Holt Lunsford Commercial
Transcription
Holt Lunsford Commercial
Employment in Dallas/Fort Worth increased by 248,000 jobs in September 2014. The unemployment rate declined by 0.2% to a total of 5.9%. Overall, the business sectors with the most job growth were professional and business services, retail trade, and health care. Dallas/ Fort Worth continues to outperform national employment and job growth numbers. Out of the twelve largest metropolitan areas in the country, Dallas ranked second in both job growth rate and in the number of jobs added. Professional and business services had the largest annual increase among job sectors with an increase of 9.5% since July 2013.* The DFW region posted positive net absorption of 1,993,456 SF in the third quarter of 2014. Net absorption was positive 1,444,868 SF in Class A buildings, positive 515,827 SF in Class B buildings, and positive 32,761 SF in Class C buildings. Yearto-date net absorption over all building classes in Dallas/Fort Worth is 4,081,494 SF for 2014, and 2,285,762 SF of that is in Class A buildings. As 2014 comes to a close, expect absorption to remain high among all asset classes. -94,086 SF Vacancy Rates by Building Class 2010 - 2014 23% 21% 18% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 *Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, News Release October 3, 2014 2013 2010 19% 2012 20% YTD 2014 2011 22% 901,299 SF 152,315 SF 32,716 SF -79,243 SF -53,013 SF 2013 YTD 2014 2012 2010 2011 YTD 2014 2012 1,444,868 SF 2,600,358 SF 1,814,882 SF 1,155,590 SF 2010 The 3rd quarter of 2014 saw a total office vacancy rate of 18.1% across all building classes, a 0.7 percentage point decrease over the previous quarter, and a 1.2 percentage point decrease from year-end 2013. The average vacancy rate in Class A buildings was 17.8%, 18.7% in Class B buildings, and 15.8% in Class C buildings. 2011 2013 Absorption by Building Class 2010 - 2014 1,304,391 SF 497,523 SF 582,241 SF 515,827 SF -395,470 SF Quoted rental rates have continued to increase, with an average rate of $21.45 per SF at the end of the third quarter, an increase of $0.33 per SF from the previous quarter. Rent concessions continue to lessen, but TI’s remain high. Preston Center had the highest average quoted rate across all asset classes at $32.77 per SF, followed by Uptown/Turtle Creek at $31.85 per SF. As the Dallas office market continues its positive momentum rental rates should continue to remain strong through the end of 2014 and into 2015. YTD Net Absorption $2.48 $1.76 $1.41 Class A Class B Class C Dollar Increase in Average Quoted Rental Rate From 2010 to 2014 YTD Net Absorption CLASS A Vacancy Rate 2014 Average Quoted Rental Rates 2010 - 2014 average class a rental rate The DFW market has continued its high volume of construction activity over the 3rd quarter of 2014, with 1,110,957 SF (22 buildings) in new deliveries, as compared to a total of 1,192,757 SF (14 buildings) in the second quarter and 315,786 SF (6 buildings) in the 1st quarter. The most notable deliveries in 2014 were Granite Park IV at 306,292 SF which is 64.3% leased, and 3001 N Dallas Parkway, at 200,000 SF, which is 14.5% leased, both in Far North Dallas. Additionally, there is 5,832,056 SF currently under construction throughout DFW compared to 5,762,315 SF in the previous quarter. The most notable projects under construction are the Future State Farm Campus in Richardson at 2,000,000 SF as well as KPMG Plaza at Hall Arts in the Dallas CBD, (450,000 SF, 66.4% pre-leased) and will deliver April 2015. Construction activity remains strong as developers continue to break ground on new office product in response to increasing demand. Total Square Footage Delivered 2010 - 2014 Overall Dallas/Fort Worth Absorption, Deliveries & Vacancy 2011 - 2014 Absorption Deliveries Vacancy Overall Dallas/Fort Worth Inventory 2010 - 2014 Class A Class B Class C Total Total Office Market Stats The Far North Dallas submarket continues to lead the market in construction activity with 1,673,555 SF under construction. Richardson / Plano is a close second with 1,530,043 SF under construction. Expect a steady pipeline of speculative development to continue