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Topics Risk Solutions Insurance solutions for industry Issue 4/2014 A winter’s tale Come snow or shine, you can protect your business profits with sophisticated weather hedging instruments. Page 4 Construction Project costs can be controlled Valuables Insuring a banknote’s journey Climate change Wanted: More energy efficiency EDITORIAL Dear Reader, When major natural catastrophes such as hurricanes or extensive flooding occur, the impact they have on economies and individual companies can be clearly seen in the figures. But even minor fluctuations in seasonal weather, although not ruinous, can significantly reduce corporate earnings. Weather derivatives are a young but finely tuned instrument which makes it possible to effectively smooth fluctuations in earnings. Since early 2014, our expanded unit, Munich Weather & Commodities Risk Advisors LLC, has offered intelligent weather hedging instruments worldwide. I hope you enjoy reading this issue of Topics Risk Solutions. Yours sincerely, Torsten Jeworrek Member of the Munich Re Board of Management and Chairman of the Reinsurance Committee NOT IF, BUT HOW Contents Springtime in winter January is traditionally peak season at European ski resorts like Kitzbühel. However, if it is too warm even for artificial snow, then financial losses are inevitable. Page 4 News2 iTWO Project Cost Insurance 3 risk management More than a fair-weather friend Hedging non-catastrophic weather-related risks with sophisticated instruments valuables Insuring a banknote’s journey An experienced underwriting team offers better solutions for cash in transit companies interview Money drives everything in energy Investing in renewable energy is the low-cost option, says Nobel Prize winner Steven Chu Imprint and preview 4 12 16 17 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 1 news MARINE Engineering cyber risks Costly wreck removals New floating bridge in Seattle Cybercoverage for small businesses The cruise vessel Costa Concordia, with a hull loss of some US$ 500m and a liability loss totalling at least US$ 1.5bn, proved to be the largest single marine loss in history. The world’s longest floating bridge is under construction in Seattle – and it is a masterpiece of engineering and logistics. In 2012, 29% of US small businesses suffered a cyber attack. Some 72% of them were subsequently unable to fully restore their computer data. The new bridge will not only be higher and substantially wider than the existing, over 50-year-old bridge. It will also have six lanes, cycle and pedestrian paths and, more importantly, it will be safer. It is to be a prestige project that pushes bridge construction to the limits of what is technically possible. HSB CyberOne™ coverage is a cyber risk insurance solution designed by Hartford Steam Boiler to help small businesses recover from damage to data and systems caused by a computer attack. This cyber threat protection also provides defence and liability coverage for third-party lawsuits alleging damage due to the insured inadequately securing its computer system. The escalating costs of wreck removal have been on Munich Re’s radar for some time as a distinct risk of change. In 2013, we passed on to the marine markets specific proposals concerning future insurability, both as regards the structure of reinsurance and with regard to the P&I insurers’ approach towards coastal states. >> M ore information at: www.munichre.com/en/schadenspiegel Munich Re, with its wealth of expertise, is involved in insuring the project. >> More information at: www.munichre.com/engineering >> M ore information at: www.munichre.com/HSB News in brief Follow us on social media For some time now, readers have been able to comment on Topics Online articles on our website. But you can also contact Munich Re on different social media platforms: we are on Twitter, Facebook, Google+, YouTube, LinkedIn and Xing. Why not follow us – and at the same time keep up with the topics that are being talked about in the insurance industry. Check out our extensive 2 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 range of interesting articles and fascinating videos. Or stay fully up to date with live tweets from company and industry events. >> twitter.com/munichre >> facebook.com/munichre >> youtube.com/user/munichrevideo >> linkedin.com/company/munich-re >> xing.com/companies/munichre >> plus.google. com/115897201513788995727 New cover for construction projects Keeping major construction projects on a time and cost schedule is one of the greatest challenges that owners, developers and investors must deal with. Major cost overruns from the past show that they do not always succeed. Each construction project is unique. There is no trial run. Many problems are only identified on the construction site, and solving them can be both costly and time-consuming. Until now, these unplanned cost increases in the construction phase of a project have been difficult to estimate and therefore uninsurable. Now, Munich Re, in collaboration with RIB Software, one of the leading technology providers of BIM 5D (building information modelling) and ERP solutions, has developed the world’s first IT-based insurance product for construction projects: iTWO Project Cost