Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its
Transcription
Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its
Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its Anticipated Benefits Abstract and the world is consuming about 85.5 million D.M. Upul Premarathne barrels a day. If this rate remained unchanged, the A cheap energy source is a must for a global oil reserves would run out in around 40 years. £Jk country's economic prosperity Sri Lanka But the annual demand for oil and gas is increasing 1 wias commenced exploring its petroleum day by day mainly due to a couple of immerging prospects in the Mannar Basin, Seismic data giant economies, India and China. These two reveals that the Mannar Basin is prospective in countries alone accommodate almost half of the terms of petroleum. Newly-approved Petroleum world's population. The International Energy Agency Resources Act has formulated the necessary legal predicts that the world's daily consumption of framework facilitating the private sector petroleum would have risen to 106 million barrels participation in the Sri Lankan petroleum industry. by 2030 (Hoyos & Bias, 2008). It means that The Petroleum Resource Agreement signed remaining oil reserves would last only about 30 between the Government of Sri Lanka and the years. Unless new reserves or a sound alternative International Oil Company regulates entire to petroleum is discovered, the world will be racing exploration operations in certain exploration blocks. towards a severe energy crisis by 2040. No alarm If the company is able to discover petroleum on a global energy crisis was foreseen until the turn deposits and develop an economically viable of the 3rd millennium, when the crude oil price was industry, the Sri Lankan Government will get royalty,as low as 20 US dollars a barrel. From 2002 to profit petroleum, income taxes and the income of July of 2008, the price of crude oil has raised more a National Oil Company. The industry will create a than seven fold up to 147 US dollars a barrel (Figure lot ofjob opportunities and a huge economic boom 1). Not only developing counties like ours, but also in the country. Lack of a Workstation, Data Storage super giant economies like the United States of Facility and consultants are some of the challenges America, Japan and Germany have been severely faced by the industry. Non- affordability of seismic affected by the elevated oil price. Our condition is data creates poor response and low competition far worse due to the fact that Sri Lanka is not an oilduring licensing rounds. Cauvery Basin is more producing country and the entire national demand prospective and financially less risky compared to for petroleum is met by cruda oil imports. From the Mannar Basin. Exploration has to be extended 2002 to 2007, Sri Lankan oil bill has raised three to other prospective areas, particularly to southern fold (Figure 2). In 2007, the Government of Sri and eastern offshore areas. Chances of finding Lanka spent about 2.5 billion US dollars on prospects within the country are slim. petroleum importation, which is about 8 % of that year's gross domestic product (GDP). This colossal amount of wealth being flown out of the country Introduction exert a sever pressure on Sri Lanka's balance of A cheap energy source is vital for a country's payments and the exchange rates. As a result, Sri economic prosperity. From the early years of the Lanka has never been more hopeful than these last century, global economy became more and days for exploring its own petroleum reserves. Petroleum Resources Division, Economic Research Department, Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Figure 2 Oil bill of Sri Lanka from 2002 to 2007 Petroleum import cost (USS million) 2m; a»3 a«x jms 2006 3007 Source: Central Bank ol Sri Lanka (2007) History of Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka History of petroleum exploration in Sri Lanka goes back to 1957. This early exploration effort targeted the Cauvery Basin, which is located between north western Sri Lanka and the eastern Indian coastline (Figure 3). Maritime boundary between India and Sri Lanka divides the basin into two halves. Indian sector of the Cauvery Basin is referred to as the Indian Cauvery Basin while the Sri Lankan Sector of the Cauvery basin is referred to as the Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin. Detailed geophysical surveys to locate petroleum deposits in the Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin were undertaken during 1967 1970 period by a French company and the Soviets. In 1974, the Soviets drilled Pesalai-1 exploration well in the Mannar Island located in the Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin. Encouraged by gas shows in the well, another two exploration wells, Pesalai-2 and Pesalai-3, were drilled more dependent on petroleum inclose proximity to the Figure 1 Price variation of a crude oil barrel (Brent) from February 2002 to August 2008 products such as gasoline, diesel, kerosene, etc. Now petroleum has become such an USS first well. But no commercially viable p e t r o l e u m indispensable energy source 160 accumulations were and it is difficult to imagine a _ 140 found. Geochemical world without it. Even though | 120 alternatives like hydrogen and § 100 ethanol have come to the arena, S analysis preformed on core samples recovered 80 from scientists are yet to discover a more cost effective and ecotriendly alternative to petroleum. Entire proven petroleum reserves in the world are approximately 1.2 trillion barrels these wells confirmed existence of 40 petroleum 20 in trace amounts, which was 0 — 1 %?