2014 - IPG Photonics Corporation
Transcription
2014 - IPG Photonics Corporation
World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers IPG Photonics Corporation The Fiber Laser Company™ (NASDAQ: IPGP) Investor Presentation Needham & Co. Growth Conference January 12th, 2016 www.ipgphotonics.com Safe Harbor Statement The statements in this presentation that relate to future plans, market forecasts, events or performance are forward-looking statements. These statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, risks associated with the strength or weakness of the business conditions in industries and geographic markets that IPG serves, particularly the effect of downturns in the markets IPG serves; uncertainties and adverse changes in the general economic conditions of markets; IPG's ability to penetrate new applications for fiber lasers and increase market share; the rate of acceptance and penetration of IPG's products; inability to manage risks associated with international customers and operations; foreign currency fluctuations; high levels of fixed costs from IPG's vertical integration; the appropriateness of IPG's manufacturing capacity for the level of demand; competitive factors, including declining average selling prices; the effect of acquisitions and investments; inventory write-downs; intellectual property infringement claims and litigation; interruption in supply of key components; manufacturing risks; government regulations and trade sanctions; and other risks identified in the Company's SEC filings. Readers are encouraged to refer to the risk factors described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K and its periodic reports filed with the SEC, as applicable. Actual results, events and performance may differ materially. Readers are cautioned not to rely on the forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. 2 IPG Overview Global leader in industrial fiber lasers FY 2014 sales of $770 million; YOY growth of 19% $3.79 diluted EPS; up 28% YOY YTD 2015 (thru Q3) sales of $678 million; YOY growth of 20% $3.40 diluted EPS; up 25% YOY Growing acceptance of fiber lasers replacing traditional lasers Products are sold to OEMs, systems integrators and end users for use in many industries Global operations with over 3,000 employees 3 Investment Highlights The technology leader and most profitable company in the rapidly growing fiber laser market Expanding $4.7 billion opportunity for all lasers Approximate average annual growth rate of 6% Recognized leader in the rapidly growing fiber laser market Estimated 15% CAGR from 2015 to 2019 Significant competitive advantages First mover advantage Performance, product range and reliability Lowest cost (vertically integrated model) Strong IP position Vertical integration and direct sales model drives industry-leading margins (54.1% GM in FY 2014) Broad geographies, end markets and applications Asia & Australia 52%, Europe 33%, North & South America 15% 4 Rapidly Taking Share in Large, Existing Laser Markets (000) $7,000 $6,300 $6,000 Fiber, 23% $5,000 2014 $4,670 $4,000 $3,000 $2,200 $2,000 $1,090 $1,000 Fiber, 35% $All Lasers Fiber Lasers 2014 All Lasers Fiber Lasers 2019 2019 Forecast Forecast Materials Processing Advanced Applications Medical ____________________ Source: Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates. 5 Materials Processing – Diverse End Uses and Customers Automotive General Manufacturing Heavy Industry Oil & Gas Shipbuilding Nuclear Construction Aerospace Shipbuilding Semi/ Electronics Displays Consumer 6 Materials Processing Laser Market Opportunity for Continued Fiber Laser Market Share Gain is Significant (US$ mm) $2,000 $1,850 $1,800 $1,600 $1,420 $1,400 $1,250 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $430 $400 $590 $580 $560 $550 $400 $400 $390 $310 $280 $150* $110 $200 $30 $- 2014 2019 High Power 2014 2019 2014 Marking 2019 Fine Processing All Lasers Fiber Lasers 2014 2019 Addressable Micro Processing (Excludes lithography) *2019 Micro Processing is IPGP estimate based on fiber laser potential to penetrate 25% of overall market. ____________________ Source: Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates. 7 Fiber Laser Penetration of High Power Applications $1,600 80% $1,400 