Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its

Transcription

Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its
Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka and its
Anticipated Benefits
Abstract
and the world is consuming about 85.5 million
D.M. Upul Premarathne
barrels a day. If this rate remained unchanged, the
A cheap energy source is a must for a global oil reserves would run out in around 40 years.
£Jk country's economic prosperity Sri Lanka But the annual demand for oil and gas is increasing
1
wias commenced exploring its petroleum day by day mainly due to a couple of immerging
prospects in the Mannar Basin, Seismic data giant economies, India and China. These two
reveals that the Mannar Basin is prospective in countries alone accommodate almost half of the
terms of petroleum. Newly-approved Petroleum world's population. The International Energy Agency
Resources Act has formulated the necessary legal predicts that the world's daily consumption of
framework facilitating the private sector petroleum would have risen to 106 million barrels
participation in the Sri Lankan petroleum industry. by 2030 (Hoyos & Bias, 2008). It means that
The Petroleum Resource Agreement signed remaining oil reserves would last only about 30
between the Government of Sri Lanka and the years. Unless new reserves or a sound alternative
International Oil Company regulates entire to petroleum is discovered, the world will be racing
exploration operations in certain exploration blocks. towards a severe energy crisis by 2040. No alarm
If the company is able to discover petroleum on a global energy crisis was foreseen until the turn
deposits and develop an economically viable of the 3rd millennium, when the crude oil price was
industry, the Sri Lankan Government will get royalty,as low as 20 US dollars a barrel. From 2002 to
profit petroleum, income taxes and the income of July of 2008, the price of crude oil has raised more
a National Oil Company. The industry will create a than seven fold up to 147 US dollars a barrel (Figure
lot ofjob opportunities and a huge economic boom 1). Not only developing counties like ours, but also
in the country. Lack of a Workstation, Data Storage super giant economies like the United States of
Facility and consultants are some of the challenges America, Japan and Germany have been severely
faced by the industry. Non- affordability of seismic affected by the elevated oil price. Our condition is
data creates poor response and low competition far worse due to the fact that Sri Lanka is not an oilduring licensing rounds. Cauvery Basin is more producing country and the entire national demand
prospective and financially less risky compared to for petroleum is met by cruda oil imports. From
the Mannar Basin. Exploration has to be extended 2002 to 2007, Sri Lankan oil bill has raised three
to other prospective areas, particularly to southern fold (Figure 2). In 2007, the Government of Sri
and eastern offshore areas. Chances of finding Lanka spent about 2.5 billion US dollars on
prospects within the country are slim.
petroleum importation, which is about 8 % of that
year's gross domestic product (GDP). This colossal
amount of wealth being flown out of the country
Introduction
exert a sever pressure on Sri Lanka's balance of
A cheap energy source is vital for a country's
payments and the exchange rates. As a result, Sri
economic prosperity. From the early years of the
Lanka has never been more hopeful than these
last century, global economy became more and
days for exploring its own petroleum reserves.
Petroleum Resources Division,
Economic Research Department,
Central Bank of Sri Lanka.
Figure 2
Oil bill of Sri Lanka from 2002 to 2007
Petroleum import cost (USS million)
2m;
a»3
a«x
jms
2006
3007
Source: Central Bank ol Sri Lanka (2007)
History of Petroleum Exploration in Sri Lanka
History of petroleum exploration in Sri Lanka goes
back to 1957. This early exploration effort targeted
the Cauvery Basin, which is located between north­
western Sri Lanka and the eastern Indian coastline
(Figure 3). Maritime boundary between India and
Sri Lanka divides the basin into two halves. Indian
sector of the Cauvery Basin is referred to as the
Indian Cauvery Basin while the Sri Lankan Sector
of the Cauvery basin is referred to as the Sri Lankan
Cauvery Basin. Detailed geophysical surveys to
locate petroleum deposits in the Sri Lankan
Cauvery Basin were undertaken during 1967 1970 period by a French company and the Soviets.
In 1974, the Soviets drilled Pesalai-1 exploration
well in the Mannar Island located in the Sri Lankan
Cauvery Basin. Encouraged by gas shows in the
well, another two exploration wells, Pesalai-2 and
Pesalai-3, were drilled
more dependent on petroleum
inclose proximity to the
Figure 1
Price variation of a crude oil barrel (Brent) from February 2002 to August 2008
products such as gasoline,
diesel, kerosene, etc. Now
petroleum has become such an
USS
first
well.