Insurance. The solution is based on the iTWO 5D technology developed by RIB, offering the facilities for computer-aided, model-oriented planning and building with integrated cost and time controls. This virtual planning, simulation and monitoring of a construction project makes it possible, for the first time ever, to provide insurance cover for additional cost in construction projects. Joint data pool gives planning security To simulate a construction project, the project members prepare all relevant project data and enter these into iTWO 5D in the planning phase. Material requirements, specifications, requests for quotes, schedules and costs are collected by the system and compared. The database-supported approach of ITWO 5D has eliminated interface problems. Using iTWO 5D, the project members immediately identify planning errors or gaps in information, and can already rectify these during the planning phase. Once data collection is complete, the construction process is simulated. If the simulation runs smoothly under the established preconditions, insurance cover is offered for the residual risk relating to the physical construction. Cover extends to the difference between the costs planned in the iTWO 5D simulation and the costs actually incurred by the owner for physical implementation of the construction project. >> M ore information at: www. http://www.munichre.com/en/media-relations/ publications/company-news/2014/2014-05-26-company-news/index.html rib-software.com Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 3 risk management Make profits weather-proof In a long list of industries, the business climate reflects the weather – even anticipated fluctuations can hit balance sheets hard. Munich Re has now expanded its weather risk management portfolio to include sophisticated hedging instruments. Weather has a substantial impact on business in wealthy industrialised economies. A recent study by the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) estimated the effect of routine weather on the US economy at 3.4% of GDP – or US$ 485bn (in 2008). Industries affected include not only those that come first to mind like energy and agriculture, but also sectors like travel, entertainment, construction and many more. While companies have long used insurance to manage the risk of catastrophic weather events, only recently has it become possible to hedge against weather fluctuations. Since weather derivatives were introduced in the 1990s, they have grown to become an important hedging instrument. Hedging non-catastrophic weather-related risks In contrast to insurance covers, financial hedging instruments are used to manage high-frequency, low-impact occurrences. A 10% deviation from average weather patterns in a winter season, for example, is not unusual. But its effects, though generally not ruinous, can still significantly affect a company’s financial well-being. The challenge of handling these fluctuations is especially apparent in the case of utilities: during an unexpectedly mild winter, consumers use less heating energy, causing a drop in the utility’s revenues; a particularly cold winter, on the other hand, can lead to a surge in demand, forcing the utility to purchase additional fuel at peak prices. In some contracts, settlement goes beyond purely financial hedging to include physical provision of a commodity such as natural gas. Weather derivatives: A new concept with trusted benefits One important aspect of weather derivatives is the use of volumetric weather hedging instruments to enhance attractiveness to investors: in the case of regulated gas distribution companies or utilities in general, for example, shareholders want to see stable cash flows. Since weather is a huge source of volatility in the energy business, a utility that can smooth its results is in a position to present itself as a solid investment, which consequently reduces its cost of capital. But the sound economic advantages are not limited to the energy sector. Free of the strain that cost and revenue fluctuations place on their balance sheets, companies in various industries not only enhance their appeal to shareholders and customers, but can afford to take a more entrepreneurial approach and invest resources efficiently. Weather derivatives keep profitability from melting away. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 5 risk management “We have been working with the team at Munich Weather & Commodity Risk Advisors LLC on our weather hedging structures since 2007. They have been very supportive in helping us understand the weather market. We have a good professional and collaborative relationship.” Laurie A. Rutherford, Director, Enterprise Risk Management, CenterPoint Energy CenterPoint Energy, Inc., headquartered in Houston, Texas, is a domestic energy delivery company that includes electric transmission and distribution, natural gas distribution and energy services operations. The company serves more than five million metered customers primarily in Arkansas, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Oklahoma and Texas. CenterPoint Energy and its predecessor companies have been in business for more than 140 years. Also worthy of mention is the fact that even noncatastrophic weather risks can be existence-threatening