Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Offshore Industry
Transcription
Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Offshore Industry
Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Offshore Industry Contents 5 Foreword 6 Introduction to the market 12 Key trends Regulation: { The rules are changing, but underlying drivers are not { Global convergence is here to stay Jurisdictions: { Traditional European centers struggle in a fragmented market { The “entrenchment” of the BVI and Cayman Islands Clients: { Asia still dominates, while traditional markets stabilise { China – continues to shape the offshore industry 27 Summary 28 Methodology 30 Acknowledgements 3 Foreword When OIL launched the Offshore 2020 research project in 2010, the world was beginning to emerge from the depths of the financial crisis and the offshore industry was in a state of flux. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and various Western Governments were applying a ‘blowtorch’ to the industry for both political and revenue raising purposes. In times of crisis, it is useful to remember the term ‘weiji’; a rough translation of ‘crisis’ into Chinese. Weiji comprises two characters; one meaning danger and the other opportunity. Three years on from those uncertain times, we thought it useful to hold a mirror up to the industry and assess whether it has managed to capitalise on opportunities arising from the crisis. This year, we’ve expanded our research in terms of geographical reach and industry participants, with more than 150 people sharing their thoughts and experiences. The regular requests for copies from clients and regulators confirms that the result of this research is contributing to the broad debate among industry stakeholders. This year’s report continues some ‘trend lines’ established in earlier editions as well as touching on new themes. One issue is absolutely clear: the industry is better managed and better regulated than it was three years ago, with greater convergence between national and international agencies and global standardisation of many practices. We can expect this to continue. In terms of the offshore client base, we look at the changing role of China and its widening influence on the industry as well as the semblance of stability returning to traditional Western markets after years of turmoil. Our much-anticipated jurisdictional update hones in on increasing fragmentation within the industry: some financial centers maintain their stranglehold while others need to be mindful of the need to adapt to changing circumstances. We trust you find this report informative and insightful. Any feedback is of course welcome and we would be delighted to receive suggestions for potential topics for the 2013 edition. Martin Crawford Chief Executive Officer 5 Introduction to the market The global picture Previous editions of this survey have, rightfully, been dominated by the impact of wholesale international regulations on the offshore industry. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has been the principal actor since 2009, winning G20 support for its drive for greater tax transparency, but other international bodies also weighed in. It created a climate of uncertainty. Now the industry appears to have come to terms with change. Questions are still raised concerning the efficacy of the OECD peer review process, jurisdictions’ ability to comply with new rules and the threat of ‘overregulation’, whether it comes in the form of automatic information exchange or something else. And, make no mistake, industry participants expect more developments in this area, notably the incremental convergence of regulatory standards globally and licensing for service providers. But there is an acceptance that double tax agreements (DTAs) and tax information exchange agreements (TIEAs) are here to stay. Jurisdictions have responded by signing more of them and service providers increasingly see them as an opportunity rather than a threat. The trend that has slowly been encroaching upon the industry for the past couple of years – more complex, multi-layered structures designed to incorporate the benefits offered via DTAs – is fully fledged. In last year’s survey, over half of respondents said the advent of DTAs and TIEAs had impacted their business. This year, when asked whether the increasing number of these agreements has prompted a slowdown in business, four in five people responded in the negative (see Figure 1). Figure 1 Have you seen a slowdown in your offshore business due to an increased number of DTAs/TIEAs? Yes, 20% No, 80% Source: OIL 6 Interestingly, the perceived importance of tax treaties in the medium to long term has actually gone down (see Figure 2). Two years ago, interviewees were asked whether zero-tax or the existence of a broad range of DTAs would become more important in the medium to long term; DTAs collected 53% of the vote compared to 32% for zero-tax. In 2011, the gap widened, with DTAs taking 77% and zero-tax just 15%. There has since been a shift back to 2010 levels. Figure 2 Zero-tax or DTAs will become more important in the medium to long term 100% 8% 15% 13% 15% 33% 32% 77% 54% 53% 2010 2011 DTA Zero-tax 2012 Don’t know Source: OIL This confirms the trend towards greater acceptance and understanding. Back in 2011, when fewer treaties had been signed and there was uncertainty about how the regulators would treat the beneficiaries of these agreements, there was a genuine fear that the industry would be overwhelmed by this development. However, DTAs are in fact just one of many wealth planning tools available to service providers; in the right structures they can be used to complement zero-tax strategies, not replace them. Jurisdictions are required to sign a minimum of 12 TIEAs or DTAs (the latter are more wide ranging but include similar information exchange mechanisms) to qualify for the OECD ‘white list’ of those that meet global transparency requirements. As of May 2012, 89 countries and regions had been white-listed, up from 40 in April 2009 (see Figure 3). Most of the heavy lifting required to get there took place in 2009 and 2010 when nearly 400 agreements were signed. A further 67 came in 2012 and then seven during the first five months of 2012. 