Financial presentation
Transcription
Financial presentation
Page 1 Financial Results - Year End 2006 February 2007 WF9376 C. Ashley Heppenstall, President & CEO Geoff Turbott, Vice President Finance & CFO Page 2 Disclaimer DISCLAIMER Certain statements made in this presentation involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Certain statements relating to Lundin Petroleum’s business and operations are based on management’s expectations, estimates and projections. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Certain statements are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such statements. Lundin Petroleum makes no commitment, and disclaims any duty, to update or revise any of these statements. This presentation is for informational purposes only and is not intended as a solicitation or offering of securities in any jurisdiction. The information contained in this presentation is not intended to qualify, supplement or amend information disclosed under corporate and securities legislation of any jurisdiction applicable to Lundin Petroleum and should not be relied upon for the purpose of making investment decisions concerning any securities of Lundin Petroleum. WF8278 Page 3 Financial Results - Year End 2006 Turnover Year End 2006 Fourth Quarter 2006 4,415 1,139 794 196 2,271 618 2,732 559 Million SEK Net Profit Million SEK Operating Cashflow Million SEK EBITDA Million SEK WF6909 02.07 Page 4 Financial Performance MSEK 4,000 3,500 Operating Cash Flow EBITDA 3,000 Net Profit 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2002 WF8508 02.07 2003 2004 2005 2006 Page 5 Financial Highlights Production for the year 29,400 boepd Production for the quarter 33,800 boepd End 2006 at 40,000 boepd Cost of operations USD 18.49 per barrel for fourth quarter Tax rate 57% for 2006 WF8603 02.07 Page 6 2006 Margin Netback USD/boe 2006 Actual (USD/boe) Production (MMboe) 10.8 Brent oil price Revenue 65.15 55.30 Cost of operations Tariffs Production & sales taxes Stock movements -17.01 -1.87 -1.94 1.09 35.57 WF9289 02.07 Depletion -9.73 Margin Netback 25.84 Page 7 Production 2006 boepd 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 2006 WF9378 02.07 Q4 Page 8 Cost of Operations 2006 9.5% over budget of which 5.5% foreign exchange movements USD millions 210 210 $/boe 20.00 mboepd 70 184 180 18.00 168 180 60 Avg 17.01 150 150 50 120 120 40 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 90 90 30 60 60 20 8.00 6.00 4.00 30 30 10 2.00 0 0 Actual Forecast 0 0.00 Q1 Q2 Production mboepd (LHS) WF9306 01.07 Q3 Q4 USD Cost of Operations per Barrel (RHS) Average Cost of Operations (RHS) Page 9 Taxation 2006 effective rate of tax 57% 2006 includes increase in deferred tax liability to record the increase in supplemental tax in UK 2007 effective rate of tax 55% WF9377 02.07 Page 10 Balance Sheet - 31 December 2006 Fixed Assets Net Current Assets (excluding cash) Net Bank Debt Shareholder Equity Net Debt/Equity Ratio 31 Dec 2006 31 Dec 2005 16,188 6,329 (45) (213) 1,094 347 10,568 3,683 10% 9% numbers in million SEK WF6917 02.07 ...strong financial flexibility Page 11 Liquidity 2007 work programme 520 MMUSD Funded from cash flow and existing bank facility WF9379 02.07 Page 12 2007 Margin Netback USD/boe 