in some cases. Relatively small organisations operating on a thin capital base like school districts and municipalities – but also snow removal companies – rely on snowfall hedging solutions. By serving both sides of the market, the Weather & Commodity unit places cities and schools in a position to manage the otherwise very challenging expense of clearing snow during a severe winter. At the same time, snow removal companies are given a cushion to ensure business continuity if a mild winter causes a severe drop in their revenues. Transatlantic cooperation The customer value of cooperation between Houston and Munich goes beyond general matters of weather and climate knowledge. A current agreement with a utility in Houston, an area affected by the El Niño weather cycle, is a case in point: the pricing is updated on a bimonthly basis, and consulting with the experts in Munich gives the Texas team a knowledge lead. Current and informed views on the strengthening or weakening of El Niño enable them to serve the utility with transparent and evidence-based calculations. The Weather & Commodity unit also utilises direct access to the knowledge needed for longer-term transactions, whether in terms of climate change or normal weather cycles. These could include special hedges for climate change risks: if weather fluctuations no longer revert to mean over a ten-year period, for example, but rather oscillate around a warming trend, companies will need assurances to make longterm investments. A longer-term hedge could be an attractive solution. 6 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 The fact that the Weather & Commodity unit can transact from legal entities domiciled on both sides of the Atlantic is a further advantage for clients who may want to interact only with companies within their own regulatory environment. Non-cash hedging Physical commodity business is a relatively small yet significant part of the Weather & Commodity unit’s portfolio. It offers a number of key benefits: companies that are unfamiliar with purely financial hedging instruments are often more comfortable with a transaction that guarantees their supply of an essential commodity such as fuel rather than financial means to purchase it on the commodities market. At the same time, actual physical transactions have a different regulatory status under the US Dodd-Frank Act, which has led many utilities to favour them over financial hedging. The capacity to provide a physically settled risk management solution, i.e. natural gas, has enabled the Texas team to retain clients. To fulfil its supply guarantees, the Weather & Commodity unit maintains natural gas reserves in leased storage facilities. When a settlement is triggered, the gas is delivered to the client via leased pipelines or other transport modes. The attractiveness of physical supply guarantees to various industries in both Europe and North America has led the weather hedging specialists to consider expanding the commodity portfolio. risk management Waiting for the rain to stop: a familiar sight at tennis tournaments like the US Open in New York. Our product overview Dual-trigger derivatives (quantos) The purpose of a volumetric risk management instrument is to even out the company’s results, providing relief for shortfalls in sales or spikes in commodity prices. The solutions can be divided into three main categories: In this case, the client is compensated if both realised weather and the price of a related commodity fall outside an established range. Single-trigger weather-indexed derivatives These pay the counterparty if realised weather falls outside an established range. The operative weather index can be based on temperatures, precipitation or wind and can relate to averages, minimums, maximums or some combination. While regulated utilities typically have guaranteed margins on each unit sold, shareholders are not protected from a lack of demand resulting from unseasonably mild winters (gas utilities) or cool summers (electric utilities) – i.e. volumetric risk. −−Options (put and calls), swaps, caps, floors, and collars −−Contracts are indexed to publicly available weather data −−Contracts are typically “seasonal” with terms of less than 12 months, but can be multi-year A typical client is a natural gas utility seeking to ensure that its cost of gas will not exceed a given level if it is forced into the market due to an unexpected demand surge driven by colder weather. −−Options (put and calls), swaps, caps, floors, and collars −−Crude oil, heating oil, or electricity trades are financially settled only −−Natural gas products can be physically or financially settled Commodity price hedging instruments This type of solution helps the client protect margins against unanticipated price moves. Munich Re provides these for natural gas, crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and electricity. A retail electricity supplier desiring to “fix” its per-unit sales margin for a given period will seek to “lock in” its wholesale cost of power via a fixed-for-floating swap on wholesale power prices. −−Options (put and calls), swaps, caps, floors, and collars −−Crude oil, heating oil, or electricity trades are financially settled only −−Natural gas products can be physically or