituent Skimmed milk / vegetable oil Skimmed milk / butter oil Lactose Vitamins Mineral salts Packing materials Quantity (kg) 686 304 4 2 3.8 - Cost (ID 000s) 3085 585 12 16 24 60 407 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Total 3792 (Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals l Investment File, 2008) The plant has a total staff of 160 including 11 engineers, 71 technicians, 45 service, and 33 administrative and finance staff. The average monthly salary of total employees is 35 million ID or 420 million ID annually. Staff salaries are currently being paid by MIM. Investment Output The purpose of the investment opportunity is to implement a series of rehabilitation activities to re-start production using modern technology. The prospective investor will also be required to operate and manage the plant. The target production capacity of the plant when completed is expected to be about 15,000 tons of infant and baby milk formula per year. The investor is expected to fund the project fully in return for a share of the total production of the plant. The rehabilitation of the plant is expected to take at least one year. Details of the rehabilitation work and associated costs are summarized in the table below. 1. Rehabilitation and repair of all roofs of the plant, including lining with $4 foam; repair of secondary roofs; lining of floors; repair sewage works to Million the plant; replacement of doors and windows; repair of glass and installation of inner and outer lighting for the whole plant. 2. Rehabilitation of production division and production chamber; maintenance of production lines; purchase of pumps; installation of electrical boards and repair of damaged ones; reconnection of production lines; replacement of lost pieces; purchase of homogenizer and maintenance and operation of oil incubator; maintenance of CIP solutions system; maintenance of air pushers and fans. 3. Rehabilitation of dryers: Maintenance of electrical boards. Replacement of short and stolen pumps. Replacement of heat exchangers. Maintenance of air heater unit passing into the dryer. Maintenance of culture cooling unit. Replacement of filters for the dryers. Rehabilitation of drying towers and accessories. Rehabilitation of CIP unit. Purchase of electrical forklifts for the plant. Repair and replacement of all out of order and stolen motors. Maintenance of balances. $8 Million $5 Million 408 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Maintenance of containers washing unit. 4. Filling chamber: $2 Million Maintenance of filling chamber. Provision of lost pieces of filling machine and purchase of new filling machine. Maintenance of air compressors and purchase of new ones if necessary. Maintenance and operation of nitrogen unit 5. Quality control division $1 Provision of equipment and other necessities for biological, chemical, raw Million materials and quality control laboratories. 6. Engineering services $5 Million Maintenance of water treatment section. Replacement of short pumps and pieces. Repair of air compressors and electrical boards and pipes. Repair and maintenance of fire-fighting unit. Maintenance and repair of steam boilers and purchase of new ones if necessary. Maintenance of cooling system (chillers). Maintenance of nozzles. Maintenance of main elec. station. 7. Maintenance of stores and general administration. $3 Maintenance of cold stores, repair of service cooling and rehabilitation of Million restaurant and furnishing. Rehabilitation of general administration. Repair of sewage. $28 Total cost of rehabilitation Million (Source: Ministry of Industry and Minerals, 2008) Investment Requirement Investors will have to rehabilitate the plant to reach plate capacity by installing new machines and introducing international best practices in the production process. The Ministry of Industry and Minerals estimates that $28,000,000 is required for this purpose. Investors will in turn receive a majority share of production. In both cases, investors will need to negotiate with MIM to discuss the specific investment proposal as 409 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy this will affect both the number of years under rehabilitation and the nature of the production sharing agreement. Some of the privileges that can come with this investment opportunity are that investors will be exempted from custom duties and other taxes on imported machinery and equipment needed for the rehabilitation and development of the factory. The investor can establish either solely or jointly with Iraqi partners’ local offices and branches in order to sell its share of production in the Iraq market. The Investor will also be fully insured and guaranteed under the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) Of the World Bank Group. 410 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Emaar al Samawa Company Chicken egg production Al Anbar Contact details Year company established 07901424576 1997 Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 18,764,730 Greenfield project to produce table eggs Project Summary As Iraq’s population increases, its intake of protein foods is higher as a result of improvements in living standards. Therefore, annual consumption of eggs is predicted to rise dramatically from the current rate of 40 eggs per capita to 150 eggs per capita by 2015, under the country’s National Development Plan 2010-2014. To meet this expected rise, the country will have to develop its own egg production facilities, which currently only meet about 30% of the country’s total demand. The Emaar al Samawah Company is proposing to help contribute to domestic production of table eggs by establishing a 99,000,000-eggs-a-year production facility in al Anbar. The investment project is split into three phases, with each phase producing 33,000,000 million eggs by adding two additional production sheds in the process. The total investment for six production sheds and associated facilities and equipment will require about $18,764,730 in funds over the three year implementation period. As the company will be contributing 20% of the total project in liquid and physical capital, or $3,752,946, it is looking for an investor interested in partnering with it. Day to day management responsibilities will lie with the Iraqi company. In return, the company is offering up to 49% of the total equity and ownership of the project to the prospective investor party. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Prior to 1991, per capita egg consumption was estimated to be in the region of 166 eggs. In 1991, and slightly after the Gulf War, consumption of eggs decreased significantly, to about 36 eggs per capita. It is estimated that in 2004, consumption of eggs was only 17 eggs per 411 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy person in the country. As of 2008, however, the figure had increased to 40 eggs per capita (Ministry of Agriculture, 2009). In total, Iraq consumed 1.2 billion eggs in 2008, and 1.7 billion eggs in 2009 (Iraqi Poultry Producers Association, 2009). It is estimated that by 2015, Iraq will see an increase in egg consumption to about 150 eggs per capita or 5.635 billion eggs in total per year, which will largely be met through increased imports. Domestic supply About 70% of Iraq’s supply of table eggs is imported from neighbouring Syria, Turkey, Jordan and Iran. Domestic supply stood at 360,000,000 million eggs in 2008. Some 54 Iraqi companies provide about 30% of domestic supply of table chicken eggs. Market Prices For a tray of 30 cage raised eggs, Iraqi consumers are expected to pay about 4,000 ID, or $3.60. Individual eggs are sold for 11 cents each in Iraq today. Key project advantages Growing demand for protein food and the fact that only 30% of domestic consumption currently met through local production Local materials available locally or cheaply through Syria which include affordable protein pellet feed There is a significant wealth of knowledge within the sector to support implementation of the project which the company plans to utilize. Factory details Brief history Emaar al Samawa is currently operating as a trading and construction company with significant work in al Najaf, al Samawa, Baghdad and al Anbar. Its primary trade related source of income is from procuring bulk foodstuffs from neighbouring Turkey, Kuwait, Syria and Iran and selling the products onto wholesale markets in the three provinces mentioned. In 2010, its annual turnover was just over $4,000,000 in this regard. The sponsor of the project will require an industrial production license from the Ministry of Industry and Minerals and will have to be inspected by Ministry of Agriculture Government agencies before production takes place on the proposed scale. 412 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Infrastructure, Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The table below represents the costs incurred for each stage of the project: Description Cost ($) Cost of Civil works: Construction costs Administration of building Feed plant Water station (200 gallon/hr capacity) Metal fence Cages and associated equipment Salaries Storage Paving of nearby roads Maintenance Electricity generation unit Cost of transport equipment: Cars (x4) Transport buses for workers (x4) Water tanker (x2) Tractors (x4) Pick-up car (x6) Forklift (x1) 3,616,271 927,370 Cost of raising chickens for egg production (up to 18 weeks) 54,000 chickens 337.5 tons of feed Workers (9) Vaccinations and Vet services Electricity usage Oil and fuel for generator use (27,000 litres) 243,246.8 413 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Cost of egg production for 61 weeks 1,468,023 Chicken (18 weeks old) 2627.5 tons of feed Egg cartons Workers (11) Vaccinations and Vet services Electricity consumption Oil and fuel for generator use The total estimated bill, with the construction of two production sheds, associated transport and equipment of chickens up to 18 weeks, and use thereafter for up to 61 weeks costs approximately $6,254,910. Further egg production sheds will be established in phases 2 and 3 during the first year to reach the 99,000,000 table egg target by replicating the first model developed. To reduce the risk of disease, egg production sheds will be located far apart within the designated site and therefore capital costs are assumed to be constant for each stage of the project. The proposed site measures approximately 1000 donums, or 2,500,000 sqm, and is about 20 km west of Rawa, a city in the province of al Anbar. It will be rented at a nominal rate from the Governorate council or the Provisional Investment Commission in al Ramadi. From the total size of the site, 800 donums or 2,000,000 sqm will be made up of built up space, particularly production eggs sheds and poultry feed growing production areas. Once fully operational, the plant will see about 200 employees working within the site. During the first stage which will see production of about 33 million eggs, about 94 employees with be hired. The annual cost of employees will be in the region of 43,000,000 ID or $38,461. The total payroll bill once the third stage is met will be in the region of $115,385 annually. The sponsor of the project plans to sell all its products to wholesale food markets in Baghdad and al Anbar. It will therefore require the aforementioned delivery trucks to transport the eggs to these markets. Investment Output 414 Sector and Investment Profiles – Dairy Under the proposed investment plan, the plant will produce 99,000,000 eggs annually once it is fully operational. To reach the production target, the project is split into three phases, with each successive stage increasing the production by 33,000,000 eggs and adds two egg production sheds in the process. Under the first phase, the project will see 33,000,000 eggs delivered to the Iraq market. The table below shows total sales within the first 12 months of operations: Item Quantity Price (ID) Price ($) Total sales ($) Eggs Chicken (no longer required) Organic fertilizer output 33,000,000 eggs 90,000 chickens 2,500 tons Feed production for other egg 3,600 tons production plants in Iraq 125 2,000 50,000 ton 50,000 ton 0.11 cents 1.8 3,630,000 161,200 per 44.8 112,000 per 44.8 161,280 TOTAL: 4,064,480 Under the three phase plan, total annual sales will be in the region of $12,193,440. Investment Requirement A total of $18,764,730 is required in investment funds to reach the production target of 99,000,000 eggs per year. This will include adding two egg production sheds in each stage of the project. The developer of the project is offering 20% of the total project in liquid capital, or $3,752,946. In return for the difference, the company is willing to provide up to 49% of the total ownership of the project. Investors will be protected by the 2006 National Investment Law, which stipulates repatriation of profits, tax and import duties concessions. 415 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Sector Profile – Date Palm I. Regulatory Framework The quasi-governmental ‘Date Processing and Marketing Company (DSPMC)’, jointly owned by the public and the private sectors, serves as the legal body for issuing quality control certificates for exported dates. The company is currently working with the Iraqi Government and international organizations including FAO, USAID, & UNIDO to improve date production. Iraqi date producers, packers and shippers who once relied on government support for brokerage and marketing, now rely mainly on two foreign brokers based in Palestine and Dubai.252 Recently, the government allocated more than $95 million to purchase dates from local growers. The purchased dates are to be sold on to trading companies at a discount, in the hope that the export of dates can be revived and, in turn, rehabilitate the date palm sector. II. Market Analysis and Prospects Demand Dates are a staple of the Iraqi diet with high domestic consumption estimated from 100,000 to 350,000 tonnes. Dates are divided into various types: fresh, crunchy, half ripe and sundried. In Iraq 80% of dates are sold as sundried/processed, and a small percentage of dates are processed into syrup and vinegar. Dates are sold to larger buyers who then package the dates before exporting the goods to the UAE and India. Consumers purchase dry or soft dates sometimes pitted with various fillings such as almonds or nuts. Dates are also added to many foods or processed into cubes, pastes, spreads, date syrup, vinegar or alcohol. Raw dates price is lower than processed - recorded at $171 per tonne.253 Higher-end, fresh raw dates are sold in bulk in local markets, by roadside vendors and small shops at an estimated $200-400 per tonne, while the prices of processed, value-added dates are considerably higher.254 Processed dates are marked up by at least $200 per tonne in comparison to raw. The average export price to the UAE was $405 per tonne and $500 per tonne to Morocco.255 252USAID, 2008. International Development, 2008. 254Coffey International Development, 2008. 253Coffey 416 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Lowest-quality dates are dehydrated, ground and mixed with grain to form a nutritious livestock feed to dairies, sheep-herders and companies making fermented products at approximately $100 per ton and exported at $75-150 per ton.256 World date consumption has been rising during the last three decades by almost 300% and it is expected that the current market will grow at an annual rate of 5%. 257 FAOSTAT data (2005) states that world production of dates between 1980 and 2004 has increased from approximately 2.5 to nearly 7 million tonnes per annum. These increases have largely been a result of significant investments in the 1980s and 1990s in Iran, Pakistan, Egypt and the UAE to meet growing global consumption. The retail and wholesale packed dates are divided into two sectors: standard date products and value added products. The standard date products include pitted, macerated & pressed, chipped & diced or paste dates. The value added products are separated into date syrup, date vinegar, date energy bars, fructose, sorbitol and mannitol dates. Table: Pricing of High End Date Products TYPE OF DATE Jordanian Stuffed with roasted almonds Extra premium khidri Regular khidri Rutab Barhi Rutab Soukari Mixed dates Stuffed dates with almonds and orange peels Date jam Date molasses PRICE (US$) / KG 22 65 44 31 32 35 52 66 12 21.25 Source: Agriculture, Development and Reconstruction Program for Iraq 2010 Thus, there are opportunities in investing in higher value process dates, a largely untapped market in Iraq. Exports 255Coffey International Development, 2008. International Development, 2008. 257Coffey Development International, 2008. 256Coffey 417 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm The UAE is the main destination for exported dates from Iraq (40%), followed by India (36%) and then Morocco (15%).258 In addition, much of the Iraqi date product is exported raw to UAE and Iran. UAE, then in turn, processes the dates and re-exports the product to India and Pakistan. Chart: Major Destinations for Iraqi Dates Source: Coffey International Development, 2008 Although dates are Iraq’s only agricultural export, it only exported 5% of world date export in 2005, compared to almost 77% in 1980. This suggests that once security has returned, Iraq has the potential to re-gain its position as a major exporter of dates. The table below shows the leading world exporters of dates during the period 1980 through to 2005, major destinations for exported Iraqi dates and major date importing countries. Leading world exports of dates during 1980-2005 (‘000 tonnes) 258Coffey International Development, 2008. 418 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Source: Coffey International Development, 2008 There are two main competitors to Iraq: Iran and Pakistan. Iran’s date export program suffers international financial sanctions and constraints. Additionally, changes in Iranian government policies have resulted in the loss of farm subsidies to Iranian date farmers. Iraq’s other major competitor, Pakistan, is affected by the monsoon season in most years making its climate suboptimal for industrial date production. The high humidity and rainfall during or immediately after harvesting causes a rapid spike in mould and insect infestation and raises the moisture content of the dates causing sugaring and fermentation. Thus, Iraq is in an advantageous situation to increase its date market share. Supply Post-war, the first provinces to resume production of palm trees in 2007 were Baghdad, Babil, Karbala, Diyala, Basra and Kirkuk to just over 10 million trees. The average rate of palm productivity in Iraq was 54.9kg per tree in 2007, and the total production in 2007 was 430,861 tonnes. The figure below shows Iraqi production of date palm against world production for years 1980 through to 2004. Whilst world production has increased for this period, Iraq's production has effectively stagnated, therefore bringing down its share of palm date production in the world from 22% in 1980 to 18% in 1995, and 13% in 2004 respectively. The production rate, however, is beginning to rebound as new investment opportunities emerge. Chart: Iraq v. World Date production 1980-2004 419 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Source: FAO, 2005 The province of Basra was once the most prominent producer of dates in the country until the 1970s, however, in 2007 the provinces of Saladin and Wasit increased productivity to 75 kg/palm and 74 kg/palm respectively. Provinces such as Maysan, Karbala and Diyala produced the least with just over 40 kg/palm. According to the Ministry of Planning in 2007, the highest rates of production in Iraq's provinces were found in Salahaddin (74.5kg per palm tree), followed by Wasit (73.9kg), then Anbar, Kirkuk and Babil. The lowest productivity average rates were in Najaf (48.5kg), Missan (44.6kg), Karbala (43.7kg) and Diyala (43.7kg). The average rate of production for all the provinces was 54.9kg per palm tree in 2007.259 III. Key Challenges Lack of value added processing to compete on a global market: Sector rehabilitation and investment is needed to face strong regional competition from neighbouring producers. Iraqi dates are exported at only around $300-400 per tonne, a low price compared to other exporters in neighbouring countries where prices of processed dates are at least between $200 to $500, depending on the variety and target market. However, the Domestic Resource Coefficient indicates that, with investment, Iraq has the potential to have a significant comparative advantage in the production of dates. Production facilities are in dire need of modernisation: Currently, outdated facilities are plagued by production constraints such as continuous failures of equipment and insufficient fuel to operate generators and other machinery. There is no 259 COSIT, Ministry of Planning, 2008. 420 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm automation of packaging or processing, and old facilities for are used for production. There is also limited storage capacity. However, as mentioned earlier, there are already several investment opportunities that could aid mitigate this challenge. Weak marketing and branding: Today, there are no specialised marketing centres for date products; however, new consumer information should help develop better marketing and branding methods. Limited Transport and Electricity Infrastructure: Unreliable transport and electricity from an unreliable national grid has made processing and shipping more costly and difficult. The government is aware of these challenges and has developed plans for the rehabilitation of both transport and electrical infrastructure. IV: Industry Strengths 260 Good Date Production Climate: Iraq has the ideal climate that allows dates to grow easily and naturally without large amounts of water, resulting in a reliable, high quality product. It has a much more suitable climate than Pakistan, one of its greatest competitors. Iraqi dates are recognised for their quality and taste characteristics: There is now greater opportunity to increase the value of production through the development and marketing of high-quality products for international markets. Iraqi date palms demonstrate strong profit potential using agricultural economic measures such as the Domestic Resource Coefficient (DRC). DRC is a measure of profitability of a specific crop and provides guidance on the competitiveness of the sector. Date Palms’ DRC is calculated by dividing the factor costs used in cultivating one dunum of Palms by the value added of that dunum. If the input costs are less than the value added to the economy, there is competitive advantage in producing the crop. The DRC for date palms in Iraq is estimated to be $0.16, which means that for every 16 cents spent on inputs (labour, land and water) a value of one dollar is added to the Iraqi economy. This implies that if the industry is rehabilitated, Iraq will enjoy a high level of comparative advantage in producing and exporting dates.260 USAID, Iraqi Date Industry Marketing and Post-harvest Issues, 2008. 