7 Figure 3 Number of countries in the OECD white, grey and black list* 100 89 40 38 3 Grey List 4 0 Black List April 2009 White List May 2012 * White list: Jurisdictions that have substantially implemented the internationally agreed tax standard; Black list: Jurisdictions that have not committed to the internationally agreed tax standard; Grey list: Jurisdictions that have committed to the internationally agreed tax standard, but have not yet substantially implemented Source: OECD Though the pace has slowed, particularly for TIEAs, the thought processes have not. A number of jurisdictions are pursuing DTAs with financial centers that can be strategic partners – the idea is that each will form a part of the complex chains that make up modern offshore structures. As such, for jurisdictions it is not a zero-sum game. Those that have traditionally acted as parent entities, Cayman Islands and British Virgin Islands (BVI) are still the preferred jurisdictions. Mid-shore locations, whether it is Hong Kong and Singapore in Asia or Luxembourg, Malta or Cyprus in Europe, have come to the fore, offering onshore-style regulatory certainty, sophisticated services and comprehensive DTA networks. Other jurisdictions fit into the puzzle wherever it makes commercial sense, for example a New Zealand trust or a Samoan special purpose vehicle. The changing regulatory environment has made a number of approaches redundant, but at the same time it has opened up a range of new opportunities. 8 The regional picture The outlook for Asia can be split into two parts: its aggressive wealth creation, which remains unchanged; and its role in the global market, which is changing considerably. Geographical shifts in the offshore industry mirror broader economic transitions, so rapid GDP growth across the region has inevitably attracted more interest from service providers. Asia Pacific continues to be the fastest growing in terms of wealthy individuals. Last year’s Capgemini and Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management World Wealth Report, revealed that the wealth controlled by the region’s population of high net worth individuals (HNWIs) had exceeded Europe in 2010 to become the second-largest in the world behind North America. It has since maintained the lead, despite difficult public markets eroding the fortunes of many. HNWIs are defined as people with investable assets in excess of US$1 million. Total assets controlled by these individuals retracted 1.7% year-on-year in 2011 to $42 trillion. Asia Pacific saw a 1.1% decline to $10.7 trillion, equal with Europe and better than Latin America, Africa and North America. Only the Middle East posted an increase in wealth among its HNWIs (see Figure 4). Figure 4 HNWI wealth distribution, 2007 -2011 (by region) Global HNWI Wealth (US$ Trillion) 50 40.7 1.0 1.7 6.2 10.7 32.8 0.1 1.4 5.8 39.0 1.0 1.5 6.2 9.5 8.3 9.5 7.4 42.7 42.0 1.2 1.7 7.3 1.1 1.7 7.1 10.2 10.1 9.7 10.8 10.7 11.7 9.1 10.7 11.6 11.4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total % Change Total HNWI Wealth 2010-2011 Global -1.7% Africa Middle East Latin America Europe Asia-Pacific North America -2.0% 0.7% -2.9% -1.1% -1.1% -2.3% Note: Chart numbers and quoted precentages may not add up due to rounding Source: Annual World wealth report 2012 - Capgemini and RBC wealth management Latin America, widely regarded as one of the fastest-growing markets for the offshore industry, saw the biggest retraction in 2011 in value terms, with wealth falling 2.9% to $7.1 trillion. Overall, the Middle East, where wealth is closely tied to oil prices, which were buoyant in 2011, were up 0.7%. 9 As for Asia’s role in the global market, the region is now not only attractive in terms of client origination, but also as a destination for capital from other parts of the world. More than 80% of survey respondents say that Asia is used by US and European clients predominantly as a nexus for business opportunities rather than a safe haven for capital (see Figure 5). Yet a similar proportion agree that Hong Kong and Singapore are becoming global centers for capital markets and private banking, respectively (see Figure 6). Figure 5 Is Asia a nexus for business opportunities Figure 6 Are Hong Kong and Singapore becoming global rather than a ‘safe haven’? (and not just regional) centres for capital markets and private banking? No, 15% No, 18% Yes, 85% Yes, 82% Source: OIL Source: OIL The trend is nascent rather than established, but other factors suggest that it will gather momentum. In 2011, Asia was the leading market for IPOs by number of listings and capital raised, and although activity has slowed in 2012, the pipeline of companies waiting to go public remains strong (see Figure 7 & 8). M&A activity in the region is also robust. Finally, seven new private banks have opened in Hong Kong since June 2010, taking the territory’s total to 39. There have been six additions in Singapore over the same period for a total of 48. Asian wealth may be the primary focus but anecdotal evidence suggests there is also plenty of business coming from the likes of Europe. ‘Despite DTAs and AML at its heart this industry is still driven by tax planning, globalisation and growing wealth.’ Service provider in Europe 10 Figure 7 IPO activity by region (number of deals), 2008-2011 No. of deals 1000 879 734 414407 292292 252 Asia-Pacific 192 172 83 92 76 EMEA North America 2008 2009 2010 11 11 30 27 Central and South America 2011 Source: E&Y Global IPO update Figure 8 IPO activity by region (capital raised), 2008-2011 $Billion 200 191 88 71 32 41 35 30 10 Asia-Pacific EMEA 2008 27 44 38 19 North America 2009 2010 7 13 9 9 Central and South America 2011 Source: E&Y Global IPO update 11 Key trends Regulation: The rules are changing, but underlying drivers are not Three years on from the OECD-led drive for closer regulation of offshore financial centers, the industry appears to be better managed and participants appear to be coming to terms with the implications. As one survey respondent puts it, DTAs and TIEAs have become ‘part of the DNA’ of the industry. Substance, a term that once provoked uncertainty, is increasingly seen as an opportunity to market more sophisticated, value-added structures. ‘Substance, a term that once provoked uncertainty, is increasingly seen as an opportunity to market more sophisticated, value-added structures.’ Last year’s survey suggested an appreciation of growing regulatory influence. An overwhelming number of respondents agreed that the role of regulators in the market today is important or very important. Furthermore, over half said the advent of DTAs and TIEAs had impacted their business. With the trend clearly entrenched, the questions asked this year were designed to take the debate a step further. First, what material impact is regulation having on business practices and how is this affecting strategy? Second, where will the OECD and other agencies seek to take their agenda next? As national revenue authorities intensify their tax collection efforts, DTAs have confirmed their place as the preeminent tool in cross-border tax planning. In addition to the basic information exchange facilities offered by TIEAs, DTAs solidify trading relationships. Companies can avoid being taxed on the same income in two different places while the treatment of passive income – capital gains, interest, dividends, royalties, and so on – is attractive. Qualification for treaty benefits requires, among other aspects establishing a sufficient level of substance in the jurisdiction so that regulators have no reason to suspect a company exists solely to leverage these benefits. As such, offshore structures increasingly feature a combination of jurisdictions. For example, a Cayman Islands-incorporated private equity fund that invests in China may establish a presence in Hong Kong with a view to leveraging the Hong Kong-China DTA. But it must have staff on the ground operating the business and making real business decisions in order to prove substance. Nine in 10 survey respondents agreed that the advent of hybrid onshore-offshore structures and the increased use of DTAs have turned substance into a key requirement (see Figure 9). Interestingly, nearly two-thirds observed that clients understand this situation, although many responses were heavily qualified. It is therefore no surprise that DTAs and information exchange plus anti money-laundering (AML) and know-yourcustomer (KYC) requirements rank highly among the key business constraints and drivers (see Figure 10). AML and KYC processes remain the most important consideration with DTAs and information exchange in fourth place. ‘DTA’s are part of the industry DNA now …… and it has creating new opportunities in structuring for us.’ Asian service providers 12 Figure 9 With the advent of the mid-shore and increased use of DTAs, is establishing ‘substance’ a key requirement? No, 11% Yes, 89% Source: OIL Figure 10 Constraints & drivers on the usage of offshore vehicles AML/KYC processes Asset protection Increasing wealth Double tax agreements and information exchange Traditional tax planning Emerging market wealth Lack of qualified staff Merger and acquisitions Global trade Euro crisis and sovereign debt issues Capital market movements GDP growth Higher taxes Flight to hard currency Growth on the funds industry Constraint Driver 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 Constraint and driver Source: OIL However, when questioned further, only 35% of respondents were willing to say that AML and KYC processes are the single largest constraint on business (see Figure 11). Numerous concerns were also raised about onshore jurisdictions not taking processes as seriously as their offshore counterparts, AML and KYC becoming so ingrained within the industry that they are reduced to box-checking exercises, and difficulties in opening bank accounts. The last of these is worth further consideration. In mid-2012, international banks’ oversight procedures came under the spotlight after the US authorities accused two European-based lenders of exposing the financial system to money laundering, drug trafficking and terrorist financing. As a result, opening a bank account is unlikely to get any easier. While these could be considered freak incidents, the fact they are on the agenda is indicative of a broader push towards globalised regulation. This is in line with the expectations of offshore industry participants. 