2006 Actual 2007 Forecast (USD/boe) (USD/boe) 10.8 15.4 Brent oil price Revenue 65.15 55.30 55.00 49.15 Cost of operations Tariffs Production & sales taxes Stock movements -17.01 -1.87 -1.94 1.09 -14.55 -1.60 -3.15 -0.25 35.57 29.60 Depletion -9.73 -10.75 Margin Netback 25.84 18.85 Production (MMboe) 2007 foreign exchange rates assumption: USD/Euro 1.30, USD/GBP 1.90, NOK/USD 6.25 WF9289 02.07 Page 13 Cost of Operations 2007 USD/boe 17.00 16.50 16.00 15.50 15.00 Average 14.50 14.00 13.50 13.00 12.50 12.00 Q1 Q2 Q3 2007 WF9306 01.07 Q4 Page 14 2006 - A Year of Consolidation after 4 Years of Growth UK Norway Russia Production Tunisia - Oudna producing at > 20,000 bopd UK - Facilities problems negatively impacted production forecast Development Tunisia Vietnam Congo Singapore Ethiopia Norway - Alvheim development on target for first oil 2Q 2007 Norway - Volund POD approved Exploration Drilling delays in Norway, Sudan and Russia UK - Acquisition of exploration assets SE Asia - Opening of a new ventures office in Singapore - Signed new Block 06/94, offshore southern Vietnam Africa - New venture focus in Africa with signing of Marine XI Block, offshore Congo and 2 new blocks onshore Ethiopia Acquisitions Valkyries acquisition in Russia creates a new core area UK/Norway - Acquisition of undeveloped Peik gas condensate field Indonesia - Acquisition of a further 10% in the Lematang Block (Singa Development) WF9190 01.07 Indonesia Page 15 2006 Production bopd 50,000 45,000 Tunisia 40,000 Russia (excl. minority) 35,000 Venezuela 30,000 France Netherlands 25,000 Indonesia 20,000 Norway 15,000 UK 10,000 5,000 0 Jan WF9247 01.07 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Page 16 2006 Production 2006 Actual 29,400 BOEPD WF8262 02.07 Page 17 2007 Production Forecast End 2007 Exit Rate Forecast >50,000 BOEPD 2007 Forecast 41,000 BOEPD 2004 Actual 28,900 BOEPD 2003 Actual 16,100 BOEPD WF8262 02.07 2005 Actual 33,100 BOEPD 2006 Actual 29,400 BOEPD Page 18 2006 Year End Production 40,000 boepd Tunisia - Oudna field Lundin Petroleum 50% (operator) Atlantis 50% (Tunisian Govt 20% buy in option) Original production forecast 20,000 bopd (gross) WF9193 01.07 Page 19 Oudna Performance Average production for 2007 forecast at >14,000 bopd (gross) Average production from 1st January 2007 to date > 21,000 bopd Gross Barrels Oil Rate Water Injection Rate Oil Rate Budget 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 11-Nov WF9251 02.07 31-Dec 19-Feb 10-Apr 30-May 19-Jul 7-Sep 27-Oct 16-Dec Page 20 Historical Reserves 200 180 160 140 Russia Norway MMboe 120 U.K. Venezuela 100 Tunisia Indonesia 80 Netherlands 60 France 40 20 0 WF9192 01.07 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Page 21 2007 Proven & Probable Reserves Total 176.4 MMboe Russia (30.3) France (22.6) Netherlands (5.4) Gas 10.9% 176.4 Oil 89.1% Indonesia (17.6) Norway (47.2) Tunisia (3.8) 01.01.2006 UK (49.3) mmboe 146.1 - Produced (excl Russia) - Venezuela Mixed Enterprise + new reserves (excl Acquisitions) + Acquisitions 01.01.2007 -9.8 -4.4 12.0 32.5 176.4 Increase in Reserves 29% Reserves Replacement Ratio 122% WF9192 01.07 Page 22 A Diversified Portfolio United Kingdom 5 production licences, 20 exploration licences Norway Russia 1 production