421 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm V: Opportunities for Foreign Investment in the Agricultural Date-Palm Sector Processing, Packaging and Marketing There is higher demand for processed dates, which are sold at higher prices than raw dates. Currently, modern facilities lack proper storage, processing and fumigation systems. Basic equipment such as vacuum fumigation chambers, sorting equipment, grading equipment, machine pitting equipment, macerating equipment, paste-making equipment, dicing equipment, and cold storage is needed. Opportunities include the construction of the Muthana Date Packing Facility in Muthana towards the north of Samawa, the modernisation of Shalchia processing facility in Baghdad and the Karbala Dates and Sugar Project. The Karbala project involves building a date-canning processing compound and liquid sugar production that has the capacity to process 150,000 metric tonnes a year. It is expected that this compound will utilise effective practices in its processing, packaging and marketing methods in order to help realise Iraq's potential in this sector. There are also opportunities to improve marketing and brand packaging methods with consumer information (net weight, type, country of origin, company address, variety and category). Standard & High End Food Markets There will be considerable scope for the high end date market using improved marketing methods. Deglet, Noors and Medjools brands of fresh dates are currently grown in considerable quantities in Iraq and are ideal for higher end of the market. Industrial Grade Dates HP Sauce Ltd (owned by the H.J. Heinz Corporation) is an internationally recognised food brand that uses a constituent element of dates alongside vinegar, tomato and tamarind in their products. Linking the Iraqi date palm industry to the supply chains of such brands via private sector distributors could potentially expand the international scope of operations and sector profile. Investment in this sector would allow the development of the domestic agriculture supply chain and could support labourintensive and highly profitable secondary refining industries for domestic use and export. Iraq is currently capable of producing large quantities of premium 'industrial grade' dates (Sayer and Zahidi type of dates) for use in mass-produced food brands. However, its competitor Pakistan grows the Aseel and BJ dry varieties that compete with Iranian produced Sayer and Zahidis types. 422 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Bio-fuels Dates in syrup form can be processed into bio-fuel for blending with petrol fuels. Oasis Ltd., a Dubai-based bio-fuel company, has already proposed a joint venture agreement to the Government of Iraq with its technology to develop Iraq's date palm industry as an emerging bio-fuels market. This can encourage farmers to revive date palm plantations and make use of poor-quality dates that would otherwise be wasted or converted to livestock feed. This requires an investment of $35m to turn 100,000 tonnes of lowquality dates into 28,000 tonnes of bio-ethanol over one year (equivalent to 211,000 oil bbls). Iraq's entry into this relatively young market could see it emerge as one of the few nations in the world to capitalise on date bio-fuel production. 423 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Muslih Company for Date Palm Syrup Date palm Al Basra Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07702666672 2007 10,698,000 Greenfield project to develop a date palm processing plant Project Summary Al Muslih is a Baghdad based date palm syrup manufacturer and producer of agricultural produce for the domestic market. Under the proposed investment project, a date palm fruit processing plant, capable of producing 12,000 tons annually, is presented under this profile to potential investors seeking to enter Iraq’s re-emerging date palm products industry. By year two, the processing plant should see the production of 7,800 tons of raw fruit ready to be sold to high-end markets in the Gulf region and afar, chopped and diced dates (3,000 tons) and date paste (1,200 tons), with the latter two products used as key ingredients in food manufacturing. Total annual sales from the plant are estimated to be about $10,110,000. With a further capital investment of $2,200,000, production could double by year four, but this will largely depend on sufficient progress being made and strong management and marketing capability. An investment of just under $10,700,000 is required, of which al Muslih Company is prepared to invest 10%. Al Muslih is prepared to cede up to 49% of the project’s ownership to a foreign investor. As an established Iraqi company in the industry, al Muslih is particularly keen on attracting a strategic investor within the Gulf region, enabling the company to reach beyond the Iraq market. Contrary to its existing operations in Baghdad, the proposed plant will be located in an industrial zone in al Basra, where the focus is on exporting processed date products to the regional and international market. Market assessment overview Domestic supply and consumption 424 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Today, production of date palm fruits of all varieties is estimated to be in the region of 420,000 to 480,000 tons per year. In 2008, production was 420,000 tons; 120,000 tons consumed by households, 100,000 tons used in animal feed, 60,000 tons wasted, 50,000 tons exported and 90,000 used as industrial ingredients. Processed dates are supplied today by small scale operators located in Baghdad, Karbala, Babylon, al Najaf and Basra, where most of their machines date from the 1980s and 1990s. It is projected that the production of date palm fruits in the country will be between 500,000 tons and 600,000 tons per year after 2013. Market Prices In terms of pricing, the three products produced or processed by the plant will have a CIF price per ton of $750 for pitted dry dates, which can be sold as fresh and high quality fruits, chopped and diced dates ($1,000) and date paste, which is sold for $1,050 per ton. Depending on the quality and use of the date palm fruit, current prices for fresh palm dates range in price between $400 and $800 per ton. Key Project Advantages Meeting huge and largely untapped market for high end fresh date fruits with significant potential for exports to Gulf and Asian countries Plant to be located in industrial area of al Basra, just one or two hours away from large markets in the Gulf region Availability of cheap and abundant supply of fresh and industrial date fruit varieties from al Basra and neighbouring provinces Existence of an experienced operator with existing business and industrial activities in the industry Project details Brief history Al Muslih Company is a date palm production and packaging enterprise with twenty employees on its payroll. In 2008, it processed and packaged 1400 tons of dates for the Iraq market, which increased in 2009 to 2000 tons. In addition to date palm packaging, al Muslih is also engaged in the production of vegetables for the local market from their greenhouses, also situated on its plot in al Rashdia measuring 100,000 sqm. The total value of the land in Rashdia is about $6,000,000. 425 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The plant will require 160 employees working in each shift. In the harvest season, two shifts will be required per day. In terms of land allocation, it is preferred that the plant be located in an industrial zone, which should provide reliable electricity supply as well as water treatment facilities. The developer of the project has suggested al Hamdan industrial zone is an appropriate location, which is situated in al Basra. The sponsor plans also to try to secure sufficient land from the Basra Investment Commission, which if secured, will be offered for a nominal fee. The plant should have sufficient space of about 10,000 sq. ft. for dry storage and another 40,000 sq. ft for cold storage, in addition to space requirements for the actual production lines. In terms of equipment, the processing plant will require $5,373,000 to procure the following equipment: Budget Item Cost ($) Fruit Reception Preliminary Inspection Fumigation Chambers Tote Boxes 12,000 at $4.00 each Tote Box washer Fruit Processing Dumping, Washing, drying and sorting line Line 1: Pitted Dates Sizer Semi-automatic pitting 55 machines at $15,000 each Grading Packaging Line 2: Date maceration and paste Packaging/case carton (Vacuum pack) Line 3: Date bits and pieces Date Dicer Date Dehydrator or Hydrator Packaging by Hand Automatic rotary stretch wrapper Total 200,000 900,000 48,000 150,000 500,000 280,000 825,000 200,000 200,000 1,200,000 100,000 70,000 600,000 50,000 50,000 5,373,000 426 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Other equipment: Budget Item Equipment Installation Laboratory Equipment Trucks 10 ton Trick x 1 Pick-up Trucks x 2 Fork Lifts x 2 Stand-by Generator Total Civil works: Budget Item Fruit Reception Area Cold and Dry Storage 40,000 sq. ft. cold storage at $70 10,000 sq. ft. dry storage at $30 Processing and Office 20,000 sq. ft. at $60 Garage and Maintenance 5,000 sq. ft. at $30 Total Cost ($) 500,000 20,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 80,000 825,000 Cost ($) 50,000 2,800,000 300,000 1,200,000 150,000 4,500,000 Investment Output The plant will have three production lines to process 12,000 tons of date fruit by year two. This is equal to about 2,000 to 3,000 tons of fruit processed during the ten month season in which the plant will be operating at full capacity, with the other two months relying on appropriate storage facilities to keep production to sufficient levels throughout the year. By year four, however, it is estimated that the plant will process 25,000 tons, which will require a further investment in year three of $2,200,000 in equipment procurement. Some 65% of all production will consist of pitted dates of high quality, which can be exported to the Gulf or high-end markets elsewhere. The two other projects are chopped and diced dates (25%) and date paste (10%), which are used by domestic and regional food manufacturing companies as key production inputs. In year two, the plant will see the following sales: 427 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Type product of Production as % Total annual Sale Price Total Sales of total production (tons) per ton ($) (estimated) production output Pitted Dates 65% Diced and 25% chopped dates Date paste 10% 7,800 3,000 750 1,000 5,850,000 3,000,000 1,200 1,050 1,260,000 By year two, the processing plant will see revenue of about $10,110,000 annually. Investment Requirement Just under $10,700,000 is required to establish the date processing plant in al Basra. The developer of the project is prepared to put up 10% in a direct liquid capital offering with the rest secured via a loan and investment equity, preferably from a foreign investor who will transfer both expertise and knowledge of the Gulf region to be in a strong position to secure markets for the plant’s products. In return for the required investment, the developer is willing to cede up to 49% ownership over the project but continue to retain management responsibilities for its share of the project. 428 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Dhahbiya Company for Liquid Sugar Production Agriculture Al Hindiya Town, Karbala Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Saady R. Hussain al Kubaisy 1996 70,000,000 Brownfield project to restart operations and increase capacity Project Summary As the only liquid sugar plant of its scale in Iraq, the rare opportunity is offered to the private sector to invest in new machinery and in the replacement of existing equipment to help meet a growing demand for its products. In addition to liquid sugar, the plant is designed to produce a significant amount of date vinegar (Khall), date syrup (Dibis) and crushed dates, which are used as replacement feed in the agricultural sector. Established through an agreement between Iraq and Bulgaria in 1984, the former State Owned Enterprise (SOE) was sold to Al Dhahbiya in 1989. The lease of land secured from the Government, which the plant is situated on, has a life span of 99 years from 1989. The site is approximately 65,000 sqm in size. The company will continue to upgrade its management and technology capabilities and will therefore not need the investor to be involved in daily operations. With an abundant and reliable local supply of industrial quality dates, namely from al Zahdi variety, which are produced in Karbala and neighbouring Middle Euphrates provinces, al Dhahbiya Company for Liquid Sugar Production is proposing a jointventure structure in return for private equity ownership of up to 49%. Total investment over a two year period is expected to be $70,000,000. Annual revenue is estimated to be in the region of $171,860,000. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Depending on the age group, the domestic consumption of date syrup is between 2.5 to 4 kilograms per capita and less than half a kilogram per capita for date vinegar. The 4 kilograms per capita figure represents a growing need for energy foods in dietary consumption requirements. The total consumption of liquid sugar in Iraq is between 250,000 to 300,000 tons per year. 429 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Domestic supply While the production of liquid sugar is negligible in the country, Iraq produces both date syrup (Dibis) and date based vinegar (Khall). These are mainly produced through small industrial processing plants, established in the 1980s and 1990s. Annual production of date vinegar is conservatively estimated to be in the region of 30,000 tons. Iraq is able to meet about 40% of its existing consumption needs of date syrup through small scale production enterprises. Local production is in the region of 120,000 tons. The rest is imported from neighbouring countries, including Iran. Market Prices The wholesale cost of date syrup is approximately $3 per kilogram or $3,000 per ton. The raw material in this process is low-grade al Zahdi dates, which are sold at $300 per ton in Iraq. One litre of date based vinegar is $1.8 in Baghdad. Similarly, the cost of imported liquid sugar is about $1,500 per ton. Key project benefits Iraq’s only liquid sugar operator Significant cost efficiencies associated with the proposed scale of production Key raw material, al Zahdi dates, are found abundantly and cheaply in Karbala and neighbouring provinces Unmet local demand for all four products listed under the rehabilitation program for the plant Increasing demand for date syrup, vinegar and liquid sugar for both industrial uses and a growing domestic market Factory details Brief history Established in 1984, through an agreement between Iraq and Bulgaria, the former stateowned enterprise (SOE) was built at a cost of $31,000,000 and handed over to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) to manage. Located on a plot of land spanning 65,000 sqm, the factory was one of Iraq’s most efficient and productive state companies producing liquid sugar from the Zahdi variety 430 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm of Iraqi dates, which are plentiful in Karbala and the Middle Euphrates region of Iraq. The government lease of land is for a period of 99 years from 1989, the same year the plant was offered and sold to the private sector. Annual Production Plate capacity at the plant is 90,000 tons of liquid sugar, which is mainly used in food processing industries in the country. The plant will cater mainly to an emerging Iraqi industrial base, with production output providing key inputs to the soft drinks, fruit preserves, and ice-cream, and confectionary industries. Since 2009, however, the plant has suspended operations as a result of a need to upgrade existing machinery and equipment to improve efficiency and lower production costs. Between 1989 and 2003, the plant produced only 40% of its plate capacity or 36,000 tons of liquid sugar annually. Between 2003 and 2009, its production was affected by a weak and an unreliable power supply and the need to improve efficiency in the wake of cheaper imports from neighbouring Iran and other countries. Production supply during this period was on average 15,000 tons a year of liquid sugar. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The key raw material input in the factory is Zahdi dates, sourced from Karbala itself and neighbouring Middle Euphrates provinces, including al Najaf and Babylon. Al Zahdi represents approximately 72% of Iraq’s total date production, which are semi-dry and more suitable for industrial purposes than other varieties. In 2010, Iraq produced about 450,000 metric tons of dates of all varieties. Low quality al Zahdi dates for industrial use cost between $300 and $350 per metric ton in Iraq. Once fully rehabilitated, the plant will have a workforce of 150 employees. The salary of a skilled engineer in Karbala will cost approximately $1,500 per month. An unskilled labourer is about $500 per month. Proposed rehabilitation requirements The owners of the company are willing to provide further details of the nature of machinery and equipment required, if a serious investor is interested in rehabilitating the factory. Current machinery was sourced from Europe in the mid-1980s and will therefore require replacement or rehabilitation. A full review of machinery and rehabilitation requirements is available and can be secured from the company upon request. 431 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm Investment Output Under the rehabilitation program proposed by the company, the following items will be produced: Product Quantity Cost of production ($) / Total sales ($) ton Liquid sugar 55,000 1100 78,650,000 Date Syrup (Dibis) 30,000 400 15,600,000 Date Vinegar (Khall) 125,000 420 68,250,000 240 9,360,000 Crushed Date stones (used in 30,000 feed) TOTAL 171,860,000 Assuming that cost-revenue margins are about 30% for the factory, which is based on previous production margin analysis in the plant, annual sales of the four products listed above will be $171,860,000. An annual profit of $51,558,000 is assumed if plate capacity is met. Investment Requirement In return for an investment of $70,000,000, the company has proposed for an equity offering of up to 49% of the company’s existing assets and ownership over the proposed project. Al Dhahbiya is interested in securing debt financing as well as equity funds for the rehabilitation of the factory and to increase production capacity. From its own funds, the company is offering 10% in liquid capital, which amounts to $7,000,000. It will continue to operate the plant and manage the project’s rehabilitation. The company is also interested in partnering with an established liquid sugar and refined date products company, preferably located in the Middle East region. This partnership could potentially help raise capacity and transfer modern technologies and best practices to the project. Tax and duty exemptions are some of the privileges offered to investors, as well as the opportunity to enter the Iraq market through this joint venture proposal. There is a 432 Sector and Investment Profiles – Date Palm significant potential to set up export facilities to Turkey and the Gulf, considered the most lucrative markets for processed Iraqi dates, after Europe. 433 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Sector Profile - Fisheries I: Regulatory and policy environment General regulations Aquaculture is owned publicly and privately in central and southern Iraq, although the private sector dominates the industry. The aquaculture sector was established in the 1950s, and the country is a member of the Regional Commission for Fisheries (RECOFI), which is in charge of regional fishery management and research. The basic law regulating fishing and the management of aquatic living resources in Iraq is Law no. 48 (1976) - with the exception of fishing in the territorial waters of the Arab Gulf, which is regulated separately. The Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) oversees the fisheries industry by carrying out regulatory functions such as licensing and zoning. The Ministry of Water Resources (MoWR) is in charge of the marshlands restoration program with donor assistance. The General Board for Fish Resource Development (General Board) has the executive authority to apply rules and regulations. General Board for Fish Resource Development The General Board is an independent state institute, affiliated with the MoA, that oversees the development and upgrading of the fishery and aquaculture sectors. The Board also provides the regulatory framework for developing procedures for better management, stocking, and the enhancement of species diversification for both inland and marine fisheries as well as aquaculture. It also encourages investment in the industry. The General Board collaborates with the Ministry of the Interior in order to ensure the full implementation of applicable laws, although due to staff limitations, the General Board cannot monitor implementation on its own. Currently, the FAO is collaborating with the General Board in developing a training program that will build staff capacity to rehabilitate and restore fish resources in Iraq. The General Board’s departments are responsible for different aspects of regulation implementation. The technical department sees to fish reproduction, rearing, the provision of fingerlings, and good quality fish seed for farmers. The issuing of licenses, required for any fishery or aquaculture activity, and supervision of fishermen, boats, and the wholesale fish trade, falls under the purview of the internal Fishery Department. In collaboration with scientific institutions, the General Board is responsible for developing research and technical guidelines that will increase production and ensure sustainability of the fisheries and aquaculture sectors in the country. Fishery associations, NGOs and Research Institutions 434 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries A number of Regional Commissions for Fisheries (which address regional fisheries and management issues), as well as fishery associations and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) collaborate with the General Board to support and facilitate fisheries activities. These groups issue licenses and provide loan opportunities to increase production. They include two marine NGOs in Basrah, and fisheries cooperatives for fishing at Lake Al-Razaza (Karbala), and in the marshes of Al-damlag (Al Kut) and Eben-najem (Najaf). In recent years these organisations have been engaged in efforts to develop the fisheries industry in various parts of the country and embarked on training programs in collaboration with international organizations and universities, as well as projects for marshland recovery. Iraqi research bodies are