But
no
commercially viable
p e t r o l e u m
indispensable energy source
160
accumulations were
and it is difficult to imagine a
_ 140
found. Geochemical
world without it. Even though
|
120
alternatives like hydrogen and
§
100
ethanol have come to the arena,
S
analysis preformed on
core samples recovered
80
from
scientists are yet to discover a
more cost effective and ecotriendly alternative to petroleum.
Entire proven
petroleum
reserves in the world are
approximately 1.2 trillion barrels
these
wells
confirmed existence of
40
petroleum
20
in trace
amounts, which was
0 —
1 %?$
2
2
°
o
Source: Central Bank ol Sri Lanka (2008)
Economic Review: December 2008
—
I ? i if r8 H8 8I Ii t
E
£
S
S
W
very encouraging. Later
f !
four more exploration
wells, namely Pearl-1,
Delft-1, Perdo-1 and PalkBay-1 (Figure 3) were
seismic survey. TGS-NOPEC undertook another
held at Florence in Italy in May 2002. Seismic
drilled by several consortium companies without a
4500-kilometre more detailed 2D seismic survey
sections show that the Mannar Basin has
success. Petroleum exploration, which was
in 2005. The second survey had 49 lines with
necessary geological structures like anticlines and
relinquished in 1984, remained dormant for more
about 8-kilometre line spacing. However, any
faults necessary for petroleum accumulation. The
than nearly a quarter of a century until 2001.
petroleum deposit located in between any adjacent
only exploration well in the Mannar Basin was
seismic lines was not detected. Exploration
Resumption of Petroleum Exploration
At the turn of the 3rd millennium, Sri Lanka
resumed exploration by signing a contract with
a Norwegian Geophysical Company, namely
TGS-NOPEC for exploration of petroleum on
cost recovery basis in offshore area under the
Sri Lankan jurisdiction. TGS-NOPEC started
exploration activities in the Sri Lankan Mannar
Basin (Figure 3), which extends over 33,714
geologists wondered as to why TGS-NOPEC
prioritised the Manner Basin leaving behind more
prospective Cauvery Basin. The agreement
between the TGS-NOPEC and the Sri Lankan
Government was supposed to last until 2012.
However, it was abrogated by the Sri Lankan
Government in 2006.
Pearl-1 (Figure 3), which was drilled in 1984 in the
northern most realm of the basin. It penetrated the
rocks of the Mannar Basin up to 3,050 m depth.
The stratigraphic section of the well reveals to have
rocks capable of accumulating petroleum. Other
than that, the Mannar Basin is devoid of evidence
to accurately assess the petroleum potential. The
water depth of the Mannar Basin ranges from 50m
Petroleum Potential of the Cauvery and
to 3,000 m (Baillie et al., 2002). Exploration
Mannar Basins
operations in this sort of water depths are relatively
square kilometres. Like in the case of the
costly. Hence, the exploration in the Mannar Basin
Cauvery Basin, the Mannar Basin is also shared
Mannar Basin is the southern extension of the
is extremely risky in terms of investment. However,
between India and Sri Lanka.
Cauvery Basin, which is located in western
modern exploration techniques are capable of
Figure 3
Location of the Cauvery and the Mannar Basins
delivering goods in this sort of a risky domain if
exploration is managed and coordinated prudently.
On the contrary, the Cauvery Basin is more
prospective mainly due to the fact that India is
producing oil and natural gas from their side of the
basin. Solid circles on top centre of Figure 3 show
the location of oil deposits. Therefore, the basin is
promising for both oil and gas. Geology of the Sri
Lankan Cauvery Basin is better known compared
to the Mannar Basin due to the exploration wells
drilled previously in the 1970s and the early 1980s.
Water depth of the basin is around 10 metres.
Therefore, exploration operations are easy and cheap
compared to the Mannar Basin. Rocks in the Sri
Lankan Cauvery Basin display excellent reservoir
and source characteristics. In other words, it has
rocks capable of producing as well as accumulating
commercial qualities of petroleum (Cantwell et al..
1978).
Legal Framework
In 2003, the Sri Lankan Government approved in
the Parliament, the Petroleum Resources Act No.
26 of 2003. The new Act has the necessary legal
Kilometres
framework to facilitate private sector participation,
Note: Solid circles on top centre are the oil reservoirs discovered in the Indian Cauvery Basm
Source: Modified alter PRDS
both foreign and local, in petroleum exploration in
offshore areas under the Sri Lankan jurisdiction.
