Improving Multi-Scale Root Zone Soil Water Process Representation
Transcription
Improving Multi-Scale Root Zone Soil Water Process Representation
Partly supported by: Improving Multi-Scale Root Zone Soil Water Process Representation in Land Surface Models Binayak P. Mohanty & Vadose Zone Group Texas A&M University Texas Drought Forum Oct 22, 2012 http://vadosezone.tamu.edu/ Dr. Binayak P. Mohanty Dr. Fabio Sartori David Hansen Sean Tolle Dr. Joseph Pollacco Raghavendra Jana Yongchul Shin Dr. Itza Mendoza-Sanchez Champa Joshi Nandita Gaur Bhavna Arora Taehoon Kwak Dr. Zhongyi Qu Dipankar Dwivedi Sandeep Patil Soil Moisture Flow Below our Feet! Gopher Holes Structural Cracks Biological Pores Karst Geology Soil Water Flow Processes Evapotranspiration Run-on Run-off Soil moisture 0-5 cm observations Heterogeneity of soil profile GW -100 cm Infiltration Upward flux GW -150 cm Percolation GW -200 cm Free drainage Soil Moisture at Different Process Scales SCALE Global Regional Watershed Field Pore Soil Moisture / Brightness Temperature Measurement Scales Space-borne SMOS SMAP Air-borne ESTAR PSR Ground-based TOWER TRUCK Insitu TDR Gravimetric Upcoming Soil Moisture Satellite Missions SMOS, 2010, ESA………SMAP, 2013, NASA scattered Spatial Data Temporal Data Spectral Reflectance Percent Reflectance 80 Vegetation 70 Soil 60 Clear River Water Turbid River Water 50 40 30 20 10 0 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Wavelength (µm) 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 Remote Sensing of Soil Moisture… • TB for homogenous vegetated surface: • TB=TS{es exp(-τc) + (1-ω)[1-exp (-τc)][1+rs exp(-τc)]} • τc=bwc/cosθ • soil and vegetation TS are assumed to be equal • τc vegetation opacity • ω vegetation single scattering albedo • b coefficient depends of frequency and vegetation type • wc vegetation water content • θ incidence angle • es emissivity of soil Remote Sensing of Soil Moisture… • Reflectivity of a rough soil surface: • rs=[(1-Q)ro + Qro)] exp(-h) • Q,h are roughness parameter • ro reflectivity of a smooth surface Remote Sensing Cal/Val Studies for Soil Moisture Synchronized Sampling at Multiple Scales © NASA Soil Moisture Remote Sensing Space-Borne NASA: AMSR-E on AQUA 6 7! ! ! Air-Borne NOAA: PSR 4 ! 5 AMSR-E (JAN 15 2004) Soil Moisture cm3/cm3 0 - 0.075 0.075 - 0.105 0.105 - 0.135 0.135 - 0.165 0.165 - 0.230 0.230 - 0.500 3! ! ! 1 2 Spatio-Temporal Data in Iowa Global Coverage every 1.5 days U.S. Watershed Soil Moisture Validation Sites • • • All sites include 5 cm LW, LR, WG, RC since 2002 WC, FC are new EOF Analyses Across Scales in Iowa During SMEX02 Field-scale Watershedscale Regionalscale Soil Moisture Dominant Physical Controls at Different Spatial Scales Region Watershed Field Vegetation/ Precipitation Topography Soil Hypothesis • Soil moisture variability is dominated by Coarsening Scale Modeling Soil Moisture • Importance of modeling – RS of soil moisture only limited to near-surface soil layers • 1D Flow equation: (Assumption: work at any scale!!) h K(h) 1 (h) h z C (h) S(h) t t z S(h) w (h) Tpot zr Soil Hydraulic Properties • Soil-moisture retention property, θ(h) • Soil hydraulic conductivity property, K(h) θ(h) h K(h) K θ h Modeled Soil Moisture States under Different Topographic Configurations Flow Routing at Watershed Scale Stream Flow Comparison SG442 SG447 21 Motivation To address the