13 Figure 11 Are AML/KYC processes the key constraints on your business? Yes, 35% No, 65% Source: OIL AML processes are likely to become more standardised, with mid-shore providers such as Hong Kong and Singapore tightening their approach, creating more pressure for traditional jurisdictions to improve compliance. Regarding tax information exchange, the OECD looks set to continue its move towards automatic mechanisms, while certain jurisdictions reach bilateral agreements similar to the UK-Switzerland accord, which mandate oneoff payments on undisclosed accounts held by UK taxpayers. Further regulations on tax avoidance and aggressive tax planning will further emphasis the importance of DTAs. Respondents also identified closer inter-territory cooperation (yet increased cross-border competition among tax authorities), fee disclosure and trust oversight as areas worth watching. In this context, licensing for offshore service providers such as OIL inevitably rears its head. A clear majority of respondents think that service providers should be licensed and more than two thirds anticipate this happening within five years. The issue has been covered in previous surveys and the prevailing view is that it is a case of when, not if. But the potential acceleration of this transition would have clear implications for industry participants. Service providers must respond to the needs of an increasingly sophisticated client base, which places a greater burden on resources. Throw licensing into the mix, and the human capital investments this would likely involve, and it gives further credence to a notion expressed in last year’s survey: an incremental shift towards consolidation as economies of scale deliver efficiency and better pricing while a broad geographic footprint facilitates the delivery of bespoke products. For all these changes – real or anticipated – the survey rankings of the key drivers and constraints within the offshore industry indicate that clients’ priorities remain largely consistent. AML and KYC processes and DTAs and information exchange may feature in the top six, but the remaining four places are occupied by asset protection, increasing wealth, traditional tax planning and emerging markets wealth. The rules governing offshore financial services are evolving and industry participants are learning how to adapt – but the underlying demands remain the same. ‘I think the Asian [mid-shore] jurisdictions are likely to target for US and Europe tax authorities ….. it is not just Switzerland.’ Tax lawyer in Europe 14 Jurisdictions: Traditional European centers struggle in a fragmented market For traditional jurisdictions, the principal challenge of the changing regulatory and competitive environment is consolidating existing advantages or repackaging themselves in order to stay relevant. The survey results clearly show that some are doing this more effectively than others. Last year opinion was divided over the prospects for Caribbean offshore financial centers like BVI, Cayman Islands, Bermuda and Bahamas versus European strongholds including Jersey, Guernsey and the Isle of Man. There was a general perception that these jurisdictions would become comparatively less important over the next five years, but how quickly would specific centers atrophy? And what could they do to stem the tide? ‘Cayman Islands and BVI are so entrenched, their structures and services so well known and well used, that it would take a massive shift in client sentiment to displace them.’ For three consecutive years now, respondents have been asked to rank jurisdictions by importance at the time and five years hence. It is worth noting that the first survey largely focused on Asia, with Europe more strongly represented from 2011 onwards. The 2012 edition addressed 26 jurisdictions and what is particularly striking about the results is the relative stability compared with previous years (see Figure 12 & 13). Figure 12 ‘Top 10’ jurisdictions by importance 5 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.7 2.9 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.6 3.03.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.2 1.7 I BV ym Ca s nd sla I an g on gK n Ho ore ap g Sin 2010 sey Jer L 2011 2.42.4 2.2 1.6 urg re) wa bo em ux 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.42.4 la De A( US 2012 ey rns e Gu d lan Ire a ud rm Be In 5 Years Source: OIL 15 Figure 13 Other major jurisdictions by importance 3.0 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.5 2011 lize Isla 1.6 1.4 1.6 rsh all a am Be s Pa n do a rba an mo Ba Sa bu s La nd sla kI Co o ha ma s lta Ma 1.5 2012 In 5 Years Ma 2010 1.6 1.3 Ba es ell n rus yc h Se Cy p Ma of Isle rla nd s nd Ne the ala Ze w Ne Ma uri tiu s 1.3 1.5 illa 2.2 2.2 2.3 s 2.1 2.6 2.4 gu 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.4 An 2.5 nd 2.7 Source: OIL Only five locations are expected to be relatively less important in five years time than they are today: BVI, Cayman Islands, Jersey, Mauritius and Bahamas. This speaks volumes for how the industry is becoming more fragmented with different jurisdictions playing roles in multi-layered structures depending on the specific needs of the client, such as exposure to a particular geography or a preference for the privacy afforded by a certain type of product. Nevertheless, an interesting highlight is the fact that BVI and Cayman Islands both recorded their highest scores since OIL launched this market research 3 years ago; while rest of the 3 locations – Jersey, Mauritius and Bahamas – should be concerned Mauritius is to some extent an anomaly. It was the source of 45% of India’s $24.5 billion foreign direct investment (FDI) in the 2007-2008 fiscal year, but this fell to 35% in 2010-2011, a result of uncertainty about the DTA that exempts Mauritius resident companies from paying tax on capital gains arising from investments in India. The government decided to delay the introduction of anti-avoidance provisions under the new direct tax code – which would require proof of substance in Mauritius to qualify for treaty benefits – but many industry participants accept it a case of when rather than if. 16 What Mauritius shares with Jersey and Bahamas is expectations of decreasing importance expressed over several years, even though the numerical changes are often minimal. (With this in mind, Guernsey is tipped to see no change in its standing in 2012 and 2017, but there is a general downward trend.) First, consider the Channel Islands jurisdictions. Their strategy has been to turn robust regulation to their advantage as a ‘reputational reinforcement,’ the end goal being to target higher value not