The Ministry of Petroleum Resources Development
The most powerful tool in detecting petroleum
offshore of the country (Figure 3). Based on the
deposits in an area is the seismic technology.
interpretation of seismic and gravity data, TGS-
has come into existence with the new Act.
TGS-NOPEC acquired 1050-kilometre two-
NOPEC disclosed that the Mannar Basin has
Petroleum Resources Development Committee
dimensional (2D) marine seismic data in 7 lines
petroleum deposits for an economically viable
(PRDC) has been established to make policy
under the first phase of exploration. This seismic
industry. Baillie and his co-workers have
decision in petroleum industry in Sri Lanka.
survey is more like a reconnaissance survey as
published these findings as a research paper at
Secretary to the ministry of Petroleum Resources
adjacent lines are approximately 75 kilometres
the 64" conference and exhibition of European
Development becomes the chairman of PRDC
apart. Encouraged by the interpretation of the first
Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)
ex-ollicio. Other members of the PRDC are
10
Economic Review: December 2008
secretaries to the ministries of Power and Energy.
Benefits
Finance, Environment, Natural Resources. Ocean
of Sri Lanka, consequently they need to pay taxes
for its share of Cost and Profit Petroleum. These
Resources, Fisheries and Defense. Chairman of
Numerous direct and indirect socioeconomic
the Board of Investment (BOI), two nominees from
benefits will come to Sri Lanka through petroleum
the ministries of Policy Development and
industry. Terms and conditions in the Petroleum
A National Oil Company (NOC) will be formed,
Implementation and Petroleum Resources
Resource Agreement is in such a way that the
and participating interest of NOC is a biddable
Development also become members of PRDC.
country could harness maximum benefits of the
criterion. International oil companies have to stipulate
industry.
Petroleum Resource Act to carry out and regulate
all activities related to petroleum industry in Sri
Lanka. PRDS also has to assist the PRDC in
making policy decisions and is bound by the law to
Cairn has to commence exploration activities within
six months from the date of Exploration License
that was awarded to them in October 2008. First
and foremost, they will probably acquire 5000 km
2D marine seismic data in the block No. 2. All data
acquired by the company are a property of the Sri
abide by and execute the policy decisions taken
Lankan Government. However, the company is
by the committee.
maximum participation interest for NOC in their
bids. The minimum participation interest must be 10
Petroleum Resources Development Secretariat
(PRDS) was established and enforced by the
taxes are not on profit basis, but on revenue basis.
percent (Notice Inviting Offers of the Mannar Basin
Licensing Round, 2007). At the request of the
Government, it can form a consortium company
with NOC so that it is entitled to a profit s h a r e d u f t
to the participating interest out of Profit Petroleum
share of the consortium. NOC also has to pay
taxes to the government.
allowed to retain a copy of the data for exploration
purposes.
First Licensing Round
The International oil company is not allowed to
In case of a discovery of hydrocarbon deposits for
export its share of Profit and Cost Petroleum until
The Mannar Basin was divided into eight exploration
an economically viable industry, the company has
Sri Lanka becomes self sufficient in petroleum. In
blocks. The Sri Lankan Government has decided
to develop it into a producing field. Soon after
other wards, its share of Cost and Profit Petroleum
to allocate blocks 1 and 8 to Indian and Chinese
production starts, the company will have to pay the
has to be sold in the local market until Sri Lanka
could meet its national demand for petroleum.
Governments respectively on unsolicited basis.
Sri Lankan Government a production bonus that is
Cairn India (Private) Limited won the bid for the
also a bid evaluating criterion, and therefore, its
block No. 2, that is denoted as SL 2007-01-001.
value may change from contractor to contractor.
The block 2 covers 3,338 square kilometres in
Contractor has to prioritise Sri Lankan nationals
during their recruitments. Anecessary training should
water depths of 200 metres to 1,800 metres. July
The Government is entitled to a ten percent (10%)
be given to them and the cost of such training has
07*" of 2008 is an important landmark in the history
of petroleum production as royalty and the company
to be borne by the company. Machinery used in
of local petroleum industry. On this day, Cairn Lanka
is entitled to maximum 70 percent of petroleum
exploration activities has to be purchased from Sri
(Private) Limited, which is a wholly-owned
produced for recovering the cost of exploration and
Lanka. Only if they are not available in the country,
subsidiary of Cairn India (Private) limited, and the
development (Notice Inviting Offers of the Mannar
the company would be allowed to import them.