now engaged in assessing Iraq’s fishery resources, and in aquaculture development in Iraq. The Fish Research Centre in Baghdad for instance has five sections - culture, nutrition, diseases, water environment and artificial propagation - that provide facilities for postgraduate studies, as well as two fish farms and a hatchery, for research purposes. The Marine Science Centre in Basrah also focuses on marine sciences and has a Marine Vertebrates sector that studies and makes contributions to marine fisheries, biological and ecological studies and aquaculture. The Iraqi Agriculture Research Centre also has a Fishery Research Department with an experimental fish farm and hatchery to artificially propagate local fish species. It supports the development of inland fisheries and aquaculture through the central hatchery at Swairah, which produces fingerlings of various species of carp. The Arab Federation for Fish Producers, based in Baghdad, has been in existence since the 1980s.The key players in the fish value chain are owners of hatcheries, fish farmers and fishermen who are widely distributed across the country. Prior to 2006 there were five hatcheries in the country - four in the Baghdad area and one in Basrah. The Kurdish region, where fish consumption is minimal, had none. Only one was publicly owned, the other four were operated privately. In recent years the Inma Agribusiness Program has developed 32 self-sustaining hatcheries. These and other existing hatcheries have benefited from basic fisheries production training and the provision of improved genetic brood stock from Hungary. II: Market Analysis Domestic Fish Consumption Iraq’s population is gaining higher purchasing power, as a result people are eating better diets and the proportion of protein in the Iraqi diet is increasing. Fish is a relatively inexpensive source of protein – and demand already exceeds supply. A key objective identified in the NDP is to reduce import dependence and increase food security; the country currently imports between 60% and 70% of its food requirements. This has led to large scale investment in the agriculture sector, including efforts to 435 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries revitalise agriculture subsectors such as fisheries to meet increased demand, thereby reducing import dependence. Recent data on the consumption of fish in Iraq shows that about 82% of domestic consumption comes from fresh fish, 14% live and 4% frozen. Although, current consumption rates are lower than Iraq’s own consumption rates in 1990, which was 2.5/kg261, with rising demand and economic stability, the expected consumption levels in the medium term are expected to rise to 4-5kg/per capita; levels that are on par with other Middle Eastern countries. Presently, the consumption of fish in Iraq is only 0.8kg/year per capita - the lowest in the Middle East – whilst Per capita fish consumption in Egypt and Iran is nearly 10/kg, while Jordan and Syria has about 5/kg262 (See figure below). Figure: Per Capita Fish Consumption in the Middle East Fish - Per Capita kg Consumption Iraq 1991, 2.5 Iraq 2005, 0.8 Jordan, 2.7 Syria, 4.5 Egypt, 8.3 , Iran, 10 GCC, 12 Source: IZDIHAR/ USAID, 2006. In 2001, the gross value of fish output was estimated at $11.9 million and the value of imports stood at $337,000. In 2003, the country imported 1,897 tons of fish valued at $2.66 million, whilst exports were measured at 17 tons worth US$ 97,000 to neighbouring Gulf countries.263 Indeed, the National Development Plan 2010-2014 notes that production increased from 40,000 tons in 2002 to 58,000 tons in 2007. In 2005, 46% of fish on the Iraqi market was imported at a value of $18 million. In the absence of local aquaculture development, and if import dependence were to continue, the value of imports in 2020 would increase to $153 million, according to USAID estimates.264 There is a significant baseline market in Iraq given the traditional importance of fish, particularly in southern and central Iraq, as well as in Baghdad cuisine.265 Consumer demand in Iraq will likely drive the development of the aquaculture industry, given the IZDIHAR/ USAID Business Models for Aquaculture in Iraq, May 15 2006. IZDIHAR/ USAID Business Models for Aquaculture in Iraq, May 15 2006. 263COSIT, 2008. 264USAID Iraq Private Sector Growth and Employment Generation - The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq, March 2006. 265USAID/IZDIHAR Business Models for Aquaculture in Iraq, 2006. 261 262 436 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries clear gap between current supply and demand for fish. This will require reorganising the supply chain as well. The potential of the fish market is also seen by the growing confidence shown in investing in the sector. In January 2010, the United States opened two fish and meat markets worth ID6 billion. The fish market, which was opened in the city of al-Kut in the Wassit Province consists of 24 shops. Such investment will go a long way to reinforce the demand for fish in the country. Fish Production The NDP 2010-2014 cited the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimates of 1,787 operational fisheries in Iraq, of which 10% are in northern Iraq, and 1,609 in the central and southern regions. More recent data from the Inma Agribusiness Program indicates that there are about 1,893 licensed fish farms and 5,600 unlicensed fish farms in Iraq. Most of these fish farmers also operate at the subsistence level, although a few of them operate on a larger scale. The vast majority of fish farming is done on small aquaculture farms in marshes and natural lakes across the country. Most fish farmers have supplementary employment. The major species bred in these fisheries are common carp, grass carp and silver carp. Initiatives led by the General Board (see Industry Developments), as well as various training and capacity building programs in collaboration with research institutions, have been established with a view to develop the aquaculture sector. Significant projects to develop aquaculture and the inland fishery industry in Iraq include upgrading the central fish hatchery and laboratory (in Wasit), rehabilitating fish farming sites, establishing a functional hatchery for local fish species production, building operational closed recirculation systems and pilot cages. In addition to this, initiatives to restore the Mesopotamian marshes offer opportunities for interventions to increase fish production. Various small enterprise loans have been made available to farmers. Recent reliable statistical data of fish stocks is lacking, although Iraq is developing a statistical system to track fishery’s production more systematically. 266 Of the statistics that are available, numbers sometimes differ significantly. Table: Annual Production (tonnes) - River and Sea (1999-2008) River Sea 266 1999 14,387 16,057 2000 12,416 15,194 2001 13,588 12,410 2002 16,015 29,524 RECOFI Report 5th Session, 2009. 2003 18,105 2,904 2004 15,495 2,888 2005 31,560 3,101 2006 41,167 15,666 2007 41,697 12,745 2008 41,432 6,421 437 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Total 30,444 27,610 25,998 45,539 21,009 18,383 34,661 56,833 Source: Central Organisation for Statistics and Information Technology (COSIT) 54,442 47,853 River fish production grew in 2005 to 31,560 tons, more than doubling production in 2004.267 In 2006 total production was close to the 57 ton-mark. Table: Production of fish in Iraq (GOI and Inma data) Year 2007 2005 Description Total production from freshwater and marine aquaculture 16,000 tones Production of Iraq of fish wealth (from fisheries, rivers and the sea) in 2005 reached 25,600 tons 2004 Total production of freshwater fish was 12,300 tons 2003 Production of 23,100 tons of fish and an import of 2,290 2002 Annual marine fish production 5,000 tons 2001 Total production from aquaculture 2,000 tons produced from 1,900 farms with a combined area of 7,500 ha. 2001 Annual marine fish production 22,800 tons 2000 Fish production sector 20,000 tons 2000 Annual marine fish production 12,000 1998 A mean annual production of 7,500 tons 1986 – 1997 Mean annual production of 4,000 tons 1981 – 1997 Inland waters fish production 18,800 tons 1980s Annual marine fish production 12,000 – 13,000 tons per annum Source: Iraqi Government, Inma Agribusiness Program Table: Iraq – Production by capture and aquaculture 2008 (tons) Capture Aquaculture Total 34,472 19,246 53,718 Source: FAO Global Statistics Collections Marine fishing and aquaculture Marine aquaculture remains an area that has much potential for development. Presently, a lack of skills and experience on how to viably reproduce, or culture, fish in Iraq’s marine waters has largely stunted growth in this sub-sector. Marine fishing in the Persian Gulf is dominated by small scale farmers and fishermen who use low-tech fishing techniques. The existing fishing fleet consists of 725 privately-owned vessels, most of which are 10-14 metres in length. All of these possessed authorisation to fish and operate in Iraq’s territorial waters.268 Most fishing activities are operated out of the Gulf – Shatt Al-Arab (Basra). Figure: Iraq Aquaculture Production(1970-2008) 267NDP 268FAO puts production from fisheries, rivers and the sea in 2005 at 25,000 tons. Fisheries ad Aquaculture Report No. 915, May 2009. 438 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Source: FAO Fishery and Aquaculture Country Profiles- Iraq Inland fisheries Interventions in the past seven years have positively impacted on fish production. GOI and international donor support have come a long way in restoring the marshes, which are key to the development of the aquaculture industry. In 2007, the total fish production from freshwater and marine aquaculture was estimated to be in the region of 16,000 tonnes. Early assessments in 2003 suggested that at full capacity Iraq’s fish farms could produce about 30,000 tons of fish. Inma estimates that its intervention in the largest fish farm in the country increased fish production by 500% from two million in 2007 to about 12 million in 2008. This doubled the availability of Iraqi-produced fresh fish available to the consumer. The development of 32 hatcheries by the USAID-Inma Aquaculture Program has further increased fish production in Iraq. The initiative has added an additional 1,125 kgs of fish per donum valued at 5,928,000 ID (US$5,024). III: Industry Developments In recent years, the industry has registered significant boosts to production numbers. General Board Projects In the area of aquaculture, the General Board has carried out new projects including the establishment of hatcheries to reproduce local fish in different governorates. It has also undertaken several pilot projects to test cage culture in inland waters as well as establishing a closed recirculation system and modern hatcheries to enhance fish 439 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries stocks. In the area of acclimation and artificial reproduction, research has gone into developing the Sewera central hatchery. Previous research on the acclimation of Acanthus purges lotus at al-Razaza Lake, which is an enclosed salty lake, has been largely successful. The General Board is collaborating with various scientific institutions to conduct research into which species can reproduce successfully in a hatchery near alRazaza Lake.269 A major development in the fisheries industry since 2003 is the GOI’s commitment to rehabilitate Iraqi wetlands, and restore the country’s southern marshes. This is a key priority for reviving Iraq’s fisheries industry. The NDP estimated that 40% of swamps had dried up significantly. Independent research on Iraqi marshes estimates that about 30% of marshland restoration has been completed since 2003. It is expected that if and once the marshlands are completely restored, the production of fish will increase considerably. Iraq Trust Fund The United Nations Development Group (UNDG) Iraq Trust Fund has been instrumental to the development of the fisheries industry in recent years. A number of projects have been made possible with FAO as the participating UN organisation. In 2006, it initiated a $7.3 million project for the Restoration and Modernization of Fish Production in Iraq. The project led to the resumption of fish farming in large and small-scale enterprises by directly building and restoring the productive capacity to supply fish fingerlings to commercial fish farmers. The project also included capacity building for fish farmers from different governorates, introducing them to new technologies implemented in Iraq for fish farming. It constructed building structures and ponds for hatchery facilities at Huweza marsh, and procured cages at Kut and Hindi dams, as well as completing a Chinese Hatchery and Closed Recirculation system. The Project evaluation considered that the project’s interventions were a breakthrough for Iraq’s fishing industry because it introduced techniques that increased quality and quantity of fish production in Iraq. The fish production project was completed in 2010 after several extensions. The gains from the Fish Production Project were reinforced in 2008 by the $3 million “Towards Sustainable Development of Inland Fisheries in Iraq” project, which enhanced livelihood employment and food security among rural and disadvantaged communities in central and northern Iraq. To increase inland fish production the project ensures decentralisation, delivery of quality fish seed supply, and the enhancement of aquatic food production by encouraging community participation in the conservation and management of inland water resources. The project built both institutional and local capacity in the joint undertaking of a program in sustainable inland fisheries 269FAO National Aquaculture Sector Overview- Iraq, 2009. 440 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries development. The major output for this project was the construction of brood fish centres. A third major program titled ‘Sustainable Saltwater Fisheries and Aquaculture Development in Iraq’ has been proposed as part of the MoA’s Medium Term Strategy for FAO Assistance (2009-2014). It intends to turn Iraq’s unutilized inland saline water bodies into sustainable fisheries (see ‘Investment Opportunities’). USAID collaboration In 2008, Inma's aquaculture survey outlined key priority intervention areas. These consisted of: rehabilitating hatcheries, genetically improving Iraqi brood stock, improving fish feed production, introducing fish farming techniques new to Iraq, reconstructing fish markets, live haul transport, and farmers training. The industry also depends on other factors, such as improving the management of Iraq’s water resources. A fully functioning aquaculture production and marketing chain is key to the revitalization of the Iraqi aquaculture sector. The rehabilitation of Iraq’s largest fish farm, the Euphrates Fish Farm Hatchery in 2008, was a major contribution to addressing the shortage of fingerlings in Iraq. Inma rehabilitated the pumping station at the hatchery. Some six million fingerlings were contracted and distributed from the Euphrates Fish Farm Hatchery to local Fish Associations in the Babylon province as well as 100 independent fish farmers. This enabled the Euphrates Fish Farm Hatchery to launch self-sustaining commercial operations. Inma’s data showed that this intervention increased the Hatchery’s fish production from two million in 2007 to 12 million in 2008. It also led to an increase in jobs across the value chain – from wholesalers, distributors, and fish farmers (4,164 people during harvest season). Inma’s Carp Genetic Improvement Program began in 2009. Inma imported high quality fish brood stock from Hungary to crossbreed with heat resistant Iraqi stock to significantly improve the growth ratio of the farmed delicacy. The cross-bred carp generation will be on the market in 2011 and will provide a sustained source of faster growing fish until 2015. Inma has also been working with Iraqi feed millers to produce locally mixed fish feed at competitive prices. Inma’s aquaculture initiative has also helped substantially in addressing the challenges of fish feed management and marketing through its intensive training programs, which are estimated to have reached at least 30% of fish farmers in the Babylon province by 2009. Inma’s Business Development Program complements the technical assistance provided to increase production, focusing instead on the growth of sustainable private agribusinesses to ensure longevity. 441 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries IV: Challenges facing the fisheries industry Lack of hatcheries and fingerlings – The productive capacity of Iraq’s fisheries industries is constrained by the lack of hatcheries, resulting in the shortage of fingerlings. However, as noted earlier there have been several new developments of successful hatcheries and there is a huge drive by the government to ensure this sector is supported. Currently, the only fingerlings that are widely available in Iraq are grass carp, silver carp and common carp which are sold for 200-350 IQD ($0.13 - 0.23) per 12-15g unit, however, research into cross breeding species has seen positive results. Insufficient supply and quality of fish feed – Fish feed constitutes the bulk of the cost of fish farming, accounting for more than 50% of variable cost. The undeveloped nature of the industry makes it difficult to produce sufficient quality fish food, this issue is being addressed by the government. However, there do remain several key challenges; the major raw material components such as grains, soya cake and animal proteins to produce fish feed is unavailable; fish feed producers lack the capabilities to produce feed to international standards and they do not produce the recommended feed for different fish species but adopt a one-size-fits-all approach. Inadequate water controls– Fish farming experts note that the analysis and control of water is critical to developing an efficient modern aquaculture industry. According to Inma Agribusiness Program, the development of man-made, earthen ponds is the best model to overcome the challenges of poor water quality and limited technology. Earthen ponds do not require extensive technology to maintain good water quality and sufficient DO (dissolved oxygen), which simply require frequent or continuous water exchange, occasionally with aerators. Limited research and technology development - There is also a need for well-trained biologists and fish farming experts to improve the operational performance of fish farmers and fishermen, as the misapplication of fish farming methods is leading to lower productivity. Research also needs to focus on exploring diversity of cultured species and practices. Several initiatives have focused on capacity building in the past five years. Insufficient marketing and logistics – In order to mitigate the risk of post-harvest losses due to the lack of refrigerated storage and transport, the establishment of new projects also requires appropriate locations to be chosen for development. The involvement of engineers and other relevant experts, can significantly reduce these risks while maximising production. 442 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries V: Strengths of the fisheries industry in Iraq Comparative low cost of production – The production of fish is less expensive than beef or lamb and analysis of cost shows that quality farmed fish can be produced in Iraq at a competitive price. This coupled with high demand for fish, means that the sector can easily be expanded to increase productivity. High consumer demand for fish – The demand for fish looks highly favourable with conservative estimates indicating that only 30% of total fish demand is currently met in Iraq. In the short term the demand for fish could range between 25,000to 50,000tons and over the medium term general fish consumption could well likely reach 4-5/kg per capita. There is therefore a clear unmet demand for fish as frequent shortages in the market are a common phenomenon. Greater intervention to improving the sector – Since 2003, there has been a systematic attempt by the Iraqi government and international organizations such as the USAIDS’ Inma Agribusiness Program in a bid to revitalize the fisheries industry in Iraq. VI: Investment Opportunities There is a huge demand for fish in Iraq and it is estimated that in the coming years there could well be an additional demand of up to 50,000 tons of farmed fish in Iraq. This growing unmet demand presents a clear investment opportunity to supply adequate and quality fish to meet the demands of the Iraqi consumer and the regional market. There are several opportunities for investment in Iraq’s fisheries sector. These include: Hatcheries: Currently only four hatcheries are operating in Iraq, three of which are privately owned. Additionally, the only fingerlings available are grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella), silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix), and common carp (Cyprimus carpio). The private investment in Hatcheries has proven to be very successful in the Middle East. For example in Egypt since the privatization process began in 2001 the number of hatcheries has exponentially expanded. There are now 22 state-of-the-art hatcheries. Feedstuff: Currently, feedstuff producers do not meet international standards. The growth of the industry is dependent on the development of a continuous supply of high quality aquaculture feed. 443 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Inma Agribusiness- The Inma Agribusiness Program conducted a comprehensive investment review of the fisheries industry in Iraq in 2006. It found the most suitable business model for investment in the country to be the semi-intensive cultivation of grass carp in earthen ponds, because of its short-term potential to develop into an efficient aquaculture industry.270 The model has been pursued because it is less risky and has many advantages. The model requires relatively little technological know-how. Carp have proved to be adaptable to Iraq’s ecosystem, and grass carp fingerlings were already available in the market. Grass carp enjoys a high level of consumer acceptance in the market. The model recommended by Inma is flexible and contributes to job creation. The study also found that other business models were viable in Iraq, albeit with less impact on fish supply and job creation: semi-extensive grass carp farming in rice paddy canals and tilapia farming. The study also discarded shrimp farming and intensive farm fishing systems. Inma’s study led to various aquaculture programs in the past 5 years (see Recent Industry Developments). The marshes have been identified as an appropriate site for an aquaculture cluster, particularly as the ecosystem and topography of this area largely preclude alternative agricultural activities. The GOI is committed to rehabilitating the marshes, and aquaculture is the most viable livelihood for the population in the area. The Inma study found that the marshes provided a unique opportunity for fish farming at a minimum investment – natural ponds for semi-intensive farming of tilapia or carp could be obtainable simply by using a nylon or plastic net ($5.50/m2). This type of farming could be carried out by families, without employee costs. Depreciation costs would be limited given that neither ponds excavation nor water pumps would be needed. The drawback of establishing an aquaculture cluster here is transportation to Baghdad, the consumer centre of Iraq. Distribution and cold chain channels need to be developed. Sustainable Saltwater Fisheries and Aquaculture Development - ‘Sustainable Saltwater Fisheries and Aquaculture Development in Iraq’ is a major project proposed in line with the MoA’s Medium Term Strategy for FAO Assistance (2009-2014). The project cost is estimated at $11 million (GOI contribution: $2 million). The proposed project intends to turn Iraq’s unutilized inland saline water bodies into sustainable fisheries through community participation. Additionally, the project aims to increase national fish production, enhance food security and improve livelihoods of fishermen, farmers and associated rural communities. Such initiatives will further the National Development Strategy goal of reviving marshes and brackish and saline water bodies through the development of fish farms. 