licence, 1 development licence, 22 exploration licences 4 producing blocks, 1 exploration licence Ireland 4 exploration licences France 14 production licences, 2 exploration licences Netherlands 18 production licences, 1 exploration licence Vietnam Albania 1 exploration licence 1 exploration licence Tunisia 1 production licence, 3 development licences Ethiopia 2 exploration licences Sudan Congo Brazzaville 1 exploration licence Indonesia 2 production licences, 4 exploration licences 1 exploration licence WF9189 01.07 Four Core Areas: Europe, Africa, Russia, Far East Page 23 USD 520 Million Capital Investment - 2007 UK Norway Russia France Development - USD 290 million Norway - Alvheim field, onstream 2007 - Volund field, onstream 2009 UK - Broom field, infill drilling - Heather field, infill drilling - Thistle field, redevelopment Russia - Ashirovskoye field, Orenburg - Sotchemyu-Talyu field, Komi Republic Sudan Indonesia Ongoing development drilling France - Villeperdue field, infill drilling Indonesia - Singa field development, onstream 2009 Exploration - USD 230 million WF9263 02.07 UK 5 Wells 100 MMBOE Norway 3 Wells 130 MMBOE Russia 2 Wells 600 MMBOE Sudan 3 Wells 500 MMBOE Indonesia 6 Wells 30 MMBOE Total wells to be drilled Total Unrisked Prospective Resource Potential 19 ~1.4 billion barrels Page 24 Norway - Alvheim Development Lundin Licences Oil Field Gas Field Vilje Alvheim Facility PL088 Well Manifold Water Disposal/Wells Gas Export Umbilical PL203 Flowline Gas Lift Line Water Pipeline PL036c ALVHEIM Alvheim project (15%) Operator - Marathon 2P reserves 189.1 MMboe gross FPSO development - shuttle tanker oil export to Norway and gas pipeline to UK First oil 2Q 2007 - 85,000 boepd (gross plateau production) Heimdal 2 water disposal wells drilled way U.K . 4 production wells drilled Nor JOTUN PL150 0 WF6326 02.07 KM 6 PL103 ...first oil 2007 Page 25 Alvheim Status Development drilling ongoing Divers and ROV work on buoy installation Topsides installation ongoing Subsea installation completed (except wells tie-in) Buoy installed offshore and ready for hook up into turret WF9066 02.07 Alvheim FPSO topsides installation in Norway Page 26 Greater Alvheim Area - Upside Potential Alvheim Field 28.5 MMboe (15%): Boa, Kameleon, Kneler FALLOW ACREAGE GE Volund Field 17 MMboe (35%) Contingent Resources 5.3 MMboe: East Kameleon branch wells Gekko Kobra EAST E EA S KAMELEON LE EAST KNELER EAS K WEST KNELER ES ST K NELE H B H-B H-A H H-C H KOBRA KOBR VOLUND IBSEN PL 340 Marathon WF9195 01.07 G R E ST GRIEG EAST Prospective Resources Unrisked 52.8 MMboe: South Kneler Alvheim Deep Hermod A East Kneler West Kneler + H-B Python Grieg East + Ibsen N (35%) Ibsen(35%) PL 340 (15%): - Contingent Resources 1.6 MMboe - Unrisked Prospective Resources 14.4 MMboe Page 27 Norway - Volund Development Lundin Licences Oil Field Gas Field Vilje Alvheim Facility PL088 Well Manifold Water Disposal/Wells Gas Export Umbilical PL203 Flowline Gas Lift Line Water Pipeline PL036c Heimdal way U.K . ALVHEIM JOTUN Nor VOLUND PL150 0 WF6326 02.07 KM 6 PL103 Volund (35%) Operator - Marathon 2P reserves 48.6 MMboe gross Exploration discovery in 2004 Plan of development approved in 2007 Development tie-back to Alvheim First production 23,000 bopd