September 2008 SHLAA Main Report September 2008
Transcription
September 2008 SHLAA Main Report September 2008
North Hertfordshire and Stevenage Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment September 2008 Note The Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment is an evidence study that is designed to estimate the ability of sites in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage to deliver new housing development over the duration of the East of England plan period to 2021, and beyond. It does not form planning policy for either district. Inclusion of any named site in this study does not bind either Council to the allocation of that site for development in future Development Plan Documents. Nor does it predispose either Council towards the favourable consideration of any future planning applications for the development of that site. Any comments made in relation to particular sites do not constitute a planning brief or formal planning advice. All proposals for housing development arising during the plan period will be considered on their individual merits in relation to adopted and emerging development plan policies and other material considerations relevant at the time of determination. This Assessment is presented as a ‘snapshot’ of housing supply at 1st April 2008 and is based upon the best information available at the time. Further sites may be brought to the attention of the participating authorities as they progress their Local Development Frameworks. Failure to be identified in this document will not preclude such sites from being considered for housing allocation or development outside of the plan process. Maps in this report are reproduced with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationary Office © Crown Copyright. Unauthorised reproduction infringes Crown Copyright and may lead to prosecution or civil proceedings. Stevenage Borough Council LA 100024285 2008 North Hertfordshire District Council 100018622 2008 2 Contents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Executive Summary ............................................................................................................... 4 What is a Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment? ................................................ 10 SHLAA Methodology............................................................................................................ 12 Site identification.................................................................................................................. 14 Quantifying the housing requirement ................................................................................... 17 Introduction to SHLAA Results............................................................................................. 19 SHLAA Results - Sites in Stevenage ................................................................................... 22 Suitability........................................................................................................................... 31 Availability ......................................................................................................................... 32 Achievability ...................................................................................................................... 33 Summary of findings.......................................................................................................... 34 SHLAA Results – Urban extensions to Stevenage............................................................... 38 Suitability........................................................................................................................... 41 Availability ......................................................................................................................... 42 Achievability ...................................................................................................................... 43 Summary of findings.......................................................................................................... 43 SHLAA Results – Sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire District......................................... 45 Suitability........................................................................................................................... 56 Availability ......................................................................................................................... 57 Achievability ...................................................................................................................... 57 Summary of findings.......................................................................................................... 57 Reviewing the Assessment .................................................................................................. 61 Stevenage ......................................................................................................................... 61 Urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire ......................................... 62 Sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire .............................................................................. 63 Looking beyond 2021 ........................................................................................................ 67 Risk Assessment............................................................................................................... 68 Broad locations and Windfalls.............................................................................................. 70 Broad locations for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire ..... 70 Windfalls elsewhere in North Hertfordshire........................................................................ 73 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................... 75 Appendices 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Draft Methodology (March 2008).......................................................................................... 77 Consultation responses ....................................................................................................... 85 Permitted housing supply at 1 Apr 2008............................................................................... 91 Stevenage site appraisal forms.......................................................................................... 101 Stevenage site appraisal.................................................................................................... 215 Urban extensions to Stevenage site forms......................................................................... 231 Urban extensions to Stevenage site appraisal ................................................................... 243 Rest of North Hertfordshire site forms................................................................................ 247 Rest of North Hertfordshire site appraisal .......................................................................... 345 3 1 Executive Summary 1.1 A Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (hereafter “SHLAA” or “Assessment”) is a study undertaken at a local or sub-regional level which aims to identify specific sites and broad locations where new housing can be located. This SHLAA aims to identify locations in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage that can contribute towards the housing targets laid down in the East of England Plan. 1.2 Although it is not a Local Development Document in its own right, this SHLAA forms a key component of the evidence base for the Local Development Frameworks being produced by the partner authorities and will inform the selection of sites to be allocated for housing development. 1.3 This SHLAA covers the local authority areas of North Hertfordshire and Stevenage and assesses housing land availability over the periods 2001-2021 and 2001-2026. This joint approach reflects DCLG good practice guidance which advocates the production of assessments covering more than one local authority area. 1.4 Section 2 of this Assessment provides further background information to the study. Section 3 outlines the methodology used to complete the Assessment. 1.5 This SHLAA has been produced in accordance with government guidance and informed by consultation with key stakeholders, including landowners and the Home Builders Federation (HBF). 1.6 Section 4 details the sources used to identify potential housing sites. The two authorities followed the DCLG’s Practice Guidance in interrogating a number of sources including: Sites in the planning process planning permissions for housing that are under construction unimplemented / outstanding planning permissions for housing existing housing allocations and site development briefs land allocated (or with permission) for employment or other land uses which are no longer required for those uses Sites not currently in the planning process (including): vacant and derelict land and buildings surplus public sector land land in non-residential use which may be suitable for redevelopment for housing, such as commercial buildings or car parks, including as part of mixed-use development additional housing opportunities in established residential areas, such as under-used garage blocks large scale redevelopment and re-design of existing residential areas sites in rural settlements and rural exception sites urban extensions new free standing settlements 1.7 All of these sources have been considered. A number of sites not identified through the above methods have also been evaluated through the SHLAA. These include New sites promoted to / by the partner authorities through the LDF or development control process; Sites identified through other evidence studies as having potential for development. 4 1.8 Section 5 quantifies the housing requirement which the SHLAA should help to meet. The East of England Plan was adopted in May 2008 and states that a minimum of 22,200 new homes must be provided in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage over the period 2001-2021. This target consists of a minimum of: 6,400 new homes within the existing Stevenage Borough boundary; 9,600 new homes as “sustainable urban extensions” to the town of Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire; And 6,200 new homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 1.9 In total, 8,527 dwellings (net) had been completed, were outstanding on sites currently under construction or had been granted planning permission by the partner authorities at 31st March 2008. Deducting this figure from the 22,200 homes required by the East of England Plan leaves a residual requirement of a further 13,673 net additional dwellings by 2021. This information is shown in Table 1 below. Table 1: Residual housing requirement 2008-2021 against East of England Plan targets Stevenage Urban Elsewhere in Total Borough extensions North Herts around Stevenage in North Herts East of England Plan target 6,400 9,600 6,200 22,200 Net completions 2001-08 1,364 1,432 2,837 5,633 Under construction 660 73 609 1,342 With detailed permission 138 133 396 667 With permission subject to 16 16 0 0 completed legal agreement With outline permission 402 0 467 869 Subtotal (deducted from 2,580 1,638 4,309 8,527 target) Residual requirement 20083,820 7,962 1,891 13,673 2021 Source: North Hertfordshire and Stevenage Housing Monitoring 1.10 Section 6 provides an introduction to the SHLAA results and additional information on the detailed assessment methodology. A more stringent approach to the assessment of identified sites is one of the key features that differentiates SHLAAs from Urban Capacity Studies. 1.11 It is explained that a variety of approaches were used to estimate dwelling density and sets out how the suitability, available and achievability of identified sites were evaluated. 1.12 Assessments of suitability were, in the first instance, informed by site visits. In addition, each site identified by the partner authorities was evaluated to determine whether it was subject to any of a number of environmental, physical or policy characteristics or constraints. The availability of sites has been assessed through direct correspondence with landowners. 1.13 Those sites that have been found to be both “suitable” and “available” for development have subsequently been assessed in relation to their financial viability. This assessment of achievability has been informed by the findings of a workshop held with the HBF, developers and RSLs in June 2008. 1.14 In total, this study has identified 220 specific sites which were subject to the assessment process outlined above. These sites covered some 972 hectares of land. Estimates of capacity suggest that up to 23,969 dwellings could be delivered from these sites. 5 1.15 Section 7 provides detailed analysis of sites within Stevenage (excluding land to the north and west of the town). 113 specific sites were identified within Stevenage that were considered to have potential to deliver five or more additional dwellings (net). 1.16 Following the assessment process, 48 sites have been identified as being “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” for development. These sites satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and Government Good Practice Guidance to be included in the SHLAA and forward projections of land supply. 1.17 The 48 sites cover 108 hectares and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 3,752 net additional dwellings. It is estimated that 2,834 of the 3,752 dwellings identified (76%) can be accommodated on previously developed sites. 1.18 Section 8 assesses specific sites for urban extensions to Stevenage. The East of England Plan, adopted in May 2008, designates Stevenage as a Key Centre for Development and Change and envisages significant growth and regeneration of the town over the plan period. A key component of this growth is the requirement to deliver urban extensions to the north and west of the town, including at least 9,600 new homes on land within North Hertfordshire. 1.19 In the first instance, it is difficult to consider this target for development in North Hertfordshire without reference to land within Stevenage. Section 8 therefore considers the housing potential of sites that lie within the proposed boundaries of the Stevenage and North Herts Action Plan (SNAP). 1.20 11 specific sites are identified to the north and west of Stevenage. The sites are those which have been expressly brought to the partner authorities’ attention in light of the proposals in the East of England Plan. 1.21 Following the assessment process outlined above, six sites have been identified as being “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” for development to the north or west of Stevenage. These sites satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and Government Good Practice Guidance to be included in the SHLAA and forward projections of land supply. 1.22 The six sites cover 567 hectares and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 11,400 net additional dwellings. Of these, 3,650 are within the Stevenage Borough boundary, on 183 hectares of land. The remaining 384 hectares of land are located within North Hertfordshire and it is estimated that 7,750 new homes could be provided on this land. It is considered that 6,675 of these could be delivered by 2021 to contribute towards the target to provide 9,600 new dwellings within the authority to meet the growth requirements of Stevenage. 1.23 Section 9 examines sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. As a result of the initial site identification exercise and analysis of capacity, 96 specific sites were identified. 1.24 Following the assessment process outlined above, 64 sites have been identified as being “‘suitable”’, “available”’ and “achievable” for development. These sites therefore satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and the Practice Guidance for preparing SHLAAs. 1.25 The 64 sites cover 102.5 hectares of land, and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 2,876 dwellings (net). 1.26 Section 10 reviews the findings of the Assessment in light of the information contained in Sections 5 to 9. It notes that specific sites that could accommodate almost 17,000 new dwellings have been identified. When these are added to housing completions achieved to date and existing housing supply, more than 25,000 dwellings could be delivered in 6 Stevenage and North Hertfordshire over the period 2001-2021. These findings are summarised in Table 2 below. Table 2: Identified land supply 2001-2021 Stevenage Borough East of England Plan target Net completions 2001-08 st Identified supply at 31 March 2008 Specific sites identified in Stevenage* Specific sites identified to the north and west of Stevenage* Specific sites identified elsewhere in North Herts* Total Surplus / deficit against East of England Plan target Elsewhere in North Herts Total 6,400 1,364 Urban extensions around Stevenage in North Herts 9,600 1,432 6,200 2,837 22,200 5,633 1,216 206 1,472 2,894 3,752 - - 3,752 3,650 6,675 - 10,325 - - 2,876 2,876 9,982 8,313 7,185 25,480 +3,582 -1,287 +985 +3,280 * Figure is for those sites considered “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” in Sections 7, 8 and 9. 1.27 Within the Stevenage Borough boundary, the SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 7,402 dwellings. When housing completions and supply are added, it is considered that there is sufficient land for just under 10,000 homes in the Borough over the period 20012021. 1.28 This represents a surplus of 3,582 over the East of England plan target. The SHLAA therefore meets the minimum requirement set out in Government guidance to identify sufficient specific sites for at least the first ten years of a plan. 1.29 For urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire, the SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 6,675 dwellings within the East of England plan period. When housing completions and supply are added, it is considered that there is sufficient land to provide 8,313 homes in urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire over the period 2001-2021. 1.30 This represents a deficit of 1,287 units against the East of England plan target. The SHLAA therefore fails to meet the minimum requirement set out in Government guidance to identify sufficient specific sites for at least the first ten years of a plan. The partner authorities will need to work together to remedy this deficiency prior to the submission of the joint Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan. 1.31 For the remainder of North Hertfordshire, the SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 2,876 dwellings within the plan period. When housing completions and supply are added, it is considered that there is sufficient land to provide 7,185 homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire over the period 2001-2021. 