$ 2 2 ° o Source: Central Bank ol Sri Lanka (2008) Economic Review: December 2008 — I ? i if r8 H8 8I Ii t E £ S S W very encouraging. Later f ! four more exploration wells, namely Pearl-1, Delft-1, Perdo-1 and PalkBay-1 (Figure 3) were seismic survey. TGS-NOPEC undertook another held at Florence in Italy in May 2002. Seismic drilled by several consortium companies without a 4500-kilometre more detailed 2D seismic survey sections show that the Mannar Basin has success. Petroleum exploration, which was in 2005. The second survey had 49 lines with necessary geological structures like anticlines and relinquished in 1984, remained dormant for more about 8-kilometre line spacing. However, any faults necessary for petroleum accumulation. The than nearly a quarter of a century until 2001. petroleum deposit located in between any adjacent only exploration well in the Mannar Basin was seismic lines was not detected. Exploration Resumption of Petroleum Exploration At the turn of the 3rd millennium, Sri Lanka resumed exploration by signing a contract with a Norwegian Geophysical Company, namely TGS-NOPEC for exploration of petroleum on cost recovery basis in offshore area under the Sri Lankan jurisdiction. TGS-NOPEC started exploration activities in the Sri Lankan Mannar Basin (Figure 3), which extends over 33,714 geologists wondered as to why TGS-NOPEC prioritised the Manner Basin leaving behind more prospective Cauvery Basin. The agreement between the TGS-NOPEC and the Sri Lankan Government was supposed to last until 2012. However, it was abrogated by the Sri Lankan Government in 2006. Pearl-1 (Figure 3), which was drilled in 1984 in the northern most realm of the basin. It penetrated the rocks of the Mannar Basin up to 3,050 m depth. The stratigraphic section of the well reveals to have rocks capable of accumulating petroleum. Other than that, the Mannar Basin is devoid of evidence to accurately assess the petroleum potential. The water depth of the Mannar Basin ranges from 50m Petroleum Potential of the Cauvery and to 3,000 m (Baillie et al., 2002). Exploration Mannar Basins operations in this sort of water depths are relatively square kilometres. Like in the case of the costly. Hence, the exploration in the Mannar Basin Cauvery Basin, the Mannar Basin is also shared Mannar Basin is the southern extension of the is extremely risky in terms of investment. However, between India and Sri Lanka. Cauvery Basin, which is located in western modern exploration techniques are capable of Figure 3 Location of the Cauvery and the Mannar Basins delivering goods in this sort of a risky domain if exploration is managed and coordinated prudently. On the contrary, the Cauvery Basin is more prospective mainly due to the fact that India is producing oil and natural gas from their side of the basin. Solid circles on top centre of Figure 3 show the location of oil deposits. Therefore, the basin is promising for both oil and gas. Geology of the Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin is better known compared to the Mannar Basin due to the exploration wells drilled previously in the 1970s and the early 1980s. Water depth of the basin is around 10 metres. Therefore, exploration operations are easy and cheap compared to the Mannar Basin. Rocks in the Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin display excellent reservoir and source characteristics. In other words, it has rocks capable of producing as well as accumulating commercial qualities of petroleum (Cantwell et al.. 1978). Legal Framework In 2003, the Sri Lankan Government approved in the Parliament, the Petroleum Resources Act No. 26 of 2003. The new Act has the necessary legal Kilometres framework to facilitate private sector participation, Note: Solid circles on top centre are the oil reservoirs discovered in the Indian Cauvery Basm Source: Modified alter PRDS both foreign and local, in petroleum exploration in offshore areas under the Sri Lankan jurisdiction. The Ministry of Petroleum Resources Development The most powerful tool in detecting petroleum offshore of the country (Figure 3). Based on the deposits in an area is the seismic technology. interpretation of seismic and gravity data, TGS- has come into existence with the new Act. TGS-NOPEC