financially settled Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 7 risk management Up-to-date data Whether physical or financial, the quality of volumetric risk management instruments depends on the underlying data. For this reason, the Weather & Commodity unit places great importance on data engineering and operates highly advanced internal and client-facing IT platforms. These are equipped with industry-leading decision-making tools with clear graphics for visualisation. The IT solutions draw on highly scalable databases that capture information from external and internal sources and process more than 750,000 datasets. These include daily historical weather captured at more than 6,000 stations worldwide and forecasts from over 1,500 stations as well as daily updates on all active futures markets (e.g. CME, CBOT, COMEX, NYMEX), physical natural gas and currency markets. In addition, all US energy statistics from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) are embedded and updated on a daily basis. eWeatherRisk’s platform allows users to choose different weather risk perils at over 5,000 National Weather Service weather stations and build, price and purchase contracts in real time. Users can analyse historical weather data and resulting payout profiles. Contracts can be conveniently saved and referenced for future use. Portals offered to customers include the proprietary Custom Quotes and the weather risk management platform provided by eWeatherRisk, a company based in Billings, Montana. Aimed at the agriculture industry, eWeatherRisk provides access to solutions to supplement traditional crop insurance and support producers, storage operators, transporters and processors. The platform helps find the most costeffective ways to dynamically manage exposures to the economic impacts of extreme temperatures, excess or insufficient precipitation and other adverse weather conditions. The online quoting platform Custom Quotes enables clients to independently explore and price any number of risk management products, which they can then purchase. It allows customers who are familiar with volumetric risk management products to run through literally hundreds of different scenarios conveniently and save the structures and quotes for future reference. 8 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 A heating oil costless collar, structured and priced in Custom Quotes. risk management We are ready for new products Mark Tawney offers insights into the weather derivatives business and what it means to be part of Munich Re. Mark Tawney, President of Munich Re Weather & Commodity Risk Advisors LLC Topics: Weather derivatives are hedging solutions aimed at managing high-probability, low-impact risks. Can’t companies simply take potential fluctuations into account and manage their own risks? Mark Tawney: The first thing to consider is that utilities generally operate in a small geographic area, so they have no weather diversification. By turning to Munich Re, a utility can access capital at costs based not only on a globally diversified weather portfolio but also on an extremely large and highly diversified overall reinsurance portfolio. In other words, the cost of capital provided by our hedging solutions is likely to be significantly less than the utility’s own cost of capital. Our clients rely on us because it makes perfect economic sense: they can hold the capital they require to manage their risks at lower cost and deploy their own resources more effectively, say, by investing in business growth. Munich Re has a long history of weather and climate research, which makes the Weather & Commodity unit a very good fit. Could you describe some of the synergies? Munich Re is a much-respected name that reflects positively on us as a small group. Another point is that there is some indication that we’re currently headed into an El Niño weather pattern, which has significant impact on temperature and precipitation around the globe. When we’re writing temperature and precipitation hedges for clients in areas that are especially impacted by El Niño, we work closely with our colleagues in Munich to gain the knowledge we need, for example, about what to expect this coming winter. visits. I’d also like to mention that a couple of our former employees have even been placed in other units within the organisation. We’re an innovative team. As we continue to get to know the research and expertise Munich Re has to offer, I think a lot of new product ideas will emerge out of the collaboration. One aspect I’m very interested in is risk management in the face of climate change. I expect that it will generate an interest for new specific covers with extended durations. With Munich Re’s understanding of climate trends, we’re in a strong position to create efficient products responding to clients’ needs. Well, the unit outage cover I mentioned is an excellent example. We developed it jointly with the Munich Re specialty insurer Hartford Steam Boiler, which has vast experience in managing equipment breakdown risk. In essence, it provides business interruption insurance for power plants but with an additional price trigger and the option of eliminating the usual 90-day waiting period for claims. If there’s a mechanical breakdown and the