gross in 2009 Page 28 Norway - Volund Development Estimated Capex NOK 2.8 billion gross (USD 9 per barrel) Contracts awarded and drilling rig secured Subsea development 4 slot manifold same as Alvheim 3 oil producers Water injection 1 production riser Some topside installation WF9256 02.07 Page 29 UK Producing Assets Otter way Nor UK THISTLE Eider Tern Hudson Statfjord Melville HEATHER Hutton Strathspey Lyell BROOM Ninian Alwyn North Cheviot 0 WF9225 01.07 KM Dunbar 20 Page 30 UK - Broom Field Ongoing Projects First oil August 2004 Reserves 18.9 MMbbls net to Lundin 3D seismic shot in 2006 Contracted GSF Arctic II for next 2 wells 2007 revamp of Broom reservoir model integrating new seismic Installation of water handling equipment on Heather Preparations for development drilling programme Heather Alpha „ 6 Gas Import BROOM FIELD* West Heather SSIV Manifold Water Injector 16 ndle 7 km Bu ”O il HEATHER FIELD** Producer Pi pe lin e North Terrace *(Lundin Petroleum WI 55%) **(Lundin Petroleum WI 100%) WF9233 01.07 Page 31 UK Broom 2005 to 2007 – Improving Performance Recovery from 2Q 2006 Stable water injection at 45,000 bwpd Oil production ahead of forecast Gross Oil Gross Oil 2007 Budget Gross Liquid BSW Liquid Forecast Oil Forecast BSW forecast 200% 40,000 180% 35,000 160% 30,000 25,000 120% 100% 20,000 80% 15,000 60% 10,000 40% 5,000 0 20% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2006 WF9228 02.07 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2007 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0% Water Cut Oil rate (bopd) 140% Page 32 UK - Thistle Redevelopment Value Creation 409 MMboe produced – STOIIP 846 MMboe No drilling since 1990 No active reservoir management since 1990’s Water injection critical Lundin Petroleum commitment to Thistle regeneration in May 2006 Contingent Resources assumes 2.5% recovery increase from infill and workovers Adds resources of 25.6 MMbbls with capex of USD 9.1/boe Ongoing Projects 3D seismic Rig reactivation Direct oil export Process debottlenecking Potential third party business (combined potential resources of up to 100 MMboe) WF9229 02.07 Page 33 UK - Heather Development and Production Hub Value Creation 131 MMboe produced – STOIIP 507 MMboe Broom host Drilling facilities reactivated Life extension investment Greater Heather area 3D seismic shot in 2006 WF9232 01.07 Page 34 USD 230 Million Exploration Work Programme - 2007 Other + NV (14) Vietnam (8) Indonesia Salawatis (10) UK (57) Sudan (27) Total 230 MUSD Norway (41) Russia (73) Country Wells UK 5 PL1301, PL1129, PL1107/1109 PL1399, PL1089/1295 100 Norway 3 PL335, PL338, PL292 140 Russia 2 Lagansky 600 Sudan 3 Block 5B 500 Indonesia 6 Salawati Island/Basin 5 wells Blora Licence 19 WF9198 01.07 Area Unrisked Prospective Resource Potential MMboe Net Lundin 30 ~1.4 billion barrels Page 35 Exploration Activity 2007 Exploration budget of USD 230 MM in 2007 Unrisked finding cost USD 0.16 /boe Risked finding cost USD 1.71 /boe Country Norway UK Indonesia Russia Sudan WF9199 02.07 Licence Net Interest Contracted Rig Operator PL338 50% Lundin Bredford Dolphin PL335 18% BG Maersk Giant PL292 40% BG Maersk Giant P1399 15% Endeavour Galaxy II P1129 25% Lundin Galaxy II P1301 30% Lundin Galaxy II P1109 & P1107 