Government of Sri Lanka entered into a Petroleum
Resources Agreement, which is a product sharing
type of a contract. Provisions in this agreement
regulate all activities relating to the petroleum
exploration, development and production in the block
Basin Licensing Round, 2007). The quantity of
petroleum allocated for cost recovery of the
company is referred to as Cost Petroleum. The
after the two parties entered into the agreement,
Cairn offered the Sri Lankan Government a
Signature Bonus worth of one million US dollars.
be in accordance with internationally-accepted
amount of petroleum left after Royalty and Cost
modern oil/gas field and petroleum industry
Petroleum is referred to as Profit Petroleum. Profit
Petroleum is the profit of both Government and the
No. 2 by Cairn Lanka (Private) Limited. Shortly
All exploration activities by the company have to
company from petroleum production. The
Government share of Profit Petroleum is decided
by the Investment Multiple, which is obtained by
practices. The company has to take necessary
steps to mitigate environmental damage. If the
company decided to relinquish exploration activities
at the end of any exploration phase, or after in
dividing the annual net cash income of the company
production for several years, the company has to
Objective of the bonus was to set off the expenditure
by its total exploration and development cost. In
restore the site and decommission all equipment
incurred by the Government for holding the licensing
the early years of production, the Government share
used for exploration, development and production
round with road shows that were held at London,
of Profit Petroleum is relatively low, because the
to minimise environmental damage. Apart from all
Houston and Kuala Lumpur. The Signature Bonus
Investment Multiple is a low value due to the
these remedial measures, an Environmental Fund
is not obligatory. It is a bid evaluating criterion;
company's large amount of investment on
is established and the company has to allocate a
therefore its value may change from contractor to
exploration and development of the field. The
fixed amount to the fund annually. The value of
contractor.
Investment Multiple increases with gradual
fixed amount will vary in exploration, development
recovery of the company's exploration and
and production periods. Environmental Fund will
Exploration period is eight years, which is divided
into three exploration phases. During the first
exploration phase, Cairn will acquire 5000 kilometer
development cost, a n d consequently the
government share of Profit Petroleum rises. Rate
of profits share against a certain range of value of
Investment Multiple is a biddable criterion, Hence,
two dimensional (2D), 1000 square kilometer three
be utilised by the Government to facilitate and
promote Environmental Research in Sri Lanka.
However, Royalty, Signature Bonus, Production
Bonus and Environmental F u n d are cost
Government profit share may vary from contract to
dimensional (3D) seismic data and drill three
at a rate of 100 percent.
exploration wells.
Economic Review: December
recoverable and are recovered from cost petroleum
contract. Contractor is subjected to fiscal legislations
2008
Issues Needed to be Addressed
seismic sections from the Mannar Basin. It prevents
price of the world market. Current low oil price is
any prospective bidder from knowing the petroleum
detnmental to the future of petroleum exploration in
One ot the biggest issues in the industry at the
potential of the Mannar Basin. Without demonstrating
Sri Lanka. If petroleum is discovered from the
moment is the lack of technically-qualified people in
the petroleum potential of the basin, it would be
Manna Basin, it will bring a lot of economic benefits
the country. A strategic plan has to be implemented
difficuft to attract bidders for future licensing rounds.
to Sri Lanka. However, several important decisions
to get the assistance and consultancy of Sri Lankan
Hence, it is very important to establish in the country
are yet to be made to maximise the benefits. If
expatriates employed in overseas petroleum
a workstatiqn having seismic data interpretation
Cairn Lanka is able to discover petroleum deposit
industries. On the other hand, hiring foreign
facilities before the second licensing round.
for an economically viable industry during next
consultants is extremely costly. It is essential to
lay the foundation for producing resource persons
required for the industry within the country. Hence,
courses like Petroleum Geology, Seismic Data
Acquisition and Processing, Seismic Data
Interpretation, Petrophysics, Basin Analysis,
Reservoir Geology, Drilling Engineering and
Petroleum Economics have to be introduced to the
academic curriculum of local universities. None of
the local universities offers these courses at the
moment. Firstly, academic entities in local
three years, commercial production could be started
Already acquired seismic data should be made
available to interested exploration companies at a
reasonable price. Current price of the seismic data
Seismic data is the most important requirement to
know the petroleum potential of any prospective
basin. One of the main reasons for the lack of
response and competition received for the first
Technology in the Ruhuna University are the most
suitable contenders. Funding has to be allocated to
these institutions to purchase necessary
infrastructure facilities such as computers and
computer software, laboratory instruments, etc.