connections between the environmental factors and “effective” soil hydraulic parameters at various scales across the land surface To develop scaling (downscaling and upscaling) algorithms, data assimilation, inverse model, and incorporation of stochastic evolutionary schemes Limitation: What is Pixel-Scale Parameter!? Vegetation Soil Slope Top-down versus Bottom-up Approach New Study Hydraulic Property Estimation Across the Pixel : Top- Down Approach Traditional Soil Physics Hydraulic Property Measurement Across the Pixel : Bottom- Up Approach Soil Hydraulic Function Scaling Hypothesis ©NASA h Using the information content of the soil moisture data collected at that particular SCALE, we can estimate the scale dependent soil hydraulic properties RS footprint scale 1 λ K(h)=K sat Se 1- 1-Se m θ 2 h Scale2 Point scale Scale1 θ Top-down approach θ(h)-θ res 1 Se = = n θsat -θ res 1+ αh Bottom-up approach h θ m m Scale3 Remote sensing data • Airborne: ESTAR (SGP97) LW03 Soil moisture, cm3/cm3 DOY LW13 Soil moisture, cm3/cm3 LW21 Soil moisture, cm3/cm3 Day of year UNSODA NMCGA -1SD Observed 100000 100000 10000 10000 CL 10000 1000 CL 1000 1000 100 100 100 h, -cm 10 1 10 10 (b) WC12 (a) WC11 L L 1 Ave. CL+L 0.1 1 0 Ave. CL+L 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 100000 100000 0.1 0 10000 0.1 1000 0.2 10000 0.3 0.4 1000 SiCL 0.5 SiCL 100 100 CL CL 10 10 h, -cm Air-borne RS scale (Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer: PSR) 100000 +1SD (c) WC13 1 (d) WC14 1 L Ave. CL+L+SiCL L Ave. CL+L+SiCL 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0 θ(h), cm3 cm-3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0 (mm) 169 174 179 184 189 Simulated vs. Observed Soil moisture 0 169 174 179 184 189 194 0 NMCGA 169 174 +1SD 179 -1SD PSR 184 189 Observed 194 0 40 Rainfall (SCAN) -40 40 Rainfall (SCAN) Series 2 -40 80 S 80 -80 -80 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 (a) WC11 0.4 θ(z,t), cm3 cm-3 0 194 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 169 0.6 174 Simulated 0.5 179 1+SD 184 1-SD 189 PSR 169 194 Areal_average 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 169 174 Average 179 1-SD 184 189 1+SD 0-5cm Day of Year 194 areal_average 174 Average 0.6 0.5 (c) WC13 0.4 (b) WC12 0.4 179 1-SD 184 1+SD 189 0-5cm 194 areal_average (d) WC14 169 174 Average 179 1-SD 184 1+SD 189 0-5cm Day of Year 194 areal_average Objectives To explore the scale dependency for certain soil hydraulic parameters used in LSMs: saturated hydraulic conductivity, residual and saturation soil water contents, and van Genuchten parameters To develop suitable mathematical approaches for downscaling and upscaling hydarulic parameters in complex terrains. This proposed approaches would honor both vertical and horizontal fluxes Research Approach Near-surface soil moisture assimilation scheme based on inverse model Physically-based (Richard’s equation) hydrological models (Soil Water Atmosphere Plant-SWAP, Community Land ModelCLM, and Noah land surface model-Noah LSM) - SWAP: Mualem-van Genuchten (MVG) parameters - CLM: Clapp and Hornberger empirical equation - Noah LSM: Clapp and Hornberger empirical equation Comparison of Layer-Specific and Near-Surface Assimilation approaches Layer-specific Near-surface , n, res, sat, Ksat) Soil moisture Observations (obsj=1) 0-5 cm Land surface 1, n1, res1, sat1, Ksat1) 1st: 0-10 cm (obsj=2) 10-15 cm 2, n2, res2, sat2, Ksat2) (obsj=3) 60-70 cm 3, n3, res3, sat3, Ksat3) 2nd: 10-60 cm Soil profile depth (Z: 0-200 cm) 3rd: 60-200 cm Results Case 1: Comparison of layer-specific/near-surface approach 1 : Clay loam This result showed that the model performance is 1st layer: 0-10 cm : Sandy loam affected by the variability of soil textures and 2layers in the soil column. 