higher volume business. This has been supplemented by signing DTAs with credible counterparties. Since November 2009, Guernsey has agreed or implemented 11 DTAs and 29 TIEAs. In the last six months, the jurisdiction has reached a treaty agreement with Malta and concluded negotiations with Hong Kong, as well as announcing plans for talks with Liechtenstein and Luxembourg. Jersey, for its part has signed a DTA with Malta in recent years and is awaiting ratification of a Luxembourg accord. The strategy suggests awareness that tax neutral financial centers must align themselves with ‘mid-shore’ jurisdictions that are seen as a bridge between the onshore and offshore worlds. An agreement with Luxembourg promises access to the euro zone and an easier time navigating the EU Alternative Investment Fund Manager Directive; a pact with Hong Kong means a direct route to the rapidly growing Asian markets. So why is it not working? The answer lies in the Channel Islands’ reputational reinforcement agenda. More than two thirds of survey respondents agree with the premise that traditionally favored financial centers in the West, particularly Europe, are losing their competitive advantage due to stringent regulations (see Figure 14). Pressed for a reason why, the length of time it takes to establish a company, requirements affecting privacy and confidentiality, the advent of DTAs, increased choice and fragmentation are all cited. However, the overriding factor is cost. Figure 14 Traditionally favoured offshore financial centres in the West (particularly Europe) are losing their competitive advantage because of stringent regulations. Do you agree? No, 31% Yes, 69% Source: OIL 17 The irony is that Cayman Islands remains one of the more expensive jurisdictions globally, in respect of incorporation and annual maintenance, but it is not suffering. Although Cayman Islands and BVI are expected to be less relevant in five years than now, they will be the second and third most important financial centers globally, with Hong Kong in first place and Singapore a close fourth. Both have taken steps to reassure the global investment community of their ability to meet transparency requirements, looking to hang on to their market leader positions for fund registrations and company incorporations, respectively. (It could be argued that the efforts made by Bahamas, admittedly a much smaller player, have been less convincing, hence its decline in the polls.) But the key issue is habit. Cayman Islands and BVI are so entrenched, their structures and services so well known and well used, that it would take a massive shift in client sentiment to displace them. In last year’s survey, respondents were asked to name their preferred jurisdictions for specific business purposes. BVI ranked first for asset protection and estate planning, individual tax planning and special purpose vehicles, while Cayman Islands shared top spot with Luxembourg for fund management. This time around, BVI has added investment holding for corporations to its titles. Cayman Islands has wrested sole occupancy of the fund management category and also leads in listing vehicles for IPOs in Hong Kong (see Figure 15). Figure 15 Jurisdictions as listing vehicles for Hong Kong IPOs All listings on HKSE* Latest 100 listings on the HKSE 2% 7% 9% 38% 34% 10% 4% 70% 11% 15% Cayman Islands Hong Kong China Bermuda Others Source: HKSE * As of September 2012 ‘I am doing less business in the Channel Islands because my Asian clients are very price sensitive.’ Singapore accountant 18 Complacency would be misguided, though. Respondents also selected emerging jurisdictions – important now and expected to become fully fledged by 2020 – with Singapore particularly well placed. It ranked first in asset protection and estate planning, individual tax planning and trading for corporations (where top spot is currently held by Hong Kong) (see Figure 16). Meanwhile, Ireland and Samoa are seen as fast risers in fund management and investment holding for corporations, respectively. Figure 16 Single most important location for specific usage Purpose Leading jurisdictions today Growing in ‘Influence’ by 2020 Asset protection and estate planning BVI Singapore Funds management Cayman Islands Ireland Individual tax planning BVI Singapore Listing vehicles for IPOs Cayman Islands BVI Investment holding for corporations BVI Samoa Special purpose vehicles BVI BVI Trading for corporations Hong Kong Singapore Source: OIL Singapore’s growing status in the industry is confirmation of the mid-shore theory. Separately, respondents were asked to name one jurisdiction that is ‘up and coming,’ and give reasons for their choice. No single location dominated the standings – remember that the industry is becoming more fragmented – but Singapore and Hong Kong were comfortable leaders (see Figure 17). Location, regulation, strength and flexibility of the financial services sector, and good DTA networks were among the reasons cited. Interestingly, China and the US placed fifth and eighth, on the grounds that increased regulation is pushing business onshore. International finance is indeed becoming more complex and multi-layered. ‘One of the by-products of the extra-jurisdictional actions by the US is that some business is moving back on-shore.’ Regulator in the Caribbean 19 Figure 17 Top 8 ‘Influential’ jurisdiction in 2020 ‘Influential’ jurisdiction Key reasons listed by respondents Singapore Based on its regulation, good banking sector, and being part of the Asian world, DTA network Hong Kong Location, pace of internationalisation of the RMB, high financial flexibility, simple and low cost corporate management, DTA network Malta Business, tax and legal infrastructure Samoa Political stability, with geopolitical advantages, easy management, administrative efficiency China Government policies and move onshore Ireland Globalised jurisdiction, (DTA Network) hub for investments into the EU Luxembourg Tax treaties and infrastructure US Shift of business onshore Source: OIL ‘Asia remains our most important growth market with Hong Kong and Singapore at the heart of our expansion plans.’ Private banker in Hong Kong with a global bank 20 Clients: Asia still dominates while traditional markets stabilise Asia is by some distance the most important growth region for offshore financial services. This comes as no surprise. OIL’s first survey, conducted two years ago, targeted industry participants who conduct business in Asia, so the region inevitably ranked highest in terms of business origination. In 2011, the sample size broadened yet Asia held ‘There is a blurring of the lines of onto top place and respondents have since become even more distinction between individuals and bullish in their outlook. Latin America and Africa understandably follow a similar trajectory. corporations – to the extent that the individual is increasingly treated as What is surprising, however, are assessments of more developed a corporation for financial planning markets. In previous years, mainland Europe, the UK, North purposes.’ America and Australia-New Zealand appear to have been on a slow downward spiral. Indeed, the 2012 results show that these locations are less important now than they were 12 months ago or seeing no change (see Figure 18). Figure 18 Client origination by location 5 4.3 4.6 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.1 Scale of 5 3.2 3.1 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.5 1.5 Asia Europe UK 2010 North America Middle East 2011 2012 Australia/ New Zealand 2.4 2.0 Latin America 1.4 1.7 1.7 Africa In 5 Years Source: OIL 21 In terms of the five-year outlook, though, each one is expected to see growth. This could be tied to greater stability in the regulatory environment and confidence in the improvement of the economy, suggesting that industry participants are becoming accustomed to recent changes and plotting new commercial strategies. Similar patterns emerged when respondents were asked to name the most important growth market in Asia and Europe (see Figure 19). China was the runaway leader, with India in second, Singapore in fourth and Indonesia sixth. European jurisdictions that boast particular client seams also featured strongly. The UK placed third, largely thanks to the City of London; other high finishers include Germany (fifth), Switzerland (seventh), France (eighth) and Luxembourg (12th) – and in each market residents face tax issues of one form or another. Figure 19 Important ‘growing’ markets in Asia and Europe China India UK Singapore Germany Indonesia Switzerland France Hong Kong South Korea Russia Luxembourg Netherlands Ireland Poland Taiwan Ukraine Sweden Vietnam Responses Source: OIL There are a few anomalies as well. Hong Kong, a jurisdiction that seeks to match Singapore as a combination of the offshore and onshore worlds, trails its neighbour by a distance, in ninth place. This can be explained by Hong Kong’s status as a portal for China, with a lot of activity in the territory actually originating in the mainland. Russia, widely recognised as Europe’s most important emerging market, also ranked unusually low, perhaps a reflection of the challenges of conducting business locally. 22 The quirk about doing business in emerging markets – and Asia is a classic example – is that it’s much harder to separate the individual from their business interests. This affects how clients use offshore structures. In many cases, privately-owned enterprises across the region are still controlled by the families that set them up in the first place. This is clearly true in China, where economic reforms that encouraged private sector development only date back about 30 years and it took a decade before real progress was made. Even in more mature markets such as Japan and South Korea companies that were established after World War II, founders are only now considering succession planning issues. It is also worth noting that when these companies go public, the family owners often retain significant if not controlling stakes. As a result, there is a blurring of the lines of distinction between individuals and corporations – to the extent that the individual is increasingly treated as a corporation for financial planning purposes. Asked whether the market is likely to become more dependent on business from corporations than individuals, 59% agreed, up from 51% in 2010 and 57% in 2011 (see Figure 20). The corporation share is expected to be even higher in five years time. Overall, corporations currently account for just over half of business covering a wide variety of purposes. While the individual share is concentrated in asset protection and estate planning and individual tax planning, corporations are used for funds management, listing vehicles, corporate investment holdings, special purpose vehicles and trading (see figure 21). Figure 20 The market is likely to become more dependent on business from corporations rather than individuals Disagree, 41% Agree, 59% Year % of business from insitutions 2010 51% 2011 57% 2012 58% In 5 years 59% Source: OIL 23 Figure 21 Percentage (%) of respondents’ business done today for the following purposes 30% 23.9% 14.0% 16.7% 15.9% 13.4% 10.2% 6.5% Corporate 60.2% Individual 39.8% r s s x e les fo ta os ng nd n& al ing rp les hic PO ldi ate Fu ent tio ing ing rate u u e o c d I v c d p r n l r m te g hi th o ivi ann Tra rpo ro lan ge cia ve tin fo men corp Ind pl co na t p te p pe Lis t or a e S s s a f e m As est Inv Source: OIL Trusts, structures that can be used to hold a variety of different assets, are natural beneficiaries of this trend. A company owner can bundle his share of the business, an assortment of properties