1.32 This represents a surplus of 985 units against the East of England plan target. The SHLAA meets the minimum requirement to identify 10 years worth of specific sites from the anticipated year of adoption. 1.33 Notwithstanding these findings, Government policy states that, where possible, plans should identify specific site for years 10-15 (and, if possible, beyond) of their intended plan period. 7 For both of the partner authorities, this would require the identification of a supply of specific sites to the year 2026. The review of the Assessment therefore considers the findings over this longer time period. The findings are summarised in Table 3 below. Table 3: Identified land supply measured against housing targets 2001-2026 Stevenage Urban Elsewhere in Borough extensions North Herts around Stevenage in North Herts East of England Plan target 6,400 9,600 6,200 2001-2021 Provisional East of England Plan 1,900 2,900 1,550 target 2001-2026 Total 8,300 12,500 7,750 Net completions 2001-08 1,364 1,432 2,837 st Identified supply at 31 March 1,216 206 1,472 2008 Specific sites identified in the 7,402 7,750 2,876 SHLAA* Total 9,982 9,388 7,185 Surplus / deficit against East of England Plan 2026 target using +1,682 -3,112 -565 specific sites Potential contribution from broad Not required 13,960 1,095 locations or windfalls Surplus / deficit against East of England Plan 2026 target +10,848 +530 including broad locations or windfalls Total 22,200 6,350 28,550 5,633 2,894 18,028 26,555 -1,995 - - * Figure is for those sites considered “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” in Sections 7, 8 and 9 1.34 Within Stevenage, the supply of specific sites identified within this document is more than sufficient to meet the Borough’s housing requirement over this longer time period. 1.35 The Assessment demonstrates a deficit of specific sites to meet the housing target for the provision of urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire over the period to 2021. There is also a deficit when measured against the extended housing targets to 2026. 1.36 When measured against the 2021 housing target, a surplus of 985 units is identified elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. However, there is a deficit of 565 units when measured over the period to 2026. 1.37 Section 10 finally contains a risk assessment, in line with advice in government guidance. In addition to site-specific constraints, a number of potential issues are identified including: Delays in the planning and plan making processes; Ongoing uncertainties in the housing market and macro-economic conditions; and The need for timely delivery of supporting infrastructure. 1.38 Section 11 considers whether broad locations or windfalls can overcome the identified deficits in housing supply. 1.39 For Stevenage Borough, no further consideration of alternative locations is required. 8 1.40 In order to identify sufficient sites for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire, a number of broad locations are assessed. It is concluded that these could potentially yield a further 13,960 dwellings. 1.41 This figure is sufficient to meet the identified shortfalls of 1,287 dwellings to 2021 and 3,112 dwellings to 2026. Further, it demonstrates that there is sufficient land to continue providing dwellings up to 2031. This will allow for a green belt review that accommodates development needs to this point, in conformity with the East of England Plan. 1.42 It is demonstrated that, elsewhere in North Hertfordshire, windfall completions on small sites have historically made an important contribution to the supply of new dwellings: 18% of all completions since April 2001. 1.43 It is shown that a windfall allowance, based on past trends, is sufficient to remedy the shortfall of identified housing land over the period to 2026. 1.44 Section 12 summarises the main conclusions of the Assessment. 1.45 Through the identification of specific sites, this SHLAA concludes that the minimum requirement to identify a ten-year supply of specific housing sites for the first ten years after the anticipated adoption of plan documents can be met within Stevenage Borough and elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. This minimum requirement cannot be met for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire. A deficit of 1,287 dwellings has been identified against the overall target of 9,600 new homes by 2021. 1.46 The identified supply of specific sites in Stevenage Borough would be sufficient to provide a fifteen-year supply post-adoption, over the period to 2026. 1.47 There is a significant deficit of specific sites, in excess of 3,000 dwellings, to provide urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire over the period to 2026. However, the consideration of broad locations demonstrates that there is ample land within the proposed boundary of the Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP) to make good this deficiency. 1.48 Although the supply of specific sites identified elsewhere in North Hertfordshire goes some way towards meeting anticipated housing requirements post-2021, there is a deficit of 565 dwellings against the housing target to 2026. However, consideration of past windfall completions demonstrates sufficient evidence to justify their inclusion in the consideration of housing supply beyond 2021. The anticipated level of windfall provision is considered sufficient to overcome the identified shortfall. 9 2 What is a Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment? 2.1 The Government has identified that, over a number of years, the supply of new housing has not kept up with demand. This has resulted in a large number of people who want a home of their own but cannot find or afford one. Consequently, the Government aims to deliver a significant increase in the delivery of new houses. At the national level, they have set a target for three million new homes to be built by the year 2020 and stated that land availability should not be a constraint on achieving this target. 2.2 The planning system breaks down this national target to provide housing figures for regions and individual local authorities. 2.3 The 2004 Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act introduced significant changes to the way in which planning policy is formulated. The previous Development Plan regime of County Structure Plans and Local Plans has been replaced. Strategic planning is now undertaken at the regional level through a Regional Spatial Strategy (RSS). At the district level, the Local Plan is replaced by a suite of Local Development Documents (LDDs) known as the Local Development Framework (LDF). 2.4 North Hertfordshire and Stevenage both lie within the East of England region. The RSS for the East of England is known as the East of England Plan and was adopted on May 12th 2008. The Plan sets a target for a minimum of 22,200 new homes to be provided in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage over the period 2001-2021. This consists of a minimum of: 6,400 new homes within the existing Stevenage Borough boundary; 9,600 new homes as “sustainable urban extensions” to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire; and 6,200 new homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 2.5 North Hertfordshire and Stevenage must identify the sites on which these targets will be met through their respective LDFs. In doing so, they must meet the requirement, set out in Government planning statements1, that policies are founded upon a strong evidence base. 2.6 A Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (hereafter “SHLAA” or “Assessment”) is a study undertaken at a local or sub-regional level which aims to identify specific sites and broad locations where new housing can be located. This SHLAA aims to identify locations in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage that can contribute towards the housing targets laid down in the East of England Plan. 2.7 Although it is not a Local Development Document in its own right, this SHLAA forms a key component of the evidence base for the Local Development Frameworks being produced by the partner authorities and will inform the selection of sites to be allocated for housing development. 2.8 It should be noted that inclusion of any named site in this study does not bind either Council to the allocation of that site for development in future Development Plan Documents. The SHLAA provides an illustration of the available sites which could be used to ensure housing targets are delivered and an estimate of the number of new homes that could be delivered. Its conclusions and recommendations will be used to inform the decision making process as the partner authorities prepare those Development Plan Documents which will identify sites for future development. Conversely the non-inclusion of sites in this SHLAA will not prevent 1 Planning Policy Statement 12: Local Spatial Planning (PPS12) 10 sites that are subsequently brought to the partner authorities’ attention from being considered for allocation through the Local Development Framework preparation process. 2.9 The requirement to undertake SHLAAs replaces previous advice2 which encouraged authorities to undertake Urban Capacity Studies. These assessed the extent to which future housing requirements could be accommodated within existing settlements. Many of the components of the Urban Capacity Study have been incorporated within the new style SHLAAs, including the assessment of opportunities within existing settlements and estimates of likely yield. However SHLAAs also differ from their predecessors in a number of key areas: There is a greater focus on the identification of specific sites, with Government housing policy3 and practice guidance4 both clearly stating that an allowance for windfall, or unidentified, sites should not be included in the first ten years of supply unless specific local circumstances that justify their inclusion can be proven; The “suitability”, “availability” and “achievability” of sites must be proved. This means that SHLAAs should be able to demonstrate: That sites represent appropriate locations for development; A willingness to develop on the part of the landowner; and That, taking policy and site constraints into account, development would be economically viable; Assessment is not restricted to previously developed, or brownfield, sites. Where appropriate, authorities should consider the potential for greenfield, or previously undeveloped, land to contribute towards housing land supply. 2.10 This SHLAA covers the local authority areas of North Hertfordshire and Stevenage and assesses housing land availability over the periods 2001-2021 and 2001-2026. This joint approach reflects DCLG good practice guidance which advocates the production of assessments covering more than one local authority area. 2.11 This area will additionally match that of the two Councils’ Strategic Housing Market Assessment and reflect the requirement, expressed through the East of England Plan, for the two authorities to work jointly to deliver at least 9,600 homes in new neighbourhoods to the north and west of Stevenage (in addition to a minimum of 6,200 dwellings for the rest of North Hertfordshire District and 6,400 for Stevenage Borough). 2.12 In accordance with Government Guidance, the production of this assessment has been undertaken in consultation with key partners including landowners, the Home Builders Federation (HBF) and its members. 2.13 This Assessment contains the following core outputs, as advised by the Government’s good practice guidance: A list of sites, cross-referenced to maps showing locations and boundaries of specific sites and broad locations; Assessment of the deliverability / developability of each identified site to determine when it is realistically expected to be developed; Estimates of the potential quantity of housing that could be delivered on each identified site or within each identified broad location; Constraints on the delivery of identified sites; and Recommendations on how these constraints can be overcome and when. 2 Planning Policy Guidance note 3: Housing (PPG3) Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing (PPS3) 4 Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessments: Practice Guidance, DCLG 3 11 3 SHLAA Methodology 3.1 This SHLAA has been produced in accordance with government guidance and informed by consultation with key stakeholders, including landowners and the Home Builders Federation (HBF). 3.2 The two authorities had previously created a Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA) Stakeholder group to guide the development of other LDF evidence studies. This group contained many of the key parties required including house builders, registered social landlords (RSLs), local property agents, the Housing Corporation and English Partnerships. 3.3 The SHLAA was formally ‘launched’ at a meeting of the SHMA Stakeholder group on 14th January 2008. Copies of a draft methodology were circulated for comment. This draft followed the steps set out in DCLG’s good practice guidance, which are reproduced below. Attendees were also invited to submit any sites that they felt should be brought to our attention. Source: Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessments Practice Guidance, CLG, July 2007 3.4 A revised draft of the methodology was produced in March 2008. This formed the basis of the project plan which guided the production of the SHLAA. A copy of this document is included in Appendix 1. 12 3.5 However it is important to acknowledge that, as a relatively new process, there was almost no practical experience of producing SHLAAs that the partner authorities could draw on in producing the draft methodology. Consequently, on-going alterations were made as the SHLAA progressed and familiarity with, and experience of, the necessary processes was gained. Key alterations to the draft methodology included in Appendix 1 have included: A more focussed approach to stakeholder engagement. The draft methodology proposed the use of the SHMA Stakeholder group as a forum for progressing the SHLAA. In reality, more targeted consultation was used (outlined below in paragraphs 3.7 to 3.9); The use of April 1st 2008 as a base date for housing completions and permissions, rather than April 1st 2007 as initially proposed. The figures in this SHLAA should therefore reflect those to be published in the participating authorities 2007/08 Monitoring Reports (subject to minor alterations as these figures are finalised); In identifying exemplar schemes to assess likely yield, it became apparent that it was easiest to calculate gross densities. Gross to net ratios were therefore only used in instances where it was felt that other land use or infrastructure requirements would have a significant impact on the quantity of land available for housing. Additionally, sketch schemes were used to assess likely yield in a small number of instances. The assessment of specific sites in relation to the urban extensions of Stevenage. The sole use of broad locations, as originally proposed, would not have permitted these sites to be considered in the first ten years of supply. Consideration of the Assessment’s findings for the period beyond 2021 to determine whether the partner authorities will be able to identify a fifteen-year supply of specific sites in their LDDs, as encouraged by PPS3 Slippage in the original timescales envisaged. Certain aspects of the process, including the identification of, and correspondence with, landowners took longer than originally anticipated. 3.6 The experience gained through the production of this first SHLAA will be reflected in the processes and methodologies used to produce future updates. Additional information on the methods used are contained throughout this document as appropriate. 3.7 As stated above, North Hertfordshire and Stevenage Councils encouraged stakeholder involvement throughout the process. All landowners identified through the site selection process were contacted to invite their views and inform the production of the draft Assessment. These responses were used to guide findings on site availability, discussed further in Sections 7, 8 and 9. 3.8 The Home Builders Federation (HBF) was provided with a representative sample of sites in March 2008 and invited to circulate these amongst its members for comment. This was followed by a workshop session held on 6th June 2008. This session was attended by representatives from the HBF, Housing Corporation, house builders and RSLs. The information gathered from these exercises has been used in determining whether sites could be considered suitable and achievable. 3.9 A targeted three-week consultation on the draft SHLAA was conducted between August and September 2008. A summary of the key points raised through the consultation, and the partner authorities’ response is contained in Appendix 2. 3.10 Outside of the SHLAA process, each of the partner authorities has requested public opinions on a number of potential housing development sites through the Issues and Options and Preferred Options stages of their emerging Local Development Frameworks. Both Councils will continue to actively involve members of the community in consultation on housing allocations through the Local Development Framework process. 13 4 Site identification 4.1 Housing sites can be identified from a wide variety of sources. The DCLG’s Practice Guidance identifies a number of sources which should be considered in the preparation of a SHLAA. These are: Sites in the planning process: planning permissions for housing that are under construction unimplemented / outstanding planning permissions for housing existing housing allocations and site development briefs land allocated (or with permission) for employment or other land uses which are no longer required for those uses Sites not currently in the planning process (including): vacant and derelict land and buildings surplus public sector land land in non-residential use which may be suitable for redevelopment for housing, such as commercial buildings or car parks, including as part of mixed-use development additional housing opportunities in established residential areas, such as under-used garage blocks large scale redevelopment and re-design of existing residential areas sites in rural settlements and rural exception sites urban extensions new free standing settlements 4.2 Sites with planning permission (either not started or under construction) have been included but not subjected to the tests of suitability, availability or achievability. If planning permission has been granted, the site is clearly suitable; if someone has pursued an application it is highly likely to be available; and presumably that person has not pursued an economically unachievable scheme. 4.3 Whilst the market for housing at the time of writing has become more volatile than in the early part of the plan period, the period being looked at extends sufficiently far that it is likely the market will improve again. 