70% $1,200 60% $440 $1,000 50% $800 40% $710 $600 30% $970 $400 $160 $160 $410 $200 $280 $140 $2014 2019 Fiber Lasers 10% 0% 2014 Cutting (US$ mm) 20% 2019 Welding All Other Lasers Fiber Market Share ____________________ Source: Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Strategies Unlimited, Optech Consulting and IPGP estimates. Cutting Applications Flat Sheet Cutting Welding Applications Power Train 3% 16% Tube Welding 27% Tube Cutting 3D Cutting 81% Car Body Scanner Welding Car Body Seam Welding / Brazing Other 8 7% 9% 17% 40% Welding Opportunity potentially much more significant Transitions in Welding – Medium and Long Term FUTURE CURRENT Limited Materials Niche Welding Applications Diverse Materials Diverse Industries Automotive Aerospace Construction Heavy Equipment Railways Shipbuilding Transportation & Storage High Strength Steel Aluminum Titanium Alloys Thick Materials Diverse Products Aircraft Autos Bridges Buildings Pipelines Rails Railcars Ships Storage Tanks Trucks In many instances strength of the laser weld > welded material Decreasing cost of laser welding, new laser welding technologies, know-how, software & algorithms 9 A Diverse Mix with Year-over-Year Growth IPG Sales by Product Lines ($US mm) $450 $426.0 $400 $381.5 $344.1 $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $134.9 $131.4 $97.0 $79.7 $75.5 $53.3 $50 $13.8 $34.9 $45.6 $13.3 $10.2 $21.5 $0 Pulsed High-Power Medium-Power 2013 2014 YTD 2015 10 Low-Power QCW Acceptance Drives High-Power Growth 2010 – 2014 Total Units Sold CAGR: 15% 2010 – 2014 KW Power Sold CAGR: 58% 30,000 24,800 25,000 Units Sold 20,900 20,000 15,000 21,100 17,700 14,000 10,100 10,000 7,300 3,500 5,000 1,600 4,900 KW KW KW KW 0 KW 2010 ____________________ 2011 2012 Note: KiloWatt of power sold only represents medium, QCW and high-power sales. Units excludes telecom components and component PLDs. 2013 Total Units Sold 11 2014 KW Power Sold Diode Production a Significant Advantage High volume production levels of pump diodes, proprietary processes and use of unique chip and package designs allows IPG to increase yields, lower component costs and assure high quality 2015 – total chip production was > 5 million units Decrease in Packaged Diode Cost/Watt Consistently Averages 20% 120% Tested Chips Produced 4,000,000 100% 3,500,000 80% 3,000,000 60% 2,500,000 40% 2,000,000 20% 1,500,000 0% 1,000,000 -20% 500,000 - -40% 2009 Tested Chip Production ____________________ Source: IPGP estimates. 2010 2011 2012 2013 Cost/watt % decrease (base yr 2009) 12 2014 Annual cost decrease % % Change in Packaged Diode Cost 4,500,000 Recent & New Product Introductions Expand addressable market and enhance future growth opportunities by addressing new application and customer specific requirements CURRENT Marking & Engraving Cutting Welding Fine Processing Additive Manufacturing FUTURE Brazing Drilling Welding of Alloys and Specialty Materials Cladding & Deposition Ablation Display & Imaging 3D-Cinema Entertainment and Projection Micro-processing Medical Devices Bio-Medical Sensing & LIDAR 13 Recent & New Product Introductions - Beam Delivery Products BEAM SWITCHES Shutter Coupler CUTTING HEADS High-Power Welding Heads Advance Welding Modules SCANNING HEADS Manual & Motorized Cutting Heads Highest Power Handling > 100kW Fast Switch Time < 50usec Energy or Time Share Options • • Highest Power Handling > 100kW Plug and Play with all IPG Lasers • • Highest Power Handling > 50kW Modules for Advanced Welding: Multi-Channel HIGH-POWER COLLIMATORS WELDING HEADS • • • Micro-Cutting Heads Seam Tracking, Wobble, Dual Spot, etc. Zoom Collimator • • • High-Power • Scanning Integrated Marker Mid-Power Scanning Highest Power Handling > 12kW Advance Modules for Cutting Integrated Solutions Range of applications from lowpower marking to very high-power welding Expands total available market, simplifies customer supply chain & improves customer experience & results 14 Recent & New Product Introductions – Trifocal Laser Brazing OBJECTIVES Reliable brazing process Laser Spot Increased brazing speed High quality seam appearance Multi-spot technology Laser Spot Inline cleaning process ADVANTAGES Laser Spot Cleaning and joining in one step Reduction of manual cleaning effort, automated