270IZDIHAR/ USAID-Inma Agribusiness Program, Business Models for Aquaculture in Iraq, May 15 2006. 444 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Iraq currently plans to actively increase its semi-intensive grass carp farming in its earthen ponds. This requires a relatively low level of investment of between $26,000 capital expenditure and $5,000 for working capital to develop each pond to full capacity. In areas where there are already suitable ponds, it is expected that the capital investment will only be in the region of $11,000. The payback period for investors interested in these projects is 15 months. In terms of fish processing, two forms are envisaged in Iraq – whole frozen fish and frozen fillets. With the application of modern production techniques tilapia fillets can be produced in Iraq though the retail price is expected to be generally high at $5.5/kg. However, with the possibility of the export market, this is an attractive investment opportunity. Similarly the processing of frozen fish is feasible and economically viable in Iraq. This requires an investment of about $120,000 for a stocking capacity of ±25 tons. 445 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Furat for Fish Production Company Fisheries Al Anbar Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 07807904822 1987 2,436,001.78 Greenfield pilot commercial carp fish farm Project Summary The proposed pilot investment project will see the production of approximately 950,000 kilograms of commercial carp fish cultivated across 12,500 sqm in the province of al Anbar. At current prices of just over $13 per kilogram, total fish production sold over a period of 7 months, will be $12,745,960. Once this proposed pilot project has been completed, the sponsor plans to scale up production with a further 10 fish farms, which will require a further 125,000,000 sqm in size and is expected to increase sales tenfold to cater for local markets in al Anbar and neighbouring Baghdad, just two hours away from the proposed site of the fish farm. This specific proposal is not covered in this profile however. Prospective investors interested in the Iraq fish farming market are advised by the company to start with one, or a small number, of fish farms and expand once sufficient experience has been gained, which is the plan the sponsor plans to undertake. The proposed project is attractive to investors interested in utilizing Iraq’s huge agricultural and fish-farming potential to both supply the local market with commercial carp fish, as well as support exports to neighbouring countries where fish prices are also above international prices. Carp is a healthy source of protein. With a population which will reach 40 million by 2020, witnessing increasing standards of living, the project supports existing plans under the National Development Plan 2010-2014 to increase protein intake. A constant source of demand is therefore guaranteed and will provide secure markets for all production output. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption and supply 446 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries The average inland fish production from 1981 through 1997 was 18,800 tons per year. This however declined significantly to 8,000 tons in 2001. Total production of freshwater and aquamarine fish in Iraq in 2008 was approximately 16,000 tons. Per capita consumption of fish in Iraq today is about one kilogram compared to Egypt’s’ 8.3 kilograms and the Gulf Co-operation Council’s (GCC) average of 12 kilograms. Market Prices Carp fish retail prices per kilogram are about 15,000 ID, or $13.4168. Key Project Advantages Huge unmet market for fish protein as carp fish is easier to farm than other types of fish High prices provide attractive margins for investors Opportunity to scale up operations within a short period of time Growing market for commercial carp fish using the traditional Mazgouf roasting method of cooking Project Details Brief history Abid al Haleem Abid al Hafid Jassim, owner of the company and proposer of the project, has a minimum of 25 years’ experience in managing aqua-culture projects in Iraq but is not managing any fish farms today. The company currently operates as a trading company. Mr Hafid Jassim is the sole owner of the company. Infrastructure, Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The project will require a strong management team able to supervise the development of the project over time. The table below shows the budget items and costs associated with this over a period of one year: Budget Item Quantity Monthly Salary (IDs) Total Monthly Total Annual Salary (IDs) Salary (IDs) Project Manager 1 1,000,000 1,000,000 12,000,000 447 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Assistant Project Manager Agricultural Engineer Lawyer Veterinarian Accountant Grounds Keeper Drivers Labourers 1 1,000,000 1,000,000 12,000,000 1 800,000 800,000 9,600,000 1 1 1 4 5 10 700,000 600,000 750,000 500,000 600,000 500,000 700,000 600,000 750,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 5,000,000 8,400,000 7,200,000 9,000,000 24,000,000 36,000,000 60,000,000 For a period of one year, the total cost of management amounts to 178,200,000 ID, or $159,391.77. In terms of equipment, the following listed in the table are required: Equipment Quantity Price (IDs) Total Cost (IDs) Car Pick-Up Truck Kia type loading vehicle Haulage vehicle Generator (150 KV) Generator (30 KV) Water Pump Electrical transformer (250 KV) 1 1 4 24,000,000 24,000,000 22,500,000 24,000,000 24,000,000 90,000,000 1 1 2 4 1 80,000,000 15,000,000 600,000 5,000,000 20,000,000 80,000,000 15,000,000 12,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 The cost of equipment for operating the project amounts to 285,000,000 ID, or $254,919.49. Transport vehicles are required to take production output to the market and purchase inputs for the fish farm on a regular basis. Operating costs are in the region of 1,678,200,000 ID, or $1,501,073.34 annually: Budget Item Cost (IDs) Fingerlings Management and Administration Fuel and maintenance Expenses associated with workers Feed inputs 500,000,000 178,200,000 50,000,000 5,000,000 945,000,000 448 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries The fish farm will require approximately 1,585 tons of fish feed annually which it plans to procure from Syria and, where available, from local markets in the country. In terms of construction and building costs, the following table lays out the costs associated with the project: Budget Item Quantity Price (IDs) Cost of purchasing land 5 Donums 30,000,000 (12,500 sqm) Sheds and storage space 900 sqm 35,0000 Digging/fish farm pool and 40,000 sqm 2,000 associated paving Water associated pipes and 18,000,000 other infrastructure Parameter wall fence 650 sqm 35,000 Total Cost (IDs) 150,000,000 315,000,000 80,000,000 18,000,000 22,750,000 The total cost of construction and building works for the project amount to 585,750,000 ID or $523,926.65. The total size of the land designated for the project measures 5 donums in size, or 12,500 sqm, and is fully owned by the proposer of the project. It is situated adjacent to the Euphrates River, which traverses the province of al Anbar. The exact location is in Barwana town. In terms of total fixed costs, the table below shows these items, which amount to 895,500,000 ID, or $800,983.89: Cost Value (IDs) Tools/machinery Equipment and vehicles Buildings 24,750,000 285,000,000 585,750,000 In total, all costs associated with the project are listed below: Details Amount (IDs) Cost of purchasing land Salaries Equipment 150,000,000 178,200,000 285,000,000 449 Sector and Investment Profiles – Fisheries Tools Fingerlings Fuel Veterinary services Feed Buildings 24,750,000 500,000,000 50,000,000 5,000,000 945,000,000 585,500,000 The total cost of the project amounts to 2,723,450,000 ID, or $2,436,001.78. Investment Output Out of the total 12,500 sqm that the project will be in possession of, 10,000 sqm will be used for the development of the fish farm. For each one square metre, 50 fingerlings are required, or about 500,000 fingerlings in total. It is assumed that 5% of fingerlings will not be productive in the fish farm or approximately 25,000 fingerlings. The rest, 475,000 will be nurtured until they are heavy enough to be marketed. This is expected to take about 7 months and each fish is expected to weigh about 2 kilograms. The total production weight of fish for a period of 7 months is in the region of 950,000 kilograms. Carp retail prices per kilogram are about 15,000 ID, or $13.42. Total sales will be $12,745,960. Investment Requirement The pilot project will see sales of commercial carp fish reach about $12,745,960 within seven months from the project’s start. Total investment capital for this phase of the investment project is $2,436,001.78, of which the proposer is prepared to provide about 20% in direct investment financing, or $487,200.35 in total. Subsequent investment in scaling up the project will see the creation of 10 further fish farms in the Anbar region, adjacent to the existing fish farm. While fish produced from the proposed fish farm will be sold in the local markets in the provincial capital, al Ramadi, expansion of the project will see production sold in Baghdad, which is approximately 2 hours away by car. 450 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Sector Profile – Food Processing 1. Regulatory Framework Law No. 22 of 1997 pertaining to the nature of State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) focuses on the rehabilitation of existing plants using private capital and expertise. The law permits state companies to enter into agreements with foreign investors under production sharing agreements. The National Investment Law 13 (NIL) of 2006 is the baseline legal structure to protect local and international investors. The region of Kurdistan has a separate Investment Law. Iraq’s NIL provides a number of incentives, exemptions and guarantees as part of the government’s greater strategy to attract foreign investment in Iraq, including the repatriation of profit and tax exemptions for a minimum of 10 years. The NIL of 2006 established the National Investment Commission (NIC) and Provincial Investment Commissions (PICs), designed to be “one-stop shops” for domestic and foreign investors. The legal and regulatory framework governing the production, processing and distribution of food in Iraq has remained the same for many years. The Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) controls the production of food crops, especially the grain sector. The government supplies subsidized inputs. The government is also a key player in product marketing, as it is practically the sole buyer of grain produced in Iraq. Recently, there are on-going initiatives to publish regulations in the official Gazette for the benefit of private businesses. The MoA developed a Midterm Strategic Plan (2009-2015) that aims to achieve certain strategic targets in the country’s agricultural development so as to increase food selfsufficiency and improved national food security. The plan specifically targets a substantial increase in the production of plant and animal products by expanding cropped areas and improving yields. The outcomes of the strategic plan include both horizontal and vertical expansion in production. Eight programmes, requiring funding of $59 million, were elaborated by the UN Agriculture and Food Security Sector Outcome Team, to address food insecurity, food price volatility, and technological revolution in agriculture, climate change and erosion of safety nets. As a result, the GOI has substantially increased the MoA’s budget and is seeking foreign investment for the rehabilitation of infrastructure and foreign expertise to improve agricultural extension and farmer outreach. The Ministry of Water Resources is also developing new projects that will positively impact agricultural output. 2. Market and Industry Analysis 451 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing It is estimated that the development of a modern food processing industry in Iraq could potentially contribute between $10-15 billion to the country’s GDP.271Food processing and packaging are significant areas of intervention for the MoA’s goal of gaining food self-sufficiency and improving food security in Iraq. The food-processing sector in Iraq has not experienced major developments over the past decades. Iraq’s food processing industry is reliant on the productivity of the agricultural sector that in turn relies on irrigation systems, given Iraq’s perennially dry weather conditions. Traditionally, food production has focused largely on wheat, barley, rice and dates. The major food markets in Iraq are cereals and fruits & vegetables, which in 2006 accounted for 5.4 million tonnes and 4.6 million tonnes respectively. Figure: Iraq’s Main Food Markets Iraq's Main Food Markets (000) Fruits and Veg, 4,644 Cereals, 5,400 Milk, 1,485 Edible Oil, 405 Sugar, 810 Source: IZDIHAR/USAID 2006 Wheat is one of the most important cereals in terms of production and consumption in Iraq. Wheat production has declined in recent years. The production of wheat in the 2002/2003 farming season was more than 2.5 million tonnes but declined to less than half of this in 2008/9 as a result of draught, mismanagement and conflict. The figure below illustrates the development of Grain Production in Iraq in the period 1998/9 – 2008/9. Figure: Grain Production in Iraq 271IZDIHAR---USAID: The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq March 15, 2006. 452 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Million Tons Iraq Grain Production Wheat Barley Few large commercial farms exist in the livestock industry. Most production comes from small-scale agricultural operators. Poultry production for instance has been low for many years, although there are signs of gradual recovery. More than 70% of the chicken houses are currently idle or out of business since 2003. 272 This is attributed to the collapse in the local poultry industry and cheaper poultry imports from Brazil and the USA. As a result, local production has reduced drastically. Frozen imported chicken has gained a huge market share over the past five years, growing from 60% to 80% in just two years (2006-8).273 Consumption trends Increased expenditure on imported food and a growing population have significant implications for the food processing industry. Iraq’s food production will have to develop its capacity and food processing quality, in order to compete with imports and increase food products’ shelf life. In 2006, Iraq is estimated to have imported $4 billion worth in food while exporting food products worth only $11 million.274 Figure: Iraq Basic Food Imports Needs Inma Agribusiness Program Central Iraq Poultry Production Central Iraq Poultry (Broiler) Production Problems and Prospects, June 2008. 273 Sadia Middle East, May 2008. 274FAO: Inter-Agency Information and Analysis Unit. 272 453 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Imports Tons (millions) Total Import, 2040, 29,321 Imports ex veg-Fruits Total Import Total Import, 2020, 18,703 Total Import, 2008, 11,210 Total Import, 2005, 6,858 Source: IZDIHAR---USAID 2006 Staple food products still accounts for the majority of the market, with the possible exception of milk. The packaged food market is still low and is almost entirely importdriven. The table breaks down the consumption of commodities, values and percentages of imports for these products. Table: Iraq’s Food per capita Consumption, Demand, Imports and Production Markets (2005) Food Item Market. 000 tonnes Prod. 000 tonnes Imports est. 000 tonnes Imports Millions $ Imports % Wheat Potatoes Rice Sugar Pulses Vegetables Fruits Red meat Poultry Total meat Fish Egg Cheese Edible Oil Other Barley 4,320 432 1,080 810 108 2,295 2,349 122 122 244 22 105 35 405 54 1,080 1,320 432 200 0 38 2,295 2,349 152 72 224 12 100 32 0 4 700 3,000 0 880 810 70 N.A N.A 10 50 60 10 5 3 405 50 380 465 0 226 168 25 N.A N.A 13 50 63 18 N.A 6 278 55 52 69% 0% 81% 100% 65% 0% 0% 8% 41% 24% 46% 5% 9% 100% 93% 35% 454 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Maize 216 90 126 13 58% Source: IZDIHAR---USAID 2006 According to the World Food Programme, about 39% of Iraqis experience food shortages with the poorest experiencing as much as 56% food shortage. Apart from low productivity, high food prices account for the shortages of food in Iraq. Percentage Figure: Percentage of households experiencing food shortage per wealth quintile Percentage Poorest Second Third Fourth Richest Iraq 56.00% 44.00% 40.00% 34.00% 22.00% 39.00% Source: World Food Programme, 2008. Food prices in the local Iraqi markets continue to rise at a higher rate than the global average. It is estimated that between 2004 and 2008, food prices in Iraq increased by 101%, representing an average monthly increase of 1.7% while global food prices rose by 73%.275 This was attributed to the rise of international food prices and an 800% increase in domestic fuel and electricity prices. Food consumption dropped sharply, because many Iraqi households could not afford the price hike. Although demand for packaged food is still low in Iraq, it has the potential for growing significantly. Consumer tastes are likely to change, and consumer preferences grow more sophisticated as purchasing power rises. The convenience and longer shelf life of these products will almost certainly lead to increased demand. The young Iraqi population are certainly early adopters of new products. In neighbouring oil rich countries, the food processing sector and agricultural sector are well developed, suggesting that Iraq will experience rapid growth to catch up with other countries in the time to come. The contribution of Iraq’s food processing industry to GDP is currently among the lowest in the Middle East, only 0.8% in 2004. The table 275FAO: Inter-Agency Information and Analysis Unit 455 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing below shows rates in neighbouring countries. Iraq lags behind all the other countries, with the exception of Jordan, which is a heavily services-dependent economy. Table: Contribution of Food Processing to GDP in the Middle East INDICATORS 2004 Iraq Iran UAE Turkey Syria Jordan Saudi Arabia Processed Food as 0.8 14.6 4.7 18.5 11.5 0.6 5.6 % of GDP Egypt 18.6 Source: CIA, World Factbook, 2004-2005. The Economist Sectoral intelligence Service Reliance on imports The lack of adequate food processing in Iraq means that a lot of financial resources are spent on buying fresh products and imports. There is no tariff on imports of staple food, and Iraq’s new customs tariff law to be enacted in March 2011 will not affect food imports. Therefore, in the medium to long term, food processing facilities could find tremendous domestic market for their products. Iraq currently imports 70% of wheat and 90% of rice consumption. Biscuits, tomato paste and confectionary have been in considerable demand in the market for packaged products. In 2005, imported biscuits reached about 40,000 tonnes, costing as much as $30 million; tomato paste imports were 50,000 tonnes, costing $30 million, while 15,000 tonnes of confectionary goods amounted to $30 million in imports.276 The dairy sector is dominated by imports due to the absence of refrigeration in homes and retailers, power shortages and inadequate quality control. 100% of powdered milk is imported. Fresh local supply of milk comes from small dairy farmers who have only a few cows. This sector also consists of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) that rely both on imported milk powder and locally produced fresh milk to make yoghurt, cheese, ice cream, among other dairy products. The most widely used vegetable product in Iraq is tomato paste. Most of the tomato paste consumed in Iraq is imported from Iran and Turkey, and distributed through the PDS. It is estimated that Iraq consumes 162,000 tonnes of tomato paste, of which 87% is imported and distributed by the PDS.277 Processing of Iraqi tomato paste remains marginal and mainly homemade or manufactured in small scale, non-industrial factories. The quality and specifications of these products are inconsistent and below standards. Two factories process tomato paste using locally grown Iraqi tomatoes: Hariri factory in the Kurdistan region and the Balad factory in Salah ad Din province. 276IZDIHAR---USAID: 277 The Potential for Food Processing in Iraq March 15, 2006. World Bank: Iraq Household Socio Economic Survey, 2008. 