40% Lundin Galaxy II P1089 & P1295 10% OilExCo Sedco 712 Salawati Basin 25.93% PetroChina Int. Land rig Salawati Island 14.51% JOB Pertamina Petrochina Land rig Blora Licence 43.29% Lagansky 70% Lundin Land rig* Block 5B 24.5% Petronas Land rig** Lundin Q1 Likely Drilling Schedule 2007 Q2 Q3 2 wells 2 wells Land rig * Jack up pontoon mounted 3 wells ** Modular floater mounted Q4 Page 36 Lundin NCS and UKCS Licences (49) 6204 6203 216 Lundin Petroleum assets prior 217 to 2007218 219 220 6201 6202 6203 0034 0035 6204 Lundin Petroleum 6103 licence awards 2007 6106 6105 6104 214 0033 208 209 213 6005 8 wells in 2007 210 211 6004 0 207 0029 205 Sullom001Voe 206 204 002 003 0030 0031 176 Unrisked reserve potential 237 MMboe KM 200 Bergen 0032 004 010 NORW WAY WA W AY Y 005 166 202 203 006 Rigs secured 0036 Tromso 007 008 009 0027 0026 0025 0024 156 201 011 0028 Flotta 012 North Sea exploration business managed from Norway 013 014 015 016 0015 0016 0018 0017 0019 0020 017 018 0006 019 020 021 0011 0007 022 0008 0009 0002 0003 0010 023 Aberdeen 0004 0001 026 027 025 028 029 030 5605 5604 Edinburgh 031 033 5603 5503 UNITED D KINGDOM D 5504 A 034 5505 039 035 036 037 038 B A C B 045 040 112 Netherlands 041 042 113 043 044 109 110 0 50 F D Kilometers WF9375 02.07 E G G 100 046 047 048 049 J K L M Page 37 APA 2006 and UK 24th Round Awards 6204 6203 216 217 218 219 220 6201 6202 6203 0034 0035 6204 6103 6106 Norway APA 2006 - 7 licences awarded 6105 6104 214 0033 208 209 213 210 211 0036 Tromso UK 24th Round 2006 - 6 licences awarded 6005 Lundin Petroleum awards risked resource potential mmboe 6004 0 207 0029 205 Sullom001Voe 206 204 002 003 0030 0031 176 KM 200 Bergen 0032 004 010 UK Norway Prospects Leads 29.3 23.3 64.1 46.9 Total 52.6 111.0 NORW WAY WA W AY Y 005 166 202 203 006 007 008 009 0027 0026 0025 0024 156 201 011 0028 Flotta 163.6 012 013 014 015 016 0015 0016 0018 0017 0019 0020 017 018 0006 Awards from APA 2006 & UK 24th Rounds (2) (1) (4) No of Licences 12 019 (0) 0007 022 0008 0009 0002 0003 0004 026 027 025 (1) (0) (1) 028 029 030 5605 (1) (2) (0) 5604 (3) (2) (0) (0) (1) Edinburgh 4 031 033 036 037 038 5505 B A Dana Edison EON Serica Premier Sterling OilExco Ithaca Talisman Granby Noreco RWE Maersk PetroCanada Revus Faroe Nexen Statoil/Hydro Endeavour 5504 A 039 035 Lundin 5603 5503 UNITED D KINGDOM D 034 0 0010 023 0001 (0) (1) (0) (1) 8 021 Aberdeen Non-operated Operated (2) Well commitments (1) 020 0011 C B 045 040 112 Netherlands 041 042 113 043 044 109 110 0 50 F D Kilometers WF9375 02.07 E G G 100 046 047 048 049 J K L M Page 38 Sudan - Block 5B Block B Central Thar Jath (Dev) 0 Km 20 nal Duar lei Ca Thar Jath Jarayan 1 Block 5A 1500 km 2D seismic survey programme 509 km of seismic acquired during as at 23.01.07 Jong Block 5B Baang 1 Haar 3 exploration wells in 2007 Bahr El Zaraaf Fagil Pakwak Laer White Nile Riang Tungrab Wau Bei Shotfeng Adok Goakni Wan Machar AYOD Upper Nile Puldwot Woi Khawr Jurwel Mer Jonglei Duk Padiet Nyal Dorok Pakam B Agok Puldwot Jolong Lake Nuong Ganyiet Nuong Dock Seismic Camp Werneyol Paraken El Buheyrat Kongor Shambe Block B Central Lualajokbl Prospect Lead Petronas 2006-2007 Proposed Seimic Programme Petronas 2006 Acquired Seismic as at Jan 2007 WF9171 02.07 Partners