and his portfolio of investments into a trust, cede effective control to the trustee in order to achieve tax efficiency, and name family members as beneficiaries. This is a neat solution to succession planning issues as well as personal wealth management. The relationship between corporate and individual wealth is particularly pertinent when preparing for an IPO on a foreign stock exchange. BVI- or Hong Kong-incorporated entities held in trusts are routinely used to hold Asian entrepreneurs’ shares in Chinese companies that are restructured in the Cayman Islands, with a Cayman Islands’ vehicle being interposed in order to list in Hong Kong or other jurisdictions. Nearly 80% of respondents are of the view that acceptance of such structures in emerging markets is increasing. Similarly, nearly 60% of respondents find that family offices are beginning to use fund structures due to their flexibility (see Figure 22). Setting up professional fund structures in the form of umbrellas with multiple sub-funds – for example, the Cayman Islands private placement fund – means portfolio companies can be segregated, enabling better risk control and back office support. The solid governance framework within these structures also permits the family office to focus on its role as strategic advisor on manager selection and monitoring asset allocations. 24 Figure 22 Family offices are beginning to use fund structures because of their flexibility (easier vehicles for investment and redemption) Don’t know, 14% No, 28% Yes, 58% Source: OIL These strategies have much in common with the needs of the current generation of Chinese entrepreneurs: Increasing wealth inevitably means a higher value is placed on wealth protection; company founders are making investments offshore and sending their children to Europe and North America for secondary and tertiary education; and the companies themselves are looking at overseas acquisitions and other expansion opportunities. Nearly two thirds of survey respondents currently do business in China, 55% of it related to inbound investment and 45% to outbound (see Figure 23). Seven in 10 expect this balance to swing more in favor of outbound over the next five years. Figure 23 China inbound (%) vs outbound (%) Do you conduct business in China? No, 36% Percentage of investment inbound into China versus outbound from China No, 30% Outbound 45% Yes, 64% Will this change in the next five years? Inbound 55% Yes, 70% Source: OIL 25 It remains to be seen how quickly this transition really comes about. The gap between China inbound and outbound investments is closing in value terms. In the first half of 2012 $59.1 billion entered the country, down 3% year-on-year, while outflows jumped 48% to $35.4 billion. However, this is partly cyclical – a function of Chinese firms having abundant cash reserves and foreign asset prices being depressed. From a long-term perspective, there will still be a sizeable portion of capital inflows as investors pursue business opportunities afforded by a fast-growing economy. Indeed, a lot of this capital might ultimately emanate from Asia itself as investors in the region use offshore structures for tax efficiency purposes. Between 1979 and 2011, $1.2 trillion entered China as FDI. Of this, $533 billion came via Hong Kong – understandable given the interconnectivity of the two economies – and $112 billion was channeled through BVI, the second highest share. Cayman Islands has also featured strongly among the sources of Chinese FDI. There is a clear capital markets link here given the prominence of BVI and Cayman Islands in IPO structures (see Figure 24). Figure 24 Major sources of estimated cumulative utilised FDI in China: 1979-2011 Country $Billions % of Total 1,224.0 100.0 Hong Kong 533.2 43.5 British Virgin Islands* 111.8 9.1 Japan 79.9 6.5 United States 68.1 5.6 Taiwan 58.7 4.8 Singapore 53.4 4.5 South Korea 49.9 4.1 Total Source: News articles *Note: BVI data till 2010 only ‘China is changing …… we are seeing larger firms looking to acquire assets outside China.’ Hong Kong lawyer 26 Summary Asia remains the most important growth region for offshore financial services, but the outlook for more developed markets have stabilised due to greater clarity in the regulatory environment and confidence in the improvement of economy. The challenge of doing business in emerging markets – and Asia is a classic example – is that it’s much harder to separate the individual from their business interests. This blurring of the lines of distinction means that the individual is increasingly treated as a corporation for financial planning purposes. Trusts, structures that can be used to hold a variety of different assets, are natural beneficiaries of this trend. So too are funds, which are increasingly popular among family offices. For traditional jurisdictions, the principal challenge of the changing regulatory and competitive environment is consolidating existing advantages or repackaging themselves in order to stay relevant. Three financial centers should be particularly worried: Mauritius, which is heavily reliant on India-related business and is now being targeted by the Indian tax authorities; Bahamas, which arguably hasn’t done as much as its Caribbean peers to meet transparency requirements, along with some ‘unfriendly’ commercial requirements; and Jersey, which – like other Channel Islands jurisdictions – has yet to prove that its higher quality rather than higher volume business is a winner with cost-conscious customers. The BVI and Cayman Islands remain well positioned, as are fast-rising mid-shore location such as Hong Kong and Singapore. Three years on from awareness of international regulatory crackdown, the offshore industry is better managed and participants appear to be coming to terms with the implications. The advantages of DTAs and TIEAs, as well as the substance requirements that have to be met to qualify for treaty benefits, are now better understood by a wider group of stakeholders. They are increasingly seen as an opportunity to market more sophisticated, value-added structures. However, AML and KYC requirements still rank highly among the key business drivers and constraints. Regulation is likely to become more global and more standardised, with tighter AML processes, automatic information exchange mechanisms and licensing for offshore service providers. OIL will continue to track these trends over the coming year as a means of opening up the debate on where the industry could – and should – be headed. 