4.4 Residual allocations from the saved Local Plans were identified. Policy H3 of the Stevenage District Plan Second Review allocated 14 new sites for housing development in order to meet the Structure Plan housing requirement. As at 31st March 2008, five of these sites remained extant. The Borough Council remains broadly supportive of housing development in these locations. These sites have therefore been included in the detailed assessment contained in Section 7. 4.5 Outstanding allocations from North Hertfordshire have been reviewed and the majority included in the detailed assessment of sites in Section 9. Six sites were excluded on the basis that they were known to officers to be unsuitable or unavailable. Those excluded were: r/o The Bury, Codicote: Site is within walled garden of listed building and has significant access problems. Although landowner was investigating a scheme 20 years ago, there have been no recent negotiations. 39 Queen Street, Hitchin: At the time the local plan was being prepared, negotiations were underway investigating either the conversion to or replacement of this building with flats. These never came to fruition and the building has now been restored as a single house. 14 6 Station Terrace, Hitchin: In the 1980s permission was granted for a block of flats on this site, but that permission has long since lapsed and there has been no evidence of intention to pursue such a scheme since. 97 Walsworth Road, Hitchin: This site is only accessible through an archway beneath a shop and is well used as a depot by the funeral directors who run the shop. As well as having poor access, the site is a very difficult shape and very close to existing residential properties in Walsworth Road, Trevor Road and Benslow Lane. The Cloisters, Barrington Road, Letchworth: The Cloisters is a grade II* listed building (of some eccentricity) such that development in its grounds is now unlikely to be acceptable. Whilst there were negotiations at the time the former local plan was being prepared, there have been no recent advances. Sollershott Hall, Sollershott East, Letchworth: There was a permission for five flats on the site of the garage courts here once, but this permission has lapsed and there have been no recent negotiations. 4.6 The final category of sites already in the planning process identified in the DCLG guidance is land allocated for other uses which are no longer required for those uses. Clearly, the length of time which has elapsed since the relevant local plan was adopted will have a bearing here. 4.7 The Stevenage District Plan was adopted in 2004 and, as such, a number of the nonresidential allocations contained within it remain likely to be required for their allotted uses. 4.8 The Plan identified six specific sites to provide new employment floorspace. Development has now occurred on five of these sites, while an application has recently been submitted on the sixth. Furthermore, as a planned new town, much of Stevenage’s employment land is concentrated in two designated and self-contained employment areas. Residential development of sites within these areas would, in most instances, relate poorly to its surroundings while a continuing supply of such suitable employment areas is necessary to meet the employment targets set in the East of England Plan. No sites from the Gunnels Wood or Pin Green employment areas have therefore been included in the Assessment. 4.9 The District Plan identified two greenfield sites in the town as reserve school sites to ensure the availability of land for future education provision. Since the adoption of the plan in 2004, the County Council, as education authority, has embarked on a programme to transform educational provision in the town. Through the Government’s Building Schools for the Future programme, it is anticipated that future land requirements will be met through the rationalisation and expansion of existing educational sites in the town. The two reserve school site allocations are therefore no longer required and have been included for consideration in the SHLAA. 4.10 In North Hertfordshire, by contrast, the local plan is considerably older, having been adopted in 1996. However, the District Council’s Employment Land Review5 identified an ongoing need for additional employment land, partly fuelled by the high levels of new housing being accommodated within the district. The possibility of extending existing employment areas in Hitchin, Baldock and Royston onto greenfield land may allow some existing underperforming employment areas close to housing to be released for housing. A small number of such sites have been included within this assessment. 4.11 For sites not already in the planning process, it was considered likely that a significant number of sites would be identified. The methodology for the SHLAA therefore included a 5 Employment Land Review, Bone Wells, 2006 15 threshold of five dwellings or 0.1Ha. Any sites smaller than this have not been included, although there will undoubtedly be an element of supply from such sites over the plan period. 4.12 As noted in paragraph 2.9 above, there are considerable overlaps between the SHLAA and the urban capacity studies which were prepared under previous Government policy. Both Stevenage and North Hertfordshire have previously published such urban capacity studies6. Stevenage were, additionally, in the process of preparing a revised urban capacity study when the Government introduced the new requirement for Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessments. Elements of those studies overlap with the sources of sites to be considered in the SHLAA. 4.13 In particular, all but two of the examples listed above under ‘sites not currently in the planning process’ were considered in the preparation of the urban capacity studies. Officers at both Councils have continued to monitor the estimates made in the urban capacity studies. Sites from those urban capacity studies which have not been developed have been included in the SHLAA. 4.14 The two sources not previously included in the urban capacity studies relate to greenfield land. The sources of sites used for these greenfield elements have been drawn from emerging policy documents. The recently published East of England Plan does not call for new free standing settlements in either North Hertfordshire or Stevenage, nor are any of the shortlisted ‘eco-towns’ within the area covered by this study. Therefore, no proposals for new free standing settlements have been included in this SHLAA. 4.15 By contrast, there are a number of possible urban extensions within the study area. The East of England Plan provides the strategic policy framework for significant urban extensions to the town of Stevenage. This is being taken forward by both authorities working in partnership to produce the Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP) to guide these urban extensions. This SHLAA has therefore taken a number of areas within the SNAP area and analysed them as potential housing sites. 4.16 On a smaller scale, the towns of Hitchin, Letchworth Garden City, Baldock and Royston have also each had areas identified for possible greenfield expansion. These directions for growth have been established through the preparation of the Core Strategy for North Hertfordshire. 4.17 A number of sites not identified through the above methods have also been evaluated through the SHLAA. These include: New sites promoted to / by the partner authorities through the LDF or development control process; Sites identified through other evidence studies as having potential for development. 4.18 Within Stevenage, the recent Open Space Study7 identified a number of sites which should be considered for potential disposal, while the Retail Capacity Assessment8 identified sites that could be considered long-term for retail led mixed use development. These sites have all been included in the SHLAA. 6 Stevenage Borough Council Urban Capacity Study, Chesterton, May 2001 and North Hertfordshire Housing Capacity Study, Halcrow, August 2003 7 Open Space, Recreation and Sport Study, PMP, February 2006 8 Stevenage Town Centre Retail Capacity Assessment, King Sturge LLP, June 2007 16 5 Quantifying the housing requirement 5.1 Under the new Development Plan system introduced in 2004, targets for the provision of new housing are set through the East of England Plan. The East of England Plan was adopted in May 2008 and states that a minimum of 22,200 new homes must be provided in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage over the period 2001-2021. This equates to 1,110 new homes per year when spread evenly across the twenty year plan period. The target consists of a minimum of: 6,400 new homes within the existing Stevenage Borough boundary (equivalent to 320 new homes per year over twenty years); 9,600 new homes as “sustainable urban extensions” to the town of Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire (480 new homes per year); and 6,200 new homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire (310 new homes per year). 5.2 It is important to note that both North Hertfordshire and Stevenage are already part way to achieving these targets. By discounting net housing completions and planning permissions granted since the start of the East of England Plan period, it is possible to calculate the residual requirement. It is this figure that quantifies the number of homes for which the SHLAA needs to identify sites. 5.3 A cut off date of 31st March 2008 has been used in the calculation of housing completions and permissions. 5.4 Between April 1st 2001 and March 31st 2008, 5,633 new homes (net) were completed in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage, an average of 805 per year. Of these, 1,364 were within Stevenage Borough, 1,432 were within extensions to the town within North Hertfordshire and 2,837 were elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. A breakdown of these figures is detailed in Table 4 below. Table 4: Net dwelling completions in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage 2001-2008 Net Housing Completions in Urban extensions Monitoring Stevenage Elsewhere in around Year Borough North Herts Stevenage in North Herts 2001/02 180 310 414 2002/03 112 246 422 2003/04 37 97 393 2004/05 168 83 367 2005/06 128 223 368 2006/07 353 233 390 2007/08 386 240 483 Total 1,364 1,432 2,837 Total 904 780 527 618 719 976 1,109 5,633 Source: North Hertfordshire and Stevenage Housing Monitoring 17 5.5 As at 31st March 2008, permission had been granted across the two authorities for a further 2,894 dwellings. This figure includes sites currently under construction, with detailed or outline planning permission and those sites granted a resolution to permit subject to the completion of legal agreements9. 5.6 A full list of sites with outstanding completions or extant permissions is contained in Appendix 3 to this report. To avoid double counting, none of the sites listed in this Appendix have been considered elsewhere in the SHLAA. 5.7 In total, 8,527 dwellings (net) had been completed, were outstanding on sites currently under construction or had been granted planning permission by the partner authorities10 as at 31st March 2008. Extant housing planning allocations that have not been developed, are not under construction or have not been granted permission are not included in the above figures. These sites are considered elsewhere in the SHLAA. 5.8 Deducting these figures from the 22,200 homes required by the East of England Plan leaves a residual requirement for a further 13,673 net additional dwellings by 2021. Of these 3,820 are within Stevenage Borough, 7,962 in urban extensions to Stevenage within North Hertfordshire and 1,891 are elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. This information is shown in Table 5 below. Table 5: Residual housing requirement 2008-2021 against East of England Plan targets Stevenage Urban Elsewhere in Total Borough extensions North Herts around Stevenage in North Herts East of England Plan target 6,400 9,600 6,200 22,200 Net completions 2001-08 1,364 1,432 2,837 5,633 Under construction 660 73 609 1,342 With detailed permission 138 133 396 667 With permission subject to 16 16 0 0 completed legal agreement With outline permission 402 0 467 869 Subtotal (deducted from 2,580 1,638 4,309 8,527 target) Residual requirement 20083,820 7,962 1,891 13,673 2021 Source: North Hertfordshire and Stevenage Housing Monitoring 5.9 The SHLAA should, at minimum, identify sufficient sites and locations to meet or exceed these requirements and ensure that each of the component parts of the overall figure are individually met. 9 Excludes land at Stevenage West. The Secretary of State (SoS) issued a decision stating he was “minded to approve” an application for 3,600 homes in October 2005 subject to the satisfactory completion of a legal agreement between the interested parties. This agreement had not been signed at the cut-off date, three years on from the Secretary of State’s decision. As the power to approve or refuse this application does not lie with the partner authorities it is not felt appropriate to include this figure in housing supply at this time. The potential capacity of land to the west of Stevenage is fully considered along with other potential urban extension sites in Section 8. 10 Includes sites granted permission subject to the completion of s106 legal agreements with the exception of Stevenage West (see footnote 9). 18 6 Introduction to SHLAA Results 6.1 The following sections and their associated appendices set out the main findings of the Assessment in relation to specific sites in North Hertfordshire and Stevenage. A more stringent approach to the assessment of identified sites is one of the key features that differentiates SHLAAs from Urban Capacity Studies. 6.2 Estimates of housing potential are central to this study. The Government’s good practice guidance advocates the use of existing or emerging plan policies, sketch layouts or real life sample schemes to anticipate the likely density that can be achieved on site. A combination of these approaches were utilised by the two authorities. 6.3 The use of real life schemes was the most frequently used approach. Sites previously identified in North Hertfordshire’s Urban Capacity Study11 had their capacity estimated using exemplar schemes. These estimates were carried forwards for use in the SHLAA. Sample schemes were also used to estimate density on the majority of identified sites in Stevenage. A range of schemes granted planning permission since the start of the plan period were used to determine achievable densities. Preliminary schemes and design briefs were also consulted where available. 6.4 North Hertfordshire’s emerging Core Strategy density policy was used to estimate capacity on sites identified in the district since the Urban Capacity Study. Sketch schemes were used for a small number of residential infill sites in Stevenage where it was considered that there were no sample schemes that represented an appropriate proxy. 6.5 The Assessment also examines the suitability, availability and achievability of each site. 6.6 Assessments of suitability were, in the first instance, informed by site visits. In addition, each site identified by the partner authorities was evaluated to determine whether it was subject to any of the following environmental, physical or policy characteristics or constraints: Air Quality Management Area (AQMA) Area of flood risk Area of Outstanding National Beauty (AONB) Areas of archaeological significance Conservation Area Contaminated land Green Belt High quality agricultural land Historic Parks and Gardens Listed Building 6.7 11 Policies restricting / resisting the loss of the existing use Previously developed land Public rights of way / ancient lanes Recreation or Open Space / Green Links Regionally important Geological sites (RIGs) Scheduled Ancient Monuments (SAMs) Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSIs) Tree Preservation Order(s) Wildlife Site Where constraints have been identified, consideration has been given as to whether these can be overcome. Any necessary measures are identified in the associated appendices. North Hertfordshire Housing Capacity Study, Halcrow, August 2003 19 6.8 Where it is considered that constraints might be resolved, a ‘traffic light’ system using three categories: Good (green), Moderate (amber) and Difficult (red), has been used to indicate the likely prospects of those deficiencies being made good. Where identified constraints are considered to be insurmountable, the site has been defined as unsuitable for development. 6.9 The availability of sites has been assessed through direct correspondence with landowners. Some sites were already known to be available to the authorities as they have been actively promoted by landowners or developers through pre-application discussions or the development plan process. 6.10 Where the intentions of landowners were not already known, they were approached by the partner authorities to ascertain their intentions for the land. On sites where land ownership details were not known, Land Registry searches were conducted. 6.11 Responses from landowners have been used to assess the availability of sites and, where appropriate, to estimate the time period in which the site is likely to come forward. Where the landowner(s) could not be determined or no response was received, the site has been recorded as being unavailable for development. 6.12 Those sites that have been found to be both “suitable” and “available” for development have subsequently been assessed in relation to their financial viability. This assessment of achievability has been informed by the findings of the workshop held with the HBF, developers and RSLs in June 2008. Attendees were provided with a representative sample of sites in order to comment on their key strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. These findings have been applied to other relevant sites. 6.13 In relation to North Hertfordshire, the key findings were considered to be: Multiple ownership of sites cause significant obstacles to development; Development near listed buildings or in conservation areas significantly increases costs of design and construction; and Market for flats is currently weaker than it has been which may undermine some of the large town centre schemes, notably in Letchworth Garden City. 6.14 In relation to Stevenage, the key findings were considered to be: High existing use values of some employment sites could deter development; The current weak market for flats in combination with high levels of supply (particularly in the Old Town) could affect the viability / attractiveness of predominantly flatted schemes, especially in the short-term; and Potential ransom strips and assembly costs associated with sites currently in multiple ownership could increase development costs. This risk increases commensurate with the number of landowners involved. 