acquired 1050-kilometre two- NOPEC disclosed that the Mannar Basin has Petroleum Resources Development Committee dimensional (2D) marine seismic data in 7 lines petroleum deposits for an economically viable (PRDC) has been established to make policy under the first phase of exploration. This seismic industry. Baillie and his co-workers have decision in petroleum industry in Sri Lanka. survey is more like a reconnaissance survey as published these findings as a research paper at Secretary to the ministry of Petroleum Resources adjacent lines are approximately 75 kilometres the 64" conference and exhibition of European Development becomes the chairman of PRDC apart. Encouraged by the interpretation of the first Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE) ex-ollicio. Other members of the PRDC are 10 Economic Review: December 2008 secretaries to the ministries of Power and Energy. Benefits Finance, Environment, Natural Resources. Ocean of Sri Lanka, consequently they need to pay taxes for its share of Cost and Profit Petroleum. These Resources, Fisheries and Defense. Chairman of Numerous direct and indirect socioeconomic the Board of Investment (BOI), two nominees from benefits will come to Sri Lanka through petroleum the ministries of Policy Development and industry. Terms and conditions in the Petroleum A National Oil Company (NOC) will be formed, Implementation and Petroleum Resources Resource Agreement is in such a way that the and participating interest of NOC is a biddable Development also become members of PRDC. country could harness maximum benefits of the criterion. International oil companies have to stipulate industry. Petroleum Resource Act to carry out and regulate all activities related to petroleum industry in Sri Lanka. PRDS also has to assist the PRDC in making policy decisions and is bound by the law to Cairn has to commence exploration activities within six months from the date of Exploration License that was awarded to them in October 2008. First and foremost, they will probably acquire 5000 km 2D marine seismic data in the block No. 2. All data acquired by the company are a property of the Sri abide by and execute the policy decisions taken Lankan Government. However, the company is by the committee. maximum participation interest for NOC in their bids. The minimum participation interest must be 10 Petroleum Resources Development Secretariat (PRDS) was established and enforced by the taxes are not on profit basis, but on revenue basis. percent (Notice Inviting Offers of the Mannar Basin Licensing Round, 2007). At the request of the Government, it can form a consortium company with NOC so that it is entitled to a profit s h a r e d u f t to the participating interest out of Profit Petroleum share of the consortium. NOC also has to pay taxes to the government. allowed to retain a copy of the data for exploration purposes. First Licensing Round The International oil company is not allowed to In case of a discovery of hydrocarbon deposits for export its share of Profit and Cost Petroleum until The Mannar Basin was divided into eight exploration an economically viable industry, the company has Sri Lanka becomes self sufficient in petroleum. In blocks. The Sri Lankan Government has decided to develop it into a producing field. Soon after other wards, its share of Cost and Profit Petroleum to allocate blocks 1 and 8 to Indian and Chinese production starts, the company will have to pay the has to be sold in the local market until Sri Lanka could meet its national demand for petroleum. Governments respectively on unsolicited basis. Sri Lankan Government a production bonus that is Cairn India (Private) Limited won the bid for the also a bid evaluating criterion, and therefore, its block No. 2, that is denoted as SL 2007-01-001. value may change from contractor to contractor. The block 2 covers 3,338 square kilometres in Contractor has to prioritise Sri Lankan nationals during their recruitments. Anecessary training should water depths of 200 metres to 1,800 metres. July The Government is entitled to a ten percent (10%) be given to them and the cost of such training has 07*" of 2008 is an important landmark in the history of petroleum production as royalty and the company to be borne by the company. Machinery used in of local petroleum industry. On this day, Cairn Lanka is entitled to maximum 70 percent of petroleum exploration activities has to be purchased from Sri (Private) Limited, which is a wholly-owned produced for recovering the cost of exploration and Lanka. Only if they are not available in the country, subsidiary of Cairn India (Private) limited, and the development (Notice Inviting Offers of the Mannar the company would be allowed to import them. Government of Sri Lanka entered into a Petroleum Resources Agreement, which is a product sharing type of a contract. Provisions in this agreement regulate all activities relating to the petroleum exploration, development