PRDS has to make seismic data available to these
aflordability of the seismic data.
Petroleum exploration of the Cauvery Basin has to
survey will help identify accumulation of commercial
petroleum deposits in the basin. Line spacing of
such a survey should be not more than 2 kilometres.
is difficult to anticipate medium or large-scale
petroleum deposits. Several scattered small-scale
barrels) that may be trapped using high-deviation
Mannar Basin. It will help developing interpretation
well from a single offshore platlorm are more likely
skills as well as familiarising the geology of the
(Premarathne,2008).
Mannar Basin.
Geology of Sri Lanka reveals that there are other
in a storage facility in Australia. Obtaining the service
of such a foreign storage facility almost on the other
side of the globe is very cosily. Hence, any
interested party has to bear an additional cost
prospective areas, other than the Cauvery and the
Mannar Basins in the island's coastal belt. It is
very important to identify such areas using gravity
and magnetic data and extend exploration activities
to them. Chances are slim for finding petroleum
within the country. Therefore, it is futile to carryout
out petroleum exploration within the country.
including Ihe postage to get a copy ot the seismic
data. More over, it delays the delivery of data to the
procedure. Expansion of exploration activities
gathers more and more seismic data. It is very
alternative to petroleum are discovered, there will
important to establish a suitable data storage facility
be a global energy cnsis by 2040. Therefore, looking
in Sri Lanka with immediate effect. The storage
for petroleum deposits in Sri Lankan offshore is a
facility should have a well-controlled environment
must. Among the two basins, the Cauvery Basin
conductive for prolong safety of the seismic data.
is more promising in hydrocarbon. There are other
offshore areas around the country's coastal belt
party does not have
12
an opportunity to look at the
Bailhe, P.W., Shaw, R.D., Liyanaarachchi. D.T.P. and
Jayaratne, M.G. (2002). A New Mesozoic Sedimentary
Basin. Offshore Sn Lanka. EAGE 64th Conference &
Exhibition, Florence, Italy
Cantwell, T , Brown, T.E. and Mathews. D. G. (1978).
Petroleum Geology of Ihe Northwest Oflshore Area of
Sn Lanka, Proc. South Asian Petroleum Society Session.
C. Hoyos and J. Bias (2008). World will struggle to meel
oil demand.
URL: htlp://www.lt.com/cms/s/0/e5e78778-a53f-11ddb4f5-000077b07658.html
Model Petroleum Resources Agreement (2007),
Petroleum Resources Development Secretariat, Ministry
of Petroleum Resources Development. Sri Lanka.
Notice Inviting Offers for the Exploration and Production
of Oil and Natural Gas under the Mannar Basin Licence
Round (SL 2007-01), Ministry of Petroleum Resources
Development, Sri Lanka.
Premaralhne, D.M U.A.K. (2008). Petroleum Potential of
Sri Lankan Cauvery Basin. Proceedings of 24lh Annual
Sessions, Geological Society of Sn Lanka, Sn Lanka.
pp7
Contact Information of Author
Unless new petroleum reserves or a successful
seismic data. Any interested local or international
Annual Report of the Monetary Board to the Hon. Minister
ol Finance (2007). Central Bank ol Sn Lanka
Conclusions
interested party due to an additional administrative
There is no workstation in the country to interpret
References
According to the Geology of the Cauvery Basin, it
a first hand look at the seismic sections from the
data acquired by TGS-NOPEC is currently lying
for furnishing the graphs are gratefully
be launched without a delay. A detailed seismic
oil and gas deposits (probably less than 100 million
raw seismic data is also a huge issue. The seismic
Department, Mr. K.D. Ranasinghe for his support
in preparing this article and Miss E.H. Liyanage
acknowledged.
institutions so that the undergraduates would have
Absence of a proper facility to store field tapes of
Additional Director of the Economic Research
licensing round may be ascribed to this non
these courses, have to be identified. Geology
the Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences and
Acknowledgement
acquired by the TGS-NOPEC is not reasonable.
universities, which are more suitable for offering
Department in the University of Peradeniya and
probably by 2018.
having high petroleum potential to which exploration
has to be extended. Petroleum exploration in the
Upul Premarathne
402 Hokandara South,
Hokandara
Sri Lanka
Tele:
071 6825617 (Mob)
0112 563 676 (Res)
0112 398604 (Office)
Fax: 0112 477712
E-mail: premaratevahno m m
Mannar Basin is strongly dependant on crude oil
Economic
Review: December
2008