Lundin Petroleum Petronas Carigali Sudapet ONGC Videsh Ltd 5B interest 24.5% 39.0% 13.0% 23.5% Joint operators (WNPOC) Page 39 Sudan - Block 5B Seismic operations 2D seismic: 520 km acquired (15/02/07), acquisition ongoing Drilling preparation Modular floater 21 Crane barge and 2 Transport Barges completed and shipped 1st delivery of 24 units in Port Sudan undergoing customs clearance 2nd delivery of 33 units in transit to Port Sudan 2 transport barges and 1 drilling barge including ancillary equipment remain outstanding. Estimated final delivery is mid March. Kosti Logistics base is 96% completed Equipment for site setup Harvester, shredder and dredger are in Port Sudan undergoing customs clearance 2 Tug boats have arrived at Kosti logistics base Target start of shredding/dredging operations is late 1Q 2007 Drill barge equipment layout Accomodation Catamaran accommodation barge arrived at Kosti. Topside is 70% complete. Trimaran accommodation barge fabrication has commenced in Khartoum with estimated 50% completion. Trimaran topside accommodation (125 man) in Singapore with estimated 80% completion WF9164 02.07 Rig Shipment of rig from France is scheduled for end March 2007 Estimated spud date is mid-year 2007 Offices and workshops at Kosti logistics base Page 40 Russia Exploration - Lagansky Block Tengutinskoye 2 exploration wells in 2007 Lundin Concession Oil Field Promyslovskoye Sallkhinskaya Oleynikovskoye Mezhevoye Dorozhnoye Gas Condensate Prospects Laganskaya Prospect Kamyshanskoye V. Morskaya Prospect Ulan-Khol Krasnokamysh Gas Field Petroskaya Lead Kurgannoye Kamyshanskoye S. Kaspiiskoye Naryn-Khuduk Northern Caspian Ermolinskoye Rakushechnoye Rak-4 45º Viktor Filanovski Rak-1 SeveroRakushechny Rak-2 Oernoye Stepnoye Lagansky Block Solonchaskovoye Talovskoye Kumukhskoye Kumukhskoye Yu. Yubileinoye Tyuleniy Net unrisked resource > 600 million boe from two prospects 46º 47º WF9201 01.07 Rakushechnoye-1, 2001 Gas condensate discovery Flow rate: 14 MMscf/d Rakushechnoye-2, 2005 Oil and gas discovery Flow rates: 6,400 bopd 16.5 MMscf/d 0 KM 48º Yuri Korchagin Severny (Northern) Sarmatskoye 40 49º Page 41 Russia - Lagansky Block Alterations being made on the mud barge Drilling rig pontoon at winter wharfage WF9212 01.07 Volga canal down towards the Lagansky Block Load testing on drilling rig pontoon Page 42 Vietnam - Block 06-94 11-2 Ho Chi Minh Lundin Petroleum (33.3%) Pearl Energy (33.3% operator) Serica Energy (33.3%) VIETNAM 05-3 05-2 06-94 Lan Tay (1.6 TCF) Lan Do (0.4 TCF) 06-1 Work programme - 2D/3D seismic & 3 exploration wells Capacity 700 MMCF/D Overall on block prospective resources: 434 MMboe unrisked net Lundin Petroleum 0 KM 5 Hai Tach (1.8 TCF + 90 MMBC) PSC signed February 2007 Rong Doi (940 BCF + 22 MMBC) KCT (~30 MMBO) Lan Tay & Lan Do (2.0 TCF) Dua Field (~20-30 MMBO) Dua-5X well test (Premier Oct 06) flowed 5,800 bopd & 6.76 MMscf/d WF8748 02.07 Oil Field Gas Field Condensate Field Prospect / Lead 06-94 Blackbird discovery (Premier Nov 06) 70 m net pay Tested approx 6,000 boepd 07 Page 43 Congo (Brazzaville) - Marine XI Gabon Nyanga Mayombe Marine XI partnership Soco International 37.5% (operator) Lundin Petroleum 18.75% 3 undeveloped post-salt discoveries and 1 pre-salt undeveloped