456 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Five tomato paste production lines are currently idle across the country. These could be rehabilitated to resume production. The local production of vegetable and fruit competes with processed vegetables and fruit products from Iran and Turkey, or concentrated tomato paste imported from China. Many of these products are reconstituted, packaged and marketed in Iraq. Major international competitors in the industry include the US (that supplies Iraq with grain along with Argentina and Uruguay); Turkey (fruits, vegetables, processed foods, wheat flour); Iran (vegetables and fruits); Jordan and Syria (fruits and vegetables). Other countries from which Iraq imports wheat, rice and poultry are Australia, Romania, Russia, Australia and Brazil. The French company Danone is very active in the Middle East dairy market. It is estimated that its sales value in the Middle East and Northern Africa amount to over €1 billion. Another French company, Lactalis, also operates in the region with sales of about $1.1billion. Most agricultural products imported into Iraq come from the United States. Iraq’s import of US agricultural products is estimated to have peaked at $864 million during the first three quarters of 2008, which more than doubled the sales for 2007. This sharp increase is largely attributed to wheat imports, which accounted for 90% of the sales.278Wheat shipments to Iraq alone were over $772 million in 2008. Iraq became the third-leading market for US wheat export. In 2009, US agricultural exports to Iraq, excluding wheat were up 29% to $155 million. Iraq also imports US rice ($65 million in 2009) and poultry meat for estimated at $87 million in 2009.279The two other major agricultural produce imports are poultry meat, which is in high demand ($49 million in 2008) and rice imports ($27 million in 2008).280The table below shows the degree to which the country depends on various food imports. Table: Levels of Food Dependence on Export Total Dependence Edible Oil 100% Sugar 100% Tea 100% High Level Dependence Rice 81% Wheat 69% Milk 67% Medium Level Dependence Chicken 41% Beef 24% Lamb, Goats & Sheep 8% Source: IRAQ AGRO-FOOD, 2010. The MoT recently introduced a new system to increase accountability and transparency whereby approval of food purchases is made by a special Committee, the State Grain Board, and another agency that imports sugar and other foodstuff. The approval is only sanctioned by the cabinet after it has gone through a competitive bidding process, after which the contract is awarded. Agricultural Economy and Policy Report IRAQ, February 2009. foreign Agricultural Services: Iraq Exporter Guide, April 3, 2010. 280 Agricultural Economy and Policy Report IRAQ, February 2009. 278 279USDA 457 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Industry actors Both public and private actors play a role in the production, processing and marketing of food in Iraq. The MoT manages the distribution of food throughout the country via the Public Distribution System (PDS). The PDS is the largest public food program in the world. In the dairy sector, SOEs are dominant, including the Abu-Ghraib plant, which has a processing capacity of 25,000 tonnes/year, Al Diwaniya factory, with a limited dairy production capacity of 550 tonnes/year, and Al Mosul factory, which has a capacity of 6,000 tonnes/year. Together with other smaller companies, these SOEs operate milk-processing plants and produce dairy products for the market. Various other companies are actively engaged in the production, processing and marketing of food. About 400 agriculture-related companies are registered with the Ministry of Trade (MoT). Iraq’s Chamber of Commerce estimate that there are approximately 100,000 registered private food retailers and some 200,000 unregistered smaller food retailers in the country with an annual sale of about $3 billion.281 This includes prominent retailers like Al –Khalij, Al – Janaby and Al – Haifa based in Baghdad. Despite this, the domestic supply of processed or packaged foods is low in the country. H. Mahmood J. Al-Bunnia & Sons’ has had a strong presence in Iraq for over 100 years, and a wide product portfolio under its management. The company has several subsidiaries in the group that produce various food and beverage products, some of which are identified in the table below. Table: H. MAHMOOD J. AL-BUNNIA & SONS’ Product Portfolios and Subsidiary Companies Product Flour and Grain Pickled and Canned Foods etc Salts Chocolates, candy 281USDA Description of Processing The company operates a modern grain processing facility as well as three flour mills in central and west Iraq. Arab Gilal House is one of its subsidiaries that trade grain. Two companies in the group, Al Nuamaniya Pickles & Canned Foods Co. Ltd and Yeast & Dates Manufacturing Co. Ltd operate numerous plants for the manufacturing of tomato paste and tomato juice as well as table sauces, dressings, halawa, tahania, pickles, dates, and natural date vinegars in south of Iraq. Al Mansour Salt Production Co. Ltd is involved in the manufacturing of refined re-crystallized table salt, as well as industrial and animal salt blocks in high purity (99.9%). Nahla Corporation operates a number of plants for the production of chocolates, candy bars, hard candies, and toffee as well as chewing gum, foreign Agricultural Services: Iraq Exporter Guide, April 3, 2010. 458 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing bars, hard candies etc biscuits, wafers, crackers, and flavours. Nahla brand products are distributed in the entire Middle East and North Africa. Eastern Frozen Foods Co. Ltd and Howlair Dairy & Refreshments Co. Ltd are Ice creams, iced engaged in the manufacture of various ice creams, and iced lollies. These lollies yogurt, companies also manufacture European-quality yogurt, cheese and cream as cheese, cream etc well as natural fruit juice drinks. They utilize a container production plant for the long-life packaging of products. The United Farm Livestock Co. Ltd owns and operates large farms with Livestock approximately 6,000 heads of prime Arizona Holstein milking cows in addition to large herds of sheep, water buffalo, and cattle. The farm also contains over 20,000 hectares of farm land for wheat, barley, maize, and alfalfa crops as well as lands for animal grazing and feeding. The farms’ output of fresh milk and meat is used by other sister companies in their production. Al Marmouka for General Trading has a large operation across Iraq. It utilizes Frozen foods facilities with the latest automated machinery technology to produce frozen foods such as white meat processed products (including fish). Additionally, a modern automated poultry slaughterhouse operates with two Stork lines at a capacity of 6000 birds per hour for each line, in addition to 10 large storage frozen rooms, each with a capacity of 500 MT. Iraq’s Poultry Grand Parents Co. owns and operates a number of modern Poultry automated poultry farms. The farms provide eggs for the hatchery and birds for the meat processing plant. The poultry farm is composed of several poultry houses, each house containing more than 22,000 birds on average. In addition, the slaughterhouse contracts local farmers for the supply of birds. Source: H. MAHMOOD J. AL-BUNNIA & SONS Company Brochure Impact of the PDS The GOI ensures that food is widely distributed throughout the country through the Public Distribution System (PDS). The GOI subsidises food distributed to the population. The PDS provides billions of dollars’ worth of subsidized flour, rice, cooking oil, sugar, and other food stuffs to all households through its distributors, across all Iraq’s governorates. The PDS is managed by the MoT and implemented through a combination of state owned enterprises (SOEs) and private sector companies. The MoT manages the import of basic commodities such as wheat, rice, oil and pulses. Under the PDS, every Iraqi is entitled to a monthly food basket for a nominal fee of 250 ID. The monthly ration is as follows: wheat (9 kilos), rice (3 kilos), sugar (2 kilos), tea (200 grams), vegetable oil (1.25 kilo), detergent (500 grams), pulses (250 grams), adult milk (250 grams), soap (250 grams) and infant formula (1.8 kilo). This ration should supply 2,200 kcal per person/day. Unlike other food distribution channels, the PDS is able to delay or mitigate increases in food prices as a result of rising global prices for up to twelve months. The scale of the PDS makes its influence on the larger food market in the country significant. Food availability in Iraq is largely dependent on the PDS (predominantly imported products) 459 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing since local production constitutes only a minority of the food consumed. The PDS also creates massive distortions in the market, and this has perverse effects on the incentives for farmers and private enterprises involved in food production, processing and distribution in Iraq. 3. Industry Developments The GOI allocated $17 billion in 2008 to the development of Iraq’s agriculture sector, in line with the MoA’s Mid-term Strategic Plan. In 2009, the MoA requested a separate budget of over US$ 200 million to invest in specific agricultural sectors of the economy. The Agriculture Bank, which was established to facilitate investments in the agriculture sector, has been revitalized and repositioned so as to extend credit facilities towards increased agricultural productivity. The GOI is receiving support in planning the revitalisation of agricultural activities, training farmers, and launching pilot projects. Pomegranate was singled out for its great potential for high production rates for both local and export markets. In June 2008, the USAID/Inma Agribusiness Program launched a Pilot Pomegranate Export Trial Demonstration,282 which found that there is a huge market potential, and consumer acceptance, for Iraqi premium quality fresh pomegranates at the regional wholesale market hub in Dubai. A leading wholesale agent in Dubai agreed to sell 200 tonnes of premium quality pomegranates for both Dubai local consumption and for re-export. Various non-governmental and international organizations have initiated programmes aimed at improving agricultural productivity in Iraq. For instance, USAID-established Inma Agribusinesses Program which operates various projects ranging from agricultural production, processing and marketing of the final produce. In 2007, the Inma program received grants of $29.5 million to enhance agricultural competitiveness of Iraqi farmers.283Inma also established the Sheikh Sabah Taji Packing Facility, a worldclass packing house, which is the second of five packing houses currently being established. The facility utilizes the latest post-harvest technology and other facilities that help to receive, clean, sort, grade, temporarily store, and box an average of 30 tonnes of fruit or vegetables daily. Located in Taji District (northwest of Baghdad) the packing facility will provide a valuable service to the surrounding community, as it is estimated that about half of Iraqi fresh produce is wasted due to inadequate packing and storage facilities. The Inma program has also been active in developing Iraq’s greenhouses as they are considered instrumental to developing Iraq’s vegetable and fruit industry. 282Inma Agribusiness Program: Pomegranate Export Trial Activities, Accomplishments, Value Chain Analysis, Lessons Learned, and Future Steps, November 2008. 283Al-Sabah News Paper, August 22, 2009. 460 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing 4. Challenges in achieving a strong food processing industry in Iraq Iraq is prioritising its food security and self-reliance, and food processing will be a part of this development, as infrastructure, roads, electricity and cold chain storage improve. As it stands, the constraints to the food processing industry are the following: Low standard of production – The standard of food production in the country is low. With the exception of fruits, vegetables, edible oil, and cereal consumption (especially wheat), most food does not meet regional standards. Over-dependence on imports – The over-reliance on imports of food and beverages in the country poses a major challenge to local production and processing. Lack of a reliable cold chain – This makes it difficult to sell fresh produce, such as chicken meat. Energy cost – In the food production and processing sector, the lack of reliable grid electricity means that investors have to make provisions for energy by purchasing and operating stand-by generators. It is estimated that private companies generate between 25-75% of their total electricity requirements. Relatively high packaging costs – Iraqi factories import almost all their packaging material, putting them at a disadvantage. 5. Investment opportunities Investment opportunities in the food-processing sector are driven by three factors.284 1. The population boom. With a growing population estimated at 40 million people by 2025, 30% of whom is under 14, there is huge market potential for processed food. 2. As Iraq’s population becomes more affluent, it will return to a more protein-rich diet. Iraqis are changing consumption patterns towards more food and consumer goods. 3. With rising income, early entrants in the packaged food sector will gain consumer acceptance quickly. There is huge potential for a revival of Iraq’s agricultural sector driven by private investment. Foreign and local private investors, producers and agribusiness enterprises 284Izdihar ‘Potential for Food Processing in Iraq’ March 15, 2006. 461 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing can engage the industry in technological and managerial modernization. The development of the processing sector specifically requires building or refurbishing plants for food processing. Processed food products that have high growth potential in Iraq include: dairy, poultry, edible oil, tomato paste, biscuits and snacks, among others. Other products include: wheat production, rice, barley, corn, feed crops, and natural honey. The dairy market is seen as the most attractive sector for investment in processed food because of its high demand and its fundamental role in driving the food processing industry in Iraq. Dairy plants exist in Iraq, but require modernization and investment in order to boost productivity. The successful large scale launch of local dairy products in the market in Iraq will require a series of storage and cooling standards, as well as quality checks that will revitalize the sector. The dairy sector is seen as an important catalyst for the development of the packaging industry including TetraPack, glass, PET, PVC as and the establishment of cold chain supply facilities. There is a high growth potential for the dairy market in Iraq because of increasing numbers of young consumers of dairy products, dairy diets’ richer protein levels, and changing consumer preferences leading to more and diverse dairy products. Flavoured milk (chocolate, vanilla, strawberry, and banana), condensed milk, as well as flavoured yoghurt and yoghurt-based drinks gain large and growing market shares in Iraq. Iraqi poultry producers remain competitive in selling live chickens to consumers, and they can potentially regain a huge market share in fresh chicken consumption, since many consumers actually prefer it to frozen chicken. The establishment of a functional cold chain is a crucial step in this regard. Iraq has a huge surplus of fresh tomatoes (about 15,000 MT per year), which could be utilized for tomato paste processing. The existence of such a surplus and the growing demand for quality tomato paste is vital for the possible development of a tomato processing industry in Iraq. Demand is also very high for this product, and although production lines for tomato paste exist, some are standing idle. Products like biscuits, snacks and confectionery have huge market potential. The younger population is the core consumer population, as young people are sensitive to advertising and to product innovation. The biscuit market in Iraq is estimated at between 40-50,000 tonnes/year and has the potential for growing further in coming years. 462 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Edible oils and fats are an important food market in Iraq, with a turnover of $380 million and 400,000 tonnes. Seed oil cultivation, crushing facilities, and refining facilities are practically non-existent in Iraq. The country relies entirely on imports for these products. There is also a great potential for Iraq to revive its date industry. Iraq lost its date export market following sanctions after Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. In 1991, the country only exported 20,000 tonnes compared to 240,000 tonnes in 1989. While other competitors have emerged since, Iraq could regain its position in the international date market. In addition to this, Inma estimates that there is a potential additional demand of 100,000/150,000 MT for date syrup, if produced more efficiently and marketed innovatively, in more attractive packaging (i.e. as with peanut butter in the USA or Nutella in Europe). Iraq could also increase exports to Turkey (where it has only 3.9% market share), India (where it has no export), and in Syria.285 There is a huge market potential for the export of premium quality pomegranates for the regional wholesale market hub in Dubai both for local consumption and for re-export. The emphasis must be on quality products and packaging. The processing requires high quality, high resistance carton boxes and wooden or plastic pallets for export. The quality standard will also require appropriate storage facilities to protect the product and ensure that its shelf life is extended. 285Inma Agribusiness Program: Iraq – A Strategy for Dates, January 2008. 463 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Zinah Plant Company for Fruit Juice Fruit cultivation Al Najaf Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Objective 07812107684 1996 508,850 Greenfield project to meet domestic strawberry fruit demand Project Summary Given the huge shortage of domestic strawberry production, al Zinah Plant Company for Fruit Juice is proposing to invest in a strawberry farm on a plot of land of 50 donums (125,000 sqm) to be secured from al Najaf Provincial Investment Commission (PIC). Under the investment project, $508,850 in funding will produce approximately 400 tons for the local market per harvest season. Investors interested in tapping the strawberry market will enjoy the benefit from relatively high farm gate prices offered in al Najaf throughout the year, which are on average higher than the rest of Iraq. While the total investment amount is relatively small, at $508,850, production can be replicated elsewhere in the province or other parts of Iraq to meet domestic consumption and even eventually set up large scale export operations to the Gulf countries south of the country, where strawberry consumption per capita are at least double Iraqi figures. Total sales from each season will be $1,280,000, and margins are estimated to be about $579,400. Al Zinah Company was established in 1996 as a fruit juice canning operation in al Najaf, but since 2003, the factory ceased operations due to cheap imports that have made domestic products uncompetitive. Market assessment overview Domestic Consumption The consumption of strawberries in Iraq has experienced an upward trend over the past few years. According to the World Bank, the average annual consumption of strawberry is 80g per capita in Iraq. This means that the domestic consumption of 464 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing strawberry is in the region of 2,200MT/year. While the per capita level of consumption is relatively small, it is estimated by the sponsor that this will jump three fold by 2014. Domestic and Import Supply The supply of strawberries in Iraq mostly comes from imports from Syria, Iran and Turkey. It is estimated that more than 90% of the strawberries consumed in Iraq are imported. Domestic production is minimal and largely concentrated in the Karbala region where small farmers produce strawberries for the local Iraqi market. According to USAID’s agribusiness program, INMA, Iraq currently produces between 10 to 12MT/ha of strawberries. This level of production can, however, be increased in the short term to a minimum of 40MT/ha, according to INMA. IMA initiated a total of 9 donums of strawberry demonstration sites to showcase the potential of increasing Iraqi strawberry production with the application of modern technology, which could significantly lead to higher yields, lesser cost of production and therefore increased farmer profitability. Increased production levels can be achieved through the following interventions: The import of disease-free strawberry plant varieties such as Ruby Gem, Sweet Charlie and Florida from Turkey or USA Application of advanced soil management methods to test the soil content in order to avoid high level of salinity The continuous use of advanced Integrated Pest Management methods including soil pre-plant fumigation Application of modern drip irrigation and technology Strawberry Market Prices The Iraqi market price for strawberries is known to be highly seasonal and volatile. Strawberry prices are much higher in November, December, January and February when strawberries are scarce in the country. The prices then reach their lowest in May, June and July when most production from Iraq and other importing countries comes to the market. At the provincial level, there are two price trends. The provinces of Karbala and Najaf are noted to command strawberry prices of about two to three times higher all year round than other Iraqi provinces. The rest of the provinces shows price trend that is similar to the Baghdad market. 465 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing The table below shows the wholesale prices of strawberries from January – June, 2009 in ID/kg: Year 2009 January February March April May June (INMA, 2009) Baghdad 3,852 2,512 1,998 1,758 1,710 1,900 Erbil 3,545 2,873 2,754 2,520 1,764 1,673 Karbala NA NA 3,715 5,126 7,242 7,200 Najaf 6,000 4,969 3,825 3,341 3,388 3,500 Key Project Advantages Strong, growing local demand for strawberries and unmet local supply which is assumed to increase threefold by 2014 Ample and well irrigated and fertile land in the chosen province using greenhouse production methods Knowledgeable of local players in food market since 1996 Project to be located where price of strawberries are constantly higher than the rest of Iraq (INMA, 2009) Project details Al Zinah was previously a fruit juice canning business set up in the province of al Najaf in 1996. As a small scale company holding no more than twelve employees on its payroll, the company used to purchase concentrate juice domestically, or from outside Iraq, and sell the packaged drinks to the local market. Since 2003, however, due to cheaper imported drinks, the plant was making a loss and operations had to be ceased. The company is fully owned by Mr Abbas Ahmed, who is the developer of the investment project. Infrastructure, Inputs, Organizational and Human Resources The table below outlines the investment activities and associated costs that will be undertaken in order to produce strawberries on each donum. As the project will utilize 50 donums, or 125,000 sqm in total, there will be ample room for cost minimization. 