27 Methodology OIL’s first White Paper, Offshore 2020: An Asian Perspective, which was published in December 2010, was based on interviews with 47 offshore industry participants who conduct business in Asia. Interviewees were based in locations including Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Cayman Islands, BVI, Anguilla and Labuan. The following year’s offering had a wider geographical remit and larger sample size (92). More interviews were conducted and the likes of Switzerland, Jersey, Cyprus and Ireland added to the existing complement of jurisdictions covered. One reason for this was OIL’s expansion into Europe, a London office opened earlier last year. The 2012 survey saw similar levels of geographical participation but there was a significant rise in the sample size, with 155 interviews conducted (see Figure 25). Figure 25 Sample size 200 No. of respondents 155 92 47 2010 Source: OIL 28 2011 2012 However, it is important to note that Asia, as the key driver of industry growth, remains the dominant focus in this report (see Figure 26). Interviewees represented the following industry segments (see Figure 27): Figure 26 Survey participants by region 9% 6% Asia Europe Caribbean Rest of the world 22% Figure 27 Survey participants by company type 2% 9% 4% 6% 11% 63% 17% Source: OIL 28% 22% Law Corporate services/ Consulting firms Bank/Private banking/ Financial advisory CPA/Accounting/ Taxation Regulatory agencies Investment management Industry associations Others Source: OIL The aim was to assess how the offshore financial services industry is likely to develop over the coming five years. With this in mind, the survey was conducted based on six hypotheses: {{ Asia is the most important region for growth {{ DTAs will continue to grow in importance {{ Traditional jurisdictions are losing their competitive advantages {{ Demand for offshore companies are changing with corporate needs increasingly driving business {{ Regulation remains the most important factor operating in the offshore market {{ Asia is seen as the leading business origination location but is also likely to be an important destination for business and capital 29 Acknowledgements OIL wishes to express our appreciation to our clients and partners for their input and support in our 3rd annual market research study. The following firms have agreed to be listed in the report: AllBright Law Office, ANZ, Baker & Mckenzie, Bird & Bird, Boardroom Corporate Services, Bonnard Lawson, Boughton Peterson Yang Anderson (in association with Zhong Lun Law Firm), Campbell Corporate Services Limited, Campbells Attorneys , Certa Legal Tax Dutch Caribbean, Charles Monat Associates, Chief Consultant Co, CKLB, Clifford Chance, Clifford Law, Collas Crill, CWL Partners, Dacheng Law Offices, Daiwa Capital Markets, DBS Bank, Deloitte, Deutsche Bank, Entourage (HK), Ernst & Young, Family Capital Conservation, Fiduciary Asia Company Secretaries, Financial Partners, Guernsey Finance, Hamber Consulting, Harneys, Headland Capital Partners, Hilda Loe Associates, International Business Registry (Government of Ras Al Khaimah), Jersey Finance , Jin Mao Lawyers, Karfigest S.A., LawAlliance, Lawrence Quahe & Woo LLC, Liberation Management, Louvre Fiduciary, Mainland-Taiwan International Company, Maples and Calder, Matheson Ormsby Prentice, Mayer Brown JSM, Mondial (Dubai) LLC, Northern Light Venture Capital, OCBC Trustee, OCRA, Office of the Attorney General, Samoa, Ogier, PKWA Law Practice, Primasia Corporate Services, PwC, Siam City Law Offices, Samoa International Finance Authority, Stafford Corporate Services, Stephenson Harwood, Corpag, Thomas Eggar , Thorp Alberga, TMF BVI, Trend Law Firm, Vistra Group, Wetrust Co., Winners Law Firms, Withers, Wizdii Holdings, Yida Law Firm, Zhong Lun Law Firm, ZhongLun W&D Law Firm, 浦海投資管理有限公司 To have a further conversation about the key findings and how OIL may further enhance its services and add value to your business, please contact any of the following business unit heads in our local office: Hong Kong / United Kingdom Jonathon Clifton, Managing Director [email protected] T: +852 2886 7645 China Ernest Zheng, Managing Director [email protected] T: +86 21 6287 7706 Singapore Helen Soh, Executive Director [email protected] T: +65 6438 0838 Taiwan Nadine Feng, Executive Director [email protected] T: +886 2 2718 2222 If you wish to participate in the next survey, please register your interest with [email protected]. 30 31 Offshore Incorporations Group is Asia’s company formation specialist with 25 years of expertise serving professional intermediary clients through offices in Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Singapore, Taiwan and the United Kingdom. The Group has over 250 highly experienced professionals and strong alliances with trusted professional partners to enable coverage of jurisdictions worldwide and facilitate local support. The information and opinion expressed in this publication are not to be relied upon as professional advice or a comprehensive report. Readers are responsible to seek proper professional advice for specific situations. © 2012 OIL 32 All Rights Reserved. www.offshore-inc.com