0.6 nd 0.4 3rd: Silt loam 0.2 0.0 50 0.6 100 150 200 DOY 250 2nd layer: 10-60 cm 300 Obs. Average (layer-specific) +PCI (layer-specific) -PCI (layer-specific) Average (near-surface) +PCI (near-surface) -PCI (near-surface) 350 Near-surface Layer-specific 0.4 0.2 0.0 1st layer 0 R2: 0.997, MAE: 0.014 R2: 0.981, MAE: 0.013 2nd layer R2: 0.995, MAE: 0.004 R2: 0.832, MAE: 0.114 3rd layer R2: 0.998, MAE: 0.003 R2: 0.786, MAE: 0.072 50 100 Soil moisture (cm3 cm-3) 0 Soil moisture (cm3 cm-3) Soil moisture (cm3 cm-3) st 150 200 DOY 250 300 3rd layer: 60-200 cm 0.6 350 Near-surface Layer-specific 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 50 100 150 200 DOY 250 300 350 Spatial scaling algorithms Evapotranspiration Run-on Run-off Soil moisture 0-5 cm observations Heterogeneity of soil profile GW -100 cm Infiltration Upward flux GW -150 cm Percolation GW -200 cm Free drainage Deterministic Disaggregation algorithm 800 m Disaggregation process Remote sensing soil moisture (RS) (1,1),ET(1,1) (2,1),ET(2,1) (1,2),ET(1,2) (2,2),ET(2,2) Soil moisture and ET of individual sub-pixel Vegetation cover + Loamy sand Loam j Silt loam i Sandy loam Soil texture Results - Soil Moisture Obs. (in-situ) Average +95PCI -95PCI 49 in-situ SM sampling points Soil map Silt loam (dominant) Vegetation Sub 1 Sub 2 Sub 3 Grass Wheat Sub 4 Sub 5 Sub 6 Sub 7 Sub 8 Sub 9 Soil moisture (cm3 cm-3) LW 21 site (ESTAR, 800 m 800 m) Sub-pixel 01 0.5 R2: 0.865, MBE: -0.157 Sub-pixel 02 0.5 R2 : 0.845, MBE: -0.130 Sub-pixel 03 0.5 R2 : 0.433, MBE: -0.136 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0 60 100 140 0.1 0 60 200 Sub-pixel 04 0.5 R2 : 0.555, MBE: -0.165 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0 60 100 140 R2 : 0.1 0 60 200 100 140 0.1 0 60 200 Sub-pixel 05 0.550, MBE: -0.134 0.5 R2 : 100 140 200 Sub-pixel 06 0.802, MBE: -0.122 0.3 100 140 0.1 0 60 200 100 140 200 Sub-pixel 07 0.5 R2 : 0.647, MBE: -0.167 Sub-pixel 08 0.5 R2 : 0.461, MBE: -0.131 Sub-pixel 09 0.5 R2 : 0.343, MBE: -0.131 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0 60 100 140 0.1 0 60 200 100 140 DOY 0.1 0 60 200 100 140 200 Results Comparison of in-situ and average (for the upscaled sub-pixels) soil moisture dynamics for SWAP, CLM, and Noah LSM. Noah LSM-R2: 0.877, RMSE: 0.058 CLM-R2: 0.927, RMSE: 0.051 0 0.7 20 0.6 40 0.5 60 0.4 80 0.3 100 0.2 120 0.1 140 0.0 160 152 162 Precipitation 172 Obs. (in-situ) 182 192 SWAP 202 Noah LSM 212 CLM In order to support the robustness of our approach, we tested various 36 hydrological models in the upscaling process only. Precipitation, mm Soil moisture, cm3 cm-3 SWAP-R2: 0.913, RMSE: 0.029 0.8 Better understanding of the water cycle Water resources management Vertical heterogeneity Natural disasters Evapotranspiration component Spatial variability Agriculture Non-parameteric evolutionary scheme Increasing Drought Severity Drought is one of the most severe environmental outcomes of the climate change Texas suffered under an intense drought driven