cost of electricity goes beyond a certain threshold, the client is compensated. How have clients and staff reacted to your acquisition by Munich Re? In general, the broader footprint it gives us has opened doors. We can talk with clients about, say, unit outage insurance and at the same time update them on the weather derivatives market. European utilities are much bigger than those in the US, with accordingly large exposures, and the Munich Re name gives them the confidence to fully place their hedging needs with us. Could you give an example of a deal you cooperated on with internal Munich Re colleagues? By leveraging HSB’s detailed engineering expertise and our knowledge of the energy market, we’ve created a very intelligent solution that offers real value to power plant operators. It’s an outstanding combination of skill sets. From a staff point of view, the co operation with Munich is great. Some of our people are now located in Munich and there are frequent Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 9 risk management Traditionally, your focus has been on the energy sector, but the business model could be applied to create solutions for any industry affected by weather. What new market segments are you entering? One is construction, an area where we can gain from cooperating with Corporate Insurance Partner. Pipeline construction, which is very sensitive to precipitation, is a focal point. When there’s heavy rainfall, pipeline projects either have to stop work or lay out huge mats to keep the construction equipment from sinking into the mud. Either way, costs can be tremendous. What role do renewable energies play? We’re very interested in renewables – it’s a growing market and a natural extension of our core competencies in energy. We underwrite lack of wind covers for wind farms, for example. As governments withdraw subsidies in the wake of the financial crisis, I anticipate a growing need for renewable energy operators to manage their risks. ing, the hedge would compensate for incurred costs. Here again, we’re working with Corporate Insurance Partner. But conventional fossil-fuel power plants also turn to us for wind covers: when winds are strong and sustained, they dispatch less power because so much wind energy is available. The construction phase is also relevant: we’re talking with energy companies about a cover for offshore wind farm projects with a wave-height trigger. When the sea is too rough for the construction boats to keep work- Two real-life examples of weather hedging solutions Precipitation contingent crude oil quanto Weather contingent gas quanto Client: An electricity producer in Chile, generating power partly from hydro plants and partly from fossilfuel plants. In a dry year, the reduced hydroelectric capacity cannot meet demand, and thermal generation is required. High fuel oil prices for thermal plants increase overall generation costs. Client: A large energy service provider in the UK risks losing revenue in warm winters and could face higher expenses in cold winters. Protection needed: The client wants to protect profitability, which is sensitive to the annual precipitation in Chile and to the price of diesel fuel. Product structuring: Extensive analysis of historical relationships −−Precipitation vs. profitability −−Precipitation and crude oil prices vs. profitability −−Precipitation vs. crude oil prices −−Recent and current weather patterns −−Crude oil price trends Multiple structures are analysed with different combinations of attachment points and limits for discussion with the client. Solution: The client receives a payment when pre cipitation is low AND when the diesel fuel price is high. Crude oil is used as an alternative commodity for diesel fuel, as there is a very high correlation. Technically, the product is a double trigger cover (quanto) with a precipitation put and a crude oil call. 10 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 −−During a warm winter, the client will not sell enough gas and will eventually have to sell excess gas in a falling price environment. −−During a cold winter, the client faces higher expenses, if additional high-priced natural gas has to be purchased. Protection needed: The client wants to protect profitability, which is sensitive to the winter temperature in the UK and to the natural gas price. Product structuring: To address the uncertainty in both volume and price, the client buys a weather/ natural gas quanto. The client receives payments when the temperature is warm and the gas price is low AND when the temperature is cold and the gas price is high. Solution: The protection is a swap, meaning that the client pays Munich Re in opposite situations. As the client is more likely to receive under the contract, an upfront premium is negotiated. risk management Munich Re Weather & Commodity Risk Advisors LLC Since the beginning of 2014, together with colleagues in Munich, the US-based experts form an international and interdisciplinary weather risk management team serving industries whose balance sheets are impacted by weather. We design volumetric hedging instruments that help reduce the risks of adverse or unexpected weather conditions. The financial and physical commodity solutions are customised for individual companies in