6.15 In addition to the feedback from the workshop session, any relevant findings arising from site visits and consultation with landowners have been used to inform the assessment of this issue. 6.16 Affordable Housing requirements are recognised to be a key factor that can affect scheme viability. Both North Hertfordshire and Stevenage, through their emergent core strategies, are suggesting a tiered approach to Affordable Housing provision. If approved, this will see a 20% requirement imposed on sites of 5 units, escalating to 40% on sites of 25 units or more. 20 6.17 The implications of this policy approach have been tested through an evidence study commissioned by the two authorities12. It concluded that the 40% target was achievable on large sites and the proposed tiered approach was also viable, subject to a caveat that permits negotiation where developers can provide evidence to justify a different level of provision. Following these findings, this Assessment has not considered (emerging) Affordable Housing requirements to be a significant ‘brake’ on potential development. 6.18 As with the evaluation of site suitability, a traffic light notation has been used to indicate the prospects of potential barriers to viability being overcome. Any actions arising from this assessment have also been noted. 6.19 The assessment of sites within Stevenage, surrounding Stevenage (including land for urban extensions in North Hertfordshire) and elsewhere in North Hertfordshire are set out in turn in the following sections. 6.20 In total, this study has identified 220 specific sites which were subject to the assessment process outlined above. These sites covered some 972 hectares of land. Estimates of capacity suggest that up to 23,969 dwellings could be delivered from these sites. 12 Affordable Housing Development Economics Study, Adams Integra, September 2007. 21 7 SHLAA Results - Sites in Stevenage 7.1 The figures and sites in this section exclude land to the west and north of the existing town that lies within the Borough boundary. These areas are considered together with the land in North Hertfordshire that will be needed to deliver the urban extensions required by the East of England Plan in Section 8. 7.2 As a result of the initial site identification exercise and analysis of capacity, 113 specific sites were identified within the remainder of Stevenage Borough that were considered to have potential to deliver five or more additional dwellings (net). These formed a ‘long-list’ which was then analysed to determine the suitability and availability of each site for development. The assessment process was then used to eliminate those sites that are not considered to be candidates for housing development. 7.3 The long list of sites is contained in Table 6 and shown on the maps on the following pages. These sites covered a total of 145 hectares of land. Initial estimates of dwelling capacity suggested these sites could yield between 5,614 and 5,767 net additional dwellings. A number of additional sites were considered but were discarded as they were considered to have no potential to deliver additional housing development or would yield less than five units. 7.4 The range in the dwelling figure arises from a small number of sites where it was felt that a single estimate could prove unreliable. This includes three sites within the town centre identified elsewhere in the Borough Council’s evidence base13 as potential locations for retail-led development. A lack of comparable schemes existed. The estimate was therefore based upon a range between two figures. The first (lower) figure applied the gross dwelling density suggested in the recent outline planning application for the town centre regeneration scheme to those sites. The second (higher) figure was estimated by applying the density achieved in recent accessible, high density flat schemes to one-third of the site area. Both approaches reflected the conclusion that wholly residential uses would not be acceptable on these sites. 7.5 A significant number of the identified sites are in public ownership. This is a legacy of Stevenage’s New Town status. The Development Corporation, responsible for the planning and development of the town between 1946 and 1980, held significant land assets. Many of these were transferred to the Borough Council when the Corporation was wound up. Other sites identified are owned by a variety of agencies, investment funds, (multi-)national companies and local businesses and individuals. 7.6 Tables 7 and 8 analyse the distribution of the identified sites by ward and land type. In terms of the number of sites, the largest number of opportunities were identified in the Old Town, followed by Roebuck and Bedwell wards. A smaller number of opportunities were found in the remaining, predominantly residential wards. 7.7 When measured by site area, Longmeadow ward contained the single largest quantity of sites (41 hectares). This is due to the inclusion of a number of large greenfield opportunities to the south-east of the town. The second largest quantity of sites measured by land area, 38 hectares, was in Bedwell ward, which contains a number of large sites in the town centre. 13 Stevenage Town Centre Retail Capacity Assessment, King Sturge LLP, June 2007 22 Table 6: Long list of identified sites in Stevenage Ref Address 1 001 Shephall View 002 Vincent Court 003 Ferrier Road 004 Pond Close 005 Snooker Club 101 Telephone Exchange 102 The Granby Public House 104 Used Car Lot 105 Specialist Cars 107 Ken Brown Car showroom 108 Filling Station 109 Car Showroom 110 Filling Station 111 Filling Station 112 Peugeot Garage 113 White Lion Public House 114 Esso Garage 117 Roebuck Retail Park South 118 Roebuck Retail Park North 119 Roaring Meg South Retail Park 120 Elmes Arcade 121 Town Centre regeneration site 122 Tesco Superstore 123 The Forum 124 Market Square 125 Stevenage Leisure Park 201 Broad Hall Centre and adjacent amenity land 202 Salvation Army Hall 203 Hydean Way Drill Halls and Garage Block 204 Nokeside halls 206 Cutty’s Lane Friends Meeting House 207 Scout Hall 208 Car Park at Address 2 Fishers Green Road Letchmore Road Exchange Road and Bedwell Crescent North Road north of Tudor Close Broadwater Crescent London Road Shephall Way Lonsdale Road Chells Way Broadwater Crescent Bradman Way Pound Avenue and Letchmore Road Bell Lane Lytton Way/ Woolners Way London Road London Road Monkswood Way High Street Danestrete The Forum St Georges Way Market Place and Park Place Shephall Green and Hydean Way Bedwell Crescent Hydean Way and Long Leaves Scout Hall Broadwater and Nokeside Friends Meeting House Shephall Green Round Mead Community Centre 23 Ward Bedwell Symonds Green Manor Old Town Old Town Bedwell Woodfield Roebuck Roebuck Shephall Pin Green Chells Roebuck Martins Wood Old Town Old Town Old Town Roebuck Roebuck Roebuck Old Town Bedwell Bedwell Bedwell Bedwell Bedwell Shephall Bedwell Shephall Roebuck Bedwell Shephall Bandley Hill Site Area 0.67 1.13 1.34 0.80 0.30 0.40 0.22 0.22 0.86 0.14 0.22 0.15 0.14 0.23 0.14 0.11 0.22 0.79 0.96 1.93 0.15 18.89 2.52 1.37 1.85 8.15 1.06 0.10 0.20 0.18 0.12 0.20 0.13 Dwellings 30 51 56 48 23 50 6 13 47 6 12-20 6 13 21 12 8 23 43 45 145 8 1050 140-200 75-110 100-150 350 37 6 5 8 14 5 12 Ref 209 210 211 212 213 215 216 217 303 304 305 307 403 404 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 501 502 503 504 506 507 508 510 511 512 513 515 517 Address 1 Ex-Play Centre Chells Way Surgery Bedwell Medical Centre Scout Hut Play Centre King George Surgery Ambulance and Fire Station Longfield Fire and Rescue Centre Collenswood School Lonsdale School The Valley School Thomas Alleyne Six Hills House Kings Court Builders Yard Orchard Road Depot Saffron Ground Depot Antelope House Bank House MOT Centre Weston Road Garage Court Haycroft Road Garage Court Nash Close Garage Court Ridlins End Garage Court Broadwater Lane Garage Court and Caravan Site Tye End Garage Court Colts Corner Garage Court Mandeville Garage Court Dunn Close Garage Court Harrow Court Garage Court Brent Court Garages Court Bedwell Crescent Garage Court Valley Way Garage Court Address 2 Scarborough Avenue Columbus Close Sinfield Close Drakes Drive Eliot Road Stanmore Road St Georges Way Hitchin Road Collenswood Road Webb Rise Valley Way Olde Swan Court London Road/ Six Hills Way London Road Letchmore Road Orchard Road South end of Ditchmore Lane Julians Road Gates Way Primett Road High Street Weston Road Haycroft Road Nash Close Road Ridlins End Oaksfield Close and Broadwater Lane Tye End Colts Corner Mandeville Dunn Close Silam Road Silam Road Bedwell Crescent Valley Way 24 Ward Symonds Green Chells Bedwell Manor Chells Old Town Bedwell Woodfield Bandley Hill Pin Green Shephall Old Town Roebuck Roebuck Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Chells Bandley Hill Longmeadow Roebuck Shephall Longmeadow Bedwell Bedwell Bedwell Bedwell Shephall Site Area 0.20 0.14 0.14 0.26 0.30 0.16 0.42 2.68 2.37 1.77 2.50 1.72 0.87 0.72 0.35 0.38 0.47 0.53 0.64 0.22 0.17 0.50 0.20 0.18 0.30 0.44 0.45 0.16 0.22 0.34 0.31 0.22 0.21 0.21 Dwellings 11 6 5 14 0* 9 45 139 95 92 130 34 97 80 18 19 89 17 121 23 13 14 6 5 5 12 13 5 6 9 9 6 6 6 Ref 518 522 525 526 527 528 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 609 701 702 703 704 705 707 708 709 710 712 713 714 721 801 802 803 804 805 806 808 Address 1 Broadwater Crescent Garage Court Livingstone Link Garage court Church Lane Garage Court and Car Park Centre Car Park Northern Car Park Southern Car Park Former reserved school site Former reserved school site Land east of Bragbury Lane Land off A602 [B] Land off A602 [C] Allotments Land off Knebworth Lane Bragbury End Sports Ground Kenilworth Close Neighbourhood Centre Filey Close Neighbourhood Centre The Hyde Neighbourhood Centre The Oval Neighbourhood Centre Oaks Cross Neighbourhood Centre Burwell Road Neighbourhood Centre Roebuck Neighbourhood Centre The Glebe Neighbourhood Centre Marymead Neighbourhood Centre Canterbury Way Neighbourhood Centre Chells Manor Neighbourhood Centre Archer Road Neighbourhood Centre Bedwell Crescent NC Ridgemond Park [B] Ridgemond Park [A] Amenity Space Land to rear of Marymead Springs Aston Wood Six Acre Wood Address 2 St Margarets Livingstone Link South End Close Primett Road Primett Road Primett Road Hertford Road Edmonds Drive Bragbury End Bragbury End Bragbury End Lawrence Road Bragbury End Hertford Road Symonds Green Hydean/ Shephall Way Vardon/ Jessop Road Oaks Cross Burwell Road Broadwater Crescent/ Roebuck Gate Mobbsbury Way Broadwater Crescent Canterbury Way Pacation Way Archer Road Exchange Road Telford Avenue Telford Avenue Almonds Lane Barleycroft Devonshire Close Broadwater Lane Eliot Road 25 Ward Roebuck Manor Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Roebuck Bandley Hill Longmeadow Longmeadow Longmeadow Old Town Roebuck Longmeadow Longmeadow Symonds Green Shephall Martins Wood Longmeadow Bandley Hill Roebuck Chells Roebuck St Nicholas Martins Wood Pin Green Bedwell Chells Chells Old Town Bandley Hill Roebuck Shephall Chells Site Area 0.21 0.27 0.22 0.27 0.38 0.37 2.65 3.53 1.50 15.80 4.14 1.54 0.58 17.00 0.70 1.03 1.49 2.41 0.60 0.75 0.51 1.21 0.89 1.05 1.27 0.54 2.51 1.40 3.74 0.48 0.28 1.12 1.87 0.60 Dwellings 6 7 6 33 47 46 74 93 35 356 47 65 15 55 20 5 73 169 24 5 26 45 8 72 65 25 51 59 132 20 8 42 32 32* Ref 809 810 811 812 814 819 820 821 907 908 909 910 Address 1 Hertford Road Wood Woodland Way Wood Pear Tree Spring Land rear of Land at St Albans Link Land at Malvern Close Land West of Bragbury Lane Land at Vardon Road 24 and 26 Julians Road Hitchin Road Orchard House Ditchmore Lane Address 2 Ashburnham Walk Fir Close r/o The Maltings Finders Close Ashdown Way Bragbury End Orchard Road Ward Roebuck Roebuck Shephall Chells Woodfield Longmeadow Longmeadow Pin Green Old Town Old Town Old Town Old Town Total *Site 213 not considered to have dwelling potential in isolation. Dwelling estimate incorporated within that for Site 808 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 26 Site Area 0.72 0.23 0.36 0.33 0.18 0.27 0.33 1.09 0.25 1.47 0.19 0.52 145.48 Dwellings 29 9 16 10 5 8 13 29 6 24 5 35 5,614 – 5,767 Map 1: Long list of identified sites – Stevenage (NW) 27 Map 2: Long list of identified sites – Stevenage (NE) 28 Map 3: Long list of identified sites – Stevenage (SW) 29 Map 4: Long list of identified sites – Stevenage (SE) 30 7.8 86 of the identified sites were wholly on previously developed land. This represents 76% of the total, or 56% when measured by land area. The most significant greenfield opportunities identified are on land to the north and south of the A602 at Bragbury End, in the south-east corner of the Borough. Table 7: Distribution of identified sites in Stevenage – by Ward Ward Number of sites Area (hectares) Bandley Hill Bedwell Chells Longmeadow Manor Martins Wood Old Town Pin Green Roebuck Shephall St Nicholas Symonds Green Woodfield Total 6 16 9 10 3 3 27 4 18 10 1 3 3 113 7.36 38.23 8.05 41.00 1.87 3.91 12.73 3.62 14.03 8.19 1.05 2.36 3.08 145.48 Dwelling estimate 218 1,946 – 2,091 295 576 77 255 772 158-166 713 315 72 67 150 5,614 – 5,767 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding Table 8: Distribution of identified sites in Stevenage – by land type Land type Number of sites Area (hectares) Brownfield (PDL) Greenfield Split brownfield / greenfield Total 86 24 3 113 82.17 44.76 18.55 145.48 Dwelling estimate 4,293 – 4,446 1,215 106 5,614 – 5,767 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 7.9 These sites were subject to a full appraisal of suitability, availability and achievability in line with the methodology set out in paragraphs 6.5 to 6.18. A full list of sites including a map, analysis of surrounding land uses and appraisal of site constraints is contained in Appendix 4. A matrix containing the appraisal of the suitability, availability and achievability of these sites is contained in Appendix 5. Suitability 7.10 Of the 113 sites, 22 were assessed to be unsuitable for development. 11 of these sites were council-owned garage courts which were highly occupied with little prospect of accommodating displaced provision and / or had inadequate access to make residential development a reasonable proposition. Other sites were discounted for a variety of reasons including being designated as County Wildlife Sites or being located wholly within areas of flood risk. 7.11 Of the 91 sites considered to be suitable for development: 13 are considered to have very few constraints to development and are a “good” prospect for development; 62 are considered to have limited constraints that can be overcome and are considered a “moderate” prospect; and 16 are considered to have significant, yet resolvable, constraints and are considered a “difficult” prospect. 31 7.12 The “good” sites include three extant district plan housing allocations, where the principle of residential development has previously been accepted through the plan process, and four of the town’s neighbourhood centres where it is felt that a more intensive use of the land could be relatively easily delivered. 7.13 Sites were considered as “moderate” prospects for a variety of reasons. These include: The potential presence of contamination due to previous or existing land uses, as advised by the Council’s Environmental Health officers; The need to conduct a sequential test to show that sites located (partly) in areas of flood risk are required and / or mitigate against any increased risk; The need for a comprehensive approach across a number of sites to deliver an acceptable residential environment and / or ensure that any displaced uses can be accommodated; The need to overcome existing policy protections through either a review of existing policy or a Borough-wide assessment of need and supply; Demonstration of satisfactory access arrangements; Sites within Conservation Areas requiring a sensitive approach to design and layout. 7.14 The existing District Plan provides policy protection for a number of land uses, stating that their redundancy must be demonstrated, or suitable alternative provision made, before their loss will be permitted. The District Plan policy relating to employment uses contains a caveat that, outside of identified employment areas, this requirement may be waived where the existing uses detrimentally impact upon the amenity of surrounding residents. 7.15 Consequently, with the exception of the extant housing allocations discussed above, all sites that are currently within community, education, B-class employment or open space uses or located within the Green Belt have been recorded as, at best, “moderate” prospects for development. 7.16 Sites that have been considered as “difficult” development prospects were usually characterised by: The presence of multiple constraints (including those outlined above); and / or Challenges in terms of the site shape; and / or Potentially difficult relationship (in terms of orientation, separation distances etc) with surrounding properties or land uses. Availability 7.17 In parallel with the assessment of suitability detailed above, landowners were consulted to determine the availability of sites. This was achieved through a combination of postal survey forms, meetings and phone conversations between January and May 2008. 7.18 Of the 113 sites considered at this stage, this Assessment concludes that 61 are unavailable for development. Of these: The landowner stated that the site was not available for development or that they were not currently in a position to comment on the site’s future (44 sites); A response was not received from the landowner (13 sites); or Insufficient information was available to allow the landowner(s) to be identified and / or contacted within the time frame set (four sites). 7.19 Of the remaining sites, 45 have been classified as available for development, based upon information received from the landowner. This information has been used to inform 32 assessment of the likely time period where this sites are likely to come forwards for development. 7.20 A further seven sites have been identified as being “possibly” available. Six of these sites are currently in multiple ownership. All landowners have been contacted and sufficient respondents have expressed an interest in developing or resolving the multiple landownership issues involved to justify their inclusion. 7.21 The proposed regeneration of the town centre is included amongst these sites. The Borough Council and its preferred development partners are currently working to bring forwards a comprehensive development scheme, with an outline application under consideration at the time of writing. An application for mixed-use development has also been submitted on part of the proposed town centre regeneration site, independently of the Council-sponsored scheme, by an individual landowner. 7.22 The seventh site is the Council-owned neighbourhood centre at Canterbury Way. The availability of this site is contingent on the relocation of the existing health care uses on site. However, the recent granting of permission for a new health centre on a nearby site14 indicates that there is a sufficiently reasonable prospect of this occurring to include the site for further consideration. 