Impacts of Sand and Dust Storms on Agriculture and Potential

Transcription

Impacts of Sand and Dust Storms on Agriculture and Potential
Impacts of Sand and Dust
Storms on Agriculture and
Potential Agricultural
Applications of a SDSWS
Robert Stefanski
Agricultural Meteorology Division
World Climate Programme
World Meteorological Organization
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Outline
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Introduction
Impacts of SDS on Agriculture
Measures to Combat SDS
Potential Agricultural Applications
– Tactical
– Strategic
– Research
• Final Thoughts
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Introduction
• Wind erosion is a function of weather events
interacting with soil (intrinsic properties) and land
management (past and present practices) through its
effects on soil structure and vegetation cover.
• Soil roughness, soil erodibility, soil wetness, and the
quantity and orientation of crop residues are
parameters that impact the transport of eroded soils.
• Over-grazing, over-cultivation and destruction of soil
aggregates by mining, construction, and off-road
traffic stimulates and accelerates soil wind erosion
in dryland regions.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Impacts of Sand and Dust
Storms
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Crop and Livestock losses
Soil productivity losses
Economic losses
Transport Impacts
Environmental Impacts
Positive Impacts
Photo credit: Kansas State University
Impacts – Crops & Livestock
• Loss of plant tissue and reduced
photosynthetic activity as a result of
sandblasting
• Burial of seedlings under sand deposits
• Delayed plant development
• Increased end-of-season drought risk
• Causing injury and reduced productivity of
livestock
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Impacts – Soil Productivity
Losses
• Loss of the most fertile
fraction (K and P) of the
topsoil and can be
transported long distance
• Increases soil erosion and
accelerates the process of
land degradation and
desertification (UNCCD)
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Economic Impacts
• Direct economic loss caused by the strong
sand-dust storm 5 May, 1993 was 560
million RMB Yuan (Wang Shi-gong et al.
1995)
• Annual on-farm costs of wind erosion in
the Prairie Provinces of Canada are about
USD $249 million
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Other Impacts
• Filling up irrigation canals with sediments
• Covering transportation routes
• Affecting water quality of rivers and streams,
and affecting air quality
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Positive Impacts
• Mineral dust has an important role to play in the
supply of nutrients and micronutrients to terrestrial
ecosystems eg., . 2.5 and 0.2 kg ha-1 of K and P,
respectively, from dust deposition in the Sahel.
• The accumulation of sand-dust from the Sahara into
Amazon Valley brings 1-4 kg of phosphate per ha per
year.
• Sand and dust from China are the major component
of ice crystals which are alkali and neutralize the
emergence of acid rain in Japan
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Measures to Combat SDS
• Focus on preventing the soil/sand from being
picked up in the source area such as:
– Reducing the impact of wind speed use of
windbreaks or shelterbelts
– Protecting loose soil particles by use of crop
residues or plastic sheets or chemical adhesives
– Increasing cohesion of soil particles by
conservation tillage operations or soil mulching
Use of Wind Breaks and
Shelterbelts
• A "wind break" is any structure that reduces wind
speed (ie natural vegetative barrier). Wind speed can
be reduced by more than 50% at a leeward distance
of 20 times barrier height.
• Benefits include decreased soil erosion, increased
crop yields, reduced livestock stress, control of
drifting snow, building maintenance and energy
savings
• Wind breaks may also benefit wildlife species by
providing food, reproductive sites and shelter from
severe weather.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Crop Residues/Tillage
• Surface crop residues help stabilize soils by reducing
soil water loss and the erosive force of wind and by
shielding the soil from a reduced number of saltating
particles.
• Vertical residues are much more effective that flat
surface cover in controlling soil loss by wind.
• Special farming implements, such as chisel-type
ploughs, which permit the cultivation of vegetated
surfaces and maintain a rough, well-textured surface
could be used for this purpose.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Potential Agricultural
Applications of a SDSWS
• Tactical Applications
– After Planting – daily, weekly
• Strategic Applications
– Before planting - Long-term planning, investments
• Research
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Potential Agricultural
Applications of a SDSWS
Tactical Applications (Warnings)
• Near-term alerts for agricultural communities
to take preventive action such as
– harvesting maturing crops (vegetables,
grain),
– sheltering livestock, and
– strengthening infrastructure (houses,
roads, crop storage) for the storm.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Potential Agricultural
Applications of a SDSWS
Strategic Applications
• Improved SDS climatologies for long-term
planning for agricultural communities such as:
– Planning windbreaks and shelterbelts
(direction, size, etc)
– Planning infrastructure and crops
• Post-storm crop damage assessments.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Potential Agricultural
Applications of a SDSWS
Research Areas
• Forecasting locust movement
• Improving Soil / Wind Erosion and Land
Degradation Models
• Plant and animal pathogen movement and
the relationship of SDS to disease outbreaks
• Archive of SDSWS products (Forensic Use)
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Swarm movement depends on
synoptic conditions
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
www.fao.org/ag/locusts
Wind Erosion Prediction System (WEPS)
• WEPS is a process-based, daily time-step, computer
model that predicts soil erosion via simulation of the
fundamental processes controlling wind erosion.
• WEPS can calculate soil movement, estimate plant
damage, and predict PM-10 emissions when wind
speeds exceed the erosion threshold. It also can
provide the user with spatial information regarding
soil flux, deposition, and loss from specific regions
of a field over time.
• WEPS is intended for conservation planning,
assessing wind erosion and for aiding the
development of regional and national policy.
http://www.weru.ksu.edu/
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Importance of Plant Pathogen
Transport
• World agriculture mainly depends on a small fraction
of the many 1000s of plant species worldwide
• Limited plant genetic diversity of globally distributed
crops
• Example: Most coffee and banana plantations are
from single clones. Original plantation of Arabic
coffee in the Americas is traced to a single bush from
Java in 1706
• Uniform susceptibility to disease is the problem
• Intercontinental dispersal of pathogens may cause
diseases of crops on a global scale
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Sugarcane Rust (June 1978) Cameroon to Dom. Rep.
Coffee Leaf Rust (1970) Angola to Bahia, Brazil
Wheat stem Rust (1969) S. Africa to Australia
Source: Brown and Hovemoller Science. July 26 2002.
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Other Diseases
• Foot and Mouth Disease (livestock)
• Soybean Rust (South America to North
America)
• Wheat Stem rust (ug99)
• Policy makers need to know source of
disease outbreaks (airborne or human
transport) to take actions to minimize risk
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Final Thoughts on SDSWS
• Components of Effective Warning Systems
– Monitoring
– Forecast
– Advisory
• Potential Products should include
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Areal Extent
Severity
Duration
Potential Impacts
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Final Thoughts on SDSWS
• Other useful products/information:
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Weather Patterns associated with SDS
Meso-scale features that ignite storms
Vertical Data useful
Archives of data and forecast products
• Group models by capability for users
• For operational public warning systems,
model output are guidance not endProducts (Current Wx Forecasting)
• Need another level (Met Services?) between
Models and Users
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
Input to Presentation
• Dr Sivakumar
– Chief WMO Agriculture Meteorology Division
• Ray Motha (former President of CAgM)
– US Dept of Agriculture (USDA)
• Gary Peterson
– USDA – Agricultural Research Service – Plant Pathology
• Keith Cressman
– FAO Desert Locust Office, Rome
• Samsul Huda
– Australia
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007
[email protected]
WMO/GEO SDSWS Meeting - Barcelona Nov 2007