industries as diverse as energy, agriculture, food manufacturing, transportation, retail and entertainment. The team of around 35 includes energy experts as well as meteorologists and climatologists who can help identify a company’s weather-related risk exposure. With expertise in dual-trigger weather risk management products (termed quantos – quantity adjusting options), which combine volumetric and pricing dimensions and are triggered on actual demand, we enable our clients to minimise and mitigate risks on both sides of the balance sheet. Typical solutions include futures contracts, forward contracts, options on futures contracts, swaps and other derivative products. Quanto triggers are usually indices like temperature, rainfall, snowfall, streamflow and wind speed as measured at objective, thirdparty weather stations, as well as indices based on commodity price movements. OUR Experts Bill Windle Weather & Commodities, USA [email protected] Claudio Ribeiro Weather & Commodities, USA [email protected] Daniel Kopf Weather & Commodities, Germany [email protected] René Mück Weather & Commodities, Germany [email protected] Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 11 valuables From print to pocket – Insuring the banknote Banknotes are a worldwide currency, the total number of which would cover 180,000 football pitches if put together. Their very nature also makes them hot property. It is inevitable therefore that cash in transit companies are a niche, highly risk-aware industry and seek comprehensive insurance. Easy come, easy go? Always keep your banknotes safe from pickpockets. 12 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 valuables Banknotes are printed Delivered to banks – used for over-thecounter and ATM withdrawals by customers Used by customers in shops, restaurants, etc. for transactions One of the largest marine insurers at Lloyd’s of London, Watkins Syndicate has a dedicated Specie Team who insure fine art, jewellers‘ block and cash in transit (CIT). In addition to insuring the physical movement of the cash itself, they also cover the money whilst it is in storage in bank vaults and the like. With around 357 billion banknotes in circulation in the world at any one time, global economies rely on cash in transit companies to successfully distribute their funds. And despite the rise in the use of plastic in our everyday transactions, the recent economic downturn has resulted in more people reverting to the use of cash as a preventative measure against falling into debt. Cash in transit companies therefore still have a vital role to play in keeping cash flowing, and with the risks they face, comprehensive and insightful underwriting is a must. The journey of a banknote … The initial production of banknotes is fully controlled by central or reserve banks (Bank of England, European Central Bank, US Federal Reserve), which retain responsibility for the monetary policy of their country or groups of countries. The banknotes are made from special, toughened starch paper, designed to be resilient to the human handling they will endure during their average two-year lifespan. Security measures are also introduced during the printing stage, such as mould-made watermarks and security threads to minimise counterfeits. Returned to the bank: counted, sorted, inspected, authenticated Withdrawal and destruction Once the banknote has been produced, the cash in transit companies will collect the cash and deliver it to the branch banks. Here it will be used for either over-the-counter or ATM withdrawal by the bank customers. At this point, the banknotes will go into circulation and be used anywhere from shops to restaurants and garages in order to purchase goods. However, the notes will often find themselves once again in the hands of the cash in transit firms when they are transported back to the bank for depositing by the restaurant or shop. Back at the bank, they will be sorted and checked, and those deemed to be at the end of their lives and no longer of an adequate quality will be destroyed. For the rest, the process will start afresh. Getting the cover right Such a specialised industry requires specialised coverage. Over the years, the Lloyd’s market has developed wordings which aim to respond to the client’s needs. Coverage tends to be on the basis of ARPLOD (all risks of physical loss or damage) for both premises and transit risks, and includes the insured’s liability for carrying and storing third-party property. Other specific covers include infidelity, mysterious disappearance and electronic transfers. Infidelity is a key cover for many companies, particularly as they are becoming larger through consolidation of entities. This, explains Simon Parnell, Specie Underwriter, is a noticeable change in the CIT industry in recent years: “Due to the increase in regulation and increased pressure on profit margins, it is more difficult for the smaller, family-run business to survive. As a result, there have been many mergers and buyouts, especially in the previously fragmented markets of the US and parts of Europe. The larger entities are deciding to take over their rivals as a way of maintaining or increasing their market share.” Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 13 valuables Madeleine Bradnam Senior Fine Art and Specie Underwriter Simon Parnell Senior Fine Art and Specie Underwriting Manager Abigail Collins Underwriting Assistant Louis Robertson Senior Fine Art and Specie Underwriter Of course, as with any good underwriter, Watkins look for signs of a good client when making their risk selection. Louis Robertson, Senior Underwriter, explains: “Moral hazard is an important underwriting factor for CIT business. We look for clients who are careful of employees’ welfare and willing to spend time on training and also ensure that procedures are carried out. We like to see evidence that clients are willing to spend money on security and have good contacts with police, security services and market associations. Willingness to update and change the business and listen to underwriter and surveyor suggestions also demonstrates a sound client.” Big losses … lessons learned Inevitably, the market has been hit with some sizeable losses over the years – some of which have been covered in the media. Madeleine Bradnam describes how lessons are learned from such losses: “Robbers are becoming increasingly innovative, and security measures need to keep up. For example, recently in Brazil, robbers tunnelled underground to access a vault from below; the resulting BRL 5.3m loss demonstrated the need for a six-sided vault.” One of the best-known losses of recent times is the Securitas depot robbery in Kent, UK, in 2006. The manager of the depot and his family were kidnapped and the robbers demanded access to the vault; around GBP 53m was stolen. This loss prompted a change in security and, today, it is rare for a single person to have full access. 14 Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 An experienced and successful team … Watkins Syndicate are market leaders for cash in transit insurance business. They service a number of high-profile clients, covering some of the world’s leading organisations. The team are highly experienced and well-regarded underwriters in the Lloyd’s market. Simon Parnell is Class Underwriter and has 37 years’ experience in the Lloyd’s and company markets, 15 of which have been with Watkins Syndicate. Madeleine Bradnam is Senior Underwriter and has 13 years of experience, whilst Louis Robertson, Senior Underwriter, has been working in the market for ten years. Abigail Collins is the team’s most recent junior recruit and has been with the syndicate for a year. But what else makes the Watkins team so successful? There is a definite willingness to look at the new and unusual risks, coupled with a sound understanding of market wordings and their clients’ needs. This is achieved by regular contact and visits to their clients in order to keep up with the challenges they face and the solutions they propose, both pre- and post-loss. With today’s economic uncertainty, clients are looking for good, solid security behind their insurers, something Watkins, backed by Munich Re, can boast. valuables … in the Lloyd’s market Not only are the Watkins team highly skilled, they operate in the Lloyd’s market, which attracts most CIT business, mainly due to its speciality and capacity. Other markets can and do write CIT business, but due to their lack of understanding of the business, they will often write it on cargo conditions, and therefore will not be providing clients with the cover they need. In addition, the Lloyd’s market provides the capacity needed for large-vault risks, which may sometimes require extraordinarily high limits. As Lloyd’s writes on a subscription basis, risks up to US$ 2bn in limit can be placed here. Contact: Simon Parnell Senior Fine Art and Specie Underwriting Manager [email protected] Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 15 Interview Climate change Money drives everything in energy In July, Steven Chu visited Munich Re and talked with Peter Höppe, Head of Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre. Peter Höppe: Mr. Chu, we are happy to have you as a guest here today. Where are the connections between your work and ours? Steven Chu: As a data-driven scientist, I wanted to shift the dialogue on changes in weather away from single events. In the last few years, I have been studying and using your data to help educate the public that weather patterns are changing. What I like about your data is that you have to be objective and dispassionate, since you are ultimately driven by business decisions. The wind in the US policy on climate change has turned recently. What are the main reasons for this new attitude? I think the main reasons are changing weather patterns and the high costs that just a few major storms caused in the last ten years. Several former EPA Administrators and Secretaries of Treasury, both Democrat and Republican, are now saying we have to pay attention to mounting climate change risks that entail significant economic losses. What can be done if the climate change negotiations in Paris 2015 fail again? We should remain hopeful. These negotiations are important but even more crucial is that we are beginning to see movement in the US and China. Ultimately, those two countries are responsible for nearly half the carbon emissions in the world. The Chinese government is very committed: they accept that climate change is real and is threatening their