7.23 At the end of this process, 49 sites were considered to be both suitable and available for development. This includes the seven sites discussed above. These sites were carried forwards to be assessed in relation to their achievability. Achievability 7.24 The assessment of financial viability, or “achievability” was conducted in light of the findings of the HBF workshop and previous evidential studies (previously discussed in paragraphs 6.12 to 6.18) as well as other information gleaned through correspondence with landowners. 7.25 Taking into account the comments received, this Assessment concludes that, although cost constraints exist on a number of the identified sites, site viability is only critically impacted in one instance. Of the 49 sites evaluated, 21 sites are considered to be “good” prospects with no significant financial barriers to development; 24 sites are considered to have “moderate” barriers to their viability; 3 sites are considered to have significant, yet resolvable, associated costs and are presented as “difficult” prospects for development; and 1 site is considered to be an unviable proposition for development 7.26 The “moderate” sites include a number of the town’s neighbourhood centres. The Borough Council is currently developing a programme to deliver the regeneration and improvement of a number of centres on a rolling programme. The need for some schemes to be crosssubsidised by the successful completion of others and / or secure external funding in order to be viable has been raised as an issue. This is reflected in the assessment. 7.27 This requirement for potential cross-subsidy was also raised in relation to sites currently in education use. Hertfordshire County Council are currently developing a bid to transform education provision in the town under the Government’s Building Schools for the Future 14 An outline application for the redevelopment of a former distribution centre for up to 386 dwellings and an enhanced Primary Care Centre was granted permission in January 2008. 33 programme. This could lead to the rationalisation of education provision on to a smaller number of sites. Attendees at the HBF workshop felt that this programme could drive up the County’s asking price for any redundant sites. 7.28 The “difficult” sites included one opportunity in the Old Town, at Hitchin Road, which is currently in highly fragmented ownership. The site consists of a number of hotels and residential properties. The Town Centre Regeneration Scheme is also highlighted as a “difficult” proposition. The scheme’s viability will be reliant on securing external funding whilst the likely need to undergo a compulsory process to assemble the site could impose significant costs. The third “difficult” proposition is on Stevenage Leisure Park. This scheme is considered contingent on the success of the town centre regeneration scheme in order to stimulate market interest. 7.29 The site that was considered to be unviable in view of the constraints is the depot at Julians Road in the Old Town. This site would require land to be acquired from a number of surrounding gardens in order to present a reasonable development opportunity while an existing residential property would need to be demolished to create an access. The HBF workshop felt that the estimated yield (17 units) would not be sufficient to attract a developer in light of the likely costs associated with assembling and developing the site. Summary of findings 7.30 Following the assessment process outlined above, 48 sites have been identified as being “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” for development. These sites satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and Government Good Practice Guidance to be included in the SHLAA and forward projections of land supply. 7.31 Table 9 on the following page summarises findings in relation to these sites. The 48 sites cover 108 hectares and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 3,752 net additional dwellings. 7.32 In terms of both site area and dwelling numbers, the largest single site identified is the town centre regeneration scheme. It is anticipated that this 19 hectare site could deliver 1,050 net additional dwellings. Other significant sites (>100 units) identified include: Land off A602[B] Stevenage Leisure Park The Oval Neighbourhood Centre Longfield Fire & Rescue Centre The Valley School 15.8 ha 8.2 ha 2.4 ha 2.7 ha 2.5 ha 356 units 350 units 169 units 139 units 130 units 7.33 Tables 10 and 11 analyse the distribution of the sites that have been assessed as suitable, available and achievable by ward and land type. In terms of dwelling numbers, the largest number of opportunities have been identified in Bedwell, including the town centre and leisure park sites identified above. 7.34 The second highest number of dwellings is found in Longmeadow, which also contains the largest quantity of opportunity sites when measured by land area. This is due to the inclusion of significant greenfield sites north and south of the A602. However, it should be noted that, on land to the north of the A602 at Bragbury End Sports Ground, it is only envisaged that housing development would occur on a small proportion of the total site. 34 Table 9: Specific Sites in Stevenage that are Suitable, Available and Achievable Ref Address 1 001 Shephall View 002 Vincent Court 003 004 104 Ferrier Road Pond Close Used Car Lot 112 Peugeot Garage 120 207 Elmes Arcade Town Centre regeneration site Stevenage Leisure Park Broad Hall Centre and adjacent amenity land Scout Hall 209 Ex-Play Centre Scarborough Avenue 212 216 303 304 305 307 406 407 Scout Hut Ambulance and Fire Station Longfield Fire and Rescue Centre Collenswood School Lonsdale School The Valley School Thomas Alleyne Builders Yard Orchard Road Depot 408 Saffron Ground 501 503 Weston Road Garage Court Nash Close Garage Court Broadwater Lane Garage Court and Caravan Site Dunn Close Garage Court Southern Car Park Former reserved school site Former reserved school site Land east of Bragbury Lane 121 125 201 217 506 511 528 601 602 603 Address 2 Ward Bedwell Symonds Green Manor Old Town Roebuck Site Area 0.67 Dwellings Suitable? Available? Achievable? 30 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Moderate 1.13 51 Yes Good Yes 2016-21 Yes Moderate 1.34 0.80 0.22 56 48 13 Yes Yes Yes Good Good Good Yes Yes Yes 2011-16 2011-16 2011-16 Yes Yes Yes Good Moderate Good Old Town 0.14 12 Yes Moderate Yes 2011-16 Yes Good Old Town 0.15 8 Yes Moderate Yes 2011-16 Yes Moderate Bedwell 18.89 1,050 Yes Moderate Possible 2011-16 Yes Difficult Bedwell 8.15 350 Yes Moderate Yes 2016-21 Yes Difficult Shephall 1.06 37 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Good 0.20 5 Yes Difficult Yes 2008-11 Yes Moderate 0.20 11 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Good Drakes Drive St Georges Way Shephall Symonds Green Manor Bedwell 0.26 0.42 14 45 Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Yes Yes 2016-21 2011-16 Yes Yes Good Moderate Hitchin Road Woodfield 2.68 139 Yes Moderate Yes 2011-16 Yes Good Bandley Hill Pin Green Shephall Old Town Old Town Old Town 2.37 1.77 2.50 1.72 0.35 0.38 95 92 130 34 18 19 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Yes Yes Yes Yes Possible Possible 2016-21 2016-21 2016-21 2016-21 2016-21 2016-21 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Old Town 0.47 89 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Good Old Town Chells 0.50 0.18 14 5 Yes Yes Moderate Difficult Yes Yes 2008-11 2008-11 Yes Yes Good Moderate Longmeadow 0.44 12 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Good Bedwell Old Town Roebuck Bandley Hill Longmeadow 0.34 0.37 2.65 3.53 1.50 9 46 74 93 35 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 2008-11 2011-16 2008-11 2008-11 2011-16 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Good Moderate Good Good Good Fishers Green Road Broadwater Crescent Pound Avenue and Letchmore Road High Street Danestrete Shephall Green and Hydean Way Shephall Green Collenswood Road Webb Rise Valley Way Olde Swan Court Letchmore Road Orchard Road South end of Ditchmore Lane Weston Road Nash Close Road Oaksfield Close and Broadwater Lane Dunn Close Primett Road Hertford Road Edmonds Drive Bragbury End 35 Ref Address 1 Address 2 604 605 Bragbury End Bragbury End Longmeadow Longmeadow Bragbury End Longmeadow 701 Land off A602 [B] Land off A602 [C] Bragbury End Sports Ground Kenilworth Close NC Site Area 15.80 4.14 Hertford Road 702 Filey Close NC Symonds Green 703 704 709 712 713 714 801 803 The Hyde NC The Oval NC The Glebe NC Canterbury Way NC Chells Manor NC Archer Road NC Ridgemond Park [B] Amenity Space Land West of Bragbury Lane Land at Vardon Road 24 and 26 Julians Road Hitchin Road Ditchmore Lane 609 820 821 907 908 910 Ward Dwellings Suitable? Available? Achievable? 356 47 Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Yes Yes 2011-16 2011-16 Yes Yes Good Good 17.00 55 Yes Difficult Yes 2011-16 Yes Moderate 0.70 20 Yes Good Yes 2011-16 Yes Good 1.03 5 Yes Good Yes 2008-11 Yes Good Hydean/ Shephall Way Vardon/ Jessop Road Mobbsbury Way Canterbury Way Pacation Way Archer Road Telford Avenue Almonds Lane Longmeadow Symonds Green Shephall Martins Wood Chells St Nicholas Martins Wood Pin Green Chells Old Town 1.49 2.41 1.21 1.05 1.27 0.54 1.40 0.48 73 169 45 72 65 25 59 20 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Good Moderate Difficult Moderate Yes Yes Yes Possible Yes Yes Yes Yes 2016-21 2011-16 2016-21 2011-16 2008-11 2008-11 2011-16 2008-11 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Good Moderate Moderate Good Bragbury End Longmeadow 0.33 13 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-11 Yes Good Pin Green Old Town Old Town Old Town 1.09 0.25 1.47 0.52 107.53 29 6 24 35 3,752 Yes Yes Yes Yes Difficult Good Moderate Good Yes Possible Possible Yes 2008-11 2016-21 2016-21 2016-21 Yes Yes Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Difficult Moderate Total Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 36 7.35 It is estimated that 2,834 of the 3,752 dwellings identified (76%) can be accommodated on previously developed sites. The overall percentage for Stevenage Borough, as identified through this assessment, is lower as the above figure excludes greenfield land which may be used to accommodate the strategic urban extensions required by the East of England Plan. These sites are identified in Section 8. The dwelling potential for the Borough as a whole is considered in the review of the Assessment in Section 10. Table 10: Distribution of suitable, available and achievable sites in Stevenage – by Ward Ward Number of sites Area (hectares) Dwelling estimate Bandley Hill 2 5.90 188 Bedwell 5 28.47 1,484 Chells 3 2.79 109 Longmeadow 7 39.91 538 Manor 2 1.60 70 Martins Wood 2 3.68 234 Old Town 13 7.58 373 Pin Green 3 3.40 146 Roebuck 2 2.87 87 Shephall 4 5.24 245 St Nicholas 1 1.05 72 Symonds Green 3 2.36 67 Woodfield 1 2.68 139 Total 48 107.53 3,752 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding Table 11: Distribution of suitable, available and achievable sites in Stevenage – by land type Ward Number of sites Area (hectares) Dwelling estimate Brownfield (PDL) 34 26.04 2,834 Greenfield 11 32.94 812 Split brownfield / greenfield 3 18.55 106 Total 48 107.53 3,752 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 37 8 SHLAA Results – Urban extensions to Stevenage 8.1 The East of England Plan, adopted in May 2008, designates Stevenage as a Key Centre for Development and Change and envisages significant growth and regeneration of the town over the plan period. A key component of this growth is the requirement to deliver urban extensions to the north and west of the town, including at least 9,600 new homes on land within North Hertfordshire by 2021. 8.2 As the figures in Section 5 show, 1,638 of these dwellings had either been built or granted planning permission at March 31st 2008. The SHLAA therefore needs to identify sites where the residual 7,962 dwellings can be located. 8.3 In reality, it is difficult to consider this target for development in North Hertfordshire without reference to land within Stevenage. In a number of locations, the boundary between the two authorities is demarcated by footpaths or field boundaries. In some areas there are no discernable features that distinguish the two authorities from one another on the ground. Consequently, some potential development sites straddle the authority boundaries, lying partly in North Hertfordshire and partly in Stevenage. 8.4 This section therefore considers the housing potential of sites that lie within the proposed boundaries of the Stevenage and North Herts Action Plan (SNAP). SNAP is the planning document being jointly prepared by the partner authorities to deliver the requirements of the East of England Plan. The proposed boundary, as suggested in the Issues and Option consultation in November 2007, is shown in Map 5 on the following page. 8.5 As a result of the initial site identification exercise and analysis of capacity, 11 specific sites were identified to the north and west of Stevenage. The sites are those which have been expressly brought to the partner authorities’ attention in light of the proposals in the East of England Plan. Other land, which has not been promoted, has not been identified at this stage as it was not possible to define specific limits to these sites. 8.6 The identified sites are listed in Table 12. They cover almost 700 hectares of land. Estimates of dwelling capacity suggest these sites could yield 14,250 net additional dwellings. Of these, 3,925 are in Stevenage Borough, with the remaining 10,235 on land in North Hertfordshire. 8.7 With the exception of a small part of the land at Stevenage Rugby Club, which accommodates the buildings associated with the club’s operation, all of the sites identified are on greenfield, or previously undeveloped, land. 8.8 These sites were subject to a full appraisal of suitability, availability and achievability in line with the methodology set out in paragraphs 6.5 to 6.18. A full list of sites including a map, analysis of surrounding land uses and appraisal of site constraints is contained in Appendix 6. A matrix containing the appraisal of the suitability, availability and achievability of these sites is contained in Appendix 7. 38 Map 5: Stevenage and North Herts Action Plan (SNAP) – Proposed plan boundary 39 Table 12: Identified sites to the north and west of Stevenage Ref Title District SNAP 1 SNAP 2 SNAP 3 SNAP 4 SNAP 5 SNAP 6 SNAP 7 SNAP 8 SNAP 9 SNAP 10 SNAP 11 Land North East of Stevenage 1 Land North East of Stevenage 2 Land North East of Stevenage 3 Land North East of Stevenage 4 Land North East of Stevenage 5 NES3 Land North of Stevenage Land West of North Road Land West of Stevenage Land at Norton Green Land at Junction 7 NHDC NHDC NHDC NHDC NHDC NHDC NHDC / SBC SBC NHDC / SBC SBC NHDC / SBC Total Site Area (Hectares) NHDC Total SBC 0 11.61 11.61 0 130.52 130.52 0 24.11 24.11 0 52.78 52.78 0 9.01 9.01 0 10.74 10.74 75.9 47.8 123.70 10.3 0 10.30 97.19 185.99 283.18 1.6 0 1.60 11.17 20.23 31.40 196.16 492.79 688.95 40 SBC 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,500 250 1,900 25 250 3,925 Dwellings NHDC 200 2,575 575 1,350 275 300 1,500 0 3,100 0 450 10,325 Total 200 2,575 575 1,350 275 300 3,000 250 5,000 25 700 14,250 Map 6: Identified sites north and west of Stevenage Suitability 8.9 Of the 11 sites, two are considered to be unsuitable for residential development. The first site (SNAP10) promoted land in the hamlet of Norton Green for development. However, although there are no specific policy restrictions on the land, development would significantly alter the character of the settlement. The second site (SNAP11) is located adjacent to Junction 7 of the A1(M) where, given its location, it was felt that any residential development would be isolated from other residential neighbourhoods and relate poorly to the remainder of the town. The developed land on the opposite side of the motorway forms part of the Gunnels Wood Employment Area. As such, it was considered that this site would be best suited for alternative, employment-related uses. 41 8.10 Of the 9 sites considered to be suitable for residential development, Five are considered to have some constraints to development and are considered a “moderate” prospect; and Four sites are considered to have significant constraints to development and are considered a “difficult” prospect. 8.11 No sites were rated as “good”, or largely unconstrained, prospects for development. Notwithstanding the broad policy support for development contained in the East of England Plan, all the sites contain a significant element of greenfield land. A number are also located partly or wholly within the Green Belt and, at minimum, will therefore require a review of the existing boundary to permit development. 8.12 The sites rated as “moderate” are located adjacent to the existing urban edge and would therefore present an opportunity to create a form of development that integrates with the existing town. 8.13 The four sites rated as “difficult” all lie to the north-east of the town. In each instance, development could only be considered suitable if adjacent sites were brought forwards first, allowing these latter sites to link in with the new development. Without this occurring, the sites would be isolated from the urban edge. This would result in incongruous development that would not sit well in its context. Availability 8.14 As previously stated, the sites in this section were selected on the basis that they had previously been brought to the partner authorities’ attention in response to the plans emerging through the East of England Plan process. 8.15 In order to determine availability, each party was contacted to ascertain their current proposals and, where appropriate, to reaffirm their commitment to development. 8.16 Following this process, it has been concluded that four of the 11 sites are unavailable for development. Three of these (SNAP1, SNAP3 and SNAP4) are located to the north-east of the town. Although this area is being promoted as a strategically planned development opportunity, approximately 35% of the land area is not in the developer’s ownership. The owners of this land have not presently expressed an intention to develop. These areas have therefore been excluded from further consideration. 8.17 The fourth site that has been determined to be unavailable is the land adjacent to Junction 7 of the A1(M) (SNAP11). The landowners have indicated that they wish to pursue the allocation of this site for employment purposes, as an extension to the existing employment area at Gunnels Wood. 8.18 Representatives for the remaining seven sites have confirmed that they would like to bring these opportunities forwards for residential development. In one instance, at Stevenage Rugby Club, the site’s availability is contingent on the present occupiers finding a new site. This site has therefore been recorded as “possible”. 