process Improved reproducibility Maximum joint strength Increased brazing speed Improved joint appearance: straight seam borders, smooth surface, no spatter, control of brazing temperature Minimized heat effects on the assembly Minimized cost 15 Recent & New Product Introductions – In-Field Rotational Welding System for Large Diameter Pipes & Oil Well Casing 10-KW Fiber Laser Power Supply Rotational Welding Head Chiller LC340 16 Systems New system platforms offering specific laser and beam delivery tailored to specific applications Small format cutting system, multi purpose welding system and micromachining systems Small format cutting machine Standard platform system for welding, cutting & drilling 17 Micromachining systems with micron accuracy Recent & New Product Introductions - Other Macro-Systems 2D Cutting Welding cells for thick section Aluminum & Titanium alloys Pipe Cutting Hybrid Welding systems for thick section metal alloys 18 5D Cutting Laser cladding cells Recent & New Product Introductions – 5-Axis Pipe Welding System Multi-axis high power fiber laser pipe welding system First system will be delivered in Q1 2016 Large application area with zero penetration by lasers today 19 New Product Introductions - Picosecond Ready for introduction >$130M annual industrial picosecond IR laser market opportunity Two significant players Nine or more niche/scientific players Applications: Sapphire scribing (LED)/cutting (watch glass), high strength glass cutting (smartphone/tablet), thin film ablation (display/electronics), drilling & dark marking Glass welding for hermetic flat panel display is a high potential growth area Market Drivers: High Pulse Energy, High Repetition Rate at Low Acquisition and Low Maintenance Cost “Six Figure” prices and high service costs suppress market growth High (>50W) Power IR sources command between $1.5K - $3K per Watt Trend is to compact (<10W) entrants sell in $70K range 20 New Product Introductions – UV Lasers & Marking Module Low power UV Lasers ready for introduction > $110 million estimated market opportunity UV Marking for white plastics and cabling Laser marking module with 2-axis scanning integrated with IPG UV laser IPG’s Complete UV Marking Module Provides Ease-ofIntegration, Performance and Reliability to Integrators and OEMs 21 Other Applications Provide Potential Additional Longer Term Growth Opportunities (US$ mm) Displays & Light Shows $140 $160 $60 $730 Sensors, LIDAR & Instruments Mid-IR Spectroscopy $320 2014 R&D Defense $340 Medical Displays & Light Shows Sensors, LIDAR & Instruments $510 Mid-IR Spectroscopy $1,120 $210 $100 $340 $440 R&D 2019 Defense Medical Fiber participation is relatively low in these other applications. Longer term opportunity will depend on successful product development and market acceptance of fiber laser products. 22 ____________________ Source: Strategies Unlimited, IPGP estimate of potentially addressable market. Laser Luminaire Project Major players in cinema industry have embarked on upgrading cinema image quality and overall moviegoers experience Emerging transition of cinema projectors from Xenon Bulb to laser luminaires presents IPG with an opportunity to enter market with ~$200M annualized revenue potential Unique $/W merit figure for IPG high power fiber lasers matches the projected “top down” laser adoption scenario IPG high power lasers platform and Red and Green laser technologies enable leveraging IPG platform commonality to minimize IPG initial investments required to enter this market Significant interest from leaders in cinema projectors and high end movie theater operators 23 Cinema Image Quality: Current Status & Trends Xenon Bulb Limitations Laser Advantages Up to 100k:1 dynamic range vs. current 2k:1 Dynamic Range >4X Brighter 3D image (in 35mm format) Brightness in 3D Xe Bulb & Film Wider color gamut (life-like colors) Color Gamut High resolution (same for Xenon bulb and laser) Resolution 24 Cinema Market Segmentation: $2.4B IPG Aggregate TAM Potential (over 8-10 Years) Projected Top-Down Laser Luminaire Market Adoption Large Screens Primarily 2D, some 3D capable Fiber Lasers or diodes Very Large Screens 2D and 3D Potential Laser Strength Segments 3D Ultra Premium Screen Count TAM over 810 years Ultra-Premium IMAX, Dolby, etc. Mostly 3D 2,000 $200M$400M Very Large Screens 2D and 3D 5,000 $250M$450M Large Screens 10,000 $300M$600M Medium Screens 38,000 $425M$950M Small and Very Small Screens 80,000 N/A ~135,000* $1.2B to $2.4B** Segment Medium Screens, Mostly 2D Small and Very Small Screens (“mom and pop” cinema shops, most in emerging markets) Early laser projectors since 2000s; niche markets flight simulators, planetariums, museums. First commercial laser cinema projectors entered market in H2 ‘14. Bulk of transition is projected from 2016 through 2025. 