discovery - Viodo-Moedji field, 35 MMBO M'Bya Marin M'Wengui Noumbi Dussafu Marin Congo Brazzaville Marine IV Kouilou B Marine III A Loango Mwafi Zatchi Marine M'Boundi Tilapia Kombi Likalala-Libondo Many leads identified on 2D. 1200 km 3D seismic acquired in 2006 Drilling operations planned for 2008 Kouilou A Yombo-Masseko-Youbi Kouakouala A Pointe Indienne Foukanda Yanga-Sendji Djambala Marine Mer Profonde Nord Kouakouala D Marine III B Kouakouala B Marine XI Kouakouala C Sounda Marine Tchibouela Kitina Marine Tchibeli-Litanzi-Loussima Tchendo Emeraude Marine X (Bloc B) Cabinda A (North) Angola Haute Mer CMarine X (Bloc A) Likouala Mer Profonde Sud N'Kossa Moho-Bilondo N'Soko N'Sangui Nemba Lomba Block 14a Cabinda B (Center) Congo Kinshasa Block 0 (Area A) Kuito Tomboco Benguela Vanza Block 0 (Area B) Longui Belize Lobito Block 14b Landana Tombua Gabela Bomboco Kokongo Cabinda C (South) Rendus Sanha N'Dola Minzu N'Kassa Sanzamo Est Mibale No 179 M'Bili N'Tene Liawenda-Kinkasi No 180 Block 14c Negage DRC Offshore Muanda Banana No 191 Xikomba Safueiro WF9245 02.07 Angola Page 44 Overall Prospective Resources 2007 & Beyond (net unrisked)* 2010+ Drilling 2007 Drilling 0.8 billion boe, 24% 1.4 billion boe, 40% 1.2 billion boe, 36% 2008/9 Drilling WF9315 01.07 * Excludes prospect / lead additions from APA 2006 and UK 24th licensing rounds Page 45 Production - Historical and Forecast 176 million barrels of proven and probable reserves Production (Mboepd) 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 Peik acquisition 40 40 2P Reserves 20 20 0 0 2003 WF9259 01.07 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Page 46 Production - Historical and Forecast A further 122 million barrels of contingent resources Production (Mboepd) 120 120 100 100 80 80 Contingent resources 60 60 Peik acquisition 40 40 2P Reserves 20 20 0 0 2003 WF9259 01.07 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Page 47 Production - Historical and Forecast Exploration and acquisitions to take production to greater then 100,000 boepd Production (Mboepd) 120 120 100 Exploration & Acquisitions 80 100 80 Contingent resources 60 60 Peik acquisition 40 40 2P Reserves 20 20 0 0 2003 WF9259 01.07 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Page 48 Exploration Upside Potential MMboe (unrisked, net to Lundin) 2000 2008 Russia, France, Norway, UK, Vietnam, Ethiopia 1500 Block 5B success, Sudan 2007(500) Indonesia - 6 wells, 2007 (30) 1000 UK, 2007 (100) Lagansky, Russia 2007 (600) 500 0 WF9236 01.07 Luno success + 2 other wells - Norway, 2007 (137) Contingent resources (122) 3P reserves (48.4)* 2P reserves (176.4) * excludes 3P reserves from Russia Page 49 Summary Increase in reserves of 29%, reserve replacement ratio 122% Current production over 40,000 boepd with Oudna field onstream Production to increase to 50,000 boepd by end 2007 with Alvheim project in Norway onstream USD 290 million development budget in 2007 with major focus upon drilling and redevelopment of production facilities USD 230 million exploration programme in 2007 with exposure to 1.4 billion barrels of reserve potential 2007 budget funded fully from internally generated funds plus bank facilities WF9204 01.07
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