and production in the block Basin Licensing Round, 2007). The quantity of petroleum allocated for cost recovery of the company is referred to as Cost Petroleum. The after the two parties entered into the agreement, Cairn offered the Sri Lankan Government a Signature Bonus worth of one million US dollars. be in accordance with internationally-accepted amount of petroleum left after Royalty and Cost modern oil/gas field and petroleum industry Petroleum is referred to as Profit Petroleum. Profit Petroleum is the profit of both Government and the No. 2 by Cairn Lanka (Private) Limited. Shortly All exploration activities by the company have to company from petroleum production. The Government share of Profit Petroleum is decided by the Investment Multiple, which is obtained by practices. The company has to take necessary steps to mitigate environmental damage. If the company decided to relinquish exploration activities at the end of any exploration phase, or after in dividing the annual net cash income of the company production for several years, the company has to Objective of the bonus was to set off the expenditure by its total exploration and development cost. In restore the site and decommission all equipment incurred by the Government for holding the licensing the early years of production, the Government share used for exploration, development and production round with road shows that were held at London, of Profit Petroleum is relatively low, because the to minimise environmental damage. Apart from all Houston and Kuala Lumpur. The Signature Bonus Investment Multiple is a low value due to the these remedial measures, an Environmental Fund is not obligatory. It is a bid evaluating criterion; company's large amount of investment on is established and the company has to allocate a therefore its value may change from contractor to exploration and development of the field. The fixed amount to the fund annually. The value of contractor. Investment Multiple increases with gradual fixed amount will vary in exploration, development recovery of the company's exploration and and production periods. Environmental Fund will Exploration period is eight years, which is divided into three exploration phases. During the first exploration phase, Cairn will acquire 5000 kilometer development cost, a n d consequently the government share of Profit Petroleum rises. Rate of profits share against a certain range of value of Investment Multiple is a biddable criterion, Hence, two dimensional (2D), 1000 square kilometer three be utilised by the Government to facilitate and promote Environmental Research in Sri Lanka. However, Royalty, Signature Bonus, Production Bonus and Environmental F u n d are cost Government profit share may vary from contract to dimensional (3D) seismic data and drill three at a rate of 100 percent. exploration wells. Economic Review: December recoverable and are recovered from cost petroleum contract. Contractor is subjected to fiscal legislations 2008 Issues Needed to be Addressed seismic sections from the Mannar Basin. It prevents price of the world market. Current low oil price is any prospective bidder from knowing the petroleum detnmental to the future of petroleum exploration in One ot the biggest issues in the industry at the potential of the Mannar Basin. Without demonstrating Sri Lanka. If petroleum is discovered from the moment is the lack of technically-qualified people in the petroleum potential of the basin, it would be Manna Basin, it will bring a lot of economic benefits the country. A strategic plan has to be implemented difficuft to attract bidders for future licensing rounds. to Sri Lanka. However, several important decisions to get the assistance and consultancy of Sri Lankan Hence, it is very important to establish in the country are yet to be made to maximise the benefits. If expatriates employed in overseas petroleum a workstatiqn having seismic data interpretation Cairn Lanka is able to discover petroleum deposit industries. On the other hand, hiring foreign facilities before the second licensing round. for an economically viable industry during next consultants is extremely costly. It is essential to lay the foundation for producing resource persons required for the industry within the country. Hence, courses like Petroleum Geology, Seismic Data Acquisition and Processing, Seismic Data Interpretation, Petrophysics, Basin Analysis, Reservoir Geology, Drilling Engineering and Petroleum Economics have to be introduced to the academic curriculum of local universities. None of the local universities offers these courses at the moment. Firstly, academic entities in local three years, commercial production could be started Already acquired seismic data should be made available to interested exploration companies at a reasonable price. Current price of the seismic data Seismic data is the most important requirement to know the petroleum potential of any prospective