466 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Description Cost US$ Total Labour costs $170 Land Preparation (provided for a nominal rate from Provincial $126 Investment Commission) Mulch $250 Fertilizers $810 Pesticides $990 Insecticides $510 Fungicide $380 Irrigation (drip) $50 Harvest (@25kg/h) $800 Post-Harvest Cooling @$0.125/kg $1,250 Packaging (Clamshell)@$0.10/400gr $3,200 Transport $300 FIXED COSTS Drip Irrigation $330 Metal Frame $169 Plastic $706 Coolers $136 TOTAL per donum $10,177 Investment Output It is assumed that during each season, one donum of land cultivated for strawberries will produce 8,000 kilograms of fruit for the market. Under the project, there could be two or three seasons per year. It is conservatively estimated that only one season per year is realized, which will also depend on whether the sponsor uses seeds or seedlings. It is assumed, however, during the first season the sponsor will use seeds. As 50 donums or 125,000 sqm of agricultural land will be used for the project, each season should see a total production per harvest of 400 tons. The period under which strawberries can be cultivated will also depend largely on the variety that is used. The quality and type of variety that will be used is such that strawberry fruits can be harvested from the first season. Investment Requirement A profitability analysis conducted by INMA on the production of strawberries indicated that the production cost of one kg of strawberries is $1.75, and could be realized in Iraq if basic recommendations associated with land management and irrigation were 467 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing adopted. This is also assumed under the proposed project. If the farm gate price of al Najaf strawberries is $3.20 per kilogram, which is assumed to be lower than actual prices, net sales per donum, or for each 2,500 sqm, will be in the region of $25,600 and will see a margin of $11,588 per donum. Price at Net Sales Farm $/Donum Gates $/kg Net margin $/Donum Cost of Net Product Sold Margin $/kg $ per kg Net margin/ Net Sales % 3.20 11,588 1.75 45% 25,600 1.16 (INMA, 2009) Based on the figures above, the project, with a total 50 donums (125,000 sqm) under cultivation, should see a net margin on each donum of about $11,588. If one season is assumed, the total margin will be about $579,400. This figure is based on sales of $1,280,000. 468 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Wady al Abbayth Company for Food Stuff Food and beverage sector Baghdad, al Jamila Industrial area Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Mahir A. Abdul Hameed and partners 1992 19,470,000 To establish a low-cost dairy, jam and juice products plant Project Summary Currently operating as a wholesale foodstuffs trading company, al Wady al Abbayth is inviting investment parties to open a line of communication with a view to establishing a dairy, juice and jam plant on its privately owned industrial land in al Jamila, Baghdad. Close to al Jamila wholesale market, the total area size of the proposed site is 1,260 sqm, which is valued at today’s real estate price at $6,300,000. The proposed plant will purchase raw ingredients from Iraq and abroad to produce, package and market cream, juice, jam, yoghurt, cheese, and milk products for a growing local market that is currently met through imports from Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Syria and Iran. The project concept is to target the bottom tier of Iraq’s economic base of consumers, which are highly price sensitive and require affordable consumer products. A total of $19,470,000 is required to develop the Greenfield project. Mr Mahir A. Abdul Hameed and his partners are interested in operating the project in return for equity ownership divided up between both investing parties. In return for the required investment, the proposers of the project are prepared to cede equity ownership of the project of up to 49%. His group is proposing to invest $2,000,000 of liquid capital funds in the project, which will go into erecting a building for the project, procuring new equipment, hiring expertise and other operating costs. It is estimated that over 50 employees will be required to manage operations at the plant. The company will import packaging, machines, and part of the raw materials required in the plant, from outside Iraq. It is also the intention of the company to apply for regional and international quality assurance certificates. From the date of initiation, the project is expected to be completed and operating within nine months. Proposed annual production is estimated to be 29,250,000 units of dairy, juice and jam products, bringing an average of $28,774,500 in net sale revenues. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption 469 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Annual per capita consumption for traded dairy products is about 55 litres (INMA, 2008). Consumption of milk based products in Iraq is estimated at about 2.14 million tons annually. There are no figures for the production and import of jam and juice in Iraq. It is, however, estimated that per capita consumption of carbonated (sparkling) drinks is 22 litres per year, or total consumption of about 66,000,000 litres per year. It is assumed similarly that juice drinks in the country, which see lower consumption levels, are approximately 30% of this figure, or about 19,800,000 litres per year. Imports It is estimated that some 120,000 to 200,000 tons of powdered milk are imported into Iraq every year (INMA, 2008). This excludes about 800,000 tons of imported reconstituted liquid milk and substantial amounts of UHT milk, cheeses, processed cheese, butter, yoghurt, and flavoured milk. The total annual import value of dairy products ranges between $1-1.5 billion. The countries from which these products are imported include Turkey, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Austria, France, Egypt, and Lebanon. Key Project Advantages Weak domestic competition and rivals to proposed project Significant expertise in food and beverage market in Iraq since 1992 Availability of liquid capital from Iraqi company for proposed project Ample land available for the project on company owned premises Proximity to a vibrant and growing market in major Iraqi cities Factory details Brief history Since 1993, the sponsor of the project has been operating as a foodstuffs trading company based in Baghdad. It is located near al Jamila wholesale market which supplies products across Baghdad’s food retail outlets. In 2009, it had annual revenues of $3,000,000. Proposed Annual Production 470 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing The proposed plant factory will procure machines to produce the following items. Item Annual Quantity Unit Milk Processed Cheese Cheese (hard cheese) 2,000,000 3,000,000 15,000,000 Litre Tub Tub grams) Tub (500 1.50 grams) 2,200,000 750,000 18,750,000 Litre 1.25 Jar (85 0.07 grams) Carton (250 0.17 grams) Jar (400 0.30 grams) 2,500,000 24,500 White Cheese 2,500,000 (aluminium foil protected) Curdled yoghurt 2,000,000 Cream 350,000 Soft drink 4,000,000 Jam 400,000 Current Unit Sale Price ($) 1.10 0.25 (300 1.25 Net sale revenue ($) 3,750,000 680,000 120,000 Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The table below lists the required budget items to procure modern equipment and machines as well as associated civil works and key project inputs to operate the project for the first year. Item Machine and production line equipment Packing materials Raw materials Administration, management and salaries Transport and distribution Refrigerated delivery trucks Utilities 2 Generators (500 and 1000 KvA) Buildings and maintenance Total Cost ($) 11,320,000 1,250,000 4,500,000 1,080,000 250,000 250,000 150,000 120,000 800,000 19,470,000 The table below shows the input costs required. The proposer of the project has the option of procuring items from outside Iraq or purchasing key ingredients from local markets: Item Raw milk yeast Stabilising agent sugar Local price ($) 315/ton 900/ton Imported ($) 250/ton 45/kilo 10/kilo 380/ton price 471 Sector and Investment Profiles – Food Processing Fruit juice 250/ton concentrate Lemon salt Sodium benzoate 150,000 350/ton 1300/ton 1.45/kilo Current monthly salary rates for the industry are $1,500 for an engineer, $1,000 for a technician and $750 for a skilled worker. Investment Output Al Wady al Abbayth will see annual revenue of $28,774,500 from the various products the plant will produce. If it is conservatively estimated that sales margins are in the region of 30%, thus the plant will produce a profit of $8,632,350 annually. As the plant’s strategy is to produce products for the bottom economic tiers of Iraq’s consumer base and at large volumes, it will be in a strong position to compete with imports from neighbouring Iran and Syria. It will do this by selling at a lower price than products imported into the country, and by targeting low income households. Investment Requirement A total of $19,470,000 is required in investment to set up and establish operations during the first year at the plant. Once established and after the first year of operations, the plant will be self-sufficient in generating revenue to fund operations for future years. Al Wady al Abbayth is offering to fund approximately $2,000,000 in liquid capital to the project, which is exclusive of the land that plant will be situated on, which is valued at about $6,300,000 given its strategic location to Baghdad’s key wholesale market. In return for the required investment, the proposers of the project are prepared to cede equity ownership of the project of up to 49%. Al Wady al Abbayth is asking for a financial investor as all management and administrative responsibilities will rest with it. 472 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Sector Profile - Meat I: Regulatory Framework and Policy Environment The three main laws governing the agricultural sector in Iraq are: Law of Agricultural Reformation No. 30 (1958), Law of Agricultural Reformation 1970 and Law No. 35 (1983). The National Investment Law No. 13 (NIL) of 2006 regulates and incentivises private investment in the Iraqi economy. Aside from the NIL, which lays out the national strategy to attract investment in different sectors, a draft five-year agricultural development plan has also been drawn to boost productivity in the sector. Draft five-year Agriculture Development Plan According to the NDP, Iraq has the capability of doubling its livestock count, particularly in provinces that already have meadows, factories, stores of fodder and experienced keepers. The Ministry of Planning and the Cooperative Development’s Directorate of Agricultural Planning has assessed potential growth areas in the sector and targeted those areas requiring government intervention. The result is the draft five-year Agriculture Development Plan. In terms of animal production, the plan sets out ambitious goals: the annual growth rate target for sheep, goats and cows is 7%, and 5% for buffalo and camels. Table: Livestock wealth and projected growth 2010-2014 Animal Number of animals (000s) Sheep and goats 2010 (7% annual growth rate) 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cows 12,000 12,840 13,740 14,710 16,000 (7% annual growth rate) Buffalo and camels 1,500 (5% annual growth rate) 250 1,605 1,717 1,838 2,000 263 276 289 305 Source: National Development Plan, 2010-2014 The proposed production of red meat is projected at 243,000 tonnes by 2014 (annual production is 135,000-140,000 tonnes/year), through 40% new births and 60% raising and fattening of herds. Both horizontal and vertical expansion measures are proposed to achieve target production rates and animal count. Key horizontal measures include increasing the number of modern slaughterhouses, ensuring good provision of forage 473 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat and veterinary care, importing meat in the interim period while a herd is built up, and expanding educational projects and investment promotion. Vertical measures include: research to improve breeding, expanding forage farming, establishing modern marketplaces for animal sales and improving storage and processing. 286 The plan encourages the private sector to rehabilitate livestock wealth projects. Other Initiatives Since 2003, the quality of in-use fields and livestock pastures has deteriorated and diminished food security levels. A number of donor government (Inma and the French Agriculture and Environment House) and GOI initiatives have been implemented in recent years to improve the quality and levels of crop and livestock production. In 2008, zero per cent interest loans were established for farmers specialised in livestock development (see below ‘State Participation’). The USAID-funded Inma Agribusiness Program has attracted considerable attention and is the first initiative of this kind to be supported by the Iraqi Government. The involvement of the Minister of Agriculture of Iraq demonstrated the GOI’s commitment to developing this sector (See Box below).The program held a symposium in Baghdad in June 2009 on livestock feedlots, which brought together livestock producers, feedlot operators, feed producers and meat processors. It is expected that this program will increase production and quality, so that domestic supply will meet current and expanding consumer demand preferences, and will achieve operational profitability and long-term financial sustainability. Box: The USAID- INMA Agribusiness Program INMA is a comprehensive program funded by the USAID to support the development of agribusinesses and agricultural markets in Iraq. It is being run with the assistance of Texas A&M University, the Iraqi government and non-governmental organizations. The program plans to establish 30 modern feedlots across Iraq. It is assisting in developing improved forage production systems, helping producers to formulate feed balanced rations and to adopt improved herd management methods for fattening animals, increasing the quantity and quality of meats in the marketplace. The program is addressing production and marketing of quality meat cuts, improving the meat-processing equipment and operational-systems infrastructure, and establishing a more modern and widely acceptable meat-handling system. It is also focused on helping Iraqis establish improved product grades and standards, including a live-animal grading system, and enhancing red-meat packaging and marketing. It aims to: triple the carcass weight of animals going to market, allowing premium prices for top quality; achieve an annual output for beef feedlots of over 150 tons of meat, at full capacity, with gross value of approximately $1.2 million; and result in each lamb feedlot producing over 30 tons of meat annually with gross sales of approximately $250,000. 286INMA, 2009. 474 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat The French Government opened the French Agriculture and Environment House in Erbil, an agricultural advisory service that will help boost the agriculture infrastructure and promote Iraqi products internationally. The initiative will also assist in taking steps towards ensuring water stability, and training and educating farmers and producers. 287 II: Market Analysis Demand As a predominantly Muslim country, beef and lamb are the preferred red meats in Iraq. Red-meat consumption in the country is estimated to be growing at about 10 to 15 per cent a year.288 The NDP estimates that red meat in Iraq only meets 14.5 per cent of the population’s need. Meat consumption was reported to be 18.2kg/person in 2002, compared to 10.8kg/person in Syria, 12.7kg/person in Jordan and 18.2kg/person in Egypt (current rates). Consumption in Iraq has declined to 4.5 kg/person in 2005. Table: Meat Consumption in Iraq, UAE, Saudi Arabia (2005), kg/per person Type of Meat Iraq UAE Saudi Arabia Poultry 4.5 33 50 Fish 0.8 - - Sheep 3.5 6 14 Beef 1 4 7 Source: USAID- IZDIHAR, 2006 COSIT (Central Organisation for Statistics and Information Technology) data puts the individual requirement of red meat consumption at 32kg/year. Current consumption rates only reach 14% of this amount. Along with Iraq’s economic recovery, domestic meat consumption of lamb and mutton is expected to recover to pre-war levels of about 18kg/person, and possibly catch up with neighbouring countries. Supply Despite the challenges experience in the past few years, livestock wealth is higher today than it was a decade ago. The number of sheep and goats has significantly grown, as has the production of red meat. 287Iraq 288 Business News, 3 November 2010. Inma project chief of party, 2010. 475 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Estimates of Animal Populations The International Livestock Research Institute289 estimated, in 1997, that Iraq had about 6.3 million sheep, 1.05 million goats, 1.12 million cattle, 98,000 buffalo and 10,000 camels. A 2001 agricultural census from COSIT shows largely unchanged numbers, estimating the number of sheep at 6 million, goats at 730,000 and cattle and buffalo at 1.23 million and 118,000 respectively. In 2006, the Ministry of Agriculture Veterinary Supply Company came to the conclusion that the sheep population had more than doubled to 13.8 million, while goats had dropped to 640,000. The buffalo population rose to 150,000 while cattle and camels dropped slightly to 1 million and 9,000 respectively. In 2001, the distribution of sheep and goats at the Governorate level were as follows; Nineweh (19% of all sheep and goat), Anbar (12%), Wasit (10%), Salahad-din (10%), Diyala (10%) and Qadisiya (5%). Salahad-din has the highest concentration of sheep and goats and Diyala and Qadisiya also have a high concentration of goats. Sheep and goats are the main livestock in areas with an annual rainfall of less than 300mm and are raised in rangeland in the northern governorate of Nineweh, which has adequate arable land and meadows. Sheep and goats also graze semi-intensively with supplemental food in the central Iraq governorates of Diyala and Wassit, which have both arable and irrigated land, and Dhi Qar (6%), which relies mainly on irrigated land290. Distribution of Cattle and Buffalo The majority of cattle and buffalo are raised in the alluvial plain and are mostly grassfed. Baghdad has the highest concentration at 13% of the total, followed by the central Iraqi governorates of Babil and Wassit with 11% each. Table: Number of animals slaughtered annually for meat consumption. Production- Number of heads slaughtered (x1,000 animals) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Buffalo meat 25 25 35 25 25 25 Camel meat 5 5 11 2 2 2 Cattle meat 229 250 215 370 370 370 Goat meat 300 240 220 690 690 690 289International Livestock Research Institute, Iraq country paper, 1997 Chamber of Commerce, 2009. 290Iraqi-American 476 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Sheep meat 1,800 1,250 1,250 1,250 1,250 1,250 Total 2,359 1,770 1,731 2,337 2,337 2,337 Source: FAO Stats database Production Levels FAO data shows that levels of production fell between 2003-2005, but have recovered since to pre-war levels. Table: Production Levels Production (Tonnes) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Buffalo meat 3,750 3,750 3,750 3,750 3,750 3,750 Camel meat 1,318 875 1,757 350 350 350 Cattle meat 33,842 40,000 43,767 54,430 50,000 50,000 Goat meat 3,600 3,840 3,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 Sheep meat 28,800 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 Total 71,310 68,465 72,524 86,830 82,400 82,400 Source: FAO Stats database Table: Yield hectograms per animal Yield-hectograms per animal (2008) Iraq Saudi Arabia Turkey Buffalo meat 1,500 - 1,839 Camel meat 1,750 2,204 2,978 Cattle meat 1,351 2,000 1,816 Goat meat 120 143 155 Sheep meat 160 190 158 Source: FAO Stats database In order to meet COSIT’s estimate of the individual requirement of red meat consumption (32kg/year), the country needs 950,000 tonnes of red meat annually for a population of about 30 million.291 The total value added by the sector, including poultry, is estimated to be 675,301 million ID according to COSIT data (2007). 291COSIT, Ministry of Planning, 2009. 477 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Red meat imports have gone up in recent years. While reliable import figures are difficult to obtain, imports were estimated to be about 53,000 tonnes in 2008, assuming constant per capita consumption since 2005 of 4.5kg per person. Current estimates put the amount at between 85,000 and 100,000 tonnes.292 Iraq imports large amounts from Brazil and recently began importing frozen beef from India. It also imports live sheep and cattle as well as chilled and frozen meat from Australia and New Zealand. However, Middle-Eastern consumers show a clear preference for the ‘fat-tail’ Awassi sheep, the most prevalent sheep in the region and Iraq, over the Australian Merinos. Sheep rearing is a promising area for development in meat production and a potential strategic industry. For this to occur, it would require a major change in current models of production, as sheep and goat raising are marginal activities, thriving in areas that cannot be used for agricultural purposes. A USAID report, from 2006, on small ruminant animal production, argued that improved animal health and nutrition practices, genetic enhancement, and better animal handling were necessary to generate a significant leap in supply, particularly if Iraq is to supply its valued sheep variety domestically, and potentially, in the wider region. The report proposes an innovative approach to ensure the leap of supply levels, through: (i) the creation of semi-intensive sheep clusters in richer land areas (‘little New Zealand in Iraq’); (ii) the massive development of a feed block industry; (iii) adopting local participatory approaches in rangelands in order to sustain land management and productivity, along with community-based micro-credit schemes.293 IV: Current Market Structure Ownership of Production The International Livestock Research Institute distinguishes four distinct types of animal production and ownership in Iraq: (i) The traditional nomadic, transhumant and sedentary systems—herds of sheep and goats are grazed extensively on natural vegetation in communal rangelands in the foothills, mountains and steppe during spring. During the summer, herds graze stubble in Al-Jazera, the upper part of the northern region between the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers; during autumn and winter they are generally fed crop residues supplemented with grain. Productivity is generally low. (ii) The household system—sheep, goats and cattle, in both rural and urban areas, are kept near the house to provide milk for the family. Productivity is extremely low as most farmers are more concerned with minimising costs and risks than maximising profits. 