through the new year, as Dallas remains one of the fastest growing metroplexes in the United States in terms of employment growth. Construction Name Developer Size Delivery Commencement Submarket The Offices at Park Lane KPMG Plaza at Hall Arts Frost Tower Wade Park 1 Legacy Center Dallas Cowboys Future HQ Sundance Square Hillwood Commons I Future State Farm Campus Toyota Motor Corp. HQ Raytheon Headquarters Legacy Tower Granite Park V Knoll Trail Plaza River Run - West Bend New Office McKinney & Olive Harvest Partners Hall Financial Group Harwood International Undisclosed Haggard Property Group City of Frisco Sundance Hillwood KDC KDC KDC Trammel Crow Company Granite Cawley Partners Trademark/Dal-Worth Crescent RE Equities 149,510 450,000 167,735 400,000 175,000 200,000 75,971 154,063 2,000,000 1,000,000 490,000 342,066 306,000 123,167 57,650 530,000 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2017 Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Central Expressway Dallas CBD Dallas CBD Far North Dallas Far North Dallas Far North Dallas Fort Worth CBD North Fort Worth Richardson/Plano Richardson/Plano Richardson/Plano Far North Dallas Far North Dallas Far North Dallas South Fort Worth Uptown/Turtle Creek Name Address JP Realty Portfolio 777 Main Street Infill Office Portfolio Spectrum Center Star Telegram/Oil & Gas Bldg Galleria N Tower II The Centrum 4455 LBJ Freeway 700 - 740 E Campbell Road Commerce Plaza Hillcrest Granite Tower Canal Centre Multiple 777 Main Street Multiple 5080 Spectrum Rd 307-309 W 7th St 13727 Noel Road 3102 Oak Lawn Ave 4455 LBJ Freeway 700 - 740 E Campbell Rd 12800- 12890 Hillcrest Rd 4055 Valley View Ln 400 E Las Colinas Blvd Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Size Seller Submarket 2,200,000 954,895 675,167 598,250 439,802 306,244 367,251 295,357 247,360 243,649 240,153 238,051 JP Realty Partners Cousins Undisclosed Granite Dr. Michael Malka Metzler Real Estate Undisclosed Undisclosed Skyrise UBS Undisclosed LaSalle Investment Multiple Fort Worth CBD Central Expressway Far North Dallas Fort Worth CBD Far North Dallas Uptown/Turtle Creek LBJ Freeway Richardson/Plano LBJ Freeway LBJ Freeway Las Colinas Name Price Price/SF Size Buyer Seller Submarket Galatyn Park Office Chesapeake Plaza Toll Hill Office Park The Plaza at Legacy One Hanover Park Lake Vista Pointe 1700 Pacific $134,723,064 $92,000,000 $19,250,000 $51,000,000 $34,000,000 $28,257,128 $120,000,000 $168.00 $244.40 $80.52 $237.00 $174.00 $173.00 $89.52 Spear Street Capital Hines Cawley Mgmt Hines PMRG Champion Partners Richardson/Plano 801,923 409,977 239,059 214,499 195,754 163,336 1,340,481 Chesapeake Energy Corp. Fort Worth CBD Cannon Commercial JP Morgan Cawley & Stockbridge Second City Capital Ptnrs Frontier Equity Olymbec Corp. Group Berkeley Investments LBJ Freeway Far North Dallas Far North Dallas Lewisville/Denton Dallas CBD Far North Dallas: 1. Leader in YTD Deliveries: 1,323,857 SF 2. Leader in Under Construction SF 1,673,550 SF lewisville/denton Far North Dallas Richardson/Plano Dallas CBD: 1. Leader in YTD Absorption: 820,627 SF north fort worth Preston Center: 1. Highest Average Quoted Rate: $32.77 2. Lowest Vacancy Rate: 7.8% las colinas LBJ Preston Central Expressway Center Richardson/Plano: 1. Second in Under Construction SF: 1,530,043 SF northeast fort worth Fort worth cbd mid-cities Uptown/Turtle Creek stemmons FWY CBD East Dallas south fort worth Matt Carthey Partner, Fort Worth Cullen Donohue Marketing Associate, Dallas southwest Dallas David Cason, Vice President, Fort Worth James Engels Marketing Analyst, Dallas Geoff Shelton, Marketing Director, Fort Worth Brittnye Schroeder Director of Promotional Marketing, Dallas Holden Lunsford, Marketing Director, Dallas Lori Vukovich Marketing Coordinator, Dallas Brittany Cusic Graphic Designer, Dallas www.Holtlunsford.com Dallas • 5055 Keller Springs, Suite 300 • Addison, TX 75001 • 972.241.8300 Fort Worth • 300 Throckmorton, Suite 550 • Fort Worth, TX 76102 • 817.710.1110 This information is deemed reliable, however Holt Lunsford Commercial makes no guarantees, warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof. Statistical Source: CoStar Analytics