CAR Tom Loveless Vb
Transcription
CAR Tom Loveless Vb
TOM LOVELESS Vice President Sales Kia Motors America 1 VEHICLE SALES AND RECESSIONS • The volume decline over the last several years is the largest in history. Where do we go from here? 20,000,000 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 WORLD WAR II 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 20 Years 4,000,000 2,000,000 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 1930 1925 0 2 AGENDA • The Future? Economy Technology Demographics • Kia Who are we Our approach • Q&A 3 ECONOMY OUTLOOK • GDP is expected to return to a more normal level, providing some much needed stability to the market place. 4 CONSUMER OUTLOOK • Consumer sentiment is improving in early 2012. Pent-up demand for vehicles and other durable goods is helping on the spending side. Both are good signs. 5 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK • Unemployment remains high compared to historical standards but is projected to improve gradually over time. 6 HOUSING OUTLOOK • No significant sign of housing market improvement is expected until 2013. A modest recovery in home sales and construction is expected in 2012, but house prices will likely drop more over the course of 2012. 7 GAS PRICE OUTLOOK • According to U.S. Department of Energy, regular‐grade motor gasoline retail prices are expected to average $3.55 per gallon in 2012. Recent options and futures price data imply that the U.S. average pump price of regular gasoline could exceed $4 by June. $2.81 $3.26 $2.35 $2.78 $3.53 $3.55 $3.59 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 8 AUTO INDUSTRY SALES OUTLOOK • Pent-up demand, slowly improving labor market and better availability of credit will contribute to industry growth in 2012. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALIZED RATE (UNITS IN MILLIONS) 18 17.0 16.6 16.2 16.1 15.6 16 14.7 14 13.2 12.8 13.6 11.6 12 10.4 10 8 2005 2006 2007 Baseline Forecast 55% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Optimistic 20% 2012 2013 2014 Pessimistic 25% Forecast data source: IHS 9 2015 ALTERNATIVE POWERTRAIN MARKET • Alternative powertrains will double in volume over the next few years, accounting for about 15% of the total industry. 85% 15% 10 ALTERNATIVE POWERTRAIN MARKET • Diesel and Hybrid will grow the most. Electric vehicles will grow significantly on a percentage basis, but will remain a minor portion of the overall industry. Diesel Hybrid (Full, Mild) EV (Battery, PHEV) Hydrogen 11 28 EV COMPETITORS BY ~2015 In market now Ford Transit Connect EV 2012 2013 RAV4 EV (2Q ‘12) Audi e-Tron (1Q ‘13) Tesla Model S (2Q / ‘12) Mini E Nissan Maxima (2Q/’13) Coda EV (1Q/’12) Tesla Model X (1Q/’14) BMW i3 (4Q/’13) Volvo C40 EV (4Q/’13) Scion iQ EV Nissan Leaf smart fortwo EV Ford Focus Electric (1Q/’12) 2015 Nissan NV EV (1Q/’14) Infiniti EV (1Q/’13) Tesla Roadster BMW 1-Series EV 2014 BMW Z2 EV (1Q/’15) Tesla Model C (2Q/’15) M-B SLS AMG (3Q/’14) VW Golf EV (4Q/’13) (2Q/’12) Mitsu i Honda Fit EV Chevy Spark EV Fiat 500 EV (3Q/’12) (4Q ’12) (1Q/’13) VW Up! EV (4Q/’13) 12 POPULATION GROWTH BY AGE CATEGORY • Population is aging 13 POPULATION GROWTH BY AGE CATEGORY • This shift will be even greater 10 years out 14 INDUSTRY TRENDS – VEHICLE SEGMENTS • The midsize and compact segments will continue to be the majority of the car market, but sub-compact and luxury segments are expected to grow. Luxury Sporty Green Large Midsize Compact Micro/Sub-Compact 15 INDUSTRY TRENDS – VEHICLE SEGMENTS • The CUV segments will continue to grow. The pickup segment is also expected to rebound somewhat. Luxury Pickup SUV Other MPV Mid MPV Mid/Large CUV Compact CUV Sub-Compact CUV 16 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS • The number of new model launches will be well above the historical average for the next two years. 17 TOP 20 MARKETS • The top 20 markets account for nearly half of the total industry 18 TOP 20 MARKETS IN THE U.S. • New York and Los Angeles are by far the biggest metro markets. 1-10 11-20 19 Kia … Who Are We? 20 KIA’S HISTORY • Founded in 1944, Kia has evolved to become a key player in the global auto industry. 2010 Kia Motors Manufacturing Georgia Production Begins 1998 Hyundai Automotive Group 1994 Kia Enters U.S. Market 1974 Korea’s First Domestically Produced Passenger Car 1951 Production of Korea’s First Bicycle 21 2011 KIA GLOBAL SALES BY REGION • Annual sales are nearly 2.5 million. North America has surpassed Korea as Kia’s largest market. 551K 493K 478K Global Sales 2.5 Million 462K 263K U.S. 485K 184K 59K North America Korea Europe China Middle East & Africa Central & South America Asia & Pacific 23 KIA MOTORS AMERICA • Entered the U.S. market in 1994 • More than $1.4 billion invested in U.S. market in the past decade U.S. Headquarters Irvine, Calif. Kia Motors Manufacturing Georgia • State-of-the-art: – Headquarters – Design Studio – Manufacturing Plant – New Products Kia Design Center America 755 U.S. dealers • Expanding dealer network 24 U.S. SALES AND MARKET SHARE TREND • 17 Straight years of market share growth 4% 500 2012 YTD Up 33% 2011 Sales Up 36% 3% 400 300 2% 200 1% 100 0% 0 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 Sales 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Share 25 THREE-YEAR GROWTH (2011 VS. 2008) • Kia is the fastest growing mainstream brand in the U.S. 78% 61% 45% 42% 29% 26% Kia Hyundai VW Subaru Buick Jeep 26 How is Kia doing it? Value has become the new “cool” 27 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Many critical factors play a role in establishing “Value”. Quality Quality Design Design Brand Content Network Price Brand Content Network Price 28 “VALUE FUNNEL” • The price of entry. A prerequisite to compete. Quality Quality Design Brand Content Network Warranty Costs Price 29 KIA MOTORS MANUFACTURING GEORGIA (KMMG) • KMMG has been a key growth enabler – $1.1 billion investment – More than 3,000 team members operating three shifts – Created 10,000 new jobs in West Point and surrounding areas – 2012 Optima added to production line in September; 360,000 capacity in 2012 30 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Good design evokes an emotional response. Quality Design Brand Content Network Price 31 DESIGN-LED TRANSFORMATION • Nine all-new products in three years driving ALG residual values up 49% Peter Schreyer Chief Design Officer 32 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Brand must be relevant to consumers. Builds pride in ownership. Quality Design Brand Content Network Price 33 34 60 Soul 30 Dunk 35 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Useful content that meets consumers needs and wants helps connect Consumers with their vehicle. Quality Design Brand Content Network Price 36 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Delight the customer. A positive experience is critical to future success Quality Design Brand Content Network Price 37 “VALUE FUNNEL” • Price is a function of the success level in all other factors. Quality Design Brand Content Network Price 38 “VALUE FUNNEL” Quality Design Brand Content Network Price Prerequisite to Compete Distinctive and Athletic Proud to Own Relevant to Consumers Delight the Customer Measure of Success 39 RECAP iMarket landscape is changing with unprecedented speed - Demographic Shifts - Technological advances - Economy and Government Policy iValue is the new “cool” iU.S. Market is critical to Kia’s success - Capital Investment - Product Investment “Quality & responsibility” 40 Thank You! 41