25 **Revenue opportunity is exclusive of service New Platforms for Laser Medicine Based on IPG’s Fiber, Hybrid Fiber Laser and Diode Sources IPG Medical develops and manufactures lasers and laser-based medical systems: FDA registered manufacturer (2016) ISO 13485 (2016) Main advantages: High efficacy and safety of treatment due to optimum wavelengths and power parameters Compact and ultrareliable package Low cost of equipment and service Dentistry: New super pulse lasers for existing and new dental applications in collaboration with one of the leaders in the market Urology: New super pulse fiber laser for endoscopic fragmentation of urethral, ureteral, bladder and renal calculi, fragmentation of kidney calculi and surgery of benign prostatic hyperplasia 26 IPG’s Defensible Laser Position Vertical Integrated Business Model Strong IP Portfolio Manufacturing Scale 27 Global Sales and Production Capabilities HQ, R&D, Mfg. Sales & Service R&D, Mfg., Sales & Service Sales & Support 200 Sales and Marketing Headcount 10 Application Centers worldwide 150 100 50 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 ____________________ Please note: IPG has 4 offices in China and 2 offices in Japan. Map excludes all rep offices 28 2013 2014 Leveraged Sales Model Maximizes Market Reach Direct Sales End User End User End User OEM End User End User Direct Sales End User OEM End User Factory 1 Large Manuf. Factory 2 Factory 3 Direct Sales Integrator End User Representatives End User Three Distribution Channels OEMs/Integrators Direct Sales 29 Representatives Unique Technology Driving Market Adoption Fiber Laser Diodes High Power Fiber Laser Assembly Fiber Couplers Active Fibers Bragg Gratings Laser Output Scalable kilowatt laser modules Modular Scalable Efficient Compact Proprietary Design and Components 30 Vertical Integration Drives Significant Benefits 31 Vertical Integration Semiconductor Wafer Growth Laser diode Packaging Diode Processing, Chip Mounting & Burn-In Up to 120-watts of power Fab Operations Optical Preform Silica based glass Optical Delivery Systems: Welding & Cutting Heads, Scanners, process fibers MCVD method Dope with rare earth ions Deep in technology Deep in experience Fiber Draw Draw towers Final Assembly Components Coupling Modules Final burn in Up to 2000 Watts Bragg Gratings Isolators Shipment Couplers Fiber Block 32 World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers Financial Overview www.ipgphotonics.com Financial Highlights Investment Highlights YTD 2014 – YTD 2015 Revenue growth ~20% 27% CAGR from 2010 to 2014 Highly diversified revenue stream and business model Customers, powers, geographies, applications Vertically integrated model driving gross margin High return on R&D and SG&A drives strong operating margins Strategically focused and efficient R&D that creates value Track record of profitability and financial discipline Strong return on invested capital (excluding cash) 39% in 2014 34 Sales and Gross Margin Growth Gross Margin(1) (%) Sales ($ mm) $900 $700 $600 70.0% $769.8 $800 54.2% 48.9% $677.6 $648.0 54.2% $562.5 54.1% 60.0% 54.6% 52.5% 50.0% $474.5 $500 40.0% $400 30.0% $299.3 $300 20.0% $200 10.0% $100 $0 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Revenue ($mm) ____________________ (1) Gross margin includes stock-based compensation of $0.7mm, $1.7mm, $2.2mm, $3.2mm, $4.2mm and $3.9mm for 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and YTD 2015, respectively. 