8.19 The responses received have been used to inform conclusions relating to the likely phasing of housing delivery on these sites. Due to the size of the sites and the dwelling numbers involved, several of the sites have been phased across longer time periods. In the case of site SNAP2, information received from the agents suggests that a notable proportion of the homes are likely to be delivered in the period 2021-26. This is outside of the current East of 42 England Plan period and any homes delivered after 2021 will not contribute towards the target of 9,600 homes. The implications of this are discussed further in Section 10. Achievability 8.20 The viability of urban extension sites was discussed at the HBF workshop on June 8th. Attendees identified several potential financial constraints including the need to provide adequate infrastructure and the impact of planning obligations and new government requirements, such as those relating to sustainability. It was also noted that the biggest schemes contain the highest risk and uncertainty was expressed over the ability of the housing market to absorb large numbers of new dwellings. This last conclusion may have been coloured by current uncertainties in the housing market. 8.21 The six sites considered to be both “suitable” and “available” were evaluated. It was concluded that SNAP 6, which lies immediately adjacent to the existing development at Great Ashby, is considered to be a “good” prospect with no significant financial barriers to development as it could be delivered with minimal additional infrastructure being required. 8.22 Conversely, the risks identified above were considered to pose the greatest threat to the three largest sites. These were accordingly recorded as having significant, yet resolvable, associated costs and are presented as “difficult” prospects for development. It is considered that the delivery of site SNAP2 may be contingent on the provision of new roads to connect the site to the surrounding network. The partner authorities are currently undertaking a transport assessment which will investigate this matter. The remaining two sites (SNAP5 and SNAP8) are presented as having “moderate” barriers to their viability. Summary of findings 8.23 Following the assessment process outlined above, six sites have been identified as being “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” for development to the north or west of Stevenage. These sites satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and Government Good Practice Guidance to be included in the SHLAA and forward projections of land supply. 8.24 The table on the following page summarises findings in relation to these sites. The six sites cover 567 hectares and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 11,400 net additional dwellings. 8.25 Of these, 3,650 are within the Stevenage Borough boundary, on 183 hectares of land. Our estimates suggest that these homes will all be delivered by 2021 and would contribute towards the target for 6,400 new homes to be provided within the Borough boundary. 8.26 The remaining 384 hectares of land are located within North Hertfordshire. It is considered that 7,750 dwellings could be provided on this land. Our estimates suggest that the majority of these will be completed by 2021 and would contribute towards the target to provide 9,600 new dwellings within the authority to meet the growth requirements of Stevenage. The anticipated phasing of housing delivery is considered further in Section 10. 43 Table 13: Specific sites to the north and west of Stevenage that are suitable, available and achievable Site Area NHDC Total 130.52 130.52 SBC 0 Dwellings NHDC 2,575 Total 2,575 Yes Moderate Yes 2011-26 Yes Difficult 9.01 10.74 0 0 275 300 275 300 Yes Yes Difficult Moderate Yes Yes 2011-16 2008-11 Yes Yes Moderate Good 47.8 0 123.70 10.30 1,500 250 1,500 0 3,000 250 Yes Yes Moderate Moderate Yes Possible 2011-21 2011-16 Yes Yes Difficult Moderate 185.99 384.1 283.18 567.5 1,900 3,650 3,100 7,750 5,000 11,400 Yes Moderate Yes 2008-21 Yes Difficult Ref Site SNAP 2 Land North East of Stevenage 2 SBC 0 SNAP 5 SNAP 6 Land North East of Stevenage 5 NES3 0 0 9.01 10.74 SNAP 7 SNAP 8 Land North of Stevenage Land West of North Road 75.9 10.3 SNAP 9 Land West of Stevenage 97.19 Total 183.4 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 44 Suitable Available Achievable 9 SHLAA Results – Sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire District 9.1 As a result of the initial site identification exercise and analysis of capacity, 96 specific sites were identified that were considered to have potential to deliver five or more additional dwellings (net). These sites are listed in the tables and shown on the maps on the following pages. These sites covered a total of 137 hectares of land, and have been estimated to have a capacity of 3,952 dwellings. 9.2 The sites are mostly in private ownership, with the exception of in Letchworth Garden City, where the majority of the sites are owned by the Letchworth Garden City Heritage Foundation, the successor body to First Garden City Limited, who founded the town in 1903. 9.3 The tables that follow analyse the distribution of the identified sites by parish and land type 15. The greatest number of sites was found in Hitchin, although both Letchworth Garden City and Baldock have higher housing estimates than Hitchin. This is due to the sites in Hitchin tending to be smaller, whereas both Letchworth Garden City and Baldock include a number of large greenfield sites. 9.4 In terms of land area, Baldock has the largest area identified (43.4 Hectares), followed by Letchworth Garden City (33.0 Hectares), Hitchin (23.1 Hectares) and Royston (18.8 Hectares). In terms of housing estimates, Letchworth Garden City had the greatest (1,192 dwellings). The reason Letchworth Garden City achieves a higher dwelling estimate than Baldock even though less land has been identified is that the Letchworth Garden City estimate includes a higher proportion of high density dwellings within the town centre and on former employment land than Baldock does. Table 14: Distribution of identified sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire – by parish Parish Number of sites Area (hectares) Dwelling estimate Ashwell 1 0.3 11 16 Baldock 16 43.4 989 Barkway 4 2.2 44 Barley 2 0.9 22 Hitchin 22 23.1 752 Ickleford 2 0.4 12 Kimpton 3 2.0 45 Letchworth 19 33.0 1,192 Ofley 2 2.8 62 Reed 1 1.1 21 Royston 16 18.8 607 Sandon 2 0.7 16 St Ippolyts 2 2.2 51 St Paul’s Walden 2 5.5 111 Therfield 2 0.7 17 Total 96 137.1 3,952 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 15 All the sites around the edge of Baldock have been treated as part of Baldock parish for the purposes of this exercise, although some of the sites on the edge of the town are partially or wholly in the adjoining parishes of Bygrave and Clothall. 45 Table 15: Specific sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire Ref Address Ar1 Angell Farm, High Street BKr1 Garages r/o Windmill Close BKr2 Land off Windmill Close BKr3 Land north of Windmill Close BKr4 Land off Cambridge Road BLr1 Coach Depot, London Road BLr2 Land east of Picknage Road Be3 Land at Icknield Way Br1 Land north of Bygrave Road Br11 Land south of Bygrave Road Br12 South of Clothall Common Br13 Former Convent of Providence, Limekiln Lane Br14 Allotments r/o Clare Crescent Br15 Land at Baldock Station, Station Road Br16 Rentokil, London Road Br18 Works, Station Road Br19 Beech Ridge Hostel, Woodlands Way Br2 Land south of Bygrave Road Br23 Land at North Road Br3 East of Clothall Common Br4 Clothall Road Br6 adj. 68 London Road Br7 adj. Raban Court, Royston Road Hm2 Land at and around Churchgate Hm3 Post Office, Hermitage Road Hr14 Land at junction of Grays Lane and Crow Furlong Hr2 Bevan House, r/o 34 Bancroft Hr22 Land off Hine Way Hr24 Land at Lucas Lane Hr25 Land at junction of Grays Lane and Lucas Lane Hr26 Gardens backing onto Matthew Gate Hr28 Goods Yard, Nightingale Road Hr30 Land south of Oughtonhead Lane Hr33 Railway sidings, St Michael's Road Hr4 Land between 38 & 44 Bearton Road Hr43 r/o The Aspens & 46 Wymondley Road Hr44 r/o The Aspens & 54 Wymondley Road, Hitchin Hr45 Top Field, Fishponds Road Hr46 Former B&Q, Nightingale Road Hr47 Land off Sycamore Close Hr48 59 Walsworth Road Hr49 Former bus depot, Fishponds Road Hr50 John Barker Place Hr52 Industrial area, Cooks Way Hr6 r/o Fieldfares, Benslow Lane Hr7 22 Bridge Street Ir1 adj. 69 Arlesey Road Ir2 r/o 55 Arlesey Road Kr1 Land off High Street Kr2 Land off Lloyd Way 46 Parish Ashwell Barkway Barkway Barkway Barkway Barley Barley Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin St Ippolyts Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Ickleford Ickleford Kimpton Kimpton Site area 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.9 6.5 3.8 13.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.5 1.9 4.4 1.6 6.7 0.3 0.2 3.0 0.4 2.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.6 0.3 2.5 1.8 3.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 2.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 Dwellings 11 8 11 12 13 7 15 46 130 75 267 32 21 6 20 11 68 38 87 32 135 15 6 61 8 41 8 5 26 12 9 163 37 182 5 10 7 56 21 19 17 44 0 24 8 8 6 6 13 21 Ref Kr3 Lm1 Lm2 Lr11 Lr13 Lr14 Lr15 Lr16 Lr18 Lr19 Lr2 Lr23 Lr24 Lr25 Lr26 Lr27 Lr30 Lr33 Lr8 Ls2 Or1 Or2 RDr1 Rr2 Rr1 Rr10 Rr11 Rr12 Rr13 Rr16 Rr18 Rr19 Rr21 Rr23 Rr26 Rr3 Rr4 Rr6 Rr7 SIr3 Sr1 Sr3 Tr1 Tr2 Address Land and garages off Wren Close Library and museum site, Gernon Road Land at, The Wynd Ivel Court, Radburn Way Land east of, Talbot Way Land off, Talbot Way Land west of (south), Western Way Land at, Birds Hill Land north of former Norton School, Norton Road Former petrol station, Southfields opp 382-392, Icknield Way Garage court off, Broadwater Dale Land off, Radburn Way Former goods yard & car dealers, Norton Way North Garage, Station Road Land west of (north), Western Way Laundry, Pixmore Avenue Land north of, Croft Lane St Michael's House, 105, Norton Way South Arena Parade, Arena Parade r/o 14-30, High Street Allotment Gardens, Luton Road Land at, Blacksmiths Lane Land at Lumen Road Ivy Farm, Baldock Road Land adj 20, Lindsay Close Land north of, Lindsay Close The Warren Car Park, London Road Industrial estate, Lower Gower Road former Priory Cinema and swimming pool, Newmarket Road r/o Blackett Ord Court, Stamford Avenue Land east of, Thackeray Close Heath House, Princes Mews The Maltings, Green Drift Land r/o Banyers Hotel and off, King James Way Land north of, Betjeman Road Land north of, Coombelands Road Agricultural supplier, Garden Walk Royston FC, Garden Walk Land south of, Stevenage Road Land at, Dark Lane Land north of, Payne End Nine Elms (adj Windrush Barn), Police Row adj Tussocks, The Causeway WHr1 Land south of, High Street, Whitwell WHr2 Land south of, High Street, Whitwell 47 Parish Kimpton Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Offley Offley Reed Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Site area 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 7.4 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.9 0.3 1.3 0.2 0.9 1.8 0.3 5.3 0.7 4.7 0.2 1.2 0.3 2.4 1.1 1.5 3.4 0.1 3.6 0.7 0.5 Dwellings 11 21 100 59 148 56 28 32 56 17 50 6 0 53 10 106 36 94 20 300 14 48 21 75 69 6 72 55 25 Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston St Ippolyts Sandon Sandon Therfield Therfield St Paul's Walden St Paul's Walden Total 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.6 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 10 15 11 56 9 5 72 27 56 44 32 6 10 12 5 2.2 44 3.3 137.2 67 3,952 Map 7: Sites in Ashwell Map 8:Sites in Baldock including parts in Bygrave and Clothall parishes Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 48 Map 9: Sites in Barkway Map 10: Sites in Barley Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 49 Map 11: Sites in Hitchin Map 12: Sites in Ickleford Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 50 Map 13: Sites in Kimpton Map 14: Sites in Letchworth Garden City Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 51 Map 15: Sites in Offley Map 16: Sites in Reed Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 52 Map 17: Sites in Royston Map 18: Sites in Sandon Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 53 Map 19: Sites in St Ippolyts Map 20: Sites in Whitwell in the parish of St Paul’s Walden Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 54 Map 21: Sites in Therfield Mapping is © Crown Copyright. 100018622 2007 55 Table 16: Distribution of identified sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire – by land type Land type Number of sites Area (hectares) Dwelling estimate Brownfield (PDL) 59 39.6 1,945 Greenfield 37 97.6 2,007 Total 96 137.1 3,952 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 9.5 These sites were subject to a full appraisal of suitability, availability and achievability in line with the methodology set out in paragraphs 6.5 to 6.18. A full list of sites, including a map, analysis of surrounding land uses and appraisal of site constraints is contained in Appendix 8. A matrix containing the appraisal of suitability, availability and achievability of these sites is contained in Appendix 9. Suitability 9.6 Of the 96 sites, only one was considered unsuitable for development. The fact that the vast majority of the sites were deemed suitable is a function of the way the sites were chosen. The one site deemed unsuitable was identified as part of a desk-based study, but from a site visit it is clear that the topography makes it unsuitable for development. 9.7 Of the 95 sites deemed suitable for development: 47 are considered to have very few constraints to development and are deemed a “good” prospect for development. 38 are considered to have limited constraints that can be overcome and are deemed a “moderate” prospect for development. 10 are considered to have difficult, yet resolvable, constraints and are considered a “difficult” prospect for development. 9.8 A large proportion of the good sites are those where negotiations are already underway with landowners, such that any problems have been discussed and investigated already. Further, almost all the greenfield sites on the edges of towns and villages have very few physical constraints which would inhibit their development. For these sites it must be stressed that physical suitability for development is only part of the process of deciding which pieces of land are allocated for development. 9.9 The 38 sites considered moderate were deemed so for a variety of reasons. These include: potential contamination, on the advice of the Council’s Environmental Protection team; inadequacies of current access; need to overcome existing policies (e.g. loss of employment, loss of playing fields) to make development acceptable; need for existing users to relocate to enable development to occur. 9.10 The 10 sites considered difficult have more complicated problems with their suitability, including: lack of access, or entirely unsuitable access; split ownerships; relocation of major facilities (e.g. postal delivery office). 56 Availability 9.11 In parallel with the assessment of suitability detailed above, landowners were consulted to determine the availability of sites. This was achieved through a postal survey in April 2008, which has been used in combination with other information submitted as representations to the Land Allocations Issues and Options consultation document in January to March 2008. 9.12 Of the 96 sites, 32 appear to be currently unavailable. Thirteen of these were where the landowner has explicitly said they do not wish to promote the land for development. The other 19 sites deemed unavailable are where no response has been received from the landowner. 9.13 Whilst the absence of a response from these landowners means that we cannot demonstrate that these sites are currently available, it may well prove that some of these sites do come forward for development. Further efforts will be made to contact these particular landowners for future updates of the SHLAA. 9.14 This leaves 64 sites which are considered available, based on landowner intentions. Landowner intentions have also informed the phasing of sites – for instance, some landowners advised that their site would become available after existing leases expired, giving some certainty as to when those sites will come forward. All these 64 were considered suitable under the first test. Achievability 9.15 The assessment of financial viability, or “achievability” was conducted in light of the findings of the HBF workshop and previous evidential studies (previously discussed in paragraphs 6.12 to 6.18) as well as other information gleaned through correspondence with landowners. 9.16 Achievability was only considered on the 64 sites which passed the first two tests of suitability and availability. Of these 64 sites, none were considered to be so poorly performing that they would not be viable, albeit current market uncertainty may delay some types of sites until a stronger market emerges. 41 sites are considered ‘good’, with no significant financial barriers to development; 22 sites are considered ‘moderate’, with some barriers; and 1 site is considered ‘difficult’, with significant, but probably resolvable, costs that may impact upon its viability. 9.17 The difficult site suffers from a complete absence of any current vehicular access, although the landowner is known to be investigating ways of acquiring such an access. 9.18 The sites considered moderate have been classed as such for a range of reasons, including: Schemes predominantly for flats have been deemed difficult, purely on the basis of current market conditions; Fragmented ownership; and Contaminated land. Summary of findings 9.19 Following the assessment process outlined above, 64 sites have been identified as being ‘suitable’, ‘available’ and ‘achievable’ for development. These sites therefore satisfy the requirements set out in PPS3 and the Practice Guidance for preparing SHLAAs. 57 9.20 The table on the following page summarises the findings in relation to these sites. The 64 sites cover 102.5 hectares of land, and have been assessed as having the potential to deliver 2,876 dwellings (net). 9.21 The largest single site in terms of dwelling estimates is the Arena Parade scheme in Letchworth town centre, with 300 dwellings, whilst the largest site by area of land is the land south of Clothall Common at Baldock, which is 13.3Ha. 9.22 The tables below analyse the distribution of the sites that have been assessed as suitable, available and achievable by parish and land type. Baldock has the largest area of land which met all three tests, and also the highest dwelling estimate, of 957 dwellings. 