basin. One of the main reasons for the lack of response and competition received for the first Technology in the Ruhuna University are the most suitable contenders. Funding has to be allocated to these institutions to purchase necessary infrastructure facilities such as computers and computer software, laboratory instruments, etc. PRDS has to make seismic data available to these aflordability of the seismic data. Petroleum exploration of the Cauvery Basin has to survey will help identify accumulation of commercial petroleum deposits in the basin. Line spacing of such a survey should be not more than 2 kilometres. is difficult to anticipate medium or large-scale petroleum deposits. Several scattered small-scale barrels) that may be trapped using high-deviation Mannar Basin. It will help developing interpretation well from a single offshore platlorm are more likely skills as well as familiarising the geology of the (Premarathne,2008). Mannar Basin. Geology of Sri Lanka reveals that there are other in a storage facility in Australia. Obtaining the service of such a foreign storage facility almost on the other side of the globe is very cosily. Hence, any interested party has to bear an additional cost prospective areas, other than the Cauvery and the Mannar Basins in the island's coastal belt. It is very important to identify such areas using gravity and magnetic data and extend exploration activities to them. Chances are slim for finding petroleum within the country. Therefore, it is futile to carryout out petroleum exploration within the country. including Ihe postage to get a copy ot the seismic data. More over, it delays the delivery of data to the procedure. Expansion of exploration activities gathers more and more seismic data. It is very alternative to petroleum are discovered, there will important to establish a suitable data storage facility be a global energy cnsis by 2040. Therefore, looking in Sri Lanka with immediate effect. The storage for petroleum deposits in Sri Lankan offshore is a facility should have a well-controlled environment must. Among the two basins, the Cauvery Basin conductive for prolong safety of the seismic data. is more promising in hydrocarbon. There are other offshore areas around the country's coastal belt party does not have 12 an opportunity to look at the Bailhe, P.W., Shaw, R.D., Liyanaarachchi. D.T.P. and Jayaratne, M.G. (2002). A New Mesozoic Sedimentary Basin. Offshore Sn Lanka. EAGE 64th Conference & Exhibition, Florence, Italy Cantwell, T , Brown, T.E. and Mathews. D. G. (1978). Petroleum Geology of Ihe Northwest Oflshore Area of Sn Lanka, Proc. South Asian Petroleum Society Session. C. Hoyos and J. Bias (2008). World will struggle to meel oil demand. URL: htlp://www.lt.com/cms/s/0/e5e78778-a53f-11ddb4f5-000077b07658.html Model Petroleum Resources Agreement (2007), Petroleum Resources Development Secretariat, Ministry of Petroleum Resources Development. Sri Lanka. Notice Inviting Offers for the Exploration and Production of Oil and Natural Gas under the Mannar Basin Licence Round (SL 2007-01), Ministry of Petroleum Resources Development, Sri Lanka. Premaralhne, D.M U.A.K. (2008). Petroleum Potential of Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin. Proceedings of 24lh Annual Sessions, Geological Society of Sn Lanka, Sn Lanka. pp7 Contact Information of Author Unless new petroleum reserves or a successful seismic data. Any interested local or international Annual Report of the Monetary Board to the Hon. Minister ol Finance (2007). Central Bank ol Sn Lanka Conclusions interested party due to an additional administrative There is no workstation in the country to interpret References According to the Geology of the Cauvery Basin, it a first hand look at the seismic sections from the data acquired by TGS-NOPEC is currently lying for furnishing the graphs are gratefully be launched without a delay. A detailed seismic oil and gas deposits (probably less than 100 million raw seismic data is also a huge issue. The seismic Department, Mr. K.D. Ranasinghe for his support in preparing this article and Miss E.H. Liyanage acknowledged. institutions so that the undergraduates would have Absence of a proper facility to store field tapes of Additional Director of the Economic Research licensing round may be ascribed to this non these courses, have to be identified. Geology the Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences and Acknowledgement acquired by the TGS-NOPEC is not reasonable. universities, which are more suitable for offering Department in the University of Peradeniya and probably by 2018. having high petroleum potential to which exploration has to be extended. Petroleum exploration in the Upul Premarathne 402 Hokandara South, Hokandara Sri Lanka Tele: 071 6825617 (Mob) 0112 563 676 (Res) 0112 398604 (Office) Fax: 0112 477712 E-mail: premaratevahno m m Mannar Basin is strongly dependant on crude oil Economic Review: December 2008