35 YTD 2015 Gross Margin Operating Leverage Improvement Operating Margin(1) (%) Sales & Operating Income(1) ($mm) $900 $769.8 $800 $700 37.1% $600 37.0% 38.2% (2)40.0% 36.9% 33.7% 30.0% 26.9% $299.3 $283.8 $300 $175.5 $200 $100 $677.6 $648.0 $562.5 $474.5 $500 $400 50.0% $208.9 $218.1 20.0% $259.0 10.0% $80.4 $0 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 Revenue ($mm) 2013 2014 Operating Income ($mm) ____________________ (1) Operating income includes stock-based compensation of $3.2mm, $8.0mm, $8.6mm, $11.7mm, $15.2mm and $13.9mm for 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and YTD 2015, respectively. (2) YTD 2015 operating margin includes FX gains of $0.5mm . 36 YTD 2015 Operating Margin Strong Cash and Liquidity Position ($ in thousands) As of December 31, 2014 As of September 30, 2015 $522,150 $651,220 $1,210,887 $1,408,206 $2,631 $248 $33,000 $20,167 $1,046,561 $1,214,658 Cash and cash equivalents Total assets Revolving line-of-credit facilities Long-term debt, including current portion Stockholders' equity Long-term CapEx target <10% of revenue Investments in product and manufacturing technology development, capacity expansion and sales and service infrastructure 37 Investment Highlights The technology leader and most profitable company in the rapidly growing fiber laser market Expanding $4.7 billion opportunity for all lasers Approximate average annual growth rate of 6% Recognized leader in the rapidly growing fiber laser market 27% CAGR from 2010 to 2014 19% growth from 2013 to 2014 Significant competitive advantages First mover advantage Performance, product range and reliability Lowest cost (vertically integrated model) Strong IP position Vertical integration and direct sales model drives industry-leading margins (54.1% GM in FY 2014) Broad geographies, end markets and applications Asia & Australia 52%, Europe 33%, North & South America 15% 38 World Leadership in High Power Fiber Lasers Appendix www.ipgphotonics.com Comparison: Cutting with Fiber & CO2 Lasers Faster Cutting Speed +150% +130% 3 kW Fiber 4 kW CO2 +110% 0.5 mm 1 mm GALVANIZED STAINLESS STEEL 2 mm ZINC COATED +50% 3 mm STEEL 5 mm COPPER 5 mm STAINLESS STEEL 18 mm STEEL Fiber’s higher absorption and excellent beam quality enable: Faster cutting speed with less power Processing of a wider variety of materials Lower Processing Costs Improved productivity and significantly less energy consumption = lower cost per part -55% 3kW Fiber Energy Maintenance ____________________ Source: Salvagnini 4kW CO2 Consumables Compressed Air Cutting Gas Laser Gas 40 Additive Manufacturing (3D Printing) Total Plastics & Metals 3D Printer Forecast ($ in billions) $12 $10 CAGR: ~23% $8 Airbus A-380 3D printed pneumatic manifold $6 $4 $2 $0 2013 2015 2017 2019 2020 Source: Wohler’s Report Selective Laser Melting or Sintering (SLM/SLS) of metals and metallic alloys are the fastest growth segments in additive manufacturing (AM) industry Previous growth in this market has come from plastics whereas metal processes are starting to gain significant traction Fiber lasers are a critical component of SLS/SLM additive manufacturing equipment with IPG having achieved strong market position for metal processes New cost-effective IPG high power green lasers address shortcomings of current processes (surface roughness, parts tolerances) critical for aerospace and other industries Move towards higher powers – up to 10-kilowatts – will drive market size 41 Laser Ablation for Paint Stripping and Cleaning Environmental Benefits: Solid waste (lb.) generated Per 1 lb. on paint stripped Plus 165 lbs of Liquid Waste 10 Ablates paint from the surface Vacuum removes 99.9% of residue Does not require chemicals which produce toxic sludge or plastic beads Manual paint stripping requires: 5 0 Media Blast* Solvent* Laser Ablation** F-16 4 people 16 to 18 people for a C-130 Dept. of Defense current paint stripping costs > $800 million per year (2015 Air Force LCMC) Many applications outside of aerospace: Paint Stripping Method Cleaning of molds, casts, tanks, pipes & other surfaces New generation of Nano-Second Pulsed laser with average power up to 4 kilowatt Pulsed product limits thermal damage to cleaned surface Sources: *Potential alternative report for the portable handheld laser small area supplemental coating removal system, prepared for USAF by SAIC, Feb. 2001 ** Penn State Applied Research laboratory, Automated Rotor Blade Stripping System (ARBSS) study for the USN, 2005 Source: AirforceTimes 42