292COSIT, 293USAID: 2006. Ministry of Planning, 2009. Iraq Private Sector Growth and Employment Generation: Small Ruminant Animals, 23 July 478 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat (iii) The lamb-fattening system—1 million lambs from the range are fattened for 3 months from the age of 4–5 months (18–20 kg) until slaughter at 40 kg. (iv) The modern or semi-intensive system for dairy cattle projects—green fodder is produced in irrigated areas in an integrated crop–livestock system. Slaughterhouses, Wholesale and Retail Farmers usually sell live sheep and goats to wholesalers and retailers. Wholesalers control the market by providing credit to farmers – with average interest rates close to 40% on an annual basis. They operate with higher gross margins than retailers (35 40% compared to 15%). Few slaughterhouses are in operation. Feedlots There are very few operational feedlots in the country. The establishment of feedlots through the Inma initiative will enable animals to be fattened and sold throughout the year294. State Participation in the agricultural sector and meat production The Ministry of Industry and Minerals (MIM) manages several State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) that process agricultural products including: cattle feedlots and processing facilities and produce agricultural inputs including: fertilizer plants and an equipment assembly plant. Several SOEs associated with meat production have been partially privatised. The Government of Iraq maintains 51 per cent ownership of Iraq's National Meat Processing Company and about 25 per cent of the Al-Kindi Company (veterinary vaccines).295 In recent years the GOI has taken the initiative to stimulate investment in meat production. It has established loans to encourage farmers to increase production. In Karbala $21 million was distributed to more than 2,000 farmers, which included donations to 746 farmers specifically for livestock wealth projects.296Other financial initiatives undertaken by the GOI since 2003 include the establishment of a 25 billion ID fund in 2008. Interest-free loans were provided to farmers in certain agricultural activities including the raising of livestock.297 This initiative was established with the participation of specialised lending funds. $240 million was allocated in 2008, a similar figure was allocated in 2009. Inma website– 2010 From USDA Foreign Agriculture Service Sep 2009. 296 Iraq Business News, 16 August 2010. 297 National Development Plan 2010-2014, p. 62, Ministry of Planning, 2010. 294 295 479 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat V: Key Challenges Unrealistic targets by 2014: The NDP plan is currently under review as the GOI’s production target for meat in the five-year development plan may be unachievable in the specified time horizon. Cold–chain management and refrigeration: Lack of adequate and consistent electricity supply for storage. Effective cold–chain management is required to enable the sector to compete with Australian and New Zealand frozen sheep meat imports. The government is aware of this problem and has committed to investment into and rehabilitation of cold storage facilities in the country. Water supplies: Adequate irrigation is a challenge in many areas of Iraq. It is important in grazing meadows, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. The GOI reacted well to a drought in 2010 by exploiting groundwater reserves with assistance from UNESCO and educating the public about the use of water. The GOI committed nearly $200 million to improve agricultural irrigation in 2011. 298 Availability and quality of feedlots: Iraq is in need of a reliable feedlot industry. The NDP has committed to improving the quality and availability of fodder and to rehabilitating abandoned domestic animal projects.299 Fertility rate amongst the Awassi sheep variety: Currently there are low fertility rates for the more popular Awassi sheep variety. However, low fertility rates can be raised through improved nutrition. Land rights and tenure management. Traditional pastures and rangeland have become overgrazed. However, as new legislation is brought in to protect property rights, producers will have an incentive to invest in improving land productivity. VI: Key Strengths of the Sector as an Investment Opportunity Availability of resources necessary for the production of meat, including water, feedlot, and land means production costs are not high, and the product is competitive compared to imports and compared to production in neighbouring countries. Availability of high quality sheep. Iraq produces the Awassi variety of sheep, which is preferred in the Middle East. Sheep raising could realistically turn into a strategic sector contributing to Iraq’s exports, primarily to other Arab countries, and creating added value and jobs in Iraq's rural areas. 298 299 Iraq Business News, 18 September 2010. National Development Plan 2010-2014, p. 63, Ministry of Planning, 2010. 480 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Rapidly growing domestic demand. In addition to current unmet demand for red meat (only 14.5% is met by Iraqi produce), domestic demand is expected to grow further as the situation gradually stabilises, the country’s economy recovers and the population attains a higher purchasing power. Possibility to export to the Gulf Region: As stated above, the market for meat in the Gulf is also expanding, as demand increases in the region. This growing regional market presents an opportunity for Iraqi meat exports. High meat prices: The high price for meat in Iraq means there is significant scope for development in the sector. Newcomers and investors should expect higher margins. Livestock rearing as a target investment area: In its strategy to attract private investment, the GOI identifies meat and fish production as activities that enjoy a comparative advantage given the quick and high returns expected. VII: Opportunities for Investment Slaughterhouses: Iraq does not have enough slaughterhouses. Organised slaughterhouses can benefit from economies of scale and will be better able to adhere to regulatory standards and to ensuring a high quality of meat. Certified high quality products from these types of slaughterhouses are likely to fetch a high price in both the domestic and regional markets. Refrigeration services and cold chain management: the development of feedlots, the production of meat throughout the year, and the anticipated growth in demand will greatly increase the need for refrigeration and cold–chain management services. As slaughterhouses are established and start producing, refrigeration services will become crucial for the packaged meat industry. Sheep cluster creation: the dependence on availability of feeds can be reduced through the grazing of sheep in greener areas with greater resources, higher rainfall and more natural pasture. This type of land can be found in Erbil, Tameem and Sulaymaniyah Integrated production lines: There are no vertically integrated meat production companies that run animal feeding and feedlots, slaughterhouses, packaging and refrigeration up to the wholesale stage. This type of integrated unit would benefit from economies of scale while removing intermediary commissions and additional costs associated with doing business in Iraq. 481 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Production of machinery for slaughterhouses, feedlots and refrigeration units: There is a need for the production of capital goods such as machinery for feedlots, slaughterhouses and refrigeration units, which are mainly imported. 482 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Ra’ad Nawaf Dah’hil Company for Agriculture Meat Industry Al Fallujah, al Anbar Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment [email protected] - 07704597233 2004 1,200,000 To set up a Greenfield beef production farm Project Summary Accounting for loss through disease, infection or illness, initially, for the first year, 238 cows out of a total of 250 are expected to be fattened and then sold onto the wholesale markets in al Anbar and Baghdad, where the price per kilogram of fresh beef meat fetches up to $13. When sold, each cow is expected to weigh between 700 and 900 kilograms each, thus delivering approximately 166,600 kilograms of beef per year to the Iraq market, thereby fulfilling a key target of the National Development Plan 2010-2014 to increase the production of red meat in the country. The sponsor of the project, Ra’ad Nawaf Dah’hil Company for Agriculture, is prepared to win investor support by putting forward $200,000 in liquid capital as well as securing the 15,000 sqm required for the project from the Anbar Investment Commission, which it has already opened communications with having identified a suitable plot of land. While the project is relatively small in size compared to the total beef meat requirement in the country, the sponsors have been careful to lower the risk to themselves, as well as for prospective investors, by testing the water with a relatively small sample of cows. Market assessment overview Domestic supply and consumption The consumption of beef in Iraq is low compared to neighbouring countries. In 2005, consumption per capita was only one kilogram per person compared to the UAE’s 4 kilograms and Saudi Arabia’s 7 kilograms. In 2006, the Ministry of Agriculture estimated that Iraq’s total buffalo population was in the region of 150,000 heads. In 2008, FAO statistics show that Iraq produced 3,750 tons of buffalo meat. Market Prices 483 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat The current retail price of fresh beef in Iraq is approximately $13 to $15 per kilogram. Imported frozen beef from Brazil, India and Turkey can range between $3 to $12 per kilogram, depending on the origin and quality of the meat. Key Project Advantages High price of cow meat will ensure that significant margins, which range from 35% to 45%, are made on the investment. Sponsor has over fifteen years of experience in the farmer produce markets in the country Relatively low start-up costs compared to expected high returns made from marketing of cow meat produce Significant potential for expansion, once the project is successful, to meet huge demand for intake of protein and fulfill a key strategic focus under the 2010-2014 National Development Plan Project details Brief history Ra’ad Nawaf Dah’hil Company for Agriculture has six employees in Iraq today working largely in trading of agricultural equipment and marketing of farmer produce to key wholesale markets in al Anbar and Baghdad. Established in 2004, the company is fully owned by Ra’ad Nawaf Dah’hil and his brother, Riyad Nawaf Dah’hil. In 2008, its annual revenue was $4,000,000 from the sale of agricultural equipment and farmer produce. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources A total of 15,000 sqm will be required for the construction of a large cow barn yard, as well as associated storage and warehousing space for feed and other key inputs. According to the sponsor, the Ramadi based Investment Commission has identified a suitable plot of land in a sub-district of al Fallujah in the province of al Anbar to provide the space required for the project under a lease system. This will be secured for a nominal fee from the investment commission. In terms of investment costs, the sponsor estimates that $1,200,000 is required to set up the project as well as purchase the required 250 calves. Costs will be incurred to purchase an appropriate barn to be installed on the recommended site, management, labourers, a generator, as well as necessary protein feed. Equipment, as well as protein feed pellets required for the project, will be sourced from Baghdad. 484 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat In terms of disease control, the sponsor will follow the Ministry of Agriculture’s health guidelines to reduce infection rates. Investment Output As the project will start out with 250 cows on 15,000 sqm of land in the sub-district of al Fallujah, Nahiya al Amiryah, it is estimated that each cow will weigh between 700 to 900 kilograms once sold. At current retail prices of $13 per kilogram, sales revenue is expected to be between of $9,100 and $11,700, or in total, for the 238 cows that the project is expected to have after accounting for illness, disease and death, $2,165,800 and $2,784,600. Ra’ad Nawaf Dah’hil Company for Agriculture estimates that it will be able to secure a margin of 40% on its investment project, or about $866,320 per annum. The sponsor will procure further cows to be fattened after the first year. It has mentioned, however, that it will source the majority of its livestock after the first year from calves born in the first year, thus helping reduce costs. Investment Requirement The sponsor is prepared to invest $200,000 in liquid capital out of the total $1,200,000 required for the project. In return for the required investment, the sponsor will also undertake all management responsibilities over the project. It is willing to cede up to 49% of the project total to the proposed investor party in ownership and has also agreed to a preferential profit arrangement for the investor. 485 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Al Barakah For Agricultural Production Feed production 35 Km west of al Ramadi, al Anbar Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment 1989 11,000,000 Greenfield project to produce high protein pellet feed Project Summary Al Barakah is proposing to establish a pellet feed production plant to produce 8,900 tons during the first year. In addition to managing the project, and contributing 20% in liquid and physical assets of the estimated $11,000,000 in investment funds required, the company will cede equity ownership of up to 49% of plant. As Iraq continues to scale up agriculture focused operations as part of its prioritization of the non-oil sector, demand for feed inputs, including the production of high protein pellet feed required for the production of poultry, fish and red meats, will be required on a scale domestic demand is not currently able to meet. The plant will produce 10 tons per hour of pellet feed or 160 tons per day, if it runs two shifts a day. With this production, it will become Iraq’s only company in the industry, as all of the country’s high protein feed pellets are sourced from Syria, Turkey, Iran and other neighbouring countries, and will be in a strong position to scale up and expand operations, once the project is completed, to meet the significant gap in the Iraq feed market. Market assessment overview Domestic consumption Domestic consumption of feed is about 3.6 million metric tons in 2010. This is made up of various components of feed grains, as Iraq does not currently produce any protein feed inputs. Large consumers of high protein feed pellets are the private sector, which require the inputs to attain sufficient livestock weight outputs. According to the company, over 90% of protein feed pellets are consumed by farms in the country and are purchased directly from the open market. Domestic supply 486 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Iraq has almost no domestic supply of feed protein and imports all of its requirements through Turkey, Iran, Syria and other countries. In terms of grain feed inputs, Iraq produced approximately 350,000 metric tons of feed corn in 2007/8, which was priced at about $500 per metric ton. Other inputs include soya meal, which is priced at $975 a metric ton. Iraq produced approximately 1.8 million metric tons of grain based feed. To meet local consumption of soya feed, the country imports all of its requirements. Market Prices The price of feed inputs varies in terms of quality and amount of fortified nutrients, including protein. Concentrate pellet feed costs between $530 and $600 per metric ton in al Anbar and neighbouring provinces, with the higher price being the common wholesale price as of early 2011. As of 2010, other feed input prices per metric ton include feed barley ($438), feed wheat ($445), feed corn ($530), sunflower meal ($850), dehydrated alfalfa ($950) and wheat bran ($125). The rationale behind the manufacture of pellet feed is premised on the fact that though there are alternatives and options open to farmers in relation to grain feed, protein feed is required by all animals to meet animal weight requirements. The nearest competing feed to the proposed production of protein pellet feed is soya feed, which is between $300 and $350 more expensive and therefore costly for farmers to use in the long run. The production and increased use of protein feed will play a significant role in meeting the National Development Plan 2010-2014 targets to increase animal weight requirements and thus ensure a reliable local supply of protein meats and poultry for Iraq’s growing population. Key project advantages Demand for high protein feed pellets will inevitably rise as the Government of Iraq prioritizes investment in the agricultural sector to help meet local demand for protein foods, including red meat, poultry and fish Rare investment opportunity to partner with one of Iraq’s leading trading and agricultural companies. The company is also familiar with the Anbar agricultural inputs market The growth in the market for feed pellets in al Anbar and neighbouring provinces should mean that all output will be sold 487 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Project Details Brief history Al Barakah for Agricultural Production is currently operating as a trading company of feed inputs in the region of al Anbar. In 2009, it noted an annual revenue of $5,000,000 and plans to expand operations to provinces in Southern Iraq as the Government invests further in strengthening the agriculture sector. Infrastructure, Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The project will require one ready-made shed, 20 metres in width, 50 metres in length and 7 metres in height. Additional space will be required to house an operations room, a rest room and three storage rooms capable of holding 200 tons of raw materials ready for feed production. Two further storage rooms will be required, which are capable of keeping raw materials such as barley, wheat, corn and soya for about 6 months. These should each be 50 metres in width, 20 metres in length and 6 metres in height. Further construction work will be required. This includes three houses for workers, each 120 sqm in size, and administration and management space of about 250 sqm. Two water wells will also be needed to support the cultivation of olive trees, date palms and other trees to protect the plant from the strong winds in the summer. In addition to the above mentioned items required for the project, the table below shows the work required and associated costs: Budget item Description/Quantity Total Cost (ID) Storage Space (ready-made sheds) Building for Management/administration Storage facility – 100 tons Feed warehouse Rest house for workers Boiler and inspection rooms Premises keeper building Shade area for car park Electric generator building Paving of roads within and close to premises Storage facility for raw materials 1200 sqm x 3 120 sqm 360,000,000 120,000,000 1 200 sqm 120 sqm 2 120 sqm 400 sqm 100 sqm 3600 sqm 112,500,000 120,000,000 60,000,000 26,500,000 54,000,000 50,000,000 30,000,000 54,000,000 200 sqm 60,000,000 488 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Parameter fence (1350 sqm in total) 450 sqm x 3 Total 67,500,000 1,114,500,000 The total cost for civil works, including construction of storage and warehouse space amount to $996,869.4. In terms of the project’s workforce, the table below represents the key personnel and Position Quantity Monthly Salary Total Annual Salary (IDs) (IDs) Project Manager Operations Manager Engineer (mechanical and electrical) Accountant Mechanical operator Equipment expert Lorry Drivers Tractor Driver Other vehicles operators Grounds keeper 1 1 2 1,500,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 18,000,000 14,400,000 28,800,000 1 5 3 4 1 2 3 750,000 600,000 500,000 1,000,000 600,000 800,000 400,000 9,000,000 36,000,000 18,000,000 48,000,000 7,200,000 19,200,000 14,400,000 Total management required: 213,000,000 The annual workforce bill amounts to about $190,518.78. To assess costs associated with the first four years, the table below shows incurred expenses for each ton produced: Item Cost per ton (IDs) Year 1 Year 2 Raw materials required for feed 500,000 production Packaging (final output) 5,000 Administration 10,000 Fuel expenses 10,000 Year 3 Year 4 490,000 490,000 510,000 5,000 8,000 7,000 5,000 5,500 6,000 5,000 5,000 6,000 489 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Maintenance Depreciation 4,000 17,500 5,000 12,700 6,000 8,600 7,000 8,000 Total per ton: 546,500 527,750 521,100 541,000 The total cost of producing one ton of feed is about 546,500 ID, or $488.81 for the first year and is reduced slightly by year four. In terms of equipment and machinery, the following are required: 2 250 KvA generators, a laboratory, grind, trucks, boilers and machines for conveying mixing, pelleting, cooling and crumbling feed machines. The main piece of equipment, the animal pellet machine, will have a capacity of producing 10 tons of feed pellets per hour, or 160 tons per day, if two working shifts are organized. Investment Output The table below shows the total amount of feed production for the first four years: Year Total Amount (tons) Average Cost of Total cost of Sale Price Total Sold (IDs) one ton (IDs) production (IDs) per ton (IDs) 1 2 3 4 8,900 12,200 18,000 19,500 546,500 527,750 521,100 541,000 Total 58,600 4,863,850,000 6,438,550,000 9,379,800,000 10,549,500,000 31,231,170,000 596,000 585,000 570,000 582,000 5,304,400,000 7,137,000,000 10,260,000,000 11,349,000,000 34,050,000,000 During the first year, 8,900 tons of feed will be produced at a cost of $4,350,491.9 or about $488.81 per ton. Incorporated in the costs are expenses associated with annual depreciation, administration and management, salaries, maintenance and fuel costs. The feed will be sold at a price of $533.09 per ton and amount to $4,744,543.82 million for all of the first years’ production output. By year four, the margin between total cost and total sold would have increased from $394,051.92 in the first year to $799,500,000. The total amount sold in all four years of operations amounts to $30,456,171.7. The margin will rise due to cost efficiencies associated with increases made in output over the four years mentioned above. Investment Requirement 490 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat It is calculated that about $11,000,000 in investment funds are required to start operations. Of this amount, al Barakah is able to put up 20% of the total requirement, or $2,200,000 in liquid and fixed assets into the project. Other than occasional technical inputs, investors are not asked to manage the project, which al Barakah is proposing to do with a team sourced from al Anbar and Baghdad, where a significant pool of skills lie. In return for the proposed investment, al Barakah is willing to cede equity ownership of the project of up to 49%, with the rest retained by the company. 