by La Niña with a total damage of $ 7.6 billion Drought severity assessment using precipitation data Agricultural drought influenced by not only weather conditions, but also by root zone soil moisture No study of finer-scale drought severity evaluations using remotely sensed soil moisture To develop a drought severity assessment framework using remotely sensed soil moisture products - Global circulation model (GCM) based climate forecasts To evaluate the finer-scale drought severity under various environmental factors - Various soil textures, vegetations, soil depths, shallow ground water tables, etc. Agricultural Drought Severity Platform Selection of climatic model (GCMs, RCMs, etc.) Remotely sensed soil moisture (e.g., satellite, air-borne, etc.) Weather forecast scenarios Grid-based disaggregation algorithm Bias correction of climate model outputs using the GCM scenario (1998-2009) and the historical climatic data Output variables (Regional soil characteristics and sub-grid fractions) Multiplicative method x obs x xi x GCM ' i Where xi and x’i are raw and corrected GCM scenarios on day i, and XGCM and Xobs mean monthly mean weather data from the GCM and observations Potential risk assessment (e.g., Agricultural drought) Prediction of field-scale root zone soil moisture (2010-2020) Simulation-optimization scheme (the linkage of SWAP and EMOGA) Soil moisture deficit index (SMDI) SMDI j 0.5 SMDI j1 Drought severity assessment (e.g., PDSI, SPI, SMDI, etc.) Evaluation of various water management & cropping practices (e.g., croppig rotations) SDi, j SDi, j SWi, j MSWj MSWj min SWj SD j 50 100,if SWi, j MSWj max SWj min SWj 100,if SWi, j MSWj SWi, j MSWj Providing agricultural decision support system Results Average SMDI Wet 4 (e) s1v1 (Sub-pixel 1) 4 pos95PCI (f) s2v1 (Sub-pixel 2) 4 (g) s3v1 (Sub-pixel 3) 4 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 M A M Dry -4 J J -2 -4 M A M J J -2 -4 07/01 neg95PCI 2 -2 06/01 03/01 07/01 06/01 05/01 04/01 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 03/01 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 07/01 03/01 07/01 06/01 04/01 05/01 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 03/01 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 05/01 Ksat: 43.6~53.1 mm/day (d) Mixed (a+b+c: 22.2+19.8+58.0) (a) s3v1 (Sub-pixel 3) Ksat: 0.4 mm/day 04/01 Ksat: 106.1 mm/day 06/01 (a) s2v1 (Sub-pixel 2) 05/01 (a) s1v1 (Sub-pixel 1) 04/01 Soil moisture, cm3 cm-3 Predicted root zone soil moisture at the WC1 site during 2010-2020 M A M J J -2 (h) Mixed (a+b+c: 22.2+19.8+58.0) M A M J -4 J Although the SMDI values Average have some uncertainties, results showed that the sub+95PCI this -95PCI pixels within the RS product can be partially affected by the drought severity. 10 August 2012 41 Soil moisture estimates in Northern Texas Estimating soil moisture dynamics using land surface model (Community Land Model, CLM) Upper Brazos river Brazos River Basin Elevation Upper Colorado river Colorado River Basin Elevation Ongoing work… Improve subsurface process including soil moisture interaction with groundwater in the land surface models (CLM) Develop scaling approach for hydraulic parameters of hydrologic components (surface, subsurface, and recharge/discharge) Forecast drought severity using the Bayesian multi-scale averaging of land surface models at regional scale in Texas