9.23 Of the 2,876 dwellings identified, 1,287 are on brownfield land, representing 45% of the total. Table 17: Distribution of suitable, available and achievable sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire – by parish Number of Area Dwelling sites (hectares) estimate Parish Baldock 13 42.6 957 Barkway 3 1.9 36 Barley 1 0.7 15 Hitchin 13 15.7 331 Kimpton 2 1.7 34 Letchworth 12 11.4 707 Offley 2 2.8 62 Reed 1 1.1 21 Royston 13 18.4 577 Sandon 1 0.2 6 St Ippolyts 1 0.6 19 St Paul's Walden 2 5.5 111 Total 64 102.5 2,876 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding Table 18: Distribution of suitable, available and achievable sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire – by land type Land type Number of sites Area (hectares) Dwelling estimate Brownfield (PDL) 33 25.9 1,287 Greenfield 31 76.6 1,589 Total 64 102.5 2,876 Area figures may not sum precisely due to rounding 58 Table 19: Specific sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire that are suitable, available and achievable Ref Be3 Br1 Br11 Br12 Br13 Br14 Br15 Br16 Br19 Br2 Br23 Br3 Br4 BKr2 BKr3 BKr4 BLr2 Hm2 Hr14 Hr22 Hr24 Hr25 Hr30 Hr43 Hr44 Hr45 Hr49 Hr50 Hr52 Hr6 Kr1 Kr2 Lm1 Lm2 Lr11 Lr14 Lr16 Lr18 Lr19 Lr2 Lr23 Address Land at Icknield Way Land north of Bygrave Road Land south of Bygrave Road South of Clothall Common Former Convent of Providence, Limekiln Lane Allotments r/o Clare Crescent Land at Baldock Station, Station Road Rentokil, London Road Beech Ridge Hostel, Woodlands Way Land south of Bygrave Road Land at North Road East of Clothall Common Clothall Road Land off Windmill Close Land north of Windmill Close Land off Cambridge Road Land east of Picknage Road Land at and around Churchgate Land at junction of Grays Lane and Crow Furlong Land off Hine Way Land at Lucas Lane Land at junction of Grays Lane and Lucas Lane Land south of Oughtonhead Lane r/o The Aspens & 46 Wymondley Road r/o The Aspens & 54 Wymondley Road, Hitchin Top Field, Fishponds Road Former bus depot, Fishponds Road John Barker Place Industrial area, Cooks Way r/o Fieldfares, Benslow Lane Land off High Street Land off Lloyd Way Library and museum site, Gernon Road Land at, The Wynd Ivel Court, Radburn Way Land off, Talbot Way Land at, Birds Hill Land north of former Norton School, Norton Road Former petrol station, Southfields opp 382-392, Icknield Way Garage court off, Broadwater Dale Site area 0.9 6.5 3.8 13.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 4.4 1.6 6.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 3.0 2.1 0.3 1.3 0.6 1.8 0.3 0.2 2.8 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.9 0.3 1.3 0.2 Parish Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Baldock Barkway Barkway Barkway Barley Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Hitchin Kimpton Kimpton Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth 59 Dwellings 46 130 75 267 32 21 6 20 68 38 87 32 135 11 12 13 15 61 41 5 26 12 37 10 7 56 44 0 24 8 13 21 21 100 59 56 32 56 17 50 6 Suitable? Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Difficult Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Difficult Yes Good Yes Good Yes Difficult Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Difficult Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Available? Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2016-21 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2016-21 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2016-21 Yes 2016-21 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2016-21 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Achievable? Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Difficult Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Ref Lr24 Lr26 Ls2 Or1 Or2 RDr1 Rr1 Rr11 Rr12 Rr13 Rr16 Rr19 Rr2 Rr21 Rr26 Rr3 Rr4 Rr6 Rr7 Sr1 Hr47 WHr1 WHr2 Address Land off, Radburn Way Garage, Station Road Arena Parade, Arena Parade r/o 14-30, High Street Allotment Gardens, Luton Road Land at, Blacksmiths Lane Ivy Farm, Baldock Road Land north of, Lindsay Close The Warren Car Park, London Road Industrial estate, Lower Gower Road former Priory Cinema and swimming pool, Newmarket Road Land east of, Thackeray Close Land at Lumen Road Heath House, Princes Mews Land r/o Banyers Hotel and off, King James Way Land north of, Betjeman Road Land north of, Coombelands Road Agricultural supplier, Garden Walk Royston FC, Garden Walk Land at, Dark Lane Land off Sycamore Close Land south of, High Street, Whitwell Land south of, High Street, Whitwell Parish Letchworth Letchworth Letchworth Offley Offley Reed Royston Royston Royston Royston Site area 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.3 2.4 1.1 3.4 3.6 0.7 0.5 Dwellings 0 10 300 14 48 21 69 72 55 25 Royston 0.4 0.5 1.5 0.3 0.3 3.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.6 2.2 3.3 102.5 Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Royston Sandon St Ippolyts St Paul's Walden St Paul's Walden Total 60 Suitable? Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Difficult Available? Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2008-11 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2011-16 Yes 2016-21 Achievable? Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Good Yes Good Yes Moderate Yes Moderate 10 Yes Moderate Yes 2011-16 Yes Good 11 75 56 5 72 27 56 44 6 19 44 67 2,876 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Good Moderate Good Moderate Good Difficult Good Good Good Good Moderate Moderate Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 2011-16 2016-21 2016-21 2008-11 2011-16 2011-16 2011-16 2011-16 2008-11 2011-16 2011-16 2011-16 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Good Moderate Good Moderate Good Moderate Moderate Good Good Good Good Good 10 Reviewing the Assessment 10.1 The previous sections have identified specific sites in Stevenage and North Hertfordshire that can be considered suitable, available and achievable for development. The Government’s practice guidance suggests that, following this process, the assessment should be reviewed to determine whether sufficient sites have been identified or whether further sources, including broad locations for development and / or windfalls should be considered. 10.2 The table below assesses the ability of the partner authorities to meet the requirements of the East of England Plan over the period 2001-2021 based upon recorded completions, housing supply at 31st March 2008 and the findings of this assessment. Table 20: Identified land supply 2001-2021 Stevenage Borough East of England Plan target Net completions 2001-08 st Identified supply at 31 March 2008 Specific sites identified in Stevenage* Specific sites identified to the north and west of Stevenage* Specific sites identified elsewhere in North Herts* Total Surplus / deficit against East of England Plan target Elsewhere in North Herts Total 6,400 1,364 Urban extensions around Stevenage in North Herts 9,600 1,432 6,200 2,837 22,200 5,633 1,216 206 1,472 2,894 3,752 - - 3,752 3,650 6,675 - 10,325 - - 2,876 2,876 9,982 8,313 7,185 25,480 +3,582 -1,287 +985 +3,280 * Figure is for those sites considered “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” in Sections 7, 8 and 9. 10.3 Specific sites that could accommodate almost 17,000 new dwellings have been identified through this SHLAA. When these are added to housing completions achieved to date and existing housing supply, more than 25,000 dwellings could be delivered in Stevenage and North Hertfordshire over the period 2001-2021. This is in excess of the 22,200 dwellings identified for the two authorities in the East of England Plan. However, unlike the three component parts, this overall figure does not in itself constitute a target. Stevenage 10.4 The East of England Plan requires 6,400 new dwellings to be delivered within the Stevenage Borough boundary. The SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 7,402 dwellings. Broadly speaking, this figure is split evenly between greenfield land to the north and west of the town for urban extensions as identified in Section 8 (3,650 dwellings) and sites elsewhere within and around the existing town identified in Section 7 (3,752 dwellings). 10.5 When housing completions and supply are added, it is considered that there is sufficient land for 9,982 homes in the Borough over the period 2001-2021. This represents a surplus of 3,582 over the East of England Plan target. 10.6 Given that the authority intends to adopt its Development Plan Documents in 2010 and 2011, this SHLAA therefore meets the minimum requirement set out in Government guidance to identify sufficient specific sites for at least the first ten years of a plan from the anticipated date of its adoption. 61 10.7 Based upon information provided by landowners, it is possible to produce an estimate of how this quantum of housing might be delivered over the plan period. Graph 1 sets out an indicative trajectory. These findings are also summarised in the table below. Where landowners (or their agents) have provided detailed information on the anticipated delivery of their site(s), this has been used. Otherwise it has been assumed that: Outstanding housing supply on sites already granted permission will be delivered evenly over the next three years; Sites which landowners have suggested could be delivered prior to 2011 will come forwards evenly across the 2009/10 and 2010/11 monitoring years. This allows time for those sites to progress through the planning process prior to implementation; Housing delivery from other sites has been annualised across the time period in which it is anticipated to be delivered. For example, if a site of 200 homes has been identified for the 2011-16 time period, it has been assumed that 40 units will be delivered in each of those five years. Table 21: Indicative phasing of housing supply in Stevenage Borough 2001-2021 Period Completions / Existing Identified Sites Total Housing Supply 2001-08 1,364 1,364 2008-11 1,216 852 2,068 2011-16 4,022 4,022 2016-21 2,528 2,528 Total 2,580 7,402 9,982 Urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire 10.8 The East of England plan requires 9,600 new dwellings to be delivered as urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire. The SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 7,750 dwellings, though it is anticipated that some of these will be built after 2021 and will not contribute towards the East of England Plan target. 10.9 Based upon information provided by landowners, it is possible to produce an estimate of how this housing might be delivered over the plan period. Graph 2 sets out an indicative trajectory. These findings are also summarised in the table below. These figures have been produced using the same assumptions set out in paragraph 10.7. Table 22: Indicative phasing of housing supply for urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire 2001-2021 Period Completions / Existing Identified Sites Total Housing Supply 2001-08 1,432 1,432 2008-11 206 816 1,022 2011-16 2,617 2,617 2016-21 3,242 3,242 Total 1,638 6,675 8,313 10.10 When housing completions and supply are added to the identified sites, it is considered that there is sufficient land to provide 8,313 homes over the period 2001-2021. This represents a deficit of 1,287 units against the East of England plan target. 10.11 North Hertfordshire District Council and Stevenage Borough Council intend to adopt their joint Action Plan for the urban extensions in 2011. The sites identified do not provide sufficient land to meet the East of England Plan target to 2021. This SHLAA therefore fails to meet the minimum requirement set out in Government guidance to identify sufficient specific 62 sites for at least the first ten years of a plan from the anticipated date of its adoption for this area. 10.12 It is acknowledged that this represents a serious shortcoming. However, the SHLAA is constrained in that it can only include sites which meet the three tests of suitability, availability and achievability set out in Section 6. All specific sites that have been promoted to the partner authorities to date are included in this study and the SHLAA cannot simply ‘invent’ further sites with arbitrary boundaries to remedy any deficiency. The partner authorities recognise the need to work proactively with landowners to identify specific sites that can help meet this shortfall prior to the submission of the joint Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP). 10.13 In the interim, where specific sites cannot be identified, authorities should consider the potential for broad locations and / or windfalls to meet the outstanding requirements. The housing potential of broad locations in North Hertfordshire that could provide urban extensions to Stevenage are considered further in Section 11. Sites elsewhere in North Hertfordshire 10.14 In addition to contributing towards the future housing requirements of an expanded Stevenage, the East of England plan requires 6,200 new dwellings to be delivered elsewhere in North Hertfordshire by 2021. The SHLAA has identified specific sites that could deliver 2,876 dwellings within the plan period. When housing completions and supply are added, it is considered that there is sufficient land to provide 7,185 homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire over the period 2001-2021. This represents a surplus of 985 units against the East of England plan target. 10.15 North Hertfordshire District Council intend to adopt their Development Plan Documents in 2010 and 2011. Given that this SHLAA identifies a surplus over the East of England Plan target to 2021, this SHLAA meets the minimum requirement to identify 10 years worth of specific sites from the anticipated year of adoption. 10.16 Based upon information provided by landowners, it is possible to produce an estimate of how this quantum of housing might be delivered over the plan period. Graph 3 sets out an indicative trajectory. These findings are also summarised in the table below. These figures have been produced using the same assumptions set out in paragraph 10.7. Table 23: Indicative phasing of housing supply elsewhere in North Hertfordshire 2001-2021 Period Completions / Existing Identified Sites Total Housing Supply 2001-08 2,837 2,837 2008-11 1,472 349 1,821 2011-16 2,201 2,201 2016-21 326 326 Total 4,309 2,876 7,185 63 Graph 1: Indicative Housing Trajectory 2001-2021: Stevenage Borough 1000 Net Completions (projected beyond 2008) Rate required to meet RSS target 900 831 832 804 805 804 805 804 800 Net Dwellings 700 600 505 506 506 506 505 500 386 400 405 353 300 200 180 168 128 112 100 37 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Monitoring Year Ending 64 1000 Graph 2: Indicative Housing Trajectory 2001-2021: Urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire Net Completions (projected beyond 2008) Rate required to meet RSS target 900 800 Net Dwellings 700 648 649 648 649 648 600 523 477 500 524 523 524 523 476 400 310 300 246 223 233 240 200 97 100 83 69 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Monitoring Year Ending 65 Graph 3: Indicative Housing Trajectory 2001-2021: Elsewhere in North Hertfordshire 1000 Net Completions (projected beyond 2008) Rate required to meet RSS target 900 800 Net Dwellings 700 665 665 600 483 500 414 400 491 440 422 393 367 368 440 440 440 440 390 300 200 100 65 65 65 65 65 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Monitoring Year Ending 66 Looking beyond 2021 10.17 The paragraphs above consider the extent to which the partner authorities can deliver the housing requirements of the East of England Plan over the period to 2021. Given the intended date of adoption for North Hertfordshire and Stevenage’s Development Plan Documents, the exercise also served to determine whether the authorities would be able to demonstrate a ten-year supply of specific sites. 10.18 The consultation with landowners asked them to consider their sites over this period of time. This was felt to be the most appropriate approach given the familiarity with the regional plan period, the minimum requirement for the SHLAA to demonstrate a 10-year supply of specific sites and the difficulty of forecasting land requirements beyond this time scale. Indeed, some feedback received from landowners indicated that even considering sites over this time period was a challenging exercise. 10.19 Notwithstanding these findings, Government policy states that, where possible, plans should identify specific site for years 10-15 (and, if possible, beyond) of their intended plan period. For both of the partner authorities, this would require the identification of a supply of specific sites to the year 2026. 10.20 It is therefore considered appropriate to assess the findings of the SHLAA over this longer time period. 10.21 The housing targets in the East of England Plan cover the period 2001-2021. However, Policy H1 contains provision for projecting forwards beyond this point. It states that local planning authorities should assume that the annual rate of housing provision post-2021 will be whichever is the highest of: The annual rate of housing provision required by the East of England Plan between 2001 and 2021; or The annual rate of housing provision required between 2006 and 2021 to meet the overall target in the East of England Plan, taking into account housing completions delivered between 2001 and 2006. 10.22 Based upon this advice, the two authorities need to plan for the following additional levels of development between 2021 and 2026: 1,900 homes within Stevenage Borough; 2,900 homes as urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire; and 1,550 homes elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 10.23 The review of assessment’s findings in Table 20 showed that, when measured against the housing target to 2021, a surplus of specific sites have been identified within Stevenage and elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 10.24 It is acknowledged that the housing targets set in the East of England Plan are minima. However, the partner authorities may, in allocating sites through their LDF wish to identify some of the sites identified through the SHLAA for the period beyond 2021. This would help to meet the requirement for housing in the period to 2026 and promote sustainable levels of growth over this longer time period. 10.25 Table 24 below, re-assesses the findings of the SHLAA against housing targets for the period 2001-2026. Within Stevenage, the supply of specific sites identified within this document is more than sufficient to meet the Borough’s housing requirement over this longer 67 time period. It would be possible to identify a 15-year supply of specific sites, measured from 2011, from the sites considered in this SHLAA. There is therefore no requirement for broad locations for future growth or a windfall allowance to be considered. 10.26 It has already been determined that the partner authorities cannot demonstrate a supply of specific sites to meet the housing target for the provision of urban extensions to Stevenage within North Hertfordshire over the period to 2021. Representatives for sites to the north-east of the town provided detailed information to show some homes would not be delivered until post 2021. However, even if these additional units are counted, there is still a deficit when measured against the extended housing targets to 2026. This is demonstrated by the shortfall of 3,112 dwellings in the Table 24. Options for making good this deficiency are explored in Section 11. 