people and 16 their long-term prosperity. They are also working hard to diversify their energy supply. Many states in the US are also taking aggressive action. Above all, the US has the technological and innovative capacities to invent things and to invest in new technologies. Advances in technologies are rapidly bringing down the price of renewable energy and energy storage. When we also consider the large economic losses due to the accelerating changes in weather, the cost of renewable energy is the low-cost option. Finally, money drives everything in energy, and we absolutely need a price on carbon and other GHG gases to reflect the real cost of these emissions. Many countries are trying to reduce their dependency on fossil energy. In your opinion, what is the ideal energy mix of the future? We have to start with much-improved energy efficiency in all sectors. With regard to the energy mix, it depends on where you are geographically: North America as a whole, Europe in combination with North Africa, and China have good resources in wind, solar and hydropower. Renewable energy becomes especially attractive if these regions have integrated grids and generate renewable energy where it is most cost-effective. What has to be done to support the new technologies? One major challenge is full system engineering of generation, storage, transmission and distribution of electrical energy. As renewable energy becomes the majority supplier of total electricity generated, the system engineering needed to guarantee the stability and security of the grid becomes more demanding. Munich Re Topics Risk Solutions 4/2014 Steven Chu won the Nobel Prize in Physics in 1997 and was US Secretary of Energy from 2009 to 2013. He has long been an advocate of greater research into renew able energies. I would favour converting electrical energy into a form of liquid chemical storage that we can pipe, transport, and store. We need more research in this area! How can the insurance industry support this process? You are helping citizens and policymakers realise the risks of climate change by accurately assessing the insured and uninsured losses due to our changing climate. The industry can help the financial community invest in new clean energy by insuring project risk. Experience has shown that once technologies are proven at large scale, the cost of capital declines significantly. In this way, clean energy, which is dominated by up-front capital costs, becomes a safe, long-term investment. Preview 1/2015 Energy waste With municipal waste generation expected to grow faster than urbanisation rates in the coming decades, governments are increasingly discouraging landfill use and focusing instead on waste as a viable energy source. The related demand for insurance of recycling and waste transfer stations together with the high frequency of fire damage presents challenges for insurers. Engineering insurance specialist HSB examines the risks. >> T opics Risk Solutions is also available as an e-mail newsletter. To order, please visit www.munichre.com/trs/en/newsletter © 2014 Münchener RückversicherungsGesellschaft Königinstrasse 107 80802 München Germany Tel.: +49 89 38 91-0 Fax: +49 89 39 90 56 www.munichre.com Münchener RückversicherungsGesellschaft (Munich Reinsurance Company) is a reinsurance company organised under the laws of Germany. In some countries, including in the United States, Munich Reinsurance Company holds the status of an unauthorised reinsurer. Policies are underwritten by Munich Reinsurance Company or its affiliated insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. Not all coverages are available in all jurisdictions. Any description in this document is for general information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any product. Responsible for content Group Communications Editor Regine Kaiser Group Communications (address as above) Tel.: +49 89 38 91-27 70 Fax: +49 89 38 91-7 27 70 [email protected] Picture credits Cover, p. 2(1): Reuters Inside front cover: Robert Brembeck p. 1: picture alliance p. 2 (2): www.flickr.com pp. 2 (3), 3, 7, 12, inside back cover: Corbis p. 4: Shutterstock p. 8: eWeatherRisk, Elwood, NE, USA Munich Weather & Commodity Advisors LLC p. 9: Marc Tawney p. 11: Munich Re p. 14: Charles Sturge, London p. 16: Dirk Wendt Hartford Steam Boiler Leading monoliner and inspection company for engineering risks. Apart from engineering covers, its range also includes specialty and engineering solutions, claims management and risk management services. 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Our Technical and Special Risk Department provides property and casualty products directly through the Canadian broker network. www.templeinsurance.ca Toll-free (North America): +1 877 364-28 51 Tel.: +1 416 364-28 51 Fax: +1 416 3 61-11 63 Watkins Syndicate 457 Lloyd’s biggest marine insurer with an extensive portfolio of solutions for accident and health, liability, cargo, marine and logistics, offshore energy, space flight, and yachts. The Watkins Syndicate operates its own department for terrorism risks. www.watkins-syndicate.co.uk Tel.: +44 20 78 86 39 00 [email protected] © 2014 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Königinstrasse 107, 80802 München, Germany Order number 302-08119