491 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Investment Project Profile Name of company Industry Address or location Nima Company for Production of Feed Feed production Tarmia, Baghdad Contact details Year company established Total investment size ($) Purpose of investment Mr Sa’ady R. Hussain- 077026666672 2002 8,455,000 Greenfield project to construction a hydroponics greenhouse production plant Project Summary More commercially productive than conventional farming methods, the proposed hydroponic greenhouse significantly increases production yields without having to incur high energy and water inputs. The sponsor of the project, Nima Company for Production of Feed, has proposed to construct two production lines to produce annually 400 fully automated hydroponic greenhouses for the Iraq market. Estimated to be sold at approximately $25,000 each, the hydroponic greenhouses will help reduce wastage and spoiled fruits and vegetables, which in Iraq, is considered to affect approximately 50% of yields before it reaches consumers. Approximately $8,455,000 is required to set up the proposed two production lines in Baghdad if land is secured for a nominal fee from the Baghdad Investment Commission or rent from the private sector. Otherwise, an additional $4,500,000 will be required to purchase land for the production site. The company is currently working as a trading company only and generated $4,000,000 in revenues in 2010. Market assessment overview Domestic supply and consumption There are currently no hydroponic greenhouses in operation in Iraq. According to Nima Company, demand could potentially be in the region of 15,000 hydroponic greenhouses per year in Iraq. To meet the National Development Plan 2010-2014 targets for agricultural production, the private sector will require procurement of a large number of hydroponic and more traditional greenhouses due to the unreliability and risky nature of conventional farming in the country. 492 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Market Prices There are currently no hydroponic greenhouse manufacturers in Iraq. A typical farm of the size proposed is sold, approximately, for between $23,000 and $28,000. Key Project Advantages With innovative technology, harvest time will be shortened from 90 days to 9 days Amount of crop produced is at least four times higher than conventional farming The hydroponics greenhouse method improves water efficiency by over 80% than conventional farming as well as energy usage Less injury to crops from insects and infections due to the controlled eco-system within the hydroponic greenhouse Project details Brief history Nima Company for the Production of Feed is currently operating as a trading company in agricultural livestock and feed goods. It is not currently producing feed in the country. Its main clients are the Iraqi Ministry of Agriculture as well as the Iraqi private sector. In 2010, its annual revenue was $4,000,000 from goods procured from Jordan, Syria and Iran, which it then sold for a profit in Iraq, particularly in wholesale markets in Baghdad and al Ramadi. Mr Sa’ady R. Hussain is the sole owner of the company and is its Managing Director. Inputs, organizational and Human Resources The modern hydroponics system for commercial farming is used in place of conventional farming methods to reduce wastage, improve cost and energy efficiency levels, as well as to reduce the harvest period from 90 days, used in a typical greenhouse, to 9 days only. The project is based on a vertical growing irrigation system which can be used manually, or with full automation by using a pump, a timer and operational sensors and digital controls. In the hydroponics greenhouse, gravel is used as the medium instead of soil, which is reinforced with significant amounts of nutrients, which is required for plant life growth. 493 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat Under the proposed project, 400 modern hydroponic greenhouses will be constructed during the first year of production. The table lists some of the major costs associated with the plant: Budget Item Cost ($) Quantity Cost ($) Sandwich and insulation panel production line Plastic Tray production line Aluminium pipe production line Aluminium pot holder production line Transportation equipment, including forklifts, lorry and pick-up trucks Air conditioning 2.5 tons capacity (400 x2) Water pumps 400 x2) Electrical control panel and internal lighting units Observation system/camera unit Office furniture and equipment Raw materials (various for 400 greenhouses, including gravel and nutrients) Management/manpower 250,000 2 500,000 125,000 275,000 2 2 250,000 550,000 200,000 2 400,000 525,000 Various 525,000 500 800 400,000 600 800 480,000 500 400 200,000 250 400 100,000 100,000 Various 100,000 1,200,000 Various 1,200,000 1,250,000 Various employees) Various Storage, construction costs 2,500,000 and buildings Land price 2,500 sqm Total 2,500 sqm (90 1,250,000 2,500,000 4,500,000 12,955,000 The greenhouses will be three meters in height and width, and 12 meters in length. The assembly plant which will have two production lines will be located in Baghdad on 2,500 sqm of privately owned land that the company will fold into the project. Investment Output 494 Sector and Investment Profiles – Meat During the first year, 400 greenhouses will be produced for the local market and sold at $25,000 each. Total sales revenue will be in the region of $10,000,000 and includes maintenance and after sale service support for one year as well as associated irrigation and automation systems required to operate the farms. The greenhouses are profitable for a number of reasons. Firstly, the greenhouses provide sufficient crop protection from disease and infections to ensure that there is minimal wastage and spoilage. Other reasons include water use efficiency and reduced manpower use. In terms of technical support, the sponsor has sought and communicated with several Jordan based hydroponic greenhouse manufacturers that are prepared to offer advice and training in Amman for the project’s management team. Investment Requirement The Nima Company is interested in securing a strategic partner to build the hydroponic greenhouses for domestic use and potentially for exports. In total 12,955,000 is the total investment size. While this includes $4,500,000 for the purchase of land, potentially a production site could be secured from the Baghdad Investment Commission for a nominal fee or rented from the private sector for a set number of years. If this secured, only $8,455,000 will be required for the proposed two production lines to assemble 400 hydroponic greenhouses per year. The Nima Company is prepared to partner with an investor who could potentially receive a majority share of the project. Management responsibilities will rest with the sponsor of the project. 495 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry Sector Profile - Poultry 1. Regulatory and Policy Environment There are at least three major bodies that are actively working on improving the regulatory and policy environment for the production, processing and marketing of poultry products in Iraq. These bodies are the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA); the Iraq Poultry Producers Association (IPPA); and the Iraq Poultry Fund (IPF). The MoA is the key regulatory body for the poultry industry in Iraq. It sets the standards for the production of poultry products. The Ministry has initiated various import rules and charges that prevent large vessel-sized shipments of poultry products into the country. The Ministry also regulates the importation of poultry feed such as soybean, pellet protein and maize. In 1998, the Iraq Poultry Producers Association (IPPA) was formed to collaborate with the government in addressing the regulatory and quality standards in the industry. As part of its function, the IPPA works with the government towards establishing solid commercial contacts and to handle all the credit and input needs of the industry, as well as update and modernize the management practices of the industry. At the policy level, the Iraqi Poultry Producers Association (IPPA) has for some time now intensified its lobbying in order for the government to institute measures that will limit the importation of poultry products into the country. Specifically, IPPA wants to introduce tariffs to protect the domestic poultry industry. The IPPA believe this will increase their competitiveness in the market. Whilst this lobbying from the IPPA is still to be materialized, the Ministry of Agriculture is currently considering a number of policy initiatives to enhance the Iraqi poultry industry. These include: Poultry farms with a minimum of 10,000 birds will be entitled to a production of subsidy of 350 ID per bird ($0.25/bird) The State Agricultural Supply Company imports about 25,000 MT of soybean meal to support the farmers. This is distributed at subsidised rates to help strengthen production, which is seen as a strategic goal of the National Development Plan 2010-2014. The State Agricultural Supply Company grain storage facilities will be made available so as to support private feed imports. Iraq has also established a special fund to promote the growth of the poultry industry. The Iraq Poultry Fund (IPF) is dedicated to financing various projects in the poultry 496 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry industry. It has recently collaborated with various producers and the US Grain Council to improve the policy environment for the production and processing of poultry products. 2. Key Industry Players The Iraqi government has played an important role in supporting the poultry industry, which has gone through periods of decline and revitalisation. The industry has shown a quick recovery post-war, and has managed to recover before through government subsidies. It is clear from the MoA’s policy considerations and the activities of the IPPF that the government is supportive of the industry’s rehabilitation. The last couple of years have seen increased poultry farms and plants in the country. There are encouraging signs that the domestic players in the industry are increasing their presence as previously abandoned farms are being rehabilitated and a few new ones are being established in the country. In 2009, there were 1,076 broiler farms with a total capacity of 19,802 MT in Iraq. This increased to 2,015 broiler farms and a capacity of 42,067 MT in 2010 as shown in the table below. The table also indicates the number of broiler farms in Iraq’s provinces as well as their operating capacities. Table: Iraqi Broiler Farms in Operation (2008) Provincial Area Number of Farms (2010) Anbar 219 Babylon 276 Baghdad 327 Basra 10 Dhi Qar 42 Diyala 141 Duhok 62 Erbil 140 Karbala 83 Maysan 32 Muthanna 81 Najaf 47 Ninawa 10 Qadasiyah 75 Salahalddin 194 Sulimania 176 Ta’mim 23 Wasit 160 Total in 2010 2,015 Total in 2009 1,076 Source: Iraqi Poultry Producers Association (IPPA) Production Capacity MT (2010) 2,705 3,299 6,023 164 394 2,001 2,800 6,785 1234 292 966 554 83 793 2,612 8,906 437 2,019 42,067 19,802 497 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry Currently, there are only a few poultry producing companies that have been able to scale up their operations comparably to regional and international levels. The H. Mahmood J. Al Bunnia & Sons Company (HMBS) is one of such companies; they operate a poultry farm and processing unit through its subsidiary firm, Iraqi National Poultry Company Ltd. The company has a poultry farm, a feed mill and meat processing plants as part of its value chain activities. The poultry farm comprises several poultry houses each containing more than 22,000 birds. These poultry houses provide eggs for the hatchery and birds for the meat processing plants. Its modern automated poultry slaughterhouse has two stork lines, each of which has a capacity of 6000 birds per hour. There are also 10 large storage frozen rooms each having a capacity of 500 MT to store the fresh chicken. Aside from operating the Iraqi National Poultry Company Ltd, HMBS also has investment holdings in another poultry company operating in Iraq called the Iraqi Poultry Grand Parents Company. In the import market, there are various countries that are currently exporting poultry products to Iraq. These include Brazil, the United States of America, China, Jordan, Netherlands and Turkey. In 2009, the Brazilian government estimated that imports of wings, nuggets, giblets and other poultry products, totalling about 313 million pounds, cost Iraqi importers $199 million.300 As the regulation of this industry comes into practice and with private investment into the sector, Iraq will rely more on domestic production of poultry products. This not only offers opportunities in this market for investors, but is also attractive to the GOI as export costs will be brought down whilst the economy benefits from a potentially highly successful sector. 3. Domestic Consumption Compared to the rest of the region, Iraq is currently the smallest consumer of poultry products in the Middle East. The table below shows that apart from Iraq, all the Middle East countries had significant per capita consumption of chicken in 2008. Despite conflict, in the 1980s significant improvement in the consumption of poultry products was experienced in Iraq. Available data indicates that in 1985, the per capita consumption of chicken was 15kg, but this reduced substantially to about 6kg/per capita in early 2008 due to conflict.301 Given the rapidly expanding population number in Iraq, and with an increasingly stable economic environment, there is great expectation that demand for poultry products will increase significantly to fall in line with regional consumption levels. Bazuki Muhammad/Reuters, February 8, 2010. USAID/Agribusiness Program: Central Iraq Poultry (Broiler) Production Problems and Prospects, June 2008. 300 301 498 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry Table: Regional per capita consumption of chicken (2008) No. 1. 2. 3. 4. Reporting Country Per capita consumption Iraq 6kg/ Syria 38kg Jordan 22kg Gulf States 22kg Source: USAID/INMA Agribusiness Program 2008 In terms of the composition of demand, a 2006 consumer panel showed that the consumption of fresh poultry constitutes about 20% of total consumption with 80% being the consumption of either frozen whole chicken or parts. INMA also estimated that the consumption of broiler meat in Iraq is about 125,000 tons, out of which 25,000 tons are from live chicken and the remaining 100,000 tons from imported frozen meat.302 There are, however, encouraging signs over the last two years that overall consumption has increased substantially. Compared with the immediate years after the war in 2003, per capita poultry consumption has increased markedly and the trend is expected to continue in the coming years. The GRAIN Report indicated that per capita consumption increased to 19kgs and that this could grow as high as 20kgs in 2011 as shown in the table below. Table: Poultry Production, Import and Consumption (2009-2011(projected)) Poultry and Broiler 2009 2010 Unit 230 330 560 560 2011 (Projected) 250 340 590 590 Production Total Imports Total Supply Total Domestic Consumption Per Capita Consumption 110 368 478 478 16 19 20 (KG) (1000 MT) (1000 MT) (1000 MT) (1000 MT) Source: GAIN Report, August 2010 Imported whole frozen chicken is about 30% less expensive than fresh chicken in Iraq. Currently, this price discrepancy has affected domestic producers’ share of the poultry market, however, following In May 2008, Sadia Middle East noted that imported frozen chicken has persistently increased its market share from 2003-2008, growing from 60% USAID/INMA Agribusiness Program: Competitiveness of Broiler Production in Central Iraq, August 2008. 302 499 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry in 2006 to 80%.Imports are now declining, with local production taking up about 40% of the market share. Table 1 shows a price comparison between imported poultry products and local products in 2008. Table: Comparative Market Prices for Chicken Products in Iraq Prices Frozen chicken from Brazil Iraq Live 2005 Price/kg $2.60 2008 $3.80 2005 $3.60 2008 $5.60 $2.20 $3.20 $2.90 $4.20 Retail meat Wholesale Price/kg meat Source: Anka, monthly average prices, July 2008. In 2009 and 2010, the country experienced a significant increase in poultry operations. The Iraqi Poultry Producers Association (IPPA) indicated that poultry farms in operation have doubled since 2009 as previously abandoned poultry houses are being rehabilitated and begin to operate. This is good sign for the overall growth of the industry. The gradual emergence of the domestic Iraqi poultry industry as a competitive force has forced the general price of poultry products in the country to decline. As of May 2010, the price of Brazilian Sadia was $ 1.88kg; that of Brazilian Kafeel reduced to $ 2.33 kg; the Turkish Morad was $ 2.18kg; whiles the Fakheeh from Saudi was selling at $ 2.23kg. The local Iraqi Almas was relatively high at $ 3.36kg.303 4. Domestic Production Iraq’s poultry farmers have a competitive advantage in the sale of live chickens. Iraq’s consumers have a strong preference for live chicken, and are mostly prepared to pay a high price of over 30% compared to the imported frozen ones. It is estimated that the existence of cold chains will increase the supply and demand for fresh chicken in Iraq. Egg production has remained relatively stable despite the wars and conflict. After an initial fall in output in the early 1990s, it rebounded in 1998 and continued to stabilize around 900 million units per year. Over the last couple of years, the Iraqi poultry industry has experienced substantial growth arising from increased numbers of poultry farms in the country, the availability 303Gain Report: Iraq Poultry and Products Annual, 31 June 2010. 500 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry of feed (total Iraqi feed supply increased from 2.3 million MT in 2009 to about 3.6 million MT in 2010), and the general improvement in the economic climate. As a result, domestic poultry production for 2010 was projected to have increased to 230,000 MT.304 According to the Iraqi Poultry Producers Association, the country has, over the last two years, increased its production capacity. It notes that the number of broiler chicks more than doubled from about 20 million birds in 2009 to over 40 million in 2010. Grain supply Growth in the poultry sector in Iraq is dependent upon access to feed, especially protein (soybean meal). In 2010, total feed supply (small ruminant, dairy, and poultry feed) increased from 2.3 million MT in 2009 to about 3.6 million MT in 2010, including imports. Measures that the MoA are considering to support Iraqi poultry producers has to do with feed availability: importing 25,000 MT soybean meal by the State Agricultural Supply Company (SASC), and supporting private imports of feed by allowing the use of SASC grain storage facilities. The US Grains Council is also running a Credit Guarantee Programme (set up in 2005) to encourage Iraqi banks to become involved in the business of financing agricultural imports by sharing the risk of a qualified loan. The Programme will allow Iraqi banks to offer credit facilities to poultry farmers and processors in the country. The aim is to stimulate Iraqi poultry production, increase the availability of essential poultry feed ingredients, and lower costs.305 5. Import Supply Poultry imports decreased in 2010 by 19% (available data January -June 2010). US imports went down by 16%, partly due to new import restrictions. This has been balanced by domestic production. The GAIN report estimates a modest growth in poultry parts imports, in 2011, as a result of improving food service demand. Imports from Brazil are largely whole frozen chicken while that of the USA are mainly frozen chicken parts. Turkey has increased its supplies of poultry products to Iraq as a result of reduced exports from the USA and Brazil to this market. In the first nine months of 2010, about 75% of all Turkey’s total poultry export, valued at $91 million, went to Iraq.306 304Gain Report: Iraq Poultry and Products Annual, 31 August 2010. Net, 7 May 2010. 306 Today's Zaman, 26 Oct 2010. 305Grain 501 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry Jordan is another important supplier of poultry products in Iraq. Most import supplies of poultry products are packaged in containers or smaller refrigerated trucks passing through Kuwait or Turkey. At the moment, there are limited cold storage facilities in Iraq’s main port of Umm Qasr, thus making it difficult to import bulk shipments of frozen poultry into the country. The table below shows the imports of poultry from 2005 to June 2010. It indicates that the USA is the leading supplier of poultry in Iraq followed by Brazil and Turkey. Table: Iraq’s Poultry Exporting Countries (Metric Tons) Country Brazil China Jordan Netherlands Turkey U.S.A Total307 2005 4,318 2,062 1,342 39 4,183 112,809 127,105 2006 3,972 1,593 62 174 2,159 111,020 119,314 2007 32,097 3,715 201 71 629 138,802 175,878 2008 56,006 1,751 9,369 73 9,102 133,416 211,422 2009 142,084 1,403 7,284 124 51,444 159,698 368,970 June 2009 71,037 504 5,471 53 23,642 105,694 209,304 June 2010 57,146 1,132 994 n/a 27,588 88,391 179,271 Source: Gain Report, August 2010 6. Key Industry Challenges Breakdown in the value chain: A major consequence of the 2003 invasion was breakdown of the three important components that constitute the industry – producers, state owned enterprises and slaughter houses. However, the GOI has taken steps to reestablish these components through new regulations to encourage investment in this sector and to rehabilitate centralised slaughterhouses which will cut costs of production for producers. Excessive imports: Imports of poultry products increased significantly after 2003 as Iraq swiftly opened its market to the international poultry market. The consequence was that, local poultry producers now face intense competition from Brazil and the USA. In recent years, stricter regulation of the import market has seen imports decrease by 19%, a margin that has been filled by domestic production of poultry products. This trend is expected to increase with continued investment and support. The annual total imports include figures for countries that are insignificant and so not shown in the table. 307 502 Sector and Investment Profiles – Poultry Inadequate power supply: The poor state of electricity supply results in broiler producers being unable to control the climate in their chicken houses. Effective cold– chain management is required to enable the sector to compete with imports from the USA and Brazil. The government is aware of this problem and has committed to investment into, and rehabilitation, of cold storage facilities in the country. High production costs: The cost of inputs including feeds, chicks and energy for the production of poultry products in Iraq is high in comparison with other countries. This weakness is mitigated to some extent by the preference for live chickens in Iraq; for which many consumers are prepared to spend 30% more on rather than buy frozen. Structural Problems: These structural challenges arise from the fact that an Iraqi standard chicken house has a capacity of only 12,000 birds compared with the international economics of scale minimum standard of 20,000. Similarly, modern poultry industries now use the all-in-all-out principle which allows for the immediate absorption of output, a requirement that is only possible in a chain that has efficient slaughterhouses. W