10.27 When measured against the 2021 housing target, a surplus of 985 units was identified elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. This goes some way towards meeting housing requirements between 2021 and 2026. However, there is an overall deficit of 565 units when measured over this longer time period. Section 11 considers how this residual requirement may be met. Table 24: Identified land supply measured against housing targets 2001-2026 Stevenage Urban Elsewhere in Borough extensions North Herts around Stevenage in North Herts East of England Plan target 6,400 9,600 6,200 2001-2021 Provisional East of England Plan 1,900 2,900 1,550 target 2001-2026 Total 8,300 12,500 7,750 Net completions 2001-08 1,364 1,432 2,837 st Identified supply at 31 March 1,216 206 1,472 2008 Specific sites identified in the 7,402 7,750 2,876 SHLAA* Total 9,982 9,388 7,185 Surplus / deficit against East of +1,682 -3,112 -565 England Plan 2026 target Total 22,200 6,350 28,550 5,633 2,894 18,028 26,555 -1,995 * Figure is for those sites considered “suitable”, “available” and “achievable” in Sections 7, 8 and 9. Risk Assessment 10.28 The government’s good practice guidance suggests that, in reviewing the Assessment, authorities should undertake an overall risk assessment to identify the potential barriers that may prevent sites coming forwards for development. 10.29 In assessing individual sites, the partner authorities have attempted to reasonably anticipate constraints on a site-by-site basis and identify the measures required to overcome these. These have informed the assessment of suitability, availability and achievability. Where it is considered that the risks are too great, sites have not been carried forward. Where appropriate, allowances have been made in the anticipated phasing of sites to allow for resolution of these issues. 10.30 However, there are also a number of wider issues that are not site specific, and may hinder development over the plan period. As of April 2008, the key risks are considered to be that: 68 Constraints identified in the site assessment prove more difficult to overcome than anticipated and / or ultimately cannot be overcome; Sites may be brought forward for development but delays in the planning process through, for example, call-in inquiries or Section 106 negotiations may delay their approval and, therefore, delivery; Delays in delivering a complete planning policy framework may cause uncertainty and / or a policy vacuum. Although the East of England Plan has been adopted, it is currently subject to a legal challenge which could lead to some or all of its policies being quashed. Meanwhile, the government has recently revised the Local Development Framework process16. Although this may streamline the process for those Development Plan Documents which have yet to be started, those documents which are partially complete will need to be evaluated to ensure that they meet all of the revised requirements prior to their submission for examination; Ongoing uncertainty in the housing market, linked to the ‘credit crunch’ and unfavourable conditions in the wider economy could continue. This could mean that sites do not come forwards as anticipated, though it should be noted that this issue lies outside the control of the planning system; and The delivery of new housing within the study area will be contingent on the timely delivery of infrastructure. The East of England Plan acknowledges that waste water infrastructure serving the area is reaching its environmental limits. Stevenage and Harlow Councils have recently commissioned a Water Cycle Study to identify strategic solutions to capacity restrictions at the Rye Meads sewage treatment works. The findings and recommendations of this study will need to be implemented to accommodate all of the growth required by the East of England Plan. However, this will be contingent on the relevant water companies securing sufficient funding and incorporating relevant construction works into their future business plans. The capacity of other infrastructure (including rail and road networks) will need to be sufficient to absorb the additional demands generated by housing growth. 10.31 The two councils will continue to monitor these factors and alter the anticipated phasing of individual sites and / or bring sites into their five-year land supplies to ensure the continuous delivery of housing required by Government housing policy17. 16 17 Planning Policy Statement 12: Local Spatial Planning was published in June 2008. Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing 69 11 Broad locations and Windfalls 11.1 The Practice Guidance on SHLAAs and PPS3 both stress the importance of identifying specific sites when making projections of future housing. However, the guidance recognises that in some instances there may be valid reasons why it is not possible to identify sufficient specific sites. In such circumstances it is necessary to consider whether there are broad locations which might be able to meet the targets, or a source of sites that is likely to contribute to supply but for which sites cannot be precisely identified. 11.2 For Stevenage Borough, it has been possible to identify sufficient specific sites which are suitable, available and achievable to meet housing targets both to 2021 and 2026. No further consideration of alternative locations is therefore required. 11.3 For urban extensions to Stevenage on land in North Hertfordshire, there is a shortfall of 1,287 dwellings up to 2021, and a shortfall of 3,112 dwellings up to 2026. Elsewhere in North Hertfordshire, sufficient sites have been identified to meet targets to 2021, but there is a shortfall of 565 dwellings in the period up to 2026. 11.4 In light of these shortfalls, it is necessary to consider whether there are broad locations for growth or a justifiable windfall allowance that can be identified in order to give confidence that the housing targets can be met. 11.5 For the urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire, being almost exclusively greenfield land, there is no likely source of windfall housing. However, the strategic policy context for this area means that a broad locations approach will be appropriate. Conversely, for the rest of North Hertfordshire, it is much harder to identify such broad locations. However, within the historic towns and villages, there are many small sites which have been too small for consideration as specific sites within this assessment, but could contribute as a windfall allowance. Broad locations for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire 11.6 In order to try and identify sufficient sites for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire, a number of broad locations have been assessed. In Section 8, a number of sites which are suitable, available and achievable for development were identified. However, the proposed boundary of the joint Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP) extends beyond these sites. The remaining areas of SNAP have therefore been analysed to see whether they have sufficient potential for housing to be identified as broad locations for the purposes of this assessment. 11.7 To inform this analysis, a number of masterplans for urban extensions have been reviewed, in order to establish sensible assumptions regarding the net developable area for housing and densities that might be delivered from a specified amount of land. These reviewed masterplans are drawn both from schemes within the SNAP area, such as the West Stevenage proposals and the implemented development at Great Ashby, and from elsewhere, including sites at Kettering, Northampton, Cambridge, Aylesbury, Harlow and Daventry. In light of this review, the following assumptions to assist in estimating housing yield from specific areas of land have been made: Locations of 0-25ha: 70% gross site area to net housing land ratio; Locations of 25-75ha: 60% gross to net ratio; and Locations of 75ha+: 50% gross to net ratio Density of 38dph on net housing development area 70 11.8 A number of broad locations within the SNAP area that had not been considered in the site specific section above were then identified and estimates of their capacity made. The sites to the north-east of Stevenage that were considered previously in Section 8 but discounted due to uncertainty over their availability have also been included in this exercise, using the dwelling estimates previously made. 11.9 These estimates have then been aggregated for each of the areas of search that were discussed in the SNAP Issues and Options Paper published by the partner authorities in November 2007. These totals are shown on Map 22 on the following page and summarised in the table below. Table 25: Summary of broad locations Area of search Dwelling Comments estimate These sites were previously considered in Section 8 but are North East (pink) 2,125 currently deemed unavailable for development. No further sites have been identified in this area beyond North (yellow) 0 those identified in Section 8. 175 dwellings estimated to be within the Stevenage Borough North West (orange) 3,210 boundary. Stevenage West 0 Already identified as a specific site in Section 8. application site (blue) West (green) 8,130 South West (grey) 670 Total 14,135 175 of this figure within Stevenage Borough boundary. 11.10 It can therefore be seen that the broad locations within the SNAP area within North Hertfordshire potentially yield 14,135 dwellings. Of these, 175 are estimated to be within the Stevenage Borough boundary and could not contribute to the identified deficit. However, this leaves 13,960 dwellings on land within North Hertfordshire. 11.11 This figure is sufficient to meet the identified shortfalls of 1,287 dwellings to 2021 and 3,112 dwellings to 2026. Further, it demonstrates that there is sufficient land within the SNAP area to continue to provide dwellings up to 2031. In accordance with Policy SV1 of the East of England Plan, the Green Belt review around Stevenage will need to allow for continued growth of the town up until 2031. 11.12 It must be stressed that this exercise on broad locations has taken no account of the constraints affecting particular pieces of land, nor of any coalescence that may result from their development. It is not the role of the SHLAA to make policy judgements; that is the role of the SNAP document. Clearly, further work will need to be done on all these broad locations in due course to establish which are the most appropriate to be allocated for development. The purpose of the SHLAA in this respect is merely to demonstrate that there are sufficient sites available to choose between. 71 Map 22: Estimated housing capacity of broad locations within the proposed Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP) boundary* *Excludes capacity arising from specific sites previously identified in Section 8. 72 Windfalls elsewhere in North Hertfordshire 11.13 The Practice Guidance on producing SHLAAs and PPS3 are both clear that windfall allowances should not be counted towards the first five or ten year periods of the plan. However, the guidance does allow for the inclusion of a windfall allowance, where justified. 11.14 The methodology of this SHLAA was specifically structured to exclude sites for four dwellings or fewer. However, in North Hertfordshire, such sites do make an ongoing contribution to the supply of new dwellings. Table 26 below analyses the number of completions on sites of four or fewer dwellings since 2001. Table 26: Net housing completions elsewhere in North Hertfordshire on sites of four dwellings or fewer 2001/2 2002/3 2003/4 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 Total 513 Small sites 87 72 81 81 46 70 76 2,837 All completions 414 422 393 367 368 390 483 18% % on small sites 21% 17% 21% 22% 13% 18% 16% 11.15 It can be seen that over the course of this seven year period, at least 46 dwellings per year were completed on small sites. Indeed, there was only one year (2005-06) when fewer than 70 dwellings were completed. This is a fairly substantial component of supply, representing 18% of all completions. 11.16 One of the main questions to ask in considering whether an allowance for windfall is justified is whether the historic rate is likely to increase or decrease as the plan period progresses. Clearly, the publication of PPG3 in 2000 gave much greater encouragement to re-use of previously developed land, and it could be argued that the completions of small sites would be expected to peak after the publication of PPG3. We therefore need to consider a longer term trend, including the period prior to PPG3. This is shown in Table 27 below. Table 27: Long-term trend in completions on small sites 1991-2008 1991/2 1992/3 1993/4 1994/5 1995/6 1996/7 1997/8 1998/9 1999/00 2000/1 2001/2 2002/3 2003/4 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 Total Small sites % on small sites 22 43 26 29 29 31 32 36 21 25 87 72 81 81 46 70 76 807 8 10 5 7 9 7 10 14 4 4 21 17 21 22 13 18 16 12 11.17 It can be seen from this longer-term view that there was indeed a surge in the number of completions on small sites shortly after the publication of PPG3 in 2000, with the year 200102 seeing the highest recorded number of completions on such sites. What is also clear is that even before PPG3 was published there was an ongoing level of completions from small sites, which fluctuated between 21 and 43 dwellings per year in the period 1991 to 2001. This period is also interesting as it covers the slump in the housing market from the early 1990s. It can be seen that even during this periods, between 20 and 30 dwellings per year were being provided on small sites. 11.18 The reason PPS3 and the practice guidance cite for not wishing to include a windfall allowance is that such allowances give little certainty to communities and infrastructure providers about where development will occur. Clearly, a significant windfall allowance for large sites will make it very difficult to properly plan the infrastructure needed to support new development. 73 11.19 However, the sites being discussed here are by definition not large. Their impacts will be more localised. By their nature, these sites will be within existing urban areas, and probably on brownfield land. As such, they are highly likely to make only marginal demands on the infrastructure systems, largely using existing facilities. It is clearly part of the character of North Hertfordshire’s small market towns and rural villages that many development sites tend to be small. 11.20 Therefore, given the long-term trend for a quantum of small sites being delivered and the fact that such sites do not cause serious harm to the reasons for restricting the use of windfalls, it does seem appropriate to make an allowance for windfall sites of four or fewer dwellings. 11.21 For the purposes of this assessment, we have adopted the average of the completions since 2001, as this is both the plan period covered by the East of England Plan and also closely matches the period since PPG3 was published in 2000. This works out at 73 dwellings per year. 11.22 To avoid double-counting, no small sites are included for the period 2008-2011, as a large number of such sites will already have planning permission and therefore be included in the list of current permissions. Therefore, we assume that for the fifteen years from 2011-2026 there will be an additional 73 dwellings per year on small sites, giving a total allowance of 1095 dwellings on small sites. 11.23 It is important to note that these small site completions from 2011-2026 are not needed to provide sufficient houses for the five or ten years supply sought by PPS3 and the Practice Guidance. As discussed above in paragraph 10.12, there is a substantial surplus of sites to demonstrate the five and ten years supply on specific sites. 11.24 Therefore, where paragraph 10.25 identified a shortfall of 565 dwellings from specific sites, the windfall allowance of 1,095 is ample to remedy this shortfall for the period 2021-2026, and therefore allow some leeway in the plan making process when deciding which sites are allocated. 74 12 Conclusions 12.1 This SHLAA, which covers the local authority areas of Stevenage and North Hertfordshire, has been conducted in line with government guidance, and in consultation with key stakeholders. 12.2 Housing supply over the periods 2001-2021 and 2001-2026 have been considered for three key areas: Stevenage Borough; Urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire Elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 12.3 Through the identification of specific sites, this SHLAA concludes that the minimum requirement to identify a ten-year supply of specific housing sites for the first ten years after the anticipated adoption of plan documents can be met within Stevenage Borough and elsewhere in North Hertfordshire. 12.4 This minimum requirement cannot be met for urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire. A deficit of 1,287 dwellings has been identified against the overall target of 9,600 new homes by 2021. The partner authorities will work proactively with landowners to remedy this. 12.5 The identified supply of specific sites in Stevenage Borough would be sufficient to provide a fifteen-year supply post-adoption, over the period to 2026. 12.6 There is a significant deficit of specific sites, in excess of 3,000 dwellings, to provide urban extensions to Stevenage on land within North Hertfordshire over the period to 2026. However, the consideration of broad locations demonstrates that there is ample land within the proposed boundary of the Stevenage and North Hertfordshire Action Plan (SNAP) to make good this deficiency. 12.7 Although the supply of specific sites identified elsewhere in North Hertfordshire goes some way towards meeting anticipated housing requirements post-2021, there is a deficit of 565 dwellings against the housing target to 2026. Broad locations for development are not considered to be an appropriate solution. However, consideration of past windfall completions demonstrates sufficient evidence to justify their inclusion in the consideration of housing supply beyond 2021. The anticipated level of windfall provision is considered sufficient to overcome the identified shortfall. 12.8 This SHLAA has identified potential risks that may hinder the development of individual sites as well as broader issues that could compromise the overall development strategy for the two authorities. Stevenage and North Hertfordshire will continue to monitor these issues and, where appropriate, bring sites forward into their five-year supply to ensure continuous provision of housing over the period to 2021 and beyond. 75 - blank page - 76